3
National Income:
                Where It Comes From and
                     Where It Goes
                                              1
Chapter Three
                The circular flow of income
                                              2
Chapter Three
                                                  1
                The circular flow of income - examples
     • Examples of factor payments, consumption, government
       purchases?
     • What is government deficit and where should it be placed in
       the chart?
                                                                              3
Chapter Three
                           Assumptions:
       • Buyers and sellers pursue their own self-interest
       • Market competition and market balance with flexible
         wages/prices (and total employment)
       • Origin of classical theory: Adam Smith (1776)
          • Wealth of Nations
                                              invisible hand”
          • The economy is controlled by the “invisible hand
            – market forces instead of government
                                     Copyright 1997 Dead Economists Society
                                                                              4
Chapter Three
                                                                                  2
                Key questions:
      1. Firms: what determines their level of production (and
         thus, the level of national income).
      2. The markets for the factors of production: how do they
         distribute this income to households ?
      3. Households: how much of this income do households
         consume and how much do they save ?
      4. Demand arising from investment and government
         purchases.
      5. Finally: how are the demand and supply for goods and
         services brought into balance?
                                                                         5
Chapter Three
       An economy’s output of goods and services (GDP) depends on:
       (1) quantity of inputs
       (2) ability to turn inputs into output
•     Inputs used to produce goods and services.
•     The two most important factors of production are capital (K) and
      labor (L).
•     Assumption: these factors are given fixed values: K and L
                                                                         6
Chapter Three
                                                                             3
    1. The available production technology determines how much
       output is produced from given amounts of capital (K) and
       labor (L).
    2. The production function represents the transformation of
       inputs into outputs.
    3. A key assumption: the production function has constant
       returns to scale (i.e. if we increase inputs by z, output will also
       increase by z)                            Assume that capital and labor
    4. The production function is:               are fixed,
                                                  Then Y (output) is fixed, too.
                            Y = F (K,L)
                 Income       is                            our given inputs
                                    some function of
                                                                                   7
Chapter Three
     • Total output of an economy equals total income.
     • The factors of production and the production function
       together determine the total output of goods and services,
     • They also determine national income.
     • The distribution of national income is determined by factor
       prices.
     • Factor prices are the amounts paid to the factors of production
         • the wages workers earn and
         • the rent the owners of capital collect.
     • Because we have assumed a fixed amount of capital and
       labor, the factor supply curve is a vertical line.
                                                                                   8
Chapter Three
                                                                                       4
                       Market for factors of production
   The price paid to any factor of production depends on the supply and demand
   for that factor’s services.
   Assumed: supply is fixed, the supply curve is vertical.
   The demand curve is downward sloping. The intersection of supply and demand
   determines the equilibrium factor price.
                 Factor        Factor supply
                  Price
                (Wage or
                 Rental
                  Rate)
         Equilibrium
                                                          Factor demand
         factor price
                                         Quantity of Factor
                                                                                         9
Chapter Three
                   Profit maximising behaviour of the firms
     The firm needs two factors of production, capital and labor.
     The firm’s technology: the production function Y = F (K, L)
     The firm sells its output at price P, hires workers at a wage W, and rents capital
     at a rate R.
     • The goal of the firm is to maximize profit:
     • Profit is revenue minus cost.
     • Revenue equals P • Y.
     • Costs include both labor and capital costs.
          • Labor costs = W • L ( wage • amount of labor)
          • Capital costs = R • K (rental price of capital • amount of capital)
     • Profit = Revenue - Labor Costs - Capital Costs
                              =P•Y        -         W•L -             R•K
     • How does profit depend on the factors of production? Y = F (K,L)
              Profit = P • F (K,L) - W • L - R • K
     Profit depends on P, W, R, L, and K.
     The competitive firm
     • takes the product price and factor prices as given
     • and chooses the amounts of labor and capital that maximize profit.               10
Chapter Three
                                                                                             5
                                                 The firm will hire labor and rent capital
                                                 in the quantities that maximize profit.
                                                 What are those maximizing quantities?
    The marginal product of labor (MPL) is the extra amount of output the firm
    gets from one extra unit of labor, holding the amount of capital fixed and is
    expressed using the production function:
                            MPL = F(K,L + 1) - F(K,L).
    Most production functions have the property of diminishing marginal product:
    holding the amount of capital fixed, the marginal product of labor decreases as the
    amount of labor increases.
                                                  Y
The MPL is:                                                                  F (K, L)
•    the change in output when the labor                                  MPL
     input is increased by 1 unit.                                 1
•    As the amount of labor increases, the
     production function becomes flatter                          MPL
     indicating diminishing marginal
     product.
                                                          1
                                                                                          11
Chapter Three                                                                  L
• A profit maximizing firm, when deciding whether to hire an additional unit of
  labor compares the extra revenue from the increased production that results from
  the added labor to the extra cost of higher spending on wages:
                           ∆ Profit = ∆ Revenue - ∆ Cost
• The increase in revenue: = P • MPL; The increase in cost: = W
• Thus, the firm’s demand for labor is determined by P × MPL = W, or MPL =
  W/P, where W/P is the real wage
• The firm hires up to the point where the extra revenue = the real wage.
Units of
output                             • The MPL depends on the amount of labor.
                                   • The MPL curve slopes downward because the MPL
                                     declines as L increases.
    Real                           • This schedule is also the firm’s labor demand curve.
    wage
                               Quantity of labor demanded
                                             MPL, labor demand
                                                                                          12
Chapter Three                Units of labor, L
                                                                                               6
• The firm decides how much capital to rent in the same way it decides how
  much labor to hire.
• The MPK is the amount of extra output the firm gets from an extra unit of capital,
  holding the amount of labor constant:
                               MPK = F(K + 1,L) - F(K,L).
• Thus, the marginal product of capital is the difference between the amount of
  output produced with K+1 units of capital and that produced with K units of
  capital.
• Like labor, capital is subject to diminishing marginal product.
• The increase in profit from renting an additional machine is the extra revenue
  from selling the output of that machine minus the machine’s rental price:
                       ∆ Profit = ∆ Revenue - ∆ Cost = (P • MPK) - R
• To maximize profit, the firm continues to rent more capital until the MPK falls to
  equal the real rental price, MPK = R/P.
• The real rental price of capital is the rental price measured in units of goods
  rather than in dollars.
 The firm demands each factor of production until that factor’s marginal product
                            falls to equal its real factor price.
                                                                                        13
Chapter Three
   • The income that remains after the firms have paid the factors of production is
     the economic profit of the owners of the firms.
   • Real economic profit is: Economic Profit = Y - (MPL • L) - (MPK • K)
   • or to rearrange: Y = (MPL • L) + (MPK • K) + Economic Profit.
   • Total income is divided among the returns to labor, the returns to capital, and
     economic profit.
   • HOW LARGE IS ECONOMIC PROFIT?
   • If the production function has the property of constant returns to scale, then
     economic profit is zero.
   • This conclusion follows from Euler’s Theorem, which states that if the
     production function has constant returns to scale, then
   •                  F(K,L) = (MPK • K) + (MPL • L)
   • If each factor of production is paid its marginal product, then the sum of these
     factor payments equals total output.
   • Constant returns to scale, profit maximization,and competition together imply
     that economic profit is zero.
                                                                                        14
Chapter Three
                                                                                             7
                                              Recall from Chapter 2, the four
                                              components of GDP:
                             Y = C + I + G + NX
                                            Investment
   Total demand                                                       Net exports
                          is composed      spending by
   for domestic                                                      or net foreign
                               of         businesses and
   output (GDP)                                                         demand
                                           households
                              Consumption            Government
                              spending by         purchases of goods
                               households            and services
 Assumption: closed economy, eliminating the last term net exports NX.
              So, the three components of GDP are:
 Consumption (C), Investment (I) and Government purchases (G).                           15
Chapter Three
                                                  C
            C = C(Y- T)                                                          T)
                                                                             ( Y-
                                                                           =C
                                                                       C
                depends          disposable
                  on               income
consumption                                                                       Y-T
spending by
 households                          The slope of the consumption function is the MPC.
  The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the amount by which consumption
  changes when disposable income (Y-T) increases by one dollar.
  Example: a large value MPC= 0.99 means that for every extra dollar we earn after
  tax deductions, we spend $0.99 of it.
  MPC measures the sensitivity of the change in C with respect to a change in (Y-T). 16
Chapter Three
                                                                                              8
                                  I = I(r)
                Investment     depends
                 spending                                 real interest rate
                                  on
 • The quantity of investment depends on the real interest rate (r),
   which measures the cost of the funds used to finance investment.
 • The nominal interest rate (i) is the interest rate as usually reported; it
   is the rate of interest that investors pay to borrow money.
 • The real interest rate is the nominal interest rate corrected for the
   effects of inflation ( r = i - π, real interest rate = nominal interest
   rate – rate of inflation).
 • The role of interest rates in the economy: real interest rate is
   especially relevant when the overall level of prices is changing.
                                                                                17
Chapter Three
                         • The investment function relates the quantity
                           of investment I to the real interest rate r.
                         • Investment depends on the real interest rate (the
       Real                cost of borrowing).
     interest            • The investment function slopes downward:
      rate, r              when the interest rate rises, fewer investment
                           projects are profitable.
                                          Investment function, I(r)
                             Quantity of investment, I
                                                                                18
Chapter Three
                                                                                     9
        • We take the level of government spending and taxes as given.
        • (here: T = taxes minus transfers, also called: net taxes)
        • If government purchases equal taxes minus transfers, then G = T,
          and the government has a balanced budget.
        • If G > T, then the government is running a budget deficit.
        • If G < T, then the government is running a budget surplus.
  G=G
  T=T
                                                                               19
Chapter Three
        The following equations summarize the demand for goods and services:
                1) Y = C + I + G       Demand for Economy’s Output
                2) C = C(Y-T)          Consumption Function
                3) I = I(r)            Real Investment Function
                4) G = G               Government Purchases
                5) T = T               Taxes
         • The demand for the economy’s output comes from consumption,
           investment, and government purchases.
         • Consumption depends on disposable income,
         • Investment depends on the real interest rate;
         • Government purchases and taxes are the exogenous variables set by
           fiscal policy makers.
    Supply: the output supplied to the economy: Y = F ( K,
                                                            L) = Y
               Equilibrium: Y = C(   Y -
                                           T) + I(r) + G
                                                                               20
Chapter Three
                                                                                    10
The role of the real interest rate
                                            Y = C(Y-T) + I(r) + G
    • The interest rate (r) is the only variable not already determined in
      the equation.
    • The interest rate must adjust to ensure that the demand for goods
      equals the supply.
    • The greater the interest rate,
         • the lower the level of investment (I).
         • and the lower the demand for goods and services, C + I + G.
    • If the interest rate is too high, investment is too low, and the
      demand for output falls short of supply.
    • If the interest rate is too low, investment is too high, and the
      demand exceeds supply.
     • At the equilibrium interest rate, the demand for goods and services
                                  equals the supply.
    • Real interest rates are defined by the financial markets
                                                                         21
Chapter Three
• The national income accounts identity: Y - C - G = I.
• Y-C-G : the output that remains after household consumption and
  government purchases, called national saving or simply, saving (S).
• The national income accounts identity shows that saving =
  investment.
• Splitting national saving into two parts: the saving of the private
  sector and the saving of the government:
•                        (Y-T-C) + (T-G) = I
• Private saving: (Y-T-C) = disposable income minus consumption,.
• Public saving: (T-G) = government revenue minus government
  spending,.
• National saving is the sum of private and public saving, and is the
  supply of loanable funds in financial markets
• Demand for loanable funds: Investment, I (r).
                                                                         22
Chapter Three
                                                                              11
                                Equilibrium in the financial markets
  • The national income accounts identity:
  •                           Y - C (Y-T) - G = I(r)
  • Note that G and T are fixed by policy and Y is fixed by:
  the factors of production and the production function:Y - C (Y-T) - G = I(r)
                                                                            S = I(r)
  Real
interest                  Saving, S
                                                  The vertical line represents saving:
 rate, r                                            the supply of loanable funds.
                                                      The downward-sloping line
                              Equilibrium
                                                 represents investment: the demand
                                interest
                                                 for loanable funds. The intersection
                                  rate
                                                 determines the equilibrium interest
                                                                 rate.
                                Desired Investment, I(r)
                        S      Investment, Saving, I, S                                  23
Chapter Three
  An Increase in Government Purchases:
  • If government purchases increase by ∆G, the immediate impact is to increase
    the demand for goods and services by ∆G.
  • But total output is fixed by the factors of production,
  • The increase ∆G must be met by a decrease in some other category of demand.
  • Because disposable Y-T is unchanged, consumption is unchanged.
  • The increase ∆G must be met by an equal decrease in investment.
  • To induce investment to fall, the interest rate must rise.
     Hence, the rise in government purchases causes the interest rate to increase and
                                  investment to decrease.
        Thus, government purchases are said to crowd out investment.
   A Decrease in Taxes:
   • The immediate impact of a tax cut ∆T is to raise disposable income and thus
     to raise consumption.
   • Disposable income rises by ∆T, and consumption rises by ∆T • MPC.
   • The higher the MPC, the greater the impact of the tax cut on consumption.
                                                                  consumption
         Tax cuts crowd out investment and raise the interest rate.
                                                                                         24
Chapter Three
                                                                                              12
  Real                                    A reduction in saving, possibly the
interest              S'    Saving, S     result of a change in fiscal policy,
 rate, r                                  shifts the saving schedule to the left.
                                     The new equilibrium is the point at
                                     which the new saving schedule crosses
                                     the investment schedule.
                                     A reduction in saving lowers the amount
                                     of investment and raises the interest rate.
                            Desired Investment, I(r)
                           S     Investment, Saving, I, S
                Fiscal policy actions are said to crowd out investment.
                                                                                        25
Chapter Three
                                                    • An increase in the demand
  Real                                                for investment goods shifts
interest                   Saving, S                  the investment schedule to
 rate, r                                              the right.
                                                    • At any given interest rate, the
                                                      amount of investment is
                                                      greater.
                       B                            • The equilibrium moves
                                                      from A to B.
                       A                            • Because the amount of
                                               I2     saving is fixed, the increase
                                          I1          in investment demand raises
                                                      the interest rate while
                         S Investment, Saving, I, S   leaving the equilibrium
Now let’s see        what happens to the interest     amount of investment
                                                      unchanged.
rate and saving when saving depends on
the interest rate (upward-sloping
saving (S) curve).                                                                      26
Chapter Three
                                                                                             13
                                                    S(r)
                  Real
                interest
                 rate, r
                                          B
                                    A                      I2
                                                     I1
                                                Investment, Saving, I, S
     1. When saving is positively related to the interest rate, as
        shown by the upward-sloping S(r) curve,
     2. a rightward shift in the investment schedule I(r), increases
        the interest rate and the amount of investment.
     3. The higher interest rate induces people to increase saving,
        which in turn allows investment to increase.                       27
Chapter Three
        Factors of production                   Nominal interest rate
        Production function                     Real interest rate
        Constant returns to scale               National saving
        Factor prices                           (saving)
        Competition                             Private saving
        Marginal product of labor (MPL)         Public saving
        Diminishing marginal product            Loanable funds
        Real wage                               Crowding out
        Marginal product of capital (MPK)
        Real rental price of capital
        Economic profit vs. accounting profit
        Disposable income
        Consumption function
        Marginal propensity to consume
                                                                           28
Chapter Three
                                                                                14