Alternative Investment 2020
Alternative Investment 2020
October 2015
World Economic Forum
2015 – All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,
including photocopying and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system.
Executive summary The alternative investment industry, which now manages trillions of dollars, plays an
Introduction and scope increasingly critical role in society. It supports global capital markets, steers money
towards attractive long-term and high-risk investments, promotes innovation, and
4 1. Overview of regulatory changes
improves how companies are governed and run.
7 1.1. Overview of bank and market regulations
8 1.1.1. Bank capital and leverage
requirements Institutional and retail capital providers have increased their allocations to alternatives
8 1.1.2. Bank liquidity and collateral in the post-crisis years, whilst the industry has deepened its engagement with the
requirements wider financial sector in areas such as:
9 1.1.3. Over the counter derivatives
9 1.1.4. Money market funds — the provision of debt capital (e.g. leverage for private equity buyout deals)
9 1.1.5. Financial trading tax
9 1.1.6. Transparency — the supply of market counterparties (e.g. for hedge funds executing
9 1.1.7. Incentive within banks trading strategies)
10 1.2. Overview of investment regulations — essential services such as prime brokerage, record-keeping and M&A skills
11 1.2.1. Transparency and reporting
(e.g. for venture capitalists looking to exit a deal)
11 1.2.2. Institutional governance
11 1.2.3. Risk reduction
11 1.2.4. Consumer protection The complex set of relationships and dependencies within the financial sector
mean that alternatives are impacted by regulations targeting both traditional
13 2. Impact of regulations financial institutions and alternative investment managers. Intended and unintended
14 2.1. Impact on the financial economy consequences for the industry, its beneficiaries, and society are the result.
14 2.1.1. Market liquidity
15 2.1.2. Innovation
For example, increased capital and liquidity requirements for banks and insurance
16 2.2. Impact on the investment system companies have made it more expensive for them to hold risky assets on their
16 2.2.1. Innovation
16 2.2.2. Operational cost
books. As a result, alternative investors focused on infrastructure assets are finding
17 2.2.3. Barriers to entry that banks have a lower appetite for lending to such projects. Similar reasons have
18 2.2.4. Access to capital led banks to reduce their lending to small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs),
19 2.2.5 Returns a critical source of jobs. The result has been a growing number of alternative
20 3. Implications and recommendations
investment firms that raise private debt funds to supply SMEs with capital.
21 3.1. Implications for alternative investment
firms (GPs) New bank capital and collateralization rules mean that it is more complex and
22 3.2. Implications for investors in expensive for banks to provide hedge funds with short-term financing. Together
alternatives (LPs) with reforms intended to shift over-the-counter (OTC) derivative trading onto
22 3.3. Implications for the public exchanges and impose additional reporting requirements in pursuit of greater
23 3.4. Recommendations for policymakers market transparency, this has made certain hedge fund strategies much less
and regulators tenable. Proposed market reforms such as the financial transaction tax (FTT) in
24 Conclusion Europe and a number of other reforms that impact market liquidity have the
25 Appendix potential to adversely affect alternative investment strategies.
36 Acknowledgements
37 Endnotes Regulators have also seized the moment to reshape and strengthen the laws that
directly govern the investment industry, including alternatives, in two important ways.
First, regulators have sought to improve the internal infrastructure and governance
of investment managers, with increased institutional transparency being one of the
primary objectives. New laws in the US and Europe require firms to report critical
financial information, upgrade their operational and governance structures, use
independent custodians for managing their assets, and maintain separate risk and
valuation functions.
— Market liquidity: Overall market liquidity will fall as a result of — The broader economy and the public: The increased
the regulations, which will negatively affect many alternative transparency of the industry will improve the understanding
investment firms. However, in relative terms, they may be able of alternatives and support a reduction in fees, whilst a
to supply market liquidity, particularly during volatile periods. reallocation of talent away from the financial sector might
benefit the broader economy. However, increased
— Costs: New regulations are imposing significant new
transaction costs may offset some of the reduction in fees
operational, administrative, and transaction costs on
for LPs. In addition, SMEs and infrastructure may struggle
alternative investment firms. Many of these will ultimately
to raise capital if new alternative investment funds are unable
be passed on to institutional investors in the form of lower
to fill the gap left by banks.
effective returns.
Term Description
LPs (Limited partners) Asset owners that provide capital to alternative investment firms or divisions to invest
on asset owners’ behalf
GPs (General partners) Firms that deploy capital in companies or securities on behalf of LPs/capital providers
(such as private equity buyout or venture capital firms, or hedge funds)
Institutional investors A subset of LPs comprised of institutions that invest capital with GPs
(such as pension funds, endowments and foundations, and financial institutions)
Retail investors A subset of LPs comprised of individuals that invest capital with GPs
(such as high net worth or non-wealthy individuals or family offices)
Investors An inclusive term that includes both GPs (who invest in securities and companies)
and LPs (who may invest with GPs or directly in securities or companies)
Overview of
regulatory changes
Figure 1: Overview of financial reforms in the United States and Europe by area
Collateral requirements
Compensation limits
Brokerage fee limits
Proprietary trading /
private equity limits
Legislative region
Central clearing
Leverage limits
requirements
Trading tax
Regulatory reform
Asset managers
Venture capital
Pension funds
Private equity
Hedge funds
Banks
Regulatory reform
Source: World Economic Forum Investors Industries Primary target Also affected
The EMIR was established to govern the over the counter (OTC) derivatives market in the EU.
It introduced a series of new rules and reporting requirements for how bilaterally and centrally
cleared derivatives should operate.
The FTT, which would apply to 11 nations within the EU, is still being negotiated.
The proposed legislation would institute a tax on financial transactions, such as the
sale of stocks, bonds, or derivatives.
The Liikanen proposals focus on establishing regulations that determine the scope of activities
that the 29 largest banks in the EU can engage in. Similar to the Volcker Rule, if adopted, the
Liikanen proposals would restrict these banks from engaging in proprietary trading and prevent
them from owning internal investment arms.
EU: Third Basel Accord / Capital Requirements Directive IV (Basel III/CRD IV)
Basel III and the related implementing legislation, known as CRD IV in the EU, introduce a wide
range of updated standards for the global banking system. Areas of focus include new capital,
liquidity, leverage, collateral, and reporting requirements and new compensation guidelines.
IFRS are the global accounting standards that determine how most companies and financial
transactions are reported. A number of standards, including those relating to collateral, were
updated following the financial crisis.
US: Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank)
The Volcker Rule, part of the Dodd-Frank Act, restricts the ability of banks to use client capital to
generate profits for the bank through investment or trading related activities. It also limits their
ability to own internal investment arms, which historically included private equity buyout, venture
capital, or hedge fund arms.
1.1.1. Bank capital and leverage requirements Figure 3: Minimum risk weighted Tier 1 capital ratios2
Following the financial crisis, regulators have sought to increase Basel III + US capital ratios, % of assets
the amount of capital held by financial institutions, which reduces 15%
the risk of an institution failing during a future financial crisis. The
US (Dodd-Frank) and Europe (Basel III/CRD IV) accomplished 12% Basel III = 1-3.5%
US = 1-4.5%
this by increasing Tier 1 capital requirements. The concern that
large and interconnected institutions may be “too big to fail” also 9% 0-2.5%
led regulators to identify systemically important institutions and
impose additional capital requirements (Figure 3), with different 6% 2.5
G-SIB/SIFI buffer 1
levels determined by Basel III and the US Federal Reserve for Countercyclical buffer
each institution based on a range of risk factors. Regulators are 3%
4.5
Capital conservation buffer
(common equity)
also requiring banks in the US and Europe to adhere to leverage
0% Minimum Tier 1 capital
ratios (Figure 4). Unlike Tier 1 capital requirements, which use
risk-weighted assets as part of the formula for computing bank
Source: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, US Federal Reserve Board
capital, leverage ratios are driven by simple asset volume and are
thus unaffected by banks’ internal risk models.
1.1.2. Bank liquidity and collateral requirements towards the liquidity requirements (Figure 5). The new rules are
stricter than before and reduce the credit given to structured
Banks are being incentivized to hold lower-risk assets that are
products, which played an important role in the recent crisis.
more likely to hold their value during a crisis, thus preventing
Similarly, the risk weightings applied to collateral have been
liquidity or solvency issues for the institution. In the US and
tightened, with regulators incentivizing banks to hold instruments
Europe banks are now required to maintain a 30-day supply of
that are considered to be both liquid and low risk (Figure 6).
cash and liquid securities. They must also adhere to updated
IFRS guidelines that define whether assets can be counted
US (subsidiaries of parents) 6%
United States 5%
United Kingdom 4%
European Union 3%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7%
Figure 5: Overview of how different kinds of assets count towards liquidity requirements
30-day supply of cash/liquid assets
Asset covered Cash and sovereign debt GSE securities1 Other assets
Figure 6: Risk-adjusted weighting as a percentage revising rules for money market funds, with similar liquidity,
of different types of assets accounting, and transparency requirements – though there
Risk-adjusted weighting, % of asset value will likely be three different categories of money market funds,
with slightly different rules for each type.4
100%
80%
1.1.5. Financial trading tax
60%
Following the crisis, the EU’s European Commission (EC)
40% proposed a financial transaction tax, with three objectives. It
would harmonize indirect tax legislation, ensure that the financial
20% industry made a “fair and substantial contribution,” and “create
100
100
100
100
20
55
0%
high-frequency trading firms.5 It would also generate an estimated
Traditional commercial loans
Residential mortgages
Structured products
(e.g., infrastructure)
Project finance
Cash
sponsored entities
Government
Alternative investments
€30 billion 6 in taxes. The original scope of the proposal has been
narrowed due to legal concerns that it could not be applied to
transactions outside of the EU. In addition, the number of nations
within the EU that would be party to the proposed framework
has fallen to 11, with countries such as the UK, Sweden, the
Netherlands, and Denmark expressing their concerns that it
would prove detrimental to financial markets. The passage of
the 11 nation proposal may remain pending, but Germany has
Source: World Economic Forum Investors Industries
elected to move forward with related legislation that requires
high-frequency trading firms to register with and receive approval
1.1.3. Over the counter derivatives from the national regulator, BaFin in order to operate.7
AIFMD introduces new reporting requirements for alternative investment firms that manage,
invest, or market funds in Europe must adhere to if they wish to operate in the EU.
MiFID II is the newly revised regulatory framework that governs how financial intermediaries and
service providers manage, trade, and reports their handling of financial instruments on behalf of
clients in the EU.
PRIPs sets the documentation standards for packaged investment products that asset or wealth
managers, banks, insurance companies, or other financial institutions must provide to retail
investors within the EU.
Solvency II is the updated version of the regulations that govern the insurance industry in the EU.
A primary focus of the legislation concerns the capital requirements that companies must adhere to.
UCITS V is the latest update to the reporting and operating regulations that govern
how traditional investment funds are permitted to operate across the EU.
The RDR is a new law that establishes the guidelines for how investment advisors in the UK
can engage with retail investors and how they are allowed to be compensated for their services.
FATCA requires individuals and financial institutions across the world to report the assets held
by US persons (resident and non-resident) on an annual basis, with the objective of minimizing
offshore tax evasion.
The JOBS Act sets new and reduced regulatory requirements for companies in the
US seeking to raise capital, go public, or remain private.
1.2.1. Transparency and reporting generate short-term returns at the expense of long-term risks.
However, unlike the limits governing European banks or their asset
Regulators in the US and Europe are seeking to improve the
management arms, senior managers at stand-alone investment
transparency of the investment industry. Their intention is to
firms will not be subject to any hard caps on compensation.
protect consumers and prevent systemic risks from building
up in an opaque fashion. Historically, alternative investors have
not been subject to the same level of reporting requirements as
1.2.3. Risk reduction for institutional investors
traditional investment firms, but that changed with passage
of Dodd-Frank and FATCA in the US and AIFMD and EMIR in The near-collapse of AIG in 2008 during the global financial
Europe. The laws are broad in scope and affect most alternative crisis gave EU regulators the impetus to update laws governing
investors across the world. insurance companies into a single European-wide set of
regulations under Solvency II that aims to boost resilience of
Dodd-Frank requires all alternative investment firms operating in insurance companies. The law updates the absolute levels of
the US register with the SEC, providing detailed information on capital required and the risk weightings associated with each
how the firm is organized and operates and who invests with the type of asset, reducing the risk profile of insurers by incentivizing
firm.a However, unlike for listed companies, the SEC does not them to hold investments perceived to be liquid and low risk.
make information provided by alternative investors available to Sovereign debt will require far less capital than alternative
the public. FATCA is even broader in scope, requiring all GPs in investments such as private equity or hedge funds (Figure 7).
the world that manage money on behalf of US persons to track Similar requirements were proposed for pension funds, in the
and report the value of their investments to the US government. form of the Institutions for Occupational Retirement Provision
Outside the US, 42 other governments, including the EU and II (IORP II) directive, but they were ultimately not enacted in
the United Kingdom, are seeking to enact laws that mirror the response to concerns that such risk restrictions would prevent
standards listed in FATCA.8 pension funds from garnering the returns necessary to meet
their liabilities.
AIFMD requires that any fund seeking to invest or raise funds
from individuals or institutions based in Europe must be Figure 7: Amount of Solvency capital required (SCR)9
domiciled in the EU or in a country that has been approved Standalone capital requirements, %
by EU regulators to participate in the passport process. Funds 60%
must track and provide the EU with a wide range of critical
organizational and operational information. EMIR is much 50%
10%
1.2.2. Institutional governance
49
49
49
39
0
0%
Private equity
OECD equity
Hedge funds
Sovereign debt
market equity
Emerging
Impact of
regulations
2.1. Impact on the financial system The fall in liquidity is due to several reasons. First, the Volcker Rule
forced banks in the US (and potentially Europe, if the Liikanen
proposals are adopted) to disband their proprietary trading units.
2.1.1. Market liquidity Second, Basel III and Dodd-Frank made it notably less profitable to
Many alternative investors rely on liquid markets to operate. For hold many types of assets on their books. Third, banks reduced
example, hedge funds are an important user and provider of the risk of not having enough Tier 1 capital during future crises by
liquidity for a wide range of assets, whilst many different types of reclassifying assets as “held to maturity”, instead of as “available
private equity and venture capital firms rely on capital markets to for sale” (Figure 10). The former cannot be easily traded, whilst the
fund their acquisitions or provide exit opportunities when they sell. latter need to be marked to market and thus increase the risk of
Yet recent regulations had the effect of reducing market liquidity creating capital shortfalls during turbulent periods.
in several areas.
Recognizing the underlying market need and the opportunity that
it presents, hedge funds have responded by establishing liquidity
2.1.1.1. Impact of capital requirements on provision platforms. Citadel, a large hedge fund, has built a platform
of liquidity by banks capable of serving as a market maker for many securities. It now
New regulations have resulted in banks significantly reducing the accounts for 14% of US daily stock volume, 20% of US listed
amount of liquidity that they provide to the market. For example, stock options volume, and it is a top five firm in US Treasury
the primary dealer inventory of US corporate bonds held by banks futures and US interest rate swaps.12 Hedge funds have also
has fallen by more than 80% since 2008 (Figure 9), whilst their provided liquidity during periods of stress. US regulators,
share of the US Treasury market has fallen more than 50%.11 investigating wild swings in the US Treasury market in October
Figure 9: Inventory has declined significantly, whilst outstanding debt continues to rise 13
Outstanding and inventory of US corporate bonds1, $ billions
9,000 300
7,500 250
6,000 200
4,500 150
3,000 100
1,500 50
_ _
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2015, discovered that hedge funds accounted for more than 70% While the new regulations obviously impact on liquidity and
of all trading activity during a crucial period of stress in the market, collateral availability for short-term lending markets, they also
a time when many other providers reduced their participation.14 have served to increase market stability and confidence. This
might ultimately mitigate their adverse impact for the across-cycle
benefit of market participants. In the eyes of prominent regulators,
2.1.1.2. Impact of capital and collateral requirements
it is a short-term price worth paying for the long-term good.
on short-term lending markets
The impact of regulations such as Basel III, EMIR, Solvency II, 2.1.1.3. Impact of trading tax on liquidity provided
and Dodd-Frank on liquidity in derivatives markets is less clear. by alternative investors
The new regulations resulted in far more derivatives being traded
The proposed European FTT also has the potential to significantly
on central exchanges, which have rigorous capital and collateral
reduce the liquidity that hedge funds provide to many markets,
requirements. The availability of the high quality collateral required
in addition to affecting interbank markets. The impact on equity
for such platforms has been affected by the quantitative easing
markets in Europe could be substantial, as hedge funds utilizing
policies of central banks, with the European Central Bank alone
high frequency trading techniques account for up to 50% of
scheduled to acquire €60 billion of high quality collateral each
all trades on European stock exchanges.23 Moreover, the
month until September 2016.15 It is estimated that the industry
International Capital Markets Association found that it could
has a collateral shortfall against upcoming regulatory requirements
result in a 66% decline in the repo market 24 and the European
of some $4-5 trillion globally and that number would double to
Commission estimated that derivatives trading would fall by
$9 trillion with ratings cuts.16
75%.25 The former was of particular concern, as a member
In 2014, researchers at the London School of Economics found of the governing council of the European Central Bank, Christian
that tighter collateral requirements could make it difficult for Noyer noted that: “The most important concern for the central
investors to maintain their current levels of trading.17 Earlier this banks [is] the risk of the total drying up of repo markets.
year, Dennis McLaughlin, the chief risk officer for LCH.Clearnet, That means the transmission of our monetary policy would
the largest interbank swaps clearer in the world, warned that be seriously impaired and the risk in terms of financial stability
LCH.Clearnet “could reach a point at which it has to stop would not be negligible.”26
accepting new trades for clearing, as they will be unable to
conduct some $150bn of client funds through the market
2.1.2. Innovation
each day.”18
The creation of long-term value in any industry ultimately stems
The ability of hedge funds to provide liquidity is also undermined from its ability to attract and retain the best and brightest and for
by new capital and leverage requirements imposed on banks. new ideas to be tested in the marketplace, either within an existing
The laws increased the cost to banks of providing repo firm or by the creation of a new one. The new regulations seek
agreements, which has led to banks such as Goldman Sachs, to create a more robust and stable financial system that explicitly
Barclays, Bank of America, and Citi reducing their repo activity should be more “boring” than in the past. In doing so, they may
(Figure 11).19 Such funding is critical for hedge funds, as repo impair the ability of the traditional financial sector to attract the
agreements account for 47% of the capital that hedge funds talent required for innovation. This is relevant, as historically
borrow.20 Barclays estimates that the changes increase the cost alternative investors have made extensive use of innovations
of funding for hedge funds in general by 10-20 bps, but highly tested by investment banks such as commodity-driven
leveraged strategies, such as fixed income arbitrage, can expect derivatives, interest rate swaps, and credit default swaps,
costs to increase by 40-80 bps.21 Obviously, this would reduce high yield bonds and leveraged loans, and the repo market.
the profitability of trades, in turn reducing their volume.
Compensation is a critical component for attracting and retaining
Figure 11: Repo volumes have fallen in recent years22 human capital, which is why industry participants question the
Tri-party repo collateral value, $ billions 2000 wisdom of placing hard limits on how banks can compensate
their employees, which is what Basel III does. The limits only
1900 apply to banks in the EU, but not to stand-alone EU asset
managers or financial institutions in the US or elsewhere. Even
1800 within the EU, there is discord, as asset managers at EU based
banks are subject to a different set of compensation limits than
1700 their peers at stand-alone asset managers, which are governed
by new limits proposed in UCITS V. The lack of consistency
1600 leaves EU banks and their asset management divisions at a
disadvantage when competing for talent, the most important
1500 source of innovation.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
The impact of new regulations can already be seen in the 2.2.2. Operational cost
marketplace. The reduction in risk appetite and profitability has
led the five largest US investment banks to reduce staff by The cost of operating an alternative investment firm has increased
40,000 since the financial crisis, a decline of nearly 30%.27 as a result of regulatory changes and demands by LPs. Increased
Asset managers and recruiters have noted a significant shift in demand by institutions and regulators for greater transparency into
talent from investment banks towards stand-alone traditional the risk and performance of GP’s funds routinely tops GP surveys.
asset managers, which have had few new restrictions added to Fund managers believe this to be the most important driver of
them since the financial crisis.28 Moreover, the share of talent industry change and fund raising.36, 37, 38 Moreover, 44% of GPs
entering investment banks from top MBA programs such as responded in a recent survey that they report more information to
Harvard, Wharton, LBS, Booth, and INSEAD have fallen by their LPs now than before the crisis and 32% do so more often
more than 50% from 2007 to 2013 29 and many banks have than before, with both totals expected to increase over the next
felt obliged to improve the work/life balance of junior banking five years, particularly given that 48% of institutional investors are
staff in order to attract new hires.30, 31 still dissatisfied with the level of reporting by their GPs.39, 40
Figure 13: The relative cost of meeting regulatory thority] or the SEC, if you meet all the requirements of AIFMD [the
requirements is much higher for smaller funds 49 EU directive on fund managers], then you’re much more likely to
get that cheque.”54
Estimated cost of compliance for North American hedge funds,
% of AUM
The combination of increased demands by regulators and
0.50% institutional investors is already driving industry consolidation,
with the top 5% (389 firms) of firms managing 87% of all global
0.40%
hedge fund assets under management.55 This may not matter
0.30% so long as new and innovative firms retain the ability to enter
and challenge the incumbents. However, the increased cost of
0.20% compliance may be fundamentally undermining that proposition.
Ed Lopez, executive vice-president of SunGard’s asset
0.10%
management business, sums up the trend: “While the ‘too big to
0.30
0.40
0.10
0.00% fail’ firms continue to raise assets, boutiques run the risk of being
>$5B AUM
<$1B AUM
$1-58B AUM
Smaller funds might find that they are penalized by banks who Figure 14: The absolute and relative share of capital raised
no longer find them economical to serve, given new capital by first-time private equity funds has fallen 57, 58, 59
requirements. Robin Grant, chief operating officer at RS Platou Funds raised by start-up private equity buyout firms, $ billions and %
Asset Management, notes that “smaller hedge fund managers 18%
120
may eventually have prime brokerage relations unilaterally
severed, while others will face higher financing costs.” 50 100 15%
All non-EU funds and new funds in particular will also be 80 12%
constrained in their ability to raise capital from EU based LPs due
60 9%
to AIFMD restrictions, which requires that funds be domiciled
in the EU or an approved jurisdiction and that they meet any 40 6%
additional registration requirements established by individual
countries. The European Securities and Markets Authority 20 3%
(ESMA), which is responsible for proposing AIFMD guidelines 0%
0
for adoption, identified 22 countries that it will consider including
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
in the AIFMD passport, but only 3 have been approved thus far
(Guernsey, Jersey, and Switzerland). 51 The impact is clear, as a
Capital raised by first-time private equity funds, $ billions (L)
recent survey found that 85% of US based GPs and 75% of GPs Share of capital raised by first-time private equity, % (R)
in non-EU/UK/US jurisdictions were not compliant with AIFMD,
Source: Preqin
with 42% of all GPs saying they will not try to market in the EU at
all. 52 The result is another barrier for small or large funds seeking
Figure 15a: The number of hedge funds launched per year
capital from one of the largest pools in the world (European LPs).
has fallen by nearly 30% since before the financial crisis 60
The increasing demands of institutional investors exacerbate the Average number of hedge funds launched each year
situation for new funds, as they often want firms to invest in an 1,800
extensive institutional architecture before they are willing to invest
with them. Small or new funds may receive a slight reprieve in the 1,350 - 28%
cost of compliance in Europe, as AIFMD does not apply to funds
with below €100 million in assets under management, but they 900
must still bear the cost of all the other regulations. Moreover, the
exception may be a moot point. Institutional investors, the source 450
1,463
1,051 Post-crisis
(2010-14)
(2008-09)
Financial crisis
this sum should not constitute more than 10% of the fund.
The result is a threshold high enough to require virtually all funds
receiving institutional capital to meet all the existing and new
regulatory burdens. The head of one big hedge fund allocator
notes that: “if you’re regulated by the FCA [Financial Conduct Au- Source: HFR
Figure 15b: The rate at which hedge funds close has risen Figure 15c: The share of young and mid-age hedge funds
by 40% since the financial crisis 61 has fallen significantly since the financial crisis 62
Average number of hedge fund liquidations each year, Share of hedge funds by age, %
% of total number of hedge funds
60%
20%
50%
16%
40%
+ 40%
12%
30%
8% 20%
4% 10%
10.3
18.2
7.4
0%
0%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
(2010-14)
Post-crisis
(2003-07)
Pre-crisis
(2008-09)
Financial crisis
2.2.4. Access to capital sheets and incentive them to hold lower risk assets such as
sovereign debt.63 PWC estimates that EU banks have lost €408
The wave of new financial regulations and proposals is reducing billion in lending capacity due to the need to hold €85 billion extra
the ability of small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) and in high quality assets.64 Bain and the Institute of International
infrastructure providers to obtain the capital they need. Few Finance find that lending to SMEs in leading European countries
doubt that investments in new technologies, infrastructure, or fell by 47% from 2008 to 2013.65
operational processes benefit society in the long-term. However,
such investments require prolonged investment periods, Packaging and distributing debt into structured products is also
limited liquidity, and entail more risk than investing in a typical problematic due to both dried up securitization markets and
government bond. Yet banks and some institutional investors are increased regulation. Completing complex deals that require the
incentivized by new laws to reduce the capital they provide to use of derivatives to manage and distribute risk is harder than
such investments. The changes are also affecting the alternative before the crisis, since such deals must also adhere to the new
investment industry, with the laws creating new hurdles for some derivative related capital and collateral requirements. While this
types of firms, whilst creating new opportunities for others. is beneficial in curbing some of the more opaque pre-crisis
structures, it also has effects on transactions in other asset
2.3.4.1. Direct financing of small and medium enterprises classes, such as infrastructure.
(SMEs) and infrastructure
Banks are critical sources of capital for SME businesses and The shift towards safe assets can already be seen. One example
project finance. However, the new capital, collateral, leverage, and is the increase in the holdings of government backed securities
liquidity requirements in the US and Europe effectively penalize by US banks (Figure 16), with a similar rise in cash or equivalent
banks for underwriting and holding such loans on their balance holdings by European banks.66 In contrast, the number of UK
banks providing financing for public-private partnerships fell
Figure 16: US banks have increased their absolute around 90%, from 60 banks before the crisis to only a handful by
and relative holdings of safe assets 2013, with total financing falling 75% from £8 billion to £2 billion
US Treasury and agency securities held by US banks, % of over the same period.67
all securities held by banks and $ billions
72% 2,400
69% 2,100
66% 1,800
63% 1,500
Value of securities, $ billions (R)
60% 1,200 Share of all securities held by US banks, % (L)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015, H1 Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank
2.3.4.2. Indirect financing of small and medium Figure 17: A range of crowdfunding models have grown
(SME) businesses and infrastructure rapidly in recent years 78, 79, 80, 81, 82
The demand for private debt and alternatives more broadly Global crowdfunding new issuance by type, $ billions
will also be negatively impacted by regulations that create 3.0
disincentives for financial institutions to invest in alternatives.
The laws affect banks and insurance companies in Europe
2.5 50
in particular. Banks, through their balance sheets, have
historically accounted for 6% 68, 69 of all alternative assets,
which amounts to ~$400 billion. However, the capital 2.0
requirements set forth in Basel III make it prohibitively
expense for them to hold such investments. 1.5
25
Solvency II imposes similar capital related requirements on
1.0
insurance companies in Europe that will significantly reduce
their willingness to invest in alternatives. Insurance companies
are the largest institutional investors in Europe, managing some 0.5
€12 trillion,70 and account for 10% of the private debt market.71
With their long-term and stable investment horizons, they would 0.0 0
seemingly be the ideal holder of pools of risky and illiquid 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
est
securities, but the new laws constrain their ability to provide
long-term capital to the global economy.
Lending
Equity
With Solvency II in its current form, alternative investment funds Donation
will find access to the largest pool of savings in Europe much Reward
Real estate
more difficult. Saker Nusseibeh, chief executive of Hermes, Royalty
the fund manager of the BT pension scheme, notes that EU
Source: Massolution, Wangdaizhijia, Morgan Stanley,
regulators have, “forced the savings industry not to invest in the
World Economic Forum Investors Industry analysis
long term in Europe” and that “if regulation in Europe forces the
industry not to invest for long-term growth, I am not sure how
they expect the industry to find another way forward.”72 That
said, it is worth nothing that European regulation is still evolving – 2.2.5. Returns
and as an encouraging development, infrastructure assets have The collective impact of new regulations, in the absence of
recently been given more lenient capital treatment in the context business model innovation by the alternative investment industry,
of the European Capital Markets Union.73 is likely to reduce industry returns. Transaction, operating, and
administrative costs are likely to increase at a firm level. The
2.3.4.3. Growth in financing from non-traditional providers recent decline in fees, from the traditional 2% in management
The decline in lending activity by traditional financial players fees and 20% in performance fees, to today’s actual average of
is creating new opportunities for entrepreneurs, GPs, and 1.6% and 18%, may well be stopped by this secular increase in
institutional investors. An example is the global crowdfunding cost structure, resulting in lower net returns than would otherwise
industry, which uses technology driven platforms to connect be the case.83
savers and borrowers and reduce the cost of doing so. The
nascent industry is growing rapidly and is expected to supply The increase in costs varies by asset class. Hedge fund returns
entrepreneurs and businesses with more than $50 billion of will suffer the most due to their trading related activity. Transaction
capital in 2015 (Figure 17). The alternative investment industry costs for trading corporate bonds will rise by an estimated 0.12%
is also seeking to address the SME financing gap, with private as a result of reduced liquidity and higher bid/ask spreads, which
debt AUM tripling from 2006-2015 to $465 billion.74 reduces the total investment value by up to 5% over a 40 year
investment horizon according to PWC.84 The consultancy also
Institutional investors are also seeking to fill the gap, both directly estimates that the loss in liquidity would increase corporate yields
and indirectly. Large LPs, such as sovereign wealth funds and by 0.3%, which could result in mark to market losses on existing
pension funds, provide capital directly to crowdfunding platforms corporate debt holdings of €82 billion for institutional investors
to invest in loans,75 with 80-90% of all funding for Prosper and based in Europe.85
the Lending Club, leading marketplace lending platforms, coming
from institutional investors.76 In fact, they now allocate an average
of 5.6% of their portfolio to private debt firms, with 54% currently
investing in it and another 13% considering it.77 For an in-depth
review of non-bank financing, please refer to our sister report
Alternative Investments 2020: The Future of Capital for
Entrepreneurs and SMEs.
Implications and
recommendations
Impact on the stakeholder (positive/negative) Venture Private Hedge Other Primary Banks/
capital equity funds GP1 LPs2 Insurance Co.’s Individuals Business
Implications for: Description
Reforms could depress trading
Market volumes and increase volatility – + – – + – + –
liquidity during a financial crisis
Bank
1 Includes GPs such as private debt, infrastructure, and real estate funds
2 Includes LPs such as pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and endowments and foundations
3.1. Implications for alternative liquidity and funding from banks, depressing returns. At the firm
level, operational and compliance related costs have increased
investment firms (GPs) significantly, with the smallest funds shouldering the largest
The financial regulations may help the industry to grow in the relative burden. The ability of new firms to both form and survive
long-term, in spite of the challenges that it creates along the way. will prove more difficult than in the past, which will spur further
The need for most firms to upgrade their institutional architecture consolidation amongst the largest and most experienced firms.
and provide greater transparency into their operations will likely In the near term, the industry may benefit from an inflow of
enable them to attract more capital from institutional investors talent from banks, as they disband their proprietary trading arms.
and increase the level of trust in the industry by the public. It will However, firms will need to upgrade their talent sourcing model
make it possible for more firms to develop deeper relationships in the future, as they will no longer be able to rely heavily on
with their LPs, a trend that we discuss in more detail in our sister banks for talent and innovative ideas. This will further drive
report Alternative Investments 2020: The Future of Alternative consolidation, as larger firms will be in a better position to
Investments. The changes will also continue to provide the deploy internal development programs.
industry with growth opportunities in the form of private debt.
Private equity is also affected by the new regulations. The most
However, the impact of the new laws on GPs will vary widely by immediate impact will be the increased transparency that comes
asset class and size, with benefits and costs spread unevenly with new reporting requirements. In 2014, the US SEC found
throughout the industry. For example, venture capital firms are not that more than 50% of PE firms were not in full compliance with
affected by many of the regulations and exempted from others. regulations or had illegally collected fees.86 It later settled lawsuits
The same cannot be said for private equity firms or hedge funds. brought against firms related to collusion 87 and misallocating
expenses88 and noted that the industry can expect more such
Hedge funds are affected by the widest array of new regulations actions in the future.89, 90 The result has been increased disclosure
and proposals, as most make extensive use of capital markets. for existing firms, more transparent terms for new funds,91 and
They face higher transaction costs as well as reduced access to calls for even more disclosure by senior US elected officials.92
The impact will be a reduction in profitability for most GPs, as Translating the new data that LPs will get from GPs and regulators
they will eventually internalize many of the expenses that they into better investment decisions and lower management fees will
currently pass on to LPs (though the impact on net returns will not come for free. Rather, LPs will need to either devote resources
likely be not material). developing the internal capacity to analyse the data or pay a
consulting firm to do so on their behalf. Even veteran investors
New regulations are also enabling private debt to become one such as CalPERS have been struggling with this for some time
of the fastest growing segments within the alternatives universe. and recently acknowledged that they “can’t track it today.”93
Such funds are filling the gap left by banks that have reduced
their loan books in order to meet new regulatory requirements.
The structural reduction in loan capacity bodes well for the future 3.3. Implications for the public
growth of the segment. Though such loans are not as highly
regulated as those made by banks, they are unlikely to prove Similar to other stakeholders, the public will broadly benefit from
systemically relevant for two reasons. First, they are not based the financial reforms, but there remain areas where specific
on fractional reserve lending and thus are not highly leveraged. groups may bear the unintended costs of the regulations. The
Second, LPs cannot engage in a “run on the fund,” since the topics most likely to affect the public concern innovation, market
underlying capital is locked up in an illiquid vehicle. liquidity, transparency, access to capital and portfolio returns.
channels for SMEs to access capital. Shadow lending at afield. It also reduces the ability of European based LPs to
present remains lightly regulated, so the growth of this segment diversify their portfolios or invest with top non-EU based GPs.
will depend in large part on how aggressively governments seek All stakeholder groups involved would benefit if the passport
to regulate it. process was streamlined so that non-EU GPs could raise
capital from EU based LPs.
Traditional investments
Cash
Government and corporate bonds
Public stocks
Tangible investments
Commodities
Real estate
Infrastructure
Other investments
Art
Antiquities
Wine
• Companies
• Start companies
• Governments
Acquire companies
• Real estate
•
…to invest in …in stocks, bonds, • Infrastructure
• Invest in companies securities and or tangible assets • Natural resources
• Invest in securities assets...
• Build tangible assets
• Provide debt
• Underwrite IPOs • Venture capital
…who use invest- …in alternative
• Advise on acquisitions • Private equity buyouts
ment banks... investments...
• Support trading • Hedge funds
• Other (private debt,
infrastructure, etc.)
Figure A3: Expected investment attributes for core alternative investment asset classes
VC Venture capital PE Private equity buyouts HF Hedge funds Very low Very high
Correlation with
Correlation with other assets (lower is better)
other assets 2
1 Over a 10yr horizon; Very high returns = >20%, high = 10-20%, moderate = 5-10%, low = 0-5%, very low = 0%
2 Correlation with equity markets; Very high = 80-100%, high = 60-79%, moderate = 40-59%, low = 20-39%, very low = 0-19%
3 The ability of an LP to deploy large amounts of capital efficiently with fund managers and/or in co-investments
Source: Cambridge Associates, Hedge Fund Research, RREEF, JPMorgan, Coller Capital, Preqin
1.3. Different types of alternative investments 1.3.4. Other types of alternative investments
The attractiveness and success of the alternative investment
1.3.1. Hedge funds structure has led investors to apply it to a range of investments
beyond the core asset classes described above. Some asset
Hedge funds manage more than $3 trillion (40% of all alternative
classes are unique to alternative investing. Examples of this
capital), which makes them a large and important part of the
include secondary funds and growth equity funds. Other funds
industry. Geographically, the industry is highly concentrated.
apply the alternative fund structure to traditional investments.
Most of the capital is managed in the US (70%) and Europe
Examples of this include private equity infrastructure funds,
(21%), with managers in the New York area (50%) and London
private equity real estate funds, and private debt funds (including
(18%) overseeing two-thirds of all global capital.100, 101 Still, hedge
mezzanine, distressed debt, direct lending).
funds make investments across the globe and in all sectors of the
economy. Overall, there are more than 8,000 hedge funds,102 with
Collectively, non-core alternative investment funds manage $2.07
the top 25 managing 29% 103, 104 of all assets under management.
trillion, with private equity real estate, private debt, private equity
infrastructure, and growth equity accounting for 85% of this.110
1.3.2. Private equity buyouts The geographic focus varies by asset class, but the majority of
capital is invested in developed countries. These funds invest in
Private equity buyout firms have been a large and high profile
all industries of the global economy and in every part of the capital
part of alternative investing since the 1980s. The asset class
structure. The size of the target company or security also varies
is the second largest segment within alternative investing, with
widely, from growth stage companies to multi-billion dollar real
private equity buyout firms managing $1.4 trillion. Firms invest in
estate portfolios or infrastructure projects. There are well over
dozens of countries across the globe, though companies in the
1,000 non-core funds and each asset class has a diversity of
US (50%) and Europe (26%) receive a disproportionate share of
funds of varying sizes and specialties.
the capital.105
2. A brief history of alternative in the United States (Figure A4). The industry has since grown
from a handful of firms in the US managing a few billion dollars
investments to thousands of firms spread across the world that now manage
Private investors, largely in the form of wealthy individuals, more than $7 trillion on behalf of investors. The key drivers behind
have deployed capital in companies since before the Industrial this growth have been regulatory changes and technological
Revolution. However, it was not until the mid to late 20th century innovation in the US and global market events.
that today’s alternative investment industry began to take shape
1958: US Small Business Investment Act of 1958 1926: Graham-Newman partnership founded
Enables the creation of VC and PE fund structures First hedge fund
1946: American Research and Development
1972: Kenbak-1 released Corporation
1920-
First personal computer heralds the computing era First venture capital fund
60s
1973: Black–Scholes formula published 1962: Investors Overseas Services (IOS)
Enabled the pricing of derivatives IOS launches first fund of funds
1978: Update to Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 1972: Sequoia Capital founded
Allows pension funds to invest in private funds 1970s Leading venture capital firm
1972: Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers founded
Leading venture capital firm
1981: Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 1975: Bridgewater founded
Made equity investments more attractive (vs debt) Leading hedge fund
1976: KKR founded
1989: Savings and loan scandal + Drexel Burnham collapsed 1980s Leading private equity buyout firm
Junk bond market collapses
1985: Blackstone founded
Leading private equity buyout firm
1999: Financial Modernization Bill (Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act)
1987: Carlyle founded
Enables the rise of large investment banks in the US
1990s Leading private equity buyout firm
1987: KKR takes over RJR Nabisco
2000: Gaussian copula function published Seminal private equity buyout deal
Enables the rise of structured products (CDO/CLO/CDS)
1998: Long-Term Capital implodes
Threatens stability of financial system
2000: Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 2000s-
Enables the growth of derivatives present
2000s: Rise of sovereign wealth funds
Expedites the rise of institutionalization
2008: Global financial crisis 2007: Blackstone IPO
Start of a global recession First major IPO of a PE firm
1 Thefirms referenced here are illustrative examples – only space constraints prevent us from mentioning the many
other outstanding firms that played important roles throughout the history of alternative investments
1,600 9,000
1,400 8,000
1,200 7,000
6,000
1,000
5,000
800
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200 1,000
_ _
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Venture capital (L) Hedge funds (R)
Private equity buyouts (L)
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000 Other
Private equity infrastructure
Private equity real estate
1,000 Venture capital
Private equity buyouts
_ Hedge funds
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
H1
2014
2 11
12
steadily shifted from small scale long-term investors (e.g. wealthy 90%
19
individuals) to the large institutional investors (e.g. pension funds) 80%
15
that provide most of the capital today. Below we discuss both
18
the different sets of drivers, as well as a number of specific types 70%
17
9
of investors.
16
60%
8
11
50%
12
Three sets of drivers underpin investment demand for alternative
investments, with each seeking a distinct set of attributes that 40%
25
Other
alternatives can offer (Figure A7). Different classes of investors 30% Financial institutions
26
20
are usually aligned with one of these three groups. Fund of funds
20% Wealthy individuals2
Pension funds
10%
Figure A7: Primary drivers for investors in Endowments and
24
31
24
foundations
alternative investments 0%
buyouts
Private equity
Hedge funds
Venture capital
Investment Examples Primary attraction
drivers of investors to investors
Source: Preqin
100%
1 6 11
6 6
• Banks • Diversification
• Asset managers • High returns 90%
Diversification
driven • Insurance companies • Inflation linked 80%
14
• Corporations
70%
19
13
50%
17
23
44
buyouts
Private equity
However, over 70% of this capital comes from only three types
of institutional investor: pension funds, sovereign wealth funds,
and endowments/foundations (Figure A10).
1 Excludes fund of hedge funds, and fund of funds and asset managers
for private equity firms
2 Includes high-net worth investors, wealth management and family offices
Source: Preqin
Figure A10: Average allocation to private equity buyout and hedge funds by select investor type123, 124
Average allocation as a percentage of total portfolio allocation
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
Private equity buyouts
13
12
18
19
28
19
11 Private sector
2
6
8
7
3
0% Hedge funds
pension funds
Family offices
plans
Endowment
Foundations
wealth funds
Sovereign
companies
Insurance
funds
Source: Preqin
Public pension
4. Role in the financial system critical services such as transaction support, act as counterparties,
and generate new financial products – as we describe in more
The alternative investment industry is part of a much broader detail below. Growth in the alternatives is therefore somewhat
financial ecosystem (Figure A11). Since the 1980s, the industry dependent upon the future shape and health of the wider financial
has relied on banks, insurers, and other types of financial system, which in turn is undergoing a profound set of reforms
intermediaries to supply leverage (debt financing), provide following the global financial crisis that began in 2008.
Figure A11: Alternative investment firms within the wider financial system
Regulatory/Policy/Societal Environment
Management Fees
GP commitment Performance Fees
Return on commitment
Capital Providers (LPs) Investment destination
• Pension funds • Company (stake)
LP commitment Investment
• Sovereign wealth funds AI investment vehicle • Physical asset
• Wealthy individuals • Fund vehicle XYZ (infrastructure, real estate)
• Endowments/foundations Net return Gross return • Security (derivative or
• Asset managers / FoFs insurance contract
Fees Services
Debt Capital
Services
Rating
Regulated Service Providers Insurance
Fees
• Banks
• Rating agencies
Services • Insurance companies Fees and interest
• Money market funds
Figure A12: The average amount of debt (leverage) used by different investment strategies 125, 126, 127
Debt as a percentage of the total deal value
100%
75%
50%
25%
29
80
90
47
60
65
68
79
74
0 0
0%
(distressed)
Hedge funds
(emerging)
Hedge funds
buyouts
Private equity
infrastructure
Private equity
(Global macro)
Hedge funds
(Fixed income)
Hedge funds
(Event driven)
Hedge funds
(10% down)
Home mortgage
Venture capital
(Long/Short)
Hedge funds
(20% down)
Home mortgage
Source: Preqin, Citi, William Blair
Political
system Central
Start-ups banks
Hedge
funds Public
Small and
Corporate State owned Regulators actors Policy
medium sized
enterprises enterprises entities
actors
Wealthy Asset
individuals Other managers
Investment
banks
Description VC PE HF
•
• Enables investors to buy/sell assets
Liquidity
when they want
Capital
• Provides the capital needed to invest
Long-term capital
markets in long-term projects
Acronyms
Volcker Act = Volcker Rule within the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Protection Act
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summary-of-new-money-market-fund-rules-adopted-by-the- 25 August 2015
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Alternative Mutual Funds”, Wall Street Journal, 12 August 2014.
36 State Street Corporation, State Street 2013 Alternative Fund
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2015, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-01/bond-
37 Grant Thornton, Global Private Equity Report 2013/14, 2013.
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Problem-for-Bonds.
42 BNY Mellon, AIFMD Will Reduce Choice and Increase Costs for
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43 KPMG, 2013 KPMG/AIMA/MFA Global Hedge Fund Survey, 2013.
15 Rennison, Joe and Philip Stafford, “Repo market faces structural
challenge”, Financial Times, 18 June 2015
44 Goff, Sharlene, “Tighter rules bear down on wealth managers”,
Financial Times, 27 November 2013.
16 Garcia, Cardiff, “A new collateral estimate with a cautionary note”,
Financial Times, 29 May 2013.
45 KPMG, The Cost of Compliance, 2013.
17 Anderson, Ronald W. and Karin Joeveer, “The Economics of
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19 Tracy, Ryan, “Banks Retreat From Market That Keeps Cash Flowing”,
48 McCrum, Dan, “Two and twenty is long dead and buried”,
Wall Street Journal, 13 August 2014. Financial Times, 9 December 2013.
20 Barclays, Evolution of the Hedge Fund Financing Model, 2012.
49 KPMG, The Cost of Compliance, 2013.
21 Barclays, Evolution of the Hedge Fund Financing Model, 2012.
50 Watkins, Jon, “Hedge funds face collateral conundrum”, The Trade,
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22 Rennison, Joe and Philip Stafford, “Repo market faces structural es/Derivatives/Hedge_funds_face_collateral_conundrum.aspx.
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51 Citi, Hedge Fund Industry Snapshot, 2014.
23 Cave, Tim, “Europe’s high-speed traders under pressure to
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52 Jones, Sam, “Regulation changes the way hedge funds grow”,
Financial Times, 22 October 2013.
24 Stevenson, Alexandra, “Bank funding threat from EU tax”,
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53 FinAlternatives Staff, “Hedge Fund Assets Hit $2.337 Trillion”,
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82 PWC, Impact of bank structural reforms in Europe: Report for AFME,
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83 PWC, Impact of bank structural reforms in Europe: Report for AFME,
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86 McKenna, Francine, “KKR fine signals heightened SEC focus on
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