FY2012 Financial Forecast and Management Policy: Hiroshi Takenaka, President & CEO May 13, 2011
FY2012 Financial Forecast and Management Policy: Hiroshi Takenaka, President & CEO May 13, 2011
Management Policy
Tactras™ RLSA ™ Etch TELINDY PLUS ™ IRad™ SA Trias™ e+ SPAi Certas WING™ Probus-SiC ™
▶ PV capex
Currently, single crystal silicon and Cd-Te strong, good future potential for
thin-film silicon as conversion efficiency improves
($B)
40 34.1B
30
Logic/Foundry
20 +27%
10 NAND +34%
DRAM -35%
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E
200
150
100
50
0
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
00/7-9
01/1-3
02/1-3
03/1-3
04/1-3
06/1-3
07/1-3
08/1-3
09/1-3
10/1-3
11/1-3
05/1-3
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
9
100%
17 18 15 17 19 16
22 25 22 24 23 27
28 33 31
80% 34 37 4 6
7 8 41 46 44
11 4 15 58 52
12 15
16 21 27 23
60% 8 6 33 49 35 26
36 0 22 28
21 15 3 22
37 18
26 42 9
40% 35 24
12 12 19 16
10 18 32
11 15
55 55 52 8 51
20% 39 45 39 39
32 30 32 29 26 27 30
22 24 22 24 23 23
15
0%
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
4-6
7-9
06/1-3
07/1-3
08/1-3
09/1-3
11/1-3
10/1-3
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
10-12
05/10-12
10
All TEL group plants and facilities in affected area (Tohoku area)
are now in operations 12
13
FY2012 (E)
FY2011
1st half 2nd half Full year YoY change
Net Sales 668.7 335.0 395.0 730.0 +9%
SPE 511.3 253.0 306.0 559.0 +9%
FPD/PVE 66.7 38.0 38.0 76.0 +14%
EC/CN 90.2 44.0 51.0 95.0 +5%
Others 0.4 - - - -
Operating income 97.8 35.0 65.0 100.0 +2.1
14.6% 10.4% 16.5% 13.7% -0.9pts
Income before income 99.5 36.0 66.0 102.0 +2.4
taxes
Net income 71.9 23.0 43.0 66.0 -5.9
0 0
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12(E) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12(E)
¥12 billion out of total investments are for new plants and
new business expansion 15
(Yen)
150
130
125
114
103
100
55
50 38 45
24
8 8 10 12
0
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
(Forecast)
*Changed dividend payout ratio from 20% to 35% from FY11 year end dividend. 16
800 40%
730.0
673.6 668.7
600 30%
508.0
418.6
18.6%
400 16.9% 20%
14.6% 13.7%
11.2%
200 168.4 10%
143.9
75.7
2.9% 97.8 100.0
79.0
56.9 66.0 60.9 54.0 70.5
49.1
14.7 -0.5%
0 0%
-2.1
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12(E)
-200 -10%
Market changes
Technology changes
19
5,000
4,000
3,000
Etch market
28% 29% TEL share
2,000 26%
1,000
0
2008 2009 2010 2011E
Market: Gartner Dataquest
TEL share: TEL estimate
• Share slightly declined from CY2009 (due to increase in proportion of memory capex)
• Oxide etcher:Expanded share in HARC for DRAMs and BEOL
• Silicon etcher: Won new POR orders from several customers (including RLSA etcher)
• POR net increase: Over 20 processes
21
2,500
2,000
Cleaning system
1,500 18% market
14%
1,000 12% TEL share
500
0
2008 2009 2010 2011E
Market: Gartner Dataquest
TEL share: TEL estimate
22
Imec (EU)
TEKS (Korea) Process Technology TTCA (US)
Center (Korea)
TEL Epion
Timbre
Technologies
Coater /Developer
• Maintain/grow share for immersion lithography
• Develop technology with EUV lithography products in an inline
environment
Thermal processing system
• Grow share and enhance position especially in Korean market
• Strengthen business base through full-scale entry into ALD and other
new markets
Single wafer deposition system
• Develop new products to address broad needs in metal film deposition
• Establish process using Ru and lead its broad adoption
RLSA
• Accelerate widespread sales for low-damage Poly etch processes
• Build a ¥50 billion business including application of CVD
24
Field solutions
• Respond flexibly to new investment and expansion mainly in the
commodity device market
• Targeting ¥150 billion sales through used equipment, modification
and service contract business
Market changes
Technology changes
26
27
Inkjet Method
Evaporation Method
Collaboration with Seiko
TEL own technology Epson
Separate RGB layers with one
Precision deposition control coating
28
Evaporation Evaluation
Production
Development
Evaluation
Inkjet
Production
29
160
Compound type
120
Thin-film silicon
(GWp*) 80
Single crystal silicon
40
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
GWp (Giga watt peak) is the unit for the maximum level of output: the normal output level of one nuclear reactor is about 1GW
Source: TEL forecasts based on EPIA (European Photovoltaic Industry Association) announcement
30
31
32
33
Processing of numbers
For the amount listed, because fractions are rounded down, there may be the cases
where the total for certain account titles does not correspond to the sum of the respective
figures for account titles. Percentages are calculated using full amounts, before rounding.
Exchange Risk
In principle, export sales of Tokyo Electron’s mainstay semiconductor and FPD/PV cell
production equipment are denominated in yen. While some settlements are denominated
in dollars, exchange risk is hedged as forward exchange contracts are made individually
at the time of booking. Accordingly, the effect of exchange rates on profits is negligible.