BLOCK FIELD WORK REPORT
Concurrent field work topic : vivid 19 Vaccination
Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of
Master in Social Work
(2019-2021)
Submitted by
Sonam Kumari
(Roll No.:19421SOW053)
Under the guidance of
Prof.A.N.SINGH
Professor ,Department Of Sociology,
FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCE,BANARAS HINDU UNIVERSITY,
VARANASI,UTTAR PRADESH.
DECLARATION
I, Mr. Sonam Kumari, the fourth semester students, who were done my
fourth semester, block field work at Aangan Trust charitable organisatin
work on Child Protection,Swapnil apartment, near kamakhya public
school, saraang chauraha (pandeypur-pachkosshi road),Varanasi,Uttar
Pradesh from 15th sep to 10th oct 2021.
I hereby declare that all information and details mentioned in the report
are true and correct in the best of my knowledge.
Place: Department of Sociology,BHU.
Date: 21st October 2021.
Yours Sincerely
Sonam Kumari
Roll no.:19421SOW053.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
‘’Gratitude can never be expressed in words, but this is only the
deep perception which makes the words to flow from one’s inner
heart.’’
With great pleasure, I take this opportunity to acknowledge those who
helped and supported me during this fieldwork. First I thank ‘God the
Almighty’ for the abundant blessings showered upon me. I wish to
express my deep sense of gratitude to our supervisor Mr. A.N. Singh,
Professor of Sociology department, BHU, whose concern guidance and
valuable advice helped me to complete this work.
I am thankful to those who helped me directly and indirectly to
complete this fieldwork and to make it a success’.
Abstract
Enhancing vaccine uptake is a critical public health challenge1. Overcoming
vaccine hesitancy2,3 and failure to follow through on vaccination
intentions3 requires effective communication strategies3,4. Here we present two
sequential randomized controlled trials to test the effect of behavioural
interventions on the uptake of COVID-19 vaccines. We designed text-based
reminders that make vaccination salient and easy, and delivered them to
participants drawn from a healthcare system one day (first randomized controlled
trial) (n = 93,354 participants; clinicaltrials number NCT04800965) and eight days
(second randomized controlled trial) (n = 67,092 individuals; clinicaltrials number
NCT04801524) after they received a notification of vaccine eligibility. The first
reminder boosted appointment and vaccination rates within the healthcare system
by 6.07 (84%) and 3.57 (26%) percentage points, respectively; the second
reminder increased those outcomes by 1.65 and 1.06 percentage points,
respectively. The first reminder had a greater effect when it was designed to make
participants feel ownership of the vaccine dose. However, we found no evidence
that combining the first reminder with a video-based information intervention
designed to address vaccine hesitancy heightened its effect. We performed online
studies (n = 3,181 participants) to examine vaccination intentions, which revealed
patterns that diverged from those of the first randomized controlled trial; this
underscores the importance of pilot-testing interventions in the field. Our findings
inform the design of behavioural nudges for promoting health decisions5, and
highlight the value of making vaccination easy and inducing feelings of ownership
over vaccines.
Main
Vaccines have been crucial for eradicating or controlling several deadly infectious
diseases1. However, mobilizing people to get vaccines remains a challenge. Low
or delayed vaccination uptake continues to threaten global health, and can lead to
outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases6. Developing evidence-based
communication strategies to enhance voluntary vaccine uptake is therefore
critical4. Previous work suggests two major approaches to increasing
vaccinations3. The first aims to boost vaccine uptake intentions among those who
are uncertain about vaccination. Given that changing intentions is insufficient7, the
second approach involves helping people to follow through on their vaccination
intentions and overcome sources of friction, such as forgetfulness8, hassle
costs9 and procrastination10,11.
These approaches could help to increase vaccination rates in the context of the
current COVID-19 pandemic12, which has had unprecedented costs13. Despite the
growing availability of COVID-19 vaccines, 30% of US adults were still either
unwilling or uncertain about getting the COVID-19 vaccine in late June 2021, and
the hesitancy rate was similarly high in several other countries that had vaccines
available14. Barriers to action may further lower vaccination rates among those
who intend to get inoculated.
Nudges, defined as interventions that alter ‘people’s behavior in a predictable way
without forbidding any options or significantly changing economic incentives’15,
could improve the uptake of COVID-19 vaccines16. Low-cost behavioural
interventions such as these have been effectively applied to other health-related
decisions5, such as healthy eating17, exercising18 and influenza
vaccinations19,20,21. To maximize vaccine uptake, it is critical to understand how
to best design behavioural interventions to boost intentions to get vaccinated,
remove barriers to following through on good intentions or both3.
Here we report data from two sequential large-scale randomized controlled trials
(RCTs) that investigate whether nudging people to get vaccinated, using reminders
that are carefully designed to reduce barriers to following through, can improve the
uptake of COVID-19 vaccines. Reminders are a popular nudge22 and have proven
effective across policy-relevant domains8,20,23,24. We further examine the
benefits of combining our reminders with additional interventions, including (1)
behaviourally informed messaging designed to amplify individuals’ desire to get
vaccinated and (2) a traditional information-provision intervention aimed at
correcting the misconceptions that drive vaccine hesitancy25,26. Testing the effects
of interventions on actual uptake of COVID-19 vaccines extends previous work
that has studied hypothetical interventions27,28.
Promoting vaccine uptake
We conducted two preregistered RCTs at University of California, Los Angeles
(UCLA) Health (‘Data availability’ in Methods). Participants in these RCTs were
drawn from the UCLA Health primary and speciality care attributed patient
list. Starting from 29 January 2021, once patients became eligible for the COVID-
19 vaccine, UCLA Health sent them an initial invitation to schedule their
vaccination appointment. On the first weekday after the initial invitation (hereafter,
the ‘first reminder date’), we enrolled eligible patients (hereafter, ‘participants’) in
the first RCT. On the first weekday after the eighth day following the initial
invitation (hereafter, the ‘second reminder date’), we enrolled participants eligible
for the second RCT into it. The timeline and eligibility criteria are provided in
‘Enrolment and eligibility for RCTs’ in Methods; Fig. 1 shows the
timeline, eligibility and randomization of the two RCTs.
Fig. 1: Timeline, assessment for eligibility and randomization of two
sequential RCTs.
Timeline, eligibility for enrolment, the total number of participants excluded from
the analysis, the total number of participants included in the analysis, and the
number of participants who were randomized into each condition and included in
the analysis are displayed here for the first and second RCTs. t is the date on which
participants received the initial invitation to take up a COVID-19 vaccine from
UCLA Health. The first reminder date fell on the first weekday after the initial
invitation was sent, and the second reminder date fell on the first weekday after the
eighth day following the initial invitation. Exceptions were that participants who
received the initial invitation during 19–29 January 2021 were enrolled in the first
RCT on 1 February 2021 and the second RCT on 9 February 2021, owing to the
delay in setting up the infrastructure needed to run the RCTs. In the first RCT,
38,983 participants were sequentially excluded from the analysis, including (1)
33,533 individuals who obtained the first dose before the first reminder date
according to the vaccination records UCLA Health could access on 25 May 2021;
(2) 5,392 individuals who made the first-dose appointment at UCLA Health before
15:00 h on the first reminder date; and (3) 58 individuals who were under 18 years
old. In the second RCT, 35,583 participants were sequentially excluded from the
analysis, including (1) 35,127 individuals who obtained the first dose before the
second reminder date according to the vaccination records UCLA Health could
access on 25 May 2021; (2) 408 individuals who made the first-dose appointment
at UCLA Health before 15:00 h on the second reminder date; and (3)
48 individuals who were under 18 years old.
Full size image
In both RCTs, we randomized whether participants received text-message-based
reminders or not. All reminders shared two elements that were intended to address
two barriers to action. First, all reminders made vaccination top of mind to curb
forgetfulness and prompt people to adopt the target behaviour 8, 22. Second, all
reminders sought to reduce inconvenience as a potential source of friction22 by
including a link to the appointment-scheduling website and allowing participants to
easily book their appointment immediately.
Our primary outcome was whether participants scheduled their first-dose
appointment at UCLA Health within six days of receiving a text reminder. Our
secondary outcome was whether participants obtained the first dose at UCLA
Health within four weeks of the reminder; the reasoning behind these time
windows is given in ‘Outcome measures for RCTs’ in Methods.
We focus our data reporting on participants who were enrolled in the RCTs by
23 February 2021, as specified in our preregistration. All exclusion criteria and
analyses were preregistered (‘Enrolment and eligibility for RCTs’ in Methods,
Supplementary Information sections 1.1 and 1.3).
First-reminder RCT
On the first reminder date, we randomly assigned participants enrolled in the first
RCT at a 4:1 ratio to the ‘follow-through reminder’ arm, in which they received a
text reminder at 15:00 h that encouraged them to schedule a vaccination
appointment, or to the ‘holdout’ arm, in which they did not get a reminder.
We nested a 2 × 2 factorial design within the follow-through reminder arm to test
whether reminders become more effective when combined with another
behaviourally informed intervention to motivate action and/or with an information
intervention that aims at shifting vaccination intentions.
The first factor varied whether the reminder attempted to further amplify
people’s desire to act by inducing feelings of psychological ownership over the
vaccine29,30. Reminders containing the ownership intervention (designated
‘ownership reminder’ and ‘ownership reminder with video’) indicated the vaccine
had ‘just been made available for you’ and encouraged participants to ‘claim your
dose’. We used online experiments to confirm that such language would make
participants feel more strongly that the vaccine was already theirs (ordinary least
squares (OLS) regressions, B = 0.376, s.e.
= 0.084, P < 0.001, n = 1,987; B = 0.389, s.e. = 0.116, P < 0.001, n = 1,168)
(Supplementary Tables 26, 36). Previous research has shown that similar language
—such as ‘the flu vaccine is reserved for you’—increased uptake of influenza
vaccinations20; psychological ownership could be one of the mechanisms at play.
The second factor manipulated whether the reminder contained a link to a 2-min
video that provided information on COVID-19 and vaccine effectiveness, with the
goal of correcting common misconceptions and boosting vaccination intentions.
The video intervention was used in the ‘basic reminder with video’ and ‘ownership
reminder with video’ sub-arms. We based the video on a literature review of
vaccine hesitancy3,31,32 and our January 2021 survey of residents of California
(USA) (n = 515) (‘Vaccination intention survey’ in Methods), which allowed us to
identify common misconceptions about COVID-19 and authorized vaccines. A
similar video intervention was used in previous work to increase influenza
vaccinations20.
Our analysis includes 93,354 participants (43.3% male, 53.5% white (excluding
Hispanic or Latino) (all racial demographic data use self-reported terms), average
age = 72.8, s.d. = 10.3). Study arms were well-balanced on demographic
characteristics (Extended Data Table 1). All reported effect sizes come from OLS
regressions (or, precisely, a linear probability model33, given our binary outcome
measures) with heteroscedasticity-robust standard errors that control for participant
gender, age, race, ethnicity, preferred language, social vulnerability index,
COVID-19 risk score and fixed effects of initial invitation dates. The results are
robust to removing control variables, using logistic regressions and conducting
intent-to-treat analyses with all participants enrolled in our RCTs by 23 February
2021 (Supplementary Information section 1.5).
In the holdout arm, 7.20% of participants made the first-dose appointment within
six days of the first reminder date, and 13.89% received the first dose at UCLA
Health within four weeks (Fig. 2). Our OLS regressions estimate that receiving a
text reminder boosted appointment rates within six days by 6.07 percentage points
and vaccination rates within four weeks by 3.57 percentage points (Extended Data
Table 2), amounting to a relative increase of 84.33% and 25.71%, respectively. All
reminder types outperformed the holdout arm (Extended Data Table 2). The top-
performing reminder type contained the ownership language, and boosted
appointment and vaccination rates at UCLA Health by 6.83 (94.84%) and 4.12
(29.63%) percentage points, respectively, relative to the holdout arm.
Fig. 2: Appointment and vaccination rates at UCLA Health by condition for
the first RCT.
a, b, Proportion of participants in each condition who scheduled an appointment
for the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine at UCLA Health between 15:00 h on
the first reminder date and 23:59 h on the fifth day following the first reminder
date (a) and the proportion of participants in each condition who obtained the first
dose of the COVID-19 vaccine at UCLA Health within four weeks of the first
reminder date (b). Error bars represent ± 1 s.e.m. The number of participants in
each condition (from left to right in each panel) is 18,629, 18,592, 18,757, 18,627
and 18,749.
Full size image
The gap between the follow-through reminder and holdout arms in vaccinations at
UCLA Health persisted for eight weeks (Fig. 3), which suggests that reminders
increased the number of vaccinated participants for as long as we observed (rather
than only accelerating vaccinations). Notably, even if the holdout arm eventually
caught up after the two months we observed, accelerating vaccination still benefits
society34.
Fig. 3: Kaplan–Meier curves reflecting the proportion of participants who had
obtained the first dose at UCLA Health by a given day after the first reminder
date in the first RCT.
Kaplan–Meier curves tracking the percentage of participants in the holdout arm
(blue) (n = 18,749) versus the follow-through reminder arm (red) (n = 74,605) of
the first RCT who had obtained the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine at UCLA
Health by a given day from the first reminder date (0 on the x axis) onward. All
participants were right-censored at 55 days after the first reminder date. The solid
horizontal line indicates that 18.38% of participants in the holdout arm had
obtained the first dose at UCLA Health by the end of 55 days after the first
reminder date.
Full size image
Within the follow-through reminder arm, adding the ownership language to the
reminder further increased appointment and vaccination rates at UCLA Health by
1.51 and 1.09 percentage points, respectively (Extended Data Table 2), compared
to the 12.58% appointment rates and 17.01% vaccination rates among people who
received a reminder without such language. By contrast, we found no evidence that
inviting participants to watch the video improved either outcome variable, relative
to reminders without a video (Extended Data Table 2).
The average effect of a reminder held for both participants who received the
influenza shot in either of the two recent seasons (n = 46,757) and those who did
not (n = 46,597) (Fig. 4) but was larger among the former than the latter group, by
4.4 percentage points for appointments (OLS regression, B = 0.044,
s.e. = 0.004, P < 0.001 for the interaction) and 2.3 percentage points for
vaccinations at UCLA Health (OLS regression, B = 0.023, s.e. = 0.006, P < 0.001
for the interaction) (Supplementary Table 6).
Fig. 4: Regression-estimated increase in appointments and vaccinations
induced by reminders.
a, b, Regression-estimated increase in appointment rates at UCLA Health within
six days of the first reminder date (left panel in a, b) and vaccination rates at
UCLA Health within four weeks of the first reminder date (right panel in a, b),
induced by receiving a reminder (versus holdout) (a) and by receiving a reminder
with ownership language (versus one without) (b) across participant subgroups in
the first RCT. The full sample referred to 93,354 participants included in the
analysis of the first RCT. ‘White’, subsample including 49,909 participants who
identified as white (excluding Hispanic or Latino individuals); ‘minority’,
subsample includes 29,784 participants who identified as Asian, Black, American
Indian or Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, other race (excluding
participants whose race was unknown), and/or Hispanic or Latino. The ‘≥65 years
old’ subgroup includes 84,075 participants who were at least 65 years old; the ‘<65
years old’ subgroup includes 9,279 participants under 65 years old. The ‘influenza
vaccine’ subgroup includes 46,757 participants who received the influenza vaccine
in either of two recent influenza seasons; the ‘no influenza vaccine’ subgroup
includes 46,597 participants who did not receive an influenza vaccine in two recent
influenza seasons. Extended Data Table 2, Supplementary
Tables 3, 5, 6, 10, 11, 13 provide complete OLS regression results graphed here
and the corresponding sample sizes. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals
of estimated increases.
Full size image
Because our sample consists of predominantly elderly and white participants, we
confirmed (Fig. 4) that the effects of follow-through reminders and ownership
language largely held for racial and ethnic minorities as defined in Fig. 4
(n = 29,784) and participants under 65 years old (n = 9,279). Notably, the average
effects of follow-through reminders on both appointments and vaccinations were
comparable across white (n = 49,909), Hispanic (n = 10,624), Black (n = 5,109)
and Asian (n = 7,553) participants (Extended Data Table 2). Identifying solutions
to improving vaccine uptake among racial and ethnic minority groups is critical, as
these groups have been disproportionately hurt by the COVID-19 pandemic35 and
tend to experience increased vaccine hesitancy36.
Second-reminder RCT
Participants who did not schedule their vaccine appointment a few days after the
first reminder may have forgotten about it, been procrastinating or been more
hesitant than those who got vaccinated. We conducted the second RCT to study the
effect of sending these participants a second text reminder. On the second reminder
date, we randomized eligible participants at a 6:1 ratio to receive another text
message at 15:00 h that reminded them of vaccine availability and providing easy
access to the scheduling website (the follow-through reminder arm) or to not
receive the text message (the holdout arm).
To harness other psychological principles to motivate people to act, we
randomized participants within the follow-through reminder arm to receive one of
six messages that leveraged additional behavioural insights (‘Design of the second-
reminder RCT’ in Methods). Following the preregistration, we present only the
average effect of all text reminders combined relative to the holdout arm.
Our analysis includes 67,092 participants (43.5% male, 52.6% white (excluding
Hispanic or Latino), average age = 73.7, s.d. = 10.0). Study arms were well-
balanced on demographic characteristics (Extended Data Table 3).
Getting a second reminder increased participants’ likelihood of scheduling the
first-dose appointment within six days by 1.65 percentage points (53.36%) and
obtaining the first dose at UCLA Health within four weeks by 1.06 percentage
points (17.23%), relative to the 3.10% appointment rates and 6.16% vaccination
rates in the holdout arm (Extended Data Table 4). All reminder types boosted
appointments and vaccinations (Extended Data Table 4). Although small, these
effects are noteworthy, as they are documented within a more hesitant population
(as participants in the second RCT had not scheduled an appointment after two
notifications and had been eligible for COVID-19 vaccines in California for some
time).
Effect on vaccination anywhere
Because the text reminders made eligibility at UCLA Health salient and reduced
barriers to appointment scheduling at UCLA Health, we have focused on
appointments and vaccinations at UCLA Health as our outcome measures. We also
investigated the effect of receiving a text reminder on whether participants
received the first dose inside or outside UCLA Health (hereafter, ‘anywhere’)
within four weeks of getting a reminder (Supplementary Information section 1.5).
For the first RCT, we find that reminders increased vaccinations anywhere by
2.1 percentage points, relative to a baseline of 31.85% in the holdout arm (OLS
regression, B = 0.021, s.e. = 0.004, P < 0.001, n = 93,354) (Supplementary
Table 22). In addition, adding (versus not) the ownership language increased
vaccinations anywhere by an additional 0.9 percentage points (OLS
regression, B = 0.009, s.e. = 0.003, P = 0.010 without multiple comparison
adjustment and P = 0.020 with a Holm–Bonferroni correction37, n = 74,605)
(Supplementary Table 22). The fact that the effect of receiving one reminder on
vaccinations at any location could last one month is notable, considering that
participants may have been exposed to numerous sources of communication about
the vaccine during this period.
Receiving a second reminder increased vaccination rates anywhere by
1.0 percentage points two weeks after the second reminder date (OLS
regression, B = 0.010, s.e. = 0.004, P = 0.008, n = 67,092) (Supplementary
Table 24), relative to a baseline of 12.04% in the holdout arm. Although this effect
was not statistically significant at four weeks (OLS regression, B = 0.007, s.e.
= 0.004, P = 0.127, n = 67,092) (Supplementary Table 23), sending a second text
reminder can still contribute to accelerating vaccinations and avoiding unnecessary
infections. It is also worth noting that, had we designed the reminders to remove
barriers to getting vaccinated at a broad set of locations (rather than focusing on
UCLA Health), our reminders might have exhibited larger effects on vaccination
anywhere.
Vaccination intentions versus actual uptake
To inform policy, researchers often use surveys of intentions to evaluate the
effectiveness of interventions aimed at encouraging vaccine uptake3,27,28. Given
that intentions do not always reflect real behaviours7, we tested how the
interventions deployed in our first RCT affected vaccination intentions and
explored whether hypothetical responses would match actual behavioural
responses.
We ran three preregistered experiments on Amazon’s Mechanical Turk and
Prolific Academic: two concurrently to the first RCT in February 2021 and one as
a replication in April 2021 (total n = 3,181). We randomized participants to receive
one of the four reminders from the first RCT, asking about their intentions to get
vaccinated using different questions on a seven-point scale (‘Procedures for online
experiments’ in Methods). In contrast to the patterns observed in the first RCT, the
video intervention resulted in a small—but statistically significant—increase in
people’s self-reported interest in getting the vaccine; however, we found no
evidence that adding ownership language increased vaccination intentions
(Extended Data Table 5).
The discrepancy between laboratory and field data (Extended Data Table 6) is
unlikely to be driven by differences in political attitudes between samples38, as the
aforementioned findings about video and ownership interventions generally held
both for those who self-identified as ‘Democrat’ and as ‘Republican’ online
(Extended Data Table 5). One potential explanation for these discrepant findings is
that, although we could require all online participants to watch the video, less than
21% of the participants in the first RCT opted to watch it (Supplementary
Information section 1.3.4), possibly because of being too busy or active avoidance
of information39. Another possibility is that COVID-19 vaccine intentions were
harder to change outside of a controlled online experiment, where various sources
of information compete for people’s attention. As for the lack of evidence that
ownership language affected vaccination intentions, it could be that individuals did
not anticipate the motivating power of such language in hypothetical settings.
Whereas the differences in sample characteristics and measurement (Extended
Data Table 6) do not allow us to pinpoint the drivers of the discrepancy between
our online studies and the first RCT, these results suggest that hypothetical
responses to behavioural nudges should be taken with caution.
Discussion
Our research highlights that behavioural science insights can increase and speed up
COVID-19 vaccinations at close-to-zero marginal cost. Text-based reminders
designed to overcome barriers to scheduling can effectively encourage
vaccinations across different demographic groups, with effects persisting for at
least eight weeks. These effects are heightened when follow-through reminders
leverage psychological ownership, making people feel that a dose of the
vaccine belongs to them. However, we find no evidence that combining reminders
with a video-based information intervention further increases vaccination, which
suggests that more work is needed to uncover when information interventions can
help to overcome vaccine hesitancy. Additional analyses of our RCT sample reveal
that only about 10% of participants did not keep or show up for their first-
dose appointment, and approximately 90% of participants who received the first
dose at UCLA Health scheduled their second dose (Supplementary Information
section 1.6). Thus, the biggest barrier to increasing COVID-19 vaccinations is
getting participants to schedule the first-dose appointment.
Our research has implications for enhancing the uptake of life-saving vaccines in
general, as it highlights the power of making vaccination easy and eliciting feelings
of ownership over the vaccine. Although promoting vaccinations at scale requires a
multifaceted approach, our findings suggest that behavioural nudges could be an
important strategy to consider. If sent to all 263 million adults in the USA40, and
assuming the same absolute effect size observed in our first RCT would hold for
the 60% of US adults who did not immediately obtain the vaccine41, our follow-
through reminders could result in 3.31–5.68 million extra people getting
vaccinated within a month of the reminder. This estimated range is based on the
average effect of receiving the first reminder on vaccination rates anywhere (that
is, 60% × 263 million × 2.1 percentage points) versus at UCLA Health (60% × 263
million × 3.6 percentage points). Similarly, reminders with the ownership framing
would motivate 1.42–1.74 million extra people to get vaccinated than reminders
without such framing (that is, 60% × 263 million × 0.9 percentage points–
60% × 263 million × 1.1 percentage points).
The insights from this work could inform strategies to motivate health-related
behaviours more broadly, such as scheduling preventive care tests or participating
in health-related programs. To that end, the discrepancy observed between our
RCTs and online studies highlights the value of pilot-testing interventions in the
field before deploying them at scale. As policymakers, public health experts and
organizations strive to develop communication strategies to promote health-related
behaviours, we hope that the effective interventions documented in our research—
and behavioural science more generally—can become part of their toolbox.
Methods
For RCTs, we predetermined the end date of enrolment for analyses reported
herein, but we could not predetermine sample size by the enrolment deadline
owing to uncertainty about how many UCLA Health participants would satisfy
inclusion and exclusion criteria. We preregistered data-analysis plans contingent
on the actual sample size on the basis of power analysis. We used power analysis
to predetermine sample sizes for online experiments. RCTs and online experiments
were randomized, and investigators were blinded to allocation during experiments.
Ethics approval
This research was deemed to comply with all relevant ethical regulations. The
Institutional Review Board at the UCLA approved the protocols of our randomized
controlled trials (reference number 21-000268) and determined that a waiver of
informed consent was appropriate. All online experiments and the vaccination
intention survey were conducted under approval of the Institutional Review Board
at Carnegie Mellon University (reference number IRBSTUDY2015_00000482),
and informed consent was obtained from all online study participants as part of the
enrolment process.
Setting for the RCTs
We conducted the RCTs in partnership with UCLA Health, a large integrated
academic health system in California. Extended Data Table 7 provides a
comparison of demographic characteristics and vaccination rates between our RCT
sample, UCLA Health primary and specialty care attributed patient population, Los
Angeles County and California.
Enrolment and eligibility for RCTs
Starting from 19 January 2021, UCLA Health invited primary and speciality care
attributed patients who were eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine at the time to get
vaccinated. UCLA Health followed the national Advisory Committee on
Immunization Practices as well as state and county guidelines to determine patient
COVID-19 vaccine eligibility phasing. Considering the large volumes of eligible
patients in each phase, UCLA Health developed a risk model that incorporates
clinical and social risk to subprioritize within each phase. According to this model,
UCLA Health sent invitations to eligible patients in batches over time to guarantee
enough vaccine supply for invited patients. The size of the batch was decided daily
on the basis of (1) available doses, (2) available appointment slots and (3) expected
appointment rate. If UCLA Health identified a patient as having already obtained
the vaccine inside or outside UCLA Health when it was their turn to be invited, the
health system did not send the invitation to that patient.
On the first reminder date, patients were automatically enrolled into the first RCT
and became participants if they (1) had a SMS-capable telephone number, (2) had
not scheduled the first-dose COVID-19 vaccination appointment at UCLA Health
and (3) had not obtained the first dose anywhere by the end of the day before the
first reminder date, according to the latest California Immunization Registry
(CAIR) records UCLA Health could access as well as UCLA Health’s internal
records. The earliest first reminder date was 1 February 2021.
On the second reminder date, patients were automatically enrolled in the second
RCT and became participants if they (1) had a SMS-capable telephone number, (2)
had not scheduled the first-dose COVID-19 vaccination appointment at UCLA
Health and (3) had not obtained the first dose anywhere by the end of the day
before the second reminder date. The earliest second reminder date was 9 February
2021.
Figure 1 shows the timeline, eligibility and randomization of the two RCTs. For
both RCTs, participants within each batch were randomized at the individual level
to treatments according to the design detailed in ‘Design of the first-reminder
RCT’ and ‘Design of the second-reminder RCT’. Enrolment was conducted by the
UCLA Health Office of Population Health and Accountable Care. Random
assignment to interventions was performed by UCLA Health statisticians blind to
the hypotheses and interventions using a computerized random number generator.
Design of the first-reminder RCT
We randomly assigned participants following simple randomized procedures at a
4:1 ratio to either the follow-through reminder arm, in which they received a
reminder at 15:00 h on the first reminder date, or the holdout arm, in which they
received no reminders. All reminders were designed to nudge individuals to
schedule their vaccination appointments by (1) making vaccination top of mind to
curb forgetfulness, and (2) providing the direct link to the scheduling website to
reduce friction and increase convenience. The basic reminder read ‘UCLA Health:
[participant’s first name], you can get the COVID-19 vaccine at UCLA Health.
Make a vaccination appointment here: uclahealth.org/schedule.’
We nested a 2 × 2 factorial design within the follow-through reminder arm. The
first factor was whether or not the reminder sought to enhance participants’
feelings of psychological ownership over the vaccine to amplify their desire to
obtain their vaccine (ownership intervention). The ownership intervention added
language to the reminder to make participants feel as if the vaccine was already
theirs. The ownership reminder read ‘UCLA Health: [participant’s first name], a
COVID-19 vaccine has just been made available to you at UCLA Health. Claim
your dose today by making a vaccination appointment here:
uclahealth.org/schedule.’
The second factor was whether or not the reminder linked to a video that was
designed to shift vaccination intentions by providing information about COVID-19
and the authorized vaccines (video intervention). The video intervention was based
on a survey of the vaccine hesitancy literature3,31,32,36 as well as a survey that we
conducted in January 2021 with California residents (as described in ‘Vaccination
intention survey’). The video (Supplementary Video 1) first highlighted the
pandemic as a challenge, providing statistics on infections and ease of
transmission. It then proposed the vaccine as an easy and safe solution, providing
information about its effectiveness. The basic reminder with video read ‘UCLA
Health: [participant’s first name], you can get the COVID-19 vaccine at UCLA
Health. Please watch this important 2 min video: [link]. Make a vaccination
appointment here: uclahealth.org/schedule.’
In the ownership reminder with video sub-arm, the reminder contained both the
ownership and video interventions and read: ‘UCLA Health: [participant’s
first name], a COVID-19 vaccine has just been made available to you at UCLA
Health. Please take 2 simple steps: 1. Watch this important 2 min video: [link]. 2.
Claim your dose today by making a vaccination appointment here:
uclahealth.org/schedule.’
In all sub-arms, participants whose preferred language was Spanish received the
text reminder (and the video (Supplementary Video 2), in the relevant cases) in
Spanish. Participants within the follow-through reminder arm were randomly
assigned following simple randomization procedures to one of these four sub-arms
with an equal probability.
Design of the second-reminder RCT
Eight days after the initial notification, eligible participants were enrolled in the
second RCT. They were randomized following simple randomization procedures at
a 6:1 ratio to the follow-through reminder arm, in which another text reminder was
sent at 15:00 h on the second reminder date, or the holdout arm with no reminders.
Randomization was independent between the first and second RCTs
(Supplementary Information section 1.1). Similar to the first RCT, all text
reminders in the second RCT heightened the salience of vaccine availability (so as
to combat forgetfulness) and provided the direct link to the appointment scheduling
website (so as to increase convenience).
We nested a 2 × 3 factorial design within the follow-through reminder arm, in
which we leveraged behavioural insights to motivate people to schedule a
vaccination appointment via different messaging. The first factor varied whether
the reminder emphasized prosocial (versus personal) benefits of getting
vaccinated42,43. The second factor manipulated whether the reminder highlighted
the exclusivity of having early access to the vaccine (early access framing),
whether it framed the act of obtaining the vaccine as an opportunity to chart a new
path forward (fresh start framing) or neither. The early access framing sought to
leverage the principle of scarcity to increase vaccine demand44,45, as vaccination
was still exclusive at the early stage of distribution (January–February 2021). The
fresh start framing was inspired by previous work showing that people are
motivated to take actions at new beginnings46,47. Here, we tested whether framing
getting the vaccine as an opportunity to chart a new path forward for participants
themselves or society could mobilize participants to get inoculated.
Specifically, the basic self/prosocial reminders read ‘UCLA Health: [participant’s
name], to protect (yourself/your family, friends, and community), make your
COVID-19 vaccine appointment here today: uclahealth.org/schedule.” The early
access self/prosocial reminders read ‘UCLA Health: [participant’s name], you are
one of few Americans who have early access to the COVID-19 vaccine based on
national guidelines. Take this opportunity to protect (yourself/your family, friends,
and community who may not have this access yet). Make your vaccine
appointment here today: uclahealth.org/schedule.’ The fresh start self/prosocial
reminder read ‘UCLA Health: [participant’s name], (the past year has been
tough/the past year has been tough for many). Now, the COVID-19 vaccine can
offer the promise of a fresh start. Take this opportunity to protect (yourself/your
family, friends, and community) and (chart a new path forward/help our nation
chart a new path forward). Make your vaccine appointment here today:
uclahealth.org/schedule.’ The content in parentheses differed between the personal
and prosocial messaging conditions. Participants within the follow-through
reminder arm were randomly assigned following simple randomization procedures
to one of these six sub-arms with an equal probability.
Analyses and exclusion criteria of RCTs
All analyses and exclusion criteria follow the preregistrations. We focus on
participants enrolled in either RCT by 23 February 2021. This sample consists of
participants eligible to get vaccinated at UCLA Health from 19 January to 22
February 2021, including participants at or above 65 years old, participants with
any transplant and high-risk participants with qualifying pre-existing conditions.
We report results using data extracted on 25 May 2021. We excluded participants
who were enrolled in the first (second) RCT but either scheduled a vaccination
appointment at UCLA Health by 15:00 h on their corresponding first (second)
reminder date or obtained a COVID-19 vaccine somewhere before their
corresponding first (second) reminder date according to the latest appointment and
vaccination records UCLA Health could access on 25 May 2021. These
participants could not have been motivated to schedule or obtain the first dose by
our text reminders; thus, excluding them allows us to more accurately estimate the
effect of our interventions on participants who could benefit from receiving our
interventions. We additionally excluded participants under 18 years old as we only
applied for the permission of the Institutional Review Board to analyse data about
adult participants. The proportion of participants who were excluded in the
analysis stage did not statistically significantly differ across conditions
(Supplementary Table 1), and our results are robust if we conduct intent-to-treat
analyses involving all participants who were enrolled in the RCTs by 23 February
2021 (Supplementary Information section 1.5).
For the first RCT, our preregistered analysis about participants enrolled by 23
February 2021 aimed to investigate (1) the average effect of sending a follow-
through reminder; (2) whether all reminder types would outperform the holdout
arm; (3) the effect of adding the video intervention to the reminder; (4) the effect
of adding the ownership intervention; and (5) whether the aforementioned effects
would differ between participants who received versus did not receive the
influenza vaccine in either of two recent influenza seasons.
For the second RCT, our preregistered analysis about participants enrolled by 23
February 2021 aimed to investigate (1) the average effect of sending a second
follow-through reminder and (2) whether all reminder types outperformed the
holdout arm. Because we were uncertain about how many people would be
enrolled in the second RCT by 23 February 2021, we preregistered to not compare
sub-arms to each other with this data. Supplementary Information
sections 1.3 and 1.4 describe for the scope of analyses we plan to conduct once the
full data collection has been completed about all participants ever enrolled in our
RCTs from the beginning of the trials until UCLA Health stops sending out
COVID-19 vaccine invitations.
Outcome measures for RCTs
Our preregistered primary outcome measure indicates whether participants
scheduled a vaccination appointment for the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine at
UCLA Health within six days of the first (second) reminder date (specifically,
from 15:00 h on the first (second) reminder date to 23:59 h on the fifth day
following the first (second) reminder date.). We preregistered this time window
because UCLA Health targeted additional outreach efforts to participants who had
not scheduled their vaccination appointment six days after the second reminder
date and we wanted to use a consistent time window for the two RCTs. The results
are robust to extending the time window to one month (Supplementary Tables 22
and 23). Our secondary outcome measure in this Article is whether participants
obtained the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine at UCLA Health within four weeks of
the first (second) reminder date. We chose this window because UCLA Health
generally only allowed participants to schedule an appointment for less than four
weeks ahead. Consistent with this practice, 96.25% of the first-dose appointments
made by participants in the analysis sample of the first RCT occurred within four
weeks from the day they were scheduled. In the preregistrations, we listed
additional secondary outcome variables; we explain why we did not focus on these
in this Article in Supplementary Information section 1.2.
Procedures for online experiments
We ran two preregistered online experiments in February 2021, concurrently with
the randomized controlled trials. In addition, we ran a preregistered replication
experiment online in April 2021, when all US adults had become eligible to
receive the vaccine.
In the February 2021 experiments, we instructed participants to imagine becoming
eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine and receiving a text message from their
healthcare provider encouraging them to get vaccinated. We randomly assigned
participants to read one of the four reminders from the first RCT. Participants in
the ‘video’ conditions were also instructed to watch the video. After reading the
message, participants indicated their likelihood of scheduling a vaccination
appointment: ‘How likely would you be to schedule a vaccination appointment
after receiving this message from your healthcare provider?’ (1, not at all likely, to
7, very likely). They also rated the persuasiveness of the text message (1, not at all
persuasive, to 7, very persuasive). To check whether the messages containing
ownership language increased feelings of psychological ownership over the
vaccine as we intended, we asked participants, ‘To what extent does the text
message make you feel that the COVID-19 vaccine is already yours?’ (1, not at all,
to 7, very much)30. To understand how the video may have changed viewers’
perceptions and beliefs, we measured participants’ beliefs about the prevalence of
COVID-19, worry about spreading the virus, perceived vaccine effectiveness,
anticipated regret for not getting the vaccine and trust in the vaccine
(Supplementary Information section 2 for questions and results).
The April 2021 experiment used identical procedures but adopted additional
measures of vaccination intentions to test whether findings in our February 2021
studies are robust to different ways of soliciting intentions. For this purpose, we
randomized whether participants answered questions in the same hypothetical
manner as in the February studies, or responded to questions with a less
hypothetical framing. Participants randomized to answer the hypothetical version
were asked ‘How likely would you be to schedule a vaccination appointment after
receiving this message from your healthcare provider?’ (1, not at all likely, to 7,
very likely) and ‘How much would you want the vaccine after receiving this
message from your healthcare provider?’ (1, not at all, to 7, very much). These two
questions were highly correlated (r = 0.94, P < 0.001) and aggregated into a
composite. Participants randomized to answer the less hypothetical version of the
intention questions were asked ‘How likely are you to schedule a vaccination
appointment today after receiving this message from your healthcare provider?’ (1,
not at all likely, to 7, very likely) and ‘How much do you want the vaccine now,
after receiving this message from your healthcare provider?’ (1, not at all, to 7,
very much). These two measures were highly correlated (r = 0.93, P < 0.001) and
averaged into a composite. All participants also rated the persuasiveness of the
message they read, using the same measure used in the February studies
(Supplementary Information section 3).
Sample for online experiments
We recruited participants from Amazon’s Mechanical Turk (MTurk) and Prolific
Academic (Prolific) who had not received a COVID-19 vaccine or scheduled a
first-dose vaccination appointment at the time of the study. To be assigned to
treatment, participants had to first pass a Captcha and an attention check question.
To be included in the analysis, participants had to complete our preregistered
dependent variables and not report having technical problems with the video.
Considering these criteria, our first February 2021 online experiment consists of
1,163 participants. Our second February 2021 online experiment consists of 840
participants recruited from Prolific who satisfied similar criteria as those in the first
online experiment, except that we additionally required that they did not report
having taken a similar survey on MTurk. In both experiments, we attempted to
recruit a balanced sample of individuals who self-reported as Democrat or
Republican to test the generalizability of our findings (Supplementary Information
section 2.1 for recruitment detail). Participants received US$0.90 on MTurk and
US$1.10 on Prolific for completing our 6-min survey. Across the two February
online experiments, our sample consists of 2,003 participants (47.1% male, 71.8%
white (excluding Hispanic or Latino), 51.8% Democrat, average age = 37.9,
s.d. = 13.4).
For our April 2021 online experiment, we recruited participants on MTurk and
Prolific using the same eligibility criteria as the second online experiment.
Participants on MTurk received US$0.90 or US$1.00 (we boosted the pay to
US$1.00 on the third day of data collection to attract more respondents) and those
on Prolific received US$1.10 for completing our 6-min survey. Our sample
consists of 1,178 participants (44.9% male, 71.6% white (excluding Hispanic or
Latino), 40.8% Democrat, average age = 36.7, s.d. = 12.0).
Vaccination intention survey
To design the video used in our first RCT, we ran a survey in January 2021
involving 515 residents of California recruited on MTurk and Prolific (49.3%
male, 42.9% white (excluding Hispanic or Latino), 70.9% Democrat, average
age = 33.9, s.d. = 12.7). Participants received US$1.00 on MTurk or US$1.20 on
Prolific for completing our 9-min survey. We asked participants to consider the
authorized vaccines (Pfizer and Moderna) when taking the survey. We elicited
their vaccination intentions by asking ‘If one of the COVID-19 vaccines were
available to you today, would you get the vaccine?’41. Participants chose one from
four options: ‘Definitely would get the vaccine’, ‘Probably would get the vaccine’,
‘Probably would not get the vaccine’ and ‘Definitely would not get the vaccine’.
We then elicited participants’ beliefs and perceptions about COVID-19 and the
vaccines. Specifically, we measured beliefs about infection likelihood with and
without the vaccine and the severity of COVID-19. We collected feelings of
vulnerability to COVID-19, fear of infection, worry of transmitting COVID-19 to
others, anticipated regret for not getting the vaccine and trust in the vaccine. We
compared answers to these questions among people who reported that they
definitely would get the vaccine versus those feeling more uncertain.
Supplementary Information section 5 describes all variables and results.
Methods of investigating intentions versus actual uptake
In Extended Data Table 6, we report statistics about the estimated effects of adding
ownership language and a video-based information intervention to a reminder on
vaccination intentions (based on online experiments) versus actual vaccine uptake
(based on the first RCT). The statistics we report include the 95% confidence
interval, the absolute value of Cohen’s d or h, and ηp2 of each estimated effect. To
calculate Cohen’s h for the binary outcomes measured in the first RCT, we use 2 ×
arcsine √Pwith an intervention − 2 × arcsine √Pwithout an intervention 48 in which √Pwith an
intervention represents the percentage of participants who scheduled an appointment for
(or obtained) the first dose at UCLA Health within six days (or within four weeks)
of the first reminder date among those who received a text reminder containing a
given intervention and √Pwithout an intervention represents the percentage among
participants who received a text reminder without that intervention. To
calculate ηp2 for the online experiments and the first RCT, we
use ηp2 = F × dfnumerator/(F × dfnumerator + dfdenominator)49 in which the F value and
numerator and denominator degrees of freedom came from the OLS regressions
reported in Supplementary Tables 5, 39.
Reporting summary
Further information on research design is available in the Nature Research
Reporting Summary linked to this paper.
Data availability
The two RCTs were pre-registered at clinicaltrials.gov (first-reminder
RCT, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04800965; second-reminder
RCT, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04801524). The three online
experiments were preregistered at aspredicted.org (online experiment
1, https://aspredicted.org/blind.php?x=u2ng5c; online experiment
2, https://aspredicted.org/blind.php?x=ae3ci5; and online experiment
3, https://aspredicted.org/blind.php?x=7wf9er and https://aspredicted.org/blind.php
?x=u82hy5). The data analysed in this Article about randomized controlled trials
were provided by UCLA Health and contain protected health information. To
protect participant privacy, we cannot publicly post individual-level data. Qualified
researchers with a valuable research question and relevant approvals including
ethical approval can request access to the de-identified data about these trials from
the corresponding author. A formal contract will be signed and an independent data
protection agency should oversee the sharing process to ensure the safety of the
data. Data about our online experiments and vaccination intention survey are
available at: https://osf.io/qn8hr/?
view_only=cf7b2bc590054aee8c4a2bae99ef20c5.
Code availability
The code to replicate the analyses and figures in the Article and its Supplementary
Information is available at https://osf.io/qn8hr/?
view_only=cf7b2bc590054aee8c4a2bae99ef20c5.
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