Topic 2
Fixed Income Instrument Overview
          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   1
                                Outline
• Fixed income securities;
   – Cash flow terms *
   – Discount rate: risks
• Fixed income markets/issuers;
   – Treasury bonds*
• Different price quotations
                            FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   2
                           Overview
• Recall that bond price is a function of:
   – Cash flows
      • What are the different cash flow patterns?
      • Features of debt instruments
   – Discount rates
      • Related to risk --- high risk => high discount rate
      • What are the risks associated with bond investment
• What are the major debt markets & instruments?
                         FINA 4120 – Fixed Income             3
Features of Fixed Income Instruments
            FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   4
           Other Coupon Features (1)
• Zero Coupon Bond
  – No coupon payments
• Step-Up Notes
  – Coupon rates “steps up” over time
• Deferred Coupon Bond
  – No coupon payments for the deferred period
• Payment-in-kind (PIK) Bond
  – Coupon is paid in cash or new bond
                    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income     5
              An example of PIK bond
• Glazer family bought Manchester United in a £790M LBO
  in 2005.
• Glazer issued a PIK facility with 14.5% coupon rate to
  finance the LBO
• It started out as a £138M loan. As of Nov 2010, the loan
  stood at £210M.
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income               6
            Other Coupon Features (2)
• Floating Rate Securities
   – Coupon rate = reference rate + quoted margin
      • Coupon rate = 5-year Treasury yield + 90 basis points
   – Treasury Inflation Protection Securities (TIPS) and
     Inflation-linked (-indexed) Bond
      • Reference rate is an inflation index
   – Inverse (Reverse) Floater
      • Coupon rate = K – L∙(reference rate)
   – Caps and Floors
      • Impose maximum and minimum coupon rate
                         FINA 4120 – Fixed Income               7
                 Practice Question
• Identify the following bonds
   – Coupon rate = 32% - 2∙(5-year Treasury rate)
   – Coupon = 5.1% (year 1-3), 5.7% (year 4-9) and 6.2%
     (year 10-20)
   – Coupon = change in consumer price index + 3.1%
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income             8
                      Answer
– Inverse floater
– Step-up note
– Inflation-linked bond
                  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   9
The Orange County Bankruptcy
        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   10
      Inverse Floater and Orange County
• Time is the beginning of 1994
• County treasurer Robert Citron has enjoyed long
  periods of success and is now managing a $7.5b
  investment pool
• Interest rate is at historical low
• How to “enhance” investment rate of return?
  (sounds familiar now? ;) )
• Inverse Floater comes to rescue…
                  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income          11
      Inverse Floater and Orange County
• Robert Citron invested large amount in Inverse
  Floater
• Not only that, he levered up
• But from February 1994, the Federal Reserve
  Bank began to raise US interest rates
• The rest is in history book
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income        12
                A Tale of Two Men
Robert Citron
                                              John Moorlach
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                   13
      Inverse Floater and Orange County
• Orange County suffered loss around $1.6billion
• On December 6 1994, it declared bankruptcy
• In 1998, Orange County reaches a $400 million
  settlement of its lawsuit against Merrill Lynch
• Orange County repays averaged $68 million a
  year, and fully repaid in 2017 (22 years!)
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income         14
              Other Bond Features (1)
• Call Provision allows the issuer to repurchase the bond at
  a specified call price before the maturity date
                          Callable Bond Price vs . Inte re s t Rate
              Bond
              Price
              5000
              4000
              3000
              2000
              1000
                 0
                      0             5               10          15
                                     Inte re s t Rate
                              FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                15
• Bonds are most likely to be called when the price
  exceeds the call price
   – It implies that premium bonds will likely be called at the earliest
     date when the bond becomes callable
• Two U.S. Treasury bonds of same maturity from July
  1, 2004 WSJ:
                  Maturity                                        Asked
      Rate                                Bid           Ask
                  Mo/Yr                                           Yield
      4 3/4       May 14 n               101:15          101:16     4.56
      13 1/4      May 14                 142:03          142:04     3.71
   The first bond has a coupon rate of 4.75%, and yields 4.56%
   The second bond has a coupon rate of 13.25%, and yields only
     3.71% --- Why (!!!)
                             FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                      16
• The difference is that the second bond is CALLABLE!!!
   –   It was issued as a 30yr bond in May of 1984, and is callable at par value
     in 25 years, i.e. in May of 2009
   – Now it is almost 100% certain that it will be called, hence it now trades
     as bond maturing in 2009. See below
                 Maturity                                       Asked
       Rate                               Bid          Asked
                 Mo/Yr                                          Yield
       3 7/8     May 09 n                 100:22       100:23     3.71
       5 1/2     May 09 n                 108:02       108:03     3.67
                            FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                          17
         Calculator Example: Mortgage
You have managed to save $50,000 and are buying
your first house for $250,000. You are offered a 9%
APR (compounded monthly) 30 year mortgage.
a) What is your monthly payment?
b) How long would it take you to pay back the
   mortgage if you are willing to cut back on your
   monthly expenses and increase the monthly
   payment by $200?
c) What will be the mortgage balance at the end of
   second month?
                    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income          18
          Calculator Example: Bond
20-year bond with par value of $1,000 with a coupon
rate of 8% (semi-annual payment). If the bond price
is $950, what is the bond equivalent and effective
annual yield to maturity?
                  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income       19
              Other Bond Features (2)
• Put Provision allows a bondholder to sell the bond back
  to the issuer at a specified put price on designated dates
• Convertible Provision allows a bondholder to exchange a
  bond for common stock
   – Typically are callable as well
• Secured Bonds have specific collaterals for bonds
• Sinking Funds guarantee gradual repurchase of corporate
  bonds by the issuer
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income           20
Risk associated with Bond Investment
            FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   21
                         Risks (1)
• Interest rate risk
   – Bond price fluctuates with market interest rates
   – The price sensitivity of a bond to change in yield is
     measured by duration (will be discussed later)
• Yield curve risk
   – For a portfolio of bonds with different maturities, its
     value will be affected by the entire yield curve
   – Need fancy math models
   – Since the shift in yield curve is not necessarily parallel
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                   22
Historical Yield curve shifts
        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   23
                        Risks (2)
• Reinvestment risk
  – The intermediate cash flows might be reinvested at
    lower interest rates
  – To address this issue, do a total return analysis (will be
    discussed later)
• Call and Prepayment Risk
  – When interest rate is low, bond will be called and
    mortgage will be prepaid
  – This is good for the bond issuer and home owner, but
    bad for the bond holder and mortgage holder.
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income               24
                          Risks (3)
• Credit Risk
   – Default Risk
      • What if the bond issuer refuses to pay?
   – Credit spread risk
      • What if the compensation for default risk goes up? (A higher
        discount rate)
   – Downgrade risk
      • What if the default risk of Bond A suddenly increases?
                        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                       25
                        Risks (4)
• Liquidity Risk
   – What if you have to incur a large discount in price
     when selling a bond?
• Exchange Rate or Currency Risk
   – When the cash flow payment is not in the domestic
     currency
• Inflation or Purchasing Power Risk
   – Consider the recent collapse in the oil price
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income             26
                       Risks (5)
• Event Risk
  – Natural disaster
  – Corporate restructure
  – Regulatory change
• Sovereign Risk
  – What if a country defaults on its debt?
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   27
                    Event Risk
• LIBOR Scandal
• LIBOR
• http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/07/10/b
  usiness/dealbook/behind-the-libor-scandal.html
• Benchmark rates for many securities
• “This dwarfs by orders of magnitude any financial
  scam in the history of markets.”
• Andrew Lo, MIT Professor of Finance
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income       28
Sovereign Risk
 FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   29
                  Hard to Liquidate
• It might work for some weak countries
   – Hedge funds tried to collect assets from Argentina
   – Included one Navy vessel, and failed…
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income            30
               Hard to Liquidate
• It might be tricky for some other ones…
                  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   31
Chinese Debt Crisis?
    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   32
Chinese Debt Crisis?
    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   33
               Practice Question
• A British portfolio manager is considering
  investing in Japanese government bonds (JGBs)
  denominated in yen. What are the major risks
  associated with this investment?
                  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income        34
                        Answer
–   foreign exchange risk
–   interest rate risk
–   reinvestment risk
–   small credit risk
–   minimal sovereign risk
                    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   35
Bond Market Classification and Instruments
               FINA 4120 – Fixed Income      36
                    Bond Markets
• External vs. Internal; Domestic vs. Foreign
• Primary v.s. Secondary
• Classified by issuer:
   –   Treasury
   –   Agency
   –   Municipal
   –   Mortgage-backed
   –   Corporate
• Money Market Instruments (maturity < 1 yr)
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   37
              External vs. Internal
• External Bond Market (aka Eurobond Market)
  – A bond issued and traded in a market but is
    denominated in a currency other than the home
    currency of the market
  – Mostly for regulation or market liquidity
  – Eurodollar Bond (US$), Euroyen Bond (¥)
  – Example: BMW issued a 5.5y $750M Eurodollar
    underwritten by BNP Paribas, Dresdner Kleinwort, JP
    Morgan and Royal Bank of Scotland
                    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income              38
                    External vs. Internal
• Internal Bond Market
  – Domestic Bond
  – Foreign Bond
     • A bond that is issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity
      Yankee Bond          Bulldog Bond            Samurai Bond
                        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                        39
       Question from previous mid-term,
• If McDonald’s Corp issues a Japanese Yen denominated
  bond in Japan, the bond will be called:
   (a) Big Mac Bond
   (b) Euroyen Bond
   (c) Yankee Bond
   (d) Samurai Bond
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income           40
            Answer
– (d)
        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   41
    Primary Market vs. Secondary Market
• Primary market is where securities are initially
  offered and sold
   – where firms and governments raise money
   – treasury auctions, stock IPO and SEO, and debt
     offerings
• Secondary market is where financial securities are
  traded among investors
   – NYSE, NASDAQ, etc
   – Provides liquidity to financial securities
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income       42
             Primary Market of Debts
• Treasuries are sold to investors directly through
  treasury auctions in primary market
• Other bonds are sold to investors either directly or
  indirectly
   – Public issue: Securities issued to a disperse group of
     investors. Needs to be registered with SEC
   – Traditional Private issue: Securities sold to a small
     group of investors or to an investment bank. Not
     registered with SEC
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                43
                 Secondary Market
• Secondary market participants include:
   – investors
   – brokers
   – dealers
• Organized exchanges
   – NYSE, AMEX
   – Specialists system
• OTC market
   – NASDAQ
   – Multiple dealers
                        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   44
                   Secondary Market
• Bid-ask spread: the difference between dealer’s
  bid price and ask price
   –   Profits to dealers
   –   compensate for dealer’s transaction cost
   –   compensate for dealer’s inventory cost
   –   compensate for dealer’s risk of trading with informed
       traders
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                45
              Secondary Bond Market
• The secondary markets for most corporate bonds
  are very difficult for individuals to trade bonds
   – No significant centralized exchange.
   – Markets are highly fragmented.
   – Price information is not transparent. No rules to govern
     what price a broker gets.
   – Most corporate bonds are very illiquid
   – Liquidity improves after the introduction NASDAQ
     TRACE (Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine)
                           Bond Prices
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income             46
         Big Players on the Bond Market
•   Mutual Funds
•   Insurance Companies
•   Pension Funds
•   Savings & Loan Associations
•   Federal Reserve System
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   47
• Recall Bond Market Classified by Issuer:
   –   Treasury
   –   Agency
   –   Municipal
   –   Mortgage-backed
   –   Corporate
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   48
                The Treasury Market
• The U.S. Treasury market is among the largest and most
  liquid securities market in the world, with billions of
  dollars of transactions daily
• New issues account for a small fraction of the huge daily
  trading volume, which occurs primarily in the secondary
  (resale) market
• It is where the federal government finances the budget
  deficit and the over $18 trillion national debt held by the
  public
                        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                49
Drone Killed, Yield Sank
                                 Soleimani killed
      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                 50
    Who Sets (Short-term) Interest Rates?
• The Fed is not the Treasury!
• The Federal Reserve controls two key short-term rates:
   – Discount rate
       • Rate for loans from Fed to temporarily illiquid banks
   – Federal funds rate target
       • Inter-bank overnight lending rate
       • Determined by supply/demand and credit quality in the market
         for bank reserves
       • Fed keeps rate near target by injecting/withdrawing reserves
         (buying/selling Treasury bonds)
                       Link to NY Fed
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                  51
Overnight Repo
 FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   52
                          FOMC
• The Federal Open Market Committee
  – meets at least eight times a year
  – consists of twelve members
  – reviews economic and financial conditions
  – determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy
  – assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability
    and sustainable economic growth
  – sets the Fed Fund Rate Target and provide guidance for
    the future
  – http://www.federalreserve.gov/FOMC/#calendars
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                53
                          FOMC
• How to kick-start the economy?
   – Lower real interest rate
   – Real rate = nominal rate – inflation
• Lower Nominal rate
   – Is there a limit?
   – Can interest rate be negative?
• Higher inflation
   – QEs / OT
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   54
Provide guidance by making long-run rate
               forecasts
                                         Basically, Fed is
                                         sending a
                                         credible signal
                                         that rates will be
                                         low for a long
                                         long time!!!
              FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                        55
Shifting Guidance
  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   56
   Press Conference
ECB Announcement and Press Conference
       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income         57
    FOMC
FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   58
Interest rate cut or up? (2019.08.01)
            FINA 4120 – Fixed Income    59
    Cut! 
FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   60
       Limitation of Central Bank Policy
• Central bank independence
   – Pros: less affected by political incentives
   – Cons: no synergy with other policies
• Monetary policy and fiscal policy
   – Euro sovereign debt crisis
• Other political tricks…
• Central bank limited capacity
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income    61
Next Monday after the Fed cut (Aug. 5)
           USD/CNY Spot and PBOC fixings
              FINA 4120 – Fixed Income     62
Show Time!
FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   63
                  Who is the target?
• China?
  – All potential punishments have been done in trade
    war…
  – Except IMF investigation (if you pretend you care…)
• Fed?
  – Increase the market concern
  – Push the rate cut
     • Direct pressure
     • Indirect market belief
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income           64
               Connecting the knots
• Treasury Department
  – “In recent days, China has taken concrete steps to
    devalue its currency, while maintaining substantial
    foreign exchange reserves despite active use of such
    tools in the past…”
• On the same day
  – All four former still-living Fed chairs—Paul Volcker,
    Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen made
    their case Monday for the central bank to remain free
    from short-term political pressures.
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income              65
                      BTW…
• JP Morgan “Volfefe” index (google covfefe)
• Based on Trump’s tweets
• Most Market Moving Words:
   –   China
   –   Billion
   –   Products
   –   Democrats
   –   Great
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income    66
               Market Operations
• There’s a limit for market operations (Japan)
                   FINA 4120 – Fixed Income       67
Bank of Japan
 FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   68
               Who Sets Interest Rates?
• Short term rates: A combination of
   – Fed (indirectly) through Fed Funds market
   – Markets: Through connection between Fed Funds and other short term
     (money) markets
• Long term rates: Set by markets through
   – Expectations of
       • Future interest rates
       • Future inflation
       • Expected Fed policy important to both
   – Supply and demand for L/T bonds and alternative investments (short
     run effect)
• Bottom line
   – Fed can influence expectations and short-term rates (to some extent),
     but Markets determine interest rates
                             FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                   69
                         US Treasuries
• BILLS (quoted at a discount) UP TO 1 YEAR
   – 4 week
   – 3 Month Bills are issued with 13 weeks or 91 days to maturity.
   – 6 Month Bills are issued with 26 weeks or 182 days to maturity.
• NOTES (semi-annual coupons) 1 TO 10 YRS
• BONDS (semi-annual coupons) OVER 10 YRS
   – most nominal
   – TIPS are indexed
• Recent phase-outs include 1-year, 7-year, 30-year
• But the 30-year is coming back!
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                     70
                              Risk
• Treasury securities are considered safe from default risk
  because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the
  U.S. government
• Investors in Treasury’s face “price risk”: as interest rates
  rise, bond prices fall
• Investors in Treasury’s face “reinvestment risk”: coupon
  payments must be reinvested at a lower rate if interest rates
  fall
• These risks are relatively small for T-bills because of the
  short-term nature of these securities
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                 71
Same Riskless, Different Prices
   Risk-free rate implied from different securities
               FINA 4120 – Fixed Income               72
    Risky US Treasuries?
CDS premium for US Treasuries in the Euro Market
             FINA 4120 – Fixed Income              73
                             Players
• Issuer:
   – The Treasury issues bills, bonds and notes to finance the national
     debt of the U.S. government.
• Lenders:
   –   The Federal Reserve
   –   Commercial Banks
   –   Mutual Funds
   –   Corporations
   –   Individuals
   –   Foreigners
                         FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                    74
       Primary Market for Treasury Securities
• How does U.S. Treasury go about borrowing money
  (issuing debt)?
  – Every week the Treasury sells a previously announced quantity of 91 and
    182 day bills in a sealed auction
  – Longer bills and bonds are also sold at regular but less frequent intervals
  – In the Treasury bill auction, bills are distributed to bidders, at the market
    clearing yield, in the order of priority:
      •     (1) The Fed
      •     (2) Non-competitive bids (up to $1 million)
      •     (3) Competitive bids
                               FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                      75
                         Auction Example
$10 billion issue, $1 billion of non-competitive bids, $2 billion purchase from
   Federal Reserve, $7 billion left for competitive bids
Offers:            $0.5 billion @ 3.10%
                   $0.6 billion @ 3.11%
                   $1.4 billion @ 3.12%
                   $2.6 billion @ 3.13%
                   $3.2 billion at 3.14%
• Accepted yield is 3.14%, the rate necessary to sell the whole issue.
• 3.13% would have been sufficient for $5.1 billion of competitive bids.
• 3.14% is sufficient for $8.3 billion.
• All bidders offering to accept a rate lower than 3.14% are accepted.
• Only $1.9 billion of $3.2 billion bid at 3.14% is needed, so competitive
   bidders at this rate receive 1.9/3.2 = 59.375% of the amount bid for
• Noncompetitive bids, nonpublic purchases, and all accepted competitive bids
   will receive notes with a yield of 3.14%.
                             FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                    76
                     Treasury Bill Sale
                             WSJ, 01/17/17
WASHINGTON -- The Treasury will auction $112 billion in new debt.
Tuesday: $45 billion in 4-week bills, dated Jan. 19, 2017, maturing Feb.
  16, 2017. Cusip: 912796KH1. Noncompetitive tenders must be
  received by noon EST Tuesday; competitive tenders, by 1 p.m.
                               Auction results
                           FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                        77
FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   78
                           Auctions
• Movie
• Two types of auctions:
   – Discriminatory auction: Each bidder pays price bid. “You
     get what you asked for”.
   – Dutch Auction: also called a single price auction. Each
     bidder pays price of lowest accepted bid.
• Which would Treasury prefer?
   – Treasury wants to maximize revenue.
   – Discriminatory auctions suffer from Winner’s curse
      • “if you won, you paid too much”. Bidders will tend to shave
        bids, or offer lower bids.
   – Dutch auction doesn’t suffer from this problem.
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                       79
          The Salomon Brothers Scandal
• Spring 1991
• I-banks buy securities at auction to resell to clients
• Can “squeeze” the market if can buy enough of the auction to make it
  difficult for other investment banks to fulfill their obligations to
  customers
• Treasury rule: No one bank can take more than 35% of the auction
• Mozer’s action: Made unauthorized bids in name of customer
  (Warburg). Action was uncovered
• Consequences: Mozer was fired, Chairman and CEO were forced to
  resign in disgrace, Salomon’s reputation never recovered
• What almost brought them down: Failure to report the illegal action
  promptly to the Treasury.
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                       80
        The Secondary Market of Treasuries
• Very active OTC secondary market made by dealers and
  brokers
   – Market makers stay in close contact over telephone and computer links
   – The most liquid in the world.
   – Average daily volume = $500 billion
   – A typical trade is $10-$250 million
• Biggest volume of trade (2x retail market) is between dealers
  in this market
• The Fed uses about 22 "primary dealers" to carry out “open
  market operations”
   – Fed traders traded $4.5 trillion, but they don’t have year-end bonus
                           FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                    81
• Why market trust US treasuries?
                  FINA 4120 – Fixed Income   82
                          Agency
• Issued by federal or local agencies.
   – Examples: Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB),
     Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), Federal National
     Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), Sallie Mae,
     Freddie Mac.
   – Quasi-private. Issued by a private agency, but
     sponsored and backed by the government.
   – Typically geared towards specific projects. E.g., low
     income loans, mortgages.
   – Virtually default free, but future cash flows can be
     uncertain (due to pre-payment risk).
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income               83
                   Federal Agency Securities
• Federally Related Institutions
   – arms of the federal government, such as the Export-Import bank,
     Tennessee Valley Authority, Government National Mortgage
     Association (Ginnie Mae)
   – Most federally related institutions do not issue securities directly
     in the marketplace, except TVA
• Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs)
   – privately owned, publicly chartered entities
   – Created by Congress to reduce the cost of capital for certain
     borrowing sectors
                           FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                   84
                  Federal Agency Securities
• Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs)
   – There are five GSEs that issue debt to investors:
      •   Federal Farm Credit Bank System
      •   Federal Home Loan Bank System (FHLBS)
      •   Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae)
      •   Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac)
      •   Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae)
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income               85
            Federal Agency Securities
– Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and FHLBS
   • Created by congress to provide liquidity and lower interest
     rates in US residential mortgage debt market
   • Big players in the Mortgage backed securities market
   • Each plays a different roles in the MBS market
   • Details later
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                      86
              Federal Agency Securities
• Credit Risk
   – Securities issued by GSEs are generally not backed
     explicitly by the full faith and credit of the US
     government
   – However, most investors assume (correctly) that the US
     government will bail out GSEs when they are in trouble
   – Credit risk is relatively small, but not negligible
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income            87
                      Municipal
• Issued by state and local governments.
   – Sometimes called “MUNIs”.
   – Interest payments typically exempt from federal income
     taxes and in-state taxes.
   – Backed by the taxing power of local authority.
   – Not default-free
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income            88
                Municipal Bonds
• Bonds issued by state and local governments and
  governmental entities
• Short-term Munis are issued to cover seasonal and
  temporary imbalances between expenditure and tax
  revenues
• Long-term Munis are issued to finance long-term capital
  projects and long-term budget deficits
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income         89
                    Investors in Muni’s
• Individuals investors, commercial banks, and insurance
  companies dominates the Munis markets.
• Wealthy individual investors hold Munis either directly or
  through mutual funds to reduce their tax liability.
• Commercial banks hold Munis for two reasons:
   – use them as collateral against deposits
   – as a market maker of Munis
• Insurance companies increase their holding of Munis when their
  profits are up, vice versa.
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                 90
                   Risks of Munis
• Credit Risk
   – Risk of default, though low, is not negligible
   – Revenue bonds generally have higher credit risk
• Tax Risk
   – Lower tax rate will make Munis less attractive
   – Uncertainty of the tax-exempt status of some Munis
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income             91
           Primary Markets for Munis
• Munis can be offered publicly or privately
   – If offered publicly, a issue is usually underwritten by
     investment bankers and/or commercial banks
   – Public offerings may be marketed by either competitive
     bidding or direct negotiations with underwriters
• Issuer (local government) needs to prepare an
  official statement describing the issue
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income              92
           Secondary Markets for Munis
• Munis are traded in the over-the-counter market supported
  by municipal bond dealers
   – Larger issuers (or general names) are supported by the national
     brokerage firms and banks
   – Smaller issuers (or local general credits) are supported by regional
     brokerage firms and local banks.
• Trade size is usually large
   – For individual investors, the minimal trade size is usually $25,000
   – For institutional investors, the minimal trade size is usually
     $100,000
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                      93
    Stock and bond in the long run, after tax
                           Business week
• We know that over the long run, stock outperforms bond
  by a large margin.
• Is it still true after-tax for high net-worth investor in high-
  tax state
    – S&P500 has 9.15% annual return from 1957 to 2008
    – After federal taxes, return drops to 6.62%
    – Deducting California state tax (10%), return drops further to 5.95%
    – If you invest via a high-turnover mutual fund, after-tax return is
      only 4.59%
    – Annualized return is 5.45% for tax-free munis with much less risk
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                     94
                     Mortgage-backed
• Issues backed by a “pool” of mortgages.
   –   Pool is like a portfolio of assets bundled together.
   –   Process of bundling called “securitization”.
   –   Often backed by guarantee from an agency.
   –   But Cash flow uncertainty arises from pre-payment
       risk.
        • Prepayment risk arises when borrowers decide to pay off or
          refinance debt early. When could this happen?
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                     95
                          Corporate
• Issued by corporations.
   – Not default free, but often low risk.
   – Classified by rating agencies assessment of default risk:
      • Above investment grade = “normal” corporate debt. Typically
        senior claim with little chance of default.
      • below investment grade (BIG) = “junk” debt. Often junior
        claim with high chance of default. Security starts to look like
        stock.
                        FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                      96
             Money Market Instruments
• Debt (and its derivatives) with < 1 year maturity
   – Treasury Bills - short term debt obligation of the U.S. Treasury
   – Federal Funds - loans between depository institutions used to meet
     reserve requirements
   – Negotiable Certificates of Deposit (CDs) - large denomination time
     deposit issued by banks
   – Repurchase Agreements (repo or RP) - way to borrow a given set of
     funds by selling securities and then simultaneously agreeing to buy
     the securities back on a pre-specified date at a pre-specified price
   – Commercial Paper - short-term debt issued by corporations
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                      97
                 Money Market Rate
• Discount Rate (d)
   – Discount rate (d) is a percentage of par that money
     market instrument is selling below the par, adjusted for
     maturity.
                     360   Par  P 
                 d                
                     t   Par 
   – Quoted by T-bills and commercial paper
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income              98
               Money Market Rate
– Example: p=98, t=90, par=100
    360  100  98 
 d                 0.08
    90     100    
– Advantages
   •   Easy to calculate
– Disadvantages:
   • 360 days
   • Rate is calculated as a percentage of the par
   • Not comparable to interest rate quoted on coupon bearing
     bonds
                      FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                  99
                   Money Market Rate
• Add on Rate (a)
   – Add on rate (a) is a percentage of the selling price that the money
     market instrument is selling below the par value, adjusted for
     maturity.
                 360   Par  P 
              a
                 t     P     
   – Quoted by Fed Funds, and repos
                         FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                     100
              Money Market Rate
– Earlier example: d=8%, par=100, p=98, t=90
– a=8.16%
– Advantages
   • Easy to calculate
– Disadvantages
   • 360 days
   • Not comparable to interest rate quoted on coupon bearing
     bonds
                    FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                    101
                   Money Market Rate
• Bond Equivalent Yield (r)
   – Bond equivalent yield is similar to add on rate, but it uses 365 days
     in a year.
          Par  P   365 
       r          t 
            P      
   – Wall Street Journal gives bond equivalent yield on T-bills
   – This is different from the BEY for coupon bond!
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                     102
              Money Market Rate
– Earlier example: d=8%, par=100, p=98, t=90
– r=8.28%
– Advantages:
   • Relatively easy to compute
– Disadvantages:
   • Not comparable to interest rate quoted on coupon bearing
     bonds
                     FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                   103
                  Money Market Rates
• What should we do?
   – Keep in mind that quoted interest rates on different money market
     instruments may not be comparable
   – Try to convert all money market rates to “effective annual yield” to
     be consistent and comparable to coupon bearing bonds
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                    104
                     Example: WSJ quote
  Below is a WSJ T-bill quote on Friday 9/8/00:
    Maturity        Days to         Bid         Asked    Chg.    Ask
                     Mat.                                        Yld.
    Oct 05’00          27          5.96           5.88   -0.01   5.99
• Recall for T-bills, the bid price (at which you can sell) and
  ask price (at which you can buy) are quoted as a discount
  from the face value, d.
                              FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                  105
               Example: WSJ quote (2)
• Therefore, the prices are:
                             27        
            Ask  100   1     0.0588   $99.559
                         360           
                             27        
            Bid  100   1     0.0596   $99.553
                         360           
   – These are prices per $100 principal
   – Ask price > Bid price
       • That is how the dealer makes money
                          FINA 4120 – Fixed Income    106
               Example: WSJ quote (3)
• The “Ask Yield” listed by WSJ is the BEY:
                  365  100  99.559 
            BEY                     5.99%
                  27  99.559 
• The “effective Annual Yield” is:
                                                    365
                                  100             27
        Effective Annual Yield                          1  6.16%
                                  99.559 
   – Can be compared to effective annual yields of other bonds
                         FINA 4120 – Fixed Income                       107
                         Summary
• Topic 2 covered:
  – Different bond features
  – Various risks associated with bond investment
  – Bond markets
     • External vs. Internal, Primary vs. Secondary
  – Bond Instruments
     • Treasury, Agency, Muni, MBS, Corp
     • Money Market Instruments
                       FINA 4120 – Fixed Income       108