September 2010
CORPORATE FINANCE                                                                                        www.bdoindia.co.in
REAL ESTATE
AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE
With India’s recovery well underway, its
commercial real estate market is beginning
to stabilize.
                                                 DID YOU KNOW...?
                                                  FACTS                                       STATISTICS
Indeed most cities in India have already
                                             REAL ESTATE SECTOR   •   Real estate sector is 2nd only to agriculture in terms of employment
witnessed an uptick in the volume of
                                                                      generation and contributes heavily to Gross Domestic Product
transactions in commercial and residential                            (GDP) of the country
space.
                                                                  •   Within a short span of time it has evolved from highly fragmented
                                                                      and unorganised market into a semi-organised market with a large
The real estate industry can be segmented                             number of listed companies
into the following classes:
                                             GROWTH PROSPECTS     •   Expected to reach a size of USD 180 bn by 2020 (DIPP)
   Housing                                                        •   Market analysis pegs returns from real estate sector in India at an
   Commercial                                                         average rate of 14% annually
   Retail                                                         •   The lease rentals have been picking up steadily
   Hospitality                                                    •   Residential space is growing at an average rate of 34%
   SEZ/FTZs                                                       •   Commercial space is growing at an average rate of 10- 15% per year
                                             CONTRIBUTION         •   Current contribution of real estate sector to India’s GDP is about 5%
                                             FDI INFLOWS          •   One of the highest FDI attracting sector in India
                                                                  •   FDI Inflows in 2008-09 were USD 2.80 billion as per Department of
                                                                      Industrial Policy & Promotion (DIPP)
                                             OUTLOOK              •   Affordable housing expected to be the key factor in driving the real
                                                                      estate sector growth (Source: Confederation of Real Estate
                                                                      Developers Associations of India)
                                                                REAL ESTATE – AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE NEWSLETTER              2
RECENT AMENDMENTS AFFECTING                         •   Honourable Bombay High Court has granted an interim stay in the case of Maharashtra
REAL ESTATE                                             Chamber of Housing Industry (MCHI) vs. Union of India against recovery of service tax on
                                                        real estate. The constitutional validity of the levy of service tax is subjudice. Courts in
SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONES (SEZs)                           other states have stayed recovery till the matter is decided by Bombay High Court
Income Tax Act Provision (Current                   CERTAIN REGULATORY ASPECTS
Provision)
                                                    Round Tripping
•   Units in SEZs get 100% income tax
    exemption on export income for the first        Round tripping is usually referred to routing of domestic investments through tax haven and
    five years and 50% for the next five years.     taking advantage of the Double Tax Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) i.e. paying lower taxes
    They also get exemption on 50% of the           on profits.
    ploughed back export profit for the next        Example:
    five years after the first 10 years. They are
    exempted from MAT payment as well               •   An Indian company can invest up to 400% of its net worth in a JV/ WOS abroad
•   Developers – 100% tax exemption for 10          •   An investment by JV/WOS in Indian realty stocks listed abroad would lead to round
    years in a block of 15 years                        tripping since the money would come back to India. This is prohibited by regulatory
                                                        authorities in India
Direct Tax Code (DTC) (Proposed
Provision)                                          Real Estate Mutual Funds (REMFs):
•   Units in SEZs that commence                     In May 2008, SEBI allowed mutual funds to launch real estate mutual fund schemes to allow
    commercial operations by March 31,              retail investors to participate in the booming realty market. Fluctuating market prices in real
    2014, shall be allowed profit-linked            estate sector in last two years have seen very few REMFs being launched.
    deductions permitted under the Income           Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs):
    Tax Act, 1961. Thereafter exemption
    would be linked to investment                   REITs are investment pools formed to invest in real estate assets. Globally, REIT is a popular
                                                    route to invest in realty sector. SEBI has been slow in announcing the REIT guidelines whose
•   It is proposed that MAT would also be           draft was released in December 2007. Some recent reports suggest that REITs may take some
    applicable to such units. However, the          more time to take off in India.
    MAT credit would be allowed to be
    carried forward for 15 years                    TRENDS IN REAL ESTATE
•   Developers would continue to get profit         FDI IN HOUSING AND REAL ESTATE:
    linked incentives if SEZ is notified prior
    to March 2012. Thereafter, investment
    linked incentive as contemplated under
    DTC 2009 will be allowed
Impact
•   It could be interpreted that since the
    incentive provided to developers has
    been linked to investments, there could
    be a spurt in lease rentals to pass on the
    tax benefit forgone. This would not have
    any impact on valuation
•   If the developer does not increase the
    rentals, the outgo on account of tax
    would be borne by developers. This
    would reduce the valuation of the
    project considering the projected
    profitability
Service Tax
                                                    •   The highest FDI inflows during the period beginning from April 2000 to May 2010, has
•   Finance Bill 2010 introduced service tax            been from Mauritius (42%)
    on sales of under-construction property
    from July 1, 2010. It increased                 •   Total FDI inflow, in housing and real estate, during the period beginning from April 2005
    abatement on construction from 67% to               to May 2010 is $ 8,492 mn
    75% if gross value of commercial or
                                                    •   FDI in real estate as a percentage of total FDI investments has increased from 0.7% in
    residential complex includes cost of
                                                        2005-06 to 11% in 2009-10. For 2010-11 (till May 2010) it stands at 7.4%.
    land. This reduces the effective tax rate
    to approx. 2.575% (10.3% * 25%) of
    gross value
                                                 REAL ESTATE – AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE NEWSLETTER              3
INDICES MULTIPLES SINCE 2008
Book Value Multiple
                                                    It could be inferred from the table to the left that the realty index book value
                                                    multiple is 73% down from its peak in 2008. Whereas BSE Sensex book value
                                                    multiple is down by 13%
PERFORMANCE OF BENCHMARK
INDICES SINCE 2008.
•   It can be observed from the graph to the
    right that Nifty is 14% lower than its all
    time high in 2008. As against this, the
    Realty Index is 77% lower from
    its peak
INDEX RETURN VIS-À-VIS REALTY INDEX
RETURN FROM JAN. 2007
•   It can be observed from the graph to the
    right that since inception of Realty Index
    on 29 Dec 2006, the Nifty has given a
    positive return of 36% while Realty
    Index has given a negative return of 57%
                                                                               REAL ESTATE – AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE NEWSLETTER                                       4
VALUATION MULTIPLES:                                                                                                                                         Average Price
                                                                                                                      Company Name
THE TABLE ALONG SIDE LISTS THE MULTIPLES OF REALTY COMPANIES:                                                                                         Sales EBITDA              P/E
                                                                                                               D L F Ltd.                               16.56       27.69       68.98
•    It can be observed from the table that DLF tops the realty pack in terms of Sales
                                                                                                               Unitech Ltd.                               9.42      19.63       38.47
     Multiple, EBITDA Multiple & PE Multiple.
                                                                                                               Housing Dev & Infra Ltd.                   6.16      12.02       16.51
•    The high valuation of DLF seems to be influenced by the worth of its land bank. Also,                     Sobha Developers Ltd.                      3.04      13.12       24.85
     DLF is the one of the few companies to have a pan India footprint in terms of projects
                                                                                                               Parsvnath Developers Ltd.                  3.28       9.96       20.02
     and is more diversified in terms of various segments in real estate development
                                                                                                               Orbit Corporation Ltd.                     1.49       4.57         7.68
•    Peninsula Land is trading at lower multiples. This may be attributed to the lower                         Ackruti City                               7.49      10.55        21.36
     visibility of the future projects and also that the company is more focused in Mumbai                     India Bulls Real Estate                  53.13       86.86      315.85
     region. Another factor impacting the valuation of Peninsula is that it is more focused
                                                                                                               Peninsula Land Ltd.                        2.58       5.87         6.81
     on commercial projects
                                                                                                               Mean                                      11.46      21.14        57.84
                                                                                                               Median                                     6.16      12.02       21.36
                                                                                                               * Based on financials for FY 2009-10 and average share price of July - Aug.
EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES IN REAL ESTATE SECTOR
There is a gradual shift of real estate developers from the traditional development in residential and commercial space to areas like logistics,
warehousing, hospitals, schools and affordable housing. This shift is mainly due to limited players in the segment and also on account of the
rising demand for development in these segments.
     Logistics and Warehousing                      Healthcare Infrastructure                  Education Infrastructure                            Low-cost Housing
•    Booming trade both international          •     Health care industry is estimated   •   Growing interest of leading global            •    Growing demand for housing
     and domestic                                    to grow over a CAGR of 12% over         educational institutions in setting up             among nuclear families
                                                     the next 5 years.                       institutions in India
•    MNCs around the globe are                                                                                                             •    Easy access to various avenues
     establishing operations in India          •     The industry size was USD 38.8      •   Growing working class population                   of finance
                                                     billion in the year 2008                with an increased demand in higher
•    Food processing sector, large                                                           studies                                       •    Shift in attitudes from rented
     infrastructure and engineering            •     Moreover, Health care BPO is a                                                             to owned house concept
     projects require logistics facilities           growing segment                     •   Need for development of world class
                                                                                             educational infrastructure                    •    Housing shortage expected as
•    Large warehouses occupy space.            •     Medical tourism growth is driven                                                           a result of migration of
     The right kind of logistics is                  by low cost and high quality        •   Huge market with untapped potential                working population from rural
     re q u i re d t o o v e rc o m e t h e          services                                                                                   areas to urban areas
     shortage of space in towns
DRIVERS IN REAL ESTATE FOR INVESTMENT & VALUATION
                                         •    Supply/Demand
    Raw Land                             •    Planning & zoning
                                         •    Population Growth
    Apartments/Residential               •    Income Growth
    Commercial Premises                  •    Local Economic Expansion
    /Office Building                     •    Tenant Mix
                                         •    Commercial/Industrial Activity
    Warehouses                           •    Favourable Status
                                         •    Tenant Mix
                                         •    Population and Income
                                         •    Adequate Parking
    Shopping Malls/Retail                •    Suitable Tenant Mix
                                         •    Lease Term
                                         •    Demand by Business and tourist
    Hotels/Motels                        •    Facility and Service Mix
                                                                   REAL ESTATE – AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE NEWSLETTER                                 5
VALUATION APPROACH
Valuation of Real Estate companies is unique in comparison to other sectors. In case of most sectors, the EBITDA multiple and revenue
multiple etc. are the key indicators used for deriving the fair value of the company under the Comparable Companies Multiple Method.
There are other approaches like Net Asset Value Method, Discounted Cash Flow Method, and Profit Earning Capacity Method for
deriving the fair value.
However in Real Estate, the valuations have been based on the projected profitability of the projects in development and also on the
land bank value.
DUE DILIGENCE ASPECTS
                             KEY FOCUS AREA DURING DUE DILIGENCE OF REAL ESTATE DEVELOPER
           Areas
  Land Bank and Asset         •   The total land bank of the developer and the valuation thereof
  assessment                  •   The Clear title of the land in the name of the developer and supporting documents i.e. lease agreement, purchase agreements,
                                  copy of property card etc.
                              •   Status of the land assets in terms of agricultural/non-agricultural land, ready to developed plots, reserved/unreserved plots etc.
                              •   Any revaluation of assets made in the past and its impact on the financials
                              •   Mortgage or pledge of land creating a right over the land
  Work in Process             •   The number of projects under construction and the estimated date of completion, reasons, if any, for delay in development,
                                  increase in any liability due to delay, status of the project and any contingencies on its completion
                              •   Revenue recognition in case of bookings made and any onus of interest or penalties payable due to delay of possession
                              •   Liability in terms of increased committed costs
                              •   Litigation pending against the property making the project dead
  Agreements and              •   In case of projects which are developed by the entity but the land owned by other party, the agreements for terms and conditions
  Important Documents             with respect to development rights and revenue sharing or any other elements
                              •   Status of Long-term Lease contracts and any onus on its expiry and the terms of renewal of same
                              •   Long-term construction contracts entered into by the entity with the contractors/contractees and commitments thereof
                              •   Title Certificate/Title card, Power of Attorney
                              •   Alternatively Land Purchase Agreement and Non-Agricultural (NA) land permission
                              •   Change of Land Use Permission, Environment Clearance, Pollution control board Clearance
                              •   Fire, Water, Electricity NOC, Commencement Certificate
                              •   The land is not in the area of high attention line
                              •   Permissions and Certificate from Airport Authorities of India or Railway Authorities
                              •   Land Allotment terms and issues as laid by conditions of the respective statutory body or the government
  Loans                       •   Status of Loans availed against specific projects along with its repayment terms If the loans are repayable within short term the
                                  entity may face cash flow crisis due to non-completion of the project or slow moving/non-moving properties
                              •   Rates of interest on the loans
                              •   Any confiscation of pledged property due to non-repayment of loans in the past
  Capital Structure           •   The capital structure of the entity in terms of over dependence on debt for financing the projects leading to high interest costs
                              •   In case of overdependence on equity, whether the entity has failed to raised finance from other sources and the reasons thereof
  Financial Impacts           •   The impact of defaults in the receipt of instalments on the cash flow of the entities
                              •   The piling of non-moving inventories thus affecting recovery price and the cash flow
                              •   Fixed commitments of the municipal taxation payable at a regular interval
                              •   The change in valuations of the property due to litigations or otherwise affecting the net worth of the entity
                              •   Any contingent liabilities against litigations and their probability of materialisation
                              •   Financial impact due to non -adherence of various regulatory provisions
                              •   Debt service coverage ratio/interest coverage ratio/ROCE of the entity
  Important points            •   Financials of the SPV Company
                              •   Revenue recognition policy
                              •   Accounting of costs incurred till date, escalations and cost to complete
                              •   Land Documents Verification and Statutory Compliances
                              •   Verification of payment of Direct and Indirect Taxes
                              •   Verification of the acquisition cost of Land and amount recorded in Books
                                                                               REAL ESTATE – AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE NEWSLETTER                                  6
RECENT REPORTED TRANSACTIONS IN 2010:
       Acquirer                             Target                      Deal Value & Stake %                                            Remarks
 HDFC Venture Funds                    Lodha Developers                       USD 107 million               Lodha Developers has sold 10% stake in one of its project to HDFC
                                                                                                            Venture Funds for Rs. 500 Crs. The project is undertaken to develop a
                                                                                                            117-storey residential tower in Mumbai. The sale value of project is
                                                                                                            estimated at Rs. 5,000 Crs.
 IL&FS Milestone Fund                  HCC                                    USD 127.77 million            This is the largest investment by a real estate investment trust
                                                                              74% stake                     (REIT) fund in India
 Xander Real Estate                    Panchshil Realty                       USD 110 million               The Xander Group has invested Rs 520 Crs in the hospitality division
 Partners                                                                                                   of Pune-based Panchshil Realty, which is developing seven hotels in
                                                                                                            the country under the Marriott brand
 DLF                                   DLF Assets                             USD 696 million               One of DLF’s units has bought 245 million CCPS in a group company,
                                                                                                            DLF Assets, from private equity firm SC Asia Pte Ltd. After the deal,
                                                                                                            the DLF’s unit's stake in DLF Assets has risen to 91.9 per cent,
                                                                                                            while SC Asia through its investment arm would continue to hold a
                                                                                                            4.59% stake
 Puravankara                           Homex, subsidiary of                   Joint Venture                 The Joint Venture proposes to develop 200,000 affordable houses
                                       Homex, Mexico                                                        over the next five years in the price range of Rs. 8 – 12 lakhs in
                                                                                                            Bangalore, Chennai, Kochi and Pune.
 ICICI Bank                            Lavasa Corporation Ltd.,               USD 53.19 million             Lavasa Corporation, which is developing a hill township near Pune,
                                       subsidiary of Hindustan                                              has raised Rs. 250 Crs from ICICI Bank Ltd. through quasi-equity
                                       Construction Company                                                 instruments
OUR RECENT ENGAGEMENTS
 CORPORATE ADVISORY SERVICES
      REAL ESTATE                                                 POWER                                MUTUAL FUNDS
  • Undertaken Merger of the group                  • Undertaken Merger of Real Ispat           • Formation of Mutual Fund for IDBI
    companies of Hiranandani                          Limited and its group company
 MERGER VALUATION
               BANKING                               MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT                                    FMCG                                      OTHERS
  • Merger of Bank of Rajasthan with                • Merger of AIMs listed company             • Merger of Fem Care Ltd. with             • Merger of Quippo Infrastructure
    ICICI Bank                                        with its parent company UTV                 Dabur India Limited                        Equipment Limited with SREI
  • Merger of State Bank of Indore                    Software Communications                                                                Infrastructure Limited
    with State Bank of India                          Limited
                                                    • Merger of US Subsidiary with the
                                                      listed Parent in India Crest
                                                      Animation Studios Limited
 BRAND VALUATION
         PHARMA                                               IT SOFTWARE                            MANUFACTURING                         MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT
  • Brand Valuation of I-Pill brand                 • Valuation of intellectual property        • Valuation of brands and related          • Brand Valuation of Star Vijay
    acquired by Piramal Healthcare                    rights of Tally transferred to Tally        intangibles of Malibu Plastica Pvt.        brand for the purpose of transfer
    from Cipla                                        Solutions Pvt. Ltd.                         Ltd. transferred to a Joint Venture        of brand
                                                                                                  between Bayer Material Science
                                                                                                  and Malibu Plastica & Malibu-Tech
 DUE DILIGENCE
        REAL ESTATE                                           HOSPITALITY                               ENGINEERING
  • D u e D i l i g e n c e o f V i k h ro l i      • DD of Asian Hotels Ltd. (West)            • DD of Bharat Wire Ropes Limited
    Corporate Park of HCC for                         and Aria Hotels & Consultancy               for acquisition by Gaja Mercantile
    investment by Milestone Capital                   Services Ltd. for investment by             (Deal Value Rs 200 Cr)
    Advisors (Deal value Rs. 775 Crs)                 IL &FS (Deal Value Rs 80 Cr)
 M & A / PRIVATE EQUITY
                 METALS                                     ENGINEERING
  • Sole advisors to Delta Magnets                  • Sole advisors to the Directors of
    Ltd in its acquisition of MMG                     Dynatech Furnaces (Bombay) Pvt.
    Magdev Ltd. (UK). and MMG India                   Ltd. for sale of shares to a German
    Pvt. Ltd.                                         Company
                                                                                   REAL ESTATE – AN UPDATE FROM BDO INDIA CORPORATE FINANCE NEWSLETTER                                            7
BDO CORPORATE FINANCE PRACTICE
                                                                                                                                          CONTACT:
BDO’s Corporate Finance team offers the hands-on experience and skills to address your
business needs. In addition to the valuation of Real Estate, we have the ability to support any                                           LATA MORE
valuation requiring expertise in machinery and equipment for a variety of applications                                                    Director – Valuations & Corporate
including:                                                                                                                                Restructuring
                                                                                                                                          lata.more@bdoindia.co.in
•   Mergers and Acquisitions
•   Purchase Price Allocations
•   IFRS Valuation                                                                                                                        RAJENDRA CHITALE
•   Intangibles Valuation                                                                                                                 Director – Due Diligence
•   Arbitration Valuation                                                                                                                 rajendra.chitale@bdoindia.co.in
•   Portfolio Reviews and Valuation
•   Impairment testing
•   Restructuring Advisory                                                                                                                KIRTI SHAH
•   Due Diligence Services                                                                                                                National Head – Corporate Finance
                                                                                                                                          Advisory
•   Private Equity Placement
                                                                                                                                          kirti.shah@bdoindia.co.in
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