Voting & Apportionment Guide
Voting & Apportionment Guide
C H A P T E R
14
The concept of apportionment or fair
division plays a vital role in the
operation of corporations, politics, and
educational institutions. For example,
colleges and universities deal with large
issues of apportionment such as the
allocation of funds. In Section 14.3, you
will encounter many different types of
apportionment problems.
David Butow/Corbis SABA
14.1 Voting Systems*
14.2 Voting Objections
Voting and Apportionment 14.3 Apportionment Methods
14.4 Apportionment
One of the most precious rights in our democracy is the right to vote.
Objections
We have elections to select the president of the United States, senators
and representatives, members of the United Nations General Assembly,
baseball players to be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame, and even
“best” performers to receive Oscar and Grammy awards. There are many
*Portions of this section were developed by
ways of making the final decision in these elections, some simple, some Professor William Webb of Washington
more complex. State University and funded by a National
Electing senators and governors is simple: Have some primary elec- Science Foundation grant (DUE-9950436)
tions and then a final election. The candidate with the most votes in the awarded to Professor V. S. Manoranjan.
final election wins. Elections for president, as attested by the controver-
sial 2000 presidential election, are complicated by our Electoral College
system. Under this system, each state is allocated a number of electors
selected by their political parties and equal to the number of its U.S.
senators (always two), plus the number of its U.S. representatives (which
may change each decade according to the size of each state’s population
as determined in the census). These state electors cast their electoral
votes (one for president and one for vice president) and send them to the
president of the Senate who, on the following January 6, opens and reads
them before both houses of Congress. The candidate for president with
the most electoral votes, provided that it is an absolute majority (one over
half the total), is declared president. Similarly, the vice presidential can-
didate with the absolute majority of electoral votes is declared vice pres-
ident. At noon on January 20, the duly elected president and vice presi-
dent are finally sworn into office.
In this chapter we will look at several voting methods, the “fairness” Online Study Center
of these methods, how votes are apportioned or divided among voters or For links to Internet sites related
states, and the fairness of these apportionments. to Chapter 14, please access
college.hmco.com/PIC/bello9e
and click on the Online Study Center icon.
V1
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D
ident! You are actually voting for electors, individuals who cast the electoral
GE
votes on behalf of their party and states. They are the ones who elect the presi-
dent. Originally, electors were free to cast their votes as they pleased, but many
of today’s electors are “bound” or “committed” by state law (25 states have such
laws) to vote for the candidate who received the most popular votes in their state.
HUMAN SIDE OF MATH In a typical U.S. election, voters vote for their first choices by using a ballot. A
so-called butterfly ballot used in Palm Beach County, Florida, during the 2000
The Granger Collection
Marie-Jean
Antoine presidential election is shown. There was some confusion about votes cast for
Nicolas de Pat Buchanan (second hole) or Al Gore (third hole).
Caritat,
Marquis de
Condorcet,
was born (1743–1794)
September
17, 1743, in Ribemont,
France. Condorcet
distinguished himself as a
writer, administrator, and
politician. His most
important work was the
Essay on the Application of
Analysis to the Probability
of Majority Decisions
(1785), in which he tried to
combine mathematics and
philosophy to apply to
Robert Duyos/South Florida Sun-Sentinel
social phenomena. One of
A butterfly ballot used in Palm Beach County, Florida, during the 2000 presidential election.
the major developments in
this work is known as the About 460,000 votes were cast in Palm Beach County, and of those, 3400
Condorcet paradox, a topic were for Buchanan. Assuming that the remaining precincts in Florida would
covered in this chapter. yield the same proportion of votes for Buchanan, how many of the approxi-
mately 6 million votes cast in Florida would you project for Buchanan? Think
Looking Ahead about it before you answer!
In this chapter we shall study The proportion of votes for Buchanan in Palm Beach was
different voting systems, the
“flaws” or objections that can be 3400 34
raised about such systems, the
460,000 4600
methods used to fairly apportion
resources among different If the same proportion applies to Florida,
groups, and the objections to
these apportionment methods. F 34
6,000,000 4600
or equivalently
4600F 34 6,000,000
F 44,348
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Thus, you would expect about 44,347 Florida votes for Buchanan. (He actually
got about 17,000 votes in Florida.) Moreover, the number of registered voters for
Buchanan’s Reform Party in Palm Beach County was a mere 304 voters! What
might be some of the reasons for this discrepancy?
There are two fundamentally different types of voting methods: preferential and
nonpreferential. As the name suggests, a preferential voting system asks a voter
to state a preference by ranking alternatives. This is usually done using a pref-
erence table or preference schedule.
For example, suppose the Math Club wants to order some pizzas for the
end-of-year party. The Pizza House offers a special: three different one-topping
pizzas—one jumbo, one large, and one medium—for only $20. The question is,
Which topping to order on which pizza? The club members decide that the
most popular topping should go on the jumbo pizza, the second-choice topping
on the large pizza, and the third choice on the medium pizza; the topping
choices are pepperoni, sausage, mushrooms, or anchovies. Each club member
could fill out a preference ballot, and the results for the ballots might be sum-
marized as in Table 14.1.
PhotoDisc/Getty Images
TA B L E 14 .1
If you were only considering each person’s first choice, and Joan, Richard, and
Suzanne were the only voters, sausage would win 2 votes to 1. We say that sausage
received a majority (2 out of 3) of the first-place votes. A candidate with a major-
ity of the votes is the one with more than half, or 50%, of the vote. Looking at the
table, you might argue that pepperoni is a better choice because each voter has it
listed as first or second choice. If all the Math Club members were voting, listing
all the ballots would take a lot of space because with only four toppings, there
would be 4! 24 different ballots to consider. If you had five toppings, there
would be 5! 120 ballots. You can summarize the results of an election by
showing how often a particular outcome was selected with a preference table. Do
it in steps.
1. Replace the word sausage with the letter S, pepperoni with the letter P, and
TA B L E 14 . 2 so on.
5 2. If several people have exactly the same list of preferences, list them together.
Suppose five people all vote S, P, M, A. This fact is shown by using a table of
S
votes like Table 14.2. The number 5 at the top indicates that five people had
P the exact results S, P, M, A on their ballots. Note that the first choice S appears
at the top, the second choice P is next, and so on.
M
3. Assume that all the club members chose one of 3 or 4 different rankings. The
A
voting methods we will study will work the same way no matter how many
of the 4! 24 possible rankings were chosen.
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Now we are ready to analyze the results of elections using different voting
systems: plurality, plurality with runoff, plurality with elimination, Borda count,
and pairwise comparison.
D Gore 49,921,267 49
R Bush 49,658,276 48
G Nader 2,756,008 3
RF Buchanan 447,927 0
No winner declared
Plurality Method
Each voter votes for one candidate. The candidate with the most first-place
votes is the winner.
So far we have looked at the methods of plurality and plurality with runoff,
two of the most widely used methods for political elections in many countries.
Although they can be used to obtain a complete ranking of many alternatives,
they are really designed to choose an overall winner. A major problem with both
methods is that candidates who do not get either the most or second most first-
place votes are immediately eliminated. Do we really want to place so much
emphasis on first-place votes?
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Voters rank candidates from most to least favorable. Each last-place vote
is awarded no point; each next-to-last-place vote is awarded one point,
each third-from-last-place vote is awarded two points, and so on.* The
candidate who receives the most points is the winner.
*Sometimes the last-place vote is awarded one point, next-to-last vote two points, and so on.
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Solution
First, let us count the number of first place votes in Table 14.7 to see if there is a
majority.
TA B L E 14 . 7 TA B L E 14 . 8 TA B L E 14 . 9
7 5 4 2 7 5 4 2 7 5 6
A S P P A S P P A P P
S P S M S P S S P A A
M M M S P A A A
P A A A
If we look at Examples 1–4, we can see that A is the winner using the plu-
rality method, P is the winner using the plurality with runoff method, S is the
winner using the Borda count method, and P is the winner using the plurality
with elimination method. If a voting method is to indicate a group’s preference,
the method used should not change the winner. This situation points out the
importance of deciding on the voting system to be used before the election takes
place. Of course, elections with only two candidates are easy because the winner
will get at least half the votes—not only a plurality but also a majority. The
difficulty arises when we have three or more candidates. If this is the case, we
can compare candidates the easiest way we know: two at a time. This is the basis
of the next voting method.
Voters rank candidates from most to least favorable. Each candidate is then
compared with each of the other candidates. If candidate A is preferred to
candidate B, then A receives one point. If candidate B is preferred to can-
didate A, then B receives one point. If there is a tie, each candidate receives
one-half point. The candidate who receives the most overall points is the
winner.
*Sometimes the last-place vote is awarded one point, next-to-last two points, and so on.
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For example, suppose we have three candidates: Alice, Bob, and Carol. We
have to compare Alice versus Bob, Alice versus Carol, and Bob versus Carol. We
could hold three separate elections, but it is possible to use the information in the
preference tables we have used before. As the number of candidates grows, so
do the number of head-to-head comparisons that need to be made. For n candi-
dates, there are
n(n 1)
C(n, 2)
2
such comparisons. Thus, for n 10 candidates, we would need (10 9)/2 45
head-to-head comparisons. Let us use our preference tables to calculate the winner
of all the possible head-to-head comparisons. The one clear-cut case is when one
candidate beats all the others. This case even has a special name: A candidate who
beats all the others in head-to-head comparisons is the Condorcet winner (named
after the Marquis de Condorcet mentioned in the Human Side of Mathematics at
the beginning of the chapter, who, like Borda, was an eighteenth-century French-
man). As you might suspect, a big problem with using Condorcet winners is that
often there is no such winner, as we shall see in the following example.
E. Approval Voting
Approval voting uses a different kind of preference table. The good news is that
the table is much simpler in one respect: Each voter does not have to rank all the
candidates first, second, third, and so on. Instead, each voter simply approves
(A) or disapproves (D) each candidate. Thus, if you are a voter, you can vote for
one candidate, two candidates, three candidates, and so on. Voting for two or
more candidates doesn’t dilute your vote; each candidate that you approve of
gets one full vote. When the votes are counted, the candidate with the most
approval votes wins.
TA B L E 14 .11
W A D A A D D D D
X A A D D A D A A
Y D D A D D A A A
Z D D A D A A D A
Solution
We examine each of the rows and count only the A’s.
Row W has 3 A’s.
Row X has 5 A’s.
Row Y has 4 A’s.
Row Z has 4 A’s.
This means that candidate X (row 2) wins with 5 votes. Y and Z are tied with 4
votes each, and W is in last place with only 3 votes.
Like all voting methods, approval voting has its deficiencies, but it has a
number of good features, too. It is simpler than the Borda count or plurality with
elimination method, although not as simple as the plurality method. However,
unlike the plurality method, it doesn’t rely only on first-place votes. It works well
when voters can easily divide the candidates into “good” and “bad” categories.
Approval voting is also good in situations where more than one winner is
allowed. This occurs, for example, in electing players to the Baseball Hall of
Fame. To be elected, an eligible player has to be named on 75% of the ballots.
The voters are members of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America. They
add one extra requirement: No one can vote for more than ten players.
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E X E R C I S E S 14 .1
Third G G O O
Number of Voters
Fourth O B B B
Place 20 15 10
B The Borda Count Method 14. Which source wins using the plurality with elimi-
nation method?
8. Find the winner and runner-up using the Borda
count method. 15. Which source wins using the pairwise comparison
method?
C The Plurality with Elimination Method
9. Find the winner using the plurality with elimina- E Approval Voting
tion method.
16. The results of a hypothetical election using
approval voting are summarized in the table
D The Pairwise Comparison Method below. An X indicates that the voter approves of
10. Find the winner using the pairwise comparison the candidate; a blank indicates no approval. Who
method. is the winner using approval voting?
17. In problem 16, who is the winner using approval
In problems 11–15, use the following information: A
voting if Collins drops out of the race?
group of patients suffering from a severe cold were
informed that they needed at least 60 mg of vitamin C 18. Have you seen the new color choices for iMac
daily. The possible sources of vitamin C were 1 orange computers? The iMac Club is sponsoring a week-
(O), 2 green peppers (G), 1 cup of cooked broccoli (B), end event, and each participant will vote for his or
or 12 cup of fresh orange juice (J). The rankings for the her favorite iMac color using approval voting. The
group are given in the table (above, right).
Voters
Adams X X X X X X
Barnes X X X
Collins X X X X
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possible colors are strawberry, lime, grape, tan- 20. The Math Club uses approval voting to choose a
gerine, and blueberry. Here is a summary of the faculty adviser for the upcoming year on the basis
results. of the following responses:
12 participants voted for strawberry. Anne and Fran voted for Mr. Albertson.
7 participants voted for strawberry and Peter, Alex, and Jennifer voted for Ms. Baker
blueberry. and Ms. Carr.
20 participants voted for grape and tangerine. William, Sam, Allison, and Betty voted for
18 participants voted for lime, grape, and Mr. Albertson, Ms. Baker, and Mr. Davis.
tangerine. Joe, Katie, and Paul voted for Ms. Carr and
23 participants voted for blueberry and lime. Mr. Davis.
25 participants voted for tangerine. Jonathan voted for Mr. Davis.
Use approval voting to determine the club’s a. How many total votes did Mr. Albertson
favorite iMac color. receive?
b. How many total votes did Ms. Baker receive?
19. A college class has decided to take a vote to
c. How many total votes did Ms. Carr receive?
determine which coffee flavors are to be served
d. How many total votes did Mr. Davis receive?
in the cafeteria. The choices are latte, cappuccino,
e. Which teacher is selected as faculty adviser
mocha, and Americano. The winning coffee flavor
using approval voting?
will be determined using approval voting on the
basis of the following responses:
In problems 21–30, use the following information: On
September 23, 1993, 88 members of the International
12 students voted for latte and cappuccino.
Olympics Committee (IOC) met in Monte Carlo to
5 students voted for cappuccino, mocha, and
choose a site for the 2000 Summer Olympics. Five
Americano.
cities made bids: Beijing, (BC), Berlin (BG), Istan-
10 students voted for mocha and cappuccino.
bul (I), Manchester (M), and Sydney (S). In the table
13 students voted for Americano and cappuccino.
below is a summary of the site preferences of the
The flavor with the most votes wins. committee members.
a. How many total votes did latte receive?
21. Does any city have a majority of the first-place
b. How many total votes did cappuccino receive?
votes? If so, which city?
c. How many total votes did mocha receive?
d. How many total votes did Americano receive? 22. Which city has the most first-place votes? How
e. Which coffee is selected by the class using many does it have?
approval voting?
23. Which city is selected if the committee decides to
use the plurality method?
Number of Votes
Choice 3 2 32 3 3 1 8 30 6
First I I BC M BG I M S BG
Second BC BC I BC BC S S M S
Third M BG BG BG I BC BG BG M
Fourth BG M M S S M I I BC
Fifth S S S I M BG BC BC I
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24. Which city is selected if the committee decides to 33. Did any city receive a majority of votes in the
use the plurality with elimination method? second round?
25. Suppose the committee decides to give 5 points to 34. Why were four rounds of voting held?
each city for every first-place selection it gets,
35. If the plurality with runoff method were used
4 points for every second-place selection, 3 points
instead, which cities would have faced off in the
for every third-place selection, 2 points for every
runoff election?
fourth-place selection, and 1 point for every fifth-
place selection. If the winning city will be the city 36. If the plurality method were used, which city
with the most points, which city will be selected? would have won the election?
26. Which city is selected if the committee decides to
use the “regular” 4-3-2-1-0 Borda count method?
Using Your Knowledge
27. Which city is selected if the committee decides to
use the pairwise comparison method? Ace Cola has decided to begin a multimillion-dollar ad
campaign to increase its lagging sales. The ads are to
28. Rank the cities from first to last using the “regu-
be based on consumers’ preferring the taste of Ace
lar” Borda count method. (Remember, you found
Cola to its major competitors, Best Cola, Coala Cola,
the Borda count winner in problem 26.)
and Dkimjgo Cola.
29. Which city is selected if the committee decides to
use approval voting? (Assume that each voter
approves only his or her first two choices.)
Change
30. Rank the cities from first to last using approval the
voting.
pace ...
The following information will be used in problems
31–36. In July 2005, members of the International Ace
Olympic Committee (IOC) met in Singapore to choose
the site for the 2012 Summer Olympics. Five cities
made bids: London (L), Paris (P), Madrid (MA),
Moscow (MO), and New York (NY). The results of the with
election, which used the plurality with elimination
method, are shown below. (IOC members from coun-
tries with candidate cities were ineligible to vote while Ace
their nation’s city was still in the running.)
L P MA MO NY
First round 22 21 20 15 19
Second round 27 25 32 16
Third round 39 33 31
Fourth round 54 50
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/other_sports/
olympics_2012/4656529.stm.
An independent testing agency conducted a carefully 37. Use the plurality method to find the preferred cola.
controlled taste test on 50 randomly selected cola
38. Use the plurality with runoff method to find the
drinkers. Their results are summarized in the table
preferred cola.
below. (In the table, A represents Ace, B represents
Best, and so on.) 39. Use the Borda count method to find the preferred
cola.
10 13 8 7 12 40. As an expert in the mathematics of voting, you are
approached by Ace and offered a $25,000 consult-
A B C C D
ing fee if you can show that Ace is really the num-
B A D B A ber one cola. Find a point assignment for the
Borda count method in which Ace comes in first.
C D B A B
(Hint: A gets a lot of second-place votes, so we
D C A D C want to make second place worth proportionally
more. Remember, first place must still be worth
more than second, so make the gap between sec-
ond and third place larger.)
Research Questions
1. In the 2000 presidential election, there were more than two candidates. In
how many other presidential elections have there been more than two
candidates?
2. The 2000 presidential race was one of the closest in history. In what other
years was the difference between the winner and runner-up less than 50
electoral votes? Who were the winners and runners-up of these elections?
3. Name five advantages of approval voting.
References
http://home.capecod.net/~pbaum/vote2.htm
http://web.archive.org/collections/e2k.html
www.infoplease.com/spot/closerace1.html
www.multied.com/elections/
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/onpolitics/elections/2000/results/
whitehouse/
www.archives.gov/federal_register/electoral_college/popular_vote_
2000.html
www.archives.gov/federal_register/electoral_college/votes_
2000.html
www.sa.ua.edu/ctl/math103/
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Web It Exercises
Have you heard of a cartogram? A cartogram is a map that relates regions based
on their populations rather than their geographic sizes. After the 2004 presiden-
tial election, which pitted President George Bush against Senator John Kerry,
much of the discussion centered on the “red states” versus the “blue states.” Go
to www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election to see how a cartogram depicts the
red state–blue state phenomenon. Which type of map represents the 2004 elec-
tion results most accurately? Write a short essay about your conclusions.
plurality with runoff, Borda count, plurality with elimination, and pairwise com-
GE
As you can see from the results, Gore had more votes and Bush had won
more states, but neither had won the electoral vote (EV) because it took 270
votes to win, and the 25 Florida electoral votes had not been decided as of
November 17. If Gore got the 25 Florida votes, he would win. On the other hand,
if Bush got them, he would be president. Of course, by now you know the rest of
the story!
Is this fair? If we rely on the fact that Gore had the most votes, it would be fair
to say that Gore was the winner. However, when we discussed the plurality
method, we defined a majority as more than 50%. Should Gore win then? He
should certainly beat Nader and Buchanan! But Bush also clearly beats Nader
and Buchanan. Who is the winner then? Of course, you know the actual answer,
but to make the discussion more precise, we will introduce four criteria that
mathematicians and political scientists have agreed on as their fairness criteria
for a voting system: the majority criterion, the head-to-head (Condorcet) crite-
rion, the monotonicity criterion, and the irrelevant alternatives criterion.
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Majority Criterion
TA B L E 14 .13
(a) Which omelet is the winner using the Borda count method?
(b) Does the winner have a majority of votes?
Solution
Using the Borda count method, W has 2(60) 1(15) 135 points
B has 1(60) 2(25) 2(15) 140 points
H has 1(25) 25 points
(a) Using the Borda count method, the winner is B, the bacon omelette, with 140
points.
(b) No. A majority of the people, 60 out of 100, chose the western omelette.
Note that although a majority of the people (60 out of 100) preferred the
western omelet, under the Borda count method, the bacon omelet wins. Thus, in
this example, the Borda count method violates the majority criterion; that is, a
candidate with a majority of first-place votes can lose the election!
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(a) Using the plurality method, B is the winner with 18 out of 32 votes. Note that
B received a majority of the votes, so the method of plurality does not vio-
late the majority criterion. In general, a candidate who holds a majority of
first-place votes also holds a plurality of first-place votes.
Note that the converse is not true: If you have a plurality of the votes, you do
not necessarily have a majority of the votes.
(b) Under the Borda count method we assign 0, 1, and 2 points to the third, sec-
ond, and first places, respectively. The points for each airline are as follows:
A: 2(8) 2(6) 1(18) 46 points
B: 1(8) 2(18) 44 points
C: 1(6) 6 points
Thus, A is the winner under the Borda count method.
Since airline B is the one holding the majority of first-place votes (18 out of
32), the Borda count method violates the majority criterion. Of course, the
Borda count method does not always violate the majority criterion; it just has
the potential to do so.
The Borda count method has the potential for violating the majority
criterion.
(c) Since B has the majority of the votes (18 out of 32), B is the winner under
plurality with elimination, so the majority criterion is not violated. In gen-
eral, a candidate who holds a majority of first-place votes wins the election
without having to hold a second election.
(d) Using the pairwise comparison involves the following cases and outcomes:
A versus B (eliminate C)
A: 8 6 14 B: 18 B wins 18 to 14. B is awarded 1 point.
A versus C (eliminate B)
A: 8 6 18 32 C: 0 A wins 32 to 0. A is awarded 1 point.
B versus C (eliminate A)
B: 8 18 26 C: 6 B wins 26 to 6. B is awarded 1 point.
Since B has 2 points, B wins the election under the pairwise comparison
method. In general, if a candidate holds a majority of first-place votes, this
candidate always wins every pairwise (head-to-head) comparison.
Even though the Borda count method is the only method studied that violates
the majority criterion, it does take into account the voters’ preferences by
having all candidates ranked.
TA B L E 14 .15
SANDWICHES
Number of Voters
CUBAN $3.49 SPECIAL $4.19
MEDIA NOCHE $3.29 Place 30 50 58 60 90
PORK $3.90
STEAK $3.99 BREADED $3.90
TURKEY $3.75 CLUB $3.95 First V V T P C
HAM & CHEESE $3.35
CHICKEN $3.90 B.L.T. $3.50 Second T T V V P
VEGETARIAN $3.50
TUNA $3.90 Third P C P T T
*ADD LETTUCE & TOMATO* 30¢
Fourth C P C C V
Solution
The plurality method has the potential for violating the head-to-head
criterion.
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(c) Using the Borda count method, we assign 0, 1, 2, and 3 points to the
fourth-, third-, second-, and first-place winners. The total points are
C: 1(50) 3(90) 320 points
P: 1(30) 1(58) 3(60) 2(90) 448 points
T: 2(30) 2(50) 3(58) 1(60) 1(90) 484 points
V: 3(30) 3(50) 2(58) 2(60) 476 points
Using the Borda count method, T wins with 484 points.
The Borda count method has the potential for violating the head-to-head
criterion.
(d) Using plurality with elimination, T is eliminated in the first round, P in the
second round, and C in the third round. (Check this!) Thus, V is the winner
198 to 90 over C.
The plurality with elimination method has the potential for violating the
head-to-head criterion.
(e) As you recall, in the pairwise comparison method each candidate is ranked
and compared with each of the other candidates. Each time, the preferred
candidate gets 1 point. Let us look at the comparisons.
C and P
C: 50 90 140 P: 30 58 60 148 P wins and gets
1 point.
C and T
C: 90 T: 30 50 58 60 198 T wins and gets
1 point.
C and V
C: 90 V: 30 50 58 60 198 V wins and gets
1 point.
P and T
P: 60 90 150 T: 30 50 58 138 P wins and gets
1 point.
P and V
P: 60 90 150 V: 30 50 58 138 P wins and gets
1 point.
T and V
T: 58 90 148 V: 30 50 60 140 T wins and gets
1 point.
Thus, using the pairwise comparison method, P is the winner with 3 points.
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This example shows that the plurality, Borda count, and plurality with elim-
ination methods may potentially violate the head-to-head criterion. Next, we
shall introduce a third criterion called the monotonicity criterion that can be
used to evaluate the fairness of an election and explore the possibility that the
plurality with elimination method may have some further flaws.
C. Monotonicity Criterion
When the outcome of a first election is not binding—for example, when a straw
poll or survey is taken before the election—voters may change their preferences
before the actual election. If a leading candidate gains votes at the expense of
another candidate, the chances of winning for the leading candidate should
increase because of the additional votes. However, this is not always the case!
This strange result is a violation of the monotonicity criterion.
We shall now discuss an example in which the winner of the first election
(straw vote) gains additional votes before the actual election and still loses.
Place 42 30 23 10 Place 47 30 23 5
First JH CW DB DB First JH CW DB DB
Second DB JH CW JH Second DB JH CW JH
Third CW DB JH CW Third CW DB JH CW
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(a) Using the plurality with elimination method, the first election results in the
elimination of CW and then a win by JH over DB with a majority vote of 72
to 33. Thus, JH is the winner.
(b) In the new election, using the plurality with elimination method, DB, with
23 5 28 points, is eliminated, and CW gets a majority of 30 23 53
votes over JH’s 47 5 52 votes. This time CW is the winner.
(c) Although 5 voters changed from DB to JH in the new election, adding 5
votes to JH’s total, JH’s win in the first election was not repeated in the
second election.
The plurality with elimination method has the potential for violating the
monotonicity criterion.
By the way, a similar situation actually occurred in 2000 when selecting the
Heisman winner among Chris Weinke (CW), Josh Heupel (JH), and Drew Brees
(DB). The election, however, was actually conducted using the Borda count
method, awarding each candidate 1, 2, and 3 points for third, second, and first
place, respectively. Even though Weinke had reached the ripe old age of 28, he
won by collecting 1628 points.
All the methods we have studied have the potential to violate the irrelevant
alternatives criterion.
TA B L E 14 . 2 0
Number of Voters
Place 28 12 10
First C B A
Second B C B
Third A A C
Using the plurality method, C is the winner with 28 votes, which is a major-
ity (56%) of the 50 votes cast. Thus, the majority criterion is satisfied. If we use
the pairwise comparison method, we see that C beats A 40 to 10, C beats B 28 to
22, and B beats A 40 to 10, so C wins two points and the head-to-head criterion
is satisfied.
The monotonicity criterion is satisfied if we assume that a second election
is held in which C picks up additional votes. C will certainly win the second elec-
tion by plurality. Finally, if A or B drops out, C still wins by the plurality method,
satisfying the irrelevant alternatives criterion. Thus, this particular election
satisfies all four fairness criteria we have studied. Of course, each of the voting
methods can be made to violate at least one of the fairness criteria.
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Can we find a method that will satisfy all four criteria all the time? This
question led to a long and futile search. In 1950, Kenneth Arrow, a U.S. econo-
mist, made a very surprising discovery. He found that no voting method could
ever satisfy these four conditions all the time. This idea it not restricted to
the voting methods we know of now, but any voting method anybody might
think of in the future as well. This fact is known as Arrow’s Impossibility
Theorem. This discovery was a major factor in Arrow’s winning the Nobel
Prize in economics.
In simple terms, Arrow’s discovery means that we can never find a voting
method that does everything we want.
Before you attempt the exercises, we summarize in Table 14.21 the four fair-
ness criteria and indicate in Table 14.22 on page V25 which of the voting meth-
ods we have studied satisfies a particular criterion.
TA B L E 14 . 21
TA B L E 14 . 2 2
Plurality
Borda with Pairwise
Fairness Plurality Count Elimination Comparison
Criterion Method Method Method Method
E X E R C I S E S 14 . 2
Third H D A
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8. Suppose that in problem 7 the responses of the 50 a. Who wins using pairwise comparisons?
people are as shown in the table below. If Alaska b. Does any candidate beat every other candidate
(A) is eliminated, is the irrelevant alternatives one on one, that is, in a head-to-head compari-
criterion satisfied? Explain your answer. son? If so, which one?
c. Who wins using the plurality method?
Number of Voters d. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated?
Place 20 16 14 Explain.
e. Suppose candidate C drops out, but the winner
First D A H is still chosen using the plurality method. Is the
Second A H D winner the same as in part (c)? If not, which
candidate does win?
Third H D A f. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated?
Explain.
9. The preference table below gives the results of an g. Who wins using the plurality with elimination
election among three candidates, A, B, and C. method? (Assume candidate C is now back in.)
h. Now suppose candidate A drops out, but the
Number of Voters
winner is still chosen using the plurality with
Place 27 24 2 elimination method. Is the winner the same as
in part (g)? If not, which candidate does win?
First A B C
i. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated?
Second C C B Explain.
Third B A A 11. The preference schedule below gives the results of
an election among four candidates, A, B, C, and D.
a. Who wins using the plurality method?
b. Does any candidate get a majority of the first- Number of Voters
place votes? If so, which one?
Place 14 4 10 1 8
c. Who wins using the pairwise comparison
method? First A B C C D
d. Does any candidate beat every other candidate
Second B D B D C
one-on-one, that is, in a head-to-head compar-
ison? If so, which one? Third C C D B B
e. Who wins using the Borda count method?
Fourth D A A A A
f. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated?
Explain.
g. Suppose candidate B drops out, but the winner a. Who wins using the plurality with elimination
is still chosen using the Borda count method. Is method?
the winner the same as in part (e)? If not, which b. Who wins using the pairwise comparison
candidate does win? method?
h. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated? c. Does any candidate beat every other candidate
Explain. one on one, that is, in a head-to-head compari-
son? If so, which one?
10. The following preference table gives the results of d. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated?
an election among three candidates, A, B, and C. Explain.
Number of Voters
Place 20 19 5
First A B C
Second B C B
Third C A A
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a. Who wins using the plurality with elimination a. Who wins using pairwise comparisons?
method? b. Suppose candidate C drops out, but the winner
b. Suppose that the Florida Supreme Court inval- is still chosen using the pairwise comparison
idates the results of the election, and everyone method? Is the winner the same as in part (a)?
must revote. As it happens, everyone votes If not, which candidate does win?
exactly as before except for the 4 voters in the c. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated?
last column of the table. These 4 voters, who Explain.
originally voted A, C, B, decide to switch the
order of their votes for A and C so that their 15. When using the pairwise comparison method, how
new preference ballots are C, A, B. Who wins many comparisons need to be made if there are
this new election using the plurality with elim- a. three candidates? b. four candidates?
ination method? c. five candidates? d. n candidates?
c. Which fairness criteria, if any, are violated? 16. When using the pairwise comparison method,
Explain. how many comparisons must a candidate (say A)
13. The preference table below gives the results of an win to guarantee winning the election if there are
election among three candidates, A, B, and C a. three candidates? b. four candidates?
c. five candidates? d. n candidates?
Number of Voters
In Other Words
Place 20 19 5
Research Questions
1. There are several election procedures we have not discussed. Find out about
Black’s election procedure and then write a short paragraph about it.
2. Write a short paragraph about the work and discoveries of Kenneth Arrow.
3. Can you reduce warfare by adopting advanced methods of voting? Write a
short paragraph on this topic. For information, go to
http://www.solutionscreative.com/voteadv.html.
4. Which election method is best? Write a research paper on the subject. You
can get some background at http://electionmethods.org/.
5. How do Oscar nominees get chosen? Write a short essay on the subject. Go
to http://electionmethods.org/.
6. You can’t have an effect on an election if you don’t vote.
a. What was the voter turnout for the 2000 presidential election?
b. What was the voter turnout for the 2004 presidential election?
c. Which U.S. presidential election had the greatest turnout? What percent?
d. Which state had the greatest turnout during the 2000 presidential election?
What percent?
e. Which state had the greatest turnout during the 2004 presidential election?
What percent? To find out, go to www.fairvote.org/.
7. Which country had the best and worst average voter turnout in the 1990s?
Go to www.fairvote.org/ to find out.
We shall study the Hamilton, Jefferson, and Webster methods and omit the Hill-
Huntington method because of its complexity. Instead, we will examine a simi-
lar method known as the John Quincy Adams method. The various methods will
be presented in order of mathematical complexity rather than chronological
order. Keep in mind that apportionment methods are not limited to governing
bodies. Budget allocations, Super Bowl tickets, faculty and student senate seats,
and many other items have to be fairly distributed, or apportioned.
In 1999, the general budget allocation for the system amounted to more than
D
GE
A. Apportionment Problems
In Getting Started, we considered several formulas for apportioning money. To
make these formulas more standard and the resulting allocation quotas more pre-
cise, we define the standard divisor (SD) and the standard quota (SQ) as follows:
304470-ch14_pV1-V59 11/7/06 10:01 AM Page 31
TA B L E 14 . 2 3
Find the standard divisor SD and the standard quota SQ for each college.
Solution
total population in the group
SD
total number to be apportioned
The total population in the group is the total number of FTEs, that is, 81,000. The
total number to be apportioned is $324,000,000. Thus,
81,000 1
SD 0.00025
324,000,000 4000
TA B L E 14 . 2 4
You may have noticed that since each FTE gets $4000, each college’s allocation
will be ($4000 number of FTEs).
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Hamilton’s Method
total population
1. Find SD
total seats to be apportioned
state population
2. Find SQ
SD
3. Round SQ down to the nearest integer (lower quota).
Each state should get at least that many seats but must get at least one
seat.
4. Apportion additional seats one at a time to the states with the largest
fractional part of the standard quotas.
TA B L E 14 . 2 5
Solution
We use the four steps.
1. Since the total population is 3,615,920 and we have to apportion 105 seats,
3,615,920
SD 34,437.33
105
2. We first find SQs for Virginia, Massachusetts, and Delaware.
630,560
For Virginia, SQ 18.31
34,437.33
475,327
For Massachusetts, SQ 13.80
34,437.33
55,540
For Delaware, SQ 1.61
34,437.33
The SQ for all states, to two decimal places, is shown in column 3 of
Table 14.25.
3. The SQs rounded down to the nearest integer are in column 4 of Table 14.25.
Accordingly, Virginia, Massachusetts, and Delaware will get 18, 13, and 1
seat, respectively. Note that the total seats in column 4 add up to 98. What
about the 105 98 7 seats that are left over? See step 4!
4. The additional seats are apportioned, one at a time, to the states with the
largest fractional parts (South Carolina, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massa-
chusetts, New York, Delaware, and Pennsylvania). The actual number of
seats apportioned is in column 5 of Table 14.25.
Note that the Hamilton method assigns 2 seats to Delaware, a state with a
population of 55,540. However, it was stipulated in the Constitution that each
seat in the House would represent a population of at least 30,000. Logically, 2
seats would have to represent 60,000 people, but Delaware only had a popula-
tion of 55,540! Partially on the basis of this flaw, President Washington vetoed
the use of the Hamilton plan to apportion the first House of Representatives.
Instead, the Jefferson method, which assigned an extra seat to Virginia, Jeffer-
son’s home state, was used.
We shall use the Jefferson method to apportion the 105 seats in the original
House of Representatives after we give one more example using the Hamilton
method.
round down each SQ and enter the result in column 4. Note that the sum of all
the rounded-down numbers in column 4 is 47. We apportion the 3 remaining
recliners, one by one, to the units with the highest fractional parts: 0.89 (P), 0.67
(C), and 0.67 (S). Column 5 shows the actual number of recliners apportioned
to each unit, with the bold numbers reflecting the extra recliner. Note that the
sum of the numbers in column 5 is 50, the total number of recliners.
TA B L E 14 . 2 6
Totals 90 50 47 50
Jefferson’s Method
TA B L E 14 . 2 7
Rounded Modified Rounded
Unit Patients SQ Down Quota Down
Medical 15 15
1.8 8.33 8 15
1.7 8.82 8
Surgical 30 30
1.8 16.67 16 30
1.7 17.65 17
Cardiac 12 12
1.8 6.67 6 12
1.7 7.06 7
Transitional 8 8
1.8 4.44 4 8
1.7 4.71 4
Progressive 25 25
1.8 13.89 13 25
1.7 14.71 14
Total 90 50 47 50
Note that the sum of the rounded-down numbers in the last column adds up to 50
as required.
TA B L E 14 . 2 8
State Population MQ Rounded Down
Solution
The modified divisor MD 33,000 was mercifully supplied by Congress. We
calculate some modified quotas and show the rest in the table.
630,560
For Virginia, 19.11
33,000
475,327
For Massachusetts, 14.40
33,000
55,540
For Delaware, 1.68
33,000
The rounded-down quotas corresponding to the number of seats under the
Jefferson method are shown in the last column of Table 14.28.
Webster’s Method
Population
State Population MQ Apportionment
49,800
Adams’s Method
TA B L E 14 . 3 0
Medical 15 15
1.9 7.89 8
Surgical 30 30
1.9 15.79 16
Cardiac 12 12
1.9 6.32 7
Transitional 8 8
1.9 4.21 5
Progressive 25 25
1.9 13.16 14
Totals 90 50
Our modified “magic” divisor 1.9 did the trick; the rounded-up values, which
correspond to the number of recliners each unit will get, add up to 50.
Before you attempt the exercises, Table 14.31 gives a summary of the
apportionment methods we have studied and their important features.
TA B L E 14 . 31
Hamilton’s total population Down to the nearest Distribute left-over items to the groups with
SD
seats to be apportioned integer the largest fractional part until all items
are distributed.
Jefferson’s MD is less than SD. Down to the nearest Apportion to each group its modified lower
integer quota.
Webster’s MD is less than, greater than, To the nearest Apportion to each group its modified
or equal to SD. integer rounded quota.
Adams’s MD is greater than SD. Up to the nearest Apportion to each group its modified upper
integer quota.
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As you can see from Table 14.31, Hamilton’s method rounded the standard
quotas down to the nearest integer, Jefferson’s method rounded the modified quo-
tas down to the nearest integer, Webster’s method rounded the modified quotas
to the nearest integer, and Adams’s method rounded the modified quotas up to the
nearest integer.
E X E R C I S E S 14 . 3
A Apportionment Problems How much money will each of these two univer-
In problems 1–7, use the following table: sities receive if the money is allocated according
to the number of students in each institution?
Answer to the nearest dollar.
University Headcount FTE
3. The University of South Florida has 18,176 FTEs,
University of Florida 41,652 29,646
whereas the University of West Florida has 4556.
Florida State University 30,389 21,195
How much money will each of these two univer-
Florida A&M University 11,324 8064
sities receive if the money is allocated according
University of South
to the number of FTEs in each institution? Answer
Florida 31,555 18,176
to the nearest dollar.
Florida Atlantic University 19,153 10,725
University of West Florida 7790 4556
University of Central B The Alexander Hamilton Method of
Florida 30,009 18,312 Apportionment
Florida International 4. Suppose that the state decides to apportion 200 new
University 30,096 17,434 teaching positions on the basis of the number of
University of North Florida 11,360 6697 students in each university.
Florida Gulf Coast a. Use the Hamilton method to find the standard
University 2893 1558 divisor SD.
b. Use the Hamilton method to find the standard
Subtotal E & G 216,221 136,363
quota SQ for Florida Atlantic and the Univer-
sity of Central Florida. Answer to three deci-
1. The university system in the State of Florida con-
mal places.
sists of the ten universities listed in the table
above. In a recent year, the general budget alloca- 5. Suppose the state decides to apportion 200 new
tion for the system amounted to more than 2 bil- teaching positions on the basis of the number of
lion dollars: $2,001,102,854. FTEs in each university.
a. If the state decides to apportion the money a. Use the Hamilton method to find the standard
equally among the ten universities, how much divisor SD.
will each university get? Answer to the nearest b. Use the Hamilton method to find the standard
dollar. quotient SQ for Florida Atlantic and the Uni-
b. How much money will each student be allo- versity of Central Florida. Answer to three dec-
cated if the money is apportioned equally imal places.
among all the students? Answer to the nearest
6. Use the Hamilton method to apportion the 200
dollar.
new teaching positions to each of the ten universi-
c. How much money will each FTE (full-time
ties on the basis of the number of students.
equivalent) be allocated if the money is appor-
tioned equally among all FTEs? Answer to the 7. Use the Hamilton method to apportion the 200
nearest dollar. new teaching positions to each of the 10 universi-
ties on the basis of the number of FTEs. Is the
2. The University of Florida has 41,652 students,
number of positions for each university the same
whereas Florida Gulf Coast University has 2893.
as that obtained in problem 6?
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Rounded Actual
a. Find each county’s standard quota.
Unit Patients SQ Down Number
b. Using Hamilton’s method, find each county’s
Medical 15 apportionment.
Surgical 30
C The Thomas Jefferson Method of
Cardiac 12 Apportionment
Transitional 8 11. What leisure activities do you participate in? In
the table below are five activities and the approx-
Progressive 25
imate number of participants (in millions) in each.
90
Exercise 150
9. According to the Centers for Disease Control and
Sports 90
Prevention, the states reporting the highest annual
number of AIDS cases in a recent year are as Charity work 85
shown in the table below. In that same year,
Home repair 130
federal spending on AIDS research amounted to
$9,988 million. Computer hobbies 80
Sources: National Endowment for
California 5637 the Arts; Statistical Abstract of the
United States.
Florida 5683
Suppose you are a philanthropist willing to donate Suppose the Immigration and Naturalization
$150 million to these five charities on the basis of Service is planning on granting 700,000 visas next
received donations. year.
a. Find the modified quota for each charity using a. Find the modified quota using the divisor
the divisor 23.3. 0.928.
b. Find how much money should be apportioned b. How many visas should be allocated to each
to each charity using Jefferson’s method. continent using Webster’s method?
15. The acreage of five county parks in Hillsborough
D The Daniel Webster Method of County is shown in the table below. Suppose the
Apportionment county wishes to distribute 75 new park rangers
13. How much do you spend on your pet annually? In among these five parks.
the table below are the average annual costs (to the
nearest $10) spent per household for several types Lake Park 600
of pets.
E. G. Simmons 470
Horses $230
a. Find the modified quota for each park using the
Source: U.S. Pet Ownership divisor 20.5.
and Demographic Sourcebook. b. Find the number of rangers that should be allo-
For every $500 spent on each of these four types cated to each park using Adams’s method.
of pets, 16. Has your telephone area code been changed
a. find the modified quota using the divisor 1.08. lately? With the popularity of cell phones increas-
b. how much money should be apportioned to ing, more area codes are needed. The table below
each pet category using Webster’s method? shows the number of existing area codes in five
14. What continents do immigrants to the United states. Unfortunately, there are a limited number
States come from? The table below shows the of area codes that can be allocated to states. Sup-
number of immigrants from each continent admit- pose we wish to allocate 25 new area codes to the
ted to the United States in a recent year. five states listed on the basis of the number of area
codes they already have.
Europe 90,000
Texas 21
Asia 220,000
California 20
North America 255,000
Florida 12
South America 45,000
Ohio 10
Africa 40,000
Colorado 7
Source: U.S. Immigration and
Naturalization Service.
a. Find the modified quota for each state using
the divisor 3.08.
b. Find the number of area codes allocated to
each state using Adams’s method.
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Suppose the state decides to allocate $100 million to 22. a. Find each hospital’s modified quota using the
these five counties. divisor 1.6745.
b. Find each hospital’s apportionment using
17. a. Find the standard divisor.
Jefferson’s method.
b. Find each county’s standard quota.
c. Find each county’s apportionment using Ham- 23. a. Find each hospital’s modified quota using the
ilton’s method. divisor 1.7238.
b. Find each hospital’s apportionment using
18. a. Find each county’s modified quota using the
Adams’s method.
divisor 916.05.
b. Find each county’s apportionment using Jef- 24. Find each hospital’s apportionment using Web-
ferson’s method. ster’s method.
19. a. Find each county’s modified quota using the
divisor 948.60. Using Your Knowledge
b. Find each county’s apportionment using
Adams’s method. Students have suggested that many of the apportion-
ment problems can be done using ratio and proportion.
20. Find each county’s apportionment using Web-
Suppose you have four sports, A, B, C, and D, and the
ster’s method with the standard quota.
Student Government Association wishes to distribute
$200,000 among the four on the basis of their average
In problems 21–24, use the top-rated AIDS treatment
attendance of 2000, 4000, 6000, and 8000 spectators,
hospitals and their scores given in the table below.
respectively.
Hospital Points 25. a. How much will each sport get if the $200,000
is distributed proportionately to its attendance?
San Francisco General 100
b. How much will each sport get if the $200,000
Johns Hopkins Hospital 72 is apportioned using Hamilton’s, Jefferson’s,
Adams’s, and Webster’s methods?
Massachusetts General 62
c. Are the answers the same in parts (a) and (b)?
Univ. of Calif. at San Francisco 56
Research Questions
1. The 1824 election was marred by the so-called Corrupt Bargain. Describe
the events that marred the election. What was claimed to be corrupt in the
election?
2. The 2000 presidential election was disputed in court but was by no means
the first disputed election in history. What was the first disputed presidential
election in U.S. history? What was the dispute about?
3. Write a short paragraph describing the present method of apportionment for
the House of Representatives. Make sure you mention the names and
techniques involved with this method.
4. As we have discovered from this section, most of the apportionment methods
used for the U.S. House of Representatives rely on the “magical” modified
divisor MD. It is also apparent that a precise formula for computing this MD
is not clearly prescribed (see Table 14.31 on page V38). See if you can
uncover the mystery of how actual MDs have been obtained throughout
history.
5. In December 2005, Iraq held an election to select members of its
parliament. This was only the second proportional election ever held in Iraq
(a proportional election is an electoral system in which all parties are
represented in proportion to their voting strength). How were the members
of parliament selected? Go to www.fairvote.org/blog/?p20 and find out.
Write a short essay on your findings.
Even though Hamilton’s method will always satisfy the quota rule and
Jefferson’s, Webster’s, and Adams’s methods will not, the method has equally
serious flaws. The three main objections to Hamilton’s method are the Alabama
paradox, the population paradox, and the new-states paradox.
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E
TT
D
GE
when the house size was increased to 280, Rhode Island lost a seat. After the
1880 census, C. W. Seaton (chief clerk of the U.S. Census Office) computed
apportionments for all house sizes between 275 and 350 members. He then
wrote a letter to Congress pointing out that if the House of Representatives
had 299 seats, Alabama would get 8 seats, but if the House of Representatives
had 300 seats, Alabama would only get 7 seats! Again, this meant a loss of 1 seat
for Alabama, even though the total number of house seats could be increased
from 299 to 300. This objection or flaw has come to be known as the Alabama
paradox. (Source: www.sa.ua.edu/ctl/math103/.)
Does Example 1 prove that Alabama would get 8 seats when 299 seats were
apportioned and only 7 when 300 seats were apportioned? The answer is no. To
prove this, we would have to find the standard quotas for all the states and then
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assign the leftover seats to the states with the largest fractional parts. Unfortu-
nately, there were a total of 38 states in 1880, so the task would be monumental
indeed. To learn more you can go to www.ctl.ua.edu/math103/ and look under
“Apportionment.” For now, let us try a simple example.
shown in columns 3 and 4 of Table 14.32. The state with the largest fractional
part (0.5) is C. Thus, C gets the extra seat.
TA B L E 14 . 3 2
A 25,200 25,200
1000 25.2 25 0 25
B 23,300 23,300
1000 23.3 23 0 23
C 1500 1500
1000 1.5 1 1 2
Total 50,000 49 50
TA B L E 14 . 3 3
A 25,200 25,200
980.39 25.70 25 1 26
B 23,300 23,300
980.39 23.77 23 1 24
C 1500 1500
980.39 1.53 1 0 1
Total 50,000 49 51
Note that this paradox can only occur when the number of objects to be
apportioned increases. Thus, it seems reasonable to expect that if we hold the
size of the House of Representatives to 435, as it has been for many years, no
304470_ch14_pV1-V59 11/7/06 2:08 PM Page 46
objections or paradoxes should surface. Unfortunately, this is not the case. If the
population of one or more states changes, one state could lose a seat to another
state, even if its population is growing at a faster rate than the state that loses the
seat. This paradox is known as the population paradox.
The population paradox was discovered around 1900, when it was shown that a
state could lose seats in the House of Representatives as a result of an increase
in its population. (Virginia was growing much faster than Maine—about 60%
faster—but Virginia lost a seat in the house, whereas Maine gained a seat.)
TA B L E 14 . 3 4
(a) In the fall, mathematics gets 10 positions, English 19, and science 71.
(b) In the spring, mathematics gets 9 positions, English 20, and science 71.
951
(c) No. The rate of growth for mathematics was 961 951 951
10
1.05%.
1949
The rate of growth for English was 19691949 1949
20
1.03%.
Thus, mathematics was growing at a faster rate (1.05%) than English
(1.03%), but despite this, mathematics lost 1 position (from 10 to 9), whereas
English gained 1 position (from 19 to 20).
(d) Yes. In this instance the mathematics population was increasing faster than
the English population, yet mathematics lost one position to English.
(a) To find the new fall semester apportionment, note that there are now 10,600
105 100.95.
students and 105 positions, so the new standard divisor is 10,600
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The standard quotas and the final number of positions are shown in
Table 14.35.
TA B L E 14 . 3 5
(b) The right side of Table 14.35 shows the original fall semester apportion-
ments. As you can see, the science department lost 1 position (from 71 to 70)
in the new apportionment, even though it did not lose any students. Presum-
ably, the art department should have gotten the 5 new positions, but it got 6
instead.
(c) The new apportionments do not seem fair because science lost 1 position to
art.
(d) The addition of one group (art) changed the apportionment of another group
(science) and, by definition, is an occurrence of the new-states paradox.
Now we have seen that Hamilton’s method satisfies the quota rule but can
produce the paradoxes we have studied in this section. Jefferson’s, Webster’s,
and Adams’s methods can violate the quota rule because they are based on the
philosophy that quotas can be conveniently modified. On the other hand, they do
not produce the paradoxes we have studied. Can we find a perfect apportionment
method that not only satisfies the quota rule but also avoids these paradoxes?
Two mathematicians, Michael Balinski and H. Payton Young, proved in 1980 that
there is no such method. Their result is called Balinski and Young’s Impossi-
bility Theorem.
There is no apportionment method that satisfies the quota rule and avoids
paradoxes.
Table 14.36 on page V49 shows which methods violate the quota rule or produce
some of the paradoxes studied.
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TA B L E 14 . 3 6
So there we have it. Just as we could find no perfect voting method, there is also
no perfect apportionment method!
E X E R C I S E S 14 . 4
A The Alabama Paradox 3. Which are the four best theme parks in the United
1. Three Greek letter societies, , , and , have the States? According to Inside Track, a publication
numbers of members as shown in the table below. that rates theme parks and attractions, the four
If Hamilton’s method is used to apportion seats in best parks are Busch Gardens (B), King’s Island
the Pan Hellenic Council, does the Alabama para- (K), Walt Disney World (W), and Six Flags Magic
dox occur if the number of seats is increased Mountain (S). The number of votes received by
a. from 30 to 31? b. from 60 to 61? each of the parks in a survey of 1020 persons is as
shown in the table below. If Hamilton’s method is
Society Members
used to apportion 71 free tickets to visit the parks
on the basis of the number of votes obtained in the
3220 survey, does the Alabama paradox occur if the
5000
number of tickets is increased to 72? If so, which
park loses a ticket?
9780
B 405
2. A country consists of four states, A, B, C, and D,
K 306
with the populations shown in the table below. If
Hamilton’s method is used to apportion the legis- W 204
lature, does the Alabama paradox occur if the
S 105
number of seats is increased
a. from 104 to 105? b. from 114 to 115? Total 1020
shown in the table below. There are 41 managers 11. A country has two states, A and B, with the popu-
to be apportioned between the two divisions P lation (in hundreds) shown in the table below and
and S. 100 seats in the legislature.
a. Find each division apportionment using a. Find the apportionments for A and B using
Hamilton’s method. Hamilton’s method.
b. Suppose a new advertising division (A) with b. Suppose a third state C with a population of
114 employees and 8 new managers is to be 263 (hundred) is added with 6 additional seats.
added. Does the new-states paradox occur Does the new-states paradox occur using
using Hamilton’s method? Explain. Hamilton’s method? Explain.
P 402 A 4470
S 156 B 520
A 114 C 263
State Population
A 268
B 104
C 76
Total 448
Research Questions
1. When was the Alabama paradox discovered? Discuss the details of the
discovery.
2. When was the population paradox discovered? Which states were involved?
Discuss the details of the discovery.
3. When was the new-states paradox discovered? Which states were involved?
Discuss the details of the discovery.
4. The results of the 2000 Census led to changes in the makeup of the U.S.
House of Representatives. Some states gained delegates, and some states lost
delegates. Which ones? Go to www.census.gov/population/www/censusdata/
apportionment.html to find out.
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Chapter 14 Summary
Section Item Meaning
14.1 Plurality method Each voter votes for one candidate and the candidate with the most
first-place votes is the winner.
14.1 Plurality with Each voter votes for one candidate. If the candidate receives a
runoff method majority of votes, that candidate is the winner. Otherwise, eliminate
all but the two top candidates and hold a runoff election. The
candidate that receives a majority is the winner.
14.1 Borda count method Each voter ranks the candidates from most to least favorable, with
each last-place vote awarded no point; each next to last place is
awarded one point, each third from last place is awarded two points,
and so on. The candidate that receives the most points is the winner.
14.1 Plurality with Each voter votes for one candidate. If a candidate receives a majority
elimination method of votes, that candidate is the winner. If no candidate receives a
majority, eliminate the candidate with the fewest votes and hold
another election. (If there is a tie for fewest votes, eliminate all
candidates tied for fewest votes.) Repeat this process until a candidate
receives a majority.
14.1 Pairwise comparison Each voter ranks candidates from most to least favorable. Each
method candidate is then compared with each of the other candidates. If A is
preferred to B, A gets 1 point. If B is preferred to A, B gets 1 point. If
there is a tie, each candidate receives 12 point. The candidate with the
most overall points is the winner.
14.1 Approval voting Voters approve or disapprove each candidate. The candidate with the
most approval votes wins.
14.2 Majority criterion If a candidate receives a majority of first-place votes, then that
candidate should be the winner.
14.2 Head-to-head criterion If a candidate is favored when compared head-to-head with every
other candidate, then that candidate should be the winner.
14.2 Monotonicity criterion If a candidate is the winner of a first election and then gains additional
support without losing any of the original support, then the candidate
should be the winner of the second election.
14.2 Irrelevant alternatives If a candidate is the winner of an election, and in a second election
criterion one or more of the losing candidates are removed, then the winner of
the first election should be the winner of the second election.
14.2 Arrow’s Impossibility There is no voting method that will always simultaneously satisfy all
Theorem of the four fairness criteria.
14.3 Standard divisor (SD) Total population in a group/total number to be apportioned
14.3 Standard quota (SQ) Population in the group/standard divisor
14.3 Hamilton’s method A method in which the standard quota is rounded down and additional
seats are apportioned to the states with the largest fractional part of the
standard quotas.
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Research Questions
1. What if you had an election and nobody came? The electoral commission in
England is working on new election methods that would increase voter
turnout. Research which methods are being used to do that and what the
voter turnout was in last year’s local elections and in the 2005 general
election in England. Is the turnout greater or less than that in U.S. local and
general elections?
2. What election methods are used for events other than presidential elections?
Find out! What are the procedures and voting methods used for
a. the Grammy Awards?
b. the Latin Grammy Awards?
c. the Academy Awards?
d. the Nobel Prize?
e. the Heisman Trophy?
3. Write a research paper chronologically discussing all voting methods that
have been used to apportion the U.S. House of Representatives. What
method is currently used and what are the current objections to this method?
4. What impact did the 2000 census have on apportionment? Write a research
paper on this question, paying particular attention to
a. which states gained two seats as a result.
b. which states lost two seats as a result.
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5 3 9
5. The results of an election involving three candidates, A, B, and C, are
shown in the table to the left. Using the pairwise comparison method, who
A B C is the winner
B C A
a. between A and B?
b. between A and C?
C A B c. between B and C?
d. of the election?
6. The results of a hypothetical election using approval voting are
summarized in the table below. An X indicates that the voter approves of
the candidate; a blank indicates no approval.
VOTERS
Adams X X X X X
Barnes X X X
Collins X X
Number of Voters
Place 15 25 29 30 45
First V V T P C
Second T T V V P
Third P C P T T
Fourth C P C C V
9. A group of 100 students ranked the three courses they liked best as shown
Number
in the table to the left. If the plurality method is used to select the top
of Voters
course, does the plurality method satisfy
Place 56 24 20 a. the majority criterion? Explain.
b. the head-to-head criterion? Explain.
First C B A
10. As in problem 9, does the plurality method satisfy
Second B C B
a. the monotonicity criterion if we assume a second election is undertaken
Third A A C and C gains additional support without losing any of the original sup-
port? Explain.
b. the irrelevant alternatives criterion if we assume that either A or B
drops out and a second election is undertaken? Explain.
11. Explain in your own words the meaning of Arrow’s Impossibility
Theorem.
12. Five universities received $162 million in total general education and
general fund revenues. The number of FTEs (to the nearest 1000) in each
of the five universities is as shown in the table below.
A B C D E Total
Find the standard divisor SD and the standard quota SQ for each university.
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Mathematics 30
English 60
Language 24
Art 16
Chemistry 50
Totals 180 90
Total 100,000 49 50
A 50,400
B 46,600
C 3000
Total 100,000 51
18. The table on page V57 shows the number of students taking mathematics,
English, and science courses during the fall and spring semesters. Suppose
that 100 full-time teaching positions were apportioned during the fall
semester using Hamilton’s method with the results shown.
304470-ch14_pV1-V59 11/7/06 10:01 AM Page 57
a. How many positions will each department get in the spring using
Hamilton’s method?
b. Is the apportionment fair? Explain your answer.
c. Is this apportionment an example of the population paradox? Explain.
State Population
19. A country has two states, A and B, with the population (in thousands)
shown in the table to the left and 41 seats in the legislature.
A 804 a. Find the apportionments for A and B using Hamilton’s method.
B 312 b. Suppose a third state C with a population of 228 (thousands) is added
C 228 with 8 additional seats. Does the new-states paradox occur using
Total 1344
Hamilton’s method? Explain.
20. Explain the meaning of Balinski and Young’s Impossibility Theorem in
your own words.
1. a. No b. D 1 14.1 1 V4–V5
c. A d. B
2. D wins the runoff 20 to 10. 2 14.1 2 V5
3. C wins with 63 points. 3 14.1 3 V6
4. D 4 14.1 4 V6–V7
5. a. A wins 14 to 3. 5 14.1 5 V8
b. C wins 12 to 5.
c. C wins 9 to 8.
d. C is the winner.
6. a. Adams b. Barnes 6 14.1 6 V9
7. a. B. Yes 7 14.2 2 V17–V18
b. A. No. B has the majority but A wins under
the Borda count method.
c. B. Yes d. B. Yes
8. a. P. Yes b. C. No 8 14.2 3 V19–V20
c. T. No d. V. No
e. P. Yes
9. a. Yes. C has the majority and wins under the 9 14.2 5 V23
plurality method.
b. Yes. C has the majority and wins head-to-
head against all other candidates.
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IF YOU
ANSWER MISSED REVIEW
10. a. Yes. C will still win the second election 10 14.2 5 V23
under the plurality method.
b. Yes. C will still win the second election
under the plurality method when either A or
B drops out.
11. There is no voting method that will always 11 14.2 V24
simultaneously satisfy each of the four fairness
criteria.
12. SD 40,500/162,000,000 0.00025 12 14.3 1 V31
Standard Quotas (in millions)
For A, 15,000/0.00025 60
For B, 8500/0.00025 34
For C, 6500/0.00025 26
For D, 6000/0.00025 24
For E, 4500/0.00025 18
Note that the total is $162 million.
30/1.8 16.67 16 16 1 17
60/1.8 33.33 33 33
24/1.8 13.33 13 13
16/1.8 8.89 8 81 9
50/1.8 27.78 27 27 1 28
100 97 100
14. Use 1.95 as the modified divisor, then round 14 14.3 4 V35
down.
MQ Actual
30/1.95 15.38 15
60/1.95 30.77 30
24/1.95 12.31 12
16/1.95 8.21 8
50/1.95 25.64 25
MQ Actual
30
2.05 14.63 15
60
2.05 29.27 30
24
2.05 11.71 12
16
2.05 7.80 8
50
2.05 24.39 25
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IF YOU
ANSWER MISSED REVIEW
SQ Extra Final
50,400
1960.78 25.70 25 1 26
46,600
1960.78 23.77 23 1 24
3000
1960.78 1.53 1 0 1
10 484 9.6338 9
19 990 19.7054 20
71 3550 70.6608 71
b. No.
c. Yes. Mathematics lost 1 position and English
gained 1 even though mathematics was
8
growing at a faster rate, 476 0.01681, than
English, 975 0.01538.
15