Does money have real effect on the economy if you control for fiscal policy?
The data Shown below on Economic Indicator Real GDP from the website of the Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Monetary policy; Interest rates data drawn from Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis website. The data consist of monthly data for 20 years that is from
the year 2003 to 2023. The overall relationship that can be seen from the data below is that
when interest rates tend to decrease real GDP over time increases this implying an inverse
correlation. I may also incorporate Money Supply (M1), to study how variations in the money
supply affect economic indicators while controlling for fiscal policy. This can also be
assessed by developing a regression model to model the relationship between Economic
indicators and monetary policies.
                                                                                              REAL GDP (Billion $)
 25000.000
 20000.000
 15000.000
 10000.000
  5000.000
     0.000
                                                                                                                     2009-09-01
             2003-01-01
                          2003-11-01
                                       2004-09-01
                                                    2005-07-01
                                                                 2006-05-01
                                                                              2007-03-01
                                                                                           2008-01-01
                                                                                                        2008-11-01
                                                                                                                                  2010-07-01
                                                                                                                                               2011-05-01
                                                                                                                                                            2012-03-01
                                                                                                                                                                         2013-01-01
                                                                                                                                                                                      2013-11-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2014-09-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                2015-07-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2016-05-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2017-03-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2018-01-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2018-11-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2019-09-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2020-07-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2021-05-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2022-03-01
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2023-01-01
                                                                       0
                                                                           0.2
                                                                                 0.4
                                                                                       0.6
                                                                                             0.8
                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                       1.2
                                                         -0.4
                                                                -0.2
                                            2003-01-01
                                            2003-12-01
                                            2004-11-01
                                            2005-10-01
                                            2006-09-01
                                            2007-08-01
                                            2008-07-01
                                            2009-06-01
                                            2010-05-01
                                            2011-04-01
                                            2012-03-01
Data source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/
                                            2013-02-01
                                            2014-01-01
                                            2014-12-01
                                                                                                             Interest rate (%)
                                            2015-11-01
                                            2016-10-01
                                            2017-09-01
                                            2018-08-01
                                            2019-07-01
                                            2020-06-01
                                            2021-05-01
                                            2022-04-01
                                            2023-03-01