Centered Moving

Month of Year Date Sales Dollars MA12 5 Up MA12 6 Up Average

1 Jan-15 40,504
2 Feb-15 44,155
3 Mar-15 32,519
4 Apr-15 22,735
5 May-15 28,346
6 Jun-15 26,602
7 Jul-15 40,745
8 Aug-15 22,436
9 Sep-15 51,947
10 Oct-15 69,099
11 Nov-15 38,902
12 Dec-15 36,312
1 Jan-16 54,342
2 Feb-16 60,929
3 Mar-16 53,082
4 Apr-16 32,340
5 May-16 63,366
6 Jun-16 34,489
7 Jul-16 40,094
8 Aug-16 31,277
9 Sep-16 47,272
10 Oct-16 68,320
11 Nov-16 48,696
12 Dec-16 57,873
1 Jan-17 57,102
2 Feb-17 60,449
3 Mar-17 49,101
4 Apr-17 49,150
5 May-17 56,241
6 Jun-17 55,848
7 Jul-17 47,111
8 Aug-17 68,015
9 Sep-17 66,832
10 Oct-17 76,579
11 Nov-17 58,981
12 Dec-17 49,390
1 Jan-18 66,647
2 Feb-18 74,192
3 Mar-18 54,757
4 Apr-18 45,885
5 May-18 66,580
6 Jun-18 47,985
7 Jul-18 51,957
 8 Aug-18 47,998
9 Sep-18 75,928
10 Oct-18 79,857
11 Nov-18 67,521
12 Dec-18 66,823
1 Jan-19 67,603
2 Feb-19 61,578
3 Mar-19 84,970
4 Apr-19 58,430
5 May-19 61,597
6 Jun-19 59,079
7 Jul-19 56,316
8 Aug-19 72,000
9 Sep-19 77,440
10 Oct-19 82,055
11 Nov-19 72,055
12 Dec-19 69,281
Initial Seasonal Normalized Deseasonalized Sales
Estimate Seasonality Dollars
 Centered Moving
Month of Year Date Sales Dollars MA12 5 Up MA12 6 Up Average
1 Jan-15 40,504
2 Feb-15 44,155
3 Mar-15 32,519
4 Apr-15 22,735
5 May-15 28,346
6 Jun-15 26,602 $39,012 $37,859 $38,435
7 Jul-15 40,745 $40,410 $39,012 $39,711
8 Aug-15 22,436 $42,123 $40,410 $41,266
9 Sep-15 51,947 $42,924 $42,123 $42,523
10 Oct-15 69,099 $45,842 $42,924 $44,383
11 Nov-15 38,902 $46,499 $45,842 $46,170
12 Dec-15 36,312 $46,445 $46,499 $46,472
1 Jan-16 54,342 $47,182 $46,445 $46,813
2 Feb-16 60,929 $46,792 $47,182 $46,987
3 Mar-16 53,082 $46,727 $46,792 $46,760
4 Apr-16 32,340 $47,543 $46,727 $47,135
5 May-16 63,366 $49,340 $47,543 $48,442
6 Jun-16 34,489 $49,570 $49,340 $49,455
7 Jul-16 40,094 $49,530 $49,570 $49,550
8 Aug-16 31,277 $49,198 $49,530 $49,364
9 Sep-16 47,272 $50,599 $49,198 $49,899
10 Oct-16 68,320 $50,005 $50,599 $50,302
11 Nov-16 48,696 $51,785 $50,005 $50,895
12 Dec-16 57,873 $52,370 $51,785 $52,078
1 Jan-17 57,102 $55,432 $52,370 $53,901
2 Feb-17 60,449 $57,062 $55,432 $56,247
3 Mar-17 49,101 $57,750 $57,062 $57,406
4 Apr-17 49,150 $58,607 $57,750 $58,178
5 May-17 56,241 $57,900 $58,607 $58,253
6 Jun-17 55,848 $58,695 $57,900 $58,298
7 Jul-17 47,111 $59,841 $58,695 $59,268
8 Aug-17 68,015 $60,312 $59,841 $60,076
9 Sep-17 66,832 $60,040 $60,312 $60,176
10 Oct-17 76,579 $60,901 $60,040 $60,471
11 Nov-17 58,981 $60,246 $60,901 $60,574
12 Dec-17 49,390 $60,650 $60,246 $60,448
1 Jan-18 66,647 $58,982 $60,650 $59,816
2 Feb-18 74,192 $59,740 $58,982 $59,361
3 Mar-18 54,757 $60,013 $59,740 $59,877
4 Apr-18 45,885 $60,725 $60,013 $60,369
5 May-18 66,580 $62,178 $60,725 $61,451
6 Jun-18 47,985 $62,257 $62,178 $62,217
7 Jul-18 51,957 $61,206 $62,257 $61,732
 8 Aug-18 47,998 $63,724 $61,206 $62,465
9 Sep-18 75,928 $64,769 $63,724 $64,246
10 Oct-18 79,857 $64,354 $64,769 $64,562
11 Nov-18 67,521 $65,278 $64,354 $64,816
12 Dec-18 66,823 $65,642 $65,278 $65,460
1 Jan-19 67,603 $67,642 $65,642 $66,642
2 Feb-19 61,578 $67,768 $67,642 $67,705
3 Mar-19 84,970 $67,951 $67,768 $67,859
4 Apr-19 58,430 $68,329 $67,951 $68,140
5 May-19 61,597 $68,534 $68,329 $68,431
6 Jun-19 59,079
7 Jul-19 56,316
8 Aug-19 72,000
9 Sep-19 77,440
10 Oct-19 82,055
11 Nov-19 72,055
12 Dec-19 69,281

Candy Com
Average of Initial Normalized 160%
Month of Year Month Seasonal Estimate Seasonality
140%
1 January 1.08721073124482 110%
2 February 1.1326986285553 114% 120%
3 March 1.03929824464424 105% 100%
4 April 0.78712641423541 79%
80%
5 May 1.06428426142296 107%
6 June 0.779684582868424 79% 60%
7 July 0.867938180140368 88% 40%
8 August 0.769457621909542 78%
20%
9 September 1.11535198312679 113%
10 October 1.35459469021036 137% 0%
ry ry ch ril
11 November 0.953699273683684 96% nua rua ar Ap
J a eb M
12 December 0.932635958830847 94% F

11.8839805708727 1200%

12

Actual Sales VS Desasonalized

100,000

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000
 Actual Sales VS Desasonalized
100,000

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

-
Jan-15 Mar-15May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17

Sales Dollars Deseasonalized Sales Dol

Candy Company
Month Seasonal Index
January 110%
February 114%
March 105%
April 79%
May 107%
June 79%
July 88%
August 78%
September 113%
October 137%
November 96%
December 94%
Initial Seasonal Normalized Deseasonalized
Estimate Seasonality Sales Dollars
110% $36,895
114% $38,605
105% $30,987
79% $28,604
107% $26,376
0.69212806875663 79% $33,789
1.02604889124855 88% $46,491
0.54368830088319 78% $28,876
1.22161286118686 113% $46,124
1.55689157929522 137% $50,518
0.84257339875516 96% $40,396
0.78137443099647 94% $38,558
1.16082622692848 110% $49,500
1.29672611895364 114% $53,271
1.13521215366917 105% $50,581
0.6861119263395 79% $40,689
1.30808989169955 107% $58,963
0.69738145789101 79% $43,807
0.80916246215944 88% $45,748
0.63359777976415 78% $40,255
0.94735998289868 113% $41,973
1.35819086802849 137% $49,948
0.95678791505763 96% $50,566
1.11128339666027 94% $61,453
1.0593915669077 110% $52,014
1.07471576009174 114% $52,851
0.85533429868589 105% $46,788
0.84481683102016 79% $61,839
0.965454791246 107% $52,333
0.95798070676121 79% $70,936
0.79488143888878 88% $53,754
1.13214456628035 78% $87,539
1.11061118762295 113% $59,341
1.26638347131355 137% $55,986
0.97370493702241 96% $61,247
0.81706478148604 94% $52,445
1.11420099012039 110% $60,708
1.24984592836757 114% $64,867
0.9144990104632 105% $52,177
0.76007658466623 79% $57,731
1.08346267053695 107% $61,954
0.77124809806485 79% $60,949
0.84165992826471 88% $59,284
 0.76839984071048 78% $61,776
1.18182390079868 113% $67,417
1.23691284220418 137% $58,383
1.04173084389954 96% $70,115
1.0208212261806 94% $70,957
1.01442414102271 110% $61,579
0.90950670680823 114% $53,838
1.25214751575868 105% $80,967
0.85750031491576 79% $73,514
0.90012969220933 107% $57,317
79% $75,040
88% $64,257
78% $92,668
113% $68,760
137% $59,990
96% $74,823
94% $73,567

Candy Company Seasonality Index

ry ry ch ril ay ne Ju
ly st be
r er be
r
be
r
rua ar Ap M Ju ugu m tob m m
eb M A te Oc ve ce
F
S ep No De

S Desasonalized Sales
S Desasonalized Sales

7 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19

Deseasonalized Sales Dollars