Implications of Recent Clinical Trials For The National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III Guidelines
Implications of Recent Clinical Trials For The National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III Guidelines
  This statement was approved by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute in April 2004, by the American Heart Association Science Advisory
and Coordinating Committee in May 2004, and by the American College of Cardiology Foundation Board of Trustees in May 2004. A single reprint is
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  *Member of the Working Group until December 31, 2003.
  © 2004 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation and the American Heart Association, Inc.
 Disclosure information for the members of the working group that drafted the ATP III update is available on the NHLBI website
 (www.nhbli.nih.gov/guidelines/cholesterol/atp3upd04.htm).
                                                                                                                 doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2004.07.001
JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004                                                                                       Grundy et al.      721
August 4, 2004:720–32                                                                Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III
studies and smaller clinical trials, afford additional evidence for   an LDL-lowering drug was said to be optional. Alternatively,
crafting the recommendations.                                         if the patient has elevated triglycerides or low high-density
   All ATP reports have identified low-density lipoprotein            lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), a drug that targets these
cholesterol (LDL-C) as the primary target of cholesterol-             abnormalities may be added.
lowering therapy. Many prospective studies have shown that               Compared with ATP II (3), ATP III added new intensity to
high serum concentrations of LDL-C are a major risk factor            LDL-C lowering in patients with multiple (2⫹) CHD risk
for coronary heart disease (CHD). A large number of RCTs,             factors. Previous ATP guidelines established the LDL-C goal
moreover, have documented that lowering of LDL-C levels               for this category to be a level ⬍130 mg/dL. This goal was
will reduce the risk for major coronary events. In ATP II (3),        retained in ATP III, but risk assessment was expanded
evidence for the benefit of LDL-lowering therapy was based            beyond the counting of risk factors. ATP III recommended
on analysis and meta-analysis of RCTs that were carried out           that Framingham risk scoring be carried out in individuals
with therapies other than HMG CoA reductase inhibitors                with 2⫹ risk factors so as to triage them into 3 levels of
(statins). ATP III (1,2) reviewed new data from 5 large RCTs          10-year risk for hard CHD events (myocardial infarction ⫹
with statins. Results of several smaller RCTs with statins and        CHD death): ⬎20%, 10% to 20%, and ⬍10%. Persons with
other drugs also were examined. On the basis of accumulated           a 10-year risk ⬎20% were elevated to the high-risk category;
evidence from epidemiological studies and RCTs, ATP III               for them, the LDL-C goal is ⬍100 mg/dL. For others with 2⫹
proposed a treatment algorithm for LDL-lowering therapy.              risk factors and a 10-year risk ⱕ20%, the LDL-C goal is
   Since the publication of ATP III, 5 major clinical trials          ⬍130 mg/dL. LDL-lowering dietary therapy is universally
with statin therapy and clinical end points have been pub-            advocated for patients with an LDL-C above the goal level. If
lished. These include the Heart Protection Study (HPS) (4),           the 10-year risk is 10% to 20%, drug therapy should be
the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk           considered if the LDL-C level is above the goal level (ie,
(PROSPER) (5), Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering                    ⱖ130 mg/dL) after a trial of dietary therapy. When 10-year
Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack Trial—Lipid-Lowering                risk is ⬍10%, an LDL-lowering drug can be considered if the
Trial (ALLHAT-LLT) (6), Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Out-               LDL-C level is ⱖ160 mg/dL on maximal dietary therapy.
comes Trial—Lipid-Lowering Arm (ASCOT-LLA) (7), and                      Finally, most persons with 0 to 1 risk factor have a 10-year
the Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and Infection—             risk ⬍10%. For these individuals, clinical management and
Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 22 (PROVE IT–TIMI               dietary therapy is recommended when the LDL-C level is
22) trial (8). These trials addressed issues that had not been        ⱖ160 mg/dL. The goal is to lower LDL-C concentrations to
adequately addressed in previous statin trials. The results           ⬍160 mg/dL. If the LDL-C is ⱖ190 mg/dL after an adequate
appear to have important implications for the management of           trial of dietary therapy, consideration should be given to
patients with lipid disorders, particularly for high-risk pa-         adding a cholesterol-lowering drug. When serum LDL-C
tients. They further may require some rethinking of the               ranges from 160 to 189 mg/dL, introduction of a cholester-
treatment thresholds of ATP III recommendations. In addi-             ol-lowering drug is a therapeutic option in appropriate cir-
tion, findings of other smaller trials or subgroup analyses of        cumstances, such as when a severe risk factor is present. ATP
major trials have been published. The purpose of the present          III outlines several factors that can be taken into consider-
document is to examine the results of all of these studies and        ation to guide clinical judgment for this category.
to assess their implications in relation to the ATP III report.          ATP III placed major emphasis on therapeutic lifestyle
First, we will summarize the principal elements of the ATP            changes (TLC) as an essential modality in clinical manage-
III treatment algorithm and the major findings of the recent
                                                                      ment for persons at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD).
trials.
                                                                      ATP III’s TLC approach was designed to achieve risk
   According to the ATP III algorithm, persons are catego-
                                                                      reduction through both LDL-C lowering and metabolic syn-
rized into 3 risk categories: (1) established CHD and CHD
                                                                      drome management. Therefore, when the implications of
risk equivalents, (2) multiple (2⫹) risk factors, and (3) zero to
                                                                      recent LDL-lowering drug trials are considered, it must be
one (0 –1) risk factor. CHD risk equivalents include noncor-
                                                                      reemphasized that the results do not in any way diminish the
onary forms of clinical atherosclerotic disease, diabetes, and
                                                                      importance of lifestyle change for CVD risk reduction.
multiple (2⫹) CHD risk factors with 10-year risk for CHD
⬎20%. All persons with CHD or CHD risk equivalents can
                                                                       Review of Recent Clinical Trials With Major
be called high risk. The goal for LDL-lowering therapy in
high-risk patients is an LDL-C level ⬍100 mg/dL. According
                                                                               Cardiovascular End Points
to ATP III, for a baseline or on-treatment LDL-C ⬍100                 Heart Protection Study
mg/dL, no further LDL-lowering therapy was recommended.               This clinical trial was carried out in 20 536 adults living in the
For all high-risk patients with LDL-C levels ⱖ100 mg/dL,              United Kingdom (aged 40 to 80 years) who were at high risk
LDL-lowering dietary therapy should be initiated. When                for a CVD event (4). Entrance criteria included coronary
baseline LDL-C is ⱖ130 mg/dL, an LDL-lowering drug                    disease, other occlusive arterial disease, or diabetes. Patients
should be started simultaneously with dietary therapy. How-           were randomly allocated to 40 mg simvastatin daily or
ever, LDL-lowering drugs were not mandated if the baseline            placebo. Primary outcomes included total mortality for over-
LDL-C level is in the range of 100 to 129 mg/dL; in this              all analysis and fatal or nonfatal vascular events for subcat-
range, ATP III suggested several therapeutic options. Dietary         egory analyses. The incidence of cancer and other major
therapy should be intensified, whereas adding or intensifying         morbidity also was determined.
722      Grundy et al.                                                                                       JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004
         Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III                                                               August 4, 2004:720–32
   Serum lipids at baseline were determined on nonfasting             HPS investigators further examined their results more
samples. Levels of LDL-C were measured by the direct LDL           closely for persons with diabetes (11). The study included
method (9). Average lipid values at baseline were total            5963 individuals with diabetes (ages 40 to 80 years). Those
cholesterol 228 mg/dL, triglycerides 186 mg/dL (nonfasting),       subjects receiving simvastatin 40 mg/d had significant reduc-
HDL-C 41 mg/dL, non-HDL-C 187 mg/dL, and direct                    tions of approximately one quarter in first-event rates for
LDL-C 131 mg/dL. In most other clinical trials of cholester-       major coronary events, strokes, and revascularizations. Event
ol-lowering therapy, serum lipid levels have been determined       reductions were similar to those for nondiabetic patients. In
on fasting samples, and LDL-C has been calculated by the           2912 patients with diabetes and without diagnosed coronary
Friedewald equation [LDL-C ⫽ total cholesterol ⫺ HDL-C             or other occlusive arterial disease at entry, simvastatin ther-
⫺ VLDL-C (triglycerides/5)], where VLDL indicates very-            apy reduced risk by about one third. In 2426 participants with
low-density lipoprotein (10). This calculation includes            diabetes whose pretreatment LDL-C was ⬍116 mg/dL, event
intermediate-density lipoprotein in the LDL fraction. If this      rates were 27% lower on simvastatin therapy. In the subgroup
equation were applied to the HPS values cited above, the           of patients with diabetes who were without vascular disease
average calculated LDL-C would be approximately 150                and whose LDL-C levels were ⬍116 mg/dL at baseline, a
mg/dL [(228⫺41⫺(186/5)]. However, because the baseline             marginally significant 30% reduction in risk was observed.
samples were nonfasting, the triglyceride levels were likely to    Efficacy of simvastatin therapy in the subgroup of patients
have been at least 20 to 30 mg/dL higher than fasting;             with LDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL was not reported. HPS investiga-
consequently, applying the Friedewald equation to baseline         tors concluded that, in general, cholesterol lowering with
levels would underestimate LDL-C by 4 to 6 mg/dL [(20 to           statin therapy is efficacious in patients with diabetes, includ-
30 mg/dL)/5] because this much cholesterol was falsely             ing those without manifest CHD and those with relatively low
attributed to VLDL-C. Consequently, estimations of baseline        LDL-C levels.
fasting LDL-C, if calculated by the Friedewald equation,
likely would have been in the range of 150 to 155 mg/dL, or        Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly
about 15% higher than baseline LDL-C calculated by the             at Risk
direct method. If this difference between direct and calculated    This trial examined the efficacy of pravastatin treatment in
LDL-C holds at low LDL-C, a direct LDL-C level of 100              older men and women with or at high risk of developing CVD
mg/dL would correspond to a calculated LDL-C of 115                and stroke (5). Subjects (n⫽5804; 2804 men and 3000
mg/dL. Although this difference could be of some signifi-          women), ages 70 to 82 years, who had a history of vascular
cance for treatment decisions, to avoid confusion the distinc-     disease or CVD risk factors were randomized to pravastatin
tion will not be emphasized in the discussion to follow.           (40 mg/d) or placebo. The primary end point was a composite
   In patients allocated to simvastatin, all-cause mortality was   of coronary death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and fatal or
significantly reduced by 13% (P⫽0.0003). Major vascular            nonfatal stroke. Baseline total cholesterol varied widely from
events were reduced by 24%, coronary death rate by 18%,            150 mg/dL to 350 mg/dL. Follow-up averaged 3.2 years.
nonfatal myocardial infarction ⫹ coronary death by 27%,            Pravastatin reduced LDL-C levels by 34%. The composite
nonfatal or fatal stroke by 25%, and cardiovascular revascu-       end point was reduced on pravastatin therapy by 15%
larization by 24%. The reduction in the event rate was similar     (P⫽0.014). Major coronary events, defined as nonfatal myo-
in each subcategory, including patients without diagnosed          cardial infarction and CHD death, fell on therapy by 19%
coronary disease who had cerebrovascular disease, or periph-       (P⫽0.006), and CHD mortality by 24% (P⫽0.043). No
eral artery disease, or diabetes. Similar event reductions on      reduction in stroke was observed, but transient ischemic
simvastatin therapy occurred for men and women and for             attacks fell by 25% on therapy (P⫽0.051). The stroke rate in
participants either under or over 70 years of age at entry. No     the trial, however, was about half of that predicted, so the
significant adverse effects of simvastatin therapy were re-        effects of statin therapy on stroke must be viewed in this light.
ported, including no significant increase in myopathy, cancer      New cancer unexpectedly was found 25% more often on
incidence, or hospitalization for any other nonvascular cause.     pravastatin treatment (P⫽0.020). This finding, however,
   Subgroup analysis of HPS suggests that simvastatin ther-        contrasts with meta-analysis of all pravastatin and all statin
apy produced similar reductions in relative risk regardless of     trials, in which overall cancer incidence was not increased
the baseline levels of LDL-C, including subgroups with initial     (5). Pravastatin therapy neither improved cognitive function
(or baseline) LDL-C levels ⱖ135 mg/dL, ⬍116 mg/dL, or              nor retarded progression of disability. According to the
⬍100 mg/dL. At least 2 issues, however, can be noted with          authors, PROSPER results allow statin therapy to be extended
regard to the reported subgroup analysis of HPS at low (or         to older persons.
very low) LDL-C levels. First, LDL-C cutpoints to define
these subgroups would have been higher if LDL-C had been           Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering
calculated by the Friedewald equation, the method employed         Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack
by ATP III for routine clinical practice. Second, the charac-      Trial—Lipid-Lowering Trial
teristics of low-LDL subgroups, ie, what portions had hyper-       The primary goal of ALLHAT was to evaluate current
triglyceridemia, elevated non-HDL-C, or diabetes, or were          modalities of hypertension treatment. The lipid-lowering
free of CVD, have not been made available. These qualifying        component, which was a subset of this trial, was designed to
issues must be kept in mind when generalizing HPS findings         assess whether pravastatin therapy compared with usual care
to all high-risk patients with low baseline LDL-C levels.          reduces all-cause mortality in older, moderately hypercholes-
JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004                                                                                  Grundy et al.      723
August 4, 2004:720–32                                                           Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III
terolemic, hypertensive participants with at least one addi-      events had occurred in the atorvastatin group, compared with
tional CHD risk factor (6). The study used 513 primarily          154 events in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.64,
community-based North American clinical centers. The lipid-       P⫽0.0005). In the atorvastatin group, incidence of fatal and
lowering component of ALLHAT randomized 10 355 per-               nonfatal stroke was reduced by 27% (P⫽0.024), total cardio-
sons. Participants were over 55 years of age and had LDL-C        vascular events by 21% (P⫽0.0005), and total coronary
levels ranging from 120 to 189 mg/dL and triglycerides            events by 29% (P⫽0.0005). There was a nonsignificant trend
below 350 mg/dL. Those patients with LDL-C levels ⱖ120            toward a reduction in total mortality in the atorvastatin group
mg/dL (100 to 129 mg/dL if known CHD) and triglycerides           (13%; P⫽0.16). Because of these markedly positive findings
lower than 350 mg/dL were randomized to nonblinded arms           with atorvastatin therapy, the study was terminated prema-
of pravastatin (n⫽5170) or usual care (n⫽5185). Baseline          turely. The authors indicated that LDL lowering with atorva-
mean total cholesterol was 224 mg/dL; LDL-C, 146 mg/dL;           statin therapy has considerable potential to reduce risk for
HDL-C, 48 mg/dL; and triglycerides, 152 mg/dL. Mean age           CVD in primary prevention in patients with multiple CVD
was 66 years; 49% were women; 38% were black and 23%              risk factors.
Hispanic; 14% had a history of CHD; and 35% had type 2
diabetes. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and        Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and
secondary outcomes were nonfatal myocardial infarction or
                                                                  Infection—Thrombolysis in Myocardial
fatal CHD (CHD events) combined, cause-specific mortality,
                                                                  Infarction 22
and cancer.                                                       This study, designated PROVE IT,(8) was designed to deter-
   Mean follow-up duration of participants was 4.8 years.         mine whether intensive LDL-C lowering will reduce major
Crossover of usual-care participants to lipid-lowering drugs
                                                                  coronary events, including mortality, more than “standard”
was high (32% of usual-care participants with CHD and 29%
                                                                  LDL-C lowering with statin therapy in high-risk patients.
without CHD). Follow-up of patients for lipid results was not
                                                                  Two statins at different doses were compared: atorvastatin 80
complete. Among a nonrandom subset of participants tested,
                                                                  mg versus pravastatin 40 mg. Previous studies have shown
total cholesterol levels were reduced by 17% with pravastatin
                                                                  that pravastatin 40 mg produces a reduction of LDL-C
versus 8% with usual care at 4 years. In ALLHAT-LLT,
                                                                  equivalent to approximately 10 mg of atorvastatin. Prior
all-cause mortality was similar for the 2 groups, with 6-year
                                                                  clinical trials have demonstrated that treatment of patients
mortality rates of 14.9% for pravastatin versus 15.3% with
                                                                  with established CHD with pravastatin 40 mg will reduce
usual care. For all participants, CHD event rates were not
                                                                  LDL-C levels to near 100 mg/dL and will reduce risk for
significantly different between the groups, with 6-year CHD
                                                                  major coronary events by approximately 27% (12). In
event rates of 9.3% for pravastatin and 10.4% for usual care.
                                                                  PROVE IT, 4162 patients who had been hospitalized for an
In the African-American subgroup, however, CHD events
                                                                  acute coronary syndrome within the preceding 10 days were
were significantly reduced in the pravastatin arm compared
                                                                  enrolled and randomized to the 2 therapies. The primary end
with usual care. The authors speculated that the failure to
                                                                  point of the trial was a composite of death from any cause,
detect a significant reduction in risk in hypertensive patients
                                                                  myocardial infarction, documented unstable angina requiring
treated with pravastatin may be due to the modest differential
in total cholesterol (9.6%) between pravastatin and usual         rehospitalization, revascularization (performed at least 30
care. Other possible explanations for the failure to observe a    days after randomization), and stroke. Mean follow-up time
treatment benefit could be the unblinded nature of the study      was 24 months. At the end of 2 years of therapy, the
without a placebo arm and a large crossover of higher-risk        composite cardiovascular end point was reduced by 16% with
subjects in the usual-care arm to active lipid-lowering           atorvastatin compared with pravastatin (P⬍0.005). Nonsig-
therapy.                                                          nificant trends were observed on atorvastatin therapy for total
                                                                  mortality (P⬍0.07) and for death or myocardial infarction
Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes                               (P⬍0.06). The high dose of atorvastatin was well tolerated,
Trial—Lipid-Lowering Arm                                          and no case of severe myopathy (rhabdomyolysis) was
In contrast to the ALLHAT lipid-lowering component, a             observed in either treatment group. Greater than 3-fold
markedly different result was obtained in hypertensive pa-        elevations of alanine aminotransferase were observed in 3.3%
tients in ASCOT-LLA (7). In this study, 19 342 hypertensive       of patients treated with atorvastatin versus 1.1% on pravasta-
patients, 40 to 79 years old and having at least 3 other          tin (P⬍0.003).
cardiovascular risk factors, were randomized to 1 of 2               The LDL-C level attained on pravastatin 40 mg was 95
antihypertensive regimens. Among these subjects, 10 305           mg/dL, whereas the level attained on atorvastatin 80 mg was
were in addition randomly assigned atorvastatin 10 mg or          62 mg/dL. The difference in LDL-C thus was 33 mg/dL
placebo. Selection was made on the basis of nonfasting total      (35%). The results of PROVE IT suggest that more intensive
cholesterol of ⱕ251 mg/dL (6.5 mmol/L). LDL-C levels              LDL-C–lowering therapy reduces major cardiovascular
averaged 132 mg/dL and were reduced by an average of 42           events in patients with acute coronary syndrome compared
mg/dL (29%) in the atorvastatin-treated group at the end of       with less intensive therapy over a period of 2 years. It must be
the study. The primary end point was nonfatal myocardial          noted, however, that 72% of the patients had LDL-C levels
infarction and fatal CHD. The study was planned for a             ⬍125 mg/dL, and in this large subgroup, the modest trend
follow-up of an average of 5 years but was stopped after a        toward benefit of atorvastatin over pravastatin was not
median follow-up of 3.3 years. At that time, 100 primary          statistically significant.
724      Grundy et al.                                                                                        JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004
         Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III                                                                August 4, 2004:720–32
low LDL-C concentrations made it impossible for ATP III to         mg/dL does not appear to be a threshold below which no
make unequivocal recommendations on LDL-lowering ther-             further benefit could be achieved by still more LDL-C
apy for persons with lower levels of serum LDL-C.                  lowering. It is important to note that ATP III considered an
   The results of HPS help to confirm the congruence of            LDL-C level of 100 mg/dL to be a minimal goal of treatment
epidemiology and clinical trials at low LDL-C levels. HPS          for high-risk patients. This level was not viewed as the level
provides strong new evidence to support the log-linear             of maximal benefit of LDL lowering. A goal of less than 100
relationship between LDL-C levels and CHD risk, even at            mg/dL was explicitly established by ATP III to indicate that
low LDL-C concentrations. In fact, HPS results suggest that        the level of 100 is a minimal goal of therapy. Both HPS and
reducing serum LDL-C from any baseline level further               PROVE IT indeed suggest that additional benefit may be
lowers risk in high-risk patients. In HPS, absolute risk           obtained by reducing LDL levels to substantially below 100
reductions for major vascular events were smaller at lower         mg/dL. This likelihood is enhanced by the finding that
LDL-C levels because the risk imparted by higher LDL-C             intensive lowering of LDL-C to well below 100 mg/dL will
itself was lacking. Nonetheless, the association between           reduce progression of coronary atherosclerotic lesions com-
LDL-C levels and CHD risk seemingly remains log-linear at          pared with LDL-C reductions to approximately 110 mg/dL
low LDL-C levels (Figure). The recent trials did not identify      (29). If HPS is taken at face value, reducing LDL-C by 30%
a threshold LDL-C level below which no further reduction in        starting at 100 mg/dL will produce another 20% to 30%
risk occurs.                                                       lowering in relative risk for CHD. In PROVE IT, the
                                                                   somewhat smaller reduction of 16% in major cardiovascular
Implications of Log-Linear Relationship Between                    events on atorvastatin 80 mg compared with pravastatin 40
LDL-C and CHD Risk for ATP III’s Categorical                       mg may be related to the relatively short duration of the trial.
Goals of Therapy in High-Risk Patients                             Thus, in terms of absolute risk, an LDL-C of 70 mg/dL seems
Rationale for Recommended Low LDL-C                                preferable for high-risk patients compared with a level of 100
Goal (<100 mg/dL)                                                  mg/dL. At present, however, HPS and PROVE IT cannot be
ATP III set the goal for LDL-C lowering in high-risk patients      taken as the final word on the benefit of reducing LDL levels
to be ⬍100 mg/dL. This goal is consistent with the observed        to well below 100 mg/dL. Several other clinical trials (re-
log-linear relationship between LDL-C levels and CHD risk          viewed in Waters et al (30)) are underway to probe the
observed in epidemiological data (23–25). It was as low as         efficacy of lowering LDL to very low levels.
could be supported by clinical-trial evidence at the time of          Until these trials are completed, prudence requires that
ATP III release. It also was a goal that could be achieved         setting an LDL-C goal of ⬍70 mg/dL for high-risk patients
through LDL-C lowering in a sizable proportion of high-risk        must be left as a therapeutic option on the basis of clinical
patients by standard doses of drugs used in clinical trials. The   trial evidence, whereas a goal of ⬍100 mg/dL can be retained
latter point is important. Doses of statins used in most           as a strong recommendation. Factors that favor a decision to
secondary prevention trials will achieve an LDL-C level            reduce LDL-C levels to ⬍70 mg/dL are those that place
⬍100 mg/dL in little more than half of high-risk patients          patients in the category of very high risk. Among these factors
(4,26 –28). To attain an LDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL in the remaining         are the presence of established CVD plus (1) multiple major
patients, either the statin dose must be increased or a second     risk factors (especially diabetes), (2) severe and poorly
LDL-lowering drug must be added to therapy. Thus, in ATP           controlled risk factors (especially continued cigarette smok-
III, the LDL-C goal of ⬍100 mg/dL was considered to be not         ing), (3) multiple risk factors of the metabolic syndrome
only the limit of efficacy supported by available clinical trial   (especially high triglycerides ⱖ200 mg/dL plus non-HDL-C
data but also the practical limit that could be achieved in most   ⱖ130 mg/dL with low HDL-C [⬍40 mg/dL]), and (4) on the
high-risk patients with standard therapy as informed by            basis of PROVE IT, patients with acute coronary syndromes.
clinical trials.                                                   To avoid any misunderstanding about cholesterol manage-
                                                                   ment in general, it must be emphasized that the optional goal
Rationale for Optional Very Low LDL-C                              of ⬍70 mg/dL does not apply to individuals who are not high
Goal (<70 mg/dL)                                                   risk.
A question raised by HPS and PROVE IT is whether an
LDL-C goal of ⬍100 mg/dL is sufficiently low in high-risk          Potential Side Effects of Very Low LDL Cholesterol
patients who already have a low LDL-C level at baseline. In        In the past, concern has been raised about potential dangers of
HPS, patients whose LDL-C levels at baseline were ⬍116             reducing LDL to very low levels. Some epidemiological
mg/dL, and even the subgroup with LDL-C concentrations             studies (31–33) suggest that very low serum cholesterol
⬍100 mg/dL, exhibited significant risk reduction when statin       levels are associated with an increase in total mortality. In
therapy was introduced. In PROVE IT, intensive LDL-C–              particular, an association with cerebral hemorrhage has been
lowering therapy with high-dose statin (atorvastatin) reduced      reported. In these studies, a causal link between low choles-
major cardiovascular events in only 2 years as compared with       terol levels and morbidity or mortality has not been estab-
standard-dose statin (pravastatin 40 mg). Pravastatin 40 mg        lished. Some investigators attribute the association to con-
reduced the median LDL-C from 106 mg/dL to 95 mg/dL,               founding factors. In recent clinical trials with statin therapy,
which achieved the ATP III goal of ⬍100 mg/dL; atorvastatin        no significant side effects from LDL lowering per se have
80 mg lowered LDL-C to a median of 62 mg/dL. Thus, on the          been identified. For these reasons, the decision to achieve
basis of both HPS and PROVE IT, an LDL-C level of 100              very low LDL levels in very high-risk patients should be
726        Grundy et al.                                                                                                   JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004
           Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III                                                                           August 4, 2004:720–32
TABLE 1. Doses of Currently Available Statins Required to                        likewise be attained by combining lower doses of statins with
Attain an Approximate 30% to 40% Reduction of LDL-C Levels                       other drugs or products (eg, bile acid sequestrants, nicotinic
(Standard Doses)*                                                                acid, ezetimibe, plant stanols/sterols). Because of the avail-
         Drug                Dose, mg/d          LDL Reduction, %                ability of a variety of relatively safe LDL-lowering options,
                                                                                 when ATP III indicates that drug therapy should be consid-
         Atorvastatin            10†                     39
                                                                                 ered, it is reasonable to employ doses adequate to achieve a
         Lovastatin              40†                     31
                                                                                 reduction in risk for major coronary events of 30% to 40%.
         Pravastatin             40†                     34                      To use minimal drug therapy just to produce a small LDL
         Simvastatin           20–40†                  35–41                     reduction that will barely attain the LDL-C goal would not be
         Fluvastatin           40–80                   25–35                     a prudent use of LDL-lowering drugs. These comments must
         Rosuvastatin            5–10‡                 39–45                     not be taken to mean that NCEP is recommending a 30% to
   *Estimated LDL reductions were obtained from US Food and Drug Admin-          40% reduction of LDL-C levels as a goal of therapy. The
istration package inserts for each drug.                                         comments simply recognize that if drug therapy is a compo-
   †All of these are available at doses up to 80 mg. For every doubling of the   nent of cholesterol management for a given patient, it is
dose above standard dose, an approximate 6% decrease in LDL-C level can be       prudent to employ doses that will achieve at least a moderate
obtained (45).                                                                   risk reduction.
   ‡For rosuvastatin, doses available up to 40 mg; the efficacy for 5 mg is
estimated by subtracting 6% from the Food and Drug Administration–reported
                                                                                    Because of the success of statin trials, some investigators
efficacy at 10 mg (45).                                                          have suggested that guidelines can be simplified by merely
                                                                                 recommending that high-risk patients be treated with the
                                                                                 doses of statins used in clinical trials. In the view of NCEP,
based on evidence of benefit and recognition that there                          this suggestion represents an oversimplification that will lead
appears to be only a remote possibility of side effects from                     to undertreatment of many patients. It does not take advan-
LDL lowering per se.                                                             tage of the strong database supporting the log-linear relation-
                                                                                 ship between LDL levels and CHD risk (Figure). As shown in
Limitations in Efficacy of LDL-Lowering Therapy                                  HPS, if a high-risk patient has a relatively low LDL concen-
In spite of growing evidence for benefit of reducing LDL-C                       tration at baseline, a standard dose of statin may achieve the
levels to ⬍70 mg/dL in very high-risk patients, many such                        minimal LDL-C goal of ⬍100 mg/dL or even the more
patients may not be able to achieve such low levels with                         stringent optional goal of ⬍70 mg/dL. For persons with
currently available drugs. This will be the case particularly                    higher LDL levels at baseline, standard doses of statins may
when baseline LDL-C levels are relatively high. For example,                     fail to achieve an LDL-C level ⬍100 mg/dL and thus may not
even with high-dose statins (34) or LDL-lowering drug                            achieve the full potential of benefit from LDL lowering. As
combinations (35,36), LDL-C reductions ⬎50% often cannot                         the number of LDL-lowering options increases, the initiation
be achieved. Thus, when baseline LDL-C is ⬎150 mg/dL, it                         of more intensive therapies becomes feasible. NCEP recom-
may not be possible to achieve an LDL-C ⬍70 mg/dL in very                        mends that such therapies be employed within the bounds of
high-risk patients.                                                              safety and tolerability to at least achieve an LDL-C level of
                                                                                 ⬍100 mg/dL.
  Relation of Percentage Reduction in LDL to
     CHD Risk: Implications for Therapy
ATP III recommendations on therapy placed higher priority                           Implications of HPS and PROVE IT for
on reaching the LDL-C goals than on achieving a given                              Clinical Management of Elevated LDL-C in
percentage lowering of LDL-C levels. ATP III guidelines also                                   High-Risk Patients
identified characteristics of persons in whom cholesterol-                       HPS in general supports ATP III guidelines for high-risk
lowering drugs should be considered. The guidelines, how-                        patients. The introduction of the concept of CHD risk equiva-
ever, were not explicit on how much LDL-C lowering should                        lents in ATP III expanded the definition of high risk beyond
be sought from drug therapy beyond achieving the LDL-C                           established CHD to include other types of high-risk patients.
goal. Recent clinical trials nonetheless have documented how                     Because the LDL-C treatment goal for all of these categories is
much reduction in relative risk for major coronary events can                    a level ⬍100 mg/dL, the majority of high-risk patients will
be achieved from a given lowering of LDL-C (4 –7,26 –                            require intensive LDL-lowering therapy. By coincidence or
28,37,38). They indicate that for every 1% reduction in                          design, HPS included several different types of high-risk patients
LDL-C levels, relative risk for major CHD events is reduced                      that would qualify as CHD risk equivalents according to ATP
by approximately 1%. HPS data suggest that this relationship                     III. The benefit of LDL-lowering therapy in such high-risk
holds for LDL-C levels even below 100 mg/dL (Figure).                            patients was amply demonstrated by HPS. Importantly, HPS
Currently available statins at doses typically used in these                     provides support for the use of intensive LDL-C lowering in
trials will lower LDL-C levels by 30% to 40%, which                              most high-risk patients. The implications of HPS for different
translates into a similar percentage reduction in CHD risk                       levels of LDL-C in high-risk patients thus can be considered.
over a 5-year period. In the present document, the statin doses
that produce such reductions are called standard doses. Table                    Baseline LDL-C Levels >130 mg/dL
1 lists these standard doses for currently available statin                      For high-risk persons, ATP III recommended that LDL-
drugs. Similar reductions in LDL-C of 30% to 40% can                             lowering drugs begin simultaneously with dietary therapy
JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004                                                                                      Grundy et al.      727
August 4, 2004:720–32                                                               Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III
when LDL-C is ⱖ130 mg/dL. HPS supports this recommen-                 mg/dL, eg, to reduce LDL-C to the range of ⬍70 mg/dL, is a
dation; those HPS subjects with higher LDL-C levels had the           reasonable therapeutic decision on the basis of clinical
greatest reduction in absolute risk from statin therapy. As           judgment that the patient is still at very high absolute risk for
shown in several clinical trials (26 –28), including HPS,             future CVD events. This therapeutic strategy is supported by
however, when LDL-C levels are well above 130 mg/dL, eg,              the results of HPS and PROVE IT. For LDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL,
ⱖ160 mg/dL, standard doses of statins may not be sufficient           other lipid-lowering drugs (eg, fibrates, nicotinic acid) can be
to achieve the goal of ⬍100 mg/dL. When they do not, the              considered for patients with elevated triglycerides and/or low
dose of statin may have to be increased or a second agent (eg,        HDL-C; these drugs can be used, either as alternatives to statin
ezetimibe, bile acid sequestrant, or nicotinic acid) may be           therapy, as shown by the Veterans Affairs High-Density Li-
needed. Alternatively, a maximizing of dietary therapy (in-           poprotein Cholesterol Intervention Trial (VA-HIT) (40), or in
cluding the use of plant stanols/sterols) combined with a             combination with statins.
standard dose of statin may be sufficient to attain the ATP III
goal in some patients. A recent report indicates that maximal         On-Treatment LDL-C <100 mg/dL
dietary therapy can achieve LDL-C reductions of up to 25%             Again, ATP III did not recommend further LDL-lowering
to 30% (39). Combined with standard doses of statins, such            therapy for this group. A log-linear relationship between
dietary therapy should lower LDL-C levels by well above               LDL-C level and CHD risk implies that further reduction in
40%, which often will achieve the recommended target of               risk could be achieved by still more LDL lowering (Figure).
therapy.                                                              HPS results are consistent with this possibility, and so are
                                                                      those of PROVE IT, but these results cannot be considered
                                                                      definitive. Several clinical trials are currently underway (see
Baseline LDL-C Levels of 100 to 129 mg/dL
                                                                      Waters et al (30)) in which standard-dose and high-dose statin
By setting an LDL-C goal of ⬍100 mg/dL, ATP III favored
                                                                      therapy are being compared. Moreover, to achieve the LDL-C
institution of LDL-lowering therapy in this LDL-C range.
                                                                      goal of ⬍100 mg/dL, many patients may already have been
Still, for patients having low HDL levels as the predominant
                                                                      treated with either high doses of statins or combined drug
lipoprotein abnormality, fibrates or nicotinic acid were ac-
                                                                      therapy. In such patients, achieving a yet lower LDL goal (eg,
knowledged as alternatives to statin therapy. Recent clinical
                                                                      ⬍70 mg/dL) will not be a practical option. For those patients
trials with fibrate therapy are consistent with this option (40).
                                                                      who attain an LDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL on standard doses of
HPS results, on the other hand, reinforce the ATP III–preferred
                                                                      statins, physicians can consider intensifying LDL-C reduc-
option, ie, institution of LDL-lowering drug therapy. The HPS
                                                                      tion. Intensified therapy might be reserved for those patients
finding of a substantial benefit from use of a standard dose of
                                                                      deemed to be at very high risk. PROVE IT reported 2-year
statin further implies that for those with baseline LDL-C close to
                                                                      benefit from intensified LDL lowering in patients with acute
100 mg/dL, therapy should be intensive enough to achieve a
                                                                      coronary syndromes, and it will be important to confirm these
30% to 40% reduction in LDL-C levels, and not merely enough
                                                                      results through several other ongoing clinical trials (see
statin to attain an LDL-C level just below 100 mg/dL. A small
                                                                      Waters et al (30)) of similar design before making global
lowering of LDL-C just to achieve the goal will not yield much
                                                                      recommendations for high-risk patients with on-treatment
additional risk reduction. Standard doses of statins, in contrast,
                                                                      LDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL.
are sufficient to attain a substantial risk reduction. If nicotinic
acid or fibrates are considered an option for this LDL-C range,
                                                                      Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes
it may be preferable to use them in combination with an               These patients are at very high risk for suffering recurrent
LDL-lowering drug and not as a sole agent.                            coronary events in the near term. The Myocardial Ischemia
                                                                      Reduction with Aggressive Cholesterol Lowering (MIRACL)
Baseline LDL-C Levels <100 mg/dL                                      trial (41) previously suggested that intensive LDL-lowering
ATP III did not recommend institution of LDL-lowering                 therapy would reduce risk for recurrent cardiovascular events
therapy in high-risk patients when the serum LDL-C is ⬍100            in the first 18 months after acute coronary syndromes.
mg/dL. HPS, however, found that such patients had a signif-           PROVE IT greatly strengthens the evidence for benefit of
icant lowering of risk for CVD events when they were treated          intensive LDL lowering in the first 2 years after acute
with a standard dose of statin. On the basis of HPS, some             coronary syndromes. For this reason, intensive therapy
authorities recommend the use of statin therapy in virtually          should be considered for all patients admitted to the hospital
all high-risk patients whose LDL-C is ⬍100 mg/dL. Indeed,             for acute coronary syndromes. A strong case is made by
further risk reduction through LDL lowering in patients with          PROVE IT for achieving the optional LDL-C goal of ⬍70
high baseline risk is consistent with the log-linear relationship     mg/dL. Choice of drug and dosage should be guided in part
between LDL-C levels and CHD risk shown in the Figure.                by measurement of LDL-C within 24 hours of admission to
However, a global recommendation to lower LDL-C in                    the hospital. Modification of therapy can be made at
high-risk patients with LDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL cannot be based              follow-up if necessary to achieve the desired LDL-C level. If
on HPS alone in light of the limitations discussed before             the baseline in-hospital LDL-C is relatively low, even an
(page 229). Ongoing clinical trials may provide additional            LDL-C level of ⬍70 mg/dL may be achieved by a standard
support for recommending an LDL-C goal well below 100                 dose of statin. If the baseline LDL-C level is higher, a high
mg/dL. In the meantime, initiation of an LDL-lowering drug            dose of statin or the combination of a standard dose of statin
in high-risk patients when baseline serum LDL-C is ⬍100               with ezetimibe, bile acid sequestrant, or nicotinic acid may be
728      Grundy et al.                                                                                       JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004
         Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III                                                               August 4, 2004:720–32
required. In choice of therapy, consideration should be given       diabetes is considered to be at lower risk, an LDL-lowering
to safety of the regimen for the individual patient as well as      drug might not be started if the LDL-C level is ⬍130 mg/dL.
to efficacy of treatment.                                           Maximal TLC clearly is indicated, but clinical judgment must
                                                                    be exercised with regard to when to initiate an LDL-lowering
      Implications of HPS Results for Patients                      drug.
                   With Diabetes
ATP III identified diabetes as a high-risk condition. This          Implications of HPS, PROSPER, and ASCOT
designation was based on evidence that the majority of              for Cholesterol Management in Older Persons
patients with diabetes in higher-risk populations have a            ATP III counseled that, on the basis of considerations of age
relatively high 10-year risk for developing CVD. In addition,       alone, older persons should not be denied the benefits of
the onset of CVD in patients with diabetes carries a poor           LDL-lowering therapy accorded to other age groups. Al-
prognosis, both at the time of an acute CVD event and in the        though several epidemiological studies found that elevated
post-event period. Moreover, clinical trials (42,43) before         cholesterol levels confer a smaller relative risk in older
HPS provided moderately strong evidence that LDL-lowering           compared with younger persons, the absolute risk attributable
therapy is efficacious in patients with diabetes. HPS investi-      to increased cholesterol levels remains high. Moreover, sub-
gators recently carried out and reported a detailed analysis of     group analysis of several previous trials with statins strongly
their results in patients with diabetes (11). The results of this   suggested that LDL-lowering therapy significantly reduces
analysis can be considered in relation to ATP III                   risk for CHD in older persons. HPS and PROSPER results
recommendations.                                                    add support for benefit of LDL-lowering therapy in older
                                                                    persons. The implications for 2 groups of older persons can
Diabetes Plus CVD                                                   be examined briefly.
In HPS, patients who had both diabetes and CVD were at
very high risk for future CVD events. In terms of absolute          Older Persons With Established CVD
risk reduction, this category of patient obtained the greatest      HPS explicitly documented risk reduction with statin therapy
benefit from statin therapy. Therefore, patients with the           in older persons (65 to 80 years) at high risk. Absolute risk
combination of diabetes and CVD deserve intensive lipid-            reduction was just as great in this group as in other high-risk
lowering therapy. On the basis of HPS, the presence of this         groups. Older persons tolerated statin therapy well. Although
combination appears to support initiation of statin therapy         PROSPER had fewer older persons with established CVD,
regardless of baseline LDL-C levels. For patients with dia-         and they were treated for a shorter time than in HPS, a strong
betes plus CVD, it is reasonable to attempt to achieve a very       trend toward reduction in CHD was noted. The results of HPS
low LDL-C level (eg, ⬍70 mg/dL).                                    and PROSPER, taken together with the findings of other
                                                                    statin trials, provide a strong justification for intensive LDL-
Diabetes Without CVD                                                lowering therapy in older persons with established CVD.
ATP III indicated that most patients with diabetes are at high
risk even in the absence of established CHD. Most patients          Older Persons at High Risk Without
with hyperglycemia have type 2 diabetes, are older, and have        Established CVD
multiple risk factors. Epidemiological studies and clinical         Absolute risk rises with age because of progressive accumu-
trials demonstrate that in higher-risk populations these pa-        lation of coronary atherosclerosis (1,2). Women are at lower
tients have a risk for CVD events approximately equal to that       risk, but if they have multiple risk factors, they too are at
of nondiabetic patients with established CVD. HPS data              relatively high risk. Older patients with diabetes certainly
found both a high risk in this group and benefit from               must be considered to be at high risk. Unfortunately, risk
LDL-lowering therapy, supporting the LDL-C goal of ⬍100             assessment in older persons is not highly reliable. Other tests
mg/dL. On the other hand, in those diabetic patients without        in older persons without clinical CVD hold promise for
CVD who had an LDL-C at baseline of ⬍116 mg/dL, risk                improving risk estimates, but so far, additional testing has not
reduction accompanying statin therapy was only marginally           been integrated into quantitative risk assessment. Therefore,
significant for first coronary event. Thus, whether to start an     beyond use of Framingham risk scoring in older persons,
LDL-lowering drug when LDL-C is ⬍100 mg/dL in this                  clinical judgment is required as to when to initiate intensive
category of patient must be left to clinical judgment.              LDL-lowering therapy in older persons without CVD. Effi-
   As noted in ATP III, not all patients with clinical diabetes     cacy alone is not the key issue in this group. A host of factors
have a 10-year risk ⬎20%. Many of those who do not                  must be weighed, including efficacy, safety, tolerability, and
nonetheless deserve to be classified as high risk because of        patient preference, in this age group. The results of both
poor prognosis once CHD becomes manifest, as mentioned              PROSPER and ASCOT support the efficacy of statin therapy
before. On the other hand, a portion of patients with diabetes      in older, high-risk persons without established CVD.
can be considered to be at only moderately high risk because
of young age or lack of other risk factors. Such patients were            Implications of the ASCOT-LLA and
not studied in HPS. For the category of moderately high risk              ALLHAT-LLT Trials for Patients at
(10-year risk 10% to 20%), ATP III guidelines favored                            Moderately High Risk
institution of LDL-lowering drugs along with dietary therapy        ATP III identified a specific risk category that includes
when LDL-C levels are ⱖ130 mg/dL. Thus, if a patient with           people with 2⫹ risk factors and a 10-year risk of 10% to 20%
JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004                                                                                                               Grundy et al.                 729
August 4, 2004:720–32                                                                                        Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III
TABLE 2. ATP III LDL-C Goals and Cutpoints for TLC and Drug Therapy in Different Risk Categories and Proposed Modifications
Based on Recent Clinical Trial Evidence
Risk Category                                                   LDL-C Goal                        Initiate TLC                        Consider Drug Therapy**
High risk: CHD* or CHD risk equivalents†               ⬍100 mg/dL                               ⱖ100 mg/dL#               ⱖ100 mg/dL††
(10-year risk ⬎20%)                                    (optional goal: ⬍70 mg/dL)储                                        (⬍100 mg/dL: consider drug options)**
Moderately high risk: 2⫹ risk factors‡                 ⬍130 mg/dL¶                              ⱖ130 mg/dL#               ⱖ130 mg/dL
(10-year risk 10% to 20%)§§                                                                                               (100–129 mg/dL; consider drug options)‡‡
Moderate risk: 2⫹ risk factors‡ (10-year               ⬍130 mg/dL                               ⱖ130 mg/dL                ⱖ160 mg/dL
risk ⬍10%)§§
Lower risk: 0–1 risk factor§                           ⬍160 mg/dL                               ⱖ160 mg/dL                ⱖ190 mg/dL
                                                                                                                          (160–189 mg/dL: LDL-lowering drug optional)
   *CHD includes history of myocardial infarction, unstable angina, stable angina, coronary artery procedures (angioplasty or bypass surgery), or evidence of clinically
significant myocardial ischemia.
   †CHD risk equivalents include clinical manifestations of noncoronary forms of atherosclerotic disease (peripheral arterial disease, abdominal aortic aneurysm, and
carotid artery disease 关transient ischemic attacks or stroke of carotid origin or ⬎50% obstruction of a carotid artery兴), diabetes, and 2⫹ risk factors with 10-year
risk for hard CHD ⬎20%.
   ‡Risk factors include cigarette smoking, hypertension (BP ⱖ140/90 mm Hg or on antihypertensive medication), low HDL cholesterol (⬍40 mg/dL), family history
of premature CHD (CHD in male first-degree relative ⬍55 years of age; CHD in female first-degree relative ⬍65 years of age), and age (men ⱖ45 years; women
ⱖ55 years).
   §§Electronic 10-year risk calculators are available at www.nhlbi.nih.gov/guidelines/cholesterol.
   §Almost all people with zero or 1 risk factor have a 10-year risk ⬍10%, and 10-year risk assessment in people with zero or 1 risk factor is thus not necessary.
   储Very high risk favors the optional LDL-C goal of ⬍70 mg/dL, and in patients with high triglycerides, non-HDL-C ⬍100 mg/dL.
   ¶Optional LDL-C goal ⬍100 mg/dL.
   #Any person at high risk or moderately high risk who has lifestyle-related risk factors (eg, obesity, physical inactivity, elevated triglyceride, low HDL-C, or metabolic
syndrome) is a candidate for therapeutic lifestyle changes to modify these risk factors regardless of LDL-C level.
   **When LDL-lowering drug therapy is employed, it is advised that intensity of therapy be sufficient to achieve at least a 30% to 40% reduction in LDL-C levels.
   ††If baseline LDL-C is ⬍100 mg/dL, institution of an LDL-lowering drug is a therapeutic option on the basis of available clinical trial results. If a high-risk person
has high triglycerides or low HDL-C, combining a fibrate or nicotinic acid with an LDL-lowering drug can be considered.
   ‡‡For moderately high-risk persons, when LDL-C level is 100 to 129 mg/dL, at baseline or on lifestyle therapy, initiation of an LDL-lowering drug to achieve an
LDL-C level ⬍100 mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis of available clinical trial results.
(moderately high risk). Individuals in this category were                                    ALLHAT-LLT recruited a heterogeneous group of sub-
considered to be candidates for LDL-lowering drugs if their                               jects that on average appear to fall into the moderately
serum LDL-C after TLC is ⱖ130 mg/dL. The LDL-C goal for                                   high-risk category. The results in ALLHAT were disappoint-
these persons was set at a level of ⬍130 mg/dL. If LDL-                                   ing because of the small difference in cholesterol levels
lowering drugs are employed to achieve the LDL-C goal                                     between usual-care and statin-therapy groups. It should be
recommended by ATP III, presumably the dose of drug                                       noted, however, that a significant reduction in risk for major
should be sufficient to reduce LDL-C levels by 30% to 40%.                                cardiovascular events was obtained in the African-American
   ATP III did not recommend LDL-lowering therapy in                                      subgroup treated with pravastatin; this finding supports the
moderately high-risk patients in whom serum LDL-C is                                      ATP III recommendation that goals of LDL-lowering therapy
⬍130 mg/dL. However, a significant portion of the subjects                                should not be modified on the basis of ethnicity.
in the ASCOT study, who had LDL-C ⬍130 mg/dL and were                                        For people in lower risk categories (2⫹ risk factors and
at moderately high risk by ATP III criteria, had a significant                            10-year risk ⬍10%, or 0 to 1 risk factor), the results of recent
lowering of risk for CVD when they were treated with a                                    clinical trials do not modify the goals and cutpoints of
standard dose of a statin. Thus, ASCOT supports use of an                                 therapy.
LDL-lowering drug in persons with a 10-year risk of 10% to
20% and LDL-C level of 100 to 129 mg/dL, at baseline or on
lifestyle changes, to achieve an LDL-C level ⬍100 mg/dL, as                                 Summary of Implications of Recent Clinical
a therapeutic option on the basis of clinical judgment of the                                Trials for ATP III Treatment Algorithm
patient’s absolute risk and potential benefit of an LDL-                                  From the evidence of previous statin trials, the ATP III panel
lowering drug. Initiation of TLC also is recommended.                                     was able to expand both the scope and intensity of LDL-
Factors that might favor use of an LDL-lowering drug in this                              lowering therapy for higher-risk individuals beyond that
category include advancing age, more than 2 risk factors,                                 recommended in ATP II. The number of Americans for
severe risk factors (eg, continued cigarette smoking, a                                   whom LDL-lowering drugs are considered was significantly
strongly positive family history of premature atherosclerotic                             increased by ATP III. Recent statin trials have provided new
CVD), high triglycerides (ⱖ 200 mg/dL) plus elevated                                      information on benefits of LDL-lowering therapy applied to
non-HDL-C (ⱖ160 mg/dL), low HDL-C (⬍40 mg/dL), the                                        persons in categories in which ATP III could not make
metabolic syndrome, and/or the presence of emerging risk                                  definitive recommendations about drug therapy. In general,
factors (eg, serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ⬎3                                 these new trials have strongly reinforced ATP III recommen-
mg/L (2,44) or coronary calcium ⬎75th percentile for a                                    dations. In particular, they support ATP III recommendations
person’s age and sex (2)).                                                                for the benefit of LDL-lowering therapy for patients with
730         Grundy et al.                                                                                                                 JACC Vol. 44, No. 3, 2004
            Recent Clinical Trials and NCEP ATP III                                                                                         August 4, 2004:720–32
TABLE 3.     Recommendations for Modifications to Footnote the ATP III Treatment Algorithm for LDL-C
● Therapeutic lifestyle changes (TLC) remain an essential modality in clinical management. TLC has the potential to reduce cardiovascular risk through several
  mechanisms beyond LDL lowering.
● In high-risk persons, the recommended LDL-C goal is ⬍100 mg/dL.
  ⫺ An LDL-C goal of ⬍70 mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis of available clinical trial evidence, especially for patients at very high risk.
  ⫺ If LDL-C is ⱖ100 mg/dL, an LDL-lowering drug is indicated simultaneously with lifestyle changes.
  ⫺ If baseline LDL-C is ⬍100 mg/dL, institution of an LDL-lowering drug to achieve an LDL-C level ⬍70 mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis of
    available clinical trial evidence.
  ⫺If a high-risk person has high triglycerides or low HDL-C, consideration can be given to combining a fibrate or nicotinic acid with an LDL-lowering drug.
   When triglycerides are ⱖ200 mg/dL, non-HDL-C is a secondary target of therapy, with a goal 30 mg/dL higher than the identified LDL-C goal.
● For moderately high-risk persons (2⫹ risk factors and 10-year risk 10% to 20%), the recommended LDL-C goal is ⬍130 mg/dL; an LDL-C goal ⬍100
  mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis of available clinical trial evidence. When LDL-C level is 100 to 129 mg/dL, at baseline or on lifestyle therapy,
  initiation of an LDL-lowering drug to achieve an LDL-C level ⬍100 mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis of available clinical trial evidence.
● Any person at high risk or moderately high risk who has lifestyle-related risk factors (eg, obesity, physical inactivity, elevated triglyceride, low HDL-C, or
  metabolic syndrome) is a candidate for TLC to modify these risk factors regardless of LDL-C level.
● When LDL-lowering drug therapy is employed in high-risk or moderately high-risk persons, it is advised that intensity of therapy be sufficient to achieve at
  least a 30% to 40% reduction in LDL-C levels.
● For people in lower-risk categories, recent clinical trials do not modify the goals and cutpoints of therapy.
diabetes and in older persons. Moreover, they provide new                              risk patients who have elevated triglycerides or low HDL-C
information on the efficacy of risk reduction in high-risk                             levels, addition of a fibrate or nicotinic acid to LDL-lowering
persons with relatively low LDL-C levels. Although the full                            therapy can be considered.
benefit of LDL-C reduction in higher-risk patients with low                               For patients at moderately high risk (10-year risk 10% to
or very low LDL-C levels is still under investigation, the                             20%), the LDL-C goal remains ⬍130 mg/dL. However, a
recent results open the door to use of cholesterol-lowering                            goal of ⬍100 mg/dL represents a therapeutic option on the
drugs in such patients with very high absolute risk who are                            basis of evidence of efficacy in risk reduction from primary-
most likely to benefit from added therapy.                                             prevention trials. TLC should be initiated in all such persons
   Table 2 shows the ATP III goals and cutpoints and                                   whose LDL-C level is ⱖ130 mg/dL. Again, any person at
proposed modifications in the treatment algorithm for LDL                              moderately high risk who has lifestyle-related risk factors (eg,
cholesterol based on evidence from recent clinical trials.                             obesity, physical inactivity, elevated triglycerides, low
Essential modifications are highlighted in footnotes to Table                          HDL-C, or metabolic syndrome) is a candidate for TLC to
2 and are summarized in Table 3. Several modifications offer                           modify these risk factors regardless of LDL-C level. If the
therapeutic options with regard to LDL-C goals lower than                              LDL-C concentration is ⱖ130 mg/dL after TLC, consider-
those in ATP III and choice of therapies. Recent clinical trials                       ation should be given to initiating an LDL-lowering drug, to
provide greater rationale for more intensive LDL-lowering                              achieve and sustain the LDL-C goal of ⬍130 mg/dL. For
therapy, but they do not resolve all issues surrounding very                           LDL-C levels of 100 to 129 mg/dL at baseline or on lifestyle
low LDL levels. At these levels, physicians must ultimately                            therapy, initiation of an LDL-lowering drug to achieve an
rely on clinical judgment to weigh patient risk and the                                LDL-C level ⬍100 mg/dL is a therapeutic option on the basis
efficacy, safety, and cost of different therapies. These issues                        of clinical trial evidence of additional efficacy.
can be discussed in the following context.                                                When initiating LDL-lowering therapy in a person at high
   For high-risk patients, the recommended LDL-C treatment                             risk or moderately high risk, the efficacy of therapeutic
goal remains at ⬍100 mg/dL. However, a target of ⬍70                                   lifestyle change both to lower LDL-C levels and to reduce
mg/dL represents a therapeutic option, ie, a reasonable                                risk through other mechanisms must not be overlooked.
clinical strategy, for persons considered to be at very high                           Lifestyle change must be an integral part of risk reduction
risk, on the basis of emerging clinical trial data. TLC is                             therapy. When an LDL-lowering drug is employed in a
recommended in high-risk patients whenever the LDL-C                                   person at high risk or moderately high risk, a reduction in
level is ⱖ100 mg/dL. Furthermore, any person at high risk                              LDL-C levels of at least 30% to 40% beyond dietary therapy
who has lifestyle-related risk factors (eg, obesity, physical                          should be achieved if feasible. For people in lower risk
inactivity, elevated triglycerides, low HDL-C, or metabolic                            categories, there are no proposed changes to the treatment
syndrome) is a candidate for TLC to modify these risk factors                          goals and cutpoints (45).
regardless of LDL-C level. As before, whenever the baseline
LDL-C concentration is ⱖ130 mg/dL, simultaneous initiation                                                           References
of an LDL-lowering drug and dietary therapy is recom-                                   1. Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood
mended. If LDL-C is 100 to 129 mg/dL, the same now holds.                                  Cholesterol in Adults. Executive Summary of the Third Report of the
If baseline LDL-C is ⬍100 mg/dL and the patient is consid-                                 National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Expert Panel on
                                                                                           Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in
ered to be at very high risk, initiation of an LDL-lowering
                                                                                           Adults (Adult Treatment Panel III). JAMA 2001;285:2486 –97.
drug to achieve an LDL-C level of ⬍70 mg/dL is a thera-                                 2. National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Expert Panel on
peutic option that has clinical trial support. For those high-                             Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in
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