Performance
Management
         Study Text
         The Institute of Chartered
         Accountants of Nigeria
              ICAN
         Performance management
                 i
Published by
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© The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
August 2021
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                                                    ii
                                                            F
                                                            Foreword
The business environment has been undergoing rapid changes caused, by globalisation and
advancement in Information Technology. The impact of these changes on the finance function
and the skills set needed by professional accountants to perform their various tasks have
been profound. These developments have made it inevitable for the Institute’s syllabus and
training curriculum to be reviewed to align its contents with current trends and future needs of
users of accounting services.
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN) reviews its syllabus and training
curriculum every three years, however, the syllabus is updated annually to take cognisance of
new developments in the national environment and the global accountancy profession. The
Syllabus Review, Professional Examination and Students’ Affairs Committees worked
assiduously to produce a 3-level, 15-subject ICAN syllabus. As approved by the Council,
examinations under the new syllabus will commence with the November 2021 diet.
It is instructive to note that the last four syllabus review exercises were accompanied with the
publication of Study Texts. Indeed, when the first four editions of Study Texts were produced,
the performances of professional examination candidates significantly improved. In an effort
to consolidate on these gains and to further enhance the success rates of students in its
qualifying examinations, the Council approved that a new set of learning materials (Study
Texts) be developed for each of the subjects. Although, these learning materials may be
regarded as the fifth edition, they have been updated to include IT and soft skills in relevant
subjects, thereby improving the contents, innovation, and quality.
Ten of the new learning materials were originally contracted to Emile Woolf International
(EWI), UK. However, these materials were reviewed and updated to take care of new
developments and introduced IT and soft skills in relevant subjects. Also, renowned writers
and reviewers which comprised eminent scholars and practitioners with tremendous
experiences in their areas of specialisation, were sourced locally to develop learning materials
for five of the subjects because of their local contents. The 15 subjects are as follows:
                                                  iii
 Foundation Level
 1.      Business, Management and Finance                        EWI/ICAN
 2.      Financial Accounting                                    EWI/ICAN
 3.      Management Information                                  EWI/ICAN
 4.      Business Law                                            ICAN
 Skills Level
 5       Financial Reporting                                     EWI/ICAN
 6       Audit and Assurance                                     EWI/ICAN
 7.      Taxation                                                ICAN
 8.      Corporate Strategic Management and Ethics               EWI/ICAN
 9.      Performance Management                                  EWI/ICAN
 10.     Public Sector Accounting and Finance                    ICAN
 Professional Level
 11.     Corporate Reporting                                     EWI/ICAN
 12.     Advanced Audit and Assurance                            EWI/ICAN
 13.     Strategic Financial Management                          EWI/ICAN
 14.     Advanced Taxation                                       ICAN
 15.     Case Study                                              ICAN
As part of the quality control measures, the output of the writers and reviewers were
subjected to further comprehensive review by the Study Texts Review Committee.
Although the Study Texts were specially produced to assist candidates preparing for the
Institute’s Professional Examination, we are persuaded that students of other
professional bodies and tertiary institutions will find them very useful in the course of
their studies.
Haruna Nma Yahaya (Mallam), mni, BSc, MBA, MNIM, FCA
Chairman, Study Texts Review Committee
                                                 iv
                                                                             A
                                          Acknowledgement
The Institute is deeply indebted to the underlisted locally-sourced rewriters, reviewers and
members of the editorial board for their scholarship and erudition which led to the
successful production of these new study texts. They are:
     Taxation
     1.      Enigbokan, Richard Olufemi                            Reviewer
     2.      Clever, Anthony Obinna                                Writer
     3.      Kajola, Sunday Olugboyega                             Writer
     Business Law
     1.      Oladele, Olayiwola.O                                 Writer/Reviewer
     2.      Adekanola, Joel .O                                    Writer
     Public Sector Accounting and Finance
     1.      Osho, Bolaji                                         Writer/Reviewer
     1.      Biodun, Jimoh                                        Reviewer
     2.      Osonuga, Timothy                                     Writer
     3.      Ashogbon, Bode                                       Writer
     Advanced Taxation
     1.      Adejuwon, Jonathan Adegboyega                        Reviewer
     2.      Kareem, Kamilu                                       Writer
Information Technology Skills
1.        Ezeilo, Greg                                        Reviewer
2.        Ezeribe, Chimenka                                   Writer
3.        Ikpehai, Martins                                    Writer
                                                  v
Case Study
1.    Adesina, Julius Babatunde                          Writer/Reviewer
Soft Skills
1.       Adesina, Julius Babatunde                              Reviewer
2.       Adepate, Olutoyin Adeagbo                              Writer
 The Institute also appreciates the services of the experts who carried out an update and
 review of the following Study Texts:
Business Management and Finance
1.       Ogunniyi, Olajumoke
Management Information
1.       Adesina, Julius Babatunde
2.       Ezeribe, Chimenka
Financial Accounting
1.       Adeyemi, Semiu Babatunde
Financial Reporting
1.       Okwuosa, Innocent
Performance Management
1.       Durukwaku, Sylvester
Corporate Strategic Management and Ethics
1.       Adepate, Olutoyin Adeagbo
Audit & Assurance
1.       Amadi, Nathaniel
     Corporate Reporting
1.       Adeadebayo, Shuaib
Advanced Audit and Assurance
1.       Okere, Onyinye
Strategic Financial Management
1.     Omolehinwa, Ademola
                                                  vi
The Institute also appreciates the services of the following:
STUDY TEXTS REVIEW COMMITTEE
  Members
Haruna Nma Yahaya (Mallam), mni, BSc, MBA, ANIM, FCA                  Chairman
Okwuosa, Innocent, PhD, FCA                                           Adviser
Akinsulire, O. O. (Chief), B.Sc, M.Sc., MBA, FCA                      Deputy Chairman
Adesina, Julius, B. B.Sc, M.Sc, MBA,FCA                               Member
Adepate, Olutoyin, B.Sc, MBA, FCA                                     Member
Enigbokan, Richard Olufemi, PhD, FCA                                  Member
Anyalenkeya, Benedict, B.Sc, MBA, FCA                                 Member (Deceased)
  Secretariat Support
  Kumshe, Ahmed Modu, (Prof.), FCA                       Registrar/Chief Executive
  Momoh, Ikhiegbia B., MBA, FCA                          Director, Examinations
  Otitoju, Olufunmilayo, B.Sc, arpa, ANIPR               HOD, Students’ Affairs
  Anifowose, Isaac, B.Sc., MMP                           Manager, Students’ Affairs
  Evbuomwan, Yewande, B.Sc. (Ed.), M.Ed., ACIS           Asst. Manager, Students’ Affairs
Ahmed M. Kumshe, (Prof.), FCA
Registrar/Chief Executive
                                                   vii
                                                               C
Skills level
Performance management
                                                             Contents
                                                                 Page
Syllabus                                                            v
Chapter
   1       Introduction to strategic management                     1
   2       Overview of cost planning and control                   27
   3       Modern management accounting techniques                 71
   4       Learning and experience curve theory                   123
   5       Quality and quality costs                              138
   6       Budgetary control systems                              154
   7       Variance analysis                                      209
   8       Advanced variance analysis                             287
   9       Performance analysis                                   322
  10       Other aspects of performance measurement               371
  11       Transfer pricing                                       384
  12       Divisional performance                                 419
  13       Relevant costs                                         454
  14       Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis                      473
  15       Limiting factors                                       507
  16       Linear programming                                     521
  17       Further aspects of linear programming                  545
  18       Other decisions                                        573
  19       Pricing                                                591
  20       Risk and decision making                               627
                                                      viii
Performance management
                                                                   Page
     21     Working capital management                              661
     22     Inventory management                                    685
     23     Management of receivables and payables                  711
     24     Cash management                                         733
     25     Introduction to capital budgeting                       759
     26     Discounted cash flow                                    775
     27     Replacement theory                                      824
     28     Strategic models and performance management             851
     29     Information systems and performance management          901
     30     Implementing performance management systems             945
     31     Application of Information technology in performance    970
   Index                                                            975
                                                                          0
                                                         ix
                                                                              S
  Skills level
  Performance management
                                                                       Syllabus
SKILLS LEVEL
PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts
with a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to
critical success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational
or with a social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial
and non-financial data and information to support management decisions.
Linkage with other subjects
The diagram below depicts the relationship between this subject and other subjects.
      Strategic Financial Management
         Performance Management                              Corporate Strategic
                                                            Management & Ethics
                                                  Business, Management and
       Management Information                               Finance
                                                   x
Performance management
 Main competencies
 On successful completion of this paper, candidates should be able to:
      Identify and apply appropriate budgeting techniques and standard costing to planning and control in
      business;
      Select and apply performance measurement techniques;
      Apply strategic performance measurement techniques in evaluating and improving organizational
      performance;
      Discuss the accounting information requirements and the role of accountants in project management; and
      Select and apply decision-making techniques to facilitate efficient and effective business
      decisions in the use of scarce resources.
                                                              xi
                                                                                      Syllabus
Linkage of the main competencies
This diagram illustrates the linkage between the main competencies of this subject and is to
assist candidates in studying for the examination.
                                           Performance measurement and control
                                           Performance and management systems
     Planning and
        control                           Strategic performance measurement and
                                                    management systems
                                                        Decision making
                                                  xii
Performance management
 Syllabus overview
 Grid                                                 Weighting
  A      Cost planning and control                         20
  B      Planning and control                              20
  C      Performance measurement and control               20
  D      Decision making                                   30
  E      Strategic performance measurement                  5
  F      Performance and management system                  5
 Total                                                   100
                                               xiii
                                                                                    Syllabus
Detailed syllabus                                                                Chapter
A   Cost planning and control
    1   Overview of costs for planning and control
        a   Discuss and evaluate the sources of performance management             2
            information.
        b   Analyse fixed and variable cost elements from total cost data          2
            using high/low method and regression analysis.
        c   Differentiate between marginal costing and absorption costing.         2
        d   Analyse overhead costs using activity based costing.                   2
    2   Cost planning and control for competitive advantage
        a   Discuss and apply the principles of:                                   3
            i     Target costing;                                                  3
            ii    Life cycle costing;                                              3
            iii   Theory of constraints (TOC);                                     3
            iv    Throughput accounting;                                           3
            v     Back flush accounting;                                           3
            vi    Environmental accounting; and                                    3
            vii Kaizen costing.                                                    3
        b   Learning and experience curve theory                                   4
            i     Discuss and apply the learning and experience curve theory       4
                  to pricing, budgeting and other relevant problems.
            ii    Calculate and apply learning rate to cost estimation.            4
        c   Cost of quality                                                        5
            i     Explain quality costs.                                           5
            ii    Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of     5
                  non-conformance.
            iii   Discuss the significance of quality costs for organisations.     5
    3   Ethical issues in performance management
        a   Discuss ethical issues in performance management.                      2
        b   Discuss the professional accountants’ code of ethics as it relates     2
            to performance management.
                                                   xiv
Performance management
 Detailed syllabus                                                                  Chapter
 B    Planning and control
      1    Budgetary system, planning and control
           a    Discuss and apply forecasting techniques to planning and control.     6
           b    Discuss budgetary system in an organization as an aid to              6
                performance management.
           c    Evaluate the information used in budgetary system.                    6
           d    Discuss the behavioural aspects of budgeting.                         6
           e    Discuss the usefulness and problems associated with different         6
                types of budget.
           f    Explain beyond budgeting models.                                      6
      2    Variance analysis
           a    Explain the uses of standard cost and types of standard.              7
           b    Discuss the methods used to derive standard cost.                     7
           c    Explain and analyse the principle of controllability in the
                performance management system.
           d    Calculate and apply the following variances:                         7, 8
                i        Material usage and price variances;                          7
                ii       Material mix and yield variances;                            8
                iii      Labour rate, efficiency and idle time variances;             7
                iv       Variable overhead expenditure and efficiency variances;      7
                v        Fixed overhead budget, volume, capacity and productivity     7
                         variances;
                vi       Sales volume variance;                                       7
                vii      Sales mix and quantity variances;                            8
                viii     Sales market size and market share variances; and            8
                ix       Planning and operational variances.                          8
           e    Identify and explain causes of various variances and their inter-    7, 8
                relationship.
           f    Analyse and reconcile variances using absorption and marginal        7, 8
                costing techniques
                                                        xvi
                                                                                    Syllabus
Detailed syllabus                                                                Chapter
C   Performance measurement and control
    1   Performance analysis
        a   Select and calculate suitable financial performance measures for       9
            a business from a given data and information.
        b   Evaluate the results of calculated financial performance measures      9
            based on business objectives and advise management on
            appropriate actions.
        c   Select and calculate suitable non-financial performance measures       9
            for a business from a given data and information.
        d   Evaluate the results of calculated non-financial performance           9
            measures based on business objectives and advise management
            on appropriate actions.
        e   Explain the causes and problems created by short-termism and           9
            financial manipulation of results and suggest methods to
            encourage a long term view.
        f   Discuss sustainability consideration in performance measurement        9
            of a business.
        g   Select and explain stakeholders based measures of performance          9
            that may be used to evaluate social and environmental
            performance of a business.
        h   Explain and interpret the Balanced Scorecard and Fitzgerald and        9
            Moon Building Block model.
    2   Performance analysis in not-for-profit organisations
        a   Discuss the problems of having non-quantifiable objectives in          10
            performance management.
        b   Explain how performance may be measured in the not-for-profit          10
            organisations.
        c   Discuss the problems of having multiple objectives.                    10
        d   Demonstrate value for money (VFM) as a public sector objective.        10
    3   Divisional performance and transfer pricing                              10, 11
        a   Discuss the various methods of setting transfer prices and             10
            evaluate the suitability of each method.
        b   Determine the optimal transfer price using appropriate models.         10
        c   Explain the benefits and limitations of transfer pricing methods.      10
        d   Demonstrate and explain the impact of taxation and repatriation of     10
            funds on international transfer pricing.
        e   Select and explain suitable divisional performance measures for a      12
            given business using return on investment, residual income and
            economic value added approaches. Evaluate the results and
            advise management.
                                                 xvii
Performance management
 Detailed syllabus                                                                   Chapter
 D    Decision making
      1    Advanced decision-making and decision-support
           a    Select and calculate suitable relevant cost based on given data        13
                and information. Evaluate the results and advise management.
           b    Select, calculate and present cost-volume-profit analyses based        14
                on a given data and information (including single and multiple
                products) using both numerical and graphical techniques. Advise
                management based on the results.
           c    Apply relevant cost concept to short term management decisions         18
                including make or buy, outsourcing, shut down, one-off contracts,
                adding a new product line, sell or process further, product and
                segment profitability analysis, etc.
           d    Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
                i     Single constraint situation including make or buy; and           15
                ii    Multiple constraint situations involving linear programming    16, 17
                      using simultaneous equations, graphical techniques and
                      simplex method. (The simplex method is limited to
                      formulation of initial tableau and interpretation of final
                      tableau).
                      NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also     17
                      required.
           e    Explain different pricing strategies, including:                       19
                i     Cost-plus;                                                       19
                ii    Skimming;                                                        19
                iii   Market penetration;                                              19
                iv    Complementary product;                                           19
                v     Product-line;                                                    19
                vi    Volume discounting; and                                          19
                vii Market discrimination.                                             19
           f    Calculate and present numerically and graphically the optimum          19
                selling price for a product or service using given data and
                information by applying relevant cost and economic models and
                advise management.
           g    Evaluate how management can deal with uncertainty in decision-       20, 27
                making including the use of simulation, decision-trees,
                replacement theory, expected values, sensitivity analysis and
                value of perfect and imperfect information.
                                                      xviii
                                                                                    Syllabus
Detailed syllabus                                                                Chapter
D   Decision making (continued)
    2   Working capital management
        a   Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.      21 to 24
        b   Calculate and explain the cash operating cycle.                        21
        c   Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing
            working capital in relation to:
            i     Inventory (including economic order quantity model and Just-     22
                  in-Time techniques);
            ii    Account receivables (including cash discounts, factoring and     23
                  invoice discounting);
            iii   Account payables; and                                            23
            iv    Cash (including Baumol and Miller-Orr Models).                   24
    3   Capital budgeting decisions
        a   Discuss the characteristics of capital budgeting decisions.            25
        b   Calculate and discuss various investment appraisal techniques
            such as:
            i     Traditional techniques                                           25
                     Accounting rate of return                                   25
                     Pay-back period                                             25
            ii    Discounted cash flow technique                                   26
                     Net Present Value                                           26
                     Internal Rate of Return                                     26
                       NB: These may Include basic profitability index and         26
                       inflation but excluding tax consideration and capital
                       rationing.
        c   Evaluate asset replacement decision for mutually exclusive             27
            projects with unequal lives.
                                                   xiv
Performance management
 Detailed syllabus                                                               Chapter
 E    Strategic performance measurement
      1    Analyse and evaluate business objectives and strategies using           28
           techniques such as:
           a    C-analysis;                                                        28
           b    Five forces analysis;                                              28
           c    The Boston Consulting Group Model;                                 28
           d    Value chain analysis;                                              28
           e    Ansoff’s matrix;                                                   28
           f    Benchmarking; and                                                  28
           g    SWOT analysis.                                                     28
      2    Analyse and evaluate suitable performance measures for:
           a    Profitability (GP, ROCE, ROI, EPS, EBITDA, etc.);                  9
           b    Liquidity; and                                                     9
           c    Solvency.                                                          9
 F    Performance and management systems
      1    Evaluate and advise management on suitable information technology       29
           and strategic performance management system covering:
           a    Sources of information;                                            29
           b    Information technology tools for performance management at         29
                various levels (strategic, tactical and operational); and
           c    Use of internet technologies for performance management and        29
                key performance indicators.
      2    Evaluate and advise management on suitable approaches that may          30
           be used to manage people, issues and change when implementing
           performance management systems.
      3    Discuss the accounting information requirements and analyse the         30
           different types of information systems used for strategic planning,
           management control and operational control and decision-making.
      4    Discuss roles of accountants in:
           a    Project management;                                                30
           b    Project planning; and                                              30
           c    Project control methods and standards.                             30
                                                    xx
                                                                 1
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                       CHAPTER
  Introduction to strategic management
Contents
1 Introduction to strategic planning and control
2 Strategic objectives
3 Levels of management
4 Chapter review
                                                   1
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Purpose
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Exam context
This chapter does not address a specific syllabus competency. It has been written to explain
the meaning of strategic planning to provide a foundation for understanding the above and
other areas in the syllabus. In particular, it explains strategic objectives and the differing
informational needs of management at different levels in an organisation.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
     Explain the difference between strategic, tactical and operational planning and control
     Understand the strategic planning process in overview
     Explain the importance of corporate objectives and the link to performance
      management
     Explain the different informational needs for strategic, tactical and operational
      management
     Understand the potential conflict that may arise between strategic objectives and short-
      term decisions.
1     INTRODUCTION TO STRATEGIC PLANNING AND CONTROL
       Section overview
        Management accounting
        Levels of strategic planning
          Definition of strategic planning and control
          Strategic planning process
      1.1 Management accounting
             The purpose of management accounting is to provide relevant and reliable
             information so that managers can make well-informed decisions. The value of
             management accounting depends on the quality of the information provided, and
             whether it helps managers to make better decisions.
             In other words, the purpose of management accounting is to provide information
             for:
                  planning;
                  control; and
                  decision making.
             Performance management includes these three concepts:
                                                     16
    Planning
    Planning involves the following:
         setting the objectives for the organisation;
         making plans for achieving those objectives.
    The planning process is a formal process and the end-result is a formal plan,
    authorised at an appropriate level in the management hierarchy. Formal plans
    include long-term business plans, budgets, sales plans, weekly production
    schedules, capital expenditure plans and so on.
    Information is needed in order to make sensible plans – for example in order to
    prepare an annual budget, it is necessary to provide information about expected
    sales prices, sales quantities and costs, in the form of forecasts or estimates.
    Control
    Control of the performance of an organisation is an important management task.
    Control involves the following:
         monitoring actual performance, and comparing same with the objective or
          plan;
         taking control action where appropriate;
         evaluating actual performance.
    When operations appear to be getting out of control, management should be
    alerted so that suitable measures can be taken to deal with the problem. Control
    information might be provided in the form of routine performance reports or as
    special warnings or alerts when something unusual has occurred.
    Decision making
    Managers might need to make ‘one-off’ decisions, outside the formal planning
    and control systems. Management accounting information can be provided to
    help a manager decide what to do in any situation where a decision is needed.
1.2 Levels of strategic planning
    Planning is a hierarchical activity, linking strategic planning at the top with
    detailed operational planning at the bottom. Strategic plans set a framework and
    guidelines within which more detailed plans, and shorter-term planning decisions,
    can be made.
    R. N. Anthony (1965) identified three levels of planning within an organisation:
         Strategic planning. This involves identifying the objectives of the entity,
          and plans for achieving those objectives, mostly over the longer term.
          Strategic plans include corporate strategic plans, business strategic plans
          and functional strategic plans.
         Tactical planning. These are shorter-term plans for achieving medium-
          term objectives. An example of tactical planning is the annual budget.
          Budgets and other tactical plans can be seen as steps towards the
          achievement of longer-term strategic objectives.
         Operational planning. This is a detailed planning of activities, often at a
          supervisory level or junior management level, for the achievement of short-
          term goals and targets. For example, a supervisor might divide the
          workload between several employees in order to complete all the work
          before the end of the day.
                                            17
                                                   Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management
1.3 Definition of strategic planning and control
     ‘Strategic planning and control’ within an entity is the continuous process of:
          identifying the goals and objectives of the entity;
          planning strategies that will enable these goals and objectives to be
           achieved;
          setting targets for each strategic objective (performance targets);
          converting strategies into shorter-term operational plans;
          implementing the strategy;
          monitoring actual performance (performance measurement and review);
           and
          taking control measures where appropriate when actual performance is
           below the target.
          Other aspects of strategic planning and control are:
          re-assessing plans and strategies when circumstances in the business
           environment change; and
          where necessary, changing strategies and plans.
     Formal planning process
     Companies might have a formal strategic planning process. Such a process:
          clarifies objectives;
          helps management to make strategic decisions. Strategic planning forces
           managers to think about the future: companies are unlikely to survive
           unless they plan ahead;
          establishes targets for achievement;
          co-ordinates objectives and targets throughout the organisation, from the
           mission statement and strategic objectives at the top of a hierarchy of
           objectives, down to operational targets;
          provides a system for checking progress towards the objectives.
     However, planning must also be flexible. Plans and targets might need to change
     in response to changes in the business environment, for example, a new initiative
     by a rival company.
     Changes in strategic plans
     Strategic plans often cover a period of several years, typically five years or
     longer. They are prepared on the basis of the best information available at the
     time, using assumptions about the nature of the business environment –
     competitive conditions, market conditions, available technology, the economic,
     social and political climate, and so on.
     However, the business environment can change very quickly, in unexpected
     ways. Changes can create new threats to a company, or they can create new
     business opportunities. Whenever changes occur, a company should be able to
     respond – by taking measures to deal with new threats, or to exploit new
     opportunities.
     The response of a company to changes in its environment could mean having to
     develop new strategies and abandon old ones. When changes are made, the
     original strategic plan will no longer be entirely valid, although large parts of it
     might be unaffected.
                                              18
                                                     Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management
    Strategic planning in practice is therefore often a mixture of:
         formal planning, and
         developing new strategies and making new plans whenever significant
          changes occur in its business environment.
    Responding to unexpected changes by doing something that is not in the formal
    plan is sometimes called ‘freewheeling opportunism’. It means making unplanned
    decisions, to take advantages of opportunities as they arise, or to deal with
    unexpected threats.
1.4 Strategic planning process
    Different methods and approaches may be used to develop strategic plans but
    they share common features.
    A basic approach to strategic planning is shown in the following diagram.
     Illustration: Strategic planning process
                           Set objectives
                         Strategic analysis
                       (Corporate appraisal)
                          Strategic choice
                            Evaluation of
                             strategies
                         Implementation of                    Review and
                             strategies                         control
    Each stage will be explained in further detail later. For the moment, the text only
    provides an overview in order to provide a foundation for understanding key
    elements of performance management.
    Objectives
    The entity must develop clear objectives, such as, the maximisation of
    shareholders’ wealth. These objectives should be consistent with the mission
    statement. Targets can be established for the achievement of objectives within
    the planning period.
    Objectives should take into account the interest and power of stakeholders.
    Stakeholder mapping is a useful tool in this regard.
                                                19
                                                Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management
Strategic analysis
A strategic analysis comprises:
     an environmental analysis; and
     a position audit.
Environmental analysis involves an analysis of developments outside the
organisation that are already affecting the organisation or could affect the
organisation in the future. These are external factors that might affect the
achievement of objectives and strategy selection.
A position audit is an internal analysis which identifies the strengths and
weaknesses within the organisation – its products, existing customers,
management, employees, technical skills and ‘know-how’, its operational systems
and procedures, its reputation for quality, the quality of its suppliers, its liquidity
and cash flows, and so on.
The results of the environmental analysis and the position audit can be combined
in a SWOT analysis. The SWOT analysis depicts the strengths and weaknesses
of an organisation, and the opportunities and threats in its environment. This
method of strategic analysis is often used by organisations as a starting point for
strategic planning.
Strategic choice
Strategies should be developed to make full use of strengths within the entity and
to reduce or remove significant weaknesses.
Strategies should be developed to:
     take advantage of opportunities;
     make full use of strengths;
     remove weaknesses; and
     take action to protect against threats.
These components of the strategic choice decisions will be covered later.
Evaluation of strategic options
Strategies should be evaluated to decide whether they might be appropriate.
Johnson and Scholes have suggested that strategies should be assessed for:
     suitability;
     feasibility; and
     acceptability.
Strategic implementation
The selected strategies should then be implemented.
The implementation of strategies should be monitored. Changes and adjustments
should be made where these become necessary.
Areas of importance here are change management and project management.
These are covered in more detail later.
Review and control
This is a key area. An entity will have management information systems in place
to monitor the progress of the business. These are particularly important to the
introduction of a new strategy where timing and achievement of progress points
might be vital to its success. This is covered in more detail later.
                                         20
2   STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
    Section overview
     Planning and corporate objectives
     The need for performance measurement
       Management accounting and performance measurement
    2.1 Planning and corporate objectives
         The purpose of strategic planning and control is to help an entity to achieve its
         strategic objectives. It is normally assumed that the objective of a company is to
         provide a high return to its owners, the shareholders, consistent with the level of
         risk in the business.
         Not-for-profit entities also have strategic objectives, which relate to the purpose
         for which they exist. These objectives are non-financial in nature.
         Performance measurement is an integral part of a system of planning and
         control.
              Planning targets clarify the objectives of the organisation. Corporate
               objectives are converted into planning targets. Similarly, the objectives of
               strategic plans are converted into planning targets. A target should be a
               clear statement of what an entity wants to achieve within a specified period
               of time. Planning targets are usually quantified, but may be expressed in
               qualitative terms.
              Measurements of performance (target and actual) help to
               improve management’s understanding of processes and systems.
              Planning targets are set at strategic, tactical and operational management
               levels. Using quantitative measures of performance makes it easier to set
               targets for managers and the organisation as a whole.
              In a well-designed performance management system, all planning targets
               are consistent with each other, at the strategic, tactical and operational
               levels.
              When the business environment is changing, a performance measurement
               system should provide for the continual re-assessment of planning targets,
               so that targets can be altered as necessary to meet the changing
               circumstances.
              Actual performance, at the strategic, tactical and operational levels should
               be measured and monitored. Comparing actual performance with targets
               provides useful control information. Differences between actual
               performance and targets can be analysed, to establish the causes. Where
               appropriate, action can be taken to improve performance by dealing with
               the causes of the poor performance.
              Performance measures also make it possible to compare the performance
               of different organisations or different divisions within the same organisation.
              Performance measurement systems promote accountability of the
               organisation to its stakeholders.
              A performance management system may be linked to a system of
               rewarding individuals for the successful achievement of planning targets.
                                                 21
2.2 The need for performance measurement
    Every managed organisation needs a system of performance measurement.
         Managers need to understand what they should be trying to achieve. A
          sense of purpose and direction is provided by plans (strategies, budgets,
          operational plans and so on), and for each plan there should be objectives
          and targets. Setting targets for achievement (performance targets) is an
          essential part of planning.
         Managers also need to know whether they are successful. The information
          they need is provided by comparing:
               their actual results or performance with the performance target, and
               the performance target with the current forecast of what performance
                will be.
    Targets, forecasts and actual performance should be measured, in order to
    compare them. Ideally measures of performance should be quantified values
    (financial or non-financial measures), because numerical measures of
    performance are easier to compare than non-quantified (‘qualitative’) measures.
    The benefits of performance measurement systems
    The advantages of having a formal system of performance measurement can be
    summarised as follows:
         A well-structured system of performance measurement clarifies the
          objectives of the organisation, and shows how departments, work groups
          and individuals within the organisation contribute to the achievement of
          those objectives.
         It establishes agreed measures of activity, based on key success factors.
         It helps to provide a better understanding of the processes within the
          organisation, and what each should be trying to achieve.
         It provides a system for comparing the performance of different
          organisations or departments.
         The system establishes performance targets for the organisation’s
          managers, over a suitable time period for achievement.
2.3 Management accounting and performance measurement
    Management accounting is an important element in performance measurement
    systems. Many performance targets are financial in nature, such as achieving
    targets for return on capital, profits and sales revenue and targets for keeping
    expenditure under control.
    However, a performance measurement system uses a wide range of targets at
    the strategic, tactical and operational level. Many of these are non-financial
    targets, and not all targets are quantifiable.
    Clearly, a comprehensive management accounting system should therefore
    provide information for setting targets and measuring actual performance at all
    levels. It should also provide non-financial information as well as financial
    information.
    If a management accounting system cannot provide all this information to
    management, managers will have to rely on other information systems in addition
    to the management accounting system. An entity might then have several
    different information systems, which is probably inefficient and less effective than
    a fully co-ordinated management information system.
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                                                       Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management
3   LEVELS OF MANAGEMENT
    Section overview
       Levels of management
       Potential conflict between strategic plans and short-term decisions
    3.1 Levels of management
         In ‘traditionally-structured’ large organisations, there is a hierarchy of managers,
         from senior management down to junior managers and supervisors. The
         responsibilities of managers vary according to their position in the management
         hierarchy.
         Even in small organisations, the nature of management activities can be
         analysed into different levels.
         A common approach to analysing levels of management and management
         decision-making process is to identify three levels:
              strategic management;
              tactical management; and
              operational management.
         Strategic management
         Strategic management is concerned with:
              deciding on the objectives and strategies for the organisation;
              making or approving long-term plans for the achievement of strategic
               targets;
              monitoring actual results, to check whether these are in line with strategic
               targets;
              where appropriate, taking control action to bring actual performance back
               into line with strategic targets; and
              reviewing and amending strategies.
         A strategy is a plan for the achievement of a long-term objective. The main
         objective of a profit-making entity may be to maximise the wealth of its owners.
         Several strategies are selected for the achievement of this main objective, and
         each individual strategy might have its own specific objective.
         Strategic planning is often concerned with developing products and markets and
         for long-term investment. For example, a company seeking to increase its profits
         by 10% a year for the next five years might select the following strategies:
              Marketing strategy: to expand into markets in other countries (with specific
               countries selected as planning targets for each year of the plan)
              Innovation strategy: to invest in research and development (with a target to
               launch, say, two new products on the market each year for the next five
               years)
              Investment strategy: to invest in new technology (with a target, say, of
               replacing all existing equipment with new technology within the next five
               years).
                                                  23
Performance management
             Tactical management
             Tactical management is associated with the efficient and effective use of an
             organisation’s resources, and the control over expenditure. In a large
             organisation, tactical managers are the ‘middle managers’.
             Tactical management is concerned with implementation and control of medium-
             term plans, within the guidelines of the organisation’s strategic plans. For
             example, budgeting and budgetary control are largely tactical management
             responsibilities.
             Operational management
             Operational management is the management of day-to-day operating activities. It
             is usually associated with operational managers and supervisors.
             At an operational level, managers need to make sure on a day-to-day basis that
             they have the resources they need and that those resources are being used
             efficiently. It includes scheduling of operations and monitoring output, such as
             daily efficiency levels.
             There is no clear dividing line between tactical management and operational
             management, but essentially the differences are a matter of detail. Tactical
             management may be concerned with the performance of an entire department
             during a one-week period, whereas operational management may be concerned
             with the activities of individuals or small work groups on a daily basis.
      3.2 Potential conflict between strategic plans and short-term decisions
             Problems may occur in any organisation,especially large organisations with a
             large number of managers, when ‘local’ operational managers take decisions that
             are inconsistent with long-term strategic objectives.
             There are several reasons why this might happen.
                  ‘Local’ managers might be rewarded for achieving short-term planning
                   targets, such as keeping actual expenditure within the budget limit.
                   However, although there is a short-term benefit, there might be longer-term
                   damage. For example, a local manager might decide to cut the training
                   budget for his staff in order to reduce costs, but in the long-term the future
                   success of the company might depend on having well-trained and skilled
                   employees.
                  ‘Local’ managers might fail to buy into the plan because they believe it to
                   be unfair.
                  ‘Local’ managers might be unaware of the strategic plans and objectives,
                   due to poor communication within the entity.
             In any system of performance management, especially in systems where
             managers are rewarded for achieving planning targets, it is important to make
             sure that the short-term planning targets are consistent with longer-term strategic
             objectives.
                                                     24
                                                       Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management
4   CHAPTER REVIEW
    Chapter review
    Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
       Explain the difference between strategic, tactical and operational planning and
        control
       Understand the strategic planning process in overview
       Explain the importance of corporate objectives and the link to performance
        management
       Explain the different informational needs for strategic, tactical and operational
        management
       Understand the potential conflict that may arise between strategic objectives and
        short-term decisions.
                                                  25
Performance management
                                                            2
     Skills level
                                                  CHAPTER
     Performance management
     Overview of cost planning and control
 Contents
 1 Performance management information
 2 Sources of information
 3 High/low method
 4 Linear regression analysis
 5 Marginal costing and absorption costing
 6 Activity based costing
 7 Ethics in performance management
 8 Chapter review
                                             27
Performance management
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
    A   Cost planning and control
        1   Overview of costs for planning and control
            a    Discuss and evaluate the sources of performance management information.
            b    Analyse fixed and variable cost elements from total cost data using high/low
                 method and regression analysis.
            c    Differentiate between marginal costing and absorption costing.
            d    Analyse overhead costs using activity based costing.
        3   Ethical issues in performance management
            a    Discuss ethical issues in performance management.
            b    Discuss the professional accountants’ code of ethics as it relates to
                 performance management.
Exam context
You will have covered much of the content of this chapter in your earlier studies. A full
explanation has been included here for your convenience.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
       Calculate fixed and variable costs by using high-low points method
       Calculate fixed and variable costs by using regression analysis
       Calculate profit using total absorption costing and marginal costing and explain the
        difference
       Explain the difference between traditional volume based absorption methods and
        activity based costing
       Apportion overheads using activity based costing
       Estimate unit cost using activity based costing
       Discuss ethical issues in performance management and compliance with ICAN’s code
        of ethics
                                                     16
                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
1      PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT INFORMATION
         Section overview
             Business information
             Information for different management levels
       1.1 Business information
               Information is processed data. Data can be defined as facts that have not been
               assembled into a meaningful structure. Data is processed into a structured form
               that has some meaning: this is called ‘information’.
               Businesses use information in several ways.
                      Information is used to perform routine transactions, such as order
                       processing and invoicing.
                      Information is used to make decisions.
                      Information is also developed into knowledge that can be used to improve
                       the business.
               Managers could not make decisions without information. However, information
               can vary in quality, and as a general rule managers will make better decisions
               when they have better-quality information.
               Information and management decisions
               Decisions are taken continually in business. Routine decisions may be taken by
               any employee as a part of normal procedures. However, a specific role of
               management is to make decisions. For this, managers need information.
               Managers use information:
                      to make plans and reach planning decisions;
                      to measure performance, and take control action on the basis of comparing
                       actual or expected performance with a target;
                      to make ‘one-off’ or non-routine decisions;
                      to communicate decisions to other people; and
                      to co-ordinate activities with other people.
       1.2 Information for different management levels
               Information should be provided to managers to help them to make decisions. The
               nature of the information required varies according to the level of management
               and the type of decision. Within organisations, there are management information
               systems that provide this information. A major element of the overall
               management information system should be the management accounting system.
               A management accounting system should provide information for strategic
               management, tactical management and operational management.
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Performance management
               The requirements of management for information vary with the level of
               management. This concept is set out simply in the diagram below.
               Levels of management and information requirements
               Strategic management information
               Strategic management information is information that helps strategic managers
               to:
                      make long-term plans;
                      assess whether long-term planning targets will be met; and
                      review existing strategies and make changes or improvements.
               Strategic management needs strategic information. The characteristics of
               strategic information may be summarised as follows:
                      It is often information about the organisation as a whole, or a large part of it.
                      It is often in summary form, without too much detail.
                      It is generally relevant to the longer-term.
                      It is often forward-looking.
                      The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
                       internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
                       organisation).
                      It is often prepared on an ‘ad hoc’ basis, rather than in the form of regular
                       and routine reports.
                      It may contain information of a qualitative nature as well as quantified
                       information.
                      There is often a high degree of uncertainty in the information. This is
                       particularly true when the information is forward-looking (for example, a
                       forecast) over a number of years in the future.
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                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
               Tactical information
               Tactical information is information reported to middle managers in a large
               organisation, or for the purpose of annual planning and budgetary control.
               Tactical information is used to decide how the resources of the organisation
               should be used, and to monitor how well they are being used. It is useful to relate
               tactical information to the sort of information that is contained in an annual
               budget. A budget is planning at a tactical management level, where the plan is
               expressed in financial terms.
               The general features of tactical information are as follows:
                      It is often information about individual departments and operations.
                      It is often in summary form, but at a greater level of detail than strategic
                       information.
                      It is generally relevant to the short-term and medium-term.
                      It may be forward-looking (for example, medium-term plans) but it is often
                       concerned with performance measurement. Control information at a tactical
                       level is often based on historical performance.
                      The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
                       internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
                       organisation), but most of the information comes from internal sources.
                      It is often prepared on a routine and regular basis (for example, monthly or
                       weekly performance reports).
                      It consists mainly of quantified information.
                      There may be some degree of uncertainty in the information. However, as
                       tactical plans are short-term or medium-term, the level of uncertainty is
                       much less than for strategic information.
               Control reports might typically be prepared every month, comparing actual results
               with the budget or target, and much of the information comes from internal
               sources. Examples of tactical information might be:
                      variance reports in a budgetary control system;
                      reports on resource efficiency, such as the productivity of employees;
                      sales reports: reports on sales by product or by customer; and
                      reports on capacity usage.
               Operational information
               Operational information is needed to enable supervisors and front line
               (operational) managers to organise and monitor operations, and to make on-the-
               spot decisions whenever operational problems arise. Operational information
               may also be needed by employees, to process transactions in the course of their
               regular work.
               The general features of operational information are as follows:
                      It is normally information about specific transactions, or specific jobs, tasks,
                       daily work loads, individuals or work groups. (It is ‘task-specific’.)
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Performance management
                      It may be summarised at a work group or section level, but is in a more
                       detailed form than tactical information.
                      It is generally relevant to the very short-term.
                      It may be forward-looking (for example, daily plans) but it is often
                       concerned with transactions, procedures and performance measurement at
                       a daily level.
                      The data that is analysed to provide the information comes almost
                       exclusively from both internal sources (from sources inside the
                       organisation).
                      It consists mainly of quantified information. Most of this information is
                       ‘factual’ and is not concerned with uncertainty.
               Operational information is provided regularly, or is available online when
               required. It is concerned with operational details, such as:
                      the number of employees in the department absent from work
                      wastage rates in production
                      whether the scheduled work load for the day has been completed
                      delays and hold-ups in work flow, and the reasons for the delay
                      whether a customer’s order will be completed on time.
               In many respects, strategic information, tactical information and operational
               information are all concerned with the same things – business plans and actual
               performance. They are provided in different amounts of detail and with differing
               frequency. However, with the development of IT systems and internal and
               external databases, it is possible for all levels of information to be available to
               managers online and on demand.
© Emile Woolf International                          20          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example: Levels of information
                 An accountancy tuition company has a strategic target of increasing its annual
                 sales.
                 What strategic, tactical and operational decisions might be taken towards
                 achieving this target?
                 Here is a suggested answer.
                 (a)     At a strategic level management may decide it is necessary to increase
                         sales by 20%. It will then need to study the company and its business
                         environment and decide how this might be done – for example by
                         developing the existing business, buying a competitor company, or
                         diversifying into other forms of training, such as training lawyers or
                         bankers.
                 (b)     At a tactical level, a budget should be prepared for the next year, based on
                         strategic decisions already taken. Middle management should consider a
                         variety of plans for achieving targets, such as spending more money on
                         advertising, recruiting more trainers and running more training
                         programmes. Targets might be set for each type of course or each
                         geographical training centre location.
                 (c)     Operational management will make decisions about the courses and their
                         administration, such as making special offers (free study materials) to
                         attract more students, running additional courses when demand is strong,
                         and making sure that all student fees are collected.
© Emile Woolf International                          21          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      SOURCES OF INFORMATION
         Section overview
             Introduction
             Information from internal sources
             Information from external sources
             Costs of information
             Methods of gathering information
       2.1 Introduction
               Performance measurement systems, both for planning and for monitoring actual
               performance, rely on the provision of relevant, reliable and timely information.
               Information comes from both inside and outside the organisation.
               Traditionally, management accounting systems have been an information system
               providing financial information to managers from sources within the organisation.
               In large organisations, management accounting information might be extracted
               from a cost accounting system, which records and analyses cost.
               With the development of IT systems, management information systems have
               become more sophisticated, using large databases to hold data, from external
               sources as well as internal sources. Both financial and non-financial data are held
               and analysed. The analysis of data has also become more sophisticated,
               particularly through the use of spreadsheets and other models for planning and
               cost analysis (for example, activity based costing).
       2.2 Information from internal sources
               A control system such as a management accounting system must obtain data
               from within the organisation (from internal sources) for the purposes of planning
               and control. The system should be designed so that it captures and measures all
               the data required for providing management with the information they need.
               Potential internal sources include:
                      the financial accounting records;
                      human resource records maintained in support of the payroll system;
                      production information;
                      sales information; and
                      staff (through minutes of meetings etc.)
               The essential qualities of good information are as follows:
                      Relevance: Information should be relevant to the needs of management.
                       Information must help management to make decisions. Information that is
                       not relevant to a decision is of no value. An important factor in the design
                       of information systems should be the purpose of the information – in what
                       decisions should be made, and what information will be needed to make
                       those decisions?
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                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                      Reliability: Information should be reliable. This means that the
                       data should be sufficiently accurate for its purpose. It should also
                       be complete.
                      Timeliness: Information should be available in a timely manner. In other
                       words, it should be available for when it is needed by management.
                      Economy: The cost of providing the information should not exceed the
                       benefits that it provides. The key factor that limits the potential size of many
                       information systems is that the cost of obtaining additional information is
                       not justified by the additional benefits that the information will provide.
               Other qualities of good information include:
                      Completeness: Information should have all the variables that will be needed
                       for the intended decision.
                      Accuracy: Information should be correct and precise for the intended
                       purpose.
                      Clarity: Information must be clear to the user (s).
                      Consistency: Information must agree at all times with established norms and
                       frameworks.
                      Comprehension: Information should be presented in a way that the user/
                       reader can easily comprehend it.
                      Comparability: This is the degree to which accounting information and
                       policies are consistently applied from one period to another in line with
                       standards.
                      Verifiability: Verifiability is the extent to which information is reproducible
                       given the same data and assumptions.
               In designing a performance measurement system, and deciding what information
               is required from internal sources, these desirable qualities of good information
               should influence the design of the system.
               Traditionally, management accounting systems obtain internal data from the
               cost accounting system and costing records. In many organisations, IT systems
               now integrate costing data with other operational data. This means that data is
               available to the management accounting system from non-accounting sources.
                 Example: Information
                 An information system might be required to provide information about the
                 profitability of different types of customer.
                 The starting point for the design of this information system is the purpose of the
                 information. Why is information about customer profitability needed? The answer
                 might be that the company wants to know which of its customers contribute the
                 most profits, and whether some customers are unprofitable. If some customers
                 are unprofitable, the company will presumably consider ways of improving
                 profitability (for example, by increasing prices charged to those customers) or will
                 decide to stop selling to those customers.
                 The next consideration is: What data is needed to measure customer
                 profitability? The answer might be that customers should first be divided into
                 different categories, and each category of customer should have certain unique
                 characteristics. Having established categories of customer, information is needed
                 about costs that are directly attributable to each category of customers.
© Emile Woolf International                         24           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                 This might be information relating to gross profits from sales, minus the directly
                 attributable selling and distribution costs (and any directly attributable
                 administration costs and financing costs).
                 Having established what information is required, the next step is to decide how
                 the information should be ‘captured’ and measured. In this example, a system is
                 needed for measuring each category of customer, sales revenues, costs of sales
                 and other directly attributable costs.
                 The information should be available for when management intend to review
                 customer profitability. This might be every three months, six months or even
                 annually.
                 Information from external sources
                 Managers need information about customers, competitors and other elements
                 in their business environment. The management information system must be
                 able to provide this in the form that managers need, and at the time that they
                 need it.
                 External information is needed for strategic planning and control. However, it
                 is also often needed for tactical and operational management decisions.
                 Examples of the external information needed by companies are set out in
                 the table below.
                 Information area      Examples of information needed
                 Customers             What are the needs and expectations of customers in the
                                       market?
                                       Are these needs and expectations changing?
                                       What is the potential for our products or services to meet
                                       these needs, or to meet them better?
                 Competitors           Who are they?
                                       What are they doing?
                                       Can we copy some of their ideas?
                                       How large are they, and what is their market share?
                                       How profitable are they?
                                       What is their pricing policy?
                 Legal                 What are the regulations and laws that must be complied
                 environment           with?
                 Suppliers             What suppliers are there for key products or services?
                                       What is the quality of their products or services?
                                       What is the potential of new suppliers?
                                       What is the financial viability of each supplier?
                 Political/            Are there any relevant political developments or
                 environmental         developments relating to environmental regulation or
                 issues                environmental conditions?
                 Economic/             What is happening to interest rates?
                 financial             What is happening to exchange rates?
                 environment           What is happening in other financial markets?
                                       What is the predicted state of the economy?
© Emile Woolf International                        25          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               Possible sources of external information
               Sources of external information, some accessible through the Internet, include:
                      market research
                      supplier price lists and brochures
                      trade journals
                      newspapers and other media
                      government reports and statistics
                      reports published by other organisations, such as trade bodies.
               Limitations of external information
               It is important to recognise the limitations of external information.
                      It might not be accurate, and it might be difficult to assess how accurate it
                       is.
                      It might be incomplete.
                      It might provide either too much or not enough detail.
                      It might be difficult to obtain information in the form that is ideally required.
                      It might not always be available when required.
                      It might be difficult to find.
                      It might be out of date.
                      It might be misinterpreted.
       2.3 Costs of information
               Information must be captured and processed, if it is to be useful, and used
               effectively.
               The costs of capturing and processing data should include the cost of the
               hardware and software used, time spent inputting, analysing and interpreting
               data (though this might be automated in some instances, for example data input
               using EPOS systems).
               Modern computing equipment makes it very easy to amass huge amounts of data
               which can be processed into information, but this can bring its own problems:
                      The information might not be useful, in which case, the cost of producing it
                       is a waste.
                      Important details might be omitted in large volumes of information.
               Another important cost is the associated cost of poor decisions based on
               incomplete information or on a misinterpretation of that information. That could
               prove very costly indeed.
       2.4 Methods of gathering information
               Observation
               This method involves looking at a process of procedure being executed by
               others. It is useful in understanding how a programme, system or process
               actually operates.
© Emile Woolf International                             25        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                 Advantages                            Disadvantages
                 Can view operations of a program as they are actually occurring and focus on the
                 information required.
                 The observer can adapt to events as they occur. The fact of being
                 observed might affect the behaviour of those being observed.
                 It can be difficult to summarise or categorise observations.
                 It is time consuming and can be expensive.
© Emile Woolf International                       26           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Interviews
               Interviews are useful when there is a need to understand the interviewee’s
               responses in more depth.
                 Advantages                                Disadvantages
                 The interview can deliver a full range    Can be time consuming and costly.
                 at the depth required.                    It can be hard to analyse and
                 The approach is flexible as it allows     compare the information obtained.
                 the interviewer to drill down into the    An interviewer might bias the
                 interviewee’s responses.                  interviewee’s responses.
                                                           An interviewee might not answer the
                                                           questions objectively.
               Documentation review
               Useful to help understand how a system program operates without interrupting
                 Advantages                                Disadvantages
                 The researcher can use gain a             Can be time consuming and costly.
                 complete understanding of how a           The available information might be
                 system is meant to operate.               incomplete.
                 Does not disturb the operation of the     The interested party must have a
                 system.                                   clear objective.
                 The information already exists and is
                 free from bias.
               Questionnaires
               This method can be used gather information in a structured way from a large
               number of people
                 Advantages                                Disadvantages
                 It can be completed anonymously           Addressees may fail to respond.
                 Inexpensive to administer                 Feedback may not be a true reflection
                 Easy to compare and analyse (but          of the respondent’s view
                 analysis may require significant          The wording of questions can bias
                 expertise)                                responses so they must be designed
                 Can be used to reach a large number       with care
                 of respondents (particularly for online   Information must be analysed
                 research).                                carefully as the respondees are a
                 Can gather a lot of data.                 biased group (i.e. information is
                                                           gathered only from those who
                                                           respond and they may have a
                                                           personal motive for doing so).
© Emile Woolf International                        26         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
3      HIGH/LOW METHOD
         Section overview
             The need to estimate fixed and variable costs
             High/low analysis
             High/low analysis and forecasting
             High/low analysis with a step change in fixed costs
             High/low analysis with a change in the variable cost per unit
       3.1 The need to estimate fixed and variable costs
               To prepare accurate cost budgets, it is important to understand how costs
               ‘behave’. Cost behaviour refers to the way in which total costs increase as the
               volume of an activity increases.
               It is normally assumed that total costs can be analysed into fixed costs and a
               variable cost per unit of activity, such as a variable cost per unit of product or per
               hour of service. Some overhead costs are a mixture of fixed costs and variable
               costs, but these can be separated into a fixed cost portion and a variable cost
               portion.
               To prepare reliable cost budgets or cost estimates, it may be necessary to
               estimate fixed costs and variable costs.
                      Direct material costs are normally 100% variable costs.
                      Direct labour costs may be treated as variable costs. However, when there
                       is a fixed labour force, direct labour costs may be budgeted as fixed costs.
                      Overhead costs may be treated as fixed costs. However, for an accurate
                       analysis of overhead costs, it may be necessary to make an estimate of
                       fixed costs and variable costs. These estimates are often based on an
                       analysis of historical costs.
               You will be familiar with the following two techniques for estimating fixed and
               variable costs from your previous studies:
                      the high low method; and
                      linear regression analysis.
               A full explanation of each of these techniques is repeated here for your
               convenience.
       3.2 High/low analysis
               High/low analysis can be used to estimate fixed costs and variable costs per unit
               whenever:
                      there are figures available for total costs at two different levels of output or
                       activity;
                      it can be assumed that fixed costs are the same in total at each level of
                       activity; and
                      the variable cost per unit is constant at both levels of activity.
© Emile Woolf International                          27           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               High/low analysis uses two historical figures for cost:
                      the highest recorded output level, and its associated total cost
                      the lowest recorded output level, and its associated total cost.
               It is assumed that these ‘high’ and ‘low’ records of output and historical cost are
               representative of costs at all levels of output or activity.
               The difference between the total cost at the high level of output and the total cost
               at the low level of output is entirely variable cost. This is because fixed costs are
               the same in total at both levels of output.
               The method
               Step 1: Take the activity level and cost for:
                      the highest activity level
                      the lowest activity level.
               Step 2: The variable cost per unit of activity can be calculated as:
                              difference in total costs
                                                          /difference in the number of units of activity.
               Step 3: Having calculated a variable cost per unit of activity, fixed cost can be
               calculated by substitution into one of the cost expressions. The difference
               between the total cost at this activity level and the total variable cost at this
               activity level is the fixed cost.
               Step 4: Construct the total cost function.
               This is best seen with an example.
© Emile Woolf International                                  28           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example: High/low method
                 A company has recorded the following costs in the past six months:
                       Month                                  Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       January                                       5,800                     40,300
                       February                                      7,700                     47,100
                       March                                         8,200                     48,700
                       April                                         6,100                     40,600
                       May                                           6,500                     44,500
                       June                                          7,500                     47,100
                       Step 1: Identify the highest and lowest activity levels and note the costs
                       associated with each level.
                                                            Production (units)       Total cost (₦)
                       March                                         8,200                     48,700
                       January                                       5,800                     40,300
                       Step 2: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
                       calculate the variable cost:
                                                            Production (units)     Total cost (₦)
                       March                                         8,200                     48,700
                       January                                       5,800                     40,300
                                                                     2,400                      8,400
                       Therefore:    2,400 units cost an extra ₦8,400.
                       Therefore:    The variable cost per unit = ₦8,400/2,400 units = ₦3.5 per unit
                       Step 3: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions (either
                       high or low).
                       Total cost of 8,200 units:
                               Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦48,700
                               Fixed cost + (8,200  ₦3.5) = ₦48,700
                               Fixed cost + ₦28,700 = ₦48,700
                               Fixed cost = ₦48,700  ₦28,700 = ₦20,000
                       Step 4: Construct total cost function
                               Total cost = a +bx = 20,000 + 3.5x
© Emile Woolf International                           29            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Note that at step 3 it does not matter whether the substitution of variable cost is
               into the high figures or the low figures.
                 Example: Cost of other levels of activity
                 Return to step 3 above. Then, substitute the low figures for high figures.
                       Step 3: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions (either
                       high or low).
                       Total cost of 5,800 units:
                              Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦40,300
                              Fixed cost + (5,800  ₦3.5) = ₦40,300
                              Fixed cost + ₦20,300 = ₦40,300
                              Fixed cost = ₦40,300  ₦20,300 = ₦20,000
       3.3 High/low analysis and forecasting
               Once derived, the cost function can be used to estimate the cost associated with
               levels of activity outside the range of observed data. Thus it can be used to
               forecast costs associated with future planned activity levels.
                 Example: High/low method
                 The company is planning to make 7,000 units and wishes to estimate the total
                 costs associated with that level of production.
                                              Total cost = ₦20,000 + ₦3.5x
                       Total cost of 7,000 units = ₦20,000 + (₦3.5  7,000) = ₦44,500
© Emile Woolf International                          30           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
       3.4 High/low analysis with a step change in fixed costs
               High/low analysis can also be used when there is a step increase in fixed costs
               between the ‘low’ and the ‘high’ activity levels, provided that the amount of the
               step increase in fixed costs is known.
               If the step increase in fixed costs is given in naira value, the total cost of the ‘high’
               or the ‘low’ activity level should be adjusted by the amount of the increase, so
               that total costs for the ‘high’ and ‘low’ amounts use the same fixed cost figure.
               After this adjustment the difference between the high and low costs is solely due
               to variable cost. The variable cost can be identified and cost functions
               constructed for each side of the step.
               The method
               Step 1: Take the activity level and cost for:
                      the highest activity level
                      the lowest activity level.
               Step 2: Make an adjustment for the step in fixed costs;
                      add the step in fixed costs to the total costs of the lower level of activity; or
                      deduct the step in fixed costs from the total costs of the higher level of
                       activity.
               Step 3: The variable cost per unit of activity can be calculated as:
                              difference in total costs
                                                          /difference in the number of units of activity.
               Step 4: Having calculated a variable cost per unit of activity, fixed cost can be
               calculated by substitution into one of the cost expressions. (use the unadjusted
               pair).
               Step 5: Construct the total cost function of the unadjusted level.
               Step 6: Construct the total cost function for the adjusted level by reversing the
               adjustment to its fixed cost.
               This is best seen with an example.
© Emile Woolf International                                  31           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: High/low method with step in fixed costs
                 A company has identified that total fixed costs increase by ₦15,000 when activity
                 level equals or exceeds 19,000 units. The variable cost per unit is constant over
                 this range of activity.
                 The company has identified the following costs at two activity levels. (Step 1)
                                                              Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                       22,000                     195,000
                       Low                                          17,000                    165,000
                       Step 2: Make an adjustment for the step in fixed costs.
                                                              Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                       22,000                     195,000
                       Low (165,000 + 15,000)                       17,000                    180,000
                       Step 3: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
                       calculate the variable cost:
                                                              Production (units)          Total cost (₦)
                       High                                       22,000                    195,000
                       Low                                          17,000                    180,000
                                                                     5,000                     15,000
                       Therefore:    5,000 units cost an extra ₦15,000.
                       Therefore:    The variable cost per unit = ₦15,000/5,000 units = ₦3 per unit
                       Step 4: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions (either
                       high or low).
                       Total cost of 22,000 units:
                              Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦195,000
                              Fixed cost + (22,000  ₦3) = ₦195,000
                              Fixed cost + ₦66,000 = ₦195,000
                              Fixed cost = ₦195,000  ₦66,000 = ₦129,000
                       Step 5: Construct total cost function (unadjusted level) above 19,000 units
                              Total cost = a +bx = 129,000 + 3x
                       Step 6: Construct total cost function below 19,000 units
                              Total cost = a +bx = (129,000  15,000) + 3x
                              Total cost = a +bx = 114,000 + 3x
               The cost functions can be used to estimate total costs associated with a level as
               appropriate.
© Emile Woolf International                           32            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example: High/low method
                 The company is planning to make 20,000 units and wishes to estimate the total
                 costs associated with that level of production.
                                              Total cost = ₦129,000 + ₦3x
                       Total cost of 20,000 units = 129,000 + (₦3  20,000) = ₦189,000
               The step increase in fixed costs is given as a percentage amount
               When the step change in fixed costs between two activity levels is given as a
               percentage amount, the problem is a bit more complex.
               The costs associated with a third activity level must be found. This activity level
               could be either side of the activity level that triggers the step increase in fixed
               costs. This means that there are two activity levels which share the same fixed
               cost (though it is unknown).These can be compared to identify the variable cost.
               The fixed cost at any level can then be calculated by substitution and the fixed
               cost the other side of the step can be calculated from the first fixed cost.
                 Example: High/low method with step in fixed costs
                 A company has identified that total fixed costs increase by 20% when activity level
                 equals or exceeds 7,500 units. The variable cost per unit is constant over this
                 range of activity.
                 The company has identified the following costs at three activity levels. (Step 1)
                                                              Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                       11,000                     276,000
                       Middle                                        8,000                    240,000
                       Low                                           5,000                    180,000
                       Step 2: Choose the pair which is on the same side as the step.
                                                              Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                       11,000                     276,000
                       Middle                                        8,000                    240,000
                       Step 3: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
                       calculate the variable cost:
                                                              Production (units)          Total cost (₦)
                       High                                       11,000                    276,000
                       Middle                                        8,000                    240,000
                                                                     3,000                     36,000
                       Therefore:    3,000 units cost an extra ₦36,000.
                       Therefore:    The variable cost per unit = ₦36,000/3,000 units = ₦12 per unit
                       Step 4: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions
© Emile Woolf International                           35            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                       Total cost of 11,000 units:
                              Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦276,000
                              Fixed cost + (11,000  ₦12) = ₦276,000
                              Fixed cost + ₦132,000 = ₦276,000
                              Fixed cost = ₦276,000  ₦132,000 = ₦144,000
                       Step 5: Construct total cost function above 7,500 units
                              Total cost = a +bx = 144,000 + 12x
                       Step 6: Construct total cost function below 7,500 units
                              Total cost = a +bx = (144,000  100/120) + 12x
                              Total cost = a +bx = 120,000 + 12x
               The cost functions can be used to estimate total costs associated with a level as
               appropriate.
       3.5 High/low analysis with a change in the variable cost per unit
               High/low analysis can also be used when there is a change in the variable cost
               per unit between the ‘high’ and the ‘low’ levels of activity. The same approach is
               needed as for a step change in fixed costs, as described above.
               When the change in the variable cost per unit is given as a percentage amount, a
               third ‘in between’ estimate of costs should be used, and the variable cost per unit
               will be the same for:
                      the ‘in between’ activity level and
                      either the ‘high’ or the ‘low’ activity level.
               High/low analysis may be applied to the two costs and activity levels for which
               unit variable costs are the same, to obtain an estimate for the variable cost per
               unit and the total fixed costs at these activity levels. The variable cost per unit at
               the third activity level can then be calculated making a suitable adjustment for the
               percentage change.
© Emile Woolf International                            36           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: High/low method with step in fixed costs
                 A company has identified that total fixed costs are constant over all levels of
                 activity but there is a 10% reduction in the variable cost per unit above 24,000
                 units of activity. This reduction applies to all units of activity, not just the additional
                 units above 24,000.
                 The company has identified the following costs at three activity levels. (Step 1)
                                                             Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                      30,000                     356,000
                       Middle                                       25,000                    320,000
                       Low                                          20,000                    300,000
                       Step 2: Choose the pair which is on the same side as the change.
                                                             Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                      30,000                     356,000
                       Middle                                       25,000                    320,000
                       Step 3: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
                       calculate the variable cost:
                                                             Production (units)           Total cost (₦)
                       High                                      30,000                     356,000
                       Middle                                       25,000                    320,000
                                                                     5,000                     36,000
                       Therefore:    5,000 units cost an extra ₦36,000.
                       Therefore:    The variable cost per unit above 24,000 units
                                                    = ₦36,000/5,000 units = ₦7.2 per unit
                       Therefore:    The variable cost per unit below 24,000 units
                                                  = ₦7.2 per unit  100/90 = ₦8 per unit
                       Step 4: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions
                       Total cost of 30,000 units:
                                Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦356,000
                                Fixed cost + (30,000  ₦7.2) = ₦356,000
                                Fixed cost + ₦216,000 = ₦356,000
                                Fixed cost = ₦356,000  ₦216,000 = ₦140,000
                       Step 5: Construct total cost function above 24,000 units
                                Total cost = a +bx = 140,000 + 7.2x
                       Step 6: Construct total cost function below 24,000 units
                                Total cost = a +bx = 140,000 + 8x
               The cost functions can be used to estimate total costs associated with a level as
               appropriate.
© Emile Woolf International                           36            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
4      LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             The purpose of linear regression analysis
             The linear regression formulae
             Linear regression analysis and forecasting
       4.1 The purpose of linear regression analysis
               Linear regression analysis is a statistical technique for calculating a line of best fit
               from a set of data:
               y = a + bx
               The data is in ‘pairs’, which means that there are different values for x, and for
               each value of x there is an associated value of y in the data.
               Linear regression analysis can be used to estimate fixed costs and the variable
               cost per unit from historical data for total costs. It is an alternative to the high-low
               method.
               Linear regression analysis can also be used to predict future sales by projecting
               the historical sales trend into the future (on the assumption that sales growth is
               rising at a constant rate, in a ‘straight line’).
               Regression analysis and high-low analysis compared
               There are important differences between linear regression analysis and the high-
               low method.
                      High-low analysis uses just two sets of data for x and y, the highest value
                       for x and the lowest value for x. Regression analysis uses as many sets of
                       data for x and y as are available.
                      Because regression analysis calculates a line of best fit for all the available
                       data, it is likely to provide a more reliable estimate than high-low analysis
                       for the values of a and b.
                      In addition, regression analysis can be used to assess the extent to which
                       values of y depend on values of x. For example, if a line of best fit is
                       calculated that estimates total costs for any volume of production, we can
                       also calculate the extent to which total costs do seem to be linked (or
                       ‘correlated’) to the volume of production. This is done by calculating a
                       correlation co-efficient, which is explained later.
                      Regression analysis uses more complex arithmetic than high-low analysis,
                       and a calculator or small spreadsheet model is normally needed
               In summary, linear regression analysis is a better technique than high-low
               analysis because:
                      it is more reliable and
                      its reliability can be measured.
© Emile Woolf International                         37           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       4.2 The linear regression formulae
               Linear regression analysis is a statistical technique for calculating a line of best fit
               where there are different values for x, and for each value of x there is an
               associated value of y in the data.
               The linear regression formulae for calculating a and b are shown below.
                 Formula: Regression analysis formula
                 Given a number of pairs of data a line of best fit (y = a + bx) can be constructed by
                 calculating values for a and b using the following formulae.
                       Where:
                       x, y = values of pairs of data.
                       n=      the number of pairs of values for x and y.
                       =       A sign meaning the sum of. (The capital of the Greek letter
                                sigma).
                       x=     Independent variable (units of activity)
                       y = Dependent variable (Amounts / Costs)
                       a = Fixed costs / y intercept
                       b = Variable costs per unit of activity /Slope/Gradient/Regression
                             coefficient.
                       Note: the term b must be calculated first as it is used in calculating a.
               Approach
                      Set out the pairs of data in two columns, with one column for the values of
                       x and the second column for the associated values of y. (For example, x for
                       output and y for total cost.
                      Set up a column for x², calculate the square of each value of x and enter
                       the value in the x² column.
                      Set up a column for xy and for each pair of data multiply x by y and enter
                       the value in the xy column.
                      Sum each column.
                      Enter the values into the formulae and solve for b and then a. (It must be in
                       this order as you need b to find a).
               Linear regression analysis is widely used in economics and business. One
               application is that it can be used to estimate fixed costs and variable cost per unit
               (or number of units) from historical total cost data.
© Emile Woolf International                            38         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                      Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
               The following example illustrates this use
                 Example: Linear regression analysis
                 A company has recorded the following output levels and associated costs in the
                 past six months:
                     Month        Output (000      Total cost
                                    of units)        (₦m)
                     January           5.8            40.3
                       February              7.7               47.1
                       March                 8.2               48.7
                       April                 6.1               40.6
                       May                   6.5               44.5
                       June                  7.5               47.1
                       Required: Construct the equation of a line of best fit for this data.
                       Working:
                                            x             y                x2             xy
                       January             5.8          40.3               33.64         233.74
                       February            7.7          47.1               59.29         362.67
                       March               8.2          48.7               67.24         399.34
                       April               6.1          40.6               37.21         247.66
                       May                 6.5          44.5               42.25         289.25
                       June                7.5          47.1               56.25         353.25
                                           41.8         268.3             295.88       1,885.91
                                           = x         = y            = x  2
                                                                                        = xy
                                                   This is the cost in millions of naira of making
                                                   1,000 units
                       Line of best fit:
© Emile Woolf International                             39               The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       4.3 Linear regression analysis and forecasting
               Once derived, the cost function can be used to estimate the cost associated with
               levels of activity outside the range of observed data. Thus it can be used to
               forecast costs associated with future planned activity levels.
                 Example: Linear regression analysis
                 The company is planning to make 9,000 units and wishes to estimate the total
                 costs associated with that level of production.
               Linear regression analysis can also be used to forecast other variables (e.g.
               demand, sales volumes etc.).
               This is done by constructing an equation to describe a change in value over time.
               Regression analysis is carried out in the usual way with time periods identified as
               the independent variable. The dependent variable under scrutiny can then be
               estimated for various periods into the future.
               This rests on the assumption that a linear trend in the past will continue into the
               future.
© Emile Woolf International                       40           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
5      MARGINAL COSTING AND ABSORPTION COSTING
         Section overview
             Absorption costing
             Marginal costing
             The difference in profit between marginal costing and absorption costing
             Advantages and disadvantages of absorption costing
             Advantages and disadvantages of marginal costing
       5.1 Absorption costing
               Absorption costing measures cost of a product or a service as:
                      its direct costs (direct materials, direct labour and sometimes direct
                       expenses and variable production overheads); plus
                      a share of fixed production overhead costs.
               It is a system of costing in which a share of fixed overhead costs is added to
               direct costs and variable production overheads, to obtain a full cost.
               This might be:
                      a full production cost, or
                      a full cost of sale
               This was covered in an earlier chapter but a brief revision is provided here for
               your convenience.
                      Production overheads are indirect costs. This means that the costs (unlike
                       direct costs) cannot be attributed directly to specific items (products) for
                       which a cost is calculated.
                      A ‘fair’ share of overhead costs is added to the direct costs of the product,
                       using an absorption rate.
                      A suitable absorption rate is selected. This is usually a rate per direct
                       labour hour, a rate per machine hour, a rate per amount of material or
                       possibly a rate per unit of product.
                      Production overheads may be calculated for the factory as a whole;
                       alternatively, separate absorption rates may be calculated for each different
                       production department. (However, it is much more likely that a question
                       involving absorption costing will give a factory-wide absorption rate rather
                       than separate departmental absorption rates.)
                      The overhead absorption rate (or rates) is determined in advance for the
                       financial year. It is calculated as follows:
© Emile Woolf International                         41           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Formula: Overhead absorption rate
                                    Total allocated and apportioned overheads
                                          Volume of activity in the period
                       Which is:
                              Budgeted production overhead expenditure for the period
                                          Budgeted activity in the period
               The ‘activity’ is the number of labour hours in the year, the number of machine
               hours or the number of units produced, depending on the basis of absorption
               (labour hour rate, machine hour rate or rate per unit) that is selected.
               Under- and over-absorption
               Overhead absorption rates are decided in advance (before the period under
               review).
               Actual overhead expenditure and actual production volume might differ from the
               estimates used in the budget to work out the absorption rate.
               As a consequence, the amount of overheads added to the cost of products
               manufactured is likely to be different from actual overhead expenditure in the
               period. The difference is under- or over-absorbed overheads.
                 Illustration: Under of over-absorbed fixed overhead
                                                                                              ₦
                       Amount absorbed:
                          Actual number of units               Predetermined
                          made (or hours used)               absorption rate
                                                                                               X
                       Actual expenditure in the period                                       (X)
                       Over/(under) absorbed                                                   X
               Overheads are under-absorbed when the amount of overheads absorbed into
               production costs is less than the actual amount of overhead expenditure.
               Overheads are over-absorbed when the amount of overheads absorbed into
               production costs is more than the actual amount of overhead expenditure.
© Emile Woolf International                         42          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example: Absorption costing
                 A company manufactures and sells a range of products in a single factory. Its
                 budgeted production overheads for Year 6 were ₦150,000, and budgeted direct
                 labour hours were 50,000 hours.
                 Actual results in Year 6 were as follows:
                                                                 ₦
                     Sales                                     630,000
                     Direct materials costs                    130,000
                     Direct labour costs                       160,000
                     Production overhead                       140,000       (40,000 hours)
                     Administration overhead                    70,000
                     Selling and distribution overhead          90,000
                 There was no opening or closing inventory at the beginning or end of Year 6.
                 The company uses an absorption costing system, and production overhead is
                 absorbed using a direct labour hour rate.
                 The above information would be used as follows:
                 a. The predetermined absorption rate is ₦150,000/50,000 hours = ₦3 per direct labour
                 hour.
                 b       Under absorption                                                       ₦
                         Overhead absorbed (40,000 hours @ ₦3 per hour)                      120,000
                         Overhead incurred (actual cost)                                    (140,000)
                         Under absorption                                                     (20,000)
                 c      The full production cost:                                               ₦
                        Direct materials costs                                               130,000
                        Direct labour costs                                                  160,000
                       Production overhead absorbed (40,000 hours  ₦3)                      120,000
                      Full production cost (= cost of sales in this example)                 410,000
                 The profit for the year is reported as follows. Notice that under-absorbed overhead
                 is an adjustment that reduces the reported profit. Over-absorbed overhead would
                 be an adjustment that increases profit.
                                                                     ₦                ₦
                 d Sales                                                           630,000
                      Full production cost of sales                                 410,000
                      Under-absorbed overhead                                        20,000
                                                                                     (430,000)
                                                                                      200,000
                       Administration overhead                     70,000
                       Selling and distribution overhead           90,000
                                                                                     (160,000)
                       Profit for Year 6                                                 40,000
© Emile Woolf International                          43           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The amount of under- or over-absorbed overheads is written to profit or loss for
               the year as an adjusting figure.
                      If overhead is under-absorbed overhead the profit is adjusted down
                       (because production costs have been understated)
                      If overhead is over-absorbed the profit is adjusted upwards.
               Note that the recognition of the under or over absorbed overhead in the
               statement of profit or loss results in the fixed production overhead figure (which
               was originally based on an absorption rate) being restated to the actual fixed
               overhead incurred.
                 Example: Absorption costing
                 Returning to the facts of the previous example.
                                                                                              ₦
                         Overhead absorbed (40,000 hours @ ₦3 per hour)                     120,000
                         Under absorption                                                    20,000
                         Overhead incurred (actual cost)                                    140,000
       5.2 Marginal costing
               Marginal costing is an alternative to absorption costing. In marginal costing, fixed
               production overheads are not absorbed into product costs but expensed in the
               period.
               Marginal costing is useful in decision making as it focuses on the change in total
               costs brought about by an increase or decrease in a level of activity. This is
               covered in more detail in later chapters of this text.
       5.3 The difference in profit between marginal costing and absorption costing
               The profit for an accounting period calculated with marginal costing is different
               from the profit calculated with absorption costing.
               The difference in profit is due entirely to the differences in inventory valuation.
               The main difference between absorption costing and marginal costing is that in
               absorption costing, inventory cost includes a share of fixed production overhead
               costs.
                      The opening inventory contains fixed production overhead that was
                       incurred last period. Opening inventory is written off against profit in the
                       current period. Therefore, part of the previous period’s costs are written off
                       in the current period income statement.
                      The closing inventory contains fixed production overhead that was incurred
                       in this period. Therefore, this amount is not written off in the current period
                       income statement but carried forward to be written off in the next period
                       income statement.
© Emile Woolf International                         44           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
               The implication of this is as follows (assume costs per unit remain constant):
                      When there is no change in the opening or closing inventory, exactly the
                       same profit will be reported using marginal costing and absorption costing.
                      If inventory increases in the period (closing inventory is greater than
                       opening inventory),
                              the increase is a credit to the income statement reducing the cost of
                               sales and increasing profit;
                              the increase will be bigger under total absorption valuation than under
                               marginal costing valuation (because the absorption costing inventory
                               includes fixed production overhead); therefore
                              the total absorption profit will be higher.
                      If inventory decreases in the period (closing inventory is less than opening
                       inventory),
                              the decrease is a debit to the income statement;
                              the decrease will be bigger under total absorption valuation than
                               under marginal costing valuation (because the absorption costing
                               inventory includes fixed production overhead); therefore
                              the total absorption profit will be lower.
                 Example: Absorption costing
                 Makurdi Manufacturing makes and sells a single product:
                                                                                                      ₦
                       Selling price per unit                                                        150
                       Variable production costs per unit                                             70
                       Fixed overhead per unit (see below)                                            50
                       Total absorption cost per unit (used in inventory valuation)                  120
                       Normal production                                     2,200 units per month
                       Budgeted fixed production overhead                     ₦110,000 per month
                       Fixed overhead absorption rate                        ₦110,000/2,200 units=
                                                                                 ₦50 per unit
                       The following data relates to July and August:
                                                                     July                     August
                       Fixed production costs                       ₦110,000                ₦110,000
                       Production                                  2,000 units             2,500 units
                       Sales                                        1,500 units             3,000units
                       There was no opening inventory in July.
                       This means that there is no closing inventory at the end of August as
                       production in the two months (2,000 + 2,500 units = 4,500 units) is the
                       same as the sales (1,500 + 3,000 units = 4,500 units)
© Emile Woolf International                            45           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Total absorption cost profit statement
                                                                           July              August
                       Sales:
                       1,500 units  ₦150                              225,000
                       3,000 units  ₦150                                                   450,000
                       Opening inventory                                    nil              60,000
                       Variable production costs
                        2,000 units  ₦70                               140,000
                         2,500 units  ₦70                                                  175,000
                       Fixed production costs (absorbed)
                         2,000 units  ₦50                              100,000
                         2,500 units  ₦50                                                  125,000
                       Under (over) absorption
                         200 units @ ₦50                                10,000
                         300 units @ ₦50                                                    (15,000)
                                                                        250,000             345,000
                       Closing inventory
                       500 units @ (70 + 50)                           (60,000)
                       Zero closing inventory                                                    nil
                       Cost of sale                                    (190,000)           (345,000)
                       Profit for the period                            35,000              105,000
© Emile Woolf International                        46         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                              Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example (continued): Marginal costing
                 Makurdi Manufacturing makes and sells a single product:
                                                                                                   ₦
                       Selling price per unit                                                     150
                       Variable production costs per unit                                          70
                       Budgeted fixed production overhead                ₦110,000 per month
                       The following actual data relates to July and August:
                                                                     July                  August
                       Fixed production costs                    ₦110,000                ₦110,000
                       Production                                2,000 units            2,500 units
                       Sales                                     1,500 units            3,000units
                       There was no opening inventory in July.
                       Marginal costing profit statements are as follows:
                                                                              July              August
                       Sales:
                       1,500 units  ₦150                                 225,000
                       3,000 units  ₦150                                                      450,000
                       Opening inventory                                      nil               35,000
                       Variable production costs
                       Direct material: 2,000 units  ₦35                   70,000
                       Direct labour: 2,000 units  ₦25                     50,000
                       Variable overhead 2,000 units  ₦10                  20,000
                       Direct material: 2,500 units  ₦35                                       87,500
                       Direct labour: 2,500 units  ₦25                                         62,500
                       Variable overhead 2,500 units  ₦10                                      25,000
                       Closing inventory
                       500 units @ (70)                                   (35,000)
                       Zero closing inventory                                                      nil
                       Cost of sale                                       (105,000)           (210,000)
                       Contribution                                         120,000            240,000
                       Fixed production costs (expensed)                  (110,000)           (110,000)
                       Profit for the period                                10,000             130,000
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Performance management
               The difference between the two profit figures is calculated as follows:
                 Formula: Profit difference under absorption costing (TAC = total absorption costing)
                 and marginal costing (MC)
                 Assuming cost per unit is constant across all periods under consideration.
                 Number of units increase or decrease  fixed production overhead per unit
               Returning to the previous example:
                 Example(continued): Profit difference
                                                                                              Over the two
                                                             July              August           months
                                                             ₦                   ₦                  ₦
                       Absorption costing profit           35,000             105,000            140,000
                       Marginal costing profit             10,000             130,000            140,000
                       Profit difference                   25,000             (25,000)               nil
                       This profit can be explained the different way the inventory movement is
                       costed under each system:
                                                              Units         Units       Units
                       Closing inventory                                          nil                nil
                       2,000 units made less 1,500
                       sold                                  500
                       Opening inventory                      nil                500                 nil
                                                             500                (500)                nil
                       Absorbed fixed production
                       overhead per unit (₦)                 50                   50                 50
                       Profit difference (₦)               25,000             (25,000)               nil
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                                                            Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
               Note that the difference is entirely due to the movement in inventory value:
                 Example: Profit difference – due to inventory movement
                                                                                           Over the two
                       TAC inventory movement:              July            August           months
                                                             ₦                 ₦                  ₦
                       Closing inventory                  60,000              nil                 nil
                       Opening inventory                    nil            (60,000)               nil
                                                          60,000           (60,000)               nil
                       MC inventory movement:
                       Closing inventory                  35,000              nil                 nil
                       Opening inventory                    nil            (35,000)               nil
                                                          35,000           (35,000)               nil
                       Profit difference                  25,000           (25,000)               nil
                 Example: MC vs TAC
                 A company manufactures and sells a product.
                 The following information is relevant about the product
                                                                                                      ₦
                       Selling price per unit                                                         35
                       Variable cost per unit                                                         8
                       Fixed cost per unit (based on budgeted overhead of ₦120,000
                       and normal level of activity of 20,000 units).                                   6
                                                                                                   Units
                       Opening inventory                                                            4,000
                       Actual production                                                           20,000
                       Closing inventory                                                            3,000
                       Therefore, sales are (4,000 + 20,000 – 3,000)                               21,000
© Emile Woolf International                        49            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): MC vs TAC
                 Operating statements can be prepared as follows:
                                                                       MC                         TAC
                       Sales (21,000  ₦35)                       735,000                      735,000
                       Cost of sales
                         MC = (21,000  ₦8)                      (168,000)
                         TAC = (21,000  ₦14)                                                 (294,000)
                       Fixed production cost                     (120,000)
                                                                  447,000                      441,000
                       The profit figures are reconciled as follows:
                                                                       Units
                       Opening inventory                                4,000
                       Closing inventory                                3,000
                       Decrease                                         1,000
                       Difference in cost per unit                        ₦6
                                                                   ₦6,000
                                                                                                    ₦
                       MC profit                                                               447,000
                       Inventory valuation difference                                             (6,000)
                       TAC profit                                                              441,000
© Emile Woolf International                           50          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Practice question                                                                          1
                 The following information is relevant about a product
                                                                                                      ₦
                       Selling price per unit                                                         35
                       Variable cost per unit                                                         8
                       Fixed cost per unit (based on budgeted overhead of ₦120,000
                       and normal level of activity of 20,000 units).                                  6
                                                                                                    Units
                       Opening inventory                                                             2,000
                       Actual production                                                            20,000
                       Closing inventory                                                             4,000
                       Therefore, sales are (2,000 + 20,000 – 4,000)                                18,000
                       Required:
                       Prepare MC and TAC operating statements and reconcile the profit
                       difference.
                 Practice question                                                                          2
                 A company manufactures and sells product X.
                 The following information is relevant about the product:
                                                                                                      ₦
                       Selling price per unit                                                         50
                       Variable cost per unit                                                         30
                       Fixed cost per unit (based on budgeted overhead of ₦100,000                     4
                       and normal level of activity of 25,000 units).
                                                                                                    Units
                       Opening inventory                                                             2,000
                       Closing inventory                                                             1,500
                       Actual production                                                           25,500
                       Required
                       a)     Prepare a marginal cost profit statement.
                       b)     Prepare an absorption cost profit statement. (Remember to adjust for
                              the over absorption of overhead).
                       c)     Reconcile the two profit figures by comparing the impact of the
                              inventory movement under each approach.
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Performance management
       5.4 Advantages and disadvantages of absorption costing
               Advantages of absorption costing
                      Inventory values include an element of fixed production overheads. This is
                       consistent with the requirement in financial accounting that (for the purpose
                       of financial reporting) inventory should include production overhead costs.
                      Calculating under/over absorption of overheads may be useful in controlling
                       fixed overhead expenditure.
                      By calculating the full cost of sale for a product and comparing it will the
                       selling price, it should be possible to identify which products are profitable
                       and which are being sold at a loss.
               Disadvantages of absorption costing
                      Absorption costing is a more complex costing system than marginal
                       costing.
                      Absorption costing does not provide information that is useful for decision
                       making (like marginal costing does).
       5.5 Advantages and disadvantages of marginal costing
               Advantages of marginal costing
                      It is easy to account for fixed overheads using marginal costing. Instead of
                       being apportioned they are treated as period costs and written off in full as
                       an expense the income statement for the period when they occur.
                      There is no under/over-absorption of overheads with marginal costing, and
                       therefore no adjustment necessary in the income statement at the end of
                       an accounting period.
                      Marginal costing provides useful information for decision making.
                      Contribution per unit is constant, unlike profit per unit which varies as the
                       volume of activity varies.
               Disadvantages of marginal costing
                      Marginal costing does not value inventory in accordance with the
                       requirements of financial reporting. (However, for the purpose of cost
                       accounting and providing management information, there is no reason why
                       inventory values should include fixed production overhead, other than
                       consistency with the financial accounts.)
                      Marginal costing can be used to measure the contribution per unit of
                       product, or the total contribution earned by a product, but this is not
                       sufficient to decide whether the product is profitable enough. Total
                       contribution has to be big enough to cover fixed costs and make a profit.
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                                                             Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
6      ACTIVITY BASED COSTING
         Section overview
             Criticisms of absorption costing
             Introduction to activity based costing
             Activities
             Cost drivers and cost pools
             When using ABC might be appropriate
             Advantages and disadvantages of ABC
       6.1 Criticisms of absorption costing
               Traditional absorption costing has many weaknesses, especially in a ‘modern’
               manufacturing environment.
                      Production overhead costs are often high relative to direct production costs.
                       Therefore, a system of adding overhead costs to product costs by using
                       time spent in production (direct labour hours or machine hours) is difficult to
                       justify.
                      A full cost of production has only restricted value for many types of
                       management decision.
               However, traditional absorption costing is still in use with some companies.
                      It provides a rational method of charging overhead costs to production
                       costs, so that a full cost of production can be calculated for closing
                       inventories.
                      It is also argued that absorption costing is useful for some pricing decisions.
                       (Pricing is covered in a later paper).
               A number of alternative costing methods have been developed with a view to
               replacing the traditional methods. One such method is activity-based costing.
       6.2 Introduction to activity-based costing
               Activity-based costing (ABC) is a form of absorption costing that takes a different
               approach to the apportionment and absorption of production overhead costs.
               Activity-based costing is based on the following ideas:
                      In a modern manufacturing environment, a large proportion of total costs
                       are overhead costs, and direct labour costs are relatively small.
                      It is appropriate to trace these costs as accurately as possible to the
                       products that create the cost because overhead costs are large.
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Performance management
                      The traditional methods of absorbing production overhead costs on the
                       basis of direct labour hours or machine hours have no rational justification
                       as many production overhead costs are not directly related to the
                       production work that is carried out. For example:
                             The costs of quality control and inspection depend on the quality
                              standards and inspection methods that are used: these do not
                              necessarily relate to the number of hours worked in production.
                             The costs of processing and chasing customer orders through the
                              factory relate more to the volume of customer orders rather than the
                              hours worked on each job in production.
                             Costs of managing the raw materials inventories (storage costs)
                              relate more to the volume of materials handled rather than hours
                              worked on the material in production.
                             The costs of production relate more to the volume and complexity of
                              customer orders or the number of batch production runs, rather than
                              hours worked in production.
       6.3 Activities
               Activity-based costing (ABC) takes the view that many production overhead costs
               can be associated with particular activities other than direct production work.
               If such activities can be identified and costs linked to them overhead costs can
               then be added to product costs by using a separate absorption rate for each
               activity.
               ABC costing of overheads and estimate of full production costs is therefore based
               on activities, rather than hours worked in production.
               Identifying activities
               A problem with introducing activity-based costing is deciding which activities
               create or ‘drive’ overhead costs.
               There are many different activities within a manufacturing company, and it is not
               always clear which activities should be used for costing.
               Activities might include, for example:
                      materials handling and storage;
                      customer order processing and chasing;
                      purchasing;
                      quality control and inspection;
                      production planning; and
                      repairs and maintenance.
               These activities are not necessarily confined to single functional departments
               within production departments.
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                                                            Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
               Although ABC is often concerned with production costs, it can also be applied to
               activities outside production, such as sales and distribution. Sales and distribution
               activities might include:
                      selling activities;
                      warehousing and despatch; and
                      after-sales service.
               In a system of activity-based costing, it is preferable to select a fairly small
               number of activities. If a large number of activities are selected, the costing
               system could become too complex and time-consuming to operate.
               The activities are selected on the basis of management judgement and
               experience, and their knowledge of the activities within manufacturing.
       6.4 Cost drivers and cost pools
               Cost drivers
               For each activity, there should be a cost driver. A cost driver is the factor that
               determines the cost of the activity. It is something that will cause the costs for an
               activity to increase as more of the activity is performed.
               Overhead costs are therefore caused by activities, and the costs of activities are
               driven by factors other than production volume.
               Each cost driver must be a factor that can be measured so that the number of
               units of the cost driver that have occurred during each period can be established.
               Possible examples include:
                 Activity                     Possible cost driver          Information needed for
                                                                            ABC
                 Customer order               Number of customer            Number of orders for
                 Processing                   orders                        each product
                 Materials purchasing         Number of purchase            Number of orders for
                                              orders                        materials for each
                                                                            finished product
                 Quality control and          Number of inspections         Number of inspections
                 inspection                                                 of output of each
                                                                            product
                 Production planning          Number of production          Number of runs or
                                              runs or batches               batches of each product
                 Repairs and                  Number of machines, or        Number of machines or
                 Maintenance                  machine hours operated        machine hours worked
                                                                            for each product
                 Selling                      Number of sales orders        Number of orders for
                                                                            each product
                 Warehousing and              Number of deliveries          Number of deliveries for
                 dispatch                     Made                          each product
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Performance management
               Cost pools
               A cost pool is simply the overhead expenditure allocated and apportioned to an
               activity. Overhead costs are allocated (or allocated and apportioned) to each
               activity, and for each activity there is a ‘cost pool’.
               ABC absorbs overheads into the cost of products (or services) at a separate rate
               for each cost pool (each activity).
               The total production cost for each product or service is therefore direct production
               costs plus absorbed overheads for each activity.
               The cost absorbed under ABC might be very different to that absorbed using a
               traditional, volume-based approach.
© Emile Woolf International                       56          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                            Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example: ABC vs traditional, volume based absorption
                 A manufacturing company makes four products and incurs estimated material
                 handling costs of ₦250,000 per month. (This is the cost pool for material
                 handling cost).
                 The company produces 160,000 units per month and absorbs material handling
                 cost on the number of units. This gives a material handling cost of ₦1.5625
                 (₦250,000 ÷ 160,000 units)
                 The material handling cost is absorbed as follows:
                                         Units           Unit cost        Cost absorbed
                     Product           produced            (₦)                 (₦)
                     W                  60,000           ₦1.5625            93,750
                     X                  33,000           ₦1.5625            51,563
                     Y                  40,000           ₦1.5625            62,500
                     Z                  27,000           ₦1.5625            42,187
                                       160,000           ₦1.5625            250,000
                 The company has instigated a project to see if ABC costing would be
                 appropriate.
                 The project has identified that a large part of the material handling costs are
                 incurred in receiving material orders and that the same effort goes into receiving
                 orders regardless of the size of the order. Order sizes differ substantially.
                 The company has identified the following number of orders in respect of material
                 for each type of product.
                                    Number of
                     Product         orders
                     W                 15
                     X                 22
                     Y                  4
                     Z                  9
                                          50
                 An ABC cost per order (hence cost per unit) can be estimated as follows:
                 If the cost driver for order handling is the number of orders handled, the budgeted
                 order handling cost will be ₦5,000 per order (₦250,000/50).
                 Overhead costs will be charged to products as follows:
                              Number        Cost per   Apportioned        Units
                   Product    of orders      order         cost         produced              Unit cost
                   W               15       ₦5,000         75,000          60,000                 1.25
                     X              22         ₦5,000       110,000             33,000            3.33
                     Y                4        ₦5,000         20,000            40,000            0.50
                     Z                9        ₦5,000         45,000            27,000            1.67
                                    50         ₦5,000       250,000           160,000
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Performance management
               The above example shows that the material handling overhead absorbed to each
               type of product is very different under the two approaches.
               For example, only 33,000 units of product X are made (out of a total of 160,000
               units). However, product X requires 22 orders out of a total of 60 and it is the
               number of orders that drive this cost.
               The traditional approach recognised ₦51,563 as relating to product but ABC,
               using the number of orders as the driver results in ₦110,000 being absorbed by
               product X.
               The above example shows the difference between traditional absorption and
               ABC using a single cost. In reality there would be more than one activity used as
               a basis for absorption leading to a series of absorption rates (per activity).
               Also note that one of the absorption methods might be a volume-based method.
               The point is that traditional absorption methods treat all costs as varying
               according to a volume measure whereas ABC splits the total and treats each part
               of the total cost according to what drives it.
                 Example: ABC
                 A company makes three products, X, Y and Z using the same direct labour
                 employees and the same machine for production.
                 Production details for the three products for a typical period are as follows:
                                    Labour       Machine        Material        Number of
                                   hours per     hours per      cost per          units
                                     unit          unit         unit (₦)        produced
                     Product X       0.25           0.75          100               1,500
                     Product Y       0.75           0.50            60              2,500
                     Product Z       0.50           1.50          120             14,000
                 Direct labour costs ₦160 per hour.
                 Total production overheads are ₦1,309,000 and further analysis shows that the
                 total production overheads can be divided as follows:
                                                                            ₦
                     Costs relating to machinery                          196,350
                     Costs relating to inspection                         458,150
                     Costs relating to set-ups                            392,700
                     Costs relating to materials handling                 261,800
                     Total production overhead                           1,309,000
© Emile Woolf International                         58           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example (continued): ABC
                 The following total activity volumes are associated with each product for the
                 period:
                                                                        Number of
                                     Number of       Number            movements                Machine
                                    inspections     of set-ups         of materials              hours
                     Product X        360                 80                 40                    1,125
                     Product Y          80              120                  80                    1,250
                     Product Z        960               500                280                   21,000
                                     1,400              700                400                   23,375
                 Machine costs are absorbed on a machine hour basis.
                 The costs per unit for each product may be estimated as follows using ABC
                 principles.
                       Step 1: Cost per activity
                                        Cost                                                     Overhead
                                      allocated                            Activity per          absorption
                       Activity          (₦)            Cost driver          period                 rate
                                                                                               ₦327.25 per
                       Inspection       458,150         Inspections            1,400            inspection
                                                                                              ₦561 per set-
                       Set-ups          392,700           Set-ups                 700             up
                       Materials                                                               ₦654.50 per
                       handling         261,800         Movements                 400           movement
                       Machinery                                                               ₦8.40 per
                       operations       196,350         Machine hrs          23,375           machine hour
                       Total          1,309,000
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Performance management
                 Example (continued): ABC
                      Step 2: Allocate overheads to product types based on cost per activity and
                      cost drivers
                                                              X                   Y                  Z
                                                              ₦                   ₦                  ₦
                      Set-ups
                         80 set ups  ₦561                  44,880
                         120 set ups  ₦561                                     67,320
                         500 set ups  ₦561                                                      280,500
                      Inspection
                         360 set ups  ₦327.25            117,810
                         80 set ups  ₦327.25                                   26,180
                         960 set ups  ₦327.25                                                   314,160
                      Materials handling
                         40 movements  ₦654.50             26,180
                         80 movements  ₦654.50                                 52,360
                         280 movements  ₦654.50                                                 183,260
                      Machinery operations
                       1,125 hours  ₦8.40                   9,450
                         1,250 hours  ₦8.40                                    10,500
                         21,000 hours  ₦8.40                                                    176,400
                      Overhead costs per product           198,320             156,360           954,320
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                                                                  Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example (continued): ABC
                      Step 3: Calculate overhead per unit (if required)
                                                              X                     Y                    Z
                      Overhead costs per product
                      (from step 2)                        ₦198,320           ₦156,360             ₦954,320
                      Number of units                       1,500                2,500               14,000
                      Overhead cost per unit               ₦132.21              ₦62.54               ₦68.17
                      Step 4: Calculate total production cost per unit (if required)
                      Production cost per unit: ABC                 X                    Y                   Z
                                                                    ₦                    ₦                   ₦
                      Direct materials                            100.00                60.00           120.00
                      Direct labour                                40.00                120.00               80.00
                      Production overhead (from step3)            132.21                 62.54               68.17
                      Full production cost per unit               272.21                242.50           268.17
               Although ABC is a form of absorption costing, the effect of ABC could be to
               allocate overheads in a completely different way between products. Product costs
               and product profitability will therefore be very different with ABC compared with
               traditional absorption costing.
       6.5 When using ABC might be appropriate
               Activity-based costing could be suitable as a method of costing in the following
               circumstances:
                      In a manufacturing environment, where absorption costing is required for
                       inventory valuations.
                      Where a large proportion of production costs are overhead costs, and direct
                       labour costs are relatively small.
                      Where products are complex.
                      Where products are provided to customer specifications.
                      Where order sizes differ substantially, and order handling and despatch
                       activity costs are significant.
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Performance management
       6.6 Advantages and disadvantages of ABC
               Advantages
                      ABC provides useful information about the activities that drive overhead
                       costs. Traditional absorption costing and marginal costing do not do this.
                      ABC also provides information that could be relevant to long-term cost
                       control and long-term product selection or product pricing.
                      With ABC, overheads are charged to products on the basis of the activities
                       that are required to provide the product: Each product should therefore be
                       charged with a ‘fair share’ of overhead cost that represents the activities
                       that go into making and selling it.
                      It might be argued that full product costs obtained with ABC are more
                       ‘realistic’, although it can also be argued that full product cost information is
                       actually of little practical use or meaning for management.
                      There is also an argument that in the long-run, all overhead costs are
                       variable (even though they are fixed in the short-term). Measuring costs
                       with ABC might therefore provide management with useful information for
                       controlling activities and long-term costs.
               Disadvantages
                      ABC systems are costly to design and use. The costs might not justify the
                       benefits.
                      The analysis of costs in an ABC system may be based on unreliable data
                       and weak assumptions. In particular, ABC systems may be based on
                       inappropriate activities and cost pools, and incorrect assumptions about
                       cost drivers.
                      ABC provides an analysis of historical costs. Decision-making by
                       management should be based on expectations of future cash flows.
                      Within ABC systems, there is still a large amount of overhead cost
                       apportionment. General overhead costs such as rental costs, insurance
                       costs and heating and lighting costs may be apportioned between cost
                       pools. This reduces the causal link between the cost driver and the activity
                       cost.
                      Many ABC systems are based on just a small number of cost pools and
                       cost drivers. More complex systems are difficult to justify, on grounds of
                       cost.
                      Identifying the most suitable cost driver for a cost pool/activity is often
                       difficult. Many activities and cost pools have more than one cost driver.
                      Traditional cost accounting systems may be more appropriate for the
                       purpose of inventory valuation and financial reporting.
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7      ETHICS IN PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
         Section overview
             ICAN’s Code of Ethics
          Threats for accountants in business
          Preparation and reporting of accounting information
       7.1 ICAN’s Code of Ethics
               Accountants in business may sometimes find themselves in a situation where
               their professional values are in conflict with their responsibilities in their job.
               ICAN’s Professional Code of Conduct provides rules and guidance that members
               and student members must follow when ethical issues arise.
               ICAN’s Code of Ethics sets out five fundamental principles of ethical behaviour
               for accountants. These are:
                      integrity;
                      objectivity: accountants should not allow bias, conflicts of interest or undue
                       influence of others to override their objectivity and judgement;
                      professional competence and due care: accountants have a duty to
                       maintain their professional knowledge and skill and they should not
                       undertake work where they do not have sufficient knowledge to do the work
                       well;
                      confidentiality: accountants must respect the confidentiality of information
                       acquired in their work and should not disclose such information to third
                       parties without authority; and
                      professional behaviour.
               Integrity
               Members should be straightforward and honest in all professional and business
               relationships. Integrity implies not just honesty but also fair dealing and
               truthfulness.
               For example, an accountant preparing performance information must not be
               associated with reports, returns, or any other communications where they believe
               that the information:
                      Contains a materially false or misleading statement;
                      Contains statements or information furnished recklessly; or
                      Omits or obscures information where the omission or obscurity would be
                       misleading.
       7.2 Threats for accountants in business
               Working for an employer should have no bearing on the requirement for
               accountants to respect the five fundamental principles. The work of accountants
               will often further the aims of their employer, and this is not a problem except
               when circumstances arise that create a conflict with their duty to comply with the
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               fundamental principles. Threats to compliance with the fundamental principles
               may arise due to:
                      self-interest;
                      self-review;
                      advocacy;
                      familiarity; and
                      intimidation.
               Accountants in business are often responsible for the preparation of accounting
               information.
               They must not prepare financial information in a way that is misleading. However
               threats to compliance with the fundamental principles may arise in the area of
               performance management, for example where accountants may be tempted or
               may come under pressure to produce misleading performance reports or
               forecasts.
               Accountants responsible for the preparation of financial information must ensure
               that the information is technically correct and is adequately disclosed.
               There is danger of influence from senior managers to present figures that inflate
               profits or assets. This puts the accountant in a difficult position. On one hand,
               they wish to prepare proper information and on the other hand, there is a
               possibility they might lose their job if they do not comply with their manager’s
               wishes.
               Self- interest threats
               Self-interest threats may occur as a result of the financial or other personal
               interests of an accountant or their immediate or close family members. Self-
               interest may tempt an accountant to withhold information that might damage
               them financially or get them into trouble with their bosses.
               Examples of circumstances that may create self-interest threats in performance
               management include:
                      Incentive compensation arrangements: an accountant’s bonus may depend
                       on improvements in reported efficiencies or profitability
                      Inappropriate personal use of company assets
                      Concern about job security
                      Commercial pressures from outside the employing organisation.
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                                                             Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
                 Example: Self- interest threats
                 Adeola is member of ICAN working as a unit accountant.
                 He is a member of a bonus scheme under which staff receive a bonus of 10% of
                 their annual salary if costs for the year are less than budget.
                 Adeola has been preparing a report on costs, and he has found that by omitting
                 some items of cost, the reported costs will just come in under budget, making him
                 (and his colleagues) eligible for their bonus.
                 Analysis:
                 Adeola faces a self-interest threat. He must ignore the temptation to falsify the
                 cost figures.
               Self-review threats
               Self-review threats occur when a previous judgement or decision is reviewed by
               the person who made the original judgement or decision. The temptation may be
               for the individual concerned to confirm on review that the original judgement or
               decision was correct - when it was not - instead of admitting a mistake.
                 Example: Self-interest threat
                 Kunle, an accountant with a manufacturing company, worked on a costing exercise
                 for a new product. He estimated that the unit cost for the new product would be
                 ₦100. However, he made several mistakes in his cost estimate and the actual unit
                 cost was 40% higher than he had stated.
                 After the product went into production, Kunle was asked to review his original cost
                 estimate and report on its accuracy. On carrying out the review, Kunle was alarmed
                 to find the errors he had made and was concerned that admitting his mistake
                 would damage his career prospects with his employer. He was therefore tempted
                 to report that actual unit costs for the product were very close to his original
                 estimate.
                 Analysis:
                 Kunle faces a threat to his integrity and objectivity from this self-review.
                 Kunle must admit his mistake and report the ‘correct’ actual cost of the new
                 product.
               Advocacy threats
               An accountant in business may often need to promote the organisation’s position
               by providing financial information. As long as information provided is neither false
               nor misleading such actions would not create an advocacy threat.
               Familiarity threats
               Familiarity threats occur when, because of a close relationship, members
               become too sympathetic to the interests of others. Examples of circumstances
               that may create familiarity threats include:
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                      An accountant being in a position to influence financial or non-financial
                       reporting or business decisions where an immediate or close family
                       member is in a position to benefit from that influence.
                      Long association with business contacts can influence the contents of a
                       performance report.
               Intimidation threats
               Intimidation threats occur when an individual’s conduct is influenced by fear or
               threats (for example, from an aggressive and dominating boss).
               Examples of circumstances that may create intimidation threats include:
                      Threat of dismissal or replacement over a disagreement about the way in
                       which performance information is to be reported.
                      A dominant personality attempting inappropriately to influence the content
                       of a report.
       7.3 Preparation and reporting of accounting information
               Performance reporting involves the preparation and reporting of information that
               is used mostly by managers inside the employing organisation. Such information
               may include financial or management information, for example:
                      forecasts and budgets;
                      performance statements; and
                      performance analysis.
               Information must be prepared and presented honestly.
               Threats to compliance with the fundamental principles, for example self-interest
               threats or intimidation threats to objectivity or professional competence and due
               care, may be created where an accountant in business is pressured (either by a
               boss or by the possibility of personal gain) to become associated with misleading
               information.
               The significance of such threats will depend on factors such as the source of the
               pressure and the degree to which the information is, or may be, misleading.
               The significance of the threats should be evaluated and unless they are clearly
               insignificant, safeguards should be considered and applied as necessary to
               eliminate them or reduce them to an acceptable level. Such safeguards may
               include consultation with a senior manager within the employing organisation.
               Where it is not possible to reduce the threat to an acceptable level, an
               accountant should refuse to remain associated with information they consider is
               or may be misleading.
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                                                           Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
8      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Calculate fixed and variable costs by using high-low points method
             Calculate fixed and variable costs by using regression analysis
             Calculate profit using total absorption costing and marginal costing and explain
              the difference
             Explain the difference between traditional volume based absorption methods and
              activity-based costing
             Apportion overheads using activity-based costing
             Estimate unit cost using activity-based costing
             Discuss ethical issues in performance management and compliance with ICAN’s
              Code of Ethics
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       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                          1
               Operating statements can be prepared as follows:
                                                                  MC                            TAC
               Sales (18,000  ₦35)                            630,000                       630,000
               Cost of sales
                 MC = (18,000  ₦8)                            (144,000)
                 TAC = (18,000  ₦14)                                                       (252,000)
               Fixed production cost                           (120,000)
                                                               366,000                       378,000
               The profit figures are reconciled as follows:
                                                                 Units
               Opening inventory                                   2,000
               Closing inventory                                  (4,000)
               Increase                                            2,000
               Difference in cost per unit                             ₦6
                                                               ₦12,000
                                                                                                ₦
               MC profit                                                                     366,000
               Inventory valuation difference                                                  12,000
               TAC profit                                                                    378,000
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                                                            Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control
         Solutions                                                                                         2
         a)      Marginal cost profit statement.
                                                                             Per unit
                                                               Units           (₦)             ₦000
                 Sales (balancing figure)                    26,000             50             1,300
                 Cost of sales
                   Opening inventory                           2,000            30                 60
                   Actual production                         25,500             30               765
                   Closing inventory                          (1,500)           30                (45)
                                                             26,000             30              (780)
                 Fixed costs (25,000  ₦4)                                                      (100)
                                                                                                420
                 Alternatively:
                 Marginal cost profit statement.                                               ₦000
                 Sales (26,000 units  ₦50)                                                    1,300
                 Variable production costs (26,000  ₦30)                                      (780)
                 Fixed costs (25,000  ₦4)                                                     (100)
                 Marginal cost profit                                                           420
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         Solutions (continued)                                                                                2
         b)      Absorption cost profit statement
                                                                                Per unit
                                                                  Units           (₦)             ₦000
                 Sales                                           26,000            50            1,300
                 Cost of sales
                 Opening inventory                                2,000            34                 68
                 Actual production
                 Variable production costs                       25,500            30               765
                 Fixed production costs Over                     25,500             4               102
                 absorption                                        (500)            4                  (2)
                                                                                                    865
                 Closing inventory                               (1,500)           34                (51)
                                                                 26,000            34              (882)
                                                                                                   418
                 Alternatively:
         b)      Absorption cost profit statement                                                 ₦000
                 Sales (26,000 units  ₦50)                                                       1,300
                 Variable costs (26,000  ₦30)                                                      (780)
                 Fixed costs (26,000  ₦4)                                                          (104)
                 Over absorption of fixed overhead (500 units  ₦4)                                    2
                                                                                                     418
                 The profit figures are reconciled as follows:
                                                                   Units
                 Opening inventory                                   2,000
                 Closing inventory                                  1,500
                 Decrease                                              500
                 Difference in cost per unit                              ₦4
                                                                  ₦2,000
                                                                                                  ₦
                 MC profit                                                                     420,000
                 Inventory valuation difference                                                  (2,000)
                 TAC profit                                                                    418,000
© Emile Woolf International                         70            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                      3
     Skills level
     Performance management
                                                            CHAPTER
                                         Modern management
                                        accounting techniques
 Contents
 1     The relevance of traditional management accounting
       systems
 2     Target costing
 3     Life cycle costing
 4     Throughput accounting
 5     Backflush accounting
 6     Environmental accounting
 7     Kaizen costing
 8     Product profitability analysis
 9     Segment profitability analysis
 10    Chapter review
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INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 A     Cost planning and control
       2     Cost planning and control for competitive advantage
             a     Discuss and apply the principles of:
                   i     Target costing;
                   ii    Life cycle costing;
                   iii   Theory of constraints (TOC);
                   iv    Throughput accounting;
                   v     Back flush accounting;
                   vi    Environmental accounting; and
                   vii Kaizen costing.
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             c     Apply relevant cost concept to short term management decisions
                   including …… product and segment profitability analysis, etc.
Exam context
This chapter explains each of the above topics in turn.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Describe target costing and how target cost is determined
      Apply the target costing tools to given scenarios
      Explain lifecycle costing
      Explain throughput accounting and solve throughput accounting problems
      Explain and apply backflush accounting
      Explain and apply environmental accounting
      Explain Kaizen costing
      Explain and calculate product profitability
      Explain and calculate segment profitability using full cost and contribution approaches
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                                                        Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques
1      THE RELEVANCE OF TRADITIONAL MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
       SYSTEMS
         Section overview
             The purpose of management accounting systems
             Are traditional management accounting methods still relevant?
             Kaplan: ‘relevance lost’
             Problems with standard costing and variances
             The continuing relevance of standard costing systems
             Making management accounting relevant
             Trends in management accounting
       1.1 The purpose of management accounting systems
               A management accounting system is a part of the management information
               system within an organisation. The purpose of management accounting is to
               provide information to managers that can be used to help them with making
               decisions. Traditionally, management accounting systems have provided financial
               or accounting information, obtained from accounting records and other data
               within the organisation. Commonly-used management accounting techniques
               have included absorption costing, marginal costing and cost-volume-profit
               analysis, budgeting, standard costing and budgetary control and variance
               analysis.
               For various reasons, questions have been raised about the relevance of
               traditional management accounting to the needs of management in the modern
               business environment.
                      Traditional management accounting techniques such as standard costing
                       and variance analysis do not provide all the information that managers
                       need in manufacturing companies where Total Quality Management or Just
                       in Time management approaches are used.
                      Traditional absorption costing is probably of limited value in a
                       manufacturing environment where production processes are highly
                       automated, and production overhead costs is a much more significant
                       element of cost than direct labour.
                      Traditional management accounting focuses on manufacturing costs,
                       whereas many companies (and other organisations) operate in service
                       industries and provide services rather than manufactured products.
                      The traditional focus of management accounting has been on cost control
                       or cost reduction. Lower costs mean that lower prices can be charged to
                       customers, or higher profits can be made. However, many companies now
                       seek to increase customer satisfaction and meet customer needs. To meet
                       customer needs, other factors in addition to cost can be important –
                       particularly product (or service) quality. Traditional management accounting
                       ignores factors such as quality, reliability or speed of service.
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                      Many traditional management accounting techniques have a short-term
                       focus. There are exceptions. Discounted cash flow, for example, is used to
                       evaluate long-term capital projects. However, traditional management
                       accounting systems do not provide senior managers with the information
                       they need for making strategic decisions. Strategic decision-making needs
                       information about competitors, customers, developments in technology and
                       other environmental (external) factors.
               Management information systems should be capable of providing the information
               that managers need. For the management accounting system to be the main
               management information system within an organisation, it must be able to
               provide the necessary variety of information – financial and non-financial, long-
               term as well as short-term – using suitable techniques of analysis.
       1.2 Are traditional management accounting methods still relevant?
               Many businesses compete with each other on the basis of:
                      product or service quality and price
                      delivery
                      reliability
                      after-sales service
                      customer satisfaction – meeting customer needs.
               These are critical variables in competitive markets and industries. Business
               organisations, faced with an increasingly competitive global market environment,
               must be able to deliver what the customer wants more successfully than their
               rivals. This means making sure that they provide quality for the price, and
               customer satisfaction, including the delivery, reliability and after-sales service that
               customers want or expect.
       1.3 Kaplan: ‘relevance lost’
               Some years ago, Robert Kaplan put forward an argument that management
               accounting systems had lost their relevance and did not provide the information
               that managers need to make their decisions.
               He suggested that the information needs of management had changed, but the
               information provided by management accountants had not. There was a danger
               that management accounting would lose its relevance – and value – entirely.
               Kaplan made the following criticisms of traditional management accounting
               systems:
                      Traditional overhead costing systems, where overheads were absorbed
                       into costs at a rate per direct labour hour, were irrelevant. (Activity based
                       costing has been developed as just one alternative for overhead cost
                       analysis.)
                      Standard costing systems are largely irrelevant, because in many markets
                       customers do not want to buy standard products. They want product
                       differentiation.
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                      Traditional management accounting systems fail to provide information
                       about aspects of performance that matter – product and service quality
                       (and price), delivery, reliability, after-sales service and customer
                       satisfaction.
               He argued that in today’s competitive market environment ‘traditional cost
               accounting systems based on an assumption of long production runs of a
               standard product, with unchanging characteristics and specifications, [are not]
               relevant in this new environment.’
               The need for a change of focus in providing information to management
               Traditional management accounting systems focus on reducing costs and
               budgetary control of costs. Kaplan argued that the focus was wrong:
                      In modern production systems, products are often designed and
                       manufactured to specific customer demands and often have a short life
                       cycle. Their design is often sophisticated, and they are overhead-intensive.
                       Traditional management accounting systems, in contrast, assume standard
                       products whose manufacture is directly labour-intensive.
                      Machinery used in production is often flexible, and can be switched
                       between different uses and purposes. Traditional manufacturing systems
                       assume that standard tasks require particular types of machine. Although
                       they may focus on minimising the machine time per product manufactured,
                       these systems do not provide information to help with optimising the use of
                       available multi-purpose machinery.
       1.4 Problems with standard costing and variances
               Kaplan and Johnson have argued that standard costing and standard cost
               variances should not be used in a modern manufacturing environment for either:
                      cost control, or
                      performance measurement.
               They argued that standard costs are no longer relevant in a modern
               manufacturing environment. Standard costing is used for standard products and
               the focus is on keeping production costs under control.
               Kaplan and Johnson argued that using variance analysis to control costs and
               measure performance is inconsistent with a focus on the objectives of
               quality, time and innovation, which are now key factors in successful
               manufacturing operations.
                      Standard cost variances ignore quality issues and ignore quality costs.
                       However, in a competitive market quality is a key success factor.
                      When a company relies for success on innovation and new product design,
                       many of its resources are committed to product design and development,
                       and so many of its costs are incurred at this early stage of the product’s life.
                       Cost control should therefore focus on design and development costs,
                       whereas standard costing provides information about production costs for
                       products that have already been developed and are now in production.
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                      When product design and innovation are important, product life cycles will
                       be short. It may therefore be appropriate to look at all the costs of a product
                       over its full life cycle (including its design and development stages, and
                       including marketing costs as well as production costs).
                      Standard costing variance analysis is restricted to monitoring the
                       manufacturing costs of products during just a part of their life cycle.
                      Standard costs are only likely to apply in a stable and non-changing
                       business environment. In many industries, the environment is continually
                       changing, and products are adapted to meet the changing circumstances
                       and conditions.
       1.5 The continuing relevance of standard costing systems
               However, there are still some advantages to be obtained from using a standard
               costing system.
                      Standard costs can be a useful aid for budgeting even in a Total Quality
                       Management environment. Standard costs can be established for making
                       products within the budget period to a target level of quality. If the TQM
                       goals of continuous improvement and elimination of waste are achieved,
                       the standard costs can be adjusted down for the next budget period.
                      Managers need short-term (‘real time’) feedback on costs. They need to
                       know whether costs are under control, and they also need to understand
                       the financial consequences of their decisions and actions. Variance
                       analysis is a useful method of providing ‘real time’ feedback on costs.
                      Cost control is still an important aspect of management control. Quality,
                       time and innovation may be critical factors, but so too is cost control.
                       Standard costing and variance analysis provides a system for controlling
                       costs in the short term.
                      Standard costs for existing products can provide a useful starting point for
                       planning the cost for new products.
                      Standard costs can also be useful for target costing. The difference
                       between the target cost for a product and its current standard cost is a ‘cost
                       gap’. Standard costs can be used to measure the size of the cost gap. In
                       order to achieve the target cost, managers can focus on this cost gap and
                       consider ways in which it can be closed.
                      Overhead variances can provide useful information for cost control when
                       many overhead costs are volume-driven.
       1.6 Making management accounting relevant
               If it is accepted that traditional management accounting systems are no longer
               relevant to the information needs of managers in a competitive business world,
               the obvious next question is what has to be done to make them relevant?
               The suggested answer is that management accounting systems need to
               recognise the factors that are critical for business success that management
               need to know about. These factors may be:
                      non-financial, as well as financial;
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                      longer-term (strategic) in nature, as well as short-term;
                      strategic (concerned with objectives and strategies), as well as tactical
                       (concerned with day-to-day management control); and
                      related to factors in the business environment as well as to factors within
                       the business entity itself (in other words, making use of external as well as
                       internal information).
       1.7 Trends in management accounting
               New techniques have been developed in management accounting, in response
               to changes in the business environment.
               Examples of techniques that have been developed include:
                      target costing;
                      life cycle costing;
                      product profitability analysis;
                      segment profitability analysis;
                      throughput accounting;
                      backflush accounting;
                      activity based management; and
                      balanced scorecard (covered in an earlier chapter)
               Some of these techniques have been developed in response to changes in
               manufacturing methods and systems.
               Evaluating a management accounting technique
               Management accounting techniques used in practice will vary with the particular
               information needs of the organisation.
               The management accounting techniques used within an organisation must
               provide information that management need and will use. The key questions to
               ask, when assessing the usefulness of a management accounting system, are as
               follows:
               The information needs of management
               What decisions do managers need to make?
               What are the key factors that will affect their decisions?
               What are the critical items of information they need for their decisions?
               The information provided by the management accounting system
                      Is the information provided:
                             relevant to the decision-making needs of the managers?
                             sufficiently comprehensive for these needs?
                             reliable?
                             available when needed?
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                      Is the information provided in a clear and understandable form?
                      Are key items of information drawn to the attention of the manager, such as
                       issues relating to controllability, trend or materiality?
                      Does the benefit of having the information justify the cost of providing it?
                                                         Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques
2      TARGET COSTING
         Section overview
             Origins of target costing
             The purpose of target costing
             The target costing method
          Elements in the estimated cost and target cost
          Closing the target cost gap
          Advantages of target costing
          The implications of using target costing
          Target costing and services
          Comprehensive example
       2.1 Origins of target costing
               Target costing originated in Japan in the 1970s. It began with recognition that
               customers were demanding more diversity in products that they bought, and the
               life cycles of products were getting shorter. This meant that new products had to
               be designed more frequently to meet customer demands.
               Companies then became aware that a large proportion of the costs of making a
               product are committed at the design stage, before the product goes into
               manufacture. The design stage was therefore critical for ensuring that new
               products could be manufactured at a cost that would enable the product to make
               a profit for the company.
       2.2 The purpose of target costing
               Target costing is a method of strategic management of costs and profits. As its
               name suggests, target costing involves setting a target or objective for the
               maximum cost of a product or service, and then working out how to achieve this
               target.
               It is used for business strategy in general and marketing strategy in particular, by
               companies that operate in a competitive market where new products are
               continually being introduced to the market. In order to compete successfully,
               companies need to be able to:
                      continually improve their existing products or design new ones
                      sell their products at a competitive price; this might be the same price that
                       competitors are charging or a lower price than competitors, and
                      make a profit.
© Emile Woolf International                         80           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               In order to make a profit, companies need to make the product at a cost below
               the expected sales price.
               Target costing and new product development
               Target costing is used mainly for new product development. This is because
               whenever a new product is designed and developed for a competitive market, a
               company needs to know what the maximum cost of the new product must be so
               that it will sell at a profit.
               A company might decide the price that it would like to charge for a new product
               under development, in order to win a target share of the market. The company
               then decides on the level of profitability that it wants to achieve for the product, in
               order to make the required return on investment. Having identified a target price
               and a target profit, the company then establishes a target cost for the product.
               This is the cost at which the product must be manufactured and sold in order to
               achieve the target profits and return at the strategic market price.
               Keeping the costs of the product within the target level is then a major factor in
               controlling its design and development.
                 Illustration: Target cost
                       New product design and development                                         ₦
                       Decide: The target sales price                                              X
                       Deduct: The target profit margin                                           (X)
                       Equals: The target cost (maximum cost in order to meet or
                       exceed the target profit)                                                   X
               The reason that target costing is used for new products, as suggested earlier, is
               that the opportunities for cutting costs to meet a target cost are much greater
               during the product design stage than after the product development has been
               completed and the production process has been set up.
                      Typically, when a new product is designed, the first consideration is to
                       design a product that will meet the needs of customers better than rival
                       products. However, this initial product design might result in a product with
                       a cost that is too high, and which will therefore not be profitable.
                      The estimated cost of a product design can be compared with the target
                       cost. If the expected cost is higher than the target cost, there is a cost ‘gap’.
                      A cost gap must be closed by finding ways of making the product more
                       cheaply without losing any of the features that should make it attractive to
                       customers and give it ‘value’. For example, it might be possible to simplify
                       that product design or the production process without losing any important
                       feature of the product. It might also be possible to re-design the product
                       using a different and cheaper material, without loss of ‘value’.
                      Having worked out how to reduce costs at the product design stage,
                       management should try to ensure that the product is developed and the
                       method of producing it is introduced according to plan, so that the target
                       cost is achieved.
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                                                          Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques
       2.3 The target costing method
               The principles of target costing may therefore be summarised as follows.
               Target costing is based on the idea that when a new product is developed, a
               company will have a reasonable idea about:
                      the price at which it will be able to sell the product, and
                      the sales volumes that it will be able to achieve for the product over its
                       expected life.
               There may also be estimates of the capital investment required, and any
               incremental fixed costs (such as marketing costs or costs of additional salaried
               staff).
               Taking estimates of sales volumes, capital investment requirements and
               incremental fixed costs over the life cycle of the product, it should be possible to
               calculate a target cost.
                      The target cost for the product might be the maximum cost for the product
                       that will provide at least the minimum required return on investment.
                      However, an examination question might expect you to calculate the target
                       cost from a target selling price and a target profit margin.
               The elements in the target costing process are shown in the diagram below.
                 Illustration: Target costing
       2.4 Elements in the estimated cost and target cost
               A problem with target costing is to make sure that the estimates of cost are
               realistic. It is difficult to measure the cost of a product that has not yet been
               created, and the cost must include items such as raw material wastage rates and
               direct labour idle time, if these might be expected to occur in practice.
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               Raw materials costs
               The target cost should allow for expected wastage rates or loss in processing.
               The price of materials should also allow for any possible increases up to the time
               when the new product development has been completed. Estimating prices of
               materials can be difficult when prices are volatile – such as commodity prices,
               which can be subject to large increases and falls within relatively short periods of
               time.
               Direct labour
               The target cost should allow for any expected idle time that will occur during the
               manufacture of the product. This might be the normal level of idle time in the
               company’s manufacturing operations.
               Production overheads
               A target cost could be a target marginal cost. However production overhead costs
               are often a large proportion of total manufacturing costs, and it is therefore more
               likely that the target cost will be a full cost, including production overheads. If
               activity-based costing is used, it might be possible to identify opportunities for
               limiting the amount of production overheads absorbed into the product cost by
               designing the product in a way that limits the use of activities that drive costs, for
               example by reducing the need for materials movements or quality inspections.
                 Example: Target costing
                 A company has designed a new product. NP8. It currently estimates that in the
                 current market, the product could be sold for ₦70 per unit. A gross profit margin
                 of at least 30% on the selling price would be required, to cover administration
                 and marketing overheads and to make an acceptable level of profit.
                 A cost estimation study has produced the following estimate of production cost
                 for NP8.
                    Cost item
                    Direct material M1    ₦9 per unit
                    Direct material M2    Each unit of product NP8 will require three metres of
                                          material M2, but there will be loss in production of
                                          10% of the material used. Material M2 costs ₦1.80
                                          per metre.
                    Direct labour         Each unit of product NP8 will require 0.50 hours of
                                          direct labour time. However it is expected that there
                                          will be unavoidable idle time equal to 5% of the total
                                          labour time paid for. Labour is paid ₦19 per hour.
                    Production            It is expected that production overheads wil lbe
                    overheads             absorbed into product costs at the rate of ₦60 per
                                          direct labour hour, for each active hour worked.
                                          (Overheads are not absorbed into the cost of idle time.)
                 Required
                 Calculate:
                 (a)     the expected cost of Product NP8
                 (b)     the target cost for NP8
                 (c)     the size of the cost gap.
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                 Answer
                 a)    Expected cost per unit                                  ₦               ₦
                       Direct material M1                                                          9.0
                       Direct material M2: 3 metres  100/90                                     6.0
                       ₦1.80
                       Direct labour: 0.5 hours  100/95  ₦19                                   10.0
                       Production overheads: 0.5 hours  ₦60                                     30.0
                       Expected full cost per unit                                               55.0
                 b) Target cost
                       Sales price                                               70.0
                       Minimum gross profit margin (30%)                         21.0
                       Target cost                                                               49.0
                 c)    Cost gap                                                                    6.0
                 The company needs to identify ways of closing this cost gap.
       2.5 Closing the target cost gap
               Target costs are rarely achievable immediately and ways must be found to
               reduce costs and close the cost gap.
               Target costing should involve a multi-disciplinary approach to resolving the
               problem of how to close the cost gap. The management accountant should be
               involved in measuring estimated costs. Ways of reducing costs might be in
               product design and engineering, manufacturing processes used, selling methods
               and raw materials purchasing. Ideas for reducing costs can therefore come from
               the sales, manufacturing, engineering or purchasing departments.
               Common methods of closing the target cost gap are:
                      To re-design products to make use of common processes and components
                       that are already used in the manufacture of other products by the company.
                      To discuss with key suppliers methods of reducing materials costs. Target
                       costing involves the entire ‘value chain’ from original suppliers of raw
                       materials to the customer for the end-product, and negotiations and
                       collaborations with suppliers might be an appropriate method of finding
                       important reductions in cost.
                      To eliminate non value-added activities or non-value added features of the
                       product design. Something is ‘non-value added’ if it fails to add anything of
                       value for the customer. The cost of non-value added product features or
                       activities can therefore be saved without any loss of value for the customer.
                       Value analysis may be used to systematically examine all aspects of a
                       product cost to provide the product at the required quality at the lowest
                       possible cost.
                      To train staff in more efficient techniques and working methods.
                       Improvements in efficiency will reduce costs.
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                      To achieve economies of scale. Producing in larger quantities will reduce
                       unit costs because fixed overhead costs will be spread over a larger
                       quantity of products. However, production in larger quantities is of no
                       benefit unless sales demand can be increased by the same amount.
       2.6 Advantages of target costing
               There are several possible advantages from the use of target costing.
                      It helps to improve the understanding within a company of product costs.
                      It recognises that the most effective way of reducing costs is to plan and
                       control costs from the product design stage onwards.
                      It helps to create a focus on the final customer for the product or service,
                       because the concept of ‘value’ is important: target costs should be
                       achieved without loss of value for the customer.
                      It is a multi-disciplinary approach, and considers the entire supply chain. It
                       could therefore help to promote co-operation, both between departments
                       within a company and also between a company and its suppliers and
                       customers.
                      Target costing can be used together with recognised methods for reducing
                       costs, such as value analysis, value engineering, just in time purchasing
                       and production, Total Quality Management and continuous improvement.
       2.7 The implications of using target costing
               The use of a target costing system has implications for pricing, cost control and
               performance measurement.
               Target costing can be used with pricing policy for a company’s products or
               services. A company might decide on a target selling price for either a new or an
               existing product, which it considers necessary in order to win market share or
               achieve a target volume of sales. Having identified the selling price that it wants
               for the product, the company can then work out a target cost.
               Cost control and performance measurement has a different emphasis when
               target costing is used.
                      Cost savings are actively sought and made continuously over the life of the
                       product
                      There is joint responsibility for achieving benchmark savings. If one
                       department fails to deliver the cost savings expected, other departments
                       may find ways to achieve the savings
                      Staff are trained and empowered to find new ways to reduce costs while
                       maintaining the required quality.
               Target costing is more likely to succeed in a company where a culture of
               ‘continuous improvement’ exists.
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       2.8 Target costing and services
               Target costing can be used for services as well as products. Services vary widely
               in nature, and it is impossible to make general statements that apply to all types
               of services. However, features of some service industries that make them
               different from manufacturing are as follows.
                      Some service industries are labour-intensive, and direct materials costs are
                       only a small part of total cost. Opportunities for achieving reductions in
                       materials costs may therefore be small.
                      Overhead costs in many services are very high. Effective target costing will
                       therefore require a focus on how to reduce overhead costs.
               A service company might deliver a number of different services through the same
               delivery system, using the same employees and the same assets. Introducing
               new services or amendments to existing services therefore means adding to the
               work burden of employees and the diversity or complexity of the work they do.
                      A system of target costing therefore needs to focus on quality of service
                       and value for the customer. Introducing a new service might involve a loss
                       of value in the delivery of existing services to customers. For example,
                       adding a new service to a telephone call centre could result in longer
                       waiting times for callers.
                      New services might be introduced without proper consideration being given
                       to whether the service is actually profitable. For example, a restaurant
                       might add additional items to its menu, in the belief that the only additional
                       cost is the cost of the food. In practice there would be implications for the
                       purchasing and preparation of the food and possibly also for the delivery of
                       food from the kitchen to the restaurant dining area. New items added to the
                       menu might therefore make losses unless all aspects of cost are properly
                       considered.
                      When a single delivery system is used for services, the cost of services will
                       consist largely of allocated and apportioned overheads. For target costing
                       to be successful, there must be a consistent and ‘fair’ method of attributing
                       overhead costs to services (both existing services and new services).
                      Services might be provided by not-for-profit entities. For example, health
                       services might be provided free of charge by the government. When
                       services are provided free of charge, target costing can be used for new
                       services. However, it is doubtful whether concepts of ‘target price’ and
                       ‘target profit’ can be used by a not-for-profit entity. This raises questions
                       about how to decide what the target cost should be.
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       2.9 Comprehensive example
                 Example: Target costing
                 A company wishes to introduce a new product to the market.
                 The company estimates the market for the product to be 50,000 units.
                 The company uses target costing.
                 Current projected costs are as follows:
                                                                                                        ₦‘000
                     Manufacturing cost
                     Bought in parts (100 components)                                                  50,000
                     Direct labour (assembly of components)
                     10 hours  ₦500 per hour                                                           5,000
                     Machine costs (750,000,000 ÷ 50,000)                                              15,000
                     Ordering and receiving
                     (500 orders  100 components ₦500 per order) ÷ 50,000
                     units                                                                                 500
                     Quality assurance (10 hours  ₦800 per hour)                                       8,000
                     Rework costs
                     10% (probability of failure)  ₦10,000 (cost of rework)                            1,000
                     Nonmanufacturing costs
                     Distribution                                                                      10,000
                     Warranty costs
                     10% (probability of recall)  ₦15,000 (cost to correct)                            1,500
                                                                                                       91,000
                     Target selling price (₦)                                                        100,000
                     Target margin                                                                      20%
                     Target profit (₦)                                                                 20,000
                     Target cost (₦)                                                                   80,000
                     The company has undertaken market research which found that several
                     proposed features of the new product were not valued by customers.
                     Redesign to remove the features leads to a reduction in the number of
                     components down to 80 components and a direct material cost reduction of
                     12%.
                     The reduction in complexity has other impacts:
                     1. Assembly time will be reduced by 20%.
                     2. Quality assurance will only require 6 hours.
                     3. The probability of a failure at the inspection stage will fall to 5%.
                     4. The probability of an after-sales failure will also fall to 5%.
                     5.       Cost of warranty corrections will fall by ₦2,000.
                     6.       Reduced weight of the product will reduce shipping costs by ₦1,000 per
                              unit.
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                 Example (continued): Target costing
                 The revised projected costs are as follows:
                                                                                                 Before          After
                                                                                                 ₦‘000           ₦‘000
                     Manufacturing cost
                     Bought in parts (100 components)                                                50,000
                     Bought in parts (80 components with 12% reduction)                                              44,000
                     Direct labour (assembly of components)
                         10 hours  ₦500 per hour                                                     5,000
                       8 hours  ₦500 per hour (10% reduction)                                                        4,000
                     Machine costs (750,000,000 ÷ 50,000)                                            15,000          15,000
                     Ordering and receiving
                     500 orders  100 components  ₦500 per order/50,000 units                           500
                     500 orders  80 components  ₦500 per order/50,000 units                                            400
                     Quality assurance
                       10 hours  ₦800 per hour                                                       8,000
                       6 hours  ₦800 per hour                                                                        4,800
                     Rework costs
                         10%  ₦10,000                                                                1,000
                         5%  ₦10,000                                                                                    500
                     Nonmanufacturing costs
                     Distribution                                                                    10,000           9,000
                     Warranty costs
                         10%  ₦15,000                                                                1,500
                         5%  ₦13,000                                                                                    650
                                                                                                     91,000          78,350
                     The target cost is achieved.
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3      LIFE CYCLE COSTING
         Section overview
             The nature of life cycle costing (LCC)
             Asset acquisitions
             Life cycle costing and building construction
             Life cycle costing and the product life cycle
       3.1 The nature of life cycle costing (LCC)
               Life cycle costing is sometimes called ‘whole life costing’ or ‘whole life cycle
               costing’. It is a technique that attempts to identify the total cost associated with
               the ownership of an asset so that decisions can be made about asset
               acquisitions. It recognises that decisions made at the initial acquisition have the
               effect of locking in certain costs in the future.
               The principles of LCC can be applied to both complex and to simple acquisitions.
                      As a simple example if a person buys a new printer that person is
                       committed to buying toner cartridges that are compatible to the printer.
                       Thus in choosing between two printers the initial cost of one might be less
                       than the other but its toner cartridges might be more expensive. Life cycle
                       cost analysis would allow a choice to be made based on the total life time
                       costs.
                      A company will of course be concerned with cost when it buys a complex
                       asset of some kind but it will also be concerned with reliability, servicing
                       time, maintenance costs etc.
               Life cycle costing can be applied to:
                      Major asset acquisitions.
                      Introduction of new products to the market.
       3.2 Asset acquisitions
               The cost of ownership of an asset is incurred throughout its life and not just at
               acquisition. A decision made at the purchase stage will determine future costs
               associated with an asset.
               Life cycle costs
               The costs of a product or asset over its life cycle could be divided into three
               categories:
                      Acquisition costs, set-up costs or market entry costs. These are costs
                       incurred initially to bring the product into production and to start selling it, or
                       the costs incurred to complete the construction of a building or other major
                       construction asset
                      Operational costs or running costs throughout the life of the product or
                       asset
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                      End-of-life costs. These are the costs incurred to withdraw a product from
                       the market or to demolish the asset at the end of its life.
               Acquisition costs or set-up costs are usually ‘one-off’ capital expenditures and
               other once-only costs, such as the costs of training staff and establishing systems
               of documentation and performance reporting. Similarly, end-of-life costs are ‘one-
               off’ items that occur just once.
               Running costs or operational costs are regular and recurring annual costs
               throughout the life of the product or asset. However, these may vary over time:
               for example maintenance costs for an item of equipment, such as the
               maintenance costs of elevators in a building, are likely to increase over time as
               the asset gets older.
               Although costs are incurred throughout the life of an asset, a large proportion of
               these costs are committed at a very early stage in the product’s life cycle, when
               the decision to develop the new product or construct the new building is made.
                 Example: Life cycle costing
                 A transport company wishes to buy a new heavy goods vehicle which will be run for
                 100,000 miles and then sold.
                 It is considering two types.
                 The following information is relevant:
                                                                   Lorry A                  Lorry B
                     Initial cost                                ₦10,000,000              ₦15,000,000
                     Cost per service                                ₦500,000                 ₦400,000
                     Service required every:                      10,000 miles             25,000 miles
                     Running costs per mile                          ₦750                     ₦500
                     Scrap value at end of life                   ₦1,000,000               ₦3,000,000
                     The life cycle cost of each lorry based on the above is as follows:
                                                                     ₦                   ₦
                     Capital cost:
                      Initial cost                             10,000,000          15,000,000
                      Scrap value                               (1,000,000)         (3,000,000)
                                                                 9,000,000          12,000,000
                     Service costs
                      Life time use (miles)                        100,000             100,000
                      Service frequency (miles)                     10,000              25,000
                      Number of services                                10                   4
                      Cost per service                             500,000             400,000
                                                                 5,000,000           1,600,000
                     Running costs
                     Number of miles                               100,000             100,000
                     Cost per mile (₦)                                 750                 500
                                                                  75,000,000               50,000,000
                     Lifecycle cost                              89,000,000               63,600,000
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Performance management
               Life cycle costing methodology
               A proper purchasing decision requires that the costs of all available options
               should be taken into account. This involves cost identification and estimation and
               discounting. (Discounting is a technique that takes into account the time value of
               money. That is to say it recognises that ₦1 today is worth more than ₦1 in the
               future).
               Benefits of LCC include:
                      Improved evaluation of options
                      Improved management awareness about the consequences of decisions
                      Improved forecasting
                      Improved understanding of the trade off between performance of an asset
                       and its cost.
               Problems with using LCC
                      Availability of data
                      It is difficult and time consuming
                      Often organisations are structured in a way that different managers are
                       responsible for the purchase decision and the future operation of the asset.
                       Thus, even though the purchase decision locks in future costs the manager
                       making the acquisition has no incentive to consider LCC.
       3.3 Life cycle costing and building construction
               Life cycle costing is relevant to the construction of buildings and other major
               items of construction. An international standard on life cycle costing for buildings
               was published in 2008.
               When a building is planned, several different designs might be considered. Each
               design will have different construction features and therefore a different initial
               capital cost. Over the life of the building, annual running costs will vary according
               to the design that is selected. For example:
                      Energy-efficient buildings will incur lower energy costs each year
                      The choice of construction materials will affect the life of the building and
                       the annual costs of repairs and maintenance
                      The choice of design could affect the costs of demolition at the end of the
                       life of the building.
               When two or more different building designs are considered, the preferred design
               might be:
                      the design that will achieve the lowest total cost over the life of the building,
                       or
                      the design that will provide the most value for money (or benefits less
                       costs) over the life of the building.
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       3.4 Life cycle costing and the product life cycle
               Most products made in large quantities for selling to customers go through a life
               cycle which consists of several stages:
                      product development stage
                      product introduction to the market
                      a period of growth in sales and market size
                      a period of maturity
                      a period of decline.
                      withdrawal from the market.
               The diagram below indicates typical characteristics of sales revenue and profit at
               each stage.
                 Illustration: Product life cycle
               At each phase of a product’s life cycle:
                      selling prices will be altered;
                      costs may differ;
                      the amount invested (capital investment) may vary; and
                      spending on advertising and other marketing activities may change.
               LCC can be important in new product launches as a company will of course want
               to make a profit from the new product and the technique considers the total costs
               that must be recovered. These will include:
                      research and development costs;
                      training costs;
                      machinery costs;
                      production costs;
                      distribution and selling costs;
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                      marketing costs;
                      working capital costs;
                      retirement and disposal costs.
               Decisions made at the development phase impact later costs.
                 Stage                    Costs
                 Product                  R&D costs
                 development
                                          Capital expenditure decisions
                 Introduction to the      Operating costs
                 market
                                          Marketing and advertising to raise product awareness
                                          (strong focus on market share)
                                          Set up and expansion of distribution channels
                 Growth                   Costs of increasing capacity
                                          Maybe learning effect and economies of scale
                                          Increased costs of working capital
                 Maturity                 Incur costs to maintain manufacturing capacity
                                          Marketing and product enhancement costs to extend
                                          maturity
                 Decline                  Close attention to costs needed as withdrawal decision
                                          might be expensive
                 Withdrawal               Asset decommissioning costs
                                          Possible restructuring costs
                                          Remaining warranties to be supported
               Benefits of LCC
               Life cycle costing compares the revenues and costs of the product over its entire
               life. This has many benefits.
                      The potential profitability of products can be assessed before major
                       development of the product is carried out and costs incurred. Non-profit-
                       making products can be abandoned at an early stage before costs are
                       committed.
                      Techniques can be used to reduce costs over the life of the product.
                      Pricing strategy can be determined before the product enters production.
                       This may lead to better control of marketing and distribution costs.
                      Attention can be focused on reducing the research and development phase
                       to get the product to market as quickly as possible. The longer the
                       company can operate without competitors entering the market the more
                       revenue can be earned and the sooner the product will reach the
                       breakeven point.
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                      By monitoring the actual performance of products against plans, lessons
                       can be learnt to improve the performance of future products. It may also be
                       possible to improve the estimating techniques used.
               An understanding of the product life cycle can also assist management with
               decisions about:
                      Pricing
                      Performance management
                      Decision-making.
               Pricing. As a product moves from one stage in its life cycle to the next, a change
               in pricing strategy might be necessary to maintain market share. For example,
               prices might be reduced as a product enters its maturity phases (and annual
               sales volume stops rising).
               In addition, an understanding of life cycle costs help with strategic decisions
               about price. Over the entire life of the product, sales prices should be sufficiently
               high to ensure that a profit is made after taking into account all costs incurred –
               start-up costs and end-of-life costs as well as annual operating costs.
               Performance management. As a product moves from one stage of its life cycle
               to another, its financial performance will change. Management should understand
               that an improvement or decline in performance could be linked to changes in the
               life cycle and should therefore (to some extent at least) be expected.
               Decision-making. In addition to helping management with decisions on pricing,
               an understanding of life cycle costing can also help with decisions about making
               new investments in the product (new capital expenditure) or withdrawing a
               product from the market.
4      THROUGHPUT ACCOUNTING
         Section overview
             The nature of throughput accounting
             Assumptions in throughput accounting
             Throughput, inventory and operating expenses
             Profit and throughput accounting
             The value of inventory in throughput accounting
             Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing and marginal costing
             Constraints and bottlenecks in the system
             Dealing with constraints
             The relevance of constraints to throughput accounting
             Performance measurement ratios in throughput accounting
       4.1 The nature of throughput accounting
               Throughput accounting is not really a costing system at all, because with costing
               no costs are allocated to units of production, with the exception of materials
               costs.
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                      With traditional costing systems, the main focus of attention is on costs and
                       how to control or reduce costs.
                      With throughput accounting, the main focus of attention is on how to
                       achieve the goals of the entity successfully. For profit-making companies,
                       the goals of the entity are assumed to be the maximisation of profit.
               Throughput accounting is also associated with the Theory of Constraints. This is
               a theory that states that an entity always has a constraint that sets a limit on the
               achievement of its goals. The task of management should therefore be to:
                      identify what this effective constraint is
                      maximise the performance of the entity in achieving its goals, within the
                       limits of this constraint
                      look for ways of removing the constraint, so that performance can be
                       improved still further.
               Although they are different, throughput accounting has some close similarities
               with marginal costing and limiting factor analysis, which you should be familiar
               with from your earlier studies.
       4.2 Assumptions in throughput accounting
               Throughput accounting is based on a number of assumptions.
                      In traditional marginal costing, it is assumed that direct labour costs are a
                       variable cost, but in practice this is not usually correct. Employees are paid
                       a fixed weekly or monthly wage or salary, and labour costs are a fixed cost.
                      The only variable cost is the purchase cost of materials and components
                       purchased from external suppliers.
                      A business makes real profit by adding value. Value is added by selling
                       goods or services to customers whose market value is more than the cost
                       of the materials that go into making them. However, value is not added until
                       the sale is actually made.
                      Value added should be measured as the value of the sale minus the
                       variable cost of sales, which is the cost of the materials.
       4.3 Throughput, inventory and operating expenses
               Throughput accounting is based on three concepts:
                      throughput;
                      inventory (investment); and
                      operating expenses.
               Throughput
               Throughput can be defined as the rate at which an entity achieves its goals,
               measured in ‘goal units’. In not-for-profit entities, the goal of the entity could be
               measured in terms of a non-financial goal. For profit-making entities, the goal is
               profit, and:
                Contribution = Sales minus total variable costs
               Throughput differs from contribution in traditional marginal costing because
               variable costs consist only of real variable costs, which are (mainly or entirely)
               materials costs.
               It is therefore appropriate to define throughput as:
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               Throughput = Sales minus cost of raw materials and components
               Inventory (or investment)
               Inventory or investment is all the money that is tied up in a business, in
               inventories of raw materials, WIP and finished goods. The term ‘investment’ is
               normally preferred to ‘inventory’ because it includes the amount of capital tied up
               in making the product and selling it to customers. Investment therefore includes
               not only the amount invested in inventories but also investment in non-current
               assets.
               Inventory is eventually converted into throughput, but until it is sold it is capital
               tied up earning nothing. When inventory is sold, throughput is created.
               Throughput is not created until finished goods are sold. Creating finished goods
               for inventory is therefore damaging to the entity’s goals, because it ties up
               finance in investment and investment finance has a cost.
               Operating expenses
               Operating expenses are all the expenditures incurred to produce the throughput.
               They consist of all costs that are not variable costs, and so include labour costs.
       4.4 Profit and throughput accounting
               Profit in throughput accounting is measured as throughput minus operating
               expenses.
                 Example: Profit and throughput accounting
                                                                         ₦
                     Sales                                          800,000
                     Raw materials and components costs             350,000
                     Throughput                                     450,000
                     Operating expenses                             340,000
                     Net profit                                     110,000
       4.5 The value of inventory in throughput accounting
               Inventories do not have value, except the variable cost of the materials and
               components. Even for work-in-progress and inventories of finished goods, the
               only money invested is the purchase cost of the raw materials. No value is added
               until the inventory is sold.
                      In throughput accounting, all inventories are therefore valued at the cost
                       of raw materials and components, and nothing more.
                      It should not include any other costs, not even labour costs. No value is
                       added by the production process, not even by labour, until the item is sold.
                      It is impossible to make extra profit simply by producing more output,
                       unless the extra output is sold.
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       4.6 Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing and marginal
           costing
               The difference between throughput accounting and the traditional methods of
               accounting can be illustrated with an example.
                 Example: Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing and
                 marginal costing
                 A company makes 1,000 units of a product during May and sells 800 units for
                 ₦32,000. There was no inventory at the beginning of the month. Costs of production
                 were:
                                                                             ₦
                       Raw materials                                       6,000
                       Direct labour                                       8,000
                       Fixed production overheads                         10,000
                       Other non-production overheads                      5,000
                 Required
                 Calculate the profit for the period using:
                 (a)          absorption costing
                 (b)          marginal costing
                 (c)          throughput accounting.
                 Assume for the purpose of absorption costing that budgeted and actual
                 production overheads were the same, and there are no under- or over-absorbed
                 overheads.
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Performance management
                 Example (continued): Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing
                 and marginal costing
                 Profit for the month using each costing method is therefore as follows:
                                                           Absorption       Marginal            Throughput
                                                           costing          costing             accounting
                       Sales                                32,000           32,000              32,000
                       Production costs
                                                              6,000              6,000              6,000
                       Raw materials
                                                              8,000              8,000
                       Direct labour
                                                            10,000
                       Fixed overhead
                                                            24,000             14,000               6,000
                       Closing inventory
                                                             (4,800)            (2,800)            (1,200)
                                 200/1,000
                       Cost of sale                         (19,200)          (11,200)             (4,800)
                       Gross profit                         12,800
                       Contribution                                            20,800
                       Throughput contribution                                                    27,200
                       Less operating expenses
                       Other non-production
                       overheads                              5,000              5,000               5,000
                       Fixed overheads                                          10,000             10,000
                       Labour costs                                                                  8,000
                                                             (5,000)           (15,000)           (23,000)
                       Net profit                             7,800              5,800               4,200
                       The differences in profit are entirely due to the differences in inventory
                       valuations.
       4.7 Constraints and bottlenecks in the system
               Throughput accounting is derived from the Theory of Constraints, which is based
               on the view that every system has a constraint. A constraint is anything that limits
               the output from the system.
                      If a system had no constraint, its output would be either zero or the system
                       would continue to produce more and more output without limit.
                      Therefore for any system whose output is not zero, there must be a
                       constraint that stops it from producing more output than it does.
               Constraints for a manufacturing company might be caused by any of the
               following:
                      external factors, such as a limit to customer demand for the products that
                       the company makes
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                      weaknesses in the system itself, such as shortages of key resources and
                       capacity limitations
                      weaknesses in the system’s controls, such as weak management.
               In a manufacturing system, constraints can be described as bottlenecks in the
               system. A bottleneck is simply a constraint that limits throughput. For example, a
               bottleneck might be a shortage of materials, or a shortage of machine time.
       4.8 Dealing with constraints
               The management of business operations should focus on dealing with the key
               constraints. The output of a system is restricted by its key constraint.
               Management must identify what this is.
               Action by management to improve operational efficiency is a waste of time and
               effort if it is applied to any area of operations that is not a constraint. For
               example, measures to improve labour efficiency are a waste of time if the key
               constraint is a shortage of machine capacity.
               The key constraint limits throughput. As stated earlier, the nature of the key
               constraint might be:
                      limitations on sales demand ;
                      inefficiency in production, with stoppages and hold-ups caused by wastage,
                       scrapped items and machine downtime ;
                      unreliability in the supplies of key raw materials, and a shortage of key
                       materials;
                      a shortage of a key production resource, such as skilled labour.
                       Goldratt, argued that:
                      Management should identify the key constraint and consider ways of
                       removing or easing the constraint, so that the system is able to produce
                       more output.
                      However, when one constraint is removed, another key constraint will take
                       its place.
                      The new key constraint must be identified, and management should now
                       turn its attention to ways of removing or easing the new key constraint.
                      By removing constraints one after another, the output capacity of the
                       system will increase.
               However, there will always be a key constraint.
       4.9 The relevance of constraints to throughput accounting
               Goldratt argued that if the aim of a business is to make money and profit, the
               most appropriate methods of doing this are to:
                      increase throughput;
                      reduce operating expenses; or
                      reduce investment, for example by reducing inventory levels (since there is
                       a cost to investment).
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               Goldratt also argued that the most effective of these three ways of increasing
               profit is to increase throughput.
               Throughput can be increased by identifying the bottlenecks in the system, and
               taking action to remove them or ease them.
       4.10 Performance measurement ratios in throughput accounting
               There are several key performance measurements in throughput accounting.
               One of these is net profit, which is total throughput minus Operating expenses.
               An objective is to increase net profit.
               Performance can also be measured using ratios:
                      Return on investment
                      Throughput accounting productivity
                      Throughput per unit of the bottleneck resource
                      Operating expenses per unit of the bottleneck resource
                      Throughput accounting ratio.
               Return on investment
                 Formula: Return on investment
                                        Net profit
                               =                            100
                                       Investment
               An objective should be to increase the return on investment, either by increasing
               net profit or reducing the size of the investment.
               Throughput productivity
               This is measured as:
                 Formula: Throughput productivity
                                                     Throughput
                               =                                                            100
                                                Operating expenses
               An objective should be to increase throughput productivity, either by increasing
               throughput or reducing operating expenses.
               Throughput per unit of constraint
               One of the advantages of throughput accounting is that it treats labour costs as a
               fixed cost. In many manufacturing companies, where the production process has
               been automated, direct labour costs are not a significant part of total production
               costs.
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               However traditional costing systems treat direct labour as a variable cost and
               assume that variable overheads vary with labour hours. In addition, fixed
               overheads might be absorbed on a labour hour basis. It is often assumed that
               performance will be improved by improving labour efficiency.
               Throughput accounting challenges this approach to costs and performance
               measurement. Labour is a fixed cost and relatively small compared to other
               costs. Improving labour efficiency will therefore do little to improve performance
               and increase profits.
               Net profit will be improved much more effectively by identifying the constraint on
               activity and seeking to maximise throughput per unit of the constraint.
               Throughput accounting ratio
               The throughput accounting ratio is the ratio of [throughput in a period per unit of
               bottleneck resource] to [operating expenses per unit of bottleneck resource].
               Units of a bottleneck resource are measured in hours (labour hours or machine
               hours). This means that the throughput accounting ratio can be stated as:
                 Formula: Throughput accounting ratio
                                       Throughput per hour of bottleneck resource
                               =                                                                  100
                                   Operating expenses per hour of bottleneck resource
                 Example: Throughput accounting ratio
                 A business manufactures product Z, which has a selling price of ₦20. The
                 materials costs are ₦8 per unit of Product Z. Total operating expenses each
                 month are ₦120,000.
                 Machine capacity is the key constraint on production. There are only 600
                 machine hours available each month, and it takes three minutes of machine time
                 to manufacture each unit of Product Z.
                 Required
                 (a)          Calculate the throughput accounting ratio.
                 (b)          How might this ratio be increased?
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                 Answer
                 (a)     Throughput per unit = ₦(20 – 8) = ₦12
                         Throughput per machine hour = ₦12  (60 minutes/3 minutes) = ₦240
                         Operating expenses per machine hour = ₦120,000/600 hours = ₦200
                         Throughput accounting ratio = ₦240/₦200 = 1.2
                 (b)     To increase the throughput accounting ratio, it might be possible to:
                         Raise the selling price for Product Z for each unit sold, to increase the
                         throughput per unit.
                         Improve the efficiency of machine time used, and so manufacture Product
                         Z in less than three minutes.
                         Find ways of reducing total operating expenses, in order to reduce the
                         operating expenses per machine hour.
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5      BACKFLUSH ACCOUNTING
         Section overview
             JIT production and JIT purchasing
             Introduction to backflush accounting
             Backflush accounting with two ‘trigger points’
             Backflush accounting with one ‘trigger point’
       5.1 JIT production and JIT purchasing
               Just-in-Time (JIT) management methods originated in Japan in the 1970s. The
               principle of JIT is that producing items for inventory is wasteful, because
               inventory adds no value, and holding inventory is therefore an expense for which
               there is no benefit.
               If there is no immediate demand for output from any part of the system, a
               production system should not produce finished goods output for holding as
               inventory. There is no value in achieving higher volumes of output if the extra
               output goes into inventory that has no immediate use.
               Similarly, if there is no immediate demand for raw materials, there should not be
               any of the raw materials in inventory. Raw materials should be obtained only
               when they are actually needed.
               It follows that in an ideal production system:
                      there should be no inventory of finished goods: items should be produced
                       just in time to meet customer orders, and not before (just in time
                       production)
                      there should be no inventories of purchased materials and components:
                       purchases should be delivered by external suppliers just in time for when
                       they are needed in production (= just in time purchasing).
                 Definition
                 Just-in-time purchasing is a purchasing system in which material purchases are
                 contracted so that the receipt and usage of the materials, to the maximum
                 extent, coincide
                                                                          (CIMA Official Terminology).
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       5.2 Introduction to backflush accounting
               Backflush accounting is a method of cost accounting that is consistent with JIT
               systems.
                      Traditional cost accounting systems for manufacturing costs are ‘sequential
                       tracking’ systems. They track the costs of items as they progress through
                       the manufacturing process, from raw materials, through work in progress to
                       finished goods. At each stage of the manufacturing process, more costs are
                       added and recorded within the cost accounting system.
                      The main benefit of sequential tracking costing systems is that they can be
                       used to put a cost to items of inventory. When inventory is large, there is a
                       need to measure inventory costs with reasonable ‘accuracy’.
                      With a JIT philosophy, this benefit does not exist. Inventory should be
                       small, or even non-existent. The cost of inventory is therefore fairly
                       insignificant. A costing system that measures the cost of inventory is
                       therefore of little or no value, and is certainly not worth the time, effort and
                       expenditure involved.
                      Backflush accounting is an alternative costing system that can be applied in
                       a JIT environment. It is ideally suited to a manufacturing environment
                       where production cycle times are fairly short and inventory levels are low.
               As the term ‘backflush’ might suggest, costs are calculated after production has
               been completed. They are allocated between the cost of goods sold and
               inventories in retrospect. They are not built up as work progresses through the
               production process.
               It is important to recognise that the great advantage of backflush accounting is
               that costs can be worked ‘backwards’, after the goods have been produced and
               sold. There is no need for a complex cost accounting system that records costs
               of production sequentially.
       5.3 Backflush accounting with two ‘trigger points’
               An event that leads to the recognition of costs is called a trigger point.
               A backflush accounting system has one or two trigger points, when costs are
               recorded. When there are two trigger points, these are usually:
                      the purchase of raw materials; and
                      the manufacture of completed products.
               Trigger point 1
               Direct material costs and other direct production costs are recorded in the usual
               way by debiting the costs to the appropriate account. It is helpful to think of these
               accounts as being like expense accounts where the costs are held until they can
               be included into the cost of sales and to a much lesser extent into closing
               inventory.
               Trigger point 2
               The cost of production is debited into finished inventory when production is
               complete. The credit entries are to the suspense accounts at standard costs.
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               Balances on the suspense accounts after these entries represent closing
               inventory of finished goods or cost variances.
               The debit recognised in the finished inventory account moved to a cost of goods
               sold account almost immediately (remember what just in time manufacture
               means).
               A numerical example will be used to illustrate the costing method.
                 Example: Backflush accounting
                 A manufacturing company makes a single product (P), which has the following
                 standard cost:
                                                                       ₦
                     Raw materials                                    20
                     Direct labour                                     8
                     Overheads                                        22
                                                                      50
                 During the period, it incurred the following costs:
                   Raw materials purchased                    ₦2,030,000
                     Conversion costs:
                       Direct labour costs incurred                  ₦775,000
                       Overhead costs incurred                    ₦2,260,000
                                                                  ₦3,035,000
                 The company made 100,000 units of Product P and sold 98,000 units.
                 The company uses a backflush costing system, with trigger points at raw
                 materials purchase and at completion of production.
                 Trigger point 1: Record the purchase of raw materials
                 Debit: Raw materials inventory                        ₦2,030,000
                 Credit: Creditors/payables                            ₦2,030,000
                 Other conversion costs are also recorded
                 Debit: Conversion costs                               ₦3,035,000
                 Credit: Creditors/payables                            ₦3,035,000
                                         Raw materials inventory account
                                                      ₦                                                 ₦
                     Creditors                2,030,000
                                              Conversion costs account
                                                      ₦                                                      ₦
                     Bank (labour cost)         775,000
                     Creditors (overheads)    2,260,000
                                              3,035,000
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                 Example (continued): Backflush accounting
                 Trigger point 2: Record the manufacture of the 100,000 units
                                         Finished goods inventory account
                                                     ₦                                                  ₦
                     Raw materials
                     (100,000  20)           2,000,000
                     Conversion costs
                     (100,000  30)           3,000,000
                                           Raw materials inventory account
                                                      ₦                                 ₦
                     Creditors               2,030,000 Finished goods inventory 2,000,000
                                                           Closing balance c/f     30,000
                                              2,030,000                                        2,030,000
                                             Conversion costs account
                                                   ₦                                  ₦
                     Bank (labour cost)      775,000 Finished goods inventory 3,000,000
                     Creditors (overheads) 2,260,000 Balance                     35,000
                                              3,035,000                                        3,035,000
                 The closing balance on the raw materials account may represent the cost of
                 closing inventory. If so, it is carried forward as an opening balance to the start of
                 the next period. However, any cost variance (difference between standard and
                 actual material cost) should be taken to the income statement for the period.
                 Similarly, the balance on the conversion costs account represents cost variances
                 for labour and overhead, and this should be written off to the income statement
                 for the period.
                 Almost immediate recognition of cost of sales
                 The cost of sales and closing inventory of finished goods are simply recorded as
                 follows:
                                          Finished goods inventory account
                                                       ₦                                                    ₦
                     Raw materials             2,000,000 Cost of goods sold
                                                          (98,000  50)                         4,900,000
                     Conversion costs          3,000,000 Closing inventory
                                                          (2,000  50)                            100,000
                                               5,000,000                                        5,000,000
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       5.4 Backflush accounting with one ‘trigger point’
               An even simpler backflush accounting system has just one trigger point, the
               manufacture of finished units. In this system, the purchase of direct materials is
               not recorded.
               Conversion costs are debited, initially to a suspense account (or accounts as
               before).
               The cost of production is debited into finished inventory when production is
               complete with the credit entries are to the suspense accounts at standard costs
               and to payables for raw materials.
                 Example: Backflush accounting
                 A manufacturing company makes a single product (P), which has the following
                 standard cost:
                                                                  ₦
                     Raw materials                               20
                     Conversion costs                            30
                                                                 50
                 During the period, it incurred the following costs:
                   Raw materials purchased                    ₦2,030,000
                     Conversion costs:                       ₦3,035,000
                 The company made 100,000 units of Product P and sold 98,000 units.
                 The company uses a backflush costing system trigger point at completion of
                 production.
                                            Conversion costs account
                                                   ₦                                  ₦
                     Bank (labour cost)      775,000 Finished goods inventory 3,000,000
                     Creditors (overheads) 2,260,000 Balance                     35,000
                                            3,035,000                                       3,035,000
                                         Finished goods inventory account
                                                       ₦                                                ₦
                     Raw materials                         Cost of goods sold
                     (payables)              2,000,000
                     (100,000  20)                    (98,000  50)                         4,900,000
                     Conversion costs        3,000,000 Closing inventory
                     (100,000  30)                    (2,000  50)                            100,000
                                             5,000,000                                       5,000,000
               The only difference is that there is no raw materials inventory account. The
               ₦30,000 of materials that has been purchased but not used is simply not
               recorded in the costing system, and is therefore not included in closing inventory
               at the end of the period.
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Performance management
6      ENVIRONMENTAL ACCOUNTING
         Section overview
             The purpose of environmental management accounting
             A framework for environmental management accounting
             EMA techniques
       6.1 The purpose of environmental management accounting
               For some companies, environmental issues are significant, in terms of both
               strategy and cost.
                      Poor environmental behaviour can result in significant costs or losses, such
                       as fines for excessive pollution, environmental taxes, loss of land values,
                       the cost of law suits, and so on.
                      Environmental behaviour can affect the perception of customers, and their
                       attitudes to a company and its products. Increasingly, consumers take
                       environmental factors into consideration when they make their buying
                       decisions.
               Environmental management accounting can be used to provide information to
               management to help with the management of environmental issues. Traditional
               management accounting techniques can:
                      under-estimate or even ignore the cost of poor environmental behaviour;
                      over-estimate the costs of improving environmental practices; and
                      under-estimate the benefits of improving environmental practices.
               Environmental management accounting (EMA) provides managers with financial
               and non-financial information to support their environmental management
               decision-making. EMA complements other ‘conventional’ management
               accounting methods, and does not replace them.
               The main applications of EMA are for:
                      estimating annual environmental costs (for example, costs of waste
                       control);
                      budgeting;
                      product pricing;
                      investment appraisal (for example, estimating clean-up costs at the end of
                       a project life and assessing the environmental costs of a project); and
                      estimating savings from environmental projects.
       6.2 A framework for environmental management accounting
               Burritt et al (2001) suggested a framework for EMA based on providing
               information to management:
                      from internal or external sources;
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                                                    Four of these elements of EMA are shown in the following table:
                                                    Environmental management accounting (EMA)
                                                                                                                                                                                     that consists of routine reports or ad hoc information.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  where the focus is short-term or longer-term;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     as historical or forward-looking information;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        as monetary or physical measurements;
                                                                                             Monetary EMA                              Physical EMA
                                                                                           Short-term focus Long-term focus          Short-term focus Long-term focus
                                                    
                                                           Historical       Routine            Environmental      Analysis of             Material and       Accounting for
                                                            orientation       reporting           cost                environmental            energy flow         environmental
                                                                                                  accounting          ly-induced               accounting          capital
                                                                                                                      capital                                      impacts
                                                                                                                      expenditures
                                                                             Ad hoc (one-       Historical         Environmental           Historical         Post-
                                                                              off)                assessment of       life cycle               assessment of       investment
                                                                              information         environmental       costing,                 short-term          assessment of
109
                                                                                                  decisions           environmental            environmental       environmental
                                                                                                                      target costing           impacts, e.g.       impacts of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques
                                                                                                                                               of a site or        capital
                                                                                                                                               product             expenditures
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                           Future           Routine            Environmental      Environmental                             Environmental
                                                            orientation       reporting           operational         long-term                                   long-term
                                                                                                  budgets and         financial                                   physical
                                                                                                  capital             planning                                    planning
                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                  budgets                              
                                                                                                  (monetary                            
                                                                             Ad hoc (one-       Relevant           Environmental           Assessment         Physical
                                                                              off)                environmental       life cycle               of                  environmental
                                                                              information         costing (e.g.       budgeting and            environmental       investment
                                                                                                  special             target costing           impacts             appraisal.
                                                                                                  orders)                                                          Specific
                                                                                                                                                                   project life
                                                                                                                                                                   cycle analysis
Performance management
       6.3 EMA techniques
               Environmental management accounting techniques include:
                      re-defining costs;
                      environmental activity-based accounting; and
                      environmental life cycle costing.
               Re-defining costs
               The US Environmental Protection Agency (1998) suggested terminology for
               environmental costing that distinguishes between:
                      conventional costs: these are environmental costs of materials and
                       energy that have environmental relevance and that can be ‘captured’ in
                       costing systems;
                      potentially hidden costs: these are environmental costs that might get
                       lost within the general heading of ‘overheads’;
                      contingent costs: these are costs that might be incurred at a future date,
                       such as clean-up costs;
                      image and relationship costs: these are costs associated with promoting
                       an environmental image, such as the cost of producing environmental
                       reports. There are also costs of behaving in an environmentally
                       irresponsible way, such as the costs of lost sales as a result of causing a
                       major environmental disaster.
               In traditional management accounting systems, environmental costs (and
               benefits) are often hidden. EMA attempts to identify these costs and bring them
               to the attention of management.
               Environmental activity-based accounting
               Environmental activity based accounting is the application of environmental costs
               to activity based accounting. A distinction is made between:
                      environmental-related costs: these are costs that are attributable to cost
                       centres involved in environmental-related activities, such as an incinerator
                       or a waste recycling plant;
                      environmental-driven costs: these are overhead costs resulting from
                       environment-related factors, such as higher costs of labour or depreciation.
               The cost drivers for environment-related costs may be:
                      the volume of emissions or waste;
                      the toxicity of emissions or waste;
                      ‘environmental impact added’ (units multiplied by environmental impact per
                       unit); or
                      the volume of emissions or waste treated.
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               Environmental life cycle costing
               Life cycle costing is a method of costing that looks at the costs of a product over
               its entire life cycle. Life cycle costing can help a company to establish how costs
               are likely to change as a product goes through the stages of its life (introduction,
               growth, maturity, decline and withdrawal from the market). This analysis of costs
               should include environmental costs.
                 Illustration: Environmental life cycle costing
                 Xerox provides a good example of the environmental aspect of life cycle costing.
                 Xerox manufactures photocopiers, which it leases rather than sells. At the end of
                 a lease period, the photocopiers are returned from the customer to Xerox.
                 At one time, photocopiers were delivered to customers in packaging that could
                 not be re-used for sending the machines back at the end of the lease period.
                 Customers disposed of the old packaging and had to provide their own new
                 packaging to return the machines to Xerox. Xerox then disposed of this
                 packaging.
                 The company therefore incurred two costs: the cost of packaging to deliver
                 machines and the cost of disposal of the packaging for returned machines.
                 By looking at the costs of photocopiers over their full life cycle, Xerox found that
                 money could be saved by manufacturing standard re-usable packaging. The same
                 packaging could be used to deliver and return machines, and could also be re-
                 used.
                 At the same time, the company created benefits for the environment by reducing
                 disposals of packaging materials.
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Performance management
7      KAIZEN COSTING
         Section overview
             An introduction to Kaizen costing
             Techniques for continuous improvement
             Kaizen costing compared with standard costing
       7.1 An introduction to Kaizen costing
               For companies that practise TQM and continuous improvement methods, Kaizen
               costing takes over where target costing ends.
                      Target costing is used in the design and development stage for a new
                       product.
                      Kaizen costing is applied from the time that a product goes into full
                       production until the end of the product’s life.
               Taken together, target costing and Kaizen costing are systems for life cycle
               costing.
               The philosophy of continuous improvement (Kaizen) is based on the view that
               markets are highly competitive and industry must try to keep reducing costs in
               order to reduce selling prices in order to maintain a competitive advantage.
               Kaizen costing is a management accounting system that provides cost
               information to help with achieving improvements without loss of product quality or
               value.
               Most of the costs of a product over its entire life cycle are committed during the
               design and development stage. This is why target costing is a valuable technique
               for the control of costs (without loss of value). However, there is still some scope
               for further cost reduction after commercial production and marketing of the
               product has begun.
               A Kaizen costing system is therefore a costing system that is designed to help a
               company to reduce product costs.
                      A target for cost reductions is set. This target is below the current cost. The
                       cost reduction must be achieved without any loss of value for the customer.
                       For example, a target might be set to reduce unit costs of production by 5%
                       within two years.
                      Teams are established to identify methods of making improvements.
                      Kaizen focuses on making small improvements, as it is unlikely that a
                       single improvement will be sufficient to achieve the target cost reductions.
                       Many different improvements might be needed over a period of time.
                      Actual costs are continually compared with the target costs, and progress
                       towards achieving the target cost is monitored through regular reporting.
                      The project teams must continually review production conditions to find
                       ways of making more improvements and more cost reductions.
                      Normally, teams are rewarded with bonuses if they achieve their cost
                       reduction targets.
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                      When one cost reduction target is met, another cost reduction target takes
                       its place. With Kaizen, the process of seeking improvements never ends.
       7.2 Techniques for continuous improvement
               Teams that are given the responsibility for making improvements might use value
               analysis (VA) methods. VA is similar to value engineering, except that VA is
               applied to existing products and VE to products during their design and
               development stage.
               The types of questions that might be asked are as follows:
                      Can common materials and parts be used? The same part might be used in
                       two or more parts of the product, or the same part might be used for
                       several different products that the company manufactures.
                      How much of the cost consists of purchased materials and components?
                       Can major suppliers be persuaded to reduce their own costs and prices?
                      Can improvements be made in logistics (distribution) or packaging?
                      Can the investment in the product (for example, working capital) be
                       reduced?
                      Can improvements be made in production systems or maintenance
                       methods?
                      Can the work be organised in a different way?
                      A system of value analysis must be supported by a management
                       accounting system that provides relevant cost data.
       7.3 Kaizen costing compared with standard costing
               It is useful to compare Kaizen costing with traditional standard costing.
                      With standard costing, expected costs are established based on current
                       production methods. Variances between actual and standard costs are
                       calculated, and variance reports focus on significant variations between
                       actual costs and the current standard. There is no motivation to make
                       improvements and reduce costs below the existing standard.
                      With Kaizen costing, actual costs are compared with the target, not an
                       existing standard. The variance reporting system is used to monitor
                       progress towards the target cost.
                      With standard costing, managers are encouraged to prevent adverse
                       variances. For example, if there is an adverse material price variance, the
                       manager responsible might decide to buy materials at a lower price from a
                       different supplier. The result could be a loss of quality, a fall in value and a
                       reduction in customer satisfaction.
                      With Kaizen costing, reductions in cost must be achieved without any loss
                       of value.
               A 1993 article on Kaizen and Kaizen costing concluded: ‘In the US, changes in
               the focus and methods of production need to be accompanied by changes in
               management accounting systems. The Japanese have provided guidance on
               how management accounting can play a significant role in creating sustainable
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Performance management
               competitive advantage for a firm. The more organisations rid themselves of
               traditional management accounting practices, the better is the chance that the
               new ideas about manufacturing can take over and really show their worth. Old
               ways of product costing blunt a firm’s ability to compete effectively and hinder
               their ability to focus on world-class performance.’
8      PRODUCT PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             Introduction
             Direct product profitability
             Problems with DPP
       8.1 Introduction
               It would be very unusual to find a company with a single product. Many
               companies have wide product ranges.
               Manufacturing companies often have complex costing systems to establish the
               cost of production. Traditional accounting systems identify the direct costs
               associated with a product and incorporate systems to apportion production
               overheads into cost units. More modern techniques are discussed elsewhere in
               this chapter. If cost allocation is reliable it is relatively helpful.
       8.2 Direct product profitability
               Retailers know how much units of inventory have cost them and how much they
               are sold for. However, simply understanding the gross margin of different
               products does not always indicate the true profitability of those products.
               A retailer might be interested in understanding the impact that sales of individual
               products and product lines have on profitability. Direct product profitability (an
               approach developed by McKinsey & Co) is a technique which allows them to do
               this. Direct product profitability attempts to attribute the purchase price and
               indirect costs to individual products and product lines. This allows the
               identification of a net profit for each of these.
                 Illustration: Direct product profitability
                 Direct product profitability of a given product for a given period is found as
                 follows.
                                                                                                   ₦
                       Sale revenue                                                                X
                       Purchase price (net of discounts received)                                 (X)
                       Gross profit                                                                X
                       Less:
                         Ordering costs                                                            X
                         Storage costs                                                             X
                         Distribution costs                                                        X
                         Cost of obsolescence                                                      X
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                                                                                                  (X)
                                                                 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                       Direct product profit                                                       X
Performance management
               Notice that direct product profitability is expressed in profit per period rather than
               per unit. Looking at unit profitability might be misleading as it would fail to take
               sales volumes into account.
                 Example: Direct product profitability
                 A retailer sells two products (A and B) as follows:
                                                                                     A               B
                       Sales price                                               ₦4,000         ₦3,000
                       Purchase cost                                             ₦3,000         ₦2,000
                       Gross profit per unit                                     ₦1,000         ₦1,000
                       Gross margin                                               25%          33.33%
                       Shelf space per unit                                      20 cm2         10 cm2
                       Gross profit per unit of cm2 of shelf space                 ₦50           ₦100
                       It looks as if the retailer should be concentrating on selling B from the
                       above information. However, further data for weekly performance shows
                       that this is not the case.
                                                                             A                   B
                       Gross profit per unit                             ₦1,000              ₦1,000
                       Unit sales                                          400                  20
                       Gross profit                                    ₦400,000             ₦20,000
                       Area used (cm2)                                 2,000 cm2           1,000 cm2
                       Cost per cm2 per week                               ₦50                 ₦50
                       Storage cost                                    ₦100,000             ₦50,000
                       Direct product profit                           ₦300,000            ₦(30,000)
                       Information about DPP implies that it is not worth selling B.
                       This assumes that the space currently used to sell B could be used to sell
                       more A. If this were not the case then the decision might be ill founded
                       as B is making a contribution towards the storage costs.
                       In practice, large retailers will have many hundreds (thousands) of
                       product lines. The space freed up from the discontinuation of a product
                       line would always be used to sell something else.
               The above example demonstrates the importance of obtaining sufficient
               information before meaningful analysis can be carried out.
               DPP can be useful for a company that adopts a product based approach to
               marketing. It suggests better results can be achieved by selling more of the
               products which generate the highest product profitability.
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                                                           Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques
               DPP analysis suggests ways of improving product profitability. For example,
               moving items to more prominent positions to increase turnover or reducing the
               size of product packaging. It might also be used to justify retailers seeking
               product support from suppliers.
       8.3 Problems with DPP
               It depends on cost allocation and this might be difficult in practice.
               It can be said to provide an incorrect marketing focus as it disregards the needs
               of the customers.
9      SEGMENT PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             Introduction to segmental profitability analysis
          Full cost approach
          Segment contribution approach
             Comparison of the two approaches
       9.1 Introduction to segmental profitability analysis
               All businesses exist to make profit. They do this by producing goods and
               services and selling them for more than the cost of their production. The ability to
               measure performance in terms of profitability is very important.
               It is highly unlikely that a business will have only one product. Single product
               businesses are useful to illustrate accounting principles but exist only in theory.
               Many companies have hundreds of products which they sell in many regions.
               Given the existence of many products and many different areas of operations, it
               is unlikely that all products or areas will be profitable over time. Companies need
               to evaluate profit performance systematically and regularly on a segmental basis
               and unprofitable segments should be discontinued if they cannot be made
               profitable.
               A business can segment its operations in several ways, including:
                      by product line;
                      by geographical area (town, district, country)
               There are two main ways of measuring segment profitability:
                      the full cost approach; and
                      the contribution approach.
       9.2 Full cost approach
               The full cost approach attempts to measure the total profit earned by each
               segment.
               The basic principles of this approach are as follows:
                      The objective is to measure net profit of each operating segment.
                      Overall net profit of a business is the sum of the net profit of the individual
                       segments.
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                      All indirect expenses (common) must be allocated.
                      Allocation of indirect expenses involves selecting bases of allocation.
                 Illustration: Segmental profit
                                                                                                   ₦
                       Segment sales                                                               X
                       Direct expenses
                         Variable segment costs                                                    (X)
                         Fixed segment expenses                                                    (X)
                                                                                                    X
                       Allocated indirect expenses                                                 (X)
                                                                                                    X
               At first sight, this might look like a logical approach as a business cannot be
               successful without profit (net income). However, measuring the profit of a
               segment is more difficult than measuring the profit of a business in its entirety
               due to the need to identify segment expenses.
               From the segment’s point of view, there are two types of expenses:
                      segment direct expenses; and
                      segment indirect expenses.
               Segment direct expenses
               These are segment expenses that result from the existence and operation of the
               segment. These expenses would be avoided by a company if it closed the
               segment.
               Examples of segment direct expenses include the following:
                      direct costs (material, labour and variable overhead); and
                      fixed costs that relate directly to a segment (e.g. factory rental).
               Segment indirect expenses
               These are segment expenses that are not directly caused by a particular
               segment. They relate to the company as a whole but are shared to the segments
               to which they relate in order to calculate segment profitability. These expenses
               would not be avoided by a company if it closed the segment.
               Examples of indirect expenses include the following:
                      directors’ remuneration;
                      head office expenses;
                      costs of central functions (e.g. accounting, treasury, human resources etc.)
               There are different methods that might be used for allocating expenses so it
               might be said that the final allocation is somewhat arbitrary. An unfair allocation
               method can cause one segment to appear to be more profitable than another
               when in fact this is not the case.
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Performance management
       9.3 Segment contribution approach
               The segment contribution approach attempts to measure the contribution made
               by each segment.
               The basic principles of this approach are as follows:
                      Only the contribution of each segment is computed. No attempt is made to
                       compute the net income of the segment.
                      Indirect or common expenses of each segment are not allocated.
                      Indirect or common expenses, however, are usually deducted from total
                       segmental contribution in order to arrive at overall business net income.
               A segment is considered profitable if sales of the segment exceed the direct
               expenses of the segment
                 Illustration: Segmental contribution
                                                                                                 ₦
                       Segment sales                                                             X
                       Direct expenses
                         Variable segment costs                                                  (X)
                         Fixed segment expenses                                                  (X)
                                                                                                  X
               The major problem of the full cost approach is that it is possible for a segment to
               show an operating loss yet at the same time be making a positive contribution to
               net income. In other words, if the seemingly unprofitable segment is closed, then
               the overall net income of the business will decrease. This will be examined later
               in this chapter.
               To overcome this adverse feature of the full cost approach, many businesses
               prefer to use the contribution approach to measuring segmental profitability.
               The segmental contribution approach as indicated by its name measures
               segmental contribution. Segmental contribution may simply be defined as sales
               less direct expenses.
               There is a difference between segmental contribution and contribution as
               discussed in earlier chapters.
                      Contribution (as discussed in earlier chapters) is sales less variable
                       expenses.
                      Segmental contribution is segment sales less segment direct costs.
                       Segment direct costs might include fixed costs. This is because they would
                       vary if the segment was closed.
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                                                         Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques
       9.4 Comparison of the two approaches
               The indirect expenses of a segment will continue to be incurred regardless of
               whether the segment is continued or not continued.
               Therefore, as long as the segment is making a contribution towards indirect fixed
               expenses, continuing operations at least in the short run makes the business
               better off.
               The following example illustrates the basic principles of the full cost and
               segmental contribution approaches.
                 Example: Segment profitability
                 A company operates as two segments (X and Y).
                 The following results relate to the most recent accounting period.
                                                                  X               Y             Total
                                                                ₦000           ₦000            ₦000
                       Sales                                    300             200               500
                       Direct costs                             (215)          (170)             (385)
                       Segmental contribution                     85              30              115
                       Indirect costs                             (60)           (40)            (100)
                       Segmental profit/(loss)                    25             (10)               15
                       Analysis
                       The full cost approach shows that segment Y is operating at a net loss of
                       ₦10,000. This makes it look as if the business would be better off by
                       ₦10,000 if it were to close segment Y.
                       The segmental contribution approach shows that segment Y is making a
                       contribution of ₦30,000.
                       The contribution approach shows that segment Y actually makes a
                       contribution to the total fixed costs. If segment Y were closed this
                       contribution would be lost but the indirect costs would not be avoided.
                       Therefore, the company would be ₦30,000 worse off if segment Y were
                       closed and this would result in the company making a loss of ₦15,000.
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Performance management
10 CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Describe target costing and how target cost is determined
             Apply the target costing tools to given scenarios
             Explain lifecycle costing
             Explain throughput accounting and solve throughput accounting problems
             Explain and apply backflush accounting
             Explain and apply environmental accounting
             Explain Kaizen costing
             Explain and calculate product profitability
             Explain and calculate segment profitability using full cost and contribution
              approaches
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                                                                   4
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                        CHAPTER
    Learning and experience curve theory
 Contents
 1 The learning curve
 2 Other aspects
 3 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 A     Cost planning and control
       2     Overview of costs for planning and control
             B     Learning and experience curve theory
                   i     Discuss and apply the learning and experience curve theory to pricing,
                         budgeting and other relevant problems.
                   ii    Calculate and apply learning rate to cost estimation.
Exam context
This chapter explains each of the above topics in turn.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the learning effect
      Use a tabular approach to illustrate the learning effect
      Use the learning effect formula to calculate time required for units at a given point in
       production as a basis for budgeting and pricing
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                                                              Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory
1      THE LEARNING CURVE
         Section overview
             The learning effect
             The learning curve model (tabular approach)
             Formula for the learning curve
       1.1 The learning effect
               When a team of workers begins a skilled task for the first time, and the task then
               becomes repetitive, they will probably do the job more quickly as the workers
               learn the task and so become more efficient. They will find quicker ways of
               performing tasks, and will become more efficient as their knowledge and
               understanding increase. This improvement in efficiency through experience is
               called the learning effect.
               When a skilled task is well-established and has been in operation for a long time,
               the learning effect wears out, and the time to complete the task eventually
               becomes the same every time the task is subsequently carried out.
               When the average time to produce an additional unit becomes constant, a
               ‘steady state’ has been reached.
               However, during the learning period, the time to complete each subsequent task
               can fall by a very large amount and the learning effect can be substantial.
               The learning effect (and learning curve) was first discovered in the US during the
               1940s, in aircraft manufacture. It probably still applies today in aircraft
               manufacture. Aircraft manufacture is a highly-skilled task, where:
                      the skill of the work force is important; and
                      the labour time is a significant element in production resources and
                       production costs.
               Where the learning effect is significant, it has implications for:
                      costs of completing the task;
                      budgeting/forecasting production requirements and production costs; and
                      pricing the output so as to make a profit.
               Prices charged to the customer can allow for the cost savings that will be made
               because of the learning effect
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Performance management
        1.2 The learning curve model (tabular approach)
                The learning effect can be measured mathematically, and shown as a learning
                curve.
                The learning curve is measured as a percentage learning effect. For example, for
                a particular task, there might be an 80% learning curve effect, or a 90% learning
                curve effect, and so on.
                The learning effect
                When there is a x% learning curve for the manufacture of a product, this means
                that when cumulative output of the product doubles, the average time to produce
                all the units made so far (the cumulative total produced to date) is x% of what it
                was before. For example:
                        when there is an 80% learning curve, every time output doubles the
                         cumulative average time to produce units falls to 80% of what it was before.
                        The cumulative average time per unit is the average time for all the units
                         made so far, from the first unit onwards. For example if an 80% learning
                         effect applies:
                                the average time for the first two units is 80% of the average time for
                                 the first unit;
                                The average time for the first four units is 80% of the average time for
                                 the first two units and so on.
                  Example: The learning effect
                  The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been
                  established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve.
                  Calculate:
                  (a)        the cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units, first 8
                             units and first 16 units of the boat
                  (b)        the total time required to make the first 2 units, the first 4 units, the first 8
                             units and the first 16 units
                  (c)        the additional time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th
                             units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
                  These can be found by constructing the following table:
                                            Cumulative      Total time      Incremental
                                             average          for all         time for          Average time
                        Total units          time per         units          additional         for additional
                        (cumulative)        unit (days)      (days)         units (days)        units (days)
                        1                       100          100.00           100.00
                        2 ( 80%)                 80         160.00             60.00                 60.00
                        4 ( 80%)                 64         256.00             96.00                 48.00
                        8 ( 80%)                 51.2       409.60           153.60                  38.40
                        16 ( 80%)               40.96       655.36           245.76                  30.72
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                                                                Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory
                 Practice question                                                                           1
                 The first unit of a new model of machine took 1,600 hours to make.
                 A 90% learning curve applies.
                 How much time would it take to make the first 32 units of this machine?
                 Calculate:
                 (a)     the cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units,
                         first 8 units and first 16 units.
                 (b)     the total time required to make the first 2 units, the first 4 units, the
                         first 8 units and the first 16 units
                 (c)     the additional time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th
                         units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
                 (d)     the average time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th
                         units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
               Problem with the tabular approach
               It is easy to construct a table to show the learning effect and it provides useful
               information. However, it can only be constructed to show doubling of the output.
               The table can be used to calculate how many days it would take to construct
               units 3 and 4 and the average time for each of these. However, it cannot be used
               to calculate how long unit 3 actually took and how long unit 4 actually took. (We
               know that boats 3 and 4 together took 96 days to make but not how long each
               took as the learning effect means that boat 4 would have taken less time than
               boat 3).
               Similarly, the table can be used to calculate how many days it would take to
               construct units 5 to 8 and the average time for each of these. However, it cannot
               be used to calculate how long unit 5 actually took and how long unit 7 (say)
               actually took. (We know that boats 5 to 8 together took 153.6 days to make but
               not how long each took as the learning effect means that boat 8 would have
               taken less time than boat 5 for example).
               The way around this is to use the learning curve formula.
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 Performance management
        1.3 Formula for the learning curve
                The learning curve is represented by the following formula (mathematical model):
                  Formula: Learning curve
                                                              y = axb
                                                          log of learning rate
                                                   b=
                                                          log 2
                        Where:
                        y = the cumulative average time per unit for all units made
                        x = the number of units made so far (cumulative number of units)
                        a = the time for the first unit
                        b = the learning factor.
                        The learning rate is expressed as a decimal – a learning rate of 80% is
                        expressed as 0.8
                Logarithms (usually shortened to log) are different way to express a number.
                Logs can have different bases. The most widely used logs are log10 (log to the
                base 10 usually written simple as log) or natural logs (log to the base e but
                written as written as ln).
                The log of a number is number of times that you would have to multiply 10 by
                itself to get that number. For example:
                       the log of 100 is 2 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by itself
                        twice to get a hundred.
                       the log of 1,000 is 3 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by itself
                        three times to get a thousand.
                       the log of 80 is 1;90301 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by
                        itself 1;90301 times to get 80.
                       the log of 0.8 is 0.9691 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by
                        itself 0.9691 times to get 0.8. (Note that the log of any number less than 1
                        is always negative).
                Admittedly, this can be a little difficult to understand but modern calculators can
                calculate log values easily.
The learning effect can be computed using the formula approach thus:
Y = axb
Where the above variables are explained above.
Y(x) = (axb) x
b=     √ Y(x)
      √ (axb)x
 © Emile Woolf International                              128          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
 Example:
Determine the learning rate of a process where the first unit (a) uses 720 hours and and
the fourth unit is estimated to use an average of 405 hours per unit at a constant learning
rate.
Solution :
Using the formula approach:
Y = axb
Rate of learning = √y x = √405 x 4
                   √ axbx = √720 x 4
                               √0.5625 = 0.75 = 75%
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                                                                  Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory
                 Example (continued): The learning effect
                 Returning to the earlier example:
                 The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been
                 established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve.
                 The cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units, first 8 units
                 and first 16 units of the boat can be calculated as follows:
                       The learning factor:
                              log of learning rate                   log 0.8
                        b=                                      b=             = −0.32193
                                      log 2                           log 2
                       First 2 units
                                y = axb                    y = 100 days  20.32193 = 80 days
                       First 4 units
                                y = axb                    y = 100 days  40.32193 = 64 days
                       First 8 units
                                y = axb                    y = 100 days  80.32193 = 51.2 days
                       First 16 units
                                y = axb               y = 100 days  160.32193 = 40.96 days
               The formula can be used for any number of units.
                 Example (continued): The learning effect
                 Returning to the earlier example:
                 The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been
                 established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve.
                 The cumulative average time per unit for the first 9 units is as follows:
                       The learning factor:
                           log of learning rate                      log 0.8
                       b=                                       b=             = −0.32193
                                   log 2                              log 2
                       First 9 units
                                y = axb                    y = 100 days  90.32193 = 49.3 days
               It is now a short step to work out how long any unit would take to build.
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Performance management
                                             Example (continued): The learning effect
                                             These can be found be constructing the following table:
                                             Cumulative            Total time           Incremental
                                              average               for all               time for
                      Total units             time per               units               additional
                      (cumulative)           unit (days)            (days)              units (days)
                          8                        51.2             409.60
                          9                        49.3             443.70                245.76
                                                  In other words, the 9th boat took 34.1 days to
                                                  build. mbuildcccomplete make.
               This approach can be used to calculate the time taken to build any unit.
                 Example: The learning effect
                 It will take 500 hours to complete the first unit of a new product. There is a 95%
                 learning curve effect.
                 Calculate how long it will take to produce the 7th unit
                       The learning factor:
                           log of learning rate                                       log 0.95
                       b=                                                       b=             = −0.074
                                   log 2                                                log 2
                       First 6 units
                                y = axb                            y = 500 hours  60.074 = 437.9 hours
                       First 7 units
                                y = axb                            y = 500 hours  70.074 = 432.9 hours
                 These can be used to find the incremental time as before.
                                                                                        Incremental
                                             Cumulative           Total time              time for
                                              average                for all             additional
                      Total units             time per               units                  units
                      (cumulative)           unit (hours)           (hours)                (hours)
                          6                        437.9          2,627.4
                          7                        432.9          3,030.3                 402.9
                     In other words, the 7th unit took 402.9 hours to build .
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                                                               Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory
2      OTHER ASPECTS
         Section overview
          Graph of the learning curve
          Conditions for the learning curve to apply
             Implications of the learning curve
             Problems with the application of learning curve theory
       2.1 Graph of the learning curve
               The learning effect can be illustrated graphically.
                 Illustration: Learning effect
                       The cumulative average time per        The total cost line curves
                       unit falls rapidly at first, but the   upwards.
                       learning effect eventually ends and    The slope decreases as more units
                       the average time for each              are made implying that the cost
                       additional unit eventually becomes     per unit falls as more and more
                       constant (a standard time).            units are made.
       2.2 Conditions for the learning curve to apply
               The learning curve effect will only apply in the following conditions:
                      There must be stable conditions for the work, so that learning can take
                       place. For example, labour turnover must not be high; otherwise the
                       learning effect is lost. The time between making each subsequent unit must
                       not be long; otherwise the learning effect is lost because employees will
                       forget what they did before.
                      The activity must be labour-intensive and repetitive so that learning will
                       affect the time to complete the work.
                      There must be no change in production techniques, which would require
                       the learning process to start again from the beginning.
                      Employees must be motivated to learn.
               The costs that are reduced as a result of the learning curve are those that vary
               with labour time – labour costs and any overhead costs that vary with labour
               time. The learning effect will not usually result in reductions in materials costs, for
               example, because the usage of materials (ignoring losses through wastage) is
               not related to labour efficiency.
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Performance management
       2.3 Implications of the learning curve
               When a process benefits from a learning curve effect, there are implications for
               budgeting and pricing.
                      Budgets should allow for the reduction in the average labour time per unit.
                       Total labour requirements (the size of the work force required) will be
                       affected.
                      If prices are calculated on a ‘cost plus’ basis, prices quoted to customers
                       should allow for future cost savings. The sales budget will be affected by
                       expected reductions in the sales price.
                      Any system of budgetary control should make allowance for the expected
                       reduction in the production time per unit. Actual hours taken should be
                       compared with expected hours, allowing for the learning curve effect.
       2.4 Problems with the application of learning curve theory
               In practice, the learning curve effect is not used extensively for budgeting or
               estimating costs (or calculating sales prices on a cost plus basis).
                      It may be difficult to measure the learning rate with sufficient accuracy. It
                       also may be difficult to measure the time taken for the first unit accurately.
                      In a modern manufacturing environment production is highly mechanised
                       and therefore the learning curve effect does not apply.
                      Learning curve theory assumes that stable production conditions will exist,
                       and all subsequent units will be produced to the same specifications as the
                       original product. In practice, the product may go through several major
                       design changes after the first unit has been produced.
                      For many products where skilled labour is required, production might have
                       reached a ’steady state’ so that there will be no further reductions in the
                       average times to produce the item.
                      Even with skilled, labour-intensive work, if there is a high rate of labour
                       turnover, the work force might not gain enough collective experience for a
                       learning effect to apply.
                 Example: The learning effect
                 X Ltd has developed a new product. The process used to produce the new product
                 is repetitive, and around 60% automated.
                 Following reorganisation at X Ltd, the workforce is less motivated than it has
                 been in the past and the number of resignations has increased in recent months.
                 Required
                 Evaluate the extent to which you would expect a learning curve effect to occur in
                 respect of the new product at X Ltd.
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                                                            Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory
                 Answer
                 Learning curves only apply to repetitive processes.
                 The new product may experience a learning effect as it is to be produced using a
                 repetitive process.
                 The process is 60% automated, and learning curves can only be observed on a
                 process that is highly labour intensive. The 40% of the process that is not
                 automated could give rise to a learning curve, however the extent to which this
                 will impact on the process overall is unknown. It is possible that a learning curve
                 effect could occur, but it is unlikely to be significant.
                 Further, there are issues with motivation and staff turnover. Both of these factors
                 reduce the likelihood of a learning curve effect taking place.
                 If staff are not motivated, they will not be keen to learn and keen to work quickly
                 and so the learning curve will never arise.
                 Higher staff turnover prevents the learning curve taking place as staff are
                 replaced too frequently for the benefits to be observed as the workers will not
                 have sufficient time to learn the process and speed up.
                 Overall, the learning curve experienced in relation to the new product as X Ltd is
                 likely to be minimal.
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Performance management
3      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the learning effect
             Use a tabular approach to illustrate the learning effect
             Use the learning effect formula to calculate time required for units at a given point
              in production as a basis for budgeting and pricing
© Emile Woolf International                       134          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                        Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                          1
                                 Cumulative      Total time      Incremental
                                average time       for all          time for         Average time
                  Total units   per unit (90%       units          additional        for additional
                 (cumulative)     LF) (days)       (days)         units (days)        units (days)
                      1             1,600           1,600              1,600
                      2             1,440            2880              1280              1280
                      4             1,296            5184              2304            1152.00
                      8           1,166.4        9331.20            4147.20            1036.80
                      16         1,049.76        16796.16           7464.96             933.12
                      32           944.78        30233.09          13436.93             839.81
© Emile Woolf International                     137           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                               5
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                    CHAPTER
                                Quality and quality costs
 Contents
 1 Quality management and quality costs
 2 Costs of conformance
 3 Costs of non-conformance
 4 The significance of quality costs
 5 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International               138   The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts. This
has a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 A     Cost planning and control
       1     Overview of costs for planning and control
             C     Cost of quality
                   i     Explain quality costs.
                   ii    Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of non-
                         conformance.
                   iii   Discuss the significance of quality costs for organisations.
Exam context
This chapter explains each of the above topics in turn.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the nature of quality costs
      Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance
      Analyse costs of conformance into appraisal costs and prevention costs
      Analyse costs of non-conformance into internal and external failure costs
      Discuss the potential significance of quality costs, including reputation costs, for
       organisations
      Explain approaches to the management of quality costs including the Total Quality
       Management approach.
© Emile Woolf International                         138          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
1      QUALITY MANAGEMENT AND QUALITY COSTS
         Section overview
                The importance of quality
                Quality-related costs
                Quality-related costs: costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance
       1.1 The importance of quality
               Success in business depends on satisfying the needs of customers and meeting
               the requirements of customers. An essential part of meeting customers’ needs is
               to provide the quality that customers require. Quality is therefore an important
               aspect of product design and marketing.
               Quality is also important in the control of production processes. Poor quality in
               production will result in losses due to rejected items and wastage rates, sales
               returns by customers, repairing products sold to customers (under warranty
               agreements) and the damaging effect on sales of a loss of reputation.
               An entity should seek to minimise quality-related costs. In order to do this,
               quality-related costs should be measured, analysed and controlled. However in
               many organisations the management accounting system does not capture,
               analyse and report on quality cost data. This chapter indicates how quality-
               related costs could be measured.
       1.2 Quality-related costs
               Quality-related costs can be defined as: ‘the expenditure incurred in defect
               prevention and appraisal activities and the losses due to internal and external
               failure of a product or service, through failure to meet the agreed specification’.
               An organisation must incur costs to deal with quality.
                      It incurs costs to maintain the required quality standards, and to prevent
                       poor quality, or detect poor quality items when they occur. These are costs
                       of conformance.
                      It incurs costs in correcting the problem when poor quality does occur.
                       These are costs of non-conformance.
               The cost of quality can be defined as: ‘The cost of ensuring and assuring
               quality, as well as the loss incurred when quality is not achieved’. The aim should
               be to minimise the total of quality-related costs.
       1.3 Quality-related costs: costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance
               Dr Armand Feigenbaum is considered a ‘quality guru’: he developed the concept
               of total quality control (TQC) in the 1950s. The explanation of quality costs that
               follows in the rest of this chapter is based on Feigenbaum’s analysis and
               categorisation of quality costs.
© Emile Woolf International                        139         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The following formula sets out the total costs of quality, as defined by Dr Armand
               Feigenbaum in the 1950s. This is now a well-established method of analysing
               quality costs.
                 Formula: Quality costs
                                                   Costs of                     Costs of non-
                        Total costs of
                                          =      conformance             +      conformance
                           quality             (costs of control)             (costs of failure)
                          Costs of
                                          =    Prevention costs          +     Appraisal costs
                        conformance
                            and
                        Costs of non-                                          External failure
                                          =   Internal failure costs     +
                        conformance                                                costs
© Emile Woolf International                       140         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
2      COSTS OF CONFORMANCE
         Section overview
                Appraisal costs
                Prevention costs
       2.1 Appraisal costs
               No matter how much money is spent on preventing quality failures, some failures
               will almost certainly occur. Prevention measures cannot provide a 100%
               guarantee of quality. Consequently some inspection checks are needed to test
               whether quality standards are being maintained, and if possible to identify
               defective items that do occur.
               Appraisal costs are the costs that are incurred to detect defective items before
               they are delivered to customers and to deal with faults or defects that are
               discovered. These costs are normally associated with inspection, and are the
               costs incurred as part of the inspection process, in order to ensure that incoming
               materials and other supplies – and outgoing finished products – are of the ‘right
               quality’. They also include the costs of quality tests and quality audits.
               Appraisal costs are incurred either after items have been supplied or produced,
               or during the process of production.
               Quality inspections may have the objective of identifying all defects, and rejecting
               them as unacceptable. Defective materials or parts from a supplier are returned
               to the supplier. Defective items that occur during production are either scrapped
               or re-worked to eliminate the defect.
               However, when an organisation is buying a large number of items and in large
               quantities, inspecting 100% of items purchased would be a time-consuming and
               expensive process, unless all items can be checked automatically within a fully-
               automated production process.
               For this reason, it is usual for quality inspections to be carried out on a sample of
               items, not 100% of items. The results from the sample testing are used to assess
               whether quality standards are on the whole within acceptable limits.
               Here are some examples of appraisal costs.
                      inspecting purchased items on delivery, to check whether they meet the
                       required specifications;
                      in a manufacturing process, checking items as soon as possible during the
                       process, or checking finished items for defects;
                      carrying out a quality audit from time to time, to assess whether quality
                       standards are up to the level required and the quality control system is
                       working as intended.
               The costs incurred may consist of:
                      the costs of labour time spent on inspecting;
                      the costs of inspection equipment.
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Performance management
       2.2 Prevention costs
               Prevention costs are the costs of action to prevent defects (or reduce the number
               of defects). They are costs incurred to prevent a quality problem from arising.
               Quality problems can arise for a variety of reasons:
                      The initial design of the product and the method of making it may be poor,
                       so that there will be a large number of sub-standard items produced.
                      The raw materials used to make the product may be poor in quality, and
                       better-quality raw materials may reduce the wastage rate in production.
                      The work force may be badly trained, and so may make a large number of
                       errors in production.
                      Faulty output may occur when the production machinery is not in good
                       working order, which may be caused by insufficient maintenance and
                       repair work on the machines.
               Prevention costs are the costs incurred in preventing these problems from
               happening.
               Investing in the prevention of quality failures will result in fewer failures and so
               less need for inspections, and a reduction in appraisal costs and quality failure
               costs. A solution to the problem of quality failures is to prevent them from
               happening. Spending on prevention measures can be justified by much bigger
               savings in appraisal costs and costs of quality failures.
               Prevention costs are costs incurred in order to reduce appraisal costs and the
               costs of quality failures, by preventing or reducing defects and failures produced
               by the process, and to reduce the need to spend money on inspections and
               testing for quality failures.
               Examples of measures that might be taken to reduce quality failures are:
                      Quality planning: establishing clear specifications for the quality standards
                       required in a product, service or process. By paying closer attention to
                       getting specifications ‘right’, particularly in product design, costs of
                       appraisal and quality failure costs can be reduced;
                      Investing in systems and equipment to achieve the required quality
                       standard;
                      Training staff to recognise the importance of quality and ‘getting things
                       right first time’;
                      Choosing only those suppliers that can be expected to deliver supplies to
                       the required quality standard.
© Emile Woolf International                        142          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                          Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
3      COSTS OF NON-CONFORMANCE
         Section overview
                Internal failure costs
                External failure costs
       3.1 Internal failure costs
               Internal failures are quality failures that:
                      occur when products are defective because they do not conform to
                       requirements or specifications; but
                      are discovered before the product is delivered to the customer.
               They are failures that would otherwise have led to the external customer being
               dissatisfied, if they had been delivered. Internal failures are caused either by
               defects in products (failure of the product to meet specifications) and
               inefficiencies in the production process.
               Internal failures may be identified when defective items are found in the
               inspection or testing process, or when there is a breakdown in the production
               process. Items that are inspected and found to be faulty will be either:
                      rejected and thrown out, or
                      re-worked so that they meet the required quality standard.
               Internal failure costs are costs incurred when defective production occurs. They
               include:
                      the variable cost of items that are scrapped when found to be sub-standard
                       in quality
                      the incremental cost of re-working items to bring them to the required
                       quality standard
                      the cost of production time lost due to failure and defects. If a factory is
                       working at full capacity and is unable to keep up with sales demand, this
                       cost would include the contribution lost as a consequence of producing
                       less finished output and so selling less.
       3.2 External failure costs
               External failure costs are costs incurred when the quality problem arises after the
               goods have been delivered to the customer. They include the costs of:
                      dealing with customers’ complaints
                      carrying out repair work under a guarantee or warranty
                      transport costs incurred when recovering faulty items from customers
                      transport costs incurred in delivering repaired items or replacement items
                       to customers
                      recalling all items from customers in order to correct a design fault
                      legal costs, when a customer takes the organisation to court
© Emile Woolf International                          143         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                      the cost of lost reputation: when an organisation gets a reputation for poor
                       quality, customers will stop buying from it.
               Reputational costs
               Corporate reputation can be defined as the overall estimation in which a
               company is held by its customers. Reputations are built up over time, and it is
               increasingly recognised that reputation is an important intangible asset. A strong
               positive reputation can differentiate a company from its competitors, and help to
               attract and retain customers. There is evidence that a good reputation enhances
               profitability and contributes to the longer-term success of an organisation, by
               maintaining customer and supplier loyalty, supporting the recruitment and
               retention of high-quality personnel, and improving competitiveness.
               Conversely, a negative reputation – or reputational damage – can erode
               customer support for the company and its products.
               ‘Reputational risk’ is the risk of damage to reputation, and the resulting
               consequences. The cost of a poor reputation (a failure to satisfy customers) is an
               external failure cost.
© Emile Woolf International                        144          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
4      THE SIGNIFICANCE OF QUALITY COSTS
         Section overview
                Managing quality costs
                Complications in the interpretation of quality costs
                Managing quality-related costs: Total Quality Management
       4.1 Managing quality-related costs
               The traditional approach to managing quality costs recognises that there is a
               relationship between costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance.
               The ‘traditional view’ of managing quality costs is that the total of all quality costs
               should be minimised.
                      An organisation should spend more money on prevention and detection
                       costs, if this reduces internal and external failure costs by a larger amount.
                      On the other hand, there is no reason to spend more on preventing poor
                       quality if the benefits do not justify the extra cost.
               The first step in reducing the costs of quality is to calculate the total cost the
               organisation is incurring for quality.
                 Example: Calculating the costs of quality
                 X Limited has experienced quality issues with a new product.
                 Production information is as follows:
                              PRODUCTION DATA
                              Units manufactured and sold                                     20,000 units
                              Units requiring rework                                            3,000 units
                              Units requiring warranty repair service                           4,000 units
                       The following information is available about the company’s efforts in
                       respect of quality:
                       Engineering hours                                                        5,000 hours
                       Inspection hours (manufacturing)                                       32,000 hours
                       Engineering cost per hour                                                     ₦105
                       Inspection cost per hour                                                      ₦55
                       Rework cost per unit reworked                                               ₦5,280
                       Customer support per warranty repair (per unit)                               ₦265
                       Warranty repairs per repaired unit                                          ₦2,000
                       Staff training costs                                                    ₦195,000
                       Additional product testing costs                                         ₦80,000
© Emile Woolf International                             145             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example(continued): Calculating the costs of quality
                 A quality cost analysis can be prepared as follows:
                                                                                        ₦,000         ₦,000
                       Prevention costs
                        Training                                                           195
                         Engineering (5,000  105)                                         525
                       Appraisal costs                                                                     720
                         Inspection costs (32,000  55)                                 1,760
                         Product testing                                                    80
                                                                                                         1,840
                       Costs of conformance                                                              2,560
                       Internal failure costs
                        Rework (3,000  5,280)                                        15,840
                       External failure costs
                         Repairs (4,000  (265 + 5050))                               21,260
                       Costs of conformance                                                            37,100
                       Total cost of quality                                                           39,660
               In this case, the company’s costs of conformance are much smaller than its
               costs of non-conformance. An investment in the costs of conformance might
               result in savings in the costs of non-conformance so that overall the total cost of
               quality would fall.
                 Example(continued): Calculating the costs of quality
                 Following on from the previous example, the company is considering investing in
                 costs of conformance as follows:
                              Training costs are to be doubled
                              Engineering hours are to be trebled
                              Inspection hours are to be increased five fold
                              Product testing cost to be trebled
                       Analysis has led the company to believe that the above measures would
                       result in the following:
                              Units requiring rework                                            2,000 units
                              Units requiring warranty repair service                           2,000 units
© Emile Woolf International                             146             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
                 Example(continued): Calculating the costs of quality
                 A new quality cost analysis can be prepared as follows:
                                                                                  ₦,000         ₦,000
                       Prevention costs
                         Training (195,000  2)                                      390
                         Engineering (5,000  3  105)                            1,575
                       Appraisal costs                                                             1,965
                         Inspection costs (32,000  5  55)                       8,800
                         Product testing (80  3)                                    240
                                                                                                   9,040
                       Costs of conformance                                                      11,005
                       Internal failure costs
                         Rework (2,000  5,280)                                 10,560
                       External failure costs
                         Repairs (2,000  (265 + 5050))                         10,630
                       Costs of conformance                                                      21,190
                       Total cost of quality                                                     32,195
                       Therefore the initiative would reduce the total quality costs.
                                                                                               ₦,000
                              Before the initiative                                            39,660s
                              After the initiative                                             32,195
                              Quality cost reduction                                             7,465
© Emile Woolf International                            147        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       4.2 Complications in the interpretation of quality costs
               Using percentages
               Quality costs are often expressed as percentages of sales value. However, they
               can also be expressed as a percentage of production costs. The distinction is
               important to understand when analysing data.
                 Example: Calculating the costs of quality
                 The following information is available for a company.
                                                                                                  ₦,000
                               Revenue                                                            1,000
                               Production costs                                                    (800)
                               Gross profit                                                         200
                       a)      If quality costs are 10% of revenue
                               The production costs can be analysed as follows:
                                 Quality costs (10% of 1,000)                                       100
                                 Other production costs (balancing figure)                          700
                                 Total production costs                                             800
                       a)      If quality costs are 10% of production costs
                               The production costs can be analysed as follows:
                                  Quality costs (10% of 800)                                          80
                                 Other production costs (balancing figure)                          720
                                 Total production costs                                             800
               A question might require you to calculate the number of units that need to be
               produced in order to achieve a level of good output subject to a given failure rate.
               In this case, the number produced can be found by grossing up the number
               required to be sold to take account of the production failures.
                 Example
                 A company’s production process losses 20% of units input.
                 The number of units that must be input in order to achieve output of 100 good
                 units is:
                               100 units  100/80 = 125 units (or 100 units ÷ 0.8 = 125 units)
                              Proof                                          Units
                              Units input to production                      125
                              Losses in production (20% of 125)              (25)
                              Good output                                    100
© Emile Woolf International                            148         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
                 Practice question                                                                       1
                 A company is considering investing in a new quality initiative.
                 It has made the following estimates of losses incurred in order to achieve
                 an output of 1,000 good units (i.e. free from defects).with and without this
                 initiative.
                                                                Before quality         After quality
                                                                  initiative             initiative
                              Losses in production                   5%                     1%
                              Rejections on final inspection        10%                     6%
                       Both units of good output and units lost and rejected costs ₦700 to
                       produce.
                       What is the maximum amount that the company should pay for the
                       quality improvement per batch of 1,000 units?
               Timing of benefits
               As stated above, the ‘traditional view’ of managing quality costs is that the total
               of all quality costs should be minimised. When analysing the success or
               otherwise of a change in policy to reduce total quality costs it is important to
               understand that benefits resulting from increase spend on costs of conformance
               may not be experienced instantly. There may be a delay as the result of the
               changes work through the system.
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Performance management
                 Example: Timing of changes in quality costs
                 A company has collected the following information:
                                                       Period 1    Period 2       Period 3 Period 4
                                                        ₦,000        ₦,000         ₦,000          ₦,000
                       Appraisal costs                      50        100           100            100
                       Prevention costs                     60         65           100            120
                                                            110       165           200            220
                       Internal failure costs               250       300           220            180
                       External failure costs               300       240           180            150
                                                            550       540           400            330
                       Total quality costs                  660       705           600            550
                       Analysis:
                       Period 1: 83.3% of the quality costs were the            result of internal and
                       external failure.
                       Period 2: The company doubled spending on appraisal. This led to the
                       company identifying higher numbers of low quality items. This increased
                       the internal failure costs but resulted in a fall in the external failure costs
                       (as fewer flawed items were sent to customers).
                       Period 3: The information gathered in period 2 as a result of the
                       investment in appraisal costs allowed the company to identify quality
                       improvements leading to an increase in the prevention budget. This led
                       to a fall in internal failure costs and a continued fall in external failure
                       costs.
                       Period 4: The trends established in period 3 continued. Increased
                       prevention costs leads to further reductions in internal failure costs
                       and external failure costs.
                       The company has endured an increase in total quality costs from period
                       1 to period 2 but has benefited from the changes in periods 3 and 4.
© Emile Woolf International                           150          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
       4.2 Total Quality Management
               Customers’ needs can be satisfied to some extent by cutting costs and selling at
               lower prices. However, strategies to achieve customer satisfaction must also
               focus on three other critical success factors:
                      quality;
                      time; and
                      innovation.
               One approach to achieving improvements in these critical success factors is a
               Total Quality Management programme.
               Total Quality Management (TQM) is a philosophy of quality management with its
               origins in Japan in the 1950s.
                 Definition: Total quality management
                 An integrated and comprehensive system of planning and controlling all business
                 functions so that products or services are produced which meet or exceed
                 customer expectations.
                                                                             CIMA Official Terminology
               TQM is a philosophy of business behaviour, embracing principles such as
               employee involvement, continuous improvement at all levels and customer
               focus, as well as being a collection of related techniques aimed at improving
               quality such as full documentation of activities, clear goal-setting and
               performance measurement from the customer perspective.
               The ‘traditional view’ outlined above is rejected by supporters of TQM. The TQM
               view is that it is impossible to identify and measure all quality costs. In particular,
               it is impossible to measure the costs of lost reputation, which will lead to a
               decline in sales over time. The aim should therefore always be to work towards
               zero defects. To achieve zero defects, it will be necessary to spend more money
               on prevention costs.
               The TQM approach to quality costs is to ‘get things right the first time’.
© Emile Woolf International                        151          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
5      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Explain the nature of quality costs
             Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance
             Analyse costs of conformance into appraisal costs and prevention costs
             Analyse costs of non-conformance into internal and external failure costs
             Discuss the potential significance of quality costs, including reputation costs, for
              organisations.
             Explain approaches to the management of quality costs including the Total
              Quality Management approach
                                                                        Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs
© Emile Woolf International                         152        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                            1
         The number of units of input needed to produce 1,000 units of good output before and
         after the quality initiative can be calculated as follows:
                                                                                      Units
                                                                          Before the        After the
                                                                           initiative       initiative
                       Desired good output                                  1,000              1,000
                       Losses at final inspection (balancing figure)          111                  64
                       Units that reach final inspection
                       1,000  100/90 (or 1,000/0.9)                         1,111
                       1,000  100/94 (or 1,000/0.94)                                         1,064
                       Losses during production (balancing figure)              58                 11
                       Units that are input at the start
                       1,111  100/95 (or 1,000/0.95)                        1,169
                       1,064  100/99 (or 1,000/0.99)                                         1,075
                       Proof
                       Input at the start                                   1,169              1,075
                       Losses during production (5%/1%)                        (58)               (11)
                       Units that reach final inspection                     1,111             1,064
                       Losses at final inspection (10%/6%)                   (111)                (64)
                       Good output                                           1000             1,000
                       The maximum price that should be paid          to achieve the quality
                       improvements (per batch of 1,000 units) is calculated as follows:
                       Units of input to achieve output of 1,000 units:
                       Before the initiative                                                    1,169
                       After the initiative                                                    (1,075)
                       Units saved due to the initiative                                            94
                       Cost per unit (₦)                                                        700
                       Saving per 1,000 units of good output (₦)                              65,800
© Emile Woolf International                          153         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 6
     Skills level
                                                          CHAPTER
     Performance management
                              Budgetary control systems
 Contents
 1 The budgeting process
 2 Budgetary systems
 3 Dealing with uncertainty in budgeting
 4 Behavioural aspects of budgeting
 5 Beyond budgeting
 6 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                154   The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 B     Planning and control
       1    Budgetary system, planning and control
            A     Discuss and apply forecasting techniques to planning and control.
            B     Discuss budgetary system in an organization as an aid to performance
                  management.
            C     Evaluate the information used in budgetary system.
            D     Discuss the behavioural aspects of budgeting.
            E     Discuss the usefulness and problems associated with different types of
                  budget.
            F     Explain beyond budgeting models.
Exam context
This chapter explains the purpose of budgetary control systems and continues by explaining
different types of approaches to budgeting. Standard costing is of particular importance as it
is the foundation of variance analysis (covered in the next two chapters). The concluding
section of the chapter covers the behavioural aspects of budgeting.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the purposes of budgeting and the budgeting process
      Describe the main features of, and explain the differences between bottom-up and top-
       down budgeting
      Explain incremental and zero-based budgeting
      Explain activity based budgeting (ABB)
      Recognise and explain the importance of the behavioural aspects of budgeting
      Discuss beyond budgeting as a concept
      Explain and apply forecasting techniques
© Emile Woolf International                      155         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
1      THE BUDGETING PROCESS
         Section overview
          Introduction to budgeting
          Preparing the budget
            Principal budget factor
            Stages in the budgeting process
       1.1 Introduction to budgeting
               Planning framework
               A business entity should plan over the long term, medium term and short term.
                      Long term planning, or strategic planning, focuses on how to achieve the
                       entity’s long-term objectives.
                      Medium-term or tactical planning focuses on the next year or two.
                      Short-term or operational planning focuses on day-to-day and week-to-
                       week plans.
               Budgets are medium-term plans for the business, expressed in financial terms. A
               typical budget is prepared annually, and the overall budget is divided into control
               periods for the purpose of control reporting.
               The nature of budgets
                 Definition: Budget
                 A budget is a financial and/or quantitative statement prepared and approved
                 prior to a defined period of time for the purpose of attaining a set of given
                 objectives
               A budget is a formal plan, expressed mainly in financial terms and covering all
               the activities of the entity. It is for a specific period of time, typically one year.
               When budgets are prepared annually, they are for the next financial year.
               The total budget period (one year) may be sub-divided into shorter control
               periods of one month or one quarter (three months).
               Purposes of budgeting
               Budgets have several purposes.
                      To convert long-term plans (strategic plans) into more detailed shorter-term
                       (annual) plans.
                      To ensure that planning is linked to the long-term objectives and strategies
                       of the organisation.
                      To co-ordinate the actions of all the different parts of the organisation, so
                       that they all work towards the same goals. (This is known as ‘goal
                       congruence’). One of the benefits of budgeting is that is covers all activities,
                       so the plan should try to ensure that all the different activities are properly
                       co-ordinated and working towards the same objective.
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Performance management
                      To communicate the company’s plans to the individuals (managers and
                       other employees) who have to put the plans into action.
                      To motivate managers and employees, by setting targets for achievement,
                       and possibly motivating them with the incentive of bonuses or other
                       rewards if the targets are met.
                      To provide guidelines for authorising expenditure. Expenditure might not be
                       permitted unless it has been planned in the budget or unless it is within the
                       budgeted expenditure limits for the department.
                      To identify areas of responsibility for implementing the plans. For each part
                       of the budget, an individual manager should be made responsible for
                       achieving the budget targets for performance.
                      To provide a benchmark against which actual performance can be
                       measured.
                      To control costs. Costs can be controlled by comparing budgets with actual
                       results and investigating any differences (or variances) between the two.
                       This is known as budgetary control.
       1.2 Preparing the budget
               Preparing the annual budget is a major activity for many entities. In many
               medium-sized and large companies, there is a well-defined process for budget
               preparation, because a large number of individuals have to co-ordinate their
               efforts to prepare the budget plans. The budgeting process may take several
               months, from beginning to eventual approval by the board of directors.
               The budgeting process might be supervised and controlled by a special
               committee (the budget committee). This consists of senior managers from all
               the main areas of the business. The committee co-ordinates the various
               functional budgets submitted to it for review, and gives instructions for changes to
               be made when the draft budgets are unsatisfactory or the functional budgets are
               not consistent with each other.
               Although the budget committee manages the budgeting process, the functional
               budgets are usually prepared by the managers with responsibility for the
               particular aspect of operations covered by that functional budget.
               Budget manual
               There should be a budget manual or budget handbook to guide everyone
               involved in the budgeting process,. This should set out:
                      the key objectives of the budget;
                      budget planning procedures and budget timetables;
                      the budget details that must be included in the functional budgets;
                      responsibilities for preparing the functional budgets; and
                      details of the budget approval process. The budget must be approved by
                       the budget committee and then by the board of directors.
               The master budget
               The ‘master budget’ is the final approved budget. It is usually presented in the
               form of financial statements - a budgeted statement of profit or loss and a
               budgeted statement of financial position for the end of the financial year.
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               However the master budget is the result of a large number of detailed plans,
               many of them prepared at a departmental or functional level. To prepare the
               master budget, it is therefore necessary to prepare functional budgets first.
               Functional budgets
               A functional budget is a budget for a particular aspect of the entity’s operations.
               The functional budgets that are prepared vary with the type of business and
               industry. In a manufacturing company, functional budgets should include:
                      a sales budget;
                      a production budget;
                      a budget for production resources and resource costs (such as a materials
                       cost budget and a labour cost budget);
                      a materials purchasing budget; and
                      an expenditure budgets for every overhead cost centre and general
                       overhead costs.
       1.3 Principal budget factor
               The budgeting process begins with the preparation of functional budgets, which
               must be co-ordinated and consistent with each other. To make sure that
               functional budgets are co-ordinated and consistent, the first functional budget
               that should be prepared is the budget for the principal budget factor.
               The principal budget factor (also called the key budget factor) is the factor in the
               budget that will set a limit to the volume and scale of operations.
               Sales demand (sales volume) as the principal budget factor
               Normally, the principal budget factor is the expected sales demand. When this
               happens, the expected sales demand should set a limit on the volume of
               production (or volume of services). A company might have the capacity to
               increase its production and output, but producing larger quantities has no
               purpose unless the extra quantities can be sold.
               A company will therefore prepare a budget on the basis of the sales volumes that
               it hopes or expects to achieve. When sales demand is the principal budget factor,
               the sales budget is the first functional budget that should be prepared.
               A principal budget factor other than sales volume
               Sometimes, there is a different limitation on budgeted activity. There might be a
               shortage of a key resource, such as machine time or the availability of skilled
               labour. When there is a shortage of a resource that will set a limit on budgeted
               production volume or budgeted activity, the first functional budget to prepare
               should be the budget for that resource.
               In government, the principal budget factor for each government department is
               often an expenditure limit for the department. The department must then prepare
               a budget for the year that keeps the activities and spending plans of the
               department within the total expenditure limit for the department as a whole.
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Performance management
       1.4 Stages in the budgeting process
               The budgeting process for a manufacturing company is probably more complex
               than for many other types of organisation, and manufacturing company budgets
               are more likely to be the subject of an examination question than budgets for
               companies in other industries. This chapter therefore describes the budgeting
               process for a manufacturing company.
               The stages in setting the budget might be as follows.
                      Stage 1: The provision and communication of budget guidelines to relevant
                       managers
                      Stage 2: Identify the principal budget factor (or key budget factor). The
                       principal budget factor is often sales volume.
                      Stage 3: Prepare the functional budget or plan for the principal budget
                       factor. Usually, this means that the first functional budget to prepare is the
                       sales budget.
                      All the other functional budgets should be prepared within the limitation of
                       the principal budget factor. For example, even if the company has the
                       capacity to produce more output, it should not produce more than it can sell
                       (unless it formally decides to increase the size of the finished goods
                       inventory, in which case the production volume will be higher than the sales
                       volume).
                      Stage 4: Prepare the other functional budgets, in logical sequence where
                       necessary. When the sales budget has been prepared, a manufacturing
                       organisation can then prepare budgets for inventories (= plans to increase
                       or reduce the size of its inventories), a production budget, labour usage
                       budgets and materials usage and purchasing budgets. Expenditure
                       budgets should also be prepared for overhead costs (production
                       overheads, administration overheads and sales and distribution
                       overheads). Overhead costs budgets are usually prepared for each cost
                       centre individually.
                      Stage 5: Submit the functional budgets to the budget committee for review
                       and approval. The functional budgets are co-ordinated by the budget
                       committee, which must make sure that they are both realistic and
                       consistent with each other.
                      Stage 6: Prepare the ‘master budget’. This is the budget statement that
                       summarises the plans for the budget period. The master budget might be
                       presented in the form of:
                             a budgeted statement of profit or loss for the next financial year
                             a budgeted statement of financial position as at the end of the next
                              financial year
                             a cash budget or cash flow forecast for the next financial year.
                      It should be possible to prepare the master budget statements from the
                       functional budgets.
                      Stage 7: The master budget and the supporting functional budgets should
                       be submitted to the board of directors for approval. The board approves
                       and authorises the budget.
                      Stage 8: The detailed budgets are communicated to the managers
                       responsible for their implementation.
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                      Stage 9: Control process. After the budget has been approved, actual
                       performance should be monitored by comparing it with the budget. Actual
                       results for the period should be recorded and reported to management.
                       These results should be compared with the budget, and significant
                       differences should be investigated. The reasons for the differences
                       (‘variances’) should be established, and where appropriate control
                       measures should be taken. Comparing actual results with the budget
                       therefore provides a system of control. The managers responsible for
                       activities where actual results differ significantly from the budget will be held
                       responsible and accountable.
               The planning process (budgeting) should therefore lead on to a management
               monitoring and control process (budgetary control).
               The next section describes the approach that can normally be used to prepare
               functional budgets for a manufacturing organisation. In practice, budgets are
               usually prepared with a computer model, such as a spreadsheet. However, you
               need to understand the logic of budget preparation.
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                              1
                 X Limited makes and sells two products, Product X and Product Y.
                 Its sales budget for next year is to sell 2,500 units of Product X at a sales
                 price of ₦410 per unit and 3,200 units of Product Y at a sales price of
                 ₦400 per unit.
                 The following cost information is expected to apply in the next year:
                                                               Product X                   Product Y
                                                                     Cost per                       Cost per
                                                        Usage        unit of X       Usage          unit of Y
                     Direct materials                    (kgs)         (₦)           (kgs)            (₦)
                     Material A (₦30 per kg)             1.00           30            1.00              30
                     Material B (₦80 per kg)             0.75           60            0.50              40
                     Material C (₦30 per kg)             2.00           60            3.00              90
                                                                       150                             160
                                                        Usage                        Usage
                     Direct labour                       (hrs)                       (hrs)
                     Grade I (₦100 per hr.)              1.00          100            0.80              80
                     Grade II (₦80 per hr.)              1.50          120            1.00              80
                                                                       220                             160
                     Unit cost                                         370                             320
                   The following opening and closing inventories are budgeted:
                                                        Opening                Closing
                     Finished goods:        Cost (₦)         Units   Total (₦)         Units        Total (₦)
                     X                        370            300     111,000            200          74,000
                     Y                        320            150      48,000            100          32,000
                                                                     159,000                        106,000
                     Materials:               Cost           kgs                        kgs
                     A                         30            400      12,000            380          11,400
                     B                         80            450      36,000            400          32,000
                     C                         30            150       4,500            120           3,600
                                                                      52,500                         47,000
                     Total inventory                                 211,500                        153,000
                         Required
                         a)   Prepare functional budgets for sales, production units, material
                              usage, material purchases and labour usage.
                         b)   Prepare a budgeted profit or loss account for the period.
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2      BUDGETARY SYSTEMS
         Section overview
          Top-down budgeting and bottom-up budgeting
          Periodic budgets and rolling budgets (continuous budgets)
             Incremental budgeting and zero-based budgeting (ZBB)
             Activity based budgeting (ABB)
             Feed-forward control
             Difficulties in changing a budgetary system
       A budgetary system is a system for preparing budgets (and producing control reports
       for the purpose of budgetary control). There are several budgetary systems, and
       entities will choose a system that is appropriate for their needs and circumstances.
       2.1 Top-down budgeting and bottom-up budgeting
               Top-down budgeting
               In a system of top-down budgeting, the budget targets for the year are set at
               senior management level, perhaps by the board of directors or by the budget
               committee. Top-level decisions might be made, for example, about the amount of
               budgeted profit that will be achieved, the growth in sales, reductions in production
               costs and other functional department costs, and so on.
               Divisions and departments are then required to prepare a budget for their own
               operations that is consistent with the budget imposed on them from above.
               For example, the board of directors might state that in the budget for the next
               financial year, sales revenue will grow by 5% and profits by 8%. The sales
               director would then be required to prepare a more detailed sales budget in which
               the end result is a 5% growth in annual sales revenue. A production budget and
               other functional budgets will then be prepared that is consistent with the sales
               budget. The target for 8% growth in profits cannot be checked until all the
               functional budgets have been prepared in draft form. If the initial draft budgets fail
               to achieve 8% growth in profits, some re-drafting of the budgets will be required.
               This process is called top-down budgeting because it starts at the top with senior
               management and works its way down to the most detailed level of budgeting
               within the management hierarchy. This might be departmental level or possibly
               an even smaller unit level, such as budgets for each work section within each
               department. A system of top-down budgeting would normally be associated with
               an entity where management control is highly centralised.
               Bottom-up budgeting
               In a system of bottom-up budgeting, budgeting starts at the lowest level in the
               management hierarchy where budgets are prepared. This may be at work section
               level or departmental level. The draft lower-level budgets are then submitted to
               the next level of management in the hierarchy, which combines them into a co-
               ordinated budget, for example a departmental budget. Departmental budgets
               might then be submitted up to the next level of management, which might be at
               divisional level, where they will be combined and co-ordinated into a divisional
               budget. Eventually budgets for each division will be submitted up to the budget
               committee or board of directors.
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Performance management
               The budget committee or board of directors will consider the draft budgets they
               receive, and ask for changes to be made if the overall master budget is
               unsatisfactory. Re-drafting of budgets will then go on until the master budget is
               eventually approved.
               In a system of bottom-up budgeting, lower levels of management are likely to
               have more input to budget decision-making than in a top-down budgeting system,
               and it is associated with budgeting in entities where management authority is
               largely decentralised.
       2.2 Periodic budgets and rolling budgets (continuous budgets)
               Periodic budgets
               A periodic budget is a budget for a particular time period, typically the financial
               year. The budget is not changed or revised during the year, and it is a fixed
               budget for the period. A company might therefore prepare a periodic budget for
               its financial year 2010, which will then be replaced the next year by the periodic
               budget for 2011, which will then be replaced the year afterwards by the periodic
               budget for 2012, and so on.
               Traditional budgeting systems are periodic budgeting systems. When periodic
               budgets are used, an underlying assumption is that revenues and expenditure
               within the financial year should be fairly predictable and that it is unlikely that any
               unexpected events will occur during the year that will make the budget unrealistic
               or irrelevant.
               Periodic budgets are much less useful, however, when future events are
               unpredictable and big changes might happen unexpectedly during the course of
               the financial year. When events change rapidly, the original budget loses its
               relevance because of the extent of the changes that have occurred. For example
               an entity might operate in a country where the annual rate of inflation might be
               anywhere between 200% and 400% during the year. Given the difficulty in
               forecasting what the actual rate of inflation will be, but the probability that it will be
               very high, it would make sense to review the budget regularly, and adjust it to
               allow for revised estimates of what the rate of inflation will be.
               When unexpected changes are likely to occur, or when future events are difficult
               to predict with accuracy, it might be advisable for an entity to prepare revised
               budgets much more frequently, as a matter of routine.
               Rolling budgets
               A rolling budget, also called a continuous budget, is a budget that is
               continuously being updated. Each updated budget is for a given length of time,
               typically 12 months. For example a new rolling budget may be prepared every
               three months so that as one quarter of a 12-month budget ends, a new 12-month
               budget is prepared with an additional quarter added at the end. In this way a new
               12-month budget is prepared every three months.
               A rolling budget can therefore be defined as ‘a budget continuously updated by
               adding a further period, say a month or a quarter, and deducting the earliest
               period’.
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               Rolling budgets are most useful where future costs or activities cannot be
               forecast reliably, so that it makes much more sense for planning purposes to
               review the budget regularly, but to plan ahead for a full planning period each
               time.
                 Example:
                 A company might prepare rolling annual budgets every three months. It will
                 prepare four annual budgets each year. If its year-end is 31st December, its
                 preparation of rolling budgets would be as follows:
                       Date of budget preparation     Period covered by the budget
                       December Year 1                1st January – 31st December Year 2
                       March Year 2                   1st April Year 2 – 31st March Year 3
                       June Year 2                    1st July Year 2 – 30th June Year 3
                       September Year 2               1st October Year 2 – 30th September
                                                      Year 3
                       December Year 2                1st January – 31st December Year 3
                       and so on
               Rolling budgets might be particularly useful for cash budgeting. An organisation
               must ensure that it will always have sufficient cash to meet its requirements, but
               actual cash flows often differ considerably from the budget. It might therefore be
               appropriate to prepare a new annual cash budget every month, and so have 12
               rolling cash budgets every year.
               The main advantages of rolling budgets are as follows:
                      Budgets are continually reviewed and revised in response to changes in
                       business conditions. The entity is not committed to a fixed annual budget
                       that is no longer relevant.
                      Control can be exercised through comparisons between current forecasts
                       and strategic targets. This is a form of feedforward control. When the
                       business environment is continually changing, this may be a more effective
                       method of budgetary control than comparing actual results with the fixed
                       budget or standard costs.
               The main disadvantages of rolling budgets are as follows:
                      They can be time-consuming, and divert management attention from the
                       task of managing actual operations.
                      Whenever a new rolling budget is prepared, the new plans must be
                       communicated to all managers affected by the changes. There is a risk that
                       some managers will not be informed about changes to plans and targets.
       2.3 Incremental budgeting and zero-based budgeting (ZBB)
               Incremental budgeting and zero-based budgeting are two different approaches to
               estimating budgeted expenditure. The difference between them is most obvious
               in budgeting for administrative activities (and other overhead activities) and
               overhead costs.
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Performance management
               Incremental budgeting
               With incremental budgeting, the budgeted expenditure for the next financial
               period is estimated by taking expenditure in the current period as a starting point.
               An incremental amount is then added for:
                      inflation in costs next year, and
                      possibly, the cost of additional activities that will be carried out next year.
               In its simplest form, incremental budgets for a financial period are prepared by
               taking the expenditure in the current year, and adding a percentage to allow for
               inflation next year.
               This approach to budgeting is very common in practice because of its relative
               simplicity. For example in order to prepare a labour cost budget, it might be
               sufficient for the manager to make assumptions about (1) changes in staffing
               levels and (2) the general level of pay rises, and apply these assumptions to the
               actual labour costs for the current year that is just ending. If labour costs in the
               current year are ₦2.4 million, and if it is assumed that the work force will increase
               by 2% next year and that wages and salaries will increase by an average of 4%,
               a labour cost budget can be prepared simply as: ₦2.4 million  102%  104% =
               ₦2.546 million.
               A serious weakness of incremental budgeting, however, is that there is no
               incentive to eliminate wasteful or unnecessary spending from the budget. For
               example suppose that next year’s budget is based on this year’s actual spending
               plus an allowance for inflation. If there has been wasteful spending in the current
               year, next year’s budget will include an allowance for the wasteful spending, plus
               inflation.
               Incremental budgeting can also encourage more waste (sometimes called
               ‘budget slack’), because managers will try to spend up to their budget limit, so
               that in the next financial year their budgeted spending allowance will not be
               reduced.
               Zero-based budgeting (ZBB)
               Zero-based budgeting (ZBB) has a completely different approach to budgeting. It
               aims to eliminate all wasteful spending (‘budget slack’) and only to budget for
               activities that are worth carrying out and that the organisation can afford.
               Planning starts from ‘zero’ and all spending must be justified.
                 Definition: Zero-based budgeting
                 A budget prepared from the “basement” or the “ground up” as if the budget were
                 being prepared for the first time.
               ZBB can be particularly useful in budgeting for activities that are prone to
               wasteful spending and budget slack, such as activities in a bureaucracy. ZBB
               might be usefully applied, for example, to the budgets of government
               departments.
               The approach used in ZBB is as follows:
                      The minimum level of operations in a department or budget centre is
                       identified. These are the essential things that the department will have to
                       do. A budget is prepared for this minimum essential level.
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                      All other activities are optional additional activities that need to be justified,
                       in terms of the benefits obtained in return for the costs. Each additional
                       activity is called a decision package.
               A decision package is a program of activities that will achieve a specific purpose
               during the budget period. Each decision package must have a clearly-stated
               purpose that contributes to the goals and objectives of the entity.
               There are two types of decision package.
                      Decision packages for a minimum level of operation. For example,
                       there may be a minimum acceptable level of training for a group of
                       employees. There may be several alternative decision packages for
                       providing the training – internal courses, external courses, or computer-
                       based training programmes. An expenditure estimate should be prepared
                       for each alternative basic decision package.
                      Incremental decision packages. These are programmes for conducting a
                       more extensive operation than the minimum acceptable level. For example,
                       there may be incremental decision packages for providing some employees
                       with more training than the essential minimum, or for having more
                       extensive supervision, or more extensive quality control checks. For
                       incremental decision packages, an estimate should be made of the cost of
                       the incremental operation, and the expected benefits. Incremental decision
                       packages are optional activities: the entity need not include them in the
                       budget.
               For each decision package, a budget decision must be made about whether to
               include it in the budget and the following should be considered:
                      Purpose of the activity (decision package)
                      The likely results and benefits from the activity
                      The resources required for the activity, and their cost
                      Alternative ways of achieving the same purpose, but perhaps at a lower
                       cost
                      A comparison of the costs and benefits of the activity.
               A zero-based budget is then prepared as follows:
                      A decision must be taken to provide for a minimum level of operation. This
                       means deciding for each basic operation:
                             Whether or not to perform the operation at all – do the benefits justify
                              the costs?
                             If the operation is performed at a basic level, which of the alternative
                              basic decision packages should be selected?
                      Having decided on as basic level of operations, a basic expenditure budget
                       can be prepared.
                      The next step is to consider each incremental decision package, and
                       decide whether this additional operation, or additional level of operations, is
                       justified. An incremental decision package is justified if the expected
                       benefits exceed the estimated costs.
                      A budget can then be prepared consisting of all the selected basic decision
                       packages and incremental decision packages.
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Performance management
                      If the total expenditure budget is too high, when all these decision
                       packages are included, some incremental decision packages should be
                       eliminated from the budget. One method of doing this is to rank the
                       incremental decision packages in an order of priority (typically in order of
                       net expected benefits, which are the expected benefits minus the estimated
                       incremental costs). The decision packages at the bottom of the priority list
                       can then be eliminated from the budget, until total budgeted expenditure
                       comes within the maximum permitted spending limit.
               Extensive use of value judgements by managers will be needed to rank decision
               packages in a priority order. This is because the expected benefits from
               incremental activities or incremental programmes are often based on guesswork
               and opinion, or on forecasts that might be difficult to justify.
               The advantages of zero-based budgeting
               There are some obvious benefits from zero based budgeting
                      All activities are reviewed and evaluated, and no activity is included in the
                       budget unless it appears to be worthwhile.
                      Inefficiency in using resources and inefficiency in spending should be
                       identified and eliminated.
                      A ZBB approach helps managers to question the reason for doing things
                       rather than simply accepting the current position.
                      When total expenditure has to be reduced, ZBB provides a priority list for
                       activities and expenditures.
                      ZBB encourages greater involvement by managers and might motivate
                       them to eliminate wasteful spending.
               The disadvantages of zero-based budgeting
               However, there are also some severe disadvantages to ZBB
                      ZBB is a very time-consuming process, particularly if undertaken every
                       year.
                      It is also costly, because it takes more time.
                      Planners need to understand the principles of relevant costing and
                       decision-making, in order to compare properly the incremental costs and
                       incremental benefits of activities (decision packages).
                      Managers might see ZBB as a threat, and an attempt by senior
                       management to cut back their expenditure allowances in the next budget
                       year.
                      When incremental decision packages are ranked in priority order, there
                       may be disputes between managers of different decision units (budget cost
                       centres), as each tries to protect his own spending levels and argue that
                       budget cuts should fall on other cost centres.
               In view of the large amount of management time that is required to prepare a
               zero based budget, an entity may decide to produce a zero based budget
               periodically, say every three years, and to prepare incremental budgets in the
               intervening years.
               In order to maintain the support of budget cost centre managers for a system of
               ZBB, it is also necessary to make sure that any system of performance-based
               rewards (such as annual bonuses for keeping spending within budget limits) is
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               not affected by the use of ZBB. If managers feel that their rewards will be
               threatened – for example because it will be difficult to keep spending within the
               ZBB limits – they are unlikely to give their support to the ZBB system.
               ZBB and performance monitoring
               A successful system of ZBB requires methods for monitoring actual performance
               and comparing actual performance with the budget.
                      Each decision package must therefore have one or more measurable
                       performance objectives. The package must specify the objective or
                       objectives, and the activities or operations that will be required to achieve
                       those objectives.
                      Actual performance should be measured and compared with the objectives.
                       Management must be informed whether or not the performance objectives
                       are achieved.
       2.4 Activity based budgeting (ABB)
               Background
               Activity-based budgeting is a planning system under which costs are associated
               with activities, and budgeted expenditures are then compiled based on the
               expected activity level.
               Activity based budgeting (ABB) is an extension of activity based costing (ABC)
               which is an alternative approach to traditional absorption costing.
               Traditional absorption accounting identifies overheads and absorbs them into
               units of production or services using a volume based approach. For example,
               overheads might be absorbed as an amount per direct labour hour or an amount
               per unit of material used when making a product.
               Traditional absorption costing has many weaknesses, especially in a ‘modern’
               manufacturing environment where production overhead costs are often high
               relative to direct production costs. Therefore, a system of adding overhead costs
               to product costs by using time spent in production (direct labour hours or
               machine hours) is difficult to justify.
               Activity based costing assumes that overhead costs are caused by activities, and
               the costs of activities are driven by factors other than production volume. For
               each activity, there should be a cost driver. A cost driver is the factor that
               determines the cost of the activity. It is something that will cause the costs for an
               activity to increase as more of the activity is performed.
               When an entity uses activity based costing, it should be able to prepare activity
               based budgets. These are budgets prepared using activity based costing
               methods, and budgets for overheads are therefore prepared as activity costs.
                 Definition: Activity-based budgeting
                 Activity-based budgeting (ABB) is a method of budgeting based on an activity
                 framework, using cost driver data in the budget setting and variance feedback
                 processes.
                                                                       CIMA Official Terminology
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Performance management
               The preparation of an activity based budget requires the following steps:
                   Step                                      Description
                    1         Identify activities and their cost drivers
                     2        Forecast the number of units of cost driver for the required activity
                              level
                     3        Calculate the cost driver rate (cost per unit of activity). for the coming
                              period
                 Example: Activity based budgeting
                 A company expects to process 50,000 sales orders in the coming budget
                 period.(NB this is not to sell 50,000 units but to make 50,000 sales with each
                 sales comprising a different number of units).
                 The forecast cost of processing a single sales order is ₦10 regardless of the
                 number of units to be sold in that order.
                 The budgeted cost of selling overhead is calculated as follows:
                     Step 1
                     Activity                                                      Sales
                     Cost driver                                                Making a sale
                     Step 2: Number of units of cost driver                               50,000
                     Step 3: Calculate the cost driver rate                                   ₦10
                     Budgeted sales overhead                                          ₦500,000
               The above example provided a cost driver rate (₦10 per sale). It is important to
               realise that the cost of an activity would have to be calculated and that might be
               quite difficult to do.
               The company would have to analyses its costs and identify those which related to
               processing sales orders. This might be a little tricky. For example, part of the cost
               of processing the order might involve the accounts department raising an invoice.
               However, the person who raises the invoice will have other duties so not all of the
               salary costs would necessarily relate to sales.
               Advantages of activity-based budgeting
                        It gives managers a much better understanding of the link between costs
                         and output of the business.
                        It focuses attention on expensive activities and management might be able
                         to reduce the cost of these to increase profit.
                        It might allow management to increase resource to eliminate bottlenecks
                         associated with an activity and allow business functions to run more
                         smoothly.
                        It might also be possible to identify activities that do not add value, and their
                         associated costs. These activities can then be eliminated from the budget.
                        Activities drive costs. By identifying cost drivers, it might be assumed that
                         Resources are clearly matched to its service provision
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               Disadvantages of activity-based budgeting
                      It is complex in nature and very difficult to set up.
                             it requires a great deal of preliminary analysis and research to trace
                              costs back to activities; and
                             accounting information systems would have to be modified to track
                              costs that relate to activities.
                      As a result of the work necessary before it can be used it is expensive to
                       set up. (it is most useful to companies that have already introduced activity
                       based costing because they already have a strong insight into what is
                       needed to introduce activity-based budgeting).
                      It is complex to operate.
                      It is not practical for services where a flexible approach is required and/or
                       where resources need to be moved between activities in response to
                       demand.
       2.5 Feed-forward control
               Budgetary systems are systems of control as well as planning systems. In a
               normal budgetary control system, actual results in each control period (month)
               are compared with the budgeted results for the period. (Sometimes, cumulative
               actual results for the year to date are also compared with budgeted results for the
               year to date.)
               Information that provides a comparison between budgeted results (planned
               results) and actual results is called feedback.
               Instead of basing budgetary control on feedback, there might be a system of
               feed-forward control. With feed-forward control, control information is based on a
               comparison with a revised up-to-date forecast of what is now expected to happen
               in the budget year.
               Feed-forward control involves a comparison between:
                      a revised up-to-date forecast, and
                      the original budget.
               Within a budgetary control system, it should be possible in each control period to
               compare:
                      budgeted and actual results for the most recent control period (feedback
                       control)
                      cumulative budgeted and actual results for the financial year to date
                       (feedback control)
                      forecast results and the original budgeted results for the financial year
                       (feed-forward control).
               A problem with feed-forward control, however, is that up-to-date forecasts of what
               will happen in the rest of the financial year might not be reliable. The quality of
               the control system depends on the quality (reliability) of the forecast information.
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Performance management
       2.6 Difficulties in changing a budgetary system
               Each of the budgetary systems described in this section offers some benefits,
               and one system is not necessarily better than another. The senior management
               of an entity may decide that the budgetary system should be changed, and a new
               system of budgeting (such as rolling budgets, zero-based budgets, or activity-
               based budgets) should be introduced.
               However, the practical difficulties of switching from one budgetary system to
               another should be understood, and the benefits of using a new system might not
               be sufficient to justify the problems in changing over. Difficulties that could arise
               with the introduction of a new budgetary system include:
                      Resistance of the managers responsible for budgeting: managers might be
                       reluctant to change to a new system from a system they understand and
                       are familiar with.
                      Suspicion about the motives of senior management for wanting to make the
                       change.
                      The time required to prepare the new system of budgeting, including the
                       time required to train managers in how to operate the new system.
                      Practical difficulties with implementing the new system, such as difficulties
                       in calculating the relevant costs for a decision package (ZBB) or difficulties
                       in preparing reliable up-to-date forecasts (feed-forward control).
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                                                                         Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
3      DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY IN BUDGETING
         Section overview
          Limitations of a ‘fixed’ budget
          The nature of uncertainty in budgeting
             Flexible budgets
             Probabilities and expected values
             Spreadsheets and ‘what if’ analysis
       3.1 Limitations of a ‘fixed’ budget
               Weaknesses in the traditional budgeting process have been recognised, and
               alternative budgeting models have been developed to improve the quality of
               budgets and budgetary control.
               A major weakness with an annual budget is that it is a fixed annual plan. Once it
               has been prepared, it usually remains the ‘official’ plan until it is replaced by the
               next annual budget 12 months later.
               ‘Fixed’ annual budgets are unsatisfactory for two important reasons.
                      When a budget is prepared, there is a great deal of uncertainty about what
                       will happen, and the budget will be based on estimates. Even when
                       estimates are reasonable, there is no certainty that they will turn out to be
                       ‘correct’.
                      Unexpected events will happen during the year, and conditions in the
                       business environment will change. The changes might be significant, and
                       the ‘fixed’ budget will cease to be realistic and achievable. It might therefore
                       be appropriate to re-consider and revise the budget.
       3.2 The nature of uncertainty in budgeting
               There is uncertainty in budgeting because estimates and forecasts may be
               unreliable. Information is almost never 100% reliable (or ‘perfect’), and some
               uncertainty in budgeting is therefore inevitable.
               Risk arises in business because actual events may turn out better or worse than
               expected. For example, actual sales volume may be higher or lower than
               forecast. The amount of risk in business operations varies with the nature of the
               operations. Some operations are more predictable than others. The existence of
               risk means that forecasts and estimates in the budget, which are based on
               expected results, may not be accurate.
               Both risk and uncertainty mean that estimates and forecasts in a budget are
               unlikely to be correct.
               Management must be aware of risk and uncertainty when preparing budgets and
               when monitoring performance.
                      When preparing budgets, it may be appropriate to look at several different
                       forecasts and estimates, to assess the possible variations that might occur.
                       In other words, managers should think about how much better or how much
                       worse actual results may be, compared with the budget.
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Performance management
                      When monitoring actual performance, managers should recognise that
                       adverse or favourable variances might be caused by weaknesses in the
                       original forecasts, rather than by good or bad performance.
               Several approaches may be used for analysing risk and uncertainty in budgets.
               These include:
                      flexible budgets;
                      using probabilities and expected values;
                      use feed-forward control;
                      using spreadsheet models and ‘what if’ analysis (sensitivity analysis); and
                      stress testing.
       3.3 Flexible budgets
               Flexible budgets may be prepared during the budget-setting process. A flexible
               budget is a budget based on an assumption of a different volume of output and
               sales than the volume in the master budget or ‘fixed budget’.
               An organisation might prepare several flexible budgets in addition to the main
               budget (the master budget or fixed budget). If the actual level of activity differs
               significantly from the expected level, the fixed budget can be substituted by a
               suitable flexible budget.
               For example, a company might prepare its master budget on the basis of
               estimated sales of ₦100 million. Flexible budgets might be prepared on the basis
               that sales will be higher or lower – say ₦80 million, ₦90 million, ₦110 million and
               ₦120 million. Each flexible budget will be prepared on the basis of assumptions
               about fixed and variable costs, such as increases or decreases in fixed costs if
               sales rise above or fall below a certain amount, or changes in variable unit costs
               above a certain volume of sales.
               During the financial year covered by the budget, it may become apparent that
               actual sales and production volume will be higher or lower than the fixed budget
               forecast. In such an event, actual performance can be compared with a suitable
               flexible budget.
               Flexible budgets can be useful, because they allow for the possibility that actual
               activity levels may be higher or lower than forecast in the master budget. The
               main disadvantage of flexible budgets could be the time and effort needed to
               prepare them. The cost of preparing them could exceed the benefits of having
               the information that they provide.
               Flexible vs flexed
               Note that a flexible budget is not the same as a flexed budget.
               A flexible budget is prepared before the start of a budget period. It is described
               as being ex-ante.
               A flexed budget is prepared after the end of a budget period. It is described as
               being ex-post. A flexed budget is one that is redrafted to actual levels of activity
               for control purposes. The concept of a flexed budget is fundamental to variance
               analysis which is covered in a later chapter.
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       3.4 Probabilities and expected values
               Estimates and forecasts in budgeting may be prepared using probabilities and
               expected values. An expected value is a weighted average value calculated with
               probabilities.
                 Example: Expected value
                 A company is preparing a sales budget. The budget planners believe that the
                 volume of sales next year will depend on the state of the economy.
                       State of the economy       Sales for the year
                                                              ₦ million
                       No growth                                     40
                       Low growth                                    50
                       Higher growth                                 70
                 It has been estimated that there is a 60% probability of no growth, a 30%
                 probability of low growth and a 10% probability of higher growth.
                 The expected value (EV) of sales next year could be calculated as follows:
                                                  Sales for                                     EV of
                       State of the economy       the year        Probability                   sales
                                                                                                 ₦
                                                  ₦ million                                    million
                       No growth                         40                0.6                  24
                       Low growth                        50                0.3                  15
                       Higher growth                     70                0.1                    7
                       EV of sales                                                              46
                 The company might decide to prepare a sales budget on the assumption that
                 annual sales will be ₦46 million.
               The problems with using probabilities and expected values
               There are two problems that might exist with the use of probabilities and
               expected values.
                      The estimates of probability might be subjective, and based on the
                       judgement or opinion of a forecaster. Subjective probabilities might be no
                       better than educated guesses. Probabilities should have a rational basis.
                      An expected value is most useful when it is a weighted average value for
                       an outcome that will happen many times in the planning period. If the
                       forecast event happens many times in the planning period, weighted
                       average values are suitable for forecasting. However, if an outcome will
                       only happen once, it is doubtful whether an expected value has much
                       practical value for planning purposes.
               This point can be illustrated with the previous example of the EV of annual sales.
               The forecast is that sales will be ₦40 million (0.60 probability), ₦50 million (0.30
               probability) or ₦70 million (0.10 probability). The EV of sales is ₦46 million.
                      The total annual sales for the year is an outcome that occurs only once. It is
                       doubtful whether it would be appropriate to use ₦46 million as the budgeted
                       sales for the year. A sales total of ₦46 million is not expected to happen.
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Performance management
                      It might be more appropriate to prepare a fixed budget on the basis that
                       sales will be ₦40 million (the most likely outcome) and prepare flexible
                       budgets for sales of ₦50 million and ₦70 million.
               When the forecast outcome happens many times in the planning period, an EV
               might be appropriate.
                 Example: Expected value
                 A company is preparing a sales budget. The budget planners believe that the
                 volume of sales next year will depend on the state of the economy.
                       State of the economy      Sales for the year
                                                     ₦ million
                       No growth                        40
                       Low growth                       50
                       Higher growth                    70
                 It has been estimated that there is a 60% probability of no growth, a 30%
                 probability of low growth and a 10% probability of higher growth.
                 The expected value (EV) of sales next year could be calculated as follows:
                          Sales for the year    Probability    EV of sales
                                  ₦                             ₦ million
                                7,000               0.5          3,500
                                9,000               0.3          2,700
                               12,000               0.2          2,400
                                                                 8,600
                 If the probability estimates are fairly reliable, this estimate of annual sales should
                 be acceptable as the annual sales budget.
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                                                                         Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
       3.5 Spreadsheets and ‘what if’ analysis
               Preparing budgets is largely a ‘number crunching’ exercise, involving large
               amounts of calculations. This aspect of budgeting was made much easier,
               simpler and quicker with IT and the development of computer-based models for
               budgeting. Spreadsheet models, or similar planning models, are now widely used
               to prepare budgets.
               A feature of computer-based budget models is that once the model has been
               constructed, it becomes a relatively simple process to prepare a budget. Values
               are input for the key variables, and the model produces a complete budget.
               Amendments to a budget can be made quickly. A new budget can be produced
               simply by changing the value of one or more input variables in the budget model.
               This ability to prepare new budgets quickly by changing a small number of values
               in the model also creates opportunities for sensitivity analysis and stress
               testing. The budget planner can test how the budget will be affected if forecasts
               and estimates are changed, by asking ‘what if’ questions. For example:
                      What if sales volume is 5% below the budget forecast?
                      What if the sales mix of products is different?
                      What if the introduction of the new production system or the new IT system
                       is delayed by six months?
                      What if interest rates go up by 2% more than expected?
                      What if the fixed costs are 5% higher and variable costs per unit are 3%
                       higher?
               Sensitivity analysis and stress testing are similar.
                      Sensitivity analysis considers variations to estimates and input values in the
                       budget model that have a reasonable likelihood of happening. For example,
                       variable unit costs might be increased by 5% or sales forecasts reduced by
                       5%.
                      Stress testing considers the effect of much greater changes to the forecasts
                       and estimates. For example, what might happen if sales are 20% less than
                       expected? Or what might happen if the price of a key raw material
                       increases by 50%?
               The answers to ‘what if’ questions can help budget planners to understand more
               about the risk and uncertainty in the budget, and the extent to which actual
               results might differ from the expected outcome in the master budget. This can
               provide valuable information for risk management, and management can assess
               the ‘sensitivity’ of their budget to particular estimates and assumptions.
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Performance management
4      BEHAVIOURAL ASPECTS OF BUDGETING
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Misunderstanding and worries about cost-cutting
             Opposition to unfair targets set by senior management
             Sub-optimisation
             Budget slack (budget bias)
             Participation in budget setting
          Other behavioural issues
          Management styles
       4.1 Introduction
               The effectiveness of budgeting and budgetary control depends largely on the
               behaviour and attitudes of managers and (possibly) other employees.
                      Budgets provide performance targets for individual managers. If managers
                       are rewarded for achieving or exceeding their target, budgets could provide
                       them with an incentive and motivation to perform well.
                      It has also been suggested that budgets can motivate individuals if they are
                       able to participate in the planning process. Individuals who feel a part of the
                       planning and decision-making process are more likely to identify with the
                       plans that are eventually decided. By identifying with the targets, they might
                       have a powerful motivation to succeed in achieving them.
               When budgeting helps to create motivation in individuals, the human aspect of
               budgeting is positive and good for the organisation.
               Unfortunately, in practice human behaviour in the budgeting process often has a
               negative effect. There are several possible reasons why behavioural factors can
               be harmful:
                      misunderstanding and worries about cost-cutting;
                      opposition to unfair targets set by senior management;
                      sub-optimisation; or
                      budget slack or budget bias.
       4.2 Misunderstanding and worries about cost-cutting
               Budgeting is often considered by the managers affected to be an excuse for
               cutting back on expenditure and finding ways to reduce costs. Individuals often
               resent having to reduce their spending, and so have a hostile attitude to the
               entire budgeting process. This fear and hostility can exist even when senior
               management do not have a cost-cutting strategy.
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       4.3 Opposition to unfair targets set by senior management
               When senior managers use the budgeting process to set unrealistic and unfair
               targets for the year, their subordinates may unite in opposition to what the senior
               managers are trying to achieve. Senior managers should communicate and
               consult with the individuals affected by target-setting, and try to win their
               agreement to the targets they are trying to set. Targets need to be reasonable.
               A distinction can be made between:
                      aspirational budgets, which are budgets based on performance levels
                       and targets that senior managers would like to achieve, and
                      expectational budgets, which are budgets based on performance levels
                       and targets that senior managers would realistically expect to achieve.
               Aspirational budgets might be considered unfair, especially if the individuals
               affected have not been consulted. Expectational budgets, based on current
               performance levels, do not provide for any improvements in performance.
               Ideally perhaps, budgets might be set with realistic targets that provide for some
               improvements in performance.
       4.4 Sub-optimisation
               There may be a risk that the planning targets for individual managers are not in
               the best interests of the organisation as a whole. For example, a production
               manager might try to budget for production targets that fully utilise production
               capacity. However, working at full capacity is not in the best interests of the
               company as a whole if sales demand is lower. It would result in a build-up of
               unwanted finished goods inventories. The planning process must be co-ordinated
               in order to avoid sub-optimal planning. In practice, however, effective co-
               ordination is not always achieved.
       4.5 Budget slack (budget bias)
               Budget slack has been defined as ‘the intentional overestimation of expenses
               and/or underestimation of revenue in the budgeting process’ (CIMA Official
               Terminology). Managers who prepare budgets may try to overestimate costs so
               that it will be much easier to keep actual spending within the budget limit.
               Similarly, managers may try to underestimate revenue in their budget so that it
               will be easier for them to achieve their budget revenue targets. As a result of
               slack, budget targets are lower than they should be.
               When managers are rewarded for achieving their budget targets, the motivation
               to include some slack in the budget is even stronger.
               An additional problem with budget slack is that when a manager has slack in his
               spending budget, he may try to make sure that actual spending is up to the
               budget limit. There are two reasons for this:
                      If there is significant under-spending, the manager responsible might be
                       required to explain why.
                      Actual spending needs to be close to the budget limit in order to keep the
                       budget slack in the budget for the next year.
               The problem of budget slack is particularly associated with spending on
               ‘overhead’ activities and incremental budgeting. One of the advantages of zero
               based budgeting is that it should eliminate a large amount of slack from
               budgets.
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Performance management
               In some cases, budget bias operates the other way. Some managers might
               prepare budgets that are too optimistic. For example, a sales manager might
               budget for sales in the next financial year that are unrealistic and unachievable,
               simply to win the approval of senior management.
       4.6 Participation in budget setting
               Rewards for performance are intended to motivate individuals to achieve the
               targets they have been set.
               Another view is that individuals can be motivated to improve their performance
               and to set challenging budgets through their commitment to the work that they
               do. If individuals enjoy their work and feel committed to performing as well as
               possible, challenging budget targets can be agreed and better levels of actual
               performance should be achieved.
               Personal motivation to improve performance, it may be argued, can be achieved
               if individuals are allowed to:
                      participate meaningfully in the budget-setting or target-setting process; and
                      be directly involved in negotiating performance targets for the budget
                       period.
               Advantages and disadvantages of participation
               The advantages of participative budgeting are as follows:
                      Stronger motivation to achieve budget targets, because individuals are
                       involved in setting or negotiating the targets.
                      There should be much better communication of goals and budget targets to
                       the individuals involved, and a better understanding of the target-setting
                       process.
                      Involvement by junior managers in budgeting provides excellent experience
                       for personal development
                      Better planning decisions – participation might lead to better planning
                       decisions, because ‘local’ managers often have a much better detailed
                       knowledge of operations and local conditions than senior managers.
               However, there are significant disadvantages with participation.
                      It might be difficult for junior managers to understand the overall objectives
                       of the organisation that budgets should be designed to meet.
                      The quality of planning with participation depends on the skills, knowledge
                       and experience of the individuals involved. Participation is not necessarily
                       beneficial in all circumstances, particularly when individuals lack
                       experience.
                      There might be a danger that budget targets will be set at a level that is not
                       ambitious. Participation on its own is not necessarily a sufficient incentive to
                       raise standards and targets for achievement. Individuals might try to argue
                       that performance targets should be set at current levels of achievement.
                      Senior managers might pretend to be encouraging participation, but in
                       practice they might disregard all the proposals and ideas of their
                       subordinates. To be effective, participation must be ‘real’.
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                      It is generally considered that participation is a good thing, but it needs to
                       be strictly managed by senior management to make sure optimum
                       decisions are taken that are in line with the company’s goals.
               Factors affecting the impact of participation
               The effect of participation on the motivation of subordinates will also depend on
               circumstances. Hopwood suggested that the effectiveness of participation on
               employee motivation depends on three key factors.
                 Factor                Comments
                 The nature of the     The effectiveness of participation will depend on the nature
                 task                  of the work, and the extent to which employees have
                                       control over the way in which the work is done.
                                        ‘In highly-programmed … and technically constrained
                                       areas, where speed and detailed control are essential for
                                       efficiency, participative approaches have less to offer…. In
                                       contrast, in areas where flexibility, innovation and the
                                       capacity to deal with un-anticipated problems are
                                       important, participation in decision-making may offer a
                                       more immediate … payoff….’ (Hopwood).
                 Organisation          Participation is likely to be more effective in an
                 structure             organisation where management responsibilities are
                                       decentralised, and local managers have more influence
                                       over their own budgets.
                 Personality of the    Some types of individual are more likely than others to be
                 employees             motivated by participation in the budgeting process.
               Imposed budgets
               The opposite of a participative budget is an imposed budget, where senior
               management dictates what the budget targets should be. Imposed budgets have
               certain advantages:
                      Less time consuming. Line managers do not have to spend time on
                       budgeting and so are not distracted from the task of running the business.
                      Senior managers may have a greater appreciation of the constraints faced
                       by the business, such as restrictions on cash and other resources, and
                       shareholder expectations of profits and dividends.
                      It may be easier to co-ordinate departmental budgets if they are prepared
                       together by senior management.
               However the disadvantages of imposed budgets are that:
                      Targets may be set at a challenging level and so are unachievable. If
                       unachievable targets are imposed, this will lead to de-motivation.
                      Opportunities for exploiting the specialist knowledge of more junior
                       managers may be lost if they are excluded from the budget-setting process.
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Performance management
       4.7 Other behavioural issues
               Performance of operational managers may be measured by comparing actual
               performance with the budget. The manager might be rewarded for achieving
               budget targets but criticised for failing to meet the budget.
               This tendency to ‘blame’ managers for failing to meet the budget targets will have
               an adverse effect on the motivation and attitude of the operational managers in
               the following circumstances:
                      The budget might not make any distinction between costs that are
                       controllable and costs outside the manager’s control. The manager might
                       therefore be criticised for excess spending on items over which he has no
                       control.
                      Circumstances might change and events might occur that make the original
                       budget unrealistic. Even so, the manager might be criticised for failing to
                       meet the budget targets, even when changed circumstances have made
                       the budget targets unrealistic.
               If budgeting is used as a ‘performance contract’ between the company and its
               managers, and provides a basis on which the actions by management are
               assessed, this could lead to a number of problems. Managers will want to avoid
               criticism, and so meet targets, but they have no obvious incentive to do better
               than the targets in the budget plan.
                                                            Possible means of dealing with the
                 Factor
                                                            problem
                 Meeting only the lowest targets            It may be appropriate to introduce an
                 Once a manager has agreed his              incentive scheme, in which higher
                 budget targets for the year, his only      bonuses are paid according to the
                 incentive is to achieve the budget         amount by which the budget target is
                 target, and not to exceed it.              exceeded. Higher bonuses can be
                                                            paid for better (budget-beating)
                                                            performance.
                 Using more resources than                  One possibility is to train management
                 necessary                                  and staff in the application of Total
                 Once the budgeted utilisation of           Quality Management techniques, so
                 resources      has     been     agreed     that managers and employees are
                 (materials, labour time, machine time      actively looking for improvements.
                 and so on) a manager will be satisfied     Another possibility is to provide
                 with using the full budgeted quantity of   rewards for achieving variable costs
                 resources permitted. There is no           per unit that are less than
                 incentive to improve on performance        standard/budgeted.
                 and use fewer resources.
                 Earning the bonus – whatever it            This is difficult problem to overcome.
                 takes to do this.                          The most effective solution may be to
                 Managers and employees who are             amend the rewards system so that
                 incentivised by a bonus to achieve a       there are a number of bonus
                 budget target will do whatever they        incentives for achieving a number of
                 can to make the target – even if this      different targets. However, this will be
                 means ignoring other aspects of            difficult to design and implement.
                 performance for which there is no
                 bonus and even if it means ‘bending
                 the rules’ to make the target.
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                                                                         Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
                                                          Possible means of dealing with the
                 Factor
                                                          problem
                 Competing with other divisions and If there are disputes between different
                 departments         in     the     same cost centres, or between cost centres
                 organisation                             and profit centres, it may be
                 There will be a tendency for cost necessary to refer the matter for
                 centres and profit centres to act resolution to the senior management
                 competitively towards each other, in at head office.
                 order to achieve their own budget
                 target. This may be evident in
                 attitudes to transfer pricing, which are
                 described in another chapter.
                 Making sure that all the expenditure Rewarding employees and managers
                 allocation in the budget is actually for achieving lower fixed costs than
                 spent                                budgeted may be a solution to this
                 Managers often see budgeting as a    problem.
                 competition for resources and
                 spending allocations. If a cost centre
                 or profit centre does not spend up to
                 its permitted limit in one year, it is at
                 risk of having some of the spending
                 allowance removed the next year.
                 Managers will try to avoid this by
                 making sure that their full budgeted
                 spending allocation is actually spent.
                 Providing forecasts that are                A change in management culture may
                 inaccurate                                  be necessary to overcome this
                 Managers may try to provide forecasts       problem. It is an almost unavoidable
                 that are (deliberately) not accurate in     feature of management behaviour that
                 order to gain an advantage and              forecasts will be presented in the most
                 misrepresent future expectations.           favourable light possible. It is the task
                 There are various reasons why this          of top management to establish a
                 may be done – for example to                culture of ‘no blame’ within the
                 persuade senior management to               organisation, so that managers may
                 make a decision that is favourable to       be willing to provide information that is
                 the forecast provider in order to win a     more ‘honest’.
                 bigger allocation of resources in the
                 budget.
                 Meeting the budget target, but not          As suggested above, it may be
                 beating it.                                 appropriate to have an incentive
                 If there is no incentive to beat a          scheme in which higher bonuses are
                 budget target, managers will be             available according to the amount by
                 satisfied with simply achieving the         which the budget target is exceeded.
                 target. They may then prefer not to
                 exceed the target so that their target
                 for the following year may not be as
                 challenging as it otherwise might be.
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Performance management
                                                              Possible means of dealing with the
                 Factor
                                                              problem
                 Avoiding risks                               A bonus system that rewards
                 Managers will be tempted to stick to         managers and employees for beating
                 the agreed plans in the budget and           a range of budget targets may be
                 will be reluctant to take unplanned          effective, so that managers are
                 initiatives that could result in a failure   prepared to take risks to improve
                 to meet budget targets. Managers             performance. However, as the crisis in
                 may prefer to do nothing wrong than          the banking system (2007 – 2009)
                 to take risks in order to improve            showed, managers should never be
                 performance.                                 encouraged to take on excessive
                                                              risks.
       4.8 Management styles
               In the 1970s, research was carried out by Anthony Hopwood into performance
               evaluation by managers, and how the performance of managers with cost centre
               responsibility is judged. He identified three types of management style:
                      a budget-constrained style;
                      a profit-conscious style; and
                      a non-accounting style
               Budget-constrained style
               With this style of management, the performance of managers is based on their
               ability to meet budget targets in the short term. With this style of performance
               evaluation, the focus is mainly on budgeted costs actual costs and variances.
               Managers are under considerable pressure to meet their short-term budget
               targets. Stress in the job is high. Managers might be tempted to manipulate
               accounting data to make actual performance seem better in comparison with the
               budget.
               Profit-conscious style
               The performance of managers is evaluated on the basis of their ability to increase
               the general effectiveness of the operations under their management. Increasing
               general effectiveness means being more successful in achieving the longer-term
               aims of the organisation. For example, success in reducing costs in the long term
               would be considered an increase in general effectiveness.
               With a profit-conscious style, budgets and variances are not ignored, but they are
               budgetary control information which is treated with caution, and variances are not
               given the same importance as with a budget-constrained style.
               Hopwood found that with this style of management evaluation, costs remain
               important, but there is much less pressure and stress in the job. As a
               consequence, there was a good working relationship between managers and
               their subordinates. In addition, there was less manipulation of accounting data
               than with a budget-constrained style.
               Non-accounting style
               With this style, budgetary control information plays a much less important part in
               the evaluation of managers’ performance. Other (non-accounting) measures of
               performance were given greater prominence.
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                                                                        Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
               Closing comment
               The results of empirical research by Hopwood and others (notable David Otley)
               seem to suggest that the most appropriate approach to the evaluation of
               performance depends on the circumstances and conditions in which the
               organisations and their managers operate.
5      BEYOND BUDGETING
         Section overview
             Origins of ‘beyond budgeting’
             Weaknesses in traditional budgeting
             The ‘beyond budgeting model’
             Performance management in the ‘beyond budgeting’ model
             Beyond budgeting: concluding comments
       5.1 Origins of ‘beyond budgeting’
               The Beyond Budgeting Round Table (BBRT) was set up in 1998. It is a
               European-wide research project investigating whether entities would benefit from
               the abolition of budgets and budgeting. The BBRT claims that several successful
               European companies have stopped preparing budgets. Instead, they use a
               ‘responsibility model’ for decision-making and performance measurement. As a
               result, their performance has improved.
               In the UK, the ideas of ‘beyond budgeting’ are associated with the writing of
               Jeremy Hope and Robin Fraser.
       5.2 Weaknesses in traditional budgeting
               Hope and Fraser have argued that the traditional budgeting system is inefficient
               and inadequate for the needs of modern businesses. In a continually-changing
               business world, traditional budgeting systems can have the effect of making
               business organisations fixed and rigid in their thinking, and unable to adapt. As a
               result, business organisations may be much too slow and inflexible in reacting to
               business developments.
               The budgeting system establishes ‘last year’s reality’ as the framework for the
               current year’s activities. When the business environment is changing rapidly, this
               approach is inadequate. Managers should respond quickly to changes in the
               environment, but traditional budgeting and budgetary control systems act as a
               restraint on innovation and initiative.
               Consequences of the inadequacy of the traditional budgeting system are that:
                      operational managers regard the budgeting process as a waste of their
                       time and resent having to prepare and then continually revise budget plans
                      management accountants are involved in the budgetary planning and
                       control system, but their work adds little or no value to the business. As a
                       result, it may be difficult to justify the existence of the management
                       accounting function.
               According to the Beyond Budgeting Round Table, there are ten major problems
               with the traditional budgeting and budgetary control system.
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                      Budgets are time-consuming and expensive. In spite of computer
                       technology and the use of budget models, it can take four to five months in
                       a large company to prepare the annual budget for next year. The work on
                       budget preparation has been found to use over 20% of the time of senior
                       managers and financial controllers.
                      Traditional budgeting adds little value and uses up valuable
                       management time that could be used better in other ways. Preparing a
                       budget does nothing, or very little, to add value to the entity. Budgets ‘are
                       bureaucratic, time-consuming exercises, and the time taken would be
                       better deployed in more value-creating activities’ (Hope and Fraser).
                      Fails to consider shareholder value. The traditional budgeting process
                       focuses too much on internal matters and not enough on external factors
                       and the business environment, and it fails to focus on shareholder value.
                      Rigid and inflexible: budgeting systems prevent fast response.
                       Managers concentrate on achieving ‘agreed’ budget targets, which may not
                       be in the best interests of the organisation as a whole, particularly when
                       circumstances change after the budget has been agreed. Budgets are
                       therefore ‘rigid’ and prevent fast and flexible responses to changing
                       circumstances and unexpected events.
                      Budgets ‘protect’ spending and fail to reduce costs. In many entities,
                       managers are expected to spend their entire budget allowance. If they
                       don’t, money will be taken away from their budget allowance next year.
                       This is certainly no incentive to cut costs.
                      Traditional budgeting and budgetary control discourages innovation.
                       Managers are required to achieve fixed budget targets, and the fixed
                       budget does not encourage continuous improvement. Managers will be
                       reluctant to exceed their budgeted spending limits, even though extra
                       spending would be necessary to react to events, possibly because
                       spending above budget will put their bonus at risk. In a dynamic business
                       environment, business organisations should be seeking continuous
                       improvement and innovation.
                      Budgets focus on sales targets, not customer satisfaction. This will
                       possibly increase sales in the short-term, even if the products are not as
                       good as they should be, but long-term success depends on satisfying
                       customers.
                      In practice, it has been found that although most companies have a
                       budgeting system, they are poor at executing strategy. This suggests that
                       budgeting systems are not effective systems for implementing strategy.
                      Budgeting systems encourage a culture of ‘dependency’, in which junior
                       managers do what they are told by their boss, and do not argue. ‘They
                       reinforce the “command and control” management model and … undermine
                       attempts at organisational change, such as team working, delegation and
                       empowerment’ (Hope and Fraser).
                      Budgets can lead to ‘unethical’ behaviour, such as including ‘slack’ within
                       the budgeted spending allowance.
                      There are other major criticisms of budgeting systems.
                      Traditional budgeting is seen as a method of imposing financial control, by
                       comparing actual results with budget. Budgeting should be a system for
                       communicating corporate goals – setting objectives and improving
                       performance.
                      Budgets are also plans that focus on financial numbers. ‘They fail to deal
                       with the most important drivers of shareholder value … - knowledge or
                       intellectual capital. Strong brands, skilled people, excellent management
                       processes, strong leadership and loyal customers are assets that are
                       outside the … accounting system’ (Hope and Fraser).
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Performance management
                      In many cases, budget plans are not the result of a rational decision-
                       making process. Often, budgets are a political compromise between
                       different departments and managers, and budgeted spending limits for
                       each manager are the outcome of a bargaining process.
                      Traditional budgetary control encourages managers to achieve fixed budget
                       targets, but does not encourage continuous improvement. Managers will be
                       reluctant to exceed their budgeted spending limits, even though extra
                       spending would be necessary to react to events, possibly because
                       spending above budget will put their bonus at risk. In a dynamic business
                       environment, business organisations should be seeking continuous
                       improvement and innovation.
                      Traditional budgeting shows the costs of departments and functions, but
                       not the costs of activities that are performed by employees. The traditional
                       budget figures do not give managers information about the cost drivers in
                       their business. In addition, traditional budgets do not help managers to
                       identify costs that do not add value.
       5.3 The ‘beyond budgeting model’
               The Beyond Budgeting view is that budgeting, as practised by most companies,
               should be abolished. The traditional hierarchical form of management structure
               should also be abolished. In its place, there should be a system in which
               authority and responsibility is given to operational managers, who should work
               together to achieve the strategic objectives of the entity.
               Traditional budgeting is based on a ‘dependency model’ of management and
               organisation culture. It is a system for centralised control by senior management.
               Control is exercised by requiring operational managers to meet (or exceed)
               budget targets.
               The ‘Beyond Budgeting’ alternative is a ‘responsibility model’ in which decision-
               making and performance management are delegated to ‘line managers’
               (operating managers). Instead of having fixed annual plans, these managers
               agree performance targets: these targets are reviewed regularly and amended as
               necessary in response to changing circumstances and unexpected events.
               A solution to the lack of flexibility in traditional budgeting may be continuous
               rolling forecasting (or even continuous budgets), so that the business
               organisation can adapt much more quickly to changes in its environment and to
               new events.
               Responsibility should be delegated to operational managers, who should be
               empowered to take decisions in response to changing circumstances, that the
               managers believe would be in the best interests of the organisation.
                      Goals should be agreed by reference to external benchmarks (such as
                       increasing market share, or beating the competition in other ways) and
                       targets should not be fixed and internally-negotiated.
                      Operational managers should be motivated by the challenges they are
                       given and by the delegation of responsibility.
                      Operational managers can use their direct knowledge of operations to
                       adapt much more quickly to changing circumstances and new events.
                      Operational managers may be expected to work within agreed parameters,
                       but they are not restricted in their spending by detailed line-by-line budgets.
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                       Delegated decision-making should encourage more transparent and open
                        communication systems within the organisation. Managers need
                        continuous rolling forecasts to make decisions and apply control. Efficient
                        IT systems are therefore an important element in the ‘beyond budgeting’
                        model.
         5.4 Performance management in the ‘beyond budgeting’ model
                In the Beyond Budgeting model of performance management, there are 12 basic
                principles.
                       Governance. The basis for taking action should be a set of clear values.
                        Mission statements and plans should not be used to guide action.
                       Responsibility for performance. Managers should be responsible for
                        achieving competitive results, not for meeting the budget target.
                       Delegation. People should be given the ability and the freedom to act.
                        They should not be controlled and constrained by senior managers.
                       Structure. Operations should be organised around processes and
                        networks, and should not be organised on the basis of departments and
                        functions.
                       Co-ordination. There should be effective co-ordination between people
                        within the company, and this should be achieved by process design and
                        fast information systems.
                       Leadership. Senior managers should challenge and ‘coach’. They should
                        not command and control.
                       Setting goals. The goal should be to beat competitors, not meet budget.
                       Formulating strategy. Formulating and implementing strategy should be a
                        continuous process, not an annual event imposed by senior management.
                       Anticipatory management. Management should use anticipatory systems
                        for managing strategy. (Anticipatory systems are systems that provide
                        information about events that are anticipated in the future.)
                       Resource management. Resources should be made available to
                        operational managers at a fair cost, when they are required. Resources
                        should not be allocated to departments in a fixed budget.
                       Measurement and control. Performance measurement and control should
                        be based on a small number of key performance indicators, not a large
                        number of detailed reports.
                       Motivation and rewards. Rewards, at a company level and a business unit
                        level, should be based on competitive performance, not meeting
                        predetermined budget targets.
                       Principles (1) to (6) are concerned with establishing an effective
                        organisation and culture of behaviour. Principles (7) to (12) are concerned
                        with establishing an effective system of performance measurement.
                       ‘Beyond Budgeting entails a shift from a performance emphasis based on
                        numbers to one based on people. It assumes that performance
                        improvement is more likely to come from giving capable people control over
                        decisions (and making them accountable for results), than simply from
                        adopting different measures and incentives’ (Hope and Fraser).
                       Hope and Fraser set out the 12 principles, and their effect, as follows:
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Performance management
                 Effective organisation          Effective performance              Management of
                 and behaviour                                                      competitive
                                                                                    success
                 Clear values                    Relative targets                   Fast response
                 Responsibility for              Adaptive strategies                Best people
                 results
                 Freedom and                     Anticipatory                       Innovative
                 capability to act          ×    management                   =     strategies
                 Fast networks and               Internal market for                Low costs
                 processes                       resources
                 Co-ordination                   Fast, distributed                  Loyal customers
                                                 controls
                 Challenge and stretch           Relative team rewards              Satisfied customers
               To compete successfully, management has to be very good at the six issues in
               the box on the right-hand side of this diagram.
                      They must create a climate and culture for fast response. An ability to
                       respond quickly to unexpected changes and events will mean that the
                       company can deal with uncertainty successfully. Change should be seen as
                       an opportunity, not a threat.
                      Managers must be given responsibility for strategy, and they should
                       monitor strategy continuously, not just once a year (as in the traditional
                       budget model).
                      If new initiatives are needed, managers should be able to obtain the
                       resources they need quickly. ‘They need, for example, the authority to
                       acquire key people when they are available (not when there is room in the
                       budget); to react to competitive threats and opportunities as they arise (not
                       as predicted in an outdated plan); and to acquire and deploy resources
                       when necessary (not as allocated by head office)’ (Hope and Fraser).
                      They must employ the best people. A challenging environment to work in is
                       likely to attract and retain top-quality employees.
                      They must innovate and generate new business ideas. Bureaucracy does
                       not encourage innovation and creativity. The ‘Beyond Budgeting’ model
                       does.
                      They must operate with low costs. Competitive pressures in markets are
                       forcing down prices. In the ‘Beyond Budgeting’ model managers will adapt
                       strategies to the requirements of the competitive environment, and will find
                       ways to reduce costs if this is appropriate. The traditional budgeting model
                       does not encourage effective cost reduction.
                      They must create and retain loyal customers. The ‘Beyond Budgeting’
                       model encourages managers to focus on satisfying customer needs.
                       Satisfied customers are likely to be loyal customers.
                      They must create value for shareholders. The ‘Beyond Budgeting’ model
                       should help a company to improve its profitability and create additional
                       value for its shareholders.
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                                                                      Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
       5.5 Beyond budgeting: concluding comments
               Hope and Fraser have argued that traditional budgeting systems are weak and
               should not be used. However, in practice most companies and other
               organisations continue to use them.
               It has been argued that the ‘beyond budgeting’ model is much more easily
               applied in the private sector than in the public sector. Government activity is
               managed through expenditure budgets and spending controls, and there is
               accountability for spending to politicians (government ministers and elected
               representatives) and to the general public. There may also be uncertainty about
               the objectives of particular government activities or departments. In such
               circumstances, it is difficult to apply a flexible system of decision-making or to
               devolve decision-making to lower levels of management.
               There have been attempts to improve traditional budgeting systems: for example,
               zero based budgeting, continuous budgets and activity based budgeting are all
               attempts to improve the budgeting system. Hope and Fraser argue, however, that
               these are ‘valiant efforts to update the process, but they only deal with part of the
               [problem] and are both time-consuming and complicated to manage.’
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Performance management
6      FORECASTING
         Section overview
          The nature of a time series
          Analysing a time series
             Moving averages
             Centred moving averages
             Line of best fit
             Seasonal variations
       6.1 The nature of a time series
               A time series is a record of data over a period of time, for example, sales revenue
               per month or revenue per quarter. The time series is a convenient way of
               representing historical information but more importantly it might be used to make
               predictions about the future. This is done by continuing the series forward in time.
               In order to do this, the time series must be analysed into its component parts.
               Components of a time series
               A change in value of an observed variable in a time series might be due to a
               combination of factors. These are described as the components of the time
               series. There are two models of a time series which differ in how these
               components are linked together.
                 Formula: Time series models
                       Additive model:
                                                 YA = T + S + C + R
                       Proportional (multiplicative model)
                                                 YM = T  S  C  R
                       Where:
                       T = Trend – the overall direction of change in the data.
                       S = Seasonal variation – differences between the actual data observed
                       for a time period and the amount predicted by the trend for that period.
                       C = Cyclical variation – Longer term variations which might cause
                       changes over longer periods.
                       R = Random fluctuations
               Note that the term “seasonal variation” has a specific meaning in time series
               analysis. It relates to the variation in each period covered in the analysis.
               Therefore it could mean a daily, weekly, quarterly or annual variation depending
               on the analysis.
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               Questions requiring analysis of a time series will require the identification of a
               trend and seasonal variations.
                      Random fluctuations cannot be predicted. The usual assumption made is
                       that they are negligible and can be ignored in any analysis.
                      Also, there is usually insufficient data to identify cyclical variations.
               The plot of a time series as a graph is called a historigram.
               The diagram below shows a trend line with seasonal variations above and below
               the trend line. The general trend in this diagram is up and the trend can be shown
               as a straight line. However, the actual value in each time period is above or
               below the trend, because of the seasonal variations.
                 Illustration: Historigram of a time series
       6.2 Analysing a time series
               There are two aspects to analysing a time series from historical data:
                      estimating the trend line; and
                      calculating the amount of the seasonal variations (monthly variations or
                       daily variations).
               The time series can then be used to make estimates for a future time period, by
               calculating a trend line value and then either adding or subtracting the
               appropriate seasonal variation for that time period.
               Two methods of calculating a trend line are:
                      Moving averages.
                      Linear regression analysis.
               Linear regression analysis is a technique that produces a line of best fit for
               observed data. This was covered in an earlier chapter (along with the high/low
               method which can also be used in forecasting). Note that both might be used
               together. Moving averages might be used to identify the underlying trend and
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Performance management
               then linear regression might be used to identify a line of best fit for the moving
               averages identified.
               Methods of calculating seasonal variations are explained later.
       6.3 Moving averages
               Moving averages can be used to estimate a trend line, particularly when there
               are seasonal variations in the data.
               The technique involves smoothing out fluctuations in the underlying observed
               data by calculating averages for small groups of observations from that data. The
               size of the small group is related to the type of data. If the data is quarterly then a
               group of 4 would be used or if the data was monthly a group of 12 would be
               used.
               Moving averages are calculated as follows:
               Step 1: Decide the length of the cycle. The cycle is a number of days or weeks,
               or seasons or years.
                      The cycle might be seven days when historical data is collected daily for
                       each day of the week or perhaps six days if the business is closed for one
                       day per week.
                      The cycle will be one year when data is collected monthly for each month of
                       the year or quarterly for each season.
               Step 2: Use the historical data to calculate a series of moving averages. A
               moving average is the average of all the historical data in one cycle.
               For example, suppose that historical data is available for daily sales over a period
               Day 1 – Day 21, and there are seven days of selling each week.
                      A moving average can be calculated for Day 1 – Day 7. This represents an
                       amount for the middle day in the data i.e. day 4.
                      Another moving average can be calculated for Day 2 – Day 8. . This
                       represents an amount for the middle day in the data i.e. day 5.
               This process continues until all of the data have been included. Note that as this
               is an averaging process it results in a figure related to the mid-point of the overall
               period for which the average has been calculated.
               Note that it is easier to number each day, month or quarter in a cycle starting
               from 1 rather than retain actual day names, dates etc.
               Step 3: If there is an even number of items of data in the moving average
               calculation, then the average will correspond to a point between the middle two
               time periods. A second average is calculated for each pair of values in the
               moving average column. This is done to centre the observation and align it with a
               time period.
               For example:
                      A moving average for Quarter 1 – Quarter 4 gives a value which represents
                       the mid-point of the range. This is Quarter 2.5.
                      A moving average for Quarter 2 – Quarter 5 gives a value which represents
                       the mid-point of the range. This is Quarter 3.5.
                      Quarters 2.5 and 3.5 do not exist so the values are averaged to give a
                       value which is taken to represent Quarter 3.
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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
                Step 4: Use the moving averages (and their associated time periods) to calculate
                a trend line.
                The following example illustrates the calculation of moving average in detail to
                ensure that you understand what it means before moving on to produce a
                complete trend.
                  Example: Calculating moving averages
                  A company operates for five days each week. Sales data for the most recent
                  three weeks are as follows:
                          Sales        Monday     Tuesday     Wednesday          Thursday            Friday
                                        units       units       units              units              units
                       Week 1            78          83              89               85                85
                       Week 2            88          93              99               95                95
                       Week 3            98         103              109              105              105
                      Moving averages are calculated as follows:
                      Day      Sales
                      1           78
                      2           83
                      3           89          =   420     ÷ 5 days            = 84 per day
                      4           85
                      5           85
                                                  84 represent the sales on the middle day of
                                                            the period (day 3)
                      Day      Sales
                      2           83
                      3           89
                      4           85          =   430     ÷ 5 days            = 86 per day
                      5           85
                      6           88
                                                  86 represents the sales on the middle day
                                                            of the period (day 4)
                The example is continued to complete the trend on the next page.
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Performance management
                 Example: Constructing a trend line with moving averages
                 A company operates for five days each week. Sales data for the most recent
                 three weeks are as follows:
                       Sales     Monday      Tuesday     Wednesday         Thursday            Friday
                                  units        units       units             units              units
                      Week 1        78          83            89                85               85
                      Week 2        88          93            99                95               95
                      Week 3        98         103           109                105              105
                     For convenience, it is assumed that Week 1 consists of Days 1 – 5, Week 2
                     consists of Days 6 – 10, and Week 3 consists of Days 11 – 15.
                     This sales data can be used to estimate a trend line. A weekly cycle in this
                     example is 5 days. Moving averages are calculated for five-day periods, as
                     follows:
                                                            Moving average (trend
                                                 5 day      found by dividing the 5
                     Day           Sales         total          day total by 5)
                     Day 1           78
                     Day 2           83
                     Day 3           89           420                     84
                     Day 4           85           430                     86
                     Day 5           85           440                     88
                     Day 6           88           450                     90
                     Day 7           93           460                     92
                     Day 8           99           470                     94
                     Day 9           95           480                     96
                     Day 10          95           490                     98
                     Day 11          98           500                    100
                     Day 12         103           510                    102
                     Day 13         109           520                    104
                     Day 14         105           530
                     Day 15         105           540
               Note that this process always results in a loss of values for points in time at the
               start and at the end of the range.
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                                                                       Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
               Line of best fit
               The trend is an indication of the general movement in a set of data. In order to
               make predictions, the trend must be expressed as a straight line.
               In the above example, the trend increases by 2 each day. This means that each
               moving average actually lies on a straight line. An equation can be found for this
               trend line by taking the first sales figure as a starting point and then adjusting it
               by the number of days multiplied by 2 per day to give the following formula:
                                              Daily sales = 78 + 2x.
               This trend line can be used to forecast a trend value for any day in the future. For
               example, the forecast for sales on day 50 is:
                                          Daily sales = 78 + 50x = 178
               This of course assumes that sales will continue to grow at 2 per day on average.
               This trend line can also be used to calculate the ‘seasonal variations’ (in this
               example, the daily variations in sales can be above or below the trend).
               In turn, these can be used to adjust the forecast value of the trend line to take
               account of whether day 50 is a Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday or
               Friday.
               This is explained later.
       6.4 Centred moving averages
               When there is an even number of seasons in a cycle, the moving averages will
               not correspond to an actual season. When this happens it is necessary to take
               moving averages of the moving averages in order to arrive at a value which
               corresponds to an actual season of the year.
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Performance management
                 Example: Constructing a trend line with centred moving averages
                 The following quarterly sales figures have been recorded for a company.
                          Sales      Quarter 1       Quarter 2          Quarter 3            Quarter 4
                                         ₦000            ₦000               ₦000              ₦000
                         Year 1           20                24                27                  31
                         Year 2           35                39                44                  47
                         Year 3           49                56                60                  64
                     In the following analysis, the quarters are numbered from 1 to 12 for ease
                     of reference. (Thus year 1: Q1 is numbered Q1 and year 3: Q4 is numbered
                     Q12).
                     Moving average values for each quarter are calculated as follows:
                                                                 Moving average (trend found
                                                4 quarter        by dividing the 4 quarter total
                      Quarter     Sales           total                       by 4)
                          1         20
                          2         24
                                                  102                              25.5
                          3         27
                                                  117                              29.25
                          4         31
                                                  132                              33.00
                          5         35
                                                  149                              37.25
                          6         39
                                                  165                              41.25
                          7         44
                                                  179                              44.75
                          8         47
                                                  196                              49.00
                          9         49
                                                  212                              53.00
                          10        56
                                                  229                              57.25
                          11        60
                          12        64
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                                                                        Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
               Each of the moving average figures above line up opposite a point between two
               quarters (seasons). For example, the average for quarters 1 to 4 sits between
               quarter 2 and quarter 3 at quarter 2.5.
               Analysing seasonal variation requires the figures in the trend to be lie opposite an
               actual season (quarter). This is achieved by carrying out a second averaging for
               each adjacent pair of numbers. The resultant numbers are called centred moving
               averages
                 Example: Constructing a trend line with centred moving averages (continued)
                                                                                           Centred
                                           Moving          Centre total (of 2              moving
                      Quarter   Sales      average         moving averages)              average (÷2)
                          1       20
                          2       24
                                             25.5
                          3       27                      25.5 + 29.25 = 54.75                27.38
                                            29.25
                          4       31                      29.25 + 33.00 = 62.25               31.13
                                            33.00
                          5       35                      33.00 + 37.25 = 70.25               35.13
                                            37.25
                          6       39                      37.25 + 41.25 = 78.50               39.25
                                            41.25
                          7       44                      41.25 + 44.75 = 86.00               43.00
                                            44.75
                          8       47                      44.75 + 49.00 = 93.75               46.88
                                            49.00
                          9       49                      49.00 + 53.00 = 102                 51.00
                                            53.00
                          10      56                        53.00 + 57.25 =
                                                                                              55.13
                                            57.25               110.25
                          11      60
                          12      64
               The moving averages in the right hand column correspond to an actual season
               (quarter). These moving averages are used to estimate the trend line and the
               seasonal variations.
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Performance management
       6.5 Line of best fit
               As explained earlier, the trend is an indication of the general movement in a set
               of data but in order for it to be used to make predictions, it must be expressed as
               a straight line.
               The first moving average value can be used as a starting point in the equation of
               a straight line. One way of identifying the slope is to subtract the lowest moving
               average from the highest and divide the figure by the number of periods between
               those two figures.
                 Example: Line of best fit
                 From the previous example
                                                                        Moving
                                                                        average
                       Quarter 10                                        55.13
                       Quarter 3                                         (27.38)
                                                                         27.75
                       Number of periods between Q10 and Q3               ÷7
                                                                           3.96
                       The equation of the line of best fit is:
                                                y (Sales) = 27.38 + 3.96x
               Care must be taken in using this equation. Remember the starting point for the
               equation is Q3 so any value must be calculated in reference to Q3.
                 Example: Line of best fit
                 From the previous example estimate the trend sales figure for Q4 in year 4.
                 This corresponds to Q16 in the example which is 13 quarters after the starting
                 point.
                                               y (Sales) = 27.38 + 3.96x
                                y (Sales in Q4 of year 4) = 27.38 + 3.96 (13) = 78.86
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                                                                         Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
       6.6 Seasonal variations
               The trend line on its own is not sufficient to make forecasts for the future. We
               also need estimates of the size of the ‘seasonal’ variation for each of the different
               seasons.
               Consider the two examples above:
                      In the first example, we need an estimate of the amount of the expected
                       daily variation in sales, for each day of the week.
                      In the second example, we need to calculate the variation above or below
                       the trend line for each season or quarter of the year.
               A ‘seasonal variation’ can be measured from historical data as the difference
               between the actual historical value for the time period, and the corresponding
               trend value.
               The seasonal variation is then used to adjust a forecast trend value.
               There are two models used to estimate seasonal variation:
                      The additive model;
                      The proportional model.
               The additive model
               This model assumes that seasonal variations above and below the trend line in
               each cycle adds up to zero. Seasonal variations below the trend line have a
               negative value and variations above the trend line have a positive value.
               The seasonal variation for each season (or daily variation for each day) is
               estimated as follows, when the additive assumption is used:
                      Calculate the difference between the moving average value and the actual
                       historical figure for each time period.
                      Group these seasonal variations into the different seasons of the year
                       (days of the week; months or quarters of the year).
                      Calculate the average of these seasonal variations for each season (or day;
                       month; quarter).
                      if the total seasonal variations for the cycle do not add up to zero the
                       difference is spread evenly across each season (or day; month; quarter).
                      This adjusted figure is the seasonal variation.
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Performance management
                 Example: Additive model
                 Using the previous example for quarterly sales, actual sales and the
                 corresponding moving average value were as follows:
                                                                                              Variation
                                                                                              (Actual –
                                                                 Actual sales                  Moving
                          Quarter                 Trend         in the quarter                average)
                     Year 1: Q3                   27.375              27                    0.375
                     Year 1: Q4                   31.125              31                    0.125
                     Year 2: Q1                   35.125              35                    0.125
                     Year 2: Q2                   39.250              39                    0.250
                     Year 2: Q3                   43.000              44                      1.000
                     Year 2: Q4                   46.875              47                      0.125
                     Year 3: Q1                   51.000              49                    2.000
                     Year 3: Q2                   55.125              56                      0.875
                          The seasonal variation (daily variation) is now calculated as the average
                          seasonal variation for each day, as follows:
                        Variation            Q1            Q2            Q3             Q4              Total
                     Year 1                                       0.375          0.125
                     Year 2              0.125       0.250        1.000           0.125
                     Year 3              2.000        0.875
                     Average             1.063        0.313        0.313           0.0           0.437
                     Adjustment:         0.10925      0.10925      0.10925         0.10925          0.437
                     Seasonal
                     adjustment         0.95375      0.42225      0.42225         0.10925          0
               The seasonal variations can then be used, with the estimated trend line, to make
               forecasts for the future.
                 Example: Forecast sales
                 The forecast for the trend value of sales in Q4 in year 4 is 78.86.
                 The estimated sales in this quarter are:
                       Trend value                               78.86
                       Quarter 4 adjustment (rounded)             0.11
                       Sales forecast                            78.97
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                                                                            Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
               The proportional model
               This model expresses the actual value in each season as a proportion of the
               trend line value.
               When a proportional model is used to calculate seasonal variations, rather than
               the additive model, the seasonal variations for each time period are calculated by
               dividing the actual data by corresponding moving average or trend line value.
               The sum of the proportions for each time period must add up to 1. This means
               that the total of the proportions quarterly data must sum to 4. If this is not the
               case the difference is spread evenly over each quarter
                 Example: Proportional model
                 Using the previous example for quarterly sales, actual sales and the
                 corresponding moving average value were as follows:
                                                                                           Seasonal
                                                                                       variation: actual
                                                                                          sales as a
                                                               Actual sales in         proportion of the
                     Quarter                     Trend          the quarter             moving average
                     Year 1: Q3                 27.375               27                      0.986
                     Year 1: Q4                 31.125               31                        0.996
                     Year 2: Q1                 35.125               35                        0.996
                     Year 2: Q2                 39.250               39                        0.994
                     Year 2: Q3                 43.000               44                        1.023
                     Year 2: Q4                 46.875               47                        1.003
                     Year 3: Q1                 51.000               49                        0.961
                     Year 3: Q2                 55.125               56                        1.016
                     The seasonal variation (daily variation) is now calculated as the average
                     seasonal variation for each day, as follows:
                        Variation         Q1             Q2          Q3               Q4             Total
                         Year 1                                     0.986           0.996
                         Year 2         0.996         0.994         1.023           1.003
                         Year 3         0.961         1.016
                        Average         0.978         1.004         1.004           0.999            3.985
                                       0.00375       0.00375      0.00375          0.00375           0.015
                                       0.98175       1.00775      1.00775          1.00275           4.000
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Performance management
                 Example: Forecast sales
                 The forecast for the trend value of sales in Q4 in year 4 is 78.86.
                 The estimated sales in this quarter are:
                       Trend value                           78.86
                       Quarter 4 adjustment (rounded)        1.003
                       Sales forecast                        79.01
7      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the purposes of budgeting and the budgeting process
             Describe the main features of, and explain the differences between bottom-up
              and top-down budgeting
             Explain incremental and zero-based budgeting
             Explain activity based budgeting (ABB)
             Recognise and explain the importance of the behavioural aspects of budgeting
             Discuss beyond budgeting as a concept
             Explain and apply forecasting techniques
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Performance management
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                              1
         Sales budget
                                                                           Budgeted
                                            Budgeted       Budgeted            sales
               Product                 sales quantity     sales price       revenue
                                                units             ₦              ₦
               X                               2,500            410      1,025,000
               Y                               3,200            400      1,280,000
               Total                                                     2,305,000
         Production budget
                                                                Product X              Product Y
                                                                   units                  units
               Sales budget                                        2,500                  3,200
               Budgeted closing inventory                            200                    100
                                                                   2,700                  3,300
               Opening inventory                                     300                    150
               Production budget                                   2,400                  3,150
               Material usage budget
                                                               A (kgs)        B (kgs)          C (kgs)
               Usage to make 2,400 units of X
               2,400 units  1 kgs                                2,400
               2,400 units  0.75 kgs                                             1,800
               2,400 units  2 kgs                                                                4,800
               Usage to make 3,150 units of Y
               3,150 units  1 kgs                                3,150
               3,150 units  0.5 kgs                                              1,575
               3,150 units  3 kgs                                                                9,450
               Usage in kgs                                       5,550           3,375         14,250
               Cost per kg                                          ₦30             ₦80             ₦30
               Usage in naira                                  166,500        270,000          427,500
               Total cost                                                                      ₦864,000
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                                                                Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems
         Solution (continued)                                                                       1
             Material purchases budget
                                                    A (kgs)         B (kgs)         C (kgs)
             Usage                                     5,550           3,375         14,250
             Closing inventory                           380             400              120
                                                       5,930           3,775         14,370
             Opening inventory                          (400)           (450)            (150)
             Purchases (kgs)                           5,530           3,325         14,220
             Cost per kg (₦)                            ₦30              ₦80              ₦30
             Purchases (₦)                          165,900         266,000         426,600
             Total cost                                                             ₦858,500
             Labour usage budget
                                                    Grade I (hrs)        Grade II (hrs)
             Usage to make 2,400 units of X
             2,400 units  1 hr                          2,400
             2,400 units  1.5 hrs                                               3,600
             Usage to make 3,150 units of Y
             3,150 units  0.8 hrs                       2,520
             3,150 units  1 hr                                                  3,150
             Usage in kgs                                4,920                   6,750
             Cost per kg (₦)                               100                       80
             Usage in naira                           492,000                540,000
             Total cost(₦)                                                1,032,000
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Performance management
         Solution (continued)                                                                               1
               Budgeted profit or loss account
                                                                           ₦                     ₦
               Sales budget                                                               2,305,000
               Cost of sales:
                Opening inventory                                     211,500
                 Purchases                                            858,500
                 Labour usage                                       1,032,000
                                                                    2,102,000
                 Closing inventory                                   (153,000)
                                                                                         (1,949,000)
               Budgeted gross profit                                                         356,000
               The budgeted gross profit can be checked as follows:
                                            (Units  (Sales price – Unit cost)                 ₦
               Profit from selling X             (2,500 units  (410  370))                 100,000
               Profit from selling Y             (3,200 units  (400  320))                 256,000
                                                                                             356,000
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                                                                                         7
     Skills level
     Performance management
                                                              CHAPTER
                                                      Variance analysis
 Contents
 1     Standard costs
 2     Introduction to variance analysis
 3     Direct materials variances
 4     Direct labour variances
 5     Variable production overhead variances
 6     Fixed production overhead cost variances:
       absorption costing
 7     Sales variances
 8     Interrelationships between variances
 9     Reconciling budgeted and actual profit: standard
       absorption costing
 10    Standard marginal costing
 11    Productivity, efficiency and capacity ratios
 12    Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 B     Planning and control
       2     Variance analysis
             A     Explain the uses of standard cost and types of standard.
             B     Discuss the methods used to derive standard cost.
             C     Explain and analyse the principle of controllability in the performance
                   management system.
             D     Calculate and apply the following variances:
                   i          Material usage and price variances;
                   iii        Labour rate, efficiency and idle time variances;
                   iv         Variable overhead expenditure and efficiency variances;
                   v          Fixed overhead budget, volume, capacity and productivity variances;
                   vi         Sales volume variance;
             E     Identify and explain causes of various variances and their inter-relationship.
             F     Analyse and reconcile variances using absorption and marginal costing
                   techniques
Exam context
This chapter explains the techniques of variance analysis.
The chapter explains that a flexed budget shows what would have been achieved based on
the actual level of activity but assuming revenue per unit and all costs per unit have been the
same as budgeted. It is a new budget drawn up for the actual levels of unit sales and unit
output.
Variance analysis reconciles the difference between the budgeted profit figure and that
actually achieved. This reconciliation occurs in two steps. The difference between the original
budgeted profit and the flexed budgeted profit is shown as a volume variance. The
differences between the flexed budget and the actual results are shown in detail.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain standard costing using examples
      Explain and construct a flexed budget
      Calculate sales volume variance
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      Calculate, analyse and interpret various variances relating to material, labour and
       factory overhead(both variable and fixed)
       Prepare an operating statement reconcile budgeted profit to actual profit using total
       absorption costing (TAC) and marginal costing (MC)
1      STANDARD COSTS
         Section overview
          Standard units of product or service
          Standard cost
             Standard costing
             The uses of standard costing
             Deriving a standard cost
             Types of standard
             Reviewing standards
       1.1 Standard units of product or service
               Standard costing involves using an expected cost (standard cost) as a substitute
               for actual cost in the accounting system. Periodically the standard costs are
               compared to the actual costs. Differences between the standard and actual are
               recorded as variances in the costing system.
               When is standard costing appropriate?
               Standard costing can be used in a variety of situations.
               It is most useful when accounting for homogenous goods produced in large
               numbers, when there is a degree of repetition in the production process.
               A standard costing system may be used when an entity produces standard units
               of product or service that are identical to all other similar units produced.
               Standard costing is usually associated with standard products, but can be applied
               to standard services too.
               A standard unit should have exactly the same input resources (direct materials,
               direct labour time) as all other similar units, and these resources should cost
               exactly the same. Standard units should therefore have the same cost.
       1.2 Standard cost
                 Definition: Standard cost and standard costing
                 Standard cost is an estimated or predetermined cost of performing an operation or
                 producing a good or service, under normal conditions
                 Standard costing is a control technique that reports variances by comparing actual
                 costs to pre-set standards so facilitating action through management by exception.
               A standard cost is a predetermined unit cost based on expected direct
               materials quantities and expected direct labour time, and priced at a
               predetermined rate per unit of direct materials and rate per direct labour hour and
               rate per hour of overhead.
                      Standard costs of products are usually restricted to production costs only,
                       not administration and selling and distribution overheads.
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                      Overheads are normally absorbed into standard production cost at an
                       absorption rate per direct labour hour.
                 Example: Standard cost card
                 The standard cost of a Product XYZ might be:
                                                                                              ₦           ₦
                     Direct materials:
                      Material A: 2 litres at ₦4.50 per litre                            9.00
                      Material B: 3 kilos at ₦4 per kilo                                12.00
                                                                                                    21.00
                     Direct labour
                      Grade 1 labour: 0.5 hours at ₦20 per hour                         10.00
                      Grade 2 labour: 0.75 hours at ₦16 per hour                        12.00
                                                                                                    22.00
                     Variable production overheads: 1.25 hours at ₦4 per hour                        5.00
                     Fixed production overheads: 1.25 hours at ₦40 per hour                         50.00
                     Standard (production) cost per unit                                            98.00
               Who sets standard costs?
               Standard costs are set by managers with the expertise to assess what the
               standard prices and rates should be. Standard costs are normally reviewed
               regularly, typically once a year as part of the annual budgeting process.
                      Standard prices for direct materials should be set by managers with
                       expertise in the purchase costs of materials. This is likely to be a senior
                       manager in the purchasing department (buying department).
                      Standard rates for direct labour should be set by managers with expertise
                       in labour rates. This is likely to be a senior manager in the human
                       resources department (personnel department).
                      Standard usage rates for direct materials and standard efficiency rates for
                       direct labour should be set by managers with expertise in operational
                       activities. This may be a senior manager in the production or operations
                       department, or a manager in the technical department.
                      Standard overhead rates should be identified by a senior management
                       accountant, from budgeted overhead costs and budgeted activity levels that
                       have been agreed in the annual budgeting process.
       1.3 Standard costing
               Standard costing is a system of costing in which:
                      all units of product (or service) are recorded in the cost accounts at their
                       standard cost, and
                      the value of inventory is based on standard production cost.
               Differences between actual costs and standard costs are recorded as variances,
               and variances are reported at regular intervals (typically each month) for the
               purpose of budgetary control.
               Standard costing may be used with either a system of absorption costing or a
               system of marginal costing.
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Performance management
       1.4 The uses of standard costing
               Standard costing has four main uses.
                      It is an alternative system of cost accounting. In a standard costing system,
                       all units produced are recorded at their standard cost of production.
                      When standard costs are established for products, they can be used to
                       prepare the budget.
                      It is a system of performance measurement. The differences between
                       standard costs (expected costs) and actual costs can be measured as
                       variances. Variances can be reported regularly to management, in order to
                       identify areas of good performance or poor performance.
                      It is also a system of control reporting. When differences between actual
                       results and expected results (the budget and standard costs) are large, this
                       could indicate that operational performance is not as it should be, and that
                       the causes of the variance should be investigated. Management can
                       therefore use variance reports to identify whether control measures might
                       be needed, to improve poor performance or continue with good
                       performances.
               When there are large adverse variances, this might indicate that actual
               performance is poor, and control action is needed to deal with the weaknesses.
               When there are large favourable variances, and actual results are much better
               than expected, management should investigate to find out why this has
               happened, and whether any action is needed to ensure that the favourable
               results will continue in the future.
               Variances and controllability
               The principle of controllability should be applied in any performance management
               system
               When variances are used to measure the performance of an aspect of
               operations, or the performance of a manager, they should be reported to the
               manager who is:
                      responsible for the area of operations to which the variances relate, and
                      able to do something to control them.
               There is no value or practical purpose in reporting variances to a manager who is
               unable to do anything to control performance by sorting out problems that the
               variances reveal and preventing the variances from happening again.
               It is also unreasonable to make a manager accountable for performance that is
               outside his control, and for variances that he can do nothing about.
       1.5 Deriving a standard cost
               A standard variable cost of a product is established by building up the standard
               materials, labour and production overhead costs for each standard unit.
               In a standard absorption costing system, the standard fixed overhead cost is a
               standard cost per unit, based on budgeted data about fixed costs and the
               budgeted production volume.
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                                                                                    Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               Companies can often measure the standard quantities with a high degree of
               confidence. Remember that standard costing is appropriate in conditions of high
               production numbers and a lot of repetition. Companies might make thousands of
               items and this experience leads to knowledge of the process.
               Deriving the standard usage for materials
               The standard usage for direct materials can be obtained by using:
                      historical records for material usage in the past, or
                      the design specification for the product
               Deriving the standard efficiency rate for labour
               The standard efficiency rate for direct labour can be obtained by using:
                      historical records for labour time spent on the product in the past, or
                      making comparisons with similar work and the time required to do this
                       work, or
                      ‘time and motion study’ to estimate how long the work ought to take
               Deriving the standard price for materials
               The standard price for direct materials can be estimated by using:
                      historical records for material purchases in the past, and
                      allowing for estimated changes in the future, such as price inflation and any
                       expected change in the trade discounts available
               Deriving the standard rate of pay for labour
               Not all employees are paid the same rate of pay, and there may be differences to
               allow for the experience of the employee and the number of years in the job.
               There is also the problem that employees may receive an annual increase in pay
               each year to allow for inflation, and the pay increase may occur during the middle
               of the financial year.
                      The standard rate of pay per direct labour hour will be an average rate of
                       pay for each category or grade of employees.
                      The rate of pay may be based on current pay levels or on an expected
                       average pay level for the year, allowing for the expected inflationary pay
                       rise during the year.
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Performance management
                 Example: Deriving a standard cost
                 A company manufactures two products, X and Y. In Year 1 it budgets to make
                 2,000 units of Product X and 1,000 units of Product Y. Budgeted resources per
                 unit and costs are as follows:
                                                              Product X                   Product Y
                       Direct materials per unit:
                        Material A                      2 units of material       1.5 units of material
                        Material B                      1 unit of material         3 units of material
                       Direct labour hours per unit        0.75 hours                    1 hour
                       Costs
                       Direct material A                    ₦40 per unit
                       Direct material B                    ₦30 per unit
                       Direct labour                        ₦200 per hour
                       Variable production overhead         ₦40 per direct labour hour
                 Fixed production overheads per unit are calculated by applying a direct labour
                 hour absorption rate to the standard labour hours per unit, using the budgeted
                 fixed production overhead costs of ₦120,000 for the year.
                 Required
                 Calculate the standard full production cost per unit of:
                 (a)          Product X, and
                 (b)          Product Y
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                                                                                     Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Answer
                 First calculate the budgeted overhead absorption rate.
                       Budgeted direct labour hours                                hours
                       Product X: (2,000 units  0.75 hours)                      1,500
                       Product Y (1,000 units  1 hour)                           1,000
                                                                                  2,500
                       Budgeted fixed production overheads                    ₦120,000
                       Fixed overhead absorption rate/hour                          ₦48
                                                    Product X                           Product Y
                                                                          ₦                                 ₦
                       Direct materials
                        Material A              (2 units  ₦40)         80 (1.5 units  ₦40)               60
                         Material B               (1 unit  ₦30)        30       (3 units  ₦30)           90
                       Direct labour       (0.75 hours  ₦200)        150       (1 hour  ₦200)          200
                       Variable
                       production
                       overhead             (0.75 hours  ₦40)          30        (1 hour  ₦40)           40
                       Standard variable
                       prod’n cost                                    290                                390
                       Fixed production
                       overhead             (0.75 hours  ₦48)          36        (1 hour  ₦48)           48
                       Standard full
                       production cost                                326                                438
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                          1
                       A company manufactures two products, L and H. In Year 1, it budgets
                       to make 6,000 units of Product L and 2,000 units of Product H.
                       Budgeted resources per unit and costs are as follows:
                                                        L                    H
                       Direct materials per unit:
                         Material X                               3 kg              1kg
                        Material Y                                   2 kg                   6 kg
                       Direct labour hours per unit                1.6 hours              3 hours
                       Costs
                       Direct material X                    ₦30 per unit
                       Direct material Y                    ₦40 per unit
                       Direct labour                        ₦250 per hour
                       Variable production overhead         ₦50 per direct labour hour
                       Fixed production overheads per unit are calculated by applying a direct
                       labour hour absorption rate to the standard labour hours per unit, using
                       the budgeted fixed production overhead costs of ₦1,800,000 for the
                       year.
                       Required
                       Calculate the standard full production cost per unit of:
                       (a)    Product L, and
                       (b)    Product H
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       1.6 Types of standard
               Standards are predetermined estimates of unit costs but how is the level of
               efficiency inherent in the estimate determined? Should it assume perfect
               operating conditions or should it incorporate an allowance for waste and idle
               time? The standard set will be a performance target and if it seen as unattainable
               this may have a detrimental impact on staff motivation. If the standard set is too
               easy to attain there may be no incentive to find improvements.
               There are four types of standard, and any of these may be used in a standard
               costing system:
                      Ideal standards. These assume perfect operating conditions. No
                       allowance is made for wastage, labour inefficiency or machine breakdowns.
                       The ideal standard cost is the cost that would be achievable if operating
                       conditions and operating performance were perfect. In practice, the ideal
                       standard is not achieved.
                      Attainable standards. These assume efficient but not perfect operating
                       conditions. An allowance is made for waste and inefficiency. However the
                       attainable standard is set at a higher level of efficiency than the current
                       performance standard, and some improvements will therefore be necessary
                       in order to achieve the standard level of performance.
                      Current standards. These are based on current working conditions and
                       what the entity is capable of achieving at the moment. Current standards do
                       not provide any incentive to make significant improvements in performance,
                       and might be considered unsatisfactory when current operating
                       performance is considered inefficient.
                      Basic standards. These are standards which remain unchanged over a
                       long period of time. Variances are calculated by comparing actual results
                       with the basic standard, and if there is a gradual improvement in
                       performance over time, this will be apparent in an improving trend in
                       reported variances.
               When there is waste in production, or when idle time occurs regularly, current
               standard costs may include an allowance for the expected wastage or expected
               idle time. This is considered in more detail later.
               Types of standard: behavioural aspects
               One of the purposes of standard costing is to set performance standards that
               motivate employees to improve performance. The type of standard used can
               have an effect on motivation and incentives.
                      Ideal standards are unlikely to be achieved. They may be very useful as
                       long term targets and may provide senior managers with an indication of
                       the potential for savings in a process but generally the ideal standard will
                       not be achieved. Consequently the reported variances will always be
                       adverse. Employees may become de-motivated when their performance
                       level is always worse than standard and they know that the standard is
                       unachievable.
                      Current standards may be useful for producing budgets as they are based
                       on current levels of efficiency and may therefore give a realistic guide to
                       resources required in the production process. However current standards
                       are unlikely to motivate employees to improve their performance, unless
                       there are incentives for achieving favourable variances (for achieving
                       results that are better than the standard), such as annual cash bonuses.
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Performance management
                      Basic standards will not motivate employees to improve their performance
                       as they are based on achievable conditions at some time in the past. They
                       are also not useful for budgeting because they will often be out of date. In
                       practice, they are the least common type of standard.
                      Attainable standards are the most likely to motivate employees to improve
                       performance as they are based on challenging but attainable targets. It is
                       for this reason that standards are often based on attainable conditions.
                       However, a problem with attainable standards is deciding on the level of
                       performance that should be the target for achievement. For example, if an
                       attainable standard provides for some improvement in labour efficiency,
                       should the standard provide for a 1% improvement in efficiency, or a 5%
                       improvement, or a 10% improvement?
       1.7 Reviewing standards
               How often should standards be revised? There are several reasons why
               standards should be revised regularly.
                      Regular revision leads to standards which are meaningful targets that
                       employees may be motivated to achieve (for example, through incentive
                       schemes).
                      Variance analysis is more meaningful because reported variances should
                       be realistic.
                      In practice, standards are normally reviewed annually. Standards by their
                       nature are long-term averages and therefore some variation is expected
                       over time. The budgeting process can therefore be used to review the
                       standard costs in use.
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                                                                                   Chapter 7: Variance analysis
2      INTRODUCTION TO VARIANCE ANALYSIS
         Section overview
          Standard cost cards
          Fixed budget
             Flexed budget
             Comparison of actual results to the flexed budget
             Cost variances
       2.1 Standard cost cards
               Standard costs are constructed by estimating the quantities of standard amounts
               of input (for example materials and labour) and estimating the cost of buying
               these over the future period covered by the standard.
               Standard costs for a unit are often set out in a record called a standard cost card.
               A typical standard cost card is as follows.
                 Example: Standard cost card (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                                                                                                    ₦
                       Direct materials               5 kg @ ₦1,000 per kg                         5,000
                       Direct labour                  4 hours @ ₦500 per hour                      2,000
                       Variable overhead              4 hours @ ₦200 per hour                         800
                       Marginal production cost                                                     7,800
                       Fixed production overhead      4 hours @ ₦600 per hour                       2,400
                       Total absorption cost                                                      10,200
               The above standard costs will be used in examples throughout this chapter to
               illustrate variance analysis.
               Standard costs link to the budget through activity levels.
               For example, if a company wanted to make 1,200 of the above units the budget
               would show a material cost of ₦6,000,000 (1,200  ₦5,000)
                 Example: Fixed budget for a period
                 Lagos Manufacturing Limited has budgeted to make 1,200 units.
                       Cost budget                                                                 ₦‘000
                       Materials               (1,200 units ₦5,000 per unit)                       6,000
                       Labour                  (1,200 units  ₦2,000 per unit)                      2,400
                       Variable overhead       (1,200 units  ₦800 per unit)                          960
                       Fixed overhead          (1,200 units  ₦2,400 per unit)                      2,880
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Performance management
       2.2 Fixed budget
               The original budget prepared at the beginning of a budget period is known as the
               fixed budget. A fixed budget is a budget for a specific volume of output and sales
               activity, and it is the ‘master plan’ for the financial year that the company tries to
               achieve.
                 Example: Fixed budget for a period
                 Lagos Manufacturing Limited has budgeted to make 1,200 units and sell 1,000
                 units in January.
                 The selling price per unit is budgeted at ₦15,000.
                 The standard costs of production are as given in the previous example.
                 The budget prepared for January is as follows:
                       Unit sales                                                               1,000
                       Unit production                                                          1,200
                       Budget                                                                  ₦‘000
                       Sales                (1,000 units  15,000)                              15,000
                       Cost of sales:
                       Materials            (1,200 units ₦5,000 per unit)                        6,000
                       Labour               (1,200 units  ₦2,000 per unit)                       2,400
                       Variable overhead    (1,200 units  ₦800 per unit)                           960
                       Fixed overhead       (1,200 units  ₦2,400 per unit)                       2,880
                                                                                                12,240
                       Closing inventory    (200 units  ₦10,200 per unit)                       (2,040)
                       Cost of sales        (1,000 units  ₦10,200 per unit)                   (10,200)
                       Profit                                                                     4,800
                       Note:
                       Budgeted profit = 1,000 units  (₦15,000  ₦10,200 per unit) =
                       ₦4,800,000
               One of the main purposes of budgeting is budgetary control and the control of
               costs. Costs can be controlled by comparing budgets with the results actually
               achieved.
               Differences between expected results and actual results are known as variances.
               Variances can be either favourable (F) or adverse (A) depending on whether the
               results achieved are better or worse than expected.
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               Consider the following:
                 Example: Fixed budget and actual results for a period.
                 At the end of January Lagos Manufacturing Limited recorded its actual results as
                 follows.
                                             Budget                                 Actual
                       Unit sales                1,000                                            900
                       Unit production           1,200                                           1,000
                                                Budget                                          Actual
                       Budget                   ₦‘000                                           ₦‘000
                       Sales                     15,000                                          12,600
                       Cost of sales:
                       Materials                  6,000                                            4,608
                       Labour                     2,400                                            2,121
                       Variable overhead            960                                              945
                       Fixed overhead             2,880                                            2,500
                                                 12,240                                          10,174
                       Closing inventory          (2,040)                                         (1,020)
                       Cost of sales            (10,200)                                          (9,154)
                       Profit                     4,800                                            3,446
                       Note:
                       The actual closing inventory of 100 units is measured at the standard cost
                       of ₦10,200 per unit. This is what happens in standard costing systems.
               What does this tell us?
               The actual results differ from the budget. The company has not achieved its plan
               in January. Profit is less than budgeted. The company would like to understand
               the reason for this in as much detail as possible.
               The technique that explains the difference between actual results and the budget
               is called variance analysis. This technique identifies the components of the
               difference between the budgeted profit and the actual profit in detail so that they
               can be investigated and understood by the company.
               The sales figure is less than budgeted but why? The sales figure is a function of
               the quantity sold and the selling price per unit. The quantity sold is 100 units less
               than budgeted but what about the impact of any difference in the sales price?
               At first sight it looks as if the company has made savings on every cost line. For
               example budgeted material cost was ₦6,000,000 but actual spend was only
               ₦4,608,000. However, this is not a fair comparison because the budgeted cost
               was to make 1200 units whereas the company only made 1,000 units.
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Performance management
       2.3 Flexed budget
               Variances are not calculated by comparing actual results to the fixed budget
               directly because the figures relate to different levels of activity and the
               comparison would not be like to like. A second budget is drawn up at the end of
               the period. This budget is based on the actual levels of activity and the standard
               revenue and standard costs. This budget is called a flexed budget.
                 Example: Flexed budget for a period
                 The flexed budget prepared by Lagos Manufacturing Limited at the end of January
                 (based on actual levels of activity and standard revenue per unit and standard cost
                 per unit) is as follows:
                       Unit sales                                                                900
                       Unit production                                                          1,000
                       Budget                                                                  ₦‘000
                       Sales                (900 units  15,000)                                13,500
                       Cost of sales:
                       Materials            (1,000 units ₦5,000 per unit)                        5,000
                       Labour               (1,000 units  ₦2,000 per unit)                       2,000
                       Variable overhead    (1,000 units  ₦800 per unit)                           800
                       Fixed overhead       (1,000 units  ₦2,400 per unit)                       2,400
                                                                                                10,200
                       Closing inventory    (100 units  ₦10,200 per unit)                       (1,020)
                       Cost of sales        (900 units  ₦10,200 per unit)                       (9,180)
                       Profit                                                                     4,320
               This shows the amount that the company would have received for the actual
               number of units sold if they had been sold at the budgeted revenue per item.
               It shows what the actual number of units produced (1,000 units) would have cost
               if they had been made at the standard cost.
               The flexed budget is a vital concept. It sits at the heart of variance analysis.
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                                                                                   Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       2.4 Comparison of actual results to the flexed budget
               All three statements can be combined as follows:
                 Example: Fixed budget, flexed budget and actual results for a period.
                 At the end of January, Lagos Manufacturing Limited has recorded its actual results
                 as follows (together with the original fixed budget and the flexed budget for the
                 month).
                                               Fixed               Flexed
                                              budget               budget             Actual
                       Unit sales                1,000                  900                        900
                       Unit production           1,200                 1,000                      1,000
                                                Budget                 Actual                    Actual
                       Budget                    ₦‘000                 ₦‘000                     ₦‘000
                       Sales                     15,000                13,500                     12,600
                       Cost of sales:
                       Materials                  6,000                  5,000                      4,608
                       Labour                     2,400                  2,000                      2,121
                       Variable overhead            960                    800                        945
                       Fixed overhead             2,880                  2,400                      2,500
                                                 12,240                10,200                     10,174
                       Closing inventory          (2,040)               (1,020)                    (1,020)
                       Cost of sales            (10,200)                (9,180)                    (9,154)
                       Profit                     4,800                  4,320                      3,446
                       Note:
                       The actual closing inventory of 100 units is measured at the standard total
                       absorption cost of ₦10,200 per unit. This is what happens in standard
                       costing systems.
               The information for Lagos Manufacturing Limited’s performance in January will
               be used throughout this chapter to illustrate variance analysis.
               Note that the above example is unlikely to be something that you would have to
               produce in the exam. It is provided to help you to understand what variance
               analysis is about.
               Commentary
               Variance analysis explains the difference between the fixed budget profit and the
               actual profit in detail. This paragraph provides an initial commentary before
               looking at the detailed calculations in later sections of this chapter.
               Both the fixed budget and the flexed budget are based on the standard revenue
               per unit and the standard costs per unit. Therefore, the difference between the
               fixed budget and the flexed budget is caused only by difference in volume. This
               figure of ₦480,000 (₦4,800,000  ₦4,320,000) is called the sales volume
               variance. This is revisited in detail later in this chapter.
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Performance management
               Revenue is sales quantity  sales price per unit. The revenue in the flexed budget
               and the actual revenue are both based on the actual quantity sold. Therefore the
               difference between the two figures of ₦900,000 (₦13,500,000  ₦12,600,000) is
               due to a difference in the selling price per unit. This difference is called the sales
               price variance. This is revisited in detail later in this chapter.
               The difference between each variable cost line in the flexed budget and the
               equivalent actual figure is a total cost variance for that item. For example the
               actual results show that 1,000 units use material which cost ₦4,608,000. The
               flexed budget shows that these units should have used material which cost
               ₦5,000,000. The difference of ₦392,000 is due to a combination of the actual
               material used being different to the budgeted usage of 5kgs per unit and the
               actual price per kg being different to the budgeted price per kg. In other words,
               the total variance can be explained in terms of usage and price. This is explained
               in detail later in this chapter.
               Variable cost variances can be calculated for all items of variable cost (direct
               materials, direct labour and variable production overhead). The method of
               calculating the variances is similar for each variable cost item.
                      The total cost variance for the variable cost item is the difference between
                       the actual variable cost of production and the standard variable cost of
                       producing the items.
                    However, the total cost variance is not usually calculated. Instead, the total
                     variance is calculated in two parts, that add up to the total cost variance:
                          a price variance or rate variance or expenditure per hour variance.
                          a usage or efficiency variance.
               The difference between the fixed overhead in the flexed budget and the actual
               fixed overhead is over absorption. This was covered in an earlier chapter but will
               be revisited in full later in this chapter.
       2.5 Cost variances
               Adverse and favourable cost variances
               In a standard costing system, all units of output are valued at their standard cost.
               Cost of production and cost of sales are therefore valued at standard cost.
               Actual costs will differ from standard costs. A cost variance is the difference
               between an actual cost and a standard cost.
                      When actual cost is higher than standard cost, the cost variance is adverse
                       (A) or unfavourable (U).
                      When actual cost is less than standard cost, the cost variance is favourable
                       (F).
               Different variances are calculated, relating to direct materials, direct labour,
               variable production overhead and fixed production overhead. (There are also
               sales variances. These are explained in a later section.)
               In a cost accounting system, cost variances are adjustments to the profit in an
               accounting period.
                      Favourable variances increase the reported profit.
                      Adverse variances reduce the reported profit.
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                                                                                Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               The method of calculating cost variances is similar for all variable production cost
               items (direct materials, direct labour and variable production overhead).
               A different method of calculating cost variances is required for fixed production
               overhead.
               Variances and performance reporting
               Variance reports are produced at the end of each control period (say, at the end
               of each month).
                      Large adverse variances indicate poor performance and the need for
                       control action by management.
                      Large favourable variances indicate unexpected good performance.
                       Management might wish to consider how this good performance can be
                       maintained in the future.
               Variances might be reported in a statement for the accounting period that
               reconciles the budgeted profit with the actual profit for the period. This statement
               is known as an operating statement.
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Performance management
3      DIRECT MATERIALS VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Direct materials: total cost variance
          Direct materials price variance
             Direct materials usage variance
             Alternative calculations
             Direct materials: possible causes of variances
       3.1 Direct materials: total cost variance
               The total direct material cost variance is the difference between the actual
               material cost in producing units in the period and the standard material cost of
               producing those units.
                 Illustration: Direct materials – total cost variance
                                                                                                          ₦
                     Standard material cost of actual production:
                     Actual units produced  Standard kgs per unit  Standard price per kg                 X
                     Actual material cost of actual production:
                     Actual units produced  Actual kgs per unit  Actual price per kg                    (X)
                                                                                                           X
               The variance is adverse (A) if actual cost is higher than the standard cost, and
               favourable (F) if actual cost is less than the standard cost.
                 Example: Direct material – Total cost variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000
                     Direct materials total cost variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                  ₦‘000
                     Standard: 1,000 units should cost (@ ₦5,000 per unit)                         5,000
                     Actual: 1,000 units did cost                                                 (4,608)
                     Total cost variance                                                              392 F
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                                                                                     Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               The direct materials total cost variance can be analysed into a price variance and
               a usage variance.
                      A price variance measures the difference between the actual price paid for
                       materials and the price that should have been paid (the standard price).
                      A usage variance measures the difference between the materials that were
                       used in production and the materials that should have been used (the
                       standard usage).
                 Practice question                                                                               2
                 A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
                 litre. The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore
                 ₦15.
                 In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
                 These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
                 Calculate the total direct material cost variance.
       3.2 Direct materials price variance
               The price variance may be calculated for the materials purchased or materials
               used. Usually it is calculated at the point of purchase as this allows the material
               inventory to be carried at standard cost.
                 Illustration: Direct materials – price variance
                                                                                                           ₦
                     Standard material cost of actual production:
                     Actual kgs purchased  Standard price per kg                                           X
                     Actual material cost of actual purchases
                     Actual kgs purchased  Actual price per kg                                            (X)
                                                                                                            X
                 Example: Direct materials – price variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000
                     Direct materials price variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                    ₦‘000
                     Standard: 4,850 kgs should cost (@ ₦1,000 per kg)                              4,850
                     Actual: 4,850 kgs did cost                                                    (4,608)
                     Materials price variance                                                          242 F
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Performance management
               If there are two or more direct materials, a price variance is calculated separately
               for each material.
                 Practice question                                                                               3
                 A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
                 litre. The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore
                 ₦15. In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
                 These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
                 Calculate the direct material price variance.
       3.3 Direct materials usage variance
               The usage variance is calculated by comparing the actual quantity of material
               used to make the actual production to the standard quantity that should have
               been used to produce those units. In other words, the actual usage of materials is
               compared with the standard usage for the actual number of units produced,
               The difference is the usage variance, measured as a quantity of materials. This is
               converted into a money value at the standard price for the material.
                 Illustration: Direct materials – Usage variance
                                                                                                          Kgs
                     Standard quantity of material needed to make the actual production                   X
                     Actual quantity of material used to make the actual production                        (X)
                     Usage variance (in kgs)                                                               X
                     Standard cost per kg (multiply by)                                                    X
                     Usage variance (₦)                                                                     X
                 Example: Direct materials – Usage variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000
                     Direct materials usage variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                    Kgs
                     Standard:
                       Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 5 kgs per unit)                       5,000
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                            (4,850)
                     Usage variance (kgs)                                                           150 F
                     Standard cost per kg                                                        ₦1,000
                     Usage variance (₦)                                                       ₦150,000 F
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Practice question                                                                          4
                 A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
                 litre.
                 The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore ₦15.
                 In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
                 These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
                 Calculate the direct materials usage variance.
       3.4 Alternative calculations
               Variances can be calculated in a number of ways. A useful approach is the
               following line by line approach.
                 Formula: Alternative method for calculating material variances
                       AQ purchased  AC         X
                                                           X   Price variance
                       AQ purchased  SC         X
                                                           X   Inventory movement
                       AQ used  SC              X
                                                           X   usage variance
                       SQ used  SC              X
                       Where:
                       AQ = Actual quantity
                       AC = Actual cost per kg
                       SC = Standard cost per kg
                       SQ = Standard quantity needed to make actual production
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Performance management
                 Example: Alternative method for calculating material variances (Lagos
                 Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000
                                                         ₦‘000           ₦‘000
                       AQ purchased  AC
                       4,850 kgs  ₦X per kg             4,608
                       AQ purchased  SC                                 242 (F) Price variance
                       4,850 kgs  ₦1,000 per kg         4,850
                       AQ used  SC                                      nil inventory movement
                       4,850 kgs  ₦1,000 per kg         4,850
                       SQ used  SC                                      150 (F) Usage variance
                       5,000 kgs  ₦1,000 per kg         5,000
                       SQ = 1,000 units  5 kgs per unit = 5,000 kgs
                 Practice question                                                                           5
                 A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
                 litre.
                 The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore ₦15.
                 In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
                 These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
                 Calculate the direct materials price and usage variances using the alternative
                 approach.
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                                                                                 Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       3.5 Direct materials: possible causes of variances
               When variances occur and they appear to be significant, management should
               investigate the reason for the variance. If the cause of the variance is something
               within the control of management, control action should be taken. Some of the
               possible causes of materials variances are listed below.
               Materials price variance: causes
               Possible causes of favourable materials price variances include:
                      Different suppliers were used and these charged a lower price (favourable
                       price variance) than the usual supplier.
                      Materials were purchased in sufficient quantities to obtain a bulk purchase
                       discount (a quantity discount), resulting in a favourable price variance.
                      Materials were bought that were of lower quality than standard and so
                       cheaper than expected.
               Possible causes of adverse materials price variances include:
                      Different suppliers were used and these charged a higher price (adverse
                       price variance) than the usual supplier.
                      Suppliers increased their prices by more than expected. (Higher prices
                       might be caused by an unexpected increase in the rate of inflation.)
                      There was a severe shortage of the materials, so that prices in the market
                       were much higher than expected.
                      Materials were bought that were better quality than standard and more
                       expensive than expected.
               Materials usage variance: causes
               Possible causes of favourable materials usage variances include:
                      Wastage rates were lower than expected.
                      Improvements in production methods resulted in more efficient usage of
                       materials (favourable usage variance).
               Possible causes of adverse materials usage variances include:
                      Wastage rates were higher than expected.
                      Poor materials handling resulted in a large amount of breakages (adverse
                       usage variance). Breakages mean that a quantity of materials input to the
                       production process is wasted.
                      Materials used were of cheaper quality than standard, with the result that
                       more materials had to be thrown away as waste.
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Performance management
4      DIRECT LABOUR VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Direct labour: total cost variance
          Direct labour rate variance
             Direct labour efficiency variance
             Idle time variance
             Alternative calculations
             Idle time variance where idle time is included in standard cost
             Direct labour: possible causes of variances
       4.1 Direct labour: total cost variance
               The total direct labour cost variance is the difference between the actual labour
               cost in producing units in the period and the standard labour cost of producing
               those units.
                 Illustration: Direct labour – total cost variance
                                                                                                             ₦
                     Standard labour cost of actual production:
                     Actual units produced  Standard hrs per unit  Standard rate per hr                     X
                     Actual labour cost of actual production:
                     Actual units produced  Actual hours per unit  Actual rate per hour                    (X)
                                                                                                              X
               The variance is adverse (A) if actual cost is higher than the standard cost, and
               favourable (F) if actual cost is less than the standard cost.
                 Example: Direct labour – Total cost variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦500 per hr) = ₦2,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Direct labour total cost variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                     ₦‘000
                     Standard: 1,000 units should cost (@ ₦2,000 per unit)                            2,000
                     Actual: 1,000 units did cost                                                    (2,121)
                     Total cost variance                                                                (121) A
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                                                                                      Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       The direct labour total cost variance can be analysed into a rate variance and an
       efficiency variance. These are calculated in a similar way to the direct materials price
       and usage variances.
              A rate variance measures the difference between the actual wage rate paid per
               labour hour and the rate that should have been paid (the standard rate of pay).
              An efficiency variance (or productivity variance) measures the difference between
               the time taken to make the production output and the time that should have been
               taken (the standard time).
       4.2 Direct labour rate variance
               The direct labour rate variance is calculated for the actual number of hours paid
               for.
               The actual labour cost of the actual hours paid for is compared with the standard
               cost for those hours. The difference is the labour rate variance.
                 Illustration: Direct labour – rate variance
                                                                                                            ₦
                     Standard labour cost of actual production:
                     Actual hours paid for  Standard rate per hour                                          X
                     Actual labour cost of actual production
                     Actual hours paid for  Actual rate per hour                                           (X)
                                                                                                             X
                 Example: Direct labour – rate variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦500 per hour) = ₦2,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Direct labour rate variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                     ₦‘000
                     Standard: 4,200 hours should cost (@ ₦500 per hour)                             2,100
                     Actual: 4,200 hours did cost                                                   (2,121)
                     Labour rate variance                                                                (21) A
               If there are two or more different types or grades of labour, each paid at a
               different standard rate per hour, a rate variance is calculated separately for each
               labour grade.
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Performance management
       4.3 Direct labour efficiency variance
               The direct labour efficiency variance is calculated for the hours used on the units
               produced.
               For the actual number of standard units produced, the actual hours worked is
               compared with the standard number of hours that should have been worked to
               produce the actual output. The difference is the efficiency variance, measured in
               hours. This is converted into a money value at the standard direct labour rate per
               hour.
                 Illustration: Direct labour – Efficiency variance
                                                                                                          Hours
                     Standard labour hours used to make the actual production                               X
                     Actual labour hours used to make the actual production                                 (X)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                             X
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                                    X
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                                 X
                 Example Direct labour – Efficiency variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦500 per hour) = ₦2,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                     Hours
                     Standard:
                       Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit)                       4,000
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                              (4,200)
                     Efficiency variance (hours) (A)                                                   (200) A
                     Standard rate per hour                                                           ₦500
                     Efficiency variance (₦) (A)                                               (₦100,000) A
                 Practice question                                                                                6
                 Product P234 has a standard direct labour cost per unit of:
                 0.5 hours × ₦12 per direct labour hour = ₦6 per unit.
                 During a particular month, 3,000 units of Product P234 were manufactured.
                 These took 1,400 hours to make and the direct labour cost was ₦16,200.
                 Calculate the total direct labour cost variance, the direct labour rate variance
                 and the direct labour efficiency variance for the month.
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                                                                                      Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       4.4 Idle time variance
               Idle time was explained in the previous chapter. Part of this explanation is
               repeated here for your convenience.
               Idle time occurs when the direct labour employees are being paid but have no
               work to do. The causes of idle time may be:
                      A breakdown in production, for example a machine breakdown that halts
                       the production process
                      Time spent waiting for work due to a bottleneck or hold-up at an earlier
                       stage in the production process
                      Running out of a vital direct material, and having to wait for a new delivery
                       of the materials from a supplier.
                      A lack of work to do due to a lack of customer orders.
               A feature of idle time is that it is recorded, and the hours ‘lost’ due to idle time are
               measured. Idle time variance is part of the efficiency variance.
               Sometimes idle time might be a feature of a production process for example
               where there may be bottlenecks in a process that might lead to idle time on a
               regular basis. In this case the expected idle time might be built into the standard
               cost.
                      If idle time is not built into the standard cost the idle time variance is always
                       adverse.
                      If it is built into the standard cost the idle time variance might be favourable
                       or adverse depending on whether the actual idle time is more or less than
                       the standard idle time for that level of production.
               Idle time not part of standard cost
               As stated above if the idle time is not included in the standard cost, any idle time
               is unexpected and leads to an adverse variance.
                 Illustration: Direct labour – idle time variance
                                                                                                         Hours
                     Actual hours paid for                                                                 X(X
                     Actual hours worked                                                                   )X
                     Idle time (hours)                                                                     X
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                                   X
                     Idle time (₦)
               Calculating the idle time variance will affect the calculation of the direct labour
               efficiency variance. If idle time occurs but is not recorded the idle time variance is
               part of the direct labour efficiency variance.
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Performance management
                 Example: Direct labour – idle time variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hours  ₦500 per kg) = ₦2,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours
                     Direct labour idle time variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                   Hours
                     Actual hours paid for                                                        4,200
                     Actual hours worked                                                          (4,100)
                     Idle time (hours)                                                              (100) A
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                          ₦500
                     Idle time (₦)                                                            (₦50,000) A
                     Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                   Hours
                     Standard:
                       Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit)                    4,000
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                           (4,100)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                    (100) A
                     Standard rate per hour                                                        ₦500
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                  (₦50,000) A
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                                                                                          Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       4.5 Alternative calculations
               The following shows the line by line approach for labour variances.
                 Formula: Alternative method for calculating labour variances
                       AH paid for  AR         X
                                                           X           Rate variance
                       AH paid for  SR         X
                                                           X           Idle time variance
                       AH worked  SR           X
                                                           X           Efficiency variance
                       SH worked  SR           X
                       Where:
                       AH = Actual hours
                       AR = Actual rate per hour
                       SR = Standard rate per hour
                       SH = Standard hours needed to make actual production
                 Example: Alternative method for                 calculating labour variances (Lagos
                 Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hours  ₦500 per kg) = ₦2,000 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours
                                                               ₦‘000            ₦‘000
                       AH paid for  AR
                       4,200 hours  ₦X per hour               2,121
                       AH paid for  SR                                         21 (A) Price variance
                       4,200 hours  ₦500 per hour             2,100
                       AH worked  SR                                           50 (A) Idle time
                       4,100 hours  ₦500 per hour             2,050
                       SH worked  SR                                           50 (A) Efficiency
                       4,000 hours  ₦500 per hour             2,000
                       SQ = 1,000 units  4 hours per unit = 4,000 hours
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                            7
                 Product P234 has a standard direct labour cost per unit of:
                 0.5 hours × ₦12 per direct labour hour = ₦6 per unit.
                 During a particular month, 3,000 units of Product P234 were manufactured.
                 These took 1,400 hours to make and the direct labour cost was ₦16,200.
                 Calculate the direct labour rate variance and the direct labour efficiency
                 variance for the month using the alternative approach.
       4.6 Idle time variance where idle time is included in standard cost
               Methods of including idle time in standard costs
               There are different ways of allowing for idle time in a standard cost.
                      Method 1. Include idle time as a separate element of the standard cost, so
                       that the standard cost of idle time is a part of the total standard cost per
                       unit.
                      Method 2. Allow for a standard amount of idle time in the standard hours
                       per unit for each product. The standard hours per unit therefore include an
                       allowance for expected idle time.
                 Example: Idle time in standard (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour rate = ₦500 per hour
                     A unit of production should take 3.6 hours to produce.
                     Expected idle time is 10% of total time paid for.
                     Therefore 3.6 hours is 90% of the time that must be paid for to make 1 unit.
                     4 hours must be paid for (3.6/90%) to make 1 unit).
                     Expected idle time is 0.4 hours (10% of 4 hours).
                     Idle time can be built into the standard as follows:
                     Method 1                                                                        ₦
                     Labour                3.6 hours  ₦500 per hour                                 1,800
                     Idle time             0.4 hours  ₦500 per hour                                   200
                                                                                                     2,000
                     Method 2                                                                         ₦
                     Labour                4 hours  ₦500 per hour                                   2,000
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                                                                                   Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               The two methods will result in the identification of the same overall variance for
               idle time plus labour efficiency but the split of the number may differ.
                 Example: Method 1 – idle time variance (Idle time included in standard as a
                 separate element) (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour rate = ₦500 per hour
                     A unit of production should take 3.6 hours to produce.
                     Expected idle time is 10% of total time paid for.
                     Therefore 3.6 hours is 90% of the time that must be paid for to make 1 unit.
                     4 hours must be paid for (3.6/90%) to make 1 unit).
                     Expected idle time is 0.4 hours (10% of 4 hours).
                     Idle time can be built into the standard as follows:
                     Method 1                                                                       ₦
                     Labour               3.6 hours  ₦500 per hour                                 1,800
                     Idle time            0.4 hours  ₦500 per hour                                   200
                                                                                                    2,000
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours
                     Direct labour idle time variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                 Hours
                     Expected idle time (1,000 units  0.4 hours per unit)                        400
                     Actual idle time (4,200 hours  4,100 hours)                                (100)
                     Idle time (hours)                                                            300           F
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                        ₦500
                     Idle time (₦)                                                            ₦150,000          F
                     Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                 Hours
                     Standard:
                     Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 3.6 hours per unit)                 3,600
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                        (4,100)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                 (500)          A
                     Standard rate per hour                                                      ₦500
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                              (₦250,000)            A
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Performance management
                 Example: Method 2 – idle time variance (Idle time allowed for as a standard
                 amount of idle time in the standard hours per unit for each product) (Lagos
                 Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard labour rate = ₦500 per hour
                     A unit of production should take 3.6 hours to produce.
                     Expected idle time is 10% of total time paid for.
                     Therefore 3.6 hours is 90% of the time that must be paid for to make 1 unit.
                     4 hours must be paid for (3.6/90%) to make 1 unit).
                     Expected idle time is 0.4 hours (10% of 4 hours).
                     Idle time can be built into the standard as follows:
                     Method 2                                                                         ₦
                     Labour               4 hours  ₦500 per hour                                    2,000
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours
                     Direct labour idle time variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                     Hours
                     Expected idle time (10% of 4,200 hours paid for)                                 420
                     Actual idle time (4,200 hours  4,100 hours)                                    (100)
                     Idle time (hours)                                                               320         F
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                           ₦500
                     Idle time (₦)                                                           ₦160,000            F
                     Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                  Hours
                     Standard:
                      Making 1,000 units should have used (4 hours per unit
                     less10% of the hours paid for = 4,000 – (10% of 4,200))                     3,580
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                         (4,100)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                  (520)          A
                     Standard rate per hour                                                       ₦500
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                  (₦260,000)         A
               In summary the idle time variance is part of the efficiency variance. Different
               methods result in a different split of the idle time variance and efficiency variance
               but the figures always sum to the same total.
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                                                                                         Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               Revisiting the previous examples:
                 Example: Sum of idle time and efficiency variances (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                                                           Idle time          Efficiency
                                                           variance           variance                 Total
                       Idle time not recorded                                100 (A)               100 (A)
                       Idle time recorded:
                         not part of standard cost          50 (A)              50 (A)               100 (A)
                         part of standard cost
                         (method 1)                        150 (F)             250 (A)               100 (A)
                         part of standard cost
                         (method 2)                        160 (F)             260 (A)               100 (A)
       4.7 Direct labour: possible causes of variances
               When labour variances appear significant, management should investigate the
               reason why they occurred, and take control measures where appropriate to
               improve the situation in the future. Possible causes of labour variances include
               the following.
               Possible causes of favourable labour rate variances include:
                      Using direct labour employees who were relatively inexperienced and new
                       to the job (favourable rate variance, because these employees would be
                       paid less than ‘normal’).
                      Actual pay increase turning out to be less than expected.
               Possible causes of adverse labour rate variances include:
                      An increase in pay for employees.
                      Working overtime hours paid at a premium above the basic rate.
                      Using direct labour employees who were more skilled and experienced
                       than the ‘normal’ and who are paid more than the standard rate per hour
                       (adverse rate variance).
               Possible causes of favourable labour efficiency variances include:
                      More efficient methods of working.
                      Good morale amongst the workforce and good management with the result
                       that the work force is more productive.
                      If incentive schemes are introduced to the workforce, this may encourage
                       employees to work more quickly and therefore give rise to a favourable
                       efficiency variance.
                      Using employees who are more experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
                       favourable efficiency variances as they are able to complete their work
                       more quickly than less-experienced colleagues.
               Possible causes of adverse labour efficiency variances include:
                      Using employees who are less experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
                       adverse efficiency variances.
                      An event causing poor morale.
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Performance management
5      VARIABLE PRODUCTION OVERHEAD VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Variable production overhead: total cost variance
          Variable production overhead expenditure variance
             Variable production overhead efficiency variance
             Alternative calculations
             Variable production overheads: possible causes of variances
       5.1 Variable production overhead: total cost variance
               The total variable production overhead cost variance is the difference between
               the actual variable production overhead cost in producing units in the period and
               the standard variable production overhead cost of producing those units.
                 Illustration: Variable production overhead – total cost variance
                                                                                                          ₦
                     Standard variable production overhead cost of actual production:
                     Actual units produced  Standard hrs per unit  Standard rate per hr                  X
                     Actual variable production overhead cost of actual production:
                     Actual units produced  Actual hours per unit  Actual rate per hour                 (X)
                                                                                                           X
               The variance is adverse (A) if actual cost is higher than the standard cost, and
               favourable (F) if actual cost is less than the standard cost.
                 Example: Variable production overhead – Total cost variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                     Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per hr) =
                     ₦800 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Variable production overhead = ₦945,000.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
                     Direct variable production overhead total cost variance is calculated as
                     follows:
                                                                                                    ₦‘000
                     Standard: 1,000 units should cost (@ ₦800 per unit)                              800
                     Actual: 1,000 units did cost                                                    (945)
                     Total cost variance                                                             (145) A
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                                                                                 Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       The variable production overhead total cost variance can be analysed into an
       expenditure variance (spending rate per hour variance) and an efficiency variance.
              The expenditure variance is similar to a materials price variance or a labour rate
               variance. It is the difference between actual variable overhead spending in the
               hours worked and what the spending should have been (the standard rate).
              The variable overhead efficiency variance in hours is the same as the labour
               efficiency variance in hours (excluding any idle time variance), and is calculated
               in a very similar way. It is the variable overhead cost or benefit from adverse or
               favourable direct labour efficiency variances.
       5.2 Variable production overhead expenditure variance
               It is normally assumed that variable production overheads are incurred during
               hours actively worked, but not during any hours of idle time.
                      The variable production overhead expenditure variance is calculated by
                       taking the actual number of hours worked.
                      The actual variable production overhead cost of the actual hours worked is
                       compared with the standard cost for those hours. The difference is the
                       variable production overhead expenditure variance.
               A variable production overhead expenditure variance is calculated as follows.
               Like the direct labour rate variance, it is calculated by taking the actual number of
               labour hours worked, since it is assumed that variable overhead expenditure
               varies with hours worked.
                 Illustration: Variable production overhead expenditure variance
                                                                                                       ₦
                     Standard variable production overhead cost of actual production:
                     Actual hours worked  Standard rate per hour                                       X
                     Actual variable production overhead cost of actual purchases
                     Actual hours worked  Actual rate per hour                                        (X)
                                                                                                        X
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Performance management
                 Example: Variable production overhead expenditure variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                     Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per hr) =
                     ₦800 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours at a variable overhead cost of ₦945,000.
                     Variable production overhead rate variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                     ₦‘000
                     Standard: 4,100 hours should cost (@ ₦200 per hour)                              820
                     Actual: 4,100 hours did cost                                                    (945)
                     Variable production overhead rate variance                                      (125) A
       5.3 Variable production overhead efficiency variance
               The variable production overhead efficiency variance in hours is exactly the same
               as the direct labour efficiency variance in hours.
               It is converted into a money value at the standard variable production overhead
               rate per hour.
                 Illustration: Variable production overhead – Efficiency variance
                                                                                                       Hours
                     Standard hours used to make the actual production                                   X
                     Actual hours used to make the actual production                                     (X)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                          X
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                                 X
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                              X
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                                                                                    Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Example Variable production overhead efficiency variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                     Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per kg) =
                     ₦800 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours at a variable overhead cost of ₦945,000.
                     Variable production overhead efficiency variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                   Hours
                     Standard:
                       Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit)                    4,000
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                           (4,100)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                    (100) A
                     Standard rate per hour                                                        ₦200
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                  (₦20,000) A
                 Practice question                                                                            8
                 Product P123 has a standard variable production overhead cost per unit of:
                 1.5 hours × ₦2 per direct labour hour = ₦3 per unit.
                 During a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
                 These took 2,780 hours to make and the variable production overhead cost
                 was ₦6,550.
                 Calculate the total variable production overhead cost variance, the variable
                 production overhead expenditure variance and the variable production
                 overhead efficiency variance for the month.
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Performance management
       5.4 Alternative calculations
               The following shows the line by line approach for variable production overhead
               variances.
                 Formula: Alternative method for calculating variable production overhead
                 variances
                       AH worked  AR           X
                                                          X         Rate variance
                       AH worked  SR           X
                                                          X         Efficiency variance
                       SH worked  SR           X
                       Where:
                       AH = Actual hours
                       AR = Actual rate per hour
                       SR = Standard rate per hour
                       SH = Standard hours needed to make actual production
                 Example: Alternative method for calculating variable production overhead
                 variances (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per kg) =
                     ₦800 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours at a variable overhead cost of ₦945,000.
                                                              ₦‘000           ₦‘000
                       AH worked  AR
                       4,100 hours  ₦X per hour              945
                       AH worked  SR                                         125 (A) Expenditure
                       4,100 hours  ₦200 per hour            820
                       SH worked  SR                                         20 (A) Efficiency
                       4,000 hours  ₦200 per hour            800
                       SH = 1,000 units  4 hours per unit = 4,000 hours
© Emile Woolf International                         247               The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Practice question                                                                         9
                 Product P123 has a standard variable production overhead cost per unit of:
                 1.5 hours × ₦2 per direct labour hour = ₦3 per unit.
                 During a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
                 These took 2,780 hours to make and the variable production overhead cost
                 was ₦6,550.
                 Calculate the variable production overhead expenditure variance and the
                 variable production overhead efficiency variance for the month using the
                 alternative approach.
       5.5 Variable production overhead: possible causes of variances
               Possible causes of favourable variable production overhead expenditure
               variances include:
                      Forecast increase in costs not materialising
               Possible causes of adverse variable production overhead variances include:
                      Unexpected increases in energy prices
               Anything that causes labour efficiency variance will have an impact on variable
               production overhead efficiency variances as variable production overhead is
               incurred as the labour force carries out production.
               Possible causes of favourable variable production overhead efficiency variances
               include:
                      More efficient methods of working.
                      Good morale amongst the workforce and good management with the result
                       that the work force is more productive.
                      If incentive schemes are introduced to the workforce, this may encourage
                       employees to work more quickly and therefore give rise to a favourable
                       efficiency variance.
                      Using employees who are more experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
                       favourable efficiency variances as they are able to complete their work
                       more quickly than less-experienced colleagues.
               Possible causes of adverse variable production overhead efficiency variances
               include:
                      Using employees who are less experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
                       adverse efficiency variances.
                      An event causing poor morale.
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Performance management
6      FIXED PRODUCTION OVERHEAD COST VARIANCES: ABSORPTION
       COSTING
         Section overview
             Over/under absorption
          Total fixed production overhead cost variance
          Fixed production overhead expenditure variance
             Fixed production overhead volume variance
             Fixed production overhead efficiency and capacity variances
             Fixed production overheads: possible causes of variances
       6.1 Over/under absorption
               Variances for fixed production overheads are different from variances for variable
               costs.
               With standard absorption costing, the standard cost per unit is a full production
               cost, including an amount for absorbed fixed production overhead. Every unit
               produced is valued at standard cost.
               This means that production overheads are absorbed into production costs at a
               standard cost per unit produced. This standard fixed cost per unit is derived from
               a standard number of direct labour hours per unit and a fixed overhead rate per
               hour.
               The total fixed overhead cost variance is the total amount of under-absorbed or
               over-absorbed overheads, where overheads are absorbed at the standard fixed
               overhead cost per unit.
               It was explained in an earlier chapter that the total under- or over-absorption of
               fixed overheads can be analysed into an expenditure variance and a volume
               variance.
               The total volume variance can be analysed even further in standard absorption
               costing, into a fixed overhead capacity variance and a fixed overhead efficiency
               variance.
               Fixed overhead variances are as follows:
                 Illustration: Analysis of fixed production overhead variances
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       6.2 Total fixed production overhead cost variance
               The total fixed overhead cost variance is the amount of:
                      under-absorbed fixed production overhead (= adverse variance) or
                      over-absorbed fixed production overhead (= favourable variance).
               Overheads are absorbed at a standard fixed cost per unit produced, not at
               standard rate per hour.
                 Illustration: Fixed production overhead – total cost variance (over/under
                 absorption)
                                                                                                        ₦
                     Fixed production overhead absorbed in the period:
                     Actual units produced  Fixed production overhead per unit                          X
                     Actual fixed production overhead incurred in the period                            (X)
                     Total fixed production overhead variance (Over/(under) absorption)                  X
               The total fixed production overhead cost variance can be analysed into an
               expenditure variance and a volume variance. Together, these variances explain
               the reasons for the under- or over-absorption.
                 Example: Fixed production overhead – total cost variance (over/under absorption)
                 (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Budgeted fixed production overhead                                  ₦2,880,000
                     Budgeted production hours:
                     = Budgeted production volume  Standard hours per unit
                     = 1,200 units  4 hours per unit                                    4,800 hours
                     Overhead absorption rate ₦2,880,000/4,800 hours                    ₦600 per hour
                     Standard fixed production overhead per unit
                     = 4 hours  ₦600 per hour                                         ₦2,400 per unit
                     Actual fixed production overhead                                    ₦2,500,000
                     Actual production                                                    1,000 units
                     The total cost variance for fixed production overhead (over/under absorption)
                     is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                ₦‘000
                     Fixed production overhead absorbed in the period:
                     = Actual units produced  Fixed production overhead per unit
                     = 1,000 units  ₦2,400 per unit                                             2,400
                     Actual fixed production overhead incurred in the period                    (2,500)
                     Under absorption                                                              (100) A
               The amount of fixed production overhead absorption rate is a function of the
               budgeted fixed production overhead expenditure and the budgeted production
               volume.
               The total variance can be explained in these terms.
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Performance management
       6.3 Fixed production overhead expenditure variance
               A fixed production overhead expenditure variance is very easy to calculate. It is
               simply the difference between the budgeted fixed production overhead
               expenditure and actual fixed production overhead expenditure.
                 Illustration: Fixed production overhead – expenditure variance
                                                                                                          ₦
                     Budgeted fixed production overhead                                                  X
                     Actual fixed production overhead incurred                                           (X)
                     Fixed production overhead expenditure variance                                       X
               An adverse expenditure variance occurs when actual fixed overhead expenditure
               exceeds the budgeted fixed overhead expenditure.
               A favourable expenditure variance occurs when actual fixed overhead
               expenditure is less than budget.
                 Example: Fixed production overhead – expenditure variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                                                                                                  ₦‘000
                     Budgeted fixed production overhead                                           2,880
                     Actual fixed production overhead                                            (2,500)
                     Fixed production overhead expenditure variance                                  380 F
               Fixed overhead expenditure variances can be calculated, for control reporting, for
               other overheads as well as production overheads. For example:
                      an administration fixed overheads expenditure variance is the difference
                       between budgeted and actual fixed administration overhead costs
                      a sales and distribution fixed overhead expenditure variance is the
                       difference between budgeted and actual fixed sales and distribution
                       overhead costs
       6.4 Fixed production overhead volume variance
               The fixed production overhead volume variance measures the amount of fixed
               overheads under- or over-absorbed because of the fact that actual production
               volume differs from the budgeted production volume.
               The volume variance is measured first of all in either units of output or standard
               hours of the output units.
               The volume variance in units (or standard hours of those units) is converted into
               a money value, as appropriate, at the standard fixed overhead cost per unit (or
               the standard fixed overhead rate per standard hour produced).
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                                                                                Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               Illustration: Fixed production overhead – volume variance
                                                                                                 Units
                   Actual number of units produced                                                 X(X
                   Budgeted production                                                             )X
                   Fixed production overhead volume variance (units)                                X
                   Standard absorption rate per unit                                                X
                   Fixed production overhead volume variance (₦)
                 Example Fixed production overhead – volume variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                     Budgeted fixed production overhead                                ₦2,880,000
                     Budgeted production hours:
                     = Budgeted production volume  Standard hours per unit
                     = 1,200 units  4 hours per unit                                  4,800 hours
                                               ₦2,880,000
                     Overhead absorption rate        /4,800 hours                     ₦600 per hour
                     Standard fixed production overhead per unit
                     = 4 hours  ₦600 per hour                                       ₦2,400 per unit
                     Actual fixed production overhead                                  ₦2,500,000
                     Actual production                                                  1,000 units
                     The volume variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                Units
                     Actual number of units produced                                            1,000
                     Budgeted production                                                       (1,200)
                     Fixed production overhead volume variance (units)                           (200) A
                     Fixed production overhead per unit                                      ₦2,400
                     Fixed production overhead volume variance (₦)                        ₦480,000 A
                 Practice questions                                                                      10
                 A company budgeted to make 5,000 units of a single standard product in
                 Year 1.
                 Budgeted direct labour hours are 10,000 hours.
                 Budgeted fixed production overhead is ₦40,000.
                 Actual production in Year 1 was 5,200 units, and fixed production overhead
                 was ₦40,500.
                 Calculate the total fixed production overhead cost variance, the fixed
                 overhead expenditure variance and the fixed overhead volume variance for
                 the year.
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Performance management
       6.5 Fixed production overhead efficiency and capacity variances
               Any volume variance might be due to two reasons:
                      The company has worked a different number of hours than budgeted. They
                       have operated at a different capacity.
                      During the hours worked the company has operated at a different level of
                       efficiency to that budgeted.
               The fixed production overhead volume variance can be analysed into a fixed
               overhead efficiency variance and a fixed overhead capacity variance.
               Fixed production overhead efficiency variance
               This is exactly the same, in hours, as the direct labour efficiency variance and the
               variable production overhead efficiency variance.
               It is converted into a money value at the standard fixed overhead rate per hour.
                 Illustration: Fixed production overhead – Efficiency variance
                                                                                                       Hours
                     Standard hours used to make the actual production                                   X
                     Actual hours used to make the actual production                                     (X)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                         X
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                                X
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                              X
                 Example: Fixed production overhead efficiency variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                     Standard fixed production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦600 per hr) =
                     ₦2,400 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
                     Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
                     Labour hours worked: 4,100
                     Fixed production overhead efficiency variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                   Hours
                     Standard:
                     Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit)                        4,000
                     Actual: Making 1,000 units did use                                             (4,100)
                     Efficiency variance (hours)                                                     (100) A
                     Standard rate per hour                                                          ₦600
                     Efficiency variance (₦)                                                    (₦60,000) A
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               Fixed production overhead capacity variance
               This is the difference between the budgeted and actual hours worked (excluding
               any idle time hours). It is converted into a money value at the standard fixed
               overhead rate per hour.
                 Illustration: Fixed production overhead – Capacity variance
                                                                                                     Hours
                     Actual number of hours worked                                                     X
                     Budgeted hours to be worked                                                       (X)
                     Capacity variance (hours)                                                         X
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                              X
                     Capacity variance (₦)                                                              X
                 Example: Fixed production overhead capacity variance (Lagos Manufacturing
                 Limited)
                     Budgeted fixed production overhead                                  ₦2,880,000
                     Budgeted production hours:
                     = Budgeted production volume  Standard hours per unit
                     = 1,200 units  4 hours per unit                                    4,800 hours
                                                 ₦2,880,000
                     Overhead absorption rate        /4,800 hours                       ₦600 per hour
                     Standard fixed production overhead per unit
                     = 4 hours  ₦600 per hour                                         ₦2,400 per unit
                     Actual fixed production overhead                                    ₦2,500,000
                     Actual production                                                    1,000 units
                     The fixed production overhead capacity variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                Hours
                     Actual number of hours worked                                             4,100
                     Budgeted hours to be worked                                              (4,800)
                     Capacity variance (hours)                                                  (700) A
                     Standard rate per hour (multiply by)                                      ₦600
                     Capacity variance y variance (₦)                                     (₦420,000) A
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Performance management
                 Practice questions                                                                       11
                 A company budgeted to make 5,000 units of a single standard product in
                 Year 1.
                 Budgeted direct labour hours are 10,000 hours.
                 Budgeted fixed production overhead is ₦40,000.
                 Actual production in Year 1 was 5,200 units in 10,250 hours of work, and
                 fixed production overhead was ₦40,500.
                 Calculate the fixed overhead efficiency variance and the fixed overhead
                 capacity variance for the year.
       6.6 Fixed production overheads: possible causes of variances
               Some of the possible causes of fixed production overhead variances include the
               following.
               Fixed overhead expenditure variance
                      Poor control over overhead spending (adverse variance) or good control
                       over spending (favourable variance).
                      Poor budgeting for overhead spending. If the budget for overhead
                       expenditure is unrealistic, there will be an expenditure variance due to poor
                       planning rather than poor expenditure control.
                      Unplanned increases or decreases in items of expenditure for fixed
                       production overheads, for example, an unexpected increase in factory rent.
               Fixed overhead volume variance
               A fixed overhead volume variance can be explained by anything that made actual
               output volume different from the budgeted volume. The reasons could be:
                      Efficient working by direct labour: a favourable labour efficiency variance
                       results in a favourable fixed overhead efficiency variance.
                      Working more hours or less hours than budgeted (capacity variance).
                      An unexpected increase or decrease in demand for a product, with the
                       result that longer hours were worked (adverse capacity variance).
                      Strike action by the workforce, resulting in a fall in output below budgeted
                       output (adverse capacity variance).
                      Extensive breakdowns in machinery, resulting in lost production (adverse
                       capacity variance).
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                                                                                      Chapter 7: Variance analysis
7      SALES VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Sales variances: Introduction
          Sales price variance
             Sales volume variance
             Sales: possible causes of variances
       7.1 Sales variances: Introduction
               Sales variances, unlike cost variances, are not recorded in a standard costing
               system of cost accounts (in the cost ledger). However, sales variances are
               included in variance reports to management.
               They help to reconcile actual profit with budgeted profit.
               They help management to assess the sales performance.
               There are two sales variances:
                      a sales price variance; and
                      a sales volume variance
       7.2 Sales price variance
               A sales price variance shows the difference between:
                      the actual sales prices achieved for items that were sold, and
                      their standard sales price
               To calculate this variance, you should take the actual items sold, and compare
               the actual sales revenue with the standard selling prices for the items. This
               compares the revenue actually generated to the revenue that should have been
               generated if the items were sold at the standard selling price per unit.
                 Illustration: Sales price variance
                                                                                                            ₦
                     Standard revenue for actual sales
                     Actual sales  Standard selling price per unit                                          X
                     Actual revenue
                     Actual sales  Actual selling price per unit                                           (X)
                                                                                                             X
               There is a favourable sales price variance if units were sold for more than their
               standard sales price, and an adverse variance if sales prices were below the
               standard price.
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                 Example: Sales price variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                    1,000 units
                     Budgeted selling price per unit                                           ₦15,000
                     Actual sales volume                                                     900 units
                     Actual revenue                                                         ₦12,600,000
                     Sales price variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                    ₦‘000
                     Standard revenue for actual sales
                     900 units  ₦15,000 per unit                                                  13,500
                     Actual revenue
                     Actual sales  Actual selling price per unit                                 (12,600)
                     Sales price variance                                                              900 A
       7.3 Sales volume variance
               A sales volume variance shows the effect on profit of the difference between the
               actual sales volume and the budgeted sales volume.
               In a standard absorption costing system, the sales volume variance might be
               called a sales volume profit variance.
               The variance is calculated by comparing the actual number of units sold (actual
               sales volume) to the number of units expected to be sold when the original
               budget was drafted (budgeted sales volume).
               This is then expressed as a money value by multiplying it by the standard profit
               per unit.
                 Illustration: Sales volume variance
                                                                                                          Units
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                                  X
                     Actual sales volume                                                                    (X)
                     Sales volume variance (units)                                                          X
                     Standard profit per unit (multiply by)                                                 X
                     Sales volume variance (₦)                                                               X
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Example: Sales volume variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                1,000 units
                     Budgeted selling price per unit                                       ₦15,000
                     Standard cost per unit (from the standard cost card)                  ₦10,200
                     Therefore, standard profit per unit                                    ₦4,800
                     Actual sales volume                                                   900 units
                     Actual revenue                                                     ₦12,600,000
                     Sales volume variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                Units
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                     1,000
                     Actual sales volume                                                         900
                     Sales volume variance (units)                                                (100) A
                     Standard profit per unit (multiply by)                                   ₦4,800
                     Sales volume variance                                                (₦480,000) A
               The volume variance is favourable if actual sales volume is higher than the
               budgeted volume and adverse if the actual sales volume is below budget.
               There is an alternative method of calculating the sales volume variance, which
               produces exactly the same figure for the variance.
                 Practice question                                                                        12
                 A company budgets to sell 7,000 units of Product P456. It uses a standard
                 absorption costing system. The standard sales price of Product P456 is
                 ₦50 per unit and the standard cost per unit is ₦42.
                 Actual sales were 7,200 units, which sold for ₦351,400.
                 Calculate the sales price variance and sales volume variance.
       7.4 Sales: possible causes of variances
               Possible causes of sales variances include the following:
               Sales price variance
                      Actual increases in prices charged for products were higher or less than
                       expected due to market conditions.
                      Actual sales prices were less than standard because major customers were
                       given an unplanned price discount.
                      Competitors reduced their prices, forcing the company to reduce the prices
                       of its own products.
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Performance management
               Sales volume variance
                      Actual sales demand was more or less than expected.
                      The sales force worked well and achieved more sales than budgeted.
                      An advertising campaign had more success than expected.
                      A competitor went into liquidation, and the company attracted some of the
                       former competitor’s customers.
                      The products that the company makes and sells are going out of fashion
                       earlier than expected; therefore the sales volume variance was adverse.
8      INTERRELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN VARIANCES
         Section overview
             The nature of interrelationships between variances
             Sales price and sales volume
             Materials price and usage
             Labour rate and efficiency
             Labour rate and variable overhead efficiency
          Capacity and efficiency
          Footnote: the importance of reliable standard costs
       8.1 The nature of interrelationships between variances
               Some causes of individual variances have already been listed.
               The reasons for variances might also be connected, and two or more variances
               might arise from the same cause. This is known as an interrelationship between
               two variances.
               For example, one variance might be favourable and another variance might be
               adverse. Taking each variance separately, the favourable variance might suggest
               good performance and the adverse variance might suggest bad performance.
               However, the two variances might be inter-related, and the favourable variance
               and the adverse variance might have the same cause. When this happens,
               management should look at the two variances together, in order to assess their
               significance and decide whether control action is needed.
               Examples of interrelationships between variances are given below.
       8.2 Sales price and sales volume
               A favourable sales price variance and an adverse sales volume variance might
               have the same cause. If a company increases its selling prices above the
               standard price, the sales price variance will be favourable, but sales demand
               might fall and the sales volume variance would be adverse.
               Similarly, in order to sell more products a company might decide to reduce its
               selling prices. There would be an adverse sales price variance due to the
               reduction in selling prices, but there should also be an increase in sales and a
               favourable sales volume variance.
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       8.3 Materials price and usage
               A materials price variance and usage variance might be inter-related. For
               example, if a company decides to use a material for production that is more
               expensive than the normal or standard material, but easier to use and better in
               quality, there will be an adverse price variance. However a consequence of
               using better materials might be lower wastage. If there is less wastage, there will
               be a favourable material usage variance. Therefore, using a different quality of
               material can result in an adverse price variance and a favourable usage variance.
       8.4 Labour rate and efficiency
               If there is a change in the grade of workers used to do some work, both the rate
               and efficiency variances may be affected.
               For example, if a lower grade of labour is used instead of the normal higher
               grade:
                      there should be a favourable rate variance because the workers will be paid
                       less than the standard rate
                      however the lower grade of labour may work less efficiently and take longer
                       to produce goods than the normal higher grade of labour would usually
                       take. If the lower grade of labour takes longer, then this will give rise to an
                       adverse efficiency variance.
               Therefore the change in the grade of labour used results in two ‘opposite’
               variances, an adverse efficiency variance and a favourable rate variance.
               When inexperienced employees are used, they might also waste more materials
               than more experienced employees would, due to mistakes that they make in their
               work. The result might be not only adverse labour efficiency, but also adverse
               materials usage.
       8.5 Labour rate and variable overhead efficiency
               When a production process operates at a different level of efficiency the true cost
               of that difference is the sum of any costs associated with labour hours. Therefore,
               the issues described above also affect the variable overhead efficiency variance.
       8.6 Capacity and efficiency
               If a production process operates at a higher level of efficiency that might mean
               that it does not have to operate for as long to produce the budgeted production
               volume. The favourable fixed production overhead efficiency variance would
               cause an adverse fixed production overhead capacity variance.
               The reverse is also true. If a production process operates at a lower level of
               efficiency that might mean that it has to operate for longer than was budgeted.
               The adverse efficiency fixed production overhead variance would cause a
               favourable fixed production overhead capacity variance.
       8.7 Footnote: the importance of reliable standard costs
               It is important to remember that the value of variances as control information for
               management depends on the reliability and accuracy of the standard costs. If the
               standard costs are inaccurate, comparisons between actual cost and standard
               cost will have no meaning. Adverse or favourable variances might be caused by
               inaccurate standard costs rather than by inefficient or efficient working.
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                                                                              Chapter 7: Variance analysis
9      RECONCILING BUDGETED AND ACTUAL PROFIT: STANDARD
       ABSORPTION COSTING
         Section overview
             Purpose of an operating statement
             Format of an operating statement
       9.1 Purpose of an operating statement
               A management report called an operating statement might be prepared, showing
               how the difference between budgeted and actual profit is explained by the sales
               variances and cost variances. An operating statement reconciles the profit that
               was expected in the budget with the actual profit that was achieved.
               The purpose of an operating statement is to report all variances to management,
               so that management can assess the effect they are having on profitability. Senior
               management can also use an operating statement to assess the success of
               junior managers in controlling costs and achieving sales.
       9.2 Format of an operating statement
               In a standard absorption costing system, an operating statement can be set out
               as follows.
               This is best demonstrated with an example. The variances calculated for Lagos
               Manufacturing Limited will be used.
                 Example: Operating statement for Lagos Manufacturing Limited (standard total
                 absorption costing)
                                                           ₦‘000     ₦‘000      ₦‘000
                 Budgeted profit                                                          4,800
                 Sales price variance                                                      (900)        (A)
                 Sales volume variance                                                     (480)        (A)
                                                                                          3,420
                 Cost variances                                (F)            (A)
                 Direct materials price                        242
                 Direct materials usage                        150
                 Direct labour rate                                            21
                 Direct labour efficiency                                      50
                 Direct labour idle time                                       50
                 Variable production o’head expenditure                       125
                 Variable production o’head efficiency                         20
                 Fixed production overhead expenditure         380
                 Fixed production overhead efficiency                          60
                 Fixed production overhead capacity                           420
                 Total cost variances                          772            746             26        F
                 Actual profit                                                             3,446
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Performance management
               Note: Other overhead expenditure variances, assuming administration
               overheads and selling and distribution overheads are all fixed costs, are the
               difference between:
                      budgeted other overheads expenditure, and
                      actual other overheads expenditure.
               In a system of absorption costing:
                      The operating statement begins with the budgeted profit.
                      The sales variances are shown next. These are added to (favourable
                       variances) or subtracted from (adverse variances), and the resulting figure
                       is shown as a sub-total. This figure is the actual sales revenue in the period
                       minus the standard production cost of sales.
                      The cost variances are listed next. They can be listed in any format, but
                       showing separate columns for favourable variances and adverse variances
                       helps to make the statement clear to the reader. Adverse variances reduce
                       the profit and favourable variances add to profit.
                      The cost variances are added up and then shown as a total.
                      The actual profit is shown as the final figure, at the bottom of the operating
                       statement.
10 STANDARD MARGINAL COSTING
         Section overview
             Standard marginal costing
             Standard marginal costing variances
             Standard marginal costing operating statement
       10.1        Standard marginal costing
                   The Lagos Manufacturing Limited example used in the earlier sections was
                   based on the company using standard total absorption costing.
                   This sections looks at what happens when a company uses standard marginal
                   costing instead.
                   Under marginal costing units produced and finished goods inventory are
                   valued at standard variable production cost, not standard full production cost.
                   This means that the budgeted profit will differ from that found for the same
                   scenario under total absorption costing.
                   Marginal costing variances are calculated exactly as before with two important
                   differences:
                             the sales volume variance is expressed as a monetary amount by
                              multiplying the volume variance expressed in units by the standard
                              contribution per unit rather than the standard profit per unit; and
                             there is no fixed overhead volume variance.
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                   The Lagos Manufacturing Limited example will be used to illustrate the
                   approach.
                 Example: Standard cost card (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                                                                                                ₦
                       Direct materials            5 kg @ ₦1,000 per kg                       5,000
                       Direct labour               4 hours @ ₦500 per hour                    2,000
                       Variable overhead           4 hours @ ₦200 per hour                      800
                       Marginal production cost                                                7,800
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Performance management
               Fixed budget
               Here is the flexed budget to show the detailed calculation of the budgeted profit.
                 Example: Flexed budget for a period
                 Lagos Manufacturing Limited has budgeted to make 1,200 units and sell 1,000
                 units in January.
                 The selling price per unit is budgeted at ₦15,000.
                 The standard costs of production are as given in the previous example.
                 The budget prepared for January is as follows:
                       Unit sales                                                              1,000
                       Unit production                                                         1,200
                       Budget                                                                   ₦‘000
                       Sales               (1,000 units  15,000)                              15,000
                       Cost of sales:
                       Materials           (1,200 units ₦5,000 per unit)                        6,000
                       Labour              (1,200 units  ₦2,000 per unit)                       2,400
                       Variable overhead   (1,200 units  ₦800 per unit)                           960
                                                                                                 9,360
                       Closing inventory   (200 units  ₦7,800 per unit)                        (1,560)
                       Cost of sales       (1,000 units  ₦7,800 per unit)                      (7,800)
                                                                                                 7,200
                       Fixed overhead                                                           (2,880)
                       Profit                                                                    4,320
               This figure could have been calculated more easily as follows:
                 Example: Fixed budget for a period
                                                                                                ₦‘000
                       Budgeted contribution
                       (1,000 units  (₦15,000  ₦7,800)                                        7,200
                       Less: Budgeted fixed production overhead                                (2,880)
                       Profit                                                                   4,320
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
               Flexed budget
               Here are profit statements redrafted to marginal cost basis.
                 Example: Fixed budget, flexed budget and actual results for a period. (Lagos
                 Manufacturing Limited)
                                                Fixed                 Flexed
                                                budget                budget                    Actual
                       Unit sales                1,000                 900                        900
                       Unit production           1,200                1,000                      1,000
                                                Budget                Actual                    Actual
                       Budget                   ₦‘000                 ₦‘000                     ₦‘000
                       Sales                     15,000               13,500                     12,600
                       Cost of sales:
                       Materials                  6,000                 5,000                      4,608
                       Labour                     2,400                 2,000                      2,121
                       Variable overhead            960                   800                        945
                                                  9,360                 7,800                      7,674
                       Closing inventory         (1,560)                 (780)                      (780)
                       Cost of sales            (10,200)               (7,020)                    (6,894)
                                                                        6,480                      5,706
                       Fixed overhead             (2,880)              (2,400)                    (2,500)
                       Profit                     4,800                 4,080                      3,206
                       Note:
                       The actual closing inventory of 100 units is measured at the standard
                       marginal production cost of ₦7,800 per unit. This is what happens in
                       standard costing systems.
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Performance management
       10.2        Standard marginal costing variances
                   Identical variances
                   All variable cost variances are the same under standard total absorption
                   costing and standard marginal costing.
                   Sales price variance is the same under standard total absorption costing and
                   standard marginal costing.
                   Fixed overhead variances
                   Only the fixed production overhead expenditure variance is relevant and this is
                   calculated in the same way as seen previously.
                   There is no fixed production overhead volume variance
                   Sales volume variance
                   The sales volume variance shows the effect on contribution of the difference
                   between the actual sales volume and the budgeted sales volume.
                   The variance is calculated by comparing the actual number of units sold
                   (actual sales volume) to the number of units expected to be sold when the
                   original budget was drafted (budgeted sales volume).
                   This is then expressed as a money value by multiplying it by the standard
                   contribution per unit.
                 Illustration: Sales volume variance (marginal costing)
                                                                                                         Units
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                                 X
                     Actual sales volume                                                                   (X)
                     Sales volume variance (units)                                                         X
                     Standard contribution per unit (multiply by)                                          ₦X
                     Sales volume variance                                                                 ₦X
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                                                                                      Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Example: Sales volume variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                    1,000 units
                     Budgeted selling price per unit                                           ₦15,000
                     Standard cost per unit (from the standard cost card)                      ₦7,800
                     Therefore, standard contribution per unit                                  ₦7,200
                     Sales volume variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                                    Units
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                            1,000
                     Actual sales volume900
                     Sales volume variance (units)                                                       100 A
                     Standard contribution per unit (multiply by)                                   ₦7,200
                     Sales volume variance                                                       ₦720,000 A
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Performance management
       10.3        Standard marginal costing operating statement
                   With standard marginal costing, an operating statement is presented in a
                   different way from an operating statement with standard absorption costing.
                   Budgeted contribution is reconciled with actual contribution, by means of the
                   sales price variance, sales volume variance and variable cost variances.
                   Fixed cost expenditure variances are presented in a separate part of the
                   operating statement.
                 Example: Operating statement for Lagos Manufacturing Limited (standard
                 marginal costing)
                                                         ₦‘000     ₦‘000    ₦‘000
                 Budgeted contibution                                                        7,200
                 Sales price variance                                                         (900)       (A)
                 Sales volume variance                                                        (720)       (A)
                                                                                             5,580
                 Cost variances                                  (F)            (A)
                 Direct materials price                          242
                 Direct materials usage                          150
                 Direct labour rate                                              21
                 Direct labour efficiency                                        50
                 Direct labour idle time                                         50
                 Variable production o’head expenditure                         125
                 Variable production o’head efficiency                           20
                 Total cost variances                            392            266            126        F
                                                                                             5,706
                 Budgeted fixed production overhead                           2,880
                 Fixed production overhead expenditure
                 variance                                                      (380) F
                 Less: Actual fixed production overheads                                    (2,500)
                 Actual profit                                                              3,206
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
11 PRODUCTIVITY, EFFICIENCY AND CAPACITY RATIOS
         Section overview
          Resource utilisation
          Efficiency ratio
             Capacity utilisation ratio
             Production volume ratio (activity ratio)
             Summary of example
             Link to variance analysis
       11.1 Resource utilisation
               Resource utilisation is about how effectively resources have been used to
               generate output. It is also described as productivity.
               Performance measures are based on comparisons of the actual hours used to
               make the actual production, the number of hours that were expected to be used
               to make the actual production and the total number of hours that were expected
               to be used in the period.
               Three ratios are used to provide information on resource utilisation. These ratios
               are related to the fixed overhead variances which were explained earlier.
               The three ratios are:
                      Efficiency ratio: This is concerned with how well the actual hours worked
                       have been used to generate output.
                      Capacity ratio: This is concerned with how many hours were worked
                       compared to the hours that should have been worked.
                      Production volume ratio: This is a function of the other two ratios.
                       Differences between efficiency of the hours worked compared to budgeted
                       efficiency and the number of the hours worked compared to the budgeted
                       hours, result in volume of output being different to that budgeted.
               Link between the ratios
               The three ratios are linked as follows:
               Formula: Relationship between the three ratios
                              Efficiency ratio  Capacity ratio = Production volume ratio
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Performance management
       11.2 Efficiency ratio)
                 Formula: Efficiency ratio
                       Efficiency           Expected hours to produce the actual output
                                  =                                                                100
                         ratio               Actual hours to produce the actual output
                 or (stated in terms of standard hours):
                       Efficiency           Standard hours to produce the actual output
                                  =                                                                100
                         ratio               Actual hours to produce the actual output
                 Example: Efficiency ratio
                 During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
                 production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
                 The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
                 The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
                 Therefore:
                                                                                         Hours
                       Actual hours to make actual production                           10,000
                       Expected time to make the actual production
                       (3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit)                  10,800
                       Total number of hours expected to be used
                       (4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit)                  12,000
                       The efficiency ratio is calculated as follows:
                                                          10,800 hours
                              Efficiency ratio     =                           100 = 108%
                                                          10,000 hours
               The efficiency ratio expresses the number of hours that the actual production
               should have taken (according to the budget) as a percentage of the actual
               number of hours taken.
                      When output is produced in exactly the time expected, the efficiency ratio is
                       100%.
                      The efficiency ratio is above 100% when output is produced more quickly
                       (i.e. taking fewer hours) than expected.
                      The efficiency ratio is below 100% when output is produced more slowly
                       (i.e. taking more hours) than expected.
               Efficiency ratio and idle time
               Employees are not always engaged in active work during the time they attend the
               work place. Employees might be ‘idle’ for several reasons, such as waiting for the
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               next work to come along, or because of a halt in production due to a machine
               breakdown.
               When a labour efficiency ratio is calculated, the actual hours worked should
               exclude any hours recorded as idle time.
       11.3 Capacity utilisation ratio
               The capacity utilisation ratio measures the actual hours actively working as a
               percentage of the total hours available for work.
               The total number of hours available for work is known as capacity. Capacity
               might be expressed in terms of the budgeted hours or the actual hours that were
               available for working. (It is usually expressed as the budgeted number of hours).
               Capacity ratio
                 Formula: Capacity ratio
                       Capacity                        Actual hours worked
                        ratio
                                        =                                                         100
                                                   Total hours available for work
                 Example: Capacity ratio
                 During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
                 production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
                 The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
                 The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
                 Therefore:
                                                                                        Hours
                       Actual hours to make actual production                          10,000
                       Expected time to make the actual production
                       (3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit)                 10,800
                       Total number of hours expected to be used
                       (4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit)                 12,000
                       The capacity ratio is calculated as follows:
                                                        10,000 hours
                              Capacity ratio   =                                100 = 83.33%
                                                        12,000 hours
               Capacity expressed as actual hours
               The information provided allows the calculation of capacity as the actual hours
               that should have been might worked in the week. For example, if a factory had 10
               workers, who worked 8 hours per day for 6 days a week, the capacity would be
               10 employees  8 hours  6 days = 480 hours).
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Performance management
                 Example: Capacity ratio
                 A production department has 6 employees who each work 40 hours a week. In a
                 particular week, the recorded idle time was 25 hours.
                 Total hours available for work = 6 employees × 40 hours = 240 hours.
                       The capacity ratio is calculated as follows:
                                               (240  25) = 215 hours
                        Capacity ratio   =                                      100 = 89.63%
                                                     240 hours
       11.4 Production volume ratio (activity ratio)
               Labour activity can also be measured by a production volume ratio which is
               calculated as follows:
               Production volume ratio
                 Formula: Production volume ratio
                        Volume           Expected hours to produce the actual output
                                    =                                                             100
                         ratio                 Total hours available for work
                 Example: Production volume ratio
                 During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
                 production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
                 The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
                 The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
                 Therefore:
                                                                                      Hours
                       Actual hours to make actual production                        10,000
                       Expected time to make the actual production
                       (3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit)               10,800
                       Total number of hours expected to be used
                       (4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit)               12,000
                       The production volume ratio is calculated as follows:
                                                              10,800 hours
                         Production volume ratio      =                               100 = 90%
                                                              12,000 hours
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                                                                                       Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       11.5 Summary of example
                 Example: Efficiency ratio
                 During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
                 production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
                 The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
                 The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
                 Therefore:
                                                                                          Hours
                       Actual hours to make actual production                            10,000
                       Expected time to make the actual production
                       (3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit)                   10,800
                       Total number of hours expected to be used
                       (4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit)                   12,000
                       The three ratios are calculated as follows:
                                                           10,800 hours
                              Efficiency ratio      =                               100 = 108%
                                                           10,000 hours
                                                           10,000 hours
                              Capacity ratio        =                               100 = 83.33%
                                                           12,000 hours
                                                           10,800 hours
                        Production volume ratio     =                               100 = 90
                                                           12,000 hours
                       Using the answers obtained above:
                       Labour efficiency ratio                                               108%
                       Capacity utilisation ratio                                         83.33%
                       Production volume ratio                                                  90%
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       11.6 Link to variance analysis
               The ratios discussed in this section offer another way of looking at the
               information which underpins the calculation of the fixed production overhead
               variances.
                 Example: Efficiency ratio
                 Returning to the variance analysis example that runs through this chapter:
                                                                                          Hours
                       Actual hours to make actual production                             4,100
                       Expected time to make the actual production
                       (1,000 units should have used 4 hours per unit)                    4,000
                       Total number of hours expected to be used
                       (1,200 units should have used 4 hours per unit)                    4,800
                       The three ratios are calculated as follows:
                                                           4,000 hours
                              Efficiency ratio      =                               100 = 97.56%
                                                           4,100 hours
                                                           4,100 hours
                              Capacity ratio        =                               100 = 85.42%
                                                           4,800 hours
                                                           4,000 hours
                        Production volume ratio     =                               100 = 83.33%
                                                           4,800 hours
                       Using the answers obtained above:
                       Labour efficiency ratio                                              97.56%
                       Capacity utilisation ratio                                         85.42%
                       Production volume ratio                                              83.33%
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
                 Practice question                                                                      13
                 A business planned to make 1,200 units at a standard time of 2 hours per
                 unit.
                 Actual production was 1,100 units.
                 The actual time taken was 2,250 hours.
                 Therefore:
                                                                                     Hours
                       Actual hours to make actual production                        2,250
                       Expected time to make the actual production
                       (1,100 units should have used 2 hours per unit)              2,200
                       Total number of hours expected to be used
                       (1,200 units should have used 1 hours per unit)              2,400
                       Calculate the efficiency, capacity and production volume ratios and
                       show how they are linked to each other.
                 Practice question                                                                      14
                 A business planned to make 1,200 units at a standard time of 2 hours per
                 unit.
                 Actual production was 1,100 units.
                 The actual time taken was 2,250 hours.
                 Therefore:
                 During May there were 21 working days of 8 hours per day. The workforce
                 consists of 10 employees, who all do the same work.
                 Due to problems in the production system and a machine breakdown,
                 240 hours were recorded as idle time during the month.
                 During May, the workforce produced 5,400 units of output. The expected
                 time per unit of output is 15 minutes (= 0.25 hours).
                 Calculate the efficiency, capacity and production volume ratios and show
                 how they are linked to each other.
                 (Note: The actual hours worked should exclude idle time).
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11 CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain standard costing using examples
             Explain and construct a flexed budget
             Calculate sales volume variance
             Calculate, analyse and interpret various variances relating to material, labour and
              factory overhead (both variable and fixed)
             Prepare an operating statement reconcile budgeted profit to actual profit using
              total absorption costing (TAC) and marginal costing (MC)
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                                                                                  Chapter 7: Variance analysis
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                           1
                 First calculate the budgeted overhead absorption rate.
                 Budgeted direct labour hours                                           hours
                 L: (6,000 units  1.5 hours)                                          9,000
                 H (2,000 units  3 hours)                                             6,000
                                                                                      15,000
                 Budgeted fixed production overheads                          ₦1,800,000
                 Fixed overhead absorption rate/hour                          ₦120 / hour
                                                      L                               H
                                                                     ₦                                 ₦
                 Direct materials
                   Material X                    (3 kg  ₦30)      90         (1 kg  ₦30)             30
                   Material Y                    (2 kg  ₦40)      80         (6 kg  ₦40)            240
                 Direct labour               (1.6 hrs  ₦250)    400       (3 hrs  ₦250)             750
                 Variable production
                 overhead                     (1.6 hrs  ₦50)      80        (3 hrs  ₦50)            150
                 Standard variable
                 prod’n cost                                     650                                1170
                 Fixed production
                 overhead                    (1.6 hrs  ₦120)    192       (3 hrs  ₦120)             360
                 Standard full
                 production cost                                 842                                1530
         Solutions                                                                                          2
         The total direct material cost variance is calculated as follows:
                                                                                             ₦
               2,000 units of output should cost ( ₦15)                                30,000
               They did cost                                                            33,600
               Total direct materials cost variance                                       3,600 (A)
         The variance is adverse, because actual costs were higher than the standard cost.
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         Solutions                                                                                           3
         The price variance is calculated on the quantity of materials purchased/used.
             Materials price variance:
                                                                                  ₦
               10,400 litres of materials should cost ( ₦3)
                                                                            31,200
               They did cost                                                33,600
               Material price variance                                       2,400     (A)
         The price variance is adverse because the materials cost more to purchase than they
         should have done (i.e. actual cost was higher than the standard or expected cost).
         Solutions                                                                                           4
               Materials usage variance
                                                                                        litres
               2,000 units of Product P123 should use ( 5 litres)                    10,000
               They did use                                                           10,400
               Material usage variance in litres                                           400     (A)
               Standard price per litre of Material A                                        ₦3
               Material usage variance in ₦                                           ₦1,200       (A)
         The usage variance is adverse because more materials were used than expected, which
         has added to costs.
         Solutions                                                                                            5
                                                         ₦              ₦
                 AQ purchased  AC
                10,400 litres  ₦X per kg                33,600
                 AQ purchased  SC                                      2,400 (A) Price variance
                 10,400 litres  ₦3 per kg               31,200
                 AQ used  SC                                           nil inventory movement
                 10,400 litres  ₦3 per kg               31,200
                 SQ used  SC                                           1,200 (A) Usage variance
                 10,000 litres  ₦3 per kg               30,000
                 SQ = 2,000 units  5 litres per unit = 10,000 litres
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                                                                                Chapter 7: Variance analysis
         Solutions                                                                                        6
                 Total direct labour cost variance                                    ₦
                 3,000 units of output should cost ( ₦6)                        18,000
                 They did cost                                                   16,200
                 Direct labour total cost variance                                 1,800      (F)
         The variance is favourable, because actual costs were less than the standard cost.
         The direct labour rate variance is calculated by taking the actual number of hours worked
         (and paid for).
                 Direct labour rate variance                                          ₦
                 1,400 hours should cost ( ₦12)                                 16,800
                 They did cost                                                   16,200
                 Direct labour rate variance                                          600 (F)
         The rate variance is favourable because the labour hours worked cost less than they
         should have done.
         The labour efficiency variance, like a materials usage variance, is calculated for the
         actual number of units produced. The variance in hours is converted into a money value
         at the standard rate of pay per hour.
                 Direct labour efficiency variance
                                                                                     hours
                 3,000 units of Product P234 should take ( 0.5 hours)               1,500
                 They did take                                                       1,400
                Efficiency variance in hours                                           100      (F)
                 Standard direct labour rate per hour                                  ₦12
                 Direct labour efficiency variance in ₦                            ₦1,200       (F)
         The efficiency variance is favourable because production took less time than expected,
         which has reduced costs.
                 Labour cost variances: summary                                        ₦
                 Labour rate variance                                                600 (F)
                 Labour efficiency variance                                        1,200 (F)
                 Total direct labour cost variance                                 1,800 (F)
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Performance management
         Solutions                                                                                          7
                                                        ₦‘000           ₦‘000
                 AH paid for  AR
                 1,400 hours  ₦X per hour              16,200
                 AH paid for  SR                                       600 (F) Price variance
                1,400 hours  ₦12 per hour              16,800
                 AH worked  SR                                         zero idle time
                1,400 hours  ₦12 per hour              16,800
                SH worked  SR                                          1,200 (F) Efficiency
                1,500 hours  ₦12 per hour              18,000
                 SQ = 3,000 units  0.5 hours per unit = 1,500 hours
         Solutions                                                                                           8
                 Total variable production overhead cost variance                          ₦
                 2,000 units of output should cost ( ₦3)                              6,000
                 They did cost                                                         6,550
                 Total variable production overhead cost variance                        550 (A)
                 Variable production overhead expenditure variance                         ₦
                 2,780 hours should cost ( ₦2)                                        5,560
                 They did cost                                                         6,550
                 Variable production overhead expenditure variance                       990 (A)
         The expenditure variance is adverse because the expenditure on variable overhead in the
         hours worked was more than it should have been.
                 Variable production overhead efficiency variance
                                                                                         hours
                 2,000 units of Product P123 should take ( 1.5 hours)
                                                                                        3,000
                 They did take                                                          2,780
                 Efficiency variance in hours                                             220      (F)
                 Standard variable production overhead rate per hour                        ₦2
                 Variable production overhead efficiency variance in                     ₦440      (F)
         The efficiency variance is favourable because production took less time than expected,
         which has reduced costs.
                 Variable production overhead cost variances: summary
                                                                                            ₦
                 Variable production overhead expenditure variance                        990 (A)
                 Variable production overhead efficiency variance                         440 (F)
                 Total variable production overhead cost variance                         550 (A)
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                                                                                   Chapter 7: Variance analysis
         Solutions                                                                                            9
                                                        ₦‘000            ₦‘000
                 AH worked  AR
                2,780 hours  ₦X per hour               6,550
                 AH worked  SR                                          990 (A) Expenditure
                2,780 hours  ₦2 per hour               5,560
                SH worked  SR                                           440 (F) Efficiency
                3,000 hours  ₦2 per hour               6,000
                 SH = 2,000 units  1.5 hours per unit = 3,000 hours
         Solutions                                                                                            10
         Standard fixed overhead cost per unit = ₦8 (₦40,000/5,000 units)
              Fixed production overhead total cost variance
                                                                                      ₦
                 5,200 units: standard fixed cost ( ₦8)                         41,600
                   = fixed overhead absorbed
                 Actual fixed overhead cost expenditure                         40,500
                 Fixed production overhead total cost variance                   1,100       (F)
                 The variance is favourable, because fixed overhead costs have been over
                 absorbed.
                 Fixed overhead expenditure variance
                                                                                       ₦
                 Budgeted fixed production overhead expenditure                   40,000
                 Actual fixed production overhead expenditure                     40,500
                 Fixed overhead expenditure variance                                 500       (A)
         This variance is adverse because actual expenditure exceeds the budgeted expenditure.
                 Fixed overhead volume variance
                                                                   units of production
                 Budgeted production volume in units                            5,000
                 Actual production volume in units                              5,200
                 Fixed overhead volume variance in units                         200 (F)
                 Standard fixed production overhead cost per unit                       ₦8
                 Fixed overhead volume variance in ₦                              ₦1,600       (F)
         This variance is favourable because actual production volume exceeded the budgeted
         volume.
                 Summary                                                              ₦
                 Fixed overhead expenditure variance                                500 (A)
                 Fixed overhead volume variance                                   1,600 (F)
                 Fixed overhead total cost variance                               1,100 (F)
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Performance management
         Solutions                                                                                   11
         The standard direct labour hours per unit = 10,000 hours/5,000 units = 2 hours per
         unit.
         The standard fixed overhead rate per hour = ₦40,000/10,000 hours = ₦4 per hour.
         The standard fixed overhead cost per          unit is 2 hours  ₦4 per hour = ₦8 (or
         ₦40,000/5,000 units).
                 Fixed overhead efficiency variance
                                                                              hours
                 5,200 units should take (× 2 hours)                         10,400
                 They did take                                               10,250
                 Efficiency variance in hours                                   150 (F)
                 Standard fixed overhead rate per hour                            ₦4
                 Fixed overhead efficiency variance in ₦                       ₦600 (F)
                 Fixed overhead capacity variance
                                                                            hours
                 Budgeted hours of work                                    10,000
                 Actual hours of work                                      10,250
                 Capacity variance in hours                                   250 (F)
                 Standard fixed overhead rate per hour                           ₦4
                 Fixed overhead capacity variance in ₦                    ₦1,000        (F)
         The capacity variance is favourable because actual hours worked exceeded the
         budgeted hours (therefore more units have been produced).
                 Summary                                                     ₦
                 Fixed overhead efficiency variance                        600 (F)
                 Fixed overhead capacity variance                        1,000 (F)
                 Fixed overhead volume variance                          1,600 (F)
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                                                                                    Chapter 7: Variance analysis
         Solutions                                                                                          12
         The sales price variance and sales volume variance are calculated as follows.
                 Sales price variance                                                         ₦
                 7,200 units should sell for (× ₦50)                                    360,000
                 They did sell for                                                      351,400
                 Sales price variance                                                     8,600 (A)
         The sales price variance is adverse because actual sales revenue from the units sold
         was less than expected.
                 Sales volume variance:
                                                                                            units
                 Actual sales volume (units)                                               7,200
                 Budgeted sales volume (units)                                             7,000
                 Sales volume variance in units                                              200 (F)
                 Standard profit per unit (₦50 – ₦42 = ₦8)                                     ₦8
                 Sales volume variance (profit variance)                                 ₦1,600       (F)
         The sales volume variance is favourable because actual sales exceeded budgeted
         sales.
         Solutions                                                                                          13
               The three ratios are calculated as follows:
                                        (1,100  2 hours) = 2,200 hours
               Efficiency ratio     =                                            100 = 97.78%
                                                  2,250 hours
                                                    2,250 hours
                Capacity ratio     =                                             100 = 93.75%
                                        (1,200  2 hours) = 2,400 hours
                  Production            (1,100  2 hours) = 2,200 hours
                                   =                                             100 = 91.67
                 volume ratio                     2,400 hours
         Using answers obtained above:
                       Labour efficiency ratio                                         97.78%
                       Capacity utilisation ratio                                    93.75%
                       Production volume ratio                                         91.67%
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         Solutions                                                                                       14
                                                                                      Hours
               Actual hours to make actual production
               (10 employees  21 days  8 hours )  240 hours                       1,440
               Expected time to make the actual production
               (5,400 units should have used 0.25 hours per unit)                    1,350
               Total number of hours expected to be used
               (10 employees  21 days  8 hours )                                   1,680
               The three ratios are calculated as follows:
                                                   1,350 hours
                     Efficiency ratio       =                           100 = 93.75%
                                                   1,440 hours
                                                   1,440 hours
                      Capacity ratio        =                           100 = 85.71%
                                                   1,680 hours
                                                   1,350 hours
               Production volume ratio      =                           100 = 80.35
                                                   1,680 hours
               Using answers obtained above
               Labour efficiency ratio                                                93.75%
               Capacity utilisation ratio                                           85.71%
               Production volume ratio                                                80.35%
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                                                                                 8
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                      CHAPTER
                              Advanced variance analysis
 Contents
 1 Materials mix and yield variances
 2 Sales volume, mix and quantity variances
 3 Planning and operational variances
 4 Market share and market size variances
 5 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 B     Planning and control
       2     Variance analysis
             D     Calculate and apply the following variances:
                   Ii         Material mix and yield variances;
                   Vii        Sales mix and quantity variances;
                   Viii       Sales market size and market share variances; and
                   Ix         Planning and operational variances.
             E     Identify and explain causes of various variances and their inter-relationship.
             F     Analyse and reconcile variances using absorption and marginal costing
                   techniques
Exam context
This chapter explains more advanced types of variance analysis.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Calculate and interpret material mix and yield variances
      Calculate and interpret sales mix and quantity variances
      Calculate and interpret planning and operational variances
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                                                                        Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
1      MATERIALS MIX AND YIELD VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Direct materials mix variance
             Direct materials yield variance
             Summary
             Alternative method
             Factors to consider when changing the mix
       1.1 Introduction
               When standard costing is used for products which contain two or more items of
               direct material, the total materials usage variance can be calculated by
               calculating the individual usage variances in the usual way and adding them up
               (netting them off).
                 Example: Usage variances
                 Product X is produced from three direct materials, A, B and C that are mixed
                 together in a process. The following information relates to the budget and output
                 for the month of January
                      Standard cost:                                               Actual:
                                                    Standard
                                                    price per      Standard                Quantity
                         Material     Quantity        kilo           cost                   used
                                         kg              ₦              ₦                       kg
                              A           1              20             20                     160
                              B           1              22             22                     180
                              C           8              6              48                    1,760
                                         10                             90                    2,100
                          Output       1 unit                                              200 units
                       Usage variances can be calculated in the usual way:
                       Making 200 units should have used:       A (kgs)        B (kgs)          C (kgs)
                       200  1 kg of A                          200
                       200  1 kg of B                                           200
                       200  8 kgs of C                                                        1,600
                       Making 200 units did use:                (160)           (180)         (1,760)
                       Usage variance in kgs                      40 (F)          20 (F)        (160) (A)
                       Standard cost per kg (₦)                   20              22               6
                       Usage variance in ₦                      800 (F)         440 (F)         (960) (A)
                       Total usage variance = ₦280 (F) (800 + 440 -960)
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Performance management
               Substitutable materials
               If the materials are substitutable (i.e. less of one type of material can be
               compensated for by more of another) the direct materials usage variance can be
               analysed into:
                      a materials mix variance; and
                      a materials yield variance
               The total of these two variances is the total material usage variance.
               It is vital to understand that this further analysis should only be performed if the
               materials can be substituted for each other. Mix and yield variances have a
               useful meaning only when the proportions (or ‘mix’) of the different raw materials
               in the final product can be varied and so are subject to management control.
               For example, in the above example fewer kilograms of A than expected were
               used to make 200 units but more of B and C.
               In contrast if a company manufactured a car no number of extra tyres could
               compensate for one less engine!
       1.2 Direct materials mix variance
               The materials mix variance measures how much of the total usage variance is
               attributable to the fact that the actual combination or mixture of materials that was
               used was more expensive or less expensive than the standard mixture for the
               materials.
               The mix component of the usage variance therefore indicates the effect on costs
               of changing the combination (or mix or proportions) of material inputs in the
               production process.
               The material mix variance indicates the effect on profits of having an actual
               materials mix that is different from the standard material mix.
               The materials mix variance is calculated as follows (making reference to the
               example above):
               1)      Take the total quantity of all the materials used (2,100 kgs in the example)
                       and calculate what the quantities of each material in the mix should be if
                       the total usage had been in the standard proportions or standard mix (1:1:8
                       in the above example).
               2)      Compare the actual quantities of each individual material that were used,
                       and the standard quantities that would have been used (the standard mix) if
                       the total usage had been in the standard proportions or standard mix.
               3)      The mix variance for each material (expressed in kgs) is the difference
                       between the quantity of each material actually used and the quantity of that
                       material that should have been used in the standard mix. The total mix
                       variance in material quantities is always zero.
               4)      Convert the mix variance for each individual material into a money value by
                       multiplying by the standard price per unit of the material.
               5)      These figures are summed to give the total mix variance
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                                                                       Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
                 Example: Mix variance
                                 Actual                        Mix                             Mix
                                   mix                       variance       Std. cost        variance
                      Material    (kgs)    Standard mix       (kgs)          per kg             (₦)
                        A         160      (10%  2,100)
                                               210            50 (F)            20           1,000 (F)
                          B       180      (10%  2,100)
                                               210            30 (F)            22            660 (F)
                          C       1,760    (80%  2,100)
                                               1,680         (80) (A)            6           (480) (A)
                                  2,100        2,100            0                            1,180 (F)
               For each individual item of material, the mix variance is favourable when the
               actual mix is less than the standard mix, and the mix variance is adverse when
               actual usage exceeds the standard mix.
               The total mix variance is favourable in this example because the actual mix of
               materials used is cheaper than the standard mix.
       1.3 Direct materials yield variance
               The materials yield variance is the difference between the actual yield from a
               given input and the yield that the actual input should have given in standard
               terms. It indicates the effect on costs of the total materials inputs yielding more or
               less output than expected.
               The yield variance can be calculated in several ways. No one method is better
               than any other (use the one that makes most sense to you).
               Working
               Based on the above example note that:
                      The standard cost of each unit (kg) of input = ₦90/10kgs = ₦9 per kilo
                      The standard cost of each unit of output = ₦90 per unit
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Performance management
               Method 1: Based on output
               This compares the actual yield to the expected yield from the material used. The
               difference is then valued at the standard cost of output.
               In the above example 10 kgs of material should result in 1 unit of output.
               Therefore, 2,100 kgs of material in should result in 210 units of output.
               The difference between this figure and the actual output is the yield variance as a
               number of units. This is then multiplied by the expected cost of a unit of output.
                 Example: Yield variance
                                                                                  Units
                       2,100 kgs of input should yield (@10 kgs per unit)           210
                       2,100 kgs of input did yield                                 200
                       Yield variance (units)                                         10       (A)
                       Standard cost of output                                     ₦90
                       Materials yield variance (₦)                               ₦900         (A)
               Method 2: Based on inputs
               This compares the actual usage to achieve the yield to the expected usage to
               achieve the actual yield. The difference is then valued at the standard cost of
               input.
               In the above example 1 unit should use 10 kgs of input.
               Therefore, 200 units should use 2,000 kgs of input.
               The difference between this figure and the actual input is the yield variance as a
               number of units. This is then multiplied by the expected cost of a unit of output.
                 Example: Yield variance
                                                                                 Units
                       200 units of product X should use ( 10 kgs)            2,000
                       did use                                                 2,100
                       Yield variance in quantities                               100          (A)
                       Standard cost of input                                   ₦9/kg
                       Yield variance in money value                             ₦900          (A)
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                                                                         Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       1.4 Summary
                 Example: Mix variance + yield variance = usage variance
                                                                                      ₦
                       Mix variance                                                1,180          (F)
                       Yield variance                                               (900)         (A)
                       Usage variance (= mix + yield variances)                      280          (F)
                 Practice question                                                                          1
                 Product X is produced from two direct materials, X and Y that are mixed
                 together in a process.
                 The following information relates to the budget and output for the month of
                 July.
                       Standard                                                             Actual:
                                                    Standard
                                                    price per     Standard               Quantity
                         Material       Quantity      litre         cost                  used
                                          litres        ₦              ₦                     litres
                              X            12          250           3,000                    984
                              Y            18          300           5,400                   1,230
                                           30                        8,400                   2,214
                          Output         1 unit                                            72 units
                       Calculate the direct materials mix and yield variances.
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       1.5 Alternative method
               An alternative approach is to use a line by line method.
               This starts with the standard cost of the actual quantity used in the actual mix.
               This figure is made up as:
                         Actual Quantity (AQ) in the Actual Mix (AM) at the Standard Cost per unit
                          (SC)
                         Elements of this are then changed in sequence to identify the variances. In
                          the table below the element that changes has been written in bold.
                 Example: Mix and yield variances
                                  AQ in AM     @     SC
                                    kgs              ₦        ₦
                 A                   160       ×     20      3,200
                 B                   180       ×     22      3,960
                 C                 1,760       ×     6      10,560
                                   2,100                    17,720
                                  AQ in SM     @     SC
                 A (0.1)             210       ×     20      4,200            1,180 F                 MIX
                 B (0.1)             210       ×     22      4,620
                 C (0.8)           1,680       ×      6     10,080
                                   2,100                    18,900
                                  SQ in SM     @     SC
                 A (0.1)             200       ×     20      4,000
                 B (0.1)             200       ×     22      4,400             900 A                 YIELD
                 C (0.8)           1,600       ×      6      9,600
                                  2,0001                    18,000
                     1   This figure is the number of kgs that making 200 units should have used.
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                                                                         Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
               At first sight this seems to be a very long winded technique. However, some of
               the calculations can be simplified by using the standard costs of input or output.
               The calculation then becomes:
                 Example: Mix and yield variances
                              AQ in AM         @          SC
                                kgs                       ₦          ₦
                 A              160            ×          20       3,200
                 B              180            ×          22       3,960
                 C             1,760           ×           6       10,560
                               2,100                               17,720
                              AQ in SM         @         SC of                           1,180 F           MIX
                                                         input
                               2,100                       9       18,900
                              SQ in SM         @         SC of                             900 A          YIELD
                                                          input
                               2,000                         9     18,000
                                 or                      SC of
                                                         output
                              200 units                     90     18,000
               You are encouraged to use the above method as it is much quicker.
       1.6 Factors to consider when changing the mix
               Analysis of the material usage variance into the mix and yield components is
               worthwhile if management have control of the proportion of each material used.
               Management will seek to find the optimum mix for the product and ensure that
               the process operates as near to this optimum as possible.
               Identification of the optimum mix involves consideration of several factors:
                      Cost. The cheapest mix may not be the most cost effective. Often a
                       favourable mix variance is offset by an adverse yield variance and the total
                       cost per unit may increase.
                      Quality. Using a cheaper mix may result in a lower quality product and the
                       customer may not be prepared to pay the same price. A cheaper product
                       may also result in higher sales returns and loss of repeat business.
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                         2
                 Product X is produced from two direct materials, X and Y that are mixed
                 together in a process.
                 The following information relates to the budget and output for the month of
                 July.
                       Standard                                                            Actual:
                                                    Standard
                                                    price per     Standard              Quantity
                         Material    Quantity         litre         cost                 used
                                        litres          ₦             ₦                     litres
                              X          12            250          3,000                    984
                              Y          18            300          5,400                   1,230
                                         30                         8,400                   2,214
                          Output        1 unit                                            72 units
                       Calculate the direct materials mix and yield variances using the line by
                       line method.
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                                                                            Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
2      SALES VOLUME, MIX AND QUANTITY VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Sales volume variance
          The sales quantity variance
             The sales mix variance
             Alternative method
       2.1 Sales volume variance
               When a company sells more than one product a volume variance can be
               calculated for each individual product in the usual way. In such cases the total
               sales volume variance is then the sum of the individual sales volume variances.
                 Example: Sales volume variance
                 The following information relates to the sales budget and actual sales volume
                 results for X Ltd for the month of March.
                     Product                                  X            Y             Z            Total
                     Budgeted sales (units)                 240          140            120            500
                     Unit contribution                      ₦50          ₦70           ₦60
                     Total contribution                 ₦12,000 ₦9,800 ₦7,200                        ₦29,000
                     Standard average contribution
                     per unit (₦29,000/500 units)                                                      ₦58
                     Actual sales (units)                   200          220            180            600
                 The individual sales volume variances and the total sales volume variance for the
                 month of March are as follows:
                 Sales volume variances
                                                              X              Y               Z
                    Actual sales (units)                     200           220            180
                     Budgeted sales (units)                  240           140            120
                     Volume variance (units)                (40) A        80 F           60 F
                     Standard contribution per unit         ₦50           ₦70             ₦60
                     Volume variance (contribution)     (₦2,000)        ₦5,600         ₦3,600
                     Total                                                                           ₦7,200
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Performance management
               In the above example, there are two differences between the budgeted unit sales
               and the actual unit sales. Firstly, the budget was to sell 500 units whereas the
               company has actually sold 600 units. The second difference is that the company
               had budgeted to sell 500 units containing a budgeted mix of units X, Y and Z but
               they have actually sold 600 units with a different mix of these items.
               The total sales volume variance can be analysed into:
                      a sales quantity variance; and
                      a sales mix variance.
       2.2 The sales quantity variance
               The sales quantity variance indicates the effect on profits of the total quantity of
               sales being different from that budgeted, assuming that they are sold in the
               budgeted sales mix. If this was the case the average standard contribution per
               unit would be the same as budgeted.
               The quantity variance is calculated as follows:
                 Illustration: Sales quantity variance
                                                                                     Units
                       Budgeted sales in total                                         X
                       Actual sales in total                                           (X)
                       Sales quantity variance in units                               X
                       Weighted average standard contribution per unit                ₦X
                       Sales quantity variance (in standard contribution)             ₦X
                 Example: Sales quantity variance
                 Returning to the facts from the previous example the sales quantity variance is
                 calculated as follows:
                                                                                     Units
                       Budgeted sales in total                                        500
                       Actual sales in total                                          600
                       Sales quantity variance in units                               100           (F)
                       Weighted average standard contribution per unit                ₦58
                       Sales quantity variance (in standard contribution)        ₦5,800             (F)
© Emile Woolf International                         298          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       2.3 The sales mix variance
               The sales mix variance indicates the effect on profits of having an actual sales
               mix that is different from the budgeted sales mix.
               The sales mix variance is calculated as follows (making reference to the example
               above):
               1)      Find the budgeted mix in percentage terms by summing the budgeted sales
                       of each individual product and calculating the percentage that each bears
                       to the total (X: 240/500 = 48%; Y: 140/500 = 28%; Z: 120/500 = 24%).
               2)      Apply the percentages to the actual total sales to give the actual number of
                       each that would have been sold if the actual sales were made in the
                       standard mix. (For X this figure is 48% of 600 = 288 units).
               3)      The mix variance (in units) for each product is the difference between this
                       number and the actual sales of that product. (For X this is 240 – 288 = 48
                       units. This means that the company has sold 48 units of X less than it
                       would have if the actual sales were made in the standard mix).
               4)      The variance for each product expressed as units is multiplied by the
                       standard contribution per unit of that product to give the impact on
                       contribution.
               5)      These figures are summed to give the total mix variance
                 Example: Sales mix variance
                 Returning to the facts from the previous example the sales mix variance is
                 calculated as follows:
                       Product      Actual       Standard       Mix          Std.              Mix
                                     mix           mix       variance       contn           variance
                                                              (units)      per unit        (Std contn)
                                     units        units         units         ₦                 ₦
                       X (48%)        200         288         88 (A)          50            4,400 (A)
                       Y (28%)        220         168          52 (F)         70            3,640 (F)
                       Z (24%)        180         144          36 (F)         60            2,160 (F)
                                      600         600            0                          1,400 (F)
                       The total mix variance in units must come to zero.
                       In this illustration the total mix variance is favourable because the
                       company has sold more high contribution items and less low
                       contribution items.
               The total of the sales mix variance and the sales quantity variance adds up to the
               total sales volume variance.
                 Example: Sales quantity variance
                                                                                       ₦
                       Sales mix variance                                            1,400           (F)
                       Sales quantity variance                                       5,800           (F)
                       Sales volume variance                                         7,200           (F)
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Performance management
       2.4 Alternative method
               An alternative approach is to use a line by line method.
               This starts with the expected contribution from the actual sales of each unit.
               This figure is Actual Quantity (AQ) in the Actual Mix (AM) at the Standard
               Contribution per unit (SC)
               Elements of this are then changed in sequence to identify the variances. In the
               table below the element that changes has been written in bold.
                 Example: Sales mix and quantity variances
                              AQ in AM    @     SC
                                units           ₦        ₦
                 X              200       ×     50     10,000
                 Y              220       ×     70     15,400
                 Z              180       ×     60     10,800
                                600                    36,200
                              AQ in SM    @     SC
                 X (0.48)       288       ×     50     14,400            1,400 F                 MIX
                 Y (0.28)       168       ×     70     14,760
                 Z (0.24)       144       ×     60      8,640
                                600                    34,800
                              SQ in SM    @     SC
                 X (0.48)       240       ×     50     12,000
                 Y (0.28)       140       ×     70      9,800            5,800 F             QUANTITY
                 Z (0.24)       120       ×     60      7,200
                               5,000                   29,000
© Emile Woolf International                      300          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                    Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
               At first sight this seems to be a very long winded technique. However, some of
               the calculations can be simplified by using the budgeted average standard
               contribution per unit (₦58).
               This figure can be used whenever the contribution from a total quantity is to be
               expressed in Standard Mix @ Standard Contribution per unit. The calculation
               then becomes:
                 Example: Sales mix and quantity variances
                              AQ in AM   @     SC
                               Units           ₦         ₦
                 X              200       ×    50      10,000
                 Y              220       ×    70      15,400
                 Z              180       ×    60      10,800
                                600                    36,200
                              AQ in SM   @      SC                       1,400 F                 MIX
                                600             58     34,800
                              SQ in SM   @      SC                       5,800 F            QUANTITY
                                500             58     29,000
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Performance management
3      PLANNING AND OPERATIONAL VARIANCES
         Section overview
          The reasons for planning and operational variances
          Ex ante and ex post standards or budgets
             Using ex post standards (or ex post budgets) to calculate planning and
              operational variances
             Calculating planning and operational variances
          Alternative approaches
          More than one difference between the ex ante and ex post standard costs
             Analysing the planning variance
       3.1 The reasons for planning and operational variances
               Variance analysis serves to identify levels of performance, costs etc. that have
               been different to those budgeted. The aim is to use information about variances
               to identify problems that should be investigated, and where appropriate:
                      take control action to correct adverse results; or
                      take measures to exploit favourable results.
               The quality of the information provided by variance analysis depends on the
               quality of the budget being used as a basis for comparison. For example, if the
               standard steel usage for making a bulldozer was set at 10 kgs there would
               obviously be huge adverse material usage variances (as making a bulldozer uses
               much more than 10 kgs of steel). There would be no point taking the production
               manager to task over the adverse variance as it was simply not possible to build
               bulldozers using this amount of steel. It is the budget that is at fault. This is
               perhaps a silly example but it serves to illustrate an important point. If
               management are taking action based on variances those variances should reflect
               operational issues and not arise as a result of a flawed plan.
               If a budget or standard is unreliable, the variance reports will also be unreliable –
               and so of limited use to management.
       3.2 Ex ante and ex post standards or budgets
               If management decides that the standard cost is unreliable and invalid, they can
               prepare a more realistic or accurate standard cost. Similarly, if the original budget
               is invalid, a more realistic budget can be prepared.
                      The original standard cost or budget is known as the ex ante standard or
                       ex ante budget.
                      The revised and more realistic standard cost or budget is known as the ex
                       post standard or ex post budget.
               Variances are usually calculated by comparing actual results to an ex ante
               budget. This process might reveal variances which on further investigation are
               due to the budget being unrealistic rather than due to operating factors. When
               this is the case a new, more realistic budget (the ex post budget) is drafted for
               the period that has already past and this allows the calculation of more
               reasonable variances.
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                                                                      Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       3.3 Using ex post standards (or ex post budgets) to calculate planning and
           operational variances
               Ex post standards or budgets can be used to calculate variances, as an
               alternative to the ‘normal’ method of calculating variances.
                      Actual results are compared with the ex post standard (or ex post budget)
                       and variances are calculated using the ex post standard. These variances
                       are the operational variances.
                      The ex post standard cost (or ex post budget) is compared with the ex ante
                       standard cost (or ex ante budget) and the difference between them is the
                       planning variance.
               The planning variance is therefore a measurement of the amount by which an
               unreliable standard cost (or unreliable budget) – in other words, poor planning or
               a major revision to plans – is the cause of the difference between actual results
               and the original ex ante standard cost or ex ante budget. Planning variances
               are uncontrollable, in the sense that control action by management will not
               eliminate a weakness in planning.
               The operational variances, by comparing actual results with a realistic standard
               cost, provide useful control information for management. Operational variances
               may be controllable variances.
               It is important to remember that there is nothing new to learn in calculating
               operational variances (in fact, all variance calculated so far have been
               operational variances). The calculation of operational variances is exactly the
               same as already described but comparing actual results to the new ex post
               budget.
       3.4 Calculating planning and operational variances
               Planning and operational variances can be calculated for any aspect of a
               standard cost or budget. For example, an ex post standard cost can be
               calculated for the direct materials cost per unit, or the direct materials usage per
               unit, or the direct materials price per unit, or the direct labour cost per unit, the
               direct labour hours per unit, and so on.
               Similarly, an ex post budget can be prepared with revised figures for sales
               volumes or sales prices.
               The following example will be used to illustrate and explain the issue and the
               method of calculating planning and operational variances.
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Performance management
                 Example: Planning and operational variances
                 Product Z has a standard labour cost of 3 hours per unit at ₦8 per hour = ₦24 per
                 unit.
                 During the first month of the current year, 500 units of Product Z were
                 manufactured. These took 1,960 hours to make, at a labour cost of ₦16,500.
                 Using traditional variances, the labour variances for the month would be as
                 follows:
                       Labour rate variance                                             ₦
                       1,960 hours did cost                                        16,500
                       but, 1,960 hours should cost ( ₦8)                         15,680
                       Labour rate variance                                            820     (A)
                       Labour efficiency variance                                    hours
                       500 units of product Z did take                              1,960
                       but, 500 units of product Z should take ( 3 hours)          1,500
                       Efficiency variance in hours                                    460 (A)
                       Standard labour rate per hour                                    ₦8
                       Efficiency variance in ₦                                   ₦3,680 (A)
                 The total labour cost variance is ₦820 (A) + ₦3,680 (A) = ₦4,500 (A).
               In the usual course of events a variance might be investigated and the manager
               responsible for the part of the business within which the variance arose might be
               taken to task over an adverse variance.
               Suppose, however, that it is discovered early during the month that planned
               improvements in efficiency that were expected from introducing new equipment
               and were introduced into the budget could not be achieved, because the new
               equipment had suffered a major breakdown and had been returned to the
               supplier for repair.
               This means that the budget used above could not be achieved in the period. With
               hindsight the budgeted labour cost for each unit of Product Z should have been:
               4 hours × ₦8 per hour = ₦32.
               Variances are recalculated using this as a new ex post standard cost for direct
               labour cost.
               Operational variances
               Operational variances are calculated exactly as before but using the ex post
               budget.
               The planning variance is the difference between:
                      the original standard cost of making the actual production (the ex ante
                       standard cost or ex ante budget of actual production), and
                      the revised standard cost or budget of making the actual production (the ex
                       post standard cost or ex post budget of actual production).
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                                                                        Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
                 Example: Operational variances
                       Labour rate variance                                        ₦
                       1,960 hours did cost                                   16,500
                       but, 1,960 hours should cost ( ₦8)                    15,680
                       Labour rate variance (as before as the ex ante                     (A)
                       budget cost per hour has not been revised)                 820
                       Labour efficiency variance                               hours
                       500 units of product Z should take ( 4 hours)          2,000
                       But they did take                                       1,960
                       Efficiency variance in hours                                40 (F)
                       Standard labour rate per hour                               ₦8
                       Efficiency variance in ₦                                ₦320 (F)
               The calculation of the labour efficiency variance using the ex post budget shows
               a very different picture showing a favourable variance as opposed to the adverse
               variance shown by comparison to the original budget. The manager responsible
               should be congratulated rather than admonished!
               Planning variances
               The planning variance is not a very useful figure other than being part of the
               reconciliation between actual results and the ex ante cost of achieving those
               results. (It is not a useful figure as the fact that it has been calculated means that
               management already knows that the budget was suspect. Knowing the size of
               the difference is not particularly helpful in running the business).
               The planning variance is reported as the effect that this difference has had on
               reported profit or cost.
               Since direct labour is a variable cost, the planning variance is calculated as the
               difference between:
                      the standard labour cost of actual production at the ex ante standard, and
                      the standard labour cost of actual production with the ex post standard.
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Performance management
                 Example: Planning variances
                 Method 1
                       Total labour cost for 500 units of Z                                    ₦
                       Ex post standard cost ( ₦32)                                      16,000
                       Ex ante standard cost ( ₦24)                                      12,000
                       Planning variance: labour efficiency                                 4,000 (A)
                 The planning variance is adverse because the ex post standard cost is less
                 favourable (is more costly) than the ex ante standard cost.
                 Method 2
                 Since the planning error is in the labour hours per unit, the planning variance can
                 be calculated in labour hours:
                       Labour hours: time required to make 500 units of Z                    hours
                       Ex post standard ( 4 hours)                                         2,000
                       Ex ante standard ( 3 hours)                                         1,500
                       Planning variance in standard hours                                     500 (A)
                       Standard labour rate per hour                                            ₦8
                       Planning variance in ₦, labour efficiency                          ₦4,000 (A)
               Summary
               The planning and operational variances in the previous example can be
               summarised as follows:
                 Example: Variances under traditional and planning/operational methods
                                                                     Traditional          Planning and
                                                                                           operational
                       Operational variances                         ₦                       ₦
                       Labour efficiency                           3,680       (A)          820 (A)
                       Labour rate                                   820       (F)           320       (F)
                       Planning variance (labour efficiency)                               4,000       (A)
                       Total                                       4,500       (A)         4,500       (A)
               The total variances come to the same amount.
               In this case the planning and operational variances provide much more useful
               control information to management than the traditional variances, because the
               original (ex ante) standard cost is unreliable and incorrect.
© Emile Woolf International                        306             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       3.5 Alternative approach
               An alternative approach is to use a line by line method.
               This starts with actual cost. One factor is changed at a time using the ex post
               standard usage and cost. A final line is inserted as the ex ante standard cost of
               the actual production.
                 Example: Alternative method identifying planning and operational variances
                     Ex ante standard material cost per unit:
                                          3 hours  ₦8 per hour = ₦24 per unit
                     Actual production in period = 500 units.
                     Labour worked and paid for was 1,960 hours to make 500 units, at a labour
                     cost of ₦16,500
                     Ex post standard material cost per unit:
                                          4 hours  ₦8 per hour = ₦32 per unit
                                                         ₦              ₦
                       AQ  AC
                       1,960 hrs  ₦X per hr             16,500
                       AQ  SC                                          820 (A) Price
                       1,960 hrs  ₦8 per hr             15,680
                       SQ ex post  SC                                  320 (F) Usage
                       2,000 hrs  ₦8 per hr             16,000
                       SQ ex ante  SC                                  4,000 (A) Planning
                       1,500 hrs  ₦8 per hr             12,000
                       Ex post standard quantity to make actual production
                       SQ = 500 units  4 hrs per unit = 2,000 hrs
                       Ex ante standard quantity to make actual production
                       SQ = 500 units  3 hrs per unit = 1,500 hrs
               You are encouraged to use this approach as an alternative method.
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Performance management
       3.6 More than one difference between the ex ante and ex post standard costs
               In the above example only the standard usage changed between the ex ante and
               ex post budgets. A situation could arise where both standard usage and standard
               cost changed.
               The principle to apply in calculating the planning and operational variances is the
               same as before.
                      The operational variances are calculated using the ex post standard cost.
                      The planning variance in total is the difference between the ex ante
                       standard cost of actual production and the ex post standard cost of actual
                       production.
               The only difference is that if the total planning variance is caused by two factors,
               it should be possible to analyse the total planning variance into its different
               causes though the resultant figures are not really useful.
               The following example shows the calculation of planning and operational
               variances when two factors change between the ex ante and ex post budgets. In
               the first instance only the total planning variance will be calculated. Analysis of
               the planning variance will follow that.
               This will be worked using the line by line approach.
                 Example: Planning and operational variances
                 Greenco Nigeria Limited manufactures product G, which has a standard direct
                 material cost per unit of: 5 kilos at ₦6 per kilo = ₦30.
                 Actual output during a month is 4,000 units of product G, and the materials
                 actually used in production were 16,500 kilos at a cost of ₦119,000.
                 Investigation of the resultant variances has shown that the original standard was
                 unrealistic and should have been 4 kilos at ₦7 per kilo = ₦28.
                 The planning and operational variances can be identified as follows.
                                                     ₦                  ₦
                       AQ  AC
                       16,500 kgs  ₦X per kg        119,000
                       AQ  SC                                          3,500 (A) Price
                       16,500 kgs  ₦7 per kg        115,500
                       SQ ex post  SC ex post                          3,500 (A) Usage
                       16,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg        112,000
                       SQ ex ante  SC ex ante                          8,000 (F) Planning
                       20,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg        120,000
                       Ex post standard quantity to make actual production
                       SQ = 4,000 units  4 kgs per unit = 16,000 kgs
                       Ex ante standard quantity to make actual production
                       SQ = 4,000 units  5 kgs per unit = 20,000 kgs
© Emile Woolf International                        308         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       3.7 Analysing the planning variance
               In the above example, the difference between the ex ante standard cost per unit
               and the ex post standard cost per unit is due to both price and usage. This
               implies that the total planning variance can be analysed into a price planning and
               price usage variance.
               This is done by changing one factor between the ex ante standard cost of actual
               production and the ex post standard cost of actual production. Either the usage
               or cost of each unit of resource might be changed. Changing one, as opposed to
               the other, results in a different split of the price planning and price usage
               variances.
               This is difficult to understand until you see an example.
                 Example: Analysing planning variance
                 Returning to the previous example the total planning variance may be split as
                 follows.
                       Changing price first
                       SQ ex post  SC ex post      ₦               ₦
                       16,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg       112,000
                       SQ ex post  SC                              16,000 (A) Planning price
                       16,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg       96,000
                       SQ ex ante  SC ex ante                      24,000 (F) Planning usage
                       20,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg       120,000
                       Changing usage first
                       SQ ex post  SC ex post      ₦‘000           ₦‘000
                       16,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg       112,000
                       SQ ex post  SC                              28,000 (F) Planning price
                       20,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg       140,000
                       SQ ex ante  SC ex ante                      20,000 (A) Planning usage
                       20,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg       120,000
               In the above example the total planning variance is being split in different ways.
© Emile Woolf International                      309          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                      3
                 Redco manufactures product K, which at the start of the budget period had
                 a standard direct labour cost per unit of:
                                 0.3 hours per unit  ₦16 per hour = ₦4.80.
                 Due to an unexpected pay agreement with the direct labour employees, the
                 standard rate per hour is revised to ₦20. In addition, since the pay rise is
                 linked to a productivity agreement, the standard time per unit of product K
                 is reduced to 0.25 hours.
                 The revised standard labour cost for product K is therefore:
                                      0.25 hours  ₦20 per hour = ₦5.
                 Actual output during the month is 10,000 units of product K, and these
                 took 2,650 hours to make. The actual direct labour cost was ₦51,600.
                 Analyse the total direct labour variance into operational variances and a
                 planning variance.
© Emile Woolf International                       310         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
4      MARKET SHARE AND MARKET SIZE VARIANCES
         Section overview
          Further analysis of sales volume variance
          Market size variance
             Market share variance
             Alternative method
       4.1 Further analysis of sales volume variance
               Sales volume is a function of market share and market size. If the original budget
               derives budgeted sales volume from budgeted market share and budgeted
               market size it should be possible to split the sales volume variance into a market
               share variance and a market size variance.
               The total size of the market is a factor that is largely outside a company’s control
               but is estimated at the start of the period. The market size variance is therefore a
               planning variance. Note that the ex post budgeted market size is the actual size
               of the market. If the business had been better at forecasting the market size this
               is what they would have expected.
               The market share obtained by a company is under the influence of management
               (through marketing activities). The market share variance is an operational
               variance.
                 Example: Sales volume variance
                 Colorco Nigeria Limited set the following sales budget to sell 70,000 units of
                 Product Y and budgeted to earn a contribution per unit of ₦20
                 Colorco Nigeria Limited estimates that the total size of the market in the budget
                 period will be 700,000 units. It budgets to have a market share of 10% or 70,000
                 units.
                 Actual sales of Product Y by Colorco Nigeria Limited in the
                 period = 58,000 units Total market size of Product Y = 645,000
                 units
                 In retrospect, it is accepted that the budget should have been based on a total
                 The traditional sales volume variance is calculated as follows:
                   Actual sales volume
                 market size of 645,000 units.                                            Units
                                                                                          58,000
                     Budgeted sales volume                                                 70,000
                     Sales volume variance (units)                                         12,000        (A)
                     Standard contribution per unit (multiply by)                              ₦20
                     Sales volume variance (in contribution)                           ₦240,000          (A)
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Performance management
       4.2 Market size variance
               A market size variance is the effect on sales volume (and so on contribution or
               profit) if the actual total size of the market is:
                      larger than expected (favourable market size variance); or
                      smaller than expected (adverse market size variance).
               The total difference between the budgeted total market size and the actual total
               market size is calculated initially either in units of sale or sales revenue at
               standard selling prices.
                      It is assumed that the company should achieve its budgeted market share.
                      The market size variance for the company is therefore (in units or in sales
                       revenue at standard sales price) the difference in the total market size
                       multiplied by the estimated market share.
               This is then converted into an amount of standard contribution or standard profit,
               using the same method used to calculate the sales volume variance.
                 Example: Market size variance
                 Returning to the previous example the market size variance is calculated as
                 follows:
                       Market size variance                                              units
                       Ex ante (budgeted) total market size                           700,000
                       Ex post (actual) total market size                             645,000
                       Total difference                                                 55,000      (A)
                       Budgeted market share                                              10%
                       Market size variance (units)                                      5,500      (A)
                       Standard contribution per unit                                     ₦20
                       Market size variance (in ₦ contribution)                     ₦110,000        (A)
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                                                                         Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       4.3 Market share variance
               A market share variance is calculated by taking the actual total market size (the
               ex post estimate of the market size) and comparing:
                      the expected sales volume, if the budgeted market share had been
                       achieved: and
                      actual sales volume.
               This variance (in sales units or in sales revenue at standard sales price) is
               converted into a contribution or profit variance using the same method used to
               calculate the sales volume variance.
                 Example: Market share variance
                 Returning to the previous example the market share variance is calculated as
                 follows:
                     Market share variance                                                units
                     Ex post (actual) total market size                                645,000
                     Budgeted market share                                                 10%
                     Expected sales if budgeted market share achieved                    64,500
                     Actual sales                                                        58,000
                     Market share variance (units)                                         6,500      (A)
                     Standard contribution per unit                                         ₦20
                     Market share variance in ₦ contribution                          ₦130,000        (A)
               The market size variance and the market share variance together add up to the
               total sales volume variance for the period.
                 Example: Summary
                                                          Units                 CPU             ₦
                     Market size variance                  5,500 (A)             20            110,000
                     Market share variance                 6,500 (A)             20            130,000
                     Total sales volume variance          12,000 (A)             20            240,000
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                          4
                 Brunco Nigeria Limited prepared a sales budget based on an estimated
                 market size of 200,000 units and a budgeted market share of 25%
                 Standard contribution per unit ₦40
                 At the end of the year it was estimated that the actual size of the market
                 during the year had been 260,000 units.
                 Actual sales in the year were 61,000 units.
                 Required
                 Calculate for the year:
                 (a)          the total sales volume variance
                 (b)          the market size variance
                 (c)          the market share variance.
       4.4 Alternative method
               The market share and market size variances can be identified using a line by line
               approach. This starts with the actual sales volume (actual market share of actual
               market size) and ends with the budgeted sales volume (standard market share of
               standard market size). It is easier to measure the variances in units and then
               apply a standard contribution to express these variances as monetary amounts.
               Remember that the actual units sold is a function of the actual market size and
               this is the ex post forecast of market size.
                 Example: Alternative method for identifying market share and market size
                 variances
                 Returning to the previous example the market share variance and market size
                 variances (in units) are calculated as follows:
                                                                                Units
                       Actual market size  Actual market share
                       645,000 units  X%                                    58,000
                                                                                          Market share
                                                                                          6,500 units (A)
                       Actual market size  standard market share
                       645,000 units  10%                                   64,500
                                                                                          Market size
                                                                                          5,500 units (A)
                       Budgeted market size  standard market share
                       700,000 units  10%                                   70,000
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                                                                       Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
                 Practice question                                                                        5
                 Brunco Nigeria Limited prepared a sales budget based on an estimated
                 market size of 200,000 units and a budgeted market share of 25%
                 Standard contribution per unit ₦40
                 At the end of the year it was estimated that the actual size of the market
                 during the year had been 260,000 units.
                 Actual sales in the year were 61,000 units.
                 Required
                 Use the alternative method to calculate:
                 (a)          the total sales volume variance
                 (b)          the market size variance
                 (c)          the market share variance.
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Performance management
5      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Calculate and interpret material mix and yield variances
             Calculate and interpret sales mix and quantity variances
             Calculate and interpret planning and operational variances
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                                                                        Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                            1
         Mix variance
                                 Actual                          Mix                               Mix
                                   mix                        variance        Std. cost          variance
                    Material     (litres)   Standard mix       (litres)       per litre            (₦)
                      X            984      (40%  2,214)
                                                885.6         98.4 (A)           250            24,600 (A)
                        Y        1,230      (60%  2,214)
                                               1,328.4        98.4 (F)           300            29,520 (F)
                                 2,214          2,100             0                             4,920 (F)
         Yield variance based on output
                                                                                      Units
                 2,214 litres of input should yield (@30 litres per unit)             73.8
                 2,100 litres of input did yield                                      72.0
                 Yield variance (units)                                                1.8         (A)
                 Standard cost of output                                             ₦8,400
                 Materials yield variance (₦)                                       ₦15,120        (A)
         Yield variance based on input
                                                                                       litres
                 Making 72 units did use                                                2,214
                 but, making 72 units of product X should use ( 30 litres)             2,160
                 Yield variance in quantities                                          54     (A)
                 Standard cost of input (₦8,400/30 litres)                         ₦280/litre
                 Yield variance in money value                                       ₦15,120         (A)
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Performance management
         Solution                                                                                           2
                              AQ in AM    @      SC
                               litres             ₦          ₦
         X                      984       ×      250       246,000
         Y                    1,230       ×      300       369,000
                                2,214                      615,000
                              AQ in SM    @      SC
         X (0.4)                 885.6    ×      250       221,400
         Y (0.6)               1,328.4    ×      300       398,520
                               2,214                       619,920            4,920 F                MIX
                              SQ in SM    @      SC
         X (0.4)                 864      ×      250       216,000
         Y (0.6)               1,296      ×      300       388,800
                               2,160                       604,800           15,120 A               YIELD
             Making 72 units should use 72 units  30 litres per unit = 2,160 litres.
         Quicker version:
                       AQ in AM           @          SC
                          litres                      ₦             ₦
         X                 984            ×          250          246,000
         Y              1,230             ×          300          369,000
                                2,214                             615,000
                              AQ in SM    @      SC of input
                               2,214             ₦8,400/30
                                                   litres        619,920               4,920 F           MIX
                              SQ in SM    @      SC of input
                               2,160             ₦8,400/30
                                                   litres        604,800              15,120 A          YIELD
                                  or             SC of output
                               72 units            8,400         604,800
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                                                                     Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
         Solution                                                                                         3
                                                    ₦‘000              ₦‘000
                 AQ  AC
                 2,650 hrs  ₦X per hr              51,600
                 AQ  SC                                               1,400 (F) Price
                 2,650 hrs  ₦20 per kg             53,000
                 SQ ex post  SC ex post                               3,000 (A) Usage
                 2,500 hrs  ₦20 per kg             50,000
                 SQ ex ante  SC ex ante                               2,000 (A) Planning
                 3,000 hrs  ₦16 per kg             48,000
                 Ex post standard quantity to make actual production
                 SQ = 10,000 units  0.25 hrs per unit = 2,500 hrs
                 Ex ante standard quantity to make actual production
                 SQ = 10,000 units  0.3 hrs per unit = 3,000 hrs
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Performance management
         Solution                                                                                     4
                                                                                    units
             Actual sales volume                                                  61,000
             Budgeted sales volume (25%  200,000)                                50,000
             Sales volume variance in units                                       11,000 (F)
             Standard contribution per unit                                           ₦40
             Sales volume variance in ₦ contribution                          ₦440,000 (F)
             Market size variance                                                  units
             Ex post (actual) total market size                                 260,000
             Ex ante (budgeted) total market size                               200,000
             Total difference                                                     60,000        (F)
             Budgeted market share                                                  25%
             Market size variance (in units)                                      15,000 (F)
             Standard contribution per unit                                          ₦40
             Market size variance in ₦ contribution                           ₦600,000 (F)
             Market share variance                                                 units
             Ex post (actual) total market size                                 260,000
             Budgeted market share                                                 25%
             Expected sales if budgeted market share achieved                     65,000
             Actual sales                                                         61,000
             Market share variance (units)                                         4,000 (A)
             Standard contribution per unit                                          ₦40
             Market share variance in ₦ contribution                          ₦160,000 (A)
             Summary                                                             ₦
             Market size variance                                               600,000 (F)
             Market share variance                                              160,000 (A)
             Total sales volume variance                                        440,000 (F)
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                                                                     Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis
         Solution                                                                                          5
                                                                         Units
                 Actual market size  Actual market share
                 260,000 units  X%                                  61,000
                                                                                  Market share
                                                                                  4,000 units (A)
                 Actual market size  standard market share
                 260,000 units  25%                                 65,000
                                                                                  Market size
                                                                                  15,000 units (F)
                 Budgeted market size  standard market share
                 200,000 units  25%                                 50,000
                                                                                     Contribution
                 Total sales volume variance:                      Units               (@₦40)
                 Market share variance                            4,000 (A)           (160,000)
                 Market size variance                            15,000 (F)            600,000
                 Total sales volume variance                     11,000 (F)             440,000
© Emile Woolf International                     321           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  9
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                       CHAPTER
       Performance management
                                       Performance analysis
Contents
1 Measuring performance
2 Financial performance indicators (FPIs)
3 Non-financial performance indicators (NFPIs)
4 Longer-term views of performance
5 The balanced scorecard approach
6 Fitzgerald and Moon building block model
7 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance analysis develops and deepens candidates’ ability to provide information and
decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a focus on linking
costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical success factors and
operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a social purpose. Much
of the work involved in performance analysis involves short-term reviews, for example
comparisons of actual performance against a budget or target, or comparisons with previous
time periods. However, there is also a longer-term or strategic aspect to performance
management. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions, and also to consider the
strategic implications of performance indicators for the long-term success of an organisation.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 C     Performance measurement and control
       1     Performance analysis
             a     Select and calculate suitable financial performance measures for a business
                   from a given data and information.
             b     Evaluate the results of calculated financial performance measures based on
                   business objectives and advise management on appropriate actions.
             c     Select and calculate suitable non-financial performance measures for a
                   business from a given data and information.
             d     Evaluate the results of calculated non-financial performance measures based
                   on business objectives and advise management on appropriate actions.
             e     Explain the causes and problems created by short-termism and financial
                   manipulation of results and suggest methods to encourage a long term view.
             f     Discuss sustainability consideration in performance measurement of a
                   business.
             g     Select and explain stakeholders based measures of performance that may
                   be used to evaluate social and environmental performance of a business.
             h     Explain and interpret the Balanced Scorecard and Fitzgerald and Moon
                   Building Block model.
Exam context
This chapter explains various approaches to entity performance analysis, and its application
to performance management, for both for-profit and not-for-profit organisations. It also looks
at the longer-term or strategic implications of performance.
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                                                                        Chapter 9: Performance analysis
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
    Explain the nature of performance and non-performance indicators in a performance
     management system
    Measure and use a range of financial performance indicators
    Measure and use a range of non-financial performance indicators
    Explain the nature of short-termism in performance measurement
    Explain the relevance of sustainability measurements (social and environmental
     measurements) for an assessment of longer-term performance
    Explain the balanced scorecard approach to performance management and apply it in a
     given scenario
    Explain the Fitzgerald and Moon Building Block model and its application to performance
     measurement in service industries
© Emile Woolf International                   325        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
 Performance management
 1      MEASURING PERFORMANCE
          Section overview
              Performance and performance management
              Financial performance
              Non-financial performance
              Performance management systems
1.1 Performance and performance management
                Performance of an organisation is concerned with what the organisation has
                done or expects to do, and with how well this compares with a target or budget,
                or with past performance, or with long-term (strategic) objectives.
                Performance management is concerned with:
                       setting targets for performance;
                       monitoring actual performance and progress towards the targets; and
                       taking control measures when actual performance is worse than expected.
                Performance is measured, and measurements may be both financial and non-
                financial.
        1.2 Financial performance
                Financial performance for an organisation is concerned with the extent to which
                the financial objectives of the organisation are being met. Performance is
                measured in financial/monetary terms.
                       For most businesses, the main objective is to make a profit or return on
                        capital invested. Financial performance is concerned with the factors that
                        contribute to profitability and return, such as sales and costs, as well as
                        profits and return.
                       Not-for-profit organisations such as government and charities do not have
                        an objective of making a profit. However, financial performance is relevant
                        to them too, in terms of keeping spending within the limits of the money or
                        funds available to them, and using the money that they have in the best
                        way they can.
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                                                                                 Chapter 9: Performance analysis
        1.3 Non-financial performance
                Non-financial performance is performance that is not measured in financial or
                monetary terms, although non-financial performance can be a contributing factor
                to overall financial performance.
                Examples of non-financial performance in business are output capacity, labour
                productivity, labour turnover, customer satisfaction and innovation.
                Organisations measure non-financial performance as well as financial
                performance.
1.4 Performance management systems
                Performance management systems are constructed to drive the behaviour of
                employees so that the company achieves its corporate objectives.
                Performance management systems have a key role to play in many aspects of
                strategic planning and are concerned with:
                       setting targets for the achievement of the organisation’s main strategic
                        objective;
                       setting targets for each strategy that is implemented for achieving the main
                        strategic objective;
                       setting targets at all levels of management within the organisation: all
                        planning targets (at all levels within the entity) should be consistent with the
                        strategic targets and objectives;
                       measuring actual performance;
                       comparing actual performance with the targets;
                       where appropriate, taking control measures; and
                       where appropriate, changing the targets.
                Performance management is therefore concerned with planning and controlling,
                at all levels within an organisation.
                A business entity must have management information systems that are capable
                of providing reliable and relevant information about all the important aspects of
                performance.
                Performance targets are set, and actual performance is measured, by means of
                performance indicators. These may be financial or non-financial, and non-
                financial indicators may be either quantitative or qualitative. A key performance
                indicator (KPI) is a measure of performance that is considered critically important
                for achieving success or progress in relation to a specified goal.
                It is important to understand that performance measurement can indicate when
                aspects of performance are much better or much worse than expected, but they
                do not usually indicate the reason for the good or bad performance. When
                performance measures indicate an unexpected difference between actual and
                expected performance, management should investigate the reason or reasons for
                the difference and take any appropriate measures when they discover the cause
                of the problem.
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 Performance management
 2      FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (FPIs)
          Section overview
              Performance indicators: definition
              Aspects of financial performance
              Using ratios: comparisons
              FPIs for measuring profitability
              FPIs for measuring liquidity
              FPIs for measuring financial risk
              The limitations of financial ratios as performance indicators
              Industry specific ratios
        2.1 Performance indicators: definition
                A performance indicator is a performance measurement that is used to evaluate
                the success of an organisation or of a particular activity. A financial performance
                indicator is an indicator that relates to an aspect of financial performance that is
                measured quantitatively and in financial terms.
2.2 Aspects of financial performance
                There a variety of financial performance indicators that could be used by the
                management of a business. These include:
                       Absolute measures, such as sales turnover, costs and profit;
                       Financial ratios;
                       Variances (differences between actual and expected performance).
                Performance is assessed by comparing indicators of actual performance with
                indicators of budgeted or expected performance, or with indicators of past
                performance. Comparisons with past performance indicate whether performance
                is improving or getting worse.
                This chapter focuses on the use of ratios for performance measurement.
                Ratio analysis
                Ratio analysis is a common method of analysing and measuring the financial
                performance of an organisation. Although profitability is a very important aspect
                of business performance, it is not the only aspect of financial performance that
                should be monitored. The main aspects of financial performance in a for-profit
                organisation are usually:
                       profitability;
                       liquidity; and
                       financial risk.
                Information for measuring financial performance is obtained largely from internal
                sources – financial statements produced by the accounting systems of the
                organisation.
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                                                                              Chapter 9: Performance analysis
                Each financial ratio should be a potential significance. Remember that it is not
                good enough simply to know how to calculate a ratio. You need to understand
                what the ratio might tell you about financial performance.
2.3 Using ratios: comparisons
      Financial ratios can be used as indicators to make comparisons of performance:
               Over a number of years or months. By looking at the ratios of a business entity
                over a number of years or months, it may be possible to detect improvements or
                deterioration in the financial performance or financial position. For example,
                changes over time can be used to measure rates of growth or decline in sales or
                profits. Ratios can therefore be used to make comparisons over time, to identify
                changes or trends, and (perhaps) to assess whether the rate of change is ‘good’
                or ‘bad’.
               With similar ratios of other, similar companies for the same period.
               With target ratios or budgeted ratios of financial performance
               In some cases, perhaps, with ‘industry average’ ratios.
2.4 FPIs for measuring profitability
      Profitability depends on sales revenues and costs. Financial performance indicators that
      may be relevant for assessing performance include ratios for sales and costs, as well as
      profit.
      Profitability may also be assessed by relating profit to the amount of capital employed by
      the business. Return on investment (ROI) and other similar financial ratios are explained
      in the later chapter on divisional performance.
      Percentage annual growth in sales
      Business entities will monitor their annual growth (or decline) in sales, measured as a
      percentage of sales in the previous year.
      For example, if sales in the year just ended were ₦5,800,000 and sales in the
      previous year were ₦5,500,000, the annual growth in sales has been
      (₦300,000/₦5,500,000) × 100% = 5.45%.
      Sales growth can be a very important measure of financial performance for a
      number of reasons.
             If a company wishes to increase its annual profits, it will probably want to
              increase its annual sales revenue. Sales growth is usually necessary for
              achieving a sustained growth in profits over time.
             The rate of growth can be significant. For example, suppose that the annual rate of
              growth in a particular market is 7%. If a company achieves sales growth in the year
              of 15%, it will probably consider this to be a good performance. If sales growth is
              3%, this would probably be considered poor performance – although sales have
              increased, they have not increased in line with growth in the market.
             The period of time over which growth is achieved can also be important. For
              example, if a company achieves growth in sales of 20% during one year, this
              might be considered a good performance. However, performance
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Performance management
             would be even better if the company achieves annual growth in sales of 20% over
             a five-year period. Sustained growth would indicate that performance has been
             improving over the long term and might therefore be expected to continue in the
             future.
               Sales growth (or a decline in sales) can usually be attributed to two causes:
                      sales prices; and
                      sales volume.
               Any growth in sales should be analysed to identify whether it has been caused by
               changes in sales prices, changes in sales volume or a combination of both.
               (Note: In some cases, a company may introduce new products, or cease
               producing some of its products; in such cases, growth or decline in sales will also
               be attributable to changes in the number of products sold).
                 Example: Sales performance
                 Laffco Nigeria Limited sells orange juice in standard-sized cartons. The market
                 for orange juice is very competitive and there are several larger competitors in
                 the market. Sales data for the previous three years are as follows.
                                               Current year         Year – 1                Year – 2
                                               (just ended)      (previous year)
                     Sales revenue              ₦15 million       ₦13.5 million           ₦12 million
                     Cartons sold (millions)      6 million           5 million             4 million
                 Required: Analyse sales performance.
                 Answer
                 Sales growth in the current year was ₦(15 million – 13.5 million)/₦13.5 million =
                 11.1%.
                 Sales growth in the previous year was ₦(13.5 million – 12 million)/₦12 million =
                 12.5%.
                 The growth ratios are easy to calculate, but how should they be interpreted?
                 In a competitive market, achieving growth in revenue of 12.5% in one year
                 followed by 11.1% the next should probably be considered very good
                 performance.
                 The average sales price per carton was ₦3 two years ago, ₦2.70 one year ago
                 and ₦2.50 in the current year. This may suggest that sales growth has been
                 achieved by cutting the sales price: lower sales prices often result in a higher
                 volume of sales.
                 The volume of sales (cartons sold) rose by 25% two years ago and 20% in the
                 current year. This strong growth in sales may be due to excellent marketing
                 activity by the company, or to the reductions in the selling price.
                 On the basis of the limited information available, it seems possible that the
                 company has succeeded in increasing sales within a competitive market by
                 reducing its selling prices.
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                                                                                 Chapter 9: Performance analysis
               Profit margin
               Profit margin is the profit as a percentage of sales revenue. It is therefore the
               ratio of the profit that has been achieved for every ₦1 of sales.
                 Formula: Profit margin
                                                                Profit
                                    Profit margin   =                                100
                                                                Sales
               It is wrong to conclude, without further analysis, that a high profit margin means
               ‘good performance’ and a low profit margin means ‘bad performance’. To assess
               performance by looking at profit margins, it is necessary to look at the
               circumstances in which the profit margin has been achieved.
                      Some companies operate in an industry or market where profit margins are
                       high, although sales volume may be low. Other companies may operate in
                       a market where profit margins are low but sales volumes are much higher.
                       For example, the profit margin earned on high-fashion clothes should be
                       much higher than the profit margin on low-priced clothing sold in large
                       supermarkets or stores.
                      Changes in the profit margin from one year to the next should be
                       monitored; improvements may be a sign of ‘good performance’ and falling
                       profit margins may be a cause for concern.
               There are several ways of measuring profit margin. If you are required to
               measure profit margin in your examination, the most suitable ratio is likely to be:
                      Gross profit margin (= gross profit/sales). Gross profit is sales revenue
                       minus the cost of sales.
                      Net profit margin (= net profit/sales). Net profit = gross profit minus all other
                       costs, such as administration costs and selling and distribution costs.
               In some industries, particularly service industries, companies do not measure a
               cost of sales, and so do not measure a gross profit and gross profit/sales ratio.
               Any change in profit margin from one year to the next will be caused by:
                      changes in selling prices, or
                      changes in costs as a percentage of sales, or
                      a combination of both.
               Changes in costs as a percentage of sales may be caused by a growth or fall in
               sales volumes, where there are fixed costs in the entity’s cost structure.
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Performance management
                 Example: Profitability analysis
                 Sobco makes and sells footwear. Its profits and sales revenue for the past three
                 years are as follows
                                             Current year          Year – 1                 Year – 2
                                             (just ended)        (previous year)
                     Sales revenue           ₦20 million          ₦22 million            ₦24 million
                     Items sold               1 million           1.1 million             1.2 million
                     Gross profit            ₦5.8 million         ₦6.6million            ₦6.8 million
                     Net profit              ₦0.4 million        ₦1.2 million            ₦1.4 million
                 Required
                 Analyse profitability and costs.
                 Answer
                 Profit margins are as follows:
                                                    20X9 (year             20X8                  20X7
                                                    just ended
                     Gross profit margin (%)          29.0%               30.0%                 28.3%
                     Net profit margin (%)            2.0%                 5.5%                  5.8%
                 The gross profit margin has fallen slightly in the current year, but is higher than
                 the gross profit margin two years ago. There is insufficient information to assess
                 performance, except to conclude that the gross profit margin has been fairly
                 stable over the three-year period.
                 (This means that the ratio of cost of sales as a percentage of sales has also been
                 fairly constant. The cost of sales/sales ratio is simply 100% minus the gross
                 profit margin.)
                 The net profit margin has fallen from 5.8% two years ago to 2.0% in the current
                 year. The actual net profit has fallen from ₦1.4 million to ₦0.4 million. The
                 reason for the fall in net profit margin is attributable to either changes in selling
                 prices or changes in costs (as a percentage of sales).
                 The average selling price per unit has been ₦20 in each of the three years,
                 suggesting that the fall in net profit margin is not caused by changes in selling
                 prices.
                 The fall in net profit margin is therefore due to changes in costs. Although there
                 has been some variability in the ratio of cost of sales to sales revenue, the main
                 problem appears to be changes in ‘other costs’ as a percentage of sales.
                 Other costs = the difference between gross profit and net profit. Two years ago
                 these were ₦5.4 million (= ₦6.8 million - ₦1.4 million), one year ago they were
                 ₦5.4 million (= ₦6.6 million - ₦1.2 million) and in the current year they were also
                 ₦5.4 million (= ₦5.8 million - ₦0.4 million). This suggests that other costs are al
                 fixed costs.
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                                                                                  Chapter 9: Performance analysis
                  Answer (continued)
                  Fixed costs have remained constant each year, but sales revenue has fallen due
                  to falling sales volume. The reduction in the net profit margin can therefore be
                  attributed mainly to the higher ratio of other fixed costs to sales revenue – in
                  other words, to falling sales.
                Cost/sales ratios
                Profitability may also be measured by cost/sales ratios, such as ratios of:
                       cost of sales/sales;
                       administration costs/sales;
                       sales and distribution costs/sales; and
                       total labour costs/sales.
                Performance may be assessed by looking at changes in these ratios over time. A
                large increase or reduction in any of these ratios would have a significant effect
                on profit margin. For example, if the ratio of administration cost/sales increases
                from 15% to 18%, it should be expected that the net profit margin will fall by 3%
                (three percentage points).
2.5 FPIs for measuring liquidity
                Liquidity for a business entity means having enough cash, or having ready
                access to additional cash, to meet liabilities when they fall due for payment. The
                most important sources of liquidity for non-bank companies are:
                       operational cash flows (cash from sales);
                       liquid investments, such as cash held on deposit or readily-marketable
                        shares in other companies;
                       a bank overdraft arrangement or a similar readily-available borrowing
                        facility from a bank.
                Cash may also come from other sources, such as the sale of a valuable non-
                current asset (such as land and buildings), although obtaining cash from these
                sources may need some time.
                Liquidity is important for a business entity because without it, the entity may
                become insolvent even though it is operating at a profit. If the entity is unable to
                settle its liabilities when they fall due, there is a risk that a creditor will take legal
                action and this action could lead on to insolvency proceedings.
                On the other hand, a business entity may have too much liquidity, when it is
                holding much more cash than it needs, so that the cash is ‘idle’, earning little or
                no interest. Managing liquidity is often a matter of ensuring that there is sufficient
                liquidity, but without having too much.
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               Changes in the cash balance or bank overdraft balance
               A simple method of monitoring liquidity is to keep the cash balance at the bank
               under continual review and look for any deterioration (or improvement) in the
               cash position. If the entity has a bank overdraft facility, the cash position should
               be monitored to make sure that the overdraft does not get too close to the limit.
               When there is a big change in the cash position, it is important to investigate the
               reason for the change and judge whether liquidity has become a matter for
               concern. If you are familiar with statements of cash flows, you should be aware of
               the various sources of cash and reasons for payments of cash. A large fall in
               cash (or a big increase in the bank overdraft) may be caused by:
                      operating losses;
                      increases in working capital (inventory plus receivables, minus trade
                       payables);
                      expenditures on investments, such as purchases of new non-current
                       assets; and
                      repayments of debt capital (bank loans) or payments of dividends.
               A reduction in cash caused by operating losses would be the most serious
               reason for a loss of liquidity, but when a business entity is short of liquidity
               anything that uses up cash may be significant.
               Liquidity ratios
               Liquidity may also be monitored by looking at changes in liquidity ratios over time.
               There are two ratios for measuring liquidity that could be used:
                      current ratio; and
                      quick ratio, also called the acid test ratio.
               The more suitable ratio for use depends on whether inventory is considered a
               liquid asset that will soon be used or sold and converted into cash from sales.
               The current ratio is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities.
                 Formula: Current ratio
                                                            Current assets
                              Current ratio   =
                                                           Current liabilities
               It is sometimes suggested that there is an ‘ideal’ current ratio of 2.0 times (2:1).
               However, this is not necessarily true and in some industries, much lower current
               ratios are normal. It is important to assess a current ratio by considering:
                      changes in the ratio over time; and
                      the liquidity ratios of other companies in the same industry.
               The quick ratio or acid test ratio is the ratio of ‘current assets excluding
               inventory’ to current liabilities. Inventory is excluded from current assets on the
               assumption that it is not a very liquid item.
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                 Formula: Quick ratio
                                                 Current assets excluding inventory
                         Quick ratio    =
                                                         Current liabilities
               This ratio is a better measurement of liquidity than the current ratio when
               inventory turnover times are very slow, and inventory is not a liquid asset.
               It is sometimes suggested that there is an ‘ideal’ quick ratio of 1.0 times (1:1).
               However, this is not necessarily true, and in some industries much lower quick
               ratios are normal. As indicated earlier, it is important to assess liquidity by looking
               at changes in the ratio over time, and comparisons with other companies and the
               industry norm.
               When there is a significant change in liquidity, the reason should be investigated.
               Liquidity ratios will deteriorate (i.e. get smaller) when:
                      there is an increase in current liabilities without an increase in current
                       assets; or
                      there is a reduction in current assets without a reduction in current liabilities
                       (for example, writing off inventory or bad debts).
               Examples of reasons for a reduction in liquidity are:
                      operating losses; and
                      using cash to purchase new non-current assets.
                 Example: Quick and current ratios
                 The following data relates to a café:
                                                              20X6               20X7                20X8
                                                               ₦                    ₦                   ₦
                     Current assets
                 Mr.Inventories
                      Biggs Cafeteria.                       2,985              3,028                3,211
                   Other current assets                      9.594              9,652                7,660
                     Total current assets                    12,579             12,680              10,871
                     Current liabilities
                     Creditors                               19,021             18,604              19,523
                     Other current liabilities               4,566              4,306               4,414
                   Total current liabilities                 23,587             22,910              23,937
                 Required:
                 Calculate the current and quick ratios for the cafe
                   and comment on the results.
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                  Answer
                  The current and quick ratios are as follows
                      Current ratio
                      Total current assets                  12,579           12,680              10,871
                      Total current liabilities            ÷23,587          ÷22,910             ÷23,937
                      Current ratio                         0.53              0.55                0.45
                      Quick ratio
                      Total current assets                  9,594            9,652               7,660
                      Total current liabilities            ÷23,587          ÷22,910             ÷23,937
                      Quick ratio                           0.41              0.42                0.32
                      Both the current and quick ratios are stable between 20X6 and 20X7 with a
                      current ratio of around 0.54 and a quick ratio of around 0.41.
                      Whether the ratios are at an acceptable value or are cause for concern
                      depends on what is normal for the industry.
                      A business like the café might be able to take credit from its suppliers
                      but is making sales for cash. This allows it to operate with ratios that
                      might appear more worrying in another type of business.
                      The difference between the current and quick ratios is not really important
                      in this case. The inventory of this sort of business can be turned into cash in
                      a very short time frame and might be considered almost as good as cash in
                      terms of enabling the business to pay its debts as and when they fall due.
                      Both the current and quick ratios decrease in 20X8 and this sudden
                      deterioration after a period of stability might be might be cause for
                      concern.
2.6 FPIs for measuring financial risk
                Financial risk is the risk to a business entity that arises for reasons related to its
                financial structure or financial arrangements. There are several major sources of
                financial risk, such as credit risk (the risk of bad debts because customers who
                are given credit will fail to pay what they owe) and foreign exchange for
                companies that import or export goods or services (the risk of an adverse
                movement in an important currency exchange rate).
                A significant risk is the risk that could arise through borrowing. If an entity
                borrows money, it will have to pay the money back at some time and will also
                have to pay interest. The risk is that if an entity borrows very large amounts of
                money, it might fail to generate enough cash from its business operations to pay
                the interest or repay the debt principal.
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                 Example: Financial risk
                 Zapco is an advertising agency. Next year it expects to make a profit before
                 interest of ₦300,000. The company has a bank loan of ₦3 million, which is
                 repayable in one year’s time and on which the rate of interest is 8%.
                 What are the financial risks for Zapco?
                 Answer
                 The annual cost of interest on the bank loan is ₦240,000 (= 8%  ₦3,000,000).
                 The profit is enough to cover the interest, but with only ₦60,000 to spare.
                 A financial risk for Zapco is that if profit next year is more than ₦60,000 below
                 expectation, it will make a loss after interest.
                 Another risk is that it may be unable to meet the interest payments on the loan,
                 unless it has spare cash that it can use or other sources of liquidity such as extra
                 bank borrowing.
                 A third risk is that when the bank loan has to be repaid in one year’s time, Zapco
                 may need to borrow more money in order to repay the loan. This is often referred
                 to as ‘renewing’ a loan. However the bank might refuse to re-lend the money and
                 might insist on repayment in full and on time. If Zapco can’t do this, it will be
                 faced with the risk of insolvency.
                 Financial risk depends to a large extent on conditions in the financial markets.
                 There have been times when ‘credit’ has been easy to obtain, and a company
                 wishing to borrow more money could do so quite easily. However, a ‘credit
                 bubble’ can turn into a ‘credit squeeze’, when banks cut their lending and are
                 reluctant to renew loans. A global credit squeeze began in 2007, and for many
                 companies with large amounts of borrowing, the risks of insolvency became
                 much greater.
               Debt ratios
               Debt ratios can be used to assess whether the total debts of the entity are within
               control and are not excessive.
               Gearing ratio (leverage)
               Gearing, also called leverage, measures the total long-term debt of a company as
               a percentage of either:
                      the equity capital in the company, or
                      the total capital of the company.
                 Formula: Gearing ratio
                                                           Long term debt
                        Gearing ratio   =                                                           100
                                             Share capital + reserves + long term debt
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               Alternatively:
                 Formula: Debt to equity ratio
                                                                   Long term debt
                              Debt to equity ratio   =                                           100
                                                               Share capital + reserves
               When there are preference shares, it is usual to include the preference shares
               within long-term debt, not share capital.
               A company is said to be high-geared or highly-leveraged when its debt capital
               exceeds its share capital and reserves. This means that a company is high-
               geared when the gearing ratio is above either 50% or 100%, depending on which
               method is used to calculate the ratio.
               A company is said to be low-geared when the amount of its debt capital is less
               than its share capital and reserves. This means that a company is low-geared
               when the gearing ratio is less than either 50% or 100%, depending on which
               method is used to calculate the ratio.
               The gearing ratio can be used to monitor changes in the amount of debt of a
               company over time. It can also be used to make comparisons with the gearing
               levels of other, similar companies, to judge whether the company has too much
               debt, or perhaps too little, in its capital structure.
                 Example: Gearing
                 Company A and Company B are identical in all respects except their gearing.
                 Both have assets of ₦30,000 and both make the same operating profit (PBIT).
                 Company A is financed purely by equity, and Company B is financed by a mixture
                 of debt and equity as follows.
                                                                Company A         Company B
                     Assets                                       30,000            30,000
                     Ordinary shares of ₦1                        30,000              20,000
                     10% bonds                                                        10,000
                                                                  30,000              30,000
                 Company B has to make a profit of at least ₦1,000 in order to be able to pay the
                 interest on the 10% bond.
                 Company A has no debt, so does not need to cover the interest payments and so
                 does not have any minimum PBIT requirement.
                 Company B is therefore riskier than company A.
                 Lower geared companies are less risky than higher geared companies as there is
                 a greater likelihood that its PBIT will be high enough to cover interest charges and
                 make a profit for the shareholders
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               Interest cover ratio
               Interest cover measures the ability of the company to meet its obligations to pay
               interest.
                 Formula: Interest cover
                                                     Profit before interest and tax
                              Interest cover   =
                                                     Interest charges in the year
               An interest cover ratio of less than 3.0 times is considered very low, suggesting
               that the company could be at risk from too much debt in relation to the amount of
               profits it is earning.
               The risk is that a significant fall in profitability could mean that profits are
               insufficient to cover interest charges, and the entity will therefore be at risk from
               any legal action or other action that lenders might take.
                 Example: Gearing and interest cover
                 The following data relates to All Stores, a large chain of supermarkets.
                                                           20X6              20X7                20X8
                                                           ₦’000             ₦’000               ₦’000
                     Current liabilities
                     Short-term debt (at 5%)               11,773            6,402                5,453
                     Non-current liabilities
                     Long-term debt (2%)                   41,771            41,086              38,214
                     Capital and reserves
                     Total shareholders’ equity
                     (share capital plus reserves)         79,209            81,394              80,546
                     Earnings before interest and
                     tax (EBIT)                            27,260            21,638              20,497
                 Required
                 Calculate the gearing and interest cover ratios for All Stores and comment on the
                 results.
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                 Answer
                 Gearing
                 Gearing is calculated using the formula:
                                                            20X6              20X7               20X8
                                                            ₦’000            ₦’000              ₦’000
                     Long-term debt                        41,771            41,086            38,214           (1)
                     Total shareholders’ equity
                     (share capital plus reserves)          79,209            81,394            80,546
                                                           120,980         122,480            118,760           (2)
                     Gearing ratio
                     (1) as a percentage of (2)            34.53%           33.55%             32.18%
                 The gearing level has decreased over the 3 year period.
                 This shows that All Stores is less reliant on debt to fund its business.
                 The interest cover at All Store over the three years is as follows:
                                                            20X6              20X7               20X8
                                                            ₦’000            ₦’000              ₦’000
                     EBIT                                  27,260            21,638             20,497
                     Interest
                       Short-term debt                     11,773              6,402              5,453
                       Interest at 5%                         539                320                273
                       Long-term debt                      41,771            41,086             38,214
                       Interest at 2%                         835                822                764
                       Total interest in the year           1,374              1,140              1,037
                     Interest cover
                     (EBIT/Total interest)                  19.84            18.98              19.76
                 The interest level remained fairly stable over the three year period, despite the
                 fall in earnings before interest and tax the company experienced over this time
                 frame.
                 The company’s level of gearing has fallen so interest is still easily be covered by
                 the company despite the fall in earnings.
                 The figure itself is around 19 times which indicates this company is unlikely to
                 present much risk and could withstand a fall in profits without compromising its
                 ability to repay interest.
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2.7 The limitations of financial ratios as performance indicators
                There are several limitations or weaknesses in the use of financial ratios for
                analysing the performance of companies.
                       Ratios can only indicate possible strengths or weaknesses in financial
                        position and financial performance. They might raise questions about
                        performance, but do not provide answers. They are not easy to interpret,
                        and changes in financial ratios over time might not be easy to explain.
                       Using financial ratios to measure performance can sometimes lead
                        managers to focus on the short-term rather than the long-term success of
                        the business.
                       There is some risk that managers may decide to ‘manipulate’ financial
                        performance, for example by delaying a large item of expenditure or
                        bringing forward the date of a major business transaction, in order to
                        increase or reduce profitability in one period (and so reduce or increase the
                        profit for the next financial period). The risk of manipulating financial results
                        is particularly significant when managers are paid annual bonuses on the
                        basis of financial performance.
2.8 Industry specific ratios
                Many of the above financial ratios can be used to analyse performance of
                different types of company.
                There are some financial performance measures which might be used in specific
                industries. For example:
                       annual sales revenue per cubic metre of shelf space (a ratio used by
                        supermarkets and other stores);
                       cost per tonne-mile carried (road haulage companies);
                       cost per passenger-mile carried (transport companies);
                       average income per consultant day (management consultancy company);
                       add-on revenue per guest night (hotels).
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                 Example: Industry specific ratios
                 A company transports grain from the countryside to the capital city.
                 The following information has been gathered for a period:
                     Load per lorry                                                     20 tonnes
                       Distance per trip                                                 300 km
                       Cost per km                                                         ₦500
                       Total cost (300 km  ₦500)                                       ₦150,000
                       Tonnes per km (300 km  20 tonne)                             ÷6,000 tonnes
                       Cost per tonne per km                                                ₦25
                       Note: Tonnes per km – Carrying 20 tonnes for 30 km is the equivalent of
                       carrying 6,000 tonnes for 1 km.
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3      NON-FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (NFPIs)
         Section overview
             Non-financial performance indicators
             Non-financial aspects of performance
             Common areas in which companies adopt NFPIs
             NFPIs for departments or functions
             NFPIs in different types of industry
             Analysing NFPIs
             Benchmarking
       3.1 Non-financial performance indicators
               Financial performance alone does not give a complete picture of the performance
               of an entity. Financial performance is the result of other factors such as market
               share and customer satisfaction. Understanding the performance of an entity
               requires an understanding of the underlying factors which drive that performance.
               The critical non-financial performance factors must also be assessed, because
               they determine the size of profits that a company will make in the longer-term.
               Therefore targets must be established for non-financial aspects of performance,
               and performance should be measured against those targets.
               Non-financial performance indicators (NFPIs) are measurements of performance
               that are not financial or monetary. Whereas financial performance indicators are
               quantitative, non-financial performance indicators may be either:
                      quantitative indicators, i.e. measured numerically; or
                      qualitative indicators, i.e. not measured numerically.
               Where possible, it is usually preferable to use quantitative measures of
               performance, because these make comparisons easier. For example, customer
               satisfaction is a non-financial aspect of performance, and could be measured in
               qualitative terms – i.e. is customer satisfaction improving or getting worse?
               However it might be possible to measure customer satisfaction quantitatively, by
               asking customers to provide feedback and satisfaction ratings for the products or
               services they have bought. Satisfaction ratings, say on a scale of 1 to 10, turn a
               qualitative aspect of performance into one that can be measure numerically.
               Variability in the circumstances of different businesses
               With financial performance measurement, there are a limited number of financial
               performance indicators that are used and applied to all types of business. For
               example, the ratios discussed in the previous section can be used to measure the
               performance of many different types of company (though interpretation should be
               carried out in the light of knowledge of the relevant business sector).
               With NFPIs, the key measures of performance vary between different types of
               business and depend on the nature of the business. For example, the key non-
               financial measures of performance for a chemical manufacturer will differ from
               those of a passenger transport company such as a bus or train company.
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               Also, non-financial performance indicators might differ between companies within
               the same industry. This is because the companies might operate on different
               business models or might be trying to achieve different objectives or might simply
               have a different view of what is important to the success of their business.
               Time scale for achievement
               Financial performance targets are often set for a budget period, and actual
               performance is compared against budget. Non-financial performance targets
               need not be restricted to one year, and in some cases it may be sensible to
               establish targets for a longer term (or possibly a shorter term) than one year.
               Unfortunately, if some employees are awarded cash bonuses for achieving non-
               financial performance targets, there will be a tendency to set annual targets in
               order to fit in with the annual budget cycle.
       3.2     Non-financial aspects of performance
               For the purpose of assessing the performance of the entity as a whole, it is
               necessary to identify which aspects of non-financial performance are the most
               important in terms of the organisation’s objectives. The problem is to decide
               which aspects of performance are critically important. An organisation might
               identify a number of critical aspects of performance across in different
               departments within the business.
               The whole process would involve:
                      Identification of objective
                      Identification of the critical aspects of performance necessary to achieve
                       the objective
                      Setting targets to drive behaviour towards addressing these critical aspects
                       of performance
                      Measuring actual performance so that it can be compared to the desired
                       level of performance
                      Communicating results to managers of responsibility centres.
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                Identifying performance indicators
                An organisation would need to carry out some form of analysis to identify suitable
                non-financial performance indicators
                  Example: Identifying NFPIs for a railway company.
                        Objective                     To increase passenger revenue by
                                                      improving the utilisation of each train
                        How will we do this?          By attracting more passengers
                        How?                          By giving them what they value
                        What do they value?           Trains being on time
                                                      Cleanliness and comfort
                        Possible NFPIs
                          Overall                     Percentage capacity utilisation
                                                      Percentage change in number of
                                                      passenger journeys
                          Trains being on time        Percentage of trains that arrive late
                                                      Number of cancellations
                          Cleanliness and comfort     Level of customer satisfaction (from
                                                      surveys)
                For each of the NFPIs identified above the company would need to establish
                suitable targets, systems for measuring the performance and systems for
                communicating results to managers.
3.3 Common areas in which companies adopt NFPIs
                Many companies identify non-financial performance indicators in the following
                areas:
                       human resources;
                       customer satisfaction; and
                       quality.
                In all cases suitable indicators and associated targets would be established as a
                result of analysis similar to that illustrated above.
                Human resources
                A motivated and well-trained workforce of adequate size is often vital to an
                organisation achieving its objectives.
                Possible NFPIs include the following
                       labour productivity: output produced per man per hour; or average time to
                        produce a unit of output; or number of customer calls handled per day
                       labour turnover rate;
                       training days per year;
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                       absenteeism rates (e.g sick days) often used as a measure of staff morale;
                       average hours worked;
                       idle time;
                       proportion of billable hours;
                       head count by grade of labour.
                Customer satisfaction
                It is customers that ultimately determine the level of profits. Companies often
                analyse what is important to their customers and structure their marketing
                offering in line with this.
                Measures of customer satisfaction might include:
                       percentages of new and returning customers;
                       percentage of subscribers renewing their annual subscription;
                       results of customer satisfaction surveys;
                       number of complaints;
                       speed of complaint resolution;
                       subsequent sales to customers who registered a complaint previously.
                Quality
                Quality is linked closely to customer satisfaction. Resolving quality issues has a
                direct cost (e.g. the cost of replacing an item) and indirect costs (e.g. lost goodwill
                leading to future lost sales).
                Possible quality measures include:
                       proportion of re-worked items during production;
                       proportion of returns;
                       proportion of fails;
                       number of successful inspections.
3.4 NFPIs for departments or functions
                Performance targets can be set for an entity’s departments or in respect of its
                functions.
                Possible non-financial performance indicators might be as follows for different
                departments:
                       Sales and customer service
                              calls per hour
                              conversion rates of calls to orders
                              proportion of returning customers
                              proportion of 'very satisfied' customers
                              average waiting time
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                              number of advertising campaigns run
                       Online sales
                              Number of visits to website
                              Conversion rates (number of sales as a percentage of the number of
                               visits)
                              Number of return visits
                              Number of sales to returning customers
                              Customer satisfaction (number of return visits/number of complaints)
                              Website down time
                              Delivery times (time between an order being placed and filled)
                       Inventory control
                              average inventory holding
                              proportion of wastage
                              number of stock outs
                              number of returns to suppliers
                       Sustainability/environmental measures
                              proportion of components sourced from 'green materials';
                              annual percentage reduction in CO2 emissions;
                              proportion of packaging that is recyclable.
                       Research and development
                              number of new invention ideas
                              conversion rate of invention ideas to production
                  Practice question                                                                          1
                  Suggest possible performance measures for a health and safety function in
                  a company.
3.5              NFPIs in different types of industry
                Key measures of non-financial performance vary between different types of
                business and depend on the nature of the business. It is impossible to provide
                examples for all industries, but the following are some possible examples of
                NFPIs that might be important in certain industries.
                       Airlines
                              average utilisation rates (i.e. percentage of aircraft occupied);
                              average non-availability;
                              planes - proportion of time in the air;
                              average turnaround time for when plane is on the ground.
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                       Manufacturing operations
                              average build time
                              average production line down-time
                              capacity utilisation
                       Hotels
                              occupancy rates for rooms; customer satisfaction measures.
3.6 Analysing NFPIs
                 Our earlier guidance about measuring and assessing performance applies to
                non-financial performance as to financial performance.
                       It is not sufficient simply to calculate a performance ratio or other
                        performance measurement.
                       You need to explain the significance of the ratio – What does it mean?
                        Does it indicate good or bad performance, and why?
                       Look at the background information given in the exam question and try to
                        identify a possible cause or reason for the good or bad performance.
                       Possibly, think of a suggestion for improving performance. What might be
                        done by management to make performance better?
                  Practice question                                                                            2
                  The following results relate to a company that makes and sells electric
                  appliances to retailers.
                  Comment on the following results:
                                                            2017         2018
                        Unit sales                          28,000      30,000
                        On time delivery                     95%          80%
                        Sales returns                        2%            6%
        3.7 Benchmarking
                It may be useful to be aware of benchmarking as a method of assessing
                performance. Benchmarking involves comparing performance with the
                performance of another, similar organisation or operation. In other words, another
                organisation or department is used as a ‘benchmark for comparison’.
                Performance can be assessed in terms of whether it has been better or worse
                than the selected benchmark. By making such comparisons, it should be possible
                to identify strengths and weaknesses in performance.
                There are three main types of benchmarking.
                       Internal benchmarking. An entity may have many similar operations, such
                        as regional or area branches. For example, a retail company may have a
                        network of retail stores. The best-performing stores or departments within
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                       stores can be used as a benchmark, and the performance of other
                       branches compared against it.
                      Competitive benchmarking. This involves comparing the performance of
                       the organisation against the performance of its most successful
                       competitors. In this way, the areas of performance where the competitor is
                       better can be identified, and measures can then be planned for reducing
                       the gap in performance.
                      Operational benchmarking. A company might use benchmarking to
                       assess the performance of a particular aspect of its operations, such as
                       customer order handling, handling e-commerce orders from the internet, or
                       warehousing and despatch operations. It may be able to identify a company
                       in a completely different industry that carries out similar operations
                       successfully. The other company might be prepared to act as a benchmark,
                       and allow its operations to be studied and its staff interviewed. The benefit
                       of this type of benchmarking is that a business is able to learn from world-
                       class companies how to improve its operations and raise its performance
                       levels.
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Performance management
4      LONGER-TERM VIEWS OF PERFORMANCE
         Section overview
             Short-termism in performance measurement
             Performance and sustainability
             Stakeholder-based measures of performance: social and environmental
              performance
       4.1 Short-termism in performance measurement
               Performance management systems are often used as a basis for rewarding
               managers for successful performance. For example, a manager may be given an
               annual bonus for keeping departmental costs below budget, or a sales manager
               may be rewarded if the sales and marketing department achieve sales in excess
               of the budget target.
               Bonus systems can encourage short-termism. Short-termism means taking
               measures to improve performance in the short-term, even though they are either
               misleading or harmful to the business in the longer term. Short-termism can take
               a variety of forms. Here are just a few examples.
                      A departmental manager is paid a bonus for keeping departmental costs
                       within budget. As a result, the manager decides to defer the purchase of
                       new equipment that would eventually improve output in the department.
                       The reason for deferring the expenditure is to avoid the higher depreciation
                       cost of a new item of equipment, so that departmental costs will not exceed
                       the budget.
                      Members of a management team are paid bonuses on the basis of sales
                       revenue obtained in the year. Near the end of the year, actual sales are
                       below budget. Management therefore decide to offer to sell a substantial
                       quantity of product to a customer at a heavily discounted price, even
                       though the sale would be loss-making, in order to meet budget sales
                       targets and obtain their bonus.
                      Managers might also manipulate financial results, such as treating
                       expenditures as a long-term asset, or moving revenues from one
                       accounting period to the next.
               Short-termism can be harmful to a company, and also misleading. Managers
               should be encouraged to make decisions that are in the longer-term interests of
               their organisation, instead of focusing on performance in the short term. An
               appropriate way of doing this might be for the organisation’s senior management
               to:
                      establish performance targets that are linked to the long-term success of
                       the organisation, such as growth in profits over several years, or sales
                       revenues from new and innovative products;
                      establish a reward scheme that rewards managers for achieving these
                       long-term targets rather than (or as well as) short-term targets for
                       performance.
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4.2 Performance and sustainability
                To succeed over the long term, a business must be sustainable. It needs to
                remain profitable, but to do this it also needs to consider the non-financial
                aspects of a sustainable business. Sustainability has been defined in terms of
                setting performance objectives for three areas or aspects of performance:
                       economic performance/ financial performance
                       performance relating to the environment
                       social aspects of performance.
                Economic, social and environmental performance are known as the ‘three pillars
                of sustainability’. They are also known as the three Ps (a phrase coined by John
                Elkington in 1994):
                       People refers to fair and beneficial business practices for labour
                        (employees), the community and region in which a corporation conducts its
                        business, and the organisation’s customers.
                       Planet (natural capital) refers to sustainable (‘green’) environmental
                        practices so environmental indicators might include measurements relating
                        to improving energy efficiency; minimising pollution; using renewable
                        materials or sources of energy and avoiding the use of non-renewable
                        items; and minimising waste, for example by recycling materials;
                       Profit is the economic value created by the organisation after deducting the
                        cost of all inputs, including the cost of the capital tied up. It is the real
                        economic impact the organisation has on its economic environment.
                Arguably, a business will not survive over the long term unless it gives due
                consideration to people and planet, as well as to profit.
        4.3 Stakeholder-based measures of performance: social and environmental
            performance
                  Definitions: Stakeholder
                  This is a person, group or organisation that has an interest in an entity.
                  Anybody who can affect or is affected by an organisation, strategy or project
                  is a stakeholder.
                The primary stakeholders in a typical company are its owners, employees,
                customers and suppliers. However, increasing globalisation, greater
                environmental and social awareness, and more efficient communication, have
                resulted in a wider and deeper understanding of the impact that organisations
                have on society and on the environment. In consequence many organisations
                take a view of stakeholders that includes other groups in addition to these
                including the community at large.
                There is an increasing understanding that although companies increase
                economic wealth through growth and the search for profit maximisation, society
                may well be getting poorer because of the damage that economic activity is
                having on the environment and society.
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               A successful business now must not only be financially secure but it must
               minimise its negative environmental impacts and must meet the expectations of
               society.
               As companies have become increasingly aware of environmental issues, and
               have started to accept that economic growth might not be sustainable, they have
               become more interested in measuring sustainability and environmental impact.
               Public companies report their financial performance in their published annual
               financial statements, but many companies also provide information about social
               and environmental goals and performance, in a strategic report or a sustainability
               report (or corporate social responsibility report).
               Triple bottom line reporting
               Performance relating to sustainability may be presented in a triple bottom line
               report. In traditional financial reporting the bottom line refers to either the profit or
               loss, which is presented at the very bottom line on in a statement of profit or loss.
               Environmentalists and economists have argued that the traditional bottom line
               does not include the full costs of the business.
                 Example: Full cost of operation
                 A company runs a gold mine at a profit.
                 The operation of the mine has caused significant pollution of the local water
                 supply leading to death and illness among the local population and livestock.
                 The financial statements bottom line only shows the profit but not these other
                 costs to society.
               The triple bottom line adds two more bottom lines. These are social and
               environmental (ecological) concerns. Triple bottom line (abbreviated as TBL or
               3BL) incorporates the notion of sustainability into business decisions.
               TBL is an accounting framework with three dimensions, social, environmental (or
               ecological) and economic (financial). Many organisations have adopted the TBL
               framework to evaluate their performance in a broader context.
               Measures of social and environmental performance
               Measures of profitability are similar for all for-profit businesses. However,
               measures of social and environmental performance may differ widely between
               companies, because of their size and the nature of their business operations.
               One major global company using triple bottom line reporting reported its
               environmental performance in terms of:
                      global energy use, measured in thousands of GWh (giga watt hours)
                      global carbon dioxide emissions, measured in metric tonnes
                      production of non-recycled waste, measured in metric tonnes
               Emissions of other polluting cases can be converted into a ‘carbon dioxide
               equivalent’, so that the total quantities of polluting emissions by a company can
               be expressed in a common measure – carbon dioxide. Total emissions of carbon
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               dioxide equivalents by a company are commonly known as the company’s
               ‘carbon footprint’.
               The same global company reported, as social indicators:
                      its donations to communities and sponsorships;
                      diversity: the percentage of its employees who were female and the
                       percentage who came from minority groups;
                      the number of discrimination charges brought against the company during
                       the year;
                      employee satisfaction, based on a census of employee opinion; and
                      the recordable injury rate per 1,000 employees.
               Some companies publish targets for improvements in the social or environmental
               aspects of their operations. For example, some global packaging and bottling
               companies now have targets for the replacement of non-recyclable plastic
               materials with recyclable or biodegradable materials.
               A system for social and environmental reporting
               Traditional performance measures are directed primarily at the owners and those
               who act on their behalf (the management) with most companies using
               performance measurement systems that are extensions of their financial
               reporting systems.
               Such traditional accounting systems do not provide information which could be
               used to explain the company’s performance in terms of environmental and social
               impacts. Performance measurement systems must be designed to do this.
               In order for a company to design a suitable performance reporting system it must
               do the following:
                      identify its stakeholders;
                      find out what aspects of the company’s performance are important to each
                       stakeholder group;
                      design performance metrics to show the company’s performance in each
                       area of interest;
                      set targets for each metric and communicate these to the stakeholder;
                      design information systems that integrate data collection and information
                       processing so that performance can be measured against these metrics;
                       and
                      introduce a transparent system of reporting to stakeholder groups.
               Triple bottom line reporting is a framework that can be used to inform this
               process.
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 Performance management
 5      THE BALANCED SCORECARD APPROACH
          Section overview
              The concept of the balanced scorecard
              The balanced scorecard: four perspectives of performance
              Using the balanced scorecard
              Conflicting targets for the four perspectives
5.1 The concept of the balanced scorecard
                The balanced scorecard approach was developed by Kaplan and Norton in the
                1990s as an approach to measuring performance in relation to long-term
                objectives. They argued that for a business entity, the most important objective is
                a financial objective. However, in order to achieve financial objectives over the
                long term, it is also necessary to achieve goals or targets that are non-financial in
                nature, as well as financial.
                The concept of the balanced scorecard is that there are several aspects of
                performance (‘perspectives on performance’) and targets should be set for each
                of them. The different ‘perspectives’ may sometimes appear to be in conflict with
                each other, because achieving an objective for one aspect of performance could
                mean having to make a compromise with other aspects of performance. The aim
                should be to achieve a satisfactory balance between the targets for each of the
                different perspectives on performance. These targets, taken together, provide a
                balanced scorecard, and actual performance should be measured against all the
                targets in the scorecard.
                The reason for having a balanced scorecard is that by setting targets for several
                key factors, and making compromises between the conflicting demands of each
                factor, managers will take a more balanced and long-term view about what they
                should be trying to achieve. A balanced scorecard approach should remove the
                emphasis on financial targets and short-term results.
                However, although a balanced scorecard approach takes a longer-term view of
                performance, it is possible to set shorter-term targets for each item on the
                scorecard. In this way it is possible to combine a balanced scorecard approach to
                measuring performance with the annual budget cycle, and any annual incentive
                scheme that the entity may operate.
5.2 The balanced scorecard: four perspectives of performance
                In a balanced scorecard, critical success factors are identified for four aspects of
                performance, or four ‘perspectives’:
                       customer perspective
                       internal perspective
                       innovation and learning perspective
                       financial perspective.
                Of these four perspectives, three are non-financial in nature.
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               For each perspective, Kaplan and Norton argued that an entity should identify
               key performance measures and key performance targets. The four perspectives
               provide a framework for identifying what those measures should be, although the
               specific measures used by each entity will vary according to the nature of the
               entity’s business.
               For each perspective, the key performance measures should be identified by
               answering a key question. The answer to the question indicates what the most
               important issues are. Having identified the key issues, performance measures
               can then be selected, and targets set for each of them.
                 Perspective    The key question
                 Customer       What do customers value?
                 perspective    By recognising what customers value most, the entity can
                                focus its performance targets on satisfying the customer more
                                effectively. Targets might be developed for several aspects of
                                performance such as cost (value for money), quality or place of
                                delivery.
                 Internal       To achieve its financial and customer objectives, what
                 perspective    processes must the organisation perform with excellence?
                                Management should identify the key aspects of operational
                                performance and seek to achieve or maintain excellence in this
                                area. For example, an entity may consider that customers
                                value the quality of its service, and that a key aspect of
                                providing a quality service is the effectiveness of its operational
                                controls in preventing errors from happening.
                 Innovation     How can the organisation continue to improve and create
                 and learning   value?
                 perspective    The focus here is on the ability of the organisation to maintain
                                its competitive position, through the skills and knowledge of its
                                work force and through developing new products and services,
                                or making use of new technology as it develops.
                 Financial      How does the organisation create value for its owners?
                 perspective    Financial measures of performance in a balanced scorecard
                                system might include share price growth, profitability and return
                                on investment.
               Kaplan and Norton argued that although the main objectives of a business are
               financial, it is essential for long-term success that the organisation should be able
               to meet the needs of its customers (the customer perspective). In order to satisfy
               customers, it must have internal processes that are efficient and effective in
               delivering the goods or services that customers need (the internal perspective). In
               order to have effective and efficient internal processes, an organisation needs
               people with knowledge and skills, as well as a capacity to continue innovating
               (the innovation and learning perspective).
               Several measures of performance may be selected for each perspective, or just
               one. Using a large number of different measures for each perspective adds to the
               complexity of the performance measurement system.
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5.3 Using the balanced scorecard
                With the balanced scorecard approach the focus should be on strategic
                objectives and the critical success factors necessary for achieving them. The
                main focus is on what needs to be done now to ensure continued success in the
                future.
                The main performance report for management each month is a balanced
                scorecard report, not budgetary control reports and variance reports.
                Examples of measures of performance for each of the four perspectives are as
                follows. The list is illustrative only, and organisations will use balanced scorecard
                measures that are appropriate for their business.
                  Perspective           Outcome measures
                  Critical financial    Return on investment
                  measures              Profitability and profitability growth
                                        Revenue growth
                                        Productivity and cost control
                                        Cash flow and adequate liquidity
                                        Avoiding financial risk: limits to borrowing
                  Critical customer     Market share and market share growth
                  measures              Customer profitability: profit targets for each category of
                                        customer
                                        Attracting new customers: number of new customers or
                                        percentage of total annual revenue obtained from new
                                        customers during the year
                                        Retaining existing customers
                                        Customer satisfaction, although measurements of
                                        customer satisfaction may be difficult to obtain
                                        On-time delivery for customer orders
                  Critical internal     Success rate in winning contract orders
                  measures              Effectiveness of operational controls, measured by the
                                        number of control failures identified during the period
                                        Production cycle time/throughput time
                                        Amount of re-working of defective units
                  Critical              Revenue per employee
                  innovation and        Employee productivity
                  learning
                                        Employee satisfaction
                  measures
                                        Employee retention or turnover rates
                                        Percentage of total revenue earned from sales of new
                                        products
                                        Time to develop new products from design to completion
                                        of development and introduction to the market
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                                                                                Chapter 9: Performance analysis
                 Example: Balanced scorecard
                 Kaplan and Norton described the example of Mobil in the early 1990s, in their
                 book The Strategy-focussed Organisation. Mobil, a major supplier of petrol, was
                 competing with other suppliers on the basis of price and the location of petrol
                 stations. Its strategic focus was on cost reduction and productivity, but its return
                 on capital was low.
                 The company’s management re-assessed their strategy, with the aim of
                 increasing market share and obtaining stronger brand recognition of the Mobil
                 brand name. They decided that the company needed to attract high-spending
                 customers who would buy other goods from the petrol station stores, in addition
                 to petrol.
                 As its high-level financial objective, the company set a target of increasing return
                 on capital employed from its current level of about 6% to 12% within three years.
                 From a financial perspective, it identified such key success factors as productivity
                 and sales growth. Targets were set for productivity (reducing operating costs per
                 gallon of petrol sold) and ‘asset intensity’ (ratio of operational cash flow to assets
                 employed).
                 From a customer perspective, Mobil carried out market research into who its
                 customers were and what factors influenced their buying decisions. Targets were
                 set for providing petrol to customers in a way that would satisfy the customer and
                 differentiate Mobil’s products from rival petrol suppliers. Key issues were found to
                 be having petrol stations that were clean and safe, and offering a good quality
                 branded product and a trusted brand. Targets were set for cleanliness and safety,
                 speedy service at petrol stations, helpful customer service and rewarding
                 customer loyalty.
                 From an internal perspective, Mobil set targets for improving the delivery of its
                 products and services to customers, and making sure that customers could
                 always buy the petrol and other products that they wanted, whenever they visited
                 a Mobil station.
       5.4 Conflicting targets for the four perspectives
               A criticism that has been made against the balanced scorecard approach is that
               the targets for each of the four perspectives might often conflict with each other.
               When this happens, there might be disagreement about what the priorities should
               be.
               This problem should not be serious, however, if it is remembered that the
               financial is the most important of the four perspectives for a commercial business
               entity. The term ‘balanced’ scorecard indicates that some compromises have to
               be made between the different perspectives.
               A useful sporting analogy was provided in an article in Financial Management
               magazine (Gering and Mntambo, November 2001). They compared the balanced
               scorecard to the judgements of a football team manager during a football match.
               The objective is to win the match and the key performance measure is the score.
               However, as the match progresses, the manager will look at other important
               aspects of performance, such as the number of shots at the goal by each side,
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Performance management
               the number of corner kicks, the number of tackles and the percentage of
               possession of the ball enjoyed by the team.
               Shots on goal corner kicks, tackles and possession of the ball are all necessary
               factors in scoring goals, not conceding goals, and winning the match. The
               manager will therefore use them as indicators of how well or badly the match is
               progressing. However, the score is ultimately the only thing that matters.
               In the same way, targets for four perspectives are useful in helping management
               to judge progress towards the company’s objectives, but ultimately, success in
               achieving those objectives is measured in financial terms. The financial objective
               is the most important.
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                                                                                  Chapter 9: Performance analysis
 6      FITZGERALD AND MOON BUILDING BLOCK MODEL
          Section overview
              The characteristics of services and service industries
              Controllable performance in service industries
              Fitzgerald and Moon: Performance measurement in service industries
              Applying the Fitzgerald and Moon framework
6.1 The characteristics of services and service industries
                Many organisations provide services rather than products. There are many
                examples of service industries: hotels, entertainment, the holiday and travel
                industries, professional services, banking, recruitment services, cleaning
                services, and so on.
                Performance measurement for services may differ from performance
                measurement in manufacturing in several ways:
                       Simultaneity. With a service, providing the service (‘production’) and
                        receiving the service (‘consumption’ by the customer) happen at the same
                        time. With production, the product is sold to the customer after it has been
                        manufactured.
                       Perishability. It is impossible to store a service for future consumption:
                        unlike manufacturing and retailing, there is no stock or inventory of unused
                        services. The service must be provided when the customer wants it.
                       Heterogeneity. A product can be made to a standard specification. With a
                        service provided by humans, there is variability in the standard of
                        performance. Each provision of the service is different. For example, even if
                        they perform the same songs at several concerts, the performance of a
                        rock band at a series of concerts will be different each time. Similarly, a call
                        centre operator answering telephone calls from customers will be unable to
                        deal with each call in exactly the same way.
                       Intangibility. With a service, there are many intangible elements of service
                        that the customer is given, and that individual customers might value. For
                        example, a high quality of service in a restaurant is often intangible, but it is
                        noticed and valued by the customer.
                Since services differ to some extent from products, should performance setting
                and performance measurement be different in service companies, compared with
                manufacturing companies?
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6.2 Controllable performance in service industries
                A starting point for analysing performance measurement in service industries is
                that companies in a service industry should be able to link their competitive
                strategy to their operations, to make sure that the services that they are providing
                will enable the company to achieve its strategic objectives. Performance
                management systems have an important role, because they can:
                       show how well or how badly the organisation has performed in achieving its
                        strategic objectives, and
                       identify where improvements are needed.
                Performance management systems have been developed in many organisations
                that:
                       link performance measures to objectives
                       include external as well as internal measures of performance
                       include non-financial as well as financial performance indicators
                       recognise that a compromise is often necessary between different
                        performance targets, such as targets for service quality and targets for the
                        cost or the speed of providing the service.
                The performance indicators that are used can vary widely between different
                service industries, and there is no standard set of performance measurements
                that apply to all services.
                However, a framework for analysing performance management systems in
                service industries was provided by Fitzgerald and Moon.
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                                                                           Chapter 9: Performance analysis
6.3 Fitzgerald and Moon: performance measurement in service industries
                Fitzgerald and Moon (1996) suggested that a performance management system
                in a service organisation can be analysed as a combination of three building
                blocks:
                       Dimensions
                       Standards
                       Rewards.
                These are shown in the following diagram.
                  Illustration: Building blocks for performance measurement systems
                                                                       Fitzgerald and Moon 1996
                Dimensions of performance
                Dimensions of performance are the aspects of performance that are measured. A
                critical question is: What are the dimensions of performance that should be
                measured in order to assess performance?
                Research by Fitzgerald and others (1993) and by Fitzgerald and Moon (1996)
                concluded that there are six dimensions of performance measurement that link
                performance to corporate strategy. These are:
                       profit (financial performance)
                       competitiveness
                       quality
                       resource utilisation
                       flexibility
                       innovation.
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Performance management
               Some performance measures that might be used for each dimension are set out
               in the following table:
                 Dimension of          Possible measure of performance
                 performance
                 Financial             Profitability
                 performance           Growth in profits
                                       Profit/sales margins
                                       Note: Return on capital employed is possibly not so
                                       relevant in a service industry, where the company employs
                                       fairly small amounts of capital.
                 Competitiveness       Growth in sales
                                       Retention rate for customers (or percentage of customers
                                       who buy regularly: ‘repeat sales’)
                                       Success rate in converting enquiries into sales
                                       Possibly market share, although this may be difficult to
                                       measure
                 Service quality       Number of complaints
                                       Whether the rate of complaints is increasing or decreasing
                                       Customer satisfaction, as revealed by customer opinion
                                       surveys
                                       Number of errors discovered
                 Flexibility           Possibly the mix of different types of work done by
                                       employees
                                       Possibly the speed in responding to customers’ requests
                 Resource              Efficiency/productivity measures
                 utilisation           Utilisation rates: percentage of available time utilised in
                                       ‘productive’ activities
                 Innovation            Number of new services offered
                                       Percentage of sales income that comes from services
                                       introduced in the last one or two years
               Other measures of performance might be appropriate for each dimension,
               depending on the nature of the service industry. However, this framework of six
               dimensions provides a structure for considering what measures of performance
               might be suitable.
               The dimensions of performance should also distinguish between:
                      ‘results’ of actions taken in the past, and
                      ‘determinants’ of future performance.
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                                                                               Chapter 9: Performance analysis
               Performance: results of past actions
               Some dimensions of performance measure the results of decisions that were
               taken in the past, that have now had an effect. Fitzgerald and Moon suggested
               that results of past actions are measured by:
                      financial performance; and
                      competitiveness.
               Determinants of future performance
               Other dimensions of performance will not have an immediate effect, and do not
               measure the effects of decisions taken in the past. Instead they measure
               progress towards achieving strategic objectives in the future. The ‘drivers’ or
               ‘determinants’ of future performance are:
                      quality;
                      resource utilisation;
                      flexibility; and
                      innovation.
               These are dimensions of competitive success now and in the future, and so are
               appropriate for measuring the performance of current management. Measuring
               performance in these dimensions ‘is an attempt to address the short-termism
               criticism frequently levelled at financially-focused reports’ (Fitzgerald). This is
               because they recognise that by achieving targets now, future performance will
               benefit. Improvements in quality, say, might not affect profitability in the current
               financial period, but if these quality improvements are valued by customers, this
               will affect profits in the future.
               Standards
               The second part of the framework for performance measurement suggested by
               Fitzgerald and Moon relates to setting expected standards of performance, once
               the dimensions of performance have been selected.
               There are three aspects to setting standards of performance:
                      To what extent do individuals feel that they own the standards that will be
                       used to assess their performance? Do they accept the standards as their
                       own, or do they feel that the standards have been imposed on them by
                       senior management?
                      Do the individuals held responsible for achieving the standards of
                       performance consider that these standards are achievable, or not?
                      Are the standards fair (‘equitable’) for all managers in all business units of
                       the entity?
               It is recognised that individuals should ‘own’ the standards that will be used to
               assess their performance, and managers are more likely to own the standards
               when they have been involved in the process of setting the standards.
               It has also been argued that if an individual accepts or ‘owns’ the standards of
               performance, better performance will be achieved when the standard is more
               demanding and difficult to achieve than when the standard is easy to achieve.
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 Performance management
                This means that the standards of performance that are likely to motivate
                individuals the most are standards that will not be achieved successfully all the
                time. Budget targets should therefore be challenging, but not impossible to
                achieve.
                Finding a balance between standards that the company thinks are achievable
                and standards that the individual thinks are achievable can be a source of conflict
                between senior management and their subordinates.
                Standards should also be fair for everyone in all business units, and should not
                be easier to achieve for some managers than others. To achieve fairness or
                equity, when local conditions for the individual business units can vary, it is often
                necessary to assess performance by relying on subjective judgement rather than
                objective financial measurements.
                Rewards
                The third aspect of the performance measurement framework of Fitzgerald and
                Moon is rewards. This refers to the structure of the rewards system, and how
                individuals will be rewarded for the successful achievement of performance
                targets.
                One of the main roles of a performance measurement system should be to
                ensure that strategic objectives are achieved successfully, by linking operational
                performance with strategic objectives.
                According to Fitzgerald and Moon, there are three aspects to consider in the
                reward system.
                       The system of setting performance targets and rewarding individuals for
                        achieving those targets must be clear to everyone involved. Provided that
                        managers accept their performance targets, motivation to achieve the
                        targets will be greater when the targets are clear (and when the managers
                        have participated in the target-setting process).
                       Employees may be motivated to work harder to achieve performance
                        targets when they are rewarded for successful achievements, for
                        example with the payment of a bonus.
                       Individuals should only be held responsible for aspects of financial
                        performance that they can control. This is a basic principle of
                        responsibility accounting. A common problem, however, is that some costs
                        are incurred for the benefit of several divisions or departments of the
                        organisation. The costs of these shared services have to be allocated
                        between the divisions or departments that use them. The principle that
                        costs should be controllable therefore means that the allocation of shared
                        costs between divisions must be fair. In practice, arguments between
                        divisional managers often arise because of disagreements as to how the
                        shared costs should be shared.
6.4 Applying the Fitzgerald and Moon framework
                The actual measures of performance used by companies in service industries will
                vary according to the nature of the service. Fitzgerald and Moon used case
                studies, however, to show how their framework can be used to assess
                performance management systems.
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Chapter 9: Performance analysis
                 One successful (and large) organisation reported as a case study was a food
                 retailing business with a large number of stores. Applying the Fitzgerald and
                 Moon framework, the performance management system was analysed as
                 follows:
                 Dimensions of performance
                 The company used four of the six dimensions of performance to assess the
                 performance of individual stores and the performance of each region.
                   Dimension of          Measures used       Comments
                   performance
                   Financial             Profit by store     Profit is seen as a very important
                   performance           and by region.      measure of performance.
                                                             The performance of each store and
                                                             region is publicised within the
                                                             company, by means of ‘league tables’,
                                                             so that each store manager knows
                                                             how his store has performed in
                                                             comparison with others.
Competitiveness            Market share (at                  The company places great importance
company level).                                              on monitoring the prices charged by
                                         Prices         of   competitors. Prices are monitored for
                                         competitors for     each store, at the ‘local’ level.
                                         each local store.
                                         Observation.        Market share is assessed from
                                                             published market share statistics.
                                                             Managers of local stores may visit the
                                                             stores of competitors to see how full
                                                             their car park is, and compare this
                                                             with the number of cars in the car park
                                                             of their own store.
                   Quality of service    Letters and other   The quality of service is monitored by
                   on        specific    messages from       ‘mystery shoppers’ – individuals hired
                   transactions          customers.          by the company to visit stores
                                         Observation         disguised as customers, to observe
                                                             the quality of service provided.
                   Quality of service    A    range    of    A number of different aspects of
                   overall               measures     for    service quality are monitored and
                                         each store and      measured, and a performance league
                                         warehouse/depot     table for stores and warehouses is
                                                             published internally.
                   Flexibility           No     formal       However, managers are aware of the
                                         performance         need for flexibility. For example, when
                                         measurement         there are staff shortages due to
                                                             absenteeism, store managers will
                                                             telephone part-time staff and ask
                                                             them to fill the vacancies at short
                                                             notice.
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                 Dimension of           Measures used       Comments
                 performance
                 Resource               Sales per square
                 utilisation            metre.
                                        Wastage rates
                 Innovation             No formal           The need to innovate continually is
                                        performance         recognised, however, and innovation
                                        measurement         is discussed regularly at business
                                                            planning meetings.
               Standards of performance
               The research found a significant difference between the level of ownership for:
                      profit; and
                      quality of service.
               Managers participated in the process of setting profit targets for their store or
               region, through the formal business planning process. However, standards for
               quality of service were imposed by central management (head office). The view
               of senior management was that quality standards must be the same at every
               store in the country; therefore standards must be decided at head office for the
               company as a whole.
               ‘Standards’ of performance were assessed for both profitability and quality of
               service.
                 Standard                Comment
                 Profit
                 Ownership               Managers were involved in setting profit targets, as part
                                         of the discussions with head office about annual targets
                                         and business planning.
                 Achievability           The standards/targets were considered achievable by the
                                         managers responsible for achieving them.
                 Equity                  In setting profit targets for each store, allowance was
                                         made for the effect of competition from local competitors
                                         to each individual store.
                 Quality of service
                 Ownership               Standards were imposed by head office.
                 Achievability           However, they were seen as achievable.
                                         An aspect of standard-setting was the use of internal
                                         benchmarks, and comparisons of quality standards at
                                         different stores within the company.
                 Equity                  No allowances were made for different local conditions.
                                         All stores throughout the country were expected to
                                         achieve the same standards.
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Chapter 9: Performance analysis
                 Reward mechanisms for achieving standards
                 The three elements of reward systems within the Fitzgerald and Moon framework
                 are:
                        clarity of goals and targets;
                        how managers are motivated to achieve targets; and
                        whether there are any problems about shared costs and controllability of
                         costs
                 The research findings were as follows:
                   Element                 Comments
                   Clarity of goals        Managers were aware of company strategy, and clearly
                                           understood how their performance would contribute to
                                           the achievement of strategic objectives.
                   Motivation:
                   short-term financial    Store managers received a bonus for achieving targets.
                   motivation              In addition, there were ‘team’ bonus payments.
                   non-financial           Managers had pride in their position in the league tables
                   aspects                 of stores, and were motivated to improve or maintain
                                           their position in the league.
                   Controllability         There were no problems with controllability of costs or
                                           allocation of shared costs.
                 Conclusions
                 Conclusions drawn from this case study, based on the Fitzgerald and Moon
                 framework, were as follows:
                        The company was highly successful.
                        It had a clear statement of strategy that was well understood by
                         management in regions and local stores.
                        Performance measures were consistent with that strategy.
                        Performance measures were reported regularly, covering a range of
                         financial and non-financial aspects of performance.
                        The performance measurements were clearly defined and communicated
                         to employees at all levels in the company, and there were regular reports
                         on actual achievements.
                        The driving force for performance targets was the satisfaction of customers’
                         needs.
                        The performance measurement system was reinforced by a rewards
                         system to motivate managers and by a pride in performance.
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7      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
              Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Explain the nature of performance and non-performance indicators in a
              performance management system
             Measure and use a range of financial performance indicators
             Measure and use a range of non-financial performance indicators
             Explain the nature of short-termism in performance measurement
             Explain the relevance of sustainability measurements (social and environmental
              measurements) for an assessment of longer-term performance
             Explain the balanced scorecard approach to performance management and
              apply it in a given scenario
             Explain the Fitzgerald and Moon Building Block model and its application to
              performance measurement in service industries
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                                                                               Chapter 9: Performance analysis
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                           1
         Possible performance indicators for a health and safety function include (but are
         not limited to) the following:
         a. Number of accidents in period – no injury
         b.    Number of accidents in period – causing injury
         c.    Number of fatalities in a period;
         d.    Number of days since a fatality;
         e.    Days lost through work related illness
         f.    Number of days spent on health and safety training for health and safety
               officers.
         g.    Number of days spent on health and safety training for employees
         Solution                                                                                           2
               Unit sales
               The number of appliances old has increased by 7.1% (28,000 to 30,000).
               At first sight this is very pleasing. However, there is no information about the
               margins in respect of these sales. If the sales have increased as a result of
               price reductions there might be a negative impact on the profitability of the
               company.
               Also there is no information about the size of the market. If the market has
               increased by 10% (say) then the company has lost market share and the
               performance which looks favourable may not actually be so.
               On-time delivery
               There is a worrying deterioration of the percentage of deliveries made on time.
               This could lead to increase costs if the customer contracts include service level
               agreements calling for compensation for late delivery.
               There is also a possibility of loss of custom in the future.
               Sales return
               There is a very worrying increase in the number of units returned. This might
               be due to the company sending incorrect order or selling defective unit. Either
               of these could be explained by staff being unable to cope with the increased
               activity levels. Correction of mistakes has an associated cost including the
               possible loss of future sales to customers who are dissatisfied.
               The increase could also be due to the company allowing its customers to buy
               goods on a sale or return basis. This makes it more difficult to interpret the
               increase in sales as still more goods might be returned in the future
               The increased sales seem to have caused other areas of performance to
               suffer.
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                                                                        10
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                              CHAPTER
                              Other aspects of performance
                                               measurement
 Contents
 1 Performance analysis in not-for-profit organisations
 2 Value for money (VFM)
 3 Strategic performance measurement
 4 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
The previous chapter considered performance management and the use of performance
indicators from the perspective of a for-profit commercial business, and mostly from a short-
term perspective. Many organisations do not have a profit perspective and are not-for-profit
government departments and charities being examples – although financial performance is
important for them. Candidates are expected to be capable of discussing the problems of
performance measurement in not-for-profit organisations and demonstrate the application of
value for money criteria. They should also be capable of considering strategic aspects of
performance measurement in for-profit organisations, and in particular performance
measures relating to profitability, liquidity and solvency.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 C     Performance measurement and control
       2     Performance analysis in not-for-profit organisations
             A     Discuss the problems of having non-quantifiable objectives in performance
                   management.
             B     Explain how performance may be measured in the not-for-profit
                   organisations.
             C     Discuss the problems of having multiple objectives.
             D     Demonstrate value for money (VFM) as a public sector objective.
 E     Strategic performance measurement
       2     Analyse and evaluate suitable performance measures for:
             A     Profitability (GP, ROCE, ROI, EPS, EBITDA, etc.);
             B     Liquidity; and
             C     Solvency.
Exam context
This chapter explains the nature of performance measurement in not-for-profit organisations,
and also the strategic aspects of performance measurement.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain how performance might be measured in not-for-profit organisations
      Explain the objective of value for money and its application to not-for-profit
       organisations and the problems of multiple objectives
      Analyse and evaluate the strategic aspects of performance relating to profitability,
       liquidity and solvency
© Emile Woolf International                      372         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                        Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement
1        PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS IN NOT-FOR-PROFIT ORGANISATIONS
         Section overview
             Problems with having non-quantifiable objectives
             Measuring performance in not-for-profit organisations
             Problems with multiple objectives
       1.1 Problems with having non-quantifiable objectives
               Not-for-profit organisations exist to provide benefits to a targeted group of people
               or to society as a whole. Government-owned institutions use taxpayers’ money to
               provide services to the public, such as health services, education, policing, the
               criminal courts system and so on. Some government departments perform
               administrative tasks on behalf of the government, such as the tax department.
               Although they must operate within the constraints of the money (budget)
               available to them, the main objectives of government and state-owned
               organisations are non-financial.
               Similarly, the objectives of charities are to provide assistance to a targeted group,
               such as aid for victims of war or natural disasters, assistance for people with
               certain illnesses or disabilities, assistance for local communities, funding
               research into disease, care for old people, and so on. They must operate within
               the constraints of the financial contributions they receive, from the government
               and individual donations, but their prime objective is non-financial.
               A problem with having a non-financial objective is that they can be difficult to
               quantify. How does a health service quantify the provision of its services; how is
               the provision of education or policing measured? How is the objective of helping
               victims of tsunamis or earthquakes measured?
               The answer is that these overriding non-financial objectives cannot be properly
               quantified. Whereas for-profit companies have quantifiable financial objectives,
               most not-for-profit organisations have non-quantifiable broad objectives.
       1.2 Measuring performance in not-for-profit organisations
               Performance management systems rely on the use of quantifiable performance
               indicators. This is true for not-for-profit organisations as well as for commercial
               companies.
               Not-for-profit organisations can set financial objectives, although these are not
               their main objective. For example, a government department can set an objective
               of operating within its allocated budget limits. A charity can set an objective of
               raising the amount of money it receives from donations.
               However, for a performance measurement system to operate effectively, not-for-
               profit organisations need quantifiable objectives that relate to their main objective.
               They do this by identifying a number of targets which are considered ‘key’ to
               successful performance, and measure performance by comparing actual results
               with these key targets.
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                 Example: Quantifiable objectives
                 A health service may set targets for the numbers of patients treated each year in
                 hospitals or in doctors’ surgeries, the average length of stay of patients in
                 hospitals, targets for reducing the numbers of people suffering from specific
                 diseases or ailments, and so on.
                 Similarly a police force may set targets for reductions in the number of
                 murders, reductions in the number of burglaries, an increase in successful
                 prosecutions of criminals, and so on.
                 A state-run education system can set targets for schools for the number of children
                 achieving ‘A grades’ in their examinations at various ages, and targets for the
                 proportion of children moving on to university or technical college after school.
               In other words, not-for-profit organisations can assess performance by comparing
               actual results against a range of quantifiable targets.
       1.3 Problems with multiple objectives
               A problem with having multiple objectives, without an overall quantifiable main
               objective, is that organisations may perform well when measured against some of
               their performance targets, but may perform badly in relation to other targets.
               When this happens, how do we decide whether the organisation has performed
               successfully or not?
                 Example: Multiple objectives
                 A national health service may succeed in treating a larger number of patients in
                 hospital, but average waiting times for hospital treatment might get longer.
                 A police force may achieve its target of reducing the number of murders each
                 year by 10%, but fail to achieve its target of reducing burglaries by 5% - and
                 the number of burglaries may even have increased.
                 In the schools system, targets for examination results may be achieved for 11-
                 year old children, but exam results may be poor for 16-year olds.
               Problems with multiple performance objectives are that:
                      It is difficult to assess overall performance when some key targets are met
                       but others are not
                      The key targets that are selected may not properly represent all the not-for-
                       profit objectives of the organisation: for practical reasons the number of
                       performance targets must be limited to a manageable number.
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                                                       Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement
2        VALUE FOR MONEY
         Section overview
             The nature of value for money
             VFM as a public sector objective
             Quantitative measures of efficiency
             Quantitative measures of effectiveness
       2.1 The nature of value for money
               The value for money approach to measuring performance in non-for-profit
               organisations is based on the idea that these organisations must work within
               financial constraints. Government departments must operate within budget limits.
               Charities must operate within spending limits set by the amount of donations they
               receive.
               Not-for-profit organisations should therefore aim to make the best use of the
               money available to them, and create ‘value’ in what they do. Making the best
               use of money is described as achieving value for money or VFM.
               Value for money is defined as the utility derived from an amount of money
               spent.
               There are three aspects to achieving value for money, often referred to as the
               ‘3Es’:
                      economy
                      efficiency
                      effectiveness.
               The concept of VFM can also be applied in commercial for-profit businesses, but
               it is more commonly used in performance measurement systems of not-for-profit
               organisations.
               Economy
               Economy means keeping spending within limits, and avoiding wasteful spending.
               It can also mean achieving the results but for less cost. A simple example of
               economy is found in the purchase of supplies. Suppose that an administrative
               department buys items of stationery from a supplier, and pays ₦2 each for pens.
               It might be possible to buy pens of the same quality to fulfil exactly the same
               purpose for ₦1.50 each. Economy would be achieved by switching to buying the
               ₦1.50 pens, saving ₦0.50 per pen with no loss of operating efficiency or
               effectiveness.
               Efficiency
               Efficiency means getting more output from available resources. Applied to
               employees, efficiency is often called ‘productivity’. Suppose that an employee in
               the government’s tax department processes 20 tax returns each day. Efficiency
               would be improved if the same individual increases the rate of output, and
               processes 25 tax returns each day, without any loss of effectiveness.
               Effectiveness
               Effectiveness refers to success in achieving end results or success in achieving
               objectives. Whereas efficiency is concerned with getting more outputs from
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Performance management
               available resources, effectiveness is concerned with achieving outputs that meet
               the required aims and objectives. For example, the effectiveness of treatment of
               a particular medical condition will be improved if the proportion of patients who
               are treated successfully rises from 80% to 90%.
       2.2 VFM as a public sector objective
               Management accounting systems and reporting systems may provide information
               to management about value for money. Has VFM been achieved, and if so, how
               much and in what ways?
               Value for money audits may be carried out to establish how much value is being
               achieved within a particular department and whether there have been
               improvements to value for money. Internal audit departments may carry out
               occasional VFM audits, and report to senior management and the manager of the
               department they have audited.
               Value for money is an objective that can be applied to any organisation whose
               main objective is non-financial but which has restrictions on the amount of
               finance available for spending. It could therefore be appropriate for all
               organisations within the public sector.
               The objective of economy focuses on the need to avoid wasteful expenditure on
               items, and to keep spending within limits. It also helps to ensure that the limited
               finance available is spent sensibly. Targets could be set for the prices paid for
               various items from external suppliers. Audits by the government’s auditors into
               departmental spending may be used to identify:
                      any significant failures to control prices, and
                      unnecessary expense.
               The objective of efficiency focuses on the need to make full use of available
               resources. The objective of effectiveness focuses on the need to use resources
               for their intended purpose and achieve the objectives of the organisation.
               Unfortunately, in practice government is often accused of wasteful spending,
               inefficient operations and failure to get anything done – these are all the
               ‘traditional’ faults of an over-sized bureaucracy!
© Emile Woolf International                         376          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                        Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement
                 Example: Value for money (3 Es)
                 State-owned schools may be given a target that their pupils (of a specified age)
                 must achieve a certain level of examination grades or ‘passes’ in a particular
                 examination.
                 A VFM audit could be used to establish spending efficiency within a school.
                 Economy- Was there any unnecessary spending? Could the same value have
                 been obtained for lower spending?
                 Efficiency- Have the school’s resources been used efficiently? Could more output
                 have been obtained from the available resources? Could the same results have
                 been achieved with fewer resources? A study of efficiency might focus on matters
                 such as teaching time per teacher per week, and the utilisation of resources such
                 as science equipment and computer-based training materials.
                 Effectiveness- The most obvious measurements of effectiveness are the number
                 or percentage of pupils achieving the required examination ‘passes’, or the
                 grades of pass mark that they have achieved. Effectiveness is improved by
                 increasing the pass rate.
               A problem with VFM as a performance measurement system is that it is not easy
               to apply VFM to planning and setting performance targets. An organisation can
               assess retrospectively whether or not a particular aspect of operations has
               achieved value for money, but it is not so easy to plan in advance just how
               value for money will be achieved.
                 Example: Value for money audit
                 A local authority sets up a project aimed at encouraging more young people in
                 the area into employment, with the objective of increasing the number of 16-24
                 year olds in the local area who are in employment by 10% over three years.
                 The project managers were very driven to achieve this target and the project
                 ultimately increased employment rates of this demographic by 12% over the
                 period. However, the enthusiasm with which meeting the set target was
                 embraced did result in higher than expected costs and there was an overspend of
                 8% on the budget for the project.
                 The overspend prompted a value for money audit to be carried out. A key finding
                 from this was that the project was marginally less expensive, on an outcome by
                 outcome basis, than similar campaigns run by other local authorities in the
                 country.
                 Required
                 Determine whether or not you consider the local authority employment project to
                 have delivered value for money by making reference to the economy, efficiency
                 and effectiveness of the project.
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Performance management
                 Answer
                 Economy: For the project to deliver economy it should control its expenditure and
                 make the best use of its resources. The overspend on the budget shows that the
                 cost control could have been better and indicates that economy may not have
                 been achieved for this project.
                 Efficiency: The project will be efficient if it has made full use of its resources in the
                 best possible way to meet the objectives. The comparative data indicates that,
                 on an outcome by outcome basis, the project cost slightly less than similar projects
                 carried out by other local authorities. This suggests that the project was efficient.
                 Effectiveness: The project will be considered effective if it met its objective of
                 increasing employment in the target demographic by 10% over the period. This
                 target was exceeded and an increase in 12% was observed. This indicates that the
                 project was effective.
                 Overall: the project was both efficient and effective. It does not appear that it was
                 economic which implies that overall value for money may not have been achieved.
                 However, it is possible that the cost projections were too ambitious. If this was the
                 case the project may have delivered value for money overall. Further investigation
                 will be needed.
       2.3 Quantitative measures of efficiency
               Efficiency relates the quantity of resources to the quantity of output. This can be
               measured in a variety of ways
                      Actual output/Maximum output for a given resource × 100%
                      Minimum input to achieve required level of output/actual input × 100%
                      Actual output/actual input  100% compared to a standard or target
                 Example: Quantitative measures of efficiency
                 A hospital has an operating theatre which can be utilised for 20 hours per day.
                 The maximum number of operations that can be performed in any day is 40. If on
                 a particular day 35 operations were performed, this represents
                                          35/40 × 100% = 87.5% efficiency
                 A local authority must ensure that the refuse of all residents is collected each
                 week for re-cycling. This normally requires 1,000 man hours. If in a particular
                 week 900 man hours were used this represents
                                       1,000/900 × 100% = 111.1% efficiency
                 Schools may have a standard pupil to teacher ratio of 27. If a particular school
                 has 550 pupils and 21 teachers then the actual ratio is 26.2 which represents
                                       27/26.2 × 100% = 103.05% efficiency.
© Emile Woolf International                         378           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                         Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement
       2.4 Quantitative measures of effectiveness
               Effectiveness relates what has been achieved to the intended objectives for
               achievement.
                 Example: Quantitative measure of effectiveness
                 The operating theatre in a hospital may have a maximum capacity of 40
                 operations per day and the average utilisation of this capacity may be 87.5%.
                 This is a measure of efficiency in the use of the hospital operating theatre. But
                 the aim of operations in hospitals is to treat patients successfully. The target may
                 be for 95% of operations to be successful, but the actual success rate (measured
                 perhaps by whether patients need further treatment after their operation) may be
                 just 90%. This would be a measure of effectiveness in obtaining value for money.
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Performance management
3      STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT
         Section overview
             The primary financial performance objective
             Primary measures of business growth
             Measuring financial risk: liquidity and gearing
             Measuring financial risk: solvency
       3.1 The primary financial performance objective
               For companies, the primary strategic performance objective should relate to the
               benefits of their owners, the shareholders. The aim should be to provide benefits
               to shareholders over the long term, in the form of dividends from profits and
               share price growth.
               Share price growth comes mainly from growth in the business and earnings per
               share. However, growth should not be achieved if it exposes the company to
               excessive risks. The primary objective of financial performance targets should
               therefore be consistent with the long-term objectives of both:
                      business growth; and
                      survival.
               Strategically, companies should seek to balance risk and return.
       3.2 Primary measures of business growth
               There are several measures of financial performance that could be used to
               assess success in achieving corporate objectives.
                      It is inappropriate to use targets for share price growth and dividend growth
                       as formal planning targets and measures of actual performance. Share
                       prices can be volatile and affected by stock market conditions outside the
                       control of a company’s management. Dividend policy, on the other hand, is
                       under the control of the board of directors, but can be manipulated.
                       Dividend payments do not have to move in line with changes in profitability
                       or longer-term financial expectations of profit.
                      It is therefore more appropriate to measure financial performance in terms
                       of conditions that should lead to share price growth and dividend growth in
                       the future.
               To assess strategic performance, financial measurements should consider the
               longer term, and prospects for the future. Typically, this means considering
               changes in profits over the past few years, and projections of profitability in the
               future.
               The same measurements are used to assess short-term performance, but at a
               strategic level, the longer-term view is considered, not simply the result for the
               previous financial year.
© Emile Woolf International                        380          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                         Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement
               Financial measures used to measure historical performance, and assess whether
               a company appears to be achieving its corporate objectives, may be:
                      return on capital employed (ROCE)
                      earnings per share (EPS) and growth in earnings per share
                      earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA)
                      for investment centres, return on investment (ROI) or residual income
               None of these performance measures is ideal for assessing performance and
               progress towards achieving the corporate objective, because none of them on
               their own measure the success of the company in achieving a return that is
               consistent with the risks to which the company and its owners are exposed.
                      Return on capital employed (ROCE) is a useful measure of performance,
                       because it relates the amount of profit earned to the amount of capital
                       employed in the business. However, the measurement of ROCE depends
                       on accounting conventions for the measurement of profit and capital
                       employed. Measure of profit in financial statements is not a reliable guide
                       to financial returns on investment.
                      Earnings per share (EPS) and EPS growth are also commonly used to
                       assess performance. On the assumption that in the long term, the ratio of
                       the share price to EPS (the price/earnings ratio or P/E ratio) remains fairly
                       constant, growth in EPS should result in a higher share price. However, the
                       P/E ratio does not necessarily remain constant over the long term and
                       could change if the perception of investment risk in the company changed.
                       Some ‘tech’ companies, particularly in the USA, have achieved growth in
                       their share price without yet making any profits. Investors have been willing
                       to put money into loss-making companies in the expectation that future
                       returns will eventually be huge. Measurements of EPS (or loss per share)
                       are inappropriate in these cases.
                      EBITDA (Earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation).
                       EBITDA is a useful measure of performance only if it is assumed that
                       management have no control over interest costs or depreciation and
                       amortisation charges. This may be true for profit centre management, but is
                       unlikely to be the case when managers have control over investment and
                       financing decisions. EBITDA is a useful approximation of cash flow from
                       operations before interest and tax, and can be a useful measurement of
                       financial performance for this reason. (Note: If you are not sure about this,
                       think about the calculation of operational cash flows in a statement of cash
                       flows, using the indirect method.)
               The benefits and limitations of ROI and residual income are considered in
               chapter 12.
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Performance management
       3.3 Measuring financial risk: liquidity and gearing
               A strategic objective of a company should be survival, as well as to achieve
               growth and financial returns. It is therefore appropriate to assess and measure
               financial risk. Measures of financial risk include:
                      liquidity risk, measured by ratios such as the current ratio or quick ratio, or
                       by cash flow analysis
                      gearing or debt/equity ratios.
               Liquidity can be important. Liquidity means having cash or access to cash to
               make payments when these are due. For example, a company must have cash to
               pay salaries and wages of its employees, and to pay suppliers and other
               creditors. In some cases, profitable companies might become insolvent because
               they cannot pay their debts.
               A lack of liquidity also restricts flexibility of action. A company that is short of cash
               is often unable to take advantage of new opportunities that might arise, because
               they do not have the money to spend.
               From a strategic perspective, liquidity can be assessed by cash flows. Cash flows
               as reported in a statement of cash flows show where a company is obtaining its
               cash and how it is using and spending its cash. From a strategic perspective,
               cash flows must be sustainable.
               For example, a company should be obtaining much of its cash from profitable
               operations. If it is loss-making, and obtaining cash by borrowing or from new
               share issues, there may be questions about the long-term liquidity of the
               company.
               Gearing and debt levels can also be important. Gearing or debt levels can be
               measured as the ratio of debt to equity, or the ratio of debt to total assets. Highly-
               geared companies are exposed to the risk of a big fall in earnings per share
               whenever there is a fall in their operating profits. When they borrow at variable
               rates of interest, an increase in interest rates will also reduce profitability.
       3.4 Measuring financial risk: solvency
               Solvency can be defined as an ability to pay debts when they fall due. Insolvency
               is the opposite – an inability to pay debts when they fall due.
               Companies may have some short-term problems with payments of debt, and can
               overcome the problem by deferring payments for a short time (obtaining more
               credit).
               However from a strategic perspective, solvency is a long-term consideration. A
               company must be able to pay its debts. If it cannot, there is a high risk that major
               creditors will take legal initiatives to have the company declared insolvent.
               Solvency for a commercial company depends on a combination of:
                      Profitability: companies may make losses in some years, but from a
                       strategic perspective, it needs to be profitable over the longer term.
                       Companies cannot remain loss-making for ever.
                      Liquidity: companies need cash to operate. Cash flow and profits are not
                       the same thing. A profitable company may run out of cash. A loss-making
                       company can raise cash by borrowing. However, over the long term,
                       companies must obtain cash to meet their expenditures.
© Emile Woolf International                         382          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                        Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement
                      Debt: companies are potentially at risk if they borrow too much. Interest
                       rates have been low throughout the 2010s, following the financial crisis of
                       2008 and low-interest policies of central banks (particularly in the USA and
                       Europe). In an environment of low interest rates, many companies have
                       borrowed large amounts of money. An insolvency risk arises if the company
                       would be unable to meet its debt payment obligations (interest payments
                       and capital repayments) if interest rates were to rise.
4      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Explain how performance might be measured in not-for-profit organisations
             Explain the objective of value for money and its application to not-for-profit
              organisations and the problems of multiple objectives
             Analyse and evaluate the strategic aspects of performance relating to profitability,
              liquidity and solvency
© Emile Woolf International                       383            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                    11
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                         CHAPTER
                                                    Transfer pricing
 Contents
 1 Transfer pricing: purpose and objectives
 2 Problems with transfer pricing
 3 Transfer pricing in practice
 4 Impact of taxation and repatriation of funds
 5 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                   384    The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 C     Performance measurement and control
       3     Divisional performance and transfer pricing
             a     Discuss the various methods of setting transfer prices and evaluate the
                   suitability of each method.
             b     Determine the optimal transfer price using appropriate models.
             c     Explain the benefits and limitations of transfer pricing methods.
             d     Demonstrate and explain the impact of taxation and repatriation of funds on
                   international transfer pricing.
Exam context
This chapter explains the meaning and importance of transfer pricing and explains and
illustrates different transfer pricing techniques.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain suitable bases for transfer pricing
      Select suitable bases for transfer pricing
      Set optimal transfer prices
© Emile Woolf International                       385          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                     Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
1      TRANSFER PRICING: PURPOSE AND OBJECTIVES
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Transfers at marginal cost
             Transfers at full cost
             Transfer pricing at cost plus
             Transfer pricing at market price
             The objectives of transfer pricing
       1.1 Introduction
               When a company has a divisionalised structure, some of the divisions might
               supply goods or services to other divisions in the same company.
                      One division sells the goods or services. This will be referred to as the
                       ‘selling division’.
                      Another division buys the goods or services. This will be referred to as the
                       ‘buying division’.
               For accounting purposes, these internal transfers of goods or services are given
               a value. Transfers could be recorded at cost. However, when the selling division
               is a profit centre or investment centre, it will expect to make some profit on the
               sale.
               Transfer price
               A transfer price is the price at which goods or services are sold by one division
               within a company to another division in the same company. Internal sales are
               referred to as transfers, so the internal selling and buying price is the transfer
               price.
               When goods are sold or transferred by one division to another, the sale for one
               division is matched by the purchase by the other division, and total profit of the
               company as a whole is unaffected. It is an internal transaction within the
               company, and a company cannot make a profit from internal transfers.
               A decision has to be made about what the transfer price should be. A transfer
               price may be:
                      the cost of the item (to the selling division); or
                      a price that is higher than the cost to the selling division, which may be cost
                       plus a profit margin or related to the external market price of the item
                       transferred.
               Possible methods include:
                      marginal cost;
                      full cost;
                      cost plus;
                      market price
               These will be considered in turn.
© Emile Woolf International                          386           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       1.2 Transfers at marginal cost
               The transfer price may be the cost of making the item (goods) or cost of provision
               (services) to the selling division.
               A transfer at cost may be at either:
                      marginal cost (variable cost); or
                      full cost.
                 Example: Transfers at marginal cost
                 An entity has two divisions, Division A and Division B.
                 Division A makes a component X which is transferred to Division B.
                 Division B uses component X to make end-product Y.
                 Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
                                                    Division        Division
                                                       A               B
                     Units produced/sold             1,000           1,000
                                                          ₦            ₦
                     Sales of final product                   -      350,000
                     Costs of production
                     Variable costs                   70,000          30,000
                     Fixed costs                      80,000          90,000
                     Total costs                    150,000          120,000
                 The budgeted annual profit for each division if the units of component X are
                 transferred from Division A to Division B at marginal cost are as follows.
© Emile Woolf International                         387           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                 Example (continued): Transfers at marginal cost (budgeted performance)
                                                                                                Company
                                                              Division        Division            as a
                                                                 A               B               whole
                     Units produced/sold                       1,000           1,000             1,000
                                                                 ₦              ₦                  ₦
                     External sales of final product                 -       350,000             350,000
                     Internal transfers (1,000  ₦70)          70,000               -                  0
                     Total sales                               70,000         350,000            350,000
                     Costs of production
                       Internal transfers (1,000  ₦70)                  -      70,000                     0
                       Other variable costs                    70,000           30,000           100,000
                       Fixed costs                             80,000           90,000           170,000
                     Total costs                              150,000         190,000            270,000
                     Profit/(net cost or loss)               (80,000)         160,000              80,000
                 For the company as a whole, the internal transfers are not included in sales and
                 costs. The transfers affect the financial results of the divisions.
                 By transferring goods at variable cost, the transferring division earns revenue
                 equal to its variable cost of production. It therefore bears the full cost of its fixed
                 costs, and its records a loss (or a net cost) equal to its fixed costs.
                 On the other hand, the buying division (Division B) reports a profit. Because the
                 fixed costs of Division A are not included in the transfer price, the profit of
                 Division B exceeds the total profit of the company as a whole.
               Transfers at marginal cost: actual sales higher than budget
               The same situation occurs if actual output and sales differ from budget. If
               production and sales are 1,100 units, the profits of Division B will increase, but
               Division A still makes a loss equal to its fixed costs. The total company profits
               increase by the same amount as the increase in the profits of Division B.
© Emile Woolf International                         389          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Transfers at marginal cost with actual sales higher than budget
                 Following on from the previous example.
                                                       Division          Division
                                                          A                 B
                     Units produced/sold                1,000             1,000
                                                         ₦                 ₦
                     Sales of final product                   -          350,000
                     Costs of production
                     Variable costs                     70,000            30,000
                     Fixed costs                        80,000            90,000
                     Total costs                       150,000           120,000
                 The reported profit if actual sales prices, actual variables costs per unit and total
                 fixed costs were as budgeted, but units sold are 10% more than budget is as
                 follows.
                                                                                                    Company
                                                                  Division        Division            as a
                                                                     A               B               whole
                     Units produced/sold                           1,100           1,100             1,100
                                                                     ₦              ₦                  ₦
                     External sales of final product                     -       385,000             385,000
                     Internal transfers (1,100  ₦70)              77,000               -                  0
                     Total sales                                   77,000         385,000            385,000
                     Costs of production
                       Internal transfers (1,100  ₦70)                      -      77,000                     0
                       Other variable costs                        77,000           33,000           110,000
                       Fixed costs                                 80,000           90,000           170,000
                     Total costs                                  157,000         200,000            280,000
                     Profit/(net cost or loss)                (80,000)            185,000            105,000
© Emile Woolf International                        390               The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                       Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
       1.3 Transfers at full cost
               Transfers at full cost: budgeted performance:
               In this example, the full cost per unit produced in Division A is ₦150, with an
               absorption rate for fixed overheads of ₦80 per unit produced and transferred.
                 Example: Transfers at full cost
                 An entity has two divisions, Division A and Division B.
                 Division A makes a component X which is transferred to Division B.
                 Division B uses component X to make end-product Y.
                 Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
                                                       Division          Division
                                                          A                 B
                     Units produced/sold                1,000             1,000
                                                          ₦                ₦
                     Sales of final product                   -          350,000
                     Costs of production
                     Variable costs                     70,000            30,000
                     Fixed costs                        80,000            90,000
                     Total costs                       150,000           120,000
                 The budgeted annual profit for each division if the units of component X are
                 transferred from Division A to Division B at full cost are as follows.
                                                                                                    Company
                                                                  Division        Division            as a
                                                                     A               B               whole
                     Units produced/sold                           1,000           1,000             1,000
                                                                     ₦              ₦                  ₦
                     External sales of final product                 -           350,000             350,000
                     Internal transfers (1,000  ₦150)        150,000                   -                  0
                     Total sales                              150,000             350,000            350,000
                     Costs of production
                      Internal transfers (1,000  ₦150)                      -    150,000                      0
                       Other variable costs                        70,000           30,000           100,000
                       Fixed costs                                 80,000           90,000           170,000
                     Total costs                              150,000             270,000            270,000
                     Profit/(net cost or loss)                            0         80,000             80,000
               Since the transfer price includes the fixed costs of the selling division, Division A
               is able to cover all its costs, but it reports neither a profit nor a loss. It covers its
               costs exactly.
© Emile Woolf International                         391              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The buying division (Division B) has to pay for the fixed costs of division A in the
               transfer price. It still reports a profit, but this profit is now equal to the profit
               earned by the company as a whole.
               Transfers at full cost: actual sales higher than budget
               A similar situation occurs if actual output and sales differ from budget. If
               production and sales are 1,100 units, the profits of Division B will increase.
               However, Division A will make some ‘profit’, but this is simply the amount by
               which its fixed overhead costs are over-absorbed.
                 Example: Transfers at full cost
                 Following on from the previous example:
                                                       Division          Division
                                                          A                 B
                     Units produced/sold                1,000             1,000
                                                         ₦                 ₦
                     Sales of final product                   -          350,000
                     Costs of production
                     Variable costs                     70,000            30,000
                     Fixed costs                        80,000            90,000
                     Total costs                       150,000           120,000
                 The reported profit if actual sales prices, actual variables costs per unit and total
                 fixed costs were as budgeted, but units sold are 10% more than budget is as
                 follows.
                                                                                                    Company
                                                                  Division        Division            as a
                                                                     A               B               whole
                     Units produced/sold                           1,100           1,100             1,100
                                                                     ₦              ₦                  ₦
                     External sales of final product                    -         385,000            385,000
                     Internal transfers (1,100  ₦150)            165,000               -                  0
                     Total sales                                  165,000         385,000             385,000
                     Costs of production:
                       Internal transfers (1,100  ₦150)                  -       165,000                      0
                       Other variable costs                        77,000           33,000           110,000
                       Fixed costs                                 80,000           90,000           170,000
                     Total costs                                  157,000         288,000             280,000
                     Profit/(net cost or loss)                      8,000           97,000            105,000
© Emile Woolf International                        392               The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
               These examples should illustrate that if transfers are at cost, the selling division
               has no real incentive, because it will earn little or no profit from the transactions.
               In effect, the selling division is a cost centre rather than a profit centre or
               investment centre.
       1.4 Transfer pricing at cost plus
               For the purpose of performance measurement and performance evaluation in a
               company with profit centres or investment centres, it is appropriate that:
                      the selling division should earn some profit or return on its transfer sales to
                       other divisions and
                      the buying division should pay a fair transfer price for the goods or services
                       that it buys from other divisions.
               One way of arranging for each division to make a profit on transfers is to set the
               transfer price at an amount above cost, to provide the selling division with a profit
               margin. However the transfer price should not be so high that the buying division
               makes a loss on the items it obtains from the selling division.
                 Example: Transfer pricing at cost plus
                 An entity has two divisions, Division C and Division D.
                 Division C makes a component Y which is transferred to Division D. Division D
                 uses component Y to make end-product Z.
                 Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
                                                              Division         Division
                                                                 C                D
                       Units produced/sold                     1,000            1,000
                                                                 ₦                ₦
                       Sales of final product                          -        350,000
                       Costs of production
                       Variable costs                          70,000            30,000
                       Fixed costs                             80,000            90,000
                       Total costs                            150,000           120,000
                 The budgeted annual profit for each division, if the units of component Y are
                 transferred from Division C to Division D at full cost plus 20%, are as follows:
© Emile Woolf International                         393          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                 Example (continued): Transfer pricing at cost plus
                 The full cost per unit produced in Division C is ₦150, and the transfer price (full
                 cost plus 20%) is ₦180.
                                                                                               Company
                                                           Division         Division             as a
                                                              C                D                whole
                     Units produced/sold                    1,000            1,000              1,000
                                                                  ₦                 ₦                 ₦
                     External sales of final product                -       350,000             350,000
                     Internal transfers (1,000  ₦180)     180,000                   -                0
                     Total sales                           180,000          350,000             350,000
                     Costs of production
                     Internal transfers (1,000  ₦180)            -         180,000                   0
                     Other variable costs                   70,000           30,000             100,000
                     Fixed costs                            80,000           90,000             170,000
                     Total costs                           150,000          300,000             270,000
                     Profit                                 30,000            50,000              80,000
                 A cost plus transfer price succeeds in sharing the total company profit between
                 the two divisions. However, the transfer price is arbitrary, because the profit
                 margin of 20% is arbitrary. If the transfer price lacks commercial reality, the
                 reported profits of each division are not satisfactory measures of performance.
© Emile Woolf International                        394          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       1.5 Transfer pricing at market price
               It would be more realistic to set the transfer price at or close to a market price for
               the item transferred, but this is only possible if an external market exists for the
               item.
                 Example: Transfer pricing at market price
                 An entity has two divisions, Division G and Division K. Division G makes a
                 component P which is transferred to Division K. Division K uses component P to
                 make end-product Q.
                 Division G budgets to sell one half of its output to Division K and the other half to
                 external customers. The market price for component P is ₦160 per unit and it
                 has been agreed that transfers between the two divisions should be at market
                 price.
                 Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
                                                           Division G            Division
                                                                                    K
                     Units produced/sold                      2,000               1,000
                                                                ₦                   ₦
                     Sales of final product                  160,000             350,000
                     Costs of production
                     Variable costs                          140,000              30,000
                     Fixed costs                              80,000              90,000
                     Total costs                                                 120,000
                                                            220,000
                 The budgeted annual profit for each division if the units of component Y are
                 transferred from Division G to Division K at market price are as follows.
                                                                                               Company
                                                           Division         Division             as a
                                                              G                K                whole
                     Units produced/sold                    2,000            1,000              1,000
                                                               ₦              ₦                  ₦
                     External sales of product Q                   -        350,000            350,000
                     External sales of component P          160,000                -           160,000
                     Internal transfers (1,000  ₦160)      160,000                -                 0
                     Total sales                            320,000          350,000            510,000
                     Costs of production
                     Internal transfers (1,000  ₦160)                -      160,000                     0
                     Other variable costs (2,000  ₦70)     140,000           30,000            170,000
                     Fixed costs                             80,000           90,000            170,000
                     Total costs                            220,000          280,000            340,000
                     Profit                                 100,000           70,000            170,000
                 Because transfers are at market price, it can be argued that the profit of each
                 division is a reasonable measure of their financial performance.
© Emile Woolf International                        395          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
       1.6 The objectives of transfer pricing
               Transfer prices are decided by management. When authority is delegated to
               divisional managers, the managers of the selling and buying divisions should be
               given the authority to negotiate and agree the transfer prices for any goods or
               services ‘sold’ by one division to the other.
               The objectives of transfer pricing should be to make it possible for
               divisionalisation to operate successfully within a company, and:
                      give autonomy (freedom to make decisions) to the managers of the profit
                       centres or investment centres; and
                      enable the company to measure the performance of each division in a fair
                       way.
               Divisional autonomy
               Autonomy is freedom of action and freedom to make decisions. Divisional
               managers should be free to make their own decisions. Autonomy should improve
               motivation of divisional managers.
               For example, when transfer prices have been decided, the managers of all
               divisions within the entity should be free to decide:
                      whether to sell their output to other divisions (internal transfers) or whether
                       to sell them to external customers, if an external market exists for the
                       output; and
                      whether to buy their goods from another division (internal transfers) or
                       whether to buy them from external suppliers, if an external market exists.
               Acting in the best interests of the company
               In addition, divisional managers should be expected to make decisions that are in
               the best interest s of the company as a whole.
               Unfortunately, divisional managers often put the interests of their own division
               before the interests of the company as a whole, particularly if they are rewarded
               (for example with an annual cash bonus) on the basis of the profits or ROI
               achieved by the division.
               In certain circumstances, the personal objectives of divisional managers may be
               in conflict with the interests of the company as a whole. A division may take
               action that maximises its own profit, but reduces the profits of another division.
               As a result, the profits of the entity as a whole may also be reduced.
© Emile Woolf International                         396          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      PROBLEMS WITH TRANSFER PRICING
         Section overview
          External intermediate markets
          Market-based and cost-based transfer prices, and transfer prices based on
           opportunity cost
             The opportunity cost of transfers
             Identifying the ideal transfer price
          Finding the ideal transfer price: No external intermediate market
          Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and no
           production limitations
             Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and production
              limitations
       2.1 External intermediate markets
               A system of transfer pricing should allow the divisional managers the freedom to
               make their own decisions, without having to be told by head office what they
               must do. At the same time, the system should not encourage divisional managers
               to take decisions that do harm to the company.
               The main problems arise when there is an external market for the goods (or
               services) that one division transfers to another. When an external market exists
               for goods or services that are also transferred internally, the market might be
               called an external intermediate market.
                      The selling division can sell its goods into this market, instead of
                       transferring them internally.
                      Similarly the buying division can buy its goods from other suppliers in this
                       market, instead of buying them internally from another division.
               Divisional managers will put the interests of their division before the interests of
               the company. When there is an external intermediate market, divisional
               managers will decide between internal transfers and using the external market in
               a way that maximises the profits of their division.
       2.2 Market-based and cost-based transfer prices, and transfer prices based on
           opportunity cost
               As a general rule:
                      When an external intermediate market does not exist for transferred goods,
                       the transfer price will be based on cost.
                      When an external intermediate market does exist for transferred goods, the
                       transfer price will be based on the external market price.
               However, the situation is more complicated when:
                      there is a limit to production capacity in the selling division; or
                      there is a limit to sales demand in the external intermediate market.
               In these circumstances, we need to consider the opportunity costs for the
               selling division of transferring goods internally instead of selling them externally.
© Emile Woolf International                          397          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
       2.3 The opportunity cost of transfers
               The selling division and the buying division have opportunity costs of transferring
               goods internally when there is an intermediate external market.
                      For the selling division, the opportunity cost of transferring goods internally
                       to another division might include a loss of contribution and profit from not
                       being able to sell goods externally in the intermediate market.
                      For the buying division, the opportunity cost of buying internally from
                       another division is the price that it would have to pay for purchasing the
                       items from external suppliers in the intermediate market.
               The ideal transfer price is a price at which both the selling division and the buying
               division will want to do what is in the best interests of the company as a whole,
               because it is also in the best interests of their divisions.
               Ideal transfer prices must therefore take opportunity costs into consideration.
       2.4 Identifying the ideal transfer price
               In identifying the ideal transfer price, there are three scenarios that need to be
               considered when handling transfer pricing mechanisms:
       a.      When there is no spare capacity- This simply means that the selling division is
               operating at full capacity and cannot increase output beyond what is produced and
               sold. The optimal transfer price here is marginal cost plus opportunity cost of making
               the transfer.
       b.      When there is spare capacity- This is when the selling division is not operating at
               full capacity, the transfer price is the marginal cost of producing the transferred item.
       c.       When there is limited spare capacity- This is a variant of (b) above. Under this
               scenario , the selling division needs to beef up additional product from external
               suppliers to meet the limited requirements for the buyer. The optimal transfer price
               is computed in the same mode as (b) above. The transfer price for the units met
               from the spare capacity is at marginal cost, while that of the remaining is at the
               opportunity cost based on the purchases from external suppliers
                 Equally, the following rules should help one to identify the ideal transfer
                 price in other situations:
                      Step 1. Begin by identifying the arrangement for transferring goods
                       internally that would maximise the profits of the company as a whole. In
                       other words, what solution is best for the company?
                      Step 2. Having identified the plan that is in the best interests of the
                       company as a whole, identify the transfer price, or range of transfer prices,
                       that will make the manager of the buying division want to work towards this
                       plan. The transfer price must ensure that, given this transfer price, the
                       profits of the division will be maximised by doing what is in the best
                       interests of the company as a whole.
                      Step 3. In the same way, having identified the plan that is in the best
                       interests of the company as a whole, identify the transfer price, or range of
                       transfer prices, that will make the manager of the selling division want to
                       work towards the same plan. Again, the transfer price must ensure that,
                       given the transfer price, the profits of the division will be maximised by
                       doing what is in the best interests of the company as a whole.
               These rules will be illustrated with a number of different examples and different
               situations.
© Emile Woolf International                         398          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       2.5 Finding the ideal transfer price: No external intermediate market
               When there is no external intermediate market, the ideal transfer price is either:
                      cost; or
                      cost plus a contribution margin or profit margin for the selling division.
               Transfers at cost do not provide any profit for the selling division; therefore
               transfer prices at cost are inappropriate for a divisional structure where the selling
               division is a profit centre or an investment centre, with responsibility for making
               profits. Transfers at cost are appropriate only if the selling division is treated as a
               cost centre, with responsibility for controlling its costs but not for making profit.
               If the selling division is a profit centre or an investment centre, and there is no
               external intermediate market for the transferred item, transfers should therefore
               be at a negotiated ‘cost plus’ price, to provide some profit to the selling division.
© Emile Woolf International                         399          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Ideal transfer price with no external intermediate market
                 A company has two divisions, Division A and Division B.
                 Division A makes a component X which is transferred to Division B. Division B
                 uses component X to make end-product Y.
                 Both divisions are profit centres within the company.
                 Details of costs and selling price are as follows:
                       Division A                               ₦
                       Cost of component X
                       Variable cost                          100
                       Fixed cost                              80
                       Total cost                             180
                       Division B
                       Further processing costs
                       Variable cost                           40
                       Fixed cost                              70
                                                              110
                       Selling price per unit of product Y    400
                 The further processing costs of Division B do not include the cost of buying
                 component X from Division A. One unit of component X goes into the production
                 of one unit of Product Y. Fixed costs in both divisions will be the same, regardless
                 of the volume of production and sales.
                 Required
                 What is the ideal transfer price, or what is a range of prices that would be ideal
                 for the transfer price?
© Emile Woolf International                          400         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                 Answer
                 Step 1
                 What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
                 The total variable cost of one unit of the end product, product Y, is ₦140 (₦100 +
                 ₦40). The sales price of product Y is ₦400.
                 The entity therefore makes additional contribution of ₦260 for every unit of
                 product Y that it sells. It is therefore in the best interests of the company to
                 maximise production and sales of product Y.
                 Step 2
                 What will motivate the buying division to buy as many units of component X as
                 possible?
                 Division B will want to buy more units of component X provided that the division
                 earns additional contribution from every unit of the component that it buys.
                     Division B                                                    ₦
                     Selling price of Product Y, per unit                        400
                     Variable further processing costs in Division B              40
                                                                                 360
                 The opportunity cost of not buying units of component X, ignoring the transfer
                 price, is ₦360 per unit.
                 Division B should therefore be willing to pay up to ₦360 per unit for component X.
                 Any transfer price below ₦360 but above ₦40 per unit will increase is
                 contribution and profit
                 Step 3
                 What will motivate the selling division to make and transfer as many units of
                 component X as possible?
                 Division A will want to make and sell more units of component X provided that
                 the division earns additional contribution from every unit of the component that it
                 sells.
                 The marginal cost of making and transferring a unit of component X is ₦100.
                 Division A should therefore be willing to transfer as many units of component X
                 as it can make (or Division B has the capacity to buy) if the transfer price is at
                 least ₦100.
                 Ideal transfer price
                 The ideal transfer price is anywhere in the range ₦100 to ₦360. A price
                 somewhere within this range may be negotiated, which will provide profit to both
                 divisions and the company as a whole, for each additional unit of product Y that is
                 made and sold.
© Emile Woolf International                        401         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.6 Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and no
           production limitations
               When there is an external intermediate market for the transferred item, a different
               situation applies. If there are no production limitations in the selling division, the
               ideal transfer price is usually the external market price.
                 Example: Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market
                 A company has two divisions P and Q. Division P makes a component X which it
                 either transfers to Division Q or sells in an external market.
                 The costs of making one unit of component X are:
                       Component X                              ₦
                       Variable cost                          600
                       Fixed cost                             300
                       Total cost                             900
                 Division Q uses one unit of component X to make one unit of product Y, which it
                 sells for ₦2,000 after incurring variable further processing costs of ₦250 per unit.
                 The ideal transfer price or range of transfer prices, if the price of component X in
                 the external intermediate market is ₦1,400 can be found as follows.
                 Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
                 The company will benefit by maximising the total contribution from the total
                 external sales of component X and product Y.
                 If component X is not transferred by Division P to Division Q, Division Q will have
                 to buy units of component X in the external market. Every unit of component X
                 transferred internally therefore reduces the need to purchase a unit externally.
                 The additional contribution for the company from making and selling one unit of
                 product Y is ₦1,150 (₦2,000 – ₦600 – ₦205).
                 The additional contribution from making one unit of component X and selling it
                 externally is ₦800 (₦1,400 – ₦600).
                 A profit-maximising plan is therefore to maximise the sales of Division Q, and
                 transfer component X from Division P to Division Q rather than sell component X
                 externally.
                 Step 2: What will motivate the buying division (Division Q) to buy as many units of
                 component X as possible from Division P?
                 Division Q will be prepared to buy component X from Division P as long as it is not
                 more expensive than buying in the external market from another supplier.
                 Division Q will be willing to buy internally if the transfer price is not more than
                 ₦1,400 when the external market price is ₦1,400.
                 If the external market price and transfer price are both ₦1,400, Division Q will
                 make an incremental contribution of ₦350 (₦2,000 – ₦1,400 – ₦250) fromeach
                 unit of component X that it buys and uses to make and sell a unit of product Y.
                 It the transfer price is higher than the external market price, Division Q will
                 choose to buy component X in the external market, which would not be in the
                 best interests of the company as a whole.
© Emile Woolf International                        402          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                 Example (continued): Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market
                 Step 3: What will motivate the selling division to make and transfer to Division Q
                 as many units of component X as possible?
                 Division P should be prepared to transfer as many units of component X as
                 possible to Division Q provided that its profit is no less than it would be if it sold
                 component X externally.
                 Units transferred to division Q are lost sales to the external market; therefore
                 there is an opportunity cost of transfer that Division P will wish to include in the
                 transfer price.
                     Component X: market price ₦1,400                                      ₦
                     Variable cost                                                       600
                     Opportunity cost of lost external sale (1,400 – 600)                800
                     Total cost = minimum transfer price                              1,400
                 Example: Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market
                 A company has two divisions P and Q. Division P makes a component X which it
                 either transfers to Division Q or sells in an external market.
                 The costs of making one unit of component X are:
                    Component X                            ₦
                    Variable cost                         600
                    Fixed cost                            300
                       Total cost                              900
                 Division Q uses one unit of component X to make one unit of product Y, which it
                 sells for ₦2,000 after incurring variable further processing costs of ₦250 per unit.
                 The ideal transfer price or range of transfer prices, if the price of component X in
                 the external intermediate market is ₦580 can be found as follows.
                 (Assume that the selling division cannot be closed down).
© Emile Woolf International                         403          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market
                 Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
                              The company will benefit by maximising the total contribution from the
                              total external sales of component X and product Y.
                              If component X is not transferred by Division P to Division Q, Division Q
                              will have to buy units of component X in the external market. Every unit
                              of component X transferred internally therefore reduces the need to
                              purchase a unit externally.
                              The additional contribution for the company from making and selling
                              one unit of product Y is ₦1,150 (₦2,000 – ₦600 – ₦250).
                              When the external market price is ₦580 for component X, Division P
                              would make an incremental loss of ₦20 per unit (₦580 – ₦600)by
                              selling the component externally.
                              A profit-maximising plan is therefore to maximise the sales of Division
                              Q, and transfer component X from Division P to Division Q rather than
                              sell component X externally.
                 Step 2: What will motivate the buying division (Division Q) to buy as many units
                          of component X as possible from Division P?
                              Division Q will be prepared to buy component X from Division P as long
                              as it is not more expensive than buying in the external market from
                              another supplier. Division Q will be willing to buy internally if the
                              transfer price is not more than ₦580.
                              If the external market price and transfer price are both ₦580, Division
                              Q will make an incremental contribution of ₦1,170 (₦2,000 – ₦580–
                              ₦250) from each unit of component X that it buys and uses to make
                              and sell a unit of product Y.
                              It the transfer price is higher than the external market price, Division Q
                              will choose to buy component X in the external market, which would
                              not be in the best interests of the company as a whole.
                 Step 3: What will motivate the selling division to make and transfer to Division
                          Q as many units of component X as possible?
                              Division P should be prepared to transfer as many units of component
                              X as possible to Division Q provided that its profit is no less than it
                              would be if it sold component X externally.
                              Units transferred to division Q are lost sales to the external market;
                              therefore there is an opportunity cost of transfer that Division P will
                              wish to include in the transfer price.
                              Component X: market price ₦58                                  ₦
                              Variable cost                                                 600
                              Opportunity cost of lost external sale (580 – 600)            (20)
                              Total cost = minimum transfer price                           580
© Emile Woolf International                          404          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
               If the variable cost of making a component is greater than the price on an
               external market, the company would be better off closing the selling company
               and buying externally.
                 Example: Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market
                 A company has two divisions P and Q. Division P makes a component X which it
                 either transfers to Division Q or sells in an external market.
                 The costs of making one unit of component X are:
                       Component X                              ₦
                       Variable cost                          600
                       Fixed cost                             300
                       Total cost                             900
                 Division Q uses one unit of component X to make one unit of product Y, which it
                 sells for ₦2,000 after incurring variable further processing costs of ₦250 per unit.
                 The price of component X in the external intermediate market is ₦580.
                 Contribution made by the company with an without internal transfer is as follows:
                                                           Component X made
                       Contribution                      Internally   Externally
                                                                   ₦          ₦
                       Selling price                          2,000       2,000
                       Variable cost of manufacture             600
                       Price on external market                             580
                       Further processing cost                  250         250
                       Total cost                               850         830
                       Contribution                           1,150                1,170
               When the external market price is ₦580 Division P is losing contribution by selling
               component X externally. It would also be cheaper for the entity as a whole to buy
               the component externally for ₦580rather than make internally for a marginal cost
               of ₦600 Division P should consider ending its operations to produce component
               X.
© Emile Woolf International                        405          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.7 Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and
           production limitations
               When there is an external intermediate market for the transferred item, and the
               selling division has a limitation on the number of units it can produce, the ideal
               transfer price should allow for the opportunity cost of the selling division. Every
               unit transferred means one less external sale.
               I some situations there is no ideal transfer price as the company would be better
               off sourcing the component externally
                 Example:
                 A company consists of two divisions, Division A and Division B. Division A is
                 working at full capacity on its machines, and can make either Product Y or
                 Product Z, up to its capacity limitation. Both of these products have an external
                 market.
                 Division B buys Product Y, which it uses to make an end product which can be
                 sold to earn excellent margins.
                 The costs and selling prices of Product Y and Product Z are:
                                                                    Product Y         Product Z
                                                                              ₦                 ₦
                     Selling price (price on the external market)           150               170
                     Variable cost of production                            100                90
                     Contribution per unit                                   50                80
                 The variable cost of sale is incurred on external sales of the division’s products.
                 This selling cost is not incurred for internal sales/transfers from Division A to
                 Division B.
                 To make one unit of Product Y takes exactly the same machine time as one unit
                 of Product Z.
                 Required
                 What is the ideal transfer price or range of transfer prices?
© Emile Woolf International                        406          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                 Answer
                 Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
                 The company would want to maximise contribution.
                 It wants to make and sell as many units of the end product of Division B as
                 possible. It is not clear, however, whether it is better for Division B to buy Product
                 Y externally or to buy internally from Division A.
                 If Division A does not make Product Y, it can make and sell Product Z instead.
                 Product Z earns a higher contribution per unit of machine time, the limiting factor
                 in Division A.
                 Step 2: What would motivate the buying division to buy as many units of Product
                 Y as possible from Division A?
                 Division B will be prepared to buy Product Y from Division A as long as it is not
                 more expensive than buying in the external market from another supplier.
                 Division B will be willing to buy Product Y internally if the transfer price is ₦150 or
                 less.
                 Step 3: What would motivate the selling division to make and transfer as many
                 units of Product Y as possible?
                 The selling division will only be willing to make Product Y instead of Product Z if it
                 earns at least as much contribution as it would from making Z and selling it
                 externally. (In this situation, the division can make as many units of Z as it can
                 make of Y, and Product Z earns a higher contribution).
                     Product Y                                                                           ₦
                     Variable cost of making Product Y                                                 100
                     Opportunity cost of lost external sale of Product Z (170– 90)                      80
                     Total cost = minimum transfer price                                               180
                 Ideal transfer price/ideal production and selling plan
                 Division B will not want to pay more than ₦150 for transfers of Product Y;
                 otherwise it will buy Product Y externally.
                 Division A will want to receive at least ₦180 for transfers of Product Y; otherwise
                 it will prefer to make and sell Product Z, not Product Y.
                 The ideal solution is for Division B to buy Product Y externally at ₦150 and for
                 Division A to make and sell Product Z.
© Emile Woolf International                         407          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice questions                                                                      1
                 A company consists of two divisions, Division A and Division B. Division A is
                 operating at full capacity making Product X, for which there is an external
                 market.
                 The variable cost of making one unit of Product X is ₦700, and the sale
                 price of Product X in the external market is ₦1,000 per unit.
                 Division B needs one unit of Product X to manufacture another product,
                 Product Y. The variable conversion costs and further processing costs in
                 Division B are ₦290 per unit of Product Y. The external selling price of
                 Product Y is ₦1,400 per unit.
                 An external supplier has offered to sell units of Product Y to Division B for
                 ₦1,030 per unit.
                 Required
                 (a) Identify the ideal transfer price.
                 (b) Calculate the contribution per unit for each Division and for the
                     company as a whole if this transfer price is used.
                 (c) Suggest with reasons whether this transfer price provides a fair
                     measure of divisional performance.
© Emile Woolf International                         408        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
3      TRANSFER PRICING IN PRACTICE
         Section overview
          Transfer price at market price
          Transfer price at full cost plus
             Transfer price at variable cost plus or incremental cost plus
             Two-part transfer prices
             Dual pricing
             Negotiated transfer prices
       Transfer prices might be decided by head office and imposed on each division.
       Alternatively, the managers of each division might have the autonomy to negotiate
       transfer prices with each other.
       In practice, transfer prices may be agreed and expressed in one of the following ways.
       3.1 Transfer price at market price
               A transfer price may be the external selling/buying price for the item in an
               external intermediate market. This price is only possible when an external market
               exists.
               If the selling division would incur some extra costs if it sold its output externally
               rather than transferred it internally to another division, the transfer price may be
               reduced below market price, to allow for the variable costs that would be saved
               by the selling division. This is very common as the selling division may save costs
               of packaging and warranties or guarantees. Distribution costs may also be
               cheaper and there will be no need for advertising.
               Advantages of market price as the transfer price
               Market price is the ideal transfer price when there is an external market. A
               transfer price below this amount will make the manager of the selling division
               want to sell externally, and a price above this amount will make the manager of
               the buying division want to buy externally.
               Transferring at market price also encourages efficiency in the supplying division,
               which must compete with the external competition.
               Disadvantages of market price as the transfer price
               The current market price is not appropriate as a transfer price when:
                      the current market price is only temporary, and caused by short-term
                       conditions in the market, or
                      the selling price in the external market would fall if the selling division sold
                       more of its output into the market. The opportunity cost of transferring
                       output internally would not be the current market price, because the selling
                       price would have to be reduced in order to sell the extra units.
               It may also be difficult to identify exactly what the external market price is.
               Products from rival companies may be different in quality, availability may not be
               so certain and there may be different levels of service back-up.
© Emile Woolf International                         409          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.2 Transfer price at full cost plus
               A transfer price may be the full cost of production plus a margin for profit for the
               selling division.
               Standard full costs should be used, not actual full costs. This will prevent the
               selling division from increasing its profit by incurring higher costs per unit.
               Full cost plus might be suitable when there is no external intermediate market.
               However, there are disadvantages in using full cost rather than variable cost to
               decide a transfer price.
                      The fixed costs of the selling division become variable costs in the transfer
                       price of the buying division. This might lead to decisions by the buying
                       division managers that are against the best interests of the company as a
                       whole. This is because a higher variable cost may lead to the buying
                       division choosing to set price at a higher level which would lose sales
                       volume.
                      The size of the profit margin or mark-up is likely to be arbitrary.
       3.3 Transfer price at variable cost plus or incremental cost plus
               A transfer price might be expressed as the variable cost of production plus a
               margin for profit for the selling division.
               Standard variable costs should be used, not actual variable costs. This will
               prevent the selling division from increasing its profit by incurring higher variable
               costs per unit.
               Variable cost plus might be suitable when there is no external intermediate
               market. It is probably more suitable in these circumstances than full cost plus,
               because variable cost is a better measure of opportunity cost. However, as
               stated earlier, when transfers are at cot, the transferring division should be a cost
               centre, and not a profit centre.
               Other methods that may be used to agree transfer prices include:
                      Two-part transfer prices
                      Dual pricing
       3.4 Two-part transfer prices
               With two-part transfer prices, the selling division charges the buying division for
               units transferred in two ways:
                      a standard variable cost per unit transferred, plus
                      a fixed charge in each period.
               The fixed charge is a lump sum charge at the end of each period. The fixed
               charge would represent a share of the contribution from selling the end product,
               which the selling/transferring division has helped to earn. Alternatively, the
               charge could be seen as a charge to the buying division for a share of the fixed
               costs of the selling division in the period.
               The fixed charge could be set at an amount that provides a ‘fair’ profit for each
               division, although it is an arbitrary amount.
© Emile Woolf International                         410          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
       3.5 Dual pricing
               In some situations, two divisions may not be able to agree a transfer price,
               because there is no transfer price at which the selling division will want to transfer
               internally or the buying division will want to buy internally. However, the profits of
               the entity as a whole would be increased if transfers did occur.
               These situations are rare. However, when they occur, head office might find a
               solution to the problem by agreeing to dual transfer prices.
                      the selling division sells at one transfer price, and
                      the buying division buys at a lower transfer price.
               There are two different transfer prices. The transfer price for the selling division
               should be high enough to motivate the divisional manager to transfer more units
               to the buying division. Similarly, the transfer price for the buying division should
               be low enough to motivate the divisional manager to buy more units from the
               selling division.
               In the accounts of the company, the transferred goods are:
                      sold by the selling division to head office and
                      bought by the buying division from head office.
               The loss from the dual pricing is a cost for head office, and treated as a head
               office overhead expense.
               However, dual pricing can be complicated and confusing. It also requires the
               intervention of head office and therefore detracts from divisional autonomy.
       3.6 Negotiated transfer prices
               A negotiated transfer price is a price that is negotiated between the managers of
               the profit centres.
               The divisional managers are given the autonomy to agree on transfer prices.
               Negotiation might be a method of identifying the ideal transfer price in situations
               where an external intermediate market does not exist.
               An advantage of negotiation is that if the negotiations are honest and fair, the
               divisions should be willing to trade with each other on the basis of the transfer
               price they have agreed.
               Disadvantages of negotiation are as follows:
                      The divisional managers might be unable to reach agreement. When this
                       happens, management from head office will have to act as judge or
                       arbitrator in the case.
                      The transfer prices that are negotiated might not be fair, but a reflection of
                       the bargaining strength or bargaining skills of each divisional manager.
© Emile Woolf International                         411           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
4      IMPACT OF TAXATION AND REPATRIATION OF FUNDS
         Section overview
             Corporate objectives and the relevance of tax and transfer pricing
             Transfer pricing and tax rules
       4.1 Corporate objectives and the relevance of tax and transfer pricing
               The corporate objective of a multinational company, as for any other company, is
               linked to profitability and returns for shareholders. Multinational companies
               operate in different countries, and are therefore subject to differing tax
               regulations and systems. MNCs will try to improve earnings for shareholders by
               minimising their worldwide tax liabilities.
                      Multinational companies will seek to invest in countries where the taxation
                       system is more favourable. For example, companies might seek relief from
                       taxation for making capital investments in a country, and will choose one
                       country in preference to another on the basis of the tax advantages offered
                      Some MNCs have been accused of using transfer pricing to minimise their
                       tax liabilities. Transfer prices are used to charge for goods and services
                       transferred between companies in the group. Transfer prices can be
                       charged in such a way that:
                             transfers from a subsidiary in a high-tax country to a subsidiary in a
                              low-tax country are fixed at high levels, and
                             low transfer prices are set for transfers from a low-tax to a high-tax
                              country.
               In this way, profits in the high-tax subsidiaries are reduced, and more profits are
               earned in the low-tax countries.
       4.2 Transfer pricing and tax rules
               Transfer prices are prices charged internally within a group, and have no effect
               on the total pre-tax profit of the group. Transfer prices are simply a way of
               sharing the profit between the two companies concerned.
               Transfer prices between a company and a foreign subsidiary have implications
               for taxation, and the aim of a group of companies should be to minimise total tax
               payable on the group profits. Issues to consider are:
                      the rate of taxation on profits in the two countries
                      the existence of a double taxation agreement
                      the existence of any withholding tax in the country of the foreign subsidiary
                      tax rules on transfer pricing.
               Tax rates
               The rate of taxation on profits will vary between the two countries and two
               companies concerned. As a general principle, the aim of a group should be to set
               a transfer price that shares the profits in a way that reduces the profits of the
               company in the higher-tax country.
© Emile Woolf International                          412         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                For example, suppose that a parent company in country A sells goods to its
                100%-owned subsidiary in country B, and the rate of tax is 20% in country A and
                30% in country B. The transfer price should be set as high as the tax rules
                permit, because this will increase profits of the parent company in lower-tax
                country A and reduce the profits of the subsidiary in higher-tax country B.
                Double taxation agreement
                There should usually be a double taxation agreement between the two countries.
                From the point of view of the parent company, this means that:
                       If the rate of tax on profits is higher in the country of the foreign subsidiary
                        than in the parent company’s country, the subsidiary pays tax in its own
                        country on its profits at the rate applicable in that country. No further tax is
                        payable in the parent company’s country on the profits of the foreign
                        subsidiary.
                       If the rate of tax on profits is lower in the country of the foreign subsidiary
                        than in the parent company’s country, the subsidiary pays tax in its own
                        country on its profits at the rate applicable in that country. However, tax is
                        also payable by the parent company in its own country. The tax payable is
                        the difference between tax on profits at the rate in the parent company and
                        the tax payable by the subsidiary in its own country.
                Withholding tax
                Withholding tax is additional tax that is ‘withheld’ when a company pays interest
                or dividends to a foreign investor. It affects international groups where foreign
                subsidiaries are located in a country where withholding tax is charged. Payments
                of interest or dividends by a subsidiary to the parent company will be subject to
                the withholding tax.
                Tax rules on transfer prices
                The tax rules in a country are likely to make it difficult for an international group to
                charge inter-company transfer prices that are significantly different from market
                prices (where these exist). This is because the tax authorities recognise that
                transfer prices might be set artificially so as to minimise the total tax burden for
                the group.
                These various tax aspects of transfer pricing are illustrated by the following
                example.
 © Emile Woolf International                          413          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Transfer pricing at market price
                 A Nigerian company has recently acquired a foreign subsidiary in another country,
                 Outland.
                 A part of the operating arrangements of the new group is that the parent
                 company will export a component to the subsidiary, and the subsidiary will use
                 this component to make a product that it will sell in Outland.
                 LC (local currency) is the currency in Outland.
                 The following information is available:
                     Nigerian Company
                     Sales (components transferred to Outland)                               100,000
                     Variable cost per unit                                                    ₦15
                     Fixed costs                                                             ₦900,000
                     Tax rate                                                                  30%
                     Outland Company
                     Units of product sold (based on components transferred in)              100,000
                     Sales price per unit                                                     LC 150
                     Local variable cost per unit (in addition to transfer cost)               LC 40
                     Fixed costs                                                            LC 600,000
                     Tax rate                                                                   30%
                 The exchange rate is ₦1 = LC4.
                 Withholding tax of 10% is charged on all remittances of interest and dividends
                 from Outland.
                 The Nigerian parent company intends to remit all available profits from Outland to
                 Nigeria.
                 There is a double taxation agreement between Nigeria and Outland. Tax on
                 income and distributions in one country may be credited against a tax liability on
                 the same income in the other country.
                 Tax on profits in Outland will be 25%, but there will be an additional withholding
                 tax of 10% since all available profits will be remitted to Nigeria. The total tax
                 payable on income in Outland is therefore 35% which is higher than the rate of
                 Nigerian tax. This means that profits earned in Outland will not be taxed at all in
                 Nigeria.
                 The management of the Nigerian parent company have to decide what the
                 transfer price for the component should be and is considering two different
                 transfer pricing scenarios.
© Emile Woolf International                        414             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
                 Example (continued): Transfer pricing at market price
                 Transfer pricing scenario 1: Transfer price set at the market price (₦26 per unit).
                 The results of using this transfer price are as follows:
                   Parent company (Nigeria)                                ₦                      ₦
                   Component sales (₦26 per unit)                      2,600,000
                   Variable costs (₦15 per unit)                       1,500,000
                   Fixed costs                                           900,000
                                                                      (2,400,000)
                     Profit before tax                                    200,000
                     Tax at 30%                                            (60,000)
                     Profit after tax                                                        140,000
                     Subsidiary company (Outland)                         LC
                     Product sales (LC150 per unit)                   15,000,000
                     Transfer costs (LC104 per unit)                  10,400,000
                     Local variable costs (LC40 per unit)              1,500,000
                     Local fixed costs                                   600,000
                                                                     (12,500,000)
                     Profit before tax                                 2,500,000
                     Tax at 25%                                         (625,000)
                     Profit after tax                                  1,875,000
                     Withholding tax at 10%                             (187,500)
                     Remitted to the Nigeria                            1,687,500
                     Exchange rate                                             ÷4
                     Received in Nigeria                                                     421,875
                     Profit in Nigeria after tax                                             561,875
© Emile Woolf International                        415           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Transfer pricing at market price
                 Transfer pricing scenario 1: Transfer price set at cost plus 25%.
                 Total Nigerian costs are ₦2,400,000 or ₦24 per unit. Cost plus 25% = ₦30 per
                 unit.
                 The transfer price will therefore be ₦30, which is LC120 per unit.
                 The results of using this transfer price are as follows:
                   Parent company (Nigeria)                                ₦                     ₦
                   Component sales (₦30 per unit)                      3,000,000
                   Variable costs (₦15 per unit)                       1,500,000
                   Fixed costs                                           900,000
                                                                     (2,400,000)
                     Profit before tax                                   600,000
                     Tax at 30%                                         (180,000)
                     Profit after tax                                                       420,000
                     Subsidiary company (Outland)                        LC
                     Product sales (LC150 per unit)                  15,000,000
                     Transfer costs (LC120 per unit)                 12,000,000
                     Local variable costs (LC40 per unit)             1,500,000
                     Local fixed costs                                  600,000
                                                                    (14,100,000)
                     Profit before tax                                   900,000
                     Tax at 25%                                         (225,000)
                     Profit after tax                                    675,000
                     Withholding tax at 10%                               (67,500)
                     Remitted to the Nigeria                              607,500
                     Exchange rate                                             ÷4
                     Received in Nigeria                                                    151,875
                     Profit in Nigeria after tax                                            571,875
                 Conclusion
                 The higher transfer price results in a bigger after-tax profit for the group. This is
                 because it has the effect of reducing profits in Outland (where the group pays tax
                 at 35% into Nigeria (where the group pays tax at 25%).
                 The tax authorities in Outland might not agree to accept a transfer price of LC
                 120 as this is LC 26 above the market price of LC 104.
© Emile Woolf International                        416          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 11: Transfer pricing
5      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain suitable bases for transfer pricing
             Select suitable bases for transfer pricing
             Set optimal transfer prices
© Emile Woolf International                       417      The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                               1
         Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
         For each additional unit of Product Y that Division B makes and sells, the additional
         contribution for the company is ₦410 (₦1,400 – ₦700 – ₦290).
         The contribution from selling one unit of Product Y in the intermediate market is ₦300
         (₦1,000 – ₦700).
         The company therefore makes more contribution and profit from making and selling
         Product Y than from selling Product X externally.
         The production plan that will optimise the profit for the company as a whole is for
         Division A to make units of Product X and transfer them to Division B.
         Step 2: What would motivate the buying division to buy as many units of Product X as
         possible from Division A?
         Division B will not want to pay more to Division A for Product X than the price it has
         been offered by an external supplier, ₦1,030. However, Division B can presumably find
         another supplier who is willing to offer the current market price of ₦1,000, and the
         maximum price that Division B should pay ought to be ₦1,000.
         Step 3: What would motivate the selling division to make and transfer as many units of
         Product X as possible?
                       Product Y                                                                  ₦
                       Variable cost                                                            700
                       Opportunity cost of lost external sale (1,000 – 700)                     300
                       Total cost = minimum transfer price                                   1,000
         Ideal transfer price
         The ideal transfer price is ₦100 per unit of Product X.
         Contribution per unit
                                                         Division            Division           Entity as
                                                                A                   B            a whole
                                                          ₦/unit              ₦/unit              ₦/unit
                       External sale                            -              1,400               1,400
                       Internal sale                       1,000                    -                   -
                       Sales revenue                      1,000                1,400               1,400
                       Transfer: purchase cost                  -              1,000                     -
                       Other variable costs                  700                 290                  990
                       Total variable costs                  700               1,290                  990
                       Contribution per unit                 300                  110                 410
© Emile Woolf International                        418              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 12
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                       CHAPTER
                                    Divisional performance
 Contents
 1 Investment, profit, revenue and cost centres
 2 Divisional performance evaluation
 3 Return on Investment (ROI)
 4 Residual income (RI)
 5 Divisional performance and depreciation
 6 Economic value added (EVA)
 7 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 C     Performance measurement and control
       3     Divisional performance and transfer pricing
             e     Select and explain suitable divisional performance measures for a given
                   business using return on investment, residual income and economic value
                   added approaches. Evaluate the results and advise management.
Exam context
This chapter explains the different types of responsibility centres. It continues by explaining
the advantages and disadvantages of decentralisation before explaining suitable techniques
for measuring the performance of investment centres.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain and illustrate cost centres, profit centres and investment centres
      Define, calculate and interpret return on investment
      Define, calculate and interpret residual income
      Define, calculate and interpret economic value added
© Emile Woolf International                     420           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                          Chapter 12: Divisional performance
1      INVESTMENT, PROFIT, REVENUE AND COST CENTRES
         Section overview
             Organisational structure and management responsibilities
             Definitions and explanation
       1.1 Organisational structure and management responsibilities
               Every business organisation has a management structure with individual
               managers given responsibility for a particular aspect of operations or activity. The
               operations or activity for which they are responsible can be called a
               responsibility centre. Within a large organisation, there is a hierarchy of
               management, with a hierarchy of delegated responsibilities.
               A manager might be in charge of a department, such as a warehouse or the
               buying department. A part of their responsibility should be to ensure that the
               department operates efficiently and economically, and that costs (expenditures)
               are kept under control. A departmental manager is likely to be responsible for
               preparing the annual cost budget for the departments, subject to approval by his
               superiors. A manager who is made responsible for costs must have some
               authority over spending in his department (although a large proportion of
               departmental costs, such as employees’ salaries, might be outside his control).
               A manager might be responsible for a department or activity that earns revenue,
               and for the revenue earned by the department. For example a sales manager
               might be made responsible for the activities of a sales team and the revenue that
               the sales team earns. Similarly, the manager of a retail store (in a company that
               operates a chain of stores) might be responsible for the revenues earned by the
               store. A manager who is made responsible for revenues might have some
               authority to adjust or decide selling prices; alternatively a manager might be told
               what the sales prices will be and is them made responsible for the volume of
               sales at those prices.
               When a manager is responsible for both the costs and the revenues of an
               operation or department, he (or she) is also responsible for the profits that it
               earns.
               In some cases, a manager might have the responsibility to make decisions about
               capital investment for an operation, with authority to buy new capital equipment
               or sell off unwanted assets. For example in a large company or a group of
               companies, there might be operating divisions where the divisional manager has
               a large amount of autonomy, with authority over capital spending (‘capital
               budgets’) as well as revenues, costs and profits.
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Performance management
       1.2 Definitions and explanation
               Managers need management accounting information to help them make
               decisions. Responsibility centres can be divided into four categories:
               Investment centres.
               An investment centre is a division within an organisation where the manager is
               responsible not only for the costs of the division and the revenues that it earns,
               but also for decisions relating to the investment in assets for the division. An
               investment centre manager usually has authority to purchase new assets, such
               as items of plant or equipment, and so should be responsible for the profit or
               ‘return’ that the division makes on the amount that it has invested.
               The performance of an investment centre might be measured by calculating the
               profit as a percentage of the amount invested (the return on investment or ROI).
               An investment centre might include a number of different profit centres. For
               example, a company manufacturing cars and trucks might have two investment
               centres, (1) car-making and (2) truck-making. Within the truck-making division,
               there might be several profit centres, each of these a separate location or factory
               at which trucks are manufactured and assembled.
               Profit centres.
               A profit centre is a department or division within the organisation for which
               revenues as well as costs are established.
               The profit (or loss) that the centre makes is found by measuring the costs of the
               products or services produced by the centre, and the revenues earned from
               selling them,.
                 Example: Summarised profit centre report
                       Example: summarised profit centre report                                  ₦000
                       Revenues of the profit centre                                              250
                       Costs of the units sold by the profit centre                              (220)
                       Profit (or loss) of the profit centre                                        30
               A profit centre might consist of several cost centres. For example, a factory might
               be treated as a profit centre, and within the factory, the machining department,
               assembly department and finishing department might be three cost centres.
               Revenue centres.
               A revenue centre is a department or division within the organisation for which
               revenues are established. In a revenue centre there is no measurement of cost
               or profit. Revenue centre managers will only need to have information relating to
               revenues and will be accountable for revenues only. For example, the income
               accountant in a hospital is only responsible for recording and controlling the
               different incomes that are received from funding bodies or other sources (for
               example, private patients, fundraising and so on).
© Emile Woolf International                           422        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 12: Divisional performance
               Cost centres.
               A cost centre is a department or work group for which costs are established, in
               order to measure the cost of output produced by the centre. For example, in a
               factory a group of machines might be a cost centre. The costs of operating the
               machines would be established, and a cost could then be calculated for each unit
               of product manufactured by the machines.
               In a cost centre, there is no measurement of revenue or profit.
                 Example: Responsibility centres
                 A media company has several divisions.
                 One is a magazine publishing division. This division is divided into three operating
                 units: fashion magazines, sports magazines and business magazines, which
                 operate from different offices.
                 The fashion magazines unit has three main functions: commissioning, editing
                 and printing, and marketing and sales.
                 The media company might organise its cost and management system as follows:
                 Investment centres
                 Each of the divisions in the media company, including the magazines division,
                 might be an investment centre. The senior manager of the magazines division
                 might have the authority to incur capital expenditure to acquire new assets for
                 the division. The performance of the magazines division might be measured by its
                 annual return on investment (ROI).
                 Profit centres
                 Within the magazines division, the fashion magazines unit, sports magazines unit
                 and business magazines unit might be profit centres. The manager of each unit
                 might be responsible for the revenues and costs of the unit, and the performance
                 of each unit would be measured by the profit that it makes.
                 Cost centres
                 Within the fashions magazine unit, each of the operating functions
                 (commissioning, editing and printing, and marketing and sales) might be a cost
                 centre. The manager in charge of each cost centre is responsible for costs, and
                 the performance of the cost centre might be measured by comparing the actual
                 costs of the cost centre with its budgeted costs.
               The differing information needs of cost, revenue, profit and investment centre
               management
               Managers of responsibility centres are responsible for the performance of their
               part of the organisation and its activities. The performance of an organisation is
               often measured financially, in terms of:
                      keeping expenditure under control;
                      earning a sufficient amount of revenue;
                      making a profit;
                      making a suitable return on investment.
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Performance management
               Managers therefore need information about the costs of operations for which they
               are responsible. They will often also need information about revenues and profit.
               In some cases, they will also need information about the amount of property,
               plant and equipment, and other ‘assets’ for which they are responsible. The
               information they need to make decisions within their area of responsibility
               depends on the scope of their management authority and responsibilities.
               Managers also need financial information to help them make decisions. For
               example, they might need information about expected costs to make a decision
               about how much to charge a customer for a job. Similarly, they might need
               information about costs and revenues to decide whether to invest money in a
               new project.
               Management accounting is concerned with providing information to management
               to help them with planning and control, and for making other decisions.
               The accounting information provided to managers should help them to make
               decisions, and the information provided should be relevant for the decisions they
               have to make. Clearly, the nature and content of the accounting information
               required depends on the nature of the manager’s responsibilities (i.e. on the type
               of responsibility centre).
© Emile Woolf International                      424         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Chapter 12: Divisional performance
 2      DIVISIONAL PERFORMANCE EVALUATION
          Section overview
              Decentralisation of authority
              Benefits of decentralisation
              Disadvantages of decentralisation
              Controllable profit and traceable profit
        2.1 Decentralisation of authority
                Decentralisation involves the delegation of authority within an organisation.
                Within a large organisation, authority is delegated to the managers of cost
                centres, revenue centres, profit centres and investment centres.
                A divisionalised structure refers to the organisation of an entity in which each
                operating unit has its own management team which reports to a head office.
                Divisions are commonly set up to be responsible for specific geographical areas
                or product lines within a large organisation.
                The term ‘decentralised divisionalised structure’ means an organisation structure
                in which authority has been delegated to the managers of each division to decide
                selling prices, choose suppliers, make output decisions, and so on.
        2.2 Benefits of decentralisation
                Decentralisation should provide several benefits for an organisation.
                       Decision-making should improve, because the divisional managers make
                        the tactical and operational decisions, and top management is free to
                        concentrate on strategy and strategic planning.
                       Decision-making at a tactical and operational level should improve,
                        because the divisional managers have better ‘local’ knowledge.
                       Decision-making should improve, because decisions will be made faster.
                        Divisional managers can make decisions ‘on the spot’ without referring
                        them to senior management.
                       Managers may be more motivated to perform well if they are empowered to
                        make decisions and rewarded for performing well against fair targets
                       Divisions provide useful experience for managers who will one day become
                        top managers in the organisation.
                       Within a large multinational group, there can be tax advantages in creating
                        a divisional structure, by locating some divisions in countries where tax
                        advantages or subsidies can be obtained.
 © Emile Woolf International                       425          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.3 Disadvantages of decentralisation
               Decentralisation can lead to problems.
                      The divisional managers might put the interests of their division before the
                       interests of the organisation as a whole. Taking decisions that benefit a
                       division might have adverse consequences for the organisation as a whole.
                       When this happens, there is a lack of ‘goal congruence’.
                      Top management may lose control over the organisation if they allow
                       decentralisation without accountability. It may be necessary to monitor
                       divisional performance closely. The cost of such a monitoring system might
                       be high.
                      It is difficult to find a satisfactory measure of historical performance for an
                       investment centre that will motivate divisional managers to take the best
                       decisions. For example, measuring divisional performance by Return on
                       Investment (ROI) might encourage managers to make inappropriate long-
                       term investment decisions. This problem is explained in more detail later.
                      Economies of scale might be lost. For example, a company might operate
                       with one finance director. If it divides itself into three investment centres,
                       there might be a need for four finance directors – one at head office and
                       one in each of the investment centres. Similarly there might be a
                       duplication of other systems, such as accounting system and other IT
                       systems.
       2.4 Controllable profit and traceable profit
               Profit is a key measure of the financial performance of a division. However, in
               measuring performance, it is desirable to identify:
                      costs that are controllable by the manager of the division, and also
                      costs that are traceable to the division. These are controllable costs plus
                       other costs directly attributable to the division over which the manager does
                       not have control.
               There may also be an allocation of general overheads, such as a share of head
               office costs.
               Profit centres and investment centres often trade with each other, buying and
               selling goods and services. These are internal sales, priced at an internal selling
               price (a ‘transfer price’). Reporting systems should identify external sales of the
               division and internal sales as two elements of the total revenue of the division.
               Transfer prices were covered in the previous chapter.
© Emile Woolf International                         426           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 12: Divisional performance
                 Example: Controllable profit
                                                                                                   ₦
                       External sales                                                        600,000
                       Internal sales                                                       (150,000)
                       Total sales                                                           750,000
                       Costs controllable by the divisional manager:
                       Variable costs                                                       (230,000)
                       Contribution                                                          420,000
                       Controllable fixed costs                                             (140,000)
                       Profit attributable to the manager (controllable profit) (1)          280,000
                       Costs traceable to the division but outside the manager’s
                       control                                                              (160,000)
                       Profit traceable to the division (2)                                  120,000
                       Share of general overheads (3)                                         (30,000)
                       Net profit                                                              90,000
                 Notes:
                 1     Controllable profit is used to assess the manager.
                 2     Traceable profit is used to assess the performance of the division.
                 3     The apportionment of general head office costs should be excluded from
                       the analysis of the manager’s performance and the division’s
                       performance.
                       These profit measures can be used with variance analysis, ratio analysis,
                       return on investment, residual income and non-financial performance
                       measurements to evaluate performance.
© Emile Woolf International                          427          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
3      RETURN ON INVESTMENT (ROI)
         Section overview
             The reason for using ROI as a financial performance indicator
             Measuring ROI
             ROI and investment decisions
             Advantages and disadvantages of ROI for measuring performance
       3.1 The reason for using ROI as a financial performance indicator
               Return on investment (ROI) is a measure of the return on capital employed for an
               investment centre. It is also called the accounting rate of return (ARR).
               It is often used as a measure of divisional performance for investment centres
               because:
                      the manager of an investment centre is responsible for the profits of the
                       centre and also the assets invested in the centre, and
                      ROI is a performance measure that relates profit to the size of the
                       investment.
               Profit is not a suitable measure of performance for an investment centre. It does
               not make the manager accountable for his or her use of the net assets employed
               (the investment in the investment centre).
                 Example: Return on investment
                 A company has two divisions which are treated as investment centres for the
                 purpose of performance reporting. Centre 1 has net assets of ₦5 million and
                 made a profit of ₦250,000. Centre 2 has net assets of ₦1 million and made a
                 profit of ₦150,000.
                 If the performance of the centres is compared on the basis of profits, the
                 performance of Centre 1 (₦250,000) is better than the performance of Centre 2
                 (₦150,000). However Centre 1 employed assets of ₦5 million to earn its profit
                 and its ROI was just 5% (₦250,000/₦5 million). Centre 2 employed assets of just
                 ₦1 million to earn its profit and its ROI was 15% (₦150,000/₦1 million).
                 Comparing performance on the basis of ROI, Centre 2 performed better.
© Emile Woolf International                        428         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Chapter 12: Divisional performance
         3.2 Measuring ROI
                ROI is the profit of the division as a percentage of capital employed.
                However, performance measurement systems should use ROI to evaluate the
                performance of both the manager and the division.
                Although ROI can be measured in different ways, the recommended measures
                are as follows:
                  Formula: Return on investment – managerial evaluation
                                                      Controllable profit
                               ROI =                                                               X 100%
                                       Division’s capital employed (size of investment)
                  Formula: Return on investment – divisional evaluation
                                                       Traceable profit
                               ROI =                                                               X 100%
                                       Division’s capital employed (size of investment)
                Profit is usually measured as an accounting profit, after deduction of any
                depreciation charges on non-current assets.
                Capital employed/investment.
                       This should be the sum of the non-current assets used by the division plus
                        the working capital that it uses. Working capital = current assets minus
                        current liabilities, which for a division will normally consist of inventory plus
                        trade receivables minus trade payables.
                       Non-current assets could be measured at their initial cost. However, it is
                        more usual to measure non-current assets at their carrying value, which in
                        an examination question is likely to be at cost less accumulated
                        depreciation.
                       Capital employed may be the capital employed at the beginning of the
                        financial year, the end of the financial year or the average capital employed
                        for the year. Check an examination question carefully to establish which of
                        these is required.
                Where possible, the capital employed by the division should be analysed into:
                       capital (assets less liabilities) controllable by the manager, and
                       capital (assets and liabilities) traceable to the division.
 © Emile Woolf International                          429          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Return on investment
                 An investment centre has reported the following results.
                                                            Current year          Previous year
                                                                ₦000                   ₦000
                       Sales                                     600                    600
                       Gross profit                              180                    210
                       Net profit                                 24                      30
                       Net assets at beginning of year           200                    180
                 Required
                 Discuss the financial performance of the investment centre. ROI is measured
                 using net assets at the beginning of the year.
                 Answer
                 ROI should be used to measure the performance of the division, but other
                 financial ratios should also be used if appropriate. In this example, sales revenue
                 growth in the current year has been 0% and we can also measure the gross profit
                 margin and net profit margin.
                                                              Current              Previous
                                                               year                  year
                                                               ₦000                  ₦000
                     Gross profit margin (%)                    30%                   35%
                     Net profit margin (%)                       4%                    5%
                     ROI (24/200; 30/180)                       12%                   17%
                 ROI has fallen from 17% to 12%, which is a large fall. The total investment has
                 increased from ₦180,000 to ₦200,000 but there has been no increase in sales
                 revenue in spite of the bigger investment.
                 A reason for the fall in ROI is the fall in gross profit and the gross profit margin,
                 from 35% to 30%. Other costs have been reduced from ₦180,000 in the previous
                 year (₦210,000 - ₦30,000) to ₦156,000 in the current year (₦180,000 -
                 ₦24,000), but in spite of the reduction in these costs, the net profit margin also
                 fell from 5% to 4%.
                 The failure to achieve any growth in sales (in spite of an increase in investment)
                 and the fall in gross profit margin are the reasons for the deterioration in financial
                 performance, as measured by ROI. This could be caused by intense competition
                 in the market in the current year (resulting in lower prices but no revenue growth),
                 although there is a possibility that the cost of sales are out of control.
© Emile Woolf International                         430          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 12: Divisional performance
       3.3 ROI and investment decisions
               The performance of the manager of an investment centre may be judged on the
               basis of ROI – whether the division has succeeded or not in achieving a target
               ROI for the financial year, or whether ROI has improved since the previous year.
               If an incentive scheme is in operation, a divisional manager may receive a bonus
               on the basis of the ROI achieved by the division.
               Investment centre managers may therefore have a strong incentive to improve
               the ROI of their division and to avoid anything that will reduce the ROI. This can
               be a serious problem when investment decisions are involved. When an
               investment centre manager’s performance is evaluated by ROI, the manager will
               probably be motivated to make investment decisions that increase the division’s
               ROI in the current year, and reject investments that would reduce ROI in the
               current year.
               The problem is that investment decisions are made for the longer term, and a
               new investment that reduces ROI in the first year may increase ROI in
               subsequent year. An investment centre manager may therefore reject an
               investment because of its short-term effect on ROI, without giving proper
               consideration to the longer term.
                 Example: ROI and investment decisions
                 A division has net assets of ₦800,000 and makes an annual profit of ₦120,000.
                 It should be assumed that if the investment described below is not undertaken,
                 the division will continue to have net assets of ₦800,000 and an annual profit of
                 ₦120,000, for the next four years.
                 The division is considering an investment in a new item of equipment that would
                 cost ₦80,000. The estimated life of the equipment is four years with no residual
                 value.
                 The estimated additional profit before depreciation from the investment is as
                 follows:
                                Year         ₦
                                 1         20,000
                                 2         25,000
                                 3         35,000
                                 4         40,000
                 The asset will be depreciated on a straight-line basis.
                 Required
                 What would be the ROI on this investment? ROI should be measured on the basis
                 of the average net assets employed during the year.
                 Should the investment centre manager decide to undertake this investment
                 or not?
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    Performance management
                     Answer
                     The annual profit from the investment, allowing for depreciation of ₦20,000 per
                     year, and the annual ROI of the division would be as follows:
                                        Profit       Extra profit
                                     without the      from the           Total           Net
                         Year        investment      investment          profit         assets            ROI
                                              ₦               ₦               ₦              ₦
                         1              120,000              00         120,000        870,000             13.8%
                         2              120,000           5,000         125,000        850,000             14.7%
                         3              120,000          15,000         135,000        830,000             16.3%
                         4              120,000          20,000         140,000        810,000             17.3%
                     Note: Net assets are ₦800,000 plus the net assets for the new investment. The
                     net asset value of the new investment is ₦80,000 at the beginning of Year 1,
                     ₦60,000 at the beginning of Year 2 and so on down to ₦0 at the end of Year 4.
                     Average net assets are therefore ₦70,000 in Year 1, ₦50,000 in Year 2,
                     ₦30,000 in Year 3 and ₦10,000 in Year 4.
                     Without the new investment, the annual ROI would be 15% (=
                     ₦120,000/₦800,000).
                     The new investment would therefore reduce ROI in the first and second years,
                     and increase ROI in Year 3 and Year 4. It is therefore probable that the divisional
                     manager, if he is more concerned about financial performance in the short term,
                     will decide that the investment should not be undertaken, even though over a
                     four-year period the investment may be worthwhile.
                     Note. Investment decisions should not be taken on the basis of ROI, even though
                     divisional managers are often tempted to do so. We can, however, calculate the
                     average ROI from this proposed investment:
₦
                             Total 4-year profits before depreciation                       120,000
                             Depreciation over four years                                    80,000
                             Total profit over 4 years                                        40,000
                             Average annual profit from the investment                        10,000
                                                                    80,000  0
                     Average asset carrying value over 4 years:                     $40,000
                                                                          2
                     Average ROI = ₦10,000/₦40,000 = 25%.
                     This is higher than the ROI of 15% achieved from the division’s other assets.
    © Emile Woolf International                          432            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 12: Divisional performance
       3.4 Advantages and disadvantages of ROI for measuring performance
               Advantages of using ROI
               There are several advantages in using ROI as a measure of the performance of
               an investment centre.
                      It relates the profit of the division to the capital employed, and the division
                       manager is responsible for both profit and capital employed.
                      ROI is a percentage measure and can be used to compare the
                       performance of divisions of different sizes.
                      It is an easily understood measure of financial performance.
                      It focuses attention on capital as well as profit, and encourages managers
                       to sell off unused assets and avoid excessive working capital (inventory
                       and receivables).
               Disadvantages of using ROI
               There are also disadvantages in using ROI as a measure of the performance of
               an investment centre.
                      As explained above, investment decisions might be affected by the effect
                       they would have on the division’s ROI in the short term, and this is
                       inappropriate for making investment decisions.
                      There are different ways of measuring capital employed. ROI might be
                       based on the net book value (carrying value) of the division at the
                       beginning of the year, or at the end of the year, or the average for the year.
                       Comparison of performance between different organisations is therefore
                       difficult.
                      When assets are depreciated, ROI will increase each year provided that
                       annual profits are constant. The division’s manager might not want to get
                       rid of ageing assets, because ROI will fall if new (replacement) assets are
                       purchased. This point is explained in a later section of this chapter.
                      ROI is an accounting measure of performance. An alternative system of
                       performance measurement that includes non-financial performance
                       indicators, such as a balanced scorecard approach, might be more
                       appropriate.
© Emile Woolf International                         433           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
4      RESIDUAL INCOME (RI)
         Section overview
             Measuring residual income
             Imputed interest (notional interest) and the cost of capital
             Residual income and investment decisions
             Advantages and disadvantages of residual income
       4.1 Measuring residual income
               Residual income (RI) is another way of measuring the performance of an
               investment centre. It is an alternative to using ROI.
               Residual income is measured in either of the following ways:
                 Illustration: Residual income – Managerial evaluation
                                                                                                   ₦
                       Controllable profit                                                         X
                       Less notional interest on average controllable investment                   (X)
                       Controllable residual income                                                 X
                 Illustration: Residual income – Divisional evaluation
                                                                                                   ₦
                       Traceable profit                                                            X
                       Less notional interest on average traceable investment                      (X)
                       Divisional residual income                                                   X
       4.2 Imputed interest (notional interest) and the cost of capital
               Residual income is calculated by deducting an amount for imputed interest (also
               called notional interest) from the accounting profit for the division.
               The interest charge is calculated by applying a cost of capital to the division’s
               net investment (net assets). The most appropriate measure of net investment is
               the average investment during the period, although an exam question may
               instruct you to calculate the interest charge on net assets at the beginning of the
               year.
               Imputed interest (notional interest) is the division’s capital employed multiplied by:
                      the organisation’s cost of borrowing; or
                      the weighted average cost of capital of the organisation; or
                      a special risk-weighted cost of capital to allow for the special business risk
                       characteristics of the division. A higher interest rate would be applied to
                       divisions with higher business risk.
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                                                                                Chapter 12: Divisional performance
                 Example: Residual income
                 The same example that was used in the previous section to illustrate ROI will be
                 used here to illustrate residual income.
                 An investment centre has reported the following results.
                                                           Current year            Previous year
                                                              ₦000                      ₦000
                     Sales                                    600                         600
                     Gross profit                             180                         210
                     Net profit                                24                          30
                     Net assets at beginning of year          200                         180
                 The division has a cost of capital of 10%, which is applied to net assets at the
                 beginning of the year to calculate notional interest.
                 Required
                 How would the financial performance of the investment centre be assessed if
                 residual income is used as the main measure of performance?
                 Answer
                 The residual income of the division in each year is calculated as follows.
                                           Current year                            Previous year
                                                            ₦000                                         ₦000
                     Profit                                24,000                                      30,000
                     Notional
                     interest       (10%  ₦200,000)      (20,000)       (10%  ₦180,000)            (18,000)
                     Residual
                     income                                 4,000                                      12,000
                 Residual income has fallen from ₦12,000 in the previous year to ₦4,000 in the
                 current year. This indicates deterioration in divisional performance, although the
                 residual income is still positive. This means that the division’s profits exceed its
                 cost of capital.
                 An analysis of gross profit margin, net profit margin and sales growth (0%) will
                 indicate the causes of the fall in residual income.
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Performance management
       4.3 Residual income and investment decisions
               One reason for using residual income instead of ROI to measure a division’s
               financial performance is that residual income has a money value, whereas ROI is
               a percentage value. A company may prefer to measure performance in money
               terms. In most other respects, however, residual income is similar to ROI as a
               measure of divisional performance.
                 Example: Residual income and investment decisions
                 The difference between ROI and residual income can be illustrated by returning to
                 the previous example that was used to illustrate the effect of ROI on investment
                 decision-making.
                 A division has net assets of ₦800,000 and makes an annual profit of ₦120,000.
                 It should be assumed that if the investment described below is not undertaken,
                 the division will continue to have net assets of ₦800,000 and an annual profit of
                 ₦120,000 for the next four years. The division’s financial performance is
                 measured using residual income, and the division’s cost of capital is 12%.
                 The division is considering an investment in a new item of equipment that would
                 cost ₦80,000. The estimated life of the equipment is four years with no residual
                 value. The estimated additional profit before depreciation from the investment is
                 as follows:
                                    Year       ₦
                                    1          20,000
                                    2          25,000
                                    3          35,000
                                    4          40,000
                 The asset will be depreciated on a straight-line basis.
                 Required
                 What would be the annual residual income on this investment? Notional interest
                 should be calculated on the basis of the average net assets employed during the
                 year.
                 Should the investment centre manager decide to undertake this investment
                 or not?
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                                                                           Chapter 12: Divisional performance
                 Answer
                     Calculation of residual
                     income                        ₦            ₦                ₦                 ₦
                     Profit without
                     investment                  120,000 120,000            120,000          120,000
                     Additional profit before
                     depreciation                 20,000     25,000          35,000           40,000
                     Additional depreciation      (20,000) (20,000)         (20,000)         (20,000)
                     Divisional profit           120,000 125,000            135,000          140,000
                     Notional interest
                     (see working)               (104,400) (102,000)        (99,600)         (97,200)
                     Residual income              15,600     23,000          35,400           42,800
                 If the investment is not undertaken, the residual income in each year would be:
                                                                                        ₦
                     Profit without investment                                     120,000
                     Notional interest (12%  ₦800,000)                            (96,000)
                     Residual income                                                   24,000
                 If the investment is undertaken, residual income would fall in Year 1 and Year 2,
                 but increase in Year 3 and Year 4. If the divisional manager is most concerned
                 about short-term financial performance, he would decide that the investment
                 should not be undertaken, in spite of the longer-term addition to residual income.
                     Workings:                    Year 1        Year 2         Year 3           Year 4
                     Notional interest              ₦               ₦              ₦               ₦
                     Average investment            870,000      850,000        830,000          810,000
                     Notional interest at
                     12%                           104,400      102,000          99,600          97,200
       4.4 Advantages and disadvantages of residual income
               Advantages of residual income
               There are several advantages in using residual income as a measure of the
               performance of an investment centre.
                      It relates the profit of the division to the capital employed, by charging an
                       amount of notional interest on capital employed, and the division manager
                       is responsible for both profit and capital employed.
                      Residual income is a flexible measure of performance, because a different
                       cost of capital can be applied to investments with different risk
                       characteristics.
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Performance management
               Disadvantages of residual income
               There are also disadvantages in using residual income as a measure of the
               performance of an investment centre.
                      Residual income is an accounting-based measure, and suffers from the
                       same problem as ROI in defining capital employed and profit.
                      Its main weakness is that it is difficult to compare the performance of
                       different divisions using residual income. Larger divisions should earn a
                       bigger residual income than smaller divisions. A small division making
                       residual income of ₦50,000 might actually perform much better than a
                       much larger division whose residual income is ₦100,000, if performance is
                       measured by ROI. This point is illustrated in the example below.
                      Residual income is not easily understood by management, especially
                       managers with little accounting knowledge.
                       Practice question                                                                       1
                       A company has two divisions, Small and Big. Big Division has net assets of
                       ₦8 million and makes an annual profit of ₦900,000. Small Division has net
                       assets of ₦400,000 and makes an annual profit of ₦90,000. The cost of
                       capital for both divisions is 10%.
                       Required:
                       Compare the performance of the two divisions using:
                       (a)    ROI
                       (b)    Residual income.
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                                                                          Chapter 12: Divisional performance
5      DIVISIONAL PERFORMANCE AND DEPRECIATION
         Section overview
             ROI or RI: the problem with depreciation
       5.1 ROI or RI: the problem with depreciation
               If straight-line depreciation is used and capital employed is based on carrying
               values (net book values) the annual ROI and residual income will increase over
               time if:
                      annual profits are constant, and
                      assets are not replaced, and existing assets remain in use as they get
                       older.
               In the early years of an investment, the ROI or residual income may be very low.
               If a divisional manager is concerned about the effect that this would have on the
               division’s ROI or residual income for the next year or two, the manager may
               refuse to invest in the project. This is because performance in the next year or so
               might be much worse, even though the project might be expected to earn a high
               return over its full economic life.
               The tendency for ROI and residual income to increase over time if assets are not
               replaced means that divisional managers may prefer to keep old and ageing
               assets in operation as long as possible – even though it might be preferable in
               the longer term to replace the assets sooner.
               These effects can be seen in the following practice question:
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                            2
                 A company has just opened a new division that will operate as an
                 investment centre. The following estimates of future performance have
                 been made.
                 The division requires an investment of ₦5 million. This consists entirely of
                 new non-current assets. Non-current assets will be depreciated at the rate
                 of 25% of cost each year, and there will be no residual value after four
                 years.
                 Sales revenue in the first year will be ₦10.8 million, but in subsequent
                 years will change as follows:
                 (1)     There will be no change in selling prices in Year 2, but prices will be
                         reduced by 5% in Year 3 and by a further 5% in Year 4.
                 (2)     Sales volume will increase by 10% in Year 2 and a further 10% in
                         Year 3, but sales volume in Year 4 will be the same as in Year 3.
                 Costs estimates are as follows:
                 (1)     Gross profit will be 40% in Year 1, but will change as prices are
                         reduced in Years 3 and 4.
                 (2)     There will be no change in the cost of sales per unit sold: prices per
                         unit for cost of goods sold will remain stable.
                 (3)     Annual overheads including depreciation will be ₦3.5 million in Year
                         1 and Year 2 and ₦4 million in Years 3 and 4.
                 Required
                 Calculate for each of years 1 – 4:
                 (a)     Sales revenue
                 (b)     Gross profit
                 (c)     Net profit
                 (d)     ROI, assuming that capital employed is the net book value of the
                         investment in the division as at the beginning of the year.
                 Comment on the figures.
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                                                                           Chapter 12: Divisional performance
6      ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA)
         Section overview
             Profits and adding value to a business
             The potential benefits of EVA
             Measuring economic value added (EVA)
             Using EVA
             Possible problems with EVA
       6.1 Profits and adding value to a business
               In theory, if a company makes a profit, the value of its shares ought to increase
               by the amount of the profit (less any dividends paid to shareholders). In practice,
               this does not happen.
               One reason for this is that in order to make a profit, capital is invested. Capital is
               a resource which has a cost. The actual creation of extra value should therefore
               be the profit less the cost of capital invested. Residual income is the accounting
               profit earned by a division less a notional charge for capital employed. In theory,
               there is a connection between residual income and the expected increase in the
               value of a business.
               Peter Drucker once wrote that: ‘until a business returns a profit that is greater
               than its cost of capital, it operates at a loss.’
                 Example: Profit and capital
                 A company has ₦10 million in cash and keeps it in a bank deposit account
                 earning 2% per year interest.
                 The cash will earn interest of ₦200,000 less tax in one year, and this will be
                 reported as income. However although keeping money in a low-interest account
                 adds to accounting profit, it does not ’add value’ to the company (or ‘create
                 value’), because the cost of capital needed to finance the cash is probably higher
                 than 2%.
               There is a second – and more important – reason why profits are not a good
               measure of the expected increase in the value of a business. This is that profit
               measured by accounting conventions is not a proper measure of ‘real’ economic
               profit.
               It can be argued that using economic profit instead of accounting profit would
               lead to better measurement of the increase in the value of a business during a
               given period of time.
               Stern Stewart (a management consultancy firm) devised a method of measuring
               economic profit, which they have called economic value added or EVA. The term
               ‘EVA’ is a trademark of the Stern Stewart organisation.
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Performance management
       6.2 The potential benefits of EVA
               EVA is a measure of performance that is a close approximation of ‘economic
               profit’. Economic profit is measured in terms of the addition of economic value.
               An entity earns an economic profit only if it creates economic value through its
               activities. By creating economic value, a company should add to the wealth of its
               owners, the shareholders.
               Using EVA to measure performance could therefore have the following benefits:
                      It measures the creation of value by a company, and is a more ‘accurate’
                       measurement of performance than accounting profit.
                      Economic value can be created when expectations of future profitability
                       improve, because economic value can be measured as the net present
                       value of future profits. EVA therefore recognises the benefit of activities,
                       such as new investments, that add to longer-term profitability. Unlike
                       accounting measures of profitability, EVA is not focused exclusively on the
                       short-term.
                      Management is encouraged to focus on the creation of value (EVA), which
                       is in the long-term interests of shareholders.
                      Management reward schemes based on EVA are likely to align the
                       interests of management and shareholders more closely than a bonus
                       system linked to annual accounting profits.
                      It is a simple measure, like profit, and so one that line managers (including
                       those with limited financial understanding) can understand.
       6.3 Measuring economic value added (EVA)
               Economic value added (EVA) for a financial period is the economic profit after
               deducting a cost for the value of capital employed.
               The formula for EVA is as follows:
                 Formula: Economic value added (EVA)
                       EVA = Net operating profit after tax – (Capital employed × Cost of capital)
                                                             or
                       EVA = NOPAT – (Capital employed × WACC)
                       Where:
                       WACC = Weighted average cost of capital
               In practice the computation of EVA involves making adjustments to accounting
               profit and the accounting value (book value) of assets. These adjustments can be
               complex.
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                                                                            Chapter 12: Divisional performance
               NOPAT
               The net operating profit after tax is calculated by making adjustments to the
               accounting profit in order to arrive at an estimate of economic profit. NOPAT is
               similar to ‘free cash flow’ and is an estimate of economic profit before deducting a
               cost for the capital employed. The calculation of NOPAT requires a number of
               different adjustments to the figure for accounting profit.
               (1)     Interest costs. In calculating NOPAT, interest costs of debt capital should
                       not be deducted from profit. This is because debt capital is included in the
                       capital employed. NOPAT should be the profit before deducting interest
                       costs but after deducting tax. There is tax relief on interest, so to reach a
                       figure for NOPAT the amount of interest charges in the period less relief on
                       the interest cost should be added back to the figure for profit after tax.
                       NOPAT = Profit after tax + [Interest costs less tax relief on the interest]
               (2)     Depreciation. Non-cash expenses should not be deducted from profit. The
                       main item of non-cash expense is usually depreciation of non-current
                       assets. However, there should be a charge for non-current assets, to allow
                       for the economic consumption of value that occurs when the assets are
                       used.
                       NOPAT = Profit after tax + Post-tax interest cost + [Accounting depreciation
                       – Economic depreciation]
                       If it can be assumed that accounting depreciation charges are similar to the
                       loss of economic value in non-current assets, the two items cancel out,
                       and:
                       NOPAT = Profit after tax + [Interest costs less tax relief on the interest]
               (3)     Other non-cash expenses. Other non-cash expenses should also be
                       added back in order to measure NOPAT. These include additional
                       provisions for irrecoverable debts and other provisions.
               (4)     Investments in intangible items. Investments in intangible items include
                       spending on promotion activities, investing in a brand name, research and
                       development spending and spending on employee training (to increase the
                       economic value of the work force). In conventional accounting systems,
                       these items of expense are usually written off as expenses in the year that
                       they occur. However, they are items of discretionary spending by
                       management that add to the value of the business.
                       To measure NOPAT, these items of expense that have been written off in
                       the conventional accounts should be added back.
                       (They should also be added to the value of the company’s capital.
                       Economic depreciation charges will be applied as appropriate to this
                       economic capital, in subsequent years.)
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Performance management
               Charge for capital
               EVA is NOPAT minus a charge to represent the cost of capital employed. There
               are two elements to the capital charge:
                      the value of the company’s assets; and
                      the cost of capital.
               Capital employed.
               The valuation of capital employed should be based on economic values of the
               capital employed. In most cases, this means that non-current assets should be
               valued close to their current value, rather than at a value based on historical cost.
               In a simplified system for measuring the economic value of a company’s capital
               employed, the starting point is the book value of the company’s net assets. This
               is:
                      book value of non-current assets at the beginning of the year; plus
                      book value of net current assets at the beginning of the year.
               Some adjustments should then be made for:
                      Investments in intangibles- Spending on intangible items should be
                       added back in calculating NOPAT, as explained earlier. In addition, the net
                       book value of intangible items should be included in capital employed, and
                       so an estimate of the net book value of the intangibles should be added to
                       the accounting value of the company’s net assets.
                      Provisions and allowances- Additions during the year to allowances for
                       irrecoverable debts and additions to provisions should be added back to
                       profit in calculating NOPAT. The total amount of allowances for
                       irrecoverable debts, provisions for deferred tax and other provisions should
                       also be added to capital employed.
                      Off-balance sheet financing and operational leases- Some companies
                       keep items of capital off their balance sheet (statement of financial
                       position). A notable example is assets held on operating leases. The
                       acquisition of leased assets is a form of debt finance, because the lessor
                       (provider of the leased asset) has provided the financing for the assets that
                       the company is leasing. The estimated value of assets held under operating
                       lease agreements (and the value of any other assets financed ‘off balance
                       sheet’) should be added to capital employed.
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                                                                            Chapter 12: Divisional performance
               Cost of capital
               The capital charge is calculated by applying the weighted average cost of capital
               (WACC) to the value of capital employed.
               WACC is the weighted average of equity capital and debt capital in the
               company’s target debt structure.
                      If the current debt structure of the company is close to the long-term target
                       debt structure of the company, the weighted average cost of capital can be
                       calculated from the current value of equity and debt capital.
                      However if the target capital structure is different from the current capital
                       structure, the weighted average cost of capital is calculated using the target
                       proportions of equity and debt.
                      The cost of equity and the cost of debt can vary from one year to the next.
                       A new WACC may therefore be calculated each year, with appropriate
                       costs for equity and debt in each year.
                 Example: WACC
                 A company currently has equity capital valued at ₦800 million and debt capital of
                 ₦400 million. Its target is to achieve 50% equity and 50% debt in its capital
                 structure.
                 In the current year the cost of equity was 15% and the cost of debt was 10%. The
                 rate of tax is 30%.
                 The WACC for the purpose of calculating EVA is therefore:
                 (15%         50%) + [10% (1 – 0.30)    50%] = 11%.
                 The following example shows the calculation of EVA, at a level of complexity that
                 you may meet in the examination.
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Performance management
                 Example: Economic Value Added (EVA)
                 Owerri Distribution Limited’s income statement and statement of financial
                 position for the year just ended are (year 1) as follows:
                       Income statement                                                        Year 1
                                                                                                ₦000
                       Profit before interest and tax                                          62,000
                       Interest cost                                                             6,000
                       Profit before tax                                                       56,000
                       Tax at 25%                                                              14,000
                       Profit after tax                                                        42,000
                       Dividends paid                                                          24,000
                       Retained profit                                                         18,000
                       Statement of financial position                                         Year 1
                                                                                               ₦000
                       Non-current assets                                                    265,000
                       Net current assets                                                    170,000
                                                                                             435,000
                       Shareholders’ funds                                                   345,000
                       Long-term and medium-term debt                                          90,000
                                                                                             435,000
                 Notes
                 1       Capital employed at the beginning of the year was ₦410 million.
                 2       The company had non-capitalised leased assets of ₦18 million in the year.
                         These assets are not subject to depreciation.
                 3       The estimated cost of equity in the year 1 was 10% and the cost of debt
                         was 7%.
                 4       The company’s target capital structure is 50% equity and 50% debt.
                 5       Accounting depreciation was equal to economic depreciation so there is no
                         need to make an adjustment to get from accounting depreciation to
                         economic depreciation.
                 6       Other non-cash expenses were ₦14 million.
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                                                                              Chapter 12: Divisional performance
                 Example (continued): EVA
                 EVA is calculated as follows:
                     Net operating profit after tax                                                 Year 1
                                                                                                     ₦000
                     Profit after tax                                                             42,000
                     Add: Interest cost less tax: (6,000 less 25%)                                  4,500
                     Add: Non-cash expenses                                                       14,000
                     NOPAT                                                                        60,500
                     Capital employed                                                               Year 1
                                                                                                     ₦000
                     Book value of total assets less current liabilities                         410,000
                     Non-capitalised leased assets                                                18,000
                                                                                                 428,000
                     WACC = (10%  50%) + [7% (1 – 0.25)  50%] = 7.625%.
                     EVA                                                                            Year 1
                                                                                                     ₦000
                     NOPAT                                                                         60,500
                     Capital charge: (428,000  7.625%)                                            32,635
                     Economic value added (estimate)                                               27,865
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                         3
                 Owerri Distribution Limited’s income statement and statement of financial
                 position for the year just ended (year 2).
                       Income statement                                                       Year 2
                                                                                                ₦000
                       Profit before interest and tax                                         80,000
                       Interest cost                                                           8,000
                       Profit before tax                                                      72,000
                       Tax at 25%                                                             18,000
                       Profit after tax                                                       54,000
                       Dividends paid                                                         29,000
                       Retained profit                                                        25,000
                       Statement of financial position                                        Year 2
                                                                                                ₦000
                       Non-current assets                                                   280,000
                       Net current assets                                                   200,000
                                                                                            480,000
                       Shareholders’ funds                                                  370,000
                       Long-term and medium-term debt                                       110,000
                                                                                            480,000
                 Notes
                 1       Capital employed at the beginning of Year 2 was ₦435 million.
                 2       The company had non-capitalised leased assets of ₦18 million in the year.
                         These assets are not subject to depreciation.
                 3       The estimated cost of equity in Year 2 was 12% and the cost of debt was
                         8%.
                 4       The company’s target capital structure is 50% equity and 50% debt.
                 5       Accounting depreciation was equal to economic depreciation during the
                         year.
                 6       Other non-cash expenses were ₦16 million.
                 Required
                 Calculate EVA for the year and comment on the results for year 1 (see the
                 previous example) and year 2.
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                                                                        Chapter 12: Divisional performance
          In summary, computation of EVA can be achieved thus:
A.        Calculating net operating profit after tax (NOPAT):
        In calculating net operating profit (NOPAT), the following adjustments are very important
        on profit after tax:
        Add capitalised research and development for the year.
        Add net interest (1-t) (where t =tax rate)
        Add capitalised promotion for the year.
        Add training cost capitalised for the year.
        Add marketing cost capitalised for the year.
        Add financial depreciation for the year.
        Less economic depreciation for the year.
        Add provisions and allowances for bad debt, inventories for the year.
        Add deferred tax provision.
        Less cash tax
        Add non- cash expenses
        = net operating profits after tax (NOPAT)
B.      Computation of finance charge (WACC) on capital structure:
        WACC = [ke × E/E+D] + [kd (1 – t) × D/ E + D]
        Where ke = required return on equity (E)
        Kd(1 – t) = after tax return on debt (D).
C.      Computation of opening capital employed:
        Capital employed (opening capital employed)
        Add capitalised cost relating to opening capital invested.
        Add provision/allowances relating to opening capital invested.
        Add non cash expenses to capital employed
        Add capitalised cost of operating leases to capital employed.
D.      Computation of EVA
        Net operating profits after tax (NOPAT)
        Less WACC of computed opening capital employed
        Economic value added
6.4     Using EVA
        If it is measured with reasonable accuracy, EVA should be a measure, in
        economic terms, of how much extra value or wealth has been created by a
        business operation during a period.
        It can therefore be argued that EVA would be a much more useful measure of
        divisional performance – and company performance – than traditional accounting
        measures of ROCE and profit.
        The problem with EVA however is its complexity. To arrive at an estimate of EVA, it is
        necessary to make many adjustments to accounting values for profit and asset values,
        and there might be some uncertainty about the reliability of the figure that is calculated
        as EVA. It might also be questioned whether the extra cost of calculating EVA
        (compared with ROCE or ROI/residual income) is justified.
        EVA and measuring the performance of divisions
        EVA can be used as an alternative to ROI or residual income as a method of
        measuring the performance of operating divisions. However, using EVA for
 © Emile Woolf International                    449          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
        performance measurement of operating divisions might make little sense unless the
        company as a whole also measured its total performance in terms of EVA.
6.5     Possible problems with EVA
        There are several potential problems with the use of EVA.
                 It is not easy to use EVA for inter-firm comparisons or inter-divisional
                  performance comparisons, because it is an absolute measure (in ₦) rather than
                  a comparative measure (such as a ratio).
                 The adjustments required to get from accounting profit to NOPAT and from
                  accounting capital employed to economic capital employed can be complex. In
                  particular, it may be very difficult to estimate economic depreciation.
 7      CHAPTER REVIEW
          Chapter review
          Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
              Explain and illustrate cost centres, profit centres and investment centres
              Define, calculate and interpret return on investment
              Define, calculate and interpret residual income
              Define, calculate and interpret economic value added
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                                                                      Chapter 12: Divisional performance
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                       1
                                               Big          Small
             Profit                     ₦900,000         ₦90,000
             Net assets                 ₦8 million      ₦400,000
             ROI                         11.25%            22.5%
                                                ₦               ₦
            Profit                        900,000          90,000
            Notional interest             800,000          40,000
            Residual income               100,000          50,000
         Using ROI as a measure of performance, Small Division has performed better than Big
         Division.
         However Big Division has made a higher residual income and it could therefore be
         argued that it has performed better than Small Division.
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Performance management
         S olution                                                                                              2
                                                           Year 1       Year 2        Year 3        Year 4
                                                             ₦m           ₦m            ₦m            ₦m
               Sales revenue (working 1)                   10.800      11.880         12.415       11.794
               Cost of sales (working 2)                   (6.480      (7.128         (7.841        (7.841)
               Gross profit                                 4.320        4.752         4.574         3.953
               Overheads                                   (3.500)      (3.500)       (4.000)       (4.000)
               Net profit/(loss)                           0.820         1.252          0.574        (0.047)
               Net assets at beginning of year             5.00          3.75           2.50         1.25
               ROI                                          16.4%         33.4%         23.0%         (1.3)%
               Gross profit margin                          40.0%         40.0%         36.8%         33.5%
               Net profit margin                             7.6%         10.5%          4.6%            0%
         Workings
         (1)      Sales revenue = Revenue in previous year  Price change  Sales volume change
                  Year 2: ₦10.8 million  100%  1.10 = ₦11.88 million
                  Year 3: ₦11.88 million  95%  1.10 = ₦12.4146 million, say ₦12.415 million
                  Year 4: ₦12.4146 million  95%  1.0 = ₦11.79387 million, say ₦11.794 million.
         (2)      Cost of sales = 60% of sales in Year 1. The total cost of sales will then vary each
                  year with changes in sales volume.
                  Year 1: Cost of sales = 60%  ₦10.8 million = ₦6.48 million
                  Year 2: Cost of sales = ₦6.48 million  1.10 = ₦7.128 million
                  Year 3: Cost of sales = ₦7.128 million  1.10 = ₦7.8408 million, say ₦7.841
                  million.
                  Year 4: Same as Year 3 (no change in sales volume).
         (3)      Net assets: ₦5 million at the beginning of Year 1, reducing by (25%) ₦1.25
                  million in each subsequent year.
         Analysis
         There is a tendency for ROI to increase as non-current assets get older. This is most
         apparent in Year 2, when ROI increases from 16.4% to 33.4%, largely because of the
         reduction in the value of the investment in the division. ROI would also increase in Year
         3 and Year 4, but the effect of changes in selling prices and overhead costs mean that
         the net effect is a reduction in ROI in those years (and also in the gross profit and net
         profit margins).
         ROI is affected in Year 3 by the first 5% fall in sales and the increase in overhead costs
         by ₦500,000. In Year 4, performance gets worse, in spite of the fall in net assets to
         ₦1.25 million because of the further fall in sales prices and gross profit margin. In year
         4, there is even a small net loss.
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                                                                                Chapter 12: Divisional performance
         Solution                                                                                                3
               Net operating profit after tax                                                       Year 1
                                                                                                       ₦000
               Profit after tax                                                                     54,000
               Add: Interest cost less tax: (8,000 less 25%)                                          6,000
               Add: Non-cash expenses                                                                16,000
               NOPAT                                                                                76,000
               Capital employed                                                                     Year 1
                                                                                                     ₦000
               Book value of total assets less current liabilities                                 435,000
               Non-capitalised leased assets                                                        18,000
                                                                                                   453,000
                     WACC = (12%  50%) + [8% (1 – 0.25)  50%] = 9%.
                     EVA                                                                           Year 1
                                                                                                       ₦000
                     NOPAT                                                                           76,000
                     Capital charge: (453,000  9%)                                                  40,770
                     Economic value added (estimate)                                                 35,230
         These figures suggest that in each year the company created value, because the EVA
         was positive.
         Financial performance in Year 2 was better than in Year 1 because the EVA is higher.
© Emile Woolf International                         453              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                         13
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                               CHAPTER
                                           Relevant costs
 Contents
 1 The concept of relevant costing
 2 Identifying relevant costs
 3 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             a     Select and calculate suitable relevant cost based on given data and
                   information. Evaluate the results and advise management.
                         NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also required.
Exam context
This chapter explains which costs and revenues are relevant to decision making. The
knowledge acquired in this chapter provides a foundation to later chapters on specific areas
of decision making. Study it carefully.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Understand and explain the concept of relevant costing
      Explain the terms, incremental cost, differential cost, committed cost, sunk cost and
       opportunity cost
      Identify relevant costs (revenues) in a variety of situations
© Emile Woolf International                       455          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 13: Relevant costs
1      THE CONCEPT OF RELEVANT COSTING
         Section overview
          Information for decision-making
          Marginal costing and decision-making
             Relevant costs and decision-making
             Terms used in relevant costing
             Opportunity costs
       1.1     Information for decision-making
               Management makes decisions about the future. When they make decisions for
               economic or financial reasons, the objective is usually to increase profitability or
               the value of the business, or to reduce costs and improve productivity.
               When managers make a decision, they make a choice between different possible
               courses of action (options), and they need relevant and reliable information about
               the probable financial consequences of the different options available. A function
               of management accounting is to provide information to help managers to make
               decisions, by providing estimates of the consequences of selecting any option.
               Traditionally, cost and management accounting information was derived from
               historical costs (a measurement of actual costs). For example, historical costs are
               used to assess the profitability of products, and control reporting typically involves
               a comparison of actual historical costs with a budget or standard costs.
               Accounting information for decision-making is different, because decisions affect
               the future, not what has already happened in the past. Accounting information for
               decision-making should therefore be based on estimates of future costs and
               revenues.
                      Decisions affect the future, but cannot change what has already happened.
                       Decision-making should therefore look at the future consequences of a
                       decision, and should not be influenced by historical events and historical
                       costs.
                      Decisions should consider what can be changed in the future. They should
                       not be influenced by what will happen in the future that is unavoidable,
                       possibly due to commitments that have been made in the past.
                      Economic or financial decisions should be based on future cash flows, not
                       future accounting measurements of costs or profits. Accounting
                       conventions, such as the accruals concept of accounting and the
                       depreciation of non-current assets, do not reflect economic reality. Cash
                       flows, on the other hand, do reflect the economic reality of decisions.
                       Managers should therefore consider the effect that their decisions will have
                       on future cash flows, not reported accounting profits.
       1.2     Marginal costing and decision-making
               Marginal costing might be used for decision-making. For example, marginal
               costing is used for limiting factor analysis and linear programming.
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Performance management
               It is appropriate to use marginal costing for decision-making when it can be
               assumed that future fixed costs will be the same, no matter what decision is
               taken, and that all variable costs represent future cash flows that will be incurred
               as a consequence of any decision that is taken.
               These assumptions about fixed and variable costs are not always valid. When
               they are not valid, relevant costs should be used to evaluate the
               economic/financial consequences of a decision.
       1.3     Relevant costs and decision-making
               Relevant costs should be used for assessing the economic or financial
               consequences of any decision by management. Only relevant costs and benefits
               should be taken into consideration when evaluating the financial consequences
               of a decision.
               A relevant cost is a future cash flow that will occur as a direct consequence of
               making a particular decision.
               The key concepts in this definition of relevant costs are as follows:
                      Relevant costs are costs that will occur in the future- They
                       cannot include any costs that have already occurred in the past.
                      Relevant costs of a decision are costs that will occur as a direct
                       consequence of making the decision. Costs that will occur anyway, no
                       matter what decision is taken, cannot be relevant to the decision.
                      Relevant costs are cash flows- Notional costs, such as
                       depreciation charges, notional interest costs and absorbed fixed
                       costs, cannot be relevant to a decision.
       1.4     Terms used in relevant costing
               Several terms are used in relevant costing, to indicate how certain costs might be
               relevant or not relevant to a decision.
               Incremental cost
               An incremental cost is an additional cost that will occur if a particular decision is
               taken. Provided that this additional cost is a cash flow, an incremental cost is a
               relevant cost.
                 Example: Incremental cost
                 A company has identified that each cost unit it produces has the following costs:
                                                                      ₦ in ‘000
                       Direct materials                                      50
                       Direct labour                                         20
                                                                              70
                       Fixed production overhead                              30
                       Total absorption cost                                100
                       The incremental cost of making one extra unit is ₦70,000. Making one
                       extra unit would not affect the fixed cost base.
© Emile Woolf International                        458          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 13: Relevant costs
               The above example assumes that the fixed cost per unit is the result of overhead
               absorption and that making one extra unit does not affect the fixed cost of the
               company.
               If making extra units would result in the business incurring new fixed costs, these
               would be incremental and must be included as a relevant cost in any decision
               making process.
                 Example: Incremental fixed cost (stepped fixed costs)
                 A company owns a factory which has the capacity to produce 100,000 units per
                 annum.
                 The factory is operating at 80% of this capacity (i.e. 80,000 units per annum are
                 being made but the company could make an additional 20,000 units if required).
                 The variable cost per unit is ₦60.
                 The company has received an enquiry to supply 30,000 units per annum for the
                 next 5 years at a sales price of ₦100.
                 In order to fulfil this order the company would have to rent additional premises to
                 make the 10,000 units which it is unable to make in its current premises.
                 The rent of the additional premises is a fixed cost but it is incremental to the
                 project and must be included in the decision making process.
                 What would the decision be if the rent were:
                 a)           ₦300,000
                 b)           ₦300,000?
                                                                            a                        b
                       Incremental annual amounts                       ₦ in ‘000               ₦ in ‘000
                       Revenue (10,000 units  ₦100)                     1,000                   1,000
                       Variable costs (10,000 units  ₦60)                  (600)                 (600)
                                                                             400                   400
                       Fixed costs                                          (300)                 (500)
                                                                             100                  (100)
                       Decision                                         Accept the             Reject the
                                                                          offer                  offer
                       Making and selling 10,000 extra units would generate extra contribution of
                       ₦400,000. However, the company must also consider the incremental fixed
                       costs in order to make the correct decision.
© Emile Woolf International                        459          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Differential cost
               A differential cost is the amount by which future costs will be different, depending
               on which course of action is taken. A differential cost is therefore an amount by
               which future costs will be higher or lower, if a particular course of action is
               chosen. Provided that this additional cost is a cash flow, a differential cost is a
               relevant cost.
                 Example: Differential cost
                 A company needs to hire a photocopier for the next six months. It has to decide
                 whether to continue using a particular type of photocopier, which it currently rents
                 for ₦2,000 each month, or whether to switch to using a larger photocopier that
                 will cost ₦3,600 each month. If it hires the larger photocopier, it will be able to
                 terminate the rental agreement for the current copier immediately.
                 The decision is whether to continue with using the current photocopier, or to
                 switch to the larger copier.
                 One way of analysing the comparative costs is to say that the larger copier will be
                 more expensive to rent, by ₦1,600 each month for six months.
                 The differential cost of hiring the larger copier for six months would therefore be
                 ₦9,600.
               Avoidable and unavoidable costs
               An avoidable cost is a cost that could be saved (avoided), depending whether or
               not a particular decision is taken. An unavoidable cost is a cost that will be
               incurred anyway.
                      Avoidable costs are relevant costs.
                      Unavoidable costs are not relevant to a decision.
                 Example: Avoidable and unavoidable costs
                 A company has one year remaining on a short-term lease agreement on a
                 warehouse. The rental cost is ₦100,000 per year. The warehouse facilities are no
                 longer required, because operations have been moved to another warehouse that
                 has spare capacity.
                 If a decision is taken to close down the warehouse, the company would be
                 committed to paying the rental cost up to the end of the term of the lease.
                 However, it would save local taxes of ₦16,000 for the year, and it would no longer
                 need to hire the services of a security company to look after the empty building,
                 which currently costs ₦40,000 each year.
                 The decision about whether to close down the unwanted warehouse should be
                 based on relevant costs only.
                 Local taxes and the costs of the security services (₦56,000 in total for the next
                 year) could be avoided and so these are relevant costs.
                 The rental cost of the warehouse cannot be avoided, and so should be ignored in
                 the economic assessment of the decision whether to close the warehouse or
                 keep it open for another year.
© Emile Woolf International                        460          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 13: Relevant costs
               Committed cost
               Committed costs are a category of unavoidable costs. A committed cost is a cost
               that a company has already committed to or an obligation already made, that it
               cannot avoid by any means.
               Committed costs are not relevant costs for decision making.
                 Example: Committed cost
                 A company bought a machine one year ago and entered into a maintenance
                 contract for ₦20,000 for three years.
                 The machine is being used to make an item for sale. Sales of this item are
                 disappointing and are only generating ₦15,000 per annum and will remain at
                 this level for two years.
                 The company believes that it could sell the machine for ₦25,000.
                 The relevant costs in this decision are the selling price of the machine and the
                 revenue from sales of the item.
                 If the company sold the machine it would receive ₦25,000 but lose ₦30,000
                 revenue over the next two years – an overall loss of ₦5,000
                 The maintenance contract is irrelevant as the company has to pay ₦20,000 per
                 annum whether it keeps the machine or sells it.
                 Leases normally represent a committed cost for the full term of the lease, since it
                 is extremely difficult to terminate a lease agreement.
               Sunk costs
               Sunk costs are costs that have already been incurred (historical costs) or costs
               that have already been committed by an earlier decision. Sunk costs must be
               ignored for the purpose of evaluating a decision, and cannot be relevant costs.
                 Example: Sunk cost
                 A company must decide whether to launch a new product on to the market.
                 It has spent ₦900,000 on developing the new product, and a further ₦80,000 on
                 market research.
                 A financial evaluation for a decision whether or not to launch the new product
                 should ignore the development costs and the market research costs, because the
                 ₦980,000 has already been spent. The costs are sunk costs.
© Emile Woolf International                       461          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       1.5     Opportunity costs
               An opportunity cost is a benefit that will be lost by taking one course of action
               instead of the next most profitable course of action.
                 Example: Opportunity costs
                 A company has been asked by a customer to carry out a special job. The work
                 would require 20 hours of skilled labour time. There is a limited availability of
                 skilled labour, and if the special job is carried out for the customer, skilled
                 employees would have to be moved from doing other work that earns a
                 contribution of ₦600 per labour hour.
                 A relevant cost of doing the job for the customer is the contribution that would be
                 lost by switching employees from other work. This contribution forgone (20 hours ×
                 ₦600 = ₦12,000) would be an opportunity cost.
                 This cost should be taken into consideration as a cost that would be incurred as a
                 direct consequence of a decision to do the special job for the customer. In other
                 words, the opportunity cost is a relevant cost in deciding how to respond to the
                 customer’s request.
                 What would the decision be if the special job would generate a contribution of:
                 a) ₦15,000
                 b) ₦10,000?
                                                                           a                        b
                                                                           ₦                      ₦
                       Contribution earned                              15,000                  10,000
                       Contribution lost                               (12,000)                (12,000)
                                                                          3,000                  (2,000)
                       Decision                                        Accept the             Reject the
                                                                         offer                  offer
               An opportunity cost is not an actual cost in the sense of an amount paid out as an
               expense. It is a comparative cost. In other words, it is a change in the overall cost
               that results from making one choice over another.
               Similar comments can be made in respect of opportunity revenues (gains).
© Emile Woolf International                       462          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 13: Relevant costs
2      IDENTIFYING RELEVANT COSTS
         Section overview
             Relevant cost of materials
             Relevant cost of labour
             Relevant cost of overhead
       There are certain rules or guidelines that might help you to identify the relevant costs
       for evaluating any management decision.
       2.1     Relevant cost of materials
               The relevant costs of a decision to do some work or make a product will usually
               include costs of materials. Relevant costs of materials are the additional cash
               flows that will be incurred (or benefits that will be lost) by using the materials for
               the purpose that is under consideration.
               If none of the required materials are currently held as inventory, the relevant
               cost of the materials is simply their purchase cost. In other words, the relevant
               cost is the cash that will have to be paid to acquire and use the materials.
               If the required materials are currently held as inventory, the relevant costs
               are identified by applying the following rules:
                 Illustration: Relevant cost of materials
               Note that the historical cost of materials held in inventory cannot be the relevant
               cost of the materials, because their historical cost is a sunk cost.
© Emile Woolf International                        463          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The relevant costs of materials can be described as their ‘deprival value’. The
               deprival value of materials is the benefit or value that would be lost if the
               company were deprived of the materials currently held in inventory.
                      If the materials are regularly used, their deprival value is the cost of having
                       to buy more units of the materials to replace them (their replacement cost).
                      If the materials are not in regular use, their deprival value is either the net
                       benefit that would be lost because they cannot be disposed of (their net
                       disposal or scrap value) or the benefits obtainable from any alternative use.
                       In an examination question, materials in inventory might not be in regular
                       use, but could be used as a substitute material in some other work. Their
                       deprival value might therefore be the purchase cost of another material that
                       could be avoided by using the materials held in inventory as a substitute.
                 Example: Relevant cost of materials
                 A company has been asked to quote a price for a one-off contract.
                 The contract would require 5,000 kilograms of material X. Material X is used
                 regularly by the company. The company has 4,000 kilograms of material X
                 currently in inventory, which cost ₦400 per kilogram. The price for material X has
                 since risen to ₦420 per kilogram.
                 The contract would also require 2,000 kilograms of material Y. There are 1,500
                 kilograms of material Y in inventory, but because of a decision taken several
                 weeks ago, material Y is no longer in regular use by the company. The 1,500
                 kilograms originally cost ₦144,000, and have a scrap value of ₦36,000. New
                 purchases of material Y would cost ₦100 per kilogram.
                 The relevant costs of the materials, to assist management in identifying the
                 minimum price to charge for the contract are as follows.
                 Material X
                 This is in regular use. Any units of the material that are held in inventory will have
                 to be replaced for other work if they are used for the contract. The relevant cost is
                 their replacement cost.
                 Relevant cost = replacement cost = 5,000 kilograms × ₦420 = ₦2,100,000.
                 Material Y
                 This is not in regular use. There are 1,500 kilograms in inventory, and an
                 additional 500 kilograms would have to be purchased. The relevant cost of
                 material Y for the contract would be:
                                                                          ₦
                     Material held in inventory (scrap value)        36,000
                      New purchases (500  ₦100)                     50,000
                     Total relevant cost of Material Y               86,000
© Emile Woolf International                         464          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                     Chapter 13: Relevant costs
       2.2     Relevant cost of labour
               The relevant costs of a decision to do some work or make a product will usually
               include costs of labour.
               The relevant cost of labour for any decision is the additional cash expenditure (or
               saving) that will arise as a direct consequence of the decision.
                      If the cost of labour is a variable cost, and labour is not in restricted
                       supply, the relevant cost of the labour is its variable cost. For example,
                       suppose that part-time employees are paid ₦180 per hour, they are paid
                       only for the hours that they work and part-time labour is not in short supply.
                       If management is considering a decision that would require an additional
                       100 hours of part-time labour, the relevant cost of the labour would be
                       ₦180 per hour or ₦18,000 in total.
                      If labour is a fixed cost and there is spare labour time available, the
                       relevant cost of using labour is zero. The spare time would otherwise be
                       paid for idle time, and there is no additional cash cost of using the labour to
                       do extra work. For example, suppose that a new contract would require 30
                       direct labour hours, direct labour is paid ₦200 per hour, and the direct
                       workforce is paid a fixed weekly wage for a 40-hour week. If there is
                       currently spare capacity, so that the labour cost would be idle time if it is not
                       used for the new contract, the relevant cost of using 30 hours on the new
                       contract would be zero. The 30 labour hours must be paid for whether or
                       not the contract work is undertaken.
                      If labour is in limited supply, the relevant cost of labour should include
                       the opportunity cost of using the labour time for the purpose under
                       consideration instead of using it in its next-most profitable way. The cost of
                       an hour of labour would be the pay per hour plus the lost contribution.
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Performance management
                 Example: Relevant cost of labour
                 Department 1. The contract would require 200 hours of work in department 1,
                 where the workforce is paid ₦160 per hour for a fixed 40-hour week. There is
                 currently spare labour capacity in department 1 and there are no plans to reduce
                 the size of the workforce in this department.
                 Department 2. The contract would require 100 hours of work in department 2
                 where the workforce is paid ₦240 per hour. This department is currently working
                 at full capacity. The company could ask the workforce to do overtime work, paid
                 for at the normal rate per hour plus 50% overtime premium. Alternatively, the
                 workforce could be diverted from other work that earns a contribution of ₦80 per
                 hour.
                 Department 3. The contract would require 300 hours of work in department 3
                 where the workforce is paid ₦240 per hour. Labour in this department is in short
                 supply and all the available time is currently spent making product Z, which earns
                 the following contribution:
                                                                        ₦            ₦
                         Sales price                                               980
                         Labour (2 hours per unit)                   480
                         Other variable costs                        300
                                                                                   780
                         Contribution per unit of product Z                        200
                 Required
                 What is the relevant cost for the contract of labour in the three departments?
© Emile Woolf International                          466       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 13: Relevant costs
                 Answer
                 Department 1. There is spare capacity in department 1 and no additional cash
                 expenditure would be incurred on labour if the contract is undertaken.
                 Relevant cost = zero
                 Department 2. There is restricted labour capacity. If the contract is undertaken,
                 there would be a choice between:
                        overtime work at a cost of ₦360 per hour (₦240 plus overtime premium of
                         50%) – this would be an additional cash expense, or
                        diverting the labour from other work, and losing contribution of ₦80 per
                         hour – cost per hour = ₦240 basic pay + contribution forgone ₦80 = N320
                         per hour.
                 It would be better to divert the workforce from other work, and the relevant cost
                 of labour is therefore 100 hours × ₦320 per hour = ₦32,000.
                 Department 3. There is restricted labour capacity. If the contract is undertaken,
                 labour would have to be diverted from making product Z which earns a
                 contribution of ₦200 per unit or ₦100 per labour hour (₦200/2 hours). The
                 relevant cost of the labour in department 3 is:
                                                                        ₦
                     Labour cost per hour                             240
                     Contribution forgone per hour                    100
                     Relevant cost per hour                           340
                 Relevant cost of 300 hours = 300 × ₦340 = ₦102,000.
                 Summary of relevant costs of labour:
                                                                      ₦
                              Department 1                            0
                              Department 2                       32,000
                              Department 3                      102,000
                                                                134,000
       2.3     Relevant cost of overheads
               Relevant costs of expenditures that might be classed as overhead costs should
               be identified by applying the normal rules of relevant costing. Relevant costs are
               future cash flows that will arise as a direct consequence of making a particular
               decision.
               Fixed overhead absorption rates are therefore irrelevant, because fixed
               overhead absorption is not overhead expenditure and does not represent cash
               spending
               However, it might be assumed that the overhead absorption rate for variable
               overheads is a measure of actual cash spending on variable overheads. It is
               therefore often appropriate to treat a variable overhead hourly rate as a relevant
               cost, because it is an estimate of cash spending per hour for each additional hour
               worked.
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Performance management
               The only overhead fixed costs that are relevant costs for a decision are extra
               cash spending that will be incurred, or cash spending that will be saved, as a
               direct consequence of making the decision.
© Emile Woolf International                      468         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                      Chapter 13: Relevant costs
                 Practice questions                                                                         1
                 1     A company bought a machine six years ago for ₦125,000. Its written
                       down value is now ₦25,000. The machine is no longer used for normal
                       production work, and it could be sold now for ₦17,500. A project is
                       being considered that would make use of this machine for six months.
                       After this time the machine would be sold for ₦10,000.
                       Required
                       Calculate the relevant cost of the machine to the project.
                 2     A contract is under consideration which would require 1,400 hours of
                       direct labour. There is spare capacity of 500 hours of direct labour, due
                       to the cancellation of another order by a customer. The other time
                       would have to be found by asking employees to work in the evenings
                       and at weekends, which would be paid at 50% above the normal hourly
                       rate of ₦15.
                       Alternatively, the additional hours could be found by switching labour
                       from other work which earns a contribution of ₦5 per hour.
                       Required
                       Calculate the relevant cost of direct labour if the contract is accepted
                       and undertaken.
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Performance management
3      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Understand and explain the concept of relevant costing
             Explain the terms, incremental cost, differential cost, committed cost, sunk cost
              and opportunity cost
             Identify relevant costs (revenues) in a variety of situations
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                         1
         1     Relevant cost = Difference between sale value now and sale value if it is used.
               This is the relevant cost of using the machine for the project.
               Relevant cost = ₦17,500 - ₦10,000 = ₦7,500.
         2     A total of 900 hours would have to be found by either working overtime at a
               cost of ₦15 × 150% = ₦22.50 per hour, or diverting labour from other work
               that earns a contribution of ₦5 per hour after labour costs of ₦15 per hour.
               The opportunity cost of diverting labour from other work is therefore ₦20 per
               hour. This is less than the cost of working overtime. If the contract is
               undertaken, labour will therefore be diverted from the other work.
               It is assumed that the 500 hours of free labour time (idle time) available would
               be paid for anyway, even if the contract is not undertaken. The relevant cost of
               these hours is therefore ₦0.
               Relevant cost of labour                                                                ₦
               500 hours                                                                              0
               900 hours (× ₦20)                                                               18,000
               Total relevant cost of labour                                                   18,000
© Emile Woolf International                       471          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                14
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                     CHAPTER
                Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
 Contents
 1 The nature of CVP analysis
 2 Break-even analysis
 3 Break-even charts and profit-volume charts
 4 Multi-product CVP analysis
 5 Importance and weaknesses of CVP analysis
 6 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                473   The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             b     Select, calculate and present cost-volume-profit analyses based on a given
                   data and information (including single and multiple products) using both
                   numerical and graphical techniques. Advise management based on the
                   results.
Exam context
This chapter explains how to estimate the break-even point in terms of the number of units
sold and in terms of the revenue earned. It also explains how to calculate the margin of
safety, and how to calculate the number of units that must be sold or revenue earned to
achieve a target profit.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve break-even
      Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve break-even
      Calculate the margin of safety associated with a given level of production in terms of
       the number of units sold or revenue
      Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve a target profit
      Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve a target profit
© Emile Woolf International                     474         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                   Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
1      THE NATURE OF CVP ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             Introduction to CVP analysis
             Assumptions in CVP analysis
             Contribution
       1.1 Introduction to CVP analysis
               CVP analysis stands for cost-volume-profit analysis’. It is used to show how
               costs and profits change with changes in the volume of activity. CVP analysis is
               an application of marginal costing concepts.
               This chapter explains CVP analysis and some of its applications.
       1.2 Assumptions in CVP analysis
               Costs are either fixed or variable. The variable cost per unit is the same at all
               levels of activity (output and sales). Total fixed costs are a constant amount in
               each period.
               Fixed costs are normally assumed to remain unchanged at all levels of output.
               The contribution per unit is constant for each unit sold (of the same product).
               The sales price per unit is constant for every unit of product sold; therefore the
               contribution to sales ratio is also a constant value at all levels of sales.
               If sales price per unit, variable cost per unit and fixed costs are not affected by
               volume of activity, sales and profits are maximised by maximising total
               contribution.
       1.3 Contribution
               Contribution is a key concept. Contribution is measured as sales revenue less
               variable costs.
               Profit is measured as contribution minus fixed costs.
                 Illustration:
                                                                                                      ₦
                       Sales (Units sold × sales price per unit)                                      X
                       Variable costs (Units sold × variable cost price per unit)                    (X)
                       Contribution                                                                   X
                       Fixed costs                                                                   (X)
                       Profit                                                                         X
                              Total contribution = Contribution per unit  Number of units sold.
               Many problems solved using CVP analysis use either contribution per unit (CPU)
               or the C/S (Contribution/Sales) ratio.
© Emile Woolf International                            475          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Contribution per unit
               It is assumed that contribution per unit (sales price minus variable cost) is a
               constant amount over all sales volumes.
                 Example:
                 A company makes and sells a single product. The product has a variable
                 production cost of ₦8 per unit and a variable selling cost of ₦1per unit.
                 Total fixed costs (production, administration and sales and distribution fixed
                 costs) are expected to be ₦500,000.
                 The selling price of the product is ₦16.
                 The profit at sales volumes of 70,000, 80,000 and 90,000 units can be
                 calculated as follows
                                                 70,000 units      80,000 units          90,000 units
                                                      ₦                 ₦                     ₦
                     Sales revenue (₦16/unit)     1,120,000         1,280,000             1,440,000
                     Variable cost (₦9/unit)      (630,000)         (720,000)             (810,000)
                     Contribution (₦7/unit)        490,000           560,000               630,000
                     Fixed costs                  (500,000)         (500,000)             (500,000)
                     Profit/(loss)                 (10,000)           60,000               130,000
                 Notes
                 A loss is incurred at 70,000 units of sales because total contribution is not large
                 enough to cover fixed costs. Profit increases as sales volume increases, and the
                 increase in profit is due to the increase in total contribution as sales volume
                 increases.
                 Somewhere between 70,000 and 80,000 there is a number of units which if sold
                 would result in neither a profit nor a loss. This is known as the break-even
                 position.
© Emile Woolf International                       476           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
               The contribution line could have been completed without calculating the sales
               and variable costs by simply multiplying the quantity sold by the contribution pper
               unit (CPU).
                 Example:
                 Facts as before but calculating total contribution as the number of units 
                 contribution per unit.
                 Contribution per unit
                                                                    ₦
                     Sales price per unit                          16
                     Variable production cost per unit             (8)
                     Variable selling cost per unit                (1)
                     Contribution per unit                           7
                                                      70,000 units       80,000 units         90,000 units
                                                           ₦                  ₦                    ₦
                     70,000  ₦7 per unit               490,000
                     80,000  ₦7 per unit                                  560,000
                     90,000  ₦7 per unit                                                        630,000
                     Fixed costs                       (500,000)          (500,000)             (500,000)
                     Profit/(loss)                      (10,000)            60,000               130,000
               C/S (Contribution/Sales) ratio
               The sales revenue in each case could be calculated by dividing the total
               contribution for a given level of activity by the C/S ratio.
               Formula: C/S ratio (contribution to sales ratio)
                                                Contribution per unit
                                                Selling price per unit
                 Example: C/S ratio
                       Contribution to sales ratio:
                       Contribution per unit/Selling price per unit = 7/16 = 0.4375
                                                      70,000 units       80,000 units         90,000 units
                                                           ₦                  ₦                    ₦
                     Contribution (₦7/unit)             490,000            560,000              630,000
                     C/S ratio                          ÷0.4375            ÷0.4375              ÷0.4375
                     Sales revenue                     1,120,000          1,280,000            1,440,000
                 Notes
                 This may seem a little pointless here as the sales figures were obtained more
                 easily in the first place by multiplying the numbers of units sold by the selling
                 price per unit.
                 However, we have taken this opportunity to demonstrate this relationship.
© Emile Woolf International                            477           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS
         Section overview
          Break-even analysis
          Calculating the break-even point
             Margin of safety
             Target profit
       2.1 Break-even analysis
               CVP analysis can be used to calculate a break-even point for sales.
               Break-even point is the volume of sales required in a period (such as the
               financial year) to ‘break even’ and make neither a profit nor a loss. At the break-
               even point, profit is 0.
               Management might want to know what the break-even point is in order to:
                      identify the minimum volume of sales that must be achieved in order to
                       avoid a loss, or
                      assess the amount of risk in the budget, by comparing the budgeted
                       volume of sales with the break-even volume.
       2.2 Calculating the break-even point
               The break-even point can be calculated using simple CVP analysis.
               At the break-even point, the profit is ₦0. If the profit is ₦0, total contribution is
               exactly equal to total fixed costs.
               We therefore need to establish the volume of sales at which fixed costs and total
               contribution are the same amount.
               Two methods of calculating the break-even point
               There are a number of methods of calculating the break-even point when the
               total fixed costs for the period are known:
               Method 1: Break-even point expressed as a number of units.
               The first method is to calculate the break-even point using the contribution per
               unit. This method can be used where a company makes and sells just one
               product.
                 Formula: Break-even point expressed as a number of units
                                                                     Total fixed costs
                       Break-even point in sales units =
                                                                   Contribution per unit
               Total fixed costs are the same as the total contribution required to break even,
               and the break-even point can therefore be calculated by dividing the total
               contribution required (total fixed costs) by the contribution per unit.
               Remember to include any variable selling and distribution costs in the calculation
               of the variable cost per unit and contribution per unit.
© Emile Woolf International                         478        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
               Once the break-even point is calculated as a number of units it is easy to express
               it in terms of revenue by multiplying the number of units by the selling price per
               item.
                 Example: Break-even point as number of units
                 A company makes a single product that has a variable cost of sales of ₦12 and a
                 selling price of ₦20 per unit. Budgeted fixed costs are ₦600,000.
                 What volume of sales is required to break even?
                 Method 1
                                                                Total fixed costs
                   Break-even point in sales units         =
                                                               Contribution per unit
                 Contribution per unit = ₦20 – ₦12 = ₦8.
                 Therefore break-even point:
                                 ₦600,000
                     In units:            /₦8 per unit = 75,000 units of sales.
                     In sales revenue: 75,000 units × ₦20 per unit = ₦1,500,000 of sales.
               Method 2: Break-even point expressed in sales revenue
               The second method calculates the break-even point in sales revenue.
                 Formula: Break-even point expressed in sales revenue
                                                                            Fixed costs
                       Break-even point in revenue =
                                                                   Contribution to sales ratio
               Once the break-even point is calculated as an amount of revenue it is easy to
               express it as a number of units by dividing the revenue by the selling price per
               item.
                 Example: Break-even point as revenue
                 A company makes a single product that has a variable cost of sales of ₦12 and a
                 selling price of ₦20 per unit. Budgeted fixed costs are ₦600,000.
                 What volume of sales is required to break even?
                 Method 2
                                                                 Total fixed costs
                   Break-even point in revenue             =
                                                                    C/S ratio
                 C/S ratio = ₦8/₦20 = 40%
                 Therefore break-even point:
                                       ₦
                     In sales revenue = 600,000/0.40 = ₦1,500,000 in sales revenue.
                     In units = ₦1,500,000 ÷ ₦20 (sales price per unit) = 75,000 units.
© Emile Woolf International                          479          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.3 Margin of safety
               The margin of safety is the difference between:
                      the budgeted sales (in units or ₦) and
                      the break-even amount of sales (in units or ₦).
               It is usually expressed as a percentage of the budgeted sales. However, it may
               also be measured as:
                      a quantity of units (= the difference between the budgeted sales volume in
                       units and the break-even sales volume), or
                      an amount of sales revenue (= the difference between the budgeted sales
                       revenue and the total sales revenue required to break even).
               It is called the margin of safety because it is the maximum amount by which
               actual sales can be lower than budgeted sales without incurring a loss for the
               period. A high margin of safety therefore indicates a low risk of making a loss.
                 Example:
                 A company budgets to sell 25,000 units of its product. This has a selling price of
                 ₦16 and a variable cost of ₦4. Fixed costs for the period are expected to be
                 ₦240,000.
                 The break-even point = ₦240,000/(₦16 – 4) = 20,000 units.
                 The budgeted sales are 25,000 units.
                 Margin of safety        = Budgeted sales – break-even sales
                                         = 25,000 – 20,000 = 5,000 units
               The margin of safety is often expressed as a percentage of budgeted sales.
                 Formula: Margin of safety ratio
                                                                  Margin of safety (units)
                       Margin of safety ratio =
                                                                   Budgeted sales (units)
                                                                Margin of safety (revenue)
                       Margin of safety ratio =
                                                                     Budgeted revenue
                 Example: Margin of safety ratio
                 Returning to the previous example where the margin of safety was 5,000 units
                 and budgeted sales were 25,000 units.
                 Margin of safety ratio 5,000 units/25,000 units =20% of budgeted sales
                 This means that sales volume could be up to 20% below budget, and the
                 company should still expect to make a profit.
© Emile Woolf International                        480          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                             Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
       2.4 Target profit
               Management might want to know what the volume of sales must be in order to
               achieve a target profit. CVP analysis can be used to calculate the volume of
               sales required.
               The volume of sales required must be sufficient to earn a total contribution that
               covers the fixed costs and makes the target amount of profit. In other words the
               contribution needed to earn the target profit is the target profit plus the fixed
               costs.
               The sales volume that is necessary to achieve this is calculated by dividing the
               target profit plus fixed costs by the contribution per unit in the usual way.
                 Formula: Target volume expressed in units
                                                            Total fixed costs + target profit
                       Target volume (units) =
                                                                  Contribution per unit
               Once the target volume is calculated as a number of units it is easy to express it
               in terms of revenue by multiplying the number of units by the selling price per
               item.
               Similarly the sales revenue that would achieve the target profit is calculated by
               dividing the target profit plus fixed costs by the C/S ratio.
                 Formula: Target volume expressed in sales revenue
                                                            Total fixed costs + target profit
                       Target volume in revenue =
                                                              Contribution to sales ratio
               Once the target volume is calculated as an amount of revenue it is easy to
               express it as a number of units by dividing the revenue by the selling price per
               item.
© Emile Woolf International                         481       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example:
                 A company makes and sells a product that has a variable cost of ₦5 per unit and
                 sells for ₦9 per unit.
                 Budgeted fixed costs are ₦600,000 for the year, and the company wishes to
                 make a profit of at least ₦100,000.
                 The sales volume required to achieve the target profit can be found as follows:
                 The total contribution must cover fixed costs and make the target profit.
                                                                ₦
                         Fixed costs                         600,000
                         Target profit                       100,000
                         Total contribution required         700,000
                 Contribution per unit = ₦9 – ₦5 = ₦4.
                 Sales volume required to make a profit of ₦100,000:
                                    ₦700,000
                                             /₦4 per unit = 175,000 units.
                 Therefore the sales revenue required to achieve target profit
                                          175,000 units × ₦9 = ₦1,575,000
                 Alternatively:
                 C/S ratio = 4/9
                 Sales revenue required to make a profit of ₦100,000
                                          = ₦700,000  (4/9) = ₦1,575,000.
                 Therefore the number of units required to achieve target profit
                                          ₦1,575,000 ÷ ₦9 = 175,000 units
© Emile Woolf International                            482      The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
                 Practice questions                                                                          1
                 1     A company makes a single product that it sells at ₦80 per unit. The
                       total fixed costs are ₦360,000 for the period and the
                       contribution/sales ratio is 60%. Budgeted production and sales for the
                       period is 8,000 units.
                       Required
                       Calculate the margin of safety for the period, as a percentage of the
                       budgeted sales.
                 2     A company makes and sells a single product. The following data
                       relates to the current year’s budget.
                       Sales and production (units):                                8,000
                       Variable cost per unit:                                            ₦20
                       Fixed cost per unit:                                               ₦25
                       Contribution/sales ratio:                                          60%
                       The selling price next year will be 6% higher than the price in the
                       current year budget and the variable cost per unit will be 5% higher
                       than in the current year budget. Budgeted fixed costs next year will be
                       10% higher than budgeted fixed costs in the current year.
                       Required
                       (a) For the current year, calculate:
                             (i)   the budgeted contribution per unit
                             (ii)  the budgeted total profit
                       (b) For next year, calculate the number of units that will have to be
                             sold in order to achieve a total profit that is equal to the
                             budgeted profit in the current year.
                 3     (a)    Entity D makes a single product which it sells for ₦10 per unit.
                              Fixed costs are ₦48,000 each month and the product has a
                              contribution/sales ratio of 40%.
                              Required
                              If budgeted sales for the month are ₦140,000, what is the
                              margin of safety in units?
                       (b)    Entity E has monthly sales of ₦128,000, but at this level of sales,
                              its monthly profit is only ₦2,000 and its margin of safety is
                              6.25%.
                              Required
                              Calculate:
                              (i)   the monthly fixed costs
                              (ii)   the level of monthly sales needed to increase the monthly
                                     profit to ₦5,000.
© Emile Woolf International                          483          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
3      BREAK-EVEN CHARTS AND PROFIT-VOLUME CHARTS
         Section overview
             Break-even charts
             Profit/volume chart (P/V chart)
       3.1 Break-even chart
               A break-even chart is a chart or graph showing, for all volumes of output and
               sales:
                      total costs, analysed between variable costs and fixed costs
                      sales
                      profit (the difference between total sales and total costs)
                      the break-even point (where total costs = total sales revenue, and profit =
                       zero).
               The concept of a break-even chart is similar to a cost behaviour chart, but with
               sales revenue shown as well.
               If the chart also indicates the budgeted volume of sales, the margin of safety can
               be shown as the difference between the budgeted volume and the break-even
               volume of sales.
               Two examples of break-even charts are shown below. The only difference
               between them is the way in which variable costs and fixed costs are shown.
                      In the first diagram, variable costs are shown on top of fixed costs. Fixed
                       costs are represented by the horizontal line of dashes. Fixed costs are the
                       same amount at all volumes of sales. Variable costs are shown on top of
                       fixed costs, rising in a straight line from sales of ₦0. Total costs are shown
                       as the sum of fixed costs and variable costs.
                      In the second diagram (a more unusual presentation), fixed costs are
                       shown on top of variable costs. An advantage of this method of
                       presentation is that total contribution is shown. This is the difference
                       between the total sales line and the total variable costs line.
                      Total costs are exactly the same in both diagrams.
               Because the sales price per unit is constant, the total sales revenue line rises in a
               straight line from the origin of the graph (i.e. from x = 0, y = 0).
© Emile Woolf International                         484          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
               First break-even chart: variable costs on top of fixed costs
                 Illustration:
               Second break-even chart: fixed costs on top of variable costs
                 Illustration:
               Points to note
               You should be able to identify the following points on these charts.
                      The break-even point is shown on both charts as the volume of sales at
                       which total revenue equals total costs.
                      In the second chart, total contribution at the break-even point is shown as
                       exactly equal to fixed costs.
                      If budgeted sales are shown on the chart, the margin of safety can also be
                       show, as the difference between budgeted sales and the break-even point.
© Emile Woolf International                        485         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.2 Profit/volume chart (P/V chart)
               A profit volume chart (or P/V chart) is an alternative to a break-even chart for
               presenting CVP information. It is a chart that shows the profit or loss at all levels
               of output and sales.
               An example is shown below.
                 Illustration:
               At ₦0 sales, there is a loss equal to the total amount of fixed costs. The loss
               becomes smaller as sales volume increases, due to the higher contribution as
               sales volume increases. Break-even point is then reached and profits are made
               at sales volumes above the break-even point.
               We could draw a line on the graph to show fixed costs. This line should be drawn
               parallel to the x axis, starting at the loss (= total fixed costs) at ₦0 sales. By
               drawing this line for fixed costs, total contribution would be shown as the
               difference between the line showing the profit (or loss) and the line for the fixed
               costs.
© Emile Woolf International                       486          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
                 Practice question                                                                       2
                 You are a management accountant for a business that develops specialist
                 computers. You are consulted to investigate the viability of marketing a new
                 type of hand-held computer.
                 With the help of the manager of research and development, the production
                 manager, the buyer and the sales manager, you have made the following
                 estimates of annual sales and profitability:
                           Sales             Profit/(loss)
                           units                        ₦
                          12,000                 (30,000)
                          15,000                 150,000
                          18,000                 330,000
                       The selling price will be ₦150.
                       Required
                       (a) Prepare a traditional break-even chart using the information
                            given above.
                       (b) Calculate the margin of safety if annual sales are expected to be
                            15,000 units.
© Emile Woolf International                        487         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
4      MULTI-PRODUCT CVP ANALYSIS
         Section overview
          Introduction to multi-product break-even analysis
          Multi-product break-even analysis – weighted average unit approach
             Multi-product break-even analysis – Batch approach
             Margin of safety
             Target profit
             Multi-product break-even charts
       4.1 Introduction to multi-product break-even analysis
               So far we have assumed that the company is making and selling a single
               product. The techniques can be extended to multi-product situations. However, in
               order to do this we need to make a further assumption (which might seem very
               unrealistic).
               This assumption is that products are sold in a set ratio which does not change
               with volume. This assumption allows us to tackle similar problems to those dealt
               with above in one of two ways. We could either use:
                      weighted average contribution per unit and weighted average C/S ratio per
                       unit; or
                      contribution per batch and weighted average C/S ratio for the batch
                       (assuming that goods are sold in the budgeted sales mix).
               Note that there will be a single weighted average C/S ratio whether it is
               calculated using average units or from a batch.
               Problems will be solved using each of these in turn.
© Emile Woolf International                       488         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
       4.2 Multi-product break-even analysis – weighted average unit approach
               Weighted average contribution per unit
                 Example: Multi-product break-even using weighted average contribution per unit
                 The following budget information refers to the two products of a company.
                                                            X                Y
                     Sales price per unit                  100              120
                     Variable cost per unit                (75)            (111)
                     Contribution per unit                  25                 9
                     Sales volume                        15,000            5,000
                     Sales mix                              3                1
                     Fixed costs                                                               315,000
                 The number of units at which the company will break even using the average
                 contribution per unit is calculated as follows:
                                                            ₦                   ₦                  ₦
                     Contribution per unit                  25                  9
                     Sales mix                          15,000              5,000
                     Contribution                      375,000             45,000             420,000
                 Therefore, the weighted average contribution per unit is:
                                        ₦420,000/20,000 units = ₦21 per unit
                 Break-even as a number of units is given by:
                 Fixed costs/Contribution per unit = ₦315,000/₦21 = 15,000 units
                 These units are in the ratio of 3:1
                 The break-even in revenue can be found by multiplying the number of units above
                 (15,000) by the weighted average revenue as follows:
                                                          ₦                  ₦                     ₦
                     Revenue per unit                    100                 120
                     Sales mix                        15,000               5,000
                     Revenue                       1,500,000             600,000             2,100,000
                Therefore, the weighted average revenue per unit is:
                                      ₦2,100,000/20,000 units = ₦105 per unit
                The break-even revenue is therefore 15,000 units  ₦105 = ₦1,575,000
               The break-even sales volume of 15,000 units and the break-even revenue of
               ₦1,575,000 are totals for X and Y together. The next step is to work out the
               numbers for X and Y individually.
               The 15,000 units are made up of units of X and Y in the ratio of 3 to 1. The ratio
               can be used to pro-rate the total to find the number of units of X and the number
               of units of Y sold at the break-even point.
© Emile Woolf International                        489            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The selling price for X and for Y can then be applied to these figures to arrive at
               the revenue from selling X and the revenue from selling Y.
                 Example (continued): Multi-product break-even using weighted average
                 contribution per unit
                 Following on from the above:
                 The calculations of the sales volume of X and Y and the revenue from those sales
                 are calculated as follows:
                                                                     Units
                                             Units          X (3 of 4)         Y (1 of 4)
                     Break-even              15,000             11,250               3,750
                     Revenue per unit                            ₦100                 ₦120
                     Revenue                           ₦1,125,000              ₦450,000          = ₦1,575,000
               Weighted average C/S ratio
                 Example: Multi-product break-even using weighted average C/S ratio
                 The weighted average C/S ratio can be calculated as follows:
                     Total contribution                          ₦                        ₦               ₦
                     Contribution per unit                       25                       9
                     Sales mix                               15,000                   5,000
                     Contribution                           375,000                  45,000            420,000
                     Total revenue                            ₦                        ₦                  ₦
                     Revenue per unit                        100                       120
                     Sales mix                            15,000                     5,000
                     Revenue                           1,500,000                   600,000          2,100,000
                     Weighted average C/S ratio
                                     ₦420,000/₦2,100,000                                                0.20
                 Break-even in revenue is given by
                 Fixed costs/CS ratio = ₦315,000/0.20 = ₦1,575,000
               The break-even revenue of ₦1,575,000 is the total for X and Y together. The next
               step is to work out the numbers for X and Y individually.
               The total budgeted revenue of 2,100,000 (see the workings above) is made up of
               revenue from X of 1,500,000 and revenue from Y of 600,000. The same ratios
               are assumed to apply to all sales volumes. Therefore, the break-even revenue
               can be prorated on this basis to find the revenue from X and the revenue from Y
               at the break-even point. These figures can then be divided by the budgeted
               revenue for each to calculate the number of units of each sold at break-even.
               The selling price for X and for Y can then be applied to these figures to arrive at
               the revenue from selling X and the revenue from selling Y.
© Emile Woolf International                           490                The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
                 Example (continued): Multi-product break-even using weighted average C/S ratio
                 Following on from the above:
                 The calculations of the revenue from sales of X and Y and the number of units
                 sold to achieve these revenue figures are calculated as follows:
                                                                       Units
                                          Revenue        X (1,500/2,100)      Y (600/2,100)
                     Break-even          ₦1,575,000      ₦1,125,000           ₦450,000
                     Revenue per unit                      ÷ ₦100               ÷ ₦120
                     Units                                 11,250               3,750            15,000
       4.3 Multi-product break-even analysis – Batch approach
               Contribution per batch
               This approach uses the contribution from a batch of items to calculate the
               number of batches that must be sold in order to break-even. Once this is known
               the budgeted sales mix can be applied to provide information at the unit level.
                 Formula: Break-even point for batches
                                                                           Total fixed costs
                       Break-even point in batches =
                                                                    Contribution per batch
                                                                           Total fixed costs
                       Break-even point in revenue =
                                                                     CS ratio for the batch
© Emile Woolf International                        491           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Multi-product break-even using contribution per batch
                 The following budget information refers to the two products of a company.
                                                            X                Y
                     Sales price per unit                  100              120
                     Variable cost per unit                (75)            (111)
                     Contribution per unit                  25                 9
                     Sales volume                        15,000            5,000
                     Sales mix                              3                1
                     Fixed costs                                                               315,000
                                                                                    --
                 The number of units at which the company will break even using the average
                 contribution per batch is calculated as follows:
                     Batch                                  ₦                   ₦                  ₦
                     Contribution per unit                 25                   9
                     Sales mix                              3                   1
                     Contribution (single batch)           75                   9                 84
                 Therefore, the contribution from selling a single batch is ₦84.
                 Break-even as a number of batches is given by:
                 Fixed costs/Contribution per batch = ₦315,000/₦84 = 3,750 batches
                 The break-even in revenue can be found by using the weighted average revenue
                 per batch.
                                                            ₦                  ₦                   ₦
                     Revenue per unit                     100                120
                     Sales mix                              3                  1
                     Revenue (single batch)               300                120                 420
                 Therefore, the revenue from selling a single batch is ₦420.
                 The break-even revenue is therefore 3,750 batches  ₦420 = ₦1,575,000
               The next step is to identify the number of units of X and Y in 3,750 batches and
               how much revenue is generated by each.
© Emile Woolf International                        492            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
                 Example (continued): Multi-product break-even using contribution per batch
                 Following on from the above:
                 The calculations of the number of units of X and Y in 3,750 batches and the
                 revenue from selling each are as follows:
                                                                Units
                                          Batches       X (3 per      Y (1 per
                                                        batch)        batch)
                     Break-even           3,750            11,250         3,750
                     Revenue per unit                       ₦100            ₦120
                     Revenue                            1,125,000       450,000        = 1,575,000
                 Alternatively, the break-even in revenue for X and Y can be found by using the
                 weighted average revenue per batch and these figures could be divided by the
                 revenue per unit to arrive at the numbers of units.
                                                    Total           X (300/420)          Y (120/420)
                     Break-even revenue         ₦1,575,000          ₦1,125,000            ₦450,000
                     Revenue per unit                                     ÷₦100                ÷₦120
                     Number of units                                     11,250                 3,750
© Emile Woolf International                       493          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               C/S ratio using a batch
                     Example:
                     The following budget information refers to the two products of a company:
                                                       X                  Y
                     Sales price per unit            100                 120
                     Variable cost per unit          (75)               (111)
                     Contribution per unit            25                  9
                     Sales volume                   15,000              5,000
                     Sales mix                         3                  1
                     Fixed costs                                                             315,000
                     The break-even revenue using the average C/S ratio for the batch can be
                 calculated as follows:
                                                             ₦                   ₦                  ₦
                     Sales price per unit                  100                 120
                     Sales mix                               3                   1
                     Revenue (single batch)                300                 120                  420
                     Contribution per unit                  25                    9
                     Sales mix                               3                    1
                     Contribution (single batch)            75                    9                 84
                     Weighted average CS ratio: ₦84/₦420 = 0.20 (Note that ₦300 out of every
                     ₦420 will be revenue from selling X and ₦120 from selling Y).
                     Break-even in revenue is given by
                     Fixed costs/CS ratio = ₦315,000/0.20 = ₦1,575,000
                                                                               Units
                                                Revenue          X (300/420)          Y (120/420)
                         Break-even           ₦1,575,000            ₦1,125,000            ₦450,000
                         Revenue per unit                            ÷ ₦100                ÷ ₦120
                         Units                                    11,250                3,750     15,000
© Emile Woolf International                          494           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
                 Practice question                                                                               3
                 X Ltd has budgeted fixed overheads of ₦6,000,000 for the next period.
                 X Ltd is preparing a budget to sell three products.
                                                     P               Q                 R           Total
                     Sales volumes (units)        10,000           6,000             4,000           20,000
                     Sales mix ratio                10               6                 4
                     Sales mix as %                50%              30%               20%
                     Sales price per unit (₦)      250               400             1600
                     Budgeted revenue (₦)        2,500,000      2,400,000         6,400,000        11,300,000
                     Contribution per unit (₦)      150            250               800
                     Budgeted total
                     contribution (₦)            1,500,000      1,500,000         3,200,000         6,200,000
                 Calculate the number of units that X Ltd must sell in order to break even and
                 calculate the total revenue at that point.
                 Calculate the number of units of each item sold at break-even and the resulting
                 revenue from each.
       4.4 Margin of safety
               The margin of safety is calculated in the same way as for single products by
               comparing the budgeted activity level to the break-even. The break-even point
               can be compared to the budgeted activity level using batches, units or revenue.
               This will be illustrated using the previous example.
                 Example: Margin of safety
                 Continued….
                 Margin of safety
                                                           Batches           Units            Revenue (₦)
                     Budgeted activity                      5,000           20,000             2,100,0001
                     Break-even point                       3,750           15,000            1,575,000
                     Margin of safety                        1,250           5,000                525,000
                     Margin of safety as percentage
                     of sales                                25%              25%                   25%
                 1 Budgeted   revenue = (₦100 × 15,000) + (₦120 × 5,000) = ₦2,100,000
© Emile Woolf International                         495              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       4.5 Target profit
               The target profit is calculated in the same way as for single products. The
               necessary contribution to earn the target profit is the target profit plus the fixed
               costs. The activity level required to achieve the necessary contribution may be
               found using contribution per unit, contribution per batch or the CS ratio.
               This will be illustrated using the previous example.
                 Example: target profit
                 Continued….
                 The company wishes to make a profit of ₦189,000 on a fixed cost base of
                 ₦315,000
                  Average contribution per batch        = ₦84
                  Average contribution per unit         = ₦21
                  Weighted average CS ratio             = 0.20
                 Target profit
                                                 Batches              Units                 Revenue
                     Target profit
                     (₦189,000 + ₦315,000)     ₦504,000           ₦504,000                 ₦504,000
                     Contribution per batch        ₦84
                     Contribution per unit                                ₦21
                     C/S ratio                                                                 ÷0.20
                                                    6,000             24,000             ₦2,520,000
                     Sales (units) of X
                      3 in each batch; or         18,000
                      3 out of 4 units                                18,000
                     Sales (units) of Y
                      1 in each batch; or           6,000
                      1 out of 4 units                                  6,000
                     Proof of revenue                     X                   Y
                     Units to be sold                18,000               6,000
                     Selling price per unit             100                 120
                     Revenue                     1,800,000            720,000            ₦2,520,000
© Emile Woolf International                        496          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
       4.6 Multi-product break-even charts
               A break-even chart can be drawn for a company selling more than one product.
               Such charts are usually drawn as a profit–volume graph.
               The graph usually contains a plot of two lines:
                      One line is based on the assumption that the most profitable good is sold
                       first then the second most profitable and so on. This is a bow shaped line.
                      The second line is based on the assumption that goods are sold in the
                       budgeted mix. This is a straight line. Break-even is where this line crosses
                       the horizontal axis.
               The following steps must be taken in order to draw the graph:
               Step 1: Calculate the C/S ratio of each product being sold.
               Step 2: Rank the products in order of profitability.
               Step 3: Draw a table showing the following:
                   Product (in         Revenue
                     order of       (from sales in     Cumulative                               Cumulative
                   profitability)     this order)       revenue          Contribution           profit/(loss)
                                           nil             nil               nil                (fixed cost)
                         A                 X               X                  X                       X
                         B                 X               X                  X                       X
                         C                 X               X                  X                       X
               Step 4: Construct the graph as a plot of cumulative revenue against cumulative
               profit/(loss).
© Emile Woolf International                          497         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Multi-product break-even chart
                 The following budget information refers to the two products of a company.
                                                         X                   Y
                     Sales volume                      15,000               5,000
                     Sales price per unit                 100                 120
                     Revenue                        1,500,000             600,000
                     Contribution per unit                 25                   9
                     Contribution                     375,000              45,000
                     Fixed costs                                                                315,000
                 A profit volume chart to show the break-even point can be constructed as follows:
                     Step 1: C/S ratio                     ₦                      ₦
                     Sales price per unit                 100                    120
                     Contribution per unit                  25                    9
                     C/S ratio                             0.25                 0.075
                     Step 2: Ranking                           1                   2
                     Step 3: Profit volume chart
                     Product   Revenue             Cumulative          Contribution            Cumulative
                                                   revenue                                     profit or loss
                                                                                                (315,000)
                          X    1,500,000           1,500,000           375,000                     60,000
                          Y    600,000             2,100,000           45,000                      105,000
                 This information can be plotted as follows:
© Emile Woolf International                         498            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
5      IMPORTANCE AND WEAKNESSES OF CVP ANALYSIS
         Section overview
          Introduction to multi-product break-even analysis
          Multi-product break-even analysis – weighted average unit approach
             Multi-product break-even analysis – Batch approach
             Margin of safety
             Target profit
             Multi-product break-even charts
       5.1 Importance of CVP analysis
               The profit made by an organisation is a function of sales volume, selling price,
               variable cost per unit and fixed costs.
               CVP analysis provides a valuable insight into the relationship between costs,
               revenues and profit at various levels of activity. This can focus attention on those
               factors which might be controllable and which might have an impact on profit.
               It allows a manager to understand the profit impact of decisions under
               consideration. For example, a manager could use the model to understand the
               profit impact of dropping selling price in order to try to increase sales volume
               (subject, of course, to the availability of information on the relationship between
               price and volume). Thus, CVP analysis can provide important information for:
                      sales strategies;
                      cost control; and
                      decision making.
               It allows managers to understand the minimum number of items that need to be
               sold (given the information about sales price and costs) in order to generate
               profit. This can be very useful when launching new products.
               CVP analysis provides a focus on the effects of differing levels of activity on the
               financial results of a business. Production costs are often known with a degree of
               accuracy but sales volume is much more difficult to predict. It is relatively straight
               forward for managers to flex the model to show the possible impact of different
               sales volumes in the future.
© Emile Woolf International                       499          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       5.2 Weaknesses of CVP analysis
               CVP analysis rests on a series of simplifying assumptions. These assumptions
               are a weakness of the technique to the extent that they may not hold true in
               reality.
                 Assumptions                                Comment
                 Costs are either fixed or variable and     It can be difficult to classify costs as
                 can be identified.                         either fixed or variable. Some costs
                                                            are semi-variable in nature.
                 The variable cost per unit is constant     This might be true over a given range
                 at all levels of output                    but the analysis might provide
                                                            answers outside the range. For
                                                            example, the management might be
                                                            confident of the variable cost per unit
                                                            up to 10,000 units per annum but a
                                                            target profit might require production
                                                            of 15,000 units thus undermining the
                                                            analysis.
                                                            Variable cost per unit might be
                                                            affected by the level of activity. For
                                                            example, if a factory is operating near
                                                            capacity it might be necessary to pay
                                                            workers an overtime premium to fulfil
                                                            new orders.
                                                            On the other hand, the assumption
                                                            ignores the possibility of possible
                                                            economies of scale at higher levels of
                                                            activity.
                 Total fixed costs are constant at all      This might be true over a given range
                 levels of output.                          but the analysis might provide
                                                            answers outside the range.
                                                            This ignores the possibility of possible
                                                            economies of scale at higher levels of
                                                            activity.
                 The sales price per unit is constant for   Sales price is often adjusted to take
                 every unit of product sold.                account of market conditions. This
                                                            would undermine decisions taken on
                                                            the basis of the original analysis.
                 Companies make and sell a single           Neither of these assumptions would
                 product or several products in             hold out in practice.
                 constant ratios to each other.
               Furthermore, CVP analysis ignores the uncertainty inherent in the estimates of
               costs and revenues.
© Emile Woolf International                        500          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                             Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
6      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve break-even
             Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve break-even
             Calculate the margin of safety associated with a given level of production in terms
              of the number of units sold or revenue
             Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve a target profit
             Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve a target profit
© Emile Woolf International                      501          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                           1
         1       Contribution per unit = 60% × ₦80 = ₦48
                 Fixed costs = ₦360,000
                 Break-even point = ₦360,000/₦48 per unit = 7,500 units
                 Budgeted sales = 8,000 units
                 Margin of safety = (8,000 – 7,500) units = 500 units
                 As a percentage of budgeted sales, the margin of safety is (500/8,000) ×
                 100% = 6.25%.
         2       (a)     Contribution/sales ratio = 60%
                         Therefore variable costs/sales ratio = 40%.
                         Variable cost per unit = ₦20
                         Therefore sales price per unit = ₦20/0.40 = ₦50.
                         Contribution per unit = ₦50 – ₦20 = ₦30.
                                                                                                     ₦
                 Budgeted contribution (8,000 × ₦30)                                           240,000
                 Budgeted fixed costs (8,000 × ₦25)                                            200,000
                 Budgeted profit, current year                                                   40,000
                 (b)     Sales price next year = ₦50 × 1.06 = ₦53 per unit
                         Variable cost per unit next year = ₦20 × 1.05 = ₦21
                         Therefore contribution per unit next year = ₦53 – ₦21 = ₦32
                                                                                                      ₦
                 Target profit next year                                                         40,000
                 Fixed costs next year (200,000 × 1.10)                                        220,000
                 Target contribution for same profit as in the current year                    260,000
                 Therefore target sales next year = ₦260,000/₦32 per unit = 8,125 units.
© Emile Woolf International                         502          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
         Solutions                                                                                               1
         3       (a)     Break-even point = ₦48,000/0.40 = ₦120,000 (sales revenue).
                         Margin of safety (in sales revenue) = ₦140,000 – ₦120,000 =
                         ₦20,000.
                         Selling price per unit = ₦10.
                         Margin of safety (in units) = ₦20,000/₦10 = 2,000 units.
                 (b)     (i)   The margin of safety is 6.25%. Therefore the break-even volume
                               of sales = 93.75% of budgeted sales = 0.9375 × ₦128,000 =
                               ₦120,000
                                                                     Budget                Break-even
                                                                          ₦                         ₦
                                     Sales                          128,000                  120,000
                                     Profit                           2,000                         0
                                     Total costs                    126,000                  120,000
                               This gives us the information to calculate fixed and variable
                               costs, using high/low analysis.
                                                                              ₦                 ₦ Cost
                                                                        Revenue
                                     High: Total cost at                128,000        =      126,000
                                     Low: Total cost at                 120,000        =      120,000
                                     Difference: Variable cost of         8,000        =        6,000
                               Therefore variable costs = ₦6,000/₦8,000 = 0.75 or 75% of
                               sales revenue.
                                  Substitute in high or low equation                               Cost
                                                                                                   ₦
                                  Total cost at ₦128,000 revenue                             126,000
                                  Variable cost at ₦128,000 revenue (× 0.75)                  96,000
                                  Therefore fixed costs                                       30,000
© Emile Woolf International                         503             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solution                                                                                            1
         Alternative approach
         3           (ii) At sales of ₦128,000, profit is ₦2,000.
                              The contribution/sales ratio = 100% – 75% = 25% or 0.25.
                              To increase profit by ₦3,000 to ₦5,000 each month, the increase
                              in sales must be:
                              (Increase in profit and contribution) ÷ C/S ratio
                              = ₦3,000/0.25 = ₦12,000.
                              Sales must increase from ₦128,000 (by ₦12,000) to ₦140,000
                              each month.
                              Alternative approach to the answer
                                                                                                 ₦
                                    Target profit                                            5,000
                                    Fixed costs                                             30,000
                                    Target contribution                                     35,000
                                    C/S ratio                                               0.25
                                    Therefore sales required (₦35,000/0.25)             ₦140,000
© Emile Woolf International                         504          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                               Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis
         Solutions                                                                                             2
                 (a)
                 Workings
                                                              Sales
                                           Sales         (at ₦150)              Profit
                                           units                 ₦                ₦
                                         18,000          2,700,000          330,000
                                         12,000          1,800,000          (30,000)
                 Difference               6,000            900,000          360,000
                 An increase in sales from 12,000 units to 18,000 units results in an increase
                 of ₦900,000 in revenue and ₦360,000 in contribution and profit.
                 From this, we can calculate that the contribution is ₦60 per unit
                 (₦360,000/6,000) and the C/S ratio is 0.40 (₦360,000/₦900,000).
                 Variable costs are therefore 0.6 or 60% of sales.
                 To draw a break-even chart, we need to know the fixed costs.
                 Substitute in high or low equation
                 When sales are 18,000 units:                                                      ₦
                 Sales (at ₦150 each)                                                      2,700,000
                 Variable cost (sales  60%)                                               1,620,000
                 Contribution (sales  40%)                                                1,080,000
                 Profit                                                                      330,000
                 Therefore fixed costs                                                        750,000
                 When sales are 18,000 units:                                                          ₦
                 Fixed costs                                                                  750,000
                 Variable cost (see above)                                                 1,620,000
                 Total costs                                                               2,370,000
© Emile Woolf International                        505          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solution (continued)                                                                                 2
               (b)     Break-even point = Fixed costs ÷ C/S ratio
                       = ₦750,000/0.40 = ₦1,875,000
                       Break-even point in units = ₦1,875,000/₦150 per unit = 12,500 units.
                       If budgeted sales are 15,000 units, the margin of safety is 2,500 units
                       (15,000 – 12,500).
                       This is 1/6 or 16.7% of the budgeted sales volume.
         Solutions                                                                                              3
         The weighted average contribution per unit is:
                                    ₦6,200,000/20,000 units = ₦310 per unit
         Break-even as a number of units is given by:
         Fixed costs/Contribution per unit = ₦6,000,000/₦310 = 19,355 units
         These units are in the ratio of 10:6:4 (or 50%: 30% 20%)
         Therefore, the weighted average revenue per unit is:
                                   ₦11,300,000/20,000 units = ₦565 per unit
         The break-even revenue is therefore 19,354.84 units  ₦565 = ₦10,935,485
         The calculations of the sales volume of P, Q and R and the revenue from those sales can
         be calculated as follows:
                                        Units        P (50%)            Q (30%)               R (20%)
               Break-even              19,355           9,677.5            5,806.5             3871
               Revenue per unit                            ₦250                 ₦400           ₦1,600
               Revenue                              ₦2,419,355        ₦2,322,581           ₦6,193,549
               Total revenue                                                               ₦10,935,485
© Emile Woolf International                         506           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                    15
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                          CHAPTER
                                     Limiting factors
 Contents
 1 Costs for decision making
 2 Limiting factor decisions
 3 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International    507    The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             d     Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
                   i     Single constraint situation including make or buy
Exam context
This chapter explains the concept of limiting factors, how to identify them and how to
formulate an optimum production plan when there is a single limiting factor.
Problems involving more than one limiting factors are solved using linear programming. This
is covered in the next chapter.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the issue of limiting factors
      Identify limiting factors
      Carry out limiting factor analysis to formulate an optimal production plan (i.e. the
       production plan that maximises contribution and hence profit) in circumstances where
       there is a single limiting factor
© Emile Woolf International                        508          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 15: Limiting factors
1      COSTS FOR DECISION MAKING
         Section overview
             Management information for making decisions
             Using marginal costing for decision-making
       1.1     Management information for making decisions
               One of the functions of management is to make decisions about how to run the
               business. Decisions involve making a choice about what should be done,
               between different possible options. To help them make good-quality decisions,
               managers need reliable and relevant information.
               Both financial and non-financial information is needed to make decisions. This
               chapter (and the chapters that follow) concentrate mainly on financial information
               for decision-making, but it is useful to remember that factors of a non-financial
               nature will often influence the choices that managers make.
               Since it is often assumed that the aim of a business should be to maximise
               profits, financial information to assist managers with decision-making will consist
               mainly of information about revenues and costs.
               Information for decision-making is different from information about historical
               costs. This is because decisions are concerned with the future, not what has
               happened in the past.
               The following principles of relevant costs and revenues should be applied to all
               decision-making by management.
                      Information about costs and revenues should be about future costs and
                       future revenues.
                      Decisions should be concerned with cash and cash flow. Only those costs
                       and revenues that represent cash flow are relevant to decision-making.
                       Non-cash items of cost or revenue, such as depreciation or absorbed fixed
                       overheads, are not relevant for decision-making. The conventions of
                       financial accounting and financial reporting, such as the accruals concept,
                       are irrelevant for business decisions.
                      It is assumed for the purpose of providing cost information for decision-
                       making that the aim or objective is to maximise profit.
                      Historical costs are irrelevant for decision-making, because they are not
                       future costs. Costs that have been incurred in the past are ‘sunk costs’:
                       they have already happened, and any decision taken now cannot affect
                       what has already happened in the past.
               A useful definition of relevant costs and revenues is as follows:
                 Definition
                 Relevant costs and revenues are future cash flows that would arise as a direct
                 consequence of a decision being taken.
© Emile Woolf International                        509          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       1.2     Using marginal costing for decision-making
               It is often assumed that marginal costs are relevant costs for the purpose of
               decision-making.
                      The marginal cost of a product is the extra cost that would be incurred by
                       making and selling one extra unit of the product.
                      Similarly, the marginal cost of an extra hour of direct labour work is the
                       additional cost that would be incurred if a direct labour employee worked
                       one extra hour. When direct labour is a variable cost, paid by the hour, the
                       marginal cost is the variable cost of the direct labour wages plus any
                       variable overhead cost related to direct labour hours.
               This chapter focuses on decision-making when there are limiting factors that
               restrict operational capabilities. Decision-making techniques for limiting factor
               situations are based on the following assumptions:
                      The objective is to maximise profit and this is achieved by maximising
                       contribution;
                      marginal costs (variable costs) are the only relevant costs to consider in the
                       model: and
                      fixed costs will be the same whatever decision is taken; therefore fixed
                       costs are not relevant to the decision.
© Emile Woolf International                        510          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 15: Limiting factors
2      LIMITING FACTOR DECISIONS
         Section overview
             Limiting factor: the issue
             Identifying limiting factors
             Maximising profit when there is a single limiting factor
       2.1     Limiting factor: the issue
               It is often assumed in budgeting that a company can produce as many units of its
               products (or services) as is necessary to meet the available sales demand. Sales
               demand is therefore normally the factor that sets a limit on the volume of
               production and sales in each period.
               Sometimes, however, there could be a shortage of a key production resource,
               such as an item of direct materials, or skilled labour, or machine capacity. In
               these circumstances, the factor setting a limit to the volume of sales and profit in
               a particular period is the availability of the scarce resource, because sales are
               restricted by the amount that the company can produce.
                 Definition: Limiting factor
                 This is the item that restricts or constraints the production or sale of a product or
                 service.
               If the company makes just one product and a production resource is in limited
               supply, profit is maximised by making as many units of the product as possible
               with the limited resources available.
               However, when a company makes and sells more than one different product with
               the same scarce resource, a budgeting problem is to decide how many of each
               different product to make and sell in order to maximise profits.
       2.2     Identifying limiting factors
               A question might tell you that there is a restricted supply of a resource without
               telling you which one it is.
               In this case you must identify the limiting factor by calculating the budgeted
               availability of each resource and the amount of the resource that is needed to
               meet the available sales demand.
© Emile Woolf International                        511          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Identifying a limiting factor
                 A company manufactures and sells two products, Product X and Product Y which
                 are both manufactured using two different machines.
                 The time taken to make each product together with the maximum machine time
                 availability and contribution per unit and demands are as follows:
                                                                                           Hours
                       Product                         X                Y                available
                       Machine type 1             10 minutes      6 minutes per         3,000 hours
                                                    per unit           unit
                                                  (6 per hour)    (10 per hour)
                       Machine type 2            5 minutes per     12 minutes           4,200 hours
                                                      unit           per unit
                                                 (12 per hour)     (5 per hour)
                       Sales demand in units        12,000           15,000
                       Which machine is the limiting factor is identified by calculating the time
                       needed to meet the total demands for both goods and comparing that to
                       the machine time available:
                                                                Machine type 1 Machine type 2
                                                                   (hours)             (hours)
                       12,000 ÷ 6 per hour                          2,000
                       12,000 ÷ 12 per hour                                                 1,000
                       Making 15,000 units of Y would use:
                       15,000 ÷ 10 per hour                         1,500
                       15,000 ÷ 5 per hour                                                  3,000
                       Total hours needed to meet
                       maximum demand                               3,500                   4,000
                       Total hours available                        3,000                   4,200
                       Therefore, machine 1 time is the limiting factor
© Emile Woolf International                         512          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 15: Limiting factors
       2.3     Maximising profit when there is a single limiting factor
               When there is just one limiting factor (other than sales demand), total profit will
               be maximised in a period by maximising the total contribution earned with the
               available scarce resources.
               The approach is to select products for manufacture and sale according to the
               contribution per unit of scarce resource in that product.
               Step 1: Calculate the contribution per unit of each type of good produced.
               Step 2: Identify the scarce resource.
               Step 3: Calculate the amount of scarce resource used by each type of product.
               Step 4: Divide the contribution earned by the scarce resource used by that
               product (project or item of goods) to give the contribution per unit of scarce
               resource for that product (project or item of goods).
               Step 5: Rank the products (projects or items of goods) in order of the contribution
               per unit of scarce resource.
               Step 6: Construct a production plan based on this ranking. The planned output
               and sales are decided by working down through the priority list until all the units
               of the limiting factor (scarce resource) have been used.
                 Example: Limiting factor analysis
                 A company manufactures and sells two products, Product X and Product Y which
                 are both manufactured using two different machines.
                 The time taken to make each product together with the maximum machine time
                 availability and contribution per unit and demands are as follows:
                                                                                           Hours
                       Product                        X                Y                 available
                       Machine type 1            10 minutes      6 minutes per          3,000 hours
                                                   per unit           unit
                                                 (6 per hour)    (10 per hour)
                       Machine type 2           5 minutes per     12 minutes            4,200 hours
                                                     unit           per unit
                                                (12 per hour)     (5 per hour)
                       Contribution per unit          ₦7                ₦5
                       Sales demand in units        12,000            15,000
                       Given that machine 1 is a limiting factor the optimal production plan
                       (that which maximises annual contribution and hence profit) can be
                       found as follows:
                       Step 1: Calculate the contribution per unit of goods produced (given)
                       Step 2: Identify scarce resource (given as machine 1 in this case)
                       Step 3: Calculate the amount of scarce resource used to make each type
                       of product (given in this case)
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Performance management
                 Example (continued): Limiting factor analysis
                       Step 4: Contribution per unit of scarce resource (machine time)
                       Product                                           X             Y
                       Contribution per unit                            ₦7            ₦5
                       Machine type 1 time per unit                  10 minutes           6 minutes
                       Contribution per hour (Machine type 1)             ₦42                 ₦50
                       Step 5: Ranking                                    2nd                 1st
                       The products should be made and sold in the order Y and then X, up to
                       the total sales demand for each product and until the available machine
                       1 time is used completely.
                       Step 6: Construct a production plan to maximise contribution
                                                    Machine 1     Contribution       Total
                        Product    Sales units     hours used       per unit      contribution
                                                                       ₦                ₦
                       Y (1 )
                           st        15,000           1,500            5            75,000
                                   (maximum)
                       X (2nd)        9,000           1,500            7            63,000
                                                    (balance)
                                                      3,000                               138,000
                       Note: The plan is constructed as follows.
                       Y is ranked first so the company needs to make as many of these as
                       possible. The most in can sell is 15,000 units which would take 1,500
                       hours (10 per hour) to make. The company has 3,000 hours available so
                       all of these can be made.
                       The company now has 1,500 hours left. X is ranked second and the most
                       of X that can be sold is 12,000 units. This would use 2,000 hours (6 per
                       hour). This means that only 9,000 units of X can be made (found as
                       1,500 units at 6 per hour or 12,000 units  1,500 hours/2,000 hours).
© Emile Woolf International                        514          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 15: Limiting factors
                 Practice question                                                                           1
                       A company makes four products, A, B, C and D, using the same direct
                       labour work force on all the products.
                       The company has no inventory of finished goods.
                       Direct labour is paid ₦12 per hour.
                       To meet the sales demand in full would require 12,000 hours of direct
                       labour time.
                       Only 6,000 direct labour hours are available during the year.
                       Budgeted data for the company is as follows:
                       Product                             A         B              C              D
                       Annual sales demand
                       (units)                        4,000       5,000          8,000          4,000
                                                            ₦        ₦              ₦              ₦
                       Direct materials cost              3.0       6.0           5.0             6.0
                       Direct labour cost                 6.0     12.0            3.0             9.0
                       Variable overhead                  2.0      4.0            1.0             3.0
                       Fixed overhead                     3.0       6.0           2.0             4.0
                       Full cost                      14.0        28.0          11.0            22.0
                       Sales price                    15.5        29.0          11.5            27.0
                       Profit per unit                 1.5         1.0           0.5             5.0
                       Calculate the optimal production plan
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                         2
                       A company makes four products, W, X, Y and Z, using the same direct
                       material in the manufacture of all the products.
                       Budgeted data for one month is as follows:
                       Product                     W               X          Y            Z
                       Monthly sales             400             400       600          300
                       demand (units)
                                                   ₦               ₦         ₦             ₦
                       Direct materials
                       cost                      500             400       800          600
                       Direct labour cost        400             600       300          500
                       Variable overhead         100             150        75          125
                       Fixed overhead            800           1200        600        1,000
                       Full cost               1,800           2,350     1,775        2,225
                       Sales price             5,000           3,150     5,975        5,425
                       Profit per unit         3,200             800     4,200        3,200
                       Due to restricted supply, only ₦780,000 of direct materials will be
                       available during the month.
                       Identify the quantities of production and sales of each product that
                       would maximise monthly profit.
               Tutorial note
               This question does not tell you the amount of material but it does give you its
               value. The analysis can proceed in the usual way using contribution per value of
               material rather than contribution per amount of material.
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                                                                                  Chapter 15: Limiting factors
3      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the issue of limiting factors
             Identify limiting factors
             Carry out limiting factor analysis to formulate an optimal production plan (i.e. the
              production plan that maximises contribution and hence profit) in circumstances
              where there is a single limiting factor
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Performance management
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                                              1
                 Step 1: Calculate the contribution per unit of goods produced
                 Product                                   A          B        C                                    D
                 Sales price                            15.5        29.0     11.5                                  27.0
                 Direct materials cost                                   3.0            6.0           5.0            6.0
                 Direct labour cost                                      6.0           12.0           3.0            9.0
                 Variable overhead                                       2.0             4.0          1.0            3.0
                 Variable cost per unit                                (11.0)         (22.0)         (9.0)         (18.0)
                 Contribution per unit                                   4.5            7.0           2.5            9.0
                 Step 2: Identify scarce resource (given as labour in this case)
                 Step 3: Labour hours per unit
                 (total labour cost/labour cost per hour)                6/12           12/12         3/12           9/12
                                                                        0.5              1            0.25           0.75
                 Step 4: Contribution per hour
                 (contribution per unit/ labour hours per unit           4.5/0.5         7/1          2.5/0.25       9/0.75
                 Contribution per hour (₦)                              9                7          10             12
                 Step 5: Ranking                         3rd        4th      2nd         1st
                 The products should be made and sold in the order D, C, A and then B, up to
                 the total sales demand for each product and until all the available direct
                 labour hours (limiting factor resources) are used up
                 Step 6: Construct a production plan to maximise contribution
                                                 Direct labour Contribution                                    Total
                    Product       Sales units     hours used       per unit                                 contribution
                                                                      ₦                                           ₦
                 D (1st)             4,000           3,000           9.0                                      36,000
                                  (maximum)
                 C (2nd)             8,000           2,000           2.5                                      20,000
                                  (maximum)
                 A (3 )
                     rd              2,000           1,000           4.5                                         9,000
                                   (balance)
                                                                   6,000                                      65,000
© Emile Woolf International                                      518               The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                      Chapter 15: Limiting factors
         Solution (continued)                                                                                  1
                 Note: The plan is constructed as follows:
                 D is ranked first so the company needs to make as many of these as
                 possible. The most it can sell is 4,000 units which would take 3,000 hours
                 (0.75 hours per unit) to make. The company has 6,000 hours available so all
                 of these can be made.
                 The company now has 3,000 hours left. C is ranked second and the most of C
                 that can be sold is 8,000 units. This would use 2,000 hours (0.25 hours per
                 unit).
                 The company now has 1,000 hours left. A is ranked third and the most of
                 these that can be sold is 4,000 units. However, this would use 2,000 hours
                 (0.5 hours per unit) so only half of these can be made.
         Solution                                                                                              2
                                                                 W             X             Y            Z
                                                                 ₦           ₦            ₦             ₦
                 Sales price/unit                            5,000       3,150        5,975         5,425
                 Variable cost/unit                          1,000       1,150        1,175         1,225
                 Contribution per unit                       4,000       2,000        4,800         4,200
                 Direct materials per unit (₦)                 500         400           800           600
                 ₦ contribution per ₦1 direct material
                                                               8.0          5.0            6.0          7.0
                 Priority for making and selling                1st         4th            3rd         2nd
                                           Profit-maximising budget
                                          Direct                        Contribution            Total
                 Product                 materials       Sales units      per unit           contribution
                                                 ₦                                     ₦                 ₦
                 W (1st)                   200,000              400                4,000         1,600,000
                 Z (2nd)                   180,000              300                4,200         1,260,000
                 Y (3rd) - balance         400,000             500                 4,800         2,400,000
                                           780,000                                               5,260,000
© Emile Woolf International                          519           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                             16
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                   CHAPTER
                                       Linear programming
 Contents
 1 Linear programming
 2 Linear programming of business problems
 3 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International              521   The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance Management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             d     Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
                   ii    Multiple constraint situations involving linear programming using
                         simultaneous equations, graphical techniques and simplex method. (The
                         simplex method is limited to formulation of initial tableau and
                         interpretation of final tableau).
                         NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also required.
Exam context
This chapter explains linear programming, a technique concerned with the use of scarce
resources among various competing activities in such a way as to maximise (or minimise)
the outcome expressed as a given objective.
Section 1 of this chapter explains linear inequalities and how they might be plotted in a
coordinate system. This is done by changing them to linear equalities by plotting them at the
maximum (or minimum) values they can achieve. Once plotted the linear inequalities define
a region in which all feasible solutions must be. Anything outside this feasible region is not
possible.
Section 2 shows how this concept can be extended into problem solving. It shows how to
identify constraints and how to plot them to establish a feasible region. It continues by
explaining several methods of establishing the optimal point on this region.
Section 3 extends linear programming into practical business problems.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the basic concepts of linear programming
      Explain the meaning of objective function and constraints in linear programming
      Formulate a linear programmes
      Solve linear programming problems to identify the optimal solution when there is more
       than one constraint
© Emile Woolf International                       522          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 16: Linear programming
1      LINEAR PROGRAMMING
         Section overview
             Two or more limiting factors
             Formulating constraints
             Plotting constraints
       1.1 Two or more limiting factors
               There may be more than one scarce resource or limiting factor. When there is
               more than one limiting factor (other than sales demand for the products), the
               contribution-maximising plan cannot be identified simply by ranking products in
               order of contribution per unit of limiting factor, because the ranking provided by
               each limiting factor could be different.
               The problem is still to decide what mix of products should be made and sold in
               order to maximise profits. It can be formulated and solved as a linear
               programming problem.
               Linear programming is a mathematical method for determining a way to achieve
               the best outcome (such as maximum profit or lowest cost) subject to a number of
               limiting factors (constraints).
                      A linear programming problem involves maximising or minimising a linear
                       function (the objective function) subject to linear constraints.
                      Both the constraints and the “best outcome” are represented as linear
                       relationships.
               What constitutes the best outcome depends on the objective. The equation
               constructed to represent the best outcome is known as the objective function.
               Typical examples would be to work out the maximum profit from making two sorts
               of goods when resources needed to make the goods are limited or the minimum
               cost for which two different projects are completed.
               Overall approach
               Formulate the problem:
                      Step 1: Define variables.
                      Step 2: Formulate the objective function
                      Step 3: Formulate the constraints.
               Solve the problem:
               Step 4: Plot the constraints on a graph
               Step 5: Identify the feasible region. This is an area that represents the
               combinations of x and y that are possible in the light of the constraints.
               Step 6: Identify the values of x and y that lead to the optimum value of the
               objective function. This might be a maximum or minimum value depending on the
               objective. There are different methods available to find this combination of values
               of x and y.
               This chapter will firstly discuss some of the above steps in a little more detail
               before continuing to demonstrate their full use to solve a problem.
© Emile Woolf International                        523         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance Management
       1.2 Formulating constraints
               Define variables
               The first step in any formulation is to define variables for the outcome that you
               are trying to optimise. For example, if the question is about which combination of
               products will maximise profit, a variable must be defined for the number of each
               type of product in the final solution.
               The defined variable can then be sued to formulate the objective function and
               constraints. This section is going to say a little more about the formulation of
               constraints.
               Construct constraints
               A separate constraint must be identified for each item that might put a limitation
               on the objective function.
               Each constraint, like the objective function, is expressed as a formula. Each
               constraint must also specify the amount of the limit or constraint.
                      For a maximum limit, the constraint must be expressed as ‘must be equal
                       to or less than’.
                      For a minimum limit, the constraint must be expressed as ‘must be equal
                       to or more than’.
                 Example: Formulate constraints – maximum demand
                       Type of constraint         Illustration
                       Maximum limit:             Maximum sales demand for Product X of
                                                  5,000 units
                       Define variables           Let x be the number of Product X made.
                       Constraint expressed as:                    x ≤ 5,000
                 Example: Formulate constraints – Constraints with two variables
                       Type of constraint         Illustration
                       Constraints with two        A company makes two products, X and Y.
                       variables                   It takes 2 hours to make one unit of X and 3
                                                   hours to make one unit of Y.
                                                   Only 18,000 direct labour hours are
                                                   available.
                      Define variables             Let x be the number of Product X made and
                                                  let y be the number of Product Y made.
                       Constraint expressed as:                  2x + 3y ≤ 18,000
© Emile Woolf International                        524           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 16: Linear programming
                 Example: Formulate constraints – Minimum production allowed
                       Type of constraint          Illustration
                       Minimum limit:              There is a requirement to supply a customer
                                                   with at least 2,000 units of Product X
                       Define variables            Let x be the number of Product X made.
                       Constraint expressed as:                      x ≥ 2,000
                 Example: Formulate constraints – Non-negativity
                       Type of constraint         Illustration
                       Non-negativity constraints It is not possible to make a negative
                                                  number of products.
                       Define variables           Let x be the number of Product X made and
                                                  let y be the number of Product Y made.
                       Constraint expressed as:        x, y ≥ 0 are called positive constraints
                                                   These constraints do not have to be plotted
                                                    as they are the x and y axes of the graph
       1.3 Plotting constraints
               The constraints in a linear programming problem can be drawn as straight lines
               on a graph, provided that there are just two variables in the problem (x and y).
               One axis of the graph represents values for one of the variables, and the other
               axis represents values for the second variable.
               The straight line for each constraint is the boundary edge of the constraint – its
               outer limit in the case of maximum amounts (and inner limit, in the case of
               minimum value constraints).
                    Example: Constraints
                          Constraint           Outer limit represented by the line
                          2x + 3y ≤ 600        2x + 3y = 600
                                               Combinations of values of x and y beyond this line
                                               on the graph (with higher values for x and y) will
                                               have a value in excess of 600. These exceed the
                                               limit of the constraint, and so cannot be feasible
                                               for a solution to the problem
               The constraint is drawn as a straight line. Two points are needed to draw a
               straight line on a graph. The easiest approach to finding the points is to set x to
               zero and calculate a value for y and then set y to zero and calculate a value for x.
© Emile Woolf International                        525          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance Management
                 Example: Plotting a constraint
                       2x + 3y = 600
                       when x = 0, y = 200 (600/3)         Joining these two points results in
                       when y = 0, x = 300 (600/2)         a line showing the values of x and y
                                                           that are the maximum possible
                                                           combined values that meet the
                                                           requirements of the constraint
© Emile Woolf International                          526       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 16: Linear programming
2      LINEAR PROGRAMMING OF BUSINESS PROBLEMS
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Maximising (or minimising) the objective function
             Slope of the objective function
             Simultaneous equations
             Minimising functions
       2.1 Introduction
               Decisions about what mix of products should be made and sold in order to
               maximise profits can be formulated and solved as linear programming problems.
               Overall approach (repeated here for your convenience)
                      Step 1: Define variables.
                      Step 2: Formulate the objective function
                      Step 3: Formulate the constraints.
               Step 4: Plot the constraints on a graph
               Step 5: Identify the feasible region. This is an area that represents the
               combinations of x and y that are possible in the light of the constraints.
               Step 6: Identify the values of x and y that lead to the optimum value of the
               objective function. This might be a maximum or minimum value depending on the
               objective. There are different methods available to find this combination of values
               of x and y.
                 Example: Linear programme
                 A company makes and sells two products, Product X and Product Y.
                 The following information is relevant:
                                                                        Product X              Product Y
                       Direct labour hours per unit                      6 hours                3 hours
                       Materials per unit                                  4 kgs                  8 kgs
                       Resource availability (per hour):
                       Total direct labour hours available (there
                       being more than one worker)                        36 hrs
                       Total material available                            48 kg
                       In addition, the company must make at least 2 units of product X and 3
                       units of Product Y every hour
                       What combination of Product X and Product Y per hour will maximise
                       contribution per hour?
© Emile Woolf International                           527           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance Management
                 Example continued: Linear programme
                       Step 1: Define the variables
                              Let x equal the number of units of Product X made
                              Let y equal the number of units of Product Y made
                       Step 2: Formulate the objective function
                       The objective is to maximise contribution given by: C = 50x + 40y
                       Step 3: Formulate the constraints
                       Constraint:
                       Labour hours            6x + 3y  36
                                                  Whatever value is found for x and y, the maximum
                                                  value that 6x + 3y can have is 36.
                       Material                   4x + 8y  48
                                                  Whatever value is found for x and y, maximum
                                                  value that 4x + 8y can have is 48
                       Minimum production:        x  2 (x must be at least 2)
                                                  y  3 (y must be at least 3)
                       Step 4: Plot the constraints
                       6x + 3y = 36            if x = 0 then y = 12 and if y = 0 then x = 6
                       4x + 8y = 48            if x = 0 then y = 6 and if y = 0 then x = 12
© Emile Woolf International                            528           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 16: Linear programming
                 Example: Linear programme
                 Step 5: Identify the feasible region
                 The feasible area for a solution to the problem is shown as the area ABCD.
                 Any combinations of values for x and y within this area can be achieved within
                 the limits of the constraints.
                 Combinations of values of x and y outside this area are not possible, given the
                 constraints that exist.
       2.2 Maximising (or minimising) the objective function
               To solve the linear programming problem, we now need to identify the feasible
               combination of values for x and y (the combination of x and y within the feasible
               area) that maximises the objective function.
               The combination of values for x and y that maximises the objective function will
               be a pair of values that lies somewhere along the outer edge of the feasible area.
               The solution is a combination of values for x and y that lies at one of the ‘corners’
               of the outer edge of the feasible area. In the graph above, the solution to the
               problem will be the values of x and y at A, B or C. The optimal solution cannot be
               at D as the objective function is maximisation and values of x and/or y are higher
               than those at D for each of the other points.
               The optimal combination of values of x and y can be found using one of the
               following:
                      corner point theorem;
                      slope of the objective function: or
                      simultaneous equations.
               Each of these will be demonstrated in turn but the simultaneous equation
               approach is by far the most commonly used.
               Corner point theorem
               The optimum solution lies at a corner of the feasible region. The approach
               involves calculating the value of x and y at each point and then substituting those
               values into the objective function to identify the optimum solution.
               In the previous example, the solution has to be at points A, B, C or D.
               Calculate the values of x and y at each of these points, using simultaneous
               equations if necessary to calculate the x and y values. Having established the
               values of x and y at each of the points, calculate the value of the objective
               function for each.
               The solution is the combination of values for x and y at the point where the total
               contribution is highest.
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Performance Management
                 Example: Linear programme – Optimum solution using corner point theorem
                 (continued).
                     The maximum value the objective function could take will be at either A or
                     B or C
                     Point A is at the intersection of:                 x=2                  1
                                                                           4x + 8y = 48                  2
                       Substitute for x in equation 2                     4(2) + 8y = 48
                                                                            8y = 48  8
                                                                               y=5
                       Point B is at the intersection of:                  4x + 8y = 48                  1
                                                                           6x + 3y = 36                  2
                       Multiply equation 1 buy 1.5                        6x + 12y = 72                  3
                       Subtract 2 from 3                                      9y = 36
                       Therefore                                              y=4
                       Substitute for y in equation 1                     4x +8(4) = 48
                                                                              4x = 16
                                                                                x=4
                       Point C is at the intersection of:                      y=3                       1
                                                                           6x + 3y = 36                  2
                       Substitute for y in equation 2                     6x + 3(3) = 36
                                                                               6x = 27
                                                                               x = 4.5
                       Substitute coordinates into objective function
                                                                          C = 50x + 40y
                       Point A (x = 2; y = 5)                            C = 50(2) + 40(5)
                                                                             C = 300
                       Point B (x = 4; y = 4)                           C = 50(4) + 40(4)
                                                                              C = 360
                       Point C (x = 4.5; y = 3)                         C = 50(4.5) + 40(3)
                                                                             C = 345
                       Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point B where x = 4 and y = 4
                       giving a value for the objective function of 360.
© Emile Woolf International                          530         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                Chapter 16: Linear programming
       2.3 Slope of the objective function
               There are two ways of using the slope of the objective line to find the optimum
               solution.
               Measuring slopes
               This approach involves estimating the slope of each constraint and the objective
               function and ranking them in order. The slope of the objective function will lie
               between those of two of the constraints. The optimum solution lies at the
               intersection of these two lines and the values of x and y at this point can be found
               as above.
                 Example: Optimum solution by measuring slopes
                       Objective function:            Rearranged                         Slope
                       C = 50x + 40y                 y = C/40  1.25x                    1.25
                       Constraints:
                       6x + 3y = 36                    y = 12  2x                        2
                       4x + 8y = 48                   y = 6  0.5x                        0.5
                       x=2                                                                 ∞
                       y=3                                                                 0
                       The slope of the objective function ( 1.25) lies between the slopes of 6x
                       + 3y = 36 ( 2) and 4x + 8y = 48 ( 0.5). The optimum solution is at the
                       intersection of these two lines.
                       Values of x and y at this point would then be calculated as above (x = 4
                       and y = 4) and the value of the objective function found.
© Emile Woolf International                         531           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance Management
               Plotting the objective function line and moving it from the source
               The example above showed that the objective function (C = 50x + 40y) can be
               rearranged to the standard form of the equation of a straight line (y = C/40 
               1.25x).
               This shows that the slope of the line is not affected by the value of the equation
               (C). This is useful to know as it means that we can set the equation to any value
               in order to plot the line of the objective function on the graph.
               The first step is to pick a value for the objective function and construct two pairs
               of coordinates so that the line of the objective function can be plotted. (The total
               value of the line does not matter as it does not affect the slope and that is what
               we are interested in).
                 Example: Plotting the objective function (C = 50x + 40y)
                       Let C = 200
                       200 = 50x + 40y      if x = 0 then y = 5 and if y = 0 then x = 4
                       This is plotted as the dotted line below.
               Note that the value of C in the above plot of the objective function is constant (at
               200). This means that any pair of values of x and y that fall on the line will result
               in the same value for the objective function (200). If a value higher than 200 had
               been used to plot the objective function it would have resulted in a line with the
               same slope but further out from the source (the intersection of the x and y axes).
               We are trying to maximise the value of the objective function so the next step is
               to identify the point in the feasible area where objective function line can be
               drawn as far from the origin of the graph as possible.
               This can be done by putting a ruler along the objective function line that you have
               drawn and moving it outwards, parallel to the line drawn, until that point where it
               just leaves the feasible area. This will be one of the corners of the feasible
               region. This is the combination of values of x and y that provides the solution to
               the linear programming problem.
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                                                                                Chapter 16: Linear programming
                 Example: Finding the optimum solution
                       Move a line parallel to the one that you have drawn until that point
                       where it is just about to leave the feasible region.
                       The optimum solution is at point B (as before). This is at the intersection
                       of 6x + 3y = 36 and 4x + 8y = 48.
                       The values of x and y can then be read off the graph and inserted into
                       the objective function. If the graph had been drawn accurately this
                       approach would give the same values for x and y as already found (i.e. x
                       = 4 and y = 4).
       2.4 Simultaneous equations
               Instead of reading the values of x and y at which the objective function is
               maximised off a graph they could be found by solving the equations of the lines
               simultaneously.
               You should know how to solve simultaneous equations. However, if you are not
               sure, the technique is to multiply one or both of the simultaneous equations so
               that you obtain two equations where the coefficient for either x or y is the same.
               You can then subtract one equation from the other (or possible add them
               together, if minus values for coefficients are involved). This will allow you to
               calculate the value for wither x or y.
               Having obtained a value for x or y, you can then substitute this value in any of the
               simultaneous equations to obtain the value for the other variable.
               In this example the simultaneous equations are solved as follows:
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                 Example: Finding the optimum solution
                 Solving for values of x and y at the intersection of two lines.
                 (1)    6x  3y = 36
                 (2)          4x  8y = 48
                                                                                                    Equation
                                                                            6x  3y = 36               1
                                                                            4x  8y = 48                 2
                       Multiply equation 2 by 1.5 (to make the y
                       coefficients the same)                              6x  12y = 72                 3
                       Subtract equation 1 from equation 3:
                       From above                                           6x  3y = 36                 1
                       Therefore                                               9y = 36                   3
                                                                                y=4
                       Substitute y = 4 into equation 1                     6x  3y = 36                 1
                                                                         6x  (3  4) = 36
                                                                            6x = 36  12
                                                                              6x = 24
                                                                                x=4
                       Conclusion: Contribution is maximised at the intersection of line 6x + 3y
                       = 36 and 4x + 8y = 48 giving a solution of x = 4 and y = 4.
                       The value of the objective function at this point is:
                                                    C = 50x + 40y
                                             C = (50  4) + (40  4) = 360
       2.5 Minimising functions
               The above illustration is one where the objective is to maximise the objective
               function. For example, this might relate to the combination of products that
               maximise profit.
               You may also face minimisation problems (for example, where the objective is to
               minimise costs). In this case the optimal solution is at the point in the feasible
               region that is closest to the origin. It is found using similar techniques to those
               above.
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                                                                                     Chapter 16: Linear programming
                 Practice question                                                                               1
                 Solve the following linear programme.
                     Objective function: Maximise C = 5x + 5y
                       Subject to the following constraints:
                       Direct labour               2x + 3y         ≤         6,000
                       Machine time                   4x + y       ≤         4,000
                       Sales demand, Y                  y          ≤         1,800
                       Non-negativity                  x, y        ≥           0
                 Practice question                                                                               2
                 Construct the constraints and the objective function taking into account the
                 following information:
                       A company makes and sells two products, Product X and Product Y.
                       The contribution per unit is ₦8 for Product X and ₦12 for Product Y.
                       The company wishes to maximise profit.
                       The expected sales demand is for 6,000 units of Product X and 4,000
                       units of Product Y.
                                                                  Product X       Product Y
                       Direct labour hours per unit                         3 hours             2 hours
                       Machine hours per unit                                1 hour            2.5 hours
                                                                         Total hours
                       Total direct labour hours available                   20,000
                       Total machine hours available                         12,000
                 Practice question                                                                               3
                 Lagos Manufacturing Limited makes and sells two versions of a product,
                 Mark 1 and Mark 2
                       Identify the quantities of Mark 1 and Mark 2 that should be made and
                       sold during the year in order to maximise profit and contribution.
                                                                     Mark 1         Mark 2
                       Direct materials per unit                              2 kgs               4 kgs
                       Direct labour hours per unit                         3 hours             2 hours
                       Maximum sales demand                               5,000 units          unlimited
                       Contribution per unit                              10 per unit         15 per unit
                                                               Resource available
                       Direct materials                           24,000 kgs
                       Direct labour hours                       18,000 hours
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3      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the basic concepts of linear programming
            Explain the meaning of objective function and constraints in linear programming
            Formulate a linear programme
            Solve linear programming problems to identify the optimal solution when there is
             more than one constraint
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                                                                               Chapter 16: Linear programming
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution – Plotting the constraints                                                                 1
         The non-negativity constraints are represented by the lines of the x axis and y axis.
         The other three constraints are drawn as follows, to produce a combination of values for
         x and y that meet all three constraints.
         These combinations of values for x and y represent the ‘feasible region’ on the graph for
         a solution to the problem.
         Workings
         (1)     Constraint: 2x + 3y = 6,000
                 When x = 0, y = 2,000. When y = 0, x = 3,000.
         (2)     Constraint: 4x + y = 4,000
                 When x = 0, y = 4,000. When y = 0, x = 1,000.
         (3)     Constraint : y = 1,800
         The feasible area for a solution to the problem is shown as the shaded area OABCD.
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         Solution – Plotting the objective function and identifying the optimum point.                   1
         Plotting the objective function – Let P = 10,000 (The value 10,000 is chosen as a
         convenient multiple of the values 5 and 5 that can be drawn clearly on the graph.)
         5x + 5y = 10,000
         x = 0, y = 2,000 and y = 0, x = 2,000.
         The combination of values of x and y that will maximise total contribution lies at point C
         on the graph.
         The combination of x and y at point C is therefore the solution to the linear programming
         problem.
         Solution – Solving the values of x and y that maximise the objective function and               1
         finding its maximum value
         The optimum solution is at point C. This can be found be examining the objective
         function line to see where it leaves the feasible region, using corner point theorem or by
         comparing the slope of the objective function to the slopes of the constraints (workings
         given on next page)
         Point C is at the intersection of: 2x + 3y = 6,000 and 4x + y = 4,000
         Solving for x and y:
                                                             2x + 3y      =      6,000     1
                                                              4x + y      =      4,000     2
             Multiply (1) by 2:                              4x + 6y      =     12,000     3
             Subtract (2) from (3):                            5y         =      8,000
             Therefore                                          y         =      1,600
               Substitute in equation (2)                4x + 1,600         =         4,000
                                                             4x             =         2,400
                                                              x             =           600
         The objective function is maximised by producing 600 units of X and 1,600 units of Y.
         The objective in this problem is to maximise 5x + 5y giving a maximum value of:
                                       5 (600) + 5 (1,600) = 11,000.
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                                                                              Chapter 16: Linear programming
         Solution – Optimum solution using corner point theorem.                                             1
                       Maximise C = 5x + 5y
                       Point A is where                                     y = 1,800
                                                                               x=0
                       Point B is at the intersection of:                   y = 1,800                   1
                                                                        2x + 3y = 6,000                 2
                                                                    2x + 3(1,800) = 6,000               3
                                                                           x = 300
                       Point C is at the intersection of:               2x + 3y = 6,000                 1
                                                                        4x + y = 4,000                  2
                       Solved previously at                         x = 600 and y = 1,600
                       Point D is at the intersection of:                      y=0                      1
                                                                         4x + y = 4,000                 2
                                                                         4x + 0 = 4,000
                                                                            x = 1,000
                       Substitute coordinates into objective function
                                                                           C = 5x + 5y
                       Point A (x = 0; y = 1,800)                    C = 5(0) + 5(1,800)
                                                                         C = 9,000
                       Point B (x = 300; y = 1,800)                 C = 5(300) + 5(1,800)
                                                                         C = 10,500
                       Point C (x = 600; y = 1,600                  C = 5(600) + 5(1,600)
                                                                           C = 11,000
                       Point D (x = 1,000; y = 0)                    C = 5(1,000) + 5(0)
                                                                         C = 5,000
                       Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point C where x = 600 and
                       y = 1,600 giving a value for the objective function of 11,000.
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Performance Management
         Solution – Optimum solution by measuring slopes                                                      1
                       Objective function:      Rearranged                   Slope
                                                            C
                       C = 5x + 5y                       y = /5 – x                       –1
                       Constraints:
                       y = 1,800                                                           0
                                                                  2
                       2x + 3y = 6,000             y = 2,000 – /3x                       – 2/3
                       4x + y = 4,000              y = 1,000 – 4x                        –4
                       The slope of the objective function ( 1) lies between the slopes of 2x
                       + 3y = 6,000 (– 2/3) and 4x + y = 4,000 ( 4). The optimum solution is
                       at the intersection of these two lines.
                       Values of x and y at this point have been calculated above.
         Solutions                                                                                            2
         A linear programming problem can be formulated as follows:
         Let the number of units (made and sold) of Product X be x
         Let the number of units (made and sold) of Product Y be y
         The objective function is to maximise total contribution given as C = 8x + 12y.
         Subject to the following constraints:
                   Direct labour                  3x + 2y             ≤               20,000
                   Machine time                  x + 2.5y             ≤               12,000
                   Sales demand, X                   x                ≤                6,000
                   Sales demand, Y                   y                ≤                4,000
                   Non-negativity                   x, y              ≥                    0
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                                                                               Chapter 16: Linear programming
                 Solution                                                                                    3
                       Define the constraints      Let the number of units of Mark 1 be x
                                                   Let the number of units of Mark 2 be y.
                       Formulate the objective     Maximise total contribution given by: C
                       function:                   = 10x + 15y
                                                     Let C = 60,000 to allow a plot of the line
                       Formulate constraints:
                       Direct materials              2x + 4y      ≤     24,000
                       Direct labour                 3x + 2y       ≤     18,000
                       Sales demand, Mark 1                x      ≤        5,000
                       Non-negativity                     x, y    ≥             0
                       Plot the constraints and objective function:
                       The feasible solutions are shown by the area 0ABCD in the graph.
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Performance Management
         Solution – Solving the values of x and y that maximise the objective function and                      3
         finding its maximum value
         The optimum solution is at point B. This can be found be examining the contribution line
         to see where it leaves the feasible region, using corner point theorem or by comparing
         the slope of the objective function to the slopes of the constraints (workings given on
         next page)
         Point B is at the intersection of: 2x + 4y = 24,000 and 3x + 2y = 18,000
         Solving for x and y:
                                                          2x + 4y        =     24,000   1
                                                          3x + 2y        =     18,000   2
           Multiply (1) by 2:                             6x + 4y        =     36,000   3
           Subtract (1) from (3):                           4x           =     12,000
           Therefore                                         x           =      3,000
           Substitute in equation (1)                     2 (3,000) + 4y           =       24,000
                                                                4y                 =       18,000
                                                                y                  =        4,500
         The total contribution is maximised by producing 3,000 units of X and 4,500 units of Y.
         The objective in this problem is to maximise 10x + 15y giving a maximum value of:
                                     10 (3,000) + 15 (4,500) = 97,500.
         Solution – Optimum solution by measuring slopes.                                                       3
                       Objective function:      Rearranged                     Slope
                                                          C    10
                       C = 10x + 15y                y = /15 – /15x                     – 10/15 = – 2/3
                       Constraints:
                       2x + 4y = 24,000            y = 6,000 – 0.5x                       – 0.5x
                                                                    3
                       3x + 2y = 18,000             y = 9,000 – /2x                        – 3/2
                       x = 5,000                                                            ∞
                       The slope of the objective function ( 2/3) lies between the slopes of 2x
                       + 4y = 24,000 ( 0.5) and 3x + 2y = 18,000 (– 3/2). The optimum
                       solution is at the intersection of these two lines.
                       Values of x and y at this point would then be calculated as above (x =
                       3,000 and y = 4,500) and the value of the objective function found.
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                                                                              Chapter 16: Linear programming
         Solution – Optimum solution using corner point theorem.                                             3
                       Maximise C = 10x + 15y
                       Point A is where                                 y = 6,000
                                                                           x=0
                       Point B is at the intersection of:          2x + 4y = 24,000
                                                                   3x + 2y = 18,000
                       Solved previously at                    x = 3,000 and y = 4,500
                       Point C is at the intersection of:               x = 5,000                       1
                                                                   3x + 2y = 18,000                     2
                       Substituting                             3(5,000) + 2y = 18,000
                                                                         y = 1500
                       Point D is where                                    y=0
                                                                        x = 5,000
                       Substitute coordinates into objective function
                                                                     C = 10x + 15y
                       Point A (x = 6,000; y = 0)               C = 10(0) + 15(6,000)
                                                                     C = 90,000
                       Point B (x = 3,000; y = 4,500)         C = 10(3,000) + 15(4,500)
                                                                     C = 97,500
                       Point C (x = 5,000; y = 1,500)         C = 10(5,000) + 15(1,500)
                                                                        C = 72,500
                       Point D (x = 5,000; y = 0)               C = 10(5,000) + 15(0)
                                                                        C = 50,000
                       Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point B where x = 3,000
                       and y = 4,500 giving a value for the objective function of 97,500.
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                                                         17
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                               CHAPTER
                                Further aspects of linear
                                           programming
 Contents
 1 Dual prices and slack variables
 2 Simplex
 3 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             d     Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
                   ii    Multiple constraint situations involving linear programming using
                         simultaneous equations, graphical techniques and simplex method. (The
                         simplex method is limited to formulation of initial tableau and
                         interpretation of final tableau).
                         NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also required.
Exam context
The previous chapter explained the basic linear programming technique.
This chapter takes the technique further in two areas.
Further aspects of linear programming
Section 1 of this chapter is about the dual price. This is the change in value of the objective
function which arises from a change in availability of scarce resource. It is usually expressed
as the increase in the objective function arising from the increase of one extra unit of a
scarce resource.
Section 2 explains the simplex method. This is illustrated using the same basic example
that was used in the previous chapter. It is quite complicated and you could be forgiven for
asking “why bother when we already have a perfectly good technique?” The reason is that
simplex can be used to solve linear programming problems where there are more than two
variables.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Calculate the dual price and explain what it means
      Set up the initial tableau for simplex
      Transform the tableau to a solution
      Interpret the final tableau
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                                                              Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
1      DUAL PRICES AND SLACK VARIABLES
         Section overview
          Introduction to dual prices
          Calculating dual prices
             Dual prices and business problems
             Limit to the dual price
             Slack
       1.1 Introduction to dual prices
               Linear programming is a method of solving for the optimum solution of a linear
               function subject to constraints identified as other linear functions. Some
               constraints are limiting but others are non-limiting.
               Every constraint has a dual price (also known as the shadow price). The dual
               price of a constraint is the change in the objective function that is brought about if
               a constraint is changed by a unit.
               The dual price of a non-limiting constraint is zero. This should be obvious. If a
               constraint is non-limiting, a small increase or decrease in its availability will have
               no impact on the value of the objective function.
               Dual prices of limiting resources always have a value. This may be positive or
               negative depending on whether it is calculated by reducing or increasing
               availability of a resource and whether a problem is maximising or minimising.
       1.2 Calculating dual prices
               Once the solution is found to a linear programme, it is easy to calculate dual
               prices.
               Dual prices are calculated one at a time by taking the following steps:
                      Increase the limit of the first limiting constraint by one unit.
                      Recalculate values for the variables.
                      Recalculate the value of the objective function and compare the new figure
                       to the value of the objective function in the original solution.
               The difference is the dual price of the constraint.
               This process is then repeated for the other constraint.
               This is illustrated below using information from an earlier example which is
               repeated here for your convenience.
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                 Example: Linear programme
                       Maximise         C = 50x + 40y
                       Subject to the constraints
                       6x + 3y  36                 Constraint 1
                       4x + 8y  48                 Constraint 2
                       x2                          x must be at least 2
                       y3                          y must be at least 3
                       Plot the constraints
                 Optimum solution is at point B
                       Point B is at the intersection of                         4x + 8y = 48              1
                                                                   and           6x + 3y = 36              2
                       Multiply equation 1 by 1.5                               6x + 12y = 72              3
                       Subtract 2 from 3                                             9y = 36
                                                                                      y=4
                       Substitute for y in equation 1                           4x +8(4) = 48
                                                                                     4x = 16
                                                                                      x=4
                       Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point B where x = 4 and y =
                       4 giving a value for the objective function of 360.
                       Point B is where x = 4 and y = 4                C = 50(4) + 40(4)
                                                                                C = 360
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                                                              Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
                 Example: Linear programme – dual price
                 Constraint 1
                 Increase the value of constraint 1 by 1
                     Point B is at the intersection of                          4x + 8y = 48               1
                                                                 and            6x + 3y = 37               2
                       Multiply equation 1 by 1.5                              6x + 12y = 72               3
                       Subtract 2 from 3                                           9y = 35
                                                                                  y = 3.889
                       Substitute for y in equation 1                       4x +8(3.889) = 48
                                                                              4x +31.11 = 48
                                                                                4x = 16.888
                                                                                 x = 4.222
                       Change in value of the objective function
                       New value:            C1 = 50(4.222) + 40(3.889)                    366.66
                       Original value (C)                                                  360.00
                                                        1
                       Dual price of constraint 1 = C – C =                                   6.66
                 Constraint 2
                 Increase the value of constraint 2 by 1
                     Point B is at the intersection of                       4x + 8y = 49                  1
                                                                             6x + 3y = 36                  2
                       Multiply equation 1 buy 1.5                         6x + 12y = 73.5                 3
                       Subtract 2 from 3                                       9y = 37.5
                                                                               y = 4.167
                       Substitute for y in equation 1                    4x +8(4.167) = 49
                                                                          4x +33.33 = 49
                                                                              4x = 14.67
                                                                               x = 3.917
                       Change in value of the objective function
                       New value:              C1 = 50(3.917) + 40(4.167)                 362.50
                       Original value (C)                                                 360.00
                                                        1
                       Dual price of constraint 2 = C – C =                                   2.50
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Performance management
       1.3 Dual prices and business problems
               The dual price of a constraint is always expressed in terms of the units of that
               constraint. Thus, the dual price of a labour constraint is expressed in terms of an
               amount of currency per hour.
               What the amount actually means depends on the objective function. If the
               objective function is expressed in terms of profit (or contribution), the dual price
               per hour will also be expressed in terms of profit (or contribution) per hour.
               A common mistake is to say that the dual price is the maximum amount that a
               business would pay to acquire one extra unit of resource. This is incorrect as the
               dual price is expressed in terms of profit which already includes the basic cost of
               that unit. In fact, the dual price is the maximum premium that a business would
               pay for an extra unit of resource above and beyond the basic price of that unit.
                 Example: Meaning of dual price
                 An hour of labour costs ₦100.
                 The objective function is expressed in terms of contribution.
                 The dual price of labour is found to be ₦30.
                 This means that one extra hour of labour increases the contribution by ₦30.
                 The contribution already includes the cost of labour so this extra ₦30 is after
                 taking the cost of labour into account.
                 The business would be prepared to pay up to a maximum of ₦30 (₦100 + ₦30) for
                 one extra hour of labour. Beyond this price, contribution would be reduced.
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                                                              Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
                 Practice question                                                                            1
                 This is a continuation of a question from the previous chapter.
                 Lagos Manufacturing Limited makes and sells two versions of a product
                 called Mark 1 and Mark 2.
                       The company used linear programming based on the following
                       information to calculate the product mix that would maximise profit
                       and contribution:
                                                                   Mark 1                  Mark 2
                       Direct materials per unit                      2 kg                   4 kg
                       Direct labour hours per unit               3 hours                 2 hours
                       Maximum sales demand                     5,000 units               unlimited
                       Contribution per unit                    ₦10 per unit ₦15 per unit
                                                            Resource available
                       Direct materials                          24,000 kg
                       Direct labour hours                     18,000 hours
                       The optimal solution was found to be at the intersection of the
                       following constraints.
                       Direct materials                                2x + 4y = 24,000
                       Direct labour                                         3x + 2y = 18,000
                       The contribution resulting from this product mix was obtained as
                       follows:
                       Solving the above equations showed the optimal product mix to be:
                       Mark 1 (x)                                                     3,000 units
                       Mark 2 (y)                                                     4,500 units
                       The contribution resulting from this product mix was:
                                                      C = 10x + 15y
                                          C = 10 (3,000) + 15 (4,500) = 97,500
                       Calculate the dual price of direct materials and the dual price of direct
                       labour.
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Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                           2
                 A company makes two products B and C. Product B earns a contribution of
                 ₦10 per unit and a unit of Product C earns a contribution of ₦30.
                 The following resources are used to make one unit of each product:
                                            Product B         Product C              Maximum
                                                                                     resource
                                                                                     available
                       Machine type 1       30 minutes        10 minutes          15 hours per day
                       Machine type 2       40 minutes        45 minutes          30 hours per day
                       Skilled labour       20 minutes        30 minutes          15 hours per hay
                       The maximum sales demand for C is 20 units per day. The sales demand
                       for Product B is unlimited.
                       Calculate the optimum production plan for the company and the dual
                       prices of resources. (Hint: Remember that non-limiting constraints have a
                       dual price of zero).
       1.4 Limit to the dual price
               The dual price of a limiting resource applies only to additional quantities of the
               resource for as long as it remains a limiting factor.
               Eventually, if more and more units of a scarce resource are made available, a
               point will be reached when it ceases to be an effective limiting factor, and a
               different constraint becomes a limiting factor instead. When this point is reached,
               the dual price for additional units of the resource will become zero.
       1.5 Slack
               Slack refers to the amount of a constraint that is not used in the optimal solution
               to a linear programming problem.
               Only non-limiting resources have slack. Limiting resources are fully utilised so
               never have any slack.
               The amount of slack in any non-limiting resources is easily found by substituting
               the optimum product mix into the equation for that resource. This would show
               how much of that resource was needed for the optimum solution. This could then
               be compared to the amount of resource available to give the slack.
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                                                           Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
2      SIMPLEX
         Section overview
          Preliminary information
          Background to simplex method
             Simplex technique: Constructing the initial tableau
             Simplex technique: First transformation
             Simplex technique: Second transformation
             Interpretation of the final tableau
             Summary
       2.1 Preliminary information
               This section does not explain the simplex method. Instead, it introduces and
               explains certain ideas which will seem completely unrelated but which you will
               find useful when you come to try to understand the simplex method.
               Matrices
               A matrix is a rectangular array of numbers consisting of a number of rows and
               columns. Matrices are an important tool used in solving all kinds of mathematical
               problems. Matrices are not in your syllabus so very little will be explained here
               except what you need to know.
               An identity matrix is one where the number of rows is the same as the number of
               columns and the elements in the leading diagonal are all equal to one with all the
               other elements being equal to zero. (The leading diagonal is the one that slants
               down from the top left hand corner to the bottom right hand corner).
               The following are examples of identity matrices:
                 Example: Identity matrices:
                                         Matrix A            Matrix B
                                                             1     0 0
                                          [1   0]
                                                            [0     1 0]
                                           0   1
                                                             0     0 1
               Identity matrices have several important uses but what has been mentioned
               above is all you need to know.
               Basic and non-basic variables
               Algebra is used to describe relationships between variables and on some
               occasions to solve for values of those variables.
               Consider the following:
               It is easy to find the value of x when it is contained in a single equation with no
               other unknowns. For example x + 40 = 100
               It is not so easy to solve for x in an equation where there are two unknowns. For
               example, x + y =100.
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               However, we could solve for x if we assign a value to y. In other words, we could
               say what the value of x would be given a certain value of y.
               As a general statement, if there are more variables than the number of equations
               that contain those variables the number of variables must be reduced to the
               number of equations by having values assigned to them. The easiest value to
               assign is zero.
                      The variables to which a value (zero) is assigned are called non-basic
                       variables.
                      The variables which are calculated after values are assigned to others are
                       called the basic variables.
               This might be a little difficult to understand. What it means is that if there are four
               unknowns (say a, b, c and d) which appear in only three equations, a value must
               be assigned to one of the variables (say a, b, c or d) as a mechanism to allow the
               calculation of values for the others. Suppose a was set to be equal to zero.
                      b, c and d are called basic variables.
                      a is a non-basic variable.
               Please do not worry if all of this seems a little mysterious. You probably have
               never had to do this before and the truth is that you could learn to do simplex
               without knowing it simply by following a procedure. However, this information will
               allow you to understand what the starting point of simplex is all about.
       2.2 Background to simplex method
               So far (in the previous chapter) linear programmes were solved for problems
               where there were two unknowns. In cases like this, the problem can be
               represented graphically as we need a dimension (y axis and x axis) for each
               unknown so that constraints containing the two unknowns can be drawn as a
               straight line.
               If there are three or more unknowns things become a little trickier to imagine. If
               there are three variables then the value of each variable would change in two
               directions in response to changes in the other two variables. In this case, an
               equation containing the three unknowns would be drawn as a plane (flat service).
               The following is a simple example of this:
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                                                               Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
                 Illustration: 3 dimensional (3d) plot of equation with 3 variables
                                                           y=x + z
               It is easy to imagine other equations being drawn in the same way to generate a
               feasible volume.
               When we face problems with 4 or more variables, it becomes impossible to
               visualise them in a diagrammatic way. A mathematician would not even try, but
               be happy in the knowledge that he or she can describe the information
               mathematically.
               Simplex is a technique that can be used to solve linear programmes with any
               number of variables. It is quite tricky to use but it is usually carried out using a
               computer programme. However, you might be asked to demonstrate an
               understanding of a simple example.
               An example with just two unknowns will be used to illustrate the technique. This
               is because it becomes progressively more difficult to keep track of what is
               happening as the number of unknowns increases but the process is just the
               same for any number of unknowns.
               Simplex
               Simplex is a tabular solution procedure for solving linear programmes.
               Simplex works by establishing an initial table that represents a corner of the
               feasible region and then moves to the next point. The direction of movement is
               decided by which of the directions has the biggest impact on the objective
               function.
                      The starting point (called the initial tableau) is constructed to show the
                       situation at the origin of the feasible area/volume where x and y are both
                       zero and the value of the objective function is therefore zero. This is
                       described as the initial feasible solution. It is the starting point for finding the
                       optimum point in the feasible region.
                      The table is then transformed to calculate the value of the objective function
                       at the next “corner” of the feasible area/volume.
                      This continues until the optimum is found.
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               This is best explained with an example. We will use an example based on one
               that you have already seen in the previous chapter.
       2.3 Simplex technique: Constructing the initial tableau
                 Example: Simplex (starting data)
                 Assume that the following information relates to the profit and constraints of a two
                 product business.
                     Maximise         Z = 50x + 40y
                     Subject to the constraints
                       6x + 3y  36
                       4x + 8y  48
               Step 1: Inequalities into equalities
               The first thing to do is to change the inequalities into equalities. This is done by
               introducing a slack variable into each equation. A slack variable represents the
               amount of unused resource in the equation. Of course, this will turn out to be
               zero in the final solution if the equation is a limiting constraint.
               The constraints become as follows:
                 Example: Simplex: Inequalities changed to equalities
                                      6x   +    3y   +     S1                 =     36
                                      4x   +    8y              +     S2      =     48
               The equations are said to be in the standard form. This means (in part) that they
               now equate to a value.
               There are 4 variables (x, y, S1 and S2) but only 2 constraints. It is only possible
               to solve for the same number of variables as there are constraints. A zero value
               must be assigned to two of the constraints and then values of the others can be
               calculated.
               Zero value is assigned to x and to y (they become the non-basic variables). Note
               that you do not have to do anything here. This is simply explaining what the first
               table means. In the above equations if x and y are both zero, S1 = 36 and S2 =
               48. S1 and S2 are now the basic variables. Just remember this for a minute. We
               will return to it.
               The objective function must also be expressed in the standard form. This is easy
               to do by rearranging the equation.
                 Example: Simplex: Rearrange the objective function into the standard form
                                                      Z = 50x + 40y
                                               Therefore: Z – 50x – 40y = 0
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                                                            Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
               If this business did not face any constraints it would make as many items of x as
               possible. This is because each item of x made provides a higher reward (50)
               than each item of y(40).
               Expressing the objective function in the standard form does not change this.
               However, it does change the sign associated with the profit of each item. The
               profit from an item of x is represented as a value of 50 but this is only because
               we have rearranged the function. Items of x are still more profitable than items of
               y.
               Step 2: Assemble the initial tableau
               The resultant equations can then be used to construct a table called the initial
               tableau.
               This table consists of three rows, one for each constraint and one for the
               objective function. (If there were more constraints there would be more rows).
               The table consists of a series of columns. The first column is the variable that
               each equation solves to and the last column is the value that the equation solves
               to. In between there is a column for each unknown. The heading for these
               columns is the unknown variable being solved for. The content of each columns
               is the coefficient of each unknown.
                 Example: Simplex: Initial tableau
                         Basic
                       variables      x          y          S1           S2         Quantity
                              S1      6          3          1             0             36
                              S2      4          8          0             1             48
                              Z      50        40         0             0              0
               It is worth spending some time to ensure that you understand what this initial
               tableau means.
               Each line represents an equation. The first column highlights what is being
               solved in the equation set out in the remaining columns. For example the first line
               means:
                                             S1 = 6x + 3y +S1 + 0 = 36
               In other words, the tableau shows the values of the basic constraints (S1 and S2)
               and of the objective function when both x and y are equal to zero. This is at the
               origin of the x and y axes.
                      The first line says that S1 (in the left hand column) = 36 (in the right hand
                       column) when x = zero (therefore 6x = zero) and y = zero (therefore 3y =
                       zero). The slack variable is 36 being all of the available resource because
                       no products are being made.
                      The second line says that S2 (in the left hand column) = 48 (in the right
                       hand column) when x = zero (therefore 4x = zero) and y = zero (therefore
                       8y = zero). The slack variable is 48 being all of the available resource
                       because no products are being made.
                      The value of the objective function (Z) is zero as nothing is being produced.
               Note that the rows and columns for the basic variables (S1 and S2) form a 2 by 2
               identity matrix.
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Performance management
       2.4 Simplex technique: First transformation
               The simplex approach involves moving to an adjacent point on the feasible
               region in order to see the impact on the objective function.
               This is done in order of which movement has the biggest positive impact on the
               objective function. Note that this is shown as the biggest negative value in the Z
               row.
               Moving to an adjacent point involves redrafting the table to represent that point.
               One of the non-basic variables (i.e. the one with the most negative value on the Z
               row) becomes basic and replaces an existing basic variable. (The number of
               rows and columns remains constant.
                      The basic variable being replaced is called the exit variable.
                      The non-basic variable replacing the original basic variable is called the
                       entry variable.
                 Example: Simplex: Initial tableau
                         Basic
                       variables      x          y          S1           S2         Quantity
                              S1      6          3          1             0             36
                              S2      4          8          0             1             48
                              Z      50        40         0             0              0
               Identifying the entry variable
               The largest negative value in the Z row is 50. This is in the x column. This
               column is now called the pivotal column and x is the entry variable.
                 Example: Simplex: First transformation – entry variable
                         Basic
                       variables      x          y          S1           S2         Quantity
                              S1      6          3          1             0             36
                              S2      4          8          0             1             48
                              Z      50        40         0             0              0
               Identifying the exit variable
               The quantity of each constraint in the Quantity column is divided by the value in
               that line in the pivotal column.
               Every number in the quantity column is divided by each equivalent value from the
               same line in the pivotal column. If a value is negative the answer is ignored and
               there is no entry made for it.
               The row with the lowest figure resulting from this division is the exit variable. It
               leaves the solution to be replaced by x. This is the S1 row in the example (see
               below).
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                                                          Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
                 Example: Simplex: First transformation – exit variable
                         Basic
                       variables    x          y          S1           S2         Quantity
                                                                                                  36/6 =
                              S1    6          3          1             0             36            6
                                                                                                  48/4 =
                              S2    4          8          0             1             48            12
                              Z    50        40         0             0              0
               Replacing the exit variable with the entry variable
               This is the most difficult part to understand so we will proceed step by step.
               The values for entry variable in the pivotal column must be restated to the values
               that were in the column for the exit variable. They take the exit variable’s place as
               part of the identity matrix. In other words, the S1 column reading from the top
               was 1, 0 ,0. The values in the x column must become 1, 0, 0.
               However, each row is an equation. If one value in a row changes (as they are
               due to replacing values in the x column), other figures must be changed in order
               to keep the equation in balance.
               We want to change each equation so that we end up with the table looking as
               follows:
                 Example: Simplex: First transformation – to show how the pivotal column should
                 look after the transformation.
                         Basic
                       variables    x          y          S1           S2         Quantity
                               x    1          ?          ?             ?              ?
                              S2    0          ?          ?             ?              ?
                              Z     0          ?          ?             ?              ?
               The value in the pivotal row of the pivotal (x) column must be changed from 6 to
               1. This is achieved by dividing the original value by 6. Therefore, the equation in
               the first row (now the x row) can be maintained if every other number is also
               divided by 6.
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                 Example: Simplex: First transformation to show how the pivotal row looks after
                 the transformation.
                         Basic
                       variables     x            y            S1             S2         Quantity
                              x      1            3/6          1 /6            0          36/6   =6
                              S2     0            ?             ?              ?              ?
                              Z      0            ?             ?              ?              ?
               The value in the second row of the x column must be changed from 4 to 0. This
               is achieved by taking the pivotal row (either before or after the transformation),
               perhaps adjusting it so that the coefficients of x match and then adding it to or
               subtracting it from the second row. This is difficult to understand so we will show
               you in a number of ways.
                 Example: Working – Adjusting the second row so that the value in the x column is
                 zero.
                 Multiply values in the pivotal row before its transformation by 2/3 and add the
                 resultant row to the second row.
                         Basic
                       variables     x            y            S1             S2         Quantity
                              x      6            3             1              0             36
                        Multiply   2/3      2/3           2/3         2/3          2/3
                           =        4            2          2/3             0            24
                       S2 before     4             8           0               1             48
                        S2 after     0            6           2/3             1             24
               Or it could have been done as follows:
                 Example: Working – Adjusting the second row so that the value in the x column is
                 zero.
                 Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 4 and add the resultant
                 row to the second row.
                         Basic
                       variables     x            y            S1             S2         Quantity
                              x      1      3/6   = 0.5        1/6             0          36/6   =6
                        Multiply    4        4            4            4            4
                              =     4            2          2/3             0            24
                       S2 before     4             8            0              1             48
                        S2 after     0            6           2/3             1             24
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                                                               Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
               After the second row is transformed the table will look as follows:
                 Example: Simplex: First transformation after the pivotal row and the second row
                 have been transformed
                         Basic
                       variables     x            y            S1               S2         Quantity
                              x     1             3/6          1/6               0              6
                              S2    0             6           2/3               1             24
                              Z     0             ?               ?              ?              ?
               The same thing must be done for the Z row.
               The value in the x column in the Z row is 50 but this must be changed to zero.
               This represents the fact that all possible items of x are being made at this point
               so it is not possible to make any further contribution.
               The value in the x column in the Z row is changed to zero by taking the pivotal
               row (either before or after the transformation), perhaps adjusting it so that the
               coefficients of x match and then adding it to or subtracting it from the Z row.
                 Example: Adjusting the Z row so that the value in the x column is zero.
                 Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 50 and add the
                 resultant row to the second row.
                         Basic
                       variables     x             y           S1               S2         Quantity
                              x     1       3/6   = 0.5        1 /6              0          36/6   =6
                        Multiply    50        50             50              50            50
                              =     50            25          8   1/3            0            300
                       Z before    50        40                 0              0              0
                         Z after    0         15             8 1/3              0            300
               After the Z row is transformed the table will look as follows.
                 Example: Simplex: After the first transformation
                         Basic
                       variables     x            y            S1               S2         Quantity
                              x     1             3/6          1/6               0              6
                              S2    0             6           2/3               1             24
                              Z     0         15             8 1/3              0            300
               This is how the tableau looks at the end of the first transformation. It has moved
               to a corner of the feasible area where the largest possible number of X (6) are
               being made to give a contribution of 300. (Note that this is 6 units as in the right
               hand column above, at 50 per unit).
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               The process continues until there is no negative figure in the Z row. As can be
               seen above there is a negative figure in the Z row. This means that the objective
               function can take a higher value so this is not the optimal point.
       2.5 Simplex technique: Second transformation
               This will be carried out in exactly the same way as before but with less
               explanation.
                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation
                 Tableau brought forward after the first transformation
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y           S1             S2         Quantity
                              x     1         3/6          1/6             0              6
                              S2    0          6          2/3             1             24
                              Z     0         15         8 1/3            0            300
               Identify the pivotal column by choosing the column with the most negative figure.
                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal column
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y           S1             S2         Quantity
                              x     1         3/6          1/6             0              6
                              S2    0          6          2/3             1             24
                              Z     0         15         8 1/3            0            300
               The above shows that y is the entry variable.
               Next, identify the pivotal row by dividing each row in the quantity column by the
               value in the equivalent row in the pivotal column and identifying the lowest figure.
                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal row
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y           S1             S2         Quantity
                                                                                                     6÷ 3/6
                              x     1         3/6          1/6             0              6          = 12
                                                                                                     24/6 =
                              S2    0          6          2/3             1             24            4
                              Z     0         15         8 1/3            0            300
               The above shows that S2 is the exit variable
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                                                           Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
               Values in the y column must complete the identity matrix. That is to say they
               must look as follows:
                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal row
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y          S1                S2         Quantity
                              x     1          0           ?                 ?              ?
                              y     0          1           ?                 ?              ?
                              Z     0          0           ?                 ?              ?
               The value in the pivotal row of the pivotal (y) column must be changed from 6 to
               1. This is achieved by dividing the original value by 6. Therefore, the equation in
               the pivotal row (now the y row) can be maintained if every other number is also
               divided by 6.
                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal row
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y          S1                S2         Quantity
                              x     1          0           ?                 ?              ?
                              y     0          1         1/9               1 /6            4
                              Z     0          0           ?                 ?              ?
               The value in the first row of the pivotal column is 0.5 (3/6) but must become zero.
               This can be achieved by multiplying the pivotal row by  0.5 and adding the result
               to the first row.
                 Example: Working – Adjusting the first row so that the value in the y column is
                 zero.
                 Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 0.5 and add the
                 resultant row to the second row.
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y          S1                S2         Quantity
                              y     0          1         1/9               1/6             4
                        Multiply   0.5     0.5       0.5            0.5          0.5
                              =     0        0.5        1/18             1/12           2
                        x before    1       0.5 (3/6)     1 /6              0               6
                                                         4/18   =
                         x after    1          0          2 /9             1/12            4
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                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation – x row
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y           S1               S2         Quantity
                              x     1          0           2 /9            1/12            4
                              y     0          1           1/9             1/6             4
                              Z     0          0              ?                ?            ?
               The value in the Z row of the pivotal column is  15 but must become zero. This
               can be achieved by multiplying the pivotal row by 15 and adding the result to the
               Z row.
                 Example: Working – Adjusting the first row so that the value in the y column is
                 zero.
                 Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 0.5 and add the
                 resultant row to the second row.
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y           S1               S2         Quantity
                              y     0          1           1/9             1/6             4
                        Multiply    15        15         15              15            15
                              =     0          15          15/9           15/6            60
                                                          75/9 (8
                       Z before     0         15           1/3)               0          300
                                                          60/9 =
                                                          20/3 =         15/6   =2
                         Z after    0          0           62/3             1/2           360
                 Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Final tableau
                         Basic
                       variables     x         y           S1               S2         Quantity
                              x     1          0           2 /9            1/12            4
                              y     0          1           1/9             1/6             4
                              Z     0          0          6   2/3          2    1/2       360
               There is no negative figure in the Z row so this is an optimal solution.
               Comment
               The above process is complex. You may be forgiven for asking why anyone
               would use the technique to solve an example like this when it is so much easier
               using the techniques covered earlier. The answer is that nobody would use this
               technique to solve this example. The example has been used to explain the
               process. A more complex example could have been used but would have
               required further transformations.
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                                                                Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
               Also remember that this is usually carried out using a computer which reduces
               the effort to formulating the problem and inputting the data and then to
               interpreting the final tableau.
       2.6 Interpretation of the final tableau
                 Example: Simplex: Final tableau brought forward
                         Basic
                       variables                           S1         S2       Quantity
                              x                                                     4            Optimum
                              y                                                     4           product mix
                              Z    0        0          6 2/3         2 1/2         360
                                                                      
                                                       Dual          Dual                        Value of
                                                       price         price                       objective
                                                        of x          of y                      function at
                                                                                                  optimal
                                                                                                product mix
       2.7 Summary
               The example was worked in far more detail than would normally be used to
               answer a question.
               This section shows what a normal answer wold look like (ignoring the initial
               formulation of the equations).
                 Example: Step 1: Set up the initial tableau
                         Basic
                       variables    x            y              S1            S2         Quantity
                              S1    6           3               1              0             36
                              S2    4           8               0              1             48
                              Z    50          40             0              0              0
                 Example: Step 2: Identify entry and exit variables
                      Basic
                    variables      x         y         S1         S2                     Quantity
                                                                                                         36/6 =
                              S1    6           3               1              0             36            6
                                                                                                         48/4 =
                              S2    4           8               0              1             48            12
                              Z    50          40             0              0              0
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Performance management
                 Example: Step 3: First transformation
                         Basic
                       variables        x               y                S1               S2          Quantity
                              x         1              3/6               1/6               0              6
                              S2        0              6                2/3               1             24
                              Z         0              15              8   1/3            0            300
               There is a negative value in the objective function row so the solution is not
               optimum.
                 Example: Step 4: Second transformation
                         Basic
                       variables        x               y                S1               S2          Quantity
                              x         1              0                 2 /9             1/12           4
                              y         0              1                1/9              1/6             4
                              Z         0              0                6 2/3            2 1/2          360
               There is no negative figure in the Z row so this is an optimal solution.
                 Example: Step 5: Interpret the final tableau
                         Basic
                       variables                                   S1             S2       Quantity
                              x                                                                  4           Optimum
                              y                                                                  4          product mix
                              Z         0          0           6 2/3            2 1/2           360
                                                                                 
                                                               Dual             Dual                         Value of
                                                               price            price                        objective
                                                                of x             of y                       function at
                                                                                                              optimal
                                                                                                            product mix
                 Practice question: Simplex                                                                                 3
                       Maximise:
                       Z = 5a + 4b + 3c – d
                       Subject to:
                               2a           +b     +c              +2d             20
                                   a        + 2b   + 5c            + 3d            15
                                   -a       +b                     +2d             10
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                                                         Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
3      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Calculate the dual price and explain what it means
            Set up the initial tableau for simplex
            Transform the tableau to a solution
            Interpret the final tableau
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Performance management
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                          1
               Dual price of direct materials
                                                    2x + 4y               =        24,001              1
                                                    3x + 2y               =        18,000              2
               Multiply (2) by 2:                   6x + 4y               =        36,000              3
               Subtract (1) from (3):                   4x                =        11,999
               Therefore                                x                 =         2,999.75
               Substitute in equation (1)       2 (2,999.75) + 4y         =        24,001
                                                        4y                =        18,001.5
                                                        y                 =         4,500.375
                                        Contribution = 10x + 15y
                              Contribution = 10(2,999.75) + 15(4,500.375) =
               New contribution                                                    97,503.1
               Original contribution                                               97,500.0
               Dual price per                                                           3.1
               Dual price of direct labour
                                             2x + 4y                    =          24,000              1
                                             3x + 2y                    =          18,001              2
               Multiply (2) by 2:            6x + 4y                    =          36,002              3
               Subtract (1) from (3):        4x                         =          12,002
               Therefore                     x                          =           3,000.5
                Substitute in equation (1)   2 (3,000.5) + 4y           =          24,000
                                             4y                         =          17,999
                                             y                          =           4,499.75
                                        Contribution = 10x + 15y
                               Contribution = 10(3,000.5) + 15(4,499.75) =
               New contribution                                                    97,503.8
               Original contribution                                               97,500.0
               Dual price per                                                           3.8
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                                                              Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
         Solution                                                                                            2
         Let x = the number of units of Product B per day
         Let y = the number of units of Product C per day
         The objective function is to maximise the total contribution given by C = 10x + 30y.
         Subject to the constraints:
           Machine type 1                   30x + 10y ≤ 900
           Machine type 2                   40x + 45y ≤ 1,800
           Skilled labour                   20x + 30y ≤ 900
           Demand for C                     y ≤ 20
           Minimum production               x ≥ 0, y ≥ 0
         A graph can be drawn as follows to identify the feasible area for a solution. This is
         shown below. The feasible area is 0ABCD, and the optimal solution is at point A, point
         B, point C or point D
              y
             90         30x+10y=900
             40
             30
                                                     y=20
             20 A             B
                                           40x+45y=1,800
             10                   C
                                                  20x+30y=900
              0                        D
                                      30     45                                              x
                     10x+30y=300
                     (ISO – Contribution Line)
         An iso-contribution line 10x + 30y = 300 has been drawn to establish the slope of the
         objective function. This can be used to identify the optimal solution, which is at point B.
         At point B, the effective constraints are sales demand (y = 20) and skilled labour (20x +
         30y = 900).
         Since y = 20: 20x + (30  20) = 900
         Therefore 20x = 300 and x = 15.
         Total contribution at the optimal solution is therefore (15  ₦10) + (20  ₦30) = ₦750
         per day.
© Emile Woolf International                           569          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solution (continued)                                                                            2
               Dual price of skilled labour
                                                        y               =              20            1
                                                  20x + 30y             =             901            2
               Multiply (1) by 30                      30y              =             600            3
               Subtract (3) from (2):                  20x              =             301
               Therefore                                x               =              15.05
               x does not appear in the other limiting constraint. This remains as y = 20.
                                      Contribution = 10x + 30y
                              Contribution = 10(15.05) + 30(20) = 750.5
               New contribution                                                       750.5
               Original contribution                                                  750.0
               Dual price per                                                           0.5
               The dual price of skilled labour is therefore ₦0.50 per minute, or ₦30 per
               hour.
               Dual price of sales demand
                                                        y               =              21            1
                                                  20x + 30y             =             900            2
               Multiply (1) by 30                    30y                =             630            3
               Subtract (3) from (2):                  20x              =             270
               Therefore                                x               =              13.5
               x does not appear in the other limiting constraint. This remains as y = 21.
                                        Contribution = 10x + 30y
                                Contribution = 10(13.5) + 30(21) = 765
               New contribution                                                       765.5
               Original contribution                                                  750.0
               Dual price per                                                          15.0
               The dual price of sales demand for Product is therefore 15 per unit of
               demand.
               Dual price of non-limiting constraints
               In the optimal solution, the total available time on both machine type 1
               and machine type 2 is not fully used. This means that there is spare
               capacity on both types of machine and the dual price for both types of
               machine is zero.
© Emile Woolf International                      570          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                           Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming
         Solution                                                                                           3
         Initial tableau
               Basic
             variables        a     b       c          d     S1         S2         S3        Quantity
                 S1           2     1       1          2      1          0          0            20
                 S2           1     2       5          3      0          1          0            15
                 S3           -1    1       0          2      0          0          1            10
                  Z           -5   -4      -3          1      0          0          0             0
         Pivotal column and row
              Basic
            variables   a      b            c          d     S1         S2         S3        Quantity
                 S1           2     1       1          2      1          0          0            20
                 S2           1     2       5          3      0          1          0            15
                 S3           -1    1       0          2      0          0          1            10
                  Z           -5   -4      -3          1      0          0          0             0
         First transformation
              Basic
            variables    a          b       c          d     S1         S2         S3        Quantity
                  a           1    0.5     0.5         1     0.5         0          0            10
                 S2           0    1.5     4.5         2     -0.5        1          0             5
                 S3           0    1.5     0.5         3     0.5         0          1            20
                  Z           0    -1.5   -0.5         6     2.5         0          0            50
           There are negative values in the Z row so this is not the optimal solution.
         Pivotal column and row
               Basic
             variables        a     b       c          d     S1         S2         S3        Quantity
                  a           1    0.5     0.5         1     0.5         0          0            10
                 S2           0    1.5     4.5         2     -0.5        1          0             5
                 S3           0    1.5     0.5         3     0.5         0          1            20
                  Z           0    -1.5   -0.5         6     2.5         0          0            50
         Second transformation
               Basic
             variables        a     b       c          d     S1         S2         S3        Quantity
                  a           1     0      -1     0.33      0.67      -0.33         0           8.33
                  b           0     1       3     1.33      -0.33      0.67         0           3.33
                 S3           0     0      -4          1      1         -1          1            15
                  Z           0     0       4          8      2          1          0            55
             There are no negative values in the Z row so this is the optimal solution.
© Emile Woolf International                      571            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                     18
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                           CHAPTER
                                      Other decisions
 Contents
 1 Make-or-buy decisions
 2 Other short term decisions
 3 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International     573    The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             c     Apply relevant cost concept to short term management decisions including
                   make or buy, outsourcing, shut down, one-off contracts, adding a new
                   product line, sell or process further, product and segment profitability
                   analysis, etc.
Exam context
This chapter explains the application of relevant costing in further decision making
techniques.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Analyse relevant costs to decide whether to make or buy a good
      Analyse relevant costs to price contracts
      Analyse relevant costs to make shutdown decisions
      Analyse relevant costs to make further processing decisions
© Emile Woolf International                     574        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 18: Other decisions
1      MAKE-OR-BUY DECISIONS:
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Make-or-buy (outsource) decisions
             Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources
             Non-financial considerations
       1.1 Introduction
               Relevant costs can be applied to both short-term and long-term decisions.
                      Short-term decisions are decisions where the financial consequences occur
                       soon after the decision is taken. For example, a short-term decision may
                       result in an immediate increase in profit (additional net cash inflows), or an
                       increase in annual profits and cash flows.
                      A long-term decision is one where a capital investment may be required
                       and the benefits of the investment will be obtained over a period of several
                       years.
               The concept of relevant costs is the same for both short-term and long-term
               decisions, except that for long-term decisions the time value of money should
               also be taken into consideration.
               Examples of management decisions where relevant costing is used are:
                      One-off contract decisions: management might want to decide whether or
                       not to undertake a contract for a specified fixed price. If it is a one-off
                       contract, rather than regular production work, it would be worthwhile
                       undertaking the contract if the extra revenue from the contract is higher
                       than the relevant costs of doing the work (including any opportunity costs).
                      Make-or-buy decisions
                      Shutdown decisions
                      Joint product further processing decisions.
       1.2 Make-or-buy (outsource) decisions
               A make-or-buy decision is a decision about:
                      whether to make an item internally or to buy it from an external supplier, or
                      whether to do some work with internal resources, or to contract it out to
                       another organisation such as a sub-contractor or an outsourcing
                       organisation.
               The economic basis for the decision whether to make internally or whether to buy
               externally (outsource production) should be based on relevant costs. The
               preferred option from a financial viewpoint should be the one that has the lower
               relevant costs.
© Emile Woolf International                        575          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               A financial assessment of a make-or-buy decision typically involves a comparison
               of:
                      the costs that would be saved if the work is outsourced or sub-contracted,
                       and
                      the incremental costs that would be incurred by outsourcing the work.
                 Example: Make-or-buy decisions
                 A company manufactures a component that is included in a final product that it
                 also manufactures. Management have identified an external supplier who would
                 be willing to supply the component.
                 The variable cost of manufacturing the component internally is ₦100 and the
                 external supplier would be prepared to supply the components for ₦130 each.
                 It has been estimated that cash savings on general overhead expenditure will be
                 ₦48,000 each year if internal production is ended.
                 The company needs 1,000 units of the component each year.
                 Required
                 Should the company make or buy the component?
                 Answer
                 The annual relevant costs and benefits of a decision to buy the components
                 externally can be presented as follows:
                                                                                                  ₦
                     Extra costs of purchasing externally
                     (1,000 units  (₦130 - ₦100))                                           (30,000)
                     Cash savings in overhead expenditures                                   48,000
                     Net benefit from external purchasing (outsourcing) per year             18,000
                 Conclusion: The company would increase its profit by purchasing externally instead
                 of making the items in-house. The recommendation on financial considerations is
                 therefore to buy (outsource production), not make internally.
© Emile Woolf International                       576          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 18: Other decisions
       1.3 Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources
               A different situation arises when an entity is operating at full capacity, and has
               the opportunity to outsource some production in order to overcome the
               restrictions on its output and sales. For example a company might have a
               restriction, at least in the short-term, on machine capacity or on the availability of
               skilled labour. It can seek to overcome this problem by outsourcing some work to
               an external supplier who makes similar products and which has some spare
               machine time or labour capacity.
               In this type of situation, a relevant costing approach is to assume that the entity
               will:
                      seek to maximise its profits, and therefore
                      outsource some of the work, provided that profits will be increased as a
                       consequence.
               The decision is about which items to outsource, and which to retain in-house.
               The profit-maximising decision is to outsource those items where the costs of
               outsourcing will be the least.
               To identify the least-cost outsourcing arrangement, it is necessary to compare:
                      the additional costs of outsourcing production of an item with
                      the amount of the scarce resource that would be needed to make the item
                       in-house.
               Costs are minimised (and so profits are maximised) by outsourcing those items
               where the extra cost of outsourcing is the lowest per unit of scarce resource
               ‘saved’.
               The examples below illustrate the relevant costing technique required.
© Emile Woolf International                        577          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources
                 A contract cleaning company provides three services; daily office cleaning,
                 intensive cleaning of office space and minor repairs. However it has insufficient
                 resources to do all the work available, and wishes to use a sub-contractor to take
                 on some of the work.
                 Information relating to the different type of work is as follows:
                                             Average                                     Sub-
                                             labour      Budgeted     Variable         contractor
                                              hours       number      cost per         quote per
                                             per job      of jobs     job(₦)            job (₦)
                     Daily office cleaning      4          1,500        600                800
                     Intensive cleaning         6            400       1,080             1,500
                     Minor repairs              3            640        560              1,000
                 There are 8,000 labour hours available.
                 The services that are to be sub-contracted and the total monthly variable cost are
                 found as follows:
© Emile Woolf International                        578          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                       Chapter 18: Other decisions
                 Example (continued): Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources
                 The company can do all three types of job more cheaply with its own staff than by
                 hiring the sub-contractor. However provided that it earns more than ₦800 for a
                 daily office cleaning job, ₦1,500 for an intensive cleaning job and ₦1,000 for a
                 minor repairs job, it is profitable to use the sub-contractor to make up the
                 shortfall in in-house resources.
                 The problem is to decide which work to outsource/sub-contract. The ranking
                 should be established as follows:
                                                             Daily
                                                             office          Intensive          Minor
                                                            cleaning         cleaning           repairs
                                                                 ₦               ₦                 ₦
                     Cost of doing the work in-house            600            1,080              560
                     Cost of sub-contractor                     800            1,500             1,000
                     Extra cost per job (of outsourcing)        200             420               440
                     Hours saved by sub-contracting (÷)          4               6                 3
                     Extra cost per hour saved                  ₦50             ₦70              ₦140
                     Priority for outsourcing                   1st              2nd               3rd
                     Priority for doing work with own
                     resources                                  3rd              2nd               1st
                 Optimum plan
                                                                                               Total
                                                   Total labour        Budgeted            variable cost
                                                      hours              jobs                   (₦)
                                                                                                ₦
                     Minor repairs                      1,920             640                358,400
                     Intensive cleaning                 2,400             400                432,000
                     Office cleaning (balance)          3,680             920                552,000
                     Maximum labour hours
                     available                          8,000                               1,342,400
                     Sub-contract:
                     Office cleaning                                      580                 464,000
                                                                                            1,806,400
                     Note: The number of office cleaning jobs outsourced is the total number
                     (1,500) less those performed by own staff (920).
© Emile Woolf International                         579           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                          1
                 A company makes four products, W, X, Y and Z. All four products are made
                 on the same machines, and the machine capacity for the year at the
                 company’s factory is 3,500 hours.
                 The company is able to obtain any of these products in unlimited quantities
                 from a sub-contractor.
                 Budgeted data is as follows:
                     Product                               W           X             Y             Z
                     Annual sales demand (units)          4,000     6,000         3,000         5,000
                                                           ₦          ₦             ₦             ₦
                     Sales price per unit                 150        200           180           170
                     Variable cost per unit, in-house
                     manufacture                           50         70            60            70
                     Cost of external purchase
                     (outsourcing)                         80        118           105           110
                     Machine hours per unit, in-
                     house production                     0.25        0.5           0.3           0.4
                 Which items should be produced in-house and which should be outsourced?
                 Calculate the total cost associated with the optimal plan.
© Emile Woolf International                         580           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                   Chapter 18: Other decisions
       1.4 Non-financial considerations
               When relevant costs are used to make a decision, it is assumed that the decision
               should be based on financial considerations and whether the decision will add to
               profit (cash flows).
               In reality, however, managers are likely to think about non-financial issues as well
               as financial issues when making their decisions. The non-financial considerations
               in any decision will depend on the circumstances, and will vary from one decision
               to another. Non-financial considerations can influence a decision. In your
               examination, be prepared to identify relevant non-financial issues in a particular
               situation, and discuss their potential implications.
               Non-financial considerations that will often be relevant to a make-or-buy decision
               include the following:
                      When work is outsourced, the entity loses some control over the work. It
                       will rely on the external supplier to produce and supply the outsourced
                       items. There may be some risk that the external supplier will:
                             produce the outsourced items to a lower standard of quality, or
                             fail to meet delivery dates on schedule, so that production of the end-
                              product may be held up by a lack of components.
                      The entity will also lose some flexibility. If it needs to increase or reduce
                       supply of the outsourced item at short notice, it may be unable to do so
                       because of the terms of the agreement with the external supplier. For
                       example, the terms of the agreement may provide for the supply of a fixed
                       quantity of the outsourced item each month.
                      A decision to outsource work may have implications for employment within
                       the entity, and it may be necessary to make some employees redundant.
                       This will have cost implications, and could also adversely affect relations
                       between management and other employees.
                      It might be appropriate to think about the longer-term consequences of a
                       decision to outsource work. What might happen if the entity changes its
                       mind at some time in the future and decides either (a) to bring the work
                       back in-house or (b) to give the work to a different external supplier? The
                       problem might be that taking the work from the initial external provider and
                       placing it somewhere else might not be easy in practice, since the external
                       supplier might not be co-operative in helping with the removal of its work.
               The non-financial factors listed above are all reasons against outsourcing work.
               There might also be non-financial benefits from outsourcing work to an external
               supplier.
                      If the work that is outsourced is not specialised, or is outside the entity’s
                       main area of expertise, outsourcing work will enable management to focus
                       their efforts on those aspects of operations that the entity does best. For
                       example, it could be argued that activities such as the management of an
                       entity’s fleet of delivery vehicles, or the monthly payroll work, should be
                       outsourced because the entity itself has no special expertise on these
                       areas.
                      The external supplier, on the other hand, may have specialist expertise
                       which enables it to provide the outsourced products or services more
                       efficiently and effectively. For example a company might outsource all its IT
                       support operations, because it cannot recruit and retain IT specialists. An
                       external service provider, on the other hand, will employ IT specialists.
© Emile Woolf International                         581          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      OTHER SHORT TERM DECISIONS
         Section overview
          Applications of relevant costing
          One-off contract decisions
             Shutdown decisions
             Joint product further processing decisions
       2.1 Applications of relevant costing
               The principles of relevant costing were explained in the previous chapter.
               These principles can be applied to any type of management decision, not just
               make-or-buy decisions. Examples of other types of management decision where
               relevant costing may be used are:
                      One-off contract decisions
                      Shutdown decisions
                      Joint product further processing decisions.
       2.2 One-off contract decisions
               Management might have an opportunity to carry out a contract or job for a
               customer, where the job is ‘once only’ and will not be repeated in the future. The
               decision is therefore to decide whether to agree to do the job at the price offered
               by the customer, or to decide a selling price at which an incremental profit would
               be made.
               If it is a one-off contract, rather than regular production work, it would be
               worthwhile undertaking the contract if the extra revenue from the contract is
               higher than the relevant costs of doing the work (including any opportunity costs).
               The incremental profit from the one-off contract is the revenue that would be
               obtained minus the relevant costs.
               One-off contract decisions might occur when a company has spare capacity, and
               an opportunity arises to earn some extra profit. This type of analysis should not
               be applied to most contract decisions, however, because a company must earn
               sufficient profits in total to cover its fixed costs and make a profit. Relevant costs
               do not help management to decide what the size of the profit margin should be,
               in order to ensure that the company makes an overall profit from all its activities.
© Emile Woolf International                         582        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 18: Other decisions
                 Practice question                                                                           2
                       Contractor Nigeria Limited is deciding whether or not to proceed with
                       a one-off special contract for which it would receive a once-off
                       payment of
                       ₦200,000
                       Details of relevant costs are:
                       (a) The special contract requires 200 hours of labour at ₦600 per
                           hour. Employees possessing the necessary skills are already
                           employed by Contractor Nigeria Limited but are currently idle due
                           to a recent downturn in business.
                       (b) Materials X and Y will be used. 100 tonnes of material X will be
                           needed and sufficient material is in inventory as the material is in
                           common use by the company. Original cost of material in inventory
                           was ₦150 per tonne but it would cost ₦180 per tonne to replace if
                           used in this contract. Material Y is in inventory as a result of
                           previous over-purchasing. The original cost of material Y was
                           ₦50,000 but it has no other use. Unfortunately material B is toxic
                           and if not used in this contract Contractor Nigeria Limited must
                           pay ₦24,000 to have it disposed.
                       (c) The contract will require the use of a storage unit for three months.
                           Contractor is committed to rent the unit for one year at a rental of
                           ₦8,000 per month. The unit is not in use at present. However, a
                           neighbouring business has recently approached Contractor
                           Nigeria Limited offering to rent the unit from them for ₦11,000
                           per month.
                       (d) Overheads are absorbed at ₦750 per labour hour which consists of
                           ₦500 for fixed overhead and ₦250 for variable overhead. Total
                           fixed overheads are not expected to increase as a result of the
                           contract.
                       A trainee accountant has performed the following calculation which
                       shows that the contract will cost ₦359,000 to deliver and concluded
                       that the contract should therefore not be accepted for ₦200,000.
                                      Description                              Relevant cost
                                                                                    ₦
                                      Labour: 200 hours x ₦600                     120,000
                                      Material X: 100 tonnes x ₦150                  15,000
                                      Material Y: Original cost                      50,000
                                      Storage: 3 months x ₦8,000                     24,000
                                      Overheads: ₦750 x 200                        150,000
                                      Total                                        359,000
                       Calculate the relevant cost of the contract and advise whether the
                       contract should be accepted or not on financial grounds.
© Emile Woolf International                         583           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.3 Shutdown decisions
               A shutdown decision is a decision about whether or not to shut down a part of the
               operations of a company. From a financial viewpoint, an operation should be shut
               down if the benefits of shutdown exceed the relevant costs.
               A shutdown decision may be a long-term decision when there are large initial
               expenditures involved (for example, costs of making the work force redundant).
               For the purpose of the examination, however, any shutdown decision will be a
               short-term decision.
                 Example: Shutdown decisions
                  Afor Ukwu Nigeria Limited makes four products, P, Q, R and S. The budget for
                 next year is as follows:
                                                  P         Q               R             S         Total
                                              ₦000      ₦000           ₦000          ₦000         ₦000
                     Direct materials          300       500            400           700         1,900
                     Direct labour             400       800            600           400         2,200
                     Variable overheads        100       200            100           100           500
                                                800     1,500         1,100         1,200         4,600
                     Sales                    1,800     1,650         2,200         1,550         7,200
                     Contribution             1,000       150         1,100            350        2,600
                     Directly attributable
                     fixed costs              (400)     (250)          (300)         (300)      (1,250)
                     Share of general
                     fixed costs              (200)     (200)          (300)         (400)      (1,100)
                     Profit/(loss)             400       (300)           500         (350)           250
                 ‘Directly attributable fixed costs’ are cash expenditures that are directly
                 attributable to each individual product. These costs would be saved if operations
                 to make and sell the product were shut down.
                 Required
                 State with reasons whether any of the products should be withdrawn from the
                 market.
© Emile Woolf International                      584             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                               Chapter 18: Other decisions
                 Answer
                 From a financial viewpoint, a product should be withdrawn from the market if the
                 savings from closure exceed the benefits of continuing to make and sell the
                 product. If a product is withdrawn from the market, the company will lose the
                 contribution, but will save the directly attributable fixed costs.
                    Effect of shutdown                           P          Q          R      S
                                                                 ₦          ₦          ₦     ₦
                                                             ‘000        ‘000       ‘000  ‘000
                    Contribution forgone                  (1,000)       (150) (1,100)    (350)
                    Directly attributable fixed costs
                    Saved                                     400         250        300   300
                    Increase/(reduction) in annual
                    cash flows                              (600)         100      (800)   (50)
                 Product S makes a loss of ₦350,000 after allocation of general fixed overhead.
                 However, this is misleading as the allocation of general fixed overhead is not a
                 relevant cost. Stopping making product S would reduce annual cash flows
                 because the contribution lost would be greater than the savings in directly
                 attributable fixed costs.
                 However, withdrawal of product Q from the market would improve annual cash
                 flows by ₦100,000, and withdrawal is therefore recommended on the basis of
                 this financial analysis.
                 Decision recommended: Stop making and selling product Q but carry on making
                 and selling product S.
© Emile Woolf International                      585         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.4 Joint product further processing decisions
               Joint products are products manufactured from a common process. In some
               instances, a company might have a choice between:
                      selling the joint product as soon as it is output from the common process, or
                      processing the joint product further before selling it (at a higher price).
               This is a short-term decision, and the financial assessment should be made using
               relevant costs and revenues. The financial assessment should compare:
                      the revenue that will be obtained (less any selling costs) from selling the
                       joint product as soon as it is output from the common process, and
                      the revenue that will be obtained if the joint product is processed further,
                       less the incremental costs of further processing and then selling the
                       product.
               Applying relevant costing, the costs of the common process are irrelevant to the
               decision, because these costs will be incurred anyway, whatever the decision.
               The decision should be to further process the joint product if the extra revenue
               from further processing exceeds the extra (relevant) costs of the further
               processing.
                 Example: Joint product further processing decisions
                 A company produces two joint products from a common process. The costs of the
                 common process are ₦4,000 per 100 kilograms of input.
                 For every 100 kilograms of input to the common process, output consists of 40
                 kilograms of J1 and 60 kilograms of J2.
                 J1 can be sold for ₦100 per kilogram and J2 can be sold for ₦160 per kilogram.
                 Alternatively, J1 can be processed to make a finished product, F1.
                 Costs of further processing consist of variable costs of ₦60 per kilogram and
                 fixed costs of ₦1,200,000 per year.
                 Of these fixed costs, ₦960,000 would be directly attributable to the further
                 processing operations, and the remaining ₦240,000 would be an apportionment
                 of general fixed overhead costs.
                 The further processed product (F1) would have a selling price of ₦280 per
                 kilogram.
                 It is estimated that 15,000 kilograms of J1 will be produced each year. There are
                 no losses in any process.
                 The decision as to whether J1 be sold as soon as it is produced from the common
                 process, or further processed into Product F1 is made as follows:
© Emile Woolf International                         586           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                    Chapter 18: Other decisions
                 Example (continued) : Joint product further processing decisions
                 The common processing costs are irrelevant to the further processing decision.
                 The annual relevant costs and benefits of further processing JP1 are as follows:
                                                                                                  ₦
                     Revenue from selling FP1 (per kilogram)                                          280
                     Variable further processing cost                                                 (60)
                     Additional variable revenue from further processing                           220
                     Opportunity cost: sales of JP1 forgone                                       (100)
                     Benefit per kilogram from further processing                               120
                     Number of kilograms produced each year                                  15,000
                     Total annual benefits before directly attributable fixed
                     costs                                                              ₦1,800,000
                     Directly attributable fixed costs of further processing             ₦(960,000)
                     Net annual benefits of further processing                             ₦840,000
                 Recommendation: J1 should be processed to make F1, because this will increase
                 annual profit by ₦840,000.
© Emile Woolf International                         587           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
3      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Analyse relevant costs to decide whether to make or buy a good
             Analyse relevant costs to price contracts
             Analyse relevant costs to make shutdown decisions
             Analyse relevant costs to make further processing decisions
© Emile Woolf International                      588        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                       Chapter 18: Other decisions
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                               1
         The selling price for each product is higher than the variable cost of purchasing each
         product externally; therefore profit will be maximised by making the products in-house
         or purchasing them externally, up to the full amount of the annual sales demand.
                   Product                                W         X         Y        Z
                                                               ₦             ₦            ₦             ₦
                       Variable cost per unit, in-house
                       manufacture                             50           70            60           70
                       Cost of external purchase
                       (outsourcing)                           80          118           105          110
                       Extra cost of outsourcing, per
                       unit                                    30           48            45           40
                       Machine hours per unit, in-
                       house production (÷)                   0.25          0.5          0.3           0.4
                       Extra cost of outsourcing, per
                       machine hour saved                     ₦120         ₦96         ₦150          ₦100
                       Priority for outsourcing               3rd           1st          4th           2nd
                       Priority for in-house production       2nd           4th          1st           3rd
         The cost-minimising and profit-maximising budget is as follows:
                                                Machine                                Total variable
                       Product                   hours               Units                  cost
                       In-house:                                                              ₦
                         Y                           900             3,000                 180,000
                         W                         1,000             4,000                 200,000
                         Z (balance)               1,600             4,000                 280,000
                                                   3,500
                       Outsourced
                        Z                                            1,000                 110,000
                        X                                            6,000                 708,000
                       Total variable cost                                              1,478,000
© Emile Woolf International                             589          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solutions                                                                                         2
         (a) The relevant cost of labour is zero as no extra cost will be incurred as a result of this
             contract.
         (b) The relevant cost of a material that is used regularly is its replacement cost.
             Additional inventory of the material must be purchased for use in this contract. The
             relevant cost of material X is therefore ₦180 per tonne i.e. ₦180 x 100 = ₦18,000
              There is a relevant saving from using material Y from not having to pay the disposal
              cost of ₦24,000.
         (c) As Contractor is already committed to rent the storage unit for one year the monthly
             rental cost is not relevant to the contract. However, the opportunity cost is the
             foregone rental income that Contractor would have made from the neighbouring
             business for the three months needed for this contract. i.e. 3 x ₦11,000 = ₦33,000
         (d) The fixed overhead is not relevant because there is no increment to fixed overheads
             expected as a result of this contract. Therefore the relevant overhead cost is just the
             variable part of ₦250 per hour x 200 hours = ₦50,000
         So in total the total relevant cost is ₦82,000 as follows:
                              Description   Relevant cost
                                                 ₦
                              Labour                0
                              Material X      18,000
                              Material Y      (24,000)
                              Storage         33,000
                              Overheads       50,000
                              Total           77,000
         Conclusion: The contract should be accepted as it would make an incremental profit to
         Contractor of ₦123,000 (revenue of ₦200,000 less relevant costs of ₦77,000).
© Emile Woolf International                        590         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                   19
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                         CHAPTER
                                                                            Pricing
 Contents
 1 Factors that influence price
 2 Price elasticity of demand
 3 Demand equations, cost functions and maximising
   profit
 4 Price strategies
 5 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International              591         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             e     Explain different pricing strategies, including:
                   i     Cost-plus;
                   ii    Skimming;
                   iii   Market penetration;
                   iv    Complementary product;
                   v     Product-line;
                   vi    Volume discounting; and
                   vii Market discrimination.
             f     Calculate and present numerically and graphically the optimum selling price
                   for a product or service using given data and information by applying relevant
                   cost and economic models and advise management.
Exam context
This chapter explains different approaches that may be used to set prices.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the factors that influence selling prices
      Explain and calculate price elasticity
      Derive cost and demand functions
      Calculate the price (and therefore quantity) that leads to profit maximisation
      Explain different types of pricing strategy
© Emile Woolf International                         592          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                Chapter19: Pricing
1      FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE PRICE
         Section overview
          The nature of pricing decisions
          Demand and supply
             Cost
             Income of customers
             Product life cycle
             Quality
             Other factors influencing price
       1.1     The nature of pricing decisions
               For many companies, pricing decisions are amongst the most important
               decisions management must make. The selling price for a company’s products or
               services will affect:
                       the volume of sales demand; and
                       the profit margin per unit.
               Some pricing decisions are for the longer term; companies have to decide the
               general price level at which it wants to sell its goods or services. The ability of
               companies to decide the general level of selling prices differs according to the
               size of the company relative to the size of the market it operates in.
                       Companies that dominate their market, and are the largest suppliers to the
                        market, are often able to decide what selling prices should be. They are
                        ‘price makers’. Companies that dominate their market might sell their
                        products at low prices to maintain their dominant market share.
                       Companies that do not dominate their market are usually ‘price takers’,
                        which means that they have to sell their products at about the same price
                        as other companies in the market. They are unable to sell at lower prices
                        without incurring a loss; and if they try selling at higher prices, customers
                        will switch to rival suppliers.
               In the short term companies might use other pricing strategies, such as
               temporary price reductions or pricing a special job or contract at a low price in
               order to win the work and a new customer.
               Some of the factors that influence sales pricing decisions are described briefly in
               the rest of this section.
       1.2     Demand and supply
               According to basic microeconomic analysis, the sales price for a product in a
               market is determined by demand and supply.
                       Demand is the volume of sales demand that will exist for the product at any
                        given price. As a normal rule, sales demand will be higher when the price is
                        lower. If the price rises, total sales demand will fall. If the price falls, sales
                        demand will rise.
© Emile Woolf International                           593          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                      Supply is the quantity of the product (or service) that suppliers are willing to
                       sell at any given sales price. Higher prices will attract more suppliers into
                       the market and encourage existing suppliers to produce more. Lower prices
                       will deter some suppliers, and might drive some out of business if the price
                       fall results in losses.
               A simple graph of supply and demand is shown below. In this diagram, the
               equilibrium price level is the sales price that would become established in the
               market if the factors that affect supply or demand did not change. Here the price
               would be P and the total sales demand for the product would be Q units.
                 Example: Supply and demand
               Occasionally, sales demand for a product might rise to such a high level that
               producers in the market are unable to meet the demand in full. Until production
               capacity can be increased, this situation could result in very large price rises and
               very high profit margins for producers.
               An example of demand exceeding supply capacity has been the market for oil on
               occasions in the past. Oil suppliers are unable to alter their output volumes
               quickly, so a large increase in demand for oil can result in very large price
               increases, at least in the short term.
               Monopoly pricing
               Supply and demand in the diagram above is for the market as a whole, and
               within the market there might be many different suppliers competing with each
               other to win business.
               A similar situation applies to companies that are dominant in their particular
               market, and supply most of the goods or services sold in the market. In these
               ‘monopoly markets’, the individual company has a downward-sloping demand
               curve, which means that:
                      as a monopoly supplier to the market, it is in a position to set prices for the
                       market, but
                      if it raises the prices of its products, the demand for its products will fall.
© Emile Woolf International                          594           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Chapter19: Pricing
                Pricing in a competitive market
                In contrast to a monopoly market, companies that sell their products in a highly
                competitive market will decide their selling prices by comparing them with those
                of competitors.
                In order to compete effectively, companies might use short-term pricing tactics
                such as price reductions, volume purchase discounts, better credit terms and so
                on.
        1.3     Cost
                In the long run, the sales price must exceed the average cost of sales of the
                product that a business entity sells. If cost is higher than selling price, the
                business will make a loss and cannot survive in the long term. Cost is therefore a
                major determinant of price.
                Costs are influenced by factors such as:
                       suppliers’ prices for raw materials and components;
                       price inflation;
                       exchange rate movements;
                       other elements of cost, such as wage rates and general expenses;
                       quality: it usually costs more to produce an item to a higher quality
                        standard.
                A company may have to decide where it wants to position its product in the
                market in terms of quality. Premium pricing (higher-than-average prices) prices
                can be used for higher quality products, but customers may prefer lower quality,
                lower priced products. A clear understanding of the link between quality and cost
                will be needed to help management determine the optimum price/quality mix.
                If a company is able to reduce its costs, it should be in a position if it wishes to
                reduce its sales prices and compete more aggressively (on price) for a bigger
                share of the market.
        1.4     Income of customers
                Another microeconomic factor influencing sales demand in any market is the
                level of income of customers and potential customers for the product.
                As the income of customers rises, they are more likely to want to buy more of the
                product. When demand is growing because income levels are rising, there is a
                tendency for prices to rise.
                       In an economy as a whole, rising income occurs when the national
                        economy is growing, and prices will rise. (The authorities might try to
                        prevent excessive inflation, but prices will nevertheless increase.)
                       When income in an economy is falling, there is an economic recession, and
                        there might even be some price falls.
 © Emile Woolf International                        595          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       1.5     Product life cycle
               The product life cycle is explained in more detail in a later chapter on life cycle
               costing.
               As a product goes through the different stages of its life cycle, sales prices will
               change.
                      Introduction stage- During the introduction stage of its life cycle, the
                       product is introduced to the market. If the product is new, and there are no
                       rival products on the market, there is a choice between a market skimming
                       policy for pricing or a market penetration policy. These policies are
                       explained later.
                      Growth stage- During the growth stage of its life cycle, demand for the
                       product increases rapidly, but more competitors enter the market. If the
                       market is competitive, each firm might have to lower its prices to win a
                       share of the growing market. However, because sales demand is strong,
                       prices and profit margins are likely to be fairly high (although falling). Some
                       companies might try to identify a specialist ‘niche’ in the market, where they
                       have more control over pricing of their products. Similarly, companies might
                       try to keep prices higher by differentiating their product from those of
                       competitors on the basis of quality or other distinguishing features (such as
                       design differences).
                      Maturity stage- When a product reaches the maturity stage of its life cycle,
                       total sales demand in the market becomes stable, but the product may
                       become a ‘commodity’. Firms must then compete for market share, often by
                       cutting prices. Companies might use product differentiation strategies to
                       keep the price of their product higher than it might otherwise be, but prices
                       generally will be lower than during the growth stage of the life cycle.
                      Decline- Eventually, the market demand for a product declines. When
                       sales demand falls, companies leave the market. Those that remain keep
                       on selling the product as long as they can make a profit. Prices might
                       remain very low. In some cases, however, a product might acquire ‘rarity
                       value’, allowing companies to raise prices. However, since unit costs will
                       also be higher, it is still difficult to make a profit.
       1.6     Quality
               Some customers will often be willing to pay more for better quality and
               companies may set prices higher than the market average because their
               products have a better-quality design or more features that provide value to
               customers.
               Quality is often ‘real’, and can be provided by better-quality materials (for
               example in clothing products) or by greater reliability of performance or better
               performance (for example in motor cars).
               Quality may also be ‘perceived’ rather than real, and customers will pay more for
               a branded product than for a similar or near-identical product with no brand name
               or a ‘cheaper’ brand name.
© Emile Woolf International                         596         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                               Chapter19: Pricing
       1.7     Other factors influencing price
               There are other influences on pricing decisions and the general level of selling
               prices in a market.
                      The price of ‘substitute goods’- Substitute goods are goods that customers
                       could buy as an alternative. Companies might set the price for their product
                       in the knowledge that customers could switch to an alternative product if
                       they think that the price is too high. For example, if the price of butter is too
                       high, more customers might switch to margarine or other types of ‘spread’.
                      The price of ‘complementary goods’- Complementary goods are items
                       that customers will have to buy in addition to complement the product.
                       The pricing of complementary products is explained in more detail later,
                       as a pricing strategy that companies may use.
                      Consumer tastes and fashion- High prices might be obtained for
                       ‘fashion goods’.
                      Advertising and marketing- Sales demand can be affected by sales and
                       marketing activities, including public relations activity. Strong consumer
                       interest in a product or service could allow a company to set a higher price.
               In addition to general factors influencing price, such as supply and demand,
               competition and cost, companies will use one or more different pricing strategies
               to decide the sales prices for their products or services.
               A number of different pricing strategies are described in a later section of this
               chapter.
© Emile Woolf International                         597           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
         Section overview
             Price elasticity of demand: its meaning and measurement
             Elastic and inelastic demand
             Elasticity and setting prices
       2.1     Price elasticity of demand: its meaning and measurement
               Within a market as a whole, there is an inverse relationship between selling price
               and sales demand. At higher prices, total sales demand for a product will be
               lower. For individual companies in a monopoly position in their market (or niche
               of the market) the same rule applies: if prices are raised, demand will fall.
               The price elasticity of demand (PED) is a measurement of the change in sales
               demand that would occur for a given change in the selling price.
               It is measured as follows:
                 Formula: Price elasticity of demand
                                  The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of
                                                   original demand
                              =                                                                   100
                                    The change in sales price as a percentage of the
                                                     original price
               Price elasticity of demand has a negative value, because demand rises (positive)
               if the price falls (negative), and demand falls if the price rises.
                 Example: Price elasticity
                 The following estimates have been made of total sales demand for product X:
                 An increase in the price from ₦90 to ₦100 will result in a fall in daily demand
                 from 2,000 to 1,600 units
                 The price elasticity of demand for product X at a price of ₦90 is calculated as
                 follows:
                 If the price is increased from ₦90 to ₦100
                 The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of original demand
                     = - 400/2,000 = - 0.20 or - 20%.
                     The change in price as a percentage of the original price
                      = ₦10/₦90 = + 0.111 or + 11.1%.
                     PED = - 0.20/ + 0.111 = - 1.8.
© Emile Woolf International                          598         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                               Chapter19: Pricing
                 Practice questions                                                                         1
                 The following estimates have been made of total sales demand for product
                 X:
                 A fall in the price from ₦50 to ₦40 will result in a rise in daily demand from
                 8,000 to 9,000 units.
                 Calculate the price elasticity of demand for product X at a price of ₦50
       2.2     Elastic and inelastic demand
               Sales demand for a product could be either elastic or inelastic in response to
               changes in sales price.
                      Demand is elastic if its value is above 1. (More accurately, demand is
                       elastic if its elasticity is a figure larger than – 1.)
                      Demand is inelastic if its value is less than 1. (More accurately, demand is
                       inelastic if its elasticity is a figure below – 1, between 0 and – 1.)
               The significance of elasticity
               Price elasticity of demand affects the amount by which total sales revenue from a
               product will change when there is a change in the sales price.
               If demand is highly elastic (greater than 1, ignoring the minus sign):
                      increasing the sales price will lead to a fall in total sales revenue, due to a
                       large fall in sales demand, and
                      a reduction in the sales price will result in an increase in total sales
                       revenue, due to the large rise in sales demand.
               Profit might increase or decrease when the sales price is changed, depending on
               changes in total costs as well as the change in total revenue.
               If demand is inelastic (less than 1, ignoring the minus sign):
                      increasing the sales price will result in an increase in total sales revenue
                       from the product, because the fall in sales volume is fairly small, and
                      reducing the sales price will result in lower total sales revenue, because the
                       increase in sales demand will not be enough to offset the effect on revenue
                       of the fall in price.
               A product does not necessarily have high or low price elasticity of demand at all
               price levels. The same product might have a high price elasticity of demand at
               some sales prices and low price elasticity at other prices.
© Emile Woolf International                         599           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.3     Elasticity and setting prices
               An understanding of the price elasticity of demand for products can help
               managers to make pricing decisions:
                      If demand is inelastic, raising selling prices will result in higher sales
                       revenue. Since fewer units will be sold, it should be expected that total
                       costs will fall. Higher revenue and lower total costs mean higher profits. If
                       management believe that sales demand for their product is price-inelastic,
                       they might therefore consider raising the sales price.
                      If demand is inelastic, reducing the sale price will lead to lower total sales
                       revenue. Sales demand will increase, and so the costs of sales are also
                       likely to increase. Profits are therefore likely to fall.
                      If demand is elastic, an increase in the sales price will lead to a fall in total
                       sales revenue. Sales demand will also fall. If managers are thinking about
                       an increase in the sales price, they will have to consider whether the fall in
                       total costs (due to the lower volume of sales) will exceed the fall in total
                       revenue.
                      If demand is elastic, reducing the sales price will increase total sales
                       revenue from the product, but total sales volume will increase. The effect,
                       as with raising sales prices for a product with high price elasticity of
                       demand, could be either higher or lower total profits. There is a risk that if
                       one company reduces its sales prices and elasticity of demand is high, this
                       could lead to a ‘price war’ in which all competitors reduce their prices too.
                       At the end of a price war, all sellers are likely to be worse off.
               Companies might try to reduce the price elasticity of demand for their products by
               using non-price methods, such as improving product quality, improving service
               and the use of advertising and sales promotions.
© Emile Woolf International                          600          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                             Chapter19: Pricing
3      DEMAND EQUATIONS, COST FUNCTIONS AND MAXIMISING PROFIT
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Demand curves in imperfect competition
             Profit-maximisation
             Problems using a demand equation
             Incremental revenue and incremental cost
       3.1     Introduction
               Many scenarios faced by businesses can be mathematically modelled in order to
               aid decision making. One such area is price setting.
               Decisions are made to achieve objectives. The pricing model assumes that the
               objective of a business is to maximise its profits.
                 Definitions
                 Revenue: The income generated from sale of goods or services. It is the price of a
                 good multiplied by the quantity sold.
                 Marginal revenue: The change in total revenue as a result of selling one extra item.
                 This is the slope of the revenue curve.
                 Marginal cost: The change in total cost as a result of making one extra item. This is
                 the slope of the cost curve.
               A business should continue to make and sell more units as long as the marginal
               revenue from selling an item exceeds its marginal cost as this will increase profit.
               Any unit sold once marginal cost exceeds marginal revenue would reduce profit.
               The values of marginal cost and marginal revenue depend on the shape of the
               total cost and total revenue curves of a business.
               Revenue curves
               There are two sets of market conditions to consider:
                      a market in which there is perfect competition; and
                      a market in which there is imperfect competition.
               Perfect competition requires the existence of many different suppliers competing
               to sell identical products to many different customers and that all market
               participants have perfect information to help them to make selling and buying
               decisions. No single supplier can influence the price of goods as this is
               determined by the market.
                A supplier should make and sell more goods as long as the marginal cost of
               making them is less than the marginal revenue from selling them (this being
               equal to the price set by the market.
               Perfect competition is rare in practice and not very interesting from a
               mathematical modelling view. Questions are far more likely to be about a
               company facing imperfect competition.
© Emile Woolf International                        601          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.2     Demand curves in imperfect competition
               Suppliers seek to differentiate their products from those of their competitors. This
               leads to imperfect competition. When imperfect competition exists a supplier can
               set his own price. However, this has an effect on demand. The degree of this
               impact depends on the shape of the demand curve faced by a supplier.
               A demand curve is a graph showing the quantity demanded at different sales
               prices. Usually an increase in price leads to a fall in demand. If the link between
               price and quantity is assumed to be a straight line relationship it can be
               represented as follows.
                 Formula: Demand curve
                       P = a – bQ
                       Where:
                       P = sales price
                       Q = quantity demanded
                       a = sales price when the quantity demanded is 0
                       b = change in sale price/ change in quantity sold
                 Example: Deriving a demand curve.
                 The sales demand curve for a product is straight-line.
                 Demand = 80,000 units when the sales price is ₦0.
                 Demand = 0 units when the sales price is ₦40.
                 Derive the demand curve
                       a = ₦40 (given)
                       b =₦40/80,000 = 0.0005
                       Demand curve: P = 40  0.0005Q
               This means that if a company increases the selling price then the number of
               goods sold will fall and vice versa.
                                             Revenue = Price × Quantity
               The impact of a price change on the total revenue of a company depends on the
               interaction between the change in price and the change in quantity. In other
               words it depends on the slope of the revenue curve. This is the marginal revenue
               (MR).
© Emile Woolf International                         602          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                             Chapter19: Pricing
               Calculating MR
                 Example: Revenue and marginal revenue.
                 Demand curve: P = 40  0.0005Q
                 Construct the equation for total revenue and then differentiate it with respect to Q
                 to give an expression for marginal revenue.
                       Demand curve                                 P = 40  0.0005Q
                       Revenue curve:
                       Multiply the demand curve by Q           P × Q = 40Q  0.0005Q2
                                                                   R = 40Q  0.0005Q2
                       MR curve by differentiation
               Calculating MC
               Marginal cost is the slope of the total cost curve. An equation for total costs can
               be constructed (the total cost function) and this can be differentiated with respect
               to the quantity to find the marginal cost.
                 Example: Total cost and marginal cost.
                 A business manufactures goods at a variable cost of ₦2 per unit.
                 Fixed costs are ₦500,000.
                 Construct the equation for total costs and then differentiate it with respect to Q to
                 give an expression for marginal costs.
                                Total costs (TC) = Total fixed costs + Total variable costs
                     Total variable costs = Variable cost per unit (₦2) × Number of units made (Q)
                     Total costs given by:                         TC = 500,000 + 2Q
                     MC curve by differentiation
© Emile Woolf International                          603        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.3     Profit-maximisation
               A company seeks to maximise its profits. Questions ask for the calculation of the
               quantity that must be sold to maximise profit (from which a selling price can be
               calculated).
               There are two approaches to measuring the quantity that a business needs to
               sell to maximise profit using either:
                      MR = MC; or
                      the profit function
               MR = MC
               A business should sell an extra unit as long as the marginal revenue (MR) of the
               sale is greater than its marginal cost (MC).
               A company can only sell more and more units by dropping its selling price.
               Eventually the MR of a sale will become less than its MC.
               This implies there is a point where MR = MC at which profit is maximised.
               The following diagram shows plots of the revenue curve and cost curve of a
               product.
                 Illustration: Profit and cost curves
                       The business does not start to make profit until the revenue line crosses
                       the total cost line at point X.
                       Profit is maximised at Q1. This is where the slope of the revenue curve
                       (MR) equals the slope of the cost curve.
               MR = MC approach to finding the selling price and sales quantity at which profit is
               maximised.
                      Step 1: Derive the demand curve.
                      Step 2: Derive the revenue curve by multiplying the demand curve by Q.
                      Step 3: Derive an expression for MR by differentiating the revenue curve.
                      Step 4: Set MR = MC and solve for the sales quantity that maximises profit.
                      Step 5: Calculate the price at which profits are maximised by substituting
                       the value of Q found at step 4 into the demand curve.
© Emile Woolf International                         604          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                              Chapter19: Pricing
               The marginal cost is found by differentiating the total cost line. Usually we
               assume that the cost function is straight line so marginal cost is simply the slope
               of this line.
                 Example
                 Demand curve: P = 40 – 0.0005Q
                 Total cost line: Total cost = 500,000 + 2Q
                     Step 1: Demand curve                              P = 40 – 0.0005Q
                       Step 2: Revenue curve:
                       Multiply the demand curve by Q                R = 40Q  0.0005Q2
                       Step 3: MR curve by differentiation
                       Step 4: (Set MR = MC)
                       Note that the marginal cost is the               40  0.001Q = 2
                       slope of the cost line
                                                                        40  2 = 0.001Q
                                                                          Q = 38,000
                       Step 5: Price by substitution for Q             P = 40 – 0.0005Q
                       into the demand function.                   P = 40 – 0.0005(38,000)
                                                                               P = 21
                       Conclusion:
                       Profit is maximised by selling 38,000 units for ₦21 per unit.
© Emile Woolf International                         605          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Using the profit function
               The following illustration shows the curves of the revenue function, total cost
               function and the profit function.
                 Illustration: Profit and cost curves
                       The business does not start to make profit until the revenue line crosses
                       the total cost line at point X.
                       Profit is maximised at Q1. This is where the slope of the revenue curve
                       (MR) equals the slope of the cost curve. Notice that the point A is not the
                       highest point on the revenue curve. Q1 is the quantity that maximises
                       profit not the quantity that maximises revenue.
                       As the revenue line passes point A revenue continues to increase until
                       point Y but profit falls because the marginal cost is greater than
                       marginal revenue.
                       After the point Y the revenue curve slopes downwards as total revenue
                       falls.
                       At point Z the revenue line passes below the total cost line. The company
                       would make a loss from this point.
               Profit function approach to finding the selling price and sales quantity at which
               profit is maximised.
                      Step 1: Derive the demand curve.
                      Step 2: Derive the revenue curve by multiplying the demand curve by Q.
                      Step 3: Derive the total cost curve.
                      Step 4: Derive the profit curve (Profit = Revenue less total costs).
                      Step 5: Differentiate the profit curve to find its slope
                      Step 6: Set the differential coefficient to zero and solve for Q. This is the
                       profit maximising quantity. (You can prove that this is a maximum by
                       checking that the second differential is negative).
                      Step 7: Calculate the price at which profits are maximised by substituting
                       the value of Q found at step 6 into the demand curve.
© Emile Woolf International                          606          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                              Chapter19: Pricing
                 Example
                 Demand curve: P = 40 – 0.0005Q
                 A business manufactures goods at a variable cost of ₦2 per unit.
                 Fixed costs are ₦500,000.
                       Step 1: Demand curve                            P = 40 – 0.0005Q
                       Step 2: Revenue curve:
                       Multiply the demand curve by Q                 R = 40Q  0.0005Q2
                       Step 3: Derive the total cost
                       curve                                          TC = 500,000 + 2Q
                       Step 4: Derive the profit curve                    P=R–C
                                                           P = 40Q  0.0005Q2  (500,000 + 2Q)
                                                            P = 40Q  0.0005Q2  500,000  2Q
                                                               P = 38Q  0.0005Q2  500,000
                       Step 5: Differentiate the profit
                       curve to find its slope
                       Step 6: Set the differential                     0 = 38  0.001Q
                       coefficient to zero and solve for                   0.001Q = 38
                       Q
                                                                            Q = 38,000
                       Step 7: Price by substitution for               P = 40 – 0.0005Q
                       Q into the demand function.                 P = 40 – 0.0005(38,000)
                                                                               P = 21
                       Conclusion:
                       Profit is maximised by selling 38,000 units for ₦21 per unit.
© Emile Woolf International                          607         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                         2
                 Calculate the profit maximising quantity and price in each of the following
                 scenarios.
                 1 At a price of ₦12 per unit, the expected annual sales demand is
                     300,000 units
                       Annual sales demand falls or increases by 2,000 units for every ₦0.50
                       increase or reduction in price.
                       Marginal cost is ₦2.
                 2     A major hotel is planning a gala dinner, at which there will be up to 800
                       places available.
                       The initial idea was to charge ₦1,000 per person and at this price the
                       hotel would expect to sell 600 tickets.
                       Market research suggests that for every ₦50 increase or reduction in
                       the ticket price, demand will fall or increase by 20.
                       The variable cost per person for the dinner will be ₦250.
       3.4     Problems using a demand equation
               There are several practical difficulties with using a demand equation to establish
               a profit-maximising price.
                      There may be insufficient reliable data to produce an estimate of the
                       demand equation.
                      The assumption that the demand equation is a straight line may be
                       inaccurate.
                      A demand equation normally applies to either total market demand for a
                       product or to the demand for a product that is made and sold by a company
                       in a monopoly position in its market. For smaller companies in a
                       competitive market, selling prices might not be the profit-maximising price,
                       but a price at which the company can compete successfully against its
                       rivals.
       3.5     Incremental revenue and incremental cost
               Because of the practical problems with deriving a reliable demand equation,
               decisions about changing the selling price for a product are more likely to be
               assessed by comparing the incremental revenues and incremental costs that
               would arise from the price change.
               Reducing the selling price of a product by a specific amount should be expected
               to result in higher sales demand. (If it doesn’t, there would be no reason to
               reduce the price.) Higher sales demand would be met by increasing the volume
               of output; and at higher volumes of output, costs will change.
                      There may be no change in variable costs; however variable costs per unit
                       may change. Labour costs per hour will increase if employees are required
                       to work overtime to produce the higher volume of output. On the other
                       hand, direct materials costs per unit might change if volume purchase
                       discounts are available at the new volume of production.
© Emile Woolf International                         608          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                Chapter19: Pricing
                       There may be no change in fixed cost expenditure; however fixed cost
                        spending may be higher at higher volumes of output due to a ‘step’
                        increase in fixed costs.
               To assess the effect of a proposed increase in price on profit, it is necessary to
               calculate:
                       the incremental sales revenue, which is the increase in total sales revenue
                        that would occur (or fall in total revenue, if demand is inelastic), and
                       the incremental costs, which is the net increase in total costs, both fixed
                        and variable that would occur.
               A reduction in price would be justified if incremental revenue exceeded
               incremental costs.
               Study the following example carefully.
                 Example: Incremental approach
                 A company makes and sells a single product. The sales price is ₦20 per unit.
                 Annual sales demand is currently 24,000. Annual fixed costs are ₦250,000, and
                 the variable cost per unit is ₦8, made up as follows:
                       Variable cost per unit           ₦
                       Materials                        4
                       Direct labour                    3
                       Other variable costs             1
                   Total variable cost            8
                 The company is considering a proposal to reduce the sales price from ₦20 to
                 ₦19. At the lower price, it is expected that annual sales demand would be
                 30,000 units. The following changes in costs would occur if annual production
                 and sales are increased to 30,000 units:
                 A favourable volume price discount would be obtained on direct material
                 purchases, and materials costs would fall by 10% for all units produced by the
                 company during the year.
                 The company’s output capacity is 28,000 units during normal working time. At
                 output volumes above this amount, some overtime would have to be worked. The
                 overtime premium is 50% on top of normal hourly rates of pay.
                 Total fixed cost expenditure would increase to ₦260,000.
                 Required
                 (a)      Calculate the effect on annual profit of the proposed price reduction and
                          recommend (on the basis of change in profit) whether the price should be
                          reduced.
                 (b)      Briefly state any other factors, other than profitability, that might influence
                          the pricing decision.
© Emile Woolf International                           609          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Incremental approach
                                                                                                 ₦
                     Sales revenue at new price level: 30,000  ₦19                            570,000
                     Sales revenue at current price level: 24,000  ₦20                        480,000
                     Incremental revenue                                                         90,000
                    Total materials cost at new price level: 30,000  ₦4  90%                 108,000
                     Total materials cost at current price level: 24,000  ₦4                    96,000
                     Incremental cost of materials                                             (12,000)
                     Incremental cost of labour at basic rate: 6,000 units  ₦3                  18,000
                     Overtime premium for 2,000 units: 2,000  ₦3  50%                           3,000
                     Total incremental cost of labour                                          (21,000)
                     Other variable costs: incremental costs: 6,000 units  ₦1                   (6,000)
                    Incremental fixed cost expenditure: ₦(260,000 – 250,000)                   (10,000)
                     Incremental profit                                                          41,000
                 Conclusion: By reducing the price to ₦19, annual profits would increase by
                 ₦41,000. On the basis of profitability, the sales price should be reduced.
                 Other factors could affect the decision:
                 Profit might be increased even more if the sales price is changed to a different
                 amount, say ₦18.
                 Management needs to be satisfied that the company has the capacity to produce
                 the larger volume of output without loss of production efficiency or quality.
                 The recommendation that the price should be reduced assumes that the
                 estimate of sales demand at ₦19 per unit is reliable. If competitors respond by
                 reducing their prices by a similar amount, there might be little or no sales volume
                 increase, and profits might fall rather than increase.
© Emile Woolf International                          610       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                               Chapter19: Pricing
4      PRICE STRATEGIES
         Section overview
          The nature of pricing strategies
          Full cost plus pricing
             Marginal cost plus pricing (mark-up pricing)
             Return on investment (ROI) pricing
             Market skimming prices
             Market penetration prices
          Pricing of complementary products and product line pricing
          Volume discounting
             Price discrimination (differential pricing)
       4.1     The nature of pricing strategies
               Although sales prices in a market are determined largely by factors such as
               supply and demand and competition, companies might use a variety of different
               pricing strategies, depending on the nature of their business, the nature of the
               markets in which they operate and the particular circumstances in which a pricing
               decision is made. For example:
               For companies in a jobbing industry or contracting industry, each new job or
               contract might be different, and this means that a separate price has to be
               calculated for each individual job or contract. Some form of cost-plus pricing is
               therefore often used in these industries.
               When a company brings an entirely new product to the market, can decide
               whether to set the price high or low, because there are no rival products on the
               market.
               Several different pricing strategies are described in this section.
       4.2     Full cost plus pricing
               Full cost plus pricing involves calculating the full cost of an item (such as a job or
               contract) – or the expected full cost – and adding a profit margin to arrive at a
               selling price.
               Profit is expressed as either:
                      a percentage of the full cost (a profit ‘mark-up’) or
                      a percentage of the sales price (a ‘profit margin’).
               Advantages of full cost plus pricing
               A business entity might have an idea of the percentage profit margin it would like
               to earn on the goods or services that it sells. It might therefore decide the
               average profit mark-up on cost that it would like to earn from sales, as a general
               guideline for its pricing decisions. This can be useful for businesses that carry out
               a large amount of contract work or jobbing work, for which individual job or
               contract prices must be quoted regularly to prospective customers and there is
               no obvious ‘fair market’ price.
© Emile Woolf International                         611           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The percentage mark-up or profit margin does not have to be a fixed percentage
               figure. It can be varied to suit the circumstances, such as demand conditions in
               the market and what the customer is prepared to pay.
               There are also other possible advantages in using full cost plus pricing:
                      If the budgeted sales volume is achieved, sales revenue will cover all costs
                       and there will be a profit.
                      It is useful for justifying price rises to customers, when an increase in price
                       occurs as a consequence of an increase in costs.
               Disadvantages of full cost plus pricing
               The main disadvantage of cost plus pricing is that it is calculated on the basis of
               cost, without any consideration of market conditions, such as competitors’ prices.
                      Cost plus pricing fails to allow for the fact that when the sales demand for a
                       product is affected by its selling price, there is a profit-maximising
                       combination of price and demand. A cost plus based approach to pricing is
                       unlikely to arrive at the profit-maximising price for the product.
                      In most markets, prices must be adjusted to market and demand
                       conditions. The pricing decision cannot be made on a cost basis only.
               There are also other disadvantages:
                      The choice of profit margin or mark-up is arbitrary. How is it decided?
                      When a company makes and sells different types of products, the
                       calculation of a full cost becomes a problem due to the weaknesses of
                       absorption costing. The method of apportioning costs between the different
                       products in absorption costing is largely subjective. This affects the
                       calculation of full cost and the selling price. For example, full cost per unit
                       will differ according to whether a direct labour hour absorption rate or a
                       machine hour absorption rate is used. Full cost will also differ if activity-
                       based costing is used.
                 Example: Full cost plus pricing
                 Eko Nigeria Limited makes two products, product X and product Y. These
                 products are both made by the same work force and in the same department.
                 The budgeted fixed costs are ₦900,000. Variable costs per unit are as follows:
                                                    Product X                                Product Y
                     Direct costs                           ₦                                          ₦
                     Materials                             60                                         60
                     Labour         (2 hours)             120 (3 hours)                              180
                     Expenses       (1 machine hour)       60 (1 machine hour)                        60
                                                          240                                        300
                 Budgeted production and sales are 1,500 units of product X and 1,000 units of
                 product Y.
                 The sale prices for each unit of product X and product Y to give a profit margin of
                 20% on the full cost, if overheads are absorbed on a direct labour hour basis is
                 calculated as follows.
© Emile Woolf International                         612          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                               Chapter19: Pricing
                 Example (continued): Full cost plus pricing
                 Direct labour hour basis
                 Budgeted direct labour hours = (1,500 × 2) + (1,000 × 3) = 6,000 hours.
                 Overhead absorption rate = ₦900,000/6,000 = ₦150 per direct labour hour.
                                                               Product X      Product Y
                              Direct costs                            ₦                 ₦
                              Materials                              60                60
                              Labour                                120               180
                              Expenses                               60                60
                                                                    240               300
                              Absorbed overhead                     300               450
                              Full cost                             540               750
                              Mark-up (20%)                         108               150
                              Selling price/unit                    648               900
                 The budgeted profit would be (1,500 × ₦108) + (1,000 × ₦150) = ₦312,000.
© Emile Woolf International                        613            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                           3
                 A company makes two products, product A and product B. These products
                 are both made by the same work force and in the same department.
                 The budgeted fixed costs are ₦2,800,000.
                 Variable costs per unit are as follows:
                                                   Product X                                 Product Y
                     Direct costs                            ₦                                         ₦
                     Materials                             100                                       250
                     Labour         (4 hours)              200 (3 hours)                             150
                     Expenses       (1 machine hour)       200 (1.5 machine hour)                    300
                                                           500                                       700
                 Budgeted production and sales are 2,000 units of each product.
                 Calculate the sale prices for each unit of product X and product Y which give a
                 profit margin of 15% on the full cost, if overheads are absorbed on a labour hour
                 basis or on a machine hour basis.
       4.3     Marginal cost plus pricing (mark-up pricing)
               With marginal cost plus pricing, also called mark-up pricing, a mark-up or profit
               margin is added to the marginal cost in order to obtain a selling price.
               The method of calculating sales price is similar to full-cost pricing, except that
               marginal cost is used instead of full cost. The mark-up represents contribution.
               Advantages of marginal cost plus pricing
               The advantages of a marginal cost plus approach are as follows:
                      It is useful in some industries such as retailing, where prices might be set
                       by adding a mark-up to the purchase cost of items bought for resale. The
                       size of the mark-up can be varied to reflect demand conditions. For
                       example, in a competitive market, a lower mark-up might be added to high-
                       volume items.
                      It draws management attention to contribution and the effects of higher or
                       lower sales volumes on profit. This can be particularly useful for short-term
                       pricing decisions, such as pricing decisions for a market penetration policy
                       (described later).
                      When an organisation has spare capacity, marginal cost plus pricing can be
                       used in the short-term to set a price which covers variable cost. This
                       approach is used by hotels, airlines, railway companies and telephone
                       companies to price off-peak usage. As long as fixed costs are covered by
                       peak users and the lower price set does not affect the main market, a
                       marginal cost price can be set off-peak to increase demand and therefore
                       contribution.
                      It is more appropriate where fixed costs are low and variable costs are high.
© Emile Woolf International                        614           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                               Chapter19: Pricing
               Disadvantages of marginal cost plus pricing
               A marginal cost plus approach to pricing also has disadvantages.
                      Although the size of the mark-up can be varied according to demand
                       conditions, marginal cost plus pricing is a cost-based pricing method, and
                       does not properly take market conditions into consideration.
                      It ignores fixed overheads in the pricing decision. Prices must be high
                       enough to make a profit after covering all fixed costs. Cost-based pricing
                       decisions therefore cannot ignore fixed costs altogether. A risk with
                       marginal cost plus pricing is that the mark-up on marginal cost might not be
                       sufficient to cover fixed costs and achieve a profit.
       4.4     Return on investment (ROI) pricing
               This method of pricing might be used in a decentralised environment where an
               investment centre within a company is required to meet a target return on capital
               employed. Prices might be set to achieve a target percentage return on the
               capital invested.
               With return on investment pricing, the selling price per unit may be calculated as:
                 Formula: Return on investment (ROI) pricing
                                  Budgeted total costs of the division + (target ROI% 
                              =                    capital employed)                               100
                                                   Budgeted volume
               When the investment centre makes and sells a single product, the budgeted
               volume is sales volume.
               When the investment centre makes and sells several different products,
               budgeted volume might be production volume in hours, and the mark-up added
               to cost is then a mark-up for the number of hours worked on the product item.
               Alternatively, the budgeted volume might be sales revenue, and the mark-up is
               then calculated as a percentage of the selling price (a form of full cost plus
               pricing).
               Advantages of ROI pricing
               The advantages of an ROI approach to pricing are as follows:
                      ROI pricing is a method of deciding an appropriate profit margin for cost
                       plus pricing.
                      The target ROI can be varied to allow for differing levels of business risk.
               Disadvantages of ROI pricing
               An ROI approach to pricing also has disadvantages.
                      Like all cost-based pricing methods, it does not take market conditions into
                       sufficient consideration, and the prices that customers will be willing to pay.
                      Since it is a form of full cost plus pricing, it shares most of the other
                       disadvantages as full cost plus pricing.
© Emile Woolf International                           615         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice questions                                                                         4
                 A manufacturer is about to launch a new product.
                 The non-current assets needed for production will cost ₦4,000,000 and working
                 capital requirements are estimated at ₦800,000.
                 The expected annual sales volume is 40,000 units.
                 Variable production costs are ₦60 per unit.
                 Fixed production costs will be ₦600,000 each year and annual fixed non-
                 production costs will be ₦200,000.
                 Required
                 (a)     Calculate selling price using:
                         (i)     full cost plus 20%
                         (ii)    marginal cost plus 40 %
                         (iii)   pricing based on a target return on investment of 10% per year.
                 (b)     If actual sales are only 20,000 units and the selling price is set at full cost
                         plus 20%, what will the profit be for the year?
© Emile Woolf International                           616         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                            Chapter19: Pricing
       4.5     Market skimming prices
               When a company introduces a new product to the market for the first time, it
               might choose a pricing policy based on ‘skimming the market’.
               When a new product is introduced to the market, a few customers might be
               prepared to pay a high price to obtain the product, in order to be one of the first
               people to have it. Buying the new product gives the buyer prestige, so the buyer
               will pay a high price to get it.
               In order to increase sales demand, the price must be gradually reduced, but with
               a skimming policy, the price is reduced slowly and by small amounts each time.
               The contribution per unit with a skimming policy is very high, although unit costs
               of production could also be quite high, since sales volumes are low.
               To charge high prices, the firm might have to spend heavily on advertising and
               other marketing expenditure.
               Market skimming will probably be more effective for new ‘high technology’
               products, such as (in the past) flat screen televisions and laptop computers.
               Firms using market skimming for a new product will have to reduce prices later as
               new competitors enter market with rival products. A skimming strategy is
               therefore a short-term pricing strategy that cannot usually be sustained for a long
               period of time.
               Skimming prices and a product differentiation strategy
               It is much more difficult to apply a market skimming pricing policy when
               competitors have already introduced a rival product to the market. Customers in
               the market will already have a view of the prices to expect, and might not be
               persuaded to buy a new version of a product in the market unless its price is
               lower than prices of existing versions.
               However, it may be possible to have a policy of market skimming if it is possible
               to differentiate a new product from its rivals, usually on the basis of quality. This
               is commonly found in the market for cars, for example, where some
               manufacturers succeed in presenting new products as high-quality models. High-
               quality cars cost more to produce, and sales demand may be fairly low: however,
               profits are obtained by charging high prices and earning a high contribution for
               each unit sold.
© Emile Woolf International                       617          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       4.6     Market penetration prices
               Market penetration pricing is an alternative pricing policy to market skimming,
               when a new product is launched on to the market for the first time.
               With market penetration pricing, the aim is to set a low selling price for the new
               product, in order to create a high sales demand as quickly as possible. With a
               successful penetration pricing strategy, a company might ‘capture the market’
               before competitors can introduce rival products.
               A firm might also use market penetration prices to launch its own version of a
               product into an established market, with the intention that offering low prices will
               attract customers and win a substantial share of the market.
               Penetration pricing and a cost leadership strategy
               A cost leadership market strategy is a strategy of trying to become the lowest-
               cost producer of a product in the market. Low-cost production is usually achieved
               through economies of scale and large-scale production and sales volumes.
               Penetration pricing is consistent with a cost leadership strategy, because low
               prices help a company to obtain a large market share, and a large market share
               means high volumes, economies of scale and lower costs.
       4.7     Pricing of complementary products and product line pricing
               Complementary products
               Complementary products are products that ‘go together’, so that if customers buy
               one of the products, they are also likely to buy the other. Examples of
               complementary products are:
                      computer games consoles and computer games;
                      mobile telephones (portable phones) and telephone calls from mobile
                       phones.
               Occasionally if a company sells two or more complementary products it could sell
               one product at a very low price in the knowledge that if sales demand for the first
               product is high, customers will then buy more of the second product (which can
               be priced to provide a much bigger profit margin).
               Product lines
               A product line is a range of products made by the same manufacturer (or a range
               of services from the same service provider) where the products have some
               similarity or connection so that customers see them as belonging to the same
               ‘family’.
               Examples of a product line are:
                      a brand and design of tableware manufactured by the same company (such
                       as a range of tableware items in Dresden china);
                      a brand and range of sports items (such as rackets or golf equipment)
                       made by the same manufacturer.
               When manufacturers produce a line of related items, the pricing strategy for all
               items in the product line might be the same (for example, a product line might be
               sold as a high-price, high-quality branded range).
© Emile Woolf International                       618          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                               Chapter19: Pricing
       4.8     Volume discounting
               A price strategy of volume discounting involves selling at reduced prices to
               customers who buy in large volumes over a period of time, or for large-value
               sales orders.
               Volume discounting can have either of the following purposes:
                      To persuade customers to buy a product, by offering a lower price (on
                       condition that the order is above a given size)
                      To increase profits by selling in larger volumes, even though the sales price
                       is lower.
       4.9     Price discrimination (differential pricing)
               With price discrimination (or differential pricing), a firm sells a single identical
               product in different segments of the market at different prices.
               A market segment is simply a separately-identifiable part of the entire market.
               Customers in one market segment have different characteristics, buying habits,
               preferences and needs from the customers in other segments of the same total
               market.
               For price discrimination to work successfully, the different market segments must
               be kept separate. It might be possible to charge different prices for the same
               product:
                      in different geographical areas – for example, it would be possible to sell
                       the same product at very different prices in the US and in China;
                      at different times of the day – for example, travel tickets might be priced
                       differently at different times of the day or the week;
                      to customers in different age groups – for example, offering special prices
                       to individuals over a certain age, or to students or to children.
5      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Explain the factors that influence selling prices
             Explain and calculate price elasticity
             Derive cost and demand functions
             Calculate the price (and therefore quantity) that leads to profit maximisation
             Explain different types of pricing strategy
© Emile Woolf International                         620           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                             Chapter19: Pricing
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                          1
         (a)     If the price is increased from ₦9 to ₦10
                 The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of original demand
                 = - 400/2,000 = - 0.20 or - 20%.
                 The change in price as a percentage of the original price = ₦1/₦9 = + 0.111 or +
                 11.1%.
                 PED = - 0.20/ + 0.111 = - 1.8.
         (b)     If price is reduced from ₦5 to ₦4
                 The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of original demand
                 = + 1,000/8,000 = + 0.125 or + 12.5%.
                 The change in price as a percentage of the original price = - ₦1/₦5 = - 0.20.
                 PED = + 0.125/- 0.20 = - 0.625.
© Emile Woolf International                          621        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solution                                                                                           2
         1       Step 1: Demand curve                                       P = a – bQ
                 a=
                 Demand is 300,000 if the sales price is ₦12.
                 Demand falls by 2,000 units for every ₦0.5 increase.
                 Number of increases before demand falls to zero = 300,000/2,000 = 150.
                 150 increases is 150 × ₦0.5 = ₦75.
                 Therefore the price at which the demand would be zero = ₦12 + ₦75 =
                 ₦87.
                 b = ₦0.5/2000 = 0.00025
                 Demand curve                                        P = 87 – 0.00025Q
                 Step 2: Revenue curve:
                 Multiply the demand curve by Q                     R = 87Q  0.00025Q2
                 Step 3: MR curve by differentiation
                 Step 4: (Set MR = MC)
                 Note that the marginal cost is the slope             87  0.0005Q = 2
                 of the cost line
                                                                      87  2 = 0.0005Q
                                                                        Q = 170,000
                 Step 5: Price by substitution for Q into           P = 87 – 0.00025Q
                 the demand function.                           P = 87 – 0.00025(170,000)
                                                                             P = 44.5
                 Conclusion:
                 Profit is maximised by selling 170,000 units for ₦44.5 per unit.
© Emile Woolf International                       622           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                            Chapter19: Pricing
         Solutions                                                                                         2
         2       Step 1: Demand curve                                      P = a – bQ
                 a=
                 Demand is 600 if the sales price is ₦1,000.
                 Demand falls by 20 units for every ₦50 increase.
                 Number of increases before demand falls to zero = 600/20 = 30.
                 30 increases is 30 × ₦50 = ₦1,500.
                 Therefore the price at which the demand would be zero = ₦1,000 +
                 ₦1,500 = ₦2,500.
                 b = ₦50/20 = ₦2.5
                 Demand curve                                         P = 2,500 – 2.5Q
                 Step 2: Revenue curve:
                 Multiply the demand curve by Q                     R = 2,500Q  2.5Q2
                 Step 3: MR curve by differentiation
                 Step 4: (Set MR = MC)
                 Note that the marginal cost is the slope            2,500  5Q = 250
                 of the cost line
                                                                     2,500  250 = 5Q
                                                                         Q = 450
                 Step 5: Price by substitution for Q into            P = 2,500 – 2.5Q
                 the demand function.                               P = 2,500 – 2.5(450)
                                                                          P = ₦1,375
                 Conclusion:
                 Profit is maximised by selling 450 seats for ₦1,375 per head.
© Emile Woolf International                       623          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solutions                                                                                      3
         Labour hour basis
         Budgeted labour hours = (2,000 × 4) + (2,000 × 3) = 14,000 hours
         Overhead absorption rate = ₦2.800,000/14,000 = ₦200 per labour hour.
                                                         Product X      Product Y
                              Direct costs                      ₦                 ₦
                              Materials                       100               250
                              Labour                          200               150
                              Expenses                        200               300
                                                              500               500
                              Absorbed overhead               800               600
                              Full cost                     1,300            1,100
                              Mark-up (15%)                   195              165
                              Selling price/unit            1,495            1,265
         The budgeted profit would be (1,000 × ₦195) + (1,000 × ₦165) = ₦360,000.
         Machine hour basis
         Budgeted machine hours = (2,000 × 1) + (2,000 × 1.5) = 5,000 hours.
         Overhead absorption rate = ₦2.800,000/5,000 = ₦560 per machine hour.
                                                         Product X      Product Y
                              Direct costs                      ₦                 ₦
                              Materials                       100               250
                              Labour                          200               150
                              Expenses                        200               300
                                                              500               500
                              Absorbed overhead               560               840
                              Full cost                     1,060            1,340
                              Mark-up (15%)                   159              201
                              Selling price/unit            1,219            1,541
         The budgeted profit would be (1,000 × ₦159) + (1,000 × ₦201) = ₦360,000.
© Emile Woolf International                        624      The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                              Chapter19: Pricing
         Solutions                                                                                            4
                 (i) Full cost plus 20%                                           ₦per unit
                 Variable cost                                                            60
                 Fixed costs (₦600,000 + ₦200,000)/40,000 units                           20
                 Full cost                                                                80
                 Mark-up: 20% on cost                                                     16
                 Selling price                                                            96
                 (ii) Marginal cost plus 40%                                      ₦per unit
                 Variable cost                                                          60
                 Mark-up: 40% on variable cost                                          24
                 Selling price                                                            84
                 (iii) Target ROI pricing                                           ₦
                 Non-current assets                                             4,000,000
                 Working capital                                                  800,000
                 Capital employed                                               4,800,000
                 Profit required (₦4,800,000  10%)                                480,000
                 Profit required per unit (40,000 units)                                ₦12
                                                                                         ₦
                Variable cost                                                            60
               Fixed costs (see above, full cost plus pricing)                           20
                 Full cost                                                                80
                 Profit                                                                   12
                 Selling price                                                            92
         (b)     If sales are only 20,000 units (= below budget):
                         Profit for the year                                       ₦
                         Sales (20,000 units  ₦96)                             1,920,000
                         Variable costs (20,000 units  ₦60)                  (1,200,000)
                         Fixed costs                                             (800,000)
                         Net loss                                                  (80,000)
© Emile Woolf International                        625           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                             20
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                   CHAPTER
                              Risk and decision making
 Contents
 1 Risk and uncertainty
 2 Expected values and decision trees
 3 Simulation
 4 Sensitivity analysis
 5 Maximax, maximin and minimax regret
 6 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International              627   The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             g     Evaluate how management can deal with uncertainty in decision-making
                   including the use of simulation, decision-trees, replacement theory, expected
                   values, sensitivity analysis and value of perfect and imperfect information.
Exam context
This chapter explains the nature of risk and various methods which might be used to account
for it in a decision making process.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the nature of risk
      Calculate expected values
      Construct decision trees and use them to solve problems
      Estimate the value of perfect information
      Explain simulation
      Carry out a simple simulation from data provided
      Perform sensitivity analysis
      Apply maximax, maximin and minimax regret criteria to make decisions
© Emile Woolf International                      628          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
1      RISK AND UNCERTAINTY
         Section overview
             The nature of risk and uncertainty
             Reducing uncertainty
             Dealing with risk and uncertainty in decision making
             Risk preference
       1.1     The nature of risk and uncertainty
               A lot of decision-making in business involves some risk or uncertainty. Decisions
               might be based on what the decision-maker thinks will happen, but there is some
               possibility that the actual outcome will be different – possibly better or possibly
               worse than expected.
                      Uncertainty occurs when there is insufficient information about what will
                       happen, or what will probably happen, in the future. It is therefore likely that
                       estimates of future values (estimates of future sales, future costs, and so
                       on) will be inaccurate.
                      Risk occurs when the future outcome from a decision could be any of
                       several different possibilities. However, it might be possible to assess with
                       reasonable accuracy the probability of each possible outcome. When there
                       are reliable estimates of the probability for each possible outcome, risk can
                       be assessed or analysed statistically.
       1.2     Reducing uncertainty
               Uncertainty occurs when there is a lack of reliable information. It can therefore be
               reduced by obtaining more information on which some reliance can be placed.
               However, it is doubtful whether uncertainty can be eliminated altogether.
               There is often uncertainty about the likely volume of sales demand for a product.
                      For established products, it might be possible to estimate future sales by
                       taking historical sales figures, and making adjustments for sales growth or
                       decline, and planned changes in the sales price.
                      For new products, however, estimating sales demand can be very difficult
                       because there is no benchmark on which to base the estimate.
               Uncertainty about future sales demand for a product can be reduced through the
               use of market research or focus groups.
               Market research is research into a particular market, such as the market for a
               product, for the purpose of obtaining information about the market – such as
               attitudes and buying intentions of customers in the market.
                      Market research might be carried out, for example, to test the attitudes of
                       target customers to a prototype of a new product.
                      In some cases, market research might attempt to obtain an estimate of the
                       likely sales demand for a product.
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Performance management
               A focus group is a group of participants who are invited to give their views,
               opinions and ideas about a product or market to a market research team. The
               members of a focus group will be selected so as to represent a target audience
               or target market, and the information provided by the group will therefore be
               representative of the views of the target market as a whole.
               By analysing data obtained from market research surveys or focus groups, an
               entity might expect to obtain more reliable estimates of the likely sales demand
               for a product.
       1.3     Dealing with risk and uncertainty in decision making
               When there is uncertainty or risk in a business decision, management should
               consider both:
                      the expected incremental costs, revenues and profits, and also
                      the risk or uncertainty.
               There are several different ways of allowing for risk and uncertainty in decision-
               making. The approach taken by management will depend to a large extent on
               their attitude to risk. In other words, to what extent will a management decision be
               affected by the risk or uncertainty in the situation?
               Risk cannot be removed from a decision, because risk exists in the situation
               itself. A decision-maker can try to analyse the risk, and must make a decision on
               the basis of whether the risk is justified or acceptable.
       1.4     Risk preference
               Risk preference describes the attitude of a decision-maker towards risk.
               Decision-makers might be described as risk averse, risk-seeking or possibly risk
               neutral.
                      A risk averse decision maker considers risk in making a decision, and will
                       not select a course of action that is more risky unless the expected return is
                       higher and so justifies the extra risk. A risk-averse decision maker does not
                       try to avoid risk as much as possible; however he might want a
                       substantially higher expected return to make any extra risk worth taking.
                      A risk neutral decision maker ignores risk entirely in making a decision.
                       The decision of a risk neutral decision maker is to select the course of
                       action with the highest expected return, regardless of risk.
                      A risk-seeking decision maker also considers risk in making a decision. A
                       risk seeker, unlike a risk-averse decision-maker, will take extra risks in the
                       hope of earning a higher return.
               It is often assumed that managers are risk averse, and so will not select a course
               of action that has higher risk unless it offers a higher expected return sufficient to
               justify the risk that is taken.
© Emile Woolf International                        630          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
2      EXPECTED VALUES AND DECISION TREES
         Section overview
             Expected values
             Expected values and decision making
             Decision trees
             Value of perfect information
             Value of imperfect information
       2.1     Expected values
               One technique for comparing risk and return of different decision options is the
               use of expected values.
               Expected values can be used to analyse information where risk can be assessed
               in terms of probabilities of different outcomes. Where probabilities are assigned
               to different outcomes, we can evaluate the worth of a decision as the expected
               value or weighted average of these outcomes.
               Expected value (EV) = weighted average of possible outcomes.
               The weighted average value is calculated by applying the probability of each
               possible outcome to the value of the outcome.
                 Formula: Expected value
                       Where:
                       p = the probability of each outcome
                       x = the value of each outcome
               An EV is a measurement of weighted average value.
               A decision might be based on selecting the course of action that offers the
               highest EV of profit, or the lowest EV of cost. In other words, the ‘decision rule’ is
               to select the course of action with the highest EV of profit or the lowest EV of
               cost.
               The main advantage of using EVs to make a decision is that it takes into
               consideration the probability or likelihood of each different possible outcome, as
               well as its value (profit or cost).
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Performance management
                 Example: Expected value
                 A business entity has to decide which of three projects to select for investment.
                 The three projects are mutually exclusive.
                 The projects do not involve any initial capital expenditures.
                 The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects depend on the
                 state of the market. The following estimates of annual profits (operational cash
                 flows) have been prepared
                     State of market           Declining                   Static                 Expanding
                     Probability                 0.4                        0.3                      0.3
                     Project 1                     100                        200                     900
                     Project 2                        0                       500                     600
                     Project 3                     180                        190                     200
                     This type of table is called a ‘pay-off table’ or a ‘pay-off matrix’. It shows all
                     the possible ‘pay-offs’ or results from different possible decisions or
                     strategies.
                     Project 1                                                       Profit 
                                             Profit             Probability         probability
                     Declining               100                   0.4                 40
                     Static                  200                   0.3                  60
                     Expanding               900                   0.3                 270
                                                                                       370
                     Project 2                                                       Profit 
                                             Profit             Probability         probability
                     Declining                 0                   0.4                  0
                     Static                  500                   0.3                 150
                     Expanding               600                   0.3                 180
                                                                                       330
                     Project 3                                                       Profit 
                                             Profit             Probability         probability
                     Declining               180                   0.4                 72
                     Static                  190                   0.3                  57
                     Expanding               200                   0.3                  60
                                                                                       189
                     Based on expected values, project 1 should be selected because it has the
                     highest EV of annual profit.
© Emile Woolf International                               632            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
               Advantages of using expected values
               An EV is a weighted average value, that is based on all the different possible
               outcomes and the probability that each will occur.
               It recognises the risk in decisions, based on the probabilities of different possible
               results or outcomes.
               It expresses risk in a single figure, which makes it easy to compare different
               options and reach a decision.
               Disadvantages of using expected values
               The probabilities of the different possible outcomes may be difficult to estimate. If
               the probabilities are unreliable, expected values will also be unreliable.
               The EV is unlikely to be an actual outcome that could occur. In the example
               above, the EVs for projects 1, 2 and 3 (₦370,000, ₦330,000 and ₦189,000
               respectively) are not expected to occur. They are simply weighted average
               values.
               Unless the same decision has to be made many times, the average will not be
               achieved. It is therefore not a valid way of making a decision about the future
               when the outcome will happen only once.
               An EV is an average value. It gives no indication of the range or spread of
               possible outcomes. It is therefore an inadequate measurement of risk.
       2.2     Expected values and decision making
               Expected values should be reliable for decision-making when:
                      Probabilities can be estimated with reasonable accuracy, and
                      The outcome from the decision will happen many times, and will not be a
                       ‘one-off’ event.
               In the following example, the estimate of monthly repair costs using expected
               value is likely to be very reliable, since the probabilities are based on historical
               records and the outcome happens many times over (10,000 times each month).
© Emile Woolf International                       633          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Expected value
                 A company makes and sells 10,000 units of Product K each month.
                 Currently, when customers complain that there is one or more defects in a
                 product the company repairs the product at its own cost.
                 Management is now considering selling the product for ₦6 less but no longer
                 accepting liability for any defects.
                 The decision as to whether to change the policy is to be made by comparing the
                 expected monthly cost of the new policy to the expected monthly cost of the
                 current policy.
                 Expected monthly cost of new policy:
                                            10,000 units  ₦6 = ₦60,000
                 Expected cost of existing policy
                 The estimates of defects in each product with a calculation of expected defects
                 are given as follows:
                         Number of                                     Number of
                         defects per                                   defects 
                          product               Probability            probability
                              0                     0.99                      0
                              1                     0.07                   0.07
                              2                     0.02                   0.04
                              3                     0.01                   0.03
                                                                           0.14
                     Number of products sold per month                    10,000
                     Expected number of defects per month                  1,400
                 The estimate of the cost of repairing a defect with a calculation of expected cost
                 is given as follows:
                                                                         Cost of
                                                                      repairing one
                      Cost of repairing                                defect (₦) 
                       one defect (₦)           Probability             probability
                              20                    0.2                       4
                              30                    0.5                      15
                              40                    0.3                      12
                     Expected cost of each repair                            31
                     Expected number of defects per month                  1,400
                     Expected cost of all repairs                       ₦43,400
                     The policy should not be changed.
© Emile Woolf International                         634         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
       2.3     Decision trees
               Sometimes a decision might need to be taken in two or more stages, with the
               second-stage decision depending on what is the outcome from the first-stage
               decision.
               A decision tree can be drawn to provide a methodical approach to calculating the
               expected value. A decision tree is built to show all possible outcomes and
               associated probabilities. A decision tree is drawn from its “root” up to its
               “branches” and then, once drawn, analysed from its “branches” back to its “root”.
               There are two different types of branching point in the tree:
                      Decision points – as the name suggests this is a point where a decision is
                       made
                      Outcome points – an expected value is calculated here.
               The following symbols are used for decision points and outcome points:
                 Illustration: Symbols
© Emile Woolf International                       635          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Expected value
                 A company is considering whether to invest in a new project costing ₦12,000,
                 which has an 80% chance of being successfully developed.
                 If it is developed successfully, the profits from the project will depend on whether
                 the economic conditions are good or poor.
                 The profits expected depend on the economic conditions which are forecast as
                 follows:
                          Economic
                          conditions            Profit (loss)             Probability
                              Good                 50,000                      0.6
                              Poor                (20,000)                     0.4
                 Should the company undertake the project?
                 Step 1: Build the tree (in this direction)
                     Start with the decision that is being made:
                     Then at point B draw the possibilities of the success or failure of the project
                     together with the associated probabilities.
                     Then draw the possibilities of the different economic prospects together
                     with the associated probabilities:
© Emile Woolf International                         636            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
                 Example: Expected value (continued)
                 Step 2: Analyse the tree (in this direction)
                     Expected value at point C:
                              = (0.6 ×50,000) + (0.4 ×(20,000)) = 22,000
                     Expected value at point B (EVB)
                              = (0.8 × EVC) + (0.2 × zero)
                              = (0.8 × 22,000) + (0.2 × zero) = 17,600
                     Decision at point A (EVA)
                     Proceed at a cost of 12,000 to earn profits with an expected value of
                     17,600 giving a gain of 5,600 or do not proceed for zero
                     The EV of the decision to invest (+ 5,600) is better than the EV of the
                     decision not to invest (0) therefore proceed with the project
       2.4     Value of perfect information
               Sometimes a question might go on to ask how much a company would be willing
               to pay to be absolutely certain of an outcome. In other words what is the value of
               perfect information?
               The answer to this question can be simply expressed as:
                 Illustration: Value of perfect information
                                                                                                  ₦
                       Expected value without perfect information                                  X
                       Expected value with perfect information                                     X
                       Value of perfect information                                                X
© Emile Woolf International                           637        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Value of perfect information
                 An organisation has offered to provide a perfect forecast of whether the future
                 economic conditions will be good or bad.
                 What is the maximum amount that the company would pay for this forecast?
                 At point C – If the company knew that future economic conditions were good it
                 would proceed but if it knew they were poor it would not proceed (thus avoiding
                 the loss of ₦20,000).
                 The chance of the forecast being good is 60%. Therefore:
                     Expected value at point C (EVC)
                         = (0.6 ×50,000) = 30,000
                     Expected value at point B (EVB)
                         = (0.8 × EVC) + (0.2 × zero) = (0.8 × 30,000) + (0.2 × zero) = 24,000
                 Decision at point A (EVA)
                 Proceed at a cost of ₦12,000 to earn profits with an expected value of ₦24,000
                 would give a gain of ₦12,000.
                 The value of the perfect information is then calculated as follows:
                                                                                             ₦
                       Expected value with perfect information                           12,000
                       Expected value without perfect information                          5,600
                       Value of perfect information                                        6,400
       2.5     Value of imperfect information
               It might be possible to reduce uncertainty but not to remove it entirely. An expert
               might be able to make a forecast about the future but that expert might be wrong.
               The approach to valuing imperfect information same as before but the
               calculations can be quite tricky.
                 Illustration: Value of imperfect information
                                                                                                  ₦
                       Expected value without imperfect information                                X
                       Expected value with imperfect information                                   X
                       Value of imperfect information                                              X
© Emile Woolf International                           638        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
                 Example: Value of imperfect information
                 An organisation has offered to provide a perfect forecast of whether the future
                 economic conditions will be good or bad.
                 The organisation normally achieves 85% accuracy (in other words they are wrong
                 15% of the time). This means that when the say the economy will be strong it
                 may well be bad and vice versa. (Assume that the company will not proceed if a
                 poor economy is forecast).
                 It is necessary to build a table of possible outcomes before solving the question.
                                                        Economic       Economic
                                                      conditions are conditions are
                                                        good (60)     poor (404)
                       Expert forecasts the             0.85  0.6     0.15  0.4
                       economy will be good               = 0.51         = 0.06                 0.57
                       Expert forecasts the             0.15  0.6     0.85  0.4
                       economy will be good               = 0.09         = 0.34                 0.43
                                                           0.6            0.4                    1
                 Therefore there is a 57% (0.57) chance that the expert will forecast that the
                 economy will be good.
                 When the expert says the economy is good he is correct 0.51 out of 0.57 times =
                 89.5% (0.895 times = 0.51/0.57) within that forecast. Therefore, he will be
                 incorrect 10.5% (0,105 times) within that forecast.
                 The calculation of the value of imperfect information is as follows:
                                                                                                ₦
                       Expected value at point C (EVC)
                       0.895  50,000                                                       44,750
                       0.105  (20,000)                                                       (2,100)
                                                                                            42,650
                       Probability of good verdict                                             0.57
                                                                                            24,311
                       Probability of successful development                                   0.8
                       Expected value at point B                                             19,448
                                                                                            (12,000)
                       Expected value at point A                                              7,448
                The value of the imperfect information is then calculated as follows:
                                                                                           ₦
                       Expected value with imperfect information                         7,448
                       Expected value with imperfect information                         5,600
                       Value of imperfect information                                    1,848
© Emile Woolf International                          639        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
3      SIMULATION
         Section overview
             Introduction
             Monte Carlo simulation
             Multiple variables
       3.1     Introduction
               Simulation is the imitation of the operation of a real-world process or system over
               time.
               An earlier chapter showed how decision trees can be used to provide a structure
               to allow computations of probabilities based on a series of interrelated variables.
               This is fine for simple situations but real life can be far more complex. Simulation
               is a versatile tool for providing information about the operation of complex
               systems.
               The act of simulating something first requires that a model be developed. The
               model must represent the key characteristics of the selected system or process.
               These characteristics can be identified by observing the actual process being
               modelled. Once the model is built a researcher can then run it over different time
               frames and also introduce different variables to see what would happen.
                 Example: Simulation
                 In general, mortgage lenders run simulation models to provide insight into the
                 state of the housing market.
                 The models incorporate key macroeconomic variables.
                 The lenders could run the model to find out what would happen to house prices if
                 the interest rates changed by a given percentage or if incomes increased at a
                 slower rate of inflation and so on.
               The model is built to represent the system itself and a simulation represents the
               operation of the system over a given time period.
               Running a single simulation is unlikely to provide useful information.
               Once the model is set up a series of simulations can be run and the results can
               be used to identify an average outcome.
               Uses of simulation
               Simulation can be used to show the impact of alternative conditions and courses
               of action.
               Simulation is useful in shedding light on problems where outcomes are uncertain
               but can be represented by known probability distribution, e.g. queues, inventory
               control, capital investment, replacement problems, etc.
© Emile Woolf International                       640          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                      Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
               Simulation modelling can be used to assess probabilities when there are many
               different variables in the situation, each with different probable outcomes and
               where the relationship between these variables might be complex.
       3.2     Monte Carlo simulation
               A Monte Carlo simulation is one that employs a random device for identifying
               what happens at a different point in a simulation.
               A simulation model contains a large number of inter-related variables (for
               example sales volumes of each product, sales prices of each product, availability
               of constraining resources, resources per unit of product, costs of materials and
               labour, and so on).
               For each variable, there are estimated probabilities of different possible values.
               These probabilities are used to assign a range of random numbers to each
               variable. (The random number allocation should reflect the probability
               distribution).
                 Example: Assigning random numbers
                 A company is considering launching a new product. Market research has
                 indicated that there is a 75% chance of high sales and a 25% chance of low
                 sales.
                 A random number range can be assigned to each outcome as follows:
                                                             Cumulative               Random
                              Outcome      Probability       probability              number
                              Low sales       25%               25%                   01 to 25
                              High sales      75%              100%                   26 to 00
               It is easier to assign the random number range if a cumulative probability column
               is constructed first.
               Once random numbers have been allocated a random number generator can be
               used to provide a string of numbers which in turn are used to model the
               outcomes.
© Emile Woolf International                       641         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Monte Carlo simulation
                 Demand for inventory follows the following distribution:
                          Demand per day                Probability
                                 04                        32%
                                 59                        47%
                                10  14                     21%
                 The company wishes to model demand.
                       Step 1: Allocate random numbers to each level of demand.
                         Demand per          Probability          Cumulative               Random
                            day                                   probability              numbers
                               04              32%                  32%                   01 to 32
                               59              47%                   79%                  33 to 79
                              10  14           21%                   100%                 80 to 00
                       Step 2: Assign a value to each demand level so that it can be
                       represented as a single number (say the mid-point)
                         Demand per        Assigned value      Random
                             day             (mid-point)       numbers
                            04                   2            01 to 32
                               59               7                 33 to 79
                              10  14            12                80 to 00
                       Step 3: Generate a list of random numbers and select the demand level
                       that corresponds to each number
                       For example the number 27 corresponds to a demand of 2 in the above
                       table.
                       Step 4: Repeat for as many simulations as required. In practice this will
                       be until the random effects of small numbers of observations have been
                       smoothed out.
                       Step 5: Use the simulated values as though they are the actual values
                       occurring in the real system, e.g. to calculate daily inventory movements.
               Often more than one event will require simulation, e.g. in a purchase system both
               demand and supply lead times will be simulated.
© Emile Woolf International                           642          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
                 Practice question                                                                         1
                 A company makes 4 styles of one of its products.
                 The demand for these products is as follows:
                                   Type                                  Probability
                                  Economy                                    0.15
                                   Normal                                    0.42
                                    Super                                    0.28
                                   De-luxe                                   0.15
                       Use the following random numbers to simulate the next seven
                       demands:
                       25953284107266.
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Performance management
       3.3     Multiple variables
               Simulation can deal with multiple variables.
                 Example: Simulation
                 A company wishes to use simulation to provide forecasts of possible profit levels
                 under different circumstances.
                 The company identifies four variables (sales volume, sales price, variable cost per
                 unit and fixed costs) and believes that the value of each of these variables is
                 independent of the other three variables. (Note that this would be very unlikely for
                 sales volume and sales price).
                 The company has identified the possible values for each variable with their
                 associated probability, and assigned a range of random numbers to these values
                 as follows:
                     Sales volume                           Variable cost per unit
                                                 Random                                       Random
                                                 number                                       number
                        Units      Probability   range          ₦          Probability        range
                       10,000         20%        01 – 20        2             10%             01 – 10
                       20,000         50%         21 – 70       3              30%            11 – 40
                       30,000         30%         71 – 00       4              40%            41 – 80
                                                                5              20%            81 – 00
                     Sales price per unit                   Fixed costs
                         ₦14          15%         01 – 15   ₦200,000            85%           01 – 85
                         ₦15          40%         16 – 55   ₦220,000            10%           86 – 95
                         ₦16          35%         56 – 90   ₦240,000            5%            96 – 00
                         ₦17          10%         91 – 00
                     The model is then used to calculate the value of the outcome or result, for a
                     given set of values for each variable.
                     This simple model can be used to calculate the expected profit, given a
                     combination of sales volume, sales price, variable cost and fixed costs.
                     The values for each variable are determined by generating random
                     numbers for each variable.
                     For example: If random numbers 14856327 are generated these become
                     14, 85, 63, 27 and are assigned as follows:
                                                                            Random
                                                                            number       Random
                                                  Units      Probability      range      number
                     Sales volume                 10,000       20%            00 – 19              14
                     Sales price                   ₦16         35%             55 – 89             85
                     Variable cost per unit         4          40%             40 – 79             63
                     Fixed cost                  ₦200,000      85%             00 – 84             27
© Emile Woolf International                         644         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
                 Example (continued): Simulation
                 This run gives the following result and associated probability (by multiplication):
                                                                                              Probability
                     Sales volume                10,000                                          20%
                     Sales price                   ₦16          160,000                           35%
                     Revenue
                     Variable cost per unit         4           (40,000)                          40%
                     Fixed cost                                (200,000)                          85%
                                                                (80,000)                         2.4%
                     The model is then run again and again with different sets of values for each
                     variable obtained by generating another set of random numbers.
                     This generates a large number of different possible outcomes together with
                     associated probabilities.
                     Repeating the simulation many times produces a probability distribution of
                     the possible outcomes and this probability distribution can be analysed
                     statistically.
                 Practice question                                                                         2
                 Using the above information calculate the profit (loss) using the following
                 set of random numbers
                 32841072
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Performance management
4      SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             The nature of sensitivity analysis
             Carrying out sensitivity analysis
             Identifying the key variables with sensitivity analysis
       4.1     The nature of sensitivity analysis
               Sensitivity analysis is a method of uncertainty analysis which tests the effect on
               the expected outcome of changes in the values of key ‘variables’ or key factors.
               For example, in budget planning, the effect on budgeted profit might be tested for
               changes in the budgeted sales volume, or the budgeted rate of inflation, or
               budgeted materials costs, and so on.
               There are several ways of using sensitivity analysis.
                      It can be used to estimate by how much an item of cost or revenue would
                       need to differ from their estimated values before the decision would
                       change.
                      It can be used to see whether a decision would change if estimated sales
                       were a given percentage lower/higher than estimated or estimated costs
                       were a given percentage higher than estimated. (This is called ‘what if…?’
                       analysis: for example: ‘What if sales volume is 5% below the expected
                       amount)?
               When estimates are uncertain, sensitivity analysis is useful for assessing what
               would happen if the estimates prove to be wrong. For example, if management
               consider that their estimates of sales volume might be inaccurate by up to 20%,
               sensitivity analysis could be used to assess what the profit (or loss) would be if
               sales volume is 20% less than estimated.
               Sensitivity analysis is therefore a common sense approach to assessing the
               uncertainty in a situation.
       4.2     Carrying out sensitivity analysis
               The starting point for sensitivity analysis is the original plan or estimate. For
               example this might be a plan which estimates the expected profit in a budget, or
               the expected profit from a particular project or transaction.
               Key variables are identified (such as sales price, sales volume material cost,
               labour cost, completion time, and so on). The value of the selected key variable is
               then altered by a percentage amount (typically a reasonable estimate of possible
               variations in the value of this variable) and the expected profit is re-calculated.
               In this way, the sensitivity of a decision or plan to changes in the value of the key
               items or key factors can be measured.
               An advantage of sensitivity analysis is that if a spreadsheet model is used for
               analysing the original plan or decision, sensitivity analysis can be carried out
               quickly and easily, by changing one value at a time in the spreadsheet model. For
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                                                                           Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
               example, cash budgets on a spreadsheet are used extensively with ‘what-if
               analysis’ to analyse the possible future cash position in a business.
       4.3     Identifying the key variables with sensitivity analysis
               Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate by how much the value of an item
               (or ‘variable’) must change before the expected profit or outcome becomes
               unacceptable. For example, sensitivity analysis can be used to estimate by how
               much expected sales volume would have to fall short of the estimate before a
               product became unprofitable.
               By applying sensitivity analysis to each variable, it should be possible to identify
               those that are the most critical, where an error in the estimate could have a large
               impact on the actual outcome.
                 Example: Sensitivity analysis
                 A company is considering launching a new product in the market. Profit
                 estimates are as follows:
                                                                            ₦              ₦
                         Sales (10,000 units)                                         200,000
                         Variable costs:
                         Materials                                      120,000
                         Labour                                          20,000
                                                                                      140,000
                         Contribution                                                   60,000
                         Fixed costs (all directly attributable)                        50,000
                         Profit                                                         10,000
                 The estimates of sales volume, sales price, variable costs and fixed costs are
                 uncertain.
                 Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate by how much each of these variables
                 would have to be ‘worse’ than estimated before the product became loss-making.
                 Profit can fall by ₦10,000 before the product ceases to be profitable.
                 Profit would fall by ₦10,000 if any one of the following occurred:
                 1       Sales volume is ₦10,000/₦60,000 = 16.7% less than expected
                 2       Sales price is ₦10,000/₦200,000 = 5% less than expected
                 3       Material costs are ₦10,000/₦120,000 = 8.3% more than expected
                 4       Labour costs are ₦10,000/₦20,000 = 50% more than expected
                 5       Fixed costs are ₦10,000/₦50,000 = 20% more than expected.
                 The product would cease to be profitable if a combination of variables turned out
                 worse than expected. In the example above, for instance, the product would
                 cease to be profitable if fixed costs were 20% more than expected and sales
                 volume was also 16.7% less than expected.
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Performance management
               Management can use sensitivity analysis to decide whether they have sufficient
               confidence in the estimates so that they can go ahead with their planned decision
               (for example, a decision to launch a new product), or whether the uncertainty is
               so great that it would be too risky to go ahead.
               Assessing the uncertainty is a matter of judgement.
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                                                                        Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
5      MAXIMAX, MAXIMIN AND MINIMAX REGRET
         Section overview
             Worst, most likely and best possible outcomes
             Constructing a pay-off table or profit table
             Maximax, maximin and minimax regret decision rules
5.1      Worst, most likely and best possible outcomes
         When a choice has to be made between two or more mutually exclusive options, the
         choice might be affected by the different possible outcomes that might occur with
         each option.
         For example, a book publisher might need to decide how many copies of a new
         book to print. He might be considering three options – to print 1,000 copies, 5,000
         copies or 10,000 copies. The most profitable choice of print quantity will depend on
         the sales demand for the book, which is uncertain. Sales demand might depend on
         the publicity that the book receives from book reviewers. The decision about the
         print quantity must be taken before it is known what the publicity and expected
         sales for the book will be.
         The choice between two or more alternative courses of action might be based on the
         worst, most likely or best expected outcomes from each course of action. A pay-off
         table can be produced which records all possible pay-offs (e.g. profit values) that
         would result from different courses of action and different outcomes.
         The example below shows:
                      the different decision options in the first column (in the example below the
                       decision relates to the size of the print run);
                      the different outcomes in the top row (type of review and estimated sales in
                       consequence); and
                      the different pay-offs that result from each decision with each outcome
                       shown in the cells.
                 Example: Worst, most likely and best possible outcomes
                 The following pay off table shows the profit or loss that would be obtained from
                 print runs of different sizes if a book review is bad, reasonable or excellent
                                             Bad review       Reasonable           Excellent review
                                             (estimated          review            (estimated sales
                                               sales of        (estimated             of 10,000)
                                               1,000)        sales of 5,000)
                     Course of action:
                     Print 1,000 copies      -+ ₦2,000         + ₦2,000                + ₦2,000
                     Print 5,000 copies       - ₦8,000         + ₦10,000              + ₦10,000
                     Print 10,000 copies     - ₦12,000         + ₦1,000               + ₦35,000
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Performance management
               This pay-off table or profit table can then be analysed, and a choice can be made
               between the different decision options under consideration.
       5.2 Constructing a pay-off table or profit table
               A pay-off table can be constructed as follows.
                      One side of the table (rows or columns) should list the different mutually
                       exclusive options, from which a choice will be made
                      The other side of the table should list the different possible results or
                       outcomes that might occur.
                      For each option and possible outcome, the value of the expected outcome
                       (for example, the expected profit) should be entered in the appropriate box.
                 Example: Constructing a pay-off table
                 A shopkeeper must decide how many boxes of apples to buy each day. A box of
                 apples earns revenue of ₦400 and costs ₦250.
                 Demand is uncertain and could vary from 30 boxes to 10 boxes.
                 Any apples that are purchased but not sold will be thrown away at the end of the
                 day.
                 The shopkeeper has decided that he will buy 10 boxes, 20 boxes or 30 boxes
                 each day, and these are the only three options he wants to consider.
                 A pay-off table can be constructed as follows to show the pay-offs associated with
                 different numbers of boxes bought and different demand levels:
                                                   Demand =      Demand =            Demand =
                                                   10 boxes      20 boxes            30 boxes
                     Course of action                   ₦             ₦                   ₦
                     Buy 10 boxes                     1,500         1,500               1,500
                     Buy 20 boxes                    (1,000)        3,000               3,000
                     Buy 30 boxes                    (3,500)         500                4,500
                 Entries in the pay-off table are calculated as follows:
                     Buy 10 boxes                  If demand =     If demand =          If demand =
                                                         10              20                   30
                     Revenue (400 per box)              4,000           4,000                4,000
                     Costs (250 per box)               (2,500)         (2,500)              (2,500)
                     Profit                           1,500             1,500                1,500
                     Demand greater than 10 cannot be met so the profit does not change.
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                                                                       Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
                 Example (continued)ng a pay-off table
                     Buy 20 boxes                If demand =     If demand =          If demand =
                                                       10              20                   30
                     Revenue (400 per box)            4,000           8,000                8,000
                     Costs (250 per box)             (5,000)         (5,000)              (5,000)
                     Profit                         (1,000)           3,000                3,000
                     Demand greater than 20 cannot be met so the profit does not change.
                     Buy 30 boxes                If demand =     If demand =          If demand =
                                                       10              20                   30
                     Revenue (400 per box)            4,000           8,000               12,000
                     Costs (250 per box)             (7,500)         (7,500)              (7,500)
                     Profit                         (3,500)            500                 4,500
               The pay-off table or profit table does not identify the ‘best’ option. It simply shows
               what the outcome will be for each decision option, given different possible
               circumstances that might actually occur.
               Management need to use their judgement, in using this information, to decide
               which option to select. The course of action chosen by the company will depend
               on the attitude to risk of its decision-maker.
       5.3 Maximax, maximin and minimax regret decision rules
               Choosing between mutually-exclusive courses of action can be stated as
               ‘decision rules’. A decision rule is simply the basis or ‘rule’ which a decision-
               maker uses to select between mutually exclusive options.
               As suggested earlier in this chapter, the choice between different options might
               be based on an assessment of probabilities, and the preferred option might be
               the one that offers the highest expected value of profit. Alternatively, simulation
               or sensitivity analysis may be used to compare expected profits with the risk or
               uncertainty, and a choice between the different options based on an assessment
               of risk and return.
               The choice between mutually exclusive options might also be based on any of
               the following decision rules:
                      Maximax rule
                      Maximin rule
                      Minimax regret rule
               To use any of these decision rules, it is helpful to construct a pay-off table.
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Performance management
               Maximax decision rule
               This is a decision rule based on the view that the decision-maker should select
               the course of action with the best possible pay-off, such as the highest possible
               profit. This approach is based on the view that the decision-maker should seek
               the highest return, assuming that events turn out in the best way possible. The
               maximax decision rule can be described as a decision rule for the ‘risk seeker’.
                 Example: Maximax decision rule
                  Ekeukwu Nigeria Limited has to decide which of three projects to select for
                 investment. The three projects are mutually exclusive, and only one of them can
                 be selected.
                 The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects will depend on
                 the state of the market, but the state of the market will not be known until after
                 the choice of project has been made. The following estimates of annual profit
                 have been prepared:
                    State of market          Declining            Static           Expanding
                                                ₦000               ₦000                    ₦000
                     Project 1                  (100)              120                     950
                     Project 2                   50                500                     600
                     Project 3                   180               190                     200
                 Which project would be selected if the decision is based on) the maximax
                 decision rule?
                 The decision should be to select the option that offers the prospect of the highest
                 profit. This is Project 1 where the annual profit would be ₦950,000 if there is an
                 expanding market.
                 It does not matter that this project would make a loss of ₦100,000 if the market
                 turns out to be in decline. The decision rule is to select the option offering the
                 best possible return.
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                                                                        Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
               Maximin decision rule
               This decision rule is based on the view that the decision-maker will identify the
               course of action with the highest expected return under the worst outcome. The
               choice is based on trying to maximise the minimum possible profit.
               This decision rule might be associated with a risk-averse decision maker.
                 Example: Maximin decision rule
                  Ekeukwu Nigeria Limited has to decide which of three projects to select for
                 investment. The three projects are mutually exclusive, and only one of them can
                 be selected.
                 The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects will depend on
                 the state of the market, but the state of the market will not be known until after
                 the choice of project has been made. The following estimates of annual profit
                 have been prepared:
                    State of market          Declining           Static            Expanding
                                                ₦000               ₦000                    ₦000
                     Project 1                  (100)              120                     950
                     Project 2                   50                500                     600
                     Project 3                   180               190                     200
                 Which project would be selected if the decision is based on the maximin decision
                 rule?
                 The decision rule is based on the returns that would be obtained if the worst
                 possible outcome occurs.
                 The worst outcome is a declining market.
                 If the market turns out to be in decline, the most profitable option would be
                 Project 3, for which the profit would be ₦180,000.
               Minimax regret decision rule
               This decision rule is based on the concept of ‘regret’.
               ‘Regret’ is the difference between the profit that will be earned by choosing one
               option, and the profit that would have been earned if the most profitable option
               had been selected, given a particular outcome.
               For example suppose that a company has to choose between options 1, 2 and 3,
               and the profit from each option depends on whether sales demand is weak,
               average or strong. For each option (1, 2 and 3) and each possible outcome
               (weak, average or strong sales demand), there is ‘regret’. This is the amount by
               which the profit earned by choosing the option would be worse than ‘the best
               possible profit’ from choosing either of the other two options, given the nature of
               the sales demand.
               Regret is the opportunity cost of having made the wrong decision, given the
               actual conditions that apply in the future.
               In order to use this rule a regret table must be constructed from the pay-off table.
               A fourth column can then be added to show the maximum regret for each course
               of action.
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Performance management
               The decision rule is to select the course of action with the lowest possible ‘regret’.
                 Example: Minimax regret decision rule
                  Eke ukwu Nigeria Limited has to decide which of three projects to select for
                 investment. The three projects are mutually exclusive, and only one of them can
                 be selected.
                 The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects will depend on
                 the state of the market, but the state of the market will not be known until after
                 the choice of project has been made. The following estimates of annual profit
                 have been prepared:
                     State of market                Declining                 Static            Expanding
                                                       ₦000                   ₦000                    ₦000
                     Project 1                         (100)                   120                     950
                     Project 2                            50                   500                     600
                     Project 3                          180                    190                     200
                 Which project would be selected if the decision is based on the minimax regret
                 decision rule?
                 A regret table must be constructed.
                 Step 1: Draft a table with the same column and row headings as the pay-off table
                 but add another column to identify the maximum regret shown with each course
                 of action.
                                                                                             Maximum
                     State of market       Declining        Static        Expanding           regret
                                             ₦000           ₦000             ₦000
                     Project 1
                     Project 2
                     Project 3
                 Step 2: Identify the cell in each column from the pay-off that has the best pay –
                 off (e.g. highest profit). Write a zero in the corresponding cell in the regret table.
                                                                                             Maximum
                     State of market       Declining        Static        Expanding           regret
                                             ₦000           ₦000            ₦000
                     Project 1                                                0
                     Project 2                                  0
                     Project 3                  0
                 Interpretation:
                 The company would have no regret if project 3 was undertaken and the market
                 turned out to be declining.
                 The company would have no regret if project 2 was undertaken and the market
                 turned out to be static.
                 The company would have no regret if project 1 was undertaken and the market
                 turned out to be expanding.
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                                                                        Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
                 Example (continued): Minimax regret decision rule
                 Step 3: Compare the pay-off in each cell to best pay-off in that column. Write the
                 difference in the corresponding cell in the regret table. These are the regret
                 values.
                                                                                         Maximum
                     State of market     Declining        Static     Expanding            regret
                                            ₦000          ₦000           ₦000
                     Project 1               280           380            0
                     Project 2               130            0            350
                     Project 3                0            310           750
                 Interpretation:
                 The company would have no regret if project 3 was undertaken and the market
                 turned out to be declining but if Project 1 was selected the company would be
                 worse off by ₦280,000, which is the difference between the loss that would be
                 made from Project 1 and the profit that would have been made if the best option
                 (Project 3) had been selected.
                 Similarly, if Project 2 is selected and the market is in decline the regret will be
                 ₦130,000, which is the difference between the profit that would be made from
                 Project 2 and the profit that would have been made if the best option (Project 3)
                 had been selected.
                 Similarly, suppose that the market turns out to be static. The most profitable
                 option would be Project 2, for which the profit would be ₦500,000. The company
                 would have no regret if project 2 was undertaken but If Project 1 is selected the
                 regret will be ₦380,000 (the difference between the profit that would be made
                 from Project 1 and the profit that would have been made if the best option
                 (Project 2) had been selected.
                 Similar comments could be made in respect of the expanding market.
                 A table of ‘regrets’, once completed, shows the amount of the regret for each
                 possible course of action (projects 1, 2 or 3), given each possible outcome
                 (declining, static or expanding market).
                 Step 4: Write the maximum regret for each option in the right-hand column and
                 select the option where the maximum regret is the lowest. In this example, this is
                 Project 2, for which the maximum regret is ₦350,000.
                                                                                         Maximum
                      State of market   Diminishing       Static     Expanding            regret
                                            ₦000          ₦000           ₦000              ₦000
                     Project 1               280          380             0                380
                     Project 2               130            0            350               350
                     Project 3                0            310           750               750
               The maximax, maximin and minimax regret decision rules provide a logical basis
               for making a choice between mutually exclusive options, where the future
© Emile Woolf International                        655          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               conditions are uncertain and there are no probability estimates of what the future
               conditions might be.
               The main disadvantage of choosing between mutually-exclusive courses of
               action on the basis of the worst, most likely or best possible outcome is that the
               choice ignores the likelihood or probability of the worst, most likely or best
               outcomes actually happening.
               If probability estimates had been available in the previous example for future
               market conditions (declining, static or expanding market), a different decision rule
               such as the expected value rule might be more appropriate – because it takes
               the probabilities of the different outcomes into consideration.
                 Practice questions                                                                          3
                 A shopkeeper must decide how many boxes of apples to buy each day. A
                 box of apples earns contribution of ₦400 and costs ₦250.
                 Demand is uncertain and could vary from 30 boxes to 10 boxes.
                 Any apples that are purchased but not sold will be thrown away at the end
                 of the day.
                 The shopkeeper has decided that he will buy 10 boxes, 20 boxes or 30
                 boxes each day, and these are the only three options he wants to consider.
                 The following pay-off table has been constructed:
                                                     Demand =        Demand =            Demand =
                                                     10 boxes        20 boxes            30 boxes
                     Course of action                     ₦               ₦                    ₦
                     Buy 10 boxes                       1,500           1,500                1,500
                     Buy 20 boxes                      (1,000)          3,000                3,000
                     Buy 30 boxes                      (3,500)           500                 4,500
                     How many boxes should the storekeeper purchase if the decision is
                     based on:
                     a)   the maximax decision rule?
                     b)   the maximin decision rule?
                     c)       the minimax regret decision rule?
© Emile Woolf International                          657          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
6      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
             Explain the nature of risk
             Calculate expected values
             Construct decision trees and use them to solve problems
             Estimate the value of perfect information
             Explain simulation
             Carry out a simple simulation from data provided
             Perform sensitivity analysis
             Apply maximax, maximin and minimax regret criteria to make decisions
© Emile Woolf International                      658        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 20: Risk and decision making
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solutions                                                                                             1
               Assign random numbers to categories
                                                                  Cumulative              Random
               Category                       Probability         probability           number range
               Economy                           0.15                0.15                  00-14
               Normal                            0.42                0.57                    15-56
               Super                             0.28                0.85                    57-84
               De-luxe                           0.15                1.00                    85-99
               Simulation of next seven demands
               Run                       1         2         3        4          5          6          7
               Random number            25         95        32      84         10         72         66
               Category                  N         D         N        S          E          S          S
         Solutions                                                                                             2
         This run gives the following result and associated probability (by multiplication):
                                                                                                Probability
                     Sales volume                  30,000                                          30%
                     Sales price                    ₦16                                             35%
                     Revenue
                                                                  480,000
                     Variable cost per unit            ₦2          (60,000)                         10%
                     Fixed cost                                   (220,000)                         10%
                     Profit                                       #200,000                       0. 105%
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Performance management
         Solutions                                                                                         3
                 Pay off table                  Demand =          Demand =            Demand =
                                                10 boxes          20 boxes            30 boxes
                 Course of action                    ₦                 ₦                   ₦
                 Buy 10 boxes                      1,500             1,500               1,500
                 Buy 20 boxes                     (1,000)            3,000               3,000
                 Buy 30 boxes                     (3,500)             500                4,500
         a)      Maximax decision rule:
                 30 boxes would be bought as this allows for the biggest possible pay off.
         b)      Maximin decision rule:
                 10 boxes would be bought as this would maximise the lowest possible pay-
                 offs associated with each course of action at the lowest demand level.
         c)      Minimax regret decision rule
                 Regret table          Demand =      Demand =        Demand =      Maximum
                                       10 boxes       20 boxes       30 boxes       regret
                 Course of action          ₦              ₦              ₦             ₦
                 Buy 10 boxes             0            1,500            3,000               3,000
                 Buy 20 boxes           2,500            0              1,500               2,500
                 Buy 30 boxes           5,000          2,500              0                 5,000
                 20 boxes should be bought.
© Emile Woolf International                      660           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                          21
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                CHAPTER
                              Working capital management
 Contents
 1 Financing working capital
 2 Cash operating cycle
 3 Other working capital ratios
 4 Overtrading
 5 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       2     Working capital management
             a     Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
             b     Calculate and explain the cash operating cycle.
Exam context
This chapter explains the nature, elements and importance of working capital and different
ways in which it might be financed.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Define working capital and its components.
      Explain the objectives of working capital management
      Explain and evaluate a cash operating cycle
      Define and use ratios used in working capital management
      Define and be able to identify the characteristics of overtrading
© Emile Woolf International                      662         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  Chapter 21: Working capital management
1      FINANCING WORKING CAPITAL
         Section overview
          The nature and elements of working capital
          The objectives of working capital management
             Investment in working capital
             Determining the level of working capital investment
             Financing working capital: short-term or long-term finance?
       1.1 The nature and elements of working capital
               Working capital is the capital (finance) that an entity needs to support its
               everyday operations. To operate a business, an entity must invest in inventories
               and it must sell its goods or services on credit. Holding inventories and selling on
               credit costs money.
               Some of the finance required for operations is provided by taking credit from
               suppliers. This means that the suppliers to an entity are helping to support the
               business operations of that entity. Some short-term operating finance might also
               be obtained by having a bank overdraft.
               Cash and short-term investments are also elements of working capital. Some
               cash might be held for operational use, to pay liabilities. Surplus cash in excess
               of operational requirements might be invested short-term to earn some interest.
               Working capital can therefore be defined as the net current assets (or net current
               operating assets) of a business. (This is the net concept and is adopted in this
               chapter. There is also the gross concept which views working capital as a firm’s
               total investment in current assets).
               The total investment in working capital is calculated as:
                 Illustration: Working capital
                       Current assets:                                                         ₦
                         Inventory                                                             X
                         Trade receivables                                                     X
                         Short-term investments                                                 X
                         Cash                                                                   X
                                                                                                X
                       Minus current liabilities:
                         Bank overdraft                                                         X
                         Trade payables                                                         X
                         Other current liabilities                                              X
                                                                                               (X)
                       Working capital                                                          X
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Performance management
       1.2 The objectives of working capital management
               The management of working capital is an aspect of financial management, and is
               concerned with:
                      Ensuring that the investment in working capital is not excessive;
                      Ensuring that enough working capital is available to support operating
                       activities.
               Note on surplus cash and short-term investments. For entities with surplus
               cash, there is also the management problem of how to use the surplus. If the
               surplus is only temporary, it might be invested in short-term financial assets. The
               aim should be to select investments that provide a suitable return without undue
               risk, and that can be converted back into cash without difficulty when the money
               is eventually required. The management of surplus cash is discussed in more
               detail in a later chapter.
               Avoiding excessive working capital
               An aim of working capital management should be to avoid excessive investment
               in working capital. As stated earlier, working capital is financed by long-term
               capital (equity or debt) which has a cost.
               It can be argued that it is essential to hold inventory and to offer credit to
               customers, so investment in current assets is unavoidable. However, the
               investment in inventory and trade receivables does not provide any additional
               financial return. So investment in working capital has a cost without providing any
               direct financial return.
               Avoiding liquidity problems
               On the other hand, a shortage of working capital might result in liquidity problems
               due to having insufficient operational cash flows to pay liabilities when payment is
               due. Operational cash flows come into a business from the sale of inventories
               and payment by customers: inventory and trade receivables are therefore a
               source of future cash income. These must be sufficient for the payment of
               liabilities.
               A company that has insufficient working capital might find that it has to make
               payments to suppliers (or other short-term liabilities) but does not have enough
               cash or bank overdraft facility to do so, because its current assets are insufficient
               to generate the cash inflows that are needed and when payment falls due.
               Liquidity problems, when serious, can result in insolvency.
               The conflict of objectives with working capital management
               A conflict of objectives therefore exists with working capital management. Over-
               investment should be avoided, because it reduces profits or returns to
               shareholders. Under-investment should be avoided because it creates a liquidity
               risk. These issues are explained in more detail below:
© Emile Woolf International                        664         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 21: Working capital management
       1.3 Investment in working capital
               The total amount that an entity invests in working capital should be managed
               carefully.
                      The investment should not be too high, with excessive inventories and
                       trade receivables. If the investment is too high, the entity is incurring a cost
                       (the interest cost of the investment) without obtaining any benefits.
                      The investment should not be too low. In particular the entity should not
                       rely, for its financing of operations, on large amounts of trade credit from
                       suppliers or a large bank overdraft. If working capital is too low, there could
                       be a risk of having insufficient cash and liquidity.
               The amount to invest in working capital depends on the trade-off between:
                      The benefits of having sufficient finance to support trading operations
                       without excessive liquidity risk, and
                      The costs of financing the working capital.
               Benefits of investing in working capital
               There are significant benefits of investing in working capital:
                      Holding inventory allows the entity to supply its customers on demand.
                      Entities are expected by many customers to sell to them on credit. Unless
                       customers are given credit (which means having to invest trade
                       receivables) they will buy instead from competitors who will offer credit.
                      It is also useful for an entity to have some cash in the bank to meet
                       demands for immediate payment.
               Disadvantages of excessive investment in working capital
               However, money tied up in inventories, trade receivables and a current bank
               account earns nothing. Investing in working capital therefore involves a cost. The
               cost of investing in working capital is the reduction in profit that results from the
               money being invested in inventories, receivables or cash in the bank account,
               rather than being invested in wealth-producing assets and long-term projects.
               The cost of investing in working capital can be stated simply as:
               Average investment in working capital × Annual cost of finance (%)
               = Annual cost of working capital investment.
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Performance management
       1.4 Determining the level of working capital investment
               The target level of working capital investment in an organisation is a policy
               decision which is dependent on several factors including:
                      The length of the working capital cycle
                      Management attitude to risk
               The length of the working capital cycle
               Different industries will have different working capital requirements. The working
               capital cycle measures the time taken from the payment made to suppliers of raw
               materials to the payments received from customers. In a manufacturing company
               this will include the time that:
                      Raw materials are held in inventory before they are used in production
                      The product takes in the production process
                      Finished goods are held in inventory before being purchased by a
                       customer.
               The working capital cycle will also be affected by the terms of trade. This is the
               amount of credit given to customers compared to the credit taken from suppliers.
               In a manufacturing company it may be normal practise to give customers lengthy
               periods of credit.
               The level of working capital in manufacturing industry is therefore likely to be
               higher than in retailing where goods are bought in for re-sale and may not be
               held in inventory for a very long period and where most sales are for cash rather
               than on credit terms.
               Management attitude to risk
               High levels of working capital are expensive but low levels of working capital are
               high risk.
                      An aggressive working capital policy will seek to keep working capital to a
                       minimum. Low finished goods inventory will run the risk that customers will
                       not be supplied and will instead buy from customers. Low raw material
                       inventory may lead to stock-outs (or ‘inventory-outs’) and therefore high
                       costs of idle time or expensive replacement suppliers having to be found.
                       Tight credit control may alienate customers and taking long periods of
                       credit from suppliers may run the risk of them refusing to supply on credit at
                       all. However low levels of working capital will be cheap to finance and if
                       managed effectively could increase profitability.
                      A conservative working capital policy aims to keep adequate working
                       capital for the organisation’s needs. Inventories are held at a level to
                       ensure customers will be supplied and stock-outs will not occur. Generous
                       terms are given to customers which may attract more customers. Suppliers
                       are paid on time.
               Risk-seeking managers may prefer to follow a more aggressive working capital
               policy and risk-averse managers a more conservative working capital policy.
© Emile Woolf International                        666           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                    Chapter 21: Working capital management
       1.5 Financing working capital: short-term or long-term finance?
               Working capital may be permanent or fluctuating.
                      Permanent working capital refers to the minimum level of working capital
                       which is required all of the time. It includes minimum levels of inventories,
                       trade receivables and trade payables.
                      Fluctuating working capital refers to working capital which is required at
                       certain times in the trade cycle. For example it may be economic for
                       companies to purchase raw materials in bulk. The finance required to fund
                       the purchase of the order will be a temporary requirement because
                       eventually the raw material will be made into a product and sold to
                       customers. The levels of fluctuating working capital may be higher if
                       companies have seasonal demand. For example manufacturers of skiing
                       equipment might build up inventories of products before the winter season.
               Long-term finance, such as equity and debt, is expensive but low risk. Short-term
               finance is less expensive but there is a higher risk of it being withdrawn. The
               type of financing used within the business may depend on management attitude
               to risk.
                      Aggressive funding policies use long-term finance to fund non-current
                       assets and short-term finance to fund all working capital requirements
                      Matching funding policies use long-term finance to fund non-current
                       assets and permanent working capital. Fluctuating working capital is funded
                       using short-term finance.
                      Conservative funding policies use long-term finance to fund non-current
                       assets, permanent working capital and a proportion of fluctuating working
                       capital. Minimal short-term finance is used.
               The benefits of using short-term finance (trade payables and a bank overdraft)
               rather than long-term finance are as follows:
                      Lower cost. Trade credit is the cheapest form of short-term finance – it
                       costs nothing. The supplier has provided goods or services but the entity
                       has not yet had to pay.
                      Much more flexible. A bank overdraft is variable in size, and is only used
                       when needed.
               However, although there are the benefits of low cost and flexibility with short-term
               finance, there are also risks in relying too much on short-term finance.
                      Short-term finance runs out more quickly and has to be renewed. Suppliers
                       must be asked for trade credit every time goods or services are bought
                       from them.
                      A bank overdraft facility is risky, because the bank has the right to demand
                       immediate repayment of an overdraft at any time. When an entity needs a
                       higher bank overdraft, this can often be the time that the bank decides to
                       withdraw the overdraft facility.
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Performance management
2      CASH OPERATING CYCLE
         Section overview
          The nature of the cash operating cycle
          Elements in the cash operating cycle
             Calculating the inventory turnover period
             Calculating the average collection period
             Calculating the average payables period
             Analysing the cash operating cycle
             Changes in the cash flow cycle and implications for operating cash flow
       2.1 The nature of the cash operating cycle
               An important way of assessing the adequacy of working capital and the efficiency
               of working capital management is to calculate the length of the cash operating
               cycle.
               This cycle is the average length of time between paying suppliers for goods and
               services received to receiving cash from customers for sales of finished goods or
               services.
               The cash operating cycle is linked to the business operating cycle. A business
               operating cycle is the average length of time between obtaining goods and
               services from suppliers to selling the finished goods to suppliers.
               A cash operating cycle differs significantly for different types of business. For
               example, a company in a service industry such as a holiday tour operator does
               not have much inventory, and it might collect payments for holidays from
               customers in advance. The time between paying suppliers and receiving cash
               from customers might be very short.
               In contrast a manufacturing company might have to hold large inventories of raw
               materials and components, work in progress and finished goods, and most of its
               sales will be on credit so that it has substantial trade receivables too. The time
               between paying for raw materials and eventually receiving payment for finished
               goods could be lengthy.
               Retail companies have differing cash operating cycles. Major supermarkets have
               a very short cash operating cycle, because they often sell goods to customers
               before they have even paid their suppliers for them. This is because
               supermarkets enjoy very fast turnover of most items and their sales are for cash.
               In contrast a furniture retailer might hold inventory for a much longer time before
               selling it, and some customers might arrange to pay for their purchases in
               instalments.
               Cash operating cycle and working capital requirements
               The cash operating cycle is a key factor in deciding the minimum amount of
               working capital required by a company. A longer cash operating cycle means a
               larger investment in working capital.
               The cash operating cycle, and each of the elements in the cycle, must be
               managed to ensure that the investment in working capital is not excessive (i.e.
               the cash cycle is not too long) nor too small (i.e. the cash cycle is too short,
               perhaps because the credit period taken from suppliers is too long).
© Emile Woolf International                        668        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 21: Working capital management
       2.2 Elements in the cash operating cycle
               There are three main elements in the cash operating cycle:
                      The average length of time that inventory is held before it is used or sold
                      The average credit period taken from suppliers
                      The average length of credit period taken by (or given to) credit customers.
               A cash cycle or operating cycle is measured as follows.
                 Illustration: Cash operating cycle
                                                                                       Days/weeks/
                                                                                         months
                       Average inventory holding period                                     X
                       Average trade receivables collection period                          X
                                                                                               X
                       Average period of credit taken from suppliers                          (X)
                       Operating cycle                                                         X
               The working capital ratios and the length of the cash cycle should be monitored
               over time. The cycle should not be allowed to become unreasonable in length,
               with a risk of over-investment or under-investment in working capital.
               Measuring the cash operating cycle: a manufacturing business
               For a manufacturing business, it might be appropriate to calculate the inventory
               turnover period as the sum of three separate elements:
                      the average time raw materials and purchased components are held in
                       inventory before they are issued to production (raw materials inventory
                       turnover period), plus
                      the production cycle (which relates to inventories of work-in-progress), plus
                      the average time that finished goods are held in inventory before they are
                       sold (finished goods inventory turnover).
       2.3 Calculating the inventory turnover period
               For a company in the retail sector or service sector of industry, the average
               inventory turnover period is normally calculated as follows:
                 Formula: Average time for holding inventory (Inventory holding period or average
                 inventory days)
                                                           Inventory
                     Average inventory days =                                     365 days
                                                          Cost of sales
               If possible, average inventory should be used to calculate the ratio because the
               year-end inventory level might not be representative of the average inventory in
               the period. Average inventory is usually calculated as the average of the
               inventory levels at the beginning and end of the period. However, the year-end
© Emile Woolf International                        669          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               inventory should be used when opening inventory is not given and average
               inventory cannot be calculated.
               For companies in the retailing or service sector, the cost of sales is normally used
               ‘below the line’ in calculating inventory turnover. However, if the value for annual
               purchases of materials is given, it might be more appropriate to use the figure for
               purchases instead of cost of sales.
               For a manufacturing company, the total inventory turnover period is the sum of
               the raw materials turnover period, production cycle and finished goods turnover
               period, calculated as follows:
                 Illustration: Inventory turnover period for a manufacturing company
                                                                                                Days
                       Raw material = (Average raw material inventory/Annual raw
                       material purchases)  365 days                                              X
                       Production cycle = (Average WIP/Annual cost of sales)  365
                       days                                                                        X
                       Finished inventory = (Average finished inventory/Annual cost
                       of sales)  365 days                                                       (X)
                       Total                                                                       X
               Inventory turnover and the turnover period
               Inventory turnover is the inverse of the inventory turnover period.
                      If the average inventory turnover period is 2 months, this means that
                       inventory is ‘turned over’ (used) on average six times each year (= 12
                       months/2 months).
                      If the inventory turnover is 8 times each year, we can calculate the average
                       inventory turnover period as 1.5 months (= 12 months/8) or 46 days (= 365
                       days/8).
       2.4 Calculating the average collection period
               The average period for collection of receivables can be calculated as follows:
                 Formula: Average time to collect (average collection period or average
                 receivables days)
                                                     Trade receivables
                      Average time to collect =                             365 days
                                                        Credit sales
               When normal credit terms offered to customers are 30 days (i.e. the customer is
               required to pay within 30 days of the invoice date), the average collection period
               should be about 30 days. If it exceeds 30 days, this would indicate that some
               customers are taking longer to pay than they should, and this might indicate
               inefficient collection procedures for receivables.
© Emile Woolf International                        670          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 21: Working capital management
       2.5 Calculating the average payables period
               The average period of credit taken from suppliers before payment of trade
               payables can be calculated as follows:
                 Formula: Average time to pay suppliers (Average payables days)
                                                          Trade payables
                         Average time to pay   =                                        365 days
                                                            Purchases
               The average payment period should be close to the normal credit terms offered
               by suppliers in the industry.
                      If the average payment period is much shorter than the industry average,
                       this might suggest that the company has not negotiated reasonable credit
                       terms from suppliers, or that invoices are being paid much sooner than
                       necessary, which is inefficient working capital management.
                      If the average payment period is much longer than the industry average,
                       this might indicate that the company has succeeded in obtaining very
                       favourable credit terms from its suppliers. Alternatively, it means that the
                       company is taking much longer credit than it should, and is failing to comply
                       with its credit terms. This might be an indication of either cash flow
                       problems or (possibly) unethical business practice.
                 Example:
                 Extracts from the statement of financial position      (balance sheet) and income
                 statement of a company are set out below.
                                                                                   ₦
                 Inventories:
                   Raw materials                                               864,000
                   Work in progress                                            448,128
                   Finished goods                                            1,567,893
                 Trade receivables                                           1,425,600
                 Trade payables                                                604,800
                 Annual purchases                                            1,745,000
                 Annual cost of sales                                        5,272,128
                 Annual sales                                                5,802,400
                 Required
                 Calculate the length of the cash operating cycle for the company.
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Performance management
                 Answer
                 Item                                                                        Days
                 Raw material turnover         (864,000/1,745,000) × 365 days                 181
                 Production cycle              (448,128/5,272,128) × 365 days                  31
                 Finished goods turnover         (1,567,893/5,272,128) × 365 da               109
                 Credit period given to
                 customers                       (1,425,600/5,802,400) × 365 da                 90
                                                                                              411
                 Minus:
                 Credit period from suppliers (604,800/1,745,000) × 365 days                 (127)
                 Cash operating cycle                                                         284
                 In this example, it takes the company 284 days on average from paying for the
                 goods and services that go into making its products, before it gets paid the cash
                 from the sales. If the cash cycle gets longer, this would mean having to find ever-
                 increasing amounts to finance the investment in inventory and trade receivables,
                 and it could result in serious cash flow and liquidity problems for the business.
       2.6 Analysing the cash operating cycle
               The cash operating cycle can be analysed to assess whether the total investment
               in working capital is too large or possibly too small. The analysis can be made by
               comparing each element of the cash operating cycle, and the cash operating
               cycle as a whole, with:
                      the cash operating cycle of other companies in the same industry
                      the company’s own cash operating cycle in previous years, to establish
                       whether it is getting longer or shorter.
               Comparisons with other companies in the industry
               As a general rule, the inventory turnover period, average collection period and
               average payment period should be about the same for all companies operating in
               the same industry. If there are differences, there might be reasons. For example
               a company with an unusually large proportion of sales to other countries might
               have a longer average collection period because of the longer time that it takes to
               deliver goods to customers.
               If it is not possible to explain significant differences in any ratio between a
               company’s own turnover periods and the industry average, the differences might
               be due to inefficient working capital management (or possibly efficient
               management). For example an unusually long inventory turnover period
               compared with the industry average might indicate inefficiency due to excessive
               holding of inventory. Slow-moving inventory might also indicate that a write off of
               obsolete inventory might be necessary at some time in the near future.
© Emile Woolf International                       672          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 21: Working capital management
               Comparisons with previous years: trends
               There might be a noticeable trend over time in a company’s turnover ratios from
               one year to the next. A trend towards longer or shorter turnover and cycle times
               should be investigated.
               A particular cause for concern might be a trend towards longer inventory turnover
               periods and longer average collection times, which might be an indication of
               excessive inventories (inefficient inventory management) or inefficient collection
               procedures for trade payables.
                 Example:
                 In the financial year just ended, a retailing company had closing inventory costing
                 ₦425,000 and sales in the year were ₦4.5 million. In the previous year, closing
                 inventory was ₦320,000 and sales during that year were ₦4.3 million.
                 In this example, end-of-year inventory levels are used to calculate inventory
                 turnover periods, because average inventory for the previous year cannot be
                 calculated.
                 Average inventory turnover in the current year:
                                     = ₦425,000/₦4.5 million  365 = 34 days.
                 Average inventory turnover in the previous year:
                                     = ₦320,000/₦4.3 million  365 = 27 days.
                 The average turnover period has increased by 7 days. This might have
                 implications for profitability. If the turnover period had remained 27 days in the
                 current year, closing inventory would be ₦333,000 (= 27/365  ₦4.5 million).
                 This is ₦95,000 less than the actual inventory level, suggesting that with better
                 inventory management, working capital might have been lower by about
                 ₦95,000.
                 If the higher inventory level at the end of the year indicates that it is taking longer
                 to sell inventory, this might suggest that the inventory will not be sold unless the
                 retail company has a sale and the goods are sold at a low gross profit margin.
       2.7 Changes in the cash cycle and implications for operating cash flow
               When there are changes in the length of the cash operating cycle, this has
               implications for cash flow as well as working capital investment.
                      A longer cash operating cycle, given no change in sales or the cost of
                       sales, increases the total investment in working capital. An increase in the
                       inventory turnover period means more inventory and an increase in the
                       average collection period means more trade receivables. A reduction in the
                       average payables period means fewer trade payables, which also
                       increases working capital.
                      An increase in working capital reduces operational cash flows in the period.
               The reverse is also true. A shorter cash operating cycle results in less working
               capital investment, and the fall in working capital increases operating cash flows
               in the period.
© Emile Woolf International                         673          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
3      OTHER WORKING CAPITAL RATIOS
         Section overview
             Liquidity
             Liquidity ratios
             Sales revenue net working capital ratio
       The previous section explained the cash operating cycle and the relevance of turnover
       periods for inventory, trade receivables and trade payables for cash flow and the size
       of investment in working capital.
       Other working capital ratios can also be used to analyse whether a company has too
       much or too little working capital, and whether it has adequate liquidity.
       3.1 Liquidity
               Liquidity for an entity means having access to sufficient cash to meet all payment
               obligations when they fall due.
               The main sources of liquidity for a business are:
                      Cash flows from operations: a business expects to make its payments for
                       operating expenditures out of the cash that it receives from operations.
                       Cash comes in when customers eventually pay what they owe (and from
                       cash sales).
                      Holding ‘liquid assets’: these are assets that are either in the form of cash
                       already (money in a bank account) or are in the form of investments that
                       can be sold quickly and easily for their fair market value.
                      Access to a ‘committed’ borrowing facility from a bank (a ‘revolving credit
                       facility’). Large companies are often able to negotiate an arrangement with
                       a bank whereby they can obtain additional finance whenever they need it.
               A key element of managing working capital is to make sure the organisation has
               sufficient liquidity to meet its payment commitments as they fall due. Having
               sufficient liquidity is a key to survival in business.
               If there is insufficient liquidity, then even if the entity is making profits, it will go
               out of business. If the entity cannot pay what it owes when the payment is due,
               legal action will probably be taken to recover the unpaid money and the entity will
               be put into liquidation. In practice, banks are usually the unpaid creditors who put
               illiquid entities into liquidation.
               The liquidity of a business entity can be assessed by analysing:
                      Its liquidity ratios; and
                      The length of its cash operating cycle (explained earlier).
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                                                                        Chapter 21: Working capital management
       3.2 Liquidity ratios
               A liquidity ratio is used to assess the liquidity of a business. There are two
               liquidity ratios:
                 Formula: Current ratio
                                                            Current assets
                              Current ratio   =
                                                           Current liabilities
                 Formula: Quick ratio
                                              Current assets excluding inventory
                         Quick ratio    =
                                                       Current liabilities
               You should use the values in the closing balance sheet to calculate these two
               ratios.
               The purpose of a liquidity ratio is to compare the amount of liquid assets held by
               a company with its current liabilities. This is because the money to pay the
               current liabilities should be expected to come from the cash flows generated by
               the liquid assets.
               Unlike the cash operating cycle ratios, the liquidity ratios include all current
               assets (including cash and short-term investments) and all current liabilities
               (including any bank overdraft and current tax payable).
               Analysing the liquidity ratios
               If the liquidity ratios are too high, this indicates that there is too much investment
               in working capital. If the liquidity ratios are low, this indicates that the company
               might not have enough liquidity, and might be at risk of being unable to settle its
               liabilities when they fall due. So how do we assess whether the liquidity ratios are
               too high or too low.
               The liquidity ratios of a company may be compared with:
                      the liquidity ratios of other companies in the same industry, to assess
                       whether the company’s liquidity ratios are higher or lower than the industry
                       average or norm and
                      changes in the company’s liquidity ratios over time and whether its current
                       assets are rising or falling in proportion to its current liabilities.
               It has sometimes been suggested that there ‘ideal liquidity ratios and that:
                      the ‘ideal’ current ratio might be 2:1.
                      the ‘ideal’ quick ratio might be 1:1.
               When the ratios are below these ‘ideal’ levels, management might need to
               consider how liquidity might be improved.
               However, these ‘ideal’ ratios are only a very general guide.
                      The ‘normal’ or ‘acceptable’ liquidity ratios vary significantly between
                       different industries. The ideal liquidity ratios depend to a large extent on the
                       ‘ideal’ or ‘normal’ turnover periods for inventory, collections and payments
                       to suppliers.
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Performance management
                      A high ratio might be attributable to an unusually large holding of cash.
                       When a company has surplus cash or short-term investments, this might be
                       temporary and the company might have plans for how the cash will be used
                       in the near future.
               The most appropriate way of using liquidity ratios is probably to monitor
               changes in the ratio over time. When the ratios fall below a ‘safe‘level, and
               continue to fall, the entity might well have a serious liquidity problem.
               Note
               Which of the two liquidity ratios is more significant? The answer to this question is
               that it depends on the normal speed of turnover for inventory. If inventory is held
               only for a short time before it is used or sold, the current ratio is probably a more
               useful ratio, because inventory is a liquid asset (convertible into cash within a
               short time).
               On the other hand, if inventory is slow moving, and so fairly illiquid, the quick ratio
               is probably a better guide to an entity’s liquidity position.
                 Example:
                                                             20X7             20X8            20X9
                                                              ₦m               ₦m              ₦m
                 Inventory                                    130              240             225
                 Trade receivables                            245              312             400
                 Cash                                         100               54              23
                 Current assets                               475             606              648
                 Current liabilities                         (200)           (300)            (450)
                 Net current assets                           275              306             198
                 In addition, the following information is available:
                 Credit sales                                               1,500            1,530
                 Cost of goods sold                                         1,120            1,200
                 Required
                 Assess the entity’s liquidity position, using:
                        inventory turnover time
                        the average collection time
                        liquidity ratios.
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                                                                    Chapter 21: Working capital management
                 Answer
                 When the information is available, you should use average inventory and average
                 trade receivables for the year, rather than the year-end value.
                 It is assumed that average values for the year are the average of the beginning–
                 of-year and end-of-year values.
                 Inventory turnover
                         Average inventory:
                         20X9 = (240 + 225)/2 = 232.5
                         20X8 = (130 + 240)/2 = 185.0
                         Inventory turnover:
                         20X9 = (232.5/1,200) × 365 days = 71 days
                         20X8 = (185/1,120) × 365 days = 60 days.
                 Inventory turnover was slower in 20X9 than in 20X8. This could be an indication
                 of problems with inventory management, as well as deteriorating liquidity.
                 The slower inventory turnover implies that we are not converting the stock to cash
                 as quickly as before. As a result more money is being tied up in working capital.
                 Average time for customers to pay
                         Average trade receivables:
                         20X9 = (312 + 400)/2 = 356.0
                         20X8 = (245 + 312)/2 = 278.5
                         Average time for credit customers to pay
                         20X9 = (356/1,530) × 365 days = 85 days
                         20X8 = (278.5/1,500) × 365 days = 68 days
                 As with inventory turnover, the payment time for trade receivables is worsening
                 and trade receivables are not converting to cash as quickly as before. This implies
                 that the liquidity position is deteriorating.
                 Liquidity ratios
                 Current ratio
                                                      20X7            20X8                 20X9
                 Current assets                         475            606                  648
                 Current liabilities (÷)                200            300                  450
                                                  2.38 times        2.02 times          1.44 times
© Emile Woolf International                       677          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Answer (continued)
                 The liquidity position of the business, as measured by the current ratio, has
                 become much worse in 20X9 compared with 20X8 and 20X6. It could well be
                 getting worse continually. Creditor payments were covered by nearly 2.5 times in
                 20X7. By 20X9, the cover had shrunk to around 1.5 times. This indicates a
                 potential problem for the business, possibly in the near future.
                 However, before making this judgement you should want to know the reasons for
                 the deterioration in inventory turnover time and the average time for customers
                 to pay, because these will be linked to the deterioration in the current ratio.
                 Quick ratio
                                                      20X7             20X8                 20X9
                 Current assets                          345            366                  423
                 Current liabilities (÷)                 200            300                  450
                                                   1.73 times       1.22 times           0.94 times
                 This ratio confirms the analysis. The liquidity position is getting worse. However, a
                 ratio of 0.94 is only just below the ‘ideal’ quick ratio of 1.0 time; therefore
                 further analysis should be carried out to assess the problem, and what must be
                 done to resolve it. It might be appropriate to prepare a cash flow forecast for the
                 next few months, to assess the possible need for cash in the near future.
© Emile Woolf International                        678          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     Chapter 21: Working capital management
       3.3 Sales revenue: net working capital ratio
               The sales revenue: net working capital ratio is another ratio that might be used to
               assess whether the investment in working capital is too large or insufficient. This
               is because it might be assumed that the amount of working capital should be
               proportional to the value of annual sales, because there should be a certain
               amount of working capital to ‘support’ a given quantity of sales.
               ‘Net working capital’ is simply total current assets less total current liabilities.
                 Example: Sales revenue: net working capital ratio
                 Last year a company had sales revenue of ₦20 million. Its average current assets
                 were ₦2.8 million and its average current liabilities were ₦1.1 million.
                 Last year its sales: net working capital ratio was 12.5 times. The current average
                 sales: net working capital ratio for other companies in the same industry is 12.4
                 times.
                 Current year
                 Net working capital = ₦1.7 million
                 Sales: net working capital ratio = ₦20 million/₦1.7 million = 11.8 times
                 Analysis
                 The company’s sales: net working capital ratio has fallen since the previous year.
                 It is now below the industry average.
                 A lower ratio means that working capital is now larger relative to sales revenue.
                 This might be an indication that the investment in working capital is getting too
                 large.
                 If the ratio had remained at 12.5, the same as last year, working capital would be
                 ₦1.6 million (= ₦20 million/12.5). This suggests that working capital might now
                 be about ₦100,000 more than necessary.
                 If the ratio had been 12.4, the industry average, working capital would be about
                 ₦1.61 million (= ₦20 million/12.4). This suggests that working capital might now
                 be about ₦90,000 more than necessary.
                 This analysis is not necessarily conclusive, but it might be sufficient to justify a
                 closer investigation into working capital investment, the reasons for the change in
                 the ratio and whether measures might be taken to improve the management of
                 working capital (and in doing so increase the ratio back towards the industry
                 average).
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Performance management
4      OVERTRADING
         Section overview
             The meaning of overtrading
             Symptoms of overtrading
             Consequences of overtrading and possible remedial action
       4.1 The meaning of overtrading
               Overtrading means carrying on an excessive volume of trading in relation to the
               amount of long-term capital invested in the business. A company that is
               overtrading has inadequate capital for the volume of sales revenue it is earning.
               Although it is possible for any business entity to overtrade, it is probably most
               common in small companies that are now expanding rapidly, with a very high rate
               of sales growth.
       4.2 Symptoms of overtrading
               A company that is overtrading will usually show most of the following symptoms.
                      A high rate of annual sales growth.
                      Low profitability. The company might be reducing its gross profit margin in
                       order to grow sales quickly. As it grows, the company might also incur
                       much higher expenses, such as higher administration costs, which reduce
                       the net profit margin.
                      Because profitability is low, retained profits are also low. Retained profits
                       are an important source of new equity, but the company is not increasing its
                       equity investment quickly enough because there are insufficient profits.
                      The growth in sales revenue will also mean a large increase in inventory
                       and trade receivables. Working capital management might become less
                       efficient, because systems that operated well when the company was small
                       (such as inventory control and collection of receivables) no longer operate
                       efficiently when the company is larger. Turnover times for inventory and
                       collections might increase.
                      The company might also need to acquire some new non-current assets to
                       support the growth in sales volume.
                      The growth in assets has to be financed by equity and liabilities. Because
                       profits are low, equity capital increases only by a small amount. The growth
                       in assets is therefore financed by liabilities and in particular by current
                       liabilities.
                      The increase in current liabilities takes the form of:
                             a much longer time to pay suppliers, so that the average payments
                              period increases substantially and trade payables in the statement of
                              financial position (balance sheet) are much higher
                             a very big increase in its bank overdraft.
© Emile Woolf International                          680         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                    Chapter 21: Working capital management
                 Example: Overtrading
                 Vesuvius is a rapidly-growing company. Its summarised financial statements for
                 the current financial year (just ended) and the previous year are as follows:
                 Summarised income statements
                                                    Current year       Previous year
                                                           ₦000                   ₦000
                 Revenue                                   4,000                  3,000
                 Cost of sales                             2,400                  1,500
                                                         ––––––––             ––––––––
                 Gross profit                              1,600                  1,500
                 Operating expenses                        1,550                  1,250
                                                         ––––––––             ––––––––
                 Net profit                                   50                    250
                                                         ––––––––             ––––––––
                 Summarised statements of financial position
                                                             Current year            Previous year
                                                           ₦000     ₦000           ₦000        ₦000
                 Non-current assets                                 2,000                      1,800
                 Current assets
                  Inventory                                  600                     300
                  Trade receivables                          650                     330
                  Cash                                        nil                     20
                                                                    1,250                         650
                 Total assets                                       3,250                      2,450
                 Equity and liabilities
                 Share capital                                      1,800                      1,800
                 Retained earnings                                    500                        450
                                                                    2,300                      2,250
                 Current liabilities
                  Trade payables                             450                     200
                  Bank overdraft                             500                      nil
                                                                       950                        200
                                                                    3,250                      2,450
                 This is a company that displays all the symptoms of overtrading.
                 Sales in the current year are 33.3% higher than in the previous year. This is a very
                 high rate of sales growth.
                 Profits are low. The gross profit margin has fallen to 40% in the current year
                 compared with 50% in the previous year. The company might be reducing its
                 sales prices in order to sell more goods.
                 Net profit fell from ₦250,000 in the previous year to just ₦50,000 in the current
                 year. All this profit has been retained, but the growth in equity and reserves is
                 small in relation to the growth in the size of the business.
© Emile Woolf International                        681          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Overtrading
                 There has been a big increase in inventory, by 100%. The average turnover period
                 for inventory increased to 91 days in the current year [(600/2,400)  365] from
                 73 days in the previous year [(300/1,500)  365].
                 The average time to collect trade receivables has also increased substantially, by
                 ₦320,000 or 97%. The average collection period was 59 days in the current year
                 [(650/4,000)  365] but only 40 days in the previous year [(330/3,000)  365].
                 There has been some increase in non-current assets, which has been largely
                 financed by current liabilities – probably bank overdraft.
                 There has been a very large increase of ₦250,000 or 125% in trade payables, as
                 well as a movement from a cash surplus of ₦20,000 to a bank overdraft of
                 ₦500,000. The increase in trade payables is due not only to the growth in sales
                 volume and cost of sales, but also to an increase in the average payment period
                 to 68 days in the current year [(450/2,400)  365] from 49 days in the previous
                 year [(200/1,500)  365].
       4.3 Consequences of overtrading and possible remedial action
               The consequences of overtrading are eventual insolvency, unless remedial
               measures are taken. Insolvency will occur if sales continue to grow and
               overtrading continues because a company cannot finance its growth in business
               indefinitely with growth in current liabilities.
               In the previous example, the company’s bank will eventually refuse to allow any
               more overdraft, and might even withdraw the existing overdraft facility if it
               believes that the company cannot repay what it already owes. The company’s
               suppliers will also eventually refuse to allow longer credit.
               Overtrading therefore eventually leads to inadequate liquidity due to insufficient
               long-term capital funding.
               Remedial action
               The action to restore the financial position when a company is overtrading is
               either to increase capital or reduce the volume of business that the company is
               conducting. The aim should be to achieve a better ratio of long-term capital to
               sales, and a suitable level of working capital investment.
               One way of increasing long-term capital is to increase profits. A company that is
               overtrading should look for ways of improving both the gross profit and net profit
               margins, by cutting costs or increasing sales prices. Higher profits will enable the
               company to improve its operating cash flows and also to increase its equity
               capital by retaining more profit.
               However, a problem with trying to resolve a problem of overtrading by improving
               profits is that the company might not have time to build up cash flows and profits
               soon enough. The bank might withdraw its overdraft facility without notice,
               making the company insolvent.
© Emile Woolf International                       682          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  Chapter 21: Working capital management
5      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Define working capital and its components.
             Explain the objectives of working capital management
             Explain and evaluate a cash operating cycle
             Define and use ratios used in working capital management
             Define and be able to identify the characteristics of overtrading
© Emile Woolf International                       683         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                     22
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                           CHAPTER
                                     Inventory management
 Contents
 1 Material purchase quantities: Economic order quantity
 2 Re-order level and buffer stock
 3 Just-in-Time (JIT) and other inventory management
   methods
 4 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                685         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       2     Working capital management
             a     Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
             c     Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing working
                   capital in relation to:
                   i     Inventory (including economic order quantity model and Just-in-Time
                         techniques)
Exam context
This chapter explains the mathematical models that may be used to identify the lowest costs
associated with holding inventory at given level of activity. It also explains other approaches
that might be used in practice including just-in-time inventory management.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Describe the economic order quantity (EOQ) and apply the concept in given scenarios
      Calculate the EOQ from data provided
      Describe safety stocks for inventories
      Explain the reasons for maintaining safety stock
      Calculate the safety stock using data provided
      Explain re-order levels and the objectives of setting re-order levels
      Calculate re-order levels using data provided
© Emile Woolf International                       686         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 22: Inventory management
1      MATERIAL PURCHASE QUANTITIES: ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY
         Section overview
             Costs associated with inventory
             Economic order quantity (EOQ)
             Optimum order quantity with price discounts for large orders
       1.1 Costs associated with inventory
               Many companies, particularly manufacturing and retailing companies, might hold
               large amounts of inventory. They usually hold inventory so that they can meet
               customer demand as soon as it arises. If there is no inventory when the customer
               asks for it (if there is a ‘stock-out’ or ‘inventory-out’) the customer might buy the
               product from a competitor instead. However holding inventory creates costs.
               The costs associated with inventory are:
                      Purchase price of the inventory;
                      Re-order costs are the costs of making orders to purchase a quantity of a
                       material item from a supplier. They include costs such as:
                             the cost of delivery of the purchased items, if these are paid for by the
                              buyer;
                             the costs associated with placing an order, such as the costs of
                              telephone calls;
                             costs associated with checking the inventory after delivery from the
                              supplier;
                             batch set up costs if the inventory is produced internally.
                      Inventory holding costs:
                             cost of capital tied up;
                             insurance costs;
                             cost of warehousing;
                             obsolescence, deterioration and theft.
                      Shortage costs
                             lost profit on sale;
                             future loss of profit due to loss of customer goodwill;
                             costs due to production stoppage due to shortage of raw materials;
© Emile Woolf International                              687      The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Investment in inventory has a cost. Capital is tied up in inventory and the capital
               investment has a cost. Inventory has to be paid for, and when an organisation
               holds a quantity of inventory it must therefore obtain finance to pay for it.
                 Example: Cost of holding inventory
                 A company holds between 0 units and 10,000 units of an item of material that
                 costs ₦1,000 per unit to purchase.
                 The cost of the materials held in store therefore varies between ₦0 and
                 ₦10,000,000.
                 If demand for the inventory is constant throughout the year the average cost of
                 inventory held is ₦5,000,000 (half the maximum).
                 This inventory must be financed, and it is usual to assume (for simplicity) that it is
                 financed by borrowing that has an interest cost.
                 If the interest cost of holding inventory is 5% per year, the cost per year of holding
                 the inventory would be ₦250,000 (₦5,000,000  5%).
               There are also running expenses incurred in holding inventory, such as the
               warehousing costs (warehouse rental, wages or salaries of warehouse staff).
               A distinction can be made between variable inventory holding costs (cost of
               capital, cost of losses through deterioration and loss) and fixed inventory costs
               (wages and salaries, warehouse rental). Changing inventory levels will affect
               variable inventory holding costs but not fixed costs.
               Trade off
               Note that there is a trade-off between holding costs and ordering costs.
                 Example: Trade-off between holding costs and ordering costs
                 A company requires 12,000 of a certain component every year.
                 Demand for the component is constant. (This condition means that the average
                 inventory is half of the maximum as long as there is no safety stock).
                 The company can decide on the number it orders and this affects the holding cost
                 and ordering costs.
                       Let:   Q = Order size
                              D = Annual demand
                                                                     Order size (Q)
                                                         12,000            6,000               3,000
                       Average inventory (Q/2)           6,000             3,000               1,500
                       Number of orders (D/Q)              1                 2                   3
               The average inventory falls as the order size falls thus reducing holding cost.
               However, smaller orders mean more of them. This increases the order cost.
               A business will be concerned with minimising costs and will make decisions
               based on this objective. Note that any decision making model must focus on
               those costs that are relevant to the decision. The relevant costs are only those
               that change with a decision. When choosing between two courses of action, say
© Emile Woolf International                        688            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                Chapter 22: Inventory management
               A and B, any cost that will be incurred whether action A or action B is undertaken
               can be ignored. This is covered in more detail in chapter 14.
       1.2 Economic order quantity (EOQ)
               The Economic Order Quantity model (EOQ) is a mathematical model used to
               calculate the quantity of inventory to order from a supplier each time that an order
               is made. The aim of the model is to identify the order quantity for any item of
               inventory that minimises total annual inventory costs.
               The model is based on simplifying assumptions.
                 Assumption                                   Implication
                 There are no bulk purchase discounts         Order size (Q) does not affect the total
                 for making orders in large sizes. All        annual purchase cost of the items.
                 units purchased for each item of             Purchase price can be ignored in the
                 material cost the same unit price.           decision as it does not affect the
                                                              outcome.
                 The order lead time (the time between        Delivery of a new order is always
                 placing an order and receiving               timed to coincide with running out of
                 delivery from the supplier) is constant      inventory so the maximum inventory is
                 and known.                                   the order size (Q)
                                                              There is no risk of being out of stock.
                                                              Shortage costs can be ignored.
                 Annual demand for the inventory item         Average inventory is the order size/2
                 is constant throughout the year.             because the maximum inventory is Q
               As a result of the simplifying assumptions the relevant costs are the annual
               holding cost per item per annum and the annual ordering costs.
               If the price of materials is the same, no matter what the size of the purchase
               order, the purchase order quantity that minimises total costs is the quantity at
               which ordering costs plus the costs of holding inventory are minimised.
               The EOQ model formula
               The order quantity or purchase quantity that minimises the total annual cost of
               ordering the item plus holding it in store is called the economic order quantity or
               EOQ.
                 Formula: Economic order quantity (Q)
                                                            2CO D
                                                     Q =J
                                                                CH
                       Where:
                       Q = Quantity purchased in each order to minimise costs
                       CO = Fixed cost per order
                       CH = the cost of holding one item of inventory per annum
                       D = Annual demand
© Emile Woolf International                        689               The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Notes:
               There will be an immediate supply of new materials (Q units) as soon as existing
               quantities in store run down to zero. The minimum quantity held in store is
               therefore zero units and this always occurs just before a new purchase order
               quantity is received.
               The maximum quantity held is Q units. The average amount of inventory held is
               therefore Q/2 and total holding costs each year are (Q/2) × CH.
               The number of orders each year is D/Q. Total ordering costs each year are
               therefore (D/Q) × CO.
               The economic order quantity (EOQ) is the order size that minimises the sum of
               these costs during a period (normally one year), given the assumptions stated
               above.
                   Example: Economic order quantity
                   A company uses 120,000 units of Material X each year, which costs ₦300 for each
                   unit. The cost of placing an order is ₦6,500 for each order. The annual cost of
                   holding inventory each year is 10% of the purchase price of a unit.
                   The economic order quantity for Material X is as follows:
                        CO = Fixed cost per order = ₦6,500
                        CH = the cost of holding one item of inventory per annum = 10%  300=
                        ₦30
                        D = Annual demand = 120,000 units
                                             2CO D    2  6,500 × 120,000
                                  Q=       J       =J                             = 7,211.1
                                  units    CH                 30
               The EOQ is the quantity that minimises the sum of the annual order costs and
               the annual holding costs. The annual holding costs equal the annual order costs
               at this level.
                 Example: Annual costs of the EOQ
                 Using information from the previous example
                       Annual order costs:                                                            ₦
                         Number of orders  fixed cost per order
                         D/Q  CO = 120,000/7211.1  6,500                                         108,166
                       Annual holding costs:
                        Average inventory  cost of holding one item per annum:
                        Q/2  30 = 7,211.1/2  30                                                  108,166
                       Total annual cost that is minimised by the EOQ                              216,332
                       Annual purchase price (D  Price = 120,000  300)                       36,000,000
                       Total annual cost                                                       36,216,332
© Emile Woolf International                           690           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 22: Inventory management
               The costs that are minimised are often very small compared to the purchase
               price in the model. The purchase price is irrelevant in deciding the order quantity
               because it is not affected by the order size when the annual demand is constant.
               Total annual ordering costs and annual holding costs are always the same
               whenever the purchase quantity for materials is the EOQ and the assumptions on
               which the EOQ is based (described earlier) apply. This would not be the case if
               safety inventory was held (but the simplifying assumptions preclude this from
               happening).
                 Practice questions                                                                      1
                 1     A company uses the economic order quantity (EOQ) model to
                       determine the purchase order quantities for materials.
                       The demand for material item M234 is 12,000 units every three
                       months.
                       The item costs ₦80 per unit, and the annual holding cost is 6% of the
                       purchase cost per year. The cost of placing an order for the item is
                       ₦250.
                       What is the economic order quantity for material item M234 (to the
                       nearest unit)?
                 2     A company uses the economic order quantity (EOQ) model to
                       determine the purchase order quantities for materials.
                       The demand for material item M456 is 135,000 units per year. The
                       item costs ₦100 per unit, and the annual holding cost is 5% of the
                       purchase cost per year.
                       The cost of placing an order for the item is ₦240.
                       What are the annual holding costs for material item M456?
                 3     A company uses a chemical compound, XYZ in its production
                       processes.
                       XYZ costs ₦1,120 per kg. Each month, the company uses 5,000 kg of
                       XYZ and holding costs per kg. per annum are ₦20.
                       Every time the company places an order for XYZ it incurs administrative
                       costs of ₦180.
                       What is the economic order quantity for material item XYZ (to the
                       nearest unit)?
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Performance management
       1.3 Optimum order quantity with price discounts for large orders
               When the EOQ formula is used to calculate the purchase quantity, it is assumed
               that the purchase cost per unit of material is a constant amount, regardless of the
               order quantity.
               If a supplier offers a discount on the purchase price for orders above a certain
               quantity the purchase price becomes a relevant cost. When this situation arises,
               the order quantity that minimises total costs will be either:
                      The economic order quantity; or
                      The minimum order quantity necessary to obtain the price discount.
               The total costs each year including purchases, ordering costs and holding costs,
               must be calculated for the EOQ and the minimum order quantity to obtain each
               discount on offer.
                 Example: Optimum order quantity with price discounts
                 A company uses 120,000 units of Material X each year, which costs ₦300 for
                 each unit.
                 The cost of placing an order is ₦6,500 for each order.
                 The annual cost of holding inventory each year is 10% of the purchase cost.
                 The EOQ based on the above information is 7,211 units.
                 The supplier offers a price discount of ₦5 per unit for orders of 10,000 or more.
                 The order quantity that will minimise total costs is found as follows:
                     Order quantity:                                    7,211.1 units         10,000 units
                                                                                        ₦                   ₦
                     Annual ordering costs (
                     D /Q    CO = 120,000/7211.1  6,500                      108,166
                         CO =
                     D /Q          120,000/10,000    6,500                                          78,000
                     Holding costs
                     Q /2    30 = 7,211.1/2  30                              108,166
                     Q /2    30 = 10,000/2  30                                                   150,000
                                                                               216,332             228,000
                     Annual purchase costs
                     120,000  ₦300                                       36,000,000
                     120,000  ₦(300  5)                                                      35,400,000
                     Total costs                                          36,216,332           35,628,000
                 Conclusion: The order quantity that minimises total costs is 10,000 units.
                 (The sum of the annual ordering costs plus the annual holding costs is greater for
                 10,000 units as would be expected from our knowledge of the EOQ model.
                 However this increase is more than compensated for by the saving in purchase
                 price at this order level.)
© Emile Woolf International                                   692   The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 22: Inventory management
                 Practice question                                                                           2
                     A company uses 120,000 units of Material X each year, which costs ₦3
                     for each unit before discount.
                     The costs of making an order are ₦605 for each order. The annual cost of
                     holding inventory is 10% of the purchase cost.
                     The supplier offers a price discount of ₦0.10 per unit for orders of 25,000
                     up to 40,000 units, and a discount of ₦0.20 per unit for orders of 40,000
                     units or more.
                     Find the quantity that will minimise total costs.
© Emile Woolf International                         693          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      RE-ORDER LEVEL AND BUFFER STOCK
         Section overview
          Inventory re-order level and other warning levels
          Re-order level avoiding stock-outs and buffer stock
             Maximum inventory level
             Minimum inventory level
             Using a probability table to decide the optimal re-order level
       2.1     Inventory reorder level and other warning levels
               So far, it has been assumed that when an item of materials is purchased from a
               supplier, the delivery from the supplier will happen immediately. In practice,
               however, there is likely to be some uncertainty about when to make a new order
               for inventory in order to avoid the risk of running out of inventory before the new
               order arrives from the supplier. There are two reasons for this:
                      There is a supply lead time. This is the period of time between placing a
                       new order with a supplier and receiving the delivery of the purchased items.
                       The length of this supply lead time might be uncertain and might be several
                       days, weeks or even months.
                      The daily or weekly usage of the material might not be a constant amount.
                       During the supply lead time, the actual usage of the material may be more
                       than or less than the average usage.
               If demand for an inventory item exceeds the available quantity of inventory during
               the reorder period, there will be a stock-out (inventory-out). When there is a
               stock-out of a key item of inventory used in production, there would be a hold-up
               in production and a disruption to the production schedules. This in turn may lead
               to a loss of sales and profits. Stock-outs therefore have a cost.
               Management responsible for inventory control might like to know:
                      What the reorder level should be for each item of materials, in order to
                       avoid any stock-out. (reorder level is the level of inventory at which a new
                       order for the item should be placed with the supplier);
                      Whether the inventory level for each item of material appears to be too high
                       or too low;
                      What the reorder level should be for each item of materials, if stock-outs
                       can be allowed to happen.
               In an inventory control system, if there is uncertainty about the length of the
               supply lead time and demand during the lead time there might be three warning
               levels for inventory, to warn management that:
                      The item should now be reordered (the reorder level)
                      The inventory level is too high (a maximum inventory level) or
                      The inventory level is getting dangerously low (a minimum inventory level).
© Emile Woolf International                        694          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 22: Inventory management
       2.2     Re-order level avoiding stock-outs and buffer stock
               If the management policy is to avoid stock-outs entirely, the reorder level should
               be high enough to ensure that no stock-out occurs during the supply lead time. A
               new quantity of materials should be ordered when current inventory reaches the
               reorder level for that material.
               If the supply lead time (time between placing an order and receiving delivery) is
               certain and demand during the lead time is constant a company would be able to
               set a reorder level such that it used the last item just as a new order arrived, thus
               reducing holding costs to a minimum.
               The reorder level to do this is found as follows.
                 Illustration: Re-order level – Certain lead time and constant demand
                 Demand for the material item per day/week × Lead time in days/weeks
               If the supply lead time is uncertain, and demand during the lead time is also
               uncertain, there should be a safety level of inventory. A company may wish to
               ensure that they are never out of stock. The reorder level to achieve this is found
               as follows.
                 Illustration: Re-order level: Uncertain demand in lead time
                         Maximum demand for the                 Maximum supply lead time in
                         material item per day/week                 days/weeks
               Safety inventory (‘buffer stock’ or ‘safety stock’)
               The re-order level is therefore set at the maximum expected consumption of the
               material item during the supply lead time. This is more than the average usage
               during the supply lead time. As a result more inventory is held that is needed on
               average.
                 Illustration: Average inventory
                                                 Q/2 + Safety inventory
               Safety inventory is the average amount of inventory held in excess of average
               requirements in order to remove the risk of a stock-out. The size of the safety
               inventory is calculated as follows:
                 Illustration: Safety inventory (also known as buffer stock)
                                                                                                 Units
                       Reorder level:
                          Maximum demand per day  Maximum lead time                                X
                       Average usage in the lead time period:
                              Average demand per day  Average lead time                           (X)
                       Safety inventory                                                             X
               The cost of holding safety inventory is the size of the safety inventory multiplied
               by the holding cost per unit per annum.
© Emile Woolf International                         695         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.3     Maximum inventory level
               A company will set a maximum level for inventory. Inventory held above this
               would incur extra holding cost without adding any benefit to the company.
               The inventory level should never exceed a maximum level. If it does, something
               unusual has happened to either the supply lead time or demand during the
               supply lead time. The company would investigate this and take action perhaps
               adjusting purchasing behaviour.
               When demand during the supply lead time is uncertain and the supply lead time
               is also uncertain, the maximum inventory level is found as follows.
                 Illustration: Maximum inventory level
                                                                                                Units
                       Reorder level                                                             X
                       Reorder quantity                                                          X
                                                                                                   X
                       Less:
                         Minimum demand per              Minimum supply lead time in
                              day/week                       days/weeks
                                                                                                  (X)
               This maximum level should occur at the time that a new delivery of the item has
               been received from the supplier. The supply lead time is short; therefore there
               are still some units of inventory when the new delivery is received.
       2.4     Minimum inventory level
               The inventory level could be dangerously low if it falls below a minimum warning
               level. When inventory falls below this amount, management should check that a
               new supply will be delivered before all the inventory is used up, so that there will
               be no stock-out.
               When demand during the supply lead time is uncertain and the supply lead time
               is also uncertain, the minimum (warning) level for inventory is set as follows.
                 Illustration: Minimum inventory level
                                                                                                Units
                       Reorder level                                                             X
                       Less:
                          Average demand per                Average lead time in
                               day/week                      days/weeks
                                                                                                  (X)
© Emile Woolf International                       696           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 22: Inventory management
                 Example: Re-order levels and buffer stock
                 A company uses material item BC67. The reorder quantity for this material is
                 12,000 units. There is some uncertainty about the length of the lead time
                 between ordering more materials and receiving delivery from the supplier. There
                 is also some variability in weekly demand for the item.
                                                Supply lead time (weeks)
                     Average                            2.5
                     Maximum                             3
                     Minimum                             1
                                               Demand per week (units)
                     Average                        1,200
                     Maximum                        1,500
                     Minimum                          800
                     Re-order level
                     Maximum demand for the                  Maximum lead time
                     material item per day                 in days/weeks
                                                                                        =     Reorder level
                              1,500 units                        3 weeks               =     4,500 units
                     Buffer stock (safety inventory)                                                  Units
                     Re-order level                                                                  4,500
                     Average demand per week                                 1,200 units
                     Average lead time (weeks)                               × 2.5 weeks
                     Subtract:                                                                      (3,000)
                                                                                                     1,500
                     Maximum inventory level                                                          Units
                     Re-order level                                                                  4,500
                     Reorder quantity                                                               12,000
                     Minimum demand per week                                   800 units
                     Minimum lead time (weeks)                                 × 1 week
                                                                                                      (800)
                                                                                                    15,700
                     Minimum inventory level                                                         Units
                     Re-order level                                                                 4,500
                     Average demand per week                                 1,200 units
                     Average lead time (weeks)                               × 2.5 weeks
                     Subtract:                                                                      (3,000)
                                                                                                    1,500
                     The minimum inventory level is the buffer stock quantity.
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Performance management
               A question might combine the EOQ model and reorder level or safety inventory
               (buffer stock).
                 Example: EOQ model and re-order level
                 A company orders 50,000 units of an item when the inventory level falls to
                 100,000 units.
                 Annual consumption of the item is 1,800,000 units per year.
                 The holding cost per unit is ₦1.50 per unit per year and the cost of making an
                 order for delivery of the item is ₦375 per order.
                 The supply lead time is 2 weeks (assume a 50-week year and constant weekly
                 demand for the item).
                 Required
                 Calculate the cost of the current ordering policy and calculate how much annual
                 savings could be obtained using the EOQ model if the existing policy on buffer
                 stack was retained.
                 Answer
                 Step 1: Calculate the safety inventory
                 Weekly demand = 1,800,000/50 weeks = 36,000 units.
                 Safety inventory = 100,000 units – (36,000 units  2 weeks) = 28,000 units.
                 Average inventory = 50,000 units/2 + Safety inventory = 25,000 + 28,000 = 53,000
                 units.
                 Step 2: Work out the annual costs of the current policy
                     Annual cost of current policy                                                      ₦
                     Order costs: ₦375  (1,800,000/50,000)                                          13,500
                     Holding costs of order quantity: (50,000 units/2)  ₦1.50                       37,500
                     Holding costs of safety inventory: 28,000  ₦1.50                               42,000
                     Holding costs of average inventory: 53,000  ₦1.50                              79,500
                                                                                                     93,000
                 Step 3: work out the annual costs associated with the EOQ
                            2  1,800,000  375 
                     EOQ =                      = 900,000,000 = 30,000 units
                                     1.5         
                     Average inventory = 30,000 units/2 + Safety inventory = 15,000 + 28,000 =
                     43,000 units.
                     Annual cost of EOQ policy                                                         ₦
                     Order costs: ₦375  (1,800,000/30,000)                                          22,500
                     Holding costs of EOQ : (30,000/2)  ₦1.50                                       22,500
                     Holding cost of safety inventory: 28,000  ₦1.50                                42,000
                     Holding costs of new average inventory: 43,000  ₦1.50
                                                                                                     87,000
                     Cost of current policy                                                          93,000
                     Annual saving by ordering EOQ                                                     6,000
© Emile Woolf International                             698         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 22: Inventory management
       2.5     Using a probability table to decide the optimal re-order level
               When a company is prepared to accept the risk of stock-outs, the optimal reorder
               level might be estimated using probabilities of demand (and probabilities of the
               supply lead time) to calculate the reorder level that has the lowest expected value
               of total cost.
               A probability table can be prepared. For each possible reorder level under
               consideration, we can calculate:
                      The probable demand in the lead time between order and delivery;
                      The risk of having excess inventory (buffer stock) and its cost;
                      The risk of stock-outs, and their cost.
               The reorder level selected might be the reorder level at which the expected value
               (EV) of cost is minimised.
                 Example: Re-order level and probabilities
                 Entity X uses item Z in its production process. It purchases item Z from an
                 external supplier, in batches.
                 For item Z, the following information is relevant:
                     Holding cost            ₦15 per unit per year
                     Stock out cost          ₦5 for each stock-out
                     Lead-time               1 week
                     EOQ                     270 units
                 Entity X operates for 48 weeks each year. Weekly demand for unit Z for
                 production is variable, as follows:
                        Units demanded
                      during the lead time      Probability
                               70                  10%
                               80                  20%
                               90                  30%
                              100                  40%
                 Required
                 Suggest whether a re-order level of 90 units or 100 units would be more
                 appropriate.
© Emile Woolf International                         699          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Answer
                 Step 1: Calculate the average demand in the lead time
                 The average demand in the lead-time is:
                 (70 × 10%) + (80 × 20%) + (90 × 30%) + (100 × 40%) = 90 units
                 Average annual demand is 48 weeks × 90 units = 4,320 units.
                                                                                  4,320
                 Since the EOQ is 270 units, entity X will expect to place              orders = 16 orders
                                                                                  270
                 each year. Therefore there will be 16 lead times each year.
                 Step 2: Set up a probability table
                 (Starting with a reorder level is set to the average demand in the lead time and
                 then looking at higher reorder levels).
                       Re-order level of 90 (the company will be out of stock if demand is
                       greater than 90)
                       Demand = 100
                       Stock outs if demand is 100                                            10 units
                       Probability of demand of 100                                              0.4
                       Cost per stock out                                                        ₦5
                       Number of orders per year                                                 16
                       Annual stock out cost                                                     320
                       Buffer stock (reorder level  average demand in lead time)                 nil
                                                                                                 320
                       Re-order level of 100 (the company will never be out of stock)
                       Stock out cost                                                             nil
                       Buffer stock (reorder level  average demand in lead time)             10 units
                       Holding cost per unit per annum                                          ₦15
                                                                                                ₦150
                       The re-order level should be set at 100 units. The extra cost of the buffer
                       stock (₦150) achieves savings by reducing the stock out cost (₦320).
               Notice the trade off, in the above example, between the cost of stock out and the
               holding costs at different reorder levels. A higher re-order level reduces the
               chance of a stock out but incurs higher holding costs.
© Emile Woolf International                          700          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 22: Inventory management
3      JUST-IN-TIME (JIT) AND OTHER INVENTORY MANAGEMENT METHODS
         Section overview
          JIT production and JIT purchasing
          Practical implications of JIT
             Other inventory control systems
             ABC method of inventory control
       3.1     JIT production and JIT purchasing
               Just-in-Time (JIT) management methods originated in Japan in the 1970s. JIT is
               a radically different approach to inventory management compared with
               management using the EOQ model and reorder levels.
               The principle of JIT is that producing items for inventory is wasteful, because
               inventory adds no value, and holding inventory is therefore an expense for which
               there is no benefit.
               If there is no immediate demand for output from any part of the system, a
               production system should not produce finished goods output for holding as
               inventory. There is no value in achieving higher volumes of output if the extra
               output goes into inventory as it has no immediate use.
               Similarly, if there is no immediate demand for raw materials, there should not be
               any of the raw materials in inventory. Raw materials should be obtained only
               when they are actually needed.
               It follows that in an ideal production system:
                      There should be no inventory of finished goods: items should be produced
                       just in time to meet customer orders, and not before ( just in time
                       production); and
                      There should be no inventories of purchased materials and components:
                       purchases should be delivered by external suppliers just in time for when
                       they are needed in production (just in time purchasing).
       3.2     Practical implications of JIT
               JIT production
               It is important that items should be available when required. Finished goods must
               be available when customers order them, and raw materials and components
               must be supplied when they are needed for production.
               In practice, this means that:
                      Production times must be very fast. If there is no inventory of finished
                       goods, production has to be fast in order to meet new customer orders
                       quickly.
                      Production must be reliable, and there must be no hold-ups, stoppages or
                       bottlenecks. Poor quality production, leading to rejected items and scrap, is
                       unacceptable.
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Performance management
                      Deliveries from suppliers must be reliable: suppliers must deliver quickly
                       and purchased materials and components must be of a high quality (so that
                       there will be no scrapped items or rejected items in production).
               JIT purchasing
               JIT depends for its success not only on highly efficient and high-quality
               production, but also on efficient and reliable supply arrangements with key
               suppliers. For successful JIT purchasing, there must be an excellent relationship
               with key suppliers. Collaborative long-term relationships should be established
               with major suppliers, and purchasing should not be based on selecting the lowest
               price offered by competing suppliers.
               By implementing a JIT system, an entity will be working with its key (‘strategic’)
               suppliers to implement a manufacturing system that will:
                      Reduce or eliminate inventories and WIP;
                      Reduce order sizes, since output is produced to meet specific demand and
                       raw material deliveries should be timed to coincide with production
                       requirements; and
                      Ensure deliveries arrive in the factory exactly at the time that they are
                       needed.
               The overall emphasis of a JIT purchasing policy is on consistency and quality,
               rather than looking for the lowest purchase price available.
               Problems with JIT
               There might be several problems with using JIT in practice.
                      Zero inventories cannot be achieved in some industries, where customer
                       demand cannot be predicted with certainty and the production cycle is quite
                       long. In these situations, it is necessary to hold some inventories of finished
                       goods.
                      It might be difficult to arrange a reliable supply system with key suppliers,
                       whereby suppliers are able to deliver materials exactly at the time required.
                      If the EOQ model succeeds in minimising total costs of holding costs and
                       ordering costs, this suggests that with a JIT purchasing system, ordering
                       costs might be very high.
       3.3     Other inventory control systems
               EOQ and JIT are two methods of managing and controlling inventory and
               purchasing quantities. Other systems might be used.
               Two bin system
               When a two-bin system is used in a warehouse or stores department, each item
               of inventory is stored in two bins or large containers. Inventory is taken from Bin 1
               until it is empty, and a new order is placed sufficient to fill Bin 1 again.
               However, the delivery of more units of the item will take time, and since Bin 1 is
               empty, units are now taken from Bin 2. Bin 2 is large enough to continue
               supplying the item until the new delivery arrives. On delivery both bins are
               replenished and units are once again supplied from Bin 1.
               This cycle continues indefinitely.
© Emile Woolf International                         702          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 22: Inventory management
               Periodic review system
               In a periodic review system, there is a reorder quantity and a reorder level for
               each item of inventory.
               Inventory levels are checked periodically, say every one, two, three or four
               weeks. If the inventory level for any item has fallen below its reorder level, a new
               order for the reorder quantity is placed immediately.
                 Example:
                 The demand for an inventory item each week is 400 units, and inventory control
                 is applied by means of a three-weekly periodic review. The lead-time for a new
                 order is two weeks.
                 The minimum inventory level should therefore be (3 weeks + 2 weeks) = 5 weeks
                 × 400 units = 2,000 units.
                 If the inventory level is found to be lower than this level at any periodic review, a
                 new order for the item should be made.
       3.4     ABC method of inventory control
               With the ABC method of inventory control, it is recognised that some items of
               inventory cost much more than others to hold. Inventory can perhaps be divided
               into three broad categories:
                      Category A inventory items, for which inventory holding costs are high.
                      Category B inventory items, for which inventory holding costs are fairly
                       high, but not as high as for category A items.
                      Category C inventory items, for which inventory holding costs are low and
                       insignificant. Holding excessive amounts of these inventory items would not
                       affect costs significantly.
               The ABC approach to inventory control is to control each category of inventory
               differently, and apply the closest control to those items in the most costly
               category, A. For example:
                      Category A items might be controlled by purchasing the EOQ as soon as
                       the inventory level falls to a set reorder level.
                      Category B items might be controlled by a periodic review system, with
                       orders placed to restore the inventory level to a maximum level.
                      Category C items might be purchased in large quantities, and controlled by
                       means of a two-bin system.
               Identifying categories
               A company operating this system would introduce a policy to identify which
               inventory lines are in which category.
               The policy would be based on the value of inventory used in the year.
© Emile Woolf International                        703          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 A company operates the ABC system of inventory control.
                 Category A: The fewest Items which account for at least 50% of the company’s
                 annual expenditure on inventory.
                 Category B: Items accounting from the end of items identified as A up to an
                 including 80% annual expenditure on inventory.
                 Category C: All other items.
                 The following information has been identified in respect of the company’s inventory
                 line in a year.
                                                      Annual
                        Inventory     Cost per        usage
                           line         item          (units)
                           101            50          100
                           102          360             50
                              103        30             120
                              104        90              50
                              105        30             100
                              106        25             180
                              107        15             165
                              108       150              50
                              109       400              75
                              110        20             120
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 Step 1: Identify the total amount spent on each inventory line by multiplying the
                 cost per item by the number of items used.
                                                      Annual         Total
                       Inventory        Cost per      usage         amount
                          line            item        (units)        spent
                          101               50         100            5,000
                          102            360            50          18,000
                              103        30             120             3,600
                              104        90              50             4,500
                              105        30             100             3,000
                              106        25             180             4,500
                              107       15              165             2,475
                              108      150               50             7,500
                              109      400               75           30,000
                              110       20              120            2,400
© Emile Woolf International                       704         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 22: Inventory management
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 Step 3: Rank the items by total spend (highest first) and sum the total spend
                 column.
                 (You must always estimate the total spend and then rank the items in order to
                 identify the high value items).
                                              Annual       Total
                       Stock     Cost per      usage     amount
                        line       item        (units)    spent
                        109        400           75        30,000
                        102        360           50        18,000
                         108     150            50          7,500
                         101      50           100          5,000
                         104       90           50          4,500
                         106       25          180          4,500
                         103       30          120          3,600
                         105       30          100          3,000
                         107       15          165          2,475
                         110       20          120          2,400
                                                           80,975
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 Step 4: Express each individual total spend figure as a percentage of the total
                 spend on all stock lines and construct a cumulative percentage column.
                 For example: Total spend on line 109 is 37% of the total (30,000/80,975)
                                              Annual       Total       Annual
                      Stock     Cost per      usage       amount value as a % Cumulative
                       line       item        (units)      spent       of total           %
                          109    400            75       30,000            37.0%                37.0%
                          102    360            50       18,000            22.2%                59.3%
                         108     150            50         7,500             9.3%               68.5%
                         101       50          100         5,000             6.2%               74.7%
                         104       90           50         4,500             5.6%               80.3%
                         106       25          180         4,500             5.6%               85.8%
                         103       30          120         3,600             4.4%               90.3%
                         105       30          100         3,000             3.7%               94.0%
                         107       15          165         2,475             3.1%               97.0%
                         110       20          120         2,400             3.0%             100.0%
                                                         80,975
© Emile Woolf International                      705          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 Step 5: Identify categories based on the stated policy.
                      Stock       Cumulative
                       line           %           Category
                       109           37.0%           A          The fewest Items which account
                                                                for at least 50% of the company’s
                       102           59.3%           A          annual expenditure
                       108           68.5%            B         Items accounting from the end of
                       101           74.7%            B         items identified as A up to an
                                                                including 80% annual
                       104           80.3%            B         expenditure on inventory.
                       106           85.8%            C         Other items
                       103           90.3%            C
                          105      94.0%                C
                          107      97.0%                C
                          110     100.0%                C
               In the above examples the categories have been identified by applying
               percentages to total. This could also be done using annual usage of items.
© Emile Woolf International                       706          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 22: Inventory management
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 The company might want to identify the categories using annual usage. In this case
                 the items are ranked as before but selected based on percentage usage.
                 Percentage columns are built for usage instead of for total spend.
                 Using the previous example the company now wishes to identify categories as
                 follows:
                 Category A: The fewest Items which account for at least 30% of the company’s
                 annual usage on inventory.
                 Category B: Items accounting from the end of items identified as A up to an
                 including 75% annual usage on inventory.
                 Category C: All other items.
                 The analysis would be completed as follows:
                                         Annual       Total                  Annual
                      Stock    Cost per   usage      amount                 usage as a          Cumulative
                       line     item      (units)     spent                 % of total             %
                       109      400         75      30,000                    7.4%                   7.4%
                       102      360         50      18,000                    5.0%                  12.4%
                         108      150           50           7,500              5.0%                17.3%
                         101       50          100           5,000             9.9%                 27.2%
                         104       90           50           4,500             5.0%                 32.2%
                         106       25          180           4,500            17.8%                 50.0%
                         103       30          120           3,600            11.9%                 61.9%
                         105       30          100           3,000             9.9%                 71.8%
                         107       15          165           2,475            16.3%                 88.1%
                         110       20          120           2,400            11.9%               100.0%
                                             1,010
                 Example: ABC system of inventory control
                 Identify categories based on the stated policy.
                       Stock     Cumulative
                        line          %           Category
                        109           7.4%            A
                        102         12.4%             A
                                                                   The fewest Items which account
                         108        17.3%                A         for at least 30% of the company’s
                         101        27.2%                A         annual usage on inventory
                         104        32.2%                A
                         106        50.0%                B         Items accounting from the end of
                         103        61.9%                B         items identified as A up to an
                                                                   including 75% annual usage on
                         105        71.8%                B         inventory
                         107       88.1%                 C
                         110      100.0%                 C
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Performance management
4      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Describe the economic order quantity (EOQ) and apply the concept in given
            scenarios
             Calculate the EOQ from data provided
             Describe safety stocks for inventories
             Explain the reasons for maintaining safety stock
             Calculate the safety stock using data provided
             Explain re-order levels and the objectives of setting re-order levels
             Calculate re-order levels using data provided
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
               Solutions                                                                                                        1
               1     Economic order quantity
                                       2CO D 2  250 × (4 × 12,000)
                                Q =J         =J                                 = 2,236 units
                                           CH              6%×80
               2     Economic order quantity
                                          2CO D 2  240 × 135,000
                                   Q =J         =J                = 3,600 units
                                              CH          5%×100
                     Annual holding cost
                                               Q                3,600
                                                   ×C   H
                                                            =           ×5 = ₦9,000
                                               2                   2
               3     Economic order quantity
                                       2CO D 2  180 × (5,000 × 12)
                                Q =J         =J                     = 1,039 units
                                           CH                 20
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Performance management
                 Solutions                                                                                    2
                 EOQ
                              2CoD
                 EOQ 
                               CH
                 
                 Where:
                 CO = 605
                 D = 120,000
                 CH = 10% × 3 = 0.3
                    2  120,000  605 
                 =                    =   484,000,000 = 22,000 units
                          0.3        
                 The economic order quantity is 22,000 units
                     The order quantity that will minimise total costs is found as follows:
                                                                           Order quantity
                                                                22,000        25,000      40,000
                                                                 units         Units       units
                                                                         ₦               ₦                ₦
                     Annual purchase costs
                     120,000 × ₦3                                360,000
                     120,000 × ₦(3 – 0.10)                                      348,000
                     120,000 × ₦(3 – 0.20)                                                       336,000
                     Annual ordering costs (D/Q  CO)
                     (120,000/22,000) × ₦605                     3,300
                     (120,000/25,000) × ₦605                                     2,904
                     (120,000/40,000) × ₦605                                                     1,815
                     Holding costs (Q/2  CH)
                     (22,000/2) × ₦0.3                           3,300
                     (25,000/2) × ₦0.29                                          3,625
                     (40,000/2) × ₦0.28                                                             5,600
                     Total costs                                 366,600        354,529          343,415
                 Conclusion
                 The order quantity that minimises total costs is 40,000 units.
© Emile Woolf International                         710          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                   23
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                         CHAPTER
                              Management of receivables
                                         and payables
 Contents
 1 Costs and benefits of giving credit
 2 The management of trade receivables
 3 Debt factors and invoice discounting
 4 Settlement discounts
 5 Management of working capital for foreign trade
 6 Management of trade payables
 7 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                711       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       2     Working capital management
             a     Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
             c     Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing working
                   capital in relation to:
                   ii    Account receivables (including cash discounts, factoring and invoice
                         discounting); and
                   iii   Account payables
Exam context
This chapter explains the management of payables and receivables.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the benefits and costs of giving credit
      Explain the components of a receivables management system
      Evaluate the impact of a change in working capital management policy
      Explain debt factoring
      Measure the cost of settlement discounts
      Understand trade payables as a source of short term finance
© Emile Woolf International                        712         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                           Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
1      COSTS AND BENEFITS OF GIVING CREDIT
         Section overview
          Benefits of giving credit
          Cost of giving credit
       Business entities that sell to other businesses normally sell on agreed credit terms.
       Often ‘standard’ credit terms are applied for most business transactions, such as 30
       days or 60 days from the date of the invoice. Most sales to consumers are for cash, but
       some businesses might even sell to consumers on credit.
       It is generally assumed that if customers are allowed time to pay what they owe, they
       will take the full period of credit. For example, if a customer is allowed 30 days to pay
       an invoice, it is generally assumed that the customer will not pay until day 30.
       1.1     Benefits of giving credit
               By giving credit, sales volume will be higher. Higher sales volumes result in
               higher contribution, and higher profit.
               If a business does not give credit to customers, customers are likely to buy from
               competitors who do offer credit.
       1.2     Cost of giving credit
               There are several costs of giving credit.
                      Finance costs: There is a finance cost. Trade receivables must be
                       financed. The longer the period of credit allowed to customers, the bigger
                       the investment in working capital must be. The cost of investing in trade
                       receivables is usually calculated as: Average trade receivables in the
                       period × Cost of capital for the period
                      Bad debt costs: Selling on credit creates a risk that the customer might
                       never pay for the goods supplied. The cost of bad debts is usually
                       measured as the amount of sales revenue due from the customers, that is
                       written off as non-collectable.
                      Administration costs: Additional administration costs might be incurred in
                       negotiating credit terms with customers, and monitoring the credit position
                       of customers. In dealing with problems about the cost of trade receivables,
                       you should consider only the incremental administration costs incurred as a
                       consequence of providing credit.
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Performance management
                 Example: Cost of giving credit
                 Nigerian Green Company currently offers customers 30 days’ credit. Annual
                 credit sales are ₦12 million, the contribution/sales ratio is 25% and bad debts
                 are 1% of sales. The company has estimated that if it increased credit to 60
                 days, total annual sales would increase by 10%, but bad debts would rise to
                 1.5% of sales. The cost of capital for Green Company is 9%.
                 Assume that a year has 360 days.
                 Required
                 Estimate the effect on annual profit of increasing the credit period from 30 to 60
                 days.
                 Answer
                 Annual sales will increase from ₦12 million to ₦13.2 million.
                                                                                                   ₦
                 Current average receivables               30/360 × ₦12 million                 1,000,000
                 Average receivables with credit of
                 60 days                                   60/360 × ₦13.2 million               2,200,000
                 Increase in average receivables                                                1,200,000
                 Annual interest cost of increase in trade receivables = ₦1,200,000 × 9% =
                 ₦108,000.
                                                                         ₦             ₦
                 Annual contribution with credit 30 days                           3,000,000
                 Annual contribution with credit 60 days                           3,300,000
                 Increase in annual contribution                                                   300,000
                 Bad debts with credit 30 days (1% × ₦12 million)            120,000
                 Bad debts with credit 60 days (1.5% × ₦13.2
                 million)                                                    198,000
                 Increase in bad debts                                        78,000
                 Annual interest cost of extra receivables                   108,000
                 Total extra cost of longer credit                                                 186,000
                 Net annual gain from increasing credit to 60 days                                 114,000
© Emile Woolf International                          714           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                         Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
2      THE MANAGEMENT OF TRADE RECEIVABLES
         Section overview
          Giving credit
          Monitoring payments
             Efficient collection of debts
             Bad debts and reducing bad debts
       Giving credit to customers results in higher costs, in particular higher interest costs and
       some bad debts. These costs must be kept under control. To do this, trade receivables
       must be properly managed.
       Good management of trade receivables involves systems for:
              Deciding whether to give customers credit, and how much credit to give them
              Monitoring payments
              Collecting overdue payments.
       2.1     Giving credit
               There should be procedures for deciding whether to give credit to a customer,
               and if so, how much. The procedures should differ between existing customers
               wanting extra credit, and new customers asking for credit for the first time. This is
               because existing customers already have a credit history. A company knows from
               experience whether an existing customer is likely to pay on time, or might have
               difficulty with payments.
               When deciding whether or not to give extra credit to an existing customer, the
               decision can therefore be based largely on whether the customer has paid
               promptly in the past, and so whether on the basis of past performance the
               customer appears to be a good credit risk.
               For new business customers, a variety of credit checks might be carried out.
                      Asking for trade references from other suppliers to the customer who
                       already give credit
                      Asking for a reference from the customer’s bank
                      Making credit checks to discover whether any court judgements have been
                       made against the customer for non-payment of debts
                      Credit checks on small businesses can be purchased from credit reference
                       agencies
                      For business customers, asking for a copy of the most recent financial
                       statements and carrying out a ratio analysis. Banks can usually persuade a
                       business customer to provide a copy of its financial statements for
                       decisions about granting a bank loan; but it is much more difficult for non-
                       banks to do so, for decisions about giving trade credit
                      Using reports from the company’s salesmen. If a company sales
                       representative has visited the business premises of the customer, a report
                       about the apparent condition of the customer’s business might be used to
                       decide about whether or not to offer credit.
© Emile Woolf International                        715          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Usually, a company establishes credit policy guidelines that should be followed
               when giving credit to a new business customer. For example, a company might
               have a credit policy that for a new business customer, subject to a satisfactory
               credit check, it would be appropriate to offer credit for up to ₦2,000 for 30 days.
               This credit limit might then be reviewed after several months, if the customer
               pays invoices promptly within the credit terms.
               The credit terms set for each customer will consist of:
                      A credit period: The customer should be required to pay invoices within a
                       stated number of days. Credit limits of 30 days or 60 days are common.
                      A credit limit: This is the maximum amount of credit that the customer will
                       be permitted. The limit is likely to be small at first for a new customer,
                       increasing as the trading relationship develops.
                      Interest charges on overdue payments: It might also be a condition of
                       giving credit that the customer agrees to pay interest on any overdue
                       payment. However, interest charges on late payments can create bad
                       feeling, and customers who are charged interest might take their business
                       to a rival supplier. Interest charges on late payments are therefore
                       uncommon in practice.
               (Note: Credit checks on individuals should be carried out by companies that give
               credit to customers, such as banks and credit card companies. Many companies,
               however, might give credit to corporate customers but ask for cash
               payment/credit card payment from individuals.)
       2.2     Monitoring payments
               A company should have a system for monitoring payments of invoices by
               customers. A regular report should be produced listing the unpaid debts, and
               which of these are overdue. This report might be called an aged debtors list’or
               aged receivables list.
               A typical report might summarise the current position by showing how much
               money is owed by customers and for how long the money has been owed. A
               simple example of a summary is shown below.
                 Illustration: Aged receivables list
                                      Total    0 – 30 days    31 – 60           60 – 90         Over 90
                                                               days              days            days
                                       ₦            ₦             ₦                 ₦               ₦
                     Receivable   17,894,100   12,506,900    4,277,200        1,045,000         65,000
               The report will also provide a detailed list of the unpaid invoices in each time
               period. By monitoring regular reports, the team responsible for collecting
               payments can decide which customers to ‘chase’ for payment and also to assess
               whether collections of receivables is under control. In the example above, if the
               company has normal credit terms of 30 days, it might be concerned that such a
               large amount of receivables – over ₦5 million, remain unpaid after 30 days.
© Emile Woolf International                        716         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                           Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
       2.3     Efficient collection of debts
               When credit is given to customers, there should be efficient procedures for
               ensuring that customers pay on time, and that action is taken to obtain overdue
               payments.
               Procedures for efficient debt collection include the following:
                      Sending invoices to customers promptly, as soon as the goods or services
                       have been provided.
                      Sending regular statements to credit customers, showing how much they
                       owe in total and how much is currently due for payment. Statements act as
                       a reminder to customers to make a payment.
                      Ensuring that credit terms are not exceeded, and the customer is not
                       allowed to take longer credit or more credit than agreed.
               Procedures for chasing overdue payments include:
                      Telephone calls
                      Reminder letters
                      Taking a decision to withhold further supplies and further credit until an
                       overdue debt is paid.
               In extreme cases, measures might include:
                      Using the services of a debt collection agency.
                      Sending an official letter from a solicitor, threatening legal action.
                      Legal action – obtaining a court judgement against the customer to force
                       the customer to pay. This is a measure of last resort, to be taken only when
                       there is a breakdown in the trading relationship.
       2.4     Bad debts and reducing bad debts
               When a company gives credit, there will be some bad debts. Bad debts are an
               expense in the income statement and have a direct impact on profitability. A
               company should try to minimise its bad debts, whilst accepting that even with
               efficient collection procedures some losses are unavoidable. For example some
               customers might become insolvent and go out of business still owing money.
               There are several ways in which bad debts can be reduced:
                      More extensive and careful credit checking procedures when deciding
                       whether to give credit to customers
                      More efficient collection procedures
                      Reducing the amount of credit in total. As the total amount of credit given to
                       customers increases, there will be an increase in the cost of bad debts, and
                       the proportion of receivables that become bad debts. Reducing the total
                       amount of credit will therefore reduce bad debts. However reducing the
                       amount of credit to customers will probably result in lower sales revenue
                       and lower gross profit.
© Emile Woolf International                          717          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Bad debts
                 A company has annual sales of ₦20 million and all customers are given credit of
                 60 days. Gross profit on sales is 40%. Currently bad debts are 1.5% of sales. The
                 cost of capital for the company is 10%.
                 Management is concerned about the high level of bad debts and they estimate
                 that by reducing credit terms to 30 days for all customers, bad debts can be
                 reduced to 0.5% of sales. However total sales revenue is likely to fall by 5% as a
                 consequence of making the credit terms less generous.
                 Required
                 Calculate the estimated effect on annual profit of reducing the credit terms from
                 60 days to 30 days.
                 Answer
                 Current situation
                 Annual gross profit on current level of sales = 40%  ₦20 million = ₦8,000,000.
                 Current average trade receivables = (60/365)  ₦20 million = ₦3.29 million.
                 Current level of bad debts = 1.5%  ₦20 million = ₦300,000
                                                                                                  ₦
                       Cost of investment in trade receivables (10%  ₦3.29 million)            329,000
                       Cost of bad debts                                                        300,000
                                                                                                629,000
                 Consequences of reducing credit to 30 days
                 Average trade receivables = (30/365)  95% of ₦20 million = ₦1.56 million. Bad
                 debts = 0.5%  95% of ₦20 million = ₦95,000
                                                                                                  ₦
                      Fall in gross profit (5%  ₦8,000,000)                                    400,000
                      Cost of investment in trade receivables (10%  ₦1.56 million)             156,000
                      Cost of bad debts                                                          95,000
                                                                                                651,000
                 The effect of offering stricter credit terms would be to reduce annual profit by
                 ₦22,000 (651,000 – 629,000) due to the loss in sales and gross profit,which
                 would occur.
© Emile Woolf International                       718          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                          Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
3      DEBT FACTORS AND INVOICE DISCOUNTING
         Section overview
          Debt factors and the services they provide
          The costs of factoring services
             Benefits and disadvantages of using a factor
             Evaluation of a factor’s services
             Invoice discounting
       3.1     Debt factors and the services they provide
               Companies might use a factoring organisation to assist with the management of
               receivables and also to help with the financing of receivables.
               Debt factors are specialist organisations. They specialise in:
                      Assisting client firms to administer their trade receivables ledger;
                      Providing short-term finance to client firms, secured by the trade
                       receivables;
                      In some cases, providing insurance against bad debts.
               The services of a debt factor can be particularly useful for a small-to-medium-
               sized company that:
                      Has a large number of credit customers;
                      Does not have efficient debt collection procedures and therefore has a fairly
                       high level of bad debts; and
                      Does not have sufficient finance for its working capital.
               A debt factor offers three main services to a client business:
                      The administration of the client’s trade receivables;
                      Credit insurance; and
                      Debt finance.
               Trade receivables administration
               A factor will take over the administration of trade receivables on behalf of a client.
               It sends out invoices on behalf of the client. Each invoice shows that the factor
               has issued the invoice, and the invoice asks for payment to be made to a bank
               account under the control of the factor. The factor collects the payments, and
               chases customers who are late with payment. The factor is also responsible for
               the client’s trade receivables ledger, recording details of invoices and payments
               received in the ledger on behalf of the client.
               The factor makes a charge for this service, typically an agreed percentage of the
               value of invoices sent out.
               Credit insurance
               If the factor is given the task of trade receivables administration, it may also
               agree (for an additional fee) to provide insurance against bad debts for the client.
               This is known as without recourse factoring or non-recourse factoring. If a
               customer of the client fails to pay an invoice that was issued by the factor, the
© Emile Woolf International                         719          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               factor will accept the bad debt loss itself, and the factor will pay the client the full
               amount of the unpaid invoice.
               A factor will only provide without recourse factoring for invoices that are approved
               in advance by the factor. This is to prevent the client from giving credit to high-
               risk customers and exposing the factor to the risk of bad debts.
               However, factors also provide with recourse factoring. With this type of
               arrangement, if a customer of the client fails to pay an invoice, the factor will not
               pay anything to the client, and the client must suffer the bad debt loss. (If the
               factor has already made a payment to the client against the security of the
               receivable, the client must repay the money it has received.)
               Debt finance
               The factor will provide advances of up to 80% of the face value of the client’s
               trade receivables, for all receivables that are approved by the factor. The finance
               is provided at an agreed rate of interest, and is repayable when the customers’
               invoices are eventually paid. In effect, this means that when a customer pays the
               factor will remit the remaining 20% of the money to the client, less the interest
               (and other fees).
       3.2     The costs of factoring services
               The costs of a factoring service might therefore consist of:
                      A service fee for the administration and collection of trade receivables;
                      A commission charge, based on the total amount of trade receivables, for a
                       non-recourse factoring service; and
                      Interest charges for finance advanced against the trade receivables.
       3.3     Benefits and disadvantages of using a factor
               The benefits of using a factor are as follows:
                      There should be savings in internal administration costs, because the factor
                       administers the trade receivables ledger.
                      With non-recourse factoring, there is a reduction in the cost of bad debts.
                      A factor is a source of finance for trade receivables.
               The disadvantages of using a factor are as follows.
                      Interest charges on factor finance are likely to be higher than other sources
                       of finance.
                      Effect on customer goodwill. The factor is unlikely to treat the client’s
                       customers with the same degree of care and consideration that the client’s
                       own sales ledger administration team would.
                      The client’s reputation may be affected by the need to use a factor.
                       Customers might believe that using a factor is a sign of financial weakness.
© Emile Woolf International                         720          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                           Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
       3.4     Evaluation of a factor’s services
               To assess the cost of using the services of a factor, you need to compare the
               total costs of the alternative policies.
               As indicated above, the costs you will probably need to consider are:
                      Costs of receivables ledger administration
                      Costs of bad debts
                      Financing costs for trade receivables.
                 Example: Debt factoring
                 Nigeria Blue Company has annual credit sales of ₦1,000,000. Credit customers
                 take 45 days to pay. Bad debts are 2% of sales. The company finances its
                 trade receivables with a bank overdraft, on which interest is payable at an
                 annual rate of 15%.
                 A factor has offered to take over administration of the receivables ledger and
                 collections for a fee of 2.5% of the credit sales. This will be a non-recourse
                 factoring service. It has also guaranteed to reduce the payment period to 30 days.
                 It will provide finance for 80% of the trade receivables, at an interest cost of 8%
                 per year.
                 Nigeria Blue Company estimates that by using the factor, it will save
                 administration costs of ₦8,000 per year.
                 Required
                 What would be the effect on annual profits if Nigeria Blue Company decides to
                 use the factor’s services? (Assume a 365-day year).
                 Answer
                                                                                                    ₦
                     Current average trade receivables     45/365 × ₦1 million                    123,288
                     Average receivables with the factor 30/365 × ₦1 million                        82,192
                 It is assumed that if the factor’s services are used, 80% will be financed by the
                 factor at 8% and the remaining 20% will be financed by bank overdraft at 15%.
                     Annual interest costs                                                           ₦
                     Current situation       ₦123,288 × 15%                                       18,493
                     With the factor         (80% × ₦82,192 × 8%) + (20% × ₦82,192                (7,726)
                                             × 15%)
                     Saving in annual interest costs                                               10,767
                     Summary of comparative costs                                                   ₦
                     Saving in annual interest costs                                               10,767
                     Annual saving in bad debts (2% of ₦1 million)                                 20,000
                     Annual saving in administration costs                                           8,000
                                                                                                   38,767
                     Annual costs of factor’s services (2.5% of ₦1 million)                      (25,000)
                     Net increase in profit by using the factor                                    13,767
© Emile Woolf International                          721          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.5     Invoice discounting
               Invoice discounting is similar to the provision of finance by a factor. A difference
               is that whereas a factor provides finance against the security of all approved
               invoices of the client, an invoice discounter might provide finance against only a
               small number of selected invoices.
               Another difference between a debt factor and an invoice discounter is that the
               invoice discounter will only provide finance services. An invoice discounter will
               not administer the trade receivables ledger or provide protection against the risk
               of bad debt. The invoice to the customer is sent out by the client firm, and
               payment is collected by the client firm (and paid into a special bank account set
               up for the purpose).
                 Example: Invoice discounting
                 A company might need to arrange finance for an invoice for ₦3 million to a
                 customer, for which the agreed credit period is 90 days. An invoice discounter
                 might be prepared to finance 80% of the invoiced amount, at an interest rate of
                 10%.
                 The company will issue the invoice to the customer for ₦3 million. The invoice
                 discounter provides the company with a payment of ₦2.4 million (80% of ₦3
                 million).
                 After 90 days, the invoice discounter will expect repayment of the ₦2.4 million
                 advance, plus interest of ₦59,178.
                 If the customer pays promptly, this repayment will be made out of the ₦3 million
                 invoice payment by the customer. The invoice discounter will take ₦2,459,178
                 and the remaining ₦540,822 will go to the company.
© Emile Woolf International                       722          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                       Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
4      SETTLEMENT DISCOUNTS
         Section overview
          The nature and purpose of settlement discounts
          Evaluating a settlement discount
       4.1     The nature and purpose of settlement discounts
               The cost of financing trade receivables can be high. More important perhaps, if a
               company has a large investment in trade receivables, it might have cash flow
               problems and liquidity difficulties.
               A company might therefore try to minimise its investment in trade receivables.
               One way of doing this is to ensure that collection procedures are efficient.
               Another policy for reducing trade receivables is to offer a discount for early
               payment of an invoice. This type of discount is called a settlement discount (or
               early settlement discount, or cash discount).
               For example, a company might offer its customers normal credit terms of 60
               days, but a discount of 2% for payment within ten days of the invoice date. If
               customers take the discount, there will be a reduction in average trade
               receivables.
       4.2     Evaluating a settlement discount
               The benefit of a settlement discount is that it reduces average trade receivables,
               and this reduces the annual interest cost of investing in trade receivables.
               On the other hand, the discounts taken by customers reduce annual profit.
               Evaluating a proposal to offer settlement discounts to customers therefore
               involves comparing the improvements in cash flow and reductions in interest cost
               with the cost of the discounts allowed.
© Emile Woolf International                      723          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The implied interest cost of settlement discounts
               One way of evaluating a settlement discount is to calculate the implied interest
               cost of offering settlement discounts.
               A formula for calculating the implied cost of offering a settlement discount is as
               follows:
                 Formula: Cost of a settlement discount
                                                           t
                                                                  365
                                                         d
                                                 1              1
                                                  100  d
                       Where:
                       d=   the size of the discount.
                       t=   the difference in days between normal credit terms and the
                            maximum credit period for taking advantage of the settlement
                            discount.
                 Example: Cost of a settlement discount
                 For example, suppose that a company offers its customers normal credit terms of
                 60 days, but a discount of 2% for payment within ten days of the invoice date.
                 This discount policy implies that the company is prepared to accept ₦98 on day
                 ten rather than accepting ₦100 on day 60. Financially, the company considers it
                 beneficial to have ₦98 ‘now’ rather than ₦100 in 50 days’ time. This implies an
                 average annual interest cost of:
                                   365
                         2  60 10
                       1              1  0.1566 or 15.66%
                         98 
                       If it costs the company less to borrow money to finance its trade
                       receivables, it would be cheaper to offer credit of 60 days, and not to
                       offer the discount of 2% for payment within ten days.
                 Practice question                                                                            1
                 Entity X borrows on overdraft at an annual interest rate of 15%.
                 Customers are normally required to pay within 45 days. Entity X offers a
                 1.5% discount if payment is made within ten days.
                 What is the effective annual cost of offering the settlement discount, and is
                 the discount policy financially justified?
© Emile Woolf International                          724            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                              Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
               Calculating the total annual costs
               An alternative method of calculating the cost of settlement discounts, compared
               with a policy of not offering discounts, would be to compare the total annual costs
               with each policy.
                 Example:
                 Okongwo Nigeria Limited borrows on overdraft at an annual interest rate of
                 15%.
                 It has annual credit sales of ₦5 million, and all customers buy on credit.
                 Customers are normally required to pay within 45 days. Okongwu Nigeria
                 Limited offers a 1.5% discount if payment is made within ten days. 60% of
                 customers take the discount.
                  What is the annual cost of the discount policy?
                 Answer
                 Cost of annual settlement discounts = ₦5 million × 60% × 1.5% = ₦45,000.
                 Average receivables without the discount policy
                                             45 
                                           =      × ₦5 million = ₦616,438.
                                             365 
                                                                                                         ₦
                 Average receivables with the discount policy:
                     Customers who will not take            (45/365)  40%  ₦5 million              246,575
                     the discount
                     Customers who will take the
                     discount                               (10/365)  60%  ₦5 million                82,192
                     Total receivables with the
                     discount policy                                                                 328,767
                 The net cost or benefit of the discount policy can be calculated as follows.:
                     Interest cost of receivables:                                                       ₦
                     Without discount policy                        ₦616,438  15%                     92,466
                     With discount policy                           ₦328,767  15%                     49,315
                     Interest saved with the discount policy                                           43,151
                     Cost of annual settlement discounts                                               45,000
                     Extra annual cost of discount policy                                               1,849
                 In this case, the settlement discount will be expected to reduce annual profit by
                 about ₦1,800.
© Emile Woolf International                           725            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
5      MANAGEMENT OF WORKING CAPITAL FOR FOREIGN TRADE
         Section overview
          The additional problems with foreign trade
          Obtaining quicker payment
             Protection against credit risks
             Forward exchange contracts to hedge against foreign currency risk
       5.1     The additional problems with foreign trade
               When a business entity sells to customers in other countries, and the customer is
               in a country with a different currency, there are extra problems for working capital
               management, and risks for the business. The extra risks are:
                      The longer time period between despatching goods to the customer and
                       receiving payment. When goods are shipped to another country, it could
                       take several weeks before the customer receives the goods. Foreign
                       customers are usually unwilling to pay for goods until they are certain of
                       receipt.
                       If a longer payment period is allowed for foreign customers, the investment
                       in trade receivables will be larger than if normal credit is allowed, and the
                       interest cost will therefore be higher.
                      There is a greater risk of bad debt. If a foreign customer does not pay, it
                       will be more difficult and expensive to take action to collect the debt. For
                       example, the company might have no understanding of the legal
                       procedures for collecting unpaid debts in other countries.
                      Foreign currency risks. If a company invoices its foreign customers in a
                       foreign currency, there will be a foreign exchange risk. This is the risk that
                       the value of the foreign currency will deteriorate between the time of issuing
                       the invoice to the customer and the time of receiving payment. A movement
                       in foreign exchange rates could even wipe out the expected profit on a
                       foreign sale.
       5.2     Obtaining quicker payment
               In many cases, a company that sells to foreign customers must accept that it will
               have to wait longer for payment. A large investment in foreign trade receivables
               could therefore be unavoidable, and the interest cost has to be accepted.
               However, in some cases it might be possible to arrange quicker payment. One
               method of both reducing the bad debt risk and obtaining quicker payment is to
               arrange an export sale using a letter of credit.
               A letter of credit is an arrangement in which the exporter undertakes to provide
               the foreign buyer with specific documents that provide evidence that the goods
               have been shipped. The required documents normally include suitable shipping
               and insurance documents, and an invoice.
               If the exporter delivers the specified documents to a bank representing the
               foreign buyer, the buyer agrees to make the payment. Payment is usually
               arranged by means of a bank bill of exchange. A bank representing the foreign
               buyer undertakes to pay a bill of exchange, for the amount of the invoice at a
               future date (the end of the credit period for the foreign buyer). Since the bank is
© Emile Woolf International                        726          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                          Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
               undertaking to pay the bill of exchange, the exporter’s credit risk is not the foreign
               buyer, but the bank. The credit risk should therefore be low.
               If the exporter wants quicker payment, it can arrange with its own bank for the bill
               of exchange to be sold in the discount market. Bills are sold in the discount
               market for less than their face value; therefore by selling a bank bill to get quicker
               payment, the exporter incurs a cost. (When the bank bill reaches maturity, the
               bank will make its payment to the holder of the bill. The bank will recover the
               money from its client, the foreign buyer).
               Letters of credit are fairly expensive to arrange, but they offer the benefits to an
               exporter of:
                      Lower credit risk; and
                      If required, earlier payment (minus the discount on the bank bill when it is
                       sold).
       5.3     Protection against credit risks
               As indicated above, the credit risk in foreign trade can be reduced by arranging
               an irrevocable letter of credit.
               Another method of reducing the credit risk might be to buy credit risk insurance.
               Credit insurance is available from specialist organisations, and also possibly from
               some banks/insurance companies.
       5.4     Forward exchange contracts to hedge against foreign currency risk
               There is a risk that if a sale to a foreign buyer is priced in a foreign currency, the
               value of the foreign currency could depreciate in the time between selling the
               goods and eventually receiving payment.
                 Example: Exchange loss
                 A Nigerian company sells goods to a buyer in the US for $550,000, and the
                 customer is given 90 days’ credit.
                 The exchange rate when the goods were shipped was ₦100 = $1.
                 The customer pays three months later when the exchange rate is ₦100 = $1.10.
                 When the goods were sold, the expected income in naira was ₦55,000,000
                 ($550,000  100/1).
                 Because of the change in the exchange rate, the actual naira value of the dollar
                 receipts is just ₦50,000,000 ($550,000  100/1.1).
                 There has been a loss on exchange of ₦5,000,000 in this transaction.
               An exporter who is concerned about the risk to income and profit from adverse
               exchange rate movements during a credit period can ‘hedge’ the risk by
               arranging a forward exchange contract.
               A forward exchange contract is an agreement made ‘now’ with a bank for the
               purchase or sale of a quantity of one currency in exchange for another, for
               settlement at a specified future date.
© Emile Woolf International                        727           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The exporter would therefore know in advance exactly how much it will be
               earning in its domestic currency from an export sale.
               Forward exchange contracts and other methods of hedging foreign currency risks
               are explained in more detail in a later chapter.
© Emile Woolf International                    728         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                          Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables
6      MANAGEMENT OF TRADE PAYABLES
         Section overview
          Trade payables as a source of finance
          Settlement discounts from suppliers
       6.1     Trade payables as a source of finance
               Trade credit is an excellent source for financing short-term working capital needs.
               The supplier has provided goods or services that have not yet been paid for, and
               which may or may not already have been used.
               Trade credit allows the buyer to hold or make use of goods obtained from
               suppliers without yet having to pay for them. It therefore postpones the need to
               find the cash to make payments for goods and services purchased.
               Unlike other sources of finance, including a bank overdraft or a bank loan, trade
               credit does not have any cost.
               However, goods are supplied on agreed credit terms. The supplier expects to
               receive payment at the end of the agreed credit period. If a buyer tries to take
               advantage of trade credit, and delay payment until after the agreed credit period
               has ended, the trading relationship between supplier and buyer could become
               difficult and unfriendly.
               A company should therefore take advantage of the trade credit terms it is offered,
               and negotiate the best credit terms that it can get, because it is a free source of
               finance for working capital. However it should not exceed the amount of credit
               allowed.
       6.2     Settlement discounts from suppliers
               A supplier might offer a settlement discount for early payment. The value of a
               settlement discount from a supplier should be assessed in the same way as the
               cost of a settlement discount to customers. If the value of taking the settlement
               discount is higher than the cost of having to finance the payment by bank
               overdraft, the discount should be taken and the trade debt should be paid at the
               latest time possible in order to obtain the discount.
                 Example: Settlement discounts
                  Ogechi is offered a 2% settlement discount if it pays invoices from Supplier X
                 in ten days rather than after the normal 30-day credit period. It can borrow on
                 its overdraft at 12% per annum.
                 The value of the settlement discount is:
                                                          
                                           2   30 10  
                                                   365
                                      1                    1  0.446  44.6%
                                       98            
                                                       
                 The value of the settlement discount is much higher than the cost of a bank
                 overdraft.
                  Ogechi should take the discount and pay invoices on day 10.
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Performance management
7      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the benefits and costs of giving credit
             Explain the components of a receivables management system
             Evaluate the impact of a change in working capital management policy
             Explain debt factoring
             Measure the cost of settlement discounts
             Understand trade payables as a source of short term finance
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                        1
         By giving the discount, Entity X is effectively losing ₦1.50 in every ₦100 of its cash
         receipts from customers to get the money 35 days earlier (45 days – 10 days).
         The effective annual cost of the settlement discount is:
                         365
            1.5 
          1      35  1  0.1707,say17%
            98.5 
         Therefore, offering the settlement discount is not worthwhile. It is cheaper to borrow on
         overdraft at 15%.
© Emile Woolf International                     731          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  24
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                        CHAPTER
                                            Cash management
 Contents
 1 The nature of cash management
 2 Cash budgets and cash flow forecasts
 3 Cash models: Baumol model and Miller-Orr model
 4 Other aspects of cash management
 5 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       2     Working capital management
             a     Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
             c     Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing working
                   capital in relation to:
                   iv    Cash (including Baumol and Miller-Orr Models).
Exam context
This chapter explains facets of cash management.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the reasons for holding cash balances
      Prepare cash budgets
      Explain and apply the Baumol model of cash management
      Explain and apply the Miller-Orr model of cash management
      Comment on possible uses of surplus cash
1      THE NATURE OF CASH MANAGEMENT
         Section overview
             Reasons for holding cash
             Objective of good cash management
             Aspects of cash management
       The importance of cash and liquidity for a business was explained in the earlier section
       on liquidity ratios. If a company is unable to pay what it owes at the required time, a
       creditor might take legal action to recover the unpaid amount. Even if such extreme
       action is not taken, but a company is slow in paying invoices, creditors will be reluctant
       to provide additional credit.
       It is therefore essential for a business to ensure that its cash flows are well managed
       and that it has sufficient liquidity.
© Emile Woolf International                       736         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       1.1 Reasons for holding cash
               There are several reasons why a business entity might choose to hold cash.
                      To settle transactions. Cash is needed to pay expenses, and to settle
                       debts.
                      As a precaution against unexpected requirements for cash. A business
                       might hold some additional cash in the event that there is a need to make
                       an unexpected and unforeseen payment.
                      For speculative reasons. A company might hold some cash that can be
                       used if a business opportunity arises. Some investment opportunities, such
                       as the opportunity to purchase a rival business, might require some
                       element of cash. Holding a ‘war chest’ of cash might therefore be a
                       strategic measure taken by a company, to take opportunities for developing
                       the business whenever an attractive opportunity arises.
               However, cash does not earn a high return. Cash in a normal business bank
               account earns no interest at all. Holding cash therefore provides a company with
               liquidity (an ability to pay), but reduces profitability (the lost income resulting from
               holding cash rather than investing it in business development).
       1.2 Objective of good cash management
               The objective of good cash management is to hold sufficient cash to meet
               liabilities as they fall due, whilst making sure that not too much cash is held.
               Money held as cash is not being invested in the wealth-creating assets of the
               organisation – thereby affecting profitability.
               If a business entity wants to maintain sufficient liquidity, but does not want to hold
               too much cash, it might consider investing cash that is surplus to short-term
               requirements. Surplus cash can be invested in short-term financial instruments or
               even savings accounts, and so can earn some interest (although possibly not
               much) until it is needed. When the cash is eventually needed, the investments
               can be sold, or cash can be withdrawn from the savings accounts.
       1.3 Aspects of cash management
               You might be required to consider any of the following three aspects of cash
               management.
                      Forecasting cash flow requirements and operational cash flows. This is
                       done by means of cash budgeting or cash flow forecasting. In your
                       examination it is more likely that you will be required to prepare a cash flow
                       forecast rather than a detailed cash budget.
                      Deciding how to invest surplus cash in short-term investments.
                      Deciding how much cash to keep and how much to invest in short-term
                       investments. In addition, if money is invested in short-term investments,
                       deciding how many investments to sell in exchange for cash when some
                       cash is eventually needed for operational requirements.
© Emile Woolf International                        737          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 24: Cash management
2      CASH BUDGETS AND CASH FLOW FORECASTS
         Section overview
          Cash budgets
          Preparing a cash budget
             Cash flow forecasts
             Cash flow statement approach
             Revenue and cost estimation approach
             Free cash flow
       2.1 Cash budgets
               A cash budget is a detailed plan of cash receipts and cash payments during a
               planning period. The planning period is sub-divided into shorter periods, and the
               cash receipts and payments are forecast/planned for each of the sub-divisions of
               time.
               For an annual master budget, the cash budget might be prepared on a monthly
               basis, or possibly a quarterly basis. Some business entities prepare new cash
               budgets regularly, possibly forecasting daily cash flows for the next week, or
               weekly cash flows for the next month.
               The main uses of a cash budget are as follows:
                      To forecast how much cash receipts and payments are expected to be over
                       the planning period.
                      To learn whether there will be a shortage of cash at any time during the
                       period, or possibly a cash surplus.
                      If there is a forecast shortage of cash, to consider measures in advance for
                       dealing with the problem - for example by planning to defer some
                       purchases of non-current assets, or approaching the bank for a larger bank
                       overdraft facility.
                      To monitor actual cash flows during the planning period, by comparing
                       actual cash flows with the budget.
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Performance management
       2.2 Preparing a cash budget
               A cash budget can be prepared by producing a table for the cash receipts and
               cash payments, containing each item of cash receipt and each item of cash
               payment. The cash receipts and then the cash payments should be listed in rows
               of the table, and each column of the table represents a time period, such as one
               month.
               A typical format for a monthly cash budget is shown below.
                 Example: Cash flow budget
                                                           January          February             March
                       Cash receipts                          ₦                 ₦                 ₦
                       Cash sales                           5,000              6,000            5,000
                       Cash from credit sales              72,000            64,000           64,000
                       Other cash receipts                  4,000             2,000            2,000
                       Total cash receipts                 81,000            72,000           71,000
                       Cash payments
                       Cash purchases                       6,000              6,600            6,200
                       Payments for credit purchases        8,400             9,000             9,900
                       Rental payments                          -            30,000                 -
                       Wages and salaries                  23,000            23,000           23,000
                       Dividend payments                        -                 -           40,000
                       Other payments                       3,000            73,000           13,000
                       Total cash payments                (40,400)         (141,600)         (92,100)
                       Receipts minus payments (net
                       cash flow)                          40,600            (69,600)        (21,100)
                       Cash balance at the beginning
                       of the month                        45,000            85,600           16,000
                       Cash balance at the end of the
                       month                               85,600            16,000            (5,100)
       2.3 Cash flow forecasts
               Cash flow forecasts, like cash budgets, are used to predict future cash
               requirements, or future cash surpluses. However, unlike cash budgets:
                      They are prepared throughout the financial year, and are not a part of a
                       formal budget plan
                      They are often prepared in much less detail than a cash budget.
               The main objectives of cash flow forecasting, like the purposes of a cash budget,
               are to:
                      Make sure that the entity is still expected to have sufficient cash to meet its
                       payment commitments as they fall due
                      Identify periods when there will be a shortfall in cash resources, so that
                       financing can be arranged
© Emile Woolf International                         739           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      Identify whether there will be a surplus of cash, so that the surplus can be
                       invested
                      Assess whether operating activities are generating the cash that is
                       expected from them.
               The main focus of cash flow forecasting is likely to be operating cash flows,
               although some investing and financing cash flows might also be significant.
               Techniques for preparing a cash flow forecast
               There are no rules about how to prepare a cash flow forecast. A forecast need
               not be in the same amount of detail as a cash budget. However there are two
               basic approaches that might be used:
                      Producing a cash flow forecast similar to a statement of cash flows
                       prepared using the indirect method
                      Forecasting cash flows by estimating revenues and costs to arrive at an
                       estimate of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation (EBITDA).
       2.4 Cash flow statement approach
               One way of preparing a cash flow forecast for a period of time is to produce a
               statement similar to a statement of cash flows in financial reporting. The general
               structure of the forecast will therefore be as follows:
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Performance management
                 Example: Cash flow forecast – statement of cash flows approach
                       Cash flow forecast
                                                                                           ₦
                       Expected trading profit in the period                            34,000
                       Adjustments for non-cash items:
                       Depreciation                                                     22,000
                                                                                        56,000
                       Adjustments for working capital
                       Increase in inventory                                           (15,000)
                       Increase in trade receivables                                   (18,000)
                       Increase in trade payables                                       10,000
                                                                                       (23,000)
                       Operational cash flows                                           33,000
                       Interest payments                                               (10,000)
                       Tax payments (on profits)                                         (7,000)
                       Cash flows from operating activities                             16,000
                       Cash flows from investing activities
                       Sale of non-current asset                                         4,000
                       Purchase of non-current asset                                   (25,000)
                       Cash flows from investing activities                            (21,000)
                       Cash flows from financing activities
                       Repayment of loan                                               (12,000)
                       Payment of dividend                                             (15,000)
                       Cash flows from financing activities                            (27,000)
                       Net change in cash position                                     (32,000)
                       Cash at beginning of forecast period                             40,000
                       Cash at end of forecast period                                     8,000
               Trading profit (profit before interest and tax)
               The expected trading profit might be estimated by projecting the current year’s
               trading profit (profit before interest and tax). For example, if trading profits have
               been increasing by about 5% per year and were ₦300,000 in the year just ended,
               it might be assumed for the purpose of the cash forecast that trading profit will be
               ₦315,000 next year.
               Depreciation (and amortisation)
               Depreciation is not a cash flow; therefore it must be added back to profit in order
               to calculate cash flows. Detailed information might be available about non-current
               assets to enable an accurate estimate of future depreciation charges (and
               amortisation charges, if there are any intangible assets). Alternatively, it might be
               assumed that the depreciation charge in the next year will be about the same as
               in the current year.
© Emile Woolf International                         740        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Chapter 24: Cash management
                An assumption has to be made about depreciation charges, and alternative
                assumptions might be more appropriate. If you have to make an estimate of
                depreciation for the purpose of cash flow forecasting in your examination, you
                should make the most reasonable assumption available on the basis of the
                information provided in the question.
                Changes in inventory, trade receivables and trade payables
                The figure for profit must also be adjusted for changes in working capital in order
                to estimate cash flows from operational activities. The most appropriate
                assumptions about working capital changes might be one of the following:
                       That there will be no changes in working capital
                       That inventory, trade receivables and trade payables will increase by the
                        same percentage amount as the growth in sales. For example, if sales are
                        expected to increase by 5%, it might be reasonable to assume that
                        inventory, trade receivables and trade payables will also increase by 5%
                        above their amount at the beginning of the year.
                Interest payments and tax payments
                Assumptions might be needed about interest and tax payments in the cash flow
                forecast.
                       It might be assumed that interest payments will be the same as interest
                        costs in the current year’s income statement, on the assumption that the
                        company’s total borrowings will not change significantly and interest rates
                        will remain stable.
                       It might be assumed that tax payments will be a percentage of the figure for
                        trading profit.
                       However, other assumptions might be more appropriate, given the
                        information provided in an examination question.
                Investing cash flows
                Investing cash flows might be included in a cash flow forecast if:
                       It is expected that additional non-current assets will be purchased in the
                        period
                       It is expected that some non-current assets will be sold/disposed of
                       It is assumed that some essential replacement of ageing and worn-out non-
                        current assets will be necessary. For example it might be assumed that
                        purchases of replacement non-current assets will be necessary, and the
                        amount of replacements required will be equal approximately to the annual
                        depreciation charge for those assets.
                Financing cash flows
                It might also be appropriate to include some financing cash flows in the cash flow
                forecast, where these are expected. In particular, if the company intends to pay
                an equity dividend, this should be included I n the forecast as a cash outflow.
 © Emile Woolf International                        741          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       2.5 Revenue and cost estimation approach
               Another approach to preparing a cash flow statement is to estimate earnings
               before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) using estimates of
               revenues and costs.
                 Example: Cash flow forecast – Revenue and cost estimation approach
                       Cash flow forecast
                                                                                            ₦
                       Sales revenue forecast                                           300,000
                       Cost of sales (% of sales revenue)                              (180,000)
                       Gross profit                                                     120,000
                       Other expenses (possibly fixed, possibly a % of sales
                       revenue)                                                          (90,000)
                       Net profit                                                         30,000
                       Add
                       Depreciation and amortisation                                      26,000
                       EBITDA                                                             56,000
               The figure for EBITDA is equivalent to the figure in the cash flow statement for
               operational cash flows before working capital adjustments. Adjustments can be
               made to EBITDA for working capital changes, interest and tax payments,
               investing cash flows and financing cash flows, in order to arrive at an estimate of
               the net cash flow surplus or deficit for the period.
               Sales revenue forecast
               The sales revenue forecast should be based on sales revenue in the previous
               year will an adjustment for volume growth (and possibly an increase in unit sales
               prices).
               Cost of sales and gross profit
               If the ratio of cost of sales: sales and the gross profit margin percentage have
               been fairly stable in recent years, it might be assumed that these ratios will apply
               in the future.
               For example, if sales revenue in the previous year was ₦10 million, gross profit
               has been 60% of sales for the past few year and sales revenue should increase
               by 5% next year with volume growth the estimate of gross profit for next year will
               be ₦10 million  1.05  60% = ₦6.3 million.
© Emile Woolf International                         742          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                               Chapter 24: Cash management
               Other expenses
               The estimate for other expenses should be based on reasonable assumptions.
               For example it might be assumed that these are fixed costs and so will be
               unchanged next year. Alternatively, it might be assumed that these costs will be
               the same percentage amount of sales revenue as in previous years.
               Other adjustments might be necessary, to allow for known changes in cost (for
               example, if an exceptionally large increase in raw material costs is forecast, this
               will affect the gross profit margin. Other costs might be affected by an
               expectation of an unusually large increase in administrative labour costs, and so
               on.
               Depreciation and amortisation
               If the estimates of cost of sales and other expenses include depreciation costs
               and amortisation costs, these must be added back in order to obtain an estimate
               of EBITDA.
                 Example: Revenue and cost estimation approach
                 A company wants to make a cash flow forecast for next year. The following
                 information is available.
                       Annual sales                ₦ million
                       Current year (forecast)       80
                       Previous year (Year – 1)      75
                       Year – 2                      72
                       Year – 3                      67
                       Year – 4                      64
                 The company has achieved a gross profit margin of between 57% and 62% in the
                 past four years. Other costs (distribution and administration costs) in the current
                 year are expected to be ₦36 million. Labour costs make up 25% of other costs.
                 These labour costs are expected to rise by 10% per year for the next two years
                 and then in line with the general rate of cost inflation. The general rate of annual
                 cost inflation for the next few years is expected to be 2%.
                 The company currently has ₦100 million of freehold land (50% land and 50%
                 buildings) and ₦40 million (at cost) of other non-current assets. Buildings are
                 depreciated by 2% per year and other non-current assets are depreciated over
                 eight years by the straight-line method to a zero residual value. The investment in
                 working capital (trade receivables plus inventory, less trade payables) is currently
                 ₦120 million.
                 Required
                 Prepare an estimate of cash flows from operations for each of the next two years.
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Performance management
                 Answer
                 Sales revenue has grown by a factor of 1.25 (= 80/64) over the past four years.
                 This gives an average annual growth rate in sales of 5.7% (= fourth root of 1.25,
                 minus 1). It might therefore be assumed that sales growth will be 6% per year in
                 each of the next two years.
                 The gross profit margin has varied between 57% and 62%. It might therefore be
                 assumed that in the next two years gross profit will be 60% sales.
                 It might also be assumed that growth in sales and the cost of sales allows for 2%
                 per annum price inflation.
                 Other costs are ₦36 million in the current year, consisting of ₦9 million of labour
                 costs and ₦27 million of other costs. It might be assumed that these are fixed
                 costs, except that they rise by 10% per year in the case of labour and 2% for other
                 costs.
                                               Current year Year 1             Year 2
                                                   ₦m                ₦m                ₦m
                     Labour (growing at
                     10% per annum)                 9                    9.9             10.9
                     Other costs (growing at
                     2% per annum)                 27                  27.5              28.1
                     Total                         36                  37.4              39.0
                 Depreciation charges each year are expected to be ₦1 million (2% × ₦50 million)
                 for buildings. For other non-current assets, depreciation will be ₦5 million (= ₦40
                 million/8 years).
                 If sales increase by 6% per year, it is assumed that working capital will grow at
                 the same rate, to ₦127 million in Year 1 and ₦135 million in Year 2.
                 An estimate of EBITDA, adjusted for expected working capital changes, can now
                 be prepared.
                                                  Current
                                                   Year      Year 1     Year 2
                                                          ₦m        ₦m              ₦m
                     Revenue                              80.0       84.8           89.9
                     Cost of sales (40%)                 (32.0)     (33.9)         (36.0)
                     Gross profit (60%)                   48.0       50.9           53.9
                     Other costs: see workings           (36.0)     (37.4)         (39.0)
                                                         12.0        13.5           14.9
                     Depreciation
                     Buildings                                         1.0            1.0
                     Other non-current assets                          5.0            5.0
                     EBITDA                                          19.5           20.9
                     Increase in working capital                      (7.0)          (8.0)
                     EBITDA adjusted for working
                     capital changes                                 12.5           12.9
© Emile Woolf International                        744            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                               Chapter 24: Cash management
       2.6 Free cash flow
               The concept of free cash flow might also be used in cash flow forecasts. Free
               cash flow is the amount of surplus cash flow (or the cash flow deficit) after
               allowing for all cash payments that are essential and non-discretionary. Free
               cash flow is the amount of cash flow that management is able to use at their
               discretion for any purpose.
               Free cash flow does not have an exact definition, and there may be differences in
               assumptions about essential cash flows. However, a useful definition of free cash
               flow is as follows.
                 Illustration: Free cash flow
                                                                                                 ₦
                       EBITDA                                                                    X
                       Less:
                       Payments of interest                                                      (X)
                       Payments of taxation                                                     (X)
                       Changes in working capital                                              X/(X)
                       (inventory, trade receivables, trade payables)
                       Essential capital expenditure (replacement of worn-out
                       assets)                                                                   (X)
                       Free cash flow                                                          X/(X)
               Free cash flow can be used to pay dividends, make discretionary purchases of
               non-current assets, repay debt capital to lenders, or retain as a cash surplus.
                 Example: Free cash flow
                 Suppose that in the previous example the company expects to have interest costs
                 of ₦500,000 each year for the next two years, and that taxation will be 25% of
                 EBITDA.
                 Assume that essential capital expenditure is equal to the depreciation charge on
                 non-current assets.
                 Required
                 Estimate free cash flow for the year.
© Emile Woolf International                        745          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Answer
                 Free cash flow might therefore be estimated as follows:
                                                                    Year 1                Year 2
                                                                    ₦m                       ₦m
                         Revenue                                      84.8                  89.9
                         Cost of sales (40%)                         (33.9)                (36.0)
                         Gross profit (60%)                           50.9                  53.9
                         Other costs: see workings                   (37.4)                (39.0)
                                                                      13.5                  14.9
                         Depreciation
                         Buildings                                      1.0                   1.0
                         Other non-current assets                       5.0                   5.0
                         EBITDA                                       19.5                  20.9
                         Interest payments                            (0.5)                 (0.5)
                         Tax payments (25% of 19.5 and 20.9)          (4.9)                 (5.2)
                         Increase in working capital                  (7.0)                 (8.0)
                         Essential capital expenditure                (6.0)                 (6.0)
                         Free cash flow                                 1.1                   1.2
                 This forecast suggests that after making essential cash payments, the remaining
                 free cash flow will be just over ₦1 million in each year, which might be
                 insufficient to pay for proposed equity dividends or discretionary new capital
                 expenditure projects.
                 In this example, if the company is hoping to expand it will need to consider ways
                 of raising finance from sources other than operational cash flows.
© Emile Woolf International                          746       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                               Chapter 24: Cash management
3      CASH MODELS: BAUMOL MODEL AND MILLER-ORR MODEL
         Section overview
             Purpose of cash models
             Baumol model
             Miller-Orr model
       3.1 Purpose of cash models
               Cash models might be used when an entity has periods of surplus cash and
               periods when cash is needed. A model can be used to decide:
                      How much cash to hold and how much to invest short-term to earn interest;
                       and
                      When cash is needed, how many investments to sell (how much cash to
                       obtain).
               Two such cash models are the Baumol model and the Miller-Orr model
       3.2 Baumol model
               The Baumol cash model is based on similar principles to the economic order
               quantity (EOQ) model used for inventory control. It assumes that a company
               spends cash regularly on expenses and that to obtain the cash it has to sell
               short-term investments. The company therefore makes regular sales of
               investments in order to obtain cash to pay its operational expenses.
               The purpose of the Baumol cash model is to calculate the optimal amount of
               cash that should be obtained each time that short-term investments are sold.
               The assumptions used in the model are as follows:
                      The company uses cash at a constant rate throughout each year (the same
                       amount of cash every day).
                      The company can replenish its cash immediately, as soon as it runs out of
                       the cash it has.
                      Cash is replenished by selling short-term investments. These investments
                       earn interest. The amount of investments sold, and the amount of cash
                       from selling the investments, is ₦X.
                      Holding cash has a cost. This is the opportunity cost of not investing the
                       cash to earn interest. The opportunity cost, CH, can be expressed as an
                       interest rate. For example, if investments earn interest at 4% per year, the
                       annual cost of holding cash is 0.04.
                      Selling securities or investments to obtain cash has a transaction cost
                       (similar to the cost of placing an order with the EOQ inventory model). In
                       the model, this is shown as Co.
                                                                                                            X
               The maximum amount of cash is therefore X and the average cash holding is
                                                                                                            2
                                                            X 
               The annual cost of holding cash is therefore   × CH
                                                             2 
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    Performance management
                   If the annual demand for cash is ₦D, the annual transaction costs of selling
                   securities (short-term investments) is:
                                                                  
                                                           D  × Co
                                                           
                                                              
                                                           X 
                   The model identifies the optimal amount of cash to obtain by selling securities, X.
                   It is the amount of cash that minimises the total opportunity costs of holding cash
                   and the transaction costs of selling securities.
                                 X                     
                   The total of         C   D           is minimised where X  2C D
                                                    C
                                  H   
                                                                                        O
                                                        O 
                                   2
                                         X                                   CH
                     Example: Baumol’s cash model
                      Omegbeoje Nigeria Limited makes payments to its creditors of ₦3 million a
                     year, at an equal rate each day.
                     Each time it converts investments into cash, it pays transaction charges of ₦150.
                     The opportunity cost of holding cash rather than investing it is 6% per year.
                     Using the Baumol model, calculate what quantity of investments should be sold
                     whenever more cash is needed by Entity KL.
                                                                                                                            
                     Answer
                                                  2 ×150 × 3,000,000
                                          x=                         = ₦122,474
                                                         0.06
                     This might be rounded to ₦122,500.
                     There would then be ₦3,000,000/₦122,500 = between 24 and 25 transfers of
                     cash during the year.
                     Practice questions                                                                           1
                      Nwokocha Nigeria Limited invests all cash as soon as it is received, to earn interest
                     at 5%. It incurs cash expenditures of ₦16,000,000 each year, and pays for
                     these at a constant rate each day. The cost of converting a batch of
                     investments into cash is ₦250, regardless of the size of the transaction.
                     Required
                     Use the Baumol model to decide how much cash should be obtained each time
                     investments are sold.
    © Emile Woolf International                        748              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 24: Cash management
       3.3 Miller-Orr model
               The Baumol model assumes that cash payments are evenly spread over time,
               and are a constant amount each period. In reality, this is unlikely to happen.
               There will be much more uncertainty over the timing of cash payments and
               receipts.
               The Miller-Orr model recognises this uncertainty in cash flows, which are
               measured statistically. Daily cash flows might be positive or negative. The net
               daily cash flows are then assumed to be normally distributed around the daily
               average net cash flow. (However, you do not need to know the statistical details
               of the model.)
               The model is used as follows:
                 Illustration: Miller-Orr model
                       The model has a minimum cash holding. This is called the lower limit.
                       This is usually decided by management.
                       If the cash balance falls to the lower limit, then investments will be
                       converted into cash, to take the balance back to a predetermined
                       amount, known as the return point.
                       There is also a maximum cash holding limit, the upper limit.
                       The difference between the lower limit and the upper limit is called the
                       spread.
                       If the cash balance reaches the upper limit, cash is used to buy
                       investments. The amount of cash used to buy investments is sufficient to
                       return the cash balance to the return point.
                       The cash balance should therefore fluctuate between the upper and
                       lower limits, and should not exceed these limits.
                       The distance between the lower limit and the return point is usually 1/3
                       of the total spread.
                       The distance between the upper limit and the return point is usually 2/3
                       of the total spread.
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Performance management
               The Miller-Orr model formula for the size of the spread
               The Miller-Orr model formula for the size of the spread is as follows:
                 Formula: The Miller-Orr model formula for the size of the spread
               Notes
               (a)     The transaction cost is the cost of the sale and purchase of securities
               (b)     The variance of cash flows is a statistical measure of the variation in the
                       amount of daily net cash flows.. The variance should relate to the same
                       period of time as the interest rate. For example, if the variance is a variance
                       of daily cash flows, the interest rate (expressed as a proportion) must be a
                       daily interest rate. If in doubt, to calculate a daily interest rate from an
                       annual interest rate, divide the annual interest rate by 365. Alternatively, if
                       you prefer to be more exact, take the 365th root (1 + interest rate), then
                       subtract 1 to get the daily interest rate.
               (c)     To convert an annual variance of cash flows to a daily variance, divide by
                       365.
               (d)     Remember also that the variance is the square of the standard deviation
                       (and the standard deviation is the square root of the variance).
               (e)     A value to the power of one-third means the cube root. Make sure that you
                       have a calculator that can calculate a cube root.
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                                                                                  Chapter 24: Cash management
                 Example: Miller-Orr model
                 Omotayo Nigeria Limited decides that it needs a minimum cash balance of
                 ₦15,000.
                 It estimates that it has transaction costs of ₦50 for each purchase or sale of
                 short-term investments.
                 Based on its measured historical observations, the standard deviation of daily
                 cash flows is ₦1,400.
                 The annual market interest rate on short-term investments is 8%.
                 Required
                 Calculate the upper cash limit and the return point using the Miller-Orr model.
                 Answer
                 The variance of daily cash flows = (1,400)2 = 1,960,000.
                                               0.08
                 The daily interest rate =            = 0.000219
                                               365
                 Using the formula to calculate the difference between the limits
                   Spread =       3                 ¾  50  1,960,000              1/3
                                                          0.000219
                 = ₦20,848
                 Lower limit (decided by management) = ₦15,000
                 Upper limit = ₦15,000 + ₦20,848 = ₦35,848
                 Return point = ₦15,000 + (1/3 × ₦20,848) = ₦21,949.
                 Alternative calculation of daily interest rate
                                               1.08  0.000211
                                         365
                 Daily interest rate =
                   Spread =       3                 ¾  50  1,960,000              1/3
                                                          0.000211
                 = ₦21,108
                 Lower limit (decided by management) = ₦15,000
                 Upper limit = ₦15,000 + ₦21,108 = ₦36,108
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Performance management
                 Practice questions                                                                      2
                  Enyiola Nigeria Limited decides that it needs a minimum cash balance of
                 ₦40,000.
                 It estimates that it has transaction costs of ₦120 for each purchase or sale of
                 short-term investments.
                 Based on its measured historical observations, the standard deviation of daily
                 cash flows is ₦1,800.
                 The annual market interest rate on short-term investments is 7%.
                 Required
                 Using the Miller-Orr model, calculate the upper cash limit, and the return point.
© Emile Woolf International                       752          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 24: Cash management
4      OTHER ASPECTS OF CASH MANAGEMENT
         Section overview
          Use of surplus cash: investing short term
          Ways of investing short term
             Dealing with shortfalls of cash
             Cash management in larger organisations
             Functions of a treasury department
       4.1 Use of surplus cash: investing short term
               Surplus cash arises when a business entity has cash that it does not need
               immediately for its day-to-day operations. Surpluses may be short-term
               (temporary).
               When a surplus is identified, the entity should plan how to use it. Holding it as
               cash is wasteful, because cash in a business bank account earns no interest.
               If the surplus is likely to be long-term, the cash should be invested long-term in
               wealth-producing assets of the business – perhaps through a plan of market
               expansion. Alternatively, if no suitable wealth-producing project is available, the
               entity should consider returning cash as dividends to its owners – the
               shareholders.
               If the surplus is likely to be temporary, it would be more appropriate to invest it
               for the short term and then cash in the investments when the cash is eventually
               needed.
               When deciding on how to use temporary surplus cash, the following
               considerations are important:
                      Liquidity – Short-term investments should ideally be liquid. This means
                       that they should be convertible into cash fairly quickly, at a fair price and
                       without difficulty. The more liquid the investment, the easier it is to convert it
                       back into cash. Market securities can be sold immediately on the market,
                       but at some risk of obtaining a poor price. Money in a savings account can
                       be withdrawn without loss (except perhaps there might be some loss of
                       interest if the money is withdrawn without providing the required minimum
                       notice period).
                      Safety – The level of investment risk should be acceptable. There is a risk
                       of losing money on the investment, due to a fall in its market value. With
                       investments such as a savings account, there would be no risk of capital
                       loss, but the interest on the savings might be very low. On the other hand
                       investing in shares of other companies is much more risky since share
                       prices fluctuate.
                      Profitability – The aim should be to earn the highest possible return on the
                       surplus cash, consistent with the objectives of liquidity and safety.
               There has to be a trade-off. The greater the liquidity and safety, then generally
               the lower will be the interest rate earned (profitability).
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       4.2 Ways of investing short term
               There are various possible short-term investment options for cash.
               Savings accounts and interest-earning deposits
               Savings accounts- Some banks might allow a business to place short-term cash
               in a savings account. However, banks do not like companies to use a savings
               account in the same way as a normal current account, with frequent deposits and
               withdrawals. The bank might insist on a minimum amount of deposit and a
               minimum notice period for withdrawals.
               If the surplus is fairly large, a bank will usually help a business customer to place
               surplus cash on short-term deposit in the money markets (interbank market).
               Money market rates might be higher than rates on savings accounts.
               Money market investments
               It is also possible to purchase some money market investments, such as
               Treasury bills and Certificates of Deposit.
               Treasury bills are short-term debt instruments issued by the government. They
               are usually issued by the government for a period of three months (91 days) or
               possibly six months, and redeemed at the end of that time. They are very secure
               (‘risk-free’) since the central government owes the money. They are also very
               liquid, and can be sold in the market before maturity if required. However,
               because they are short-term, very liquid and very safe, the rate of return (yield)
               tends to be low.
               (Note: Treasury bills are issued at a discount to their par value and are redeemed
               at par. For example Nigerian 91-day Treasury bills might be issued at ₦99.00
               and redeemed by the government at maturity for ₦100. During the 91-day period
               the bills can be sold in the market if required, and the market price should move
               towards ₦100 as the maturity date approaches.)
               Certificates of Deposit issued by banks. These are certificates giving their
               holder the right to ownership of a deposit of cash with the bank, plus interest, at a
               date in the future (the maturity date for the CD). The market for CDs is liquid, and
               CDs can be sold easily if the cash is required before the bank deposit reaches
               maturity.
               Short-dated government bonds- The government issues long-dated bonds
               (‘Treasury bonds’) as well as short-dated Treasury bills. When these bonds are
               nearing their maturity, they are an attractive short-term investment. They are as
               secure as Treasury bills, and possibly even more liquid.
               Longer-term securities as short-term investments
               Bonds traded in the bond markets. These normally offer a higher return than
               short-term investments, because there is greater risk for the investor.
               Bondholders can sell their investment in the secondary bond market if they need
               to convert the investment back into cash.
               However, there is an investment risk. Bond prices can fall if bond yields in the
               market rise. Bond prices can also fall if the credit rating of the bond issuer falls. In
               addition, the bond market is not always liquid, so it might also be difficult to sell
               the bonds for a fair price when the cash is needed. (However, the domestic
               market for government bonds is normally very liquid. The problem with market
               liquidity relates more to corporate bonds and the international bond markets.)
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                                                                               Chapter 24: Cash management
               Bonds are therefore inadvisable as a short-term investment, unless the investor
               is willing to accept the risk that bond prices might fall.
               Equity. Investing in the shares of other companies is a high-risk investment as
               there is no guarantee of return of capital value. Share prices can fall as well as
               rise, and dividend payments are at the discretion of the directors, and usually
               only paid twice a year. If the shares are quoted, then there will be some liquidity
               as they will be tradable in the secondary market.
               Investing in shares is not recommended as a short-term investment for surplus
               cash, because of the risk from volatility in share prices.
       4.3 Dealing with shortfalls of cash
               If the cash flow forecast or the cash budget indicates a shortage of cash,
               measures must be taken to deal with the problem. An entity must have the cash
               that it needs to continue in operation.
               If the entity does not have short-term investments that it can sell, it will need to
               obtain long-term capital or short-term funds.
               Long-term funding- A company can consider raising long-term funds by issuing
               new shares for cash.
               Alternatively, an entity might be able to borrow long term, by means of issuing
               loan stock (bonds) or obtaining a medium-term bank loan.
               Various short-term sources of cash might also be available.
                      Bank overdrafts – These are very popular with small and medium-sized
                       businesses. Obtaining a bank overdraft is usually the easiest way for a
                       small business to obtain finance.
                             The advantage of a bank overdraft is that the borrower pays interest
                              only on the amount of the overdraft balance.
                             However, overdrafts are expensive (the interest rate is comparatively
                              high compared with other sources of finance). Overdrafts are also are
                              repayable to the bank on demand. The bank can ask for immediate
                              repayment at any time that it wishes. Overdrafts can therefore be a
                              high-risk source of finance, especially for businesses with cash flow
                              difficulties – in other words, the businesses that are usually in
                              greatest need of an overdraft!
                             Bank overdrafts should only be used to finance fluctuating levels of
                              cash shortfalls. If the cash shortfall looks more permanent, other
                              sources of finance should be used.
                      Short-term bank loans – The main difference between a loan and a bank
                       overdraft is that a loan is arranged for a specific period and the capital
                       borrowed, together with the interest, is repaid according to an agreed
                       schedule and over an agreed time period. They are not repayable on
                       demand before maturity, provided the borrower keeps up the payments.
                       Interest is payable on the full amount of the outstanding loan. However, the
                       bank may demand security for a loan, for example in the form of a fixed and
                       floating charge over the assets of the business.
                      Debt factoring – Some business entities use the services of a debt factor.
                       The debt factor undertakes to administer the sales receivables ledger of the
                       client business, issuing invoices and collecting payments. In addition, the
                       factor will be prepared to advance cash to the client business in advance of
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                       receiving payment. Typically, a factor will lend a client up to 80% of the
                       value of outstanding trade receivables, and charge interest on the amount
                       of the loan. However, debt factor services can be expensive.
       4.4 Cash management in larger organisations
               Larger businesses find it much easier than smaller businesses to raise cash
               when they are expecting a cash shortfall. Similarly, when they have a cash
               surplus, they find it easier to invest the cash.
               Cash management in a large organisation is often handled by a specialist
               department, known as the treasury department. One role of the treasury
               department is to centralise the control of cash, to make sure that:
                      Cash is used as efficiently as possible
                      Surpluses in one part of the business (for example, in one profit centre) are
                       used to fund shortfalls elsewhere in the business, and
                      Surpluses are suitably invested and mature when the cash is needed.
               Making the management of cash the responsibility of a centralised treasury
               department has significant advantages.
                      Cash is managed by specialist staff – improving cash management
                       efficiency.
                      All the cash surpluses and deficits from different bank accounts used by the
                       entity can be ‘pooled’ together into a central bank account. This means that
                       cash can be channelled to where it is needed, and overdraft interest
                       charges can be minimised.
                      Central control over cash lowers the total amount of cash that needs to be
                       kept for precautionary reasons. If individual units had to hold their own
                       ‘safety stock’ of cash, then the total amount of surplus cash would be
                       higher (when added together) than if cash management is handled by one
                       department.
                      Putting all the cash resources into one place increases the negotiating
                       power of the treasury department to get the best deals from the banks.
       4.5 Functions of a treasury department
               The central treasury department is responsible for making sure that cash is
               available in the right amounts, at the right time and in the right place. To do this, it
               must:
                      Produce regular cash flow forecasts to predict surpluses and shortfalls
                      Arrange short-term borrowing and investment when necessary
                      Arrange to purchase foreign currency when needed, and arrange to sell
                       foreign currency cash receipts
                      Protect the business against the risk of adverse movements in foreign
                       exchange rates, when the business has receipts and payments, or loans
                       and investments
                      Deal with the entity’s banks
                      Finance the business on a day-to-day basis, for example by arranging
                       facilities with a bank
                      Advise senior management on long-term financing requirements.
© Emile Woolf International                           756        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                         Chapter 24: Cash management
5      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the reasons for holding cash balances
             Prepare cash budgets
             Explain and apply the Baumol model of cash management
             Explain and apply the Miller-Orr model of cash management
             Comment on possible uses of surplus cash
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       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                            1
                  2  250 16,000,000
                                      = =400,000
                         0.05
         Solution                                                                                            2
               Daily interest rate 365   1.07 1  0.000185
                           3 / 1201,8002 1
                Spread  3 4                    /3 = 3 × ₦11,638 = ₦34,914.
                               0.000185        
               The upper limit = ₦40,000 + ₦34,914 = ₦74,914, say ₦75,000.
               The return point = ₦40,000 + ₦11,638 = ₦51,638. This may be rounded o
                                                                                   t
               ₦51,500 or ₦52,000.
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                                                                         25
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                               CHAPTER
                   Introduction to capital budgeting
 Contents
 1 Capital expenditure, investment appraisal and capital
   budgeting
 2 Accounting rate of return (ARR) method
 3 The payback method of capital investment appraisal
 4 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       3     Capital budgeting decisions
             a     Discuss the characteristics of capital budgeting decisions.
             b     Calculate and discuss various investment appraisal techniques such as:
                   i     Traditional techniques
                            Accounting rate of return
                            Pay-back period
Exam context
This chapter provides an introduction to investment appraisal and explains accounting rate of
return method and the payback method of appraising investments. The accounting rate of
return method is not mentioned in the syllabus but is a widely used method in practice.
The chapter also provides a revision of how to identify relevant cash flows for use in cash
based techniques (payback and discounted cash flow which is covered in the next chapter).
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain the ARR method
      Use the ARR method in project appraisal
      Explain the payback method
      Use the payback method in project appraisal
© Emile Woolf International                         760        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting
1      CAPITAL EXPENDITURE, INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND CAPITAL
       BUDGETING
         Section overview
             Capital expenditure
          Investment appraisal
          Capital budgeting
             Features of investment projects
             Methods of investment appraisal
             The basis for making an investment decision
       1.1 Capital expenditure
               Capital expenditure is spending on non-current assets, such as buildings and
               equipment, or investing in a new business. As a result of capital expenditure, a
               new non-current asset appears on the statement of financial position (balance
               sheet), possibly as an ‘investment in subsidiary’.
               In contrast revenue expenditure refers to expenditure that does not create long-
               term assets, but is either written off as an expense in the income statement in the
               period that it is incurred, or that creates a short-term asset (such as the purchase
               of inventory).
               Capital expenditure initiatives are often referred to as investment projects, or
               ‘capital projects’. They can involve just a small amount of spending, but in many
               cases large amounts of expenditure are involved.
               A distinction might possibly be made between:
                      Essential capital spending to replace worn-out assets and maintain
                       operational capability
                      Discretionary capital expenditure on new business initiatives that are
                       intended to develop the business make a suitable financial return on the
                       investment.
               Examination questions usually focus on discretionary capital expenditure.
       1.2 Investment appraisal
               Before capital expenditure projects are undertaken, they should be assessed and
               evaluated. As a general rule, projects should not be undertaken unless:
                      They are expected to provide a suitable financial return, and
                      The investment risk is acceptable.
               Investment appraisal is the evaluation of proposed investment projects involving
               capital expenditure. The purpose of investment appraisal is to make a decision
               about whether the capital expenditure is worthwhile and whether the investment
               project should be undertaken.
       1.3 Capital budgeting
               Capital expenditure by a company should provide a long-term financial return,
               and spending should therefore be consistent with the company’s long-term
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               corporate and financial objectives. Capital expenditure should therefore be made
               with the intention of implementing chosen business strategies that have been
               agreed by the board of directors.
               Many companies have a capital budget, and capital expenditure is undertaken
               within the agreed budget framework and capital spending limits. For example, a
               company might have a five-year capital budget, setting out in broad terms its
               intended capital expenditure for the next five years. This budget should be
               reviewed and updated regularly, typically each year.
               Within the long-term capital budget, there should be more detailed spending
               plans for the next year or two.
                      Individual capital projects that are formally approved should be included
                       within the capital budget.
                      New ideas for capital projects, if they satisfy the investment appraisal
                       criteria and are expected to provide a suitable financial return, might be
                       approved provided that they are consistent with the capital budget and
                       overall spending limits.
               Investment appraisal and capital budgets
               Investment appraisal therefore takes place within the framework of a capital
               budget and strategic planning. It involves
                      Generating capital investment proposals in line with the company’s
                       strategic objectives.
                      Forecasting relevant cash flows relating to the project
                      Evaluating the projects
                      Implementing projects which satisfy the company’s criteria for deciding
                       whether the project will earn a satisfactory return on investment
                      Monitoring the performance of investment projects to ensure that they
                       perform in line with expectations.
       1.4 Features of investment projects
               Many investment projects have the following characteristics:
                      The project involves the purchase of an asset with an expected life of
                       several years, and involves the payment of a large sum of money at the
                       beginning of the project. Returns on the investment consist largely of net
                       income from additional profits over the course of the project’s life.
                      The asset might also have a disposal value (residual value) at the end of its
                       useful life.
                      A capital project might also need an investment in working capital. Working
                       capital also involves an investment of cash.
               Alternatively a capital investment project might involve the purchase of another
               business, or setting up a new business venture. These projects involve an initial
               capital outlay, and possibly some working capital investment. Financial returns
               from the investment might be expected over a long period of time, perhaps
               indefinitely.
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                                                                 Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting
       1.5 Methods of investment appraisal
               There are four methods of evaluating a proposed capital expenditure project. Any
               or all of the methods can be used, but some methods are preferable to others,
               because they provide a more accurate and meaningful assessment.
               The four methods of appraisal are:
                      Accounting rate of return (ARR) method
                      Payback method
                      Discounted cash flow (DCF) methods:
                             Net present value (NPV) method
                             Internal rate of return (IRR) method
               Each method of appraisal considers a different financial aspect of the proposed
               capital investment.
       1.6 The basis for making an investment decision
               When deciding whether or not to make a capital investment, management must
               decide on a basis for decision-making. The decision to invest or not invest will be
               made for financial reasons in most cases, although non-financial considerations
               could be important as well.
               There are different financial reasons that might be used to make a capital
               investment decision. Management could consider:
                      the effect the investment will have on the accounting return on capital
                       employed, as measured by financial accounting methods. If so, they might
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                       use accounting rate of return (ARR) /return on investment (ROI) as the
                       basis for making the decision
                      the time it will take to recover the cash invested in the project. If so, they
                       might use the payback period as the basis for the investment decision
                      the expected investment returns from the project. If so, they should use
                       discounted cash flow (DCF) as a basis for their decision. DCF considers
                       both the size of expected future returns and the length of time before they
                       are earned.
               There are two different ways of using DCF as a basis for making an investment
               decision:
                      Net present value (NPV) approach. With this approach, a present value is
                       given to the expected costs of the project and the expected benefits. The
                       value of the project is measured as the net present value (the present value
                       of income or benefits minus the present value of costs). The project should
                       be undertaken if it adds value. It adds value if the net present value is
                       positive (greater than 0).
                      Internal rate of return (IRR) approach. With this approach, the expected
                       return on investment over the life of the project is calculated, and compared
                       with the minimum required investment return. The project should be
                       undertaken if its expected return (as an average percentage annual
                       amount) exceeds the required return.
               The remainder of this chapter considers the accounting rate of return (ARR)
               method and the payback method of appraisal.
2      ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN (ARR) METHOD
         Section overview
             Decision rule for the ARR method
             Definition of ARR
             Advantages and disadvantages of using the ARR method
       2.1 Decision rule for the ARR method
               The accounting rate of return (ARR) from an investment project is the accounting
               profit, usually before interest and tax, as a percentage of the capital invested. It is
               similar to return on capital employed (ROCE), except that whereas ROCE is a
               measure of financial return for a company or business as a whole, ARR
               measures the financial return from a specific capital project.
               The essential feature of ARR is that it is based on accounting profits, and the
               accounting value of assets employed. The decision rule for capital investment
               appraisal using the ARR method is that a capital project meets the criteria for
               approval if its expected ARR is higher than a minimum target ARR or minimum
               acceptable ARR.
               Alternatively the decision rule might be to approve a project if the return on
               capital employed (ROCE) of the company as a whole will increase as a result of
               undertaking the project.
© Emile Woolf International                          765          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       2.2 Definition of ARR
               If accounting rate of return (ARR) is used to decide whether or not to make a
               capital investment, we calculate the expected annual accounting return over the
               life of the project. The financial return will vary from one year to the next during
               the project; therefore we have to calculate an average annual return.
               If the ARR of the project exceeds a target accounting return, the project would be
               undertaken. If its ARR is less than the minimum target, the project should be
               rejected and should not be undertaken
               Unfortunately, a standard definition of accounting rate of return does not exist.
               There are two main definitions:
                      Average annual profit as a percentage of the average investment in the
                       project
                      Average annual profit as a percentage of the initial investment.
               You would normally be told which definition to apply. If in doubt, assume that
               capital employed is the average amount of capital employed over the project life.
                 Formula: Capital employed
                              Initial cost of equipment + residual value
                       =                                                           + working capital
                                                  2
               However, you might be expected to define capital employed as the total initial
               investment (capital expenditure + working capital investment).
               Profits will vary from one year to the next over the life of an investment project.
               As indicated earlier, profit is defined as the accounting profit, after depreciation
               but before interest and taxation. Since profits vary over the life of the project, it is
               normal to use the average annual profit to calculate ARR.
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               Profit is calculated using normal accounting rules, and is after deduction of
               depreciation on non-current assets.
                 Example: Accounting rate of return
                 A company is considering a project which requires an investment of ₦120,000 in
                 machinery. The machinery will last four years after which it will have scrap value
                 of ₦20,000. The investment in additional working capital will be ₦15,000.
                 The expected annual profits before depreciation are:
                              Year
                                1    ₦45,000
                                2    ₦45,000
                                3    ₦40,000
                                4    ₦25,000
                 The company requires a minimum accounting rate of return of 15% from projects
                 of this type. ARR is measured as average annual profits as a percentage of the
                 average investment.
                 Should the project be undertaken?
                 Answer:
                       Total project profits before depreciation:                                ₦
                       Year 1                                                                45,000
                       Year 2                                                                45,000
                       Year 3                                                                40,000
                       Year 4                                                                25,000
                                                                                           155,000
                       Total depreciation = ₦120,000 - ₦20,000                            (100,000)
                       Total project after before depreciation:                              55,000
                       Length of project (÷)                                                      4
                       Average annual accounting profit                                      13,750
                       Average investment
                       ₦(120,000 + 20,000)/2 + ₦15,000                                       85,000
                       ARR (₦13,750/₦85,000)  100%                                            16.2%
© Emile Woolf International                         766             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting
       2.3 Advantages and disadvantages of using the ARR method
               The main advantages of the ARR are that:
                      It is fairly easy to understand. It uses concepts that are familiar to business
                       managers, such as profits and capital employed.
                      It is easy to calculate.
               However, there are significant disadvantages with the ARR method.
                      It is based on accounting profits, and not cash flows. However investments
                       are about investing cash to obtain cash returns. Investment decisions
                       should therefore be based on cash flows, and not accounting profits.
                      Accounting profits are an unreliable measure. For example, the annual
                       profit and the average annual investment can both be changed simply by
                       altering the rate of depreciation and the estimated residual value.
                      The ARR method ignores the timing of the accounting profits. Using the
                       ARR method, a profit of ₦10,000 in Year 1 and ₦90,000 in Year 2 is just as
                       valuable as a profit of ₦90,000 in Year 1 and ₦10,000 in Year 2. However,
                       the timing of profits is significant, because the sooner the cash returns are
                       received, the sooner they can be reinvested to increase returns even more.
                      The ARR is a percentage return, relating the average profit to the size of
                       the investment. It does not give us an absolute return. However the
                       absolute return can be significant. For example if the ARR on an
                       investment of ₦1,000 is 50%, the average profit is ₦500; whereas if the
                       ARR on an investment of ₦1 million is 20%, the average annual profit will
                       be ₦200,000. An accounting return of ₦200,000 on an investment of ₦1
                       million might be preferred to an accounting return of 50% on an investment
                       of ₦1,000.
                      When using the ARR method for investment appraisal, a decision has to be
                       made about what the minimum target ARR should be. There is no rational
                       economic basis for setting a minimum target for ARR. Any such minimum
                       target accounting return is a subjective target, with no economic or
                       investment significance.
                 Practice question                                                                         1
                 A capital project would involve the purchase of an item of equipment costing
                 ₦240,000. The equipment will have a useful life of six years and would generate
                 cash flows of ₦66,000 each year for the first three years and ₦42,000 each year
                 for the final three years.
                 The scrap value of the equipment is expected to be ₦24,000 after six years. An
                 additional investment of ₦40,000 in working capital would be required.
                 The business currently achieves a return on capital employed, as measured from
                 the data in its financial statements, of 10%.
                 Required
                 (a)     Calculate the ARR of the project, using the initial cost of the equipment to
                         calculate capital employed.
                 (b)     Calculate the ARR of the project, using the average cost of the equipment
                         to calculate capital employed.
                 (c)     Suggest whether or not the project should be undertaken, on the basis of
                         its expected ARR.
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Performance management
3      THE PAYBACK METHOD OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
         Section overview
             Definition of payback
             Decision rule for the payback method
             Advantages and disadvantages of the payback method
       3.1 Definition of payback
               Payback is measured by cash flows, not profits.
               It is the length of time before the cash invested in a project will be recovered
               (paid back) from the net cash returns from the investment project.
               For example, suppose that a project will involve capital expenditure of ₦80,000
               and the annual net cash returns from the project will be ₦30,000 each year for
               five years.
               The expected payback period is: ₦80.000/₦30,000 = 2.67 years.
       3.2 Decision rule for the payback method
               Using the payback method, a maximum acceptable payback period is decided,
               as a matter of policy. The expected payback period for the project is calculated.
                      If the expected payback is within the maximum acceptable time limit, the
                       project is acceptable.
                      If the expected payback does not happen until after the maximum
                       acceptable time limit, the project is not acceptable.
               The time value of money is ignored, and the total return on investment is not
               considered.
                 Example: Payback
                 A company requires all investment projects to pay back their initial investment
                 within three years. It is considering a new project requiring a capital outlay of
                 ₦140,000 on plant and equipment and an investment of ₦20,000 in working
                 capital. The project is expected to earn the following net cash receipts:
                              Year
                               1     ₦40,000
                               2     ₦50,000
                               3     ₦90,000
                               4     ₦25,000
                 Should the investment be undertaken?
© Emile Woolf International                       768          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting
                 Answer
                 Note that ‘now’ is usually referred to as ‘Time 0’.
                 The investment in working capital should be included as an outflow of cash at the
                 beginning of the project. This is because when there is an increase in working
                 capital, cash flows are lower than cash profits by the amount of the increase.
                 Similarly when working capital is reduced to ₦0 at the end of the project, the
                 reduction is added to cash flows because when there is a reduction in working
                 capital, cash flows are higher than cash profits by the amount of the reduction.
                                           Cumulative cash
                                             position at the
                       Year   Cash flow     end of the year
                                  ₦
                        0     (160,000)       (160,000)        (₦140,000 + ₦20,000)
                        1      40,000         (120,000)
                        2      50,000          (70,000)
                        3      90,000           20,000
                        4      45,000           65,000         cash flow = ₦25,000 + ₦20,000
                 (a)  If we assume that all cash flows occur at the end of each year, the payback
                      period is three years.
                 (b) If we assume that cash flows arise evenly over the course of each year, then
                      the payback period is:
                 2 years + (70,000/90,000) year = 2.78 years = 2 years 9 months.
                 Note: The payback period of 2 years 9 months is calculated as follow.
                 (1) Payback occurs during the third year. At the beginning of year 3 the
                     cumulative cash flow is ₦(70,000).
                       During the year there are net cash flows of ₦90,000.
                       The cumulative cash flow therefore starts to become positive, assuming even
                       cash flows through the year, after 70,000/90,000 of the year = 0.78 year.
                 (2) A decimal value for a year can be converted into months by multiplying by
                     12, or into days by multiplying by 365.
                       So 0.78 years = 9 months (= 0.78  12) or 285 days (= 0.78  365).
© Emile Woolf International                        769          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.3 Advantages and disadvantages of the payback method
               The advantages of the payback method for investment appraisal are as follows:
                      Simplicity – The payback is easy to calculate and understand.
                      The method analyses cash flows, not accounting profits. Investments are
                       about investing cash to earn cash returns. In this respect, the payback
                       method is better than the ARR method.
                      Payback is often used together with a DCF method, particularly by
                       companies that have liquidity problems and do not want to tie up cash for
                       long periods. Payback can be used to eliminate projects that will take too
                       long to pay back. Investments that pass the payback test can then be
                       evaluated using one of the DCF methods.
               The disadvantages of the payback method are as follows:
                      It ignores all cash flows after the payback period, and so ignores the total
                       cash returns from the project. This is a significant weakness with the
                       payback method.
                      It ignores the timing of the cash flows during the payback period. For
                       example, for an investment of ₦100,000, cash flows of ₦10,000 in Year 1
                       and ₦90,000 in Year 2 are no different from cash flows of ₦90,000 in Year
                       1 and ₦10,000 in Year 2, because both pay back after two years. However
                       it is clearly better to receive ₦90,000 in Year 1 and ₦10,000 in Year 2 than
                       to receive ₦10,000 in Year 1 and ₦90,000 in Year 2.
                 Practice questions                                                                          2
                 A company must choose between two investments, Project A and Project B. It
                 cannot undertake both investments. The expected cash flows for each project
                 are:
                       Year                      Project A                      Project B
                                                     ₦                             ₦
                       0                         (80,000)                      (80,000)
                       1                          20,000                        60,000
                       2                          36,000                        24,000
                       3                          36,000                         2,000
                       4                          17,000                              -
                 The company has a policy that the maximum permissible payback period for an
                 investment is three years and if a choice has to be made between two projects,
                 the project with the earlier payback will be chosen.
                 Required
                 1)           Calculate the payback period for each project:
                              (a)   assuming that cash flows occur at that year end
                              (b)   assuming that cash flows after Year 0 occur at a constant rate
                                    throughout each year
                 2)           Are the projects acceptable, according to the company’s payback rule?
                              Which project should be selected?
                 3)           Do you agree that this is the most appropriate investment decision?
© Emile Woolf International                            770         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                            Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting
4      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain the ARR method
             Use the ARR method in project appraisal
             Explain the payback method
             Use the payback method in project appraisal
© Emile Woolf International                    771          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
                                                                                                         1
         a)                     18,000
               ARR =                         × 100% = 6.4%
                          (240,000 + 40,000)
               Workings
               Total cash profits:                                                        ₦
               Years 1 – 3 (3 × ₦66,000)                                                198,000
               Years 4 – 6 (3 × ₦42,000)                                                126,000
                                                                                        324,000
               Less depreciation over six years (240,000 – 24,000)                      216,000
               Total profits                                                            108,000
               Average annual profit (÷6)                                                 18,000
         b)                18,000
               ARR =              ×100% = 10.5%
                          172,000
               Workings
               Starting value of the equipment                                          240,000
               Value of the equipment at the end of Year 6                               24,000
                                                                                        264,000
               Average capital employed in the equipment (÷ 2)                          132,000
               Working capital                                                           40,000
               Average investment                                                       172,000
         c) A project should not be undertaken on the basis of its ARR.
© Emile Woolf International                       772        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                 Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting
         Solution                                                                                            2
                                          Project A                         Project B
                                                Cumulative                        Cumulative
                 Year             Cash flow       cash flow         Cash flow       cash flow
                                      ₦                ₦                 ₦                    ₦
                 0                 (80,000)         (80,000)          (80,000)             (80,000)
                 1                  20,000          (60,000)           60,000              (20,000)
                 2                  36,000          (24,000)           24,000                 4,000
                 3                  36,000           12,000
         1a      If cash flows occur at the end of each year, Project A will pay back after three
                 years and Project B will pay back after two years.
         1b      If cash flows occur at a constant rate throughout the year:
                 Project A will pay back after:
                         2 years + [(24,000/36,000) × 12 months] = 2 years 8 months.
                 Project B will pay back after:
                          1 year + [(20,000/24,000) × 12 months] = 1 year 10 months.
         2)      Both projects meet the policy requirement that investments must pay back
                 within three years. The preferred choice would be project B, which pays back
                 more quickly.
         3)      An investment decision should not be made on the basis of payback alone.
                 Payback ignores the total expected returns from a project. In this example,
                 project A is expected to be more profitable over its full life.
                 In addition, payback method ignores the time value of money.
© Emile Woolf International                        773           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                        26
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                              CHAPTER
                                        Discounted cash flow
 Contents
 1 Discounting
 2 Net present value (NPV) method of investment
   appraisal
 3 Discounting annuities and perpetuities
 4 Internal rate of return (IRR)
 5 Relative merits of NPV and IRR
 6 DCF and inflation
 7 Risk and uncertainty in capital investment appraisal
 8 Sensitivity analysis
 9 Other methods of risk and uncertainty analysis
 10 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                 775           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       3     Capital budgeting decisions
                   ii    Discounted cash flow technique
                            Net Present Value
                            Internal Rate of Return
                              NB: These may Include basic profitability index and inflation but
                              excluding tax consideration and capital rationing.
Exam context
This chapter explains discounted cash flow and its use in appraising capital investments.
Much of the content of this chapter will be familiar to you from an earlier paper.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain discounting
      Explain NPV and apply the technique in project appraisal
      Explain IRR and apply the technique in project appraisal
      Discuss the relative merits of NPV and IRR
      Distinguish the money cost of capital and the real cost of capital
      Apply the Fisher equation to evaluate an unknown variable
      Explain the link between money cash flows and real cash flows
      Identify money cash flows by taking inflation into account
      Perform discounted cash flow analysis taking inflation into account
      Perform sensitivity analysis and comment on its results
      Explain how risk adjusted discount rates might be used to adjust for project risk
      Explain and calculate discounted payback
© Emile Woolf International                         776          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
1      DISCOUNTING
         Section overview
             The time value of money
             Discounting
             Discount tables
       1.1 The time value of money
               One of the basic principles of finance is that a sum of money today is worth more
               than the same sum in the future. If offered a choice between receiving ₦10,000
               today or in 1 year’s time a person would choose today.
               A sum today can be invested to earn a return. This alone makes it worth more
               than the same sum in the future. This is referred to as the time value of money.
               The impact of time value can be estimated using one of two methods:
                      Compounding which estimates future cash flows that will arise as a result of
                       investing an amount today at a given rate of interest for a given period.
                             An amount invested today is multiplied by a compound factor to give
                              the amount of cash expected at a specified time in the future
                              assuming a given interest rate.
                      Discounting which estimates the present day equivalent (present value
                       which is usually abbreviated to PV) of a future cash flow at a specified time
                       in the future at a given rate of interest
                             An amount expected at a specified time in the future is multiplied by a
                              discount factor to give the present value of that amount at a given
                              rate of interest.
                             The discount factor is the inverse of a compound factor for the same
                              period and interest rate. Therefore, multiplying by a discount factor is
                              the same as dividing by a compounding factor.
                             Discounting is the reverse of compounding.
       1.2 Discounting
                 Formula: Discount factor
                                                                        1
                                                Discountfactor=
                                                                    (1 + r)n
                       Where:
                       r = the period interest rate (cost of capital)
                       n = number of periods
© Emile Woolf International                           777           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: Discounting
                 A person expects to receive ₦13,310 in 3 years.
                 If the person faces an interest rate of 10% what is the present value of this
                 amount?
                                                                               1
                                    Presentvalue = Futurecashflow×
                                                                           (1 + r)n
                                                                         1
                                          Presentvalue=13,310×
                                                                      (1.1)3
                                               Present value = 10,000
               Emphasis
                 Illustration: Discounting is the reverse of compounding
                       Compounding               Future value = Amount today × (1 + r)n
                       Rearranging (and                                                       1
                                                  Present value = Future value ×
                       renaming the                                                       (1 + r)n
                       “amount today” as
                       present value)
               Interpreting present values
               The present value of a future cash flow is the amount that an investor would need
               to invest today to receive that amount in the future. This is simply another way of
               saying that discounting is the reverse of compounding.
               It is important to realise that the present value of a cash flow is the equivalent of
               its future value. Using the above example to illustrate this, ₦10,000 today is
               exactly the same as ₦13,310 in 3 years at an interest rate of 10%. The person in
               the example would be indifferent between the two amounts. He would look on
               them as being identical.
               Also the present value of a future cash flow is a present day cash equivalent. The
               person in the example would be indifferent between an offer of ₦10,000 cash
               today and ₦13,310 in 3 years.
© Emile Woolf International                       778            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
               Using present values
               Discounting cash flows to their present value is a very important technique. It can
               be used to compare future cash flows expected at different points in time by
               discounting them back to their present values.
                 Example: Comparing cash flows.
                 A borrower is due to repay a loan of ₦120,000 in 3 years.
                 He has offered to pay an extra ₦20,000 as long as he can repay after 5 years.
                 The lender faces interest rates of 7%. Is the offer acceptable?
                                                                              1
                       Existing contract             PV = 120,000 ×                = ₦97,955
                                                                           (1.07)3
                                                                                      1
                       Client’s offer           Presentvalue = 140,000×                    = ₦99,818
                                                                                   (1.07)5
                       The client’s offer is acceptable as the present value of the new amount is
                       greater than the present value of the receipt under the existing contract.
                 Example: Comparing cash flows
                 An investor wants to make a return on his investments of at least 7% per year.
                 He has been offered the chance to invest in a bond that will cost ₦200,000 and
                 will pay ₦270,000 at the end of four years.
                 In order to earn ₦270,000 after four years at an interest rate of 7% the amount of
                 his investment now would need to be:
                                                                 1
                                           PV=270,000×                = ₦206,010
                                                             (1. 07)4
                 The investor would be willing to invest ₦206,010 to earn ₦270,000 after 4 years.
                 However, he only needs to invest ₦200,000.
                 This indicates that the bond provides a return in excess of 7% per year.
                 Example: Comparing cash flows
                 How much would an investor need to invest now in order to have ₦100,000 after
                 12 months, if the compound interest on the investment is 0.5% each month?
                 The investment ‘now’ must be the present value of ₦100,000 in 12 months,
                 discounted at 0.5% per month.
                                                                  1
                                           PV=100,000×                  = ₦94,190
                                                             (1. 005)12
               Present values can be used to appraise large projects with multiple cash flows.
               This is covered in the section 2 of this chapter.
© Emile Woolf International                          779              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       1.3 Discount tables
               Discount factors can be calculated as shown earlier but can also be obtained
               from discount tables. These are tables of discount rates which list discount
               factors by interest rates and duration.
                 Illustration: Discount tables (extract)
                 (Full tables are given as an appendix to this text).
                                  Discount rates (r)
                          (n)       5%         6%            7%           8%            9%           10%
                              1    0.952       0.943         0.935      0.926          0.917         0.909
                              2    0.907       0.890         0.873      0.857          0.842         0.826
                              3    0.864       0.840         0.816      0.794          0.772         0.751
                              4    0.823       0.792         0.763      0.735          0.708         0.683
                       Where:
                       n = number of periods
                 Example: Discount factors from formula or tables
                 Calculate the present value of ₦60,000 received in 4 years assuming a cost of
                 capital of 7%.
                     From formula                                         1
                                                    PV = 60,000 ×              = 45,773
                                                                       (1.07)4
                     From table (above)              PV = 60,000 × 0.763 = 45,780
                       The difference is due to rounding. The discount factor in the above table
                       has been rounded to 3 decimal places whereas the discount factor from
                       the formula has not been rounded.
© Emile Woolf International                            780           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
2      NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) METHOD OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
         Section overview
             Introduction to discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis
             Calculating the NPV of an investment project
             Two methods of presentation
             Profitability index
       2.1 Introduction to discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis
               Discounted cash flow is a technique for evaluating proposed investments, to
               decide whether they are financially worthwhile.
               There are two methods of DCF:
                      Net present value (NPV) method: the cost of capital r is the return
                       required by the investor or company
                      Internal rate of return (IRR) method: the cost of capital r is the actual
                       return expected from the investment.
               All cash flows are assumed to arise at a distinct point in time (usually the end of a
               year). For example, sales of ₦20m in year four are discounted as if they arose as
               a single amount at the end of year 4.
       2.2 Calculating the NPV of an investment project
               Approach
               Step 1: List all cash flows expected to arise from the project. This will include the
               initial investment, future cash inflows and future cash outflows.
               Step 2: Discount these cash flows to their present values using the cost that the
               company has to pay for its capital (cost of capital) as a discount rate. All cash
               flows are now expressed in terms of ‘today’s value’.
               Step 3: The net present value (NPV) of a project is difference between the
               present value of all the costs incurred and the present value of all the cash flow
               benefits (savings or revenues).
                      The project is acceptable if the NPV is positive.
                      The project should be rejected if the NPV is negative.
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Performance management
                 Example: NPV appraisal
                 A company with a cost of capital of 10% is considering investing in a project with
                 the following cash flows.
                          Year        ₦(m)
                              0       (10,000)
                              1           6,000
                              2           8,000
                       Should the project be undertaken?
                       NPV calculation:
                                                  Discount factor      Present
                         Year     Cash flow           (10%)             value
                                    ₦(m)                                 ₦(m)
                              0     (10,000)            1              (10,000)
                                                        1
                              1        6,000                             5,456
                                                      (1.1)
                                                        1
                              2        8,000                             6,612
                                                      (1.1)2
                         NPV                                             2,068
                       The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.
               Note that the above example refers to year 0, year 1 etc. This actually refers to
               points in time. “Year 0” is now. “Year 1” is at the end of the first year and so on.
               Sometimes they are referred to as t0 (now) , t1 (end of first year), t2 (end of
               second year) etc.
               It is less confusing to think of the project starting at time 0 rather than describing
               it as Year 0 (as there is no year 0).
© Emile Woolf International                           782           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Practice questions                                                                           1
                 1     A company is considering whether to invest in a new item of equipment
                       costing ₦53,000 to make a new product.
                       The product would have a four-year life, and the estimated cash profits
                       over the four-year period are as follows.
                             Year             ₦
                              1            17,000
                              2             25,000
                              3             16,000
                              4             12,000
                       Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 11%
                 2     A company is considering whether to invest in a new item of equipment
                       costing ₦65,000 to make a new product.
                       The product would have a three-year life, and the estimated cash
                       profits over this period are as follows.
                             Year              ₦
                               1             27,000
                               2             31,000
                               3             15,000
                       Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 8%
       2.3 Two methods of presentation
               There are two methods of presenting DCF calculations. Both are shown below,
               with illustrative figures.
               Format 1
                 Illustration: NPV layout
                                                                          Discount
                                                       Cash flow          factor at            Present
                       Year       Description             (₦)               10%               value (₦)
                       0          Machine              (40,000)             1.000             (40,000)
                       0          Working capital       (5,000)             1.000               (5,000)
                       1-3        Cash profits             20,000            2.487             49,740
                       3          Sale of machine           6,000            0.751               4,506
                                  Recovery of
                       3          working capital           5,000            0.751               3,755
                                  NPV                                                          13,001
© Emile Woolf International                          783            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Format 2
                 Illustration: NPV layout
                       Year                       0           1                2                 3
                                                  ₦           ₦                ₦                 ₦
                       Investment in
                       machine/sale of
                       machine                 (40,000)                                        6,000
                       Working capital           (5,000)                                       5,000
                       Cash receipts                        50,000          50,000           50,000
                       Cash expenditures                    (30,000)       (30,000)         (30,000)
                       Net cash flow           (45,000)     20,000          20,000           31,000
                       Discount factor at
                       10%                       1.000        0.909            0.826           0.751
                       Present value           (45,000)     18,180          16,520           23,281
                       NPV                                                                   12,981
               For computations with a large number of cash flow items, the second format is
               probably easier. This is because the discounting for each year will only need to
               be done once.
               Note that changes in working capital are included as cash flows. An increase in
               working capital, usually at the beginning of the project in Year 0, is a cash outflow
               and a reduction in working capital is a cash inflow. Any working capital
               investment becomes ₦0 at the end of the project.
       2.4 Profitability index
               The profitability index can also be used to compare investments.
               The profitability index is the ratio of the NPV to capital investment.
                 Illustration: Profitability index
                 Following on from the above example the profitability index can be found as
                 follows:
                                                                  ₦
                       Net present value                       12,981
                       Investment in machine                  ÷40,000
                                                              0.3245 (or
                       Profitability index                     32.45%)
© Emile Woolf International                           784       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                          Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
3      DISCOUNTING ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES
         Section overview
             Annuities
             Perpetuities
             Application of annuity arithmetic
       3.1 Annuities
               An annuity is a constant cash flow for a given number of time periods. A capital
               project might include estimated annual cash flows that are an annuity.
               Examples of annuities are:
                      ₦30,000 each year for years 1 – 5
                      ₦20,000 each year for years 3 – 10
                      ₦500 each month for months 1 – 24.
               The present value of an annuity can be computed by multiplying each individual
               amount by the individual discount factor and then adding each product. This is
               fine for annuities of just a few periods but would be too time consuming for long
               periods. An alternative approach is to use the annuity factor.
               An annuity factor for a number of periods is the sum of the individual discount
               factors for those periods.
                 Example:
                 Calculate the present value of ₦50,000 per year for years 1 – 3 at a discount rate
                 of 9%.
                      Year     Cash flow Discount factor                 Present
                                                 at 9%                    value
                                                    1
                        1       50,000                      = 0.917       45,850
                                               (1.09)
                                                    1
                        2       50,000                      = 0 842       42,100
                                                (1.09)2
                                                    1       = 0.772
                        3       50,000                                    38,600
                                                (1.09)3
                     NPV                                                126,550
                      or:
                      1 to 3    50,000                         2.531        126,550
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Performance management
               An annuity factor can be constructed by calculating the individual period factors
               and adding them up but this would not save any time. In practice a formula or
               annuity factor tables are used.
                 Formula: Annuity factor (discount factor of an annuity)
                 There are two version of the annuity factor formula:
                                                          Method 1                            Method 2
                                                       1         1                           1 − (1+ r)–n
                       Annuity factor                 = (1−           )                =(                     )
                                                        r     (1+ r)n                                 r
                       Where:
                       r = discount rate, as a proportion
                       n = number of time periods
                 Example: Present value of an annuity factor
                              Year         Cash flow         Discount          Present
                                                              factor            value
                              1 to 3           50,000       2.531 (W)          126,550
                       Working: Calculation of annuity factor
                                       Method 1:                            Method 2:
                                              1            1                            1 − (1+ r)–n
                                            = (1−               )                 =(                      )
                                               r        (1+ r)n                               r
                                                 1          1                           1 − (1.09)–3
                                           =         (1−         )                 =(                )
                                                0.09     (1.09)3                             0.09
                                                 1           1                        1 − 0.7722
                                            =        (1−        )                   =(           )
                                               0.09       1.295                             0.09
                                                1                                        0.2278
                                           =        (1 −0.7722)                        =
                                               0.09                                         0.09
                                             1
                                         =        (0.2278) =2.531                           = 2.531
                                            0.09
© Emile Woolf International                               786           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Illustration: Annuity factor table (extract)
                 (Full tables are given as an appendix to this text).
                                  Discount rates (r)
                          (n)       5%         6%            7%           8%            9%           10%
                              1    0.952       0.943         0.935      0.926          0.917         0.909
                              2    1.859       1.833         1.808      1.783          1.759         1.736
                              3    2.723       2.673         2.624      2.577          2.531         2.487
                              4    3.546       3.465         3.387      3.312          3.240         3.170
                              5    4.329       4.212         4.100      3.993          3.890         3.791
                       Where:
                       n = number of periods
                 Practice questions                                                                            2
                 1     A company is considering whether to invest in a project which would
                       involve the purchase of machinery with a life of five years
                       The machine would cost ₦556,000 and would have a net disposal
                       value of ₦56,000 at the end of Year 5.
                       The project would earn annual cash flows (receipts minus payments) of
                       ₦200,000.
                       Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 15%
                 2     A company is considering whether to invest in a project which would
                       involve the purchase of machinery with a life of four years
                       The machine would cost ₦1,616,000 and would have a net disposal
                       value of ₦301,000 at the end of Year 4.
                       The project would earn annual cash flows (receipts minus payments) of
                       ₦500,000.
                       Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 10%
© Emile Woolf International                            787           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       3.2 Perpetuities
               A perpetuity is a constant annual cash flow ‘forever’, or into the long-term future.
               In investment appraisal, an annuity might be assumed when a constant annual
               cash flow is expected for a long time into the future.
                 Formula: Perpetuity factor
                                                                        1
                                                 Perpetuity factor =
                                                                            r
                       Where:
                       r = the cost of capital
                 Examples: Present value of perpetuities
                       Cash flow                         Present value
                       2,000 in perpetuity, starting                 1
                       in Year 1                                  = × Annual cash flow
                                                                   r
                       Cost of capital = 8%
                                                                       1
                                                                 =         ×2,000 = 25,000
                                                                      0.08
© Emile Woolf International                            788           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       3.3 Application of annuity arithmetic
               Equivalent annual costs
               An annuity is multiplied by an annuity factor to give the present value of the
               annuity.
               This can work in reverse. If the present value is known it can be divided by the
               annuity factor to give the annual cash flow for a given period that would give rise
               to it.
                 Illustration: Equivalent annual costs
                 What is the present value of 10,000 per annum from t1 to t5 at 10%?
                              Time          Cash flow        Discount factor           Present value
                              1 to 5         10,000              3.791                    37,910
                 What annual cash flow from t1 to t5 at 10% would give a present value of 37,910?
                                                                      37,910
                       Divide by the 5 year, 10% annuity factor        3.791
                                                                      10,000
               This can be used to address the following problems.
                 Example: Equivalent annual costs
                 A company is considering an investment of ₦70,000 in a project. The project life
                 would be five years.
                 What must be the minimum annual cash returns from the project to earn a return
                 of at least 9% per annum?
                 Investment = ₦70,000
                 Annuity factor at 9%, years 1 – 5 = 3.890
                 Minimum annuity required = ₦17,995 (= ₦70,000/3.890)
               Loan repayments
                 Example: Loan repayments
                 A company borrows ₦10,000,000.
                 This is to be repaid by 5 equal annual payments at an interest rate of 8%.
                 Calculate the payments.
                     The approach is to simply divide the amount borrowed by the annuity
                     factor that relates to the payment term and interest rate
                                                                          ₦
                       Amount borrowed                                10,000,000
                       Divide by the 5 year, 8% annuity factor             3.993
                       Annual repayment                                2,504,383
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Performance management
               Sinking funds
               A person may save a constant annual amount to produce a required amount at a
               specific point in time in the future. This is known as a sinking fund.
                 Example: Sinking fund
                 A man wishes to invest equal annual amounts so that he accumulates ₦5,000,000
                 by the end of 10 years.
                 The annual interest rate available for investment is 6%.
                 What equal annual amounts should he set aside?
                    Step 1: Calculate the present value of the amount required in 10 years.
                                                              1
                                        PV = 5,000,000×            = 2,791,974
                                                          (1.06)10
                       Step 2: Calculate the equivalent annual cash flows that result in this
                       present value
                                                                             ₦
                       Present value                                      2,791,974
                       Divide by the 10 year, 6% annuity factor                   7.36
                       Annual amount to set aside                            379,344
                       If the man invests ₦379,344 for 10 years at 6% it will accumulate to
                       ₦5,000,000.
               An alternative to the above approach is to use a sinking fund factor.
                 Formula: Sinking fund factor
                 There are two version of the annuity factor formula:
                                                     (1+ r)n − 1
                       Sinking fund factor      =(               )
                                                           r
                       Where:
                       r = interest rate, as a proportion
                       n = number of time periods
© Emile Woolf International                           790            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Example: Sinking fund (using sinking fund factor)
                 A man wishes to invest equal annual amounts so that he accumulates ₦5,000,000
                 by the end of 10 years.
                 The annual interest rate available for investment is 6%.
                 What equal annual amounts should he set aside?
                    Step 1: Estimate the sinking fund factor
                                                (1 +0.06)10 − 1
                                           =(                     ) =13.181
                                                       0.06
                       Step 2: Calculate the annual amount to be set aside by dividing the
                       target amount by the sinking fund factor.
                                                                                  ₦
                       Present value                                           5,000,000
                       Divide by the 10 year, 6% sinking fund factor              13.181
                       Annual amount to set aside                                 379,344
                       Slight difference is due to rounding
© Emile Woolf International                          791          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
4      INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)
         Section overview
          Internal rate of return (IRR)
          Estimating the IRR of an investment project
             IRR as an estimate
       4.1 Internal rate of return (IRR)
               The internal rate of return method (IRR method) is another method of investment
               appraisal using DCF.
               The internal rate of return of a project is the discounted rate of return on the
               investment.
                      It is the average annual investment return from the project
                      Discounted at the IRR, the NPV of the project cash flows must come to
                       zero.
                      The internal rate of return is therefore the discount rate that will give a net
                       present value of zero.
               The investment decision rule with IRR
               A company might establish the minimum rate of return that it wants to earn on an
               investment. If other factors such as non-financial considerations and risk and
               uncertainty are ignored:
                      If a project IRR is equal to or higher than the minimum acceptable rate of
                       return, it should be undertaken
                      If the IRR is lower than the minimum required return, it should be rejected.
               Since NPV and IRR are both methods of DCF analysis, the same investment
               decision should normally be reached using either method.
               The internal rate of return is illustrated in the diagram below:
                 Illustration: IRR
               It is more correct to say that IRR is estimated rather than calculated. This is
               explained in more detail in the following sections.
© Emile Woolf International                         792           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       4.2 Estimating the IRR of an investment project
               To estimate the IRR, you should begin by calculating the NPV of the project at
               two different discount rates.
                      One of the NPVs should be positive, and the other NPV should be
                       negative. (This is not essential. Both NPVs might be positive or both might
                       be negative, but the estimate of the IRR will then be less reliable.)
                      Ideally, the NPVs should both be close to zero, for better accuracy in the
                       estimate of the IRR.
               When the NPV for one discount rate is positive NPV and the NPV for another
               discount rate is negative, the IRR must be somewhere between these two
               discount rates.
               Although in reality the graph of NPVs at various discount rates is a curved line,
               as shown in the diagram above, using the interpolation method we assume that
               the graph is a straight line between the two NPVs that we have calculated. We
               can then use linear interpolation to estimate the IRR, to a reasonable level of
               accuracy.
               The interpolation formula
                 Formula: IRR interpolation formula
                                                       NPVA
                                      IRR=A%+(                    )×(B− A)%
                                                    NPVA−NPVB
                       Ideally, the NPV at A% should be positive and the NPV at B% should be
                       negative.
                       Where:
                       NPVA = NPV at A%
                       NPVB = NPV at B%
© Emile Woolf International                        793          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example: IRR
                 A business requires a minimum expected rate of return of 12% on its investments.
                 A proposed capital investment has the following expected cash flows.
                                                 Discount    Present        Discount         Present
                                     Cash        factor at   value at       factor at        value at
                           Year      flow          10%        10%             15%             15%
                       0            (80,000)      1.000      (80,000)         1,000         (80,000)
                       1             20,000       0.909       18,180          0.870          17,400
                       2            36,000        0.826      29,736           0.756          27,216
                       3            30,000        0.751      22,530           0.658          19,740
                       4            17,000        0.683       11,611          0.572            9,724
                       NPV                                   + 2,057                          (5,920)
                       Using                                       NPVA
                                                 IRR=A%+(                    )×(B− A)%
                                                              NPVA −NPVB
                                                                  2,057
                                               IRR=10%+(                      )×(15−10)%
                                                            2,057−−5,920
                                                                      2,057
                                                   IRR=10%+(                     ) × 5%
                                                                  2,057+5,920
                                                                      2,057
                                                       IRR=10%+(            )×5%
                                                                      7,977
                                                   IRR = 10% + 0.258 × 5% = 10% + 1.3%
                                                                 IRR = 11.3
                       Conclusion           The IRR of the project (11.3%) is less than the
                                            target return (12%).
                                            The project should be rejected.
© Emile Woolf International                         794         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Practice questions                                                                        3
                 1     The following information is about a project.
                            Year              ₦
                               0          (53,000)
                               1           17,000
                              2            25,000
                              3            16,000
                              4            12,000
                       This project has an NPV of ₦2,210 at a discount rate of 11%
                       Estimate the IRR of the project.
                 2     The following information is about a project.
                            Year             ₦
                              0           (65,000)
                              1            27,000
                              2            31,000
                              3            15,000
                       This project has an NPV of ₦(1,515) at a discount rate of 8%
                       Estimate the IRR of the project.
© Emile Woolf International                         795          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       4.3 IRR as an estimate
               The interpolation method is only approximate and is not exact. This is because it
               assumes that the IRR decreases at a constant rate between the two NPVs.
                 Illustration: IRR by interpolation
               For a ‘typical’ project, the IRR estimated by the interpolation method is slightly
               higher than the actual IRR. The interpolation method gives a more accurate
               estimate of the IRR when:
                      both NPVs in the calculation are close to 0; and
                      the NPV at A% is positive and the NPV at B% is negative.
               (Note that the IRR function in excel estimates IRR in a similar way. However,
               excel uses the initial IRR to recalculate the NPV and inputs this into a new
               calculation of IRR, and so on, until it reaches a point where the both NPVs are
               very close to zero. This means that for all practical purposes, excel calculates the
               IRR rather than estimates it).
© Emile Woolf International                        796         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
5      RELATIVE MERITS OF NPV AND IRR
         Section overview
             Advantages of DCF techniques
             Advantages and disadvantages of the NPV method
             Advantages and disadvantages of the IRR method
       5.1 Advantages of DCF techniques
               NPV and IRR have several advantages in common.
                      Both techniques are based on cash flows rather than accounting profits
                       which are easier to manipulate and more difficult to interpret.
                      Both techniques take account of time value. This is a very important
                       variable that is not considered by less sophisticated techniques like return
                       on capital employed.
                      Both techniques take account of all cash flows modelled and not just those
                       in a payback period.
       5.2 Advantages and disadvantages of the NPV method
               Advantages of the NPV method (compared to the IRR method)
               NPV provides a single absolute value which indicates the amount by which the
               project should add to the value of the company.
               The NPV decision rule is consistent with the objective of maximisation of
               shareholders’ wealth.
               Disadvantages of the NPV method (compared to the IRR method)
               The following are often stated as the main disadvantages of the NPV method
               (compared to the IRR method).
                 Disadvantage                               Commentary
                 The time value of money and present        This might be true but decision
                 value are concepts that are not easily     makers tend to be intelligent and
                 understood by those without a              educated people. If they do not
                 financial education.                       understand something, they can have
                                                            it explained to them).
                 There might be some uncertainty            Capital markets may not be perfect
                 about what the appropriate cost of         but they are often efficient.
                 capital or discount rate should be for     Companies should be able to arrive at
                 applying to any project. The approach      a cost of capital that can be used.
                 would give a perfect answer in a           Also, the inability to measure a cost of
                 perfect world but companies do not         capital could be considered a
                 operate with perfect information so        weakness of the IRR because the IRR
                 this undermines the usefulness of          has to be measured against a
                 NPV.                                       benchmark and the best of these
                                                            would be the cost of capital.
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Performance management
       5.3 Advantages and disadvantages of the IRR method
               Advantages of the IRR method (compared to the NPV method)
                 Advantage                                 Commentary
                 The main advantage of the IRR             Commentary: People are used to
                 method of investment appraisal            receiving information based on
                 (compared to the NPV method) is           percentages and so would be more
                 often given as it is easier to            comfortable with the notion of IRR but
                 understand an investment return as a      this does not mean that they would
                 percentage return on investment than      understand it.
                 as a money value NPV.                     The supposed simplicity of IRR is an
                                                           illusion. The percentage return is an
                                                           average which takes account of time
                                                           value. Without a certain level of
                                                           financial education it is difficult to fully
                                                           appreciate what the percentage
                                                           answer actually means.
                                                           Also remember that the decision
                                                           makers are not the average man on
                                                           the street. They are clever, educated
                                                           people so would understand NPV or
                                                           be in a position to do so.
                 Another advantage of the IRR method       It is true that it is not necessary to
                 is that it does not require an estimate   know the cost of capital to calculate
                 of the cost of capital.                   the IRR.
                                                           However, once calculated it must be
                                                           compared to something and this is
                                                           usually the cost of capital.
                                                           Therefore, the cost of capital may not
                                                           be necessary in the calculation of the
                                                           IRR but is important in its use.
               Disadvantages of the IRR method (compared to the NPV method)
                 Disadvantage                             Commentary
                 One disadvantage of the IRR method This is a weakness of the technique
                 compared to NPV is that it is a relative but techniques do not make decisions
                 measure, not an absolute measure.        – people do.
                 The       technique   cannot   choose A decision maker should be able to
                 between a 10% IRR based on an understand the difference between
                 initial investment of ₦10,000 or a 10% these projects even if the technique
                 IRR based on an initial investment of    does not provide that information.
                 ₦10,000,000 or would choose a
                 project with an IRR of 11% on an
                 initial investment of ₦10,000 instead
                 of a 10% IRR based on an initial
                 investment of ₦10,000,000.
© Emile Woolf International                       798          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                          Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
               The following disadvantages of IRR compared to NPV are more fundamental.
               Mutually exclusive projects
               For accept/reject decisions on individual projects, the IRR method will give the
               same decision as the NPV method. However, in making a choice between two
               mutually exclusive projects IRR might give a decision that is in conflict with NPV.
               Consider the following graphs which illustrate NPV profiles at different costs of
               capital for two projects.
                 Illustration: Conflict of NPV and IRR for mutually exclusive projects
               Project A has the higher NPV at the company’s cost of capital but project B has
               the higher IRR.
               Resolving the conflict is easy – use NPV! This can be justified on the basis that
               NPV has a more realistic reinvestment assumption than IRR. The concept of the
               reinvestment assumption refers to the discount rate used to re-express cash
               flows in different time terms. The NPV approach “time shifts” values using the
               cost of capital, whereas the IRR method “time shifts” values using the IRR. It is
               argued that using the cost of capital is more realistic as this is the cost faced by
               the company at the date of the appraisal.
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Performance management
               Multiple IRRs
               Another disadvantage of the IRR method is that a project might have two or more
               different IRRs, when some annual cash flows during the life of the project are
               negative. How should the different IRRs be interpreted?
                 Illustration: Multiple IRRs
© Emile Woolf International                    800         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
6      DCF AND INFLATION
         Section overview
             Inflation and long-term projects
             Discounting money cash flows at the money cost of capital
             Discounting real cash flows at the real cost of capital
       6.1 Inflation and long-term projects
               When a company makes a long-term investment, there will be costs and benefits
               for a number of years. In all probability, the future cash flows will be affected by
               inflation in sales prices and inflation in costs. DCF analysis should take inflation
               into account.
               There are two ways of incorporating inflation into DCF analysis. A company
               should either:
                      Discount the money cash flows at the money cost of capital; or
                      Discount the real terms cash flows at the real cost of capital.
               Discounting real cash flows using a real cost of capital will give the same NPV as
               discounting money cash flows using the money cost of capital, where the same
               rate of inflation applies to all items of cash flow.
               Money/real cash flows
               Real terms cash flows are what an item would cost or be sold for in current prices
               (i.e. before considering inflation).
               Money cash flows refer to the amount that is actually received or paid at different
               points in time in the future (i.e. taking inflation into account. The money cash
               flows are estimated by initially pricing cash flows at current prices and then
               inflating them by the expected inflation rates.
                 Example: Money/real cash flows
                 A component costs ₦1,000 at today’s prices
                 Inflation for the next two years is expected to be 4% per year
                 The component will cost ₦1,082 (₦1,000  1.04  1.04) in 2 years
                 ₦1,000 is the cost of the component in real terms (real terms cash flow)
                 ₦1,082 is the cost of the component in money terms (money cash flow)
               Money/real cost of capital
               Cost of capital is explained in detail in later chapters but briefly it is the rate of
               return required by the investors for investing in a project of a given risk. The
               models covered later estimate the money cost of capital.
               Real cost of capital is the return that investors would require without inflation.
               Money cost of capital is the return that investors would require with inflation. It
               follows that the money cost is higher than the real cost in times of inflation.
               Investors want a return to compensate them for the risk in the project and an
               extra return to compensate them for the value of money falling.
© Emile Woolf International                         801          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               A real rate of return can be calculated using the relationship
                 Formula: Link between money cost, real cost and inflation (Fisher equation)
                                                    1 + m = (1 + r)(1+i)
                       Where:
                       m = money cost of capital
                       r = real cost of capital
                       I = inflation rate
                 Example: Money cost of capital to real cost of capital
                 If a company has a cost of capital of 12% and inflation is 5%
                 Therefore:
                                (1 + m) = (1 + r) × (1 + i)
                              (1 + 0.12) = (1 + r) × (1 + 0.05)
                                  (1 + r) = 1.12/1.05
                                       r = 1.12/1.05 – 1 = 0.0667 or 6.67%
               Information availability
               In practice companies would have access to current prices and the money cost of
               capital. In order to perform DCF one or other of these must be changed.
               Either the money cost of capital is restated to the real cost and this is used to
               discount the cash flows expressed in current terms, or the cash flows expressed
               in current prices are inflated and these are discounted at the money cost.
               The second of these approaches is the most commonly used and should be
               adopted by you unless a question tells you otherwise.
© Emile Woolf International                           802          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       6.2 Discounting money cash flows at the money cost of capital
               The cost of capital used in DCF analysis is normally a ‘money’ cost of capital.
               This is a cost of capital calculated from current market returns and yields.
               When estimates are made for inflation in future cash flows, the rules are as
               follows:
                      Estimate all cash flows at their inflated amount. Since cash flows are
                       assumed to occur at the year-end, they should be increased by the rate of
                       inflation for the full year.
                      To estimate a future cash flow at its inflated amount, you can apply the
                       formula:
                       Cash flow in year n at inflated amount = [Cash flow at current price level] ×
                       (1 + i)n (where i is the annual rate of inflation).
                      Discount the inflated cash flows at the money cost of capital, to obtain
                       present values for cash flows in each year of the project and the NPV for
                       the project.
                 Example: Discounting money cash flows at the money cost of capital
                 A company is considering an investment in an item of equipment costing
                 ₦150,000. The equipment would be used to make a product. The selling price of
                 the product at today’s prices would be ₦10 per unit, and the variable cost per unit
                 (all cash costs) would be ₦6.
                 The project would have a four-year life, and sales are expected to be:
                              Year     Units of sale
                              1             20,000
                              2             40,000
                              3             60,000
                              4             20,000
                 At today’s prices, it is expected that the equipment will be sold at the end of Year
                 4 for ₦10,000. There will be additional fixed cash overheads of ₦50,000 each
                 year as a result of the project, at today’s price levels.
                 The company expects prices and costs to increase due to inflation at the following
                 annual rates:
                              Item                           Annual inflation rate
                              Sales                               5%
                              Variable costs                      8%
                              Fixed costs                         8%
                              Equipment disposal value            6%
                 The company’s money cost of capital is 12%. Ignore taxation.
                 Required
                 Calculate the NPV of the project.
© Emile Woolf International                            803      The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               All the cash flows must be re-stated at their inflated amounts. An assumption
               needs to be made about what the cash flows will be in Year 1. Are ‘today’s’ price
               levels the price levels to use in Year 1, or should the cash flows in Year 1 be
               increased to allow for inflation?
               An examination question might tell you which assumption to use. If it does not,
               state your assumption in the answer. The usual assumption is that information is
               given in current prices so that Year 1 cash flows (which the model assumes to
               occur at the end of Year 1) must be inflated. This assumption is used to answer
               this question.
                 Answer
                 Item                Time 0        Year 1        Year 2          Year 3         Year 4
                                         ₦              ₦             ₦              ₦              ₦
                 Initial outlay      (150,000)
                 Disposal (₦10k ×
                 (1.06)4)                                                                         12,625
                 Revenue
                 At today’s prices                200,000        400,000        600,000        200,000
                 Inflation factor                   1.05           1.052         1.053        1.054
                 Money cash flows                 210,000        441,000        694,575        243,101
                 Costs
                 Variable (current
                 prices)                          120,000        240,000        360,000        120,000
                 Fixed (current
                 prices)                               50,000        50,000         50,000        50,000
                 Total (current
                 prices)                          170,000        290,000        410,000        170,000
                 Inflation factor                   1.08         1.082         1.083          1.084
                 Money cash flows                 183,600        338,256        516,482        231,283
                 Net cash flow       (150,000)         26,400    102,744        178,093           24,443
                 Discount factors
                 (at 12%)                1.000          0.893         0.797          0.712         0.636
                                     (150,000)         23,575        81,886     126,802           15,546
                 NPV                                                                              97,809
© Emile Woolf International                      804            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Practice question                                                                        4
                 A company is considering whether or not to invest in a five-year project. The
                 investment will involve buying an item of machinery for ₦200,000.
                 At today’s prices, the annual operating cash flows would be:
                        Year       Revenues        Running costs
                                        ₦                ₦
                        1            200,000         100,000
                        2            200,000         100,000
                        3            250,000         125,000
                        4            150,000          75,000
                        5            100,000          50,000
                 Revenues are expected to go up by 7% each year due to inflation, and costs are
                 expected to go up by 12% per year due to inflation.
                 The machinery is expected to have a re-sale value at the end of year 5 of
                 ₦20,000 at today’s prices, but this amount is expected to rise by 5% each year
                 due to inflation.
                 The cost of capital is 16%.
                 Required
                 Calculate the NPV of the investment project.
© Emile Woolf International                      805            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       6.3 Discounting real cash flows at the real cost of capital
               The cost of capital given for use in DCF analysis is normally a ‘money’ rate of
               return (also known as a nominal rate of return). The money rate of return
               should be used to discount money cash flows which have been adjusted to take
               into account inflation increases.
               An alternative approach to DCF analysis is to discount real cash flows using a
               real cost of capital. Real cash flows are shown at today’s prices.
                 Example: Both methods
                 A company is considering an investment in an item of equipment costing
                 ₦150,000. Contribution per unit is expected to be ₦4 and sales are expected to
                 be:
                 Year          Units
                  1            20,000
                  2            40,000
                  3            60,000
                  4            20,000
                 Fixed costs are expected to be ₦50,000 at today’s price levels and the equipment
                 can be disposed of in year 4 for ₦10,000 at today’s price levels. The inflation rate
                 is expected to be 6% and the money cost of capital is 15%.
                 Required
                 Calculate the NPV of the project:
                 (a)     using money cash flows and the money cost of capital
                 (b)     using the real value of cash flows and the real cost of capital
© Emile Woolf International                          806          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Answer
                 (a) Using money cash flows and a money discount rate
                       Item              Time 0      Year 1      Year 2          Year 3          Year 4
                                            ₦          ₦           ₦                ₦               ₦
                       Initial outlay   (150,000)
                       Contribution                  80,000      160,000       240,000           80,000
                       Fixed costs                  (50,000)    (50,000)        (50,000)        (50,000)
                       Disposal
                       proceeds                                                                  10,000
                       Net cash flow
                       (at today’s
                       prices)          (150,000)    30,000      110,000       190,000           40,000
                       Adjust for
                       inflation                      1.06       1.062         1.063           1.064
                       Money cash
                       flows            (150,000)    31,800      123,596       226,293           50,499
                       Discount at
                       15%                  1.000    0.870       0.756           0.658            0.572
                       Present value    (150,000)    27,666      93,439        148,901           28,885
                       NPV                                                                      148,891
                 (b)       Using real cash flows and a real discount rate
                           The real discount rate = 1.15/1.06 – 1 = 0.085 = 8.5%
                    Item                 Time 0      Year 1      Year 2         Year 3           Year 4
                                            ₦          ₦           ₦                ₦                ₦
                    Initial outlay      (150,000)
                    Contribution                    80,000      160,000        240,000           80,000
                    Fixed costs                     (50,000)    (50,000)       (50,000)         (50,000)
                    Disposal
                    proceeds                                                                     10,000
                    Net cash flow
                    (at today’s
                    prices)             (150,000)   30,000      110,000        190,000           40,000
                    Discount at
                    8.5%                            1/1.085     1/1.0852       1/1.0853         1/1.0854
                    Present value       (150,000)   27,650      93,440         148,753           28,863
                                                                                                148,706
                 Both approaches give the same solution, with a small difference due to rounding
                 errors.
© Emile Woolf International                          807         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
7      RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
         Section overview
          The problem of risk and uncertainty
          Methods of assessing risk and uncertainty
       7.1 The problem of risk and uncertainty
               Investment projects are long-term projects, often with a time scale of many years.
               When the cash flows for an investment project are estimated, the estimates might
               be incorrect. Estimates of cash flows might be wrong for two main reasons:
                      Risk in the investment, and
                      Uncertainty about the future.
               Risk
               Risk exists when the actual outcome from a project could be any of several
               different possibilities, and it is not possible in advance to predict which of the
               possible outcomes will actually occur.
               The simplest example of risk is rolling a dice. When a dice is rolled, the result will
               be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6. These six possible outcomes are known in advance, but it is
               not possible in advance to know which of these possibilities will be the actual
               outcome. With risk assessment, it is often possible to estimate the probabilities of
               different outcomes. For example, we can predict that the result of rolling a dice
               will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6, each with a probability of 1/6.
               Risk can often be measured and evaluated mathematically, using probability
               estimates for each possible future outcome.
               Uncertainty
               Uncertainty exists when there is insufficient information to be sure about what
               will happen, or what the probability of different possible outcomes might be. For
               example, a business might predict that sales in three years’ time will be
               ₦500,000, but this might be largely guesswork, and based on best-available
               assumptions about sales demand and sales prices.
               Uncertainty occurs due to a lack of sufficient information about what is likely to
               happen.
               It is possible to assess the uncertainty in a project, but with less mathematical
               precision than for the assessment of risk.
               Management should try to evaluate the risk and uncertainty, and take it into
               account, when making their investment decisions. In other words, investment
               decisions should consider the risk and uncertainty in investment projects, as well
               as the expected returns and NPV.
© Emile Woolf International                          808        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       7.2 Methods of assessing risk and uncertainty
               There are several methods of analysing and assessing risk and uncertainty. In
               particular:
                      Sensitivity analysis can be used to assess a project when there is
                       uncertainty about future cash flows;
                      Risk-adjusted discount rates; and
                      Using discounted payback as one of the criteria for investing in capital
                       projects.
8      SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             The purpose of sensitivity analysis: assessment of project uncertainty
             “What if” testing
             Sensitivity testing
             Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital
          Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in project life
          The usefulness of sensitivity analysis
       8.1 The purpose of sensitivity analysis: assessment of project uncertainty
               Sensitivity analysis is a useful but simple technique for assessing investment risk
               in a capital expenditure project when there is uncertainty about the estimates of
               future cash flows. It is recognised that estimates of cash flows could be
               inaccurate, or that events might occur that will make the estimates wrong.
               The purpose of sensitivity analysis is to assess how the NPV of the project might
               be affected if cash flow estimates are worse than expected.
               There are two main methods of carrying out sensitivity analysis on a capital
               expenditure project.
               Method 1
               Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate the effect on the NPV of a given
               percentage reduction in benefits or a given percentage increase in costs. For
               example:
                      What would the NPV of the project be if sales volumes were 10% below
                       estimate?
                      What would the NPV of the project be if annual running costs were 5%
                       higher than estimate?
               The percentage variation in the expected cash flows should be an amount that
               might reasonably occur, given the uncertainty in the cash flow estimates.
               There are also forms of ‘stress testing’, similar to sensitivity analysis, that might
               be used to assess the investment risk. An assessment could be made to
               estimate the effects of:
                      Of an unexpected event occurring in the future that would make the cash
                       flow estimates for the project wrong; or
                      The effect of a delay is that the expected cash inflows from the project
© Emile Woolf International                        811          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                       occur later than planned.
               This sort of analysis is sometimes called “what if?” analysis.
               Method 2
               Alternatively, sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate the percentage amount
               by which a cash flow could change before the project NPV changed. For
               example:
                      By how much (in percentage terms) would sales volumes need to fall below
                       the expected volumes, before the project NPV became negative?
                      By how much (in percentage terms) would running costs need to exceed
                       the expected amount before the NPV became negative?
© Emile Woolf International                        812       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       8.2 “What if” testing
                 Example: What if testing
                 A company is considering the following project.
                 Item                 Time 0         Year 1        Year 2         Year 3         Year 4
                                          ₦              ₦            ₦              ₦               ₦
                 Initial outlay        (55,000)
                 Income                             50,000        80,000        100,000           40,000
                 Running costs                     (35,000)      (55,000)        (70,000)        (30,000)
                 Net cash flow         (55,000)     15,000        25,000          30,000          10,000
                 Discount factors
                 (at 10%)               1.000        0.909         0.826          0.751             0.683
                                      (55,000)          13,635     20,650          22,530           6,830
                 NPV                                                                                8,645
                 Required
                 Estimate the sensitivity of the project to income being 5% lower than forecast.
                 (What if sales were 5% lower than forecast?)
                 Answer
                 The change must be incorporated into the cash flows and the NPV must be
                 recalculated.
                 Item              Time 0        Year 1      Year 2     Year 3    Year 4
                                          ₦              ₦            ₦              ₦               ₦
                 Initial outlay        (55,000)
                 Income (95%)                       47,500        76,000          95,000          38,000
                 Running costs                     (35,000)      (55,000)        (70,000)        (30,000)
                 Net cash flow         (55,000)     12,500        21,000          25,000          8,000
                 Discount factors
                 (at 10%)               1.000        0.909         0.826          0.751           0.683
                                      (55,000)          11,363     17,346          18,775           5,464
                 NPV                                                                               (2,053)
                 This analysis shows that if income is 5% less than expected, the NPV will be
                 negative and the project would fail to provide a 10% return.
                 Practice question                                                                         1
                 Estimate the sensitivity of the project to running costs being 5% higher than
                 forecast.
© Emile Woolf International                       812            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       8.3 Sensitivity testing
               An alternative method of sensitivity analysis is to calculate by how much cash
               flows need to be worse than expected before a decision would change (where
               the NPV becomes negative). This is described as method 2 above
               This requires the calculation of the present value of each input cash flow. The
               NPV can then be compared to this to see by how much it would have to change
               before the NPV were to fall to zero.
                 Example: What if testing
                 A company is considering the following project.
                 Item                 Time 0         Year 1        Year 2          Year 3         Year 4
                                          ₦               ₦            ₦              ₦               ₦
                 Initial outlay        (55,000)
                 Income                              50,000        80,000        100,000           40,000
                 Running costs                      (35,000)      (55,000)       (70,000)         (30,000)
                 Net cash flow         (55,000)     15,000         25,000          30,000          10,000
                 Discount factors
                 (at 10%)               1.000             0.909       0.826           0.751          0.683
                                      (55,000)           13,635     20,650          22,530           6,830
                 NPV                                                                                 8,645
                 Required
                 Estimate the sensitivity of the project to income being lower than forecast.
                 Answer
                 The NPV will become negative if the PV of any cost is more than ₦8,645 above
                 estimate or if the PV of benefits is more than ₦8,645 below estimate.
                 Step 1: Calculate the present value of the income stream.
                 Item                              Year 1      Year 2    Year 3                   Year 4
                                                       ₦             ₦              ₦                ₦
                 Income (95%)                       50,000         80,000        100,000           40,000
                 Discount factors
                 (at 10%)                            0.909          0.826          0.751           0.683
                                                         45,450     66,080          75,100         27,230
                 PV of income                                                                    213,950
                 Step 2: Compare the NPV of the project to this number to estimate the
                 percentage change that would reduce the NPV to zero (at which point the
                 decision would change).
                 The project would cease to have a positive NPV if income is below the estimate by
                 more than (8,645/213,950) = 0.040 or 4.0%.
© Emile Woolf International                        813            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice questions                                                                            2
                 Using the information from the previous example:
                 a)           Estimate the project’s sensitivity to the equipment costs being
                              higher than expected.
                 b)           Estimate the project’s sensitivity to running costs being higher than
                              expected.
       8.4 Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital
               The sensitivity of the project to a change in the cost of capital can be found by
               calculating the project IRR. This can be compared with the company’s cost of
               capital.
                 Example: Sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital
                 A company is considering the following project:
                 Year          Net cash      DCF factor         PV          DCF factor               PV
                                 flow         at 15%                         at 20%
                                  ₦                               ₦                                 ₦
                   0           (55,000)         1.000         (55,000)          1.000            (55,000)
                   1            15,000          0.870          13,050           0.833             12,495
                   2            25,000          0.756          18,900           0.694             17,350
                   3            30,000          0.658          19,740           0.579             17,370
                   4            10,000          0.572           5,720           0.482              4,820
                 NPV                                           2,410                               (2,965)
                 IRR = 15% + [2,410 / (2,410 + 2,965) ] × (20 – 15)% = 17.2%
                 The sensitivity of the project to changes in the cost of capital is quite small. The
                 cost of capital is 10% but the cost of capital would have to be over 17.2% before
                 the NPV became negative.
                 This is a rise of 7.2% in absolute terms and 72% in relative terms. (Be careful
                 when you make statements like this about cost of capital).
© Emile Woolf International                             814          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       8.5 Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in project life
               The sensitivity of the project to a change in the project life can be found by
               changing the project life until the NPV changes sign.
                 Example: Sensitivity of a project to changes in its life
                 A company is considering the following project:
                 Year         Net cash    DCF factor         PV
                                flow       at 15%
                                 ₦                            ₦
                   0          (55,000)      1.000         (55,000)
                   1           15,000       0.870          13,050
                   2           25,000       0.756          18,900
                   3           30,000       0.658          19,740
                   4           10,000       0.572           5,720
                 NPV                                        2,410
                 If the project lasted only four years the company would not receive the year 4
                 cash flow of 5,720 causing the NPV to fall to 2,410 – 5,720 = (3,310).
                 Therefore, the project would have a zero NPV sometime during the third year. The
                 point can be estimated by interpolation (using a similar approach to that used to
                 calculate IRR) as follows:
                 Project life that would generate a zero NPV =
                 4 years  [2,410 / (2,410 + 3,310)] × (4 – 3) years = 3.578 years.
                 (Alternatively: 3 years + 3,310/(2,410 + 3,310)] × (4 – 3) years = 3.578 years.)
                 Thus the project duration would need to fall from 4 years to 3.6 years (say) in
                 before the NPV became negative. This is fall of 0.4 years which is 10% of the
                 original project life of 4 years.
               A problem with the above approach is that it assumes that the cash flows in year
               4 arise evenly through the period but the NPV calculation itself assumes that all
               cash flows arise on the last day of the period (or at least at discrete points in
               time). However, it does allow an approximation of the sensitivity of the project to
               the life of the project.
       8.6 The usefulness of sensitivity analysis
               Sensitivity analysis is useful because it directs management attention to the
               critical variables in the project. These are the variables where a variation in the
               cash flows by a fairly small amount – and certainly by an amount that might
               reasonably be expected, given uncertainty about the cash flows – would make
               the NPV negative and the project not financially viable.
                      If the project is undertaken, sensitive items of cash flow should be closely
                       monitored and action taken if they vary from plan.
                      If a project NPV is particularly sensitive to an item of cost or revenue,
                       management might decide to reject the project because of the investment
                       risk involved.
© Emile Woolf International                         815           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               A major problem with sensitivity analysis is that only one variable is varied at a
               time and it is assumed that all variables are independent of each other. In reality
               variables may all vary to some extent and they may be interdependent. For this
               reason simulation models may provide additional information when assessing
               risk.
9      OTHER METHODS OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             Risk adjusted discount rates
             Discounted payback period
       9.1 Risk adjusted discount rates
               The calculation of NPV involves modelling the project cash flows and then
               discounting them.
               The discount rate should always reflect the risk of the underlying cash flows
               being discounted.
               The weighted average discount rate (WACC) of a company is the rate of return
               required by its owners to compensate them for tying up their capital in that
               company. The owners decide on the level of return they require for investing in a
               company by comparing the risk of the company to the risk of alternative
               investment opportunities. Therefore, in a very real sense, the WACC of a
               company reflects the risk of that company’s assets and returns. The WACC of
               capital of a company reflects the risk of that company.
               It is only appropriate for a company to use its WACC as a discount rate if the risk
               of the project is the same as the overall risk of the company. If this is not the case
               an alternative rate should be used to reflect the risk of the project.
               Discount rates are increased to reflect future cash inflows of higher risk. The use
               of a higher discount rate results in a lower NPV. This is as would be expected.
               Suppose a business expected two receipts of ₦10,000 in one year’s time but one
               of these was more risky than the other. In that case the riskier asset would be
               worth less. A higher discount rate would achieve this.
               Source of risk adjusted discount rates
               In practice the treasury department of a multinational might provide a list of rates
               to be used to appraise projects of different types. For example they might specify
               10% for asset replacement decisions but 12% for expansion decisions which by
               their nature are more risky. Such rates should be derived from a capital asset
               pricing model (CAPM) based approach but this is not always the case.
               The CAPM will be explained in a later chapter. It is a technique which provides
               adding a risk premium to the risk free rate.
               Risk adjusted discount rates for negative cash flows
               Discount rates are increased to reflect future cash inflows of higher risk. The
               use of a higher discount rate results in a lower positive NPV for a higher risk cash
               inflow.
© Emile Woolf International                       816          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               Discount rates are decreased to reflect future cash outflows of higher risk. The
               use of a lower discount rate results in a higher negative NPV for a higher risk
               cash outflow. This is as would be expected.
               Suppose a business faced two payments of ₦10,000 in one year’s time but one
               of these was more risky than the other. In that case the riskier liability would be
               more expensive. A third party would demand a greater sum to take the risky
               liability than it would to take the less risky. A lower discount rate would achieve
               this.
       9.2 Discounted payback period
               Instead of using the ordinary payback to decide whether a project is acceptable,
               discounted payback might be used as an alternative. A maximum discounted
               payback period is established and projects should not be undertaken unless they
               pay back within this time.
               A consequence of applying a discounted payback rule (and the same applies to
               ordinary payback) is that projects are unlikely to be accepted if they rely on cash
               profits in the long-term future to make a suitable financial return. Since longer-
               term estimates of cash flows are usually more unreliable than estimates in the
               shorter-term, using discounted payback as a criterion for project selection will
               result in the rejection of risky projects.
               A discounted payback period is calculated in the same way as the ‘ordinary’
               payback period, with the exception that the cash flows of the project are
               converted to their present value. The discounted payback period is the number of
               years before the cumulative NPV of the project reaches zero.
                 Example: Discounted payback
                 Discounted payback period is calculated as follows.
                                 Annual cash     Discount factor     PV of cash          Cumulative
                       Year        flow (₦)          (10%)            flow (₦)            NPV (₦)
                       0          (200,000)          1.000           (200,000)           (200,000)
                       1           (40,000)          0.909             (36,360)          (236,360)
                       2            30,000           0.826              24,780           (211,580)
                       3          120,000            0.751             90,120            (121,460)
                       4          150,000            0.683            102,450             (19,010)
                       5          100,000             0.621             62,100              43,090
                       6           50,000             0.564             28,200              71,290
                       NPV                                              71,290
                       The discounted payback period is Year 5, and we can estimate it in years
                       and months as:
                       4 years + (19,010/62,100) × 12 months = 4 years 4 months
               The discounted period for a capital investment is always longer than the
               ‘ordinary’ non-discounted payback period.
© Emile Woolf International                        817          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                           Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
               Advantages of discounted payback
               It is easy to understand and to calculate.
               It takes account of time value of money.
               It provides insight into liquidity and uncertainly risk. Projects with shorter payback
               periods are better for company liquidity. Therefore, the shorter the payback
               period, the lower the overall risk of a project.
               Disadvantages of discounted payback
               One criticism of the discounted payback method of project evaluation is the same
               as for the non-discounted payback method. It ignores the expected cash flows
               from the project after the payback period has been reached. Therefore, it might
               lead to rejection of projects with a positive NPV.
               There is no way of determining how long an acceptable payback period should
               be. Therefore, the choice of a project on the basis of the payback criterion is an
               arbitrary decision.
10 CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain discounting
             Explain NPV and apply the technique in project appraisal
             Explain IRR and apply the technique in project appraisal
             Discuss the relative merits of NPV and IRR
             Distinguish the money cost of capital and the real cost of capital
             Apply the Fisher equation to evaluate an unknown variable
             Explain the link between money cash flows and real cash flows
             Identify money cash flows by taking inflation into account
             Perform discounted cash flow analysis taking inflation into account
             Perform sensitivity analysis and comment on its results
             Explain how risk adjusted discount rates might be used to adjust for project risk
             Explain and calculate discounted payback
© Emile Woolf International                       819          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
                 Solutions                                                                                   1
                 1     NPV calculation:
                        Year      Cash flow        Discount         Present
                                                 factor (11%)        value
                              0      (53,000)             1         (53,000)
                                                          1
                              1       17,000                         15,315
                                                    (1.11)
                                                       1
                              2       25,000                         20,291
                                                    (1.11)2
                                                       1
                              3       16,000                         11,699
                                                    (1.11)3
                                                       1
                              4       12,000                          7,905
                                                    (1.11)4
                         NPV                                          2,210
                       The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.
                 2     NPV calculation:
                        Year      Cash flow        Discount         Present
                                                  factor (8%)        value
                              0      (65,000)             1         (65,000)
                                                          1
                              1       27,000                         25,000
                                                    (1.08)
                                                       1
                              2       31,000                         26,578
                                                    (1.08)2
                                                       1
                              3       15,000                         11,907
                                                    (1.08)3
                         NPV                                         (1,515)
                       The NPV is negative so the project should be rejected.
© Emile Woolf International                         820          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Solutions                                                                                         2
                 1     NPV calculation:
                         Year      Cash flow     Discount factor (15%)              Present value
                              0    (556,000)                  1                        (556,000)
                                                               1
                              5      56,000                                              27,842
                                                            (1.15)5
                                                        1          1
                         15        200,000       =         (1−       )                 670,431
                                                       0.15     1.155
                         NPV                                                            142,273
                       The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.
                 2     NPV calculation:
                          Year     Cash flow     Discount factor (10%)             Present value
                              0   (1,616,000)                1                       (1,616,000)
                                                             1
                              4     301,000                                             205,587
                                                           (1.1)4
                                                       1     1
                         14        500,000           = (1− )                         1,584,932
                                                       0.1        1.14
                         NPV                                                            174,519
                       The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.
© Emile Woolf International                           821             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow
                 Solutions                                                                                    3
                 1     NPV at 11% is ₦2,210. A higher rate is needed to produce a negative
                       NPV. (say 15%)
                                     Cash      Discount factor      Present value
                           Year      flow          at 15%              at 15%
                       0            (53,000)        1,000              (53,000)
                       1            17,000          0.870               14,790
                       2            25,000          0.756               18,900
                       3            16,000          0.658               10,528
                       4            12,000          0.572                 6,864
                       NPV                                               (1,918)
                       Using                                     NPVA
                                                IRR=A%+(                    )×(B− A)%
                                                              NPVA − NPVB
                                                                     2,210
                                                  IRR=10%+(                    ) × 5%
                                                                2,210+1,918
                                                                     2,210
                                                      IRR=10%+(            )×5%
                                                                     4,128
                                                    IRR =10%+0.535×5%=10%+2.7%
                                                             IRR = 12.7%
                 Solutions                                                                                   3
                 2     NPV at 8% is ₦(1,515). A lower rate is needed to produce a positive
                       NPV. (say 5%)
                                    Cash      Discount factor Present value
                         Year        flow          at 5%             at 5%
                       0            (65,000)        1,000              (65,000)
                       1            27,000          0.952               25,704
                       2            31,000          0.907               28,117
                       3            15,000          0.864               12,960
                       NPV                                               1,781
                       Using                                       NPVA
                                                IRR=A%+(                     )×(B− A)%
                                                                NPVA − NPVB
                                                                      1,781
                                                   IRR = 5%+(                   ) × 3%
                                                                 1,781+1,515
                                                                      1,781
                                                       IRR = 5%+(           )×3%
                                                                      3,296
                                                     IRR = 5%+0.540×3% = 5%+1.6%
                                                               IRR = 6.6%
© Emile Woolf International                       822            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
         Solution                                                                                              4
                                      0          1             2            3             4             5
                                       ₦         ₦             ₦            ₦             ₦             ₦
               Initial outlay      (200,000)
               Disposal (₦20k
               × (1.05)5)                                                                           25,526
               Revenue
              At today’s prices                200,000     200,000     250,000       150,000       100,000
               Inflation factor                 1.07         1.072       1.073        1.074      1.075
               Money cash
               flows                           214,000     228,980     306,261       196,619       140,255
               Costs
              At today’s prices                100,000     100,000     125,000        75,000        50,000
               Inflation factor                 1.12         1.122       1.123        1.124      1.125
               Money cash
               flows                           112,000     125,440     175,616       118,014        88,117
               Net cash flow                   102,000     103,540     130,645        78,605        77,664
                Discount factors
               (at 16%)             1.000       0.862      0.743         0.641         0.552         0.476
                                   (200,000)   87,924      76,930       83,743        43,390        36,968
               NPV                                                                                 128,955
© Emile Woolf International                          823           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                    27
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                          CHAPTER
                                           Replacement theory
 Contents
 1 Asset replacement ignoring time value
 2 Asset replacement taking time value into account
 3 Replacing components
 4 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                824        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 D     Decision making
       1     Advanced decision-making and decision-support
             G     Evaluate how management can deal with uncertainty in decision-making
                   including the use of simulation, decision-trees, replacement theory, expected
                   values, sensitivity analysis and value of perfect and imperfect information.
       2     Capital budgeting decisions
             C     Evaluate asset replacement decision for mutually exclusive projects with
                   unequal lives.
Exam context
This chapter explains replacement theory.
This relates to situations where a machine is used for a period, then sold and replaced.
The costs associated with acquiring and using a machine includes its purchase price (net
of its scrap value) and maintenance costs. As machines and equipment wear out, they
need more maintenance and lose second hand value. The total life time cost of a cycle can
be expressed as an annual cost (in a number of ways).
Section 1 considers the optimum replacement cycle ignoring time value.
Section 2 considers the optimum replacement cycle taking time value into account. This is
done by calculating the equivalent annual cost.
Section 3 looks at a slightly different topic. It considers replacement of components and
whether it is cheaper to replace similar components as they fail or on a selective basis or in
total periodically.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
    Identify the optimum replacement policy using average annual cost (ignoring time value)
    Identify the optimum replacement policy using equivalent annual cost (taking time value
     into account)
    Appraise policies to replace components that fail suddenly (individual, selective and
     group replacement)
© Emile Woolf International                      825          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                            Chapter 27: Replacement theory
1      ASSET REPLACEMENT IGNORING TIME VALUE
         Section overview
             Introduction
             Replacing assets that deteriorate over time (ignoring time value)
       1.1 Introduction
               This chapter explains techniques that may be used to decide whether an asset or
               part of an asset should be replaced or not.
               There are different types of decisions that can be made. This chapter covers:
                      When to replace an asset that deteriorates over time:
                             ignoring time value; and
                             taking account of time value;
                      When to replace assets that fail suddenly. (The answer to this might sound
                       obvious but the decision is about whether to wait for actual failure or to
                       replace before failure occurs.
       1.2 Replacing assets that deteriorate over time (ignoring time value)
               An asset replacement decision involves deciding how frequently a non-current
               asset should be replaced, when it is in regular use, so that when the asset
               reaches the end of its useful life, it will be replaced by an identical asset.
               In other words, this type of decision is about the most appropriate useful
               economic life of a non-current asset (how frequently it should be replaced).
               This is not a one-off decision about whether or not to acquire an asset. Instead it
               is about deciding when to replace an asset we are currently using with another
               new asset; and then when the new asset has been used up, replacing it again
               with an identical asset; and so on in perpetuity.
               The approach is to evaluate the cycle of replacing the machine – considering the
               various options for how long it should be kept before it is replaced.
               The decision rule is that the preferred replacement cycle for an asset should be
               the least-cost replacement cycle. This is the frequency of replacement that
               minimises the cost.
© Emile Woolf International                         826       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example:
                 A delivery company owns a fleet of lorries.
                 As a lorry grows older it becomes more expensive to maintain and its second
                 hand value falls.
                 On the other hand, keeping the asset for longer postpones the need to buy a new
                 asset.
                 There is a cost trade off.
                 Replacing the asset every year results in low maintenance costs and high second
                 hand value but requires the purchase of a new asset on an annual basis.
                 Lengthening the replacement cycle leads to an increase in maintenance costs
                 and a fall in second hand value of the assets but postpones the capital outlay on
                 the purchase of a new asset.
               This section explains how to identify the optimum replacement cycle for such
               assets. The optimum replacement cycle is identified as the cycle that minimises
               average annual cost.
               The average annual cost is calculated by identifying the total cost of a given
               replacement cycle and dividing that by the length of the replacement cycle.
                 Formula: Average annual cost
                                                                         Total cumulative cost
                              Average annual cost          =
                                                                           Length of the cycle
                        Total cumulative             Total capital                    Cumulative
                                              =                            +
                               cost                      cost                       maintenance cost
                                                                                   Scrap value of the
                                                    Purchase price
                        Total capital cost    =
                                                     of the asset                asset at the end of
                                                                                       the cycle
© Emile Woolf International                          827             The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 27: Replacement theory
               The best way to calculate the average annual costs for a number of cycles is by
               constructing a table with a row for each cycle length.
                 Example: Optimum replacement cycle (no time value)
                 A company is considering its replacement policy for a particular machine.
                 The machine has purchase cost of ₦15,000 and a maximum useful life of three
                 years.
                 The following information is also relevant:
                          Year          Maintenance/running costs of           Scrap value if sold at
                                                 machine                           end of year
                              1                   1,000                               8,000
                              2                   3,000                               5,500
                              3                   5,500                               3,000
                     The optimum replacement cycle is identified as follows:
                                                                                      Average annual
                       Cycle       Capital     Running             Total cycle        cost (total cycle
                      length      cost (W1)   cost (W2)               cost           cost÷ cycle length)
                         1         7,000    + 1,000     =              8,000               8,000
                          2        9,500      +   4,000       =       13,500                 6,750
                          3       12,000      +   9,500       =       21,500                 7,167
                     Workings
                     W1 Total capital cost over each cycle
                                   Purchase          Scrap        Total capital
                                     price         proceeds              cost
                     1              15,000          8,000               7,000
                     2              15,000          5,500              9,500
                     3              15,000          3,000             12,000
                     W2Total maintenance cost over each cycle
                                     Annual        Cumulative
                                  running costs   running costs
                     1                1,000            1,000
                     2               3,000            4,000
                     3               5,500            9,500
                         Conclusion:
                         A two-year replacement cycle has the lowest average annual cost.
                         The asset should be replaced every two years.
© Emile Woolf International                          828           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                       1
                       A company wishes to identify the optimum replacement cycle of a
                       machine.
                       The machines cost ₦70,000.
                       The company has estimated annual running costs and second hand
                       value of the machine as follows:
                          Year       Annual maintenance   Second hand value at the end of
                                          cost (₦)                  the year (₦)
                       1                    9,000                     40,000
                       2                   12,000                         20,000
                       3                   16,000                         12,000
                       4                   21,000                           6,000
                       5                   28,000                           5,000
                       6                   37,000                           4,000
                       7                   47,000                           4,000
                       8                   59,000                           4,000
                       Identify the optimum replacement cycle using the average annual cost.
© Emile Woolf International                         829        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                Chapter 27: Replacement theory
2      ASSET REPLACEMENT TAKING TIME VALUE INTO ACCOUNT
         Section overview
             The cash flows to consider
             The equivalent annual cost method
       2.1 The cash flows to consider
               The cash flows that must be considered when making the asset replacement
               decision are:
                      The capital cost (purchase cost) of the asset
                      The maintenance and operating costs of the asset: these will usually
                       increase each year as the asset gets older
                      The scrap value or resale value of the asset at the end of its life.
               The main problem with evaluating an asset replacement decision is comparing
               these costs over a similar time frame. For example, the PV of costs of a two-year
               replacement cycle cannot be directly compared with the PV of costs of a three-
               year replacement cycle, because whilst the PV of costs of a 2-year cycle might
               be lower than PV of costs of a 3-year cycle it is for one year less.
               A method is needed for comparing the costs of replacement cycles of different
               lengths. The approach used is to turn the present value of a cycle into an
               equivalent annual cost. This was covered in an earlier chapter but is repeated
               here for your convenience.
               Equivalent annual costs
               An annuity is multiplied by an annuity factor to give the present value of the
               annuity.
               This can work in reverse. If the present value is known it can be divided by the
               annuity factor to give the annual cash flow for a given period that would give rise
               to it.
                 Illustration: Equivalent annual costs
                 What is the present value of 10,000 per annum from t1 to t5 at 10%?
                              Time           Cash flow       Discount factor           Present value
                              1 to 5         ₦10,000             3.791                   ₦37,910
                 What annual cash flow from t1 to t5 at 10% would give a present value of 37,910?
                                                                      ₦37,910
                       Divide by the 5 year, 10% annuity factor        ÷3.791
                                                                      ₦10,000
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Performance management
               The above example used the same set of cash flows in each direction. This does
               not have to be the case.
                 Illustration: Equivalent annual cost
                              Time         Cash flow (₦)         Discount factor        Present value (₦)
                                0           (10,000)                   1                   (10,000)
                                1               8,000                0.909                    7,272
                                2               9,000                0.826                    7,434
                                3             12,000                 0.751                    9,012
                                                                                              13,716
                 This can be turned into an equivalent annual cost by dividing the present value by
                 the three year annuity factor.
                      Present value                             ₦13,716
                       Divide by the 3 year, 10% annuity factor         ÷3.486
                       Equivalent annual cost                           ₦3,935
                       Proof (with a small rounding difference)
                            Time             Cash flow       Discount factor             Present value
                              1 to 3          ₦3,934.6               3.486                  ₦13,717
                 Thus, receiving ₦3,934.6 per annum for three years is the equivalent of spending
                 ₦10,000 at t0 and receiving ₦8,000 at t1, ₦9,000 at t2 and ₦12,000 at t3.
       2.2 The equivalent annual cost method
               The equivalent annual cost method of calculating the most cost-effective
               replacement cycle for assets is as follows:
               For each choice of replacement cycle, the PV of cost is calculated over one full
               replacement cycle, with the asset purchased in year 0 and disposed of at the end
               of the life cycle.
               This PV of cost is then converted into an equivalent annual cost or annuity. The
               equivalent annual cost is calculated by dividing the PV of cost of the life cycle by
               the annuity factor for the cost of capital, for the number of years in the life cycle.
                 Formula: Equivalent annual cost
                                                                      Net PV of costs over one
                          Equivalent annual cost for                    replacement cycle
                                                             =
                          replacement every n years
                                                                    Annuity factor for Years 1 - n
               The replacement cycle with the lowest equivalent annual cost is selected as the
               least-cost replacement cycle.
© Emile Woolf International                            831          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                      Chapter 27: Replacement theory
                  Example: Equivalent annual cost
                  Nigeria Technics Plc is considering its replacement policy for a particular
                  machine.
                  The machine has purchase cost of ₦17,000 and a maximum useful life of three
                  years.
                  The following
                        Year information is also relevant:
                                  Maintenance/running   costs of                    Scrap value if sold at
                                                   machine                              end of year
                              1                     1,900                                  8,000
                              2                     2,400                                  5,500
                              3                     3,750                                  4,000
                       Nigeria Tech Plc ’s cost of capital is 10%.
                       The optimum replacement cycle is identified as follows.
                       Replace every year
                                                                               Discount              Present
                       T                                     Cash flow       factor (10%)             value
                       0      Purchase price                 (17,000)            1.000              (17,000)
                       1      Maintenance costs               (1,900)             0.909               (1,727)
                       1      Resale value                     8,000              0.909               7,272
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                              (11,455)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                            ÷0.909
                              Equivalent annual cost                                                (12,602)
                       Replace every two years
                                                                               Discount             Present
                       T                                     Cash flow       factor (10%)            value
                       0      Purchase price                 (17,000)             1.000             (17,000)
                       1      Maintenance costs               (1,900)             0.909               (1,727)
                       2      Maintenance costs               (2,400)             0.826               (1,982)
                       2      Resale value                     5,500              0.826               4,543
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                              (16,166)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                            ÷1.736
                              Equivalent annual cost                                                  (9,312)
© Emile Woolf International                            832              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Equivalent annual cost
                        Replace every three years
                                                                               Discount              Present
                        T                                    Cash flow       factor (10%)             value
                        0     Purchase price                 (17,000)            1.000              (17,000)
                        1     Maintenance costs               (1,900)             0.909               (1,727)
                        2     Maintenance costs               (2,400)             0.826               (1,982)
                        3     Maintenance costs               (3,750)             0.751               (2,816)
                        3     Resale value                    4,000               0.751               3,004
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                              (20,521)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                            ÷2.487
                              Equivalent annual cost                                                  (8,251)
                        Conclusion:
                        A three-year replacement cycle has the lowest equivalent annual cost.
                        The asset should be replaced every three years.
                  Year           Maintenance/running costs of               Scrap value if sold at
                                          machine                               end of year
                    1                      4,000                                  15,000
                    2                          5,000                                 10,000
                    3                          6,500                                  6,000
                    4                          8,000                                  1,000
                                    Long’s cost of capital is 12%
© Emile Woolf International                            833              The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 27: Replacement theory
3      REPLACING COMPONENTS
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Possible policies
             Individual replacement of components
             Group replacement of components
             Selective replacement of components
       3.1 Introduction
               The previous sections were concerned with assets that deteriorate over time.
               Such assets can of course fail suddenly but are not expected to do so and it
               would be considered as an unusual event if they did.
               Some types of assets are expected to fail suddenly. In general, this applies to
               components of other assets.
               Components would have varying life spans but often, a company would have a
               great deal of historical experience about the rate of failure. This means that
               knowledge of the probabilities associated with different life spans would be
               available.
               Question types
               Questions might involve identifying the cost of a chosen policy. This would
               involve identifying all costs in a period that result from the chosen policy.
               Often questions concern choosing between different policies. Different policies
               will result in different costs. The policy that has the lower cost should be chosen.
       3.2 Possible policies
               Individual replacement
               Under this policy, an item is replaced immediately when it fails (and only if it fails).
               The machine must be stopped in order to replace the component. Each stoppage
               will cost money (e.g. loss of production, cost of the repair). However, the
               company only needs to replace components that have failed.
               Group replacement
               Under this policy, every item is replaced during a single stoppage whether it has
               failed or not.
               This involves less down time for the machine (thus, reducing costs associated
               with the down time) but involves buying more components. Also note that the
               calculations might be complicated by the need to replace components that fail
               between each group replacement.
               Selective replacement
               The relevant scenario is that a machine or production line contains a number of
               similar components where failure of a component does not necessarily stop the
               machine from working. (This is the concept of redundancy. Redundancy is the
© Emile Woolf International                        834          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               duplication of critical components of a system with the intention of increasing
               reliability of the system. For example, redundancy is built into many aspects of
               aircraft design where failure of a component could be disastrous).
               Only items that have failed are replaced but this occurs when a machine can
               operate until a certain number of items have failed and that number has been
               reached.
       3.3 Individual replacement of components
               The costs of this approach include the cost of the failed item. This is the cost of
               item but also might include an installation cost or an inspection cost per item.
               There might also be a cost associated with stopping the machine. This in turn
               might include costs associated with lost production and the cost of gaining
               access and so forth.
                 Formula: Cost of individual replacement policy
                          Total cost of           Average number
                                                                                Cost of replacing
                         replacement in     =      replaced in the               one item
                           the period                  period
                       Average number replaced           Total number of items used per period
                                                    =
                            in the period                            Average life span
                       The average life span might need to be calculated as an expected value.
© Emile Woolf International                        835          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 27: Replacement theory
                 Example: Individual replacement.
                 A company runs a production line that contains 500 identical components. These
                 fail on a regular basis according to the following probability distribution.
                              Life (months)          Probability of failure
                                   1                         0.2
                                   2                         0.5
                                   3                         0.3
                       The cost of replacing a single component is ₦75
                        The cost of replacing failed components can be calculated as follows:
                       Working 1: Average life span of a component
                        Life in months (X)            Probability of failure (P)         PX
                                   1                               0.2                              0.2
                                   2                               0.5                              1.0
                                   3                               0.3                                .9
                       Expected life span (months)                                                  2.1
                       Working 2: Average number replaced in the period
                       Average number replaced         Total number of items used per period
                                                  =
                            in the period                         Average life span
                                                            500 components
                                                      =
                                                            2.1 months (W1)
                                                      =    238 components per month
                       Working 3: The average monthly cost is calculated as follows:
                         Total cost of        Average number
                        replacement in   =     replaced in the       Cost of replacing
                          the period             period (W2)              one item
                                         =           238         
                                                                             ₦75
                                         =        ₦17,850
© Emile Woolf International                          835           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                          3
                 A company runs a production line that contains 600 identical components.
                 These fail on a regular basis according to the following probability
                 distribution:
                              Life (months)        Probability of failure
                                   1                       0.1
                                   2                       0.3
                                   3                       0.35
                                   4                       0.2
                                   5                       0.05
                       The cost of replacing a single component is ₦50.
                       Calculate the monthly cost of replacing components as they fail.
© Emile Woolf International                         836           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                Chapter 27: Replacement theory
       3.4 Group replacement of components
               This involves periodically replacing every component whether or not it has failed.
               The period chosen will be that that minimises the cost.
               The calculations are not as straightforward as at first might be thought. This is
               because components that fail in the periods between the complete replacements
               may also have to be replaced.
                 Example: Group replacement
                 A company runs a production line that contains 500 identical components. These
                 fail on a regular basis according to the following probability distribution.
                              Life (months)        Probability of failure
                                    1                     0.2
                                   2                        0.5
                                   3                        0.3
                       The cost of replacing a single component during the group replacement
                       is ₦25 but the cost of replacing a failed component between
                       replacements is ₦50.
                       Costs associated with different replacement cycles are as follows:
                       Replace components every month
                                                Components          Unit cost             ₦
                       Full replacement             500                ₦25             12,500
                       Failures in month 1
                       20%  500                    100                   ₦50                    5,000
                                                                                               17,500
                       Replace components every 2 months
                                                Components             Unit cost                 ₦
                       Full replacement            500                   ₦25                   12,500
                       Failures in month 1
                         20%  500                  100                   ₦50                    5,000
                       Failures in month 2
                         50%  500                  250
                         20%  100                   20
                                                    270                   ₦50                  13,500
                                                                                               31,000
                       Tutorial note: The 100 units replaced in month 1 are themselves one
                       moth old in month 2. The 100 units is subject to the same failure rate as
                       the units bought at the start of the cycle
© Emile Woolf International                         837           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Example (continued): Group replacement.
                       Replace components every 3 months
                                               Components          Unit cost                 ₦
                       Full replacement           500                 ₦25                  12,500
                       Failures in month 1
                         20%  500                100                 ₦50                    5,000
                       Failures in month 2
                         50%  500                250
                         20%  100                 20
                                                  270                 ₦50                  13,500
                       Failures in month 3
                         30%  500                150
                         50%  100                 50
                         20%  270                 54
                                                  254                 ₦50                  12,700
                                                                                           43,700
                       The costs for each period must be put onto a common base for
                       comparison
                       Total cost                    17,500          31,000              43,700
                       Number of months                 1               2                   3
                       Average monthly cost          17,500          15,500              14,567
                       Conclusion: The company should operate a three month cycle.
               In the above example, the costs associated with each cycle have been worked in
               full to better explain the answer. However, there is a shorter way of setting this
               out using the costs associated with a one-month cycle as a foundation.
               The cost of replacing items in each subsequent month can be added to the
               previous month total to arrive at the total for that month’s cycle.
               The solution to the previous example would then be as follows:
© Emile Woolf International                       838         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                  Chapter 27: Replacement theory
                 Example: Group replacement (alternative presentation of answer)
                 Costs associated with different replacement cycles are as follows:
                    Replace components every month
                                              Components          Unit cost                       ₦
                       Full replacement             500                    ₦25                  12,500
                       Failures in month 1
                       20%  500                    100                    ₦50                    5,000
                       Total cost for one month cycle                                           17,500
                       Replace components every 2 months
                       Failures in month 2  Components                  Unit cost
                         50%  500                  250
                         20%  100                   20
                                                    270                    ₦50                  13,500
                       Total cost for two month cycle                                           31,000
                       Replace components every 3 months
                       Failures in month 3  Components                  Unit cost
                         30%  500                  150
                         50%  100                   50
                         20%  270                   54
                                                    254                    ₦50                  12,700
                       Total cost for three month cycle                                         43,700
                       The costs for each period must be put onto a common base for
                       comparison
                       Total cost                     17,500          31,000       43,700
                       Number of months                     1                 2                   3
                       Average monthly cost               17,500          15,500              14,567
                       Conclusion: The company should operate a three-month cycle.
© Emile Woolf International                         840            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                 Practice question                                                                           4
                 A company runs a production line that contains 798 identical components.
                 These fail on a regular basis according to the following probability
                 distribution:
                              Life (months)         Probability of failure
                                   1                        0.1
                                   2                        0.3
                                   3                        0.35
                                   4                        0.2
                                   5                        0.05
                       The cost of replacing a single component is ₦60. However, if all
                       components are replaced together the cost falls to 14 per component
                       Calculate the monthly cost of a group replacement policy for 1, 2, 3, 4
                       and 5-month replacement cycles.
       3.5 Selective replacement of components
               As explained earlier, this sort of problem relates to a scenario where redundancy
               has been built into a system. In other words it incorporates a number of similar
               components arranged such that the system can continue to operate when some
               of the components fail. However, a point is reached where the number of failed
               components is such that they must be replaced. The choice then is whether to
               replace only those components that have failed or to replace all components
               whether they have failed or not. The purpose in replacing all components is to
               delay the time until the next change is necessary.
© Emile Woolf International                         841            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                              Chapter 27: Replacement theory
                 Example: Selective or group replacement.
                 A company operates a machine that contains 500 identical components which
                 fail on a regular basis.
                 The machine can continue to operate until 20% of the components fail. When this
                 point is reached the machine must be stopped to replace the components.
                 The following costs have been estimated:
                       Stripping down the machine to replace components                ₦2,500
                       Cost of a single component                                       ₦100
                       Cost of inspecting an individual component to see if it
                       has failed                                                        ₦50
                       The company currently has a policy of waiting until the machine stops
                       working and then inspecting components in order to see which need to
                       be replaced. Only those components that have failed are replaced.
                       Under the current policy each machine breaks down on average 3 times
                       every month.
                       The company is considering a new policy under which it will stop the
                       machine twice a month and replace all components. This will save on
                       inspection costs but will involve replacing good components as well as
                       failed ones.
                       Is this policy worthwhile?
                       Current policy (selective replacement)
                       Cost of stripping down the machine                                      2,500
                       Inspection cost             500 units  ₦50 per unit                  25,000
                       Cost of units replaced      100 units  ₦100 per unit                 10,000
                       Cost per breakdown                                                    37,500
                       Number of breakdowns per month                                             3
                       Monthly cost                                                        112,500
                       New policy (group replacement)
                       Cost of stripping down the machine                                      2,500
                       Inspection cost                                                              nil
                       Cost of units replaced      500 units  ₦100 per unit                 50,000
                       Cost per breakdown                                                    52,500
                       Number of breakdowns per month                                             2
                       Monthly cost                                                        105,000
                       Conclusion: The new policy should be adopted.
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Performance management
4      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Identify the optimum replacement policy using average annual cost (ignoring time
           value)
            Identify the optimum replacement policy using equivalent annual cost (taking time
             value into account)
            Appraise policies to replace components that fail suddenly (individual, selective
             and group replacement)
© Emile Woolf International                      844         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                 Chapter 27: Replacement theory
       SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
         Solution                                                                                              1
             The optimum replacement cycle is identified as follows:
                                                                                      Average annual
                 Cycle            Capital       Running           Total cycle         cost (total cycle
                length           cost (W1)     cost (W2)             cost            cost÷ cycle length)
                   1              30,000     +    9,000 =           39,000               39,000
                     2            50,000     +   21,000       =     71,000                 35,500
                     3            58,000     +   37,000       =     95,000                 31,667
                     4            64,000     +   58,000       =    122,000                 30,500
                     5            65,000     +   86,000       =    151,000                 30,200
                     6            66,000     + 123,000        =    189,000                 31,500
                     7            66,000     + 170,000        =    236,000                 33,714
                     8            66,000     + 229,000        =    295,000                 36,875
             Workings
             W1 Total capital cost over each cycle
                 Year           Purchase price Scrap proceeds Total capital cost
                     1            70,000             40,000               30,000
                     2            70,000             20,000               50,000
                     3            70,000             12,000               58,000
                     4            70,000              6,000               64,000
                     5            70,000              5,000               65,000
                     6            70,000              4,000               66,000
                     7            70,000              4,000               66,000
                     8            70,000              4,000               66,000
             W2Total maintenance cost over each cycle
               Year           Annual running costs     Cumulative running costs
                1                 9,000                           9,000
                2                12,000                         21,000
                 3                16,000                           37,000
                 4                21,000                           58,000
                 5                28,000                           86,000
                 6                37,000                          123,000
                 7                47,000                          170,000
                 8                59,000                          229,000
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Performance management
         Solution (continued)                                                                                        1
                       Conclusion:
                       A five-year replacement cycle has the lowest average annual cost.
                       The asset should be replaced every five years.
         Solution                                                                                                    2
               Replace every year
                                                                                Discount              Present
               T                                             Cash flow        factor (12%)             value
               0              Purchase price                 (30,000)             1.000              (30,000)
               1              Maintenance costs               (4,000)              0.893               (3,572)
               1              Resale value                   15,000                0.893              13,395
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                               (20,177)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                             ÷0.893
                              Equivalent annual cost                                                 (22,595)
               Replace every two years
                                                                                Discount              Present
               T                                             Cash flow        factor (12%)             value
               0              Purchase price                 (30,000)             1.000              (30,000)
               1              Maintenance costs                (4,000)            0.893                (3,572)
               2              Maintenance costs                (5,000)            0.797                (3,985)
               2              Resale value                   10,000                0.797                7,970
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                               (29,587)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                             ÷1.690
                              Equivalent annual cost                                                 (17,507)
               Replace every three years
                                                                                Discount              Present
               T                                             Cash flow        factor (12%)             value
               0              Purchase price                 (30,000)             1.000              (30,000)
               1              Maintenance costs                (4,000)            0.893                (3,572)
               2              Maintenance costs               (5,000)              0.797               (3,985)
               3              Maintenance costs               (6,500)              0.712               (4,628)
               3              Resale value                     6,000               0.712                4,272
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                               (37,913)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                             ÷2.402
                               Equivalent annual cost                                                (15,784)
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                                                                                      Chapter 27: Replacement theory
         Solution (continued)                                                                                       2
               Replace every four years
                                                                               Discount             Present
               T                                             Cash flow       factor (12%)             value
               0              Purchase price                 (30,000)           1.000               (30,000)
               1              Maintenance costs               (4,000)             0.893               (3,572)
               2              Maintenance costs               (5,000)             0.797               (3,985)
               3              Maintenance costs               (6,500)             0.712               (4,628)
               4              Maintenance costs               (8,000)             0.636               (5,088)
               4              Resale value                     1,000              0.636                  636
                              PV of costs of one cycle                                              (46,637)
                              Annuity factor for one year                                            ÷3.037
                              Equivalent annual cost                                                (15,536)
               Conclusion:
               A four-year replacement cycle has the lowest equivalent annual cost.
               The asset should be replaced every four years.
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Performance management
         Solution                                                                                            3
               Working 1: Average life span of a component
                  Life in months (X)                Probability of failure (P)                    PX
                           1                                   0.1                                0.1
                              2                                  0.3                              0.6
                              3                                  0.35                             1.05
                              4                                  0.2                              0.8
                              5                                  0.05                             0.25
               Expected life span (months)                                                        2.8
               Working 2: Average number replaced in the period
               Average number replaced in the         Total number of items used per period
                                               =
                           period                               Average life span
                                                          600 components
                                                   =
                                                          2.8 months (W1)
                                                   =     = 214.3 components per month
               Working 3: The average monthly cost is calculated as follows:
                    Total cost of          Average number
                 replacement in the    =   replaced in the         Cost of replacing
                       period                period (W2)                 one item
                                             =          214.3                           ₦50
                                             =         ₦10,715
© Emile Woolf International                        848           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                             Chapter 27: Replacement theory
         Solution                                                                                          4
                 Replace components every month
                                             Components             Unit cost                 ₦
                 Full replacement                798                   ₦14                  11,172
                 Failures in month 1
                 10%  798                        80                   ₦60                    4,800
                 Total cost of group replacement every month                                15,972
                 Replace components every 2 months
                 Failures in month 2         Components             Unit cost
                   30%  798                     239
                   10%  80                            8
                                                  247             ₦60                       14,820
                 Total cost of group replacement every two months                           30,792
                 Replace components every 3 months
                 Failures in month 3         Components             Unit cost
                   35%  798                     279
                   30%  80                       24
                   10%  247                      25
                                                 328                   ₦60                  19,680
                                                                                            50,472
                 Replace components every 4 months
                 Failures in month 3         Components             Unit cost
                   20%  798                     160
                   35%  80                       28
                   30%  247                      74
                   10%  328                      33
                                                 295                   ₦60                  17,700
                                                                                            68,172
                 Replace components every 5 months
                 Failures in month 3         Components             Unit cost
                   5%  798                       40
                   20%  80                       16
                   35%  247                      86
                   30% 328                       98
                   10%  295                      30
                                                 270                   ₦60                  16,200
                                                                                            84,372
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Performance management
         Solution (continued)                                                                              4
                 The costs for each period must be put onto a common base for comparison
                 Total cost                15,972 30,792 50,472 68,172 84,372
                 Number of months             1         2         3         4         5
                 Average monthly cost    15,972       15,396     16,824        17,043        16,874
                 Conclusion: The company should operate a two-month cycle.
© Emile Woolf International                     850            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  28
   Skills level
   Performance management
                                                        CHAPTER
                                   Strategic models and
                              performance management
 Contents
 1 Introduction to strategic planning and control
 2 Models for environmental analysis
 3 PESTEL analysis
 4 Five Forces model
 5 Boston Consulting Group (BCG) model
 6 Value chain analysis
 7 SWOT analysis
 8 Ansoff’s growth vector analysis
 9 Marketing
 10 Benchmarking
 11 Chapter review
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Performance management
INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
 E     Strategic performance measurement
       1     Analyse and evaluate business objectives and strategies using techniques such
             as:
             a     C-analysis;
             b     Five forces analysis;
             c     The Boston Consulting Group Model;
             d     Value chain analysis;
             e     Ansoff’s matrix;
             f     Benchmarking; and
             g     SWOT analysis.
Exam context
This paper is about performance management and not just about performance
measurement. Measurement is a component of management. In this paper you are required
to be able to review measures in place and suggest alternatives when weaknesses are
identified. This review would be in the context of the strategy of the organisation and how
the performance management system was working to help achieve the corporate objectives.
This chapter explains various models that can be used in the strategic planning process.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Explain, perform and interpret C analysis
      Explain and apply Porter’s five forces model to identify industry attractiveness
      Explain and apply the Boston Consulting Group model to identify categories of product
       (business) in a company’s portfolio
      Explain and interpret value chain analysis
      Use Ansoff’s grid to identify possible strategic directions
      Explain and apply benchmarking to compare performance against information provided
       (for example, about a competitor)
      Construct and interpret a SWOT analysis
© Emile Woolf International                     852          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
1      INTRODUCTION TO STRATEGIC PLANNING AND CONTROL
         Section overview
             Levels of strategic planning
             Definition of strategic planning and control
             Advantages of formal strategic planning
             Overview of a formal strategic planning process
             Strategic analysis
             Corporate appraisal
             Strategic choice
             Evaluation of strategic options
             Other issues
       1.1     Levels of strategic planning
               Planning is a hierarchical activity, linking strategic planning at the top with
               detailed operational planning at the bottom. Strategic plans set a framework and
               guidelines within which more detailed plans, and shorter-term planning decisions,
               can be made.
               R N Anthony identified three levels of planning: within an organisation:
                      Strategic planning. This involves identifying the objectives of the entity,
                       and plans for achieving those objectives, mostly over the longer term.
                       Strategic plans include corporate strategy plans, business strategy plans
                       and functional strategy plans.
                      Tactical planning. These are shorter-term plans for achieving medium-
                       term objectives. An example of tactical planning is the annual budget.
                       Budgets and other tactical plans can be seen as steps towards the
                       achievement of longer-term strategic objectives.
                      Operational planning. This is detailed planning of activities, often at a
                       supervisor level or junior management level, for the achievement of short-
                       term goals and targets. For example, a supervisor might divide the
                       workload between several employees in order to complete all the work
                       before the end of the day.
       1.2     Definition of strategic planning and control
               ‘Strategic planning and control’ within an entity is the continuous process of:
                      identifying the goals and objectives of the entity
                      planning strategies that will enable these goals and objectives to be
                       achieved
                      setting targets for each strategic objective (performance targets)
                      converting strategies into shorter-term operational plans
                      implementing the strategy
                      monitoring actual performance (performance measurement and review)
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Performance management
                      taking control measures where appropriate when actual performance is
                       below the target.
               Other aspects of strategic planning and control are:
                      re-assessing plans and strategies when circumstances in the business
                       environment change
                      where necessary, changing strategies and plans.
       1.3     Advantages of formal strategic planning
               Companies often have a formal strategic planning process, because a formal
               system of planning:
                      clarifies objectives
                      helps management to make strategic decisions. Strategic planning forces
                       managers to think about the future: companies are unlikely to survive
                       unless they plan ahead
                      establishes targets for achievement
                      co-ordinates objectives and targets throughout the organisation, from the
                       mission statement and strategic objectives at the top of a hierarchy of
                       objectives, down to operational targets
                      provides a system for checking progress towards the objectives.
               However, planning must also be flexible. Plans and targets might need to change
               in response to changes in the business environment, for example, a new initiative
               by a rival company.
               Changes in strategic plans
               Strategic plans often cover a period of several years, typically five years or
               longer. They are prepared on the basis of the best information available at the
               time, using assumptions about the nature of the business environment –
               competitive conditions, market conditions, available technology, the economic,
               social and political climate, and so on.
               However, the business environment can change very quickly, in unexpected
               ways. Changes can create new threats to a company, or they can create new
               business opportunities. Whenever changes occur, a company should be able to
               respond – taking measures to deal with new threats, or to exploit new
               opportunities.
               The response of a company to changes in its environment could mean having to
               develop new strategies and abandon old ones. When changes are made, the
               original strategic plan will no longer be entirely valid, although large parts of it
               might be unaffected.
               Strategic planning in practice is therefore often a mixture of:
                      formal planning, and
                      developing new strategies and making new plans whenever significant
                       changes occur in its business environment.
               Responding to unexpected changes by doing something that is not in the formal
               plan is sometimes called ‘freewheeling opportunism’. It means making unplanned
               decisions, to take advantages of opportunities as they arise, or to deal with
               unexpected threats.
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                                                    Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
       1.4     Overview of a formal strategic process
               Different methods and approaches may be used to develop strategic plans.
               A basic approach to strategic planning is shown in the following diagram.
                 Illustration: Overview of a formal strategic process
               Mission and objectives
               The entity exists for a purpose, which may be expressed formally in a mission
               statement.
               The entity must develop clear objectives, such as the maximisation of
               shareholder wealth. These objectives should be consistent with the mission
               statement. Targets can be established for the achievement of objectives within
               the planning period.
               Objectives should take into account the interest and power of stakeholders.
               Stakeholder mapping is a useful tool in this regard.
       1.5     Strategic analysis
               Environmental analysis
               Environmental analysis involves an analysis of developments outside the
               organisation that are already affecting the organisation or could affect the
               organisation in the future. These are external factors that might affect the
               achievement of objectives and strategy selection.
               An external analysis might consider:
                      the political situation in each country where it has operating subsidiaries
                      changes in the law, and how these affect the organisation
                      changes in economic conditions
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Performance management
                      social factors and cultural factors, such as an increasing average age in the
                       population
                      technology changes: the development of the internet and e-commerce, for
                       example, have had enormous consequences for business within the past
                       few years
                      the competitive environment, such as the entry of a new competitor into the
                       market, or the ‘globalisation’ of the market.
               An external analysis should identify opportunities and threats that face the
               organisation. Strategies might be developed to exploit opportunities or take
               counter-measures to deal with threats.
               Models that might be used include:
                      PESTEL analysis; and
                      Porter’s 5 forces;
               These are covered in more detail later.
               Position audit
               Internal analysis looks at the strengths and weaknesses within the organisation –
               its products, existing customers, management, employees, technical skills and
               ‘know-how’, its operational systems and procedures, its reputation for quality, the
               quality of its suppliers, its liquidity and cash flows, and so on.
               Strategies should seek to make full use of any strengths within the entity and to
               reduce or remove significant weaknesses.
               Models that might be used include:
                      Ms (Men, Management, Money, Make-up, Machinery, Methods, Markets,
                       Materials, Management information);
                      Financial analysis;
                      Benchmarking;
                      Product life cycle;
                      Boston consulting grid;
                      Value chain analysis;
               Some of these are covered in more detail later.
       1.6     Corporate appraisal
               SWOT analysis
               The mission statement and objectives of the entity, together with the results from
               the environmental analysis and position audit, should lead on to a formal
               appraisal of strategy and what the entity might be capable of achieving.
               SWOT analysis is the analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of an
               organisation, and the opportunities and threats in its environment. This method of
               strategic analysis is often used by organisations as a starting point for strategic
               planning.
               Strategic management accounting can assist with SWOT analysis by trying to put
               costs or benefits to particular strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats,
               so that strategic managers are able to assess their importance.
               SWOT analysis is explained in more detail later.
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                                                    Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
               Gap analysis
               A strategic plan should set out the ways in which an organisation intends to
               achieve its objectives. One way of doing this is to prepare a forecast of what is
               likely to happen if the company carries on with its current plans and policies, and
               does not take any new strategic initiatives.
               Gap analysis involves:
                      identifying the corporate objectives for the organisation, and what strategic
                       management wants the organisation to achieve each year over the
                       planning period
                      comparing these strategic targets with the expected actual results, if there
                       are no changes in strategy and no new planning initiatives.
               The gap is the difference between these two and is known as is a planning gap.
               (Gap analysis is sometimes described as an analysis of the difference between
               ‘Where we are’ and ‘Where we want to be’.)
                 Illustration: Gap analysis
                           Company                                           Planning
                           objectives                                        horizon
                         (e.g. annual                        Desired
                               profits)                      position
                                                            Position if no
                                                           action is taken
                                                    Time
               Strategies should be developed to close the gap, so that expected performance
               is in line with the strategic aims and objectives.
       1.7     Strategic choice
               There are choices to made in three areas
               Basis of strategy
               This is about how to compete. The work of Michael Porter is influential in this
               area.
               According to Porter, a successful competitive strategy must be based on either:
                      cost leadership, or
                      differentiation.
               Cost leadership means becoming the lowest-cost producer in the market. A
               company that can make products or provide services at a lower cost than
               competitors will succeed, by selling at lower prices and winning the biggest share
               of the market.
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Performance management
               Differentiation means making products or services that are considered by
               customers to be different from those of competitors, and because they are
               different they are better. A company that is not the least-cost producer can
               therefore succeed by offering product or service that customers will pay a higher
               price (than the least-cost producer’s price) to obtain.
               Either of these strategies might be pursued with a broad focus or in a niche
               market.
               Strategic direction
               This concerns which products should be sold to which markets. A useful model
               here is Ansoff’s Grid which is covered in more detail later. It identifies four
               possible alternatives:
                      Sell existing products in existing markets – Market penetration strategy.
                      Sell existing products in new markets – Market development strategy
                      Sell new products in existing markets – Product development strategy.
                      Sell new products in new markets – Diversification strategy.
               Strategic method
               This concerns the question of how to grow? Growth can be achieved through:
                      Internal growth (also called organic growth)
                      Acquisitions and mergers
                      Joint ventures or strategic alliances
       1.8     Evaluation of strategic options
               Strategies should be evaluated to decide whether they might be appropriate.
               Johnson and Scholes have suggested that strategies should be assessed for:
                      suitability;
                      feasibility;
                      acceptability
               Suitability
               A strategy must be suitable for achieving the strategic aims and requirements of
               the company. This must be assessed in terms of resources and competences.
               A strategy must enable the company to take advantage of its core competences
               and unique resources, in order to gain competitive advantage
               Suitability relates to the strategic logic and strategic fit of the strategy
               The strategy must fit the company's operational circumstances and strategic
               position.
               Key questions include does the strategy:
                      Exploit company strengths and distinctive competences?
                      Rectify company weaknesses?
                      Neutralise or deflect environmental threats?
                      Help the firm to seize opportunities?
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                                                    Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
                      Satisfy the goals of the organisation?
                      Fill the gap identified by gap analysis?
                      Generate/maintain competitive advantage?
               Feasibility
               Questions that might be asked to assess feasibility are:
                      Can we afford it?
                      Will we have the labour skills needed?
                      Can we achieve the necessary product quality?
                      Can we produce at the cost that will be necessary?
                      Do we have the marketing skills needed?
                      Can we obtain the raw materials needed?
               Acceptability
               A strategy must be acceptable to the key stakeholders affected by it. A strategy is
               inappropriate if it is unacceptable to any key stakeholders
       1.9     Other issues
               Strategic implementation
               The selected strategies should then be implemented.
               The implementation of strategies should be monitored. Changes and adjustments
               should be made where these become necessary.
               Areas of importance here are change management and project management.
               These are covered in more detail later
               Review and control
               This is a key area. An entity will have management information systems in place
               to monitor the progress of the business. These are particularly important to the
               introduction of a new strategy where timing and achievement of progress points
               might be vital to its success. This is covered in more detail later.
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Performance management
2      MODELS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             The nature of environmental analysis
             The purpose of environmental analysis
             Two models for environmental analysis
       2.1     The nature of environmental analysis
               A business entity cannot exist in isolation from its environment. It inter-relates
               with its environment, and its survival and strategic success depend on how well it
               responds to the threats and opportunities that the environment provides.
               An entity’s environment is anything that is not a part of the entity itself. For a
               business organisation, the environment includes customers, potential customers,
               markets, competitors, suppliers, governments and potential sources of new
               employees. It also includes the social, political and economic environment in
               which the entity exists and operates.
               The term ‘macro-environment’ is used to mean general factors in the business
               environment of an entity, rather than specific customers, suppliers and
               competitors.
               Environmental influences on an organisation vary with the size of the
               organisation, and the industry and the countries in which it operates.
               The importance of environmental factors for strategic management arises
               because:
                      organisations operate within their environment and interact with it
                      changes in the environment can be large and significant – and continually
                       happening
                      future changes can be very difficult to predict.
       2.2     The purpose of environmental analysis
               Environmental analysis is a part of the process of assessing strategic position. In
               order to make strategic choices about the future, the management of an entity
               need to understand:
                      the factors in the environment that have a significant effect on the entity
                       and what it does
                      the key drivers of change: these are the factors in the environment that will
                       have the greatest effect on the entity, and force the entity to change its
                       strategies in order to survive and succeed
                      the difference in impact that key drivers of change in the environment will
                       have on different industries or different markets, or how changes in the
                       environment might affect one particular entity more or less than other
                       entities.
               It is also important to consider the future impact of factors in the environment.
               The future impact might be different from the impact that they have had in the
               past. Some factors might grow in significance; others might become less
               significant.
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                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
               Environmental analysis is the process of:
                      studying the environment in which an entity operates
                      identifying significant factors in the environment, particularly those that will
                       be significant in the future.
               The purpose of the analysis is to assess the environment, to analyse the
               position of an entity in relation to its environment and to judge how the
               entity’s strategies should be developed to take advantage of opportunities and
               deal with any potential threats. It is a first step towards formulating a business
               strategy.
       2.3     Two models for environmental analysis
               In your examination, you may be required to carry out an environmental analysis.
               You might be required to use any ‘model’ of your choice. Alternatively you might
               be asked specifically to use PESTEL analysis or Porter’s Diamond.
                      The PESTEL model is used to identify significant factors in the macro-
                       environment of an entity.
                      Porter’s Diamond model is used to analyse reasons why entities in
                       particular countries, or regions within a country, appear to have a significant
                       competitive advantage over similar entities in the same industry, but
                       operating in other countries or other regions.
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3      PESTEL ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             The nature of PESTEL analysis
             Social and cultural environment
             Legal environment
          Economic environment
          Political environment
          Technological environment
          Ecological influences
             Limitations of PESTEL analysis
       3.1     The nature of PESTEL analysis
               PESTEL analysis is a structured approach to analysing the external environment
               of an entity. The influences (current influences and possible future influences) of
               the environment on the entity are grouped into categories. For each category of
               environmental influence, the main influences are identified.
               There are six categories of environmental influence:
                      P – Political environment
                      E – Economic environment
                      S – Social and cultural environment
                      T – Technological environment
                      E – Ecological influences
                      L – Legal environment
               The purpose of dividing environmental influences into categories is simply to
               make it easier to organise the environmental analysis and ensure that some key
               influences are not over-looked. It provides a useful framework for analysis.
               You might also see reference to SLEPT analysis and PEST analysis. These are
               similar to PESTEL analysis in concept, but use a smaller number of
               environmental categories.
                      SLEPT analysis uses the same categories of environmental influence as
                       PESTEL analysis, without ‘Ecological influences’.
                      PEST analysis is the same as SLEPT analysis, but includes ‘Political
                       influences’ and ‘Legal environment’ in the same category.
       3.2     Social and cultural environment
               An entity is affected by social and cultural influences in the countries or regions in
               which it operates, and by social customs and attitudes. Some influences are
               more significant than others.
               Factors in the social and cultural environment include the following:
                      The values, attitudes and beliefs of customers, employees and the general
                       public.
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                      Patterns of work and leisure, such as the length of the working week and
                       popular views about what to do during leisure time
                      The ethnic structure of society
                      The influence of religion and religious attitudes in society
                      The relative proportions of different age groups in society.
       3.3     Legal environment
               The legal environment consists of the laws and regulations affecting an entity,
               and the possibility of major new laws or regulations in the future.
               Laws and regulations vary between different countries, although international
               regulation is accepted in certain areas of commercial activity, such as banking.
               Strategic decisions by an entity might be affected by legal considerations. For
               example:
                      an international company might locate some operations, for tax reasons, in
                       a country with a favourable tax system
                      decisions to relocate operations from one country to another could be
                       affected by the differences in employment law in the two countries, or by
                       new employment legislation
                      in many industries, companies are faced with environmental legislation or
                       health and safety legislation, affecting the ways in which they operate, as
                       well as the design of the products they make and sell.
       3.4     Economic environment
               The economic environment consists of the economic influences on an entity and
               the effect of possible changes in economic factors on future business prospects.
               Factors in the economic environment include:
                      the rate of growth in the economy
                      the rate of inflation
                      the level of interest rates, and whether interest rates may go up or fall
                      foreign exchange rates, and whether particular currencies are likely to get
                       weaker or stronger
                      unemployment levels and the availability of skilled or unskilled workers
                      government tax rates and government subsidies to industry
                      the existence or non-existence of free trade between countries, and
                       whether trade barriers may be removed
                      the existence of trading blocs of countries, such as the European
                       Community, Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), etc.
               Economic factors could affect a decision by a company about where to invest.
               Tax incentives, the availability of skilled labour, a good transport infrastructure, a
               stable currency and other factors can all influence strategic choices.
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Performance management
       3.5     Political environment
               The political environment consists of political factors that can have a strong
               influence on business entities and other organisations.
               Investment decisions by companies will be influenced by factors such as:
                      the stability of the political system in particular countries
                      the threat of government action to nationalise the industry and seize
                       ownership from private business
                      wars and civil unrest
                      the threat of terrorist activity.
               Political considerations are particularly important for business entities operating
               in countries with an unstable political regime, or a dictatorship.
       3.6     Technological environment
               The technological environment consists of the science and technology available
               to an organisation (and its competitors), and changes and developments in
               science and technology.
               Some aspects of technology and technological change affect virtually all
               organisations. Developments in IT and computer technology, including the
               Internet, are the most obvious example. Business entities that do not respond to
               changes in IT and computerisation risk losing their share of the market to
               competitors.
               However, technological change might also affect particular industries. Scientific
               developments in food and drugs, for example, are having a continual impact on
               companies in these industries.
               For strategic planning, companies need to be aware of current technological
               changes and the possible nature of changes in the future. Technology could have
               an important influence, for example, on investment decisions in research and
               development, and investment in new technology.
       3.7     Ecological influences
               For business entities in some industries, environmental factors have an important
               influence on strategic planning and decision-making. They are particularly
               important for industries that are:
                      subject to strict environmental legislation, or the risk of stricter legislation in
                       the future (for example, legislation to cut levels of atmospheric pollution)
                      faced with the risk that their sources of raw materials will be used up (for
                       example, parts of the fishing industry and timber production industry)
                      at the leading edge of technological research, such as producers of
                       genetically modified foods.
               In some countries, companies have seen a commercial advantage in presenting
               themselves as ‘environment-friendly’, by improving their reputation with the
               general public. Several companies have adopted a policy of becoming ‘carbon
               neutral’ so that they remove as much carbon dioxide from the atmosphere as
               they add to carbon dioxide with emissions from their operating activities. (It was
               reported in the UK in 2007 that the demand from UK companies to acquire
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               energy from renewable energy sources was far in excess of the capacity of the
               energy companies to supply energy from those sources.)
               Major oil companies are investing in the development of energy from renewable
               energy sources, such as the sea and wind.
       3.8     Limitations of PESTEL analysis
               PESTEL analysis is a useful framework for identifying environmental influences
               on an entity. However, there are limitations to the technique.
                      It is easier to use PESTEL analysis to identify environmental influences in
                       the past and present. It is not so easy to identify the environmental
                       influences that will have the biggest influence in the future.
                      It is a method of identifying environmental influences, by providing a
                       framework for analysis. It does not provide an assessment of environmental
                       influences. It is used for qualitative analysis, but not for quantification. A
                       manager using PESTEL analysis might need to use his (subjective)
                       judgement to decide which environmental factors are more important than
                       others.
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Performance management
4      FIVE FORCES MODEL
         Section overview
          Competitive strength and the five forces
          Existing competitors and competitive rivalry
             Threat from new entrants
             Bargaining power of suppliers
             Bargaining power of customers
             Threat from substitute products
       4.1     Competitive strength and the five forces
               Michael Porter (in Competitive Strategy) developed a model for analysing the
               competitive nature of markets and the competitive position of companies. It is
               also a model for assessing the problems that a company faces in establishing a
               strong competitive position in a market.
               The model should be used to analyse a ‘strategic business unit’, rather than a
               company as a whole. A strategic business unit (or SBU) is a part of a company’s
               operations for which there is a separate and distinct market.
               The model is called the Five Forces model, because Porter suggests that there
               are five factors or ‘forces’ that affect the competitive position of a company in a
               market. These five forces are:
                      existing competitors and the rivalry between existing competitors
                      the threat from new entrants to the market
                      the bargaining power of suppliers
                      the bargaining power of customers
                      the threat from substitute products.
                 Illustration: Five forces
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               A management information system should be able to provide measures relating
               to each of these five forces, to assist management in making decisions about
               competitive strategy.
       4.2     Existing competitors and competitive rivalry
               The strength of competition varies between different markets. Some markets
               have several rival companies competing for customers. Other markets are
               dominated by a single company, although there may be some small and weak
               competitors.
               When competition is strong, companies are likely to pursue active competitive
               strategies to retain existing customers and win new customers from their rivals.
               They might compete by offering lower prices, a wider range of products or
               products with a superior design or quality. For example, in the UK the retail
               market for food products is dominated by four large supermarket chains (Tesco,
               Sainsbury’s, Asda and Morrisons), which compete with each other mainly on the
               basis of price, product range and location (convenience).
               In a competitive market, an initiative by one company – such as a decision to
               reduce prices of some goods – is often copied quickly by its rivals. Gains in
               market share might therefore be short-lived.
               Companies in a competitive market try to retain or increase their share of the
               market, and important information for management is therefore information
               about:
                      growth in the total market, and
                      the market share of each competitor in the market.
               If a company is losing market share, or if a competitor is gaining market share,
               this might indicate a weakness with the company’s existing strategies.
               Switching costs
               Switching costs might affect the strength of competition in a market. Switching
               costs are the costs that a customer would incur by switching from one supplier to
               another. In some industries and markets, switching costs might be high. For
               example, it might be necessary to train employees in a different technology of the
               new supplier.
               Switching costs might be high, for example, if a customer is considering a switch
               to a new supplier of software. All the existing data files would have to be
               converted to a format suitable for the new software and employees would have to
               be trained to use the new system.
       4.3     Threat from new entrants
               In some markets, it is difficult for new competitors to enter the market. (The
               ‘barriers to entry’ are high.) This may be because entry to the market would
               require a large capital investment, and any company entering the market would
               therefore be taking a big risk.
               The strength of the threat from new entrants depends on the strength of the
               barriers to entry. Barriers to entry may not prevent competitors entering the
               market eventually, but they can delay the entry of new competitors.
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Performance management
               The nature of barriers to entry
               A variety of factors might create strong barriers to entry.
                      Economies of scale. Economies of scale refer to the ability of an entity to
                       reduce the average cost per unit of sales by producing and selling a larger
                       quantity of the product. They occur for a variety of reasons:
                             By making and selling more units, fixed costs are spread over a larger
                              quantity and fixed costs per unit fall.
                             An entity might be able to use larger machines that can produce
                              larger quantities more efficiently than smaller machines.
                             An entity might be able to buy materials at a lower cost, by
                              purchasing in larger quantities.
                      Capital investment. Entering a new market might require a large capital
                       investment. This might deter a new entrant, because the investment could
                       be high-risk.
                      Customer loyalty. Entities already operating in the market might have
                       strong customer loyalty and a strong brand name. This would make it
                       difficult for a new entrant to win market share.
                      A barrier to entry might exist in the form of legal or political protection.
                       For example, the products made by a company already in the market might
                       be protected by patent. Government protection might be provided in the
                       form of an import ban or by law. An example in 2006 was the failure of
                       European online gambling firms to enter the US market, because of US
                       legislation against online gambling. This legislation protected companies
                       that operated casinos in the US.
               Weak barriers to entry
               In some markets, barriers to entry might be low, and it might be fairly easy for
               new competitors to enter the market. This is often the case with markets for
               services, where the service relies on the skill or expertise of the service provider.
               For example, it is often fairly easy for a professional person, such as an architect
               or a solicitor to set up in business.
               Occasionally, technological changes might reduce barriers to entry and make it
               easier for new companies to enter. For example, the Internet has made it
               possible for some companies to enter a market by offering goods or services for
               sale on the Internet. Selling through a web site avoids the need for large
               investments in retail stores or office property.
               Barriers to entry would be lowered if the government offered a subsidy or grant to
               companies that invested in a particular industry.
               A management information system should be able to provide information about
               any new entrants to the market, the type of product or service they are providing,
               the prices they are charging and the success they seem to be having in attracting
               customers.
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                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
       4.4     Bargaining power of suppliers
               The competitive position of a company in its market might be affected by the
               ability of one or more key suppliers to influence the market. Suppliers can have a
               very strong influence when:
                      there are very few suppliers to the market, and
                      there are a large number of companies in the market, buying from the same
                       suppliers.
               An example is the influence of producers of oil and natural gas over the energy
               markets.
               Powerful suppliers might be able to increase prices or control the supply of their
               product to the market. Companies in the market are exposed to the risk that the
               cost or the supply of a key resource could be changed by their supplier’s
               decision.
               Companies in a market should try to:
                      avoid reliance on a single supplier, if possible, and try to use several
                       different suppliers, or
                      develop close strategic relationships with key suppliers.
               When suppliers have a strong influence over a market, a company’s
               management information system should provide information about:
                      the number and identity of suppliers in the market
                      their prices
                      the proportion of total purchases of key products that are obtained from
                       each supplier.
       4.5     Bargaining power of customers
               The competitive position of a company might also be affected by reliance on one
               or a small number of customers. An entire market might be dominated by a small
               number of potential customers. For example, the market for sophisticated
               weapons systems is influenced by the power of the rich governments that can
               afford to buy them. Similarly, the market for large passenger aircraft is strongly
               influenced by the bargaining power of the fairly small number of airline
               companies that might buy them.
               The bargaining power of customers is particularly strong in markets where there
               is a large number of suppliers but only a few customers. The UK retail market for
               food was referred to earlier. In this market, there are only four major supermarket
               chains, which buy a large proportion of all food products sold in the UK, but there
               are large numbers of small suppliers. The powerful buyers are often able to
               dictate terms to the suppliers, and can threaten to switch to different suppliers if
               they do not get what they want.
               When customers have a strong influence over a market, a company’s
               management information system should provide information about:
                      the number and identity of the major customers in the market
                      what these customers are asking for, in terms of product or service quality
                       and price
                      the proportion of the company’s total sales that are made to each major
                       customer.
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Performance management
       4.6     Threat from substitute products
               The competitive strength of a company might also be affected by the existence of
               substitute products. The company needs to be aware that its competitive strategy
               could result in a switch of customer demand to or from a substitute product.
               For example, an increase in the worldwide price of tea could lead to a switch in
               demand from tea to coffee. Similarly, higher prices for travel by railway could lead
               to a switch by customers to alternative forms of transport, such as air or road.
               When there are close substitutes for a company’s products or services,
               management should be provided with market information about these substitutes.
               For example, a company that supplies tea should monitor the market for coffee
               and other drink products.
5      BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP (BCG) MODEL
         Section overview
             The BCG matrix: market growth (potential) and market share (profitability)
             Categories of product in the BCG matrix
             Structure of the BCG matrix
             Using the BCG matrix for planning and performance measurement
             Weaknesses in BCG model analysis
       5.1     The BCG matrix: market growth (potential) and market share (profitability)
               In competitive markets, management need information to evaluate their products
               (or services) in terms of their:
                      market potential, and
                      ability to generate profits and cash flows for the business.
               The Boston Consulting Group matrix (or BCG matrix) is a model that can be used
               to assess which products should be developed for future growth, and whether a
               business entity has an appropriate mix of products for achieving future growth. It
               incorporates the concept of the product life cycle. It is useful for companies that
               provide a number of different products (or services) for different markets.
               The BCG matrix can be drawn as a 2 × 2 matrix, which ‘maps’ each product that
               a company sells, in terms of:
                      the expected growth in the market as a whole, and
                      the share of the total market that is currently held by the company’s
                       product.
       5.2     Categories of product in the BCG matrix
               Products are categorised into four types:
                      stars
                      cash cows
                      dogs
                      question marks.
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               Stars
               Stars are products where the market is growing at a fast rate, and the product
               enjoys a large share of the total market. They are normally new products. Stars
               might not yet be profitable, but new investment in the product should provide high
               financial returns in the future. Entities need ‘stars’ in order to succeed in the
               future, and so should invest in them.
               Because the market is strong and growing, there are no problems with over-
               capacity in production and over-supply to the market. This means that the
               company has some control over prices that it can charge. (It may choose
               between a pricing strategy of ‘market penetration’ or ‘market skimming’. These
               pricing strategies are explained in another chapter.)
               A ‘star’ product has more potential for profits, and it is worthwhile to invest more
               money in the product, to increase sales.
               Eventually when the growth in sales slows down, a star will become a cash cow.
               In other words, a product that is a star early in its life cycle will become a cash
               cow during the mature stage of the product’s life.
               Cash cows
               Cash cows are products where the market is growing slowly, or is not growing at
               all, and the product enjoys a large share of the total market. These products are
               very profitable and provide large cash inflows for the entity. Every company
               needs cash cows to survive in the long-term. The cash from cash cows helps to
               finance investment in stars. Eventually, cash cows must be replaced when the
               product reaches the end of its economic life.
               The strategy for a cash cow should be maintaining and protecting the position of
               the product in its market, and to keep costs under control (or reduce costs). The
               strategy should not be to seek more sales growth, because the product has no
               further growth potential (or very little further growth potential).
               Dogs
               Dogs are products where the market is growing slowly, or is not growing at all,
               and the product has only a small share of the total market. These products are
               often (but not always) losing money. The correct strategic decision is usually to
               withdraw the product from the market.
               Question marks
               Question marks (also called ‘problem children’) are products where the market is
               growing at a fast rate, but the company’s product has only a small share of the
               total market. These products are currently losing money. New investment in
               ‘dogs’ (for example, more investment in research and development or marketing)
               might turn a ‘question mark’ into a ‘star’, but there is also a risk that it will become
               a ‘dog’ when the growth in the market slows down. Investing in these products
               will be a strategic gamble.
       5.3     Structure of the BCG matrix
               A BCG matrix is shown below. The individual products (or business units) can be
               plotted in the matrix as a circle. The size of the circle shows the relative money
               value of sales for the product. A large circle represents a product with large
               annual sales.
               The position of the products in each quadrant also shows the relative rate of
               growth in the total market, and the relative share that the company’s product has
               in the total market.
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                                                    Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
                 Illustration: BCG matrix
       5.4     Using the BCG matrix for planning and performance measurement
               Companies can use the BCG matrix to analyse the range of products that it sells,
               and to plan its future investment in products. The aim should be to ensure that
               there is a sufficient investment in ‘stars’, and that cash cows will generate enough
               cash flow to finance most or all of this investment.
               To carry out an analysis, information is needed for each product about:
                      Total market size
                      Rate of growth in the total market
                      The company’s share of the total market
                      Changes in the company’s share of the total market.
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Performance management
                 Example: BCG matrix
                 A company produces five different products, and sells each product in a different
                 market.
                 The management accountant has obtained the following information about
                 market size and market share for each product. It consists of actual data for each
                 of the last three years and forecasts for the next two years.
                                                                                   Next
                                            Year - 2 Last year      Current        year
                                                      Year -1        year         Year + 1 Year + 2
                                            Actual    Actual        Actual        Forecast Forecast
                       Product 1
                       Total market size
                       (₦ million)               50         58            65               75            84
                       Product 1 sales            2          2            2.5               3            3.5
                       Product 2
                       Total market size
                       (₦ million)              150         152          149             153            154
                       Product 2 sales           78          77           80              82             82
                       Product 3
                       Total market size
                       (₦ million)               40         50             60              70             80
                       Product 3 sales            3          5              8              10             12
                       Product 4
                       Total market size
                       (₦ million)               60         61             61              61             60
                       Product 4 sales            2          2              2               2              2
                       Product 5
                       Total market size
                       (₦ million)              100         112          125             140            150
                       Product 5 sales            4           5           5.5              6             6.5
                 In the current year, the market share of the market leader, or the nearest
                 competitor to the company, has been estimated as follows:
                                             Market share of market leader or the company’s
                                                           nearest competitor
                       Market for:                                 %
                       Product 1                                  37
                       Product 2                                  26
                       Product 3                                  12
                       Product 4                                  29
                       Product 5                                  20
                 Required
                 (a)      Using the Boston Consulting Group model, how should each of these
                          products be classified?
                 (b)      How might this analysis help the management of the company to make
                          strategic decisions about its future products and markets (‘product-market
                          strategy’)?
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                                                    Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
                 Answer
                 A star is a product in a market that is growing quickly, where the company’s
                 product has a large market share or where the market share is increasing.
                 Product 3 appears to be a star. The total market is expected to double in size
                 between Year – 2 and Year + 2. The expected market share in two years’ time is
                 15%, compared with 7.5% in Year – 2. Its market share in the current year is over
                 13%, which makes it the current market leader.
                 A cash cow is a product in a market that has little or no growth. The market
                 share, however, is normally quite high, and the product is therefore able to
                 contribute substantially to operational cash flows. Product 2 appears to be a cash
                 cow. In the current year its market share was over 53%, and it is the market
                 leader.
                 A dog is a product in a market with no growth, and where the product has a low
                 share of the market. Dogs are likely to be loss-making and its cash flows are
                 probably negative. Product 4 appears to be a dog. The total market size is not
                 changing, and the market share for product 4 is only about 3%. This is much less
                 than the 29% market share of the market leader.
                 A question mark is a product with a fairly low market share in a market that is
                 growing fairly quickly. Product 1 appears to be a question mark. The total market
                 is growing quite quickly, but the market share of Product 1 is about 4% and this is
                 not expected to change. Product 5 also appears to be a question mark, for the
                 same reason.
                 The company should decide on its strategy for the products it will sell.
                 It should benefit from the cash flows generated by its only cash cow, Product 2.
                 It should invest in its star, Product 3, with the objective that this will eventually
                 become a cash cow.
                 It should give serious consideration to abandoning its dog, Product 4, and
                 withdrawing from the market.
                 It has to make a decision about its two question marks, Product 1 and Product 5.
                 The main question is whether either of these products can become a star and
                 cash cow. Additional investment and a change of strategy for these products
                 might be necessary, in order to increase market share.
                 For all the products (with the exception of Product 4, if this is abandoned) the
                 company should also consider ways of making the products more profitable.
                 Techniques such as value chain analysis might help to identify cost savings.
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Performance management
       5.5     Weaknesses in BCG model analysis
               There are several criticisms of the BCG model.
                      The BCG model assumes that the competitive strength of a product in its
                       market depends on its market share, and the attractiveness of a market for
                       new investment depends only on the rate of sales growth in the market.
                       Unless a product can achieve a large share of the market, it is not
                       sufficiently competitive. Unless a market is growing quickly enough, it is not
                       worthwhile to invest more money in it. It can be argued that these
                       assumptions are incorrect.
                             A product can have a strong competitive position in its market, even
                              with a low market share. Competitive strength can be provided by
                              factors such as product quality, brand name or brand reputation, or
                              low costs.
                             A company might benefit from investing in an industry or market
                              where sales growth is low.
                      It might be difficult to define the market.
                             There might be problems with defining the geographical area of the
                              market. A market might be defined in terms of a single country, a
                              region of a country or as an international or global market.
                             It might also be difficult to identify which products are competing with
                              each other. For example, the total market for cars may be divided into
                              different categories of car, but there may be problems in deciding
                              which models of car belong to each category.
                      It might be that the BCG matrix is better for analysing the performance of
                       strategic business units (SBUs) and market segments. It is not so useful for
                       analysing entire markets, which might consist of many different market
                       segments.
                      It might be difficult to define what is meant by ‘high rate’ and ‘low rate’ of
                       growth in the market. Similarly, it might be difficult to define what is meant
                       by ‘high’ market share and ‘low’ market share.
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                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
6      VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             Creating value and competitive advantage
             The value chain
             A value chain for a company handling physical resources
       6.1     Creating value and competitive advantage
               A business is often organised into a series of departments or divisions each of
               which might undertake a different function. In practice value is added by a series
               of activities and processes which occur in a coordinated way. These activities
               and processes must be linked effectively to add value.
               Value chain analysis is a model that gives insight into such business integration.
               Value relates to the benefit that a customer obtains from a product or service.
               Value is provided by the attributes of the product or service. Customers are
               willing to pay money to obtain goods or services because of the benefits they
               receive. The price they are willing to pay puts a value on those benefits.
                      A customer will often be willing to pay more for something that provides
                       more value.
                      Given a choice between two competing products or services, a customer
                       will select the one that provides more value (in terms of value for money,
                       quality, reliability, functions, convenience, and so on).
               Business entities create added value when they make goods and provide
               services. For example, if a business entity buys a quantity of components for
               ₦1,000 and converts them into a wrist watch that it sells for ₦10,000, it has
               created value of ₦9,000.
               In a competitive market, the most successful companies are those that are best
               at creating value. Michael Porter has argued that companies in a competitive
               market must seek competitive advantage over their rivals. They do this by
               creating more value and by creating value more effectively, more efficiently or at
               less cost.
               Porter suggested that an entity can adopt either of two competitive strategies:
                      a cost leadership strategy, where its aim is to create the same value as its
                       competitors in the products it makes or the services it provides, but at a
                       lower cost;
                      a differentiation strategy, where its aim is to create more value than its
                       competitors, for a competing product or service, so that customers are
                       willing to pay more to buy it.
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Performance management
       6.2     The value chain
               Porter (Competitive Strategy) developed the concept of the value chain. A value
               chain refers to inter-connected activities that create value. He argued that
               activities within an organisation can be analysed into different categories.
                      Value can be created by any of these activities.
                      Management should analyse these value-creating activities to identify
                       where the organisation was most effective at creating value, and where it
                       was least effective.
                      Similarly, management can identify which activities give them a competitive
                       advantage over rivals.
               By analysing value-creating activities, decisions can be made about:
                      how the creation of value can be improved
                      how to improve a competitive advantage over rivals, and
                      whether some activities should be stopped because they cost more than
                       the value they create.
       6.3     A value chain for a company handling physical resources
               Porter’s value chain is most commonly associated with the analysis of value
               creation in a company that handles physical resources, such as a manufacturing
               company or a retailing company.
               Value-creating activities are grouped into two broad categories:
                      primary activities; and
                      support activities.
               These are divided into five primary activities and four support activities.
                 Illustration: Porter’s value chain
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                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
               Most value is usually created in the primary value chain.
                      Inbound logistics. These are the activities concerned with receiving and
                       handling purchased materials and components, and storing them until
                       needed.
                      Operations. These are the activities concerned with converting the
                       purchased materials into an item that customers will buy. In a
                       manufacturing company, operations might include machining, assembly,
                       packing, testing and equipment maintenance.
                      Outbound logistics. These are activities concerned with the storage of
                       finished goods before sale, and the distribution and delivery of goods (or
                       services) to the customers.
                      Marketing and sales.
                      Service. These are all the activities that occur after the point of sale, such
                       as installation, repairs and maintenance, and after-sales service.
               The nature of the activities in the value chain varies from one industry to another,
               and there are also differences between the value chain of manufacturers,
               retailers and other service industries. However, the concept of the primary value
               chain is valid for all types of business entity.
               It is important to recognise that value is added by all the activities on the primary
               value chain, including logistics. Customers might be willing to pay more for a
               product or a service if it is delivered to them in a more convenient way. For
               example, customers might be willing to pay more for household shopping items if
               the items are delivered to their home, so that they do not have to go out to a
               supermarket or a store to get them.
               Secondary value chain activities: support activities
               In addition to the primary value chain activities, there are also secondary
               activities or support activities. Porter identified these as:
                      Procurement. These are activities concerned with buying the resources for
                       the entity – materials, plant, equipment and other assets.
                      Technology development. These are activities related to any
                       development in the technological systems of the entity, such as product
                       design (research and development) and IT systems.
                      Human resources management. These are the activities concerned with
                       recruiting, training, developing and rewarding people in the organisation.
                      Corporate infrastructure. This relates to the organisation structure and its
                       management systems, including planning and finance management.
                      Support activities are often seen as necessary ‘overheads’ to support the
                       primary value chain, but value can also be created by support activities. For
                       example:
                             procurement can add value by identifying a cheaper source of
                              materials or equipment
                             technology development can add value to operations with the
                              introduction of a new IT system
                             human resources management can add value by improving the skills
                              of employees through training.
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Performance management
                 Primary activities          Examples
                 Inbound logistics           Delivery systems for materials and components,
                                             warehouses for accepting deliveries
                 Operations                  For a manufacturing company, manufacturing
                                             operations and methods: total quality management
                                             methods, just-in-time production methods and so
                                             on.
                 Outbound logistics          Warehousing for finished goods, methods of
                                             delivering goods to customers
                 Marketing and sales         Advertising and sales promotion methods, taking
                                             and processing sales orders, pricing
                 Service                     After-sales service, handling customer queries and
                                             complaints
                 Support activities          Examples
                 Firm infrastructure         Centralised/decentralised management structure,
                                             size of head office, head office services, size of
                                             management        hierarchy,     decision-making
                                             processes
                 Human relations             Recruitment policies, training policies, incentive
                 management                  (bonus) pay arrangements, employee skill levels
                 Technology development      Use of IT and IT systems, age of IT systems, use
                                             of e-commerce
                 Procurement                 Choice of suppliers, arrangements with suppliers,
                                             just-in-time purchasing, negotiation of prices,
                                             credit terms and discounts with suppliers.
               For each individual activity listed within each of these categories of activity, it
               should be possible to analyse what the company does well (creating value) and
               what it does less effectively.
               It is also possible to use value chain analysis to identify the information
               requirements for each activity, to ensure that it can create value.
© Emile Woolf International                       880         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
7      SWOT ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             The nature of SWOT analysis
             Strengths and weaknesses
             Threats and opportunities
             Preparing a SWOT analysis
             Strategic management accounting and SWOT analysis
       7.1     The nature of SWOT analysis
               SWOT analysis is a technique used in strategic planning for identifying key
               factors that might affect business strategy. These factors are both internal to the
               company and external, in its environment. SWOT analysis can be used in the
               strategic planning process to analyse the company’s capabilities and core
               competencies (or lack of them) and also to carry out an environmental analysis.
               SWOT analysis is an analysis of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and
               threats.
                      S      Strengths. Strengths are internal strengths that come from the
                              resources of the entity.
                      W      Weaknesses. Weaknesses are internal weaknesses in the resources
                              of the entity.
                      O      Opportunities. Opportunities are factors in the external environment
                              that might be exploited, to the entity’s strategic advantage.
                      T      Threats. Threats are factors in the external environment that create
                              an adverse risk for the entity’s future prospects.
               Strengths and weaknesses are concerned with the internal capabilities and core
               competencies of an entity. Threats and opportunities are concerned with factors
               and developments in the environment.
               In order to prepare a SWOT analysis, it is necessary to:
                      analyse the internal resources of the entity, and try to identify strong points
                       and weak points
                      analyse the external environment, and try to identify opportunities and
                       threats.
       7.2     Strengths and weaknesses
               Strengths and weaknesses relate to factors within the entity, such as the strength
               and weaknesses of its processes and systems, its resources, its management
               and its track record of success or failure in the past.
               Senior management in a company might have their own opinion of the strengths
               and weaknesses of the company, but a management information system should
               be able to provide measured and reliable information about strengths or
               weaknesses.
               The table below contains examples of activities, processes and resources where
               there might be strengths or weaknesses that could have strategic significance.
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Performance management
                 Products and brands                   Strength of the brand name
                                                       Quality of products (or services)
                                                       The portfolio of products, assessed in
                                                       terms of (1) stages in their life cycle, or
                                                       (2) a Boston Consulting Group portfolio
                                                       analysis
                                                       Profitability and return on capital
                                                       Contribution to cash flow
                 Research and development              Number of innovations
                                                       Success rate for new innovations
                                                       Speed of innovation: speed in
                                                       responding to new products of
                                                       competitors
                                                       Costs
                 Marketing                             Abilities of the sales force
                                                       Success in the past in selling products
                                                       Efficiency of ‘channels of distribution’ –
                                                       making the product available to
                                                       customers
                                                       Network of intermediaries – retail stores,
                                                       agents or distributors
                                                       Market size
                                                       Market share
                                                       Numbers of regular customers
                                                       Customer service operations
                 Distribution/delivery                 Location of distribution centres
                                                       Cost of distribution
                                                       Fleet of delivery vehicles
                 Finance                               Availability    of    long-term    capital
                                                       Availability of short-term funding (cash)
                                                       Profitability
                                                       Operational cash flows
                                                       Return on investment
                                                       Credit control, collection of receivables,
                                                       bad debts
                 Assets (buildings, equipment)         Type and value of assets
                                                       Quality    of     assets
                                                       Production capacity
                                                       Location of assets
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                                                 Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
                 Employees and managers                Skills and experience
                                                       Training
                                                       Loyalty
                                                       Motivation
                                                       Industrial relations
                 Organisation and management           Centralised/decentralised management
                                                       Management style
                                                       Information systems
                 Suppliers and inventory               Relationship with key suppliers
                                                       Storage capacity for inventory
                                                       Speed of inventory turnover
       7.3     Threats and opportunities
               An information system should provide information to management about threats
               and opportunities in the environment. The sources of this information are outside
               the entity itself. There might be a wide range of information sources, such as
               official publications, newspaper reports, government statistics, physical
               observation of competitors and customers, and discussions with suppliers.
               The nature of threat and opportunities in the environment can be classified into
               several broad groups. One method of classification is known as PESTEL:
                 Political threats and                 Government regulations, for example,
                 opportunities                         towards giving permission for new
                                                       business developments and construction
                                                       projects.
                                                       Government policy, for example towards
                                                       government spending programmes.
                                                       Consequences of a change of
                                                       government.
                 Economic threats and                  Economic change: rate of economic
                 opportunities                         growth or recession
                                                       Exchange rates
                                                       Interest rates
                                                       Anti-monopoly regulations
                                                       Rate of inflation
                                                       Taxation
                 Social threats and opportunities      Social change: for example changes in
                                                       the age distribution of the population
                                                       Cultural change: for example, changes in
                                                       leisure activities
                                                       Movements in the population
                 Technological threats and             Any technological or scientific
                 opportunities                         development
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Performance management
                 Environmental threats and          Cost and availability of forms of energy
                 opportunities
                                                    Pollution
                                                    Preservation of the environment:
                                                    sustainable business
                 Legal threats and opportunities    New laws
                                                    Decisions by a court of law
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       7.4     Preparing a SWOT analysis
               A SWOT analysis might be presented as four lists, in a cruciform chart, as
               follows: (Illustrative items have been inserted, for a small company producing
               pharmaceuticals).
                 Example: SWOT analysis
                       Strengths                              Weaknesses
                       Extensive research knowledge           Slow progress with research
                       Highly-skilled scientists in the       projects
                       work force                             Poor record of converting
                       High investment in advanced            research projects into new
                       equipment                              product development
                       Patents on six products                Recent increase in labour
                                                              turnover
                       High profit margins
                       Opportunities                          Threats
                       Strong growth in total market          Recent merger of two major
                       demand                                 competitors
                       New scientific discoveries have        Risk of stricter regulation of new
                       not yet been fully exploited           products
               In order to prepare a SWOT analysis, it is necessary to:
                      analyse the internal resources of the entity, and try to identify strong points
                       and weak points
                      analyse the external environment, and try to identify opportunities and
                       threats.
       7.5     Strategic management accounting and SWOT analysis
               Management accounting systems should be able to support SWOT analysis by
               management, by providing relevant information. Much of this information can be
               quantified.
               In the example above of the pharmaceuticals company, it should be possible to
               provide quantified data about items such as:
                      time to complete research projects
                      percentage of research projects that move on to a development phase
                      amount invested in capital equipment
                      labour turnover rates (compared to average labour turnover in the industry)
                      profit margins
                      growth in total market demand and annual sales.
© Emile Woolf International                          885           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
8      ANSOFF’S GROWTH VECTOR ANALYSIS
         Section overview
          Four product market strategies for growth
          Market penetration strategy
             Product development strategy (innovation strategy)
             Market development strategy
             Diversification strategy
             Ansoff’s growth vector and gap analysis
             Management information
       8.1     Four product market strategies for growth
               Ansoff’s growth vector analysis (Ansoff’s grid) is another model for strategic
               development and growth.
               The Ansoff growth vector might be presented as follows:
                 Illustration: Ansoff’s grid
               The model identifies four strategies for developing products and markets in order
               to grow the business.
               The four strategies are as follows:
                      Market penetration
                      Product development (innovation)
                      Market development
                      Diversification
       8.2     Market penetration strategy
               This is a strategy of trying to gain higher sales in the entity’s current markets with
               its existing products. Market penetration is achievable:
                      when the total market is growing, or
                      by increasing market share.
               For example, a company providing mobile telephone services might pursue a
               market penetration strategy, by trying to sell to more customers. This is possible
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               if the total demand for mobile telephone services is increasing, or by taking
               market share from competitors.
               A market penetration strategy is a low-risk strategy, and is unlikely to result in a
               high rate of sales growth. The product is not altered and there is no attempt to
               find new markets for the product.
       8.3     Product development strategy (innovation strategy)
               This is a strategy for growth that involves developing new products for existing
               markets and customers. For example, a software company might develop a new
               product or enhanced product that it tries to sell to its existing customers.
               Similarly, a car manufacturer might develop a new model of car, which it then
               tries to sell to its existing customers.
       8.4     Market development strategy
               This is a strategy of trying to enter new markets for the entity’s existing products.
               In other words, it is a strategy of selling current products to new customers by
               finding a new market, or a new market segment. For example:
                      a supermarkets company might try to increase its sales by entering the
                       market for Internet shopping and home delivery
                      a company might grow by trying to enter markets in other countries.
       8.5     Diversification strategy
               This is a strategy of developing new products for new markets. A diversification
               strategy is a high-risk strategy, because the company needs to develop a new
               product that will meet customer needs successfully, but it does not yet have
               much knowledge or understanding of customers in the market and what their
               needs might be.
               There are two types of diversification:
                      Related diversification, where the business entity develops new products
                       and markets that are in a related industry. For example, a manufacturer of
                       ice cream might diversify into producing soft drinks.
                      Unrelated diversification, where the business entity develops new
                       products and markets that are in an industry where it has no previous
                       experience. For example, a manufacturer of ice cream might diversify into
                       making and selling shoes.
               Unrelated diversification is usually a much higher-risk strategy than related
               diversification. However, even a strategy of related diversification can be a high
               risk.
       8.6     Ansoff’s growth vector and gap analysis
               Ansoff’s growth vector can be used together with gap analysis. Gap analysis is
               the analysis of the difference between a strategic target and the expected
               performance that will be achieved without any new strategies.
               For example, a company might measure the gap between the profits it would like
               to make in five years’ time and the profits it would expect to make if it did not
               undertake any new growth strategy.
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Performance management
               Having estimated the size of the profit gap, the company can then consider
               growth strategies to increase profitability. The contribution of each growth
               strategy to profits can be estimated. Together, a combination of growth strategies
               might enable a company to close the profit gap and pursue strategies that will
               enable it to meet its targets.
                 Illustration: Strategies to fill the profit gap
       8.7     Management information
               Management should be provided with information that helps them to monitor the
               success of their growth strategy. The items of information that might be provided
               include:
                      Potential market demand
                      Market size
                      Market share
                      Information about competitors and their products
                      Pricing information
                      Information about costs
                      Information about required investment and financing
                      Estimated returns from a chosen strategy
                      The risks in the chosen strategy.
© Emile Woolf International                        888         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
9      MARKETING
         Section overview
             The marketing approach
             Customer needs
             The 4Ps of the marketing mix
             C Analysis
       9.1     The marketing approach
               As stated earlier, markets can be defined by their customers and potential
               customers. Companies and other business entities compete with each other in a
               market to sell goods and services to the customers. The most profitable entities
               are likely to be those that sell their goods or services most successfully.
               Business success is achieved by providing goods or services to customers in a
               way that meets customer needs successfully.
               Customers will buy from the business entities that meet their needs most
               successfully.
               Much business strategy is based (partly) on the marketing approach or the
               marketing concept, which is that the aim of a business entity is to deliver
               products or services to customers in a way that meets customer needs better
               than competitors. To do this, the business entity must have a competitive
               advantage over its competitors, and a strategic aim is to achieve a competitive
               advantage, and then keep it.
       9.2     Customer needs
               Customers buy products or services for a reason. When they can choose
               between two or more competing products, there is a reason why they choose one
               product instead of another.
               A major factor in the decision to buy a product is usually price. Many customers
               choose the product that is the cheapest on offer, particularly when they cannot
               see any significant difference between the competing products.
               If the buying decision is not based entirely on price, the customer must have
               other needs that the product or service provides. These could be:
                      a better-quality product;
                      better design features;
                      availability: not having to wait to obtain the product;
                      convenience of purchase;
                      the influence of advertising or sales promotions.
               There are many different types of customer, each with their own particular needs.
               A product that meets the needs of one customer successfully might not meet the
               needs of another customer nearly as well.
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Performance management
               Customers may be grouped into three broad types:
                      consumers: these buy products and services for their personal benefit or
                       use;
                      industrial and commercial customers: customers might include other
                       business entities;
                      government organisations and agencies.
               In some markets, most customers are consumers. In industrial markets, all
               customers are industrial and commercial customers, and possibly some
               government customers. In some markets, such as the markets for military
               weapons, the only customers are governments.
               As a general rule, the needs of different types of customer vary. Industrial and
               commercial customers are more likely than consumers to be influenced by price.
               Consumers will often pay more for a branded product (due to the influence of
               advertising) or for convenience.
       9.3     The 4Ps of the marketing mix
               The marketing approach is to identify customer needs and try to meet customer
               needs more successfully than competitors. To do this, business entities need to
               offer or provide a ‘mix’ of the four Ps that will appeal to customers. The 4Ps are:
                      Product
                      Price
                      Place
                      Promotion.
               Product refers to the design features of the product, and the product quality. In
               addition to the product itself, features such as short lead time for delivery and
               reliable delivery could be important. Product features also include after-sales
               service and warranties. For services, the quality of service might depend partly
               on the technical skills and inter-personal skills of the service provider.
               Price is the selling price for the product: some customers might be persuaded to
               purchase by a low price or by the offer of an attractive discount.
               Place refers to the way in which the customer obtains the product or service, or
               the ‘channel of distribution’. Products might be bought in a shop or supermarket,
               from a specialist supplier, by means of direct delivery to the customer’s premises
               or through the internet.
               Promotion refers to the way in which product is advertised and promoted. It
               includes direct selling by a sales force (including telesales).
               Marketing can be analysed at a tactical level, and decisions about the marketing
               mix might be included within the annual marketing budget. However, marketing
               issues can also be analysed at a strategic level.
               It is important in strategic analysis to understand what customers will want to buy,
               and why some products or services will be more successful than others.
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       9.4     C Analysis
               Once the goals and targets of the marketing effort are known the next step is to
               develop the marketing strategy.
               The 5 Cs provides a useful framework for constructing a marketing strategy.
               Customer: The needs of customers that are to be met must be determined.
               Information should be gathered on market segments, benefits the customer
               wants, whether value of the benefits outweigh the costs, frequency of purchases,
               quantity of purchases, retail channels, and needs based on trends over time.
               Company: – Whether the company can meet those customer needs must be
               determined. For example, does the company have the right product line and/or
               technical expertise? SWOT analysis can be used to answer these questions.
               Competition: – Determine who competes with the company in meeting the
               customers’ needs:
                      Is it an active competitor or a potential threat?
                      What is their offering?
                      What are their strengths and weaknesses?
               Collaborators: Determine if there is any outside source that can help the
               company such as distributors, suppliers, etc.
               Context: Determine if there are any limitations due to factors in the environment
               (for example, regulations, taxation etc.).
© Emile Woolf International                         891           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
10 BENCHMARKING
          Section overview
           The purpose of benchmarking
           The potential benefits of benchmarking
             Methods of benchmarking
             Internal benchmarking: league tables
             Competitive benchmarking
             Process benchmarking
           Customer benchmarking
           Strategic benchmarking
             Functional benchmarking
             Product benchmarking (reverse engineering)
             Requirements for successful benchmarking
             Problems with benchmarking
   10.1        The purpose of benchmarking
               Benchmarking is a process of setting standards or targets for products, services
               or work processes with reference to organisations that are recognised as models
               of ‘best practice’. A benchmark is an organisation that provides the ‘best practice’
               for comparison. An entity uses benchmarking to evaluate its own products,
               services or work processes by comparing them with the ‘best practice’ of the
               benchmark organisation.
               The purpose of benchmarking is to identify measures that need to be taken to
               improve or change, so that the organisation becomes as good as, or better than,
               the benchmark.
               Definition of benchmarking
               ‘Benchmarking is the continuous process of measuring products, services and
               practices against the toughest competitors or the companies recognised as
               industry leaders (“best in class”)’ (The Xerox Company).
               The benchmarking process
               Benchmarking should be a continuous process, and it usually consists of the
               following stages:
                      Identify aspects of performance that should be compared with a
                       ‘benchmark partner’.
                      Select a suitable benchmark (a ‘benchmark partner’).
                      Compare the product, service or process with the benchmark.
                      Identify gaps in performance between the benchmark and the entity’s own
                       product, service or process.
                      Identify changes that can be made to improve performance.
                      Implement the improvements.
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                                                    Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
                      Monitor the success of the changes in improving performance, and
                       measure the benefits.
   10.2        The potential benefits of benchmarking
               Benchmarking can offer several benefits.
                      It can be used to identify aspects of performance that are weak, where
                       improvements are necessary.
                      It can be used to set targets for improvement that are realistic and
                       practicable.
                      It can be used to look at practices in companies in different industries, and
                       to learn from them.
                      It encourages continuous improvement: benchmarking encourages
                       managers and employees to make improvements, and to believe that
                       changes are necessary.
   10.3        Methods of benchmarking
               There are several methods of benchmarking:
                      internal benchmarking
                      competitive benchmarking
                      process benchmarking
                      customer benchmarking.
               Benchmarking can also be grouped into the following categories:
                      strategic benchmarking
                      functional benchmarking
                      ‘best practices’ benchmarking (process benchmarking)
                      product benchmarking.
   10.4        Internal benchmarking: league tables
               Internal benchmarking uses a benchmark inside the organisation itself. Other
               parts of the same organisation are compared with the benchmark.
               For example, a company might have several regional or area offices. The best-
               performing regional office might be taken as a benchmark, and the other regional
               offices are compared with it. The benchmarking exercise should identify the
               reasons why each region has not performed as well as the benchmark. When the
               reasons for the worse performance are recognised, plans can be made to deal
               with the problems and achieve improvements.
               League tables
               One method of making internal benchmarking comparisons is to establish a
               league table. Points may be awarded for various aspects of performance, and for
               each profit centre or division, a total points score is calculated, depending on
               how well or badly it has performed for each of the aspects.
               A league table may then be published, with the ‘winners’ scoring the most points
               and the ‘losers’ at the bottom of the league table.
© Emile Woolf International                        893           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               League tables may also be used within the not-for-profit sector. In the UK for
               example, state-owned schools are ranked within league tables, according to their
               relative success or failure in major national examinations.
               The use of league tables is intended to encourage improvements in performance
               through competition – no division wants to be at the bottom of the table and many
               will want to be at the top.
               In principle, each division is measured according to the same key or critical
               measures of performance, and the system should therefore be ‘fair’. However,
               many local’ factors will affect the performance of a particular division. In
               comparing the performance of schools, for example, much depends on the
               quality of the students, and it is unfair to compare the performance of a state
               school in a prosperous neighbourhood with the performance of a school in a
               ‘ghetto’ community.
               A further problem is that divisional managers may be made responsible for
               aspects of performance that are outside their control, especially where the level
               of performance involves the co-operation between two or more divisions. It is
               unfair to assess the performance of a division on factors that are outside the
               control of its management.
               Finally, league tables (like other measures of performance) encourage ‘cheating’,
               such as trying to hide unfavourable data. Divisional managers may also take
               action to improve short-term performance even if this has adverse implications for
               longer-term results. The league tables may therefore become the main focus for
               management, instead of the actual performance levels that the league tables are
               trying to encourage.
   10.5        Competitive benchmarking
               Competitive benchmarking uses a successful competitor as the benchmark. A
               company compares its own products and systems with those of the competitor,
               and the purpose is to discover the reasons why the competitor is more
               successful.
               When the reasons are identified, plans can be made to improve competitiveness,
               either by copying what the competitor does, or devising new products or systems
               that are even better than those of the competitor.
               Comparing yourself with the main competitors makes good sense in a
               competitive business environment. A practical difficulty with competitive
               benchmarking, however, may be a lack of detailed information about the
               competitor.
                      It should be possible to fully analyse a competitor’s products – by buying
                       them and looking at them in close detail.
                      However, it may be more difficult to study a competitor’s systems and
                       methods of operation in detail. For example, a competitor may have a
                       superior system for handling customers’ calls, or a more efficient
                       warehousing system, or a better order processing and despatch system. A
                       rival company will not be allowed to examine these systems in detail.
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                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
                 Example: Benchmarking
                 Benchmarking began with the Xerox Corporation in the US in 1982. Xerox, a
                 manufacturer of photocopier machines, was in financial difficulties and losing
                 market share to Japanese competitors, who were selling high-quality
                 photocopiers at a much lower price.
                 Xerox set up a management team that:
                 1.    identified key performance indicators for operations such as order fulfilment,
                       distribution, production costs, retail selling prices and product features, and
                 2.    compared the performance of Xerox in each of these areas against those of
                       its most successful competitors.
                 Xerox used the findings of its benchmarking exercise to identify areas for
                 improvement. Improvements were made, and as a result customer satisfaction
                 improved, costs were cut and Xerox improved its competitive position in the
                 market.
                 Other companies followed the example of Xerox, and benchmarking became an
                 established practice for performance measurement.
                 Example: Competitive benchmarking
                 In 1991, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and J D Power and Associates
                 published a survey of car manufacturing plants in Japan, the USA and Europe.
                 Japanese car production was used as a benchmark, and the survey found that
                 productivity was much higher in Japan (where the average time to produce a car
                 was 16.2 man hours) than in Europe (where the average time to produce one car
                 was 36.2 man hours).
                 The survey analysed possible reasons for the superior performance of Japanese
                 producers, and made comparisons of performance in the areas of training time
                 for new employees, absenteeism and the number of defects per vehicle
                 produced.
                 The survey provided useful information for US and European car producers, but
                 they had a huge gap to close before they could begin to compete effectively with
                 their Japanese competitors.
               Problems with competitive benchmarking
               There are several problems with benchmarking the performance of a business
               against its competitors.
               To benchmark effectively it is necessary to obtain meaningful and reliable
               comparative information about the performance of the competitor. Much of this
               information, particularly non-financial information, will be unavailable unless the
               competitor is willing to provide it. If the competitor is a private company and is not
               required to publish detailed financial statements, comparative financial
               information may also be difficult to obtain.
               There is no reason why a competitor should agree to provide information, unless
               they too are interested in benchmarking and so would be willing to consider
               information sharing. The risk of handing over confidential information to a
               competitor, or providing information that could give a competitor some marketing
               advantage, is likely to make any company unwilling to agree to such a scheme.
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Performance management
               There are some organisations that specialise in taking financial information from
               firms in the same industry, and providing ‘inter-firm comparisons’ for the
               participants, without giving away sensitive information about any individual
               company. However in practice most inter-firm comparison is carried out between
               quoted companies by stock market analysts.
               The cost of benchmarking might be quite high, and too large to justify the benefits
               to be obtained from a benchmarking system. To deal with this problem, it would
               be necessary to ensure that the system is kept fairly simple, and as much of the
               preparation of benchmarking comparisons as possible should be computerised.
               There may be problems with getting managers to understand the purpose and
               benefits of inter-firm comparisons. When benchmarking comparisons are
               available, managers and other employees need to be told what they should do
               with it. The purpose and use of benchmarking information would therefore have
               to be explained clearly to staff, and systems put in place for the monitoring and
               use of the information obtained.
               There may be a risk that a benchmarking exercise with competitors, if
               practicable, will be used to criticise staff for performing ‘worse’ than competitors.
               Management must ensure that the system, if put in place, does not create a
               ‘culture of blame’ that is likely to make employees defensive and resentful.
               Competitive benchmarking and competitor analysis
               Competitive benchmarking is not the same as competitor analysis. Competitor
               analysis involves a comparison by a company of its own performance with the
               performance of its main rivals. A company might draw up a ‘league table’
               consisting of itself and its competitors, with the best performer at the top of the
               table and the worst performer at the bottom. For example, in the UK, some of the
               major supermarket chains draw up a league table of prices, with the chain
               offering the cheapest prices at the top of the table and the chain with the highest-
               price food stores at the bottom.
               However, this is not benchmarking. Benchmarking is used to identify differences,
               and then to develop new ways of doing things, in order to make improvements in
               performance. The aim should be to make improvements that make the company
               better than its competitors, rather than improvements that help the company to
               close the gap with its competitors.
   10.6        Process benchmarking
               Process benchmarking is the most common method of benchmarking. It involves
               a comparison of the performance of the entity in one particular activity or process
               with the performance of another entity in a different industry. This type of
               benchmarking seeks to identify best practice anywhere, by looking at
               organisations with a reputation for excellence.
               The purpose of process benchmarking is to use a benchmarking approach to
               analyse operational systems, such as purchasing, call handling (by call centres),
               order processing, delivery systems, information systems, and so on.
               An organisation compares its own practices in an aspect of its operations with
               those of a benchmark organisation that is in an unrelated industry (and so is not
               a competitor). For example, a company may compare its warehousing and
               distribution systems with a benchmark organisation, its customer call centre
               operations or its IT system maintenance arrangements.
               A process benchmarking programme is agreed between two organisations which
               then share information about their systems and compare their performance. Each
               organisation is able to use the benchmarking process to review its systems and
               procedures, and look for ways of improving their performance.
© Emile Woolf International                       897          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               Benchmarking can be used as an approach to improving quality – in products,
               services and systems. Comparisons with the ‘best’ can provide ideas:
                      for copying the benchmark organisation, or
                      for doing something in a different way, not necessarily in exactly the same
                       way as the benchmark organisation
                 Example: Process benchmarking
                 The Xerox Company wanted to improve its performance in dealing with customer
                 orders. It identified Bean, a catalogue retailer specialising in outdoor clothing, as
                 a benchmark for excellence in this area. The two organisations, Xerox and Bean,
                 collaborated with each other in comparing their systems, exchanging information.
                 Xerox management studied the order fulfilment process at Bean and used its
                 findings to improve its own systems.
                 Process benchmarking can be very effective in helping a company to gain a
                 competitive advantage over its rivals. ‘Benchmarking … is not a method for
                 copying the best practices of competitors, but a way of seeking superior process
                 performance outside the industry. Benchmarking makes it possible to gain
                 competitive superiority rather than competitive parity.’
© Emile Woolf International                        898          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
   10.7        Customer benchmarking
               Customer benchmarking is a completely different approach. This uses the
               customer as a benchmark, by trying to establish what the customer wants and
               expects. A company can compare what a customer wants with what the company
               actually provides.
               Gaps can be identified between customer expectations and ‘reality’, and the
               company can then look for ways to close the gap.
   10.8        Strategic benchmarking
               Strategic benchmarking involves a comparison of the strategies of different
               companies. A company can compare its own strategies with those of its most
               successful competitor, or with the strategies of successful companies in other
               industries.
               Strategic benchmarking usually involves a comparison with the most successful
               competitor. A company will use benchmarking to find out why the competitor is
               more successful. A starting point for the comparison is usually a survey of
               customers and shared suppliers, to find out what the competitor does better.
               Aspects of strategy that might be considered include:
                      strategic objectives
                      core competencies
                      process capability
                      products
                      strategic alliances
                      the use of technology.
   10.9        Functional benchmarking
               Functional benchmarking is a form of competitor benchmarking. It involves a
               comparison of performance of a core business function in the company with the
               performance of the same function in a successful competitor. For example,
               functional benchmarking might involve a comparison of:
                      the sales and marketing function
                      the research and development function.
               The aim should be to find out why the competitor appears to perform this function
               more successfully, in order to identify changes and improvements that should be
               made.
               Process benchmarking compares processes in more detail.
© Emile Woolf International                       898           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                     Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management
       10.10        Product benchmarking (reverse engineering)
               Product benchmarking, also called reverse engineering, is a form of competitor
               benchmarking. It involves a comparison of an entity’s products with the products
               manufactured by its main competitors.
               The comparison will usually look at:
                      the competitor’s costs
                      product concepts
                      strengths and weaknesses in product design and quality.
               This product analysis will usually involve obtaining some products of the
               competitor and analysing them in the workshop or laboratory.
       10.11        Requirements for successful benchmarking
               There are several requirements for benchmarking to be effective as a way of
               improving competitiveness.
                      It is important to select key aspects of performance for benchmarking.
                       These are the aspects of performance that have to be successful (and
                       improved) in order to gain a competitive advantage over rivals.
                      It must be a continuous process, not a ‘once only’ exercise. Competitors do
                       not ‘stand still’, and successful competitors will continually innovate and
                       improve. It is essential to keep repeating benchmarking exercises in order
                       to avoid falling behind again as the business environment changes.
                      Benchmarking should be a method for becoming better than competitors,
                       not just for closing the gap on competitors and ‘catching up’. The aim
                       should be to achieve superior performance.
                      When benchmark partners are used for process benchmarking, the
                       collaboration should be open and honest. A company should be prepared
                       to give more information to its benchmark partner than it is hoping to obtain
                       from the benchmark partner.
       10.12        Problems with benchmarking
               There are several problems that can make it difficult to use benchmarking
               successfully.
                      It might be difficult to identify a critical process where benchmarking could
                       provide valuable information to help an entity improve its performance.
                       Benchmarking might select processes that are not critical to performance.
                       The value of any benefits achieved will therefore be small and insignificant.
                      It might be difficult to obtain reliable information for comparison with a
                       benchmark. Even when a ‘benchmark partner’ is identified for process
                       benchmarking, it could be difficult to get the ‘partner’ to agree to a
                       benchmarking exercise and then to obtain the required information.
© Emile Woolf International                         899           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
11 CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
          Explain, perform and interpret C analysis
             Explain and apply Porter’s five forces model to identify industry attractiveness
             Explain and apply the Boston Consulting Group model to identify categories of
              product (business) in a company’s portfolio
             Explain and interpret value chain analysis
             Use Ansoff’s grid to identify possible strategic directions
             Explain and apply benchmarking to compare performance against information
              provided (for example, about a competitor)
             Construct and interpret a SWOT analysis
© Emile Woolf International                       900          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                  29
   Skills level
                                                        CHAPTER
   Performance management
                               Information systems and
                              performance management
 Contents
 1 Performance management and information
 2 Sources of information
 3 Big data
 4 Recording and processing methods
 5 Information systems for performance management
 6 The effect of IT on performance management
 7 Critical success factors
 8 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International              901        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens student’s capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with
a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Students will be expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
 F     Performance and management systems
       1     Evaluate and advise management on suitable information technology and strategic
             performance management system covering:
             a    Sources of information;
             b    Information technology tools for performance management at various levels
                  (strategic, tactical and operational); and
             c    Use of internet technologies for performance management and key
                  performance indicators.
Exam context
This is the first of the performance management chapters that builds on the information
system content of the knowledge level management information paper. We start with a
reintroduction of the concepts of information and information systems. We then move on to
discussing the levels of information system in the context of performance management.
This chapter addresses the impact of IT in areas such as providers of services, management
accounting and competitive advantage before closing with a discussion on critical success
factors and key performance indicators, again in the context of information technology and
information systems.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
      Describe the types and levels of information used in performance management
       information systems
      Describe the sources of information including big data
      Explain methods of recording and processing information
      Explain, with examples, the common types of performance management systems and
       how they may be used for managing performance
      State the qualities of good information and explain concepts of reliability, accessibility,
       accuracy and security of information
      Summarise the impact IT has had on performance management with respect to
       the providers of services and management accounting
      Describe the impact IT systems have on competitive advantage
      Define critical success factor (CSFs) and key performance indicator (KPIs)
      Explain the link between CSFs and IS/IT strategy
      Describe how IS/IT is used to monitor CSFs in the achievement of targets
© Emile Woolf International                     902          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
1      PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND INFORMATION
         Section overview
          Introduction
          Using information for performance management
             Information and management decisions
             Levels of management: strategic, tactical and operational
             Levels of performance management requirements
             Qualities of good information
             Ensuring reliability and accuracy of information
             Accessibility of information
             Security of information
       1.1 Introduction
               Performance management incorporates activities that aim to ensure goals are
               consistently met in an effective and efficient manner. In order to achieve this ,
               management require reliable information systems to support them in:
                      Making appropriate decisions;
                      Reviewing the results of those decisions as a basis for future decisions and
                       performance management.
               In this chapter we re-visit the fundamentals of information systems that you
               initially encountered in the Management Information paper as the basis for
               considering information systems in the context of performance management.
       1.2 Using information for performance management
               Information is processed data. Data can be defined as facts that have not been
               assembled into a meaningful structure. Data, when processed into a structured
               form that has meaning, is regarded as information.
               Businesses use information in several ways.
                      Information is used to perform routine transactions, such as order
                       processing and invoicing.
                      Information is used to make decisions.
                      Information is also developed into knowledge that can be used to improve
                       the business.
               Managers cannot make decisions without information. However, information
               can vary in quality, and as a general rule managers will make better decisions
               when they have better quality information.
       1.3 Information and management decisions
               Decisions are taken continually in business. Routine decisions may be taken by
               any employee as a part of normal procedures. However, a specific role of
               management is to make decisions. For this, managers need information.
               Managers use information:
                      To make plans and reach planning decisions
© Emile Woolf International                        903           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                      To measure performance, and take control action on the basis of
                       comparing actual or expected performance with a target
                      To make ‘one-off’ or non-routine decisions
                      To communicate decisions to other people
                      To co-ordinate activities with other people.
       1.4 Levels of management: strategic, tactical and operational
               Management may be classified into three levels:
                      Strategic management
                      Tactical management
                      Operational management.
               These three classifications are based on the types of decision that are taken by
               management at each level. For decisions at each level of management, a
               different type of information is required.
               Strategic management
                 Definition: Strategic management
                 Strategic management is concerned with setting objectives for the organisation,
                 and developing plans (strategies) to achieve those objectives.
               The main objective of a business may be to maximise the wealth of the
               shareholders, or to achieve continuous growth in sustainable profits, or to be the
               world leader in a particular industry or market.
               Having established the main objectives of the organisation, strategic
               management is also concerned with developing strategies to achieve the
               objectives. Strategic planning (and the control of strategy) is concerned with the
               general direction that the organisation should take, in terms of the markets it
               operates in, the products or services it provides, and the resources it uses
               (money, equipment, people, and so on).
               Strategic management should have a fairly long ‘planning horizon’. The
               performance of an organisation in the short term is important, but strategic
               managers must also focus on the longer term, and the direction in which the
               organisation is going over the next few years.
               Strategic management is the function of the senior managers in an organisation.
               Tactical management
                 Definition: Tactical management
                 Tactical management has a shorter-term planning horizon than strategic
                 management. It is concerned with:
                         developing plans and making other decisions within the framework of strategic
                         decisions that have been taken by senior managers
                         monitoring actual performance to assess whether the planning targets will be
                         achieved
                         taking control action where necessary to improve performance.
© Emile Woolf International                        904          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                               Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
               If strategic planning has a planning horizon of up to, say, five to ten years (or
               longer), tactical management would have a planning horizon of up to about one
               year or so.
               Tactical management is usually associated with budgets and budgetary control,
               and similar annual plans.
               Tactical management is the function of the middle-ranking managers in an
               organisation. In organisations with a ‘flat’ management structure, however,
               tactical management decisions may be taken by either senior managers or other
               managers.
               Operational management
                 Definition: Operational management
                 Operational management is concerned with the management of day-to-day
                 operations. The planning horizon is short, and in many cases immediate decisions
                 must often be taken about what should be done.
               Operational management is often associated with supervision and front-line
               management. It includes scheduling of operations and monitoring output, such as
               daily efficiency levels.
               There isn’t a clear dividing line between tactical management and operational
               management, but essentially the differences are a matter of detail. Tactical
               management may be concerned with the performance of an entire department
               during a one-week period, whereas operational management may be concerned
               with the activities of individuals or small work groups on a daily basis.
       1.5 Levels of performance management requirements
               The requirements of performance management systems vary with the level of
               management. This concept is set out simply in the diagram below.
                              Levels of performance management requirements
© Emile Woolf International                      905           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Strategic information
               Strategic performance management needs strategic information. The
               characteristics of strategic information may be summarised as follows:
                      It is often information about the organisation as a whole, or a large part of it.
                      It is often in summary form, without too much detail.
                      It is generally relevant to the longer term.
                      It is often forward-looking.
                      The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
                       internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
                       organisation).
                      It is often prepared on an ‘ad hoc’ basis, rather than in the form of regular
                       and routine reports.
                      It may contain information of a qualitative nature as well as quantified
                       information.
                      There is often a high degree of uncertainty in the information. This is
                       particularly true when the information is forward-looking (for example, a
                       forecast) over a number of years in the future.
                 Illustration: Strategic information for performance management
                 The board of directors are concerned that the business is not sufficiently
                 diversified which is suppressing the P/E ratio. This is despite having a healthy
                 balance sheet and cash available to invest.
                 The executive information system (EIS) is used to benchmark the business’
                 against three main competitors with metrics such as:
                        P/E ratio
                        Market share and growth
                        Leverage (debt to equity ratio)
                        Employee numbers
                 The system is also used to help identify two potential take-over targets and
                 forecast what the combined business would look like, again using the above
                 metrics.
                 The board makes a decision to proceed with a take-over and continues to use the
                 EIS to monitor the impact on KPIs including the share price and P/E ratio.
                 Access to the EIS is restricted to a small number of users given the sensitivity
                 around such confidential information. The directors use a ‘dashboard’ which
                 provides highly summarised company-wide metrics and live market-data about
                 competitors.
               Tactical information
               Tactical information is used to decide how the resources of the organisation
               should be used, and to monitor how well they are being used. It is useful to relate
               tactical information to the sort of information that is contained in an annual
               budget. A budget is planning at a tactical management level, where the plan is
               expressed in financial terms.
© Emile Woolf International                           906         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                  Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
               The general features of tactical information are as follows:
                      It is often information about individual departments and operations.
                      It is often in summary form, but at a greater level of detail than strategic
                       information.
                      It is generally relevant to the short-term and medium term.
                      It may be forward-looking (for example, medium-term plans) but it is often
                       concerned with performance measurement. Control information at a tactical
                       level is often based on historical performance.
                      The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
                       internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
                       organisation), but most of the information comes from internal sources.
                      It is often prepared on a routine and regular basis (for example, monthly or
                       weekly performance reports).
                      It consists mainly of quantified information.
                      There may be some degree of uncertainty in the information. However, as
                       tactical plans are short-term or medium-term, the level of uncertainty is
                       much less than for strategic information.
                 Illustration: Tactical information for performance management
                 A management information system is used to prepare monthly management
                 accounts for divisional heads. The management accounting team prepares
                 monthly accounts during a 4-day window immediately after each calendar month-
                 end. This allows sufficient time for processing accruals, pre-payments and any
                 other manual journals.
                 The management accounting system resides on the company’s central
                 mainframe. The system is accessed by authorised finance staff only via their
                 desktop computers which are connected to the local area network.
                 The management accounting system reports underlying data directly from the
                 financial accounting system.
                 Divisional heads use the monthly management accounts to review actual
                 performance in their division versus budget and revise their annual forecast as
                 each month of the accounting year progresses.
                 The key metrics they focus on include:
                        Divisional return on investment
                        Divisional return on capital employed
                        Divisional gross and net profit margins
                        Divisional headcount
                        Divisional payroll expenses
               Operational information
               Operational information is needed to enable supervisors and front line managers
               to organise and monitor operations, and to make on-the-spot decisions whenever
               operational problems arise.
               Operational information may also be needed by employees, to process
               transactions in the course of their regular work.
© Emile Woolf International                         907            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The general features of operational information are as follows:
                      It is normally information about specific transactions, or specific jobs, tasks,
                       daily workloads, individuals or work groups. (It is ‘task-specific’.)
                      It may be summarised at a work group or section level, but is in a more
                       detailed form than tactical information.
                      It is generally relevant to the very short-term.
                      It may be forward-looking (for example, daily plans) but it is often
                       concerned with transactions, procedures and performance measurement at
                       a daily level.
                      The data that is analysed to provide the information comes almost
                       exclusively from internal sources (from sources inside the organisation).
                      It is often prepared frequently, as required for daily operational needs.
                      It consists mainly of quantified information. Most of this information is
                       ‘factual’ and is not concerned with uncertainty.
                 Illustration: Operational information for performance management
                 Zoom limited manufactures low cost furniture. Margins are tight and hence high
                 volume is required to achieve target profit.
                 The operations manager reviews the production plan at the start of each day that
                 has been automatically generated from the organisation’s integrated inventory
                 and ordering system. The report highlights any potential inventory shortages
                 which are then addressed by raising inventory requisition orders.
                 Zoom maintains a real-time perpetual inventory system which resides on the
                 central mainframe. Data is kept up-to-date as inventory inwards and stores
                 requisitions are recorded immediately by the inventory clerk.
       1.6 Qualities of good information
               The quality of the performance management information system depends on the
               quality of the information that it provides. Good information has several
               characteristics.
               Relevance (and volume)
               Information has no value unless it has a purpose and is useful. Information must
               therefore be relevant for its intended purpose.
               Some information systems process large amounts of data to provide large
               volumes of information, but not all of it is useful. There may be more information
               than a user can actually make sense of. Sometimes, the information generated
               by an information system might not be entirely relevant, and might not tell the
               user everything that he or she needs to know.
               Information systems may be designed to help the user to find relevant
               information easily and quickly, for example by searching an expert system (ES)
               or an executive information system (EIS).
© Emile Woolf International                         908          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                 Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
               Reliability
               Information must be reliable. Reliable information must be:
                      Accurate enough for its intended purpose and
                      Complete enough for its intended purpose.
               Sometimes, this means that information must be 100% accurate and 100%
               complete. However there are many occasions, particularly with strategic
               information used by senior management, that information is based on estimates
               and forecasts, or information is incomplete due to a lack of data.
               There are also occasions when the users of information systems have to apply
               their judgement and reach a decision on the basis of information available. Expert
               systems are an excellent example of this. An expert system for medicine, for
               example, might suggest several alternative courses of treatment for a patient, and
               an expert system for law might indicate several different and opposing legal
               arguments.
               Timely
               Information must be available in time for its recipient to make use of it.
               Information will be used for a purpose. Presumably, there is an ‘ideal time’ for
               using the information.
               Managers might want items of information quickly, so that they can make an
               immediate decision. Many information systems, such as expert systems and
               executive information systems, offer immediate responses to input queries.
               Speed of access to data (and the speed of a system in responding to queries) is
               often regarded as a desirable feature of an information system.
               User confidence
               Users must have confidence in their systems and the information that they
               provide. Information must therefore be realistic.
               At the moment, information systems for business have not been designed that
               are capable of removing the need for management judgement in making
               decisions. However, information does not need to be 100% accurate for users to
               have confidence in it. The user of information needs to know how reliable the
               information may be, and (as suggested above) that the information will not be
               completely wrong.
               The value of information must be more than its cost
               Information should not cost more to obtain than the value it provides.
                      Some information systems may provide information at a level of detail (or
                       accuracy) that is not required, when it would be cheaper to provide less
                       detailed (or less accurate) information to meet the user’s requirements.
                      Some information systems may provide additional information that is not
                       used at all.
                      An information system may provide information that is used, but the
                       benefits from using the information are less than the cost of obtaining it.
       1.7 Ensuring reliability and accuracy of information
               When a performance management system is designed, one of the issues facing
               the system designer is how to ensure that the quality of the information will be
               good enough to meet the requirements of the users. In particular, information
© Emile Woolf International                         909          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               must be reliable and users must have confidence in the information that the
               system provides.
               The reliability of an information system depends on three main factors.
                      The completeness of the information. Information should be obtained from
                       the appropriate sources, and it needs to be sufficiently complete. A user
                       cannot rely on information when significant items of data have not been
                       taken into consideration.
                      The Timeliness of the information. For some information systems,
                       information needs to be up-to-date. For example, an on-line theatre
                       booking system or airline travel booking system must ensure that the data
                       about seat availability is always completely up-to-date for users of the
                       system.
                      Accuracy. The information needs to be accurate enough for its purpose.
                       The accuracy of information in a computer system can be improved, if
                       required, by trying to reduce the amount of errors in the input data.
                      Data validation checks can be written into the system software. These
                       carry out checks on input data and reject (refuse to accept) items for
                       processing where there is a logical error in the input.
                      Input documents can be designed to contain as much pre-printed material
                       as possible, to reduce the number of errors in preparing the documents.
                       Similarly, when data is input by keyboard and mouse, data screens can be
                       designed to include as much pre-set data as possible, to reduce the risk of
                       keying errors by the computer operator.
       1.8 Accessibility of information
               Business information in performance management systems should also be
               readily-accessible. The user of information should be able to find it when he or
               she needs to use it.
               With developments in information technology and information systems, it is now
               common to think of ‘accessible’ information as information that can be obtained
               immediately, on demand. In particular, databases can make large amounts of
               information immediately available, especially when they are accessible through a
               computer network.
               Even ‘old’ transaction data can be made accessible through storage on an
               electronic medium.
© Emile Woolf International                       910         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                 Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
       1.9 Security of information
               Although information should be accessible to authorized users, it should also be
               kept secure, particularly from access by unauthorized users.
               Methods of keeping data secure might include:
                      Physical security. Access to computer centers may be restricted security
                       measures such as identity cards and entry cards.
                      Software security to prevent (or detect) unauthorized access, using
                       passwords, encrypted data, firewalls, and so on.
                      Anti-virus software, to prevent the corruption or destruction of data and
                       software by hackers.
                      The use of back-up files, to ensure that data is duplicated or can be re-
                       created. Back-up files ensure that the data will not be lost if the main copy
                       of a file is physically lost or destroyed, or becomes unreadable.
© Emile Woolf International                        911           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
2      SOURCES OF INFORMATION
         Section overview
             Information from internal sources
             Information from external sources
             Organising a system for providing external information
             Limitations of external information
             Costs of information
          Performance measurement systems, both for planning and for monitoring actual
          performance, rely on the provision of relevant, reliable and timely information.
          Information comes from both inside and outside the organisation.
          Traditionally, management accounting systems have been an information system
          providing financial information to managers from sources within the organisation. In
          large organisations, management accounting information might be extracted from a
          cost accounting system, which records and analyses costs.
          With the development of IT systems, management information systems have become
          more sophisticated, using large databases to hold data, from external sources as well
          as internal sources. Both financial and non-financial data are held and analysed. The
          analysis of data has also become more sophisticated, particularly through the use of
          spreadsheets and other models for planning and cost analysis (for example, activity
          based costing).
       2.1 Information from internal sources
               A control system such as a management accounting system must obtain data
               from within the organisation (from internal sources) for the purposes of planning
               and control. The system should be designed so that it captures and measures all
               the data required for providing management with the information they need.
               Potential internal sources include:
                      the financial accounting records
                      human resource records maintained in support of the payroll system
                      production information
                      sales information
                      staff (through minutes of meetings etc.)
               The essential qualities of good information are as follows:
                      Information should be relevant to the needs of management. Information
                       must help management to make decisions. Information that is not relevant
                       to a decision is of no value. An important factor in the design of information
                       systems should be the purpose of the information – what decisions should
                       be made, and what information will be needed to make those decisions?
                      Information should be reliable. This means that the data should be
                       sufficiently accurate for its purpose. It should also be complete.
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                                                  Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
                      Information should be available in a timely manner. In other words, it should
                       be available for when it is needed by management.
                      The cost of providing the information should not exceed the benefits that it
                       provides. The key factor that limits the potential size of many information
                       systems is that the cost of obtaining additional information is not justified by
                       the additional benefits that the information will provide.
               In designing a performance measurement system, and deciding what information
               is required from internal sources, these desirable qualities of good information
               should influence the design of the system.
               Traditionally, management accounting systems have obtained internal data from
               the cost accounting system and costing records. In many organisations, IT
               systems now integrate costing data with other operational data. This means that
               data is available to the management accounting system from non-accounting
               sources.
                 Example:
                 An information system might be required to provide information about the
                 profitability of different types of customer.
               The starting point for the design of this information system is the purpose of the
               information. Why is information about customer profitability needed? The answer
               might be that the company wants to know which of its customers contribute the
               most profits, and whether some customers are unprofitable. If some customers
               are unprofitable, the company will presumably consider ways of improving
               profitability (for example, by increasing prices charged to those customers) or will
               decide to stop selling to those customers.
               The next consideration is: What data are needed to measure customer
               profitability? The answer might be that customers should first be divided into
               different categories, and each category of customer should have certain unique
               characteristics. Having established categories of customer, information is needed
               about costs that are directly attributable to each category of customers. This
               might be information relating to gross profits from sales, minus the directly
               attributable selling and distribution costs (and any directly attributable
               administration costs and financing costs).
               Having established what information is required, the next step is to decide how
               the information should be ‘captured’ and measured. In this example, a system is
               needed for measuring each category of customer, sales revenues, costs of sales
               and other directly attributable costs.
               The information should be available for when management intend to review
               customer profitability. This might be every three months, six months or even
               annually.
       2.2 Information from external sources
               Managers need information about customers, competitors and other elements in
               their business environment. The management information system must be able
               to provide this in the form that managers need, and at the time that they need it.
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Performance management
               External information is needed for strategic planning and control. However, it is
               also often needed for tactical and operational management decisions.
               Examples of the external information needed by companies are set out in the
               table below.
                 Information area        Examples of information needed
                 Customers               What are the needs and expectations of customers in the
                                         market?
                                         Are these needs and expectations changing?
                                         What is the potential for our products or services to meet
                                         these needs, or to meet them better?
                 Competitors             Who are they?
                                         What are they doing?
                                         Can we copy some of their ideas?
                                         How large are they, and what is their market share?
                                         How profitable are they?
                                         What is their pricing policy?
                 Legal                   What are the regulations and laws that must be complied
                 environment             with?
                 Suppliers               What suppliers are there for key products or services?
                                         What is the quality of their products or services?
                                         What is the potential of new suppliers?
                                         What is the financial viability of each supplier?
                 Political/              Are there any relevant political developments or
                 environmental           developments relating to environmental regulation or
                 issues                  environmental conditions?
                 Economic/               What is happening to interest rates?
                 financial               What is happening to exchange rates?
                 environment             What is happening in other financial markets?
                                         What is the predicted state of the economy?
               Sources of external information
               Sources of external information, some accessible through the Internet, include:
                      market research
                      supplier price lists and brochures
                      trade journals
                      newspapers and other media
                      government reports and statistics
                      reports published by other organisations, such as trade bodies.
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                                                        Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
       2.3 Organising a system for providing external information
               If managers are to be provided with external information by a management
               information system (MIS), the system must be designed so that it is capable of
               providing it:
                      There has to be a system of data capture. How should information be
                       obtained from the environment and filed within the MIS? How should the
                       data be held within the MIS?
                      How should the information be provided to managers? Should it be e-
                       mailed to them? Or should managers be expected to search for the
                       information in the MIS when they need it?
                      Should the external information be processed into a usable form for
                       managers when it is captured, or should it be supplied to managers as ‘raw
                       unprocessed data’?
                      The external information should be divided into strategic information and
                       operational information. Which managers should be provided with the
                       strategic information, and which ones need the operational information?
       2.4 Limitations of external information
               It is important to recognise the limitations of external information.
                      It might not be accurate, and it might be difficult to assess how accurate it
                       is.
                      It might be incomplete.
                      It might provide either too much or not enough detail.
                      It might be difficult to obtain information in the form that is ideally required.
                      It might not always be available when required.
                      It might be difficult to find.
                      It might be out of date.
                      It might be misinterpreted.
       2.5 Costs of information
               Information must be captured, processed and, if it is to be useful, used
               effectively.
               Data capture and processing costs include the cost of the hardware and software
               used, time spent inputting, analysing and interpreting data (though this might be
               automated in some instances, for example data input using EPOS systems).
               Modern computing equipment makes it very easy to amass huge amounts of
               data which can be processed into information, but this can bring its own
               problems:
                      The information might not be used in which case the cost of producing it is
                       a waste.
                      Important detail might be missed in large volumes of information.
© Emile Woolf International                               915           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               Another important cost is associated with poor decisions based on incomplete
               information or on a misinterpretation of that information. That could prove very
               costly indeed.
3      BIG DATA
         Section overview
             Meaning
             Using big data
       3.1 Meaning
               Businesses collect data. The growth of technology has allowed data to be
               collected in ever increasing amounts.
               The term “big data” refers to the huge volume of data available to a business on
               a day-to-day basis. Big data can be analysed for insights that lead to better
               strategic decisions.
               Doug Laney (an American IT analyst) described big data as having the following
               characteristics (the 3 Vs):
                       Volume. There is a large volume of data available (more than might be
                        handled by a single computer). For example, Google hold huge amounts of
                        data on the search history of customers and the content of web pages
                        viewed.
                       Velocity. This refers to the speed at which data becomes available to an
                        organisation. Data streams in at an unprecedented speed and must be
                        dealt with in a timely manner. Data can be collected from a variety of
                        sources including a business’s own transactions (e.g. retailer customer
                        loyalty programmes allow retailers to monitor spending patterns of
                        customers), social media, websites etc).
                       Variety. Data comes in all types of formats – from structured, numeric data
                        in traditional databases to unstructured text documents, email etc.).
               The volume of data available globally is almost unimaginable. Some large
               companies (e.g. Apple) measure stored information in petabytes.
               The following table provides an indication of what this means:
                 Size              Number of bytes         Approximate number of pages of plan text
                 Megabyte          1,048,576               87
                 Gigabyte          230 bytes               895,000
                 Terabyte          240 bytes               916,000,000
                 Petabyte          250 bytes               938,000,000,000
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Performance management
       3.2 Using big data
               Only a small percentage of the huge amounts of data available is actually
               analysed. The importance of big data is not how much data there is but how it
               may be used. Analysis might lead to:
                      cost reductions;
                      new product development;
                      smart decision making.
               Big data – and the way organizations manage and derive insight from it – is
               changing the way the world uses business information.
                 Example:
                 UPS is a very large logistics company.
                 It stores a large amount of data – much of which comes from sensors in its
                 vehicles.
                 UPS launched an initiative called ORION (On-Road Integration Optimization and
                 Navigation) which used on online map data to reconfigure a driver's pickups and
                 drop-offs in real time.
                 The project cut 85.000.000 miles off routes leading to savings of 8.4 million
                 gallons of fuel.
                 (UPS has estimated that saving one daily mile per driver saves the company $30
                 million).
© Emile Woolf International                       918          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                 Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
4      RECORDING AND PROCESSING METHODS
         Section overview
             Recording data
             Processing methods
             Information systems and access to data
             Difficulties associated with recording and processing qualitative data
       4.1 Recording data
               There are many different ways of ‘capturing’ data, and recording it in an
               information system. Methods of recording data will depend on circumstances,
               and also on the nature of the data required. For example:
                      Records of labour time spent on particular tasks or jobs might be recorded
                       on time sheets or job sheets.
                      Records of materials used might be recorded in materials requisition notes.
                      Data about customer satisfaction might be captured as records of customer
                       complaints. Alternatively, data might be obtained from market research
                       surveys.
               The system of recording data should be made as convenient as possible for the
               individuals responsible for input of the data to the information system. Where
               possible, the information system should be designed to minimise the risk of
               errors.
               Data should also be recorded in a form that will allow it to be processed. As a
               simple example, suppose that records of labour costs should provide for an
               analysis of these costs into production costs, administration costs and sales and
               distribution costs. The data about labour costs will have to be recorded in a way
               that will enable the costs to be divided into their different categories.
       4.2 Processing methods
               Performance measurement systems should be designed so that data can be
               processed in a way that meets the requirements of management. There are
               various ways of processing data, and IT systems enable managers to obtain
               large amounts of information for different purposes.
                      Data might be needed for planning or forecasting. Spreadsheet models and
                       other forecasting models are now commonplace.
                      Accountancy software packages, including management accounting
                       packages or modules, can be used to process accounting data.
                      E-mail allows managers to communicate information quickly between each
                       other.
                      Widespread availability of Wi-Fi connection enables easy connection to the
                       internet when travelling.
                      Network technology now allows workers in any location to connect to a
                       firm’s system via the internet using virtual private network (VPN) links.
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Performance management
               Unified corporate databases combine data from different systems (e.g.
               purchasing and inventory issues). This can improve control over budgeting,
               forecasting and planning; reporting etc.
               Data warehouses
               A data warehouse is a database used for reporting and analysis. The data stored
               in the warehouse is uploaded from the operational systems. The data may pass
               through an operational data store for additional operations before it is used in the
               data warehouse for reporting.
               The term “data warehouse” implies a storage function but they do much more
               than this. The typical data warehouse includes a staging layer that stores raw
               data, an integration layer where the data is integrated and analysed and moved
               into a series of hierarchal groups, and an access layer from which users retrieve
               data.
               RFID tagging
               Radio-frequency identification (RFID) is the use of a wireless, non-contact system
               that uses radio-frequency electromagnetic fields to transfer data from a tag
               attached to an object, for the purposes of automatic identification and tracking.
               The tag contains electronically stored information which can be read from up to
               several metres away.
               Decreased cost and increased reliability has led to the widespread use of this
               technology in many applications including:
                      Tracking of goods during shipment – UPS customers are able to track
                       dispatches on line
                      Inventory control – RFID systems provide accurate knowledge of current
                       inventory. Walmart were able to reduce inventory levels by 30% on some
                       lines.
                      Production control – RFID tags attached to cars in process of manufacture
                       can track degree of completion.
                      Supply chain management - In the fashion industry an RFID label is
                       attached to the garment at production so that it can be traced throughout
                       the supply chain and removed at the point of sale (POS).
                      Tracking of livestock.
                      Access into secured areas.
                      Travel documents – the technology is used in E-passports.
       4.3 Information systems and access to data
               Management accounting systems are information systems, and the development
               of information technology (IT) continues to have a significant impact on
               management accounting and on:
                      collecting data
                      storing data and information: (Note: data is unprocessed, whereas
                       information is data that has been processed into something that has
                       meaning or purpose)
                      the ability to process data into valuable information
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                                                Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
                      access to information
                      communication of information.
               Instant access to management accounting data
               Another significant feature of modern IT systems is instant access to information.
               Information might be held on a central database, and accessible to all authorised
               personnel through a network connection.
               Instant access means that managers do not have to wait for information to come
               to them, for example in routine reports. They can search for and obtain the
               information they want at any time. Furthermore, this can be done from any
               location that has an internet connection.
               Remote input
               In traditional management accounting systems, data was input to the computer
               system by specialist staff. There was often a high rate of input errors, and data
               validation checks were included in the software to reduce the error rate. In many
               systems, the process of collecting data and input to a computer system was fairly
               slow.
               Modern IT systems often provide for automatic input of data by non-finance
               operating staff, often with minimal risk of errors. One example is the automatic
               input of sales data and inventory data at check-out points in stores and
               supermarkets, using bar codes and automatic bar code readers. Information is
               available about sales and reductions in inventory at the exact moment that the
               items are being sold.
               Instant access to external sources of data
               IT systems also provide for access to external sources of data and information.
               External data can be obtained from the Internet, either:
                      free of charge, for example, from the websites of government departments
                       and public news agencies, or
                      through subscription (payments to an external information provider).
               A wide range of complex data analysis can be performed with computer software.
               Many managers can use models for planning and forecasting, including the
               application of sensitivity analysis to plans and forecasts.
       4.4 Difficulties associated with recording and processing qualitative data
               Companies should identify their critical success factors and then put in place a
               series of key performance indicators (KPIs), the achievement of which will result
               in the company meeting its corporate objectives. The performance measures
               identified as KPIs might be both quantitative (including financial performance
               measures) and qualitative.
               The use of qualitative performance measures brings certain problems that are
               not found when using quantitative performance measures.
               Qualitative data is subjective and open to judgement. For example, a requirement
               to achieve a high level of customer satisfaction is an admirable goal but a
               company needs to decide on how customer satisfaction might be measured in
               order to identify the success or otherwise of measures taken to improve it.
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Performance management
               One approach is to try to express the qualitative measure in a quantitative way
               (sometimes described as a “quantitative surrogate”).
               For example a hotel company might invite guests to complete a short survey after
               their stay asking them to attach a score to a number of different aspects of their
               say.
                 Example:
                 A hotel might ask guests to complete the following questionnaire so as to obtain
                 a measure of the perceived quality of their restaurant.
                 Please circle a number in each row to indicate how satisfied you were with the
                 following aspects of the hotel restaurant.
                                                              Neither
                                                              satisfied
                                               Somewhat       or           Somewhat
                                Dissatisfied   dissatisfied   satisfied    satisfied         Dissatisfied
                 Range of
                 food                1              2             3               4                  5
                 available
                 Quality of
                                     1              2             3               4                  5
                 food
                 Price of the
                                     1              2             3               4                  5
                 food
                 Speed of
                                     1              2             3               4                  5
                 service
                 Cleanliness         1               2            3               4                  5
                 Overall
                                     1              2             3               4                  5
                 satisfaction
               Hotels often send emails to customers after their visit asking them to complete a
               short survey on the hotel’s website. Information in this way can be scored and
               collated automatically.
               Possible problems with the use of quantitative surrogates
               There are problems with the use of quantitative surrogates. These include the
               following:
                      People may not respond
                      The people who do respond will often be biased towards those with a
                       specific point that they wish to make. For example, a guest who has had a
                       particularly bad experience is much more likely to respond that a guest who
                       found everything to be OK.
                      Many responders will not circle the extreme scores as a matter of practice.
               These problems relate to a business to customer environment. In a business to
               business environment the supplier is more likely to receive a response from their
               customers, though the response might be biased downwards if customer is
               attempting to use the score as a bargaining chip for future price reductions.
© Emile Woolf International                        922          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
               Other problems
               If qualitative performance can be recorded and processed the results must be
               communicated to the managers who are responsible for that aspect of
               performance. It is not always easy to identify the responsible manager. Care
               must be taken to identify the person responsible correctly. This is particularly
               important where a manager’s reward is based on a qualitative performance
               measure.
               For example, a cleaning manager might lose a bonus if a hotel receives a low
               score for cleanliness of the rooms on one day out of the month. However, this
               might have been due to a power cut which prevented effective cleaning. This is a
               simple example to illustrate that effective performance measurement of
               individuals must be:
                      based on fair targets;
                      based on areas of performance that can be controlled by that individual;
                       and
                      fairly administered.
               This is particularly important when remuneration is linked to performance as a
               failure to achieve a target due to a perceived injustice and the consequential
               adverse impact on remuneration can be very demotivating.
5      INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
         Section overview
          Types of information system
          Transaction processing systems (TPS)
          Management information systems (MIS)
          Office automation systems (OAS)
             Decision support systems (DSS)
             Executive information systems (EIS)
          Expert systems (ES)
          Knowledge work systems (KWS)
       5.1 Types of information system
               This section revises the various information systems you encountered in the
               Management Information paper. In addition you will see examples of appropriate
               information technology and information systems support that would typically be
               associated with each type of system, and common information sources.
               The systems are:
                      Transaction processing systems
                      Management information systems
                      Office automation systems
                      Decision support systems
                      Executive information systems
                      Expert systems
                      Knowledge work systems.
© Emile Woolf International                        929          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       5.2 Transaction processing systems (TPS)
               Transaction processing systems (TPS) are systems for processing routine
               transactions, often in large volumes. They are used extensively in business and
               government and are an example of an operational information system.
               Examples of TPS include:
                      Production and purchasing
                              Production planning and control
                              Inventory control
                              Purchasing system
                      Accounting system
                              General ledger
                              Receivables / payables systems
                              Payroll
                      Sales
                              Sales order system
                              Delivery scheduling system
                      Human resources
                              Employee records
                              Training records
               The advantages of transaction processing systems, compared with manual
               systems for processing transactions, are:
                      The ability to handle much larger volumes of transactions
                      Cost-effectiveness
                      Much faster processing
                      Fewer errors in processing
                      Efficiency in storing/filing data records.
                 Illustration: TPS – Inventory
                 Inventory in a small business
                          The inventory system in a small business may be run on a stand-alone
                           computer residing in the stores warehouse. This would be manually
                           updated by the stores clerk entering information from goods received and
                           goods despatched notes (GRNs and GDNs) having first checked that an
                           order had actually been made for the goods.
                          Duplicate GRNs and GDNs are handed to the accountant for entry into the
                           general ledger which resides on a separate computer.
                          The two systems are then reconciled monthly by the accountant.
                 Inventory in a large business
                          Compare the above to an integrated system used in a much larger
                           organisation. This would likely involve a perpetual inventory system located
                           on a centralised computer system connected to various client computers
                           across a local area network within the organisation.
                          When the inventory records are updated in the stores warehouse the
                           inventory module automatically updates trade receivables, purchases and
                           inventory accounts in the general ledger.
© Emile Woolf International                           930           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       5.3 Management information systems (MIS)
               Management information systems (MIS) provide information to management, of a
               routine or non-routine nature, by analysing data and converting it into organised
               information.
               MIS provide management information in regular or routine reports, which
               management can use for planning and controlling activities.
               In many cases, management information is produced from systems that also
               process transactions. For example, sales reports can be produced from a sales
               order processing system, and financial reports can be produced from a general
               ledger system.
               Some management information systems take data from other sources, and
               provide reports for management. Examples are:
                      Budgeting systems, which are used to prepare budgets
                      Budgetary control systems, that compare actual results with a budget
                       and report the differences as variances
                      Cost accounting and management accounting systems
                      Sales analysis reporting systems.
               Management information systems provide structured information, and can help
               managers to make fairly routine or standard decisions. They are not well-suited
               for assisting managers with more complex decisions.
               MIS may also rely mainly on data obtained internally, from within the
               organisation, rather than on external data obtained from outside sources.
                 Illustration: MIS
                 MIS in a small organisation
                        The management information system may be little more than a collection
                         of spreadsheets that are manually updated by the accountant whenever
                         they have time.
                        Information would be extracted from the general ledger using standard
                         queries from a standard ‘off the shelf’ accounting package and then
                         manually entered into the spreadsheets.
                        Given the high manual element there is a greater risk of errors in the
                         subsequent MIS shared with management.
                 MIS in a large organisation
                        In a large organisation the MIS may have been programmed by a dedicated
                         IT team, or at least involve a much more complex accounting package.
                        A dedicated accountant (or team of accountants) would have written some
                         queries that extract standard reports on a monthly basis for timely
                         reporting to management.
                        The system would integrate both financial accounting and management
                         accounting to help ensure accuracy and consistency.
                        The system is more likely to reside on a central mainframe, or server, and
                         be linked to the management accountant’s ‘client’ machine over a local
                         area network.
© Emile Woolf International                         931          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       5.4 Office automation systems (OAS)
               Office automation systems, as the name suggests, are systems that automate
               office processes. They include:
                      Word processing systems
                      Database systems for desk-top PCs
                      Electronic filing systems
                      Systems with e-mail facilities and a link to the internet
                      groupware systems.
                 Illustration: word processing
                 Word processing systems are typically simple, localised operational programmes
                 that reside on an individual employee’s PC or laptop computer.
                 The underlying data files might be saved:
                        locally on the same physical device
                        locally in a peripheral storage unit – e.g. USB flash stick
                        online in the ‘cloud’ (needs an internet connection)
                        on a central computer accessed via LAN link.
                 Data might be entered into a word processing system in a number of ways:
                        manually
                        automatically through an optical character reader
                        from another file
       5.5 Decision support systems (DSS)
               Decision support systems (DSS) are systems that provide support for managers
               in making decisions for unstructured or semi-structured problems. (In
               comparison, MIS can help managers with reaching decisions for structured
               problems.)
               A DSS consists of data analysis models, and may have access to a database to
               extract data for analysis. It should provide the user with information about a
               number of different alternatives or different possible outcomes.
               Models in a DSS will therefore provide statistical analysis or the facility for
               scenario planning. For example:
© Emile Woolf International                          932          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      A DSS may include a forecasting model that allows the user to prepare
                       forecasts from available data, and to consider possible variations in the
                       forecast using sensitivity analysis or statistical analysis
                      A DSS may provide a planning model that allows the user to prepare draft
                       plans and then carry out sensitivity analysis on the data. (A spreadsheet
                       model is a form of DSS.)
                 Illustration: DSS
                 It can be argued that a DSS would be classified as a tactical or strategic system
                 depending on whether it is used to support middle-management in making a
                 short-medium term tactical decision (e.g. switching from holding inventory to a
                 just-in-time system) or senior management making a long-term strategic decision
                 (e.g. whether to close a particular branch).
                 Decision support systems are common in operational research. A good example
                 might be simulating the baggage handling system at an airport. The system is
                 used to simulate different phasing of baggage handling procedures to establish
                 the best operational setup.
                 DSS are normally features of larger organisations. They would blend a
                 combination of information from the general ledger plus extra externally sourced
                 information relevant to the specific decision being addressed.
       5.6 Executive information systems (EIS)
               Executive information systems (EIS) are information systems for senior
               executives. They have access to data from sources both inside and outside the
               organisation. The system has the ability to analyse the data in a variety of ways,
               so that senior executives can obtain selected information on demand, analysed
               at a suitable level of detail. EIS are also called executive support systems (ESS).
               A key feature of an EIS is that it provides information to executives in
               summarised form, for example information about performance in relation to
               critical success factors and key performance indicators, but which also allows the
               user to ‘drill down’ to extract more detailed information.
               Although information can be presented to executives in the form of tables, or
               even narrative, EIS incorporate the facility to present information in a more user-
               friendly form, for example in the form of graphs, bar charts or pie charts.
                 Illustration: EIS
                 An EIS may allow an executive to obtain summary balance sheet and income
                 statement information, based on the most current data held in the general
                 ledger. This will allow them to:
                        compare actual financial performance with targets (note: if the executive
                         needs more financial information he or she may be able to ‘drill down’ to
                         find it e.g. more detail about inventory or more detail about trade
                         receivables)
                        review overall risk exposure on a daily basis
                 Similarly, an EIS may provide an executive with current data about sales volume,
                 which can be compared with targets. If actual sales are below target, the
                 executive can drill down into the sales figures to find out more details – for
                 example, which products are selling less than target, or which sales regions are
                 performing badly.
                 External data for an EIS may be sourced from financial information providers (for
                 example, information about share prices, exchange rates, interest rates and so
                 on). This is normally done through an automated live data feed from a dedicated
                 market data provider such as Reuters.
© Emile Woolf International                         933          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       5.7 Expert systems (ES)
               Expert systems are a type of artificial intelligence system. The purpose of an
               expert system is to provide expert information to the system user.
               An expert system covers a specific area of expertise. It allows a user to
               interrogate the system to obtain information, advice or possible solutions to a
               problem. Examples of expert systems are legal advice systems, investment
               advice systems, medical diagnosis systems and tax advice systems.
               An expert system has several components:
                      A knowledge base, that holds all the facts and rules relating to the area of
                       expertise
                      A knowledge acquisition program, through which the knowledge base is
                       kept up-to-date
                   An ‘inference engine’, which is the software that responds to inputs from
                    the user, and draws on the knowledge base and applies reasoning to
                    provide a response
               An explanation program that provides an explanation of the reasoning that has been
               used by the system to reach its conclusion and produce its advice.
               Expert systems can be used by experts to reinforce their opinion or give them
               suggestions. For example:
                      Professional lawyers can use a legal expert system to obtain information
                       about relevant legislation or court decisions.
                      Similarly, doctors can use a medical expert system to obtain a diagnosis, or
                       several possible diagnoses, of a patient’s medial symptoms.
                      An investment analyst can use a financial investment expert system to find
                       suitable investments to recommend to a client.
                 Illustration: Expert systems
                 An expert system used to help diagnose patients in a public hospital is likely to be
                 developed by a dedicated IT development team. The programme and database
                 will be maintained in a central server which is then accessed through client
                 terminals by individual doctors. More data is entered into the database as new
                 cases evolve.
       5.8 Knowledge work systems (KWS)
               Knowledge work systems are systems that are used to create new knowledge or
               integrate new knowledge into an organisation. They include CAD systems and
               virtual reality systems.
                 Illustration: KWS
                 A team of designers and architects operate a virtual company as they live in
                 different cities across the world. The company has a knowledge work system
                 which is located on a database in a central computer in Lagos.
                 Whenever the individual architects discover new materials or working practices
                 they enter details into the KWS so that the new knowledge is accessible across
                 the world to fellow employees in the same organisation.
                 The system issues ‘alerts’ based on new entries in the system. Employees set
                 their alert preferences to ensure they only receive relevant knowledge updates.
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Performance management
6      THE EFFECT OF IT ON PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
         Section overview
          IT systems for providers of services
          IT systems and performance management
             IT systems and competitive advantage
             e-business and its implications for performance management
       6.1 IT systems for providers of services
               The service industry is made up of organisations that deliver services to
               consumers. The individuals who make up this industry are hired to perform tasks.
               Most performance management techniques were developed for manufacturing
               organisations but might often be useful for service companies.
               Both types of organisation turn inputs into outputs:
                      A manufacturing company uses labour and other inputs to transform raw
                       materials and components into finished products which it sells.
                      A service company does not produce/sell products but provides a service.
               Both types of company need to determine the costs of output for planning (e.g.
               activity levels) decision making (e.g. pricing) and control.
               There are a number of performance management techniques which have been
               developed to link the cost of inputs to the costs of production. These can be used
               in the service industries also.
               For example an accountancy firm provides a variety of services. The costs of the
               firm can be assigned to cost drivers (e.g. an hour of each staff types’ time) and
               the cost of each consultancy contract found by multiplying time spent by hourly
               costs. This is based on ABC principles which identify cost drivers and job costing
               which assigns costs to individual jobs.
               IT systems and service providers
               IT systems can improve the quality of service in a number of different ways.
               The service provider has instant access to the customer’s files or to other key
               information. Instant access means that a customer’s requests can be dealt with
               immediately. This makes it possible, for example, to sell and renew insurance
               policies by telephone.
               For companies that provide services (rather than manufacturing goods), IT
               systems can make substantial improvements in the quality of service provision. A
               key feature of many services is the contact between a representative of the
               company (the service provider) and the customer. This may be face-to-face
               contact, or contact by telephone or even e-mail or text message.
               The Internet often makes it possible for customers to compare the products or
               services of different suppliers, and to make an informed choice about which
               supplier to buy from. It may therefore be important for companies to provide
               extensive information to customers on their web site, to help them make their
               purchase decisions.
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                                                 Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
               Some services can be provided through IT systems. In some cases, the customer
               is given the opportunity to take control over his own service provision. For
               example, customers can book seats on air flights and at theatres using the
               Internet and the service provider’s web site or download media items (music and
               film) through the Internet. Immediate service provision, made possible by IT
               systems, is likely to increase customer satisfaction with the service.
       6.2 IT systems and performance management
               Performance management systems are information systems, and the
               development of information technology (IT) continues to have a significant impact
               on performance management and on:
                      Collecting data
                      Storing data and information: (Note: data is unprocessed, whereas
                       information is data that has been processed into something that has
                       meaning or purpose)
                       The ability to process data into valuable information
                      Access to information
                      Communication of information.
               Instant access to performance management data
               Another significant feature of modern IT systems is instant access to information.
               Information might be held on a central database, and accessible to all authorised
               personnel through a network connection.
               Instant access means that managers do not have to wait for information to come
               to them, for example in routine reports. They can search for and obtain the
               information they want at any time. Furthermore this can be done from any
               location that has an internet connection.
               Remote input
               In traditional performance management systems, data was input to the computer
               system by specialist staff. There was often a high rate of input errors, and data
               validation checks were included in the software to reduce the error rate. In many
               systems, the process of collecting data and input to a computer system was fairly
               slow.
               Modern IT systems often provide for automatic input of data by non-finance
               operating staff, often with minimal risk of errors. One example is the automatic
               input of sales data and inventory data at check-out points in stores and
               supermarkets, using bar codes and automatic bar code readers. Information is
               available about sales and reductions in inventory at the exact moment that the
               items are being sold.
               Instant access to external sources of data
               IT systems also provide for access to external sources of data and information.
               External data can be obtained from the Internet, either:
                      Free of charge, for example, from the web sites of government departments
                       and public news agencies, or
                      Through subscription (payments to an external information provider).
               A wide range of complex data analysis can be performed with computer software.
               Many managers can use models for planning and forecasting, including the
               application of sensitivity analysis to plans and forecasts.
© Emile Woolf International                        936           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       6.3 IT systems and competitive advantage
               In a highly competitive market, service providers are continually looking for ways
               to manage their costs and increase productivity.
               IT systems may be able to give one business a strategic advantage
               (competitive advantage) over its rivals. The efficiency of IT systems can
               improve the quality of administration, production and service to customers – and
               so provide better value for customers, for example by reducing costs or providing
               a faster service.
               Even if an IT system does not provide a competitive advantage, however, a
               business may need to have efficient systems to avoid being at a competitive
               disadvantage. A business needs to invest in IT to keep up with what rivals are
               doing.
               Significantly, IT systems can create a competitive advantage by providing
               management with better information. In this respect, a well-designed
               performance management system will provide a competitive advantage.
               Management should keep their IT systems under continual review, and:
                      Be aware of new developments in IT systems and new opportunities for
                       exploiting IT
                      Review existing systems to ensure that they are of a high quality and are
                       operating effectively and efficiently
                      Monitor the use of IT systems by competitors, and be prepared to respond
                       to any initiatives in IT that competitors introduce.
       6.4 e-business and its implications for performance management
               The objective of e-business is to increase the competitiveness and efficiency of
               an entity by using electronic information exchanges to improve processes. E-
               business does not simply involve automating existing processes. Processes
               should be radically redesigned by e-business methods so that they become more
               efficient and create added value. E-business opportunities can alter the strategic
               position of an entity and provide different strategic choices.
                      E-business can change the nature of the market place in which goods and
                       services are bought and sold. For example, it encourages the globalisation
                       of markets and the buying and selling of items in the internet.
                      E-business also changes the nature of the relationships with suppliers and
                       customers.
               E-business significantly extends the volume and scope of information accessible
               to organisations for performance management purposes.
© Emile Woolf International                       937          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                   Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
7      CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS
         Section overview
          Definition of critical success factors (CSFs)
          CSF methodology
             Measuring achievement: key performance indicators (KPIs)
             CSFs and IS/IT strategy
             Sources of CSFs for information systems
             Using IS/IT to monitor CSFs and the achievement of targets
       7.1 Definition of critical success factors (CSFs)
                 Definition: Critical success factors
                 Critical success factors (CSFs) are ‘factors so critical to success that if the
                 objectives associated with those factors are not achieved, the organisation will
                 fail, possibly catastrophically’.
                 They have also been defined as ‘the limited number of areas in which results, if
                 they are satisfactory, will ensure successful competitive performance for the
                 organisation’.
       7.2 CSF methodology
               CSFs have been associated with business strategy and strategic planning for
               many years. It is a ‘top-down’ approach that begins with the main long-term
               strategic objective of the organisation.
               From this overall strategic objective, five or six ‘higher level’ goals or objectives
               are decided. These are objectives that will have to be met in order to achieve the
               overall objective for the organisation.
               Having identified five or six higher level objectives, the analysis is taken down to
               the next level of detail. For each higher level objective, a small number of critical
               supporting objectives are identified. These are objectives that will have to be met
               in order to meet the higher-level objective.
               This approach to identifying success factors can be taken down to the lowest
               level of management and planning. However, all the factors that are identified as
               ‘critical’ will have to be met. Failure to achieve any of them will threaten the ability
               of the organisation to achieve its long-term strategic objective.
                 Example: CSF
                 A government might decide that the main objective of its education policy should
                 be to provide every pupil in state-run schools with the best-possible IT facilities to
                 support their studies.
                 Having established this as the main objective of policy, the following two high-
                 level CSFs might be identified:
                        CSF1: To provide high-quality software to schools.
                        CSF2: To increase the availability of IT facilities in schools
© Emile Woolf International                          938           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
       7.3 Measuring achievement: key performance indicators (KPIs)
               In strategic planning, CSFs are associated with key performance indicators
               (KPIs).
                      For each CSF, there must be a way of measuring whether the required
                       objective or target has been met.
                      This measure of performance (a key performance indicator) can be used to
                       set planning targets, and to monitor actual performance by comparing
                       actual results with the target.
               CSFs and KPIs may be decided by planning teams of managers, who discuss
               different possible CSFs and KPIs, and reach agreement on which success
               factors are critical (and if appropriate, ranking them in order of priority).
                 Example: KPI
                 The main objective of a commercial company may be to maximise the wealth of
                 its shareholders. A CSF of a commercial company might therefore be ‘to achieve
                 a minimum volume of annual sales to earn a sufficient return on investment’.
                 A suitable key performance indicator might be the annual sales volume, or
                 possibly a target share of the market. Having identified what the KPI should be,
                 strategic targets should be set for the CSF and actual achievements should be
                 compared with the target.
               The impact of internet technologies on KPIs
               The volume and scope of information now readily accessible to organisations is
               simply immense. The potential to benefit from performance management with
               access to such vast information sources is also significantly improved. There are
               two components to this:
                      Increased access to market data;
                      The ability to measure the impact that e-business has on an organisation.
               Some examples of KPIs relating to e-business could include:
                 Example              KPI
                 Supply chain         Reduction in average lead time following implementation
                                      of EDIs (electronic data interchange)
                 Product              Proportion of customers selecting electronic invoicing
                                      rather than paper invoicing
                 Price                Impact of price change on sales volume
                 Place                Profitability by supply channel
                 Promotion            Profitability by promotion method
                 Physical evidence    Proportion of customers who book and pay in advance via
                                      the website rather than call the reservations manager
                 People               Customer satisfaction survey results collated by email
                 Process              Average number of ‘website hits’ per sale
                 CRM                  Net profitability by client (using activity-based costing)
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                                                 Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
       7.4 CSFs and IS/IT strategy
               The idea of identifying CSFs as a basis for developing IS/IT strategy was
               popularised initially in the late 1970’s.
               There are two separate issues to consider:
                      Critical success factors for IS/IT strategy, and the IS/IT systems needed to
                       achieve CSF targets, and
                      The extent to which IS/IT systems can support the use of CSFs by an
                       organisation.
               Existing IS/IT systems may have to be modified, or new systems may have to be
               developed, to enable an organisation to achieve the critical factors necessary for
               success. The process of identifying CSFs and KPIs for information systems is
               similar to the process described above for business strategy in general.
               Some examples of high-level IS/IT-related CSFs are shown below.
                 Entity type         CSF                               KPI
                 Bank                Money transmission                KPIs can be set in term of
                                     systems must always be in         numbers of back-up
                                     operation. Immediate back-        computers and the existence
                                     up systems must always be         of an emergency back-up
                                     available in case of              network.
                                     breakdown or damage.
                 Retail company We must have a web site                Target date for the
                                with an e-commerce facility.           introduction of an operational
                                                                       e-commerce facility.
                 Manufacturing       Customer orders must be           Target ‘lead time’ for handling
                 company             dealt with quickly: lead          customer orders, to be
                                     times must be no longer           achieved by the introduction
                                     than those of our main            of an upgraded sales order IT
                                     competitor.                       system.
               At a lower level in the hierarchy of objective setting, some success factors for
               IS/IT might also be as follows:
                 Entity type           CSF                           KPI
                 Company with          Customer calls must be        - an average time for a
                 automated             dealt with quickly;           customer to be in the call-
                 telephone call        otherwise we will lose        handling system
                 handling system       business.                     - a maximum target
                 for customers                                       percentage of customers who
                                                                     terminate the call without
                                                                     having been given service.
                 Company with          The system must be in         KPI might be a target for a
                 database for          operation whenever            maximum percentage
                 staff dealing         customers call, so that       ‘downtime’, when the system is
                 with telephone        their queries can be dealt    not functioning due to
                 queries from          with.                         computer failure.
                 customers
© Emile Woolf International                        940           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               An examination question may require you to identify critical success factors for
               an organisation, and to suggest how modifications to existing IS/IT systems, or
               new IS/IT projects, may help the organisation to achieve these CSFs.
       7.5 Sources of CSFs for information systems
               There are four general sources from which CSFs originate. They are:
                      The industry in which the entity operates. There may be something about
                       the industry that creates a factor critical to success. Banks, for example,
                       must have IS/IT systems in order to provide their services.
                      The company itself and its situation within the industry. For example, an
                       insurance company may specialise in selling insurance policies on-line. The
                       efficiency of its IS/IT system will be more critical to its success than for rival
                       insurance companies that rely much less on on-line sales.
                      The environment. Examples of environmental factors may be changing
                       consumer tastes and trends, the state of the economy, and political factors.
                       The effectiveness of an IS/IT system may be critical, for example, to enable
                       an organisation to meet legislative requirements or regulations.
                      Temporary factors that may give cause for concern, such as high levels
                       of errors, cancelled orders, customer complaints, inaccurate inventory
                       records and so on.
               An organisation needs to be aware that new critical factors may emerge, and if
               they do, it is important to recognise them quickly before the problem gets too big.
               Sources of warnings about a new crisis may be:
                      Customers (changes in the level of satisfaction or dissatisfaction)
                      Complaints handled by customer services department
                      Major competitors (and new initiatives that they may take to gain
                       competitive advantage)
                      Accounting reports (and changes in profitability and cash flows).
       7.6 Using IS/IT to monitor CSFs and the achievement of targets
               It has already been shown that targets should be set for each CSF, and actual
               performance should be monitored by comparison with the target. IS/IT systems
               can support the use of CSFs by an organisation because they can be used to
               monitor performance, and measure performance indicators.
               Senior management could make use of an executive information system (EIS) to
               monitor performance and CSFs at a high level. An EIS can be designed that
               allows senior executives to monitor actual performance in relation to selected
               CSFs, so that the executive is always in a position to obtain up-to-the-minute
               information.
               However, IS/IT systems can be used to monitor and measure key performance at
               all management levels within an organisation – at a strategic level, at a tactical
               level and at an operational level.
© Emile Woolf International                          941          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                            Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management
                                Strategic              Tactical                   Operational
                 Examples of    Expand the             Be competitive on          Speedy delivery
                 CSFs           business to            prices.                    to customers.
                                become a global        Create loyal               Keep customers
                                company.               customers.                 satisfied.
                                Increase market        Acquire and                Keep costs under
                                share.                 retain skilled staff.      control.
                                Increase                                          Maintain quality
                                profitability.                                    standards.
                 Examples of    Target rate for        Selling prices not         Deliver to
                 KPIs           annual growth in       to be higher than          customers within
                                business in            for any rival              48 hours of order.
                                foreign markets.       product.                   Target maximum
                                Target share of        Targets for repeat         level for items
                                the market.            orders or                  returned. Target
                                Target annual          frequency of               maximum rate of
                                growth in profits.     repeat orders.             complaints.
                                                       Targets for                Efficiency targets.
                                                       recruitment and            Targets for
                                                       training.                  maximum error
                                                                                  rates.
                 IS/IT system   Executive              Systems for                Order processing
                 support        information            collecting and             system.
                                systems.               analysing market           Customer service
                                Systems to             data.                      system.
                                collect and            Sales order                Accounting
                                analyse market         system                     system.
                                size and               information.
                                company sales.                                    Production
                                                       HR system                  control system.
                                Financial              information.
                                information
                                systems.
© Emile Woolf International                      943        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
8      CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter, check that you can:
          Describe the types and levels of information used in performance management
            information systems
             Describe the sources of information including big data
             Explain methods of recording and processing information
             Explain, with examples, the common types of performance management systems
              and how they may be used for managing performance
             State the qualities of good information and explain concepts of reliability,
              accessibility, accuracy and security of information
             Summarise the impact IT has had on performance management with respect to
              providers of services and management accounting
             Describe the impact IT systems have on competitive advantage
             Define critical success factor (CSFs) and key performance indicator (KPIs)
             Explain the link between CSFs and IS/IT strategy
             Describe how IS/IT is used to monitor CSFs in the achievement of targets
© Emile Woolf International                       944          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                       30
     Skills level
                                                            CHAPTER
     Performance management
                              Implementing performance
                                   management systems
 Contents
 1     Implementing performance management systems
 2     Impact of IT on employer/employee relations
 3     Problem areas: organisational impact analysis
 4     Success and failure of information systems
 5     User resistance to new information systems and
       change
 6     Lewin’s ‘Three Stage’ change process
 7     Managing change
 8     Examples of managing change
 9     Project monitoring and control
 10    Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                   945       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens student’s capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with
a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Students will be expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
    F    Performance and management systems
         2     Evaluate and advise management on suitable approaches that may be used to
               manage people, issues and change when implementing performance
               management systems.
         3     Discuss the accounting information requirements and analyse the different
               types of information systems used for strategic planning, management control
               and operational control and decision-making.
         4     Discuss roles of accountants in:
               a     Project management;
               b     Project planning; and
               c     Project control methods and standards.
Exam context
Organisations face a number of challenges when implementing new information systems.
This chapter provides the context for various implementation considerations and explains
how change can be managed effectively.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
       Describe the impact of IT on employer/employee relations
       Discuss the general problems associated with implementing new systems
       Understand what drives the success or failure of information systems
       Explain the nature of common user resistance to new information systems and change
       Describe Lewin’s ‘Three Stage’ change process
       Discuss tactics for managing successful change
       State key project monitoring and control tasks
       Briefly explain the role of the project manager in managing the team
       Briefly explain the role of the accountant in projects
© Emile Woolf International                       940            The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                   Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
1      IMPLEMENTING PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
         Section overview
             Accessibility
             Supporting the tasks of the manager
       1.1 Accessibility
               A key factor in the design of a performance management system is the way in
               which information is to be made available and accessible to the intended users.
               Individuals with performance management responsibilities must have information
               to do their work. IT systems make it possible, in principle, to provide individuals
               with enormous amounts of data and information. There could be a risk that an
               information system makes so much information available to users that there is
               ‘information overload’. Individuals may receive so much information that they do
               not necessarily know what are the most important and relevant items, and so
               they do not make the best use of the information they are given.
               Performance management systems should be designed in a way that makes
               information accessible in a convenient and helpful way. Users should have ready
               access to the information they use the most often. They may in addition need
               access to other information occasionally.
               Important factors to consider in the design of a performance management system
               are:
                      What information is needed by individuals using the system?
                      Why is the information needed or useful? What will the user do with it?
                      How often is it needed?
                      Where will the information be obtained from? In other words, how should
                       the source data be captured?
                      How should the information user be able to access the information?
               For essential and important items of information, it should be the responsibility of
               the system designers to make sure that individuals are provided with the
               information.
                      Information or data that is essential to carrying out a task must be provided
                       to the user in a convenient way. For example, individuals who use an IT
                       system for operational variance control must be able to access the data
                       they need to drill down into individual variances. Gaining access to this
                       information should be made as easy and convenient as possible for the
                       user.
                      Similarly, information that individuals will use often should also be made
                       easily accessible.
               When the information requirements of individuals are less predictable, or less
               frequent, a system might make the information accessible to users, but then
               leave the responsibility with the user for finding it when it is needed.
               For example, intranets have made it possible to provide enormous amounts of
               data to employees within an organisation. However, there is so much information
               available that it might become the responsibility of the recipient to make sure that
© Emile Woolf International                        941           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               he gets the information that he wants, rather than the responsibility of the
               provider of information to make sure that it reaches individuals who might need it.
       1.2 Supporting the tasks of the manager
               Introduction
               According to ‘traditional’ theory of organisation and management, the tasks of
               management are to:
                      Set targets and make plans for achieving those targets
                      Communicate
                      Organise activities
                      Co-ordinate activities
                      Provide leadership or direction
                      Motivate others
                      Monitor performance
                      Take control measures to improve performance.
               Performance management
               The new IS/IT performance management systems will be used by managers to
               manage the performance of the organisation, and individuals and work units
               within it.
               The requirements for the new performance management system include:
                      Clear objectives, expressed perhaps as critical success factors
                      Targets for each objective, expressed perhaps as key performance
                       indicators
                      Using these key performance measures to measure actual performance
                      Providing managers with a comparison of actual performance with the
                       target, or a comparison of target performance with current forecasts.
               IS/IT systems can be designed to provide managers with the key performance
               measures that they should monitor. For example, executive information systems
               can be designed so as to provide senior managers with:
                      Readily-available information about current performance or historical
                       performance in selected key areas, and
                      A facility to ‘drill down’ to analyse aspects of performance in more detail, if
                       required.
               Quality of planning and control
               The information provided by the performance management system can improve
               the quality of planning and control. For example, decision support systems can
               be used for forecasting and preparing plans. Sensitivity analysis and scenario
               testing are made much easier with computer models, and these improve planning
               by testing the assumptions that have been used in preparing the plans and
               testing the robustness of the plans.
               However, there is some risk that performance management systems can be used
               to plan in excessive detail, or to apply excessive control. Management may use
               performance management systems to demand regular and detailed reports from
© Emile Woolf International                         942          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                   Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
               employees, to the point where employees spend too much time on reporting and
               too little time on value-adding activities.
2      IMPACT OF IT ON EMPLOYER/EMPLOYEE RELATIONS
         Section overview
          IT systems and organisation structure
          The effect of home working on an organisation
             E-mail and work practices
             De-skilling of operatives
             Socio-technical system design
       2.1 IT systems and organisation structure
               IT-based performance management systems can affect the relationship between
               employees and management, and between employees and the organisation they
               work for.
               IT-based performance management systems make information more easily
               accessible. As a result of improved communication and more convenient
               methods of communication, it is often possible for managers to organise and
               control the activities of a larger number of subordinates. In other words’ the ‘span
               of control’ within an organisation may become much wider.
               Communication systems, particularly e-mail, allow any individual to contact
               anyone else. It is possible for a junior employee to send an e-mail direct to the
               CEO, without the message having to pass through a number of intermediate
               managers.
               In some organisations, there has been some reduction in management
               hierarchies. Organisations can operate efficiently with a ‘flatter’ structure (fewer
               levels of management).
                      Although a function of management is to provide information and
                       communication, a large part of this activity can be ‘automated’.
                      Since employees are able to access information themselves, for example
                       from an intranet database, it is often possible to delegate more
                       responsibility to operating staff, thereby reducing the need for junior
                       management or supervisory staff.
       2.2 The effect of home working on an organisation
               IT has made it much easier for individuals to work from home. For an
               organisation, the benefits of home-working include:
                      A reduction in the need for office accommodation, and so a saving in costs
                      Providing more attractive working conditions for individuals who would
                       prefer to work from home instead of commuting into work: for example,
                       home-working may attract individuals wishing to work from home because
                       of family commitments
                      Limited disruption to work in the event of a major transport strike.
© Emile Woolf International                         943          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                  Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
               There are also disadvantages with home working:
                      Management. It may be more difficult to exercise management control over
                       individuals who work in a distant location (from home) rather than in direct
                       contact in an office. For example, it can be difficult to co-ordinate the
                       activities of several different home-workers.
                      Employees are likely to feel more distant and isolated, and might need
                       strong self-motivation to work effectively.
                      When employees work from home, it is very difficult to make them feel a
                       member of a work team.
               Implications of groupware for team-building
               The same ‘social problem’ may arise when groupware is used to help individuals
               to work together as an electronic team. Groupware allows individuals to function
               as a ‘team’ without having to be in close physical proximity to each other. For
               example, groupware may allow team members to ‘meet’ and ‘discuss’ problems
               electronically, when they are geographically far apart. This affects working
               relationships, because teams linked electronically are unlikely to ‘bond’ as
               effectively as a team whose members all work in the same office.
       2.3 E-mail and work practices
               E-mail has had a profound effect on the way that individuals work with each
               other.
               E-mail, the Internet and mobile telephone technology have all created a culture in
               which individuals expect immediate access to information and immediate
               responses to queries. Communication has become much faster, and in many
               cases, this means that tasks are accomplished more quickly, and organisations
               operate more efficiently.
               Disadvantages of e-mail
               Although e-mail improves communication, and so can improve the efficiency and
               effectiveness of a business, there are some potential disadvantages that need to
               be controlled, such as:
                      E-mail users may receive large amounts of junk mail (‘spam’ mail),
                       although this can be reduced by anti-spam software.
                      E-mails may expose a user’s computer system to viruses.
                      There can be a security problem, when information is sent to someone by
                       e-mail without checking whether the person is authorised to receive it.
                      Employees may get involved in ‘chatting’ to other individuals by e-mail, for
                       example by exchanging gossip or jokes. Friendly exchanges of this sort can
                       become time-consuming.
                      Many users tend to respond immediately to e-mail messages, when their
                       time would be better spent concentrating on more urgent issues in hand.
                       Individuals sending e-mails often expect an immediate response, and are
                       (unjustifiably) annoyed if they do not get a quick reply.
                      There is a tendency for users to send e-mail messages without properly
                       checking what they are sending. Messages may contain many typing errors
                       and other mistakes, and the sender may forget to attach documents or may
                       attach the wrong documents.
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Performance management
               Some of the disadvantages of e-mail are ‘technical’ problems, but many are
               linked to employee behaviour – for example, importing viruses, excessive use of
               e-mail for chatting, inefficient use of time and prioritising of work.
               Using e-mail within an organisation therefore has implications for control over e-
               mail use, and the ways in which this control should be applied. This affects
               management/employee relationships.
       2.4 De-skilling of operatives
               As a result of IT, some labour skills have been lost, or replaced by other skills.
               The automation of many operations removes or reduces the need for individuals
               to acquire specialist skills.
               De-skilling has occurred in many aspects of work. For example, many
               engineering skills have been automated. Computers can be used to check for
               faults in an item of equipment (for example, a car) instead of relying on the skills
               of individual engineers.
               Computer systems are also used to automate procedures, such as handling
               telephone calls from customers. Telephone operatives may be required to follow
               the procedures set out on a computer screen when dealing with a customer
               query or complaint, instead of using their initiative.
               Consequences of de-skilling may be:
                      For the employer, a saving in employment costs (because employees do
                       not have to be as highly-skilled) and lower training costs
                      For the employee, a loss of interest in the work and pride in performance.
       2.5 Socio-technical system design
               Socio-technical system design is an approach to the design of IT systems that
               recognises social factors in the operation of the system as well as technical
               factors. The most efficient IT systems are those that satisfy the needs of the
               system users for social interaction in the work that they do, as well as performing
               their ‘technical functions’.
               Technical aspects
               The technical aspects of system design are concerned with identifying the
               operational requirements for the system, and designing a system to meet those
               requirements.
               Social aspects
               The social aspects of system design are concerned with identifying the social
               needs that a system satisfies for employees that use it. Social needs (or personal
               needs) include:
                      The desire to be a part of a team with other employees, and to
                       communicate with them regularly
                      The desire to communicate with other people outside the organisation
                      The need to feel that the work requires some skill
                      The need for variety in the work
                      The need for some authority and responsibility.
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               A risk with computers is that they isolate individuals, even when working
               together. Employees may spend too much of their time looking at screens, and
               not enough time in conversation with others.
               However, opportunities for socio-technical system design may well improve over
               time. Wireless broadband creates the opportunity for individuals to move around
               with their computer, whilst remaining connected to the Internet. This may provide
               opportunities for individuals to work together more using their portable or laptop
               computers. Visual communication methods may be used to create a better sense
               of familiarity with distant work colleagues.
               When ‘social features’ cannot be built into an IT system, social interaction for
               employees, and/or a sense of belonging to a team may be provided in other
               ways. For example, if employees are required to work at computer screens for
               much of the time, a ‘break-out area’ may be provided, where they are
               encouraged to take time out and relax for a while.
               An appropriate socio-technical design for an IT system will vary according to the
               nature of the system. The key point, however, is that IS/IT system design should
               not ignore the ‘human aspect’ of how the system will operate and the effect that it
               will have on its users. A failure to consider the human aspect will probably result
               in user resistance to the new system and low enthusiasm for the work – and the
               end result will be an inefficient or ineffective system.
3      PROBLEM AREAS: ORGANISATIONAL IMPACT ANALYSIS
         Section overview
             Problem areas when implementing an IS
             Organisational impact analysis
       3.1 Problem areas when implementing an IS
               When an information system is designed, developed and implemented, several
               problem areas must be managed carefully.
                      The new system should contribute to the economic, financial or operational
                       performance of the organisation. However, when a new system is
                       developed, a ‘balance’ or compromise must often be made between:
                             a system that meets the user’s requirements exactly, and the ‘quality’
                              of the system design
                             keeping costs within acceptable limits, and
                             implementing the system within an acceptable time scale.
                       It is generally impossible to develop and implement a system of the highest
                       quality within a short time scale and for a low cost.
                      The new system is likely to have an impact on organisational and social
                       matters, and in doing so, may arouse strong resistance and hostility form
                       the intended users of the system.
               Research has shown that organisational and social issues are significant factors
               causing new information systems to fail. Even when management have shown an
               awareness of these problems, their actions are often ‘too little, too late’.
               A new IS system is ‘likely to have a significant impact upon an organisation’s
               culture, structure and working practices’.
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               Since organisational issues can be a major problem area, it would make sense to
               consider them carefully at an early stage in an IS project, and try to deal with the
               problems that are identified.
       3.2 Organisational impact analysis
               ‘Organisational impact analysis’ is, as its name suggests, the analysis of the likely
               impact of a new system on an organisation, including cultural, structural and
               political issues and the effect on working practices. It should be carried out at an
               early stage of a system development, and should not be left until it is too late to
               take suitable measures to deal with problems.
               Organisational impact analysis should be carried out together with an analysis of
               the contribution that the new system will make to the organisation, in terms of
               economic benefit or the achievement of strategic goals.
               The following issues should all be considered at an early stage in the project
               development, up to the implementation of the new system, as well as in a post-
               implementation review.
               Contribution of the system to the economic and strategic goals of the organisation
                      There should be a regular analysis of the projected benefits from a new
                       system, to assess whether the system is still expected to meet the
                       organisation’s needs within an acceptable time scale and for an acceptable
                       cost.
                      The proposed system should conform to the current IS/IT strategy of the
                       organisation. (If it does not, the project should be abandoned, or IS/It
                       strategy should be reviewed and changed.)
                      Resources should be allocated to an IS project, so that priority is given to
                       the most important parts of the project. This can be achieved using the
                       spiral model approach to system development, which is explained later.
                      Management should be aware of the need to think about business
                       process re-engineering (BPR) in conjunction with developing a major new
                       system.
                      A new system should be designed to support planned future changes in the
                       organisation, and so may need to be flexible in order to allow for these
                       future changes when they occur. Management should not focus on current
                       requirements and ignore planned changes in the future.
               Human-related issues
               Human-related issues should be considered.
                      Training. Management should assess whether a suitable and sufficient
                       training programme has been planned for all users of the system.
                      It may be necessary to consider health and safety aspects of using the new
                       system, or ergonomic factors. For example, there may be risks from a new
                       system to the eye sight of users (from working at computer screens), or
                       other aspects of their health. There may be a need for specially-designed
                       chairs for computer users, or a need for regular health check-ups.
                      The motivation and needs of system users should be considered. There
                       should be an assessment of how the motivation and needs of the system
                       users will be satisfied (if at all) by the implementation of the new system.
                      There should be an assessment of the working styles and the IT skills of
                       the individuals who will be the system users, to decide the implications
                       these may have for system design or training needs.
                      Job re-design- There should also be an assessment at an early stage in
                       the system design of whether the new system will change the job
                       specifications of individuals and the relative importance of their work.
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               All these human-related issues could lead to strong resistance to the new
               system.
               System implementation
               Another aspect of organisational impact analysis should be the period of
               transition from the old system to the new system, when the new system is
               eventually implemented. Again, this analysis should begin at an early stage in the
               project development.
                      Management should carry out an assessment of how the planned timing of
                       the new system implementation will interact with any other planned
                       changes in the organisation that will be expected at about the same time.
                      There should also be an assessment of the likely disruption to the
                       organisation that implementing the new system will cause, and how long
                       this disruption might last.
               Organisation structure, culture and power
               There should be an assessment of how the new system will have an impact on:
                      The structure of the organisation (for example, will the management
                       hierarchy become ‘flatter’, will there be more centralisation or
                       decentralisation of authority, or will there be job losses or transfers of staff
                       to other work?)
                      The culture of the organisation (defined as ‘the set of important
                       assumptions, often un-stated, which members of an organisation share in
                       common’)
                      The balance of power within the organisation. Information (and knowledge)
                       gives power to the individuals who control it. An information system may
                       alter the balance of power. If this can be foreseen, management can
                       anticipate the political implications of introducing the new system.
               Organisational impact analysis is needed because it helps management to
               identify the potential problems that anew system might create, and do something
               to resolve the problems before it is too late for effective measures.
4      SUCCESS AND FAILURE OF INFORMATION SYSTEMS
         Section overview
             Measuring the success of a new information system
             Reasons why IT projects fail
             Risks in a new system development
             Managing the risks of project failure: external integration, internal integration,
              formal planning and formal control
       4.1 Measuring the success of a new information system
               The aim of management should be to ensure as much as possible that each new
               information system is a success. The factors that determine success for a new IS
               are as follows:
                      Achieving the objectives of the system. Did the system achieve its
                       objectives? The system objectives should have been identified clearly when
                       the decision to develop the project was made. Actual achievements should
                       be compared with these objectives.
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                      Financial benefits. A new system may achieve financial benefits, for
                       example from savings in operational costs or from profits resulting from
                       higher sales. The actual financial benefits should be compared with the
                       benefits that were expected when the decision to develop the project was
                       made.
                      User satisfaction. The success of a new system may be measured in
                       terms of user satisfaction. Is the system helping users with their work? Do
                       users have good things to say about the system?
                      Level of usage. The success of a system can also be measured by the
                       amount that it is used. High levels of usage suggest that the system is
                       successful – and user satisfaction is high.
                      System availability. Some new systems have problems with large
                       amounts of down-time, when the system is not operating due to a hardware
                       or software fault. If a requirement of the system is that it should be
                       operational for as much time as possible, the success (or failure) of a
                       system might be measured by the amount of down-time that it experiences.
                      Difficulty using the system. The success of a system may be assessed
                       according to whether it is user-friendly. A system cannot be a complete
                       success if users have difficulty operating it. The number of calls to the help
                       desk, and the nature of those calls, may therefore be a useful way of
                       monitoring the success – or failure – of a system.
               Success of IT development projects
               The success factors listed above are the factors that determine the relative
               success or failure of a new system after it has been implemented. Another factor
               in the success of a system is the project development –the work carried out to
               design and develop the system prior to implementation.
               Key factors for success of a system development project include:
               Aims:
                      The project should be clearly defined.
               Organisation:
                      The project should have sufficient resources.
                      Control mechanisms should be in place and used.
                      The project must have the support of top management.
                      Communication channels should be adequate.
                      There should be capability for feedback, and comparing actual progress
                       with the budget or target.
                      IT contractors should be responsive to their clients.
               People:
                      The project manager should be competent
                      The project team should be competent.
       4.2 Reasons why IT projects fail
               The nature of project failure
               Failure is the opposite of success. The factors that determine whether a system
               is a success also determine whether it is a failure. Success and failure are both
               relative measures – there are differing degrees of success or failure. Some
               systems are more successful than others. Some are much bigger failures than
               others.
               A new system may be described as a failure when any of the following outcomes
© Emile Woolf International                         949         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               occurs:
                      The development project is abandoned before the development work is
                       completed, or before the system is implemented.
                      The project costs much more to develop than expected (and/or costs much
                       more to operate than expected).
                      The new system is implemented, but meets strong user resistance, and the
                       system is not used as much as expected.
                      The system is implemented but fails to meet all the user’s requirements.
                      The system functions inefficiently.
                      The development project is completed much later than planned.
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                 Example: new system failure
                 A brief example of a system failure is a computerised command and control
                 service introduced by the London Ambulance Service some years ago. The new
                 system failed badly, and ambulances sometimes took very long times to reach
                 the scene of an accident. The system cost a large amount of public money, and
                 was claimed to have cost a number of patients their lives.
                 PEST factors contributing to system failure
                 The failure of an IT project may also be explained in terms of PEST factors
                 (political, economic, sociological and technological factors).
                 A study by Bray (1993) identified PEST factors as reasons for the failure of the
                 system.
                 Political factors- The government had published targets for achieving goals in
                 the health service, in the form of a ‘Patients’ Charter’. In order to meet the
                 targets in the Charter, deadlines for completion of the LAS project were far too
                 short.
                 Economic factors- Sixteen companies tendered for the contract to develop the
                 new IT system. The contract was given to the software company that submitted
                 the lowest bid, even though it has a limited track record in developing IT
                 systems.
                 Sociological factors- Ambulance staff were not given enough training in how
                 the new system operated.
                 Technological factors- The system did not work as well as it should have done.
                 The system operated slowly, and some telephone calls were lost.
               Risks of failure: during development and during implementation
               Projects can fail during the design and development work. The causes of failure
               during system development are mainly related to the issues of meeting user
               requirements (quality), cost and time scale.
               Projects can also fail when they are implemented. Although poor design may be
               a factor, failure may also be caused by strong user hostility or indifference to the
               system, and resistance to change. Resistance to change is considered in more
               detail later.
       4.3 Risks in a new system development
               Three key factors affect the risk for a system development project.
                      Size of the project. As a general rule, the risk of failure is greater for
                       development projects that are:
                             large, in terms of the amount of people and other resources required
                              to complete it
                             complex
                             expected to take a long time to complete
                             costly (there is a large budget for the project).
                       With a large project, there are more things that can go wrong. There are
                       more activities to plan, monitor and control. The individuals involved in the
                       project may not co-operate properly and so fail to work as an effective
                       team. When a large project fails, the cost is usually high.
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Performance management
                       In contrast, small projects usually involve only a small number of people
                       and a small budget. Even if they go wrong, the consequences are not as
                       great.
                      Structure of the project- The risk of failure is relatively low if the project
                       has a clear structure. A clear structure depends on having clear user
                       requirements, so that the project can be planned and scheduled with
                       reasonable confidence that the objectives of the system are properly
                       understood. The progress of the project can then be monitored, using
                       project management software and techniques such as critical path analysis
                       and budgetary control.
                       In contrast, there is a high risk of project failure if the requirements of the
                       user are not properly understood when the project begins, and the user
                       changes the requirements as the project is being developed.
                       Boehm’s spiral model of project development (described later) was
                       conceived as a way of reducing the risk in badly structured projects, where
                       user requirements are not properly understood when the development work
                       begins.
                      Experience with the technology- The project development risk is much
                       lower when the project involves technology that the project team knows
                       well. Experience with using a technology brings a better understanding of
                       its capabilities.
                       In contrast, when a new system involves new technology that the IT team is
                       dealing with for the first time, the technology will be new and unfamiliar.
                       The risk of failure is higher because technical problems may arise for which
                       the IT team cannot find an answer.
       4.4 Managing the risks of project failure: external integration, internal
           integration, formal planning and formal control
               A combination of external integration, internal integration, formal planning and
               formal control can be used to manage the risks in a development project. The
               choice of risk control methods should depend on the perceived size of the risk in
               the project.
                      External integration: external integration refers to measures that are used
                       to improve the relationship and communication between the project
                       development team and the system user (the ‘customer’ for the system).
                      Internal integration: internal integration refers to measures taken by the
                       project managers to make sure that the project team have the skills
                       required and work as a cohesive unit.
                      Formal planning and formal control: these are well-established ‘tools’ or
                       methods for the planning and control of system development projects.
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                                                Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
               The following table presents some examples of each of these.
                                                                          Formal planning and
                 External integration     Internal integration
                                                                          formal control tools
                 Regular                  Appointing a project            Critical path charts and
                 communications with      manager with relevant           critical path progress
                 the user.                skills and experience of        control.
                                          the technology.
                 User representation in   Appointing team                 Gantt charts for planning
                 the project team.        members with suitable           and control.
                                          skills and experience.          Budgetary control
                                          Outsourcing work where          systems.
                                          the team does not have          Use of project
                                          the skills required.            management software.
                 Formal procedures for    Building a cohesive
                 the user to review and   project team.
                 approve the system       Regular team meetings.
                 specifications.          Participation of team
                                          members in decisions
                                          affecting the design and
                                          development.
                 User involvement in
                 testing.
                 External integration     Internal integration
                 methods can reduce       methods are most
                 risk when user           appropriate when there
                 requirements are not     is a risk because the IT
                 properly understood      team may lack sufficient
                                          experience with the
                                          technology.
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Performance management
5      USER RESISTANCE TO NEW INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND CHANGE
         Section overview
          Reasons for user resistance
          People-oriented theory
             System-oriented theory
             Interaction theory
       5.1 Reasons for user resistance
               Users are often resistant to new information systems. They are reluctant to use a
               new system and criticise it strongly. When users are opposed to a new system,
               they are likely to want it to fail.
               It was stated earlier that organisational and social issues are a major factor in the
               failure of IS/IT systems, and some of the reasons for user resistance were
               considered within the context of organisational impact analysis.
               There are three general theories about the nature of user resistance. These are:
                      People-oriented theory
                      System-oriented theory
                      Interaction theory.
       5.2 People-oriented theory
               This theory concentrates on resistance to a new system because it is seen by
               individuals or groups of individuals as a threat to something that matters to them,
               such as their way of working or their social relationships at work.
               For example, resistance to a new system may arise from the fact that the system
               will call for more shift working and ‘unsociable’ hours of work. A system that
               allows users to work from home may be resisted by individuals who enjoy going
               to work because of the people they work with and the camaraderie. Managers
               may resist a new system for teleconferencing because they prefer the ‘old way’ of
               travelling to meet people face-to-face.
       5.3 System-oriented theory
               This theory concentrates on resistance to a new system because of
               dissatisfaction with the system design. The user interface with the system may be
               difficult to understand and use or the users may have difficulty making the system
               work.
               The user interface may be badly designed, so that the screens are not user
               friendly, and users may not get suitable on-screen prompts to tell them what to
               do next.
               The system may also be badly-designed and does not fully meet user
               requirements. Clearly, if this happens users will criticise the system and will not
               want to use it.
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                                                  Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
       5.4 Interaction theory
               This theory concentrates on the interaction between the system and its users,
               and the implications for the role of users in their organisation. It is based on the
               view that even if the system is well-designed, it could meet resistance from users
               who are concerned for the effect of the new system on their status or importance
               at work.
                      A new system may be seen as a threat to a person’s job – for example, a
                       new robotics system may threaten the jobs of production workers, and new
                       transaction processing systems may threaten the jobs of office workers.
                      A new system may be seen as a threat to the status or importance of
                       someone in their job. Skills that individuals used before the system was
                       introduced may be replaced by automated processing – for example, an
                       expert system may take away some of the ‘status’ of the experts who use it.
                      A new system may result in changes to bonus pay arrangements, and
                       users of the system may be worried that their bonus payments will fall as a
                       result of introducing the new system.
               Interaction theory is based on the view that even if the system is well-designed, it
               could meet resistance from users who are concerned for the effect of the new
               system on their status or importance at work.
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Performance management
6      LEWIN’S ‘THREE STAGE’ CHANGE PROCESS
         Section overview
          Accepting change
          Three stages in the change process
             Unfreeze
             Change (or movement)
             Re-freeze
       6.1 Accepting change
               Kurt Lewin, a social psychologist, suggested a three-stage process for
               introducing major change into an organisation. His ideas were based on the view
               that:
                      It is often difficult to persuade people that change is desirable and will have
                       a positive effect
                      People need to be persuaded of the need for change before the change is
                       made, and
                      After a change has been made, there is a danger that individuals will
                       eventually return to the ‘old way of doing things’, so that the effects and
                       benefits of the change will soon be lost.
               He argued that when a change is planned, it is essential to understand:
                      Why the change is necessary – What are the problems with the current way
                       of doing things?
                      What opportunities there are for improvement – Why might change be
                       desirable? What benefits will change bring?
               These are the keys issues that will persuade the individuals affected to accept
               the need for change.
       6.2 Three stages in the change process
               Planned change should then go through a three-stage process. Lewin called
               these:
                      Unfreeze
                      Change (or Movement), and
                      Re-freeze.
       6.3 Unfreeze
               This is the first stage in the change process. It is the process of getting the
               individuals affected to recognise that change is desirable. Unless they recognise
               that change is desirable and will improve the situation, they will remain ‘frozen’ in
               the belief that the current state of affairs should not be altered.
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               There are two aspects to ‘unfreezing’ attitudes.
                      Individuals need to be dissatisfied with the current state of affairs.
                      They should then be persuaded that the plans for change are attractive,
                       and will provide desirable improvements.
               Unfreezing therefore calls for the ‘human management’ skills of communication
               and persuasion. Lewin would argue that it sometimes helps to target the
               individuals who are most opposed to change, and try to win them over to the
               need for change. If management can persuade the strongest opponents, it
               should be a much easier task to persuade everyone else.
       6.4 Change (or movement)
               The second stage in the process is to make the change. This involves moving
               from the old way of doing things to the new way. Lewin argued that the changes
               should not be implemented until the ‘unfreeze’ stage is successfully finished.
               Changes should be introduced successfully when management have the full
               support of the individuals affected.
                      Managers responsible for making the change should be given sufficient
                       resources, including money, to do the job properly.
                      Implementing the change is more likely to be successful when the
                       individuals affected are allowed to participate closely in the process.
                       Individuals should be encouraged to provide ideas and offer suggestions
                       for dealing with unexpected problems.
               Throughout this stage of the change process, it is important to recognise the
               need for continuing support for the change. Opposition to the change might
               emerge from individuals or groups affected. The response to opposition should
               not be to force through the change regardless. Management should try to
               understand the resistance, discuss the problems with the individuals or groups
               affected, and find a way of reaching a solution.
               For example, resistance to a change may come from employees who are worried
               about the effect it will have on their working conditions or pay arrangements. A
               solution may be found by offering improved working conditions, or improved pay
               and bonus arrangements.
       6.5 Re-freeze
               Lewin’s third and final stage in the planned change process is ‘re-freeze’. Even if
               a change is implemented successfully, there is a serious risk that the effects of
               the change will be lost because the natural tendency of individuals is to go back
               to old habits and old ways of thinking.
               Re-freezing is the process of making sure that the new way of doing things
               becomes well-established. The attitudes of individuals must be frozen again, but
               this time frozen into the view that the new system is good and desirable.
               Lewin argued that a good way of getting individuals to accept change is to reward
               them. Rewards might be given through higher pay, bonus incentives or through
               greater job satisfaction.
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Performance management
                 Example: British Airways
                 A well-known example of the ‘unfreeze, change, re-freeze’ model is the
                 privatisation of British Airways many years ago.
                 British Airways used to be a state-owned public corporation. It was changed into a
                 commercial company with a service-oriented and market-driven culture. The
                 planned changes were extensive, and included a high level of job losses and
                 reducing the number of levels in the management hierarchy.
                 The change was introduced successfully, by a process similar to Lewin-s three-
                 stage model.
                         Unfreeze- The organisation recruited a new CEO externally. He had a strong
                         marketing background. A number of task forces were established to look
                         into different aspects of the changes required. There were extensive
                         discussions with staff and their representatives. A high priority was given to
                         training and re-training of staff, especially in the area of customer services.
                         Change- The changes were implemented, but were reinforced by training
                         programmes about the changes for senior and middle management, and
                         participation by other employees through question-and-answer sessions.
                         Re-freeze- Individuals supporting the changes were rewarded with
                         promotion. New performance-related pay schemes were introduced. Job
                         satisfaction was also enhanced by introducing new company uniforms and
                         creating a new corporate image with a new logo.
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                                                    Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
7      MANAGING CHANGE
         Section overview
          Strategy for change management
          Requirements for successful change
             Formal planning for change
             Boehm’s spiral model
             Using the spiral model approach
             The advantages of the spiral model approach
       7.1 Strategy for change management
               Introducing a new IS/IT system is often a big change for an organisation, and it
               can be difficult to manage major changes successfully.
                      Making a planned change is about getting from where we are to where we
                       want to be.
                      As Lewin suggested, the change process goes through several stages:
                       planning and creating a motivation to change, making the change and then
                       keeping it in place after it has been implemented.
                      There are several other requirements for successful change, which are
                       described below.
               When implementing a new information system is a major change, it should be
               planned well in advance, with a formal plan for how the change should be
               introduced.
       7.2 Requirements for successful change
               There are several requirements for introducing change successfully. Many of
               these relate to the skills of management.
                      Why is the change needed? There has to be a clear understanding of why
                       the new system is needed, and the benefits that it will provide. All the
                       people involved: need to know
                             need to know the purpose of the new system
                             have a good idea of what the desired end-result will be.
                      What changes are needed? There must also be an understanding of what
                       will need to change and what will not change. The organisational and social
                       aspects of change should be recognised, as well as the operational
                       changes.
                      There should be a formal plan for making these changes.
                      Planning the change process ought to involve the people affected. User
                       participation in the change planning and the implementation of changes will
                       improve the chances of success. Where possible, the users of the new
                       system should be encouraged to ‘take ownership’ of the system and
                       commit themselves to the changes. Acceptance of a new system, as Lewin
                       suggested, can be reinforced by reward systems.
© Emile Woolf International                         959           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
                      Good management. Successful change calls for skilled management and
                       leadership.
                      Senior management must demonstrate commitment. This is shown by an
                       attitude such as: ‘We’ll keep trying until we get it right’.
                      There must also be effective communication, between management,
                       system developers and the system users.
                      There should be co-ordination of the efforts and activities of everyone
                       involved in the project development and implementation. Formal planning is
                       an aid to co-ordination. The new system should also be properly integrated
                       with existing systems.
       7.3 Formal planning for change
               A major new IS/IT system cannot be introduced successfully without careful
               planning. However, plans should be flexible, and adapted as circumstances
               dictate.
                      The costs of system development (and implementation and operation) can
                       be controlled through processes such as budgeting and budgetary control.
                      There should be a timetable for the project development, including a
                       timetable for training, testing and implementation. The progress of a project
                       towards completion and implementation can be monitored by formal
                       planning techniques such as critical path analysis (CPA).
                      There should be a plan for the implementation process itself, so as to keep
                       the disruption under control. One aspect of planning the implementation
                       process is to decide:
                             whether the new system will be introduced in full to replace the ‘old
                              system’ immediately, or
                             whether the system should be introduced in a ‘piecemeal’ way, one
                              part at a time, or
                             whether there should be parallel running of the old and new systems
                              side-by-side until the new system is well-established
                             whether the new system should be ‘pilot tested’ in one area or region
                              first before it is introduced to the rest of the organisation.
                      A major risk is the risk that the new system will fail to meet user
                       requirements and expectations. One way of managing change in a way that
                       reduces this risk is the so-called ‘spiral model’ approach.
       7.4 Boehm’s spiral model
               Boehm’s spiral model (1988) was developed as a way of designing and
               implementing a new IS/IT system. A feature of the spiral model is that the new
               system is introduced as a series of prototypes. Each successive prototype should
               make the system conform more closely to user requirements, and (through user
               participation in the testing of prototypes and suggesting improvements) reduce
               user resistance.
               Features of the spiral model
               The spiral model was conceived as a method of systems development that
               minimises the risk of developing a new IS/IT system that does not meet user
               requirements, and so becomes an expensive failure.
© Emile Woolf International                         960          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                  Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
               It minimises the risk because the approach:
                      keeps the user involved throughout the development process
                      allows the user to evaluate the system at several stages in the
                       development, and to alter the system requirements at each stage.
               Its key characteristic is flexibility. It can be adapted as the user recognises
               different priorities and different requirements.
               It is therefore a suitable approach for the development of new IS/IT systems that
               will introduce substantial changes into the user’s way of operating.
               A working system is developed in stages. At each stage, a new version of the
               system is implemented. The user becomes more familiar with the system with
               each successive working version of the system, and an understanding builds up
               at each stage about:
                      what the current version of the system allows the user to do
                      what the current version of system does not do
                      what the user would like the system to do that the current version does not
                      what further changes are desirable that should be included in the next
                       working version of the system.
               A further advantage of the spiral model is that successive working versions of the
               system are tested, and design faults and weaknesses should become apparent
               at an early stage.
       7.5 Using the spiral model approach
               The spiral model approach uses incremental development for a new IS/IT
               system.
               The user is asked to specify requirements for the new system, and to prioritise
               these requirements.
               A version of the new system is designed to incorporate the main user
               requirements. The first version of the system is designed, programmed, tested
               and implemented.
               The user gains experience from the first version of the working model to discover
               whether the system works reasonably well. Any weaknesses in the system can
               be identified. The user can also find out, from working with the current version of
               the system, whether there are additional features that should be included in the
               system to make it better.
               A second version of the system is produced, to include the most important
               changes that have been identified. This second version is then implemented, and
               the user is able to use the experience from this new version to identify more
               changes and improvements.
               A third version of the system is then produced. This process repeats itself, with
               as many versions of the new system produced as necessary, until the user’s
               requirements are fully satisfied.
               By developing a new system in this way:
                      the project is delivered in a large number of small phases
                      the new system is evaluated and gradually incorporated into the user’s
                       operating environment.
© Emile Woolf International                        961          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
               The activities repeated at each stage in the spiral
               There are four activities at each repeated stage of the spiral model:
                      planning – deciding the requirements for the next version of the model.
                       Planning for the next version is based on priorities: which new function is
                       most required by the user, or which existing function of the system needs
                       changing and improving the most
                      risk analysis – identifying what might go wrong with the new version, and
                       working out how to minimise the risk
                      engineering – designing, implementing and testing the new version
                      customer evaluation – giving the user the opportunity to evaluate the new
                       version and identify further changes and improvements.
               The incremental approach can be shown in a diagram as a spiral, working out
               from version 1 at the centre, with an additional loop in the spiral for each
               successive version of the system.
               A simplified version of a spiral model diagram is shown below.
                                     General concept of the spiral model
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                                                    Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems
       7.6 The advantages of the spiral model approach
               The spiral model approach to systems design has several advantages.
                      It is highly flexible. It allows the user to make changes to requirements as
                       the systems development progresses. It is therefore well-suited to system
                       development when the new system will introduce substantial changes.
                      Because a working version of the system is produced before the final
                       version is reached, the new system can be introduced quickly.
                      The user is closely involved in the development, evaluates each working
                       version and identifies new requirements at each stage.
                      The risk that the system will be a failure is significantly reduced because:
                             the user gains experience and familiarity with a working version of the
                              system at an early stage
                             for each successive version of the system, there is a formal risk
                              analysis process: the possible risks are identified, and efforts are
                              made to minimise the risks that something will go wrong.
8      EXAMPLES OF MANAGING CHANGE
         Section overview
             Company takeovers and mergers: the consequences for IS/IT systems
             Legacy information systems
             Legacy systems: the strategic problem
       8.1 Company takeovers and mergers: the consequences for IS/IT systems
               When two companies in the same business merge, or when one company takes
               over another, a strategic decision has to be taken about IS/IT systems.
               In the short term, it may be necessary to continue with two different systems, but
               in the longer term this is not an acceptable strategy. Operating with different IS/IT
               systems will be inefficient, and it will be difficult to align IS strategy with business
               strategy for two different sets of IS systems.
               A decision will therefore have to be made between:
                      Transferring the systems of one of the companies to the systems of the
                       other company, or
                      Designing new IS/IT systems for the enlarged company.
               Technological issues
               The biggest problems with integrating the IS/IT systems of two different
               companies are usually technical.
                      Almost certainly, the two companies will have different IS/IT systems that
                       are not compatible. The systems of one company will not be able to ‘talk’
                       top the systems of the other.
                      The computer networks of the two companies may be structured differently.
                       For example, one company may have a centralised network with a central
                       minicomputer and database; whereas the other company may have a
                       distributed network of servers.
                      Both companies may have databases, but the data on each may be
© Emile Woolf International                          963          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                       structured in a very different way. For example, one company may have a
                       hierarchical database and the other may have a relational database.
                      One company may have a large IT department with full-time IT staff,
                       whereas the other company may work with only a small IT team and
                       outsource most of its IT work.
               Sociological issues
               Although technical issues are usually the biggest hurdle to the integration of IS/IT
               systems after a merger or takeover, sociological or ‘human’ issues may also be
               significant.
                      After a merger or takeover, there may be an excess of IS/IT staff, and staff
                       will be worried about their jobs.
                      This concern about jobs may lead to a bad working relationship between IT
                       managers from the different companies – there cannot be two ‘bosses’, so
                       which one will lose his job?
                      It is often difficult to get employees to accept major changes. A merger or
                       large takeover usually leads to major changes for an organisation. There
                       will often be a re-organisation of work and responsibilities. In some cases,
                       employees may have to be re-trained in new skills.
       8.2 Legacy information systems
               Definition of legacy systems
               Legacy information systems (or legacy IT systems) are IT systems that are an
               inheritance from the past. They have been defined in several ways, often in a
               negative way. Here are several definitions.
               A legacy system is:
                      ‘A computer system or application program which continues to be used
                       because of the prohibitive cost of replacing or re-designing it and despite its
                       poor competitiveness and compatibility with modern equivalents.’ (Howe)
                      ‘any information system that significantly resists modification and evolution
                       to meet new and constantly-changing business requirements.’ (Brodie and
                       Stonebraker)
                      ‘Large software systems that we don’t know how to cope with but are vital
                       to an organisation.’ (Bennett).
               Features of legacy systems
               Significant features of legacy systems are that:
                      They are long-established systems that might have been introduced into an
                       organisation as long ago as the 1970s or 1980s.
                      The technology used by the system has been overtaken by newer
                       technology, or by new business objectives and strategies. If the legacy
                       system uses a database, this is likely to be a hierarchical database, rather
                       than a relational database.
                      They have been modified since their introduction, but there is now a limit to
                       the amount of further modification that could be made.
                      Because they have been in use for so long, they are very reliable.
                      They are strategically very important. Many of them support ‘mission-
                       critical’ operations. Replacing them could therefore be very risky, because
                       the change-over could go wrong.
                      Replacing them would also be very expensive.
                      Because they are old systems, they do not provide much, or any,
                       competitive advantage.
© Emile Woolf International                        964          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               Many legacy systems developed in the 1970s and 1980s were written in old
               computer languages such as COBOL\and FORTRAN. They were originally
               designed for use with hardware such as magnetic tape drives and magnetic disc
               drives, and for computers with fairly limited internal storage capacity. The
               systems have been ‘modernised’ since their introduction, but there are limits to
               how much more change and adaptation is possible.
               There are other features of legacy systems.
                      Because they are reliable systems, legacy systems could be more reliable
                       than any new system that is introduced to replace them.
                      They might contain large amounts of vitally important business data
                      Because they have been used for such a long time, employees are very
                       familiar with them and know how they operate in excellent detail. Legacy
                       systems therefore operate efficiently.
                      The systems have been amended and altered so much since they were
                       first developed that there is no proper documentation of the system design
                       and about how the system functions. Since there is little or no system
                       documentation, IT staff have to interpret the coding of the old programs in
                       order to understand what they do and how they function.
       8.3 Legacy systems: the strategic problem
               The cost of legacy systems
               Legacy systems are very expensive to operate. A large part of the problem is that
               whenever the system has to be updated, the cost of the update is very high.
               IT staff do not have any reliable documentation to help them, and the only way
               they can understand how the system operates is often to read the old program
               coding. This is time-consuming (and so expensive) and prone to error.
               Brodie and Stonebraker (1995) claimed that the maintenance of a legacy system
               could use up as much as 80% of an entire IT budget. If so, this leaves very little
               money in the budget for spending on new IT developments.
               On the other hand, replacing a legacy system with a new IT system could be
               extremely expensive. In addition, there would be a risk of loss or corruption to the
               vital business data on the system.
               Whether – and when – to replace legacy systems
               The key strategic problem with legacy systems is therefore:
                      Whether to replace it – at high risk and high cost, or
                      Whether to continue to use it – with high operating costs and no
                       competitive advantage from the system.
               An additional problem is that whenever a new IT system is introduced, it will be
               modified and amended over time to meet new demands and requirements of
               users, but will not be replaced. In time, these new IT systems will become legacy
               systems themselves.
               The problem of deciding when and whether to replace a legacy system does not
               go away until the system is eventually replaced.
               Eventually, the high cost of legacy system maintenance and the need to remain
               competitive will eventually lead to the replacement of a legacy system. When a
               legacy system is replaced:
                      A key decision is to decide when to replace it
                      The cost of replacing it will be high
                      The replacement system will probably have to integrate efficiently with
                       other IS/IT systems
© Emile Woolf International                         965        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      There will also be a requirement to improve the functionality of existing
                       systems, which means that it will probably be impossible to write a complex
                       system to replace a legacy system on a 1-for-1 basis.
               Legacy systems and acquisitions
               When a company grows by mergers and acquisitions, it will often acquire other
               companies with their own legacy systems. A group of companies may
               therefore,
               consist of several companies in the same industry, each with their own legacy
               systems that are incompatible with each other, and incapable of ‘talking’ to each
               other.
               There is a very high cost and risk involved in introducing a new IT system for
               several companies in a group, each with its own different legacy system and
               slightly different user needs.
9      PROJECT MONITORING AND CONTROL
         Section overview
             Introduction
             Quality, time and cost
             Monitoring completion times: slippage
             Amending a CPA chart
             Project management software
             Managing the team
             Role of the accountant
       9.1 Introduction
               The project manager has the primary responsibility for monitoring and control of
               projects during their development stage. However, the project manager is
               accountable to the project steering committee, or the project sponsor or the
               system user (the customer).
               The project steering committee might appoint a Project Assurance team, to
               carry out an independent monitoring role. This team would discuss progress at
               regular intervals with the project manager. It should also satisfy itself that each
               milestone for the project has been successfully reached.
       9.2 Quality, time and cost
               The main aspects of a project that should be monitored and controlled are
               quality, completion times and cost.
                      The quality of the work carried out for the project development can be
                       monitored by comparing actual achievements against the requirements that
                       are set out in the project quality plan.
                      The completion time for the project can be monitored by comparing the
                       planned completion times for the critical path activities with the actual
                       completion times.
                      Costs can be monitored by comparing actual expenditure with budgeted
                       expenditure, on a regular basis (for example, in monthly budgetary control
                       reports).
© Emile Woolf International                         966          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
       9.3 Monitoring completion times: slippage
               A CPA chart can be used by the project manager to:
                      Check whether the time-critical activities are being completed on schedule
                      Recognise by how much non-critical activities can be delayed without
                       risking the completion time for the project as a whole
                      Recognise when the completion time for an activity has over-run the schedule
                       (and there is ‘slippage’ in the timetable for completion) and analyse what the
                       consequences of the slippage will be for the completion time for the entire
                       project
                      Allocate extra resources to time-critical activities if there is a risk of delay,
                       or if the expected slippage is unacceptable.
       9.4 Amending a CPA chart
               A CPA chart is a management tool to assist project managers with the control
               over the project completion time. If the chart gets out of date, because critical
               dates are missed, or because new estimates are prepared for the expected time
               to complete individual activities, the CPA chart can be updated and re-drawn.
               It is important to remember that the CPA chart should have practical value. If it
               ceases to provide realistic information, it is no longer of any value to a project
               manager.
       9.5 Project management software
               Project managers may use off-the-shelf project management software to help
               them to plan, monitor and control a project. The software enables project
               managers to use project management techniques with the assistance of a PC or
               laptop computer.
                 Example: Project management software
                 An example of project management software is Microsoft Project.
               Features of project management software
               Typically, project management software helps project managers to:
                      Create a list of tasks for the project and their expected duration
                      Construct a CPA chart or a Gantt chart
                      Assign resources to each task
                      Prepare a budget for the project
                      Track the progress of tasks (and update the CPA chart from time to time)
                      Record and monitor actual costs
                      Manage the documents for the project
                      Prepare progress reports
               Software helps the project managers to amend plans more quickly, and prepare
               revised CPA charts and Gantt charts, and revised budgets.
               It also helps managers to prepare better and more comprehensive project
               documentation.
© Emile Woolf International                          967           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               The main functions/benefits of project management software
               The main functions of project management software can be summarised as
               follows:
                      To produce and edit CPA charts or Gantt charts easily. The project
                       manager simply has to enter the activities, their interdependencies and
                       their expected duration. The software will then construct the CPA chart or
                       Gantt chart automatically. Charts can also be amended when project
                       activities are changed. They can also be updated to the current position at
                       any time during the project, for example when there has been slippage, so
                       that the project manager can establish the current expected completion
                       time for the project.
                      To provide an accounting function for the project, by helping the project
                       manager to prepare a budget, record actual expenditure and monitor actual
                       costs against the budget.
                      To plan and monitor the use of resources on the project, particularly the
                       number of staff working on the project. The project manager can enter the
                       staff requirements for each activity, and the software will produce a detailed
                       estimate of staff numbers required each day or week of the project. Where
                       the resources required exceeds the resources available, the project
                       manager can then use the software to look for ways of reducing staff
                       requirements at peak times without affecting the overall project completion
                       time, by
                             delaying the start of non-critical activities, or
                             reducing the number of staff assigned to non-critical activities and
                              allowing these activities to take a longer time to complete.
       9.6 Managing the team
               As well as the technical team management responsibilities described above the
               team manager is also responsible for managing the team members.
               Responsibilities may include some or all of the below:
                      Selecting personnel and building the team;
                      Delegating roles and responsibilities;
                      Motivating team members;
                      Communicating information amongst the team;
                      Rewarding the team;
                      Disciplining team members.
       9.7 Role of the accountant
               The numeracy and business skills of accountants are highly valued in project
               management. Project managers need to:
                      Understand the economics of different options and decisions:
                      Be able to forecast costs and profit;
                      Generate accurate network analyses and Gantt charts;
                      Use spreadsheets effectively;
                      Consider the impact of external factors as well as internal factors relevant
                       to the project.
               Accountants bring a wealth of business experience to projects and can be highly
               effective as either project managers or as advisors to project managers.
© Emile Woolf International                           968           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                    Chapter 30: Implementing performance management
                                                    systems
  10 CHAPTER REVIEW
         Chapter review
         Before moving on to the next chapter, check that you can:
             Describe the impact of IT on employer/employee relations
             Discuss the general problems associated with implementing new systems
             Understand what drives the success or failure of information systems
             Explain the nature of common user resistance to new information systems and
              change
             Describe Lewin’s ‘Three Stage’ change process
             Discuss tactics for managing successful change
             State key project monitoring and control tasks
             Briefly explain the role of the project manager in managing the team
             Briefly explain the role of the accountant in projects
© Emile Woolf International                       969           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
   Skills level                          CHAPTER
                                                          CHAPTER
                                                              31
   Performance management
                                           CHAPTER
                                                        CHAPTER
                                             Application of
                                             information technology
                                             in performance
                                             management
   Contents
   31.0 Introduction
   31.1 Implementing performance management systems
   31.2 Impact of IT on employer/employee relations
   31.3 Problem areas: Organisational impact analysis
   31.4 System implementation
   31.5 Feasibility study
   31.6 Cost-benefit analysis: Costs and benefits
   31.7 Project Initiation
   31.8 Project Planning: Phases and tasks
   31.9 Project monitoring and control
   31.6 Chapter review
© Emile Woolf International                  970         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
31.0       Application of information technology in performance
           management
Introduction
The rapid changes occasioned by technology disruptions have made it necessary to
incorporate new elements of technology into various subjects of the professional
examinations syllabus, including performance management. This need is supported by the
World Economic Forum (WEF) report on the future of jobs 2020, which indicates that
Information Technology (IT) skills will be essential requirements for accountants from the
year 2021.
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN), being a member of the
International Federation of Accountants (IFAC), has subscribed to the Federation’s
policy of producing future ready accountants. To this end, skills that will ensure that
newly qualified professional accountants are equipped with skills that will make them
able to take responsibility in the new global economy.
The IT element in this subject is to provide students with the necessary tools that will
be applied in decision making process required in performance management.
Therefore, it includes application of technology to decision making and principles of
project planning and management.
31.1 Implementing performance management systems
       31.1.1 Accessibility
       A key factor in the design of a performance management system is the way in which
       information is to be made available and accessible to the intended users.
       Individuals with performance management responsibilities must have information to do
       their work. IT systems make it possible, in principle, to provide individuals with
       enormous amounts of data and information. There could be a risk that an information
       system makes so much information available to users that there is ‘information
       overload’. Individuals may receive so much information that they do not necessarily
       know what are the most important and relevant items, and so they do not make the
       best use of the information they are given.
  Performance management systems should be designed in a way that makes information
  accessible in a convenient and helpful way. Users should have ready access to the
  information they use the most often. They may in addition need access to other information
  occasionally.
  Important factors to consider in the design of a performance management system are:
       What information is needed by individuals using the system?
       Why is the information needed or useful? What will the user do with it?
       How often is it needed?
       Where will the information be obtained from? In other words, how should the source
        data be captured?
       How should the information user be able to access the information?
© Emile Woolf International                    971         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
         For essential and important items of information, it should be the responsibility of the
         system designers to make sure that individuals are provided with the information.
         Information or data that is essential to carrying out a task must be provided to the
          user in a convenient way. For example, individuals who use an IT system for
          operational variance control must be able to access the data they need to drill down
          into individual variances. Gaining access to this information should be made as easy
          and convenient as possible for the user.
         Similarly, information that individuals will use often should also be made easily
          accessible.
          When the information requirements of individuals are less predictable, or less
          frequent, a system might make the information accessible to users, but the leave the
          responsibility with the user for finding it when it is needed.
          For example, intranets have made it possible to provide enormous amounts of data to
          employees within an organisation. However, there is so much information available
          that it might become the responsibility of the recipient to make sure that he gets the
          information that he wants, rather than the responsibility of the provider of information
          to make sure that it reaches individuals who might need it.
         31.1.2 Supporting the tasks of the manager
               According to ‘traditional’ theory of organisation and management, the tasks of
               management are to:
                      Set targets and make plans for achieving those targets;
                      Communicate;
                      Organise activities;
                      Co-ordinate activities;
                      Provide leadership or direction;
                      Motivate others;
                      Monitor performance; and
                      Take control measures to improve performance.
               Performance management
               The new IS/IT performance management systems will be used by managers to
               manage the performance of the organisation, and individuals and work units
               within it.
               The requirements for the new performance management system include:
                      Clear objectives, expressed perhaps as critical success factors;
                      Targets for each objective, expressed perhaps as key performance
                       indicators;
                      Using these key performance measures to measure actual performance;
                       and
                      Providing managers with a comparison of actual performance with the
                       target, or a comparison of target performance with current forecasts.
                       IS/IT systems can be designed to provide managers with the key
                       performance measures that they should monitor. For example, executive
                       information systems can be designed so as to provide senior managers
                       with:
© Emile Woolf International                        972         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      Readily-available information about current performance or historical
                       performance in selected key areas; and
                      A facility to ‘drill down’ to analyse aspects of performance in more detail, if
                       required.
               Quality of planning and control
               The information provided by the performance management system can improve
               the quality of planning and control. For example, decision support systems can
               be used for forecasting and preparing plans. Sensitivity analysis and scenario
               testing are made much easier with computer models, and these improve planning
               by testing the assumptions that have been used in preparing the plans and
               testing the robustness of the plans.
               However, there is some risk that performance management systems can be used
               to plan in excessive detail, or to apply excessive control. Management may use
               performance management systems to demand regular and detailed reports from
               employees, to the point where employees spend too much time on reporting and
               too little time on value-adding activities.
31.2 Impact of IT on employer/employee relations
               31.2.1 IT systems and organisation structure
               IT-based performance management systems can affect the relationship between
               employees and management, and between employees and the organisation they
               work for.
               IT-based performance management systems make information more easily
               accessible. As a result of improved communications and more convenient
               methods of communication, it is often possible for managers to organise and
               control the activities of a larger number of subordinates. In other words’ the ‘span
               of control’ within an organisation may become much wider.
               Communication systems, particularly e-mail, allow any individual to contact
               anyone else. It is possible for a junior employee to send an e-mail direct to the
               CEO, without the message having to pass through a number of intermediate
               managers.
               In some organisations, there has been some reduction in management
               hierarchies. Organisations can operate efficiently with a ‘flatter’ structure (fewer
               levels of management).
                      Although a function of management is to provide information and
                       communication, a large part of this activity can be ‘automated’.
                      Since employees are able to access information themselves, for example
                       from an intranet database, it is often possible to delegate more
                       responsibility to operating staff, thereby reducing the need for junior
                       management or supervisory staff.
            31.2.2            The effect of home working on an organisation
               IT has made it much easier for individuals to work from home. For an
               organisation, the benefits of home-working include:
                      A reduction in the need for office accommodation, and so a saving in costs;
© Emile Woolf International                         973          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      Providing more attractive working conditions for individuals who would
                       prefer to work from home instead of commuting into work: for example,
                       home-working may attract individuals wishing to work from home because
                       of family commitments; and
                      Limited disruption to work in the event of a major transport strike.
               There are also disadvantages with home working:
                      Management - It may be more difficult to exercise management control
                       over individuals who work in a distant location (from home) rather than in
                       direct contact in an office. For example, it can be difficult to co-ordinate the
                       activities of several different home-workers;
                      Employees are likely to feel more distant and isolated, and might need
                       strong self-motivation to work effectively; and
                      When employees work from home, it is very difficult to make them feel a
                       member of a work team.
               31.2.3 Implications of groupware for team-building
               The same ‘social problem’ may arise when groupware is used to help individuals
               to work together as an electronic team. Groupware allows individuals to function
               as a ‘team’ without having to be in close physical proximity to each other. For
               example, groupware may allow team members to ‘meet’ and ‘discuss’ problems
               electronically, when they are geographically far apart. This affects working
               relationships, because teams linked electronically are unlikely to ‘bond’ as
               effectively as a team whose members all work in the same office.
               31.2.4         E-mail and work practices
               E-mail has had a profound effect on the way that individuals work with each
               other.
               E-mail, the Internet and mobile telephone technology have all created a culture in
               which individuals expect immediate access to information and immediate
               responses to queries. Communication has become much faster, and in many
               cases, this means that tasks are accomplished more quickly, and organisations
               operate more efficiently.
               Disadvantages of e-mail
               Although e-mail improves communications, and so can improve the efficiency
               and effectiveness of a business, there are some potential disadvantages that
               need to be controlled.
                      E-mail users may receive large amounts of junk mail (‘spam’ mail),
                       although this can be reduced by anti-spam software.
                      E-mails may expose a user’s computer system to viruses.
                      There can be a security problem, when information is sent to someone by
                       e-mail without checking whether the person is authorised to receive it.
                      Employees may get involved in ‘chatting’ to other individuals by e-mail, for
                       example by exchanging gossip or jokes. Friendly exchanges of this sort can
                       become time-consuming.
                      Many users tend to respond immediately to e-mail messages, when their
                       time would be better spent concentrating on more urgent issues in hand.
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                       Individuals sending e-mails often expect an immediate response, and are
                       (unjustifiably) annoyed if they do not get a quick reply.
                      There is a tendency for users to send e-mail messages without properly
                       checking what they are sending. Messages may contain many typing errors
                       and other mistakes, and the sender may forget to attach documents or may
                       attach the wrong documents.
               Some of the disadvantages of e-mail are ‘technical’ problems, but many are
               linked to employee behaviour – for example, importing viruses, excessive use of
               e-mail for chatting, inefficient use of time and prioritising of work.
               Using e-mail within an organisation therefore has implications for control over e-
               mail use, and the ways in which this control should be applied. This affects
               management/employee relationships.
               31.2.5         De-skilling of operatives
               As a result of IT, some labour skills have been lost, or replaced by other skills.
               The automation of many operations removes or reduces the need for individuals
               to acquire specialist skills.
               De-skilling has occurred in many aspects of work. For example, many
               engineering skills have been automated. Computers can be used to check for
               faults in an item of equipment (for example, a car) instead of relying on the skills
               of individual engineers.
               Computer systems are also used to automate procedures, such as handling
               telephone calls from customers. Telephone operatives may be required to follow
               the procedures set out on a computer screen when dealing with a customer
               query or complaint, instead of using their initiative.
               Consequences of de-skilling may be:
                      For the employer, a saving in employment costs (because employees do
                       not have to be as highly-skilled) and lower training costs; and
                      For the employee, a loss of interest in the work and pride in performance.
31.3       Problem areas: organisational impact analysis
               31.3.1         Problem areas when implementing an IS
               When an information system is designed, developed and implemented, several
               problem areas must be managed carefully.
                      The new system should contribute to the economic, financial or operational
                       performance of the organisation. However, when a new system is
                       developed, a ‘balance’ or compromise must often be made between:
                              A system that meets the user’s requirements exactly, and the ‘quality’
                               of the system design;
                              Keeping costs within acceptable limits; and
                              Implementing the system within an acceptable time scale.
                       It is generally impossible to develop and implement a system of the highest
                       quality within a short time scale and for a low cost.
                      The new system is likely to have an impact on organisational and social
                       matters, and in doing so, may arouse strong resistance and hostility form
                       the intended users of the system.
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               Research has shown that organisational and social issues are significant factors
               causing new information systems to fail. Even when management have shown an
               awareness of these problems, their actions are often ‘too little, too late’.
               A new IS system is ‘likely to have a significant impact upon an organisation’s
               culture, structure and working practices’.
               Since organisational issues can be a major problem area, it would make sense to
               consider them carefully at an early stage in an IS project, and try to deal with the
               problems that are identified.
               31.3.2          Organisational impact analysis
               ‘Organisational impact analysis’ is, as its name suggests, the analysis of the likely
               impact of a new system on an organisation, including cultural, structural and
               political issues and the effect on working practices. It should be carried out at an
               early stage of a system development, and should not be left until it is too late to
               take suitable measures to deal with problems.
               Organisational impact analysis should be carried out together with an analysis of
               the contribution that the new system will make to the organisation, in terms of
               economic benefit or the achievement of strategic goals.
               The following issues should all be considered at an early stage in the project
               development, up to the implementation of the new system, as well as in a post-
               implementation review.
               31.3.3          Contribution of the system to the economic and strategic goals of
                              the organisation
                      There should be a regular analysis of the projected benefits from a new
                       system, to assess whether the system is still expected to meet the
                       organisation’s needs within an acceptable time scale and for an acceptable
                       cost.
                      The proposed system should conform to the current IS/IT strategy of the
                       organisation. (If it does not, the project should be abandoned, or IS/It
                       strategy should be reviewed and changed.)
                      Resources should be allocated to an IS project, so that priority is given to
                       the most important parts of the project. This can be achieved using the
                       spiral model approach to system development, which is explained later.
                      Management should be aware of the need to think about business
                       process re-engineering (BPR) in conjunction with developing a major new
                       system.
                      A new system should be designed to support planned future changes in the
                       organisation, and so may need to be flexible in order to allow for these
                       future changes when they occur. Management should not focus on current
                       requirements and ignore planned changes in the future.
               31.3.4 Human-related issues
               Human-related issues should be considered.
                      Training. Management should assess whether a suitable and sufficient
                       training programme has been planned for all users of the system.
                      It may be necessary to consider health and safety aspects of using the new
                       system, or ergonomic factors. For example, there may be risks from a new
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                       system to the eye sight of users (from working at computer screens), or
                       other aspects of their health. There may be a need for specially-designed
                       chairs for computer users, or a need for regular health check-ups.
                      The motivation and needs of system users should be considered. There
                       should be an assessment of how the motivation and needs of the system
                       users will be satisfied (if at all) by the implementation of the new system.
                      There should be an assessment of the working styles and the IT skills of
                       the individuals who will be the system users, to decide the implications
                       these may have for system design or training needs.
                      Job re-design. There should also be an assessment at an early stage in the
                       system design of whether the new system will change the job specifications
                       of individuals and the relative importance of their work.
               All these human-related issues could lead to strong resistance to the new
               system.
               31.4 System implementation
               Another aspect of organisational impact analysis should be the period of
               transition from the old system to the new system, when the new system is
               eventually implemented. Again, this analysis should begin at an early stage in the
               project development.
                      Management should carry out an assessment of how the planned timing of
                       the new system implementation will interact with any other planned
                       changes in the organisation that will be expected at about the same time.
                      There should also be an assessment of the likely disruption to the
                       organisation that implementing the new system will cause, and how long
                       this disruption might last.
               31.4.1 Organisation structure, culture and power
               There should be an assessment of how the new system will have an impact on:
                      The structure of the organisation (for example, will the management
                       hierarchy become ‘flatter’, will there be more centralisation or
                       decentralisation of authority, or will there be job losses or transfers of staff
                       to other work?)
                      The culture of the organisation (defined as ‘the set of important
                       assumptions, often un-stated, which members of an organisation share in
                       common’)
                      The balance of power within the organisation. Information (and knowledge)
                       gives power to the individuals who control it. An information system may
                       alter the balance of power. If this can be foreseen, management can
                       anticipate the political implications of introducing the new system.
               Organisational impact analysis is needed because it helps management to
               identify the potential problems that anew system might create, and do something
               to resolve the problems before it is too late for effective measures.
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31.5 Feasibility study
               31.5.1           Purpose of a feasibility study
                 Definition: Feasibility study
                 A feasibility study is the first stage in a project to develop a new IS/IT system. The
                 purpose of a feasibility study is to assess:
                              Whether a new information system is required; and
                              What are the different options that exist for a new system.
                 The study should also consider the different options and recommend one of
                 these.
               A feasibility study is carried out by a feasibility study group, which prepares a
               feasibility report and submits this, either to the senior IT manager or to a project
               steering committee.
               In the basis of the feasibility study, a decision is then taken whether to initiate the
               project and develop and implement the IS/IT system.
               31.5.2           The steering committee and the feasibility study group
                 Definition: Steering committee
                 The project steering committee should be responsible for supervising and
                 controlling the development of a new IS/IT system. The committee should consist
                 of senior managers with IT expertise, financial project management expertise and
                 business knowledge.
                 Definition: Project sponsor
                 The project sponsor is the person with overall responsibility for the new system
                 and may be the head of the steering committee. The sponsor should be the
                 ‘project champion’. For example, where the new system will be used entirely or
                 mainly by one department, the project sponsor may be the department,
                 represented on the committee by the head of the department.
The steering committee establishes the terms of reference for the feasibility study. These
should include:
               A statement of the purpose and objectives of the new system;
                      The scope of the feasibility study;
                      The budget limits for the project, if these can be decided before the study;
                       and
                      The time scale for the study and the report.
               31.5.3 Role of business analysts
               Before a feasibility study is started, some work may be carried out by business
               analysts. The role of a business analyst is to identify new business opportunities
               to exploit, or business problems that need to be resolved. They might suggest a
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               business solution to the opportunity or problem, which may or may not involve
               the development of a new IS/IT system.
               On the basis of the recommendations of a business analyst, an entity may decide
               to establish a project steering committee and carry out a feasibility study. The
               business analyst who recommended the new system will probably become a
               member of the feasibility study group.
               31.5.4 The feasibility study group
                 Definition: Feasibility study group
                 The feasibility study group is the team that carries out the feasibility study. Its
                 members should be appointed by the project steering committee. The group
                 should be fairly small, so that it can work efficiently as a team. It should include:
                              IT experts;
                              representatives of the department or departments that will use the
                              computer system;
                              one or more individuals with financial expertise (for example, an
                              accountant); and
                              A business analyst (possibly) .
               31.5.5           Stages in a feasibility study
               After the formation of the steering committee, the stages in a feasibility study are
               as follows:
                      Formation of the study group and setting the terms of reference for the
                       study;
                      Planning the study. The time scales for reporting must be agreed, with a
                       target date for the submission of the feasibility report to the project steering
                       committee;
                      A feasibility study budget should be agreed by the steering committee;
                      Information gathering - The first activity in the feasibility study should be
                       to gather information about the current system that is used by the
                       organisation that the new system will replace. Problems with the existing
                       system should be identified and analysed. This task involves collecting,
                       recording and analysing information about the existing system;
                      Identify alternative systems - Having identified the weaknesses (and
                       strengths) in the current system, the study group should consider
                       alternatives for a new system that will meet the requirements of the system
                       user better than the current system, at an acceptable cost. Each alternative
                       should be considered in some detail, and an outline system design may be
                       prepared for each. (Since preparing an outline design and testing it for
                       feasibility may take some time, the feasibility study group may consider
                       only a limited number of alternative systems – perhaps just two or three;
                      Each alternative for a new system should be evaluated, using tests of:
                                Technical feasibility;
                                Operational feasibility;
                                Social feasibility; and
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                              Economic feasibility;
                      The economic feasibility test for a new system involves a cost-benefit
                       analysis;
                      The project group decides which alternative system it will recommend to
                       the steering committee; and
                      The feasibility report is prepared and submitted, with a recommendation
                       about which new IS/IT system, if any, to develop.
               31.5.6         Technical, operational, social and economic feasibility
               Each alternative new system considered by the feasibility study group should be
               tested for technical, operational, social and economic feasibility.
               (a) Technical feasibility
               The purpose of a technical feasibility test is to decide whether the proposed new
               system is technically feasible – in other words, whether it could work technically
               and achieve its intended purpose within the intended cost budget.
               Technical issues to consider may include whether the new system
                      Will provide response times that are fast enough for operating requirements
                      Can be connected technically to other existing systems (‘integrated’ with
                       other systems)
                      Will be able to handle the expected volumes of transactions and
                       processing.
               In other words: Can the system perform technically in the way the user will want
               and expect?
               (b) Operational feasibility
               The purpose of an operational feasibility test is to decide whether the new system
               can be operated by the user’s staff and in accordance with the user’s practical
               needs. The main concern with this test is to ensure that the system will be able to
               handle all the operational requirements that the user will expect?
               Matters to consider include:
                   Whether the user’s existing staff have the necessary skills to operate the
                    system, or whether they could acquire the necessary skills through training;
                      Whether changes might be needed in the user’s organisation structure, for
                       example with the creation of new jobs or the elimination of some type of
                       existing job; and
                      Whether it would be necessary to make other operational changes, such as
                       a change in shift working or working hours, so that the system can operate
                       for more hours each day.
               Will these operational changes be feasible?
               Other operational issues could affect the feasibility of a project. These include:
                      Data conversion. This is the conversion or transfer of data from the files of
                       the ‘old’ system to the files of the new system. There may be practical
                       difficulties or risks to the data that could make the new system difficult to
                       install successfully.Data protection legislation. The system may need to
                       include personal data about individuals on its files, in which case it may
                       come within the scope of data protection legislation. A check should be
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                       made that the proposed new system will comply with the requirements of
                       the legislation.
               (c) Social feasibility
               A social feasibility test is a test of the likely response of the system’s users and
               customers to the system. For example, if a bank is considering introducing a new
               system for its account holders (customers) the study group would need to
               consider what the strength of the resistance might be from customers who may
               have to use the system.
               If a new system would affect the way that employees do their work, or if it would
               threaten their job security, there could be hostility and resistance to the system
               that may be difficult to overcome.
               If resistance to the new system from users or customers might be strong, the
               study group may decide that the system is not socially feasible.
               (d) Economic feasibility
               The purpose of an economic feasibility test is to establish whether the system is
               economically justified, and whether it can deliver the expected benefits and
               whether it can be operated within acceptable cost limits.
               An economic feasibility test therefore involves a cost-benefit analysis exercise,
               to establish whether the expected benefits from the system would justify the
               costs of developing and operating it. It is important to identify both the tangible
               and intangible benefits and costs. The qualitative (intangible) benefits from a new
               system could be more significant than its quantitative (tangible) benefits.
               The feasibility study group is unlikely to recommend a project unless it passes
               certain economic or financial tests of acceptability.
31.6 Cost-benefit analysis: costs and benefits
                 Definition: Cost-benefit analysis
                 A cost-benefit analysis involves a comparison of the expected costs of a new
                 system with the benefits the system is expected to provide. The economic
                 feasibility test involves a comparison of tangible costs and tangible benefits.
                 There may also be significant intangible costs or benefits.
               Some of the main tangible costs and benefits of a new system are set out in the
               following table.
                 Category of cost       Main items of cost
                 Costs of system            Cost of in-house staff used for system
                 development                 development work. A large number of staff, mainly
                                             IT staff and user department staff, will be involved
                                             during the development phase for the new project.
                                            Costs of external IT support. These costs may
                                             include the costs of out-sourced IT development
                                             work
                                            Costs of software purchased from external
                                             software suppliers.
                                            Costs of new computer hardware for the new
                                             system
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                 Costs of system             Staff training costs. User department staff will
                 installation                 need to be trained in the use of the new system.
                                             Cost of developing and printing user instruction
                                              guides or manuals
                                             System changeover costs. Costs will be incurred
                                              in converting the data files for the current system
                                              and transferring the data to files for the new system.
                                             There may also be additional running costs if the
                                              new system is operated in parallel with the old
                                              system for a period of time, until the new system is
                                              considered ’safe’.
                                             Redundancy costs. There may be some
                                              redundancy costs, if jobs are lost because of the
                                              new system.
                 System operating            Costs of leasing or renting new equipment or
                 costs                        communication links
                                             Costs of system maintenance and updating
                                             Outsourcing costs, for any parts of the new system
                                              operations that are outsourced
                                             Costs of operating a help desk for the system.
                                             Costs of materials consumed (e.g. paper for
                                              printing) and replacement parts for equipment
                                             Any other additional costs of operating staff
               31.6.1 Tangible and intangible benefits
               The tangible benefits from a new system should be estimated, if possible, in
               money terms. In some cases, however, it may be difficult to convert a tangible
               operational benefit (such as faster response times, or more reliable data) into a
               money value.
               Tangible benefits of a new system may include:
                      Higher profits, where the system enables the entity to increase its sales
                       revenue (for example, through the provision of a new e-commerce system);
                      Lower operating costs, for example from improvements in efficiency and
                       staff time saved;
                      Improved service to customers. For example, an on-line ordering system
                       might result in the faster delivery of purchased items to customers;
                      Improvements in accuracy and reliability of data. For example, a new
                       system might provide more up-to-date information for users. Similarly, a
                       new decision support system for managers may improve the quality of
                       information to managers, and help them to make better decisions; and
                      Improvements in communications between users of the system.
             31.6.2           Cost-benefit analysis: techniques of financial evaluation
               The financial evaluation of a proposed new IS/IT system involves a comparison
               of expected costs and expected benefits. The following list is a reminder of the
               key relevant techniques you learnt about in other ICAN modules:
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                      Payback period;
                      Return on investment (ROI);
                      Discounted cash flow;
                      Net present value (NPV); and
                      Internal rate of return (IRR).
              31.6.3          The feasibility study report
               The final stage of a feasibility study is for the study group to produce a feasibility
               report for submission to the project steering committee. The report should be a
               recommendation, which may be:
                      To develop the system, using one of the system designs studied by the
                       group; and
                      To retain the existing system, and not to develop a new system.
               The contents of a typical feasibility report are as follows:
                      An executive summary, giving a brief summary of the report and its main
                       recommendation(s);
                      The terms of reference for the feasibility study;
                      The objectives of the new system;
                      Information about the feasibility study and how it is carried out;
                      An analysis of the current system, its weaknesses and why a new system is
                       required. Also the costs of running the current system;
                      The alternative solutions for a new system that the study group considered;
                      A recommendation of the preferred alternative solution for the system,
                       supported by tests of feasibility; and
                      A plan for the development and implementation of the new system.
               If the steering committee accepts the recommendation of the feasibility report,
               the necessary authorisation for capital expenditure should be obtained. The
               project to develop the new system should then be initiated.
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31.7       Project initiation
            31.7.1 Characteristics of a project
               Work to develop and install a new IS/IT project is usually organised as a project.
               A project has number of characteristics:
                      The project should have a specific objective. This should be defined in
                       terms of scope (what the system is expected to do), time schedule and
                       cost. In the case of IT development work, a project is to design, develop
                       and install a specific IS/IT system;
                      A project team is assembled to carry out the work. Membership of this team
                       may change during the course of the project, as some individuals complete
                       their work and other individuals are brought in to do their part of the work.
                       The management and composition of a project team are considered in
                       more detail later; and
                      A project should have a schedule and a time scale for completion. It has a
                       starting time, which is when the project is formally initiated. It also comes to
                       an end, when the IS/IT system has been designed, developed and
                       installed. When the project ends, the project team is disbanded.
               An IS/IT project should also have the following characteristics:
                      An IS/IT project should have a sponsor. The sponsor is the organisation or
                       department financing the project;
                      An IS/IT project has a customer, who will be the user of the system. The
                       customer may also be the sponsor, but is not necessarily the sponsor; and
                      A project requires a budget for the design and development work. This
                       should be used to plan future expenditure and also to apply control over
                       actual spending (using a budgetary control reporting system). The cost
                       budget might be divided into a budget for each stage of the development
                       project.
               31.7.2         The project management process
               The key elements of project management after project initiation are planning and
               control. However, there are five stages of project management.
               The 5 stages of project management
                 Stage                 Description
                 1. Initiation         The goals and objectives of the project should be
                                       established when the project begins. These can be set out
                                       in a project initiation document (PID). The PID is used
                                       to develop and clarify the terms of reference for the
                                       project.
                                       The project might be initiated by the Board of Directors,
                                       the project sponsor or the steering committee.
                 2. Planning           The project must be planned. There must be plans for
                                       each stage of the project. The plans should specifying the
                                       resources required to complete each stage of the project,
                                       a schedule (sequence of events and time scale for
                                       completion), a detailed budget and performance
                                       specifications for the system.
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                 3. Executing     The plans must be put into action. Project management
                                  are responsible for directing the project activities.
                 4. Controlling   The project managers should monitor the progress of the
                                  project, to check whether it is on time for completion,
                                  within its cost budget and meeting the user’s
                                  specifications. Where necessary, management should
                                  take corrective action when actual performance falls below
                                  or behind the plan. Some re-planning and re-scheduling
                                  might be required.
                 5. Completing    The project management must ensure at the end of the
                                  project that it has been completed fully and meets
                                  requirements. On completion, the responsibility of the
                                  project managers ends, and responsibility for running the
                                  system is handed over fully to the management for the
                                  computer user.
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               31.7.3         Phases of project development
               The stages or phases of project development for a bespoke system are as
               follows.
       31.7.4 Project initiation document and terms of reference
                 Definition: Project initiation document (PID)
                 A project initiation document (PID) is a document that formally establishes the IT
                 project, and provides the authority for the project work to begin.
               There are no widely-accepted ‘rules’ about what the PID should contain, although
               it ought to include the terms of reference for the project.
               Terms of reference
                 Definition: Terms of reference
                 The terms of reference are a formal statement of what the project is expected to
                 achieve.
               Terms of reference will usually contain the following items:
                      A statement of the business objectives of the entity, and how the new
                       IS/IT system is intended to contribute to those objectives. In other words,
                       how does the new project fit into the overall plans and objectives of the
                       entity?
                      A statement of the specific objectives of the project - The terms of
                       reference should state what the new IS/IT system should achieve, and what
                       it is expected to do;
© Emile Woolf International                        986           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      A statement of the scope of the project - The project should have a stated
                       scope. Who is expected to use the project when it is implemented, and who
                       will not use it? For example, will it be specific to a particular department or
                       region, or will it be used by the entire entity? Which operations will be
                       affected by the new project?
                      A statement of any constraints or restrictions for the project. For
                       example, it might be decided that the project should use in-house IT staff
                       only, and that none of the work should be outsourced; and
                      A target date for completion.
               31.7.5 Other parts of a project initiation document
               The PID may also make the following specifications:
                      The sponsor and the user (customer) for the project should be identified.
                       The PID should state who has the ultimate authority to approve the project
                       on completion, and who has the authority to resolve any arguments or
                       disagreements that may arise during the course of the project;
                      The PID should also specify the resources that will be made available to
                       the project, in terms of staff, technical resources and budgeted expenditure
                       limit;
                      The project manager should be identified, and the size and composition of
                       the project team may also be specified;
                      There may also be a policy statement on purchasing and procurement,
                       specifying the type of equipment that must be used for the project. (This
                       may be necessary, for example, if the entity has a policy of using
                       compatible IT equipment for all its IT systems.); and
                      The PID may also include an outline project plan, although this may not be
                       produced until later (by the project manager, after his or her appointment).
              31.7.6          The project manager
                 Definition: Project manager
                 A project manager is appointed to lead the project team. He or she is responsible
                 for achieving the objectives for the project, as specified in the terms of reference.
               Tasks of the project manager
               The tasks of the project manager are to:
                      Agree the scope of the project (as specified in the terms of reference for the
                       project);
                      Produce a project plan, setting out the different stages of the project and
                       times for completion of each stage, and also the resources required during
                       each stage;
                      Initiate the work on the project, agreeing individual responsibilities with
                       each member of the project team;
                      Liaise with the sponsor and the customer for the project, and discuss the
                       progress of the work and any problems that have arisen;
                      Motivate the project team;
                      Monitor the progress of the work;
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                      Ensure that the project meets certain quality standards;
                      Report on progress to the project steering committee, project sponsor and
                       customer for the project;
                      Deal with any slippage in the work that threatens a delay to completion;
                      Ensure that the new system is properly tested and meets its specifications;
                       and
                      Deliver the completed IS/IT system at the completion of the project.
               The skills of the project manager
               According to Adair an effective project manager must satisfy three overlapping
               needs:
               These are (1) the needs to get the task done, (2) the need to create an effective
               project team and (3) the need to encourage every individual in the team to give
               commitment to the project. A successful manager gives sufficient attention to all
               three needs to ensure that the project is completed successfully.
               Yeates and Cadle have suggested that a project manager requires the following
               core skills:
                      Leadership skills;
                      Understanding of technology (IT knowledge);
                      Skills in evaluating and decision making;
                      People management;
                      Communication skills;
                      A knowledge of systems design and maintenance requirements;
                      Planning skills;
                      Control skills;
                      Financial awareness;
                      Procurement skills;
                      Negotiation skills;
                      Skills in negotiating contracts; and
                      An awareness of legal issues.
© Emile Woolf International                         988        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
              31.7.7            The project team
                 Definition: Project team
                 The project team must include individuals with the necessary skills and expertise,
                 collectively, to achieve the project objectives and deliver the completed IS/IT
                 system.
                 A team is assembled for each project, although the composition of the team may
                 change during the course of the project, as the work progresses and new skills
                 are required for the next stages of the work.
                 For a project to design and develop a new IS/IT system in-house, the project team
                 will include, for at least some of the time:
                              Systems analysts;
                              Programmers;
                              Data analysts; and
                              User department representative(s).
               Systems analysts
               Some systems analysts may become involved in a project from the feasibility
               study stage, as part of the feasibility study group. They have IT expertise, but
               their specific skills are:
                      Analysing existing systems, to establish the user’s requirements: they
                       interview staff of the project customer and analyse and document the
                       current system; and
                      Developing and designing new systems.
               They must provide design specifications for the system that can be approved by
               the project sponsor, customer or project steering committee. They must also
               produce a specification for every part of the new system, sufficient to enable
               programmers to write the software on the basis of the specification provided.
               After programming has been completed and the software has been tested, one or
               more systems analysts should be responsible for systems testing. This involves
               testing that all the different parts of the software fit together, and that the IS/IT
               system functions properly as a whole.
               Programmers
               Programmers write the software for the new system, following the detailed
               specifications provided by the systems analysts.
               Data analysts
               Data analysts are specialists in the construction of data files, particularly
               databases. Their task is to specify, design and build the database (or databases)
               for the IS/IT system. Most of their work is carried out after the systems analysts
               have designed the system, although they may assist the systems analysts during
               the design stage by producing entity-relationship models (described in a later
               chapter).
               User department representative
               The user or customer for the new system may appoint a representative to the
               project team. The role of this representative should be to:
© Emile Woolf International                            989         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                      Ensure that the systems analysts have understood the user’s requirements
                       properly, by checking the details of the system design;
                      Learn the new system in detail so that the user department has someone
                       with an in-depth knowledge of the system when it eventually ‘goes live’;
                      Organise training in the new system for user department staff, and write the
                       user instruction guide; and
                      Organise the testing of the system by the user before the finished IS/IT
                       system is accepted as complete and ready for implementation.
               Project team management structure
               Project teams usually have a flat management structure. Typically, a project team
               may have a manager and no other person with seniority over anyone else.
               Everyone in the team, apart from the manager, is brought into the team to
               perform a task or function, regardless of his or her experience. There is a distinct
               absence of ‘bosses’ and ‘juniors’.
               This flat management structure is very different from the traditional structure of a
               large department, such as an IT department, which may have two, three or four
               grades of management for each IT specialism – for example, chief programmers,
               senior programmers, programmers and junior programmers.
               A flat management structure is ideal for project work, for several reasons.
                      A project team is assembled to undertake a specific project and it is
                       disbanded when the project is complete.
                      Individuals are brought into a project team to perform a specific task or
                       function, and when they have finished the work for which they were
                       needed, they can leave the project and move to another project.
                      The size and composition of a project team therefore varies throughout the
                       project, and this makes it difficult to establish a management hierarchy.
                      Individuals are brought into a project team for their skills and the work they
                       can do, not for their management seniority.
                      A flat management structure is well-suited to a flexible team structure, and
                       allows an entity to move its staff from one project to another, without having
                       to worry about who is more senior and who should be ‘in charge’ – other
                       than the project manager.
               This flexible structuring of project teams also makes it possible for individuals to
               move more easily between different projects, and carry out different tasks for
               different projects. For example, an individual who is the project manager on one
               project may be moved when the project is completed to another project, as
               programmer, systems analyst or data analyst.
               This flexibility and ability to move individuals from one project to another to do
               specific tasks, regardless of their ‘seniority’ or expertise, can only work effectively
               if salaries are also flexible. Where a flat management structure is used for project
               work, it is usual to have wide salary bands for each type of employee – for
               example, a wide salary band for systems analysts. Individuals with a high level of
               skill and experience can therefore be paid much more than an inexperienced
               person for similar work.
© Emile Woolf International                        990          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
               31.7.8         Project quality plan
               It is essential that quality is maintained throughout an IS/IT development project,
               so that a high-quality system will be achieved at the end of the project.
               A project quality plan might be prepared, providing specifications for various
               aspects of the project, in order to ensure that the required project quality
               standards are achieved.
               The project quality plan may contain the following items:
                      Project overview - This gives a broad description of the project and its
                       objectives, and identifies the project user/customer. This section of the
                       project quality plan should be consistent with the project initiation document
                       (terms of reference);
                      Project organisation - This section of the quality plan specifies the
                       management and organisation structure for the project, and the
                       management responsibilities. It includes, for example, the names of:
                              The members of the project steering committee;
                              The project sponsor;
                              The person to contact in each user or customer department;
                              The project manager; and
                              The project team members.
                       It should also specify the formal reporting procedures, the methods to be
                       used for monitoring and controlling the project, and the decision-making
                       responsibilities.
                       For example, the quality plan may specify that the progress on the project
                       should be monitored by a project assurance team (with named members)
                       which should meet regularly to consider progress reports from the project
                       manager;
                      Project requirements - This section of the project quality plan specifies the
                       requirements for the project, in terms of what must be delivered. The
                       project work may be divided into phases, with each phase ending when a
                       recognisable ‘milestone’ is achieved. Target dates will be set for reaching
                       each milestone. (The new project may be introduced in stages.)
                       The project specifications should include performance specifications for the
                       new system, security specifications, the required standards and any legal
                       specifications.
                       The completed project will be tested against these specifications, to make
                       sure that they have been met successfully;
                      Project development - This section of the quality plan specifies the
                       methods to be used to develop the new system, and the testing
                       requirements. The different phases of the development work should be
                       identified, with target completion dates for each phase (e.g. detailed system
                       analysis, detailed system design, programming, program testing, system
                       testing, user testing and implementation;
                      Quality assurance - This section of the plan specifies how the work on the
                       project should be reviewed as it progresses, to ensure that it is being
                       performed to the required standards and specifications. The methods that
                       will be used to carry out quality assurance checks should be specified.
                       Quality assurance can be carried out by means of self-checking, by peer
© Emile Woolf International                           991       The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                       review by colleagues on the project team or by means of external reviews
                       by a review team;
                      Configuration management. This section of the plan deals with systems
                       and procedures for the control of software throughout the project. There are
                       two main elements to configuration control over software:
                             Change control - This is concerned with requests for changes to the
                              detailed specifications for the IS/IT system as the project progresses.
                              When changes are requested, there should be a formal system for
                              documenting the requests – including the reason why the change is
                              needed and why it is desirable. There should be a system for
                              approving requests for changes, and for ensuring that they are made
                              correctly (with suitable changes to all system specifications and
                              programming documentation, and suitable testing to make sure that
                              the change has been made correctly);
                             Version control. During system development, programs may be
                              altered many times, to correct errors and to implement approved
                              changes. As a consequence, there may be many different versions of
                              the same program, and only one of them is the ‘current’ version at
                              any time. A system for labelling each version of every program must
                              therefore be applied, so that there is no confusion about the different
                              versions and the correct version is always used;
                      Testing methods - The testing methods to be used must be specified.
                       These should include program testing, systems testing and user
                       acceptance testing, to be carried out before the system development is
                       complete;
                      Documentation standards - A section of the quality plan should specify
                       the documentation that should be produced for the new system. For
                       example, the requirements specification for a project might be drawn up
                       using a standard format in order to ensure that nothing is omitted from the
                       statement of requirements and that the requirements should be
                       comprehensible;
                      Procurement - A section in the quality plan should specify quality
                       standards for the procurement of hardware and any off-the-shelf software.
                       For example, the quality plan should state that a specified Invitation to
                       Tender procedure must be followed for the procurement of major
                       hardware items such as computer equipment and communications link
                       rentals;
                      The work performance of sub-contractors must also be subject to
                       specified performance quality standards;
                      Risk management - The project quality plan should also specify
                       requirements for risk management for the project. For example, the plan
                       might specify that there should be a review of risks at each stage of the
                       project (by the project team or project assurance team), and that significant
                       risks should be recorded, together with details of the measures taken to
                       eliminate             or            mitigate           the             risks.
© Emile Woolf International                         992         The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
31.8 Project planning: phases and tasks
              31.8.1 Splitting a project into phases
              A task of the project manager is to plan the work for the project, obtain the resources
              (staff, equipment and so on) to carry out the work and schedule the work so that the
              project is completed on schedule, or at the earliest possible time.
              In order to plan and schedule the work for the project, it is necessary to identify all the
              tasks that have to be completed.
              A first step in the identification of tasks is to identify the main stages of the project.
              Each stage should have an identifiable beginning and an identifiable end (a
              ‘milestone’). In a typical IS/IT development project the main stages of the project may
              include the following:
                Stage                    Starting point             Completion point (milestone)
                Project planning         Project initiation         Project quality plan
                                         document/ terms of
                                         reference
                System analysis          Project quality plan       Detailed system specification
                and design
                Programming              Detailed system            Completion of system testing
                                         specification
                Database design          Detailed system            Database design specifications
                                         specification              and construction of database
                Implementation           Completed system tests     Handover of system to the
                                         and database               user/customer
                                         construction
             31.8.2            Breakdown of work into lower-level tasks
              When the project has been divided into stages, each with its own identifiable
              beginning and end (milestone for achievement), the next step is to break down each
              stage into more detailed tasks, or ‘lower level tasks.
              For example, the systems analysis and design phase might include, as lower-level
              tasks:
                     Systems analysis and the production of an outline system specification;
                     Design of system input;
                     Design of system output;
                     Design requirements for individual programs (processing requirements); and
                     File design.
              A large number of lower-level tasks may be identified, although the number of tasks
              should be restricted. This is because the project manager will need to plan each task,
              and monitor its progress. Identifying too many tasks could make the job of the project
              manager too complex.
              For each task, the project manager needs to:
                     Estimate how much time will be needed to complete the task (measured,
                      perhaps, in man-days or man-months); and
                     Allocate each task to specific individuals or small groups.
 © Emile Woolf International                           973        The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
             Work breakdown structure: Prince 2
               Definition: Work breakdown structure (WBS)
               A work breakdown structure (WBS) is a tool or technique for breaking the total
               work on a project into smaller and smaller parts, such as:
                         the main stages of a project stages
                         the lower-level tasks within each stage, and
                         work packages, which are items of work within each lower-level task.
               Work for each small part of the project can then be allocated to an individual or
               team. This helps managers to plan the work for the project and allocate each
               item of work to individual members of the project team.
               Example: Prince 2
               In the UK, a WBS system in common use for project planning is Prince 2. Prince
               stands for ‘Projects in Controlled Environments’. It was first developed in 1989 by
               the UK government.
               Prince 2 provides ‘product breakdown structure’ (PBS) for a project development.
               The project, which is seen as consisting of a number of ‘products’, is broken down
               from the top-down into smaller and smaller work packages. This enables the
               project activities to be identified within the context of work packages. Work
               packages are allocated to individuals and teams. The project manager can then
               monitor the completion of each work package to control the project deliverables
               (including cost, time and quality).
            31.8.3            Dependencies between lower-level tasks
             A problem with the scheduling of tasks and allocation of tasks to individual project
             team members is to prepare realistic estimates of how long each task might take to
             complete. There will be some uncertainty in the estimates.
             Another problem is that many tasks in a project are inter-dependent. This means that
             some tasks cannot be started until other tasks have been completed. For example,
             program software cannot be written until the system has been specified. Programs
             cannot be tested until they have been written. A system cannot be implemented by
             the user until the files in the old system have been converted into files for the new
             system.
             Some tasks can be carried out at the same time, in parallel with each other. For
             example, programming and database design may happen side-by-side. New
             equipment for the IT system can be procured whilst the system is being programmed
             and tested.
             In order to schedule a project efficiently, so that it is completed in the shortest time
             possible (or by a target completion date), the project manager needs to identify the
             inter-dependencies between certain tasks.
             Having specified the tasks to be completed, the resources required for each task, the
             estimated time to complete each task and the inter-dependencies between them, the
             project manager can prepare a schedule for the project. It is common to use planning
             tools or techniques to prepare this schedule. The most common planning tools are:
                    Network analysis (also called critical path analysis); and
                    Gantt charts.
© Emile Woolf International                         974          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
31.9      Project monitoring and control
           The project manager has the primary responsibility for monitoring and control of projects
           during their development stage. However, the project manager is accountable to the
           project steering committee, or the project sponsor or the system user (the customer).
           The project steering committee might appoint a Project Assurance team, to carry out
           an independent monitoring role. This team would discuss progress at regular intervals
           with the project manager. It should also satisfy itself that each milestone for the project
           has been successfully reached.
          31.9.1 Quality, time and cost
              The main aspects of a project that should be monitored and controlled are quality,
              completion times and cost.
                     The quality of the work carried out for the project development can be
                      monitored by comparing actual achievements against the requirements that are
                      set out in the project quality plan.
                     The completion time for the project can be monitored by comparing the planned
                      completion times for the critical path activities with the actual completion times.
                     Costs can be monitored by comparing actual expenditure with budgeted
                      expenditure, on a regular basis (for example, in monthly budgetary control reports).
           31.9.2              Monitoring completion times: slippage
              A CPA chart can be used by the project manager to:
                     Check whether the time-critical activities are being completed on schedule;
                     Recognise by how much non-critical activities can be delayed without risking
                      the completion time for the project as a whole;
                     Recognise when the completion time for an activity has over-run the schedule (and
                      there is ‘slippage’ in the timetable for completion) and analyse what the
                      consequences of the slippage will be for the completion time for the entire project;
                      and
                     Allocate extra resources to time-critical activities if there is a risk of delay, or if
                      the expected slippage is unacceptable.
               31.9.3          Amending a CPA chart
              A CPA chart is a management tool to assist project managers with the control over
              the project completion time. If the chart gets out of date, because critical dates are
              missed, or because new estimates are prepared for the expected time to complete
              individual activities, the CPA chart can be updated and re-drawn.
              It is important to remember that the CPA chart should have practical value. If it ceases to
              provide realistic information, it is no longer of any value to a project manager.
              31.9.4.          Project management software
              Project managers may use off-the-shelf project management software to help them to
              plan, monitor and control a project. The software enables project managers to use
              project management techniques with the assistance of a PC or laptop computer.
                Example: Project management software
                An example of project management software is Microsoft Project.
              Features of project management software
              Typically, project management software helps project managers to:
                     Create a list of tasks for the project and their expected duration;
 © Emile Woolf International                          975          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                    Construct a CPA chart or a Gantt chart;
                    Assign resources to each task;
                    Prepare a budget for the project;
                    Track the progress of tasks (and update the CPA chart from time to time);
                    Record and monitor actual costs;
                    Manage the documents for the project; and
                    Prepare progress reports.
             Software helps the project managers to amend plans more quickly, and prepare
             revised CPA charts and Gantt charts, and revised budgets.
             It also helps managers to prepare better and more comprehensive project
             documentation.
             The main functions/benefits of project management software
             The main functions of project management software can be summarised as follows:
                    To produce and edit CPA charts or Gantt charts easily. The project manager
                     simply has to enter the activities, their interdependencies and their expected
                     duration. The software will then construct the CPA chart or Gantt chart
                     automatically. Charts can also be amended when project activities are changed.
                     They can also be updated to the current position at any time during the project,
                     for example when there has been slippage, so that the project manager can
                     establish the current expected completion time for the project;
                    To provide an accounting function for the project, by helping the project
                     manager to prepare a budget, record actual expenditure and monitor actual
                     costs against the budget; and
                    To plan and monitor the use of resources on the project, particularly the number
                     of staff working on the project. The project manager can enter the staff
                     requirements for each activity, and the software will produce a detailed estimate
                     of staff numbers required each day or week of the project. Where the resources
                     required exceeds the resources available, the project manager can then use the
                     software to look for ways of reducing staff requirements at peak times without
                     affecting the overall project completion time, by:
                             delaying the start of non-critical activities; or
                             reducing the number of staff assigned to non-critical activities, and
                              allowing these activities to take a longer time to complete.
             31.9.5           Managing the team
             As well as the technical team management responsibilities described above the team
             manager is also responsible for managing the team members. Responsibilities may
             include some or all of the below:
                    Selecting personnel and building the team;
                    Delegating roles and responsibilities;
                    Motivating team members;
                    Communicating information amongst the team;
                    Rewarding the team; and
                    Disciplining team members.
© Emile Woolf International                             976           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
              31.9.6           Role of the accountant
              The numeracy and business skills of accountants are highly valued in project
              management. Project managers need to:
                     Understand the economics of different options and decisions:
                     Be able to forecast costs and profit;
                     Generate accurate network analyses and Gantt charts;
                     Use spreadsheets effectively; and
                     Consider the impact of external factors as well as internal factors relevant to the
                      project.
              Accountants bring a wealth of business experience to projects and can be highly
              effective as either project managers or as advisors to project managers.
31.10         Chapter review
              At the end of this chapter, readers should be able to:
              (a) Implement performance management systems;
              (b) Explain impact of IT on employer/employee relations;
              (c) Identify problem areas: organisational impact analysis;
              (d) Discuss system implementation
              (e) Explain feasibility study;
              (f) Discuss cost-benefit analysis: costs and benefits;
              (g) Explain project initiation;
              (h) Discuss project planning: phases and tasks; and
              (i) Explain project monitoring and control.
 © Emile Woolf International                            977      The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                   I
    Skills level
    Performance management
                                                                                         Index
                                                    Anthony, R N                                    4, 853
a                                                        levels of planning
                                                    Appraisal costs
                                                                                                    4, 853
                                                                                                       141
                                                    ARR                                                765
ABC                                                      method
     advantages                          62                 advantages                                  767
     disadvantages                       62                 disadvantages                               767
     method of inventory control        703         Aspirational budgets                                179
Absorption                                          Attainable standards                                219
     costing                             41         Average
         advantages and disadvantages    52              collection period                              670
     rates                               41              payables period                                671
Accessibility of information            910         Avoidable costs                                     460
Accounting rate of return (ARR)         428
     method                             765
Acid test ratio
Activity
                                        334
                                                    b
    based
         budgeting                      169         Backflush accounting                              103
         costing                         53             trigger point                                 107
     ratio                              274             two trigger points                            104
Additive model                          201         Bad debt/s                                        717
Adverse variances                       226             costs                                         713
Advocacy threats                         65         Balanced scorecard approach                  350, 354
Aged debtors list                       716         Bank
Aggressive funding policies             667             loans - short-term                              755
Annuity                                 785             overdraft/s                                     755
Ansoff’s growth vector                                      balance                                     334
     analysis                           886                 facility                                    667
     gap analysis                       887         Bargaining power of
                                                        customers                                       869
© Emile Woolf International                   975           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
     suppliers                         869
Basic
     and non-basic variables           553
                                                   c
     standards                         219
Baumol model                           747         C Analysis                                          891
BCG matrix                             871         Capacity utilisation ratio                          273
                                                   Capital
Benchmarking                      348, 892
     process                           892             budgeting                                      761
Benefits of LCC                     90, 92             expenditure                                    761
Beyond                                                 investment                                     868
                                                       projects                                       761
     budgeting                         186
        model                          188         Carbon footprint                                   353
                                                   Cash
          performance management       189
        Round Table (BBRT)             186             budgets                                         737
Big data                               917             cows                                            872
Boehm’s spiral model                   962             discount                                        723
                                                       flow/s
Bonds                                  754
Boston Consulting Group (BCG)                              forecasts                  738
     model                             871                 from operations            674
Bottlenecks                             99                 statement approach         739
Bottom-up budgeting                    163             management                     753
Break-even                                                 larger organisations       756
     analysis                          478             management/management of
     chart                             484                 cash                       735
     point                             478             models                         747
Budget                                 157             operating cycle                668
     committee                         158             shortfalls                     755
     manual                            158         Certificates of Deposits           754
     period                            157         Changes in
     process                           160             strategic plans             5, 854
     slack (budget bias)               179             working capital                784
     slack                             166         Characteristics of services        359
Budgetary                                          Code of ethics                      63
     control                           158         Collection of receivables          670
     systems                           163         Committed borrowing facility       674
Budget-constrained style               184         Competitive
Budgeting                              157             benchmarking              349, 894
Buffer stock                           694             rivalry                        867
Building blocks                        361             strength: five forces          866
Burritt et al (2001)                   108         Complementary products             618
Business                                           Conservative funding policies      667
     information                        17         Constraints                    98, 524
     operating cycle                   668         Continuous budget                  164
     process re-engineering (BPR)      949         Contribution
                                                       per unit                       475
                                                       sales ratio               475, 477
                                                   Control                              3
                                                       reporting                      214
© Emile Woolf International                  976           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                       Index
Controllable profit                    426               factors                             719
Corner point theorem                   529               finance                             720
Cost                                                     ratios                              337
    centre                             423          Decentralisation                         425
    drivers                             55               of authority                        425
    gap                                 80          Decision
    leadership                         857               package                             167
       market strategy                 618               support systems (DSS)               927
    of quality                         139               trees                               635
    plus pricing                       612          Decision-making
    pools                               56               marginal costing                    510
    sales ratios                       333          Demand
    variances                          226               and supply                          593
Cost-based pricing methods             611               curves                              602
Costs of                                            Depreciation: ROI                        439
    conformance                    139, 141         Deprival value                           464
    non-conformance                139, 143         De-skilling                              946
Cost-volume-profit analysis             475         Differential
Credit                             713, 715              cost                                460
    checks                              715              pricing                        611, 619
    insurance                           719         Differentiation                          858
    limit                               716         Dimensions of performance                361
    period                              716         Direct
    risk/s                                               labour
        insurance                      727                  efficiency variance              236
        protection                     727                  rate
    terms                              713                     and efficiency variances      234
Critical success factors               933                     variance                      235
Cumulative average time per unit       126               materials usage variance            230
Current                                             Discount
     ratio                             334               factors                             777
     standards                         219               tables                              780
Customer                                            Discounted
     benchmarking                      898               cash flow (DCF) analysis            781
     perspective                       354               payback period                      818
     satisfaction                      346          Diversification strategy            858, 887
CVP analysis                           475          Divisional autonomy                      397
                                                    Divisional performance evaluation        425
                                                    Dogs                                     872
d                                                   Double taxation agreement
                                                    Dual price/s
                                                                                             413
                                                                                             547
                                                         limit                               552
Data warehouses                        920               pricing                             411
DCF                                    764
    and inflation                      801
Debt/s                                 383
    efficient collection               717
    factoring                          755
© Emile Woolf International                   977           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
e                                                  f
Early settlement discount              723         Factors                                719
Earnings per share growth              381         Familiarity threats                     65
EBITDA                            381, 739         Favourable variances                   226
Economic                                           Feedback                               171
     order quantity (EOQ)              689         Feed-forward control                   171
     Value Added (EVA)                 441         Feigenbaum, Armand                     139
Economies of scale                     868         Financial
Economy                                375              performance                       326
Effectiveness                          375                  indicators                    328
Efficiency                             375              perspective                       354
     ratio                             272              risk                              336
Elastic demand                         599         Fitzgerald and Moon                    360
EMA techniques                         110              building block model              359
Environmental                                      Five Forces model                      866
     accounting                        108         Fixed
     activity based accounting         110              budget                            173
     analysis model/s             860, 861              overheads variances - causes      256
     analysis models                                    production overhead
EPS                                    381                  capacity variance             255
Equity                                 755                  cost variances                250
Equivalent annual cost/s               831                  efficiency variance           254
     method                            832                  expenditure variance          252
Ethics                                                      volume variance               252
     and Conduct                        63         Flexible budgets                       174
     in performance management          63         Foreign
Ex                                                      currency risks                    726
     ante                                               exchange risk                     726
         and ex post standards or                       trade                             726
           budgets                     302         Formal strategic planning              854
         standard                      302         Forward exchange contract              727
     post standard                     302         Four Ps (The)                     889, 890
Executive information systems (EIS)    928         FPIs for measuring
Existing competitors                   867              financial risk                    336
Expectational budgets                  179              liquidity                         333
Expected values                        631              profitability                     329
Expenditure variance                   245         Free cash flow                         745
Expert systems (ES)                    928         Full cost plus pricing                 611
External                                           Functional
     failure costs                     143              benchmarking                      898
     intermediate market          402, 406              budgets                           159
© Emile Woolf International                  978          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                       Index
                                                    Internal
g                                                        benchmarking
                                                         failure costs
                                                                                                 348, 893
                                                                                                      143
                                                         perspective                                  354
Gap analysis                           857               rate of return (IRR)                         792
Gearing ratio (leverage)               337                   approach                                 764
Government bonds                       754                                                            792
                                                    Interpolation formula                             793
Gross profit margin                    331                  method
Groupware                              945
                                                    Interrelationships between variances 261
Growth vector                          888
                                                    Intimidation threats                     66
                                                    Inventory
h                                                        in throughput accounting
                                                         reorder level
                                                                                             96
                                                                                            694
                                                         turnover period                    669
Heterogeneity                          359          Inventory-out                           694
High/low analysis                       27          Investing short term                    753
Holding cash                           735          Investment
Home working                           944               appraisal                    761, 763
Human resources                        345               centre                             422
                                                         projects                      761, 762
                                                    Invoice discounting                     722
i                                                   IRR method
                                                         advantages                         798
                                                         disadvantages                      798
Ideal                                               IT systems
     standards                         219               and
     transfer price                    398                   competitive advantage          932
Idle time variance                     237                   performance management         931
Importance of CVP analysis             499               for providers of services          930
Imputed interest                       434
Incremental
     budgeting
     cost
                                        166
                                   458, 608
                                                    j
     revenue                            608
Inelastic demand                        599         JIT
Inflation and long-term projects        801             production                              103, 701
Information                                             purchasing                              103, 701
     external sources               24, 913         Joint product further processing
                                                        decisions                                    586
     internal sources               22, 912
                                                    Just-in-Time (JIT)                          103, 701
Innovation
     and learning perspective          354
     strategy
Instant access
                                       887
                                       921          k
Intangibility                          359
Integrity                               63          Kaizen costing                                     112
Interest cover ratio                   339          Kaplan
Interest-earning deposits              754
                                                        and Norton                                     354
© Emile Woolf International                   979           The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
    relevance lost                       74          Marginal
Key performance indicators              934               cost plus pricing                614
Knowledge work systems (KWS)            929               costing                           44
                                                             advantages and disadvantages 52
                                                             for decision-making           510
l                                                         revenue
                                                     Market
                                                                                           603
                                                          development strategy        858, 887
Labour                                                    penetration prices               618
     efficiency variance                 236              penetration strategy        858, 886
     rate variance                       235              share variance                   311
     variances - causes                  243              size variance                    311
League tables                            894         Market skimming prices                617
Learning curve                           125         Marketing mix                         890
     formula                             128         Mark-up pricing                       614
     graph                               131         Master budget                         158
Legacy information systems               967         Matching funding policies             667
Letter of credit                         726         Material/s
Levels of                                                 mix variance                     290
     management                           11              price variance                   229
     performance management              905              purchase quantities              687
Lewin’s ‘three stage’ change process 958                  variances - causes               233
Life cycle costing                        88              yield variance                   291
Linear                                               Maximax decision rule                 652
     programming                         523         Maximin decision rule                 653
         of business problems            527         Maximum inventory level               696
     regression analysis                  37         Measures of business growth           380
Liquid assets                            674         Measuring
Liquidity            333, 382, 674, 735, 753              performance                      326
     problems                            664              slopes                           531
     ratios                         334, 675         Methods of benchmarking               893
Lower limit                              749         Miller-Orr model                      749
                                                     Minimax regret decision rule          653
                                                     Minimum inventory level               696
m                                                    Mix
                                                          and yield variances              289
                                                          variance                    291, 317
Macro-environment                       860          Money
Make-or-buy decisions                   575               cost of capital                  803
Management                                                market investments               754
   accounting                            9           Monopoly pricing                      594
       systems                          73
                                                     Monte Carlo simulation                641
       trends                           77
                                                     Moving averages                       194
   change                              961
                                                     Multi production CVP analysis         488
   information systems (MIS)           925
                                                     Multiple objectives                   374
   levels                               17
   quality-related costs          145, 151
Margin of safety                       480
© Emile Woolf International                    980          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                      Index
                                                    Over-absorbed fixed production
n                                                      overhead
                                                    Overhead
                                                                                                      251
                                                       costs                                     55, 169
Negotiated transfer prices             411             expenditure variances                         252
Net                                                 Overtrading                                      680
    present value (NPV)
       approach                        764
       method
    profit margin
                                       781
                                       331
                                                    p
New
    entrants                           867          Participation in budget setting        180
    product development                 80          Payables                               729
Nominal rate of return                 806          Payback                                768
Non-accounting style                   184              method
Non-financial performance              327                  advantages                     770
    indicators (NFPIS)                 343                  decision rule                  768
Non-quantifiable objectives            373                  disadvantages                  770
Non-recourse factoring                 719          Pay-off
Not-for-profit organisations           373              matrix                             632
Notional interest                      434              table                         632, 650
NPV method                                          Percentage annual growth in sales      329
    advantages                         797          Performance
    disadvantages                      797              indicators                         328
                                                        management systems                 327
                                                        measurement                          9
o                                                       reporting
                                                    Periodic
                                                                                           227
                                                         budget                            164
Objective function                      529              review system                     703
Office automation systems (OAS)         926         Perishability                          359
One-off decision making                   4         PEST analysis also see SLEP
Operating                                               analysis                           862
     cash flow                          673         PESTEL
     statement - standard marginal                      analysis                           862
     costing                            270             limitations                        865
     statement                          263             model                              861
Operational                                         Place                                  890
     benchmarking                       349         Planning                                 3
     information                    19, 907             gap                                857
     management                     12, 905             variance/s                    302, 303
     planning                        4, 853         Porter/’s
     variances                     302, 303             Diamond model                      861
Opportunity costs                       462             successful competitive strategy    857
Order quantity with price                           Present value of a perpetuity          788
     discounts                     687, 692
                                                    Prevention costs                       142
Organisation structure                  421         Price                                  890
Outsourcing                             575
                                                        discrimination                     619
© Emile Woolf International                   981          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
     elasticity of demand              598                 measures of efficiency                 378, 379
Pricing decisions                      593             Question marks                                  872
Primary performance objective          380             Quick ratio                                     334
Principal budget factor                159
Probabilities and expected values      175
Probability table
Process benchmarking
                                       699
                                       897
                                                       r
Processing methods                     919
Product                                890             Ratio analysis                       328
     benchmarking                                      Real
         (reverse engineering)         899                 cost of capital                  806
     development strategy         858, 887                 rate of return                   802
     differentiation                   617             Receivables                          715
     life cycle                    91, 596             Reconciling budgeted and actual
     lines                             618                 profit                           263
Production                                             Recording
     overhead expenditure variance     252                 and processing methods           919
     volume ratio                      274                 data                             919
Profit                                                 Regression
     centre                            422                 analysis                          37
     margin                            331                    formulae                       38
     table                             650             Relative merits of NPV and IRR:      797
Profit/volume chart (P/V chart)        486                 multiple IRRs                    800
Profitability                          753                 mutually exclusive projects      799
     index                             784             Relevant
Profit-conscious style                 184                 costs                       463, 509
Project                                                       labour                        465
     management software               971                    materials                     463
     monitoring and control            970                    overheads                     467
Promotion                              890                 costing                          457
Proportional model                     203                    applications                  575
                                                       Reorder level                   694, 695
                                                       Replacing
q                                                          assets
                                                              considering time value        831
                                                              ignoring time value           827
Qualitative                                                components                       835
   data                                                Reputational costs                   144
        difficulties of recording and                  Residual income (RI)                 434
         processing                        921         Return
   indicators                              343             on
Qualities of good information              908                capital employed (ROCE)       381
Quality                               139, 346                investment (ROI) pricing      615
   failures                                142                Investment (ROI)              428
   time and cost                           970             point                            749
Quality-related costs                      139         Revenue
Quantitative                                               centre                           422
   indicators                              343             expenditure                      761
© Emile Woolf International                      982          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                                      Index
Revolving credit facility              674          SLEPT analysis also see PEST
Rewards                                364              analysis                                      862
RFID tagging                           920          Slippage                                          970
Risk                              629, 808          Social and environmental
     adjusted discount rates           817              performance                                  351
     and uncertainty in capital                     Solvency                                         382
        investment appraisal           808          Sources of information                       22, 912
     averse decision maker             630          Spread                                           749
     neutral decision maker            630          Spreadsheet/s                               161, 177
     preference                        630              model                                        646
Risk-seeking decision maker            630          Stakeholder-based measures of
ROI: investment decisions              431              performance                                   351
Rolling budget                         164          Standard/s
                                                        costing                                     213
                                                        costs                                       212
s                                                       of performance
                                                        reviewing
                                                                                               363, 366
                                                                                                    220
                                                    Stars                                           871
Safety                                  753         Stock-out                                       694
     inventory                          695         Strategic
Sales                                                   benchmarking                                 898
     mix and quantity variances         297             information                              18, 906
     price variance                     257             management                               11, 904
     revenue - net working capital                      performance                                  380
        ratio                           679             planning                                  4, 853
     variances                          257                and control                            4, 853
        causes                          259                process                                     6
     volume variance                    258         Stress testing                                   810
Savings accounts                        754         Substitute products                              870
Scarce resources                        513         Success and failure of information
Seasonal variations                     201             systems                                      951
Security of information                 911         Sunk costs                                       461
Self-interest threats                    64         Supply lead time                                 694
Self-review threats                      65         Surplus cash                                664, 753
Sensitivity analysis               646, 810         Sustainability                                   351
Setting standards                       219         SWOT analysis                                    881
Settlement discounts               723, 729             strengths and weaknesses                     881
Shortfalls of cash                      755             threats and opportunities               883, 885
Short-term bank loans                   755
Short-termism                           350
Shutdown decisions
Simplex
                                        584
                                        553
                                                    t
     final tableau                      565
Simulation                              640         Tactical
Simultaneity                            359             information                              19, 906
Single limiting factor                  513             management                               12, 904
Slack                                   552             planning                                  4, 853
                                                    Target
© Emile Woolf International                   983          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Performance management
     costing                            79
     profit and CVP analysis
Tax rules on transfer prices
                                       481
                                       413
                                                   u
Three Es (3Es)                         375
Three Ps (3Ps)                         351         Uncertainty                     629, 808
Throughput                              95            in budgeting                      173
     accounting                         94         Under- and over-absorption            42
         ratio                         100         Under-absorbed fixed production
                                                      overhead                          251
     productivity                      100
                                                   Upper limit                          749
Time value of money                    777
                                                   Usage variance                       230
Top-down budgeting                     163
                                                   User resistance                      956
Total
     fixed
         overhead cost variance
         production overhead cost
                                       250
                                                   v
           variance                    251
     Quality Management (TQM)          151
                                                   Value
Traceable profit                       426
                                                       chain (The)                        878
Trade
                                                           analysis                       877
     payables                          729
                                                       for
     receivables                       715
                                                           money                     373, 375
         administration                719
                                                             audits                       376
     references                        715
                                                           imperfect information          638
Traditional budgeting: weaknesses      186
                                                           perfect information            637
Transaction processing systems
     (TPS)                             924         Variable
Transfer/s                                             overhead efficiency variance       245
     at cost                      388, 391             production overhead efficiency
                                                       variance                           246
     opportunity cost of               399
                                                       production overhead expenditure
     price                                             variance                           245
         full cost plus                410         Variances
         incremental cost plus         410             interrelationships                 261
         market price                  409             and controllability                214
         variable cost plus            410
                                                   Volume
     pricing                           387             discounting                        619
         at                                            variance                           252
             cost plus                 394
             market price              396
Treasury
         practice                      409
                                                   w
     bills                             754
     bonds                             754         Weaknesses of CVP analysis                       500
     department                        756         What if analysis                            177, 646
         functions                     756         With recourse factoring                          720
Triple bottom line reporting           352         Withholding tax                                  413
Two bin system                         702         Without recourse factoring                       719
Two-part transfer prices               410
© Emile Woolf International                  984          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
                                                                                            Index
Working capital               663
   and DCF
   cycle
                              784
                              666
                                          y
   fluctuating                667
   foreign trade              726         Yield variance                                    291
   investment                 665
   permanent                  667
   policy                     666         z
                                          Zero based budgeting (ZBB)                        166
© Emile Woolf International         985          The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria