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Cyclone Bulbul Update: Landfall & Forecast

The document provides an hourly update on Severe Cyclonic Storm 'Bulbul' over the Northwest Bay of Bengal. It summarizes the storm's current location and intensity as 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph near the Sagar Islands in West Bengal. It is expected to make landfall within the next 2 hours as a severe cyclonic storm, gradually weakening as it moves northeastward across the coasts of West Bengal and Bangladesh. Heavy to very heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast for the landfall area.

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33 views5 pages

Cyclone Bulbul Update: Landfall & Forecast

The document provides an hourly update on Severe Cyclonic Storm 'Bulbul' over the Northwest Bay of Bengal. It summarizes the storm's current location and intensity as 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph near the Sagar Islands in West Bengal. It is expected to make landfall within the next 2 hours as a severe cyclonic storm, gradually weakening as it moves northeastward across the coasts of West Bengal and Bangladesh. Heavy to very heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast for the landfall area.

Uploaded by

Baid Realestate
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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India Meteorological Department

Earth System Science


Organisation
(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

HOURLY UPDATE ON SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘BULBUL’ OVER


NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL

BULLETIN NO. 15

DATE: 09-11-2019 TIME OF ISSUE: 2330 HRS IST

DATE/TIME (IST) OF 09-11-2019 (2230 HRS IST/1700 UTC)


OBSERVATION
LOCATION THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘BULBUL’ LAY CENTRED AT
LATITUDE/LONGITUDE 2230 HRS IST (1700 UTC) OF TODAY, THE 09TH NOVEMBER
2019, NEAR LAT. 21.50°N AND LONG. 88.45°E ABOUT
 45 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAGAR ISLANDS
 100 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIGHA
 85 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CANNING
 115 KM SOUTH OF KOLKATA
 190 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KHEPUPARA
(BANGLADESH)
CURRENT INTENSITY 110-120 KMPH GUSTING TO 135 KMPH. LANDFALL PROCESS
NEAR CENTER CONTINUES. PART OF THE EYE OVER THE LAND. THE ENTIRE
LANDFALL PROCESS WILL TAKE ANOTHER 2 HOURS.
PAST MOVEMENT SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘BULBUL’ MOVED FURTHER
NORTHEASTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 11 KMPH
DURING PAST 6 HOURS.
FORECAST MOVEMENT, IT IS LIKELY TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY & MOVE
INTENSITY AND NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS WEST BENGAL -
BANGLADESH COASTS BETWEEN SAGAR ISLANDS (WEST
LANDFALL
BENGAL) AND KHEPUPARA (BANGLADESH), ACROSS
SUNDERBAN DELTA DURING NEXT 02 HOURS AS A SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
OF 110-120 KMPH GUSTING TO 135 KMPH
FORECAST RAINFALL  LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED HEAVY TO
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER
SOUTH & NORTH 24 PARGANAS DURING NEXT 12 HOURS
AND ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS OVER WEST & EAST
MEDINIPUR DURING NEXT 06 HOURS.
FORECAST MAXIMUM FORECAST WIND:
SUSTAINED WIND SQUALLY WIND SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH
SPEED (KMPH) IS LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL
OFF NORTH ODISHA COAST DURING NEXT 06 HOURS.
GALE WIND SPEED REACHING 110-120 KMPH GUSTING TO
135 KMPH IS LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG & OFF EAST
SOUTH & NORTH 24 PARGANAS AND 90-100 KMPH GUSTING
TO 125 KMPH ALONG & OFF EAST MEDINIPUR DISTRICT
DURING NEXT 06 HOURS AND DECREASE THEREAFTER.
SQUALLY WIND SPEED 30-40 KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH
IS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER KOLKATA DURING NEXT
03 HOURS.
STORM SURGE STORM SURGE OF ABOUT 1.0 TO 2.0 METER HEIGHT
ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS VERY LIKELY TO INUNDATE
LOW LYING AREAS OF SOUTH AND NORTH 24 PARGANAS
AND 0.5-1.0 METER HEIGHT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS
VERY LIKELY TO INUNDATE LOW LYING AREAS OF EAST
MEDINIPUR DURING THE TIME OF LANDFALL. THE
MAXIMUM EXTENT OF INUNDATION IS LIKELY TO BE
AROUND 2 KM OVER SOUTH AND NORTH 24 PARGANAS.

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