Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast
Saturday Morning, July 19, 2025
Forecaster: Scott Martin
THIS WEEKEND
As we head into the weekend, a deep plume of Gulf moisture will keep things unsettled across Alabama, especially Saturday. With a broad zone of upper-level support to our north and plenty of warm, juicy air in place, expect scattered to numerous showers and storms, mainly in the afternoon. These will bring periods of heavy rainfall, and in a few spots, localized flooding can’t be ruled out. North Alabama will stay cooler thanks to more cloud cover and rain, with highs in the mid-80s. Meanwhile, central and southern parts of the state will reach the low to mid-90s, depending on how much sun gets through. It’ll be muggy everywhere, with heat index values near or just over 100 degrees in the southern counties.
On Sunday, the weather pattern starts to shift as high pressure builds in from the west. Moisture levels remain high, so we’ll still see scattered afternoon storms, mostly east of I-65. Northern Alabama could see some weakening storm clusters drifting in from Kentucky and Tennessee, but most of the organized activity should stay northeast of us. Temperatures climb sharply—highs will range from the upper 80s to upper 90s statewide. The heat index will push into the 105-degree range across central and southern Alabama, and it could flirt with Heat Advisory criteria in a few isolated spots.
THE WORKWEEK AHEAD
By Monday, that ridge over the Mississippi River Valley starts to take hold, nudging most of the rain chances eastward. That means drier weather for much of the state, though isolated afternoon storms could still pop up in eastern and higher terrain areas. Highs will sit solidly in the 90s—upper 80s in the east and higher elevations—with heat index values between 103 and 110 degrees. Expect another sticky night with lows only falling into the low to mid-70s.
Tuesday continues the warming trend. Most locations will see highs in the mid to upper 90s, and storm chances stay limited, especially in the west. However, a weak surface low forming over the northeast Gulf could stir up more storms across southern Alabama in the afternoon. Otherwise, it’s another hot and humid day, and with rising dewpoints, central and southern counties will feel more like 105 to 110 in the afternoon. Make sure to take frequent breaks if you’re spending time outdoors.
Wednesday brings a slight pattern shift as the ridge begins to flatten and some weak upper disturbances slide in from the east. That’ll help spark more isolated to scattered storms, mainly across the eastern third of the state. Highs will back off just slightly where clouds and rain develop, but most areas will remain in the lower to mid-90s. Overnight lows stay warm and muggy in the 70s, and heat index values will once again hover near dangerous levels, especially across central and southern zones.
Thursday and Friday look similar, with the ridge weakening further and rain chances increasing a bit—especially in southern and eastern Alabama. Scattered storms will develop each afternoon, and that will help shave a few degrees off the high temperatures. Still, expect highs both days in the lower to mid-90s, and heat index values will generally run between 100 and 106 degrees. Northern Alabama will stay a bit drier overall, but a few stray storms are possible late in the day.
THE TROPICS
Out in the Atlantic, we’re watching a tropical wave and a broad area of low pressure located more than 800 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Right now, this system is disorganized, and the environment doesn’t support development in the short term. There’s a slight chance it could strengthen a bit late this weekend into early next week as it moves west-northwest at about 10 mph. After that, conditions become less favorable. As of now, the National Hurricane Center gives it a 0% chance of development in the next 48 hours, and just a 20% chance through 7 days. Nothing threatening the Gulf for now—but we’ll keep watching.
THE BEACH FORECAST
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