School         Tucdao National High School         Grade Level       11
Teacher        Sung Shin Woong-ill A. Cipriano     Learning Area     Statistics and
                                                                     Probability
Time & Date    10:30-11:30 am Feb. 12, 2024        Quarter           3rd
I. OBJECTIVES
    A. Content Standards               The learner demonstrates understanding of
                                       key concepts of random variables and
                                       probability distributions.
   B. Performance Standards            The learner is able to apply an appropriate
                                       random variable for a given real-life
                                       problem (such as in
                                       decision making and games of chance).
   C. Learning Competencies            Constructs the probability mass function of
                                       a discrete random variable and its
                                       corresponding histogram. M11/12SP-IIIa-5
II. CONTENT                            Random Variables and Probability
                                       Distributions
III. LEARNING RESOURCES
     A. References
        1. Teacher’s Guide pages       Commission on Higher Education.
                                       (2016).Teaching Guide for Senior High
                                       School Statistics and Probability. (pp. 120-
                                       124)
      2. Learner’s Material pages      Department of Education. (2020). Learner’s
                                       Material Statistics and Probability. (1st Ed).
                                       pp. 49-51
      3. Textbook pages                Rohatgi, V. K., & Saleh, E. A.K. (2001). An
                                       Introduction to Probability and Statistics (2nd
                                       Ed.). A Winey-Interscience Publication. (pp.
                                       52-55.)
                                       De Veau, R. D., Velleman, P. F., and Bock,
                                       D. E. (2006). Intro Stats. Pearson Ed. Inc.
                                       Workbooks in Statistics 1: 11th Edition,
                                       Institute of Statistics, UP Los Baños,
                                       College
                                       Laguna 4031
       4. Additional Materials from    NONE
          Learning Resource (LR)
          Portal
    B. Other Learning Resources        Two Coins, One Die
IV. PROCEDURE
    A. Review                          Routine
                                           Prayer
                                           Checking of attendance
                                           Checking of assignment if there is
                   Typography Legend:
                   Teacher’s statements are in Italic.
                   Learner’s response is in BOLD.
                Review
                Lesson from Previous Grading Period
                    How do you denote the probability of
                      event X happening? “P(X)”
                    How do you denote the probability of
                      event X NOT happening? “P(X’)”
                    How do you denote the probability of
                       event X OR Y happening? “P(X ∪
                       Y)”
                      How do you denote the probability of
                       event X AND Y happening? “P(X     ∪
                       Y)”
                Lesson from Previous Session
                    How do you draw a bar chart?
                “To draw a bar chart:
                   1. Determine how many bars you
                      need based on your data set.
                   2. Choose a scale for your bars.
                   3. Sketch out rough outlines for the
                      bars and label them.
                   4. Use a ruler to ensure the bars are
                      straight and even in width.”
                Excellent.
B. Motivation
                Imagine you are at the gate of Tucdao
                National High School and you ask a
                motorcycle driver how much is the fare to
                (A) Anywhere in Tucdao, Kawayan, Biliran
                (P10)
                (B) Anywhere in Brgy. San Lorenzo (P15)
                (C) Anywhere in Brgy. Inasuyan. (P20)
                (D) Anywhere in Sitio Tubig (P20)
                (E) Anywhere in Brgy. Salvacion (P40)
                It seems that you are experienced in
                travelling the area.
                Now, how can you better represent such
                distribution of fares?
C. Activity   Observe the following tables, histograms,
              and functions.
              Table 1. Outcome of flipping one coin
               Coin Flip           Heads         Tails
               Outcome
               (x)
               Probability         1/2           1/2
               (X=x)
              Histogram
                         Probability
                              1/2
                               0
                                                 Tails
                                         Heads    Tails
                                            Outcome
              Probability Mass Function:
                                   ½ if x = Heads, Tails
              P(X=x) =             0, otherwise
              Table 2. Outcome of rolling a die
              .
                Die Roll   1   2      3     4   5          6
                (y)
                Probabilit 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/                  1/
                y (X=y)    6   6      6     6   6          6
              Histogram
                 6/6
                 5/6
                Probability
                 4/6
                 3/6
                 2/6
                  1/6
                    0
                              1     2    3   4  5     6
                                        Outcome
              Probability Mass Function:
                               1/6 if y = 1, 2, 3,
              P(X=y) =              4, 5, 6
                                   0, otherwise
              Table 3. Outcome of flipping two coins
              simultaneously
               Flip Two           HT          H&T         TT
               Coins
               Probabilit         1/4         2/4         1/4
               y
               (X=z)
              Histogram:
                Probability
                  4/4
                  3/4
                  2/4
                 1/4
                   0
                              HH        H&T         TT
                                        Outcome
              Probability Mass Function:
                               1/4 if z = HH, TT
              P(X=z) =         2/4 if z = H & T
                               0, otherwise
D. Analysis       These are the questions for Table 1.
                        1. Why is the probability of heads in
                        a coin flip equal to 1/2? (Because in
                        a coin flip, heads can only happen
                        once out of the two possible
                        outcomes.)
                        2. Why is the probability of a tails in
                        a coin flip equal to 1/2? (Because in
                        a coin flip, tails can only happen
                        once out of the two possible
                        outcomes.)
                        3. Note the part of a Probability
   Mass Function(PMF) that says
   “P(X=x) is ½ if x = Heads, Tails”.
   What does it mean? (It means that
   the probability is ½ for an
   outcome of heads in a coin flip, so
   as with tails.)
5. Note the part of a Probability Mass
   Function(PMF) that says “P(X=x) is
   0, otherwise. What does it mean? (It
   means that the outcome other
   than Heads, or Tails in a coin flip
   is zero.)
 These are the questions for Table 2.
   1. Why is the probability of an
   outcome in a die roll equal to 1/6?
   (Because in a die roll, there is only
   one outcome out of six possible
   outcomes.)
   2. Note the part of a Probability
   Mass Function(PMF) that says
   “P(X=y) is 1/6 if x = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or
   6”. What does it mean? (It means
   that the probability is 1/6 any side
   outcome of a die roll.)
   3. Note the part of a Probability
   Mass       Function(PMF) that says
   “P(X=x) is 0, otherwise. What does it
   mean? (It means that the outcome
   other than 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 in a die
   roll is zero.)
 These are the questions for Table 3.
   1. Why is the probability of an
   outcome of HH, or TT in flipping two
   coins simultaneously equal to 1/4?
   (Because each outcome can only
   occur once in flipping two coins
   simultaneously.)
   2. Why is the probability of an
   outcome of H & T in flipping two
   coins simultaneously equal to 2/4?
   (Because the outcome H & T can
   occur twice in flipping two coins
   simultaneously.)
   3. Note the part of a Probability
   Mass      Function(PMF) that says
   “P(X=x) is 0, otherwise. What does it
   mean? (It means that the outcome
   other than 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 in a die
                                  roll is zero.)
                                  Last meeting, we made bar graphs.
                                  What is the difference between bar
                                  graphs and histograms? (There are
                                  two key differences. One is for
                                  histograms; consecutive bars
                                  have no spaces. And second, the
                                  lower and left part of the axis is
                                  starts with zero.)
                                  Good observation.
E. Abstraction                1. How do you construct a histogram of
                                 a discrete random variable? (First,
                                 understand       the    data   and
                                 determine a suitable bin width.
                                 Then, organize the data into bin
                                 ranges and frequencies. Next,
                                 label the axes and write the title.
                                 Finally, plot the histogram)
                              2. How do you construct the probability
                                 mass function of a discrete random
                                 variable? (First, determine the
                                 possible       outcomes.        Then,
                                 calculate their probabilities, Next,
                                 group outcomes with similar
                                 probabilities. Finally, write them in
                                 function form.)
F. Application             In the game monopoly, two dice are rolled
                           simultaneously.
                           Create a table for the possible outcomes of
                           rolling two dice simultaneously.
                           Next, construct a histogram to represent the
                           probability of outcomes.
                           Finally, construct a Probability Mass
                           Function (PMF) to represent the probability
                           of outcomes.
G. Assessment/Evaluation   There is a local game called “hantak” where
                           players flip three coins simultaneously.
                           (Optional: Create a table of probabilities for
                           flipping three coins simultaneously.)
                           Construct a histogram to represent the
                           probability of outcomes. (10 pts, -1 pt. for
                           each incorrect part)
                           Then, Probability Mass Function (PMF) to
                                          represent the probability of the outcomes.
                                          (5 pts, -1 pt. for each incorrect part.)
   H. Assignment/Additional Activities    Read about computing probabilities
                                          corresponding to a given random variable.
V. Remarks
VI. Reflection
   A. No. of learners who earned 80%
      on the formative assessment
   B. No. of Learners who require
      additional activities for
      afaqbhfafabaqbfaff1fremediation
      .
   C. Did the remedial lessons work?
      No. of learners who have caught
      up with the lesson.
   D. No. of learners who continue to
      require remediation
   E. Which of my teaching strategies
      worked well? Why did these
      work?
   F. What difficulties did I encounter
      which my principal or supervisor
      can help me solve?
   G. What innovation or localized
      materials did I use/discover
      which I wish to share with other
      teachers?