Climate Change Unit 1-5
Climate Change Unit 1-5
1
The order of magnitude of the maximum horizontal scale of the atmosphere is of
course that
of the Earth itself, which is tens of thousands of kilometres, written - 10 000 km
the vertical scale of the atmosphere is very much smaller than the
radius of the Earth
the atmosphere has no definite upper surface. For example its
density falls continuously with increasing height, from values close to 1 kg m-3 at
the surface, to values more than ten thousand million (1010) times
the vertical extent of the
atmosphere can be usefully quantified by a so-called scale height
the lowest 100 km of the Earth's atmosphere the decadal scale height for pressure
Thus pressure a mean sea level (MSL) and at 16, 32 and 48 km above MSL, are about
1000, 100, 10 and 1 mbar respectively
1.2 THE STRATIFIED ATMOSPHERE
the atmosphere is squeezed into such a shallow layer overlying the surface, the
distributions of temperature, humidity and indeed of almost every observable property
are strongly anisotropic
vertical structure being usually much more closely packed and vertical gradients
correspondingly larger
For example, away from the complicating close proximity of the surface,
temperature decreases with height at a typical rate of about 6°C km - 1 up to heights
of between 10 and 15 km above MSL, whereas the strongest extensive horizontal
temperature gradients – isopleths (lines or surfaces of equal quantity, such as isobars
and isotherms)
this marked stratification of the structure of the atmosphere, there is an equally
marked stratification of its behaviour
the Earth's surface is a region dominated by turbulent interaction with the surface
the planetary boundary layer.
2
Its depth varies greatly with time and location, and even with the particular
atmospheric property under discussion, but is often -500 m
the rest of the atmosphere (about 95% of the total mass) is much less directly
influenced by the surface and is accordingly termed the free atmosphere
The planetary boundary layer together with the first 10-15 km of the free atmosphere
comprises the troposphere
The active and cloudy troposphere is separated from the relatively quiet and cloud
free stratosphere above by the nearly horizontal and often very sharply defined
tropopause
The thin atmospheric layer on the horizon is visible because of light scattered from
air molecules, dust and some cloud. Molecular scattering produced a blue cost in the
original colour photograph
it is so flattened by gravity and compressibility, and disturbances are much more
isotropic
3
1.3 DISTURBED ATMOSPHERE
Cumulus clouds as big as the mountains they resemble erupt and dissolve in periods
of tens of minutes
In middle latitudes vortices of continental scale (Fig. 1.1) grow and decay in periods
of a few days
They are streaked with great bands of cloud which produce rain, snow and locally
hail, and are associated with large areas of depressed atmospheric pressure at the
surface such depressions is extratropical cyclones
The technical name for such depressions is extratropical cyclones
Each of these weather systems contains and interact with activity on relatively smaller
scales: all types of cyclone contain cumulus, and
cumulus contain large turbulent elements
meteorology - should be the study of everything above the Earth's surface, but in
practice it has come to mean the study of the physical rather than the chemical
nature of the lower atmosphere, especially the troposphere
to focus on the dynamic, changeable aspects of this nature, leaving the term
climatology to cover the typical and average aspects
• low latitudes centred on longitude 140°E Among the substantial areas of cloud
• there are two which hove the dense
• swirl appearance typical of severe tropical storms:
• Typhoon Dot lies east of the Philippines and Typhoon Cecil lies over Vietnam.
4
• cumulus showing flat bases,
• knobbly sides and tops, and
• the mountainous bulk typical of rapidly growing convective clouds
the planetary boundary layer there are quite large frictional forces associated with the
relatively intense turbulence
5
1.4 CAUSE AND EFFECT
It is difficult to avoid considering F and a probably because in homes, factories and
laboratories
Arrange forces to achieve desired effects; but it is important to realize that the natural
laws which man has identified
For example - a certain pressure gradient force caused air to accelerate, the
terminology would be misleading since the resulting redistribution of air to cause a
change in the pressure gradient force
to identify cause and effect is strong because it satisfies our innate desire for order -
weather-giving activity
the planetary boundary layer the dominant types of disturbance are in the cumulus and
larger scales
examples rest uneasily between statistical uniformity and individual uniqueness.
In their combination of individuality, regularity and transience, cumulus,
thunderstorms, depressions, hurricanes etc.
a statement such as “the weakening of the anticyclone over the British Isles is
allowing a belt of rain to move into north-west Ireland'
Solar energy it in the form of visible sunlight, pours continually onto the Earth,
affecting both the surface and the overlying air
In fact the role of the Sun in determining the condition and behaviour of the Earth's
atmosphere is even greater than our experience of its warmth, or observation of the
growth of cumulus clouds on sunny mornings
The atmosphere is quite literally solar-powered, and the Sun can be considered as the
prime mover of all atmospheric activity
Napier Shaw, a distinguished pioneer of modern meteorology, wrote in the early years
of the twentieth century that 'the weather is a series of incidents in the
working of a vast natural engine'
As in man-made heat engines, heat is taken in at a heat source, and exhausted at a
heat sink and mechanical energy is generated, i.e. massive bodies are made to move
The source is provided by the absorption of solar energy, mainly at the Earth's
surface, and the sink by the emission of infra-red terrestrial radiation to space
the atmospheric engine is not constrained by a rigidly pre-ordained structure of
turbines, gear trains etc
It also controls its intake of solar energy by producing cloud masses which reflect a
very significant proportion of sunlight to space
these two effects act like a governor which keeps the activity of the engine close to its
normal level
the behaviour of an engine which continually regenerates and regulates itself is much
more complex and subtle than that of man-made engines, but there is no difference in
underlying principle
for the moment it is enough to accept that the sun is its furnace
6
1.6 TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENT
Feel hot or cold depending on whether our bodies are having to waste or conserve
heat to maintain their internal temperatures
At about 37˚ c and these is happening at any moment depends on exposure to
sunlight, terrestrial radiation, wind humidity, health and the time, size and
temperature
The mercury in glass thermometer was perfected Fahrenheit in the early eighteenth
century to measure air temperature, over a century elapsed before the need for careful
exposure was generally recognized
Human-body the thermometer is sensitive to solar and terrestrial radiation from which
it must be shielded to isolate the effect of air temperature
Stevenson screen (Fig. 2.1) is a simple, robust and reasonably satisfactory
compromise solution.
The white surfaces absorb little sunlight, and the thick wooden walls insulate the
interior from the warming effect of residual solar absorption, and from the warming
and cooling effects of terrestrial radiation
Walls and floor allow natural ventilation of the interior by available wind.
The access door is placed on the poleward side of the screen so that direct sunlight
does not enter when readings are taken
Stevenson screen with open door for thermometer reading, showing the normal dry
and wet-bulb thermometers inside
The horizontal thermometers are maximum and minimum dry-bulb thermometer
Two disadvantage:
o It cannot be used at very low temperature. since mercury freezes at about 40˚ c
o It cannot give a continuous record of temperature automatically
Continuously recording thermometers (thermographs) contain a
bimetallic strip which moves a pen over a clockwork-powered chart drum
in recent years a wide range of thermometers has been developed making use of the
temperature sensitivity of electrical resistance to produce continuous records.
7
1.7 HUMIDITY MEASUREMENT:
The amount of water vapour in the air is measured by hygrometers
When evaporation or condensation is the main interest, the most relevant measure is
the relative humidity, which is the ratio of the actual vapour density to the value
which would produce saturation at the same temperature
Since the saturation vapour density depends only on temperature - a dependence well-
known from laboratory measurement
Animal tissues, such as hair or skin, respond directly to relative humidity, and this
response is the basis for several simple hygrometers
Example: HAIR HYGROMETER, a hair is kept under slight tension so that the
decrease in its length with increasing relative humidity is easily registered.
The length variation is sufficiently regular and repeatable to allow any particular hair
or bunch of hairs to be calibrated in different known relative humidities to produce a
quantitative instrument
Hair and skin hygrometers have lags - 10 seconds at room temperature, but are much
more sluggish at lower temperature.
Their simplicity and ability to produce a continuous record (hygrograph) make them
very popular for semi-quantitative purposes
Some hygrometers measure relative humidity through its effect on the electrical
resistance of a hygroscopic surface, and can be made somewhat more reliable than the
hair and skin types
Psychrometers measure the humidity of the air from the cooling effect of water
evaporating into it, and their simplicity and reliability make them
wet-bulb depression is very large (- 10 °C}, whereas it is zero in saturated air, for
example in fog
Given the wet and dry bulb temperatures
When the Stevenson screen is inadequately ventilated, the actual humidity of the air
outside
8
the screen is overestimated somewhat, since the air inside the screen is significantly
moistened by evaporation from the wet bulb
measure of the humidity of the air is the dew-point temperature, or simply dew point,
which is defined to be the temperature of a chilled surface just cold enough to collect
dew from the adjacent moist air
In a dew-point meter a polished metal surface is chilled progressively below the
temperature of the ambient air
the dew-point depression below the ambient air temperature is twice the wet-bulb
depression, ranging from tens of degrees in arid air to zero in saturated air
9
the horizontal component of wind is the only one of interest
This is largely true because the flattened shape of the atmosphere ensures that the
horizontal wind speeds are usually more than 100 times larger than vertical ones, and
almost always more than 10 times larger
When the vertical component is to be included, additional vanes and anemometers are
used
Small-scale turbulence in particular has an important vertical component which is
comparable with the horizontal ones because the turbulence is essentially isotropic
It is measured from aircraft traversing through them by using routine and specialized
aircraft instrumentations
10
At the moment electromechanical linkages are beginning to be produced which
should give much better accuracy, and instruments using the pressure sensitivity of
electrical properties of crystals
11
Rain gauges set inside a turf wall and in a pit, to minimize interference by airflow
over the gauges
The bucket see-saw tilts into the dashed position when the filling bucket is full
13
The complete observing, communicating, and analyzing and forecasting system is
now entitled World Weather Watch (WWW)
all sea and air transport, and land transport in hazardous conditions, as well as
agriculture and industry, and the public at large
the networks of surface and upper air stations making synoptic observations have
evolved to fit this role, to the extent that this scale of weather phenomena is now
called synoptic scale
1.13 SURFACE NETWORK
In regions where such regularity cannot be relied on, efforts are made to ensure that
the observations at 0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 Z are made and reported
The treatment of precipitation totals is rather different, since manual gauges are
traditionally read at 0900 and 2100 local time to reveal the systematic differences
between night and day which are so conspicuous over land
The correction p is calculated from a form of equation, where h is the height of the
station above MSL and p is the fictional air density, which is equal to or closely
related to the air density at the station
Wind speed increases with height above the ground surface, as well as with distance
from upwind obstructions
14
1.14 UPPER AIR NETWORK:
Observations of wind, temperature, relative humidity and pressure are made by
radiosondes - free-flying balloons released from the upper air stations of the
synoptic network
The sonde’s are released at 0000 and 1200 Z daily, and climb at about 5 m s _, until
they burst between 20 and 30 km above
MSL, whereupon the instrument package returns to the surface by parachute for
possible re-use.
While in flight the temperature, humidity and pressure data are sent by radio to the
ground station, and the sonde's position is monitored by automatically tracking radar.
15
Humidity data are usually ignored above the 10 km level because sensors are unreliable
in the very low temperatures prevailing at these and higher levels
The alternation of these wind sondes with the radiosondes at six-hourly intervals
provides sufficient resolution in time to define the structure of the troposphere and low
stratosphere associated with synoptic-scale weather and northern hemisphere systems
Upper air data from sea areas are obtained only from the few weather ships remaining
in the North Atlantic and North Pacific after increasing cost enforced a sharp decline in
numbers in the last twenty years
1.15 SATELLITE NETWORK:
The first meteorological satellite was launched in 1960 and immediately provided
extremely interesting and useful data
First, the huge panoramic views of the atmosphere directly revealed and confirmed the
structures of large cloudy weather systems
Types of satellite orbits
Sun synchronous
Geo synchronous
Meteorological satellites have multiplied and developed considerably since 1960
a permanent network of satellites is probably now established, although details may
continue changing for years to come
meteorological satellites are platforms for electromagnetic scanning of the atmosphere
from above - top-side observation
The data are sent in sequence to a receiving station on Earth for reconstitution of the
whole picture.
The width of a scan line on the Earth's surface fixes the ultimate limit of resolution
since details less than a few lines across are unresolved
16
The satellite orbits about 860 km (i.e. one seventh of an Earth radius) above the surface,
passing near the poles but making an angle to the meridians which is just enough to
allow the orbit to remain effectively fixed relative to the sun
The satellite takes about 102 minutes between successive passes near one pole, while
its radiometers scan the swath of planet passing continually below it
the satellite orbits about 36 000 km above the equator, moving in the same direction as
the rotating Earth.
Since the orbital period at this distance is exactly one sidereal day, the satellite hangs
vertically above a fixed point on the equator
17
In addition to these gases there are small quantities of water and ice in the form of
clouds and precipitation, and a population of even tinier particles known as aerosol
particles, all heavily concentrated in the troposphere
it represents the vertical distributions
Over 99.90Jo of the mass of dry air in the atmosphere consists of a mixture of
molecular nitrogen, oxygen and argon in the proportions
the absolute amount of any constituent (in kilograms per cubic metre for example)
18
the two types of mixing tend to produce different vertical distributions
tall air column - each molecular species settles into an
equilibrium distribution in which the downward drift of its molecules
Heavier molecules diffuse toward an equilibrium with a steeper lapse of number
density than do lighter molecules
Diffusive equilibrium under gravity. The specific masses of the heavier molecular
species are greater at low altitudes
The lighter molecular species are greater at high altitudes
convective equilibrium The combination of conservative motion and sharing-through-
mixing, endlessly repeated
the great bulk of the atmosphere is in convective rather than diffusive equilibrium.
The region in which this dominance prevails is known as the turbosphere, and it
extends from the Earth's surface to an ill-defined turbopause at about the 100 km level,
above which diffusive equilibrium prevails
the same balance between gravitational separation and turbulent mixing tends to apply to
dust particles etc. whose fall speeds through still air are much smaller than typical
vertical speeds of parcels in the stirring air
19
1.16.2 TURBOPAUSE:
Above about 100 km, diffusive equilibrium produces marked stratification of
constituent gases according to molecular weight
with the heaviest components concentrating at the lowest levels
As height increases there is increasing photo dissociation of molecules into their
constituent atoms
It affects the composition of air above about the 80 km level.
For example, above about 120 km the reaction
O2 + photon (solar UV) --> 2O
maintains more than half of the population of oxygen atoms and molecules in the form
of atomic oxygen (0)
Absorbs solar ultraviolet with wavelengths between 0.1 and 0.2 micrometres warming
which maintains the thermosphere
the atomic oxygen acts like a gas with half the molecular weight and therefore half the
density of molecular oxygen (02)
Reduces the density of air at these levels
Photoionization also increases with altitude. For example, the reaction
O + photon (solar UV) --> Q+ + electron
maintains a population of ionized oxygen atoms and free electrons, absorbs solar
photoionization in the upper half of the turbosphere to justify its description as the
lowest part of the ionosphere
20
A particular N2 molecule must spend about 42 million years in the atmosphere
between one denitrification and the next fixation
The residence time for nitrogen in the atmospheric branch of the nitrogen cycle,
found by dividing the mass of the reservoir
Any particular molecule may move through the atmosphere very much more quickly
or slowly
Fixation and denitrification rates are very impressive when expressed in tonnes per
annum
The residence time for atmospheric N2 is so long that stirring of N2 throughout the
turbosphere
Oxygen is chemically the most reactive of the major atmospheric gases
All inorganic terrestrial materials are already fully oxidized
O2 is consumed by many types of respiration through which living organisms
produce energy by highly regulated oxidation of food, and by decay
the annual consumption is about 200 units, where a unit is about one millionth (10-6)
of the mass of O2 in the atmosphere
photosynthesis in the presence of sunlight by green plants on land
C02 + H20 + photon (Solar visible) --+ CH20 + 02
where CH20 represents the sugars which are the basic foods for the photosynthesizing
organisms
21
1.16.4 OZONE
A minute fraction of total atmospheric oxygen is maintained in the form of ozone (03)
by photochemical reactions involving solar ultraviolet
o O2 + photon (solar UV) .... 2O
o O2 + O + M --> O3 + M
o O3 + photon (solar UV) .... O2 + O
o O + O3 .... 2O2
In first reaction maintains a proportion of oxygen in the form of atomic oxygen
It maintains a proportion of oxygen in the form of atomic oxygen which is very small
in the upper stratosphere and almost zero at lower levels
In the second reaction atomic and molecular oxygen combine to form ozone
The third body M of the triple collision can be any other gas molecule
the ozone is a powerful absorber of soft solar ultraviolet
This series of reactions maintains a maximum number density of ozone molecules
between the 20 and 30 km levels
The maximum specific masses - 10 km higher
the first and fourth reactions balance to maintain a small but not negligible proportion
of oxygen in the form of odd oxygen as distinct from molecular oxygen
Antarctica have shown a sharp temporary fall in the amount of stratospheric ozone in
late winter and spring
this ozone 'hole' is being produced by domestic and industrial CFCs
chlorofluorocarbons used in refrigerators and some aerosol
22
1.16.5 CARBON DIOXIDE:
Carbon dioxide (CO2) interacts with the biosphere in ways which complement the O2
reactions, being produced by combustion and respiration
the ratio of their molecular weights (44/32)
the mass of CO2 in the atmosphere is so much smaller than the mass of O2
the residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere between successive involvements with
the biosphere is only about five years
Continual exchange with the relatively very large reservoir of c02 dissolved in the
oceans
CO2 levels in the immediate vicinity may fall 20% below average values
The burst of photosynthesis by land plants in middle latitudes in spring and early
summer consumes more C02 than is released by respiration
The weak oscillation observed in Antarctica with a six-month phase shift gives a clue
to the speed of mixing of C02 across the globe in the low troposphere
The speed is sufficient to carry
The southern hemisphere oscillation from its source in middle southern latitudes to
the biological desert of Antarctica
The troposphere, which extends to a little over 10 km in the middle and high latitudes
depicted
The increase in C02 is much slower than its speed of mixing through the atmosphere,
23
1.16.6 SULPHUR DIOXIDE:
If sources are too strong or inadequately ventilated, local concentrations
By natural oxidation of reduced sulphur compounds such as hydrogen sulphide (H2S)
and dimethyl sulphide ((CH3) 2S)
Irritation and damage to plant and animal tissues are caused
concentrations of about I ppm are still recorded in some modern cities with the result
that anthropogenic
S02 is one of the biggest causes of serious lung damage after cigarette smoking
oxidation of S02 tends to produce S03 which is hydrated to H2S04 in cloud droplets
Producing acidity far in excess of the natural pH limit of about 5.6 maintained by
solution of atmospheric carbon dioxide
when there is a stable 'lid' only a few hundred metres above the surface source region
This century in the industrial heartlands of Europe, North, America and Japan
Now maintain zones of seriously acidified rain and snow in broad, persistent,
downwind swathes,
With consequent biological damage to soils, vegetation, rivers and lakes, over areas
which can approach continental scale
That oxides of nitrogen and other substances and factors are involved
Norway spruce in Bavaria showing 'classic' crown thinning attributed to acid rain and
associated air pollution.
24
1.16.7 AEROSOL
An aerosol is a suspension in air of solid and liquid particles
the very large numbers of solid and liquid particles which are found in the lower
atmosphere
they range in size from aggregates of only a few hundred molecules to particles about
ten thousand times larger
Particles with radii less than 0.1 m are called Aitken nuclei because they make up the
great majority of particles
enter the atmosphere at or near land surfaces, their concentrations are particularly
high in continental air, often exceeding 10⁶ per litre.
The fall speeds of such tiny particles are - 10 cm per day at most which is slower than
the random Brownian motion
the Aitken population reduces quite rapidly by Brownian collision and coagulation of
adjacent Aitken nuclei to form larger particles
Aitken nuclei are also removed by being dragged by water vapour diffusing onto the
surfaces of growing cloud droplets
Particles with radii between 0.1 and 1.0 um are called large nuclei
at least ten times less numerous than the Aitken nuclei but comprise nearly half of the
total particulate mass
1.16.8 WATER
the atmospheric water substance to provide water in all its states and forms vapour,
cloud and precipitation
For example, the overall specific humidity
the atmosphere is only about 0.30%, whereas the specific humidity of the warmest
parts of the troposphere often exceeds 3%
About 97% of the hydrosphere is currently in the oceans
cover the Earth's surface to a depth of about 2.8 km if evenly distributed
The hydrosphere is believed to have been formed by outgassing of steam from
volcanoes during the early life of the Earth
the vapour condensing on the cool exterior to form the oceans
25
within the hydrosphere, a much more rapid exchange takes place continually as the
water substance moves through the hydrologic cycle
the vapour content of moist air, condensing to form cloud, and being precipitated back
to the surface
after movement through groundwater, rivers and lakes
The flux of water through the hydrologic cycle is very rapid indeed
the total mass of the hydrosphere is fixed on meteorological timescales
This precipitation must be balanced on average by evaporation
the residence time of water substance in the oceans is about 2800 years, but that it is
only II days in the atmosphere.
This conversion to vapour is maintained by solar heating,
Either directly as when moist land surfaces are dried quickly in strong sunlight
Water vapour moves rapidly on the winds and up draughts and downdraughts
the rapid cooling and cloud formation which take place in rising air
precipitation which returns water and ice to the surface from all but the smallest
clouds
CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION
the sharp temperature falls with increasing height imposed by nearly adiabatic cooling
of rising air and warming of sinking air
As moist air rises from the surface layers in convection and other up draughts
To saturation as the air expands and cools
Deep frontal clouds and shower clouds quite quickly return a very considerable
fraction of their cloud water and ice to the surface
A large fraction of the vapour entering the atmosphere rises little more than a
kilometre or two before condensing to form the clouds
Noctilucent clouds are occasionally observed well after dusk at altitudes of about 80
km, but their constitution is not well established
Residence times of the atmospheric water substance in the form of cloud
Precipitation are very much shorter than the eleven days found for water vapour
time and date the nearest daylight at sea level is over 10° of latitude further north
26
1.16.9 THE EVOLUTION OF ATMOSPHERE
ORIGINS
solar system emerged by gravitational agglomeration of gas and dust about
4.6 Gy BP (4600 million years ago)
The current amount of 36Ar is about 10⁶ times less than the value for the solar
system
Earth's interior as it warmed by self-compression and radioactive decay
Initial fast outgassing of water vapour, hydrogen, carbon monoxide and dioxide,
hydrogen chloride and molecular nitrogen (N2) was largely complete
The water vapour probably condensed quite quickly to form deep Archaean oceans
the very light hydrogen molecules escaped from the Earth's gravitational field, leaving
the atmosphere dominated by C02 and N2
Sun's heat output being about 300% below current values
paleo atmosphere was very different from today's
carbon dioxide is reduced to a trace
molecular oxygen (02) is the most abundant gas after N2
EVOLUTION:
There is no fossil evidence of life
Absence of photosynthetic production
Atmospheric 02 levels must have been limited to 10⁻⁹ present values
Maintained by photolysis of H20 and C02 by solar UV
The subsequent increase in atmospheric 02 is closely related to the evolution of life on
Earth
When atmospheric 02 reached about 1% of present values, a new and much more
efficient type of aerobic photosynthesizing organism developed
Raising oxygen levels
here is fossil evidence of such organisms from about 1.2 Gy BP, distinguished by the
appearance of a nucleus in each single cell
Required dissolved oxygen in equilibrium with atmospheric 0 2 levels of at least
100% of present values
Temporary depletion of C02 which reduced the greenhouse effect and encouraged
The great Permian ice ages (280 My BP) 40K was decaying radioactively to 40Ar
which slowly diffused
Present atmosphere has evolved from its paleo atmospheric origins; how a variable
greenhouse effect has maintained
surface temperatures in the narrow range needed to allow the accelerating evolution of
life
27
1.17 STATE OF ATMOSPHERE
The vertical profile of temperature
The vertical profile of Pressure
Hydrostatic equilibrium
Chemistry
Distribution
Circulation
1.17.1 THE EQUATION OF STATE
A minute fraction of the mass of the atmosphere consists of the mixture of gases
called air
how the condition or state of an air parcel depends on its temperature and pressure
A gas has neither rigidity nor shape the only remaining simple property is its volume
Relationship between temperature, pressure and volume
For one mole of ideal gas the equation of state is
p V = R. T
28
where p, V and T are respectively the pressure, volume and absolute temperature of
the gas, and R is the universal gas constant
To find an equivalent equation involving the density of the air rather than its volume
V
This is the meteorological form of the equation of state
p = pR T
where R is the specific gas constant for the gas
The densities of ideal gases at the same pressures and temperatures are inversely
proportional to their molecular weights
A mixture of gases, each with molecular weight M; and specific mass X; behaves as a
single ideal gas with specific gas constant R given by
R = Σᵢ xᵢ R ᵢ
The equivalent molecular weight of the mixture is M = 1 / Σᵢ xᵢ Mᵢ
29
temperatures are maintained by a combination of diabetic heating and cooling, and
weak vertical and horizontal movements of air from hotter and cooler regions
For example: In middle and high latitudes,
Temperatures throughout the stratosphere fall sharply in winter
As solar warming is reduced Cooling by net infra-red emission continues
Northern hemisphere winters, there is a dramatic sudden warming of the low
stratosphere as air moves and sinks rapidly
In high latitudes the average temperature of the high stratosphere varies from about
+20 ˚C in summer to -40˚C in winter
30
A fraction of a second it is distributed over a volume five or six orders of magnitude
larger than that of the balloon
REGULARITY
The foregoing does not argue that atmospheric pressure should be uniform
the pressure distribution to be expected when the air is fully adjusted to the prevailing
force
the equilibrium of air at rest under its own weight, looking for an explanation for the
marked regularity of vertical distribution apparent
In a static atmosphere the upward and downward forces on any air parcel must
balance
Gravitational attraction between the parcel and the Earth produces a downward force
under gravity and raising the pressure at lower altitudes to the point
1.17.3 HYDROSTATIC EQUILIBRIUM
the difference in atmospheric pressure between two heights to the weight of the
intervening layer of air
the pressure difference is simply equal to the weight M g of the air column (mass M)
P₁- P₂ = Mg
where P₁ is the pressure at height z ₁ and P₂ is the smaller pressure at the greater
height Z₂
the gravitational acceleration g as a separate factor implies that it has the same value
at all heights
the variation in g can be accommodated by replacing actual height by the very slightly
different geopotential height
the atmospheric pressure at any level is proportional to the total mass of the
atmosphere in a vertical column
For example, value of atmospheric pressure at sea level is 1010 mbar
To find that about 10.3 tonnes of atmosphere rest on each horizontal square metre of
the sea surface
31
the pressure about 5.5 km above sea level is only 500 mbar, it follows that only about
half of the atmospheric mass lies above this height
∂p = -g p
∂z
The term ∂p/∂z is the instantaneous vertical gradient of pressure,
p is the atmospheric density at the same location
hydrostatic equilibrium of any fluid, whether liquid or gas
Incompressible and homogeneous liquid like the sea
By replacing air density using the equation of state
∂p = -p / He
∂z
where He = RT/g and is termed the exponential scale height
This integration becomes very simple when the air temperature T does not vary with
height, giving an exponential relationship between pressure and height
p₁ = p₂ exp {- (z₂-z₁) / Hẹ}
1.17.3 THE VERTICAL PROFILE OF DISTRIBUTION
The vertical distribution of air density in the atmosphere follows from the
distributions of pressure and temperature
Density with increasing height and a decadal scale height which is never very far from
16 km throughout the turbo sphere
Only 10 km above sea level the air density is usually a little less than one third of sea -
level values
The peak of Mount Everest is at about this level
Air breathing aircraft engines, such as the common turbojet
Advantage of the reduced airflow drag on the airframe
For example, high-altitude research balloons floating at an altitude of 50 km above
sea level become extremely cold at night
PRESSURE:
Horizontal and vertical distributions of meteorological variables and their relationship
with the state and behaviour of the atmosphere
32
The largest and most persistent horizontal gradients are those in meridional directions
First the meridional distributions of monthly mean pressure at the base and in the
middle of the troposphere
the distribution of pressure at the base of the troposphere is represented by the heights
of the 1000 mbar isobar above mean sea level (MSL).
On average this is between 100 and 200m, which corresponds to MSL pressures of
between 1008 and 1016 mbar
After allowing for the lapse of about 1.2 mbar per 10 m
TEMPERATURE
The distribution of the tropopause indicates that in low latitudes
The troposphere is deepest in low latitudes
Strong solar heating
In summer, when the low stratosphere in middle and high latitudes is relatively warm
because of the long hours of daylight,
The poleward temperature lapse reverses above the 200 mbar level, and the
equatorward lapse exceeds 30˚C at 100 mbar
Recalling the connection between thickness and layer mean temperature
The poleward downslope of isobaric surfaces
The 500 mbar surface must persist and increase up to somewhere between the 300 and
200 mbar levels
33
1.17.4 THE GENERAL CIRCULATION
the incessant variations of direction associated with weather systems do not cancel out
on averaging, but leave a bias towards some particular directions
For example, surface winds in middle latitudes show a pronounced westerly bias, in
that winds with azimuths lying between 181 and 359° are more common and stronger
than winds with a component from the east
WESTERLY COMPONENTS
the troposphere in middle and high latitudes westerly components predominate
strongly over easterly components.
Surface winds are westerly in middle latitudes extensive and intense westerlies are
found in the upper troposphere
maximum wind speeds occurring between the 200 and 300 mbar levels
34
ZONAL AND MERIDIONAL COMPONENTS
The association of westerlies with poleward motion and easterlies with equatorward
motion is quite
the movement of air across its spherical shape
Air at low latitudes at rest on a weather map is actually moving very quickly eastward
because of the Earth's rotation - at over 460 m s- 1 on the equator
At higher latitudes the eastward motion is smaller because points on or near the
Earth's surface are closer to its axis of rotation.
For example, the eastward speed at latitude 30° is only 402 m s – 1
the angular momentum air starting at rest on the equator will arrive at latitude 30° as a
westerly wind - the weather with speed 134m s-¹
35
UNIT II
ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS
Atmosphere dynamics: law – isobaric heating and cooling – adiabatic lapse rates –
equation of motion - solving and forecasting. Forces – Relative and absolute acceleration –
Earth's rotation Coriolis on sphere – full equation of motion – Geostrophy;- Thermal
winds –departures – small-scale motion. Radiation, convection and advections: sun &
solar radiation – energy balance – terrestrial radiation and the atmosphere – Greenhouse
effect- Global warming - Global budget – radiative fluxes - heat transport. Atmosphere
and ocean systems convecting & advecting heat. Surface and boundary layer – smaller
scale weather system – larger scale weather system
the constant of proportionality Cv - the specific heat capacity of the air at constant
volume, where d Vol is zero
The value of Cv for dry air throughout the turbo sphere is close to 7I7 J K⁻¹ kḡ⁻¹
36
The second term on the right-hand side of eqn (1) represents the amount of the heat
input which is used in doing work against the surrounding air as the parcel expands
It is proportional to the expansion and to the internal pressure p of the parcel
the heat input to the air parcel is shared between the two processes in question:
warming
Expansion
Example: principle of conservation of energy, which is believed to hold under all
circumstances
the resulting density variations dp are replaced using the equation
It follows from the values of the terms on the right-hand side that the value of
C P for dry air in the turbo sphere is about 1004 J K⁻¹ kg ⁻¹
the different heat capacity of water vapour makes the CP value for moist air differ
slightly from the value for dry air
2.3 ISOBARIC HEATING AND COOLING
Much heating and cooling of the atmosphere occurs while air pressure is steady or
nearly so
For example, the warming of the planetary boundary layer by day
Its cooling by night occur at pressures determined by the weight of the overlying
atmosphere
the atmosphere the heating or cooling does not in itself change the air Pressure
isobaric processes when the term involving dp is zero
The first term on the right-hand side (CP dT) then completely determines the
relationship between heat exchange and temperature change
to estimate temperature changes from known gains or losses of heat, or vice versa:
the isobaric warming or cooling of a mass M of air, rather than unit mass
On a sunny morning overland, it is often observed that the air temperature near the
ground rises by a couple of degrees per hour for several hours in response to solar
heating
Observation in depth shows that the warming layer is often about 300m deep
Assuming the density of air to be 1.2 kg m⁻ᶾ
the warming of a column resting on one horizontal square metre of ground, the mass
of a 300 m column is 360 kg
37
Example:
the sun-warmed ground surface: warm, buoyant parcels rise up, while cool ones sink
down, and the continual mixing distributes the net heat input throughout the
convecting layer.
Such heat is called sensible heat because it can be sensed directly by thermometers as
the warm and cool air parcels pass by
the density ratio p' I p is equal to the inverse ratio of the absolute air temperature T I
T'
38
The magnitude of the vertical temperature gradient is almost exactly 0.0098˚ c m -I,
or 9.8˚c km – 1. This is known as the dry adiabatic lapse rate
to rise dry adiabatically through the full depth of the troposphere, it would cool by
about 100° in the shallow
troposphere of high latitudes, and by about 150° in the deep tropical troposphere
2.4 THE EQUATION OF MOTION
When a force Facts on a body of mass M, then according to Newton's second law of
motion
where Vis the velocity of the body and MV is called its momentum
rate of change can arise because of changing mass or changing velocity or both
constant mass:
39
The wind speeds in these respective directions are written as u, v and w by the same
convention
For example:
where Fz is the vertical component of the net force or forces acting on the parcel, and
dw / dt is the parcel's vertical acceleration
2.5 FORCES
If the gradient of air pressure at a given location is steepest along a certain axis
there is subjected to a force along that axis toward low pressure, because the pressure
on the up-gradient side of the parcel is greater than on the opposite side
the force per unit mass of air parcel is
-(1/p) /∂p /∂n
where ∂p /∂n is the instantaneous pressure gradient in the direction
of increasing n (distance along axis)
p is the density of the air in the parcel
The minus sign indicates that the force acts in the direction of decreasing p
with four independent variables - x, y, z and t
For example, ∂p/ ∂x represents the eastward gradient of pressure at fixed y, z and t
represents the rate of variation of pressure with time at fixed position (x, y and z)
the pressure tendency as measured from a fixed barograph
The pressure gradients along the x, y and z axes are found in the case of any particular
axis n
the angle between then and z axes is a, then the vertical pressure gradient ∂p/ ∂z is
given by
40
2.4.1GRAVITATIONAL FORCE
Gravitational attraction between an air parcel and the Earth produces the downward
force on the parcel
the Earth's surface show that the weight of any body of mass M is given by Mg, where
g has an average value of 9.81 m s⁻² , and varies slightly with latitude and altitude z
The factor g is known as the gravitational acceleration because it is equal to the
downward acceleration which the body would undergo in the absence of any other
force
41
According to Newton's empirical law of viscosity, the shearing stress and shear
are directly proportional, the constant of proportionality being the dynamic coefficient
of viscosity p
the net viscous force per unit mass eastward on a thin horizontal slab of air embedded
in the shear ∂u / ∂z is given by
the coefficient of eddy viscosity K defined by equation is not related in any simply
predictable way to the thermodynamic state of the air
Values of K derived from field measurements and equation range across many orders
of magnitude
2.5 RELATIVE AND ABSOLUTE ACCELERATIONS
Newton's second law of motion (eqn (1) relates resultant force and acceleration as
measured from an unaccelerated observation platform
F = d /dt (MV)
Acceleration relative to the lift is zero if he is standing steadily
42
It does not follow that the downward force exerted on his feet by the scales
It will be equal to his weight
The lift is accelerating upward the scales will register more than his true weight
if it is accelerating downward they will register less than his weight
Now atmospheric motions, including accelerations, are measured from a reference
frame fixed to the Earth
The meteorological reference frame is rotating and therefore accelerating continually,
This acceleration must be allowed for when using the equation of motion,
Otherwise mysterious forces will seem to invalidate Newton's second law of motion
and any predictions based on it
It represents a model train T running at speed V
around a circular track of radius R on a turntable which is rotating with angular
velocity Ώ about the centre of the track 0.
the basic kinematic rule that a body whirling at speed v round a circle of radius r
experiences a continual centripetal acceleration v²/r toward the centre of the circle
It follows that the centripetal acceleration of the train toward 0 is
V² I R as measured by an observer rotating with the track and turntable
(V + ΏR)2/ R as measured by a non-rotating observer
Example:
one sitting beside the turntable, where ῼR = Vt is the tangential speed of any part of
the track on account of its rotation
The difference between expressions (2) and (1) represents the centripetal acceleration
which is ignored
When observations are made from the turntable other than a non-rotating frame an
outward (centrifugal) force acting on the train
Example - the toy train would tip outward off its rails if the turntable rotation and
train speed
Multiplying out the bracket of the absolute centripetal acceleration (2) and
subtracting the relative centripetal acceleration (1)
find that the difference comprises the two terms
43
2.6 THE EARTH'S ROTATION AND APPARENT G
If the Earth were a perfect sphere with concentric distribution of mass
if the gravitational force is measured relative to a fixed point on the rotating Earth's
surface
A 'mysterious' centrifugal force at all latitudes except the poles
the centrifugal force: it is a consequence of ignoring the centripetal acceleration of the
Earth-bound reference frame
to measure g from a frame moving over the Earth's surface
Consider the consequences of having an equatorward horizontal component of
apparent g
The atmosphere and oceans would move toward the equator and accumulate
Adding to the equatorial girth of the fluid planet by denuding the polar regions
If the oceans were frozen and unable to move accumulation of air in low latitudes
produced a poleward pressure-gradient force everywhere exactly balancing the
equatorward apparent g force
the equilibrium distribution in which there is no longer any component of apparent g
parallel to the Earth's surface
the Earth's equatorial radius exceeds its polar radius by about 21 km the strength of
apparent g varies with latitudes
44
2.7 THE CORIOLIS EFFECT
The largest effects of the Earth's rotation, and leaves the resting atmosphere ocean
effectively dynamically unaffected by that rotation provided
fluids begin to move relative to the spinning Earth the smaller
Coriolis effect comes into play, producing terms which are proportional to the wind
and current speeds
There are temporary accommodations which change as the atmosphere and oceans
ceaselessly shift and vary
The Coriolis effect to apply to the many different situations in meteorology
Consider the model train again, but this time moving steadily along a straight track
placed at random on the same rotating turntable
The train is forced to accelerate laterally
The train may be moving straight towards
The turntable axis, or away from it, or along any intermediate line
The Coriolis acceleration is perpendicular to the track to the left or right depending on
the direction of turntable rotation
looking at P down the z and y axes separately, with the sense of rotation as for the
northern hemisphere
the Coriolis acceleration in the directions of the conventional x, y and z coordinates
axes
45
the only Coriolis component is a horizontal acceleration toward the east (i.e. in the x
direction).
Westerly winds and up draughts are each associated with two Coriolis components,
and a wind with significant components in all three directions is associated with a
similarly three-dimensional Coriolis acceleration
46
2.9 GEOSTROPHIC FLOW
The scale analysis of the last section therefore suggests that horizontal flow is
determined by the following equations:
Rossby number (Ro), after the Swedish meteorologist who pioneered ways of dealing
with the meteorological implications of the Earth's rotation
When Ro << 1 the Coriolis terms predominate over the relative acceleration terms,
observations of real and model atmospheres show types of flow characterized by
large, flat vortices about the local vertical
the Rossby number were zero. Equation 1 would then simplify to
47
the pressure gradient must be parallel to the y axis, with pressure increasing in the
negative y direction
it follows that the isobars in this case must lie east-west, which is parallel to the
assumed westerly air flow
the pressure gradient is directly proportional to wind speed means that isobar spacing
must increase with decreasing wind speed
the horizontal wind speed v and the horizontal pressure gradient ∂p/ ∂n are connected
in magnitude by
19th century Buys-Ballot -- as 'low pressure in the northern hemisphere is on the left
hand when facing downwind
observations of surface winds blowing round extratropical and tropical cyclones
It is customary to rearrange eqn 3 in the form
48
It shows isobaric contours and actual winds in the vicinity of a polar-front jet stream
over the British Isles.
The data are taken from synoptic radiosonde ascents on the occasion
the contours sketched by interpolation between the point measurements of the height
of the 300 mbar surface.
The wind vectors, measured from the horizontal drift of the radiosondes as they rose
through the 300 mbar surface
They are parallel to the isobaric contours to within 20° everywhere and 10° over most
of the area.
49
The right-hand side of eqn (1) contains the thickness gradient
The horizontal gradient of the vertical separation of the PI and p2 isobaric surfaces
The thickness of the layer between the 1000 and 300 mbar surfaces increases sharply
to the right
The thickness of a layer bounded by any two isobaric surfaces is proportional to the
mean temperature of the layer
Geostrophic wind speed across such a layer is proportional to the horizontal gradient
of the layer mean temperature
The thermal wind relation is therefore a relation between geostrophic wind shear and
baroclinity
Buys-Ballot's law connects the directions of vertical shear and nearly horizontal
temperature gradient:
In the northern hemisphere low mean temperature is on the left when standing with
back to the geostrophic wind shear
hydrostatic equilibrium that the connection between layer thickness and layer mean
temperature
50
2.10.1 THERMAL WINDS-APPLICATIONS
The circumpolar vortex of westerly winds which dominates the troposphere in middle
and high latitudes
The thermal-wind relationship appears in the conjunction of the increase of westerly
winds with height and the meridional temperature gradient imposed by the sun's
unequal input
Buys-Ballot's law, just as the easterly shear is associated with an equatorward
temperature lapse
frontal slope to be 1:60 in middle latitudes, tending to zero at the Equator, where as
usual geostrophic balance is impossible
51
2.11 GEOSTROPHIC DEPARTURES
Observations of winds in the entrance region of the core of polar-front jet streams
show that there is a systematic tendency for winds to be Super geostrophic
The opposite tendency appears in jet exit regions; such tendencies appear in other
cases where synoptic-scale flow - linear acceleration
To provide for the linear acceleration towards the jet maximum
The Coriolis force must exceed the pressure gradient force and be angled forward
the speed which will exactly balance the contour gradient through geostrophic
equilibrium
Lateral accelerations - accelerations effectively perpendicular to the wind direction
such as those associated with cyclonic and anti-cyclonic rotation of air
It contains a dynamic sketch of cyclonic flow of air round a horizontal circular path of
radius R in the northern hemisphere
the wind must have speed V such that the pressure gradient force exceeds the Coriolis
force by V 2 /R
Examination of the balance of radial forces and acceleration shows
52
Since the pressure gradient can always be replaced by the Coriolis term involving
the equivalent geostrophic wind
53
2.12 SMALL-SCALE MOTION
2.12.1 SCALE ANALYSIS
Consider air flowing in the vicinity of a moderate-sized hill or shower cloud
The horizontal scale L is - 10 km, which is effectively the same as the vertical scale
set by the depth of the troposphere
Horizontal wind speeds are by and large set by the synoptic-scale situation
Vertical wind speeds are about an order of magnitude smaller, so that there is some
asymmetry but very much less than on larger scales
A list of basic and secondary scales is as follows, others being the same as in the list
for synoptic scales
54
two orders of magnitude too large for quasi-geostrophic balance
The time period for air parcels in the influence of such small systems is so short
that the Earth's rotation is largely irrelevant
Air undergoing a linear acceleration tends to experience falling pressure, and
decelerating air experiences rising pressure
For example
the bluff side of a hill and decelerates into a stagnation zone on the upwind side of the
hill its pressure rises even if it moves absolutely horizontally, with the result that the
pressure of the whole zone is raised slightly
Air near the funnel of a tornado often blows at speeds well in excess of 50 m s⁻¹
around paths with radii of curvature of about IOO m, which indicate very large
centripetal accelerations
2.12.3 VERTICAL MOTION
Vertical motion on the small scale is still dominated by hydrostatic balance between
the vertical pressure gradient and gravity
vertical accelerations are known to occur at the bottoms and tops of vigorous
cumulonimbus
for example: the length and timescales of accelerating and decelerating air are locally
each an order of magnitude smaller than the listed values
For example, cold air pours downwards in shafts of heavy precipitation in
cumulonimbus
The ambient vertical pressure gradient is therefore related to the ambient air density
by
55
The upward pressure gradient force and the downward gravitational force on the
convecting parcel can be put together to produce the net upward force
This deviation from hydrostatic balance is more familiarly known as the buoyant
force
the direction and magnitude of the associated acceleration depends on what other
forces are acting in addition
vertical acceleration with net buoyant force by examining the dimensionless ratio
known as the Froude number Fr:
this is the internal Froude number, to distinguish it from the original number used by
the pioneer fluid dynamicist Froude in modelling ship wakes and waves.
to rank with the Reynolds and Rossby numbers, and describes the relative importance
of gravity in the dynamical balance
When Fr is much less than unity in the present context, the buoyancy is much larger
than the vertical acceleration
Values for B in cumulus are surprisingly small ( 1 /300 ) on account of the very small
temperature excesses in rising air
It follows from such values and observed strengths and dimensions of updraughts
that Fr values in atmospheric convection cover a considerable range centred on
about 0.2
Reynolds and Rossby numbers, and describes the relative importance of gravity in the
dynamical balance
Newton's second law of motion equation, whose vertical component can be written as
where NFz represents the resultant of all vertical components of force on the parcel.
The left-hand side of eqn (7 .2) can be expanded to make explicit the effects of
variations in parcel mass M:
56
2.13 RADIATION, CONVECTION AND ADVECTIONS
the total is absorbed by the planets and interplanetary dust and gas, the same
total radiant flux must pass through any spherical surface concentric with the Sun
Simple geometry then shows that the irradiance I at any distance R from the sun is
related to the photospheric emittance I, by
I = Is (Rs / R)²
where Rs is the radius of the photosphere
57
2.13.2 THE EARTH’S ENERGY BALANCE
The Earth's composite system of atmosphere, ocean and land surface undergoes
irregular vacillations between warm and glacial epochs on timescales ranging from
10⁴ to 10⁸ years
The planet Earth are very much smaller than the constituent influxes and effluxes
The atmosphere, ocean and land surfaces are in a nearly steady thermal state when
viewed over one or more full years
The next largest is the geothermal flux from the Earth's hot interior
Four orders of magnitude smaller than the solar constant, being about 0.05 W m⁻²
When averaged over the whole Earth's surface
Starlight and the gravitational connections with the Moon and Sun through the Earth's
ocean tides contribute even less
the Earth emits terrestrial radiation as a uniform spherical black body whose size and
surface temperature completely determine the total power output in the form of
terrestrial radiation
Since the Earth and Sun subtend small angles when viewed from each other, the
Earth intercepts solar radiation almost exactly as a disc with radius equal to the
Earth's radius Re
The rate of interception must therefore be
R²E S,
where S is the solar constant
58
2.14 TERRESTRIAL RADIATION AND THE ATMOSPHERE
Terrestrial radiation is electromagnetic radiation emitted by a blackbody with
temperature 255 K
The power spectrum of radiation emitted by a blackbody at this temperature
Emission spread across wavelengths ranging from about 4 to 100 µm
with maximum emission per unit wavelength centred around 12 µm, which is
consistent with Wien's law
the terrestrial radiation spectrum is very much flatter and more spread out in
wavelength
than the spectrum of solar irradiance
according to Kirchhoff's law, the minor components carbon dioxide and water vapour
absorb it so strongly that the atmosphere is almost completely opaque in substantial
parts of the spectrum of terrestrial radiation
There are two main features
there is strong absorption by water vapour between wavelengths 5 and 8 µm, and
again beyond 14 µm by water vapour and carbon dioxide; and secondly there is
near transparency in a window centred at about I0 µm
59
The wavelengths strongly absorbed by water vapour and carbon dioxide
A layer of air deep enough to contain 300 g of water vapour in a vertical column
resting on a square metre of horizontal surface
Completely absorbs wavelengths between about 5 and 7 µm estimation shows that the
same layer
It contains enough carbon dioxide and water vapour to absorb all terrestrial radiation
with wavelengths greater than 14 µm
Consider a package of radiant energy emitted from the Earth's surface in these heavily
absorbed wavelengths
By Kirchhoff's law, water vapour and carbon dioxide must emit these same
wavelengths with the same efficiency as they absorb
2.15 THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
the difference of over 30°C between the average surface temperature of the Earth and
the effective blackbody temperature of the planet as a whole
the planet does not act as a blackbody with a single emitting surface situated at the
land and sea surfaces
the terrestrial radiation emitted to space comes mainly from the atmosphere and
only in small part from the solid and liquid surfaces
About 90% of the terrestrial radiation emitted to space comes from the atmosphere
The highest opaque layer is in the upper troposphere
The temperature is usually 40° or more below the temperature of the underlying
surface
to raise the temperatures of land and sea surfaces well above those which would
prevail in the absence of the atmosphere
This elevation of surface temperatures is called the greenhouse effect because the
glass of a greenhouse is similarly transparent to solar and opaque to terrestrial
Radiation
the name is quite misleading because the interior of a greenhouse stays warm
primarily because the glass inhibits convective heat loss to the surrounding air
o quartz greenhouse
o polythene greenhouse
2.15.1 VENUS:
The planet Venus has an atmosphere about 100 times the mass of the Earth's,
consisting almost entirely of C02 and a thick shroud of sulphuric acid cloud
An effective blackbody temperature of only 245 Compared with the Earth's 255 K
with less than half the solar constant
Total amounts of carbon in the surface layers (atmosphere, ocean and crust) of Earth
60
2.15.2 RADIATIVE FORCING
Response to wholesale injection of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere by artificial
combustion
To calculate the radiative forcing of the terrestrial energy balance - the resulting
increase in the trapping of outgoing terrestrial radiation
Two overlapping periods, each starting from the dawn of the industrial revolution, and
the second projecting into the middle of the twenty-first century
The atmospheric C02 level is expected to have doubled
Increases in C02 and a number of other greenhouse gases, differing sharply in
efficiency per molecule
Global warming
61
2.16.1 AVERAGE RADIANT – ENERGY BUDGET
• In the last 50 years, people have developed ways of dealing with the complex fine
structure of lines and bands underlying the gross absorption spectrum sketched
• with the result that interactions between the real atmosphere
• The radiation streams to use observed distributions of all the radiatively active
materials to calculate all significant items
• In budgets of radiant energy for the Earth's atmosphere and surface
• averaged distributions of temperature, pressure, water vapour, carbon dioxide, ozone,
cloud and surface albedo
• Early 1960s, data from meteorological satellites have been used to improve some of
the data and to check some of the predicted fluxes
• the radiant energy budget on the global scale was made by London in 1957
• For the global picture, the data were averaged further to produce what is in effect an
annual global average of the budget of radiant energy
• all horizontal variations have been removed by averaging, the picture represents the
vertical distribution of radiant fluxes
• the annual global average rate of input of solar energy per unit horizontal area at the
top of the atmosphere
62
Who showed that shorter wavelengths are much more efficiently scattered than longer
wavelengths
When the scattering bodies are much smaller than the scattered wavelengths
the preferred scattering of the blue out of the line of sight leaves the direct sunlight
reddened.
The reddening is particularly noticeable when the sun is near the horizon because the
long path length through
the atmosphere enhances the blue-biased molecular scattering, and the unbiased
scattering by much larger droplets and particles
By contrast clouds, mists and most hazes do not alter the colour of sunlight scattered
by their droplets and particles
Clouds therefore appear nearly white in normal sunlight, and are red near dawn and
dusk only
The chromatically uniform scattering of all available wavelengths is called diffuse
Reflection
this accounts for 21 out of 47.5 units of solar radiation reaching the surface, compared
with 7 units scattered by air molecules and dust
terrestrial radiation consists of large and opposing fluxes which have a relatively
small upward resultant
The upward flux is equivalent to the output from a blackbody with temperature 288 K
Cloud, carbon dioxide and water vapour radiate strongly downwards, but do not quite
match the upward radiation from the surface because of the absence of any downward
flux in the window when there is no cloud
2.16.3 THE ATMOSPHERIC ENERGY BUDGET
Consider the stratosphere first. Three units of solar input are absorbed, mainly in
the form of selective absorption of soft ultraviolet between altitudes of 25 and 45 km
the input was not balanced by the small net output of terrestrial radiation from the
carbon dioxide and ozone
This does not mean that there are no convective heat fluxes either within the
stratosphere or between stratosphere and troposphere
Of the 97 units of solar radiation entering the top of the troposphere,
16 units are absorbed by aerosol particles and water vapour, 30.5 units are
scattered back out to space, mainly by cloud, 3 units are absorbed by cloud, and
47.5units pass through to the surface either directly or after the scattering
the distributions of temperature, water vapour, carbon dioxide and cloud, the output of
terrestrial radiation from the troposphere to space is 59 units, much of it from the high
troposphere
This large loss is only partly offset by the net gain of 10 units by terrestrial exchange
with the surface, so that the troposphere suffers a net loss of 49 units by terrestrial
radiation
Including both solar and terrestrial radiation, it is apparent that the troposphere
suffers a net loss of 30 units of radiant energy, which is equivalent to 100 W m⁻²,
and is exactly equal to the net radiative gain by the surface
63
2.16.4 THE SURFACE AND TROPOSPHERE TOGETHER
Radiative equilibrium overall, like the stratosphere and like the Earth as a whole
A large radiant energy imbalance between its two components, amounting to 100 W
m⁻² on a global annual average
There is no appreciable warming of the surface, or cooling of the troposphere, from
year to year
A non-radiant heat flux of 100 W m - 2 from the surface to the troposphere
the direct solar beam by scattering and diffuse reflection, and increase the relative
proportion of solar energy which is absorbed
by the atmosphere rather than the surface
In annual averages, the resulting concentration of solar input Sin low latitudes
64
If it were not for the 23.5° angle between the earth's solar orbital and equatorial planes
The slight bias of S away from the Antarctic is due to the presence of the permanent
ice cap there, which scatters more sunlight to space than does the seasonally broken
sea ice of the Arctic ocean
The solar and terrestrial fluxes in Fig. 8.7(a) are regrouped in Fig. 8.7(b) to show
the meridional profiles of flux densities of net radiative input to the planet, to
the surface, and to the atmosphere
poleward fluxes must consist of an exchange of warm and cool air, called advection
the meridional variation of the emission of terrestrial radiation T is very much smaller
Since continuing convection keeps most parts of the upper troposphere close to
saturation
the vapour density there is effectively determined by air temperature alone
65
the latitudinal position and magnitude of the maximum of net radiative input
the extensive meridional gradient of net radiative input stretching from the maximum
in the summer hemisphere to the minimum at or near the winter pole
the positive maximum and the strongly negative minimum is nearly 500 W m - 2, and
the steep and extensive gradient between them
66
2.18 CONVECTIVE HEAT FLUXES
Convection carries the excess heat from the Earth's surface and distributes it through
the depth of the troposphere
On a global annual average, the convective flux must be 100 W m - 2 at the Earth's
surface and zero
Such a decrease is consistent with observations of the cumulus family of clouds
If the Earth were arid, all this convective flux would have to be borne as sensible
heat, warmer air parcels rising and cooler ones sinking to effect a net upward
transport of heat
presence of water, ice or moist ground at the surface means that the air
all this convective flux would have to be borne as sensible heat, warmer air parcels
rising and cooler
An extraction of heat by evaporative cooling at the location of the evaporation and a
delivery of this heat to the location where the vapour condenses to form cloud
convert a vapour mass flux into its associated flux of latent heat simply by
multiplying by the coefficient of latent heat L
the convective heat flux between sensible and latent forms has long
the ratio of sensible to latent heat fluxes is known as the Bowen ratio
In arid zones such as the subtropical deserts, values are much larger than unity while
in warm, humid zones they are much smaller than unity
the global hydrologic cycle is nearly steady over time periods of a couple of months
or more
the total convective flux is defined by the radiant energy budget; the sensible heat flux
is found by deficit to be 37 W m⁻² or 11 budget units
67
2.19 ADVECTIVE HEAT FLUXES
the annual average fluxes of solar and terrestrial radiation produce a net heat gain for
the planet between latitudes about 32 °N and 38 °S requires a balancing advection of
heat from low to high latitudes
the thermal expansion of air allows energy to be stored and transported in the form of
the gravitational potential energy of vertically expanded air columns
the flows of latent heat implicit in net fluxes of vapour, are needed
the lengths of the local latitude circles to produce average fluxes per unit length of
latitude circle
'average' is the operative word: at any particular time and place the instantaneous
advection between the goal-posts might be poleward or equatorward depending on the
local air flow
fluxes per unit length of latitude circle is to displace the maxima poleward from the
latitudes of reversing radiant balance
For example:
the middle latitudes of summer hemispheres would seem to require no poleward heat
advection
2.20 WEATHER AND OCEAN SYSTEMS CONVECTING AND ADVECTING HEAT
there are two main types of weather system at work in the troposphere:
vertical cumuliform convection associated with the whole
cumulus family smallest fair-weather cumulus to the largest cumulonimbus
Largescale systems, such as equatorward flows associated with extratropical cyclones
and the intertropical convergence zone of the Hadley circulation
Horizontal areas ranging from - 10² m² to - 10 km²
Temperature excesses in up draughts are usually quite small, seldom exceeding 0.5°C
in small cumulus, and exceeding 5°C only in large cumulonimbus
The large areas of subsiding, cloud-free air in anticyclones and ridges of high pressure
The two types often cooperate: cumuli form convection is often quite vigorous in cold
fronts and in the extensive equatorward flows of air which follow them
68
Areas small cumuliform convection pumps heat into the lower troposphere
Preparing the air there for subsequent slope convection to the high troposphere in a
front
For example, the severe tropical cyclone (hurricane, typhoon or cyclone) depending
on geographical zone
Vertical transport of heat in the oceans is effected by wind-induced stirring of the
surface layers
The sinking warm water and the cold water continually filling the deeps from high
latitudes maintain
A dynamic equilibrium in a region of strong vertical temperature gradient, known as
the permanent thermocline
Advection of heat occurs in both the atmosphere and the surface layers of the oceans
Regarded as heat engines, the oceans are relatively inactive because both their low-
latitude heat sources and their high-latitude heat sinks are concentrated at the same
level, the sea surface
69
In middle and high latitudes, the poleward advection of heat in the troposphere is
effected largely by extratropical cyclones and anticyclones
In low latitudes the meridional advection of heat is directly related to the Hadley
circulation
Air warmed in the great cumulonimbus populations of the ITCZ drifts poleward in the
high troposphere
The potential temperature of this air is very high indeed
As it flows equatorward again at low levels in the trade winds, it has a much lower
potential temperature than it had when flowing poleward in the high troposphere
heat advection from low to middle latitudes occurs when weather systems develop in
gaps in the chain of subtropical high-pressure systems girdling the hemispheres, and
the seasonal disruptions associated with the monsoons of the northern hemisphere
land masses in particular
2.21.1 INTRODUCTION
• The lower boundary of the atmosphere is the solid or liquid surface of the Earth
• natural and artificial fluid flows, it is observed that there is one or more zone, adjacent
to the boundary
• to the extent that the affected zones are called boundary layers
• Within a few millimetres of any surface, no matter how irregular, air motion is so
strongly restrained by friction with the surface
• Momentum, heat and matter such as water vapour are transported mainly by
• molecular diffusion. This is the laminar boundary layer
A minute fraction of the total volume of the troposphere, the laminar boundary
Layer significantly affects large-scale exchanges between the surface and the bulk of
the troposphere
The turbulent or surface boundary layer extends upwards from the laminar boundary
layer for a highly variable and rather poorly defined distance
The region strongly influenced by the surface through molecular diffusion,
The region which the surface influences strongly by eddy diffusion
the turbulent transport of momentum, heat and matter through it is poorly understood
in detail
70
2.21.2 SURFACE SHAPE AND RADIATION
The surface of the Earth can be regarded as a horizontal plane with projections and
indentations ranging in size from the microscopic to the mountainous
the effects of surface shape on direct solar input
Solar radiation is concentrated on the sun-facing side at the expense of the other the
concentration is total if the other side is in shadow
In middle latitudes the typical slopes of steep hills and mountains are such that
sunlight often falls nearly normally on sun-facing slopes
Surface irradiance is proportional to the sine of the angle between the plane of the
illuminated surface and the line of the incident sunbeam
71
It is producing lines or streets of cumulus drifting downwind from the nursery slopes
72
2.21.3 SURFACE HEAT INPUT AND OUTPUT
the radiative and convective processes injecting and removing heat from
representative parts of the Earth's surface
Consider first the absorption of solar radiation
The albedos of terrestrial surfaces range very widely from a few % for damp, dark
soils to over 90% for fresh Snow
Snow values are localized in high altitudes and latitudes
the globe values are dominated and held low by the presence of water and vegetation
Over land albedos are mostly between 5 and 20% values for solar input
consider a horizontal surface with 15% albedo irradiated by the sun from an angle of
elevation of 50° through a relatively clear sky which is transmitting 70% of the solar
beam
surfaces have emissivity values of between 0.9 and 0.98
only deserts have emissivities less than 0.9
the presence of quartz sand which is partly transparent in terrestrial wavelengths
the value corresponding to the global annual mean surface temperature
2.21.4 SURFACE THERMAL RESPONSE
There are daily and annual rhythms of heat gain and loss by any part of the Earth's
surface and have estimated their orders of magnitude
o WATER
o LAND
2.21.4.1 WATER
water is fairly transparent to solar wavelengths, especially in the visible range
sunlight is attenuated progressively as it travels downwards below the surface
A small fraction of the incident energy usually reaching depths of tens of metres
Ocean surface layers increases the depth of water effectively influenced by sunlight,
enhancing their effective heat capacity
Daily gains and losses of 5 MJ m⁻² would produce temperature rises and falls of 0.125 °C
Seasonal gains and losses of 500 MJ m⁻² would produce temperature changes of .2.5° C
73
LAND
Vegetated land surface to surface heating and cooling is very difficult to analyse
Homogeneous layer of rock or soil as it responds to a regular cycle of warming and
cooling at the surface
The rate of rise of temperature after the onset of surface heating will increase with the
thermal conductivity k of the intervening layer and decrease with its heat capacity
The net effect is determined by the thermal diffusivity
K = k/p C
where p and C are respectively the density and specific heat capacity of the layer material
• The larger the value of K, the more freely is a change in surface temperature
conducted downwards
• the surface heating and cooling cycle has period P, then there is an important depth
parameter D which is known as the damping depth and is given by
D = (k P/)½
2.21.5 SURFACE THERMAL RESPONSE
annual temperature wave affects a soil layer to a depth of no more than a few metres
Even in a responsive wet soil, a worm living at a depth of about 6 m would experience
only 10% of the annual temperature range experienced by its cousin living at the
surface
the effective heat capacity of typical ground layers
74
2.21.6 PARTITIONING BETWEEN SURFACE AND AIR
the situation at the surface because it ignores the finite effective heat capacity of the
air
the total heat input H during the warming phase of the surface temperature cycle
75
the diffusion of momentum, heat and water vapour through the laminar boundary
layer increases with its thickness
velocity parameter in the turbulent air beyond the laminar boundary layer which is
called the shear velocity or friction velocity u
u = (r/p)½
its depth o corresponds to a critical value 10 for the Reynolds number
2.21.8 TURBULENCE
the gustiness of all but the lightest winds
the unsteady dispersion of smoke plumes
Properties
Turbulent flow is irregular in both space and time
For example, the wind speed varies continually and widely but shows no trace of
regular oscillations such as might be associated with waves
The unsteadiness and irregularity typical of turbulent flow represents a large
amplitude, highly chaotic response to inherent instability
involve statistics ranging from the simple arithmetic mean and root mean square
deviation to the sophisticated power Spectrum
Turbulence is intrinsically three-dimensional and cannot be adequately described in
fewer dimensions
76
This handicaps pictorial description and mental conception
range of atmospheric turbulence is isotropic
Turbulence is hierarchical
Inherent instability produces large eddies which in turn produce smaller eddies
• surface cooling is sufficiently strong to raise the value of ∂ to the point where Ri
exceeds the critical value
77
• In all terrestrial conditions in which a relatively warm surface maintains a lapse
• turbulence transports momentum, heat and material such as water vapour and aerosol
• this transport occurs whenever air parcels moving in different directions
• the downward transport by turbulence of V momentum through horizontal unit area
• the average value of the vertical mass flux is zero near a horizontal surface
• the momentum flux can have quite substantial values when variations in w and V are
negatively correlated
• The equation simplifies to
78
2.21.9 THE SURFACE BOUNDARY LAYER
• the distributions and vertical transports of momentum, heat and matter such as water
vapour and carbon dioxide throughout most of the atmospheric boundary layer
• the constant flux layer because of the vertical uniformity of the vertical fluxes of heat
• consistent expression for the shear ∂V / ∂Z is of the form
• where A is a pure number and U is a velocity characteristic of air flow in the layer
• A great deal of experimental evidence in the atmosphere, and in wind tunnels and
water flows, confirms that this simple relationship actually holds in the form
79
2.21.10 AIRFLOW OVER UNEVEN SURFACES
• A number of different processes give rise to patterns of atmospheric behaviour near
the surface which have horizontal scales ranging from - 10 m to as much as 100 km
• SLOPE WINDS
• SEA BREEZES
• HILL AND MOUNTAIN WAVES
• CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION
SLOPE WINDS
• When a sun-facing slope is warmed, a proportion of the buoyant forces generated
• can cooperate on the scale of the sloping surface itself to produce an overall upslope
wind
• Violent katabatic winds can sweep down snow-covered coastal slopes, triggered no
doubt by some shift in the larger-scale air flow
• for example - threaten small boats coasting round Greenland and Iceland
• the climatology of the coastal fringe of Antarctica is dominated by the katabatic gales
SEA BREEZES
• When coastal land is warmed by the morning sun
• the adjacent cooler and denser air over the sea, in a weak but persistent large-scale
buoyancy effect
• The rising air is replaced by the cool, moist air which is drawn inland over the coast
as a sea breeze
• In temperature, humidity and haziness being ascribed to the presence of a sea breeze
front
80
HILL AND MOUNTAIN WAVES
When an airflow impinges on a hill or mountain, air is diverted horizontally and
vertically by the obstruction
the forcible elevation of air passing over a hill
higher layers of air, sets up vertical oscillations of the air about its undisturbed level
high winds are induced by congestion of air flow near the crest of the hill
with lower wind speeds where air flow is reduced by stagnation
a valley which is nearly parallel to the prevailing wind has a channelling effect which
raises wind speeds
81
2.21.11 CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION
• Consider the flow of moist air over a hill or mountain
• A layer which is well stirred by mechanical or thermal convection from the surface up
to cloud base and beyond
• The level of cloud base over the surrounding low ground should be maintained over
the hill
• It is normal to see low cloud blanketing the upwind slopes of hills at levels far below
the base of the nimbostratus producing the general rain
• Air in the lower parts of what is the sub cloud layer over the low ground is
significantly moistened by evaporation from the wet surface and the falling
precipitation
• At higher levels, moist air may be raised to condensation giving humps of cloud
outlining the distorted airflow
• there is a deep layer of nimbostratus, then it is deepened and its rate of precipitation
enhanced over and slightly upwind of the hill
• reduction in cloud on the downwind side of the hill, and a reduction in precipitation
which may produce a climatological rain shadow
82
2.21.13 SURFACE MICROCLIMATE – FOG
• Fog forms when air close to a surface becomes slightly supersaturated and a layer of
cloud in contact with the surface
Radiation fog
• Radiation fog forms in shallow layers, usually only a few metres deep
• When radiative cooling of a ground surface cools the overlying air below its dew
point
• the air in the first few metres above the surface is almost still, and the fog when it
forms
Advection fog
• Advection fog occurs when relatively warm air is chilled to saturation by overrunning
a sufficiently cool surface
83
• In autumn and winter particularly, the land is usually much cooler than the sea, so that
the invading air is cooled quite sharply
• radiative cooling under clear night skies often completes the production of saturation
and fog
• The top surface of a substantial fog layer replaces the shrouded underlying surface as
the new radiatively effective surface
• The old local name for them is pea soupers, which nicely describes the greeny-brown
obscurity in which they enveloped buildings and people
• Advection fog also forms over the sea
2.22.2 CUMULUS
• small cumulus
• clear skies over land in mid-morning, after the stable layer left by the previous night's
cooling has been eliminated by solar heating
• fair-weather cumulus because it is typical of fine summer weather,
• The clouds subsequently develop enough to give a showery afternoon
• The individual cumulus has a very characteristic shape, and is usually just a few tens
of metres
• The lifting condensation level of the well-mixed sub-cloud layer when observations
are available
84
• Closet inspection (Fig) usually reveals a raggedness of cloud base on a scale of
metres, and a slight but consistent upward tilt in the ambient downwind Direction the
maximum
• updraught speed inside the cloud, because the rising mass of air continually tends to
turn itself inside out like a rising smoke ring
• Two factors may affect the shape of the cloud:
• only a few tens of metres below the base of a convectively stable layer
• the cumulus will be vertically stunted by the loss of buoyancy in air rising into the
• base of the stable layer flattened cumulus in anticyclones often maintains large areas
of stratocumulus
85
2.22.3 CUMULONIMBUS
• a few spots of rain may reach the surface from a small cumulus congestus, and low
stratocumulus
• the dark bases of such tall clouds, shadowed by efficient backscatter of sunlight by
the thick Cloud
• if a shallow cloud managed to avoid dissolution, fall speed and updraught
• cloud base is reasonably high and the shower is viewed against a pale background
sky, in cool equatorward airflows in middle latitudes.
• The visible thinning of the precipitation arises as the smaller precipitation droplets
• rainfall on any part of the strip is inversely proportional to the total length of the strip
and is greatest when the shower is stationary
• Rainfalls from showers of normal intensity are observed by standard rain gauges to
range from about I to 10 mm correspond to short bursts of moderate to heavy rain,
with rates of rainfall - 30 mm h-I,
86
• Precipitation falls in intensive shafts through the interior of the cloud body and into
the clear air beneath cloud base
• The main trunk of cloud dissolves into a temporary veil of precipitation hail is
produced by the relatively rapid accretion of ice and super cooled water onto a falling
frozen embryo
• Hailstones more than a few millimetres across remain unmelted even after falling
through a kilometre or more of warm air
• The air is warm and humid, both factors contributing to the convective potential of the
situation
• trees begin to move a few seconds before the squall of downdraught reaches the
observer
87
• The cloudy updraughts are only one part of an unsteady convective cycle which
• must include downdraughts as well
• These up-and-down motions must maintain a close balance of mass flux
• hot towers, on account of their role in piping latent and sensible heat from the warm
• surface to the vicinity of the equatorial tropopause about 15 km above
• In fact such hot towers collectively represent the ascending branch of the Hadley
circulation
88
2.22.5 SEVERE LOCAL STORMS
• When intensity is judged by rates of precipitation, maximum size of hail, squally wind
• speeds, and electrical activity
• Such storms also quite often produce one or more tornadoes intense localized vortices
extending from cloud base to surface
• they produce damaging winds
• number of forecasting and research meteorologists
• severe local storms occur in many regions scattered throughout the world, including
the British Isles, Europe and European Russia, north India, north Indochina and
China,
• there are two features which are usually present when such storms occur accumulating
and then fairly suddenly releasing substantial convective instability
• wind shear distributed through a considerable depth of the troposphere
• two different types of storm - the multicell and the supercell storms
• Different geographical regions, and usually depends on quite
• specific local distribution of sea, land and topography, though the release of
conditional Instability
• the air in the low troposphere well ahead of the advancing cold front is flowing
northwards from the Gulf of Mexico
• In the multicell storm, the wind shear between lower and middle levels
• In the supercell storm the prevailing deep layer of wind shear allows a single
powerful convective cell to become organized into an essentially steady, though
highly dynamic, state
89
Each cell seems to consist of an extensive cloudless area surrounded by a roughly
hexagonal ring of well-developed cumulus
Cells range in diameter from about 20 to 200 km, depending on larger-scale
meteorological conditions
cellular structure is observed on the western margins of the great maritime subtropical
anticyclones air flows polewards and eastwards
All such cells are termed open on account of their open centres
Oceanic areas covered by extensive stratocumulus are observed to be patterned by
closed cells
smaller horizontal scale and a much smaller vertical scale than open cells
• Brunt-Vaisala frequency N / 2
90
• the convective stability of the sheared layer
• the Richardson number Ri
• Lenticular clouds - trains of lee waves are the norm in the vigorous cloudy airstreams
associated with extratropical cyclones
• at least some of the strong patterns of rain and snowfall long observed in hilly terrain
• the denser cloud on the upwind side is able to grow much more rapidly by collision
and coalescence
• ice crystals falling through air suddenly forced toward
• water saturation by uplift grow rapidly by the Bergeron-Findeisen mechanism
91
2.23 LARGE-SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS IN MIDDLE LATITUDES
11.1 Historical
11.2 Extratropical cyclones
11.3 The mature depression
11.4 Three-dimensional airflow
11. 5 Anticyclones
11.6 Waves in the westerlies
11.7 Polar lows and heat lows
11.8 Middle-latitude climates
2.23.1 HISTORICAL
• The middle latitudes must be very large
• It is much larger than can be appreciated from any single viewpoint on the Earth's
surface
• rotation anticlockwise in the northern hemisphere and clockwise in the southern,
which is the observed sense of rotation around low pressure centres.
• The opposite rotation, observed round high-pressure centres, is called anti cyclonic
• in the middle of the nineteenth century, there was no point in trying to organize
networks of people to observe and possibly forecast the movement of storms over
extensive areas, because many storms moved and changed at least as quickly as the
fastest available means of communication - the galloping horse
92
LIFE CYCLE AND STRUCTURE
• the warm air pole wards to the east of the centre and the cold air equator wards to the
west and sharpening the horizontal temperature gradients there
• time large areas of continuous precipitation have appeared close to the deforming
front
• cirrostratus fanning north-eastward over the crest of the frontal wave
• the regions of strongest horizontal temperature gradient slope upwards at such very
small angles
• Temperature gradients 5 °C per 100 km are observed where the cold polar air
• undercuts the warm tropical air at the cold front
• a very sharp thermal boundary between the warm sector and the cold air to the north-
west.
• The warm front acts as a weaker eastern boundary
93
• the frontal wave and falling of the pressure minimum at its crest
• as showing the beginning of the mature stage of the life cycle
• The minimum surface pressure may now be tens of millibars below the
undisturbed value, and surface winds
• Pole wards and eastwards ahead of the warm front, enlarging the 'spume‘polar
front jet stream in the high troposphere
2.23.3 FAMILIES OF DEPRESSIONS
• The eastward and poleward motion of the depression from birth to occlusion is not
well represented
• Move and develop rapidly in the prevailing westerly flow, testing the skill of
forecasters
• This residual front still contains considerable contrast between polar air flowing
equator wards down the western side of the depression and the tropical air at lower
latitudes
94
2.23.4 THE MATURE DEPRESSION
• PRESSURE AND WIND
• CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION
• THE JET STREAM
• WARM SECTOR AND COLD FRONT
• DIVERSITY OF WEATHER
• SEA WAVES AND STORM SURGES
95
CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION
• the depression while their individual movement along the overall pattern reveals
• the relative flow of the air in the high troposphere
• This air should move so that cooler air is on the left looking downwind in the northern
hemisphere
• The cloud layer now consists of cirrostratus and altro stratus
• hexagonal ice crystals can produce by refraction a faint but striking halo around the
sun, whose angular radius is 22°c
• Nearer the surface position of the front most of the lower troposphere too is filled
with cloud
• The precipitation consists of large ice crystals sifting down through the very gentle
uplift of air in the front
• If the air in the low troposphere is cold enough, no more than a degree or so above
freezing rain falling into cold air
• the surface at the narrow end of the wedge of cold air near the surface front will
saturate the cold air to produce frontal fog
THE JET STREAM
• The Norwegians originally had little upper-air data, and had to rely on visual
• observations from the surface
• the radiosonde network has changed all that, and the polar-front jet stream
• the jet cores lie in the warm air (although at these levels there is nothing like the
thermal contrast typical of the low troposphere) roughly vertically above the positions
of the frontal zones in the middle troposphere
• Core speeds of as much as 75 m s -I are quite typical in vigorous cold fronts
• The hooked cirrus ahead of the warm front is moving on the eastern flank
• of the jet core there: hence the visible equatorward motion noted earlier.
• the fronts which begins and maintains the production of cloud and precipitation.
• the cold front the air is climbing as it travels pole wards
96
WARM SECTOR AND COLD FRONT
• At least clear of the poleward extremity where stratus and even fog may form as the
humid air is carried pole wards over colder and colder surfaces
• In summer the warmth may become positively balmy when the sun adds to the
intrinsic warmth of the air by heating the underlying land surface
• The dew-point temperature is a much more secure indicator of air-mass differences
• The dew point is highest in the warm sector, indicating its origin in the humid warmth
of lower latitudes
• The cold front may arrive with great vigour, with heavy bursts of precipitation, winds
and thunder
• the frontal cloud mass can be correspondingly much more rapid than its counterpart
• Nimbostratus edge stretching from horizon to horizon as it retreats from the observer
• Facing the retreating edge, small-scale structure such as aircraft condensation trails,
etc
• the upper part of the edge moves quickly from right to left with the jet stream there
DIVERSITY OF WEATHER
• The observer is now about to repeat the sequence of observation and experience
recounted above as another system moves across
• No two systems are the same - in intensity, path, speed, and maturity at time of
passage
• the fronts make quite large angles with their direction of propagation
• the adjacent surface is unaffected by cloud and precipitation
97
• An unlucky stretch passes under almost the entire length of both the warm and cold
Fronts
• If the location is to the east of the centre of the old low, the winds are persistently
southerly
• Regular inspection of weather maps shows that a huge variety of conditions and
sequences of conditions can arise depending on the orientation of the depression track
• to apply to the southern hemisphere, bearing in mind that the direction of map rotation
about the local vertical, and all related phenomena, reverses there
• a depression and its fronts in southern hemisphere mid-latitudes.
98
2.23.5 THREE-DIMENSIONAL AIRFLOW
• air moving in the low troposphere around the equatorial side of a mature depression
• two points - air approaching a front near the surface obviously cannot pass through it
as isobaric motion
• wind speed and direction vary so strongly
• Large-scale vertical motion would indeed be insignificant if the atmosphere had
comparable vertical and horizontal scales
• For example - estimated below to be about 10 cm s - 1
99
• airflow in a mature depression, as revealed by isentropic analysis of many systems in
North America and the north Atlantic
• flow of air upwards and pole wards in and ahead of the advancing cold front, rising
from the low troposphere in the warm air deep in the warm sector
• warm conveyor belt because the air seems to be rising along an invisible ramp fixed in
the moving system
2.23.6ANTICYCLONES
• high surface pressure occurs in the middle of anticyclonically rotating air masses and
the name anticyclone began to be used
• the slowly subsiding air which fills its broad core, and the subsidence inversion which
separates this from the local convecting boundary layer
• Ridges - high pressure which separate members of a family of depressions
• Blocks - the normal eastward procession of depressions in middle latitudes
• Continental highs - anticyclonic circulation in the low troposphere
• Anticyclones develop regularly in winter over continental interiors,the Siberian High
which extends over Siberia and northern asiatic Russia, and influence a considerable
portion of the Asian continent in winter
100
CYCLONE WAVES
• when isobaric contours are plotted in the middle and upper troposphere,
• A sequence of such pictures of a developing depression creates an irresistible
impression of an amplifying travelling wave
• when isobaric contours are plotted in the middle and upper troposphere
• A sequence of such pictures of a developing depression creates an irresistible
impression of an amplifying travelling wave
LONG WAVES
• The identification of weather systems with individual waves is the simultaneous
presence of several identifiable wavelengths in any particular observed situation
• Long waves do not depend on the presence of baroclinity
• They do depend crucially on the tendency of absolute vorticity to be conserved in
very large-scale flow in the middle troposphere
• The air will move to higher and higher latitudes, where is larger and larger
• The wave speed relative to the Earth's surface is given by
101
TOPOGRAPHICAL LOCKING
• Positions for long waves in relation to large-scale dispositions of land masses and
topography
• When the air passes over the crest of the mountain ridges, the falling topography
enforces large-scale horizontal convergence which in turn produces cyclonic
curvature
• The air moves polewards, losing cyclonic curvature as it moves to regions with larger
f
• all long waves seem to exert a controlling
• influence over the faster-moving baroclinic
• waves both by steering and amplitude control
INDEX CYCLE
• the long-wave pattern round the whole hemisphere seems to vacillate between
two extremes:
• maximum meridional amplitude of waviness
• Minimum amplitude
• zonal index which is defined to be the zonally averaged pressure difference across
an agreed meridional segment of middle latitudes at some particular level
• for example between latitudes 35° and 55° at the 500 mbar level
102
2.23.8 POLAR LOWS AND HEAT LOWS
• Norwegian cyclone model - one quite dynamic type, the polar low of the eastern
Atlantic, and the relatively static and ephemeral heat low
Polar lows:
• Weak surface lows form in the vicinity of Iceland and move south-eastwards with the
air in the low troposphere
• there are snow showers from cumulonimbus in the wake of the system, just as there
are showers in the wake of a normal depression
• the lower half of the troposphere, limited to little more than 500 km in horizontal
extent
• the shallow but strongly baroclinic zone between the cold airflow off the Greenland
ice cap and the much warmer air
• The two lows apparent produced substantial snow falls in the British Isles, including
some exceeding 250 mm in average depth
• Fresh snow lies to an average depth which is at least ten times the equivalent depth of
rainfall
103
HEAT LOWS
• In warm summer weather in middle latitudes low pressure developing daily over
islands and peninsulas in the absence of any strong synoptic-scale pressure gradients
• These lows are a meso -scale, even synoptic-scale, response to the rapid development
of strong temperature contrasts between land and adjacent sea
• The land surface may soon be 20 °C or more warmer than the sea, and the
temperature difference in the overlying layer of air may be half as large
• For example, if a layer of air 300 m deep warms isobarically by 10°c in roughly 300
K, its density must fall by about 300 k according to the equation of state for a perfect
gas
• the movement is complete when the isobars at the top of the heated layer become
horizontal again
• air equivalent in mass to a 10 m layer of the low troposphere has been removed,
which corresponds to a loss of pressure of a little more than 1 mbar at the surface
• the upward movement of the top of the warming layer is slow
104
• If the warming is not fully offset by the subsequent nocturnal cooling, because of
a change in the sypnotic situation
• if the sea breeze persists for more than a few hours, it suffers Coriolis deflection
105
2.24 LARGE-SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS IN LOW LATITUDES
• 12.1 Subtropical anticyclones
• 12.2 Monsoons
• 12.3 Tropical weather systems
• 12.4 Tropical cyclones
• 12.5 Low-latitude climates
2.24.1 SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONES
• anticyclones nearly girdle the Earth in the tropics and maintain the subtropical high-
pressure zones
• They are very large, persistent, zonally elongated areas of high sea-level pressure, and
are particularly well-developed over the oceans, especially in winter
• skies are not clear, clouds are generally reported to be low, with stratocumulus
• the potential temperature increases sharply with height
• The warmer air has very low relative humidities, often lower than 20%, so that cloud
formation or maintenance
• This contrasts sharply with the air in the low troposphere, below the temperature
inversion
106
• Observations from mountains or aircraft often show a very sharp haze top which
coincides with the base of the inversion
• SUBSIDENCE
• CLOUD AND SMOG
• AIRFLOW
SUBSIDENCE
•The potential warmth and the low humidity of air in the middle troposphere of an
anticyclone are both consequences
• As air sinks down from high levels it warms, and because there is virtually no cloud
present
• cloud or precipitation to evaporate in the warming air, the specific humidity in the air
is conserved
• The stable layer in the low troposphere of an anticyclone is called the subsidence
inversion because it is maintained by the subsidence of the warm,
• dry air which makes up the bulk of the air in the system
CLOUD AND SMOG
• If the air in the convective boundary layer is normally humid, the lifting condensation
Level will be a few hundred metres
• convection is persistent, a layer of stratocumulus forms, which may be thick enough
to reduce the sunlight
• If the air in the convecting boundary layer is dry enough, then the lifting condensation
level
• convecting air will still be unsaturated when its upward motion is stopped
• the solar warming of the surface may become intense in the middle of the day,
warming the convective boundary layer
• industrial pollution of the confined layer may produce significant enhancement of
concentrations - Los Angeles smog
107
AIRFLOW
• The anticyclonic circulation which is so pronounced in the lower troposphere
• air is persistently subsiding in the middle troposphere it must be persistently
converging in the high troposphere and diverging in the low troposphere
• Near the surface, turbulent friction encourages divergence by enabling air to
• flow with a substantial component of motion outward across the isobars toward
lower pressure
• the subtropical highs such diverging flow feeds air into the warm sectors of the mid-
latitude depressions as they sweep eastward, maintaining their warmth and supplying
air to the warm conveyor belts
2.24.2 MONSOONS
• The word monsoon means season in Arabic, and dramatic seasonal change is a
• common thread which links a wide variety of climatic events occurring annually in
• low latitudes
• the largest meridional shifts occur in the vicinity of the Indian subcontinent
• In January the nearest convergence zone lies about 10° south of the equator
• Mechanisms
• Rainy seasons
108
2.24.3 THE INDIAN MONSOON
• air picks up further large quantities of water vapour from the Arabian Sea and reaches
the west coast of India as the south-west monsoon
• Slow-moving synoptic-scale low-pressure systems, such as subtropical cyclones
• monsoon depressions flows and can produce large areas of rain and quite strong
winds even though surface pressures are depressed by only a few millibars
• the tropical easterly jet stream is a semi-permanent feature of that region in the
summer months at latitudes
• About 15 °N
109
2.24.5 TROPICAL CYCLONES
• there are several closed isobars on surface charts and strong cyclonic circulation,
cloud and rain over a substantial area
• When winds exceed gale force (19m s- 1 at 10m) they are called tropical storms
• Tropical cyclones form only over oceans where surface temperatures exceed
about 26.5° cover a substantial area at latitudes of at least 5°
• Structure
• Winds
• Warm core
• Pressure and central zone
STRUCTURE
• The dense white ring extending a couple of hundred kilometres out from the centre is
the shield of cirrus fanning out in the high troposphere
• the centre and a thin dull ring mark the inner and outer limits of this dense shield
• The inner zone contains a dense mass of cumulonimbus and sheets of cloud spreading
from them at all levels, circling faster and
• faster as the centre is approached
• the fastest flow is reached in the vicinity of a nearly solid ring of giant cumulonimbus
• Completely encircles the eye
110
WINDS
• Highest winds occur to the right of the centre,
• facing in the direction of the storm's overall motion, where the speeds of rotation and
translation are Added
• Sustained speeds as high as 75 m s- 1 at the 10m level have been recorded
• wind speeds on surfaces and structures increases roughly in proportion to the kinetic
energy of the flow
111
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
• Southern Oscillation because they influence weather over a large part of the south
central Pacific
• Walker circulation, uplift and rainfall are encouraged over Indonesia
• Subsidence along the Equator can split the local ITCZ by a cloud-free lane centred
along the Equator, which is clearly visible in satellite pictures
112
UNIT III GLOBAL CLIMATE
Components and phenomena in the climate system: Time and space scales – interaction and
parameterization problem. Gradients of Radiative forcing and energy transports by
atmosphere and ocean – atmospheric circulation – latitude structure of the circulation -
latitude – longitude dependence of climate features. Ocean circulation: latitude – longitude
dependence of climate features – ocean vertical structure – ocean thermohaline circulation –
land surface processes – carbon cycle
• One of the fundamental difficulties faced by climate models is that a huge range of
scales
• The main features (components) of the climate system is:
• the atmosphere
• the ocean
• land surfaces
• The cryosphere
• the biosphere
• the lithosphere
• The cryosphere consists of land ice snow and sea ice
• The biosphere, the sum total of all living things on the planet spread throughout the
oceans and land surfaces
• The lithosphere - the “solid” Earth, creates the distribution of ocean basins, mountain
ranges etc., not to mention the occasional volcanic eruption
• One could view the chemical composition to be an additional set of variables
associated with each of the other climate system components
• chemical interactions relevant for climate often involve interactions across these
traditional boundaries
• biogeochemistry is used for the complex interactions of biology with the chemistry of
the climate system
• carbon dioxide and other carbon compounds are exchanged at the ocean and land
surface
• there are a great number of climate processes
• The solar heating acts to create a warm surface layer
• regions is less dense than the colder deep waters below, and thus tends to remain near
the surface
• This mixing carries surface warming down as far as the thermocline, the layer of rapid
transition of temperature to the colder abyssal waters below.
113
• the absorption of solar heating at the surface results in the atmosphere being heated
from below by heat fluxes from the surface
• moist convection dominates vertical transfer of heat in large parts of the atmosphere
• Contrast between warmer and colder latitudes creates thermally driven circulations at
larger scales. Infrared radiation, also known as longwave radiation
• upward infrared radiation at the top of the atmosphere is termed outgoing longwave
radiation (OLR)
• Exchanges between the atmosphere and the upper ocean include exchanges of several
forms of heat energy,
TIME AND SPACE SCALES
• Period: For phenomena that oscillate in a periodic manner
• Externally e.g. the seasonal cycle (period one year, highly periodic).
• this period is internally determined, e.g. El Niño
• Response time: When the sun comes out, land surfaces heat up in hours, but the ocean
surface has a much longer response time
• the ocean surface layer warms up to the new equilibrium temperature on a time scale
of months
• Lifetime: For phenomena that have an identifiable beginning and end
• The lifetime of a convective cloud is on the order of hours
• the response time of the upper ocean to heating depends on a
• number of factors that influence heat exchange, on the depth of the layer through
which the heating is mixed
• weather system may have a lifetime of days, but a random sequence of weather
events can still affect climate at longer time scales
• scale separation where the slower component can be treated as constant
• land surface vegetation type can be taken as fixed, or changes of vegetation can be
prescribed
114
INTERACTION AND PARAMETERIZATION PROBLEM
115
• individual storms, and only by averaging over many of these does the shape of the
storm tracks emerge
• climate models represent the atmosphere, dividing up the continuous atmosphere
into a series of discrete boxes
• Rates of change of the average values of temperature, moisture, wind, etc. within
each grid box are computed
• A new value of each variable is computed a short time later, and the operation is
repeated until a simulated year, decade or century has been reached
• the computer representation, only an average across the grid box is included
• These include phenomena such as squall lines, mesoscale convective complexes,
tower-anvil cumulonimbus clouds, etc
• averages must change with the parameters of large-scale fields that affect the
clouds, such as moisture and temperature
116
• The method of representing average effects of clouds over a grid box interactively
with the other variables is an example of what is known as parameterization.
• The horizontal scale of the system would be on the order of 10 km
• the area covered would fit on the order of 100 times into the area of a single GCM
grid box of, say 100 km×100 km
117
• longwave radiation varies much less as a function of latitude
(i) the atmospheric and oceanic transports are very effective at reducing
temperature gradients
(ii) the ocean stores some heat from the previous summer and returns it to the Arctic
atmosphere in winter as temperatures start to cool
(iii)Both effects act to reduce extremes
• In the annual average climatology, the rate of heat storage by the ocean is small
ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION
• Vertical structure
• Latitude structure of the circulation
• Latitude–longitude dependence of atmospheric climate features
VERTICAL STRUCTURE
• Pressure can be used as a vertical coordinate
• Pressure is proportional to the mass (per unit area) above each level
• In terms of mass, the upper layers of the atmosphere are small
• the stratosphere counts somewhat because of ultraviolet radiation absorption by ozone
• The thermosphere and mesosphere have very little mass.
• Interaction with charged particles from the Sun and the Aurora Borealis occurs at
these levels
• Heating by absorption of ultraviolet radiation by stratospheric ozone is the reason for
the temperature increase with height in the stratosphere
118
LATITUDE STRUCTURE OF THE CIRCULATION
• latitudinal gradients in solar energy input are a dominant driver of atmospheric
circulation
• both in a latitude–height plane and in the horizontal, longitudinal variations due to
continents, oceans etc
• This represents the circulation in an average over all longitudes, known as a zonal
average
Main features
• The Hadley cell is a thermally driven, overturning circulation that tends to rise in the
tropics and sink at slightly higher latitudes.
• Warming from the surface near the equator is transferred upward through a deep layer
by convection
119
• The descending motion occurs over a broader region than the ascending motion
• descending regions have little rainfall; roughly speaking, they are
• on the losing end of a competition with the deep convective regions that involves
moisture and heat transport feedbacks
• Poleward of the Hadley cell there is a weak zonal average overturning circulation that
appears to run backwards from the point of view of heat transfer
• the Hadley circulation transports heat to about 30 degrees latitude
• The trade winds in the tropics blow westward as they converge slowly toward the
equator
120
LATITUDE–LONGITUDE DEPENDENCE OF ATMOSPHERIC CLIMATE
FEATURES
• El Niño depends on east–west contrasts in the Pacific
• A view of the latitude–longitude dependence of the precipitation climatology for
January and July, corresponding to southern and northern summer
Features :
• The intertropical convergence zones (ITCZs)
• The term convergence refers to the low-level winds that converge into these regions is
tropical convection zones
• The tropical convection zones move northward in northern summer, and southward in
southern summer
121
OCEAN CIRCULATION
• Latitude–longitude dependence of oceanic climate features
• The ocean vertical structure
• The ocean thermohaline circulation
LATITUDE–LONGITUDE DEPENDENCE OF OCEANIC CLIMATE FEATURES
• Interaction with the atmosphere is the sea surface temperature (SST)
• SST is warmest in tropics, as expected since the solar input is highest
• SST is not perfectly symmetric about the equator
• There are substantial variations in longitude. For instance, the eastern Pacific is
relatively cold, whereas the western Pacific is warm in all seasons
• rainfall over oceans has a close
• there is an Atlantic convergence zone, even though the SST there is cooler than the
western Pacific
122
• cold waters extend along the equator in the Pacific, in what is known as the
equatorial cold tongue
• the equator, the currents are in the direction of the wind-easterly winds drive
westward currents
• the equatorial counter currents which go eastward in the opposite direction of the
easterly winds
• In the interior of the ocean, currents are strongly influenced by the rate of change of
the zonal
123
• the component of the current that moves poleward is relatively small compared
with the westward component
• The wind is accelerating the water westward, but the water is also influenced by
the Coriolis force,
• which turns water to the right of its motion north of the equator, and to the left
south of the equator
124
LAND SURFACE PROCESSES
• the land surface covers only 30% of the Earth’s surface
The main effects
• Land does not transport or store a significant amount of heat
• The lack of heat storage produces contrast during the seasonal cycle
• Albedo - The high albedo of certain land regions can affect regional circulation and
reduces the average energy input into the climate system
• Evapotranspiration and surface hydrology. The land surface stores moisture as soil
moisture in subsurface layers of soil
• The polar regions stand out with high albedo, especially where ice caps are found
• The annual average albedo is also high in high northern latitude land surfaces
owing to winter snow cover
• regions the albedo changes greatly with season, since during the summer the
vegetated land surfaces are much less reflective
• The Sahara Desert also has high albedo
• Both the albedo and evapotranspiration depend on vegetation
• Thus, models of terrestrial ecosystems now consider carbon storage
125
THE CARBON CYCLE
• It involves not only transport and storage in the physical components of the climate
system but interactions with the chemistry and biology of the Earth system
• The cycle involves transfers among reservoirs in the atmosphere, in the ocean and in
land biomass
• The size of each reservoir is given in petagrams of carbon
• One petagram is equal to 1 trillion kilograms
• The fluxes are given in petagrams of carbon per year
• These budgets keep track of the mass of carbon
• The ocean contains large amounts of carbon in various forms: dissolved inorganic
carbon dissolved compounds containing organic carbon
• he total oceanic reservoir of 38,000 PgC, 900 PgC is held in the upper ocean
• The land biomass reservoir, including vegetation, soils and vegetation detritus such as
leaf litter on the forest floor
• the ocean total, at 2300 PgC
• The atmospheric preindustrial content weighs in at only 597 PgC
• Strong exchanges of carbon occur between the atmospheric reservoir and the land and
ocean reservoirs
126
UNIT IV CLIMATE SYSTEM PROCESSES
CONSERVATION OF MOTION
• The winds and currents by Newton’s law
ma = F
• where a is acceleration and F is the total force acting on a body of mass m
• It is convenient to deal with density rather than the mass of these arbitrary parcels
• The acceleration is the rate of change of velocity of the parcel with time
• where PGF is the pressure gradient force and Fdrag denotes friction-like forces due to
turbulent drag
• The Coriolis force is due to the rotation of the Earth and appears as a force
• choose our frame of reference to be fixed to the (rotating) surface of the Earth
• Velocity is a three-dimensional vector
• to three equations for the components of velocity in each direction: eastward,
northward and upward
• The coordinate system is chosen with atmospheric and oceanic applications
127
• in mind, so it rotates with the Earth, and the vertical direction (z) is defined as
upward,
• opposite the local direction of gravity on a surface at mean sea level
CORIOLIS FORCE
• The Coriolis force is an apparent force that acts on moving masses in a rotating
reference frame
• the Earth rotates once per day, the Coriolis force is negligible for motions
• in which other forces, such as frictional effects, operate on much shorter time scales
• Frictional forces are much smaller, and the Coriolis force becomes a leading effect
• a body moves in a straight line viewed in the nonrotating frame, points on the surface
rotate during the time of its motion
• If the motion is at the equator, the apparent force will be upward and will not affect
the horizontal motion
VELOCITY EQUATIONS
• the horizontal velocity equations are
• Newton’s law expresses conservation of momentum, these are also called the
horizontal momentum equations
• The time derivatives give the acceleration for a parcel of air
• denote turbulent drag on the flow due to mixing of momentum by small-scale motions
• they depend on the gradients of the wind, on its velocity and on atmospheric
stratification
129
APPLICATION: GEOSTROPHIC WIND
• At large scales at mid latitudes - the Coriolis force and the pressure gradient force
are the dominant forces
• neglecting the beta effect, friction, and acceleration, gives a steady balance where
the flow goes around lows just fast enough to balance the PGF
• weather maps wind blows counter clockwise around low pressure
regions in the northern hemisphere
• If the air is initially at rest , the PGF will accelerate it toward the low
130
EQUATION OF STATE
• The atmospheric equation of state is used frequently in atmospheric applications
because the density changes with pressure are large
Equation of state for the atmosphere: ideal gas law
Equation of state for the ocean
• where R = 287 J kg⁻¹ K⁻¹ is the ideal gas constant for air, and the temperature T is in
kelvin⁴
EQUATION OF STATE FOR THE OCEAN
• For the ocean, the density depends on temperature density decreases with
temperature, and more so for warmer water
• Near the freezing point, water actually gets slightly less dense as it gets colder
• Density increases with salinity
• For the sake of keeping track of the equations required in a climate model, call this
function ℘ (T , S, P) where S is salinity
131
• relatively lower pressure over land near the surface than over the neighbouring ocean
• The surface wind blows toward the low pressure, rises and returns at the top of the
boundary layer
132
TEMPERATURE EQUATION
• the time rate of change of temperature, is a form of the first law of thermodynamics
• It expresses the conservation of thermodynamic energy as it is converted between
internal energy of the gas, work of expansion and input of heat into an air
Ocean temperature equation
Temperature equation for air
• where cw is the heat capacity of water cw =4200 J kg⁻¹ K ⁻¹, and Q is heating in J kg
⁻¹s ⁻¹
• The heating is due to heat fluxes at the surface and mixing of the heat down into the
ocean
.
• The heating is related to the fluxes by vertical integrals in pressure,
since dp/g = (increment of mass per area) in the vertical
• as multiplying by density in the ocean and integrating in z
• In the atmosphere
133
APPLICATION: DECAY OF A SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE
• there are negligible anomalous fluxes through the bottom of the surface layer
• Subtracting the climatology of SST and fluxes
• the equation for the SST anomaly is
• the magnitude of the cooling by the heat fluxes depends on the warmth of the SST
• in a way that reduces SST anomalies
• Example - negative feedback
• The coefficient γ gives the strength of the negative feedback
• the solution for SST is
• For surface layer depths on the order of 50–100m the time scale is on the order of
months
• For a deeper layer, or weaker negative feedback, the time scale could be larger
CONTINUITY EQUATION
Conservation of mass
• The rate of change of volume is given by the divergence, D3D
• horizontal divergence or convergence to horizontal motions, so the subscript 3D is to
recall that this includes the effects of vertical motions
• mass = (density × volume) is conserved
• Divergence reduces density according to
134
• If density remains constant then conservation of mass implies that the horizontal
• divergence must be balanced by suitable changes in vertical motions
135
APPLICATION: COASTAL UPWELLING
• The trade winds have a component that blows parallel to the coast of Peru
• a north–south coast with a wind blowing northward
• Neglecting the d/dt term in the v equation, and assuming nothing changes very
quickly in the north–south direction
• contains the northward drag of the wind stress which tends to accelerate the ocean
currents
136
APPLICATION: CONSERVATION OF WARM WATER MASS
• The thermocline is idealized as a sudden jump in temperature at a depth −h
• The movement of the thermocline will be governed by divergence or convergence
averaged over the entire layer
• the oceanic continuity equation the whole layer and let ˆD be the vertical average
divergence
• Divergence occurs where the zonal current increases to the east, convergence where it
decreases eastward
• Downward motion at the depth of the thermocline occurs where the vertical average
current is converging
• Since h measures thermocline depth ∂h/∂t is positive where the current converges
137
• Pconvection includes the loss of moisture by condensation and precipitation
• Pmixing includes mixing not associated with moist convection, including boundary
layer turbulence
• the lowest level of the atmosphere, Pmixing includes surface evaporation that
provides the source of moisture to the atmosphere
• Pconvection represents conversion from water vapor to cloud condensate
• In land surface or snow/ice models, the equation for water substance is usually written
for the mass of water per unit area within a given layer of soil, snow or ice
Sources and sinks of moisture, and latent heat :
• Phase changes of moisture, such as condensation or freezing, are associated with
latent heat release
• It also connects the source and sink terms for each phase to the energy budget
• water vapour condenses into water droplets in clouds, the latent heat release per unit
mass of water condensed is given by L=2.5×106 J kg−1
• the specific humidity is mass of water vapour per mass of air, when humidity is
reduced by an amount δq the latent heat per mass of air is given by Lδq
• If no mixing is occurring, then water and salt will both be conserved, so ds/dt = 0.
• At the surface of the ocean, Ps mixing depends on evaporation and precipitation
MOIST PROCESSES
• the moisture equation - a number of physical processes must be taken into account
in order to calculate the sources and sinks of moisture
• the growth of ice crystals in clouds, the fall rate of raindrops, the tendency of
raindrops to aggregate when falling, and their re-evaporation
• Saturation
• Moist convection
138
SATURATION
• If water vapour is continually added to air, for instance by evaporation, at a certain
point the air becomes saturated
• the equilibrium of saturated water vapour over liquid water for various temperatures.
At warmer temperatures, the molecules in the liquid water have more kinetic energy
• Relative humidity is given by the actual vapour pressure of an air parcel divided by
the saturation value at that temperature
• moisture sources and sinks and heating and cooling, an air parcel can have values of
water vapour content and temperature anywhere below the saturation line
• if temperature decreases it will eventually saturate and condensation will begin to
occur
• condensation occurs for a large air mass, it is simple to represent in a climate model
since the saturation vapor pressure is easy to calculate
MOIST CONVECTION
• A cloud parcel rising according to the moist adiabat has a temperature given by the
temperature and moisture of the boundary layer
• small-scale convective motions with rising warm air parcels to warm the troposphere
through a deep layer
• the Hadley and Walker circulations
139
WAVE PROCESSES IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN
Types of wave motions
• Gravity waves
• Kelvin waves
• Rossby waves
GRAVITY WAVES
• Gravity waves are due to the effects of gravity acting on perturbations to a density
gradient in the vertical
• Example the surface gravity waves on the surface of the ocean
• If a region of the dense fluid (water) is raised, it has negative buoyancy relative to the
surrounding fluid (air)
• vertical structures and their speed increases for waves that have larger depth scale
• If a process such as heating on a small scale by a convective cloud tends to produce
horizontal density and pressure gradients, gravity waves will act to reduce these
gradients
KELVIN WAVES
• In the north–south direction, however, it obeys geostrophic balance. This is known as
the Kelvin wave
• It has the property of traveling at a gravity wave speed, eastward along the equator
• When it encounters a coast, it can travel up the coast with the along-coast balances
• a gravity wave while being in geostrophic balance in the direction perpendicular to
the coast
• About 20 degrees of latitude in that atmosphere and 3 degrees of latitude in the ocean
ROSSBY WAVES
• climate processes such as teleconnections, communicating
• Rossby waves depend upon the variation of the Coriolis parameter with latitude,
known as the beta effect
• The pressure gradient is in balance with the Coriolis force at both the northern and
southern sides of the low
• Because f increases with latitude, it is larger on the northern side
140
• the same Coriolis force balancing the pressure gradient
• the zonal wind u must be smaller on the north side than the south side
• the pressure will tend to increase on the eastern side of the low and decrease on the
western side
• The speed of propagation of the highs and lows for a sinusoidal wave is known as the
phase speed
• Rossby waves at mid latitudes are strongly affected by westerly climatological winds
141
UNIT V CLIMATE CHANGE MODELS
Constructing a climate model – climate system modeling – climate simulation and drift –
Evaluation of climate model simulation – regional (RCM) – global (GCM) – Global average
response to warming – climate change observed to date
CONSTRUCTING A CLIMATE MODEL
• Discretization is to divide the fluid up into a number of grid cells
• the continuous field by the average value across the grid cell or the value at the center
of the grid cell
• There are a number of different techniques of discretizing the equations of motion of a
continuous fluid
• An atmospheric model
• Treatment of sub-grid-scale processes
• Resolution and computational cost
• An ocean model and ocean–atmosphere coupling
AN ATMOSPHERIC MODEL
142
• The partial differential equations of motion for atmosphere and ocean are replaced by
a finite number of difference equations involving differences between values in
neighboring grid cells
• Each grid cell communicates with its neighbors
• The arrows indicate transports (or fluxes) of mass, energy, and moisture into a
particular grid cell
• The time integration proceeds one time step at a time until the desired length of
simulation (e.g. 100 years) is reached
143
• Small-scale convective motions within the grid box have updrafts in the deep
convective clouds
• convective heating is to calculate the net cumulus mass flux that would occur as an
average over the grid box for given temperature and moisture profiles over the
column
• Infrared radiation is emitted both downward and upward from every layer according
to the temperature of that layer
• The intensity of each flux depends on the temperature of the layer doing the emitting
144
AN OCEAN MODEL AND OCEAN–ATMOSPHERE COUPLING
• The levels are more closely spaced (10m thick) near the surface to resolve surface
current effects
• They remain quite closely spaced through the upper ocean to resolve the thermocline
• Sloping grid cells are used in some models but the approximation shown should be
viewed in perspective
• Example the domain only about one-twentieth of the width
• The lower levels of an atmospheric model for an atmospheric model grid size of 2
degrees of longitude
• a single atmospheric column, one grid cell wide in the horizontal, and the ocean grid
cells below it
• The amount of solar radiation reaching the ocean surface depends on atmospheric
variables such as clouds
• The solar radiation penetrates into the upper few ocean levels
• Exchange of sensible heat and latent heat (evaporation) occur between the uppermost
ocean level and lowest atmospheric level
• Near-surface heating is carried down by mixing in the ocean
145
LAND SURFACE, SNOW, ICE AND VEGETATION
• The variables typically include: land surface temperature; soil moisture, which
depends on precipitation and evapotranspiration; and snow cover
• biophysical land surface models
• Example the Biosphere–Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS)
• Snow coverage and depth depends on atmospheric inputs such as snowfall,
temperature, surface radiation and low-level atmospheric temperature and moisture
• Sea ice models are run in close connection with the ocean model
• The melting and freezing of sea ice produces or removes fresh water
146
• When a model is first run, the atmosphere might be started from constant temperature
and no wind
• the ocean is started from a simple vertical profile that has no spatial variations and no
currents
• The model then responds to the solar forcing, warming at the equator, cooling at the
poles and spinning up winds and currents
• it reaches a simulated climate that resembles the observed
• systematic model error - climate drift, because when started from observations, the
model “drifts” slowly toward its equilibrium state
• The term climate drift also refers to the steady state result of this adjustment
147
CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATION OF CLIMATOLOGY
• an error in the parameterized cloud cover might allow tens of Wm−2 too much solar
radiation to reach the surface in a certain region
• the coupled system, the ocean will warm, in turn affecting the cloudiness, winds, etc
• Examples NCAR CCSM3
• a comparison between precipitation from the atmospheric component of CCSM3
• The 4mm per day−1 contours are repeated for the AMIP run and the observations
• the 4mm per day−1 contour from the coupled CCSM3 simulation is added
148
• A number of regional errors are exacerbated in the coupled system. For instance, the
SPCZ in December–February,
• which extended slightly too far into the south eastern Pacific in the atmospheric
component
• It extends even further east across the basin in the coupled simulation
• the Hadley Centre model has one of the best coupled model simulations of tropical
precipitation
• In winter, Italy is as rainy as the north of France – again, a slight extension of a real
climate feature creates errors at the regional scale
149
• Observations based on rain gauges are available at particular locations, mostly over
land, and thus have large gaps in spatial coverage
• The 200 mb geopotential is known as a reanalysis product
• The model produces a full set of atmospheric variables with full spatial coverage
• with precipitation increases in the central to eastern equatorial Pacific and decreases
in the western Pacific
• The teleconnection to reduced equatorial precipitation in eastern South America and
the Atlantic is also clear
• as one focuses on specific regions, such as the island of New Guinea and neighboring
ocean areas near the equator just north of Australia
150
GLOBAL-AVERAGE RESPONSE TO GREENHOUSE WARMING SCENARIOS
• the time dependence of radiative forcing by GHG, sulfate aerosols and both
combined, estimated
• from 1860 to present and projected into the future with a 1% per year CO2 increase
scenario
• The climate model is a coupled ocean–atmosphere model from the Hadley Centre
• The temperature change is given relative to a 130-year model control run in which
forcing was held constant at the value in 1860
• GHG effect produces an increasing warming with time in response to the ongoing
GHG increase
• the global-average surface temperature increase in 2050 due to GHG alone reaches
about 2.6 ◦C
• This is reduced to about 1.8 ◦C by sulfate aerosols when both effects are included
• GHG forcing alone produces a warming slightly less than 1 ◦C. Aerosols oppose this
and reduce it to about 0.7 ◦C
• the best estimate of the sulfate aerosol radiative forcing has been revised
• On long time scales, this natural variability is unpredictable and is not expected to
have the same time sequence for different models
151
CLIMATE CHANGE OBSERVED TO DATE
Temperature trends & natural variability: scale dependence
• to natural variations depends strongly on the spatial and time averages
• annual averages and decadal averages at the hemispheric scale, at a scale of 40 or 50
thousand km2 and at the scale of a 5×5 degree latitude–longitude box
• This holds for both the year-to-year variability and decade-to-decade variability
• a slight increase in cold air transports from the north can easily have a large impact in
a particular region
• The energy transports through the edges of the larger averaging region
• At the local scale the greenhouse effect is still operating, but in a particular year, or
even a particular decade
152
Sea ice, land ice, ocean heat storage and sea level rise
• The time series of observations with high spatial coverage tends to be shorter for these
quantities than for surface temperature
• Satellite observations of sea ice extent are available
• the annual average area covered by sea ice in the northern hemisphere over that time
period
• The decreasing trend amounts to about 3% of the total area per decade.
• Summer sea ice extent in the northern hemisphere has been decreasing by about 7%
of the total area per decade
• A glacier has retreated, exact mass balances for glaciers are difficult to establish
• The substantial uncertainties are due to difficulties in measuring thickness
• an indicator of warming, land ice has contributed to observed sea level rise.
• Glaciers are estimated to have contributed about 3 to 7mm per decade, and the
Greenland
• Antarctic ice sheets about 4 to 7mm per decade during 1961 to 2003
• The heat content change occurs in response to accumulated imbalance in surface heat
flux or changes in the transport to and from the deep ocean
• the observing system for subsurface temperature has imperfect coverage
153