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The term ‘biodiversity’ is a simple contraction of ‘biological diversity’, and at first sight the concept is simple
too: biodiversity is the sum total of all biotic variation from the level of genes to ecosystems. The challenge
comes in measuring such a broad concept in ways that are useful. We show that, although biodiversity can
never be fully captured by a single number, study of particular facets has led to rapid, exciting and
sometimes alarming discoveries. Phylogenetic and temporal analyses are shedding light on the ecological
and evolutionary processes that have shaped current biodiversity. There is no doubt that humans are now
destroying this diversity at an alarming rate. A vital question now being tackled is how badly this loss affects
ecosystem functioning. Although current research efforts are impressive, they are tiny in comparison to the
amount of unknown diversity and the urgency and importance of the task.
T
          o proceed very far with the study of biodiversity,                     and no single number can incorporate them both without
          we need to pin the concept down. We cannot                             loss of information. This should not be disappointing;
          even begin to look at how biodiversity is                              indeed we should probably be relieved that the variety
          distributed, or how fast it is disappearing,                           of life cannot be expressed along a single dimension.
          unless we can put units on it. However, any                            Rather, different facets of biodiversity can each be
attempt to measure biodiversity quickly runs into the                            quantified (Box 1).
problem that it is a fundamentally multidimensional                                  Knowing the diversity (however measured) of one place,
concept: it cannot be reduced sensibly to a single                               group or time is in itself more-or-less useless. But, as we shall
number1,2. A simple illustration can show this. Figure 1                         discuss later, comparable measurements of diversity from
shows samples from the insect fauna in each of two                               multiple places, groups or times can help us to answer
habitats. Which sample is more diverse? At first sight it                        crucial questions about how the diversity arose and how we
must be sample A, because it contains three species to                           might best act to maintain it. We shall see also how the
sample B’s two. But sample B is more diverse in that there                        usefulness of the answers depends critically on the selection
is less chance in sample B that two randomly chosen                              of an appropriate diversity measure. No single measure will
individuals will be of the same species. Neither of these                        always be appropriate (indeed, for some conservation ques-
measures of diversity is ‘wrong’ — species richness and                          tions, no single measure can probably ever be appropriate).
evenness are two (among many) of biodiversity’s facets,                          The choice of a good measure is complicated by the frequent
Sample A Sample B
Figure 1 Two samples of insects from different locations, illustrating two of the many different measures of diversity: species richness and species evenness.
Sample A could be described as being the more diverse as it contains three species to sample B’s two. But there is less chance in sample B than in sample A
that two randomly chosen individuals will be of the same species.
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Box 1
Parts of the whole: numbers, evenness and difference
need to use surrogates for the aspect in which we are most interest-           below the surface; these subsurface lithoautotrophic microbial
ed3,4. Surrogacy is a pragmatic response to the frightening ignorance          ecosystems (termed SLiMEs) may have persisted for millions of years
about what is out there. Some recent discoveries highlight just how            without any carbon from the surface10. Controversy surrounds
much we probably still do not know.                                            another proposed discovery: whether or not the 100-nm-diameter
                                                                               nanobacteria found in, among other places, kidney stones are living
The growing biosphere                                                          organisms11. At an even smaller scale, genomes provide fossils
Technological advances and the sense of urgency imparted by the rate           that indicate great past retroviral diversity12. Genomes have also
of habitat loss are combining to yield discoveries at an incredible rate.      been found to provide habitats for many kinds of genetic entity —
This may seem surprising, given that expedition accounts of natural            transposable elements — that can move around and replicate
historians from the 18th and 19th centuries conjure up images of dis-          themselves. Such elements can provide important genetic variation
covery on a grand scale that seemingly cannot be matched today —               to their hosts, can make up more than half of the host’s genome13, and
look in the rocks … a new fossil mammal; look in the lake … a new              have life histories of their own14.
fish genus; look on the dinner plate … a new species of bird. Finding              There are two other ways in which the biosphere can perhaps be
new large vertebrates nowadays is indeed newsworthy, but a new                 said to be growing. The first is that the rate at which taxonomists split
species of large mammal is still discovered roughly every three years5         one previously recognized species into two or more exceeds the rate
and a new large vertebrate from the open ocean every five years6. And          at which they lump different species together, especially in taxa that
most organisms are much smaller than these are. An average day sees            are of particular concern to conservationists (for example,
the formal description of around 300 new species across the whole              platyrrhine primates15). Part of the reason is the growing popularity
range of life, and there is no slowdown in sight. Based on rates of dis-       of one way of delimiting species — the phylogenetic species concept
covery and geographical scaling-up, it seems that the roughly 1.75             (PSC)16 — under which taxa are separate species if they can be diag-
million described species of organism may be only around 10% of the            nosed as distinct, whether on the basis of phenotype or genotype. If
total7.                                                                        the PSC becomes widely applied — which is a controversial issue17 —
    It is not only new species that are discovered. Cycliophora and            then the numbers of ‘species’ in many groups are sure to increase
Loricifera are animal phyla (the level just below kingdom in the taxo-         greatly18 (although the amount of disparity will barely increase at all).
nomic hierarchy) that are new to science in the past 20 years8. Within             A second way in which the catalogue of diversity is growing is that
the Archaea, the discovery of new phylum-level groups proceeds at              computer databases and the Internet are making the process of infor-
the rate of more than one a month9. The physical limits of the bios-           mation gathering more truly cumulative than perhaps ever before.
phere have been pushed back by the recent discovery of microbial               Some existing sites serve to provide examples of the information
communities in sedimentary and even igneous rocks over 2 km                    already available: not just species lists (http://www.sp2000.org/), but
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                                                                                           known fossils. The palaeontological record indicates a Cambrian
                                                                                           explosion of phyla around 540 million years (Myr) ago, but
            a
                                                                                           sequences suggest a more gradual series of splits around twice as
                                                                                           old23. Likewise, many orders of mammals and birds are now thought
                                                                                           to have originated long before the end-Cretaceous extinction24,25,
                                                                                           which occurred 65 Myr ago and which was thought previously to
                                                                                           have been the signal for their radiation. If the new timescale can be
                                                                                           trusted26, these findings present a puzzle and a warning. The puzzle is
                                                                                           the absence of fossils. Why have we not found traces of these lineages
                                                                                           in their first tens or even hundreds of millions of years? It seems likely
                                                 Hominidae                                 that the animals were too small or too rare, with the sudden appear-
                                                                                           ance in the rocks corresponding to an increase in size and rise to
                                         Pongidae                                          ecological dominance27. The warning is that current biodiversity is in
            b
                                                                                           a sense greater than we had realized. Major lineages alive today
                                                                                           represent more unique evolutionary history than previously
                                                                                           suspected — history that would be lost with their extinction.
                                                 Old-World monkeys
                                                                                               Analysis of the shape of phylogenies has shown that lineages have
                                         New-World monkeys                                 differed in their potential for diversification. Darwin28 had noted that
                                                                                           species in species-rich genera had more subspecific varieties, and
                                                                                           subtaxa within taxa are often distributed very unevenly29, as Fig. 2
                melanogaster subgroup
            c
                                                                                           illustrates for eutherian species. But these taxonomic patterns can be
                                                                                           taken at face value only if taxa are comparable, which they may not be.
                                                                                           For example, species-rich groups may simply be older, and it is clear
                                                                                           that workers on different groups currently place taxonomic bound-
                                                                                           aries in very different places30 (Fig. 3). Phylogenies allow comparison
                                                                                           of sister clades — each other’s closest relatives — which by definition
                                                                                           are the same age. Time and again, species are distributed too uneven-
                                                                                           ly for simple null models to be tested in which all species have the
                                                                                           same chances of diversifying31,32.
                        genus Scaptomyza
                                                                                               What are the species-rich groups ‘doing right’? Many explana-
                                                                                           tions fall broadly into two types. Key innovation hypotheses33 posit
                   40           30          20           10           0                    the evolution of some trait that permits its bearers to gain access to
                               Millions of years ago                                       more resources or be more competitive than non-bearers. Examples
                                                                                           include phytophagy in insects34 and high reproductive rate in mam-
                                                                                           mals35. Other hypotheses focus on traits that facilitate the evolution
Figure 2 Taxonomic boundaries are not comparable among major groups. a, Fourteen           of reproductive isolation — speciation — without necessarily
species in nine genera representative of cichlid fish in Lake Victoria. b, Seven species   increasing the fitness of bearers. Sexual selection36 and range
representative of several families in anthropoid primates. c, Thirteen species             fragmentation37 are examples of this kind. These two types can be
representative of a single genus, Drosophila. Figure reproduced from ref 30, with          contrasted as ‘bigger cake’ and ‘thinner slices’ explanations,
permission.                                                                                although some traits may act in both ways (for example, body
                                                                                           size38,39); another way to split them is to view diversity as ‘demand-
                                                                                           driven’ (niches are waiting to be filled, and differentiation leads to
also maps of the geographical ranges of species (http://www.                               speciation) or ‘supply-driven’ (speciation occurs unbidden, with
gisbau.uniroma1.it/amd/homepage.html), information on conser-                              differentiation arising through character displacement). Statistical
vation status of species (http://www.wcmc.org.uk), bibliographies                          testing of many key innovation hypotheses is hampered by a lack of
(http://eteweb.lscf.ucsb.edu/bfv/bfv_form.html), data on molecular                         replication — often, the trait in question is unique, and all that can
sequence (http://www.ebi.ac.uk/ and http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/                           be done is to model the trait’s evolution to assess how well it fits the
Genbank/GenbankOverview.html), data on phylogenetic position                               scenario40. When characters have evolved multiple times in
(http://phylogeny.arizona.edu/tree/phylogeny.html and http://                              independent lineages, sister clades provide automatic matched pairs
herbaria.harvard.edu/treebase/), information on the stratigraphic                          for hypothesis testing (although other phylogenetic approaches are
range of species (http://ibs.uel.ac.uk/ibs/palaeo/benton/ and                              also available41,42). Comparing sister clades (the procedure used in
http://www.nceas.ucsb.edu/~alroy/nafmtd.html) and much more.                               most of the examples above) avoids two problems that otherwise
Although the terabytes of information already stored constitute only                       cloud the issue. First, taxa may not be comparable (Fig. 3), and
a small drop in the ocean, the next two sections show how much can                         second, they are not statistically independent — related clades
be seen in that droplet about the distribution of biodiversity among                       inherit their traits from common ancestors, so are pseudorepli-
evolutionary lineages and through time.                                                    cates43. Nonetheless, there is ongoing debate about the role and
                                                                                           limitations of phylogenetic tests for correlates of species
Learning from the tree of life                                                             richness44,45.
The ongoing explosion of phylogenetic studies not only provides an
ever-clearer snapshot of biodiversity today, but also allows us to make                    Temporal patterns in biodiversity
inferences about how the diversity has come about19–21. (For an                            Is biodiversity typically at some equilibrium level, with competi-
ecological perspective, see review by Gaston, pages 220–227.) Phylo-                       tion setting an upper limit, or do mass extinctions occur so regular-
genies give key information that is not available from species lists or                    ly that equilibrium is never reached? And, with one eye on the
taxonomies. They detail the pattern of nested relationships among                          future prospects for biodiversity, how quickly does diversity
species, and increasingly provide at least a rough timescale even                          recover from mass extinctions? Palaeontologists have addressed
without reliance on a molecular clock22. These new phylogenies are                         these questions at many scales, from local to global. For the global
pushing back the origins of many groups to long before their earliest                      view, the data come from huge compendia of stratigraphic ranges of
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                               insight review articles
taxonomic families (see, for example, refs 46, 47), led by Sepkoski’s                                                    highlights the difficulties of taking taxonomic patterns at face
ground-breaking efforts, and made possible by the development of                                                         value. Neontologists may face much the same problem with species:
computer databases. There are more families now than ever before,                                                        taxonomists tend to recognize bird lineages as species if they are
and a model of exponential growth provides a good overall fit to the                                                     older than 2.8 Myr but not if they are younger than 1.1 Myr (ref. 52),
numbers of families through time, suggesting expansion without                                                           so apparent logistic growth in species numbers through time
limit and no major role for competition in limiting diversity48. But a                                                   within bird genera53 might be expected even without a slow-down
significantly better fit is provided by a set of three logistic curves,                                                  of cladogenesis.
each with a different carrying capacity, punctuated by mass extinc-                                                          The patchy nature of the known fossil record means that some
tion events49. Leaving aside the thorny issue of multiplicity of tests                                                   taxa in some places at some times can be studied in much greater
and the big question of why the three carrying capacities are differ-                                                    detail than is possible for the biota as a whole. Studies at these
ent, there may be a perceptual problem at play here. Families do not                                                     smaller scales can analyse the record at the species level, within a
arise overnight: they are the result of speciation and a lot of time.                                                    region or biome, and can better control for problems such as incom-
Consequently, exponential growth at the species level might appear                                                       plete and uneven sampling54,55. Such studies find a range of answers:
like logistic growth at higher levels50. This problem of perception is                                                   communities may show an equilibrium diversity55,56, an increasing
a recurrent one in palaeontology. For instance, good evidence that                                                       geographical turnover57, or radiation punctuated by mass extinc-
biodiversity is often near equilibrium comes from the fact that                                                          tion58. This may be a more appropriate spatial scale at which to look
extinction events are commonly followed by higher than normal                                                            for equilibrium, as the units have a greater chance of interacting59.
rates of diversification4. However, the peak of origination rates of                                                         The temporal pattern of disparity is also of great interest. Does
genera and families is not straight after the extinction peak. Instead,                                                  difference accumulate gradually and evenly as lineages evolve their
there is a 10-Myr time-lag throughout the fossil record, implying a                                                      separate ways, or is evolutionary change more rapid early in a
lag phase before diversification occurs51. But could the same pattern                                                    group’s history, as it stakes its claim to a new niche? Information
arise if speciation rates rose immediately in response to the extinc-                                                    from living and fossil species and phylogenies can be combined with
tion, but the new lineages are given generic or familial rank only                                                       statistical models41,60,61 to answer this question, although so far rela-
after being around for some time? This scenario would predict                                                            tively little work has combined palaeontological and neontological
(incorrectly) that family diversification rates would take longer to                                                     data. Rates of morphological and taxic diversification are often
respond than generic rates, so cannot be the whole story, but it                                                         incongruent, or even uncoupled61, again highlighting that there is
                                                                         a
                                                                                         2,000
                                                                                         1,500
                                                                      Species richness
                                         b                                               1,000
                                                        1,500
500
                                                        1,000
                                     Species richness
       c                                                                                    0
                                                                                                 Rodentia
                                                                                                            Chiroptera
                                                                                                                          Insectivora
                                                                                                                                        Carnivora
                                                                                                                                                    Primates
                                                                                                                                                               Artiodactyla
                                                                                                                                                                              Cetacea
                                                                                                                                                                                        Lagomorpha
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Pinnipedia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Xenarthra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Scandentia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Perissodactyla
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Macroscelidea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Hyracoidea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Pholidota
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Sirenia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Dermoptera
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Proboscidea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Tubulidentata
60
                                                         500
                      50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Order
                      40
   Species richness
                                                           0
                                                                        Muridae
                                                                       Sciuridae
                                                                     Echimyidae
                                                                  Heteromyidae
                                                                   Ctenomyidae
                                                                     Geomyidae
                                                                      Dipodidae
                                                                         Gliridae
                                                                      Zapodidae
                                                                        Caviidae
                                                                  Dasyproctidae
                                                                   Capromyidae
                                                                     Hystricidae
                                                                   Bathyergidae
                                                                  Erethizontidae
                                                                  Octodontidae
                                                                  Anomaluridae
                                                                   Chinchillidae
                                                                Ctenodactylidae
                                                                     Castoridae
                                                                   Abrocomidae
                                                                 Thryonomyidae
                                                                   Aplodontidae
                                                                      Pedetidae
                                                                    Seleviniidae
                                                                Hydrochaeridae
                                                                    Dinomyidae
                                                                 Myocastoridae
                                                                   Petromuridae
30
20
                                                                                           Family
                      10
                                                                                                                         Figure 3 Subtaxa within taxa are often distributed unevenly. Uneven distribution of
                       0
                                                                                                                         species among: a, eutherian orders, with rodents being the dominant group; b, rodent
                                                 Genus
                                                                                                                         families, with murids being dominant; and c, murid genera. Data from ref. 95.
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Crustaceans
'Protozoa'
Insects
'Algae'
Arachnids
Nematodes
Fungi
Viruses
Bacteria
Others
more to biodiversity than numbers of taxa. At present, it is hard to           extinctions, is highly non-random73–76, with related twigs on the tree
tell under what circumstances disparity precedes, or perhaps drives,           tending to share the same fate. This selectivity greatly reduces the
species richness, and when the reverse applies. Different models can           ability of the phylogenetic hierarchy to retain structure in the face of
give very similar patterns of diversity and disparity over time60, and         a given severity of species extinction77,78.
detailed studies at smaller scale62,63 may provide the greatest chance             But how much structure is needed? Imagine if the only function of
of an answer.                                                                  this article was the transfer of information. Many of the words could
                                                                               be deleted and you would still get the message. It would (we hope) be
The shrinking biosphere                                                        less pleasant to read. Similarly, for many people we need biodiversity
What about human impacts on biodiversity? A simple calculation                 because we like it; it should be conserved just as we conserve Mozart
shows that recent rates of species losses are unsustainable. If there are      concertos and Van Gogh paintings79. But how many words could you
14 million species at present7, then each year the tree of life grows by       delete before the meaning starts to get lost? Recently, ecologists have
an extra 14 Myr of branch length. The average age of extant species is         begun asking similar questions about our environment.
nearly 5 Myr (in primates and carnivores anyway, and species in most
other groups probably tend to be older rather than younger). So the            Biodiversity and the stability and functioning of ecosystems
tree can ‘afford’ at most about three species extinctions per year             How many species can we lose before we start to affect the way ecosys-
without shrinking overall. There have been roughly this many                   tems function? Principal environmental factors such as climate, soil
documented species extinctions per year since 160064, and most                 type and disturbance80,81 strongly influence ecosystem functioning,
extinctions must have passed us by. The rate has been increasing too:          but likewise organisms can affect their environment82. Some of the
the last century saw the end of 20 mammalian species alone, a                  first ideas on how biodiversity could affect the way ecosystems
pruning of the mammalian tree that would take at least 200 centuries           function are attributable to Darwin and Wallace28,83, who stated that a
to redress.                                                                    diverse mixture of plants should be more productive than a mono-
    Estimates of current and future rates of loss make even more               culture. They also suggested the underlying biological mechanism:
sobering reading. The rate at which tropical forest — probably the             because coexisting species differ ecologically, loss of a species could
habitat for most species — is lost is about 0.8% to 2% per year65 (call        result in vacant niche-space and potential impacts on ecosystem
it 1% for the purpose of this example). We must expect about 1% of             processes. Defining ecological niches is not straightforward, but
the tropical forest populations to be lost with it, a figure that may be       Darwin and Wallace’s hypothesis, if correct, provides a general
as high as 16 million populations per year, or one every two                   biological principle which predicts that intact, diverse communities
seconds66. Most species have multiple populations, so rates of                 are generally more stable and function better than versions that have
species loss will obviously be much lower. They are most commonly              lost species. Recent experimental evidence (reviewed by Chapin et
estimated through species–area relationships65, although other                 al., pages 234–242, and McCann, pages 228–233), although pointing
approaches are used too67. Wilson68 famously used the species–area             out important exceptions, generally supports this idea. Compared
relationship to estimate an annual extinction rate of 27,000 species           with systems that have lost species, diverse plant communities often
— one species every twenty minutes. This and similar estimates have            have a greater variety of positive and complementary interactions
attracted criticism but recent work67,69,70 has shown that levels of           and so outperform any single species84,85, and have more chance of
species endangerment are rising in line with species–area predic-              having the right species in the right place at the right time. This last
tions, provided the analysis is conducted at the appropriate scale.            ‘sampling effect’ mechanism has prompted much debate on the
What are the implications of such rapid pruning for the tree of life?          design, analysis and interpretation of experiments that aim
Simulations in which species are wiped out at random71 indicate that           to manipulate biodiversity86. Although the sampling effect is
most of the phylogenetic diversity would survive even a major                  biological in part — it requires both differences between species and
extinction: up to 80% of the branch length could survive even if 95%           an ecological mechanism making some species more abundant than
of the species were lost. This result assumes extinction to befall             others — the probabilistic component (more diverse communities
species at random; scenarios of non-random extinction can have                 have a greater chance of containing a species with particular proper-
very different outcomes72. The current crisis, like previous mass              ties) has made it controversial. Nevertheless, loss of species with key
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Box 2
Plant diversity and productivity at different scales
                                                                                                                             Diversity
                          Latitudinal gradient
Productivity
                                                                                                                             Diversity
                           Biomass gradient
                                                                                                                                         Productivity
                                                                               Productivity
                                                                                                                             Diversity
                    Experimental diversity gradient
Diversity Productivity
  For plants, the relationship between diversity and productivity                             productivity increases. Experimental manipulations of plant diversity
  changes with scale107,108. At global scales (panel a in the figure                          within habitats (c) reveal that, although relationships vary, productivity
  above), from high latitudes to the tropics, plant diversity in large areas                  tends to increase with diversity owing to increasing complementary or
  may be positively related to increasing productivity. At regional scales                    positive interactions between species and the greater likelihood of
  (b), plant diversity in small plots is frequently negatively related to                     diverse communities containing a highly productive species. In
  increasing productivity, often as part of a larger unimodal ‘hump-                          manipulation experiments, biodiversity is the explanatory variable and
  shaped’ distribution of diversities. Numbers of species correlate with                      productivity the response, whereas in observational studies the
  several factors including the size and hence number of individual                           relationship is usually viewed the other way round as illustrated here
  plants sampled, spatial heterogeneity, and competitive exclusion as                         for all three cases.
traits, as in the sampling effect, is not restricted to ecological experi-          agreement and differences in experimental results. Nevertheless, this
ments: logging, fishing, trapping and other harvesting of natural                   work represents only a first general approach to the subject; many
resources frequently remove particular organisms, often including                   issues remain outstanding and other areas are as yet uninvestigated.
dominant species.                                                                   First, do these short-term and small-scale experiments in field plots
    Although 95% of experimental studies support a positive                         reveal the full effects of diversity, and how do we scale up in time and
relationship between diversity and ecosystem functioning, many                      space92? Second, although we know that local extinction is often not
have found that only 20–50% of species are needed to maintain most                  random, many recent experiments compare the performance of
biogeochemical ecosystem processes87. Do the other, apparently                      communities differing in the presence or absence of a random set of
redundant, species have a role to play over longer timescales, provid-              species. How adequate is this model? Third, how will species loss
ing insurance against environmental change? We need to know.                        interact with other components of global change such as rising CO2?
Biodiversity can also impact ecological processes such as the inci-                 Darwin and Wallace observed that niche differentiation could cause
dence of herbivory and disease, and the resistance of communities to                changing diversity to have consequences for ecosystem processes, but
invasion. Once again, although exceptions exist, in experiments                     the magnitude of these effects could depend crucially on the exact
which manipulate diversity directly, communities with more species                  mechanism of coexistence. Finally, how do we integrate these new
are often more resistant to invasion88,89, probably for the same reason             within-habitat relationships between diversity and ecosystem
that they are more productive. Diversity of one group of organisms                  processes with large-scale patterns in biodiversity and environmen-
can also promote diversity of associated groups, for example between                tal parameters, as reviewed by Gaston on pages 220–227 of this issue?
mycorrhizas and plants90 or plants and insects88.                                   Box 2 suggests one way in which the relationship between plant
    The study of the relationship between biodiversity and ecosystem                diversity and productivity could vary with scale.
processes has made rapid progress in the past decade, and is proving
an effective catalyst for linking the ecology of individuals, communi-              Challenges and prospects
ties and ecosystems. Some general, although not universal, patterns                 Recent years have seen exciting advances in our knowledge of biodi-
are emerging as theory and experiment progress together91. We have a                versity, our identification of factors that have shaped its evolution
good understanding of the underlying causes, where we see both                      and distribution, and our understanding of its importance. But we
NATURE | VOL 405 | 11 MAY 2000 | www.nature.com                © 2000 Macmillan Magazines Ltd                                                                        217
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                                                                                                                24. Bromham, L., Phillips, M. J. & Penny, D. Growing up with dinosaurs: molecular dates and the
can see only a small, probably atypical, part of the picture (Fig. 4). A                                            mammalian radiation. Trends Ecol. Evol. 14, 113–118 (1999).
detailed view is emerging of birds, mammals, angiosperms, and shal-                                             25. Cooper, A. & Penny, D. Mass survival of birds across the Cretaceous-Tertiary boundary: molecular
low-sea, hard-bodied invertebrates, but much less is known about                                                    evidence. Science 275, 1109–1113 (1997).
most of the rest of life. How far are we justified in generalizing from                                         26. Foote, M., Hunter, J. P., Janis, C. M. & Sepkoski, J. J. Evolutionary and preservational constraints on
                                                                                                                    the origins of biological groups: divergence times of eutherian mammals. Science 283, 1310–1314
the groups we know well to biodiversity as a whole? This is a crucial                                               (1999).
question, for instance in the choice of protected areas (see review by                                          27. Cooper, A. & Fortey, R. Evolutionary explosions and the phylogenetic fuse. Trends Ecol. Evol. 13,
Margules and Pressey, pp. 243–253). There is no short cut — we need                                                 151–156 (1998).
                                                                                                                28. Darwin, C. On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection (Murray, London, 1859).
more basic information about more groups; and not just species lists,                                           29. Dial, K. P. & Marzluff, J. M. Nonrandom diversification within taxonomic assemblages. Syst. Zool.
but who does what and with whom.                                                                                    38, 26–37 (1989).
    A related point is that biodiversity cannot be reduced to a single                                          30. Avise, J. C. & Johns, G. C. Proposal for a standardized temporal scheme of biological classification
number, such as species richness. This is a real problem for biologists,                                            for extant species. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 96, 7358–7363 (1999).
                                                                                                                31. Purvis, A. in New Uses for New Phylogenies (eds Harvey, P. H., Leigh Brown, A. J., Maynard Smith, J.
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