Gann Technical Analysis Guide
Gann Technical Analysis Guide
In developing his theories, Gann was undoubtedly one of the most industrious technical
analysts. He made thousands of charts displaying daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly prices
for a wide variety of stocks and commodities. He was a avid researcher, occasionally
charting a price back hundreds of years. At a time when most market analysis was strictly
fundamental, Gann’s revolutionary theories relied on natural laws of mathematics, time
cycles, and his unshakable conviction that past market activity predicted future activity .
Gann has plotted the relationship between price and time. He explicitly stated that at the
point of intersection between the price and time trend line there is a valid reason for a
expectation of change in trend. Gann has given 11 different trend lines which will guide
the trader in taking timely wise decision. These trend lines are drawn based on the
geometrical angle proportion in X and Y axis.
The most important trend line 1X1 (read it “one by one” ) Gann angle. This is a straight
line drawn in the price-time chart which makes and angle 45° with the X-Axis. i.e. This is
the trend line drawn assuming 1 unit of price change with respect to 1 unit of time change
in a semi log scale. Similarly 2X1 ( two by one) trend line means line is drawn assuming
the 2 unit of price rise or fall happens in 1 unit of time. This trend line makes geometrical
angle of 63.75° with X Axis when drawn from a lower price point and projected toward
higher price points. Similarly this trend line will make 26.25° with respect respect to X-
Axis when it is drawn from a higher price point and projected towards the lower price
point.
Gann Wheel
Gann was always emphasizing in his training courses that a trader should keep to the rules
and watch for when the price is squared by time or when price and time come together
and the trader will be able to forecast the major trend changes with unbelievable accuracy,
especially when using the Gann wheel or the square of nine as illustrated below.
What Gann says is that we know that the square root of 15 is 3.87 and that we add 2 to
the square root of 15 we get the number 5.87. If we square 5.87 we get 34. So if we add
2 to the square root of a number and then squaring that number, it is the same thing as
one 360 degree rotation on the Gann wheel. So if 2 represents a 360 degree rotation then
1 must represent a 180 degree rotation and 0.5 is a 90 degree rotation. It’s the 90 degree
that Gann claimed was very important in the markets. He was saying that adding and
subtracting 0.5 or exact multiples of .5 to the square root of a stock price and then
squaring the result is significant. As we know 90 degrees is also very prominent in
astrology and maybe Gann was influenced by heavenly events too.
What is unique aspect about the Square of Nine is that it completely unconcerned whether
the variables are a range of prices, one particular price, or a number of stock trading days,
for example. For the Square of Nine they are identical and totally exchangeable. For a
trader who has been brought up on charts, moving averages and oscillators the concept
of squares, circles and square roots can be a little daunting and maybe a little mystifying.
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2!!!
As per the above data we are advised to buy the scrip at 3223.55 or sell at 3228.873. In
that case we need to do recalculation. Here instead of calculating from high and low point
we will start calculating from mid point.
3!!
Divide the high by the scale to get the new date of high.
Date = High / Scale
Scale Equation
Up Trend
Down Trend
= 312.2 / 40 = 7.805.
Actual outcome , Market peaked on July 23rd 2007 ( Its a 15 degree Gann Date
also )
Dividing the low by the scale to get the new date of low.
= 143.95 / 55 = 2.61.
4!!!
W D Gann through his extensive research have found that on ceratin dates of month
market trend changes. Gann says that these days the Sun comes at 15 Degree and 90
Degree with earth. These are very significant positions , market sentements changes on
these dates.
Listed below are the important Gann Dates. Sometimes Gann dates are exact and at
times it is a day or two ahead or behind. Remember that we are looking for price and
time to meet and become balanced. There are times when price is ahead of time and
time is ahead of price. Once we convert these degree into days you get the dates the
market makes major highs, lows, tops and bottoms.
Upswing
In a downward trending market after a continuous downward trending days , there is a
indication of market trend change with two days of upward trend i.e. the pivot is broken
. The upward swing is confirmed but market trend is still downward.
Downswing
In a upward trending market after a continuous upward trending days , there is a indication
of market trend change with two days of downward trend i.e. the pivot is broken . The
downward swing is confirmed but market trend is still upward.
Uptrend
Trend change is when the previous peak is taken out. As shown in the picture below.
Downtrend
6!!!
What Gann told was " Stocks and commodities vibrate in accordance with both their own
individual energy / vibration (i.e. internal vibration) and also in accordance with energy/
vibration transmitted through space (i.e. external vibration). “From my extensive
investigations, studies and applied tests, I find that not only do the various stocks vibrate,
but that the driving forces controlling the stocks are also in a state of vibration”.The overall
energy/ vibration of a stock or commodity is reflected in its price". “These vibratory forces
can only be known by the movements they generate on the stocks and their values in the
market”(Ticker interview) . It is thought that Gann believed the external energy/vibration
acting on a stock or commodity is subject to astrological influences (although he does not
explicitly state this in his Ticker interview).
What Gann told was " From time to time a stock or commodity will lose its sensitivity (or
receptivity) to certain influences (astrological or otherwise). As a consequence it will
become inert (i.e. its rate of vibration will fall) and its price will typically enter a
downtrend.“Stocks create their own field of action and power; power to attract and repel,
which principle explains why certain stocks at times lead the market and ‘turn dead’ at
other times”(Ticker interview).Thus, if the assumption that astrology plays an important
role in Gann’s method of forecasting markets is correct, the key technique in applying the
Law of Vibration is to accurately identify the major astrological influence driving a
particular stock or commodity. It is then necessary to identify the resultant rate of
vibration and to forecast how future astrological influences will impact this rate of
vibration.“By my method I can determine the vibration of each stock and by also taking
certain time values into consideration I can in the majority of cases tell exactly what the
stock will do under given conditions” (Ticker interview).
7!!!
The Sun's apparent path through the zodiac coincides with our 12-month year, almost exactly.
Our calendar months do not coincide precisely with the actual celestial month. We are out of
sync by a little bit of time (hence, Leap Year). This means that the Sun moves into a new
zodiac sign approximately every month, anywhere between 19th and the 23rd of our month.
That group of days is called a cusp, meaning the span of days in which the Sun may change
sign (there is also another meaning for "cusp" in astrology). However, being born during those
days does NOT automatically mean that you have two Sun signs (a common misconception).
Birth charts are calculated using astronomical ephemerides that chart the exact time of a Sun
sign change for every year. If you were born between the 19th and 23rd of any month, you
must check an ephemeris to see exactly where the Sun was at the time of your birth.
Empedocles, a fifth century BCE Greek philosopher, identified Fire, Earth, Air, and Water as
elements. He explained the nature of the universe as an interaction of two opposing
principles called love and strife manipulating the four elements. He stated that these four
elements were all equal, of the same age, that each rules its own province, and each
possesses its own individual character. Different mixtures of these elements produced the
different natures of things. Empedocles said that those who have near equal proportions of
the four elements are more intelligent and have the most exact perceptions.
Each sign is associated to one of the classical elements (water, fire, earth and air.) Fire and
Air signs are considered positive or extrovert, masculine signs; while Water and Earth signs
are considered negative, introvert, feminine signs.
Fire signs
Earth signs
Air signs
Water signs
8!!!
Gann has found out that the market behaviour is in greatly influenced by planetary
moments. When certain planets come together or in certain other angular positions the
market outcome is influenced. The planetary aspect that he has considered are.
Born on 30th Jan 1973 @ 9.10 AM so his birth sign will be Aquarius.
So his birth house(1st House) will be Aquarius and Pisces - 2nd House and Capricorn
– 12thHouse.
1st House there is no planet, but there is a 90º aspect of Saturn (Lord Of First House)
and Mars and Moon so native will take hasty financial decision not good for capital
market.
1st House Lord is sitting in fourth house opposed by Moon & Mars , Native will have
very fluctuating mood and very erratic mind not ideal for stock market trading.
Sun + Jupiter + Sun in 12th house is good for Investment since the long term exit
looks brighter.
1st House sextile aspect of Venus + North Node. Good gains from media and
glamour related scrips, Gold, Silver ornaments.
SUN + Jupiter + Mercury have 30º aspect with Birth House good with FMCG,
Banking, Capital Goods, Sports Related.
90º aspect of MARS, MOON, SATURN avoid metal, IT, Telecom , Oil and Gas,
Nickel – if necessary do it after full research.
11!!!
Gann says that planetary position is plays a very important role in companies progress.
Like a individuals birth chart companies birth chart need to be evaluated while trading in
a particular company stock. When over all planetary positions are bad it will impact
companies growth and in turn its stock value. For evaluating a companies planetary
positions we need to.
1. Birth Chart of the company based on the date from which stock has started trading
in stock exchange ( IPO Listing Date )
2. Evaluate the various planetary positions in birth chart and study the base qualities
of chart.
3. Take up the transit chart of the company on the day on which we decide to trade
and evaluate the planetary strength.
Lets take another example of Reliance Power , IPO Listing date 11th Feb 2008,
Mumbai , 10.00 AM.
Company was born under PICES sign Jupiter being the birth lord sitting in 10th
house opposed by Mars – Speculative.
Saturn is in the 6th house and is sitting in enemies house with South Node very
bad.
Sun 6th house lord sitting in 11th House, house of gains not auspicious. Especially
during its cycle it will be bad
North node placed in 12th house during its cycle will create issues.
If we want to trade for 2012-2013 period we need to take up the transit chart and
planetary cycle for that period. Lets take for a period of 30.03.2012.
Sun 6th house lord ( Mixed position ) sitting in birth house and 30º relation with
Jupiter and 60 º Venus good.
Saturn (Exalted) opposing Jupiter will create volatility.
Jupiter in second house Sun in the Birth house is very auspicious for stocks to do
well.
Mars aspecting (8th Aspect ) the Birth House is again showing volatility.
Overall a volatile position with positive bias.
12!!!
For trading in stocks and Index we need to take-up the day to day planetary positions and
evaluate. We need to take-up the chart of that day at the market opening and delineate.
If we know the exact date when the Index has started trading we can make more accurate
predictions based on planetary cycle moment also.
Lets take-up BSE SENSEX birth chart and analysis.
Lets take a period of Jan 2008 to March 2009 and analysis the planetary cycle and transit
chart of BSE Sensex.
From March 2009 onward Jupiter has taken over Micro-Primary planetary cycle
market will show improvement. July 2009 onward Saturn the birth house lord has
taken over will bring in gains for market.
On 20th Dec Saturn the birth house lord is sitting in enemies house and is opposing
birth house - very bad position .
Mercury sitting with its big enemy Mars very speculative and volatile.
Jupiter and Venus sitting in 12th house along with North Node not auspicious.
Especially since North Node cycle is continuing.
Sun , Mars , Mercury in square relationship Moon is again very bad sentimentally.
13!!!
Historical evidence states that this pattern was first discovered by ancient Indian saint “
Pingalacharya” in 200 BC. He passed this knowledge verbally to his disciples. The
clearest exposition of the series arises in the work of Virahanka (c. 700AD) . This was
picked by Arabs and published in Arabic.
In the West, the Fibonacci sequence first appears in the book Liber
Abaci (1202)by Leonardo of Pisa, known as Fibonacci.This sequence got its name from
thisItalian Mathematician.
F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F6 F7 F8 F9 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 F19 F20
The sum of two consecutive numbers equals the next number. The ratio of any number
to its next highest number approaches 0.618. The ration of alternating numbers
approaches 0.382. Also , 1-0.618 = 0.382. The midpoint of 0.382 and 0.618 is 0.50.
This is why 0.382, 0.50 and 0.618 are used.
Fibonacci Retracements
In technical analysis, Fibonacci retracements approximate support and resistance (and
potential turning points) following a trend. Calculate the distance from the low to the
high of the trend and calculate 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% of the distance of the trend.
Subtract those values from the top of the trend. Those are the potential reversal points.
Charting packages perform the calculations for you - all you have to do is connect the
low of the trend with the high of the trend using the Fibonacci retracement tool.
Fibonacci Arc
Following an uptrend, Fibonacci arcs use a line that connects the low and high of the
trend - but the line is drawn from high to low (not low to high as in retracements). Three
curves that intersect the trendline (drawn from high to low) at the retracement levels of
38.2%, 50% and 61.8% are the Fibonacci arcs. The arcs are also estimations for
support.
Fibonacci Fan
Fibonacci fans are composed of diagonal lines. After the high and low of the chart is
located, an invisible vertical line is drawn though the rightmost point. This invisible line is
then divided into 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, and lines are drawn from the leftmost point
through each of these points. These lines indicate areas of support and resistance.