Valuation Handbook
Valuation Handbook
HANDBOOK
                                                                                      Choose                    Perform                                                                                                                 Consider
  PROCESS
                                          Define the                                                                                         Adjsut                    Determine                      Appply                                                                          Sensitivity
                                                                  Gather info        valuation                  financial                                                                                                              additional
                                           prupose                                                                                         financials                 discount rate                 mehtodology                                                                        analysis
                                                                                      method                    analysis                                                                                                                 factors
 Risk-free rate
 Equity risk premium
                                      2.0%
                                     4.72%
                                                                                           11 VALUATION METHODS                                                                                                           1.               Price-to-Earnings (P/E)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Ratio
   Unlevered industry Beta
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.               Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio
                                      0.81
   Gearing (ND / E)                  56.4%                                                                                                                                                                                3.               Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio
   Relevered industry beta                1.15                                                                                                                                                                            4.               Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA
Sub-total                                7.4%       1. Discounted cash flow method               1. Valuation by multiple method                              1. Net book value method                                                     Ratio
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          5.               Price-to-Cash Flow (P/CF)
 Size premium                            0.5%                                                                                                                                                                                              Ratio
 Country risk premium                    0.5%       2. Capitalization of earnings                2. Market price method                                       2. Replacement cost method
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          6.               Dividend Yield
 Specific risk premium                   0.7%          method
                                                                                                 3. Comparable companies                                      3. Reproduction cost method
Cost of equity                           9.1%
                                                    3. Excess Earnings Method                       method
 Cost of debt pre tax                3.58%
Cost of debt pre tax                  3.6%          4. Relief from royalty method                4. Precedent transaction method
 Corporate tax rate                 25.50%
WACC                                     6.8%
                                                        Financial history              Selling the product                             Sales channels                               Overall business
        WACC=Ke* E/(D+E)+Kd*
                                                       without anomalies                across the globe                               diversification                               sustainability
             D/(D+E)
                                                    Amount and trending                 Total addressable                        Level and trending in                                 Innovative                                         TERMINAL VALUE
   Ke – Cost of equity                                of net income                      market trending                               churn rate                                   technology use
   E (Equity) – the market value of
   equity
   Kd (Cost of debt after tax) – gross                      Revenue                       Industry entry                              Sales stability and                        Ability for workforce                                                    CFn * (1 + g)
   cost of debt minus tax savings                        transferability                     barriers                                     scalability                                replacement                                   TV =
   D (Debt) – the market value of                                                                                                                                                                                                                          (WACC – g)
   debt                                             Predictability of cash               Macroeconomic                           Intellectual property                              Key personnel
   D+E – enterprise value
                                                            flows                            factors                                protection level                                  expertise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   •       TV – Undiscounted Terminal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Value
            Free cash flow                                                                          DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS                                                                                                          •       CFn – Cash Flow in the last
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           year of projections
   EBIT + Tax + Non-cash items add                                                                                                                                                                                                 •       g – growth rate
                                                 Discounted Cash Flows                      2024 2025      2026     2027     2028          Valuation
   backs +(-) NWC change - CAPEX                                                                                                                                                                                                   •       WACC – discount rate
                                                 EBIT                                      1,938 1,589     1,655    2,019    2,372         Cumulated DCF                                                  4,859
                                                   Tax                                     (286) (232)     (241)    (295)    (346)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   •       n – number of periods for
                                                                                                                                           Terminal Value                                                14,507
                                                   Non-cash items added back                  317    549     692       514     527                                                                                                         projections
                                                                                                                                           Discounted Terminal Value                                      8,796
                                                   Net Working capital adjustments        (1,193) (169)     (215)   (240)    (272)         DCF value of operations                                       13,656
      Discounted cash flow                         CAPEX adjustments                       (750) (1,050)   (450)     (150)    (150)        Non-operating assets adjustments                               1,379
                                                 Free Cash Flow                                27    687   1,440    1,849     2,131
                                                   Discount factor - DF                     1.105 1.222    1.350    1.492    1.649
                                                                                                                                           Enterprise value
                                                                                                                                              Financial liabilities
                                                                                                                                                                                                         15,035
                                                                                                                                                                                                          (700)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
   DCF = (CF/(1+r) ) + (CF/(1+r) ) +             DCF                                           24    563   1,067    1,239    1,292         Interest bearing debt                                          (700)
   (CF/(1+r) )
                                                                                                                                           Debt equivalents                                                (165)          13,286       0.00%    0.50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Long term CF growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1.00%     1.50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2.00%    2.50%    3.00%     3.50%
                                                                                                                                           Hybrid claims and non controlling interests                                     4.52%       35,723   39,653     44,698    51,411     60,784    74,787   97,978   143,810
                                                                                                 PROJECT EVALUATION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          14.52%        7,732    7,886      8,052     8,231       8,423    8,632    8,859     9,106
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          15.52%        7,077    7,202      7,335     7,478       7,631    7,796    7,974     8,168
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          16.52%        6,518    6,619      6,728     6,843       6,966    7,098    7,240     7,393
        Discounting factor
                                                 NPV                                        2025        2026         2027         2028        2029          2030         2031        2032        2033 Terminal                                                EVA
   DF = (1+ DR)
                                                    Total inflow                          300,000     330,000     363,000      399,300      439,230       483,153      531,468     584,615     643,077 2,450,303
   DR – discounted rate                             Discount factor                        1.2070      1.3260      1.4568       1.6005       1.7583        1.9317       2.1222      2.3315      2.5615    2.8141
   n = projection year – starting year           Present value of total inflow            248,556     248,867     249,179      249,492      249,804       250,118      250,431     250,745     251,059 870,732               EVA = NOPAT - (Invested Capital
                                                    Total outflow                       (407,225)   (227,685)   (250,191)    (274,948)    (302,180)     (332,135)    (365,086)   (401,333)   (441,203)         0             * WACC)
                                                    Discount factor                        1.2070      1.3260      1.4568       1.6005       1.7583        1.9317       2.1222      2.3315      2.5615    2.8141             NOPAT – net operating profit
                                                 Present value of total outflow         (337,394)   (171,707)   (171,742)    (171,793)    (171,860)     (171,939)    (172,031)   (172,134)   (172,247)         0             after tax