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Uji Likelihood Ratio

The document reports the results of several statistical tests performed on regression analysis with unemployment rate as the dependent variable and GDP, inflation, and a constant as independent variables. The tests include: 1. Fixed effects test and random effects test (Hausman test) to determine whether to include country fixed effects. Both tests show country fixed effects should be included. 2. Regression results for fixed effects and random effects models. Fixed effects model has better fit and is preferred. 3. Additional diagnostic tests run on the fixed effects model including tests for normality, multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity, and autocorrelation. Some significant autocorrelation is detected.

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Siti Salsabila
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
88 views5 pages

Uji Likelihood Ratio

The document reports the results of several statistical tests performed on regression analysis with unemployment rate as the dependent variable and GDP, inflation, and a constant as independent variables. The tests include: 1. Fixed effects test and random effects test (Hausman test) to determine whether to include country fixed effects. Both tests show country fixed effects should be included. 2. Regression results for fixed effects and random effects models. Fixed effects model has better fit and is preferred. 3. Additional diagnostic tests run on the fixed effects model including tests for normality, multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity, and autocorrelation. Some significant autocorrelation is detected.

Uploaded by

Siti Salsabila
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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UJI LIKELIHOOD RATIO

Redundant Fixed Effects Tests


Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section fixed effects

Effects Test Statistic   d.f.  Prob. 

Cross-section F 19.210657 (25,24) 0.0000


Cross-section Chi-square 158.342648 25 0.0000

Cross-section fixed effects test equation:


Dependent Variable: PENGANGGURAN
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 01/04/23 Time: 15:48
Sample: 2020 2021
Periods included: 2
Cross-sections included: 26
Total panel (balanced) observations: 52

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIAH 1.25E-06 3.53E-07 3.540644 0.0009


INFLASI -0.080881 0.197457 -0.409614 0.6839
C 5.015728 0.454553 11.03442 0.0000

R-squared 0.211777    Mean dependent var 5.302885


Adjusted R-squared 0.179605    S.D. dependent var 1.522475
S.E. of regression 1.378992    Akaike info criterion 3.536543
Sum squared resid 93.17929    Schwarz criterion 3.649115
Log likelihood -88.95013    Hannan-Quinn criter. 3.579701
F-statistic 6.582585    Durbin-Watson stat 0.183978
Prob(F-statistic) 0.002937

UJI HAUSMAN TEST

Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test


Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects

Chi-Sq.
Test Summary Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob. 

Cross-section random 0.048567 2 0.9760

Cross-section random effects test comparisons:

Variable Fixed   Random  Var(Diff.)  Prob. 

PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIAH 0.000002 0.000001 0.000000 0.8469


INFLASI -0.066248 -0.066311 0.000112 0.9953
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PENGANGGURAN
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 01/04/23 Time: 16:01
Sample: 2020 2021
Periods included: 2
Cross-sections included: 26
Total panel (balanced) observations: 52

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

C 4.805698 0.925392 5.193146 0.0000


PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIAH 1.77E-06 2.61E-06 0.677575 0.5045
INFLASI -0.066248 0.072060 -0.919344 0.3671

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.962485    Mean dependent var 5.302885


Adjusted R-squared 0.920282    S.D. dependent var 1.522475
S.E. of regression 0.429863    Akaike info criterion 1.453031
Sum squared resid 4.434765    Schwarz criterion 2.503701
Log likelihood -9.778806    Hannan-Quinn criter. 1.855833
F-statistic 22.80560    Durbin-Watson stat 3.851852
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

HASIL REGRESI

Dependent Variable: PENGANGGURAN


Method: Panel EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 01/04/23 Time: 16:01
Sample: 2020 2021
Periods included: 2
Cross-sections included: 26
Total panel (balanced) observations: 52
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIAH 1.27E-06 4.92E-07 2.585043 0.0128


INFLASI -0.066311 0.071277 -0.930334 0.3568
C 4.980553 0.352123 14.14437 0.0000

Effects Specification
S.D.   Rho  

Cross-section random 1.354981 0.9086


Idiosyncratic random 0.429863 0.0914

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.139454    Mean dependent var 1.160733


Adjusted R-squared 0.104330    S.D. dependent var 0.445073
S.E. of regression 0.421216    Sum squared resid 8.693722
F-statistic 3.970301    Durbin-Watson stat 1.967828
Prob(F-statistic) 0.025233

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.211650    Mean dependent var 5.302885


Sum squared resid 93.19432    Durbin-Watson stat 0.183571

UJI NORMALITAS

UJI MULTIKOL

Variance Inflation Factors


Date: 01/04/23 Time: 16:44
Sample: 1 52
Included observations: 52

Coefficient Uncentered Centered


Variable Variance VIF VIF

PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIA
H  1.25E-13  1.439139  1.011587
INFLASI  0.038997  4.956072  1.011587
C  0.206662  5.650007  NA

UJI HETEROS

Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey

F-statistic 1.322081    Prob. F(2,49) 0.2759


Obs*R-squared 2.662380    Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.2642
Scaled explained SS 4.108158    Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.1282

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/04/23 Time: 16:45
Sample: 1 52
Included observations: 52

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

C 3.304071 1.105181 2.989620 0.0044


PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIAH -1.00E-06 8.59E-07 -1.163315 0.2503
INFLASI -0.602095 0.480088 -1.254136 0.2157

R-squared 0.051200    Mean dependent var 1.792292


Adjusted R-squared 0.012473    S.D. dependent var 3.373930
S.E. of regression 3.352822    Akaike info criterion 5.313443
Sum squared resid 550.8295    Schwarz criterion 5.426015
Log likelihood -135.1495    Hannan-Quinn criter. 5.356601
F-statistic 1.322081    Durbin-Watson stat 1.303645
Prob(F-statistic) 0.275920

UJI AUTOKORELASI

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:

F-statistic 8.799228    Prob. F(2,47) 0.0006


Obs*R-squared 14.16628    Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.0008

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/04/23 Time: 16:46
Sample: 1 52
Included observations: 52
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

PDRB_MILYAR_RUPIAH 4.84E-08 3.82E-07 0.126489 0.8999


INFLASI -0.003978 0.171996 -0.023127 0.9816
C -0.006123 0.402612 -0.015209 0.9879
RESID(-1) 0.557817 0.139230 4.006459 0.0002
RESID(-2) -0.365988 0.162709 -2.249340 0.0292

R-squared 0.272428    Mean dependent var -6.83E-16


Adjusted R-squared 0.210507    S.D. dependent var 1.351826
S.E. of regression 1.201144    Akaike info criterion 3.295637
Sum squared resid 67.80906    Schwarz criterion 3.483256
Log likelihood -80.68656    Hannan-Quinn criter. 3.367566
F-statistic 4.399614    Durbin-Watson stat 1.806995
Prob(F-statistic) 0.004202

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