Preediction of Germination
Preediction of Germination
                                                                   Ecological Modelling
                                               journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolmodel
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history:                                          In fields, the timing of weed emergence flushes is mostly related to the timing and rate of seed germina-
Received 1 February 2010                                  tion, which depend on seed dormancy level, soil temperature and water potential conditions as well as
Received in revised form                                  soil tillage and crop sowing date. Seed germination parameters are essential in weed dynamics models
15 September 2010
                                                          to account for the effects of soil conditions on weed demography. Since these parameters are difficult
Accepted 7 October 2010
                                                          to measure, our objective was to test the possibility of estimating them from easily accessible informa-
Available online 17 November 2010
                                                          tion. Seed germination parameters (germination lag-time, time to mid-germination and mid-germination
                                                          rate) were measured or collected from the literature for 25 weed species with contrasted seed character-
Keywords:
Base temperature
                                                          istics. Correlations were then searched for between these parameters and morphological, chemical and
Dormancy                                                  physiological seed traits as well as seed dormancy level. The dormancy level was positively correlated
Germination lag                                           with speed of germination parameters. Earliness of germination was positively correlated with seed lipid
Germination rate                                          content and the seed area to mass ratio. Germination was also earlier and faster in species with a high
Lipid content                                             base temperature for germination. These relationships explained about half the observed variability in
Area to mass ratio                                        germination speed parameters but should be further tested before being used to predict the germination
Seed                                                      behaviour of weed species in the field in different seasons.
                                                                                                                            © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
0304-3800/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.10.005
                                                         A. Gardarin et al. / Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 626–636                                                 627
Table 1
Correlations found in the literature between seed traits and the germination rate of wild or cropped species.
Seed traits or other characteristics Correlation with the seed germination rate Species studied Source
the individual level. Seed traits have been linked with seedling                          mung bean, three species contrasted in their raffinose saccharide
establishment in wild species (Weiher et al., 1999). Based on this                        contents. Al-Ani et al. (1985) showed for crop species with a wide
principle, model parameters which are difficult to measure could be                        range of seed lipid contents that a high seed lipid content increased
inferred from easily accessible seed traits using generic functions                       their sensitivity to low oxygen partial pressure during germination.
established with a few contrasting model species representative                               In addition to these traits, germination speed varies consider-
of the diversity of the weeds (Gardarin et al., 2009). We already                         ably with the level of seed dormancy, more in weed species than
established such relationships for the prediction of pre-emergence                        in crop species. Slow germination rates (i.e. the proportion of ger-
seedling growth (Gardarin et al., 2010a).                                                 minated seeds per unit of time) have been shown to be correlated
    A critical analysis of existing germination literature led to                         with low final germination percentages of highly dormant seeds
the identification of several seed characteristics related to ger-                         (Courtney, 1968; Vleeshouwers, 1997; Colbach et al., 2006). Highly
mination. Table 1 summarizes various inter and intra-specific                              dormant seeds also present long germination lags (i.e. the time from
relationships found in the literature between morphological, chem-                        water uptake to the first germinated seed in the seed lot) and lower
ical and physiological seed characteristics on the one hand, and                          germination rates (Shipley and Parent, 1991).
the seed germination rate on the other. The seed germination rate                             The objective of the present study was to search for relationships
was found to be correlated with the species base temperature for                          between the parameters influencing germination speed (i.e. ger-
germination. According to Angus et al. (1981), the thermal time nec-                      mination lag-time, time to mid-germination and mid-germination
essary for germination and emergence of crop species decreased                            rate) and morphological, chemical and physiological seed traits.
with an increase in species base temperature. Similar correlations                            Relationships were searched for using germination experiments
have been reported for the growth of different kinds of organisms                         on 14 weed species in which the above-mentioned traits were con-
(e.g. insects, arachnids, Trudgill et al., 2005) and could be relevant                    trasted and which were representative of the weed flora found
for weed seed germination. Secondly, based on the study of 400                            in north-western European cropping systems. Their seeds were
species of Britannic flora, Grime et al. (1981) observed that the                          buried and then excavated in different seasons in the field to
germination rate was associated with the shape of the seed, and                           account for variations in seed dormancy over time. They were then
that smaller and more elongated seeds had higher germination                              put to germinate in light vs. darkness to account for light condi-
rates. The intra-specific effect of seed mass on germination rate                          tions for surface vs. buried seeds in the field. The experiments were
differs with the species studied and no clear pattern is apparent                         completed with data from the literature to increase the number of
(Milberg et al., 1996; Baloch et al., 2001). A maize seed imbibition                      species analysed.
model revealed that the proportion of the imbibed seed surface
was strongly correlated with the seed imbibition rate (Bruckler,                          2. Material and methods
1983a,b) and consequently with the germination rate. Therefore,
if we assume that the amount of water required by a given seed                               Experiments consisted in burying seed bags and then excavating
depends on its mass, the area to mass ratio could influence the seed                       them every two or six months over a period of two years in order
imbibition rate. Finally, the seed germination rate may also depend                       to measure changes in seed germinability due to variations in seed
on reserve mobilization, which is necessary for germination and                           dormancy level.
early seedling growth. The composition of the seed reserves, their
protein, lipid and soluble sugar contents, varies greatly between                         2.1. Seed burial and recovery
genera and families (Earle and Jones, 1962; Kuo et al., 1988). It
is often suggested, although to our knowledge not demonstrated,                              Seeds of 14 weed species commonly found in fields in
that a high soluble sugar content in the seed reserves supplies                           north-western Europe with intensive cropping systems, and with
rapidly available energy for the embryo and favours rapid germi-                          contrasting seed traits (seed mass, nature of reserves, etc.) were
nation (Dierking and Bilyeu, 2009). Kuo et al. (1988) observed an                         collected at full maturity in 2006 in fields near Dijon (47.317◦ N,
increase in germination rates in relation with the disappearance                          5.017◦ E, 220 m altitude) in Burgundy, France, except Arabidopsis
of raffinose and accumulation of fructose in cotton, soybean and                           thaliana for which no seeds could be harvested in 2006. Imme-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   628
Table 2
Species studied, experimental conditions for the seed lot burial and germination experiments, and range of germination speed parameters estimated from fitting equation.
                                                                                   Temperature   Light conditions Range of final   Range of lag time   Range of time to    Range of            Low               High
                                                                                   (◦ C)                          germination     TT0 (◦ C days)      mid-germination     germination rates
                                                                                                                  proportions m                       TT50 (◦ C days)     at
                                                                                                                                                                          mid-germination
                                                                                                                                                                          (◦ C−1 days−1 )
 Capsella bursa-pastoris (L.) Medik.   No             16 June        2 months      15            Light and dark     0.06–0.58     12–73               26–91               0.0059–0.1422       June              November
 Galium aparine L.                     Yes            18 July        2 months      15            Light and dark     0.07–1        25–101              30–192              0.0004–0.0100       April             November
 Matricaria perforata Mérat            No             18 July        2 months      15            Light and dark     0.46–0.99     18–66               33–85               0.0050–0.1026       July 06           Aug.06–June 08
 Amaranthus hybridus L.                No             13 September   2 months      25            Light and dark     0.09–1        10–35               14–79               0.0011–0.8199       October           April
 Polygonum lapathifolium L.            Yes            27 September   2 months      25            Light and dark     0.07–0.99     14–77               23–97               0.0005–0.0795       September         March
 Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynhnh     No             18 July        6 months      15            Light              0.95–0.97     37–79               61–107              0.0157–0.0220                         July 06–April 08
 Avena fatua L.                        Yes            4 July         6 months      15            Light              0.11–0.98     26–55               28–91               0.0021–0.0506       April             June
 Papaver rhoeas L.                     No             4 July         6 months      15            Light              0.11–0.32     81–103              106–127             0.0016–0.0240       July 06–October   April 08
                                                                                                                                                                                              07
 Echinochloa crus-galli Beauv.         No             1 August       6 months      15            Light              0.24–0.98     38–45               40–74               0.0074–0.0304       October           May
 Chenopodium album L.                  No             18 September   6 months      15            Light              0.09–0.56     31–46               33–111              0.0016–0.0123       October           May
 Fallopia convolvulus Loeve            Yes            27 September   6 months      20            Light              0.08          56                  79                  0.0026              September         April 08
                                                                                                                                                                                              06–October 07
 Polygonum aviculare L.                No             2 October      6 months      20            Light                0–0.04      Not estimated       Not estimated       Not estimated       October
                                                                                                                                                                                              06–March 08
 Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.            No             11 October     6 months      20            Light              0.53–0.89     18–31               31–38               0.0188–0.0469       October           April
 Digitaria sanguinalis (L.) Scop.      No             11 October     6 months      25            Light              0.13–0.90     30–31               30–46               0.049–0.6134        October           May
                                               A. Gardarin et al. / Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 626–636                                                 629
Table 3
Seed traits measured in 25 weed species.
  Species                                Seed dry mass          Area                 Area-mass ratio           Lipid content        Protein content             Base temperature
                                         (± SD, mg)             (± SD, mm2 )         (± SD, mm2 /mg)           (± SD, %)            (± SD, %)                   (± SE, ◦ C)
  Alopecurus myosuroides                 2.3 ± 0.67            6.523                2.8                      14.5 ± 0.46           22.7 ± 0.03                  0.06
  Amaranthus hybridus                    0.4 ± 0.07            1.4                  3.7                      8.5 ± 0.04            15.5 ± 0.10                  8.8 ± 1.110
  Amaranthus retroflexus                  The traits measured in A. hybridus were used since A. hybridus and A. retroflexus are very similar and frequently       15.021
                                         considered as a belonging to the same single species.
  Ambrosia artemisiifolia                4.6 ± 1.30            5.1 ± 0.88           1.1                      22.3 ± 0.08           9.5 ± 0.00                   3.6 ± 1.114
  Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynh.       0.029                 0.123                5.5                      41.9                  23.5 ± 0.05                  3.011
  Avena fatua                            18.5 ± 6.66           17.523               0.9                      8.9 ± 0.18            8.4 ± 0.02                   2.2 ± 1.213 , 0.48
  Beta vulgaris ssp. vulgaris            12.5                  15.6                 1.3                      21.3 ± 1.72           23.7 ± 0.34                  3.515
  Capsella bursa-pastoris                0.1 ± 0.02            0.4 23
                                                                                    3.1                      39.1 ± 0.28           23.3 ± 0.03                  4.5 ± 1.714
  Centaurea cyanus                       5.3                   5.2 ± 1.18           1.0                      28.4 ± 0.27           16.9 16                      2.2 ± 0.514
  Chenopodium album                      0.6                   1.4 ± 0.18           2.5                      9.4 ± 0.09            14.2 ± 0.13                  5.8 ± 0.513 , 228
  Datura stramonium                      7.2 ± 1.14            7.8 ± 0.96           1.1                      32.1 ± 0.05           18.416,24                    10.44
  Digitaria sanguinalis                  0.6 ± 0.09            2.0 ± 0.29           3.5                      4.3 ± 0.28            16.6 ± 0.13                  9.9 ± 2.522,19,25
  Echinochloa crus-galli (L.) P.         2.2 ± 0.46            4.1 ± 0.71           1.8                      6.3 ± 0.12            13.5 ± ± 0.08                6.2 ± 0.614
    Beauv.
  Fallopia convolvulus (L.) A. Löve      6.5 ± 1.39             7.4 ± 0.47            1.1                     3.5 ± 0.10           14.6 ± 0.05                  4.3
  Galium aparine                         7.4 ± 2.39             5.4 ± 1.72            0.7                     3.7 ± 0.08           11.5 ± 0.08                  2.526
  Geranium dissectum                     2.1 ± 0.36             2.3 ± 0.24            1.1                     21.4 ± 0.80          24.2 ± 0.13                  −1.5 ± 1.314
  Matricaria perforata                   0.3 ± 0.08             0.223                 0.8                     19.4 ± 0.13          15.3 ± 0.00                  2.0 ± 0.714
  Papaver rhoeas                         0.1                    0.323                 2.4                     43.6 ± 0.24          23.0 ± 0.03                  0.8
  Polygonum aviculare                    1.5 ± 0.59             3.1 ± 1.27            2.1                     4.2 ± 0.28           11.9 ± 0.03                  0.017
  Polygonum lapathifolium                2.0 ± 0.58             5.0                   2.5                     5.5 ± 0.01           11.0 ± 0.01                  5.8 ± 1.014
  Polygonum persicaria                   1.99,18,20,28          The traits of Polygonum lapathifolium were used since these two species are relatively close.   3.228
  Solanum nigrum                         0.83,7,9               1.823                 2.4                     25.12,7,24           18.32,7,24                   11.5 ± 0.713
  Spergula arvensis                      0.43,5,9,20,28         0.623                 0.3                     11.51                14.59                        3.727
  Stellaria media                        0.4                    0.8 ± 0.08            2.1                     5.91                 17.92,24                     1.412
  Veronica hederifolia                   3.5 ± 1.48             4.0 ± 1.09            1.1                     15.6 ± 0.27          15.6 ± 0.01                  0.2 ± 0.214
Sources: 1 (Aitzetmüller et al., 2003); 2 (Barclay and Earle, 1974); 3 (Benvenuti et al., 2001); 4 (Benvenuti and Macchia, 1993); 5 (Bouwmeester and Karssen, 1992); 6 (Colbach
et al., 2002); 7 (Earle and Jones, 1962); 8 (Fernandez-Quintanilla et al., 1990); 9 (Flynn et al., 2006); 10 (Granger and Guillemin, 2004); 11 (Granier et al., 2002); 12 (Grundy
and Mead, 2000); 13 (Guillemin et al., 2008); 14 (Gardarin et al., 2010b); 15 (Gummerson, 1986); 16 (Jones and Earle, 1966); 17 (Kruk and Benech-Arnold, 2000); 18 (Lutman
et al., 2002); 19 (Masin et al., 2005); 20 (Milberg et al., 2000); 21 (Oryokot et al., 1997); 22 (Sartorato and Pignata, 2008); 23 (Sevic, 2003); 24 (Schroeder et al., 1974); 25
(Steinmaus et al., 2000); 26 (Van der Weide, 1993); 27 (Vleeshouwers, 1997); 28 (Vleeshouwers and Kropff, 2000).
lag, i.e. the thermal time (◦ C days) from the addition of water                           for 18 species (including 11 new species), resulting in a total of 25
to the first germination. TT50 is the time to mid-germination, i.e.                         species. Finally, there were up to four different sources of data (from
the thermal time necessary to obtain m/2 germinated seeds. b is                            our experiments or from the literature) for each species.
a shape parameter correlated with the germination rate at mid-
germination. Fitting was carried out using proc NLIN of SAS (SAS                           2.6. Seed trait measurements
Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina, USA, 1999). R2 were calculated
as 1 − (sum of error squares)/(total corrected sum of squares). No                             Seed traits were measured on samples taken from the same seed
fitting was done when less than 5% of the seeds germinated.                                 lots as those buried in the soil. The seed dry mass of each species
   The germination rate at mid-germination (v50 , in ◦ C−1 days−1 )                        was measured individually on 100 seeds dried at 80 ◦ C for 48 h.
was calculated using the derivative of Eq. (2) at mid-germination                          Individual photos of 100 seeds were taken with a camera (pixel
TT50 :                                                                                     size between 2.25 and 4.18 m depending on the species) and the
                                                                                           morphological features were computed on a binary image using
         m · b · logn (2)
v50 =                                                                            (3)       the method previously described by Muracciole et al. (2007). Seed
        2 · (TT50 − TT0 )                                                                  area, in two dimensions, was then determined by image analysis
                                                                                           (Majumdar and Jayas, 2000; Muracciole et al., 2007).
2.5. Germination time courses taken from literature                                            For seed composition analyses, seeds enclosed in thick seed
                                                                                           coats were dehulled. The outer seed coat of Avena fatua L., Alopecu-
    To increase the number and range of species analysed, additional                       rus myosuroides and Echinochloa crus-galli, and the floral parts of
data were taken from the literature. We only used germination time                         Beta vulgaris ssp. vulgaris were removed. Seeds of other species were
courses obtained in similar conditions to the protocol described in                        kept intact and their dispersule (i.e. the seed or the fruit with all its
Sections 2.1–2.3 (optimal temperature and water potential condi-                           attached structures) was analysed. Seeds were dried at 80 ◦ C for
tions) and for which the final proportion of germination (level of                          48 h and two seed samples were taken from each species. Seeds
dormancy) was known. However, for most of the species, germina-                            weighing less than 3 mg were milled to fine powder in a rotary
tion was measured on seed lots which had not been buried in the                            grinder (ZM 200, Retsch) and a ball mill (diameter 10 mm, Pro-
soil. Details on these supplementary time courses are summarized                           labo) was used for larger seeds. Nitrogen content was measured
in Table 4. When available, values for germination parameters (TT0 ,                       using the Dumas procedure (Hansen, 1989) and multiplied by 6.25
TT50 and v50 ) were taken directly from the paper concerned. Oth-                          to estimate the seed protein content (Mariotti et al., 2008). Lipid
erwise, the parameters were estimated graphically. Germination                             content was determined, following Jensen et al. (1972) by dis-
speed parameters expressed per day or per hour were converted                              solving seed lipids in hexane:isopropanol (3:2, v/v), centrifuging
into thermal time using the base temperature given in the same                             and collecting the supernatant, then evaporating the solvent with
paper if possible.                                                                         a rotary evaporator. The lipids remaining in the tube were then
    The final dataset consisted in germination time courses mea-                            weighed. Missing trait values were completed with data from the
sured for 14 species buried in the field completed by literature data                       literature.
                                                           A. Gardarin et al. / Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 626–636                                                                        631
Table 4
Seed germination data used to increase our experimental dataset.
 Species                       Source                           Seed storage characteristics                    Germination              Other germination        Number of        Range of final
                                                                                                                temperature              conditions               germination      germination
                                                                                                                (◦ C)                                             kinetics         proportions
 Alopecurus myosuroides        Colbach et al. (2006)            Buried in the soil and recovered                15                       Light and dark           12               0.08–0.95
                                                                after 1, 4, 5, 13, 16, 17 and 23
                                                                months
 Amaranthus retroflexus         Ghorbani et al. (1999)           Storage at ambient temperature                  20 and 30                Light                    2                0.40–0.80
 Amaranthus retroflexus         Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  30 and 27.5              Light                    2                0.97–1
                               See also Granger and
                               Guillemin (2004)
 Amaranthus retroflexus         Oryokot et al. (1997)            Storage at 5 ◦ C                                From 12 to 33            Light                    1                1
 Ambrosia artemisiifolia       Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  27.5                     3 weeks of               1                0.60
                                                                                                                                         stratification at
                                                                                                                                         4 ◦ C—light
 Avena fatua                   Fernandez-Quintanilla            Storage at ambient temperature                  15 and 20                Light                    2                0.71–0.80
                               et al. (1990)
 Avena fatua                   Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  10                       Light—imbibition         1                0.71
                               See also Guillemin et al.                                                                                 with KNO3 (1%)
                               (2008)
 Beta vulgaris ssp. vulgaris   Sester et al. (2006)             Buried in the soil and recovered                15                       Light and dark           12               0.05–0.67
                                                                after 1, 4, 5, 13, 16, 17 and 23
                                                                months
 Capsella bursa-pastoris       Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  30                       Light                    1                0.58
 Centaurea cyanus              Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  20                       Light—imbibition         2                0.79–0.81
                                                                                                                                         with KNO3 (1%)
 Centaurea cyanus              Unpublished—seeds from           Storage at ambient temperature                  15                       Light                    6                0.89–0.98
                               cultivated field, Chizé,
                               France (2006)
 Chenopodium album             Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  25                       Light—imbibition         3                0.29–0.88
                               See also Guillemin et al.                                                                                 with KNO3 (1%)
                               (2008)
 Chenopodium album             Vleeshouwers and Kropff          Buried in the soil                              From 5 to 30             Light                    1                1
                               (2000)
 Datura stramonium             Unpublished—seeds from           Storage at 4 ◦ C and low air                    25                       Light                    3                0.94–0.96
                               experimental plots, Dijon,       moisture content
                               France, 2006
 Echinochloa crus-galli        Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  22.5                     Light                    1                0.85
 Galium aparine                Van der Weide (1993)             Buried in the soil                              From 4 to 18             Light                    1                1
 Geranium dissectum            Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at 4 ◦ C and low air                    15                       Light                    5                0.97–1
                                                                moisture content
 Polygonum lapathifolium       Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at ambient temperature                  30                       Light                    1                0.73
 Polygonum persicaria          Vleeshouwers (1997)              Buried in the soil                              15, 20 and 25            Light                    3                0.95
 Polygonum persicaria          Vleeshouwers and Kropff          Buried in the soil                              From 5 to 30             Light                    1                1
                               (2000)
 Solanum nigrum                Gardarin (2008)
                               See also Guillemin et al.,       Storage at ambient temperature                  30                       Light                    1                0.48
                               2008
 Solanum nigrum                Wagenvoort and Opstal            Storage at ambient temperature                  20                       Light                    1                0.70
                               (1979)
 Spergula arvensis             Vleeshouwers and Kropff          Buried in the soil                              From 5 to 30             Light                    1                1
                               (2000)
                                                                             ◦
 Stellaria media               Grundy et al. (2000)             Storage at 4 C                                  14, 16 and 18            Light                    3                0.86–1
 Stellaria media               Unpublished—seeds from           Storage at 4 ◦ C and low air                    15                       Light                    6                0.05–0.12
                               experimental plots, Dijon,       moisture content
                               France, 2004
 Veronica hederifolia          Gardarin (2008)                  Storage at 4 ◦ C and low air                    15                       Dark                     1                0.56–0.70
                                                                moisture content
2.7. Relationships between germination speed parameters and                                    to a multiplicative model, which more satisfactorily accounts for
seed traits                                                                                    multiplicative interactions between the factors:
                                                                                               logn (germination parameter) = intercept
    Linear models were used to study relationships between the
                                                                                                
                                    
species base temperature for germination. For the analysis of the                              where ˛trait are regression parameters. Base temperature was
effect of lipid content, two groups of species were distinguished:                             transformed by adding the constant 2 to obtain positive values
lipid-rich seeds (seed lipid content superior to 30%) and lipid-poor                           and make the logn -transformations possible. The contribution of
seeds. Seed dormancy was added to the model as a covariable and                                each effect to the variance explained by the model was computed
was characterized by the final proportion of germinated seeds m.                                using type III sum of squares. Statistical analyses were performed
    Explained and explanatory quantitative variables were logn -                               using PROC REG (option BACKWARD) of SAS (SAS Institute Inc.,
transformed before analysis, the linear model thus being equivalent                            Cary, North Carolina, USA, 1999). Only factors that were significant
632                                                     A. Gardarin et al. / Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 626–636
at ˛ = 0.05 were kept. Models comprising the significant variables                       3.3. Interspecific variations in germination speed parameters
were then compared using Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC)
and the model with the lowest AIC was considered to be the best                            The germination time courses also varied widely in the different
(Akaike, 1973). The elimination of variables stopped when the AIC                       species even when species were compared at their lowest levels of
did not change by more than the absolute value of 2 and included                        dormancy. Fig. 3 shows germination time courses obtained when
the lowest number of variables.                                                         dormancy was lowest during the two years of the experiment.
                                                                                        Species such as Echinochloa crus-galli or Papaver rhoeas germinated
                                                                                        more slowly and in lower proportions than Amaranthus hybridus or
3. Results                                                                              M. perforata. The species also differed considerably in their values of
                                                                                        TT0 and TT50 . Even when the final proportion of seed germination
3.1. Fitting the non-linear equation to observations of                                 was 1, A. hybridus seeds only took 16 ◦ C days to reach mid-
germination time courses                                                                germination while Arabidopsis thaliana seeds required 61 ◦ C·days.
                                                                                           When completing the experimental results with 74 germina-
   The data consisted of a total of 111 observed germination time                       tion time courses taken from the literature (Table 4), giving a total
courses for which Eq. (2) could be fitted (example Fig. 1), with R2                      dataset of 185 germination time courses for 25 weed species, inter-
values between 0.96 and 1. However, some species presented a                            specific variations increased. TT50 varied from 11 to 436 ◦ C days.
very high level of dormancy at one or several recovery dates and                        The germination rate v50 varied from a proportion of 0.0004 (Gal-
did not germinate sufficiently (proportion less than 0.05) to allow                      ium aparine) to 0.82 (Amaranthus hybridus) germinated seeds per
the calculation of germination course parameters. For this reason                       unit of thermal time. In both datasets (our experiment with buried
Polygonum aviculare was excluded from all analyses.                                     seeds and data from the literature), germination speed parame-
                                                                                        ters remained comparable for a given species; for instance, in both
                                                                                        datasets, Ambrosia artemisiifolia and Centaurea cyanus reached mid-
3.2. Seasonal variations in germination speed parameters
                                                                                        germination at approximately 33◦ C days and Chenopodium album at
                                                                                        70◦ C days.
   Important seasonal variations were observed in the final ger-
mination proportions due to seasonal changes in seed dormancy                           3.4. Seed traits
levels (Table 2). These were most visible when seeds were recov-
ered every two months. The seed dormancy level varied widely                                Seed traits for comparing species were either measured in the
depending on the time of burial and on the species concerned                            present study or, when available, taken from the literature. The
(Table 2, Fig. 2): the maximum variations in the final germination                       measured trait values are summarized in Table 3. Seed dry mass
proportion were observed in Polygonum lapathifolium, from 0.07 to                       varied widely, from 0.02 mg in Arabidopsis thaliana to 18.6 mg
0.99 depending on the burial dates, while in Matricaria perforata                       in Avena fatua. Species also displayed contrasted seed reserves.
the germination proportion was always high. For the latter species,                     Monocotyledonous species had low lipid contents, from 4 to
the estimation of germination speed parameters was thus possible                        14%. Four dicotyledonous species (Arabidopsis thaliana, Capsella
at each recovery date: the germination lag (TT0 ) and the time to                       bursa pastoris, Datura stramonium and Papaver rhoeas) presented
mid-germination (TT50 ) increased in spring when the final propor-                       a seed lipid content above 30% and their protein contents were
tion of germinated seeds (i.e. the proportion of non-dormant seeds)                     also among the highest. These species were grouped for statistical
and the germination rate (v50 ) at mid-germination decreased, and                       analysis as lipid-rich seeds while the other species were considered
vice-versa during summer.                                                               as lipid-poor seeds.
Fig. 2. Variations in the lag time TT0 ( ), time to mid-germination TT50 ( ), germination rate v50 ( ) and final germination percentage () of Matricaria perforata. Seeds
were buried 30 cm deep in June 2006 and were recovered every two months to assess their germination at 15 ◦ C in the light. Each dot represents the mean of three seed bags
each containing 100 seeds.
                                                       A. Gardarin et al. / Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 626–636                                                    633
Fig. 3. Fitted germination time courses in the light and at optimal temperatures (see Table 2) when species were at their lowest dormancy level. Seeds were buried 30 cm
deep in 2006 and were recovered every two or six months to study their germinability (the date of recovery is indicated after each species name). Polygonum aviculare and
Fallopia convolvulus were not represented because their seeds remained strongly dormant throughout the experiment. Symbols only serve to differentiate curves and do not
represent actual data points.
Table 5
Correlation between species traits, dormancy level, and germination speed parameters. Regression parameters and R2 of linear model [4] analysed with PROC GLM of SAS.
Explanatory variable
 Predicted variables
 Germination lag (◦ C days)
 logn (TT0 )                        3.56          −0.18                  −0.39                   −0.23                     −1.19              −0.30
 Partial R2                                        0.07                   0.08                                      0.13                      0.08              0.41
                              ◦
 Time to mid-germination ( C days)
 logn (TT50 )                    4.45             −0.25                  −0.79                   −0.29                     −0.86              ns
 Partial R2                                        0.07                   0.33                                      0.16                                        0.46
    The higher the seed lipid content, the earlier and faster the ger-           over, specific protein contents (such as those involved in repairing
mination, the highest slope being for lipid-rich seeds (exceeding                processes and reserves mobilization, Bewley, 1997) could be more
30% lipid content). Lipid content was highest for TT0 and TT50 .                 appropriate for establishing correlations with germination charac-
Germination lag was the only parameter that increased with an                    teristics.
increase in the seed area to mass ratio, although the contribution                   The second seed trait to be positively correlated with germi-
of this factor was small.                                                        nation, TT0 , was the area to mass ratio. We hypothesized that
    The other seed traits (seed mass and protein content) and the                germination timing partly depended on the time required for seed
effect of seed exposure to light during germination had no sig-                  imbibition. Imbibition should be faster in seeds with a large area for
nificant influence on the germination speed parameters analysed.                   water to enter relative to seed water demand, probably linked to
Although the shape parameter b of the Weibull equation varied                    seed mass. However, although logical, the present correlation only
between species, no consistent relationship was found with any of                explains a small proportion of the variability in the germination
the seed traits described in Section 3.4.                                        rate and should be tested on a larger number of species.
    Results of fitting to the Eq. (4) were analogous, whether the                     Germination was also shown to be faster in species with a high
whole data set (including literature data, Table 5) was used, or only            base temperature for germination. This effect could a priori appear
data from the species we studied in our experiments (results not                 as an artefact resulting from the use of thermal time with differ-
shown). However, the effects of seed lipid content and of the sur-               ent base temperatures, because less thermal time is accumulated
face to mass ratio were not significant when only the species we                  to reach a given proportion of germination when thermal time is
studied were used because of the smaller range of these traits in                summed with an increased base temperature. However, this corre-
our species panel. In all cases, the values of the different regression          lation remained unchanged when the analysis was performed with
parameters were very similar to those shown in Table 5.                          time units expressed in days, independently of the calculation of
                                                                                 thermal time (results not shown). Moreover, a similar correlation
                                                                                 has already been reported for the emergence of crop species (Angus
4. Discussion                                                                    et al., 1981) and the development of invertebrates (Trudgill et al.,
                                                                                 2005). This relationship indicates that species requiring high tem-
    The combination of extensive germination experiments and                     perature germinate faster than those germinating earlier at low
the critical selection of previous results from the literature pro-              temperatures. This could be considered as an ecological adapta-
duced a dataset of germination time courses for a large number                   tion of late germinating species to develop faster and to compete
of weed species with contrasted germination characteristics and                  with early germinating species. Thus, both types of species achieve
seed traits. To our knowledge, the present summary quantita-                     germination and subsequently grow and develop in quite a similar
tive analysis of such a dataset for weed seed germination has                    time considering the range of temperatures in which they each ger-
not previously been attempted. Many general conclusions based                    minate in field conditions. In order to explain this trade-off between
on analyses of the present dataset are not new and are con-                      base temperature and thermal time required for a particular pro-
sistent with earlier reports in the literature. For instance, the                cess, Trudgill et al. (2005) suggested a mechanism based on the fact
relationships between germination time-course parameters and                     that enzymes are more efficient at high temperatures.
dormancy observed here have already been reported in literature                      In the present analysis, germination speed parameters were
for a large range of species (Lonchamp and Gora, 1980; Baskin and                not correlated with the presence vs. absence of light during the
Baskin, 1985; Bouwmeester, 1990). Similar approaches have been                   experiment. However, numerous studies have reported faster ger-
attempted in the past but only at an intraspecific scale (Hilhorst                mination in the light for several weeds (Jensen, 1995; Milberg,
and Toorop, 1997; Batlla et al., 2003). The novelty of the present               1997; Colbach et al., 2002; Batlla and Benech-Arnold, 2005). In
work was to quantify these relationships for predictive purposes at              the present work, the effect of light on the speed of germina-
the multi-species scale.                                                         tion was taken into account indirectly via the correlation with the
    Our comprehensive dataset also enabled us to compare a vari-                 proportion of germinated seeds, which was usually higher when
ety of species, and our general observations are also consistent                 the seeds were exposed to light. Indeed, the role of light as a
with those of previous studies. The earlier and faster germination               dormancy-terminating factor favouring an increment in percent-
of Amaranthus hybridus than in Galium aparine confirmed observa-                  age germination of light-requiring species is widely reported in the
tions by Lauer (1953). The main result of the present work was to                literature (Andersson et al., 1997; Milberg and Andersson, 1998;
correlate interspecific differences in germination timing and rates               Benech-Arnold et al., 2000). The analysis of seasonal variations in
with species traits. A relationship between earliness of germination             the final germination percentages was the objective of a different
and the seed lipid content was found, which to our knowledge, has                study and was not analysed here.
not previously been observed. However, a reverse correlation was                     Although several of the factors we studied had a highly sig-
found between seed lipid content and germination rate, but at low                nificant effect, a large proportion of variability in germination
dioxygen concentrations (Al-Ani et al., 1985; Raymond et al., 1985).             remained unexplained. Part of this variability may result from
The relationship between TT0 and TT50 and lipid content observed                 genetic differences in seed germination timing between seed popu-
here was valid for species over a large range of seed lipid contents,            lations (e.g. Christal et al., 1997), but the main source of variability
varying from 3.5% (Fallopia convolvulus) to 43.6% (Papaver rhoeas).              between seed lots is seed production conditions (Andersson and
This trait appears to be relatively constant in a given species. Indeed,         Milberg, 1998; Luzuriaga et al., 2006; Swain et al., 2006), e.g. crop
the seed lipid contents measured here are similar to those reported              sowing date, soil fertilization, or climatic conditions. The model
in the literature (Earle and Jones, 1962; Jones and Earle, 1966;                 resulting from our study could be improved by the study of other
Barclay and Earle, 1974).                                                        seed traits such as soluble sugar contents or seed coat characteris-
    In contrast, no relationship was found with seed protein content.            tics that control the entry of water into the seed during imbibition.
This characteristic was less contrasted than lipid content among the             Such relationships could be used to estimate germination speed
species we studied. Moreover, total seed protein content strongly                parameters for species that were not analysed in the present study.
depends on seed production conditions (Fawcett and Slife, 1978).                 Nor did we consider seasonal variations in base temperature within
For instance, we measured a seed protein content of 23% in Capsella              a species associated with changes in dormancy in the present study,
bursa-pastoris, whereas values of 12% (Schroeder et al., 1974) and               as we did not have sufficient data to use other values than a constant
33% (Jones and Earle, 1966) were reported in the literature. More-               one. Such variations have been described only in a small num-
                                                             A. Gardarin et al. / Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 626–636                                                          635
ber of species (Batlla and Benech-Arnold, 2007) and are difficult                              Bouwmeester, H.J., Karssen, C.M., 1992. The dual role of temperature in the regula-
to extrapolate to the wide range of weed species we studied.                                      tion of the seasonal changes in dormancy and germination of seeds of Polygonum
                                                                                                  persicaria L. Oecologia 90, 88–94.
    The weed flora present in a particular field result from several                            Bouwmeester, H.J., Karssen, C.M., 1993. Seasonal periodicity in germination of seeds
factors linked with the cropping system in interaction with seed                                  of Chenopodium album L. Ann. Bot. 72, 463–473.
germination. The date of seed germination, and then emergence,                                Bruckler, L., 1983a. Rôle des propriétés physiques du lit de semences sur l’imbibition
                                                                                                  et la germination. I. Élaboration d’un modèle du système “terre-graine”.
is important for future crop-weed competition and the ability of                                  Agronomie 3, 213–222.
the weed to replenish the seedbank. Relationships for predicting                              Bruckler, L., 1983b. Rôle des propriétés physiques du lit de semences sur l’imbibition
germination behaviour aimed at being integrated as part of a com-                                 et la germination. II. Contrôle experimental d’un modèle d’imbibition des
                                                                                                  semences et possibilités d’applications. Agronomie 3, 223–232.
prehensive weed dynamics model including many other life cycle                                Christal, A., Davies, D.H.K., Gardingen, P.R.v., Brown, K., 1997. Germination ecology
processes. Multi-species weed dynamics models could be used to                                    of Stellaria media. Brighton crop protection conference: weeds. In: Proceedings
evaluate different crop management techniques, as well as to pre-                                 of an International Conference, Brighton, UK, 17–20 November, pp. 485–490.
                                                                                              Colbach, N., Dürr, C., 2003. Effects of seed production and storage conditions on
dict the long-term shifts in weed flora resulting from modifications
                                                                                                  blackgrass (Alopecurus myosuroides) germination and shoot elongation. Weed
in cropping systems in a large range of environmental conditions.                                 Sci. 51, 708–717.
                                                                                              Colbach, N., Chauvel, B., Dürr, C., Richard, G., 2002. Effect of environmental conditions
                                                                                                  on Alopecurus myosuroides germination. I. Effect of temperature and light. Weed
Acknowledgements                                                                                  Res. 42, 210–221.
                                                                                              Colbach, N., Dürr, C., Roger-Estrade, J., Colbach, N., 2005. How to model the effects
                                                                                                  of farming practices on weed emergence. Weed Res. 45, 2–17.
    The present work was financed by INRA (Département Environ-
                                                                                              Colbach, N., Dürr, C., Roger-Estrade, J., Chauvel, B., Caneill, J., 2006. ALOMYSYS: mod-
nement et Agronomie) and the Region of Burgundy. The authors                                      elling black-grass (Alopecurus myosuroides Huds.) germination and emergence,
are grateful to Hugues Busset, Émilie Cadet and Arnaud Coffin for                                  in interaction with seed characteristics, tillage and soil climate—I. Construction.
their technical assistance, Christophe Salon and Anne-Lise Santoni                                Eur. J. Agric. 24, 95–112.
                                                                                              Courtney, A.D., 1968. Seed dormancy and field emergence in Polygonum aviculare. J.
(UMR LEG), Annick Matejicek (UMR BGA) and Lionel Bretillon and                                    Appl. Ecol. 5, 675–683.
Stéphane Gregoire (UMR FLAVIC) for seed reserve analysis and to                               Dierking, E.C., Bilyeu, K.D., 2009. Raffinose and stachyose metabolism are
the Station Nationale d’Essais des Semences and Vincent Murracciole                               not required for efficient soybean seed germination. J. Plant Physiol. 166,
                                                                                                  1329–1335.
for seed image analysis. We also thank one reviewer for his detailed                          Earle, F.R., Jones, Q., 1962. Analyses of seed samples form 113 plant families. Econ.
comments that helped us improve this paper.                                                       Bot. 16, 211–250.
                                                                                              Fawcett, R.S., Slife, F.W., 1978. Effects of field applications of nitrate on weed seed
                                                                                                  germination and dormancy. Weed Sci. 26, 594–596.
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