PPT
PPT
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ii   Managing Motorcycles: Opportunities to Reduce Pollution and Fuel Use from Two- and Three-Wheeled Vehicles
                 www.theicct.org
                 © October 2009 The International Council on Clean Transportation
                        Authors:
                        Fatumata Kamakaté
                        Program Director, the International Council on Clean Transportation
                        Deborah Gordon	
                        Transport Policy Consultant
                        Primary research was conducted during 2007 and 2008. Advanced in policy
                        development in 2009 may not be reflected in this report.
                        The authors would like to thank our many colleagues around the world that have
                        generously contributed their time and insight in reviewing and commenting on the
                        draft version of this report. We are especially grateful for Mr. Narayan Iyer’s
                        thorough review of the report’s initial draft. Any errors are the sole responsibility of
                        the authors. We would also like to thank the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation
                        and the ClimateWorks Foundation for their continued support. We are particularly
                        grateful to the following International Council on Clean Transportation participants
                        who have closely reviewed this report and support its finding and
                        recommendations.
                        This document does not necessarily represent the views of organizations or government agencies
                        represented by ICCT reviewers and participants. Their endorsement is based on their experience
                        with air quality and transportation issues.
iv Managing Motorcycles: Opportunities to Reduce Pollution and Fuel Use from Two- and Three-Wheeled Vehicles
Table of contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
                         3. BACKGROUND ON MOTORCYCLES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
                            3.1 Types of Motorcycles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
                            3.2 Motorcycle Population and Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
                            3.3 Motorcycles and Urban Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
                            3.4 Motorcycles and Air Pollution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10
                            3.5 Motorcycles, Fuel Consumption, and Greenhouse Gases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
                            3.6 Motorcycle Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
                         4. MOTORCYCLE TECHNOLOGIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
                            4.1 Conventional Motorcycle Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
                                4.1.1 Control technologies for two-stroke engines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
                                4.1.2 Control technologies for four-stroke engines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
                                4.1.3 Control technologies for evaporative emissions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
                            4.2 Conventional Fuel Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
                            4.3 Alternative Fuels and Next Generation Motorcycle Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
                                4.3.1 Alternative fuel programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
                                4.3.2 Electric and hybrid motorcycles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
                         5. POLICY FRAMEWORKS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
                            5.1 Motorcycle Emission Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
                                5.1.1 Exhaust emission standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
                                5.1.2 Evolution of motorcycle technologies and emission regulatory programs . . . 31
                                5.1.3 Cost effectiveness of motor vehicle regulatory programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
                                5.1.4 Compliance and enforcement programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
                            5.2 Motorcycle Emissions In-Use Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
                            5.3 Motorcycle Fuel Economy Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
                            5.4 Motorcycle Fuel and Lubricating Oil Quality Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
                                5.4.1 Sulfur content of fuel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
                                5.4.2 Fuel metal and other fuel additives content . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
                                5.4.3 Lubricating oil quality and usage controls . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
v   Managing Motorcycles: Opportunities to Reduce Pollution and Fuel Use from Two- and Three-Wheeled Vehicles
8. REFERENCES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
                APPENDIX A . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
vi   Managing Motorcycles: Opportunities to Reduce Pollution and Fuel Use from Two- and Three-Wheeled Vehicles
     Figures
     Figure 3-1.   Electric Bicycle in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
     Figure 3-2.   Scooter in Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
     Figure 3-3.   Tuk-tuk in Central Bangkok . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
     Figure 3-4.   Motorcycle Ownership Per 1,000 People . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
     Figure 3-5.   RSP and CO Exposure for Different Commute Modes in Delhi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
     Figure 3-6.   Advertised Fuel Economy for Popular Cars and Motorcycles in India . . . . . . . . . . 13
     Figure 4-1.   Share of New Motorcycle Sales by Engine Type in Thailand and Taiwan . . . . . . . . 18
     Figure 4-2.   Historical Gasoline Sulfur Levels in Taiwan, China, India, the United States and
                   the European Union . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
     Figure 4-3.   Bicycle and Scooter Style Electric . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
     Figure 4-4.   Cost Comparison of Common Urban Travel Modes in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
     Figure 4-5.   Lifecycle Carbon Emissions of Transportation Modes in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
     Figure 5-1.   Ratio of Benefits of Costs in the Year 2030 for Several Recent Analyses . . . . . . . 38
     Figure 6-1.   Trajectory of EU Standards for a Four-Stroke 125 cc Two-Wheeler . . . . . . . . . . . 43
     Figure 6-2.   Trajectory of Taiwan’s Standards for a Four-Stroke 125 cc Two-Wheeler . . . . . . . 43
     Figure 6-3.   Trajectory of India’s Standards for a Four-Stroke 125 cc Two-Wheeler . . . . . . . . . 44
     Figure 6-4.   Compliance and Enforcement Programs in Taiwan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
     Figure 6-5.   Fuel Efficiency Standards in China and Taiwan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
     Figure 6-6.   France’s Feebate Schedule for New Automobiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
     Figure 6-7.   Motorcycle I&M Emission Reduction Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
vii Managing Motorcycles: Opportunities to Reduce Pollution and Fuel Use from Two- and Three-Wheeled Vehicles
                Tables
                Table 3-1. Top Twenty Countries/Regions Based on Percentages of Motorcycles in Vehicle
                            Fleet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
                Table 3-2. Average Motorcycle Population Growth Rate in Selected Asian Countries . . . . . . . 8
                Table 3-3. Passenger Trip by Transportation Mode in Various Asian Cities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
                Table 3-4. Percentage of Road Users Killed at Different Locations in India by Travel Mode . . . 10
                Table 3-5. Two- and Three-Wheeler Contributions to Urban Transportation Emission
                            Inventory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
                Table 3-6. PM and CO Air Concentrations Across Transportation Modes in Hanoi, Vietnam . . 12
                Table 3-7. India Motorcycle Fuel Economy Estimates by Vehicle and Engine Type . . . . . . . . . 14
                Table 3-8. Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Vehicles in Developing Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
                Table 3-9. Two- and Three-Wheelers Production by Major Producing Country . . . . . . . . . . . 16
                Table 3-10. Selected Major Motorcycle Manufacturers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
                Table 4-1. Emission Factors for Three-Wheelers in Delhi and Pune . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
                Table 5-1. Evolution of Control Technologies in Taiwan and India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
                Table 5-2. Details of Evolution of Control Technologies in India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
                Table 5-3. I&M Program Design Choices and their Advantages and Disadvantages . . . . . . . . 36
                Table 5-4. Motorcycle Fuel Consumption Standards in Liters per 100 Kilometer by Engine Size
                            in China and Taiwan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
                Table 5-5. Current Gasoline Sulfur Content Standards for Selected Countries and
                            Regions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
                Table 5-6. Status of Leaded Fuel Use in the World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
                Table 5-7. Two-Stroke Oil Quality and Dispensing Requirements for Selected Countries and
                            Regions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
                Table 6-1. Latest Adopted Two-Wheeler with Two- and Four-Stroke Engine . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
                Table 6-2. Latest Adopted Three-Wheeler with Two- and Four-Stroke Engine . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
                Table 6-3. Description of I&M Programs in India, Taiwan, and Thailand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
                Table 6-4. In-Use Emission Standards in India, Taiwan and Thailand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
                Table 6-5. Summary of Motorcycle Retrofit Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
                Table 6-6. Evaluation of Envirofit Retrofit Project Benefits by Project Scale . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
                Table 6-7. Selected Current and Proposed Motorcycle Restriction Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
                Table A-1. China Exhaust Emission Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
                Table A-2. India Exhaust Emission Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
                Table A-3. Japan Exhaust Emission Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
                Table A-4. Taiwan Exhaust Emission Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
                Table A-5. Thailand Exhaust Emission Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
                Table A-6. European Union Emission Standards: Two-Stroke . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
                Table A-7. European Union Emission Standards: Four-Stroke . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
                Table A-8. California, United States Emissions Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
                Table A-9. United States (Federal) Emissions Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
1   Executive Summary
       transportation, local air quality, climate      standards and fiscal policies to reduce
       change, and energy issues. These factors        motorcycle emissions and fuel consumption.
       must undoubtedly be taken into account          China, India, Taiwan, Thailand, and the EU
       when designing policies to ensure they can      have been the leaders in developing elements
       be successfully implemented. Still, numerous    of a comprehensive approach to managing
       overarching principles apply when advancing     motorcycles through standards and other
       environmental and energy goals for two- and     strategies ranging from bans to economic
       three-wheeled motorized vehicles.               incentives. The following opportunities have
                                                       been identified to better manage motorcycles
           •   Programs and policies should be         throughout Asia and elsewhere in the world
               designed in a coordinated fashion to    where these vehicles are gaining market
               provide multiple benefits               share.
           •   In-use performance is the key policy
               metric, and special consideration           1.   Adopt increasingly stringent
               should not be given to specific                  emission standards for new
               technologies                                     motorcycles that force the
                                                                development of zero-emission
           •   Policy opportunities offer solutions
                                                                technology
               worldwide, but the path to achieve
               them does not have to necessarily be        2.   Implement a comprehensive
               the same everywhere                              compliance program to enforce new
                                                                vehicle emission standards
           •   Both fiscal and regulatory policies
               should be used in complementary             3.   Enact standards for fuel and
               ways to affect behavioral changes                lubricating oil quality and consider
                                                                pre-mixing lube oil
           •   Vehicles and fuels comprise a
               system making lifecycle                     4.   Employ strategies to address in-use
               considerations an important part of              motorcycle emissions, including in-
               sound policymaking                               use emission standards, retrofit and
                                                                replacement programs, and
           •   Specific attention is needed to
                                                                inspection and maintenance
               identify and prevent gross emitters
                                                                programs
               and gas guzzlers
                                                           5.   Develop strategies to promote the
           •   Near-term and future zero-emission
                                                                use of cleaner and energy efficient
               technologies merit consideration,
                                                                advanced motorcycles
               based on their cost effectiveness and
               market potential                            6.   Develop strategies to improve
                                                                motorcycle fuel efficiency,
           •   It is important to work across
                                                                including CO2 emission standards,
               jurisdictions to strengthen programs
                                                                fuel economy standards, and
               and send consistent signals to the
                                                                associated incentives
               marketplace
               EU nations. Therefore, an opportunity exists     are eroding this sector’s energy and emission
               for large motorcycle countries in Asia to        performance.
               define the next level of motorcycle emission
               standards. This effort needs to happen in        If Asian cities are to achieve healthy air,
               parallel with strategies to reduce motorcycle    provide sustainable energy systems, maintain
               fuel use. The recently completed World           road safety, and reduce greenhouse gas
               Harmonized Test Cycle could be a platform        emissions, they must deal with two- and
               for the next set of norms throughout Asia and    three-wheeled motor vehicles. This requires a
               beyond.                                          comprehensive strategy, one that can be
                                                                adapted and used throughout the world.
               As the share of motorcycles in cities and
               nations’ fleets grows throughout Asia and the    The purpose of this report is to identify
               rest of the developing world, policymakers       opportunities to better manage emissions and
               must rely on an array of strategies to           fuel use from two- and three-wheelers. The
               minimize the unintended societal                 focus is Asia. Today, China and India
               consequences attributed to these proliferating   produce the majority of the two- and three-
               motor vehicles. Without appropriate              wheelers sold. Although the largest share of
               regulations and incentives, business-as-usual    these motorcycles is destined to local
               trends will continue and problems will           markets, exports to neighboring countries
               mount. Motorcycles can be better managed         and beyond are growing rapidly. Indeed
               to create a future where two- and three-         motorcycle sales are soaring in many Asian
               wheeled motorized vehicles offer more            countries and motorcycles are increasingly
               sustainable mobility to a growing portion of     popular in Latin America, Africa, and
               the world’s population. If managed well,         elsewhere. Moreover, the ability to better
               motorcycles can serve an important role in       manage motorcycles extends beyond Asia
               the transportation system of many nations.       and the developing world. European nations,
                                                                including Italy, Spain, Greece, and others,
                                                                will all benefit from cleaner motorcycles.
               2. INTRODUCTION AND
                                                                And while they are not the focus of this
               REPORT APPROACH                                  report, noise and safety concerns raised by
                                                                motorcycles also merit attention as part of a
               Asia has the world’s highest concentration of
                                                                comprehensive motorcycle strategy.
               motorized two- and three-wheeled vehicles.
               From scooterettes in India to tuk-tuks in
                                                                The policies discussed in this report are
               Thailand to electric bicycles in China, these
                                                                based on the experience of regulators in
               vehicles dominate the Asian urban landscape.
                                                                major motorcycle countries and regions, such
               Ownership and use are also increasing in
                                                                as China, India, Thailand, and the European
               rural areas where distances traveled are
                                                                Union, as well as the recommendations of
               greater and fuel quality may be less reliable.
                                                                other experts in the field. This report reviews
               These trends are serving to worsen energy
                                                                current trends in motorcycle emissions and
               and the environment impacts worldwide. And
                                                                fuel efficiency technology and performance,
               while motorcycles are currently among the
                                                                summarizes policy approaches to improve
               most fuel efficient motorized modes of
                                                                motorcycle emission and energy
               personal transportation, rapid growth in
                                                                performance, and discusses what is required
               population coupled with the increasing
                                                                to implement these policies.
               popularity of larger and less efficient models
4   Introduction and Report Approach
       The choices China, India, and others make to              array of motorcycle strategies. Local
       control motorcycle emissions and fuel use                 conditions, resources, and capacity to address
       will have a significant impact within their               transportation and air quality issues, vary
       borders and throughout the world. China, for              greatly around the world. The local
       example, has adopted its first set of fuel                situation must undoubtedly be taken
       economy standards in 2009 while                           into account when designing
                                                                                                          "ELLAGIO -EMORANDUM ON -OTOR 6EHICLE 0OLICY 
       simultaneously implementing an enhanced                   policies to ensure they can be             0RINCIPLES FOR 6EHICLES AND &UELS IN 2ESPONSE TO 
       emerging as the global norm with countries                eight principles that should guide
       such as Thailand and Vietnam adoption                     all transportation and air quality                4H E   % N E R G Y   & O U N D AT I O N
        TEXT BOX 2-1. THE ICCT’S EIGHT OVERARCHING PRINCIPLES FROM THE BELLAGIO MEMORANDUM
        ✤ Design programs and policies that reduce conventional, toxic, and noise pollution and greenhouse gas emissions
          in parallel, and ensure that future technologies provide major improvements in each of these areas.
        ✤ Base policies solely on performance compared to societal objectives, and not give special consideration to
          specific fuels, technologies, or vehicle types.
        ✤ In both industrialized and developing countries, expect and require the best technologies and fuels available
          worldwide; it is not necessary or cost-effective for developing nations to follow, step by step, the same path of
          incremental improvements that was taken by the industrialized nations.
        ✤ Use combinations of economic instruments and regulatory requirements; make-related policies complementary.
        ✤ Treat vehicles and fuels as a system, and move toward standards based on lifecycle emissions (including vehicle
          and fuel production, distribution and disposal) in policies.
        ✤ Prevent high in-use emissions with more realistic and representative test procedures, greater manufacturer
          accountability, improved inspection and maintenance programs, on-board monitoring and diagnostics, and
          retrofit and scrappage programs.
        ✤ Consider the relative cost-effectiveness of near-term measures and the market potential of future technologies.
        ✤ Work across jurisdictions, both nationally and internationally, to strengthen programs and give cohesive signals to
          affected industries.
   5   Background on Motorcycles
              Moped - Bicycle frame equipped with pedals, engine less than 50 cc,
              and top speed limited to 50 km/hour
              Scooter - Step through frame with full metal or plastic covers; wheels
              less than 36 cm; engine typically between 50 to 250 cc
Electric bicycle - Bicycle frame equipped with pedals, supplemented by electric power from a storage battery
              Hybrid Two-wheelers - Two-wheelers using an electric motor along with an internal combustion engine; can
              travel over 50 km/hour
6   Background on Motorcycles
                The data in Table 3-1 are mainly drawn from              rank of each country/region’s motorcycle
                the International Road Federation, World                 fleet. These data show that the
                Road Statistics publication 2006, but the                overwhelming majority of motorcycle-
                vehicle population estimates reported in                 dominated countries are in Asia, with a
                these documents are for different calendar               couple of representatives from Africa
                years. As such the ranking should not be                 (Uganda and Mauritius), one from Europe
                seen as a strict indication of the respective
                TABLE 3-2. AVERAGE MOTORCYCLE POPULATION GROWTH RATE IN SELECTED ASIAN COUNTRIES
                (1989-2002) (MESZLER 2007)
                        COUNTRY/REGION      ANNUAL POPULATION GROWTH RATE       AVERAGE ANNUAL GDP GROWTH
                                                      (1989-2002)                    RATE (1989-2002)
                China                                    25%                                9%
                Nepal                                      16%                              5%
                Vietnam                                    15%                              7%
                Philippines                                14%                              3%
                Cambodia                                   13%                              6%
                Laos                                       11%                              6%
                India                                      10%                              5%
                Indonesia                                  9%                               5%
                Thailand                                   9%                               6%
                Bangladesh                                 7%                               5%
                Sri Lanka                                  7%                               5%
                Pakistan                                   7%                               4%
                Hong Kong                                  5%                               4%
                Taiwan                                     5%                               6%
                Malaysia                                   5%                               7%
                Japan                                      5%                               2%
                Singapore                                  3%                               7%
               (Greece) and one from South America               in part, by economic expansion in these
               (Suriname).                                       countries. Between 1989 and 2002, most
                                                                 Asian countries’ GDP growth at a rate that
               The importance of motorcycles in Asia is          was several times larger than the average 2.5
               further illustrated in Figure 3-4, which          percent annual GDP growth worldwide,
               presents motorcycle ownership per one             fueling motorization and motorcycle
               thousand people. The number of countries in       ownership.
               each category is noted in parentheses in the
               legend. In terms of their ownership compared      3.3 MOTORCYCLES AND URBAN
               to four-wheeled vehicle ownership, only in        MOBILITY
               Asia do motorcycles dominate the landscape
               in what are sometimes referred to as              Two-wheelers are mainly used as personal
               “motorcycle countries” and “motorcycle            vehicles for urban mobility. In some cities,
               cities” (GTZ 2004). These nations and             such as Bangkok or Hanoi, they are also used
               regions include China, India, Indonesia,          for commercial passenger transportation.
               Thailand, and Taiwan, which each have large       Three-wheelers have wider applications. In
               motorcycle populations that constitute the        Asian and other cities, these vehicles are
               majority of in-use vehicles.                      commonly used for commercial passenger,
                                                                 family, and goods transport (GTZ 2004).
               Motorcycle populations in Asia are growing
               rapidly, as shown in Table 3-2. In China,         Motorcycles have several advantages over
               Vietnam, Philippines, and India, motorcycle       other motorized transportation modes, both
               ownership has increased by more than 10           real and perceived. They are highly
               percent a year. This has been fueled, at least    maneuverable in congested conditions, offer
9   Background on Motorcycles
       easier parking, and provide door-to-door          lowest priced car offering in India was about
       connectivity. However, compared to other          $5,000 (DWS 2007). Low priced, entry-
       forms of motorized transport, motorcycles         level, small cars are directly aimed at a
       are generally not as safe and may also be         market segment dominated by motorcycles.
       more polluting.                                   As a family vehicle, cars like the Nano could
                                                         replace more than one motorcycle owned by
       When it comes to cost, motorcycles and cars       a middle-class household, accelerating the
       have many inherent trade offs. Their              transition from two- to four-wheeled
       perceived low cost ownership and operation        vehicles. Vehicle exports could lead to
       is the result of distorted tax and road pricing   similar accelerated transitions in many of the
       policies along with other hidden subsidies. If    Asian motorcycle countries. While concerns
       tax policies that favor personal transport are    have been raised about whether these cars
       removed, cars and motorcycles are more            can comply with safety and environmental
       expensive than public transport. For              standards and there is little guarantee of
       example, in India the total tax burden on         emission compliance over their lifetimes,
       buses are 2.4 times higher than on personal       these concerns are even more pressing for the
       vehicles. Moreover, their high rate of            motorcycles they seek to replace.
       involvement in accidents (see Box on Safety)
       imposes costs on all travelers.                   TABLE 3-3. PASSENGER TRIPS BY TRANSPORTATION
                                                         MODE IN VARIOUS ASIAN CITIES (WRI 2007)
                                                                 MODE        DELHI     HANOI     PUNE       XI’IAN
       Congestion is another confounding issue.                              (2001)    (2003)   (2000)      (2000)
       When public transportation service is             Walk                 33%       22%      29%         23%
       limited, infrequent, or over-crowded, the         Cycle, pedicab       4%       29%       14%        25%
       time spent to complete a trip can be              2-wheeler,           14%      42%       29%         5%
       significantly longer than the time needed         motorcycle
                                                         Private car          7%        1%       6%          5%
       with a motorcycle. Yet, buses must share
                                                         Bus                  40%       6%       14%        37%
       congested roads with growing ranks of
                                                         Rail               <1%%         --      <1%          --
       motorcycles and cars, taking transit more
       time to travel along its designated route. And    Other                2%       0.4%      8%          5%
                 Head injury is the leading cause of death to motorcyclists. An important factor in the severity of the
                 outcome in road accident for motorcycle users is the low use of protective gear, such as helmets and
                 safety equipment on the vehicles including headlights. Often three-wheeler vehicle manufactured by low-
                 volume local producers do not incorporate basic safety features. Finally, the lack of or low funding levels
                 for agencies dedicated to accident prevention limit public education efforts. Sustainable motorcycle
                 policies must address the public health burden caused by motorcycle accidents.
              TABLE 3-4. PERCENTAGE OF ROAD USERS KILLED AT DIFFERENT LOCATIONS IN INDIA, BY TRAVEL
              MODE (MOHAN 2006)
                LOCATION        LORRY        BUS       CAR       TSR       MTW         HAPV        BICYCLE       PEDESTRIAN     TOTAL
                Mumbai             2          1         2         4          7          --             6             78          100
               New Dehli           2          5         3         3         21          3             10             53          100
               Highwaysa          14          3         15        --        24          1             11             32          100
              TSR: three-wheeled scooter taxi; MTW: motorized two-wheelers; HAPV: human and animal powered vehicles.
              a Statistical
                         summary of 11 locations, not representative for the whole country (tractor fatalities not included).
               share of private car trip. Non-motorized trips,                  pollutants is associated with a host of serious
               especially walking trips, are a large fraction                   health effects including premature death,
               of all trips in all three cities. The patterns                   aggravated respiratory and heart disease, and
               seen here are replicated in many other                           neurological damage. The US Environmental
               motorcycle cities. Motorcycles, buses, and                       Protection Agency and World Health
               cars share the roads with large numbers of                       Organization have additional information on
               bicyclist and pedestrians. Unfortunately this                    the societal impacts of air pollution (US EPA
               situation is often dangerous, as is described                    2005, US EPA 2006, WHO 2005).
               in Text Box 3-4 on urban safety.
                                                                                In addition to conventional air pollutants,
               3.4 MOTORCYCLES AND AIR                                          motorcycles and other motor vehicles emit
                                                                                toxic compounds that are also of public
               POLLUTION
                                                                                health concern. Exposure to benzene,
               Motorcycles, as with all other internal                          formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, acrolein, 1,3-
               combustion engine-powered vehicles, emit                         butadiene, and polycyclic aromatic
               the products of full and partial fuel                            hydrocarbons (PAH) present in motorcycle
               combustion. Several of these emitted                             emissions has been associated over the long
               products have been identified as direct or                       term with increased cancer risk, while short-
               indirect causes of air pollution. These include                  term exposure is associated with respiratory
               particulate matter (PM), carbon monoxide                         and neurological effects (US EPA 2007a).
               (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), hydrocarbons
               (HC), sulfur oxides (SOx), which varies with                     A limited number of studies have evaluated
               the fuel’s sulfur content, and lead compounds                    the contribution of motorcycles to
               if the fuel used is leaded. Exposure to these                    conventional and toxic urban air pollution
11 Background on Motorcycles
FIGURE 3-5. RSP AND CO EXPOSURE FOR DIFFERENT COMMUTE MODES IN DELHI (SAKSENA ET AL. 2007)
3.5! 16.00!
                                                                                                                 14.00!
                                   3.0!
                                                                                                                 12.00!
                                   2.5!
        RSP Exposure (mg.h/m^3)!
                                                                                                                 10.00!
                                   2.0!
                                                                                                  CO Exposure!
                                                                                                    (ppm.h)!
                                                                                                                  8.00!
                                   1.5!
                                                                                                                  6.00!
                                   1.0!
                                                                                                                  4.00!
0.5! 2.00!
                                   0.0!                                                                           0.00!
                                             Car!         Bus!     Three-wheeler! Two-wheeler!                             Car!          Bus!     Three-wheeler! Two-wheeler!
                                          The same research team measured PM10 and                                 motorcycles, the most popular transportation
                                          CO concentrations using personal monitors                                mode in the cities studied, are linked to the
                                          while traveling using various transportation                             highest levels of in-use exposure to harmful
                                          modes (bus, car, motorbike, and walking) on                              pollutants.
                                          four roads in Hanoi, Vietnam (Saksena et al.
                                          2006). As shown in Table 3-6, the highest                                And while many studies do not differentiate
                                          mean concentrations for both pollutants were                             between the pollution impacts of various
                                          measured while traveling on motorcycles.                                 motorcycles, the impact from three-
                                          The researchers also found that mean                                     wheelers’ on urban air quality is considerably
                                          concentrations increased during rush hour.                               more significant. In India, three-wheelers
                                          The results of this study are not directly                               were found to contribute between 6 and 24
                                          comparable to the results obtained in Delhi                              percent of automotive particulate matter in
                                          due to differences in sampling methods.                                  five large cities, significantly more than their
                                          These three studies do not, however, provide                             share of the vehicle population
                                          estimates of the portion of pollutant exposure                           (Roychowdhury et al. 2006). Another study
                                          that is directly linked to motorcycle                                    found that passengers of three-wheelers were
                                          emissions. Their results are nonetheless                                 exposed to higher levels of particulate matter
                                          important in understanding the impact of                                 compared to passengers traveling by bus or
                                          motorcycle use on public health. Indeed,                                 car (Saksena et al. 2007).
13 Background on Motorcycles
       programs are further discussed in Section            Indeed a common control strategy used to
       5.2.                                                 meet vehicle tailpipe standards is to reduce
                                                            exhaust emissions through improvements in
       Fuel economy estimates vary by motorcycle            engine combustion efficiency. As a
       type and size, as well as by in-use duty cycle.      result, a model year 2000 four-stoke
       There are also significant variations from           three-wheeler was estimated on
       country to country or region to region. For          road to be more than 50 percent
       example in India, small two-stroke engines           more efficient than pre-1996
       tend to be tuned to a lean air-fuel ratio,           two-stoke model. Laboratory-
       achieving higher fuel efficiency than small          measured fuel economy showed a
       motorcycles that are tuned to run rich in            38 percent improvement between
       order to optimize power (Meszler 2007). The          pre-1996 two-stroke and a model year
       fuel economy for 100-150 cc Indian                   2000 four-stroke.
       motorcycle is estimated to range from 45 to
       70 km per liter of
       gasoline (Iyer &
                                TABLE 3-7. INDIA MOTORCYCLE FUEL ECONOMY ESTIMATES BY VEHICLE AND ENGINE TYPE
       Badami, 2007). In        (INDIAN DRIVING CYCLE) (GTZ 2004)
       China, the fuel             VEHICLE TYPE   ENGINE TYPE     ENGINE SIZE (cc) MODEL YEAR LABORATORY FUEL ON-ROAD FUEL
                                                                                                  ECONOMY (KM/L) ECONOMY(KM/L)
       economy of
                                Scooter           Two-stroke           150          Post-1996          55             52
       similarly sized two                        Four-stroke                                          62             59
       wheelers will be set     Three  Wheeler    Two-stroke           150          Pre-1996           24             20
                                                                       150          Post-1996          28            25-27
       at 40 km/liter                             Four-stroke          175            2000             33            30-31
       (Wang 2008). In
       contrast, the most
       efficient non-hybrid passenger vehicles                Motorcycles, as well as all other motorized
       available today have a fuel economy                    vehicles, contribute to the growing amounts
       estimated at nearly 30 km/l (Ward’s 2007,              of CO2 and other GHG emissions from
       ICCT 2007b).                                           transportation sources in the atmosphere.
                                                              With less than half the carbon dioxide per
       Additional test data on motorcycle fuel                passenger-kilometer of a car, fossil fuel-
       economy in India by motorcycle                         powered motorcycles still can have
       characteristics are compiled in Table 3-7. As          significantly greater emissions than public
       is discussed in greater technical detail in the        transit and electric vehicles, as shown in
       Section 4.1, fuel use varies by motorcycle             Table 3-8. Although motorcycle’s
       type. Two-stroke motorcycles are in general            contributions to the global CO2 inventory are
       less fuel-efficient than four-stroke                   modest (less than 1 percent according to
       motorcycles due to scavenging losses. An               MES estimates) two- and three-wheelers are
       uncontrolled four-stroke engine can be up to           the dominant source of transportation CO2 in
       35 percent more fuel efficient than a                  many motorcycle cities. For example, it is
       similarly sized two-stroke engine (Meszler             estimated that 40 percent of the
       2007). An interesting trend highlighted for            transportation CO2 emissions in Ho Chi
       three-wheelers in this table, is that the              Minh City in 2000 were due to motorcycles
       emissions standards implemented in India in            (GTZ 2004).
       1996 and strengthened in 2000 are also
       linked to improvements in fuel economy.
15 Background on Motorcycles
               TABLE 3-8. GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FROM VEHICLES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (SPERLING
               AND SALON 2002)
                                                         LOAD FACTOR (AVERAGE            CO2 EQUIVALENT EMISSIONS PER PASSENGER-KM
                                                              OCCUPANCY)                             (FULL ENERGY CYCLE)
               and also the assumption that the battery electric vehicle will tend to be somewhat smaller than conventional cars.
               bHydrogen is assumed to be made from natural gas.
               cAssumes heavy urban rail technology (“Metro”) powered by electricity generated from a mix of coal, natural gas, and
hydropower, with high passenger use (75 percent of seats filled on average).
               TABLE 3-10. SELECTED MAJOR MOTORCYCLE MANUFACTURERS (ALPHABETIC ORDER) (ICCT 2007a)
               MANUFACTURER                                        HEADQUARTER COUNTRY/       TWO-WHEELER    THREE-
                                                                   REGION                                   WHEELER
               Bajaj Auto                                          India                           x           x
               BMW                                                 Germany                         x
               China Jialing Group                                 China                           x
               Chongqing Jianshe Yamaha Motor Co.                  China                           x
               Ducati                                              Italy                           x
               Grand River Group-Haojue                            China                           x
               Harley-Davidson                                     United States                   x
               Hero Honda                                          India                           x
               Honda                                               Japan                           x
               Kawasaki                                            Japan                           x
               KTM                                                 Austria                         x
               Kymco                                               Taiwan                          x
               Lifan Group                                         China                           x
               Luoyang Northern Ek Chor Motorcycle Co.             China                           x              x
               Loncin                                              China                           x
               Piaggio                                             Italy                           x              x
               Peugeot                                             France                          x
               Qianjiang Motorcycle Group                          China                           x
               Suzuki                                              Japan                           x
               SYM                                                 Taiwan                          x
               Triumph                                             United Kingdom                  x
               TVS Motor Company                                   India                           x
               Yamaha                                              Japan                           x
               Zongshen Industrial Group                           China                           x
17 Motorcycle Technologies
               units built for export. For example,              next section. The second is the transition in
               completely disassembled units produced in         new motorcycle sales from two-stroke
               Thailand exported and assembled in Vietnam        engines to four-stroke engines. The third
               can be counted as units manufactured in           trend is the increasing popularity of
               Vietnam.                                          larger, more powerful motorcycles
                                                                 in markets traditionally dominated
               In Europe, North America, and other regions       by smaller mopeds and scooters.
               where larger, more powerful two-wheelers
               are preferred, BMW, Ducati, and Harley-
                                                                 4.1 CONVENTIONAL
               Davidson also account for a significant
               portion of the two-wheeler market share.          MOTORCYCLE
               Peugeot and Piaggio, manufacturer of the          TECHNOLOGIES
               Vespa, are important manufacturers of small
                                                                 Up until the last decade, two-stroke engines
               motorcycles in Europe. As advanced as
                                                                 were the dominant engine type for
               European motorcycle markets are, two-stroke
                                                                 motorcycles. However, customer preference
               motorcycles are not being phased out in the
                                                                 for motorcycles equipped with more fuel-
               EU there despite their damaging effects on
                                                                 efficient four-stroke engines, and regulatory
               air quality and public health.
                                                                 programs aimed at curbing emissions from
                                                                 two-stroke engines, have eroded two-stroke
               Indian automaker Bajaj Auto Ltd. is the
                                                                 motorcycles’ market share in some countries.
               leading three-wheeler manufacturer in India
                                                                 Two- and four-stroke engines, as their names
               as well as many South-east Asian, South
               American, Latin American, and African             indicate, differ from each other in the
                                                                 number of piston strokes required for the
               markets (Bajaj 2007). Table 3-10 identifies
                                                                 engine to produce power. The fundamental
               three manufacturers in India, China, and Italy
                                                                 distinctions between these conventional
               who specialize in three-wheelers.
                                                                 motorcycle engines types are discussed in
                                                                 Box 4-1.
               The next section offers background on those
               conventional motorcycle technologies and
               fuels configured and manufactured in Asian        Two-stroke engines remain the preferred
               countries. It also takes a look into the future   engine type for the smallest and lowest cost
               at alternative fuels and next generation          motorcycle models in Asia. This is due to
               motorcycle technologies emerging in Asia.         their size, simple technology, ease of
                                                                 maintenance, and cost advantage over four-
                                                                 stroke engines.
               4. MOTORCYCLE
                                                                 In Thailand, Taiwan and elsewhere
               TECHNOLOGIES                                      throughout Asia, there is a growing trend
                                                                 toward larger motorcycles. This increasing
               Three major trends are currently shaping the      market share of motorcycles compared to
               horizon of future technologies in the             scooters and mopeds is reinforcing the shift
               motorcycle sector. The first trend is the         towards four-stroke engines. Figure 4-1
               progressive harmonization of emission             shows the decline of the percentage of new
               standards and test procedures towards             two-stroke sales in Thailand since 1994 and a
               stringent global norms as discussed in the        similar pattern in Taiwan.
18 Motorcycle Technologies
                 In four-stroke engines, gas exchange takes place through valves. The four-stroke sequence begins with an intake/
                 induction stroke followed by a compression stroke, then a power stroke after ignition, and finally an exhaust stroke.
                 When similarly sized two- and four-stroke engines operate at the same speed, the two-stroke engine completes
                 twice as many power strokes as the four-stroke engine. A four-stroke engine requires a valve train and a camshaft to
                 operate the intake and exhaust valves. The four-stroke engine is consequently larger, heavier, has more moving
                 parts, and is more expensive to purchase and maintain than a two-stroke engine with the same power rating.
                 Two- and four-stroke engines also differ in their use of lubricating oil. In two-stroke engines, oil is added to the fuel
                 or added to the air-fuel mixture in the combustion chamber and then burned when ignited or exits unburned as part
                 of the scavenging losses. In a four-stroke engine, oil remains in a sealed system and is recirculated from a reservoir
                 in the crankcase to the rest of the engine (Roychowdhury et al. 2006). Only a small fraction of the lubricating oil in a
                 four-stroke engine is burned.
                 Emissions of unburned fuel are the principal cause of the poor environmental performance of uncontrolled two-
                 stroke engines. Two-stroke engines have similar CO emissions as four-strokes, but far higher HC and PM emissions
                 and higher fuel consumption. Two-stroke engines tend to produce NOx at a lower rate than four-stroke engines
                 because combustion products in two-stroke engines do not fully exit the cylinder during the exhaust stroke. This
                 internal exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) lowers peak combustion temperatures, which in turn limits NOx formation in
                 two-stroke engines (Meszler 2007). However, the decrease in NOx emissions is much smaller than the increase in
                 HC or PM emissions.
               FIGURE 4-1. SHARE OF NEW MOTORCYCLE SALES BY ENGINE TYPE IN THAILAND AND TAIWAN
               (WANGWONGWATANA 2007, CHEN 2007)
                                                                         !                                                          !
                                    Thailand 		          	         	           	          	        Taiwan
19 Motorcycle Technologies
               This highlights the need for greater durability   (Iyer & Badami 2007). In port fuel injection
               limits along with enforcement throughout a        systems, the fuel is injected into the cylinder
               motorcycle’s life. Without a comprehensive        intake port near the intake valve, producing
               inspection and maintenance program, it is         better fuel distribution and combustion
               almost impossible to ensure that a catalyst is    efficiency. The oxidation catalyst, as
               operational and is replaced when it fails.        described in the previous section, oxidizes
                                                                 CO and HC in the exhaust stream. Because
               While two-stroke engines are characterized        most engines are set to run at a rich air/fuel
               by their low NOx emissions, additional            ratio, a secondary air injection system must
               controls may still be required to meet            be added ahead of the catalyst. This
               increasingly stringent standards. Three-way       introduces more oxygen into the exhaust
               catalytic converters, another after-treatment     stream and further promotes the elimination
               technology, are not only effective at             of CO and HC from the exhaust (Meszler
               oxidizing CO and HC present in the exhaust        2007).
               gas, but they also reduce NOx emissions. To
               function optimally, three-way catalysts           Further emission reductions, beyond those
               require precise control of air-fuel ratio to      required to meet standards set by the major
               achieve stoichiometric conditions that cannot     regulatory programs will most likely require
               be achieved with carburetor technology.           the use of three-way catalytic converters in
               Three-way catalysts will most likely not have     place of an oxidation catalyst. Ensuring the
               significant penetration into the two-stroke       effectiveness of the three-way catalyst
               engine market without further engine              necessitates precise control of the air/fuel
               combustion optimization, such as                  ratio. Better control, through port fuel
               electronically controlled fuel injection.         injection with a feedback system in the
               Moreover, this emission control may not be        exhaust, ensures the necessary stoichiometric
               cost effective. The technical difficulties and    conditions in the catalyst. Emission
               economic realities of tightly controlling NOx     reductions compared to an uncontrolled
               without after-treatment may eventually lead       carbureted four-stroke engine are estimated
               to a total phase-out of two-stroke engines in     at 90 percent for CO, 85 percent for HC, and
               markets where stringent standards are in          25 percent for NOx (Meszler 2007). A small
               place in the most heavily-polluted cities (Iyer   number of commercially available
               & Badami 2007).                                   motorcycle models, including some models
               	                                                 from BMW and Harley-Davison, are
                                                                 currently equipped with three-way catalysts.
               4.1.2 CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES
               FOR FOUR-STROKE ENGINES 	                         After-treatment systems used in four-stroke
               The main strategy for controlling emissions       engines also require fuel that is unleaded and
               from four-stroke engines consists of              low in sulfur and phosphorus. Durability
               improvements in fuel injection to optimize        issues highlighted in the previous section
               fuel combustion and the addition of exhaust       also apply to catalysts on four-stroke
               after-treatment. In the near term, a system of    engines. Regulatory mechanisms must be put
               port fuel injection and an oxidation catalyst     in place to ensure that emission control
               assisted by secondary air injection are           equipment functions optimally over the full
               adequate to meet currently adopted standards      useful life of each motorcycle. These
21 Motorcycle Technologies
                                                1,000!
                                                                                                  INDIA and CHINA!
                                                 900!                                             TAIWAN!
                                                                                                  UNITED STATES!
                                                 800!                                             EUROPEAN UNION!
                                                 700!
                 GASOLINE SULFUR LIMIT (PPM)!
600!
500!
400!
300!
200!
100!
                                                    0!
                                                     2003!   2004!   2005!   2006!     2007!      2008!        2009!    2010!
                FIGURE 4-2. HISTORICAL GASOLINE SULFUR LEVELS IN TAIWAN, INDIA, THE UNITED STATES AND
                THE EUROPEAN UNION, 1994-2010 (ICCT 2007a, PCFV 2007)
               sulfur levels of fuel sold in many developing                         neurotoxin that is associated with health
               countries is 10 to 100 times higher than                              impacts ranging from permanent brain and
               sulfur levels found in Europe, the United                             nervous system damage to learning
               States and Japan. Figure 4-2 illustrates the                          disabilities and behavioral problems in
               progressive desulfurization of gasoline in                            children. In adults it can produce
               India, China, the European Union, and the                             reproductive, nerve, and memory problems
               United States. In large cities in India and                           (US EPA 2007b).
               China gasoline at 50-ppm sulfur levels, lower
               than the national standards, is available.                            Other metal additives of concern include
                                                                                     methylcyclopentadienyl manganese
               Fuel additives enhance or suppress fuel                               tricarbonyl (MMT), a manganese-based
               properties mainly during combustion. These                            compound, and ferrocene, an iron-containing
               include chemicals, metals, minerals or other                          compound. Both are used as an octane
               compounds. Metal-based additives                                      enhancer and have been marketed as lead
               containing lead, manganese and ferrocene                              alkyl replacements. Similar to lead alkyl, the
               have been a source of public health concern                           use of MMT and ferrocene additives in
               for decades.                                                          gasoline results in the emission of
                                                                                     manganese and iron oxide particles in
               Lead alkyl was used as an octane enhancer                             vehicle exhaust (ICCT 2004). Chronic
               for nearly seventy years before it was phased                         exposure to manganese has been associated
               out of most of the world’s gasoline supply                            with neurological impacts indicated by
               beginning in the 1970s. Fuel containing this                          symptoms similar to Parkinson’s disease
               additive emitted lead particles as a byproduct                        (ICCT 2008). Although there are very few
               of fuel combustion. Lead is a potent                                  studies on the health effects of exposure to
23 Motorcycle Technologies
               ferrocene combustion products, animal             the engine may produce an excessive amount
               studies have shown cellular damage after          of smoke and higher than usual particulate
               exposure (Walsh 2006). The use of MMT and         matter emissions. The use of excessive
               ferrocene in gasoline damages important           amounts of inappropriate lubricants like
               vehicle engine components including spark         mineral oil or recycled automotive oil can
               plugs, sensors, valves and catalytic              also lead to degradation of engine
               converters by depositing metallic compounds       components.
               on their surfaces (ACEA 2001). As with lead,
               these additives prevent emission control          In three-wheelers, visible smoke emission is
               equipment from functioning at their full          due to excessive lube oil consumption
               potential.                                        because of abnormal wear of piston rings/
                                                                 cylinder liner. The purpose of piston rings is
               Evidence of the significant public health         to maintain a pressure tight seal between the
               impacts associated with the use of metal          piston and cylinder wall, to aid in controlling
               additives in fuel has prompted scientists and     oil, to permit proper lubrication of the
               physicians to take a firm position to end their   cylinder and to assist in the cooling of the
               use. In the June 2006 Declaration of Brescia      piston. The quality of the piston ring is
               on Prevention of Neurotoxicity of Metals, a       important factor. With poor quality piston
               group of scientist and physicians                 rings, it is possible that lubricating oil from
               representing 27 nations called for the            oil sump leaks into the combustion chamber,
               cessation of the use of lead and manganese        causing smoke.
               from all gasoline (Landrigan et al. 2006). In
               general, the precautionary principle is           4.3 ALTERNATIVE FUELS AND
               advised when considering any additives that
                                                                 NEXT GENERATION
               may be associated with public health
               impacts. Under the precautionary principle,       MOTORCYCLE TECHNOLOGIES
               an action can only be taken once those            In addition to ensuring that new conventional
               proposing the action provide proof that no        motorcycles have increasingly better
               irreversible damage would result.                 emissions controls, most successful
                                                                 comprehensive programs also encourage the
               It is important to note that not all fuel         development and use of alternative fuels and
               additives are problematic. Some types of          advanced propulsion technologies, including
               additives can have beneficial effects on          zero and near-zero emission motorcycles.
               vehicle emissions. In particular, detergents,     This section discusses experiences with the
               which reduce deposits on engine and fuel          use of alternative fuels, such as compressed
               system components, have a positive impact         natural gas (CNG) and liquefied petroleum
               on engine performance and durability.             gas (LPG), and it discusses efforts to
               Detergent additives are composed of organic       improve and promote electric and hybrid-
               chemicals that can dissolve existing deposits     electric technologies.
               and prevent additional deposit formation.
               wide range of reasons. Alternative fuels hold                incremental cost of the alternative fuel, if
               out the potential to develop local resources                 any. If benefits exceed costs, then a transition
               with a lower cost to the national economy                    is warranted and policies may be required to
               than imported fuels. Clean alternative fuels                 facilitate changes in current practices.
               can produce fewer emissions of harmful                       For motorcycles, the primary alternative
               pollutants and life-cycle greenhouse gas                     fuels are compressed natural gas (CNG),
               emissions. The actual benefits of shifting to                liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), ethanol, and
               alternative fuels, however, vary widely. Fuel                electricity. CNG has been used principally in
               availability, clean infrastructure investment,               three-wheeler applications. These vehicles
               vehicle performance, local practices and                     can accommodate the larger and heavier
               habits, economic costs, other impacts play a                 pressurized tank needed for the compressed
               role in determining whether social benefits                  gas. The history of the CNG three-wheelers
               result from alternative fuel use. These must                 program in Delhi, India, is reviewed in Case
               be weighed against private costs, including                  Study 1 below. This case study highlights the
               the incremental vehicle cost or retrofit cost,               policy design and institutional structures
               incremental maintenance costs, and the
                 CNG three-wheeler industry in India is largely a domestic. Domestically-built four-stroke engine models
                 dominate the Delhi fleet with three-seat capacity. Out of 55,000 CNG three wheelers, two-thirds are new,
                 domestic OEM (original equipment manufacture) powered by four-stroke engines. The remainder is retrofitted
                 two-stroke vehicles running on CNG.
                 CNG systems consist of a high-pressure fuel tank, a pressure regulator, and a gaseous carburetor. In two-
                 stroke applications, a lubricating oil pump and separate oil tank are included. CNG installations involve high
                 pressure fuel tanks (200 bar pressure) that require more space and are heavier than gasoline tanks with the
                 same vehicle range. The vehicles currently operating in Delhi are not fitted with catalytic converters. Emission
                 controls may be needed to control tailpipe exhaust of noxious pollutants. The cost of the transition to CNG
                 can be a potent barrier to implementation. The upfront capital cost of an OEM-built CNG three-wheeler is
                 about 25 percent higher than its gasoline counterpart. The cost of retrofitting three-wheelers is nearly $700
                 (US Dollars). However, cheaper CNG fuel prices – nearly 60 percent lower than the price of gasoline – help to
                 recover the initial investment within a short time. And the Delhi government provides subsidized loans to
                 reduce the cost of transition to CNG.
                 Design failures and poor maintenance can undermine the effectiveness of the program. Quality concerns
                 surfaced in Delhi in 2004 when some 168 three-wheelers were found emitting excessive amounts of white
                 smoke. Surveys by the Department of Transport found one-half of the offenders were four-stroke OEM
                 vehicles while the other half were two-stroke retrofitted models. Further investigation uncovered lubricating oil
                 leakages, leading to incomplete combustion, causing excessive white smoke emissions due to rapid
                 deterioration of piston rings. Vehicles had to be redesigned and good maintenance practices were
                 reemphasized. Limited remote sensing data in Delhi and Pune, summarized in Table 4-1, show emission
                 trade-offs in the in-use emissions profile of the two fleets. The Delhi fleet runs almost entirely on CNG and has
                 higher CO and NOx emissions but lower HC and visible smoke emissions compared to the Pune fleet, which
                 is predominantly gasoline fueled. These comparisons are not perfect, however, as the cities’ fleets are not
                 otherwise the same. Delhi’s motorcycles are mainly 4-stroke while Pune’s mostly 2-stroke.
25 Motorcycle Technologies
          Today’s electric bikes, or e-bikes, come in two varieties: those propelled by human pedalling supplemented by
          electrical power from a storage battery (bicycle-style) and low-speed scooters propelled almost solely by electricity
          (usually with perfunctory pedals to satisfy
          legal “scooter” status). Typical bicycle-style
          and scooter-style e-bikes are pictured.
          In general, e-bikes consume 1.2-1.5 kilowatt hours (kWh) of electricity per 100 kilometer (km). On a single charge
          (typically 6-8 hours), they can travel 25-50 km. Electric bike batteries are removable and rechargeable using a
          standard electrical outlet, so they require no new re-charging infrastructure.
          E-bikes are gaining an increasing share of two-wheeled transportation throughout China, They provide an
          inexpensive and convenient form of personal mobility. In many cities like Chengdu and Suzhou, they have even
          surpassed the share of bicycles in use. Annual e-bike sales in China reached 17 million in, up from only 40,000 in
          1998 (Weinert et al. 2006). Today, there are an estimated 20+ million e-bikes in China, the majority of which were
          purchased over the past five years.
          The cost of owning and operating an e-bike is the lowest of all personal motorized transportation in China. Figure
          4-4 compares the life-cycle cost of an e-bike compared to other modes including cycling, transit, and gasoline or
          LPG scooters.
                                                                                                               !
           FIGURE 4-4. COST COMPARISON OF COMMON URBAN TRAVEL MODES IN CHINA
           (WEINERT ET AL. 2006)
27 Motorcycle Technologies
                        E-bikes are an extremely energy efficient            passenger kilometer are several orders of
                        mode of personal transportation with zero            magnitude higher for electric bikes than for
                        vehicle emissions. In cities battling poor air       buses (Cherry 2006). Unregulated (or under
                        quality, they are having positive effects by         regulated) production and recycling practices
                        displacing noxious emissions from gasoline-          within the lead and battery industries result
                        powered scooters. They also have a positive          in the loss of an estimated that 30-70 percent
                        impact on climate change since in-use carbon         of the lead into the environment.
                        emissions per km travelled are roughly four
                        times lower than scooters and 14 times lower         Research efforts are underway to develop
                        than cars, as seen in Figure 4-5.                    commercial hybrid technology for
                                                                             motorcycles. Taiwan has identified hybrid
                        These climate change benefits can be                 technology as a key component of their Stage
                        maximized when fuel cycle emissions are              5 emission regulation program. Hybrid
                        kept to a minimum using renewable energy             motorcycles would allow significant
                        to generate electricity. So while e-bikes            downsizing of the internal combustion
                        provide zero tail-pipe emissions, they do            engine and would improve fuel economy and
                        emit pollution from power plants, which are          emissions. For example, a 50 cc engine
                        75 percent coal fired in China (Cherry 2006).        coupled with an electric motor could power a
                        This results in increased emissions of certain       100 cc motorcycle. Research and
                        pollutants, particularly SO2, which is               development activities are ongoing not only
                        particularly problematic in Chinese cities.          in government laboratories like those in
                        Other pollutants are low, compared to                Taiwan, but also in the research facilities of
                        alternative modes (Cherry 2006).                     most major manufacturers. Honda and AVL
                                                                             presented concept vehicles as early as 1997
                        Lead emissions from battery production and           and 1999, respectively (Wang et al. 2000)
                        recycling are the most serious environmental         and R &D activities continue among major
                        problem with e-bikes. Lead emissions per             manufacturers and potentially new market
                                                                             entrants.
                  The shift in sales away from high PM emitting two-strokes to lower emitting four-strokes (see Section 4)
                  along with increasingly stringent HC emissions standards requiring after-treatment should be sufficient to
                  reduce gasoline PM emissions to low levels.
                A driving cycle is a timed sequence of speeds            the WMTC. Many nations are expected to
                and loads developed to represent real-world              adopt WMTC standard procedures in the
                driving patterns. Compliance with emission               coming years.
                standards is established and verified on the
                basis of performance over a driving cycle.               Durability requirements are designed to
                The EU and Taiwan as well as many other                  ensure that vehicles meet emissions limits
                regions and countries’ emission limits are               over the vehicle’s useful life, defined by
                currently based on the ECE R47 drive cycle               distance traveled in kilometers. Although the
                for mopeds or ECE R40 for all other                      EU does not require durability testing, the
                motorcycles. These drive cycles were                     latest updates of regulatory programs in
                developed by the United Nations Economic                 China, India, Japan, Taiwan, Thailand, and
                Commission for Europe (UNECE). The                       the US include durability requirements that
                UNECE, through the World Forum for                       range from 6,000 to 30,000 km depending on
                Harmonization of Vehicle Regulation (also                motorcycle size. With average annual
                referred to as WP29), has recently developed             mileage in Asia estimated at 8,000 to 10,000
                the harmonized World Motorcycle Test Cycle               km for two-wheelers and 40,000 km for
                (WMTC). This new test cycle is designed to               three-wheelers, these durability requirements
                represent a global average driving pattern.              only guarantee emission performance for one
                Completed in 2005, the WMTC will                         to three years (Meszler 2007). Clearly,
                facilitate harmonization of regulatory                   current durability requirements do not yet
                programs in the future. Amendments to the                reflect real world useful life and the
                test cycle – those that better represent                 opportunity exists to extend them in future
                conditions in regions with smaller                       updates of these regulatory programs.
                displacement engines and low traffic speeds              Extended motorcycles lifetimes are expected
                – were submitted by India and adopted in                 to be very long especially throughout Asia as
                2007. Contracting parties to the WP 29                   mobility grows and these vehicles are sold
                process are expected to eventually                       and resold.
                incorporate the test cycle and other adopted
                technical regulations within their standards.2           Specifying deterioration factors is another
                Those who are not contracting parties are                way to build durable emission performance
                considering adopting this cycle as well. Euro            into a regulatory program. Manufacturers
                3 standards include optional limits based on             have to demonstrate compliance with
30   Policy Frameworks
                emission levels at some percentage below the      Evaporative emissions are non-exhaust
                stated standards. The percentage chosen is        hydrocarbon emissions that escape from the
                meant to represent the expected deterioration     fuel system during vehicle use and while at
                of emissions performance over the                 rest. These evaporative emissions
                motorcycle’s useful life. Deterioration           can provide a significant
                factors, while based on extensive laboratory      contribution to a
                testing, is best used to complement in-use        motorcycle fleet’s overall
                emission system durability testing. The           hydrocarbon emission
                proposed Indian standards include                 inventory. The regulatory
                deterioration factors of 1.2 for two-wheelers     limit on evaporative
                and 1.1 to 1.2 for three-wheelers.                emissions is typically 2
                Manufacturers can either test at pre-             grams emitted during the sealed
                deterioration levels (10 to 20 percent below      housing for evaporative determination
                depending on the vehicle or pollutant type)       (SHED) test. During the SHED test, the
                or demonstrate compliance from a                  motorcycle is placed in a temperature
                motorcycle with 30,000 accumulated                controlled and sealed enclosure, and HC
                kilometers.                                       evaporative emissions are measured while
                                                                  the temperature is changed to match
                Cold start emission testing simulates             variation in ambient temperatures over a day.
                emission performance when a vehicle is            Currently only China, Thailand, Taiwan and
                started up after being parked for some time.      the US have adopted evaporative emission
                Until recently, all motorcycle emission           standards (Meszler 2007, Wangwongwatana
                testing were performed after the engine had       2007). The US has also set tank and fueling
                been running and was no longer cold. This is      system hose permeation limits at 1.5 g/m2/
                referred to as warm or hot start testing. Cold    day and 15 g/m2/day, respectively, for
                start testing is especially important when        motorcycles produced starting in 2008
                testing motorcycles equipped with catalytic       (Meszler 2007).
                converters. Catalysts attain their maximal
                effectiveness once exhaust temperatures           Adopting emission standards is a necessary
                reach a certain level and cold start testing      first step in controlling pollutant exhaust
                captures the higher pollutant exhaust levels      from new motorcycles. However, emissions
                before they are operational. Test procedures      limits are only meaningful if they result in
                in China, Japan, Taiwan, Thailand, the EU,        the adoption of best available control
                and the US require cold start testing. India’s    technologies that are accompanied by
                proposed standards for 2008-2010 call for a       validated test procedures and compliance
                cold start, but test procedure details describe   process. The sections that follow discuss the
                testing after the engine has run for a short      evolution of technologies used to meet
                period. Although a step in the right direction,   standards, the cost effectiveness of these
                this variation on cold start testing will not     technologies, and compliance and
                include a critical portion of the cold start      enforcement features for motorcycles. The
                exhaust flow.                                     primary focus is how best to supplement
                                                                  performance and testing requirements in
                In addition to exhaust emission standards,        order to enhance the effectiveness of
                new motorcycle emission control programs          emission standards.
                can include limits on evaporative emissions.
31   Policy Frameworks
                5.1.2 EVOLUTION OF MOTORCYCLE                     models in the long term in India (Iyer &
                                                                  Badami 2007).
                TECHNOLOGIES AND EMISSION
                REGULATORY PROGRAMS
                                                                  5.1.3 COST EFFECTIVENESS OF
                To better understand how technologies are
                used to meet the goals of regulatory              MOTOR VEHICLE REGULATORY
                programs, it is useful to see how                 PROGRAMS
                technologies have been introduced to meet         Cost effectiveness analysis considers
                emission standard limits over time. Table 5-1     emission reduction potential and incremental
                summarizes the evolution of control               cost when comparing different technology
                technologies for new motorcycles in Taiwan        options. Cost effectiveness can be calculated
                since 1988 and in India since 2000. It is clear   by dividing the annualized incremental cost
                from the progression shown in the figure that     by the difference in emissions between a
                the introduction of tighter standards has         baseline and an improved technology,
                fostered the development and                      amortized over the vehicle’s life. The result
                implementation of improved control                is a cost per amount of pollutant reduced.
                technologies. The table also projects the         Calculations can cover both individual
                introduction of future technologies to meet       technologies as well as technology
                forthcoming standards, such as the Stage 5        combinations. The technology combinations
                standard in Taiwan and the Bharat III             reflect the type of enhancements discussed in
                standard (and later) in India. Further            the previous section for control programs
                tightening of standards would reduce and          that require dual emission reductions (e.g.,
                eventually close the existing gap between         HC + NOx). Cost effectiveness can be
                motorcycle and passenger car emissions.           calculated with and without the fuel savings.
                                                                  A negative cost effectiveness means that the
                Details of both the estimated emissions           technology pays for itself over a designated
                profile and cost of motorcycles according to      timeframe.
                past, current and future emission standards in
                India are presented in Table 5-2. Each step       The baseline for cost effectiveness
                forward on the path to cleaner motorcycles        calculations is typically an uncontrolled
                results in a modest increase in motorcycle        conventional motorcycle engine.
                price, between five and 16 percent compared       Calculations are based on global average
                to the previous standard (Iyer & Badami           prices and are intended to represent the
                2007). In many cases the increase in              incremental retail price of motorcycles
                motorcycle price is partially offset by gains     equipped with emission control equipment.
                in fuel efficiency and a reduction in oil         The assumptions about vehicle life, fuel
                consumption.                                      price, and discount rate must be specified.
                                                                  Regional variations in those factors, as well
                Alternative technologies play a role in           as in the incremental technology costs, can
                regulatory emission reduction goals. In           be expected. It is important for policymakers
                Taiwan, electric motorcycles and hybrid           to assess cost effectiveness on a regional or
                motorcycles (more recently) are an integral       local level when comparing potentially
                part of the strategy to improve motorcycle        beneficial technology pathways.
                emission performance. It is expected that
                electric motorcycles will replace two-stroke
 32     Policy Frameworks
TABLE 5-1. EVOLUTION OF CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES IN TAIWAN AND INDIA (TEPA 2006, IYER 2006, IYER AND BADAMI 2007)
COUNTRY/
REGION                    88   89    90    91   92   93   94   95    96   97    98    99    00   01    02     03     04           05   06    07   08   09     10   11    12
TAIWAN                   Stage 1          Stage 2                              Stage 3                             Stage   4 a              Stage 5 
Two and Four-            Carburetor  Carburetor                                Carburetor (most models)         Carburetor (most            Closed-loop fuel injection
stroke engines           Recycle     Recycle blow-by gas                       Open-loop fuel injection (few models)                        Recycle blow-by gas
                         blow-by gas Carbon canister                           models)                          Open-loop fuel              Carbon canister
                                     Oxidation catalyst                        Recycle blow-by gas              injection (some             Oxidation catalyst + Secondary
                                     Secondary air injection                   Carbon canister                  models)                     air injection
                                     Alternative: Electric Motorcycle          Oxidation catalyst               Closed-loop fuel            or Three-way catalyst
                                                                               Secondary air injection          injection (few              Alternative: Hybrid motorcycle
                                                                               Alternative: Electric Motorcycle models)
                                                                                                                Recycle blow-by
                                                                                                                gas
                                                                                                                Carbon canister
                                                                                                                Oxidation catalyst
                                                                                                                + Secondary air
                                                                                                                injection (most
                                                                                                                models)
                                                                                                                Three-way catalyst
                                                                                                                (few models)
TABLE 5-2. DETAILS ON EVOLUTION OF CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES IN INDIA (IYER & BADAMI 2007)
ENGINE TYPE CHARACTERISTICS                BHARAT STAGE I   BHARAT STAGE II (2005)   BHARAT STAGE III   FUTURE STANDARD-2015       FUTURE STANDARD -2025
                                               (2000)                                    (2010)
Two-stroke    Technology                  Improved engine   Improved engine and Air-assisted direct Air-assisted direct fuel           Battery electric
engines                                     and oxidation    improved oxidation fuel injection and injection and improved
                                              catalyst            catalyst      oxidation catalyst oxidation catalyst
              Vehicle price (USD)               754                 797                 905                      948                         1034
              PM (g/km)                         0.05               0.05                 0.04                     0.03               No tailpipe emissions
              NOx (g/km)                        0.07               0.08                 0.08                     0.08
              HC (g/km)                         2.13               1.32                  0.7                     0.55
              CO (g/km)                          2.2                1.4                   1                      0.8
              Fuel economy gasoline eq.          45                 45                   59                       59                         150
              (km/l)
Four-stroke   Technology                   Improve engine Improved engine with Port fuel injection      Port fuel injection with   Direct fuel injection with
engines                                     with or without  improved oxidation with oxidation           three-way catalyst           three-way catalyst
                                          oxidation catalyst      catalyst          catalyst
              Vehicle price (USD)                 905               970               1121                       1207                        1293
              PM (g/km)                          0.05              0.05               0.05                       0.04                        0.03
              NOx (g/km)                          0.3               0.3                0.2                        0.1                        0.08
              HC (g/km)                           0.7               0.7               0.56                       0.45                        0.36
              CO (g/km)                           2.2               1.4               0.42                       0.33                        0.25
              Fuel economy gasoline eq.           72                72                 73                         73                          77
              (km/l)
                    The type-approval process, or                        The engine family is the basis for type-
                    certification process as it is called in the         approval or certification. An engine
                    US and Taiwan occurs prior to mass                   family is defined by regulation and is
                    production and sale to the public.                   composed of engines with the same
                    Conformity of production and new                     engine and emission control
                    vehicle selective enforcement audit                  characteristics. These characteristics
                    occur in the first few months of the                 include cylinder number and
                    vehicle model’s availability on the                  configuration, cooling system, and
                    market. A vehicle model recall can occur             number of injectors within a
                    anytime within its official useful life.             displacement category. Type approval
                                                                         must be obtained for each engine family
                                                                         and each model year.
34   Policy Frameworks
                enforcement audits. The testing can be done       In Taiwan, for example, properly maintained
                by the oversight agency or by the                 motorcycles must meet standards; otherwise
                manufacturer following the agency’s               manufacturers must recall and repair them. A
                requirements. If the engines or vehicles fail     preliminary investigation tests emissions
                to meet the standards, sales of that particular   conformity among a selection of five
                engine or vehicle model will be restricted        motorcycles from each engine family. If these
                until the manufacturer can demonstrate            do not meet emission standards (or more than
                conformity with the standards. SEA allows         two tests from each engine family fail), a
                the agency to identify, as early as possible,     conformity test will ensue. Taiwan institutes
                high emitting vehicle models so that vehicles     a motorcycle recall when average emissions
                sold are repaired and improvements are made       do not meet standards from ten samples in
                at the production level.                          the same engine family.
            TABLE 5-3. I&M PROGRAM DESIGN CHOICES AND THEIR ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES (WALSH 2005)
             DESIGN TYPE      DESCRIPTION                   ADVANTAGES                              DRAWBACKS
             Centralized      Limited number of test only   - Easier facility oversight for         - Limited access to facilities
                              facilities                    government                              for vehicle owners
                                                            - Potentially lower cost per test if    - Longer wait times, lost
                                                            large number of vehicles are            productivity, and vehicle idle
                                                            tested in each facility                 emissions
             Decentralized    Larger number of test and     - Convenient access to facilities       - More challenging facility
                              repair facilities             and to repair services for vehicle      oversight for government
                                                            owners                                  (corruption, poor quality
                                                            - Incentive for testing facilities to   control)
                                                            provide preventative                    -Potentially higher cost per
                                                            maintenance to potential testing        test if low number of vehicles
                                                            customers                               are tested in each facility
                Vehicle emission testing facilities can be               Fuel economy standards are typical
                public, private, or a hybrid arrangement.                expressed in miles per gallon (km/liters)
                Hybrid testing can entail a mix of public and            while the related measures of fuel
                licensed private facilities in a decentralized           consumption is measured in liters/100
                structure or a private company contracted to             kilometers. No matter what measure is
                operate test-only facilities in a centralized            selected it is important that fuel usage
                structure. If testing is provided by the private         standards avoid the pitfalls cars have faced
                sector, it is important that contractor                  where vehicles are made more fuel-efficient
                selection and facility licensing follow a                as their fuel economy remains stagnant. This
                rigorous and transparent process (Walsh                  has been the case in the US where vehicle
                2005). Outsourcing of the testing or even the            performance, engine size, and weight
                management of an I&M program requires                    increased as vehicles were made increasingly
                continued government oversight to ensure                 more energy efficient without any
                the quality of the work performed.                       meaningful reduction in fuel consumption.
                Transparency is key to public acceptance of
                I&M programs.                                            Fuel economy certification is similar to that
                                                                         for air pollution emissions. Typically
                                                                         manufacturers are required to test
                5.3 MOTORCYCLE FUEL
                                                                         representative pre-production models during
                ECONOMY STANDARDS                                        the type approval process according to
                Fuel economy is an emerging regulatory                   established test procedures that detail driving
                issue in the motorcycle fleet, especially in             cycles. Oversight agencies may conduct
                the context of growing concerns about                    independent testing to verify the data
                climate change and energy security. Although             provided by manufacturers.
                motorcycles tend to travel farther on a gallon
                (liter) of gasoline than passenger vehicles,             There are currently no in-use compliance
                further fuel economy gains can be achieved               programs for motorcycles (or cars). In
                by optimizing engines and motorcycles.                   general, the fuel economy of well-maintained
                Reducing conventional pollutant emissions                vehicles is not anticipated to deteriorate and
                can reduce fuel consumption through                      may even improve as wear reduces engine
                improved combustion efficiency or the                    friction and tire rolling resistance. On the
                transition from two- to four-stroke engines.             road, variable traffic conditions and road
                                                                         conditions, as well as driver behavior can
37   Policy Frameworks
                 TABLE 5-4. MOTORCYCLE FUEL CONSUMPTION STANDARDS IN LITER PER 100 KILOMETER, BY
                 ENGINE SIZE (GB16486-2008, GB15744-2008, LIN 2009)
                     ENGINE SIZE (cc)           CHINA               CHINA            TAIWAN TWO-WHEELER
                                            TWO-WHEELER         THREE-WHEELER             (L/100km)
                                              (L/100km)           (L/100km)
                     ≤50 (mopeds)                 2.0                 2.3                     2.3
                       >50-100                    2.3                 3.3                     2.7
                          ≥100-125               2.5                 3.8                      2.8
                          ≥125-150               2.5                 3.8                      2.8
                          ≥150-250               2.9                 4.3                      4.0
                          ≥250-400               3.4                 5.1                      4.0
                          ≥400-650               5.2                 7.8                      5.5
                         ≥650-1000               6.3                 9.0                      6.3
                         ≥1000-1250              7.2                 9.0                      6.9
                           ≥1250                 8.0                 9.0                      6.9
                TABLE 5-5. CURRENT GASOLINE SULFUR CONTENT STANDARDS FOR SELECTED COUNTRIES AND
                REGIONS, 2007 (ICCT 2007a, PCFV 2007)
                GASOLINE SULFUR CONTENT      COUNTRIES & REGIONS
                ≤ 10-15 ppm                  Japan
                > 10-15 and ≤ 50 ppm         European Union, South Korea, Taiwan, United States
                > 50 and ≤ 150 ppm           China, India: Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Bengaluru,
                                             Hyderabad, Ahmedabad, Kapur, Pune, Surat, Agra; Singapore,
                                             Thailand
                > 150 and ≤ 500 ppm          India (excluding 11 large cities), Vietnam
                > 500 ppm                    Bangladesh, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, The Philippines, Sri
                                             Lanka
                5.4.1 SULFUR CONTENT OF FUEL                       of lower sulfur fuels can only be attained if
                                                                   they are implemented at the same time as
                Many countries and regions regulate the
                                                                   emission standards for vehicles. Countries
                sulfur content in the gasoline and diesel fuels
                                                                   must couple emissions standards with fuel
                available for sale. Sulfur limits, however,
                                                                   quality standards to fully enable cleaner
                vary widely. Some of the world’s lowest
                                                                   vehicle technologies.
                sulfur fuel is available in Japan, E.U.,
                Taiwan, South Korea, and the U.S. But not
                                                                   Figure 5-1 displays the estimated cost-benefit
                all countries or regions with large motorcycle
                                                                   ratios from several analyses of proposed
                populations control high sulfur levels,
                                                                   sulfur content reductions in diesel and
                leading to high motorcycle emissions. Table
                                                                   gasoline coupled with tighter emission
                5-5 includes current levels of sulfur in
                                                                   standard in the United States (light-duty,
                gasoline in selected countries.
                                                                   heavy-duty, and non-road vehicles), China
                                                                   (light and heavy-duty), and Mexico (light
                As more countries move to lower sulfur
                                                                   and heavy-duty). The analysis for China
                fuels, there is strong evidence that the costs
                                                                   includes the costs and benefits of improving
                of this transition are outweighed by the
                                                                   fuel quality and emission standards for
                public health and environmental benefit of
                                                                   motorcycles.
                cleaner fuels and vehicles. The full benefits
                 FIGURE 5-1. RATIO OF BENEFITS TO COSTS IN THE YEAR 2030 FOR SEVERAL
                 RECENT ANALYSES (US EPA 1999, 2000, AND 2004; ICCT 2006; INE 2006
39   Policy Frameworks
                When transitioning to lower sulfur fuels, it is           The continued use of lead will not only result
                standard practice to make the fuel available              in significant health impacts among the most
                ahead of the sale of vehicles designed to use             vulnerable individuals, especially children
                the cleaner fuel to meet new emission                     under six years old, but also permanently
                standards. This allows potential fuel                     damaging catalysts, precluding the use of
                distribution issues to be resolved before the             advanced emission controls.
                vehicles requiring the fuel are on the road.
                This also limits misfueling that may damage               Methylcyclopentadienyl manganese
                the vehicles’ emission control systems.                   tricarbonyl (MMT) – often used as an
                                                                          alternative to lead for fuel octane
                Some countries, such as China and India,                  enhancement – is subject to strict limits or is
                have elected to have cleaner fuels available              banned in some countries. In Europe, the
                in large metropolitan areas before they                   limits that will come into force in 2014 (2
                become available nationwide. The rationale                milligrams/liter) are effective bans since
                behind this two-tiered implementation                     these levels would not provide any
                schedule benefits those areas where the                   significant increase in octane levels (ICCT
                burden of air pollution is the highest, while             2008). In 2008, Beijing, China adopted a
                allowing fuel providers to ramp up their                  maximum limit of 6 mg/l MMT, while fuel
                production or import cleaner fuels to meet                providers in India and Indonesia volunteered
                nationwide demand. Unfortunately, in this                 not to use MMT as an octane booster (ICCT
                approach, the risk of misfueling and                      2008).
                damaging the emission control system is
                most probable for vehicles that frequently                5.4.3 LUBRICATING OIL QUALITY
                travel where lower sulfur fuel is unavailable.            AND USAGE CONTROLS
                                                                          In many countries the use of low smoke oil,
                5.4.2 FUEL METAL AND OTHER FUEL                           also referred to as 2T oil, is required to be
                ADDITIVES CONTENT                                         dispensed at service stations pre-mixed with
                                                                          gasoline to prevent the use of excessive
                Studies have shown a dramatic reduction in
                                                                          amounts of poor quality lubricants. 2T oil
                lead levels in blood since lead was phased-
                                                                          specifications are provided by the Japanese
                out of gasoline (ICCT 2001). However there
                                                                          Automotive Standards Organization as JASO
                are still countries, listed in Table 5-6, where
                                                                          FB and JASO FC, and by the American
                lead continues to be used in all or part of the
                                                                          Petroleum Institute as API TC.
                gasoline sold. In some cases, complete
                phase-out plans have yet to be agreed upon.
                 TABLE 5-6. STATUS OF LEADED FUEL USE IN THE WORLD (PCFV 2008)
                 STATUS              COUNTRIES
                 Leaded              Asia: Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Myanmar
                                     Middle East: Yemen
                 Dual System         Africa: Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia
                                     Asia: Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan
                                     Europe: Bosnia Herzegovinaa, Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro,
                                     Serbiab
                                     Middle East: Iraq
                 a Ban   in 2010; b Ban planned for 2015-2020
40   Policy Frameworks
        Table 5-7 summarizes the regulations                        adequate oversight and coordination, it will
        adopted in selected countries to control the                be difficult, if not impossible, to realize the
        use of lubricating oil for two-stroke engines.              opportunities to improve
        The experience with implementing                            motorcycles’ emissions and
        lubricating oil regulations in India is                     fuel economy. A
        provided in Case Study 3 below.                             discussion of these
                                                                    opportunities follows
        Policy frameworks matter when it comes to                   in the next section.
        setting and enforcing environmental and
        energy standards. Without adequate
        verifiable test procedures, inspection,
        durability requirements, routine inspection,
        TABLE 5-7. TWO-STROKE OIL QUALITY AND DISPENSING REQUIREMENTS FOR SELECTED
        COUNTRIES / REGIONS (ESMAP 2002, CAI ASIA 2004, BOAZ 2007)
        COUNTRY/REGION          OIL                        DISPENSING REQUIREMENTS            IMPLEMENTATION ISSUES
        Bangladesh              2T oils meeting JASO FB or None, 2T oil available in 60       Availability of 2T oil
                                API TC specification       ml packets
                                Ban on mineral oil sales
        India                   2T oils meeting JASO FC       Dispense only pre-mixed oil No countrywide regulation
                                specification in 15 major     and gasoline in large cities. on dispensing pre-mixed
                                cities                        Loose oil sale banned in      oil and gasoline
                                                              some cities
        Pakistan                Ban on recycled oil sales     Allow oil sale only at gasoline Adulteration of 2T oil
                                                              dispensing facilities and not
                                                              at other roadside locations
           Indian policy with regards to lubricating oil has evolved in the last decade. In July 1998, the Supreme Court
           intervened in Delhi to mandate that meters be installed in the refueling stations to dispense pre-mixed
           lubricants and gasoline by December 1998. Supply and sale of loose 2T oil (not contained in sealed
           containers) were banned in refueling stations and service garages. Following this directive, the Union
           Ministry of Environment and Forests issued a notification titled, “2T oil Regulation and Supply and
           Distribution Order,” in August 1998 that mandated the sale of 2T oils that conform to the American
           Petroleum Institute (API TC) and JASO FC grades in the national capital territory of India (Delhi, New Delhi
           and Delhi Cantonment). Thereafter, a few state governments enacted legislation regarding distribution,
           purchase and sale of 2T oil.
           In November 2006, the Government of India extended the original 1998 Supreme Court order for Delhi to
           fifteen large cities including Agra, Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Faridabad, Hyderabad, Jharia,
           Jodhpur, Kanpur, Kolkata, Lucknow, Mumbai, Patna, Pune, and Varanasi. A large part of the country still
           remains outside the scope of this order.
           One of the barriers to further implementation has been the high cost of installation of pre-mix dispensers
           across the country. The pre-mix dispensers are either fully electronic or manual. The manual system can
           still be influenced at the operator and user’s discretion. In Delhi, nearly 40 percent of the dispensers are
           estimated to be manual.
41 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
        TABLE 6-2. LATEST ADOPTED THREE-WHEELER WITH TWO- AND FOUR-STROKE ENGINE (MESZLER 2007)
         Notes: a Deterioration factor = 1.2;   b   Deterioration factor = 1.1;    c   D
         COUNTRY/REGION                             INDIA                              EUROPEAN UNIONg               TAIWAN
         Engine Size or Type        Spark Ignited Compression                <50 cc         >50 cc SI    >50 cc CI   <150 cc              ≥150 cc
                                        (SI)       Ignited (CI)
                   quality standards program. India has                                       motorcycle emissions throughout Asia and
                   developed its own unique set of norms.                                     elsewhere. Refer to the Appendix for detailed
                   Tables 6-1 (two-wheeler standard) and 6-2                                  history of the motorcycle air quality
                   (three-wheeler standard) present the latest                                standards in each of these countries.
                   proposed or adopted standards in India, the
                   EU and Taiwan. Mainland China and                                          The European Union first adopted
                   Thailand have either proposed to adopt or                                  motorcycle standards in 1987. A trajectory of
                   have recently adopted standards similar to                                 EU standards for four-stroke two-wheelers is
                   Taiwan’s standards.                                                        presented in Figure 6-1. Since its inception,
                                                                                              the EU’s standards have been differentiated
                   Since each country/region follows different                                by motorcycle type, by engine size and, until
                   test procedures and driving cycles, standard                               1999, by engine type. The latest three-
                   emission levels are not directly comparable.                               wheelers European standards, also include
                   The 2006 version of Euro standards, referred                               separate spark-ignited and compression-
                   to as Euro 3, were one of the first attempts to                            ignited standards for three-wheelers, with
                   narrow the gap between automobile and                                      more stringent limits for CO and HC but less
                   motorcycle standards. Taiwan’s standards, in                               stringent for NOx and no PM emission limits.
                   place since 2007, have similar emission                                    It is important to note that, to date, European
                   limits as the Euro 3 program, but also include                             standards have not included durability limits,
                   very important durability requirements.                                    cold start requirements or evaporative limits.
                   India’s current and proposed standards are                                 These important enhancements were
                   based on a unique Indian Driving Cycle.                                    discussed in greater detail in the previous
                                                                                              section.
                   As leaders in motorcycle emission control,
                   the technology neutral performance
                   standards in the EU, India, and Taiwan are
                   discussed below. Technology-neutral
                   standards offer the best opportunity to reduce
43 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
                                                  30!                                                                0.35!
       The global influence of European
                                                                                                       CO!
       standards is significant. China, the                                                            HC!
                                                                                                       NOx!          0.3!
       largest motorcycle producer in the         25!
                                                                                                       HC+NOx!
       world, recently adopted standards
                                                                                                                     0.25!
       similar to those in Europe. As
                                                                                                                             NOx (g/kW-hr)!
                                                                                                                     0.2!
       contributor to air pollution in much       15!
       of Europe, enhancing the current                                                                              0.15!
       program is a low priority. However,
                                                  10!
       issues related to durability, defining                                                                        0.1!
                                                         10!
                                                                          CHINA-TWO-WHEELERS!
                                                          9!
                                                                          CHINA-THREE-WHEELERS!
                                                                          TAIWAN- TWO-WHEELERS!
                                                          8!
                 Fuel Economy (liters/100 kilometers)!
7!
6!
5!
4!
3!
2!
1!
                                                          0!
                                                               "50 (mopeds)!>50-100! #100-125! 125-150! #125-250! #250-400! #400-650!#650-1000!
                                                                                                                                             #1000-1250! #1250!
                                                                                                         Engine Size Bins!
                FIGURE 6-5. FUEL EFFICIENCY STANDARDS IN CHINA AND TAIWAN (EFFECTIVE 2009)
                Note: two-wheeler standards in Taiwan and those in Mainland china are measured according to different test procedures and
                are not directly comparable
                Like cars, motorcycles can also be equipped      6.1.6 FISCAL POLICIES FOR CLEAN,
                with OBD to help owners maintain clean           EFFICIENT NEW MOTORCYCLES
                vehicle operations and regulators enforce        In order to transition from conventional to
                inspection and maintenance programs. OBD,        cleaner technologies, governments often get
                an opportunity for improvement applicable to     involved to provide incentives for the
                all motorcycles with electronic engine           manufacture, purchase, and use of clean,
                management, does not work with simplified        efficient new motorcycles. Such fiscal
                carburetor fuel systems. A less-complex          policies are complements to standards
                OBD I system (as opposed to the newer,           discussed previously. Financial policies
                more complex OBD II) is under                    support strategies to improve new vehicle
                consideration for motorcycles as a cost          and engine technologies, low-carbon
                effective emission control technology in         alternative fuels development, and clean
                Europe (ACEM 2007). OBD requires                 motorcycle retrofit programs. These can
                equipment to decode recorded data, adding        include favorable loans, financial incentives,
                complexity in developing countries.              and grants. Other tax mechanisms can be
                                                                 used to penalize or reward low-emission
                While technologically this provides a more       vehicle purchase and use. Examples of these
                advanced way to monitor motorcycle               fiscal strategies in Asian cities and countries
                emissions, problems can arise with lack of       are discussed below. Similar types of fiscal
                standardization in terms of connectors, scan     policies can apply to vehicles once they are
                tools, and fault codes. This can result in       in use.
                many different manufacturer-specific designs
49 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
                Fiscal policies are more sustainable when          Taiwan provides incentives for the purchase
                developed to fit local conditions. Several         of low-emission motorcycles. To encourage
                specific examples follow. In the Philippines’      the purchase of electric scooters, about $600
                San Fernando City, economic incentives             (US dollars) in incentive was provided
                drove the transition from two-stroke to four-      during the 1990’s and early 2000’s. This
                stroke (less polluting) tricycles. Interest free   project was subsequently discontinued and
                loans have been made available for the             the sales of electric scooters plummeted.
                purchase of four-stroke three-wheelers
                (Roychowdhury et al. 2006). In 2001, three-        In China, India, Taiwan, Thailand, and other
                quarters of the city’s 1,600 registered            Asian regions and nations, targeted policies
                tricycles ran on two-stroke engines. But after     to reduce the two-stroke motorcycle
                a city council mandate to totally phase out        population are responsible for the decrease in
                the vehicles by 2004, and offers of interest-      production and sales of new two-stroke
                free loans for down-payments on four-stroke        motorcycles. In Taiwan, for example, tighter
                models, more than 400 four-stroke tricycles        emissions standards for two-strokes
                had replaced the older two-stroke models.          combined with financial incentives for the
                                                                   purchase of four-stroke motorcycles were
                In 1999, the government of Katmandu in             adopted for model year 2004. Almost no new
                Nepal banned diesel ten-passenger three-           two-stroke motorcycles have been sold since
                wheelers (known locally as tempos). This           model year 2004 (Chen & Lin 2007).
                ban followed a prior ban on new tempo              Thailand uses taxation to accomplish similar
                registration in 1991 (IGES 2003). The diesel       goals. By charging a higher tax on two-stroke
                tempo ban led to a dramatic increase in            motorcycles than four-stroke models,
                electric or safa (clean) tempos operating in       consumers realize a tax reduction when they
                the city, which had replaced almost half of        purchase of 4-stroke motorcycles (Kuson
                the diesel tempo fleet by 2002 (GTZ 2004).         2006).
                Starting in 1995, incentives such as reduced
                import duties were put in place to promote         Feebates are another incentive policy that
                the purchase and use of electric tempos (GRI       can lead to continuous improvement in
                1998). Electric three-wheelers operators are       vehicle fuel economy. Unlike fuel economy
                severely challenged by competition from            standards, feebates do not run the risk of
                gasoline and LPG three-wheelers. Safa              being set to high (increasing incremental
                tempos are more costly to operate than             costs and risking market rejection) or too low
                gasoline and LPG vehicles due to high              (where cost-effective technology goes
                electricity prices and high battery                unused). Feebates provide certain cost
                replacement costs (GTZ 2004). In addition,         effective fuel economy improvements
                gasoline and LPG vehicles enjoy the same           (Greene 2008). France has implemented a
                duty rates as electric vehicles (Kojima et al.     feebate program for automobiles that invokes
                2000). As a result, many electric three-           significant fee and rebate amounts as shown
                wheeler operators scrap their vehicle at the       in Figure 6-6.
                end of their batteries’ useful life. Several
                programs are currently in place to build a
                more sustainable electric vehicle industry in
                Nepal (Boaz 2007).
50 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
FIGURE 6-6. FRANCE’S FEEBATE SCHEDULE FOR NEW AUTOMOBILES (ICCT, FORTHCOMING 2009)
                                                    $4,000!
                                                                    Feebate for standard vehicles!
                                                                    Approximate linear feebate for standard vehicles!
                                                                    Feebate for alternative fuel vehicles!
                                                                    Feebate for all vehicles!
                                                    $2,000!
                  Fee(rebate as negative) in US$!
$0!
-$2,000!
-$4,000!
-$6,000!
                                                    -$8,000!
                                                               0!           50!                100!                150!        200!          250!          300!
                TABLE 6-3. DESCRIPTION OF I&M PROGRAMS IN INDIA, TAIWAN, CHINA AND THAILAND (IYER 2007,
                CHEN & LIN 2007, WANGWONGWATANA 2007)
                COUNTRY/REGION         STRUCTURE                                REQUIREMENTS             FREQUENCY
                India                  Decentralized with mostly private test   All two- and three-      Every 6 months
                                       and repair facilities and some public    wheelers
                                       test only facilities
                Taiwan                 Decentralized with mostly private test   Motorcycles 3 years      Annually
                                       and repair facility and some public      and older
                                       test only facilities
                Thailand               Decentralized with private test and      Motorcycles 5 years      Annually
                                       repair facilities                        and older
                license plate stickers or I&M certificates can              notifications. Table 6-3 summarizes
                be useful in identifying vehicles that are in               motorcycle I&M program characteristics in
                annual compliance with the in-use                           those Asian countries with programs
                requirements.                                               currently in place.
                Data management is a critical component of                  Emission standards must be established for
                an I&M program. The large volume of data                    vehicles based on their age. Current in-use
                they generate must be readily available for                 I&M standards set emissions limits for CO
                enforcement and audits in order to evaluate                 (as a percentage of total exhaust) and HC (in
                actual program effectiveness. This requires a               parts per million, ppm). The amounts of CO
                centralized computer database accessible to                 and HC in the exhaust are basic indicators of
                test providers, oversight agencies, and                     engine and emission control performance.
                program enforcement agencies. The I&M                       Table 6-4 details benchmarks for in-use
                database can be linked to vehicle registration              standards in Taiwan, Thailand, and India.
                data, where available, to generate test                     These limits or cut points were established
                TABLE 6-4. IN-USE EMISSION STANDARDS IN INDIA, TAIWAN, CHINA, AND THAILAND (IYER 2007,
                CHEN & LIN 2007, WANGWONGWATANA 2007)
                COUNTRY/REGION                                REGISTRATION OR MODEL YEAR                    TEST METHOD
                MOTORCYCLE TYPE
                India – 2-stroke                  Prior 2000 model year         2000 and later model year
                                    CO (%)                ≤4.5%                          ≤3.5%              Idle
                                   HC (ppm)            ≤ 9,000 ppm                    ≤ 6,000 ppm           Idle
                India – 4-stroke                  Prior 2000 model year         2000 and later model year
                                    CO (%)                ≤4.5%                          ≤3.5%
                                   HC (ppm)            ≤9,000 ppm                     ≤ 4,500 ppm
                taking into account the expected performance       motorcycle. Proper function of brakes, lights,
                of engine and control technology over time,        and tires is checked. Some programs also
                maintenance practices, and air quality goals.      verify that motorcycles meet mandated noise
                Limits tend to vary by registration date or        limits.
                model year, increasing in stringency for           I&M is typically enforced along the roadside.
                newer motorcycles.                                 Traffic police or other government agents
                                                                   verify possession of required documentation
                In-use testing procedures generally require        showing the motorcycle has passed its latest
                measurements taken during engine idle. This        I&M test. Fines can be applied for non-
                is far simpler than dynamic testing and uses       compliance. Motorcycles can also be pulled
                low cost testing equipment and testing             over to perform testing on the curbside. Such
                procedures. Unfortunately, however, testing        roadside testing usually targets motorcycles
                at idle may not provide a reliable indication      with excessive visible smoke and is
                of actual emission performance. The                performed using mobile testing equipment.
                correlation between idle emissions and actual
                mass emission rates have been shown to be          Remote sensing using “hidden” measurement
                directionally correct but not statistically        devices may be able to enhance enforcement,
                significant (Iyer 2007). In contrast, new          helping to identify motorcycles in violation
                vehicles are typically certified at a range of     of in-use standards. Remote sensing
                engine speeds and loads, including idle.           programs in Delhi and Pune, India indicate
                Special care must be used when idle testing        that data collection is more difficult for two-
                to avoid sampling errors. Due to the               and three-wheelers than for four-wheel
                variability in size and configuration of           vehicles. Small exhaust volumes at variable
                exhaust pipe, the sampling probe may not be        heights are among the many technical issues
                fully inserted without the use of a leak-proof     that make sampling by remote sensing for
                extension (Iyer 2007). It is also important        motorcycles difficult.
                that instruments be routinely calibrated and
                adjusted to ensure consistency.                    The case study 4 focuses on the emission
                                                                   reductions, costs and cost effectiveness of
                Research is currently ongoing to improve           Taiwan I&M program. This program is often
                I&M test procedures. Efforts are underway to       described as a model for all motorcycle
                implement test procedures that test under a        countries in Asia. It is however difficult to
                range of operating conditions using low-cost       replicate, especially in larger regions, as this
                loaded mode test equipment. Such equipment         program is currently entirely subsidized by
                consists of a single or pair of rollers to drive   the government.
                the motorcycle through a combination of
                speeds, accelerations, decelerations, and
                                                                   6.2.2 MOTORCYCLE RETROFIT AND
                idles, while remaining stationary. The
                Automotive Research Association of India           ENGINE REPLACEMENT PROGRAMS
                (ARAI) has been working on a loaded mode           Motorcycle retrofits cover all in-use
                test over a prescribed driving cycle for CO,       modifications made to a vehicle to upgrade
                HC, NOx, and CO2 (Iyer 2007).                      one or several of its components. This
                                                                   section focuses on retrofits aimed at reducing
                Most I&M programs may also test the                motorcycle emissions and fuel consumption
                overall roadworthiness and safety of the           by improving combustion and exhaust
53 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
                   Originally, the Environmental Protection Agency (TEPA) managed the program throughout Taiwan.
                   Oversight responsibilities were eventually transferred to local environmental protection bureaus. The
                   oversight agencies certify testing equipment and test providers, check equipment calibration annually, and
                   conduct all audit activities. All testing stations are connected through a networked computer system to a
                   centralized database managed by TEPA. This data is also available to agents in the field using a handheld
                   computer who can verify vehicle status by entering a license number. Roadside emission testing carried out
                   by local environmental agencies target vehicle owners that evade annual I&M testing. It is estimated that
                   about 66 percent of vehicle owners notified in 2006 complied with the testing requirement. Participation in
                   1996 at the program inception was about 45 percent and peaked in 2003 at 72 percent.
                   Figure 6-7 presents the Industrial Technology Research Institute’s (ITRI) estimates of emissions reduced
                   through the implementation of Taiwan’s I&M program since its inception.
                   Government I&M expenditures include subsidies paid to station owners for test costs and funding of
                   oversight activities by local environmental protection bureaus. In 2006, about US $14 million were
                   disbursed in I&M station subsidies and US $6 million for government activities. Government expenditures
                   averaged US $4 per tested motorcycle. The cost effectiveness of this government investment in 2006 was
                   estimated at about US $2,600/ton CO and US $1,800/ton HC.
                and three-wheeler retrofits were first                 The results of a recent pilot project in
                considered. India considered retrofitting              Thailand show that engine replacement can
                older motorcycles by replacing the                     be a viable option for the control of
                uncontrolled engine with a newer engine                in-use emissions. The project
                meeting at least the 1996 standards and                involved replacing two-
                adding an oxidation catalyst (Roychowdhury             stroke engines in five
                2007).                                                 three-wheelers with new
                                                                       and used four-stroke
                Exhaust after-treatment technologies are               engines and installing
                most effective and durable when the                    better performing
                pollutant levels in the engine exhaust are             silencers (PCD 2007).
                below a set level. After the engine swap, tests        Modifications were made to
                of retrofit oxidation catalysts achieved an            the four-stroke engines so that they
                estimated durability of 20,000 km and                  would fit in the space allotted. Stress tests
                emissions reductions for HC of 40 percent              were performed to ensure that the heavier
                and CO by 45 percent. Without the engine               four-stroke engines did not compromise the
                swap and tuning to the lowest emission                 structural safety of the three-wheelers. The
                setting possible, the retrofit oxidation               upgraded three-wheeler had 12 percent better
                catalyst would last 10,000 kilometers and              fuel economy in road testing (PCD 2007).
                reduce HC by 20 percent and CO by 25                   However, because the installed four-stroke
                percent (Roychowdhury 2007). At these                  engines were much larger than the original
                durability levels, the retrofit catalyst would         two-stroke engines, laboratory testing
                have to be replaced on an annual or biennial           yielded only slight improvements during
                basis. Other concerns about retrofit catalytic         driving cycle tests and decreased in fuel
                converters in the late 1990s included high             economy at steady speeds.
                catalyst and exhaust tube temperatures
                burning drivers, the risk of catalyst poisoning        Table 6-5 summarizes motorcycle retrofit
                from residual lead in older motorcycles that           programs in India and the Philippines.
                had used leaded fuel, and lower engine fuel            Projects in both countries have targeted
                efficiency from higher exhaust backpressure.           commercial motorcycles. This is because
                While discussed in India, this program was             high levels of use in commercial application
                never implemented due to uncertainties.                not only provide significant emission
                                                                       reductions in city centers, but also allow for
                                                                       more rapid payback through savings in fuel
                TABLE 6-5. SUMMARY OF MOTORCYCLE RETROFIT PROGRAMS (IYER 2004, IYER 2008,
                ROYCHOWDHURY ET AL. 2006, WILSON 2006)
                LOCATION         MOTORCYCLE TYPE RETROFIT              ESTIMATED REDUCTIONESTIMATED     ESTIMATED
                                                 TECHNOLOGY                               COST (US $)   PAYBACK
                Delhi, Mumbai,   Three-wheelers      CNG and LPG       CNG: CO: -17%,     CNG: $450     Not applicable
                Pune, India                                            NOx:+34%           LPG: $400
                                                                       LPG: CO:-22%,
                                                                       NOx:+25%
                Manila, Vigan,   Three-wheeler with Direct injection   HC: - 89%          $300          Under 1 year
                Puerto Princesa, 2-stroke engines                      CO: - 76%                        based on fuel
                Philippines      (Kawasaki,                            Oil use: - 50%                   savings
                                 Yamaha)                               Fuel use: - 35%
55 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
                   At a cost of US$350, the DI retrofit kit payback is estimated at one year given annual fuel and oil savings of
                   nearly $600. Given the simplicity of their construction, two-stroke engines can be cheaply repaired.
                   Controlling their emissions with cost-effective retrofits can combine long engine life with reduced
                   environmental impacts over motorcycles’ lifetimes.
                   Pilot projects in the Philippines – home to 1.8 million two-stroke motorcycles – have focused on the cities of
                   Vigan (population 150,000/tricycle population 3,000), Puerto Princesa (population 129,500/ tricycle
                   population 4,000) and Boracay (population 12,000/ tricycle population 200). DI retrofit has been tested over
                   200,000 kilometers (~12,000 hours) of driving in the Philippines on over 100+ pre-production vehicles. A
                   self-financing social venture includes key partners: Local Government Units, Office of the Mayor, Tricycle
                   Owners and Drivers Associations, commercial partnerships (Orbital Engine, Synerject, RT Technologies,
                   and Ropali), and organizational partnerships (US EPA, Colorado State University, and CAI-Asia). A National
                   micro-finance package through CAI-ASIA plays a key role in widespread awareness-raising activities.
                   Key components of the retrofit are brought in from outside the country while core components are
                   manufactured regionally. The goal is ‘tipping point’ that involves retrofitting 1,200 – 1,500 units/month with
                   an annual removal of unburned HC (90 percent per kit) and CO (76 percent per kit), as detailed in Table
                   6-7. Other retrofit projects are being explored in Asian countries such as India, Sri Lanka, China and
                   Thailand.
56 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
                TABLE 6-6. EVALUATION OF ENVIROFIT PROJECT BENEFITS BY PROJECT SCALE (ENVIROFIT, CASE
                STUDY 5)
                programs are announced, as most                           private car trips. It is also unclear that
                commercial motorcycle operators’ limited                  removing two- and three-wheelers will, over
                incomes depend heavily on operating in city               the long-term, alleviate congestion in city
                centers. In Dhaka, for example, workshops                 centers, especially if they are replaced with
                were held with affected stakeholders,                     cars that occupy more road space. Broad
                including drivers, owners, and service                    motorcycle bans also limit the use of fuel-
                providers to develop rehabilitation plans.                efficient and zero emission electric
                                                                          motorcycles. This results in a missed
                Complementary measures, such as enhanced                  opportunity for controlling emission and fuel
                transportation services, can make bans easier             use from transportation sources in urban
                to bear. Dhaka’s 50,000 phased-out three                  centers.
                wheelers were eventually replaced by:
                10,000 CNG and gasoline three wheelers,                   Vehicle bans can have unintended
                1,000 minibuses, 370 buses, 6,000 taxicabs                consequences. They can lead to the export of
                (up from 3,000), and 670 human powered                    a large number of low cost two-stroke
                vehicles (Roychowdhury et al. 2006). Many                 motorcycles. In the poorest countries, in Sub-
                three-wheeler phase-out programs are                      Saharan Africa for example, used vehicles
                adopted with complementary incentive                      imports of all types are growing rapidly.
                policies to assist operators in purchasing new            Those with the lowest income strive to
                and cleaner vehicles.                                     purchase an imported motorcycle, regardless
                                                                          of its environmental or safety drawbacks.
                Banning some or all motorcycles is
                perceived as a lower-cost option to adopting              It might be more useful to adopt a
                and enforcing emissions standards, retrofit,              performance standards to give vehicle
                and other programs. However, the long-term                owners compliance options, including
                costs and benefits of bans are unclear. The               vehicle phase out, replacement with a
                key to assessing them requires understanding              conventional or an alternative fuel vehicle, or
                how and at what cost motorcycle trips are                 vehicle retrofit. Performance standards could
                replaced. Costs and benefits would be                     be tightened over time to ensure continued
                different if motorcycle trips were replaced by            reductions in motorcycle fuel-cycle
                walking, biking, public transportation or by
                  Bans are only successful if they ultimately lead to the adoption of alternatives that provide real and
                  permanent emission reductions. It is important to evaluate whether similar emission benefits at equal or
                  lower cost could be obtained through financial incentives, performance standards, or other technology
                  fixes, such direct injection retrofits, engine upgrades, and/or the addition of after-treatment technology.
58 Opportunities to Reduce Motorcycle Emissions and Energy Consumption
                emissions. Driver and maintenance staff           scrapped vehicles are destroyed and are
                retraining programs could be provided if new      replaced by lower emission models.
                skills are needed to handle and maintain an
                improved motorcycle fleet. Finally, enhanced      6.3 NEXT GENERATION
                public transportation options are necessary to
                                                                  TECHNOLOGY POLICIES
                ensure adequate levels of service to meet all
                mobility needs when motorcycle use is             There have been policies that target
                restricted.                                       increasing the market share of next
                                                                  generation technologies for transportation.
                6.2.5 FINANCIAL INCENTIVES FOR                    For example, the California Zero Emission
                                                                  Vehicles (ZEV) required the seven largest
                IN-USE MOTORCYCLE
                                                                  automotive companies in California to “make
                PERFORMANCE
                                                                  available for sale” an increasing number of
                Different nations use different financial tools   vehicles with zero tailpipe emissions.
                to advance motorcycle performance and             California’s latest revision in 2008 requires
                moderate use. Low interest or interest-free       automakers to produce a total of 7,500 fuel
                loans, incentives, and grants for the purchase    cell vehicles or 12,500 battery electric
                of the lower-emitting motorcycle retrofit kits    vehicles (or some combination thereof)
                and electronic road pricing are two examples.     between 2012 and 2014, along with 58,000
                                                                  plug-in hybrids, placing more emphasis on
                In Singapore, one of the first nations to adopt   plug-in hybrid electric technologies than
                an electronic road pricing system in 1975         other innovations. However California’s
                after Hong Kong, motorcycles are subject to       ZEV mandates do not apply to motorcycles.
                tolls along with cars and trucks. The             As is the case with emission standards in
                concession made is that motorcycles count as      general (discussed earlier), motorcycles do
                one-half of a vehicle unit and are subject to     not comprise a large or growing share of
                lower charges than cars. Road pricing, which      vehicles in the US and most developed
                is now in force in London and elsewhere           countries. For this reason, two-wheelers are
                worldwide, is a policy that has found to be       not the focus of increasingly stringent
                effective at changing vehicle use patterns.       regulations on vehicle emissions.
                Drivers consider charges when deciding
                when and how best to travel in areas with         In China, however, this is not the case. The
                road pricing in effect. Transport for London      prevalence of e-bikes has resulted from a
                estimates that the city’s congestion pricing      confluence of circumstances that could spur
                program has reduced carbon dioxide                the use of these advanced motorcycle
                emissions by 20 percent.                          technologies in other Asian countries. E-bike
                                                                  technology – specifically motors and
                In Taiwan, a payment of about $60 (US             batteries – improved significantly during the
                Dollars) was offered for giving up a              late 1990’s. Simple technology, a vast
                motorcycle that is over a decade old (Chuang      supplier base, and weak intellectual property
                2001). Such incentives for owners to trade in     protection made it easier for e-bike makers to
                their older, deteriorated vehicles are gaining    enter the industry, increasing competition
                popularity. They are also known as “vehicle       and driving prices down. Improved economic
                scrappage” programs. Scrappage programs           conditions in developing countries meant that
                may have some environmental benefits if           household incomes rose considerably. This
59 Findings and Recommendations
              translated into a greater share of disposable    enforcement mechanisms is key, so too are
              incomes devoted to transportation. As e-bike     fiscal measures that complement and
              prices decreased, gasoline prices rose and       reinforce standards. Whether policymakers
              electricity prices in rural areas dropped,       are focused on controlling conventional
              making e-bikes more economically                 motorcycle technologies, have an eye toward
              competitive with alternatives like gasoline-     next generation technologies, or are trying to
              powered scooters and bus.                        manage their motorcycle fleets in use, there
                                                               are opportunities to reduce emissions and
              National and local government policy in          fuel use in the growing number of two- and
              China, has motivated by energy and air           three-wheeled vehicles and there are places
              quality issues, created favorable conditions     to turn to for guidance and support.
              for e-bike growth. Banning gasoline-powered
              motorcycles in large city centers eliminated
                                                               7. FINDINGS AND
              the prime competitor to e-bikes. Changes in
              urban form and suburbanization increased         RECOMMENDATIONS
              trip length and congestion, making bicycles
              and buses less attractive travel options.        7.1 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
              Recently, there have been efforts to close the
                                                               Emissions from two- and three-wheelers are
              loopholes in the national e-bike standards. A
                                                               a very large and growing problem in many
              proposal has been made to define an electric
                                                               countries in Asia, and increasingly in Latin
              motorcycle as a two-wheeler with speed
                                                               America and Africa. Two-stroke engines are
              higher than 50km/h or a three-wheelers
                                                               in great part responsible for motorcycles’
              weighing less than 400kg. An electric moped
                                                               disproportionate air quality impact. And
              would be defined as a two-wheeler with
                                                               these engines are also highly ineficient when
              speed between 20 and 50km/hr or a three-
                                                               it comes to fuel use – with up to 40 percent
              wheeler with speed less than 50km/hr.
                                                               of the fuel and much of the oil escaping from
              Electric bicycle are vehicles with speed
                                                               the exhaust unburned. Motorcycle exhaust is
              below 20 km/hr. These standards that limit
                                                               packed with oxides of nitrogen, oxides of
              the size and speed of larger e-bikes are
                                                               sulfur, hydrocarbons and fine particles – all
              expected to address some of the road sharing
                                                               toxic contributors to air pollution and
              conflicts with bicycles, motorcycles, and
                                                               detrimental to public health. Poor fuel
              four-wheelers.
                                                               quality is a confounding issue that factors
                                                               into high pollutant emissions from
              The advent of zero emission motorcycles
                                                               motorcycles in Asia and elsewhere.
              could extend beyond China. Much of Asia
              could eventually benefit from these cleaner
                                                               Asian countries and regions have begun to
              technologies. The last section summarizes
                                                               implement a combination of policies to
              findings and presents recommendations for
                                                               reduce motorcycle emissions and increase
              reducing motorcycle emissions and fuel use.
                                                               customer preference for more fuel-efficient
              Asian nations, regions, and cities have
                                                               four-stroke motorcycles. These policies have
              several opportunities to better control
                                                               lead to a rapid decline of new two-stroke
              motorcycle emissions and energy
                                                               motorcycle sales. This trend is apparent in
              consumption. These apply to both new
                                                               China, India, Taiwan, and Thailand.
              motorcycles and vehicles once they are in
              use. Both performance standards and their
60 Findings and Recommendations
              Despite progress, an average two- or four-        In particular, the rise of diesel three-wheelers
              stroke motorcycle can emit more pollution         for freight transport and passenger transport
              than a car with the most up-to-date emission      is problematic. Opportunities to improve new
              control technology. These and other issues        three-wheeler emission controls include
              such as noise and public safety have led to       emission standards aligned with passenger
              increasing restrictions even bans of              vehicles and differentiated by fuel type, as in
              motorcycle use in some cities.                    the Euro 3 program. For the in-use mainly
                                                                two-stroke fleet, retrofits, replacements and
              There are however significant opportunities       alternative fuel have all shown promise.
              to improve motorcycles. The technologies          These in-use programs must rely on clear
              developed to clean up passenger cars,             performance standards and transparent
              including fuel injection and catalytic            certification procedures. Financial incentives
              converters, are being adapted to more and         such as low to no cost loans and grants are
              more motorcycle applications. All the major       important complementary policies.
              motorcycle countries such as China, India,
              and the EU have developed unique                  7.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
              regulatory systems with requirements that are
              not directly comparable. The                      In countries where motorcycles are a major
              recommendations below highlight                   contributor to air pollution problems, a
                                                                comprehensive plan is needed to effectively
              opportunities for further reduction in
                                                                and efficiently control these vehicles. This
              motorcycle emissions and fuel use in these
              various programs.                                 plan should include:
              Although motorcycles are among the most                   A platform for world harmonization
              fuel-efficient road transportation modes,                  of motorcycle emission standards
              gains in fuel economy are still possible.                  that accelerates the use of proven,
                                                                         cost-effective, advanced
              Following the leadership of in China, fuel
              efficiency requirements should be adopted                  technologies
              and further developed for two- and three-                 A parallel policy effort, with
              wheeled vehicles. When consumers move to                   coordinated strategies, to reduce
              larger and often less efficient motorcycles, as            motorcycle fuel use and carbon
              is being witnessed in many motorcycle                      emissions
              countries, fuel economy standards can ensure              Emission standards for new
              that this trend does not result in significant             motorcycles with durability
              erosion of fleet fuel efficiency. Fuel economy             requirements that reflect real world
              would also benefit if separate emission                    useful life, cold start testing, and
              standards for NOx and HC were adopted.                     limits on evaporative emissions
              This is currently prevented by concerns over              A thorough compliance program to
              tradeoffs between NOx and fuel use.                        enforce adopted emission standards
                                                                        Routine enforcement activities, such
              Three-wheelers mainly used in commercial                   as vehicle recall systems that
              applications warrant specific targeted                     minimize the risk of fraud and
              strategies. Emissions standards for three-                 ensure that manufacturers are
              wheelers are lagging behind both two-                      building motorcycles to required
              wheelers and their direct competitors, cars.               specification is important, especially
61 Findings and Recommendations
              e-bike use. Stricter standards are needed to       vehicle owners cover all program costs,
              guide domestic lead production and recycling       including enforcement costs, to ensure
              industry and limit lead contamination in the       financial sustainability. A transparent
              local environment. Further consolidation of        process, consistent government
              the lead production and clean battery              oversight, and effective roadside
              manufacturing is necessary to facilitate the       enforcement are important
              adoption of enforceable environmental              features of successful I&M
              standards.                                         programs. The program in
                                                                 Taiwan identifies opportunities
              Incentives offer a way to help implement           for improved management of
              advanced technologies and create demand for        motorcycles. However, it is a
              next generation motorcycles and fuels.             decentralized program that is highly
              Without financial policies, the status quo         subsidized by the government.
              usually continues unabated until regulations
              change the economic equation. The benefit          Retrofits or replacements should be
              of an incentive program can more directly          performed with certified retrofit kits or
              affect behavioral change by encouraging            replacement engines meeting adopted in-use
              early adoption of new technologies.                emission and durability standards.
                                                                 Replacement vehicles should meet new
              7.2.2 POLICIES FOR MOTORCYCLES                     vehicle emission standards. Complementary
              IN USE                                             policies such as low to no interest loans,
                                                                 incentives and grants for the purchase of the
              In-use control measures focus on reducing
                                                                 cleanest retrofit kit or replacement engine/
              emissions from vehicles on the road. These
                                                                 vehicle can significantly improve a
              measures can consist of three major
                                                                 program’s success. Most programs to date
              strategies. Inspection and maintenance
                                                                 have targeted three-wheelers because their
              programs under which vehicles are required
                                                                 high usage rate allows quicker payback of
              to be tested and inspected at regular intervals
                                                                 capital cost through fuel cost savings.
              and repaired to meet adopted in-use emission
              standards. Second, retrofit and replacement
                                                                 Vehicle restrictions may not always lead to
              programs focus on upgrading motorcycles
                                                                 the adoption of alternatives that will provide
              with improved emission control equipment,
                                                                 real and permanent emission reductions in all
              newer engines, or by replacing old vehicles
                                                                 the important pollutant categories. It is
              with newer and cleaner motorcycles. Lastly,
                                                                 worthwhile to evaluate whether similar
              vehicle use restriction measures ban or limit
                                                                 emission benefits at equal or lower cost
              motorcycle activities in all or part of a city.
                                                                 could be obtained through other programs,
                                                                 including vehicle replacements, retrofits,
              Inspection and maintenance (I&M) programs
                                                                 engine upgrades, and/or the addition of after-
              for motorcycles can be a useful in-use
                                                                 treatment technology.
              control measure in countries and cities where
              two- and three-wheelers are the main sources
                                                                 Fiscal policies, taxes, and user fees are
              of transportation-related air pollution. In
                                                                 necessary to affect beneficial changes in
              most cases, a centralized structure is
                                                                 motorcycle use. These tools are often used to
              preferred as it offers fewer opportunities for
                                                                 complement standards when the market does
              fraud and corruption. It is also preferable that
                                                                 not immediately react to regulations. At
64 Findings and Recommendations
              have been the focus of environmental and         Association des Constructeurs Européens de
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                                                               2007 - Facts and Figures on PTWs in Europe.
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              global leaders concerned with local and          Transport (EST) in South Asia. Asian Mayors’
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APPENDIX A