Yields, Swaps, & Corporate Finance: Financing Tactics Teaching With Bloomberg
Yields, Swaps, & Corporate Finance: Financing Tactics Teaching With Bloomberg
Paul Laux
Teaching thoughts
Swap pricing
                                                                More teaching
Financing Tactics Teaching with Bloomberg                       thoughts
                 August 2013
Gratitude
                                                Yields, Swaps,
                                                 & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
Teaching thoughts
Yield curves
Swap pricing
                                              More teaching
                                              thoughts
Paul Laux
Teaching thoughts
Yield curves
                                                   Corporate finance
an undergraduate capstone course, “Advanced        More teaching
                                                   thoughts
Corporate Finance.” As a capstone, the point
is to integrate the students’ prior learning and
send them on their way to apply it. Especially,
the course links financial markets to corporate
finance applications. This application
specifically links yields and interest rates to
swaps to corporate financing opportunities.
Outline
                                          Yields, Swaps,
                                           & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
                                        Teaching thoughts
1   Teaching thoughts                   Yield curves
                                        Swap pricing
2   Yield curves                        Corporate finance
                                        More teaching
                                        thoughts
3   Swap pricing
      Swap Manager intro
      The value of fair value
4   Corporate finance
      Benchmarking borrowing costs
      Application to fixed rate loans
5   More teaching thoughts
Thoughts on a teaching approach
                                                         Yields, Swaps,
                                                          & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
                                                       Corporate finance
        Example:Yield curves poster—assigned as        More teaching
        pre-work, review in a prior class or podcast   thoughts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Paul Laux
... reinforcing and extending with little pictures: see paper poster
... can’t use swaps unless can use interest rate reasoning                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Teaching thoughts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Yield curves
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             The forward curve matrix: Type FWCM <Go>, and specify a
                                              Understanding yield curves, with help from Bloomberg.                                                                                          From spot curves to implied forward rates of interest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             curve family, like I23 US Treasury Actives, US Treasury coupon-paying
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             bonds.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Swap pricing
    Bloomberg's
    curve finder -- type
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Corporate finance
    CRVF <Go> -- provides
    access to a long list of
    yield curves. you can
    search by keyword, or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    More teaching
    lookup by country.
    Bloomberg refers to
    the curves by ID
    number. Prominent
    curves are the I25 US
    Treasury yield curve,
    and the S23 US dollar
    denominated swaps
    curve (of which more
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    thoughts
    elsewhere on this
    page). When you know
    the curve you want,
    one way to get started
    with it is to type GC
    <Go>, for "Graph                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Note that the implied
    curves." You can then                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            forward curves are all
    enter the ID number of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     upward sloping. That
    the curve that
    interests you, and                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               suggests that, at each
    obtain a chart. The
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        The chart shows
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     date, the economy has
    rest of this page is to                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          expected interest rates for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        several snapshots of
    help you understand
    some of the key yield
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        the "forward curve." In                                                                                      specific periods farther
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        order, from top to                                                                                           into the future to be
    curves you will want to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        bottom, they are from
    use.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10 years ago (white), 5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     higher than for periods
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        years ago (green), 1                                                                                         closer to the present. Of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        year ago (blue, barely                                                                                       course, the succession of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        visible) and Mar 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     curves (each one lower
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (now or 'spot'--meaning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        the spot time not spot                                                                                       than the previous one)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        curve). Interest rates                                                                                       says it has not turned out
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        have been falling all                                                                                        that way. If the Fed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        decade long!
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     controls rates with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     monetary policy and QE,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     this suggests their
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     actions have been
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     unanticipated. Or perhaps
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     market forces, which are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     harder to anticipate, have
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     been more important.
                                                                                                                                                                                       Swap curves: Plain vanilla interest rate swaps promise the periodic payout (or receipt) of a floating rate cash flow (often at
                                                                                                                                                                                       a LIBOR rate) in return for the periodic receipt (or payout) of a fixed rate cash flow. The fixed interest rate used to compute the
                                                                                                                                      The green lower                                  fixed rate receipt is called the "swap rate." The swap rate is what market participants bargain about, as it sets the present
                                                                                                                                                                                       value of the swap. Eyes-wide-open bargaining will lead to a swap with zero NPV at the start. Later, as interest rates change,
                                                                                                                                      curve is the I25
                                                                                                                                                                                       one party will tend to win or lose as the NPV rises or falls, and the swap becomes "off market" rate.
                                                                                                                                      Treasury actives
                                                                                                                                      coupon paying
                                                                                                                                      curve. The blue                                  The curves below are swap curves, showing swap rates for plain vanilla swaps of different tenors (or lengths of agreement). In
                                                                                                                                                                                       these swaps, the exchanges happen semi-annually. Two swap curves are shown--one relative to EUR LIBOR (with payments in
                                                                                                                                      upper curve is
                                                                                                                                      the I39 US Strips                                EUR), and one relative to USD LIBOR (with payments in USD). The Treasury curve is shown for comparison.
                                                                                                                                      curve.
                                                                                                                                                                                       Swap curves depend on both spot and forward curves. They depend on spot curves because future cash flows must be
                                                                                                                                                                 The green top         discounted to determined their value---a job for which spot curve rates are well suited. They depend on forward curves
    This GC graph                                                                                                                                                curve is the S23      because the future payments on the floating leg depend on future interest rates---and forward curves give us a sense for
                                                                                                                                                                 USD swap curve.       expected future interest rates.
    shows the I25
    Treasury "actives"                                                                                                                                           The red curve
    yield curve, which has                                                                                                                                       usually in the
    coupon-paying T bond                                                                                                      The bottom panel shows             middle is the I25
    YTMs. The chart also                                                                                                      the spread between the Strips      coupon Treasury
    shows the yield curve                                                                                                     curve and the Treasury actives     curve. The blue
    for Treasury Strips. A                                                                                                    curve. The spread is always        curve at the
    Treasury Strip is a                                                                                                       positive. This will always be      bottom is the S45
    pure-discount (zero-                                                                                                      the case for an upsloped           EUR swap curve.
    coupon) bond version                                                                                                      coupon curve. The reason is
    of a TBond, with only                                                                                                     that the coupon curve is really
    one cash flow, at                                                                                                         an average of the spot curve
                                                                                                                              elements for all dates up to the    The bottom panel shows interest rate
    maturity time. The
                                                                                                                              maturity, since the coupon          differential between the various
    Strips curve is one
                                                                                                                              bonds has cash flows at all         curves. In this picture, the US swap
    case of a spot curve.
                                                                                                                              those dates. The near-in dates      curve is subtracted from each of the
    One way to think
                                                                                                                              have spot curve yields that are     other curves. S23 - I25 would be
    about a coupon bond
                                                                                                                              lower than the ones that are        called the "swap spread," so
    is that it is really a
                                                                                                                              further out in maturity.            Bloomberg's red curve (shown by
    collection of strips or
                                                                                                                                                                  default--I made no special choices
    zeros, engineered to
                                                                                                                                                                  on this GC screen) is the negative of
    have just the right
                                                                                                                                                                  the swap spread. (Also note that red
    payouts at each time.
                                                                                                                                                                  and blue have different meanings in
                                                                                                                                                                  the top panel vs. the bottom.)                                                                                                                                                                                                          Details of the recent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          shape and changes in
                                                                                                                                                 The snapshots
                                                                                                                                                                  Swaps are usually quoted for a AA                                                                                                                                                                                                       the USD swap curve (at
                                                                                                                                                 on this page
                                                                                                                                                                  credit situation. Thus it may seem                                                                                                                                                                                                      left) and EUR swap
                          What are spot curves useful for? When you know the yield off the spot curve, you                                       were taken in
                                                                                                                                                                  natural that USD swap rates are                                                                                                                                                                                                         curve (above). The long
                          know how to form the present value of a dollar received at that date. Just form the discount                           March 2013.
                                                                                                                                                                  higher than Treasuries. But it needn't                                                                                                                                                                                                  end of the USD swap
                          factor (i.e., (1+SpotYield)^-N). If the curve is for riskless bonds, the PV is for a risk free dollar. If                               be like that, as there are additional                                                                                                                                                                                                   curve has been
                          the curve is for, e.g., AA bonds, then the PV is for a dollar with that riskiness.                                                      considerations. For example, at the                                                                                                                                                                                                     steepening slightly
                                                                                                                                                                  long end of the curve, the USD swap                                                                                                                                                                                                     lately, suggesting that
                          What else are spot curves useful for? They are the observed rates from which forward rates of                                           rate is lower (the swap spread is               The EUR swap rate is generally lower than the USD swap                                                                                                                                  long term fixed
                          interest can be calculated. Forward rates give insight into the future rates of interest that                                           negative). Since the swap rate is paid          rate, suggesting that payments at that fixed rate in EUR                                                                                                                                payments are being
                          market participants expect. See the next section for more on this (up and to the right).                                                in return for a floating rate, that             are regarded as quite desirable. One possible reason, just                                                                                                                              seen as somewhat less
                                                                                                                                                                  suggests that market participants               as an example, would be if the USD floating rate is                                                                                                                                     valuable relative to
                                                                                                                                                                  expect the floating rate to be quite            expected to track higher more than the EUR floating rate,                                                                                                                               floating rate payment
                                                                                                                                                                  low, or else that there is low liquidity        making it more attractive (higher demand) to fix payments                                                                                                                               (i.e., so the market
        Questions or comments? Paul Laux,                                                                                                                         on the fixed pay side of the market at          in EUR terms.                                                                                                                                                                           requires larger fixed
        Department of Finance, laux@udel.edu                                                                                                                      the long end (allowing fixed rate                                                                                                                                                                                                       payments to make a fair
                                                                                                                                                                  payers to get a better deal).                                                                                                                                                                                                           deal).
Next: Bloomberg Swap Manager
                                                                                                                Yields, Swaps,
                                                                                                                 & Corp Fin
                                                                                                                  Paul Laux
Start with 5-year plain-vanilla interest rate swap.
                                                                                                              Teaching thoughts
  Type SWPM <Go> to enter Bloomberg's "Swap Manager" facility. Pricing rooted in present values of            Yield curves
  cash flows forecasted using OIS swap rates as the basis for discount rates and forecasting cash
  flows based on cash/futures interest rates and yield curves. Three screen regions (red boxes) show          Swap pricing
  each counterparty (leg) details and market pricing.                                                         Swap Manager intro
                                                                                                              The value of fair value
Corporate finance
                                                                                                              More teaching
                                                                                                              thoughts
                                                                                                                  Paul Laux
A basis for making cost of finance comparisons across currencies
                                                                                                              Teaching thoughts
 SWPM can also value cross-currency basis swaps (float-float swaps across                                     Yield curves
 two currencies). Use PRODUCTS pull-down menu to chose this swap.
                                                                                                              Swap pricing
                                            Quarterly- reset quarterly-pay 5-year x-crncy basis swap across   Swap Manager intro
                                            USD-EUR has zero premium for deal to receive USD LIBOR and        The value of fair value
                                            pay EUR LIBOR minus a 23 b spread. Market conditions are
                                                                                                              Corporate finance
                                            USD LIBOR at 26.310 bp and EUR LIBOR at 22.6bp pa.
                                                                                                              More teaching
                                                                                                              thoughts
This is useful info...and not only for
                                                   Yields, Swaps,
                                                    & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
Yield curves
                                                                                                      Paul Laux
... to deal with various deals. Here is an annual pay swap.
                                                                                                  Teaching thoughts
Use pull-downs to change reset and pay   At annual reset and pay frequency, the -23 bp spread
freq to "Annual".                        results in an "off-market" premium swap, with a          Yield curves
                                         positive market value of 0.5955 bp, i.e. $5954 per $10
                                         million of notional principal.                           Swap pricing
                                                                                                  Swap Manager intro
                                                                                                  The value of fair value
Corporate finance
                                                                                                  More teaching
                                                                                                  thoughts
The fair-value annual swap
                                                                                                 Yields, Swaps,
                                                                                                  & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
 Ask SWPM to calculate EUR LIBOR spread for zero premium. The at-market swap has a spread
                                                                                               Teaching thoughts
 of -21.81 bp pa. Comparing to the quarterly EUR LIBOR case, increasing the rate paid to the
 EUR LIBOR leg a little reduces the PV of the deal to the USD LIBOR paying leg, so it is no    Yield curves
 longer positive.
                                                                                               Swap pricing
                                                                                               Swap Manager intro
                                                                                               The value of fair value
Corporate finance
                                                                                               More teaching
                                                                                               thoughts
Behind the scenes...
                                                                     Yields, Swaps,
                                                                      & Corp Fin
                                                                       Paul Laux
Curves, cash flows, and valuation scenarios are on the SWPM tabs
                                                                   Teaching thoughts
Yield curves
                                                                   Swap pricing
                                                                   Swap Manager intro
                                                                   The value of fair value
Corporate finance
                                                                   More teaching
                                                                   thoughts
BB help docs provide pricing and
                                                                        Yields, Swaps,
                                                                         & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
... green help key explains a lot of the finance I am skipping over Yield curves
                                                                      Swap pricing
                                                                      Swap Manager intro
                                                                      The value of fair value
Corporate finance
                                                                      More teaching
                                                                      thoughts
What’s it got to do with corp fin?
                                                                                                             Yields, Swaps,
                                                                                                              & Corp Fin
                                                                                                               Paul Laux
If I’m a treasurer with a borrowing need, this analysis can tell us what
interest rate in someone else’s currency is a good deal in my currency.                                    Teaching thoughts
                                                                                                           Yield curves
   hhType XCF, for pictorial cross-currency basis swap premium analysis. Choose single currency analysis
   from Views pulldown, EUR (vs USD LIBOR) and 5 year term. Note results show spreads for a zero premium   Swap pricing
   at various dates (including Today). Note this is bid view, i.e., the leg receives USD LIBOR.
                                                                                                           Corporate finance
                                                                                                           Benchmarking
                                                                                                           borrowing costs
                                                                                                           Application to fixed
                                                                                                           rate loans
                                                                                                           More teaching
                                                                                                           thoughts
                                                                                                           Paul Laux
A lower EUR rate is PV-equivalent to a higher USD rate. Di↵erential
level at 22-23 bp for maturities of 2+ years; was 45-ish bp last year.                                 Teaching thoughts
 Same analysis (XCF <Go>), but now choose more maturities and mid-point quotes. We are moving
                                                                                                       Yield curves
 toward a full comparison of financing opportunities in dollars and euros, from the point of view of
 a US based treasurer. The x-crncy basis swap market tells us what spread (EUR LIBOR differential
                                                                                                       Swap pricing
 vs USD LIBOR) would make for an at-market swap today---thereby telling us what would be an at-
 market deal comparison on floating rate loans.
                                                                                                       Corporate finance
                                                                                                       Benchmarking
                                                                                                       borrowing costs
                                                                                                       Application to fixed
                                                                                                       rate loans
                                                                                                       More teaching
                                                                                                       thoughts
                                                                         Paul Laux
... to answer various questions; e.g., a yield curve view helps
treasurer evaluate floating rate loan comparisons of various terms   Teaching thoughts
Yield curves
Swap pricing
                                                                     Corporate finance
                                                                     Benchmarking
                                                                     borrowing costs
                                                                     Application to fixed
                                                                     rate loans
                                                                     More teaching
                                                                     thoughts
Analyze x-crncy fixed rates too
                                                                                                                                                         Yields, Swaps,
                                                                                                                                                          & Corp Fin
                                                                                                                                                             Paul Laux
... by snapping on same-currency fixed-for-floating swap to each leg
... remember, swap manager prices those too                                                                                                          Teaching thoughts
Yield curves
Swap pricing
                                                                                                                                                     Corporate finance
   Here is the USD side of the analysis. We have seen both these SWPM screens before. On left is a USD                                                Benchmarking
   fixed-for-floating swap. On right is a USD-EUR LIBOR floating-floating swap (cross-currency basis                                                  borrowing costs
   swap).
                                                                                                                                                      Application to fixed
                                                                                                                                                      rate loans
                                                                                                                                                     More teaching
                                                                                                                                                     thoughts
                                                                   Paul Laux
... research has established that searching for good funding
opportunities this way is profitable for AA-rated credits      Teaching thoughts
Swap pricing
                                                               Corporate finance
                                                               Benchmarking
                                                               borrowing costs
                                                               Application to fixed
                                                               rate loans
                                                               More teaching
                                                               thoughts
Teaching tactics
                                                    Yields, Swaps,
                                                     & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
                                                  Yield curves
pound the points, as students will want to lose   Swap pricing
one
• Force more than is comfortable: Detailed,
graphical briefing books; recordings; class lab
exercises
• Better for depth than breadth; takes a lot of
time
The end. Thank you for your time
                                               Yields, Swaps,
                                                & Corp Fin
Paul Laux
Yield curves
Swap pricing
Corporate finance
Questions?