Topology Analysis of the Mexican Power Grid using
Complex Network Theory
     Jorge Sanchez-Jaime              Francisco Rivas-Davalos          J. Horacio Tovar Hernandez
         DEPI-PGIIE                         DEPI-PGIIE                         DEPI-PGIIE
TecNM/Instituto Tecnológico de     TecNM/Instituto Tecnológico de    TecNM/Instituto Tecnológico de
           Morelia                            Morelia                            Morelia
    Morelia Mich, México               Morelia Mich, México               Morelia Mich, México
  jsancezj@toluca.tecnm.mx             frivasd@hotmail.com              horacio.tovar@yahoo.com
Abstract— In this paper, the topological properties of the           centers will receive the necessary power from the other
Mexican power transmission grid were investigated. For this          generators or transmission lines. Nonetheless, even with the
purpose, the study included the voltage levels of 400 kV and 230     presence of redundant paths, cascading failures and large
kV. Both voltage levels were analyzed independently and as a         blackouts continue to occur across the globe [2]. In Mexico
single combined grid. Similarly, the vulnerability of the power      there have been several serious blackouts, such as the one that
grid to random failures and intentional attacks was investigated.    occurred in 2017 in the Southeast area of Mexico and the
Based on the complex network theory, some topological metrics        Yucatan Peninsula, causing huge economic losses [3].
were calculated for this investigation. It was found that the
Mexican power grid displays some features of small-world                 The electric power grids are usually subject to many types of
networks, namely large clustering coefficient and small average        hazards and events, which can be categorized in three major
shortest-path length. The degree distribution of the power grid      groups [4]: random failures, natural hazards, and intentional
reveals exponential behavior. Additionally, it was found that the    attacks. Random failures affect all similar components (nodes
power grid is more vulnerable to targeted attacks on nodes with      and lines) of a power system network with the same probability
high degree than random failures. In general terms, the              distribution. The position of a specific component in the network
conclusions of this work improve the current understanding of        has no impact on the probability of failure. Examples of random
the Mexican power grid, which is essential for its control and       failures can be those that are due to component aging,
security.
                                                                     communication system failures, etc. In Mexico, as in many other
   Keywords— Complex network analysis, Intentional attacks,          parts of the world, there is already a growing concern about the
Power systems, Random failures, Vulnerability, Topology.             aging of some of the components of the power grid [5]. The
                                                                     impact of random failure events is usually investigated by
                      I. INTRODUCTION                                randomly removing several system components [4]. The system
                                                                     behavior without these elements highlight its vulnerability and
    In recent years, a theme that constantly emerges in the          robustness.
analysis and evaluation of network-based critical infrastructure
is vulnerability. The analysis of infrastructure vulnerability
consists of assessing the physical, operational and geographical
characteristics of infrastructure components, and their role in
the system with which they interact, in terms of fragility to
disruptive events and the impact of these events on the
condition of the infrastructure. For example, consider the
infrastructure network ilustred in Fig. 1, depicting the power
grid of Mexico. Some questions that may arise in this case are
[1]: What is the vulnerability of this critical infrastructure to
disruptions? What are the probable consequences of a particular
disruption scenario? What are the critical nodes or lines that, if
damaged or destroyed, would cause the most damage to the
system?                                                                  Fig. 1. The Mexican 400 kV and 230 kV power grids with 462 nodes and 653
    The electric power transmission grid is one of the most              lines.
complex man-made networks. The principal components of
                                                                        Natural events, such as earthquakes, hurricanes, cold and
these systems are lines and nodes where the latter can be power
                                                                     heat waves, and lightning, can directly and indirectly affect
generators, substations that connect high voltage lines, and load
                                                                     power grid components. Contrary to random failures, the
centers that distribute electrical energy to end users. The power
                                                                     geographic position affects the probability of disruption of a
grid has a complex structure, where there are several redundant
                                                                     component. In September 2014, the hurricane Odile roared into
paths in order to ensure that, in the event of failure or shutdown
                                                                     Mexico's Baja California Peninsula, where most of the area's
of any generator, substation or transmission line, the load
                                                                     power poles were blown over, leaving 239,000 people in the
XXX-X-XXXX-XXXX-X/XX/$XX.00 ©20XX IEEE
state of Baja California Sur without electricity [6]. In February   different networks. In [10], the authors presented the case of
2018, a prolonged 7.2 magnitude earthquake that rocked              scale-free networks, whose degree distribution (the number of
Mexico left nearly a million homes and businesses without           lines attached to each node) follows a power law. Scale-free
power in the capital and south [7].                                 networks have been shown to be robust against random failures.
    An intentional attack targets the critical components of the    However, they are extremely vulnerable in case of deliberated
power grid. Intentional attacks might be cyber or physical. In      attacks, because the loss of some prominent nodes or links have
2013, government officials from Mexico, U.S. and Canada,            the potential to disrupt the whole network [10, 20]. The work in
staged a massive emergency drill, called GridEx II, that            [10, 21] suggests that the degree distribution of the power grid
involved thousands of utility workers, business executives,         seems to be following a power law distribution function, but
National Guard officers, FBI anti-terrorism experts. The            exponential cumulative degree distribution functions are found
scenario envisioned by GridEx II is where terrorists or an          in Californian power grid [22], the whole US power grid [23],
enemy country stages a combination of cyber-attacks and             and thirty-three different European transmission power grids
physical attacks that destroy or render inoperable crucial power    [24].
facilities and take down large sections of the grid [8]. The            In [25], random networks are examined, which are
impact of such an event is usually investigated by removing a       characterized by a low global clustering coefficient and short
number of power grid components, considering the centrality         distances among nodes. Random networks are vulnerable under
of each node or line, as defined in Section 5.                      both random failures and deliberated attacks. On the contrary,
    In this context where electric power grids are subject to       small-world networks have low characteristic path length, but
hazards, threats and surprising events, understandable concerns     their global clustering coefficient is higher than random
are arising on their vulnerability and risk of failure. Recently,   networks [9]. The nature of small-world networks is found in
several studies analyzed the topological properties of real         power grids such as the Shanghai power grid [26], the Italian
power grids with the aim of linking these properties with system    380 kV, the French 400 kV, the Spanish 400 kV power grids
vulnerability. Within these studies, those that are based on the    [14], and the Nordic power grid [19].
theory of complex networks stand out. Complex Network                   One of the main outcomes of all these topological
Analysis (CNA) is a relatively young field of research. The first   vulnerability studies applied to different power grids of several
systematic studies appeared in the late 1990s [9, 10] having the    countries is that it has been found topological characteristics
goal of studying the properties of large networks that behave as    that all power grids share, such as similar values of node degree
complex systems. In particular, we refer interested readers to      and average shortest-path length, and other features that are
[11,12] which provided a thorough review of extant literature       common in groups of power grids, for instance, scale-free and
on power network topology and vulnerability analyses research,      small-world properties. However, there are characteristics that
and where it is shown that, into the category of complex            are very particular of each power network, such as vulnerability
network analysis methods, there are too many works related to       level, shortest-path distribution, critical nodes, etc. The results
the analysis of vulnerability in power grids based on pure          of this type of analysis have been very useful for understanding
topological approaches. Here we discuss some important works        and modeling different dynamic processes that occur in power
in detail to give background on the field. Pure topology-based      systems, such as cascade failures and resilience of networks to
analysis methods include the following network topological          external and internal events. That is why topological
measures: average shortest-path length, network efficiency,         vulnerability analysis of power grids is still important and
clustering coefficient, and the size of the largest component.      useful. This paper presents the first topological vulnerability
Average shortest-path length (also called characteristic path       analysis of the Mexican power grid (MXPG), using measures
length) [13] is the mean value of geodesic path distance            and concepts of the Complex Network Theory. The main
between any two nodes and has been used in vulnerability            purpose of this study is to verify that the MXPG also has these
analysis of the European power grid [14], the power grid of the     topological characteristics common to all power grids, and to
western United States [9], and the IEEE 300 power grid [15].        identify to which group the MXPG belongs to, as well as to find
Network efficiency [16] is the normalized average value of the      out the particular topological characteristics. For this purpose,
inverse of geodesic path distance between any two nodes and         three networks from the MXPG were analyzed to have a more
has been used in vulnerability analysis of the power grids of       complete idea of the topology properties. Their tolerance to
Europe [14], Italy [17], and North America [18], among others.      random failures and intentional attacks on the most connected
Clustering coefficient [13] is the probability that any two         nodes is also analyzed.
neighboring nodes of a randomly selected node are also
connected and has been included in performance and                   II. COMPLEX NETWORK THEORY AND REPRESENTATION OF
vulnerability analysis of several power grids such as the                               POWER GRID
European power grid [14], western United States power grid [9]
and the Nordic power grid [19]. The size of the largest             A. Complex network theory
component is a measure of the fraction of nodes in the
                                                                       In general, the structure of complex systems can be viewed
connected sub-network that contains the largest number of
nodes and any two nodes can be reachable, and has been used         as complex networks. One of the most characteristic features of
in the analysis of the Nordic power grid [19].                      complex systems is that some of their properties as such are not
                                                                    deduced directly from the individual properties of their
    Additionally, several studies have tried to characterize
network topology by finding common structures or patterns in        components. Another very characteristic feature of these
                                                                    systems is their networked character, which justifies the use of
networks in their representation in a natural way [27]. Modern      C.3. Degree distribution
power systems, also referred to as large-scale power grids,            Since the nodes in a given electrical power network do not
belong to a typical class of complex systems.                       all have the same degree, the node degree alone is not enough
   The basic purpose of complex network theory is to describe       to characterize the network. Degree distribution (that is the
the form and functionality of real-world complex systems by         probability that a randomly selected node has exactly 𝑘 links)
modelling them as networks and using different measures.            provides a better approach to explain network topology. Several
Complex network theory methods can be applied to the analysis       studies have discussed if the degree distribution in power grids
of power systems for i) performing preliminary assessments of       follows a power-law or an exponential function. In the power-
vulnerabilities by topological and dynamical analysis and ii)       law degree distribution, the probability of finding a high degree
providing elementary information for further detailed analyses      node is relatively small in comparison with the high probability
of critical areas [28].                                             of finding low-degree nodes (that is the probability of a node to
   The topological structure of electric power grids is an          have 𝑘 links attached to it decays as a negative power of the
important consideration since it can dramatically influence         degree: 𝑝(𝑘)~𝑘 −𝛼 ) [27]. Additionally, these networks are also
performance. That is why topological analysis based on              referred as ‘scale-free’ networks since the degree distribution is
complex network theory is quite valuable because it offers the      always characterized by the same scale 𝛼 , irrespective of
capability of unveiling relevant properties of the structure of a   sample size. With respect to vulnerability, scale-free are robust
network system by identifying components of structural              against random failure but vulnerable to targeted attacks.
vulnerability, i.e., network lines and nodes whose failures can     Exponential-degree distributions are characterized by having a
induce a severe structural damage to the network through the        faster decay to zero than power laws, which mean that the
physical disconnection of its parts [28].                           probability of having nodes with high degree is slightly larger
B. Network representations of power grids                           in scale-free networks [20].
   The structure of a power grid is a network in which nodes        C.4. Average shortest-path length
represent stations (generators, transmission substations, loads),      In an undirected network, the shortest path distance 𝑙𝑖𝑗 is the
and links represent the transmission lines between the nodes.       number of links in the shortest path between the nodes 𝑖 and 𝑗.
   Graph theory provides a natural framework for the
                                                                    The average shortest-path length (the average of the shortest
mathematical representation of power grids. A network, or
                                                                    distance 𝑙𝑖𝑗 between all pairs of nodes) and network diameter
graph, is described by 𝐺 = (𝑁, 𝑀), where 𝑁 is the set of nodes,
                                                                    (the maximum shortest path) characterize the distances among
and 𝑀 is the set of links. Any given network can be uniquely
                                                                    nodes globally for a network. The average shortest-path length
represented by an 𝑁 × 𝑁 adjacency matrix, 𝐴. If there exists a
                                                                    is calculated as:
link from a node 𝑖 to a node 𝑗 , then the element 𝑎𝑖𝑗 is 1;                                    1
                                                                                      〈𝑙〉 =        ∑𝑖,𝑗∈𝑁,𝑖≠𝑗 𝑙𝑖𝑗                 (1)
otherwise, it is 0. Several structural properties of networks are                            𝑁(𝑁−1)
related to adjacency relationships between nodes. By analyzing      C.5. Clustering coefficient
the structure of the network or by assessing properties of the
                                                                       The clustering coefficient quantifies the degree to which
network when it is changed or degraded due to component
                                                                    nodes are clustered in a graph. Suppose a node 𝑖 is connected to
failures or deliberate attacks on components, relevant
conclusions about the modelled of the power system can be           𝑘𝑖 other nodes, or neighbors. Then the clustering coefficient for
drawn. In this work, six main topological network property          a given node 𝑖 is defined as:
                                                                                                      2𝑀𝑖
metrics are covered.                                                                          𝐶𝑖 =                               (2)
                                                                                                      𝑘𝑖 (𝑘𝑖 −1)
C. Network topological metrics                                         where 𝑀𝑖 and 𝑘𝑖 are the number of links connected to the
                                                                    node 𝑖 and node degree of the node 𝑖, respectively.
C.1. Size                                                              A clustering coefficient equal to 1 indicates that every
  Network size is the most basic metric when describing             neighbor of node 𝑖 is connected to every other neighbor of node
network structure. Network size is defined by number of nodes,      i. Correspondingly, for the whole network the clustering
𝑁, and total number of links, 𝑀                                     coefficient 𝐶 is defined as the average of the clustering
                                                                    coefficients of all nodes as:
C.2. Node degree                                                                                     1
                                                                                                𝐶 = ∑𝑖 𝐶𝑖                          (3)
   Node degree (k) is defined as the number of links connected                                       𝑁
to each node. The idea behind the use of node degree as a              Also, in this case the clustering coefficient is 1 only when the
network property is that a node is more central or more             network is completely connected (all pairs of nodes are directly
influential than another one in a network if the degree of the      connected by a link). In general, the clustering coefficient is
first is larger than that of the second.                            always less than one [26].
C.6. Global network efficiency                                               IV. STATISCAL PROPERTIES OF THE MEXICAN POWER GRIDS
  Global network efficiency represents the ease with which a
                                                                             A. Basic topological properties
graph can transmit information from node i to node j and this
will depend on its shorter path length. This metric is frequently            A.1. Size
used to measure the vulnerability of a network when simulating
                                                                                Comparing the size of the networks MX400-230 with the
cascading failures, and is defined as [29]:
                                1              1                             size of power networks of some other countries (see Table I).
                  𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 =         ∑𝑖,𝑗∈𝑁.𝑖≠𝑗                (4)
                               𝑁(𝑁−1)             𝑙𝑖𝑗                                                     TABLE II
                                                                             SOME TOPOLOGICAL PROPERTIES OF THE THREE MX NETWORKS
   III. THE STUDIED NETWORKS OF THE MEXICAN POWER                            COMPARED TO THOSE OF SOME EUROPEAN NETWORKS. (𝑁: NUMBER OF
                         GRID                                                NODES, 𝑀: NUMBER OF LINES, 〈𝑘〉: AVERAGE NODE DEGREE, 〈𝑙〉: AVERAGE
                                                                             SHORTEST-PATH LENGTH. 𝐶 : CLUSTERING COEFFICIENT, 𝑑 : NETWORK
    In this work, three networks from the Mexican power grid                 DIAMETER).
were analyzed. Two of them correspond to the transmission                     Met/Country Mexico     France       Spain    Italy     Germany
systems of 400 kV (MX400) and 230kV (MX230), and the third                         𝑵        429        1659         798     634         782
one is the transmission system with both voltage levels (MX400-                  𝑵𝟐𝟑𝟎       367        1273         597     372         302
                                                                                 𝑵𝟒𝟎𝟎       120         386         201     262         480
230). These networks were obtained by extracting information                       𝑴        612        2160        1115     812         1090
from the official document National Electrical System                            𝑴𝟐𝟑𝟎       468        1479         731     437         341
Development Program 2017-2031 (PRODESEN, for its                                 𝑴𝟒𝟎𝟎       160         477         284     321         671
acronym in Spanish) [30]. The transmission systems with other                     〈𝒌〉       2.85       2.59        2.79     2.53        2.58
voltage levels and the three isolated systems located in the                     𝒌𝟐𝟑𝟎       2.55       2.32        2.45     2.35        2.12
peninsula of Baja California were not considered in this work.                  〈𝒌𝟒𝟎𝟎 〉     2.66       2.42        2.83     2.40        2.57
                                                                                  〈𝒍〉      10.62      12.17        10.45   11.98       12.19
To analyze these networks, three graphs were generated. The                     〈𝒍𝟐𝟑𝟎 〉    19.11      23.69        13.90   10.17        9.58
power plants and substation buses (transformers and switching                   〈𝒍𝟒𝟎𝟎 〉     8.23       8.86        7.63     9.62       11.20
stations) were represented as nodes, and the transmission lines                    𝑪       0.179      0.071        0.091   0.046       0.127
as links. Since the focus of the analysis is on the grid topology,               𝑪𝟐𝟑𝟎      0.172      0.061        0.103   0.055       0.119
the links and nodes were considered as homogeneous,                              𝑪𝟒𝟎𝟎      0.114      0.026        0.097   0.050       0.153
unweighted and undirected (see Fig. 2).                                            𝒅         32          30         24       32          29
                                                                                 𝒅𝟐𝟑𝟎        50          54         40       30          26
                                                                                 𝒅𝟒𝟎𝟎        25          20         18       27          26
                                                                                The Mexican network is the smallest one (N = 429 and M =
                                                                             612), whereas the biggest one is the French network. Although
                                                                             it has not been clearly identified the precise factors that
                                                                             determine the number of nodes and lines in the power grid of
                                                                             each country, apparently the network size is closely related to
                                                                             electricity consumption.
                                                                             A.2. Average node degree and degree distribution
                                                                                  With respect to the values of the average node degree
                                                                             parameter 〈𝑘〉, it is clear that these values are very similar for
                                                                             all the networks of the different countries in Table I. This is a
                                                                             characteristic feature that has been found in most of the power
                                     (a)                                     networks worldwide. It can also be appreciated in Table I that
                                                                             the 400kV networks have bigger average node degree in
                                                                             comparison with the 230kV networks. This might be explained
                                                                             by taking into account that the higher the voltage level, the
                                                                             higher the network connectivity required since the amount of
                                                                             energy that is transmitted in a power network grows with
                                                                             voltage level, as it was mentioned above. The degree
                                                                             distribution of the three MX networks, plotted in Fig. 3, peaks
                                                                             at about 𝑘 = 2 (most of the nodes have node degree k = 2) but
                                                                             there is a large number of nodes with node degree 𝑘 > 2.
                                                                                 This implies that a failed substation disconnected from the
                                                                             network can easily be overtaken through other paths in the
                                                                             system. Nodes with 𝑘 = 1 are the boundary substations of the
                                                                             three power transmission networks. Node degree is a measure
                                      (b)                                    that has been widely used in studies of different types of
   Fig. 2. Graph representation of the studied Mexican power networks: (a)
   230kV, (b) 400kV.
                                                                             complex networks to assess the importance or level of influence
                                                                             of nodes on the performance of a given network.
                                                                               functions, is that the probability of having high-degree nodes is
                                                                               less than in a scale-free network.
                                                                               A.3. Average shortest path length
                                                                                  In the case of network distances among nodes, all the 230kV
                                                                               networks in Table 1 have higher values of network diameter and
                                                                               average shortest-path length, except the network of Germany,
                                                                               compared with the values of the 400 kV networks. Generally
                                                                               speaking, in almost any power system construction the 230kV
                                                                               lines are built to connect lower distances than 400 kV lines.
                                                                               Therefore, this explains that the diameter and average shortest-
                                                                               path length of 230 kV networks are larger than those of 400 kV
   Fig. 3. Node degree distribution of the three MX networks.                  networks.
                                                                                  In most electric power grids, the distribution of shortest-path
   In the particular case of electric power grids, for example,                lengths follows a quasi-normal distribution. However, in some
there are studies based on node degree that seek to identify                   cases distances spread out to larger values, with a positive
critical nodes that are able to cause the propagation of large-                skewness [20]. Here, for the case of the MX400-230 network,
scale cascading failures [31]. Other studies are focused on using              Fig. 5 shows its shortest-path length distribution P(l), which has
this measure to design strategies to restore the power system                  a tail up to 32, implying that one has to pass at most through 32
after a blackout problem [32]. That is why this measure is still               nodes for the power to be transmitted from one point to another
present in topology analysis of power systems.                                 in the network. This value is the diameter of the network.
   Fig. 4 shows the cumulative degree distribution 𝑃(𝑘 ≥ 𝐾) of                    Also, in Fig. 5, the largest portion of the distribution is
the three MX networks. For each network, the cumulative                        concentrated around values of 4 and 14, and the distribution
degree distribution follows an exponential function with                       peaks at 8, implying that the connectivity of this network is
(fitting) coefficient of determination 𝑅2 values acceptably                    high. Theoretically, for any network the average shortest-path
                                                                                                                 𝑁+1
large.                                                                         length is bounded as 1 ≤ 〈𝑙〉 ≤        , where the lower bound is
                                                                                                                  3
   According to [2], the cumulative degree distributions of the                obtained for the complete network (fully connected network)
networks shown in Table I also follow the exponential function.                and the upper one is reached for the path of N nodes. For the
                                                                               MX400-230 network, an average shortest-path length 〈𝑙〉 =
                                                                               10.62 is found. This clearly reflects that the network has good
                                                                               global connectivity properties. In fact, all networks shown in
                                                                               Table 1 have good global connectivity properties, where the
                                                                               French network has the higher connectivity.
Fig. 4. Exponential cumulative degree distribution of the three MX networks.
The β values of these functions are in the range between -0.37
and -0.64. The β value for the MX400-230 network is -0.55,                     Fig. 5. Shortest-path length distribution of the MX400-230 network.
which is within that range. As Fig. 4 shows, the smaller the β,
the faster the decline and therefore the probability of finding
                                                                               A.4. Clustering coefficient
nodes with high degree is lower. Additionally, it can also be
seen that, although there is a significant size difference between                Another measure which quantifies the connectivity in a
the MX400 and MX230 networks, their cumulative degree                          network is the clustering coefficient C. Large values of C would
distributions are very close to each other. This implies that there            be better for the robustness of the connectivity: The
is no mathematical relation between β and network size.                        disconnection of two parts of the network by a node removal
Finally, the implication that the cumulative degree distributions              would be overcome by simply passing onto adjacent working
of the three MX networks are approximated by exponential                       nodes through short-range neighboring nodes. In this view,
comparing the networks of Table I, the MX400-230 and                               conclude that the MXPG demonstrates the small-world
MX230 networks have the higher clustering coefficients.                            phenomenon, which is present in the Watts and Strogatz model.
   Additionally, for the MX400-230 network most of the nodes                       The high clustering that the MXPG’s structure exhibits
have no links connecting their neighbors (Ci is zero), as it is                    provides efficient local distribution with paths that are locally
shown in Fig. 6. Nonetheless, the percentage of nodes with all                     short. Also, at the same time, the small average shortest-path
their neighbors connected (Ci = 1) is above 10%, which can be                      length gives shortcuts between the local clusters. All these
considered as a high value for an electric power grid.                             mean that small-worldness of the MXPG’s structure benefits
                                                                                   from a general robustness against attacks: the absence of big
                                                                                   hubs that keep the network together improves reliability.
                                                                                        V. STATIC TOLERANCE TO RANDOM FAILURES AND
                                                                                                        INTENTIONAL ATTACKS
                                                                                        A common approach to analyze static tolerance to random
                                                                                   failures and intentional attacks in complex networks consists of
                                                                                   identifying the relationship between node deletion (without
                                                                                   considering any quantity transported by the network links) and
                                                                                   the existence and relative size of the connected component,
                                                                                   after such a deletion (global connectivity). In this work, in order
                                                                                   to compute the effect of random removal of nodes (to simulate
   Fig. 6. Distribution of the local clustering coefficient values of the MX400-   random failures) on the MXPG, the percolation condition for
                                    230 network.                                   the graphs of the three MX networks is computed.
                                                                                       The complex networks of real-world systems commonly
A.5. Testing the “small-worldness” of the Mexican power grid                       reveal to be highly robust to the random deletion of their nodes.
   In order to fully understand the structure of a power grid, it                  The simplest robustness indicator in a network is the variation
is required some reference network models with which the                           (or lack of variation) in the fraction of nodes in the largest
power grid can be compared. Using random models of the three                       component of the network. For example, in an electrical power
MX networks it is possible to analyze the influence of the                         network, two nodes can communicate with one another if there
topological parameters reported in Table I on the structure of                     exist a connecting path between those two nodes; therefore, the
the power grid. Since in the previous section IV.A.2 it was                        nodes in the largest component can communicate with an
found that the Mexican power grid is not a scale-free network,                     extensive fraction of the entire network, while those in the small
in this study it was generated an Erdös-Rényi random network                       components can communicate with only a few others at most.
(ER) and a Watts-Strogatz small-world network for comparison                       In the numerical studies reported in [33] and [34], it was found
(WS) (see Table II).                                                               that the problem of robustness to random failure of nodes in a
                                                                                   network is equivalent to a site percolation process on the
                                                                                   network. Nodes are randomly designated as working or failed
                            TABLE II                                               nodes, and the number of nodes remaining that can successfully
    COMPARISON BETWEEN THE THREE MX NETWORK STRUCTURES AND                         communicate is precisely the largest component of the
       RANDOM (ER) AND SMALL-WORLD (WS) NETWORK MODELS                             corresponding percolation model [35,36].
   Net         𝑵      𝑴      〈𝒌〉  𝒌𝒎𝒂𝒙 〈𝒍〉     𝒅      𝑪
   /Metric                                                                              Let suppose a configuration model with degree distribution
        MX    367    468    2.55  9    19.11   50 0.1727                           𝑝𝑘 . Now suppose that only a fraction 𝑞 of the nodes are chosen
    MX230
        ER    344    474    2.75  8      6.3   50 0.0057                           randomly as “working” nodes. Since node failure is random and
        WS    367    734      4   7     5.09   10 0.1502
        MX    120    160    2.66    6   8.23   25 0.1147
                                                                                   uncorrelated, the subset of all nodes that are working forms
    MX400
        ER    109    158    2.89    7   4.88   25 0.0247                           another configuration model with the following degree
        WS    120    240      4     7   3.80    7  0.1179                          distribution:
        MX    429    612    2.85   11  10.62   32 0.179
                                                                                                                     𝑘 𝑘′
    MX400-
                                                                                                                                    𝑘−𝑘 ′
                                                                                                  𝑝 𝑘 ′ = ∑∞
     230
                                                                                                           𝑘=𝑘 ′ 𝑝𝑘 ( ′ ) 𝑞 (1 − 𝑞)
        ER    409    617    3.01   10   5.78   32 0.0052                                                                                           (5)
        WS    429    858      4     8  11.70   11 0.1877                                                             𝑘
                                                                                        The critical fraction of nodes 𝑓𝑐 to be eliminated in order to
                                                                                   make a graph unable to percolate (the fraction of nodes at which
   The three MX power networks have clustering coefficients                        the network no longer has a largest component) can be obtained
significantly larger than the clustering coefficients of the ER                    by the standard generating function methodology. Thus, the
networks, and very close to the ones of the WS networks. With                      critical fraction of node removal is [37]:
respect to the average shortest-path length, the MX400-230                                                              1
                                                                                                           𝑓𝑐 = 1 −                               (6)
network and its corresponding WS network have this metric                                                             𝑘0 −1
very similar, whereas in the MX400 and MX230 networks their                            where 𝑘0 is compute with:
average shortest-path lengths are only somewhat larger than
those of the corresponding WS networks. These results lead to                                                         〈𝑘 2 〉
                                                                                                         2𝛾 = 𝑘0 ≈    〈𝑘〉
                                                                                                                                                  (7)
and 〈𝑘 2 〉 is the square average node degree determined with:
                                      𝑘𝑖2
                      〈𝑘 2 〉 = ∑𝑁
                                𝑖=1                                (8)
                                      𝑁
     On the other hand, in order to analyze an intentional attack
in terms of standard percolation, the method developed in [38]
gives the conditions for network percolation under attacks as
follows,
                                             1
                   1 + (ln 𝑝𝑐 − 1)𝑝𝑐 =                             (9)
                                            2𝛾−1
    where 𝑝𝑐 is the critical fraction of attacked nodes to make a
graph unable to percolate.
    Table III shows the results of calculating the critical
fraction for random failures and intentional attacks (node-                                                  (b)
degree based attacks) of nodes (𝑓𝑐 and 𝑝𝑐 , respectively) for the
three MX networks, and they are compared with those reported
for France and Iran power networks [29]. Additionally, with the
purpose of illustrating this analysis, Figs. 7 and 8 show the
behavior of the MX networks facing intentional attacks and
random failures.
                             TABLE III
   PERFORMANCE OF THE THREE MX NETWORKS AGAINST INTENTIONAL
              ATTACKS (𝑝𝑐 )AND RANDOM FAILURES ( 𝑓𝑐 )
        Network       N       M        〈𝒌〉    𝒑𝒄       𝒇𝒄
  MX230               367    454        2.44     0.2333   0.5710
  MX400               120    160       2.6116    0.2304   0.5687
  MX400-230           429    612       2.8531    0.3083   0.6711
  Iran (400kV)        105    142       2.7048    0.2598    0.61
  France (400kV)      667    899        2.69     0.2841   0.6415
                                                                                                             (c)
    As expected, a much lower value of 𝑝𝑐 is requiered to break
into isolated tiny unconnected islands a power grid through
intentional attack. For example, the MX400-230 network will
be unable to percolate at about 30% and 67% of nodes removed
intentionally (based on their degree) and randomly,
respectively. This mean that the Mexican power grid is more
robust to random failures compared with intentional targeted
attacks. This is one of its characteristics as a grid with small-
world architecture.
                                                                                                             (d)
                                                                         Fig. 7. Static tolerance of the MX230 network confronting the intentional
                                                                         attack (by removing high degree nodes) for different values of the critical
                                                                         fraction pc.
                                                                             Fig. 7 shows four moments where we can see how the
                                                                         MX230 power network degrades based on the target attacks at
                                                                         the higher-grade nodes, passing through a fraction of 0.0163
                                                                         until reaching the critical fraction of 0.2333.
                               (a)
                                                                                            VI. VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS
                                                                                 In this study, the vulnerability of the Mexican power grid
                                                                             under random failures and intentional attacks is analyzed by
                                                                             calculating the drop in the global network efficiency. Also, the
                                                                             identification of critical nodes is obtained by measuring the
                                                                             global network efficiency degradation due to the disconnection
                                                                             of one node at a time.
                                                                                 In Table IV, the values of the global network efficiency of
                                                                             the three MX networks are shown, and they are compared with
                                   (a)                                       those of some European power networks [14].
                                                                                                       TABLE IV
                                                                                COMPARISON BETWEEN THE GLOBAL NETWORK EFFICIENCY OF THE
                                                                                THREE MX NETWORKS WHIT THOSE OF SOME EUROPEAN NETWORKS
                                                                                               Network                  𝑬𝒈𝒍𝒐𝒃𝒂𝒍
                                                                                    Mexico MX230                        0.0858
                                                                                    Mexico MX400                        0.1793
                                                                                    Mexico MX400-230                    0.1293
                                                                                    France 400kV                        0.197
                                                                                    Spain 400kV                         0.259
                                                                                    Italy 380kV                         0.173
                                                                                    Swiss 220-380kV                     0.205
                                   (b)
                                                                                 In complex network theory, small-world networks have
                                                                             high 𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 corresponding to low average shortest-path length.
                                                                             Therefore, since Mexico’s power grid demonstrates the small-
                                                                             world phenomenon, it can be said that these 𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 values of
                                                                             the three MX networks are high. Fig. 9 presents the impact of
                                                                             random failures (random removed nodes) and degree-based
                                                                             intentional attacks (large-degree removed nodes) on the global
                                                                             network efficiency of the three MX networks. Results indicate
                                                                             that all the three networks are more robust against random
                                                                             failures than intentional attacks. Analyzing the MX400-230
                                                                             network, after 10% of nodes randomly removed, the value of
                                                                             𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 was 0.115, whereas global network efficiency reached
                                   (c)                                       almost zero for the case of intentional attacks with the same
                                                                             portion of nodes removed. This means that the impact of
                                                                             intentional attacks is more prominent than random failures.
                                   (d)
Fig. 8. Static tolerance of the MX230 network confronting random
failures (by randomly removing nodes) for different values of the critical
fraction fc.                                                                                                   (a)
                                         (b)                                                                                (a)
                                         (c)                                                                                (b)
   Fig. 9. Impact of random failures and intentional attacks of nodes on the global
   network efficiency of the three MX networks: (a) MX230, (b) MX400 and (c)
   MX400-230
   With respect to the identification of critical nodes, in this
work the criticality of a node is determined by estimating its
vulnerability in terms of the amount of relative decrease in the
global network efficiency caused by its removal [29]. Thus, the
vulnerability of a node is obtained as:
                              ∆𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙
                       𝑉𝑖 =                                       (10)
                              𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙
    where ∆𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 is the amount of change in global network
efficiency when the node i is removed from the network, and
𝐸𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙 corresponds to the original network. Fig. 10 shows the
histogram of node vulnerability values for the three MX                                                                     (c)
networks. In order to explain these histograms, let’s take the                           Fig. 10. Histograms of node vulnerability defined as the percentage change
result of the MX230 network, whose histogram indicates that                              in the global network efficiency when a node is removed from the network:
there are few nodes that cause a substantial change in the global                        (a) MX230; (b) MX400; (c) MX400-230
network efficiency. For example, there are three nodes that reach
a vulnerability value of 0.26, which means the network has an
efficiency loss of 26% if one of these nodes is removed (see                              In order to illustrate the results of Table V with one
Fig.10 (a)) [30]. On the other hand, there are 77 nodes that their                    example, Fig. 11 shows the location of the most critical nodes
removal would not cause any global network efficiency loss, and                       (nodes 200, 220 and 221) of the MX230 network. These nodes
even there are also 71 nodes that their removal would represent                       are identified as load type and they are located in a power
an increase in the global network efficiency of up to 0.001. In                       transmission corridor with a capacity of 1500MW [30].
these terms, Table V shows the most critical nodes for the three
MX networks.
                              TABLE V                                         the range of 4 and 14 for the case of the 400-230 kV network,
THE THREE MOST CRITICAL NODES FOR THE THREE MX NETWORKS IN TERMS              meaning that power energy is transmitted through a high
OF EGLOBAL LOSS BY REMOVING THEM FROM THE NETWORK (NODE
VULNERABILITY)
                                                                              percentage of shortest-path lengths.
       Network   Most vulnerable 𝑬𝒈𝒍𝒐𝒃𝒂𝒍    k    Node type                         With respect to the results of the small-worldness test, the
                    nodes (node   loss in %
                     number)
                                                                              Mexican power networks lie in the group of power networks
                        200         26.0    4      Load                       that were analyzed and reported in the literature as small-world
   MX230               220          26.1    2      Load                       networks. Additionally, the Mexican power networks shows
                       221          26.6    3      Load                       exponential cumulative degree distributions in agreement with
                       132          5.64    5 Power substation                some other power networks already identified with this feature.
   MX400                87          5.84    6 Power substation
                        96          6.09    5      Load                           In relation to the vulnerability analysis to random failures
                       239           4.1    8 Power substation                and intentional attacks, the Mexican power grid is vulnerable to
   MX400-230           231           4.1    9      Load                       degree-based intentional attacks and robust to random failures,
                       385           4.4    7 Power substation
                                                                              according to the criteria of critical fraction of node removal (site
                                                                              percolation process on networks) and global network
                                                                              efficiency. This feature can be attributed to its skewed node
                                                                              degree distribution, where a large number of nodes have small
                                                                              node degree, and a small number of nodes have very high node
                                                                              degree.
                                                                                  In summary, the main outcome of this work is that, although
                                                                              the Mexican power grid has evolved and developed under
                                                                              specific economic, political, and environmental (geographical)
                                                                              conditions of Mexico, the power grid shares the same basic
                                                                              topological properties with many other power grids of different
                                                                              countries. Also, the MXPG is a small-world network with good
                                                                              global connectivity properties and topological robust to random
                                                                              failures.
                                                                                  It is expected that this work can be useful for understanding
   Fig. 11. Location of the three most critical nodes in the MX230 network.   and modeling different dynamic processes that occur in the
                                                                              Mexican power grid, such as cascade failures and the resilience
                                                                              to external and internal events.
                        VII. CONCLUSIONS
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