Fixed Income - India
Fixed Income - India
Bond markets link issuers, i.e., governments, state owned institutions, local
bodies and corporates having financing needs, with investors having investible
surplus. An efficient bond market is one where the requirements of both
issuers and investors are met effectively at a price (interest rates) determined
competitively, and where price adjustment to new information is seamless. For
this purpose, the basic pre-requisites are stable macro-economic environment,
absence or minimal presence of administered rates, a wide issuer and investor
base (which ensures adequate size and activity in the market), intermediaries,
infrastructure for smooth and safe trading and settlement of trades, and an
enabling regulatory and legal environment.
Government bond markets play an important role insofar as they provide the
benchmark yield curve, on the basis of which most other debt instruments are
priced. This paper presents the development of the bond markets in India. I
will also briefly deal with the corporate debt market.
There are three main segments of debt market in India, viz., Government
securities, Public Sector Units (PSU) bonds and private sector corporate bonds.
India being a federal state, Government securities are issued by Central
Government and all the provincial Governments (India has 28 states), although
in case of the latter such securities constitute a relatively small portion of their
fiscal deficits. In India, banks are required to maintain statutorily a certain
percentage of their liabilities in Government securities and other specified
liquid assets which creates a captive demand for Government securities. At
present, the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) for banks is 25 per cent. Similar
statutory requirements in varying degrees are there for other type of financial
institutions, viz., insurance companies, provident funds, non-banking financial
institutions etc.
The PSU bonds are generally treated as surrogates of sovereign paper,
sometimes due to explicit guarantee of Government, and often due to the
comfort of public ownership. Some of the PSU bonds are tax free, a status not
enjoyed even by Government securities.
Corporate bonds and debentures have maturities beyond 1 year and generally
up to 10 years. Corporates also issue short-term commercial paper with
maturity ranging from 15 days to one year.
The Indian bond market is indeed worth ~US$ 2 trillion.
Global Sizing - The purpose of this article is to break the myth that bond
markets are only for a select few or that they represent only a small proportion
of financial markets in general. As of 2019, the world’s GDP was estimated to
be US$87 trillion, world equity market cap stood at US$95 trillion and the
global bond market at US$106 trillion (Source: SIFMA).
India - Estimates of GDP stand at US$2.7 trillion with equity marketcap at
almost the same number of US$2.75 trillion (Source: BSE). As you already
know, the Indian bond market stands at about US$2.05 trillion (Economic
Survey). It is striking to observe that although the bond market in India is large,
it has a large scope for an explosive growth from here.
Structurally, the debt market remains skewed towards government securities
(G-secs). The domestic debt market in India amounts to about 74% of GDP
while the size of India’s corporate bond market is a mere 18% of GDP. To put it
into perspective, according to the Economic Survey, while the outstanding
Government securities stock stands at Rs. 115.87 lakh crore (Nov’20), the
outstanding corporate bonds are Rs. 35.87 lakh crore (Dec’20)
However, the entire bond market in India has grown at an impressive 14.68%
CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth Rate) in the past 10 years. This is
represented in the graph below:
Within the overall bond markets, our singular focus remains on the corporate
bond market as it offers a wide variety of higher returns to individual investors.
Furthermore, there has been a notable expansion in these markets in the last
10 years, where outstanding debt has grown at a CAGR of 15% from Rs 8.33
lakh crore to Rs 30.7 lakh crore during FY10-FY20. There has also been
increased policy focus to develop and deepen the corporate bond markets
given their growing importance and untapped potential. The government and
regulators (SEBI and RBI) are taking measures to address the various issues
that constrain the growth and development of the corporate bond markets.
2) Role of Government and Central on developing debt market
3) Major investors in debt market
Wholesale Debt Market - Where the investors are mostly Banks, Financial
Institutions, the RBI, Primary Dealers, Insurance companies, MFs, Corporates
and FIIs.
The Commercial Banks and the Financial Institutions are the most prominent
participants in the Wholesale Debt Market in India. During the past few years,
the investor base has been widened to include Co-operative Banks, Investment
Institutions, cash rich corporates, Non-Banking Finance companies, Mutual
Funds, and high net-worth individuals. FIIs have also been permitted to invest
100% of their funds in the debt market, which is a significant increase from the
earlier limit of 30%. The government also allowed in 1998-99 the FIIs to invest
in T-bills with a view towards broad basing the investor base of the same.
Retail Debt Market involving participation by individual investors, provident
funds, pension funds, Mutual Funds, private trusts, NBFCs and RNBCs,
Religious Trusts and charitable organizations having large investible corpus,
State Level and District Level Co-operative Banks, Housing Finance Companies,
Corporate Treasuries, Hindu-Undivided Families (HUFs) and other legal entities
in addition to the wholesale investor classes.
4) Different securities in money market and capital market
The Money Market is basically concerned with the issue and trading of
securities with short term maturities or quasi-money instruments. The
Instruments traded in the money-market are Treasury Bills, Certificates of
Deposits (CDs), Commercial Paper (CPs), Bills of Exchange and other such
instruments of short-term maturities (i.e., not those exceeding 1 year with
regard to the original maturity)
1. Treasury Bills - T-bills are one of the most popular money market
instruments. They have varying short-term maturities. The Government of
India issues it at a discount for 14 days to 364 days. These instruments are
issued at a discount and repaid at par at the time of maturity. Also, a company,
firm, or person can purchase TB’s. And are issued in lots of Rs. 25,000 for 14
days & 91 days and Rs. 1,00,000 for 364 days.
2. Commercial Bills- Commercial bills, also a money market instrument, works
more like the bill of exchange. Businesses issue them to meet their short-term
money requirements. These instruments provide much better liquidity. As the
same can be transferred from one person to another in case of immediate cash
requirements.
3. Certificate of Deposit - CD’s is a negotiable term deposit accepted by
commercial banks. It is usually issued through a promissory note. CD’s can be
issued to individuals, corporations, trusts, etc. Also, the CD’s can be issued by
scheduled commercial banks at a discount. And the duration of these varies
between 3 months to 1 year. The same, when issued by a financial institution,
is issued for a minimum of 1 year and a maximum of 3 years.
4. Commercial Paper - Corporates issue CP’s to meet their short-term working
capital requirements. Hence serves as an alternative to borrowing from a bank.
Also, the period of commercial paper ranges from 15 days to 1 year. The
Reserve Bank of India lays down the policies related to the issue of CP’s. As a
result, a company requires RBI‘s prior approval to issue a CP in the market.
Also, CP has to be issued at a discount to face value. And the market decides
the discount rate.
Denomination and the size of CP:
Minimum size – Rs. 25 lakhs
Maximum size – 100% of the issuer’s working capital
5. Call Money - It is a segment of the market where scheduled commercial
banks lend or borrow on short notice (say a period of 14 days). In order to
manage day-to-day cash flows. The interest rates in the market are market-
driven and hence highly sensitive to demand and supply. Also, the interest
rates have been known to fluctuate by a large % at certain times.
A capital market is a financial market in which long-term debt (over a year) or
equity-backed securities are bought and sold, in contrast to a money market
where short-term debt is bought and sold.
Capital market can be either a primary market or a secondary market. When a
company publicly sells new stocks or bonds for the first time—such as in an
initial public offering (IPO)—it does so in the primary capital market. This
market is sometimes called the new issues market. When investors purchase
securities on the primary capital market, the company that offers the securities
hires an underwriting firm to review it and create a prospectus outlining the
price and other details of the securities to be issued. The main entities seeking
to raise long-term funds on the primary capital markets are governments
(which may be municipal, local, or national) and business enterprises
(companies). Governments issue only bonds, whereas companies often issue
both equity and bonds. The main entities purchasing the bonds or stock
include pension funds, hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, and less
commonly wealthy individuals and investment banks trading on their own
behalf. In the secondary market, existing securities are sold and bought among
investors or traders, usually on an exchange, over the counter, or elsewhere.
The existence of secondary markets increases the willingness of investors in
primary markets, as they know they are likely to be able to swiftly cash out
their investments if the need arises.
Equity Securities
Equity securities represent ownership interest held by shareholders in a
company. In other words, it is an investment in an organization’s equity stock
to become a shareholder of the organization. The difference between holders
of equity securities and holders of debt securities is that the former is not
entitled to a regular payment, but they can profit from capital gains by selling
the stocks. Another difference is that equity securities provide ownership
rights to the holder so that he becomes one of the owners of the company,
owning a stake proportionate to the number of acquired shares.
In the event a business faces bankruptcy, the equity holders can only share the
residual interest that remains after all obligations have been paid out to debt
security holders. Companies regularly distribute dividends to shareholders
sharing the earned profits coming from the core business operations, whereas
it is not the case for the debtholders.
Debt Securities
Debt securities, or fixed-income securities, represent money that is borrowed
and must be repaid with terms outlining the amount of the borrowed funds,
interest rate, and maturity date. In other words, debt securities are debt
instruments, such as bonds (e.g., a government or municipal bond) or a
certificate of deposit (CD) that can be traded between parties. Debt securities,
such as bonds and certificates of deposit, as a rule, require the holder to make
the regular interest payments, as well as repayment of the principal amount
alongside any other stipulated contractual rights. Such securities are usually
issued for a fixed term, and, in the end, the issuer redeems them. A debt
security’s interest rate on a debt security is determined based on a borrower’s
credit history, track record, and solvency – the ability to repay the loan in the
future. The higher the risk of the borrower’s default on the loan, the higher the
interest rate a lender would require to compensate for the amount of risk
taken.
It is important to mention that the dollar value of the daily trading volume of
debt securities is significantly larger than stocks. The reason is that debt
securities are largely held by institutional investors, alongside governments
and not-for-profit organizations.
Derivative Securities
Derivative securities are financial instruments whose value depends on basic
variables. The variables can be assets, such as stocks, bonds, currencies,
interest rates, market indices, and goods. The main purpose of using
derivatives is to consider and minimize risk. It is achieved by insuring against
price movements, creating favourable conditions for speculations, and getting
access to hard-to-reach assets or markets. Formerly, derivatives were used to
ensure balanced exchange rates for goods traded internationally. International
traders needed an accounting system to lock their different national currencies
at a specific exchange rate.
Hybrid Securities
Hybrid security, as the name suggests, is a type of security that combines
characteristics of both debt and equity securities. Many banks and
organizations turn to hybrid securities to borrow money from investors. Similar
to bonds, they typically promise to pay a higher interest at a fixed or floating
rate until a certain time in the future. Unlike a bond, the number and timing of
interest payments are not guaranteed. They can even be converted into
shares, or an investment can be terminated at any time. Examples of hybrid
securities are preferred stocks that enable the holder to receive dividends prior
to the holders of common stock, convertible bonds that can be converted into
a known amount of equity stocks during the life of the bond or at maturity
date, depending on the terms of the contract, etc.
Hybrid securities are complex products. Even experienced investors may
struggle to understand and evaluate the risks involved in trading them.
Institutional investors sometimes fail at understanding the terms of the deal
they enter into while buying hybrid security.
5) Role of Financial institutions in Developing debt market
In India, the banking system which incidentally has been dominated by the
public sector, played a pioneering role in initiating growth of mutual funds,
merchant banking and other financial services. Structurally, banks have been
permitted to operate through subsidiaries as asset management companies,
PDs, merchant banks and mutual funds. The Development Financial
Institutions also played a role, but they dominated in promoting credit rating
agencies, sponsoring national stock exchanges, depositories, etc. In regard to
Government Securities segment of the market, which accounts for about 75
per cent of the stock, about 60 per cent of the stock is held by the banking
system. As regards the corporate debt segment, both private placement and
public issue, over half of the issuance is by banks and financial institutions.
To take full advantage of foreign investors, a host country must provide an
appealing environment: a stable economic and political environment; a fair,
rational, and comprehensive legal system; a fair, reasonable, and balanced tax
program; a fair, productive, and balanced regulatory system; and transparency
in economic, financial, legislative, and regulatory systems. The country should
also liberalize capital account transactions. To do so successfully, and minimize
risks associated with foreign investors, capital account liberalization must be
properly sequenced. The chief danger is removing most restrictions on capital
account transactions, before addressing major problems in the domestic
financial system, hence risking a crisis. Typical major problems include shaky,
inconsistent macroeconomic management; severe asymmetric information
problems (such as inadequate accounting, auditing, and disclosure practices) in
the financial, and corporate sectors; implicit government guarantees; and
inadequate prudential supervision, and regulation of domestic financial
markets, and institutions. Essential infrastructure must be developed if
domestic debt instruments are to be opened to international portfolio
investment. Developing countries should implement well-synchronized
settlement, and depository arrangements. The risks from short-term debt -
which could threaten financial stability - are best through sound financial
management, and prudential regulation. A case could be made for additional
policy measures aimed at curbing over-reliance on short-term debt. (Chile,
Colombia, and Israel, for example, have adopted measures to influence the
level, and composition of portfolio capital inflows). Arguably, liberalization of
trade in financial services is integral to full liberalization of capital markets.
Foreign firms operating in a domestic market may transfer useful technology,
and know-how. Concern that hedge funds can dominate, or manipulate
markets, can be dealt with through measures to strengthen supervision,
regulation, and market transparency - as well as by strengthening reporting
requirements for larger traders, and positions. The ability of hedge funds, and
other foreign investors to take positions in domestic financial markets, could
also be limited to
Taxing short-term capital flows (as Chile does).
Requiring banks, and brokers to raise margin, and collateral
requirements.
Limiting financial institutions; ability to provide the domestic credit
needed to short the currency, and their ability to loan the securities
needed to short equity, and fixed-income markets.
6) Who was responsible for the Crisis and how central bank and government
tried to come out of situation
Indian debt market has had a tough ride for a few years now. The slowdown in
the domestic economy and the liquidity crisis following the IL&FS fiasco had
bruised the debt market sufficiently in the pre-Covid months. And then the
lockdown and other restrictions following the outbreak of the pandemic only
accentuated the situation. In a recent episode, Franklin Templeton Mutual
Fund wound up six debt mutual fund schemes. The fund house cited high
redemption pressure and lack of liquidity in the bond market as a main reason
for the decision.
Liquidity crunch and risk aversion have been major issues plaguing the financial
sector for some time now. In the current scenario, there is a tendency among
the investors to dump risky assets and turn to safe havens amid an uncertain
economic outlook. This has, in turn, led to increased redemption pressure in
the debt market that fuelled the liquidity crunch. While RBI has announced
various measures to ensure liquidity in the market, its effectiveness seems to
be limited. RBI announced Special Liquidity Facility worth of Rs 50,000 crore for
mutual funds. Similarly, the central bank has also conducted Targeted Long-
Term Repo Operation (TLTRO) with a similar objective.
Risk aversion was dominant in the economy, and it got further heightened in
the current crisis. For instance, the asset quality review (AQR) initiated by RBI
in 2015 made the banks risk averse as they were in a hurry to clean up balance
sheets. The IL&FS and DHFL crises that ensued made the situation even worse,
as banks became more cautious in lending. The economic slowdown coupled
with risk aversion made it difficult for bond issuers to raise money from the
debt market. The NBFC sector was the worst affected, as they mainly rely on
issuance of commercial papers to meet credit requirements. However, the
IL&FS episode restricted NBFCs borrowing from the debt market, as mutual
funds limited their exposure to NBFC securities. Consequently, several sectors
such as real estate faced huge liquidity crunch, as they relied mainly on NBFCs
for funds. It needs to be highlighted that the collapse of IL&FS was linked to a
structural issue in the economy, as it was the result of a delay in the
commencement of various projects due to issues involving land acquisition.
And that crisis played a major role in creating the risk- aversion, which resulted
in the debt market crisis. In the current scenario, business activities are being
hit badly due to the Covid-19 pandemic. It creates an uncertain situation on
whether bond issuers will be able to fulfil their obligations. The measures
announced by RBI and the government only helped create buyers for top-rated
papers. But there are no takers for the low-rated ones even at higher yields, as
the risk appetite of investors weakened. Debt funds that invested in these low-
rated papers are in a difficult spot, as the investors are rushing for redemption.
Similarly, the NBFC sector is cash-strapped with limited access to funds unlike
banks. Thus, with limited liquidity in the NBFC sector, there are chances that
NBFCs would delay or default on payments on securities held by debt mutual
funds. These developments underline the fact that more measures are needed
to strengthen the corporate bond market in India. Despite various initiatives,
the performance of the debt market has not been up to the expected level.
Issues such as high cost of borrowing and inadequate liquidity continue to dog
this segment. It demands more measures from the regulators as a strong and
healthy debt market is essential to meet credit requirements of business and
industry in a growing economy.