GCC Tourism Growth Strategy
GCC Tourism Growth Strategy
Destination
Middle East
Boosting the
region’s position
in global tourism
Contacts
Dubai
Karim Abdallah
Partner
+971-4-436-3000
karim.abdallah
@strategyand.ae.pwc.com
Marwan Bejjani
Partner
+971-4-436-3000
marwan.bejjani
@strategyand.ae.pwc.com
Dima Sayess
Partner
+971-4-436-3000
dima.sayess
@strategyand.ae.pwc.com
Vivek Madan
Principal
+971-4-436-3000
vivek.madan
@strategyand.ae.pwc.com
Melissa Rizk
Senior Fellow, Ideation Center
+971-4-436-3000
melissa.rizk
@strategyand.ae.pwc.com
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Karim Abdallah is a partner with Strategy& Middle East, part of the PwC network. Based in Dubai,
he is a member of the family business, investments, and real estate practice in the Middle East.
He leads the real estate platform in the region and supports clients in identifying opportunities in
the growing tourism sector, defining winning concepts and conducting feasibility studies for mega-
projects and large-scale tourism destinations.
Marwan Bejjani is a partner with Strategy& Middle East. Based in Dubai, he leads the travel and
tourism platform in the Middle East. He supports clients in defining winning strategies across the
travel and tourism sector. His experience covers destination development and activation, travel
distribution, destination management company setup, governance, and partnership development.
Dima Sayess is a partner with Strategy& Middle East and the director of the Ideation Center,
the leading think tank for Strategy& Middle East. Based in Dubai, she has more than 15 years of
experience in public-sector consulting in the region, including working for Strategy&, focusing on
socioeconomic and government reforms. She has also worked as a strategic development advisor at
Dubai’s Executive Council.
Vivek Madan is a principal with Strategy& Middle East. Based in Dubai, he is a member of the
travel and tourism platform in the Middle East. He specializes in strategy development, commercial
performance optimization, and new business ventures and is an expert in aviation. He recently
supported the strategy development and execution of a multicontent aggregation platform for
tourism in the GCC region.
Melissa Rizk is a senior fellow with the Ideation Center. Based in Dubai, she has worked on thought
leadership projects focusing on economic and social development, national and corporate digitization
trends and applications in the GCC region, and the leisure and entertainment sector. Her previous
experience was as an associate within Strategy& Middle East’s government and public sector practice.
The performance of the GCC countries and Egypt has often not matched their ambition. With
the exception of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which attracts large numbers of visitors, these
countries do not receive as many tourists as they could. These numbers were further reduced
by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the scale of the long-term opportunity remains unaltered.
To develop the sector, governments need to embark on a five-stage tourism journey. First,
they should define their vision for tourism in their country. Second, they should introduce
effective governance structures. Third, they need to identify the travelers that are most likely
to be attracted to their offerings, segmented by source markets and sociodemographic
profiles. Fourth, they must prepare the destination by burnishing the appeal of their tourism
products and experiences, and ensuring that destinations are ready to welcome tourists. Fifth,
they need to ensure tourists will visit the country, which involves marketing and promotion
campaigns aimed at target travelers in source markets, platforms that convert prospective
tourists’ interest into bookings, and transport connections to the destination. All of this needs
to take advantage of the digital technologies that are involved in all stages of tourism, for
providers and travelers alike.
Once the stages are completed, the country should review and renew them regularly to
reinforce its position in the global tourism market. By developing tourism systematically, these
countries have the opportunity to build thriving global tourism destinations in the Middle East
that contribute to their economies and create jobs.
The GCC and Egypt understand tourism’s potential for economic diversification, growth, and
job creation and have sought to become part of the recent global expansion in the sector.
These governments’ vision of building major tourism destinations in the Middle East is as
compelling as ever.
In recent years, the GCC and Egypt have focused on enhancing their tourism infrastructure
and offerings, and marketing their destinations far and wide. However, performance has often
not matched ambition. Tourist arrivals were still relatively low for most of these countries in
2019, ranging between 0.1 and 0.7 travelers per head, with the exceptions of Bahrain and
the UAE at 7.4 and 2.5, respectively.2 By comparison, Spain and Singapore attracted 1.8 and
3.3 travelers per head, respectively.3 There has also been little growth in tourist arrivals in the
region between 2014 and 2019, with decreases in some countries.4
The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the travel and tourism sector and brought much of it
to a temporary halt. Strategy& is forecasting that those countries with an established tourism
sector could have to wait at least three to five years for tourism to regain the level of demand
it enjoyed in 2019. Nonetheless, historically tourism has proven to be among the most resilient
sectors. Indeed, in recent years tourism has been a success story, contributing 10.3 percent
to global GDP in 2019.5 The sector was expected to grow by nearly 50 percent in the coming
decades, principally due to more frequent travel among the middle class and the youth
population, along with the emergence of new destinations.6 As such, GCC and Egypt should
not be distracted from the long-term tourism opportunity.
The GCC countries and Egypt need to adopt a systematic and coherent approach, a tourism
journey that will develop the sector over the long term (see Exhibit 1). What the tourism journey
does is create a structure within which the government and stakeholders, in the public and
private sectors, can act and coordinate. At the end of the journey, the government will need to
review and renew its approach, to continuously reinvent and innovate to prevent its offerings
from becoming stale. Reinforcing the relationship between travelers and the country is critical,
as the strength of a tourism destination comes from its reputation and repeat visitors.
Travel distribution
and connectivity
Marketing and promotion
5 CONNECT TOURISTS
TO DESTINATIONS
Source: Strategy&
The first stage of the tourism journey is for the government to define its national tourism vision
and plans. To design a consistent strategy and secure collective commitment, all stakeholders,
public and private, need to understand and support this vision.
The vision will incorporate target outcomes, such as the anticipated number of tourists,
tourism’s contribution to GDP and job creation, and the country’s desired image as a tourist
destination. Already countries across the region have set objectives. Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030,
for example, aims to make the country an appealing destination for regional and international
travelers. It plans to offer multiple integrated tourism products and experiences, such as
religious; heritage; entertainment; urban; and meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions
(MICE). Saudi Arabia wants to increase the number of domestic and international tourists to
100 million a year by 2030 and boost the sector’s contribution to 10 percent of GDP, up from 3
percent in 2018.7
Other countries have a niche approach. For example, Bahrain aims to become an elite
international and regional family destination.
The second stage is to ensure that there is effective governance that aligns the aspirations
and roles of all public and private stakeholders, thereby ensuring successful implementation
of the vision and plans.
In the third stage, the government must determine which tourists constitute its main target
segments. These are the travelers most likely to be attracted to the country’s offerings.
The government should segment these tourists according to their markets of origin and
their sociodemographic profiles. Data analytics and data sharing between tourism-sector
stakeholders, particularly when exploiting predictive and behavioral analysis, can support
governments in making informed decisions about which tourists to attract. Artificial
Intelligence (AI), machine learning, and geolocation can be used to identify target travelers
and predict their preferences.
Governments should prioritize the source markets that can make the most significant
economic contribution. Travelers from these source markets should be able to travel to their
destinations with relative ease and be a natural fit for the region.
One of the effects of the pandemic has been to encourage travelers to seek destinations
closer to home, including those accessible by car. This means domestic and short-haul travel
is an important opportunity, an offering that will endure with customer loyalty. Travel bubbles,
also known as travel bridges or corona corridors, are essential to any such international
travel at present. These are exclusive arrangements between countries that follow similar
procedures to suppress infection rates. They allow people to travel within a specified zone
without the need for quarantine.
For some travelers, language and cultural fit also facilitate tourism. These travelers are more
likely to visit countries in which they can communicate easily through a shared language and
where they feel at home with the country’s moral, religious, and social norms. Familiarity with
a country encourages visitors and provides a stable stream of travelers.
The GCC and Egypt have two kinds of visitor profiles: concentrated and diversified. The
UAE and Egypt have diversified profiles, hosting visitors from a diverse range of countries,
a demonstration of their widespread appeal. Egypt has the largest share of Europeans, but
received a low percentage of Asians in comparison with GCC countries (see Exhibit 2). In
recent years, new source markets have emerged, in particular from Asia. Visitors from China
and India have been growing at a rate of more than 25 and 10 percent per year, respectively,
since 2013.10
EXHIBIT 2
The largest tourism markets tend to have the most diverse visitors
9% 23% 36%
25%
68% 63% 60%
44% 39%
30% 30%
EXHIBIT 3
The region has potential for domestic tourism
(2018 data)
2.7% 3.0
2.4%
2.5
1.0
2.0
0.70
1.5
0.5
1.0
0.22
0.3% 0.5
0.04 0.02
0.13 0.00
0.0 0.0
Saudi Arabia UAE Oman Egypt Qatar Bahrain Kuwait
Domestic trips per capita (per 1,000 population) Domestic tourism spend as % of GDP
Some countries, such as Malaysia, are using domestic tourism to test offerings before mass
international travel resumes. Malaysia is focusing on two domestic tourism categories: safe
and green. Tourism Malaysia has launched campaigns such as #TravelLater to encourage
its citizens to stay home and visit domestic destinations to promote economic recovery. As
a result of these efforts, the country’s domestic tourism sector is expected to grow by 30
percent in the coming year.12
The government must also define the profiles of the target segments, identifying those most
likely to be drawn to the country’s tourism offerings. The GCC and Egypt should evaluate nine
segments that align with budget and desired experiences (see Exhibit 4).
Budget-
conscious Middle- to low-income Organized activities;
Comfort
comfort travelers international brands
seekers
Comfort and
Well-off families and Sun and beach or urban
well-being Well-being
couples destinations
seekers
Sports and
Young travelers on a Unique Exotic and less conventional
entertainment
budget experiences destinations
enthusiasts
Wealthy
Customized and personalized
world High-income travelers Discovery
programs
travelers
Source: Strategy&
The fourth stage is for governments to prepare the destination itself. This means enhancing
the appeal of tourism products and experiences, and ensuring that the destination can
welcome tourists.
The government should ensure that its tourism products are consistent with the preferences
of target tourist segments. Depending on its target market, a country’s tourism products can
focus on such intrinsic attributes as culture and heritage, “sun and beach,” or nature. There is
also the potential for offerings that are not intrinsic but that can be built. These include urban
tourism, which can mean shopping, MICE, and entertainment activities, such as theme parks,
concerts, and events.
Most countries should focus on a limited number of offerings. Currently, the UAE emphasizes
human-built offerings, while Egypt, Oman, and Saudi Arabia concentrate on intrinsic offerings
(see Exhibit 5).
The UAE has cruises, MICE, sports and Egypt has heritage and culture, along with Saudi Arabia has mostly religious tourism, with
entertainment, and urban offerings, but with some sun and beach offerings. plans to expand into heritage and culture,
some sun and beach, and modern arts. MICE, urban, and nature.
Qatar has some MICE and modern arts offerings. Oman has nature, and some heritage and Bahrain has some sports and entertainment,
culture, and sports and entertainment offerings. and urban offerings.
Kuwait
Nature Cruises
Modern arts
Note: Saudi Arabia’s targets are based on its ambitious plans and ongoing mega-projects. Analysis does not account for education and healthcare tourism, as they are minor or non-
existent in most countries.
Source: National tourism websites; TripAdvisor; Lonely Planet; Google maps; Google travel; The Culture Trip; Time Out; Cruise mapper: Royal Caribbean (https://www.cruisemapper.com/
cruise-lines/Royal-Caribbean-1); Strategy& analysis
The government needs to ensure its destinations can receive its target tourists and provide
them the experiences they seek. The GCC and Egypt can do this through two exercises:
assessing their state of readiness, and bearing in mind the specific needs of target traveler
segments. The government can use the results of these exercises to prioritize its efforts and
to coordinate with public and private stakeholders.
Assess readiness
There are eight main areas of readiness. The GCC and Egypt are at very different levels of
readiness in terms of accommodation, food and beverages, tours, and the other elements that
make a destination ready (see Exhibit 6).
EXHIBIT 6
The GCC and Egypt need to assess their state of tourism readiness based on quantity and quality of supply
Saudi
UAE Egypt Qatar Oman Kuwait Bahrain Arabia
FOOD
Variety, quality, and availability
AND BEVERAGES
TOUR SERVICES
Availability
AND ACTIVITIES
Quality and amount of tourism-specific talent,
HUMAN CAPITAL availability of training programs
Overall readiness
Source: World Travel & Tourism Council, “Global Talent Trends and Issues for the Travel & Tourism Sector” (2014); World Travel & Tourism Council and the World Economic Forum, “Travel
and Tourism competitiveness index,” 2017 and 2019 editions; World Travel & Tourism Council Data Gateway (https://tool.wttc.org/); national visions and plans; Abu Dhabi Tourism &
Culture Authority; Booking.com; TripAdvisor; Viator; Numbeo; Dubai Statistics Center; Visit Qatar; Statista; CEIC Data; Strategy& analysis
Tour services and activities Tours and activities help visitors discover destinations, and are
vital for heritage and cultural offerings. Egypt, an established heritage and cultural destination,
offers 1.54 tours/activities per 1,000 travelers. The UAE similarly offers a large number of
activities when compared to other leading urban destinations such as Singapore. By contrast,
Bahrain and Saudi Arabia have only limited offerings of fewer than 0.02 tours per 1,000
inbound travelers.14
Human capital Qualified multilingual guides and personnel improve the traveler experience.
Qatar and the UAE have highly qualified staff with globally recognized, tourism-specific
certifications and accreditations. For example, the UAE offers the International Air Transport
Association diploma.15 Qatar has partnered with Stenden University in the Netherlands to train
and license tour guides.16 Other countries, however, have been struggling to recruit quality
staff consistently, although moves are afoot to improve skills.
Security, healthcare, and the environment The GCC countries are notable for their security.
They are improving their healthcare, which is often free to visitors who require emergency
treatment. Some GCC countries and Egypt need to improve their environmental practices, in
particular to reduce urban pollution.
EXHIBIT 7
Factors that increase travelers’ willingness to visit the GCC and Egypt
(percentage of survey respondents in each country)
Quality of accommodation
28% 27% 19%
and food and beverage outlets
Note: Strategy& carried out a survey of 1,000 people in China, Morocco, and France asking which of these factors would increase their willingness to visit the Gulf Cooperation Council
countries and Egypt.
Source: Strategy& survey
The fifth stage is to complete the tourism journey by bringing tourists to the country.
Successful tourism visions result in bookings and repeat visitors. Too often tourism strategies
around the world miss this vital stage.
The elements of this final stage of the journey are: marketing and promotion campaigns aimed
at target travelers in source markets, platforms that convert this interest into bookings, and
transport connections to the destination.
Carefully targeted marketing and promotion should raise awareness and interest in the
destination among sought-after travelers, and increase the likelihood that this interest results
in bookings. Countries should aim for specific segments using a mixture of traditional media,
sponsorship, and such digital channels as social networks and online travel agents (OTAs). A
country could showcase some of its most attractive tourism products on television channels
in source markets or event sponsorships and global trade fairs. More important, it needs to
focus on digital platforms as they are fast gaining in popularity.
Such targeted marketing and promotion is vital for Egypt and most GCC countries and cities,
apart from Dubai, as they do not show up in travelers’ searches for holidays (see Exhibit 8).
The goal must be to make themselves synonymous with the kind of tourism experiences their
target segments want.
75
67 63 60
38
25
10 7 6 6 5 5
U.S. U.K. France Singapore Egypt China UAE Qatar Saudi Kuwait Bahrain Oman
Arabia
65 61 59 59
43
12
4 3 2 2 1
Las London Paris Dubai New York Abu Cairo Doha Jeddah Riyadh Muscat
Vegas Dhabi
Note: Computes a score out of 100 based on the frequency of searching for the destination on Google, under its travel category. According to Google, “Numbers represent search interest
relative to the highest point on the chart for the given region and time. A value of 100 is the peak popularity for the term. A value of 50 means that the term is half as popular. A score of
0 means there was not enough data for this term.”
Source: Google trends
Some countries are transforming their national tourism websites into one-stop shops,
allowing users to explore offerings and book holidays. These are all the more powerful when
they provide the personalized recommendations that travelers now expect. For instance,
Singapore’s website features an interactive trip-building tool that helps users to identify
their preferred travel style. It then offers bookable itineraries based on which activities and
experiences they select. The site advises people interested in culinary tourism to try certain
restaurants or cooks, such as the pastry chef Janice Wong,20 while recommending specific
eco-tourism guides to those seeking adventure.21 Countries’ websites can also use virtual
concierge services and chatbots to recommend and book personalized offerings and activities
at the destination.
Distributors in source markets help to promote destinations and push tourists to visit a
specific country or city. To do this, the GCC and Egypt need to create partnerships and
invest in their distribution channels. They should identify the right time to make acquisitions,
such as during the COVID-19 pandemic given the low prices caused by the travel recession.
Traditional travel agencies were still the largest distribution channel (see Exhibit 9). Such
traditional channels, with their high levels of customer service and frequent customer contact,
remain a preference for higher-paying or older visitors. Although online distribution channels
were already growing, the pandemic has accelerated adoption in a short time, disrupting the
traditional channels (see “Responding to crisis”).
EXHIBIT 9
Despite the growth of online channels, traditional channels remain dominant
2,895
4% Direct offline
2,438
7% 28% Direct online
1,983
23%
8%
17% Online travel agencies
21%
14%
13%
• Travel agents in key target markets Tourism entities can partner with or acquire
travel agents, operators, or airlines in target markets. An example is Tourism Australia,
which collaborates with more than 160 travel companies in its target markets, including
wholesale, retail, and online travel agencies. Emirates Group has acquired complete,
or partial, stakes in travel agencies, including online outlets, in target markets (such as
Travel Republic in Europe and Gold Medal Travel Group in the U.K.), and destination
management companies (such as Destination Asia).
• Online distributors Tourism entities can expand their distribution reach on online
platforms, mainly through partnering with online travel agencies. For example, both
Singapore and Hawaii in the U.S. have partnered with Expedia to develop microsites for
streamlined and innovative booking experiences.
Visitors need easy and affordable travel connections. Despite the short-term disruption
to global travel from the pandemic, the GCC countries and Egypt possess the long-term
advantage of being at a global crossroads — and from efforts in some of these countries to
develop aviation and aerospace industries. In 2019, Dubai International was the fourth busiest
airport in the world in terms of passenger numbers.24
Along with international connections, countries need to ensure there is convenient domestic
travel to major tourism sites. For example, visitors should be able to easily reach remote
attractions, such as Salalah in Oman or Al Ula in Saudi Arabia, which includes a UNESCO
World Heritage site.
As governments follow this systematic approach, they need to be conscious that their
target tourists also have a parallel journey, one suffused with digital experiences. Digital is
an absolute requirement that governments must incorporate at every stage of their tourism
journey. The pandemic has reinforced the critical role of digital technologies, such as by
allowing for touchless, and so safer, travel (see Exhibit 10).
EXHIBIT 10
Technology is reshaping travelers’ experiences
Security
- Touchless travel: biometrics,
facial recognition,
E-documentation, virtual
Assessment of options scanning
- Personalization of - Enhanced safety: COVI-passes
recommendations: one stop for health authentication
shops, e-agents, chatbots, - Robot cleaners Destination arrivals
facial recognition - Automated public transport
- Digital hotel self-check-ins:
Book e-concierge, mobile key
Discover rooms
- Predictive analytics for
In-flight occupancy rates and
experience preferences
- Personalized Travel
interaction
Review
Discover
- Awareness campaigns:
mobile and social media
- Predictive analytics for
target travelers and
preferences Review
Visit - Insights generation: data
analytics, gamification,
Bookings artificial intelligence
- Streamlined
booking services Touristic experience
- Immersive experiences:
virtual and augmented
reality, 3D mapping,
artificial intelligence
Source: “Multi-National Travel Trends - A Global Look at the Motivations and Behaviors of Travelers,” Expedia Group media solutions
(https://tinyurl.com/yyojg5x7); “Understanding the journey of the connected consumer in leisure travel,” Facebook (https://tinyurl.com/y3qx3ebf)
Tourism is an integral part of the economy in the GCC countries and Egypt. All these
countries need to act now to create a systematic tourism journey that will position them to
take advantage of the recovery in global tourism. As they build their sectors in response to
the target journey, they will develop renowned tourism destinations that will contribute to
sustainable growth and jobs.
14. Calculated using the tours and tickets 21. Singapore Tourism Board website
listed on Viator.com with traveler numbers (https://www.visitsingapore.com/see-do-
from Euromonitor database. singapore/explorers/).
15. International Air Transport Association, 22. UN World Tourism Organization, “Calling
“Dubai training center” (https://www. on innovators and entrepreneurs to
iata.org/en/training/courses/classroom- accelerate tourism recovery,” March 25,
training-centers/itc/dubai-training-center/). 2020 (https://www.unwto.org/calling-
on-innovators-and-entrepreneurs-to-
16. Saif al-Kuwari, “QTA, Stenden University accelerate-tourism-recovery).
join hands to train tour guides,” Gulf
Times, February 27, 2017 (https://www. 23. Drees & Sommer, “Preparing for
gulf-times.com/story/534574/QTA- Hospitality 2.0 in the post Covid-19 era,”
Stenden-University-join-hands-to-train- Hospitalitynet, May 4, 2020 (https://www.
tour-guides). hospitalitynet.org/news/4098465.html).
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