Unicorn
Unicorn
UNICORN
An in-depth overview of the unicorn
entry function and the variables
pertaining.
FUNCTION.
CREDIT.
GETTING STARTED
The functions used for the unicorn will be defined
and explained in the order of importance that they
are considered during analysis. Understanding
these concepts and being able to utilize them are
what provides probabilities in the marketplace. As
an an investor or trader, it is our job to place
ourselves within higher probability situations for a
more likelihood of success. Internalizing these
concepts comes from being able to define and
identify them. It will provide the justifications
needed to understand whether to execute. It will
provide confluence to your thoughts or ideas. Lastly
it will clear all the questions your mind goes through
during executions. Simply if the concepts are not
present you know there is no trade. If the concepts
are present, we can continue to hunt.
Who is Ash?
I continuously make day trades each morning to earn short term profits to
be sent to real estate acquisitions. Currently I have short term rentals for
college students and Airbnb's in the Carolinas.
For equities I use futures on AMP during opening bell to leverage shorter
term moves in the markets. I am here in the morning doing my research
and due diligence to prepare for the markets each day. I make shorter
term leverage plays during the opening of the equity markets.
From years of trading, I can easily say from my experience that "Give a man
a fish, and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, and you feed him
for a lifetime."
With that being said education takes time. Therefore, give yourself time.
Practice is needed to obtain these skills and to have an understanding of
these markets. Therefore give yourself time. This is the test of time and
with the right risk management and education I believe anybody is capable
of achieving these skills.
We are all here to learn and grow. As a collective whole we can make
advancements in our education, experience, and knowledge.
Smooth Edges
Execution
Draw on liquidity
[INDICES]
ASIA RANGE
20:00 – 00:00
London Killzone
02:00 – 05:00
00:00 00:00
News drivers.
It’s essential to monitor news drivers for the
day to see how they will impact your trading
schedule
> Visit www.forexfactory.com
A news driver after the 09:30 open will most likely result
in consolidation of price as the liquidity injection is yet
to arrive, in this instance I’d recommend waiting for the
driver.
Website
ForexFactory.com
Sessions Hunting hours Macros
However, this does not mean we cannot use the Asia range
to influence our own trading within the London and New
York session, as a result of most usually consolidating this
range will most often provide the ability to utilize its
liquidity as a draw.
In addition….
In the event that the London session takes both
the Asian range high and the low, we can use
this information to suggest the New York AM
session will present a search and destroy daily
profile
Our variables…
We first wait for the 09:30 open as a rule before
engaging with the session
My hunting hours.
Going into detail !
Lastly is your emotions. If you are too greedy to take profits when
they are giving to you then don't trade. If you are too fearful to take
on risk, then don't trade. If you get too euphoric during winners then
don't trade. If you get too sad during losers then don't trade. Price
needs to be black and white. There should be no emotional
attachment to any part of this process. The only form of
management, execution, or analysis should be strictly derived from
price and nothing else.
| 09:50 – 10:10
This macro occurs within the New York AM
session, we can use this to expect a run of
liquidity or to create new liquidity, the
algorithm should produce a piece of significant
price.
10:50 – 11:10 |
This macro occurs also occurs within the New
York AM session and again should result in a
piece of significant price forming, although this
will not always occur.
Sessions Hunting hours Macros
8:50 – 9:10
New York AM session
09:50 – 10:10
New York AM session
10:50 – 11:10
New York AM session
11:50 – 12:10
Lunch session [We don’t participate]
12:10 – 13:40
New York PM session
15:15 – 15:45
New York PM session
Understand macros
We’re looking to identify the set of instructions that has been placed into
the algorithm. Within these windows we search for either accumulation,
manipulation, or expansion. We ask ourselves is price running above an old
high or low (manipulation)? Is price creating a + breaker or minus
breaker(expansion)? Is price consolidating (accumulation)? If we can
understand the set of instructions being put into the macro windows we
can have higher probability in understanding what the next move may be.
SMT Opening gaps Opening price
[1]
When to correlated assets diverge in price this is known as SMT.
We use SMT to gain insight in weakness or strength in price.
[2]
For example; ES and NQ are correlated assets. When ES is making
higher lows AT THE SAME TIME NQ is making a lower low. This
shows that ES is showing strength.
[3]
Furthermore this crack in correlation can also help us identify
when liquidity has been taken and we can anticipate a market
structure shift.
[4]
For example; After running below an old low if we see ES showing
SMT against NQ we can have insight that liquidity was grabbed
and begin searching for a market structure shift and
displacement.
[5]
SMT is not a stand alone entry trigger. SMT is an additional
confirmation to an idea.
Sunday
18:00 open
Friday
16:45 close
Friday
16:45 close
Sunday
18:00 open
SMT Opening gaps Opening price
Opening price.
Opening price is an essential variable, especially regarding the
liquidity, we look for a judas (swing in the opposing direction) to take
liquidity before producing our model.
Breaker.
Breaker block
FVG
Liquidity
Raided liquidity
The breaker block
In detail!
Breaker block
FVG
Liquidity
Raided liquidity
Unicorn.
That is a unicorn [FVG inside of a breaker] one of the strongest
algorithmic entry positions ever…especially after you have taken out
liquidity on opening price.
Displacement.
Displacement is the speed and strength of a price
move; we desire price to trade strong through a
breaker without hesitation, we can identify this with
an FVG aligned alongside the breaker.
Breaker FVG
Displacement.
Displacement is the speed and strength of a price
move; we desire price to trade strong through a
breaker without hesitation, we can identify this with
an FVG aligned alongside the breaker.
EXAMPLES
[1]
Here price raided
liquidity upon opening
price, before animating
a market stricture shift,
this aligned with
Breaker + FVG at the
New York open
provides us with the
Unicorn setup. Smooth
highs were the target
and ultimate frame of
the trade.
[2]
Price again raided equal lows [liquidity] upon opening before
forming our entry function towards smooth edges, we can see
the displacement through the breakers without hesitation
[1]
Opening price /what we’re looking for?
THE
PROCESS
Step by step !
[2]
Liquidity manufactured upon opening price,
this will be a clear pool of liquidity, either highs Judas /what we’re looking for?
or lows.
[4]
Displacement /essential !
[4]
Entry /fair value gap
The morning begins with analysing the daily and searching for our concepts. We are
searching for smooth edges (a draw on liquidity). We are searching for FVG, SMT, or
breakers. Higher time frame draws on liquidity and PD arrays give us the understand of
what price wants to reach for and an area of interest we can join price in the move to the
draw. We are searching for order flow. We are searching for any market structure shifts.
This helps us generate our bias.
When we have an understanding of higher time frame order flow and draw on liquidity we
then move to the 15M chart. The 15M chart is our bellwether chart. We are analysing the
15M chart in the same fashion as the daily. We are looking for the same tools as price is
fractal. When you begin to get further confirmations to your idea across different time
frames it begins to generate higher probability. For example; when you see a volume
imbalance on the daily that you are looking to act as a buy-side draw on liquidity. Then
you get down to the 15M time frame and you see at that same location on the 15M chart
left equal highs there or (smooth edges) this provides further confirmation of the draw on
liquidity seeing that both time frames have defined and concise draw at this location.
Once you have a bias from the daily. A clear higher time frame draw on liquidity. A
narrative generated from the 15M then we wait for hunting hours to participate. The first
thing we do to understand when to participate is look at the economic calendar. Along
with understanding hunting hours we need to understand the important times during the
day when the high impact drivers are released. If there are NO high impact drivers we use
9:30am NY open as the volatility injection. If there is no high impact drivers present it is
also a time to be patient and understand there may be less efficient price due to no
liquidity injection.
This is when we begin to use the macros. We do not place ourselves right in front of a high
impact news driver. Therefore if there is a high impact driver (red folder) at 10am then we
will look to place ourselves in the 10:50-11:10 macro. If the high impact news driver is at
8:30am then we can search for any of the morning macros. Time and price need to align.
We do not participate whenever we feel like it. We analyse price to have a bias. Therefore
we know to only look for one direction. when we go to participate in that direction we only
do it at certain times contingent upon liquidity injections. We are looking to make the
window of opportunity as defined as possible so there is no question to our actions.
Framework.
Now let me try to put all the pieces together to provide a clear insight to the
framework.
Before NY Open, we analyse the daily. We see price has swept a higher time frame low
and created a market structure shift. Since the sweep price has been making higher
highs and higher lows. We have daily FVG's that continue to provide support for price
to continue its bullish order flow. Resting above we have an unfilled volume imbalance
to act as a clear draw on liquidity.
Next, we analyse the 15M. The 15M chart shows very clear and concise smooth edges
at the same location as the daily volume imbalance.
The 15M also has a +breaker that has formed heading into NY open.
We have a clear order flow. We have a clear draw on liquidity. We have a clear area of
interest to join price with the 15M +breaker.
Now we check the economic calendar, and we see that there is a high impact driver at
8:30am.
We wait until NY open. During NY open we see price start to pull back (judas swing)
lower into the 15M +breaker. Once price reaches the 15M +breaker we then get into a
time frame we execute on. At this point we are now on the 5M chart.
On the 5M chart it is now 9:50am. Price is in our area of interest, and we see a short
term low swept. After the short-term low is swept a displacement higher comes into
the market that causes a market structure shift and leaves and FVG. We now have all
of our criteria to enter the market.
It is the right time of day. We have a clear draw on liquidity. All of our criteria for an
entry trigger is present. At this point in time you size your risk correctly and entry the
trade.
If any of these justifications to your actions are missing this is the first thing showing
you to not participate. We are only allowed to participate when all concepts are
aligned.
Risk during participation should be 1% or lower per trade of your total account size.
Preferably .5% per trade is optimal. We are only allowed to participate once per
session. There is no revenge trading. There is no over trading. ONLY ONCE PER
SESSION and that is ONLY WHEN ALL CRITERIA IS ALIGNED. When risking you then aim
for 1:2rr.
Examples.
Judas at NY open. Bearish unicorn during 09:50 – 10:10 Macro. Sell side target completed 08:30 Red folder
Judas at NY open. Bullish unicorn for 11:50 – 12:10 macro. Buyside target completed No Red folder
Examples.
Judas at NY open. Bearish unicorn for 10:50 – 11:10 macro. Sell side target completed 08:30 Red folder
Judas at NY open. Bearish unicorn for 09:50 – 10:10 macro. Sell side target completed No Red folder
Examples.
Judas at NY open. Bullish unicorn for 09:50 – 10:10 macro. Buyside target completed 08:30 Red folder
Video examples.
Video 1
Unicorn example 1
These videos breakdown and
Video 2 show live price examples of the
Unicorn example 2 Unicorn model in action.