Jurnal 4
Jurnal 4
      a11111
                                                       Abstract
Abbreviations: ACR, American College of              severe bowel angina); arthritis/arthralgia; persistent purpura or relapse; WBC > 15 × 109/L;
Rheumatology; ASO, antistreptolysin O; C3,           platelets > 500 × 109/L; elevated ASO; and low C3. Relevant clinical interventions for these
complement component 3; CRP, C-reactive
protein; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate;
                                                     risk factors may exert positive effects on the prevention of kidney disease during the early
EULAR, European League Against Rheumatism;           stages of HSP. However, the results should be interpreted cautiously due to the limitations
HSP, Henoch-Schönlein purpura; HSPN, Henoch-        of the studies.
Schönlein purpura nephritis; OR, odds ratio; WBC,
white blood cell; WMD, weighted mean difference.
                                                     Introduction
                                                     Henoch-Schönlein purpura (HSP) is the most common small vessel vasculitis in childhood,
                                                     with an annual incidence of 10–20 per 100,000. More than 90% of patients are younger than
                                                     10 years old [1]. The clinical features of HSP have been well described and are predominantly
                                                     non-thrombocytopenic purpura, arthritis, abdominal pain, gastrointestinal bleeding, and
                                                     glomerulonephritis. Numerous investigations suggest that HSP is not a self-limited disease as
                                                     previously thought and may eventually develop into chronic kidney disease in childhood [2–
                                                     3]. Long-term prognosis depends mainly on the severity of renal involvement, which may
                                                     manifest as persistent hematuria, proteinuria, nephritic or nephrotic syndrome, or even renal
                                                     failure [4]. To prevent or delay end-stage renal disease, identification of early-stage nephritis is
                                                     crucial.
                                                         The risk factors associated with renal involvement in HSP are not well known although epi-
                                                     demiologic and clinical features and some abnormal laboratory findings have been suggested
                                                     to have a predictive role [5]. In this meta-analysis, we assessed the quality of available evidence
                                                     regarding risk factors that may predict renal involvement in childhood HSP, and present a
                                                     summary of our results.
                                                     Methods
                                                     Literature search strategy
                                                     The databases PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched for papers published from
                                                     January 2000 to September 2016, using basic search terms from combined text and Medical
                                                     Subject Heading (MeSH) terms, including a MeSH search using ‘Purpura, Henoch-Schönlein’
                                                     and a keyword search using the word ‘Henoch-Schönlein purpura’, and terms related to risk
                                                     factors (including a MeSH search using ‘Risk Factors’, and a keyword search using the words
                                                     ‘risk factors’). This search strategy was modified to fit each database. References from pub-
                                                     lished review articles were reviewed to identify additional relevant studies (S1 Text). Cohort
                                                     studies or case-control studies that evaluated the risk factors for developing HSP nephritis
                                                     (HSPN) were included. Titles and abstracts of articles found were screened, and articles of
                                                     interest were also selected for evaluation of the full article.
                                        time should be increased at least up to 6 months. Thrombocytopenia and systemic lupus ery-
                                        thematosus at the onset were excluded.
                                        Statistical analysis
                                        We estimated the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for dichotomous out-
                                        comes. A random-effects model was used regardless of heterogeneity. Heterogeneity among
                                        trials was tested using the I2 test and considered significant at I2 > 50% or P- value < 0.1. The
                                        random effects model was used for the meta-analysis if there was significant heterogeneity.
                                        Subgroup analyses were conducted regarding interval levels in the risk factors (e.g., gender),
                                        quality of evidence, and diagnosed criteria. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the
                                        effect of each study on the pooled ORs. The presence of publication bias was also evaluated
                                        using the Begg’s and Egger’s test [10,11]. All statistical analyses were performed using Stata
                                        12.0 software (Stata Corp, College Station, TX, (USA) [12].
                                        Results
                                        Study selection and characteristics
                                        Initially, 386 potentially relevant studies were considered (Fig 1), but only 13 studies satisfied
                                        the inclusion and exclusion criteria and were included in this meta-analysis (Table 1). These
                                        studies were published between 2000 and 2016, and all of them are case-control studies. Two
                                        were conducted in Turkey, four in China, and one each in Japan, Korea, Spain, Brazil, Finland,
                                        Iran, and Thailand. Studies were performed in 2 major ethnic populations; 8 studies were con-
                                        ducted in Asia (6 East Asian), while 5 studies were conducted with Caucasians. Five studies
                                        used the criteria of the EULAR, and 8 used the criteria of the ACR. The 13 studies comprised
                                        2398 children with HSP; 974 of these children had renal involvement.
                                        Quality of evidence
                                        NOS scale for case-control studies was applied to assess the quality of the evidence. Six studies
                                        were judged to be of high relative quality [13–18] and 7 were of medium quality [19–25]. In
                                        the selected studies, the controls were not community-based except for Jauhola [13] and Mar-
                                        iac [14]. An additional unclear confounder was not controlled within comparability categories,
                                        which may be a possible source of bias. In addition, all of the 7 medium-quality studies may
                                        contain bias due to a relatively short-term follow-up. (Table 2)
  Fig 1. Flowchart of selection process for eligible studies (PRISMA 2009 flow diagram).
  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g001
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.t001
                                                        The control group of each study was selected from the same population as the case group
                                                    and was confirmed without kidney damage after the follow-up period. Controls were selected
                                                    independently by exposure status and without special clinical features. Both groups completed
                                                    the follow-up time and had similar rates of non-response. To ensure an efficient and valid
                                                    study, selection and restrict enrollment for patients was conducted in each study. In addition,
                                                    a stratified analysis (e.g., gender, age, clinical manifestation) and logistic regression for multi-
                                                    variate analysis for confounding factors (except for Limpongsanurak [22] and Nickavar [25])
                                                    were conducted in all selected studies. All the analyzed risk factors were shown to be directly
                                                    linked with renal damage.
Table 2. Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale (case-control) for studies included in this meta-analysis
                                                                                                                     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Was the case definition          a. Yes, with independent validation*; b. yes, e.g., record linkage or based on       ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●                ●    ●     ●
adequate                         self-reports; c. no description
Representativeness of the        a. Consecutive or obviously representative series of cases*; b. potential for        ● ●               ●     ● ●
case                             selection biases or not stated
Selection of controls            a. Community controls*; b. hospital controls; c. no description                           ●                  ●
Definition of controls           a. No history of disease (endpoint*; b. no description of source                     ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●                ●    ●     ●
Comparability                    a. Study controls for_ _ _ _(selecting the most important factor)*; b. study         ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●                ●    ●     ●
                                 controls for any additional factor*
Ascertainment of exposure a. Secure record (e.g., surgical records)*; b. structured interview where blind             ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●                ●    ●     ●
                          to case/control status interview not blinded to case/control status*; d. written
                          self-report or medical record only; e. no description
Ascertainment for cases &        a. Yes* b. No                                                                        ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●                ●    ●     ●
controls
Non-response rate                a. Same rate for both groups*; b. non-respondents described; c. rate different       ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●                ●    ●     ●
                                 and no designation
Score                                                                                                                 7 8 6 7 6 7 6 8 7 6                6    6     6
*Scored points
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.t002
                                                   Results of meta-analysis
                                                   We observed a consistent significant association between 12 risk factors and renal involvement
                                                   in childhood HSP: gender, age, abdominal pain, gastrointestinal bleeding, severe bowel angina,
                                                   persistent or relapse purpura, WBC > 15 × 109/L, platelet count > 500 × 109/L, elevated ASO,
                                                   and decreased complement component 3 (C3; Table 3 and Figs 2–5). In addition, there was no
                                                   association between girls with HSP and HSPN (OR 1.15; 95% CI [0.77–1.71]) where P = 0.12.
                                                   Arthritis/arthralgia may be a risk factor according to the criteria of the ACR in our analysis
                                                   (1.41, 1.01–1.96, Fig 6).
                                                   Publication bias
                                                   Assessment of publication bias using Egger’s and Begg’s tests showed that there was no poten-
                                                   tial publication bias among the included trials (e.g., gender; Egger’s test P = 0.46, Begg’s test,
                                                   P = 0.78; Fig 9).
Fig 2. Forest plots of OR/WMD estimates for the following risk factors: (A) age; (B) gender: (C) older age
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g002
Fig 3. Forest plots of OR estimates for the following risk factors: abdominal pain; gastrointestinal bleeding; severe bowel angina; arthritis or
arthralgia; blood pressure; orchitis; persistent purpura; relapse
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g003
                                             Discussion
                                             The possible risk factors of renal involvement in childhood Henoch-Schönlein purpura have
                                             been reported during past 15 years. Future studies should include a better definition of patients
                                             at risk, and then treatment and clinical trials should be adapted to patients’ risk profiles [26].
                                             The present study attempted to determine comprehensively the effect of a multitude of possi-
                                             ble risk factors of renal involvement in childhood HSP. The risk factors included demographic
                                             features; (age, gender), clinical features; (gastrointestinal tract, skeletal system, skin, testicles,
                                             and blood pressure) and some abnormal laboratory findings (such as elevated ASO, elevated
                                             ESR, elevated CRP, elevated IgA/IgE/IgG and decreased C3).
                                                 A previous meta-analysis was published by Mao et al. [27], which suggested that older age;
                                             elevated blood pressure, C3, hemoglobin, and urea nitrogen; and decreased albumin were risk
                                             factors for renal damage in HSP patients. In detail, the analysis included 8 studies (12 possible
                                             risk factors) and comprised 1222 patients, most of which were experimental studies without
                                             follow-up and focused only on laboratory findings in HSP patients. To acquire adequate and
                                             reliable clinical literature, our meta-analysis adopted a strict search strategy and included 13
                                             studies (additional 1176 patients and 20 possible risk factors) that concern not only abnormal
                                             laboratory findings, but also focus on other vital risk factors (e.g., epidemiological features and
                                             clinical manifestations) in children with HSP. Meanwhile, we further assessed heterogeneity
                                             by performing subgroup or sensitivity analyses of stratified risk factors (e.g., gender), quality
                                             of evidence, and diagnostic criteria of HSP which have a great bearing on the interpretation of
                                             the results. In addition, publication bias and potential confounding factors among the included
                                             trials were well analyzed in our meta-analysis.
                                                 The criteria of the ACR and EULAR were implemented to define HSP. Some studies have
                                             adopted the former, while others have utilized the European; Except for arthritis/ arthralgia
                                             sensitivity analyses have shown no evidence of heterogeneity observed between both. In fact,
                                             all patients with HSP complained of purpura without thrombocytopenia [28]. But while palpa-
                                             ble purpura was found in 100% of the cases according to the ACR criteria, the EULAR criteria
                                             base a diagnosis of HSP on other symptoms [29].
                                                 The majority of patients were diagnosed between the ages of 2 and 10 years. Sano et al. [30]
                                             concluded that age older than 4 years was an independent risk factor for renal involvement,
                                             while according to Jauhola et al. [13] age over 8 years at onset was a risk factor for developing
                                             nephritis. Our present meta-analysis showed that older children were at higher risk of renal
                                             involvement than younger children. Furthermore, the subgroup analysis revealed that children
                                             over 10 years old were more likely to suffer HSPN. Therefore, careful attention should be paid
                                             especially to children older than 10 years at onset (Table 3 and Fig 2).
                                                 Our meta-analysis based on 10 studies showed that boys are at higher risk for renal involve-
                                             ment than girls. This result is similar to a previous epidemiological survey based on 1.1 million
                                             children younger than 17 years in West Midland which reported a boy-to-girl ratio of 1.2:1.0
                                             [31].Male predominance has also been reported in other studies [16, 32, 33]. Male hormones
                                             may have a pathogenic role in the course of HSP [34], but other studies reported that HSPN
                                             was more common in girls [14, 23] (Table 3 and Fig 2).
                                                 Digestive tract symptoms (abdominal pain, gastrointestinal bleeding, and severe bowel
                                             angina) and skeletal system symptoms (arthritis/arthralgia) are the predominant manifesta-
                                             tions in HSP. The meta-analysis based on 4 studies showed that gastrointestinal bleeding also
Fig 4. Forest plots of OR estimates for the following risk factors: ASO; CRP; ESR; leukocytosis; thrombocytosis
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g004
           Fig 5. Forest plots of OR estimates for the following risk factors: IgA; IgE; IgG; C3
           doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g005
                                           increased the risk of renal involvement. Even so, few published articles have recognized gastro-
                                           intestinal bleeding as a risk factor in HSP, and more cohort studies are necessary to identify
                                           whether gastrointestinal bleeding is an independent risk factor of HSPN(Table 3 and Fig 3).
Fig 8. Forest plots of OR estimates for abdominal pain after the deletion of an unstable study.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g008
   Fig 9. Assessment of Publication bias using (A) Egger’s and (B) Begg’s test.
   doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0167346.g009
                                            Our review showed that digestive tract symptoms (abdominal pain, gastrointestinal bleed-
                                        ing, and severe bowel angina) were strongly related to renal involvement. In a retrospective
                                        study of 141 patients with HSP, Zhao et al. [19] showed that abdominal pain was not related to
                                        HSPN. However, 45% of the patients were complicated with obesity and 29.8% of them had a
                                        long disease course. This was a distinctly different epidemiological feature from other studies,
                                        and the possibility of admission bias could explain the heterogeneity (Fig 7). Abdominal pain
                                        and severe bowel angina are both unpleasant when patients suffer gastrointestinal involvement
                                        in HSP. Our analysis suggested that the two levels of gastrointestinal reactions are essentially
                                        equivalent for predicting renal injury in HSP. The mechanism probably is due to early sys-
                                        temic corticosteroid administration for severe abdominal pain, which did not prevent severe
                                        renal involvement [35]. As gastrointestinal symptoms are easily missed in clinical practice,
                                        more attention should be paid to these patients (Table 3 and Fig 3).
                                            The sensitivity analysis showed a completely different result regarding arthritis/arthralgia
                                        between the criteria of the ACR and EULAR and the difference between two criteria may help
                                        to explain. For skeletal system symptoms (arthritis/arthralgia), a relatively independent type of
                                        HSP according to the criteria of the EULAR, patients with arthritis/arthralgia onset were
                                        assigned equally to the HSP or HSPN group. This distribution to compare these groups would
                                        not be possible if the criteria of the ACR were adopted (Table 3 and Fig 3).
                                            Most identified studies showed an important association between abnormal skin manifesta-
                                        tions (persistent purpura or relapse) and HSPN [36]. According to our meta-analysis, the risk
                                        of renal damage in HSP children with persistent purpura is 1.22–13.25-fold that of patients
                                        without persistent purpura, and the incidence of purpura relapse with renal involvement is
                                        2.7-11-fold that of those who had no relapse. The study of Rigante et al. [37] showed that only
                                        persistent purpura for more than one month was a risk of renal involvement in HSPN. The
                                        mechanism probably is due to persistent small vascular inflammation and immune complex
                                        deposition, which triggers a series of inflammatory reactions that may damage kidney tissues
                                        (Table 3 and Fig 3).
                                            Our analysis showed that WBC >15 × 109/L and platelet count >500 × 109/L were highly
                                        correlated with renal involvement in HSP, and a WBC of 10 × 109/L to 15 × 109/L has no statis-
                                        tical link to renal involvement. The mechanism may be a tissue injury induced by inflamma-
                                        tory agents secreted by neutrophils triggered by an inflammation-induced factor [37]. Anti-
                                        neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody was found to predict renal damage induced by HSP [38].
                                        Thrombocytosis may be an early and useful indicator, and early studies have suggested that
                                        reducing the platelet count may be an effective method to avoid renal involvement [39, 40].
                                        However, a systematic review and meta-analysis of 13 randomized controlled trials performed
                                        by Hahn et al. [41] revealed that there is no benefit in giving antiplatelet agents, such as dipyri-
                                        damole and aspirin, to prevent kidney disease. Heparin may be effective but it is potentially
                                        dangerous and should be taken cautiously. Additionally, there are no evidence that prednisone
                                        is of benefit in preventing renal damage in HSP according to Hahn et al. [41] and Chartapisak
                                        et al. [42] (Table 3 and Fig 4).
                                            ASO is an antibody specific to streptolysin, which indicates streptococcal infections. Most
                                        patients also had a history of upper respiratory tract infection [43] and a large proportion was
                                        infected with streptococci. Our analysis suggested that upper respiratory tract infection, espe-
                                        cially streptococcal infection related to high ASO, precedes HSPN [44]. So far, the mechanism
                                        underlying an association between elevated upper respiratory tract infection with streptococ-
                                        cus and kidney damage in HSP is unknown. According to the analysis, elevated ESR and CRP
                                        are not related to HSPN (Table 3 and Fig 4).
                                            From the reviewed literature, some patients with HSPN had low C3 (10%-20%), elevated
                                        IgA (20%-50%), or both [31]. Our analysis also revealed that low C3 is an independent risk
                                        Conclusions
                                        In conclusion, our study highlights the following as factors associated with renal involvement
                                        in pediatric HSP: male gender, age > 10 years, severe gastrointestinal symptoms (including
                                        abdominal pain, gastrointestinal bleeding, and severe bowel angina), arthritis/arthralgia,
                                        persistent purpura or relapse, WBC > 15 × 109/L, platelets > 500 × 109/L, elevated ASO, and
                                        decreased C3. More attention should be paid to those children who have one or more of the
                                        above risk factors, and a sensitive scoring system based on these risk factors at onset may help
                                        predict renal injury in HSP patients. Relevant clinical intervention may exert positive effects
                                        on the prevention of kidney disease in the early stage of HSP. Well-designed and convention-
                                        ally reported studies with a considerable number of children with HSP are necessary to deter-
                                        mine the possible link between these 13 risk factors and HSPN.
                                        Supporting Information
                                        S1 Appendix. PRISMA 2009 Checklist (DOC)
                                        (DOC)
                                        S2 Appendix. Subgroup analysis for quality of evidence: (A) age; (B) male gender; (C) older
                                        age; (D) abdominal pain; (E) gastrointestinal bleeding; (F) severe bowel angina; (G) arthritis/
                                        arthralgia; (H) persistent purpura; (I) relapse; (J) leukocytosis; (K) thrombocytosis; (L) ASO;
                                        (M) C3
                                        (ZIP)
                                        S1 Text. Search strategy for each database
                                        (DOC)
                                        Acknowledgments
                                        We are grateful to Dr. Daoqi Wu and Dr. Shaojun Li for the technical assistance.
                                        Author Contributions
                                        Conceptualization: QL HC.
                                        Data curation: HC.
                                        Formal analysis: HC YLT XHL.
                                        Funding acquisition: QL HPY.
                                        Investigation: YLT XHL.
                                        Methodology: QL HPY HC.
                                        Project administration: QL HC.
                                        Resources: QL HPY MW.
                                        Software: HC GFZ.
                                        Supervision: QL HPY.
                                        Validation: HC YLT.
                                        Visualization: YLT.
                                        Writing – original draft: HC HPY.
                                        Writing – review & editing: HC HPY QL.
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