Financial Journalism, News Sources and The Banking Crisis: Paul Manning
Financial Journalism, News Sources and The Banking Crisis: Paul Manning
2012
JOU0010.1177/1464884912448915ManningJournalism
Article
Journalism
Paul Manning
University of Winchester, UK
Abstract
One of the most notable features of the recent and continuing global banking crisis has
been the failure of financial journalism, together with the global news agencies, to alert
us to the signs of imminent catastrophe, thus confounding over-simplistic models of
journalism as an efficient system of antennae monitoring the external environment. With
a handful of honourable exceptions, most financial journalists and most international
news agencies simply failed to report much of the emerging evidence of the growing
possibility of collapse. Various explanations have been proposed for this failure including
the complexities of the evidence, the manipulative power of financial public relations,
and the difficulties of undertaking investigative journalism when newsrooms cut staff.
This article, drawing on a theoretical framework for analysing exchange relationships
between journalists and their sources first developed in Manning (2001), argues that a
more fully developed explanation needs to explore the ways in which a distribution of
political and symbolic power shaped relationships between financial correspondents,
news agencies and the key information flows operating within global financial systems.
Keywords
banking crisis, exchange relationships, financial journalism, information flows, news
sources and power
Introduction
The cost of the collapse of the global financial system runs into trillions of dollars,
perhaps over $10.8 trillion or around 20 per cent of world economic output, equivalent
to £10,000 per person in the developed world, according to some estimates (Schiffres,
Corresponding author:
Paul Manning, School of Media and Film, Faculty of Arts, University of Winchester, Sparkford Road, West
Hill, Hants SO22 5NR, UK.
Email: paul.manning@winchester.ac.uk
Theoretical context
In recent years there has been some common ground established amongst diverse
researchers interested in the politics of information flows. While the powerful, those
organisations commanding significant economic and political resources, enjoy
advantages in the struggle to exercise control over the flow of information, a large body
of research suggests that there still exist possibilities for the politically marginal providing
they are ‘media savvy’, and recognise the ways in which other kinds of symbolic
resources and media strategies can be deployed (Anderson, 1991; Davis, 2000a; Manning,
1998; Miller, 1994; Schlesinger and Tumber,1994). Davis terms this common ground
‘radical pluralism’ (2000b). But one problem with this kind of approach is that it tends to
place most emphasis on the proactivity of the organisations struggling to deploy resources
to secure media victories. This is not wrong and is, indeed, a very important dimension
of the study of contested mediation but it does not help us with another equally important
dimension: the expression of power through the non-emergence of information flows. In
considering the failure of financial journalism to spot the story of the collapse of global
financial capitalism, it is this dimension that requires discussion. The idea that the
powerful could somehow benefit from silences or inactivity, as well as mediated
proactivity, certainly goes back a long way (Crenson, 1971; Lukes, 1974). Significantly,
this tradition stresses the lack of intention as well as the deliberate will to suppress
information flows: sometimes powerful organisations do not need to do anything for
inconvenient information not to emerge in public discourse. In the case of the non-
reporting of the looming global financial crisis of 2008, a complex combination of forces
operated to encourage a non-reporting of the growing problems.
did not reveal ‘any journalist providing a serious warning about the dangers of CDOs
[collaterised debt obligations] before 2007’ (2008: 5). With regard to the USA, Starkman
undertook a survey of over 700 news reports and articles published between 2000 and
2007 and found that there were very few critical articles dealing with the potential
dangers associated with banking, leverage or hedge funds (2009). Indeed, there were
fewer critical articles as the decade wore on. Of course, much hangs on what is meant by
critical. Starkman did find articles that addressed problems with specific financial
services and specific companies but nothing that offered a more critical and holistic
assessment based on establishing the kinds of connections between micro and macro
suggested in the introduction. In the UK, several journalists now claim to have identified
the ‘warning signs’ in pieces written earlier in the decade (Wilby, 2008), though these
claims have sometimes been disputed. But it is possible to point to particular pieces
produced by Gillian Tett and her colleagues at the Financial Times (Tett et al., 2006a,
2006b), Alex Brummer, City Editor at the Daily Mail, Larry Elliott and Dan Atkinson at
The Guardian, for example, that raised questions about aspects of the dependency upon
leverage and corporate debt. But even Tett concludes that ‘the only thing that is more
remarkable than this deadly state of affairs [the global financial crisis] was that it went
so unnoticed for so long’ (2009: 299).
Journalists’ own explanations for the crisis have ranged from blaming the relative
inexperience of a younger generation of correspondents, too youthful to remember
earlier financial crises, the power of psychological denial, through to the sheer
impenetrable complexity of hedge funds (Hewett, 2008; Islam, 2009; Robinson, 2008).
Risk, a position he was subsequently sacked from the following year, after confirming to
the board the grave risks he believed the bank was running (House of Commons Treasury
Select Committee, 2009; Moore, 2009). When Moore was sacked from HBOS, he claims
he received ‘countless emails of support from colleagues’ (Moore, 2009), suggesting that
many other staff within the City shared his fears. Wall Street had already instigated a
review of the complexity of finance in 2005 (Tett, 2009: 265) but it is clear that some of
the leading US banks were also having internal discussions about the huge potential
dangers of over-exposure in sub-prime mortgage markets as early as 2006, with, for
example, Jamie Dimon, President of JP Morgan Chase, warning that, ‘we need to sell a
lot of our positions … This stuff could go up in smoke’ (quoted in Tett, 2009: 168). In the
City of London similar conversations were occurring at the same time. A senior broker
with experience at two ‘bulge bracket’ (large diversified) banks recalled:
In November 2006 X [name omitted] wrote a note on bank shares advising everyone to sell but
this wasn’t picked up. I’m a media cynic and I think it was in everyone’s interest to keep the
party going. Politicians, the media, … the City didn’t want to hear this kind of evidence …
think of all those apartment blocks being built in that New Labour eastern corridor from Hull
to Essex … it wasn’t in the interests of the property developers, the politicians or the banks to
be party poopers … (Interview B)
Gillian Tett had first been alerted to the potential dangers of credit derivatives in a
snatched conversation with a banker in 2004 (Tett, 2009: xiii). In 2005 and 2006, she and
colleagues on the Financial Times had begun to report some of the anxieties circulating
in the City (for example, Tett and Hughes, 2006). Two hedge funds operated by Bear
Stearns had collapsed in June 2007 which might have sounded wider alarm bells not only
about the longer term stability of Bear Stearns but also with regard to the overall stability
of the derivatives market (Mason, 2009b: 8). The cost of insuring against Bear Stearns
defaulting (credit default swaps) steadily rose in the next 12 months, with the insurance
price of $10 million Bear bonds rising from $100,000 in March 2007 to over $600,000
in March 2008 when Bear Stearns actually collapsed (Tett, 2009: 255). Rumours circu-
lated about the strength of HBOS, one of the nine major UK high street banks, but these
were not substantiated or reported by financial journalists (Islam, 2009). In August 2007
stress signals could be detected in the credit markets which precipitated the difficulties at
Northern Rock, in turn forcing the bank to approach the Bank of England for emergency
support. According to Lashmar (2008) and Starkman (2009), it is really only at this point
that financial journalism begins to explore the emerging dangers but even here, on the
admission of financial journalists themselves, few began to develop a comprehensive or
holistic approach that might point to the broader dangers.
In retrospect, many journalists do concede that there was a collective failure. Evan
Davis (BBC Radio 4 Today Programme) wondered aloud whether journalists should
have done more (quoted in Lashmar, 2008: 9); Robert Peston (BBC) and Jeff Randall
(Sky) agreed in their evidence to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee
(2009) that journalists should have questioned the prevailing mood of economic optimism.
Hugh Pym (BBC economics editor) conceded that journalists shared responsibility with
others:
… we should have asked more questions, I’m happy to acknowledge that but so too should
MPs, consumers, people who borrowed large sums of money … as well as large market players.
(Pym, 2009)
A senior national newspaper journalist and former financial correspondent rejected the sug-
gestion that even Gillian Tett really grasped what was going on before the summer of 2007:
I’ve known Gillian a long time and she’s a good journalist and colleague but she did not spot
the global crisis. That was not foreseen by anyone. What she did was to point out the risks in
derivatives. There were plenty of people saying there was too much leverage … including
bankers. (Interview E)
However, Faisal Islam (Channel 4 News) also believes that financial journalists might
have developed stronger lines of enquiry and, significantly, he identifies a failure to
relate macro perspectives to information concerning micro economic behaviour.
This is the biggest failure in public policy in my life time and a few older people’s lifetimes too,
so one could argue retrospectively that there could have been a more robust holding to account
of … the political economy behind the bubble, the Byzantine structures that built up in the
banking system … I mean the truth is that many people did spot it in 2003, that lending in this
country for example was out of hand and many people cried wolf at that point … the irony is
that many of us knew about the big picture, that China and the creditor states were foisting a
wall of debt upon the debtor nations and we knew about the smaller picture that many people
were getting 125% loans and mortgages of 7, 8, 9 times income … I think very few people and
possibly nobody worked out the mechanisms that connected those two stories and worked out
the whole supply chain of credit. If people were aware that the supply chain of credit was
dependent upon such bizarre, incorrigible and possibly fraudulent [practices] then maybe
people would have been a bit more sensible … I don’t know … but I think looking back on it I
would have loved to have put that jig saw puzzle together … (Islam, 2009)
In other words, few mainstream news reports or commentaries even in the period between
the collapse of Northern Rock in 2007 and the ultimate crisis of September 2008 made
connections between the emerging symptoms of crisis at the micro level (growing
consumer debt, banks only sustaining profits through highly aggressive sales cultures,
etc.) and the macro structures of expanding national debt, and the more frequent use of
off balance sheet accounting.
these have to be placed in the context of the pressures operating on the production of
financial news, and the power structures within which they are circumscribed.
Beginning within the news room, it is clear that the reasons frequently put forward by
journalists do contribute part of the explanation: mainstream news values which guide
story selection make it difficult for financial journalists to persuade their news
organisations, including news agencies, to select stories which involve high levels of
complexity and appear to lack a ‘personality’ around which to hang information. While
specialist news outlets, such as the Financial Times, operate with distinct news values on
the assumption that their target readership is more inclined to absorb detailed financial
data, many journalists approach financial stories with mainstream selection criteria
(Doyle, 2006: 436). To begin to seriously engage with the available evidence in the
period between 2000 and 2007, financial journalists would have to find ways of making
the highly complex detail of company accounts, derivatives, and asset-backed securities
newsworthy in the immediate sense of mainstream news values, and, as Gillian Tett
admits, even the Financial Times found collaterised debt obligations dull (2009: xi).
But the task of making financial data newsworthy is a daily challenge for financial
journalists. What had changed in recent times, following neoliberal deregulation in the
main global financial centres, was the growing complexity of the data. Banks were no
longer simply banks, a point signalled when the Bank of England abandoned the term
‘bank’ in favour of ‘CFI’ or Complex Financial Institution. And the assumptions that
drove the banks and hedge funds to move deeper and deeper into CDOs, hinged on sets
of mathematical formulae bewildering to many economists and CFI directors, let alone
financial journalists. As one financial analyst working for a large global bank said:
Financial correspondents face several difficulties, (a) they often don’t understand the technical
details – especially risk calculations, hedges, etc., … and (b) they often don’t have time to get
a grip on the underlying patterns … whole chunks of editorial are simply lifted out of our notes
[reports] without much original analysis. (Interview A)
Financial correspondents work within the familiar organisational hierarchies that struc-
ture all news production. Often their news editors are not financial specialists and this
means they can have difficulties in persuading their editors that they have a story. As
Faisal Islam (Channel 4 News) recalls:
It is quite an important issue, though because before the absolute cataclysm in about August 2008
the credit markets were totally in convulsion, the credit markets are bigger than the stock markets,
yet it was an issue of editorial choice, our editors, our bosses, couldn’t quite see there was a problem
unless the stock markets were falling, bizarre but actually tells you something about the prioritization
process within the news media … that we had to wait until the stock markets were falling before
our bosses would understand that there was something wrong with the financial system and yet
companies were stopped being lent to, it was a complete blood bath … (Islam, 2009)
… even on the Guardian … on the day of the real melt down, when Lehman went bust, on the
Sunday, and it all started to kick off, we knew something bad was happening – the financial and
economic staff – and we couldn’t get the paper to put it on the front page because Barclays had
pulled out of a bid for Lehmans so it was actually thought that it was not a big story and if you
look at the Guardian, it’s on about page twenty-eight, and of course, for about the next six
weeks it was on the front page every day … (Elliott, 2009)
managed channels. But this is not the complete picture. To begin with, as Lambert notes
in his speech, it was during the informal days of the 1970s that a potentially hugely
damaging banking crisis was entirely concealed from the public in the UK (Lambert,
2008: 2). But secondly, many financial journalists will say that they still rely on their
informal contacts for much of the information. ‘Massage your contacts’ is still the advice
given to young aspiring financial journalists according to the business editor at Sky
(Wilson, 2009), while an experienced correspondent on a Sunday newspaper commented:
Banks will always try to control the relationships between their staff and journalists. Banks will
not allow their staff to talk to us except through their own established channels. That has got
more formalised over the years and most banks and funds will use public relations firms now
or their own press officers … so there is a degree of filtering that goes on either through external
PR firms or internally … but most finance journalists that are any good will use their own
contacts that they have built up over the years. I’m a columnist now but I’ve been a financial
correspondent for twenty years so I’ve built up these contacts and once you have their mobile
phone numbers then you can to an extent bypass the formal systems when you need to check
something or cut through the gloss. (Interview E).
So a book of contacts, or these days a list of mobile phone numbers, remains a measure
of a financial journalist’s effectiveness in the eyes of editors and colleagues. The ability
to circumnavigate the formal channels and establish informal channels for information to
flow from sources that are ‘reliable and informed’ remains a key objective. A frequent
point made in the news source literature is that this can foster a dependency which allo-
cates power in the relationship to sources rather than journalists and certainly there is
evidence to support this analysis in the case of financial reporting (Davis, 2000b, 2002).
But exchange relationships, even if based on a structured dependency, will only be sus-
tained through time if the exchange of information is advantageous to both sides. For
example, the placing of information in particular news outlets of strategic significance,
such as the Financial Times (FT), can be a sufficiently valuable goal for City sources that
FT journalists may enjoy a stronger bargaining position in the terms of the unwritten,
normative framework that governs established relationships between City sources and
journalists (Doyle, 2006: 439).
This begs the question as to why City sources may wish to deal with journalists
outside the formalised domain of professional public relations and how do they
understand the ‘rules’ of the game – the normative framework – that regulates their
relationships with financial correspondents?
We would want to exert some influence over bad stories and push other key information outwards
… on a sales desk you are always looking to promote particular ideas and also to generally build
market reputation. Journalists would want to cross check market rumours. Journalists may want
to write knocking copy but they will know that this may do their mates some harm. They will
mostly have some kind of conscience … although not always. (Interview F)
‘Bad news’ entering the market domain needs to be managed in the eyes of those finan-
cial analysts working on the City desks and the ‘pushing outwards’ of positive informa-
tion can help improve the price of a stock. And, of course, money can also be made from
‘shorting’ stocks if negative information lowers the price. Markets are mediated environ-
ments, responding more to constructed sensibilities than ‘hard objective’ data, and there
is good evidence to demonstrate the relationship between share prices and media expo-
sure (Davis, 2006; Tetlock, 2009). So relationships with financial media are important
for financial analysts and need to be cultivated.
When I first arrived at [major global bank based at Canary Wharf] in 2004 I was the main
conduit for our desk and journalists such as Neil Hulme who writes the Alphaville column for
the FT. When I joined we were very low profile … When I joined [x bank] in 2004, they were
at the other end of the spectrum. Their PR was very passive, and they would just let stories
[damaging stories] emerge and explode … bad stuff on the bond markets, etc., then [X] was
brought in to sort it all out, brand ourselves better, infuse ourselves with an image as a powerful
player, get more of an ability to use PR to help our stocks, etc. (Interview F)
And, of course, media coverage can enhance the individual careers of brokers, too.
A lot of people are keen to get their opinion across … getting your view in print can be valuable.
You get more credibility. If people read it your profile is enhanced. Rightly or wrongly.
(Interview C)
So there are good reasons for sources within financial institutions to seek to cultivate
exchange relationships with journalists and they are aware of the bargaining chips they hold.
… I think there are three things which we can offer. Firstly, there’s access to us, to our work and
to the notes that we prepare. Then, there’s access to our traders, to their dealings and to the real
market information that they are using all the time. And then there’s having another ear to the
markets, to the rumours and for trying ideas out. For example, someone at Goldmans slipped
me a note yesterday demonstrating that the tax take implication from the pre-Budget
announcement on Wednesday was actually negative, not positive [i.e. the Inland Revenue
would lose rather than gain tax revenues] and that’s information that journalists will like to
have. If you [as a journalist] have good eyes and ears on the market you will look good to your
bosses … (Interview A)
Journalists are usually sceptical and aware that financial sources may be seeking to ‘talk
up their book’. However, when it came to hedge funds and their complexity some jour-
nalists felt less confident:
… One thing that journalists have to be more wary of these days, especially when dealing with
hedge funds, is not being misled. You have to be careful about fund managers … bankers …
talking up their own book … you can get caught out. For example, a hedge fund manager
might be saying that a deal won’t happen and it might be true or it might be that he wants to
move the price … There are more dangerous areas now where there is less transparency.
(Interview E)
Exchange relationships involving news sources and journalists involve potential sanc-
tions as well as incentives. Both financial sources and journalists acknowledged this:
There is an ‘I scratch your back and you scratch my back relationship’ … journalists need
content and stories and hedge funds need publicity but not hatchet jobs … I’ll certainly be more
guarded with certain journalists … more open with others. (Interview C)
We have to be tough minded in approaching stories we write … and balanced in what we say
… but also to an extent we don’t want a particular contact feeling aggrieved because we seem
to be picking on them … (Interview H)
Journalists accumulating a reputation for too many critical ‘hatchet jobs’ risk the danger
of undermining the valuable informal relationships which circumnavigate the more for-
malised PR channels noted above. That is not to suggest that journalists will always
avoid critical stories; they often make the best copy but there are mutually acknowledged
restraints embedded within such exchange relationships.
However, the non-appearance of more critical stories in the years before the 2008
crisis cannot be explained simply in terms of the normative framework that structures
financial journalist and source relationships. The prospect of breaking a really big story
about imminent financial melt down would probably have overridden these subtle social
restraints. But the taken-for-granted and mutually shared understandings regulating
relationships between financial sources and journalists provided no incentives for
journalists to actively seek the material from their sources that might sustain a more
critical approach. The information flows sustaining these exchange relationships were
unlikely to produce the kind of information that would prompt journalists to anticipate
anything more serious than the kind of market correction normally expected through the
business cycle:
No … we weren’t scared of breaking the bubble but we just couldn’t anticipate the scale. We
knew the bubble would end but we didn’t anticipate the scale … the extremity of it … and how
much things had gone off the rails over the years. No hint of that ever came up in a routine way
… (Interview E)
… we tiptoed around it for about four or five months basically, making sure we put out a story
that was very delicately told, and in the end we pulled our punches … now I’d like to think that
that was the right decision but maybe it was a mistake to pull our punches, maybe we should
have said these banks were a complete joke and you should take all your money out … I don’t
know. (Islam, 2009)
So when finally contemplating the enormity of the potential crisis, journalists faced a
real dilemma in judging how much information to make public: provide a full story and
risk triggering the collapse of banks and perhaps a wider systemic economic failure, or
exercise a degree of self-censorship in ‘pulling punches’, and compromise a commitment
to free reporting.
But these dilemmas were faced in the months near to the final crisis. What about the
years between 2001 and 2007? Several journalists have said that in retrospect they are
surprised how much they embraced the ‘received economic wisdom’ that low interest
rates were established as a permanent feature of the landscape; and that growth could be
sustained in a way that would allow growing levels of banking, consumer and sovereign
debt to be tolerated without any serious consequences. In this sense, financial journalists
shared a ‘received wisdom’ with bankers and politicians, a set of assumptions about the
nature of the political and economic world that were profoundly ideological. As one
financial analyst explained, ‘balance sheets weren’t seen as efficient if they didn’t have
enough debt’ (Interview D). The assumption that interest rates could stay low and growth
sustained despite mounting debt was a picture that was articulated through the polity,
with the rhetoric of ‘an end to boom and bust’, and through the dominant neoliberal
discourses promoting de-regulated financial services as an unquestioned success. For the
BBC economics editor, Hugh Pym, this consensus was so strong that it inevitably mapped
the contours of BBC reporting. For him, it was not the role of the BBC to adopt a critical
position outside this consensus:
We all forgot previous market crashes and assumed that the boom of the early twenty-first
century was different … a collective wisdom or consensus signed up to by a very broad coalition
of politicians and media was that markets would ensure beneficial outcomes and that the
lightest of regulation was all that was required … And I think the problem for the media – and
especially the BBC – is to ask ‘Is it the role of the BBC to challenge a consensus which is as
broad as that, is it the role of any of us to challenge as broad an intellectual consensus or to
challenge from what might be seen as the sidelines at the time?’ (Pym, 2009)
So power here is exerted not only through the intentional proactivity of sources within
the financial institutions but through the inactivity of those actors sharing the taken-for-
granted assumptions about the economic and political world that characterised the neo-
liberal consensus of the last two decades, within media and political elites, as well as
within the City. Financial and banking sources shared with many journalists a common
set of assumptions about the financial world and this consensus included journalists
working for public service broadcasting organisations, as much as those employed by
newspapers explicitly sympathetic to neoliberalism, as the quote from Hugh Pym above
underlines.
Conclusion
Although some critics have been tempted to claim ‘a conspiracy’ in explaining the under-
reporting of the antecedents of the financial crisis of 2007–8, this article suggests that the
answer is more complicated. It is to be found at two levels. This article has aimed to
demonstrate that exchange relationships between financial journalists and their sources
were important because they rarely prompted journalists to develop more holistic and
Acknowledgements
A version of this article was first presented at the 2010 MeCCSA Annual Conference at the London
School of Economics. The author is very grateful for the comments of two anonymous reviewers
on an earlier draft of this article.
Interviews
Names of interviewees and of some staff named in interviews have been removed at the request of
the interviewees.
a) Interview with London-based financial analyst working for large international bank, 30
October 2009.
b) Interview with broker employed on a sales desk in a large international London-based bank, 3
November 2009.
c) Interview with hedge fund manager conducted by the author, 11 November 2009.
d) Interview with London-based broker working for one of the large international banks, 22
November 2009.
e) Interview with assistant editor of a middle market national Sunday newspaper, formerly a
financial correspondent for 20 years, 3 December 2009.
f) Interview with London-based broker currently working for a second tier bank in the City but
with experience of working for two of the large ‘bulge bracket’ banks, 11 December 2009.
g) Interview with experienced financial journalist currently working for an online news source,
15 December 2009.
h) Interview with an economics correspondent working for a public service broadcasting organi-
sation, 16 December 2009.
i) Interview with former online news editor for a public service broadcasting organisation, 17
December 2009.
j) Interview with former economics correspondent with experience of quality newspaper and
broadcast journalism, 17 December 2009.
Hugh Pym (BBC), Faisal Islam (Channel 4), Larry Elliott (The Guardian), Michael Wilson (Sky)
all contributed to the Saints or Sinners? The Role of the Media in the Financial Crisis debate at
City University, 2 December 2009.
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Biographical note
Paul Manning is Head of the School of Media and Film at the University of Winchester. He has
previously published in the areas of news sources and power, news agencies and commodification,
cultural criminology and the relationship between drugs and popular culture.