You have been hired by the management of Widget Inc.
to assess the possibility of a leveraged management buyout. The Company
would like you to assess the multiple of money and internal rate of return (IRR) that can be achieved and has sent you an excel file with a
number of key financial and operating assumptions which they feel are conservative and achievable.
Please build an LBO model in order to calculate these returns. While doing so, please be prepared to answer the following questions:
1) What is a sensible acquisition premium?
2) How did you determine the appropriate level of leverage?
3) How sensitive are the returns to the leverage ratio?
4) Please build a sensitivity table that shows the IRR at various acquisition premiums and at various exit multiples of LTM EBITDA.
5) What other key information would you require to make your analysis more accurate?
Assume Entry on 31/10/2010                        10/31/2006    10/31/2007    10/31/2008    10/31/2009
                                                          (4)           (3)           (2)           (1)
Input Drivers
         Name                                        LBO Co
         Current year end                         10/31/2010
            Number of historic years                       4
         Currency                           MM          GBP
         Current share price             GBP            4.30
         Offer Premium                                35.0%
         NOSH                            MM            450.0
         EPS                             GBP            0.14
         Net debt                        GBP MM       1,000
         Stock options
            ITM options                  MM               10
            Average exercise price       GBP            0.90
         Tax rate                                     28.0%
         Base rate                                    1.50%
         Revolver Interest Rate                        6.0%
         Cash Interest Rate                            2.5%
         Fees
            M&A @ Entry                               0.75%
            Exit Fee                                  1.50%
         Valuation
             Entry AV/LTM EBITDA
             Exit AV/LTM EBITDA                        10.0x
         Exit Year                                        4
         Hurdles
            Minimum Equity Requirement              40.00%
            Total Debt / EBITDA                         5.0x
Sources and Uses of Funds
Sources                                                 Size    Proportion (x) EBITDA            Term
           Senior A                                                                                 6
           HY / Mezzanine                                                                          10
        Total Debt
Uses
Equity Returns
Operating model drivers
        Sales growth                                         7.1%    (21.3%)    18.6%
        EBITDA margin                              4.9%     11.9%     11.2%      8.0%
        Capex (as % of sales)                      7.9%      6.7%      7.8%      5.7%
        Capex/depn                               229.2%    263.2%    230.0%    181.8%
        Decr/(incr) in WC as % of sales growth               2.0%      4.3%      2.9%
Cash flow
        Sales                                     3,500     3,750     2,950     3,500
           Operating profit                          50       350       230       170
           Depreciation                             120        95       100       110
        EBITDA                                      170       445       330       280
           Decr/(incr) in working capital                       5       (34)       16
           Capex                                   (275)     (250)     (230)     (200)
           Net Interest paid                        (25)      (40)      (35)      (60)
           Tax                                      (90)      (85)      (75)      (20)
Debt Schedule
Net Debt
Tax Working
10/31/2010   10/31/2011   10/31/2012   10/31/2013   10/31/2014   10/31/2015   10/31/2016   10/31/2017   10/31/2018
        --            1            2            3            4            5            6            7            8
    Type        Spread    Cash Rate     PIK Rate
Amortising       4.5%         6.0%           --%
    Bullet       6.0%         7.5%         8.0%
 15.0%     13.0%    12.0%    10.0%     8.5%     8.0%     7.5%     7.0%     7.0%
  8.5%      9.0%     9.5%     9.5%     9.7%    10.0%    10.5%    11.0%    11.0%
  5.5%      4.5%     4.2%     4.0%     3.5%     3.5%     3.2%     3.0%     2.8%
180.0%    170.0%   160.0%   150.0%   140.0%   130.0%   120.0%   110.0%   105.0%
  2.2%      2.0%     1.9%     1.7%     1.6%     1.5%     1.4%     1.3%     1.2%
    (5)
10/31/2019   10/31/2020
         9          10
                          Amortising
                          Bullet
  6.5%    6.0%
 11.5%   11.5%
  2.5%    2.4%
100.0%   90.0%
  1.1%    1.0%