The Overlooked Contribution of Trees Outside Forests To Tree Cover and Woody Biomass Across Europe
The Overlooked Contribution of Trees Outside Forests To Tree Cover and Woody Biomass Across Europe
INTRODUCTION                                                                            example, reports from the United Kingdom have shown that
The quantification of wood resources at the national and local scales                   woody resources provided by trees outside closed canopy forests
is a prerequisite for sustainable management of timber resources,                       can exceed those provided by forests (17).
habitats, and carbon stocks (1–5). Local forest management practice                         Consistent monitoring of both forest and non-forest trees at the
and planning relies to an increasing extent on national maps of                         national and continental scales remains a challenging endeavor.
forests and forest resources, and the accuracy of national carbon                       This is because contemporary forest maps derived from medium-
stock estimates may be largely improved by inclusion of such                            resolution (10 to 30 m) satellite imagery usually miss non-forest
maps at the regional and national levels (6, 7).                                        trees and do not allow for a clear definition and separation of
    Most countries focus their inventories and mapping on closed                        forest and non-forest areas (18). Other maps merge all types of
canopy forests (8–10). Trees outside forests are often associated                       trees under the variable “tree cover” or “forest cover” (19, 20),
with scattered dryland trees in arid regions where rainfall is not suf-                 and it often remains unclear which size classes of trees and
ficient for trees to form closed canopies (11). However, in northern                    shrubs are included and which are excluded. Certain guidelines
countries, a substantial part of the woody resource may be growing                      provide consistent forest definitions, for example, by the United
in hedgerows, gardens, parks, urban areas, grasslands, and agricul-                     Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (21).
tural lands. These trees outside forests contribute to carbon storage,                  However, the quality and type of data available at the national
provide resources for local communities, modify the local climate,                      and continental scales are often not sufficient to apply the guide-
are an important part of habitat networks, affect the hydrological                      lines consistently in remote sensing studies. Only few countries
cycle, and thus represent an important economic and social value                        provide a high-quality aerial imagery at the national scale that
(12–14). Many European countries comprise large agricultural and                        allows for an assessment of all forests and trees (22, 23), but the in-
urban landscapes, and the exclusion of trees outside forests from                       clusion of canopy height data derived from airborne Light Detec-
systematic carbon stock assessment potentially implies a bias in na-                    tion and Ranging (LiDAR) campaigns is decisive, to separate
tional inventories and also affects scientific studies and climate                      large trees from shrubs and bushes and to estimate the wood
models using only closed forest areas as input (15, 16). For                            volume, dry mass, and carbon stocks. This is particularly the case
                                                                                        for managed forest areas, where small and privately owned lots
1
 Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Co-
                                                                                        characterized by different management strategies cause a high
penhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark. 2Laboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique,          spatial heterogeneity within areas considered as closed canopy
CNRS, UPS, IRD, Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France. 3Department of Com-         forest (5). High–spatial resolution tree cover maps are not sufficient
puter Science, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark. 4Laboratoire des          for a quantification of wood resources as the tree height is unknown.
Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ/Université Paris
Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France. 5Department of Geographical Sciences, University        Existing global- and continental-scale canopy height (24–26) and
of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA. 6Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture,     medium-resolution biomass maps (27, 28) from space-borne
University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal. 7Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Insti-   sensors largely ignore trees outside forests, providing an incomplete
tute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA. 8Key Laboratory for Agro-ecological Pro-
cesses in Subtropical Region, Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, Chinese             assessment of resources. National canopy height data at a high
Academy of Sciences, Changsha, China. 9Airborne Remote Sensing Center, Aero-            spatial resolution (<5 m) is expensive and often only available for
space Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.      parts of the country (29), if at all. It thus remains unknown to
*Corresponding author. Email: sliu@ign.ku.dk (S. Liu); mabr@ign.ku.dk (M.B.)
which extent trees outside forests across the European continent         comparing two global canopy height products with airborne
represent a hidden and undervalued resource, as it is the case in        LiDAR-derived canopy cover and height, the systematic bias was
the United Kingdom (17).                                                 high, particularly for trees outside forests: Here, the bias for
   To answer this question and to explore the contribution of non-       canopy height and cover was +15.4 and +231.2%, respectively, for
forest trees to tree cover and woody biomass across Europe, here, we     a fused Sentinel-2– and spaceborne LiDAR [Global Ecosystem Dy-
generate continental-scale maps of forests, woodlands, and trees         namics Investigation (GEDI)]–based map at 10-m resolution (26),
outside forests, including their height at 3-m resolution in 2019,       while it was −31.3 and −95.8% for canopy height and cover, respec-
which contains a level of details otherwise only previously accessible   tively, for a Landsat- and GEDI-based map at 30-m (Fig. 2D) (24).
from the use of airborne LiDAR surveys. We retrieve these data
from cost-efficient nanosatellites available at a daily basis and at a   Quantification of tree cover outside forests across Europe
spatial resolution high enough to map large individual trees (>3-m       To refine the forest versus non-forest area definition in relation to
height) using a deep learning approach where a convolutional             our dataset, we used the FAO definition (21) to separate forests from
neural network is learned end to end from airborne LiDAR                 non-forest trees. Here, we aggregated our PlanetScope-based tree
canopy height reference data across Europe. We trained two deep          cover and tree height maps into 0.5-ha grid cells. Following the
learning models from PlanetScope optical imagery at 3-m resolu-          FAO definition, woody vegetation in 0.5-ha grids where the
tion: (i) a segmentation model predicting binary canopy/no-              canopy cover of trees taller than 5-m height exceeded 10% and
canopy (>3-m height) and (ii) a regression model predicting              where the land use was not agricultural land or urban according
“dense short vegetation” (hereafter referred to as grassland), with a              Methods). We aggregated aboveground biomass to the hectare level
median (25 to 75 percentiles) canopy cover of 7.2% (2.1 to 19.2%).                 (100 m by 100 m) including both forest and non-forest trees (Fig. 4).
Urban areas have on average the highest canopy cover (12.7%; 4.5 to                The overall uncertainty is the combined uncertainty due to the
26.9%), with an aggregated tree cover of 5.05 million ha. Tree cover               canopy area and height prediction and to the height to biomass con-
of a total of 2.67 million ha is found in cropland with a rather low               version and was quantified by comparing our final aboveground
canopy cover percentage per hectare (4.6%; 1.4 to 12.2%). Detailed                 biomass product (after application of the allometric conversion
statistics are found in table S1.                                                  on PlanetScope canopy height and cover data) with field measured
                                                                                   biomass from the Danish (n = 3451) and Spanish (n = 1706) NFI
Quantifying aboveground biomass across Europe                                      data at the plot scale and the country scale (n = 30). At the plot scale,
To quantify the woody resources into aboveground biomass, we                       the correlation was moderate [correlation coefficient (r) = 0.53 and
used plot-based National Forest Inventory (NFI) data (fig. S13)                    bias = −23% for Denmark; and r = 0.50 and bias = −25% for Spain]
and airborne LiDAR canopy height model (CHM) data from                             (fig. S7, C and D), which was expected because of a large uncertainty
Denmark (31) to establish allometric relationships between above-                  related to both satellite and field data, such as geolocation and image
ground biomass and canopy height, both averaged at the plot level                  quality errors. These errors were found to be not systematic, as dem-
(n = 11,296). Separate relationships were derived for broadleaf forest             onstrated by a comparison of statistics aggregated to the country
(n = 7232; bias = −8.8%), coniferous forest (n = 3768; bias = −6.8%),              scale, both from NFI and satellites. Here, the systematic bias was
mixed forest (n = 7536; bias = −9.9%), and plots with sparse tree                  −10% (underestimation) for Denmark and +5% (overestimation)
cover (n = 409; bias = −5.9%) (fig. S6) using a previously published               for Spain, which can be explained by the fact that clear-cut areas
forest-type map from 2018 (32) for the separation (see Materials and               and young tree plantations are part of the national statistic but are
not mapped in our product. The bias was +7.6% over 30 countries                        8.5) Mg/ha, and trees in grassland have 0.29 Pg with a median
with a Pearson correlation of 0.98 (Fig. 5D and fig. S9A). The rela-                   biomass density of 4.6 (2.1 to 11.1) Mg/ha. Overall, 44.6% of the
tively even distribution of the error across countries demonstrates                    tree biomass outside forests is found in grasslands, 34.0% in
the transferability of the approach beyond Denmark. A previously                       urban areas, and 16.2% in croplands (Fig. 5C).
published state-of-the-art biomass map from (28) had a larger bias                        At the country scale, we ranked the top five countries having the
of +17.3% when compared against country statistics. Aggregated to                      highest contribution of non-forest trees for different GLULCs to the
1 km–by–1 km scale, our map compares reasonably well with exist-                       national biomass stocks. Ireland was ranked first, with 16.5% of the
ing products (fig. S8) (27, 28, 33), with the advantage of including                   tree biomass located outside forests, followed by the United
information on non-forest trees (Fig. 4).                                              Kingdom (14.8%), The Netherlands, which has 8.2% of its national
    Following the FAO forest definition, European forests have an                      biomass located in urban areas, and Denmark (9.7%) (Fig. 5C). We
overall aboveground biomass of 35.2 Pg, and trees outside forests                      found a negative relation between the total tree cover percentage
represent only 0.8 Pg, which is a proportion of 40:1. By further ag-                   and the biomass contribution by trees outside forest (Table 1).
gregating our biomass maps into forest types and biomes, we found                      The Netherlands stands out with both the highest tree cover
that broadleaf and coniferous forests in the temperate zone have a                     outside forest (24.6%) and a high biomass contribution in percent-
biomass density of 140.4 (84.8 to 195.8) Mg/ha and 110.1 (50.4 to                      age (12.2%). France has the largest total biomass (2388.2 Tg), while
174.6) Mg/ha, respectively (Fig. 5, A and B). Using the global land                    the tree biomass outside forests is only of 77.2 Tg.
use and land cover class (GLULC) classification, our results reveal
that trees in urban areas have a total biomass of 0.22 Pg with a                       Beyond Europe
median biomass density of 5.6 (2.5 to 13.2) Mg/ha, trees in crop-                      To test the scalability of our approach, we applied the tree cover seg-
lands have 0.11 Pg with a median biomass density of 3.8 (1.9 to                        mentation and canopy height prediction to the boreal and
temperate zones of North America and tested the performance with                          DISCUSSION
a fully independent LiDAR dataset (1000 km2 at 1-m resolution)                            Trees outside forests in Europe have always been overlooked, and
that was never seen during training and parameter optimization                            only the United Kingdom has so far conducted a systematic assess-
(Fig. 6). Errors were found to be comparable to the European test                         ment of their resources (17). They conclude that, in many areas, the
datasets if aggregated to 1 km–by–1 km samples [coefficient of de-                        carbon stored in non-forest trees exceeds the forest carbon stocks,
termination (R 2) = 0.71, bias = −15.7%, and rRMSE = 20% for                              which would imply that current carbon stock assessments include a
height regression; and R 2 = 0.88, bias = +2%, and rRMSE =                                large bias.
28.6% for tree cover segmentation]. At 3 m by 3 m, the overall                               Here, we show that, at the continental scale, trees outside forests
RMSE was higher than in Europe (6.5 m). Note that a conversion                            do not play a critical role for the national aboveground carbon
to biomass would requires region-specific calibrations with local                         stocks of many Northern European countries. However, this is
field data, which is beyond the scope of this study.                                      because of the dominant role of forest landscapes. We found the
                                                                                          total amount of carbon in non-forest trees (0.37 Pg) is about the
do not cover the northern parts of the world (36). Previous studies                     not free of charge, it is cheaper than aerial imagery, making it fea-
combined sparse GEDI data with Landsat (24) or Sentinel-2 (26) to                       sible to be acquired annually at the national scales. The daily global
generate global-scale canopy height maps, and, although these                           coverage facilitates cloud-free mosaics of different periods of the
perform well in forests, they have a large bias in non-forest areas                     year, and, once a model is trained, it has potential to be applied
(Fig. 2, C and D). Moreover, the major strength of deep learning                        each year on an operational basis without further need of LiDAR
with 3-m resolution nanosatellite imagery lies in the fact that the                     data. Our example of North America demonstrates the geographical
model can learn features from the visible tree crown structure,                         robustness of our models over trained biomes, but canopy height
which is often less clear in Sentinel-2 (10-m) or Landsat (30-                          estimations in dry and tropical areas require further work. Third,
m) images.                                                                              LiDAR and aerial imagery differ between countries with regard to
    Our maps could be operationally integrated in national carbon                       spectral, spatial, and temporal resolution, making it difficult to
stock inventory schemes. First, the spatial resolution allows to iden-                  create biomass maps that are consistent between countries and
tify individual tree crowns and makes it possible to align the satellite                years at the continental scale. Although this was not demonstrated
image with field plot data, which can be useful to reduce variances                     in this study, PlanetScope-based maps have a certain consistency in
when upscaling plot data on, e.g., carbon stocks to the national                        space and time (37, 38), allowing for large-scale and multiyear
scale. Using different canopy height-to-biomass conversions for                         biomass assessments. Fourth, integrating trees outside forests in na-
different forest and non-forest types account for the bias caused                       tional inventories is not only interesting from a carbon stock per-
by the forest understory, which is undetected by classic aerial                         spective but also allows to quantify a variety of ecosystem services
surveys. Aggregating our biomass maps to the national scales                            provided by these trees. A previous study used submeter LiDAR and
shows a good alignment with national NFI statistics (bias of 7.7%                       aerial images to quantify the tree cover outside forests in Denmark,
overestimation for 30 countries) (5), although NFI plot-level data                      yielding the same proportion as this study (20%) (39), confirming
were only available for Denmark. Second, while the imagery is                           the reliability of the PlanetScope-based map for the mapping of
non-forest trees. For the United Kingdom, we found the fraction of                     with higher error values in the Mediterranean zone (Fig. 2A and fig.
urban trees outside forest cover to be 20.2%, which is in general                      S3), where our map should be used with caution. The inclusion of
agreement with the 16.5% reported in the U.K. NFI (17). Moreover,                      additional LiDAR data from mixed vegetation types, as well as semi-
the overall forest cover percentage found for the United Kingdom                       arid and arid regions, will improve future versions of the model. Ac-
(12%) is in line with previous reports (17, 40, 41).                                   knowledging these current shortcomings, recent development of
    A drawback of the presented method is the requirement of large                     state-of-the-art methods from the field of machine learning com-
amounts of airborne LiDAR for training and validation, as well as                      bined with cost-efficient nanosatellite imagery with a spatial resolu-
NFI data for converting canopy cover and height into biomass,                          tion below 5 m opens a previously unknown research avenue toward
which now limits the applicability primarily to the Global North.                      improved monitoring of national tree resources, both in and outside
Although our map has shown robustness across Europe, the gener-                        forests. This could allow the systematic integration of trees outside
alization to North America yields comparable results when aggre-                       forests into local, regional, and global carbon budgets, national in-
gated at 1-km resolution, but the performance at the 3-m pixel level                   ventories, climate models, and carbon credit programs and improve
drops. Nevertheless, fine-tuning on some reference data from a pre-                    the management of tree resources in countries characterized by pre-
viously unknown region of interest will likely close the performance                   dominantly non-forest landscapes. While this study concludes that
gap. The conversion of height and cover into biomass can potential-                    the impact on national statistics of most European countries will not
ly be improved by more region-specific field data, but using allome-                   be marked due to the dominant role of forests, we also show that the
tric equations from the Spanish NFI data showed that the equations                     amount of carbon stored in European non-forest trees is compara-
established from the Danish NFI data are robust (see Materials and                     ble to dryland areas, where trees outside forests are dominating the
Methods). In semiarid regions, small trees form a complex matrix of                    landscapes (34).
low vegetation, representing more challenging conditions for accu-
rate predictions of the deep learning–based model. We confirm this
MATERIALS AND METHODS                                                    Denmark (0.4 m-resolution merged from 2016 to 2021, in total
Summary                                                                  43,000 km2), Estonia (1-m resolution from 2011 to 2017, in total
We used CHMs from airborne LiDAR data across Europe to train             45,000 km2), The Netherlands (0.2-m resolution from 2018, in
two deep learning models: a segmentation model predicting binary         total 41,000 km2), and Spain (2.5-m resolution from 2008 to
canopy/no-canopy (for trees taller than 3-m height) and a regres-        2015, in total 500,000 km2). Other samples were available for
sion model predicting canopy height, both from PlanetScope               patches in Finland (1-m resolution from 2019, in total 50,000
optical imagery at 3-m resolution. The canopy map was used as a          km2), Switzerland (0.5-m resolution merged from 2017 to 2020,
mask, and canopy height was only predicted within areas identified       in total 20,000 km2), and Wales (1 m-resolution from 2015, in
as tree cover. We included a GEDI- and Sentinel-2–based canopy           total 10,000 km2) (fig. S1B). Some data were provided as CHM,
height map from (26) as an additional model input, in both the           others as raw cloud points, which were converted to Digital
training and prediction processes, providing a priori knowledge          Terrain Model (DTM) and Digital Surface Model (DSM) used to
on the height distribution of forest areas. We observed that this im-    calculate CHMs via LAStools (43). CHM data represent the top
proved the underestimation of tall forest trees and that, in case of     canopy height in the pixel area but, sometimes, include the height
temporal or spatial mismatches (e.g., clear-cuts and trees outside       from buildings and short herbaceous and bush vegetation. Here, we
forests), the prediction followed the PlanetScope image overruling       used the building footprints from Microsoft (44) and Open Street
the information from the GEDI/Sentinel-2 map. Here, it is impor-         Map (45) to mask buildings. We further visually compared Planet-
tant to mention that the map from (26) severely overestimates trees      Scope imagery and the corresponding CHM and decided for a 3-m
contribute to a substantial proportion of loss in the regression, re-    relating the total aboveground biomass value per plot with the
sulting in an unstable training progress and large uncertainties in      average canopy height derived from airborne LiDAR (for all areas
the tree height estimations. Therefore, we first segmented the tree      with woody vegetation > 1.3 m, following the NFI definition) auto-
canopies, which were then used to mask the non-forested areas            matically corrects for the bias from undetectable understory. The
for minimizing the regression loss (fig. S10).                           regression equation in the log-log space can be described as
Tree crown segmentation
We set a 3-m height threshold to the aerial CHM data and converted                        InðAGBDÞ ¼ α þ β � InðHÞ þ ε                      ð1Þ
it into a reference binary (tree or background) map. The four-band       where AGBD is the aboveground biomass density (in kilograms per
input data from PlanetScope were augmented by random cropping,           square meter), H is the average canopy height for woody vegetation
flipping, and brightness distortion and then normalized channel-         taller than 1.3 m for the NFI plot area from the aerial CHM, α and β
wise based on training dataset statistics before feeding into the        are the regression coefficients, and ɛ is normally distributed error
model. We used the focal Tversky loss (53) as loss function for          term with zero mean and standard deviation σ, that is, ɛ ~ N (0,
the segmentation model, and the alpha and beta parameters in             σ2). When back-transforming Eq. 1, we corrected for logarithmic
the Tversky index (54) penalizing false positives and false negatives    bias using the Baskerville correction (58).
were set to 0.4 and 0.6, respectively. The focal parameter was set to        Plot-level biomass data were from the Danish NFI (n = 11,296)
1.2, which incentivizes the model to focus on harder examples            collected between 2012 and 2021 (31). Each plot was a circle with a
(when the Tversky index < 0.5), especially for the cases where scat-     radius of 15 m, where averaged tree height, estimated aboveground
showed a reasonable performance with a relative low bias (averaged                                                                                                      model performance varied across biomes and canopy height
R 2 = 0.62, bias = −8.7%, and RMSE = 5.43 kg/m2).                                                                                                                       ranges yet was closely related to the data distribution (Fig. 2B). In
    Plot-level aboveground biomass in kg was then estimated as                                                                                                          general, the model did not show a considerable saturation for taller
                                                                                                                                                                        canopies, yielding an RMSE of 5.4 m and an mean absolute error of
                                            AGB ¼ ðTCP=100Þ � 900 � AGBD                                                                                          ð6Þ   4.2 m. We found similar metrics as for the segmentation across
where TCP is predicted tree cover percentage aggregated in 30 m–                                                                                                        biomes at plot-level evaluation, with R 2 = 0.82, bias = −2.4%, and
by–30 m resolution (rasterized NFI plot size). AGBD is obtained                                                                                                         rRMSE = 17.9% for the boreal zone; R 2 = 0.9, bias = −1.6%, and
from Eqs. 2 to 5 according to the dominant forest type within the                                                                                                       rRMSE = 14.5% for the temperate zone; and R 2 = 0.45, bias =
plot area. The aboveground biomass at 30-m resolution was lastly                                                                                                        −20.1%, and rRMSE = 35.4% for the Mediterranean zone (fig.
aggregated to the hectare level, containing both forest and non-                                                                                                        S2D). All slopes below the diagonal line indicated a slight underes-
forest information (Fig. 4).                                                                                                                                            timation, consistent with the pixel-level evaluation (Fig. 2A). As for
                                                                                                                                                                        trees outside forests, we obtained a bias of −1.6% and rRMSE of
Evaluation                                                                                                                                                              26.4% (fig. S3A). We further evaluated our top height estimation
We randomly selected 10% of the CHM dataset (10,000 1 km–by–1                                                                                                           with field measured plot scale height from Danish NFI data (n =
km samples) as independent test dataset, which was not used for                                                                                                         3451) (fig. S7B), showing an underestimation bias of 9%.
training and to optimize the model parameters during training,                                                                                                          North America
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Science and Technology (FCT) through a CEEC contract (CEECIND/02576/2002). Author                            study: Canopy height, cover, and biomass maps across Europe have been deposited in the
contributions: M.B., R.F., and S. Liu designed the study. M.B. prepared and processed the aerial             Zenodo database and are available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8154445. Links to
LiDAR CHM data. T.N.-L. provided Danish NFI data. A.P. and J.G.-H. provided Spanish NFI data.                download the open LiDAR data can be found under https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
F.R. and X.T. developed the code for the PlanetScope imagery generation pipeline. J.C. designed              repository/bitstream/JRC126223/jrc126223_jrc126223_lidaropensourcedata.pdf. The code for
the biomass allometry, implemented by S. Liu, N.L., C.I., S. Li, M.M. S. Liu wrote the code for the          tree segmentation and height regression is built on publicly open-source framework
deep learning framework, supported by F.R., S. Li, and Z.C. Interpretations were done by M.B.,               Segmentation Models PyTorch, available at https://github.com/qubvel/segmentation_models.
S. Liu, N.L., P.C., J.C., C.I., S.S., Y.Y., R.F., and S. Liu conducted the analyses. S. Liu and M.B. wrote   pytorch. Custom code is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8156190.
the first manuscript draft with contributions by all authors. S. Liu designed the figures.
Competing interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Data and                     Submitted 1 March 2023
materials availability: All data needed to evaluate the conclusions in the paper are present in              Accepted 15 August 2023
the paper and/or the Supplementary Materials. PlanetScope imagery was purchased via a                        Published 15 September 2023
departmental license, and the images cannot be distributed. Derived products produced in this                10.1126/sciadv.adh4097
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