Income Determination
Income Determination
Income Determination
and Multiplier
(O)
LEARNING O BJECTIVES
O EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
DETERMINATION OF
8.1
8.2 EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
MULTIPLIER
CONCEPT OF INVESTMENT
8.3
84 SOLVED PRACTICALS
LEVEL
DETERMINATIONOF EQUILIBRIUM generally stated in terms of
8.1 condition is
the Keynesian Theory, equilibrium in equilibrium uhen aggregate
According to supply (AS). An economy is
aggrezaie demand (AD) and aggregate toaggregate supply during a period of time.
iemandforgoods and seroices isequal
when: ...(1)
50, equilibrium is achieved
AD = AS
Consumption (C) and Investment (I):
We kssw, AD is the sum total of ...(2)
AD=C+I
saving (S):
Also, AS is the sum total of consumption (C) and ..(3)
AS =C+S
Substituting (2) and (3) in (1), we get:
C+S=C +I
S=I
equilibrium
*Ters, acording to Keynes, there are Two Approaches for determining the
ie of incme and employment in the economy.
Imust be noted that Equilibrium level of income and employment can also be determined according to
Classial Theory. H
However, the scope of syllabus is limited to the Keynesian theory.
8.1
inf Itis
arenot is output analysis. is
economy i.e. of income.
ex-ante of & level
Curve
nogovernment AS C+S 100200 300
and Approach) made in context investments Approach) income, 400 500 600
total AS
determination
or an the thecan
national me
planned the short-run.in the of saved,income
assumptions of AD C+I80 160240320
Approach 400 480560
(AD-AS in income
(AD-AS tocomponents:
level independent the
income, all is i.e.
studied equal or of
there
autonomous, the of consumed
are of of income
services level AS Investment
Investment context level is and (0) 40 40 40 40 40 40
Level Approach Approach with diagram: 40
of variousbe that curve
two equilibrium
AD
level Approach) to assumed directlybe
equilibrium the
andeither by
Equilibrium is is in
constant. C+Iof to in Equilibrium
equilibrium and the outputexpendituredetermined comprisesassumedcurve goods and
Saving -40-20
(S) 0 20 40 60 80
Supply Supply autonomous.
Saving state is by varies is of
schedule
(S-I equilibrium
it remain (C+I)of received
determination
first means, therepresented 8.1:Consumption
of Demand-Aggregate
Aggregate
1. theory,demand is output
determineApproach
Determination AS, investmentbe Demand-Aggregate It
(C):income.
us It by Table (C) 40 120200280 360 440520
AD, to to (I): is income following
let It total
that of (households
firms).
further,determination
is
assumed Keynesianexpenditure
Aggregate
represented
expenditure
expenditure
Saving-Investment
mind income.output demand, in the The
to that increase the Income
is the (Y) 100 200 300 400 500 600
for approaches in output: & assumed Equilibrium
equilibrium is supply
Sincecurve.
kept proceed of level Consumption is
theaggregate of
Approaches level AS). investment
Investmnent help Employment
to with curve line.
Price Aggregate
economy
are: be Assumptions (C+S)
must we The Itis by According
or Aggregate (Lakhs)
two Supplyrises AD 45° the 10 20 30 40 50 60
Before (i)
It (ii) (iii)(iv) when thewith
8.2 Two So,a
2. by by
Income Determination and Multiplier 8.3
Chapter 8
shOws the
In Fig. 8.1, the AD or (C + I) curve
desired level of expenditure by consumers and (AD)
Demand
Aggregate
incomne. The
firms corresponding to each level of
economy is in equilibrium at point 'E' where Equilibrium
(C+ ) curve intersects the 45" line. (AD = AS)
AD (or C+I)
" E is the equilibrium point because at this point,
the level of desired spending on consumption M
and investmentexactly equals the level of total Equilibrium level
output. 45° of Income
" OY is the equilibrium level of output Y
corresponding to point E. Income / Output / Employment
To clear the unwanted increase in inventory, firms would plan to reduce the production till
become equal to each other.
saving and investment
Investment
When Saving is less than
less than planned investment, i.e. before point 'E' in Fig. 8.2, it means that
If planned savingis
bouseholds are consuming more and saving less than what the firms expected them to. As a
desired level.
result, planned inventory would fall below the production
To bring the inventory back to the desired level, firms would plan to increase the
other.
ll saving and investment become equal to each
8.2 EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
always at full
According to the classical economists, equilibrium level of income is attained
per the
employment level, i.e. there is absence of involuntary unemployment. However, as
achieved at:
Keynesian theory,equilibrium level can be
() Full employment level; or
(i) Underemployment level, i.e. less than fullemployment level; or
level.
(üi) Over full employment level, i.e. more than full employment
level.
Let us discuss the three possibilities of equilibrium
Full Employment Equilibrium
+1)
It refers to a situation when the aggregate (C
demand is equal to the aggregate supply at full Demand Full Employment
Equilibrium
employment level. AD (or C+I)
" In Fig. 8.3, E is the full employment Aggregate
equilibrium because aggregate demand
"EQ' is equal to full employment level of
output OQ.
45°)
"At OQ level of output, all those who are
X
Q
willing to work at the prevailing wage rate, Income / Output/ Employment
AD (Full Ernpicyrey
employ
Point'G signifies the over yment level.
full employment
equilibrium. 45°
Ful Ernployment
Equilibrium
Income /Output /
Fig. 8.5Employment
Over Full Employment
Equilibrium creates Inflationary Pressure
Over Full
Employment Equilibrium signifes that planned expenditure(
(AS)at a level higher than full employment level. (AD)is equalto
However, in reality, actual output
cannot increase beyond this planned outor
employment and there is no idle level as
So, any increase in AD capacity. economy is already at hud
(i.e. inflation) and there beyond the ful
will be no real employment output, will lead to
increase in output. increase in general price leve
Short-run Fixed Price Analysis of Product
In the Market
short-run, prices
as producers try to take some time to respond to thhe forces of
update their production plans in the excess supply or demz
excess supply, firms plan to mean time. For instance, in cy
inventory. Also, an individualproduce less in the next cycle in
order to avoid
position to influence the marketfirmpriceis very small in relation to entire marketaccumulaticr:
and is not.
As a result, an
individual firm has to
remains constant and it changes only acÒept the price that prevails in the
excess demand or supply. So, it is when the economy is unable to market.thePrice :
in the long-run. assumed that prices remain constant eliminate in short-run and të
ett
In order to derive
aggregate demand under fixed price of final goods (i.e. in the short-run
to be assumed that elasticity of
supply is infinite, ie. _uppliers are willing to supy
amount consumers will demand atthe
given a
'assumption hez
if quantity supplied exceeds or falls short constant price. It isa necessary
of
change because of excess supply or demand. So,quantity dèmanded
when aggregate supplyaty(AS)
thisisprice,
assumedtrentolea
equilibrium is solely determined by aggregate demand (AD), We cll it 'Effective Demand Pinay%
Effective Demand refers to the total demand of the community which is met by correspondngS
Determnination of Equilibrium Output under Fixed Price Model byag
Under 'Fixed Price Model', the equilibrium output of final goods is determined solelv
demand (AD).
Investment ().
In a two-sector model, AD is afunction of Consumption (C) and
Chapter8 Income Determination and Multiplier 8.7
ofthËsincreased
income on consumption. However, the amount of increased income
apart
spenton consumption
depends on the value of MPC.
o99e of higher MPC, people will spend a large proportion of their increased income on
Consumption. In such case, value of multiplier will be more.
low MPC, people will spend lesser proportion of their increased income on
" In case of
consumption. In such case, value of multiplier will be comparatively less.
Thus, the value of multiplier depends upon the MPC (refer Table 8.3).
k MPC
Multiplier (k) in terms of MPS
1
We know, k=:
(1- MPC)
We alsoknow, 1 - MPC= MPS
So k=
MPS
1
AY k=: k=
k= 1- MPC MPS
0.80
0.20
1-075
5 1
0.90 1-0.80
1
0.10
10- 1-0.90
It is clear from 1
Table 8.3, that multiplier is 1-1)
Maximum Value of directly related to MPC and
The maximum valueMultiplier inversely related to\%
of
that the multiplier is infinity
economny decides to consume the whole when the value of MPC is 1.
of the MPC =1 indicza
additional income is saved. It will lead toofaits additional income. Here, not even at
expenditure
Proof:
and value of
multiplier will be infinity. continuous increase in the consumpixt
We know; k= 1
1- MPC
When MPC= 1, then:
k 1 1
1-1 (as any number, when divided by 0, gires mt
Minimum Value of Multiplier
The minimum value of
multiplier is one when the value of MPC is zero.
that the economy decides to save the whole of its MPC =0 2
additional spert
income and aresult,is thetre
consumption expenditure. So,there will be nofurther increase in income. Asnothing
increase in income (AY) will be equal to the increase in investment (AI), i.e.,,AY= Al. Here
value of multiplier is equal to 1.
1
Proof: We know; k =
1- MPC
When MPC = 0, then:
1 1
k = = 1
1-0 1
Chapter&
Income Determination and Multiplier 8.11
MPC= 0.90
anexample.
additional investment of 100
Suppose, Second Round 790Crores
" aflyover. This
rores (Al) is made to construct income
Increase in Income (90% of 100crores)
an extra
Pxtrainvestment Willgenerate MPC= 0.90
But this is not the
of 100crores in the firstround.
Third Round 781 Crores
end of the story. (90% of 90 crores)
recipients
. JF MPC is assumed to be 0.90, then
Increase in Income
100 crores
81 crores
(0.9) x100 crores
72.90 crores (0.9) x100 crores
+
765.61 crores (0.9) x?100 crores
investment decreases by 20 crores. With MPC = 0.5 and k=1/(1- MPC) = 2, there will be net
reswtion in income to the extent of 40 crores. Higher the MPC, greater the value of multiplier and
Qreater the cumulative decline in income. The multiplier is, thus, symmetric and works in both directions
tonnard anddtbackward), ie.iitis adouble -edged weapon.
8.4SOLVED PRACTICALS
1- MPC MPS
2. AD = C+|
+S
3 Y(or AS) = C =|
AD = AS or S
4 Equilibrium is achieved when
5. C=T+ b(Y)
6 S=-+ Y(1 - b)
{C= Autonomous Consumption; b = MPC; and (1 -b)= MPS)
Practicals on Investment Multiplier
0.75; (ii) 0.90.
Example 1. Calculate multiplier if MPC is: (i)
Solution:
1 1 1
-= 4
n Multiplier (K) =1- MPC 1-0.75 0.25
1 1 -= 10
0) Multiplier (k) = 1- MPC 1-0.90 0.10
MPC 0.75
MPS 1-MPC 1-07S
MPS 0.25
Ans. MPC = 0.75; MPS =0.25
Example 4. in an economy, the marginal propensityto Consurne is 02. 1fths invetrnt int
increase in income.
by ? 1,000 crores, calculate the total
Solution:
1 1
Multiplier (k) = 1 MPC 1-0.80 0.20
Solution:
(MPC) and marginal propensity to save (MPS) signifies:
Ratio of 3:1 between marginal propensity to consume
1 or 0.25.
3
MPC =or 0.75 and MPS =
4
1
= 4
Multiplier (k) = MPS 0.25
in CBSE
D: and
nationa 167=1-1
= corS 1+MS Mughe
15UE