Jamie Anderson and Martin Zander on
the changing world of mobile devices
                                                                                Breaking up the
                                                                                handset value chain
                                                                                Handset vendors are in for some tough decisions, it is becoming harder
                                                                                to compete through uniqueness as the value chain for handsets breaks
                                                                                up. They should instead learn from the PC industry. And if they want to
                                                                                be solution providers to operators, why not offer mobile devices from
                                                                                other firms?
                                                                                LARGE FIRMS SUCH AS MOTOROLA ,             Ericsson, Nokia and Sie-      As mobile network operators place increasing emphasis on serving
                                                                                mens pushed the frontiers of mobile-handset performance during           low-income customers in developing markets, complementary
                                                                                the late 1980s and into the 1990s, and the industry was considered       assets are going to remain a significant driver of competitive advan-
                                                                                a classic case of vertical integration. These vertical integrators not   tage. While the ability to bring a “unique” low-cost handset to
                                                                                only controlled the design, production and marketing of mobile           market will provide a lever for sales in developing markets, the
                                                                                phones, but also the mobile communications infrastructure                ability to build brand equity, construct and use effective supply
                                                                                business. This was a period in which uniqueness and control of           chains, and build and maintain strong relationships with mobile-
                                                                                the knowledge generated by innovation was a key lever for                network operators will also be crucial.
                                                                                competitive advantage.                                                      It is interesting to note that Nokia has not made significant
                                                                                   But the ability of handset vendors to maintain their competitive      efforts to bring an ultra-low-cost handset to market, but retains a
perspective
                                                                                advantage progressively diminished during the 1990s. Although            market-leading position in much of the developing world through
                                                                                there were still relatively few large firms in the industry, it became    a strong emphasis on building the complementary assets necessary
                                                                                increasingly difficult to maintain competitive advantage simply            to bolster its product approach. In 2006, Nokia grew handset vol-
                                                                                through product uniqueness. Rather, the basis for competitive            umes in India by 100 percent. With revenues of EUR 2.71 billion,
                                                                                advantage shifted towards the ability to control the complemen-          the company bypassed long-established firms such as Hindustan
                                                                                tary assets necessary to exploit the knowledge generated by indus-       Unilever to become the largest multinational in the country.
                                                                                try innovation. The key complementary assets at this time included       Nokia’s market share in the Indian GSM handset market (in terms
                                                                                volume manufacturing capabilities, sales and service expertise,          of units sold) exceeded 70 percent at the end of the year.
                                                                                brand building, management of distribution channels and cus-
                                                                                tomer relationships.                                                     From complementary assets to managing power
                                                                                   The ability to meet the stringent device requirements of mobile-      We are now witnessing yet another major shift in the mobile
                                                                                network operators has been a key complementary asset in the              handset industry. As was the case in the PC industry in the 1980s
                                                                                industry for at least the past five years. While many companies           and 1990s, the mobile handset industry is today “unbundling” –
                                                                                have entered the mobile handset device market since the late 1990s,      that is, increasingly specialized firms are entering the market with
                                                                                few have been able to develop the organizational capabilities            components and software that are assembled by branded
                                                                                needed to interface effectively with operators across the full spec-      manufacturers and original device manufacturers (ODMs) into
                                                                                trum of activities required to integrate a handset with increasingly     finished devices.
                                                                                sophisticated service offerings: new service and product develop-            While this evolution has been under way for the greater part of
                                                                                ment and testing, sourcing, logistics, segment and channel man-          a decade, it has gathered pace in the past two to three years. There
                                                                                agement, and servicing. Given the organizational resources               seem to be several motivating factors at the heart of this process:
                                                                                required to deliver across this spectrum of operator activities, it is   evolving technological standardization; gains from specialization
                                                                                perhaps not surprising that more than 80 percent of handset              driven by differences in the evolving knowledge bases across the
                                                                                industry volumes are still dominated by just five players.                industry; and gains from trade emerging from the different cap-
                                                                                40 · Ericsson Business Review 3·2007
Ericsson Business Review 3·2007 · 41
                                                                                  ...Breaking up the handset value chain
   Jamie Anderson and Martin Zander on
                                         the changing world of mobile devices
                                                                                abilities of specific firms. Powerful buyers – mobile network            value has shifted towards the key capabilities of traditional semi-
                                                                                operators – are also exerting an important influence on the break-      conductor companies, giving them cost advantages over traditional
                                                                                up of the mobile-handset value chain by demanding that manu-           players because there is less opportunity for differentiation.
                                                                                facturers integrate certain standards-based technologies, software,
                                                                                operating systems and applications.                                    The telecom paradigm
                                                                                   While this trend towards specialization across the handset-         The telecom paradigm is dominated by the traditional handset
                                                                                industry value chain has been under way for some years, the struc-     development industry, which has been driven by continuous fea-
                                                                                ture of this specialization has begun to differ across different tiers   ture growth for both new access technologies and multimedia
                                                                                of the market, especially if we look into mobile platform-related      functionality. The semiconductor paradigm emerged as access
                                                                                activities in the value chain. The industry has witnessed the emer-    technologies matured enough to be managed by non-traditional
                                                                                gence of three distinct structures:                                    handset vendors, whereas the telecom paradigm has been, and still
                                                                                                                                                       is, dominated by traditional telecom players such as Nokia, Erics-
                                                                                1. The semiconductor paradigm                                          son, Qualcomm and Motorola. It is also, by far, the largest market
                                                                                2. The telecom paradigm                                                both in terms of volumes and value.
                                                                                3. The computing paradigm                                                  Key to success within the telecom paradigm is the ability to
                                                                                                                                                       manage new radio-access technologies, system design, integration
                                                                                   A set of basic capabilities is required to enter the mobile-plat-   of multimedia functionality and peripherals, operator relations
                                                                                form industry. But to be successful within each of the above par-      and interoperability testing. Innovation is driven by intellectual
                                                                                adigms, handset vendors need to combine these capabilities with        property rights (IPR), with a continuous flow of new and more
                                                                                paradigm-specific capabilities. No independent mobile-platform          complex requirements balanced by the total cost of ownership
                                                                                provider is today fully successful across the entire market, largely   needed to meet end-user device requirements.
                                                                                due to the almost incompatible requirements of, for example, cost          The mobile platforms included in the product offerings are
                                                                                leadership in the lower segments and a need for differentiation         advanced system designs with tightly coupled software and appl-
                                                                                through cutting-edge technology in the higher segments. This does      ication-specific hardware, using an optimized footprint to balance
                                                                                not exclude the possibility of building synergies between the dif-
                                                                                ferent paradigms, but doing so will require handset vendors to
                                                                                optimize their organizational capabilities for the specific market.     point
                                                                                The drive towards specialization has created a set of rules required
                                                                                for success in each specific paradigm.                                  » One of the biggest decisions
                                                                                The semiconductor paradigm
                                                                                                                                                       for handset vendors will be
                                                                                                                                                       whether to compete across all
perspective
                                                                                The semiconductor paradigm is strongly influenced by the key
                                                                                capabilities often possessed by traditional semiconductor compa-
                                                                                nies such as Texas Instruments and Infineon. They compete               three paradigms. «
                                                                                primarily through cost leadership when addressing the entry
                                                                                segments with their own mobile platforms, and they have histori-
                                                                                cally been less successful when trying to compete with more            mobile handset´s specific requirements for industrial design and
                                                                                advanced solutions.                                                    low power consumption. Other parts of the product offering in
                                                                                   The prime focus within this paradigm is on hardware, and con-       the telecom paradigm include physical handset reference designs,
                                                                                tinuous cost reduction is achieved through process shrinking           development boards, development and test tools, as well as differ-
                                                                                (Moore’s Law-driven innovation), component reduction, vertical         ent types of services such as training and support.
                                                                                integration in the value chain for mobile handsets and horizontal
                                                                                synergies (economies of scale). The focus of cellular software is      The computing paradigm
                                                                                limited and thus not a differentiating capability.                      The third paradigm, the computing paradigm, illustrates the
                                                                                   The products provided within the semiconductor paradigm             ongoing convergence with the PC industry. Traditional PC-
                                                                                address the lower segments of the mobile-handset industry (aver-       oriented services, such as internet browsing, e-mailing, content
                                                                                age sales price less than USD 125). These segments have stable soft-   creation and content consumption, are being converged into the
                                                                                ware protocol stacks and limited feature growth since cost aware-      mobile handset in mainly two categories of services: business
                                                                                ness is central to the end-user design. This is currently dominated    and multimedia. The key differences between using these services
                                                                                by GSM and GPRS-enabled products, and we expect EDGE to enter          in a traditional mobile handset and in the more advanced
                                                                                this market in 2008; WCDMA will take a few more years until the        smartphones, ultra-mobile PCs and other devices developed for
                                                                                standard matures to the level of GSM/GPRS today.                       the computing paradigm are that the devices typically integrate
                                                                                   The semiconductor paradigm has evolved over the past couple         simplified text design (touch screen or QWERTY keypad), strong
                                                                                of years as a result of maturing standards and technologies. The       CPU power, large screens and the ability to use third-party
                                                                                42 · Ericsson Business Review 3·2007
   Product value chain – mobile phones
                                                                   Silicon and other component manufacturing
                                                                   Silicon and other component development process
              Generic component provisioning                       Hardware design, dedicated/proprietary or standard
                        Hardware
                         Software                                  Standardization body controlled or proprietary protocol stacks,
                                                                   codecs, network signaling stack, app. environment engines
              Specific component provisioning                       Integration of different software components
                         Platform                                  Reference design = system + hardware
                 Software Application & OS
                                                                   Application suite, open OS
                      Device provisioning
                     Product specification                         End-use device specification
                     Design and integration                        Design & integration = Platform + hardware + software apps. (+ open OS)
                        Manufacturing                              Physical assembly and production
                          Distribution
               End-user brand value definition
                      Marketing & sales                            Brand-owned sales channels to consumers
                     After sales services                          Marketing & sales to to operators and wholesale
applications. The ways of working between the players involved         China, Taiwan and other countries that have perfected low-cost
in the industry value chain are similar to the PC industry, with       manufacturing of modular products such as consumer electronics
a horizontal value chain and several players involved in one           and PCs.
product design.                                                           As entry barriers fall, profitability is likely to flow away from
   Software design and OS are important in the computing para-         handset manufacturers to manufacturers of key performance-
digm: it can be seen as the PC industry going mobile, where cel-       enhancing components and modules (both hardware and soft-
lular functionality has been reduced to one of many plug-in fea-       ware). Likewise, the OS, software applications and microprocessor
tures. Simply put, one could say the computing paradigm has            subsystems are likely to be critical in determining the performance
copied the PC industry’s evolution with a strong focus on operating    of future mobile devices, so the battle to control these elements
systems and a Megahertz race on the CPU.                               will be intense. Other component manufacturers, such as manu-
                                                                       facturers of peripherals and components that eventually overshoot
Implications for vendors                                               the performance requirements of the mass PC market, are unlikely
Given these developments across the three paradigms, any firm           to reap substantial profits in the longer term as industry standards
wishing to compete as a mobile-device manufacturer in the future       are established and technologies mature.
will need to develop strong system-integration capabilities. But          One of the biggest decisions for handset vendors will be whether
like the PC industry, as the mobile handset industry moves towards     to compete across all three paradigms. As computer companies
greater specialization, the entry barriers to new players will fall.   such as IBM discovered in the 1980s and 1990s, in an industry with
Variable rather than fixed costs will become more significant, and       a high degree of multidimensional complexity, it can become dif-
core R&D capability will not be a requirement for competitive          ficult to be competitive across increasingly diverging product cat-
advantage. But to select the right partners and integrate supplier     egories. IBM’s range included PCs, mini-computers and mainframes
input effectively, successful firms must still have technical know-      until the mid-1990s, but this positioning became increasingly
how that overlaps with suppliers.                                      untenable as the capabilities required to compete across all these
   The cost structure of non-integrated design or assembly firms        segments diverged. IBM shifted its strategy from being based on
tends to be dominated by variable rather than fixed costs. Because      end products towards an approach in which it focused on distinct
high fixed costs are what give rise to steep economies of scale,        horizontal layers of the value chain, such as semiconductors,
assemblers of modular products are able to compete on relatively       microprocessors and disk drives, and a solutions approach in
flat scale curves: small competitors will be able to enjoy similar      which it delivers integrated systems from a range of previously
costs to larger ones. There will be a rush of new entrants from        competing vendors.
                                                                                       Ericsson Business Review 3·2007 · 43
                                                                                  ...Breaking up the handset value chain
   Jamie Anderson and Martin Zander on
                                         the changing world of mobile devices
                                                                                Today, about 55 percent of IBM’s revenues come from services, with      manufacturer, and of future profits and power distribution in
                                                                                less than 25 percent coming from hardware. The company recently         the industry.
                                                                                sold its PC manufacturing business to the Lenovo Group, China’s            As was the case in the PC industry, “complementary assets,” or
                                                                                largest PC company. IBM provides an interesting case for the            resources that can raise the value of a firm’s technological inn-
                                                                                mobile-handset vendors of today: if vendors are solutions provid-       ovations, will remain important as a means of strengthening a
                                                                                ers to mobile-network operators, might it not be possible for com-      firm’s ability to generate profits. This will be true both for devel-
                                                                                panies such as Nokia or Motorola actually to offer the mobile            oped and developing markets. As the basis for competitive advan-
                                                                                devices of other firms? It is interesting that the emergence of ven-     tage shifts from product differentiation towards complementary
                                                                                dors such as Taiwan’s HTC was partially the result of the established   assets, we may also witness the emergence of a new breed of com-
                                                                                vendors being unwilling to deliver mobile-network operators a full      petitors who offer a portfolio of handsets from different suppliers
                                                                                spectrum of devices, including Microsoft OS smartphones.                – just as has been done in the IT services industry.
                                                                                What will happen if you don’t?
                                                                                Whatever the approach chosen by handset vendors in managing
                                                                                the respective value-chain paradigms, it will become increasingly
                                                                                                                                                            ‘New kid on the block’
                                                                                difficult to compete primarily on product functionality in the                Apple entered the mobile-handset arena in 2007
                                                                                mobile-handset industry as different vendors gain access to the              with the launch of its iPhone. From a phone-design
                                                                                same or similar components and modules. First-mover advantage               point of view, Apple has entered the industry through
                                                                                is likely to be short-lived for competitors coming to market with           the computer paradigm, with a customized CPU,
                                                                                higher performing digital-camera modules, higher memory capac-              a modular design and a cellular modem. Apple has
                                                                                ity or LCD screens, as competitors are also likely to be able to            not joined the traditional feature-driven race with
                                                                                                                                                            the established players, but rather has focused on
                                                                                source these components within a relatively short period of time.
                                                                                                                                                            the end-user experience and optimized the feature
                                                                                    Mobile-handset vendors should learn from the PC industry and
                                                                                                                                                            list accordingly.
                                                                                make sure that their future strategies are not made simply on the
                                                                                                                                                               The most unique part of the iPhone approach is
                                                                                basis of cost optimization or speed to market. While such logic             that Apple brings a complete, working, end-to-end
                                                                                might appear to make compelling sense in the short term, experi-            ecosystem: iTunes, providing desirable content to
                                                                                ence suggests that it can result in a firm outsourcing those elements        the user, covering everything from music and
                                                                                of added value in which most of the industry’s profits will be made          podcasts to TV shows and full-length movies. Still,
                                                                                in the future – and retaining activities in which it is difficult to          the iPhone is just one phone, and Apple will need to
                                                                                maintain long-term advantages over competitors. Witness IBM’s               manage operator relations in each individual market,
                                                                                outsourcing of the PC operating system to Microsoft and chipset             apply different regional cellular standards and meet
                                                                                                                                                            local regulations.
perspective
                                                                                to Intel in the 1980s. Value-chain design should be recognized as a
                                                                                strategic activity that will determine the fate of a mobile-device
                                                                                               the authors
                                                                                                  Jamie Anderson (anderson@esmt.org) is senior lecturer in Strategy and Innovation Management with
                                                                                                  the European School of Management and Technology, Berlin. His research interest is industry evolution
                                                                                                  and value-chain transformation, especially in telecommunication and technology markets. Anderson has
                                                                                                  taught and advised mobile-network operators and vendors from around the world, with a recent empha-
                                                                                                  sis on helping them to develop strategies for emerging markets.
                                                                                                  Martin Zander (martin.zander@ericsson.com) is director and head of Portfolio Management at Ericsson
                                                                                                  Mobile Platforms. He has previously worked in a variety of product management and product marketing
                                                                                                  positions within the Ericsson Group, both in Sweden and Japan. He has a double Master of Science
                                                                                                  degree in technology management and business administration from Lund University, Sweden, and his
                                                                                                  main research interests are scenario analysis, industrial structural changes and value-chain evolution.
                                                                                44 · Ericsson Business Review 3·2007