Trading Secrets
Trading Secrets
The Underground Playbook To Get Big Winning Trades And Profits Consistently In
Forex, Stocks, Options And Futures
Thomas Yin
www.ThomasYin.com
Copyright © 2019
Thomas Yin
www.ThomasYin.com
Trading Secrets
The Underground Playbook To Get Big Winning Trades And Profits Consistently In Forex,
Stocks, Options And Futures
All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by
any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods,
without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations
embodied in critical reviews and certain other non-commercial uses permitted by copyright
law.
Thomas Yin
www.ThomasYin.com
Printed in the United States of America
First Printing 2019
First Edition 2019
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Trading Secrets
TABLE OF CONTENTS
WHAT I DID AND HOW YOU CAN USE IT 1
To show my appreciation to you for getting this book, I’ve
made one of my paid training (worth $60) free for you to
attend. In your online training session with me, I’ll walk you
through what’s in this book and go much more in depth into
the hidden secrets of trading success. So if you would like to
attend this free bonus training session with me personally,
please go check it out at:
https://thomasyin.com/ttw-webinar/
WHAT I DID AND HOW YOU CAN USE IT
The name of this book is “Trading Secrets” - “The
Underground Playbook To Get Big Winning Trades And
Profits Consistently In Forex, Stocks, Options And Futures”.
And before we go any further, please let me make it very clear that
my results are not typical.
Chances are we have not met… so I am not making any claims or
implications that you will duplicate my results or achieve any
results whatsoever.
I’m going to show you what worked well for me, and it’s my hope
that you will be able to utilize some of the information that I share
with you to get the results that you are personally after.
So if you’re looking for one of those “get rich quick” deals, this isn’t
it.
BUT – if you’re a “real person” who’s got some money to spare as
trading capital, the ability to follow instructions, and the
willingness to work for what you want, this is for you.
~1~
Thomas Yin
In 2012, my trading raked in over 50% RETURNS on capital that
year. From 2012 to 2015, I have averaged just over 50% RETURNS
on capital per year, for a total of over 220% in 4 years. All I used was
one computer with internet connection and I trade from home.
In this book, I’ll tell you how I did it and give you a plan that you
can use too.
~2~
PART 1: WHY THERE’S A TON OF MONEY IN
TRADING
The only way I can describe trading the financial markets is like
this:
CASH MACHINE
And there are a few reasons (aside from my personal experience)
that make me say this.
First, there’s the amount of money trading in the financial assets
right now.
According to the 2016 Triennial Central Bank Survey,
average daily turnover was $5.09 trillion for forex.
According to Wikipedia, the top ten stock exchanges in the
world have a combined market capitalization of over $60
trillion.
And I’m just talking about the two financial assets of forex and
stock here.
Others include options, futures, cryptocurrencies, CFDs, etc…
Here’s why that’s important…
~3~
Thomas Yin
You probably hear every day that the “big thing” is running a
“Business” and owning “Real Estate”, right? Those are
non-financial assets.
According to Global Wealth Report 2017, financial asset
grew faster than non-financial asset since the financial crisis
of 2008.
And as a result, through financial asset more millionaires are made.
This is also one of the reasons why the rich got richer. The poor got
poorer because the poor did not participate in the financial
markets.
So while everyone else is trying to work in a job and save up or
going for “Real Estate” or busy running a “Business”, traders are
quietly raking in tons more money… and counting.
Second, it’s got something most industries don’t have:
RECESSION PROOF
Whether the economy is in a slump or in a boom, successful traders
are able to grow their wealth.
When the economy is going strong or markets are going up, traders
can ride this growth by trading financial assets up.
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Trading Secrets
And
while the economy is going into a recession or during a financial
crisis, traders can grow their wealth even faster by trading down to
profit.
That means more money to be made by traders regardless of the
economy downturn or upturn.
And which would you rather be? In an “economic downturn” that
affects real estate prices, businesses and jobs or in a recession proof
industry that’s grows your wealth massively whether the economy
is in a down or up?
But that’s not all.
Traders can experience another thing most people miss out on:
VERY HIGH NET PROFITS
A great thing about trading is it’s very high in terms of net profits.
At least, I’ve certainly experienced that in my own trading.
One thing that can make this such a profitable business is the low
overhead.
Take my trading for example. I don’t need any fancy equipment,
and I don’t really use any office space at all.
~5~
Thomas Yin
My
tools include a laptop and internet connection.
So, it can be extremely profitable if you do everything right.
8 REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD TRADE
The fact of the matter is that if you have spare cash lying around in
the bank or stash under your bed right now, you really, really need
to put your money to work harder for you by trading the markets.
It is also way more profitable than letting someone managed it for
you or leave it with the bank.
Let me give you 7 reasons why this is true:
REASON #1: CONSISTENT MONTHLY INCOME
Now a lot of people think trading is done based on news and
fundamental analysis.
I don’t set my trading up that way and I’m going to show you how
to avoid it. Instead…
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Trading Secrets
I
don’t even have to worry about bill payments because my trading
income takes care of them. I’m not on the rat race that you might
be feeling you’re on right now.
I don’t ever, ever have to worry about that because my trading gives
me consistent income.
I can make lots of losing trades and with just a few winning trades, I
will still be getting a consistent income from my trading.
So if that type of scenario sounds appealing then keep reading. I’m
going to show you exactly how to do it right here in these pages.
In 2013, my public trading account (accounts that I show to the
public) raked in over 85% returns on capital that year. Since then, I
have averaged just over 50% returns on capital per year every year.
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Thomas Yin
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Trading Secrets
You can implement what I’m going to show you here and start
getting winning trades NOW.
Not months from now after you’ve “finally gotten everything
ready.”
REASON #3: FREEDOM
My hours for trading are flexible. I can trade anytime I want to.
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Thomas Yin
For
example, for every 100 dollars that I lose in a trade, I am able to get
200-400 dollars in profits when I win in a trade.
I stack the trading odds to my favour that even if I have 40% of my
trades win, I would still be net profitable.
I am going to show you how to set this model up in this book.
Once you get this trading model setup, I believe you will see
consistent profits and income often.
Because we limit our losses to small manageable losses, get explosive
profits when we win, and we don’t have any real significant high
fixed costs.
That means that the majority of the profits that comes from our
trading should be net profit.
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Thomas Yin
And if you are passionate with your work, you can continue doing
it or you can turn to trading fulltime like me and spend more time
doing the things that truly make you happy.
REASON #6: MASSIVE WEALTH GROWTH
What I am going to show you in terms of trading will double the
profits you can get compared with typical traditional retail
investing.
Typical traditional retail investing uses buy-and-hold concept and
its great when markets go up. But when markets go down, investors
have to suffer drastic losses and witness their wealth diminished.
Trading is different.
I can trade bi-directional to profit from the markets.
If the markets are going up, I can buy first and sell later to profit
from it.
And if the markets are going down, I can sell first and buy back
later at a lower price to profit from it.
Massive wealth growth can be achieved by being able to
profit whether markets go up or down.
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Trading Secrets
The way I am going to show you to trade will enable you to grow
your wealth in a bull market.
And also grow your wealth in a bear market when traditional retail
investors are losing their wealth.
This helps you to create massive wealth so much faster apart from
the fact that it is recession proof like what I mentioned earlier.
REASON #7: LOW TECH AND LOW STRESS
Trading is very low stress and low tech, you don’t need to keep on
upgrading yourself with new skillsets or learning new strategies
when you’re using this proven trading model.
You don’t have to apply complicated analysis and calculations.
I use a laptop with internet connection and a calculator.
Those are pretty much my tools for my trading.
Very low stress, low tech.
Look, I’ve used the same simple analysis method for over 8 years.
I’ve used the same simple trading plan since 2010.
This has enabled me to find, get high probability winning trades,
limit my losses when I am wrong and rake in explosive profits when
I am right.
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Trading Secrets
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THE 3 SIGNS OF DIRECTION
When we drive from point A to point B, we look at road signs for
direction. The signs tell us which direction to go to reach point B.
All financial markets in the world move in three different
directions, up, down and sideways.
So, to know the direction of where the markets are going, we also
need to see the signs.
Each one of these, represent one of the three signs in the signs of
direction.
SIGN #1: SUNNY DAYS WITH CLEAR SKIES
You might be thinking why am I talking about the weather?
Well, to truly understand how the markets go in terms of direction,
you need to know the signs where it is going. Just like the weather.
Let me illustrate it to you here.
What are the signs you see when it is going to be a sunny day with
clear skies?
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Trading Secrets
You
can see the sun shining brightly and the skies are blue with very few
clouds around. You naturally feel good and wants to go out to
enjoy the sun.
Now what happens when the financial markets have a “sunny day
with clear skies” scenario.
The markets are bullish. Investors and traders are buying into the
markets.
Markets just keep going higher and higher. It’s clear skies ahead for
them.
What would cause this to change?
SIGN #2: CLOUDY WITH STRONG WINDS
I am not getting to the science part of why clouds form. But soon
enough, after a period of sunny days with clear skies, white clouds
start to form.
As more and more white clouds are formed, you still get to see the
sun on and off.
These white clouds soon turn into dark clouds and they start to
cover up more of the sun.
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Thomas Yin
With dark clouds looming the skies, winds start to blow. From light
winds to stronger winds. All these while the skies are going dimmer.
Can you see the signs of what is going to happen next?
Well, it’s clear isn’t it? Rain will follow.
But
before we go into that, let me share with you that at this stage in the
financial markets, the buyers (the bulls) and sellers (the bears) are
constantly fighting against each other in a constant battle to move
the markets with no clear winners.
Occasionally, the buyers win the battle and markets move up a little
only to be beaten down by the sellers.
And there are times, the sellers win the battle and the markets move
down a little only to be brought back up by the buyers.
The markets tend to move sideways.
Till the selling intensifies…
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Trading Secrets
~ 19 ~
Thomas Yin
Just like being able to read the signs before the rain.
Wouldn’t it be fantastic to be able to read the signs before the
markets turn bullish or bearish?
What I am going to share with you here in this book is to show you
how to see and read the signs so as to enable you to forecast the
future direction of the markets.
Before we jump right into reading the signs of the markets, we need
to understand what the drivers of these signs are. The causes of
these signs to show up.
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Trading Secrets
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PART 2: WHAT SUCCESSFUL TRADING REALLY
IS
What really drives the market to move up or down?
Is it logic deriving from numbers, fundamentals or news?
If it’s logic then everyone should derive the same conclusion and
the market should move in the direction in accordance to it, right?
Let’s take a look if this is the case.
Let me give you an example based on the U.S. stock market.
In January 2006, the Dow Jones index was hovering around 11,000
points and the S&P index was hovering around 1,300 points.
By October 2007, the Dow jones index was over 14,000 points and
the S&P index was hovering close to 1,600 points.
That’s over 25% jump on the Dow Jones and over 20% jump on the
S&P.
Fundamentals, news and numbers should be good during this
period, right?
Yet between January 2006 to October 2007, tons of negative news
and numbers were being broadcasted. Fundamentals was getting
from bad to worse.
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Trading Secrets
There were lots of bad news and numbers to show fundamentals
are bad during this period but just to name a few here.
In August 2006, U.S. Home Construction Index was down over
40%compared to a year ago.
In February 2007, HSBC losses reached $10.5 billion in its U.S.
mortgage lending business.
By March 2007, several subprime lenders declared bankruptcy.
By April 2007, it was announced that 13 percent of subprime loans
were delinquent. That’s more than five times the delinquency
ratefor home loans.
By May 2007, it was clear that major banks around the world were
affected including Citigroup (known for Citibank) yet Citigroup
was trading near its all-time high. (just 7% shy of its all-time high)
Despite all these bad fundamentals, the Dow Jones continues its
upward move and closes above 14,000 points for the first time in
history in July 2007.
Now we know, majority of the traders and investors bought instead
of selling not because of fundamentals or logic.
If it was because of logic, they would have sell it down. But it didn’t
happen.
They continued to keep buying because of greed.
~ 23 ~
Thomas Yin
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As long as you can ascertain or measure to a high degree of accuracy
which emotion is dominion, you will be successful and massively
profitable in trading. And I’m going to show you how easy it is to
do this and you’ll will be good at this.
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Trading Secrets
~ 27 ~
PART 3: WHAT’S HOLDING YOU BACK
If trading is easy and can create massive wealth growth? Then how
come everybody’s not doing it?
How come there are lots of traders who are not successful and
THE MYTHS OF TRADING
Well, first of all, people are paralyzed by their own beliefs about
trading which were just the myths of trading and one of them is the
SMART MYTH.
They think, “Well, successful traders must be real smart, have some
certificates or something. Therefore, surely I can’t be a trader
because I’m not smart enough.”
Understandable, right? And that’s reason number one.
Reason number two is that they believe in order to start trading and
be successful in trading, they got to have huge capital and be rich.
Third reason is that they believe they need to put in the very long
hours for trading.
The fourth reason is they always want to do more analysis to make
their analysis more complete.
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Trading Secrets
Another three reasons are they think (5) trading is risky, (6) it’s
about luck, (7) there is a magic bullet for trading, and these has
deterred most from even getting started.
The last reason being that they think they must and need to follow
news and fundamentals to order to trade successfully.
The good news is, you don’t have to believe into any of these myths
because they are not true and these are the main reasons that’s
holding people back from getting the results they want or even to
get started trading.
#1 MYTH: I GOT TO BE SMART
So, let’s talk about the smart myth, okay?
I thought I had to be smart and had to go to a special school to be a
trader, like I needed some sort of certificate or diploma or some
permission or something like that.
Because it just sounds so complicated and hard core.
Later, after getting consecutive years of consistent returns from the
markets, I realised that this is such a shame and I’ve done it myself
but…
Most people let self-doubt stand between them and the
fortunes that they deserve.
~ 29 ~
Thomas Yin
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Trading Secrets
Otherwise, I couldn’t have gone to any polytechnic and would have
retook my ‘O’ levels for another year.
Even then, I took 3 and a half years to complete poly while others
took only 3 years.
That’s because I failed some modules and had to spend another half
a year retaking them.
After successfully getting a consistent return from the markets year
after year, I realised having a proven system, strategy or formula was
more important than being smart.
#2 MYTH: I GOT TO HAVE HUGE CAPITAL AND BE
RICH
Another myth about trading that I believed in when I started was
that I needed to have a huge capital to start with and I needed to be
rich in order to succeed in trading.
This was not true at all which I found out much later on.
But before I realised that it was not true, I was always losing to the
markets with a small capital from a thousand dollars to a couple of
thousand dollars.
Whenever I bust a trading account of a thousand or two, I would
always tell myself these, “If only I had more capital in this account,
I would have been profitable. It’s because I’m having a small
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Thomas Yin
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The important thing is whether you can trade successfully and be
consistently profitable.
So, don’t ever feel inferior and look down on yourself that you are
not fit for trading just because you start from a humble
background.
I wouldn’t be enjoying the time of my life if I had held on to this
self-limiting belief.
Trading is anybody’s game and it’s not only for the rich.
It is based on your ability to profit from the markets and that’s it.
#3 MYTH: LONG HOURS NEEDED TO TRADE
SUCCESSFULLY
And a lot of people think that they will need long hours to trade to
be profitable.
You know what I mean – spend numerous hours to get in touch
closely with the news, know how to interpret those financial
numbers and economic fundamentals.
That’s what I thought trading was. Sure, there is a lot of that in
trading but not all of it. And it is not the only way to trade.
~ 35 ~
Thomas Yin
If it was the only way to trade, I probably won’t be trading
anymore.
Because during my real estate years, even though the money was
good, I hated the job because of the long hours it took me.
I had to work late nights, weekends and even public holidays
because that’s the time when clients are free to meet.
I practically worked almost 365 days in a year.
Because of that, I barely had time to spend with my loved ones.
And the thing I hated the most was that I barely had time to spend
on my trading.
However, when it comes to trading, you do not need long hours to
trade. Here is a screen shot of the trade results that I did on the 1st
of May (Singapore Holiday - Labour Day).
I woke up around 11:00 a.m., did my morning rituals, went for my
late breakfast, then I proceeded to power up my laptop and look at
the markets for the next 10 to 20 minutes.
While I was looking at the markets, I saw this trade on crude oil.
Put in my trade with my stop loss order, and after that, me and my
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Thomas Yin
After I am in a trade, I can go do the things I want to do, like
playing with my kids, watch a Netflix movie online or even go hang
out with my friends.
I hope I am not over simplifying things here for you. Trading does
take time. But not the kind of long hours compared with a 9 to 5
job or any typical jobs out there.
If you include the travel time to the work place and the unexpected
delays and hiccups, people in actual fact spend more than 8 hours
for the 9 to 5 job, isn’t it?
#4 MYTH: ALWAYS DO MORE ANALYSIS
A typical beginner or trader who just started, will use simple
analysis to trade and what happens after? They made a few losing
trades, lost some money and realised that results were not up to
their expectations.
They decided that maybe the analysis was not enough, it was not
complete. That's why they weren’t getting the results that they
wanted. So, what did they do?
They proceeded to put in more analysis, thinking that with more
analysis, the analysis might be more complete. It could be enough
analysis and it would yield better results.
What happened was that it started to take more time because of
more analysis and yet the results did not improve.
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What would the trader think when results don't improve? The
trader might think that the analysis might not be enough and is not
complete yet.
Naturally, the next step that the trader will do is to put in more
analysis, and this goes on and on. Results don't reach their
expectations and they would add even more analysis.
Here's what I found out to be true.
Any system that you adopt must be simple enough to use or
it's not use.
It's not about using more.
It's about using the right ones and using them the right way. I'm
going to show you how to do it the right way later on in this book.
Here's what I believed that every successful trader’s journey is.
Every trader starts as a beginner. They started with simple analysis
and wasn't getting the results that they want.
What they did is to put in more analysis and make their analysis
more complex, having the thought that more analysis makes their
analysis better and more complete.
When results don't show improvement, they put in even more
analysis. This goes on till most of them will give up.
~ 39 ~
Thomas Yin
A small minority of them realized that this might not be the path to
go towards to and decided to simplify their analysis. After they did
that, their results instead of getting worse, improved slightly.
They continued to simplify their analysis even more and realized
that results improved from there on.
After taking out all the unnecessary analysis, leaving the right ones,
the trader realized that he started to make money and profits from
the market.
This is when the trader continues to maintain his analysis as a very
simple analysis and keep his analysis at a low level of complexity.
Like I said earlier, it's not about using more. It's about using the
right ones and using them the right way. I'm going to show you
how to do it the right way later on. The right way is much easier
and is much faster and better too.
#5 MYTH: TRADING IS RISKY
The myth which affects our trading psychology a lot that deter
most people to even go into trading is they think that trading is
risky.
Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.
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I have the privilege of going skydiving and when I was in the sky
preparing for the skydive, I was really afraid, but I told myself this is
something that I wanted to do in my lifetime. So, I went for it.
During the flight up, I asked my skydiving instructor, "Is skydiving
risky?" He told me the same thing. Risk comes from not knowing
what you are doing. He said that he knows exactly what he is doing.
So, skydiving for him is really safe.
He goes on to tell me that he rather skydives than drive a car,
because he feels that skydiving is safer than driving a car. When I
proceeded to ask him why, he told me that he knows more about
skydiving than he knows about driving a car, because he rarely
drives a car, even though he knows how to drive.
That conversation reinforced my conviction that trading is very
safe for me. I have never viewed trading as risky because I have
acquired the skill set and system in place to protect myself against
risky trading.
In terms of trading, anyone can have the ability to trade the markets
safely, but you need to know how to do it. That's what I'm going to
share with you later on.
#6 MYTH: TRADING IS ALL ABOUT LUCK
There is also the myth that trading is just like gambling. It's about
luck.
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Thomas Yin
Since we are talking about gambling, let's probe a little into the
business model of a casino.
I will say that it's fair to say that in a single bet, the casino has a
chance to lose and a chance to win. If that’s the case, is it really a
game of chance and luck for the casino? What do you think is the
outcome for them after one year even though the casino sometimes
can win and sometimes can lose in a single bet? Will they be in a loss
or will they make a profit?
I'm pretty sure that most people will agree that 99.9% of the time,
that the casino will make a profit after one year, year after year, even
though they are in the business of gambling and chance.
I mean most of us know that it is a massively profitable business for
the casino business owners and operators and that’s why once they
are in business, you rarely see them out of business.
But most people also view this as a luck business for themselves.
This is not what the owners and operators of the casino viewed the
business as. They viewed this as a business of consistent income
where every game that they offer, has a probability to win higher
than a probability to lose, even though in a single bet they could
lose and they could win as well.
Since all the games in the casino has more than 50% probability of
winning, in the long run, after thousands or millions of bets (after
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stacking the odds thousands or millions time in their favour), they
will come out on top and be profitable, and have consistent income
from the millions of bets on one game.
This
can be the same for trading. Because trading is not about luck, but
about the probability and having an edge on your side. Just like the
casino, they have an unfair advantage even though they can still lose
in every single bet. An unfair advantage that stacks the odds in their
favour thousand or million times over. That’s why in the long run
they make massive consistent profits.
Trading is a business (just like the casino) that makes massive
consistent profits when the trader has an edge, an unfair advantage,
whenever he/she makes a trade.
Now, let's see how the casino model is so that we can structure our
trading just like the casino to have an unfair advantage.
The first thing that a casino has, is a game plan where they have an
overall plan of all the possible scenarios that their game offers.
From there, they set game rules to make sure they have an unfair
advantage.
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Thomas Yin
Finally, the odds that they will pay out, they have done the
mathematical calculation such that with the odds pay out, they will
have an unfair advantage as well.
With all these key components in place, the game plan, the
rules and the odds pay-out, the casino has a more than 50%
probability of winning in every single bet.
An unfair advantage that’s stacked after thousands of bets that they
will definitely be on top and be making a profit from it.
In terms of trading, we must model how casino owners operate
their casino.
In terms of game plan, we need to have a trading plan, to map out
all the possible scenarios that will happen so that we can make plans
to react to it in a way that give us an unfair advantage and stack the
odds on our side.
With the game plan, we set game rules where in terms of trading,
we termed them as trading rules, rules like rules of entry, exit,
money management rules, etc. We set up all the rules to our own
advantage.
Finally, in terms of odds pay out for trading, it's what we called
risk-to-reward ratio which I'm going to share with you later on. But
just to touch a little bit on what it means here. The risk-to-reward
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ratio is how much you are going to get when you win and how
much you're going to lose when you lose.
I was able to design my trading properly in a way that the trading
plan, the rules and the odds pay out (the risk-to-reward ratio) is
stacked in my favour and that’s why I was consistently beating the
market.
Just like the casino operator even though every single trade there's a
chance for me to lose, but after many trades is almost 99% that I
will make a profit.
This can happen for you too and I’m going to show you how I
design my trading plan, my rules and the exact risk to reward ratio
that I used in the past and currently still using.
#7 MYTH: IF I FIND THE MAGIC BULLET, I’LL BE
SUCCESSFUL
Most people go into trading trying to find the magic bullet which is
a myth. The get-rich-quick kind of mentality is wrong as trading
success does not need a magic bullet.
I believe the secret to the game of life and trading as well, is when
you have the system or strategy to create your own source of
income. Then you will truly have freedom and full control of your
life.
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Thomas Yin
A lot of people do not know the importance of this. A system,
strategy or formula produce a certain type of result most of the
time if not all the time. Some people do not have a system or
strategy or formula and that’s why they kept getting random
inconsistent results which most of the time were poor results.
96% of all failures are a result of not having a system. You
fail by default without having a system.
People who have a system automatically have a better chance of
getting good results compared with those who do not have a
system. Some people have a system to get good results. These
people who got good results, kept getting good results or results
that they want, because they followed the same system, the same
process that produced the results in the first place.
Having a system (strategy) is the key to success in everything and
anything. Just like my real estate sales, I found a system (strategy)
and was successful, not because I was good, but because I've used
and followed the system (strategy) my sales manager taught me.
This is the same for everything including trading.
If there is such a thing as the “magic bullet”, then the “magic
bullet” is the system, strategy or formula when applied, will
produce the same similar results time and again.
~ 46 ~
Trading Secrets
~ 47 ~
Thomas Yin
~ 48 ~
Trading Secrets
~ 49 ~
PART 4: HOW YOU WANT TO DO YOUR
ANALYSIS?
There are two main analysis types for trading. One of them is
fundamental analysis.
Fundamental analysis is done through news reporting on numbers.
Numbers like revenue numbers, earnings and profit numbers for
companies if you are trading stocks and economic numbers like
jobs numbers, employment numbers if you are trading forex.
You will have to be familiar with price to earnings ratio, earnings
per share, non-farm payroll, FOMC meeting and its decisions on
interest rate, etc. Not only familiar but also interpret them to come
to a conclusion to trade it.
Basically, it’s looking at numbers, following news and interpreting
what it would mean for the markets.
Like what I mentioned earlier in this book (under part 2), the
fundamentals showed that it was getting from bad to worse before
the crisis happened in 2007-2008.
Yet prices continued to move up another 20% to 25% over almost a
2-year period till the crisis happened.
~ 50 ~
Trading Secrets
The fundamentals did work but you just don’t know when it will
work.
You know why it worked after it worked but you just don’t
know when it will work
This is due to the time it takes for fundamentals to work. It may
take a day, a week, a month or even years and in the case of the crisis
of 2007-2008, it’s about two years.
And this is the reason why I do not use fundamental analysis as it
doesn’t really show me when it will work.
Now I’m not saying fundamental analysis don’t work here. It
works but you just don’t know when. And timing to me is
important. I’m sure you want your trade to move at the time you
trade.
Another better way is by using the signs of fear and greed which I
mentioned earlier in this book.
This can be done through technical analysis.
This is the framework where traders study price movement.
The theory is that a trader can look at historical price movements
together with current price movements to determine current
trading conditions and future price movements.
~ 51 ~
Thomas Yin
The basis for using technical analysis is that all past and current
market information (market information in terms of mainly greed
and fear) are reflected in price.
And if price reflects all the information (including greed and fear)
that is out there, then analysing the way price moves (whether greed
or fear is more dominion) is all a trader would need to make a trade.
Technical analysis normally involves charts. Charts are the easiest
way to visualise historical data and current data in a graphic form.
Now you must be thinking “Technical analysis! Charts! It must be
complicated and hard to even understand”.
Here’s one thing I found out about technical analysis and is this.
If technical analysis is complicated and hard, it will not
work.
And I am speaking from experience. I’ve tried complicated charting
by using numerous indicators and drawings on my charting. And it
did not work for me.
Charting only started to work for me (through a lot of trial and
error testing) after I started to keep it simple.
And with the right combination of indicators with the right
parameters, I was able to consistently get high probability winning
trades that gives me an explosive return.
~ 52 ~
Trading Secrets
This is a line chart.
This is a bar chart.
~ 53 ~
Thomas Yin
This is a candlestick chart.
In terms of technical analysis and charting, we always use
candlestick. Why? Because it can extract more information from
the charts in terms of the opening price, closing price, highest price,
and lowest price, and also gauge the strength of the market, etc.
~ 54 ~
Trading Secrets
Let me show you what are the information that we can find, read
and use in a candlestick. The market always open at a specific price.
In this example, the opening price is $10, termed as the open.
During the day, it can fluctuate up and down depending on the
buyers and sellers. The highest point that it reached during the day
will be termed the high and the lowest point (price level) that it
transacts at during the day will be termed the low. Eventually, it
will close at a certain price. The price level that it closed at, we
termed it as the close. This is a typical information that you can
extract from a candlestick.
How a candlestick is being drawn is by forming a rectangle or
square, joining the price levels of the open and close.
Using candlestick charts, you can also see different patterns of
whether it's up or downtrend.
~ 55 ~
Thomas Yin
This is a typical chart and is a chart of Apple. For those beginners
who do not understand or know how to look at charts, I’ll give you
a quick jumpstart. At the bottom is a scale for time and at the
right-hand side, there is the pricing scale for showing the price of
Apple.
Whenever you use a chart, the bottom is always showing time from
the earliest (extreme bottom left) to the latest (extreme bottom
right). On the right-hand side, it's always showing price from the
lowest price (at the extreme bottom right) to the highest price (at
the extreme top right).
If you look at this example, Apple from around $100, as time goes
by, from October, to November, it goes up, to December, it
continues to go up. Come January, it come back down a little bit,
~ 56 ~
Trading Secrets
and February, it continues moving up. From low price to high price
as time goes by, what do you think is the trend for this? Is it in an
uptrend or a downtrend? Definitely it's in an uptrend.
Here's another chart of Apple. From high price as time goes by, it
goes to lower price. Definitely from here, we can easily see very
clearly that it is in a downtrend.
By just using candlestick charts with its price bars, we can easily see
whether price tends to go up or down (even without any indicators
or analysis).
~ 57 ~
Thomas Yin
~ 58 ~
Trading Secrets
This is a very common indicator. I do agree with you. But the thing
is this, most people (those who lost to the markets) who use it, use
the wrong parameters (or wrong combination of parameters) or
they are using it wrongly.
Let me shared a little about my testing phase when I was trying to
use this indicator. But before that, for those who are new to moving
average, moving average has one parameter that you can set and you
can set it to any parameters that you want. And the cool thing is
that once you set it, it is automatically plotted so you do not have to
draw anything yourself.
Coming back to my testing phase when I started using it. I started
by using two moving averages (the same indicator plotted twice
with different parameters).
What I did was that I set a parameter of 1 for one of the moving
averages and set a parameter of 100 for another one of the moving
averages. 1 and 100 and after I tested it out, it didn’t work. So, I
proceeded with 2 and 100, it didn’t work too. I carried on with 3
and 100, followed by 4 and 100, 5 and 100 and all the way to 99
and 100, it didn’t work.
~ 59 ~
Thomas Yin
I decided to continue with 1 and 99, 2 and 99, 3 and 99, 4 and 99, 5
and 99, all the way to 98 and 99.
I kept testing it out with different combinations. It was very
tedious because I needed to use it to test on real-time market
scenario (live market scenario). It took a long time of around seven
years to really come to a right combination of parameters for this
pair of moving averages.
That’s why I can assure you that it has been battle-tested and I have
been using it for the past recent years since 2010, and it has been
very successful for me and my community of traders to determine
trend and to trade successfully on the markets.
Remember, it's not just the parameters. It's the right combination
of the right parameters and using it correctly that make it highly
accurate. And here it is.
~ 60 ~
Trading Secrets
I used one moving average at a parameter of 21 (the dotted line)
and another moving average at a parameter of 100 (the continuous
line). After entering the parameters, you will see that there's two
lines automatically plotted so you do not have to draw the line
yourself. Then you might ask “how do I use it to determine
uptrend or downtrend?” I’m coming to that now.
At the point that the 21-moving average (dotted line) goes above
the 100-moving average (continuous line), it is considered to be in
an uptrend.
When the 21-moving average (dotted line) goes below the
100-moving average (continuous line), it is considered to be in a
downtrend.
~ 61 ~
Thomas Yin
In an uptrend, we want to look for buying opportunities and, in a
downtrend, we want to look for selling opportunities.
If you look at the last traded price at the extreme right-hand side of
the chart (the chart on the previous page), it shows it is at $108.00
exactly on the 31st of October.
And it's in an uptrend. Because the 21-moving average is above the
100-moving average.
After that (look at the chart on the next page), it went all the way
up to $133.00 on the 23rd of February, which was an increase of $25
per share in less than 4 months.
Imagine if you have bought just 100 shares of Apple on the 31st of
October and sold it off on the 23rd of February, it would have
netted you a profit of $2500 in less than 4 months.
~ 62 ~
Trading Secrets
Can you see how powerful just this one technique alone is?
I bet you are getting more excited to learn the next one.
So, let’s get on to it.
#2 Technique: Profit Zone For Timing
Even after we have determined the direction we want, we still need
to time the market for the profit zone (good entry price) to enter
the market. And for timing for profit zone, I use what I termed the
market mood. So, what is mood? And when should you or anyone
buy base on mood?
Basically, when the mood of the market is bullish, the market is
going to go up. When it's bearish, the market is going to go down.
Most people know this but do not use them correctly.
When I want to trade up based on trend and direction, I find
markets that are going to be bullish.
And when I want to trade down based on trend (direction), I find
markets that are going to be bearish.
I’m going to show you how I do that now by introducing to you
the second and last indicator I used for my analysis. This second
indicator that I’ve used has in the past made me a lot of money and
currently still making me a killing.
~ 63 ~
Thomas Yin
~ 64 ~
Trading Secrets
Based on the chart (after macd histogram is plotted), you will see all
these down mountains and up mountains. Based on what I’ve
shared with you earlier, it is in an uptrend.
And we only look at the down mountains (which I’ve circled it out
for you) in an uptrend.
In an uptrend, the down mountains are the profit zone for us to
buy. In a downtrend, we look at the up mountains to sell.
~ 65 ~
Thomas Yin
If you based on the down mountains to buy (refer to the chart
above), you will see that you are almost buying at the lowest price
points where it is about to bounce up. Isn’t it awesome to know
that just by applying this, you will almost always get to buy at the
lowest price points and sell at the highest price points?
Based on this chart, it is in an uptrend, and you know that the
profit zone (entry zone) is within the down mountains. As each bar
represents one day of data, now, the question is, there're so many
days (bars) that I can get in to buy, which day do I get in to buy
then?
~ 66 ~
Trading Secrets
Another way to check for bullish bars is by comparing the close and
the open. The value of the close is always higher than the value of
the open. If the close is higher than the open, it will be a bullish bar.
If the value of the close is lower than the value of the open, then it
will be a bearish bar (black colour in this book) and normally
coloured in red when you use tradingview or other charting tool
that comes with colour. Here in this book, it is in black as you can
see in the chart.
Based on the chart of Apple, it is in the uptrend and I want to buy
when it's in a down mountain for the MACD histogram. And
~ 67 ~
Thomas Yin
when we project from the down mountain up to the price bar, I
know that there's ONLY a few bars left that I can get in to buy.
Definitely, in terms of buying, I do not want to get in to buy the
bearish bars which are the black bars (red bars in tradinview.com).
It is only the white or transparent bars (green bars in
tradingview.com) that I will get in to buy. Easily, I would have
eliminated at least another 30% to 60% of all the bars (days) in the
profit zone that I’m able to get in to buy.
Can you see what I’m trying to do here?
I’m trying to narrow down the bars that I can get in to buy. So that
eventually, I was left with a few to get in to buy.
Let me explain it more clearly for you so you can understand this
better.
In the example of Apple, I saw that it was in an uptrend and
decided that I was going to buy the stock. But I can’t get in to buy
just because it was in an uptrend. Because I cannot be buying the
stock every single day. So, using profit zone (entry zone), I was able
to know roughly the “zone” I was going to get in to buy. But the
“zone” still shows quite a number of days (bars) for entry and I do
not want to be getting in to buy every single day of the “zone”. So,
by looking for the bullish bars in the “zone”, I was able to limit to a
few days (the bullish bars) that I would get in to buy.
~ 68 ~
Trading Secrets
Further narrowing can be done so that there is only 1-3 days to get
in to buy.
Let me continue with my “precise trigger” as once you’ve learnt and
applied all the techniques in my analysis method correctly, you
probably would be left with only 1-3 days to get in to trade just like
me.
In my “precise trigger”, apart from price action, I also have
multi-dimension.
~ 69 ~
Thomas Yin
week). Meaning, every bar here represents one week of data. Every 1
week, 1 bar is drawn.
At the extreme right-hand side of the chart, I have circled the
portion where we are going to zoom in (by changing the timeframe
of the chart to a smaller timeframe) to see what is the pattern after
zooming in.
To zoom in, we set the timeframe of the chart to 1 day instead of 1
week. This would mean that the chart would now show one day of
data and information for each bar. Below is the chart after
“zooming in”.
~ 70 ~
Trading Secrets
After zooming in (which is the micro view), we can see that it is also
still in the uptrend though it has corrected and came down quite a
bit.
So, in the macro view, it was in an uptrend and in the micro view, it
was also in an uptrend. Since both views are showing the same
pattern (an uptrend pattern), I would want to trade this.
~ 71 ~
Thomas Yin
These few techniques in my analysis method have in the past and
present helped me and my trading community to racked in massive
amount of profits from the different markets from forex, to stocks,
to options, to futures and it’s my wish that they will help you as
much as they helped me. Because even now as you read this book, I
am still using them and I believe I will keep using them in the
future.
Main reason is that they are simple and easy to understand and
apply and it does not take too much time to apply them.
That's systematic market analysis for you. And this is just
determining direction and timing to trade the market.
~ 72 ~
PART 5: HOW TO DOUBLE YOUR CAPITAL
QUICKLY
#2 PILLAR MONEY MANAGEMENT
Having good analysis is just part of the puzzle as I can assure you
that if you have good analysis coupled with bad money
management, you will not do well in trading.
I say this because I personally witnessed it myself in the past. There
are many reasons to this and I will give you one here.
Example, you win a little when you win (as you are too eager to get
out of the market when you win). You lose a lot more when you
lose (as you are willing to wait for it to turn into profit).
In other words, you can be good in your analysis and you can still
be losing consistently to the markets.
Unless you have a solid money management plan. You are almost
certain to double, triple or quadruple your capital with a solid
money management plan coupled with good analysis method.
A very important part of money management is having a good
trading plan (game plan).
~ 73 ~
Thomas Yin
In terms of trading plan, you must have an entry point (entry level),
which is already covered in my market analysis portion earlier just
now.
Apart from having an entry, you need to have your exits. In terms
of exits in my system, I have designed five types of different exits
and the two must-have exits are as follows.
One exit that I must have is my target profit exit. This is where I
exit with profits. Normally, I do not have a single target profit exit.
I use multiple exits so that I can turn my trade into a risk-free trade.
Or you can call it a FREE trade.
Yes, you read it correctly. A FREE trade.
Let me show you how this is possible.
Let me give you an example. Let’s say shares of XYZ is now at $10.
Trader buys 100 shares of XYZ at $10. If XYZ price goes up to $20
and the trader sells 50 shares at $20. This means that the trade will
have made $10. Why $10? It's because he bought it at $10 and he
sold it at $20. So, he has a $10 profit per share. Then his total profit
for the 50 shares that he sold based on the $10 profit per share will
be $500 (50 shares X $10 profit) of profit.
This trade is actually considered a risk-free trade. Because even if
the trader loses his $10 per share investment, overall, he loses
nothing.
~ 74 ~
Trading Secrets
Here’s why. If he lost $10 per share with a balance of 50 shares, it
means his shares goes to $0 per share. That will cost him to lose
$500 (which is 50 shares X $10). But he lost nothing because before
that, he has already got a partial profit-taking of $500 as mentioned
earlier.
So even if the share price goes to $0 from $10, it would not cause
him to lose anything, it means it’s a free trade to him. A risk-free
trade. It also means that this trade would either make more profits
for the trader or breakeven and the trader would not lose anything.
Isn’t it an exciting feeling to know that you can make more profits
while not worrying about going into a loss at all? And if it is, then
the next exit is even more exciting.
Let’s get to it.
~ 75 ~
Thomas Yin
The primary function of a stop loss is, number one, to protect
against big losses, but it can also protect profits. I use stop loss to
minimize my risk, and at the same time, to maximize my profits.
Let me give you another example to help you understand it better.
Based on what I’ve shared with you just now, let’s say shares of
XYZ has gone up to $30. And the trader puts a stop loss to sell at
$20. If price drops back from $30 to $20, the trader will sell XYZ at
$20 due to the stop-loss order placed at $20. If that happens, trader
makes a profit because his buying price is $10 and he sold it at $20.
This time, it is not a stop loss. The stop loss is performing as a
function of a profit protection mechanism, which is a profit of $10
per share (since the trader bought the shares at $10 per share).
Basically, a stop loss, apart from using it mainly for stop loss, it can
also be used for profit protection. In this case, what if XYZ price
goes up to $40 or even $50? The stop loss order can keep on
shifting upwards to protect even more profits.
Another important part of your trading plan is that you must
decide the dollar amount to risk for the trade. In layman terms is
how much you are willing to lose in a trade. Once you decide the
dollar amount to risk for the trade, you will be able to determine
the number of shares or contracts that you can buy.
~ 76 ~
Trading Secrets
Typically, we use 1 to 2% of our capital. If capital is $100,000 and
we use 1% for each trade then we are risking $1000 for each trade.
Once we derive our dollar amount of risk for each trade, we can
proceed to calculate the number of shares to buy.
Let me give you an example. Let's say shares of XYZ is at $1. Entry
price level to buy is at $1. Let’s say stop loss level is at 90 cents
meaning if it drops to 90 cents, we will get out of the trade with 10
cents ($1 - $0.90) per share loss.
And with the dollar amount to risk for the trade as $1,000, we start
to calculate the difference between the entry price level and stop
loss price level so that we know the risk per share that we are going
to take.
A simple calculation of $1 minus 90 cents, which is the entry price
minus the stop loss price, we will know that this is a difference of
10 cents. This just means that we are risking 10 cents per share for
the trade.
If we are risking 10 cents per share, how many shares can we buy?
We proceed to do another simple calculation which is the dollar
amount of risk over the difference between the entry and the stop.
This means we will use $1000 divided by $0.10.
And this will be 10,000 shares. Meaning, if you buy 10,000 shares
at $1 and price reach your stop loss at 90 cents, you will get out
~ 77 ~
Thomas Yin
with the losses of 10 cents per share and you will lose exactly
$1,000, which is what you already expected beforehand.
Now, let me ask you, if you know beforehand how much you are
going to lose, will you feel safer? Will you feel more confident in
your own trade? I bet you would.
Most people don't do this calculation so they do not know how
much risk they are taking when they go into their trade. By the time
they lose in their trade, they suddenly find themselves losing more
than the $1,000, $2,000 or even more than $10,000. And they
grumbled that they weren't prepared to lose that amount of money.
Next you must know is your risk-to-reward ratio. This is a very
important component in my trading plan. Why? Because like what
I shared earlier in the casino model, the risk-to-reward ratio is
actually the odds pay-out in the casino model.
By determining this the right way, it's going to stack an unfair
advantage on your favour. But first, you got to understand what is
risk-to-reward. Like the previous example, if you risk a thousand
dollars, and instead of losing that $1,000, you get $1,000 of profit,
the risk to reward ratio is actually one is to one, or what we call
100% risk to reward. If you risk $1,000, and you don't lose that
~ 78 ~
Trading Secrets
$1,000 yet you make $2,000 in profit, then the risk-to-reward ratio
is 1:2, or 200%.
I'm going to give you the number that we always aim at, for me and
my community of traders. And we are still using it currently and
I’m sure we will keep using it in the future. Let me give it to you
right now.
Always aim to get at least 200% or more, or what we say in
terms of risk to reward ratio, at least one is to two or more.
Let
me show you why this is very important. Let's say you are going to
make 10 trades with a risk of $1,000 per trade. Meaning, in every
losing trade, you are going to lose $1,000. Let's say that in every
winning trade, you maintain a one is two risk-to-reward ratio,
meaning a 200% reward (profit) of your risk amount, which is
$2,000 profit.
And let's say that you have a low accuracy in your trades and you
only have 40% win rate, meaning you only win 4 trades out of 10
trades and loses 6 out of 10 trades.
~ 79 ~
Thomas Yin
Your 4 winning trades (out of 10 trades) will make you $8,000
because you maintained a 200% risk to reward and your 6 losing
trades will cause you to lose $6,000.
Overall, you will still make $2,000 of profit ($8000 profit in 4
trades minus $6000 loss in 6 trades) even though you have a low
accuracy and only have a 40% win rate.
So always maintain a risk to reward of at least one is to two or
200%. It may sound very simple but I can't stress enough how
important this is even though it is simple. Let me just say this. If
you got nothing out of this book so far (which is unlikely), this is
going to help you a lot if you only follow this.
Remember, I mentioned at least, so you can go for 300% or even
400% or more.
Now once I’ve done my analysis, I proceed to do my risk
management mainly doing up my trading plan so I have an overall
view (based on the plan done up) of what to expect after I’m in the
trade.
~ 80 ~
PART 6: HOW TO HAVE AN ELITE TRADER’S
PSYCHOLOGY
#3 PILLAR ELITE TRADER’S PSYCHOLOGY
Sounds simple isn’t it? Then everyone who follows this should be
making massive profits.
On theory it should be the case but not in real life. This is because
not everyone has the right psychology to follow it through to the
end.
Here’s a quote from Tony Robbins, one of the best success coaches
the world has ever seen.
Success in life is 80% psychology and 20% mechanics – what
you do doesn’t matter if you aren’t in the right mindset.
That is why having the right psychology, an elite trader’s
psychology is one of the most important aspect in trading success.
And this brings me to the last pillar of my trading success which is
to have an elite trader psychology. To me, I split “an elite trader
psychology” into 3 sections. They are mindset, emotions and
beliefs.
~ 81 ~
Thomas Yin
The mindset and beliefs section have been covered earlier in this
book (in part 3) when I shared with you the myths and beliefs of
trading. Please go back to read through them again if you need to.
And on the topic of emotion, I noticed that this is one of the main
reasons why people's psychology is poor in their own trading.
And the main thing that affects emotion is stress.
Now let me share this biology theory/lesson which is a fact. When
someone experiences stress, what happens to the person's body is
that it will release a hormone called cortisol, which within minutes
will halve his/her IQ.
When IQ is halved, it will in turn prevent fast and good decisions.
We all know trading requires fast and good decisions. And by not
being able to make fast and good decisions, trading and its results
are affected.
There's a solution to this and that is the feeling of intense gratitude.
Let me explain why this is so.
The feeling of intense gratitude will release hormones in our body
called DHEA. And DHEA has the effect of lowering cortisol levels,
which in turn makes you smarter to make better and faster
decisions. It also improves your mood as well, thereby improving
your performance as a trader, psychologically.
This works not only in trading but in your everyday life as well.
~ 82 ~
Trading Secrets
My aim for sharing this here is not only to help you for your
trading psychology but also to help you with your psychology for
life so that you can make better decisions thereby improving the
quality of your life as well.
~ 83 ~
Thomas Yin
~ 84 ~
PART 7: THE OPPORTUNITY
Everything that I’ve told you probably sounds pretty doable isn’t
it?
Here’s the thing. This very same system I just outlined to you is
what I personally used to trade as a full-time trader putting in part
time hours. I work between 2 to 8 hours Monday through Friday.
And I have never work more than 30 hours in a work week since
2010.
The fact of the matter is trading is an incredibly profitable business
that’s easy to add into your current lifestyle.
The bottom line is if you have some spare cash (to use as trading
capital) and you’re willing to put your money to work then you
have a real good way to generate consistent income from trading.
The financial markets are an ever-green industry and it will be here
forever.
Trillions of dollars change hands in a single day and if all you do is
just grab a very small portion of it then you will be on your way to
creating massive wealth for yourself.
Take charge of your own money and make your money work
harder for you to get better returns for your love ones and for
yourself.
~ 85 ~
Thomas Yin
If you are waiting for opportunity to come your way, then
you are going to be waiting for the rest of your life.
Start taking action, and take advantage of this incredible
opportunity that we are all facing right now to be a part of a
multi-trillion-dollar daily industry.
The money is there for the taking and numbers don’t lie. It’s a
multi-trillion-dollar industry for a reason… this is your time.
To show my appreciation to you for getting this book, I’ve made
one of my paid training (worth $60), free for you to attend.
In your online training session with me, I’ll walk you through
what’s in this book and go much more in depth into the hidden
secrets of trading success.
So if you would like see if this free training is a right fit for you, you
can go check it out at:
https://thomasyin.com/ttw-webinar/
~ 86 ~
Notes
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~ 87 ~
Notes
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~ 88 ~
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~ 89 ~
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~ 90 ~
Notes
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~ 91 ~