MEPM 521 / Fall 2018
Solved Problem
Learning Curve
Problem 1
The ABC Company has just been given a production schedule for ski-lift gondola cars. This product is
considerably different from any others the company has produced. Historically, the company‘s learning
rate has been 80% on large projects. The first unit took 1,000 hours to produce.
Estimate how many hours would be required to complete the 38th unit.
Solution
We use the learning curve formulas to calculate the time required for the 38th unit:
Given: L=0.80 a= 1000 hrs X =38th unit.
(Ln L /Ln 2)
Y38 = α X
(Ln 0.80/ Ln 2)
Y38 = 1000 x 38 = 310.02
hrs hrs
Problem 2
Assume the first unit of production required 3 hours time for assembly. The learning rate is 75%. Find
(a) the time to assemble the 8th unit, and (b) the time needed to assemble the first 6 units.
Solution
a) r
Y=αX
(Ln 0.75/ Ln 2)
Y8 = 3 x 8 = 1.27 hrs
b)
Estimation Techniques
Problem 3
In 2002 Acme Chemical purchased a large pump for $112,000. Acme keys their cost estimating for these
pumps to the industrial pump index, with a baseline of 100 established in 1992. The index in 2002 was
212. Acme is now (2010) considering construction of a new addition and must estimate the cost of the
same type and size of pump. If the industrial pump index is currently 286, what is the estimated cost of
the new pump?
Solution
Cost of the new pump:
Problem 4
Acme Logistics provides “less than truck load” (LTL) services throughout the U.S. They have several hubs
where they use cross-docking to move goods from one trailer to another. Acme built its last hub 10
years ago, and it had 36 dock doors. The cost index at that time was 140, and the total cost was $6
million. Acme plans a new hub that will have 48 dock doors. The cost index now is 195, and Acme will
use a capacity factor of 0.82. What is the estimated cost of the new hub?
Solution
Problem 5
A water filtration system in an industrial process was purchased in 2014 for $250,000. It will be replaced at the end
of year 2019. What is the estimated cost of the replacement, based on the following equipment cost index?
Year Index Year Index
2014 220 2017 257
2015 238 2018 279
2016 247 2019 298
Solution
=250,000 (298/220)= $ 338,636.4
Problem 6
In 2002 Acme Chemical purchased a large pump for $112.000. Acme keys their cost estimating for these
pumps to the industrial pump index, with a baseline of 100 established in 1992. The index in 2002 was 212.
Acme is now (2010) considering construction of a new addition and must estimate the cost of the same type
and size of pump. If the industrial pump index is currently 286, what is the estimated cost of the new
pump?
Solution
=112,000 (286/212)= $ 151,049
Problem 7