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Inde232 Chapter 1

This chapter introduces the fundamental concepts of engineering economy. It defines engineering economy as using techniques to simplify comparison of alternatives based on economic criteria like costs and revenues. It discusses key terms like alternatives, cash flows, and evaluation criteria. It also covers time value of money concepts like interest rates, simple vs compound interest, and equivalence. Examples are provided to illustrate simple and compound interest calculations over time. The chapter lays the foundation for analyzing projects on an economic basis.

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Abdullah Afef
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
77 views39 pages

Inde232 Chapter 1

This chapter introduces the fundamental concepts of engineering economy. It defines engineering economy as using techniques to simplify comparison of alternatives based on economic criteria like costs and revenues. It discusses key terms like alternatives, cash flows, and evaluation criteria. It also covers time value of money concepts like interest rates, simple vs compound interest, and equivalence. Examples are provided to illustrate simple and compound interest calculations over time. The chapter lays the foundation for analyzing projects on an economic basis.

Uploaded by

Abdullah Afef
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 39

INDE232/ILE232/ECON204

ENGINEERING ECONOMY
CHAPTER 1

1
Basics of Engineering Economy
by
Leland Blank and Anthony Tarquin

Chapter 1
Foundations of Engineering
Economy
Chapter 1 - Foundations
•PURPOSE •TOPICS
– Definition and study
approach
– Interest rate, ROR, and
•Understand the MARR
fundamental concepts of – Equivalence
engineering economy – Interest – simple and
compound
– Cash flow diagrams
– Rules of 72 and 100
Introduction
The need for engineering economy is primarily
motivated by the work that engineers do in
performing
– Analysis
– Synthesizing
– Coming to a conclusion
as they work on projects of all sizes.

4
Definition
Engineering economy is a collection of
techniques that simplify comparison of
alternatives on economic bases.

Fundamental terminology:
– Alternative -- stand-alone solution
– Cash flows -- estimated inflows (revenues) and
outflows (costs) for an alternative
– Evaluation criteria -- Basis used to select ‘best’
alternative; usually money (currency of the
country)

5
Engineering economy
–is not a method or process for
determining alternatives
–begins after the alternatives are
determined
–will not point the best alternative if it
has not been recognised

6
In Engineering Economy is the sole criteria for
selecting the best alternative.

– Sometimes other factors will dominate and


selecting the alternative.
• Most project decisions consider additional factors –
safety, environmental, political, public acceptance, etc.
(multi-attribute analysis)

7
Example

• Living in North Cyprus as a student


– On campus single
– On campus multi
– Off campus in a shared flat
– Off campus in a shared house

8
Example
• In economic analysis, financial units are
generally the TANGIBLE basis for evaluation
• When there are several ways to accomplish a
stated objective,
– the alternative with the lowest overall cost or
– highest overall net income
• is selected.

9
Example
• Intangible factors
– Goodwill, convenience, friendship, morale, etc.

• When the alternatives under consideration are hard to distinguish


economically, intangible factors may tilt the decision in the
direction of one of the alternative.

10
Interest Rate, ROR, MARR
 Interest is a manifestation of time value of money
 Time value of money
The change in the amount of money over a
given time period

 Calculated as difference between an ending amount


and a beginning amount of money
Interest = end amount – original amount
Interest Rate, ROR, MARR
Interest rate is interest over specified time period
based on original amount
interest accrued per time unit
x 100%
 Interest rate (%) = original amount

 Interest rate and rate of return (ROR) have same


numeric value, but different interpretations
Interest Rate and ROR Interpretations
•Borrower’s perspective •Investor’s perspective

•Take loan of $5,000 for •Invest (or lend) $5,000 for


one year; repay $5,350 one year; receive $5,350

•Interest paid = $350


•Interest earned = $350
•Interest rate = 350/5,000
• = 7% •Rate of return =
350/5,000
•INTEREST RATE • = 7%
•RATE OF RETURN
ROR and MARR
• Cost of capital (COC) – interest
rate paid for funds to finance
projects ROR

• MARR – Minimum ROR needed


for an alternative to be justified
and economically acceptable.
MARR ≥ COC.
• If COC = 5% and 6% must
be realized, MARR = 11%

• Always, for acceptable projects

• ROR ≥ MARR > COC


Time Unit

• The time unit of the interest rate is called the


Interest period
– The most common interest period is ‘one year’
– Shorter periods
• Overnight
• Day
• Week
• Month
• Quarter (3 months)
• Half year (6 months)
are also used.

15
Example

Borrow: $10,000
Repay: $10,800 (one year after)
–Interest paid : end amount – beginning
amount
–Interest paid: 10,800 – 10,000 = $800
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑃𝑎𝑖𝑑
• Interest rate: ∗ 100
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑎𝑙
800
• Interest rate: ∗ 100=8% per year
10,000

16
Example
Calculate the principal deposited one year ago,
when the accumulated total now is $10,000
with IR=5%
Total accrued = original + Interest
=Original + Original * IR
. $10,000 = X ( 1 + IR)
• = X ( 1+0.05) = X ( 1.05)
. Original (X) = 10,000 / 1,05 = $9,523.80

17
Example
– Calculate the interest earned over the period

– Interest earned = Ending amount – beginning amount


• Interest= 10,000 – 9,523.81 = $476.19
• Alternatively
• Interest = Original * IR
• Interest = 9523.80 * (5/100) = $476.19

18
Equivalence
Different sums of money at different times may be equal
in economic value

Interest rate = 6% per year


-1 0 1

$106 one
year from
$94.34 last year $100 now now

Interpretation: $94.34 last year, $100 now, and $106 one year
from now are equivalent only at an interest rate of 6% per year
Equivalence
Based on 5% annual interest

$98.00 now 1.05 $102.90 next year

$200.00 last year 1.05 $210.00 now

$38.00 now 1.05 $ 39.90 one year from now

$3000.00 now was 1.05 $ 2,857.14 one year ago

20
Simple and Compound Interest
Simple interest is always based on the
original amount, which is also called the
principal

Interest per period = (principal)(interest rate)


Total interest = (principal)(n periods)(interest rate)
Example: Invest $250,000 in a bond at 5% per year
simple
Interest each year = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500
Interest over 3 years = 250,000(3)(0.05) = $37,500
Simple and Compound Interest
Compound interest is based on the principal
plus all accrued interest
Interest per period = (principal + accrued interest)(interest rate)
Total interest = (principal)(1+interest rate)n periods - principal

Example: Invest $250,000 at 5% per year compounded


Interest, year 1 = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500
Interest, year 2 = 262,500(0.05) = $13,125
Interest, year 3 = 275,625(0.05) = $13,781
Interest over 3 years = 250,000(1.05)3 – 250,000 = $39,406
Example

$5000 borrowed at interest rate=8% per year for 5


years.
Compare various interest applications/repayment
a) Simple interest, pay all at the end
b) Compound interest, pay all at the end

23
Example

a) Loan: 5000, ir=8% simple


End of year Interest for Total owed end of End of year Total owed
year year payment after pay
0 5000
1 400 5400 5400
2 400 5800 5800
3 400 6200 6200
4 400 6600 6600
5 400 7000 7000 0000

24
Example
b) Loan: 5000, ir=8%, Compound interest pay all at the end
End of year Interest for Total owed end End of year Total owed
year of year payment after pay
0 5000
1 400 5400 5400
2 432 5832.00 5832.00
3 466.56 6298.56 6298.56
4 503.88 6802.44 6802.44
5 544.20 7346.64 7346.64 0000

25
Terminology and Symbols
 t = time index in periods; years, months,
etc.
 P = present sum of money at time t = 0; $
 F = sum of money at a future time t; $
 A = series of equal, end-of-period cash
flows; currency per period, $ per year
 n = total number of periods; years, months
 i = compound interest rate or rate of return;
% per year
Terminology and Symbols
• P = Present worth, PW
• Present Value, PV
• Net Present Value, NPV
• Discounted cash Flow, DCF
• Capitalised cost, CC
• F = Future worth, FW
• Future value, FV
• A = Annual worth, AW
• Equivalent uniform Annual worth, EUAW

27
Terminology and Symbols
A new college graduate has a job with Boeing
Aerospace. She plans to borrow $10,000 now to
help in buying a car. She has arranged to repay the
entire principal plus 8% per year interest after 5
years. Identify the engineering economy symbols
involved and their values for the total owed after 5
years.
Solution
The future amount F is unknown.
P=$10,000 i=8% per year n=5 years F=?
28
Terminology and Symbols
Example: Borrow $5,000 today and repay
annually for 10 years starting next year at 5% per
year compounded. Identify all symbols.
Given: P = $5,000 Find: A = ? per year
i = 5% per year
n = 10 years
t = year 1, 2, …, 10
(F not used here)
Terminology and Symbols
You plan to make a lump-sum deposit of $5000 now into
an investment account that pays 6% per year, and you
plan to withdraw an equal end-of-year amount of $1000
for 5 years, starting next year. At the end of the sixth year,
you plan to close your account by withdrawing the
remaining money. Define the engineering economy
symbols involved.

i= 6% per year
F =? at end of year 6
A = $1000 per year for 5 years
P= $5000

30
Cash Flow Estimates
Cash inflow – receipt, revenue, income, saving
Cash outflows – cost, expense, disbursement, loss

Net cash flow (NCF) = inflow – outflow

End-of-period convention: all cash flows and NCF


occur at the end of an interest period
Cash Flow Diagrams
Year 1 Year 5
Typical time
scale or 5
0 1 2 Time, t 3 4 5
years
+ Cash flow

P=? Find P in
year 0,
given 3
0 1 2 3 4 5
cash flows

- Cash flow
Cash Flow Diagrams
Example: Find an amount to deposit 2 years from
now so that $4,000 per year can be available for 5
years starting 3 years from now. Assume i = 15.5% per
year
Exmaple
P=$10,000 is borrowed at 8% per year and F is
sought after 5 years. Construct the cash flow
diagram.
Solution

34
Example
Each year Exxon-Mobil expends large amounts of
funds for mechanical safety features throughout its
worldwide operations.
Carla Ramos, a lead engineer for Mexico and Central
American operations, plans expenditures of $1
million now and each of the next 4 years just for the
improvement of field-based pressure release valves.
Construct the cash flow diagram to find the
equivalent value of these expenditures at the end of
year 4, using a cost of capital estimate for safety-
related funds of 12% per year.

35
Example

36
Rule of 72
Approximate n = 72 / i
Estimates # of years (n) for an amount to double (2X) at a
stated compound interest rate

E.g. at i = 10%, $1,000 doubles to $2,000 in ~7.2 years


Solution for i estimates compound rate to double in n years

•Approximate i = 72 / n
Rule of 72
• Number of Years Required for Money to Double

38
Introduction to Spreadsheet Functions
To display Excel Function
Present value, P = PV(i%,n,A,F)
Future value, F = FV(i%,n,A,P)
Annual amount, A = PMT(i%,n,P,F)
# of periods, n = NPER(i%,A,P,F)
Compound rate, i = RATE(n,A,P,F)
i for input series = IRR(first_cell:last_cell)

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