1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A similar event has A similar event has Similar event has Similar event has Similar event has Likely to occur once Event likely to occur Common occurrence
not yet occurred in not yet occurred in our occurred somewhere occurred somewhere occurred, or is likely to or twice in the facility several times in the (at least annually) at
Financial Impact our industry and industry in our industry within the UEP / UEG occur, within the lifetime facility lifetime the facility
SEVERITY
HEALTH AND SAFETY ENVIRONMENTAL Non-financial Impact ( EQUIPMENT DAMAGE, BUSINESS VALUE
LEVEL would only be a lifetime of 10 similar
LOST )
remote possibility facilities
• Future impact, e.g., unintended release, with widespread
damage to any environment and which remains in an
Comparable to the most catastrophic health/ safety "unsatisfactory" state for a period > 5 years.
incidents ever seen in industry. • Future impact with extensive damage to a sensitive
Public or investor outrage.
The potential for 100 or more fatalities (or onset of life environment and which remains in an "unsatisfactory" state for
threatening health effects) shall always be classified at a period > 5 years.
Threat of loss of license to operate. >$ 1 billion A 36 43 49 54 58 61 63 64
this level. • Future impact with widespread damage to a sensitive
environment and which can only be restored to a
"satisfactory"/agreed state in a period of more than 1 and up to
5 years.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a non-sensitive
environment and which remains in an "unsatisfactory" state for
a period > 5 years.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a sensitive
Catastrophic health/ safety incident causing very environment and which can only be restored to a
widespread fatalities within or outside a facility. "satisfactory"/agreed state in a period of more than 1 and up to Loss of license to operate a in a concession.
The potential for 50 or more fatalities (or onset of life 5 years. Intervention from Government.
threatening health effects) shall always be classified at • Future impact with widespread damage to a non-sensitive Damage to relationships with key stakeholders.
$ 500 m - $ 1 billion B 28 35 42 48 53 57 60 62
this level. environment and which can only be restored to a
"satisfactory"/agreed state in a period of more than 1 and up to
5 years.
• Future impact with widespread damage to a sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of around 1 year.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a non-sensitive
environment and which can only be restored to a
"satisfactory"/agreed state in a period of more than 1 and up to
5 years.
Catastrophic health/ safety incident causing widespread
• Future impact with widespread damage to a non-sensitive
fatalities within or outside a facility.
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent Loss of license to operate in a concession.
The potential for 10 or more fatalities (or onset of life
threatening health effects) shall always be classified at
capability in a period of around 1 year. Intervention from Government. $ 100 m - $ 500 m C 21 27 34 41 47 52 56 59
• Future impact with extensive damage to a sensitive Public or investor outrage.
this level.
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of around 1 year.
• Future impact with widespread damage to a sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of months.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a non-sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of around 1 year.
Very major health/ safety incident Severe enforcement action in a concession.
• Future impact with localized damage to a sensitive
The potential for 3 or more fatalities (or onset of life Interventions from Governments.
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
threatening health effects) shall always be classified at Public or investor outrage or localised or limited “interest-
capability in a period of around 1 year.
this level.
• Future impact with widespread damage to a non-sensitive
group” outrage. $ 5 m - $ 100 m D 15 20 26 33 40 46 51 55
30 or more injuries or health effects, either permanent or Prolonged adverse national or international media attention.
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
requiring hospital treatment for more than 24 hours. Widespread adverse social impact.
capability in a period of months.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of months.
• Future impact with localized damage to a non-sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of around 1 year.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a non-sensitive
Major health/ safety incident environment and which can be restored to an equivalent Other adverse enforcement action by regulators.
1 or 2 fatalities, acute or chronic, actual or alleged. capability in a period of months. Limited “interest-group” outrage.
10 or more injuries or health effects, either permanent or • Future impact with localized damage to a sensitive Short term adverse national or international media coverage.
$ 500 k - $ 5 m E 10 14 19 25 32 39 45 50
requiring hospital treatment for more than 24 hours. environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of months.
• Future impact with extensive damage to a sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of days or weeks.
• Future impact with localized damage to a non-sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of months.
Regulatory compliance issue which does not lead to regulatory
• Future impact with immediate area damage to a sensitive
or other higher severity level consequence
High impact health/ safety incident environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
Prolonged local media coverage.
Permanent partial disability(ies) capability in a period of months.
Several non-permanent injuries or health impacts. • Future impact with extensive damage to a non-sensitive
Local adverse social impact. $ 100 k - $ 500 k F 6 9 13 18 24 31 38 44
Damage to relationships with key stakeholders of benefit to the
Days Away From Work Case (DAFWC). environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
business
capability in a period of days or weeks.
• Future impact with localized damage to a sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of days or weeks.
• Future impact with immediate area damage to a non-sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of months.
Short term local media coverage.
Medium impact health/ safety incident • Future impact with localized damage to a non-sensitive
Some disruption to local operations (e.g., loss of single road
Single or multiple recordable injury or health effects from environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
access less than 24 hours).
$ 25 k - $ 100 k G 3 5 8 12 17 23 30 37
common source/event. capability in a period of days or weeks.
• Future impact with immediate area damage to a sensitive
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
capability in a period of days or weeks.
Low impact health/ safety incident
• Future impact with immediate area damage to a non-sensitive
First aid Isolated and short term complaints from neighbours (e.g.,
Single or multiple over-exposures causing noticeable
environment and which can be restored to an equivalent
complaints about specific noise episode).
< $ 25 K H 1 2 4 7 11 16 22 29
capability in a period of days or weeks.
irritation but no actual health effects.
Probability 10-6 or lower >10 -6 to 10-5 >10 -5 to 10-4 >10 -4 to 10-3 >10 -3 to 10-2 >0.01 to 0.1 >0.1 to 0.25 >0.25
Frequency 10-6 /yr or lower >10 -6 to 10-5 /yr >10 -5 to 10-4 /yr >10 -4 to 10-3 /yr >10 -3 to 10-2 /yr >10 -2 to 10-1 / yr >10 -1 to 1 /yr >1 / yr
