INDE232/ILE232/ECON204
ENGINEERING ECONOMY
      CHAPTER 1
                         1
   Basics of Engineering Economy
               by
Leland Blank and Anthony Tarquin
           Chapter 1
   Foundations of Engineering
           Economy
     Chapter 1 - Foundations
      •PURPOSE                  •TOPICS
                          – Definition and study
                            approach
                          – Interest rate, ROR, and
    •Understand the         MARR
fundamental concepts of   – Equivalence
  engineering economy     – Interest – simple and
                            compound
                          – Cash flow diagrams
                          – Rules of 72 and 100
                 Introduction
The need for engineering economy is primarily
motivated by the work that engineers do in
performing
  – Analysis
  – Synthesizing
  – Coming to a conclusion
as they work on projects of all sizes.
                                                4
                      Definition
Engineering economy is a collection                       of
techniques that simplify comparison                       of
alternatives on economic bases.
Fundamental terminology:
   – Alternative -- stand-alone solution
   – Cash flows -- estimated inflows (revenues) and
     outflows (costs) for an alternative
   – Evaluation criteria -- Basis used to select ‘best’
     alternative; usually money (currency of the
     country)
                                                           5
Engineering economy
  –is not a method or process for
    determining alternatives
  –begins after the alternatives are
    determined
  –will not point the best alternative if it
    has not been recognised
                                               6
In Engineering Economy is the sole criteria for
selecting the best alternative.
  – Sometimes other factors will dominate and
    selecting the alternative.
     • Most project decisions consider additional factors –
       safety, environmental, political, public acceptance, etc.
     (multi-attribute analysis)
                                                                   7
                   Example
• Living in North Cyprus as a student
  – On campus single
  – On campus multi
  – Off campus in a shared flat
  – Off campus in a shared house
                                        8
                    Example
• In economic analysis, financial units are
  generally the TANGIBLE basis for evaluation
• When there are several ways to accomplish a
  stated objective,
  – the alternative with the lowest overall cost or
  – highest overall net income
• is selected.
                                                      9
                          Example
• Intangible factors
   – Goodwill, convenience, friendship, morale, etc.
• When the alternatives under consideration are hard to distinguish
  economically, intangible factors may tilt the decision in the
  direction of one of the alternative.
                                                                      10
       Interest Rate, ROR, MARR
 Interest is a manifestation of time value of money
  Time value of money
      The change in the amount of money over a
       given time period
 Calculated as difference between an ending amount
and a beginning amount of money
      Interest = end amount – original amount
       Interest Rate, ROR, MARR
Interest rate is interest over specified time period
     based on original amount
                        interest accrued per time unit
                                                       x 100%
   Interest rate (%) =        original amount
 Interest rate and rate of return (ROR) have same
      numeric value, but different interpretations
    Interest Rate and ROR Interpretations
•Borrower’s perspective        •Investor’s perspective
•Take loan of $5,000 for     •Invest (or lend) $5,000 for
one year; repay $5,350       one year; receive $5,350
•Interest paid = $350
                             •Interest earned = $350
•Interest rate = 350/5,000
•            = 7%            •Rate of return =
                             350/5,000
     •INTEREST RATE          •             = 7%
                                 •RATE OF RETURN
                    ROR and MARR
• Cost of capital (COC) – interest
  rate paid for funds to finance
  projects                             ROR
• MARR – Minimum ROR needed
  for an alternative to be justified
  and economically acceptable.
  MARR ≥ COC.
•       If COC = 5% and 6% must
  be realized, MARR = 11%
• Always, for acceptable projects
•   ROR ≥ MARR > COC
                           Time Unit
• The time unit of the interest rate is called the
  Interest period
   – The most common interest period is ‘one year’
   – Shorter periods
      •   Overnight
      •   Day
      •   Week
      •   Month
      •   Quarter (3 months)
      •   Half year (6 months)
   are also used.
                                                     15
                   Example
Borrow: $10,000
Repay: $10,800 (one year after)
   –Interest paid : end amount – beginning
    amount
   –Interest paid: 10,800 – 10,000 = $800
                   𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑃𝑎𝑖𝑑
• Interest rate:                   ∗ 100
                     𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑎𝑙
                    800
• Interest rate:            ∗ 100=8% per year
                   10,000
                                                16
                       Example
Calculate the principal deposited one year ago,
when the accumulated total now is $10,000
with IR=5%
     Total accrued = original + Interest
        =Original + Original * IR
  . $10,000 = X ( 1 + IR)
     • = X ( 1+0.05) = X ( 1.05)
  . Original (X) = 10,000 / 1,05 = $9,523.80
                                                  17
                   Example
– Calculate the interest earned over the period
– Interest earned = Ending amount – beginning amount
    • Interest= 10,000 – 9,523.81 = $476.19
    • Alternatively
    • Interest = Original * IR
    • Interest = 9523.80 * (5/100) = $476.19
                                                       18
                       Equivalence
  Different sums of money at different times may be equal
     in economic value
                    Interest rate = 6% per year
        -1                       0                  1
                                                   $106 one
                                                  year from
 $94.34 last year          $100 now                  now
 Interpretation: $94.34 last year, $100 now, and $106 one year
from now are equivalent only at an interest rate of 6% per year
                     Equivalence
Based on 5% annual interest
 $98.00 now             1.05   $102.90 next year
 $200.00 last year      1.05   $210.00 now
 $38.00 now             1.05   $ 39.90 one year from now
 $3000.00 now was       1.05   $ 2,857.14 one year ago
                                                           20
        Simple and Compound Interest
Simple interest is always based on the
original amount, which is also called the
principal
Interest per period = (principal)(interest rate)
Total interest = (principal)(n periods)(interest rate)
     Example: Invest $250,000 in a bond at 5% per year
                         simple
Interest each year = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500
Interest over 3 years = 250,000(3)(0.05) = $37,500
         Simple and Compound Interest
Compound interest is based on the principal
       plus all accrued interest
Interest per period = (principal + accrued interest)(interest rate)
Total interest = (principal)(1+interest rate)n periods - principal
      Example: Invest $250,000 at 5% per year compounded
           Interest, year 1 = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500
           Interest, year 2 = 262,500(0.05) = $13,125
           Interest, year 3 = 275,625(0.05) = $13,781
    Interest over 3 years = 250,000(1.05)3 – 250,000 = $39,406
                        Example
$5000 borrowed at interest rate=8% per year for 5
years.
Compare various interest applications/repayment
      a) Simple interest, pay all at the end
      b) Compound interest, pay all at the end
                                                    23
                                 Example
a)   Loan: 5000, ir=8% simple
End of year    Interest for   Total owed end of   End of year   Total owed
                   year              year          payment       after pay
     0                                                            5000
     1            400               5400                          5400
     2            400               5800                          5800
     3            400               6200                          6200
     4            400               6600                          6600
     5            400               7000             7000         0000
                                                                             24
                                  Example
b) Loan: 5000, ir=8%, Compound interest pay all at the end
  End of year      Interest for   Total owed end     End of year   Total owed
                       year           of year         payment       after pay
       0                                                             5000
       1               400             5400                          5400
       2               432            5832.00                       5832.00
       3             466.56           6298.56                       6298.56
       4             503.88           6802.44                       6802.44
       5             544.20           7346.64          7346.64       0000
                                                                                25
    Terminology and Symbols
 t = time index in periods; years, months,
 etc.
 P = present sum of money at time t = 0; $
 F = sum of money at a future time t; $
 A = series of equal, end-of-period cash
  flows;   currency per period, $ per year
 n = total number of periods; years, months
 i = compound interest rate or rate of return;
      % per year
         Terminology and Symbols
• P = Present worth, PW
     •   Present Value, PV
     •   Net Present Value, NPV
     •   Discounted cash Flow, DCF
     •   Capitalised cost, CC
• F = Future worth, FW
     • Future value, FV
• A = Annual worth, AW
     • Equivalent uniform Annual worth, EUAW
                                               27
       Terminology and Symbols
A new college graduate has a job with Boeing
Aerospace. She plans to borrow $10,000 now to
help in buying a car. She has arranged to repay the
entire principal plus 8% per year interest after 5
years. Identify the engineering economy symbols
involved and their values for the total owed after 5
years.
Solution
The future amount F is unknown.
P=$10,000 i=8% per year n=5 years F=?
                                                       28
        Terminology and Symbols
Example: Borrow $5,000 today and repay
annually for 10 years starting next year at 5% per
year compounded. Identify all symbols.
Given: P = $5,000                   Find: A = ? per year
       i = 5% per year
       n = 10 years
       t = year 1, 2, …, 10
                              (F not used here)
        Terminology and Symbols
You plan to make a lump-sum deposit of $5000 now into
an investment account that pays 6% per year, and you
plan to withdraw an equal end-of-year amount of $1000
for 5 years, starting next year. At the end of the sixth year,
you plan to close your account by withdrawing the
remaining money. Define the engineering economy
symbols involved.
i= 6% per year
F =? at end of year 6
A = $1000 per year for 5 years
P= $5000
                                                             30
           Cash Flow Estimates
Cash inflow – receipt, revenue, income, saving
Cash outflows – cost, expense, disbursement, loss
    Net cash flow (NCF) = inflow – outflow
End-of-period convention: all cash flows and NCF
occur at the end of an interest period
                           Cash Flow Diagrams
              Year 1                                      Year 5
                                                                       Typical time
                                                                        scale or 5
        0              1      2 Time, t       3       4            5
                                                                          years
  + Cash flow
              P=?                                                       Find P in
                                                                         year 0,
                                                                         given 3
        0              1      2           3       4                5
                                                                       cash flows
- Cash flow
          Cash Flow Diagrams
Example: Find an amount to deposit 2 years from
now so that $4,000 per year can be available for 5
years starting 3 years from now. Assume i = 15.5% per
year
                  Exmaple
P=$10,000 is borrowed at 8% per year and F is
sought after 5 years. Construct the cash flow
diagram.
Solution
                                                34
                    Example
Each year Exxon-Mobil expends large amounts of
funds for mechanical safety features throughout its
worldwide operations.
Carla Ramos, a lead engineer for Mexico and Central
American operations, plans expenditures of $1
million now and each of the next 4 years just for the
improvement of field-based pressure release valves.
Construct the cash flow diagram to find the
equivalent value of these expenditures at the end of
year 4, using a cost of capital estimate for safety-
related funds of 12% per year.
                                                    35
Example
          36
                     Rule of 72
                   Approximate n = 72 / i
Estimates # of years (n) for an amount to double (2X) at a
stated compound interest rate
E.g. at i = 10%, $1,000 doubles to $2,000 in ~7.2 years
   Solution for i estimates compound rate to double in n years
                     •Approximate i = 72 / n
                 Rule of 72
• Number of Years Required for Money to Double
                                                 38
Introduction to Spreadsheet Functions
      To display               Excel Function
   Present value, P          = PV(i%,n,A,F)
   Future value, F           = FV(i%,n,A,P)
   Annual amount, A          = PMT(i%,n,P,F)
   # of periods, n           = NPER(i%,A,P,F)
   Compound rate, i          = RATE(n,A,P,F)
   i for input series = IRR(first_cell:last_cell)