The Union Budget must cut revenue expenditure so growth-boosting tax cuts are possible, while monetary policy should focus on growth-inflation dynamics instead of defending the falling rupee.
Rupee had a major fall this week, led by strong US macro data, rising crude prices. China's currency moves, Japan’s possible rate hike & domestic growth concerns may maintain pressure.
The first advance estimates peg India’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth at 6.4 percent in FY 2024-25, compared to 8.2 percent growth recorded in...
Narrowing of the wedge between credit and deposit growth, and the possible easing of the monetary policy, could weigh on the net interest margin of banks in 2025.
A big source of uncertainty will be trade after Trump assumes office. However, within India, rural demand is likely to sustain momentum & inflation is less likely to be a big problem.
Economic activity has rebounded in LMICs post pandemic, but the debt accumulated in that period has continued to grow, driven by both short & long-term debt.
With Sanjay Malhotra at the helm, RBI could shift towards a more dovish monetary policy, but the conventional policy response of rate cuts will not be a given with rising pressure on rupee.
Corporate tax collections saw modest growth of just 1.2%, but a 20.2% rise in income tax collections helped strengthen the government's overall revenue position.
The rupee has been depreciating lately due to FPI outflows, dollar strength & weak corporate performance. The slide, however, is less steep compared to other emerging markets.
India posted healthy growth in exports in October, even as imports grew sequentially. Donald Trump’s policy stance will have significant impact on India’s trade balance with US.
Mini deal will likely see no cut in 10% baseline tariff on Indian exports announced by Trump on 2 April, it is learnt, but additional 26% tariffs are set to be reduced.
BJP has no dynastic succession, at least not at the top. You can trace this back to Vajpayee-Advani era. This act of spotting, empowering younger talent is even more striking with the choice of BJP presidents.
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