Coffee Ind
Coffee Ind
                                          140
                                                                                                             55
             Supply / Demand (000 bags)
                                          120
                                                                                                                  Stocks (000 bags)
100 45
                                          80                                                                 35
                                          60
                                                                                                             25
                                          40
                                                                                                             15
                                          20
                                           0                                                                 5
                                                1997   1998   1999    2000       2001   2002   2003   2004
                                                                             1
manifested itself in new and innovative            technologically advanced and cost
retail formats. Rightly has it been                efficient producer who seriously
observed, “today’s international coffee            threatens the future of the less efficient
culture    transcends     the    globe,            producer. In a World Bank paper on the
transforming an ancient commodity into             coffee crisis, it was observed “the
a phenomenon of the consumer age” 2.               history of coffee prices can be regarded
Coffee brands such as Starbucks,                   as a series of shocks that some times
Nescafe, and Illy have become global               introduced a new paradigm shift. The
icons.                                             current shifts are among the most
                                                   substantial ever experienced”3. The
        Several studies, which have                emergence of Vietnam and resurgence of
analyzed the fall in prices in major               Brazil have lowered the cost structure
agricultural commodities in this period,           for coffee production.        Today, the
have underscored the fact that coffee has          average production of the three top
shown the greatest fall. In the late 80’s          producers viz., Brazil, Vietnam and
and part of the 90’s, earnings by coffee           Colombia constitutes around 55%
producing countries, which in terms of             (average of three years) of global
export f.o.b. were around US$ 10-12                production. The outlook for coffee in
billion, dropped to the range of around            the medium term is likely to be
US$ 5-6 billion at the peak of the crisis.         dominated by the biennial nature of
This was in stark contrast to the                  Brazil’s     production      that     will
continued growth in value of retail sales          significantly influence the annual
in consuming countries from around                 demand supply balance. While coffee
                  120
                  100               ICO Composite Indicator Price
                   80
                   60
                   40
                   20
                    0
Month/year
                                             2
competitive and cannot differentiate, are          Box 1: Small coffee holders
being subjected to a severe competitive                 Coffee is cultivated in about 80
squeeze and will find it difficult to return       countries across Africa, Asia, Central and
to profitability.       If the market              South America and the Carribbean. It is
mechanisms were to take their ultimate             estimated that there are 25 to 30 million
course, the outcome would be that coffee           coffee farmers and nearly 70% of global
production will be concentrated among a            coffee is grown in farms of less than 5 ha.
few efficient producers at the cost of loss        Apart from being constrained by their weak
of jobs, livelihoods across several                socio-economic conditions, small holders
developing countries and a potential loss          across the globe are typified by a similar
in quality and variety that has                    mindset that makes them particularly
characterized the consumption of this              vulnerable in a crisis situation. They are
ancient beverage.                                  risk averse, susceptible to political
                                                   influence, generally cautious yet gullible,
                                                   have aspirations of economic well being
        The challenge therefore is, how            but have an enormous sense of inadequacy
to achieve an orderly market balance               regarding their ability to go it alone. As
where coffee prices will guarantee a               they lack the ability to combine, there is a
reasonable return not just to the efficient        dependency syndrome vis-à-vis the
producer but also to the average                   government        often       resulting    in
producer, bearing in mind that coffee is           disproportionate expectations. They have
grown in many parts of the world, in               found it most difficult to adjust to free
remote, environmentally fragile regions            market conditions especially in those
where there are few alternate economic             countries where they were hitherto
activities arising from constraints in             protected by pooled marketing systems,
infrastructure, the perennial nature of the        administered by marketing boards. In terms
coffee tree and limited diversification            of risk factors affecting production, a
opportunities due to agro-climatic                 majority of the small growers rank order
conditions, statutory restrictions, and            weather risk as most critical, followed by
market access problems. It is in this              price risk and other factors.
context that the search for sustainable                    The livelihoods of small growers
solutions, albeit within the framework of          focus mainly on survival.               It is
a market economy, has occupied the                 characterized by fragile entitlements, self
centre stage in the current debate on the          exploitation and unwaged family labor
coffee crisis.                                     income, weak or depleted human and
                                                   natural resources with livelihoods crisis-
Concept of Sustainable Agriculture                 crossed by periods of off farm work and
                                                   temporary migration.
        From      a     niche     concept,              Even the relatively better endowed
sustainable agriculture has entered                medium growers who typically constitute
mainstream thinking and has become a               the politically and socially mobile group
major issue in defining the strategies and         among the rural coffee community in
goals for agricultural development.                developing countries, have modest to low
                                                   levels of capitalization, and face declining
                                                   returns and increasing risks from
                                                   agricultural commodity production.
                                               3
       A number of sustainability                of sustainability relate to food safety,
concepts are in use. For the most part,          biodiversity, working conditions, land
they are centered on farming practices,          holdings, nature of proprietorship, etc.
use of inputs, biological control and            Some of the questions that are frequently
organic farming methods. Other aspects           raised on the issue of sustainability are
                                            4
as follows: What and whom do we want              spread of the new Information and
to sustain? What are the geographical             Communications Technology (ICT)
dimensions of sustainability? (Box 2)             which has contributed to the increase in
What are the principles of sharing of             trade and investment, with the latter
costs and benefits of sustainable                 particularly remarkable in the form of
agriculture?         What    type    of           cross border production by multinational
ownership/institutional structures is             companies and their network of affiliates
conducive for sustainable agriculture?            and partners. As a result we witness
What is the role of technology and what           today, “the simultaneous economic
are the key issues in the research                integration      of     countries    and
agenda?                                           disintegration of production processes” 6.
                                                  All of these developments, as we shall
        Lack of a precise definition of           see have influenced the fundamentals of
sustainability is indeed a problematic            the      farming     landscape,     quite
issue. However this has not diluted its           significantly.
authenticity. Moreover even if there are
differing views on sustainable goals and                  As a commodity, coffee has been
priorities, there is broad agreement that         integrated into the global process, being
as a concept, sustainability is not only          mainly an exportable product for
vital but also critical in our appraisal of       virtually all producing countries.
any problem we face in the 21st century.          However, the nature of this integration
Also, prioritizing the issue of economic          got substantially altered with various
sustainability in agricultural production         liberalization and deregulatory measures
is inescapable and inevitable, without            that occurred in the early nineties,
which other aspects of sustainability, be         following the dismantling of quotas.
it environmental or social, are largely           This (as we now know) did not result in
unattainable or at least seriously                uniformly enhancing the income earning
threatened.                                       capacities of producers – in fact
                                                  disparities across geographic regions
Globalization and Sustainability                  actually widened. Studies suggest that
                                                  this phenomenon (not unique to coffee)
        Adding further complexities to            is attributable to the nature of
the debate on sustainable agriculture are         participation in the global process or
the    forces    of     globalization,   a        value chain, which is fraught with
phenomenon, which if not new, has                 several constraints, and not participation
however manifested itself in new forms            per se. Therefore, “the key challenge
over the last few decades. Two aspects            thus confronting policy design and
of the current globalization drive are            implementation is not whether to take
interesting and significant. The first is,        part in the global processes but how to
the global ideological shift in terms of a        do so in ways which provide for
realignment of national policies towards          sustainable income growth”7.
economic      liberalization    and    the
dismantling of the state’s role in                        Liberalization of agriculture in
economic management and greater                   many developing countries, which saw
opening of the economy to international           the dismantling of institutions such as
trade and investment. The second is, the          marketing boards and other forms of
                                                  deregulation, also witnessed the removal
                                              5
of quantitative restrictions in trade. The        complex web of relationships thanks to
WTO agreement on agriculture is                   global integration, competition and
critically centered on the issue of market        emergence of new technologies (ICT
access and subsidies that has caused              having a significant impact). In the new
enormous distortion in agricultural trade.        age, consumers are becoming better
One of the key constraints facing small           informed and more demanding and to
holders in agriculture is direct access to        meet this challenge companies are
markets and pricing which in turn is              consolidating in pursuit of new
related, in a wider sense, to the terms of        efficiencies and economies of scale.
trade between farming and the rest of the
agricultural food chain.                                  The liberalization of agricultural
                                                  markets has been accompanied by the
        An important feature of the               gradual lessening of governments’
liberalization in trade, post WTO, is the         involvement in agriculture, especially on
emergence of a distinct trend where               the marketing side. On the other hand
international markets trends influence            there has been a perceptible rise in the
price and quality standards in domestic           private sector’s direct dealings with
markets.      Agriculture and more so             farmers. Against such a backdrop, an
agriculture which is oriented towards the         important issue to be addressed is the
export sector (and this is true of coffee)        apparent deficiency in terms of a well-
is required to turn out products at similar       informed private sector policy and
cost and quality as those that can be             regulatory mechanism that facilitates
bought in the world market.                       proper governance in the agribusiness
                                                  chain. To appreciate this, certain
Modern agribusiness value chains                  important features that characterize
                                                  agribusiness value chains need to be
            Modern agriculture is being           discussed as they are relevant in the
reshaped by many of the technologies              context of a sustainable coffee economy
transforming other industries. It is also         as well.
being subjected to unique political and
economic constraints and coffee has not
escaped this. Today, the coffee grower            a. First, there is the growing
has not only to produce efficiently and              importance of “ buyer-driven value
cost effectively, but he also needs to take          chains” which have “sophisticated
into account environmental concerns,                 forms of coordination and integration
welfare of workers and health of                     and rules of participation”. In
consumers.                                           vertically coordinated supply chains
                                                     which are increasingly adopting
       Further, modern agribusiness,                 common standards, rise of contracts
which for a long time and for the most               and specialized intermediaries are
part was basically an orderly chain of               proving to be “powerful drivers of
companies and institutions - a spectrum              divergence and marginalization
extending from supply of inputs at one               within farming communities” 8. In a
end to processing and retailing at the               traditional     scenario,      where
other with family farms central to the               controlling tangible means of
system - is now transforming itself into a           agricultural production such as land,
                                              6
   water, labor etc. is a critical variable          development and this is the growing
   in     capital    accumulation,      the          exploitation of the potential for
   superimposition of supply chain                   differentiation (Box 3) that has
   dynamics has resulted in ownership                spread to primary agricultural
   and control of intangible assets –                products in order to gain a
   such as market literacy, brands and               competitive edge, basically by
   patents – providing the key to                    securing a release from the low
   attainment of competitiveness and                 barriers to entry and declining terms
   hence          increased         capital          of trade that inevitably afflicts
   accumulation. Governance of supply                commoditised products over time.
   chains which is understood as “ the
   power to define who and who does               c. In a globalized and buyer driven
   not participate in the chain, the                 supply chain, management and
   setting of the rules of inclusion,                control of information is directly
   assisting chain participants to                   related to industrial size and
   achieve these standards, monitoring               concentration.      “Size      confers
   their performance”9 acquires distinct             logistical      control,      reduced
   characteristics in buyer driven value             transaction cost, economies of scale,
   chains in that it          “hinges on             improved market and meteorological
   controlling means of co-ordination                intelligence, access to and control of
   rather than means of production” 8.               valuable intellectual property and a
                                                     comprehensive             distribution
b. This brings us to another important               network”8.       Size also confers
                                              7
   absolute cost advantage in so far as                  What are the implications of
   providing the ability to outbid small         these developments for the farming
   farmers for resources/ideas, raise            community and more particularly for
   resources for R&D, to set predatory           sustainable agricultural production? In
   prices, and    take up promotional            the new agribusiness environment, small
   campaigns.                                    producers, through the modus operandi
                                                 of contract farming, can integrate
                                                 themselves into the global food chain.
d. While size can be achieved through            Such arrangements, which are actually
   acquisition, the more common                  being actively encouraged in developing
   feature in buyer driven chains are            countries, are being fuelled by new
   strategic      alliances      between         technologies      and     turning    bulk
   stakeholders in the agribusiness              commodities into tailor made products.
   value chains. Such alliances or               But this also has other implications for
   global clusters extend across national        agriculturalists and key among them is
   borders and have the capacity to              the weakening link between farm prices
   transcend national and transnational          and food prices, as much of the value
   regulations.      Consequently, the           addition does not accrue at the farm
   concentration       upstream       and        level. For instance, it is estimated that
   downstream in the global agrifood             78-85% of value added in the agrifood
   business has been noteworthy. In              chain in the developed world, is not done
   many developed countries, we have             by farms8. In an analysis of inter
   seen the growing power of retailers           country input and output relations in the
   and their increasing ability to               coffee value chain, it was estimated that
   influence the agribusiness chain.             around 40% of the final product price (at
   The industry has seen widespread              supermarkets) accrues to the developing
   mergers among supermarket chains,             countries (based on prices prevailing in
   giving them more purchasing power             1995) 9. The actual percentage of retail
   and increasing their global reach.            value added at the farm level was still
                                                 less.
e. Apart from growing economic power
   of retailers, processing industries are               As we see market access for
   also rapidly concentrating their              producers has less to do with efficiency
   economic and market power as a                in production, though this does confer
   response to the rapidly consolidating         cost advantage, and has more to do with
   retail environment.         With the          the ability to exploit market advantage in
   emergence of food processing, retail          terms of meeting the demands for
   and food service industry as key              efficient logistics and compliance with
   agents in the buyer driven value              standards. This is where small and
   chain, there is a combined pressure           unorganized producers are specially a
   for increasingly stringent levels of          disadvantaged lot as they lack the strong
   quality, compliance with standards            and direct relationship with the market
   and codes of conduct (including               enjoyed by large or institutional
   proof of sustainable agriculture              producers via contracts with processors
   production techniques).                       and large scale retailers.
                                             8
        The price pressure inherent in a          producers and particularly for the long
system as described above forces                  term survival of small producers, thus
farmers into unsustainable practices in           undermining the sustainability of the
order to sustain family income from a             coffee economy”10.
fixed land base. Overstocking, neglect
of agricultural practices which favor bio-        How can better governance              of
diversity or soil qualities are inevitable        markets improve sustainability?
consequences of farming areas under
price pressure. What then happens when                     It is now increasingly clear that
requirements for standards of sustainable         massive changes are taking place in the
agricultural practices are introduced into        sphere of agricultural production in
the agricultural supply chain in response         response to the restructuring of
to pressures wrought by NGOs and the              agricultural markets and increasing
like? These translate into process                importance of buyer-driven supply
standards which by their very nature are          chains. The increasing involvement of
more amenable for adoption by                     non-agricultural stakeholders in the
producers who are more capitalized i.e.           private sector, and the impact of
large or institutional growers – more so          technological advances in processing
because the system is so structured by            and vast improvements in logistics
processors and retailers to push all costs        efficiencies, has made global sourcing an
to the producers/suppliers.        If such        imperative in order to stay competitive.
standards are confined to the domain of           This has exacerbated the divergence
niche markets, there is perhaps less              within agricultural communities creating
cause for concern.         A real danger          a distinct divide between the well
however rises when such standards                 organized and capitalized producers and
move out of niche market to the                   the fragmented and scattered small
mainstream market. In the absence of              holders/family farms who are rendered
effective     regulation      mechanisms,         most vulnerable economically as there
inevitably all compliance costs and risks         are less resources/less opportunities
are pushed to the producers. Small                available to invest in sustainable
wonder then that, there has been a rising         production practices. The challenge
storm of protest by coffee producers              therefore is, how to reshape public and
against the recent developments vis-à-vis         private sector policies so that market
the Common Code for the Coffee                    liberalization, which cannot be reversed,
Community (4C). Because at the heart              is made an inclusive process that
of the protest is the realization that such       facilitates a closer link between the
Codes invariably favour the more                  producer and the ultimate value of his
organized and well capitalized producers          product and does not exacerbate
to unorganized small growers who get              inequalities in the rural economy.
further marginalized for want of
effective bargaining power. Recall how                    From the perspective of the small
at the last meeting of the International          grower, and specifically the small coffee
Coffee Council in May 2005, the                   grower, the key issue would be how to
producers unanimously declared among              create conditions that will transform the
others that “ the 4Cs project may have            nature of his participation in the value
disastrous consequences for coffee                chain so as to derive such economic
                                              9
benefits that ensure a sustainable                  the final consumer, which increases the
production system and livelihood i.e.-              market power of the roasting and
“production from farming methods that               retailing companies. “The big (multi-
maintain farmers in profit and in good              national) companies have become the
health with minimal damage to the                   governance force in most of the global
environment4”                                       coffee chains…. defining production and
                                                    trade conditions”11. At the other end of
        In coffee, we are only too aware            the chain are the small holders with little
of the fact that “ the sustainability of the        or no market power who sell
linkages between coffee growing in the              “atomistically into commodity markets”9
developing       countries    and      final        (Box 4) and “get less than one tenth of
consumption in the developed ones has               the consumer price in the chain”11.
been under considerable pressure”11.
The recent crisis has further underscored                   One     of    the      oft-quoted
this. In consumer markets where non-                suggestions in the context of improving
price competition is more critical as               economic sustainability of small
consumers       prefer     buying      more         producers is to create capacity for
differentiated and new products, we see             upgrading them to cater to the market for
more downstream value addition near                 differentiated coffees by producing
        Prior to liberalization of coffee marketing in the mid nineties, all coffee grown in
India was required by law to be channeled under a centralized pooled marketing system
operated by the state run Coffee Board. Raw coffee processed at the farm (through wet
and dry methods) was to be delivered by all growers to licensed curing works operating
under an agreement with the Board. The cured coffee (clean coffee) was sold at a
periodic auctions conducted by the Board to exporters and traders in the domestic
market. Based on the total proceeds of the season, the individual growers were paid on
the basis of a structured price differential scale (which in turn was based on well
established quality parameters).
        Post liberalization, majority of the coffee growers, and especially small growers,
sell their coffees in an unprocessed form (of cherry or parchment) at the farm gate to
agents of processors / exporters. There is only one major auction centre, where the
Indian Coffee Traders’ Association, conducts weekly auctions. On an average, less than
10% of the total coffee sold is routed through the auction platform.
        Clearly this demonstrates the very real difficulties experienced by small farmers
(in the absence of viable cooperative institutions) in achieving full vertical integration
for producing clean coffee owing to fragmented production and lack of economies of
scale. Value addition through production of differentiated (specialty) coffees, which
requires smaller volumes, may be an attractive alternative proposition for groups of
likeminded small growers but here too, there are constraints in terms of the stringent
quality requirements and innovative relationship marketing.
                                               10
different varieties of coffees of enhanced         opportunities, through many means, for
quality. Encourage small growers to                farmers to increase their share of value
produce more specialty coffees is advice           chain rents. The ICO has rightly been
we frequently hear. But the market for             focusing attention on this area, urging
such coffees, even if rapidly growing, is          multilateral institutions to seriously
inherently limited and esoteric. This is           consider setting apart resources for
also necessary perhaps if the premiums             market development in producer
are to be sustained. In fact, production           countries.       For small growers
and marketing of such coffees requires             particularly, growth of the domestic
to be supported with sustained infusion            market offers a feasible, alternative
of innovativeness and dynamism – a                 destination for their coffees, given the
factor that automatically raises barriers          fact that the quantity and quality
to entry into this ‘niche’ market.                 requirements will be different.
                                              11
which are threatening their viability and         such as mid-day meals in rural schools
relevance, a serious introspection is             that have the potential to raise demand
called for as to how these institutions           for locally grown products.         Brazil’s
can reinvent themselves to serve the              initiative in encouraging consumption of
interests of small growers and develop a          coffee as part of the school meal
sustainable coffee economy in the face            program, citing positive health aspects,
of technological, environmental and               is worth emulating by other producers.
social challenges. For one thing, these                    Finally, we are only beginning to
organizations      need     to   reorient         realize the commercial potential of
themselves in terms of becoming more              coffee farms as “carbon sinks” under the
multi-disciplinary in nature, and                 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
facilitate, through innovative policies           of the Kyoto Protocol. The ICO in
and programs, a more structured                   partnership with multilateral financial
participation of farming communities in           institutions and the private sector could
research and developmental activities so          well consider a major multi-country
as to develop a new agricultural                  initiative to explore how Certified
professionalism. Above all, the mindset           Emission Reduction (CERs) can be
of the smallholder will need to be                earned for viable CDM projects on
transformed from that of a traditional            coffee based cropping systems through a
agriculturist to that of a modern                 range of pilot projects that are targeted at
entrepreneur and this is requires a               improving the sustainability of small
wholly        new       and     effective         growers.
communication initiative. To meet the
increasingly complex quality and food                      There are some other important
safety standards, new resources to train          initiatives aimed at empowerment of
and equip small growers, need to be               small      holders     and      improving
identified and supported. Spread of               governance, in the interest of equitable
market literacy through widespread and            and sustainable development, which
effective channels will go a long way in          need to be mentioned. First and perhaps
overcoming information asymmetries                critical would be the need for
that disadvantage small growers                   strengthening the organization of small
particularly     in      remote     areas.        growers.     Developing organizational
Participatory research needs to be                capacity among small growers via self-
encouraged as an important means of               help groups, farmer associations or
building local skills, interests and              cooperatives,     can    facilitate   new
capacities.                                       synergies for product improvement and
                                                  development and effective bargaining
        Participatory    research    also         power, as also better access to credit and
becomes a catalyst to promote viable              hedging mechanisms to lower risks.
integrated     farming     systems     by         Government, apart from providing
encouraging a diversified range of                financial and technical support through
remunerative activities at the farm level         appropriate legal and administrative
to supplement the incomes of small                frameworks can create platforms which
growers, specially in periods of low              accord special status to such groups. To
prices. Such initiatives can get further          this end      the initiative to create a
strengthened by government programs               structured       Sustainable        Coffee
                                             12
Partnership (SCP) as an alternative                               NOTES
platform of all stakeholders from the
coffee industry is to be encouraged, at            1. Nestor Osorio, Executive Director,
international, national and local levels,             International Coffee Organization –
so as to harness effectively the potential            “Lessons from the World Coffee
from different groups to facilitate a                 crisis: A serious problem for
meaningful dialogue and provide inputs                sustainable       development     –
for policy making. To the extent that it              Submission to UNCTAD XI Sao
is widely recognized that “a sustainable              Paulo, Brazil, June 2004.
solution for imbalances between raw
material and final consumption”11 cannot           2. The Nestle coffee report – “Faces of
be reached by interventions in individual             Coffee”, 2004.
segments of the coffee value chain, and
that “ a coordinated effort along the              3. Bryan Lewin, Daniele Giovannucci,
whole chain should be developed with                  Panayotis Varangis, “Coffee Markets
the involvement of leading coffee                     – New Paradigms in Global Supply
companies” 11, the SCP could become an                and Demand”, The World Bank-
important platform for facilitating such              Working paper, March 2004
coordinated efforts aimed at increasing
“systemic efficiency” 7 in the value               4. G. Cadena, PS Baker, “Sustainable
chain. It could also be a useful forum                Coffee” in ‘Coffee Futures – A
where standards for production and                    source Book of some critical issues
codes of conduct can be widely                        confronting the Coffee Industry’,
discussed and developed in consultation               Edited by Dr. P.S. Baker, 2001.
with producers, taking into account local
realities.                                         5. Dr. Peter Baker, CABI Bio-Science,
                                                      UK, “Sustainable Coffee – the Three
        Other instruments to regulate the             Pillars of Wisdom”, International
global agribusiness market environment                Coffee Forum, 2004.
would be the development of a strong
competition policy that will safeguard             6. A. Wood, “Value Chains: an
against collusions and concentrations of              Economist’s Perspective” in Institute
economic power as well as regulate the                of Development Studies, 1999.
distribution of profit across the
agricultural value chain. Developing               7. Raphael Kapilinsky, “Spreading the
civil society scrutiny is another pillar of           Gains from Globalization: What can
governance in that it raises public                   be learned from Value Chain
expectations     about      support     for           Analysis” IDS working paper
sustainable farming practices and equity              110,2000
issues in sharing cost of compliance of
best practices.                                    8. Bill Vorley “The Chains of
                                                      Agriculture: Sustainability and the
             _____________                            Restructuring of Agri Food Markets”
                                                      in   International    Institute for
                                                      Environment      &      Development
                                                      (IIED), 2001.
                                              13
9. R. Kapilinsky and R. Fitter, “Who            11. Wim Pelupessey, “Market Failures
   gains from product rents as the                  in    Global     Coffee Chains”
   Coffee Market becomes more                       Development Research Institute
   differentiated? A Value chain                    (IVO) Tilberg University, The
   analysis”, IDS Bulletin Paper, May               Netherlands, 2001.
   2001.
                                                12.Martin Scholer, “Bitter or Better
                                                   Future for Coffee Producers?”,
                                                   International Trade Forum, Issue
10. International Coffee Organization –            2/2004.
    Document       No.    ICC      93-7,
    Declaration of ICO producing                13. International Coffee Organization –
    countries on the Common Code for                Background information for 2nd
    the Coffee Community (May 2005).                World        Coffee     Conference,
                                                    September 2005.
_______________________
14