HattetalEnv Mgt2003
HattetalEnv Mgt2003
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            Christopher J Walsh
            University of Melbourne
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   Runoff from urban areas is one of the leading                      sewerage systems, stormwater runoff is the primary de-
sources of water quality degradation in surface waters                grader of streams (Walsh 2000). Increased impervious-
(U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2000). Urban-                   ness (the proportion of a basin covered by surfaces
ization degrades stream ecosystems in a variety of ways               impermeable to water, such as roofs and roads) and
that are not easy to separate: increased frequency and                hydraulically efficient drainage systems typical of urban
intensity of flood flows, decreased groundwater levels,               areas, result in increased frequency and intensity of
increased stream bank erosion, and increased loads of                 flood flows, decreased groundwater levels, increased
pollutants (Novotny and Olem 1994), with resulting                    stream channel and bank erosion, and increased loads
multiple impacts on aquatic ecosystems (Paul and                      and concentrations of pollutants (Novotny and Olem
Meyer 2001). In cities with separate storm and sanitary               1994).
                                                                         Pollutants running off urban areas are difficult to
KEY WORDS: Urbanization; Stormwater runoff; Impervious area; Drain-   measure and regulate because they ultimately arise
           age connection; Catchment; Water quality
                                                                      from a multitude of activities and are variable in time
Published online May 28, 2004.
                                                                      because of the effects of weather. Because of these
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed, email:            difficulties, models that predict runoff and pollutant
Belinda.Hatt@eng.monash.edu.au                                        loads are required to estimate the impacts of urbaniza-
Environmental Management Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 112–124                                 ©   2004 Springer Science⫹Business Media, Inc.
                                                                  Stream Pollutants and Urbanization             113
tion in urban waterways and receiving waters (Duncan        of total imperviousness, a comparison of their relative
1999). Furthermore, effectively managing the impacts        importance is best achieved by comparing their inde-
of urbanization requires identification of the elements     pendent parts. Effective imperviousness can be consid-
of urbanization that contribute most to pollutant loads.    ered the product of total imperviousness and drainage
Although basin-scale features are recognized as impor-      connection (defined as the proportion of all impervi-
tant drivers of instream condition (Johnson and others      ous areas directly connected to streams). We aim to
1997, Gergel and others 2002), the mechanisms of this       assess the relative importance of these two elements of
behavior have not yet been clearly described (Duncan        effective imperviousness in explaining concentrations
1999, Brezonik and Stadelmann 2002).                        of pollutants.
    Land-use zoning has commonly been used as a pre-           We use geometric means of baseflow and storm
dictor of water quality (Soranno and others 1996, Car-      event concentrations and a rainfall-runoff model to
penter and others 1998). However, assigning a pattern       estimate loads of each water quality variable. We then
of pollutant output to a particular land use provides       assess whether the effects best explaining variation in
little insight into the processes impacting on aquatic      concentrations among the 15 streams are the same as
systems, or how to manage that land use to reduce its       those best explaining loads. We propose that effective
pollutant output. The U.S. EPA’s Nationwide Urban           imperviousness is likely to be a good predictor variable
Runoff Program found land use to have little power in       of loads and concentrations for predictive models of
explaining site-to-site differences in pollutant loads      the effects of urban land use.
(Novotny and Olem 1994).
    Two elements of urban land use— basin impervious-       Methods
ness and drainage infrastructure—are major contribu-
tors to changes in hydrology arising from stormwater           Study Area
runoff (Leopold 1968). Relationships between imper-             Sites on 15 first- or second-order streams with similar
viousness and water quality have emerged in recent          riparian cover, draining independent subbasins of sim-
years (Arnold and Gibbons 1996, May and others 1997,        ilar area, spanning the eastern edge of the Melbourne
McMahon and Cuffney 2000), and a predictive relation-       metropolitan area, Victoria, Australia, were chosen for
ship between pollutant loads and basin imperviousness       the study (Figure 1). These sites represent a rural-to-
has been promoted (Center for Watershed Protection          urban gradient and were selected to encompass as wide
2003). However, correlations between pollutant loads        a range as possible of both imperviousness and drain-
and imperviousness tend to be weak. We postulate that       age connection (Figure 2, Table 1). In selecting sites,
the hydraulic efficiency of drainage infrastructure can     we also aimed to minimize variation in physiographic
explain a large proportion of the unexplained variation     and climatic conditions, and to minimize spatial con-
in the relationship between pollutant loads and imper-      founding of subbasin characteristics. As a result, most
viousness.                                                  streams were located within the Dandenong Ranges,
    Drainage efficiency has long been recognized as an      east of Melbourne. One of these streams had near zero
important determinant of hydrological change                subbasin imperviousness. A second near-zero impervi-
(Leopold 1968), accounting for up to 80% of the in-         ous subbasin further to the east of the Dandenong
crease in peak discharge in urbanized basins (Wong          Ranges was also chosen. Eleven other Dandenong
and others 2000). However, no published studies have        Ranges streams ranging in imperviousness from 2.2%
assessed the importance of stormwater drainage con-         to 12% were selected. Two streams with heavily urban-
nection to pollutant loads or concentrations in receiv-     ized subbasins were selected in the suburbs to the west
ing waters. This lack of basin-scale study is surprising,   of the ranges (Figure 1).
considering that most stormwater abatement tech-                To ensure that urban stormwater runoff was the
niques reduce drainage efficiency through infiltration      major anthropogenic impact in the study streams, only
or retention for treatment (Novotny and Olem 1994).         subbasins with primary land-uses of urban or forest
    Our hypothesis of the importance of hydraulic effi-     were selected. Subbasins with intensive agriculture were
ciency of stormwater drainage is consistent with the        excluded. A second possible impact across the study
suggestion of “effective imperviousness” as a better pre-   area that we have assessed is polluted subsurface flow
dictor of stream degradation than total imperviousness      from poorly maintained septic tanks.
(Booth and Jackson 1997). Effective impervious areas
are defined as those impervious areas directly con-            Determination of Subbasin Characteristics
nected to streams or receiving waters by pipes or lined       Seven environmental variables were considered as
channels. Because effective imperviousness is a subset      potential correlates with water quality variables (Table
114           B. E. Hatt and others
1). Four were indicators of potential impacts of urban     both draining a settlement on the main ridge of the
land use: imperviousness (the proportion of basin area     Dandenong Ranges. Because we are primarily inter-
covered by impervious surfaces), drainage connection       ested in assessing the impacts of stormwater pipes di-
(the proportion of impervious surfaces directly con-       rectly delivering stormwater to streams, this settlement
nected to streams by pipes or lined channels), septic      was considered unconnected.
tank density, and unsealed (unpaved) road density
(area of unsealed roads to basin area). Three variables,     Data Collection
basin area, elevation, and longitude were potentially         Water quality was sampled at the 15 sites during
correlated variables that may more strongly indepen-       baseflow and storm events from September 2001 to
dently explain observed patterns than anthropogenic        March 2003 (Table 1). Samples were collected every 2
impacts.                                                   weeks, along with additional storm event samples from
    Elevation and longitude (measured as kilometers        September 2001 to November 2002. After November
east of the most westerly site) were estimated from the    2002, only storm event samples were collected. To avoid
Victorian 1:25 000 topographic digital map series (URL     biasing results with respect to time of day, samples
http://www.land.vic.gov.au). Basin areas were delin-       taken every 2 weeks were collected from the 15 sites in
eated using 10-m contours from the topographic map         a random order on each sampling trip. Event sampling
data and local government digital data of stormwater       occurred on a response basis with the aim of capturing
drainage lines. Septic tank density was determined us-     the variation in water quality experienced between and
ing a local government database of septic tank loca-       within storm events. Event sampling took two forms: (1)
tions. Impervious areas (and unsealed road areas) were     single grab samples taken at all sites; and (2) multiple
mapped using digital road data, local government           samples taken manually at Em, Fe, Ga, Ly, Ol, and Sc
building area data, and aerial orthophotography. The       (Table 1). In addition to the manual sampling, au-
connection status of impervious areas was estimated        tosamplers connected to a float switch (Sigma Model
from proximity to stormwater drains, allowing for local    900 Standard Portable Sampler) were installed at Br
topography, and was checked by ground truthing. The        and Do in September 2002 to sample storm events.
methods of determination were described in more de-        Samples collected by the autosamplers were processed
tail by Walsh and others (2004). In that study, areas      within 36 hours of collection.
drained by stormwater pipes, but in turn draining to          Water quality variables measured were water temper-
dry earthen or grassed channels, were treated as am-       ature, pH, electrical conductivity (EC), total suspended
biguously connected, and two sets of analyses were run:    solids (TSS), total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus
one with ambiguous areas treated as connected and          (TP), filterable reactive phosphorus (FRP), ammonium
another with them treated as unconnected. In our           (NH4⫹), nitrate/nitrite (NOx) and dissolved organic
study, only two sites were affected by this distinction,   carbon (DOC). Analyses were undertaken by the NATA
                                                                      Stream Pollutants and Urbanization                        115
                                                                            冘共共t
                                                                             n
                                                                                 冘共共t
                                                                                   n
                                                                                                                                  (1)
                                                                 where: n ⫽ number of samples collected during the
                                                                 event, ti ⫽ time sample i was taken, ci ⫽ concentration
                                                                 for sample i, and Qi ⫽ flow at time ti.
                                                                    Because EMCs were not calculated for all streams,
                                                                 geometric mean and median storm-flow concentrations
                                                                 were calculated in two ways for analysis. First, means
                                                                 and medians were calculated using only storm-flow data
Figure 2. Relationships between percentage imperviousness        from the two-weekly sampling. Second, the mean and
and (a) percentage drainage connection, (b) septic tank den-     median for each site were calculated using the set of
sity, (c) unsealed road density, (d) subbasin area, (e) eleva-   concentrations from all single storm-flow samples from
tion and f) longitude, in the 15 study sites. Consistent with
                                                                 the two-weekly data, together with all EMCs calculated
analyses, axes have been transformed.
                                                                 for that site. The number of baseflow and storm event
accredited (URL http://www.nata.asn.au/) Water                   samples collected, and EMCs calculated for each site
Studies Centre analytical laboratory, using standard             are shown in Table 1.
methods and quality control/assurance procedures                    The relationships between concentrations (baseflow
(Table 2) (Water Studies Centre 2001).                           and storm event, median and geometric mean) of all
   Staff gauges were installed at each site, and flow            water quality variables and the seven subbasin variables
heights were recorded when water quality samples were            were assessed using multiple linear regression. Analyses
taken. Flow was estimated at each site using an appro-           were undertaken on transformed data in order to min-
priate hydraulic model, constructed with HEC-RAS 3.0             imize the influence of outliers and to ensure that re-
(Hydrologic Engineering Centre 2002), or Manning’s               sidual distributions approximated normality. Impervi-
equation if a suitable culvert was near the sampling             ousness and subbasin area were fourth-root
location. The hydraulic models were calibrated with              transformed, while drainage connection, septic tank
limited flow measurement data (velocity measurements             density, elevation, median NOx and temperature, and
undertaken using a flow meter: Hydrological Services,            the geometric means of DOC and temperature were
Model C.M.C 20).                                                 square-root transformed. Longitude, median TN, and
                                                                 pH were untransformed. Median DOC, EC, FRP, NH4⫹,
   Data Analysis                                                 TP and TSS, and all other geometric means were all
  Factors explaining patterns in concentrations. Median          log10-transformed. All reported correlation strengths
and geometric mean concentrations for each site were             are based on the transformed data.
116               B. E. Hatt and others
Table 1. Summary of subbasin characteristics: subbasin area (Area), longitude (distance east of the most westerly
site), elevation, imperviousness (Imp), drainage connection (Conn), septic tank density (Septics), percentage of the
subbasin covered by unsealed roads (U Roads) and the number of baseflow, storm event grab samples collected
and event mean concentrations (EMC) calculated
                                                                                                            No. samples
                                Area Longitude        Elevation    Imp     Conn Septics U Roads
Subbasin name                   (ha) (km)             (m)          (%)     (%)  (N/km2) (%)                 Base flow     Event flow     EMC
Bungalook Ck (Bg)                 579      16.2           133        6.8    57         52.8       0.58           21            13          —
Brushy Ck (Br)                   1479      14.9            82       22      89         37.8       0.03           19            11          11
Dandenong Ck (Da)                 424      16.8           154        2.5    17         61.5       1.33           20            11          —
Dobsons Ck (Do)                   365      16.7           168        7.6    47         43.8       1.23           21            17           7
Hughes Ck (Hu)                    275      16.9           173        3.5    11         62.5       1.76           15            15          —
Emerald Ck (Em)                   188      23.0           290        2.2     0         58.6       1.00           20             9           1
Ferny Ck (Fe)                     642      16.9           163       12      79         80.4       0.44           29             9           1
Gardiners Ck (Ga)                 982       1.19           81       47      98          0         0              19            12           1
Lyrebird Ck (Ly)                  724      23.1           222        0.1     0          0         1.74           18            15           1
McRae Ck (Mc)                    1310      40.1           200        0.1     0          1.4       0.47           16            18          —
Olinda Ck (Ol)                    907      23.1           222        3.9     3.0       88.2       1.51           18            13           1
Perrins Ck (Pe)                   218      20.8           327        5.3    20         74.9       0.73           19            13          —
Sassafras Ck (Sa)                 189      19.9           370        8.0     8.3      141         1.30           20            11          —
Scotchmans Ck (Sc)                812       0.00           78       39      99          0         0              17            14           1
Little Stringy bark Ck (St)       451      24.2           137       10      58         47.9       0.67           19            18          —
   Hierarchical partitioning of R2 values was used to                      upper 95% confidence limit (Z-score ⱖ 1.65: Mac Nally
determine the proportion of variance explained inde-                       2002, Walsh and Mac Nally 2003).
pendently and jointly by each variable (Chevan and                            One of the subbasins (Bg) was found to be an ex-
Sutherland 1991, Mac Nally 2000). This method allows                       treme outlier in terms of phosphorus concentrations.
identification of variables whose independent correla-                     Analyses for phosphorus were therefore conducted
tion with the dependent variable is strong, in contrast                    with Bg included and again with it omitted. We postu-
to variables that have little independent effect but have                  late that the phosphorus loads in Bg originated from a
a high correlation with the dependent variable result-                     nonstormwater origin, because FRP and TP were the
ing from joint correlation with other independent vari-                    only variables for which Bg was an outlier.
ables. Variables that independently explained a larger                        Calculation of standardized pollutant loads. Annual
proportion of variance than could be explained by                          loads of each water quality variable were estimated
chance were identified by comparison of the observed                       using geometric mean concentrations for base flow and
value of independent contribution to explained vari-                       storm flow at each site, together with a modeled esti-
ance (I) to a population of Is from 500 randomizations                     mate of total base flow and storm flow volumes. A
of the data matrix. Significance was accepted at the                       subdaily rainfall-runoff model (Model for Urban
                                                                  Stream Pollutants and Urbanization           117
Stormwater Improvement Conceptualisation: Wong               enced by subbasins Sc, Ga, and Br (Table 1) with high
and others 2002) was used to generate base flow and          imperviousness and drainage connection and subbasins
storm flow volumes for each basin. The rainfall-runoff       Ly and Mc (Table 1) with near zero imperviousness and
model, based on the algorithms of Chiew and McMa-            no drainage connection. However, drainage connec-
hon (1999), was run using a 12-minute timestep, based        tion varied widely across a small range of impervious-
on a standardized rainfall record (Melbourne rainfall        ness among the Dandenong Ranges sites. Impervious-
for the period January 1, 1990 to December 31, 2000:         ness was significantly negatively correlated with
mean annual rainfall ⫽ 648 mm, mean annual areal             unsealed road density ( ⫽ ⫺0.65; Figure 2c) and
potential evapotranspiration ⫽ 1051 mm). The exact           longitude ( ⫽ ⫺0.84; Figure 2f). The latter correlation
quantum of, and geographic variation in, annual rain-        was strongly influenced by two highly urbanized subba-
fall, is not important to this study. Our aim is to quan-    sins in the west (Sc and Ga; Table 1) and a single
tify the pattern between effective imperviousness and        subbasin in the east (Mc; Table 1); among the sites in
pollutant loads, for a given (constant) level of rainfall.   the Dandenong Ranges, imperviousness was not
Actual loads measured at any location will of course be      strongly correlated with longitude. Elevation was mod-
influenced by rainfall volume and distribution at that       erately correlated with subbasin imperviousness ( ⫽
location. Although total annual rainfall varies across       ⫺0.58; Figure 2e) and more strongly correlated with
the 15 basins, our objective was to determine the rela-      drainage connection ( ⫽ ⫺0.75). Septic tank density
tive differences in loads between basins of differing        showed a unimodal relationship with imperviousness:
effective imperviousness, rather than to quantify abso-      septic tanks were sparse both in basins of low and high
lute differences in loads, as a function of climatic vari-   subbasin imperviousness, but more abundant in the
ation. The rainfall-runoff model was run using an im-        moderately urbanized basins (Figure 2b). Subbasin
pervious store (based on our estimates of effective          area was not strongly correlated with imperviousness (
imperviousness), and a single pervious store, with store     ⫽ 0.13, Figure 2d) or drainage connection ( ⫽ 0.28).
properties (impervious area initial loss, pervious area      Therefore, of the seven variables considered, five (im-
capacity and initial storage, groundwater recharge and       perviousness and drainage connection, and the in-
drainage rate) held constant. Estimated runoff volumes       verses of elevation, longitude, and unsealed road den-
were therefore solely driven by the estimates of effective   sity) were intercorrelated indicators of urban density.
basin imperviousness.
    Loads were calculated based on two sets of mean            Factors Explaining Patterns in Water Quality
storm-flow concentrations, calculated in the two ways          Concentrations
described previously to ensure that exclusion of EMCs
made no difference to the results. Derived loads were            Because the results for median and geometric mean
scaled to a per-hectare basis, for standardized compar-      concentrations were nearly identical, only geometric
ison between subbasins. The strengths of correlations        means are reported. Similarly, only storm event mean
between the elements of effective imperviousness and         concentrations calculated using EMCs are reported be-
pollutant loads were compared qualitatively with the         cause patterns for storm event mean and median con-
correlations for pollutant concentrations. No statistical    centrations were unchanged if EMCs were included in
testing of the relationships between pollutant loads and     calculations. For most water quality variables, patterns
impervious area has been undertaken, because the two         were the same for baseflow and for storm event con-
variables are necessarily correlated (i.e., the modeled      centrations: where there was a difference, it is noted
flow is itself a function of imperviousness). Nonethe-       below.
less, the patterns of loads among the 15 sites allow us to       Temperature, EC, and concentrations of DOC, FRP,
examine whether the effects of effective imperviousness      TP, and NH4⫹ all increased with subbasin impervious-
on runoff volumes override other factors that may have       ness (Figure 3). More than half of the explained vari-
been stronger correlates with concentrations.                ation in these water quality parameters was jointly ex-
                                                             plained by imperviousness, drainage connection,
                                                             elevation, longitude, and unsealed road density: vari-
Results                                                      ables that were intercorrelated indicators of urban den-
                                                             sity. Independently of that joint correlation, drainage
   Relationships Between Environmental Variables             connection explained more of the variance in TP
   Subbasin imperviousness and drainage connection           (storm event only), DOC, EC, and FRP than could be
were correlated (Pearson correlation coefficient,  ⫽        explained by chance (Table 3, Figure 3). Elevation was
0.89; Figure 2a). This correlation was primarily influ-      also a strong independent correlate of variance in EC
118              B. E. Hatt and others
Figure 3. Relationships between geometric means of baseflow (closed circles, solid regression lines) and storm event (open circles,
dashed regression lines) concentrations and three environmental variables. R values for baseflow concentrations (storm event
concentrations in parentheses) for each graph and for the full model (all seven environmental variables) are indicated. Consistent with
analyses, axes have been transformed. The bar charts indicate percentage of explained variance in baseflow concentrations explained
by each of the seven environmental variables (conn, connection; imp, imperviousness; septic, septic tank density; unseal, unsealed road
density; elev, elevation; area, subbasin area; long, longitude) independently (solid bars) and jointly (open bars) as determined by
hierarchical partitioning. Variables marked with an asterisk were identified as significant independent correlates. Negative joint
variance indicates that the other variables are “suppressors” of the variable in question (Chevan and Sutherland 1991). DOC, dissolved
organic carbon; EC, electrical conductivity; FRP, filterable reactive phosphorus; NH4⫹, ammonium; TP, total phosphorus.
                                                                                   Stream Pollutants and Urbanization                      119
Table 3. Strength of correlations between median concentrations (base flow and storm event) and the two major
indicators of subbasin urbanization and variables identified by hierarchical partitioning as being significant
independent correlates.a
                           Pearson correlation coefficient                                               Significant independent correlates
                           Base flow                              Storm event
Water quality
parameter                  Conn                Imp                Conn               Imp                 Base flow                Storm event
DOC                          0.76               0.50                0.77               0.44              Conn, Elev               Conn, Elev
EC                           0.90               0.77                0.88               0.72              Conn                     Conn, Elev
FRP                          0.71               0.48                0.81               0.58              Conn                     Conn
NH4⫹                         0.71               0.67                0.80               0.71              —                        —
NOx                         ⫺0.17              ⫺0.07               ⫺0.06               0.20              Septic                   Septic
pH                          ⫺0.29              ⫺0.46               ⫺0.28              ⫺0.50              Imp                      Imp
Tem                          0.71               0.63                0.61               0.59              Elev                     —
TN                          ⫺0.04               0.09                0.28               0.38              Septic                   Septic
TP                           0.55               0.38                0.67               0.47              —                        Conn
TSS                         ⫺0.45              ⫺0.29                0.13               0.17              —                        —
a
 conn, drainage connection; imp, imperviousness; Elev, elevation; Septic, septic tank density; TN, total nitrogen; TP, total phosphorus. For other
abbreviations, see Table 2.
(storm event only), temperature (baseflow only), and                       similar regardless of the method used for calculating
DOC (Table 3, Figure 3).                                                   mean concentrations (i.e., with and without EMCs).
    For DOC, EC, FRP, and TP, the correlation with
drainage connection was stronger than with impervi-
ousness. The correlations with imperviousness were                         Discussion
strongly influenced by the most and least impervious
sites, with wide variation within the intermediate imper-                      Concentrations
viousness range (Figure 3). Omission of the outlying Bg                        Urbanization was the most likely primary determi-
from phosphorus analyses generally improved the fit of                     nant of stream water quality degradation. Both drain-
relationships but did not alter the significance of the                    age connection and imperviousness, as subbasin scale
independent contributions of the environmental vari-                       indicators of urban density, explained much of the
ables.                                                                     observed variation in pollutant concentrations. In par-
    For pH and TSS, the overall correlations with imper-                   ticular, we hypothesize that efficiency of runoff delivery
viousness, drainage connection, or other environmen-                       from impervious areas is a cause of increased EC and
tal variables were weak. Imperviousness was the stron-                     concentrations of DOC, EC, FRP, and TP. Drainage
gest independent correlate of variance in pH (Table 3).                    pipes bypass subsurface pathways of water flow, both in
    NOx and TN were not strongly correlated with im-                       the riparian and nonriparian sections of basins, result-
perviousness or drainage connection, but were strongly                     ing in direct transportation of stormwater to receiving
correlated with septic tank density ( ⫽ 0.80 and 0.77,                    waters, with little or no terrestrial processing of nutri-
respectively), which independently accounted for more                      ents and pollutants. This bypassing, and the associated
than a quarter of the explained variation in both NOx                      reduction in water table levels, result in riparian vege-
and TN (Table 3, Figure 3).                                                tation being “hydrologically isolated” from uplands and
                                                                           streams, further reducing the opportunity for riparian
    Patterns in Mean Annual Loads                                          zones to influence the quality of stream water (Groff-
   Mean annual loads of all water quality variables were                   man and others 2002).
strongly positively correlated with both imperviousness                        Several water quality indicators were more strongly
and drainage connection (and therefore effective im-                       correlated with drainage connection than with imper-
perviousness: Figure 4). This was the case even for                        viousness, suggesting that, at least at low levels of im-
those variables for which concentrations were not                          perviousness, stream water quality degradation is con-
strongly correlated with imperviousness or connection:                     trolled more by the manner in which impervious areas
NOx, TN, and TSS. In contrast to the case for concen-                      are connected to receiving waters than by the presence
trations, NOx and TN loads were poorly correlated with                     of impervious areas alone. Previous studies (e.g. Ban-
septic tank density. The strengths of correlations were                    nerman and others 1993, Schueler 1994, Booth and
120   B. E. Hatt and others
Jackson 1997) have acknowledged the potential impor-           linity in streams with increased basin urbanization to a
tance of the degree to which impervious areas are              combination of urban sources such as atmospheric dep-
directly connected to streams, but the relative impor-         osition, building materials, and highways, and to accel-
tance of such connection has not been well investi-            erated chemical denudation of the basin. Our finding
gated.                                                         that drainage connection independently explains a
    The importance of drainage connection as a corre-          large proportion of the variation in EC suggests that
late with concentrations of several variables, indepen-        enhanced stormwater drainage efficiency further in-
dently of the correlation with imperviousness, suggests        creases the transport of ions from urban sources to
that drainage connection may be an important cause of          streams. Efficient stormwater drainage also decreases
observed variation in water quality among streams with         groundwater recharge (Rose and Peters 2001, Groff-
similar levels of imperviousness. Because drainage con-        man and others 2002). The resultant reduced interac-
nection is independent of the amount of impervious             tion with groundwater may also at least partly explain
area being drained by the stormwater pipes, it is sur-         this relationship between drainage connection and EC.
prising that connection was a stronger overall correlate           Suspended solids concentrations in streams around
with several variables than was imperviousness. The            the world have been reported to be weakly correlated
observed strong relationship suggests that even very           with density of urban land use, with higher concentra-
small proportions of impervious area are capable of            tions flowing from urbanized basins than from forested
increasing pollutant concentrations, as long as there is       basins (Duncan 1999). In our study, TSS concentra-
a delivery mechanism between the impervious area and           tions were not strongly correlated with urban density,
the stream. The strength of the correlations with drain-       and if the three geographical outliers (Sc, Ga, Mc;
age connection may have been a result of the structure         Table 1) were excluded, TSS was negatively correlated
of our dataset. Most of the variation in water quality was     with urban density ( ⫽ ⫺0.64 with imperviousness and
among sites in a relatively narrow range of impervious-         ⫽ ⫺0.74 with connection). This pattern, contrasting
ness (0 –12%), with a wide range of drainage connec-           with world trends (Duncan 1999), is likely to be an
tion. It is likely that, for a wider range of total impervi-   artefact of the marine sedimentary geology of the
ousness, effective imperviousness would be a stronger          slopes of the Dandenong Ranges, which produces high
predictor of water quality degradation than drainage           silt loads. It is possible that the effects of increased
connection alone.                                              imperviousness and piping or lining of drainage chan-
    Drainage connection was important even for base-           nels in these basins may have resulted in lower than
flow concentrations, suggesting that there may be              natural TSS concentrations.
sources of pollutants discharging to the stream via the            Septic tank density was the dominant influence on
stormwater drainage system even when there is no di-           NOx concentrations. Subbasins with the highest septic
rect rainfall runoff. It is possible, however, that this       tank densities also had the highest concentrations of
pattern may be caused by residence time in streams             NOx and the highest proportions of nitrogen present as
exceeding time between events. No published previous           NOx. These high NOx concentrations are unlikely to
studies have compared baseflow and high flow concen-           have a strong, direct impact on biota in streams drain-
trations; typically, all samples have been grouped to-         ing Eucalyptus regnans forests (such as those studied
gether (but see Meador and Goldstein 2003, where               here) because these streams tend to contain naturally
concentrations were flow-weighted) or only baseflow            high NOx concentrations (Attiwill and others 1996)
(e.g. Johnson and others 1997) or EMCs (e.g. Brezonik          and uptake is likely to be limited by the very low phos-
and Stadelmann 2002) have been considered. We sug-             phorus concentrations.
gest that both baseflow and storm flow should be con-              Hierarchical partitioning has proved a useful
sidered separately because, although it is storms that         method for identifying environmental variables that are
contribute the majority of pollutant loads in these            most likely to be causal drivers of pollutant concentra-
streams, baseflow concentrations are important to the          tions in streams. This method differs from the more
stream ecosystem, because these are the conditions             commonly used stepwise model selection methods to
experienced by the stream biota most of the time.              relate broad anthropogenic (e.g., land-use/land cover)
    The strong positive relationship between urban den-        and nonanthropogenic features (basin area, slope, el-
sity and EC in the streams of eastern Melbourne is             evation) to water quality (Johnson and others 1997,
consistent with the proposition that urbanization alters       Brezonik and Stadelmann 2002). Stepwise methods of
both the rate of ionic flux through basins and the ionic       model selection are generally regarded as flawed and
composition of the total dissolved solids loads in runoff      prone to produce spurious models (Mac Nally 2000).
(Prowse 1987). Prowse (1987) attributed increased sa-          Other methods that have been used to identify the
122            B. E. Hatt and others
causes of patterns include factor analysis (Wayland and      utility, because connection in particular is an attribute
others 2003), principal components analysis, and clus-       of urban land that is able to be manipulated through
ter analysis (Meador and Goldstein 2003). However,           alternative drainage design.
these approaches are used to combine variables into
smaller subsets rather than to identify the individual         Management Implications
features that are potentially causing degradation of             The importance of drainage connection as an ex-
stream water quality.                                        planatory factor for both concentrations and loads of a
                                                             range of pollutants points to the need for alternative
   Loads                                                     approaches to stormwater management. The aim must
    Loads of all water quality variables were strongly       be to break the direct linkage between impervious areas
correlated with effective imperviousness and its constit-    and the receiving waters. Opportunities for implement-
uent elements. The estimates of storm runoff volumes         ing drainage changes exist both at-source and “end-of-
(derived from effective imperviousness) were highly          pipe,” but distributed, at-source measures may provide
influential in determining estimated loads of pollut-        the best opportunities for maintaining natural hydrol-
ants. As a result, the loads of variables such as NOx, for   ogy (Wong and others 2000). Options include retrofit-
which concentrations were strongly explained by septic       ting stormwater drainage systems in existing urban ar-
tank density, were more strongly explained by effective      eas, and incorporating low-impact design (LID, also
imperviousness.                                              called water-sensitive urban design: Lloyd and others
    The most commonly used indicator of urban land-          2002) into new developments to prevent degradation of
use in the past has been total imperviousness (Center        receiving waters.
for Watershed Protection 2003). However, the distinc-            In our study, we were unable to find any streams that
tion between total and effective imperviousness has not      drain subbasins with both imperviousness greater than
been explicit in many studies (Booth and Jackson             12% and low levels of drainage connection. However,
1997): typical values of effective imperviousness have       because drainage connection was an important corre-
been used rather than direct measurement. In general,        late independent of imperviousness, we postulate that
total imperviousness has been used because it is quicker     effective water quality control will be possible by mini-
to measure and does not require extensive knowledge          mizing drainage connection in basins with higher levels
of the drainage infrastructure (Center for Watershed         of imperviousness, up to a point. The scope to discon-
Protection 2003). Our finding of drainage connection         nect impervious areas will diminish as total impervious-
as the dominant independent correlate with concentra-        ness increases. In highly impervious basins (e.g., dense
tions of several important pollutants and as a strong        inner-city areas), maintaining impervious areas as dis-
correlate of loads of all pollutants suggests that the       connected will be more difficult, although stormwater
direct determination of effective imperviousness will        harvesting and recycling offer some potential.
greatly increase the predictive power of models of ur-           Our findings suggest that reduction of drainage con-
ban effects on water quality.                                nection in urbanized basins should result in reduced
    Approaches by other researchers to modeling the          loads of all pollutants exported by the streams. How-
effects of urbanization on pollutant loads have ranged       ever, for some variables, reduction of concentrations
from the application of a single export coefficient for      might be of more importance to the stream ecosystem
each urban land-use type (Soranno and others 1996) to        itself, and this may point to management priorities
empirical estimation of loads in several basins that were    other than the reduction of drainage connection. For
then related to land use (Charbeneau and Barrett 1998,       instance, we postulate that the reduction of nitrogen
Sokolov and Black 1999, Brezonik and Stadelmann              loads in urbanized streams of our study will be most
2002). Although such models have proved useful in            effectively achieved through reduction of drainage con-
gross estimates of loads from multiple-use basins (Sor-      nection, but reduction of nitrogen concentrations will
anno and others 1996, Sokolov and Black 1999), corre-        be most effectively achieved through replacement of
lations between land use indicators and loads or EMCs        septic tank systems in the Dandenong Ranges.
have generally been found to be weak. Hence, these               The spatial scale dependency of landscape attributes
models are of little use in identifying the most impor-      has not been well resolved to date (Soranno and others
tant elements of urban land use causing increased pol-       1996). Although other studies have demonstrated the
lutant loads and concentrations (Charbeneau and Bar-         importance of considering both the whole-basin con-
rett 1998, Brezonik and Stadelmann 2002). Models             text and local site attributes, few have assessed the
using total imperviousness and drainage connection as        relative importance of factors at basin and riparian
predictor variables have greater potential management        scales. Those that have considered scale factors have
                                                                   Stream Pollutants and Urbanization                 123
focused on land use (e.g., agricultural, urban) rather       the D210 team for their assistance in the field and
than particular physical attributes (e.g., impervious cov-   laboratory.
er), generally with inconclusive results. For example,
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