Nathan J. Secrest Sebastian Von Hausegger Mohamed Rameez Roya Mohayaee Subir Sarkar Jacques Colin
Nathan J. Secrest Sebastian Von Hausegger Mohamed Rameez Roya Mohayaee Subir Sarkar Jacques Colin
                                                                                           Jacques Colin3
                                                                   1 U.S.  Naval Observatory, 3450 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC 20392-5420, USA
arXiv:2009.14826v1 [astro-ph.CO] 30 Sep 2020
                                                                                                         ABSTRACT
                                                         We study the large-scale anisotropy of the Universe by measuring the dipole in the angular distribu-
                                                       tion of a flux-limited, all-sky sample of 1.3 million quasars observed by the Wide-field Infrared Survey
                                                       Explorer (WISE). This sample is derived from the new CatWISE2020 catalog, which contains deep
                                                       photometric measurements at 3.4 and 4.6 µm from the cryogenic, post-cryogenic, and reactivation
                                                       phases of the WISE mission. While the direction of the dipole in the quasar sky is similar to that of
                                                       the cosmic microwave background (CMB), its amplitude is over twice as large, rejecting the canonical,
                                                       exclusively kinematic interpretation of the CMB dipole with a p-value of 10−4 (3.9σ), the highest sig-
                                                       nificance achieved to date in such studies. Our results are in conflict with the cosmological principle,
                                                       a foundational assumption of the concordance ΛCDM model.
      0.8                                                                                  h                        i2
                                                                                                    ~ q · r̂p
                                                                                      X np − n̄ 1 + D
      0.7                                                                                                                      (3)
      0.6
                                                                                                       ~ q · r̂p
                                                                                                n̄ 1 + D
                                                                                       p
      0.4                                                             (r̂p being the unit vector to the pixel) and the sum is
      0.3
                                                                      to be taken over all unmasked pixels (in which n is the
                                                                      average number of sources). Due to significantly higher
      0.2
                                                                      computational expense for the quadratic estimator, we
      0.1                                                             run simulations only with the linear estimator.
      0.0
        0.0   0.5   1.0      1.5       2.0    2.5   3.0   3.5                3.2. Mock data and statistical significance
                                   redshift
                                                                         We generate mock samples of Ninit vectors drawn from
Figure 3. Redshift distribution (normalized as a probability          a statistically isotropic distribution, whose directions are
density function) of the CatWISE AGN sample.
                                                                      subsequently modified by special relativistic aberration
                                                                      according to an observer boosted with velocity β.       ~ Each
the prevalence of type-2 AGNs (Yan et al. 2013), 77% of               sample is then masked with the same mask that was ap-
the unmatched sample have r − W2 > 6. This indicates                  plied to the data (Figure 2). In order to respect the ex-
that the objects in our sample without SDSS spectra are               act distribution of flux values and spectral indices in the
predominantly type-2 systems, an effect of the orienta-               data, we assign to each simulated source a flux density
tion of the AGN with respect to the line of sight, and so             Sν and a spectral index α drawn at random from their
the matched objects may be used to estimate the distri-               empirical distributions before applying the flux density
bution of redshifts for the full sample. We find a mean               cut (Figure 1). The sampled fluxes are now modulated
redshift of 1.2, with 99% having z > 0.1, i.e. the Cat-               depending on source position, velocity β,     ~ and α. Lastly,
WISE AGN sample is not contaminated by low-redshift                   only sources with Sν > Sν,cut are retained, and the num-
AGNs. The redshift distribution of our sample is shown                ber of remaining sources is finally reduced to that of the
in Figure 3.                                                          true sample, N , through random selection.
                                                                         Under the null hypothesis that the measured dipole D      ~l
                          3. METHOD
                                                                      is a consequence of our motion with respect to a frame
                    3.1. Dipole Estimator                             shared by both quasars and the CMB, we generate a
  We determine the dipole of our sample with the 3-                   set of mock skies according to the above recipe. For
dimensional linear estimator:                                         each random choice we record D     ~ sim , and correct for its
                                                                                                           l
                                  N                                   directional bias using Equations A3 and A4. The frac-
                          ~l = 3
                                 X
                          D          r̂i ,                      (2)   tion of mock skies with amplitude |D      ~ l | larger than our
                               N i=1
                                                                      empirical sample, and with angular distance from the
  where r̂i is the unit vector pointing to source i, and              CMB dipole closer than our sample, gives the p-value
N is the sample size. This estimator simply calcu-                    with which the null hypothesis is rejected. Note that
lates the mean resultant length and direction of the                  the effect on our results of the distributions of flux and
N unit vectors and is agnostic with regard to the                     spectral index (Figure 1) is automatically included via
true underlying signal (e.g., Fisher et al. 1987), as op-             the bootstrap approach employed for our simulations.
posed to other estimators (e.g., Blake & Wall 2002;
Bengaly et al. 2019) which explicitly seek a dipolar pat-                                      4. RESULTS
tern. However, if the signal has a dipolar form then                     Our sample of 1,314,428 quasars exhibits a dipole
Equation 2 generally has a bias in both amplitude and                 with amplitude: Dl = 0.0173. Correcting for the di-
direction (Rubart & Schwarz 2013) induced by Poisson                  rectional bias induced by the mask employed, we find
noise and masking. We account for amplitude bias in                   that it points in the direction: (l, b) = (234.◦ 1, 29.◦ 2).
our results as well as in the estimates of their signif-              This is 29.◦ 8 from the direction of the CMB dipole
icance using Monte Carlo methods, correcting for di-                  (l, b = 264.◦ 021, 48.◦253; Planck Collaboration et al.
rectional bias as discussed in Appendix A. We further                 2018). However, when the expected dipole is simu-
confirm our results by employing the quadratic estima-                lated assuming the kinematic interpretation of the CMB
    ~ q which does not suffer from bias and is evaluated
tor D                                                                 dipole, only 4 out of 40,000 such simulations give D ~ sim
                                                                                                                              l
by minimising the quantity (e.g., Bengaly et al. 2019):               with an amplitude larger than the observed value (left
                                                    The Quasar Dipole                                                           5
Figure 4. Left panel: Observed dipole amplitude Dl (solid vertical line) in the CatWISE AGN sample, versus the expectation
assuming the kinematic interpretation of the CMB dipole; the distribution of Dlsim from the simulations (Section 3.2) is shown
along with its median value (dashed vertical line). Right panel: Dipole direction of the CatWISE AGN sample in Galactic
                                                      ~ l (circle) and the unbiased quadratic estimator D
coordinates using the bias-corrected linear estimator D                                                 ~ q (triangle); the shaded
area indicates the model-dependent 95% confidence level simulated using the velocity from the quadratic estimator.
panel, Figure 4) and within 29.◦ 8 of the CMB dipole di-            son to suspect that the dipole we measure in the Cat-
rection as for our sample. We can therefore reject the              WISE AGN catalog is an artifact of the survey.
null hypothesis with a p-value of 10−4 corresponding to                After Ellis & Baldwin (1984) proposed this important
a significance of 3.9σ.                                             observational test of the cosmological principle, agree-
  If we assume that the anomalous quasar dipole is still            ment was initially claimed between the dipole anisotropy
of kinematic origin, albeit with a velocity different from          of the CMB and that of radio sources (Blake & Wall
that inferred from the CMB, we can estimate its di-                 2002). If the rest frame of distant AGNs is indeed that
rectional uncertainty. To avoid bias, we first compute              of the CMB, it would support the consensus that there
the dipole with the quadratic estimator Dq , which gives            exists a cosmological standard of rest, related to quanti-
Dq = 0.01629 towards (l, b) = (234.◦ 0, 27.◦ 4). The corre-         ties measured in our heliocentric frame via a local special
sponding velocity from Equation 1, with (median) α =                relativistic boost. This underpins modern cosmology:
1.17 and index x = 1.7 at the flux density cut, is                  for example, the observed redshifts of Type Ia super-
v = 861 km s−1 . A set of 15,000 simulations with this              novae are routinely transformed to the “CMB frame”.
input velocity is then performed to find the directional            From this it is deduced that the Hubble expansion rate
uncertainty. The right panel of Figure 4 shows this as a            is accelerating (isotropically), indicating dominance of a
patch around the (consistent) dipole direction obtained             cosmological constant, and this has led to today’s con-
with both estimators.                                               cordance ΛCDM model. If the purely kinematic inter-
                                                                    pretation of the CMB dipole that underpins the above
                                                                    procedure is in fact suspect, then so are the important
                     5. DISCUSSION
                                                                    conclusions that follow from adopting it. In fact, as
  The CatWISE AGN sample exhibits an anomalous                      observed in our heliocentric frame, the inferred acceler-
dipole, oriented similarly to the CMB dipole but over               ation is essentially a dipole aligned approximately with
twice as large. Whereas a “clustering dipole” is ex-                the local bulk flow of galaxies and towards the CMB
pected from correlations in the spatial distribution of             dipole (Colin et al. 2019), so cannot be due to a cosmo-
the sources, this can be estimated knowing their auto-              logical constant.
correlation function (or power spectrum) and distribu-                 If it is established that the distribution of distant mat-
tion in redshift (see Appendix B). It is smaller by a fac-          ter in the large-scale universe does not share the same
tor of ∼ 60 than the dipole we observe in these higher              reference frame as the CMB, then it will become im-
redshift quasars.                                                   perative to ask whether the differential expansion of
  The unique statistical power of our study has allowed             space produced by nearby nonlinear structures of voids
us to confirm the anomalously large matter dipole sug-              and walls and filaments can indeed be reduced to just
gested in previous work, which used objects selected at             a local boost (Wiltshire et al. 2013). Alternatively the
a different wavelength (radio), using surveys completely            CMB dipole may need to be interpreted in terms of new
independent of WISE, viz. NVSS, WENNS, SUMMS,                       physics, e.g. as a remnant of the pre-inflationary uni-
and TGSS. The ecliptic scanning pattern of WISE has                 verse (Turner 1991). Gunn (1988) had noted that this
no relationship with the CMB dipole, so there is no rea-
6                                                    Secrest et al.
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8                                                           Secrest et al.
APPENDIX
                                            ~ l i = 3N
                                                       Z              
                                           hD            dΩ 1 + r̂ · d~ · r̂ ∝ d,
                                                                               ~                            (A1)
                                                    4π
   where the angular brackets denote the expectation value of the estimator given a dipolar probability distribution,
and d~ is the direction of the dipole. The amplitude bias stems from Poisson noise, always present in a sample of finite
size N . However, removing sources by masking alters the integral’s bounds and generally induces directional bias as
well. While the directional offset then caused by the first term in Equation A1 (the monopole) is alleviated by choosing
a mask that is symmetrical with respect to the observer, the contribution by the second term (the dipole) is not. This
effect was later worked out analytically for simple mask shapes by Rubart (2015), whose results we reproduce here for
reference.
   The most prominent mask that we apply to our sample is the removal of the Galactic plane along lines of constant
latitude, b. Considering only this, the estimated direction is
                                           "Z                                                                  #
                                  Z 2π         π                             Z π/2+b
                  ~ igal.mask = N                         
                                                                    ~
                                                                                             
                                                                                                        ~
                                                                                                          
                hR                      dφ       dθ sin(θ) 1 + r̂ · d · r̂ −         dθ sin(θ) 1 + r̂ · d · r̂     (A2)
                                4π 0         0                                π/2−b
                                                                      1 − sin3 (b)
                                                   B(b) =        1                                                    (A4)
                                                            1−   8   (9 sin(b) + sin(3b))
   Note that the directional bias depends neither on the sample size N or dipole amplitude d, nor on the true dipole
                                                                                                                   ~ as the
direction. It may also be of interest that the bias (Equation A4) is solely due to the dipolar contribution ∝ r̂ · d,
mask is chosen to be symmetric with respect to the observer. The true, unbiased dipole direction is therefore found
closer to the Galactic plane than is indicated by the uncorrected estimator, Equation 2.
   The masks applied in this work carry small features in addition to the cut on Galactic latitude. It is not straight-
forward to analytically compute the bias arising from arbitrary mask shapes. However, by analysing simulations we
find the directional bias caused by these additional features to be negligible (< 1◦ ). For the results shown in Figure 4
we therefore show the dipole direction as corrected by Eqs. A3 and A4.
Here b is the linear bias of the observed objects with respect to the dark matter and the filter function fl (k) is
                                                        Z ∞
                                               fl (k) =     jl (kr)f (r)dr,                                         (B7)
                                                         0
where jl is the spherical Bessel function of order l and f (r) is the probability distribution for the comoving distance r
to a random object in the survey, given by
                                                              H(z) dN
                                                    f (r) =            ,                                             (B8)
                                                              H0 r0 dz
                       R∞
normalised such that 0 f (r)dr = 1 and dN/dz is the redshift distribution of the observed objects. Employing
r0 = c/H0 = 3000h−1 Mpc, Planck 2015 cosmological parameters from Astropy, P (k) at z = 0 using camb (Lewis et al.
2000), and a cubic-spline fit to the redshift distributions shown in Figure 3 to determine dN/dz, we estimate Dcls to
be 0.00027 (taking b = 1) for the CatWISE AGN selection. Removing the 2MASS XSC sources reduces the clustering
dipole further to 0.00021, i.e. it is quite negligible compared to the observed quasar dipole.