Non-Parametric Performance Measurement of International and Islamic Mutual Funds
Non-Parametric Performance Measurement of International and Islamic Mutual Funds
www.emeraldinsight.com/1030-9616.htm
ARJ
25,3 Non-parametric performance
measurement of international and
Islamic mutual funds
208
Jose Francisco Rubio and M. Kabir Hassan
Department of Economics and Finance, University of New Orleans,
New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, and
Hesham Jamil Merdad
Department of Finance & Economics,
King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals (KFUPM),
Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study whether Islamic investors lose portfolio efficiency
due to a limited asset universe.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper contributes to prior literature by using
non-parametrical measurements of efficiency instead of regular (parametrical) methods. Data
envelopment analysis (DEA) was used in order to better characterize the risk and return relationship,
as well as estimating a single performance index to rank different funds and compare them to one
another.
Findings – Overall, the results are congruent with prior findings. That is, there is strong evidence
suggesting that Islamic funds are highly efficient and that they outperform their international
counterparts. Also, results are robust to different estimation of DEA, the specification of the asset
universe, and the inclusion of financial crisis period in analysis.
Research limitations/implications – Though the paper’s findings are robust to
different specifications of the DEA model and time periods, the authors caution readers due to the
limited sample.
Practical implications – Having defined a performance index, one can therefore isolate the funds
which are the most efficient and thus drive trading activities towards said funds.
Social implications – Since the paper’s findings suggest that Islamic investors do not lose
efficiency, investing into a limited asset universe which follows social and ethical constraints (given by
Shariah law) is recommended.
Originality/value – The paper is able to confirm prior literature, even by using a non-parametrical
measurement of efficiency. In this way, the authors have accounted for an extra penalty on the
risk-return relationship: skewness.
Keywords Islam, Fund management, Unit trusts, Portfolio investment, Islamic mutual funds,
Data envelopment analysis, Investment efficiency
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
As of April 2010, Muslims represented almost 21 percent of the world’s population with
Accounting Research Journal an estimated of more than USD 800 billion to invest, which is growing at 15 percent
Vol. 25 No. 3, 2012
pp. 208-226 annually (Girard and Hassan, 2008). Because of this, many financial institutions have
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited expanded their services to accommodate for Muslims’ religious preferences, resulting in
1030-9616
DOI 10.1108/10309611211290176 an increasing universe of Shariah compliant assets.
Shariah, which is the moral code and religious law of Islam, rules out the Performance
consumption of alcohol and pork and activities related to gambling. As a result, Muslims measurement
should not invest in financial assets that derive their income from such activities[1]. This
results in the omission of stocks from firms such as hotels, casinos, clubs, bars, of mutual funds
restaurants, food producers, alcohol producers, etc. Moreover, Shariah compliant assets
are types of ethical investment which drive investors towards firms which have a sound
social responsibility. Thus, it can be expected that mutual fund managers who follow 209
Shariah law, and thus ethical codes, will tend to avoid extreme risk taking behavior.
While one could argue that Islamic funds bear less risk than traditional assets
thereby producing smaller average returns, one could also argue that Islamic funds are
less diversified than traditional investment, making such investment riskier, thus
making investors require higher compensation to hold Islamic funds. In this paper, we
characterize a risk-return relationship for Islamic funds, International funds, and
American funds in order to explain which set of assets has the best performance.
Though the literature has analyzed the performance of Islamic mutual funds, ours,
to our knowledge, is the first study that compares them to traditional unconstraint
investment on the bases of efficiency: which types of mutual funds provide the highest
level of outputs (returns) conditional on inputs (risk).
One of the major advantages of using data envelopment analysis (DEA) is that it
allows for multiple inputs and outputs to be included into a production framework while
still offering a single performance index. This in turn, allows easy comparison between
funds and thereby groups. Furthermore, the specification of the models under DEA
allows for endogenous derived inputs and outputs weights which make this type of
models appealing (Glawischnig and Sommersguter-Reichmann, 2010). We apply two
types of DEA methods to our sample: a radially driven input-oriented measure, or the
BCC’s model, as well as a non-radially driven input-oriented measure, or the Russell’s
model.
Overall, our results are consistent with prior literature. Islamic funds do not seem to
lose efficiency despite their smaller asset universe. Furthermore, results are also robust
to different specifications of:
.
the asset universe; and
.
DEA model.
2. Previous literature
There are several studies which focus on Islamic finance especially after the introduction of
several Islamic indices such as: the Dow Jones Islamic market index (DJIMI) which was
launched in 1999; FTSE Global Islamic Index Series (GIIS) which was launched at the end
ARJ of 1998; MSCI global Islamic indices; and the Global Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
25,3 Islamic index which was launched in 2006. The main theme of these studies is to investigate
whether there is a cost in adhering to the Shariah law. Some studies find Islamic investing
affects performance, while others find otherwise.
Elfakhani et al. (2007) findings suggest that there is no statistical evidence of any
performance differences between Islamic funds and the employed market benchmarks.
210 However, their findings suggest that Islamic mutual funds do offer a good hedging
opportunity against market downturns. Abdullah et al. (2007) apply Sharpe index and
adjusted Sharpe index, Jensen Alpha, timing and selectivity ability to Malaysian mutual
funds and find that Islamic funds performed better than conventional funds during
bearish economic trends while, conventional funds showed better performance than
Islamic funds during bullish economic conditions.
Mansor and Bhatti (2011) study the monthly performances of 128 Islamic mutual funds
(IMFs) in Malaysia for the period of January 1990 to April 2009. They employ Sharpe,
Treynor and Jensen ratios to the risk-adjusted return performance based on extended
version of CAPM model. They find on average IMFs in Malaysia outperform its
conventional peers and the market portfolio proxy by the KLCI returns. Shah et al. (2012)
show that Pakistani Islamic funds, when compared to Pakistani non-Islamic funds, present
a lower average risk rate with higher compensations. Surprisingly, the authors also find
Islamic funds are even better diversified than conventional mutual funds.
Hoepner et al. (2009) find mixed evidence on the performance of Islamic mutual funds.
They find that Islamic funds from eight nations (mostly from the Western regions)
significantly underperform their respective equity market benchmarks and Islamic funds
from only three nations outperform their respective market benchmarks. Furthermore,
they find that Islamic funds from the GCC and Malaysia do not significantly underperform
their respective market benchmarks. Finally, they argue that Islamic equity funds can offer
hedging opportunities because their investment universe is limited to low debt-to-equity
ratio stocks.
Donia and Marzban (2010) conclude that Shariah-compliant investments outperform
conventional investments using the mean-variance frontier because the former benefits
from the lower leverage feature. Also, Majid and Maulana (2010) apply a non-parametric
performance measure to assess performance and find significant efficiency of Islamic funds,
but they limit their study only to Indonesia.
Hassan et al. (2010) provide a case study on Malaysian Islamic unit trust funds. Their
findings show that there are no convincing performance differences between Islamic and
non-Islamic Malaysian unit trust funds.
Girard and Hassan (2008, 2012) study the performance of several Islamic indexes and
compare them with non-Islamic equivalents. They use parametrical methods such as
Sharpe ratio, Jensen and Fama’s selectivity, net selectivity, diversification, and Carhart’s
(1997) four factor pricing model and find that there is no significant difference between the
Islamic and non-Islamic indexes.
BinMahfouz and Hassan (2012) conclude that the assumption that Shariah investment
constrains lead to inferior performance and riskier investment portfolios because of limited
investment universe seems to be rejected. This implies that Muslim investors can choose
Islamic investments that are consistent with their beliefs without being forced to either
sacrifice performance or become exposed to higher risk.
3. Non-parametric estimations Performance
Since alternative investments or financial assets have different statistical properties, measurement
estimating a good performance index is a difficult task due to the different characteristics
of assets returns, such as skewed return distributions with fat tails. Because of this, it is of mutual funds
expected that parametrical performance measurements fail when accounting distributions
that present non-normal characteristics. We expect that use of non-parametric econometric
method, such as DEA, will add value to prior literature. 211
We expected that DEA will contribute a sound estimation of performance indexes
as well as a better explanation of the risk-return relationship. In this context, DEA
offers a good perspective as it accounts for multiple inputs and outputs simultaneously
while still offering a single real number as a performance index. DEA assumes a
production framework on which one uses inputs to produce outputs where inputs are
defined as bearers of risk while outputs are bearers of wealth.
Prior literature reveals that input candidates should reflect investment risk, which is
proxied by the return momentums. Under normality, only the mean return and its
standard deviation will suffice. However, if distributions are non-normal, then higher
momentums should be required. Thus, the next section focuses on testing normality of
returns.
where:
E j ðr t 2 r d Þ2
Sj ¼ ; the skewness of monthly returns of fund j
s2j
E j ðr t 2 r d Þ4
Kj ¼ 2 3; the excess kurtosis of monthly returns of fund j
sj4
rt, monthly return.
r d, average returns.
sj , standard deviation.
_ ð2Þ
1X T
UPM j;m ¼ ðrt;j 2 r min Þm ; m ¼ 0; . . . ; 4
T t¼1
where:
rmin, target rate.
r t;j , monthly return of fund j below target rate.
~
T, number of returns of fund j below target rate.
rt;j , monthly return of fund j above target rate.
_
T, number of returns of fund j above target rate.
The maximum drawdown period (MDP) is estimated as the maximum number of
months that fund j has been below historically high net asset value (NAV). On the other
hand, the remainder outputs are the funds expected return, E(rj), and the maximum
number of months fund j has been above the minimum target rate, or MCG.
X
N
yrj lj # yrk ;r ¼ 1; . . . ; R ð3Þ
j¼1
X
N
lj ¼ 1 with lj $ 0;j; m; r
j¼1
The LP given in equation (3) represents the percentage of efficiency of each particular
fund k. equation (3) minimizes the equiproportionate (radial) contraction u of the inputs
produced by unit k. The performance index, P BCC, satisfies P BCC # 1 where P BCC ¼ 1
represents a fund which is 100 percent efficient. That is, given the input-output
combination which characterizes the best practice frontier, P BCC ¼ 1 represents
the k th fund which is on the actual frontier and thus the fund is efficient. Any deviation
from the PPF, given by P BCC , 1, will result in inefficiencies. Furthermore, the LP uses
exogenous weights, lj, to fit the best linear combination of all funds given a specific
input-output combination; lj – 0 represents the best practice units that delimit the
frontier.
As with every liner program, equation (4) shows a dual to the primal in equation (3).
The dual is helpful as it also estimates the number of inputs and outputs used in the
production framework. In this case, the weights mr and vm represent which particular
inputs/outputs are incorporated into the fund performance index estimation. The dual
P BCC is estimated using the endogenously derived weighs on the m ¼ 1, . . . , M inputs
and r ¼ 1, . . . , R outputs instead of applying the weights onto the funds as in
equation (3). From the economic stand point, the efficient funds should have all inputs
and outputs incorporated when estimating the fund performance index to include the
investor’s gain given the risk exposure. Finally, the variable m 0 in the dual LP (4) is free
and guaranties VRS (Glawischnig and Sommersguter-Reichmann, 2010, footnote 12):
X
R
P BCC ¼ max0 mr yrk þ m 0 s:t:
vm ;mr ;m
r¼1
X
R X
M
mr yrj 2 vm xmj þ m 0 # 0 ;j ¼ 1; . . . ; N ð4Þ
r¼1 m¼1
ARJ X
M
vm xmk ¼ 1
25,3 m¼1
mr ; vm $ 0 and m 0 free
A limitation of the BCC model is that it assumes all inputs to be radial. But the possibility
214 of non-radial inputs exists. Thus, the results are checked using an input-oriented
non-radial model, P Russell. This model incorporates non-proportional input reductions
using data driven lower bounds regarding input weights under VRS. In other words, the
model does not assume a constant u common for all inputs. Instead, it weights each input
independently and then estimates the overall performance of the index as the sum of the
individual weights. Again, efficiency is achieved when P Russell ¼ 1. Formally:
PM
Russell um
P ¼ min m¼1 s:t:
M
X
N
xmj lj ¼ um · xmk ;m ¼ 1; . . . ; M
j¼1
X
N
yrj lj # yrk ;r ¼ 1; . . . ; R ð5Þ
j¼1
X
N
lj ¼ 1 with lj $ 0;j; r and um # 1
j¼1
4. Data description
In this section, the DEA models described in Section 3 are estimated based on a
comprehensive data set of mutual funds. Two datasets are employed to form the fund
universe. The fund universe is defined as the merger between Saudi Arabia funds
(which proxy for Islamic investments), International funds, and American funds.
Initially, the fund universe consists of 45096, from which 42,340 are regarded as
American, 2,614 are International, and only 142 are Islamic.
For the Islamic funds, a sample data consisting of daily NAVs of 143 out of
234 mutual funds available in Saudi Arabia during the period from January 2003 to
December 2010 is selected. Information on these funds is obtained from three main
sources: the official site of the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) (www.tadawul.com.
sa), the official site of HSBC Saudi Arabia Limited (www.hsbcsaudi.com), and Zawya
database[7]. Because the data on Islamic funds is not continuous, a one month holding
period return estimated at the end of the month is computed.
Additionally, we take data from CRSP to account for the remaining funds.
International funds are defined as those funds listed in CRSP with objective code
“International Fund,” “International,” or “IF.” Finally, everything else is defined as
American funds. Only monthly returns as well as monthly NAV’s from CRSP for the
period of January 1999 to September 2011 are considered. For robustness check, CRSP
sample data is restricted to match Islamic funds data sample.
Furthermore, funds employed in the sample are only those which have continuous Performance
returns data with at least two years’ worth of observations. That is, those funds which measurement
have complete years (no missing monthly returns or NAV), and no missing years in
between the series. After controlling for this, the sample reduces to 20,946 American of mutual funds
funds, 1,504 International funds, and only 95 Islamic ones.
The effective asset universe then results in 56 percent of the original Islamic funds,
51 percent of American funds, and 57 percent of International funds. Despite the high 215
reduction of the data universe, we still expect to get more robust results as most of
surviving funds will be accounted for.
5. Empirical results
5.1 Normality testing
Based on the information provided in Section 3.1, in this section, equation (1) is tested to
check whether or not the returns show normality. Two types of testing groups are
defined: the whole universe and independent individual subgroups. Table I summarizes
the results. When the whole fund universe is considered, only about 34 percent of returns
can be considered as normally distributed with a 95 percent confidence level.
Moreover, when analyzing individual subgroups, each group is analyzed
independently; it is observable that Islamic returns show the highest normality
results, with around 50 percent of funds following normality. This is quite a puzzle,
since it is expected that American returns to be closer to normality, per the Central
Limit Theorem, as there are more observations for American funds than there are for
International and Islamic funds. However, these results pave the way for future
measurements of DEA based performance indexes that include higher momentums,
especially when the fund universe is considered.
Inputs Outputs
Number of funds 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4
Deeper examination of Table VI shows that Islamic funds can still be considered better
performing than their counterparts. Results show that 30.5 percent of Islamic funds can
be regarded as efficient with inefficiencies accounting for only 10.3 percent, whereas
21.7 percent of International funds are efficient with inefficiencies of 16.5 percent, and
only 5.2 percent of American funds are efficient with inefficiencies accounting for
almost 30 percent. In this context, inefficiencies are regarded as the percentage of
efficient funds which produced zero-outputs.
Overall, results suggest that Islamic mutual funds do not lose efficiency even though
they are limited to a smaller universe of assets. Perhaps a possible explanation for such
efficiency gain is that despite limitations, Islamic investors are ethically driven and thus
they prefer to avoid investing onto the most risky assets. Therefore, these results might be
biases in favor of Islamic funds due to the fact that the latest 2007-2008 crisis was mainly
driven by excessive investment onto risky assets (Gorton, 2010). Such results are also
consistent with findings of Merdad et al. (2010) who compared Islamic and conventional
mutual funds managed by HSBC, the fourth largest fund manager in Saudi Arabia, from
January 2003 to 2010. They show that Islamic funds underperform conventional funds
during both the full sample period and the bullish period, but outperform conventional
funds during bearish and financial crisis periods. The next section covers this issue by
splitting the dataset in order to account for the 2007-2008 financial crises.
6. Robustness check
The 2007-2008 financial crisis swept through globally, and thus it is expected to have
affected worldwide assets. However, due to the constraints on Shariah law, it is
believed that Islamic funds have been somehow immunized to the effects of the crisis,
which would explain their higher efficiency compared to their counterparts. Therefore,
in this section, equation (3) is estimated based on the re-estimation of the inputs and
outputs to account for the financial crisis.
As before, results are presented based on the full universe PPF and individual
groups PPF for the BCC model. The same input/output combinations proposed in the
prior section are still used, but they are now estimated based on two subsamples:
January 2003 to December 2006 and January 2007 to December 2010. This generates
two subsamples with different number of funds. The pre-crisis subsample accounts for
14,509 funds in the fund universe from which 13,589 are American, 843 are
International, and 77 are Islamic, while the post-crisis subsample, which is fairly
similar in number of funds in the whole sample, has 22,531 assets in the fund universe
from which 20,932 are American, 1,504 are International, and 95 are Islamic.
ARJ 6.1 The fund universe performance
25,3 As before, a PPF is defined as that which envelops all assets in the universe and then
each subgroup is compared to the proposed PPF. Table VII summarizes the results. As
expected, there is a decrease on efficiency as the crisis starts. Although all subgroups
are affected, American funds remain quite the same. In fact, only a decrease of
0.53 percent on the percentage of efficient American funds is observed, while
222 International and Islamic both have a decrease of 18.7 and 9.1 percent, respectively.
Furthermore, results show a significant decrease on the average performance as well as
number of funds above average performance consistent for all funds.
Still, when comparing the funds with one another, the same results are found;
Islamic funds outperform their counterparts regardless of the subsample period. In
fact, sorted by efficiency, the order remains the same regardless of the time period:
Islamic funds followed by International funds and American funds at last. Although
the order changes when comparing average performance and the number of funds
above average, it can be safely concluded that Islamic funds are still more efficient
despite the financial crisis.
It is worthwhile noting that though the number of efficient Islamic funds is the same
regardless of the time period (37 funds), they are not all the same funds. In fact, results
indicate that five funds differ; that is, five funds stopped being efficient and five started
being efficient after the crisis.
Further analysis shows that Islamic funds lost average performance lead to International
funds after the crisis. While panel A shows an Average performance of 93.69 percent
for Islamic funds and 91.48 percent for International funds, panel B gives the lead to
International funds with 69.32 percent followed by Islamic funds with 62.88 percent.
Yet the number of above average performance funds is still higher for Islamic funds.
Deeper examination reveals that all Islamic efficient funds are the same regardless
of the PPF specification for the post-crisis subsample. This is an extra robustness
check as this incorporates both specification of the PPF or time period. This also
suggests that even if Islamic investors where to open themselves towards the whole
asset universe, they will not achieve any extra efficiency. In fact, Islamic funds appear
as efficient as if they were part of the whole asset universe.
But we focus more on the BCC model, as it is the method of choice in prior literature.
Even though results indicate that there is some level of inefficiencies remaining
within the efficient funds, it can be safely concluded that Islamic funds remain highly
efficient despite their investment limitations, and they show the smallest number of
inefficiencies amongst the subgroups.
Finally, since Islamic investors are limited to Shariah and Ethical investment, thus
preferring less risky assets, it is believed that the obtained results would be biased in
favor of Islamic investment. That is, given that the 2007-2008 financial crisis originated
due to high investment on toxic assets and Islamic investor would rather avoid them,
it is expected that Islamic funds be somehow immunized to the effects of the crisis.
Results show evidence suggesting that even though all assets lost efficiency and
average performance, Islamic funds remain the most efficient.
On a practical perspective, regardless of the investment preference, our results
indicate that Islamic funds are an effective investment opportunity. Non-Muslim
Investors who seek to maximize their risk-adjusted returns could highly profit
from diversifying towards Islamic mutual funds. While Muslin investors should
not be concerned about the opportunity cost of investing only in Shariah compliant
assets. That is, a typical investor could reduce their risk exposure by swapping
their portfolios to also include Islamic funds. In fact, since DEA allows for an
identification of fully efficient funds, such funds should be considered for every investor’s
portfolio. All in all, Islamic mutual funds create a highly profitable new avenue of
investment.
Nonetheless, caution must be taken before generalizing the results due to the
limitations of the data. First, the dataset on Islamic mutual funds accounts for roughly
60 percent of all available Islamic mutual funds, thus putting an initial limitation onto
the Islamic universe sample. Second, the obtained Islamic fund universe is by far the
smallest; it only accounts for 0.4 percent of the overall fund universe, hence making it
almost irrelevant to the estimation of the fund universe’s PPF. However, the latter
concern is mitigated by studying each subgroup individually.
Notes
1. For a deep explanation on Shariah complaint assets refer to Derigs and Marzban (2009).
2. For a deeper lit review on the evolution of DEA models refer to Glawischnig and
Sommersguter-Reichmann (2010). Or for an in-depth analysis of DEA methods refer to
Cooper et al. (2000).
3. LPM0 ¼ 1-UPM0 which makes the use of both simultaneously redundant.
4. Given the inputs (x1, x2, . . . , xn), they are consider radial if they increase proportionally given Performance
an a . 0, such that the inputs increase as (ax1, ax2, . . . , axn) (Cooper et al., 2000).
measurement
5. Translation invariance is meant by the fact that dealing with alternative investments is
likely that some of the outputs, such as average and minimum return, are negative. of mutual funds
Translation invariance of the respective DEA model towards outputs therefore becomes an
issue because DEA cannot handle negative data.
6. Best practices, in this context, refer to those funds with the highest level of outputs given the 225
prevailing level of inputs.
7. Zawya is one of leading Middle Eastern business information firms. Their main web site is:
www.zawya.com we would like to express my deep appreciation to Mr James Randall, the
International business manager, for providing me a trial excess to the database.
8. Just like Glawischnig and Sommersguter-Reichmann (2010), the results show high
correlation among LPM2 and LPM3 (UPM2 and UPM3), as well as LPM2 and LPM4
(UPM2 and UPM4). Despite that high correlation, they are still incorporated into the model
to apply an extra penalty/benefit for higher momentums due to non-normality of returns.
9. See the introduction of Glawischnig and Sommersguter-Reichmann (2010).
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BinMahfouz, S. and Hassan, M.K. (2012), “Sustainable and socially responsible investing: does
Islamic investing make a difference?”, Managerial Finance, March 18 (in press).
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Economic Theory, Vol. 19, pp. 150-62.
Jarque, C.M. and Bera, A.K. (1987), “A test for normality of observations and regression residuals”,
International Statistical Review/Revue Internationale de Statistique, Vol. 55 No. 2, pp. 163-72.
Corresponding author
M. Kabir Hassan can be contacted at: mhassan@uno.edu