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Performance Management

The document is a study text on performance management published by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria. It provides an introduction to strategic management in the first chapter. The study text was published to assist candidates preparing for the Institute's professional examinations and contains 15 subjects at the foundation, skills and professional levels. It was developed with input from local writers and reviewers with subject matter expertise and was reviewed by a committee at the Institute.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
2K views992 pages

Performance Management

The document is a study text on performance management published by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria. It provides an introduction to strategic management in the first chapter. The study text was published to assist candidates preparing for the Institute's professional examinations and contains 15 subjects at the foundation, skills and professional levels. It was developed with input from local writers and reviewers with subject matter expertise and was reviewed by a committee at the Institute.

Uploaded by

blessedumoh311
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Performance

Management

Study Text

The Institute of Chartered


Accountants of Nigeria

ICAN
Performance management

i
Published by
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
PC 16, Idowu Taylor Street
Victoria Island, Lagos, Nigeria
Email: info.ican@ican.org.ng
www.ican-ngr.org

ISBN 978-978-57010-0-5

© The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


August 2021

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, recording, scanning or otherwise, without the prior permission in writing of
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria, or as expressly permitted by law, or
under the terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics rights organisation.

You may not circulate this Study Text in any other binding or cover, and you must impose
the same condition on any acquirer.

Notice

The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria has made every effort to ensure that at
the time of writing the contents of this Study Text are accurate, but neither the Council of
the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria, nor its management or employees shall
be under any liability whatsoever for any inaccurate or misleading information this work
could contain.

www.icanig.org

ii
F
Foreword
The business environment has been undergoing rapid changes caused, by globalisation and
advancement in Information Technology. The impact of these changes on the finance function
and the skills set needed by professional accountants to perform their various tasks have
been profound. These developments have made it inevitable for the Institute’s syllabus and
training curriculum to be reviewed to align its contents with current trends and future needs of
users of accounting services.

The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN) reviews its syllabus and training
curriculum every three years, however, the syllabus is updated annually to take cognisance of
new developments in the national environment and the global accountancy profession. The
Syllabus Review, Professional Examination and Students’ Affairs Committees worked
assiduously to produce a 3-level, 15-subject ICAN syllabus. As approved by the Council,
examinations under the new syllabus will commence with the November 2021 diet.

It is instructive to note that the last four syllabus review exercises were accompanied with the
publication of Study Texts. Indeed, when the first four editions of Study Texts were produced,
the performances of professional examination candidates significantly improved. In an effort
to consolidate on these gains and to further enhance the success rates of students in its
qualifying examinations, the Council approved that a new set of learning materials (Study
Texts) be developed for each of the subjects. Although, these learning materials may be
regarded as the fifth edition, they have been updated to include IT and soft skills in relevant
subjects, thereby improving the contents, innovation, and quality.

Ten of the new learning materials were originally contracted to Emile Woolf International
(EWI), UK. However, these materials were reviewed and updated to take care of new
developments and introduced IT and soft skills in relevant subjects. Also, renowned writers
and reviewers which comprised eminent scholars and practitioners with tremendous
experiences in their areas of specialisation, were sourced locally to develop learning materials
for five of the subjects because of their local contents. The 15 subjects are as follows:

iii
Foundation Level
1. Business, Management and Finance EWI/ICAN
2. Financial Accounting EWI/ICAN
3. Management Information EWI/ICAN
4. Business Law ICAN

Skills Level
5 Financial Reporting EWI/ICAN
6 Audit and Assurance EWI/ICAN
7. Taxation ICAN
8. Corporate Strategic Management and Ethics EWI/ICAN
9. Performance Management EWI/ICAN
10. Public Sector Accounting and Finance ICAN

Professional Level
11. Corporate Reporting EWI/ICAN
12. Advanced Audit and Assurance EWI/ICAN
13. Strategic Financial Management EWI/ICAN
14. Advanced Taxation ICAN
15. Case Study ICAN

As part of the quality control measures, the output of the writers and reviewers were
subjected to further comprehensive review by the Study Texts Review Committee.

Although the Study Texts were specially produced to assist candidates preparing for the
Institute’s Professional Examination, we are persuaded that students of other
professional bodies and tertiary institutions will find them very useful in the course of
their studies.

Haruna Nma Yahaya (Mallam), mni, BSc, MBA, MNIM, FCA


Chairman, Study Texts Review Committee

iv
A
Acknowledgement
The Institute is deeply indebted to the underlisted locally-sourced rewriters, reviewers and
members of the editorial board for their scholarship and erudition which led to the
successful production of these new study texts. They are:

Taxation
1. Enigbokan, Richard Olufemi Reviewer
2. Clever, Anthony Obinna Writer
3. Kajola, Sunday Olugboyega Writer

Business Law
1. Oladele, Olayiwola.O Writer/Reviewer
2. Adekanola, Joel .O Writer

Public Sector Accounting and Finance


1. Osho, Bolaji Writer/Reviewer
1. Biodun, Jimoh Reviewer
2. Osonuga, Timothy Writer
3. Ashogbon, Bode Writer

Advanced Taxation
1. Adejuwon, Jonathan Adegboyega Reviewer
2. Kareem, Kamilu Writer

Information Technology Skills


1. Ezeilo, Greg Reviewer
2. Ezeribe, Chimenka Writer
3. Ikpehai, Martins Writer
v
Case Study

1. Adesina, Julius Babatunde Writer/Reviewer

Soft Skills
1. Adesina, Julius Babatunde Reviewer
2. Adepate, Olutoyin Adeagbo Writer

The Institute also appreciates the services of the experts who carried out an update and
review of the following Study Texts:

Business Management and Finance


1. Ogunniyi, Olajumoke

Management Information
1. Adesina, Julius Babatunde
2. Ezeribe, Chimenka

Financial Accounting
1. Adeyemi, Semiu Babatunde

Financial Reporting

1. Okwuosa, Innocent

Performance Management

1. Durukwaku, Sylvester

Corporate Strategic Management and Ethics

1. Adepate, Olutoyin Adeagbo

Audit & Assurance

1. Amadi, Nathaniel

Corporate Reporting

1. Adeadebayo, Shuaib

Advanced Audit and Assurance

1. Okere, Onyinye

Strategic Financial Management

1. Omolehinwa, Ademola

vi
The Institute also appreciates the services of the following:

STUDY TEXTS REVIEW COMMITTEE

Members

Haruna Nma Yahaya (Mallam), mni, BSc, MBA, ANIM, FCA Chairman
Okwuosa, Innocent, PhD, FCA Adviser
Akinsulire, O. O. (Chief), B.Sc, M.Sc., MBA, FCA Deputy Chairman
Adesina, Julius, B. B.Sc, M.Sc, MBA,FCA Member
Adepate, Olutoyin, B.Sc, MBA, FCA Member
Enigbokan, Richard Olufemi, PhD, FCA Member
Anyalenkeya, Benedict, B.Sc, MBA, FCA Member (Deceased)

Secretariat Support

Kumshe, Ahmed Modu, (Prof.), FCA Registrar/Chief Executive

Momoh, Ikhiegbia B., MBA, FCA Director, Examinations

Otitoju, Olufunmilayo, B.Sc, arpa, ANIPR HOD, Students’ Affairs

Anifowose, Isaac, B.Sc., MMP Manager, Students’ Affairs

Evbuomwan, Yewande, B.Sc. (Ed.), M.Ed., ACIS Asst. Manager, Students’ Affairs

Ahmed M. Kumshe, (Prof.), FCA


Registrar/Chief Executive

vii
C
Skills level
Performance management

Contents

Page
Syllabus v
Chapter
1 Introduction to strategic management 1
2 Overview of cost planning and control 27
3 Modern management accounting techniques 71
4 Learning and experience curve theory 123
5 Quality and quality costs 138
6 Budgetary control systems 154
7 Variance analysis 209
8 Advanced variance analysis 287
9 Performance analysis 322
10 Other aspects of performance measurement 371
11 Transfer pricing 384
12 Divisional performance 419
13 Relevant costs 454
14 Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis 473
15 Limiting factors 507
16 Linear programming 521
17 Further aspects of linear programming 545
18 Other decisions 573
19 Pricing 591
20 Risk and decision making 627

viii
Performance management

Page

21 Working capital management 661


22 Inventory management 685
23 Management of receivables and payables 711
24 Cash management 733
25 Introduction to capital budgeting 759
26 Discounted cash flow 775
27 Replacement theory 824
28 Strategic models and performance management 851
29 Information systems and performance management 901
30 Implementing performance management systems 945
31 Application of Information technology in performance 970
Index 975
0

ix
S
Skills level
Performance management

Syllabus

SKILLS LEVEL

PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT

Aim

Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide


information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts
with a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to
critical success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational
or with a social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial
and non-financial data and information to support management decisions.

Linkage with other subjects

The diagram below depicts the relationship between this subject and other subjects.

Strategic Financial Management

Performance Management Corporate Strategic


Management & Ethics

Business, Management and


Management Information Finance

x
Performance management

Main competencies
On successful completion of this paper, candidates should be able to:
Identify and apply appropriate budgeting techniques and standard costing to planning and control in
business;
Select and apply performance measurement techniques;

Apply strategic performance measurement techniques in evaluating and improving organizational


performance;
Discuss the accounting information requirements and the role of accountants in project management; and

Select and apply decision-making techniques to facilitate efficient and effective business
decisions in the use of scarce resources.

xi
Syllabus

Linkage of the main competencies

This diagram illustrates the linkage between the main competencies of this subject and is to
assist candidates in studying for the examination.

Performance measurement and control

Performance and management systems


Planning and
control Strategic performance measurement and
management systems

Decision making

xii
Performance management

Syllabus overview

Grid Weighting
A Cost planning and control 20
B Planning and control 20
C Performance measurement and control 20
D Decision making 30
E Strategic performance measurement 5
F Performance and management system 5
Total 100

xiii
Syllabus

Detailed syllabus Chapter


A Cost planning and control
1 Overview of costs for planning and control
a Discuss and evaluate the sources of performance management 2
information.
b Analyse fixed and variable cost elements from total cost data 2
using high/low method and regression analysis.
c Differentiate between marginal costing and absorption costing. 2
d Analyse overhead costs using activity based costing. 2
2 Cost planning and control for competitive advantage
a Discuss and apply the principles of: 3
i Target costing; 3
ii Life cycle costing; 3
iii Theory of constraints (TOC); 3
iv Throughput accounting; 3
v Back flush accounting; 3
vi Environmental accounting; and 3
vii Kaizen costing. 3
b Learning and experience curve theory 4
i Discuss and apply the learning and experience curve theory 4
to pricing, budgeting and other relevant problems.
ii Calculate and apply learning rate to cost estimation. 4
c Cost of quality 5
i Explain quality costs. 5
ii Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of 5
non-conformance.
iii Discuss the significance of quality costs for organisations. 5
3 Ethical issues in performance management
a Discuss ethical issues in performance management. 2
b Discuss the professional accountants’ code of ethics as it relates 2
to performance management.

xiv
Performance management

Detailed syllabus Chapter


B Planning and control
1 Budgetary system, planning and control
a Discuss and apply forecasting techniques to planning and control. 6
b Discuss budgetary system in an organization as an aid to 6
performance management.
c Evaluate the information used in budgetary system. 6
d Discuss the behavioural aspects of budgeting. 6
e Discuss the usefulness and problems associated with different 6
types of budget.
f Explain beyond budgeting models. 6
2 Variance analysis
a Explain the uses of standard cost and types of standard. 7
b Discuss the methods used to derive standard cost. 7
c Explain and analyse the principle of controllability in the
performance management system.
d Calculate and apply the following variances: 7, 8
i Material usage and price variances; 7
ii Material mix and yield variances; 8
iii Labour rate, efficiency and idle time variances; 7
iv Variable overhead expenditure and efficiency variances; 7
v Fixed overhead budget, volume, capacity and productivity 7
variances;
vi Sales volume variance; 7
vii Sales mix and quantity variances; 8
viii Sales market size and market share variances; and 8
ix Planning and operational variances. 8
e Identify and explain causes of various variances and their inter- 7, 8
relationship.
f Analyse and reconcile variances using absorption and marginal 7, 8
costing techniques

xvi
Syllabus

Detailed syllabus Chapter


C Performance measurement and control
1 Performance analysis
a Select and calculate suitable financial performance measures for 9
a business from a given data and information.
b Evaluate the results of calculated financial performance measures 9
based on business objectives and advise management on
appropriate actions.
c Select and calculate suitable non-financial performance measures 9
for a business from a given data and information.
d Evaluate the results of calculated non-financial performance 9
measures based on business objectives and advise management
on appropriate actions.
e Explain the causes and problems created by short-termism and 9
financial manipulation of results and suggest methods to
encourage a long term view.
f Discuss sustainability consideration in performance measurement 9
of a business.
g Select and explain stakeholders based measures of performance 9
that may be used to evaluate social and environmental
performance of a business.
h Explain and interpret the Balanced Scorecard and Fitzgerald and 9
Moon Building Block model.
2 Performance analysis in not-for-profit organisations
a Discuss the problems of having non-quantifiable objectives in 10
performance management.
b Explain how performance may be measured in the not-for-profit 10
organisations.
c Discuss the problems of having multiple objectives. 10
d Demonstrate value for money (VFM) as a public sector objective. 10
3 Divisional performance and transfer pricing 10, 11
a Discuss the various methods of setting transfer prices and 10
evaluate the suitability of each method.
b Determine the optimal transfer price using appropriate models. 10
c Explain the benefits and limitations of transfer pricing methods. 10
d Demonstrate and explain the impact of taxation and repatriation of 10
funds on international transfer pricing.
e Select and explain suitable divisional performance measures for a 12
given business using return on investment, residual income and
economic value added approaches. Evaluate the results and
advise management.

xvii
Performance management

Detailed syllabus Chapter


D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
a Select and calculate suitable relevant cost based on given data 13
and information. Evaluate the results and advise management.
b Select, calculate and present cost-volume-profit analyses based 14
on a given data and information (including single and multiple
products) using both numerical and graphical techniques. Advise
management based on the results.
c Apply relevant cost concept to short term management decisions 18
including make or buy, outsourcing, shut down, one-off contracts,
adding a new product line, sell or process further, product and
segment profitability analysis, etc.
d Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
i Single constraint situation including make or buy; and 15
ii Multiple constraint situations involving linear programming 16, 17
using simultaneous equations, graphical techniques and
simplex method. (The simplex method is limited to
formulation of initial tableau and interpretation of final
tableau).
NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also 17
required.
e Explain different pricing strategies, including: 19
i Cost-plus; 19
ii Skimming; 19
iii Market penetration; 19
iv Complementary product; 19
v Product-line; 19
vi Volume discounting; and 19
vii Market discrimination. 19
f Calculate and present numerically and graphically the optimum 19
selling price for a product or service using given data and
information by applying relevant cost and economic models and
advise management.
g Evaluate how management can deal with uncertainty in decision- 20, 27
making including the use of simulation, decision-trees,
replacement theory, expected values, sensitivity analysis and
value of perfect and imperfect information.

xviii
Syllabus

Detailed syllabus Chapter


D Decision making (continued)
2 Working capital management
a Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital. 21 to 24
b Calculate and explain the cash operating cycle. 21
c Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing
working capital in relation to:
i Inventory (including economic order quantity model and Just- 22
in-Time techniques);
ii Account receivables (including cash discounts, factoring and 23
invoice discounting);
iii Account payables; and 23
iv Cash (including Baumol and Miller-Orr Models). 24
3 Capital budgeting decisions
a Discuss the characteristics of capital budgeting decisions. 25
b Calculate and discuss various investment appraisal techniques
such as:
i Traditional techniques 25
 Accounting rate of return 25
 Pay-back period 25
ii Discounted cash flow technique 26
 Net Present Value 26
 Internal Rate of Return 26
NB: These may Include basic profitability index and 26
inflation but excluding tax consideration and capital
rationing.
c Evaluate asset replacement decision for mutually exclusive 27
projects with unequal lives.

xiv
Performance management

Detailed syllabus Chapter


E Strategic performance measurement
1 Analyse and evaluate business objectives and strategies using 28
techniques such as:
a C-analysis; 28
b Five forces analysis; 28
c The Boston Consulting Group Model; 28
d Value chain analysis; 28
e Ansoff’s matrix; 28
f Benchmarking; and 28
g SWOT analysis. 28
2 Analyse and evaluate suitable performance measures for:
a Profitability (GP, ROCE, ROI, EPS, EBITDA, etc.); 9
b Liquidity; and 9
c Solvency. 9
F Performance and management systems
1 Evaluate and advise management on suitable information technology 29
and strategic performance management system covering:
a Sources of information; 29
b Information technology tools for performance management at 29
various levels (strategic, tactical and operational); and
c Use of internet technologies for performance management and 29
key performance indicators.
2 Evaluate and advise management on suitable approaches that may 30
be used to manage people, issues and change when implementing
performance management systems.
3 Discuss the accounting information requirements and analyse the 30
different types of information systems used for strategic planning,
management control and operational control and decision-making.
4 Discuss roles of accountants in:
a Project management; 30
b Project planning; and 30
c Project control methods and standards. 30

xx
1
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Introduction to strategic management

Contents

1 Introduction to strategic planning and control


2 Strategic objectives
3 Levels of management
4 Chapter review

1
Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Purpose
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Exam context
This chapter does not address a specific syllabus competency. It has been written to explain
the meaning of strategic planning to provide a foundation for understanding the above and
other areas in the syllabus. In particular, it explains strategic objectives and the differing
informational needs of management at different levels in an organisation.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the difference between strategic, tactical and operational planning and control
 Understand the strategic planning process in overview
 Explain the importance of corporate objectives and the link to performance
management
 Explain the different informational needs for strategic, tactical and operational
management
 Understand the potential conflict that may arise between strategic objectives and short-
term decisions.

1 INTRODUCTION TO STRATEGIC PLANNING AND CONTROL

Section overview

 Management accounting
 Levels of strategic planning
 Definition of strategic planning and control
 Strategic planning process

1.1 Management accounting


The purpose of management accounting is to provide relevant and reliable
information so that managers can make well-informed decisions. The value of
management accounting depends on the quality of the information provided, and
whether it helps managers to make better decisions.
In other words, the purpose of management accounting is to provide information
for:
 planning;
 control; and
 decision making.
Performance management includes these three concepts:

16
Planning
Planning involves the following:
 setting the objectives for the organisation;
 making plans for achieving those objectives.
The planning process is a formal process and the end-result is a formal plan,
authorised at an appropriate level in the management hierarchy. Formal plans
include long-term business plans, budgets, sales plans, weekly production
schedules, capital expenditure plans and so on.
Information is needed in order to make sensible plans – for example in order to
prepare an annual budget, it is necessary to provide information about expected
sales prices, sales quantities and costs, in the form of forecasts or estimates.

Control
Control of the performance of an organisation is an important management task.
Control involves the following:
 monitoring actual performance, and comparing same with the objective or
plan;
 taking control action where appropriate;
 evaluating actual performance.
When operations appear to be getting out of control, management should be
alerted so that suitable measures can be taken to deal with the problem. Control
information might be provided in the form of routine performance reports or as
special warnings or alerts when something unusual has occurred.

Decision making
Managers might need to make ‘one-off’ decisions, outside the formal planning
and control systems. Management accounting information can be provided to
help a manager decide what to do in any situation where a decision is needed.

1.2 Levels of strategic planning


Planning is a hierarchical activity, linking strategic planning at the top with
detailed operational planning at the bottom. Strategic plans set a framework and
guidelines within which more detailed plans, and shorter-term planning decisions,
can be made.
R. N. Anthony (1965) identified three levels of planning within an organisation:
 Strategic planning. This involves identifying the objectives of the entity,
and plans for achieving those objectives, mostly over the longer term.
Strategic plans include corporate strategic plans, business strategic plans
and functional strategic plans.
 Tactical planning. These are shorter-term plans for achieving medium-
term objectives. An example of tactical planning is the annual budget.
Budgets and other tactical plans can be seen as steps towards the
achievement of longer-term strategic objectives.
 Operational planning. This is a detailed planning of activities, often at a
supervisory level or junior management level, for the achievement of short-
term goals and targets. For example, a supervisor might divide the
workload between several employees in order to complete all the work
before the end of the day.

17
Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management

1.3 Definition of strategic planning and control


‘Strategic planning and control’ within an entity is the continuous process of:
 identifying the goals and objectives of the entity;
 planning strategies that will enable these goals and objectives to be
achieved;
 setting targets for each strategic objective (performance targets);
 converting strategies into shorter-term operational plans;
 implementing the strategy;
 monitoring actual performance (performance measurement and review);
and
 taking control measures where appropriate when actual performance is
below the target.
Other aspects of strategic planning and control are:
 re-assessing plans and strategies when circumstances in the business
environment change; and
 where necessary, changing strategies and plans.

Formal planning process


Companies might have a formal strategic planning process. Such a process:
 clarifies objectives;

 helps management to make strategic decisions. Strategic planning forces


managers to think about the future: companies are unlikely to survive
unless they plan ahead;
 establishes targets for achievement;
 co-ordinates objectives and targets throughout the organisation, from the
mission statement and strategic objectives at the top of a hierarchy of
objectives, down to operational targets;
 provides a system for checking progress towards the objectives.
However, planning must also be flexible. Plans and targets might need to change
in response to changes in the business environment, for example, a new initiative
by a rival company.

Changes in strategic plans


Strategic plans often cover a period of several years, typically five years or
longer. They are prepared on the basis of the best information available at the
time, using assumptions about the nature of the business environment –
competitive conditions, market conditions, available technology, the economic,
social and political climate, and so on.
However, the business environment can change very quickly, in unexpected
ways. Changes can create new threats to a company, or they can create new
business opportunities. Whenever changes occur, a company should be able to
respond – by taking measures to deal with new threats, or to exploit new
opportunities.
The response of a company to changes in its environment could mean having to
develop new strategies and abandon old ones. When changes are made, the
original strategic plan will no longer be entirely valid, although large parts of it
might be unaffected.
18
Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management

Strategic planning in practice is therefore often a mixture of:


 formal planning, and
 developing new strategies and making new plans whenever significant
changes occur in its business environment.
Responding to unexpected changes by doing something that is not in the formal
plan is sometimes called ‘freewheeling opportunism’. It means making unplanned
decisions, to take advantages of opportunities as they arise, or to deal with
unexpected threats.

1.4 Strategic planning process


Different methods and approaches may be used to develop strategic plans but
they share common features.
A basic approach to strategic planning is shown in the following diagram.

Illustration: Strategic planning process

Set objectives

Strategic analysis
(Corporate appraisal)

Strategic choice

Evaluation of
strategies

Implementation of Review and


strategies control

Each stage will be explained in further detail later. For the moment, the text only
provides an overview in order to provide a foundation for understanding key
elements of performance management.

Objectives
The entity must develop clear objectives, such as, the maximisation of
shareholders’ wealth. These objectives should be consistent with the mission
statement. Targets can be established for the achievement of objectives within
the planning period.
Objectives should take into account the interest and power of stakeholders.
Stakeholder mapping is a useful tool in this regard.

19
Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management

Strategic analysis
A strategic analysis comprises:
 an environmental analysis; and
 a position audit.
Environmental analysis involves an analysis of developments outside the
organisation that are already affecting the organisation or could affect the
organisation in the future. These are external factors that might affect the
achievement of objectives and strategy selection.
A position audit is an internal analysis which identifies the strengths and
weaknesses within the organisation – its products, existing customers,
management, employees, technical skills and ‘know-how’, its operational systems
and procedures, its reputation for quality, the quality of its suppliers, its liquidity
and cash flows, and so on.
The results of the environmental analysis and the position audit can be combined
in a SWOT analysis. The SWOT analysis depicts the strengths and weaknesses
of an organisation, and the opportunities and threats in its environment. This
method of strategic analysis is often used by organisations as a starting point for
strategic planning.

Strategic choice
Strategies should be developed to make full use of strengths within the entity and
to reduce or remove significant weaknesses.
Strategies should be developed to:
 take advantage of opportunities;
 make full use of strengths;
 remove weaknesses; and
 take action to protect against threats.
These components of the strategic choice decisions will be covered later.

Evaluation of strategic options


Strategies should be evaluated to decide whether they might be appropriate.
Johnson and Scholes have suggested that strategies should be assessed for:
 suitability;
 feasibility; and
 acceptability.

Strategic implementation
The selected strategies should then be implemented.
The implementation of strategies should be monitored. Changes and adjustments
should be made where these become necessary.
Areas of importance here are change management and project management.
These are covered in more detail later.

Review and control


This is a key area. An entity will have management information systems in place
to monitor the progress of the business. These are particularly important to the
introduction of a new strategy where timing and achievement of progress points
might be vital to its success. This is covered in more detail later.
20
2 STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

Section overview

 Planning and corporate objectives


 The need for performance measurement

 Management accounting and performance measurement

2.1 Planning and corporate objectives


The purpose of strategic planning and control is to help an entity to achieve its
strategic objectives. It is normally assumed that the objective of a company is to
provide a high return to its owners, the shareholders, consistent with the level of
risk in the business.
Not-for-profit entities also have strategic objectives, which relate to the purpose
for which they exist. These objectives are non-financial in nature.
Performance measurement is an integral part of a system of planning and
control.
 Planning targets clarify the objectives of the organisation. Corporate
objectives are converted into planning targets. Similarly, the objectives of
strategic plans are converted into planning targets. A target should be a
clear statement of what an entity wants to achieve within a specified period
of time. Planning targets are usually quantified, but may be expressed in
qualitative terms.
 Measurements of performance (target and actual) help to
improve management’s understanding of processes and systems.
 Planning targets are set at strategic, tactical and operational management
levels. Using quantitative measures of performance makes it easier to set
targets for managers and the organisation as a whole.
 In a well-designed performance management system, all planning targets
are consistent with each other, at the strategic, tactical and operational
levels.
 When the business environment is changing, a performance measurement
system should provide for the continual re-assessment of planning targets,
so that targets can be altered as necessary to meet the changing
circumstances.
 Actual performance, at the strategic, tactical and operational levels should
be measured and monitored. Comparing actual performance with targets
provides useful control information. Differences between actual
performance and targets can be analysed, to establish the causes. Where
appropriate, action can be taken to improve performance by dealing with
the causes of the poor performance.
 Performance measures also make it possible to compare the performance
of different organisations or different divisions within the same organisation.
 Performance measurement systems promote accountability of the
organisation to its stakeholders.
 A performance management system may be linked to a system of
rewarding individuals for the successful achievement of planning targets.

21
2.2 The need for performance measurement
Every managed organisation needs a system of performance measurement.
 Managers need to understand what they should be trying to achieve. A
sense of purpose and direction is provided by plans (strategies, budgets,
operational plans and so on), and for each plan there should be objectives
and targets. Setting targets for achievement (performance targets) is an
essential part of planning.
 Managers also need to know whether they are successful. The information
they need is provided by comparing:
 their actual results or performance with the performance target, and
 the performance target with the current forecast of what performance
will be.
Targets, forecasts and actual performance should be measured, in order to
compare them. Ideally measures of performance should be quantified values
(financial or non-financial measures), because numerical measures of
performance are easier to compare than non-quantified (‘qualitative’) measures.

The benefits of performance measurement systems


The advantages of having a formal system of performance measurement can be
summarised as follows:
 A well-structured system of performance measurement clarifies the
objectives of the organisation, and shows how departments, work groups
and individuals within the organisation contribute to the achievement of
those objectives.
 It establishes agreed measures of activity, based on key success factors.
 It helps to provide a better understanding of the processes within the
organisation, and what each should be trying to achieve.
 It provides a system for comparing the performance of different
organisations or departments.
 The system establishes performance targets for the organisation’s
managers, over a suitable time period for achievement.

2.3 Management accounting and performance measurement


Management accounting is an important element in performance measurement
systems. Many performance targets are financial in nature, such as achieving
targets for return on capital, profits and sales revenue and targets for keeping
expenditure under control.
However, a performance measurement system uses a wide range of targets at
the strategic, tactical and operational level. Many of these are non-financial
targets, and not all targets are quantifiable.
Clearly, a comprehensive management accounting system should therefore
provide information for setting targets and measuring actual performance at all
levels. It should also provide non-financial information as well as financial
information.
If a management accounting system cannot provide all this information to
management, managers will have to rely on other information systems in addition
to the management accounting system. An entity might then have several
different information systems, which is probably inefficient and less effective than
a fully co-ordinated management information system.

22
Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management

3 LEVELS OF MANAGEMENT

Section overview

 Levels of management
 Potential conflict between strategic plans and short-term decisions

3.1 Levels of management


In ‘traditionally-structured’ large organisations, there is a hierarchy of managers,
from senior management down to junior managers and supervisors. The
responsibilities of managers vary according to their position in the management
hierarchy.
Even in small organisations, the nature of management activities can be
analysed into different levels.
A common approach to analysing levels of management and management
decision-making process is to identify three levels:
 strategic management;
 tactical management; and
 operational management.

Strategic management
Strategic management is concerned with:
 deciding on the objectives and strategies for the organisation;
 making or approving long-term plans for the achievement of strategic
targets;
 monitoring actual results, to check whether these are in line with strategic
targets;
 where appropriate, taking control action to bring actual performance back
into line with strategic targets; and
 reviewing and amending strategies.
A strategy is a plan for the achievement of a long-term objective. The main
objective of a profit-making entity may be to maximise the wealth of its owners.
Several strategies are selected for the achievement of this main objective, and
each individual strategy might have its own specific objective.
Strategic planning is often concerned with developing products and markets and
for long-term investment. For example, a company seeking to increase its profits
by 10% a year for the next five years might select the following strategies:
 Marketing strategy: to expand into markets in other countries (with specific
countries selected as planning targets for each year of the plan)
 Innovation strategy: to invest in research and development (with a target to
launch, say, two new products on the market each year for the next five
years)
 Investment strategy: to invest in new technology (with a target, say, of
replacing all existing equipment with new technology within the next five
years).

23
Performance management

Tactical management
Tactical management is associated with the efficient and effective use of an
organisation’s resources, and the control over expenditure. In a large
organisation, tactical managers are the ‘middle managers’.
Tactical management is concerned with implementation and control of medium-
term plans, within the guidelines of the organisation’s strategic plans. For
example, budgeting and budgetary control are largely tactical management
responsibilities.

Operational management
Operational management is the management of day-to-day operating activities. It
is usually associated with operational managers and supervisors.
At an operational level, managers need to make sure on a day-to-day basis that
they have the resources they need and that those resources are being used
efficiently. It includes scheduling of operations and monitoring output, such as
daily efficiency levels.
There is no clear dividing line between tactical management and operational
management, but essentially the differences are a matter of detail. Tactical
management may be concerned with the performance of an entire department
during a one-week period, whereas operational management may be concerned
with the activities of individuals or small work groups on a daily basis.

3.2 Potential conflict between strategic plans and short-term decisions


Problems may occur in any organisation,especially large organisations with a
large number of managers, when ‘local’ operational managers take decisions that
are inconsistent with long-term strategic objectives.
There are several reasons why this might happen.
 ‘Local’ managers might be rewarded for achieving short-term planning
targets, such as keeping actual expenditure within the budget limit.
However, although there is a short-term benefit, there might be longer-term
damage. For example, a local manager might decide to cut the training
budget for his staff in order to reduce costs, but in the long-term the future
success of the company might depend on having well-trained and skilled
employees.
 ‘Local’ managers might fail to buy into the plan because they believe it to
be unfair.
 ‘Local’ managers might be unaware of the strategic plans and objectives,
due to poor communication within the entity.
In any system of performance management, especially in systems where
managers are rewarded for achieving planning targets, it is important to make
sure that the short-term planning targets are consistent with longer-term strategic
objectives.

24
Chapter 1: Introduction to strategic management

4 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the difference between strategic, tactical and operational planning and
control
 Understand the strategic planning process in overview
 Explain the importance of corporate objectives and the link to performance
management
 Explain the different informational needs for strategic, tactical and operational
management
 Understand the potential conflict that may arise between strategic objectives and
short-term decisions.

25
Performance management

2
Skills level

CHAPTER
Performance management

Overview of cost planning and control

Contents
1 Performance management information
2 Sources of information
3 High/low method
4 Linear regression analysis
5 Marginal costing and absorption costing
6 Activity based costing
7 Ethics in performance management
8 Chapter review

27
Performance management

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
A Cost planning and control
1 Overview of costs for planning and control
a Discuss and evaluate the sources of performance management information.
b Analyse fixed and variable cost elements from total cost data using high/low
method and regression analysis.
c Differentiate between marginal costing and absorption costing.
d Analyse overhead costs using activity based costing.

3 Ethical issues in performance management


a Discuss ethical issues in performance management.
b Discuss the professional accountants’ code of ethics as it relates to
performance management.

Exam context
You will have covered much of the content of this chapter in your earlier studies. A full
explanation has been included here for your convenience.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Calculate fixed and variable costs by using high-low points method
 Calculate fixed and variable costs by using regression analysis
 Calculate profit using total absorption costing and marginal costing and explain the
difference
 Explain the difference between traditional volume based absorption methods and
activity based costing
 Apportion overheads using activity based costing
 Estimate unit cost using activity based costing
 Discuss ethical issues in performance management and compliance with ICAN’s code
of ethics

16
Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

1 PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT INFORMATION

Section overview

 Business information
 Information for different management levels

1.1 Business information


Information is processed data. Data can be defined as facts that have not been
assembled into a meaningful structure. Data is processed into a structured form
that has some meaning: this is called ‘information’.
Businesses use information in several ways.
 Information is used to perform routine transactions, such as order
processing and invoicing.
 Information is used to make decisions.
 Information is also developed into knowledge that can be used to improve
the business.
Managers could not make decisions without information. However, information
can vary in quality, and as a general rule managers will make better decisions
when they have better-quality information.

Information and management decisions


Decisions are taken continually in business. Routine decisions may be taken by
any employee as a part of normal procedures. However, a specific role of
management is to make decisions. For this, managers need information.
Managers use information:
 to make plans and reach planning decisions;
 to measure performance, and take control action on the basis of comparing
actual or expected performance with a target;
 to make ‘one-off’ or non-routine decisions;
 to communicate decisions to other people; and
 to co-ordinate activities with other people.

1.2 Information for different management levels


Information should be provided to managers to help them to make decisions. The
nature of the information required varies according to the level of management
and the type of decision. Within organisations, there are management information
systems that provide this information. A major element of the overall
management information system should be the management accounting system.
A management accounting system should provide information for strategic
management, tactical management and operational management.

© Emile Woolf International 17 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The requirements of management for information vary with the level of


management. This concept is set out simply in the diagram below.

Levels of management and information requirements

Strategic management information


Strategic management information is information that helps strategic managers
to:
 make long-term plans;
 assess whether long-term planning targets will be met; and
 review existing strategies and make changes or improvements.
Strategic management needs strategic information. The characteristics of
strategic information may be summarised as follows:
 It is often information about the organisation as a whole, or a large part of it.
 It is often in summary form, without too much detail.
 It is generally relevant to the longer-term.
 It is often forward-looking.
 The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
organisation).
 It is often prepared on an ‘ad hoc’ basis, rather than in the form of regular
and routine reports.
 It may contain information of a qualitative nature as well as quantified
information.
 There is often a high degree of uncertainty in the information. This is
particularly true when the information is forward-looking (for example, a
forecast) over a number of years in the future.

© Emile Woolf International 18 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Tactical information
Tactical information is information reported to middle managers in a large
organisation, or for the purpose of annual planning and budgetary control.
Tactical information is used to decide how the resources of the organisation
should be used, and to monitor how well they are being used. It is useful to relate
tactical information to the sort of information that is contained in an annual
budget. A budget is planning at a tactical management level, where the plan is
expressed in financial terms.
The general features of tactical information are as follows:
 It is often information about individual departments and operations.
 It is often in summary form, but at a greater level of detail than strategic
information.
 It is generally relevant to the short-term and medium-term.
 It may be forward-looking (for example, medium-term plans) but it is often
concerned with performance measurement. Control information at a tactical
level is often based on historical performance.
 The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
organisation), but most of the information comes from internal sources.
 It is often prepared on a routine and regular basis (for example, monthly or
weekly performance reports).
 It consists mainly of quantified information.
 There may be some degree of uncertainty in the information. However, as
tactical plans are short-term or medium-term, the level of uncertainty is
much less than for strategic information.
Control reports might typically be prepared every month, comparing actual results
with the budget or target, and much of the information comes from internal
sources. Examples of tactical information might be:
 variance reports in a budgetary control system;
 reports on resource efficiency, such as the productivity of employees;
 sales reports: reports on sales by product or by customer; and
 reports on capacity usage.

Operational information
Operational information is needed to enable supervisors and front line
(operational) managers to organise and monitor operations, and to make on-the-
spot decisions whenever operational problems arise. Operational information
may also be needed by employees, to process transactions in the course of their
regular work.
The general features of operational information are as follows:
 It is normally information about specific transactions, or specific jobs, tasks,
daily work loads, individuals or work groups. (It is ‘task-specific’.)

© Emile Woolf International 19 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

 It may be summarised at a work group or section level, but is in a more


detailed form than tactical information.
 It is generally relevant to the very short-term.
 It may be forward-looking (for example, daily plans) but it is often
concerned with transactions, procedures and performance measurement at
a daily level.
 The data that is analysed to provide the information comes almost
exclusively from both internal sources (from sources inside the
organisation).
 It consists mainly of quantified information. Most of this information is
‘factual’ and is not concerned with uncertainty.
Operational information is provided regularly, or is available online when
required. It is concerned with operational details, such as:
 the number of employees in the department absent from work
 wastage rates in production
 whether the scheduled work load for the day has been completed
 delays and hold-ups in work flow, and the reasons for the delay
 whether a customer’s order will be completed on time.
In many respects, strategic information, tactical information and operational
information are all concerned with the same things – business plans and actual
performance. They are provided in different amounts of detail and with differing
frequency. However, with the development of IT systems and internal and
external databases, it is possible for all levels of information to be available to
managers online and on demand.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example: Levels of information


An accountancy tuition company has a strategic target of increasing its annual
sales.
What strategic, tactical and operational decisions might be taken towards
achieving this target?
Here is a suggested answer.
(a) At a strategic level management may decide it is necessary to increase
sales by 20%. It will then need to study the company and its business
environment and decide how this might be done – for example by
developing the existing business, buying a competitor company, or
diversifying into other forms of training, such as training lawyers or
bankers.
(b) At a tactical level, a budget should be prepared for the next year, based on
strategic decisions already taken. Middle management should consider a
variety of plans for achieving targets, such as spending more money on
advertising, recruiting more trainers and running more training
programmes. Targets might be set for each type of course or each
geographical training centre location.
(c) Operational management will make decisions about the courses and their
administration, such as making special offers (free study materials) to
attract more students, running additional courses when demand is strong,
and making sure that all student fees are collected.

© Emile Woolf International 21 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION

Section overview

 Introduction
 Information from internal sources
 Information from external sources
 Costs of information
 Methods of gathering information

2.1 Introduction
Performance measurement systems, both for planning and for monitoring actual
performance, rely on the provision of relevant, reliable and timely information.
Information comes from both inside and outside the organisation.
Traditionally, management accounting systems have been an information system
providing financial information to managers from sources within the organisation.
In large organisations, management accounting information might be extracted
from a cost accounting system, which records and analyses cost.
With the development of IT systems, management information systems have
become more sophisticated, using large databases to hold data, from external
sources as well as internal sources. Both financial and non-financial data are held
and analysed. The analysis of data has also become more sophisticated,
particularly through the use of spreadsheets and other models for planning and
cost analysis (for example, activity based costing).

2.2 Information from internal sources


A control system such as a management accounting system must obtain data
from within the organisation (from internal sources) for the purposes of planning
and control. The system should be designed so that it captures and measures all
the data required for providing management with the information they need.
Potential internal sources include:
 the financial accounting records;
 human resource records maintained in support of the payroll system;
 production information;
 sales information; and
 staff (through minutes of meetings etc.)
The essential qualities of good information are as follows:
 Relevance: Information should be relevant to the needs of management.
Information must help management to make decisions. Information that is
not relevant to a decision is of no value. An important factor in the design
of information systems should be the purpose of the information – in what
decisions should be made, and what information will be needed to make
those decisions?

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

 Reliability: Information should be reliable. This means that the


data should be sufficiently accurate for its purpose. It should also
be complete.
 Timeliness: Information should be available in a timely manner. In other
words, it should be available for when it is needed by management.
 Economy: The cost of providing the information should not exceed the
benefits that it provides. The key factor that limits the potential size of many
information systems is that the cost of obtaining additional information is
not justified by the additional benefits that the information will provide.
Other qualities of good information include:
 Completeness: Information should have all the variables that will be needed
for the intended decision.
 Accuracy: Information should be correct and precise for the intended
purpose.
 Clarity: Information must be clear to the user (s).
 Consistency: Information must agree at all times with established norms and
frameworks.
 Comprehension: Information should be presented in a way that the user/
reader can easily comprehend it.
 Comparability: This is the degree to which accounting information and
policies are consistently applied from one period to another in line with
standards.
 Verifiability: Verifiability is the extent to which information is reproducible
given the same data and assumptions.
In designing a performance measurement system, and deciding what information
is required from internal sources, these desirable qualities of good information
should influence the design of the system.
Traditionally, management accounting systems obtain internal data from the
cost accounting system and costing records. In many organisations, IT systems
now integrate costing data with other operational data. This means that data is
available to the management accounting system from non-accounting sources.

Example: Information
An information system might be required to provide information about the
profitability of different types of customer.
The starting point for the design of this information system is the purpose of the
information. Why is information about customer profitability needed? The answer
might be that the company wants to know which of its customers contribute the
most profits, and whether some customers are unprofitable. If some customers
are unprofitable, the company will presumably consider ways of improving
profitability (for example, by increasing prices charged to those customers) or will
decide to stop selling to those customers.
The next consideration is: What data is needed to measure customer
profitability? The answer might be that customers should first be divided into
different categories, and each category of customer should have certain unique
characteristics. Having established categories of customer, information is needed
about costs that are directly attributable to each category of customers.

© Emile Woolf International 24 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


This might be information relating to gross profits from sales, minus the directly
attributable selling and distribution costs (and any directly attributable
administration costs and financing costs).
Having established what information is required, the next step is to decide how
the information should be ‘captured’ and measured. In this example, a system is
needed for measuring each category of customer, sales revenues, costs of sales
and other directly attributable costs.
The information should be available for when management intend to review
customer profitability. This might be every three months, six months or even
annually.
Information from external sources
Managers need information about customers, competitors and other elements
in their business environment. The management information system must be
able to provide this in the form that managers need, and at the time that they
need it.
External information is needed for strategic planning and control. However, it
is also often needed for tactical and operational management decisions.
Examples of the external information needed by companies are set out in
the table below.

Information area Examples of information needed


Customers What are the needs and expectations of customers in the
market?
Are these needs and expectations changing?
What is the potential for our products or services to meet
these needs, or to meet them better?
Competitors Who are they?
What are they doing?
Can we copy some of their ideas?
How large are they, and what is their market share?
How profitable are they?
What is their pricing policy?
Legal What are the regulations and laws that must be complied
environment with?
Suppliers What suppliers are there for key products or services?
What is the quality of their products or services?
What is the potential of new suppliers?
What is the financial viability of each supplier?
Political/ Are there any relevant political developments or
environmental developments relating to environmental regulation or
issues environmental conditions?
Economic/ What is happening to interest rates?
financial What is happening to exchange rates?
environment What is happening in other financial markets?
What is the predicted state of the economy?

© Emile Woolf International 25 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Possible sources of external information
Sources of external information, some accessible through the Internet, include:
 market research
 supplier price lists and brochures
 trade journals
 newspapers and other media
 government reports and statistics
 reports published by other organisations, such as trade bodies.

Limitations of external information


It is important to recognise the limitations of external information.
 It might not be accurate, and it might be difficult to assess how accurate it
is.
 It might be incomplete.
 It might provide either too much or not enough detail.
 It might be difficult to obtain information in the form that is ideally required.
 It might not always be available when required.
 It might be difficult to find.
 It might be out of date.
 It might be misinterpreted.

2.3 Costs of information


Information must be captured and processed, if it is to be useful, and used
effectively.
The costs of capturing and processing data should include the cost of the
hardware and software used, time spent inputting, analysing and interpreting
data (though this might be automated in some instances, for example data input
using EPOS systems).
Modern computing equipment makes it very easy to amass huge amounts of data
which can be processed into information, but this can bring its own problems:
 The information might not be useful, in which case, the cost of producing it
is a waste.
 Important details might be omitted in large volumes of information.
Another important cost is the associated cost of poor decisions based on
incomplete information or on a misinterpretation of that information. That could
prove very costly indeed.

2.4 Methods of gathering information


Observation
This method involves looking at a process of procedure being executed by
others. It is useful in understanding how a programme, system or process
actually operates.

© Emile Woolf International 25 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Advantages Disadvantages
Can view operations of a program as they are actually occurring and focus on the
information required.
The observer can adapt to events as they occur. The fact of being
observed might affect the behaviour of those being observed.
It can be difficult to summarise or categorise observations.
It is time consuming and can be expensive.

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Performance management

Interviews
Interviews are useful when there is a need to understand the interviewee’s
responses in more depth.

Advantages Disadvantages
The interview can deliver a full range Can be time consuming and costly.
at the depth required. It can be hard to analyse and
The approach is flexible as it allows compare the information obtained.
the interviewer to drill down into the An interviewer might bias the
interviewee’s responses. interviewee’s responses.
An interviewee might not answer the
questions objectively.

Documentation review
Useful to help understand how a system program operates without interrupting

Advantages Disadvantages
The researcher can use gain a Can be time consuming and costly.
complete understanding of how a The available information might be
system is meant to operate. incomplete.
Does not disturb the operation of the The interested party must have a
system. clear objective.
The information already exists and is
free from bias.

Questionnaires
This method can be used gather information in a structured way from a large
number of people

Advantages Disadvantages
It can be completed anonymously Addressees may fail to respond.
Inexpensive to administer Feedback may not be a true reflection
Easy to compare and analyse (but of the respondent’s view
analysis may require significant The wording of questions can bias
expertise) responses so they must be designed
Can be used to reach a large number with care
of respondents (particularly for online Information must be analysed
research). carefully as the respondees are a
Can gather a lot of data. biased group (i.e. information is
gathered only from those who
respond and they may have a
personal motive for doing so).

© Emile Woolf International 26 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

3 HIGH/LOW METHOD

Section overview

 The need to estimate fixed and variable costs


 High/low analysis
 High/low analysis and forecasting
 High/low analysis with a step change in fixed costs
 High/low analysis with a change in the variable cost per unit

3.1 The need to estimate fixed and variable costs


To prepare accurate cost budgets, it is important to understand how costs
‘behave’. Cost behaviour refers to the way in which total costs increase as the
volume of an activity increases.
It is normally assumed that total costs can be analysed into fixed costs and a
variable cost per unit of activity, such as a variable cost per unit of product or per
hour of service. Some overhead costs are a mixture of fixed costs and variable
costs, but these can be separated into a fixed cost portion and a variable cost
portion.
To prepare reliable cost budgets or cost estimates, it may be necessary to
estimate fixed costs and variable costs.
 Direct material costs are normally 100% variable costs.
 Direct labour costs may be treated as variable costs. However, when there
is a fixed labour force, direct labour costs may be budgeted as fixed costs.
 Overhead costs may be treated as fixed costs. However, for an accurate
analysis of overhead costs, it may be necessary to make an estimate of
fixed costs and variable costs. These estimates are often based on an
analysis of historical costs.
You will be familiar with the following two techniques for estimating fixed and
variable costs from your previous studies:
 the high low method; and
 linear regression analysis.
A full explanation of each of these techniques is repeated here for your
convenience.

3.2 High/low analysis


High/low analysis can be used to estimate fixed costs and variable costs per unit
whenever:
 there are figures available for total costs at two different levels of output or
activity;
 it can be assumed that fixed costs are the same in total at each level of
activity; and
 the variable cost per unit is constant at both levels of activity.

© Emile Woolf International 27 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

High/low analysis uses two historical figures for cost:


 the highest recorded output level, and its associated total cost
 the lowest recorded output level, and its associated total cost.
It is assumed that these ‘high’ and ‘low’ records of output and historical cost are
representative of costs at all levels of output or activity.
The difference between the total cost at the high level of output and the total cost
at the low level of output is entirely variable cost. This is because fixed costs are
the same in total at both levels of output.

The method
Step 1: Take the activity level and cost for:
 the highest activity level
 the lowest activity level.
Step 2: The variable cost per unit of activity can be calculated as:
difference in total costs
/difference in the number of units of activity.
Step 3: Having calculated a variable cost per unit of activity, fixed cost can be
calculated by substitution into one of the cost expressions. The difference
between the total cost at this activity level and the total variable cost at this
activity level is the fixed cost.
Step 4: Construct the total cost function.
This is best seen with an example.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example: High/low method


A company has recorded the following costs in the past six months:
Month Production (units) Total cost (₦)
January 5,800 40,300
February 7,700 47,100
March 8,200 48,700
April 6,100 40,600
May 6,500 44,500
June 7,500 47,100

Step 1: Identify the highest and lowest activity levels and note the costs
associated with each level.
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
March 8,200 48,700
January 5,800 40,300

Step 2: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
calculate the variable cost:
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
March 8,200 48,700
January 5,800 40,300
2,400 8,400

Therefore: 2,400 units cost an extra ₦8,400.


Therefore: The variable cost per unit = ₦8,400/2,400 units = ₦3.5 per unit

Step 3: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions (either
high or low).
Total cost of 8,200 units:
Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦48,700
Fixed cost + (8,200  ₦3.5) = ₦48,700
Fixed cost + ₦28,700 = ₦48,700
Fixed cost = ₦48,700  ₦28,700 = ₦20,000

Step 4: Construct total cost function


Total cost = a +bx = 20,000 + 3.5x

© Emile Woolf International 29 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Note that at step 3 it does not matter whether the substitution of variable cost is
into the high figures or the low figures.

Example: Cost of other levels of activity


Return to step 3 above. Then, substitute the low figures for high figures.

Step 3: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions (either
high or low).
Total cost of 5,800 units:
Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦40,300
Fixed cost + (5,800  ₦3.5) = ₦40,300
Fixed cost + ₦20,300 = ₦40,300
Fixed cost = ₦40,300  ₦20,300 = ₦20,000

3.3 High/low analysis and forecasting


Once derived, the cost function can be used to estimate the cost associated with
levels of activity outside the range of observed data. Thus it can be used to
forecast costs associated with future planned activity levels.

Example: High/low method


The company is planning to make 7,000 units and wishes to estimate the total
costs associated with that level of production.

Total cost = ₦20,000 + ₦3.5x


Total cost of 7,000 units = ₦20,000 + (₦3.5  7,000) = ₦44,500

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

3.4 High/low analysis with a step change in fixed costs


High/low analysis can also be used when there is a step increase in fixed costs
between the ‘low’ and the ‘high’ activity levels, provided that the amount of the
step increase in fixed costs is known.
If the step increase in fixed costs is given in naira value, the total cost of the ‘high’
or the ‘low’ activity level should be adjusted by the amount of the increase, so
that total costs for the ‘high’ and ‘low’ amounts use the same fixed cost figure.
After this adjustment the difference between the high and low costs is solely due
to variable cost. The variable cost can be identified and cost functions
constructed for each side of the step.

The method
Step 1: Take the activity level and cost for:
 the highest activity level
 the lowest activity level.
Step 2: Make an adjustment for the step in fixed costs;
 add the step in fixed costs to the total costs of the lower level of activity; or
 deduct the step in fixed costs from the total costs of the higher level of
activity.
Step 3: The variable cost per unit of activity can be calculated as:
difference in total costs
/difference in the number of units of activity.
Step 4: Having calculated a variable cost per unit of activity, fixed cost can be
calculated by substitution into one of the cost expressions. (use the unadjusted
pair).
Step 5: Construct the total cost function of the unadjusted level.
Step 6: Construct the total cost function for the adjusted level by reversing the
adjustment to its fixed cost.

This is best seen with an example.

© Emile Woolf International 31 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: High/low method with step in fixed costs


A company has identified that total fixed costs increase by ₦15,000 when activity
level equals or exceeds 19,000 units. The variable cost per unit is constant over
this range of activity.
The company has identified the following costs at two activity levels. (Step 1)

Production (units) Total cost (₦)


High 22,000 195,000
Low 17,000 165,000

Step 2: Make an adjustment for the step in fixed costs.


Production (units) Total cost (₦)
High 22,000 195,000
Low (165,000 + 15,000) 17,000 180,000

Step 3: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
calculate the variable cost:
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
High 22,000 195,000
Low 17,000 180,000
5,000 15,000

Therefore: 5,000 units cost an extra ₦15,000.


Therefore: The variable cost per unit = ₦15,000/5,000 units = ₦3 per unit

Step 4: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions (either
high or low).
Total cost of 22,000 units:
Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦195,000
Fixed cost + (22,000  ₦3) = ₦195,000
Fixed cost + ₦66,000 = ₦195,000
Fixed cost = ₦195,000  ₦66,000 = ₦129,000

Step 5: Construct total cost function (unadjusted level) above 19,000 units
Total cost = a +bx = 129,000 + 3x

Step 6: Construct total cost function below 19,000 units


Total cost = a +bx = (129,000  15,000) + 3x
Total cost = a +bx = 114,000 + 3x

The cost functions can be used to estimate total costs associated with a level as
appropriate.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example: High/low method


The company is planning to make 20,000 units and wishes to estimate the total
costs associated with that level of production.

Total cost = ₦129,000 + ₦3x


Total cost of 20,000 units = 129,000 + (₦3  20,000) = ₦189,000

The step increase in fixed costs is given as a percentage amount


When the step change in fixed costs between two activity levels is given as a
percentage amount, the problem is a bit more complex.
The costs associated with a third activity level must be found. This activity level
could be either side of the activity level that triggers the step increase in fixed
costs. This means that there are two activity levels which share the same fixed
cost (though it is unknown).These can be compared to identify the variable cost.
The fixed cost at any level can then be calculated by substitution and the fixed
cost the other side of the step can be calculated from the first fixed cost.

Example: High/low method with step in fixed costs


A company has identified that total fixed costs increase by 20% when activity level
equals or exceeds 7,500 units. The variable cost per unit is constant over this
range of activity.
The company has identified the following costs at three activity levels. (Step 1)

Production (units) Total cost (₦)


High 11,000 276,000
Middle 8,000 240,000
Low 5,000 180,000

Step 2: Choose the pair which is on the same side as the step.
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
High 11,000 276,000
Middle 8,000 240,000

Step 3: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
calculate the variable cost:
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
High 11,000 276,000
Middle 8,000 240,000
3,000 36,000

Therefore: 3,000 units cost an extra ₦36,000.


Therefore: The variable cost per unit = ₦36,000/3,000 units = ₦12 per unit

Step 4: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions
© Emile Woolf International 35 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Total cost of 11,000 units:
Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦276,000
Fixed cost + (11,000  ₦12) = ₦276,000
Fixed cost + ₦132,000 = ₦276,000
Fixed cost = ₦276,000  ₦132,000 = ₦144,000

Step 5: Construct total cost function above 7,500 units


Total cost = a +bx = 144,000 + 12x

Step 6: Construct total cost function below 7,500 units


Total cost = a +bx = (144,000  100/120) + 12x
Total cost = a +bx = 120,000 + 12x

The cost functions can be used to estimate total costs associated with a level as
appropriate.

3.5 High/low analysis with a change in the variable cost per unit
High/low analysis can also be used when there is a change in the variable cost
per unit between the ‘high’ and the ‘low’ levels of activity. The same approach is
needed as for a step change in fixed costs, as described above.
When the change in the variable cost per unit is given as a percentage amount, a
third ‘in between’ estimate of costs should be used, and the variable cost per unit
will be the same for:
 the ‘in between’ activity level and
 either the ‘high’ or the ‘low’ activity level.
High/low analysis may be applied to the two costs and activity levels for which
unit variable costs are the same, to obtain an estimate for the variable cost per
unit and the total fixed costs at these activity levels. The variable cost per unit at
the third activity level can then be calculated making a suitable adjustment for the
percentage change.

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Performance management

Example: High/low method with step in fixed costs


A company has identified that total fixed costs are constant over all levels of
activity but there is a 10% reduction in the variable cost per unit above 24,000
units of activity. This reduction applies to all units of activity, not just the additional
units above 24,000.
The company has identified the following costs at three activity levels. (Step 1)

Production (units) Total cost (₦)


High 30,000 356,000
Middle 25,000 320,000
Low 20,000 300,000
Step 2: Choose the pair which is on the same side as the change.
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
High 30,000 356,000
Middle 25,000 320,000
Step 3: Compare the different activity levels and associated costs and
calculate the variable cost:
Production (units) Total cost (₦)
High 30,000 356,000
Middle 25,000 320,000
5,000 36,000

Therefore: 5,000 units cost an extra ₦36,000.


Therefore: The variable cost per unit above 24,000 units
= ₦36,000/5,000 units = ₦7.2 per unit
Therefore: The variable cost per unit below 24,000 units
= ₦7.2 per unit  100/90 = ₦8 per unit
Step 4: Substitute the variable cost into one of the cost functions
Total cost of 30,000 units:
Fixed cost + Variable cost = ₦356,000
Fixed cost + (30,000  ₦7.2) = ₦356,000
Fixed cost + ₦216,000 = ₦356,000
Fixed cost = ₦356,000  ₦216,000 = ₦140,000
Step 5: Construct total cost function above 24,000 units
Total cost = a +bx = 140,000 + 7.2x
Step 6: Construct total cost function below 24,000 units
Total cost = a +bx = 140,000 + 8x

The cost functions can be used to estimate total costs associated with a level as
appropriate.

© Emile Woolf International 36 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

4 LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS

Section overview

 The purpose of linear regression analysis


 The linear regression formulae
 Linear regression analysis and forecasting

4.1 The purpose of linear regression analysis


Linear regression analysis is a statistical technique for calculating a line of best fit
from a set of data:
y = a + bx
The data is in ‘pairs’, which means that there are different values for x, and for
each value of x there is an associated value of y in the data.
Linear regression analysis can be used to estimate fixed costs and the variable
cost per unit from historical data for total costs. It is an alternative to the high-low
method.
Linear regression analysis can also be used to predict future sales by projecting
the historical sales trend into the future (on the assumption that sales growth is
rising at a constant rate, in a ‘straight line’).

Regression analysis and high-low analysis compared


There are important differences between linear regression analysis and the high-
low method.
 High-low analysis uses just two sets of data for x and y, the highest value
for x and the lowest value for x. Regression analysis uses as many sets of
data for x and y as are available.
 Because regression analysis calculates a line of best fit for all the available
data, it is likely to provide a more reliable estimate than high-low analysis
for the values of a and b.
 In addition, regression analysis can be used to assess the extent to which
values of y depend on values of x. For example, if a line of best fit is
calculated that estimates total costs for any volume of production, we can
also calculate the extent to which total costs do seem to be linked (or
‘correlated’) to the volume of production. This is done by calculating a
correlation co-efficient, which is explained later.
 Regression analysis uses more complex arithmetic than high-low analysis,
and a calculator or small spreadsheet model is normally needed
In summary, linear regression analysis is a better technique than high-low
analysis because:
 it is more reliable and
 its reliability can be measured.

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Performance management

4.2 The linear regression formulae


Linear regression analysis is a statistical technique for calculating a line of best fit
where there are different values for x, and for each value of x there is an
associated value of y in the data.
The linear regression formulae for calculating a and b are shown below.

Formula: Regression analysis formula


Given a number of pairs of data a line of best fit (y = a + bx) can be constructed by
calculating values for a and b using the following formulae.

Where:
x, y = values of pairs of data.
n= the number of pairs of values for x and y.
= A sign meaning the sum of. (The capital of the Greek letter
sigma).
x= Independent variable (units of activity)
y = Dependent variable (Amounts / Costs)
a = Fixed costs / y intercept
b = Variable costs per unit of activity /Slope/Gradient/Regression
coefficient.
Note: the term b must be calculated first as it is used in calculating a.

Approach
 Set out the pairs of data in two columns, with one column for the values of
x and the second column for the associated values of y. (For example, x for
output and y for total cost.
 Set up a column for x², calculate the square of each value of x and enter
the value in the x² column.
 Set up a column for xy and for each pair of data multiply x by y and enter
the value in the xy column.
 Sum each column.
 Enter the values into the formulae and solve for b and then a. (It must be in
this order as you need b to find a).
Linear regression analysis is widely used in economics and business. One
application is that it can be used to estimate fixed costs and variable cost per unit
(or number of units) from historical total cost data.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

The following example illustrates this use

Example: Linear regression analysis


A company has recorded the following output levels and associated costs in the
past six months:
Month Output (000 Total cost
of units) (₦m)
January 5.8 40.3
February 7.7 47.1
March 8.2 48.7
April 6.1 40.6
May 6.5 44.5
June 7.5 47.1

Required: Construct the equation of a line of best fit for this data.
Working:
x y x2 xy
January 5.8 40.3 33.64 233.74
February 7.7 47.1 59.29 362.67
March 8.2 48.7 67.24 399.34
April 6.1 40.6 37.21 247.66
May 6.5 44.5 42.25 289.25
June 7.5 47.1 56.25 353.25
41.8 268.3 295.88 1,885.91
= x = y = x 2
= xy

This is the cost in millions of naira of making


1,000 units

Line of best fit:

© Emile Woolf International 39 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4.3 Linear regression analysis and forecasting


Once derived, the cost function can be used to estimate the cost associated with
levels of activity outside the range of observed data. Thus it can be used to
forecast costs associated with future planned activity levels.

Example: Linear regression analysis


The company is planning to make 9,000 units and wishes to estimate the total
costs associated with that level of production.

Linear regression analysis can also be used to forecast other variables (e.g.
demand, sales volumes etc.).
This is done by constructing an equation to describe a change in value over time.
Regression analysis is carried out in the usual way with time periods identified as
the independent variable. The dependent variable under scrutiny can then be
estimated for various periods into the future.
This rests on the assumption that a linear trend in the past will continue into the
future.

© Emile Woolf International 40 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

5 MARGINAL COSTING AND ABSORPTION COSTING

Section overview

 Absorption costing
 Marginal costing
 The difference in profit between marginal costing and absorption costing
 Advantages and disadvantages of absorption costing
 Advantages and disadvantages of marginal costing

5.1 Absorption costing


Absorption costing measures cost of a product or a service as:
 its direct costs (direct materials, direct labour and sometimes direct
expenses and variable production overheads); plus
 a share of fixed production overhead costs.
It is a system of costing in which a share of fixed overhead costs is added to
direct costs and variable production overheads, to obtain a full cost.
This might be:
 a full production cost, or
 a full cost of sale
This was covered in an earlier chapter but a brief revision is provided here for
your convenience.
 Production overheads are indirect costs. This means that the costs (unlike
direct costs) cannot be attributed directly to specific items (products) for
which a cost is calculated.
 A ‘fair’ share of overhead costs is added to the direct costs of the product,
using an absorption rate.
 A suitable absorption rate is selected. This is usually a rate per direct
labour hour, a rate per machine hour, a rate per amount of material or
possibly a rate per unit of product.
 Production overheads may be calculated for the factory as a whole;
alternatively, separate absorption rates may be calculated for each different
production department. (However, it is much more likely that a question
involving absorption costing will give a factory-wide absorption rate rather
than separate departmental absorption rates.)
 The overhead absorption rate (or rates) is determined in advance for the
financial year. It is calculated as follows:

© Emile Woolf International 41 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Formula: Overhead absorption rate


Total allocated and apportioned overheads
Volume of activity in the period

Which is:
Budgeted production overhead expenditure for the period
Budgeted activity in the period

The ‘activity’ is the number of labour hours in the year, the number of machine
hours or the number of units produced, depending on the basis of absorption
(labour hour rate, machine hour rate or rate per unit) that is selected.

Under- and over-absorption


Overhead absorption rates are decided in advance (before the period under
review).
Actual overhead expenditure and actual production volume might differ from the
estimates used in the budget to work out the absorption rate.
As a consequence, the amount of overheads added to the cost of products
manufactured is likely to be different from actual overhead expenditure in the
period. The difference is under- or over-absorbed overheads.

Illustration: Under of over-absorbed fixed overhead


Amount absorbed:
Actual number of units Predetermined
made (or hours used)  absorption rate
X

Actual expenditure in the period (X)


Over/(under) absorbed X

Overheads are under-absorbed when the amount of overheads absorbed into


production costs is less than the actual amount of overhead expenditure.
Overheads are over-absorbed when the amount of overheads absorbed into
production costs is more than the actual amount of overhead expenditure.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example: Absorption costing


A company manufactures and sells a range of products in a single factory. Its
budgeted production overheads for Year 6 were ₦150,000, and budgeted direct
labour hours were 50,000 hours.
Actual results in Year 6 were as follows:

Sales 630,000
Direct materials costs 130,000
Direct labour costs 160,000
Production overhead 140,000 (40,000 hours)
Administration overhead 70,000
Selling and distribution overhead 90,000
There was no opening or closing inventory at the beginning or end of Year 6.
The company uses an absorption costing system, and production overhead is
absorbed using a direct labour hour rate.
The above information would be used as follows:
a. The predetermined absorption rate is ₦150,000/50,000 hours = ₦3 per direct labour
hour.
b Under absorption ₦
Overhead absorbed (40,000 hours @ ₦3 per hour) 120,000
Overhead incurred (actual cost) (140,000)
Under absorption (20,000)

c The full production cost: ₦


Direct materials costs 130,000
Direct labour costs 160,000
Production overhead absorbed (40,000 hours  ₦3) 120,000
Full production cost (= cost of sales in this example) 410,000
The profit for the year is reported as follows. Notice that under-absorbed overhead
is an adjustment that reduces the reported profit. Over-absorbed overhead would
be an adjustment that increases profit.
₦ ₦
d Sales 630,000
Full production cost of sales 410,000
Under-absorbed overhead 20,000
(430,000)
200,000
Administration overhead 70,000
Selling and distribution overhead 90,000
(160,000)
Profit for Year 6 40,000

© Emile Woolf International 43 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The amount of under- or over-absorbed overheads is written to profit or loss for


the year as an adjusting figure.
 If overhead is under-absorbed overhead the profit is adjusted down
(because production costs have been understated)
 If overhead is over-absorbed the profit is adjusted upwards.
Note that the recognition of the under or over absorbed overhead in the
statement of profit or loss results in the fixed production overhead figure (which
was originally based on an absorption rate) being restated to the actual fixed
overhead incurred.

Example: Absorption costing


Returning to the facts of the previous example.

Overhead absorbed (40,000 hours @ ₦3 per hour) 120,000
Under absorption 20,000
Overhead incurred (actual cost) 140,000

5.2 Marginal costing


Marginal costing is an alternative to absorption costing. In marginal costing, fixed
production overheads are not absorbed into product costs but expensed in the
period.
Marginal costing is useful in decision making as it focuses on the change in total
costs brought about by an increase or decrease in a level of activity. This is
covered in more detail in later chapters of this text.

5.3 The difference in profit between marginal costing and absorption costing
The profit for an accounting period calculated with marginal costing is different
from the profit calculated with absorption costing.
The difference in profit is due entirely to the differences in inventory valuation.
The main difference between absorption costing and marginal costing is that in
absorption costing, inventory cost includes a share of fixed production overhead
costs.
 The opening inventory contains fixed production overhead that was
incurred last period. Opening inventory is written off against profit in the
current period. Therefore, part of the previous period’s costs are written off
in the current period income statement.
 The closing inventory contains fixed production overhead that was incurred
in this period. Therefore, this amount is not written off in the current period
income statement but carried forward to be written off in the next period
income statement.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

The implication of this is as follows (assume costs per unit remain constant):
 When there is no change in the opening or closing inventory, exactly the
same profit will be reported using marginal costing and absorption costing.
 If inventory increases in the period (closing inventory is greater than
opening inventory),
 the increase is a credit to the income statement reducing the cost of
sales and increasing profit;
 the increase will be bigger under total absorption valuation than under
marginal costing valuation (because the absorption costing inventory
includes fixed production overhead); therefore
 the total absorption profit will be higher.
 If inventory decreases in the period (closing inventory is less than opening
inventory),
 the decrease is a debit to the income statement;
 the decrease will be bigger under total absorption valuation than
under marginal costing valuation (because the absorption costing
inventory includes fixed production overhead); therefore
 the total absorption profit will be lower.

Example: Absorption costing


Makurdi Manufacturing makes and sells a single product:

Selling price per unit 150
Variable production costs per unit 70
Fixed overhead per unit (see below) 50
Total absorption cost per unit (used in inventory valuation) 120

Normal production 2,200 units per month


Budgeted fixed production overhead ₦110,000 per month
Fixed overhead absorption rate ₦110,000/2,200 units=
₦50 per unit

The following data relates to July and August:


July August
Fixed production costs ₦110,000 ₦110,000
Production 2,000 units 2,500 units
Sales 1,500 units 3,000units

There was no opening inventory in July.


This means that there is no closing inventory at the end of August as
production in the two months (2,000 + 2,500 units = 4,500 units) is the
same as the sales (1,500 + 3,000 units = 4,500 units)

© Emile Woolf International 45 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example (continued): Total absorption cost profit statement

July August
Sales:
1,500 units  ₦150 225,000
3,000 units  ₦150 450,000

Opening inventory nil 60,000


Variable production costs
2,000 units  ₦70 140,000
2,500 units  ₦70 175,000

Fixed production costs (absorbed)


2,000 units  ₦50 100,000
2,500 units  ₦50 125,000

Under (over) absorption


200 units @ ₦50 10,000
300 units @ ₦50 (15,000)
250,000 345,000

Closing inventory
500 units @ (70 + 50) (60,000)
Zero closing inventory nil
Cost of sale (190,000) (345,000)
Profit for the period 35,000 105,000

© Emile Woolf International 46 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example (continued): Marginal costing


Makurdi Manufacturing makes and sells a single product:


Selling price per unit 150
Variable production costs per unit 70

Budgeted fixed production overhead ₦110,000 per month

The following actual data relates to July and August:


July August
Fixed production costs ₦110,000 ₦110,000
Production 2,000 units 2,500 units
Sales 1,500 units 3,000units
There was no opening inventory in July.

Marginal costing profit statements are as follows:


July August
Sales:
1,500 units  ₦150 225,000
3,000 units  ₦150 450,000

Opening inventory nil 35,000


Variable production costs
Direct material: 2,000 units  ₦35 70,000
Direct labour: 2,000 units  ₦25 50,000
Variable overhead 2,000 units  ₦10 20,000

Direct material: 2,500 units  ₦35 87,500


Direct labour: 2,500 units  ₦25 62,500
Variable overhead 2,500 units  ₦10 25,000
Closing inventory
500 units @ (70) (35,000)
Zero closing inventory nil
Cost of sale (105,000) (210,000)
Contribution 120,000 240,000
Fixed production costs (expensed) (110,000) (110,000)
Profit for the period 10,000 130,000

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Performance management

The difference between the two profit figures is calculated as follows:

Formula: Profit difference under absorption costing (TAC = total absorption costing)
and marginal costing (MC)
Assuming cost per unit is constant across all periods under consideration.

Number of units increase or decrease  fixed production overhead per unit

Returning to the previous example:

Example(continued): Profit difference


Over the two
July August months
₦ ₦ ₦
Absorption costing profit 35,000 105,000 140,000
Marginal costing profit 10,000 130,000 140,000
Profit difference 25,000 (25,000) nil

This profit can be explained the different way the inventory movement is
costed under each system:
Units Units Units
Closing inventory nil nil
2,000 units made less 1,500
sold 500

Opening inventory nil 500 nil


500 (500) nil
Absorbed fixed production
overhead per unit (₦) 50 50 50
Profit difference (₦) 25,000 (25,000) nil

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Note that the difference is entirely due to the movement in inventory value:

Example: Profit difference – due to inventory movement

Over the two


TAC inventory movement: July August months
₦ ₦ ₦
Closing inventory 60,000 nil nil
Opening inventory nil (60,000) nil
60,000 (60,000) nil
MC inventory movement:
Closing inventory 35,000 nil nil
Opening inventory nil (35,000) nil
35,000 (35,000) nil
Profit difference 25,000 (25,000) nil

Example: MC vs TAC
A company manufactures and sells a product.
The following information is relevant about the product


Selling price per unit 35
Variable cost per unit 8
Fixed cost per unit (based on budgeted overhead of ₦120,000
and normal level of activity of 20,000 units). 6

Units
Opening inventory 4,000
Actual production 20,000
Closing inventory 3,000
Therefore, sales are (4,000 + 20,000 – 3,000) 21,000

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Performance management

Example (continued): MC vs TAC


Operating statements can be prepared as follows:
MC TAC
Sales (21,000  ₦35) 735,000 735,000
Cost of sales
MC = (21,000  ₦8) (168,000)
TAC = (21,000  ₦14) (294,000)
Fixed production cost (120,000)
447,000 441,000

The profit figures are reconciled as follows:


Units
Opening inventory 4,000
Closing inventory 3,000
Decrease 1,000
Difference in cost per unit ₦6
₦6,000

MC profit 447,000
Inventory valuation difference (6,000)
TAC profit 441,000

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Practice question 1
The following information is relevant about a product


Selling price per unit 35
Variable cost per unit 8
Fixed cost per unit (based on budgeted overhead of ₦120,000
and normal level of activity of 20,000 units). 6

Units
Opening inventory 2,000
Actual production 20,000
Closing inventory 4,000
Therefore, sales are (2,000 + 20,000 – 4,000) 18,000

Required:
Prepare MC and TAC operating statements and reconcile the profit
difference.

Practice question 2
A company manufactures and sells product X.
The following information is relevant about the product:


Selling price per unit 50
Variable cost per unit 30
Fixed cost per unit (based on budgeted overhead of ₦100,000 4
and normal level of activity of 25,000 units).
Units
Opening inventory 2,000
Closing inventory 1,500
Actual production 25,500

Required
a) Prepare a marginal cost profit statement.
b) Prepare an absorption cost profit statement. (Remember to adjust for
the over absorption of overhead).
c) Reconcile the two profit figures by comparing the impact of the
inventory movement under each approach.

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Performance management

5.4 Advantages and disadvantages of absorption costing

Advantages of absorption costing


 Inventory values include an element of fixed production overheads. This is
consistent with the requirement in financial accounting that (for the purpose
of financial reporting) inventory should include production overhead costs.
 Calculating under/over absorption of overheads may be useful in controlling
fixed overhead expenditure.
 By calculating the full cost of sale for a product and comparing it will the
selling price, it should be possible to identify which products are profitable
and which are being sold at a loss.

Disadvantages of absorption costing


 Absorption costing is a more complex costing system than marginal
costing.
 Absorption costing does not provide information that is useful for decision
making (like marginal costing does).

5.5 Advantages and disadvantages of marginal costing

Advantages of marginal costing


 It is easy to account for fixed overheads using marginal costing. Instead of
being apportioned they are treated as period costs and written off in full as
an expense the income statement for the period when they occur.
 There is no under/over-absorption of overheads with marginal costing, and
therefore no adjustment necessary in the income statement at the end of
an accounting period.
 Marginal costing provides useful information for decision making.
 Contribution per unit is constant, unlike profit per unit which varies as the
volume of activity varies.

Disadvantages of marginal costing


 Marginal costing does not value inventory in accordance with the
requirements of financial reporting. (However, for the purpose of cost
accounting and providing management information, there is no reason why
inventory values should include fixed production overhead, other than
consistency with the financial accounts.)
 Marginal costing can be used to measure the contribution per unit of
product, or the total contribution earned by a product, but this is not
sufficient to decide whether the product is profitable enough. Total
contribution has to be big enough to cover fixed costs and make a profit.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

6 ACTIVITY BASED COSTING

Section overview

 Criticisms of absorption costing


 Introduction to activity based costing
 Activities
 Cost drivers and cost pools
 When using ABC might be appropriate
 Advantages and disadvantages of ABC

6.1 Criticisms of absorption costing


Traditional absorption costing has many weaknesses, especially in a ‘modern’
manufacturing environment.
 Production overhead costs are often high relative to direct production costs.
Therefore, a system of adding overhead costs to product costs by using
time spent in production (direct labour hours or machine hours) is difficult to
justify.
 A full cost of production has only restricted value for many types of
management decision.
However, traditional absorption costing is still in use with some companies.
 It provides a rational method of charging overhead costs to production
costs, so that a full cost of production can be calculated for closing
inventories.
 It is also argued that absorption costing is useful for some pricing decisions.
(Pricing is covered in a later paper).
A number of alternative costing methods have been developed with a view to
replacing the traditional methods. One such method is activity-based costing.

6.2 Introduction to activity-based costing


Activity-based costing (ABC) is a form of absorption costing that takes a different
approach to the apportionment and absorption of production overhead costs.
Activity-based costing is based on the following ideas:
 In a modern manufacturing environment, a large proportion of total costs
are overhead costs, and direct labour costs are relatively small.
 It is appropriate to trace these costs as accurately as possible to the
products that create the cost because overhead costs are large.

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Performance management

 The traditional methods of absorbing production overhead costs on the


basis of direct labour hours or machine hours have no rational justification
as many production overhead costs are not directly related to the
production work that is carried out. For example:
 The costs of quality control and inspection depend on the quality
standards and inspection methods that are used: these do not
necessarily relate to the number of hours worked in production.
 The costs of processing and chasing customer orders through the
factory relate more to the volume of customer orders rather than the
hours worked on each job in production.
 Costs of managing the raw materials inventories (storage costs)
relate more to the volume of materials handled rather than hours
worked on the material in production.
 The costs of production relate more to the volume and complexity of
customer orders or the number of batch production runs, rather than
hours worked in production.

6.3 Activities
Activity-based costing (ABC) takes the view that many production overhead costs
can be associated with particular activities other than direct production work.
If such activities can be identified and costs linked to them overhead costs can
then be added to product costs by using a separate absorption rate for each
activity.
ABC costing of overheads and estimate of full production costs is therefore based
on activities, rather than hours worked in production.

Identifying activities
A problem with introducing activity-based costing is deciding which activities
create or ‘drive’ overhead costs.
There are many different activities within a manufacturing company, and it is not
always clear which activities should be used for costing.
Activities might include, for example:
 materials handling and storage;
 customer order processing and chasing;
 purchasing;
 quality control and inspection;
 production planning; and
 repairs and maintenance.
These activities are not necessarily confined to single functional departments
within production departments.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Although ABC is often concerned with production costs, it can also be applied to
activities outside production, such as sales and distribution. Sales and distribution
activities might include:
 selling activities;
 warehousing and despatch; and
 after-sales service.
In a system of activity-based costing, it is preferable to select a fairly small
number of activities. If a large number of activities are selected, the costing
system could become too complex and time-consuming to operate.
The activities are selected on the basis of management judgement and
experience, and their knowledge of the activities within manufacturing.

6.4 Cost drivers and cost pools

Cost drivers
For each activity, there should be a cost driver. A cost driver is the factor that
determines the cost of the activity. It is something that will cause the costs for an
activity to increase as more of the activity is performed.
Overhead costs are therefore caused by activities, and the costs of activities are
driven by factors other than production volume.
Each cost driver must be a factor that can be measured so that the number of
units of the cost driver that have occurred during each period can be established.
Possible examples include:

Activity Possible cost driver Information needed for


ABC
Customer order Number of customer Number of orders for
Processing orders each product
Materials purchasing Number of purchase Number of orders for
orders materials for each
finished product
Quality control and Number of inspections Number of inspections
inspection of output of each
product
Production planning Number of production Number of runs or
runs or batches batches of each product
Repairs and Number of machines, or Number of machines or
Maintenance machine hours operated machine hours worked
for each product
Selling Number of sales orders Number of orders for
each product
Warehousing and Number of deliveries Number of deliveries for
dispatch Made each product

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Performance management

Cost pools
A cost pool is simply the overhead expenditure allocated and apportioned to an
activity. Overhead costs are allocated (or allocated and apportioned) to each
activity, and for each activity there is a ‘cost pool’.
ABC absorbs overheads into the cost of products (or services) at a separate rate
for each cost pool (each activity).
The total production cost for each product or service is therefore direct production
costs plus absorbed overheads for each activity.
The cost absorbed under ABC might be very different to that absorbed using a
traditional, volume-based approach.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example: ABC vs traditional, volume based absorption


A manufacturing company makes four products and incurs estimated material
handling costs of ₦250,000 per month. (This is the cost pool for material
handling cost).
The company produces 160,000 units per month and absorbs material handling
cost on the number of units. This gives a material handling cost of ₦1.5625
(₦250,000 ÷ 160,000 units)
The material handling cost is absorbed as follows:
Units Unit cost Cost absorbed
Product produced (₦) (₦)
W 60,000 ₦1.5625 93,750
X 33,000 ₦1.5625 51,563
Y 40,000 ₦1.5625 62,500
Z 27,000 ₦1.5625 42,187
160,000 ₦1.5625 250,000

The company has instigated a project to see if ABC costing would be


appropriate.
The project has identified that a large part of the material handling costs are
incurred in receiving material orders and that the same effort goes into receiving
orders regardless of the size of the order. Order sizes differ substantially.
The company has identified the following number of orders in respect of material
for each type of product.
Number of
Product orders
W 15
X 22
Y 4
Z 9
50

An ABC cost per order (hence cost per unit) can be estimated as follows:
If the cost driver for order handling is the number of orders handled, the budgeted
order handling cost will be ₦5,000 per order (₦250,000/50).
Overhead costs will be charged to products as follows:
Number Cost per Apportioned Units
Product of orders order cost produced Unit cost
W 15 ₦5,000 75,000 60,000 1.25
X 22 ₦5,000 110,000 33,000 3.33
Y 4 ₦5,000 20,000 40,000 0.50
Z 9 ₦5,000 45,000 27,000 1.67
50 ₦5,000 250,000 160,000

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Performance management

The above example shows that the material handling overhead absorbed to each
type of product is very different under the two approaches.
For example, only 33,000 units of product X are made (out of a total of 160,000
units). However, product X requires 22 orders out of a total of 60 and it is the
number of orders that drive this cost.
The traditional approach recognised ₦51,563 as relating to product but ABC,
using the number of orders as the driver results in ₦110,000 being absorbed by
product X.
The above example shows the difference between traditional absorption and
ABC using a single cost. In reality there would be more than one activity used as
a basis for absorption leading to a series of absorption rates (per activity).
Also note that one of the absorption methods might be a volume-based method.
The point is that traditional absorption methods treat all costs as varying
according to a volume measure whereas ABC splits the total and treats each part
of the total cost according to what drives it.

Example: ABC
A company makes three products, X, Y and Z using the same direct labour
employees and the same machine for production.
Production details for the three products for a typical period are as follows:
Labour Machine Material Number of
hours per hours per cost per units
unit unit unit (₦) produced
Product X 0.25 0.75 100 1,500
Product Y 0.75 0.50 60 2,500
Product Z 0.50 1.50 120 14,000

Direct labour costs ₦160 per hour.


Total production overheads are ₦1,309,000 and further analysis shows that the
total production overheads can be divided as follows:


Costs relating to machinery 196,350
Costs relating to inspection 458,150
Costs relating to set-ups 392,700
Costs relating to materials handling 261,800
Total production overhead 1,309,000

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example (continued): ABC

The following total activity volumes are associated with each product for the
period:
Number of
Number of Number movements Machine
inspections of set-ups of materials hours
Product X 360 80 40 1,125
Product Y 80 120 80 1,250
Product Z 960 500 280 21,000
1,400 700 400 23,375

Machine costs are absorbed on a machine hour basis.


The costs per unit for each product may be estimated as follows using ABC
principles.
Step 1: Cost per activity
Cost Overhead
allocated Activity per absorption
Activity (₦) Cost driver period rate
₦327.25 per
Inspection 458,150 Inspections 1,400 inspection
₦561 per set-
Set-ups 392,700 Set-ups 700 up
Materials ₦654.50 per
handling 261,800 Movements 400 movement
Machinery ₦8.40 per
operations 196,350 Machine hrs 23,375 machine hour
Total 1,309,000

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Performance management

Example (continued): ABC


Step 2: Allocate overheads to product types based on cost per activity and
cost drivers
X Y Z
₦ ₦ ₦
Set-ups
80 set ups  ₦561 44,880
120 set ups  ₦561 67,320
500 set ups  ₦561 280,500
Inspection
360 set ups  ₦327.25 117,810
80 set ups  ₦327.25 26,180
960 set ups  ₦327.25 314,160
Materials handling
40 movements  ₦654.50 26,180
80 movements  ₦654.50 52,360
280 movements  ₦654.50 183,260
Machinery operations
1,125 hours  ₦8.40 9,450
1,250 hours  ₦8.40 10,500
21,000 hours  ₦8.40 176,400
Overhead costs per product 198,320 156,360 954,320

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example (continued): ABC


Step 3: Calculate overhead per unit (if required)
X Y Z
Overhead costs per product
(from step 2) ₦198,320 ₦156,360 ₦954,320
Number of units 1,500 2,500 14,000
Overhead cost per unit ₦132.21 ₦62.54 ₦68.17

Step 4: Calculate total production cost per unit (if required)


Production cost per unit: ABC X Y Z
₦ ₦ ₦
Direct materials 100.00 60.00 120.00
Direct labour 40.00 120.00 80.00
Production overhead (from step3) 132.21 62.54 68.17
Full production cost per unit 272.21 242.50 268.17

Although ABC is a form of absorption costing, the effect of ABC could be to


allocate overheads in a completely different way between products. Product costs
and product profitability will therefore be very different with ABC compared with
traditional absorption costing.

6.5 When using ABC might be appropriate


Activity-based costing could be suitable as a method of costing in the following
circumstances:
 In a manufacturing environment, where absorption costing is required for
inventory valuations.
 Where a large proportion of production costs are overhead costs, and direct
labour costs are relatively small.
 Where products are complex.
 Where products are provided to customer specifications.
 Where order sizes differ substantially, and order handling and despatch
activity costs are significant.

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Performance management

6.6 Advantages and disadvantages of ABC

Advantages
 ABC provides useful information about the activities that drive overhead
costs. Traditional absorption costing and marginal costing do not do this.
 ABC also provides information that could be relevant to long-term cost
control and long-term product selection or product pricing.
 With ABC, overheads are charged to products on the basis of the activities
that are required to provide the product: Each product should therefore be
charged with a ‘fair share’ of overhead cost that represents the activities
that go into making and selling it.
 It might be argued that full product costs obtained with ABC are more
‘realistic’, although it can also be argued that full product cost information is
actually of little practical use or meaning for management.
 There is also an argument that in the long-run, all overhead costs are
variable (even though they are fixed in the short-term). Measuring costs
with ABC might therefore provide management with useful information for
controlling activities and long-term costs.

Disadvantages
 ABC systems are costly to design and use. The costs might not justify the
benefits.
 The analysis of costs in an ABC system may be based on unreliable data
and weak assumptions. In particular, ABC systems may be based on
inappropriate activities and cost pools, and incorrect assumptions about
cost drivers.
 ABC provides an analysis of historical costs. Decision-making by
management should be based on expectations of future cash flows.
 Within ABC systems, there is still a large amount of overhead cost
apportionment. General overhead costs such as rental costs, insurance
costs and heating and lighting costs may be apportioned between cost
pools. This reduces the causal link between the cost driver and the activity
cost.
 Many ABC systems are based on just a small number of cost pools and
cost drivers. More complex systems are difficult to justify, on grounds of
cost.
 Identifying the most suitable cost driver for a cost pool/activity is often
difficult. Many activities and cost pools have more than one cost driver.
 Traditional cost accounting systems may be more appropriate for the
purpose of inventory valuation and financial reporting.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

7 ETHICS IN PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT

Section overview

 ICAN’s Code of Ethics


 Threats for accountants in business
 Preparation and reporting of accounting information

7.1 ICAN’s Code of Ethics


Accountants in business may sometimes find themselves in a situation where
their professional values are in conflict with their responsibilities in their job.
ICAN’s Professional Code of Conduct provides rules and guidance that members
and student members must follow when ethical issues arise.
ICAN’s Code of Ethics sets out five fundamental principles of ethical behaviour
for accountants. These are:
 integrity;
 objectivity: accountants should not allow bias, conflicts of interest or undue
influence of others to override their objectivity and judgement;
 professional competence and due care: accountants have a duty to
maintain their professional knowledge and skill and they should not
undertake work where they do not have sufficient knowledge to do the work
well;
 confidentiality: accountants must respect the confidentiality of information
acquired in their work and should not disclose such information to third
parties without authority; and
 professional behaviour.
Integrity
Members should be straightforward and honest in all professional and business
relationships. Integrity implies not just honesty but also fair dealing and
truthfulness.
For example, an accountant preparing performance information must not be
associated with reports, returns, or any other communications where they believe
that the information:
 Contains a materially false or misleading statement;
 Contains statements or information furnished recklessly; or
 Omits or obscures information where the omission or obscurity would be
misleading.

7.2 Threats for accountants in business


Working for an employer should have no bearing on the requirement for
accountants to respect the five fundamental principles. The work of accountants
will often further the aims of their employer, and this is not a problem except
when circumstances arise that create a conflict with their duty to comply with the

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Performance management

fundamental principles. Threats to compliance with the fundamental principles


may arise due to:
 self-interest;
 self-review;
 advocacy;
 familiarity; and
 intimidation.
Accountants in business are often responsible for the preparation of accounting
information.
They must not prepare financial information in a way that is misleading. However
threats to compliance with the fundamental principles may arise in the area of
performance management, for example where accountants may be tempted or
may come under pressure to produce misleading performance reports or
forecasts.
Accountants responsible for the preparation of financial information must ensure
that the information is technically correct and is adequately disclosed.
There is danger of influence from senior managers to present figures that inflate
profits or assets. This puts the accountant in a difficult position. On one hand,
they wish to prepare proper information and on the other hand, there is a
possibility they might lose their job if they do not comply with their manager’s
wishes.

Self- interest threats


Self-interest threats may occur as a result of the financial or other personal
interests of an accountant or their immediate or close family members. Self-
interest may tempt an accountant to withhold information that might damage
them financially or get them into trouble with their bosses.
Examples of circumstances that may create self-interest threats in performance
management include:
 Incentive compensation arrangements: an accountant’s bonus may depend
on improvements in reported efficiencies or profitability
 Inappropriate personal use of company assets
 Concern about job security
 Commercial pressures from outside the employing organisation.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Example: Self- interest threats


Adeola is member of ICAN working as a unit accountant.
He is a member of a bonus scheme under which staff receive a bonus of 10% of
their annual salary if costs for the year are less than budget.
Adeola has been preparing a report on costs, and he has found that by omitting
some items of cost, the reported costs will just come in under budget, making him
(and his colleagues) eligible for their bonus.
Analysis:
Adeola faces a self-interest threat. He must ignore the temptation to falsify the
cost figures.

Self-review threats
Self-review threats occur when a previous judgement or decision is reviewed by
the person who made the original judgement or decision. The temptation may be
for the individual concerned to confirm on review that the original judgement or
decision was correct - when it was not - instead of admitting a mistake.

Example: Self-interest threat


Kunle, an accountant with a manufacturing company, worked on a costing exercise
for a new product. He estimated that the unit cost for the new product would be
₦100. However, he made several mistakes in his cost estimate and the actual unit
cost was 40% higher than he had stated.
After the product went into production, Kunle was asked to review his original cost
estimate and report on its accuracy. On carrying out the review, Kunle was alarmed
to find the errors he had made and was concerned that admitting his mistake
would damage his career prospects with his employer. He was therefore tempted
to report that actual unit costs for the product were very close to his original
estimate.
Analysis:
Kunle faces a threat to his integrity and objectivity from this self-review.
Kunle must admit his mistake and report the ‘correct’ actual cost of the new
product.

Advocacy threats
An accountant in business may often need to promote the organisation’s position
by providing financial information. As long as information provided is neither false
nor misleading such actions would not create an advocacy threat.

Familiarity threats
Familiarity threats occur when, because of a close relationship, members
become too sympathetic to the interests of others. Examples of circumstances
that may create familiarity threats include:

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Performance management

 An accountant being in a position to influence financial or non-financial


reporting or business decisions where an immediate or close family
member is in a position to benefit from that influence.
 Long association with business contacts can influence the contents of a
performance report.

Intimidation threats
Intimidation threats occur when an individual’s conduct is influenced by fear or
threats (for example, from an aggressive and dominating boss).
Examples of circumstances that may create intimidation threats include:
 Threat of dismissal or replacement over a disagreement about the way in
which performance information is to be reported.
 A dominant personality attempting inappropriately to influence the content
of a report.

7.3 Preparation and reporting of accounting information


Performance reporting involves the preparation and reporting of information that
is used mostly by managers inside the employing organisation. Such information
may include financial or management information, for example:
 forecasts and budgets;
 performance statements; and
 performance analysis.
Information must be prepared and presented honestly.
Threats to compliance with the fundamental principles, for example self-interest
threats or intimidation threats to objectivity or professional competence and due
care, may be created where an accountant in business is pressured (either by a
boss or by the possibility of personal gain) to become associated with misleading
information.
The significance of such threats will depend on factors such as the source of the
pressure and the degree to which the information is, or may be, misleading.
The significance of the threats should be evaluated and unless they are clearly
insignificant, safeguards should be considered and applied as necessary to
eliminate them or reduce them to an acceptable level. Such safeguards may
include consultation with a senior manager within the employing organisation.
Where it is not possible to reduce the threat to an acceptable level, an
accountant should refuse to remain associated with information they consider is
or may be misleading.

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

8 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Calculate fixed and variable costs by using high-low points method
 Calculate fixed and variable costs by using regression analysis
 Calculate profit using total absorption costing and marginal costing and explain
the difference
 Explain the difference between traditional volume based absorption methods and
activity-based costing
 Apportion overheads using activity-based costing
 Estimate unit cost using activity-based costing
 Discuss ethical issues in performance management and compliance with ICAN’s
Code of Ethics

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Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
Operating statements can be prepared as follows:
MC TAC
Sales (18,000  ₦35) 630,000 630,000
Cost of sales
MC = (18,000  ₦8) (144,000)
TAC = (18,000  ₦14) (252,000)
Fixed production cost (120,000)
366,000 378,000

The profit figures are reconciled as follows:


Units
Opening inventory 2,000
Closing inventory (4,000)
Increase 2,000
Difference in cost per unit ₦6
₦12,000

MC profit 366,000
Inventory valuation difference 12,000
TAC profit 378,000

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Chapter 2: Overview of cost planning and control

Solutions 2

a) Marginal cost profit statement.


Per unit
Units (₦) ₦000
Sales (balancing figure) 26,000 50 1,300
Cost of sales
Opening inventory 2,000 30 60
Actual production 25,500 30 765
Closing inventory (1,500) 30 (45)
26,000 30 (780)
Fixed costs (25,000  ₦4) (100)
420
Alternatively:
Marginal cost profit statement. ₦000
Sales (26,000 units  ₦50) 1,300
Variable production costs (26,000  ₦30) (780)
Fixed costs (25,000  ₦4) (100)
Marginal cost profit 420

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Performance management

Solutions (continued) 2
b) Absorption cost profit statement
Per unit
Units (₦) ₦000
Sales 26,000 50 1,300
Cost of sales
Opening inventory 2,000 34 68
Actual production
Variable production costs 25,500 30 765
Fixed production costs Over 25,500 4 102
absorption (500) 4 (2)
865
Closing inventory (1,500) 34 (51)
26,000 34 (882)
418
Alternatively:
b) Absorption cost profit statement ₦000
Sales (26,000 units  ₦50) 1,300
Variable costs (26,000  ₦30) (780)
Fixed costs (26,000  ₦4) (104)
Over absorption of fixed overhead (500 units  ₦4) 2
418

The profit figures are reconciled as follows:


Units
Opening inventory 2,000
Closing inventory 1,500
Decrease 500
Difference in cost per unit ₦4
₦2,000

MC profit 420,000
Inventory valuation difference (2,000)
TAC profit 418,000

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3
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Modern management
accounting techniques

Contents
1 The relevance of traditional management accounting
systems
2 Target costing
3 Life cycle costing
4 Throughput accounting
5 Backflush accounting
6 Environmental accounting
7 Kaizen costing
8 Product profitability analysis
9 Segment profitability analysis
10 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
A Cost planning and control
2 Cost planning and control for competitive advantage
a Discuss and apply the principles of:
i Target costing;
ii Life cycle costing;
iii Theory of constraints (TOC);
iv Throughput accounting;
v Back flush accounting;
vi Environmental accounting; and
vii Kaizen costing.

D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
c Apply relevant cost concept to short term management decisions
including …… product and segment profitability analysis, etc.

Exam context
This chapter explains each of the above topics in turn.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Describe target costing and how target cost is determined
 Apply the target costing tools to given scenarios
 Explain lifecycle costing
 Explain throughput accounting and solve throughput accounting problems
 Explain and apply backflush accounting
 Explain and apply environmental accounting
 Explain Kaizen costing
 Explain and calculate product profitability
 Explain and calculate segment profitability using full cost and contribution approaches

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Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques

1 THE RELEVANCE OF TRADITIONAL MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING


SYSTEMS

Section overview

 The purpose of management accounting systems


 Are traditional management accounting methods still relevant?
 Kaplan: ‘relevance lost’
 Problems with standard costing and variances
 The continuing relevance of standard costing systems
 Making management accounting relevant
 Trends in management accounting

1.1 The purpose of management accounting systems


A management accounting system is a part of the management information
system within an organisation. The purpose of management accounting is to
provide information to managers that can be used to help them with making
decisions. Traditionally, management accounting systems have provided financial
or accounting information, obtained from accounting records and other data
within the organisation. Commonly-used management accounting techniques
have included absorption costing, marginal costing and cost-volume-profit
analysis, budgeting, standard costing and budgetary control and variance
analysis.
For various reasons, questions have been raised about the relevance of
traditional management accounting to the needs of management in the modern
business environment.
 Traditional management accounting techniques such as standard costing
and variance analysis do not provide all the information that managers
need in manufacturing companies where Total Quality Management or Just
in Time management approaches are used.
 Traditional absorption costing is probably of limited value in a
manufacturing environment where production processes are highly
automated, and production overhead costs is a much more significant
element of cost than direct labour.
 Traditional management accounting focuses on manufacturing costs,
whereas many companies (and other organisations) operate in service
industries and provide services rather than manufactured products.
 The traditional focus of management accounting has been on cost control
or cost reduction. Lower costs mean that lower prices can be charged to
customers, or higher profits can be made. However, many companies now
seek to increase customer satisfaction and meet customer needs. To meet
customer needs, other factors in addition to cost can be important –
particularly product (or service) quality. Traditional management accounting
ignores factors such as quality, reliability or speed of service.

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Performance management

 Many traditional management accounting techniques have a short-term


focus. There are exceptions. Discounted cash flow, for example, is used to
evaluate long-term capital projects. However, traditional management
accounting systems do not provide senior managers with the information
they need for making strategic decisions. Strategic decision-making needs
information about competitors, customers, developments in technology and
other environmental (external) factors.
Management information systems should be capable of providing the information
that managers need. For the management accounting system to be the main
management information system within an organisation, it must be able to
provide the necessary variety of information – financial and non-financial, long-
term as well as short-term – using suitable techniques of analysis.

1.2 Are traditional management accounting methods still relevant?


Many businesses compete with each other on the basis of:
 product or service quality and price
 delivery
 reliability
 after-sales service
 customer satisfaction – meeting customer needs.
These are critical variables in competitive markets and industries. Business
organisations, faced with an increasingly competitive global market environment,
must be able to deliver what the customer wants more successfully than their
rivals. This means making sure that they provide quality for the price, and
customer satisfaction, including the delivery, reliability and after-sales service that
customers want or expect.

1.3 Kaplan: ‘relevance lost’


Some years ago, Robert Kaplan put forward an argument that management
accounting systems had lost their relevance and did not provide the information
that managers need to make their decisions.
He suggested that the information needs of management had changed, but the
information provided by management accountants had not. There was a danger
that management accounting would lose its relevance – and value – entirely.
Kaplan made the following criticisms of traditional management accounting
systems:
 Traditional overhead costing systems, where overheads were absorbed
into costs at a rate per direct labour hour, were irrelevant. (Activity based
costing has been developed as just one alternative for overhead cost
analysis.)
 Standard costing systems are largely irrelevant, because in many markets
customers do not want to buy standard products. They want product
differentiation.

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 Traditional management accounting systems fail to provide information


about aspects of performance that matter – product and service quality
(and price), delivery, reliability, after-sales service and customer
satisfaction.
He argued that in today’s competitive market environment ‘traditional cost
accounting systems based on an assumption of long production runs of a
standard product, with unchanging characteristics and specifications, [are not]
relevant in this new environment.’

The need for a change of focus in providing information to management


Traditional management accounting systems focus on reducing costs and
budgetary control of costs. Kaplan argued that the focus was wrong:
 In modern production systems, products are often designed and
manufactured to specific customer demands and often have a short life
cycle. Their design is often sophisticated, and they are overhead-intensive.
Traditional management accounting systems, in contrast, assume standard
products whose manufacture is directly labour-intensive.
 Machinery used in production is often flexible, and can be switched
between different uses and purposes. Traditional manufacturing systems
assume that standard tasks require particular types of machine. Although
they may focus on minimising the machine time per product manufactured,
these systems do not provide information to help with optimising the use of
available multi-purpose machinery.

1.4 Problems with standard costing and variances


Kaplan and Johnson have argued that standard costing and standard cost
variances should not be used in a modern manufacturing environment for either:
 cost control, or
 performance measurement.
They argued that standard costs are no longer relevant in a modern
manufacturing environment. Standard costing is used for standard products and
the focus is on keeping production costs under control.
Kaplan and Johnson argued that using variance analysis to control costs and
measure performance is inconsistent with a focus on the objectives of
quality, time and innovation, which are now key factors in successful
manufacturing operations.
 Standard cost variances ignore quality issues and ignore quality costs.
However, in a competitive market quality is a key success factor.
 When a company relies for success on innovation and new product design,
many of its resources are committed to product design and development,
and so many of its costs are incurred at this early stage of the product’s life.
Cost control should therefore focus on design and development costs,
whereas standard costing provides information about production costs for
products that have already been developed and are now in production.

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 When product design and innovation are important, product life cycles will
be short. It may therefore be appropriate to look at all the costs of a product
over its full life cycle (including its design and development stages, and
including marketing costs as well as production costs).
 Standard costing variance analysis is restricted to monitoring the
manufacturing costs of products during just a part of their life cycle.
 Standard costs are only likely to apply in a stable and non-changing
business environment. In many industries, the environment is continually
changing, and products are adapted to meet the changing circumstances
and conditions.

1.5 The continuing relevance of standard costing systems


However, there are still some advantages to be obtained from using a standard
costing system.
 Standard costs can be a useful aid for budgeting even in a Total Quality
Management environment. Standard costs can be established for making
products within the budget period to a target level of quality. If the TQM
goals of continuous improvement and elimination of waste are achieved,
the standard costs can be adjusted down for the next budget period.
 Managers need short-term (‘real time’) feedback on costs. They need to
know whether costs are under control, and they also need to understand
the financial consequences of their decisions and actions. Variance
analysis is a useful method of providing ‘real time’ feedback on costs.
 Cost control is still an important aspect of management control. Quality,
time and innovation may be critical factors, but so too is cost control.
Standard costing and variance analysis provides a system for controlling
costs in the short term.
 Standard costs for existing products can provide a useful starting point for
planning the cost for new products.
 Standard costs can also be useful for target costing. The difference
between the target cost for a product and its current standard cost is a ‘cost
gap’. Standard costs can be used to measure the size of the cost gap. In
order to achieve the target cost, managers can focus on this cost gap and
consider ways in which it can be closed.
 Overhead variances can provide useful information for cost control when
many overhead costs are volume-driven.

1.6 Making management accounting relevant


If it is accepted that traditional management accounting systems are no longer
relevant to the information needs of managers in a competitive business world,
the obvious next question is what has to be done to make them relevant?
The suggested answer is that management accounting systems need to
recognise the factors that are critical for business success that management
need to know about. These factors may be:
 non-financial, as well as financial;

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 longer-term (strategic) in nature, as well as short-term;


 strategic (concerned with objectives and strategies), as well as tactical
(concerned with day-to-day management control); and
 related to factors in the business environment as well as to factors within
the business entity itself (in other words, making use of external as well as
internal information).

1.7 Trends in management accounting


New techniques have been developed in management accounting, in response
to changes in the business environment.
Examples of techniques that have been developed include:
 target costing;
 life cycle costing;
 product profitability analysis;
 segment profitability analysis;
 throughput accounting;
 backflush accounting;
 activity based management; and
 balanced scorecard (covered in an earlier chapter)
Some of these techniques have been developed in response to changes in
manufacturing methods and systems.

Evaluating a management accounting technique


Management accounting techniques used in practice will vary with the particular
information needs of the organisation.
The management accounting techniques used within an organisation must
provide information that management need and will use. The key questions to
ask, when assessing the usefulness of a management accounting system, are as
follows:
The information needs of management
What decisions do managers need to make?
What are the key factors that will affect their decisions?
What are the critical items of information they need for their decisions?
The information provided by the management accounting system
 Is the information provided:
 relevant to the decision-making needs of the managers?
 sufficiently comprehensive for these needs?
 reliable?
 available when needed?

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Performance management

 Is the information provided in a clear and understandable form?


 Are key items of information drawn to the attention of the manager, such as
issues relating to controllability, trend or materiality?
 Does the benefit of having the information justify the cost of providing it?

Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques

2 TARGET COSTING

Section overview

 Origins of target costing


 The purpose of target costing
 The target costing method
 Elements in the estimated cost and target cost
 Closing the target cost gap
 Advantages of target costing
 The implications of using target costing
 Target costing and services
 Comprehensive example

2.1 Origins of target costing


Target costing originated in Japan in the 1970s. It began with recognition that
customers were demanding more diversity in products that they bought, and the
life cycles of products were getting shorter. This meant that new products had to
be designed more frequently to meet customer demands.
Companies then became aware that a large proportion of the costs of making a
product are committed at the design stage, before the product goes into
manufacture. The design stage was therefore critical for ensuring that new
products could be manufactured at a cost that would enable the product to make
a profit for the company.

2.2 The purpose of target costing


Target costing is a method of strategic management of costs and profits. As its
name suggests, target costing involves setting a target or objective for the
maximum cost of a product or service, and then working out how to achieve this
target.
It is used for business strategy in general and marketing strategy in particular, by
companies that operate in a competitive market where new products are
continually being introduced to the market. In order to compete successfully,
companies need to be able to:
 continually improve their existing products or design new ones
 sell their products at a competitive price; this might be the same price that
competitors are charging or a lower price than competitors, and
 make a profit.
© Emile Woolf International 80 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
In order to make a profit, companies need to make the product at a cost below
the expected sales price.

Target costing and new product development


Target costing is used mainly for new product development. This is because
whenever a new product is designed and developed for a competitive market, a
company needs to know what the maximum cost of the new product must be so
that it will sell at a profit.
A company might decide the price that it would like to charge for a new product
under development, in order to win a target share of the market. The company
then decides on the level of profitability that it wants to achieve for the product, in
order to make the required return on investment. Having identified a target price
and a target profit, the company then establishes a target cost for the product.
This is the cost at which the product must be manufactured and sold in order to
achieve the target profits and return at the strategic market price.
Keeping the costs of the product within the target level is then a major factor in
controlling its design and development.

Illustration: Target cost

New product design and development ₦


Decide: The target sales price X
Deduct: The target profit margin (X)
Equals: The target cost (maximum cost in order to meet or
exceed the target profit) X

The reason that target costing is used for new products, as suggested earlier, is
that the opportunities for cutting costs to meet a target cost are much greater
during the product design stage than after the product development has been
completed and the production process has been set up.
 Typically, when a new product is designed, the first consideration is to
design a product that will meet the needs of customers better than rival
products. However, this initial product design might result in a product with
a cost that is too high, and which will therefore not be profitable.
 The estimated cost of a product design can be compared with the target
cost. If the expected cost is higher than the target cost, there is a cost ‘gap’.
 A cost gap must be closed by finding ways of making the product more
cheaply without losing any of the features that should make it attractive to
customers and give it ‘value’. For example, it might be possible to simplify
that product design or the production process without losing any important
feature of the product. It might also be possible to re-design the product
using a different and cheaper material, without loss of ‘value’.
 Having worked out how to reduce costs at the product design stage,
management should try to ensure that the product is developed and the
method of producing it is introduced according to plan, so that the target
cost is achieved.

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Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques

2.3 The target costing method


The principles of target costing may therefore be summarised as follows.
Target costing is based on the idea that when a new product is developed, a
company will have a reasonable idea about:
 the price at which it will be able to sell the product, and
 the sales volumes that it will be able to achieve for the product over its
expected life.
There may also be estimates of the capital investment required, and any
incremental fixed costs (such as marketing costs or costs of additional salaried
staff).

Taking estimates of sales volumes, capital investment requirements and


incremental fixed costs over the life cycle of the product, it should be possible to
calculate a target cost.
 The target cost for the product might be the maximum cost for the product
that will provide at least the minimum required return on investment.
 However, an examination question might expect you to calculate the target
cost from a target selling price and a target profit margin.
The elements in the target costing process are shown in the diagram below.

Illustration: Target costing

2.4 Elements in the estimated cost and target cost


A problem with target costing is to make sure that the estimates of cost are
realistic. It is difficult to measure the cost of a product that has not yet been
created, and the cost must include items such as raw material wastage rates and
direct labour idle time, if these might be expected to occur in practice.

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Raw materials costs


The target cost should allow for expected wastage rates or loss in processing.
The price of materials should also allow for any possible increases up to the time
when the new product development has been completed. Estimating prices of
materials can be difficult when prices are volatile – such as commodity prices,
which can be subject to large increases and falls within relatively short periods of
time.

Direct labour
The target cost should allow for any expected idle time that will occur during the
manufacture of the product. This might be the normal level of idle time in the
company’s manufacturing operations.

Production overheads
A target cost could be a target marginal cost. However production overhead costs
are often a large proportion of total manufacturing costs, and it is therefore more
likely that the target cost will be a full cost, including production overheads. If
activity-based costing is used, it might be possible to identify opportunities for
limiting the amount of production overheads absorbed into the product cost by
designing the product in a way that limits the use of activities that drive costs, for
example by reducing the need for materials movements or quality inspections.

Example: Target costing


A company has designed a new product. NP8. It currently estimates that in the
current market, the product could be sold for ₦70 per unit. A gross profit margin
of at least 30% on the selling price would be required, to cover administration
and marketing overheads and to make an acceptable level of profit.
A cost estimation study has produced the following estimate of production cost
for NP8.
Cost item
Direct material M1 ₦9 per unit
Direct material M2 Each unit of product NP8 will require three metres of
material M2, but there will be loss in production of
10% of the material used. Material M2 costs ₦1.80
per metre.
Direct labour Each unit of product NP8 will require 0.50 hours of
direct labour time. However it is expected that there
will be unavoidable idle time equal to 5% of the total
labour time paid for. Labour is paid ₦19 per hour.
Production It is expected that production overheads wil lbe
overheads absorbed into product costs at the rate of ₦60 per
direct labour hour, for each active hour worked.
(Overheads are not absorbed into the cost of idle time.)
Required
Calculate:
(a) the expected cost of Product NP8
(b) the target cost for NP8
(c) the size of the cost gap.

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Answer
a) Expected cost per unit ₦ ₦
Direct material M1 9.0
Direct material M2: 3 metres  100/90  6.0
₦1.80
Direct labour: 0.5 hours  100/95  ₦19 10.0
Production overheads: 0.5 hours  ₦60 30.0
Expected full cost per unit 55.0
b) Target cost
Sales price 70.0
Minimum gross profit margin (30%) 21.0
Target cost 49.0
c) Cost gap 6.0
The company needs to identify ways of closing this cost gap.

2.5 Closing the target cost gap


Target costs are rarely achievable immediately and ways must be found to
reduce costs and close the cost gap.
Target costing should involve a multi-disciplinary approach to resolving the
problem of how to close the cost gap. The management accountant should be
involved in measuring estimated costs. Ways of reducing costs might be in
product design and engineering, manufacturing processes used, selling methods
and raw materials purchasing. Ideas for reducing costs can therefore come from
the sales, manufacturing, engineering or purchasing departments.
Common methods of closing the target cost gap are:
 To re-design products to make use of common processes and components
that are already used in the manufacture of other products by the company.
 To discuss with key suppliers methods of reducing materials costs. Target
costing involves the entire ‘value chain’ from original suppliers of raw
materials to the customer for the end-product, and negotiations and
collaborations with suppliers might be an appropriate method of finding
important reductions in cost.
 To eliminate non value-added activities or non-value added features of the
product design. Something is ‘non-value added’ if it fails to add anything of
value for the customer. The cost of non-value added product features or
activities can therefore be saved without any loss of value for the customer.
Value analysis may be used to systematically examine all aspects of a
product cost to provide the product at the required quality at the lowest
possible cost.
 To train staff in more efficient techniques and working methods.
Improvements in efficiency will reduce costs.

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Performance management

 To achieve economies of scale. Producing in larger quantities will reduce


unit costs because fixed overhead costs will be spread over a larger
quantity of products. However, production in larger quantities is of no
benefit unless sales demand can be increased by the same amount.

2.6 Advantages of target costing


There are several possible advantages from the use of target costing.
 It helps to improve the understanding within a company of product costs.
 It recognises that the most effective way of reducing costs is to plan and
control costs from the product design stage onwards.
 It helps to create a focus on the final customer for the product or service,
because the concept of ‘value’ is important: target costs should be
achieved without loss of value for the customer.
 It is a multi-disciplinary approach, and considers the entire supply chain. It
could therefore help to promote co-operation, both between departments
within a company and also between a company and its suppliers and
customers.
 Target costing can be used together with recognised methods for reducing
costs, such as value analysis, value engineering, just in time purchasing
and production, Total Quality Management and continuous improvement.

2.7 The implications of using target costing


The use of a target costing system has implications for pricing, cost control and
performance measurement.
Target costing can be used with pricing policy for a company’s products or
services. A company might decide on a target selling price for either a new or an
existing product, which it considers necessary in order to win market share or
achieve a target volume of sales. Having identified the selling price that it wants
for the product, the company can then work out a target cost.
Cost control and performance measurement has a different emphasis when
target costing is used.
 Cost savings are actively sought and made continuously over the life of the
product
 There is joint responsibility for achieving benchmark savings. If one
department fails to deliver the cost savings expected, other departments
may find ways to achieve the savings
 Staff are trained and empowered to find new ways to reduce costs while
maintaining the required quality.
Target costing is more likely to succeed in a company where a culture of
‘continuous improvement’ exists.

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2.8 Target costing and services


Target costing can be used for services as well as products. Services vary widely
in nature, and it is impossible to make general statements that apply to all types
of services. However, features of some service industries that make them
different from manufacturing are as follows.
 Some service industries are labour-intensive, and direct materials costs are
only a small part of total cost. Opportunities for achieving reductions in
materials costs may therefore be small.
 Overhead costs in many services are very high. Effective target costing will
therefore require a focus on how to reduce overhead costs.
A service company might deliver a number of different services through the same
delivery system, using the same employees and the same assets. Introducing
new services or amendments to existing services therefore means adding to the
work burden of employees and the diversity or complexity of the work they do.
 A system of target costing therefore needs to focus on quality of service
and value for the customer. Introducing a new service might involve a loss
of value in the delivery of existing services to customers. For example,
adding a new service to a telephone call centre could result in longer
waiting times for callers.
 New services might be introduced without proper consideration being given
to whether the service is actually profitable. For example, a restaurant
might add additional items to its menu, in the belief that the only additional
cost is the cost of the food. In practice there would be implications for the
purchasing and preparation of the food and possibly also for the delivery of
food from the kitchen to the restaurant dining area. New items added to the
menu might therefore make losses unless all aspects of cost are properly
considered.
 When a single delivery system is used for services, the cost of services will
consist largely of allocated and apportioned overheads. For target costing
to be successful, there must be a consistent and ‘fair’ method of attributing
overhead costs to services (both existing services and new services).
 Services might be provided by not-for-profit entities. For example, health
services might be provided free of charge by the government. When
services are provided free of charge, target costing can be used for new
services. However, it is doubtful whether concepts of ‘target price’ and
‘target profit’ can be used by a not-for-profit entity. This raises questions
about how to decide what the target cost should be.

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Performance management

2.9 Comprehensive example

Example: Target costing


A company wishes to introduce a new product to the market.
The company estimates the market for the product to be 50,000 units.
The company uses target costing.
Current projected costs are as follows:
₦‘000
Manufacturing cost
Bought in parts (100 components) 50,000
Direct labour (assembly of components)
10 hours  ₦500 per hour 5,000
Machine costs (750,000,000 ÷ 50,000) 15,000
Ordering and receiving
(500 orders  100 components ₦500 per order) ÷ 50,000
units 500
Quality assurance (10 hours  ₦800 per hour) 8,000
Rework costs
10% (probability of failure)  ₦10,000 (cost of rework) 1,000

Nonmanufacturing costs
Distribution 10,000
Warranty costs
10% (probability of recall)  ₦15,000 (cost to correct) 1,500
91,000

Target selling price (₦) 100,000


Target margin 20%
Target profit (₦) 20,000
Target cost (₦) 80,000

The company has undertaken market research which found that several
proposed features of the new product were not valued by customers.
Redesign to remove the features leads to a reduction in the number of
components down to 80 components and a direct material cost reduction of
12%.
The reduction in complexity has other impacts:
1. Assembly time will be reduced by 20%.
2. Quality assurance will only require 6 hours.
3. The probability of a failure at the inspection stage will fall to 5%.
4. The probability of an after-sales failure will also fall to 5%.
5. Cost of warranty corrections will fall by ₦2,000.
6. Reduced weight of the product will reduce shipping costs by ₦1,000 per
unit.

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Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques

Example (continued): Target costing


The revised projected costs are as follows:
Before After
₦‘000 ₦‘000
Manufacturing cost
Bought in parts (100 components) 50,000
Bought in parts (80 components with 12% reduction) 44,000
Direct labour (assembly of components)
10 hours  ₦500 per hour 5,000
8 hours  ₦500 per hour (10% reduction) 4,000
Machine costs (750,000,000 ÷ 50,000) 15,000 15,000
Ordering and receiving
500 orders  100 components  ₦500 per order/50,000 units 500
500 orders  80 components  ₦500 per order/50,000 units 400
Quality assurance
10 hours  ₦800 per hour 8,000
6 hours  ₦800 per hour 4,800
Rework costs
10%  ₦10,000 1,000
5%  ₦10,000 500
Nonmanufacturing costs
Distribution 10,000 9,000
Warranty costs
10%  ₦15,000 1,500
5%  ₦13,000 650
91,000 78,350
The target cost is achieved.

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3 LIFE CYCLE COSTING

Section overview

 The nature of life cycle costing (LCC)


 Asset acquisitions
 Life cycle costing and building construction
 Life cycle costing and the product life cycle

3.1 The nature of life cycle costing (LCC)


Life cycle costing is sometimes called ‘whole life costing’ or ‘whole life cycle
costing’. It is a technique that attempts to identify the total cost associated with
the ownership of an asset so that decisions can be made about asset
acquisitions. It recognises that decisions made at the initial acquisition have the
effect of locking in certain costs in the future.
The principles of LCC can be applied to both complex and to simple acquisitions.
 As a simple example if a person buys a new printer that person is
committed to buying toner cartridges that are compatible to the printer.
Thus in choosing between two printers the initial cost of one might be less
than the other but its toner cartridges might be more expensive. Life cycle
cost analysis would allow a choice to be made based on the total life time
costs.
 A company will of course be concerned with cost when it buys a complex
asset of some kind but it will also be concerned with reliability, servicing
time, maintenance costs etc.
Life cycle costing can be applied to:
 Major asset acquisitions.
 Introduction of new products to the market.

3.2 Asset acquisitions


The cost of ownership of an asset is incurred throughout its life and not just at
acquisition. A decision made at the purchase stage will determine future costs
associated with an asset.

Life cycle costs


The costs of a product or asset over its life cycle could be divided into three
categories:
 Acquisition costs, set-up costs or market entry costs. These are costs
incurred initially to bring the product into production and to start selling it, or
the costs incurred to complete the construction of a building or other major
construction asset
 Operational costs or running costs throughout the life of the product or
asset

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 End-of-life costs. These are the costs incurred to withdraw a product from
the market or to demolish the asset at the end of its life.
Acquisition costs or set-up costs are usually ‘one-off’ capital expenditures and
other once-only costs, such as the costs of training staff and establishing systems
of documentation and performance reporting. Similarly, end-of-life costs are ‘one-
off’ items that occur just once.
Running costs or operational costs are regular and recurring annual costs
throughout the life of the product or asset. However, these may vary over time:
for example maintenance costs for an item of equipment, such as the
maintenance costs of elevators in a building, are likely to increase over time as
the asset gets older.
Although costs are incurred throughout the life of an asset, a large proportion of
these costs are committed at a very early stage in the product’s life cycle, when
the decision to develop the new product or construct the new building is made.

Example: Life cycle costing


A transport company wishes to buy a new heavy goods vehicle which will be run for
100,000 miles and then sold.
It is considering two types.
The following information is relevant:
Lorry A Lorry B
Initial cost ₦10,000,000 ₦15,000,000
Cost per service ₦500,000 ₦400,000
Service required every: 10,000 miles 25,000 miles
Running costs per mile ₦750 ₦500
Scrap value at end of life ₦1,000,000 ₦3,000,000

The life cycle cost of each lorry based on the above is as follows:
₦ ₦
Capital cost:
Initial cost 10,000,000 15,000,000
Scrap value (1,000,000) (3,000,000)
9,000,000 12,000,000
Service costs
Life time use (miles) 100,000 100,000
Service frequency (miles) 10,000 25,000
Number of services 10 4
Cost per service 500,000 400,000
5,000,000 1,600,000
Running costs
Number of miles 100,000 100,000
Cost per mile (₦) 750 500
75,000,000 50,000,000
Lifecycle cost 89,000,000 63,600,000

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Life cycle costing methodology


A proper purchasing decision requires that the costs of all available options
should be taken into account. This involves cost identification and estimation and
discounting. (Discounting is a technique that takes into account the time value of
money. That is to say it recognises that ₦1 today is worth more than ₦1 in the
future).

Benefits of LCC include:


 Improved evaluation of options
 Improved management awareness about the consequences of decisions
 Improved forecasting
 Improved understanding of the trade off between performance of an asset
and its cost.

Problems with using LCC


 Availability of data
 It is difficult and time consuming
 Often organisations are structured in a way that different managers are
responsible for the purchase decision and the future operation of the asset.
Thus, even though the purchase decision locks in future costs the manager
making the acquisition has no incentive to consider LCC.

3.3 Life cycle costing and building construction


Life cycle costing is relevant to the construction of buildings and other major
items of construction. An international standard on life cycle costing for buildings
was published in 2008.
When a building is planned, several different designs might be considered. Each
design will have different construction features and therefore a different initial
capital cost. Over the life of the building, annual running costs will vary according
to the design that is selected. For example:
 Energy-efficient buildings will incur lower energy costs each year
 The choice of construction materials will affect the life of the building and
the annual costs of repairs and maintenance
 The choice of design could affect the costs of demolition at the end of the
life of the building.
When two or more different building designs are considered, the preferred design
might be:
 the design that will achieve the lowest total cost over the life of the building,
or
 the design that will provide the most value for money (or benefits less
costs) over the life of the building.

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3.4 Life cycle costing and the product life cycle


Most products made in large quantities for selling to customers go through a life
cycle which consists of several stages:
 product development stage
 product introduction to the market
 a period of growth in sales and market size
 a period of maturity
 a period of decline.
 withdrawal from the market.
The diagram below indicates typical characteristics of sales revenue and profit at
each stage.

Illustration: Product life cycle

At each phase of a product’s life cycle:


 selling prices will be altered;
 costs may differ;
 the amount invested (capital investment) may vary; and
 spending on advertising and other marketing activities may change.
LCC can be important in new product launches as a company will of course want
to make a profit from the new product and the technique considers the total costs
that must be recovered. These will include:
 research and development costs;
 training costs;
 machinery costs;
 production costs;
 distribution and selling costs;

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 marketing costs;
 working capital costs;
 retirement and disposal costs.
Decisions made at the development phase impact later costs.

Stage Costs
Product R&D costs
development
Capital expenditure decisions
Introduction to the Operating costs
market
Marketing and advertising to raise product awareness
(strong focus on market share)
Set up and expansion of distribution channels
Growth Costs of increasing capacity
Maybe learning effect and economies of scale
Increased costs of working capital
Maturity Incur costs to maintain manufacturing capacity
Marketing and product enhancement costs to extend
maturity
Decline Close attention to costs needed as withdrawal decision
might be expensive
Withdrawal Asset decommissioning costs
Possible restructuring costs
Remaining warranties to be supported

Benefits of LCC
Life cycle costing compares the revenues and costs of the product over its entire
life. This has many benefits.
 The potential profitability of products can be assessed before major
development of the product is carried out and costs incurred. Non-profit-
making products can be abandoned at an early stage before costs are
committed.
 Techniques can be used to reduce costs over the life of the product.
 Pricing strategy can be determined before the product enters production.
This may lead to better control of marketing and distribution costs.
 Attention can be focused on reducing the research and development phase
to get the product to market as quickly as possible. The longer the
company can operate without competitors entering the market the more
revenue can be earned and the sooner the product will reach the
breakeven point.

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 By monitoring the actual performance of products against plans, lessons


can be learnt to improve the performance of future products. It may also be
possible to improve the estimating techniques used.
An understanding of the product life cycle can also assist management with
decisions about:
 Pricing
 Performance management
 Decision-making.
Pricing. As a product moves from one stage in its life cycle to the next, a change
in pricing strategy might be necessary to maintain market share. For example,
prices might be reduced as a product enters its maturity phases (and annual
sales volume stops rising).
In addition, an understanding of life cycle costs help with strategic decisions
about price. Over the entire life of the product, sales prices should be sufficiently
high to ensure that a profit is made after taking into account all costs incurred –
start-up costs and end-of-life costs as well as annual operating costs.
Performance management. As a product moves from one stage of its life cycle
to another, its financial performance will change. Management should understand
that an improvement or decline in performance could be linked to changes in the
life cycle and should therefore (to some extent at least) be expected.
Decision-making. In addition to helping management with decisions on pricing,
an understanding of life cycle costing can also help with decisions about making
new investments in the product (new capital expenditure) or withdrawing a
product from the market.

4 THROUGHPUT ACCOUNTING

Section overview

 The nature of throughput accounting


 Assumptions in throughput accounting
 Throughput, inventory and operating expenses
 Profit and throughput accounting
 The value of inventory in throughput accounting
 Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing and marginal costing
 Constraints and bottlenecks in the system
 Dealing with constraints
 The relevance of constraints to throughput accounting
 Performance measurement ratios in throughput accounting

4.1 The nature of throughput accounting


Throughput accounting is not really a costing system at all, because with costing
no costs are allocated to units of production, with the exception of materials
costs.

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 With traditional costing systems, the main focus of attention is on costs and
how to control or reduce costs.
 With throughput accounting, the main focus of attention is on how to
achieve the goals of the entity successfully. For profit-making companies,
the goals of the entity are assumed to be the maximisation of profit.
Throughput accounting is also associated with the Theory of Constraints. This is
a theory that states that an entity always has a constraint that sets a limit on the
achievement of its goals. The task of management should therefore be to:
 identify what this effective constraint is
 maximise the performance of the entity in achieving its goals, within the
limits of this constraint
 look for ways of removing the constraint, so that performance can be
improved still further.
Although they are different, throughput accounting has some close similarities
with marginal costing and limiting factor analysis, which you should be familiar
with from your earlier studies.

4.2 Assumptions in throughput accounting


Throughput accounting is based on a number of assumptions.
 In traditional marginal costing, it is assumed that direct labour costs are a
variable cost, but in practice this is not usually correct. Employees are paid
a fixed weekly or monthly wage or salary, and labour costs are a fixed cost.
 The only variable cost is the purchase cost of materials and components
purchased from external suppliers.
 A business makes real profit by adding value. Value is added by selling
goods or services to customers whose market value is more than the cost
of the materials that go into making them. However, value is not added until
the sale is actually made.
 Value added should be measured as the value of the sale minus the
variable cost of sales, which is the cost of the materials.

4.3 Throughput, inventory and operating expenses


Throughput accounting is based on three concepts:
 throughput;
 inventory (investment); and
 operating expenses.

Throughput
Throughput can be defined as the rate at which an entity achieves its goals,
measured in ‘goal units’. In not-for-profit entities, the goal of the entity could be
measured in terms of a non-financial goal. For profit-making entities, the goal is
profit, and:
Contribution = Sales minus total variable costs
Throughput differs from contribution in traditional marginal costing because
variable costs consist only of real variable costs, which are (mainly or entirely)
materials costs.
It is therefore appropriate to define throughput as:
© Emile Woolf International 97 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Throughput = Sales minus cost of raw materials and components

Inventory (or investment)


Inventory or investment is all the money that is tied up in a business, in
inventories of raw materials, WIP and finished goods. The term ‘investment’ is
normally preferred to ‘inventory’ because it includes the amount of capital tied up
in making the product and selling it to customers. Investment therefore includes
not only the amount invested in inventories but also investment in non-current
assets.
Inventory is eventually converted into throughput, but until it is sold it is capital
tied up earning nothing. When inventory is sold, throughput is created.
Throughput is not created until finished goods are sold. Creating finished goods
for inventory is therefore damaging to the entity’s goals, because it ties up
finance in investment and investment finance has a cost.

Operating expenses
Operating expenses are all the expenditures incurred to produce the throughput.
They consist of all costs that are not variable costs, and so include labour costs.

4.4 Profit and throughput accounting


Profit in throughput accounting is measured as throughput minus operating
expenses.

Example: Profit and throughput accounting



Sales 800,000
Raw materials and components costs 350,000
Throughput 450,000
Operating expenses 340,000
Net profit 110,000

4.5 The value of inventory in throughput accounting


Inventories do not have value, except the variable cost of the materials and
components. Even for work-in-progress and inventories of finished goods, the
only money invested is the purchase cost of the raw materials. No value is added
until the inventory is sold.
 In throughput accounting, all inventories are therefore valued at the cost
of raw materials and components, and nothing more.
 It should not include any other costs, not even labour costs. No value is
added by the production process, not even by labour, until the item is sold.
 It is impossible to make extra profit simply by producing more output,
unless the extra output is sold.

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4.6 Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing and marginal


costing
The difference between throughput accounting and the traditional methods of
accounting can be illustrated with an example.

Example: Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing and


marginal costing
A company makes 1,000 units of a product during May and sells 800 units for
₦32,000. There was no inventory at the beginning of the month. Costs of production
were:

Raw materials 6,000
Direct labour 8,000
Fixed production overheads 10,000
Other non-production overheads 5,000
Required
Calculate the profit for the period using:
(a) absorption costing
(b) marginal costing
(c) throughput accounting.
Assume for the purpose of absorption costing that budgeted and actual
production overheads were the same, and there are no under- or over-absorbed
overheads.

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Performance management

Example (continued): Comparing throughput accounting with absorption costing


and marginal costing
Profit for the month using each costing method is therefore as follows:
Absorption Marginal Throughput
costing costing accounting
Sales 32,000 32,000 32,000
Production costs
6,000 6,000 6,000
Raw materials
8,000 8,000
Direct labour
10,000
Fixed overhead
24,000 14,000 6,000

Closing inventory
(4,800) (2,800) (1,200)
 200/1,000
Cost of sale (19,200) (11,200) (4,800)
Gross profit 12,800
Contribution 20,800
Throughput contribution 27,200
Less operating expenses
Other non-production
overheads 5,000 5,000 5,000
Fixed overheads 10,000 10,000
Labour costs 8,000
(5,000) (15,000) (23,000)
Net profit 7,800 5,800 4,200

The differences in profit are entirely due to the differences in inventory


valuations.

4.7 Constraints and bottlenecks in the system


Throughput accounting is derived from the Theory of Constraints, which is based
on the view that every system has a constraint. A constraint is anything that limits
the output from the system.
 If a system had no constraint, its output would be either zero or the system
would continue to produce more and more output without limit.
 Therefore for any system whose output is not zero, there must be a
constraint that stops it from producing more output than it does.
Constraints for a manufacturing company might be caused by any of the
following:
 external factors, such as a limit to customer demand for the products that
the company makes

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 weaknesses in the system itself, such as shortages of key resources and


capacity limitations
 weaknesses in the system’s controls, such as weak management.
In a manufacturing system, constraints can be described as bottlenecks in the
system. A bottleneck is simply a constraint that limits throughput. For example, a
bottleneck might be a shortage of materials, or a shortage of machine time.

4.8 Dealing with constraints


The management of business operations should focus on dealing with the key
constraints. The output of a system is restricted by its key constraint.
Management must identify what this is.
Action by management to improve operational efficiency is a waste of time and
effort if it is applied to any area of operations that is not a constraint. For
example, measures to improve labour efficiency are a waste of time if the key
constraint is a shortage of machine capacity.
The key constraint limits throughput. As stated earlier, the nature of the key
constraint might be:
 limitations on sales demand ;
 inefficiency in production, with stoppages and hold-ups caused by wastage,
scrapped items and machine downtime ;
 unreliability in the supplies of key raw materials, and a shortage of key
materials;
 a shortage of a key production resource, such as skilled labour.
Goldratt, argued that:
 Management should identify the key constraint and consider ways of
removing or easing the constraint, so that the system is able to produce
more output.
 However, when one constraint is removed, another key constraint will take
its place.
 The new key constraint must be identified, and management should now
turn its attention to ways of removing or easing the new key constraint.
 By removing constraints one after another, the output capacity of the
system will increase.
However, there will always be a key constraint.

4.9 The relevance of constraints to throughput accounting


Goldratt argued that if the aim of a business is to make money and profit, the
most appropriate methods of doing this are to:
 increase throughput;
 reduce operating expenses; or
 reduce investment, for example by reducing inventory levels (since there is
a cost to investment).

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Goldratt also argued that the most effective of these three ways of increasing
profit is to increase throughput.
Throughput can be increased by identifying the bottlenecks in the system, and
taking action to remove them or ease them.

4.10 Performance measurement ratios in throughput accounting


There are several key performance measurements in throughput accounting.
One of these is net profit, which is total throughput minus Operating expenses.
An objective is to increase net profit.
Performance can also be measured using ratios:
 Return on investment
 Throughput accounting productivity
 Throughput per unit of the bottleneck resource
 Operating expenses per unit of the bottleneck resource
 Throughput accounting ratio.

Return on investment

Formula: Return on investment


Net profit
=  100
Investment

An objective should be to increase the return on investment, either by increasing


net profit or reducing the size of the investment.

Throughput productivity
This is measured as:

Formula: Throughput productivity


Throughput
=  100
Operating expenses

An objective should be to increase throughput productivity, either by increasing


throughput or reducing operating expenses.

Throughput per unit of constraint


One of the advantages of throughput accounting is that it treats labour costs as a
fixed cost. In many manufacturing companies, where the production process has
been automated, direct labour costs are not a significant part of total production
costs.

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However traditional costing systems treat direct labour as a variable cost and
assume that variable overheads vary with labour hours. In addition, fixed
overheads might be absorbed on a labour hour basis. It is often assumed that
performance will be improved by improving labour efficiency.
Throughput accounting challenges this approach to costs and performance
measurement. Labour is a fixed cost and relatively small compared to other
costs. Improving labour efficiency will therefore do little to improve performance
and increase profits.
Net profit will be improved much more effectively by identifying the constraint on
activity and seeking to maximise throughput per unit of the constraint.
Throughput accounting ratio
The throughput accounting ratio is the ratio of [throughput in a period per unit of
bottleneck resource] to [operating expenses per unit of bottleneck resource].
Units of a bottleneck resource are measured in hours (labour hours or machine
hours). This means that the throughput accounting ratio can be stated as:

Formula: Throughput accounting ratio


Throughput per hour of bottleneck resource
=  100
Operating expenses per hour of bottleneck resource

Example: Throughput accounting ratio


A business manufactures product Z, which has a selling price of ₦20. The
materials costs are ₦8 per unit of Product Z. Total operating expenses each
month are ₦120,000.
Machine capacity is the key constraint on production. There are only 600
machine hours available each month, and it takes three minutes of machine time
to manufacture each unit of Product Z.
Required
(a) Calculate the throughput accounting ratio.
(b) How might this ratio be increased?

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Answer
(a) Throughput per unit = ₦(20 – 8) = ₦12
Throughput per machine hour = ₦12  (60 minutes/3 minutes) = ₦240
Operating expenses per machine hour = ₦120,000/600 hours = ₦200
Throughput accounting ratio = ₦240/₦200 = 1.2
(b) To increase the throughput accounting ratio, it might be possible to:
Raise the selling price for Product Z for each unit sold, to increase the
throughput per unit.
Improve the efficiency of machine time used, and so manufacture Product
Z in less than three minutes.
Find ways of reducing total operating expenses, in order to reduce the
operating expenses per machine hour.

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5 BACKFLUSH ACCOUNTING

Section overview

 JIT production and JIT purchasing


 Introduction to backflush accounting
 Backflush accounting with two ‘trigger points’
 Backflush accounting with one ‘trigger point’

5.1 JIT production and JIT purchasing


Just-in-Time (JIT) management methods originated in Japan in the 1970s. The
principle of JIT is that producing items for inventory is wasteful, because
inventory adds no value, and holding inventory is therefore an expense for which
there is no benefit.
If there is no immediate demand for output from any part of the system, a
production system should not produce finished goods output for holding as
inventory. There is no value in achieving higher volumes of output if the extra
output goes into inventory that has no immediate use.
Similarly, if there is no immediate demand for raw materials, there should not be
any of the raw materials in inventory. Raw materials should be obtained only
when they are actually needed.
It follows that in an ideal production system:
 there should be no inventory of finished goods: items should be produced
just in time to meet customer orders, and not before (just in time
production)
 there should be no inventories of purchased materials and components:
purchases should be delivered by external suppliers just in time for when
they are needed in production (= just in time purchasing).

Definition
Just-in-time purchasing is a purchasing system in which material purchases are
contracted so that the receipt and usage of the materials, to the maximum
extent, coincide
(CIMA Official Terminology).

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5.2 Introduction to backflush accounting


Backflush accounting is a method of cost accounting that is consistent with JIT
systems.
 Traditional cost accounting systems for manufacturing costs are ‘sequential
tracking’ systems. They track the costs of items as they progress through
the manufacturing process, from raw materials, through work in progress to
finished goods. At each stage of the manufacturing process, more costs are
added and recorded within the cost accounting system.
 The main benefit of sequential tracking costing systems is that they can be
used to put a cost to items of inventory. When inventory is large, there is a
need to measure inventory costs with reasonable ‘accuracy’.
 With a JIT philosophy, this benefit does not exist. Inventory should be
small, or even non-existent. The cost of inventory is therefore fairly
insignificant. A costing system that measures the cost of inventory is
therefore of little or no value, and is certainly not worth the time, effort and
expenditure involved.
 Backflush accounting is an alternative costing system that can be applied in
a JIT environment. It is ideally suited to a manufacturing environment
where production cycle times are fairly short and inventory levels are low.
As the term ‘backflush’ might suggest, costs are calculated after production has
been completed. They are allocated between the cost of goods sold and
inventories in retrospect. They are not built up as work progresses through the
production process.
It is important to recognise that the great advantage of backflush accounting is
that costs can be worked ‘backwards’, after the goods have been produced and
sold. There is no need for a complex cost accounting system that records costs
of production sequentially.

5.3 Backflush accounting with two ‘trigger points’


An event that leads to the recognition of costs is called a trigger point.
A backflush accounting system has one or two trigger points, when costs are
recorded. When there are two trigger points, these are usually:
 the purchase of raw materials; and
 the manufacture of completed products.
Trigger point 1
Direct material costs and other direct production costs are recorded in the usual
way by debiting the costs to the appropriate account. It is helpful to think of these
accounts as being like expense accounts where the costs are held until they can
be included into the cost of sales and to a much lesser extent into closing
inventory.
Trigger point 2
The cost of production is debited into finished inventory when production is
complete. The credit entries are to the suspense accounts at standard costs.

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Balances on the suspense accounts after these entries represent closing


inventory of finished goods or cost variances.
The debit recognised in the finished inventory account moved to a cost of goods
sold account almost immediately (remember what just in time manufacture
means).
A numerical example will be used to illustrate the costing method.

Example: Backflush accounting


A manufacturing company makes a single product (P), which has the following
standard cost:

Raw materials 20
Direct labour 8
Overheads 22
50
During the period, it incurred the following costs:
Raw materials purchased ₦2,030,000
Conversion costs:
Direct labour costs incurred ₦775,000
Overhead costs incurred ₦2,260,000
₦3,035,000
The company made 100,000 units of Product P and sold 98,000 units.
The company uses a backflush costing system, with trigger points at raw
materials purchase and at completion of production.
Trigger point 1: Record the purchase of raw materials
Debit: Raw materials inventory ₦2,030,000
Credit: Creditors/payables ₦2,030,000

Other conversion costs are also recorded


Debit: Conversion costs ₦3,035,000
Credit: Creditors/payables ₦3,035,000

Raw materials inventory account


₦ ₦
Creditors 2,030,000

Conversion costs account


₦ ₦
Bank (labour cost) 775,000
Creditors (overheads) 2,260,000
3,035,000

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Example (continued): Backflush accounting

Trigger point 2: Record the manufacture of the 100,000 units

Finished goods inventory account


₦ ₦
Raw materials
(100,000  20) 2,000,000
Conversion costs
(100,000  30) 3,000,000

Raw materials inventory account


₦ ₦
Creditors 2,030,000 Finished goods inventory 2,000,000
Closing balance c/f 30,000
2,030,000 2,030,000

Conversion costs account


₦ ₦
Bank (labour cost) 775,000 Finished goods inventory 3,000,000
Creditors (overheads) 2,260,000 Balance 35,000
3,035,000 3,035,000

The closing balance on the raw materials account may represent the cost of
closing inventory. If so, it is carried forward as an opening balance to the start of
the next period. However, any cost variance (difference between standard and
actual material cost) should be taken to the income statement for the period.

Similarly, the balance on the conversion costs account represents cost variances
for labour and overhead, and this should be written off to the income statement
for the period.
Almost immediate recognition of cost of sales
The cost of sales and closing inventory of finished goods are simply recorded as
follows:
Finished goods inventory account
₦ ₦
Raw materials 2,000,000 Cost of goods sold
(98,000  50) 4,900,000
Conversion costs 3,000,000 Closing inventory
(2,000  50) 100,000
5,000,000 5,000,000

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5.4 Backflush accounting with one ‘trigger point’


An even simpler backflush accounting system has just one trigger point, the
manufacture of finished units. In this system, the purchase of direct materials is
not recorded.
Conversion costs are debited, initially to a suspense account (or accounts as
before).
The cost of production is debited into finished inventory when production is
complete with the credit entries are to the suspense accounts at standard costs
and to payables for raw materials.

Example: Backflush accounting


A manufacturing company makes a single product (P), which has the following
standard cost:

Raw materials 20
Conversion costs 30
50
During the period, it incurred the following costs:
Raw materials purchased ₦2,030,000
Conversion costs: ₦3,035,000
The company made 100,000 units of Product P and sold 98,000 units.
The company uses a backflush costing system trigger point at completion of
production.
Conversion costs account

₦ ₦
Bank (labour cost) 775,000 Finished goods inventory 3,000,000
Creditors (overheads) 2,260,000 Balance 35,000
3,035,000 3,035,000

Finished goods inventory account

₦ ₦
Raw materials Cost of goods sold
(payables) 2,000,000
(100,000  20) (98,000  50) 4,900,000
Conversion costs 3,000,000 Closing inventory
(100,000  30) (2,000  50) 100,000
5,000,000 5,000,000

The only difference is that there is no raw materials inventory account. The
₦30,000 of materials that has been purchased but not used is simply not
recorded in the costing system, and is therefore not included in closing inventory
at the end of the period.

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Performance management

6 ENVIRONMENTAL ACCOUNTING

Section overview

 The purpose of environmental management accounting


 A framework for environmental management accounting
 EMA techniques

6.1 The purpose of environmental management accounting


For some companies, environmental issues are significant, in terms of both
strategy and cost.
 Poor environmental behaviour can result in significant costs or losses, such
as fines for excessive pollution, environmental taxes, loss of land values,
the cost of law suits, and so on.
 Environmental behaviour can affect the perception of customers, and their
attitudes to a company and its products. Increasingly, consumers take
environmental factors into consideration when they make their buying
decisions.
Environmental management accounting can be used to provide information to
management to help with the management of environmental issues. Traditional
management accounting techniques can:
 under-estimate or even ignore the cost of poor environmental behaviour;
 over-estimate the costs of improving environmental practices; and
 under-estimate the benefits of improving environmental practices.
Environmental management accounting (EMA) provides managers with financial
and non-financial information to support their environmental management
decision-making. EMA complements other ‘conventional’ management
accounting methods, and does not replace them.
The main applications of EMA are for:
 estimating annual environmental costs (for example, costs of waste
control);
 budgeting;
 product pricing;
 investment appraisal (for example, estimating clean-up costs at the end of
a project life and assessing the environmental costs of a project); and
 estimating savings from environmental projects.

6.2 A framework for environmental management accounting


Burritt et al (2001) suggested a framework for EMA based on providing
information to management:
 from internal or external sources;

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© Emile Woolf International

Four of these elements of EMA are shown in the following table:

Environmental management accounting (EMA)

 that consists of routine reports or ad hoc information.


 where the focus is short-term or longer-term;
 as historical or forward-looking information;
 as monetary or physical measurements;
Monetary EMA Physical EMA

 Short-term focus Long-term focus Short-term focus Long-term focus



 Historical  Routine  Environmental  Analysis of  Material and  Accounting for
orientation reporting cost environmental energy flow environmental
accounting ly-induced accounting capital
capital impacts
expenditures
 Ad hoc (one-  Historical  Environmental  Historical  Post-
off) assessment of life cycle assessment of investment
information environmental costing, short-term assessment of
109

decisions environmental environmental environmental


target costing impacts, e.g. impacts of

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of a site or capital
product expenditures
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria

 Future  Routine  Environmental  Environmental   Environmental


orientation reporting operational long-term  long-term
budgets and financial  physical
capital planning  planning

budgets 
(monetary 
 Ad hoc (one-  Relevant  Environmental  Assessment  Physical
off) environmental life cycle of environmental
information costing (e.g. budgeting and environmental investment
special target costing impacts appraisal.
orders) Specific
project life
cycle analysis
Performance management

6.3 EMA techniques


Environmental management accounting techniques include:
 re-defining costs;
 environmental activity-based accounting; and
 environmental life cycle costing.

Re-defining costs
The US Environmental Protection Agency (1998) suggested terminology for
environmental costing that distinguishes between:
 conventional costs: these are environmental costs of materials and
energy that have environmental relevance and that can be ‘captured’ in
costing systems;
 potentially hidden costs: these are environmental costs that might get
lost within the general heading of ‘overheads’;
 contingent costs: these are costs that might be incurred at a future date,
such as clean-up costs;
 image and relationship costs: these are costs associated with promoting
an environmental image, such as the cost of producing environmental
reports. There are also costs of behaving in an environmentally
irresponsible way, such as the costs of lost sales as a result of causing a
major environmental disaster.
In traditional management accounting systems, environmental costs (and
benefits) are often hidden. EMA attempts to identify these costs and bring them
to the attention of management.

Environmental activity-based accounting


Environmental activity based accounting is the application of environmental costs
to activity based accounting. A distinction is made between:
 environmental-related costs: these are costs that are attributable to cost
centres involved in environmental-related activities, such as an incinerator
or a waste recycling plant;
 environmental-driven costs: these are overhead costs resulting from
environment-related factors, such as higher costs of labour or depreciation.
The cost drivers for environment-related costs may be:
 the volume of emissions or waste;
 the toxicity of emissions or waste;
 ‘environmental impact added’ (units multiplied by environmental impact per
unit); or
 the volume of emissions or waste treated.

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Environmental life cycle costing


Life cycle costing is a method of costing that looks at the costs of a product over
its entire life cycle. Life cycle costing can help a company to establish how costs
are likely to change as a product goes through the stages of its life (introduction,
growth, maturity, decline and withdrawal from the market). This analysis of costs
should include environmental costs.

Illustration: Environmental life cycle costing


Xerox provides a good example of the environmental aspect of life cycle costing.
Xerox manufactures photocopiers, which it leases rather than sells. At the end of
a lease period, the photocopiers are returned from the customer to Xerox.
At one time, photocopiers were delivered to customers in packaging that could
not be re-used for sending the machines back at the end of the lease period.
Customers disposed of the old packaging and had to provide their own new
packaging to return the machines to Xerox. Xerox then disposed of this
packaging.
The company therefore incurred two costs: the cost of packaging to deliver
machines and the cost of disposal of the packaging for returned machines.
By looking at the costs of photocopiers over their full life cycle, Xerox found that
money could be saved by manufacturing standard re-usable packaging. The same
packaging could be used to deliver and return machines, and could also be re-
used.
At the same time, the company created benefits for the environment by reducing
disposals of packaging materials.

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Performance management

7 KAIZEN COSTING

Section overview

 An introduction to Kaizen costing


 Techniques for continuous improvement
 Kaizen costing compared with standard costing

7.1 An introduction to Kaizen costing


For companies that practise TQM and continuous improvement methods, Kaizen
costing takes over where target costing ends.
 Target costing is used in the design and development stage for a new
product.
 Kaizen costing is applied from the time that a product goes into full
production until the end of the product’s life.
Taken together, target costing and Kaizen costing are systems for life cycle
costing.
The philosophy of continuous improvement (Kaizen) is based on the view that
markets are highly competitive and industry must try to keep reducing costs in
order to reduce selling prices in order to maintain a competitive advantage.
Kaizen costing is a management accounting system that provides cost
information to help with achieving improvements without loss of product quality or
value.
Most of the costs of a product over its entire life cycle are committed during the
design and development stage. This is why target costing is a valuable technique
for the control of costs (without loss of value). However, there is still some scope
for further cost reduction after commercial production and marketing of the
product has begun.
A Kaizen costing system is therefore a costing system that is designed to help a
company to reduce product costs.
 A target for cost reductions is set. This target is below the current cost. The
cost reduction must be achieved without any loss of value for the customer.
For example, a target might be set to reduce unit costs of production by 5%
within two years.
 Teams are established to identify methods of making improvements.
 Kaizen focuses on making small improvements, as it is unlikely that a
single improvement will be sufficient to achieve the target cost reductions.
Many different improvements might be needed over a period of time.
 Actual costs are continually compared with the target costs, and progress
towards achieving the target cost is monitored through regular reporting.
 The project teams must continually review production conditions to find
ways of making more improvements and more cost reductions.
 Normally, teams are rewarded with bonuses if they achieve their cost
reduction targets.

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 When one cost reduction target is met, another cost reduction target takes
its place. With Kaizen, the process of seeking improvements never ends.

7.2 Techniques for continuous improvement


Teams that are given the responsibility for making improvements might use value
analysis (VA) methods. VA is similar to value engineering, except that VA is
applied to existing products and VE to products during their design and
development stage.
The types of questions that might be asked are as follows:
 Can common materials and parts be used? The same part might be used in
two or more parts of the product, or the same part might be used for
several different products that the company manufactures.
 How much of the cost consists of purchased materials and components?
Can major suppliers be persuaded to reduce their own costs and prices?
 Can improvements be made in logistics (distribution) or packaging?
 Can the investment in the product (for example, working capital) be
reduced?
 Can improvements be made in production systems or maintenance
methods?
 Can the work be organised in a different way?
 A system of value analysis must be supported by a management
accounting system that provides relevant cost data.

7.3 Kaizen costing compared with standard costing


It is useful to compare Kaizen costing with traditional standard costing.
 With standard costing, expected costs are established based on current
production methods. Variances between actual and standard costs are
calculated, and variance reports focus on significant variations between
actual costs and the current standard. There is no motivation to make
improvements and reduce costs below the existing standard.
 With Kaizen costing, actual costs are compared with the target, not an
existing standard. The variance reporting system is used to monitor
progress towards the target cost.
 With standard costing, managers are encouraged to prevent adverse
variances. For example, if there is an adverse material price variance, the
manager responsible might decide to buy materials at a lower price from a
different supplier. The result could be a loss of quality, a fall in value and a
reduction in customer satisfaction.
 With Kaizen costing, reductions in cost must be achieved without any loss
of value.
A 1993 article on Kaizen and Kaizen costing concluded: ‘In the US, changes in
the focus and methods of production need to be accompanied by changes in
management accounting systems. The Japanese have provided guidance on
how management accounting can play a significant role in creating sustainable

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Performance management

competitive advantage for a firm. The more organisations rid themselves of


traditional management accounting practices, the better is the chance that the
new ideas about manufacturing can take over and really show their worth. Old
ways of product costing blunt a firm’s ability to compete effectively and hinder
their ability to focus on world-class performance.’

8 PRODUCT PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Introduction
 Direct product profitability
 Problems with DPP

8.1 Introduction
It would be very unusual to find a company with a single product. Many
companies have wide product ranges.
Manufacturing companies often have complex costing systems to establish the
cost of production. Traditional accounting systems identify the direct costs
associated with a product and incorporate systems to apportion production
overheads into cost units. More modern techniques are discussed elsewhere in
this chapter. If cost allocation is reliable it is relatively helpful.

8.2 Direct product profitability


Retailers know how much units of inventory have cost them and how much they
are sold for. However, simply understanding the gross margin of different
products does not always indicate the true profitability of those products.
A retailer might be interested in understanding the impact that sales of individual
products and product lines have on profitability. Direct product profitability (an
approach developed by McKinsey & Co) is a technique which allows them to do
this. Direct product profitability attempts to attribute the purchase price and
indirect costs to individual products and product lines. This allows the
identification of a net profit for each of these.

Illustration: Direct product profitability


Direct product profitability of a given product for a given period is found as
follows.

Sale revenue X
Purchase price (net of discounts received) (X)
Gross profit X
Less:
Ordering costs X
Storage costs X
Distribution costs X
Cost of obsolescence X

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(X)
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Direct product profit X
Performance management

Notice that direct product profitability is expressed in profit per period rather than
per unit. Looking at unit profitability might be misleading as it would fail to take
sales volumes into account.

Example: Direct product profitability


A retailer sells two products (A and B) as follows:

A B
Sales price ₦4,000 ₦3,000
Purchase cost ₦3,000 ₦2,000
Gross profit per unit ₦1,000 ₦1,000
Gross margin 25% 33.33%
Shelf space per unit 20 cm2 10 cm2
Gross profit per unit of cm2 of shelf space ₦50 ₦100

It looks as if the retailer should be concentrating on selling B from the


above information. However, further data for weekly performance shows
that this is not the case.

A B
Gross profit per unit ₦1,000 ₦1,000
Unit sales 400 20
Gross profit ₦400,000 ₦20,000
Area used (cm2) 2,000 cm2 1,000 cm2
Cost per cm2 per week ₦50 ₦50
Storage cost ₦100,000 ₦50,000
Direct product profit ₦300,000 ₦(30,000)

Information about DPP implies that it is not worth selling B.


This assumes that the space currently used to sell B could be used to sell
more A. If this were not the case then the decision might be ill founded
as B is making a contribution towards the storage costs.
In practice, large retailers will have many hundreds (thousands) of
product lines. The space freed up from the discontinuation of a product
line would always be used to sell something else.

The above example demonstrates the importance of obtaining sufficient


information before meaningful analysis can be carried out.
DPP can be useful for a company that adopts a product based approach to
marketing. It suggests better results can be achieved by selling more of the
products which generate the highest product profitability.

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DPP analysis suggests ways of improving product profitability. For example,


moving items to more prominent positions to increase turnover or reducing the
size of product packaging. It might also be used to justify retailers seeking
product support from suppliers.

8.3 Problems with DPP


It depends on cost allocation and this might be difficult in practice.
It can be said to provide an incorrect marketing focus as it disregards the needs
of the customers.

9 SEGMENT PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS


Section overview

 Introduction to segmental profitability analysis


 Full cost approach
 Segment contribution approach
 Comparison of the two approaches

9.1 Introduction to segmental profitability analysis


All businesses exist to make profit. They do this by producing goods and
services and selling them for more than the cost of their production. The ability to
measure performance in terms of profitability is very important.
It is highly unlikely that a business will have only one product. Single product
businesses are useful to illustrate accounting principles but exist only in theory.
Many companies have hundreds of products which they sell in many regions.
Given the existence of many products and many different areas of operations, it
is unlikely that all products or areas will be profitable over time. Companies need
to evaluate profit performance systematically and regularly on a segmental basis
and unprofitable segments should be discontinued if they cannot be made
profitable.
A business can segment its operations in several ways, including:
 by product line;
 by geographical area (town, district, country)
There are two main ways of measuring segment profitability:
 the full cost approach; and
 the contribution approach.

9.2 Full cost approach


The full cost approach attempts to measure the total profit earned by each
segment.
The basic principles of this approach are as follows:
 The objective is to measure net profit of each operating segment.
 Overall net profit of a business is the sum of the net profit of the individual
segments.
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 All indirect expenses (common) must be allocated.
 Allocation of indirect expenses involves selecting bases of allocation.

Illustration: Segmental profit


Segment sales X
Direct expenses
Variable segment costs (X)
Fixed segment expenses (X)
X
Allocated indirect expenses (X)
X

At first sight, this might look like a logical approach as a business cannot be
successful without profit (net income). However, measuring the profit of a
segment is more difficult than measuring the profit of a business in its entirety
due to the need to identify segment expenses.
From the segment’s point of view, there are two types of expenses:
 segment direct expenses; and
 segment indirect expenses.

Segment direct expenses


These are segment expenses that result from the existence and operation of the
segment. These expenses would be avoided by a company if it closed the
segment.
Examples of segment direct expenses include the following:
 direct costs (material, labour and variable overhead); and
 fixed costs that relate directly to a segment (e.g. factory rental).

Segment indirect expenses


These are segment expenses that are not directly caused by a particular
segment. They relate to the company as a whole but are shared to the segments
to which they relate in order to calculate segment profitability. These expenses
would not be avoided by a company if it closed the segment.
Examples of indirect expenses include the following:
 directors’ remuneration;
 head office expenses;
 costs of central functions (e.g. accounting, treasury, human resources etc.)
There are different methods that might be used for allocating expenses so it
might be said that the final allocation is somewhat arbitrary. An unfair allocation
method can cause one segment to appear to be more profitable than another
when in fact this is not the case.
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Performance management

9.3 Segment contribution approach


The segment contribution approach attempts to measure the contribution made
by each segment.
The basic principles of this approach are as follows:
 Only the contribution of each segment is computed. No attempt is made to
compute the net income of the segment.
 Indirect or common expenses of each segment are not allocated.
 Indirect or common expenses, however, are usually deducted from total
segmental contribution in order to arrive at overall business net income.
A segment is considered profitable if sales of the segment exceed the direct
expenses of the segment

Illustration: Segmental contribution


Segment sales X
Direct expenses
Variable segment costs (X)
Fixed segment expenses (X)
X

The major problem of the full cost approach is that it is possible for a segment to
show an operating loss yet at the same time be making a positive contribution to
net income. In other words, if the seemingly unprofitable segment is closed, then
the overall net income of the business will decrease. This will be examined later
in this chapter.
To overcome this adverse feature of the full cost approach, many businesses
prefer to use the contribution approach to measuring segmental profitability.
The segmental contribution approach as indicated by its name measures
segmental contribution. Segmental contribution may simply be defined as sales
less direct expenses.
There is a difference between segmental contribution and contribution as
discussed in earlier chapters.
 Contribution (as discussed in earlier chapters) is sales less variable
expenses.
 Segmental contribution is segment sales less segment direct costs.
Segment direct costs might include fixed costs. This is because they would
vary if the segment was closed.

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Chapter 3: Modern management accounting techniques

9.4 Comparison of the two approaches


The indirect expenses of a segment will continue to be incurred regardless of
whether the segment is continued or not continued.
Therefore, as long as the segment is making a contribution towards indirect fixed
expenses, continuing operations at least in the short run makes the business
better off.
The following example illustrates the basic principles of the full cost and
segmental contribution approaches.

Example: Segment profitability


A company operates as two segments (X and Y).
The following results relate to the most recent accounting period.

X Y Total
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Sales 300 200 500
Direct costs (215) (170) (385)
Segmental contribution 85 30 115
Indirect costs (60) (40) (100)
Segmental profit/(loss) 25 (10) 15

Analysis
The full cost approach shows that segment Y is operating at a net loss of
₦10,000. This makes it look as if the business would be better off by
₦10,000 if it were to close segment Y.
The segmental contribution approach shows that segment Y is making a
contribution of ₦30,000.
The contribution approach shows that segment Y actually makes a
contribution to the total fixed costs. If segment Y were closed this
contribution would be lost but the indirect costs would not be avoided.
Therefore, the company would be ₦30,000 worse off if segment Y were
closed and this would result in the company making a loss of ₦15,000.

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Performance management

10 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Describe target costing and how target cost is determined
 Apply the target costing tools to given scenarios
 Explain lifecycle costing
 Explain throughput accounting and solve throughput accounting problems
 Explain and apply backflush accounting
 Explain and apply environmental accounting
 Explain Kaizen costing
 Explain and calculate product profitability
 Explain and calculate segment profitability using full cost and contribution
approaches

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4
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Learning and experience curve theory

Contents
1 The learning curve
2 Other aspects
3 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
A Cost planning and control
2 Overview of costs for planning and control
B Learning and experience curve theory
i Discuss and apply the learning and experience curve theory to pricing,
budgeting and other relevant problems.
ii Calculate and apply learning rate to cost estimation.

Exam context
This chapter explains each of the above topics in turn.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the learning effect
 Use a tabular approach to illustrate the learning effect
 Use the learning effect formula to calculate time required for units at a given point in
production as a basis for budgeting and pricing

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Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory

1 THE LEARNING CURVE

Section overview

 The learning effect


 The learning curve model (tabular approach)
 Formula for the learning curve

1.1 The learning effect


When a team of workers begins a skilled task for the first time, and the task then
becomes repetitive, they will probably do the job more quickly as the workers
learn the task and so become more efficient. They will find quicker ways of
performing tasks, and will become more efficient as their knowledge and
understanding increase. This improvement in efficiency through experience is
called the learning effect.
When a skilled task is well-established and has been in operation for a long time,
the learning effect wears out, and the time to complete the task eventually
becomes the same every time the task is subsequently carried out.
When the average time to produce an additional unit becomes constant, a
‘steady state’ has been reached.
However, during the learning period, the time to complete each subsequent task
can fall by a very large amount and the learning effect can be substantial.
The learning effect (and learning curve) was first discovered in the US during the
1940s, in aircraft manufacture. It probably still applies today in aircraft
manufacture. Aircraft manufacture is a highly-skilled task, where:
 the skill of the work force is important; and
 the labour time is a significant element in production resources and
production costs.
Where the learning effect is significant, it has implications for:
 costs of completing the task;
 budgeting/forecasting production requirements and production costs; and
 pricing the output so as to make a profit.
Prices charged to the customer can allow for the cost savings that will be made
because of the learning effect

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Performance management

1.2 The learning curve model (tabular approach)


The learning effect can be measured mathematically, and shown as a learning
curve.
The learning curve is measured as a percentage learning effect. For example, for
a particular task, there might be an 80% learning curve effect, or a 90% learning
curve effect, and so on.

The learning effect


When there is a x% learning curve for the manufacture of a product, this means
that when cumulative output of the product doubles, the average time to produce
all the units made so far (the cumulative total produced to date) is x% of what it
was before. For example:
 when there is an 80% learning curve, every time output doubles the
cumulative average time to produce units falls to 80% of what it was before.
 The cumulative average time per unit is the average time for all the units
made so far, from the first unit onwards. For example if an 80% learning
effect applies:
 the average time for the first two units is 80% of the average time for
the first unit;
 The average time for the first four units is 80% of the average time for
the first two units and so on.

Example: The learning effect


The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been
established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve.
Calculate:
(a) the cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units, first 8
units and first 16 units of the boat
(b) the total time required to make the first 2 units, the first 4 units, the first 8
units and the first 16 units
(c) the additional time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th
units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.

These can be found by constructing the following table:


Cumulative Total time Incremental
average for all time for Average time
Total units time per units additional for additional
(cumulative) unit (days) (days) units (days) units (days)
1 100 100.00 100.00
2 ( 80%) 80 160.00 60.00 60.00
4 ( 80%) 64 256.00 96.00 48.00
8 ( 80%) 51.2 409.60 153.60 38.40
16 ( 80%) 40.96 655.36 245.76 30.72

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Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory

Practice question 1
The first unit of a new model of machine took 1,600 hours to make.
A 90% learning curve applies.
How much time would it take to make the first 32 units of this machine?
Calculate:
(a) the cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units,
first 8 units and first 16 units.
(b) the total time required to make the first 2 units, the first 4 units, the
first 8 units and the first 16 units
(c) the additional time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th
units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
(d) the average time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th
units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.

Problem with the tabular approach


It is easy to construct a table to show the learning effect and it provides useful
information. However, it can only be constructed to show doubling of the output.
The table can be used to calculate how many days it would take to construct
units 3 and 4 and the average time for each of these. However, it cannot be used
to calculate how long unit 3 actually took and how long unit 4 actually took. (We
know that boats 3 and 4 together took 96 days to make but not how long each
took as the learning effect means that boat 4 would have taken less time than
boat 3).
Similarly, the table can be used to calculate how many days it would take to
construct units 5 to 8 and the average time for each of these. However, it cannot
be used to calculate how long unit 5 actually took and how long unit 7 (say)
actually took. (We know that boats 5 to 8 together took 153.6 days to make but
not how long each took as the learning effect means that boat 8 would have
taken less time than boat 5 for example).
The way around this is to use the learning curve formula.

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Performance management

1.3 Formula for the learning curve


The learning curve is represented by the following formula (mathematical model):

Formula: Learning curve


y = axb
log of learning rate
b=
log 2
Where:
y = the cumulative average time per unit for all units made
x = the number of units made so far (cumulative number of units)
a = the time for the first unit
b = the learning factor.
The learning rate is expressed as a decimal – a learning rate of 80% is
expressed as 0.8

Logarithms (usually shortened to log) are different way to express a number.


Logs can have different bases. The most widely used logs are log10 (log to the
base 10 usually written simple as log) or natural logs (log to the base e but
written as written as ln).
The log of a number is number of times that you would have to multiply 10 by
itself to get that number. For example:
 the log of 100 is 2 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by itself
twice to get a hundred.
 the log of 1,000 is 3 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by itself
three times to get a thousand.
 the log of 80 is 1;90301 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by
itself 1;90301 times to get 80.
 the log of 0.8 is 0.9691 meaning that you would have to multiply 10 by
itself 0.9691 times to get 0.8. (Note that the log of any number less than 1
is always negative).
Admittedly, this can be a little difficult to understand but modern calculators can
calculate log values easily.
The learning effect can be computed using the formula approach thus:
Y = axb
Where the above variables are explained above.

Y(x) = (axb) x

b= √ Y(x)
√ (axb)x

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Example:
Determine the learning rate of a process where the first unit (a) uses 720 hours and and
the fourth unit is estimated to use an average of 405 hours per unit at a constant learning
rate.

Solution :
Using the formula approach:

Y = axb
Rate of learning = √y x = √405 x 4
√ axbx = √720 x 4

√0.5625 = 0.75 = 75%

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Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory

Example (continued): The learning effect


Returning to the earlier example:
The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been
established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve.
The cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units, first 8 units
and first 16 units of the boat can be calculated as follows:
The learning factor:
log of learning rate log 0.8
b= b= = −0.32193
log 2 log 2

First 2 units
y = axb y = 100 days  20.32193 = 80 days

First 4 units
y = axb y = 100 days  40.32193 = 64 days

First 8 units
y = axb y = 100 days  80.32193 = 51.2 days

First 16 units
y = axb y = 100 days  160.32193 = 40.96 days

The formula can be used for any number of units.

Example (continued): The learning effect


Returning to the earlier example:
The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been
established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve.
The cumulative average time per unit for the first 9 units is as follows:
The learning factor:
log of learning rate log 0.8
b= b= = −0.32193
log 2 log 2

First 9 units
y = axb y = 100 days  90.32193 = 49.3 days

It is now a short step to work out how long any unit would take to build.

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Performance management

Example (continued): The learning effect

These can be found be constructing the following table:

Cumulative Total time Incremental


average for all time for
Total units time per units additional
(cumulative) unit (days) (days) units (days)
8 51.2 409.60
9 49.3 443.70 245.76

In other words, the 9th boat took 34.1 days to


build. mbuildcccomplete make.

This approach can be used to calculate the time taken to build any unit.

Example: The learning effect


It will take 500 hours to complete the first unit of a new product. There is a 95%
learning curve effect.
Calculate how long it will take to produce the 7th unit
The learning factor:
log of learning rate log 0.95
b= b= = −0.074
log 2 log 2

First 6 units
y = axb y = 500 hours  60.074 = 437.9 hours

First 7 units
y = axb y = 500 hours  70.074 = 432.9 hours

These can be used to find the incremental time as before.


Incremental
Cumulative Total time time for
average for all additional
Total units time per units units
(cumulative) unit (hours) (hours) (hours)
6 437.9 2,627.4
7 432.9 3,030.3 402.9

In other words, the 7th unit took 402.9 hours to build .

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Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory

2 OTHER ASPECTS

Section overview

 Graph of the learning curve


 Conditions for the learning curve to apply
 Implications of the learning curve
 Problems with the application of learning curve theory

2.1 Graph of the learning curve


The learning effect can be illustrated graphically.

Illustration: Learning effect

The cumulative average time per The total cost line curves
unit falls rapidly at first, but the upwards.
learning effect eventually ends and The slope decreases as more units
the average time for each are made implying that the cost
additional unit eventually becomes per unit falls as more and more
constant (a standard time). units are made.

2.2 Conditions for the learning curve to apply


The learning curve effect will only apply in the following conditions:
 There must be stable conditions for the work, so that learning can take
place. For example, labour turnover must not be high; otherwise the
learning effect is lost. The time between making each subsequent unit must
not be long; otherwise the learning effect is lost because employees will
forget what they did before.
 The activity must be labour-intensive and repetitive so that learning will
affect the time to complete the work.
 There must be no change in production techniques, which would require
the learning process to start again from the beginning.
 Employees must be motivated to learn.
The costs that are reduced as a result of the learning curve are those that vary
with labour time – labour costs and any overhead costs that vary with labour
time. The learning effect will not usually result in reductions in materials costs, for
example, because the usage of materials (ignoring losses through wastage) is
not related to labour efficiency.

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Performance management

2.3 Implications of the learning curve


When a process benefits from a learning curve effect, there are implications for
budgeting and pricing.
 Budgets should allow for the reduction in the average labour time per unit.
Total labour requirements (the size of the work force required) will be
affected.
 If prices are calculated on a ‘cost plus’ basis, prices quoted to customers
should allow for future cost savings. The sales budget will be affected by
expected reductions in the sales price.
 Any system of budgetary control should make allowance for the expected
reduction in the production time per unit. Actual hours taken should be
compared with expected hours, allowing for the learning curve effect.

2.4 Problems with the application of learning curve theory


In practice, the learning curve effect is not used extensively for budgeting or
estimating costs (or calculating sales prices on a cost plus basis).
 It may be difficult to measure the learning rate with sufficient accuracy. It
also may be difficult to measure the time taken for the first unit accurately.
 In a modern manufacturing environment production is highly mechanised
and therefore the learning curve effect does not apply.
 Learning curve theory assumes that stable production conditions will exist,
and all subsequent units will be produced to the same specifications as the
original product. In practice, the product may go through several major
design changes after the first unit has been produced.
 For many products where skilled labour is required, production might have
reached a ’steady state’ so that there will be no further reductions in the
average times to produce the item.
 Even with skilled, labour-intensive work, if there is a high rate of labour
turnover, the work force might not gain enough collective experience for a
learning effect to apply.

Example: The learning effect


X Ltd has developed a new product. The process used to produce the new product
is repetitive, and around 60% automated.
Following reorganisation at X Ltd, the workforce is less motivated than it has
been in the past and the number of resignations has increased in recent months.
Required
Evaluate the extent to which you would expect a learning curve effect to occur in
respect of the new product at X Ltd.

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Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory

Answer
Learning curves only apply to repetitive processes.
The new product may experience a learning effect as it is to be produced using a
repetitive process.
The process is 60% automated, and learning curves can only be observed on a
process that is highly labour intensive. The 40% of the process that is not
automated could give rise to a learning curve, however the extent to which this
will impact on the process overall is unknown. It is possible that a learning curve
effect could occur, but it is unlikely to be significant.
Further, there are issues with motivation and staff turnover. Both of these factors
reduce the likelihood of a learning curve effect taking place.
If staff are not motivated, they will not be keen to learn and keen to work quickly
and so the learning curve will never arise.
Higher staff turnover prevents the learning curve taking place as staff are
replaced too frequently for the benefits to be observed as the workers will not
have sufficient time to learn the process and speed up.
Overall, the learning curve experienced in relation to the new product as X Ltd is
likely to be minimal.

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Performance management

3 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the learning effect

 Use a tabular approach to illustrate the learning effect


 Use the learning effect formula to calculate time required for units at a given point
in production as a basis for budgeting and pricing

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Chapter 4: Learning and experience curve theory

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Cumulative Total time Incremental
average time for all time for Average time
Total units per unit (90% units additional for additional
(cumulative) LF) (days) (days) units (days) units (days)
1 1,600 1,600 1,600
2 1,440 2880 1280 1280
4 1,296 5184 2304 1152.00
8 1,166.4 9331.20 4147.20 1036.80
16 1,049.76 16796.16 7464.96 933.12
32 944.78 30233.09 13436.93 839.81

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5
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Quality and quality costs

Contents
1 Quality management and quality costs
2 Costs of conformance
3 Costs of non-conformance
4 The significance of quality costs
5 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts. This
has a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
A Cost planning and control
1 Overview of costs for planning and control
C Cost of quality
i Explain quality costs.
ii Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of non-
conformance.
iii Discuss the significance of quality costs for organisations.

Exam context
This chapter explains each of the above topics in turn.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the nature of quality costs
 Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance
 Analyse costs of conformance into appraisal costs and prevention costs
 Analyse costs of non-conformance into internal and external failure costs
 Discuss the potential significance of quality costs, including reputation costs, for
organisations
 Explain approaches to the management of quality costs including the Total Quality
Management approach.

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

1 QUALITY MANAGEMENT AND QUALITY COSTS

Section overview

 The importance of quality


 Quality-related costs
 Quality-related costs: costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance

1.1 The importance of quality


Success in business depends on satisfying the needs of customers and meeting
the requirements of customers. An essential part of meeting customers’ needs is
to provide the quality that customers require. Quality is therefore an important
aspect of product design and marketing.
Quality is also important in the control of production processes. Poor quality in
production will result in losses due to rejected items and wastage rates, sales
returns by customers, repairing products sold to customers (under warranty
agreements) and the damaging effect on sales of a loss of reputation.
An entity should seek to minimise quality-related costs. In order to do this,
quality-related costs should be measured, analysed and controlled. However in
many organisations the management accounting system does not capture,
analyse and report on quality cost data. This chapter indicates how quality-
related costs could be measured.

1.2 Quality-related costs


Quality-related costs can be defined as: ‘the expenditure incurred in defect
prevention and appraisal activities and the losses due to internal and external
failure of a product or service, through failure to meet the agreed specification’.
An organisation must incur costs to deal with quality.
 It incurs costs to maintain the required quality standards, and to prevent
poor quality, or detect poor quality items when they occur. These are costs
of conformance.
 It incurs costs in correcting the problem when poor quality does occur.
These are costs of non-conformance.
The cost of quality can be defined as: ‘The cost of ensuring and assuring
quality, as well as the loss incurred when quality is not achieved’. The aim should
be to minimise the total of quality-related costs.

1.3 Quality-related costs: costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance


Dr Armand Feigenbaum is considered a ‘quality guru’: he developed the concept
of total quality control (TQC) in the 1950s. The explanation of quality costs that
follows in the rest of this chapter is based on Feigenbaum’s analysis and
categorisation of quality costs.

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Performance management

The following formula sets out the total costs of quality, as defined by Dr Armand
Feigenbaum in the 1950s. This is now a well-established method of analysing
quality costs.

Formula: Quality costs


Costs of Costs of non-
Total costs of
= conformance + conformance
quality (costs of control) (costs of failure)

Costs of
= Prevention costs + Appraisal costs
conformance
and
Costs of non- External failure
= Internal failure costs +
conformance costs

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

2 COSTS OF CONFORMANCE

Section overview

 Appraisal costs
 Prevention costs

2.1 Appraisal costs


No matter how much money is spent on preventing quality failures, some failures
will almost certainly occur. Prevention measures cannot provide a 100%
guarantee of quality. Consequently some inspection checks are needed to test
whether quality standards are being maintained, and if possible to identify
defective items that do occur.
Appraisal costs are the costs that are incurred to detect defective items before
they are delivered to customers and to deal with faults or defects that are
discovered. These costs are normally associated with inspection, and are the
costs incurred as part of the inspection process, in order to ensure that incoming
materials and other supplies – and outgoing finished products – are of the ‘right
quality’. They also include the costs of quality tests and quality audits.
Appraisal costs are incurred either after items have been supplied or produced,
or during the process of production.
Quality inspections may have the objective of identifying all defects, and rejecting
them as unacceptable. Defective materials or parts from a supplier are returned
to the supplier. Defective items that occur during production are either scrapped
or re-worked to eliminate the defect.
However, when an organisation is buying a large number of items and in large
quantities, inspecting 100% of items purchased would be a time-consuming and
expensive process, unless all items can be checked automatically within a fully-
automated production process.
For this reason, it is usual for quality inspections to be carried out on a sample of
items, not 100% of items. The results from the sample testing are used to assess
whether quality standards are on the whole within acceptable limits.
Here are some examples of appraisal costs.
 inspecting purchased items on delivery, to check whether they meet the
required specifications;
 in a manufacturing process, checking items as soon as possible during the
process, or checking finished items for defects;
 carrying out a quality audit from time to time, to assess whether quality
standards are up to the level required and the quality control system is
working as intended.

The costs incurred may consist of:


 the costs of labour time spent on inspecting;
 the costs of inspection equipment.

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Performance management

2.2 Prevention costs


Prevention costs are the costs of action to prevent defects (or reduce the number
of defects). They are costs incurred to prevent a quality problem from arising.
Quality problems can arise for a variety of reasons:
 The initial design of the product and the method of making it may be poor,
so that there will be a large number of sub-standard items produced.
 The raw materials used to make the product may be poor in quality, and
better-quality raw materials may reduce the wastage rate in production.
 The work force may be badly trained, and so may make a large number of
errors in production.
 Faulty output may occur when the production machinery is not in good
working order, which may be caused by insufficient maintenance and
repair work on the machines.
Prevention costs are the costs incurred in preventing these problems from
happening.
Investing in the prevention of quality failures will result in fewer failures and so
less need for inspections, and a reduction in appraisal costs and quality failure
costs. A solution to the problem of quality failures is to prevent them from
happening. Spending on prevention measures can be justified by much bigger
savings in appraisal costs and costs of quality failures.
Prevention costs are costs incurred in order to reduce appraisal costs and the
costs of quality failures, by preventing or reducing defects and failures produced
by the process, and to reduce the need to spend money on inspections and
testing for quality failures.

Examples of measures that might be taken to reduce quality failures are:


 Quality planning: establishing clear specifications for the quality standards
required in a product, service or process. By paying closer attention to
getting specifications ‘right’, particularly in product design, costs of
appraisal and quality failure costs can be reduced;
 Investing in systems and equipment to achieve the required quality
standard;
 Training staff to recognise the importance of quality and ‘getting things
right first time’;
 Choosing only those suppliers that can be expected to deliver supplies to
the required quality standard.

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

3 COSTS OF NON-CONFORMANCE

Section overview

 Internal failure costs


 External failure costs

3.1 Internal failure costs


Internal failures are quality failures that:

 occur when products are defective because they do not conform to


requirements or specifications; but
 are discovered before the product is delivered to the customer.
They are failures that would otherwise have led to the external customer being
dissatisfied, if they had been delivered. Internal failures are caused either by
defects in products (failure of the product to meet specifications) and
inefficiencies in the production process.
Internal failures may be identified when defective items are found in the
inspection or testing process, or when there is a breakdown in the production
process. Items that are inspected and found to be faulty will be either:
 rejected and thrown out, or
 re-worked so that they meet the required quality standard.
Internal failure costs are costs incurred when defective production occurs. They
include:
 the variable cost of items that are scrapped when found to be sub-standard
in quality
 the incremental cost of re-working items to bring them to the required
quality standard
 the cost of production time lost due to failure and defects. If a factory is
working at full capacity and is unable to keep up with sales demand, this
cost would include the contribution lost as a consequence of producing
less finished output and so selling less.

3.2 External failure costs


External failure costs are costs incurred when the quality problem arises after the
goods have been delivered to the customer. They include the costs of:
 dealing with customers’ complaints
 carrying out repair work under a guarantee or warranty
 transport costs incurred when recovering faulty items from customers
 transport costs incurred in delivering repaired items or replacement items
to customers
 recalling all items from customers in order to correct a design fault
 legal costs, when a customer takes the organisation to court

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Performance management

 the cost of lost reputation: when an organisation gets a reputation for poor
quality, customers will stop buying from it.

Reputational costs
Corporate reputation can be defined as the overall estimation in which a
company is held by its customers. Reputations are built up over time, and it is
increasingly recognised that reputation is an important intangible asset. A strong
positive reputation can differentiate a company from its competitors, and help to
attract and retain customers. There is evidence that a good reputation enhances
profitability and contributes to the longer-term success of an organisation, by
maintaining customer and supplier loyalty, supporting the recruitment and
retention of high-quality personnel, and improving competitiveness.
Conversely, a negative reputation – or reputational damage – can erode
customer support for the company and its products.
‘Reputational risk’ is the risk of damage to reputation, and the resulting
consequences. The cost of a poor reputation (a failure to satisfy customers) is an
external failure cost.

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

4 THE SIGNIFICANCE OF QUALITY COSTS

Section overview

 Managing quality costs


 Complications in the interpretation of quality costs
 Managing quality-related costs: Total Quality Management

4.1 Managing quality-related costs


The traditional approach to managing quality costs recognises that there is a
relationship between costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance.
The ‘traditional view’ of managing quality costs is that the total of all quality costs
should be minimised.
 An organisation should spend more money on prevention and detection
costs, if this reduces internal and external failure costs by a larger amount.
 On the other hand, there is no reason to spend more on preventing poor
quality if the benefits do not justify the extra cost.
The first step in reducing the costs of quality is to calculate the total cost the
organisation is incurring for quality.

Example: Calculating the costs of quality


X Limited has experienced quality issues with a new product.
Production information is as follows:
PRODUCTION DATA
Units manufactured and sold 20,000 units
Units requiring rework 3,000 units
Units requiring warranty repair service 4,000 units

The following information is available about the company’s efforts in


respect of quality:
Engineering hours 5,000 hours
Inspection hours (manufacturing) 32,000 hours

Engineering cost per hour ₦105


Inspection cost per hour ₦55
Rework cost per unit reworked ₦5,280
Customer support per warranty repair (per unit) ₦265
Warranty repairs per repaired unit ₦2,000
Staff training costs ₦195,000
Additional product testing costs ₦80,000

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Performance management

Example(continued): Calculating the costs of quality


A quality cost analysis can be prepared as follows:
₦,000 ₦,000
Prevention costs
Training 195
Engineering (5,000  105) 525
Appraisal costs 720
Inspection costs (32,000  55) 1,760
Product testing 80
1,840
Costs of conformance 2,560

Internal failure costs


Rework (3,000  5,280) 15,840
External failure costs
Repairs (4,000  (265 + 5050)) 21,260
Costs of conformance 37,100
Total cost of quality 39,660

In this case, the company’s costs of conformance are much smaller than its
costs of non-conformance. An investment in the costs of conformance might
result in savings in the costs of non-conformance so that overall the total cost of
quality would fall.

Example(continued): Calculating the costs of quality


Following on from the previous example, the company is considering investing in
costs of conformance as follows:
Training costs are to be doubled
Engineering hours are to be trebled
Inspection hours are to be increased five fold
Product testing cost to be trebled

Analysis has led the company to believe that the above measures would
result in the following:
Units requiring rework 2,000 units
Units requiring warranty repair service 2,000 units

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

Example(continued): Calculating the costs of quality


A new quality cost analysis can be prepared as follows:
₦,000 ₦,000
Prevention costs
Training (195,000  2) 390
Engineering (5,000  3  105) 1,575
Appraisal costs 1,965
Inspection costs (32,000  5  55) 8,800
Product testing (80  3) 240
9,040
Costs of conformance 11,005

Internal failure costs


Rework (2,000  5,280) 10,560
External failure costs
Repairs (2,000  (265 + 5050)) 10,630
Costs of conformance 21,190
Total cost of quality 32,195

Therefore the initiative would reduce the total quality costs.


₦,000
Before the initiative 39,660s
After the initiative 32,195
Quality cost reduction 7,465

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Performance management

4.2 Complications in the interpretation of quality costs

Using percentages
Quality costs are often expressed as percentages of sales value. However, they
can also be expressed as a percentage of production costs. The distinction is
important to understand when analysing data.

Example: Calculating the costs of quality


The following information is available for a company.
₦,000
Revenue 1,000
Production costs (800)
Gross profit 200

a) If quality costs are 10% of revenue


The production costs can be analysed as follows:
Quality costs (10% of 1,000) 100
Other production costs (balancing figure) 700
Total production costs 800

a) If quality costs are 10% of production costs


The production costs can be analysed as follows:
Quality costs (10% of 800) 80
Other production costs (balancing figure) 720
Total production costs 800

A question might require you to calculate the number of units that need to be
produced in order to achieve a level of good output subject to a given failure rate.
In this case, the number produced can be found by grossing up the number
required to be sold to take account of the production failures.

Example
A company’s production process losses 20% of units input.
The number of units that must be input in order to achieve output of 100 good
units is:
100 units  100/80 = 125 units (or 100 units ÷ 0.8 = 125 units)
Proof Units
Units input to production 125
Losses in production (20% of 125) (25)
Good output 100

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

Practice question 1
A company is considering investing in a new quality initiative.
It has made the following estimates of losses incurred in order to achieve
an output of 1,000 good units (i.e. free from defects).with and without this
initiative.
Before quality After quality
initiative initiative
Losses in production 5% 1%
Rejections on final inspection 10% 6%

Both units of good output and units lost and rejected costs ₦700 to
produce.
What is the maximum amount that the company should pay for the
quality improvement per batch of 1,000 units?

Timing of benefits
As stated above, the ‘traditional view’ of managing quality costs is that the total
of all quality costs should be minimised. When analysing the success or
otherwise of a change in policy to reduce total quality costs it is important to
understand that benefits resulting from increase spend on costs of conformance
may not be experienced instantly. There may be a delay as the result of the
changes work through the system.

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Performance management

Example: Timing of changes in quality costs


A company has collected the following information:
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4
₦,000 ₦,000 ₦,000 ₦,000
Appraisal costs 50 100 100 100
Prevention costs 60 65 100 120
110 165 200 220
Internal failure costs 250 300 220 180
External failure costs 300 240 180 150
550 540 400 330
Total quality costs 660 705 600 550

Analysis:
Period 1: 83.3% of the quality costs were the result of internal and
external failure.
Period 2: The company doubled spending on appraisal. This led to the
company identifying higher numbers of low quality items. This increased
the internal failure costs but resulted in a fall in the external failure costs
(as fewer flawed items were sent to customers).
Period 3: The information gathered in period 2 as a result of the
investment in appraisal costs allowed the company to identify quality
improvements leading to an increase in the prevention budget. This led
to a fall in internal failure costs and a continued fall in external failure
costs.
Period 4: The trends established in period 3 continued. Increased
prevention costs leads to further reductions in internal failure costs
and external failure costs.
The company has endured an increase in total quality costs from period
1 to period 2 but has benefited from the changes in periods 3 and 4.

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Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

4.2 Total Quality Management


Customers’ needs can be satisfied to some extent by cutting costs and selling at
lower prices. However, strategies to achieve customer satisfaction must also
focus on three other critical success factors:
 quality;
 time; and
 innovation.
One approach to achieving improvements in these critical success factors is a
Total Quality Management programme.
Total Quality Management (TQM) is a philosophy of quality management with its
origins in Japan in the 1950s.

Definition: Total quality management


An integrated and comprehensive system of planning and controlling all business
functions so that products or services are produced which meet or exceed
customer expectations.
CIMA Official Terminology

TQM is a philosophy of business behaviour, embracing principles such as


employee involvement, continuous improvement at all levels and customer
focus, as well as being a collection of related techniques aimed at improving
quality such as full documentation of activities, clear goal-setting and
performance measurement from the customer perspective.
The ‘traditional view’ outlined above is rejected by supporters of TQM. The TQM
view is that it is impossible to identify and measure all quality costs. In particular,
it is impossible to measure the costs of lost reputation, which will lead to a
decline in sales over time. The aim should therefore always be to work towards
zero defects. To achieve zero defects, it will be necessary to spend more money
on prevention costs.
The TQM approach to quality costs is to ‘get things right the first time’.

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Performance management

5 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the nature of quality costs
 Analyse quality costs into costs of conformance and costs of non-conformance
 Analyse costs of conformance into appraisal costs and prevention costs
 Analyse costs of non-conformance into internal and external failure costs
 Discuss the potential significance of quality costs, including reputation costs, for
organisations.
 Explain approaches to the management of quality costs including the Total
Quality Management approach

Chapter 5: Quality and quality costs

© Emile Woolf International 152 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS
Solution 1
The number of units of input needed to produce 1,000 units of good output before and
after the quality initiative can be calculated as follows:

Units
Before the After the
initiative initiative

Desired good output 1,000 1,000


Losses at final inspection (balancing figure) 111 64
Units that reach final inspection
1,000  100/90 (or 1,000/0.9) 1,111
1,000  100/94 (or 1,000/0.94) 1,064
Losses during production (balancing figure) 58 11
Units that are input at the start
1,111  100/95 (or 1,000/0.95) 1,169
1,064  100/99 (or 1,000/0.99) 1,075

Proof
Input at the start 1,169 1,075
Losses during production (5%/1%) (58) (11)
Units that reach final inspection 1,111 1,064
Losses at final inspection (10%/6%) (111) (64)
Good output 1000 1,000

The maximum price that should be paid to achieve the quality


improvements (per batch of 1,000 units) is calculated as follows:
Units of input to achieve output of 1,000 units:
Before the initiative 1,169
After the initiative (1,075)
Units saved due to the initiative 94
Cost per unit (₦) 700
Saving per 1,000 units of good output (₦) 65,800

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6
Skills level

CHAPTER
Performance management

Budgetary control systems

Contents
1 The budgeting process
2 Budgetary systems
3 Dealing with uncertainty in budgeting
4 Behavioural aspects of budgeting
5 Beyond budgeting
6 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
B Planning and control
1 Budgetary system, planning and control
A Discuss and apply forecasting techniques to planning and control.
B Discuss budgetary system in an organization as an aid to performance
management.
C Evaluate the information used in budgetary system.
D Discuss the behavioural aspects of budgeting.
E Discuss the usefulness and problems associated with different types of
budget.
F Explain beyond budgeting models.

Exam context
This chapter explains the purpose of budgetary control systems and continues by explaining
different types of approaches to budgeting. Standard costing is of particular importance as it
is the foundation of variance analysis (covered in the next two chapters). The concluding
section of the chapter covers the behavioural aspects of budgeting.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the purposes of budgeting and the budgeting process
 Describe the main features of, and explain the differences between bottom-up and top-
down budgeting
 Explain incremental and zero-based budgeting
 Explain activity based budgeting (ABB)
 Recognise and explain the importance of the behavioural aspects of budgeting
 Discuss beyond budgeting as a concept
 Explain and apply forecasting techniques

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

1 THE BUDGETING PROCESS

Section overview

 Introduction to budgeting
 Preparing the budget
 Principal budget factor
 Stages in the budgeting process

1.1 Introduction to budgeting

Planning framework
A business entity should plan over the long term, medium term and short term.
 Long term planning, or strategic planning, focuses on how to achieve the
entity’s long-term objectives.
 Medium-term or tactical planning focuses on the next year or two.
 Short-term or operational planning focuses on day-to-day and week-to-
week plans.
Budgets are medium-term plans for the business, expressed in financial terms. A
typical budget is prepared annually, and the overall budget is divided into control
periods for the purpose of control reporting.

The nature of budgets

Definition: Budget
A budget is a financial and/or quantitative statement prepared and approved
prior to a defined period of time for the purpose of attaining a set of given
objectives

A budget is a formal plan, expressed mainly in financial terms and covering all
the activities of the entity. It is for a specific period of time, typically one year.
When budgets are prepared annually, they are for the next financial year.
The total budget period (one year) may be sub-divided into shorter control
periods of one month or one quarter (three months).

Purposes of budgeting
Budgets have several purposes.
 To convert long-term plans (strategic plans) into more detailed shorter-term
(annual) plans.
 To ensure that planning is linked to the long-term objectives and strategies
of the organisation.
 To co-ordinate the actions of all the different parts of the organisation, so
that they all work towards the same goals. (This is known as ‘goal
congruence’). One of the benefits of budgeting is that is covers all activities,
so the plan should try to ensure that all the different activities are properly
co-ordinated and working towards the same objective.

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Performance management

 To communicate the company’s plans to the individuals (managers and


other employees) who have to put the plans into action.
 To motivate managers and employees, by setting targets for achievement,
and possibly motivating them with the incentive of bonuses or other
rewards if the targets are met.
 To provide guidelines for authorising expenditure. Expenditure might not be
permitted unless it has been planned in the budget or unless it is within the
budgeted expenditure limits for the department.
 To identify areas of responsibility for implementing the plans. For each part
of the budget, an individual manager should be made responsible for
achieving the budget targets for performance.
 To provide a benchmark against which actual performance can be
measured.
 To control costs. Costs can be controlled by comparing budgets with actual
results and investigating any differences (or variances) between the two.
This is known as budgetary control.

1.2 Preparing the budget


Preparing the annual budget is a major activity for many entities. In many
medium-sized and large companies, there is a well-defined process for budget
preparation, because a large number of individuals have to co-ordinate their
efforts to prepare the budget plans. The budgeting process may take several
months, from beginning to eventual approval by the board of directors.
The budgeting process might be supervised and controlled by a special
committee (the budget committee). This consists of senior managers from all
the main areas of the business. The committee co-ordinates the various
functional budgets submitted to it for review, and gives instructions for changes to
be made when the draft budgets are unsatisfactory or the functional budgets are
not consistent with each other.
Although the budget committee manages the budgeting process, the functional
budgets are usually prepared by the managers with responsibility for the
particular aspect of operations covered by that functional budget.

Budget manual
There should be a budget manual or budget handbook to guide everyone
involved in the budgeting process,. This should set out:
 the key objectives of the budget;
 budget planning procedures and budget timetables;
 the budget details that must be included in the functional budgets;
 responsibilities for preparing the functional budgets; and
 details of the budget approval process. The budget must be approved by
the budget committee and then by the board of directors.

The master budget


The ‘master budget’ is the final approved budget. It is usually presented in the
form of financial statements - a budgeted statement of profit or loss and a
budgeted statement of financial position for the end of the financial year.

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

However the master budget is the result of a large number of detailed plans,
many of them prepared at a departmental or functional level. To prepare the
master budget, it is therefore necessary to prepare functional budgets first.

Functional budgets
A functional budget is a budget for a particular aspect of the entity’s operations.
The functional budgets that are prepared vary with the type of business and
industry. In a manufacturing company, functional budgets should include:
 a sales budget;
 a production budget;
 a budget for production resources and resource costs (such as a materials
cost budget and a labour cost budget);
 a materials purchasing budget; and
 an expenditure budgets for every overhead cost centre and general
overhead costs.

1.3 Principal budget factor


The budgeting process begins with the preparation of functional budgets, which
must be co-ordinated and consistent with each other. To make sure that
functional budgets are co-ordinated and consistent, the first functional budget
that should be prepared is the budget for the principal budget factor.
The principal budget factor (also called the key budget factor) is the factor in the
budget that will set a limit to the volume and scale of operations.

Sales demand (sales volume) as the principal budget factor


Normally, the principal budget factor is the expected sales demand. When this
happens, the expected sales demand should set a limit on the volume of
production (or volume of services). A company might have the capacity to
increase its production and output, but producing larger quantities has no
purpose unless the extra quantities can be sold.
A company will therefore prepare a budget on the basis of the sales volumes that
it hopes or expects to achieve. When sales demand is the principal budget factor,
the sales budget is the first functional budget that should be prepared.

A principal budget factor other than sales volume


Sometimes, there is a different limitation on budgeted activity. There might be a
shortage of a key resource, such as machine time or the availability of skilled
labour. When there is a shortage of a resource that will set a limit on budgeted
production volume or budgeted activity, the first functional budget to prepare
should be the budget for that resource.
In government, the principal budget factor for each government department is
often an expenditure limit for the department. The department must then prepare
a budget for the year that keeps the activities and spending plans of the
department within the total expenditure limit for the department as a whole.

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Performance management

1.4 Stages in the budgeting process


The budgeting process for a manufacturing company is probably more complex
than for many other types of organisation, and manufacturing company budgets
are more likely to be the subject of an examination question than budgets for
companies in other industries. This chapter therefore describes the budgeting
process for a manufacturing company.
The stages in setting the budget might be as follows.
 Stage 1: The provision and communication of budget guidelines to relevant
managers
 Stage 2: Identify the principal budget factor (or key budget factor). The
principal budget factor is often sales volume.
 Stage 3: Prepare the functional budget or plan for the principal budget
factor. Usually, this means that the first functional budget to prepare is the
sales budget.
 All the other functional budgets should be prepared within the limitation of
the principal budget factor. For example, even if the company has the
capacity to produce more output, it should not produce more than it can sell
(unless it formally decides to increase the size of the finished goods
inventory, in which case the production volume will be higher than the sales
volume).
 Stage 4: Prepare the other functional budgets, in logical sequence where
necessary. When the sales budget has been prepared, a manufacturing
organisation can then prepare budgets for inventories (= plans to increase
or reduce the size of its inventories), a production budget, labour usage
budgets and materials usage and purchasing budgets. Expenditure
budgets should also be prepared for overhead costs (production
overheads, administration overheads and sales and distribution
overheads). Overhead costs budgets are usually prepared for each cost
centre individually.
 Stage 5: Submit the functional budgets to the budget committee for review
and approval. The functional budgets are co-ordinated by the budget
committee, which must make sure that they are both realistic and
consistent with each other.
 Stage 6: Prepare the ‘master budget’. This is the budget statement that
summarises the plans for the budget period. The master budget might be
presented in the form of:
 a budgeted statement of profit or loss for the next financial year
 a budgeted statement of financial position as at the end of the next
financial year
 a cash budget or cash flow forecast for the next financial year.
 It should be possible to prepare the master budget statements from the
functional budgets.
 Stage 7: The master budget and the supporting functional budgets should
be submitted to the board of directors for approval. The board approves
and authorises the budget.
 Stage 8: The detailed budgets are communicated to the managers
responsible for their implementation.

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

 Stage 9: Control process. After the budget has been approved, actual
performance should be monitored by comparing it with the budget. Actual
results for the period should be recorded and reported to management.
These results should be compared with the budget, and significant
differences should be investigated. The reasons for the differences
(‘variances’) should be established, and where appropriate control
measures should be taken. Comparing actual results with the budget
therefore provides a system of control. The managers responsible for
activities where actual results differ significantly from the budget will be held
responsible and accountable.
The planning process (budgeting) should therefore lead on to a management
monitoring and control process (budgetary control).
The next section describes the approach that can normally be used to prepare
functional budgets for a manufacturing organisation. In practice, budgets are
usually prepared with a computer model, such as a spreadsheet. However, you
need to understand the logic of budget preparation.

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Performance management

Practice question 1
X Limited makes and sells two products, Product X and Product Y.
Its sales budget for next year is to sell 2,500 units of Product X at a sales
price of ₦410 per unit and 3,200 units of Product Y at a sales price of
₦400 per unit.
The following cost information is expected to apply in the next year:
Product X Product Y
Cost per Cost per
Usage unit of X Usage unit of Y
Direct materials (kgs) (₦) (kgs) (₦)
Material A (₦30 per kg) 1.00 30 1.00 30
Material B (₦80 per kg) 0.75 60 0.50 40
Material C (₦30 per kg) 2.00 60 3.00 90
150 160
Usage Usage
Direct labour (hrs) (hrs)
Grade I (₦100 per hr.) 1.00 100 0.80 80
Grade II (₦80 per hr.) 1.50 120 1.00 80
220 160
Unit cost 370 320

The following opening and closing inventories are budgeted:


Opening Closing
Finished goods: Cost (₦) Units Total (₦) Units Total (₦)
X 370 300 111,000 200 74,000
Y 320 150 48,000 100 32,000
159,000 106,000
Materials: Cost kgs kgs
A 30 400 12,000 380 11,400
B 80 450 36,000 400 32,000
C 30 150 4,500 120 3,600
52,500 47,000

Total inventory 211,500 153,000

Required
a) Prepare functional budgets for sales, production units, material
usage, material purchases and labour usage.
b) Prepare a budgeted profit or loss account for the period.

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

2 BUDGETARY SYSTEMS

Section overview

 Top-down budgeting and bottom-up budgeting


 Periodic budgets and rolling budgets (continuous budgets)
 Incremental budgeting and zero-based budgeting (ZBB)
 Activity based budgeting (ABB)
 Feed-forward control
 Difficulties in changing a budgetary system

A budgetary system is a system for preparing budgets (and producing control reports
for the purpose of budgetary control). There are several budgetary systems, and
entities will choose a system that is appropriate for their needs and circumstances.

2.1 Top-down budgeting and bottom-up budgeting

Top-down budgeting
In a system of top-down budgeting, the budget targets for the year are set at
senior management level, perhaps by the board of directors or by the budget
committee. Top-level decisions might be made, for example, about the amount of
budgeted profit that will be achieved, the growth in sales, reductions in production
costs and other functional department costs, and so on.
Divisions and departments are then required to prepare a budget for their own
operations that is consistent with the budget imposed on them from above.
For example, the board of directors might state that in the budget for the next
financial year, sales revenue will grow by 5% and profits by 8%. The sales
director would then be required to prepare a more detailed sales budget in which
the end result is a 5% growth in annual sales revenue. A production budget and
other functional budgets will then be prepared that is consistent with the sales
budget. The target for 8% growth in profits cannot be checked until all the
functional budgets have been prepared in draft form. If the initial draft budgets fail
to achieve 8% growth in profits, some re-drafting of the budgets will be required.
This process is called top-down budgeting because it starts at the top with senior
management and works its way down to the most detailed level of budgeting
within the management hierarchy. This might be departmental level or possibly
an even smaller unit level, such as budgets for each work section within each
department. A system of top-down budgeting would normally be associated with
an entity where management control is highly centralised.

Bottom-up budgeting
In a system of bottom-up budgeting, budgeting starts at the lowest level in the
management hierarchy where budgets are prepared. This may be at work section
level or departmental level. The draft lower-level budgets are then submitted to
the next level of management in the hierarchy, which combines them into a co-
ordinated budget, for example a departmental budget. Departmental budgets
might then be submitted up to the next level of management, which might be at
divisional level, where they will be combined and co-ordinated into a divisional
budget. Eventually budgets for each division will be submitted up to the budget
committee or board of directors.

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Performance management

The budget committee or board of directors will consider the draft budgets they
receive, and ask for changes to be made if the overall master budget is
unsatisfactory. Re-drafting of budgets will then go on until the master budget is
eventually approved.
In a system of bottom-up budgeting, lower levels of management are likely to
have more input to budget decision-making than in a top-down budgeting system,
and it is associated with budgeting in entities where management authority is
largely decentralised.

2.2 Periodic budgets and rolling budgets (continuous budgets)

Periodic budgets
A periodic budget is a budget for a particular time period, typically the financial
year. The budget is not changed or revised during the year, and it is a fixed
budget for the period. A company might therefore prepare a periodic budget for
its financial year 2010, which will then be replaced the next year by the periodic
budget for 2011, which will then be replaced the year afterwards by the periodic
budget for 2012, and so on.
Traditional budgeting systems are periodic budgeting systems. When periodic
budgets are used, an underlying assumption is that revenues and expenditure
within the financial year should be fairly predictable and that it is unlikely that any
unexpected events will occur during the year that will make the budget unrealistic
or irrelevant.
Periodic budgets are much less useful, however, when future events are
unpredictable and big changes might happen unexpectedly during the course of
the financial year. When events change rapidly, the original budget loses its
relevance because of the extent of the changes that have occurred. For example
an entity might operate in a country where the annual rate of inflation might be
anywhere between 200% and 400% during the year. Given the difficulty in
forecasting what the actual rate of inflation will be, but the probability that it will be
very high, it would make sense to review the budget regularly, and adjust it to
allow for revised estimates of what the rate of inflation will be.
When unexpected changes are likely to occur, or when future events are difficult
to predict with accuracy, it might be advisable for an entity to prepare revised
budgets much more frequently, as a matter of routine.

Rolling budgets
A rolling budget, also called a continuous budget, is a budget that is
continuously being updated. Each updated budget is for a given length of time,
typically 12 months. For example a new rolling budget may be prepared every
three months so that as one quarter of a 12-month budget ends, a new 12-month
budget is prepared with an additional quarter added at the end. In this way a new
12-month budget is prepared every three months.
A rolling budget can therefore be defined as ‘a budget continuously updated by
adding a further period, say a month or a quarter, and deducting the earliest
period’.

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

Rolling budgets are most useful where future costs or activities cannot be
forecast reliably, so that it makes much more sense for planning purposes to
review the budget regularly, but to plan ahead for a full planning period each
time.

Example:
A company might prepare rolling annual budgets every three months. It will
prepare four annual budgets each year. If its year-end is 31st December, its
preparation of rolling budgets would be as follows:

Date of budget preparation Period covered by the budget


December Year 1 1st January – 31st December Year 2
March Year 2 1st April Year 2 – 31st March Year 3
June Year 2 1st July Year 2 – 30th June Year 3
September Year 2 1st October Year 2 – 30th September
Year 3
December Year 2 1st January – 31st December Year 3
and so on

Rolling budgets might be particularly useful for cash budgeting. An organisation


must ensure that it will always have sufficient cash to meet its requirements, but
actual cash flows often differ considerably from the budget. It might therefore be
appropriate to prepare a new annual cash budget every month, and so have 12
rolling cash budgets every year.

The main advantages of rolling budgets are as follows:


 Budgets are continually reviewed and revised in response to changes in
business conditions. The entity is not committed to a fixed annual budget
that is no longer relevant.
 Control can be exercised through comparisons between current forecasts
and strategic targets. This is a form of feedforward control. When the
business environment is continually changing, this may be a more effective
method of budgetary control than comparing actual results with the fixed
budget or standard costs.
The main disadvantages of rolling budgets are as follows:
 They can be time-consuming, and divert management attention from the
task of managing actual operations.
 Whenever a new rolling budget is prepared, the new plans must be
communicated to all managers affected by the changes. There is a risk that
some managers will not be informed about changes to plans and targets.

2.3 Incremental budgeting and zero-based budgeting (ZBB)


Incremental budgeting and zero-based budgeting are two different approaches to
estimating budgeted expenditure. The difference between them is most obvious
in budgeting for administrative activities (and other overhead activities) and
overhead costs.

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Performance management

Incremental budgeting
With incremental budgeting, the budgeted expenditure for the next financial
period is estimated by taking expenditure in the current period as a starting point.
An incremental amount is then added for:
 inflation in costs next year, and
 possibly, the cost of additional activities that will be carried out next year.
In its simplest form, incremental budgets for a financial period are prepared by
taking the expenditure in the current year, and adding a percentage to allow for
inflation next year.
This approach to budgeting is very common in practice because of its relative
simplicity. For example in order to prepare a labour cost budget, it might be
sufficient for the manager to make assumptions about (1) changes in staffing
levels and (2) the general level of pay rises, and apply these assumptions to the
actual labour costs for the current year that is just ending. If labour costs in the
current year are ₦2.4 million, and if it is assumed that the work force will increase
by 2% next year and that wages and salaries will increase by an average of 4%,
a labour cost budget can be prepared simply as: ₦2.4 million  102%  104% =
₦2.546 million.
A serious weakness of incremental budgeting, however, is that there is no
incentive to eliminate wasteful or unnecessary spending from the budget. For
example suppose that next year’s budget is based on this year’s actual spending
plus an allowance for inflation. If there has been wasteful spending in the current
year, next year’s budget will include an allowance for the wasteful spending, plus
inflation.
Incremental budgeting can also encourage more waste (sometimes called
‘budget slack’), because managers will try to spend up to their budget limit, so
that in the next financial year their budgeted spending allowance will not be
reduced.

Zero-based budgeting (ZBB)


Zero-based budgeting (ZBB) has a completely different approach to budgeting. It
aims to eliminate all wasteful spending (‘budget slack’) and only to budget for
activities that are worth carrying out and that the organisation can afford.
Planning starts from ‘zero’ and all spending must be justified.

Definition: Zero-based budgeting


A budget prepared from the “basement” or the “ground up” as if the budget were
being prepared for the first time.

ZBB can be particularly useful in budgeting for activities that are prone to
wasteful spending and budget slack, such as activities in a bureaucracy. ZBB
might be usefully applied, for example, to the budgets of government
departments.
The approach used in ZBB is as follows:
 The minimum level of operations in a department or budget centre is
identified. These are the essential things that the department will have to
do. A budget is prepared for this minimum essential level.

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

 All other activities are optional additional activities that need to be justified,
in terms of the benefits obtained in return for the costs. Each additional
activity is called a decision package.
A decision package is a program of activities that will achieve a specific purpose
during the budget period. Each decision package must have a clearly-stated
purpose that contributes to the goals and objectives of the entity.
There are two types of decision package.
 Decision packages for a minimum level of operation. For example,
there may be a minimum acceptable level of training for a group of
employees. There may be several alternative decision packages for
providing the training – internal courses, external courses, or computer-
based training programmes. An expenditure estimate should be prepared
for each alternative basic decision package.
 Incremental decision packages. These are programmes for conducting a
more extensive operation than the minimum acceptable level. For example,
there may be incremental decision packages for providing some employees
with more training than the essential minimum, or for having more
extensive supervision, or more extensive quality control checks. For
incremental decision packages, an estimate should be made of the cost of
the incremental operation, and the expected benefits. Incremental decision
packages are optional activities: the entity need not include them in the
budget.
For each decision package, a budget decision must be made about whether to
include it in the budget and the following should be considered:
 Purpose of the activity (decision package)
 The likely results and benefits from the activity
 The resources required for the activity, and their cost
 Alternative ways of achieving the same purpose, but perhaps at a lower
cost
 A comparison of the costs and benefits of the activity.
A zero-based budget is then prepared as follows:
 A decision must be taken to provide for a minimum level of operation. This
means deciding for each basic operation:
 Whether or not to perform the operation at all – do the benefits justify
the costs?
 If the operation is performed at a basic level, which of the alternative
basic decision packages should be selected?
 Having decided on as basic level of operations, a basic expenditure budget
can be prepared.
 The next step is to consider each incremental decision package, and
decide whether this additional operation, or additional level of operations, is
justified. An incremental decision package is justified if the expected
benefits exceed the estimated costs.
 A budget can then be prepared consisting of all the selected basic decision
packages and incremental decision packages.

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 If the total expenditure budget is too high, when all these decision
packages are included, some incremental decision packages should be
eliminated from the budget. One method of doing this is to rank the
incremental decision packages in an order of priority (typically in order of
net expected benefits, which are the expected benefits minus the estimated
incremental costs). The decision packages at the bottom of the priority list
can then be eliminated from the budget, until total budgeted expenditure
comes within the maximum permitted spending limit.
Extensive use of value judgements by managers will be needed to rank decision
packages in a priority order. This is because the expected benefits from
incremental activities or incremental programmes are often based on guesswork
and opinion, or on forecasts that might be difficult to justify.

The advantages of zero-based budgeting


There are some obvious benefits from zero based budgeting
 All activities are reviewed and evaluated, and no activity is included in the
budget unless it appears to be worthwhile.
 Inefficiency in using resources and inefficiency in spending should be
identified and eliminated.
 A ZBB approach helps managers to question the reason for doing things
rather than simply accepting the current position.
 When total expenditure has to be reduced, ZBB provides a priority list for
activities and expenditures.
 ZBB encourages greater involvement by managers and might motivate
them to eliminate wasteful spending.

The disadvantages of zero-based budgeting


However, there are also some severe disadvantages to ZBB
 ZBB is a very time-consuming process, particularly if undertaken every
year.
 It is also costly, because it takes more time.
 Planners need to understand the principles of relevant costing and
decision-making, in order to compare properly the incremental costs and
incremental benefits of activities (decision packages).
 Managers might see ZBB as a threat, and an attempt by senior
management to cut back their expenditure allowances in the next budget
year.
 When incremental decision packages are ranked in priority order, there
may be disputes between managers of different decision units (budget cost
centres), as each tries to protect his own spending levels and argue that
budget cuts should fall on other cost centres.
In view of the large amount of management time that is required to prepare a
zero based budget, an entity may decide to produce a zero based budget
periodically, say every three years, and to prepare incremental budgets in the
intervening years.
In order to maintain the support of budget cost centre managers for a system of
ZBB, it is also necessary to make sure that any system of performance-based
rewards (such as annual bonuses for keeping spending within budget limits) is

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not affected by the use of ZBB. If managers feel that their rewards will be
threatened – for example because it will be difficult to keep spending within the
ZBB limits – they are unlikely to give their support to the ZBB system.
ZBB and performance monitoring
A successful system of ZBB requires methods for monitoring actual performance
and comparing actual performance with the budget.
 Each decision package must therefore have one or more measurable
performance objectives. The package must specify the objective or
objectives, and the activities or operations that will be required to achieve
those objectives.
 Actual performance should be measured and compared with the objectives.
Management must be informed whether or not the performance objectives
are achieved.

2.4 Activity based budgeting (ABB)


Background
Activity-based budgeting is a planning system under which costs are associated
with activities, and budgeted expenditures are then compiled based on the
expected activity level.
Activity based budgeting (ABB) is an extension of activity based costing (ABC)
which is an alternative approach to traditional absorption costing.
Traditional absorption accounting identifies overheads and absorbs them into
units of production or services using a volume based approach. For example,
overheads might be absorbed as an amount per direct labour hour or an amount
per unit of material used when making a product.
Traditional absorption costing has many weaknesses, especially in a ‘modern’
manufacturing environment where production overhead costs are often high
relative to direct production costs. Therefore, a system of adding overhead costs
to product costs by using time spent in production (direct labour hours or
machine hours) is difficult to justify.
Activity based costing assumes that overhead costs are caused by activities, and
the costs of activities are driven by factors other than production volume. For
each activity, there should be a cost driver. A cost driver is the factor that
determines the cost of the activity. It is something that will cause the costs for an
activity to increase as more of the activity is performed.
When an entity uses activity based costing, it should be able to prepare activity
based budgets. These are budgets prepared using activity based costing
methods, and budgets for overheads are therefore prepared as activity costs.

Definition: Activity-based budgeting


Activity-based budgeting (ABB) is a method of budgeting based on an activity
framework, using cost driver data in the budget setting and variance feedback
processes.
CIMA Official Terminology

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The preparation of an activity based budget requires the following steps:

Step Description
1 Identify activities and their cost drivers
2 Forecast the number of units of cost driver for the required activity
level
3 Calculate the cost driver rate (cost per unit of activity). for the coming
period

Example: Activity based budgeting


A company expects to process 50,000 sales orders in the coming budget
period.(NB this is not to sell 50,000 units but to make 50,000 sales with each
sales comprising a different number of units).
The forecast cost of processing a single sales order is ₦10 regardless of the
number of units to be sold in that order.
The budgeted cost of selling overhead is calculated as follows:
Step 1
Activity Sales
Cost driver Making a sale
Step 2: Number of units of cost driver 50,000
Step 3: Calculate the cost driver rate ₦10
Budgeted sales overhead ₦500,000

The above example provided a cost driver rate (₦10 per sale). It is important to
realise that the cost of an activity would have to be calculated and that might be
quite difficult to do.
The company would have to analyses its costs and identify those which related to
processing sales orders. This might be a little tricky. For example, part of the cost
of processing the order might involve the accounts department raising an invoice.
However, the person who raises the invoice will have other duties so not all of the
salary costs would necessarily relate to sales.
Advantages of activity-based budgeting
 It gives managers a much better understanding of the link between costs
and output of the business.
 It focuses attention on expensive activities and management might be able
to reduce the cost of these to increase profit.
 It might allow management to increase resource to eliminate bottlenecks
associated with an activity and allow business functions to run more
smoothly.
 It might also be possible to identify activities that do not add value, and their
associated costs. These activities can then be eliminated from the budget.
 Activities drive costs. By identifying cost drivers, it might be assumed that
Resources are clearly matched to its service provision

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Disadvantages of activity-based budgeting


 It is complex in nature and very difficult to set up.
 it requires a great deal of preliminary analysis and research to trace
costs back to activities; and
 accounting information systems would have to be modified to track
costs that relate to activities.
 As a result of the work necessary before it can be used it is expensive to
set up. (it is most useful to companies that have already introduced activity
based costing because they already have a strong insight into what is
needed to introduce activity-based budgeting).
 It is complex to operate.
 It is not practical for services where a flexible approach is required and/or
where resources need to be moved between activities in response to
demand.

2.5 Feed-forward control


Budgetary systems are systems of control as well as planning systems. In a
normal budgetary control system, actual results in each control period (month)
are compared with the budgeted results for the period. (Sometimes, cumulative
actual results for the year to date are also compared with budgeted results for the
year to date.)
Information that provides a comparison between budgeted results (planned
results) and actual results is called feedback.
Instead of basing budgetary control on feedback, there might be a system of
feed-forward control. With feed-forward control, control information is based on a
comparison with a revised up-to-date forecast of what is now expected to happen
in the budget year.
Feed-forward control involves a comparison between:
 a revised up-to-date forecast, and
 the original budget.
Within a budgetary control system, it should be possible in each control period to
compare:
 budgeted and actual results for the most recent control period (feedback
control)
 cumulative budgeted and actual results for the financial year to date
(feedback control)
 forecast results and the original budgeted results for the financial year
(feed-forward control).
A problem with feed-forward control, however, is that up-to-date forecasts of what
will happen in the rest of the financial year might not be reliable. The quality of
the control system depends on the quality (reliability) of the forecast information.

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2.6 Difficulties in changing a budgetary system


Each of the budgetary systems described in this section offers some benefits,
and one system is not necessarily better than another. The senior management
of an entity may decide that the budgetary system should be changed, and a new
system of budgeting (such as rolling budgets, zero-based budgets, or activity-
based budgets) should be introduced.
However, the practical difficulties of switching from one budgetary system to
another should be understood, and the benefits of using a new system might not
be sufficient to justify the problems in changing over. Difficulties that could arise
with the introduction of a new budgetary system include:
 Resistance of the managers responsible for budgeting: managers might be
reluctant to change to a new system from a system they understand and
are familiar with.
 Suspicion about the motives of senior management for wanting to make the
change.
 The time required to prepare the new system of budgeting, including the
time required to train managers in how to operate the new system.
 Practical difficulties with implementing the new system, such as difficulties
in calculating the relevant costs for a decision package (ZBB) or difficulties
in preparing reliable up-to-date forecasts (feed-forward control).

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3 DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY IN BUDGETING

Section overview

 Limitations of a ‘fixed’ budget


 The nature of uncertainty in budgeting
 Flexible budgets
 Probabilities and expected values
 Spreadsheets and ‘what if’ analysis

3.1 Limitations of a ‘fixed’ budget


Weaknesses in the traditional budgeting process have been recognised, and
alternative budgeting models have been developed to improve the quality of
budgets and budgetary control.
A major weakness with an annual budget is that it is a fixed annual plan. Once it
has been prepared, it usually remains the ‘official’ plan until it is replaced by the
next annual budget 12 months later.
‘Fixed’ annual budgets are unsatisfactory for two important reasons.
 When a budget is prepared, there is a great deal of uncertainty about what
will happen, and the budget will be based on estimates. Even when
estimates are reasonable, there is no certainty that they will turn out to be
‘correct’.
 Unexpected events will happen during the year, and conditions in the
business environment will change. The changes might be significant, and
the ‘fixed’ budget will cease to be realistic and achievable. It might therefore
be appropriate to re-consider and revise the budget.

3.2 The nature of uncertainty in budgeting


There is uncertainty in budgeting because estimates and forecasts may be
unreliable. Information is almost never 100% reliable (or ‘perfect’), and some
uncertainty in budgeting is therefore inevitable.
Risk arises in business because actual events may turn out better or worse than
expected. For example, actual sales volume may be higher or lower than
forecast. The amount of risk in business operations varies with the nature of the
operations. Some operations are more predictable than others. The existence of
risk means that forecasts and estimates in the budget, which are based on
expected results, may not be accurate.
Both risk and uncertainty mean that estimates and forecasts in a budget are
unlikely to be correct.
Management must be aware of risk and uncertainty when preparing budgets and
when monitoring performance.
 When preparing budgets, it may be appropriate to look at several different
forecasts and estimates, to assess the possible variations that might occur.
In other words, managers should think about how much better or how much
worse actual results may be, compared with the budget.

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 When monitoring actual performance, managers should recognise that


adverse or favourable variances might be caused by weaknesses in the
original forecasts, rather than by good or bad performance.
Several approaches may be used for analysing risk and uncertainty in budgets.
These include:
 flexible budgets;
 using probabilities and expected values;
 use feed-forward control;
 using spreadsheet models and ‘what if’ analysis (sensitivity analysis); and
 stress testing.

3.3 Flexible budgets


Flexible budgets may be prepared during the budget-setting process. A flexible
budget is a budget based on an assumption of a different volume of output and
sales than the volume in the master budget or ‘fixed budget’.
An organisation might prepare several flexible budgets in addition to the main
budget (the master budget or fixed budget). If the actual level of activity differs
significantly from the expected level, the fixed budget can be substituted by a
suitable flexible budget.
For example, a company might prepare its master budget on the basis of
estimated sales of ₦100 million. Flexible budgets might be prepared on the basis
that sales will be higher or lower – say ₦80 million, ₦90 million, ₦110 million and
₦120 million. Each flexible budget will be prepared on the basis of assumptions
about fixed and variable costs, such as increases or decreases in fixed costs if
sales rise above or fall below a certain amount, or changes in variable unit costs
above a certain volume of sales.
During the financial year covered by the budget, it may become apparent that
actual sales and production volume will be higher or lower than the fixed budget
forecast. In such an event, actual performance can be compared with a suitable
flexible budget.
Flexible budgets can be useful, because they allow for the possibility that actual
activity levels may be higher or lower than forecast in the master budget. The
main disadvantage of flexible budgets could be the time and effort needed to
prepare them. The cost of preparing them could exceed the benefits of having
the information that they provide.

Flexible vs flexed
Note that a flexible budget is not the same as a flexed budget.
A flexible budget is prepared before the start of a budget period. It is described
as being ex-ante.
A flexed budget is prepared after the end of a budget period. It is described as
being ex-post. A flexed budget is one that is redrafted to actual levels of activity
for control purposes. The concept of a flexed budget is fundamental to variance
analysis which is covered in a later chapter.

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3.4 Probabilities and expected values


Estimates and forecasts in budgeting may be prepared using probabilities and
expected values. An expected value is a weighted average value calculated with
probabilities.

Example: Expected value


A company is preparing a sales budget. The budget planners believe that the
volume of sales next year will depend on the state of the economy.
State of the economy Sales for the year
₦ million
No growth 40
Low growth 50
Higher growth 70
It has been estimated that there is a 60% probability of no growth, a 30%
probability of low growth and a 10% probability of higher growth.
The expected value (EV) of sales next year could be calculated as follows:
Sales for EV of
State of the economy the year Probability sales

₦ million million
No growth 40 0.6 24
Low growth 50 0.3 15
Higher growth 70 0.1 7
EV of sales 46
The company might decide to prepare a sales budget on the assumption that
annual sales will be ₦46 million.

The problems with using probabilities and expected values


There are two problems that might exist with the use of probabilities and
expected values.
 The estimates of probability might be subjective, and based on the
judgement or opinion of a forecaster. Subjective probabilities might be no
better than educated guesses. Probabilities should have a rational basis.
 An expected value is most useful when it is a weighted average value for
an outcome that will happen many times in the planning period. If the
forecast event happens many times in the planning period, weighted
average values are suitable for forecasting. However, if an outcome will
only happen once, it is doubtful whether an expected value has much
practical value for planning purposes.
This point can be illustrated with the previous example of the EV of annual sales.
The forecast is that sales will be ₦40 million (0.60 probability), ₦50 million (0.30
probability) or ₦70 million (0.10 probability). The EV of sales is ₦46 million.
 The total annual sales for the year is an outcome that occurs only once. It is
doubtful whether it would be appropriate to use ₦46 million as the budgeted
sales for the year. A sales total of ₦46 million is not expected to happen.

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 It might be more appropriate to prepare a fixed budget on the basis that


sales will be ₦40 million (the most likely outcome) and prepare flexible
budgets for sales of ₦50 million and ₦70 million.
When the forecast outcome happens many times in the planning period, an EV
might be appropriate.

Example: Expected value


A company is preparing a sales budget. The budget planners believe that the
volume of sales next year will depend on the state of the economy.
State of the economy Sales for the year
₦ million
No growth 40
Low growth 50
Higher growth 70
It has been estimated that there is a 60% probability of no growth, a 30%
probability of low growth and a 10% probability of higher growth.
The expected value (EV) of sales next year could be calculated as follows:
Sales for the year Probability EV of sales
₦ ₦ million
7,000 0.5 3,500
9,000 0.3 2,700
12,000 0.2 2,400
8,600

If the probability estimates are fairly reliable, this estimate of annual sales should
be acceptable as the annual sales budget.

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3.5 Spreadsheets and ‘what if’ analysis


Preparing budgets is largely a ‘number crunching’ exercise, involving large
amounts of calculations. This aspect of budgeting was made much easier,
simpler and quicker with IT and the development of computer-based models for
budgeting. Spreadsheet models, or similar planning models, are now widely used
to prepare budgets.
A feature of computer-based budget models is that once the model has been
constructed, it becomes a relatively simple process to prepare a budget. Values
are input for the key variables, and the model produces a complete budget.
Amendments to a budget can be made quickly. A new budget can be produced
simply by changing the value of one or more input variables in the budget model.
This ability to prepare new budgets quickly by changing a small number of values
in the model also creates opportunities for sensitivity analysis and stress
testing. The budget planner can test how the budget will be affected if forecasts
and estimates are changed, by asking ‘what if’ questions. For example:
 What if sales volume is 5% below the budget forecast?
 What if the sales mix of products is different?
 What if the introduction of the new production system or the new IT system
is delayed by six months?
 What if interest rates go up by 2% more than expected?
 What if the fixed costs are 5% higher and variable costs per unit are 3%
higher?
Sensitivity analysis and stress testing are similar.
 Sensitivity analysis considers variations to estimates and input values in the
budget model that have a reasonable likelihood of happening. For example,
variable unit costs might be increased by 5% or sales forecasts reduced by
5%.
 Stress testing considers the effect of much greater changes to the forecasts
and estimates. For example, what might happen if sales are 20% less than
expected? Or what might happen if the price of a key raw material
increases by 50%?
The answers to ‘what if’ questions can help budget planners to understand more
about the risk and uncertainty in the budget, and the extent to which actual
results might differ from the expected outcome in the master budget. This can
provide valuable information for risk management, and management can assess
the ‘sensitivity’ of their budget to particular estimates and assumptions.

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4 BEHAVIOURAL ASPECTS OF BUDGETING

Section overview

 Introduction
 Misunderstanding and worries about cost-cutting
 Opposition to unfair targets set by senior management
 Sub-optimisation
 Budget slack (budget bias)
 Participation in budget setting
 Other behavioural issues
 Management styles

4.1 Introduction

The effectiveness of budgeting and budgetary control depends largely on the


behaviour and attitudes of managers and (possibly) other employees.
 Budgets provide performance targets for individual managers. If managers
are rewarded for achieving or exceeding their target, budgets could provide
them with an incentive and motivation to perform well.
 It has also been suggested that budgets can motivate individuals if they are
able to participate in the planning process. Individuals who feel a part of the
planning and decision-making process are more likely to identify with the
plans that are eventually decided. By identifying with the targets, they might
have a powerful motivation to succeed in achieving them.
When budgeting helps to create motivation in individuals, the human aspect of
budgeting is positive and good for the organisation.
Unfortunately, in practice human behaviour in the budgeting process often has a
negative effect. There are several possible reasons why behavioural factors can
be harmful:
 misunderstanding and worries about cost-cutting;
 opposition to unfair targets set by senior management;
 sub-optimisation; or
 budget slack or budget bias.

4.2 Misunderstanding and worries about cost-cutting


Budgeting is often considered by the managers affected to be an excuse for
cutting back on expenditure and finding ways to reduce costs. Individuals often
resent having to reduce their spending, and so have a hostile attitude to the
entire budgeting process. This fear and hostility can exist even when senior
management do not have a cost-cutting strategy.

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4.3 Opposition to unfair targets set by senior management


When senior managers use the budgeting process to set unrealistic and unfair
targets for the year, their subordinates may unite in opposition to what the senior
managers are trying to achieve. Senior managers should communicate and
consult with the individuals affected by target-setting, and try to win their
agreement to the targets they are trying to set. Targets need to be reasonable.
A distinction can be made between:
 aspirational budgets, which are budgets based on performance levels
and targets that senior managers would like to achieve, and
 expectational budgets, which are budgets based on performance levels
and targets that senior managers would realistically expect to achieve.
Aspirational budgets might be considered unfair, especially if the individuals
affected have not been consulted. Expectational budgets, based on current
performance levels, do not provide for any improvements in performance.
Ideally perhaps, budgets might be set with realistic targets that provide for some
improvements in performance.

4.4 Sub-optimisation
There may be a risk that the planning targets for individual managers are not in
the best interests of the organisation as a whole. For example, a production
manager might try to budget for production targets that fully utilise production
capacity. However, working at full capacity is not in the best interests of the
company as a whole if sales demand is lower. It would result in a build-up of
unwanted finished goods inventories. The planning process must be co-ordinated
in order to avoid sub-optimal planning. In practice, however, effective co-
ordination is not always achieved.

4.5 Budget slack (budget bias)


Budget slack has been defined as ‘the intentional overestimation of expenses
and/or underestimation of revenue in the budgeting process’ (CIMA Official
Terminology). Managers who prepare budgets may try to overestimate costs so
that it will be much easier to keep actual spending within the budget limit.
Similarly, managers may try to underestimate revenue in their budget so that it
will be easier for them to achieve their budget revenue targets. As a result of
slack, budget targets are lower than they should be.
When managers are rewarded for achieving their budget targets, the motivation
to include some slack in the budget is even stronger.
An additional problem with budget slack is that when a manager has slack in his
spending budget, he may try to make sure that actual spending is up to the
budget limit. There are two reasons for this:
 If there is significant under-spending, the manager responsible might be
required to explain why.
 Actual spending needs to be close to the budget limit in order to keep the
budget slack in the budget for the next year.
The problem of budget slack is particularly associated with spending on
‘overhead’ activities and incremental budgeting. One of the advantages of zero
based budgeting is that it should eliminate a large amount of slack from
budgets.

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In some cases, budget bias operates the other way. Some managers might
prepare budgets that are too optimistic. For example, a sales manager might
budget for sales in the next financial year that are unrealistic and unachievable,
simply to win the approval of senior management.

4.6 Participation in budget setting


Rewards for performance are intended to motivate individuals to achieve the
targets they have been set.
Another view is that individuals can be motivated to improve their performance
and to set challenging budgets through their commitment to the work that they
do. If individuals enjoy their work and feel committed to performing as well as
possible, challenging budget targets can be agreed and better levels of actual
performance should be achieved.
Personal motivation to improve performance, it may be argued, can be achieved
if individuals are allowed to:
 participate meaningfully in the budget-setting or target-setting process; and
 be directly involved in negotiating performance targets for the budget
period.

Advantages and disadvantages of participation


The advantages of participative budgeting are as follows:
 Stronger motivation to achieve budget targets, because individuals are
involved in setting or negotiating the targets.
 There should be much better communication of goals and budget targets to
the individuals involved, and a better understanding of the target-setting
process.
 Involvement by junior managers in budgeting provides excellent experience
for personal development
 Better planning decisions – participation might lead to better planning
decisions, because ‘local’ managers often have a much better detailed
knowledge of operations and local conditions than senior managers.
However, there are significant disadvantages with participation.
 It might be difficult for junior managers to understand the overall objectives
of the organisation that budgets should be designed to meet.
 The quality of planning with participation depends on the skills, knowledge
and experience of the individuals involved. Participation is not necessarily
beneficial in all circumstances, particularly when individuals lack
experience.
 There might be a danger that budget targets will be set at a level that is not
ambitious. Participation on its own is not necessarily a sufficient incentive to
raise standards and targets for achievement. Individuals might try to argue
that performance targets should be set at current levels of achievement.
 Senior managers might pretend to be encouraging participation, but in
practice they might disregard all the proposals and ideas of their
subordinates. To be effective, participation must be ‘real’.

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 It is generally considered that participation is a good thing, but it needs to


be strictly managed by senior management to make sure optimum
decisions are taken that are in line with the company’s goals.

Factors affecting the impact of participation


The effect of participation on the motivation of subordinates will also depend on
circumstances. Hopwood suggested that the effectiveness of participation on
employee motivation depends on three key factors.

Factor Comments
The nature of the The effectiveness of participation will depend on the nature
task of the work, and the extent to which employees have
control over the way in which the work is done.
‘In highly-programmed … and technically constrained
areas, where speed and detailed control are essential for
efficiency, participative approaches have less to offer…. In
contrast, in areas where flexibility, innovation and the
capacity to deal with un-anticipated problems are
important, participation in decision-making may offer a
more immediate … payoff….’ (Hopwood).
Organisation Participation is likely to be more effective in an
structure organisation where management responsibilities are
decentralised, and local managers have more influence
over their own budgets.
Personality of the Some types of individual are more likely than others to be
employees motivated by participation in the budgeting process.

Imposed budgets
The opposite of a participative budget is an imposed budget, where senior
management dictates what the budget targets should be. Imposed budgets have
certain advantages:
 Less time consuming. Line managers do not have to spend time on
budgeting and so are not distracted from the task of running the business.
 Senior managers may have a greater appreciation of the constraints faced
by the business, such as restrictions on cash and other resources, and
shareholder expectations of profits and dividends.
 It may be easier to co-ordinate departmental budgets if they are prepared
together by senior management.
However the disadvantages of imposed budgets are that:
 Targets may be set at a challenging level and so are unachievable. If
unachievable targets are imposed, this will lead to de-motivation.
 Opportunities for exploiting the specialist knowledge of more junior
managers may be lost if they are excluded from the budget-setting process.

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4.7 Other behavioural issues


Performance of operational managers may be measured by comparing actual
performance with the budget. The manager might be rewarded for achieving
budget targets but criticised for failing to meet the budget.
This tendency to ‘blame’ managers for failing to meet the budget targets will have
an adverse effect on the motivation and attitude of the operational managers in
the following circumstances:
 The budget might not make any distinction between costs that are
controllable and costs outside the manager’s control. The manager might
therefore be criticised for excess spending on items over which he has no
control.
 Circumstances might change and events might occur that make the original
budget unrealistic. Even so, the manager might be criticised for failing to
meet the budget targets, even when changed circumstances have made
the budget targets unrealistic.
If budgeting is used as a ‘performance contract’ between the company and its
managers, and provides a basis on which the actions by management are
assessed, this could lead to a number of problems. Managers will want to avoid
criticism, and so meet targets, but they have no obvious incentive to do better
than the targets in the budget plan.

Possible means of dealing with the


Factor
problem
Meeting only the lowest targets It may be appropriate to introduce an
Once a manager has agreed his incentive scheme, in which higher
budget targets for the year, his only bonuses are paid according to the
incentive is to achieve the budget amount by which the budget target is
target, and not to exceed it. exceeded. Higher bonuses can be
paid for better (budget-beating)
performance.
Using more resources than One possibility is to train management
necessary and staff in the application of Total
Once the budgeted utilisation of Quality Management techniques, so
resources has been agreed that managers and employees are
(materials, labour time, machine time actively looking for improvements.
and so on) a manager will be satisfied Another possibility is to provide
with using the full budgeted quantity of rewards for achieving variable costs
resources permitted. There is no per unit that are less than
incentive to improve on performance standard/budgeted.
and use fewer resources.
Earning the bonus – whatever it This is difficult problem to overcome.
takes to do this. The most effective solution may be to
Managers and employees who are amend the rewards system so that
incentivised by a bonus to achieve a there are a number of bonus
budget target will do whatever they incentives for achieving a number of
can to make the target – even if this different targets. However, this will be
means ignoring other aspects of difficult to design and implement.
performance for which there is no
bonus and even if it means ‘bending
the rules’ to make the target.

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Possible means of dealing with the


Factor
problem
Competing with other divisions and If there are disputes between different
departments in the same cost centres, or between cost centres
organisation and profit centres, it may be
There will be a tendency for cost necessary to refer the matter for
centres and profit centres to act resolution to the senior management
competitively towards each other, in at head office.
order to achieve their own budget
target. This may be evident in
attitudes to transfer pricing, which are
described in another chapter.
Making sure that all the expenditure Rewarding employees and managers
allocation in the budget is actually for achieving lower fixed costs than
spent budgeted may be a solution to this
Managers often see budgeting as a problem.
competition for resources and
spending allocations. If a cost centre
or profit centre does not spend up to
its permitted limit in one year, it is at
risk of having some of the spending
allowance removed the next year.
Managers will try to avoid this by
making sure that their full budgeted
spending allocation is actually spent.
Providing forecasts that are A change in management culture may
inaccurate be necessary to overcome this
Managers may try to provide forecasts problem. It is an almost unavoidable
that are (deliberately) not accurate in feature of management behaviour that
order to gain an advantage and forecasts will be presented in the most
misrepresent future expectations. favourable light possible. It is the task
There are various reasons why this of top management to establish a
may be done – for example to culture of ‘no blame’ within the
persuade senior management to organisation, so that managers may
make a decision that is favourable to be willing to provide information that is
the forecast provider in order to win a more ‘honest’.
bigger allocation of resources in the
budget.
Meeting the budget target, but not As suggested above, it may be
beating it. appropriate to have an incentive
If there is no incentive to beat a scheme in which higher bonuses are
budget target, managers will be available according to the amount by
satisfied with simply achieving the which the budget target is exceeded.
target. They may then prefer not to
exceed the target so that their target
for the following year may not be as
challenging as it otherwise might be.

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Performance management

Possible means of dealing with the


Factor
problem
Avoiding risks A bonus system that rewards
Managers will be tempted to stick to managers and employees for beating
the agreed plans in the budget and a range of budget targets may be
will be reluctant to take unplanned effective, so that managers are
initiatives that could result in a failure prepared to take risks to improve
to meet budget targets. Managers performance. However, as the crisis in
may prefer to do nothing wrong than the banking system (2007 – 2009)
to take risks in order to improve showed, managers should never be
performance. encouraged to take on excessive
risks.

4.8 Management styles


In the 1970s, research was carried out by Anthony Hopwood into performance
evaluation by managers, and how the performance of managers with cost centre
responsibility is judged. He identified three types of management style:
 a budget-constrained style;
 a profit-conscious style; and
 a non-accounting style

Budget-constrained style
With this style of management, the performance of managers is based on their
ability to meet budget targets in the short term. With this style of performance
evaluation, the focus is mainly on budgeted costs actual costs and variances.
Managers are under considerable pressure to meet their short-term budget
targets. Stress in the job is high. Managers might be tempted to manipulate
accounting data to make actual performance seem better in comparison with the
budget.

Profit-conscious style
The performance of managers is evaluated on the basis of their ability to increase
the general effectiveness of the operations under their management. Increasing
general effectiveness means being more successful in achieving the longer-term
aims of the organisation. For example, success in reducing costs in the long term
would be considered an increase in general effectiveness.
With a profit-conscious style, budgets and variances are not ignored, but they are
budgetary control information which is treated with caution, and variances are not
given the same importance as with a budget-constrained style.
Hopwood found that with this style of management evaluation, costs remain
important, but there is much less pressure and stress in the job. As a
consequence, there was a good working relationship between managers and
their subordinates. In addition, there was less manipulation of accounting data
than with a budget-constrained style.

Non-accounting style
With this style, budgetary control information plays a much less important part in
the evaluation of managers’ performance. Other (non-accounting) measures of
performance were given greater prominence.

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Closing comment
The results of empirical research by Hopwood and others (notable David Otley)
seem to suggest that the most appropriate approach to the evaluation of
performance depends on the circumstances and conditions in which the
organisations and their managers operate.

5 BEYOND BUDGETING

Section overview

 Origins of ‘beyond budgeting’


 Weaknesses in traditional budgeting
 The ‘beyond budgeting model’
 Performance management in the ‘beyond budgeting’ model
 Beyond budgeting: concluding comments

5.1 Origins of ‘beyond budgeting’


The Beyond Budgeting Round Table (BBRT) was set up in 1998. It is a
European-wide research project investigating whether entities would benefit from
the abolition of budgets and budgeting. The BBRT claims that several successful
European companies have stopped preparing budgets. Instead, they use a
‘responsibility model’ for decision-making and performance measurement. As a
result, their performance has improved.
In the UK, the ideas of ‘beyond budgeting’ are associated with the writing of
Jeremy Hope and Robin Fraser.

5.2 Weaknesses in traditional budgeting


Hope and Fraser have argued that the traditional budgeting system is inefficient
and inadequate for the needs of modern businesses. In a continually-changing
business world, traditional budgeting systems can have the effect of making
business organisations fixed and rigid in their thinking, and unable to adapt. As a
result, business organisations may be much too slow and inflexible in reacting to
business developments.
The budgeting system establishes ‘last year’s reality’ as the framework for the
current year’s activities. When the business environment is changing rapidly, this
approach is inadequate. Managers should respond quickly to changes in the
environment, but traditional budgeting and budgetary control systems act as a
restraint on innovation and initiative.
Consequences of the inadequacy of the traditional budgeting system are that:
 operational managers regard the budgeting process as a waste of their
time and resent having to prepare and then continually revise budget plans
 management accountants are involved in the budgetary planning and
control system, but their work adds little or no value to the business. As a
result, it may be difficult to justify the existence of the management
accounting function.
According to the Beyond Budgeting Round Table, there are ten major problems
with the traditional budgeting and budgetary control system.
© Emile Woolf International 186 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
 Budgets are time-consuming and expensive. In spite of computer
technology and the use of budget models, it can take four to five months in
a large company to prepare the annual budget for next year. The work on
budget preparation has been found to use over 20% of the time of senior
managers and financial controllers.
 Traditional budgeting adds little value and uses up valuable
management time that could be used better in other ways. Preparing a
budget does nothing, or very little, to add value to the entity. Budgets ‘are
bureaucratic, time-consuming exercises, and the time taken would be
better deployed in more value-creating activities’ (Hope and Fraser).
 Fails to consider shareholder value. The traditional budgeting process
focuses too much on internal matters and not enough on external factors
and the business environment, and it fails to focus on shareholder value.
 Rigid and inflexible: budgeting systems prevent fast response.
Managers concentrate on achieving ‘agreed’ budget targets, which may not
be in the best interests of the organisation as a whole, particularly when
circumstances change after the budget has been agreed. Budgets are
therefore ‘rigid’ and prevent fast and flexible responses to changing
circumstances and unexpected events.
 Budgets ‘protect’ spending and fail to reduce costs. In many entities,
managers are expected to spend their entire budget allowance. If they
don’t, money will be taken away from their budget allowance next year.
This is certainly no incentive to cut costs.
 Traditional budgeting and budgetary control discourages innovation.
Managers are required to achieve fixed budget targets, and the fixed
budget does not encourage continuous improvement. Managers will be
reluctant to exceed their budgeted spending limits, even though extra
spending would be necessary to react to events, possibly because
spending above budget will put their bonus at risk. In a dynamic business
environment, business organisations should be seeking continuous
improvement and innovation.
 Budgets focus on sales targets, not customer satisfaction. This will
possibly increase sales in the short-term, even if the products are not as
good as they should be, but long-term success depends on satisfying
customers.
 In practice, it has been found that although most companies have a
budgeting system, they are poor at executing strategy. This suggests that
budgeting systems are not effective systems for implementing strategy.
 Budgeting systems encourage a culture of ‘dependency’, in which junior
managers do what they are told by their boss, and do not argue. ‘They
reinforce the “command and control” management model and … undermine
attempts at organisational change, such as team working, delegation and
empowerment’ (Hope and Fraser).
 Budgets can lead to ‘unethical’ behaviour, such as including ‘slack’ within
the budgeted spending allowance.
 There are other major criticisms of budgeting systems.
 Traditional budgeting is seen as a method of imposing financial control, by
comparing actual results with budget. Budgeting should be a system for
communicating corporate goals – setting objectives and improving
performance.
 Budgets are also plans that focus on financial numbers. ‘They fail to deal
with the most important drivers of shareholder value … - knowledge or
intellectual capital. Strong brands, skilled people, excellent management
processes, strong leadership and loyal customers are assets that are
outside the … accounting system’ (Hope and Fraser).
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Performance management

 In many cases, budget plans are not the result of a rational decision-
making process. Often, budgets are a political compromise between
different departments and managers, and budgeted spending limits for
each manager are the outcome of a bargaining process.
 Traditional budgetary control encourages managers to achieve fixed budget
targets, but does not encourage continuous improvement. Managers will be
reluctant to exceed their budgeted spending limits, even though extra
spending would be necessary to react to events, possibly because
spending above budget will put their bonus at risk. In a dynamic business
environment, business organisations should be seeking continuous
improvement and innovation.
 Traditional budgeting shows the costs of departments and functions, but
not the costs of activities that are performed by employees. The traditional
budget figures do not give managers information about the cost drivers in
their business. In addition, traditional budgets do not help managers to
identify costs that do not add value.

5.3 The ‘beyond budgeting model’


The Beyond Budgeting view is that budgeting, as practised by most companies,
should be abolished. The traditional hierarchical form of management structure
should also be abolished. In its place, there should be a system in which
authority and responsibility is given to operational managers, who should work
together to achieve the strategic objectives of the entity.
Traditional budgeting is based on a ‘dependency model’ of management and
organisation culture. It is a system for centralised control by senior management.
Control is exercised by requiring operational managers to meet (or exceed)
budget targets.
The ‘Beyond Budgeting’ alternative is a ‘responsibility model’ in which decision-
making and performance management are delegated to ‘line managers’
(operating managers). Instead of having fixed annual plans, these managers
agree performance targets: these targets are reviewed regularly and amended as
necessary in response to changing circumstances and unexpected events.
A solution to the lack of flexibility in traditional budgeting may be continuous
rolling forecasting (or even continuous budgets), so that the business
organisation can adapt much more quickly to changes in its environment and to
new events.
Responsibility should be delegated to operational managers, who should be
empowered to take decisions in response to changing circumstances, that the
managers believe would be in the best interests of the organisation.
 Goals should be agreed by reference to external benchmarks (such as
increasing market share, or beating the competition in other ways) and
targets should not be fixed and internally-negotiated.
 Operational managers should be motivated by the challenges they are
given and by the delegation of responsibility.
 Operational managers can use their direct knowledge of operations to
adapt much more quickly to changing circumstances and new events.
 Operational managers may be expected to work within agreed parameters,
but they are not restricted in their spending by detailed line-by-line budgets.

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 Delegated decision-making should encourage more transparent and open


communication systems within the organisation. Managers need
continuous rolling forecasts to make decisions and apply control. Efficient
IT systems are therefore an important element in the ‘beyond budgeting’
model.

5.4 Performance management in the ‘beyond budgeting’ model


In the Beyond Budgeting model of performance management, there are 12 basic
principles.
 Governance. The basis for taking action should be a set of clear values.
Mission statements and plans should not be used to guide action.
 Responsibility for performance. Managers should be responsible for
achieving competitive results, not for meeting the budget target.
 Delegation. People should be given the ability and the freedom to act.
They should not be controlled and constrained by senior managers.
 Structure. Operations should be organised around processes and
networks, and should not be organised on the basis of departments and
functions.
 Co-ordination. There should be effective co-ordination between people
within the company, and this should be achieved by process design and
fast information systems.
 Leadership. Senior managers should challenge and ‘coach’. They should
not command and control.
 Setting goals. The goal should be to beat competitors, not meet budget.
 Formulating strategy. Formulating and implementing strategy should be a
continuous process, not an annual event imposed by senior management.
 Anticipatory management. Management should use anticipatory systems
for managing strategy. (Anticipatory systems are systems that provide
information about events that are anticipated in the future.)
 Resource management. Resources should be made available to
operational managers at a fair cost, when they are required. Resources
should not be allocated to departments in a fixed budget.
 Measurement and control. Performance measurement and control should
be based on a small number of key performance indicators, not a large
number of detailed reports.
 Motivation and rewards. Rewards, at a company level and a business unit
level, should be based on competitive performance, not meeting
predetermined budget targets.
 Principles (1) to (6) are concerned with establishing an effective
organisation and culture of behaviour. Principles (7) to (12) are concerned
with establishing an effective system of performance measurement.
 ‘Beyond Budgeting entails a shift from a performance emphasis based on
numbers to one based on people. It assumes that performance
improvement is more likely to come from giving capable people control over
decisions (and making them accountable for results), than simply from
adopting different measures and incentives’ (Hope and Fraser).
 Hope and Fraser set out the 12 principles, and their effect, as follows:

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Performance management

Effective organisation Effective performance Management of


and behaviour competitive
success
Clear values Relative targets Fast response
Responsibility for Adaptive strategies Best people
results
Freedom and Anticipatory Innovative
capability to act × management = strategies
Fast networks and Internal market for Low costs
processes resources
Co-ordination Fast, distributed Loyal customers
controls
Challenge and stretch Relative team rewards Satisfied customers

To compete successfully, management has to be very good at the six issues in


the box on the right-hand side of this diagram.
 They must create a climate and culture for fast response. An ability to
respond quickly to unexpected changes and events will mean that the
company can deal with uncertainty successfully. Change should be seen as
an opportunity, not a threat.
 Managers must be given responsibility for strategy, and they should
monitor strategy continuously, not just once a year (as in the traditional
budget model).
 If new initiatives are needed, managers should be able to obtain the
resources they need quickly. ‘They need, for example, the authority to
acquire key people when they are available (not when there is room in the
budget); to react to competitive threats and opportunities as they arise (not
as predicted in an outdated plan); and to acquire and deploy resources
when necessary (not as allocated by head office)’ (Hope and Fraser).
 They must employ the best people. A challenging environment to work in is
likely to attract and retain top-quality employees.
 They must innovate and generate new business ideas. Bureaucracy does
not encourage innovation and creativity. The ‘Beyond Budgeting’ model
does.
 They must operate with low costs. Competitive pressures in markets are
forcing down prices. In the ‘Beyond Budgeting’ model managers will adapt
strategies to the requirements of the competitive environment, and will find
ways to reduce costs if this is appropriate. The traditional budgeting model
does not encourage effective cost reduction.
 They must create and retain loyal customers. The ‘Beyond Budgeting’
model encourages managers to focus on satisfying customer needs.
Satisfied customers are likely to be loyal customers.
 They must create value for shareholders. The ‘Beyond Budgeting’ model
should help a company to improve its profitability and create additional
value for its shareholders.

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5.5 Beyond budgeting: concluding comments


Hope and Fraser have argued that traditional budgeting systems are weak and
should not be used. However, in practice most companies and other
organisations continue to use them.
It has been argued that the ‘beyond budgeting’ model is much more easily
applied in the private sector than in the public sector. Government activity is
managed through expenditure budgets and spending controls, and there is
accountability for spending to politicians (government ministers and elected
representatives) and to the general public. There may also be uncertainty about
the objectives of particular government activities or departments. In such
circumstances, it is difficult to apply a flexible system of decision-making or to
devolve decision-making to lower levels of management.
There have been attempts to improve traditional budgeting systems: for example,
zero based budgeting, continuous budgets and activity based budgeting are all
attempts to improve the budgeting system. Hope and Fraser argue, however, that
these are ‘valiant efforts to update the process, but they only deal with part of the
[problem] and are both time-consuming and complicated to manage.’

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Performance management

6 FORECASTING

Section overview

 The nature of a time series


 Analysing a time series
 Moving averages
 Centred moving averages
 Line of best fit
 Seasonal variations

6.1 The nature of a time series


A time series is a record of data over a period of time, for example, sales revenue
per month or revenue per quarter. The time series is a convenient way of
representing historical information but more importantly it might be used to make
predictions about the future. This is done by continuing the series forward in time.
In order to do this, the time series must be analysed into its component parts.

Components of a time series


A change in value of an observed variable in a time series might be due to a
combination of factors. These are described as the components of the time
series. There are two models of a time series which differ in how these
components are linked together.

Formula: Time series models


Additive model:
YA = T + S + C + R

Proportional (multiplicative model)


YM = T  S  C  R

Where:
T = Trend – the overall direction of change in the data.
S = Seasonal variation – differences between the actual data observed
for a time period and the amount predicted by the trend for that period.
C = Cyclical variation – Longer term variations which might cause
changes over longer periods.
R = Random fluctuations

Note that the term “seasonal variation” has a specific meaning in time series
analysis. It relates to the variation in each period covered in the analysis.
Therefore it could mean a daily, weekly, quarterly or annual variation depending
on the analysis.

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Questions requiring analysis of a time series will require the identification of a


trend and seasonal variations.
 Random fluctuations cannot be predicted. The usual assumption made is
that they are negligible and can be ignored in any analysis.
 Also, there is usually insufficient data to identify cyclical variations.
The plot of a time series as a graph is called a historigram.
The diagram below shows a trend line with seasonal variations above and below
the trend line. The general trend in this diagram is up and the trend can be shown
as a straight line. However, the actual value in each time period is above or
below the trend, because of the seasonal variations.

Illustration: Historigram of a time series

6.2 Analysing a time series


There are two aspects to analysing a time series from historical data:
 estimating the trend line; and
 calculating the amount of the seasonal variations (monthly variations or
daily variations).
The time series can then be used to make estimates for a future time period, by
calculating a trend line value and then either adding or subtracting the
appropriate seasonal variation for that time period.
Two methods of calculating a trend line are:
 Moving averages.
 Linear regression analysis.
Linear regression analysis is a technique that produces a line of best fit for
observed data. This was covered in an earlier chapter (along with the high/low
method which can also be used in forecasting). Note that both might be used
together. Moving averages might be used to identify the underlying trend and

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Performance management

then linear regression might be used to identify a line of best fit for the moving
averages identified.
Methods of calculating seasonal variations are explained later.

6.3 Moving averages


Moving averages can be used to estimate a trend line, particularly when there
are seasonal variations in the data.
The technique involves smoothing out fluctuations in the underlying observed
data by calculating averages for small groups of observations from that data. The
size of the small group is related to the type of data. If the data is quarterly then a
group of 4 would be used or if the data was monthly a group of 12 would be
used.
Moving averages are calculated as follows:
Step 1: Decide the length of the cycle. The cycle is a number of days or weeks,
or seasons or years.
 The cycle might be seven days when historical data is collected daily for
each day of the week or perhaps six days if the business is closed for one
day per week.
 The cycle will be one year when data is collected monthly for each month of
the year or quarterly for each season.
Step 2: Use the historical data to calculate a series of moving averages. A
moving average is the average of all the historical data in one cycle.
For example, suppose that historical data is available for daily sales over a period
Day 1 – Day 21, and there are seven days of selling each week.
 A moving average can be calculated for Day 1 – Day 7. This represents an
amount for the middle day in the data i.e. day 4.
 Another moving average can be calculated for Day 2 – Day 8. . This
represents an amount for the middle day in the data i.e. day 5.
This process continues until all of the data have been included. Note that as this
is an averaging process it results in a figure related to the mid-point of the overall
period for which the average has been calculated.
Note that it is easier to number each day, month or quarter in a cycle starting
from 1 rather than retain actual day names, dates etc.
Step 3: If there is an even number of items of data in the moving average
calculation, then the average will correspond to a point between the middle two
time periods. A second average is calculated for each pair of values in the
moving average column. This is done to centre the observation and align it with a
time period.
For example:
 A moving average for Quarter 1 – Quarter 4 gives a value which represents
the mid-point of the range. This is Quarter 2.5.
 A moving average for Quarter 2 – Quarter 5 gives a value which represents
the mid-point of the range. This is Quarter 3.5.
 Quarters 2.5 and 3.5 do not exist so the values are averaged to give a
value which is taken to represent Quarter 3.

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

Step 4: Use the moving averages (and their associated time periods) to calculate
a trend line.
The following example illustrates the calculation of moving average in detail to
ensure that you understand what it means before moving on to produce a
complete trend.

Example: Calculating moving averages


A company operates for five days each week. Sales data for the most recent
three weeks are as follows:
Sales Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
units units units units units
Week 1 78 83 89 85 85
Week 2 88 93 99 95 95
Week 3 98 103 109 105 105

Moving averages are calculated as follows:

Day Sales
1 78
2 83
3 89 = 420 ÷ 5 days = 84 per day
4 85
5 85
84 represent the sales on the middle day of
the period (day 3)

Day Sales
2 83
3 89
4 85 = 430 ÷ 5 days = 86 per day
5 85
6 88
86 represents the sales on the middle day
of the period (day 4)

The example is continued to complete the trend on the next page.

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Performance management

Example: Constructing a trend line with moving averages


A company operates for five days each week. Sales data for the most recent
three weeks are as follows:
Sales Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
units units units units units
Week 1 78 83 89 85 85
Week 2 88 93 99 95 95
Week 3 98 103 109 105 105

For convenience, it is assumed that Week 1 consists of Days 1 – 5, Week 2


consists of Days 6 – 10, and Week 3 consists of Days 11 – 15.
This sales data can be used to estimate a trend line. A weekly cycle in this
example is 5 days. Moving averages are calculated for five-day periods, as
follows:
Moving average (trend
5 day found by dividing the 5
Day Sales total day total by 5)
Day 1 78
Day 2 83
Day 3 89 420 84
Day 4 85 430 86
Day 5 85 440 88
Day 6 88 450 90
Day 7 93 460 92
Day 8 99 470 94
Day 9 95 480 96
Day 10 95 490 98
Day 11 98 500 100
Day 12 103 510 102
Day 13 109 520 104
Day 14 105 530
Day 15 105 540

Note that this process always results in a loss of values for points in time at the
start and at the end of the range.

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Line of best fit


The trend is an indication of the general movement in a set of data. In order to
make predictions, the trend must be expressed as a straight line.
In the above example, the trend increases by 2 each day. This means that each
moving average actually lies on a straight line. An equation can be found for this
trend line by taking the first sales figure as a starting point and then adjusting it
by the number of days multiplied by 2 per day to give the following formula:
Daily sales = 78 + 2x.
This trend line can be used to forecast a trend value for any day in the future. For
example, the forecast for sales on day 50 is:
Daily sales = 78 + 50x = 178
This of course assumes that sales will continue to grow at 2 per day on average.
This trend line can also be used to calculate the ‘seasonal variations’ (in this
example, the daily variations in sales can be above or below the trend).
In turn, these can be used to adjust the forecast value of the trend line to take
account of whether day 50 is a Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday or
Friday.
This is explained later.

6.4 Centred moving averages


When there is an even number of seasons in a cycle, the moving averages will
not correspond to an actual season. When this happens it is necessary to take
moving averages of the moving averages in order to arrive at a value which
corresponds to an actual season of the year.

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Example: Constructing a trend line with centred moving averages


The following quarterly sales figures have been recorded for a company.
Sales Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
₦000 ₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Year 1 20 24 27 31
Year 2 35 39 44 47
Year 3 49 56 60 64

In the following analysis, the quarters are numbered from 1 to 12 for ease
of reference. (Thus year 1: Q1 is numbered Q1 and year 3: Q4 is numbered
Q12).
Moving average values for each quarter are calculated as follows:
Moving average (trend found
4 quarter by dividing the 4 quarter total
Quarter Sales total by 4)

1 20

2 24
102 25.5
3 27
117 29.25
4 31
132 33.00
5 35
149 37.25
6 39
165 41.25
7 44
179 44.75
8 47
196 49.00
9 49
212 53.00
10 56
229 57.25
11 60

12 64

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

Each of the moving average figures above line up opposite a point between two
quarters (seasons). For example, the average for quarters 1 to 4 sits between
quarter 2 and quarter 3 at quarter 2.5.
Analysing seasonal variation requires the figures in the trend to be lie opposite an
actual season (quarter). This is achieved by carrying out a second averaging for
each adjacent pair of numbers. The resultant numbers are called centred moving
averages

Example: Constructing a trend line with centred moving averages (continued)


Centred
Moving Centre total (of 2 moving
Quarter Sales average moving averages) average (÷2)

1 20

2 24
25.5
3 27 25.5 + 29.25 = 54.75 27.38
29.25
4 31 29.25 + 33.00 = 62.25 31.13
33.00
5 35 33.00 + 37.25 = 70.25 35.13
37.25
6 39 37.25 + 41.25 = 78.50 39.25
41.25
7 44 41.25 + 44.75 = 86.00 43.00
44.75
8 47 44.75 + 49.00 = 93.75 46.88
49.00
9 49 49.00 + 53.00 = 102 51.00
53.00
10 56 53.00 + 57.25 =
55.13
57.25 110.25
11 60

12 64

The moving averages in the right hand column correspond to an actual season
(quarter). These moving averages are used to estimate the trend line and the
seasonal variations.

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Performance management

6.5 Line of best fit


As explained earlier, the trend is an indication of the general movement in a set
of data but in order for it to be used to make predictions, it must be expressed as
a straight line.
The first moving average value can be used as a starting point in the equation of
a straight line. One way of identifying the slope is to subtract the lowest moving
average from the highest and divide the figure by the number of periods between
those two figures.

Example: Line of best fit

From the previous example


Moving
average
Quarter 10 55.13
Quarter 3 (27.38)
27.75
Number of periods between Q10 and Q3 ÷7
3.96

The equation of the line of best fit is:


y (Sales) = 27.38 + 3.96x

Care must be taken in using this equation. Remember the starting point for the
equation is Q3 so any value must be calculated in reference to Q3.

Example: Line of best fit


From the previous example estimate the trend sales figure for Q4 in year 4.
This corresponds to Q16 in the example which is 13 quarters after the starting
point.
y (Sales) = 27.38 + 3.96x
y (Sales in Q4 of year 4) = 27.38 + 3.96 (13) = 78.86

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

6.6 Seasonal variations


The trend line on its own is not sufficient to make forecasts for the future. We
also need estimates of the size of the ‘seasonal’ variation for each of the different
seasons.
Consider the two examples above:
 In the first example, we need an estimate of the amount of the expected
daily variation in sales, for each day of the week.
 In the second example, we need to calculate the variation above or below
the trend line for each season or quarter of the year.
A ‘seasonal variation’ can be measured from historical data as the difference
between the actual historical value for the time period, and the corresponding
trend value.
The seasonal variation is then used to adjust a forecast trend value.
There are two models used to estimate seasonal variation:
 The additive model;
 The proportional model.

The additive model


This model assumes that seasonal variations above and below the trend line in
each cycle adds up to zero. Seasonal variations below the trend line have a
negative value and variations above the trend line have a positive value.
The seasonal variation for each season (or daily variation for each day) is
estimated as follows, when the additive assumption is used:
 Calculate the difference between the moving average value and the actual
historical figure for each time period.
 Group these seasonal variations into the different seasons of the year
(days of the week; months or quarters of the year).
 Calculate the average of these seasonal variations for each season (or day;
month; quarter).
 if the total seasonal variations for the cycle do not add up to zero the
difference is spread evenly across each season (or day; month; quarter).
 This adjusted figure is the seasonal variation.

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Performance management

Example: Additive model


Using the previous example for quarterly sales, actual sales and the
corresponding moving average value were as follows:
Variation
(Actual –
Actual sales Moving
Quarter Trend in the quarter average)
Year 1: Q3 27.375 27 0.375
Year 1: Q4 31.125 31 0.125
Year 2: Q1 35.125 35 0.125
Year 2: Q2 39.250 39 0.250
Year 2: Q3 43.000 44 1.000
Year 2: Q4 46.875 47 0.125
Year 3: Q1 51.000 49 2.000
Year 3: Q2 55.125 56 0.875

The seasonal variation (daily variation) is now calculated as the average


seasonal variation for each day, as follows:
Variation Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
Year 1 0.375 0.125
Year 2 0.125 0.250 1.000 0.125
Year 3 2.000 0.875
Average 1.063 0.313 0.313 0.0 0.437
Adjustment: 0.10925 0.10925 0.10925 0.10925 0.437
Seasonal
adjustment 0.95375 0.42225 0.42225 0.10925 0

The seasonal variations can then be used, with the estimated trend line, to make
forecasts for the future.

Example: Forecast sales

The forecast for the trend value of sales in Q4 in year 4 is 78.86.

The estimated sales in this quarter are:


Trend value 78.86
Quarter 4 adjustment (rounded) 0.11
Sales forecast 78.97

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

The proportional model


This model expresses the actual value in each season as a proportion of the
trend line value.
When a proportional model is used to calculate seasonal variations, rather than
the additive model, the seasonal variations for each time period are calculated by
dividing the actual data by corresponding moving average or trend line value.
The sum of the proportions for each time period must add up to 1. This means
that the total of the proportions quarterly data must sum to 4. If this is not the
case the difference is spread evenly over each quarter

Example: Proportional model


Using the previous example for quarterly sales, actual sales and the
corresponding moving average value were as follows:

Seasonal
variation: actual
sales as a
Actual sales in proportion of the
Quarter Trend the quarter moving average
Year 1: Q3 27.375 27 0.986
Year 1: Q4 31.125 31 0.996
Year 2: Q1 35.125 35 0.996
Year 2: Q2 39.250 39 0.994
Year 2: Q3 43.000 44 1.023
Year 2: Q4 46.875 47 1.003
Year 3: Q1 51.000 49 0.961
Year 3: Q2 55.125 56 1.016

The seasonal variation (daily variation) is now calculated as the average


seasonal variation for each day, as follows:

Variation Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
Year 1 0.986 0.996
Year 2 0.996 0.994 1.023 1.003
Year 3 0.961 1.016
Average 0.978 1.004 1.004 0.999 3.985
0.00375 0.00375 0.00375 0.00375 0.015
0.98175 1.00775 1.00775 1.00275 4.000

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Performance management

Example: Forecast sales

The forecast for the trend value of sales in Q4 in year 4 is 78.86.

The estimated sales in this quarter are:


Trend value 78.86
Quarter 4 adjustment (rounded) 1.003
Sales forecast 79.01

7 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the purposes of budgeting and the budgeting process

 Describe the main features of, and explain the differences between bottom-up
and top-down budgeting
 Explain incremental and zero-based budgeting
 Explain activity based budgeting (ABB)
 Recognise and explain the importance of the behavioural aspects of budgeting
 Discuss beyond budgeting as a concept
 Explain and apply forecasting techniques

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Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
Sales budget
Budgeted
Budgeted Budgeted sales
Product sales quantity sales price revenue
units ₦ ₦
X 2,500 410 1,025,000
Y 3,200 400 1,280,000
Total 2,305,000

Production budget
Product X Product Y
units units
Sales budget 2,500 3,200
Budgeted closing inventory 200 100
2,700 3,300
Opening inventory 300 150
Production budget 2,400 3,150

Material usage budget


A (kgs) B (kgs) C (kgs)
Usage to make 2,400 units of X
2,400 units  1 kgs 2,400
2,400 units  0.75 kgs 1,800
2,400 units  2 kgs 4,800

Usage to make 3,150 units of Y


3,150 units  1 kgs 3,150
3,150 units  0.5 kgs 1,575
3,150 units  3 kgs 9,450
Usage in kgs 5,550 3,375 14,250
Cost per kg ₦30 ₦80 ₦30
Usage in naira 166,500 270,000 427,500

Total cost ₦864,000

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Chapter 6: Budgetary control systems

Solution (continued) 1
Material purchases budget
A (kgs) B (kgs) C (kgs)
Usage 5,550 3,375 14,250
Closing inventory 380 400 120
5,930 3,775 14,370
Opening inventory (400) (450) (150)
Purchases (kgs) 5,530 3,325 14,220
Cost per kg (₦) ₦30 ₦80 ₦30
Purchases (₦) 165,900 266,000 426,600

Total cost ₦858,500

Labour usage budget


Grade I (hrs) Grade II (hrs)
Usage to make 2,400 units of X
2,400 units  1 hr 2,400
2,400 units  1.5 hrs 3,600

Usage to make 3,150 units of Y


3,150 units  0.8 hrs 2,520
3,150 units  1 hr 3,150
Usage in kgs 4,920 6,750
Cost per kg (₦) 100 80
Usage in naira 492,000 540,000

Total cost(₦) 1,032,000

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Performance management

Solution (continued) 1
Budgeted profit or loss account
₦ ₦
Sales budget 2,305,000
Cost of sales:
Opening inventory 211,500
Purchases 858,500
Labour usage 1,032,000
2,102,000
Closing inventory (153,000)
(1,949,000)
Budgeted gross profit 356,000

The budgeted gross profit can be checked as follows:


(Units  (Sales price – Unit cost) ₦
Profit from selling X (2,500 units  (410  370)) 100,000
Profit from selling Y (3,200 units  (400  320)) 256,000

356,000

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7
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Variance analysis

Contents
1 Standard costs

2 Introduction to variance analysis


3 Direct materials variances
4 Direct labour variances
5 Variable production overhead variances
6 Fixed production overhead cost variances:
absorption costing
7 Sales variances
8 Interrelationships between variances
9 Reconciling budgeted and actual profit: standard
absorption costing
10 Standard marginal costing
11 Productivity, efficiency and capacity ratios
12 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
B Planning and control
2 Variance analysis
A Explain the uses of standard cost and types of standard.
B Discuss the methods used to derive standard cost.
C Explain and analyse the principle of controllability in the performance
management system.
D Calculate and apply the following variances:
i Material usage and price variances;
iii Labour rate, efficiency and idle time variances;
iv Variable overhead expenditure and efficiency variances;
v Fixed overhead budget, volume, capacity and productivity variances;
vi Sales volume variance;
E Identify and explain causes of various variances and their inter-relationship.
F Analyse and reconcile variances using absorption and marginal costing
techniques

Exam context
This chapter explains the techniques of variance analysis.
The chapter explains that a flexed budget shows what would have been achieved based on
the actual level of activity but assuming revenue per unit and all costs per unit have been the
same as budgeted. It is a new budget drawn up for the actual levels of unit sales and unit
output.
Variance analysis reconciles the difference between the budgeted profit figure and that
actually achieved. This reconciliation occurs in two steps. The difference between the original
budgeted profit and the flexed budgeted profit is shown as a volume variance. The
differences between the flexed budget and the actual results are shown in detail.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
 Explain standard costing using examples
 Explain and construct a flexed budget
 Calculate sales volume variance

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 Calculate, analyse and interpret various variances relating to material, labour and
factory overhead(both variable and fixed)
Prepare an operating statement reconcile budgeted profit to actual profit using total
absorption costing (TAC) and marginal costing (MC)

1 STANDARD COSTS

Section overview

 Standard units of product or service


 Standard cost
 Standard costing
 The uses of standard costing
 Deriving a standard cost
 Types of standard
 Reviewing standards

1.1 Standard units of product or service


Standard costing involves using an expected cost (standard cost) as a substitute
for actual cost in the accounting system. Periodically the standard costs are
compared to the actual costs. Differences between the standard and actual are
recorded as variances in the costing system.

When is standard costing appropriate?


Standard costing can be used in a variety of situations.
It is most useful when accounting for homogenous goods produced in large
numbers, when there is a degree of repetition in the production process.
A standard costing system may be used when an entity produces standard units
of product or service that are identical to all other similar units produced.
Standard costing is usually associated with standard products, but can be applied
to standard services too.
A standard unit should have exactly the same input resources (direct materials,
direct labour time) as all other similar units, and these resources should cost
exactly the same. Standard units should therefore have the same cost.

1.2 Standard cost

Definition: Standard cost and standard costing


Standard cost is an estimated or predetermined cost of performing an operation or
producing a good or service, under normal conditions
Standard costing is a control technique that reports variances by comparing actual
costs to pre-set standards so facilitating action through management by exception.

A standard cost is a predetermined unit cost based on expected direct


materials quantities and expected direct labour time, and priced at a
predetermined rate per unit of direct materials and rate per direct labour hour and
rate per hour of overhead.
 Standard costs of products are usually restricted to production costs only,
not administration and selling and distribution overheads.
© Emile Woolf International 211 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
 Overheads are normally absorbed into standard production cost at an
absorption rate per direct labour hour.

Example: Standard cost card


The standard cost of a Product XYZ might be:

₦ ₦
Direct materials:
Material A: 2 litres at ₦4.50 per litre 9.00
Material B: 3 kilos at ₦4 per kilo 12.00
21.00
Direct labour
Grade 1 labour: 0.5 hours at ₦20 per hour 10.00
Grade 2 labour: 0.75 hours at ₦16 per hour 12.00
22.00
Variable production overheads: 1.25 hours at ₦4 per hour 5.00
Fixed production overheads: 1.25 hours at ₦40 per hour 50.00
Standard (production) cost per unit 98.00

Who sets standard costs?


Standard costs are set by managers with the expertise to assess what the
standard prices and rates should be. Standard costs are normally reviewed
regularly, typically once a year as part of the annual budgeting process.
 Standard prices for direct materials should be set by managers with
expertise in the purchase costs of materials. This is likely to be a senior
manager in the purchasing department (buying department).
 Standard rates for direct labour should be set by managers with expertise
in labour rates. This is likely to be a senior manager in the human
resources department (personnel department).
 Standard usage rates for direct materials and standard efficiency rates for
direct labour should be set by managers with expertise in operational
activities. This may be a senior manager in the production or operations
department, or a manager in the technical department.
 Standard overhead rates should be identified by a senior management
accountant, from budgeted overhead costs and budgeted activity levels that
have been agreed in the annual budgeting process.

1.3 Standard costing


Standard costing is a system of costing in which:
 all units of product (or service) are recorded in the cost accounts at their
standard cost, and
 the value of inventory is based on standard production cost.
Differences between actual costs and standard costs are recorded as variances,
and variances are reported at regular intervals (typically each month) for the
purpose of budgetary control.
Standard costing may be used with either a system of absorption costing or a
system of marginal costing.

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Performance management

1.4 The uses of standard costing


Standard costing has four main uses.
 It is an alternative system of cost accounting. In a standard costing system,
all units produced are recorded at their standard cost of production.
 When standard costs are established for products, they can be used to
prepare the budget.
 It is a system of performance measurement. The differences between
standard costs (expected costs) and actual costs can be measured as
variances. Variances can be reported regularly to management, in order to
identify areas of good performance or poor performance.
 It is also a system of control reporting. When differences between actual
results and expected results (the budget and standard costs) are large, this
could indicate that operational performance is not as it should be, and that
the causes of the variance should be investigated. Management can
therefore use variance reports to identify whether control measures might
be needed, to improve poor performance or continue with good
performances.
When there are large adverse variances, this might indicate that actual
performance is poor, and control action is needed to deal with the weaknesses.
When there are large favourable variances, and actual results are much better
than expected, management should investigate to find out why this has
happened, and whether any action is needed to ensure that the favourable
results will continue in the future.

Variances and controllability


The principle of controllability should be applied in any performance management
system
When variances are used to measure the performance of an aspect of
operations, or the performance of a manager, they should be reported to the
manager who is:
 responsible for the area of operations to which the variances relate, and
 able to do something to control them.
There is no value or practical purpose in reporting variances to a manager who is
unable to do anything to control performance by sorting out problems that the
variances reveal and preventing the variances from happening again.
It is also unreasonable to make a manager accountable for performance that is
outside his control, and for variances that he can do nothing about.

1.5 Deriving a standard cost


A standard variable cost of a product is established by building up the standard
materials, labour and production overhead costs for each standard unit.
In a standard absorption costing system, the standard fixed overhead cost is a
standard cost per unit, based on budgeted data about fixed costs and the
budgeted production volume.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Companies can often measure the standard quantities with a high degree of
confidence. Remember that standard costing is appropriate in conditions of high
production numbers and a lot of repetition. Companies might make thousands of
items and this experience leads to knowledge of the process.

Deriving the standard usage for materials


The standard usage for direct materials can be obtained by using:
 historical records for material usage in the past, or
 the design specification for the product

Deriving the standard efficiency rate for labour


The standard efficiency rate for direct labour can be obtained by using:
 historical records for labour time spent on the product in the past, or
 making comparisons with similar work and the time required to do this
work, or
 ‘time and motion study’ to estimate how long the work ought to take

Deriving the standard price for materials


The standard price for direct materials can be estimated by using:
 historical records for material purchases in the past, and
 allowing for estimated changes in the future, such as price inflation and any
expected change in the trade discounts available

Deriving the standard rate of pay for labour


Not all employees are paid the same rate of pay, and there may be differences to
allow for the experience of the employee and the number of years in the job.
There is also the problem that employees may receive an annual increase in pay
each year to allow for inflation, and the pay increase may occur during the middle
of the financial year.
 The standard rate of pay per direct labour hour will be an average rate of
pay for each category or grade of employees.
 The rate of pay may be based on current pay levels or on an expected
average pay level for the year, allowing for the expected inflationary pay
rise during the year.

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Performance management

Example: Deriving a standard cost


A company manufactures two products, X and Y. In Year 1 it budgets to make
2,000 units of Product X and 1,000 units of Product Y. Budgeted resources per
unit and costs are as follows:
Product X Product Y
Direct materials per unit:
Material A 2 units of material 1.5 units of material
Material B 1 unit of material 3 units of material
Direct labour hours per unit 0.75 hours 1 hour

Costs
Direct material A ₦40 per unit
Direct material B ₦30 per unit
Direct labour ₦200 per hour
Variable production overhead ₦40 per direct labour hour
Fixed production overheads per unit are calculated by applying a direct labour
hour absorption rate to the standard labour hours per unit, using the budgeted
fixed production overhead costs of ₦120,000 for the year.

Required
Calculate the standard full production cost per unit of:
(a) Product X, and
(b) Product Y

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Answer
First calculate the budgeted overhead absorption rate.
Budgeted direct labour hours hours
Product X: (2,000 units  0.75 hours) 1,500
Product Y (1,000 units  1 hour) 1,000
2,500

Budgeted fixed production overheads ₦120,000


Fixed overhead absorption rate/hour ₦48

Product X Product Y
₦ ₦
Direct materials
Material A (2 units  ₦40) 80 (1.5 units  ₦40) 60
Material B (1 unit  ₦30) 30 (3 units  ₦30) 90
Direct labour (0.75 hours  ₦200) 150 (1 hour  ₦200) 200
Variable
production
overhead (0.75 hours  ₦40) 30 (1 hour  ₦40) 40
Standard variable
prod’n cost 290 390
Fixed production
overhead (0.75 hours  ₦48) 36 (1 hour  ₦48) 48
Standard full
production cost 326 438

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Performance management

Practice question 1
A company manufactures two products, L and H. In Year 1, it budgets
to make 6,000 units of Product L and 2,000 units of Product H.
Budgeted resources per unit and costs are as follows:
L H
Direct materials per unit:
Material X 3 kg 1kg
Material Y 2 kg 6 kg
Direct labour hours per unit 1.6 hours 3 hours

Costs
Direct material X ₦30 per unit
Direct material Y ₦40 per unit
Direct labour ₦250 per hour
Variable production overhead ₦50 per direct labour hour

Fixed production overheads per unit are calculated by applying a direct


labour hour absorption rate to the standard labour hours per unit, using
the budgeted fixed production overhead costs of ₦1,800,000 for the
year.
Required
Calculate the standard full production cost per unit of:
(a) Product L, and
(b) Product H

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

1.6 Types of standard


Standards are predetermined estimates of unit costs but how is the level of
efficiency inherent in the estimate determined? Should it assume perfect
operating conditions or should it incorporate an allowance for waste and idle
time? The standard set will be a performance target and if it seen as unattainable
this may have a detrimental impact on staff motivation. If the standard set is too
easy to attain there may be no incentive to find improvements.
There are four types of standard, and any of these may be used in a standard
costing system:
 Ideal standards. These assume perfect operating conditions. No
allowance is made for wastage, labour inefficiency or machine breakdowns.
The ideal standard cost is the cost that would be achievable if operating
conditions and operating performance were perfect. In practice, the ideal
standard is not achieved.
 Attainable standards. These assume efficient but not perfect operating
conditions. An allowance is made for waste and inefficiency. However the
attainable standard is set at a higher level of efficiency than the current
performance standard, and some improvements will therefore be necessary
in order to achieve the standard level of performance.
 Current standards. These are based on current working conditions and
what the entity is capable of achieving at the moment. Current standards do
not provide any incentive to make significant improvements in performance,
and might be considered unsatisfactory when current operating
performance is considered inefficient.
 Basic standards. These are standards which remain unchanged over a
long period of time. Variances are calculated by comparing actual results
with the basic standard, and if there is a gradual improvement in
performance over time, this will be apparent in an improving trend in
reported variances.
When there is waste in production, or when idle time occurs regularly, current
standard costs may include an allowance for the expected wastage or expected
idle time. This is considered in more detail later.

Types of standard: behavioural aspects


One of the purposes of standard costing is to set performance standards that
motivate employees to improve performance. The type of standard used can
have an effect on motivation and incentives.
 Ideal standards are unlikely to be achieved. They may be very useful as
long term targets and may provide senior managers with an indication of
the potential for savings in a process but generally the ideal standard will
not be achieved. Consequently the reported variances will always be
adverse. Employees may become de-motivated when their performance
level is always worse than standard and they know that the standard is
unachievable.
 Current standards may be useful for producing budgets as they are based
on current levels of efficiency and may therefore give a realistic guide to
resources required in the production process. However current standards
are unlikely to motivate employees to improve their performance, unless
there are incentives for achieving favourable variances (for achieving
results that are better than the standard), such as annual cash bonuses.

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Performance management

 Basic standards will not motivate employees to improve their performance


as they are based on achievable conditions at some time in the past. They
are also not useful for budgeting because they will often be out of date. In
practice, they are the least common type of standard.
 Attainable standards are the most likely to motivate employees to improve
performance as they are based on challenging but attainable targets. It is
for this reason that standards are often based on attainable conditions.
However, a problem with attainable standards is deciding on the level of
performance that should be the target for achievement. For example, if an
attainable standard provides for some improvement in labour efficiency,
should the standard provide for a 1% improvement in efficiency, or a 5%
improvement, or a 10% improvement?

1.7 Reviewing standards


How often should standards be revised? There are several reasons why
standards should be revised regularly.
 Regular revision leads to standards which are meaningful targets that
employees may be motivated to achieve (for example, through incentive
schemes).
 Variance analysis is more meaningful because reported variances should
be realistic.
 In practice, standards are normally reviewed annually. Standards by their
nature are long-term averages and therefore some variation is expected
over time. The budgeting process can therefore be used to review the
standard costs in use.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

2 INTRODUCTION TO VARIANCE ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Standard cost cards


 Fixed budget
 Flexed budget
 Comparison of actual results to the flexed budget
 Cost variances

2.1 Standard cost cards


Standard costs are constructed by estimating the quantities of standard amounts
of input (for example materials and labour) and estimating the cost of buying
these over the future period covered by the standard.
Standard costs for a unit are often set out in a record called a standard cost card.
A typical standard cost card is as follows.

Example: Standard cost card (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Direct materials 5 kg @ ₦1,000 per kg 5,000
Direct labour 4 hours @ ₦500 per hour 2,000
Variable overhead 4 hours @ ₦200 per hour 800
Marginal production cost 7,800
Fixed production overhead 4 hours @ ₦600 per hour 2,400
Total absorption cost 10,200

The above standard costs will be used in examples throughout this chapter to
illustrate variance analysis.
Standard costs link to the budget through activity levels.
For example, if a company wanted to make 1,200 of the above units the budget
would show a material cost of ₦6,000,000 (1,200  ₦5,000)

Example: Fixed budget for a period


Lagos Manufacturing Limited has budgeted to make 1,200 units.
Cost budget ₦‘000
Materials (1,200 units ₦5,000 per unit) 6,000
Labour (1,200 units  ₦2,000 per unit) 2,400
Variable overhead (1,200 units  ₦800 per unit) 960
Fixed overhead (1,200 units  ₦2,400 per unit) 2,880

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Performance management

2.2 Fixed budget


The original budget prepared at the beginning of a budget period is known as the
fixed budget. A fixed budget is a budget for a specific volume of output and sales
activity, and it is the ‘master plan’ for the financial year that the company tries to
achieve.

Example: Fixed budget for a period


Lagos Manufacturing Limited has budgeted to make 1,200 units and sell 1,000
units in January.
The selling price per unit is budgeted at ₦15,000.
The standard costs of production are as given in the previous example.
The budget prepared for January is as follows:

Unit sales 1,000


Unit production 1,200

Budget ₦‘000
Sales (1,000 units  15,000) 15,000
Cost of sales:
Materials (1,200 units ₦5,000 per unit) 6,000
Labour (1,200 units  ₦2,000 per unit) 2,400
Variable overhead (1,200 units  ₦800 per unit) 960
Fixed overhead (1,200 units  ₦2,400 per unit) 2,880
12,240
Closing inventory (200 units  ₦10,200 per unit) (2,040)
Cost of sales (1,000 units  ₦10,200 per unit) (10,200)
Profit 4,800

Note:
Budgeted profit = 1,000 units  (₦15,000  ₦10,200 per unit) =
₦4,800,000

One of the main purposes of budgeting is budgetary control and the control of
costs. Costs can be controlled by comparing budgets with the results actually
achieved.
Differences between expected results and actual results are known as variances.
Variances can be either favourable (F) or adverse (A) depending on whether the
results achieved are better or worse than expected.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Consider the following:

Example: Fixed budget and actual results for a period.


At the end of January Lagos Manufacturing Limited recorded its actual results as
follows.
Budget Actual
Unit sales 1,000 900
Unit production 1,200 1,000

Budget Actual
Budget ₦‘000 ₦‘000
Sales 15,000 12,600
Cost of sales:
Materials 6,000 4,608
Labour 2,400 2,121
Variable overhead 960 945
Fixed overhead 2,880 2,500
12,240 10,174
Closing inventory (2,040) (1,020)
Cost of sales (10,200) (9,154)
Profit 4,800 3,446

Note:
The actual closing inventory of 100 units is measured at the standard cost
of ₦10,200 per unit. This is what happens in standard costing systems.

What does this tell us?


The actual results differ from the budget. The company has not achieved its plan
in January. Profit is less than budgeted. The company would like to understand
the reason for this in as much detail as possible.
The technique that explains the difference between actual results and the budget
is called variance analysis. This technique identifies the components of the
difference between the budgeted profit and the actual profit in detail so that they
can be investigated and understood by the company.
The sales figure is less than budgeted but why? The sales figure is a function of
the quantity sold and the selling price per unit. The quantity sold is 100 units less
than budgeted but what about the impact of any difference in the sales price?
At first sight it looks as if the company has made savings on every cost line. For
example budgeted material cost was ₦6,000,000 but actual spend was only
₦4,608,000. However, this is not a fair comparison because the budgeted cost
was to make 1200 units whereas the company only made 1,000 units.

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Performance management

2.3 Flexed budget


Variances are not calculated by comparing actual results to the fixed budget
directly because the figures relate to different levels of activity and the
comparison would not be like to like. A second budget is drawn up at the end of
the period. This budget is based on the actual levels of activity and the standard
revenue and standard costs. This budget is called a flexed budget.

Example: Flexed budget for a period


The flexed budget prepared by Lagos Manufacturing Limited at the end of January
(based on actual levels of activity and standard revenue per unit and standard cost
per unit) is as follows:

Unit sales 900


Unit production 1,000

Budget ₦‘000
Sales (900 units  15,000) 13,500
Cost of sales:
Materials (1,000 units ₦5,000 per unit) 5,000
Labour (1,000 units  ₦2,000 per unit) 2,000
Variable overhead (1,000 units  ₦800 per unit) 800
Fixed overhead (1,000 units  ₦2,400 per unit) 2,400
10,200
Closing inventory (100 units  ₦10,200 per unit) (1,020)
Cost of sales (900 units  ₦10,200 per unit) (9,180)
Profit 4,320

This shows the amount that the company would have received for the actual
number of units sold if they had been sold at the budgeted revenue per item.
It shows what the actual number of units produced (1,000 units) would have cost
if they had been made at the standard cost.
The flexed budget is a vital concept. It sits at the heart of variance analysis.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

2.4 Comparison of actual results to the flexed budget


All three statements can be combined as follows:

Example: Fixed budget, flexed budget and actual results for a period.
At the end of January, Lagos Manufacturing Limited has recorded its actual results
as follows (together with the original fixed budget and the flexed budget for the
month).
Fixed Flexed
budget budget Actual
Unit sales 1,000 900 900
Unit production 1,200 1,000 1,000

Budget Actual Actual


Budget ₦‘000 ₦‘000 ₦‘000
Sales 15,000 13,500 12,600
Cost of sales:
Materials 6,000 5,000 4,608
Labour 2,400 2,000 2,121
Variable overhead 960 800 945
Fixed overhead 2,880 2,400 2,500
12,240 10,200 10,174
Closing inventory (2,040) (1,020) (1,020)
Cost of sales (10,200) (9,180) (9,154)
Profit 4,800 4,320 3,446

Note:
The actual closing inventory of 100 units is measured at the standard total
absorption cost of ₦10,200 per unit. This is what happens in standard
costing systems.

The information for Lagos Manufacturing Limited’s performance in January will


be used throughout this chapter to illustrate variance analysis.
Note that the above example is unlikely to be something that you would have to
produce in the exam. It is provided to help you to understand what variance
analysis is about.

Commentary
Variance analysis explains the difference between the fixed budget profit and the
actual profit in detail. This paragraph provides an initial commentary before
looking at the detailed calculations in later sections of this chapter.
Both the fixed budget and the flexed budget are based on the standard revenue
per unit and the standard costs per unit. Therefore, the difference between the
fixed budget and the flexed budget is caused only by difference in volume. This
figure of ₦480,000 (₦4,800,000  ₦4,320,000) is called the sales volume
variance. This is revisited in detail later in this chapter.

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Performance management

Revenue is sales quantity  sales price per unit. The revenue in the flexed budget
and the actual revenue are both based on the actual quantity sold. Therefore the
difference between the two figures of ₦900,000 (₦13,500,000  ₦12,600,000) is
due to a difference in the selling price per unit. This difference is called the sales
price variance. This is revisited in detail later in this chapter.
The difference between each variable cost line in the flexed budget and the
equivalent actual figure is a total cost variance for that item. For example the
actual results show that 1,000 units use material which cost ₦4,608,000. The
flexed budget shows that these units should have used material which cost
₦5,000,000. The difference of ₦392,000 is due to a combination of the actual
material used being different to the budgeted usage of 5kgs per unit and the
actual price per kg being different to the budgeted price per kg. In other words,
the total variance can be explained in terms of usage and price. This is explained
in detail later in this chapter.
Variable cost variances can be calculated for all items of variable cost (direct
materials, direct labour and variable production overhead). The method of
calculating the variances is similar for each variable cost item.
 The total cost variance for the variable cost item is the difference between
the actual variable cost of production and the standard variable cost of
producing the items.
 However, the total cost variance is not usually calculated. Instead, the total
variance is calculated in two parts, that add up to the total cost variance:
 a price variance or rate variance or expenditure per hour variance.
 a usage or efficiency variance.
The difference between the fixed overhead in the flexed budget and the actual
fixed overhead is over absorption. This was covered in an earlier chapter but will
be revisited in full later in this chapter.

2.5 Cost variances

Adverse and favourable cost variances


In a standard costing system, all units of output are valued at their standard cost.
Cost of production and cost of sales are therefore valued at standard cost.
Actual costs will differ from standard costs. A cost variance is the difference
between an actual cost and a standard cost.
 When actual cost is higher than standard cost, the cost variance is adverse
(A) or unfavourable (U).
 When actual cost is less than standard cost, the cost variance is favourable
(F).
Different variances are calculated, relating to direct materials, direct labour,
variable production overhead and fixed production overhead. (There are also
sales variances. These are explained in a later section.)
In a cost accounting system, cost variances are adjustments to the profit in an
accounting period.
 Favourable variances increase the reported profit.
 Adverse variances reduce the reported profit.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

The method of calculating cost variances is similar for all variable production cost
items (direct materials, direct labour and variable production overhead).
A different method of calculating cost variances is required for fixed production
overhead.

Variances and performance reporting


Variance reports are produced at the end of each control period (say, at the end
of each month).
 Large adverse variances indicate poor performance and the need for
control action by management.
 Large favourable variances indicate unexpected good performance.
Management might wish to consider how this good performance can be
maintained in the future.
Variances might be reported in a statement for the accounting period that
reconciles the budgeted profit with the actual profit for the period. This statement
is known as an operating statement.

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Performance management

3 DIRECT MATERIALS VARIANCES

Section overview

 Direct materials: total cost variance


 Direct materials price variance
 Direct materials usage variance
 Alternative calculations
 Direct materials: possible causes of variances

3.1 Direct materials: total cost variance


The total direct material cost variance is the difference between the actual
material cost in producing units in the period and the standard material cost of
producing those units.

Illustration: Direct materials – total cost variance



Standard material cost of actual production:
Actual units produced  Standard kgs per unit  Standard price per kg X

Actual material cost of actual production:


Actual units produced  Actual kgs per unit  Actual price per kg (X)
X

The variance is adverse (A) if actual cost is higher than the standard cost, and
favourable (F) if actual cost is less than the standard cost.

Example: Direct material – Total cost variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000

Direct materials total cost variance is calculated as follows:


₦‘000
Standard: 1,000 units should cost (@ ₦5,000 per unit) 5,000
Actual: 1,000 units did cost (4,608)
Total cost variance 392 F

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

The direct materials total cost variance can be analysed into a price variance and
a usage variance.
 A price variance measures the difference between the actual price paid for
materials and the price that should have been paid (the standard price).
 A usage variance measures the difference between the materials that were
used in production and the materials that should have been used (the
standard usage).

Practice question 2
A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
litre. The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore
₦15.
In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
Calculate the total direct material cost variance.

3.2 Direct materials price variance


The price variance may be calculated for the materials purchased or materials
used. Usually it is calculated at the point of purchase as this allows the material
inventory to be carried at standard cost.

Illustration: Direct materials – price variance



Standard material cost of actual production:
Actual kgs purchased  Standard price per kg X

Actual material cost of actual purchases


Actual kgs purchased  Actual price per kg (X)
X

Example: Direct materials – price variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000

Direct materials price variance is calculated as follows:


₦‘000
Standard: 4,850 kgs should cost (@ ₦1,000 per kg) 4,850
Actual: 4,850 kgs did cost (4,608)
Materials price variance 242 F

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Performance management

If there are two or more direct materials, a price variance is calculated separately
for each material.

Practice question 3
A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
litre. The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore
₦15. In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
Calculate the direct material price variance.

3.3 Direct materials usage variance


The usage variance is calculated by comparing the actual quantity of material
used to make the actual production to the standard quantity that should have
been used to produce those units. In other words, the actual usage of materials is
compared with the standard usage for the actual number of units produced,
The difference is the usage variance, measured as a quantity of materials. This is
converted into a money value at the standard price for the material.

Illustration: Direct materials – Usage variance


Kgs
Standard quantity of material needed to make the actual production X
Actual quantity of material used to make the actual production (X)
Usage variance (in kgs) X
Standard cost per kg (multiply by) X
Usage variance (₦) X

Example: Direct materials – Usage variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000

Direct materials usage variance is calculated as follows:


Kgs
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 5 kgs per unit) 5,000
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,850)
Usage variance (kgs) 150 F
Standard cost per kg ₦1,000
Usage variance (₦) ₦150,000 F

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Practice question 4
A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
litre.
The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore ₦15.
In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
Calculate the direct materials usage variance.

3.4 Alternative calculations


Variances can be calculated in a number of ways. A useful approach is the
following line by line approach.

Formula: Alternative method for calculating material variances


AQ purchased  AC X
X Price variance
AQ purchased  SC X
X Inventory movement
AQ used  SC X
X usage variance
SQ used  SC X

Where:
AQ = Actual quantity
AC = Actual cost per kg
SC = Standard cost per kg
SQ = Standard quantity needed to make actual production

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Performance management

Example: Alternative method for calculating material variances (Lagos


Manufacturing Limited)
Standard material cost per unit: (5kgs  ₦1,000 per kg) = ₦5,000 per unit
Actual production in period = 1,000 units.
Materials purchased and used: 4,850 kgs at a cost of ₦4,608,000

₦‘000 ₦‘000
AQ purchased  AC
4,850 kgs  ₦X per kg 4,608
AQ purchased  SC 242 (F) Price variance
4,850 kgs  ₦1,000 per kg 4,850
AQ used  SC nil inventory movement
4,850 kgs  ₦1,000 per kg 4,850
SQ used  SC 150 (F) Usage variance
5,000 kgs  ₦1,000 per kg 5,000

SQ = 1,000 units  5 kgs per unit = 5,000 kgs

Practice question 5
A unit of Product P123 has a standard cost of 5 litres of Material A at ₦3 per
litre.
The standard direct material cost per unit of Product P123 is therefore ₦15.
In a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
These used 10,400 litres of Material A, which cost ₦33,600.
Calculate the direct materials price and usage variances using the alternative
approach.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

3.5 Direct materials: possible causes of variances


When variances occur and they appear to be significant, management should
investigate the reason for the variance. If the cause of the variance is something
within the control of management, control action should be taken. Some of the
possible causes of materials variances are listed below.

Materials price variance: causes


Possible causes of favourable materials price variances include:
 Different suppliers were used and these charged a lower price (favourable
price variance) than the usual supplier.
 Materials were purchased in sufficient quantities to obtain a bulk purchase
discount (a quantity discount), resulting in a favourable price variance.
 Materials were bought that were of lower quality than standard and so
cheaper than expected.
Possible causes of adverse materials price variances include:
 Different suppliers were used and these charged a higher price (adverse
price variance) than the usual supplier.
 Suppliers increased their prices by more than expected. (Higher prices
might be caused by an unexpected increase in the rate of inflation.)
 There was a severe shortage of the materials, so that prices in the market
were much higher than expected.
 Materials were bought that were better quality than standard and more
expensive than expected.

Materials usage variance: causes


Possible causes of favourable materials usage variances include:
 Wastage rates were lower than expected.
 Improvements in production methods resulted in more efficient usage of
materials (favourable usage variance).
Possible causes of adverse materials usage variances include:
 Wastage rates were higher than expected.
 Poor materials handling resulted in a large amount of breakages (adverse
usage variance). Breakages mean that a quantity of materials input to the
production process is wasted.
 Materials used were of cheaper quality than standard, with the result that
more materials had to be thrown away as waste.

© Emile Woolf International 232 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 DIRECT LABOUR VARIANCES

Section overview

 Direct labour: total cost variance


 Direct labour rate variance
 Direct labour efficiency variance
 Idle time variance
 Alternative calculations
 Idle time variance where idle time is included in standard cost
 Direct labour: possible causes of variances

4.1 Direct labour: total cost variance


The total direct labour cost variance is the difference between the actual labour
cost in producing units in the period and the standard labour cost of producing
those units.

Illustration: Direct labour – total cost variance



Standard labour cost of actual production:
Actual units produced  Standard hrs per unit  Standard rate per hr X

Actual labour cost of actual production:


Actual units produced  Actual hours per unit  Actual rate per hour (X)
X

The variance is adverse (A) if actual cost is higher than the standard cost, and
favourable (F) if actual cost is less than the standard cost.

Example: Direct labour – Total cost variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)

Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦500 per hr) = ₦2,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000

Direct labour total cost variance is calculated as follows:


₦‘000
Standard: 1,000 units should cost (@ ₦2,000 per unit) 2,000
Actual: 1,000 units did cost (2,121)
Total cost variance (121) A

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

The direct labour total cost variance can be analysed into a rate variance and an
efficiency variance. These are calculated in a similar way to the direct materials price
and usage variances.
 A rate variance measures the difference between the actual wage rate paid per
labour hour and the rate that should have been paid (the standard rate of pay).
 An efficiency variance (or productivity variance) measures the difference between
the time taken to make the production output and the time that should have been
taken (the standard time).

4.2 Direct labour rate variance


The direct labour rate variance is calculated for the actual number of hours paid
for.
The actual labour cost of the actual hours paid for is compared with the standard
cost for those hours. The difference is the labour rate variance.

Illustration: Direct labour – rate variance



Standard labour cost of actual production:
Actual hours paid for  Standard rate per hour X

Actual labour cost of actual production


Actual hours paid for  Actual rate per hour (X)
X

Example: Direct labour – rate variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦500 per hour) = ₦2,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000

Direct labour rate variance is calculated as follows:


₦‘000
Standard: 4,200 hours should cost (@ ₦500 per hour) 2,100
Actual: 4,200 hours did cost (2,121)
Labour rate variance (21) A

If there are two or more different types or grades of labour, each paid at a
different standard rate per hour, a rate variance is calculated separately for each
labour grade.

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Performance management

4.3 Direct labour efficiency variance


The direct labour efficiency variance is calculated for the hours used on the units
produced.
For the actual number of standard units produced, the actual hours worked is
compared with the standard number of hours that should have been worked to
produce the actual output. The difference is the efficiency variance, measured in
hours. This is converted into a money value at the standard direct labour rate per
hour.

Illustration: Direct labour – Efficiency variance


Hours
Standard labour hours used to make the actual production X

Actual labour hours used to make the actual production (X)


Efficiency variance (hours) X
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) X
Efficiency variance (₦) X

Example Direct labour – Efficiency variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦500 per hour) = ₦2,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000

Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit) 4,000
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,200)
Efficiency variance (hours) (A) (200) A
Standard rate per hour ₦500
Efficiency variance (₦) (A) (₦100,000) A

Practice question 6
Product P234 has a standard direct labour cost per unit of:
0.5 hours × ₦12 per direct labour hour = ₦6 per unit.
During a particular month, 3,000 units of Product P234 were manufactured.
These took 1,400 hours to make and the direct labour cost was ₦16,200.
Calculate the total direct labour cost variance, the direct labour rate variance
and the direct labour efficiency variance for the month.

© Emile Woolf International 235 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 7: Variance analysis

4.4 Idle time variance


Idle time was explained in the previous chapter. Part of this explanation is
repeated here for your convenience.
Idle time occurs when the direct labour employees are being paid but have no
work to do. The causes of idle time may be:
 A breakdown in production, for example a machine breakdown that halts
the production process
 Time spent waiting for work due to a bottleneck or hold-up at an earlier
stage in the production process
 Running out of a vital direct material, and having to wait for a new delivery
of the materials from a supplier.
 A lack of work to do due to a lack of customer orders.
A feature of idle time is that it is recorded, and the hours ‘lost’ due to idle time are
measured. Idle time variance is part of the efficiency variance.
Sometimes idle time might be a feature of a production process for example
where there may be bottlenecks in a process that might lead to idle time on a
regular basis. In this case the expected idle time might be built into the standard
cost.
 If idle time is not built into the standard cost the idle time variance is always
adverse.
 If it is built into the standard cost the idle time variance might be favourable
or adverse depending on whether the actual idle time is more or less than
the standard idle time for that level of production.

Idle time not part of standard cost


As stated above if the idle time is not included in the standard cost, any idle time
is unexpected and leads to an adverse variance.

Illustration: Direct labour – idle time variance


Hours
Actual hours paid for X(X
Actual hours worked )X
Idle time (hours) X
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) X
Idle time (₦)

Calculating the idle time variance will affect the calculation of the direct labour
efficiency variance. If idle time occurs but is not recorded the idle time variance is
part of the direct labour efficiency variance.

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Performance management

Example: Direct labour – idle time variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hours  ₦500 per kg) = ₦2,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours

Direct labour idle time variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Actual hours paid for 4,200
Actual hours worked (4,100)
Idle time (hours) (100) A
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) ₦500
Idle time (₦) (₦50,000) A

Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit) 4,000
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,100)
Efficiency variance (hours) (100) A
Standard rate per hour ₦500
Efficiency variance (₦) (₦50,000) A

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

4.5 Alternative calculations


The following shows the line by line approach for labour variances.

Formula: Alternative method for calculating labour variances


AH paid for  AR X
X Rate variance
AH paid for  SR X
X Idle time variance
AH worked  SR X
X Efficiency variance
SH worked  SR X

Where:
AH = Actual hours
AR = Actual rate per hour
SR = Standard rate per hour
SH = Standard hours needed to make actual production

Example: Alternative method for calculating labour variances (Lagos


Manufacturing Limited)
Standard labour cost per unit: (4 hours  ₦500 per kg) = ₦2,000 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours

₦‘000 ₦‘000
AH paid for  AR
4,200 hours  ₦X per hour 2,121
AH paid for  SR 21 (A) Price variance
4,200 hours  ₦500 per hour 2,100
AH worked  SR 50 (A) Idle time
4,100 hours  ₦500 per hour 2,050
SH worked  SR 50 (A) Efficiency
4,000 hours  ₦500 per hour 2,000

SQ = 1,000 units  4 hours per unit = 4,000 hours

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Performance management

Practice question 7
Product P234 has a standard direct labour cost per unit of:
0.5 hours × ₦12 per direct labour hour = ₦6 per unit.
During a particular month, 3,000 units of Product P234 were manufactured.
These took 1,400 hours to make and the direct labour cost was ₦16,200.
Calculate the direct labour rate variance and the direct labour efficiency
variance for the month using the alternative approach.

4.6 Idle time variance where idle time is included in standard cost

Methods of including idle time in standard costs


There are different ways of allowing for idle time in a standard cost.
 Method 1. Include idle time as a separate element of the standard cost, so
that the standard cost of idle time is a part of the total standard cost per
unit.
 Method 2. Allow for a standard amount of idle time in the standard hours
per unit for each product. The standard hours per unit therefore include an
allowance for expected idle time.

Example: Idle time in standard (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Standard labour rate = ₦500 per hour
A unit of production should take 3.6 hours to produce.
Expected idle time is 10% of total time paid for.
Therefore 3.6 hours is 90% of the time that must be paid for to make 1 unit.
4 hours must be paid for (3.6/90%) to make 1 unit).
Expected idle time is 0.4 hours (10% of 4 hours).

Idle time can be built into the standard as follows:


Method 1 ₦
Labour 3.6 hours  ₦500 per hour 1,800
Idle time 0.4 hours  ₦500 per hour 200
2,000

Method 2 ₦
Labour 4 hours  ₦500 per hour 2,000

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

The two methods will result in the identification of the same overall variance for
idle time plus labour efficiency but the split of the number may differ.

Example: Method 1 – idle time variance (Idle time included in standard as a


separate element) (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
Standard labour rate = ₦500 per hour
A unit of production should take 3.6 hours to produce.
Expected idle time is 10% of total time paid for.
Therefore 3.6 hours is 90% of the time that must be paid for to make 1 unit.
4 hours must be paid for (3.6/90%) to make 1 unit).
Expected idle time is 0.4 hours (10% of 4 hours).

Idle time can be built into the standard as follows:


Method 1 ₦
Labour 3.6 hours  ₦500 per hour 1,800
Idle time 0.4 hours  ₦500 per hour 200
2,000

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours

Direct labour idle time variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Expected idle time (1,000 units  0.4 hours per unit) 400
Actual idle time (4,200 hours  4,100 hours) (100)
Idle time (hours) 300 F
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) ₦500
Idle time (₦) ₦150,000 F

Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 3.6 hours per unit) 3,600
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,100)
Efficiency variance (hours) (500) A
Standard rate per hour ₦500
Efficiency variance (₦) (₦250,000) A

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Performance management

Example: Method 2 – idle time variance (Idle time allowed for as a standard
amount of idle time in the standard hours per unit for each product) (Lagos
Manufacturing Limited)
Standard labour rate = ₦500 per hour
A unit of production should take 3.6 hours to produce.
Expected idle time is 10% of total time paid for.

Therefore 3.6 hours is 90% of the time that must be paid for to make 1 unit.
4 hours must be paid for (3.6/90%) to make 1 unit).
Expected idle time is 0.4 hours (10% of 4 hours).
Idle time can be built into the standard as follows:
Method 2 ₦
Labour 4 hours  ₦500 per hour 2,000

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours at a cost of ₦2,121,000
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours

Direct labour idle time variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Expected idle time (10% of 4,200 hours paid for) 420
Actual idle time (4,200 hours  4,100 hours) (100)
Idle time (hours) 320 F
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) ₦500
Idle time (₦) ₦160,000 F

Direct labour efficiency variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (4 hours per unit
less10% of the hours paid for = 4,000 – (10% of 4,200)) 3,580
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,100)
Efficiency variance (hours) (520) A
Standard rate per hour ₦500
Efficiency variance (₦) (₦260,000) A

In summary the idle time variance is part of the efficiency variance. Different
methods result in a different split of the idle time variance and efficiency variance
but the figures always sum to the same total.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Revisiting the previous examples:

Example: Sum of idle time and efficiency variances (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
Idle time Efficiency
variance variance Total
Idle time not recorded  100 (A) 100 (A)
Idle time recorded:
not part of standard cost 50 (A) 50 (A) 100 (A)
part of standard cost
(method 1) 150 (F) 250 (A) 100 (A)
part of standard cost
(method 2) 160 (F) 260 (A) 100 (A)

4.7 Direct labour: possible causes of variances


When labour variances appear significant, management should investigate the
reason why they occurred, and take control measures where appropriate to
improve the situation in the future. Possible causes of labour variances include
the following.
Possible causes of favourable labour rate variances include:
 Using direct labour employees who were relatively inexperienced and new
to the job (favourable rate variance, because these employees would be
paid less than ‘normal’).
 Actual pay increase turning out to be less than expected.
Possible causes of adverse labour rate variances include:
 An increase in pay for employees.
 Working overtime hours paid at a premium above the basic rate.
 Using direct labour employees who were more skilled and experienced
than the ‘normal’ and who are paid more than the standard rate per hour
(adverse rate variance).
Possible causes of favourable labour efficiency variances include:
 More efficient methods of working.
 Good morale amongst the workforce and good management with the result
that the work force is more productive.
 If incentive schemes are introduced to the workforce, this may encourage
employees to work more quickly and therefore give rise to a favourable
efficiency variance.
 Using employees who are more experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
favourable efficiency variances as they are able to complete their work
more quickly than less-experienced colleagues.
Possible causes of adverse labour efficiency variances include:
 Using employees who are less experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
adverse efficiency variances.
 An event causing poor morale.

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Performance management

5 VARIABLE PRODUCTION OVERHEAD VARIANCES

Section overview

 Variable production overhead: total cost variance


 Variable production overhead expenditure variance
 Variable production overhead efficiency variance
 Alternative calculations
 Variable production overheads: possible causes of variances

5.1 Variable production overhead: total cost variance


The total variable production overhead cost variance is the difference between
the actual variable production overhead cost in producing units in the period and
the standard variable production overhead cost of producing those units.

Illustration: Variable production overhead – total cost variance



Standard variable production overhead cost of actual production:
Actual units produced  Standard hrs per unit  Standard rate per hr X

Actual variable production overhead cost of actual production:


Actual units produced  Actual hours per unit  Actual rate per hour (X)
X

The variance is adverse (A) if actual cost is higher than the standard cost, and
favourable (F) if actual cost is less than the standard cost.

Example: Variable production overhead – Total cost variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per hr) =
₦800 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Variable production overhead = ₦945,000.
Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours

Direct variable production overhead total cost variance is calculated as


follows:
₦‘000
Standard: 1,000 units should cost (@ ₦800 per unit) 800
Actual: 1,000 units did cost (945)
Total cost variance (145) A

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

The variable production overhead total cost variance can be analysed into an
expenditure variance (spending rate per hour variance) and an efficiency variance.
 The expenditure variance is similar to a materials price variance or a labour rate
variance. It is the difference between actual variable overhead spending in the
hours worked and what the spending should have been (the standard rate).
 The variable overhead efficiency variance in hours is the same as the labour
efficiency variance in hours (excluding any idle time variance), and is calculated
in a very similar way. It is the variable overhead cost or benefit from adverse or
favourable direct labour efficiency variances.

5.2 Variable production overhead expenditure variance


It is normally assumed that variable production overheads are incurred during
hours actively worked, but not during any hours of idle time.
 The variable production overhead expenditure variance is calculated by
taking the actual number of hours worked.
 The actual variable production overhead cost of the actual hours worked is
compared with the standard cost for those hours. The difference is the
variable production overhead expenditure variance.
A variable production overhead expenditure variance is calculated as follows.
Like the direct labour rate variance, it is calculated by taking the actual number of
labour hours worked, since it is assumed that variable overhead expenditure
varies with hours worked.

Illustration: Variable production overhead expenditure variance



Standard variable production overhead cost of actual production:
Actual hours worked  Standard rate per hour X

Actual variable production overhead cost of actual purchases


Actual hours worked  Actual rate per hour (X)
X

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Performance management

Example: Variable production overhead expenditure variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per hr) =
₦800 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours at a variable overhead cost of ₦945,000.

Variable production overhead rate variance is calculated as follows:


₦‘000
Standard: 4,100 hours should cost (@ ₦200 per hour) 820
Actual: 4,100 hours did cost (945)
Variable production overhead rate variance (125) A

5.3 Variable production overhead efficiency variance


The variable production overhead efficiency variance in hours is exactly the same
as the direct labour efficiency variance in hours.
It is converted into a money value at the standard variable production overhead
rate per hour.

Illustration: Variable production overhead – Efficiency variance


Hours
Standard hours used to make the actual production X

Actual hours used to make the actual production (X)


Efficiency variance (hours) X
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) X
Efficiency variance (₦) X

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Example Variable production overhead efficiency variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per kg) =
₦800 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours at a variable overhead cost of ₦945,000.

Variable production overhead efficiency variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit) 4,000
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,100)
Efficiency variance (hours) (100) A
Standard rate per hour ₦200
Efficiency variance (₦) (₦20,000) A

Practice question 8
Product P123 has a standard variable production overhead cost per unit of:
1.5 hours × ₦2 per direct labour hour = ₦3 per unit.
During a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
These took 2,780 hours to make and the variable production overhead cost
was ₦6,550.
Calculate the total variable production overhead cost variance, the variable
production overhead expenditure variance and the variable production
overhead efficiency variance for the month.

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Performance management

5.4 Alternative calculations


The following shows the line by line approach for variable production overhead
variances.

Formula: Alternative method for calculating variable production overhead


variances
AH worked  AR X
X Rate variance
AH worked  SR X
X Efficiency variance
SH worked  SR X

Where:
AH = Actual hours
AR = Actual rate per hour
SR = Standard rate per hour
SH = Standard hours needed to make actual production

Example: Alternative method for calculating variable production overhead


variances (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
Standard variable production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦200 per kg) =
₦800 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
Labour hours worked: 4,100 hours at a variable overhead cost of ₦945,000.

₦‘000 ₦‘000
AH worked  AR
4,100 hours  ₦X per hour 945
AH worked  SR 125 (A) Expenditure
4,100 hours  ₦200 per hour 820
SH worked  SR 20 (A) Efficiency
4,000 hours  ₦200 per hour 800

SH = 1,000 units  4 hours per unit = 4,000 hours

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Practice question 9
Product P123 has a standard variable production overhead cost per unit of:
1.5 hours × ₦2 per direct labour hour = ₦3 per unit.
During a particular month, 2,000 units of Product P123 were manufactured.
These took 2,780 hours to make and the variable production overhead cost
was ₦6,550.
Calculate the variable production overhead expenditure variance and the
variable production overhead efficiency variance for the month using the
alternative approach.

5.5 Variable production overhead: possible causes of variances


Possible causes of favourable variable production overhead expenditure
variances include:
 Forecast increase in costs not materialising
Possible causes of adverse variable production overhead variances include:
 Unexpected increases in energy prices
Anything that causes labour efficiency variance will have an impact on variable
production overhead efficiency variances as variable production overhead is
incurred as the labour force carries out production.
Possible causes of favourable variable production overhead efficiency variances
include:
 More efficient methods of working.
 Good morale amongst the workforce and good management with the result
that the work force is more productive.
 If incentive schemes are introduced to the workforce, this may encourage
employees to work more quickly and therefore give rise to a favourable
efficiency variance.
 Using employees who are more experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
favourable efficiency variances as they are able to complete their work
more quickly than less-experienced colleagues.
Possible causes of adverse variable production overhead efficiency variances
include:
 Using employees who are less experienced than ‘standard’, resulting in
adverse efficiency variances.
 An event causing poor morale.

© Emile Woolf International 248 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

6 FIXED PRODUCTION OVERHEAD COST VARIANCES: ABSORPTION


COSTING

Section overview

 Over/under absorption
 Total fixed production overhead cost variance
 Fixed production overhead expenditure variance
 Fixed production overhead volume variance
 Fixed production overhead efficiency and capacity variances
 Fixed production overheads: possible causes of variances

6.1 Over/under absorption


Variances for fixed production overheads are different from variances for variable
costs.
With standard absorption costing, the standard cost per unit is a full production
cost, including an amount for absorbed fixed production overhead. Every unit
produced is valued at standard cost.
This means that production overheads are absorbed into production costs at a
standard cost per unit produced. This standard fixed cost per unit is derived from
a standard number of direct labour hours per unit and a fixed overhead rate per
hour.
The total fixed overhead cost variance is the total amount of under-absorbed or
over-absorbed overheads, where overheads are absorbed at the standard fixed
overhead cost per unit.
It was explained in an earlier chapter that the total under- or over-absorption of
fixed overheads can be analysed into an expenditure variance and a volume
variance.
The total volume variance can be analysed even further in standard absorption
costing, into a fixed overhead capacity variance and a fixed overhead efficiency
variance.
Fixed overhead variances are as follows:

Illustration: Analysis of fixed production overhead variances

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

6.2 Total fixed production overhead cost variance


The total fixed overhead cost variance is the amount of:
 under-absorbed fixed production overhead (= adverse variance) or
 over-absorbed fixed production overhead (= favourable variance).
Overheads are absorbed at a standard fixed cost per unit produced, not at
standard rate per hour.

Illustration: Fixed production overhead – total cost variance (over/under


absorption)

Fixed production overhead absorbed in the period:
Actual units produced  Fixed production overhead per unit X
Actual fixed production overhead incurred in the period (X)
Total fixed production overhead variance (Over/(under) absorption) X

The total fixed production overhead cost variance can be analysed into an
expenditure variance and a volume variance. Together, these variances explain
the reasons for the under- or over-absorption.

Example: Fixed production overhead – total cost variance (over/under absorption)


(Lagos Manufacturing Limited)
Budgeted fixed production overhead ₦2,880,000
Budgeted production hours:
= Budgeted production volume  Standard hours per unit
= 1,200 units  4 hours per unit 4,800 hours
Overhead absorption rate ₦2,880,000/4,800 hours ₦600 per hour
Standard fixed production overhead per unit
= 4 hours  ₦600 per hour ₦2,400 per unit

Actual fixed production overhead ₦2,500,000


Actual production 1,000 units

The total cost variance for fixed production overhead (over/under absorption)
is calculated as follows:
₦‘000
Fixed production overhead absorbed in the period:
= Actual units produced  Fixed production overhead per unit
= 1,000 units  ₦2,400 per unit 2,400
Actual fixed production overhead incurred in the period (2,500)
Under absorption (100) A

The amount of fixed production overhead absorption rate is a function of the


budgeted fixed production overhead expenditure and the budgeted production
volume.
The total variance can be explained in these terms.

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Performance management

6.3 Fixed production overhead expenditure variance


A fixed production overhead expenditure variance is very easy to calculate. It is
simply the difference between the budgeted fixed production overhead
expenditure and actual fixed production overhead expenditure.

Illustration: Fixed production overhead – expenditure variance


Budgeted fixed production overhead X
Actual fixed production overhead incurred (X)
Fixed production overhead expenditure variance X

An adverse expenditure variance occurs when actual fixed overhead expenditure


exceeds the budgeted fixed overhead expenditure.
A favourable expenditure variance occurs when actual fixed overhead
expenditure is less than budget.

Example: Fixed production overhead – expenditure variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
₦‘000
Budgeted fixed production overhead 2,880
Actual fixed production overhead (2,500)
Fixed production overhead expenditure variance 380 F

Fixed overhead expenditure variances can be calculated, for control reporting, for
other overheads as well as production overheads. For example:
 an administration fixed overheads expenditure variance is the difference
between budgeted and actual fixed administration overhead costs
 a sales and distribution fixed overhead expenditure variance is the
difference between budgeted and actual fixed sales and distribution
overhead costs

6.4 Fixed production overhead volume variance


The fixed production overhead volume variance measures the amount of fixed
overheads under- or over-absorbed because of the fact that actual production
volume differs from the budgeted production volume.
The volume variance is measured first of all in either units of output or standard
hours of the output units.
The volume variance in units (or standard hours of those units) is converted into
a money value, as appropriate, at the standard fixed overhead cost per unit (or
the standard fixed overhead rate per standard hour produced).

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Illustration: Fixed production overhead – volume variance


Units
Actual number of units produced X(X
Budgeted production )X
Fixed production overhead volume variance (units) X
Standard absorption rate per unit X
Fixed production overhead volume variance (₦)

Example Fixed production overhead – volume variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
Budgeted fixed production overhead ₦2,880,000
Budgeted production hours:
= Budgeted production volume  Standard hours per unit
= 1,200 units  4 hours per unit 4,800 hours
₦2,880,000
Overhead absorption rate /4,800 hours ₦600 per hour
Standard fixed production overhead per unit
= 4 hours  ₦600 per hour ₦2,400 per unit

Actual fixed production overhead ₦2,500,000


Actual production 1,000 units

The volume variance is calculated as follows:


Units
Actual number of units produced 1,000
Budgeted production (1,200)
Fixed production overhead volume variance (units) (200) A
Fixed production overhead per unit ₦2,400
Fixed production overhead volume variance (₦) ₦480,000 A

Practice questions 10
A company budgeted to make 5,000 units of a single standard product in
Year 1.
Budgeted direct labour hours are 10,000 hours.
Budgeted fixed production overhead is ₦40,000.
Actual production in Year 1 was 5,200 units, and fixed production overhead
was ₦40,500.
Calculate the total fixed production overhead cost variance, the fixed
overhead expenditure variance and the fixed overhead volume variance for
the year.

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Performance management

6.5 Fixed production overhead efficiency and capacity variances


Any volume variance might be due to two reasons:
 The company has worked a different number of hours than budgeted. They
have operated at a different capacity.
 During the hours worked the company has operated at a different level of
efficiency to that budgeted.
The fixed production overhead volume variance can be analysed into a fixed
overhead efficiency variance and a fixed overhead capacity variance.

Fixed production overhead efficiency variance


This is exactly the same, in hours, as the direct labour efficiency variance and the
variable production overhead efficiency variance.
It is converted into a money value at the standard fixed overhead rate per hour.

Illustration: Fixed production overhead – Efficiency variance


Hours
Standard hours used to make the actual production X
Actual hours used to make the actual production (X)
Efficiency variance (hours) X
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) X
Efficiency variance (₦) X

Example: Fixed production overhead efficiency variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
Standard fixed production overhead cost per unit: (4 hrs  ₦600 per hr) =
₦2,400 per unit

Actual production in period = 1,000 units.


Labour hours paid for: 4,200 hours
Labour hours worked: 4,100

Fixed production overhead efficiency variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Standard:
Making 1,000 units should have used (@ 4 hours per unit) 4,000
Actual: Making 1,000 units did use (4,100)
Efficiency variance (hours) (100) A
Standard rate per hour ₦600
Efficiency variance (₦) (₦60,000) A

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Fixed production overhead capacity variance


This is the difference between the budgeted and actual hours worked (excluding
any idle time hours). It is converted into a money value at the standard fixed
overhead rate per hour.

Illustration: Fixed production overhead – Capacity variance


Hours
Actual number of hours worked X
Budgeted hours to be worked (X)
Capacity variance (hours) X
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) X
Capacity variance (₦) X

Example: Fixed production overhead capacity variance (Lagos Manufacturing


Limited)
Budgeted fixed production overhead ₦2,880,000
Budgeted production hours:
= Budgeted production volume  Standard hours per unit
= 1,200 units  4 hours per unit 4,800 hours
₦2,880,000
Overhead absorption rate /4,800 hours ₦600 per hour
Standard fixed production overhead per unit
= 4 hours  ₦600 per hour ₦2,400 per unit

Actual fixed production overhead ₦2,500,000


Actual production 1,000 units

The fixed production overhead capacity variance is calculated as follows:


Hours
Actual number of hours worked 4,100
Budgeted hours to be worked (4,800)
Capacity variance (hours) (700) A
Standard rate per hour (multiply by) ₦600
Capacity variance y variance (₦) (₦420,000) A

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Performance management

Practice questions 11
A company budgeted to make 5,000 units of a single standard product in
Year 1.
Budgeted direct labour hours are 10,000 hours.
Budgeted fixed production overhead is ₦40,000.
Actual production in Year 1 was 5,200 units in 10,250 hours of work, and
fixed production overhead was ₦40,500.
Calculate the fixed overhead efficiency variance and the fixed overhead
capacity variance for the year.

6.6 Fixed production overheads: possible causes of variances


Some of the possible causes of fixed production overhead variances include the
following.

Fixed overhead expenditure variance


 Poor control over overhead spending (adverse variance) or good control
over spending (favourable variance).
 Poor budgeting for overhead spending. If the budget for overhead
expenditure is unrealistic, there will be an expenditure variance due to poor
planning rather than poor expenditure control.
 Unplanned increases or decreases in items of expenditure for fixed
production overheads, for example, an unexpected increase in factory rent.

Fixed overhead volume variance


A fixed overhead volume variance can be explained by anything that made actual
output volume different from the budgeted volume. The reasons could be:
 Efficient working by direct labour: a favourable labour efficiency variance
results in a favourable fixed overhead efficiency variance.
 Working more hours or less hours than budgeted (capacity variance).
 An unexpected increase or decrease in demand for a product, with the
result that longer hours were worked (adverse capacity variance).
 Strike action by the workforce, resulting in a fall in output below budgeted
output (adverse capacity variance).
 Extensive breakdowns in machinery, resulting in lost production (adverse
capacity variance).

© Emile Woolf International 255 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 7: Variance analysis

7 SALES VARIANCES

Section overview

 Sales variances: Introduction


 Sales price variance
 Sales volume variance
 Sales: possible causes of variances

7.1 Sales variances: Introduction


Sales variances, unlike cost variances, are not recorded in a standard costing
system of cost accounts (in the cost ledger). However, sales variances are
included in variance reports to management.
They help to reconcile actual profit with budgeted profit.
They help management to assess the sales performance.
There are two sales variances:
 a sales price variance; and
 a sales volume variance

7.2 Sales price variance


A sales price variance shows the difference between:
 the actual sales prices achieved for items that were sold, and
 their standard sales price
To calculate this variance, you should take the actual items sold, and compare
the actual sales revenue with the standard selling prices for the items. This
compares the revenue actually generated to the revenue that should have been
generated if the items were sold at the standard selling price per unit.

Illustration: Sales price variance



Standard revenue for actual sales
Actual sales  Standard selling price per unit X

Actual revenue
Actual sales  Actual selling price per unit (X)
X

There is a favourable sales price variance if units were sold for more than their
standard sales price, and an adverse variance if sales prices were below the
standard price.

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Performance management

Example: Sales price variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)

Budgeted sales volume 1,000 units


Budgeted selling price per unit ₦15,000

Actual sales volume 900 units


Actual revenue ₦12,600,000

Sales price variance is calculated as follows:


₦‘000
Standard revenue for actual sales
900 units  ₦15,000 per unit 13,500

Actual revenue
Actual sales  Actual selling price per unit (12,600)
Sales price variance 900 A

7.3 Sales volume variance


A sales volume variance shows the effect on profit of the difference between the
actual sales volume and the budgeted sales volume.
In a standard absorption costing system, the sales volume variance might be
called a sales volume profit variance.
The variance is calculated by comparing the actual number of units sold (actual
sales volume) to the number of units expected to be sold when the original
budget was drafted (budgeted sales volume).
This is then expressed as a money value by multiplying it by the standard profit
per unit.

Illustration: Sales volume variance


Units
Budgeted sales volume X
Actual sales volume (X)
Sales volume variance (units) X
Standard profit per unit (multiply by) X
Sales volume variance (₦) X

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Example: Sales volume variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)

Budgeted sales volume 1,000 units


Budgeted selling price per unit ₦15,000
Standard cost per unit (from the standard cost card) ₦10,200
Therefore, standard profit per unit ₦4,800

Actual sales volume 900 units


Actual revenue ₦12,600,000

Sales volume variance is calculated as follows:


Units
Budgeted sales volume 1,000
Actual sales volume 900
Sales volume variance (units) (100) A
Standard profit per unit (multiply by) ₦4,800
Sales volume variance (₦480,000) A

The volume variance is favourable if actual sales volume is higher than the
budgeted volume and adverse if the actual sales volume is below budget.
There is an alternative method of calculating the sales volume variance, which
produces exactly the same figure for the variance.

Practice question 12
A company budgets to sell 7,000 units of Product P456. It uses a standard
absorption costing system. The standard sales price of Product P456 is
₦50 per unit and the standard cost per unit is ₦42.
Actual sales were 7,200 units, which sold for ₦351,400.
Calculate the sales price variance and sales volume variance.

7.4 Sales: possible causes of variances


Possible causes of sales variances include the following:

Sales price variance


 Actual increases in prices charged for products were higher or less than
expected due to market conditions.
 Actual sales prices were less than standard because major customers were
given an unplanned price discount.
 Competitors reduced their prices, forcing the company to reduce the prices
of its own products.

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Performance management

Sales volume variance


 Actual sales demand was more or less than expected.
 The sales force worked well and achieved more sales than budgeted.
 An advertising campaign had more success than expected.
 A competitor went into liquidation, and the company attracted some of the
former competitor’s customers.
 The products that the company makes and sells are going out of fashion
earlier than expected; therefore the sales volume variance was adverse.

8 INTERRELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN VARIANCES

Section overview

 The nature of interrelationships between variances


 Sales price and sales volume
 Materials price and usage
 Labour rate and efficiency
 Labour rate and variable overhead efficiency
 Capacity and efficiency
 Footnote: the importance of reliable standard costs

8.1 The nature of interrelationships between variances


Some causes of individual variances have already been listed.
The reasons for variances might also be connected, and two or more variances
might arise from the same cause. This is known as an interrelationship between
two variances.
For example, one variance might be favourable and another variance might be
adverse. Taking each variance separately, the favourable variance might suggest
good performance and the adverse variance might suggest bad performance.
However, the two variances might be inter-related, and the favourable variance
and the adverse variance might have the same cause. When this happens,
management should look at the two variances together, in order to assess their
significance and decide whether control action is needed.
Examples of interrelationships between variances are given below.

8.2 Sales price and sales volume


A favourable sales price variance and an adverse sales volume variance might
have the same cause. If a company increases its selling prices above the
standard price, the sales price variance will be favourable, but sales demand
might fall and the sales volume variance would be adverse.
Similarly, in order to sell more products a company might decide to reduce its
selling prices. There would be an adverse sales price variance due to the
reduction in selling prices, but there should also be an increase in sales and a
favourable sales volume variance.

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8.3 Materials price and usage
A materials price variance and usage variance might be inter-related. For
example, if a company decides to use a material for production that is more
expensive than the normal or standard material, but easier to use and better in
quality, there will be an adverse price variance. However a consequence of
using better materials might be lower wastage. If there is less wastage, there will
be a favourable material usage variance. Therefore, using a different quality of
material can result in an adverse price variance and a favourable usage variance.

8.4 Labour rate and efficiency


If there is a change in the grade of workers used to do some work, both the rate
and efficiency variances may be affected.
For example, if a lower grade of labour is used instead of the normal higher
grade:
 there should be a favourable rate variance because the workers will be paid
less than the standard rate
 however the lower grade of labour may work less efficiently and take longer
to produce goods than the normal higher grade of labour would usually
take. If the lower grade of labour takes longer, then this will give rise to an
adverse efficiency variance.
Therefore the change in the grade of labour used results in two ‘opposite’
variances, an adverse efficiency variance and a favourable rate variance.
When inexperienced employees are used, they might also waste more materials
than more experienced employees would, due to mistakes that they make in their
work. The result might be not only adverse labour efficiency, but also adverse
materials usage.

8.5 Labour rate and variable overhead efficiency


When a production process operates at a different level of efficiency the true cost
of that difference is the sum of any costs associated with labour hours. Therefore,
the issues described above also affect the variable overhead efficiency variance.

8.6 Capacity and efficiency


If a production process operates at a higher level of efficiency that might mean
that it does not have to operate for as long to produce the budgeted production
volume. The favourable fixed production overhead efficiency variance would
cause an adverse fixed production overhead capacity variance.
The reverse is also true. If a production process operates at a lower level of
efficiency that might mean that it has to operate for longer than was budgeted.
The adverse efficiency fixed production overhead variance would cause a
favourable fixed production overhead capacity variance.

8.7 Footnote: the importance of reliable standard costs


It is important to remember that the value of variances as control information for
management depends on the reliability and accuracy of the standard costs. If the
standard costs are inaccurate, comparisons between actual cost and standard
cost will have no meaning. Adverse or favourable variances might be caused by
inaccurate standard costs rather than by inefficient or efficient working.

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

9 RECONCILING BUDGETED AND ACTUAL PROFIT: STANDARD


ABSORPTION COSTING

Section overview

 Purpose of an operating statement


 Format of an operating statement

9.1 Purpose of an operating statement


A management report called an operating statement might be prepared, showing
how the difference between budgeted and actual profit is explained by the sales
variances and cost variances. An operating statement reconciles the profit that
was expected in the budget with the actual profit that was achieved.
The purpose of an operating statement is to report all variances to management,
so that management can assess the effect they are having on profitability. Senior
management can also use an operating statement to assess the success of
junior managers in controlling costs and achieving sales.

9.2 Format of an operating statement


In a standard absorption costing system, an operating statement can be set out
as follows.
This is best demonstrated with an example. The variances calculated for Lagos
Manufacturing Limited will be used.

Example: Operating statement for Lagos Manufacturing Limited (standard total


absorption costing)
₦‘000 ₦‘000 ₦‘000
Budgeted profit 4,800
Sales price variance (900) (A)
Sales volume variance (480) (A)
3,420
Cost variances (F) (A)
Direct materials price 242
Direct materials usage 150
Direct labour rate 21
Direct labour efficiency 50
Direct labour idle time 50
Variable production o’head expenditure 125
Variable production o’head efficiency 20
Fixed production overhead expenditure 380
Fixed production overhead efficiency 60
Fixed production overhead capacity 420
Total cost variances 772 746 26 F
Actual profit 3,446

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Performance management

Note: Other overhead expenditure variances, assuming administration


overheads and selling and distribution overheads are all fixed costs, are the
difference between:
 budgeted other overheads expenditure, and
 actual other overheads expenditure.
In a system of absorption costing:
 The operating statement begins with the budgeted profit.
 The sales variances are shown next. These are added to (favourable
variances) or subtracted from (adverse variances), and the resulting figure
is shown as a sub-total. This figure is the actual sales revenue in the period
minus the standard production cost of sales.
 The cost variances are listed next. They can be listed in any format, but
showing separate columns for favourable variances and adverse variances
helps to make the statement clear to the reader. Adverse variances reduce
the profit and favourable variances add to profit.
 The cost variances are added up and then shown as a total.
 The actual profit is shown as the final figure, at the bottom of the operating
statement.

10 STANDARD MARGINAL COSTING


Section overview

 Standard marginal costing


 Standard marginal costing variances
 Standard marginal costing operating statement

10.1 Standard marginal costing


The Lagos Manufacturing Limited example used in the earlier sections was
based on the company using standard total absorption costing.
This sections looks at what happens when a company uses standard marginal
costing instead.
Under marginal costing units produced and finished goods inventory are
valued at standard variable production cost, not standard full production cost.
This means that the budgeted profit will differ from that found for the same
scenario under total absorption costing.
Marginal costing variances are calculated exactly as before with two important
differences:
 the sales volume variance is expressed as a monetary amount by
multiplying the volume variance expressed in units by the standard
contribution per unit rather than the standard profit per unit; and

 there is no fixed overhead volume variance.

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The Lagos Manufacturing Limited example will be used to illustrate the
approach.

Example: Standard cost card (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Direct materials 5 kg @ ₦1,000 per kg 5,000
Direct labour 4 hours @ ₦500 per hour 2,000
Variable overhead 4 hours @ ₦200 per hour 800
Marginal production cost 7,800

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Performance management

Fixed budget
Here is the flexed budget to show the detailed calculation of the budgeted profit.

Example: Flexed budget for a period


Lagos Manufacturing Limited has budgeted to make 1,200 units and sell 1,000
units in January.
The selling price per unit is budgeted at ₦15,000.
The standard costs of production are as given in the previous example.
The budget prepared for January is as follows:

Unit sales 1,000


Unit production 1,200

Budget ₦‘000
Sales (1,000 units  15,000) 15,000
Cost of sales:
Materials (1,200 units ₦5,000 per unit) 6,000
Labour (1,200 units  ₦2,000 per unit) 2,400
Variable overhead (1,200 units  ₦800 per unit) 960
9,360
Closing inventory (200 units  ₦7,800 per unit) (1,560)
Cost of sales (1,000 units  ₦7,800 per unit) (7,800)
7,200
Fixed overhead (2,880)
Profit 4,320

This figure could have been calculated more easily as follows:

Example: Fixed budget for a period


₦‘000
Budgeted contribution
(1,000 units  (₦15,000  ₦7,800) 7,200
Less: Budgeted fixed production overhead (2,880)
Profit 4,320

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Flexed budget
Here are profit statements redrafted to marginal cost basis.

Example: Fixed budget, flexed budget and actual results for a period. (Lagos
Manufacturing Limited)
Fixed Flexed
budget budget Actual
Unit sales 1,000 900 900
Unit production 1,200 1,000 1,000

Budget Actual Actual


Budget ₦‘000 ₦‘000 ₦‘000
Sales 15,000 13,500 12,600
Cost of sales:
Materials 6,000 5,000 4,608
Labour 2,400 2,000 2,121
Variable overhead 960 800 945
9,360 7,800 7,674
Closing inventory (1,560) (780) (780)
Cost of sales (10,200) (7,020) (6,894)
6,480 5,706
Fixed overhead (2,880) (2,400) (2,500)
Profit 4,800 4,080 3,206

Note:
The actual closing inventory of 100 units is measured at the standard
marginal production cost of ₦7,800 per unit. This is what happens in
standard costing systems.

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Performance management

10.2 Standard marginal costing variances

Identical variances
All variable cost variances are the same under standard total absorption
costing and standard marginal costing.
Sales price variance is the same under standard total absorption costing and
standard marginal costing.

Fixed overhead variances


Only the fixed production overhead expenditure variance is relevant and this is
calculated in the same way as seen previously.
There is no fixed production overhead volume variance

Sales volume variance


The sales volume variance shows the effect on contribution of the difference
between the actual sales volume and the budgeted sales volume.
The variance is calculated by comparing the actual number of units sold
(actual sales volume) to the number of units expected to be sold when the
original budget was drafted (budgeted sales volume).
This is then expressed as a money value by multiplying it by the standard
contribution per unit.

Illustration: Sales volume variance (marginal costing)


Units
Budgeted sales volume X
Actual sales volume (X)
Sales volume variance (units) X
Standard contribution per unit (multiply by) ₦X
Sales volume variance ₦X

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Example: Sales volume variance (Lagos Manufacturing Limited)


Budgeted sales volume 1,000 units
Budgeted selling price per unit ₦15,000
Standard cost per unit (from the standard cost card) ₦7,800
Therefore, standard contribution per unit ₦7,200

Sales volume variance is calculated as follows:


Units
Budgeted sales volume 1,000
Actual sales volume900
Sales volume variance (units) 100 A
Standard contribution per unit (multiply by) ₦7,200
Sales volume variance ₦720,000 A

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Performance management

10.3 Standard marginal costing operating statement


With standard marginal costing, an operating statement is presented in a
different way from an operating statement with standard absorption costing.
Budgeted contribution is reconciled with actual contribution, by means of the
sales price variance, sales volume variance and variable cost variances.
Fixed cost expenditure variances are presented in a separate part of the
operating statement.

Example: Operating statement for Lagos Manufacturing Limited (standard


marginal costing)
₦‘000 ₦‘000 ₦‘000
Budgeted contibution 7,200
Sales price variance (900) (A)
Sales volume variance (720) (A)
5,580
Cost variances (F) (A)
Direct materials price 242
Direct materials usage 150
Direct labour rate 21
Direct labour efficiency 50
Direct labour idle time 50
Variable production o’head expenditure 125
Variable production o’head efficiency 20
Total cost variances 392 266 126 F
5,706
Budgeted fixed production overhead 2,880
Fixed production overhead expenditure
variance (380) F
Less: Actual fixed production overheads (2,500)
Actual profit 3,206

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

11 PRODUCTIVITY, EFFICIENCY AND CAPACITY RATIOS

Section overview

 Resource utilisation
 Efficiency ratio
 Capacity utilisation ratio
 Production volume ratio (activity ratio)
 Summary of example
 Link to variance analysis

11.1 Resource utilisation


Resource utilisation is about how effectively resources have been used to
generate output. It is also described as productivity.
Performance measures are based on comparisons of the actual hours used to
make the actual production, the number of hours that were expected to be used
to make the actual production and the total number of hours that were expected
to be used in the period.
Three ratios are used to provide information on resource utilisation. These ratios
are related to the fixed overhead variances which were explained earlier.
The three ratios are:
 Efficiency ratio: This is concerned with how well the actual hours worked
have been used to generate output.
 Capacity ratio: This is concerned with how many hours were worked
compared to the hours that should have been worked.
 Production volume ratio: This is a function of the other two ratios.
Differences between efficiency of the hours worked compared to budgeted
efficiency and the number of the hours worked compared to the budgeted
hours, result in volume of output being different to that budgeted.

Link between the ratios


The three ratios are linked as follows:

Formula: Relationship between the three ratios


Efficiency ratio  Capacity ratio = Production volume ratio

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Performance management

11.2 Efficiency ratio)

Formula: Efficiency ratio

Efficiency Expected hours to produce the actual output


=  100
ratio Actual hours to produce the actual output

or (stated in terms of standard hours):

Efficiency Standard hours to produce the actual output


=  100
ratio Actual hours to produce the actual output

Example: Efficiency ratio


During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
Therefore:
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production 10,000
Expected time to make the actual production
(3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 10,800
Total number of hours expected to be used
(4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 12,000

The efficiency ratio is calculated as follows:

10,800 hours
Efficiency ratio =  100 = 108%
10,000 hours

The efficiency ratio expresses the number of hours that the actual production
should have taken (according to the budget) as a percentage of the actual
number of hours taken.
 When output is produced in exactly the time expected, the efficiency ratio is
100%.
 The efficiency ratio is above 100% when output is produced more quickly
(i.e. taking fewer hours) than expected.
 The efficiency ratio is below 100% when output is produced more slowly
(i.e. taking more hours) than expected.

Efficiency ratio and idle time


Employees are not always engaged in active work during the time they attend the
work place. Employees might be ‘idle’ for several reasons, such as waiting for the

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

next work to come along, or because of a halt in production due to a machine


breakdown.
When a labour efficiency ratio is calculated, the actual hours worked should
exclude any hours recorded as idle time.

11.3 Capacity utilisation ratio


The capacity utilisation ratio measures the actual hours actively working as a
percentage of the total hours available for work.
The total number of hours available for work is known as capacity. Capacity
might be expressed in terms of the budgeted hours or the actual hours that were
available for working. (It is usually expressed as the budgeted number of hours).

Capacity ratio

Formula: Capacity ratio


Capacity Actual hours worked
ratio
=  100
Total hours available for work

Example: Capacity ratio


During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
Therefore:
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production 10,000
Expected time to make the actual production
(3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 10,800
Total number of hours expected to be used
(4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 12,000

The capacity ratio is calculated as follows:

10,000 hours
Capacity ratio =  100 = 83.33%
12,000 hours

Capacity expressed as actual hours


The information provided allows the calculation of capacity as the actual hours
that should have been might worked in the week. For example, if a factory had 10
workers, who worked 8 hours per day for 6 days a week, the capacity would be
10 employees  8 hours  6 days = 480 hours).

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Performance management

Example: Capacity ratio


A production department has 6 employees who each work 40 hours a week. In a
particular week, the recorded idle time was 25 hours.
Total hours available for work = 6 employees × 40 hours = 240 hours.
The capacity ratio is calculated as follows:

(240  25) = 215 hours


Capacity ratio =  100 = 89.63%
240 hours

11.4 Production volume ratio (activity ratio)


Labour activity can also be measured by a production volume ratio which is
calculated as follows:

Production volume ratio

Formula: Production volume ratio

Volume Expected hours to produce the actual output


=  100
ratio Total hours available for work

Example: Production volume ratio


During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
Therefore:
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production 10,000
Expected time to make the actual production
(3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 10,800
Total number of hours expected to be used
(4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 12,000

The production volume ratio is calculated as follows:

10,800 hours
Production volume ratio =  100 = 90%
12,000 hours

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

11.5 Summary of example

Example: Efficiency ratio


During July, a factory planned to make 4,000 units of a product. The expected
production time is 3 direct labour hours for each unit.
The factory actually produced 3,600 units of the product.
The actual number of direct labour hours worked in the month was 10,000 hours.
Therefore:
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production 10,000
Expected time to make the actual production
(3,600 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 10,800
Total number of hours expected to be used
(4,000 units should have used 3 hours per unit) 12,000

The three ratios are calculated as follows:

10,800 hours
Efficiency ratio =  100 = 108%
10,000 hours

10,000 hours
Capacity ratio =  100 = 83.33%
12,000 hours

10,800 hours
Production volume ratio =  100 = 90
12,000 hours

Using the answers obtained above:


Labour efficiency ratio 108%
Capacity utilisation ratio  83.33%
Production volume ratio 90%

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Performance management

11.6 Link to variance analysis


The ratios discussed in this section offer another way of looking at the
information which underpins the calculation of the fixed production overhead
variances.

Example: Efficiency ratio


Returning to the variance analysis example that runs through this chapter:
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production 4,100
Expected time to make the actual production
(1,000 units should have used 4 hours per unit) 4,000
Total number of hours expected to be used
(1,200 units should have used 4 hours per unit) 4,800

The three ratios are calculated as follows:

4,000 hours
Efficiency ratio =  100 = 97.56%
4,100 hours

4,100 hours
Capacity ratio =  100 = 85.42%
4,800 hours

4,000 hours
Production volume ratio =  100 = 83.33%
4,800 hours

Using the answers obtained above:


Labour efficiency ratio 97.56%
Capacity utilisation ratio  85.42%
Production volume ratio 83.33%

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Practice question 13
A business planned to make 1,200 units at a standard time of 2 hours per
unit.
Actual production was 1,100 units.
The actual time taken was 2,250 hours.
Therefore:
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production 2,250
Expected time to make the actual production
(1,100 units should have used 2 hours per unit) 2,200
Total number of hours expected to be used
(1,200 units should have used 1 hours per unit) 2,400

Calculate the efficiency, capacity and production volume ratios and


show how they are linked to each other.

Practice question 14
A business planned to make 1,200 units at a standard time of 2 hours per
unit.
Actual production was 1,100 units.
The actual time taken was 2,250 hours.
Therefore:
During May there were 21 working days of 8 hours per day. The workforce
consists of 10 employees, who all do the same work.
Due to problems in the production system and a machine breakdown,
240 hours were recorded as idle time during the month.
During May, the workforce produced 5,400 units of output. The expected
time per unit of output is 15 minutes (= 0.25 hours).
Calculate the efficiency, capacity and production volume ratios and show
how they are linked to each other.
(Note: The actual hours worked should exclude idle time).

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Performance management

11 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain standard costing using examples

 Explain and construct a flexed budget


 Calculate sales volume variance
 Calculate, analyse and interpret various variances relating to material, labour and
factory overhead (both variable and fixed)
 Prepare an operating statement reconcile budgeted profit to actual profit using
total absorption costing (TAC) and marginal costing (MC)

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
First calculate the budgeted overhead absorption rate.
Budgeted direct labour hours hours
L: (6,000 units  1.5 hours) 9,000
H (2,000 units  3 hours) 6,000
15,000

Budgeted fixed production overheads ₦1,800,000


Fixed overhead absorption rate/hour ₦120 / hour

L H
₦ ₦
Direct materials
Material X (3 kg  ₦30) 90 (1 kg  ₦30) 30
Material Y (2 kg  ₦40) 80 (6 kg  ₦40) 240
Direct labour (1.6 hrs  ₦250) 400 (3 hrs  ₦250) 750
Variable production
overhead (1.6 hrs  ₦50) 80 (3 hrs  ₦50) 150
Standard variable
prod’n cost 650 1170
Fixed production
overhead (1.6 hrs  ₦120) 192 (3 hrs  ₦120) 360
Standard full
production cost 842 1530

Solutions 2
The total direct material cost variance is calculated as follows:


2,000 units of output should cost ( ₦15) 30,000
They did cost 33,600
Total direct materials cost variance 3,600 (A)

The variance is adverse, because actual costs were higher than the standard cost.

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Performance management

Solutions 3
The price variance is calculated on the quantity of materials purchased/used.
Materials price variance:

10,400 litres of materials should cost ( ₦3)
31,200
They did cost 33,600
Material price variance 2,400 (A)
The price variance is adverse because the materials cost more to purchase than they
should have done (i.e. actual cost was higher than the standard or expected cost).

Solutions 4
Materials usage variance
litres
2,000 units of Product P123 should use ( 5 litres) 10,000
They did use 10,400
Material usage variance in litres 400 (A)

Standard price per litre of Material A ₦3

Material usage variance in ₦ ₦1,200 (A)


The usage variance is adverse because more materials were used than expected, which
has added to costs.

Solutions 5
₦ ₦
AQ purchased  AC
10,400 litres  ₦X per kg 33,600
AQ purchased  SC 2,400 (A) Price variance
10,400 litres  ₦3 per kg 31,200
AQ used  SC nil inventory movement
10,400 litres  ₦3 per kg 31,200
SQ used  SC 1,200 (A) Usage variance
10,000 litres  ₦3 per kg 30,000

SQ = 2,000 units  5 litres per unit = 10,000 litres

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Solutions 6
Total direct labour cost variance ₦
3,000 units of output should cost ( ₦6) 18,000
They did cost 16,200
Direct labour total cost variance 1,800 (F)
The variance is favourable, because actual costs were less than the standard cost.
The direct labour rate variance is calculated by taking the actual number of hours worked
(and paid for).
Direct labour rate variance ₦
1,400 hours should cost ( ₦12) 16,800
They did cost 16,200
Direct labour rate variance 600 (F)
The rate variance is favourable because the labour hours worked cost less than they
should have done.
The labour efficiency variance, like a materials usage variance, is calculated for the
actual number of units produced. The variance in hours is converted into a money value
at the standard rate of pay per hour.
Direct labour efficiency variance
hours
3,000 units of Product P234 should take ( 0.5 hours) 1,500
They did take 1,400
Efficiency variance in hours 100 (F)

Standard direct labour rate per hour ₦12

Direct labour efficiency variance in ₦ ₦1,200 (F)


The efficiency variance is favourable because production took less time than expected,
which has reduced costs.
Labour cost variances: summary ₦
Labour rate variance 600 (F)
Labour efficiency variance 1,200 (F)
Total direct labour cost variance 1,800 (F)

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Performance management

Solutions 7
₦‘000 ₦‘000
AH paid for  AR
1,400 hours  ₦X per hour 16,200
AH paid for  SR 600 (F) Price variance
1,400 hours  ₦12 per hour 16,800
AH worked  SR zero idle time
1,400 hours  ₦12 per hour 16,800
SH worked  SR 1,200 (F) Efficiency
1,500 hours  ₦12 per hour 18,000

SQ = 3,000 units  0.5 hours per unit = 1,500 hours

Solutions 8
Total variable production overhead cost variance ₦
2,000 units of output should cost ( ₦3) 6,000
They did cost 6,550
Total variable production overhead cost variance 550 (A)

Variable production overhead expenditure variance ₦


2,780 hours should cost ( ₦2) 5,560
They did cost 6,550
Variable production overhead expenditure variance 990 (A)
The expenditure variance is adverse because the expenditure on variable overhead in the
hours worked was more than it should have been.
Variable production overhead efficiency variance
hours
2,000 units of Product P123 should take ( 1.5 hours)
3,000
They did take 2,780
Efficiency variance in hours 220 (F)

Standard variable production overhead rate per hour ₦2

Variable production overhead efficiency variance in ₦440 (F)


The efficiency variance is favourable because production took less time than expected,
which has reduced costs.
Variable production overhead cost variances: summary

Variable production overhead expenditure variance 990 (A)
Variable production overhead efficiency variance 440 (F)
Total variable production overhead cost variance 550 (A)

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Solutions 9
₦‘000 ₦‘000
AH worked  AR
2,780 hours  ₦X per hour 6,550
AH worked  SR 990 (A) Expenditure
2,780 hours  ₦2 per hour 5,560
SH worked  SR 440 (F) Efficiency
3,000 hours  ₦2 per hour 6,000

SH = 2,000 units  1.5 hours per unit = 3,000 hours

Solutions 10
Standard fixed overhead cost per unit = ₦8 (₦40,000/5,000 units)
Fixed production overhead total cost variance

5,200 units: standard fixed cost ( ₦8) 41,600
= fixed overhead absorbed
Actual fixed overhead cost expenditure 40,500
Fixed production overhead total cost variance 1,100 (F)
The variance is favourable, because fixed overhead costs have been over
absorbed.
Fixed overhead expenditure variance

Budgeted fixed production overhead expenditure 40,000
Actual fixed production overhead expenditure 40,500
Fixed overhead expenditure variance 500 (A)
This variance is adverse because actual expenditure exceeds the budgeted expenditure.
Fixed overhead volume variance
units of production
Budgeted production volume in units 5,000
Actual production volume in units 5,200
Fixed overhead volume variance in units 200 (F)

Standard fixed production overhead cost per unit ₦8

Fixed overhead volume variance in ₦ ₦1,600 (F)


This variance is favourable because actual production volume exceeded the budgeted
volume.
Summary ₦
Fixed overhead expenditure variance 500 (A)
Fixed overhead volume variance 1,600 (F)
Fixed overhead total cost variance 1,100 (F)

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Performance management

Solutions 11
The standard direct labour hours per unit = 10,000 hours/5,000 units = 2 hours per
unit.
The standard fixed overhead rate per hour = ₦40,000/10,000 hours = ₦4 per hour.
The standard fixed overhead cost per unit is 2 hours  ₦4 per hour = ₦8 (or
₦40,000/5,000 units).
Fixed overhead efficiency variance
hours
5,200 units should take (× 2 hours) 10,400
They did take 10,250
Efficiency variance in hours 150 (F)

Standard fixed overhead rate per hour ₦4


Fixed overhead efficiency variance in ₦ ₦600 (F)

Fixed overhead capacity variance


hours
Budgeted hours of work 10,000
Actual hours of work 10,250
Capacity variance in hours 250 (F)

Standard fixed overhead rate per hour ₦4

Fixed overhead capacity variance in ₦ ₦1,000 (F)


The capacity variance is favourable because actual hours worked exceeded the
budgeted hours (therefore more units have been produced).
Summary ₦
Fixed overhead efficiency variance 600 (F)
Fixed overhead capacity variance 1,000 (F)
Fixed overhead volume variance 1,600 (F)

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Chapter 7: Variance analysis

Solutions 12
The sales price variance and sales volume variance are calculated as follows.

Sales price variance ₦


7,200 units should sell for (× ₦50) 360,000
They did sell for 351,400
Sales price variance 8,600 (A)
The sales price variance is adverse because actual sales revenue from the units sold
was less than expected.
Sales volume variance:
units
Actual sales volume (units) 7,200
Budgeted sales volume (units) 7,000
Sales volume variance in units 200 (F)

Standard profit per unit (₦50 – ₦42 = ₦8) ₦8

Sales volume variance (profit variance) ₦1,600 (F)


The sales volume variance is favourable because actual sales exceeded budgeted
sales.

Solutions 13
The three ratios are calculated as follows:

(1,100  2 hours) = 2,200 hours


Efficiency ratio =  100 = 97.78%
2,250 hours

2,250 hours
Capacity ratio =  100 = 93.75%
(1,200  2 hours) = 2,400 hours

Production (1,100  2 hours) = 2,200 hours


=  100 = 91.67
volume ratio 2,400 hours

Using answers obtained above:


Labour efficiency ratio 97.78%
Capacity utilisation ratio  93.75%
Production volume ratio 91.67%

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Performance management

Solutions 14
Hours
Actual hours to make actual production
(10 employees  21 days  8 hours )  240 hours 1,440
Expected time to make the actual production
(5,400 units should have used 0.25 hours per unit) 1,350
Total number of hours expected to be used
(10 employees  21 days  8 hours ) 1,680

The three ratios are calculated as follows:

1,350 hours
Efficiency ratio =  100 = 93.75%
1,440 hours

1,440 hours
Capacity ratio =  100 = 85.71%
1,680 hours

1,350 hours
Production volume ratio =  100 = 80.35
1,680 hours

Using answers obtained above


Labour efficiency ratio 93.75%
Capacity utilisation ratio  85.71%
Production volume ratio 80.35%

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8
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Advanced variance analysis

Contents
1 Materials mix and yield variances
2 Sales volume, mix and quantity variances
3 Planning and operational variances
4 Market share and market size variances
5 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
B Planning and control
2 Variance analysis
D Calculate and apply the following variances:
Ii Material mix and yield variances;
Vii Sales mix and quantity variances;
Viii Sales market size and market share variances; and
Ix Planning and operational variances.
E Identify and explain causes of various variances and their inter-relationship.
F Analyse and reconcile variances using absorption and marginal costing
techniques

Exam context
This chapter explains more advanced types of variance analysis.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Calculate and interpret material mix and yield variances
 Calculate and interpret sales mix and quantity variances
 Calculate and interpret planning and operational variances

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

1 MATERIALS MIX AND YIELD VARIANCES

Section overview

 Introduction
 Direct materials mix variance
 Direct materials yield variance
 Summary
 Alternative method
 Factors to consider when changing the mix

1.1 Introduction
When standard costing is used for products which contain two or more items of
direct material, the total materials usage variance can be calculated by
calculating the individual usage variances in the usual way and adding them up
(netting them off).

Example: Usage variances


Product X is produced from three direct materials, A, B and C that are mixed
together in a process. The following information relates to the budget and output
for the month of January
Standard cost: Actual:
Standard
price per Standard Quantity
Material Quantity kilo cost used
kg ₦ ₦ kg
A 1 20 20 160
B 1 22 22 180
C 8 6 48 1,760
10 90 2,100
Output 1 unit 200 units

Usage variances can be calculated in the usual way:


Making 200 units should have used: A (kgs) B (kgs) C (kgs)
200  1 kg of A 200
200  1 kg of B 200
200  8 kgs of C 1,600
Making 200 units did use: (160) (180) (1,760)
Usage variance in kgs 40 (F) 20 (F) (160) (A)
Standard cost per kg (₦) 20 22 6
Usage variance in ₦ 800 (F) 440 (F) (960) (A)

Total usage variance = ₦280 (F) (800 + 440 -960)

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Performance management

Substitutable materials
If the materials are substitutable (i.e. less of one type of material can be
compensated for by more of another) the direct materials usage variance can be
analysed into:
 a materials mix variance; and
 a materials yield variance
The total of these two variances is the total material usage variance.
It is vital to understand that this further analysis should only be performed if the
materials can be substituted for each other. Mix and yield variances have a
useful meaning only when the proportions (or ‘mix’) of the different raw materials
in the final product can be varied and so are subject to management control.
For example, in the above example fewer kilograms of A than expected were
used to make 200 units but more of B and C.
In contrast if a company manufactured a car no number of extra tyres could
compensate for one less engine!

1.2 Direct materials mix variance


The materials mix variance measures how much of the total usage variance is
attributable to the fact that the actual combination or mixture of materials that was
used was more expensive or less expensive than the standard mixture for the
materials.
The mix component of the usage variance therefore indicates the effect on costs
of changing the combination (or mix or proportions) of material inputs in the
production process.
The material mix variance indicates the effect on profits of having an actual
materials mix that is different from the standard material mix.
The materials mix variance is calculated as follows (making reference to the
example above):
1) Take the total quantity of all the materials used (2,100 kgs in the example)
and calculate what the quantities of each material in the mix should be if
the total usage had been in the standard proportions or standard mix (1:1:8
in the above example).
2) Compare the actual quantities of each individual material that were used,
and the standard quantities that would have been used (the standard mix) if
the total usage had been in the standard proportions or standard mix.
3) The mix variance for each material (expressed in kgs) is the difference
between the quantity of each material actually used and the quantity of that
material that should have been used in the standard mix. The total mix
variance in material quantities is always zero.
4) Convert the mix variance for each individual material into a money value by
multiplying by the standard price per unit of the material.
5) These figures are summed to give the total mix variance

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

Example: Mix variance


Actual Mix Mix
mix variance Std. cost variance
Material (kgs) Standard mix (kgs) per kg (₦)
A 160 (10%  2,100)
210 50 (F) 20 1,000 (F)
B 180 (10%  2,100)
210 30 (F) 22 660 (F)
C 1,760 (80%  2,100)
1,680 (80) (A) 6 (480) (A)
2,100 2,100 0 1,180 (F)

For each individual item of material, the mix variance is favourable when the
actual mix is less than the standard mix, and the mix variance is adverse when
actual usage exceeds the standard mix.
The total mix variance is favourable in this example because the actual mix of
materials used is cheaper than the standard mix.

1.3 Direct materials yield variance


The materials yield variance is the difference between the actual yield from a
given input and the yield that the actual input should have given in standard
terms. It indicates the effect on costs of the total materials inputs yielding more or
less output than expected.
The yield variance can be calculated in several ways. No one method is better
than any other (use the one that makes most sense to you).

Working
Based on the above example note that:
 The standard cost of each unit (kg) of input = ₦90/10kgs = ₦9 per kilo
 The standard cost of each unit of output = ₦90 per unit

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Performance management

Method 1: Based on output


This compares the actual yield to the expected yield from the material used. The
difference is then valued at the standard cost of output.
In the above example 10 kgs of material should result in 1 unit of output.
Therefore, 2,100 kgs of material in should result in 210 units of output.
The difference between this figure and the actual output is the yield variance as a
number of units. This is then multiplied by the expected cost of a unit of output.

Example: Yield variance


Units
2,100 kgs of input should yield (@10 kgs per unit) 210
2,100 kgs of input did yield 200
Yield variance (units) 10 (A)
Standard cost of output ₦90
Materials yield variance (₦) ₦900 (A)

Method 2: Based on inputs


This compares the actual usage to achieve the yield to the expected usage to
achieve the actual yield. The difference is then valued at the standard cost of
input.
In the above example 1 unit should use 10 kgs of input.
Therefore, 200 units should use 2,000 kgs of input.
The difference between this figure and the actual input is the yield variance as a
number of units. This is then multiplied by the expected cost of a unit of output.

Example: Yield variance


Units
200 units of product X should use ( 10 kgs) 2,000
did use 2,100
Yield variance in quantities 100 (A)
Standard cost of input ₦9/kg
Yield variance in money value ₦900 (A)

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

1.4 Summary

Example: Mix variance + yield variance = usage variance



Mix variance 1,180 (F)
Yield variance (900) (A)
Usage variance (= mix + yield variances) 280 (F)

Practice question 1
Product X is produced from two direct materials, X and Y that are mixed
together in a process.
The following information relates to the budget and output for the month of
July.
Standard Actual:
Standard
price per Standard Quantity
Material Quantity litre cost used
litres ₦ ₦ litres
X 12 250 3,000 984
Y 18 300 5,400 1,230
30 8,400 2,214
Output 1 unit 72 units

Calculate the direct materials mix and yield variances.

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Performance management

1.5 Alternative method


An alternative approach is to use a line by line method.
This starts with the standard cost of the actual quantity used in the actual mix.
This figure is made up as:
 Actual Quantity (AQ) in the Actual Mix (AM) at the Standard Cost per unit
(SC)
 Elements of this are then changed in sequence to identify the variances. In
the table below the element that changes has been written in bold.

Example: Mix and yield variances


AQ in AM @ SC
kgs ₦ ₦
A 160 × 20 3,200
B 180 × 22 3,960
C 1,760 × 6 10,560
2,100 17,720

AQ in SM @ SC
A (0.1) 210 × 20 4,200 1,180 F MIX
B (0.1) 210 × 22 4,620
C (0.8) 1,680 × 6 10,080
2,100 18,900

SQ in SM @ SC
A (0.1) 200 × 20 4,000
B (0.1) 200 × 22 4,400 900 A YIELD
C (0.8) 1,600 × 6 9,600
2,0001 18,000

1 This figure is the number of kgs that making 200 units should have used.

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

At first sight this seems to be a very long winded technique. However, some of
the calculations can be simplified by using the standard costs of input or output.
The calculation then becomes:

Example: Mix and yield variances


AQ in AM @ SC
kgs ₦ ₦
A 160 × 20 3,200
B 180 × 22 3,960
C 1,760 × 6 10,560
2,100 17,720

AQ in SM @ SC of 1,180 F MIX
input
2,100 9 18,900

SQ in SM @ SC of 900 A YIELD
input
2,000 9 18,000
or SC of
output
200 units 90 18,000

You are encouraged to use the above method as it is much quicker.

1.6 Factors to consider when changing the mix


Analysis of the material usage variance into the mix and yield components is
worthwhile if management have control of the proportion of each material used.
Management will seek to find the optimum mix for the product and ensure that
the process operates as near to this optimum as possible.
Identification of the optimum mix involves consideration of several factors:
 Cost. The cheapest mix may not be the most cost effective. Often a
favourable mix variance is offset by an adverse yield variance and the total
cost per unit may increase.
 Quality. Using a cheaper mix may result in a lower quality product and the
customer may not be prepared to pay the same price. A cheaper product
may also result in higher sales returns and loss of repeat business.

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Performance management

Practice question 2
Product X is produced from two direct materials, X and Y that are mixed
together in a process.
The following information relates to the budget and output for the month of
July.
Standard Actual:
Standard
price per Standard Quantity
Material Quantity litre cost used
litres ₦ ₦ litres
X 12 250 3,000 984
Y 18 300 5,400 1,230
30 8,400 2,214
Output 1 unit 72 units

Calculate the direct materials mix and yield variances using the line by
line method.

© Emile Woolf International 296 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

2 SALES VOLUME, MIX AND QUANTITY VARIANCES

Section overview

 Sales volume variance


 The sales quantity variance
 The sales mix variance
 Alternative method

2.1 Sales volume variance


When a company sells more than one product a volume variance can be
calculated for each individual product in the usual way. In such cases the total
sales volume variance is then the sum of the individual sales volume variances.

Example: Sales volume variance


The following information relates to the sales budget and actual sales volume
results for X Ltd for the month of March.
Product X Y Z Total
Budgeted sales (units) 240 140 120 500
Unit contribution ₦50 ₦70 ₦60
Total contribution ₦12,000 ₦9,800 ₦7,200 ₦29,000

Standard average contribution


per unit (₦29,000/500 units) ₦58

Actual sales (units) 200 220 180 600

The individual sales volume variances and the total sales volume variance for the
month of March are as follows:
Sales volume variances
X Y Z
Actual sales (units) 200 220 180
Budgeted sales (units) 240 140 120
Volume variance (units) (40) A 80 F 60 F
Standard contribution per unit ₦50 ₦70 ₦60
Volume variance (contribution) (₦2,000) ₦5,600 ₦3,600
Total ₦7,200

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Performance management

In the above example, there are two differences between the budgeted unit sales
and the actual unit sales. Firstly, the budget was to sell 500 units whereas the
company has actually sold 600 units. The second difference is that the company
had budgeted to sell 500 units containing a budgeted mix of units X, Y and Z but
they have actually sold 600 units with a different mix of these items.
The total sales volume variance can be analysed into:
 a sales quantity variance; and
 a sales mix variance.

2.2 The sales quantity variance


The sales quantity variance indicates the effect on profits of the total quantity of
sales being different from that budgeted, assuming that they are sold in the
budgeted sales mix. If this was the case the average standard contribution per
unit would be the same as budgeted.
The quantity variance is calculated as follows:

Illustration: Sales quantity variance


Units
Budgeted sales in total X
Actual sales in total (X)
Sales quantity variance in units X
Weighted average standard contribution per unit ₦X
Sales quantity variance (in standard contribution) ₦X

Example: Sales quantity variance


Returning to the facts from the previous example the sales quantity variance is
calculated as follows:
Units
Budgeted sales in total 500
Actual sales in total 600
Sales quantity variance in units 100 (F)
Weighted average standard contribution per unit ₦58
Sales quantity variance (in standard contribution) ₦5,800 (F)

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

2.3 The sales mix variance


The sales mix variance indicates the effect on profits of having an actual sales
mix that is different from the budgeted sales mix.
The sales mix variance is calculated as follows (making reference to the example
above):
1) Find the budgeted mix in percentage terms by summing the budgeted sales
of each individual product and calculating the percentage that each bears
to the total (X: 240/500 = 48%; Y: 140/500 = 28%; Z: 120/500 = 24%).
2) Apply the percentages to the actual total sales to give the actual number of
each that would have been sold if the actual sales were made in the
standard mix. (For X this figure is 48% of 600 = 288 units).
3) The mix variance (in units) for each product is the difference between this
number and the actual sales of that product. (For X this is 240 – 288 = 48
units. This means that the company has sold 48 units of X less than it
would have if the actual sales were made in the standard mix).
4) The variance for each product expressed as units is multiplied by the
standard contribution per unit of that product to give the impact on
contribution.
5) These figures are summed to give the total mix variance

Example: Sales mix variance


Returning to the facts from the previous example the sales mix variance is
calculated as follows:
Product Actual Standard Mix Std. Mix
mix mix variance contn variance
(units) per unit (Std contn)
units units units ₦ ₦
X (48%) 200 288 88 (A) 50 4,400 (A)
Y (28%) 220 168 52 (F) 70 3,640 (F)
Z (24%) 180 144 36 (F) 60 2,160 (F)
600 600 0 1,400 (F)

The total mix variance in units must come to zero.


In this illustration the total mix variance is favourable because the
company has sold more high contribution items and less low
contribution items.

The total of the sales mix variance and the sales quantity variance adds up to the
total sales volume variance.

Example: Sales quantity variance



Sales mix variance 1,400 (F)
Sales quantity variance 5,800 (F)
Sales volume variance 7,200 (F)

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Performance management

2.4 Alternative method


An alternative approach is to use a line by line method.
This starts with the expected contribution from the actual sales of each unit.
This figure is Actual Quantity (AQ) in the Actual Mix (AM) at the Standard
Contribution per unit (SC)
Elements of this are then changed in sequence to identify the variances. In the
table below the element that changes has been written in bold.

Example: Sales mix and quantity variances


AQ in AM @ SC
units ₦ ₦
X 200 × 50 10,000
Y 220 × 70 15,400
Z 180 × 60 10,800
600 36,200

AQ in SM @ SC
X (0.48) 288 × 50 14,400 1,400 F MIX
Y (0.28) 168 × 70 14,760
Z (0.24) 144 × 60 8,640
600 34,800

SQ in SM @ SC
X (0.48) 240 × 50 12,000
Y (0.28) 140 × 70 9,800 5,800 F QUANTITY
Z (0.24) 120 × 60 7,200
5,000 29,000

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

At first sight this seems to be a very long winded technique. However, some of
the calculations can be simplified by using the budgeted average standard
contribution per unit (₦58).
This figure can be used whenever the contribution from a total quantity is to be
expressed in Standard Mix @ Standard Contribution per unit. The calculation
then becomes:

Example: Sales mix and quantity variances


AQ in AM @ SC
Units ₦ ₦
X 200 × 50 10,000
Y 220 × 70 15,400
Z 180 × 60 10,800
600 36,200

AQ in SM @ SC 1,400 F MIX
600 58 34,800

SQ in SM @ SC 5,800 F QUANTITY
500 58 29,000

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Performance management

3 PLANNING AND OPERATIONAL VARIANCES

Section overview

 The reasons for planning and operational variances


 Ex ante and ex post standards or budgets
 Using ex post standards (or ex post budgets) to calculate planning and
operational variances
 Calculating planning and operational variances
 Alternative approaches
 More than one difference between the ex ante and ex post standard costs
 Analysing the planning variance

3.1 The reasons for planning and operational variances


Variance analysis serves to identify levels of performance, costs etc. that have
been different to those budgeted. The aim is to use information about variances
to identify problems that should be investigated, and where appropriate:
 take control action to correct adverse results; or
 take measures to exploit favourable results.
The quality of the information provided by variance analysis depends on the
quality of the budget being used as a basis for comparison. For example, if the
standard steel usage for making a bulldozer was set at 10 kgs there would
obviously be huge adverse material usage variances (as making a bulldozer uses
much more than 10 kgs of steel). There would be no point taking the production
manager to task over the adverse variance as it was simply not possible to build
bulldozers using this amount of steel. It is the budget that is at fault. This is
perhaps a silly example but it serves to illustrate an important point. If
management are taking action based on variances those variances should reflect
operational issues and not arise as a result of a flawed plan.
If a budget or standard is unreliable, the variance reports will also be unreliable –
and so of limited use to management.

3.2 Ex ante and ex post standards or budgets


If management decides that the standard cost is unreliable and invalid, they can
prepare a more realistic or accurate standard cost. Similarly, if the original budget
is invalid, a more realistic budget can be prepared.
 The original standard cost or budget is known as the ex ante standard or
ex ante budget.
 The revised and more realistic standard cost or budget is known as the ex
post standard or ex post budget.
Variances are usually calculated by comparing actual results to an ex ante
budget. This process might reveal variances which on further investigation are
due to the budget being unrealistic rather than due to operating factors. When
this is the case a new, more realistic budget (the ex post budget) is drafted for
the period that has already past and this allows the calculation of more
reasonable variances.

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

3.3 Using ex post standards (or ex post budgets) to calculate planning and
operational variances
Ex post standards or budgets can be used to calculate variances, as an
alternative to the ‘normal’ method of calculating variances.
 Actual results are compared with the ex post standard (or ex post budget)
and variances are calculated using the ex post standard. These variances
are the operational variances.
 The ex post standard cost (or ex post budget) is compared with the ex ante
standard cost (or ex ante budget) and the difference between them is the
planning variance.
The planning variance is therefore a measurement of the amount by which an
unreliable standard cost (or unreliable budget) – in other words, poor planning or
a major revision to plans – is the cause of the difference between actual results
and the original ex ante standard cost or ex ante budget. Planning variances
are uncontrollable, in the sense that control action by management will not
eliminate a weakness in planning.
The operational variances, by comparing actual results with a realistic standard
cost, provide useful control information for management. Operational variances
may be controllable variances.
It is important to remember that there is nothing new to learn in calculating
operational variances (in fact, all variance calculated so far have been
operational variances). The calculation of operational variances is exactly the
same as already described but comparing actual results to the new ex post
budget.

3.4 Calculating planning and operational variances


Planning and operational variances can be calculated for any aspect of a
standard cost or budget. For example, an ex post standard cost can be
calculated for the direct materials cost per unit, or the direct materials usage per
unit, or the direct materials price per unit, or the direct labour cost per unit, the
direct labour hours per unit, and so on.
Similarly, an ex post budget can be prepared with revised figures for sales
volumes or sales prices.
The following example will be used to illustrate and explain the issue and the
method of calculating planning and operational variances.

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Performance management

Example: Planning and operational variances


Product Z has a standard labour cost of 3 hours per unit at ₦8 per hour = ₦24 per
unit.
During the first month of the current year, 500 units of Product Z were
manufactured. These took 1,960 hours to make, at a labour cost of ₦16,500.
Using traditional variances, the labour variances for the month would be as
follows:
Labour rate variance ₦
1,960 hours did cost 16,500
but, 1,960 hours should cost ( ₦8) 15,680

Labour rate variance 820 (A)

Labour efficiency variance hours


500 units of product Z did take 1,960
but, 500 units of product Z should take ( 3 hours) 1,500
Efficiency variance in hours 460 (A)
Standard labour rate per hour ₦8
Efficiency variance in ₦ ₦3,680 (A)

The total labour cost variance is ₦820 (A) + ₦3,680 (A) = ₦4,500 (A).

In the usual course of events a variance might be investigated and the manager
responsible for the part of the business within which the variance arose might be
taken to task over an adverse variance.
Suppose, however, that it is discovered early during the month that planned
improvements in efficiency that were expected from introducing new equipment
and were introduced into the budget could not be achieved, because the new
equipment had suffered a major breakdown and had been returned to the
supplier for repair.
This means that the budget used above could not be achieved in the period. With
hindsight the budgeted labour cost for each unit of Product Z should have been:
4 hours × ₦8 per hour = ₦32.
Variances are recalculated using this as a new ex post standard cost for direct
labour cost.

Operational variances
Operational variances are calculated exactly as before but using the ex post
budget.
The planning variance is the difference between:
 the original standard cost of making the actual production (the ex ante
standard cost or ex ante budget of actual production), and
 the revised standard cost or budget of making the actual production (the ex
post standard cost or ex post budget of actual production).

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

Example: Operational variances


Labour rate variance ₦
1,960 hours did cost 16,500
but, 1,960 hours should cost ( ₦8) 15,680

Labour rate variance (as before as the ex ante (A)


budget cost per hour has not been revised) 820

Labour efficiency variance hours


500 units of product Z should take ( 4 hours) 2,000
But they did take 1,960
Efficiency variance in hours 40 (F)
Standard labour rate per hour ₦8
Efficiency variance in ₦ ₦320 (F)

The calculation of the labour efficiency variance using the ex post budget shows
a very different picture showing a favourable variance as opposed to the adverse
variance shown by comparison to the original budget. The manager responsible
should be congratulated rather than admonished!

Planning variances
The planning variance is not a very useful figure other than being part of the
reconciliation between actual results and the ex ante cost of achieving those
results. (It is not a useful figure as the fact that it has been calculated means that
management already knows that the budget was suspect. Knowing the size of
the difference is not particularly helpful in running the business).
The planning variance is reported as the effect that this difference has had on
reported profit or cost.
Since direct labour is a variable cost, the planning variance is calculated as the
difference between:
 the standard labour cost of actual production at the ex ante standard, and
 the standard labour cost of actual production with the ex post standard.

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Performance management

Example: Planning variances

Method 1

Total labour cost for 500 units of Z ₦


Ex post standard cost ( ₦32) 16,000
Ex ante standard cost ( ₦24) 12,000
Planning variance: labour efficiency 4,000 (A)
The planning variance is adverse because the ex post standard cost is less
favourable (is more costly) than the ex ante standard cost.
Method 2
Since the planning error is in the labour hours per unit, the planning variance can
be calculated in labour hours:

Labour hours: time required to make 500 units of Z hours


Ex post standard ( 4 hours) 2,000
Ex ante standard ( 3 hours) 1,500
Planning variance in standard hours 500 (A)

Standard labour rate per hour ₦8


Planning variance in ₦, labour efficiency ₦4,000 (A)

Summary
The planning and operational variances in the previous example can be
summarised as follows:

Example: Variances under traditional and planning/operational methods


Traditional Planning and
operational
Operational variances ₦ ₦
Labour efficiency 3,680 (A) 820 (A)
Labour rate 820 (F) 320 (F)

Planning variance (labour efficiency) 4,000 (A)


Total 4,500 (A) 4,500 (A)

The total variances come to the same amount.


In this case the planning and operational variances provide much more useful
control information to management than the traditional variances, because the
original (ex ante) standard cost is unreliable and incorrect.

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

3.5 Alternative approach


An alternative approach is to use a line by line method.
This starts with actual cost. One factor is changed at a time using the ex post
standard usage and cost. A final line is inserted as the ex ante standard cost of
the actual production.

Example: Alternative method identifying planning and operational variances


Ex ante standard material cost per unit:
3 hours  ₦8 per hour = ₦24 per unit

Actual production in period = 500 units.


Labour worked and paid for was 1,960 hours to make 500 units, at a labour
cost of ₦16,500
Ex post standard material cost per unit:
4 hours  ₦8 per hour = ₦32 per unit

₦ ₦
AQ  AC
1,960 hrs  ₦X per hr 16,500
AQ  SC 820 (A) Price
1,960 hrs  ₦8 per hr 15,680
SQ ex post  SC 320 (F) Usage
2,000 hrs  ₦8 per hr 16,000
SQ ex ante  SC 4,000 (A) Planning
1,500 hrs  ₦8 per hr 12,000

Ex post standard quantity to make actual production


SQ = 500 units  4 hrs per unit = 2,000 hrs

Ex ante standard quantity to make actual production


SQ = 500 units  3 hrs per unit = 1,500 hrs

You are encouraged to use this approach as an alternative method.

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Performance management

3.6 More than one difference between the ex ante and ex post standard costs
In the above example only the standard usage changed between the ex ante and
ex post budgets. A situation could arise where both standard usage and standard
cost changed.
The principle to apply in calculating the planning and operational variances is the
same as before.
 The operational variances are calculated using the ex post standard cost.
 The planning variance in total is the difference between the ex ante
standard cost of actual production and the ex post standard cost of actual
production.
The only difference is that if the total planning variance is caused by two factors,
it should be possible to analyse the total planning variance into its different
causes though the resultant figures are not really useful.
The following example shows the calculation of planning and operational
variances when two factors change between the ex ante and ex post budgets. In
the first instance only the total planning variance will be calculated. Analysis of
the planning variance will follow that.
This will be worked using the line by line approach.

Example: Planning and operational variances


Greenco Nigeria Limited manufactures product G, which has a standard direct
material cost per unit of: 5 kilos at ₦6 per kilo = ₦30.
Actual output during a month is 4,000 units of product G, and the materials
actually used in production were 16,500 kilos at a cost of ₦119,000.
Investigation of the resultant variances has shown that the original standard was
unrealistic and should have been 4 kilos at ₦7 per kilo = ₦28.

The planning and operational variances can be identified as follows.


₦ ₦
AQ  AC
16,500 kgs  ₦X per kg 119,000
AQ  SC 3,500 (A) Price
16,500 kgs  ₦7 per kg 115,500
SQ ex post  SC ex post 3,500 (A) Usage
16,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg 112,000
SQ ex ante  SC ex ante 8,000 (F) Planning
20,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg 120,000

Ex post standard quantity to make actual production


SQ = 4,000 units  4 kgs per unit = 16,000 kgs

Ex ante standard quantity to make actual production


SQ = 4,000 units  5 kgs per unit = 20,000 kgs

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

3.7 Analysing the planning variance


In the above example, the difference between the ex ante standard cost per unit
and the ex post standard cost per unit is due to both price and usage. This
implies that the total planning variance can be analysed into a price planning and
price usage variance.
This is done by changing one factor between the ex ante standard cost of actual
production and the ex post standard cost of actual production. Either the usage
or cost of each unit of resource might be changed. Changing one, as opposed to
the other, results in a different split of the price planning and price usage
variances.
This is difficult to understand until you see an example.

Example: Analysing planning variance


Returning to the previous example the total planning variance may be split as
follows.
Changing price first
SQ ex post  SC ex post ₦ ₦
16,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg 112,000
SQ ex post  SC 16,000 (A) Planning price
16,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg 96,000
SQ ex ante  SC ex ante 24,000 (F) Planning usage
20,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg 120,000

Changing usage first


SQ ex post  SC ex post ₦‘000 ₦‘000
16,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg 112,000
SQ ex post  SC 28,000 (F) Planning price
20,000 kgs  ₦7 per kg 140,000
SQ ex ante  SC ex ante 20,000 (A) Planning usage
20,000 kgs  ₦6 per kg 120,000

In the above example the total planning variance is being split in different ways.

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Performance management

Practice question 3
Redco manufactures product K, which at the start of the budget period had
a standard direct labour cost per unit of:
0.3 hours per unit  ₦16 per hour = ₦4.80.
Due to an unexpected pay agreement with the direct labour employees, the
standard rate per hour is revised to ₦20. In addition, since the pay rise is
linked to a productivity agreement, the standard time per unit of product K
is reduced to 0.25 hours.
The revised standard labour cost for product K is therefore:
0.25 hours  ₦20 per hour = ₦5.
Actual output during the month is 10,000 units of product K, and these
took 2,650 hours to make. The actual direct labour cost was ₦51,600.

Analyse the total direct labour variance into operational variances and a
planning variance.

© Emile Woolf International 310 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

4 MARKET SHARE AND MARKET SIZE VARIANCES

Section overview

 Further analysis of sales volume variance


 Market size variance
 Market share variance
 Alternative method

4.1 Further analysis of sales volume variance


Sales volume is a function of market share and market size. If the original budget
derives budgeted sales volume from budgeted market share and budgeted
market size it should be possible to split the sales volume variance into a market
share variance and a market size variance.
The total size of the market is a factor that is largely outside a company’s control
but is estimated at the start of the period. The market size variance is therefore a
planning variance. Note that the ex post budgeted market size is the actual size
of the market. If the business had been better at forecasting the market size this
is what they would have expected.
The market share obtained by a company is under the influence of management
(through marketing activities). The market share variance is an operational
variance.

Example: Sales volume variance


Colorco Nigeria Limited set the following sales budget to sell 70,000 units of
Product Y and budgeted to earn a contribution per unit of ₦20
Colorco Nigeria Limited estimates that the total size of the market in the budget
period will be 700,000 units. It budgets to have a market share of 10% or 70,000
units.
Actual sales of Product Y by Colorco Nigeria Limited in the
period = 58,000 units Total market size of Product Y = 645,000
units
In retrospect, it is accepted that the budget should have been based on a total
The traditional sales volume variance is calculated as follows:
Actual sales volume
market size of 645,000 units. Units
58,000
Budgeted sales volume 70,000
Sales volume variance (units) 12,000 (A)
Standard contribution per unit (multiply by) ₦20
Sales volume variance (in contribution) ₦240,000 (A)

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Performance management

4.2 Market size variance


A market size variance is the effect on sales volume (and so on contribution or
profit) if the actual total size of the market is:
 larger than expected (favourable market size variance); or
 smaller than expected (adverse market size variance).
The total difference between the budgeted total market size and the actual total
market size is calculated initially either in units of sale or sales revenue at
standard selling prices.
 It is assumed that the company should achieve its budgeted market share.
 The market size variance for the company is therefore (in units or in sales
revenue at standard sales price) the difference in the total market size
multiplied by the estimated market share.
This is then converted into an amount of standard contribution or standard profit,
using the same method used to calculate the sales volume variance.

Example: Market size variance


Returning to the previous example the market size variance is calculated as
follows:
Market size variance units
Ex ante (budgeted) total market size 700,000
Ex post (actual) total market size 645,000
Total difference 55,000 (A)
Budgeted market share 10%
Market size variance (units) 5,500 (A)
Standard contribution per unit ₦20
Market size variance (in ₦ contribution) ₦110,000 (A)

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

4.3 Market share variance


A market share variance is calculated by taking the actual total market size (the
ex post estimate of the market size) and comparing:
 the expected sales volume, if the budgeted market share had been
achieved: and
 actual sales volume.
This variance (in sales units or in sales revenue at standard sales price) is
converted into a contribution or profit variance using the same method used to
calculate the sales volume variance.

Example: Market share variance

Returning to the previous example the market share variance is calculated as


follows:
Market share variance units
Ex post (actual) total market size 645,000
Budgeted market share 10%
Expected sales if budgeted market share achieved 64,500
Actual sales 58,000
Market share variance (units) 6,500 (A)
Standard contribution per unit ₦20
Market share variance in ₦ contribution ₦130,000 (A)

The market size variance and the market share variance together add up to the
total sales volume variance for the period.

Example: Summary
Units CPU ₦
Market size variance 5,500 (A) 20 110,000
Market share variance 6,500 (A) 20 130,000
Total sales volume variance 12,000 (A) 20 240,000

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Performance management

Practice question 4
Brunco Nigeria Limited prepared a sales budget based on an estimated
market size of 200,000 units and a budgeted market share of 25%
Standard contribution per unit ₦40
At the end of the year it was estimated that the actual size of the market
during the year had been 260,000 units.
Actual sales in the year were 61,000 units.
Required
Calculate for the year:
(a) the total sales volume variance
(b) the market size variance
(c) the market share variance.

4.4 Alternative method


The market share and market size variances can be identified using a line by line
approach. This starts with the actual sales volume (actual market share of actual
market size) and ends with the budgeted sales volume (standard market share of
standard market size). It is easier to measure the variances in units and then
apply a standard contribution to express these variances as monetary amounts.
Remember that the actual units sold is a function of the actual market size and
this is the ex post forecast of market size.

Example: Alternative method for identifying market share and market size
variances

Returning to the previous example the market share variance and market size
variances (in units) are calculated as follows:
Units
Actual market size  Actual market share
645,000 units  X% 58,000
Market share
6,500 units (A)
Actual market size  standard market share
645,000 units  10% 64,500
Market size
5,500 units (A)
Budgeted market size  standard market share
700,000 units  10% 70,000

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

Practice question 5
Brunco Nigeria Limited prepared a sales budget based on an estimated
market size of 200,000 units and a budgeted market share of 25%
Standard contribution per unit ₦40
At the end of the year it was estimated that the actual size of the market
during the year had been 260,000 units.
Actual sales in the year were 61,000 units.
Required
Use the alternative method to calculate:
(a) the total sales volume variance
(b) the market size variance
(c) the market share variance.

© Emile Woolf International 315 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

5 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Calculate and interpret material mix and yield variances

 Calculate and interpret sales mix and quantity variances


 Calculate and interpret planning and operational variances

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Mix variance
Actual Mix Mix
mix variance Std. cost variance
Material (litres) Standard mix (litres) per litre (₦)
X 984 (40%  2,214)
885.6 98.4 (A) 250 24,600 (A)
Y 1,230 (60%  2,214)
1,328.4 98.4 (F) 300 29,520 (F)
2,214 2,100 0 4,920 (F)

Yield variance based on output


Units
2,214 litres of input should yield (@30 litres per unit) 73.8
2,100 litres of input did yield 72.0
Yield variance (units) 1.8 (A)
Standard cost of output ₦8,400
Materials yield variance (₦) ₦15,120 (A)

Yield variance based on input


litres
Making 72 units did use 2,214
but, making 72 units of product X should use ( 30 litres) 2,160
Yield variance in quantities 54 (A)
Standard cost of input (₦8,400/30 litres) ₦280/litre
Yield variance in money value ₦15,120 (A)

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Performance management

Solution 2
AQ in AM @ SC
litres ₦ ₦
X 984 × 250 246,000
Y 1,230 × 300 369,000
2,214 615,000

AQ in SM @ SC
X (0.4) 885.6 × 250 221,400
Y (0.6) 1,328.4 × 300 398,520
2,214 619,920 4,920 F MIX

SQ in SM @ SC
X (0.4) 864 × 250 216,000
Y (0.6) 1,296 × 300 388,800
2,160 604,800 15,120 A YIELD

Making 72 units should use 72 units  30 litres per unit = 2,160 litres.

Quicker version:
AQ in AM @ SC
litres ₦ ₦
X 984 × 250 246,000
Y 1,230 × 300 369,000
2,214 615,000

AQ in SM @ SC of input
2,214 ₦8,400/30
litres 619,920 4,920 F MIX

SQ in SM @ SC of input
2,160 ₦8,400/30
litres 604,800 15,120 A YIELD

or SC of output
72 units 8,400 604,800

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

Solution 3
₦‘000 ₦‘000
AQ  AC
2,650 hrs  ₦X per hr 51,600
AQ  SC 1,400 (F) Price
2,650 hrs  ₦20 per kg 53,000
SQ ex post  SC ex post 3,000 (A) Usage
2,500 hrs  ₦20 per kg 50,000
SQ ex ante  SC ex ante 2,000 (A) Planning
3,000 hrs  ₦16 per kg 48,000

Ex post standard quantity to make actual production


SQ = 10,000 units  0.25 hrs per unit = 2,500 hrs

Ex ante standard quantity to make actual production


SQ = 10,000 units  0.3 hrs per unit = 3,000 hrs

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Performance management

Solution 4
units
Actual sales volume 61,000
Budgeted sales volume (25%  200,000) 50,000
Sales volume variance in units 11,000 (F)
Standard contribution per unit ₦40
Sales volume variance in ₦ contribution ₦440,000 (F)

Market size variance units


Ex post (actual) total market size 260,000
Ex ante (budgeted) total market size 200,000
Total difference 60,000 (F)
Budgeted market share 25%
Market size variance (in units) 15,000 (F)
Standard contribution per unit ₦40
Market size variance in ₦ contribution ₦600,000 (F)

Market share variance units


Ex post (actual) total market size 260,000
Budgeted market share 25%
Expected sales if budgeted market share achieved 65,000
Actual sales 61,000
Market share variance (units) 4,000 (A)
Standard contribution per unit ₦40
Market share variance in ₦ contribution ₦160,000 (A)

Summary ₦
Market size variance 600,000 (F)
Market share variance 160,000 (A)
Total sales volume variance 440,000 (F)

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Chapter 8: Advanced variance analysis

Solution 5
Units
Actual market size  Actual market share
260,000 units  X% 61,000
Market share
4,000 units (A)
Actual market size  standard market share
260,000 units  25% 65,000
Market size
15,000 units (F)
Budgeted market size  standard market share
200,000 units  25% 50,000

Contribution
Total sales volume variance: Units (@₦40)
Market share variance 4,000 (A) (160,000)
Market size variance 15,000 (F) 600,000
Total sales volume variance 11,000 (F) 440,000

© Emile Woolf International 321 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


9
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Performance management

Performance analysis

Contents
1 Measuring performance
2 Financial performance indicators (FPIs)
3 Non-financial performance indicators (NFPIs)
4 Longer-term views of performance
5 The balanced scorecard approach
6 Fitzgerald and Moon building block model
7 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance analysis develops and deepens candidates’ ability to provide information and
decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a focus on linking
costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical success factors and
operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a social purpose. Much
of the work involved in performance analysis involves short-term reviews, for example
comparisons of actual performance against a budget or target, or comparisons with previous
time periods. However, there is also a longer-term or strategic aspect to performance
management. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions, and also to consider the
strategic implications of performance indicators for the long-term success of an organisation.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:

C Performance measurement and control


1 Performance analysis
a Select and calculate suitable financial performance measures for a business
from a given data and information.
b Evaluate the results of calculated financial performance measures based on
business objectives and advise management on appropriate actions.
c Select and calculate suitable non-financial performance measures for a
business from a given data and information.
d Evaluate the results of calculated non-financial performance measures based
on business objectives and advise management on appropriate actions.
e Explain the causes and problems created by short-termism and financial
manipulation of results and suggest methods to encourage a long term view.
f Discuss sustainability consideration in performance measurement of a
business.
g Select and explain stakeholders based measures of performance that may
be used to evaluate social and environmental performance of a business.
h Explain and interpret the Balanced Scorecard and Fitzgerald and Moon
Building Block model.

Exam context
This chapter explains various approaches to entity performance analysis, and its application
to performance management, for both for-profit and not-for-profit organisations. It also looks
at the longer-term or strategic implications of performance.

© Emile Woolf International 323 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 9: Performance analysis

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the nature of performance and non-performance indicators in a performance
management system
 Measure and use a range of financial performance indicators
 Measure and use a range of non-financial performance indicators
 Explain the nature of short-termism in performance measurement
 Explain the relevance of sustainability measurements (social and environmental
measurements) for an assessment of longer-term performance
 Explain the balanced scorecard approach to performance management and apply it in a
given scenario
 Explain the Fitzgerald and Moon Building Block model and its application to performance
measurement in service industries

© Emile Woolf International 325 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

1 MEASURING PERFORMANCE

Section overview

 Performance and performance management


 Financial performance
 Non-financial performance
 Performance management systems

1.1 Performance and performance management


Performance of an organisation is concerned with what the organisation has
done or expects to do, and with how well this compares with a target or budget,
or with past performance, or with long-term (strategic) objectives.
Performance management is concerned with:
 setting targets for performance;
 monitoring actual performance and progress towards the targets; and
 taking control measures when actual performance is worse than expected.
Performance is measured, and measurements may be both financial and non-
financial.

1.2 Financial performance


Financial performance for an organisation is concerned with the extent to which
the financial objectives of the organisation are being met. Performance is
measured in financial/monetary terms.
 For most businesses, the main objective is to make a profit or return on
capital invested. Financial performance is concerned with the factors that
contribute to profitability and return, such as sales and costs, as well as
profits and return.
 Not-for-profit organisations such as government and charities do not have
an objective of making a profit. However, financial performance is relevant
to them too, in terms of keeping spending within the limits of the money or
funds available to them, and using the money that they have in the best
way they can.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

1.3 Non-financial performance


Non-financial performance is performance that is not measured in financial or
monetary terms, although non-financial performance can be a contributing factor
to overall financial performance.
Examples of non-financial performance in business are output capacity, labour
productivity, labour turnover, customer satisfaction and innovation.
Organisations measure non-financial performance as well as financial
performance.

1.4 Performance management systems


Performance management systems are constructed to drive the behaviour of
employees so that the company achieves its corporate objectives.
Performance management systems have a key role to play in many aspects of
strategic planning and are concerned with:
 setting targets for the achievement of the organisation’s main strategic
objective;
 setting targets for each strategy that is implemented for achieving the main
strategic objective;
 setting targets at all levels of management within the organisation: all
planning targets (at all levels within the entity) should be consistent with the
strategic targets and objectives;
 measuring actual performance;
 comparing actual performance with the targets;
 where appropriate, taking control measures; and
 where appropriate, changing the targets.
Performance management is therefore concerned with planning and controlling,
at all levels within an organisation.
A business entity must have management information systems that are capable
of providing reliable and relevant information about all the important aspects of
performance.
Performance targets are set, and actual performance is measured, by means of
performance indicators. These may be financial or non-financial, and non-
financial indicators may be either quantitative or qualitative. A key performance
indicator (KPI) is a measure of performance that is considered critically important
for achieving success or progress in relation to a specified goal.
It is important to understand that performance measurement can indicate when
aspects of performance are much better or much worse than expected, but they
do not usually indicate the reason for the good or bad performance. When
performance measures indicate an unexpected difference between actual and
expected performance, management should investigate the reason or reasons for
the difference and take any appropriate measures when they discover the cause
of the problem.

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Performance management

2 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (FPIs)

Section overview

 Performance indicators: definition


 Aspects of financial performance
 Using ratios: comparisons
 FPIs for measuring profitability
 FPIs for measuring liquidity
 FPIs for measuring financial risk
 The limitations of financial ratios as performance indicators
 Industry specific ratios

2.1 Performance indicators: definition


A performance indicator is a performance measurement that is used to evaluate
the success of an organisation or of a particular activity. A financial performance
indicator is an indicator that relates to an aspect of financial performance that is
measured quantitatively and in financial terms.

2.2 Aspects of financial performance


There a variety of financial performance indicators that could be used by the
management of a business. These include:
 Absolute measures, such as sales turnover, costs and profit;
 Financial ratios;
 Variances (differences between actual and expected performance).
Performance is assessed by comparing indicators of actual performance with
indicators of budgeted or expected performance, or with indicators of past
performance. Comparisons with past performance indicate whether performance
is improving or getting worse.
This chapter focuses on the use of ratios for performance measurement.

Ratio analysis
Ratio analysis is a common method of analysing and measuring the financial
performance of an organisation. Although profitability is a very important aspect
of business performance, it is not the only aspect of financial performance that
should be monitored. The main aspects of financial performance in a for-profit
organisation are usually:
 profitability;
 liquidity; and
 financial risk.
Information for measuring financial performance is obtained largely from internal
sources – financial statements produced by the accounting systems of the
organisation.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

Each financial ratio should be a potential significance. Remember that it is not


good enough simply to know how to calculate a ratio. You need to understand
what the ratio might tell you about financial performance.

2.3 Using ratios: comparisons


Financial ratios can be used as indicators to make comparisons of performance:
 Over a number of years or months. By looking at the ratios of a business entity
over a number of years or months, it may be possible to detect improvements or
deterioration in the financial performance or financial position. For example,
changes over time can be used to measure rates of growth or decline in sales or
profits. Ratios can therefore be used to make comparisons over time, to identify
changes or trends, and (perhaps) to assess whether the rate of change is ‘good’
or ‘bad’.
 With similar ratios of other, similar companies for the same period.
 With target ratios or budgeted ratios of financial performance
 In some cases, perhaps, with ‘industry average’ ratios.

2.4 FPIs for measuring profitability


Profitability depends on sales revenues and costs. Financial performance indicators that
may be relevant for assessing performance include ratios for sales and costs, as well as
profit.
Profitability may also be assessed by relating profit to the amount of capital employed by
the business. Return on investment (ROI) and other similar financial ratios are explained
in the later chapter on divisional performance.

Percentage annual growth in sales


Business entities will monitor their annual growth (or decline) in sales, measured as a
percentage of sales in the previous year.
For example, if sales in the year just ended were ₦5,800,000 and sales in the
previous year were ₦5,500,000, the annual growth in sales has been
(₦300,000/₦5,500,000) × 100% = 5.45%.
Sales growth can be a very important measure of financial performance for a
number of reasons.
 If a company wishes to increase its annual profits, it will probably want to
increase its annual sales revenue. Sales growth is usually necessary for
achieving a sustained growth in profits over time.
 The rate of growth can be significant. For example, suppose that the annual rate of
growth in a particular market is 7%. If a company achieves sales growth in the year
of 15%, it will probably consider this to be a good performance. If sales growth is
3%, this would probably be considered poor performance – although sales have
increased, they have not increased in line with growth in the market.
 The period of time over which growth is achieved can also be important. For
example, if a company achieves growth in sales of 20% during one year, this
might be considered a good performance. However, performance

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would be even better if the company achieves annual growth in sales of 20% over
a five-year period. Sustained growth would indicate that performance has been
improving over the long term and might therefore be expected to continue in the
future.
Sales growth (or a decline in sales) can usually be attributed to two causes:
 sales prices; and
 sales volume.
Any growth in sales should be analysed to identify whether it has been caused by
changes in sales prices, changes in sales volume or a combination of both.
(Note: In some cases, a company may introduce new products, or cease
producing some of its products; in such cases, growth or decline in sales will also
be attributable to changes in the number of products sold).

Example: Sales performance


Laffco Nigeria Limited sells orange juice in standard-sized cartons. The market
for orange juice is very competitive and there are several larger competitors in
the market. Sales data for the previous three years are as follows.
Current year Year – 1 Year – 2
(just ended) (previous year)
Sales revenue ₦15 million ₦13.5 million ₦12 million
Cartons sold (millions) 6 million 5 million 4 million

Required: Analyse sales performance.

Answer
Sales growth in the current year was ₦(15 million – 13.5 million)/₦13.5 million =
11.1%.
Sales growth in the previous year was ₦(13.5 million – 12 million)/₦12 million =
12.5%.
The growth ratios are easy to calculate, but how should they be interpreted?
In a competitive market, achieving growth in revenue of 12.5% in one year
followed by 11.1% the next should probably be considered very good
performance.
The average sales price per carton was ₦3 two years ago, ₦2.70 one year ago
and ₦2.50 in the current year. This may suggest that sales growth has been
achieved by cutting the sales price: lower sales prices often result in a higher
volume of sales.
The volume of sales (cartons sold) rose by 25% two years ago and 20% in the
current year. This strong growth in sales may be due to excellent marketing
activity by the company, or to the reductions in the selling price.
On the basis of the limited information available, it seems possible that the
company has succeeded in increasing sales within a competitive market by
reducing its selling prices.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

Profit margin
Profit margin is the profit as a percentage of sales revenue. It is therefore the
ratio of the profit that has been achieved for every ₦1 of sales.

Formula: Profit margin


Profit
Profit margin =  100
Sales

It is wrong to conclude, without further analysis, that a high profit margin means
‘good performance’ and a low profit margin means ‘bad performance’. To assess
performance by looking at profit margins, it is necessary to look at the
circumstances in which the profit margin has been achieved.
 Some companies operate in an industry or market where profit margins are
high, although sales volume may be low. Other companies may operate in
a market where profit margins are low but sales volumes are much higher.
For example, the profit margin earned on high-fashion clothes should be
much higher than the profit margin on low-priced clothing sold in large
supermarkets or stores.
 Changes in the profit margin from one year to the next should be
monitored; improvements may be a sign of ‘good performance’ and falling
profit margins may be a cause for concern.
There are several ways of measuring profit margin. If you are required to
measure profit margin in your examination, the most suitable ratio is likely to be:
 Gross profit margin (= gross profit/sales). Gross profit is sales revenue
minus the cost of sales.
 Net profit margin (= net profit/sales). Net profit = gross profit minus all other
costs, such as administration costs and selling and distribution costs.
In some industries, particularly service industries, companies do not measure a
cost of sales, and so do not measure a gross profit and gross profit/sales ratio.
Any change in profit margin from one year to the next will be caused by:
 changes in selling prices, or
 changes in costs as a percentage of sales, or
 a combination of both.
Changes in costs as a percentage of sales may be caused by a growth or fall in
sales volumes, where there are fixed costs in the entity’s cost structure.

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Example: Profitability analysis


Sobco makes and sells footwear. Its profits and sales revenue for the past three
years are as follows
Current year Year – 1 Year – 2
(just ended) (previous year)
Sales revenue ₦20 million ₦22 million ₦24 million
Items sold 1 million 1.1 million 1.2 million
Gross profit ₦5.8 million ₦6.6million ₦6.8 million
Net profit ₦0.4 million ₦1.2 million ₦1.4 million

Required
Analyse profitability and costs.

Answer
Profit margins are as follows:
20X9 (year 20X8 20X7
just ended
Gross profit margin (%) 29.0% 30.0% 28.3%
Net profit margin (%) 2.0% 5.5% 5.8%
The gross profit margin has fallen slightly in the current year, but is higher than
the gross profit margin two years ago. There is insufficient information to assess
performance, except to conclude that the gross profit margin has been fairly
stable over the three-year period.
(This means that the ratio of cost of sales as a percentage of sales has also been
fairly constant. The cost of sales/sales ratio is simply 100% minus the gross
profit margin.)
The net profit margin has fallen from 5.8% two years ago to 2.0% in the current
year. The actual net profit has fallen from ₦1.4 million to ₦0.4 million. The
reason for the fall in net profit margin is attributable to either changes in selling
prices or changes in costs (as a percentage of sales).
The average selling price per unit has been ₦20 in each of the three years,
suggesting that the fall in net profit margin is not caused by changes in selling
prices.
The fall in net profit margin is therefore due to changes in costs. Although there
has been some variability in the ratio of cost of sales to sales revenue, the main
problem appears to be changes in ‘other costs’ as a percentage of sales.
Other costs = the difference between gross profit and net profit. Two years ago
these were ₦5.4 million (= ₦6.8 million - ₦1.4 million), one year ago they were
₦5.4 million (= ₦6.6 million - ₦1.2 million) and in the current year they were also
₦5.4 million (= ₦5.8 million - ₦0.4 million). This suggests that other costs are al
fixed costs.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

Answer (continued)
Fixed costs have remained constant each year, but sales revenue has fallen due
to falling sales volume. The reduction in the net profit margin can therefore be
attributed mainly to the higher ratio of other fixed costs to sales revenue – in
other words, to falling sales.

Cost/sales ratios
Profitability may also be measured by cost/sales ratios, such as ratios of:
 cost of sales/sales;
 administration costs/sales;
 sales and distribution costs/sales; and
 total labour costs/sales.
Performance may be assessed by looking at changes in these ratios over time. A
large increase or reduction in any of these ratios would have a significant effect
on profit margin. For example, if the ratio of administration cost/sales increases
from 15% to 18%, it should be expected that the net profit margin will fall by 3%
(three percentage points).

2.5 FPIs for measuring liquidity


Liquidity for a business entity means having enough cash, or having ready
access to additional cash, to meet liabilities when they fall due for payment. The
most important sources of liquidity for non-bank companies are:
 operational cash flows (cash from sales);
 liquid investments, such as cash held on deposit or readily-marketable
shares in other companies;
 a bank overdraft arrangement or a similar readily-available borrowing
facility from a bank.
Cash may also come from other sources, such as the sale of a valuable non-
current asset (such as land and buildings), although obtaining cash from these
sources may need some time.
Liquidity is important for a business entity because without it, the entity may
become insolvent even though it is operating at a profit. If the entity is unable to
settle its liabilities when they fall due, there is a risk that a creditor will take legal
action and this action could lead on to insolvency proceedings.
On the other hand, a business entity may have too much liquidity, when it is
holding much more cash than it needs, so that the cash is ‘idle’, earning little or
no interest. Managing liquidity is often a matter of ensuring that there is sufficient
liquidity, but without having too much.

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Changes in the cash balance or bank overdraft balance


A simple method of monitoring liquidity is to keep the cash balance at the bank
under continual review and look for any deterioration (or improvement) in the
cash position. If the entity has a bank overdraft facility, the cash position should
be monitored to make sure that the overdraft does not get too close to the limit.
When there is a big change in the cash position, it is important to investigate the
reason for the change and judge whether liquidity has become a matter for
concern. If you are familiar with statements of cash flows, you should be aware of
the various sources of cash and reasons for payments of cash. A large fall in
cash (or a big increase in the bank overdraft) may be caused by:
 operating losses;
 increases in working capital (inventory plus receivables, minus trade
payables);
 expenditures on investments, such as purchases of new non-current
assets; and
 repayments of debt capital (bank loans) or payments of dividends.
A reduction in cash caused by operating losses would be the most serious
reason for a loss of liquidity, but when a business entity is short of liquidity
anything that uses up cash may be significant.

Liquidity ratios
Liquidity may also be monitored by looking at changes in liquidity ratios over time.
There are two ratios for measuring liquidity that could be used:
 current ratio; and
 quick ratio, also called the acid test ratio.
The more suitable ratio for use depends on whether inventory is considered a
liquid asset that will soon be used or sold and converted into cash from sales.
The current ratio is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities.

Formula: Current ratio


Current assets
Current ratio =
Current liabilities

It is sometimes suggested that there is an ‘ideal’ current ratio of 2.0 times (2:1).
However, this is not necessarily true and in some industries, much lower current
ratios are normal. It is important to assess a current ratio by considering:
 changes in the ratio over time; and
 the liquidity ratios of other companies in the same industry.
The quick ratio or acid test ratio is the ratio of ‘current assets excluding
inventory’ to current liabilities. Inventory is excluded from current assets on the
assumption that it is not a very liquid item.

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Formula: Quick ratio


Current assets excluding inventory
Quick ratio =
Current liabilities

This ratio is a better measurement of liquidity than the current ratio when
inventory turnover times are very slow, and inventory is not a liquid asset.
It is sometimes suggested that there is an ‘ideal’ quick ratio of 1.0 times (1:1).
However, this is not necessarily true, and in some industries much lower quick
ratios are normal. As indicated earlier, it is important to assess liquidity by looking
at changes in the ratio over time, and comparisons with other companies and the
industry norm.
When there is a significant change in liquidity, the reason should be investigated.
Liquidity ratios will deteriorate (i.e. get smaller) when:
 there is an increase in current liabilities without an increase in current
assets; or
 there is a reduction in current assets without a reduction in current liabilities
(for example, writing off inventory or bad debts).
Examples of reasons for a reduction in liquidity are:
 operating losses; and
 using cash to purchase new non-current assets.
Example: Quick and current ratios
The following data relates to a café:

20X6 20X7 20X8


₦ ₦ ₦
Current assets
Mr.Inventories
Biggs Cafeteria. 2,985 3,028 3,211
Other current assets 9.594 9,652 7,660
Total current assets 12,579 12,680 10,871

Current liabilities
Creditors 19,021 18,604 19,523
Other current liabilities 4,566 4,306 4,414
Total current liabilities 23,587 22,910 23,937
Required:
Calculate the current and quick ratios for the cafe

and comment on the results.

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Performance management

Answer
The current and quick ratios are as follows

Current ratio
Total current assets 12,579 12,680 10,871
Total current liabilities ÷23,587 ÷22,910 ÷23,937
Current ratio 0.53 0.55 0.45

Quick ratio
Total current assets 9,594 9,652 7,660
Total current liabilities ÷23,587 ÷22,910 ÷23,937
Quick ratio 0.41 0.42 0.32

Both the current and quick ratios are stable between 20X6 and 20X7 with a
current ratio of around 0.54 and a quick ratio of around 0.41.
Whether the ratios are at an acceptable value or are cause for concern
depends on what is normal for the industry.
A business like the café might be able to take credit from its suppliers
but is making sales for cash. This allows it to operate with ratios that
might appear more worrying in another type of business.
The difference between the current and quick ratios is not really important
in this case. The inventory of this sort of business can be turned into cash in
a very short time frame and might be considered almost as good as cash in
terms of enabling the business to pay its debts as and when they fall due.
Both the current and quick ratios decrease in 20X8 and this sudden
deterioration after a period of stability might be might be cause for
concern.

2.6 FPIs for measuring financial risk


Financial risk is the risk to a business entity that arises for reasons related to its
financial structure or financial arrangements. There are several major sources of
financial risk, such as credit risk (the risk of bad debts because customers who
are given credit will fail to pay what they owe) and foreign exchange for
companies that import or export goods or services (the risk of an adverse
movement in an important currency exchange rate).
A significant risk is the risk that could arise through borrowing. If an entity
borrows money, it will have to pay the money back at some time and will also
have to pay interest. The risk is that if an entity borrows very large amounts of
money, it might fail to generate enough cash from its business operations to pay
the interest or repay the debt principal.

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Example: Financial risk


Zapco is an advertising agency. Next year it expects to make a profit before
interest of ₦300,000. The company has a bank loan of ₦3 million, which is
repayable in one year’s time and on which the rate of interest is 8%.
What are the financial risks for Zapco?

Answer
The annual cost of interest on the bank loan is ₦240,000 (= 8%  ₦3,000,000).
The profit is enough to cover the interest, but with only ₦60,000 to spare.
A financial risk for Zapco is that if profit next year is more than ₦60,000 below
expectation, it will make a loss after interest.
Another risk is that it may be unable to meet the interest payments on the loan,
unless it has spare cash that it can use or other sources of liquidity such as extra
bank borrowing.
A third risk is that when the bank loan has to be repaid in one year’s time, Zapco
may need to borrow more money in order to repay the loan. This is often referred
to as ‘renewing’ a loan. However the bank might refuse to re-lend the money and
might insist on repayment in full and on time. If Zapco can’t do this, it will be
faced with the risk of insolvency.
Financial risk depends to a large extent on conditions in the financial markets.
There have been times when ‘credit’ has been easy to obtain, and a company
wishing to borrow more money could do so quite easily. However, a ‘credit
bubble’ can turn into a ‘credit squeeze’, when banks cut their lending and are
reluctant to renew loans. A global credit squeeze began in 2007, and for many
companies with large amounts of borrowing, the risks of insolvency became
much greater.

Debt ratios
Debt ratios can be used to assess whether the total debts of the entity are within
control and are not excessive.

Gearing ratio (leverage)


Gearing, also called leverage, measures the total long-term debt of a company as
a percentage of either:
 the equity capital in the company, or
 the total capital of the company.

Formula: Gearing ratio


Long term debt
Gearing ratio =  100
Share capital + reserves + long term debt

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Performance management

Alternatively:

Formula: Debt to equity ratio


Long term debt
Debt to equity ratio =  100
Share capital + reserves

When there are preference shares, it is usual to include the preference shares
within long-term debt, not share capital.
A company is said to be high-geared or highly-leveraged when its debt capital
exceeds its share capital and reserves. This means that a company is high-
geared when the gearing ratio is above either 50% or 100%, depending on which
method is used to calculate the ratio.
A company is said to be low-geared when the amount of its debt capital is less
than its share capital and reserves. This means that a company is low-geared
when the gearing ratio is less than either 50% or 100%, depending on which
method is used to calculate the ratio.
The gearing ratio can be used to monitor changes in the amount of debt of a
company over time. It can also be used to make comparisons with the gearing
levels of other, similar companies, to judge whether the company has too much
debt, or perhaps too little, in its capital structure.

Example: Gearing
Company A and Company B are identical in all respects except their gearing.
Both have assets of ₦30,000 and both make the same operating profit (PBIT).
Company A is financed purely by equity, and Company B is financed by a mixture
of debt and equity as follows.
Company A Company B
Assets 30,000 30,000

Ordinary shares of ₦1 30,000 20,000


10% bonds 10,000
30,000 30,000

Company B has to make a profit of at least ₦1,000 in order to be able to pay the
interest on the 10% bond.
Company A has no debt, so does not need to cover the interest payments and so
does not have any minimum PBIT requirement.
Company B is therefore riskier than company A.
Lower geared companies are less risky than higher geared companies as there is
a greater likelihood that its PBIT will be high enough to cover interest charges and
make a profit for the shareholders

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

Interest cover ratio


Interest cover measures the ability of the company to meet its obligations to pay
interest.

Formula: Interest cover


Profit before interest and tax
Interest cover =
Interest charges in the year

An interest cover ratio of less than 3.0 times is considered very low, suggesting
that the company could be at risk from too much debt in relation to the amount of
profits it is earning.
The risk is that a significant fall in profitability could mean that profits are
insufficient to cover interest charges, and the entity will therefore be at risk from
any legal action or other action that lenders might take.

Example: Gearing and interest cover


The following data relates to All Stores, a large chain of supermarkets.

20X6 20X7 20X8


₦’000 ₦’000 ₦’000
Current liabilities
Short-term debt (at 5%) 11,773 6,402 5,453

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt (2%) 41,771 41,086 38,214

Capital and reserves


Total shareholders’ equity
(share capital plus reserves) 79,209 81,394 80,546

Earnings before interest and


tax (EBIT) 27,260 21,638 20,497
Required
Calculate the gearing and interest cover ratios for All Stores and comment on the
results.

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Performance management

Answer
Gearing
Gearing is calculated using the formula:
20X6 20X7 20X8
₦’000 ₦’000 ₦’000
Long-term debt 41,771 41,086 38,214 (1)
Total shareholders’ equity
(share capital plus reserves) 79,209 81,394 80,546
120,980 122,480 118,760 (2)
Gearing ratio
(1) as a percentage of (2) 34.53% 33.55% 32.18%

The gearing level has decreased over the 3 year period.


This shows that All Stores is less reliant on debt to fund its business.

The interest cover at All Store over the three years is as follows:
20X6 20X7 20X8
₦’000 ₦’000 ₦’000
EBIT 27,260 21,638 20,497
Interest
Short-term debt 11,773 6,402 5,453
Interest at 5% 539 320 273
Long-term debt 41,771 41,086 38,214
Interest at 2% 835 822 764
Total interest in the year 1,374 1,140 1,037

Interest cover
(EBIT/Total interest) 19.84 18.98 19.76

The interest level remained fairly stable over the three year period, despite the
fall in earnings before interest and tax the company experienced over this time
frame.
The company’s level of gearing has fallen so interest is still easily be covered by
the company despite the fall in earnings.
The figure itself is around 19 times which indicates this company is unlikely to
present much risk and could withstand a fall in profits without compromising its
ability to repay interest.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

2.7 The limitations of financial ratios as performance indicators


There are several limitations or weaknesses in the use of financial ratios for
analysing the performance of companies.
 Ratios can only indicate possible strengths or weaknesses in financial
position and financial performance. They might raise questions about
performance, but do not provide answers. They are not easy to interpret,
and changes in financial ratios over time might not be easy to explain.
 Using financial ratios to measure performance can sometimes lead
managers to focus on the short-term rather than the long-term success of
the business.
 There is some risk that managers may decide to ‘manipulate’ financial
performance, for example by delaying a large item of expenditure or
bringing forward the date of a major business transaction, in order to
increase or reduce profitability in one period (and so reduce or increase the
profit for the next financial period). The risk of manipulating financial results
is particularly significant when managers are paid annual bonuses on the
basis of financial performance.

2.8 Industry specific ratios


Many of the above financial ratios can be used to analyse performance of
different types of company.
There are some financial performance measures which might be used in specific
industries. For example:
 annual sales revenue per cubic metre of shelf space (a ratio used by
supermarkets and other stores);
 cost per tonne-mile carried (road haulage companies);
 cost per passenger-mile carried (transport companies);
 average income per consultant day (management consultancy company);
 add-on revenue per guest night (hotels).

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Performance management

Example: Industry specific ratios


A company transports grain from the countryside to the capital city.
The following information has been gathered for a period:
Load per lorry 20 tonnes
Distance per trip 300 km
Cost per km ₦500

Total cost (300 km  ₦500) ₦150,000


Tonnes per km (300 km  20 tonne) ÷6,000 tonnes
Cost per tonne per km ₦25

Note: Tonnes per km – Carrying 20 tonnes for 30 km is the equivalent of


carrying 6,000 tonnes for 1 km.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

3 NON-FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (NFPIs)

Section overview

 Non-financial performance indicators


 Non-financial aspects of performance
 Common areas in which companies adopt NFPIs
 NFPIs for departments or functions
 NFPIs in different types of industry
 Analysing NFPIs
 Benchmarking

3.1 Non-financial performance indicators


Financial performance alone does not give a complete picture of the performance
of an entity. Financial performance is the result of other factors such as market
share and customer satisfaction. Understanding the performance of an entity
requires an understanding of the underlying factors which drive that performance.
The critical non-financial performance factors must also be assessed, because
they determine the size of profits that a company will make in the longer-term.
Therefore targets must be established for non-financial aspects of performance,
and performance should be measured against those targets.
Non-financial performance indicators (NFPIs) are measurements of performance
that are not financial or monetary. Whereas financial performance indicators are
quantitative, non-financial performance indicators may be either:
 quantitative indicators, i.e. measured numerically; or
 qualitative indicators, i.e. not measured numerically.
Where possible, it is usually preferable to use quantitative measures of
performance, because these make comparisons easier. For example, customer
satisfaction is a non-financial aspect of performance, and could be measured in
qualitative terms – i.e. is customer satisfaction improving or getting worse?
However it might be possible to measure customer satisfaction quantitatively, by
asking customers to provide feedback and satisfaction ratings for the products or
services they have bought. Satisfaction ratings, say on a scale of 1 to 10, turn a
qualitative aspect of performance into one that can be measure numerically.

Variability in the circumstances of different businesses


With financial performance measurement, there are a limited number of financial
performance indicators that are used and applied to all types of business. For
example, the ratios discussed in the previous section can be used to measure the
performance of many different types of company (though interpretation should be
carried out in the light of knowledge of the relevant business sector).
With NFPIs, the key measures of performance vary between different types of
business and depend on the nature of the business. For example, the key non-
financial measures of performance for a chemical manufacturer will differ from
those of a passenger transport company such as a bus or train company.

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Also, non-financial performance indicators might differ between companies within


the same industry. This is because the companies might operate on different
business models or might be trying to achieve different objectives or might simply
have a different view of what is important to the success of their business.

Time scale for achievement


Financial performance targets are often set for a budget period, and actual
performance is compared against budget. Non-financial performance targets
need not be restricted to one year, and in some cases it may be sensible to
establish targets for a longer term (or possibly a shorter term) than one year.
Unfortunately, if some employees are awarded cash bonuses for achieving non-
financial performance targets, there will be a tendency to set annual targets in
order to fit in with the annual budget cycle.
3.2 Non-financial aspects of performance
For the purpose of assessing the performance of the entity as a whole, it is
necessary to identify which aspects of non-financial performance are the most
important in terms of the organisation’s objectives. The problem is to decide
which aspects of performance are critically important. An organisation might
identify a number of critical aspects of performance across in different
departments within the business.
The whole process would involve:
 Identification of objective
 Identification of the critical aspects of performance necessary to achieve
the objective
 Setting targets to drive behaviour towards addressing these critical aspects
of performance
 Measuring actual performance so that it can be compared to the desired
level of performance
 Communicating results to managers of responsibility centres.

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Identifying performance indicators


An organisation would need to carry out some form of analysis to identify suitable
non-financial performance indicators

Example: Identifying NFPIs for a railway company.


Objective To increase passenger revenue by
improving the utilisation of each train
How will we do this? By attracting more passengers
How? By giving them what they value
What do they value? Trains being on time
Cleanliness and comfort

Possible NFPIs
Overall Percentage capacity utilisation
Percentage change in number of
passenger journeys
Trains being on time Percentage of trains that arrive late
Number of cancellations
Cleanliness and comfort Level of customer satisfaction (from
surveys)

For each of the NFPIs identified above the company would need to establish
suitable targets, systems for measuring the performance and systems for
communicating results to managers.
3.3 Common areas in which companies adopt NFPIs
Many companies identify non-financial performance indicators in the following
areas:
 human resources;
 customer satisfaction; and
 quality.
In all cases suitable indicators and associated targets would be established as a
result of analysis similar to that illustrated above.

Human resources
A motivated and well-trained workforce of adequate size is often vital to an
organisation achieving its objectives.
Possible NFPIs include the following
 labour productivity: output produced per man per hour; or average time to
produce a unit of output; or number of customer calls handled per day
 labour turnover rate;
 training days per year;

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 absenteeism rates (e.g sick days) often used as a measure of staff morale;
 average hours worked;
 idle time;
 proportion of billable hours;
 head count by grade of labour.

Customer satisfaction
It is customers that ultimately determine the level of profits. Companies often
analyse what is important to their customers and structure their marketing
offering in line with this.
Measures of customer satisfaction might include:
 percentages of new and returning customers;
 percentage of subscribers renewing their annual subscription;
 results of customer satisfaction surveys;
 number of complaints;
 speed of complaint resolution;
 subsequent sales to customers who registered a complaint previously.

Quality
Quality is linked closely to customer satisfaction. Resolving quality issues has a
direct cost (e.g. the cost of replacing an item) and indirect costs (e.g. lost goodwill
leading to future lost sales).
Possible quality measures include:
 proportion of re-worked items during production;
 proportion of returns;
 proportion of fails;
 number of successful inspections.

3.4 NFPIs for departments or functions


Performance targets can be set for an entity’s departments or in respect of its
functions.
Possible non-financial performance indicators might be as follows for different
departments:
 Sales and customer service
 calls per hour
 conversion rates of calls to orders
 proportion of returning customers
 proportion of 'very satisfied' customers
 average waiting time

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 number of advertising campaigns run


 Online sales
 Number of visits to website
 Conversion rates (number of sales as a percentage of the number of
visits)
 Number of return visits
 Number of sales to returning customers
 Customer satisfaction (number of return visits/number of complaints)
 Website down time
 Delivery times (time between an order being placed and filled)
 Inventory control
 average inventory holding
 proportion of wastage
 number of stock outs
 number of returns to suppliers
 Sustainability/environmental measures
 proportion of components sourced from 'green materials';
 annual percentage reduction in CO2 emissions;
 proportion of packaging that is recyclable.
 Research and development
 number of new invention ideas
 conversion rate of invention ideas to production

Practice question 1
Suggest possible performance measures for a health and safety function in
a company.

3.5 NFPIs in different types of industry


Key measures of non-financial performance vary between different types of
business and depend on the nature of the business. It is impossible to provide
examples for all industries, but the following are some possible examples of
NFPIs that might be important in certain industries.
 Airlines
 average utilisation rates (i.e. percentage of aircraft occupied);
 average non-availability;
 planes - proportion of time in the air;
 average turnaround time for when plane is on the ground.

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 Manufacturing operations
 average build time
 average production line down-time
 capacity utilisation
 Hotels
 occupancy rates for rooms; customer satisfaction measures.

3.6 Analysing NFPIs


Our earlier guidance about measuring and assessing performance applies to
non-financial performance as to financial performance.
 It is not sufficient simply to calculate a performance ratio or other
performance measurement.
 You need to explain the significance of the ratio – What does it mean?
Does it indicate good or bad performance, and why?
 Look at the background information given in the exam question and try to
identify a possible cause or reason for the good or bad performance.
 Possibly, think of a suggestion for improving performance. What might be
done by management to make performance better?

Practice question 2
The following results relate to a company that makes and sells electric
appliances to retailers.
Comment on the following results:
2017 2018
Unit sales 28,000 30,000
On time delivery 95% 80%
Sales returns 2% 6%

3.7 Benchmarking
It may be useful to be aware of benchmarking as a method of assessing
performance. Benchmarking involves comparing performance with the
performance of another, similar organisation or operation. In other words, another
organisation or department is used as a ‘benchmark for comparison’.
Performance can be assessed in terms of whether it has been better or worse
than the selected benchmark. By making such comparisons, it should be possible
to identify strengths and weaknesses in performance.
There are three main types of benchmarking.
 Internal benchmarking. An entity may have many similar operations, such
as regional or area branches. For example, a retail company may have a
network of retail stores. The best-performing stores or departments within

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stores can be used as a benchmark, and the performance of other


branches compared against it.
 Competitive benchmarking. This involves comparing the performance of
the organisation against the performance of its most successful
competitors. In this way, the areas of performance where the competitor is
better can be identified, and measures can then be planned for reducing
the gap in performance.
 Operational benchmarking. A company might use benchmarking to
assess the performance of a particular aspect of its operations, such as
customer order handling, handling e-commerce orders from the internet, or
warehousing and despatch operations. It may be able to identify a company
in a completely different industry that carries out similar operations
successfully. The other company might be prepared to act as a benchmark,
and allow its operations to be studied and its staff interviewed. The benefit
of this type of benchmarking is that a business is able to learn from world-
class companies how to improve its operations and raise its performance
levels.

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4 LONGER-TERM VIEWS OF PERFORMANCE

Section overview

 Short-termism in performance measurement


 Performance and sustainability
 Stakeholder-based measures of performance: social and environmental
performance

4.1 Short-termism in performance measurement


Performance management systems are often used as a basis for rewarding
managers for successful performance. For example, a manager may be given an
annual bonus for keeping departmental costs below budget, or a sales manager
may be rewarded if the sales and marketing department achieve sales in excess
of the budget target.
Bonus systems can encourage short-termism. Short-termism means taking
measures to improve performance in the short-term, even though they are either
misleading or harmful to the business in the longer term. Short-termism can take
a variety of forms. Here are just a few examples.
 A departmental manager is paid a bonus for keeping departmental costs
within budget. As a result, the manager decides to defer the purchase of
new equipment that would eventually improve output in the department.
The reason for deferring the expenditure is to avoid the higher depreciation
cost of a new item of equipment, so that departmental costs will not exceed
the budget.
 Members of a management team are paid bonuses on the basis of sales
revenue obtained in the year. Near the end of the year, actual sales are
below budget. Management therefore decide to offer to sell a substantial
quantity of product to a customer at a heavily discounted price, even
though the sale would be loss-making, in order to meet budget sales
targets and obtain their bonus.
 Managers might also manipulate financial results, such as treating
expenditures as a long-term asset, or moving revenues from one
accounting period to the next.
Short-termism can be harmful to a company, and also misleading. Managers
should be encouraged to make decisions that are in the longer-term interests of
their organisation, instead of focusing on performance in the short term. An
appropriate way of doing this might be for the organisation’s senior management
to:
 establish performance targets that are linked to the long-term success of
the organisation, such as growth in profits over several years, or sales
revenues from new and innovative products;
 establish a reward scheme that rewards managers for achieving these
long-term targets rather than (or as well as) short-term targets for
performance.

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4.2 Performance and sustainability


To succeed over the long term, a business must be sustainable. It needs to
remain profitable, but to do this it also needs to consider the non-financial
aspects of a sustainable business. Sustainability has been defined in terms of
setting performance objectives for three areas or aspects of performance:
 economic performance/ financial performance
 performance relating to the environment
 social aspects of performance.
Economic, social and environmental performance are known as the ‘three pillars
of sustainability’. They are also known as the three Ps (a phrase coined by John
Elkington in 1994):
 People refers to fair and beneficial business practices for labour
(employees), the community and region in which a corporation conducts its
business, and the organisation’s customers.
 Planet (natural capital) refers to sustainable (‘green’) environmental
practices so environmental indicators might include measurements relating
to improving energy efficiency; minimising pollution; using renewable
materials or sources of energy and avoiding the use of non-renewable
items; and minimising waste, for example by recycling materials;
 Profit is the economic value created by the organisation after deducting the
cost of all inputs, including the cost of the capital tied up. It is the real
economic impact the organisation has on its economic environment.
Arguably, a business will not survive over the long term unless it gives due
consideration to people and planet, as well as to profit.

4.3 Stakeholder-based measures of performance: social and environmental


performance

Definitions: Stakeholder
This is a person, group or organisation that has an interest in an entity.
Anybody who can affect or is affected by an organisation, strategy or project
is a stakeholder.

The primary stakeholders in a typical company are its owners, employees,


customers and suppliers. However, increasing globalisation, greater
environmental and social awareness, and more efficient communication, have
resulted in a wider and deeper understanding of the impact that organisations
have on society and on the environment. In consequence many organisations
take a view of stakeholders that includes other groups in addition to these
including the community at large.
There is an increasing understanding that although companies increase
economic wealth through growth and the search for profit maximisation, society
may well be getting poorer because of the damage that economic activity is
having on the environment and society.

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A successful business now must not only be financially secure but it must
minimise its negative environmental impacts and must meet the expectations of
society.
As companies have become increasingly aware of environmental issues, and
have started to accept that economic growth might not be sustainable, they have
become more interested in measuring sustainability and environmental impact.
Public companies report their financial performance in their published annual
financial statements, but many companies also provide information about social
and environmental goals and performance, in a strategic report or a sustainability
report (or corporate social responsibility report).
Triple bottom line reporting
Performance relating to sustainability may be presented in a triple bottom line
report. In traditional financial reporting the bottom line refers to either the profit or
loss, which is presented at the very bottom line on in a statement of profit or loss.
Environmentalists and economists have argued that the traditional bottom line
does not include the full costs of the business.

Example: Full cost of operation


A company runs a gold mine at a profit.
The operation of the mine has caused significant pollution of the local water
supply leading to death and illness among the local population and livestock.
The financial statements bottom line only shows the profit but not these other
costs to society.

The triple bottom line adds two more bottom lines. These are social and
environmental (ecological) concerns. Triple bottom line (abbreviated as TBL or
3BL) incorporates the notion of sustainability into business decisions.
TBL is an accounting framework with three dimensions, social, environmental (or
ecological) and economic (financial). Many organisations have adopted the TBL
framework to evaluate their performance in a broader context.
Measures of social and environmental performance
Measures of profitability are similar for all for-profit businesses. However,
measures of social and environmental performance may differ widely between
companies, because of their size and the nature of their business operations.
One major global company using triple bottom line reporting reported its
environmental performance in terms of:
 global energy use, measured in thousands of GWh (giga watt hours)
 global carbon dioxide emissions, measured in metric tonnes
 production of non-recycled waste, measured in metric tonnes
Emissions of other polluting cases can be converted into a ‘carbon dioxide
equivalent’, so that the total quantities of polluting emissions by a company can
be expressed in a common measure – carbon dioxide. Total emissions of carbon

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dioxide equivalents by a company are commonly known as the company’s


‘carbon footprint’.
The same global company reported, as social indicators:
 its donations to communities and sponsorships;
 diversity: the percentage of its employees who were female and the
percentage who came from minority groups;
 the number of discrimination charges brought against the company during
the year;
 employee satisfaction, based on a census of employee opinion; and
 the recordable injury rate per 1,000 employees.
Some companies publish targets for improvements in the social or environmental
aspects of their operations. For example, some global packaging and bottling
companies now have targets for the replacement of non-recyclable plastic
materials with recyclable or biodegradable materials.
A system for social and environmental reporting
Traditional performance measures are directed primarily at the owners and those
who act on their behalf (the management) with most companies using
performance measurement systems that are extensions of their financial
reporting systems.
Such traditional accounting systems do not provide information which could be
used to explain the company’s performance in terms of environmental and social
impacts. Performance measurement systems must be designed to do this.
In order for a company to design a suitable performance reporting system it must
do the following:
 identify its stakeholders;
 find out what aspects of the company’s performance are important to each
stakeholder group;
 design performance metrics to show the company’s performance in each
area of interest;
 set targets for each metric and communicate these to the stakeholder;
 design information systems that integrate data collection and information
processing so that performance can be measured against these metrics;
and
 introduce a transparent system of reporting to stakeholder groups.
Triple bottom line reporting is a framework that can be used to inform this
process.

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5 THE BALANCED SCORECARD APPROACH

Section overview

 The concept of the balanced scorecard


 The balanced scorecard: four perspectives of performance
 Using the balanced scorecard
 Conflicting targets for the four perspectives

5.1 The concept of the balanced scorecard


The balanced scorecard approach was developed by Kaplan and Norton in the
1990s as an approach to measuring performance in relation to long-term
objectives. They argued that for a business entity, the most important objective is
a financial objective. However, in order to achieve financial objectives over the
long term, it is also necessary to achieve goals or targets that are non-financial in
nature, as well as financial.
The concept of the balanced scorecard is that there are several aspects of
performance (‘perspectives on performance’) and targets should be set for each
of them. The different ‘perspectives’ may sometimes appear to be in conflict with
each other, because achieving an objective for one aspect of performance could
mean having to make a compromise with other aspects of performance. The aim
should be to achieve a satisfactory balance between the targets for each of the
different perspectives on performance. These targets, taken together, provide a
balanced scorecard, and actual performance should be measured against all the
targets in the scorecard.
The reason for having a balanced scorecard is that by setting targets for several
key factors, and making compromises between the conflicting demands of each
factor, managers will take a more balanced and long-term view about what they
should be trying to achieve. A balanced scorecard approach should remove the
emphasis on financial targets and short-term results.
However, although a balanced scorecard approach takes a longer-term view of
performance, it is possible to set shorter-term targets for each item on the
scorecard. In this way it is possible to combine a balanced scorecard approach to
measuring performance with the annual budget cycle, and any annual incentive
scheme that the entity may operate.

5.2 The balanced scorecard: four perspectives of performance


In a balanced scorecard, critical success factors are identified for four aspects of
performance, or four ‘perspectives’:
 customer perspective
 internal perspective
 innovation and learning perspective
 financial perspective.
Of these four perspectives, three are non-financial in nature.

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For each perspective, Kaplan and Norton argued that an entity should identify
key performance measures and key performance targets. The four perspectives
provide a framework for identifying what those measures should be, although the
specific measures used by each entity will vary according to the nature of the
entity’s business.
For each perspective, the key performance measures should be identified by
answering a key question. The answer to the question indicates what the most
important issues are. Having identified the key issues, performance measures
can then be selected, and targets set for each of them.

Perspective The key question


Customer What do customers value?
perspective By recognising what customers value most, the entity can
focus its performance targets on satisfying the customer more
effectively. Targets might be developed for several aspects of
performance such as cost (value for money), quality or place of
delivery.
Internal To achieve its financial and customer objectives, what
perspective processes must the organisation perform with excellence?
Management should identify the key aspects of operational
performance and seek to achieve or maintain excellence in this
area. For example, an entity may consider that customers
value the quality of its service, and that a key aspect of
providing a quality service is the effectiveness of its operational
controls in preventing errors from happening.
Innovation How can the organisation continue to improve and create
and learning value?
perspective The focus here is on the ability of the organisation to maintain
its competitive position, through the skills and knowledge of its
work force and through developing new products and services,
or making use of new technology as it develops.
Financial How does the organisation create value for its owners?
perspective Financial measures of performance in a balanced scorecard
system might include share price growth, profitability and return
on investment.
Kaplan and Norton argued that although the main objectives of a business are
financial, it is essential for long-term success that the organisation should be able
to meet the needs of its customers (the customer perspective). In order to satisfy
customers, it must have internal processes that are efficient and effective in
delivering the goods or services that customers need (the internal perspective). In
order to have effective and efficient internal processes, an organisation needs
people with knowledge and skills, as well as a capacity to continue innovating
(the innovation and learning perspective).

Several measures of performance may be selected for each perspective, or just


one. Using a large number of different measures for each perspective adds to the
complexity of the performance measurement system.

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5.3 Using the balanced scorecard


With the balanced scorecard approach the focus should be on strategic
objectives and the critical success factors necessary for achieving them. The
main focus is on what needs to be done now to ensure continued success in the
future.
The main performance report for management each month is a balanced
scorecard report, not budgetary control reports and variance reports.
Examples of measures of performance for each of the four perspectives are as
follows. The list is illustrative only, and organisations will use balanced scorecard
measures that are appropriate for their business.

Perspective Outcome measures


Critical financial Return on investment
measures Profitability and profitability growth
Revenue growth
Productivity and cost control
Cash flow and adequate liquidity
Avoiding financial risk: limits to borrowing
Critical customer Market share and market share growth
measures Customer profitability: profit targets for each category of
customer
Attracting new customers: number of new customers or
percentage of total annual revenue obtained from new
customers during the year
Retaining existing customers
Customer satisfaction, although measurements of
customer satisfaction may be difficult to obtain
On-time delivery for customer orders
Critical internal Success rate in winning contract orders
measures Effectiveness of operational controls, measured by the
number of control failures identified during the period
Production cycle time/throughput time
Amount of re-working of defective units
Critical Revenue per employee
innovation and Employee productivity
learning
Employee satisfaction
measures
Employee retention or turnover rates
Percentage of total revenue earned from sales of new
products
Time to develop new products from design to completion
of development and introduction to the market

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Example: Balanced scorecard


Kaplan and Norton described the example of Mobil in the early 1990s, in their
book The Strategy-focussed Organisation. Mobil, a major supplier of petrol, was
competing with other suppliers on the basis of price and the location of petrol
stations. Its strategic focus was on cost reduction and productivity, but its return
on capital was low.
The company’s management re-assessed their strategy, with the aim of
increasing market share and obtaining stronger brand recognition of the Mobil
brand name. They decided that the company needed to attract high-spending
customers who would buy other goods from the petrol station stores, in addition
to petrol.
As its high-level financial objective, the company set a target of increasing return
on capital employed from its current level of about 6% to 12% within three years.
From a financial perspective, it identified such key success factors as productivity
and sales growth. Targets were set for productivity (reducing operating costs per
gallon of petrol sold) and ‘asset intensity’ (ratio of operational cash flow to assets
employed).
From a customer perspective, Mobil carried out market research into who its
customers were and what factors influenced their buying decisions. Targets were
set for providing petrol to customers in a way that would satisfy the customer and
differentiate Mobil’s products from rival petrol suppliers. Key issues were found to
be having petrol stations that were clean and safe, and offering a good quality
branded product and a trusted brand. Targets were set for cleanliness and safety,
speedy service at petrol stations, helpful customer service and rewarding
customer loyalty.
From an internal perspective, Mobil set targets for improving the delivery of its
products and services to customers, and making sure that customers could
always buy the petrol and other products that they wanted, whenever they visited
a Mobil station.

5.4 Conflicting targets for the four perspectives


A criticism that has been made against the balanced scorecard approach is that
the targets for each of the four perspectives might often conflict with each other.
When this happens, there might be disagreement about what the priorities should
be.
This problem should not be serious, however, if it is remembered that the
financial is the most important of the four perspectives for a commercial business
entity. The term ‘balanced’ scorecard indicates that some compromises have to
be made between the different perspectives.
A useful sporting analogy was provided in an article in Financial Management
magazine (Gering and Mntambo, November 2001). They compared the balanced
scorecard to the judgements of a football team manager during a football match.
The objective is to win the match and the key performance measure is the score.
However, as the match progresses, the manager will look at other important
aspects of performance, such as the number of shots at the goal by each side,

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the number of corner kicks, the number of tackles and the percentage of
possession of the ball enjoyed by the team.
Shots on goal corner kicks, tackles and possession of the ball are all necessary
factors in scoring goals, not conceding goals, and winning the match. The
manager will therefore use them as indicators of how well or badly the match is
progressing. However, the score is ultimately the only thing that matters.
In the same way, targets for four perspectives are useful in helping management
to judge progress towards the company’s objectives, but ultimately, success in
achieving those objectives is measured in financial terms. The financial objective
is the most important.

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6 FITZGERALD AND MOON BUILDING BLOCK MODEL

Section overview

 The characteristics of services and service industries


 Controllable performance in service industries
 Fitzgerald and Moon: Performance measurement in service industries
 Applying the Fitzgerald and Moon framework

6.1 The characteristics of services and service industries


Many organisations provide services rather than products. There are many
examples of service industries: hotels, entertainment, the holiday and travel
industries, professional services, banking, recruitment services, cleaning
services, and so on.
Performance measurement for services may differ from performance
measurement in manufacturing in several ways:
 Simultaneity. With a service, providing the service (‘production’) and
receiving the service (‘consumption’ by the customer) happen at the same
time. With production, the product is sold to the customer after it has been
manufactured.
 Perishability. It is impossible to store a service for future consumption:
unlike manufacturing and retailing, there is no stock or inventory of unused
services. The service must be provided when the customer wants it.
 Heterogeneity. A product can be made to a standard specification. With a
service provided by humans, there is variability in the standard of
performance. Each provision of the service is different. For example, even if
they perform the same songs at several concerts, the performance of a
rock band at a series of concerts will be different each time. Similarly, a call
centre operator answering telephone calls from customers will be unable to
deal with each call in exactly the same way.
 Intangibility. With a service, there are many intangible elements of service
that the customer is given, and that individual customers might value. For
example, a high quality of service in a restaurant is often intangible, but it is
noticed and valued by the customer.
Since services differ to some extent from products, should performance setting
and performance measurement be different in service companies, compared with
manufacturing companies?

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6.2 Controllable performance in service industries


A starting point for analysing performance measurement in service industries is
that companies in a service industry should be able to link their competitive
strategy to their operations, to make sure that the services that they are providing
will enable the company to achieve its strategic objectives. Performance
management systems have an important role, because they can:
 show how well or how badly the organisation has performed in achieving its
strategic objectives, and
 identify where improvements are needed.
Performance management systems have been developed in many organisations
that:
 link performance measures to objectives
 include external as well as internal measures of performance
 include non-financial as well as financial performance indicators
 recognise that a compromise is often necessary between different
performance targets, such as targets for service quality and targets for the
cost or the speed of providing the service.
The performance indicators that are used can vary widely between different
service industries, and there is no standard set of performance measurements
that apply to all services.
However, a framework for analysing performance management systems in
service industries was provided by Fitzgerald and Moon.

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6.3 Fitzgerald and Moon: performance measurement in service industries


Fitzgerald and Moon (1996) suggested that a performance management system
in a service organisation can be analysed as a combination of three building
blocks:
 Dimensions
 Standards
 Rewards.
These are shown in the following diagram.

Illustration: Building blocks for performance measurement systems

Fitzgerald and Moon 1996

Dimensions of performance
Dimensions of performance are the aspects of performance that are measured. A
critical question is: What are the dimensions of performance that should be
measured in order to assess performance?
Research by Fitzgerald and others (1993) and by Fitzgerald and Moon (1996)
concluded that there are six dimensions of performance measurement that link
performance to corporate strategy. These are:
 profit (financial performance)
 competitiveness
 quality
 resource utilisation
 flexibility
 innovation.

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Some performance measures that might be used for each dimension are set out
in the following table:

Dimension of Possible measure of performance


performance
Financial Profitability
performance Growth in profits
Profit/sales margins
Note: Return on capital employed is possibly not so
relevant in a service industry, where the company employs
fairly small amounts of capital.
Competitiveness Growth in sales
Retention rate for customers (or percentage of customers
who buy regularly: ‘repeat sales’)
Success rate in converting enquiries into sales
Possibly market share, although this may be difficult to
measure
Service quality Number of complaints
Whether the rate of complaints is increasing or decreasing
Customer satisfaction, as revealed by customer opinion
surveys
Number of errors discovered
Flexibility Possibly the mix of different types of work done by
employees
Possibly the speed in responding to customers’ requests
Resource Efficiency/productivity measures
utilisation Utilisation rates: percentage of available time utilised in
‘productive’ activities
Innovation Number of new services offered
Percentage of sales income that comes from services
introduced in the last one or two years
Other measures of performance might be appropriate for each dimension,
depending on the nature of the service industry. However, this framework of six
dimensions provides a structure for considering what measures of performance
might be suitable.
The dimensions of performance should also distinguish between:
 ‘results’ of actions taken in the past, and
 ‘determinants’ of future performance.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

Performance: results of past actions


Some dimensions of performance measure the results of decisions that were
taken in the past, that have now had an effect. Fitzgerald and Moon suggested
that results of past actions are measured by:
 financial performance; and
 competitiveness.

Determinants of future performance


Other dimensions of performance will not have an immediate effect, and do not
measure the effects of decisions taken in the past. Instead they measure
progress towards achieving strategic objectives in the future. The ‘drivers’ or
‘determinants’ of future performance are:
 quality;
 resource utilisation;
 flexibility; and
 innovation.
These are dimensions of competitive success now and in the future, and so are
appropriate for measuring the performance of current management. Measuring
performance in these dimensions ‘is an attempt to address the short-termism
criticism frequently levelled at financially-focused reports’ (Fitzgerald). This is
because they recognise that by achieving targets now, future performance will
benefit. Improvements in quality, say, might not affect profitability in the current
financial period, but if these quality improvements are valued by customers, this
will affect profits in the future.

Standards
The second part of the framework for performance measurement suggested by
Fitzgerald and Moon relates to setting expected standards of performance, once
the dimensions of performance have been selected.
There are three aspects to setting standards of performance:
 To what extent do individuals feel that they own the standards that will be
used to assess their performance? Do they accept the standards as their
own, or do they feel that the standards have been imposed on them by
senior management?
 Do the individuals held responsible for achieving the standards of
performance consider that these standards are achievable, or not?
 Are the standards fair (‘equitable’) for all managers in all business units of
the entity?
It is recognised that individuals should ‘own’ the standards that will be used to
assess their performance, and managers are more likely to own the standards
when they have been involved in the process of setting the standards.
It has also been argued that if an individual accepts or ‘owns’ the standards of
performance, better performance will be achieved when the standard is more
demanding and difficult to achieve than when the standard is easy to achieve.

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This means that the standards of performance that are likely to motivate
individuals the most are standards that will not be achieved successfully all the
time. Budget targets should therefore be challenging, but not impossible to
achieve.
Finding a balance between standards that the company thinks are achievable
and standards that the individual thinks are achievable can be a source of conflict
between senior management and their subordinates.
Standards should also be fair for everyone in all business units, and should not
be easier to achieve for some managers than others. To achieve fairness or
equity, when local conditions for the individual business units can vary, it is often
necessary to assess performance by relying on subjective judgement rather than
objective financial measurements.

Rewards
The third aspect of the performance measurement framework of Fitzgerald and
Moon is rewards. This refers to the structure of the rewards system, and how
individuals will be rewarded for the successful achievement of performance
targets.
One of the main roles of a performance measurement system should be to
ensure that strategic objectives are achieved successfully, by linking operational
performance with strategic objectives.
According to Fitzgerald and Moon, there are three aspects to consider in the
reward system.
 The system of setting performance targets and rewarding individuals for
achieving those targets must be clear to everyone involved. Provided that
managers accept their performance targets, motivation to achieve the
targets will be greater when the targets are clear (and when the managers
have participated in the target-setting process).
 Employees may be motivated to work harder to achieve performance
targets when they are rewarded for successful achievements, for
example with the payment of a bonus.
 Individuals should only be held responsible for aspects of financial
performance that they can control. This is a basic principle of
responsibility accounting. A common problem, however, is that some costs
are incurred for the benefit of several divisions or departments of the
organisation. The costs of these shared services have to be allocated
between the divisions or departments that use them. The principle that
costs should be controllable therefore means that the allocation of shared
costs between divisions must be fair. In practice, arguments between
divisional managers often arise because of disagreements as to how the
shared costs should be shared.

6.4 Applying the Fitzgerald and Moon framework


The actual measures of performance used by companies in service industries will
vary according to the nature of the service. Fitzgerald and Moon used case
studies, however, to show how their framework can be used to assess
performance management systems.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

One successful (and large) organisation reported as a case study was a food
retailing business with a large number of stores. Applying the Fitzgerald and
Moon framework, the performance management system was analysed as
follows:

Dimensions of performance
The company used four of the six dimensions of performance to assess the
performance of individual stores and the performance of each region.

Dimension of Measures used Comments


performance
Financial Profit by store Profit is seen as a very important
performance and by region. measure of performance.
The performance of each store and
region is publicised within the
company, by means of ‘league tables’,
so that each store manager knows
how his store has performed in
comparison with others.
Competitiveness Market share (at The company places great importance
company level). on monitoring the prices charged by
Prices of competitors. Prices are monitored for
competitors for each store, at the ‘local’ level.
each local store.
Observation. Market share is assessed from
published market share statistics.
Managers of local stores may visit the
stores of competitors to see how full
their car park is, and compare this
with the number of cars in the car park
of their own store.
Quality of service Letters and other The quality of service is monitored by
on specific messages from ‘mystery shoppers’ – individuals hired
transactions customers. by the company to visit stores
Observation disguised as customers, to observe
the quality of service provided.
Quality of service A range of A number of different aspects of
overall measures for service quality are monitored and
each store and measured, and a performance league
warehouse/depot table for stores and warehouses is
published internally.
Flexibility No formal However, managers are aware of the
performance need for flexibility. For example, when
measurement there are staff shortages due to
absenteeism, store managers will
telephone part-time staff and ask
them to fill the vacancies at short
notice.

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Dimension of Measures used Comments


performance
Resource Sales per square
utilisation metre.
Wastage rates
Innovation No formal The need to innovate continually is
performance recognised, however, and innovation
measurement is discussed regularly at business
planning meetings.
Standards of performance
The research found a significant difference between the level of ownership for:
 profit; and
 quality of service.
Managers participated in the process of setting profit targets for their store or
region, through the formal business planning process. However, standards for
quality of service were imposed by central management (head office). The view
of senior management was that quality standards must be the same at every
store in the country; therefore standards must be decided at head office for the
company as a whole.
‘Standards’ of performance were assessed for both profitability and quality of
service.

Standard Comment
Profit
Ownership Managers were involved in setting profit targets, as part
of the discussions with head office about annual targets
and business planning.
Achievability The standards/targets were considered achievable by the
managers responsible for achieving them.
Equity In setting profit targets for each store, allowance was
made for the effect of competition from local competitors
to each individual store.
Quality of service
Ownership Standards were imposed by head office.
Achievability However, they were seen as achievable.
An aspect of standard-setting was the use of internal
benchmarks, and comparisons of quality standards at
different stores within the company.
Equity No allowances were made for different local conditions.
All stores throughout the country were expected to
achieve the same standards.

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

Reward mechanisms for achieving standards


The three elements of reward systems within the Fitzgerald and Moon framework
are:
 clarity of goals and targets;
 how managers are motivated to achieve targets; and
 whether there are any problems about shared costs and controllability of
costs
The research findings were as follows:

Element Comments
Clarity of goals Managers were aware of company strategy, and clearly
understood how their performance would contribute to
the achievement of strategic objectives.
Motivation:
short-term financial Store managers received a bonus for achieving targets.
motivation In addition, there were ‘team’ bonus payments.
non-financial Managers had pride in their position in the league tables
aspects of stores, and were motivated to improve or maintain
their position in the league.
Controllability There were no problems with controllability of costs or
allocation of shared costs.

Conclusions
Conclusions drawn from this case study, based on the Fitzgerald and Moon
framework, were as follows:
 The company was highly successful.
 It had a clear statement of strategy that was well understood by
management in regions and local stores.
 Performance measures were consistent with that strategy.
 Performance measures were reported regularly, covering a range of
financial and non-financial aspects of performance.
 The performance measurements were clearly defined and communicated
to employees at all levels in the company, and there were regular reports
on actual achievements.
 The driving force for performance targets was the satisfaction of customers’
needs.
 The performance measurement system was reinforced by a rewards
system to motivate managers and by a pride in performance.

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7 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the nature of performance and non-performance indicators in a
performance management system
 Measure and use a range of financial performance indicators
 Measure and use a range of non-financial performance indicators
 Explain the nature of short-termism in performance measurement
 Explain the relevance of sustainability measurements (social and environmental
measurements) for an assessment of longer-term performance
 Explain the balanced scorecard approach to performance management and
apply it in a given scenario
 Explain the Fitzgerald and Moon Building Block model and its application to
performance measurement in service industries

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Chapter 9: Performance analysis

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Possible performance indicators for a health and safety function include (but are
not limited to) the following:
a. Number of accidents in period – no injury
b. Number of accidents in period – causing injury
c. Number of fatalities in a period;
d. Number of days since a fatality;
e. Days lost through work related illness
f. Number of days spent on health and safety training for health and safety
officers.
g. Number of days spent on health and safety training for employees

Solution 2
Unit sales
The number of appliances old has increased by 7.1% (28,000 to 30,000).
At first sight this is very pleasing. However, there is no information about the
margins in respect of these sales. If the sales have increased as a result of
price reductions there might be a negative impact on the profitability of the
company.
Also there is no information about the size of the market. If the market has
increased by 10% (say) then the company has lost market share and the
performance which looks favourable may not actually be so.
On-time delivery
There is a worrying deterioration of the percentage of deliveries made on time.
This could lead to increase costs if the customer contracts include service level
agreements calling for compensation for late delivery.
There is also a possibility of loss of custom in the future.
Sales return
There is a very worrying increase in the number of units returned. This might
be due to the company sending incorrect order or selling defective unit. Either
of these could be explained by staff being unable to cope with the increased
activity levels. Correction of mistakes has an associated cost including the
possible loss of future sales to customers who are dissatisfied.
The increase could also be due to the company allowing its customers to buy
goods on a sale or return basis. This makes it more difficult to interpret the
increase in sales as still more goods might be returned in the future
The increased sales seem to have caused other areas of performance to
suffer.

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10
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Other aspects of performance
measurement

Contents
1 Performance analysis in not-for-profit organisations
2 Value for money (VFM)
3 Strategic performance measurement
4 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
The previous chapter considered performance management and the use of performance
indicators from the perspective of a for-profit commercial business, and mostly from a short-
term perspective. Many organisations do not have a profit perspective and are not-for-profit
government departments and charities being examples – although financial performance is
important for them. Candidates are expected to be capable of discussing the problems of
performance measurement in not-for-profit organisations and demonstrate the application of
value for money criteria. They should also be capable of considering strategic aspects of
performance measurement in for-profit organisations, and in particular performance
measures relating to profitability, liquidity and solvency.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:

C Performance measurement and control


2 Performance analysis in not-for-profit organisations
A Discuss the problems of having non-quantifiable objectives in performance
management.
B Explain how performance may be measured in the not-for-profit
organisations.
C Discuss the problems of having multiple objectives.
D Demonstrate value for money (VFM) as a public sector objective.

E Strategic performance measurement


2 Analyse and evaluate suitable performance measures for:
A Profitability (GP, ROCE, ROI, EPS, EBITDA, etc.);
B Liquidity; and
C Solvency.

Exam context
This chapter explains the nature of performance measurement in not-for-profit organisations,
and also the strategic aspects of performance measurement.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain how performance might be measured in not-for-profit organisations
 Explain the objective of value for money and its application to not-for-profit
organisations and the problems of multiple objectives
 Analyse and evaluate the strategic aspects of performance relating to profitability,
liquidity and solvency

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Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement

1 PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS IN NOT-FOR-PROFIT ORGANISATIONS

Section overview

 Problems with having non-quantifiable objectives


 Measuring performance in not-for-profit organisations
 Problems with multiple objectives

1.1 Problems with having non-quantifiable objectives


Not-for-profit organisations exist to provide benefits to a targeted group of people
or to society as a whole. Government-owned institutions use taxpayers’ money to
provide services to the public, such as health services, education, policing, the
criminal courts system and so on. Some government departments perform
administrative tasks on behalf of the government, such as the tax department.
Although they must operate within the constraints of the money (budget)
available to them, the main objectives of government and state-owned
organisations are non-financial.
Similarly, the objectives of charities are to provide assistance to a targeted group,
such as aid for victims of war or natural disasters, assistance for people with
certain illnesses or disabilities, assistance for local communities, funding
research into disease, care for old people, and so on. They must operate within
the constraints of the financial contributions they receive, from the government
and individual donations, but their prime objective is non-financial.
A problem with having a non-financial objective is that they can be difficult to
quantify. How does a health service quantify the provision of its services; how is
the provision of education or policing measured? How is the objective of helping
victims of tsunamis or earthquakes measured?
The answer is that these overriding non-financial objectives cannot be properly
quantified. Whereas for-profit companies have quantifiable financial objectives,
most not-for-profit organisations have non-quantifiable broad objectives.

1.2 Measuring performance in not-for-profit organisations


Performance management systems rely on the use of quantifiable performance
indicators. This is true for not-for-profit organisations as well as for commercial
companies.
Not-for-profit organisations can set financial objectives, although these are not
their main objective. For example, a government department can set an objective
of operating within its allocated budget limits. A charity can set an objective of
raising the amount of money it receives from donations.
However, for a performance measurement system to operate effectively, not-for-
profit organisations need quantifiable objectives that relate to their main objective.
They do this by identifying a number of targets which are considered ‘key’ to
successful performance, and measure performance by comparing actual results
with these key targets.

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Example: Quantifiable objectives


A health service may set targets for the numbers of patients treated each year in
hospitals or in doctors’ surgeries, the average length of stay of patients in
hospitals, targets for reducing the numbers of people suffering from specific
diseases or ailments, and so on.
Similarly a police force may set targets for reductions in the number of
murders, reductions in the number of burglaries, an increase in successful
prosecutions of criminals, and so on.
A state-run education system can set targets for schools for the number of children
achieving ‘A grades’ in their examinations at various ages, and targets for the
proportion of children moving on to university or technical college after school.

In other words, not-for-profit organisations can assess performance by comparing


actual results against a range of quantifiable targets.

1.3 Problems with multiple objectives


A problem with having multiple objectives, without an overall quantifiable main
objective, is that organisations may perform well when measured against some of
their performance targets, but may perform badly in relation to other targets.
When this happens, how do we decide whether the organisation has performed
successfully or not?

Example: Multiple objectives


A national health service may succeed in treating a larger number of patients in
hospital, but average waiting times for hospital treatment might get longer.
A police force may achieve its target of reducing the number of murders each
year by 10%, but fail to achieve its target of reducing burglaries by 5% - and
the number of burglaries may even have increased.
In the schools system, targets for examination results may be achieved for 11-
year old children, but exam results may be poor for 16-year olds.

Problems with multiple performance objectives are that:


 It is difficult to assess overall performance when some key targets are met
but others are not
 The key targets that are selected may not properly represent all the not-for-
profit objectives of the organisation: for practical reasons the number of
performance targets must be limited to a manageable number.

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Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement

2 VALUE FOR MONEY

Section overview

 The nature of value for money


 VFM as a public sector objective
 Quantitative measures of efficiency
 Quantitative measures of effectiveness

2.1 The nature of value for money


The value for money approach to measuring performance in non-for-profit
organisations is based on the idea that these organisations must work within
financial constraints. Government departments must operate within budget limits.
Charities must operate within spending limits set by the amount of donations they
receive.
Not-for-profit organisations should therefore aim to make the best use of the
money available to them, and create ‘value’ in what they do. Making the best
use of money is described as achieving value for money or VFM.
Value for money is defined as the utility derived from an amount of money
spent.
There are three aspects to achieving value for money, often referred to as the
‘3Es’:
 economy
 efficiency
 effectiveness.
The concept of VFM can also be applied in commercial for-profit businesses, but
it is more commonly used in performance measurement systems of not-for-profit
organisations.

Economy
Economy means keeping spending within limits, and avoiding wasteful spending.
It can also mean achieving the results but for less cost. A simple example of
economy is found in the purchase of supplies. Suppose that an administrative
department buys items of stationery from a supplier, and pays ₦2 each for pens.
It might be possible to buy pens of the same quality to fulfil exactly the same
purpose for ₦1.50 each. Economy would be achieved by switching to buying the
₦1.50 pens, saving ₦0.50 per pen with no loss of operating efficiency or
effectiveness.

Efficiency
Efficiency means getting more output from available resources. Applied to
employees, efficiency is often called ‘productivity’. Suppose that an employee in
the government’s tax department processes 20 tax returns each day. Efficiency
would be improved if the same individual increases the rate of output, and
processes 25 tax returns each day, without any loss of effectiveness.

Effectiveness
Effectiveness refers to success in achieving end results or success in achieving
objectives. Whereas efficiency is concerned with getting more outputs from
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Performance management

available resources, effectiveness is concerned with achieving outputs that meet


the required aims and objectives. For example, the effectiveness of treatment of
a particular medical condition will be improved if the proportion of patients who
are treated successfully rises from 80% to 90%.

2.2 VFM as a public sector objective


Management accounting systems and reporting systems may provide information
to management about value for money. Has VFM been achieved, and if so, how
much and in what ways?
Value for money audits may be carried out to establish how much value is being
achieved within a particular department and whether there have been
improvements to value for money. Internal audit departments may carry out
occasional VFM audits, and report to senior management and the manager of the
department they have audited.
Value for money is an objective that can be applied to any organisation whose
main objective is non-financial but which has restrictions on the amount of
finance available for spending. It could therefore be appropriate for all
organisations within the public sector.
The objective of economy focuses on the need to avoid wasteful expenditure on
items, and to keep spending within limits. It also helps to ensure that the limited
finance available is spent sensibly. Targets could be set for the prices paid for
various items from external suppliers. Audits by the government’s auditors into
departmental spending may be used to identify:
 any significant failures to control prices, and
 unnecessary expense.
The objective of efficiency focuses on the need to make full use of available
resources. The objective of effectiveness focuses on the need to use resources
for their intended purpose and achieve the objectives of the organisation.
Unfortunately, in practice government is often accused of wasteful spending,
inefficient operations and failure to get anything done – these are all the
‘traditional’ faults of an over-sized bureaucracy!

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Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement

Example: Value for money (3 Es)


State-owned schools may be given a target that their pupils (of a specified age)
must achieve a certain level of examination grades or ‘passes’ in a particular
examination.
A VFM audit could be used to establish spending efficiency within a school.
Economy- Was there any unnecessary spending? Could the same value have
been obtained for lower spending?
Efficiency- Have the school’s resources been used efficiently? Could more output
have been obtained from the available resources? Could the same results have
been achieved with fewer resources? A study of efficiency might focus on matters
such as teaching time per teacher per week, and the utilisation of resources such
as science equipment and computer-based training materials.
Effectiveness- The most obvious measurements of effectiveness are the number
or percentage of pupils achieving the required examination ‘passes’, or the
grades of pass mark that they have achieved. Effectiveness is improved by
increasing the pass rate.

A problem with VFM as a performance measurement system is that it is not easy


to apply VFM to planning and setting performance targets. An organisation can
assess retrospectively whether or not a particular aspect of operations has
achieved value for money, but it is not so easy to plan in advance just how
value for money will be achieved.

Example: Value for money audit


A local authority sets up a project aimed at encouraging more young people in
the area into employment, with the objective of increasing the number of 16-24
year olds in the local area who are in employment by 10% over three years.
The project managers were very driven to achieve this target and the project
ultimately increased employment rates of this demographic by 12% over the
period. However, the enthusiasm with which meeting the set target was
embraced did result in higher than expected costs and there was an overspend of
8% on the budget for the project.
The overspend prompted a value for money audit to be carried out. A key finding
from this was that the project was marginally less expensive, on an outcome by
outcome basis, than similar campaigns run by other local authorities in the
country.
Required
Determine whether or not you consider the local authority employment project to
have delivered value for money by making reference to the economy, efficiency
and effectiveness of the project.

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Performance management

Answer
Economy: For the project to deliver economy it should control its expenditure and
make the best use of its resources. The overspend on the budget shows that the
cost control could have been better and indicates that economy may not have
been achieved for this project.
Efficiency: The project will be efficient if it has made full use of its resources in the
best possible way to meet the objectives. The comparative data indicates that,
on an outcome by outcome basis, the project cost slightly less than similar projects
carried out by other local authorities. This suggests that the project was efficient.
Effectiveness: The project will be considered effective if it met its objective of
increasing employment in the target demographic by 10% over the period. This
target was exceeded and an increase in 12% was observed. This indicates that the
project was effective.
Overall: the project was both efficient and effective. It does not appear that it was
economic which implies that overall value for money may not have been achieved.
However, it is possible that the cost projections were too ambitious. If this was the
case the project may have delivered value for money overall. Further investigation
will be needed.

2.3 Quantitative measures of efficiency


Efficiency relates the quantity of resources to the quantity of output. This can be
measured in a variety of ways
 Actual output/Maximum output for a given resource × 100%
 Minimum input to achieve required level of output/actual input × 100%
 Actual output/actual input  100% compared to a standard or target

Example: Quantitative measures of efficiency


A hospital has an operating theatre which can be utilised for 20 hours per day.
The maximum number of operations that can be performed in any day is 40. If on
a particular day 35 operations were performed, this represents
35/40 × 100% = 87.5% efficiency
A local authority must ensure that the refuse of all residents is collected each
week for re-cycling. This normally requires 1,000 man hours. If in a particular
week 900 man hours were used this represents
1,000/900 × 100% = 111.1% efficiency
Schools may have a standard pupil to teacher ratio of 27. If a particular school
has 550 pupils and 21 teachers then the actual ratio is 26.2 which represents
27/26.2 × 100% = 103.05% efficiency.

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Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement

2.4 Quantitative measures of effectiveness


Effectiveness relates what has been achieved to the intended objectives for
achievement.

Example: Quantitative measure of effectiveness


The operating theatre in a hospital may have a maximum capacity of 40
operations per day and the average utilisation of this capacity may be 87.5%.
This is a measure of efficiency in the use of the hospital operating theatre. But
the aim of operations in hospitals is to treat patients successfully. The target may
be for 95% of operations to be successful, but the actual success rate (measured
perhaps by whether patients need further treatment after their operation) may be
just 90%. This would be a measure of effectiveness in obtaining value for money.

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Performance management

3 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT

Section overview

 The primary financial performance objective


 Primary measures of business growth
 Measuring financial risk: liquidity and gearing
 Measuring financial risk: solvency

3.1 The primary financial performance objective


For companies, the primary strategic performance objective should relate to the
benefits of their owners, the shareholders. The aim should be to provide benefits
to shareholders over the long term, in the form of dividends from profits and
share price growth.
Share price growth comes mainly from growth in the business and earnings per
share. However, growth should not be achieved if it exposes the company to
excessive risks. The primary objective of financial performance targets should
therefore be consistent with the long-term objectives of both:
 business growth; and
 survival.
Strategically, companies should seek to balance risk and return.

3.2 Primary measures of business growth


There are several measures of financial performance that could be used to
assess success in achieving corporate objectives.
 It is inappropriate to use targets for share price growth and dividend growth
as formal planning targets and measures of actual performance. Share
prices can be volatile and affected by stock market conditions outside the
control of a company’s management. Dividend policy, on the other hand, is
under the control of the board of directors, but can be manipulated.
Dividend payments do not have to move in line with changes in profitability
or longer-term financial expectations of profit.
 It is therefore more appropriate to measure financial performance in terms
of conditions that should lead to share price growth and dividend growth in
the future.
To assess strategic performance, financial measurements should consider the
longer term, and prospects for the future. Typically, this means considering
changes in profits over the past few years, and projections of profitability in the
future.
The same measurements are used to assess short-term performance, but at a
strategic level, the longer-term view is considered, not simply the result for the
previous financial year.

© Emile Woolf International 380 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement

Financial measures used to measure historical performance, and assess whether


a company appears to be achieving its corporate objectives, may be:
 return on capital employed (ROCE)
 earnings per share (EPS) and growth in earnings per share
 earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA)
 for investment centres, return on investment (ROI) or residual income
None of these performance measures is ideal for assessing performance and
progress towards achieving the corporate objective, because none of them on
their own measure the success of the company in achieving a return that is
consistent with the risks to which the company and its owners are exposed.
 Return on capital employed (ROCE) is a useful measure of performance,
because it relates the amount of profit earned to the amount of capital
employed in the business. However, the measurement of ROCE depends
on accounting conventions for the measurement of profit and capital
employed. Measure of profit in financial statements is not a reliable guide
to financial returns on investment.
 Earnings per share (EPS) and EPS growth are also commonly used to
assess performance. On the assumption that in the long term, the ratio of
the share price to EPS (the price/earnings ratio or P/E ratio) remains fairly
constant, growth in EPS should result in a higher share price. However, the
P/E ratio does not necessarily remain constant over the long term and
could change if the perception of investment risk in the company changed.
Some ‘tech’ companies, particularly in the USA, have achieved growth in
their share price without yet making any profits. Investors have been willing
to put money into loss-making companies in the expectation that future
returns will eventually be huge. Measurements of EPS (or loss per share)
are inappropriate in these cases.
 EBITDA (Earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation).
EBITDA is a useful measure of performance only if it is assumed that
management have no control over interest costs or depreciation and
amortisation charges. This may be true for profit centre management, but is
unlikely to be the case when managers have control over investment and
financing decisions. EBITDA is a useful approximation of cash flow from
operations before interest and tax, and can be a useful measurement of
financial performance for this reason. (Note: If you are not sure about this,
think about the calculation of operational cash flows in a statement of cash
flows, using the indirect method.)
The benefits and limitations of ROI and residual income are considered in
chapter 12.

© Emile Woolf International 381 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

3.3 Measuring financial risk: liquidity and gearing


A strategic objective of a company should be survival, as well as to achieve
growth and financial returns. It is therefore appropriate to assess and measure
financial risk. Measures of financial risk include:
 liquidity risk, measured by ratios such as the current ratio or quick ratio, or
by cash flow analysis
 gearing or debt/equity ratios.
Liquidity can be important. Liquidity means having cash or access to cash to
make payments when these are due. For example, a company must have cash to
pay salaries and wages of its employees, and to pay suppliers and other
creditors. In some cases, profitable companies might become insolvent because
they cannot pay their debts.
A lack of liquidity also restricts flexibility of action. A company that is short of cash
is often unable to take advantage of new opportunities that might arise, because
they do not have the money to spend.
From a strategic perspective, liquidity can be assessed by cash flows. Cash flows
as reported in a statement of cash flows show where a company is obtaining its
cash and how it is using and spending its cash. From a strategic perspective,
cash flows must be sustainable.
For example, a company should be obtaining much of its cash from profitable
operations. If it is loss-making, and obtaining cash by borrowing or from new
share issues, there may be questions about the long-term liquidity of the
company.
Gearing and debt levels can also be important. Gearing or debt levels can be
measured as the ratio of debt to equity, or the ratio of debt to total assets. Highly-
geared companies are exposed to the risk of a big fall in earnings per share
whenever there is a fall in their operating profits. When they borrow at variable
rates of interest, an increase in interest rates will also reduce profitability.

3.4 Measuring financial risk: solvency


Solvency can be defined as an ability to pay debts when they fall due. Insolvency
is the opposite – an inability to pay debts when they fall due.
Companies may have some short-term problems with payments of debt, and can
overcome the problem by deferring payments for a short time (obtaining more
credit).
However from a strategic perspective, solvency is a long-term consideration. A
company must be able to pay its debts. If it cannot, there is a high risk that major
creditors will take legal initiatives to have the company declared insolvent.
Solvency for a commercial company depends on a combination of:
 Profitability: companies may make losses in some years, but from a
strategic perspective, it needs to be profitable over the longer term.
Companies cannot remain loss-making for ever.
 Liquidity: companies need cash to operate. Cash flow and profits are not
the same thing. A profitable company may run out of cash. A loss-making
company can raise cash by borrowing. However, over the long term,
companies must obtain cash to meet their expenditures.

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Chapter 10: Other aspects of performance measurement

 Debt: companies are potentially at risk if they borrow too much. Interest
rates have been low throughout the 2010s, following the financial crisis of
2008 and low-interest policies of central banks (particularly in the USA and
Europe). In an environment of low interest rates, many companies have
borrowed large amounts of money. An insolvency risk arises if the company
would be unable to meet its debt payment obligations (interest payments
and capital repayments) if interest rates were to rise.

4 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain how performance might be measured in not-for-profit organisations
 Explain the objective of value for money and its application to not-for-profit
organisations and the problems of multiple objectives
 Analyse and evaluate the strategic aspects of performance relating to profitability,
liquidity and solvency

© Emile Woolf International 383 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


11
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Transfer pricing

Contents
1 Transfer pricing: purpose and objectives
2 Problems with transfer pricing
3 Transfer pricing in practice
4 Impact of taxation and repatriation of funds
5 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 384 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
C Performance measurement and control
3 Divisional performance and transfer pricing
a Discuss the various methods of setting transfer prices and evaluate the
suitability of each method.
b Determine the optimal transfer price using appropriate models.
c Explain the benefits and limitations of transfer pricing methods.
d Demonstrate and explain the impact of taxation and repatriation of funds on
international transfer pricing.

Exam context
This chapter explains the meaning and importance of transfer pricing and explains and
illustrates different transfer pricing techniques.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain suitable bases for transfer pricing
 Select suitable bases for transfer pricing
 Set optimal transfer prices

© Emile Woolf International 385 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

1 TRANSFER PRICING: PURPOSE AND OBJECTIVES

Section overview

 Introduction
 Transfers at marginal cost
 Transfers at full cost
 Transfer pricing at cost plus
 Transfer pricing at market price
 The objectives of transfer pricing

1.1 Introduction
When a company has a divisionalised structure, some of the divisions might
supply goods or services to other divisions in the same company.
 One division sells the goods or services. This will be referred to as the
‘selling division’.
 Another division buys the goods or services. This will be referred to as the
‘buying division’.
For accounting purposes, these internal transfers of goods or services are given
a value. Transfers could be recorded at cost. However, when the selling division
is a profit centre or investment centre, it will expect to make some profit on the
sale.

Transfer price
A transfer price is the price at which goods or services are sold by one division
within a company to another division in the same company. Internal sales are
referred to as transfers, so the internal selling and buying price is the transfer
price.
When goods are sold or transferred by one division to another, the sale for one
division is matched by the purchase by the other division, and total profit of the
company as a whole is unaffected. It is an internal transaction within the
company, and a company cannot make a profit from internal transfers.
A decision has to be made about what the transfer price should be. A transfer
price may be:
 the cost of the item (to the selling division); or
 a price that is higher than the cost to the selling division, which may be cost
plus a profit margin or related to the external market price of the item
transferred.
Possible methods include:
 marginal cost;
 full cost;
 cost plus;
 market price
These will be considered in turn.

© Emile Woolf International 386 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

1.2 Transfers at marginal cost


The transfer price may be the cost of making the item (goods) or cost of provision
(services) to the selling division.
A transfer at cost may be at either:
 marginal cost (variable cost); or
 full cost.

Example: Transfers at marginal cost


An entity has two divisions, Division A and Division B.
Division A makes a component X which is transferred to Division B.
Division B uses component X to make end-product Y.
Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
Division Division
A B
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦
Sales of final product - 350,000
Costs of production
Variable costs 70,000 30,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000
Total costs 150,000 120,000

The budgeted annual profit for each division if the units of component X are
transferred from Division A to Division B at marginal cost are as follows.

© Emile Woolf International 387 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

Example (continued): Transfers at marginal cost (budgeted performance)


Company
Division Division as a
A B whole
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦ ₦
External sales of final product - 350,000 350,000
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦70) 70,000 - 0
Total sales 70,000 350,000 350,000
Costs of production
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦70) - 70,000 0
Other variable costs 70,000 30,000 100,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000 170,000
Total costs 150,000 190,000 270,000

Profit/(net cost or loss) (80,000) 160,000 80,000

For the company as a whole, the internal transfers are not included in sales and
costs. The transfers affect the financial results of the divisions.
By transferring goods at variable cost, the transferring division earns revenue
equal to its variable cost of production. It therefore bears the full cost of its fixed
costs, and its records a loss (or a net cost) equal to its fixed costs.
On the other hand, the buying division (Division B) reports a profit. Because the
fixed costs of Division A are not included in the transfer price, the profit of
Division B exceeds the total profit of the company as a whole.

Transfers at marginal cost: actual sales higher than budget


The same situation occurs if actual output and sales differ from budget. If
production and sales are 1,100 units, the profits of Division B will increase, but
Division A still makes a loss equal to its fixed costs. The total company profits
increase by the same amount as the increase in the profits of Division B.

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Performance management

Example: Transfers at marginal cost with actual sales higher than budget
Following on from the previous example.

Division Division
A B
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦
Sales of final product - 350,000
Costs of production
Variable costs 70,000 30,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000
Total costs 150,000 120,000

The reported profit if actual sales prices, actual variables costs per unit and total
fixed costs were as budgeted, but units sold are 10% more than budget is as
follows.
Company
Division Division as a
A B whole
Units produced/sold 1,100 1,100 1,100
₦ ₦ ₦
External sales of final product - 385,000 385,000
Internal transfers (1,100  ₦70) 77,000 - 0

Total sales 77,000 385,000 385,000


Costs of production
Internal transfers (1,100  ₦70) - 77,000 0
Other variable costs 77,000 33,000 110,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000 170,000
Total costs 157,000 200,000 280,000

Profit/(net cost or loss) (80,000) 185,000 105,000

© Emile Woolf International 390 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

1.3 Transfers at full cost

Transfers at full cost: budgeted performance:


In this example, the full cost per unit produced in Division A is ₦150, with an
absorption rate for fixed overheads of ₦80 per unit produced and transferred.

Example: Transfers at full cost


An entity has two divisions, Division A and Division B.
Division A makes a component X which is transferred to Division B.
Division B uses component X to make end-product Y.
Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
Division Division
A B
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦
Sales of final product - 350,000
Costs of production
Variable costs 70,000 30,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000
Total costs 150,000 120,000

The budgeted annual profit for each division if the units of component X are
transferred from Division A to Division B at full cost are as follows.
Company
Division Division as a
A B whole
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦ ₦
External sales of final product - 350,000 350,000
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦150) 150,000 - 0

Total sales 150,000 350,000 350,000


Costs of production
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦150) - 150,000 0
Other variable costs 70,000 30,000 100,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000 170,000

Total costs 150,000 270,000 270,000

Profit/(net cost or loss) 0 80,000 80,000

Since the transfer price includes the fixed costs of the selling division, Division A
is able to cover all its costs, but it reports neither a profit nor a loss. It covers its
costs exactly.

© Emile Woolf International 391 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The buying division (Division B) has to pay for the fixed costs of division A in the
transfer price. It still reports a profit, but this profit is now equal to the profit
earned by the company as a whole.

Transfers at full cost: actual sales higher than budget


A similar situation occurs if actual output and sales differ from budget. If
production and sales are 1,100 units, the profits of Division B will increase.
However, Division A will make some ‘profit’, but this is simply the amount by
which its fixed overhead costs are over-absorbed.

Example: Transfers at full cost


Following on from the previous example:

Division Division
A B
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦
Sales of final product - 350,000
Costs of production
Variable costs 70,000 30,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000
Total costs 150,000 120,000

The reported profit if actual sales prices, actual variables costs per unit and total
fixed costs were as budgeted, but units sold are 10% more than budget is as
follows.
Company
Division Division as a
A B whole
Units produced/sold 1,100 1,100 1,100
₦ ₦ ₦
External sales of final product - 385,000 385,000
Internal transfers (1,100  ₦150) 165,000 - 0
Total sales 165,000 385,000 385,000
Costs of production:
Internal transfers (1,100  ₦150) - 165,000 0
Other variable costs 77,000 33,000 110,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000 170,000
Total costs 157,000 288,000 280,000

Profit/(net cost or loss) 8,000 97,000 105,000

© Emile Woolf International 392 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

These examples should illustrate that if transfers are at cost, the selling division
has no real incentive, because it will earn little or no profit from the transactions.
In effect, the selling division is a cost centre rather than a profit centre or
investment centre.

1.4 Transfer pricing at cost plus


For the purpose of performance measurement and performance evaluation in a
company with profit centres or investment centres, it is appropriate that:
 the selling division should earn some profit or return on its transfer sales to
other divisions and
 the buying division should pay a fair transfer price for the goods or services
that it buys from other divisions.
One way of arranging for each division to make a profit on transfers is to set the
transfer price at an amount above cost, to provide the selling division with a profit
margin. However the transfer price should not be so high that the buying division
makes a loss on the items it obtains from the selling division.

Example: Transfer pricing at cost plus


An entity has two divisions, Division C and Division D.
Division C makes a component Y which is transferred to Division D. Division D
uses component Y to make end-product Z.
Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
Division Division
C D
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦
Sales of final product - 350,000
Costs of production
Variable costs 70,000 30,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000
Total costs 150,000 120,000

The budgeted annual profit for each division, if the units of component Y are
transferred from Division C to Division D at full cost plus 20%, are as follows:

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

Example (continued): Transfer pricing at cost plus


The full cost per unit produced in Division C is ₦150, and the transfer price (full
cost plus 20%) is ₦180.
Company
Division Division as a
C D whole
Units produced/sold 1,000 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦ ₦
External sales of final product - 350,000 350,000
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦180) 180,000 - 0
Total sales 180,000 350,000 350,000
Costs of production
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦180) - 180,000 0
Other variable costs 70,000 30,000 100,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000 170,000
Total costs 150,000 300,000 270,000

Profit 30,000 50,000 80,000

A cost plus transfer price succeeds in sharing the total company profit between
the two divisions. However, the transfer price is arbitrary, because the profit
margin of 20% is arbitrary. If the transfer price lacks commercial reality, the
reported profits of each division are not satisfactory measures of performance.

© Emile Woolf International 394 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

1.5 Transfer pricing at market price


It would be more realistic to set the transfer price at or close to a market price for
the item transferred, but this is only possible if an external market exists for the
item.

Example: Transfer pricing at market price


An entity has two divisions, Division G and Division K. Division G makes a
component P which is transferred to Division K. Division K uses component P to
make end-product Q.
Division G budgets to sell one half of its output to Division K and the other half to
external customers. The market price for component P is ₦160 per unit and it
has been agreed that transfers between the two divisions should be at market
price.
Details of budgeted annual sales and costs in each division are as follows:
Division G Division
K
Units produced/sold 2,000 1,000
₦ ₦
Sales of final product 160,000 350,000
Costs of production
Variable costs 140,000 30,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000
Total costs 120,000
220,000
The budgeted annual profit for each division if the units of component Y are
transferred from Division G to Division K at market price are as follows.
Company

Division Division as a
G K whole
Units produced/sold 2,000 1,000 1,000
₦ ₦ ₦
External sales of product Q - 350,000 350,000
External sales of component P 160,000 - 160,000
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦160) 160,000 - 0
Total sales 320,000 350,000 510,000
Costs of production
Internal transfers (1,000  ₦160) - 160,000 0
Other variable costs (2,000  ₦70) 140,000 30,000 170,000
Fixed costs 80,000 90,000 170,000
Total costs 220,000 280,000 340,000
Profit 100,000 70,000 170,000
Because transfers are at market price, it can be argued that the profit of each
division is a reasonable measure of their financial performance.

© Emile Woolf International 395 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

1.6 The objectives of transfer pricing


Transfer prices are decided by management. When authority is delegated to
divisional managers, the managers of the selling and buying divisions should be
given the authority to negotiate and agree the transfer prices for any goods or
services ‘sold’ by one division to the other.
The objectives of transfer pricing should be to make it possible for
divisionalisation to operate successfully within a company, and:
 give autonomy (freedom to make decisions) to the managers of the profit
centres or investment centres; and
 enable the company to measure the performance of each division in a fair
way.

Divisional autonomy
Autonomy is freedom of action and freedom to make decisions. Divisional
managers should be free to make their own decisions. Autonomy should improve
motivation of divisional managers.
For example, when transfer prices have been decided, the managers of all
divisions within the entity should be free to decide:
 whether to sell their output to other divisions (internal transfers) or whether
to sell them to external customers, if an external market exists for the
output; and
 whether to buy their goods from another division (internal transfers) or
whether to buy them from external suppliers, if an external market exists.

Acting in the best interests of the company


In addition, divisional managers should be expected to make decisions that are in
the best interest s of the company as a whole.
Unfortunately, divisional managers often put the interests of their own division
before the interests of the company as a whole, particularly if they are rewarded
(for example with an annual cash bonus) on the basis of the profits or ROI
achieved by the division.
In certain circumstances, the personal objectives of divisional managers may be
in conflict with the interests of the company as a whole. A division may take
action that maximises its own profit, but reduces the profits of another division.
As a result, the profits of the entity as a whole may also be reduced.

© Emile Woolf International 396 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2 PROBLEMS WITH TRANSFER PRICING

Section overview

 External intermediate markets


 Market-based and cost-based transfer prices, and transfer prices based on
opportunity cost
 The opportunity cost of transfers
 Identifying the ideal transfer price
 Finding the ideal transfer price: No external intermediate market
 Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and no
production limitations
 Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and production
limitations

2.1 External intermediate markets


A system of transfer pricing should allow the divisional managers the freedom to
make their own decisions, without having to be told by head office what they
must do. At the same time, the system should not encourage divisional managers
to take decisions that do harm to the company.
The main problems arise when there is an external market for the goods (or
services) that one division transfers to another. When an external market exists
for goods or services that are also transferred internally, the market might be
called an external intermediate market.
 The selling division can sell its goods into this market, instead of
transferring them internally.
 Similarly the buying division can buy its goods from other suppliers in this
market, instead of buying them internally from another division.
Divisional managers will put the interests of their division before the interests of
the company. When there is an external intermediate market, divisional
managers will decide between internal transfers and using the external market in
a way that maximises the profits of their division.

2.2 Market-based and cost-based transfer prices, and transfer prices based on
opportunity cost
As a general rule:
 When an external intermediate market does not exist for transferred goods,
the transfer price will be based on cost.
 When an external intermediate market does exist for transferred goods, the
transfer price will be based on the external market price.
However, the situation is more complicated when:
 there is a limit to production capacity in the selling division; or
 there is a limit to sales demand in the external intermediate market.
In these circumstances, we need to consider the opportunity costs for the
selling division of transferring goods internally instead of selling them externally.

© Emile Woolf International 397 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

2.3 The opportunity cost of transfers


The selling division and the buying division have opportunity costs of transferring
goods internally when there is an intermediate external market.
 For the selling division, the opportunity cost of transferring goods internally
to another division might include a loss of contribution and profit from not
being able to sell goods externally in the intermediate market.
 For the buying division, the opportunity cost of buying internally from
another division is the price that it would have to pay for purchasing the
items from external suppliers in the intermediate market.
The ideal transfer price is a price at which both the selling division and the buying
division will want to do what is in the best interests of the company as a whole,
because it is also in the best interests of their divisions.
Ideal transfer prices must therefore take opportunity costs into consideration.

2.4 Identifying the ideal transfer price


In identifying the ideal transfer price, there are three scenarios that need to be
considered when handling transfer pricing mechanisms:
a. When there is no spare capacity- This simply means that the selling division is
operating at full capacity and cannot increase output beyond what is produced and
sold. The optimal transfer price here is marginal cost plus opportunity cost of making
the transfer.
b. When there is spare capacity- This is when the selling division is not operating at
full capacity, the transfer price is the marginal cost of producing the transferred item.
c. When there is limited spare capacity- This is a variant of (b) above. Under this
scenario , the selling division needs to beef up additional product from external
suppliers to meet the limited requirements for the buyer. The optimal transfer price
is computed in the same mode as (b) above. The transfer price for the units met
from the spare capacity is at marginal cost, while that of the remaining is at the
opportunity cost based on the purchases from external suppliers

Equally, the following rules should help one to identify the ideal transfer
price in other situations:
 Step 1. Begin by identifying the arrangement for transferring goods
internally that would maximise the profits of the company as a whole. In
other words, what solution is best for the company?
 Step 2. Having identified the plan that is in the best interests of the
company as a whole, identify the transfer price, or range of transfer prices,
that will make the manager of the buying division want to work towards this
plan. The transfer price must ensure that, given this transfer price, the
profits of the division will be maximised by doing what is in the best
interests of the company as a whole.
 Step 3. In the same way, having identified the plan that is in the best
interests of the company as a whole, identify the transfer price, or range of
transfer prices, that will make the manager of the selling division want to
work towards the same plan. Again, the transfer price must ensure that,
given the transfer price, the profits of the division will be maximised by
doing what is in the best interests of the company as a whole.
These rules will be illustrated with a number of different examples and different
situations.

© Emile Woolf International 398 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


2.5 Finding the ideal transfer price: No external intermediate market
When there is no external intermediate market, the ideal transfer price is either:
 cost; or
 cost plus a contribution margin or profit margin for the selling division.
Transfers at cost do not provide any profit for the selling division; therefore
transfer prices at cost are inappropriate for a divisional structure where the selling
division is a profit centre or an investment centre, with responsibility for making
profits. Transfers at cost are appropriate only if the selling division is treated as a
cost centre, with responsibility for controlling its costs but not for making profit.
If the selling division is a profit centre or an investment centre, and there is no
external intermediate market for the transferred item, transfers should therefore
be at a negotiated ‘cost plus’ price, to provide some profit to the selling division.

© Emile Woolf International 399 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Ideal transfer price with no external intermediate market


A company has two divisions, Division A and Division B.
Division A makes a component X which is transferred to Division B. Division B
uses component X to make end-product Y.
Both divisions are profit centres within the company.
Details of costs and selling price are as follows:
Division A ₦
Cost of component X
Variable cost 100
Fixed cost 80
Total cost 180

Division B
Further processing costs
Variable cost 40
Fixed cost 70
110

Selling price per unit of product Y 400


The further processing costs of Division B do not include the cost of buying
component X from Division A. One unit of component X goes into the production
of one unit of Product Y. Fixed costs in both divisions will be the same, regardless
of the volume of production and sales.
Required
What is the ideal transfer price, or what is a range of prices that would be ideal
for the transfer price?

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

Answer
Step 1
What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
The total variable cost of one unit of the end product, product Y, is ₦140 (₦100 +
₦40). The sales price of product Y is ₦400.
The entity therefore makes additional contribution of ₦260 for every unit of
product Y that it sells. It is therefore in the best interests of the company to
maximise production and sales of product Y.
Step 2
What will motivate the buying division to buy as many units of component X as
possible?
Division B will want to buy more units of component X provided that the division
earns additional contribution from every unit of the component that it buys.
Division B ₦
Selling price of Product Y, per unit 400
Variable further processing costs in Division B 40
360
The opportunity cost of not buying units of component X, ignoring the transfer
price, is ₦360 per unit.

Division B should therefore be willing to pay up to ₦360 per unit for component X.
Any transfer price below ₦360 but above ₦40 per unit will increase is
contribution and profit
Step 3
What will motivate the selling division to make and transfer as many units of
component X as possible?
Division A will want to make and sell more units of component X provided that
the division earns additional contribution from every unit of the component that it
sells.
The marginal cost of making and transferring a unit of component X is ₦100.
Division A should therefore be willing to transfer as many units of component X
as it can make (or Division B has the capacity to buy) if the transfer price is at
least ₦100.
Ideal transfer price
The ideal transfer price is anywhere in the range ₦100 to ₦360. A price
somewhere within this range may be negotiated, which will provide profit to both
divisions and the company as a whole, for each additional unit of product Y that is
made and sold.

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Performance management

2.6 Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and no
production limitations
When there is an external intermediate market for the transferred item, a different
situation applies. If there are no production limitations in the selling division, the
ideal transfer price is usually the external market price.

Example: Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market


A company has two divisions P and Q. Division P makes a component X which it
either transfers to Division Q or sells in an external market.
The costs of making one unit of component X are:
Component X ₦
Variable cost 600
Fixed cost 300
Total cost 900
Division Q uses one unit of component X to make one unit of product Y, which it
sells for ₦2,000 after incurring variable further processing costs of ₦250 per unit.

The ideal transfer price or range of transfer prices, if the price of component X in
the external intermediate market is ₦1,400 can be found as follows.
Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
The company will benefit by maximising the total contribution from the total
external sales of component X and product Y.
If component X is not transferred by Division P to Division Q, Division Q will have
to buy units of component X in the external market. Every unit of component X
transferred internally therefore reduces the need to purchase a unit externally.
The additional contribution for the company from making and selling one unit of
product Y is ₦1,150 (₦2,000 – ₦600 – ₦205).
The additional contribution from making one unit of component X and selling it
externally is ₦800 (₦1,400 – ₦600).
A profit-maximising plan is therefore to maximise the sales of Division Q, and
transfer component X from Division P to Division Q rather than sell component X
externally.
Step 2: What will motivate the buying division (Division Q) to buy as many units of
component X as possible from Division P?
Division Q will be prepared to buy component X from Division P as long as it is not
more expensive than buying in the external market from another supplier.
Division Q will be willing to buy internally if the transfer price is not more than
₦1,400 when the external market price is ₦1,400.
If the external market price and transfer price are both ₦1,400, Division Q will
make an incremental contribution of ₦350 (₦2,000 – ₦1,400 – ₦250) fromeach
unit of component X that it buys and uses to make and sell a unit of product Y.
It the transfer price is higher than the external market price, Division Q will
choose to buy component X in the external market, which would not be in the
best interests of the company as a whole.

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

Example (continued): Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market


Step 3: What will motivate the selling division to make and transfer to Division Q
as many units of component X as possible?
Division P should be prepared to transfer as many units of component X as
possible to Division Q provided that its profit is no less than it would be if it sold
component X externally.
Units transferred to division Q are lost sales to the external market; therefore
there is an opportunity cost of transfer that Division P will wish to include in the
transfer price.
Component X: market price ₦1,400 ₦
Variable cost 600
Opportunity cost of lost external sale (1,400 – 600) 800
Total cost = minimum transfer price 1,400

Example: Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market


A company has two divisions P and Q. Division P makes a component X which it
either transfers to Division Q or sells in an external market.
The costs of making one unit of component X are:
Component X ₦
Variable cost 600
Fixed cost 300
Total cost 900

Division Q uses one unit of component X to make one unit of product Y, which it
sells for ₦2,000 after incurring variable further processing costs of ₦250 per unit.

The ideal transfer price or range of transfer prices, if the price of component X in
the external intermediate market is ₦580 can be found as follows.

(Assume that the selling division cannot be closed down).

© Emile Woolf International 403 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example (continued): Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market


Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
The company will benefit by maximising the total contribution from the
total external sales of component X and product Y.
If component X is not transferred by Division P to Division Q, Division Q
will have to buy units of component X in the external market. Every unit
of component X transferred internally therefore reduces the need to
purchase a unit externally.
The additional contribution for the company from making and selling
one unit of product Y is ₦1,150 (₦2,000 – ₦600 – ₦250).
When the external market price is ₦580 for component X, Division P
would make an incremental loss of ₦20 per unit (₦580 – ₦600)by
selling the component externally.
A profit-maximising plan is therefore to maximise the sales of Division
Q, and transfer component X from Division P to Division Q rather than
sell component X externally.
Step 2: What will motivate the buying division (Division Q) to buy as many units
of component X as possible from Division P?
Division Q will be prepared to buy component X from Division P as long
as it is not more expensive than buying in the external market from
another supplier. Division Q will be willing to buy internally if the
transfer price is not more than ₦580.
If the external market price and transfer price are both ₦580, Division
Q will make an incremental contribution of ₦1,170 (₦2,000 – ₦580–
₦250) from each unit of component X that it buys and uses to make
and sell a unit of product Y.
It the transfer price is higher than the external market price, Division Q
will choose to buy component X in the external market, which would
not be in the best interests of the company as a whole.
Step 3: What will motivate the selling division to make and transfer to Division
Q as many units of component X as possible?
Division P should be prepared to transfer as many units of component
X as possible to Division Q provided that its profit is no less than it
would be if it sold component X externally.
Units transferred to division Q are lost sales to the external market;
therefore there is an opportunity cost of transfer that Division P will
wish to include in the transfer price.
Component X: market price ₦58 ₦
Variable cost 600
Opportunity cost of lost external sale (580 – 600) (20)
Total cost = minimum transfer price 580

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

If the variable cost of making a component is greater than the price on an


external market, the company would be better off closing the selling company
and buying externally.

Example: Ideal transfer price with an external intermediate market


A company has two divisions P and Q. Division P makes a component X which it
either transfers to Division Q or sells in an external market.
The costs of making one unit of component X are:
Component X ₦
Variable cost 600
Fixed cost 300
Total cost 900
Division Q uses one unit of component X to make one unit of product Y, which it
sells for ₦2,000 after incurring variable further processing costs of ₦250 per unit.
The price of component X in the external intermediate market is ₦580.
Contribution made by the company with an without internal transfer is as follows:
Component X made
Contribution Internally Externally
₦ ₦
Selling price 2,000 2,000
Variable cost of manufacture 600
Price on external market 580
Further processing cost 250 250
Total cost 850 830
Contribution 1,150 1,170

When the external market price is ₦580 Division P is losing contribution by selling
component X externally. It would also be cheaper for the entity as a whole to buy
the component externally for ₦580rather than make internally for a marginal cost
of ₦600 Division P should consider ending its operations to produce component
X.

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Performance management

2.7 Finding the ideal transfer price: An external intermediate market and
production limitations
When there is an external intermediate market for the transferred item, and the
selling division has a limitation on the number of units it can produce, the ideal
transfer price should allow for the opportunity cost of the selling division. Every
unit transferred means one less external sale.
I some situations there is no ideal transfer price as the company would be better
off sourcing the component externally

Example:
A company consists of two divisions, Division A and Division B. Division A is
working at full capacity on its machines, and can make either Product Y or
Product Z, up to its capacity limitation. Both of these products have an external
market.
Division B buys Product Y, which it uses to make an end product which can be
sold to earn excellent margins.
The costs and selling prices of Product Y and Product Z are:
Product Y Product Z
₦ ₦
Selling price (price on the external market) 150 170
Variable cost of production 100 90
Contribution per unit 50 80

The variable cost of sale is incurred on external sales of the division’s products.
This selling cost is not incurred for internal sales/transfers from Division A to
Division B.
To make one unit of Product Y takes exactly the same machine time as one unit
of Product Z.
Required
What is the ideal transfer price or range of transfer prices?

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

Answer
Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
The company would want to maximise contribution.
It wants to make and sell as many units of the end product of Division B as
possible. It is not clear, however, whether it is better for Division B to buy Product
Y externally or to buy internally from Division A.
If Division A does not make Product Y, it can make and sell Product Z instead.
Product Z earns a higher contribution per unit of machine time, the limiting factor
in Division A.
Step 2: What would motivate the buying division to buy as many units of Product
Y as possible from Division A?
Division B will be prepared to buy Product Y from Division A as long as it is not
more expensive than buying in the external market from another supplier.
Division B will be willing to buy Product Y internally if the transfer price is ₦150 or
less.
Step 3: What would motivate the selling division to make and transfer as many
units of Product Y as possible?
The selling division will only be willing to make Product Y instead of Product Z if it
earns at least as much contribution as it would from making Z and selling it
externally. (In this situation, the division can make as many units of Z as it can
make of Y, and Product Z earns a higher contribution).
Product Y ₦
Variable cost of making Product Y 100
Opportunity cost of lost external sale of Product Z (170– 90) 80
Total cost = minimum transfer price 180
Ideal transfer price/ideal production and selling plan
Division B will not want to pay more than ₦150 for transfers of Product Y;
otherwise it will buy Product Y externally.
Division A will want to receive at least ₦180 for transfers of Product Y; otherwise
it will prefer to make and sell Product Z, not Product Y.
The ideal solution is for Division B to buy Product Y externally at ₦150 and for
Division A to make and sell Product Z.

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Performance management

Practice questions 1
A company consists of two divisions, Division A and Division B. Division A is
operating at full capacity making Product X, for which there is an external
market.
The variable cost of making one unit of Product X is ₦700, and the sale
price of Product X in the external market is ₦1,000 per unit.
Division B needs one unit of Product X to manufacture another product,
Product Y. The variable conversion costs and further processing costs in
Division B are ₦290 per unit of Product Y. The external selling price of
Product Y is ₦1,400 per unit.
An external supplier has offered to sell units of Product Y to Division B for
₦1,030 per unit.
Required
(a) Identify the ideal transfer price.
(b) Calculate the contribution per unit for each Division and for the
company as a whole if this transfer price is used.
(c) Suggest with reasons whether this transfer price provides a fair
measure of divisional performance.

© Emile Woolf International 408 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

3 TRANSFER PRICING IN PRACTICE

Section overview

 Transfer price at market price


 Transfer price at full cost plus
 Transfer price at variable cost plus or incremental cost plus
 Two-part transfer prices
 Dual pricing
 Negotiated transfer prices

Transfer prices might be decided by head office and imposed on each division.
Alternatively, the managers of each division might have the autonomy to negotiate
transfer prices with each other.
In practice, transfer prices may be agreed and expressed in one of the following ways.

3.1 Transfer price at market price


A transfer price may be the external selling/buying price for the item in an
external intermediate market. This price is only possible when an external market
exists.
If the selling division would incur some extra costs if it sold its output externally
rather than transferred it internally to another division, the transfer price may be
reduced below market price, to allow for the variable costs that would be saved
by the selling division. This is very common as the selling division may save costs
of packaging and warranties or guarantees. Distribution costs may also be
cheaper and there will be no need for advertising.

Advantages of market price as the transfer price


Market price is the ideal transfer price when there is an external market. A
transfer price below this amount will make the manager of the selling division
want to sell externally, and a price above this amount will make the manager of
the buying division want to buy externally.
Transferring at market price also encourages efficiency in the supplying division,
which must compete with the external competition.

Disadvantages of market price as the transfer price


The current market price is not appropriate as a transfer price when:
 the current market price is only temporary, and caused by short-term
conditions in the market, or
 the selling price in the external market would fall if the selling division sold
more of its output into the market. The opportunity cost of transferring
output internally would not be the current market price, because the selling
price would have to be reduced in order to sell the extra units.
It may also be difficult to identify exactly what the external market price is.
Products from rival companies may be different in quality, availability may not be
so certain and there may be different levels of service back-up.

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Performance management

3.2 Transfer price at full cost plus


A transfer price may be the full cost of production plus a margin for profit for the
selling division.
Standard full costs should be used, not actual full costs. This will prevent the
selling division from increasing its profit by incurring higher costs per unit.
Full cost plus might be suitable when there is no external intermediate market.
However, there are disadvantages in using full cost rather than variable cost to
decide a transfer price.
 The fixed costs of the selling division become variable costs in the transfer
price of the buying division. This might lead to decisions by the buying
division managers that are against the best interests of the company as a
whole. This is because a higher variable cost may lead to the buying
division choosing to set price at a higher level which would lose sales
volume.
 The size of the profit margin or mark-up is likely to be arbitrary.

3.3 Transfer price at variable cost plus or incremental cost plus


A transfer price might be expressed as the variable cost of production plus a
margin for profit for the selling division.
Standard variable costs should be used, not actual variable costs. This will
prevent the selling division from increasing its profit by incurring higher variable
costs per unit.
Variable cost plus might be suitable when there is no external intermediate
market. It is probably more suitable in these circumstances than full cost plus,
because variable cost is a better measure of opportunity cost. However, as
stated earlier, when transfers are at cot, the transferring division should be a cost
centre, and not a profit centre.
Other methods that may be used to agree transfer prices include:
 Two-part transfer prices
 Dual pricing

3.4 Two-part transfer prices


With two-part transfer prices, the selling division charges the buying division for
units transferred in two ways:
 a standard variable cost per unit transferred, plus
 a fixed charge in each period.
The fixed charge is a lump sum charge at the end of each period. The fixed
charge would represent a share of the contribution from selling the end product,
which the selling/transferring division has helped to earn. Alternatively, the
charge could be seen as a charge to the buying division for a share of the fixed
costs of the selling division in the period.
The fixed charge could be set at an amount that provides a ‘fair’ profit for each
division, although it is an arbitrary amount.

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

3.5 Dual pricing


In some situations, two divisions may not be able to agree a transfer price,
because there is no transfer price at which the selling division will want to transfer
internally or the buying division will want to buy internally. However, the profits of
the entity as a whole would be increased if transfers did occur.
These situations are rare. However, when they occur, head office might find a
solution to the problem by agreeing to dual transfer prices.
 the selling division sells at one transfer price, and
 the buying division buys at a lower transfer price.
There are two different transfer prices. The transfer price for the selling division
should be high enough to motivate the divisional manager to transfer more units
to the buying division. Similarly, the transfer price for the buying division should
be low enough to motivate the divisional manager to buy more units from the
selling division.
In the accounts of the company, the transferred goods are:
 sold by the selling division to head office and
 bought by the buying division from head office.
The loss from the dual pricing is a cost for head office, and treated as a head
office overhead expense.
However, dual pricing can be complicated and confusing. It also requires the
intervention of head office and therefore detracts from divisional autonomy.

3.6 Negotiated transfer prices


A negotiated transfer price is a price that is negotiated between the managers of
the profit centres.
The divisional managers are given the autonomy to agree on transfer prices.
Negotiation might be a method of identifying the ideal transfer price in situations
where an external intermediate market does not exist.
An advantage of negotiation is that if the negotiations are honest and fair, the
divisions should be willing to trade with each other on the basis of the transfer
price they have agreed.
Disadvantages of negotiation are as follows:
 The divisional managers might be unable to reach agreement. When this
happens, management from head office will have to act as judge or
arbitrator in the case.
 The transfer prices that are negotiated might not be fair, but a reflection of
the bargaining strength or bargaining skills of each divisional manager.

© Emile Woolf International 411 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 IMPACT OF TAXATION AND REPATRIATION OF FUNDS

Section overview

 Corporate objectives and the relevance of tax and transfer pricing


 Transfer pricing and tax rules

4.1 Corporate objectives and the relevance of tax and transfer pricing
The corporate objective of a multinational company, as for any other company, is
linked to profitability and returns for shareholders. Multinational companies
operate in different countries, and are therefore subject to differing tax
regulations and systems. MNCs will try to improve earnings for shareholders by
minimising their worldwide tax liabilities.
 Multinational companies will seek to invest in countries where the taxation
system is more favourable. For example, companies might seek relief from
taxation for making capital investments in a country, and will choose one
country in preference to another on the basis of the tax advantages offered
 Some MNCs have been accused of using transfer pricing to minimise their
tax liabilities. Transfer prices are used to charge for goods and services
transferred between companies in the group. Transfer prices can be
charged in such a way that:
 transfers from a subsidiary in a high-tax country to a subsidiary in a
low-tax country are fixed at high levels, and
 low transfer prices are set for transfers from a low-tax to a high-tax
country.
In this way, profits in the high-tax subsidiaries are reduced, and more profits are
earned in the low-tax countries.

4.2 Transfer pricing and tax rules


Transfer prices are prices charged internally within a group, and have no effect
on the total pre-tax profit of the group. Transfer prices are simply a way of
sharing the profit between the two companies concerned.
Transfer prices between a company and a foreign subsidiary have implications
for taxation, and the aim of a group of companies should be to minimise total tax
payable on the group profits. Issues to consider are:
 the rate of taxation on profits in the two countries
 the existence of a double taxation agreement
 the existence of any withholding tax in the country of the foreign subsidiary
 tax rules on transfer pricing.

Tax rates
The rate of taxation on profits will vary between the two countries and two
companies concerned. As a general principle, the aim of a group should be to set
a transfer price that shares the profits in a way that reduces the profits of the
company in the higher-tax country.

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

For example, suppose that a parent company in country A sells goods to its
100%-owned subsidiary in country B, and the rate of tax is 20% in country A and
30% in country B. The transfer price should be set as high as the tax rules
permit, because this will increase profits of the parent company in lower-tax
country A and reduce the profits of the subsidiary in higher-tax country B.

Double taxation agreement


There should usually be a double taxation agreement between the two countries.
From the point of view of the parent company, this means that:
 If the rate of tax on profits is higher in the country of the foreign subsidiary
than in the parent company’s country, the subsidiary pays tax in its own
country on its profits at the rate applicable in that country. No further tax is
payable in the parent company’s country on the profits of the foreign
subsidiary.
 If the rate of tax on profits is lower in the country of the foreign subsidiary
than in the parent company’s country, the subsidiary pays tax in its own
country on its profits at the rate applicable in that country. However, tax is
also payable by the parent company in its own country. The tax payable is
the difference between tax on profits at the rate in the parent company and
the tax payable by the subsidiary in its own country.

Withholding tax
Withholding tax is additional tax that is ‘withheld’ when a company pays interest
or dividends to a foreign investor. It affects international groups where foreign
subsidiaries are located in a country where withholding tax is charged. Payments
of interest or dividends by a subsidiary to the parent company will be subject to
the withholding tax.

Tax rules on transfer prices


The tax rules in a country are likely to make it difficult for an international group to
charge inter-company transfer prices that are significantly different from market
prices (where these exist). This is because the tax authorities recognise that
transfer prices might be set artificially so as to minimise the total tax burden for
the group.
These various tax aspects of transfer pricing are illustrated by the following
example.

© Emile Woolf International 413 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Transfer pricing at market price


A Nigerian company has recently acquired a foreign subsidiary in another country,
Outland.
A part of the operating arrangements of the new group is that the parent
company will export a component to the subsidiary, and the subsidiary will use
this component to make a product that it will sell in Outland.
LC (local currency) is the currency in Outland.
The following information is available:
Nigerian Company
Sales (components transferred to Outland) 100,000
Variable cost per unit ₦15
Fixed costs ₦900,000
Tax rate 30%

Outland Company
Units of product sold (based on components transferred in) 100,000
Sales price per unit LC 150
Local variable cost per unit (in addition to transfer cost) LC 40
Fixed costs LC 600,000
Tax rate 30%

The exchange rate is ₦1 = LC4.


Withholding tax of 10% is charged on all remittances of interest and dividends
from Outland.
The Nigerian parent company intends to remit all available profits from Outland to
Nigeria.
There is a double taxation agreement between Nigeria and Outland. Tax on
income and distributions in one country may be credited against a tax liability on
the same income in the other country.
Tax on profits in Outland will be 25%, but there will be an additional withholding
tax of 10% since all available profits will be remitted to Nigeria. The total tax
payable on income in Outland is therefore 35% which is higher than the rate of
Nigerian tax. This means that profits earned in Outland will not be taxed at all in
Nigeria.
The management of the Nigerian parent company have to decide what the
transfer price for the component should be and is considering two different
transfer pricing scenarios.

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Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

Example (continued): Transfer pricing at market price


Transfer pricing scenario 1: Transfer price set at the market price (₦26 per unit).
The results of using this transfer price are as follows:
Parent company (Nigeria) ₦ ₦
Component sales (₦26 per unit) 2,600,000
Variable costs (₦15 per unit) 1,500,000
Fixed costs 900,000
(2,400,000)
Profit before tax 200,000
Tax at 30% (60,000)
Profit after tax 140,000

Subsidiary company (Outland) LC


Product sales (LC150 per unit) 15,000,000
Transfer costs (LC104 per unit) 10,400,000
Local variable costs (LC40 per unit) 1,500,000
Local fixed costs 600,000
(12,500,000)
Profit before tax 2,500,000
Tax at 25% (625,000)
Profit after tax 1,875,000
Withholding tax at 10% (187,500)
Remitted to the Nigeria 1,687,500
Exchange rate ÷4
Received in Nigeria 421,875
Profit in Nigeria after tax 561,875

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Performance management

Example (continued): Transfer pricing at market price


Transfer pricing scenario 1: Transfer price set at cost plus 25%.
Total Nigerian costs are ₦2,400,000 or ₦24 per unit. Cost plus 25% = ₦30 per
unit.
The transfer price will therefore be ₦30, which is LC120 per unit.
The results of using this transfer price are as follows:
Parent company (Nigeria) ₦ ₦
Component sales (₦30 per unit) 3,000,000
Variable costs (₦15 per unit) 1,500,000
Fixed costs 900,000
(2,400,000)
Profit before tax 600,000
Tax at 30% (180,000)
Profit after tax 420,000

Subsidiary company (Outland) LC


Product sales (LC150 per unit) 15,000,000
Transfer costs (LC120 per unit) 12,000,000
Local variable costs (LC40 per unit) 1,500,000
Local fixed costs 600,000
(14,100,000)
Profit before tax 900,000
Tax at 25% (225,000)
Profit after tax 675,000
Withholding tax at 10% (67,500)
Remitted to the Nigeria 607,500
Exchange rate ÷4
Received in Nigeria 151,875
Profit in Nigeria after tax 571,875

Conclusion
The higher transfer price results in a bigger after-tax profit for the group. This is
because it has the effect of reducing profits in Outland (where the group pays tax
at 35% into Nigeria (where the group pays tax at 25%).
The tax authorities in Outland might not agree to accept a transfer price of LC
120 as this is LC 26 above the market price of LC 104.

© Emile Woolf International 416 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 11: Transfer pricing

5 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain suitable bases for transfer pricing

 Select suitable bases for transfer pricing


 Set optimal transfer prices

© Emile Woolf International 417 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Step 1: What is in the best interests of the company as a whole?
For each additional unit of Product Y that Division B makes and sells, the additional
contribution for the company is ₦410 (₦1,400 – ₦700 – ₦290).
The contribution from selling one unit of Product Y in the intermediate market is ₦300
(₦1,000 – ₦700).
The company therefore makes more contribution and profit from making and selling
Product Y than from selling Product X externally.
The production plan that will optimise the profit for the company as a whole is for
Division A to make units of Product X and transfer them to Division B.
Step 2: What would motivate the buying division to buy as many units of Product X as
possible from Division A?
Division B will not want to pay more to Division A for Product X than the price it has
been offered by an external supplier, ₦1,030. However, Division B can presumably find
another supplier who is willing to offer the current market price of ₦1,000, and the
maximum price that Division B should pay ought to be ₦1,000.
Step 3: What would motivate the selling division to make and transfer as many units of
Product X as possible?
Product Y ₦
Variable cost 700
Opportunity cost of lost external sale (1,000 – 700) 300
Total cost = minimum transfer price 1,000
Ideal transfer price
The ideal transfer price is ₦100 per unit of Product X.

Contribution per unit


Division Division Entity as
A B a whole
₦/unit ₦/unit ₦/unit
External sale - 1,400 1,400
Internal sale 1,000 - -
Sales revenue 1,000 1,400 1,400
Transfer: purchase cost - 1,000 -
Other variable costs 700 290 990
Total variable costs 700 1,290 990
Contribution per unit 300 110 410

© Emile Woolf International 418 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


12
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Divisional performance

Contents

1 Investment, profit, revenue and cost centres


2 Divisional performance evaluation
3 Return on Investment (ROI)
4 Residual income (RI)
5 Divisional performance and depreciation
6 Economic value added (EVA)
7 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 419 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
C Performance measurement and control
3 Divisional performance and transfer pricing
e Select and explain suitable divisional performance measures for a given
business using return on investment, residual income and economic value
added approaches. Evaluate the results and advise management.

Exam context
This chapter explains the different types of responsibility centres. It continues by explaining
the advantages and disadvantages of decentralisation before explaining suitable techniques
for measuring the performance of investment centres.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain and illustrate cost centres, profit centres and investment centres
 Define, calculate and interpret return on investment
 Define, calculate and interpret residual income
 Define, calculate and interpret economic value added

© Emile Woolf International 420 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 12: Divisional performance

1 INVESTMENT, PROFIT, REVENUE AND COST CENTRES

Section overview

 Organisational structure and management responsibilities


 Definitions and explanation

1.1 Organisational structure and management responsibilities


Every business organisation has a management structure with individual
managers given responsibility for a particular aspect of operations or activity. The
operations or activity for which they are responsible can be called a
responsibility centre. Within a large organisation, there is a hierarchy of
management, with a hierarchy of delegated responsibilities.
A manager might be in charge of a department, such as a warehouse or the
buying department. A part of their responsibility should be to ensure that the
department operates efficiently and economically, and that costs (expenditures)
are kept under control. A departmental manager is likely to be responsible for
preparing the annual cost budget for the departments, subject to approval by his
superiors. A manager who is made responsible for costs must have some
authority over spending in his department (although a large proportion of
departmental costs, such as employees’ salaries, might be outside his control).
A manager might be responsible for a department or activity that earns revenue,
and for the revenue earned by the department. For example a sales manager
might be made responsible for the activities of a sales team and the revenue that
the sales team earns. Similarly, the manager of a retail store (in a company that
operates a chain of stores) might be responsible for the revenues earned by the
store. A manager who is made responsible for revenues might have some
authority to adjust or decide selling prices; alternatively a manager might be told
what the sales prices will be and is them made responsible for the volume of
sales at those prices.
When a manager is responsible for both the costs and the revenues of an
operation or department, he (or she) is also responsible for the profits that it
earns.
In some cases, a manager might have the responsibility to make decisions about
capital investment for an operation, with authority to buy new capital equipment
or sell off unwanted assets. For example in a large company or a group of
companies, there might be operating divisions where the divisional manager has
a large amount of autonomy, with authority over capital spending (‘capital
budgets’) as well as revenues, costs and profits.

© Emile Woolf International 421 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

1.2 Definitions and explanation


Managers need management accounting information to help them make
decisions. Responsibility centres can be divided into four categories:

Investment centres.
An investment centre is a division within an organisation where the manager is
responsible not only for the costs of the division and the revenues that it earns,
but also for decisions relating to the investment in assets for the division. An
investment centre manager usually has authority to purchase new assets, such
as items of plant or equipment, and so should be responsible for the profit or
‘return’ that the division makes on the amount that it has invested.
The performance of an investment centre might be measured by calculating the
profit as a percentage of the amount invested (the return on investment or ROI).
An investment centre might include a number of different profit centres. For
example, a company manufacturing cars and trucks might have two investment
centres, (1) car-making and (2) truck-making. Within the truck-making division,
there might be several profit centres, each of these a separate location or factory
at which trucks are manufactured and assembled.

Profit centres.
A profit centre is a department or division within the organisation for which
revenues as well as costs are established.
The profit (or loss) that the centre makes is found by measuring the costs of the
products or services produced by the centre, and the revenues earned from
selling them,.

Example: Summarised profit centre report

Example: summarised profit centre report ₦000


Revenues of the profit centre 250
Costs of the units sold by the profit centre (220)
Profit (or loss) of the profit centre 30

A profit centre might consist of several cost centres. For example, a factory might
be treated as a profit centre, and within the factory, the machining department,
assembly department and finishing department might be three cost centres.

Revenue centres.
A revenue centre is a department or division within the organisation for which
revenues are established. In a revenue centre there is no measurement of cost
or profit. Revenue centre managers will only need to have information relating to
revenues and will be accountable for revenues only. For example, the income
accountant in a hospital is only responsible for recording and controlling the
different incomes that are received from funding bodies or other sources (for
example, private patients, fundraising and so on).

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Cost centres.
A cost centre is a department or work group for which costs are established, in
order to measure the cost of output produced by the centre. For example, in a
factory a group of machines might be a cost centre. The costs of operating the
machines would be established, and a cost could then be calculated for each unit
of product manufactured by the machines.
In a cost centre, there is no measurement of revenue or profit.

Example: Responsibility centres


A media company has several divisions.
One is a magazine publishing division. This division is divided into three operating
units: fashion magazines, sports magazines and business magazines, which
operate from different offices.
The fashion magazines unit has three main functions: commissioning, editing
and printing, and marketing and sales.
The media company might organise its cost and management system as follows:
Investment centres
Each of the divisions in the media company, including the magazines division,
might be an investment centre. The senior manager of the magazines division
might have the authority to incur capital expenditure to acquire new assets for
the division. The performance of the magazines division might be measured by its
annual return on investment (ROI).
Profit centres
Within the magazines division, the fashion magazines unit, sports magazines unit
and business magazines unit might be profit centres. The manager of each unit
might be responsible for the revenues and costs of the unit, and the performance
of each unit would be measured by the profit that it makes.
Cost centres
Within the fashions magazine unit, each of the operating functions
(commissioning, editing and printing, and marketing and sales) might be a cost
centre. The manager in charge of each cost centre is responsible for costs, and
the performance of the cost centre might be measured by comparing the actual
costs of the cost centre with its budgeted costs.

The differing information needs of cost, revenue, profit and investment centre
management
Managers of responsibility centres are responsible for the performance of their
part of the organisation and its activities. The performance of an organisation is
often measured financially, in terms of:
 keeping expenditure under control;
 earning a sufficient amount of revenue;
 making a profit;
 making a suitable return on investment.

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Performance management

Managers therefore need information about the costs of operations for which they
are responsible. They will often also need information about revenues and profit.
In some cases, they will also need information about the amount of property,
plant and equipment, and other ‘assets’ for which they are responsible. The
information they need to make decisions within their area of responsibility
depends on the scope of their management authority and responsibilities.
Managers also need financial information to help them make decisions. For
example, they might need information about expected costs to make a decision
about how much to charge a customer for a job. Similarly, they might need
information about costs and revenues to decide whether to invest money in a
new project.
Management accounting is concerned with providing information to management
to help them with planning and control, and for making other decisions.
The accounting information provided to managers should help them to make
decisions, and the information provided should be relevant for the decisions they
have to make. Clearly, the nature and content of the accounting information
required depends on the nature of the manager’s responsibilities (i.e. on the type
of responsibility centre).

© Emile Woolf International 424 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 12: Divisional performance

2 DIVISIONAL PERFORMANCE EVALUATION

Section overview

 Decentralisation of authority
 Benefits of decentralisation
 Disadvantages of decentralisation
 Controllable profit and traceable profit

2.1 Decentralisation of authority


Decentralisation involves the delegation of authority within an organisation.
Within a large organisation, authority is delegated to the managers of cost
centres, revenue centres, profit centres and investment centres.
A divisionalised structure refers to the organisation of an entity in which each
operating unit has its own management team which reports to a head office.
Divisions are commonly set up to be responsible for specific geographical areas
or product lines within a large organisation.
The term ‘decentralised divisionalised structure’ means an organisation structure
in which authority has been delegated to the managers of each division to decide
selling prices, choose suppliers, make output decisions, and so on.

2.2 Benefits of decentralisation


Decentralisation should provide several benefits for an organisation.
 Decision-making should improve, because the divisional managers make
the tactical and operational decisions, and top management is free to
concentrate on strategy and strategic planning.
 Decision-making at a tactical and operational level should improve,
because the divisional managers have better ‘local’ knowledge.
 Decision-making should improve, because decisions will be made faster.
Divisional managers can make decisions ‘on the spot’ without referring
them to senior management.
 Managers may be more motivated to perform well if they are empowered to
make decisions and rewarded for performing well against fair targets
 Divisions provide useful experience for managers who will one day become
top managers in the organisation.
 Within a large multinational group, there can be tax advantages in creating
a divisional structure, by locating some divisions in countries where tax
advantages or subsidies can be obtained.

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Performance management

2.3 Disadvantages of decentralisation


Decentralisation can lead to problems.
 The divisional managers might put the interests of their division before the
interests of the organisation as a whole. Taking decisions that benefit a
division might have adverse consequences for the organisation as a whole.
When this happens, there is a lack of ‘goal congruence’.
 Top management may lose control over the organisation if they allow
decentralisation without accountability. It may be necessary to monitor
divisional performance closely. The cost of such a monitoring system might
be high.
 It is difficult to find a satisfactory measure of historical performance for an
investment centre that will motivate divisional managers to take the best
decisions. For example, measuring divisional performance by Return on
Investment (ROI) might encourage managers to make inappropriate long-
term investment decisions. This problem is explained in more detail later.
 Economies of scale might be lost. For example, a company might operate
with one finance director. If it divides itself into three investment centres,
there might be a need for four finance directors – one at head office and
one in each of the investment centres. Similarly there might be a
duplication of other systems, such as accounting system and other IT
systems.

2.4 Controllable profit and traceable profit


Profit is a key measure of the financial performance of a division. However, in
measuring performance, it is desirable to identify:
 costs that are controllable by the manager of the division, and also
 costs that are traceable to the division. These are controllable costs plus
other costs directly attributable to the division over which the manager does
not have control.
There may also be an allocation of general overheads, such as a share of head
office costs.
Profit centres and investment centres often trade with each other, buying and
selling goods and services. These are internal sales, priced at an internal selling
price (a ‘transfer price’). Reporting systems should identify external sales of the
division and internal sales as two elements of the total revenue of the division.
Transfer prices were covered in the previous chapter.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Example: Controllable profit


External sales 600,000
Internal sales (150,000)
Total sales 750,000
Costs controllable by the divisional manager:
Variable costs (230,000)
Contribution 420,000
Controllable fixed costs (140,000)
Profit attributable to the manager (controllable profit) (1) 280,000
Costs traceable to the division but outside the manager’s
control (160,000)
Profit traceable to the division (2) 120,000
Share of general overheads (3) (30,000)
Net profit 90,000

Notes:
1 Controllable profit is used to assess the manager.
2 Traceable profit is used to assess the performance of the division.
3 The apportionment of general head office costs should be excluded from
the analysis of the manager’s performance and the division’s
performance.

These profit measures can be used with variance analysis, ratio analysis,
return on investment, residual income and non-financial performance
measurements to evaluate performance.

© Emile Woolf International 427 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

3 RETURN ON INVESTMENT (ROI)

Section overview

 The reason for using ROI as a financial performance indicator


 Measuring ROI
 ROI and investment decisions
 Advantages and disadvantages of ROI for measuring performance

3.1 The reason for using ROI as a financial performance indicator


Return on investment (ROI) is a measure of the return on capital employed for an
investment centre. It is also called the accounting rate of return (ARR).
It is often used as a measure of divisional performance for investment centres
because:
 the manager of an investment centre is responsible for the profits of the
centre and also the assets invested in the centre, and
 ROI is a performance measure that relates profit to the size of the
investment.
Profit is not a suitable measure of performance for an investment centre. It does
not make the manager accountable for his or her use of the net assets employed
(the investment in the investment centre).

Example: Return on investment


A company has two divisions which are treated as investment centres for the
purpose of performance reporting. Centre 1 has net assets of ₦5 million and
made a profit of ₦250,000. Centre 2 has net assets of ₦1 million and made a
profit of ₦150,000.
If the performance of the centres is compared on the basis of profits, the
performance of Centre 1 (₦250,000) is better than the performance of Centre 2
(₦150,000). However Centre 1 employed assets of ₦5 million to earn its profit
and its ROI was just 5% (₦250,000/₦5 million). Centre 2 employed assets of just
₦1 million to earn its profit and its ROI was 15% (₦150,000/₦1 million).
Comparing performance on the basis of ROI, Centre 2 performed better.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

3.2 Measuring ROI


ROI is the profit of the division as a percentage of capital employed.
However, performance measurement systems should use ROI to evaluate the
performance of both the manager and the division.
Although ROI can be measured in different ways, the recommended measures
are as follows:

Formula: Return on investment – managerial evaluation


Controllable profit
ROI = X 100%
Division’s capital employed (size of investment)

Formula: Return on investment – divisional evaluation


Traceable profit
ROI = X 100%
Division’s capital employed (size of investment)

Profit is usually measured as an accounting profit, after deduction of any


depreciation charges on non-current assets.
Capital employed/investment.
 This should be the sum of the non-current assets used by the division plus
the working capital that it uses. Working capital = current assets minus
current liabilities, which for a division will normally consist of inventory plus
trade receivables minus trade payables.
 Non-current assets could be measured at their initial cost. However, it is
more usual to measure non-current assets at their carrying value, which in
an examination question is likely to be at cost less accumulated
depreciation.
 Capital employed may be the capital employed at the beginning of the
financial year, the end of the financial year or the average capital employed
for the year. Check an examination question carefully to establish which of
these is required.

Where possible, the capital employed by the division should be analysed into:
 capital (assets less liabilities) controllable by the manager, and
 capital (assets and liabilities) traceable to the division.

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Performance management

Example: Return on investment


An investment centre has reported the following results.
Current year Previous year
₦000 ₦000
Sales 600 600
Gross profit 180 210
Net profit 24 30
Net assets at beginning of year 200 180

Required
Discuss the financial performance of the investment centre. ROI is measured
using net assets at the beginning of the year.

Answer
ROI should be used to measure the performance of the division, but other
financial ratios should also be used if appropriate. In this example, sales revenue
growth in the current year has been 0% and we can also measure the gross profit
margin and net profit margin.
Current Previous
year year
₦000 ₦000
Gross profit margin (%) 30% 35%
Net profit margin (%) 4% 5%
ROI (24/200; 30/180) 12% 17%

ROI has fallen from 17% to 12%, which is a large fall. The total investment has
increased from ₦180,000 to ₦200,000 but there has been no increase in sales
revenue in spite of the bigger investment.
A reason for the fall in ROI is the fall in gross profit and the gross profit margin,
from 35% to 30%. Other costs have been reduced from ₦180,000 in the previous
year (₦210,000 - ₦30,000) to ₦156,000 in the current year (₦180,000 -
₦24,000), but in spite of the reduction in these costs, the net profit margin also
fell from 5% to 4%.
The failure to achieve any growth in sales (in spite of an increase in investment)
and the fall in gross profit margin are the reasons for the deterioration in financial
performance, as measured by ROI. This could be caused by intense competition
in the market in the current year (resulting in lower prices but no revenue growth),
although there is a possibility that the cost of sales are out of control.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

3.3 ROI and investment decisions


The performance of the manager of an investment centre may be judged on the
basis of ROI – whether the division has succeeded or not in achieving a target
ROI for the financial year, or whether ROI has improved since the previous year.
If an incentive scheme is in operation, a divisional manager may receive a bonus
on the basis of the ROI achieved by the division.
Investment centre managers may therefore have a strong incentive to improve
the ROI of their division and to avoid anything that will reduce the ROI. This can
be a serious problem when investment decisions are involved. When an
investment centre manager’s performance is evaluated by ROI, the manager will
probably be motivated to make investment decisions that increase the division’s
ROI in the current year, and reject investments that would reduce ROI in the
current year.
The problem is that investment decisions are made for the longer term, and a
new investment that reduces ROI in the first year may increase ROI in
subsequent year. An investment centre manager may therefore reject an
investment because of its short-term effect on ROI, without giving proper
consideration to the longer term.

Example: ROI and investment decisions


A division has net assets of ₦800,000 and makes an annual profit of ₦120,000.
It should be assumed that if the investment described below is not undertaken,
the division will continue to have net assets of ₦800,000 and an annual profit of
₦120,000, for the next four years.
The division is considering an investment in a new item of equipment that would
cost ₦80,000. The estimated life of the equipment is four years with no residual
value.
The estimated additional profit before depreciation from the investment is as
follows:
Year ₦
1 20,000
2 25,000
3 35,000
4 40,000

The asset will be depreciated on a straight-line basis.


Required
What would be the ROI on this investment? ROI should be measured on the basis
of the average net assets employed during the year.
Should the investment centre manager decide to undertake this investment
or not?

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Performance management

Answer
The annual profit from the investment, allowing for depreciation of ₦20,000 per
year, and the annual ROI of the division would be as follows:
Profit Extra profit
without the from the Total Net
Year investment investment profit assets ROI
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
1 120,000 00 120,000 870,000 13.8%
2 120,000 5,000 125,000 850,000 14.7%
3 120,000 15,000 135,000 830,000 16.3%
4 120,000 20,000 140,000 810,000 17.3%
Note: Net assets are ₦800,000 plus the net assets for the new investment. The
net asset value of the new investment is ₦80,000 at the beginning of Year 1,
₦60,000 at the beginning of Year 2 and so on down to ₦0 at the end of Year 4.
Average net assets are therefore ₦70,000 in Year 1, ₦50,000 in Year 2,
₦30,000 in Year 3 and ₦10,000 in Year 4.
Without the new investment, the annual ROI would be 15% (=
₦120,000/₦800,000).
The new investment would therefore reduce ROI in the first and second years,
and increase ROI in Year 3 and Year 4. It is therefore probable that the divisional
manager, if he is more concerned about financial performance in the short term,
will decide that the investment should not be undertaken, even though over a
four-year period the investment may be worthwhile.

Note. Investment decisions should not be taken on the basis of ROI, even though
divisional managers are often tempted to do so. We can, however, calculate the
average ROI from this proposed investment:


Total 4-year profits before depreciation 120,000
Depreciation over four years 80,000
Total profit over 4 years 40,000

Average annual profit from the investment 10,000


80,000  0
Average asset carrying value over 4 years:  $40,000
2
Average ROI = ₦10,000/₦40,000 = 25%.
This is higher than the ROI of 15% achieved from the division’s other assets.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

3.4 Advantages and disadvantages of ROI for measuring performance

Advantages of using ROI


There are several advantages in using ROI as a measure of the performance of
an investment centre.
 It relates the profit of the division to the capital employed, and the division
manager is responsible for both profit and capital employed.
 ROI is a percentage measure and can be used to compare the
performance of divisions of different sizes.
 It is an easily understood measure of financial performance.
 It focuses attention on capital as well as profit, and encourages managers
to sell off unused assets and avoid excessive working capital (inventory
and receivables).

Disadvantages of using ROI


There are also disadvantages in using ROI as a measure of the performance of
an investment centre.
 As explained above, investment decisions might be affected by the effect
they would have on the division’s ROI in the short term, and this is
inappropriate for making investment decisions.
 There are different ways of measuring capital employed. ROI might be
based on the net book value (carrying value) of the division at the
beginning of the year, or at the end of the year, or the average for the year.
Comparison of performance between different organisations is therefore
difficult.
 When assets are depreciated, ROI will increase each year provided that
annual profits are constant. The division’s manager might not want to get
rid of ageing assets, because ROI will fall if new (replacement) assets are
purchased. This point is explained in a later section of this chapter.
 ROI is an accounting measure of performance. An alternative system of
performance measurement that includes non-financial performance
indicators, such as a balanced scorecard approach, might be more
appropriate.

© Emile Woolf International 433 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 RESIDUAL INCOME (RI)

Section overview

 Measuring residual income


 Imputed interest (notional interest) and the cost of capital
 Residual income and investment decisions
 Advantages and disadvantages of residual income

4.1 Measuring residual income


Residual income (RI) is another way of measuring the performance of an
investment centre. It is an alternative to using ROI.
Residual income is measured in either of the following ways:

Illustration: Residual income – Managerial evaluation


Controllable profit X
Less notional interest on average controllable investment (X)
Controllable residual income X

Illustration: Residual income – Divisional evaluation


Traceable profit X
Less notional interest on average traceable investment (X)
Divisional residual income X

4.2 Imputed interest (notional interest) and the cost of capital


Residual income is calculated by deducting an amount for imputed interest (also
called notional interest) from the accounting profit for the division.
The interest charge is calculated by applying a cost of capital to the division’s
net investment (net assets). The most appropriate measure of net investment is
the average investment during the period, although an exam question may
instruct you to calculate the interest charge on net assets at the beginning of the
year.
Imputed interest (notional interest) is the division’s capital employed multiplied by:
 the organisation’s cost of borrowing; or
 the weighted average cost of capital of the organisation; or
 a special risk-weighted cost of capital to allow for the special business risk
characteristics of the division. A higher interest rate would be applied to
divisions with higher business risk.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Example: Residual income


The same example that was used in the previous section to illustrate ROI will be
used here to illustrate residual income.
An investment centre has reported the following results.
Current year Previous year
₦000 ₦000
Sales 600 600
Gross profit 180 210
Net profit 24 30
Net assets at beginning of year 200 180

The division has a cost of capital of 10%, which is applied to net assets at the
beginning of the year to calculate notional interest.
Required
How would the financial performance of the investment centre be assessed if
residual income is used as the main measure of performance?

Answer
The residual income of the division in each year is calculated as follows.

Current year Previous year


₦000 ₦000
Profit 24,000 30,000
Notional
interest (10%  ₦200,000) (20,000) (10%  ₦180,000) (18,000)
Residual
income 4,000 12,000

Residual income has fallen from ₦12,000 in the previous year to ₦4,000 in the
current year. This indicates deterioration in divisional performance, although the
residual income is still positive. This means that the division’s profits exceed its
cost of capital.
An analysis of gross profit margin, net profit margin and sales growth (0%) will
indicate the causes of the fall in residual income.

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Performance management

4.3 Residual income and investment decisions


One reason for using residual income instead of ROI to measure a division’s
financial performance is that residual income has a money value, whereas ROI is
a percentage value. A company may prefer to measure performance in money
terms. In most other respects, however, residual income is similar to ROI as a
measure of divisional performance.

Example: Residual income and investment decisions


The difference between ROI and residual income can be illustrated by returning to
the previous example that was used to illustrate the effect of ROI on investment
decision-making.
A division has net assets of ₦800,000 and makes an annual profit of ₦120,000.
It should be assumed that if the investment described below is not undertaken,
the division will continue to have net assets of ₦800,000 and an annual profit of
₦120,000 for the next four years. The division’s financial performance is
measured using residual income, and the division’s cost of capital is 12%.
The division is considering an investment in a new item of equipment that would
cost ₦80,000. The estimated life of the equipment is four years with no residual
value. The estimated additional profit before depreciation from the investment is
as follows:
Year ₦
1 20,000
2 25,000
3 35,000
4 40,000
The asset will be depreciated on a straight-line basis.
Required
What would be the annual residual income on this investment? Notional interest
should be calculated on the basis of the average net assets employed during the
year.
Should the investment centre manager decide to undertake this investment
or not?

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Answer

Calculation of residual
income ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Profit without
investment 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000
Additional profit before
depreciation 20,000 25,000 35,000 40,000
Additional depreciation (20,000) (20,000) (20,000) (20,000)
Divisional profit 120,000 125,000 135,000 140,000
Notional interest
(see working) (104,400) (102,000) (99,600) (97,200)
Residual income 15,600 23,000 35,400 42,800

If the investment is not undertaken, the residual income in each year would be:

Profit without investment 120,000
Notional interest (12%  ₦800,000) (96,000)
Residual income 24,000
If the investment is undertaken, residual income would fall in Year 1 and Year 2,
but increase in Year 3 and Year 4. If the divisional manager is most concerned
about short-term financial performance, he would decide that the investment
should not be undertaken, in spite of the longer-term addition to residual income.

Workings: Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4


Notional interest ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Average investment 870,000 850,000 830,000 810,000

Notional interest at
12% 104,400 102,000 99,600 97,200

4.4 Advantages and disadvantages of residual income

Advantages of residual income


There are several advantages in using residual income as a measure of the
performance of an investment centre.
 It relates the profit of the division to the capital employed, by charging an
amount of notional interest on capital employed, and the division manager
is responsible for both profit and capital employed.
 Residual income is a flexible measure of performance, because a different
cost of capital can be applied to investments with different risk
characteristics.

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Performance management

Disadvantages of residual income


There are also disadvantages in using residual income as a measure of the
performance of an investment centre.
 Residual income is an accounting-based measure, and suffers from the
same problem as ROI in defining capital employed and profit.
 Its main weakness is that it is difficult to compare the performance of
different divisions using residual income. Larger divisions should earn a
bigger residual income than smaller divisions. A small division making
residual income of ₦50,000 might actually perform much better than a
much larger division whose residual income is ₦100,000, if performance is
measured by ROI. This point is illustrated in the example below.
 Residual income is not easily understood by management, especially
managers with little accounting knowledge.

Practice question 1
A company has two divisions, Small and Big. Big Division has net assets of
₦8 million and makes an annual profit of ₦900,000. Small Division has net
assets of ₦400,000 and makes an annual profit of ₦90,000. The cost of
capital for both divisions is 10%.
Required:
Compare the performance of the two divisions using:
(a) ROI
(b) Residual income.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

5 DIVISIONAL PERFORMANCE AND DEPRECIATION

Section overview

 ROI or RI: the problem with depreciation

5.1 ROI or RI: the problem with depreciation


If straight-line depreciation is used and capital employed is based on carrying
values (net book values) the annual ROI and residual income will increase over
time if:
 annual profits are constant, and
 assets are not replaced, and existing assets remain in use as they get
older.
In the early years of an investment, the ROI or residual income may be very low.
If a divisional manager is concerned about the effect that this would have on the
division’s ROI or residual income for the next year or two, the manager may
refuse to invest in the project. This is because performance in the next year or so
might be much worse, even though the project might be expected to earn a high
return over its full economic life.
The tendency for ROI and residual income to increase over time if assets are not
replaced means that divisional managers may prefer to keep old and ageing
assets in operation as long as possible – even though it might be preferable in
the longer term to replace the assets sooner.
These effects can be seen in the following practice question:

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Performance management

Practice question 2
A company has just opened a new division that will operate as an
investment centre. The following estimates of future performance have
been made.
The division requires an investment of ₦5 million. This consists entirely of
new non-current assets. Non-current assets will be depreciated at the rate
of 25% of cost each year, and there will be no residual value after four
years.
Sales revenue in the first year will be ₦10.8 million, but in subsequent
years will change as follows:
(1) There will be no change in selling prices in Year 2, but prices will be
reduced by 5% in Year 3 and by a further 5% in Year 4.
(2) Sales volume will increase by 10% in Year 2 and a further 10% in
Year 3, but sales volume in Year 4 will be the same as in Year 3.
Costs estimates are as follows:
(1) Gross profit will be 40% in Year 1, but will change as prices are
reduced in Years 3 and 4.
(2) There will be no change in the cost of sales per unit sold: prices per
unit for cost of goods sold will remain stable.
(3) Annual overheads including depreciation will be ₦3.5 million in Year
1 and Year 2 and ₦4 million in Years 3 and 4.
Required
Calculate for each of years 1 – 4:
(a) Sales revenue
(b) Gross profit
(c) Net profit
(d) ROI, assuming that capital employed is the net book value of the
investment in the division as at the beginning of the year.
Comment on the figures.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

6 ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA)

Section overview

 Profits and adding value to a business


 The potential benefits of EVA
 Measuring economic value added (EVA)
 Using EVA
 Possible problems with EVA

6.1 Profits and adding value to a business


In theory, if a company makes a profit, the value of its shares ought to increase
by the amount of the profit (less any dividends paid to shareholders). In practice,
this does not happen.
One reason for this is that in order to make a profit, capital is invested. Capital is
a resource which has a cost. The actual creation of extra value should therefore
be the profit less the cost of capital invested. Residual income is the accounting
profit earned by a division less a notional charge for capital employed. In theory,
there is a connection between residual income and the expected increase in the
value of a business.
Peter Drucker once wrote that: ‘until a business returns a profit that is greater
than its cost of capital, it operates at a loss.’

Example: Profit and capital


A company has ₦10 million in cash and keeps it in a bank deposit account
earning 2% per year interest.
The cash will earn interest of ₦200,000 less tax in one year, and this will be
reported as income. However although keeping money in a low-interest account
adds to accounting profit, it does not ’add value’ to the company (or ‘create
value’), because the cost of capital needed to finance the cash is probably higher
than 2%.

There is a second – and more important – reason why profits are not a good
measure of the expected increase in the value of a business. This is that profit
measured by accounting conventions is not a proper measure of ‘real’ economic
profit.
It can be argued that using economic profit instead of accounting profit would
lead to better measurement of the increase in the value of a business during a
given period of time.
Stern Stewart (a management consultancy firm) devised a method of measuring
economic profit, which they have called economic value added or EVA. The term
‘EVA’ is a trademark of the Stern Stewart organisation.

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Performance management

6.2 The potential benefits of EVA


EVA is a measure of performance that is a close approximation of ‘economic
profit’. Economic profit is measured in terms of the addition of economic value.
An entity earns an economic profit only if it creates economic value through its
activities. By creating economic value, a company should add to the wealth of its
owners, the shareholders.
Using EVA to measure performance could therefore have the following benefits:
 It measures the creation of value by a company, and is a more ‘accurate’
measurement of performance than accounting profit.
 Economic value can be created when expectations of future profitability
improve, because economic value can be measured as the net present
value of future profits. EVA therefore recognises the benefit of activities,
such as new investments, that add to longer-term profitability. Unlike
accounting measures of profitability, EVA is not focused exclusively on the
short-term.
 Management is encouraged to focus on the creation of value (EVA), which
is in the long-term interests of shareholders.
 Management reward schemes based on EVA are likely to align the
interests of management and shareholders more closely than a bonus
system linked to annual accounting profits.
 It is a simple measure, like profit, and so one that line managers (including
those with limited financial understanding) can understand.

6.3 Measuring economic value added (EVA)


Economic value added (EVA) for a financial period is the economic profit after
deducting a cost for the value of capital employed.
The formula for EVA is as follows:

Formula: Economic value added (EVA)


EVA = Net operating profit after tax – (Capital employed × Cost of capital)
or
EVA = NOPAT – (Capital employed × WACC)

Where:
WACC = Weighted average cost of capital

In practice the computation of EVA involves making adjustments to accounting


profit and the accounting value (book value) of assets. These adjustments can be
complex.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

NOPAT
The net operating profit after tax is calculated by making adjustments to the
accounting profit in order to arrive at an estimate of economic profit. NOPAT is
similar to ‘free cash flow’ and is an estimate of economic profit before deducting a
cost for the capital employed. The calculation of NOPAT requires a number of
different adjustments to the figure for accounting profit.
(1) Interest costs. In calculating NOPAT, interest costs of debt capital should
not be deducted from profit. This is because debt capital is included in the
capital employed. NOPAT should be the profit before deducting interest
costs but after deducting tax. There is tax relief on interest, so to reach a
figure for NOPAT the amount of interest charges in the period less relief on
the interest cost should be added back to the figure for profit after tax.
NOPAT = Profit after tax + [Interest costs less tax relief on the interest]
(2) Depreciation. Non-cash expenses should not be deducted from profit. The
main item of non-cash expense is usually depreciation of non-current
assets. However, there should be a charge for non-current assets, to allow
for the economic consumption of value that occurs when the assets are
used.
NOPAT = Profit after tax + Post-tax interest cost + [Accounting depreciation
– Economic depreciation]
If it can be assumed that accounting depreciation charges are similar to the
loss of economic value in non-current assets, the two items cancel out,
and:
NOPAT = Profit after tax + [Interest costs less tax relief on the interest]
(3) Other non-cash expenses. Other non-cash expenses should also be
added back in order to measure NOPAT. These include additional
provisions for irrecoverable debts and other provisions.
(4) Investments in intangible items. Investments in intangible items include
spending on promotion activities, investing in a brand name, research and
development spending and spending on employee training (to increase the
economic value of the work force). In conventional accounting systems,
these items of expense are usually written off as expenses in the year that
they occur. However, they are items of discretionary spending by
management that add to the value of the business.
To measure NOPAT, these items of expense that have been written off in
the conventional accounts should be added back.
(They should also be added to the value of the company’s capital.
Economic depreciation charges will be applied as appropriate to this
economic capital, in subsequent years.)

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Performance management

Charge for capital


EVA is NOPAT minus a charge to represent the cost of capital employed. There
are two elements to the capital charge:
 the value of the company’s assets; and
 the cost of capital.

Capital employed.
The valuation of capital employed should be based on economic values of the
capital employed. In most cases, this means that non-current assets should be
valued close to their current value, rather than at a value based on historical cost.
In a simplified system for measuring the economic value of a company’s capital
employed, the starting point is the book value of the company’s net assets. This
is:
 book value of non-current assets at the beginning of the year; plus
 book value of net current assets at the beginning of the year.
Some adjustments should then be made for:
 Investments in intangibles- Spending on intangible items should be
added back in calculating NOPAT, as explained earlier. In addition, the net
book value of intangible items should be included in capital employed, and
so an estimate of the net book value of the intangibles should be added to
the accounting value of the company’s net assets.
 Provisions and allowances- Additions during the year to allowances for
irrecoverable debts and additions to provisions should be added back to
profit in calculating NOPAT. The total amount of allowances for
irrecoverable debts, provisions for deferred tax and other provisions should
also be added to capital employed.
 Off-balance sheet financing and operational leases- Some companies
keep items of capital off their balance sheet (statement of financial
position). A notable example is assets held on operating leases. The
acquisition of leased assets is a form of debt finance, because the lessor
(provider of the leased asset) has provided the financing for the assets that
the company is leasing. The estimated value of assets held under operating
lease agreements (and the value of any other assets financed ‘off balance
sheet’) should be added to capital employed.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Cost of capital
The capital charge is calculated by applying the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) to the value of capital employed.
WACC is the weighted average of equity capital and debt capital in the
company’s target debt structure.
 If the current debt structure of the company is close to the long-term target
debt structure of the company, the weighted average cost of capital can be
calculated from the current value of equity and debt capital.
 However if the target capital structure is different from the current capital
structure, the weighted average cost of capital is calculated using the target
proportions of equity and debt.
 The cost of equity and the cost of debt can vary from one year to the next.
A new WACC may therefore be calculated each year, with appropriate
costs for equity and debt in each year.

Example: WACC
A company currently has equity capital valued at ₦800 million and debt capital of
₦400 million. Its target is to achieve 50% equity and 50% debt in its capital
structure.
In the current year the cost of equity was 15% and the cost of debt was 10%. The
rate of tax is 30%.
The WACC for the purpose of calculating EVA is therefore:
(15% 50%) + [10% (1 – 0.30) 50%] = 11%.
The following example shows the calculation of EVA, at a level of complexity that
you may meet in the examination.

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Performance management

Example: Economic Value Added (EVA)


Owerri Distribution Limited’s income statement and statement of financial
position for the year just ended are (year 1) as follows:
Income statement Year 1
₦000
Profit before interest and tax 62,000
Interest cost 6,000
Profit before tax 56,000
Tax at 25% 14,000
Profit after tax 42,000
Dividends paid 24,000
Retained profit 18,000

Statement of financial position Year 1


₦000
Non-current assets 265,000
Net current assets 170,000

435,000

Shareholders’ funds 345,000


Long-term and medium-term debt 90,000

435,000

Notes
1 Capital employed at the beginning of the year was ₦410 million.
2 The company had non-capitalised leased assets of ₦18 million in the year.
These assets are not subject to depreciation.
3 The estimated cost of equity in the year 1 was 10% and the cost of debt
was 7%.
4 The company’s target capital structure is 50% equity and 50% debt.
5 Accounting depreciation was equal to economic depreciation so there is no
need to make an adjustment to get from accounting depreciation to
economic depreciation.
6 Other non-cash expenses were ₦14 million.

© Emile Woolf International 446 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Example (continued): EVA


EVA is calculated as follows:

Net operating profit after tax Year 1


₦000
Profit after tax 42,000
Add: Interest cost less tax: (6,000 less 25%) 4,500
Add: Non-cash expenses 14,000
NOPAT 60,500

Capital employed Year 1


₦000
Book value of total assets less current liabilities 410,000
Non-capitalised leased assets 18,000
428,000

WACC = (10%  50%) + [7% (1 – 0.25)  50%] = 7.625%.

EVA Year 1
₦000
NOPAT 60,500
Capital charge: (428,000  7.625%) 32,635
Economic value added (estimate) 27,865

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Performance management

Practice question 3
Owerri Distribution Limited’s income statement and statement of financial
position for the year just ended (year 2).
Income statement Year 2
₦000
Profit before interest and tax 80,000
Interest cost 8,000
Profit before tax 72,000
Tax at 25% 18,000
Profit after tax 54,000
Dividends paid 29,000
Retained profit 25,000

Statement of financial position Year 2


₦000
Non-current assets 280,000
Net current assets 200,000
480,000

Shareholders’ funds 370,000


Long-term and medium-term debt 110,000
480,000

Notes
1 Capital employed at the beginning of Year 2 was ₦435 million.
2 The company had non-capitalised leased assets of ₦18 million in the year.
These assets are not subject to depreciation.
3 The estimated cost of equity in Year 2 was 12% and the cost of debt was
8%.
4 The company’s target capital structure is 50% equity and 50% debt.
5 Accounting depreciation was equal to economic depreciation during the
year.
6 Other non-cash expenses were ₦16 million.
Required
Calculate EVA for the year and comment on the results for year 1 (see the
previous example) and year 2.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

In summary, computation of EVA can be achieved thus:


A. Calculating net operating profit after tax (NOPAT):

In calculating net operating profit (NOPAT), the following adjustments are very important
on profit after tax:
Add capitalised research and development for the year.
Add net interest (1-t) (where t =tax rate)
Add capitalised promotion for the year.
Add training cost capitalised for the year.
Add marketing cost capitalised for the year.
Add financial depreciation for the year.
Less economic depreciation for the year.
Add provisions and allowances for bad debt, inventories for the year.
Add deferred tax provision.
Less cash tax
Add non- cash expenses
= net operating profits after tax (NOPAT)

B. Computation of finance charge (WACC) on capital structure:

WACC = [ke × E/E+D] + [kd (1 – t) × D/ E + D]


Where ke = required return on equity (E)
Kd(1 – t) = after tax return on debt (D).

C. Computation of opening capital employed:

Capital employed (opening capital employed)


Add capitalised cost relating to opening capital invested.
Add provision/allowances relating to opening capital invested.
Add non cash expenses to capital employed
Add capitalised cost of operating leases to capital employed.
D. Computation of EVA

Net operating profits after tax (NOPAT)


Less WACC of computed opening capital employed
Economic value added

6.4 Using EVA


If it is measured with reasonable accuracy, EVA should be a measure, in
economic terms, of how much extra value or wealth has been created by a
business operation during a period.
It can therefore be argued that EVA would be a much more useful measure of
divisional performance – and company performance – than traditional accounting
measures of ROCE and profit.
The problem with EVA however is its complexity. To arrive at an estimate of EVA, it is
necessary to make many adjustments to accounting values for profit and asset values,
and there might be some uncertainty about the reliability of the figure that is calculated
as EVA. It might also be questioned whether the extra cost of calculating EVA
(compared with ROCE or ROI/residual income) is justified.

EVA and measuring the performance of divisions


EVA can be used as an alternative to ROI or residual income as a method of
measuring the performance of operating divisions. However, using EVA for
© Emile Woolf International 449 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
performance measurement of operating divisions might make little sense unless the
company as a whole also measured its total performance in terms of EVA.

6.5 Possible problems with EVA


There are several potential problems with the use of EVA.
 It is not easy to use EVA for inter-firm comparisons or inter-divisional
performance comparisons, because it is an absolute measure (in ₦) rather than
a comparative measure (such as a ratio).
 The adjustments required to get from accounting profit to NOPAT and from
accounting capital employed to economic capital employed can be complex. In
particular, it may be very difficult to estimate economic depreciation.

7 CHAPTER REVIEW
Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain and illustrate cost centres, profit centres and investment centres
 Define, calculate and interpret return on investment
 Define, calculate and interpret residual income
 Define, calculate and interpret economic value added

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Big Small
Profit ₦900,000 ₦90,000
Net assets ₦8 million ₦400,000
ROI 11.25% 22.5%

₦ ₦
Profit 900,000 90,000
Notional interest 800,000 40,000
Residual income 100,000 50,000
Using ROI as a measure of performance, Small Division has performed better than Big
Division.
However Big Division has made a higher residual income and it could therefore be
argued that it has performed better than Small Division.

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Performance management

S olution 2
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
₦m ₦m ₦m ₦m
Sales revenue (working 1) 10.800 11.880 12.415 11.794
Cost of sales (working 2) (6.480 (7.128 (7.841 (7.841)
Gross profit 4.320 4.752 4.574 3.953
Overheads (3.500) (3.500) (4.000) (4.000)
Net profit/(loss) 0.820 1.252 0.574 (0.047)

Net assets at beginning of year 5.00 3.75 2.50 1.25

ROI 16.4% 33.4% 23.0% (1.3)%

Gross profit margin 40.0% 40.0% 36.8% 33.5%


Net profit margin 7.6% 10.5% 4.6% 0%
Workings
(1) Sales revenue = Revenue in previous year  Price change  Sales volume change
Year 2: ₦10.8 million  100%  1.10 = ₦11.88 million
Year 3: ₦11.88 million  95%  1.10 = ₦12.4146 million, say ₦12.415 million
Year 4: ₦12.4146 million  95%  1.0 = ₦11.79387 million, say ₦11.794 million.
(2) Cost of sales = 60% of sales in Year 1. The total cost of sales will then vary each
year with changes in sales volume.
Year 1: Cost of sales = 60%  ₦10.8 million = ₦6.48 million
Year 2: Cost of sales = ₦6.48 million  1.10 = ₦7.128 million
Year 3: Cost of sales = ₦7.128 million  1.10 = ₦7.8408 million, say ₦7.841
million.
Year 4: Same as Year 3 (no change in sales volume).
(3) Net assets: ₦5 million at the beginning of Year 1, reducing by (25%) ₦1.25
million in each subsequent year.
Analysis
There is a tendency for ROI to increase as non-current assets get older. This is most
apparent in Year 2, when ROI increases from 16.4% to 33.4%, largely because of the
reduction in the value of the investment in the division. ROI would also increase in Year
3 and Year 4, but the effect of changes in selling prices and overhead costs mean that
the net effect is a reduction in ROI in those years (and also in the gross profit and net
profit margins).
ROI is affected in Year 3 by the first 5% fall in sales and the increase in overhead costs
by ₦500,000. In Year 4, performance gets worse, in spite of the fall in net assets to
₦1.25 million because of the further fall in sales prices and gross profit margin. In year
4, there is even a small net loss.

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Chapter 12: Divisional performance

Solution 3
Net operating profit after tax Year 1
₦000
Profit after tax 54,000
Add: Interest cost less tax: (8,000 less 25%) 6,000
Add: Non-cash expenses 16,000

NOPAT 76,000

Capital employed Year 1


₦000
Book value of total assets less current liabilities 435,000
Non-capitalised leased assets 18,000
453,000

WACC = (12%  50%) + [8% (1 – 0.25)  50%] = 9%.

EVA Year 1
₦000
NOPAT 76,000
Capital charge: (453,000  9%) 40,770
Economic value added (estimate) 35,230

These figures suggest that in each year the company created value, because the EVA
was positive.
Financial performance in Year 2 was better than in Year 1 because the EVA is higher.

© Emile Woolf International 453 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


13
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Relevant costs

Contents
1 The concept of relevant costing
2 Identifying relevant costs
3 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
a Select and calculate suitable relevant cost based on given data and
information. Evaluate the results and advise management.
NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also required.

Exam context
This chapter explains which costs and revenues are relevant to decision making. The
knowledge acquired in this chapter provides a foundation to later chapters on specific areas
of decision making. Study it carefully.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Understand and explain the concept of relevant costing
 Explain the terms, incremental cost, differential cost, committed cost, sunk cost and
opportunity cost
 Identify relevant costs (revenues) in a variety of situations

© Emile Woolf International 455 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 13: Relevant costs

1 THE CONCEPT OF RELEVANT COSTING

Section overview

 Information for decision-making


 Marginal costing and decision-making
 Relevant costs and decision-making
 Terms used in relevant costing
 Opportunity costs

1.1 Information for decision-making


Management makes decisions about the future. When they make decisions for
economic or financial reasons, the objective is usually to increase profitability or
the value of the business, or to reduce costs and improve productivity.
When managers make a decision, they make a choice between different possible
courses of action (options), and they need relevant and reliable information about
the probable financial consequences of the different options available. A function
of management accounting is to provide information to help managers to make
decisions, by providing estimates of the consequences of selecting any option.
Traditionally, cost and management accounting information was derived from
historical costs (a measurement of actual costs). For example, historical costs are
used to assess the profitability of products, and control reporting typically involves
a comparison of actual historical costs with a budget or standard costs.
Accounting information for decision-making is different, because decisions affect
the future, not what has already happened in the past. Accounting information for
decision-making should therefore be based on estimates of future costs and
revenues.
 Decisions affect the future, but cannot change what has already happened.
Decision-making should therefore look at the future consequences of a
decision, and should not be influenced by historical events and historical
costs.
 Decisions should consider what can be changed in the future. They should
not be influenced by what will happen in the future that is unavoidable,
possibly due to commitments that have been made in the past.
 Economic or financial decisions should be based on future cash flows, not
future accounting measurements of costs or profits. Accounting
conventions, such as the accruals concept of accounting and the
depreciation of non-current assets, do not reflect economic reality. Cash
flows, on the other hand, do reflect the economic reality of decisions.
Managers should therefore consider the effect that their decisions will have
on future cash flows, not reported accounting profits.

1.2 Marginal costing and decision-making


Marginal costing might be used for decision-making. For example, marginal
costing is used for limiting factor analysis and linear programming.

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Performance management

It is appropriate to use marginal costing for decision-making when it can be


assumed that future fixed costs will be the same, no matter what decision is
taken, and that all variable costs represent future cash flows that will be incurred
as a consequence of any decision that is taken.
These assumptions about fixed and variable costs are not always valid. When
they are not valid, relevant costs should be used to evaluate the
economic/financial consequences of a decision.

1.3 Relevant costs and decision-making


Relevant costs should be used for assessing the economic or financial
consequences of any decision by management. Only relevant costs and benefits
should be taken into consideration when evaluating the financial consequences
of a decision.
A relevant cost is a future cash flow that will occur as a direct consequence of
making a particular decision.
The key concepts in this definition of relevant costs are as follows:
 Relevant costs are costs that will occur in the future- They
cannot include any costs that have already occurred in the past.
 Relevant costs of a decision are costs that will occur as a direct
consequence of making the decision. Costs that will occur anyway, no
matter what decision is taken, cannot be relevant to the decision.
 Relevant costs are cash flows- Notional costs, such as
depreciation charges, notional interest costs and absorbed fixed
costs, cannot be relevant to a decision.

1.4 Terms used in relevant costing


Several terms are used in relevant costing, to indicate how certain costs might be
relevant or not relevant to a decision.

Incremental cost
An incremental cost is an additional cost that will occur if a particular decision is
taken. Provided that this additional cost is a cash flow, an incremental cost is a
relevant cost.

Example: Incremental cost


A company has identified that each cost unit it produces has the following costs:
₦ in ‘000
Direct materials 50
Direct labour 20
70
Fixed production overhead 30
Total absorption cost 100

The incremental cost of making one extra unit is ₦70,000. Making one
extra unit would not affect the fixed cost base.

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Chapter 13: Relevant costs

The above example assumes that the fixed cost per unit is the result of overhead
absorption and that making one extra unit does not affect the fixed cost of the
company.
If making extra units would result in the business incurring new fixed costs, these
would be incremental and must be included as a relevant cost in any decision
making process.

Example: Incremental fixed cost (stepped fixed costs)


A company owns a factory which has the capacity to produce 100,000 units per
annum.
The factory is operating at 80% of this capacity (i.e. 80,000 units per annum are
being made but the company could make an additional 20,000 units if required).
The variable cost per unit is ₦60.
The company has received an enquiry to supply 30,000 units per annum for the
next 5 years at a sales price of ₦100.
In order to fulfil this order the company would have to rent additional premises to
make the 10,000 units which it is unable to make in its current premises.
The rent of the additional premises is a fixed cost but it is incremental to the
project and must be included in the decision making process.
What would the decision be if the rent were:
a) ₦300,000
b) ₦300,000?
a b
Incremental annual amounts ₦ in ‘000 ₦ in ‘000
Revenue (10,000 units  ₦100) 1,000 1,000
Variable costs (10,000 units  ₦60) (600) (600)
400 400
Fixed costs (300) (500)
100 (100)
Decision Accept the Reject the
offer offer

Making and selling 10,000 extra units would generate extra contribution of
₦400,000. However, the company must also consider the incremental fixed
costs in order to make the correct decision.

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Performance management

Differential cost
A differential cost is the amount by which future costs will be different, depending
on which course of action is taken. A differential cost is therefore an amount by
which future costs will be higher or lower, if a particular course of action is
chosen. Provided that this additional cost is a cash flow, a differential cost is a
relevant cost.

Example: Differential cost


A company needs to hire a photocopier for the next six months. It has to decide
whether to continue using a particular type of photocopier, which it currently rents
for ₦2,000 each month, or whether to switch to using a larger photocopier that
will cost ₦3,600 each month. If it hires the larger photocopier, it will be able to
terminate the rental agreement for the current copier immediately.
The decision is whether to continue with using the current photocopier, or to
switch to the larger copier.
One way of analysing the comparative costs is to say that the larger copier will be
more expensive to rent, by ₦1,600 each month for six months.
The differential cost of hiring the larger copier for six months would therefore be
₦9,600.

Avoidable and unavoidable costs


An avoidable cost is a cost that could be saved (avoided), depending whether or
not a particular decision is taken. An unavoidable cost is a cost that will be
incurred anyway.
 Avoidable costs are relevant costs.
 Unavoidable costs are not relevant to a decision.

Example: Avoidable and unavoidable costs


A company has one year remaining on a short-term lease agreement on a
warehouse. The rental cost is ₦100,000 per year. The warehouse facilities are no
longer required, because operations have been moved to another warehouse that
has spare capacity.
If a decision is taken to close down the warehouse, the company would be
committed to paying the rental cost up to the end of the term of the lease.
However, it would save local taxes of ₦16,000 for the year, and it would no longer
need to hire the services of a security company to look after the empty building,
which currently costs ₦40,000 each year.
The decision about whether to close down the unwanted warehouse should be
based on relevant costs only.
Local taxes and the costs of the security services (₦56,000 in total for the next
year) could be avoided and so these are relevant costs.
The rental cost of the warehouse cannot be avoided, and so should be ignored in
the economic assessment of the decision whether to close the warehouse or
keep it open for another year.

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Chapter 13: Relevant costs

Committed cost
Committed costs are a category of unavoidable costs. A committed cost is a cost
that a company has already committed to or an obligation already made, that it
cannot avoid by any means.
Committed costs are not relevant costs for decision making.

Example: Committed cost


A company bought a machine one year ago and entered into a maintenance
contract for ₦20,000 for three years.
The machine is being used to make an item for sale. Sales of this item are
disappointing and are only generating ₦15,000 per annum and will remain at
this level for two years.
The company believes that it could sell the machine for ₦25,000.
The relevant costs in this decision are the selling price of the machine and the
revenue from sales of the item.
If the company sold the machine it would receive ₦25,000 but lose ₦30,000
revenue over the next two years – an overall loss of ₦5,000
The maintenance contract is irrelevant as the company has to pay ₦20,000 per
annum whether it keeps the machine or sells it.
Leases normally represent a committed cost for the full term of the lease, since it
is extremely difficult to terminate a lease agreement.

Sunk costs
Sunk costs are costs that have already been incurred (historical costs) or costs
that have already been committed by an earlier decision. Sunk costs must be
ignored for the purpose of evaluating a decision, and cannot be relevant costs.

Example: Sunk cost


A company must decide whether to launch a new product on to the market.
It has spent ₦900,000 on developing the new product, and a further ₦80,000 on
market research.
A financial evaluation for a decision whether or not to launch the new product
should ignore the development costs and the market research costs, because the
₦980,000 has already been spent. The costs are sunk costs.

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Performance management

1.5 Opportunity costs


An opportunity cost is a benefit that will be lost by taking one course of action
instead of the next most profitable course of action.

Example: Opportunity costs


A company has been asked by a customer to carry out a special job. The work
would require 20 hours of skilled labour time. There is a limited availability of
skilled labour, and if the special job is carried out for the customer, skilled
employees would have to be moved from doing other work that earns a
contribution of ₦600 per labour hour.
A relevant cost of doing the job for the customer is the contribution that would be
lost by switching employees from other work. This contribution forgone (20 hours ×
₦600 = ₦12,000) would be an opportunity cost.
This cost should be taken into consideration as a cost that would be incurred as a
direct consequence of a decision to do the special job for the customer. In other
words, the opportunity cost is a relevant cost in deciding how to respond to the
customer’s request.
What would the decision be if the special job would generate a contribution of:
a) ₦15,000
b) ₦10,000?
a b
₦ ₦
Contribution earned 15,000 10,000
Contribution lost (12,000) (12,000)
3,000 (2,000)
Decision Accept the Reject the
offer offer

An opportunity cost is not an actual cost in the sense of an amount paid out as an
expense. It is a comparative cost. In other words, it is a change in the overall cost
that results from making one choice over another.
Similar comments can be made in respect of opportunity revenues (gains).

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Chapter 13: Relevant costs

2 IDENTIFYING RELEVANT COSTS

Section overview

 Relevant cost of materials


 Relevant cost of labour
 Relevant cost of overhead

There are certain rules or guidelines that might help you to identify the relevant costs
for evaluating any management decision.

2.1 Relevant cost of materials


The relevant costs of a decision to do some work or make a product will usually
include costs of materials. Relevant costs of materials are the additional cash
flows that will be incurred (or benefits that will be lost) by using the materials for
the purpose that is under consideration.
If none of the required materials are currently held as inventory, the relevant
cost of the materials is simply their purchase cost. In other words, the relevant
cost is the cash that will have to be paid to acquire and use the materials.
If the required materials are currently held as inventory, the relevant costs
are identified by applying the following rules:

Illustration: Relevant cost of materials

Note that the historical cost of materials held in inventory cannot be the relevant
cost of the materials, because their historical cost is a sunk cost.

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Performance management

The relevant costs of materials can be described as their ‘deprival value’. The
deprival value of materials is the benefit or value that would be lost if the
company were deprived of the materials currently held in inventory.
 If the materials are regularly used, their deprival value is the cost of having
to buy more units of the materials to replace them (their replacement cost).
 If the materials are not in regular use, their deprival value is either the net
benefit that would be lost because they cannot be disposed of (their net
disposal or scrap value) or the benefits obtainable from any alternative use.
In an examination question, materials in inventory might not be in regular
use, but could be used as a substitute material in some other work. Their
deprival value might therefore be the purchase cost of another material that
could be avoided by using the materials held in inventory as a substitute.

Example: Relevant cost of materials


A company has been asked to quote a price for a one-off contract.
The contract would require 5,000 kilograms of material X. Material X is used
regularly by the company. The company has 4,000 kilograms of material X
currently in inventory, which cost ₦400 per kilogram. The price for material X has
since risen to ₦420 per kilogram.
The contract would also require 2,000 kilograms of material Y. There are 1,500
kilograms of material Y in inventory, but because of a decision taken several
weeks ago, material Y is no longer in regular use by the company. The 1,500
kilograms originally cost ₦144,000, and have a scrap value of ₦36,000. New
purchases of material Y would cost ₦100 per kilogram.
The relevant costs of the materials, to assist management in identifying the
minimum price to charge for the contract are as follows.
Material X
This is in regular use. Any units of the material that are held in inventory will have
to be replaced for other work if they are used for the contract. The relevant cost is
their replacement cost.
Relevant cost = replacement cost = 5,000 kilograms × ₦420 = ₦2,100,000.
Material Y
This is not in regular use. There are 1,500 kilograms in inventory, and an
additional 500 kilograms would have to be purchased. The relevant cost of
material Y for the contract would be:

Material held in inventory (scrap value) 36,000
New purchases (500  ₦100) 50,000
Total relevant cost of Material Y 86,000

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Chapter 13: Relevant costs

2.2 Relevant cost of labour


The relevant costs of a decision to do some work or make a product will usually
include costs of labour.
The relevant cost of labour for any decision is the additional cash expenditure (or
saving) that will arise as a direct consequence of the decision.
 If the cost of labour is a variable cost, and labour is not in restricted
supply, the relevant cost of the labour is its variable cost. For example,
suppose that part-time employees are paid ₦180 per hour, they are paid
only for the hours that they work and part-time labour is not in short supply.
If management is considering a decision that would require an additional
100 hours of part-time labour, the relevant cost of the labour would be
₦180 per hour or ₦18,000 in total.
 If labour is a fixed cost and there is spare labour time available, the
relevant cost of using labour is zero. The spare time would otherwise be
paid for idle time, and there is no additional cash cost of using the labour to
do extra work. For example, suppose that a new contract would require 30
direct labour hours, direct labour is paid ₦200 per hour, and the direct
workforce is paid a fixed weekly wage for a 40-hour week. If there is
currently spare capacity, so that the labour cost would be idle time if it is not
used for the new contract, the relevant cost of using 30 hours on the new
contract would be zero. The 30 labour hours must be paid for whether or
not the contract work is undertaken.
 If labour is in limited supply, the relevant cost of labour should include
the opportunity cost of using the labour time for the purpose under
consideration instead of using it in its next-most profitable way. The cost of
an hour of labour would be the pay per hour plus the lost contribution.

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Performance management

Example: Relevant cost of labour


Department 1. The contract would require 200 hours of work in department 1,
where the workforce is paid ₦160 per hour for a fixed 40-hour week. There is
currently spare labour capacity in department 1 and there are no plans to reduce
the size of the workforce in this department.
Department 2. The contract would require 100 hours of work in department 2
where the workforce is paid ₦240 per hour. This department is currently working
at full capacity. The company could ask the workforce to do overtime work, paid
for at the normal rate per hour plus 50% overtime premium. Alternatively, the
workforce could be diverted from other work that earns a contribution of ₦80 per
hour.
Department 3. The contract would require 300 hours of work in department 3
where the workforce is paid ₦240 per hour. Labour in this department is in short
supply and all the available time is currently spent making product Z, which earns
the following contribution:
₦ ₦
Sales price 980
Labour (2 hours per unit) 480
Other variable costs 300
780
Contribution per unit of product Z 200

Required
What is the relevant cost for the contract of labour in the three departments?

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Chapter 13: Relevant costs

Answer
Department 1. There is spare capacity in department 1 and no additional cash
expenditure would be incurred on labour if the contract is undertaken.
Relevant cost = zero

Department 2. There is restricted labour capacity. If the contract is undertaken,


there would be a choice between:
 overtime work at a cost of ₦360 per hour (₦240 plus overtime premium of
50%) – this would be an additional cash expense, or
 diverting the labour from other work, and losing contribution of ₦80 per
hour – cost per hour = ₦240 basic pay + contribution forgone ₦80 = N320
per hour.
It would be better to divert the workforce from other work, and the relevant cost
of labour is therefore 100 hours × ₦320 per hour = ₦32,000.
Department 3. There is restricted labour capacity. If the contract is undertaken,
labour would have to be diverted from making product Z which earns a
contribution of ₦200 per unit or ₦100 per labour hour (₦200/2 hours). The
relevant cost of the labour in department 3 is:

Labour cost per hour 240
Contribution forgone per hour 100
Relevant cost per hour 340
Relevant cost of 300 hours = 300 × ₦340 = ₦102,000.

Summary of relevant costs of labour:



Department 1 0
Department 2 32,000
Department 3 102,000
134,000

2.3 Relevant cost of overheads


Relevant costs of expenditures that might be classed as overhead costs should
be identified by applying the normal rules of relevant costing. Relevant costs are
future cash flows that will arise as a direct consequence of making a particular
decision.
Fixed overhead absorption rates are therefore irrelevant, because fixed
overhead absorption is not overhead expenditure and does not represent cash
spending
However, it might be assumed that the overhead absorption rate for variable
overheads is a measure of actual cash spending on variable overheads. It is
therefore often appropriate to treat a variable overhead hourly rate as a relevant
cost, because it is an estimate of cash spending per hour for each additional hour
worked.

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Performance management

The only overhead fixed costs that are relevant costs for a decision are extra
cash spending that will be incurred, or cash spending that will be saved, as a
direct consequence of making the decision.

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Chapter 13: Relevant costs

Practice questions 1
1 A company bought a machine six years ago for ₦125,000. Its written
down value is now ₦25,000. The machine is no longer used for normal
production work, and it could be sold now for ₦17,500. A project is
being considered that would make use of this machine for six months.
After this time the machine would be sold for ₦10,000.
Required
Calculate the relevant cost of the machine to the project.
2 A contract is under consideration which would require 1,400 hours of
direct labour. There is spare capacity of 500 hours of direct labour, due
to the cancellation of another order by a customer. The other time
would have to be found by asking employees to work in the evenings
and at weekends, which would be paid at 50% above the normal hourly
rate of ₦15.
Alternatively, the additional hours could be found by switching labour
from other work which earns a contribution of ₦5 per hour.
Required
Calculate the relevant cost of direct labour if the contract is accepted
and undertaken.

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Performance management

3 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Understand and explain the concept of relevant costing

 Explain the terms, incremental cost, differential cost, committed cost, sunk cost
and opportunity cost
 Identify relevant costs (revenues) in a variety of situations

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
1 Relevant cost = Difference between sale value now and sale value if it is used.
This is the relevant cost of using the machine for the project.
Relevant cost = ₦17,500 - ₦10,000 = ₦7,500.

2 A total of 900 hours would have to be found by either working overtime at a


cost of ₦15 × 150% = ₦22.50 per hour, or diverting labour from other work
that earns a contribution of ₦5 per hour after labour costs of ₦15 per hour.
The opportunity cost of diverting labour from other work is therefore ₦20 per
hour. This is less than the cost of working overtime. If the contract is
undertaken, labour will therefore be diverted from the other work.
It is assumed that the 500 hours of free labour time (idle time) available would
be paid for anyway, even if the contract is not undertaken. The relevant cost of
these hours is therefore ₦0.

Relevant cost of labour ₦


500 hours 0
900 hours (× ₦20) 18,000
Total relevant cost of labour 18,000

© Emile Woolf International 471 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


14
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Contents
1 The nature of CVP analysis
2 Break-even analysis
3 Break-even charts and profit-volume charts
4 Multi-product CVP analysis
5 Importance and weaknesses of CVP analysis
6 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
b Select, calculate and present cost-volume-profit analyses based on a given
data and information (including single and multiple products) using both
numerical and graphical techniques. Advise management based on the
results.

Exam context
This chapter explains how to estimate the break-even point in terms of the number of units
sold and in terms of the revenue earned. It also explains how to calculate the margin of
safety, and how to calculate the number of units that must be sold or revenue earned to
achieve a target profit.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve break-even
 Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve break-even
 Calculate the margin of safety associated with a given level of production in terms of
the number of units sold or revenue
 Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve a target profit
 Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve a target profit

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

1 THE NATURE OF CVP ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Introduction to CVP analysis


 Assumptions in CVP analysis
 Contribution

1.1 Introduction to CVP analysis


CVP analysis stands for cost-volume-profit analysis’. It is used to show how
costs and profits change with changes in the volume of activity. CVP analysis is
an application of marginal costing concepts.
This chapter explains CVP analysis and some of its applications.

1.2 Assumptions in CVP analysis


Costs are either fixed or variable. The variable cost per unit is the same at all
levels of activity (output and sales). Total fixed costs are a constant amount in
each period.
Fixed costs are normally assumed to remain unchanged at all levels of output.
The contribution per unit is constant for each unit sold (of the same product).
The sales price per unit is constant for every unit of product sold; therefore the
contribution to sales ratio is also a constant value at all levels of sales.
If sales price per unit, variable cost per unit and fixed costs are not affected by
volume of activity, sales and profits are maximised by maximising total
contribution.

1.3 Contribution
Contribution is a key concept. Contribution is measured as sales revenue less
variable costs.
Profit is measured as contribution minus fixed costs.

Illustration:


Sales (Units sold × sales price per unit) X
Variable costs (Units sold × variable cost price per unit) (X)
Contribution X
Fixed costs (X)
Profit X

Total contribution = Contribution per unit  Number of units sold.

Many problems solved using CVP analysis use either contribution per unit (CPU)
or the C/S (Contribution/Sales) ratio.

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Performance management

Contribution per unit


It is assumed that contribution per unit (sales price minus variable cost) is a
constant amount over all sales volumes.

Example:
A company makes and sells a single product. The product has a variable
production cost of ₦8 per unit and a variable selling cost of ₦1per unit.
Total fixed costs (production, administration and sales and distribution fixed
costs) are expected to be ₦500,000.
The selling price of the product is ₦16.
The profit at sales volumes of 70,000, 80,000 and 90,000 units can be
calculated as follows

70,000 units 80,000 units 90,000 units


₦ ₦ ₦
Sales revenue (₦16/unit) 1,120,000 1,280,000 1,440,000
Variable cost (₦9/unit) (630,000) (720,000) (810,000)
Contribution (₦7/unit) 490,000 560,000 630,000
Fixed costs (500,000) (500,000) (500,000)
Profit/(loss) (10,000) 60,000 130,000
Notes
A loss is incurred at 70,000 units of sales because total contribution is not large
enough to cover fixed costs. Profit increases as sales volume increases, and the
increase in profit is due to the increase in total contribution as sales volume
increases.
Somewhere between 70,000 and 80,000 there is a number of units which if sold
would result in neither a profit nor a loss. This is known as the break-even
position.

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

The contribution line could have been completed without calculating the sales
and variable costs by simply multiplying the quantity sold by the contribution pper
unit (CPU).

Example:
Facts as before but calculating total contribution as the number of units 
contribution per unit.
Contribution per unit

Sales price per unit 16
Variable production cost per unit (8)
Variable selling cost per unit (1)
Contribution per unit 7

70,000 units 80,000 units 90,000 units


₦ ₦ ₦
70,000  ₦7 per unit 490,000
80,000  ₦7 per unit 560,000
90,000  ₦7 per unit 630,000
Fixed costs (500,000) (500,000) (500,000)
Profit/(loss) (10,000) 60,000 130,000

C/S (Contribution/Sales) ratio


The sales revenue in each case could be calculated by dividing the total
contribution for a given level of activity by the C/S ratio.

Formula: C/S ratio (contribution to sales ratio)


Contribution per unit
Selling price per unit

Example: C/S ratio


Contribution to sales ratio:
Contribution per unit/Selling price per unit = 7/16 = 0.4375

70,000 units 80,000 units 90,000 units


₦ ₦ ₦
Contribution (₦7/unit) 490,000 560,000 630,000
C/S ratio ÷0.4375 ÷0.4375 ÷0.4375
Sales revenue 1,120,000 1,280,000 1,440,000

Notes
This may seem a little pointless here as the sales figures were obtained more
easily in the first place by multiplying the numbers of units sold by the selling
price per unit.
However, we have taken this opportunity to demonstrate this relationship.

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Performance management

2 BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Break-even analysis
 Calculating the break-even point
 Margin of safety
 Target profit

2.1 Break-even analysis


CVP analysis can be used to calculate a break-even point for sales.
Break-even point is the volume of sales required in a period (such as the
financial year) to ‘break even’ and make neither a profit nor a loss. At the break-
even point, profit is 0.
Management might want to know what the break-even point is in order to:
 identify the minimum volume of sales that must be achieved in order to
avoid a loss, or
 assess the amount of risk in the budget, by comparing the budgeted
volume of sales with the break-even volume.

2.2 Calculating the break-even point


The break-even point can be calculated using simple CVP analysis.
At the break-even point, the profit is ₦0. If the profit is ₦0, total contribution is
exactly equal to total fixed costs.
We therefore need to establish the volume of sales at which fixed costs and total
contribution are the same amount.

Two methods of calculating the break-even point


There are a number of methods of calculating the break-even point when the
total fixed costs for the period are known:
Method 1: Break-even point expressed as a number of units.
The first method is to calculate the break-even point using the contribution per
unit. This method can be used where a company makes and sells just one
product.

Formula: Break-even point expressed as a number of units


Total fixed costs
Break-even point in sales units =
Contribution per unit

Total fixed costs are the same as the total contribution required to break even,
and the break-even point can therefore be calculated by dividing the total
contribution required (total fixed costs) by the contribution per unit.
Remember to include any variable selling and distribution costs in the calculation
of the variable cost per unit and contribution per unit.

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Once the break-even point is calculated as a number of units it is easy to express


it in terms of revenue by multiplying the number of units by the selling price per
item.

Example: Break-even point as number of units


A company makes a single product that has a variable cost of sales of ₦12 and a
selling price of ₦20 per unit. Budgeted fixed costs are ₦600,000.
What volume of sales is required to break even?
Method 1
Total fixed costs
Break-even point in sales units =
Contribution per unit

Contribution per unit = ₦20 – ₦12 = ₦8.


Therefore break-even point:
₦600,000
In units: /₦8 per unit = 75,000 units of sales.
In sales revenue: 75,000 units × ₦20 per unit = ₦1,500,000 of sales.

Method 2: Break-even point expressed in sales revenue


The second method calculates the break-even point in sales revenue.

Formula: Break-even point expressed in sales revenue


Fixed costs
Break-even point in revenue =
Contribution to sales ratio

Once the break-even point is calculated as an amount of revenue it is easy to


express it as a number of units by dividing the revenue by the selling price per
item.

Example: Break-even point as revenue


A company makes a single product that has a variable cost of sales of ₦12 and a
selling price of ₦20 per unit. Budgeted fixed costs are ₦600,000.
What volume of sales is required to break even?
Method 2
Total fixed costs
Break-even point in revenue =
C/S ratio

C/S ratio = ₦8/₦20 = 40%


Therefore break-even point:

In sales revenue = 600,000/0.40 = ₦1,500,000 in sales revenue.
In units = ₦1,500,000 ÷ ₦20 (sales price per unit) = 75,000 units.

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Performance management

2.3 Margin of safety


The margin of safety is the difference between:
 the budgeted sales (in units or ₦) and
 the break-even amount of sales (in units or ₦).
It is usually expressed as a percentage of the budgeted sales. However, it may
also be measured as:
 a quantity of units (= the difference between the budgeted sales volume in
units and the break-even sales volume), or
 an amount of sales revenue (= the difference between the budgeted sales
revenue and the total sales revenue required to break even).
It is called the margin of safety because it is the maximum amount by which
actual sales can be lower than budgeted sales without incurring a loss for the
period. A high margin of safety therefore indicates a low risk of making a loss.

Example:
A company budgets to sell 25,000 units of its product. This has a selling price of
₦16 and a variable cost of ₦4. Fixed costs for the period are expected to be
₦240,000.
The break-even point = ₦240,000/(₦16 – 4) = 20,000 units.
The budgeted sales are 25,000 units.
Margin of safety = Budgeted sales – break-even sales
= 25,000 – 20,000 = 5,000 units

The margin of safety is often expressed as a percentage of budgeted sales.

Formula: Margin of safety ratio


Margin of safety (units)
Margin of safety ratio =
Budgeted sales (units)

Margin of safety (revenue)


Margin of safety ratio =
Budgeted revenue

Example: Margin of safety ratio


Returning to the previous example where the margin of safety was 5,000 units
and budgeted sales were 25,000 units.

Margin of safety ratio 5,000 units/25,000 units =20% of budgeted sales


This means that sales volume could be up to 20% below budget, and the
company should still expect to make a profit.

© Emile Woolf International 480 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

2.4 Target profit


Management might want to know what the volume of sales must be in order to
achieve a target profit. CVP analysis can be used to calculate the volume of
sales required.
The volume of sales required must be sufficient to earn a total contribution that
covers the fixed costs and makes the target amount of profit. In other words the
contribution needed to earn the target profit is the target profit plus the fixed
costs.
The sales volume that is necessary to achieve this is calculated by dividing the
target profit plus fixed costs by the contribution per unit in the usual way.

Formula: Target volume expressed in units


Total fixed costs + target profit
Target volume (units) =
Contribution per unit

Once the target volume is calculated as a number of units it is easy to express it


in terms of revenue by multiplying the number of units by the selling price per
item.
Similarly the sales revenue that would achieve the target profit is calculated by
dividing the target profit plus fixed costs by the C/S ratio.

Formula: Target volume expressed in sales revenue


Total fixed costs + target profit
Target volume in revenue =
Contribution to sales ratio

Once the target volume is calculated as an amount of revenue it is easy to


express it as a number of units by dividing the revenue by the selling price per
item.

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Performance management

Example:
A company makes and sells a product that has a variable cost of ₦5 per unit and
sells for ₦9 per unit.
Budgeted fixed costs are ₦600,000 for the year, and the company wishes to
make a profit of at least ₦100,000.

The sales volume required to achieve the target profit can be found as follows:
The total contribution must cover fixed costs and make the target profit.

Fixed costs 600,000
Target profit 100,000
Total contribution required 700,000

Contribution per unit = ₦9 – ₦5 = ₦4.


Sales volume required to make a profit of ₦100,000:
₦700,000
/₦4 per unit = 175,000 units.
Therefore the sales revenue required to achieve target profit
175,000 units × ₦9 = ₦1,575,000

Alternatively:
C/S ratio = 4/9
Sales revenue required to make a profit of ₦100,000
= ₦700,000  (4/9) = ₦1,575,000.
Therefore the number of units required to achieve target profit
₦1,575,000 ÷ ₦9 = 175,000 units

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Practice questions 1
1 A company makes a single product that it sells at ₦80 per unit. The
total fixed costs are ₦360,000 for the period and the
contribution/sales ratio is 60%. Budgeted production and sales for the
period is 8,000 units.
Required
Calculate the margin of safety for the period, as a percentage of the
budgeted sales.
2 A company makes and sells a single product. The following data
relates to the current year’s budget.
Sales and production (units): 8,000
Variable cost per unit: ₦20
Fixed cost per unit: ₦25
Contribution/sales ratio: 60%
The selling price next year will be 6% higher than the price in the
current year budget and the variable cost per unit will be 5% higher
than in the current year budget. Budgeted fixed costs next year will be
10% higher than budgeted fixed costs in the current year.
Required
(a) For the current year, calculate:
(i) the budgeted contribution per unit
(ii) the budgeted total profit
(b) For next year, calculate the number of units that will have to be
sold in order to achieve a total profit that is equal to the
budgeted profit in the current year.
3 (a) Entity D makes a single product which it sells for ₦10 per unit.
Fixed costs are ₦48,000 each month and the product has a
contribution/sales ratio of 40%.
Required
If budgeted sales for the month are ₦140,000, what is the
margin of safety in units?
(b) Entity E has monthly sales of ₦128,000, but at this level of sales,
its monthly profit is only ₦2,000 and its margin of safety is
6.25%.
Required
Calculate:
(i) the monthly fixed costs
(ii) the level of monthly sales needed to increase the monthly
profit to ₦5,000.

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Performance management

3 BREAK-EVEN CHARTS AND PROFIT-VOLUME CHARTS

Section overview

 Break-even charts
 Profit/volume chart (P/V chart)

3.1 Break-even chart


A break-even chart is a chart or graph showing, for all volumes of output and
sales:
 total costs, analysed between variable costs and fixed costs
 sales
 profit (the difference between total sales and total costs)
 the break-even point (where total costs = total sales revenue, and profit =
zero).
The concept of a break-even chart is similar to a cost behaviour chart, but with
sales revenue shown as well.
If the chart also indicates the budgeted volume of sales, the margin of safety can
be shown as the difference between the budgeted volume and the break-even
volume of sales.
Two examples of break-even charts are shown below. The only difference
between them is the way in which variable costs and fixed costs are shown.
 In the first diagram, variable costs are shown on top of fixed costs. Fixed
costs are represented by the horizontal line of dashes. Fixed costs are the
same amount at all volumes of sales. Variable costs are shown on top of
fixed costs, rising in a straight line from sales of ₦0. Total costs are shown
as the sum of fixed costs and variable costs.
 In the second diagram (a more unusual presentation), fixed costs are
shown on top of variable costs. An advantage of this method of
presentation is that total contribution is shown. This is the difference
between the total sales line and the total variable costs line.
 Total costs are exactly the same in both diagrams.
Because the sales price per unit is constant, the total sales revenue line rises in a
straight line from the origin of the graph (i.e. from x = 0, y = 0).

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

First break-even chart: variable costs on top of fixed costs

Illustration:

Second break-even chart: fixed costs on top of variable costs

Illustration:

Points to note
You should be able to identify the following points on these charts.
 The break-even point is shown on both charts as the volume of sales at
which total revenue equals total costs.
 In the second chart, total contribution at the break-even point is shown as
exactly equal to fixed costs.
 If budgeted sales are shown on the chart, the margin of safety can also be
show, as the difference between budgeted sales and the break-even point.

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Performance management

3.2 Profit/volume chart (P/V chart)


A profit volume chart (or P/V chart) is an alternative to a break-even chart for
presenting CVP information. It is a chart that shows the profit or loss at all levels
of output and sales.
An example is shown below.

Illustration:

At ₦0 sales, there is a loss equal to the total amount of fixed costs. The loss
becomes smaller as sales volume increases, due to the higher contribution as
sales volume increases. Break-even point is then reached and profits are made
at sales volumes above the break-even point.
We could draw a line on the graph to show fixed costs. This line should be drawn
parallel to the x axis, starting at the loss (= total fixed costs) at ₦0 sales. By
drawing this line for fixed costs, total contribution would be shown as the
difference between the line showing the profit (or loss) and the line for the fixed
costs.

© Emile Woolf International 486 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Practice question 2
You are a management accountant for a business that develops specialist
computers. You are consulted to investigate the viability of marketing a new
type of hand-held computer.
With the help of the manager of research and development, the production
manager, the buyer and the sales manager, you have made the following
estimates of annual sales and profitability:
Sales Profit/(loss)
units ₦
12,000 (30,000)
15,000 150,000
18,000 330,000
The selling price will be ₦150.
Required
(a) Prepare a traditional break-even chart using the information
given above.
(b) Calculate the margin of safety if annual sales are expected to be
15,000 units.

© Emile Woolf International 487 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 MULTI-PRODUCT CVP ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Introduction to multi-product break-even analysis


 Multi-product break-even analysis – weighted average unit approach
 Multi-product break-even analysis – Batch approach
 Margin of safety
 Target profit
 Multi-product break-even charts

4.1 Introduction to multi-product break-even analysis


So far we have assumed that the company is making and selling a single
product. The techniques can be extended to multi-product situations. However, in
order to do this we need to make a further assumption (which might seem very
unrealistic).
This assumption is that products are sold in a set ratio which does not change
with volume. This assumption allows us to tackle similar problems to those dealt
with above in one of two ways. We could either use:
 weighted average contribution per unit and weighted average C/S ratio per
unit; or
 contribution per batch and weighted average C/S ratio for the batch
(assuming that goods are sold in the budgeted sales mix).
Note that there will be a single weighted average C/S ratio whether it is
calculated using average units or from a batch.
Problems will be solved using each of these in turn.

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

4.2 Multi-product break-even analysis – weighted average unit approach

Weighted average contribution per unit

Example: Multi-product break-even using weighted average contribution per unit


The following budget information refers to the two products of a company.
X Y
Sales price per unit 100 120
Variable cost per unit (75) (111)
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales volume 15,000 5,000
Sales mix 3 1
Fixed costs 315,000

The number of units at which the company will break even using the average
contribution per unit is calculated as follows:
₦ ₦ ₦
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales mix 15,000 5,000
Contribution 375,000 45,000 420,000

Therefore, the weighted average contribution per unit is:


₦420,000/20,000 units = ₦21 per unit
Break-even as a number of units is given by:
Fixed costs/Contribution per unit = ₦315,000/₦21 = 15,000 units
These units are in the ratio of 3:1
The break-even in revenue can be found by multiplying the number of units above
(15,000) by the weighted average revenue as follows:
₦ ₦ ₦
Revenue per unit 100 120
Sales mix 15,000 5,000
Revenue 1,500,000 600,000 2,100,000

Therefore, the weighted average revenue per unit is:


₦2,100,000/20,000 units = ₦105 per unit
The break-even revenue is therefore 15,000 units  ₦105 = ₦1,575,000

The break-even sales volume of 15,000 units and the break-even revenue of
₦1,575,000 are totals for X and Y together. The next step is to work out the
numbers for X and Y individually.
The 15,000 units are made up of units of X and Y in the ratio of 3 to 1. The ratio
can be used to pro-rate the total to find the number of units of X and the number
of units of Y sold at the break-even point.

© Emile Woolf International 489 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The selling price for X and for Y can then be applied to these figures to arrive at
the revenue from selling X and the revenue from selling Y.

Example (continued): Multi-product break-even using weighted average


contribution per unit
Following on from the above:
The calculations of the sales volume of X and Y and the revenue from those sales
are calculated as follows:
Units
Units X (3 of 4) Y (1 of 4)
Break-even 15,000 11,250 3,750
Revenue per unit ₦100 ₦120
Revenue ₦1,125,000 ₦450,000 = ₦1,575,000

Weighted average C/S ratio

Example: Multi-product break-even using weighted average C/S ratio


The weighted average C/S ratio can be calculated as follows:
Total contribution ₦ ₦ ₦
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales mix 15,000 5,000
Contribution 375,000 45,000 420,000

Total revenue ₦ ₦ ₦
Revenue per unit 100 120
Sales mix 15,000 5,000
Revenue 1,500,000 600,000 2,100,000

Weighted average C/S ratio


₦420,000/₦2,100,000 0.20
Break-even in revenue is given by
Fixed costs/CS ratio = ₦315,000/0.20 = ₦1,575,000

The break-even revenue of ₦1,575,000 is the total for X and Y together. The next
step is to work out the numbers for X and Y individually.
The total budgeted revenue of 2,100,000 (see the workings above) is made up of
revenue from X of 1,500,000 and revenue from Y of 600,000. The same ratios
are assumed to apply to all sales volumes. Therefore, the break-even revenue
can be prorated on this basis to find the revenue from X and the revenue from Y
at the break-even point. These figures can then be divided by the budgeted
revenue for each to calculate the number of units of each sold at break-even.
The selling price for X and for Y can then be applied to these figures to arrive at
the revenue from selling X and the revenue from selling Y.

© Emile Woolf International 490 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Example (continued): Multi-product break-even using weighted average C/S ratio


Following on from the above:
The calculations of the revenue from sales of X and Y and the number of units
sold to achieve these revenue figures are calculated as follows:
Units
Revenue X (1,500/2,100) Y (600/2,100)
Break-even ₦1,575,000 ₦1,125,000 ₦450,000
Revenue per unit ÷ ₦100 ÷ ₦120
Units 11,250 3,750 15,000

4.3 Multi-product break-even analysis – Batch approach

Contribution per batch


This approach uses the contribution from a batch of items to calculate the
number of batches that must be sold in order to break-even. Once this is known
the budgeted sales mix can be applied to provide information at the unit level.

Formula: Break-even point for batches


Total fixed costs
Break-even point in batches =
Contribution per batch

Total fixed costs


Break-even point in revenue =
CS ratio for the batch

© Emile Woolf International 491 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Multi-product break-even using contribution per batch


The following budget information refers to the two products of a company.
X Y
Sales price per unit 100 120
Variable cost per unit (75) (111)
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales volume 15,000 5,000
Sales mix 3 1
Fixed costs 315,000
--
The number of units at which the company will break even using the average
contribution per batch is calculated as follows:
Batch ₦ ₦ ₦
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales mix 3 1
Contribution (single batch) 75 9 84

Therefore, the contribution from selling a single batch is ₦84.


Break-even as a number of batches is given by:
Fixed costs/Contribution per batch = ₦315,000/₦84 = 3,750 batches
The break-even in revenue can be found by using the weighted average revenue
per batch.
₦ ₦ ₦
Revenue per unit 100 120
Sales mix 3 1
Revenue (single batch) 300 120 420

Therefore, the revenue from selling a single batch is ₦420.


The break-even revenue is therefore 3,750 batches  ₦420 = ₦1,575,000

The next step is to identify the number of units of X and Y in 3,750 batches and
how much revenue is generated by each.

© Emile Woolf International 492 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Example (continued): Multi-product break-even using contribution per batch


Following on from the above:
The calculations of the number of units of X and Y in 3,750 batches and the
revenue from selling each are as follows:
Units
Batches X (3 per Y (1 per
batch) batch)
Break-even 3,750 11,250 3,750
Revenue per unit ₦100 ₦120
Revenue 1,125,000 450,000 = 1,575,000

Alternatively, the break-even in revenue for X and Y can be found by using the
weighted average revenue per batch and these figures could be divided by the
revenue per unit to arrive at the numbers of units.
Total X (300/420) Y (120/420)
Break-even revenue ₦1,575,000 ₦1,125,000 ₦450,000
Revenue per unit ÷₦100 ÷₦120
Number of units 11,250 3,750

© Emile Woolf International 493 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

C/S ratio using a batch

Example:
The following budget information refers to the two products of a company:

X Y
Sales price per unit 100 120
Variable cost per unit (75) (111)
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales volume 15,000 5,000
Sales mix 3 1
Fixed costs 315,000

The break-even revenue using the average C/S ratio for the batch can be
calculated as follows:
₦ ₦ ₦
Sales price per unit 100 120
Sales mix 3 1
Revenue (single batch) 300 120 420
Contribution per unit 25 9
Sales mix 3 1
Contribution (single batch) 75 9 84

Weighted average CS ratio: ₦84/₦420 = 0.20 (Note that ₦300 out of every
₦420 will be revenue from selling X and ₦120 from selling Y).

Break-even in revenue is given by


Fixed costs/CS ratio = ₦315,000/0.20 = ₦1,575,000
Units
Revenue X (300/420) Y (120/420)
Break-even ₦1,575,000 ₦1,125,000 ₦450,000
Revenue per unit ÷ ₦100 ÷ ₦120
Units 11,250 3,750 15,000

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Practice question 3
X Ltd has budgeted fixed overheads of ₦6,000,000 for the next period.
X Ltd is preparing a budget to sell three products.
P Q R Total
Sales volumes (units) 10,000 6,000 4,000 20,000
Sales mix ratio 10 6 4
Sales mix as % 50% 30% 20%
Sales price per unit (₦) 250 400 1600
Budgeted revenue (₦) 2,500,000 2,400,000 6,400,000 11,300,000
Contribution per unit (₦) 150 250 800
Budgeted total
contribution (₦) 1,500,000 1,500,000 3,200,000 6,200,000

Calculate the number of units that X Ltd must sell in order to break even and
calculate the total revenue at that point.
Calculate the number of units of each item sold at break-even and the resulting
revenue from each.

4.4 Margin of safety


The margin of safety is calculated in the same way as for single products by
comparing the budgeted activity level to the break-even. The break-even point
can be compared to the budgeted activity level using batches, units or revenue.
This will be illustrated using the previous example.

Example: Margin of safety


Continued….
Margin of safety
Batches Units Revenue (₦)
Budgeted activity 5,000 20,000 2,100,0001
Break-even point 3,750 15,000 1,575,000
Margin of safety 1,250 5,000 525,000
Margin of safety as percentage
of sales 25% 25% 25%
1 Budgeted revenue = (₦100 × 15,000) + (₦120 × 5,000) = ₦2,100,000

© Emile Woolf International 495 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4.5 Target profit


The target profit is calculated in the same way as for single products. The
necessary contribution to earn the target profit is the target profit plus the fixed
costs. The activity level required to achieve the necessary contribution may be
found using contribution per unit, contribution per batch or the CS ratio.
This will be illustrated using the previous example.

Example: target profit


Continued….
The company wishes to make a profit of ₦189,000 on a fixed cost base of
₦315,000
Average contribution per batch = ₦84
Average contribution per unit = ₦21
Weighted average CS ratio = 0.20
Target profit
Batches Units Revenue
Target profit
(₦189,000 + ₦315,000) ₦504,000 ₦504,000 ₦504,000
Contribution per batch ₦84
Contribution per unit ₦21
C/S ratio ÷0.20
6,000 24,000 ₦2,520,000
Sales (units) of X
3 in each batch; or 18,000
3 out of 4 units 18,000
Sales (units) of Y
1 in each batch; or 6,000
1 out of 4 units 6,000

Proof of revenue X Y
Units to be sold 18,000 6,000
Selling price per unit 100 120
Revenue 1,800,000 720,000 ₦2,520,000

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

4.6 Multi-product break-even charts


A break-even chart can be drawn for a company selling more than one product.
Such charts are usually drawn as a profit–volume graph.
The graph usually contains a plot of two lines:
 One line is based on the assumption that the most profitable good is sold
first then the second most profitable and so on. This is a bow shaped line.
 The second line is based on the assumption that goods are sold in the
budgeted mix. This is a straight line. Break-even is where this line crosses
the horizontal axis.
The following steps must be taken in order to draw the graph:
Step 1: Calculate the C/S ratio of each product being sold.
Step 2: Rank the products in order of profitability.
Step 3: Draw a table showing the following:
Product (in Revenue
order of (from sales in Cumulative Cumulative
profitability) this order) revenue Contribution profit/(loss)
nil nil nil (fixed cost)
A X X X X
B X X X X
C X X X X

Step 4: Construct the graph as a plot of cumulative revenue against cumulative


profit/(loss).

© Emile Woolf International 497 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Multi-product break-even chart


The following budget information refers to the two products of a company.
X Y
Sales volume 15,000 5,000
Sales price per unit 100 120
Revenue 1,500,000 600,000
Contribution per unit 25 9
Contribution 375,000 45,000
Fixed costs 315,000
A profit volume chart to show the break-even point can be constructed as follows:
Step 1: C/S ratio ₦ ₦
Sales price per unit 100 120
Contribution per unit 25 9
C/S ratio 0.25 0.075
Step 2: Ranking 1 2
Step 3: Profit volume chart

Product Revenue Cumulative Contribution Cumulative


revenue profit or loss
(315,000)
X 1,500,000 1,500,000 375,000 60,000
Y 600,000 2,100,000 45,000 105,000

This information can be plotted as follows:

© Emile Woolf International 498 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

5 IMPORTANCE AND WEAKNESSES OF CVP ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Introduction to multi-product break-even analysis


 Multi-product break-even analysis – weighted average unit approach
 Multi-product break-even analysis – Batch approach
 Margin of safety
 Target profit
 Multi-product break-even charts

5.1 Importance of CVP analysis


The profit made by an organisation is a function of sales volume, selling price,
variable cost per unit and fixed costs.
CVP analysis provides a valuable insight into the relationship between costs,
revenues and profit at various levels of activity. This can focus attention on those
factors which might be controllable and which might have an impact on profit.
It allows a manager to understand the profit impact of decisions under
consideration. For example, a manager could use the model to understand the
profit impact of dropping selling price in order to try to increase sales volume
(subject, of course, to the availability of information on the relationship between
price and volume). Thus, CVP analysis can provide important information for:
 sales strategies;
 cost control; and
 decision making.
It allows managers to understand the minimum number of items that need to be
sold (given the information about sales price and costs) in order to generate
profit. This can be very useful when launching new products.
CVP analysis provides a focus on the effects of differing levels of activity on the
financial results of a business. Production costs are often known with a degree of
accuracy but sales volume is much more difficult to predict. It is relatively straight
forward for managers to flex the model to show the possible impact of different
sales volumes in the future.

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Performance management

5.2 Weaknesses of CVP analysis


CVP analysis rests on a series of simplifying assumptions. These assumptions
are a weakness of the technique to the extent that they may not hold true in
reality.

Assumptions Comment
Costs are either fixed or variable and It can be difficult to classify costs as
can be identified. either fixed or variable. Some costs
are semi-variable in nature.
The variable cost per unit is constant This might be true over a given range
at all levels of output but the analysis might provide
answers outside the range. For
example, the management might be
confident of the variable cost per unit
up to 10,000 units per annum but a
target profit might require production
of 15,000 units thus undermining the
analysis.
Variable cost per unit might be
affected by the level of activity. For
example, if a factory is operating near
capacity it might be necessary to pay
workers an overtime premium to fulfil
new orders.
On the other hand, the assumption
ignores the possibility of possible
economies of scale at higher levels of
activity.
Total fixed costs are constant at all This might be true over a given range
levels of output. but the analysis might provide
answers outside the range.
This ignores the possibility of possible
economies of scale at higher levels of
activity.
The sales price per unit is constant for Sales price is often adjusted to take
every unit of product sold. account of market conditions. This
would undermine decisions taken on
the basis of the original analysis.
Companies make and sell a single Neither of these assumptions would
product or several products in hold out in practice.
constant ratios to each other.

Furthermore, CVP analysis ignores the uncertainty inherent in the estimates of


costs and revenues.

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Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

6 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve break-even

 Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve break-even


 Calculate the margin of safety associated with a given level of production in terms
of the number of units sold or revenue
 Calculate the number of units that must be sold to achieve a target profit
 Calculate the revenue that must be earned to achieve a target profit

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Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
1 Contribution per unit = 60% × ₦80 = ₦48
Fixed costs = ₦360,000
Break-even point = ₦360,000/₦48 per unit = 7,500 units
Budgeted sales = 8,000 units
Margin of safety = (8,000 – 7,500) units = 500 units
As a percentage of budgeted sales, the margin of safety is (500/8,000) ×
100% = 6.25%.

2 (a) Contribution/sales ratio = 60%


Therefore variable costs/sales ratio = 40%.
Variable cost per unit = ₦20
Therefore sales price per unit = ₦20/0.40 = ₦50.
Contribution per unit = ₦50 – ₦20 = ₦30.

Budgeted contribution (8,000 × ₦30) 240,000
Budgeted fixed costs (8,000 × ₦25) 200,000
Budgeted profit, current year 40,000

(b) Sales price next year = ₦50 × 1.06 = ₦53 per unit
Variable cost per unit next year = ₦20 × 1.05 = ₦21
Therefore contribution per unit next year = ₦53 – ₦21 = ₦32

Target profit next year 40,000
Fixed costs next year (200,000 × 1.10) 220,000
Target contribution for same profit as in the current year 260,000
Therefore target sales next year = ₦260,000/₦32 per unit = 8,125 units.

© Emile Woolf International 502 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Solutions 1
3 (a) Break-even point = ₦48,000/0.40 = ₦120,000 (sales revenue).
Margin of safety (in sales revenue) = ₦140,000 – ₦120,000 =
₦20,000.
Selling price per unit = ₦10.
Margin of safety (in units) = ₦20,000/₦10 = 2,000 units.
(b) (i) The margin of safety is 6.25%. Therefore the break-even volume
of sales = 93.75% of budgeted sales = 0.9375 × ₦128,000 =
₦120,000
Budget Break-even
₦ ₦
Sales 128,000 120,000
Profit 2,000 0
Total costs 126,000 120,000
This gives us the information to calculate fixed and variable
costs, using high/low analysis.
₦ ₦ Cost
Revenue
High: Total cost at 128,000 = 126,000
Low: Total cost at 120,000 = 120,000
Difference: Variable cost of 8,000 = 6,000
Therefore variable costs = ₦6,000/₦8,000 = 0.75 or 75% of
sales revenue.
Substitute in high or low equation Cost

Total cost at ₦128,000 revenue 126,000
Variable cost at ₦128,000 revenue (× 0.75) 96,000
Therefore fixed costs 30,000

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Performance management

Solution 1
Alternative approach
3 (ii) At sales of ₦128,000, profit is ₦2,000.
The contribution/sales ratio = 100% – 75% = 25% or 0.25.
To increase profit by ₦3,000 to ₦5,000 each month, the increase
in sales must be:
(Increase in profit and contribution) ÷ C/S ratio
= ₦3,000/0.25 = ₦12,000.
Sales must increase from ₦128,000 (by ₦12,000) to ₦140,000
each month.

Alternative approach to the answer



Target profit 5,000
Fixed costs 30,000
Target contribution 35,000

C/S ratio 0.25


Therefore sales required (₦35,000/0.25) ₦140,000

© Emile Woolf International 504 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 14: Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis

Solutions 2
(a)

Workings
Sales
Sales (at ₦150) Profit
units ₦ ₦
18,000 2,700,000 330,000
12,000 1,800,000 (30,000)
Difference 6,000 900,000 360,000

An increase in sales from 12,000 units to 18,000 units results in an increase


of ₦900,000 in revenue and ₦360,000 in contribution and profit.
From this, we can calculate that the contribution is ₦60 per unit
(₦360,000/6,000) and the C/S ratio is 0.40 (₦360,000/₦900,000).
Variable costs are therefore 0.6 or 60% of sales.
To draw a break-even chart, we need to know the fixed costs.
Substitute in high or low equation
When sales are 18,000 units: ₦
Sales (at ₦150 each) 2,700,000
Variable cost (sales  60%) 1,620,000
Contribution (sales  40%) 1,080,000
Profit 330,000
Therefore fixed costs 750,000

When sales are 18,000 units: ₦


Fixed costs 750,000
Variable cost (see above) 1,620,000
Total costs 2,370,000

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Performance management

Solution (continued) 2
(b) Break-even point = Fixed costs ÷ C/S ratio
= ₦750,000/0.40 = ₦1,875,000
Break-even point in units = ₦1,875,000/₦150 per unit = 12,500 units.
If budgeted sales are 15,000 units, the margin of safety is 2,500 units
(15,000 – 12,500).
This is 1/6 or 16.7% of the budgeted sales volume.

Solutions 3
The weighted average contribution per unit is:
₦6,200,000/20,000 units = ₦310 per unit
Break-even as a number of units is given by:
Fixed costs/Contribution per unit = ₦6,000,000/₦310 = 19,355 units
These units are in the ratio of 10:6:4 (or 50%: 30% 20%)
Therefore, the weighted average revenue per unit is:
₦11,300,000/20,000 units = ₦565 per unit
The break-even revenue is therefore 19,354.84 units  ₦565 = ₦10,935,485
The calculations of the sales volume of P, Q and R and the revenue from those sales can
be calculated as follows:
Units P (50%) Q (30%) R (20%)
Break-even 19,355 9,677.5 5,806.5 3871
Revenue per unit ₦250 ₦400 ₦1,600
Revenue ₦2,419,355 ₦2,322,581 ₦6,193,549
Total revenue ₦10,935,485

© Emile Woolf International 506 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


15
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Limiting factors

Contents
1 Costs for decision making
2 Limiting factor decisions
3 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 507 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
d Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
i Single constraint situation including make or buy

Exam context
This chapter explains the concept of limiting factors, how to identify them and how to
formulate an optimum production plan when there is a single limiting factor.
Problems involving more than one limiting factors are solved using linear programming. This
is covered in the next chapter.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the issue of limiting factors
 Identify limiting factors
 Carry out limiting factor analysis to formulate an optimal production plan (i.e. the
production plan that maximises contribution and hence profit) in circumstances where
there is a single limiting factor

© Emile Woolf International 508 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 15: Limiting factors

1 COSTS FOR DECISION MAKING

Section overview

 Management information for making decisions


 Using marginal costing for decision-making

1.1 Management information for making decisions


One of the functions of management is to make decisions about how to run the
business. Decisions involve making a choice about what should be done,
between different possible options. To help them make good-quality decisions,
managers need reliable and relevant information.
Both financial and non-financial information is needed to make decisions. This
chapter (and the chapters that follow) concentrate mainly on financial information
for decision-making, but it is useful to remember that factors of a non-financial
nature will often influence the choices that managers make.
Since it is often assumed that the aim of a business should be to maximise
profits, financial information to assist managers with decision-making will consist
mainly of information about revenues and costs.
Information for decision-making is different from information about historical
costs. This is because decisions are concerned with the future, not what has
happened in the past.
The following principles of relevant costs and revenues should be applied to all
decision-making by management.
 Information about costs and revenues should be about future costs and
future revenues.
 Decisions should be concerned with cash and cash flow. Only those costs
and revenues that represent cash flow are relevant to decision-making.
Non-cash items of cost or revenue, such as depreciation or absorbed fixed
overheads, are not relevant for decision-making. The conventions of
financial accounting and financial reporting, such as the accruals concept,
are irrelevant for business decisions.
 It is assumed for the purpose of providing cost information for decision-
making that the aim or objective is to maximise profit.
 Historical costs are irrelevant for decision-making, because they are not
future costs. Costs that have been incurred in the past are ‘sunk costs’:
they have already happened, and any decision taken now cannot affect
what has already happened in the past.
A useful definition of relevant costs and revenues is as follows:

Definition
Relevant costs and revenues are future cash flows that would arise as a direct
consequence of a decision being taken.

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Performance management

1.2 Using marginal costing for decision-making


It is often assumed that marginal costs are relevant costs for the purpose of
decision-making.
 The marginal cost of a product is the extra cost that would be incurred by
making and selling one extra unit of the product.
 Similarly, the marginal cost of an extra hour of direct labour work is the
additional cost that would be incurred if a direct labour employee worked
one extra hour. When direct labour is a variable cost, paid by the hour, the
marginal cost is the variable cost of the direct labour wages plus any
variable overhead cost related to direct labour hours.
This chapter focuses on decision-making when there are limiting factors that
restrict operational capabilities. Decision-making techniques for limiting factor
situations are based on the following assumptions:
 The objective is to maximise profit and this is achieved by maximising
contribution;
 marginal costs (variable costs) are the only relevant costs to consider in the
model: and
 fixed costs will be the same whatever decision is taken; therefore fixed
costs are not relevant to the decision.

© Emile Woolf International 510 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 15: Limiting factors

2 LIMITING FACTOR DECISIONS

Section overview

 Limiting factor: the issue


 Identifying limiting factors
 Maximising profit when there is a single limiting factor

2.1 Limiting factor: the issue


It is often assumed in budgeting that a company can produce as many units of its
products (or services) as is necessary to meet the available sales demand. Sales
demand is therefore normally the factor that sets a limit on the volume of
production and sales in each period.
Sometimes, however, there could be a shortage of a key production resource,
such as an item of direct materials, or skilled labour, or machine capacity. In
these circumstances, the factor setting a limit to the volume of sales and profit in
a particular period is the availability of the scarce resource, because sales are
restricted by the amount that the company can produce.

Definition: Limiting factor


This is the item that restricts or constraints the production or sale of a product or
service.

If the company makes just one product and a production resource is in limited
supply, profit is maximised by making as many units of the product as possible
with the limited resources available.
However, when a company makes and sells more than one different product with
the same scarce resource, a budgeting problem is to decide how many of each
different product to make and sell in order to maximise profits.

2.2 Identifying limiting factors


A question might tell you that there is a restricted supply of a resource without
telling you which one it is.
In this case you must identify the limiting factor by calculating the budgeted
availability of each resource and the amount of the resource that is needed to
meet the available sales demand.

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Performance management

Example: Identifying a limiting factor


A company manufactures and sells two products, Product X and Product Y which
are both manufactured using two different machines.
The time taken to make each product together with the maximum machine time
availability and contribution per unit and demands are as follows:
Hours
Product X Y available
Machine type 1 10 minutes 6 minutes per 3,000 hours
per unit unit
(6 per hour) (10 per hour)
Machine type 2 5 minutes per 12 minutes 4,200 hours
unit per unit
(12 per hour) (5 per hour)
Sales demand in units 12,000 15,000

Which machine is the limiting factor is identified by calculating the time


needed to meet the total demands for both goods and comparing that to
the machine time available:
Machine type 1 Machine type 2
(hours) (hours)
12,000 ÷ 6 per hour 2,000
12,000 ÷ 12 per hour 1,000

Making 15,000 units of Y would use:


15,000 ÷ 10 per hour 1,500
15,000 ÷ 5 per hour 3,000
Total hours needed to meet
maximum demand 3,500 4,000
Total hours available 3,000 4,200

Therefore, machine 1 time is the limiting factor

© Emile Woolf International 512 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 15: Limiting factors

2.3 Maximising profit when there is a single limiting factor


When there is just one limiting factor (other than sales demand), total profit will
be maximised in a period by maximising the total contribution earned with the
available scarce resources.
The approach is to select products for manufacture and sale according to the
contribution per unit of scarce resource in that product.
Step 1: Calculate the contribution per unit of each type of good produced.
Step 2: Identify the scarce resource.
Step 3: Calculate the amount of scarce resource used by each type of product.
Step 4: Divide the contribution earned by the scarce resource used by that
product (project or item of goods) to give the contribution per unit of scarce
resource for that product (project or item of goods).
Step 5: Rank the products (projects or items of goods) in order of the contribution
per unit of scarce resource.
Step 6: Construct a production plan based on this ranking. The planned output
and sales are decided by working down through the priority list until all the units
of the limiting factor (scarce resource) have been used.

Example: Limiting factor analysis


A company manufactures and sells two products, Product X and Product Y which
are both manufactured using two different machines.
The time taken to make each product together with the maximum machine time
availability and contribution per unit and demands are as follows:
Hours
Product X Y available
Machine type 1 10 minutes 6 minutes per 3,000 hours
per unit unit
(6 per hour) (10 per hour)
Machine type 2 5 minutes per 12 minutes 4,200 hours
unit per unit
(12 per hour) (5 per hour)
Contribution per unit ₦7 ₦5
Sales demand in units 12,000 15,000

Given that machine 1 is a limiting factor the optimal production plan


(that which maximises annual contribution and hence profit) can be
found as follows:
Step 1: Calculate the contribution per unit of goods produced (given)
Step 2: Identify scarce resource (given as machine 1 in this case)
Step 3: Calculate the amount of scarce resource used to make each type
of product (given in this case)

© Emile Woolf International 513 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example (continued): Limiting factor analysis

Step 4: Contribution per unit of scarce resource (machine time)


Product X Y
Contribution per unit ₦7 ₦5
Machine type 1 time per unit 10 minutes 6 minutes
Contribution per hour (Machine type 1) ₦42 ₦50
Step 5: Ranking 2nd 1st

The products should be made and sold in the order Y and then X, up to
the total sales demand for each product and until the available machine
1 time is used completely.

Step 6: Construct a production plan to maximise contribution


Machine 1 Contribution Total
Product Sales units hours used per unit contribution
₦ ₦
Y (1 )
st 15,000 1,500 5 75,000
(maximum)
X (2nd) 9,000 1,500 7 63,000
(balance)
3,000 138,000

Note: The plan is constructed as follows.


Y is ranked first so the company needs to make as many of these as
possible. The most in can sell is 15,000 units which would take 1,500
hours (10 per hour) to make. The company has 3,000 hours available so
all of these can be made.
The company now has 1,500 hours left. X is ranked second and the most
of X that can be sold is 12,000 units. This would use 2,000 hours (6 per
hour). This means that only 9,000 units of X can be made (found as
1,500 units at 6 per hour or 12,000 units  1,500 hours/2,000 hours).

© Emile Woolf International 514 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 15: Limiting factors

Practice question 1
A company makes four products, A, B, C and D, using the same direct
labour work force on all the products.
The company has no inventory of finished goods.
Direct labour is paid ₦12 per hour.
To meet the sales demand in full would require 12,000 hours of direct
labour time.
Only 6,000 direct labour hours are available during the year.
Budgeted data for the company is as follows:
Product A B C D
Annual sales demand
(units) 4,000 5,000 8,000 4,000
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Direct materials cost 3.0 6.0 5.0 6.0
Direct labour cost 6.0 12.0 3.0 9.0
Variable overhead 2.0 4.0 1.0 3.0
Fixed overhead 3.0 6.0 2.0 4.0
Full cost 14.0 28.0 11.0 22.0
Sales price 15.5 29.0 11.5 27.0
Profit per unit 1.5 1.0 0.5 5.0

Calculate the optimal production plan

© Emile Woolf International 515 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice question 2
A company makes four products, W, X, Y and Z, using the same direct
material in the manufacture of all the products.
Budgeted data for one month is as follows:
Product W X Y Z
Monthly sales 400 400 600 300
demand (units)
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Direct materials
cost 500 400 800 600
Direct labour cost 400 600 300 500
Variable overhead 100 150 75 125
Fixed overhead 800 1200 600 1,000
Full cost 1,800 2,350 1,775 2,225
Sales price 5,000 3,150 5,975 5,425
Profit per unit 3,200 800 4,200 3,200
Due to restricted supply, only ₦780,000 of direct materials will be
available during the month.

Identify the quantities of production and sales of each product that


would maximise monthly profit.

Tutorial note
This question does not tell you the amount of material but it does give you its
value. The analysis can proceed in the usual way using contribution per value of
material rather than contribution per amount of material.

© Emile Woolf International 516 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 15: Limiting factors

3 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the issue of limiting factors

 Identify limiting factors


 Carry out limiting factor analysis to formulate an optimal production plan (i.e. the
production plan that maximises contribution and hence profit) in circumstances
where there is a single limiting factor

© Emile Woolf International 517 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Step 1: Calculate the contribution per unit of goods produced
Product A B C D
Sales price 15.5 29.0 11.5 27.0
Direct materials cost 3.0 6.0 5.0 6.0
Direct labour cost 6.0 12.0 3.0 9.0
Variable overhead 2.0 4.0 1.0 3.0
Variable cost per unit (11.0) (22.0) (9.0) (18.0)
Contribution per unit 4.5 7.0 2.5 9.0

Step 2: Identify scarce resource (given as labour in this case)


Step 3: Labour hours per unit
(total labour cost/labour cost per hour) 6/12 12/12 3/12 9/12

0.5 1 0.25 0.75


Step 4: Contribution per hour
(contribution per unit/ labour hours per unit 4.5/0.5 7/1 2.5/0.25 9/0.75

Contribution per hour (₦) 9 7 10 12

Step 5: Ranking 3rd 4th 2nd 1st


The products should be made and sold in the order D, C, A and then B, up to
the total sales demand for each product and until all the available direct
labour hours (limiting factor resources) are used up

Step 6: Construct a production plan to maximise contribution


Direct labour Contribution Total
Product Sales units hours used per unit contribution
₦ ₦
D (1st) 4,000 3,000 9.0 36,000
(maximum)
C (2nd) 8,000 2,000 2.5 20,000
(maximum)
A (3 )
rd 2,000 1,000 4.5 9,000
(balance)
6,000 65,000

© Emile Woolf International 518 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 15: Limiting factors

Solution (continued) 1
Note: The plan is constructed as follows:
D is ranked first so the company needs to make as many of these as
possible. The most it can sell is 4,000 units which would take 3,000 hours
(0.75 hours per unit) to make. The company has 6,000 hours available so all
of these can be made.
The company now has 3,000 hours left. C is ranked second and the most of C
that can be sold is 8,000 units. This would use 2,000 hours (0.25 hours per
unit).
The company now has 1,000 hours left. A is ranked third and the most of
these that can be sold is 4,000 units. However, this would use 2,000 hours
(0.5 hours per unit) so only half of these can be made.

Solution 2
W X Y Z
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Sales price/unit 5,000 3,150 5,975 5,425
Variable cost/unit 1,000 1,150 1,175 1,225
Contribution per unit 4,000 2,000 4,800 4,200

Direct materials per unit (₦) 500 400 800 600

₦ contribution per ₦1 direct material


8.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

Priority for making and selling 1st 4th 3rd 2nd

Profit-maximising budget
Direct Contribution Total
Product materials Sales units per unit contribution
₦ ₦ ₦
W (1st) 200,000 400 4,000 1,600,000
Z (2nd) 180,000 300 4,200 1,260,000
Y (3rd) - balance 400,000 500 4,800 2,400,000
780,000 5,260,000

© Emile Woolf International 519 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


16
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Linear programming

Contents
1 Linear programming
2 Linear programming of business problems
3 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 521 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance Management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
d Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
ii Multiple constraint situations involving linear programming using
simultaneous equations, graphical techniques and simplex method. (The
simplex method is limited to formulation of initial tableau and
interpretation of final tableau).
NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also required.

Exam context
This chapter explains linear programming, a technique concerned with the use of scarce
resources among various competing activities in such a way as to maximise (or minimise)
the outcome expressed as a given objective.
Section 1 of this chapter explains linear inequalities and how they might be plotted in a
coordinate system. This is done by changing them to linear equalities by plotting them at the
maximum (or minimum) values they can achieve. Once plotted the linear inequalities define
a region in which all feasible solutions must be. Anything outside this feasible region is not
possible.
Section 2 shows how this concept can be extended into problem solving. It shows how to
identify constraints and how to plot them to establish a feasible region. It continues by
explaining several methods of establishing the optimal point on this region.
Section 3 extends linear programming into practical business problems.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the basic concepts of linear programming
 Explain the meaning of objective function and constraints in linear programming
 Formulate a linear programmes
 Solve linear programming problems to identify the optimal solution when there is more
than one constraint

© Emile Woolf International 522 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 16: Linear programming

1 LINEAR PROGRAMMING

Section overview

 Two or more limiting factors


 Formulating constraints
 Plotting constraints

1.1 Two or more limiting factors


There may be more than one scarce resource or limiting factor. When there is
more than one limiting factor (other than sales demand for the products), the
contribution-maximising plan cannot be identified simply by ranking products in
order of contribution per unit of limiting factor, because the ranking provided by
each limiting factor could be different.
The problem is still to decide what mix of products should be made and sold in
order to maximise profits. It can be formulated and solved as a linear
programming problem.
Linear programming is a mathematical method for determining a way to achieve
the best outcome (such as maximum profit or lowest cost) subject to a number of
limiting factors (constraints).
 A linear programming problem involves maximising or minimising a linear
function (the objective function) subject to linear constraints.
 Both the constraints and the “best outcome” are represented as linear
relationships.
What constitutes the best outcome depends on the objective. The equation
constructed to represent the best outcome is known as the objective function.
Typical examples would be to work out the maximum profit from making two sorts
of goods when resources needed to make the goods are limited or the minimum
cost for which two different projects are completed.

Overall approach
Formulate the problem:
 Step 1: Define variables.
 Step 2: Formulate the objective function
 Step 3: Formulate the constraints.
Solve the problem:
Step 4: Plot the constraints on a graph
Step 5: Identify the feasible region. This is an area that represents the
combinations of x and y that are possible in the light of the constraints.
Step 6: Identify the values of x and y that lead to the optimum value of the
objective function. This might be a maximum or minimum value depending on the
objective. There are different methods available to find this combination of values
of x and y.
This chapter will firstly discuss some of the above steps in a little more detail
before continuing to demonstrate their full use to solve a problem.

© Emile Woolf International 523 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance Management

1.2 Formulating constraints

Define variables
The first step in any formulation is to define variables for the outcome that you
are trying to optimise. For example, if the question is about which combination of
products will maximise profit, a variable must be defined for the number of each
type of product in the final solution.
The defined variable can then be sued to formulate the objective function and
constraints. This section is going to say a little more about the formulation of
constraints.

Construct constraints
A separate constraint must be identified for each item that might put a limitation
on the objective function.
Each constraint, like the objective function, is expressed as a formula. Each
constraint must also specify the amount of the limit or constraint.
 For a maximum limit, the constraint must be expressed as ‘must be equal
to or less than’.
 For a minimum limit, the constraint must be expressed as ‘must be equal
to or more than’.

Example: Formulate constraints – maximum demand


Type of constraint Illustration
Maximum limit: Maximum sales demand for Product X of
5,000 units
Define variables Let x be the number of Product X made.
Constraint expressed as: x ≤ 5,000

Example: Formulate constraints – Constraints with two variables


Type of constraint Illustration
Constraints with two A company makes two products, X and Y.
variables It takes 2 hours to make one unit of X and 3
hours to make one unit of Y.
Only 18,000 direct labour hours are
available.
Define variables Let x be the number of Product X made and
let y be the number of Product Y made.
Constraint expressed as: 2x + 3y ≤ 18,000

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Example: Formulate constraints – Minimum production allowed


Type of constraint Illustration
Minimum limit: There is a requirement to supply a customer
with at least 2,000 units of Product X
Define variables Let x be the number of Product X made.
Constraint expressed as: x ≥ 2,000

Example: Formulate constraints – Non-negativity


Type of constraint Illustration
Non-negativity constraints It is not possible to make a negative
number of products.
Define variables Let x be the number of Product X made and
let y be the number of Product Y made.
Constraint expressed as: x, y ≥ 0 are called positive constraints
These constraints do not have to be plotted
as they are the x and y axes of the graph

1.3 Plotting constraints


The constraints in a linear programming problem can be drawn as straight lines
on a graph, provided that there are just two variables in the problem (x and y).
One axis of the graph represents values for one of the variables, and the other
axis represents values for the second variable.
The straight line for each constraint is the boundary edge of the constraint – its
outer limit in the case of maximum amounts (and inner limit, in the case of
minimum value constraints).

Example: Constraints
Constraint Outer limit represented by the line
2x + 3y ≤ 600 2x + 3y = 600
Combinations of values of x and y beyond this line
on the graph (with higher values for x and y) will
have a value in excess of 600. These exceed the
limit of the constraint, and so cannot be feasible
for a solution to the problem

The constraint is drawn as a straight line. Two points are needed to draw a
straight line on a graph. The easiest approach to finding the points is to set x to
zero and calculate a value for y and then set y to zero and calculate a value for x.

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Performance Management

Example: Plotting a constraint


2x + 3y = 600
when x = 0, y = 200 (600/3) Joining these two points results in
when y = 0, x = 300 (600/2) a line showing the values of x and y
that are the maximum possible
combined values that meet the
requirements of the constraint

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

2 LINEAR PROGRAMMING OF BUSINESS PROBLEMS

Section overview

 Introduction
 Maximising (or minimising) the objective function
 Slope of the objective function
 Simultaneous equations
 Minimising functions

2.1 Introduction
Decisions about what mix of products should be made and sold in order to
maximise profits can be formulated and solved as linear programming problems.

Overall approach (repeated here for your convenience)


 Step 1: Define variables.
 Step 2: Formulate the objective function
 Step 3: Formulate the constraints.
Step 4: Plot the constraints on a graph
Step 5: Identify the feasible region. This is an area that represents the
combinations of x and y that are possible in the light of the constraints.
Step 6: Identify the values of x and y that lead to the optimum value of the
objective function. This might be a maximum or minimum value depending on the
objective. There are different methods available to find this combination of values
of x and y.

Example: Linear programme


A company makes and sells two products, Product X and Product Y.
The following information is relevant:
Product X Product Y
Direct labour hours per unit 6 hours 3 hours
Materials per unit 4 kgs 8 kgs

Resource availability (per hour):


Total direct labour hours available (there
being more than one worker) 36 hrs
Total material available 48 kg
In addition, the company must make at least 2 units of product X and 3
units of Product Y every hour
What combination of Product X and Product Y per hour will maximise
contribution per hour?

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Performance Management

Example continued: Linear programme


Step 1: Define the variables
Let x equal the number of units of Product X made
Let y equal the number of units of Product Y made

Step 2: Formulate the objective function


The objective is to maximise contribution given by: C = 50x + 40y

Step 3: Formulate the constraints


Constraint:
Labour hours 6x + 3y  36
Whatever value is found for x and y, the maximum
value that 6x + 3y can have is 36.
Material 4x + 8y  48
Whatever value is found for x and y, maximum
value that 4x + 8y can have is 48

Minimum production: x  2 (x must be at least 2)


y  3 (y must be at least 3)

Step 4: Plot the constraints


6x + 3y = 36 if x = 0 then y = 12 and if y = 0 then x = 6
4x + 8y = 48 if x = 0 then y = 6 and if y = 0 then x = 12

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Example: Linear programme


Step 5: Identify the feasible region
The feasible area for a solution to the problem is shown as the area ABCD.
Any combinations of values for x and y within this area can be achieved within
the limits of the constraints.
Combinations of values of x and y outside this area are not possible, given the
constraints that exist.

2.2 Maximising (or minimising) the objective function


To solve the linear programming problem, we now need to identify the feasible
combination of values for x and y (the combination of x and y within the feasible
area) that maximises the objective function.
The combination of values for x and y that maximises the objective function will
be a pair of values that lies somewhere along the outer edge of the feasible area.
The solution is a combination of values for x and y that lies at one of the ‘corners’
of the outer edge of the feasible area. In the graph above, the solution to the
problem will be the values of x and y at A, B or C. The optimal solution cannot be
at D as the objective function is maximisation and values of x and/or y are higher
than those at D for each of the other points.
The optimal combination of values of x and y can be found using one of the
following:
 corner point theorem;
 slope of the objective function: or
 simultaneous equations.
Each of these will be demonstrated in turn but the simultaneous equation
approach is by far the most commonly used.

Corner point theorem


The optimum solution lies at a corner of the feasible region. The approach
involves calculating the value of x and y at each point and then substituting those
values into the objective function to identify the optimum solution.
In the previous example, the solution has to be at points A, B, C or D.
Calculate the values of x and y at each of these points, using simultaneous
equations if necessary to calculate the x and y values. Having established the
values of x and y at each of the points, calculate the value of the objective
function for each.
The solution is the combination of values for x and y at the point where the total
contribution is highest.

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Performance Management

Example: Linear programme – Optimum solution using corner point theorem


(continued).
The maximum value the objective function could take will be at either A or
B or C
Point A is at the intersection of: x=2 1
4x + 8y = 48 2
Substitute for x in equation 2 4(2) + 8y = 48
8y = 48  8
y=5

Point B is at the intersection of: 4x + 8y = 48 1


6x + 3y = 36 2
Multiply equation 1 buy 1.5 6x + 12y = 72 3
Subtract 2 from 3 9y = 36
Therefore y=4
Substitute for y in equation 1 4x +8(4) = 48
4x = 16
x=4

Point C is at the intersection of: y=3 1


6x + 3y = 36 2
Substitute for y in equation 2 6x + 3(3) = 36
6x = 27
x = 4.5
Substitute coordinates into objective function
C = 50x + 40y
Point A (x = 2; y = 5) C = 50(2) + 40(5)
C = 300

Point B (x = 4; y = 4) C = 50(4) + 40(4)


C = 360

Point C (x = 4.5; y = 3) C = 50(4.5) + 40(3)


C = 345

Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point B where x = 4 and y = 4


giving a value for the objective function of 360.

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

2.3 Slope of the objective function


There are two ways of using the slope of the objective line to find the optimum
solution.

Measuring slopes
This approach involves estimating the slope of each constraint and the objective
function and ranking them in order. The slope of the objective function will lie
between those of two of the constraints. The optimum solution lies at the
intersection of these two lines and the values of x and y at this point can be found
as above.

Example: Optimum solution by measuring slopes


Objective function: Rearranged Slope
C = 50x + 40y y = C/40  1.25x  1.25
Constraints:
6x + 3y = 36 y = 12  2x 2
4x + 8y = 48 y = 6  0.5x  0.5
x=2 ∞
y=3 0

The slope of the objective function ( 1.25) lies between the slopes of 6x
+ 3y = 36 ( 2) and 4x + 8y = 48 ( 0.5). The optimum solution is at the
intersection of these two lines.
Values of x and y at this point would then be calculated as above (x = 4
and y = 4) and the value of the objective function found.

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Performance Management

Plotting the objective function line and moving it from the source
The example above showed that the objective function (C = 50x + 40y) can be
rearranged to the standard form of the equation of a straight line (y = C/40 
1.25x).
This shows that the slope of the line is not affected by the value of the equation
(C). This is useful to know as it means that we can set the equation to any value
in order to plot the line of the objective function on the graph.
The first step is to pick a value for the objective function and construct two pairs
of coordinates so that the line of the objective function can be plotted. (The total
value of the line does not matter as it does not affect the slope and that is what
we are interested in).

Example: Plotting the objective function (C = 50x + 40y)


Let C = 200
200 = 50x + 40y if x = 0 then y = 5 and if y = 0 then x = 4
This is plotted as the dotted line below.

Note that the value of C in the above plot of the objective function is constant (at
200). This means that any pair of values of x and y that fall on the line will result
in the same value for the objective function (200). If a value higher than 200 had
been used to plot the objective function it would have resulted in a line with the
same slope but further out from the source (the intersection of the x and y axes).
We are trying to maximise the value of the objective function so the next step is
to identify the point in the feasible area where objective function line can be
drawn as far from the origin of the graph as possible.
This can be done by putting a ruler along the objective function line that you have
drawn and moving it outwards, parallel to the line drawn, until that point where it
just leaves the feasible area. This will be one of the corners of the feasible
region. This is the combination of values of x and y that provides the solution to
the linear programming problem.

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Example: Finding the optimum solution


Move a line parallel to the one that you have drawn until that point
where it is just about to leave the feasible region.

The optimum solution is at point B (as before). This is at the intersection


of 6x + 3y = 36 and 4x + 8y = 48.
The values of x and y can then be read off the graph and inserted into
the objective function. If the graph had been drawn accurately this
approach would give the same values for x and y as already found (i.e. x
= 4 and y = 4).

2.4 Simultaneous equations


Instead of reading the values of x and y at which the objective function is
maximised off a graph they could be found by solving the equations of the lines
simultaneously.
You should know how to solve simultaneous equations. However, if you are not
sure, the technique is to multiply one or both of the simultaneous equations so
that you obtain two equations where the coefficient for either x or y is the same.
You can then subtract one equation from the other (or possible add them
together, if minus values for coefficients are involved). This will allow you to
calculate the value for wither x or y.
Having obtained a value for x or y, you can then substitute this value in any of the
simultaneous equations to obtain the value for the other variable.
In this example the simultaneous equations are solved as follows:

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Performance Management

Example: Finding the optimum solution


Solving for values of x and y at the intersection of two lines.
(1) 6x  3y = 36
(2) 4x  8y = 48
Equation
6x  3y = 36 1
4x  8y = 48 2
Multiply equation 2 by 1.5 (to make the y
coefficients the same) 6x  12y = 72 3
Subtract equation 1 from equation 3:
From above 6x  3y = 36 1
Therefore 9y = 36 3
y=4

Substitute y = 4 into equation 1 6x  3y = 36 1


6x  (3  4) = 36
6x = 36  12
6x = 24
x=4
Conclusion: Contribution is maximised at the intersection of line 6x + 3y
= 36 and 4x + 8y = 48 giving a solution of x = 4 and y = 4.
The value of the objective function at this point is:
C = 50x + 40y
C = (50  4) + (40  4) = 360

2.5 Minimising functions


The above illustration is one where the objective is to maximise the objective
function. For example, this might relate to the combination of products that
maximise profit.
You may also face minimisation problems (for example, where the objective is to
minimise costs). In this case the optimal solution is at the point in the feasible
region that is closest to the origin. It is found using similar techniques to those
above.

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Practice question 1
Solve the following linear programme.
Objective function: Maximise C = 5x + 5y
Subject to the following constraints:
Direct labour 2x + 3y ≤ 6,000
Machine time 4x + y ≤ 4,000
Sales demand, Y y ≤ 1,800
Non-negativity x, y ≥ 0

Practice question 2
Construct the constraints and the objective function taking into account the
following information:
A company makes and sells two products, Product X and Product Y.
The contribution per unit is ₦8 for Product X and ₦12 for Product Y.
The company wishes to maximise profit.
The expected sales demand is for 6,000 units of Product X and 4,000
units of Product Y.
Product X Product Y
Direct labour hours per unit 3 hours 2 hours
Machine hours per unit 1 hour 2.5 hours

Total hours
Total direct labour hours available 20,000
Total machine hours available 12,000

Practice question 3
Lagos Manufacturing Limited makes and sells two versions of a product,
Mark 1 and Mark 2
Identify the quantities of Mark 1 and Mark 2 that should be made and
sold during the year in order to maximise profit and contribution.
Mark 1 Mark 2
Direct materials per unit 2 kgs 4 kgs
Direct labour hours per unit 3 hours 2 hours
Maximum sales demand 5,000 units unlimited
Contribution per unit 10 per unit 15 per unit

Resource available
Direct materials 24,000 kgs
Direct labour hours 18,000 hours

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Performance Management

3 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the basic concepts of linear programming

 Explain the meaning of objective function and constraints in linear programming


 Formulate a linear programme
 Solve linear programming problems to identify the optimal solution when there is
more than one constraint

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution – Plotting the constraints 1
The non-negativity constraints are represented by the lines of the x axis and y axis.
The other three constraints are drawn as follows, to produce a combination of values for
x and y that meet all three constraints.
These combinations of values for x and y represent the ‘feasible region’ on the graph for
a solution to the problem.

Workings
(1) Constraint: 2x + 3y = 6,000
When x = 0, y = 2,000. When y = 0, x = 3,000.

(2) Constraint: 4x + y = 4,000


When x = 0, y = 4,000. When y = 0, x = 1,000.

(3) Constraint : y = 1,800

The feasible area for a solution to the problem is shown as the shaded area OABCD.

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Performance Management

Solution – Plotting the objective function and identifying the optimum point. 1
Plotting the objective function – Let P = 10,000 (The value 10,000 is chosen as a
convenient multiple of the values 5 and 5 that can be drawn clearly on the graph.)
5x + 5y = 10,000
x = 0, y = 2,000 and y = 0, x = 2,000.
The combination of values of x and y that will maximise total contribution lies at point C
on the graph.
The combination of x and y at point C is therefore the solution to the linear programming
problem.

Solution – Solving the values of x and y that maximise the objective function and 1
finding its maximum value
The optimum solution is at point C. This can be found be examining the objective
function line to see where it leaves the feasible region, using corner point theorem or by
comparing the slope of the objective function to the slopes of the constraints (workings
given on next page)
Point C is at the intersection of: 2x + 3y = 6,000 and 4x + y = 4,000
Solving for x and y:
2x + 3y = 6,000 1
4x + y = 4,000 2
Multiply (1) by 2: 4x + 6y = 12,000 3
Subtract (2) from (3): 5y = 8,000
Therefore y = 1,600

Substitute in equation (2) 4x + 1,600 = 4,000


4x = 2,400
x = 600

The objective function is maximised by producing 600 units of X and 1,600 units of Y.
The objective in this problem is to maximise 5x + 5y giving a maximum value of:
5 (600) + 5 (1,600) = 11,000.

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Solution – Optimum solution using corner point theorem. 1


Maximise C = 5x + 5y

Point A is where y = 1,800


x=0

Point B is at the intersection of: y = 1,800 1


2x + 3y = 6,000 2
2x + 3(1,800) = 6,000 3
x = 300

Point C is at the intersection of: 2x + 3y = 6,000 1


4x + y = 4,000 2
Solved previously at x = 600 and y = 1,600

Point D is at the intersection of: y=0 1


4x + y = 4,000 2
4x + 0 = 4,000
x = 1,000

Substitute coordinates into objective function


C = 5x + 5y
Point A (x = 0; y = 1,800) C = 5(0) + 5(1,800)
C = 9,000

Point B (x = 300; y = 1,800) C = 5(300) + 5(1,800)


C = 10,500

Point C (x = 600; y = 1,600 C = 5(600) + 5(1,600)


C = 11,000

Point D (x = 1,000; y = 0) C = 5(1,000) + 5(0)


C = 5,000

Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point C where x = 600 and


y = 1,600 giving a value for the objective function of 11,000.

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Performance Management

Solution – Optimum solution by measuring slopes 1


Objective function: Rearranged Slope
C
C = 5x + 5y y = /5 – x –1
Constraints:
y = 1,800 0
2
2x + 3y = 6,000 y = 2,000 – /3x – 2/3
4x + y = 4,000 y = 1,000 – 4x –4

The slope of the objective function ( 1) lies between the slopes of 2x


+ 3y = 6,000 (– 2/3) and 4x + y = 4,000 ( 4). The optimum solution is
at the intersection of these two lines.
Values of x and y at this point have been calculated above.

Solutions 2
A linear programming problem can be formulated as follows:
Let the number of units (made and sold) of Product X be x
Let the number of units (made and sold) of Product Y be y
The objective function is to maximise total contribution given as C = 8x + 12y.
Subject to the following constraints:
Direct labour 3x + 2y ≤ 20,000
Machine time x + 2.5y ≤ 12,000
Sales demand, X x ≤ 6,000
Sales demand, Y y ≤ 4,000
Non-negativity x, y ≥ 0

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Solution 3
Define the constraints Let the number of units of Mark 1 be x
Let the number of units of Mark 2 be y.
Formulate the objective Maximise total contribution given by: C
function: = 10x + 15y
Let C = 60,000 to allow a plot of the line
Formulate constraints:
Direct materials 2x + 4y ≤ 24,000
Direct labour 3x + 2y ≤ 18,000
Sales demand, Mark 1 x ≤ 5,000
Non-negativity x, y ≥ 0
Plot the constraints and objective function:

The feasible solutions are shown by the area 0ABCD in the graph.

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Performance Management

Solution – Solving the values of x and y that maximise the objective function and 3
finding its maximum value
The optimum solution is at point B. This can be found be examining the contribution line
to see where it leaves the feasible region, using corner point theorem or by comparing
the slope of the objective function to the slopes of the constraints (workings given on
next page)
Point B is at the intersection of: 2x + 4y = 24,000 and 3x + 2y = 18,000
Solving for x and y:
2x + 4y = 24,000 1
3x + 2y = 18,000 2
Multiply (1) by 2: 6x + 4y = 36,000 3
Subtract (1) from (3): 4x = 12,000
Therefore x = 3,000

Substitute in equation (1) 2 (3,000) + 4y = 24,000


4y = 18,000
y = 4,500

The total contribution is maximised by producing 3,000 units of X and 4,500 units of Y.
The objective in this problem is to maximise 10x + 15y giving a maximum value of:
10 (3,000) + 15 (4,500) = 97,500.

Solution – Optimum solution by measuring slopes. 3


Objective function: Rearranged Slope
C 10
C = 10x + 15y y = /15 – /15x – 10/15 = – 2/3

Constraints:
2x + 4y = 24,000 y = 6,000 – 0.5x – 0.5x
3
3x + 2y = 18,000 y = 9,000 – /2x – 3/2
x = 5,000 ∞

The slope of the objective function ( 2/3) lies between the slopes of 2x
+ 4y = 24,000 ( 0.5) and 3x + 2y = 18,000 (– 3/2). The optimum
solution is at the intersection of these two lines.
Values of x and y at this point would then be calculated as above (x =
3,000 and y = 4,500) and the value of the objective function found.

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Chapter 16: Linear programming

Solution – Optimum solution using corner point theorem. 3


Maximise C = 10x + 15y

Point A is where y = 6,000


x=0

Point B is at the intersection of: 2x + 4y = 24,000


3x + 2y = 18,000
Solved previously at x = 3,000 and y = 4,500

Point C is at the intersection of: x = 5,000 1


3x + 2y = 18,000 2
Substituting 3(5,000) + 2y = 18,000
y = 1500

Point D is where y=0


x = 5,000

Substitute coordinates into objective function


C = 10x + 15y
Point A (x = 6,000; y = 0) C = 10(0) + 15(6,000)
C = 90,000

Point B (x = 3,000; y = 4,500) C = 10(3,000) + 15(4,500)


C = 97,500

Point C (x = 5,000; y = 1,500) C = 10(5,000) + 15(1,500)


C = 72,500

Point D (x = 5,000; y = 0) C = 10(5,000) + 15(0)


C = 50,000
Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point B where x = 3,000
and y = 4,500 giving a value for the objective function of 97,500.

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17
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Further aspects of linear
programming

Contents
1 Dual prices and slack variables
2 Simplex
3 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:

D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
d Apply key limiting factors in a given business scenario to:
ii Multiple constraint situations involving linear programming using
simultaneous equations, graphical techniques and simplex method. (The
simplex method is limited to formulation of initial tableau and
interpretation of final tableau).
NB. Computation and interpretation of shadow prices are also required.

Exam context
The previous chapter explained the basic linear programming technique.
This chapter takes the technique further in two areas.
Further aspects of linear programming
Section 1 of this chapter is about the dual price. This is the change in value of the objective
function which arises from a change in availability of scarce resource. It is usually expressed
as the increase in the objective function arising from the increase of one extra unit of a
scarce resource.
Section 2 explains the simplex method. This is illustrated using the same basic example
that was used in the previous chapter. It is quite complicated and you could be forgiven for
asking “why bother when we already have a perfectly good technique?” The reason is that
simplex can be used to solve linear programming problems where there are more than two
variables.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
 Calculate the dual price and explain what it means
 Set up the initial tableau for simplex
 Transform the tableau to a solution
 Interpret the final tableau

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

1 DUAL PRICES AND SLACK VARIABLES

Section overview

 Introduction to dual prices


 Calculating dual prices
 Dual prices and business problems
 Limit to the dual price
 Slack

1.1 Introduction to dual prices


Linear programming is a method of solving for the optimum solution of a linear
function subject to constraints identified as other linear functions. Some
constraints are limiting but others are non-limiting.
Every constraint has a dual price (also known as the shadow price). The dual
price of a constraint is the change in the objective function that is brought about if
a constraint is changed by a unit.
The dual price of a non-limiting constraint is zero. This should be obvious. If a
constraint is non-limiting, a small increase or decrease in its availability will have
no impact on the value of the objective function.
Dual prices of limiting resources always have a value. This may be positive or
negative depending on whether it is calculated by reducing or increasing
availability of a resource and whether a problem is maximising or minimising.

1.2 Calculating dual prices


Once the solution is found to a linear programme, it is easy to calculate dual
prices.
Dual prices are calculated one at a time by taking the following steps:
 Increase the limit of the first limiting constraint by one unit.
 Recalculate values for the variables.
 Recalculate the value of the objective function and compare the new figure
to the value of the objective function in the original solution.
The difference is the dual price of the constraint.
This process is then repeated for the other constraint.
This is illustrated below using information from an earlier example which is
repeated here for your convenience.

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Performance management

Example: Linear programme


Maximise C = 50x + 40y
Subject to the constraints
6x + 3y  36 Constraint 1
4x + 8y  48 Constraint 2
x2 x must be at least 2
y3 y must be at least 3

Plot the constraints

Optimum solution is at point B


Point B is at the intersection of 4x + 8y = 48 1
and 6x + 3y = 36 2
Multiply equation 1 by 1.5 6x + 12y = 72 3
Subtract 2 from 3 9y = 36
y=4
Substitute for y in equation 1 4x +8(4) = 48
4x = 16
x=4

Conclusion: The optimal solution is at point B where x = 4 and y =


4 giving a value for the objective function of 360.
Point B is where x = 4 and y = 4  C = 50(4) + 40(4)
C = 360

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Example: Linear programme – dual price

Constraint 1
Increase the value of constraint 1 by 1
Point B is at the intersection of 4x + 8y = 48 1
and 6x + 3y = 37 2
Multiply equation 1 by 1.5 6x + 12y = 72 3
Subtract 2 from 3 9y = 35
y = 3.889
Substitute for y in equation 1 4x +8(3.889) = 48
4x +31.11 = 48
4x = 16.888
x = 4.222

Change in value of the objective function


New value: C1 = 50(4.222) + 40(3.889) 366.66
Original value (C) 360.00
1
Dual price of constraint 1 = C – C = 6.66

Constraint 2
Increase the value of constraint 2 by 1
Point B is at the intersection of 4x + 8y = 49 1
6x + 3y = 36 2
Multiply equation 1 buy 1.5 6x + 12y = 73.5 3
Subtract 2 from 3 9y = 37.5
y = 4.167
Substitute for y in equation 1 4x +8(4.167) = 49
4x +33.33 = 49
4x = 14.67
x = 3.917

Change in value of the objective function


New value: C1 = 50(3.917) + 40(4.167) 362.50
Original value (C) 360.00
1
Dual price of constraint 2 = C – C = 2.50

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Performance management

1.3 Dual prices and business problems


The dual price of a constraint is always expressed in terms of the units of that
constraint. Thus, the dual price of a labour constraint is expressed in terms of an
amount of currency per hour.
What the amount actually means depends on the objective function. If the
objective function is expressed in terms of profit (or contribution), the dual price
per hour will also be expressed in terms of profit (or contribution) per hour.
A common mistake is to say that the dual price is the maximum amount that a
business would pay to acquire one extra unit of resource. This is incorrect as the
dual price is expressed in terms of profit which already includes the basic cost of
that unit. In fact, the dual price is the maximum premium that a business would
pay for an extra unit of resource above and beyond the basic price of that unit.

Example: Meaning of dual price


An hour of labour costs ₦100.
The objective function is expressed in terms of contribution.
The dual price of labour is found to be ₦30.

This means that one extra hour of labour increases the contribution by ₦30.
The contribution already includes the cost of labour so this extra ₦30 is after
taking the cost of labour into account.
The business would be prepared to pay up to a maximum of ₦30 (₦100 + ₦30) for
one extra hour of labour. Beyond this price, contribution would be reduced.

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Practice question 1
This is a continuation of a question from the previous chapter.

Lagos Manufacturing Limited makes and sells two versions of a product


called Mark 1 and Mark 2.

The company used linear programming based on the following


information to calculate the product mix that would maximise profit
and contribution:
Mark 1 Mark 2
Direct materials per unit 2 kg 4 kg
Direct labour hours per unit 3 hours 2 hours
Maximum sales demand 5,000 units unlimited
Contribution per unit ₦10 per unit ₦15 per unit

Resource available
Direct materials 24,000 kg
Direct labour hours 18,000 hours

The optimal solution was found to be at the intersection of the


following constraints.
Direct materials 2x + 4y = 24,000
Direct labour 3x + 2y = 18,000

The contribution resulting from this product mix was obtained as


follows:
Solving the above equations showed the optimal product mix to be:
Mark 1 (x) 3,000 units
Mark 2 (y) 4,500 units

The contribution resulting from this product mix was:


C = 10x + 15y
C = 10 (3,000) + 15 (4,500) = 97,500

Calculate the dual price of direct materials and the dual price of direct
labour.

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Performance management

Practice question 2
A company makes two products B and C. Product B earns a contribution of
₦10 per unit and a unit of Product C earns a contribution of ₦30.

The following resources are used to make one unit of each product:
Product B Product C Maximum
resource
available
Machine type 1 30 minutes 10 minutes 15 hours per day
Machine type 2 40 minutes 45 minutes 30 hours per day
Skilled labour 20 minutes 30 minutes 15 hours per hay
The maximum sales demand for C is 20 units per day. The sales demand
for Product B is unlimited.

Calculate the optimum production plan for the company and the dual
prices of resources. (Hint: Remember that non-limiting constraints have a
dual price of zero).

1.4 Limit to the dual price


The dual price of a limiting resource applies only to additional quantities of the
resource for as long as it remains a limiting factor.
Eventually, if more and more units of a scarce resource are made available, a
point will be reached when it ceases to be an effective limiting factor, and a
different constraint becomes a limiting factor instead. When this point is reached,
the dual price for additional units of the resource will become zero.

1.5 Slack
Slack refers to the amount of a constraint that is not used in the optimal solution
to a linear programming problem.
Only non-limiting resources have slack. Limiting resources are fully utilised so
never have any slack.
The amount of slack in any non-limiting resources is easily found by substituting
the optimum product mix into the equation for that resource. This would show
how much of that resource was needed for the optimum solution. This could then
be compared to the amount of resource available to give the slack.

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

2 SIMPLEX

Section overview

 Preliminary information
 Background to simplex method
 Simplex technique: Constructing the initial tableau
 Simplex technique: First transformation
 Simplex technique: Second transformation
 Interpretation of the final tableau
 Summary

2.1 Preliminary information


This section does not explain the simplex method. Instead, it introduces and
explains certain ideas which will seem completely unrelated but which you will
find useful when you come to try to understand the simplex method.

Matrices
A matrix is a rectangular array of numbers consisting of a number of rows and
columns. Matrices are an important tool used in solving all kinds of mathematical
problems. Matrices are not in your syllabus so very little will be explained here
except what you need to know.
An identity matrix is one where the number of rows is the same as the number of
columns and the elements in the leading diagonal are all equal to one with all the
other elements being equal to zero. (The leading diagonal is the one that slants
down from the top left hand corner to the bottom right hand corner).
The following are examples of identity matrices:

Example: Identity matrices:


Matrix A Matrix B
1 0 0
[1 0]
[0 1 0]
0 1
0 0 1

Identity matrices have several important uses but what has been mentioned
above is all you need to know.

Basic and non-basic variables


Algebra is used to describe relationships between variables and on some
occasions to solve for values of those variables.
Consider the following:
It is easy to find the value of x when it is contained in a single equation with no
other unknowns. For example x + 40 = 100
It is not so easy to solve for x in an equation where there are two unknowns. For
example, x + y =100.

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However, we could solve for x if we assign a value to y. In other words, we could


say what the value of x would be given a certain value of y.
As a general statement, if there are more variables than the number of equations
that contain those variables the number of variables must be reduced to the
number of equations by having values assigned to them. The easiest value to
assign is zero.
 The variables to which a value (zero) is assigned are called non-basic
variables.
 The variables which are calculated after values are assigned to others are
called the basic variables.
This might be a little difficult to understand. What it means is that if there are four
unknowns (say a, b, c and d) which appear in only three equations, a value must
be assigned to one of the variables (say a, b, c or d) as a mechanism to allow the
calculation of values for the others. Suppose a was set to be equal to zero.
 b, c and d are called basic variables.
 a is a non-basic variable.
Please do not worry if all of this seems a little mysterious. You probably have
never had to do this before and the truth is that you could learn to do simplex
without knowing it simply by following a procedure. However, this information will
allow you to understand what the starting point of simplex is all about.

2.2 Background to simplex method


So far (in the previous chapter) linear programmes were solved for problems
where there were two unknowns. In cases like this, the problem can be
represented graphically as we need a dimension (y axis and x axis) for each
unknown so that constraints containing the two unknowns can be drawn as a
straight line.
If there are three or more unknowns things become a little trickier to imagine. If
there are three variables then the value of each variable would change in two
directions in response to changes in the other two variables. In this case, an
equation containing the three unknowns would be drawn as a plane (flat service).
The following is a simple example of this:

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Illustration: 3 dimensional (3d) plot of equation with 3 variables

y=x + z

It is easy to imagine other equations being drawn in the same way to generate a
feasible volume.
When we face problems with 4 or more variables, it becomes impossible to
visualise them in a diagrammatic way. A mathematician would not even try, but
be happy in the knowledge that he or she can describe the information
mathematically.
Simplex is a technique that can be used to solve linear programmes with any
number of variables. It is quite tricky to use but it is usually carried out using a
computer programme. However, you might be asked to demonstrate an
understanding of a simple example.
An example with just two unknowns will be used to illustrate the technique. This
is because it becomes progressively more difficult to keep track of what is
happening as the number of unknowns increases but the process is just the
same for any number of unknowns.

Simplex
Simplex is a tabular solution procedure for solving linear programmes.
Simplex works by establishing an initial table that represents a corner of the
feasible region and then moves to the next point. The direction of movement is
decided by which of the directions has the biggest impact on the objective
function.
 The starting point (called the initial tableau) is constructed to show the
situation at the origin of the feasible area/volume where x and y are both
zero and the value of the objective function is therefore zero. This is
described as the initial feasible solution. It is the starting point for finding the
optimum point in the feasible region.
 The table is then transformed to calculate the value of the objective function
at the next “corner” of the feasible area/volume.
 This continues until the optimum is found.

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Performance management

This is best explained with an example. We will use an example based on one
that you have already seen in the previous chapter.

2.3 Simplex technique: Constructing the initial tableau

Example: Simplex (starting data)


Assume that the following information relates to the profit and constraints of a two
product business.
Maximise Z = 50x + 40y
Subject to the constraints
6x + 3y  36
4x + 8y  48

Step 1: Inequalities into equalities


The first thing to do is to change the inequalities into equalities. This is done by
introducing a slack variable into each equation. A slack variable represents the
amount of unused resource in the equation. Of course, this will turn out to be
zero in the final solution if the equation is a limiting constraint.
The constraints become as follows:

Example: Simplex: Inequalities changed to equalities


6x + 3y + S1 = 36
4x + 8y + S2 = 48

The equations are said to be in the standard form. This means (in part) that they
now equate to a value.
There are 4 variables (x, y, S1 and S2) but only 2 constraints. It is only possible
to solve for the same number of variables as there are constraints. A zero value
must be assigned to two of the constraints and then values of the others can be
calculated.
Zero value is assigned to x and to y (they become the non-basic variables). Note
that you do not have to do anything here. This is simply explaining what the first
table means. In the above equations if x and y are both zero, S1 = 36 and S2 =
48. S1 and S2 are now the basic variables. Just remember this for a minute. We
will return to it.
The objective function must also be expressed in the standard form. This is easy
to do by rearranging the equation.

Example: Simplex: Rearrange the objective function into the standard form
Z = 50x + 40y
Therefore: Z – 50x – 40y = 0

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

If this business did not face any constraints it would make as many items of x as
possible. This is because each item of x made provides a higher reward (50)
than each item of y(40).
Expressing the objective function in the standard form does not change this.
However, it does change the sign associated with the profit of each item. The
profit from an item of x is represented as a value of 50 but this is only because
we have rearranged the function. Items of x are still more profitable than items of
y.

Step 2: Assemble the initial tableau


The resultant equations can then be used to construct a table called the initial
tableau.
This table consists of three rows, one for each constraint and one for the
objective function. (If there were more constraints there would be more rows).
The table consists of a series of columns. The first column is the variable that
each equation solves to and the last column is the value that the equation solves
to. In between there is a column for each unknown. The heading for these
columns is the unknown variable being solved for. The content of each columns
is the coefficient of each unknown.

Example: Simplex: Initial tableau


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
S1 6 3 1 0 36
S2 4 8 0 1 48
Z 50 40 0 0 0

It is worth spending some time to ensure that you understand what this initial
tableau means.
Each line represents an equation. The first column highlights what is being
solved in the equation set out in the remaining columns. For example the first line
means:
S1 = 6x + 3y +S1 + 0 = 36
In other words, the tableau shows the values of the basic constraints (S1 and S2)
and of the objective function when both x and y are equal to zero. This is at the
origin of the x and y axes.
 The first line says that S1 (in the left hand column) = 36 (in the right hand
column) when x = zero (therefore 6x = zero) and y = zero (therefore 3y =
zero). The slack variable is 36 being all of the available resource because
no products are being made.
 The second line says that S2 (in the left hand column) = 48 (in the right
hand column) when x = zero (therefore 4x = zero) and y = zero (therefore
8y = zero). The slack variable is 48 being all of the available resource
because no products are being made.
 The value of the objective function (Z) is zero as nothing is being produced.
Note that the rows and columns for the basic variables (S1 and S2) form a 2 by 2
identity matrix.

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Performance management

2.4 Simplex technique: First transformation


The simplex approach involves moving to an adjacent point on the feasible
region in order to see the impact on the objective function.
This is done in order of which movement has the biggest positive impact on the
objective function. Note that this is shown as the biggest negative value in the Z
row.
Moving to an adjacent point involves redrafting the table to represent that point.
One of the non-basic variables (i.e. the one with the most negative value on the Z
row) becomes basic and replaces an existing basic variable. (The number of
rows and columns remains constant.
 The basic variable being replaced is called the exit variable.
 The non-basic variable replacing the original basic variable is called the
entry variable.

Example: Simplex: Initial tableau


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
S1 6 3 1 0 36
S2 4 8 0 1 48
Z 50 40 0 0 0

Identifying the entry variable


The largest negative value in the Z row is 50. This is in the x column. This
column is now called the pivotal column and x is the entry variable.

Example: Simplex: First transformation – entry variable


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
S1 6 3 1 0 36
S2 4 8 0 1 48
Z 50 40 0 0 0

Identifying the exit variable


The quantity of each constraint in the Quantity column is divided by the value in
that line in the pivotal column.
Every number in the quantity column is divided by each equivalent value from the
same line in the pivotal column. If a value is negative the answer is ignored and
there is no entry made for it.
The row with the lowest figure resulting from this division is the exit variable. It
leaves the solution to be replaced by x. This is the S1 row in the example (see
below).

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Example: Simplex: First transformation – exit variable


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
36/6 =
S1 6 3 1 0 36 6
48/4 =

S2 4 8 0 1 48 12
Z 50 40 0 0 0

Replacing the exit variable with the entry variable


This is the most difficult part to understand so we will proceed step by step.
The values for entry variable in the pivotal column must be restated to the values
that were in the column for the exit variable. They take the exit variable’s place as
part of the identity matrix. In other words, the S1 column reading from the top
was 1, 0 ,0. The values in the x column must become 1, 0, 0.
However, each row is an equation. If one value in a row changes (as they are
due to replacing values in the x column), other figures must be changed in order
to keep the equation in balance.
We want to change each equation so that we end up with the table looking as
follows:

Example: Simplex: First transformation – to show how the pivotal column should
look after the transformation.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 ? ? ? ?
S2 0 ? ? ? ?
Z 0 ? ? ? ?

The value in the pivotal row of the pivotal (x) column must be changed from 6 to
1. This is achieved by dividing the original value by 6. Therefore, the equation in
the first row (now the x row) can be maintained if every other number is also
divided by 6.

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Performance management

Example: Simplex: First transformation to show how the pivotal row looks after
the transformation.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 1 /6 0 36/6 =6
S2 0 ? ? ? ?
Z 0 ? ? ? ?

The value in the second row of the x column must be changed from 4 to 0. This
is achieved by taking the pivotal row (either before or after the transformation),
perhaps adjusting it so that the coefficients of x match and then adding it to or
subtracting it from the second row. This is difficult to understand so we will show
you in a number of ways.

Example: Working – Adjusting the second row so that the value in the x column is
zero.

Multiply values in the pivotal row before its transformation by 2/3 and add the
resultant row to the second row.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 6 3 1 0 36
Multiply 2/3 2/3 2/3 2/3 2/3
= 4 2 2/3 0 24
S2 before 4 8 0 1 48
S2 after 0 6 2/3 1 24

Or it could have been done as follows:

Example: Working – Adjusting the second row so that the value in the x column is
zero.

Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 4 and add the resultant
row to the second row.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 = 0.5 1/6 0 36/6 =6
Multiply 4 4 4 4 4
= 4 2 2/3 0 24
S2 before 4 8 0 1 48
S2 after 0 6 2/3 1 24

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

After the second row is transformed the table will look as follows:

Example: Simplex: First transformation after the pivotal row and the second row
have been transformed
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 1/6 0 6
S2 0 6 2/3 1 24
Z 0 ? ? ? ?

The same thing must be done for the Z row.


The value in the x column in the Z row is 50 but this must be changed to zero.
This represents the fact that all possible items of x are being made at this point
so it is not possible to make any further contribution.
The value in the x column in the Z row is changed to zero by taking the pivotal
row (either before or after the transformation), perhaps adjusting it so that the
coefficients of x match and then adding it to or subtracting it from the Z row.

Example: Adjusting the Z row so that the value in the x column is zero.

Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 50 and add the
resultant row to the second row.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 = 0.5 1 /6 0 36/6 =6
Multiply  50  50  50  50  50
= 50 25 8 1/3 0 300
Z before 50 40 0 0 0
Z after 0 15 8 1/3 0 300

After the Z row is transformed the table will look as follows.

Example: Simplex: After the first transformation


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 1/6 0 6
S2 0 6 2/3 1 24
Z 0 15 8 1/3 0 300

This is how the tableau looks at the end of the first transformation. It has moved
to a corner of the feasible area where the largest possible number of X (6) are
being made to give a contribution of 300. (Note that this is 6 units as in the right
hand column above, at 50 per unit).

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Performance management

The process continues until there is no negative figure in the Z row. As can be
seen above there is a negative figure in the Z row. This means that the objective
function can take a higher value so this is not the optimal point.

2.5 Simplex technique: Second transformation


This will be carried out in exactly the same way as before but with less
explanation.

Example: Simplex: Second transformation

Tableau brought forward after the first transformation


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 1/6 0 6
S2 0 6 2/3 1 24
Z 0 15 8 1/3 0 300

Identify the pivotal column by choosing the column with the most negative figure.

Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal column


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 1/6 0 6
S2 0 6 2/3 1 24
Z 0 15 8 1/3 0 300

The above shows that y is the entry variable.


Next, identify the pivotal row by dividing each row in the quantity column by the
value in the equivalent row in the pivotal column and identifying the lowest figure.

Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal row


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
6÷ 3/6
x 1 3/6 1/6 0 6 = 12
24/6 =

S2 0 6 2/3 1 24 4
Z 0 15 8 1/3 0 300

The above shows that S2 is the exit variable

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Values in the y column must complete the identity matrix. That is to say they
must look as follows:

Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal row


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 0 ? ? ?
y 0 1 ? ? ?
Z 0 0 ? ? ?

The value in the pivotal row of the pivotal (y) column must be changed from 6 to
1. This is achieved by dividing the original value by 6. Therefore, the equation in
the pivotal row (now the y row) can be maintained if every other number is also
divided by 6.

Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Pivotal row


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 0 ? ? ?
y 0 1 1/9 1 /6 4
Z 0 0 ? ? ?

The value in the first row of the pivotal column is 0.5 (3/6) but must become zero.
This can be achieved by multiplying the pivotal row by  0.5 and adding the result
to the first row.

Example: Working – Adjusting the first row so that the value in the y column is
zero.

Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 0.5 and add the
resultant row to the second row.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
y 0 1 1/9 1/6 4
Multiply 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
= 0 0.5 1/18  1/12 2
x before 1 0.5 (3/6) 1 /6 0 6
4/18 =
x after 1 0 2 /9  1/12 4

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Performance management

Example: Simplex: Second transformation – x row


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 0 2 /9  1/12 4
y 0 1 1/9 1/6 4
Z 0 0 ? ? ?

The value in the Z row of the pivotal column is  15 but must become zero. This
can be achieved by multiplying the pivotal row by 15 and adding the result to the
Z row.

Example: Working – Adjusting the first row so that the value in the y column is
zero.

Multiply values in the pivotal row after transformation by 0.5 and add the
resultant row to the second row.
Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
y 0 1 1/9 1/6 4
Multiply  15  15  15  15  15
= 0 15 15/9 15/6 60
75/9 (8

Z before 0 15 1/3) 0 300


60/9 =
20/3 = 15/6 =2
Z after 0 0 62/3 1/2 360

Example: Simplex: Second transformation – Final tableau


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 0 2 /9  1/12 4
y 0 1 1/9 1/6 4
Z 0 0 6 2/3 2 1/2 360

There is no negative figure in the Z row so this is an optimal solution.

Comment
The above process is complex. You may be forgiven for asking why anyone
would use the technique to solve an example like this when it is so much easier
using the techniques covered earlier. The answer is that nobody would use this
technique to solve this example. The example has been used to explain the
process. A more complex example could have been used but would have
required further transformations.

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Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Also remember that this is usually carried out using a computer which reduces
the effort to formulating the problem and inputting the data and then to
interpreting the final tableau.

2.6 Interpretation of the final tableau

Example: Simplex: Final tableau brought forward


Basic
variables S1 S2 Quantity
x 4 Optimum
y 4 product mix
Z 0 0 6 2/3 2 1/2 360
 
Dual Dual Value of
price price objective
of x of y function at
optimal
product mix

2.7 Summary
The example was worked in far more detail than would normally be used to
answer a question.
This section shows what a normal answer wold look like (ignoring the initial
formulation of the equations).

Example: Step 1: Set up the initial tableau


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
S1 6 3 1 0 36
S2 4 8 0 1 48
Z 50 40 0 0 0

Example: Step 2: Identify entry and exit variables


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
36/6 =
S1 6 3 1 0 36 6
48/4 =

S2 4 8 0 1 48 12
Z 50 40 0 0 0

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Performance management

Example: Step 3: First transformation


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 3/6 1/6 0 6
S2 0 6 2/3 1 24
Z 0 15 8 1/3 0 300

There is a negative value in the objective function row so the solution is not
optimum.

Example: Step 4: Second transformation


Basic
variables x y S1 S2 Quantity
x 1 0 2 /9  1/12 4
y 0 1 1/9 1/6 4
Z 0 0 6 2/3 2 1/2 360

There is no negative figure in the Z row so this is an optimal solution.

Example: Step 5: Interpret the final tableau


Basic
variables S1 S2 Quantity
x 4 Optimum
y 4 product mix
Z 0 0 6 2/3 2 1/2 360
 
Dual Dual Value of
price price objective
of x of y function at
optimal
product mix

Practice question: Simplex 3


Maximise:
Z = 5a + 4b + 3c – d
Subject to:
2a +b +c +2d  20
a + 2b + 5c + 3d  15
-a +b +2d  10

© Emile Woolf International 566 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

3 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Calculate the dual price and explain what it means

 Set up the initial tableau for simplex


 Transform the tableau to a solution
 Interpret the final tableau

© Emile Woolf International 567 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
Dual price of direct materials
2x + 4y = 24,001 1
3x + 2y = 18,000 2
Multiply (2) by 2: 6x + 4y = 36,000 3
Subtract (1) from (3): 4x = 11,999
Therefore x = 2,999.75

Substitute in equation (1) 2 (2,999.75) + 4y = 24,001


4y = 18,001.5
y = 4,500.375

Contribution = 10x + 15y


Contribution = 10(2,999.75) + 15(4,500.375) =

New contribution 97,503.1


Original contribution 97,500.0
Dual price per 3.1

Dual price of direct labour


2x + 4y = 24,000 1
3x + 2y = 18,001 2
Multiply (2) by 2: 6x + 4y = 36,002 3
Subtract (1) from (3): 4x = 12,002
Therefore x = 3,000.5

Substitute in equation (1) 2 (3,000.5) + 4y = 24,000


4y = 17,999
y = 4,499.75

Contribution = 10x + 15y


Contribution = 10(3,000.5) + 15(4,499.75) =

New contribution 97,503.8


Original contribution 97,500.0
Dual price per 3.8

© Emile Woolf International 568 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Solution 2
Let x = the number of units of Product B per day
Let y = the number of units of Product C per day
The objective function is to maximise the total contribution given by C = 10x + 30y.
Subject to the constraints:
Machine type 1 30x + 10y ≤ 900
Machine type 2 40x + 45y ≤ 1,800
Skilled labour 20x + 30y ≤ 900
Demand for C y ≤ 20
Minimum production x ≥ 0, y ≥ 0
A graph can be drawn as follows to identify the feasible area for a solution. This is
shown below. The feasible area is 0ABCD, and the optimal solution is at point A, point
B, point C or point D
y
90 30x+10y=900

40

30
y=20
20 A B
40x+45y=1,800
10 C
20x+30y=900
0 D
30 45 x

10x+30y=300
(ISO – Contribution Line)

An iso-contribution line 10x + 30y = 300 has been drawn to establish the slope of the
objective function. This can be used to identify the optimal solution, which is at point B.
At point B, the effective constraints are sales demand (y = 20) and skilled labour (20x +
30y = 900).
Since y = 20: 20x + (30  20) = 900
Therefore 20x = 300 and x = 15.
Total contribution at the optimal solution is therefore (15  ₦10) + (20  ₦30) = ₦750
per day.

© Emile Woolf International 569 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solution (continued) 2
Dual price of skilled labour
y = 20 1
20x + 30y = 901 2
Multiply (1) by 30 30y = 600 3
Subtract (3) from (2): 20x = 301
Therefore x = 15.05
x does not appear in the other limiting constraint. This remains as y = 20.

Contribution = 10x + 30y


Contribution = 10(15.05) + 30(20) = 750.5

New contribution 750.5


Original contribution 750.0
Dual price per 0.5

The dual price of skilled labour is therefore ₦0.50 per minute, or ₦30 per
hour.

Dual price of sales demand


y = 21 1
20x + 30y = 900 2
Multiply (1) by 30 30y = 630 3
Subtract (3) from (2): 20x = 270
Therefore x = 13.5
x does not appear in the other limiting constraint. This remains as y = 21.

Contribution = 10x + 30y


Contribution = 10(13.5) + 30(21) = 765
New contribution 765.5
Original contribution 750.0
Dual price per 15.0

The dual price of sales demand for Product is therefore 15 per unit of
demand.

Dual price of non-limiting constraints


In the optimal solution, the total available time on both machine type 1
and machine type 2 is not fully used. This means that there is spare
capacity on both types of machine and the dual price for both types of
machine is zero.

© Emile Woolf International 570 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 17: Further aspects of linear programming

Solution 3
Initial tableau
Basic
variables a b c d S1 S2 S3 Quantity
S1 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 20
S2 1 2 5 3 0 1 0 15
S3 -1 1 0 2 0 0 1 10
Z -5 -4 -3 1 0 0 0 0

Pivotal column and row


Basic
variables a b c d S1 S2 S3 Quantity
S1 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 20
S2 1 2 5 3 0 1 0 15
S3 -1 1 0 2 0 0 1 10
Z -5 -4 -3 1 0 0 0 0

First transformation
Basic
variables a b c d S1 S2 S3 Quantity
a 1 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 0 0 10
S2 0 1.5 4.5 2 -0.5 1 0 5
S3 0 1.5 0.5 3 0.5 0 1 20
Z 0 -1.5 -0.5 6 2.5 0 0 50
There are negative values in the Z row so this is not the optimal solution.

Pivotal column and row


Basic
variables a b c d S1 S2 S3 Quantity
a 1 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 0 0 10
S2 0 1.5 4.5 2 -0.5 1 0 5
S3 0 1.5 0.5 3 0.5 0 1 20
Z 0 -1.5 -0.5 6 2.5 0 0 50

Second transformation
Basic
variables a b c d S1 S2 S3 Quantity
a 1 0 -1 0.33 0.67 -0.33 0 8.33
b 0 1 3 1.33 -0.33 0.67 0 3.33
S3 0 0 -4 1 1 -1 1 15
Z 0 0 4 8 2 1 0 55
There are no negative values in the Z row so this is the optimal solution.

© Emile Woolf International 571 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


18
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Other decisions

Contents
1 Make-or-buy decisions
2 Other short term decisions
3 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 573 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
c Apply relevant cost concept to short term management decisions including
make or buy, outsourcing, shut down, one-off contracts, adding a new
product line, sell or process further, product and segment profitability
analysis, etc.

Exam context
This chapter explains the application of relevant costing in further decision making
techniques.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Analyse relevant costs to decide whether to make or buy a good
 Analyse relevant costs to price contracts
 Analyse relevant costs to make shutdown decisions
 Analyse relevant costs to make further processing decisions

© Emile Woolf International 574 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

1 MAKE-OR-BUY DECISIONS:

Section overview

 Introduction
 Make-or-buy (outsource) decisions
 Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources
 Non-financial considerations

1.1 Introduction
Relevant costs can be applied to both short-term and long-term decisions.
 Short-term decisions are decisions where the financial consequences occur
soon after the decision is taken. For example, a short-term decision may
result in an immediate increase in profit (additional net cash inflows), or an
increase in annual profits and cash flows.
 A long-term decision is one where a capital investment may be required
and the benefits of the investment will be obtained over a period of several
years.
The concept of relevant costs is the same for both short-term and long-term
decisions, except that for long-term decisions the time value of money should
also be taken into consideration.
Examples of management decisions where relevant costing is used are:
 One-off contract decisions: management might want to decide whether or
not to undertake a contract for a specified fixed price. If it is a one-off
contract, rather than regular production work, it would be worthwhile
undertaking the contract if the extra revenue from the contract is higher
than the relevant costs of doing the work (including any opportunity costs).
 Make-or-buy decisions
 Shutdown decisions
 Joint product further processing decisions.

1.2 Make-or-buy (outsource) decisions


A make-or-buy decision is a decision about:
 whether to make an item internally or to buy it from an external supplier, or
 whether to do some work with internal resources, or to contract it out to
another organisation such as a sub-contractor or an outsourcing
organisation.
The economic basis for the decision whether to make internally or whether to buy
externally (outsource production) should be based on relevant costs. The
preferred option from a financial viewpoint should be the one that has the lower
relevant costs.

© Emile Woolf International 575 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

A financial assessment of a make-or-buy decision typically involves a comparison


of:
 the costs that would be saved if the work is outsourced or sub-contracted,
and
 the incremental costs that would be incurred by outsourcing the work.

Example: Make-or-buy decisions


A company manufactures a component that is included in a final product that it
also manufactures. Management have identified an external supplier who would
be willing to supply the component.
The variable cost of manufacturing the component internally is ₦100 and the
external supplier would be prepared to supply the components for ₦130 each.
It has been estimated that cash savings on general overhead expenditure will be
₦48,000 each year if internal production is ended.
The company needs 1,000 units of the component each year.
Required
Should the company make or buy the component?

Answer
The annual relevant costs and benefits of a decision to buy the components
externally can be presented as follows:

Extra costs of purchasing externally
(1,000 units  (₦130 - ₦100)) (30,000)
Cash savings in overhead expenditures 48,000
Net benefit from external purchasing (outsourcing) per year 18,000

Conclusion: The company would increase its profit by purchasing externally instead
of making the items in-house. The recommendation on financial considerations is
therefore to buy (outsource production), not make internally.

© Emile Woolf International 576 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

1.3 Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources


A different situation arises when an entity is operating at full capacity, and has
the opportunity to outsource some production in order to overcome the
restrictions on its output and sales. For example a company might have a
restriction, at least in the short-term, on machine capacity or on the availability of
skilled labour. It can seek to overcome this problem by outsourcing some work to
an external supplier who makes similar products and which has some spare
machine time or labour capacity.
In this type of situation, a relevant costing approach is to assume that the entity
will:
 seek to maximise its profits, and therefore
 outsource some of the work, provided that profits will be increased as a
consequence.
The decision is about which items to outsource, and which to retain in-house.
The profit-maximising decision is to outsource those items where the costs of
outsourcing will be the least.
To identify the least-cost outsourcing arrangement, it is necessary to compare:
 the additional costs of outsourcing production of an item with
 the amount of the scarce resource that would be needed to make the item
in-house.
Costs are minimised (and so profits are maximised) by outsourcing those items
where the extra cost of outsourcing is the lowest per unit of scarce resource
‘saved’.
The examples below illustrate the relevant costing technique required.

© Emile Woolf International 577 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources


A contract cleaning company provides three services; daily office cleaning,
intensive cleaning of office space and minor repairs. However it has insufficient
resources to do all the work available, and wishes to use a sub-contractor to take
on some of the work.
Information relating to the different type of work is as follows:
Average Sub-
labour Budgeted Variable contractor
hours number cost per quote per
per job of jobs job(₦) job (₦)
Daily office cleaning 4 1,500 600 800
Intensive cleaning 6 400 1,080 1,500
Minor repairs 3 640 560 1,000

There are 8,000 labour hours available.


The services that are to be sub-contracted and the total monthly variable cost are
found as follows:

© Emile Woolf International 578 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

Example (continued): Make-or-buy decisions with scarce resources


The company can do all three types of job more cheaply with its own staff than by
hiring the sub-contractor. However provided that it earns more than ₦800 for a
daily office cleaning job, ₦1,500 for an intensive cleaning job and ₦1,000 for a
minor repairs job, it is profitable to use the sub-contractor to make up the
shortfall in in-house resources.
The problem is to decide which work to outsource/sub-contract. The ranking
should be established as follows:
Daily
office Intensive Minor
cleaning cleaning repairs
₦ ₦ ₦
Cost of doing the work in-house 600 1,080 560
Cost of sub-contractor 800 1,500 1,000
Extra cost per job (of outsourcing) 200 420 440
Hours saved by sub-contracting (÷) 4 6 3
Extra cost per hour saved ₦50 ₦70 ₦140
Priority for outsourcing 1st 2nd 3rd
Priority for doing work with own
resources 3rd 2nd 1st

Optimum plan
Total
Total labour Budgeted variable cost
hours jobs (₦)

Minor repairs 1,920 640 358,400
Intensive cleaning 2,400 400 432,000
Office cleaning (balance) 3,680 920 552,000
Maximum labour hours
available 8,000 1,342,400
Sub-contract:
Office cleaning 580 464,000
1,806,400

Note: The number of office cleaning jobs outsourced is the total number
(1,500) less those performed by own staff (920).

© Emile Woolf International 579 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice question 1
A company makes four products, W, X, Y and Z. All four products are made
on the same machines, and the machine capacity for the year at the
company’s factory is 3,500 hours.
The company is able to obtain any of these products in unlimited quantities
from a sub-contractor.
Budgeted data is as follows:
Product W X Y Z
Annual sales demand (units) 4,000 6,000 3,000 5,000
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Sales price per unit 150 200 180 170
Variable cost per unit, in-house
manufacture 50 70 60 70
Cost of external purchase
(outsourcing) 80 118 105 110

Machine hours per unit, in-


house production 0.25 0.5 0.3 0.4

Which items should be produced in-house and which should be outsourced?


Calculate the total cost associated with the optimal plan.

© Emile Woolf International 580 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

1.4 Non-financial considerations


When relevant costs are used to make a decision, it is assumed that the decision
should be based on financial considerations and whether the decision will add to
profit (cash flows).
In reality, however, managers are likely to think about non-financial issues as well
as financial issues when making their decisions. The non-financial considerations
in any decision will depend on the circumstances, and will vary from one decision
to another. Non-financial considerations can influence a decision. In your
examination, be prepared to identify relevant non-financial issues in a particular
situation, and discuss their potential implications.
Non-financial considerations that will often be relevant to a make-or-buy decision
include the following:
 When work is outsourced, the entity loses some control over the work. It
will rely on the external supplier to produce and supply the outsourced
items. There may be some risk that the external supplier will:
 produce the outsourced items to a lower standard of quality, or
 fail to meet delivery dates on schedule, so that production of the end-
product may be held up by a lack of components.
 The entity will also lose some flexibility. If it needs to increase or reduce
supply of the outsourced item at short notice, it may be unable to do so
because of the terms of the agreement with the external supplier. For
example, the terms of the agreement may provide for the supply of a fixed
quantity of the outsourced item each month.
 A decision to outsource work may have implications for employment within
the entity, and it may be necessary to make some employees redundant.
This will have cost implications, and could also adversely affect relations
between management and other employees.
 It might be appropriate to think about the longer-term consequences of a
decision to outsource work. What might happen if the entity changes its
mind at some time in the future and decides either (a) to bring the work
back in-house or (b) to give the work to a different external supplier? The
problem might be that taking the work from the initial external provider and
placing it somewhere else might not be easy in practice, since the external
supplier might not be co-operative in helping with the removal of its work.
The non-financial factors listed above are all reasons against outsourcing work.
There might also be non-financial benefits from outsourcing work to an external
supplier.
 If the work that is outsourced is not specialised, or is outside the entity’s
main area of expertise, outsourcing work will enable management to focus
their efforts on those aspects of operations that the entity does best. For
example, it could be argued that activities such as the management of an
entity’s fleet of delivery vehicles, or the monthly payroll work, should be
outsourced because the entity itself has no special expertise on these
areas.
 The external supplier, on the other hand, may have specialist expertise
which enables it to provide the outsourced products or services more
efficiently and effectively. For example a company might outsource all its IT
support operations, because it cannot recruit and retain IT specialists. An
external service provider, on the other hand, will employ IT specialists.

© Emile Woolf International 581 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2 OTHER SHORT TERM DECISIONS

Section overview

 Applications of relevant costing


 One-off contract decisions
 Shutdown decisions
 Joint product further processing decisions

2.1 Applications of relevant costing


The principles of relevant costing were explained in the previous chapter.
These principles can be applied to any type of management decision, not just
make-or-buy decisions. Examples of other types of management decision where
relevant costing may be used are:
 One-off contract decisions
 Shutdown decisions
 Joint product further processing decisions.

2.2 One-off contract decisions


Management might have an opportunity to carry out a contract or job for a
customer, where the job is ‘once only’ and will not be repeated in the future. The
decision is therefore to decide whether to agree to do the job at the price offered
by the customer, or to decide a selling price at which an incremental profit would
be made.
If it is a one-off contract, rather than regular production work, it would be
worthwhile undertaking the contract if the extra revenue from the contract is
higher than the relevant costs of doing the work (including any opportunity costs).
The incremental profit from the one-off contract is the revenue that would be
obtained minus the relevant costs.
One-off contract decisions might occur when a company has spare capacity, and
an opportunity arises to earn some extra profit. This type of analysis should not
be applied to most contract decisions, however, because a company must earn
sufficient profits in total to cover its fixed costs and make a profit. Relevant costs
do not help management to decide what the size of the profit margin should be,
in order to ensure that the company makes an overall profit from all its activities.

© Emile Woolf International 582 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

Practice question 2
Contractor Nigeria Limited is deciding whether or not to proceed with
a one-off special contract for which it would receive a once-off
payment of
₦200,000
Details of relevant costs are:
(a) The special contract requires 200 hours of labour at ₦600 per
hour. Employees possessing the necessary skills are already
employed by Contractor Nigeria Limited but are currently idle due
to a recent downturn in business.
(b) Materials X and Y will be used. 100 tonnes of material X will be
needed and sufficient material is in inventory as the material is in
common use by the company. Original cost of material in inventory
was ₦150 per tonne but it would cost ₦180 per tonne to replace if
used in this contract. Material Y is in inventory as a result of
previous over-purchasing. The original cost of material Y was
₦50,000 but it has no other use. Unfortunately material B is toxic
and if not used in this contract Contractor Nigeria Limited must
pay ₦24,000 to have it disposed.
(c) The contract will require the use of a storage unit for three months.
Contractor is committed to rent the unit for one year at a rental of
₦8,000 per month. The unit is not in use at present. However, a
neighbouring business has recently approached Contractor
Nigeria Limited offering to rent the unit from them for ₦11,000
per month.
(d) Overheads are absorbed at ₦750 per labour hour which consists of
₦500 for fixed overhead and ₦250 for variable overhead. Total
fixed overheads are not expected to increase as a result of the
contract.
A trainee accountant has performed the following calculation which
shows that the contract will cost ₦359,000 to deliver and concluded
that the contract should therefore not be accepted for ₦200,000.
Description Relevant cost

Labour: 200 hours x ₦600 120,000
Material X: 100 tonnes x ₦150 15,000
Material Y: Original cost 50,000
Storage: 3 months x ₦8,000 24,000
Overheads: ₦750 x 200 150,000
Total 359,000

Calculate the relevant cost of the contract and advise whether the
contract should be accepted or not on financial grounds.

© Emile Woolf International 583 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2.3 Shutdown decisions


A shutdown decision is a decision about whether or not to shut down a part of the
operations of a company. From a financial viewpoint, an operation should be shut
down if the benefits of shutdown exceed the relevant costs.
A shutdown decision may be a long-term decision when there are large initial
expenditures involved (for example, costs of making the work force redundant).
For the purpose of the examination, however, any shutdown decision will be a
short-term decision.

Example: Shutdown decisions


Afor Ukwu Nigeria Limited makes four products, P, Q, R and S. The budget for
next year is as follows:
P Q R S Total
₦000 ₦000 ₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Direct materials 300 500 400 700 1,900
Direct labour 400 800 600 400 2,200
Variable overheads 100 200 100 100 500
800 1,500 1,100 1,200 4,600
Sales 1,800 1,650 2,200 1,550 7,200
Contribution 1,000 150 1,100 350 2,600
Directly attributable
fixed costs (400) (250) (300) (300) (1,250)
Share of general
fixed costs (200) (200) (300) (400) (1,100)
Profit/(loss) 400 (300) 500 (350) 250

‘Directly attributable fixed costs’ are cash expenditures that are directly
attributable to each individual product. These costs would be saved if operations
to make and sell the product were shut down.
Required
State with reasons whether any of the products should be withdrawn from the
market.

© Emile Woolf International 584 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

Answer
From a financial viewpoint, a product should be withdrawn from the market if the
savings from closure exceed the benefits of continuing to make and sell the
product. If a product is withdrawn from the market, the company will lose the
contribution, but will save the directly attributable fixed costs.
Effect of shutdown P Q R S
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
‘000 ‘000 ‘000 ‘000
Contribution forgone (1,000) (150) (1,100) (350)
Directly attributable fixed costs
Saved 400 250 300 300
Increase/(reduction) in annual
cash flows (600) 100 (800) (50)

Product S makes a loss of ₦350,000 after allocation of general fixed overhead.


However, this is misleading as the allocation of general fixed overhead is not a
relevant cost. Stopping making product S would reduce annual cash flows
because the contribution lost would be greater than the savings in directly
attributable fixed costs.
However, withdrawal of product Q from the market would improve annual cash
flows by ₦100,000, and withdrawal is therefore recommended on the basis of
this financial analysis.
Decision recommended: Stop making and selling product Q but carry on making
and selling product S.

© Emile Woolf International 585 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2.4 Joint product further processing decisions


Joint products are products manufactured from a common process. In some
instances, a company might have a choice between:
 selling the joint product as soon as it is output from the common process, or
 processing the joint product further before selling it (at a higher price).
This is a short-term decision, and the financial assessment should be made using
relevant costs and revenues. The financial assessment should compare:
 the revenue that will be obtained (less any selling costs) from selling the
joint product as soon as it is output from the common process, and
 the revenue that will be obtained if the joint product is processed further,
less the incremental costs of further processing and then selling the
product.
Applying relevant costing, the costs of the common process are irrelevant to the
decision, because these costs will be incurred anyway, whatever the decision.
The decision should be to further process the joint product if the extra revenue
from further processing exceeds the extra (relevant) costs of the further
processing.

Example: Joint product further processing decisions


A company produces two joint products from a common process. The costs of the
common process are ₦4,000 per 100 kilograms of input.
For every 100 kilograms of input to the common process, output consists of 40
kilograms of J1 and 60 kilograms of J2.
J1 can be sold for ₦100 per kilogram and J2 can be sold for ₦160 per kilogram.
Alternatively, J1 can be processed to make a finished product, F1.
Costs of further processing consist of variable costs of ₦60 per kilogram and
fixed costs of ₦1,200,000 per year.
Of these fixed costs, ₦960,000 would be directly attributable to the further
processing operations, and the remaining ₦240,000 would be an apportionment
of general fixed overhead costs.
The further processed product (F1) would have a selling price of ₦280 per
kilogram.
It is estimated that 15,000 kilograms of J1 will be produced each year. There are
no losses in any process.

The decision as to whether J1 be sold as soon as it is produced from the common


process, or further processed into Product F1 is made as follows:

© Emile Woolf International 586 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

Example (continued) : Joint product further processing decisions


The common processing costs are irrelevant to the further processing decision.
The annual relevant costs and benefits of further processing JP1 are as follows:

Revenue from selling FP1 (per kilogram) 280
Variable further processing cost (60)
Additional variable revenue from further processing 220
Opportunity cost: sales of JP1 forgone (100)
Benefit per kilogram from further processing 120
Number of kilograms produced each year  15,000
Total annual benefits before directly attributable fixed
costs ₦1,800,000
Directly attributable fixed costs of further processing ₦(960,000)
Net annual benefits of further processing ₦840,000

Recommendation: J1 should be processed to make F1, because this will increase


annual profit by ₦840,000.

© Emile Woolf International 587 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

3 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Analyse relevant costs to decide whether to make or buy a good

 Analyse relevant costs to price contracts


 Analyse relevant costs to make shutdown decisions
 Analyse relevant costs to make further processing decisions

© Emile Woolf International 588 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 18: Other decisions

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS

Solutions 1
The selling price for each product is higher than the variable cost of purchasing each
product externally; therefore profit will be maximised by making the products in-house
or purchasing them externally, up to the full amount of the annual sales demand.
Product W X Y Z
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Variable cost per unit, in-house
manufacture 50 70 60 70
Cost of external purchase
(outsourcing) 80 118 105 110
Extra cost of outsourcing, per
unit 30 48 45 40
Machine hours per unit, in-
house production (÷) 0.25 0.5 0.3 0.4
Extra cost of outsourcing, per
machine hour saved ₦120 ₦96 ₦150 ₦100
Priority for outsourcing 3rd 1st 4th 2nd
Priority for in-house production 2nd 4th 1st 3rd

The cost-minimising and profit-maximising budget is as follows:


Machine Total variable
Product hours Units cost
In-house: ₦
Y 900 3,000 180,000
W 1,000 4,000 200,000
Z (balance) 1,600 4,000 280,000
3,500
Outsourced
Z 1,000 110,000
X 6,000 708,000
Total variable cost 1,478,000

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Performance management

Solutions 2
(a) The relevant cost of labour is zero as no extra cost will be incurred as a result of this
contract.
(b) The relevant cost of a material that is used regularly is its replacement cost.
Additional inventory of the material must be purchased for use in this contract. The
relevant cost of material X is therefore ₦180 per tonne i.e. ₦180 x 100 = ₦18,000
There is a relevant saving from using material Y from not having to pay the disposal
cost of ₦24,000.
(c) As Contractor is already committed to rent the storage unit for one year the monthly
rental cost is not relevant to the contract. However, the opportunity cost is the
foregone rental income that Contractor would have made from the neighbouring
business for the three months needed for this contract. i.e. 3 x ₦11,000 = ₦33,000
(d) The fixed overhead is not relevant because there is no increment to fixed overheads
expected as a result of this contract. Therefore the relevant overhead cost is just the
variable part of ₦250 per hour x 200 hours = ₦50,000
So in total the total relevant cost is ₦82,000 as follows:
Description Relevant cost

Labour 0
Material X 18,000
Material Y (24,000)
Storage 33,000
Overheads 50,000
Total 77,000

Conclusion: The contract should be accepted as it would make an incremental profit to


Contractor of ₦123,000 (revenue of ₦200,000 less relevant costs of ₦77,000).

© Emile Woolf International 590 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


19
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Pricing

Contents
1 Factors that influence price
2 Price elasticity of demand
3 Demand equations, cost functions and maximising
profit
4 Price strategies
5 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
e Explain different pricing strategies, including:
i Cost-plus;
ii Skimming;
iii Market penetration;
iv Complementary product;
v Product-line;
vi Volume discounting; and
vii Market discrimination.
f Calculate and present numerically and graphically the optimum selling price
for a product or service using given data and information by applying relevant
cost and economic models and advise management.

Exam context
This chapter explains different approaches that may be used to set prices.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the factors that influence selling prices
 Explain and calculate price elasticity
 Derive cost and demand functions
 Calculate the price (and therefore quantity) that leads to profit maximisation
 Explain different types of pricing strategy

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Chapter19: Pricing

1 FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE PRICE

Section overview

 The nature of pricing decisions


 Demand and supply
 Cost
 Income of customers
 Product life cycle
 Quality
 Other factors influencing price

1.1 The nature of pricing decisions


For many companies, pricing decisions are amongst the most important
decisions management must make. The selling price for a company’s products or
services will affect:
 the volume of sales demand; and
 the profit margin per unit.
Some pricing decisions are for the longer term; companies have to decide the
general price level at which it wants to sell its goods or services. The ability of
companies to decide the general level of selling prices differs according to the
size of the company relative to the size of the market it operates in.
 Companies that dominate their market, and are the largest suppliers to the
market, are often able to decide what selling prices should be. They are
‘price makers’. Companies that dominate their market might sell their
products at low prices to maintain their dominant market share.
 Companies that do not dominate their market are usually ‘price takers’,
which means that they have to sell their products at about the same price
as other companies in the market. They are unable to sell at lower prices
without incurring a loss; and if they try selling at higher prices, customers
will switch to rival suppliers.
In the short term companies might use other pricing strategies, such as
temporary price reductions or pricing a special job or contract at a low price in
order to win the work and a new customer.
Some of the factors that influence sales pricing decisions are described briefly in
the rest of this section.

1.2 Demand and supply


According to basic microeconomic analysis, the sales price for a product in a
market is determined by demand and supply.
 Demand is the volume of sales demand that will exist for the product at any
given price. As a normal rule, sales demand will be higher when the price is
lower. If the price rises, total sales demand will fall. If the price falls, sales
demand will rise.

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Performance management

 Supply is the quantity of the product (or service) that suppliers are willing to
sell at any given sales price. Higher prices will attract more suppliers into
the market and encourage existing suppliers to produce more. Lower prices
will deter some suppliers, and might drive some out of business if the price
fall results in losses.
A simple graph of supply and demand is shown below. In this diagram, the
equilibrium price level is the sales price that would become established in the
market if the factors that affect supply or demand did not change. Here the price
would be P and the total sales demand for the product would be Q units.

Example: Supply and demand

Occasionally, sales demand for a product might rise to such a high level that
producers in the market are unable to meet the demand in full. Until production
capacity can be increased, this situation could result in very large price rises and
very high profit margins for producers.
An example of demand exceeding supply capacity has been the market for oil on
occasions in the past. Oil suppliers are unable to alter their output volumes
quickly, so a large increase in demand for oil can result in very large price
increases, at least in the short term.

Monopoly pricing
Supply and demand in the diagram above is for the market as a whole, and
within the market there might be many different suppliers competing with each
other to win business.
A similar situation applies to companies that are dominant in their particular
market, and supply most of the goods or services sold in the market. In these
‘monopoly markets’, the individual company has a downward-sloping demand
curve, which means that:
 as a monopoly supplier to the market, it is in a position to set prices for the
market, but
 if it raises the prices of its products, the demand for its products will fall.

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Chapter19: Pricing

Pricing in a competitive market


In contrast to a monopoly market, companies that sell their products in a highly
competitive market will decide their selling prices by comparing them with those
of competitors.
In order to compete effectively, companies might use short-term pricing tactics
such as price reductions, volume purchase discounts, better credit terms and so
on.

1.3 Cost
In the long run, the sales price must exceed the average cost of sales of the
product that a business entity sells. If cost is higher than selling price, the
business will make a loss and cannot survive in the long term. Cost is therefore a
major determinant of price.
Costs are influenced by factors such as:
 suppliers’ prices for raw materials and components;
 price inflation;
 exchange rate movements;
 other elements of cost, such as wage rates and general expenses;
 quality: it usually costs more to produce an item to a higher quality
standard.
A company may have to decide where it wants to position its product in the
market in terms of quality. Premium pricing (higher-than-average prices) prices
can be used for higher quality products, but customers may prefer lower quality,
lower priced products. A clear understanding of the link between quality and cost
will be needed to help management determine the optimum price/quality mix.
If a company is able to reduce its costs, it should be in a position if it wishes to
reduce its sales prices and compete more aggressively (on price) for a bigger
share of the market.

1.4 Income of customers


Another microeconomic factor influencing sales demand in any market is the
level of income of customers and potential customers for the product.
As the income of customers rises, they are more likely to want to buy more of the
product. When demand is growing because income levels are rising, there is a
tendency for prices to rise.
 In an economy as a whole, rising income occurs when the national
economy is growing, and prices will rise. (The authorities might try to
prevent excessive inflation, but prices will nevertheless increase.)
 When income in an economy is falling, there is an economic recession, and
there might even be some price falls.

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Performance management

1.5 Product life cycle


The product life cycle is explained in more detail in a later chapter on life cycle
costing.
As a product goes through the different stages of its life cycle, sales prices will
change.
 Introduction stage- During the introduction stage of its life cycle, the
product is introduced to the market. If the product is new, and there are no
rival products on the market, there is a choice between a market skimming
policy for pricing or a market penetration policy. These policies are
explained later.
 Growth stage- During the growth stage of its life cycle, demand for the
product increases rapidly, but more competitors enter the market. If the
market is competitive, each firm might have to lower its prices to win a
share of the growing market. However, because sales demand is strong,
prices and profit margins are likely to be fairly high (although falling). Some
companies might try to identify a specialist ‘niche’ in the market, where they
have more control over pricing of their products. Similarly, companies might
try to keep prices higher by differentiating their product from those of
competitors on the basis of quality or other distinguishing features (such as
design differences).
 Maturity stage- When a product reaches the maturity stage of its life cycle,
total sales demand in the market becomes stable, but the product may
become a ‘commodity’. Firms must then compete for market share, often by
cutting prices. Companies might use product differentiation strategies to
keep the price of their product higher than it might otherwise be, but prices
generally will be lower than during the growth stage of the life cycle.
 Decline- Eventually, the market demand for a product declines. When
sales demand falls, companies leave the market. Those that remain keep
on selling the product as long as they can make a profit. Prices might
remain very low. In some cases, however, a product might acquire ‘rarity
value’, allowing companies to raise prices. However, since unit costs will
also be higher, it is still difficult to make a profit.

1.6 Quality
Some customers will often be willing to pay more for better quality and
companies may set prices higher than the market average because their
products have a better-quality design or more features that provide value to
customers.
Quality is often ‘real’, and can be provided by better-quality materials (for
example in clothing products) or by greater reliability of performance or better
performance (for example in motor cars).
Quality may also be ‘perceived’ rather than real, and customers will pay more for
a branded product than for a similar or near-identical product with no brand name
or a ‘cheaper’ brand name.

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Chapter19: Pricing

1.7 Other factors influencing price


There are other influences on pricing decisions and the general level of selling
prices in a market.
 The price of ‘substitute goods’- Substitute goods are goods that customers
could buy as an alternative. Companies might set the price for their product
in the knowledge that customers could switch to an alternative product if
they think that the price is too high. For example, if the price of butter is too
high, more customers might switch to margarine or other types of ‘spread’.
 The price of ‘complementary goods’- Complementary goods are items
that customers will have to buy in addition to complement the product.
The pricing of complementary products is explained in more detail later,
as a pricing strategy that companies may use.
 Consumer tastes and fashion- High prices might be obtained for
‘fashion goods’.
 Advertising and marketing- Sales demand can be affected by sales and
marketing activities, including public relations activity. Strong consumer
interest in a product or service could allow a company to set a higher price.
In addition to general factors influencing price, such as supply and demand,
competition and cost, companies will use one or more different pricing strategies
to decide the sales prices for their products or services.
A number of different pricing strategies are described in a later section of this
chapter.

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Performance management

2 PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

Section overview

 Price elasticity of demand: its meaning and measurement


 Elastic and inelastic demand
 Elasticity and setting prices

2.1 Price elasticity of demand: its meaning and measurement


Within a market as a whole, there is an inverse relationship between selling price
and sales demand. At higher prices, total sales demand for a product will be
lower. For individual companies in a monopoly position in their market (or niche
of the market) the same rule applies: if prices are raised, demand will fall.
The price elasticity of demand (PED) is a measurement of the change in sales
demand that would occur for a given change in the selling price.
It is measured as follows:

Formula: Price elasticity of demand


The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of
original demand
=  100
The change in sales price as a percentage of the
original price

Price elasticity of demand has a negative value, because demand rises (positive)
if the price falls (negative), and demand falls if the price rises.

Example: Price elasticity


The following estimates have been made of total sales demand for product X:
An increase in the price from ₦90 to ₦100 will result in a fall in daily demand
from 2,000 to 1,600 units
The price elasticity of demand for product X at a price of ₦90 is calculated as
follows:
If the price is increased from ₦90 to ₦100
The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of original demand
= - 400/2,000 = - 0.20 or - 20%.
The change in price as a percentage of the original price
= ₦10/₦90 = + 0.111 or + 11.1%.
PED = - 0.20/ + 0.111 = - 1.8.

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Chapter19: Pricing

Practice questions 1
The following estimates have been made of total sales demand for product
X:
A fall in the price from ₦50 to ₦40 will result in a rise in daily demand from
8,000 to 9,000 units.
Calculate the price elasticity of demand for product X at a price of ₦50

2.2 Elastic and inelastic demand


Sales demand for a product could be either elastic or inelastic in response to
changes in sales price.
 Demand is elastic if its value is above 1. (More accurately, demand is
elastic if its elasticity is a figure larger than – 1.)
 Demand is inelastic if its value is less than 1. (More accurately, demand is
inelastic if its elasticity is a figure below – 1, between 0 and – 1.)

The significance of elasticity


Price elasticity of demand affects the amount by which total sales revenue from a
product will change when there is a change in the sales price.
If demand is highly elastic (greater than 1, ignoring the minus sign):
 increasing the sales price will lead to a fall in total sales revenue, due to a
large fall in sales demand, and
 a reduction in the sales price will result in an increase in total sales
revenue, due to the large rise in sales demand.
Profit might increase or decrease when the sales price is changed, depending on
changes in total costs as well as the change in total revenue.
If demand is inelastic (less than 1, ignoring the minus sign):
 increasing the sales price will result in an increase in total sales revenue
from the product, because the fall in sales volume is fairly small, and
 reducing the sales price will result in lower total sales revenue, because the
increase in sales demand will not be enough to offset the effect on revenue
of the fall in price.
A product does not necessarily have high or low price elasticity of demand at all
price levels. The same product might have a high price elasticity of demand at
some sales prices and low price elasticity at other prices.

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Performance management

2.3 Elasticity and setting prices


An understanding of the price elasticity of demand for products can help
managers to make pricing decisions:
 If demand is inelastic, raising selling prices will result in higher sales
revenue. Since fewer units will be sold, it should be expected that total
costs will fall. Higher revenue and lower total costs mean higher profits. If
management believe that sales demand for their product is price-inelastic,
they might therefore consider raising the sales price.
 If demand is inelastic, reducing the sale price will lead to lower total sales
revenue. Sales demand will increase, and so the costs of sales are also
likely to increase. Profits are therefore likely to fall.
 If demand is elastic, an increase in the sales price will lead to a fall in total
sales revenue. Sales demand will also fall. If managers are thinking about
an increase in the sales price, they will have to consider whether the fall in
total costs (due to the lower volume of sales) will exceed the fall in total
revenue.
 If demand is elastic, reducing the sales price will increase total sales
revenue from the product, but total sales volume will increase. The effect,
as with raising sales prices for a product with high price elasticity of
demand, could be either higher or lower total profits. There is a risk that if
one company reduces its sales prices and elasticity of demand is high, this
could lead to a ‘price war’ in which all competitors reduce their prices too.
At the end of a price war, all sellers are likely to be worse off.
Companies might try to reduce the price elasticity of demand for their products by
using non-price methods, such as improving product quality, improving service
and the use of advertising and sales promotions.

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Chapter19: Pricing

3 DEMAND EQUATIONS, COST FUNCTIONS AND MAXIMISING PROFIT

Section overview

 Introduction
 Demand curves in imperfect competition
 Profit-maximisation
 Problems using a demand equation
 Incremental revenue and incremental cost

3.1 Introduction
Many scenarios faced by businesses can be mathematically modelled in order to
aid decision making. One such area is price setting.
Decisions are made to achieve objectives. The pricing model assumes that the
objective of a business is to maximise its profits.

Definitions
Revenue: The income generated from sale of goods or services. It is the price of a
good multiplied by the quantity sold.
Marginal revenue: The change in total revenue as a result of selling one extra item.
This is the slope of the revenue curve.
Marginal cost: The change in total cost as a result of making one extra item. This is
the slope of the cost curve.

A business should continue to make and sell more units as long as the marginal
revenue from selling an item exceeds its marginal cost as this will increase profit.
Any unit sold once marginal cost exceeds marginal revenue would reduce profit.
The values of marginal cost and marginal revenue depend on the shape of the
total cost and total revenue curves of a business.

Revenue curves
There are two sets of market conditions to consider:
 a market in which there is perfect competition; and
 a market in which there is imperfect competition.
Perfect competition requires the existence of many different suppliers competing
to sell identical products to many different customers and that all market
participants have perfect information to help them to make selling and buying
decisions. No single supplier can influence the price of goods as this is
determined by the market.
A supplier should make and sell more goods as long as the marginal cost of
making them is less than the marginal revenue from selling them (this being
equal to the price set by the market.
Perfect competition is rare in practice and not very interesting from a
mathematical modelling view. Questions are far more likely to be about a
company facing imperfect competition.

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Performance management

3.2 Demand curves in imperfect competition


Suppliers seek to differentiate their products from those of their competitors. This
leads to imperfect competition. When imperfect competition exists a supplier can
set his own price. However, this has an effect on demand. The degree of this
impact depends on the shape of the demand curve faced by a supplier.
A demand curve is a graph showing the quantity demanded at different sales
prices. Usually an increase in price leads to a fall in demand. If the link between
price and quantity is assumed to be a straight line relationship it can be
represented as follows.

Formula: Demand curve


P = a – bQ

Where:
P = sales price
Q = quantity demanded
a = sales price when the quantity demanded is 0
b = change in sale price/ change in quantity sold

Example: Deriving a demand curve.


The sales demand curve for a product is straight-line.
Demand = 80,000 units when the sales price is ₦0.
Demand = 0 units when the sales price is ₦40.
Derive the demand curve
a = ₦40 (given)
b =₦40/80,000 = 0.0005

Demand curve: P = 40  0.0005Q

This means that if a company increases the selling price then the number of
goods sold will fall and vice versa.
Revenue = Price × Quantity
The impact of a price change on the total revenue of a company depends on the
interaction between the change in price and the change in quantity. In other
words it depends on the slope of the revenue curve. This is the marginal revenue
(MR).

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Chapter19: Pricing

Calculating MR

Example: Revenue and marginal revenue.


Demand curve: P = 40  0.0005Q
Construct the equation for total revenue and then differentiate it with respect to Q
to give an expression for marginal revenue.
Demand curve P = 40  0.0005Q
Revenue curve:
Multiply the demand curve by Q P × Q = 40Q  0.0005Q2
R = 40Q  0.0005Q2

MR curve by differentiation

Calculating MC
Marginal cost is the slope of the total cost curve. An equation for total costs can
be constructed (the total cost function) and this can be differentiated with respect
to the quantity to find the marginal cost.

Example: Total cost and marginal cost.


A business manufactures goods at a variable cost of ₦2 per unit.
Fixed costs are ₦500,000.
Construct the equation for total costs and then differentiate it with respect to Q to
give an expression for marginal costs.
Total costs (TC) = Total fixed costs + Total variable costs
Total variable costs = Variable cost per unit (₦2) × Number of units made (Q)
Total costs given by: TC = 500,000 + 2Q

MC curve by differentiation

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Performance management

3.3 Profit-maximisation
A company seeks to maximise its profits. Questions ask for the calculation of the
quantity that must be sold to maximise profit (from which a selling price can be
calculated).
There are two approaches to measuring the quantity that a business needs to
sell to maximise profit using either:
 MR = MC; or
 the profit function

MR = MC
A business should sell an extra unit as long as the marginal revenue (MR) of the
sale is greater than its marginal cost (MC).
A company can only sell more and more units by dropping its selling price.
Eventually the MR of a sale will become less than its MC.
This implies there is a point where MR = MC at which profit is maximised.
The following diagram shows plots of the revenue curve and cost curve of a
product.

Illustration: Profit and cost curves

The business does not start to make profit until the revenue line crosses
the total cost line at point X.
Profit is maximised at Q1. This is where the slope of the revenue curve
(MR) equals the slope of the cost curve.

MR = MC approach to finding the selling price and sales quantity at which profit is
maximised.
 Step 1: Derive the demand curve.
 Step 2: Derive the revenue curve by multiplying the demand curve by Q.
 Step 3: Derive an expression for MR by differentiating the revenue curve.
 Step 4: Set MR = MC and solve for the sales quantity that maximises profit.
 Step 5: Calculate the price at which profits are maximised by substituting
the value of Q found at step 4 into the demand curve.

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Chapter19: Pricing

The marginal cost is found by differentiating the total cost line. Usually we
assume that the cost function is straight line so marginal cost is simply the slope
of this line.

Example
Demand curve: P = 40 – 0.0005Q
Total cost line: Total cost = 500,000 + 2Q
Step 1: Demand curve P = 40 – 0.0005Q
Step 2: Revenue curve:
Multiply the demand curve by Q R = 40Q  0.0005Q2

Step 3: MR curve by differentiation

Step 4: (Set MR = MC)


Note that the marginal cost is the 40  0.001Q = 2
slope of the cost line
40  2 = 0.001Q
Q = 38,000
Step 5: Price by substitution for Q P = 40 – 0.0005Q
into the demand function. P = 40 – 0.0005(38,000)
P = 21
Conclusion:
Profit is maximised by selling 38,000 units for ₦21 per unit.

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Performance management

Using the profit function


The following illustration shows the curves of the revenue function, total cost
function and the profit function.

Illustration: Profit and cost curves

The business does not start to make profit until the revenue line crosses
the total cost line at point X.
Profit is maximised at Q1. This is where the slope of the revenue curve
(MR) equals the slope of the cost curve. Notice that the point A is not the
highest point on the revenue curve. Q1 is the quantity that maximises
profit not the quantity that maximises revenue.
As the revenue line passes point A revenue continues to increase until
point Y but profit falls because the marginal cost is greater than
marginal revenue.
After the point Y the revenue curve slopes downwards as total revenue
falls.
At point Z the revenue line passes below the total cost line. The company
would make a loss from this point.

Profit function approach to finding the selling price and sales quantity at which
profit is maximised.
 Step 1: Derive the demand curve.
 Step 2: Derive the revenue curve by multiplying the demand curve by Q.
 Step 3: Derive the total cost curve.
 Step 4: Derive the profit curve (Profit = Revenue less total costs).
 Step 5: Differentiate the profit curve to find its slope
 Step 6: Set the differential coefficient to zero and solve for Q. This is the
profit maximising quantity. (You can prove that this is a maximum by
checking that the second differential is negative).
 Step 7: Calculate the price at which profits are maximised by substituting
the value of Q found at step 6 into the demand curve.

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Chapter19: Pricing

Example
Demand curve: P = 40 – 0.0005Q
A business manufactures goods at a variable cost of ₦2 per unit.
Fixed costs are ₦500,000.
Step 1: Demand curve P = 40 – 0.0005Q
Step 2: Revenue curve:
Multiply the demand curve by Q R = 40Q  0.0005Q2
Step 3: Derive the total cost
curve TC = 500,000 + 2Q
Step 4: Derive the profit curve P=R–C
P = 40Q  0.0005Q2  (500,000 + 2Q)
P = 40Q  0.0005Q2  500,000  2Q
P = 38Q  0.0005Q2  500,000
Step 5: Differentiate the profit
curve to find its slope

Step 6: Set the differential 0 = 38  0.001Q


coefficient to zero and solve for 0.001Q = 38
Q
Q = 38,000
Step 7: Price by substitution for P = 40 – 0.0005Q
Q into the demand function. P = 40 – 0.0005(38,000)
P = 21
Conclusion:
Profit is maximised by selling 38,000 units for ₦21 per unit.

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Performance management

Practice question 2
Calculate the profit maximising quantity and price in each of the following
scenarios.
1 At a price of ₦12 per unit, the expected annual sales demand is
300,000 units
Annual sales demand falls or increases by 2,000 units for every ₦0.50
increase or reduction in price.
Marginal cost is ₦2.
2 A major hotel is planning a gala dinner, at which there will be up to 800
places available.
The initial idea was to charge ₦1,000 per person and at this price the
hotel would expect to sell 600 tickets.
Market research suggests that for every ₦50 increase or reduction in
the ticket price, demand will fall or increase by 20.
The variable cost per person for the dinner will be ₦250.

3.4 Problems using a demand equation


There are several practical difficulties with using a demand equation to establish
a profit-maximising price.
 There may be insufficient reliable data to produce an estimate of the
demand equation.
 The assumption that the demand equation is a straight line may be
inaccurate.
 A demand equation normally applies to either total market demand for a
product or to the demand for a product that is made and sold by a company
in a monopoly position in its market. For smaller companies in a
competitive market, selling prices might not be the profit-maximising price,
but a price at which the company can compete successfully against its
rivals.

3.5 Incremental revenue and incremental cost


Because of the practical problems with deriving a reliable demand equation,
decisions about changing the selling price for a product are more likely to be
assessed by comparing the incremental revenues and incremental costs that
would arise from the price change.
Reducing the selling price of a product by a specific amount should be expected
to result in higher sales demand. (If it doesn’t, there would be no reason to
reduce the price.) Higher sales demand would be met by increasing the volume
of output; and at higher volumes of output, costs will change.
 There may be no change in variable costs; however variable costs per unit
may change. Labour costs per hour will increase if employees are required
to work overtime to produce the higher volume of output. On the other
hand, direct materials costs per unit might change if volume purchase
discounts are available at the new volume of production.

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Chapter19: Pricing

 There may be no change in fixed cost expenditure; however fixed cost


spending may be higher at higher volumes of output due to a ‘step’
increase in fixed costs.
To assess the effect of a proposed increase in price on profit, it is necessary to
calculate:
 the incremental sales revenue, which is the increase in total sales revenue
that would occur (or fall in total revenue, if demand is inelastic), and
 the incremental costs, which is the net increase in total costs, both fixed
and variable that would occur.
A reduction in price would be justified if incremental revenue exceeded
incremental costs.
Study the following example carefully.

Example: Incremental approach


A company makes and sells a single product. The sales price is ₦20 per unit.
Annual sales demand is currently 24,000. Annual fixed costs are ₦250,000, and
the variable cost per unit is ₦8, made up as follows:
Variable cost per unit ₦
Materials 4
Direct labour 3
Other variable costs 1
Total variable cost 8
The company is considering a proposal to reduce the sales price from ₦20 to
₦19. At the lower price, it is expected that annual sales demand would be
30,000 units. The following changes in costs would occur if annual production
and sales are increased to 30,000 units:
A favourable volume price discount would be obtained on direct material
purchases, and materials costs would fall by 10% for all units produced by the
company during the year.
The company’s output capacity is 28,000 units during normal working time. At
output volumes above this amount, some overtime would have to be worked. The
overtime premium is 50% on top of normal hourly rates of pay.
Total fixed cost expenditure would increase to ₦260,000.
Required
(a) Calculate the effect on annual profit of the proposed price reduction and
recommend (on the basis of change in profit) whether the price should be
reduced.
(b) Briefly state any other factors, other than profitability, that might influence
the pricing decision.

© Emile Woolf International 609 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example (continued): Incremental approach



Sales revenue at new price level: 30,000  ₦19 570,000
Sales revenue at current price level: 24,000  ₦20 480,000
Incremental revenue 90,000
Total materials cost at new price level: 30,000  ₦4  90% 108,000
Total materials cost at current price level: 24,000  ₦4 96,000
Incremental cost of materials (12,000)
Incremental cost of labour at basic rate: 6,000 units  ₦3 18,000
Overtime premium for 2,000 units: 2,000  ₦3  50% 3,000
Total incremental cost of labour (21,000)
Other variable costs: incremental costs: 6,000 units  ₦1 (6,000)
Incremental fixed cost expenditure: ₦(260,000 – 250,000) (10,000)
Incremental profit 41,000
Conclusion: By reducing the price to ₦19, annual profits would increase by
₦41,000. On the basis of profitability, the sales price should be reduced.
Other factors could affect the decision:
Profit might be increased even more if the sales price is changed to a different
amount, say ₦18.
Management needs to be satisfied that the company has the capacity to produce
the larger volume of output without loss of production efficiency or quality.
The recommendation that the price should be reduced assumes that the
estimate of sales demand at ₦19 per unit is reliable. If competitors respond by
reducing their prices by a similar amount, there might be little or no sales volume
increase, and profits might fall rather than increase.

© Emile Woolf International 610 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter19: Pricing

4 PRICE STRATEGIES

Section overview

 The nature of pricing strategies


 Full cost plus pricing
 Marginal cost plus pricing (mark-up pricing)
 Return on investment (ROI) pricing
 Market skimming prices
 Market penetration prices
 Pricing of complementary products and product line pricing
 Volume discounting
 Price discrimination (differential pricing)

4.1 The nature of pricing strategies


Although sales prices in a market are determined largely by factors such as
supply and demand and competition, companies might use a variety of different
pricing strategies, depending on the nature of their business, the nature of the
markets in which they operate and the particular circumstances in which a pricing
decision is made. For example:
For companies in a jobbing industry or contracting industry, each new job or
contract might be different, and this means that a separate price has to be
calculated for each individual job or contract. Some form of cost-plus pricing is
therefore often used in these industries.
When a company brings an entirely new product to the market, can decide
whether to set the price high or low, because there are no rival products on the
market.
Several different pricing strategies are described in this section.

4.2 Full cost plus pricing


Full cost plus pricing involves calculating the full cost of an item (such as a job or
contract) – or the expected full cost – and adding a profit margin to arrive at a
selling price.
Profit is expressed as either:
 a percentage of the full cost (a profit ‘mark-up’) or
 a percentage of the sales price (a ‘profit margin’).

Advantages of full cost plus pricing


A business entity might have an idea of the percentage profit margin it would like
to earn on the goods or services that it sells. It might therefore decide the
average profit mark-up on cost that it would like to earn from sales, as a general
guideline for its pricing decisions. This can be useful for businesses that carry out
a large amount of contract work or jobbing work, for which individual job or
contract prices must be quoted regularly to prospective customers and there is
no obvious ‘fair market’ price.

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Performance management

The percentage mark-up or profit margin does not have to be a fixed percentage
figure. It can be varied to suit the circumstances, such as demand conditions in
the market and what the customer is prepared to pay.
There are also other possible advantages in using full cost plus pricing:
 If the budgeted sales volume is achieved, sales revenue will cover all costs
and there will be a profit.
 It is useful for justifying price rises to customers, when an increase in price
occurs as a consequence of an increase in costs.

Disadvantages of full cost plus pricing


The main disadvantage of cost plus pricing is that it is calculated on the basis of
cost, without any consideration of market conditions, such as competitors’ prices.
 Cost plus pricing fails to allow for the fact that when the sales demand for a
product is affected by its selling price, there is a profit-maximising
combination of price and demand. A cost plus based approach to pricing is
unlikely to arrive at the profit-maximising price for the product.
 In most markets, prices must be adjusted to market and demand
conditions. The pricing decision cannot be made on a cost basis only.
There are also other disadvantages:
 The choice of profit margin or mark-up is arbitrary. How is it decided?
 When a company makes and sells different types of products, the
calculation of a full cost becomes a problem due to the weaknesses of
absorption costing. The method of apportioning costs between the different
products in absorption costing is largely subjective. This affects the
calculation of full cost and the selling price. For example, full cost per unit
will differ according to whether a direct labour hour absorption rate or a
machine hour absorption rate is used. Full cost will also differ if activity-
based costing is used.

Example: Full cost plus pricing


Eko Nigeria Limited makes two products, product X and product Y. These
products are both made by the same work force and in the same department.
The budgeted fixed costs are ₦900,000. Variable costs per unit are as follows:
Product X Product Y
Direct costs ₦ ₦
Materials 60 60
Labour (2 hours) 120 (3 hours) 180
Expenses (1 machine hour) 60 (1 machine hour) 60
240 300

Budgeted production and sales are 1,500 units of product X and 1,000 units of
product Y.
The sale prices for each unit of product X and product Y to give a profit margin of
20% on the full cost, if overheads are absorbed on a direct labour hour basis is
calculated as follows.

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Chapter19: Pricing

Example (continued): Full cost plus pricing


Direct labour hour basis
Budgeted direct labour hours = (1,500 × 2) + (1,000 × 3) = 6,000 hours.
Overhead absorption rate = ₦900,000/6,000 = ₦150 per direct labour hour.
Product X Product Y
Direct costs ₦ ₦
Materials 60 60
Labour 120 180
Expenses 60 60
240 300
Absorbed overhead 300 450
Full cost 540 750
Mark-up (20%) 108 150
Selling price/unit 648 900

The budgeted profit would be (1,500 × ₦108) + (1,000 × ₦150) = ₦312,000.

© Emile Woolf International 613 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice question 3
A company makes two products, product A and product B. These products
are both made by the same work force and in the same department.
The budgeted fixed costs are ₦2,800,000.
Variable costs per unit are as follows:
Product X Product Y
Direct costs ₦ ₦
Materials 100 250
Labour (4 hours) 200 (3 hours) 150
Expenses (1 machine hour) 200 (1.5 machine hour) 300
500 700
Budgeted production and sales are 2,000 units of each product.
Calculate the sale prices for each unit of product X and product Y which give a
profit margin of 15% on the full cost, if overheads are absorbed on a labour hour
basis or on a machine hour basis.

4.3 Marginal cost plus pricing (mark-up pricing)


With marginal cost plus pricing, also called mark-up pricing, a mark-up or profit
margin is added to the marginal cost in order to obtain a selling price.

The method of calculating sales price is similar to full-cost pricing, except that
marginal cost is used instead of full cost. The mark-up represents contribution.

Advantages of marginal cost plus pricing


The advantages of a marginal cost plus approach are as follows:
 It is useful in some industries such as retailing, where prices might be set
by adding a mark-up to the purchase cost of items bought for resale. The
size of the mark-up can be varied to reflect demand conditions. For
example, in a competitive market, a lower mark-up might be added to high-
volume items.
 It draws management attention to contribution and the effects of higher or
lower sales volumes on profit. This can be particularly useful for short-term
pricing decisions, such as pricing decisions for a market penetration policy
(described later).
 When an organisation has spare capacity, marginal cost plus pricing can be
used in the short-term to set a price which covers variable cost. This
approach is used by hotels, airlines, railway companies and telephone
companies to price off-peak usage. As long as fixed costs are covered by
peak users and the lower price set does not affect the main market, a
marginal cost price can be set off-peak to increase demand and therefore
contribution.
 It is more appropriate where fixed costs are low and variable costs are high.

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Chapter19: Pricing

Disadvantages of marginal cost plus pricing


A marginal cost plus approach to pricing also has disadvantages.
 Although the size of the mark-up can be varied according to demand
conditions, marginal cost plus pricing is a cost-based pricing method, and
does not properly take market conditions into consideration.
 It ignores fixed overheads in the pricing decision. Prices must be high
enough to make a profit after covering all fixed costs. Cost-based pricing
decisions therefore cannot ignore fixed costs altogether. A risk with
marginal cost plus pricing is that the mark-up on marginal cost might not be
sufficient to cover fixed costs and achieve a profit.
4.4 Return on investment (ROI) pricing
This method of pricing might be used in a decentralised environment where an
investment centre within a company is required to meet a target return on capital
employed. Prices might be set to achieve a target percentage return on the
capital invested.
With return on investment pricing, the selling price per unit may be calculated as:

Formula: Return on investment (ROI) pricing

Budgeted total costs of the division + (target ROI% 


= capital employed)  100
Budgeted volume

When the investment centre makes and sells a single product, the budgeted
volume is sales volume.
When the investment centre makes and sells several different products,
budgeted volume might be production volume in hours, and the mark-up added
to cost is then a mark-up for the number of hours worked on the product item.
Alternatively, the budgeted volume might be sales revenue, and the mark-up is
then calculated as a percentage of the selling price (a form of full cost plus
pricing).

Advantages of ROI pricing


The advantages of an ROI approach to pricing are as follows:
 ROI pricing is a method of deciding an appropriate profit margin for cost
plus pricing.
 The target ROI can be varied to allow for differing levels of business risk.

Disadvantages of ROI pricing


An ROI approach to pricing also has disadvantages.
 Like all cost-based pricing methods, it does not take market conditions into
sufficient consideration, and the prices that customers will be willing to pay.
 Since it is a form of full cost plus pricing, it shares most of the other
disadvantages as full cost plus pricing.

© Emile Woolf International 615 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice questions 4
A manufacturer is about to launch a new product.
The non-current assets needed for production will cost ₦4,000,000 and working
capital requirements are estimated at ₦800,000.
The expected annual sales volume is 40,000 units.
Variable production costs are ₦60 per unit.
Fixed production costs will be ₦600,000 each year and annual fixed non-
production costs will be ₦200,000.
Required
(a) Calculate selling price using:
(i) full cost plus 20%
(ii) marginal cost plus 40 %
(iii) pricing based on a target return on investment of 10% per year.
(b) If actual sales are only 20,000 units and the selling price is set at full cost
plus 20%, what will the profit be for the year?

© Emile Woolf International 616 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter19: Pricing

4.5 Market skimming prices


When a company introduces a new product to the market for the first time, it
might choose a pricing policy based on ‘skimming the market’.
When a new product is introduced to the market, a few customers might be
prepared to pay a high price to obtain the product, in order to be one of the first
people to have it. Buying the new product gives the buyer prestige, so the buyer
will pay a high price to get it.
In order to increase sales demand, the price must be gradually reduced, but with
a skimming policy, the price is reduced slowly and by small amounts each time.
The contribution per unit with a skimming policy is very high, although unit costs
of production could also be quite high, since sales volumes are low.
To charge high prices, the firm might have to spend heavily on advertising and
other marketing expenditure.
Market skimming will probably be more effective for new ‘high technology’
products, such as (in the past) flat screen televisions and laptop computers.
Firms using market skimming for a new product will have to reduce prices later as
new competitors enter market with rival products. A skimming strategy is
therefore a short-term pricing strategy that cannot usually be sustained for a long
period of time.

Skimming prices and a product differentiation strategy


It is much more difficult to apply a market skimming pricing policy when
competitors have already introduced a rival product to the market. Customers in
the market will already have a view of the prices to expect, and might not be
persuaded to buy a new version of a product in the market unless its price is
lower than prices of existing versions.
However, it may be possible to have a policy of market skimming if it is possible
to differentiate a new product from its rivals, usually on the basis of quality. This
is commonly found in the market for cars, for example, where some
manufacturers succeed in presenting new products as high-quality models. High-
quality cars cost more to produce, and sales demand may be fairly low: however,
profits are obtained by charging high prices and earning a high contribution for
each unit sold.

© Emile Woolf International 617 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4.6 Market penetration prices


Market penetration pricing is an alternative pricing policy to market skimming,
when a new product is launched on to the market for the first time.
With market penetration pricing, the aim is to set a low selling price for the new
product, in order to create a high sales demand as quickly as possible. With a
successful penetration pricing strategy, a company might ‘capture the market’
before competitors can introduce rival products.
A firm might also use market penetration prices to launch its own version of a
product into an established market, with the intention that offering low prices will
attract customers and win a substantial share of the market.

Penetration pricing and a cost leadership strategy


A cost leadership market strategy is a strategy of trying to become the lowest-
cost producer of a product in the market. Low-cost production is usually achieved
through economies of scale and large-scale production and sales volumes.
Penetration pricing is consistent with a cost leadership strategy, because low
prices help a company to obtain a large market share, and a large market share
means high volumes, economies of scale and lower costs.

4.7 Pricing of complementary products and product line pricing

Complementary products
Complementary products are products that ‘go together’, so that if customers buy
one of the products, they are also likely to buy the other. Examples of
complementary products are:
 computer games consoles and computer games;
 mobile telephones (portable phones) and telephone calls from mobile
phones.
Occasionally if a company sells two or more complementary products it could sell
one product at a very low price in the knowledge that if sales demand for the first
product is high, customers will then buy more of the second product (which can
be priced to provide a much bigger profit margin).

Product lines
A product line is a range of products made by the same manufacturer (or a range
of services from the same service provider) where the products have some
similarity or connection so that customers see them as belonging to the same
‘family’.
Examples of a product line are:
 a brand and design of tableware manufactured by the same company (such
as a range of tableware items in Dresden china);
 a brand and range of sports items (such as rackets or golf equipment)
made by the same manufacturer.
When manufacturers produce a line of related items, the pricing strategy for all
items in the product line might be the same (for example, a product line might be
sold as a high-price, high-quality branded range).

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Chapter19: Pricing

4.8 Volume discounting


A price strategy of volume discounting involves selling at reduced prices to
customers who buy in large volumes over a period of time, or for large-value
sales orders.
Volume discounting can have either of the following purposes:
 To persuade customers to buy a product, by offering a lower price (on
condition that the order is above a given size)
 To increase profits by selling in larger volumes, even though the sales price
is lower.

4.9 Price discrimination (differential pricing)


With price discrimination (or differential pricing), a firm sells a single identical
product in different segments of the market at different prices.
A market segment is simply a separately-identifiable part of the entire market.
Customers in one market segment have different characteristics, buying habits,
preferences and needs from the customers in other segments of the same total
market.
For price discrimination to work successfully, the different market segments must
be kept separate. It might be possible to charge different prices for the same
product:
 in different geographical areas – for example, it would be possible to sell
the same product at very different prices in the US and in China;
 at different times of the day – for example, travel tickets might be priced
differently at different times of the day or the week;
 to customers in different age groups – for example, offering special prices
to individuals over a certain age, or to students or to children.

5 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the factors that influence selling prices
 Explain and calculate price elasticity
 Derive cost and demand functions
 Calculate the price (and therefore quantity) that leads to profit maximisation
 Explain different types of pricing strategy

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Chapter19: Pricing

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
(a) If the price is increased from ₦9 to ₦10
The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of original demand
= - 400/2,000 = - 0.20 or - 20%.
The change in price as a percentage of the original price = ₦1/₦9 = + 0.111 or +
11.1%.
PED = - 0.20/ + 0.111 = - 1.8.
(b) If price is reduced from ₦5 to ₦4

The change in quantity demanded as a percentage of original demand


= + 1,000/8,000 = + 0.125 or + 12.5%.
The change in price as a percentage of the original price = - ₦1/₦5 = - 0.20.
PED = + 0.125/- 0.20 = - 0.625.

© Emile Woolf International 621 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solution 2
1 Step 1: Demand curve P = a – bQ
a=
Demand is 300,000 if the sales price is ₦12.
Demand falls by 2,000 units for every ₦0.5 increase.
Number of increases before demand falls to zero = 300,000/2,000 = 150.
150 increases is 150 × ₦0.5 = ₦75.
Therefore the price at which the demand would be zero = ₦12 + ₦75 =
₦87.
b = ₦0.5/2000 = 0.00025
Demand curve P = 87 – 0.00025Q
Step 2: Revenue curve:

Multiply the demand curve by Q R = 87Q  0.00025Q2

Step 3: MR curve by differentiation

Step 4: (Set MR = MC)


Note that the marginal cost is the slope 87  0.0005Q = 2
of the cost line
87  2 = 0.0005Q
Q = 170,000
Step 5: Price by substitution for Q into P = 87 – 0.00025Q
the demand function. P = 87 – 0.00025(170,000)
P = 44.5
Conclusion:
Profit is maximised by selling 170,000 units for ₦44.5 per unit.

© Emile Woolf International 622 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter19: Pricing

Solutions 2
2 Step 1: Demand curve P = a – bQ
a=
Demand is 600 if the sales price is ₦1,000.
Demand falls by 20 units for every ₦50 increase.
Number of increases before demand falls to zero = 600/20 = 30.
30 increases is 30 × ₦50 = ₦1,500.
Therefore the price at which the demand would be zero = ₦1,000 +
₦1,500 = ₦2,500.
b = ₦50/20 = ₦2.5
Demand curve P = 2,500 – 2.5Q
Step 2: Revenue curve:

Multiply the demand curve by Q R = 2,500Q  2.5Q2

Step 3: MR curve by differentiation

Step 4: (Set MR = MC)


Note that the marginal cost is the slope 2,500  5Q = 250
of the cost line
2,500  250 = 5Q
Q = 450
Step 5: Price by substitution for Q into P = 2,500 – 2.5Q
the demand function. P = 2,500 – 2.5(450)
P = ₦1,375
Conclusion:
Profit is maximised by selling 450 seats for ₦1,375 per head.

© Emile Woolf International 623 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solutions 3
Labour hour basis
Budgeted labour hours = (2,000 × 4) + (2,000 × 3) = 14,000 hours
Overhead absorption rate = ₦2.800,000/14,000 = ₦200 per labour hour.
Product X Product Y
Direct costs ₦ ₦
Materials 100 250
Labour 200 150
Expenses 200 300
500 500
Absorbed overhead 800 600
Full cost 1,300 1,100
Mark-up (15%) 195 165
Selling price/unit 1,495 1,265

The budgeted profit would be (1,000 × ₦195) + (1,000 × ₦165) = ₦360,000.


Machine hour basis
Budgeted machine hours = (2,000 × 1) + (2,000 × 1.5) = 5,000 hours.
Overhead absorption rate = ₦2.800,000/5,000 = ₦560 per machine hour.
Product X Product Y
Direct costs ₦ ₦
Materials 100 250
Labour 200 150
Expenses 200 300
500 500
Absorbed overhead 560 840
Full cost 1,060 1,340
Mark-up (15%) 159 201
Selling price/unit 1,219 1,541

The budgeted profit would be (1,000 × ₦159) + (1,000 × ₦201) = ₦360,000.

© Emile Woolf International 624 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter19: Pricing

Solutions 4
(i) Full cost plus 20% ₦per unit
Variable cost 60
Fixed costs (₦600,000 + ₦200,000)/40,000 units 20
Full cost 80
Mark-up: 20% on cost 16
Selling price 96

(ii) Marginal cost plus 40% ₦per unit


Variable cost 60
Mark-up: 40% on variable cost 24
Selling price 84

(iii) Target ROI pricing ₦


Non-current assets 4,000,000
Working capital 800,000
Capital employed 4,800,000

Profit required (₦4,800,000  10%) 480,000


Profit required per unit (40,000 units) ₦12


Variable cost 60
Fixed costs (see above, full cost plus pricing) 20
Full cost 80
Profit 12
Selling price 92
(b) If sales are only 20,000 units (= below budget):
Profit for the year ₦
Sales (20,000 units  ₦96) 1,920,000
Variable costs (20,000 units  ₦60) (1,200,000)
Fixed costs (800,000)
Net loss (80,000)

© Emile Woolf International 625 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


20
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Risk and decision making

Contents
1 Risk and uncertainty
2 Expected values and decision trees
3 Simulation
4 Sensitivity analysis
5 Maximax, maximin and minimax regret
6 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 627 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
g Evaluate how management can deal with uncertainty in decision-making
including the use of simulation, decision-trees, replacement theory, expected
values, sensitivity analysis and value of perfect and imperfect information.

Exam context
This chapter explains the nature of risk and various methods which might be used to account
for it in a decision making process.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the nature of risk
 Calculate expected values
 Construct decision trees and use them to solve problems
 Estimate the value of perfect information
 Explain simulation
 Carry out a simple simulation from data provided
 Perform sensitivity analysis
 Apply maximax, maximin and minimax regret criteria to make decisions

© Emile Woolf International 628 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

1 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY

Section overview

 The nature of risk and uncertainty


 Reducing uncertainty
 Dealing with risk and uncertainty in decision making
 Risk preference

1.1 The nature of risk and uncertainty


A lot of decision-making in business involves some risk or uncertainty. Decisions
might be based on what the decision-maker thinks will happen, but there is some
possibility that the actual outcome will be different – possibly better or possibly
worse than expected.
 Uncertainty occurs when there is insufficient information about what will
happen, or what will probably happen, in the future. It is therefore likely that
estimates of future values (estimates of future sales, future costs, and so
on) will be inaccurate.
 Risk occurs when the future outcome from a decision could be any of
several different possibilities. However, it might be possible to assess with
reasonable accuracy the probability of each possible outcome. When there
are reliable estimates of the probability for each possible outcome, risk can
be assessed or analysed statistically.

1.2 Reducing uncertainty


Uncertainty occurs when there is a lack of reliable information. It can therefore be
reduced by obtaining more information on which some reliance can be placed.
However, it is doubtful whether uncertainty can be eliminated altogether.
There is often uncertainty about the likely volume of sales demand for a product.
 For established products, it might be possible to estimate future sales by
taking historical sales figures, and making adjustments for sales growth or
decline, and planned changes in the sales price.
 For new products, however, estimating sales demand can be very difficult
because there is no benchmark on which to base the estimate.
Uncertainty about future sales demand for a product can be reduced through the
use of market research or focus groups.
Market research is research into a particular market, such as the market for a
product, for the purpose of obtaining information about the market – such as
attitudes and buying intentions of customers in the market.
 Market research might be carried out, for example, to test the attitudes of
target customers to a prototype of a new product.
 In some cases, market research might attempt to obtain an estimate of the
likely sales demand for a product.

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Performance management

A focus group is a group of participants who are invited to give their views,
opinions and ideas about a product or market to a market research team. The
members of a focus group will be selected so as to represent a target audience
or target market, and the information provided by the group will therefore be
representative of the views of the target market as a whole.
By analysing data obtained from market research surveys or focus groups, an
entity might expect to obtain more reliable estimates of the likely sales demand
for a product.

1.3 Dealing with risk and uncertainty in decision making


When there is uncertainty or risk in a business decision, management should
consider both:
 the expected incremental costs, revenues and profits, and also
 the risk or uncertainty.
There are several different ways of allowing for risk and uncertainty in decision-
making. The approach taken by management will depend to a large extent on
their attitude to risk. In other words, to what extent will a management decision be
affected by the risk or uncertainty in the situation?
Risk cannot be removed from a decision, because risk exists in the situation
itself. A decision-maker can try to analyse the risk, and must make a decision on
the basis of whether the risk is justified or acceptable.

1.4 Risk preference


Risk preference describes the attitude of a decision-maker towards risk.
Decision-makers might be described as risk averse, risk-seeking or possibly risk
neutral.
 A risk averse decision maker considers risk in making a decision, and will
not select a course of action that is more risky unless the expected return is
higher and so justifies the extra risk. A risk-averse decision maker does not
try to avoid risk as much as possible; however he might want a
substantially higher expected return to make any extra risk worth taking.
 A risk neutral decision maker ignores risk entirely in making a decision.
The decision of a risk neutral decision maker is to select the course of
action with the highest expected return, regardless of risk.
 A risk-seeking decision maker also considers risk in making a decision. A
risk seeker, unlike a risk-averse decision-maker, will take extra risks in the
hope of earning a higher return.
It is often assumed that managers are risk averse, and so will not select a course
of action that has higher risk unless it offers a higher expected return sufficient to
justify the risk that is taken.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

2 EXPECTED VALUES AND DECISION TREES

Section overview

 Expected values
 Expected values and decision making
 Decision trees
 Value of perfect information
 Value of imperfect information

2.1 Expected values


One technique for comparing risk and return of different decision options is the
use of expected values.
Expected values can be used to analyse information where risk can be assessed
in terms of probabilities of different outcomes. Where probabilities are assigned
to different outcomes, we can evaluate the worth of a decision as the expected
value or weighted average of these outcomes.
Expected value (EV) = weighted average of possible outcomes.
The weighted average value is calculated by applying the probability of each
possible outcome to the value of the outcome.

Formula: Expected value

Where:
p = the probability of each outcome
x = the value of each outcome

An EV is a measurement of weighted average value.


A decision might be based on selecting the course of action that offers the
highest EV of profit, or the lowest EV of cost. In other words, the ‘decision rule’ is
to select the course of action with the highest EV of profit or the lowest EV of
cost.
The main advantage of using EVs to make a decision is that it takes into
consideration the probability or likelihood of each different possible outcome, as
well as its value (profit or cost).

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Performance management

Example: Expected value


A business entity has to decide which of three projects to select for investment.
The three projects are mutually exclusive.
The projects do not involve any initial capital expenditures.
The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects depend on the
state of the market. The following estimates of annual profits (operational cash
flows) have been prepared

State of market Declining Static Expanding


Probability 0.4 0.3 0.3
Project 1 100 200 900
Project 2 0 500 600
Project 3 180 190 200

This type of table is called a ‘pay-off table’ or a ‘pay-off matrix’. It shows all
the possible ‘pay-offs’ or results from different possible decisions or
strategies.

Project 1 Profit 
Profit Probability probability
Declining 100 0.4 40
Static 200 0.3 60
Expanding 900 0.3 270
370

Project 2 Profit 
Profit Probability probability
Declining 0 0.4 0
Static 500 0.3 150
Expanding 600 0.3 180
330

Project 3 Profit 
Profit Probability probability
Declining 180 0.4 72
Static 190 0.3 57
Expanding 200 0.3 60
189

Based on expected values, project 1 should be selected because it has the


highest EV of annual profit.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Advantages of using expected values


An EV is a weighted average value, that is based on all the different possible
outcomes and the probability that each will occur.
It recognises the risk in decisions, based on the probabilities of different possible
results or outcomes.
It expresses risk in a single figure, which makes it easy to compare different
options and reach a decision.

Disadvantages of using expected values


The probabilities of the different possible outcomes may be difficult to estimate. If
the probabilities are unreliable, expected values will also be unreliable.
The EV is unlikely to be an actual outcome that could occur. In the example
above, the EVs for projects 1, 2 and 3 (₦370,000, ₦330,000 and ₦189,000
respectively) are not expected to occur. They are simply weighted average
values.
Unless the same decision has to be made many times, the average will not be
achieved. It is therefore not a valid way of making a decision about the future
when the outcome will happen only once.
An EV is an average value. It gives no indication of the range or spread of
possible outcomes. It is therefore an inadequate measurement of risk.

2.2 Expected values and decision making


Expected values should be reliable for decision-making when:
 Probabilities can be estimated with reasonable accuracy, and
 The outcome from the decision will happen many times, and will not be a
‘one-off’ event.
In the following example, the estimate of monthly repair costs using expected
value is likely to be very reliable, since the probabilities are based on historical
records and the outcome happens many times over (10,000 times each month).

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Performance management

Example: Expected value


A company makes and sells 10,000 units of Product K each month.
Currently, when customers complain that there is one or more defects in a
product the company repairs the product at its own cost.
Management is now considering selling the product for ₦6 less but no longer
accepting liability for any defects.
The decision as to whether to change the policy is to be made by comparing the
expected monthly cost of the new policy to the expected monthly cost of the
current policy.
Expected monthly cost of new policy:
10,000 units  ₦6 = ₦60,000
Expected cost of existing policy
The estimates of defects in each product with a calculation of expected defects
are given as follows:

Number of Number of
defects per defects 
product Probability probability
0 0.99 0
1 0.07 0.07
2 0.02 0.04
3 0.01 0.03
0.14
Number of products sold per month 10,000
Expected number of defects per month 1,400

The estimate of the cost of repairing a defect with a calculation of expected cost
is given as follows:
Cost of
repairing one
Cost of repairing defect (₦) 
one defect (₦) Probability probability
20 0.2 4
30 0.5 15
40 0.3 12
Expected cost of each repair 31
Expected number of defects per month 1,400
Expected cost of all repairs ₦43,400

The policy should not be changed.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

2.3 Decision trees


Sometimes a decision might need to be taken in two or more stages, with the
second-stage decision depending on what is the outcome from the first-stage
decision.
A decision tree can be drawn to provide a methodical approach to calculating the
expected value. A decision tree is built to show all possible outcomes and
associated probabilities. A decision tree is drawn from its “root” up to its
“branches” and then, once drawn, analysed from its “branches” back to its “root”.
There are two different types of branching point in the tree:
 Decision points – as the name suggests this is a point where a decision is
made
 Outcome points – an expected value is calculated here.
The following symbols are used for decision points and outcome points:

Illustration: Symbols

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Performance management

Example: Expected value


A company is considering whether to invest in a new project costing ₦12,000,
which has an 80% chance of being successfully developed.
If it is developed successfully, the profits from the project will depend on whether
the economic conditions are good or poor.
The profits expected depend on the economic conditions which are forecast as
follows:
Economic
conditions Profit (loss) Probability
Good 50,000 0.6
Poor (20,000) 0.4

Should the company undertake the project?


Step 1: Build the tree (in this direction)

Start with the decision that is being made:

Then at point B draw the possibilities of the success or failure of the project
together with the associated probabilities.

Then draw the possibilities of the different economic prospects together


with the associated probabilities:

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Example: Expected value (continued)

Step 2: Analyse the tree (in this direction)

Expected value at point C:


= (0.6 ×50,000) + (0.4 ×(20,000)) = 22,000

Expected value at point B (EVB)


= (0.8 × EVC) + (0.2 × zero)
= (0.8 × 22,000) + (0.2 × zero) = 17,600

Decision at point A (EVA)


Proceed at a cost of 12,000 to earn profits with an expected value of
17,600 giving a gain of 5,600 or do not proceed for zero
The EV of the decision to invest (+ 5,600) is better than the EV of the
decision not to invest (0) therefore proceed with the project

2.4 Value of perfect information


Sometimes a question might go on to ask how much a company would be willing
to pay to be absolutely certain of an outcome. In other words what is the value of
perfect information?
The answer to this question can be simply expressed as:

Illustration: Value of perfect information


Expected value without perfect information X
Expected value with perfect information X
Value of perfect information X

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Performance management

Example: Value of perfect information


An organisation has offered to provide a perfect forecast of whether the future
economic conditions will be good or bad.
What is the maximum amount that the company would pay for this forecast?
At point C – If the company knew that future economic conditions were good it
would proceed but if it knew they were poor it would not proceed (thus avoiding
the loss of ₦20,000).
The chance of the forecast being good is 60%. Therefore:
Expected value at point C (EVC)
= (0.6 ×50,000) = 30,000
Expected value at point B (EVB)
= (0.8 × EVC) + (0.2 × zero) = (0.8 × 30,000) + (0.2 × zero) = 24,000
Decision at point A (EVA)
Proceed at a cost of ₦12,000 to earn profits with an expected value of ₦24,000
would give a gain of ₦12,000.
The value of the perfect information is then calculated as follows:

Expected value with perfect information 12,000


Expected value without perfect information 5,600
Value of perfect information 6,400

2.5 Value of imperfect information


It might be possible to reduce uncertainty but not to remove it entirely. An expert
might be able to make a forecast about the future but that expert might be wrong.
The approach to valuing imperfect information same as before but the
calculations can be quite tricky.

Illustration: Value of imperfect information


Expected value without imperfect information X

Expected value with imperfect information X

Value of imperfect information X

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Example: Value of imperfect information


An organisation has offered to provide a perfect forecast of whether the future
economic conditions will be good or bad.
The organisation normally achieves 85% accuracy (in other words they are wrong
15% of the time). This means that when the say the economy will be strong it
may well be bad and vice versa. (Assume that the company will not proceed if a
poor economy is forecast).
It is necessary to build a table of possible outcomes before solving the question.
Economic Economic
conditions are conditions are
good (60) poor (404)
Expert forecasts the 0.85  0.6 0.15  0.4
economy will be good = 0.51 = 0.06 0.57
Expert forecasts the 0.15  0.6 0.85  0.4
economy will be good = 0.09 = 0.34 0.43
0.6 0.4 1

Therefore there is a 57% (0.57) chance that the expert will forecast that the
economy will be good.
When the expert says the economy is good he is correct 0.51 out of 0.57 times =
89.5% (0.895 times = 0.51/0.57) within that forecast. Therefore, he will be
incorrect 10.5% (0,105 times) within that forecast.
The calculation of the value of imperfect information is as follows:


Expected value at point C (EVC)
0.895  50,000 44,750
0.105  (20,000) (2,100)
42,650
Probability of good verdict 0.57
24,311
Probability of successful development 0.8
Expected value at point B 19,448
(12,000)
Expected value at point A 7,448

The value of the imperfect information is then calculated as follows:



Expected value with imperfect information 7,448
Expected value with imperfect information 5,600
Value of imperfect information 1,848

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Performance management

3 SIMULATION

Section overview

 Introduction
 Monte Carlo simulation
 Multiple variables

3.1 Introduction
Simulation is the imitation of the operation of a real-world process or system over
time.
An earlier chapter showed how decision trees can be used to provide a structure
to allow computations of probabilities based on a series of interrelated variables.
This is fine for simple situations but real life can be far more complex. Simulation
is a versatile tool for providing information about the operation of complex
systems.
The act of simulating something first requires that a model be developed. The
model must represent the key characteristics of the selected system or process.
These characteristics can be identified by observing the actual process being
modelled. Once the model is built a researcher can then run it over different time
frames and also introduce different variables to see what would happen.

Example: Simulation
In general, mortgage lenders run simulation models to provide insight into the
state of the housing market.
The models incorporate key macroeconomic variables.
The lenders could run the model to find out what would happen to house prices if
the interest rates changed by a given percentage or if incomes increased at a
slower rate of inflation and so on.

The model is built to represent the system itself and a simulation represents the
operation of the system over a given time period.
Running a single simulation is unlikely to provide useful information.
Once the model is set up a series of simulations can be run and the results can
be used to identify an average outcome.

Uses of simulation
Simulation can be used to show the impact of alternative conditions and courses
of action.
Simulation is useful in shedding light on problems where outcomes are uncertain
but can be represented by known probability distribution, e.g. queues, inventory
control, capital investment, replacement problems, etc.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Simulation modelling can be used to assess probabilities when there are many
different variables in the situation, each with different probable outcomes and
where the relationship between these variables might be complex.

3.2 Monte Carlo simulation


A Monte Carlo simulation is one that employs a random device for identifying
what happens at a different point in a simulation.
A simulation model contains a large number of inter-related variables (for
example sales volumes of each product, sales prices of each product, availability
of constraining resources, resources per unit of product, costs of materials and
labour, and so on).
For each variable, there are estimated probabilities of different possible values.
These probabilities are used to assign a range of random numbers to each
variable. (The random number allocation should reflect the probability
distribution).

Example: Assigning random numbers


A company is considering launching a new product. Market research has
indicated that there is a 75% chance of high sales and a 25% chance of low
sales.
A random number range can be assigned to each outcome as follows:
Cumulative Random
Outcome Probability probability number
Low sales 25% 25% 01 to 25
High sales 75% 100% 26 to 00

It is easier to assign the random number range if a cumulative probability column


is constructed first.
Once random numbers have been allocated a random number generator can be
used to provide a string of numbers which in turn are used to model the
outcomes.

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Performance management

Example: Monte Carlo simulation


Demand for inventory follows the following distribution:
Demand per day Probability
04 32%
59 47%
10  14 21%

The company wishes to model demand.


Step 1: Allocate random numbers to each level of demand.
Demand per Probability Cumulative Random
day probability numbers
04 32% 32% 01 to 32
59 47% 79% 33 to 79
10  14 21% 100% 80 to 00
Step 2: Assign a value to each demand level so that it can be
represented as a single number (say the mid-point)
Demand per Assigned value Random
day (mid-point) numbers
04 2 01 to 32
59 7 33 to 79
10  14 12 80 to 00
Step 3: Generate a list of random numbers and select the demand level
that corresponds to each number
For example the number 27 corresponds to a demand of 2 in the above
table.
Step 4: Repeat for as many simulations as required. In practice this will
be until the random effects of small numbers of observations have been
smoothed out.
Step 5: Use the simulated values as though they are the actual values
occurring in the real system, e.g. to calculate daily inventory movements.

Often more than one event will require simulation, e.g. in a purchase system both
demand and supply lead times will be simulated.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Practice question 1
A company makes 4 styles of one of its products.
The demand for these products is as follows:
Type Probability
Economy 0.15
Normal 0.42
Super 0.28
De-luxe 0.15

Use the following random numbers to simulate the next seven


demands:
25953284107266.

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Performance management

3.3 Multiple variables


Simulation can deal with multiple variables.

Example: Simulation
A company wishes to use simulation to provide forecasts of possible profit levels
under different circumstances.
The company identifies four variables (sales volume, sales price, variable cost per
unit and fixed costs) and believes that the value of each of these variables is
independent of the other three variables. (Note that this would be very unlikely for
sales volume and sales price).
The company has identified the possible values for each variable with their
associated probability, and assigned a range of random numbers to these values
as follows:
Sales volume Variable cost per unit
Random Random
number number
Units Probability range ₦ Probability range
10,000 20% 01 – 20 2 10% 01 – 10
20,000 50% 21 – 70 3 30% 11 – 40
30,000 30% 71 – 00 4 40% 41 – 80
5 20% 81 – 00

Sales price per unit Fixed costs


₦14 15% 01 – 15 ₦200,000 85% 01 – 85
₦15 40% 16 – 55 ₦220,000 10% 86 – 95
₦16 35% 56 – 90 ₦240,000 5% 96 – 00
₦17 10% 91 – 00

The model is then used to calculate the value of the outcome or result, for a
given set of values for each variable.
This simple model can be used to calculate the expected profit, given a
combination of sales volume, sales price, variable cost and fixed costs.
The values for each variable are determined by generating random
numbers for each variable.
For example: If random numbers 14856327 are generated these become
14, 85, 63, 27 and are assigned as follows:
Random
number Random
Units Probability range number
Sales volume 10,000 20% 00 – 19 14
Sales price ₦16 35% 55 – 89 85
Variable cost per unit 4 40% 40 – 79 63
Fixed cost ₦200,000 85% 00 – 84 27

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Example (continued): Simulation


This run gives the following result and associated probability (by multiplication):

Probability
Sales volume 10,000 20%
Sales price ₦16 160,000 35%
Revenue
Variable cost per unit 4 (40,000) 40%

Fixed cost (200,000) 85%


(80,000) 2.4%

The model is then run again and again with different sets of values for each
variable obtained by generating another set of random numbers.
This generates a large number of different possible outcomes together with
associated probabilities.
Repeating the simulation many times produces a probability distribution of
the possible outcomes and this probability distribution can be analysed
statistically.

Practice question 2
Using the above information calculate the profit (loss) using the following
set of random numbers
32841072

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Performance management

4 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Section overview

 The nature of sensitivity analysis


 Carrying out sensitivity analysis
 Identifying the key variables with sensitivity analysis

4.1 The nature of sensitivity analysis


Sensitivity analysis is a method of uncertainty analysis which tests the effect on
the expected outcome of changes in the values of key ‘variables’ or key factors.
For example, in budget planning, the effect on budgeted profit might be tested for
changes in the budgeted sales volume, or the budgeted rate of inflation, or
budgeted materials costs, and so on.
There are several ways of using sensitivity analysis.
 It can be used to estimate by how much an item of cost or revenue would
need to differ from their estimated values before the decision would
change.
 It can be used to see whether a decision would change if estimated sales
were a given percentage lower/higher than estimated or estimated costs
were a given percentage higher than estimated. (This is called ‘what if…?’
analysis: for example: ‘What if sales volume is 5% below the expected
amount)?
When estimates are uncertain, sensitivity analysis is useful for assessing what
would happen if the estimates prove to be wrong. For example, if management
consider that their estimates of sales volume might be inaccurate by up to 20%,
sensitivity analysis could be used to assess what the profit (or loss) would be if
sales volume is 20% less than estimated.
Sensitivity analysis is therefore a common sense approach to assessing the
uncertainty in a situation.

4.2 Carrying out sensitivity analysis


The starting point for sensitivity analysis is the original plan or estimate. For
example this might be a plan which estimates the expected profit in a budget, or
the expected profit from a particular project or transaction.
Key variables are identified (such as sales price, sales volume material cost,
labour cost, completion time, and so on). The value of the selected key variable is
then altered by a percentage amount (typically a reasonable estimate of possible
variations in the value of this variable) and the expected profit is re-calculated.
In this way, the sensitivity of a decision or plan to changes in the value of the key
items or key factors can be measured.
An advantage of sensitivity analysis is that if a spreadsheet model is used for
analysing the original plan or decision, sensitivity analysis can be carried out
quickly and easily, by changing one value at a time in the spreadsheet model. For

© Emile Woolf International 646 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

example, cash budgets on a spreadsheet are used extensively with ‘what-if


analysis’ to analyse the possible future cash position in a business.

4.3 Identifying the key variables with sensitivity analysis


Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate by how much the value of an item
(or ‘variable’) must change before the expected profit or outcome becomes
unacceptable. For example, sensitivity analysis can be used to estimate by how
much expected sales volume would have to fall short of the estimate before a
product became unprofitable.
By applying sensitivity analysis to each variable, it should be possible to identify
those that are the most critical, where an error in the estimate could have a large
impact on the actual outcome.

Example: Sensitivity analysis


A company is considering launching a new product in the market. Profit
estimates are as follows:

₦ ₦
Sales (10,000 units) 200,000
Variable costs:
Materials 120,000
Labour 20,000
140,000
Contribution 60,000
Fixed costs (all directly attributable) 50,000
Profit 10,000
The estimates of sales volume, sales price, variable costs and fixed costs are
uncertain.
Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate by how much each of these variables
would have to be ‘worse’ than estimated before the product became loss-making.
Profit can fall by ₦10,000 before the product ceases to be profitable.
Profit would fall by ₦10,000 if any one of the following occurred:
1 Sales volume is ₦10,000/₦60,000 = 16.7% less than expected
2 Sales price is ₦10,000/₦200,000 = 5% less than expected
3 Material costs are ₦10,000/₦120,000 = 8.3% more than expected
4 Labour costs are ₦10,000/₦20,000 = 50% more than expected
5 Fixed costs are ₦10,000/₦50,000 = 20% more than expected.

The product would cease to be profitable if a combination of variables turned out


worse than expected. In the example above, for instance, the product would
cease to be profitable if fixed costs were 20% more than expected and sales
volume was also 16.7% less than expected.

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Performance management

Management can use sensitivity analysis to decide whether they have sufficient
confidence in the estimates so that they can go ahead with their planned decision
(for example, a decision to launch a new product), or whether the uncertainty is
so great that it would be too risky to go ahead.
Assessing the uncertainty is a matter of judgement.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

5 MAXIMAX, MAXIMIN AND MINIMAX REGRET

Section overview

 Worst, most likely and best possible outcomes


 Constructing a pay-off table or profit table
 Maximax, maximin and minimax regret decision rules

5.1 Worst, most likely and best possible outcomes


When a choice has to be made between two or more mutually exclusive options, the
choice might be affected by the different possible outcomes that might occur with
each option.
For example, a book publisher might need to decide how many copies of a new
book to print. He might be considering three options – to print 1,000 copies, 5,000
copies or 10,000 copies. The most profitable choice of print quantity will depend on
the sales demand for the book, which is uncertain. Sales demand might depend on
the publicity that the book receives from book reviewers. The decision about the
print quantity must be taken before it is known what the publicity and expected
sales for the book will be.
The choice between two or more alternative courses of action might be based on the
worst, most likely or best expected outcomes from each course of action. A pay-off
table can be produced which records all possible pay-offs (e.g. profit values) that
would result from different courses of action and different outcomes.
The example below shows:
 the different decision options in the first column (in the example below the
decision relates to the size of the print run);
 the different outcomes in the top row (type of review and estimated sales in
consequence); and
 the different pay-offs that result from each decision with each outcome
shown in the cells.

Example: Worst, most likely and best possible outcomes


The following pay off table shows the profit or loss that would be obtained from
print runs of different sizes if a book review is bad, reasonable or excellent
Bad review Reasonable Excellent review
(estimated review (estimated sales
sales of (estimated of 10,000)
1,000) sales of 5,000)
Course of action:
Print 1,000 copies -+ ₦2,000 + ₦2,000 + ₦2,000
Print 5,000 copies - ₦8,000 + ₦10,000 + ₦10,000
Print 10,000 copies - ₦12,000 + ₦1,000 + ₦35,000

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Performance management

This pay-off table or profit table can then be analysed, and a choice can be made
between the different decision options under consideration.

5.2 Constructing a pay-off table or profit table


A pay-off table can be constructed as follows.
 One side of the table (rows or columns) should list the different mutually
exclusive options, from which a choice will be made
 The other side of the table should list the different possible results or
outcomes that might occur.
 For each option and possible outcome, the value of the expected outcome
(for example, the expected profit) should be entered in the appropriate box.

Example: Constructing a pay-off table


A shopkeeper must decide how many boxes of apples to buy each day. A box of
apples earns revenue of ₦400 and costs ₦250.
Demand is uncertain and could vary from 30 boxes to 10 boxes.
Any apples that are purchased but not sold will be thrown away at the end of the
day.
The shopkeeper has decided that he will buy 10 boxes, 20 boxes or 30 boxes
each day, and these are the only three options he wants to consider.
A pay-off table can be constructed as follows to show the pay-offs associated with
different numbers of boxes bought and different demand levels:
Demand = Demand = Demand =
10 boxes 20 boxes 30 boxes
Course of action ₦ ₦ ₦
Buy 10 boxes 1,500 1,500 1,500
Buy 20 boxes (1,000) 3,000 3,000
Buy 30 boxes (3,500) 500 4,500
Entries in the pay-off table are calculated as follows:
Buy 10 boxes If demand = If demand = If demand =
10 20 30
Revenue (400 per box) 4,000 4,000 4,000
Costs (250 per box) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500)
Profit 1,500 1,500 1,500

Demand greater than 10 cannot be met so the profit does not change.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Example (continued)ng a pay-off table

Buy 20 boxes If demand = If demand = If demand =


10 20 30
Revenue (400 per box) 4,000 8,000 8,000
Costs (250 per box) (5,000) (5,000) (5,000)
Profit (1,000) 3,000 3,000

Demand greater than 20 cannot be met so the profit does not change.

Buy 30 boxes If demand = If demand = If demand =


10 20 30
Revenue (400 per box) 4,000 8,000 12,000
Costs (250 per box) (7,500) (7,500) (7,500)
Profit (3,500) 500 4,500

The pay-off table or profit table does not identify the ‘best’ option. It simply shows
what the outcome will be for each decision option, given different possible
circumstances that might actually occur.
Management need to use their judgement, in using this information, to decide
which option to select. The course of action chosen by the company will depend
on the attitude to risk of its decision-maker.

5.3 Maximax, maximin and minimax regret decision rules


Choosing between mutually-exclusive courses of action can be stated as
‘decision rules’. A decision rule is simply the basis or ‘rule’ which a decision-
maker uses to select between mutually exclusive options.
As suggested earlier in this chapter, the choice between different options might
be based on an assessment of probabilities, and the preferred option might be
the one that offers the highest expected value of profit. Alternatively, simulation
or sensitivity analysis may be used to compare expected profits with the risk or
uncertainty, and a choice between the different options based on an assessment
of risk and return.
The choice between mutually exclusive options might also be based on any of
the following decision rules:
 Maximax rule
 Maximin rule
 Minimax regret rule
To use any of these decision rules, it is helpful to construct a pay-off table.

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Performance management

Maximax decision rule


This is a decision rule based on the view that the decision-maker should select
the course of action with the best possible pay-off, such as the highest possible
profit. This approach is based on the view that the decision-maker should seek
the highest return, assuming that events turn out in the best way possible. The
maximax decision rule can be described as a decision rule for the ‘risk seeker’.

Example: Maximax decision rule


Ekeukwu Nigeria Limited has to decide which of three projects to select for
investment. The three projects are mutually exclusive, and only one of them can
be selected.
The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects will depend on
the state of the market, but the state of the market will not be known until after
the choice of project has been made. The following estimates of annual profit
have been prepared:
State of market Declining Static Expanding
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1 (100) 120 950
Project 2 50 500 600
Project 3 180 190 200

Which project would be selected if the decision is based on) the maximax
decision rule?
The decision should be to select the option that offers the prospect of the highest
profit. This is Project 1 where the annual profit would be ₦950,000 if there is an
expanding market.
It does not matter that this project would make a loss of ₦100,000 if the market
turns out to be in decline. The decision rule is to select the option offering the
best possible return.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Maximin decision rule


This decision rule is based on the view that the decision-maker will identify the
course of action with the highest expected return under the worst outcome. The
choice is based on trying to maximise the minimum possible profit.
This decision rule might be associated with a risk-averse decision maker.

Example: Maximin decision rule


Ekeukwu Nigeria Limited has to decide which of three projects to select for
investment. The three projects are mutually exclusive, and only one of them can
be selected.
The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects will depend on
the state of the market, but the state of the market will not be known until after
the choice of project has been made. The following estimates of annual profit
have been prepared:
State of market Declining Static Expanding
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1 (100) 120 950
Project 2 50 500 600
Project 3 180 190 200

Which project would be selected if the decision is based on the maximin decision
rule?
The decision rule is based on the returns that would be obtained if the worst
possible outcome occurs.
The worst outcome is a declining market.
If the market turns out to be in decline, the most profitable option would be
Project 3, for which the profit would be ₦180,000.

Minimax regret decision rule


This decision rule is based on the concept of ‘regret’.
‘Regret’ is the difference between the profit that will be earned by choosing one
option, and the profit that would have been earned if the most profitable option
had been selected, given a particular outcome.
For example suppose that a company has to choose between options 1, 2 and 3,
and the profit from each option depends on whether sales demand is weak,
average or strong. For each option (1, 2 and 3) and each possible outcome
(weak, average or strong sales demand), there is ‘regret’. This is the amount by
which the profit earned by choosing the option would be worse than ‘the best
possible profit’ from choosing either of the other two options, given the nature of
the sales demand.
Regret is the opportunity cost of having made the wrong decision, given the
actual conditions that apply in the future.
In order to use this rule a regret table must be constructed from the pay-off table.
A fourth column can then be added to show the maximum regret for each course
of action.

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Performance management

The decision rule is to select the course of action with the lowest possible ‘regret’.

Example: Minimax regret decision rule


Eke ukwu Nigeria Limited has to decide which of three projects to select for
investment. The three projects are mutually exclusive, and only one of them can
be selected.
The expected annual profits from investing in each of the projects will depend on
the state of the market, but the state of the market will not be known until after
the choice of project has been made. The following estimates of annual profit
have been prepared:
State of market Declining Static Expanding
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1 (100) 120 950
Project 2 50 500 600
Project 3 180 190 200
Which project would be selected if the decision is based on the minimax regret
decision rule?
A regret table must be constructed.
Step 1: Draft a table with the same column and row headings as the pay-off table
but add another column to identify the maximum regret shown with each course
of action.
Maximum
State of market Declining Static Expanding regret
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1
Project 2
Project 3

Step 2: Identify the cell in each column from the pay-off that has the best pay –
off (e.g. highest profit). Write a zero in the corresponding cell in the regret table.
Maximum
State of market Declining Static Expanding regret
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1 0
Project 2 0
Project 3 0

Interpretation:
The company would have no regret if project 3 was undertaken and the market
turned out to be declining.
The company would have no regret if project 2 was undertaken and the market
turned out to be static.
The company would have no regret if project 1 was undertaken and the market
turned out to be expanding.

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Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

Example (continued): Minimax regret decision rule


Step 3: Compare the pay-off in each cell to best pay-off in that column. Write the
difference in the corresponding cell in the regret table. These are the regret
values.
Maximum
State of market Declining Static Expanding regret
₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1 280 380 0
Project 2 130 0 350
Project 3 0 310 750

Interpretation:
The company would have no regret if project 3 was undertaken and the market
turned out to be declining but if Project 1 was selected the company would be
worse off by ₦280,000, which is the difference between the loss that would be
made from Project 1 and the profit that would have been made if the best option
(Project 3) had been selected.
Similarly, if Project 2 is selected and the market is in decline the regret will be
₦130,000, which is the difference between the profit that would be made from
Project 2 and the profit that would have been made if the best option (Project 3)
had been selected.
Similarly, suppose that the market turns out to be static. The most profitable
option would be Project 2, for which the profit would be ₦500,000. The company
would have no regret if project 2 was undertaken but If Project 1 is selected the
regret will be ₦380,000 (the difference between the profit that would be made
from Project 1 and the profit that would have been made if the best option
(Project 2) had been selected.
Similar comments could be made in respect of the expanding market.
A table of ‘regrets’, once completed, shows the amount of the regret for each
possible course of action (projects 1, 2 or 3), given each possible outcome
(declining, static or expanding market).
Step 4: Write the maximum regret for each option in the right-hand column and
select the option where the maximum regret is the lowest. In this example, this is
Project 2, for which the maximum regret is ₦350,000.
Maximum
State of market Diminishing Static Expanding regret
₦000 ₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Project 1 280 380 0 380
Project 2 130 0 350 350
Project 3 0 310 750 750

The maximax, maximin and minimax regret decision rules provide a logical basis
for making a choice between mutually exclusive options, where the future

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Performance management

conditions are uncertain and there are no probability estimates of what the future
conditions might be.
The main disadvantage of choosing between mutually-exclusive courses of
action on the basis of the worst, most likely or best possible outcome is that the
choice ignores the likelihood or probability of the worst, most likely or best
outcomes actually happening.
If probability estimates had been available in the previous example for future
market conditions (declining, static or expanding market), a different decision rule
such as the expected value rule might be more appropriate – because it takes
the probabilities of the different outcomes into consideration.

Practice questions 3
A shopkeeper must decide how many boxes of apples to buy each day. A
box of apples earns contribution of ₦400 and costs ₦250.
Demand is uncertain and could vary from 30 boxes to 10 boxes.
Any apples that are purchased but not sold will be thrown away at the end
of the day.
The shopkeeper has decided that he will buy 10 boxes, 20 boxes or 30
boxes each day, and these are the only three options he wants to consider.

The following pay-off table has been constructed:


Demand = Demand = Demand =
10 boxes 20 boxes 30 boxes
Course of action ₦ ₦ ₦
Buy 10 boxes 1,500 1,500 1,500
Buy 20 boxes (1,000) 3,000 3,000
Buy 30 boxes (3,500) 500 4,500

How many boxes should the storekeeper purchase if the decision is


based on:
a) the maximax decision rule?
b) the maximin decision rule?
c) the minimax regret decision rule?

© Emile Woolf International 657 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

6 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the nature of risk
 Calculate expected values
 Construct decision trees and use them to solve problems
 Estimate the value of perfect information
 Explain simulation
 Carry out a simple simulation from data provided
 Perform sensitivity analysis
 Apply maximax, maximin and minimax regret criteria to make decisions

© Emile Woolf International 658 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 20: Risk and decision making

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
Assign random numbers to categories
Cumulative Random
Category Probability probability number range
Economy 0.15 0.15 00-14
Normal 0.42 0.57 15-56
Super 0.28 0.85 57-84
De-luxe 0.15 1.00 85-99

Simulation of next seven demands


Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Random number 25 95 32 84 10 72 66
Category N D N S E S S

Solutions 2
This run gives the following result and associated probability (by multiplication):

Probability
Sales volume 30,000 30%
Sales price ₦16 35%
Revenue
480,000
Variable cost per unit ₦2 (60,000) 10%

Fixed cost (220,000) 10%


Profit #200,000 0. 105%

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Performance management

Solutions 3
Pay off table Demand = Demand = Demand =
10 boxes 20 boxes 30 boxes
Course of action ₦ ₦ ₦
Buy 10 boxes 1,500 1,500 1,500
Buy 20 boxes (1,000) 3,000 3,000
Buy 30 boxes (3,500) 500 4,500

a) Maximax decision rule:


30 boxes would be bought as this allows for the biggest possible pay off.
b) Maximin decision rule:
10 boxes would be bought as this would maximise the lowest possible pay-
offs associated with each course of action at the lowest demand level.
c) Minimax regret decision rule
Regret table Demand = Demand = Demand = Maximum
10 boxes 20 boxes 30 boxes regret
Course of action ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Buy 10 boxes 0 1,500 3,000 3,000
Buy 20 boxes 2,500 0 1,500 2,500
Buy 30 boxes 5,000 2,500 0 5,000

20 boxes should be bought.

© Emile Woolf International 660 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


21
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Working capital management

Contents
1 Financing working capital
2 Cash operating cycle
3 Other working capital ratios
4 Overtrading
5 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
2 Working capital management
a Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
b Calculate and explain the cash operating cycle.

Exam context
This chapter explains the nature, elements and importance of working capital and different
ways in which it might be financed.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Define working capital and its components.
 Explain the objectives of working capital management
 Explain and evaluate a cash operating cycle
 Define and use ratios used in working capital management
 Define and be able to identify the characteristics of overtrading

© Emile Woolf International 662 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 21: Working capital management

1 FINANCING WORKING CAPITAL

Section overview

 The nature and elements of working capital


 The objectives of working capital management
 Investment in working capital
 Determining the level of working capital investment
 Financing working capital: short-term or long-term finance?

1.1 The nature and elements of working capital


Working capital is the capital (finance) that an entity needs to support its
everyday operations. To operate a business, an entity must invest in inventories
and it must sell its goods or services on credit. Holding inventories and selling on
credit costs money.
Some of the finance required for operations is provided by taking credit from
suppliers. This means that the suppliers to an entity are helping to support the
business operations of that entity. Some short-term operating finance might also
be obtained by having a bank overdraft.
Cash and short-term investments are also elements of working capital. Some
cash might be held for operational use, to pay liabilities. Surplus cash in excess
of operational requirements might be invested short-term to earn some interest.
Working capital can therefore be defined as the net current assets (or net current
operating assets) of a business. (This is the net concept and is adopted in this
chapter. There is also the gross concept which views working capital as a firm’s
total investment in current assets).
The total investment in working capital is calculated as:

Illustration: Working capital


Current assets: ₦
Inventory X
Trade receivables X
Short-term investments X
Cash X
X
Minus current liabilities:
Bank overdraft X
Trade payables X
Other current liabilities X
(X)
Working capital X

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Performance management

1.2 The objectives of working capital management


The management of working capital is an aspect of financial management, and is
concerned with:
 Ensuring that the investment in working capital is not excessive;
 Ensuring that enough working capital is available to support operating
activities.
Note on surplus cash and short-term investments. For entities with surplus
cash, there is also the management problem of how to use the surplus. If the
surplus is only temporary, it might be invested in short-term financial assets. The
aim should be to select investments that provide a suitable return without undue
risk, and that can be converted back into cash without difficulty when the money
is eventually required. The management of surplus cash is discussed in more
detail in a later chapter.

Avoiding excessive working capital


An aim of working capital management should be to avoid excessive investment
in working capital. As stated earlier, working capital is financed by long-term
capital (equity or debt) which has a cost.
It can be argued that it is essential to hold inventory and to offer credit to
customers, so investment in current assets is unavoidable. However, the
investment in inventory and trade receivables does not provide any additional
financial return. So investment in working capital has a cost without providing any
direct financial return.

Avoiding liquidity problems


On the other hand, a shortage of working capital might result in liquidity problems
due to having insufficient operational cash flows to pay liabilities when payment is
due. Operational cash flows come into a business from the sale of inventories
and payment by customers: inventory and trade receivables are therefore a
source of future cash income. These must be sufficient for the payment of
liabilities.
A company that has insufficient working capital might find that it has to make
payments to suppliers (or other short-term liabilities) but does not have enough
cash or bank overdraft facility to do so, because its current assets are insufficient
to generate the cash inflows that are needed and when payment falls due.
Liquidity problems, when serious, can result in insolvency.

The conflict of objectives with working capital management


A conflict of objectives therefore exists with working capital management. Over-
investment should be avoided, because it reduces profits or returns to
shareholders. Under-investment should be avoided because it creates a liquidity
risk. These issues are explained in more detail below:

© Emile Woolf International 664 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 21: Working capital management

1.3 Investment in working capital


The total amount that an entity invests in working capital should be managed
carefully.
 The investment should not be too high, with excessive inventories and
trade receivables. If the investment is too high, the entity is incurring a cost
(the interest cost of the investment) without obtaining any benefits.
 The investment should not be too low. In particular the entity should not
rely, for its financing of operations, on large amounts of trade credit from
suppliers or a large bank overdraft. If working capital is too low, there could
be a risk of having insufficient cash and liquidity.
The amount to invest in working capital depends on the trade-off between:
 The benefits of having sufficient finance to support trading operations
without excessive liquidity risk, and
 The costs of financing the working capital.

Benefits of investing in working capital


There are significant benefits of investing in working capital:
 Holding inventory allows the entity to supply its customers on demand.
 Entities are expected by many customers to sell to them on credit. Unless
customers are given credit (which means having to invest trade
receivables) they will buy instead from competitors who will offer credit.
 It is also useful for an entity to have some cash in the bank to meet
demands for immediate payment.

Disadvantages of excessive investment in working capital


However, money tied up in inventories, trade receivables and a current bank
account earns nothing. Investing in working capital therefore involves a cost. The
cost of investing in working capital is the reduction in profit that results from the
money being invested in inventories, receivables or cash in the bank account,
rather than being invested in wealth-producing assets and long-term projects.
The cost of investing in working capital can be stated simply as:
Average investment in working capital × Annual cost of finance (%)
= Annual cost of working capital investment.

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Performance management

1.4 Determining the level of working capital investment


The target level of working capital investment in an organisation is a policy
decision which is dependent on several factors including:
 The length of the working capital cycle
 Management attitude to risk

The length of the working capital cycle


Different industries will have different working capital requirements. The working
capital cycle measures the time taken from the payment made to suppliers of raw
materials to the payments received from customers. In a manufacturing company
this will include the time that:
 Raw materials are held in inventory before they are used in production
 The product takes in the production process
 Finished goods are held in inventory before being purchased by a
customer.
The working capital cycle will also be affected by the terms of trade. This is the
amount of credit given to customers compared to the credit taken from suppliers.
In a manufacturing company it may be normal practise to give customers lengthy
periods of credit.
The level of working capital in manufacturing industry is therefore likely to be
higher than in retailing where goods are bought in for re-sale and may not be
held in inventory for a very long period and where most sales are for cash rather
than on credit terms.

Management attitude to risk


High levels of working capital are expensive but low levels of working capital are
high risk.
 An aggressive working capital policy will seek to keep working capital to a
minimum. Low finished goods inventory will run the risk that customers will
not be supplied and will instead buy from customers. Low raw material
inventory may lead to stock-outs (or ‘inventory-outs’) and therefore high
costs of idle time or expensive replacement suppliers having to be found.
Tight credit control may alienate customers and taking long periods of
credit from suppliers may run the risk of them refusing to supply on credit at
all. However low levels of working capital will be cheap to finance and if
managed effectively could increase profitability.
 A conservative working capital policy aims to keep adequate working
capital for the organisation’s needs. Inventories are held at a level to
ensure customers will be supplied and stock-outs will not occur. Generous
terms are given to customers which may attract more customers. Suppliers
are paid on time.
Risk-seeking managers may prefer to follow a more aggressive working capital
policy and risk-averse managers a more conservative working capital policy.

© Emile Woolf International 666 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 21: Working capital management

1.5 Financing working capital: short-term or long-term finance?


Working capital may be permanent or fluctuating.
 Permanent working capital refers to the minimum level of working capital
which is required all of the time. It includes minimum levels of inventories,
trade receivables and trade payables.
 Fluctuating working capital refers to working capital which is required at
certain times in the trade cycle. For example it may be economic for
companies to purchase raw materials in bulk. The finance required to fund
the purchase of the order will be a temporary requirement because
eventually the raw material will be made into a product and sold to
customers. The levels of fluctuating working capital may be higher if
companies have seasonal demand. For example manufacturers of skiing
equipment might build up inventories of products before the winter season.
Long-term finance, such as equity and debt, is expensive but low risk. Short-term
finance is less expensive but there is a higher risk of it being withdrawn. The
type of financing used within the business may depend on management attitude
to risk.
 Aggressive funding policies use long-term finance to fund non-current
assets and short-term finance to fund all working capital requirements
 Matching funding policies use long-term finance to fund non-current
assets and permanent working capital. Fluctuating working capital is funded
using short-term finance.
 Conservative funding policies use long-term finance to fund non-current
assets, permanent working capital and a proportion of fluctuating working
capital. Minimal short-term finance is used.
The benefits of using short-term finance (trade payables and a bank overdraft)
rather than long-term finance are as follows:
 Lower cost. Trade credit is the cheapest form of short-term finance – it
costs nothing. The supplier has provided goods or services but the entity
has not yet had to pay.
 Much more flexible. A bank overdraft is variable in size, and is only used
when needed.
However, although there are the benefits of low cost and flexibility with short-term
finance, there are also risks in relying too much on short-term finance.
 Short-term finance runs out more quickly and has to be renewed. Suppliers
must be asked for trade credit every time goods or services are bought
from them.
 A bank overdraft facility is risky, because the bank has the right to demand
immediate repayment of an overdraft at any time. When an entity needs a
higher bank overdraft, this can often be the time that the bank decides to
withdraw the overdraft facility.

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Performance management

2 CASH OPERATING CYCLE

Section overview

 The nature of the cash operating cycle


 Elements in the cash operating cycle
 Calculating the inventory turnover period
 Calculating the average collection period
 Calculating the average payables period
 Analysing the cash operating cycle
 Changes in the cash flow cycle and implications for operating cash flow

2.1 The nature of the cash operating cycle


An important way of assessing the adequacy of working capital and the efficiency
of working capital management is to calculate the length of the cash operating
cycle.
This cycle is the average length of time between paying suppliers for goods and
services received to receiving cash from customers for sales of finished goods or
services.
The cash operating cycle is linked to the business operating cycle. A business
operating cycle is the average length of time between obtaining goods and
services from suppliers to selling the finished goods to suppliers.
A cash operating cycle differs significantly for different types of business. For
example, a company in a service industry such as a holiday tour operator does
not have much inventory, and it might collect payments for holidays from
customers in advance. The time between paying suppliers and receiving cash
from customers might be very short.
In contrast a manufacturing company might have to hold large inventories of raw
materials and components, work in progress and finished goods, and most of its
sales will be on credit so that it has substantial trade receivables too. The time
between paying for raw materials and eventually receiving payment for finished
goods could be lengthy.
Retail companies have differing cash operating cycles. Major supermarkets have
a very short cash operating cycle, because they often sell goods to customers
before they have even paid their suppliers for them. This is because
supermarkets enjoy very fast turnover of most items and their sales are for cash.
In contrast a furniture retailer might hold inventory for a much longer time before
selling it, and some customers might arrange to pay for their purchases in
instalments.

Cash operating cycle and working capital requirements


The cash operating cycle is a key factor in deciding the minimum amount of
working capital required by a company. A longer cash operating cycle means a
larger investment in working capital.
The cash operating cycle, and each of the elements in the cycle, must be
managed to ensure that the investment in working capital is not excessive (i.e.
the cash cycle is not too long) nor too small (i.e. the cash cycle is too short,
perhaps because the credit period taken from suppliers is too long).

© Emile Woolf International 668 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 21: Working capital management

2.2 Elements in the cash operating cycle


There are three main elements in the cash operating cycle:
 The average length of time that inventory is held before it is used or sold
 The average credit period taken from suppliers
 The average length of credit period taken by (or given to) credit customers.
A cash cycle or operating cycle is measured as follows.

Illustration: Cash operating cycle


Days/weeks/
months
Average inventory holding period X
Average trade receivables collection period X
X
Average period of credit taken from suppliers (X)
Operating cycle X

The working capital ratios and the length of the cash cycle should be monitored
over time. The cycle should not be allowed to become unreasonable in length,
with a risk of over-investment or under-investment in working capital.

Measuring the cash operating cycle: a manufacturing business


For a manufacturing business, it might be appropriate to calculate the inventory
turnover period as the sum of three separate elements:
 the average time raw materials and purchased components are held in
inventory before they are issued to production (raw materials inventory
turnover period), plus
 the production cycle (which relates to inventories of work-in-progress), plus
 the average time that finished goods are held in inventory before they are
sold (finished goods inventory turnover).

2.3 Calculating the inventory turnover period


For a company in the retail sector or service sector of industry, the average
inventory turnover period is normally calculated as follows:

Formula: Average time for holding inventory (Inventory holding period or average
inventory days)
Inventory
Average inventory days =  365 days
Cost of sales

If possible, average inventory should be used to calculate the ratio because the
year-end inventory level might not be representative of the average inventory in
the period. Average inventory is usually calculated as the average of the
inventory levels at the beginning and end of the period. However, the year-end

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Performance management

inventory should be used when opening inventory is not given and average
inventory cannot be calculated.
For companies in the retailing or service sector, the cost of sales is normally used
‘below the line’ in calculating inventory turnover. However, if the value for annual
purchases of materials is given, it might be more appropriate to use the figure for
purchases instead of cost of sales.
For a manufacturing company, the total inventory turnover period is the sum of
the raw materials turnover period, production cycle and finished goods turnover
period, calculated as follows:

Illustration: Inventory turnover period for a manufacturing company


Days
Raw material = (Average raw material inventory/Annual raw
material purchases)  365 days X
Production cycle = (Average WIP/Annual cost of sales)  365
days X
Finished inventory = (Average finished inventory/Annual cost
of sales)  365 days (X)
Total X

Inventory turnover and the turnover period


Inventory turnover is the inverse of the inventory turnover period.
 If the average inventory turnover period is 2 months, this means that
inventory is ‘turned over’ (used) on average six times each year (= 12
months/2 months).
 If the inventory turnover is 8 times each year, we can calculate the average
inventory turnover period as 1.5 months (= 12 months/8) or 46 days (= 365
days/8).

2.4 Calculating the average collection period


The average period for collection of receivables can be calculated as follows:

Formula: Average time to collect (average collection period or average


receivables days)
Trade receivables
Average time to collect =  365 days
Credit sales

When normal credit terms offered to customers are 30 days (i.e. the customer is
required to pay within 30 days of the invoice date), the average collection period
should be about 30 days. If it exceeds 30 days, this would indicate that some
customers are taking longer to pay than they should, and this might indicate
inefficient collection procedures for receivables.

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Chapter 21: Working capital management

2.5 Calculating the average payables period


The average period of credit taken from suppliers before payment of trade
payables can be calculated as follows:

Formula: Average time to pay suppliers (Average payables days)


Trade payables
Average time to pay =  365 days
Purchases

The average payment period should be close to the normal credit terms offered
by suppliers in the industry.
 If the average payment period is much shorter than the industry average,
this might suggest that the company has not negotiated reasonable credit
terms from suppliers, or that invoices are being paid much sooner than
necessary, which is inefficient working capital management.
 If the average payment period is much longer than the industry average,
this might indicate that the company has succeeded in obtaining very
favourable credit terms from its suppliers. Alternatively, it means that the
company is taking much longer credit than it should, and is failing to comply
with its credit terms. This might be an indication of either cash flow
problems or (possibly) unethical business practice.

Example:
Extracts from the statement of financial position (balance sheet) and income
statement of a company are set out below.

Inventories:
Raw materials 864,000
Work in progress 448,128
Finished goods 1,567,893
Trade receivables 1,425,600
Trade payables 604,800

Annual purchases 1,745,000


Annual cost of sales 5,272,128
Annual sales 5,802,400
Required
Calculate the length of the cash operating cycle for the company.

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Performance management

Answer
Item Days
Raw material turnover (864,000/1,745,000) × 365 days 181
Production cycle (448,128/5,272,128) × 365 days 31
Finished goods turnover (1,567,893/5,272,128) × 365 da 109
Credit period given to
customers (1,425,600/5,802,400) × 365 da 90
411
Minus:
Credit period from suppliers (604,800/1,745,000) × 365 days (127)
Cash operating cycle 284
In this example, it takes the company 284 days on average from paying for the
goods and services that go into making its products, before it gets paid the cash
from the sales. If the cash cycle gets longer, this would mean having to find ever-
increasing amounts to finance the investment in inventory and trade receivables,
and it could result in serious cash flow and liquidity problems for the business.

2.6 Analysing the cash operating cycle


The cash operating cycle can be analysed to assess whether the total investment
in working capital is too large or possibly too small. The analysis can be made by
comparing each element of the cash operating cycle, and the cash operating
cycle as a whole, with:
 the cash operating cycle of other companies in the same industry
 the company’s own cash operating cycle in previous years, to establish
whether it is getting longer or shorter.

Comparisons with other companies in the industry


As a general rule, the inventory turnover period, average collection period and
average payment period should be about the same for all companies operating in
the same industry. If there are differences, there might be reasons. For example
a company with an unusually large proportion of sales to other countries might
have a longer average collection period because of the longer time that it takes to
deliver goods to customers.
If it is not possible to explain significant differences in any ratio between a
company’s own turnover periods and the industry average, the differences might
be due to inefficient working capital management (or possibly efficient
management). For example an unusually long inventory turnover period
compared with the industry average might indicate inefficiency due to excessive
holding of inventory. Slow-moving inventory might also indicate that a write off of
obsolete inventory might be necessary at some time in the near future.

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Chapter 21: Working capital management

Comparisons with previous years: trends


There might be a noticeable trend over time in a company’s turnover ratios from
one year to the next. A trend towards longer or shorter turnover and cycle times
should be investigated.
A particular cause for concern might be a trend towards longer inventory turnover
periods and longer average collection times, which might be an indication of
excessive inventories (inefficient inventory management) or inefficient collection
procedures for trade payables.

Example:
In the financial year just ended, a retailing company had closing inventory costing
₦425,000 and sales in the year were ₦4.5 million. In the previous year, closing
inventory was ₦320,000 and sales during that year were ₦4.3 million.
In this example, end-of-year inventory levels are used to calculate inventory
turnover periods, because average inventory for the previous year cannot be
calculated.
Average inventory turnover in the current year:
= ₦425,000/₦4.5 million  365 = 34 days.
Average inventory turnover in the previous year:
= ₦320,000/₦4.3 million  365 = 27 days.
The average turnover period has increased by 7 days. This might have
implications for profitability. If the turnover period had remained 27 days in the
current year, closing inventory would be ₦333,000 (= 27/365  ₦4.5 million).
This is ₦95,000 less than the actual inventory level, suggesting that with better
inventory management, working capital might have been lower by about
₦95,000.
If the higher inventory level at the end of the year indicates that it is taking longer
to sell inventory, this might suggest that the inventory will not be sold unless the
retail company has a sale and the goods are sold at a low gross profit margin.

2.7 Changes in the cash cycle and implications for operating cash flow
When there are changes in the length of the cash operating cycle, this has
implications for cash flow as well as working capital investment.
 A longer cash operating cycle, given no change in sales or the cost of
sales, increases the total investment in working capital. An increase in the
inventory turnover period means more inventory and an increase in the
average collection period means more trade receivables. A reduction in the
average payables period means fewer trade payables, which also
increases working capital.
 An increase in working capital reduces operational cash flows in the period.
The reverse is also true. A shorter cash operating cycle results in less working
capital investment, and the fall in working capital increases operating cash flows
in the period.

© Emile Woolf International 673 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

3 OTHER WORKING CAPITAL RATIOS

Section overview

 Liquidity
 Liquidity ratios
 Sales revenue net working capital ratio

The previous section explained the cash operating cycle and the relevance of turnover
periods for inventory, trade receivables and trade payables for cash flow and the size
of investment in working capital.
Other working capital ratios can also be used to analyse whether a company has too
much or too little working capital, and whether it has adequate liquidity.

3.1 Liquidity
Liquidity for an entity means having access to sufficient cash to meet all payment
obligations when they fall due.
The main sources of liquidity for a business are:
 Cash flows from operations: a business expects to make its payments for
operating expenditures out of the cash that it receives from operations.
Cash comes in when customers eventually pay what they owe (and from
cash sales).
 Holding ‘liquid assets’: these are assets that are either in the form of cash
already (money in a bank account) or are in the form of investments that
can be sold quickly and easily for their fair market value.
 Access to a ‘committed’ borrowing facility from a bank (a ‘revolving credit
facility’). Large companies are often able to negotiate an arrangement with
a bank whereby they can obtain additional finance whenever they need it.
A key element of managing working capital is to make sure the organisation has
sufficient liquidity to meet its payment commitments as they fall due. Having
sufficient liquidity is a key to survival in business.
If there is insufficient liquidity, then even if the entity is making profits, it will go
out of business. If the entity cannot pay what it owes when the payment is due,
legal action will probably be taken to recover the unpaid money and the entity will
be put into liquidation. In practice, banks are usually the unpaid creditors who put
illiquid entities into liquidation.
The liquidity of a business entity can be assessed by analysing:
 Its liquidity ratios; and
 The length of its cash operating cycle (explained earlier).

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Chapter 21: Working capital management

3.2 Liquidity ratios


A liquidity ratio is used to assess the liquidity of a business. There are two
liquidity ratios:

Formula: Current ratio


Current assets
Current ratio =
Current liabilities

Formula: Quick ratio


Current assets excluding inventory
Quick ratio =
Current liabilities

You should use the values in the closing balance sheet to calculate these two
ratios.
The purpose of a liquidity ratio is to compare the amount of liquid assets held by
a company with its current liabilities. This is because the money to pay the
current liabilities should be expected to come from the cash flows generated by
the liquid assets.
Unlike the cash operating cycle ratios, the liquidity ratios include all current
assets (including cash and short-term investments) and all current liabilities
(including any bank overdraft and current tax payable).

Analysing the liquidity ratios


If the liquidity ratios are too high, this indicates that there is too much investment
in working capital. If the liquidity ratios are low, this indicates that the company
might not have enough liquidity, and might be at risk of being unable to settle its
liabilities when they fall due. So how do we assess whether the liquidity ratios are
too high or too low.
The liquidity ratios of a company may be compared with:
 the liquidity ratios of other companies in the same industry, to assess
whether the company’s liquidity ratios are higher or lower than the industry
average or norm and
 changes in the company’s liquidity ratios over time and whether its current
assets are rising or falling in proportion to its current liabilities.
It has sometimes been suggested that there ‘ideal liquidity ratios and that:
 the ‘ideal’ current ratio might be 2:1.
 the ‘ideal’ quick ratio might be 1:1.
When the ratios are below these ‘ideal’ levels, management might need to
consider how liquidity might be improved.
However, these ‘ideal’ ratios are only a very general guide.
 The ‘normal’ or ‘acceptable’ liquidity ratios vary significantly between
different industries. The ideal liquidity ratios depend to a large extent on the
‘ideal’ or ‘normal’ turnover periods for inventory, collections and payments
to suppliers.

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Performance management

 A high ratio might be attributable to an unusually large holding of cash.


When a company has surplus cash or short-term investments, this might be
temporary and the company might have plans for how the cash will be used
in the near future.
The most appropriate way of using liquidity ratios is probably to monitor
changes in the ratio over time. When the ratios fall below a ‘safe‘level, and
continue to fall, the entity might well have a serious liquidity problem.
Note
Which of the two liquidity ratios is more significant? The answer to this question is
that it depends on the normal speed of turnover for inventory. If inventory is held
only for a short time before it is used or sold, the current ratio is probably a more
useful ratio, because inventory is a liquid asset (convertible into cash within a
short time).
On the other hand, if inventory is slow moving, and so fairly illiquid, the quick ratio
is probably a better guide to an entity’s liquidity position.

Example:
20X7 20X8 20X9
₦m ₦m ₦m
Inventory 130 240 225
Trade receivables 245 312 400
Cash 100 54 23
Current assets 475 606 648
Current liabilities (200) (300) (450)
Net current assets 275 306 198
In addition, the following information is available:
Credit sales 1,500 1,530
Cost of goods sold 1,120 1,200
Required
Assess the entity’s liquidity position, using:
 inventory turnover time
 the average collection time
 liquidity ratios.

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Chapter 21: Working capital management

Answer
When the information is available, you should use average inventory and average
trade receivables for the year, rather than the year-end value.
It is assumed that average values for the year are the average of the beginning–
of-year and end-of-year values.
Inventory turnover
Average inventory:
20X9 = (240 + 225)/2 = 232.5
20X8 = (130 + 240)/2 = 185.0
Inventory turnover:
20X9 = (232.5/1,200) × 365 days = 71 days
20X8 = (185/1,120) × 365 days = 60 days.
Inventory turnover was slower in 20X9 than in 20X8. This could be an indication
of problems with inventory management, as well as deteriorating liquidity.
The slower inventory turnover implies that we are not converting the stock to cash
as quickly as before. As a result more money is being tied up in working capital.
Average time for customers to pay
Average trade receivables:
20X9 = (312 + 400)/2 = 356.0
20X8 = (245 + 312)/2 = 278.5
Average time for credit customers to pay
20X9 = (356/1,530) × 365 days = 85 days
20X8 = (278.5/1,500) × 365 days = 68 days
As with inventory turnover, the payment time for trade receivables is worsening
and trade receivables are not converting to cash as quickly as before. This implies
that the liquidity position is deteriorating.
Liquidity ratios
Current ratio
20X7 20X8 20X9
Current assets 475 606 648
Current liabilities (÷) 200 300 450
2.38 times 2.02 times 1.44 times

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Performance management

Answer (continued)
The liquidity position of the business, as measured by the current ratio, has
become much worse in 20X9 compared with 20X8 and 20X6. It could well be
getting worse continually. Creditor payments were covered by nearly 2.5 times in
20X7. By 20X9, the cover had shrunk to around 1.5 times. This indicates a
potential problem for the business, possibly in the near future.
However, before making this judgement you should want to know the reasons for
the deterioration in inventory turnover time and the average time for customers
to pay, because these will be linked to the deterioration in the current ratio.
Quick ratio
20X7 20X8 20X9
Current assets 345 366 423
Current liabilities (÷) 200 300 450
1.73 times 1.22 times 0.94 times

This ratio confirms the analysis. The liquidity position is getting worse. However, a
ratio of 0.94 is only just below the ‘ideal’ quick ratio of 1.0 time; therefore
further analysis should be carried out to assess the problem, and what must be
done to resolve it. It might be appropriate to prepare a cash flow forecast for the
next few months, to assess the possible need for cash in the near future.

© Emile Woolf International 678 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 21: Working capital management

3.3 Sales revenue: net working capital ratio


The sales revenue: net working capital ratio is another ratio that might be used to
assess whether the investment in working capital is too large or insufficient. This
is because it might be assumed that the amount of working capital should be
proportional to the value of annual sales, because there should be a certain
amount of working capital to ‘support’ a given quantity of sales.
‘Net working capital’ is simply total current assets less total current liabilities.

Example: Sales revenue: net working capital ratio


Last year a company had sales revenue of ₦20 million. Its average current assets
were ₦2.8 million and its average current liabilities were ₦1.1 million.
Last year its sales: net working capital ratio was 12.5 times. The current average
sales: net working capital ratio for other companies in the same industry is 12.4
times.
Current year
Net working capital = ₦1.7 million
Sales: net working capital ratio = ₦20 million/₦1.7 million = 11.8 times
Analysis
The company’s sales: net working capital ratio has fallen since the previous year.
It is now below the industry average.
A lower ratio means that working capital is now larger relative to sales revenue.
This might be an indication that the investment in working capital is getting too
large.
If the ratio had remained at 12.5, the same as last year, working capital would be
₦1.6 million (= ₦20 million/12.5). This suggests that working capital might now
be about ₦100,000 more than necessary.
If the ratio had been 12.4, the industry average, working capital would be about
₦1.61 million (= ₦20 million/12.4). This suggests that working capital might now
be about ₦90,000 more than necessary.
This analysis is not necessarily conclusive, but it might be sufficient to justify a
closer investigation into working capital investment, the reasons for the change in
the ratio and whether measures might be taken to improve the management of
working capital (and in doing so increase the ratio back towards the industry
average).

© Emile Woolf International 679 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 OVERTRADING

Section overview

 The meaning of overtrading


 Symptoms of overtrading
 Consequences of overtrading and possible remedial action

4.1 The meaning of overtrading


Overtrading means carrying on an excessive volume of trading in relation to the
amount of long-term capital invested in the business. A company that is
overtrading has inadequate capital for the volume of sales revenue it is earning.
Although it is possible for any business entity to overtrade, it is probably most
common in small companies that are now expanding rapidly, with a very high rate
of sales growth.

4.2 Symptoms of overtrading


A company that is overtrading will usually show most of the following symptoms.
 A high rate of annual sales growth.
 Low profitability. The company might be reducing its gross profit margin in
order to grow sales quickly. As it grows, the company might also incur
much higher expenses, such as higher administration costs, which reduce
the net profit margin.
 Because profitability is low, retained profits are also low. Retained profits
are an important source of new equity, but the company is not increasing its
equity investment quickly enough because there are insufficient profits.
 The growth in sales revenue will also mean a large increase in inventory
and trade receivables. Working capital management might become less
efficient, because systems that operated well when the company was small
(such as inventory control and collection of receivables) no longer operate
efficiently when the company is larger. Turnover times for inventory and
collections might increase.
 The company might also need to acquire some new non-current assets to
support the growth in sales volume.
 The growth in assets has to be financed by equity and liabilities. Because
profits are low, equity capital increases only by a small amount. The growth
in assets is therefore financed by liabilities and in particular by current
liabilities.
 The increase in current liabilities takes the form of:
 a much longer time to pay suppliers, so that the average payments
period increases substantially and trade payables in the statement of
financial position (balance sheet) are much higher
 a very big increase in its bank overdraft.

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Chapter 21: Working capital management

Example: Overtrading
Vesuvius is a rapidly-growing company. Its summarised financial statements for
the current financial year (just ended) and the previous year are as follows:
Summarised income statements
Current year Previous year
₦000 ₦000
Revenue 4,000 3,000
Cost of sales 2,400 1,500
–––––––– ––––––––
Gross profit 1,600 1,500
Operating expenses 1,550 1,250
–––––––– ––––––––
Net profit 50 250
–––––––– ––––––––

Summarised statements of financial position


Current year Previous year
₦000 ₦000 ₦000 ₦000
Non-current assets 2,000 1,800
Current assets
Inventory 600 300
Trade receivables 650 330
Cash nil 20
1,250 650
Total assets 3,250 2,450

Equity and liabilities


Share capital 1,800 1,800
Retained earnings 500 450
2,300 2,250
Current liabilities
Trade payables 450 200
Bank overdraft 500 nil
950 200
3,250 2,450

This is a company that displays all the symptoms of overtrading.


Sales in the current year are 33.3% higher than in the previous year. This is a very
high rate of sales growth.
Profits are low. The gross profit margin has fallen to 40% in the current year
compared with 50% in the previous year. The company might be reducing its
sales prices in order to sell more goods.
Net profit fell from ₦250,000 in the previous year to just ₦50,000 in the current
year. All this profit has been retained, but the growth in equity and reserves is
small in relation to the growth in the size of the business.

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Performance management

Example (continued): Overtrading


There has been a big increase in inventory, by 100%. The average turnover period
for inventory increased to 91 days in the current year [(600/2,400)  365] from
73 days in the previous year [(300/1,500)  365].
The average time to collect trade receivables has also increased substantially, by
₦320,000 or 97%. The average collection period was 59 days in the current year
[(650/4,000)  365] but only 40 days in the previous year [(330/3,000)  365].
There has been some increase in non-current assets, which has been largely
financed by current liabilities – probably bank overdraft.
There has been a very large increase of ₦250,000 or 125% in trade payables, as
well as a movement from a cash surplus of ₦20,000 to a bank overdraft of
₦500,000. The increase in trade payables is due not only to the growth in sales
volume and cost of sales, but also to an increase in the average payment period
to 68 days in the current year [(450/2,400)  365] from 49 days in the previous
year [(200/1,500)  365].

4.3 Consequences of overtrading and possible remedial action


The consequences of overtrading are eventual insolvency, unless remedial
measures are taken. Insolvency will occur if sales continue to grow and
overtrading continues because a company cannot finance its growth in business
indefinitely with growth in current liabilities.
In the previous example, the company’s bank will eventually refuse to allow any
more overdraft, and might even withdraw the existing overdraft facility if it
believes that the company cannot repay what it already owes. The company’s
suppliers will also eventually refuse to allow longer credit.
Overtrading therefore eventually leads to inadequate liquidity due to insufficient
long-term capital funding.

Remedial action
The action to restore the financial position when a company is overtrading is
either to increase capital or reduce the volume of business that the company is
conducting. The aim should be to achieve a better ratio of long-term capital to
sales, and a suitable level of working capital investment.
One way of increasing long-term capital is to increase profits. A company that is
overtrading should look for ways of improving both the gross profit and net profit
margins, by cutting costs or increasing sales prices. Higher profits will enable the
company to improve its operating cash flows and also to increase its equity
capital by retaining more profit.
However, a problem with trying to resolve a problem of overtrading by improving
profits is that the company might not have time to build up cash flows and profits
soon enough. The bank might withdraw its overdraft facility without notice,
making the company insolvent.

© Emile Woolf International 682 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 21: Working capital management

5 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Define working capital and its components.

 Explain the objectives of working capital management


 Explain and evaluate a cash operating cycle
 Define and use ratios used in working capital management
 Define and be able to identify the characteristics of overtrading

© Emile Woolf International 683 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


22
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Inventory management
Contents
1 Material purchase quantities: Economic order quantity
2 Re-order level and buffer stock
3 Just-in-Time (JIT) and other inventory management
methods
4 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 685 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
2 Working capital management
a Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
c Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing working
capital in relation to:
i Inventory (including economic order quantity model and Just-in-Time
techniques)

Exam context
This chapter explains the mathematical models that may be used to identify the lowest costs
associated with holding inventory at given level of activity. It also explains other approaches
that might be used in practice including just-in-time inventory management.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Describe the economic order quantity (EOQ) and apply the concept in given scenarios
 Calculate the EOQ from data provided
 Describe safety stocks for inventories
 Explain the reasons for maintaining safety stock
 Calculate the safety stock using data provided
 Explain re-order levels and the objectives of setting re-order levels
 Calculate re-order levels using data provided

© Emile Woolf International 686 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 22: Inventory management

1 MATERIAL PURCHASE QUANTITIES: ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY

Section overview

 Costs associated with inventory


 Economic order quantity (EOQ)
 Optimum order quantity with price discounts for large orders

1.1 Costs associated with inventory


Many companies, particularly manufacturing and retailing companies, might hold
large amounts of inventory. They usually hold inventory so that they can meet
customer demand as soon as it arises. If there is no inventory when the customer
asks for it (if there is a ‘stock-out’ or ‘inventory-out’) the customer might buy the
product from a competitor instead. However holding inventory creates costs.
The costs associated with inventory are:
 Purchase price of the inventory;
 Re-order costs are the costs of making orders to purchase a quantity of a
material item from a supplier. They include costs such as:
 the cost of delivery of the purchased items, if these are paid for by the
buyer;
 the costs associated with placing an order, such as the costs of
telephone calls;
 costs associated with checking the inventory after delivery from the
supplier;
 batch set up costs if the inventory is produced internally.
 Inventory holding costs:
 cost of capital tied up;
 insurance costs;
 cost of warehousing;
 obsolescence, deterioration and theft.
 Shortage costs
 lost profit on sale;
 future loss of profit due to loss of customer goodwill;
 costs due to production stoppage due to shortage of raw materials;

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Performance management

Investment in inventory has a cost. Capital is tied up in inventory and the capital
investment has a cost. Inventory has to be paid for, and when an organisation
holds a quantity of inventory it must therefore obtain finance to pay for it.

Example: Cost of holding inventory


A company holds between 0 units and 10,000 units of an item of material that
costs ₦1,000 per unit to purchase.
The cost of the materials held in store therefore varies between ₦0 and
₦10,000,000.
If demand for the inventory is constant throughout the year the average cost of
inventory held is ₦5,000,000 (half the maximum).
This inventory must be financed, and it is usual to assume (for simplicity) that it is
financed by borrowing that has an interest cost.
If the interest cost of holding inventory is 5% per year, the cost per year of holding
the inventory would be ₦250,000 (₦5,000,000  5%).

There are also running expenses incurred in holding inventory, such as the
warehousing costs (warehouse rental, wages or salaries of warehouse staff).
A distinction can be made between variable inventory holding costs (cost of
capital, cost of losses through deterioration and loss) and fixed inventory costs
(wages and salaries, warehouse rental). Changing inventory levels will affect
variable inventory holding costs but not fixed costs.

Trade off
Note that there is a trade-off between holding costs and ordering costs.

Example: Trade-off between holding costs and ordering costs


A company requires 12,000 of a certain component every year.
Demand for the component is constant. (This condition means that the average
inventory is half of the maximum as long as there is no safety stock).
The company can decide on the number it orders and this affects the holding cost
and ordering costs.
Let: Q = Order size
D = Annual demand

Order size (Q)


12,000 6,000 3,000
Average inventory (Q/2) 6,000 3,000 1,500
Number of orders (D/Q) 1 2 3

The average inventory falls as the order size falls thus reducing holding cost.
However, smaller orders mean more of them. This increases the order cost.
A business will be concerned with minimising costs and will make decisions
based on this objective. Note that any decision making model must focus on
those costs that are relevant to the decision. The relevant costs are only those
that change with a decision. When choosing between two courses of action, say

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Chapter 22: Inventory management

A and B, any cost that will be incurred whether action A or action B is undertaken
can be ignored. This is covered in more detail in chapter 14.

1.2 Economic order quantity (EOQ)


The Economic Order Quantity model (EOQ) is a mathematical model used to
calculate the quantity of inventory to order from a supplier each time that an order
is made. The aim of the model is to identify the order quantity for any item of
inventory that minimises total annual inventory costs.
The model is based on simplifying assumptions.

Assumption Implication
There are no bulk purchase discounts Order size (Q) does not affect the total
for making orders in large sizes. All annual purchase cost of the items.
units purchased for each item of Purchase price can be ignored in the
material cost the same unit price. decision as it does not affect the
outcome.
The order lead time (the time between Delivery of a new order is always
placing an order and receiving timed to coincide with running out of
delivery from the supplier) is constant inventory so the maximum inventory is
and known. the order size (Q)
There is no risk of being out of stock.
Shortage costs can be ignored.
Annual demand for the inventory item Average inventory is the order size/2
is constant throughout the year. because the maximum inventory is Q
As a result of the simplifying assumptions the relevant costs are the annual
holding cost per item per annum and the annual ordering costs.
If the price of materials is the same, no matter what the size of the purchase
order, the purchase order quantity that minimises total costs is the quantity at
which ordering costs plus the costs of holding inventory are minimised.

The EOQ model formula


The order quantity or purchase quantity that minimises the total annual cost of
ordering the item plus holding it in store is called the economic order quantity or
EOQ.

Formula: Economic order quantity (Q)

2CO D
Q =J
CH
Where:
Q = Quantity purchased in each order to minimise costs
CO = Fixed cost per order
CH = the cost of holding one item of inventory per annum
D = Annual demand

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Performance management

Notes:
There will be an immediate supply of new materials (Q units) as soon as existing
quantities in store run down to zero. The minimum quantity held in store is
therefore zero units and this always occurs just before a new purchase order
quantity is received.
The maximum quantity held is Q units. The average amount of inventory held is
therefore Q/2 and total holding costs each year are (Q/2) × CH.
The number of orders each year is D/Q. Total ordering costs each year are
therefore (D/Q) × CO.
The economic order quantity (EOQ) is the order size that minimises the sum of
these costs during a period (normally one year), given the assumptions stated
above.

Example: Economic order quantity


A company uses 120,000 units of Material X each year, which costs ₦300 for each
unit. The cost of placing an order is ₦6,500 for each order. The annual cost of
holding inventory each year is 10% of the purchase price of a unit.
The economic order quantity for Material X is as follows:
CO = Fixed cost per order = ₦6,500
CH = the cost of holding one item of inventory per annum = 10%  300=
₦30
D = Annual demand = 120,000 units

2CO D 2  6,500 × 120,000


Q= J =J = 7,211.1
units CH 30

The EOQ is the quantity that minimises the sum of the annual order costs and
the annual holding costs. The annual holding costs equal the annual order costs
at this level.

Example: Annual costs of the EOQ


Using information from the previous example
Annual order costs: ₦
Number of orders  fixed cost per order
D/Q  CO = 120,000/7211.1  6,500 108,166

Annual holding costs:


Average inventory  cost of holding one item per annum:
Q/2  30 = 7,211.1/2  30 108,166
Total annual cost that is minimised by the EOQ 216,332
Annual purchase price (D  Price = 120,000  300) 36,000,000
Total annual cost 36,216,332

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Chapter 22: Inventory management

The costs that are minimised are often very small compared to the purchase
price in the model. The purchase price is irrelevant in deciding the order quantity
because it is not affected by the order size when the annual demand is constant.
Total annual ordering costs and annual holding costs are always the same
whenever the purchase quantity for materials is the EOQ and the assumptions on
which the EOQ is based (described earlier) apply. This would not be the case if
safety inventory was held (but the simplifying assumptions preclude this from
happening).

Practice questions 1
1 A company uses the economic order quantity (EOQ) model to
determine the purchase order quantities for materials.
The demand for material item M234 is 12,000 units every three
months.
The item costs ₦80 per unit, and the annual holding cost is 6% of the
purchase cost per year. The cost of placing an order for the item is
₦250.
What is the economic order quantity for material item M234 (to the
nearest unit)?
2 A company uses the economic order quantity (EOQ) model to
determine the purchase order quantities for materials.
The demand for material item M456 is 135,000 units per year. The
item costs ₦100 per unit, and the annual holding cost is 5% of the
purchase cost per year.
The cost of placing an order for the item is ₦240.
What are the annual holding costs for material item M456?
3 A company uses a chemical compound, XYZ in its production
processes.
XYZ costs ₦1,120 per kg. Each month, the company uses 5,000 kg of
XYZ and holding costs per kg. per annum are ₦20.
Every time the company places an order for XYZ it incurs administrative
costs of ₦180.
What is the economic order quantity for material item XYZ (to the
nearest unit)?

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Performance management

1.3 Optimum order quantity with price discounts for large orders
When the EOQ formula is used to calculate the purchase quantity, it is assumed
that the purchase cost per unit of material is a constant amount, regardless of the
order quantity.
If a supplier offers a discount on the purchase price for orders above a certain
quantity the purchase price becomes a relevant cost. When this situation arises,
the order quantity that minimises total costs will be either:
 The economic order quantity; or
 The minimum order quantity necessary to obtain the price discount.
The total costs each year including purchases, ordering costs and holding costs,
must be calculated for the EOQ and the minimum order quantity to obtain each
discount on offer.

Example: Optimum order quantity with price discounts


A company uses 120,000 units of Material X each year, which costs ₦300 for
each unit.
The cost of placing an order is ₦6,500 for each order.
The annual cost of holding inventory each year is 10% of the purchase cost.
The EOQ based on the above information is 7,211 units.
The supplier offers a price discount of ₦5 per unit for orders of 10,000 or more.
The order quantity that will minimise total costs is found as follows:
Order quantity: 7,211.1 units 10,000 units
₦ ₦
Annual ordering costs (
D /Q  CO = 120,000/7211.1  6,500 108,166
 CO =
D /Q 120,000/10,000  6,500 78,000
Holding costs
Q /2  30 = 7,211.1/2  30 108,166
Q /2  30 = 10,000/2  30 150,000
216,332 228,000
Annual purchase costs
120,000  ₦300 36,000,000
120,000  ₦(300  5) 35,400,000
Total costs 36,216,332 35,628,000
Conclusion: The order quantity that minimises total costs is 10,000 units.
(The sum of the annual ordering costs plus the annual holding costs is greater for
10,000 units as would be expected from our knowledge of the EOQ model.
However this increase is more than compensated for by the saving in purchase
price at this order level.)

© Emile Woolf International 692 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 22: Inventory management

Practice question 2
A company uses 120,000 units of Material X each year, which costs ₦3
for each unit before discount.
The costs of making an order are ₦605 for each order. The annual cost of
holding inventory is 10% of the purchase cost.
The supplier offers a price discount of ₦0.10 per unit for orders of 25,000
up to 40,000 units, and a discount of ₦0.20 per unit for orders of 40,000
units or more.
Find the quantity that will minimise total costs.

© Emile Woolf International 693 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2 RE-ORDER LEVEL AND BUFFER STOCK

Section overview

 Inventory re-order level and other warning levels


 Re-order level avoiding stock-outs and buffer stock
 Maximum inventory level
 Minimum inventory level
 Using a probability table to decide the optimal re-order level

2.1 Inventory reorder level and other warning levels


So far, it has been assumed that when an item of materials is purchased from a
supplier, the delivery from the supplier will happen immediately. In practice,
however, there is likely to be some uncertainty about when to make a new order
for inventory in order to avoid the risk of running out of inventory before the new
order arrives from the supplier. There are two reasons for this:
 There is a supply lead time. This is the period of time between placing a
new order with a supplier and receiving the delivery of the purchased items.
The length of this supply lead time might be uncertain and might be several
days, weeks or even months.
 The daily or weekly usage of the material might not be a constant amount.
During the supply lead time, the actual usage of the material may be more
than or less than the average usage.
If demand for an inventory item exceeds the available quantity of inventory during
the reorder period, there will be a stock-out (inventory-out). When there is a
stock-out of a key item of inventory used in production, there would be a hold-up
in production and a disruption to the production schedules. This in turn may lead
to a loss of sales and profits. Stock-outs therefore have a cost.
Management responsible for inventory control might like to know:
 What the reorder level should be for each item of materials, in order to
avoid any stock-out. (reorder level is the level of inventory at which a new
order for the item should be placed with the supplier);
 Whether the inventory level for each item of material appears to be too high
or too low;
 What the reorder level should be for each item of materials, if stock-outs
can be allowed to happen.
In an inventory control system, if there is uncertainty about the length of the
supply lead time and demand during the lead time there might be three warning
levels for inventory, to warn management that:
 The item should now be reordered (the reorder level)
 The inventory level is too high (a maximum inventory level) or
 The inventory level is getting dangerously low (a minimum inventory level).

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Chapter 22: Inventory management

2.2 Re-order level avoiding stock-outs and buffer stock


If the management policy is to avoid stock-outs entirely, the reorder level should
be high enough to ensure that no stock-out occurs during the supply lead time. A
new quantity of materials should be ordered when current inventory reaches the
reorder level for that material.
If the supply lead time (time between placing an order and receiving delivery) is
certain and demand during the lead time is constant a company would be able to
set a reorder level such that it used the last item just as a new order arrived, thus
reducing holding costs to a minimum.
The reorder level to do this is found as follows.

Illustration: Re-order level – Certain lead time and constant demand


Demand for the material item per day/week × Lead time in days/weeks

If the supply lead time is uncertain, and demand during the lead time is also
uncertain, there should be a safety level of inventory. A company may wish to
ensure that they are never out of stock. The reorder level to achieve this is found
as follows.

Illustration: Re-order level: Uncertain demand in lead time


Maximum demand for the Maximum supply lead time in
material item per day/week  days/weeks

Safety inventory (‘buffer stock’ or ‘safety stock’)


The re-order level is therefore set at the maximum expected consumption of the
material item during the supply lead time. This is more than the average usage
during the supply lead time. As a result more inventory is held that is needed on
average.

Illustration: Average inventory


Q/2 + Safety inventory

Safety inventory is the average amount of inventory held in excess of average


requirements in order to remove the risk of a stock-out. The size of the safety
inventory is calculated as follows:

Illustration: Safety inventory (also known as buffer stock)


Units
Reorder level:
Maximum demand per day  Maximum lead time X
Average usage in the lead time period:
Average demand per day  Average lead time (X)
Safety inventory X

The cost of holding safety inventory is the size of the safety inventory multiplied
by the holding cost per unit per annum.

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Performance management

2.3 Maximum inventory level


A company will set a maximum level for inventory. Inventory held above this
would incur extra holding cost without adding any benefit to the company.
The inventory level should never exceed a maximum level. If it does, something
unusual has happened to either the supply lead time or demand during the
supply lead time. The company would investigate this and take action perhaps
adjusting purchasing behaviour.
When demand during the supply lead time is uncertain and the supply lead time
is also uncertain, the maximum inventory level is found as follows.

Illustration: Maximum inventory level


Units
Reorder level X
Reorder quantity X
X
Less:
Minimum demand per Minimum supply lead time in
day/week  days/weeks
(X)

This maximum level should occur at the time that a new delivery of the item has
been received from the supplier. The supply lead time is short; therefore there
are still some units of inventory when the new delivery is received.

2.4 Minimum inventory level


The inventory level could be dangerously low if it falls below a minimum warning
level. When inventory falls below this amount, management should check that a
new supply will be delivered before all the inventory is used up, so that there will
be no stock-out.
When demand during the supply lead time is uncertain and the supply lead time
is also uncertain, the minimum (warning) level for inventory is set as follows.

Illustration: Minimum inventory level


Units
Reorder level X
Less:
Average demand per Average lead time in
day/week  days/weeks
(X)

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Chapter 22: Inventory management

Example: Re-order levels and buffer stock


A company uses material item BC67. The reorder quantity for this material is
12,000 units. There is some uncertainty about the length of the lead time
between ordering more materials and receiving delivery from the supplier. There
is also some variability in weekly demand for the item.
Supply lead time (weeks)
Average 2.5
Maximum 3
Minimum 1

Demand per week (units)


Average 1,200
Maximum 1,500
Minimum 800

Re-order level
Maximum demand for the Maximum lead time
material item per day  in days/weeks
= Reorder level

1,500 units  3 weeks = 4,500 units

Buffer stock (safety inventory) Units


Re-order level 4,500
Average demand per week 1,200 units
Average lead time (weeks) × 2.5 weeks
Subtract: (3,000)
1,500

Maximum inventory level Units


Re-order level 4,500
Reorder quantity 12,000
Minimum demand per week 800 units
Minimum lead time (weeks) × 1 week
(800)
15,700

Minimum inventory level Units


Re-order level 4,500
Average demand per week 1,200 units
Average lead time (weeks) × 2.5 weeks
Subtract: (3,000)
1,500
The minimum inventory level is the buffer stock quantity.

© Emile Woolf International 697 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

A question might combine the EOQ model and reorder level or safety inventory
(buffer stock).

Example: EOQ model and re-order level


A company orders 50,000 units of an item when the inventory level falls to
100,000 units.
Annual consumption of the item is 1,800,000 units per year.
The holding cost per unit is ₦1.50 per unit per year and the cost of making an
order for delivery of the item is ₦375 per order.
The supply lead time is 2 weeks (assume a 50-week year and constant weekly
demand for the item).

Required
Calculate the cost of the current ordering policy and calculate how much annual
savings could be obtained using the EOQ model if the existing policy on buffer
stack was retained.

Answer
Step 1: Calculate the safety inventory
Weekly demand = 1,800,000/50 weeks = 36,000 units.
Safety inventory = 100,000 units – (36,000 units  2 weeks) = 28,000 units.
Average inventory = 50,000 units/2 + Safety inventory = 25,000 + 28,000 = 53,000
units.
Step 2: Work out the annual costs of the current policy
Annual cost of current policy ₦
Order costs: ₦375  (1,800,000/50,000) 13,500
Holding costs of order quantity: (50,000 units/2)  ₦1.50 37,500
Holding costs of safety inventory: 28,000  ₦1.50 42,000
Holding costs of average inventory: 53,000  ₦1.50 79,500
93,000

Step 3: work out the annual costs associated with the EOQ
 2  1,800,000  375 
EOQ =   = 900,000,000 = 30,000 units
 1.5 
Average inventory = 30,000 units/2 + Safety inventory = 15,000 + 28,000 =
43,000 units.
Annual cost of EOQ policy ₦
Order costs: ₦375  (1,800,000/30,000) 22,500
Holding costs of EOQ : (30,000/2)  ₦1.50 22,500
Holding cost of safety inventory: 28,000  ₦1.50 42,000
Holding costs of new average inventory: 43,000  ₦1.50
87,000
Cost of current policy 93,000
Annual saving by ordering EOQ 6,000

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Chapter 22: Inventory management

2.5 Using a probability table to decide the optimal re-order level


When a company is prepared to accept the risk of stock-outs, the optimal reorder
level might be estimated using probabilities of demand (and probabilities of the
supply lead time) to calculate the reorder level that has the lowest expected value
of total cost.
A probability table can be prepared. For each possible reorder level under
consideration, we can calculate:
 The probable demand in the lead time between order and delivery;
 The risk of having excess inventory (buffer stock) and its cost;
 The risk of stock-outs, and their cost.
The reorder level selected might be the reorder level at which the expected value
(EV) of cost is minimised.

Example: Re-order level and probabilities


Entity X uses item Z in its production process. It purchases item Z from an
external supplier, in batches.
For item Z, the following information is relevant:
Holding cost ₦15 per unit per year
Stock out cost ₦5 for each stock-out
Lead-time 1 week
EOQ 270 units
Entity X operates for 48 weeks each year. Weekly demand for unit Z for
production is variable, as follows:
Units demanded
during the lead time Probability
70 10%
80 20%
90 30%
100 40%
Required
Suggest whether a re-order level of 90 units or 100 units would be more
appropriate.

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Performance management

Answer
Step 1: Calculate the average demand in the lead time
The average demand in the lead-time is:
(70 × 10%) + (80 × 20%) + (90 × 30%) + (100 × 40%) = 90 units
Average annual demand is 48 weeks × 90 units = 4,320 units.
4,320
Since the EOQ is 270 units, entity X will expect to place orders = 16 orders
270
each year. Therefore there will be 16 lead times each year.
Step 2: Set up a probability table
(Starting with a reorder level is set to the average demand in the lead time and
then looking at higher reorder levels).
Re-order level of 90 (the company will be out of stock if demand is
greater than 90)
Demand = 100
Stock outs if demand is 100 10 units
Probability of demand of 100  0.4
Cost per stock out  ₦5
Number of orders per year  16
Annual stock out cost 320
Buffer stock (reorder level  average demand in lead time) nil
320

Re-order level of 100 (the company will never be out of stock)


Stock out cost nil
Buffer stock (reorder level  average demand in lead time) 10 units
Holding cost per unit per annum  ₦15
₦150

The re-order level should be set at 100 units. The extra cost of the buffer
stock (₦150) achieves savings by reducing the stock out cost (₦320).

Notice the trade off, in the above example, between the cost of stock out and the
holding costs at different reorder levels. A higher re-order level reduces the
chance of a stock out but incurs higher holding costs.

© Emile Woolf International 700 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 22: Inventory management

3 JUST-IN-TIME (JIT) AND OTHER INVENTORY MANAGEMENT METHODS

Section overview

 JIT production and JIT purchasing


 Practical implications of JIT
 Other inventory control systems
 ABC method of inventory control

3.1 JIT production and JIT purchasing


Just-in-Time (JIT) management methods originated in Japan in the 1970s. JIT is
a radically different approach to inventory management compared with
management using the EOQ model and reorder levels.
The principle of JIT is that producing items for inventory is wasteful, because
inventory adds no value, and holding inventory is therefore an expense for which
there is no benefit.
If there is no immediate demand for output from any part of the system, a
production system should not produce finished goods output for holding as
inventory. There is no value in achieving higher volumes of output if the extra
output goes into inventory as it has no immediate use.
Similarly, if there is no immediate demand for raw materials, there should not be
any of the raw materials in inventory. Raw materials should be obtained only
when they are actually needed.
It follows that in an ideal production system:
 There should be no inventory of finished goods: items should be produced
just in time to meet customer orders, and not before ( just in time
production); and
 There should be no inventories of purchased materials and components:
purchases should be delivered by external suppliers just in time for when
they are needed in production (just in time purchasing).

3.2 Practical implications of JIT

JIT production
It is important that items should be available when required. Finished goods must
be available when customers order them, and raw materials and components
must be supplied when they are needed for production.
In practice, this means that:
 Production times must be very fast. If there is no inventory of finished
goods, production has to be fast in order to meet new customer orders
quickly.
 Production must be reliable, and there must be no hold-ups, stoppages or
bottlenecks. Poor quality production, leading to rejected items and scrap, is
unacceptable.

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Performance management

 Deliveries from suppliers must be reliable: suppliers must deliver quickly


and purchased materials and components must be of a high quality (so that
there will be no scrapped items or rejected items in production).

JIT purchasing
JIT depends for its success not only on highly efficient and high-quality
production, but also on efficient and reliable supply arrangements with key
suppliers. For successful JIT purchasing, there must be an excellent relationship
with key suppliers. Collaborative long-term relationships should be established
with major suppliers, and purchasing should not be based on selecting the lowest
price offered by competing suppliers.
By implementing a JIT system, an entity will be working with its key (‘strategic’)
suppliers to implement a manufacturing system that will:
 Reduce or eliminate inventories and WIP;
 Reduce order sizes, since output is produced to meet specific demand and
raw material deliveries should be timed to coincide with production
requirements; and
 Ensure deliveries arrive in the factory exactly at the time that they are
needed.
The overall emphasis of a JIT purchasing policy is on consistency and quality,
rather than looking for the lowest purchase price available.

Problems with JIT


There might be several problems with using JIT in practice.
 Zero inventories cannot be achieved in some industries, where customer
demand cannot be predicted with certainty and the production cycle is quite
long. In these situations, it is necessary to hold some inventories of finished
goods.
 It might be difficult to arrange a reliable supply system with key suppliers,
whereby suppliers are able to deliver materials exactly at the time required.
 If the EOQ model succeeds in minimising total costs of holding costs and
ordering costs, this suggests that with a JIT purchasing system, ordering
costs might be very high.

3.3 Other inventory control systems


EOQ and JIT are two methods of managing and controlling inventory and
purchasing quantities. Other systems might be used.

Two bin system


When a two-bin system is used in a warehouse or stores department, each item
of inventory is stored in two bins or large containers. Inventory is taken from Bin 1
until it is empty, and a new order is placed sufficient to fill Bin 1 again.
However, the delivery of more units of the item will take time, and since Bin 1 is
empty, units are now taken from Bin 2. Bin 2 is large enough to continue
supplying the item until the new delivery arrives. On delivery both bins are
replenished and units are once again supplied from Bin 1.
This cycle continues indefinitely.

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Chapter 22: Inventory management

Periodic review system


In a periodic review system, there is a reorder quantity and a reorder level for
each item of inventory.
Inventory levels are checked periodically, say every one, two, three or four
weeks. If the inventory level for any item has fallen below its reorder level, a new
order for the reorder quantity is placed immediately.

Example:
The demand for an inventory item each week is 400 units, and inventory control
is applied by means of a three-weekly periodic review. The lead-time for a new
order is two weeks.
The minimum inventory level should therefore be (3 weeks + 2 weeks) = 5 weeks
× 400 units = 2,000 units.
If the inventory level is found to be lower than this level at any periodic review, a
new order for the item should be made.

3.4 ABC method of inventory control


With the ABC method of inventory control, it is recognised that some items of
inventory cost much more than others to hold. Inventory can perhaps be divided
into three broad categories:
 Category A inventory items, for which inventory holding costs are high.
 Category B inventory items, for which inventory holding costs are fairly
high, but not as high as for category A items.
 Category C inventory items, for which inventory holding costs are low and
insignificant. Holding excessive amounts of these inventory items would not
affect costs significantly.
The ABC approach to inventory control is to control each category of inventory
differently, and apply the closest control to those items in the most costly
category, A. For example:
 Category A items might be controlled by purchasing the EOQ as soon as
the inventory level falls to a set reorder level.
 Category B items might be controlled by a periodic review system, with
orders placed to restore the inventory level to a maximum level.
 Category C items might be purchased in large quantities, and controlled by
means of a two-bin system.

Identifying categories
A company operating this system would introduce a policy to identify which
inventory lines are in which category.
The policy would be based on the value of inventory used in the year.

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Performance management

Example: ABC system of inventory control


A company operates the ABC system of inventory control.
Category A: The fewest Items which account for at least 50% of the company’s
annual expenditure on inventory.
Category B: Items accounting from the end of items identified as A up to an
including 80% annual expenditure on inventory.
Category C: All other items.

The following information has been identified in respect of the company’s inventory
line in a year.
Annual
Inventory Cost per usage
line item (units)
101 50 100
102 360 50
103 30 120
104 90 50
105 30 100
106 25 180
107 15 165
108 150 50
109 400 75
110 20 120

Example: ABC system of inventory control


Step 1: Identify the total amount spent on each inventory line by multiplying the
cost per item by the number of items used.
Annual Total
Inventory Cost per usage amount
line item (units) spent
101 50 100 5,000
102 360 50 18,000
103 30 120 3,600
104 90 50 4,500
105 30 100 3,000
106 25 180 4,500
107 15 165 2,475
108 150 50 7,500
109 400 75 30,000
110 20 120 2,400

© Emile Woolf International 704 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 22: Inventory management

Example: ABC system of inventory control


Step 3: Rank the items by total spend (highest first) and sum the total spend
column.
(You must always estimate the total spend and then rank the items in order to
identify the high value items).
Annual Total
Stock Cost per usage amount
line item (units) spent
109 400 75 30,000
102 360 50 18,000
108 150 50 7,500
101 50 100 5,000
104 90 50 4,500
106 25 180 4,500
103 30 120 3,600
105 30 100 3,000
107 15 165 2,475
110 20 120 2,400
80,975

Example: ABC system of inventory control


Step 4: Express each individual total spend figure as a percentage of the total
spend on all stock lines and construct a cumulative percentage column.
For example: Total spend on line 109 is 37% of the total (30,000/80,975)
Annual Total Annual
Stock Cost per usage amount value as a % Cumulative
line item (units) spent of total %
109 400 75 30,000 37.0% 37.0%
102 360 50 18,000 22.2% 59.3%
108 150 50 7,500 9.3% 68.5%
101 50 100 5,000 6.2% 74.7%
104 90 50 4,500 5.6% 80.3%
106 25 180 4,500 5.6% 85.8%
103 30 120 3,600 4.4% 90.3%
105 30 100 3,000 3.7% 94.0%
107 15 165 2,475 3.1% 97.0%
110 20 120 2,400 3.0% 100.0%
80,975

© Emile Woolf International 705 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: ABC system of inventory control


Step 5: Identify categories based on the stated policy.
Stock Cumulative
line % Category
109 37.0% A The fewest Items which account
for at least 50% of the company’s
102 59.3% A annual expenditure
108 68.5% B Items accounting from the end of
101 74.7% B items identified as A up to an
including 80% annual
104 80.3% B expenditure on inventory.
106 85.8% C Other items
103 90.3% C
105 94.0% C
107 97.0% C
110 100.0% C

In the above examples the categories have been identified by applying


percentages to total. This could also be done using annual usage of items.

© Emile Woolf International 706 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 22: Inventory management

Example: ABC system of inventory control


The company might want to identify the categories using annual usage. In this case
the items are ranked as before but selected based on percentage usage.
Percentage columns are built for usage instead of for total spend.
Using the previous example the company now wishes to identify categories as
follows:
Category A: The fewest Items which account for at least 30% of the company’s
annual usage on inventory.
Category B: Items accounting from the end of items identified as A up to an
including 75% annual usage on inventory.
Category C: All other items.
The analysis would be completed as follows:
Annual Total Annual
Stock Cost per usage amount usage as a Cumulative
line item (units) spent % of total %
109 400 75 30,000 7.4% 7.4%
102 360 50 18,000 5.0% 12.4%
108 150 50 7,500 5.0% 17.3%
101 50 100 5,000 9.9% 27.2%
104 90 50 4,500 5.0% 32.2%
106 25 180 4,500 17.8% 50.0%
103 30 120 3,600 11.9% 61.9%
105 30 100 3,000 9.9% 71.8%
107 15 165 2,475 16.3% 88.1%
110 20 120 2,400 11.9% 100.0%
1,010

Example: ABC system of inventory control


Identify categories based on the stated policy.
Stock Cumulative
line % Category
109 7.4% A
102 12.4% A
The fewest Items which account
108 17.3% A for at least 30% of the company’s
101 27.2% A annual usage on inventory
104 32.2% A
106 50.0% B Items accounting from the end of
103 61.9% B items identified as A up to an
including 75% annual usage on
105 71.8% B inventory
107 88.1% C
110 100.0% C

© Emile Woolf International 707 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Describe the economic order quantity (EOQ) and apply the concept in given
scenarios
 Calculate the EOQ from data provided
 Describe safety stocks for inventories
 Explain the reasons for maintaining safety stock
 Calculate the safety stock using data provided
 Explain re-order levels and the objectives of setting re-order levels
 Calculate re-order levels using data provided

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
1 Economic order quantity

2CO D 2  250 × (4 × 12,000)


Q =J =J = 2,236 units
CH 6%×80

2 Economic order quantity

2CO D 2  240 × 135,000


Q =J =J = 3,600 units
CH 5%×100
Annual holding cost
Q 3,600
×C H
= ×5 = ₦9,000
2 2

3 Economic order quantity

2CO D 2  180 × (5,000 × 12)


Q =J =J = 1,039 units
CH 20

© Emile Woolf International 709 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solutions 2
EOQ
2CoD
EOQ 
CH

Where:
CO = 605
D = 120,000
CH = 10% × 3 = 0.3
 2  120,000  605 
=   = 484,000,000 = 22,000 units
 0.3 

The economic order quantity is 22,000 units


The order quantity that will minimise total costs is found as follows:
Order quantity
22,000 25,000 40,000
units Units units
₦ ₦ ₦
Annual purchase costs
120,000 × ₦3 360,000
120,000 × ₦(3 – 0.10) 348,000
120,000 × ₦(3 – 0.20) 336,000
Annual ordering costs (D/Q  CO)
(120,000/22,000) × ₦605 3,300
(120,000/25,000) × ₦605 2,904
(120,000/40,000) × ₦605 1,815
Holding costs (Q/2  CH)
(22,000/2) × ₦0.3 3,300
(25,000/2) × ₦0.29 3,625
(40,000/2) × ₦0.28 5,600
Total costs 366,600 354,529 343,415

Conclusion
The order quantity that minimises total costs is 40,000 units.

© Emile Woolf International 710 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


23
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Management of receivables
and payables

Contents
1 Costs and benefits of giving credit
2 The management of trade receivables
3 Debt factors and invoice discounting
4 Settlement discounts
5 Management of working capital for foreign trade
6 Management of trade payables
7 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 711 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
2 Working capital management
a Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
c Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing working
capital in relation to:
ii Account receivables (including cash discounts, factoring and invoice
discounting); and
iii Account payables

Exam context
This chapter explains the management of payables and receivables.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the benefits and costs of giving credit
 Explain the components of a receivables management system
 Evaluate the impact of a change in working capital management policy
 Explain debt factoring
 Measure the cost of settlement discounts
 Understand trade payables as a source of short term finance

© Emile Woolf International 712 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

1 COSTS AND BENEFITS OF GIVING CREDIT

Section overview

 Benefits of giving credit


 Cost of giving credit

Business entities that sell to other businesses normally sell on agreed credit terms.
Often ‘standard’ credit terms are applied for most business transactions, such as 30
days or 60 days from the date of the invoice. Most sales to consumers are for cash, but
some businesses might even sell to consumers on credit.
It is generally assumed that if customers are allowed time to pay what they owe, they
will take the full period of credit. For example, if a customer is allowed 30 days to pay
an invoice, it is generally assumed that the customer will not pay until day 30.

1.1 Benefits of giving credit


By giving credit, sales volume will be higher. Higher sales volumes result in
higher contribution, and higher profit.
If a business does not give credit to customers, customers are likely to buy from
competitors who do offer credit.

1.2 Cost of giving credit


There are several costs of giving credit.
 Finance costs: There is a finance cost. Trade receivables must be
financed. The longer the period of credit allowed to customers, the bigger
the investment in working capital must be. The cost of investing in trade
receivables is usually calculated as: Average trade receivables in the
period × Cost of capital for the period
 Bad debt costs: Selling on credit creates a risk that the customer might
never pay for the goods supplied. The cost of bad debts is usually
measured as the amount of sales revenue due from the customers, that is
written off as non-collectable.
 Administration costs: Additional administration costs might be incurred in
negotiating credit terms with customers, and monitoring the credit position
of customers. In dealing with problems about the cost of trade receivables,
you should consider only the incremental administration costs incurred as a
consequence of providing credit.

© Emile Woolf International 713 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Cost of giving credit


Nigerian Green Company currently offers customers 30 days’ credit. Annual
credit sales are ₦12 million, the contribution/sales ratio is 25% and bad debts
are 1% of sales. The company has estimated that if it increased credit to 60
days, total annual sales would increase by 10%, but bad debts would rise to
1.5% of sales. The cost of capital for Green Company is 9%.
Assume that a year has 360 days.
Required
Estimate the effect on annual profit of increasing the credit period from 30 to 60
days.

Answer
Annual sales will increase from ₦12 million to ₦13.2 million.


Current average receivables 30/360 × ₦12 million 1,000,000
Average receivables with credit of
60 days 60/360 × ₦13.2 million 2,200,000
Increase in average receivables 1,200,000
Annual interest cost of increase in trade receivables = ₦1,200,000 × 9% =
₦108,000.
₦ ₦
Annual contribution with credit 30 days 3,000,000
Annual contribution with credit 60 days 3,300,000
Increase in annual contribution 300,000
Bad debts with credit 30 days (1% × ₦12 million) 120,000
Bad debts with credit 60 days (1.5% × ₦13.2
million) 198,000
Increase in bad debts 78,000
Annual interest cost of extra receivables 108,000
Total extra cost of longer credit 186,000
Net annual gain from increasing credit to 60 days 114,000

© Emile Woolf International 714 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

2 THE MANAGEMENT OF TRADE RECEIVABLES

Section overview

 Giving credit
 Monitoring payments
 Efficient collection of debts
 Bad debts and reducing bad debts

Giving credit to customers results in higher costs, in particular higher interest costs and
some bad debts. These costs must be kept under control. To do this, trade receivables
must be properly managed.
Good management of trade receivables involves systems for:
 Deciding whether to give customers credit, and how much credit to give them
 Monitoring payments
 Collecting overdue payments.

2.1 Giving credit


There should be procedures for deciding whether to give credit to a customer,
and if so, how much. The procedures should differ between existing customers
wanting extra credit, and new customers asking for credit for the first time. This is
because existing customers already have a credit history. A company knows from
experience whether an existing customer is likely to pay on time, or might have
difficulty with payments.
When deciding whether or not to give extra credit to an existing customer, the
decision can therefore be based largely on whether the customer has paid
promptly in the past, and so whether on the basis of past performance the
customer appears to be a good credit risk.
For new business customers, a variety of credit checks might be carried out.
 Asking for trade references from other suppliers to the customer who
already give credit
 Asking for a reference from the customer’s bank
 Making credit checks to discover whether any court judgements have been
made against the customer for non-payment of debts
 Credit checks on small businesses can be purchased from credit reference
agencies
 For business customers, asking for a copy of the most recent financial
statements and carrying out a ratio analysis. Banks can usually persuade a
business customer to provide a copy of its financial statements for
decisions about granting a bank loan; but it is much more difficult for non-
banks to do so, for decisions about giving trade credit
 Using reports from the company’s salesmen. If a company sales
representative has visited the business premises of the customer, a report
about the apparent condition of the customer’s business might be used to
decide about whether or not to offer credit.

© Emile Woolf International 715 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Usually, a company establishes credit policy guidelines that should be followed


when giving credit to a new business customer. For example, a company might
have a credit policy that for a new business customer, subject to a satisfactory
credit check, it would be appropriate to offer credit for up to ₦2,000 for 30 days.
This credit limit might then be reviewed after several months, if the customer
pays invoices promptly within the credit terms.
The credit terms set for each customer will consist of:
 A credit period: The customer should be required to pay invoices within a
stated number of days. Credit limits of 30 days or 60 days are common.
 A credit limit: This is the maximum amount of credit that the customer will
be permitted. The limit is likely to be small at first for a new customer,
increasing as the trading relationship develops.
 Interest charges on overdue payments: It might also be a condition of
giving credit that the customer agrees to pay interest on any overdue
payment. However, interest charges on late payments can create bad
feeling, and customers who are charged interest might take their business
to a rival supplier. Interest charges on late payments are therefore
uncommon in practice.
(Note: Credit checks on individuals should be carried out by companies that give
credit to customers, such as banks and credit card companies. Many companies,
however, might give credit to corporate customers but ask for cash
payment/credit card payment from individuals.)

2.2 Monitoring payments


A company should have a system for monitoring payments of invoices by
customers. A regular report should be produced listing the unpaid debts, and
which of these are overdue. This report might be called an aged debtors list’or
aged receivables list.
A typical report might summarise the current position by showing how much
money is owed by customers and for how long the money has been owed. A
simple example of a summary is shown below.

Illustration: Aged receivables list


Total 0 – 30 days 31 – 60 60 – 90 Over 90
days days days
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Receivable 17,894,100 12,506,900 4,277,200 1,045,000 65,000

The report will also provide a detailed list of the unpaid invoices in each time
period. By monitoring regular reports, the team responsible for collecting
payments can decide which customers to ‘chase’ for payment and also to assess
whether collections of receivables is under control. In the example above, if the
company has normal credit terms of 30 days, it might be concerned that such a
large amount of receivables – over ₦5 million, remain unpaid after 30 days.

© Emile Woolf International 716 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

2.3 Efficient collection of debts


When credit is given to customers, there should be efficient procedures for
ensuring that customers pay on time, and that action is taken to obtain overdue
payments.
Procedures for efficient debt collection include the following:
 Sending invoices to customers promptly, as soon as the goods or services
have been provided.
 Sending regular statements to credit customers, showing how much they
owe in total and how much is currently due for payment. Statements act as
a reminder to customers to make a payment.
 Ensuring that credit terms are not exceeded, and the customer is not
allowed to take longer credit or more credit than agreed.
Procedures for chasing overdue payments include:
 Telephone calls
 Reminder letters
 Taking a decision to withhold further supplies and further credit until an
overdue debt is paid.
In extreme cases, measures might include:
 Using the services of a debt collection agency.
 Sending an official letter from a solicitor, threatening legal action.
 Legal action – obtaining a court judgement against the customer to force
the customer to pay. This is a measure of last resort, to be taken only when
there is a breakdown in the trading relationship.

2.4 Bad debts and reducing bad debts


When a company gives credit, there will be some bad debts. Bad debts are an
expense in the income statement and have a direct impact on profitability. A
company should try to minimise its bad debts, whilst accepting that even with
efficient collection procedures some losses are unavoidable. For example some
customers might become insolvent and go out of business still owing money.
There are several ways in which bad debts can be reduced:
 More extensive and careful credit checking procedures when deciding
whether to give credit to customers
 More efficient collection procedures
 Reducing the amount of credit in total. As the total amount of credit given to
customers increases, there will be an increase in the cost of bad debts, and
the proportion of receivables that become bad debts. Reducing the total
amount of credit will therefore reduce bad debts. However reducing the
amount of credit to customers will probably result in lower sales revenue
and lower gross profit.

© Emile Woolf International 717 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Bad debts


A company has annual sales of ₦20 million and all customers are given credit of
60 days. Gross profit on sales is 40%. Currently bad debts are 1.5% of sales. The
cost of capital for the company is 10%.
Management is concerned about the high level of bad debts and they estimate
that by reducing credit terms to 30 days for all customers, bad debts can be
reduced to 0.5% of sales. However total sales revenue is likely to fall by 5% as a
consequence of making the credit terms less generous.
Required
Calculate the estimated effect on annual profit of reducing the credit terms from
60 days to 30 days.

Answer
Current situation
Annual gross profit on current level of sales = 40%  ₦20 million = ₦8,000,000.
Current average trade receivables = (60/365)  ₦20 million = ₦3.29 million.
Current level of bad debts = 1.5%  ₦20 million = ₦300,000

Cost of investment in trade receivables (10%  ₦3.29 million) 329,000
Cost of bad debts 300,000
629,000
Consequences of reducing credit to 30 days
Average trade receivables = (30/365)  95% of ₦20 million = ₦1.56 million. Bad
debts = 0.5%  95% of ₦20 million = ₦95,000

Fall in gross profit (5%  ₦8,000,000) 400,000
Cost of investment in trade receivables (10%  ₦1.56 million) 156,000
Cost of bad debts 95,000
651,000
The effect of offering stricter credit terms would be to reduce annual profit by
₦22,000 (651,000 – 629,000) due to the loss in sales and gross profit,which
would occur.

© Emile Woolf International 718 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

3 DEBT FACTORS AND INVOICE DISCOUNTING

Section overview

 Debt factors and the services they provide


 The costs of factoring services
 Benefits and disadvantages of using a factor
 Evaluation of a factor’s services
 Invoice discounting

3.1 Debt factors and the services they provide


Companies might use a factoring organisation to assist with the management of
receivables and also to help with the financing of receivables.
Debt factors are specialist organisations. They specialise in:
 Assisting client firms to administer their trade receivables ledger;
 Providing short-term finance to client firms, secured by the trade
receivables;
 In some cases, providing insurance against bad debts.
The services of a debt factor can be particularly useful for a small-to-medium-
sized company that:
 Has a large number of credit customers;
 Does not have efficient debt collection procedures and therefore has a fairly
high level of bad debts; and
 Does not have sufficient finance for its working capital.
A debt factor offers three main services to a client business:
 The administration of the client’s trade receivables;
 Credit insurance; and
 Debt finance.

Trade receivables administration


A factor will take over the administration of trade receivables on behalf of a client.
It sends out invoices on behalf of the client. Each invoice shows that the factor
has issued the invoice, and the invoice asks for payment to be made to a bank
account under the control of the factor. The factor collects the payments, and
chases customers who are late with payment. The factor is also responsible for
the client’s trade receivables ledger, recording details of invoices and payments
received in the ledger on behalf of the client.
The factor makes a charge for this service, typically an agreed percentage of the
value of invoices sent out.

Credit insurance
If the factor is given the task of trade receivables administration, it may also
agree (for an additional fee) to provide insurance against bad debts for the client.
This is known as without recourse factoring or non-recourse factoring. If a
customer of the client fails to pay an invoice that was issued by the factor, the

© Emile Woolf International 719 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

factor will accept the bad debt loss itself, and the factor will pay the client the full
amount of the unpaid invoice.
A factor will only provide without recourse factoring for invoices that are approved
in advance by the factor. This is to prevent the client from giving credit to high-
risk customers and exposing the factor to the risk of bad debts.
However, factors also provide with recourse factoring. With this type of
arrangement, if a customer of the client fails to pay an invoice, the factor will not
pay anything to the client, and the client must suffer the bad debt loss. (If the
factor has already made a payment to the client against the security of the
receivable, the client must repay the money it has received.)

Debt finance
The factor will provide advances of up to 80% of the face value of the client’s
trade receivables, for all receivables that are approved by the factor. The finance
is provided at an agreed rate of interest, and is repayable when the customers’
invoices are eventually paid. In effect, this means that when a customer pays the
factor will remit the remaining 20% of the money to the client, less the interest
(and other fees).

3.2 The costs of factoring services


The costs of a factoring service might therefore consist of:
 A service fee for the administration and collection of trade receivables;
 A commission charge, based on the total amount of trade receivables, for a
non-recourse factoring service; and
 Interest charges for finance advanced against the trade receivables.

3.3 Benefits and disadvantages of using a factor


The benefits of using a factor are as follows:
 There should be savings in internal administration costs, because the factor
administers the trade receivables ledger.
 With non-recourse factoring, there is a reduction in the cost of bad debts.
 A factor is a source of finance for trade receivables.
The disadvantages of using a factor are as follows.
 Interest charges on factor finance are likely to be higher than other sources
of finance.
 Effect on customer goodwill. The factor is unlikely to treat the client’s
customers with the same degree of care and consideration that the client’s
own sales ledger administration team would.
 The client’s reputation may be affected by the need to use a factor.
Customers might believe that using a factor is a sign of financial weakness.

© Emile Woolf International 720 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

3.4 Evaluation of a factor’s services


To assess the cost of using the services of a factor, you need to compare the
total costs of the alternative policies.
As indicated above, the costs you will probably need to consider are:
 Costs of receivables ledger administration
 Costs of bad debts
 Financing costs for trade receivables.

Example: Debt factoring


Nigeria Blue Company has annual credit sales of ₦1,000,000. Credit customers
take 45 days to pay. Bad debts are 2% of sales. The company finances its
trade receivables with a bank overdraft, on which interest is payable at an
annual rate of 15%.
A factor has offered to take over administration of the receivables ledger and
collections for a fee of 2.5% of the credit sales. This will be a non-recourse
factoring service. It has also guaranteed to reduce the payment period to 30 days.
It will provide finance for 80% of the trade receivables, at an interest cost of 8%
per year.
Nigeria Blue Company estimates that by using the factor, it will save
administration costs of ₦8,000 per year.
Required
What would be the effect on annual profits if Nigeria Blue Company decides to
use the factor’s services? (Assume a 365-day year).

Answer

Current average trade receivables 45/365 × ₦1 million 123,288
Average receivables with the factor 30/365 × ₦1 million 82,192
It is assumed that if the factor’s services are used, 80% will be financed by the
factor at 8% and the remaining 20% will be financed by bank overdraft at 15%.
Annual interest costs ₦
Current situation ₦123,288 × 15% 18,493
With the factor (80% × ₦82,192 × 8%) + (20% × ₦82,192 (7,726)
× 15%)
Saving in annual interest costs 10,767

Summary of comparative costs ₦


Saving in annual interest costs 10,767
Annual saving in bad debts (2% of ₦1 million) 20,000
Annual saving in administration costs 8,000
38,767
Annual costs of factor’s services (2.5% of ₦1 million) (25,000)
Net increase in profit by using the factor 13,767

© Emile Woolf International 721 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

3.5 Invoice discounting


Invoice discounting is similar to the provision of finance by a factor. A difference
is that whereas a factor provides finance against the security of all approved
invoices of the client, an invoice discounter might provide finance against only a
small number of selected invoices.
Another difference between a debt factor and an invoice discounter is that the
invoice discounter will only provide finance services. An invoice discounter will
not administer the trade receivables ledger or provide protection against the risk
of bad debt. The invoice to the customer is sent out by the client firm, and
payment is collected by the client firm (and paid into a special bank account set
up for the purpose).

Example: Invoice discounting


A company might need to arrange finance for an invoice for ₦3 million to a
customer, for which the agreed credit period is 90 days. An invoice discounter
might be prepared to finance 80% of the invoiced amount, at an interest rate of
10%.
The company will issue the invoice to the customer for ₦3 million. The invoice
discounter provides the company with a payment of ₦2.4 million (80% of ₦3
million).
After 90 days, the invoice discounter will expect repayment of the ₦2.4 million
advance, plus interest of ₦59,178.
If the customer pays promptly, this repayment will be made out of the ₦3 million
invoice payment by the customer. The invoice discounter will take ₦2,459,178
and the remaining ₦540,822 will go to the company.

© Emile Woolf International 722 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

4 SETTLEMENT DISCOUNTS

Section overview

 The nature and purpose of settlement discounts


 Evaluating a settlement discount

4.1 The nature and purpose of settlement discounts


The cost of financing trade receivables can be high. More important perhaps, if a
company has a large investment in trade receivables, it might have cash flow
problems and liquidity difficulties.
A company might therefore try to minimise its investment in trade receivables.
One way of doing this is to ensure that collection procedures are efficient.
Another policy for reducing trade receivables is to offer a discount for early
payment of an invoice. This type of discount is called a settlement discount (or
early settlement discount, or cash discount).
For example, a company might offer its customers normal credit terms of 60
days, but a discount of 2% for payment within ten days of the invoice date. If
customers take the discount, there will be a reduction in average trade
receivables.

4.2 Evaluating a settlement discount


The benefit of a settlement discount is that it reduces average trade receivables,
and this reduces the annual interest cost of investing in trade receivables.
On the other hand, the discounts taken by customers reduce annual profit.
Evaluating a proposal to offer settlement discounts to customers therefore
involves comparing the improvements in cash flow and reductions in interest cost
with the cost of the discounts allowed.

© Emile Woolf International 723 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The implied interest cost of settlement discounts


One way of evaluating a settlement discount is to calculate the implied interest
cost of offering settlement discounts.
A formula for calculating the implied cost of offering a settlement discount is as
follows:

Formula: Cost of a settlement discount

   t
365
d
1    1
 100  d

Where:
d= the size of the discount.
t= the difference in days between normal credit terms and the
maximum credit period for taking advantage of the settlement
discount.

Example: Cost of a settlement discount


For example, suppose that a company offers its customers normal credit terms of
60 days, but a discount of 2% for payment within ten days of the invoice date.
This discount policy implies that the company is prepared to accept ₦98 on day
ten rather than accepting ₦100 on day 60. Financially, the company considers it
beneficial to have ₦98 ‘now’ rather than ₦100 in 50 days’ time. This implies an
average annual interest cost of:
365
  2  60 10
1    1  0.1566 or 15.66%
  98 

If it costs the company less to borrow money to finance its trade


receivables, it would be cheaper to offer credit of 60 days, and not to
offer the discount of 2% for payment within ten days.

Practice question 1
Entity X borrows on overdraft at an annual interest rate of 15%.
Customers are normally required to pay within 45 days. Entity X offers a
1.5% discount if payment is made within ten days.
What is the effective annual cost of offering the settlement discount, and is
the discount policy financially justified?

© Emile Woolf International 724 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

Calculating the total annual costs


An alternative method of calculating the cost of settlement discounts, compared
with a policy of not offering discounts, would be to compare the total annual costs
with each policy.

Example:
Okongwo Nigeria Limited borrows on overdraft at an annual interest rate of
15%.
It has annual credit sales of ₦5 million, and all customers buy on credit.
Customers are normally required to pay within 45 days. Okongwu Nigeria
Limited offers a 1.5% discount if payment is made within ten days. 60% of
customers take the discount.
What is the annual cost of the discount policy?
Answer
Cost of annual settlement discounts = ₦5 million × 60% × 1.5% = ₦45,000.
Average receivables without the discount policy
 45 
= × ₦5 million = ₦616,438.
 365 

Average receivables with the discount policy:
Customers who will not take (45/365)  40%  ₦5 million 246,575
the discount
Customers who will take the
discount (10/365)  60%  ₦5 million 82,192
Total receivables with the
discount policy 328,767

The net cost or benefit of the discount policy can be calculated as follows.:
Interest cost of receivables: ₦
Without discount policy ₦616,438  15% 92,466
With discount policy ₦328,767  15% 49,315
Interest saved with the discount policy 43,151
Cost of annual settlement discounts 45,000
Extra annual cost of discount policy 1,849

In this case, the settlement discount will be expected to reduce annual profit by
about ₦1,800.

© Emile Woolf International 725 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

5 MANAGEMENT OF WORKING CAPITAL FOR FOREIGN TRADE

Section overview

 The additional problems with foreign trade


 Obtaining quicker payment
 Protection against credit risks
 Forward exchange contracts to hedge against foreign currency risk

5.1 The additional problems with foreign trade


When a business entity sells to customers in other countries, and the customer is
in a country with a different currency, there are extra problems for working capital
management, and risks for the business. The extra risks are:
 The longer time period between despatching goods to the customer and
receiving payment. When goods are shipped to another country, it could
take several weeks before the customer receives the goods. Foreign
customers are usually unwilling to pay for goods until they are certain of
receipt.
If a longer payment period is allowed for foreign customers, the investment
in trade receivables will be larger than if normal credit is allowed, and the
interest cost will therefore be higher.
 There is a greater risk of bad debt. If a foreign customer does not pay, it
will be more difficult and expensive to take action to collect the debt. For
example, the company might have no understanding of the legal
procedures for collecting unpaid debts in other countries.
 Foreign currency risks. If a company invoices its foreign customers in a
foreign currency, there will be a foreign exchange risk. This is the risk that
the value of the foreign currency will deteriorate between the time of issuing
the invoice to the customer and the time of receiving payment. A movement
in foreign exchange rates could even wipe out the expected profit on a
foreign sale.

5.2 Obtaining quicker payment


In many cases, a company that sells to foreign customers must accept that it will
have to wait longer for payment. A large investment in foreign trade receivables
could therefore be unavoidable, and the interest cost has to be accepted.
However, in some cases it might be possible to arrange quicker payment. One
method of both reducing the bad debt risk and obtaining quicker payment is to
arrange an export sale using a letter of credit.
A letter of credit is an arrangement in which the exporter undertakes to provide
the foreign buyer with specific documents that provide evidence that the goods
have been shipped. The required documents normally include suitable shipping
and insurance documents, and an invoice.
If the exporter delivers the specified documents to a bank representing the
foreign buyer, the buyer agrees to make the payment. Payment is usually
arranged by means of a bank bill of exchange. A bank representing the foreign
buyer undertakes to pay a bill of exchange, for the amount of the invoice at a
future date (the end of the credit period for the foreign buyer). Since the bank is

© Emile Woolf International 726 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

undertaking to pay the bill of exchange, the exporter’s credit risk is not the foreign
buyer, but the bank. The credit risk should therefore be low.
If the exporter wants quicker payment, it can arrange with its own bank for the bill
of exchange to be sold in the discount market. Bills are sold in the discount
market for less than their face value; therefore by selling a bank bill to get quicker
payment, the exporter incurs a cost. (When the bank bill reaches maturity, the
bank will make its payment to the holder of the bill. The bank will recover the
money from its client, the foreign buyer).
Letters of credit are fairly expensive to arrange, but they offer the benefits to an
exporter of:
 Lower credit risk; and
 If required, earlier payment (minus the discount on the bank bill when it is
sold).

5.3 Protection against credit risks


As indicated above, the credit risk in foreign trade can be reduced by arranging
an irrevocable letter of credit.
Another method of reducing the credit risk might be to buy credit risk insurance.
Credit insurance is available from specialist organisations, and also possibly from
some banks/insurance companies.

5.4 Forward exchange contracts to hedge against foreign currency risk


There is a risk that if a sale to a foreign buyer is priced in a foreign currency, the
value of the foreign currency could depreciate in the time between selling the
goods and eventually receiving payment.

Example: Exchange loss


A Nigerian company sells goods to a buyer in the US for $550,000, and the
customer is given 90 days’ credit.
The exchange rate when the goods were shipped was ₦100 = $1.
The customer pays three months later when the exchange rate is ₦100 = $1.10.
When the goods were sold, the expected income in naira was ₦55,000,000
($550,000  100/1).
Because of the change in the exchange rate, the actual naira value of the dollar
receipts is just ₦50,000,000 ($550,000  100/1.1).
There has been a loss on exchange of ₦5,000,000 in this transaction.

An exporter who is concerned about the risk to income and profit from adverse
exchange rate movements during a credit period can ‘hedge’ the risk by
arranging a forward exchange contract.
A forward exchange contract is an agreement made ‘now’ with a bank for the
purchase or sale of a quantity of one currency in exchange for another, for
settlement at a specified future date.

© Emile Woolf International 727 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The exporter would therefore know in advance exactly how much it will be
earning in its domestic currency from an export sale.
Forward exchange contracts and other methods of hedging foreign currency risks
are explained in more detail in a later chapter.

© Emile Woolf International 728 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 23: Management of receivables and payables

6 MANAGEMENT OF TRADE PAYABLES

Section overview

 Trade payables as a source of finance


 Settlement discounts from suppliers

6.1 Trade payables as a source of finance


Trade credit is an excellent source for financing short-term working capital needs.
The supplier has provided goods or services that have not yet been paid for, and
which may or may not already have been used.
Trade credit allows the buyer to hold or make use of goods obtained from
suppliers without yet having to pay for them. It therefore postpones the need to
find the cash to make payments for goods and services purchased.
Unlike other sources of finance, including a bank overdraft or a bank loan, trade
credit does not have any cost.
However, goods are supplied on agreed credit terms. The supplier expects to
receive payment at the end of the agreed credit period. If a buyer tries to take
advantage of trade credit, and delay payment until after the agreed credit period
has ended, the trading relationship between supplier and buyer could become
difficult and unfriendly.
A company should therefore take advantage of the trade credit terms it is offered,
and negotiate the best credit terms that it can get, because it is a free source of
finance for working capital. However it should not exceed the amount of credit
allowed.

6.2 Settlement discounts from suppliers


A supplier might offer a settlement discount for early payment. The value of a
settlement discount from a supplier should be assessed in the same way as the
cost of a settlement discount to customers. If the value of taking the settlement
discount is higher than the cost of having to finance the payment by bank
overdraft, the discount should be taken and the trade debt should be paid at the
latest time possible in order to obtain the discount.

Example: Settlement discounts


Ogechi is offered a 2% settlement discount if it pays invoices from Supplier X
in ten days rather than after the normal 30-day credit period. It can borrow on
its overdraft at 12% per annum.
The value of the settlement discount is:
 
2   30 10  
365
1    1  0.446  44.6%
 98  
  
The value of the settlement discount is much higher than the cost of a bank
overdraft.
Ogechi should take the discount and pay invoices on day 10.

© Emile Woolf International 729 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

7 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the benefits and costs of giving credit

 Explain the components of a receivables management system


 Evaluate the impact of a change in working capital management policy
 Explain debt factoring
 Measure the cost of settlement discounts
 Understand trade payables as a source of short term finance

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
By giving the discount, Entity X is effectively losing ₦1.50 in every ₦100 of its cash
receipts from customers to get the money 35 days earlier (45 days – 10 days).
The effective annual cost of the settlement discount is:
365
  1.5 
1   35  1  0.1707,say17%
  98.5 
Therefore, offering the settlement discount is not worthwhile. It is cheaper to borrow on
overdraft at 15%.

© Emile Woolf International 731 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


24
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Cash management

Contents
1 The nature of cash management
2 Cash budgets and cash flow forecasts
3 Cash models: Baumol model and Miller-Orr model
4 Other aspects of cash management
5 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 733 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
2 Working capital management
a Discuss the nature, elements and importance of working capital.
c Evaluate and discuss the use of relevant techniques in managing working
capital in relation to:
iv Cash (including Baumol and Miller-Orr Models).

Exam context
This chapter explains facets of cash management.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the reasons for holding cash balances
 Prepare cash budgets
 Explain and apply the Baumol model of cash management
 Explain and apply the Miller-Orr model of cash management
 Comment on possible uses of surplus cash

1 THE NATURE OF CASH MANAGEMENT

Section overview

 Reasons for holding cash


 Objective of good cash management
 Aspects of cash management

The importance of cash and liquidity for a business was explained in the earlier section
on liquidity ratios. If a company is unable to pay what it owes at the required time, a
creditor might take legal action to recover the unpaid amount. Even if such extreme
action is not taken, but a company is slow in paying invoices, creditors will be reluctant
to provide additional credit.
It is therefore essential for a business to ensure that its cash flows are well managed
and that it has sufficient liquidity.
© Emile Woolf International 736 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
1.1 Reasons for holding cash
There are several reasons why a business entity might choose to hold cash.
 To settle transactions. Cash is needed to pay expenses, and to settle
debts.
 As a precaution against unexpected requirements for cash. A business
might hold some additional cash in the event that there is a need to make
an unexpected and unforeseen payment.
 For speculative reasons. A company might hold some cash that can be
used if a business opportunity arises. Some investment opportunities, such
as the opportunity to purchase a rival business, might require some
element of cash. Holding a ‘war chest’ of cash might therefore be a
strategic measure taken by a company, to take opportunities for developing
the business whenever an attractive opportunity arises.
However, cash does not earn a high return. Cash in a normal business bank
account earns no interest at all. Holding cash therefore provides a company with
liquidity (an ability to pay), but reduces profitability (the lost income resulting from
holding cash rather than investing it in business development).

1.2 Objective of good cash management


The objective of good cash management is to hold sufficient cash to meet
liabilities as they fall due, whilst making sure that not too much cash is held.
Money held as cash is not being invested in the wealth-creating assets of the
organisation – thereby affecting profitability.
If a business entity wants to maintain sufficient liquidity, but does not want to hold
too much cash, it might consider investing cash that is surplus to short-term
requirements. Surplus cash can be invested in short-term financial instruments or
even savings accounts, and so can earn some interest (although possibly not
much) until it is needed. When the cash is eventually needed, the investments
can be sold, or cash can be withdrawn from the savings accounts.

1.3 Aspects of cash management


You might be required to consider any of the following three aspects of cash
management.
 Forecasting cash flow requirements and operational cash flows. This is
done by means of cash budgeting or cash flow forecasting. In your
examination it is more likely that you will be required to prepare a cash flow
forecast rather than a detailed cash budget.
 Deciding how to invest surplus cash in short-term investments.
 Deciding how much cash to keep and how much to invest in short-term
investments. In addition, if money is invested in short-term investments,
deciding how many investments to sell in exchange for cash when some
cash is eventually needed for operational requirements.

© Emile Woolf International 737 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

2 CASH BUDGETS AND CASH FLOW FORECASTS

Section overview

 Cash budgets
 Preparing a cash budget
 Cash flow forecasts
 Cash flow statement approach
 Revenue and cost estimation approach
 Free cash flow

2.1 Cash budgets


A cash budget is a detailed plan of cash receipts and cash payments during a
planning period. The planning period is sub-divided into shorter periods, and the
cash receipts and payments are forecast/planned for each of the sub-divisions of
time.
For an annual master budget, the cash budget might be prepared on a monthly
basis, or possibly a quarterly basis. Some business entities prepare new cash
budgets regularly, possibly forecasting daily cash flows for the next week, or
weekly cash flows for the next month.
The main uses of a cash budget are as follows:
 To forecast how much cash receipts and payments are expected to be over
the planning period.
 To learn whether there will be a shortage of cash at any time during the
period, or possibly a cash surplus.
 If there is a forecast shortage of cash, to consider measures in advance for
dealing with the problem - for example by planning to defer some
purchases of non-current assets, or approaching the bank for a larger bank
overdraft facility.
 To monitor actual cash flows during the planning period, by comparing
actual cash flows with the budget.

© Emile Woolf International 737 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2.2 Preparing a cash budget


A cash budget can be prepared by producing a table for the cash receipts and
cash payments, containing each item of cash receipt and each item of cash
payment. The cash receipts and then the cash payments should be listed in rows
of the table, and each column of the table represents a time period, such as one
month.
A typical format for a monthly cash budget is shown below.

Example: Cash flow budget

January February March


Cash receipts ₦ ₦ ₦
Cash sales 5,000 6,000 5,000
Cash from credit sales 72,000 64,000 64,000
Other cash receipts 4,000 2,000 2,000
Total cash receipts 81,000 72,000 71,000
Cash payments
Cash purchases 6,000 6,600 6,200
Payments for credit purchases 8,400 9,000 9,900
Rental payments - 30,000 -
Wages and salaries 23,000 23,000 23,000
Dividend payments - - 40,000
Other payments 3,000 73,000 13,000
Total cash payments (40,400) (141,600) (92,100)
Receipts minus payments (net
cash flow) 40,600 (69,600) (21,100)
Cash balance at the beginning
of the month 45,000 85,600 16,000
Cash balance at the end of the
month 85,600 16,000 (5,100)

2.3 Cash flow forecasts


Cash flow forecasts, like cash budgets, are used to predict future cash
requirements, or future cash surpluses. However, unlike cash budgets:
 They are prepared throughout the financial year, and are not a part of a
formal budget plan
 They are often prepared in much less detail than a cash budget.

The main objectives of cash flow forecasting, like the purposes of a cash budget,
are to:
 Make sure that the entity is still expected to have sufficient cash to meet its
payment commitments as they fall due
 Identify periods when there will be a shortfall in cash resources, so that
financing can be arranged
© Emile Woolf International 739 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
 Identify whether there will be a surplus of cash, so that the surplus can be
invested
 Assess whether operating activities are generating the cash that is
expected from them.
The main focus of cash flow forecasting is likely to be operating cash flows,
although some investing and financing cash flows might also be significant.

Techniques for preparing a cash flow forecast


There are no rules about how to prepare a cash flow forecast. A forecast need
not be in the same amount of detail as a cash budget. However there are two
basic approaches that might be used:
 Producing a cash flow forecast similar to a statement of cash flows
prepared using the indirect method
 Forecasting cash flows by estimating revenues and costs to arrive at an
estimate of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation (EBITDA).

2.4 Cash flow statement approach


One way of preparing a cash flow forecast for a period of time is to produce a
statement similar to a statement of cash flows in financial reporting. The general
structure of the forecast will therefore be as follows:

© Emile Woolf International 740 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: Cash flow forecast – statement of cash flows approach


Cash flow forecast

Expected trading profit in the period 34,000
Adjustments for non-cash items:
Depreciation 22,000
56,000
Adjustments for working capital
Increase in inventory (15,000)
Increase in trade receivables (18,000)
Increase in trade payables 10,000
(23,000)
Operational cash flows 33,000
Interest payments (10,000)
Tax payments (on profits) (7,000)
Cash flows from operating activities 16,000
Cash flows from investing activities
Sale of non-current asset 4,000
Purchase of non-current asset (25,000)
Cash flows from investing activities (21,000)
Cash flows from financing activities
Repayment of loan (12,000)
Payment of dividend (15,000)
Cash flows from financing activities (27,000)
Net change in cash position (32,000)
Cash at beginning of forecast period 40,000
Cash at end of forecast period 8,000

Trading profit (profit before interest and tax)


The expected trading profit might be estimated by projecting the current year’s
trading profit (profit before interest and tax). For example, if trading profits have
been increasing by about 5% per year and were ₦300,000 in the year just ended,
it might be assumed for the purpose of the cash forecast that trading profit will be
₦315,000 next year.

Depreciation (and amortisation)


Depreciation is not a cash flow; therefore it must be added back to profit in order
to calculate cash flows. Detailed information might be available about non-current
assets to enable an accurate estimate of future depreciation charges (and
amortisation charges, if there are any intangible assets). Alternatively, it might be
assumed that the depreciation charge in the next year will be about the same as
in the current year.

© Emile Woolf International 740 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

An assumption has to be made about depreciation charges, and alternative


assumptions might be more appropriate. If you have to make an estimate of
depreciation for the purpose of cash flow forecasting in your examination, you
should make the most reasonable assumption available on the basis of the
information provided in the question.

Changes in inventory, trade receivables and trade payables


The figure for profit must also be adjusted for changes in working capital in order
to estimate cash flows from operational activities. The most appropriate
assumptions about working capital changes might be one of the following:
 That there will be no changes in working capital
 That inventory, trade receivables and trade payables will increase by the
same percentage amount as the growth in sales. For example, if sales are
expected to increase by 5%, it might be reasonable to assume that
inventory, trade receivables and trade payables will also increase by 5%
above their amount at the beginning of the year.

Interest payments and tax payments


Assumptions might be needed about interest and tax payments in the cash flow
forecast.
 It might be assumed that interest payments will be the same as interest
costs in the current year’s income statement, on the assumption that the
company’s total borrowings will not change significantly and interest rates
will remain stable.
 It might be assumed that tax payments will be a percentage of the figure for
trading profit.
 However, other assumptions might be more appropriate, given the
information provided in an examination question.

Investing cash flows


Investing cash flows might be included in a cash flow forecast if:
 It is expected that additional non-current assets will be purchased in the
period
 It is expected that some non-current assets will be sold/disposed of
 It is assumed that some essential replacement of ageing and worn-out non-
current assets will be necessary. For example it might be assumed that
purchases of replacement non-current assets will be necessary, and the
amount of replacements required will be equal approximately to the annual
depreciation charge for those assets.

Financing cash flows


It might also be appropriate to include some financing cash flows in the cash flow
forecast, where these are expected. In particular, if the company intends to pay
an equity dividend, this should be included I n the forecast as a cash outflow.

© Emile Woolf International 741 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

2.5 Revenue and cost estimation approach


Another approach to preparing a cash flow statement is to estimate earnings
before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) using estimates of
revenues and costs.

Example: Cash flow forecast – Revenue and cost estimation approach


Cash flow forecast

Sales revenue forecast 300,000
Cost of sales (% of sales revenue) (180,000)
Gross profit 120,000
Other expenses (possibly fixed, possibly a % of sales
revenue) (90,000)
Net profit 30,000
Add
Depreciation and amortisation 26,000
EBITDA 56,000

The figure for EBITDA is equivalent to the figure in the cash flow statement for
operational cash flows before working capital adjustments. Adjustments can be
made to EBITDA for working capital changes, interest and tax payments,
investing cash flows and financing cash flows, in order to arrive at an estimate of
the net cash flow surplus or deficit for the period.

Sales revenue forecast


The sales revenue forecast should be based on sales revenue in the previous
year will an adjustment for volume growth (and possibly an increase in unit sales
prices).

Cost of sales and gross profit


If the ratio of cost of sales: sales and the gross profit margin percentage have
been fairly stable in recent years, it might be assumed that these ratios will apply
in the future.
For example, if sales revenue in the previous year was ₦10 million, gross profit
has been 60% of sales for the past few year and sales revenue should increase
by 5% next year with volume growth the estimate of gross profit for next year will
be ₦10 million  1.05  60% = ₦6.3 million.

© Emile Woolf International 742 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

Other expenses
The estimate for other expenses should be based on reasonable assumptions.
For example it might be assumed that these are fixed costs and so will be
unchanged next year. Alternatively, it might be assumed that these costs will be
the same percentage amount of sales revenue as in previous years.
Other adjustments might be necessary, to allow for known changes in cost (for
example, if an exceptionally large increase in raw material costs is forecast, this
will affect the gross profit margin. Other costs might be affected by an
expectation of an unusually large increase in administrative labour costs, and so
on.

Depreciation and amortisation


If the estimates of cost of sales and other expenses include depreciation costs
and amortisation costs, these must be added back in order to obtain an estimate
of EBITDA.

Example: Revenue and cost estimation approach


A company wants to make a cash flow forecast for next year. The following
information is available.
Annual sales ₦ million
Current year (forecast) 80
Previous year (Year – 1) 75
Year – 2 72
Year – 3 67
Year – 4 64
The company has achieved a gross profit margin of between 57% and 62% in the
past four years. Other costs (distribution and administration costs) in the current
year are expected to be ₦36 million. Labour costs make up 25% of other costs.
These labour costs are expected to rise by 10% per year for the next two years
and then in line with the general rate of cost inflation. The general rate of annual
cost inflation for the next few years is expected to be 2%.
The company currently has ₦100 million of freehold land (50% land and 50%
buildings) and ₦40 million (at cost) of other non-current assets. Buildings are
depreciated by 2% per year and other non-current assets are depreciated over
eight years by the straight-line method to a zero residual value. The investment in
working capital (trade receivables plus inventory, less trade payables) is currently
₦120 million.
Required
Prepare an estimate of cash flows from operations for each of the next two years.

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Performance management

Answer
Sales revenue has grown by a factor of 1.25 (= 80/64) over the past four years.
This gives an average annual growth rate in sales of 5.7% (= fourth root of 1.25,
minus 1). It might therefore be assumed that sales growth will be 6% per year in
each of the next two years.
The gross profit margin has varied between 57% and 62%. It might therefore be
assumed that in the next two years gross profit will be 60% sales.
It might also be assumed that growth in sales and the cost of sales allows for 2%
per annum price inflation.
Other costs are ₦36 million in the current year, consisting of ₦9 million of labour
costs and ₦27 million of other costs. It might be assumed that these are fixed
costs, except that they rise by 10% per year in the case of labour and 2% for other
costs.
Current year Year 1 Year 2
₦m ₦m ₦m
Labour (growing at
10% per annum) 9 9.9 10.9
Other costs (growing at
2% per annum) 27 27.5 28.1
Total 36 37.4 39.0
Depreciation charges each year are expected to be ₦1 million (2% × ₦50 million)
for buildings. For other non-current assets, depreciation will be ₦5 million (= ₦40
million/8 years).
If sales increase by 6% per year, it is assumed that working capital will grow at
the same rate, to ₦127 million in Year 1 and ₦135 million in Year 2.
An estimate of EBITDA, adjusted for expected working capital changes, can now
be prepared.
Current
Year Year 1 Year 2
₦m ₦m ₦m
Revenue 80.0 84.8 89.9
Cost of sales (40%) (32.0) (33.9) (36.0)
Gross profit (60%) 48.0 50.9 53.9
Other costs: see workings (36.0) (37.4) (39.0)
12.0 13.5 14.9
Depreciation
Buildings 1.0 1.0
Other non-current assets 5.0 5.0
EBITDA 19.5 20.9
Increase in working capital (7.0) (8.0)
EBITDA adjusted for working
capital changes 12.5 12.9

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Chapter 24: Cash management

2.6 Free cash flow


The concept of free cash flow might also be used in cash flow forecasts. Free
cash flow is the amount of surplus cash flow (or the cash flow deficit) after
allowing for all cash payments that are essential and non-discretionary. Free
cash flow is the amount of cash flow that management is able to use at their
discretion for any purpose.
Free cash flow does not have an exact definition, and there may be differences in
assumptions about essential cash flows. However, a useful definition of free cash
flow is as follows.
Illustration: Free cash flow

EBITDA X
Less:
Payments of interest (X)
Payments of taxation (X)
Changes in working capital X/(X)
(inventory, trade receivables, trade payables)
Essential capital expenditure (replacement of worn-out
assets) (X)
Free cash flow X/(X)

Free cash flow can be used to pay dividends, make discretionary purchases of
non-current assets, repay debt capital to lenders, or retain as a cash surplus.

Example: Free cash flow


Suppose that in the previous example the company expects to have interest costs
of ₦500,000 each year for the next two years, and that taxation will be 25% of
EBITDA.
Assume that essential capital expenditure is equal to the depreciation charge on
non-current assets.
Required
Estimate free cash flow for the year.

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Performance management

Answer
Free cash flow might therefore be estimated as follows:

Year 1 Year 2
₦m ₦m
Revenue 84.8 89.9
Cost of sales (40%) (33.9) (36.0)
Gross profit (60%) 50.9 53.9
Other costs: see workings (37.4) (39.0)
13.5 14.9
Depreciation
Buildings 1.0 1.0
Other non-current assets 5.0 5.0
EBITDA 19.5 20.9
Interest payments (0.5) (0.5)
Tax payments (25% of 19.5 and 20.9) (4.9) (5.2)
Increase in working capital (7.0) (8.0)
Essential capital expenditure (6.0) (6.0)
Free cash flow 1.1 1.2

This forecast suggests that after making essential cash payments, the remaining
free cash flow will be just over ₦1 million in each year, which might be
insufficient to pay for proposed equity dividends or discretionary new capital
expenditure projects.
In this example, if the company is hoping to expand it will need to consider ways
of raising finance from sources other than operational cash flows.

© Emile Woolf International 746 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

3 CASH MODELS: BAUMOL MODEL AND MILLER-ORR MODEL

Section overview

 Purpose of cash models


 Baumol model
 Miller-Orr model

3.1 Purpose of cash models


Cash models might be used when an entity has periods of surplus cash and
periods when cash is needed. A model can be used to decide:
 How much cash to hold and how much to invest short-term to earn interest;
and
 When cash is needed, how many investments to sell (how much cash to
obtain).
Two such cash models are the Baumol model and the Miller-Orr model

3.2 Baumol model


The Baumol cash model is based on similar principles to the economic order
quantity (EOQ) model used for inventory control. It assumes that a company
spends cash regularly on expenses and that to obtain the cash it has to sell
short-term investments. The company therefore makes regular sales of
investments in order to obtain cash to pay its operational expenses.
The purpose of the Baumol cash model is to calculate the optimal amount of
cash that should be obtained each time that short-term investments are sold.
The assumptions used in the model are as follows:
 The company uses cash at a constant rate throughout each year (the same
amount of cash every day).
 The company can replenish its cash immediately, as soon as it runs out of
the cash it has.
 Cash is replenished by selling short-term investments. These investments
earn interest. The amount of investments sold, and the amount of cash
from selling the investments, is ₦X.
 Holding cash has a cost. This is the opportunity cost of not investing the
cash to earn interest. The opportunity cost, CH, can be expressed as an
interest rate. For example, if investments earn interest at 4% per year, the
annual cost of holding cash is 0.04.
 Selling securities or investments to obtain cash has a transaction cost
(similar to the cost of placing an order with the EOQ inventory model). In
the model, this is shown as Co.
X
The maximum amount of cash is therefore X and the average cash holding is
2
X 
The annual cost of holding cash is therefore   × CH
 2 

© Emile Woolf International 747 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

If the annual demand for cash is ₦D, the annual transaction costs of selling
securities (short-term investments) is:

 D  × Co
 

 X 
The model identifies the optimal amount of cash to obtain by selling securities, X.
It is the amount of cash that minimises the total opportunity costs of holding cash
and the transaction costs of selling securities.
 X  
The total of  C   D  is minimised where X  2C D
  C
  H   
O
O 
2
    X   CH

Example: Baumol’s cash model


Omegbeoje Nigeria Limited makes payments to its creditors of ₦3 million a
year, at an equal rate each day.
Each time it converts investments into cash, it pays transaction charges of ₦150.
The opportunity cost of holding cash rather than investing it is 6% per year.
Using the Baumol model, calculate what quantity of investments should be sold
whenever more cash is needed by Entity KL.


Answer

2 ×150 × 3,000,000
x= = ₦122,474
0.06
This might be rounded to ₦122,500.
There would then be ₦3,000,000/₦122,500 = between 24 and 25 transfers of
cash during the year.

Practice questions 1
Nwokocha Nigeria Limited invests all cash as soon as it is received, to earn interest
at 5%. It incurs cash expenditures of ₦16,000,000 each year, and pays for
these at a constant rate each day. The cost of converting a batch of
investments into cash is ₦250, regardless of the size of the transaction.
Required
Use the Baumol model to decide how much cash should be obtained each time
investments are sold.

© Emile Woolf International 748 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

3.3 Miller-Orr model


The Baumol model assumes that cash payments are evenly spread over time,
and are a constant amount each period. In reality, this is unlikely to happen.
There will be much more uncertainty over the timing of cash payments and
receipts.
The Miller-Orr model recognises this uncertainty in cash flows, which are
measured statistically. Daily cash flows might be positive or negative. The net
daily cash flows are then assumed to be normally distributed around the daily
average net cash flow. (However, you do not need to know the statistical details
of the model.)
The model is used as follows:

Illustration: Miller-Orr model

The model has a minimum cash holding. This is called the lower limit.
This is usually decided by management.
If the cash balance falls to the lower limit, then investments will be
converted into cash, to take the balance back to a predetermined
amount, known as the return point.
There is also a maximum cash holding limit, the upper limit.
The difference between the lower limit and the upper limit is called the
spread.
If the cash balance reaches the upper limit, cash is used to buy
investments. The amount of cash used to buy investments is sufficient to
return the cash balance to the return point.
The cash balance should therefore fluctuate between the upper and
lower limits, and should not exceed these limits.
The distance between the lower limit and the return point is usually 1/3
of the total spread.
The distance between the upper limit and the return point is usually 2/3
of the total spread.

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Performance management

The Miller-Orr model formula for the size of the spread


The Miller-Orr model formula for the size of the spread is as follows:

Formula: The Miller-Orr model formula for the size of the spread

Notes
(a) The transaction cost is the cost of the sale and purchase of securities
(b) The variance of cash flows is a statistical measure of the variation in the
amount of daily net cash flows.. The variance should relate to the same
period of time as the interest rate. For example, if the variance is a variance
of daily cash flows, the interest rate (expressed as a proportion) must be a
daily interest rate. If in doubt, to calculate a daily interest rate from an
annual interest rate, divide the annual interest rate by 365. Alternatively, if
you prefer to be more exact, take the 365th root (1 + interest rate), then
subtract 1 to get the daily interest rate.
(c) To convert an annual variance of cash flows to a daily variance, divide by
365.
(d) Remember also that the variance is the square of the standard deviation
(and the standard deviation is the square root of the variance).
(e) A value to the power of one-third means the cube root. Make sure that you
have a calculator that can calculate a cube root.

© Emile Woolf International 750 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

Example: Miller-Orr model


Omotayo Nigeria Limited decides that it needs a minimum cash balance of
₦15,000.
It estimates that it has transaction costs of ₦50 for each purchase or sale of
short-term investments.
Based on its measured historical observations, the standard deviation of daily
cash flows is ₦1,400.
The annual market interest rate on short-term investments is 8%.
Required
Calculate the upper cash limit and the return point using the Miller-Orr model.

Answer
The variance of daily cash flows = (1,400)2 = 1,960,000.
0.08
The daily interest rate = = 0.000219
365
Using the formula to calculate the difference between the limits
Spread = 3  ¾  50  1,960,000 1/3

0.000219
= ₦20,848
Lower limit (decided by management) = ₦15,000
Upper limit = ₦15,000 + ₦20,848 = ₦35,848
Return point = ₦15,000 + (1/3 × ₦20,848) = ₦21,949.
Alternative calculation of daily interest rate

1.08  0.000211
365
Daily interest rate =

Spread = 3  ¾  50  1,960,000 1/3

0.000211
= ₦21,108
Lower limit (decided by management) = ₦15,000
Upper limit = ₦15,000 + ₦21,108 = ₦36,108

© Emile Woolf International 751 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice questions 2
Enyiola Nigeria Limited decides that it needs a minimum cash balance of
₦40,000.
It estimates that it has transaction costs of ₦120 for each purchase or sale of
short-term investments.
Based on its measured historical observations, the standard deviation of daily
cash flows is ₦1,800.
The annual market interest rate on short-term investments is 7%.
Required
Using the Miller-Orr model, calculate the upper cash limit, and the return point.

© Emile Woolf International 752 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

4 OTHER ASPECTS OF CASH MANAGEMENT

Section overview

 Use of surplus cash: investing short term


 Ways of investing short term
 Dealing with shortfalls of cash
 Cash management in larger organisations
 Functions of a treasury department

4.1 Use of surplus cash: investing short term


Surplus cash arises when a business entity has cash that it does not need
immediately for its day-to-day operations. Surpluses may be short-term
(temporary).
When a surplus is identified, the entity should plan how to use it. Holding it as
cash is wasteful, because cash in a business bank account earns no interest.
If the surplus is likely to be long-term, the cash should be invested long-term in
wealth-producing assets of the business – perhaps through a plan of market
expansion. Alternatively, if no suitable wealth-producing project is available, the
entity should consider returning cash as dividends to its owners – the
shareholders.
If the surplus is likely to be temporary, it would be more appropriate to invest it
for the short term and then cash in the investments when the cash is eventually
needed.
When deciding on how to use temporary surplus cash, the following
considerations are important:
 Liquidity – Short-term investments should ideally be liquid. This means
that they should be convertible into cash fairly quickly, at a fair price and
without difficulty. The more liquid the investment, the easier it is to convert it
back into cash. Market securities can be sold immediately on the market,
but at some risk of obtaining a poor price. Money in a savings account can
be withdrawn without loss (except perhaps there might be some loss of
interest if the money is withdrawn without providing the required minimum
notice period).
 Safety – The level of investment risk should be acceptable. There is a risk
of losing money on the investment, due to a fall in its market value. With
investments such as a savings account, there would be no risk of capital
loss, but the interest on the savings might be very low. On the other hand
investing in shares of other companies is much more risky since share
prices fluctuate.
 Profitability – The aim should be to earn the highest possible return on the
surplus cash, consistent with the objectives of liquidity and safety.
There has to be a trade-off. The greater the liquidity and safety, then generally
the lower will be the interest rate earned (profitability).

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Performance management

4.2 Ways of investing short term


There are various possible short-term investment options for cash.

Savings accounts and interest-earning deposits


Savings accounts- Some banks might allow a business to place short-term cash
in a savings account. However, banks do not like companies to use a savings
account in the same way as a normal current account, with frequent deposits and
withdrawals. The bank might insist on a minimum amount of deposit and a
minimum notice period for withdrawals.
If the surplus is fairly large, a bank will usually help a business customer to place
surplus cash on short-term deposit in the money markets (interbank market).
Money market rates might be higher than rates on savings accounts.

Money market investments


It is also possible to purchase some money market investments, such as
Treasury bills and Certificates of Deposit.
Treasury bills are short-term debt instruments issued by the government. They
are usually issued by the government for a period of three months (91 days) or
possibly six months, and redeemed at the end of that time. They are very secure
(‘risk-free’) since the central government owes the money. They are also very
liquid, and can be sold in the market before maturity if required. However,
because they are short-term, very liquid and very safe, the rate of return (yield)
tends to be low.
(Note: Treasury bills are issued at a discount to their par value and are redeemed
at par. For example Nigerian 91-day Treasury bills might be issued at ₦99.00
and redeemed by the government at maturity for ₦100. During the 91-day period
the bills can be sold in the market if required, and the market price should move
towards ₦100 as the maturity date approaches.)
Certificates of Deposit issued by banks. These are certificates giving their
holder the right to ownership of a deposit of cash with the bank, plus interest, at a
date in the future (the maturity date for the CD). The market for CDs is liquid, and
CDs can be sold easily if the cash is required before the bank deposit reaches
maturity.
Short-dated government bonds- The government issues long-dated bonds
(‘Treasury bonds’) as well as short-dated Treasury bills. When these bonds are
nearing their maturity, they are an attractive short-term investment. They are as
secure as Treasury bills, and possibly even more liquid.

Longer-term securities as short-term investments


Bonds traded in the bond markets. These normally offer a higher return than
short-term investments, because there is greater risk for the investor.
Bondholders can sell their investment in the secondary bond market if they need
to convert the investment back into cash.
However, there is an investment risk. Bond prices can fall if bond yields in the
market rise. Bond prices can also fall if the credit rating of the bond issuer falls. In
addition, the bond market is not always liquid, so it might also be difficult to sell
the bonds for a fair price when the cash is needed. (However, the domestic
market for government bonds is normally very liquid. The problem with market
liquidity relates more to corporate bonds and the international bond markets.)

© Emile Woolf International 754 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

Bonds are therefore inadvisable as a short-term investment, unless the investor


is willing to accept the risk that bond prices might fall.
Equity. Investing in the shares of other companies is a high-risk investment as
there is no guarantee of return of capital value. Share prices can fall as well as
rise, and dividend payments are at the discretion of the directors, and usually
only paid twice a year. If the shares are quoted, then there will be some liquidity
as they will be tradable in the secondary market.
Investing in shares is not recommended as a short-term investment for surplus
cash, because of the risk from volatility in share prices.

4.3 Dealing with shortfalls of cash


If the cash flow forecast or the cash budget indicates a shortage of cash,
measures must be taken to deal with the problem. An entity must have the cash
that it needs to continue in operation.
If the entity does not have short-term investments that it can sell, it will need to
obtain long-term capital or short-term funds.
Long-term funding- A company can consider raising long-term funds by issuing
new shares for cash.
Alternatively, an entity might be able to borrow long term, by means of issuing
loan stock (bonds) or obtaining a medium-term bank loan.
Various short-term sources of cash might also be available.
 Bank overdrafts – These are very popular with small and medium-sized
businesses. Obtaining a bank overdraft is usually the easiest way for a
small business to obtain finance.
 The advantage of a bank overdraft is that the borrower pays interest
only on the amount of the overdraft balance.
 However, overdrafts are expensive (the interest rate is comparatively
high compared with other sources of finance). Overdrafts are also are
repayable to the bank on demand. The bank can ask for immediate
repayment at any time that it wishes. Overdrafts can therefore be a
high-risk source of finance, especially for businesses with cash flow
difficulties – in other words, the businesses that are usually in
greatest need of an overdraft!
 Bank overdrafts should only be used to finance fluctuating levels of
cash shortfalls. If the cash shortfall looks more permanent, other
sources of finance should be used.
 Short-term bank loans – The main difference between a loan and a bank
overdraft is that a loan is arranged for a specific period and the capital
borrowed, together with the interest, is repaid according to an agreed
schedule and over an agreed time period. They are not repayable on
demand before maturity, provided the borrower keeps up the payments.
Interest is payable on the full amount of the outstanding loan. However, the
bank may demand security for a loan, for example in the form of a fixed and
floating charge over the assets of the business.
 Debt factoring – Some business entities use the services of a debt factor.
The debt factor undertakes to administer the sales receivables ledger of the
client business, issuing invoices and collecting payments. In addition, the
factor will be prepared to advance cash to the client business in advance of

© Emile Woolf International 755 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

receiving payment. Typically, a factor will lend a client up to 80% of the


value of outstanding trade receivables, and charge interest on the amount
of the loan. However, debt factor services can be expensive.

4.4 Cash management in larger organisations


Larger businesses find it much easier than smaller businesses to raise cash
when they are expecting a cash shortfall. Similarly, when they have a cash
surplus, they find it easier to invest the cash.
Cash management in a large organisation is often handled by a specialist
department, known as the treasury department. One role of the treasury
department is to centralise the control of cash, to make sure that:
 Cash is used as efficiently as possible
 Surpluses in one part of the business (for example, in one profit centre) are
used to fund shortfalls elsewhere in the business, and
 Surpluses are suitably invested and mature when the cash is needed.
Making the management of cash the responsibility of a centralised treasury
department has significant advantages.
 Cash is managed by specialist staff – improving cash management
efficiency.
 All the cash surpluses and deficits from different bank accounts used by the
entity can be ‘pooled’ together into a central bank account. This means that
cash can be channelled to where it is needed, and overdraft interest
charges can be minimised.
 Central control over cash lowers the total amount of cash that needs to be
kept for precautionary reasons. If individual units had to hold their own
‘safety stock’ of cash, then the total amount of surplus cash would be
higher (when added together) than if cash management is handled by one
department.
 Putting all the cash resources into one place increases the negotiating
power of the treasury department to get the best deals from the banks.

4.5 Functions of a treasury department


The central treasury department is responsible for making sure that cash is
available in the right amounts, at the right time and in the right place. To do this, it
must:
 Produce regular cash flow forecasts to predict surpluses and shortfalls
 Arrange short-term borrowing and investment when necessary
 Arrange to purchase foreign currency when needed, and arrange to sell
foreign currency cash receipts
 Protect the business against the risk of adverse movements in foreign
exchange rates, when the business has receipts and payments, or loans
and investments
 Deal with the entity’s banks
 Finance the business on a day-to-day basis, for example by arranging
facilities with a bank
 Advise senior management on long-term financing requirements.

© Emile Woolf International 756 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 24: Cash management

5 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the reasons for holding cash balances

 Prepare cash budgets


 Explain and apply the Baumol model of cash management
 Explain and apply the Miller-Orr model of cash management
 Comment on possible uses of surplus cash

© Emile Woolf International 757 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
2  250 16,000,000
= =400,000
0.05

Solution 2
Daily interest rate 365 1.07 1  0.000185
3 / 1201,8002 1
Spread  3 4  /3 = 3 × ₦11,638 = ₦34,914.
 0.000185 
The upper limit = ₦40,000 + ₦34,914 = ₦74,914, say ₦75,000.
The return point = ₦40,000 + ₦11,638 = ₦51,638. This may be rounded o
t
₦51,500 or ₦52,000.

© Emile Woolf International 758 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


25
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Introduction to capital budgeting

Contents
1 Capital expenditure, investment appraisal and capital
budgeting
2 Accounting rate of return (ARR) method
3 The payback method of capital investment appraisal
4 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 759 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
3 Capital budgeting decisions
a Discuss the characteristics of capital budgeting decisions.
b Calculate and discuss various investment appraisal techniques such as:
i Traditional techniques
 Accounting rate of return
 Pay-back period

Exam context
This chapter provides an introduction to investment appraisal and explains accounting rate of
return method and the payback method of appraising investments. The accounting rate of
return method is not mentioned in the syllabus but is a widely used method in practice.
The chapter also provides a revision of how to identify relevant cash flows for use in cash
based techniques (payback and discounted cash flow which is covered in the next chapter).

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain the ARR method
 Use the ARR method in project appraisal
 Explain the payback method
 Use the payback method in project appraisal

© Emile Woolf International 760 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting

1 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE, INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND CAPITAL


BUDGETING

Section overview

 Capital expenditure
 Investment appraisal
 Capital budgeting
 Features of investment projects
 Methods of investment appraisal
 The basis for making an investment decision

1.1 Capital expenditure


Capital expenditure is spending on non-current assets, such as buildings and
equipment, or investing in a new business. As a result of capital expenditure, a
new non-current asset appears on the statement of financial position (balance
sheet), possibly as an ‘investment in subsidiary’.
In contrast revenue expenditure refers to expenditure that does not create long-
term assets, but is either written off as an expense in the income statement in the
period that it is incurred, or that creates a short-term asset (such as the purchase
of inventory).
Capital expenditure initiatives are often referred to as investment projects, or
‘capital projects’. They can involve just a small amount of spending, but in many
cases large amounts of expenditure are involved.
A distinction might possibly be made between:
 Essential capital spending to replace worn-out assets and maintain
operational capability
 Discretionary capital expenditure on new business initiatives that are
intended to develop the business make a suitable financial return on the
investment.
Examination questions usually focus on discretionary capital expenditure.

1.2 Investment appraisal


Before capital expenditure projects are undertaken, they should be assessed and
evaluated. As a general rule, projects should not be undertaken unless:
 They are expected to provide a suitable financial return, and
 The investment risk is acceptable.
Investment appraisal is the evaluation of proposed investment projects involving
capital expenditure. The purpose of investment appraisal is to make a decision
about whether the capital expenditure is worthwhile and whether the investment
project should be undertaken.

1.3 Capital budgeting


Capital expenditure by a company should provide a long-term financial return,
and spending should therefore be consistent with the company’s long-term

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Performance management

corporate and financial objectives. Capital expenditure should therefore be made


with the intention of implementing chosen business strategies that have been
agreed by the board of directors.
Many companies have a capital budget, and capital expenditure is undertaken
within the agreed budget framework and capital spending limits. For example, a
company might have a five-year capital budget, setting out in broad terms its
intended capital expenditure for the next five years. This budget should be
reviewed and updated regularly, typically each year.
Within the long-term capital budget, there should be more detailed spending
plans for the next year or two.
 Individual capital projects that are formally approved should be included
within the capital budget.
 New ideas for capital projects, if they satisfy the investment appraisal
criteria and are expected to provide a suitable financial return, might be
approved provided that they are consistent with the capital budget and
overall spending limits.

Investment appraisal and capital budgets


Investment appraisal therefore takes place within the framework of a capital
budget and strategic planning. It involves
 Generating capital investment proposals in line with the company’s
strategic objectives.
 Forecasting relevant cash flows relating to the project
 Evaluating the projects
 Implementing projects which satisfy the company’s criteria for deciding
whether the project will earn a satisfactory return on investment
 Monitoring the performance of investment projects to ensure that they
perform in line with expectations.

1.4 Features of investment projects


Many investment projects have the following characteristics:
 The project involves the purchase of an asset with an expected life of
several years, and involves the payment of a large sum of money at the
beginning of the project. Returns on the investment consist largely of net
income from additional profits over the course of the project’s life.
 The asset might also have a disposal value (residual value) at the end of its
useful life.
 A capital project might also need an investment in working capital. Working
capital also involves an investment of cash.
Alternatively a capital investment project might involve the purchase of another
business, or setting up a new business venture. These projects involve an initial
capital outlay, and possibly some working capital investment. Financial returns
from the investment might be expected over a long period of time, perhaps
indefinitely.

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Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting

1.5 Methods of investment appraisal


There are four methods of evaluating a proposed capital expenditure project. Any
or all of the methods can be used, but some methods are preferable to others,
because they provide a more accurate and meaningful assessment.
The four methods of appraisal are:
 Accounting rate of return (ARR) method
 Payback method
 Discounted cash flow (DCF) methods:
 Net present value (NPV) method
 Internal rate of return (IRR) method
Each method of appraisal considers a different financial aspect of the proposed
capital investment.

1.6 The basis for making an investment decision


When deciding whether or not to make a capital investment, management must
decide on a basis for decision-making. The decision to invest or not invest will be
made for financial reasons in most cases, although non-financial considerations
could be important as well.
There are different financial reasons that might be used to make a capital
investment decision. Management could consider:
 the effect the investment will have on the accounting return on capital
employed, as measured by financial accounting methods. If so, they might

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Performance management

use accounting rate of return (ARR) /return on investment (ROI) as the


basis for making the decision
 the time it will take to recover the cash invested in the project. If so, they
might use the payback period as the basis for the investment decision
 the expected investment returns from the project. If so, they should use
discounted cash flow (DCF) as a basis for their decision. DCF considers
both the size of expected future returns and the length of time before they
are earned.
There are two different ways of using DCF as a basis for making an investment
decision:
 Net present value (NPV) approach. With this approach, a present value is
given to the expected costs of the project and the expected benefits. The
value of the project is measured as the net present value (the present value
of income or benefits minus the present value of costs). The project should
be undertaken if it adds value. It adds value if the net present value is
positive (greater than 0).
 Internal rate of return (IRR) approach. With this approach, the expected
return on investment over the life of the project is calculated, and compared
with the minimum required investment return. The project should be
undertaken if its expected return (as an average percentage annual
amount) exceeds the required return.
The remainder of this chapter considers the accounting rate of return (ARR)
method and the payback method of appraisal.

2 ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN (ARR) METHOD

Section overview

 Decision rule for the ARR method


 Definition of ARR
 Advantages and disadvantages of using the ARR method

2.1 Decision rule for the ARR method


The accounting rate of return (ARR) from an investment project is the accounting
profit, usually before interest and tax, as a percentage of the capital invested. It is
similar to return on capital employed (ROCE), except that whereas ROCE is a
measure of financial return for a company or business as a whole, ARR
measures the financial return from a specific capital project.
The essential feature of ARR is that it is based on accounting profits, and the
accounting value of assets employed. The decision rule for capital investment
appraisal using the ARR method is that a capital project meets the criteria for
approval if its expected ARR is higher than a minimum target ARR or minimum
acceptable ARR.
Alternatively the decision rule might be to approve a project if the return on
capital employed (ROCE) of the company as a whole will increase as a result of
undertaking the project.

© Emile Woolf International 765 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


2.2 Definition of ARR
If accounting rate of return (ARR) is used to decide whether or not to make a
capital investment, we calculate the expected annual accounting return over the
life of the project. The financial return will vary from one year to the next during
the project; therefore we have to calculate an average annual return.
If the ARR of the project exceeds a target accounting return, the project would be
undertaken. If its ARR is less than the minimum target, the project should be
rejected and should not be undertaken
Unfortunately, a standard definition of accounting rate of return does not exist.
There are two main definitions:
 Average annual profit as a percentage of the average investment in the
project
 Average annual profit as a percentage of the initial investment.
You would normally be told which definition to apply. If in doubt, assume that
capital employed is the average amount of capital employed over the project life.

Formula: Capital employed


Initial cost of equipment + residual value
= + working capital
2

However, you might be expected to define capital employed as the total initial
investment (capital expenditure + working capital investment).

Profits will vary from one year to the next over the life of an investment project.
As indicated earlier, profit is defined as the accounting profit, after depreciation
but before interest and taxation. Since profits vary over the life of the project, it is
normal to use the average annual profit to calculate ARR.

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Performance management

Profit is calculated using normal accounting rules, and is after deduction of


depreciation on non-current assets.

Example: Accounting rate of return


A company is considering a project which requires an investment of ₦120,000 in
machinery. The machinery will last four years after which it will have scrap value
of ₦20,000. The investment in additional working capital will be ₦15,000.
The expected annual profits before depreciation are:
Year
1 ₦45,000
2 ₦45,000
3 ₦40,000
4 ₦25,000
The company requires a minimum accounting rate of return of 15% from projects
of this type. ARR is measured as average annual profits as a percentage of the
average investment.
Should the project be undertaken?

Answer:
Total project profits before depreciation: ₦
Year 1 45,000
Year 2 45,000
Year 3 40,000
Year 4 25,000
155,000
Total depreciation = ₦120,000 - ₦20,000 (100,000)
Total project after before depreciation: 55,000
Length of project (÷) 4
Average annual accounting profit 13,750

Average investment
₦(120,000 + 20,000)/2 + ₦15,000 85,000

ARR (₦13,750/₦85,000)  100% 16.2%

© Emile Woolf International 766 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting

2.3 Advantages and disadvantages of using the ARR method


The main advantages of the ARR are that:
 It is fairly easy to understand. It uses concepts that are familiar to business
managers, such as profits and capital employed.
 It is easy to calculate.
However, there are significant disadvantages with the ARR method.
 It is based on accounting profits, and not cash flows. However investments
are about investing cash to obtain cash returns. Investment decisions
should therefore be based on cash flows, and not accounting profits.
 Accounting profits are an unreliable measure. For example, the annual
profit and the average annual investment can both be changed simply by
altering the rate of depreciation and the estimated residual value.
 The ARR method ignores the timing of the accounting profits. Using the
ARR method, a profit of ₦10,000 in Year 1 and ₦90,000 in Year 2 is just as
valuable as a profit of ₦90,000 in Year 1 and ₦10,000 in Year 2. However,
the timing of profits is significant, because the sooner the cash returns are
received, the sooner they can be reinvested to increase returns even more.
 The ARR is a percentage return, relating the average profit to the size of
the investment. It does not give us an absolute return. However the
absolute return can be significant. For example if the ARR on an
investment of ₦1,000 is 50%, the average profit is ₦500; whereas if the
ARR on an investment of ₦1 million is 20%, the average annual profit will
be ₦200,000. An accounting return of ₦200,000 on an investment of ₦1
million might be preferred to an accounting return of 50% on an investment
of ₦1,000.
 When using the ARR method for investment appraisal, a decision has to be
made about what the minimum target ARR should be. There is no rational
economic basis for setting a minimum target for ARR. Any such minimum
target accounting return is a subjective target, with no economic or
investment significance.

Practice question 1
A capital project would involve the purchase of an item of equipment costing
₦240,000. The equipment will have a useful life of six years and would generate
cash flows of ₦66,000 each year for the first three years and ₦42,000 each year
for the final three years.
The scrap value of the equipment is expected to be ₦24,000 after six years. An
additional investment of ₦40,000 in working capital would be required.
The business currently achieves a return on capital employed, as measured from
the data in its financial statements, of 10%.
Required
(a) Calculate the ARR of the project, using the initial cost of the equipment to
calculate capital employed.
(b) Calculate the ARR of the project, using the average cost of the equipment
to calculate capital employed.
(c) Suggest whether or not the project should be undertaken, on the basis of
its expected ARR.

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Performance management

3 THE PAYBACK METHOD OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

Section overview

 Definition of payback
 Decision rule for the payback method
 Advantages and disadvantages of the payback method

3.1 Definition of payback


Payback is measured by cash flows, not profits.
It is the length of time before the cash invested in a project will be recovered
(paid back) from the net cash returns from the investment project.
For example, suppose that a project will involve capital expenditure of ₦80,000
and the annual net cash returns from the project will be ₦30,000 each year for
five years.
The expected payback period is: ₦80.000/₦30,000 = 2.67 years.

3.2 Decision rule for the payback method


Using the payback method, a maximum acceptable payback period is decided,
as a matter of policy. The expected payback period for the project is calculated.
 If the expected payback is within the maximum acceptable time limit, the
project is acceptable.
 If the expected payback does not happen until after the maximum
acceptable time limit, the project is not acceptable.
The time value of money is ignored, and the total return on investment is not
considered.

Example: Payback
A company requires all investment projects to pay back their initial investment
within three years. It is considering a new project requiring a capital outlay of
₦140,000 on plant and equipment and an investment of ₦20,000 in working
capital. The project is expected to earn the following net cash receipts:
Year
1 ₦40,000
2 ₦50,000
3 ₦90,000
4 ₦25,000
Should the investment be undertaken?

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Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting

Answer
Note that ‘now’ is usually referred to as ‘Time 0’.
The investment in working capital should be included as an outflow of cash at the
beginning of the project. This is because when there is an increase in working
capital, cash flows are lower than cash profits by the amount of the increase.
Similarly when working capital is reduced to ₦0 at the end of the project, the
reduction is added to cash flows because when there is a reduction in working
capital, cash flows are higher than cash profits by the amount of the reduction.
Cumulative cash
position at the
Year Cash flow end of the year

0 (160,000) (160,000) (₦140,000 + ₦20,000)
1 40,000 (120,000)
2 50,000 (70,000)
3 90,000 20,000
4 45,000 65,000 cash flow = ₦25,000 + ₦20,000
(a) If we assume that all cash flows occur at the end of each year, the payback
period is three years.
(b) If we assume that cash flows arise evenly over the course of each year, then
the payback period is:
2 years + (70,000/90,000) year = 2.78 years = 2 years 9 months.
Note: The payback period of 2 years 9 months is calculated as follow.
(1) Payback occurs during the third year. At the beginning of year 3 the
cumulative cash flow is ₦(70,000).
During the year there are net cash flows of ₦90,000.
The cumulative cash flow therefore starts to become positive, assuming even
cash flows through the year, after 70,000/90,000 of the year = 0.78 year.
(2) A decimal value for a year can be converted into months by multiplying by
12, or into days by multiplying by 365.
So 0.78 years = 9 months (= 0.78  12) or 285 days (= 0.78  365).

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Performance management

3.3 Advantages and disadvantages of the payback method


The advantages of the payback method for investment appraisal are as follows:
 Simplicity – The payback is easy to calculate and understand.
 The method analyses cash flows, not accounting profits. Investments are
about investing cash to earn cash returns. In this respect, the payback
method is better than the ARR method.
 Payback is often used together with a DCF method, particularly by
companies that have liquidity problems and do not want to tie up cash for
long periods. Payback can be used to eliminate projects that will take too
long to pay back. Investments that pass the payback test can then be
evaluated using one of the DCF methods.
The disadvantages of the payback method are as follows:
 It ignores all cash flows after the payback period, and so ignores the total
cash returns from the project. This is a significant weakness with the
payback method.
 It ignores the timing of the cash flows during the payback period. For
example, for an investment of ₦100,000, cash flows of ₦10,000 in Year 1
and ₦90,000 in Year 2 are no different from cash flows of ₦90,000 in Year
1 and ₦10,000 in Year 2, because both pay back after two years. However
it is clearly better to receive ₦90,000 in Year 1 and ₦10,000 in Year 2 than
to receive ₦10,000 in Year 1 and ₦90,000 in Year 2.

Practice questions 2
A company must choose between two investments, Project A and Project B. It
cannot undertake both investments. The expected cash flows for each project
are:
Year Project A Project B
₦ ₦
0 (80,000) (80,000)
1 20,000 60,000
2 36,000 24,000
3 36,000 2,000
4 17,000 -

The company has a policy that the maximum permissible payback period for an
investment is three years and if a choice has to be made between two projects,
the project with the earlier payback will be chosen.
Required
1) Calculate the payback period for each project:
(a) assuming that cash flows occur at that year end
(b) assuming that cash flows after Year 0 occur at a constant rate
throughout each year
2) Are the projects acceptable, according to the company’s payback rule?
Which project should be selected?
3) Do you agree that this is the most appropriate investment decision?

© Emile Woolf International 770 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting

4 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain the ARR method

 Use the ARR method in project appraisal


 Explain the payback method
 Use the payback method in project appraisal

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Performance management

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS

1
a) 18,000
ARR = × 100% = 6.4%
(240,000 + 40,000)
Workings
Total cash profits: ₦
Years 1 – 3 (3 × ₦66,000) 198,000
Years 4 – 6 (3 × ₦42,000) 126,000
324,000
Less depreciation over six years (240,000 – 24,000) 216,000
Total profits 108,000
Average annual profit (÷6) 18,000

b) 18,000
ARR = ×100% = 10.5%
172,000
Workings
Starting value of the equipment 240,000
Value of the equipment at the end of Year 6 24,000
264,000
Average capital employed in the equipment (÷ 2) 132,000
Working capital 40,000
Average investment 172,000

c) A project should not be undertaken on the basis of its ARR.

© Emile Woolf International 772 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 25: Introduction to capital budgeting

Solution 2
Project A Project B
Cumulative Cumulative
Year Cash flow cash flow Cash flow cash flow
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
0 (80,000) (80,000) (80,000) (80,000)
1 20,000 (60,000) 60,000 (20,000)
2 36,000 (24,000) 24,000 4,000
3 36,000 12,000

1a If cash flows occur at the end of each year, Project A will pay back after three
years and Project B will pay back after two years.
1b If cash flows occur at a constant rate throughout the year:
Project A will pay back after:
2 years + [(24,000/36,000) × 12 months] = 2 years 8 months.
Project B will pay back after:
1 year + [(20,000/24,000) × 12 months] = 1 year 10 months.
2) Both projects meet the policy requirement that investments must pay back
within three years. The preferred choice would be project B, which pays back
more quickly.
3) An investment decision should not be made on the basis of payback alone.
Payback ignores the total expected returns from a project. In this example,
project A is expected to be more profitable over its full life.
In addition, payback method ignores the time value of money.

© Emile Woolf International 773 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


26
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Discounted cash flow

Contents
1 Discounting
2 Net present value (NPV) method of investment
appraisal
3 Discounting annuities and perpetuities
4 Internal rate of return (IRR)
5 Relative merits of NPV and IRR
6 DCF and inflation
7 Risk and uncertainty in capital investment appraisal
8 Sensitivity analysis
9 Other methods of risk and uncertainty analysis
10 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION
Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
3 Capital budgeting decisions
ii Discounted cash flow technique
 Net Present Value
 Internal Rate of Return
NB: These may Include basic profitability index and inflation but
excluding tax consideration and capital rationing.

Exam context
This chapter explains discounted cash flow and its use in appraising capital investments.
Much of the content of this chapter will be familiar to you from an earlier paper.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain discounting
 Explain NPV and apply the technique in project appraisal
 Explain IRR and apply the technique in project appraisal
 Discuss the relative merits of NPV and IRR
 Distinguish the money cost of capital and the real cost of capital
 Apply the Fisher equation to evaluate an unknown variable
 Explain the link between money cash flows and real cash flows
 Identify money cash flows by taking inflation into account
 Perform discounted cash flow analysis taking inflation into account
 Perform sensitivity analysis and comment on its results
 Explain how risk adjusted discount rates might be used to adjust for project risk
 Explain and calculate discounted payback

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Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

1 DISCOUNTING

Section overview

 The time value of money


 Discounting
 Discount tables

1.1 The time value of money


One of the basic principles of finance is that a sum of money today is worth more
than the same sum in the future. If offered a choice between receiving ₦10,000
today or in 1 year’s time a person would choose today.
A sum today can be invested to earn a return. This alone makes it worth more
than the same sum in the future. This is referred to as the time value of money.
The impact of time value can be estimated using one of two methods:
 Compounding which estimates future cash flows that will arise as a result of
investing an amount today at a given rate of interest for a given period.
 An amount invested today is multiplied by a compound factor to give
the amount of cash expected at a specified time in the future
assuming a given interest rate.
 Discounting which estimates the present day equivalent (present value
which is usually abbreviated to PV) of a future cash flow at a specified time
in the future at a given rate of interest
 An amount expected at a specified time in the future is multiplied by a
discount factor to give the present value of that amount at a given
rate of interest.
 The discount factor is the inverse of a compound factor for the same
period and interest rate. Therefore, multiplying by a discount factor is
the same as dividing by a compounding factor.
 Discounting is the reverse of compounding.

1.2 Discounting

Formula: Discount factor


1
Discountfactor=
(1 + r)n

Where:
r = the period interest rate (cost of capital)
n = number of periods

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Performance management

Example: Discounting
A person expects to receive ₦13,310 in 3 years.
If the person faces an interest rate of 10% what is the present value of this
amount?
1
Presentvalue = Futurecashflow×
(1 + r)n
1
Presentvalue=13,310×
(1.1)3
Present value = 10,000

Emphasis

Illustration: Discounting is the reverse of compounding


Compounding Future value = Amount today × (1 + r)n

Rearranging (and 1
Present value = Future value ×
renaming the (1 + r)n
“amount today” as
present value)

Interpreting present values


The present value of a future cash flow is the amount that an investor would need
to invest today to receive that amount in the future. This is simply another way of
saying that discounting is the reverse of compounding.
It is important to realise that the present value of a cash flow is the equivalent of
its future value. Using the above example to illustrate this, ₦10,000 today is
exactly the same as ₦13,310 in 3 years at an interest rate of 10%. The person in
the example would be indifferent between the two amounts. He would look on
them as being identical.
Also the present value of a future cash flow is a present day cash equivalent. The
person in the example would be indifferent between an offer of ₦10,000 cash
today and ₦13,310 in 3 years.

© Emile Woolf International 778 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Using present values


Discounting cash flows to their present value is a very important technique. It can
be used to compare future cash flows expected at different points in time by
discounting them back to their present values.

Example: Comparing cash flows.


A borrower is due to repay a loan of ₦120,000 in 3 years.
He has offered to pay an extra ₦20,000 as long as he can repay after 5 years.
The lender faces interest rates of 7%. Is the offer acceptable?

1
Existing contract PV = 120,000 × = ₦97,955
(1.07)3

1
Client’s offer Presentvalue = 140,000× = ₦99,818
(1.07)5

The client’s offer is acceptable as the present value of the new amount is
greater than the present value of the receipt under the existing contract.

Example: Comparing cash flows


An investor wants to make a return on his investments of at least 7% per year.
He has been offered the chance to invest in a bond that will cost ₦200,000 and
will pay ₦270,000 at the end of four years.
In order to earn ₦270,000 after four years at an interest rate of 7% the amount of
his investment now would need to be:

1
PV=270,000× = ₦206,010
(1. 07)4
The investor would be willing to invest ₦206,010 to earn ₦270,000 after 4 years.
However, he only needs to invest ₦200,000.
This indicates that the bond provides a return in excess of 7% per year.

Example: Comparing cash flows


How much would an investor need to invest now in order to have ₦100,000 after
12 months, if the compound interest on the investment is 0.5% each month?
The investment ‘now’ must be the present value of ₦100,000 in 12 months,
discounted at 0.5% per month.

1
PV=100,000× = ₦94,190
(1. 005)12
Present values can be used to appraise large projects with multiple cash flows.
This is covered in the section 2 of this chapter.

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Performance management

1.3 Discount tables


Discount factors can be calculated as shown earlier but can also be obtained
from discount tables. These are tables of discount rates which list discount
factors by interest rates and duration.

Illustration: Discount tables (extract)


(Full tables are given as an appendix to this text).
Discount rates (r)
(n) 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
1 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.926 0.917 0.909
2 0.907 0.890 0.873 0.857 0.842 0.826
3 0.864 0.840 0.816 0.794 0.772 0.751
4 0.823 0.792 0.763 0.735 0.708 0.683

Where:
n = number of periods

Example: Discount factors from formula or tables


Calculate the present value of ₦60,000 received in 4 years assuming a cost of
capital of 7%.
From formula 1
PV = 60,000 × = 45,773
(1.07)4
From table (above) PV = 60,000 × 0.763 = 45,780

The difference is due to rounding. The discount factor in the above table
has been rounded to 3 decimal places whereas the discount factor from
the formula has not been rounded.

© Emile Woolf International 780 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

2 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) METHOD OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

Section overview

 Introduction to discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis


 Calculating the NPV of an investment project
 Two methods of presentation
 Profitability index

2.1 Introduction to discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis


Discounted cash flow is a technique for evaluating proposed investments, to
decide whether they are financially worthwhile.
There are two methods of DCF:
 Net present value (NPV) method: the cost of capital r is the return
required by the investor or company
 Internal rate of return (IRR) method: the cost of capital r is the actual
return expected from the investment.
All cash flows are assumed to arise at a distinct point in time (usually the end of a
year). For example, sales of ₦20m in year four are discounted as if they arose as
a single amount at the end of year 4.

2.2 Calculating the NPV of an investment project


Approach
Step 1: List all cash flows expected to arise from the project. This will include the
initial investment, future cash inflows and future cash outflows.
Step 2: Discount these cash flows to their present values using the cost that the
company has to pay for its capital (cost of capital) as a discount rate. All cash
flows are now expressed in terms of ‘today’s value’.
Step 3: The net present value (NPV) of a project is difference between the
present value of all the costs incurred and the present value of all the cash flow
benefits (savings or revenues).
 The project is acceptable if the NPV is positive.
 The project should be rejected if the NPV is negative.

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Performance management

Example: NPV appraisal


A company with a cost of capital of 10% is considering investing in a project with
the following cash flows.
Year ₦(m)
0 (10,000)
1 6,000
2 8,000
Should the project be undertaken?
NPV calculation:
Discount factor Present
Year Cash flow (10%) value
₦(m) ₦(m)
0 (10,000) 1 (10,000)
1
1 6,000 5,456
(1.1)
1
2 8,000 6,612
(1.1)2
NPV 2,068

The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.

Note that the above example refers to year 0, year 1 etc. This actually refers to
points in time. “Year 0” is now. “Year 1” is at the end of the first year and so on.
Sometimes they are referred to as t0 (now) , t1 (end of first year), t2 (end of
second year) etc.
It is less confusing to think of the project starting at time 0 rather than describing
it as Year 0 (as there is no year 0).

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Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Practice questions 1
1 A company is considering whether to invest in a new item of equipment
costing ₦53,000 to make a new product.
The product would have a four-year life, and the estimated cash profits
over the four-year period are as follows.
Year ₦
1 17,000
2 25,000
3 16,000
4 12,000

Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 11%

2 A company is considering whether to invest in a new item of equipment


costing ₦65,000 to make a new product.
The product would have a three-year life, and the estimated cash
profits over this period are as follows.
Year ₦
1 27,000
2 31,000
3 15,000

Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 8%

2.3 Two methods of presentation


There are two methods of presenting DCF calculations. Both are shown below,
with illustrative figures.
Format 1

Illustration: NPV layout


Discount
Cash flow factor at Present
Year Description (₦) 10% value (₦)
0 Machine (40,000) 1.000 (40,000)
0 Working capital (5,000) 1.000 (5,000)
1-3 Cash profits 20,000 2.487 49,740
3 Sale of machine 6,000 0.751 4,506
Recovery of
3 working capital 5,000 0.751 3,755
NPV 13,001

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Performance management

Format 2

Illustration: NPV layout

Year 0 1 2 3
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Investment in
machine/sale of
machine (40,000) 6,000
Working capital (5,000) 5,000
Cash receipts 50,000 50,000 50,000
Cash expenditures (30,000) (30,000) (30,000)
Net cash flow (45,000) 20,000 20,000 31,000
Discount factor at
10% 1.000 0.909 0.826 0.751
Present value (45,000) 18,180 16,520 23,281
NPV 12,981

For computations with a large number of cash flow items, the second format is
probably easier. This is because the discounting for each year will only need to
be done once.
Note that changes in working capital are included as cash flows. An increase in
working capital, usually at the beginning of the project in Year 0, is a cash outflow
and a reduction in working capital is a cash inflow. Any working capital
investment becomes ₦0 at the end of the project.

2.4 Profitability index


The profitability index can also be used to compare investments.
The profitability index is the ratio of the NPV to capital investment.

Illustration: Profitability index


Following on from the above example the profitability index can be found as
follows:

Net present value 12,981
Investment in machine ÷40,000
0.3245 (or
Profitability index 32.45%)

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Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

3 DISCOUNTING ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES

Section overview

 Annuities
 Perpetuities
 Application of annuity arithmetic

3.1 Annuities
An annuity is a constant cash flow for a given number of time periods. A capital
project might include estimated annual cash flows that are an annuity.
Examples of annuities are:
 ₦30,000 each year for years 1 – 5
 ₦20,000 each year for years 3 – 10
 ₦500 each month for months 1 – 24.
The present value of an annuity can be computed by multiplying each individual
amount by the individual discount factor and then adding each product. This is
fine for annuities of just a few periods but would be too time consuming for long
periods. An alternative approach is to use the annuity factor.
An annuity factor for a number of periods is the sum of the individual discount
factors for those periods.

Example:
Calculate the present value of ₦50,000 per year for years 1 – 3 at a discount rate
of 9%.
Year Cash flow Discount factor Present
at 9% value
1
1 50,000 = 0.917 45,850
(1.09)
1
2 50,000 = 0 842 42,100
(1.09)2
1 = 0.772
3 50,000 38,600
(1.09)3
NPV 126,550
or:
1 to 3 50,000 2.531 126,550

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Performance management

An annuity factor can be constructed by calculating the individual period factors


and adding them up but this would not save any time. In practice a formula or
annuity factor tables are used.

Formula: Annuity factor (discount factor of an annuity)


There are two version of the annuity factor formula:
Method 1 Method 2
1 1 1 − (1+ r)–n
Annuity factor = (1− ) =( )
r (1+ r)n r
Where:
r = discount rate, as a proportion
n = number of time periods

Example: Present value of an annuity factor


Year Cash flow Discount Present
factor value
1 to 3 50,000 2.531 (W) 126,550

Working: Calculation of annuity factor


Method 1: Method 2:
1 1 1 − (1+ r)–n
= (1− ) =( )
r (1+ r)n r
1 1 1 − (1.09)–3
= (1− ) =( )
0.09 (1.09)3 0.09
1 1 1 − 0.7722
= (1− ) =( )
0.09 1.295 0.09
1 0.2278
= (1 −0.7722) =
0.09 0.09
1
= (0.2278) =2.531 = 2.531
0.09

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Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Illustration: Annuity factor table (extract)


(Full tables are given as an appendix to this text).

Discount rates (r)


(n) 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
1 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.926 0.917 0.909
2 1.859 1.833 1.808 1.783 1.759 1.736
3 2.723 2.673 2.624 2.577 2.531 2.487
4 3.546 3.465 3.387 3.312 3.240 3.170
5 4.329 4.212 4.100 3.993 3.890 3.791

Where:
n = number of periods

Practice questions 2
1 A company is considering whether to invest in a project which would
involve the purchase of machinery with a life of five years
The machine would cost ₦556,000 and would have a net disposal
value of ₦56,000 at the end of Year 5.
The project would earn annual cash flows (receipts minus payments) of
₦200,000.
Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 15%

2 A company is considering whether to invest in a project which would


involve the purchase of machinery with a life of four years
The machine would cost ₦1,616,000 and would have a net disposal
value of ₦301,000 at the end of Year 4.
The project would earn annual cash flows (receipts minus payments) of
₦500,000.
Calculate the NPV of the project using a discount rate of 10%

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Performance management

3.2 Perpetuities
A perpetuity is a constant annual cash flow ‘forever’, or into the long-term future.
In investment appraisal, an annuity might be assumed when a constant annual
cash flow is expected for a long time into the future.

Formula: Perpetuity factor


1
Perpetuity factor =
r
Where:
r = the cost of capital

Examples: Present value of perpetuities


Cash flow Present value
2,000 in perpetuity, starting 1
in Year 1 = × Annual cash flow
r
Cost of capital = 8%
1
= ×2,000 = 25,000
0.08

© Emile Woolf International 788 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

3.3 Application of annuity arithmetic


Equivalent annual costs
An annuity is multiplied by an annuity factor to give the present value of the
annuity.
This can work in reverse. If the present value is known it can be divided by the
annuity factor to give the annual cash flow for a given period that would give rise
to it.

Illustration: Equivalent annual costs


What is the present value of 10,000 per annum from t1 to t5 at 10%?
Time Cash flow Discount factor Present value
1 to 5 10,000 3.791 37,910

What annual cash flow from t1 to t5 at 10% would give a present value of 37,910?
37,910
Divide by the 5 year, 10% annuity factor 3.791
10,000

This can be used to address the following problems.

Example: Equivalent annual costs


A company is considering an investment of ₦70,000 in a project. The project life
would be five years.
What must be the minimum annual cash returns from the project to earn a return
of at least 9% per annum?
Investment = ₦70,000
Annuity factor at 9%, years 1 – 5 = 3.890
Minimum annuity required = ₦17,995 (= ₦70,000/3.890)

Loan repayments

Example: Loan repayments


A company borrows ₦10,000,000.
This is to be repaid by 5 equal annual payments at an interest rate of 8%.
Calculate the payments.
The approach is to simply divide the amount borrowed by the annuity
factor that relates to the payment term and interest rate

Amount borrowed 10,000,000
Divide by the 5 year, 8% annuity factor 3.993
Annual repayment 2,504,383

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Performance management

Sinking funds
A person may save a constant annual amount to produce a required amount at a
specific point in time in the future. This is known as a sinking fund.

Example: Sinking fund


A man wishes to invest equal annual amounts so that he accumulates ₦5,000,000
by the end of 10 years.
The annual interest rate available for investment is 6%.
What equal annual amounts should he set aside?
Step 1: Calculate the present value of the amount required in 10 years.
1
PV = 5,000,000× = 2,791,974
(1.06)10
Step 2: Calculate the equivalent annual cash flows that result in this
present value

Present value 2,791,974
Divide by the 10 year, 6% annuity factor 7.36
Annual amount to set aside 379,344

If the man invests ₦379,344 for 10 years at 6% it will accumulate to


₦5,000,000.

An alternative to the above approach is to use a sinking fund factor.

Formula: Sinking fund factor


There are two version of the annuity factor formula:
(1+ r)n − 1
Sinking fund factor =( )
r
Where:
r = interest rate, as a proportion
n = number of time periods

© Emile Woolf International 790 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Example: Sinking fund (using sinking fund factor)


A man wishes to invest equal annual amounts so that he accumulates ₦5,000,000
by the end of 10 years.
The annual interest rate available for investment is 6%.
What equal annual amounts should he set aside?
Step 1: Estimate the sinking fund factor
(1 +0.06)10 − 1
=( ) =13.181
0.06
Step 2: Calculate the annual amount to be set aside by dividing the
target amount by the sinking fund factor.

Present value 5,000,000
Divide by the 10 year, 6% sinking fund factor 13.181
Annual amount to set aside 379,344

Slight difference is due to rounding

© Emile Woolf International 791 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)

Section overview

 Internal rate of return (IRR)


 Estimating the IRR of an investment project

 IRR as an estimate

4.1 Internal rate of return (IRR)


The internal rate of return method (IRR method) is another method of investment
appraisal using DCF.
The internal rate of return of a project is the discounted rate of return on the
investment.
 It is the average annual investment return from the project
 Discounted at the IRR, the NPV of the project cash flows must come to
zero.
 The internal rate of return is therefore the discount rate that will give a net
present value of zero.
The investment decision rule with IRR
A company might establish the minimum rate of return that it wants to earn on an
investment. If other factors such as non-financial considerations and risk and
uncertainty are ignored:
 If a project IRR is equal to or higher than the minimum acceptable rate of
return, it should be undertaken
 If the IRR is lower than the minimum required return, it should be rejected.
Since NPV and IRR are both methods of DCF analysis, the same investment
decision should normally be reached using either method.
The internal rate of return is illustrated in the diagram below:

Illustration: IRR

It is more correct to say that IRR is estimated rather than calculated. This is
explained in more detail in the following sections.

© Emile Woolf International 792 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

4.2 Estimating the IRR of an investment project


To estimate the IRR, you should begin by calculating the NPV of the project at
two different discount rates.
 One of the NPVs should be positive, and the other NPV should be
negative. (This is not essential. Both NPVs might be positive or both might
be negative, but the estimate of the IRR will then be less reliable.)
 Ideally, the NPVs should both be close to zero, for better accuracy in the
estimate of the IRR.
When the NPV for one discount rate is positive NPV and the NPV for another
discount rate is negative, the IRR must be somewhere between these two
discount rates.
Although in reality the graph of NPVs at various discount rates is a curved line,
as shown in the diagram above, using the interpolation method we assume that
the graph is a straight line between the two NPVs that we have calculated. We
can then use linear interpolation to estimate the IRR, to a reasonable level of
accuracy.
The interpolation formula

Formula: IRR interpolation formula


NPVA
IRR=A%+( )×(B− A)%
NPVA−NPVB
Ideally, the NPV at A% should be positive and the NPV at B% should be
negative.
Where:
NPVA = NPV at A%
NPVB = NPV at B%

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Performance management

Example: IRR
A business requires a minimum expected rate of return of 12% on its investments.
A proposed capital investment has the following expected cash flows.
Discount Present Discount Present
Cash factor at value at factor at value at
Year flow 10% 10% 15% 15%
0 (80,000) 1.000 (80,000) 1,000 (80,000)
1 20,000 0.909 18,180 0.870 17,400
2 36,000 0.826 29,736 0.756 27,216
3 30,000 0.751 22,530 0.658 19,740
4 17,000 0.683 11,611 0.572 9,724
NPV + 2,057 (5,920)

Using NPVA
IRR=A%+( )×(B− A)%
NPVA −NPVB
2,057
IRR=10%+( )×(15−10)%
2,057−−5,920
2,057
IRR=10%+( ) × 5%
2,057+5,920
2,057
IRR=10%+( )×5%
7,977
IRR = 10% + 0.258 × 5% = 10% + 1.3%
IRR = 11.3
Conclusion The IRR of the project (11.3%) is less than the
target return (12%).
The project should be rejected.

© Emile Woolf International 794 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Practice questions 3
1 The following information is about a project.
Year ₦
0 (53,000)
1 17,000
2 25,000
3 16,000
4 12,000

This project has an NPV of ₦2,210 at a discount rate of 11%

Estimate the IRR of the project.

2 The following information is about a project.


Year ₦
0 (65,000)
1 27,000
2 31,000
3 15,000

This project has an NPV of ₦(1,515) at a discount rate of 8%

Estimate the IRR of the project.

© Emile Woolf International 795 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4.3 IRR as an estimate


The interpolation method is only approximate and is not exact. This is because it
assumes that the IRR decreases at a constant rate between the two NPVs.

Illustration: IRR by interpolation

For a ‘typical’ project, the IRR estimated by the interpolation method is slightly
higher than the actual IRR. The interpolation method gives a more accurate
estimate of the IRR when:
 both NPVs in the calculation are close to 0; and
 the NPV at A% is positive and the NPV at B% is negative.
(Note that the IRR function in excel estimates IRR in a similar way. However,
excel uses the initial IRR to recalculate the NPV and inputs this into a new
calculation of IRR, and so on, until it reaches a point where the both NPVs are
very close to zero. This means that for all practical purposes, excel calculates the
IRR rather than estimates it).

© Emile Woolf International 796 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

5 RELATIVE MERITS OF NPV AND IRR

Section overview

 Advantages of DCF techniques


 Advantages and disadvantages of the NPV method
 Advantages and disadvantages of the IRR method

5.1 Advantages of DCF techniques


NPV and IRR have several advantages in common.
 Both techniques are based on cash flows rather than accounting profits
which are easier to manipulate and more difficult to interpret.
 Both techniques take account of time value. This is a very important
variable that is not considered by less sophisticated techniques like return
on capital employed.
 Both techniques take account of all cash flows modelled and not just those
in a payback period.

5.2 Advantages and disadvantages of the NPV method


Advantages of the NPV method (compared to the IRR method)
NPV provides a single absolute value which indicates the amount by which the
project should add to the value of the company.
The NPV decision rule is consistent with the objective of maximisation of
shareholders’ wealth.
Disadvantages of the NPV method (compared to the IRR method)
The following are often stated as the main disadvantages of the NPV method
(compared to the IRR method).

Disadvantage Commentary
The time value of money and present This might be true but decision
value are concepts that are not easily makers tend to be intelligent and
understood by those without a educated people. If they do not
financial education. understand something, they can have
it explained to them).
There might be some uncertainty Capital markets may not be perfect
about what the appropriate cost of but they are often efficient.
capital or discount rate should be for Companies should be able to arrive at
applying to any project. The approach a cost of capital that can be used.
would give a perfect answer in a Also, the inability to measure a cost of
perfect world but companies do not capital could be considered a
operate with perfect information so weakness of the IRR because the IRR
this undermines the usefulness of has to be measured against a
NPV. benchmark and the best of these
would be the cost of capital.

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Performance management

5.3 Advantages and disadvantages of the IRR method


Advantages of the IRR method (compared to the NPV method)

Advantage Commentary
The main advantage of the IRR Commentary: People are used to
method of investment appraisal receiving information based on
(compared to the NPV method) is percentages and so would be more
often given as it is easier to comfortable with the notion of IRR but
understand an investment return as a this does not mean that they would
percentage return on investment than understand it.
as a money value NPV. The supposed simplicity of IRR is an
illusion. The percentage return is an
average which takes account of time
value. Without a certain level of
financial education it is difficult to fully
appreciate what the percentage
answer actually means.
Also remember that the decision
makers are not the average man on
the street. They are clever, educated
people so would understand NPV or
be in a position to do so.
Another advantage of the IRR method It is true that it is not necessary to
is that it does not require an estimate know the cost of capital to calculate
of the cost of capital. the IRR.
However, once calculated it must be
compared to something and this is
usually the cost of capital.
Therefore, the cost of capital may not
be necessary in the calculation of the
IRR but is important in its use.

Disadvantages of the IRR method (compared to the NPV method)

Disadvantage Commentary
One disadvantage of the IRR method This is a weakness of the technique
compared to NPV is that it is a relative but techniques do not make decisions
measure, not an absolute measure. – people do.
The technique cannot choose A decision maker should be able to
between a 10% IRR based on an understand the difference between
initial investment of ₦10,000 or a 10% these projects even if the technique
IRR based on an initial investment of does not provide that information.
₦10,000,000 or would choose a
project with an IRR of 11% on an
initial investment of ₦10,000 instead
of a 10% IRR based on an initial
investment of ₦10,000,000.

© Emile Woolf International 798 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

The following disadvantages of IRR compared to NPV are more fundamental.


Mutually exclusive projects
For accept/reject decisions on individual projects, the IRR method will give the
same decision as the NPV method. However, in making a choice between two
mutually exclusive projects IRR might give a decision that is in conflict with NPV.
Consider the following graphs which illustrate NPV profiles at different costs of
capital for two projects.

Illustration: Conflict of NPV and IRR for mutually exclusive projects

Project A has the higher NPV at the company’s cost of capital but project B has
the higher IRR.
Resolving the conflict is easy – use NPV! This can be justified on the basis that
NPV has a more realistic reinvestment assumption than IRR. The concept of the
reinvestment assumption refers to the discount rate used to re-express cash
flows in different time terms. The NPV approach “time shifts” values using the
cost of capital, whereas the IRR method “time shifts” values using the IRR. It is
argued that using the cost of capital is more realistic as this is the cost faced by
the company at the date of the appraisal.

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Performance management

Multiple IRRs
Another disadvantage of the IRR method is that a project might have two or more
different IRRs, when some annual cash flows during the life of the project are
negative. How should the different IRRs be interpreted?

Illustration: Multiple IRRs

© Emile Woolf International 800 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

6 DCF AND INFLATION

Section overview

 Inflation and long-term projects


 Discounting money cash flows at the money cost of capital
 Discounting real cash flows at the real cost of capital

6.1 Inflation and long-term projects


When a company makes a long-term investment, there will be costs and benefits
for a number of years. In all probability, the future cash flows will be affected by
inflation in sales prices and inflation in costs. DCF analysis should take inflation
into account.
There are two ways of incorporating inflation into DCF analysis. A company
should either:
 Discount the money cash flows at the money cost of capital; or
 Discount the real terms cash flows at the real cost of capital.
Discounting real cash flows using a real cost of capital will give the same NPV as
discounting money cash flows using the money cost of capital, where the same
rate of inflation applies to all items of cash flow.
Money/real cash flows
Real terms cash flows are what an item would cost or be sold for in current prices
(i.e. before considering inflation).
Money cash flows refer to the amount that is actually received or paid at different
points in time in the future (i.e. taking inflation into account. The money cash
flows are estimated by initially pricing cash flows at current prices and then
inflating them by the expected inflation rates.

Example: Money/real cash flows


A component costs ₦1,000 at today’s prices
Inflation for the next two years is expected to be 4% per year
The component will cost ₦1,082 (₦1,000  1.04  1.04) in 2 years
₦1,000 is the cost of the component in real terms (real terms cash flow)
₦1,082 is the cost of the component in money terms (money cash flow)

Money/real cost of capital


Cost of capital is explained in detail in later chapters but briefly it is the rate of
return required by the investors for investing in a project of a given risk. The
models covered later estimate the money cost of capital.
Real cost of capital is the return that investors would require without inflation.
Money cost of capital is the return that investors would require with inflation. It
follows that the money cost is higher than the real cost in times of inflation.
Investors want a return to compensate them for the risk in the project and an
extra return to compensate them for the value of money falling.

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Performance management

A real rate of return can be calculated using the relationship

Formula: Link between money cost, real cost and inflation (Fisher equation)
1 + m = (1 + r)(1+i)
Where:
m = money cost of capital
r = real cost of capital
I = inflation rate

Example: Money cost of capital to real cost of capital


If a company has a cost of capital of 12% and inflation is 5%
Therefore:
(1 + m) = (1 + r) × (1 + i)
(1 + 0.12) = (1 + r) × (1 + 0.05)
(1 + r) = 1.12/1.05
r = 1.12/1.05 – 1 = 0.0667 or 6.67%

Information availability
In practice companies would have access to current prices and the money cost of
capital. In order to perform DCF one or other of these must be changed.
Either the money cost of capital is restated to the real cost and this is used to
discount the cash flows expressed in current terms, or the cash flows expressed
in current prices are inflated and these are discounted at the money cost.
The second of these approaches is the most commonly used and should be
adopted by you unless a question tells you otherwise.

© Emile Woolf International 802 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

6.2 Discounting money cash flows at the money cost of capital


The cost of capital used in DCF analysis is normally a ‘money’ cost of capital.
This is a cost of capital calculated from current market returns and yields.
When estimates are made for inflation in future cash flows, the rules are as
follows:
 Estimate all cash flows at their inflated amount. Since cash flows are
assumed to occur at the year-end, they should be increased by the rate of
inflation for the full year.
 To estimate a future cash flow at its inflated amount, you can apply the
formula:
Cash flow in year n at inflated amount = [Cash flow at current price level] ×
(1 + i)n (where i is the annual rate of inflation).
 Discount the inflated cash flows at the money cost of capital, to obtain
present values for cash flows in each year of the project and the NPV for
the project.

Example: Discounting money cash flows at the money cost of capital


A company is considering an investment in an item of equipment costing
₦150,000. The equipment would be used to make a product. The selling price of
the product at today’s prices would be ₦10 per unit, and the variable cost per unit
(all cash costs) would be ₦6.
The project would have a four-year life, and sales are expected to be:
Year Units of sale
1 20,000
2 40,000
3 60,000
4 20,000
At today’s prices, it is expected that the equipment will be sold at the end of Year
4 for ₦10,000. There will be additional fixed cash overheads of ₦50,000 each
year as a result of the project, at today’s price levels.
The company expects prices and costs to increase due to inflation at the following
annual rates:
Item Annual inflation rate
Sales 5%
Variable costs 8%
Fixed costs 8%
Equipment disposal value 6%
The company’s money cost of capital is 12%. Ignore taxation.
Required
Calculate the NPV of the project.

© Emile Woolf International 803 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

All the cash flows must be re-stated at their inflated amounts. An assumption
needs to be made about what the cash flows will be in Year 1. Are ‘today’s’ price
levels the price levels to use in Year 1, or should the cash flows in Year 1 be
increased to allow for inflation?
An examination question might tell you which assumption to use. If it does not,
state your assumption in the answer. The usual assumption is that information is
given in current prices so that Year 1 cash flows (which the model assumes to
occur at the end of Year 1) must be inflated. This assumption is used to answer
this question.

Answer

Item Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4


₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (150,000)
Disposal (₦10k ×
(1.06)4) 12,625
Revenue
At today’s prices 200,000 400,000 600,000 200,000
Inflation factor  1.05  1.052  1.053  1.054
Money cash flows 210,000 441,000 694,575 243,101
Costs
Variable (current
prices) 120,000 240,000 360,000 120,000
Fixed (current
prices) 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000
Total (current
prices) 170,000 290,000 410,000 170,000
Inflation factor  1.08  1.082  1.083  1.084
Money cash flows 183,600 338,256 516,482 231,283
Net cash flow (150,000) 26,400 102,744 178,093 24,443
Discount factors
(at 12%) 1.000 0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636
(150,000) 23,575 81,886 126,802 15,546
NPV 97,809

© Emile Woolf International 804 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Practice question 4
A company is considering whether or not to invest in a five-year project. The
investment will involve buying an item of machinery for ₦200,000.
At today’s prices, the annual operating cash flows would be:
Year Revenues Running costs
₦ ₦
1 200,000 100,000
2 200,000 100,000
3 250,000 125,000
4 150,000 75,000
5 100,000 50,000

Revenues are expected to go up by 7% each year due to inflation, and costs are
expected to go up by 12% per year due to inflation.
The machinery is expected to have a re-sale value at the end of year 5 of
₦20,000 at today’s prices, but this amount is expected to rise by 5% each year
due to inflation.
The cost of capital is 16%.
Required
Calculate the NPV of the investment project.

© Emile Woolf International 805 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

6.3 Discounting real cash flows at the real cost of capital


The cost of capital given for use in DCF analysis is normally a ‘money’ rate of
return (also known as a nominal rate of return). The money rate of return
should be used to discount money cash flows which have been adjusted to take
into account inflation increases.
An alternative approach to DCF analysis is to discount real cash flows using a
real cost of capital. Real cash flows are shown at today’s prices.

Example: Both methods


A company is considering an investment in an item of equipment costing
₦150,000. Contribution per unit is expected to be ₦4 and sales are expected to
be:
Year Units
1 20,000
2 40,000
3 60,000
4 20,000

Fixed costs are expected to be ₦50,000 at today’s price levels and the equipment
can be disposed of in year 4 for ₦10,000 at today’s price levels. The inflation rate
is expected to be 6% and the money cost of capital is 15%.

Required
Calculate the NPV of the project:
(a) using money cash flows and the money cost of capital
(b) using the real value of cash flows and the real cost of capital

© Emile Woolf International 806 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Answer
(a) Using money cash flows and a money discount rate

Item Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4


₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (150,000)
Contribution 80,000 160,000 240,000 80,000
Fixed costs (50,000) (50,000) (50,000) (50,000)
Disposal
proceeds 10,000
Net cash flow
(at today’s
prices) (150,000) 30,000 110,000 190,000 40,000
Adjust for
inflation  1.06  1.062  1.063  1.064
Money cash
flows (150,000) 31,800 123,596 226,293 50,499
Discount at
15% 1.000 0.870 0.756 0.658 0.572

Present value (150,000) 27,666 93,439 148,901 28,885


NPV 148,891

(b) Using real cash flows and a real discount rate


The real discount rate = 1.15/1.06 – 1 = 0.085 = 8.5%
Item Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (150,000)
Contribution 80,000 160,000 240,000 80,000
Fixed costs (50,000) (50,000) (50,000) (50,000)
Disposal
proceeds 10,000
Net cash flow
(at today’s
prices) (150,000) 30,000 110,000 190,000 40,000
Discount at
8.5% 1/1.085 1/1.0852 1/1.0853 1/1.0854

Present value (150,000) 27,650 93,440 148,753 28,863


148,706

Both approaches give the same solution, with a small difference due to rounding
errors.

© Emile Woolf International 807 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

7 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

Section overview

 The problem of risk and uncertainty


 Methods of assessing risk and uncertainty

7.1 The problem of risk and uncertainty


Investment projects are long-term projects, often with a time scale of many years.
When the cash flows for an investment project are estimated, the estimates might
be incorrect. Estimates of cash flows might be wrong for two main reasons:
 Risk in the investment, and
 Uncertainty about the future.
Risk
Risk exists when the actual outcome from a project could be any of several
different possibilities, and it is not possible in advance to predict which of the
possible outcomes will actually occur.
The simplest example of risk is rolling a dice. When a dice is rolled, the result will
be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6. These six possible outcomes are known in advance, but it is
not possible in advance to know which of these possibilities will be the actual
outcome. With risk assessment, it is often possible to estimate the probabilities of
different outcomes. For example, we can predict that the result of rolling a dice
will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6, each with a probability of 1/6.
Risk can often be measured and evaluated mathematically, using probability
estimates for each possible future outcome.
Uncertainty
Uncertainty exists when there is insufficient information to be sure about what
will happen, or what the probability of different possible outcomes might be. For
example, a business might predict that sales in three years’ time will be
₦500,000, but this might be largely guesswork, and based on best-available
assumptions about sales demand and sales prices.
Uncertainty occurs due to a lack of sufficient information about what is likely to
happen.
It is possible to assess the uncertainty in a project, but with less mathematical
precision than for the assessment of risk.
Management should try to evaluate the risk and uncertainty, and take it into
account, when making their investment decisions. In other words, investment
decisions should consider the risk and uncertainty in investment projects, as well
as the expected returns and NPV.

© Emile Woolf International 808 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

7.2 Methods of assessing risk and uncertainty


There are several methods of analysing and assessing risk and uncertainty. In
particular:
 Sensitivity analysis can be used to assess a project when there is
uncertainty about future cash flows;
 Risk-adjusted discount rates; and
 Using discounted payback as one of the criteria for investing in capital
projects.

8 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Section overview

 The purpose of sensitivity analysis: assessment of project uncertainty


 “What if” testing
 Sensitivity testing
 Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital
 Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in project life
 The usefulness of sensitivity analysis

8.1 The purpose of sensitivity analysis: assessment of project uncertainty


Sensitivity analysis is a useful but simple technique for assessing investment risk
in a capital expenditure project when there is uncertainty about the estimates of
future cash flows. It is recognised that estimates of cash flows could be
inaccurate, or that events might occur that will make the estimates wrong.
The purpose of sensitivity analysis is to assess how the NPV of the project might
be affected if cash flow estimates are worse than expected.
There are two main methods of carrying out sensitivity analysis on a capital
expenditure project.
Method 1
Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate the effect on the NPV of a given
percentage reduction in benefits or a given percentage increase in costs. For
example:
 What would the NPV of the project be if sales volumes were 10% below
estimate?
 What would the NPV of the project be if annual running costs were 5%
higher than estimate?
The percentage variation in the expected cash flows should be an amount that
might reasonably occur, given the uncertainty in the cash flow estimates.
There are also forms of ‘stress testing’, similar to sensitivity analysis, that might
be used to assess the investment risk. An assessment could be made to
estimate the effects of:
 Of an unexpected event occurring in the future that would make the cash
flow estimates for the project wrong; or
 The effect of a delay is that the expected cash inflows from the project
© Emile Woolf International 811 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
occur later than planned.
This sort of analysis is sometimes called “what if?” analysis.

Method 2
Alternatively, sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate the percentage amount
by which a cash flow could change before the project NPV changed. For
example:
 By how much (in percentage terms) would sales volumes need to fall below
the expected volumes, before the project NPV became negative?
 By how much (in percentage terms) would running costs need to exceed
the expected amount before the NPV became negative?

© Emile Woolf International 812 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

8.2 “What if” testing

Example: What if testing


A company is considering the following project.
Item Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (55,000)
Income 50,000 80,000 100,000 40,000
Running costs (35,000) (55,000) (70,000) (30,000)
Net cash flow (55,000) 15,000 25,000 30,000 10,000
Discount factors
(at 10%) 1.000 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
(55,000) 13,635 20,650 22,530 6,830
NPV 8,645

Required
Estimate the sensitivity of the project to income being 5% lower than forecast.
(What if sales were 5% lower than forecast?)

Answer
The change must be incorporated into the cash flows and the NPV must be
recalculated.
Item Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (55,000)
Income (95%) 47,500 76,000 95,000 38,000
Running costs (35,000) (55,000) (70,000) (30,000)
Net cash flow (55,000) 12,500 21,000 25,000 8,000
Discount factors
(at 10%) 1.000 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
(55,000) 11,363 17,346 18,775 5,464
NPV (2,053)

This analysis shows that if income is 5% less than expected, the NPV will be
negative and the project would fail to provide a 10% return.

Practice question 1
Estimate the sensitivity of the project to running costs being 5% higher than
forecast.

© Emile Woolf International 812 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

8.3 Sensitivity testing


An alternative method of sensitivity analysis is to calculate by how much cash
flows need to be worse than expected before a decision would change (where
the NPV becomes negative). This is described as method 2 above
This requires the calculation of the present value of each input cash flow. The
NPV can then be compared to this to see by how much it would have to change
before the NPV were to fall to zero.

Example: What if testing


A company is considering the following project.
Item Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (55,000)
Income 50,000 80,000 100,000 40,000
Running costs (35,000) (55,000) (70,000) (30,000)
Net cash flow (55,000) 15,000 25,000 30,000 10,000
Discount factors
(at 10%) 1.000 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
(55,000) 13,635 20,650 22,530 6,830
NPV 8,645

Required
Estimate the sensitivity of the project to income being lower than forecast.

Answer
The NPV will become negative if the PV of any cost is more than ₦8,645 above
estimate or if the PV of benefits is more than ₦8,645 below estimate.
Step 1: Calculate the present value of the income stream.
Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Income (95%) 50,000 80,000 100,000 40,000
Discount factors
(at 10%) 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
45,450 66,080 75,100 27,230
PV of income 213,950

Step 2: Compare the NPV of the project to this number to estimate the
percentage change that would reduce the NPV to zero (at which point the
decision would change).
The project would cease to have a positive NPV if income is below the estimate by
more than (8,645/213,950) = 0.040 or 4.0%.

© Emile Woolf International 813 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice questions 2
Using the information from the previous example:
a) Estimate the project’s sensitivity to the equipment costs being
higher than expected.
b) Estimate the project’s sensitivity to running costs being higher than
expected.

8.4 Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital


The sensitivity of the project to a change in the cost of capital can be found by
calculating the project IRR. This can be compared with the company’s cost of
capital.

Example: Sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital


A company is considering the following project:

Year Net cash DCF factor PV DCF factor PV


flow at 15% at 20%
₦ ₦ ₦
0 (55,000) 1.000 (55,000) 1.000 (55,000)
1 15,000 0.870 13,050 0.833 12,495
2 25,000 0.756 18,900 0.694 17,350
3 30,000 0.658 19,740 0.579 17,370
4 10,000 0.572 5,720 0.482 4,820
NPV 2,410 (2,965)

IRR = 15% + [2,410 / (2,410 + 2,965) ] × (20 – 15)% = 17.2%


The sensitivity of the project to changes in the cost of capital is quite small. The
cost of capital is 10% but the cost of capital would have to be over 17.2% before
the NPV became negative.
This is a rise of 7.2% in absolute terms and 72% in relative terms. (Be careful
when you make statements like this about cost of capital).

© Emile Woolf International 814 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

8.5 Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in project life


The sensitivity of the project to a change in the project life can be found by
changing the project life until the NPV changes sign.

Example: Sensitivity of a project to changes in its life


A company is considering the following project:

Year Net cash DCF factor PV


flow at 15%
₦ ₦
0 (55,000) 1.000 (55,000)
1 15,000 0.870 13,050
2 25,000 0.756 18,900
3 30,000 0.658 19,740
4 10,000 0.572 5,720
NPV 2,410

If the project lasted only four years the company would not receive the year 4
cash flow of 5,720 causing the NPV to fall to 2,410 – 5,720 = (3,310).
Therefore, the project would have a zero NPV sometime during the third year. The
point can be estimated by interpolation (using a similar approach to that used to
calculate IRR) as follows:
Project life that would generate a zero NPV =
4 years  [2,410 / (2,410 + 3,310)] × (4 – 3) years = 3.578 years.
(Alternatively: 3 years + 3,310/(2,410 + 3,310)] × (4 – 3) years = 3.578 years.)
Thus the project duration would need to fall from 4 years to 3.6 years (say) in
before the NPV became negative. This is fall of 0.4 years which is 10% of the
original project life of 4 years.

A problem with the above approach is that it assumes that the cash flows in year
4 arise evenly through the period but the NPV calculation itself assumes that all
cash flows arise on the last day of the period (or at least at discrete points in
time). However, it does allow an approximation of the sensitivity of the project to
the life of the project.

8.6 The usefulness of sensitivity analysis


Sensitivity analysis is useful because it directs management attention to the
critical variables in the project. These are the variables where a variation in the
cash flows by a fairly small amount – and certainly by an amount that might
reasonably be expected, given uncertainty about the cash flows – would make
the NPV negative and the project not financially viable.
 If the project is undertaken, sensitive items of cash flow should be closely
monitored and action taken if they vary from plan.
 If a project NPV is particularly sensitive to an item of cost or revenue,
management might decide to reject the project because of the investment
risk involved.

© Emile Woolf International 815 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

A major problem with sensitivity analysis is that only one variable is varied at a
time and it is assumed that all variables are independent of each other. In reality
variables may all vary to some extent and they may be interdependent. For this
reason simulation models may provide additional information when assessing
risk.

9 OTHER METHODS OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Risk adjusted discount rates


 Discounted payback period

9.1 Risk adjusted discount rates


The calculation of NPV involves modelling the project cash flows and then
discounting them.
The discount rate should always reflect the risk of the underlying cash flows
being discounted.
The weighted average discount rate (WACC) of a company is the rate of return
required by its owners to compensate them for tying up their capital in that
company. The owners decide on the level of return they require for investing in a
company by comparing the risk of the company to the risk of alternative
investment opportunities. Therefore, in a very real sense, the WACC of a
company reflects the risk of that company’s assets and returns. The WACC of
capital of a company reflects the risk of that company.
It is only appropriate for a company to use its WACC as a discount rate if the risk
of the project is the same as the overall risk of the company. If this is not the case
an alternative rate should be used to reflect the risk of the project.
Discount rates are increased to reflect future cash inflows of higher risk. The use
of a higher discount rate results in a lower NPV. This is as would be expected.
Suppose a business expected two receipts of ₦10,000 in one year’s time but one
of these was more risky than the other. In that case the riskier asset would be
worth less. A higher discount rate would achieve this.

Source of risk adjusted discount rates


In practice the treasury department of a multinational might provide a list of rates
to be used to appraise projects of different types. For example they might specify
10% for asset replacement decisions but 12% for expansion decisions which by
their nature are more risky. Such rates should be derived from a capital asset
pricing model (CAPM) based approach but this is not always the case.
The CAPM will be explained in a later chapter. It is a technique which provides

adding a risk premium to the risk free rate.

Risk adjusted discount rates for negative cash flows


Discount rates are increased to reflect future cash inflows of higher risk. The
use of a higher discount rate results in a lower positive NPV for a higher risk cash
inflow.
© Emile Woolf International 816 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Discount rates are decreased to reflect future cash outflows of higher risk. The
use of a lower discount rate results in a higher negative NPV for a higher risk
cash outflow. This is as would be expected.

Suppose a business faced two payments of ₦10,000 in one year’s time but one
of these was more risky than the other. In that case the riskier liability would be
more expensive. A third party would demand a greater sum to take the risky
liability than it would to take the less risky. A lower discount rate would achieve
this.

9.2 Discounted payback period


Instead of using the ordinary payback to decide whether a project is acceptable,
discounted payback might be used as an alternative. A maximum discounted
payback period is established and projects should not be undertaken unless they
pay back within this time.
A consequence of applying a discounted payback rule (and the same applies to
ordinary payback) is that projects are unlikely to be accepted if they rely on cash
profits in the long-term future to make a suitable financial return. Since longer-
term estimates of cash flows are usually more unreliable than estimates in the
shorter-term, using discounted payback as a criterion for project selection will
result in the rejection of risky projects.
A discounted payback period is calculated in the same way as the ‘ordinary’
payback period, with the exception that the cash flows of the project are
converted to their present value. The discounted payback period is the number of
years before the cumulative NPV of the project reaches zero.

Example: Discounted payback


Discounted payback period is calculated as follows.
Annual cash Discount factor PV of cash Cumulative
Year flow (₦) (10%) flow (₦) NPV (₦)
0 (200,000) 1.000 (200,000) (200,000)
1 (40,000) 0.909 (36,360) (236,360)
2 30,000 0.826 24,780 (211,580)
3 120,000 0.751 90,120 (121,460)
4 150,000 0.683 102,450 (19,010)
5 100,000 0.621 62,100 43,090
6 50,000 0.564 28,200 71,290
NPV 71,290

The discounted payback period is Year 5, and we can estimate it in years


and months as:
4 years + (19,010/62,100) × 12 months = 4 years 4 months

The discounted period for a capital investment is always longer than the
‘ordinary’ non-discounted payback period.

© Emile Woolf International 817 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Advantages of discounted payback


It is easy to understand and to calculate.
It takes account of time value of money.
It provides insight into liquidity and uncertainly risk. Projects with shorter payback
periods are better for company liquidity. Therefore, the shorter the payback
period, the lower the overall risk of a project.

Disadvantages of discounted payback


One criticism of the discounted payback method of project evaluation is the same
as for the non-discounted payback method. It ignores the expected cash flows
from the project after the payback period has been reached. Therefore, it might
lead to rejection of projects with a positive NPV.
There is no way of determining how long an acceptable payback period should
be. Therefore, the choice of a project on the basis of the payback criterion is an
arbitrary decision.

10 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain discounting

 Explain NPV and apply the technique in project appraisal


 Explain IRR and apply the technique in project appraisal
 Discuss the relative merits of NPV and IRR
 Distinguish the money cost of capital and the real cost of capital
 Apply the Fisher equation to evaluate an unknown variable
 Explain the link between money cash flows and real cash flows
 Identify money cash flows by taking inflation into account
 Perform discounted cash flow analysis taking inflation into account
 Perform sensitivity analysis and comment on its results
 Explain how risk adjusted discount rates might be used to adjust for project risk
 Explain and calculate discounted payback

© Emile Woolf International 819 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solutions 1
1 NPV calculation:
Year Cash flow Discount Present
factor (11%) value
0 (53,000) 1 (53,000)
1
1 17,000 15,315
(1.11)
1
2 25,000 20,291
(1.11)2
1
3 16,000 11,699
(1.11)3
1
4 12,000 7,905
(1.11)4
NPV 2,210

The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.

2 NPV calculation:
Year Cash flow Discount Present
factor (8%) value
0 (65,000) 1 (65,000)
1
1 27,000 25,000
(1.08)
1
2 31,000 26,578
(1.08)2
1
3 15,000 11,907
(1.08)3
NPV (1,515)

The NPV is negative so the project should be rejected.

© Emile Woolf International 820 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solutions 2
1 NPV calculation:
Year Cash flow Discount factor (15%) Present value
0 (556,000) 1 (556,000)
1
5 56,000 27,842
(1.15)5
1 1
15 200,000 = (1− ) 670,431
0.15 1.155
NPV 142,273

The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.

2 NPV calculation:
Year Cash flow Discount factor (10%) Present value
0 (1,616,000) 1 (1,616,000)
1
4 301,000 205,587
(1.1)4
1 1
14 500,000 = (1− ) 1,584,932
0.1 1.14
NPV 174,519

The NPV is positive so the project should be accepted.

© Emile Woolf International 821 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 26: Discounted cash flow

Solutions 3
1 NPV at 11% is ₦2,210. A higher rate is needed to produce a negative
NPV. (say 15%)
Cash Discount factor Present value
Year flow at 15% at 15%
0 (53,000) 1,000 (53,000)
1 17,000 0.870 14,790
2 25,000 0.756 18,900
3 16,000 0.658 10,528
4 12,000 0.572 6,864
NPV (1,918)

Using NPVA
IRR=A%+( )×(B− A)%
NPVA − NPVB
2,210
IRR=10%+( ) × 5%
2,210+1,918
2,210
IRR=10%+( )×5%
4,128
IRR =10%+0.535×5%=10%+2.7%
IRR = 12.7%

Solutions 3
2 NPV at 8% is ₦(1,515). A lower rate is needed to produce a positive
NPV. (say 5%)
Cash Discount factor Present value
Year flow at 5% at 5%
0 (65,000) 1,000 (65,000)
1 27,000 0.952 25,704
2 31,000 0.907 28,117
3 15,000 0.864 12,960
NPV 1,781

Using NPVA
IRR=A%+( )×(B− A)%
NPVA − NPVB
1,781
IRR = 5%+( ) × 3%
1,781+1,515
1,781
IRR = 5%+( )×3%
3,296
IRR = 5%+0.540×3% = 5%+1.6%
IRR = 6.6%

© Emile Woolf International 822 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solution 4
0 1 2 3 4 5
₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦ ₦
Initial outlay (200,000)
Disposal (₦20k
× (1.05)5) 25,526
Revenue
At today’s prices 200,000 200,000 250,000 150,000 100,000
Inflation factor  1.07  1.072  1.073  1.074  1.075
Money cash
flows 214,000 228,980 306,261 196,619 140,255
Costs
At today’s prices 100,000 100,000 125,000 75,000 50,000
Inflation factor  1.12  1.122  1.123  1.124  1.125
Money cash
flows 112,000 125,440 175,616 118,014 88,117
Net cash flow 102,000 103,540 130,645 78,605 77,664
Discount factors
(at 16%) 1.000 0.862 0.743 0.641 0.552 0.476
(200,000) 87,924 76,930 83,743 43,390 36,968
NPV 128,955

© Emile Woolf International 823 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


27
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Replacement theory

Contents
1 Asset replacement ignoring time value
2 Asset replacement taking time value into account
3 Replacing components
4 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 824 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
D Decision making
1 Advanced decision-making and decision-support
G Evaluate how management can deal with uncertainty in decision-making
including the use of simulation, decision-trees, replacement theory, expected
values, sensitivity analysis and value of perfect and imperfect information.
2 Capital budgeting decisions
C Evaluate asset replacement decision for mutually exclusive projects with
unequal lives.

Exam context
This chapter explains replacement theory.
This relates to situations where a machine is used for a period, then sold and replaced.
The costs associated with acquiring and using a machine includes its purchase price (net
of its scrap value) and maintenance costs. As machines and equipment wear out, they
need more maintenance and lose second hand value. The total life time cost of a cycle can
be expressed as an annual cost (in a number of ways).
Section 1 considers the optimum replacement cycle ignoring time value.
Section 2 considers the optimum replacement cycle taking time value into account. This is
done by calculating the equivalent annual cost.
Section 3 looks at a slightly different topic. It considers replacement of components and
whether it is cheaper to replace similar components as they fail or on a selective basis or in
total periodically.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
 Identify the optimum replacement policy using average annual cost (ignoring time value)
 Identify the optimum replacement policy using equivalent annual cost (taking time value
into account)
 Appraise policies to replace components that fail suddenly (individual, selective and
group replacement)

© Emile Woolf International 825 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

1 ASSET REPLACEMENT IGNORING TIME VALUE

Section overview

 Introduction
 Replacing assets that deteriorate over time (ignoring time value)

1.1 Introduction
This chapter explains techniques that may be used to decide whether an asset or
part of an asset should be replaced or not.
There are different types of decisions that can be made. This chapter covers:
 When to replace an asset that deteriorates over time:
 ignoring time value; and
 taking account of time value;
 When to replace assets that fail suddenly. (The answer to this might sound
obvious but the decision is about whether to wait for actual failure or to
replace before failure occurs.

1.2 Replacing assets that deteriorate over time (ignoring time value)
An asset replacement decision involves deciding how frequently a non-current
asset should be replaced, when it is in regular use, so that when the asset
reaches the end of its useful life, it will be replaced by an identical asset.
In other words, this type of decision is about the most appropriate useful
economic life of a non-current asset (how frequently it should be replaced).
This is not a one-off decision about whether or not to acquire an asset. Instead it
is about deciding when to replace an asset we are currently using with another
new asset; and then when the new asset has been used up, replacing it again
with an identical asset; and so on in perpetuity.
The approach is to evaluate the cycle of replacing the machine – considering the
various options for how long it should be kept before it is replaced.
The decision rule is that the preferred replacement cycle for an asset should be
the least-cost replacement cycle. This is the frequency of replacement that
minimises the cost.

© Emile Woolf International 826 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example:
A delivery company owns a fleet of lorries.
As a lorry grows older it becomes more expensive to maintain and its second
hand value falls.
On the other hand, keeping the asset for longer postpones the need to buy a new
asset.
There is a cost trade off.
Replacing the asset every year results in low maintenance costs and high second
hand value but requires the purchase of a new asset on an annual basis.
Lengthening the replacement cycle leads to an increase in maintenance costs
and a fall in second hand value of the assets but postpones the capital outlay on
the purchase of a new asset.

This section explains how to identify the optimum replacement cycle for such
assets. The optimum replacement cycle is identified as the cycle that minimises
average annual cost.
The average annual cost is calculated by identifying the total cost of a given
replacement cycle and dividing that by the length of the replacement cycle.

Formula: Average annual cost


Total cumulative cost
Average annual cost =
Length of the cycle

Total cumulative Total capital Cumulative


= +
cost cost maintenance cost

Scrap value of the


Purchase price
Total capital cost =
of the asset  asset at the end of
the cycle

© Emile Woolf International 827 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

The best way to calculate the average annual costs for a number of cycles is by
constructing a table with a row for each cycle length.

Example: Optimum replacement cycle (no time value)


A company is considering its replacement policy for a particular machine.
The machine has purchase cost of ₦15,000 and a maximum useful life of three
years.
The following information is also relevant:
Year Maintenance/running costs of Scrap value if sold at
machine end of year
1 1,000 8,000
2 3,000 5,500
3 5,500 3,000

The optimum replacement cycle is identified as follows:

Average annual
Cycle Capital Running Total cycle cost (total cycle
length cost (W1) cost (W2) cost cost÷ cycle length)
1 7,000 + 1,000 = 8,000 8,000
2 9,500 + 4,000 = 13,500 6,750
3 12,000 + 9,500 = 21,500 7,167

Workings
W1 Total capital cost over each cycle
Purchase Scrap Total capital
price proceeds cost
1 15,000 8,000 7,000
2 15,000 5,500 9,500
3 15,000 3,000 12,000

W2Total maintenance cost over each cycle


Annual Cumulative
running costs running costs
1 1,000 1,000
2 3,000 4,000
3 5,500 9,500

Conclusion:
A two-year replacement cycle has the lowest average annual cost.
The asset should be replaced every two years.

© Emile Woolf International 828 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice question 1
A company wishes to identify the optimum replacement cycle of a
machine.
The machines cost ₦70,000.
The company has estimated annual running costs and second hand
value of the machine as follows:
Year Annual maintenance Second hand value at the end of
cost (₦) the year (₦)
1 9,000 40,000
2 12,000 20,000
3 16,000 12,000
4 21,000 6,000
5 28,000 5,000
6 37,000 4,000
7 47,000 4,000
8 59,000 4,000

Identify the optimum replacement cycle using the average annual cost.

© Emile Woolf International 829 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

2 ASSET REPLACEMENT TAKING TIME VALUE INTO ACCOUNT

Section overview

 The cash flows to consider


 The equivalent annual cost method

2.1 The cash flows to consider


The cash flows that must be considered when making the asset replacement
decision are:
 The capital cost (purchase cost) of the asset
 The maintenance and operating costs of the asset: these will usually
increase each year as the asset gets older
 The scrap value or resale value of the asset at the end of its life.
The main problem with evaluating an asset replacement decision is comparing
these costs over a similar time frame. For example, the PV of costs of a two-year
replacement cycle cannot be directly compared with the PV of costs of a three-
year replacement cycle, because whilst the PV of costs of a 2-year cycle might
be lower than PV of costs of a 3-year cycle it is for one year less.
A method is needed for comparing the costs of replacement cycles of different
lengths. The approach used is to turn the present value of a cycle into an
equivalent annual cost. This was covered in an earlier chapter but is repeated
here for your convenience.

Equivalent annual costs


An annuity is multiplied by an annuity factor to give the present value of the
annuity.
This can work in reverse. If the present value is known it can be divided by the
annuity factor to give the annual cash flow for a given period that would give rise
to it.

Illustration: Equivalent annual costs

What is the present value of 10,000 per annum from t1 to t5 at 10%?


Time Cash flow Discount factor Present value
1 to 5 ₦10,000 3.791 ₦37,910

What annual cash flow from t1 to t5 at 10% would give a present value of 37,910?
₦37,910
Divide by the 5 year, 10% annuity factor ÷3.791
₦10,000

© Emile Woolf International 830 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The above example used the same set of cash flows in each direction. This does
not have to be the case.

Illustration: Equivalent annual cost


Time Cash flow (₦) Discount factor Present value (₦)
0 (10,000) 1 (10,000)
1 8,000 0.909 7,272
2 9,000 0.826 7,434
3 12,000 0.751 9,012
13,716

This can be turned into an equivalent annual cost by dividing the present value by
the three year annuity factor.
Present value ₦13,716
Divide by the 3 year, 10% annuity factor ÷3.486
Equivalent annual cost ₦3,935

Proof (with a small rounding difference)


Time Cash flow Discount factor Present value
1 to 3 ₦3,934.6 3.486 ₦13,717

Thus, receiving ₦3,934.6 per annum for three years is the equivalent of spending
₦10,000 at t0 and receiving ₦8,000 at t1, ₦9,000 at t2 and ₦12,000 at t3.

2.2 The equivalent annual cost method


The equivalent annual cost method of calculating the most cost-effective
replacement cycle for assets is as follows:
For each choice of replacement cycle, the PV of cost is calculated over one full
replacement cycle, with the asset purchased in year 0 and disposed of at the end
of the life cycle.
This PV of cost is then converted into an equivalent annual cost or annuity. The
equivalent annual cost is calculated by dividing the PV of cost of the life cycle by
the annuity factor for the cost of capital, for the number of years in the life cycle.

Formula: Equivalent annual cost


Net PV of costs over one
Equivalent annual cost for replacement cycle
=
replacement every n years
Annuity factor for Years 1 - n

The replacement cycle with the lowest equivalent annual cost is selected as the
least-cost replacement cycle.

© Emile Woolf International 831 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

Example: Equivalent annual cost


Nigeria Technics Plc is considering its replacement policy for a particular
machine.
The machine has purchase cost of ₦17,000 and a maximum useful life of three
years.
The following
Year information is also relevant:
Maintenance/running costs of Scrap value if sold at
machine end of year
1 1,900 8,000
2 2,400 5,500
3 3,750 4,000

Nigeria Tech Plc ’s cost of capital is 10%.


The optimum replacement cycle is identified as follows.

Replace every year


Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (10%) value
0 Purchase price (17,000) 1.000 (17,000)
1 Maintenance costs (1,900) 0.909 (1,727)
1 Resale value 8,000 0.909 7,272
PV of costs of one cycle (11,455)
Annuity factor for one year ÷0.909
Equivalent annual cost (12,602)

Replace every two years


Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (10%) value
0 Purchase price (17,000) 1.000 (17,000)
1 Maintenance costs (1,900) 0.909 (1,727)
2 Maintenance costs (2,400) 0.826 (1,982)
2 Resale value 5,500 0.826 4,543
PV of costs of one cycle (16,166)
Annuity factor for one year ÷1.736
Equivalent annual cost (9,312)

© Emile Woolf International 832 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example (continued): Equivalent annual cost


Replace every three years
Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (10%) value
0 Purchase price (17,000) 1.000 (17,000)
1 Maintenance costs (1,900) 0.909 (1,727)
2 Maintenance costs (2,400) 0.826 (1,982)
3 Maintenance costs (3,750) 0.751 (2,816)
3 Resale value 4,000 0.751 3,004
PV of costs of one cycle (20,521)
Annuity factor for one year ÷2.487
Equivalent annual cost (8,251)

Conclusion:
A three-year replacement cycle has the lowest equivalent annual cost.
The asset should be replaced every three years.

Year Maintenance/running costs of Scrap value if sold at


machine end of year
1 4,000 15,000
2 5,000 10,000
3 6,500 6,000
4 8,000 1,000
Long’s cost of capital is 12%

© Emile Woolf International 833 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

3 REPLACING COMPONENTS

Section overview

 Introduction
 Possible policies
 Individual replacement of components
 Group replacement of components
 Selective replacement of components

3.1 Introduction
The previous sections were concerned with assets that deteriorate over time.
Such assets can of course fail suddenly but are not expected to do so and it
would be considered as an unusual event if they did.
Some types of assets are expected to fail suddenly. In general, this applies to
components of other assets.
Components would have varying life spans but often, a company would have a
great deal of historical experience about the rate of failure. This means that
knowledge of the probabilities associated with different life spans would be
available.

Question types
Questions might involve identifying the cost of a chosen policy. This would
involve identifying all costs in a period that result from the chosen policy.
Often questions concern choosing between different policies. Different policies
will result in different costs. The policy that has the lower cost should be chosen.

3.2 Possible policies

Individual replacement
Under this policy, an item is replaced immediately when it fails (and only if it fails).
The machine must be stopped in order to replace the component. Each stoppage
will cost money (e.g. loss of production, cost of the repair). However, the
company only needs to replace components that have failed.

Group replacement
Under this policy, every item is replaced during a single stoppage whether it has
failed or not.
This involves less down time for the machine (thus, reducing costs associated
with the down time) but involves buying more components. Also note that the
calculations might be complicated by the need to replace components that fail
between each group replacement.

Selective replacement
The relevant scenario is that a machine or production line contains a number of
similar components where failure of a component does not necessarily stop the
machine from working. (This is the concept of redundancy. Redundancy is the

© Emile Woolf International 834 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

duplication of critical components of a system with the intention of increasing


reliability of the system. For example, redundancy is built into many aspects of
aircraft design where failure of a component could be disastrous).
Only items that have failed are replaced but this occurs when a machine can
operate until a certain number of items have failed and that number has been
reached.

3.3 Individual replacement of components


The costs of this approach include the cost of the failed item. This is the cost of
item but also might include an installation cost or an inspection cost per item.
There might also be a cost associated with stopping the machine. This in turn
might include costs associated with lost production and the cost of gaining
access and so forth.

Formula: Cost of individual replacement policy

Total cost of Average number


Cost of replacing
replacement in = replaced in the  one item
the period period

Average number replaced Total number of items used per period


=
in the period Average life span

The average life span might need to be calculated as an expected value.

© Emile Woolf International 835 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

Example: Individual replacement.


A company runs a production line that contains 500 identical components. These
fail on a regular basis according to the following probability distribution.

Life (months) Probability of failure


1 0.2
2 0.5
3 0.3

The cost of replacing a single component is ₦75

The cost of replacing failed components can be calculated as follows:


Working 1: Average life span of a component
Life in months (X) Probability of failure (P) PX
1 0.2 0.2
2 0.5 1.0
3 0.3 .9
Expected life span (months) 2.1

Working 2: Average number replaced in the period


Average number replaced Total number of items used per period
=
in the period Average life span

500 components
=
2.1 months (W1)

= 238 components per month

Working 3: The average monthly cost is calculated as follows:


Total cost of Average number
replacement in = replaced in the  Cost of replacing
the period period (W2) one item
= 238 
₦75
= ₦17,850

© Emile Woolf International 835 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice question 3
A company runs a production line that contains 600 identical components.
These fail on a regular basis according to the following probability
distribution:
Life (months) Probability of failure
1 0.1
2 0.3
3 0.35
4 0.2
5 0.05

The cost of replacing a single component is ₦50.

Calculate the monthly cost of replacing components as they fail.

© Emile Woolf International 836 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

3.4 Group replacement of components


This involves periodically replacing every component whether or not it has failed.
The period chosen will be that that minimises the cost.
The calculations are not as straightforward as at first might be thought. This is
because components that fail in the periods between the complete replacements
may also have to be replaced.

Example: Group replacement


A company runs a production line that contains 500 identical components. These
fail on a regular basis according to the following probability distribution.
Life (months) Probability of failure
1 0.2
2 0.5
3 0.3

The cost of replacing a single component during the group replacement


is ₦25 but the cost of replacing a failed component between
replacements is ₦50.

Costs associated with different replacement cycles are as follows:


Replace components every month
Components Unit cost ₦
Full replacement 500 ₦25 12,500
Failures in month 1
20%  500 100 ₦50 5,000
17,500

Replace components every 2 months


Components Unit cost ₦
Full replacement 500 ₦25 12,500
Failures in month 1
20%  500 100 ₦50 5,000

Failures in month 2
50%  500 250
20%  100 20
270 ₦50 13,500
31,000

Tutorial note: The 100 units replaced in month 1 are themselves one
moth old in month 2. The 100 units is subject to the same failure rate as
the units bought at the start of the cycle

© Emile Woolf International 837 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example (continued): Group replacement.


Replace components every 3 months
Components Unit cost ₦
Full replacement 500 ₦25 12,500
Failures in month 1
20%  500 100 ₦50 5,000

Failures in month 2
50%  500 250
20%  100 20
270 ₦50 13,500

Failures in month 3
30%  500 150
50%  100 50
20%  270 54
254 ₦50 12,700
43,700

The costs for each period must be put onto a common base for
comparison
Total cost 17,500 31,000 43,700
Number of months 1 2 3
Average monthly cost 17,500 15,500 14,567

Conclusion: The company should operate a three month cycle.

In the above example, the costs associated with each cycle have been worked in
full to better explain the answer. However, there is a shorter way of setting this
out using the costs associated with a one-month cycle as a foundation.
The cost of replacing items in each subsequent month can be added to the
previous month total to arrive at the total for that month’s cycle.
The solution to the previous example would then be as follows:

© Emile Woolf International 838 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

Example: Group replacement (alternative presentation of answer)


Costs associated with different replacement cycles are as follows:
Replace components every month
Components Unit cost ₦
Full replacement 500 ₦25 12,500
Failures in month 1
20%  500 100 ₦50 5,000
Total cost for one month cycle 17,500

Replace components every 2 months


Failures in month 2 Components Unit cost
50%  500 250
20%  100 20
270 ₦50 13,500
Total cost for two month cycle 31,000

Replace components every 3 months


Failures in month 3 Components Unit cost
30%  500 150
50%  100 50
20%  270 54
254 ₦50 12,700
Total cost for three month cycle 43,700

The costs for each period must be put onto a common base for
comparison
Total cost 17,500 31,000 43,700
Number of months 1 2 3
Average monthly cost 17,500 15,500 14,567

Conclusion: The company should operate a three-month cycle.

© Emile Woolf International 840 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Practice question 4
A company runs a production line that contains 798 identical components.
These fail on a regular basis according to the following probability
distribution:
Life (months) Probability of failure
1 0.1
2 0.3
3 0.35
4 0.2
5 0.05

The cost of replacing a single component is ₦60. However, if all


components are replaced together the cost falls to 14 per component

Calculate the monthly cost of a group replacement policy for 1, 2, 3, 4


and 5-month replacement cycles.

3.5 Selective replacement of components


As explained earlier, this sort of problem relates to a scenario where redundancy
has been built into a system. In other words it incorporates a number of similar
components arranged such that the system can continue to operate when some
of the components fail. However, a point is reached where the number of failed
components is such that they must be replaced. The choice then is whether to
replace only those components that have failed or to replace all components
whether they have failed or not. The purpose in replacing all components is to
delay the time until the next change is necessary.

© Emile Woolf International 841 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

Example: Selective or group replacement.


A company operates a machine that contains 500 identical components which
fail on a regular basis.
The machine can continue to operate until 20% of the components fail. When this
point is reached the machine must be stopped to replace the components.
The following costs have been estimated:
Stripping down the machine to replace components ₦2,500
Cost of a single component ₦100
Cost of inspecting an individual component to see if it
has failed ₦50

The company currently has a policy of waiting until the machine stops
working and then inspecting components in order to see which need to
be replaced. Only those components that have failed are replaced.
Under the current policy each machine breaks down on average 3 times
every month.
The company is considering a new policy under which it will stop the
machine twice a month and replace all components. This will save on
inspection costs but will involve replacing good components as well as
failed ones.
Is this policy worthwhile?

Current policy (selective replacement)


Cost of stripping down the machine 2,500
Inspection cost 500 units  ₦50 per unit 25,000
Cost of units replaced 100 units  ₦100 per unit 10,000
Cost per breakdown 37,500
Number of breakdowns per month 3
Monthly cost 112,500

New policy (group replacement)


Cost of stripping down the machine 2,500
Inspection cost nil
Cost of units replaced 500 units  ₦100 per unit 50,000
Cost per breakdown 52,500
Number of breakdowns per month 2
Monthly cost 105,000

Conclusion: The new policy should be adopted.

© Emile Woolf International 842 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Identify the optimum replacement policy using average annual cost (ignoring time
value)
 Identify the optimum replacement policy using equivalent annual cost (taking time
value into account)
 Appraise policies to replace components that fail suddenly (individual, selective
and group replacement)

© Emile Woolf International 844 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

SOLUTIONS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS


Solution 1
The optimum replacement cycle is identified as follows:

Average annual
Cycle Capital Running Total cycle cost (total cycle
length cost (W1) cost (W2) cost cost÷ cycle length)
1 30,000 + 9,000 = 39,000 39,000
2 50,000 + 21,000 = 71,000 35,500
3 58,000 + 37,000 = 95,000 31,667
4 64,000 + 58,000 = 122,000 30,500
5 65,000 + 86,000 = 151,000 30,200
6 66,000 + 123,000 = 189,000 31,500
7 66,000 + 170,000 = 236,000 33,714
8 66,000 + 229,000 = 295,000 36,875

Workings
W1 Total capital cost over each cycle
Year Purchase price Scrap proceeds Total capital cost
1 70,000 40,000 30,000
2 70,000 20,000 50,000
3 70,000 12,000 58,000
4 70,000 6,000 64,000
5 70,000 5,000 65,000
6 70,000 4,000 66,000
7 70,000 4,000 66,000
8 70,000 4,000 66,000

W2Total maintenance cost over each cycle


Year Annual running costs Cumulative running costs
1 9,000 9,000
2 12,000 21,000
3 16,000 37,000
4 21,000 58,000
5 28,000 86,000
6 37,000 123,000
7 47,000 170,000
8 59,000 229,000

© Emile Woolf International 845 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solution (continued) 1
Conclusion:
A five-year replacement cycle has the lowest average annual cost.
The asset should be replaced every five years.

Solution 2
Replace every year
Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (12%) value
0 Purchase price (30,000) 1.000 (30,000)
1 Maintenance costs (4,000) 0.893 (3,572)
1 Resale value 15,000 0.893 13,395
PV of costs of one cycle (20,177)
Annuity factor for one year ÷0.893
Equivalent annual cost (22,595)

Replace every two years


Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (12%) value
0 Purchase price (30,000) 1.000 (30,000)
1 Maintenance costs (4,000) 0.893 (3,572)
2 Maintenance costs (5,000) 0.797 (3,985)
2 Resale value 10,000 0.797 7,970
PV of costs of one cycle (29,587)
Annuity factor for one year ÷1.690
Equivalent annual cost (17,507)

Replace every three years


Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (12%) value
0 Purchase price (30,000) 1.000 (30,000)
1 Maintenance costs (4,000) 0.893 (3,572)
2 Maintenance costs (5,000) 0.797 (3,985)
3 Maintenance costs (6,500) 0.712 (4,628)
3 Resale value 6,000 0.712 4,272
PV of costs of one cycle (37,913)
Annuity factor for one year ÷2.402
Equivalent annual cost (15,784)

© Emile Woolf International 846 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 27: Replacement theory

Solution (continued) 2
Replace every four years
Discount Present
T Cash flow factor (12%) value
0 Purchase price (30,000) 1.000 (30,000)
1 Maintenance costs (4,000) 0.893 (3,572)
2 Maintenance costs (5,000) 0.797 (3,985)
3 Maintenance costs (6,500) 0.712 (4,628)
4 Maintenance costs (8,000) 0.636 (5,088)
4 Resale value 1,000 0.636 636
PV of costs of one cycle (46,637)
Annuity factor for one year ÷3.037
Equivalent annual cost (15,536)

Conclusion:
A four-year replacement cycle has the lowest equivalent annual cost.
The asset should be replaced every four years.

© Emile Woolf International 847 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Solution 3
Working 1: Average life span of a component
Life in months (X) Probability of failure (P) PX
1 0.1 0.1
2 0.3 0.6
3 0.35 1.05
4 0.2 0.8
5 0.05 0.25
Expected life span (months) 2.8

Working 2: Average number replaced in the period


Average number replaced in the Total number of items used per period
=
period Average life span

600 components
=
2.8 months (W1)

= = 214.3 components per month

Working 3: The average monthly cost is calculated as follows:


Total cost of Average number
replacement in the = replaced in the  Cost of replacing
period period (W2) one item
= 214.3  ₦50
= ₦10,715

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Chapter 27: Replacement theory

Solution 4
Replace components every month
Components Unit cost ₦
Full replacement 798 ₦14 11,172
Failures in month 1
10%  798 80 ₦60 4,800
Total cost of group replacement every month 15,972
Replace components every 2 months
Failures in month 2 Components Unit cost
30%  798 239
10%  80 8
247 ₦60 14,820
Total cost of group replacement every two months 30,792
Replace components every 3 months
Failures in month 3 Components Unit cost
35%  798 279
30%  80 24
10%  247 25
328 ₦60 19,680
50,472
Replace components every 4 months
Failures in month 3 Components Unit cost
20%  798 160
35%  80 28
30%  247 74
10%  328 33
295 ₦60 17,700
68,172
Replace components every 5 months
Failures in month 3 Components Unit cost
5%  798 40
20%  80 16
35%  247 86
30% 328 98
10%  295 30
270 ₦60 16,200
84,372

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Performance management

Solution (continued) 4
The costs for each period must be put onto a common base for comparison
Total cost 15,972 30,792 50,472 68,172 84,372
Number of months 1 2 3 4 5
Average monthly cost 15,972 15,396 16,824 17,043 16,874

Conclusion: The company should operate a two-month cycle.

© Emile Woolf International 850 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


28
Skills level
Performance management

CHAPTER
Strategic models and
performance management

Contents
1 Introduction to strategic planning and control
2 Models for environmental analysis
3 PESTEL analysis
4 Five Forces model
5 Boston Consulting Group (BCG) model
6 Value chain analysis
7 SWOT analysis
8 Ansoff’s growth vector analysis
9 Marketing
10 Benchmarking
11 Chapter review

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Performance management

INTRODUCTION

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens candidates’ capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with a
focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Candidates are expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.

Detailed syllabus
The detailed syllabus includes the following:
E Strategic performance measurement
1 Analyse and evaluate business objectives and strategies using techniques such
as:
a C-analysis;
b Five forces analysis;
c The Boston Consulting Group Model;
d Value chain analysis;
e Ansoff’s matrix;
f Benchmarking; and
g SWOT analysis.

Exam context
This paper is about performance management and not just about performance
measurement. Measurement is a component of management. In this paper you are required
to be able to review measures in place and suggest alternatives when weaknesses are
identified. This review would be in the context of the strategy of the organisation and how
the performance management system was working to help achieve the corporate objectives.
This chapter explains various models that can be used in the strategic planning process.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:


 Explain, perform and interpret C analysis
 Explain and apply Porter’s five forces model to identify industry attractiveness
 Explain and apply the Boston Consulting Group model to identify categories of product
(business) in a company’s portfolio
 Explain and interpret value chain analysis
 Use Ansoff’s grid to identify possible strategic directions
 Explain and apply benchmarking to compare performance against information provided
(for example, about a competitor)
 Construct and interpret a SWOT analysis

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

1 INTRODUCTION TO STRATEGIC PLANNING AND CONTROL

Section overview

 Levels of strategic planning


 Definition of strategic planning and control
 Advantages of formal strategic planning
 Overview of a formal strategic planning process
 Strategic analysis
 Corporate appraisal
 Strategic choice
 Evaluation of strategic options
 Other issues

1.1 Levels of strategic planning


Planning is a hierarchical activity, linking strategic planning at the top with
detailed operational planning at the bottom. Strategic plans set a framework and
guidelines within which more detailed plans, and shorter-term planning decisions,
can be made.
R N Anthony identified three levels of planning: within an organisation:
 Strategic planning. This involves identifying the objectives of the entity,
and plans for achieving those objectives, mostly over the longer term.
Strategic plans include corporate strategy plans, business strategy plans
and functional strategy plans.
 Tactical planning. These are shorter-term plans for achieving medium-
term objectives. An example of tactical planning is the annual budget.
Budgets and other tactical plans can be seen as steps towards the
achievement of longer-term strategic objectives.
 Operational planning. This is detailed planning of activities, often at a
supervisor level or junior management level, for the achievement of short-
term goals and targets. For example, a supervisor might divide the
workload between several employees in order to complete all the work
before the end of the day.

1.2 Definition of strategic planning and control


‘Strategic planning and control’ within an entity is the continuous process of:
 identifying the goals and objectives of the entity
 planning strategies that will enable these goals and objectives to be
achieved
 setting targets for each strategic objective (performance targets)
 converting strategies into shorter-term operational plans
 implementing the strategy
 monitoring actual performance (performance measurement and review)

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Performance management

 taking control measures where appropriate when actual performance is


below the target.
Other aspects of strategic planning and control are:
 re-assessing plans and strategies when circumstances in the business
environment change
 where necessary, changing strategies and plans.

1.3 Advantages of formal strategic planning


Companies often have a formal strategic planning process, because a formal
system of planning:
 clarifies objectives
 helps management to make strategic decisions. Strategic planning forces
managers to think about the future: companies are unlikely to survive
unless they plan ahead
 establishes targets for achievement
 co-ordinates objectives and targets throughout the organisation, from the
mission statement and strategic objectives at the top of a hierarchy of
objectives, down to operational targets
 provides a system for checking progress towards the objectives.
However, planning must also be flexible. Plans and targets might need to change
in response to changes in the business environment, for example, a new initiative
by a rival company.

Changes in strategic plans


Strategic plans often cover a period of several years, typically five years or
longer. They are prepared on the basis of the best information available at the
time, using assumptions about the nature of the business environment –
competitive conditions, market conditions, available technology, the economic,
social and political climate, and so on.
However, the business environment can change very quickly, in unexpected
ways. Changes can create new threats to a company, or they can create new
business opportunities. Whenever changes occur, a company should be able to
respond – taking measures to deal with new threats, or to exploit new
opportunities.
The response of a company to changes in its environment could mean having to
develop new strategies and abandon old ones. When changes are made, the
original strategic plan will no longer be entirely valid, although large parts of it
might be unaffected.
Strategic planning in practice is therefore often a mixture of:
 formal planning, and
 developing new strategies and making new plans whenever significant
changes occur in its business environment.
Responding to unexpected changes by doing something that is not in the formal
plan is sometimes called ‘freewheeling opportunism’. It means making unplanned
decisions, to take advantages of opportunities as they arise, or to deal with
unexpected threats.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

1.4 Overview of a formal strategic process


Different methods and approaches may be used to develop strategic plans.
A basic approach to strategic planning is shown in the following diagram.

Illustration: Overview of a formal strategic process

Mission and objectives


The entity exists for a purpose, which may be expressed formally in a mission
statement.
The entity must develop clear objectives, such as the maximisation of
shareholder wealth. These objectives should be consistent with the mission
statement. Targets can be established for the achievement of objectives within
the planning period.
Objectives should take into account the interest and power of stakeholders.
Stakeholder mapping is a useful tool in this regard.

1.5 Strategic analysis

Environmental analysis
Environmental analysis involves an analysis of developments outside the
organisation that are already affecting the organisation or could affect the
organisation in the future. These are external factors that might affect the
achievement of objectives and strategy selection.
An external analysis might consider:
 the political situation in each country where it has operating subsidiaries
 changes in the law, and how these affect the organisation
 changes in economic conditions

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Performance management

 social factors and cultural factors, such as an increasing average age in the
population
 technology changes: the development of the internet and e-commerce, for
example, have had enormous consequences for business within the past
few years
 the competitive environment, such as the entry of a new competitor into the
market, or the ‘globalisation’ of the market.
An external analysis should identify opportunities and threats that face the
organisation. Strategies might be developed to exploit opportunities or take
counter-measures to deal with threats.
Models that might be used include:
 PESTEL analysis; and
 Porter’s 5 forces;
These are covered in more detail later.

Position audit
Internal analysis looks at the strengths and weaknesses within the organisation –
its products, existing customers, management, employees, technical skills and
‘know-how’, its operational systems and procedures, its reputation for quality, the
quality of its suppliers, its liquidity and cash flows, and so on.
Strategies should seek to make full use of any strengths within the entity and to
reduce or remove significant weaknesses.
Models that might be used include:
 Ms (Men, Management, Money, Make-up, Machinery, Methods, Markets,
Materials, Management information);
 Financial analysis;
 Benchmarking;
 Product life cycle;
 Boston consulting grid;
 Value chain analysis;
Some of these are covered in more detail later.

1.6 Corporate appraisal

SWOT analysis
The mission statement and objectives of the entity, together with the results from
the environmental analysis and position audit, should lead on to a formal
appraisal of strategy and what the entity might be capable of achieving.
SWOT analysis is the analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of an
organisation, and the opportunities and threats in its environment. This method of
strategic analysis is often used by organisations as a starting point for strategic
planning.
Strategic management accounting can assist with SWOT analysis by trying to put
costs or benefits to particular strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats,
so that strategic managers are able to assess their importance.
SWOT analysis is explained in more detail later.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Gap analysis
A strategic plan should set out the ways in which an organisation intends to
achieve its objectives. One way of doing this is to prepare a forecast of what is
likely to happen if the company carries on with its current plans and policies, and
does not take any new strategic initiatives.
Gap analysis involves:
 identifying the corporate objectives for the organisation, and what strategic
management wants the organisation to achieve each year over the
planning period
 comparing these strategic targets with the expected actual results, if there
are no changes in strategy and no new planning initiatives.
The gap is the difference between these two and is known as is a planning gap.
(Gap analysis is sometimes described as an analysis of the difference between
‘Where we are’ and ‘Where we want to be’.)

Illustration: Gap analysis


Company Planning
objectives horizon
(e.g. annual Desired
profits) position

Position if no
action is taken

Time

Strategies should be developed to close the gap, so that expected performance


is in line with the strategic aims and objectives.

1.7 Strategic choice


There are choices to made in three areas

Basis of strategy
This is about how to compete. The work of Michael Porter is influential in this
area.
According to Porter, a successful competitive strategy must be based on either:
 cost leadership, or
 differentiation.
Cost leadership means becoming the lowest-cost producer in the market. A
company that can make products or provide services at a lower cost than
competitors will succeed, by selling at lower prices and winning the biggest share
of the market.

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Performance management

Differentiation means making products or services that are considered by


customers to be different from those of competitors, and because they are
different they are better. A company that is not the least-cost producer can
therefore succeed by offering product or service that customers will pay a higher
price (than the least-cost producer’s price) to obtain.
Either of these strategies might be pursued with a broad focus or in a niche
market.

Strategic direction
This concerns which products should be sold to which markets. A useful model
here is Ansoff’s Grid which is covered in more detail later. It identifies four
possible alternatives:
 Sell existing products in existing markets – Market penetration strategy.
 Sell existing products in new markets – Market development strategy
 Sell new products in existing markets – Product development strategy.
 Sell new products in new markets – Diversification strategy.

Strategic method
This concerns the question of how to grow? Growth can be achieved through:
 Internal growth (also called organic growth)
 Acquisitions and mergers
 Joint ventures or strategic alliances

1.8 Evaluation of strategic options


Strategies should be evaluated to decide whether they might be appropriate.
Johnson and Scholes have suggested that strategies should be assessed for:
 suitability;
 feasibility;
 acceptability

Suitability
A strategy must be suitable for achieving the strategic aims and requirements of
the company. This must be assessed in terms of resources and competences.
A strategy must enable the company to take advantage of its core competences
and unique resources, in order to gain competitive advantage
Suitability relates to the strategic logic and strategic fit of the strategy
The strategy must fit the company's operational circumstances and strategic
position.
Key questions include does the strategy:
 Exploit company strengths and distinctive competences?
 Rectify company weaknesses?
 Neutralise or deflect environmental threats?
 Help the firm to seize opportunities?

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

 Satisfy the goals of the organisation?


 Fill the gap identified by gap analysis?
 Generate/maintain competitive advantage?

Feasibility
Questions that might be asked to assess feasibility are:
 Can we afford it?
 Will we have the labour skills needed?
 Can we achieve the necessary product quality?
 Can we produce at the cost that will be necessary?
 Do we have the marketing skills needed?
 Can we obtain the raw materials needed?

Acceptability
A strategy must be acceptable to the key stakeholders affected by it. A strategy is
inappropriate if it is unacceptable to any key stakeholders

1.9 Other issues

Strategic implementation
The selected strategies should then be implemented.
The implementation of strategies should be monitored. Changes and adjustments
should be made where these become necessary.
Areas of importance here are change management and project management.
These are covered in more detail later

Review and control


This is a key area. An entity will have management information systems in place
to monitor the progress of the business. These are particularly important to the
introduction of a new strategy where timing and achievement of progress points
might be vital to its success. This is covered in more detail later.

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Performance management

2 MODELS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS


Section overview

 The nature of environmental analysis


 The purpose of environmental analysis
 Two models for environmental analysis

2.1 The nature of environmental analysis


A business entity cannot exist in isolation from its environment. It inter-relates
with its environment, and its survival and strategic success depend on how well it
responds to the threats and opportunities that the environment provides.
An entity’s environment is anything that is not a part of the entity itself. For a
business organisation, the environment includes customers, potential customers,
markets, competitors, suppliers, governments and potential sources of new
employees. It also includes the social, political and economic environment in
which the entity exists and operates.
The term ‘macro-environment’ is used to mean general factors in the business
environment of an entity, rather than specific customers, suppliers and
competitors.
Environmental influences on an organisation vary with the size of the
organisation, and the industry and the countries in which it operates.
The importance of environmental factors for strategic management arises
because:
 organisations operate within their environment and interact with it
 changes in the environment can be large and significant – and continually
happening
 future changes can be very difficult to predict.

2.2 The purpose of environmental analysis


Environmental analysis is a part of the process of assessing strategic position. In
order to make strategic choices about the future, the management of an entity
need to understand:
 the factors in the environment that have a significant effect on the entity
and what it does
 the key drivers of change: these are the factors in the environment that will
have the greatest effect on the entity, and force the entity to change its
strategies in order to survive and succeed
 the difference in impact that key drivers of change in the environment will
have on different industries or different markets, or how changes in the
environment might affect one particular entity more or less than other
entities.
It is also important to consider the future impact of factors in the environment.
The future impact might be different from the impact that they have had in the
past. Some factors might grow in significance; others might become less
significant.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Environmental analysis is the process of:


 studying the environment in which an entity operates
 identifying significant factors in the environment, particularly those that will
be significant in the future.
The purpose of the analysis is to assess the environment, to analyse the
position of an entity in relation to its environment and to judge how the
entity’s strategies should be developed to take advantage of opportunities and
deal with any potential threats. It is a first step towards formulating a business
strategy.

2.3 Two models for environmental analysis


In your examination, you may be required to carry out an environmental analysis.
You might be required to use any ‘model’ of your choice. Alternatively you might
be asked specifically to use PESTEL analysis or Porter’s Diamond.
 The PESTEL model is used to identify significant factors in the macro-
environment of an entity.
 Porter’s Diamond model is used to analyse reasons why entities in
particular countries, or regions within a country, appear to have a significant
competitive advantage over similar entities in the same industry, but
operating in other countries or other regions.

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Performance management

3 PESTEL ANALYSIS

Section overview

 The nature of PESTEL analysis


 Social and cultural environment
 Legal environment
 Economic environment
 Political environment
 Technological environment
 Ecological influences
 Limitations of PESTEL analysis

3.1 The nature of PESTEL analysis


PESTEL analysis is a structured approach to analysing the external environment
of an entity. The influences (current influences and possible future influences) of
the environment on the entity are grouped into categories. For each category of
environmental influence, the main influences are identified.
There are six categories of environmental influence:
 P – Political environment
 E – Economic environment
 S – Social and cultural environment
 T – Technological environment
 E – Ecological influences
 L – Legal environment
The purpose of dividing environmental influences into categories is simply to
make it easier to organise the environmental analysis and ensure that some key
influences are not over-looked. It provides a useful framework for analysis.
You might also see reference to SLEPT analysis and PEST analysis. These are
similar to PESTEL analysis in concept, but use a smaller number of
environmental categories.
 SLEPT analysis uses the same categories of environmental influence as
PESTEL analysis, without ‘Ecological influences’.
 PEST analysis is the same as SLEPT analysis, but includes ‘Political
influences’ and ‘Legal environment’ in the same category.

3.2 Social and cultural environment


An entity is affected by social and cultural influences in the countries or regions in
which it operates, and by social customs and attitudes. Some influences are
more significant than others.
Factors in the social and cultural environment include the following:
 The values, attitudes and beliefs of customers, employees and the general
public.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

 Patterns of work and leisure, such as the length of the working week and
popular views about what to do during leisure time
 The ethnic structure of society
 The influence of religion and religious attitudes in society
 The relative proportions of different age groups in society.

3.3 Legal environment


The legal environment consists of the laws and regulations affecting an entity,
and the possibility of major new laws or regulations in the future.
Laws and regulations vary between different countries, although international
regulation is accepted in certain areas of commercial activity, such as banking.
Strategic decisions by an entity might be affected by legal considerations. For
example:
 an international company might locate some operations, for tax reasons, in
a country with a favourable tax system
 decisions to relocate operations from one country to another could be
affected by the differences in employment law in the two countries, or by
new employment legislation
 in many industries, companies are faced with environmental legislation or
health and safety legislation, affecting the ways in which they operate, as
well as the design of the products they make and sell.

3.4 Economic environment


The economic environment consists of the economic influences on an entity and
the effect of possible changes in economic factors on future business prospects.
Factors in the economic environment include:
 the rate of growth in the economy
 the rate of inflation
 the level of interest rates, and whether interest rates may go up or fall
 foreign exchange rates, and whether particular currencies are likely to get
weaker or stronger
 unemployment levels and the availability of skilled or unskilled workers
 government tax rates and government subsidies to industry
 the existence or non-existence of free trade between countries, and
whether trade barriers may be removed
 the existence of trading blocs of countries, such as the European
Community, Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), etc.
Economic factors could affect a decision by a company about where to invest.
Tax incentives, the availability of skilled labour, a good transport infrastructure, a
stable currency and other factors can all influence strategic choices.

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Performance management

3.5 Political environment


The political environment consists of political factors that can have a strong
influence on business entities and other organisations.
Investment decisions by companies will be influenced by factors such as:
 the stability of the political system in particular countries
 the threat of government action to nationalise the industry and seize
ownership from private business
 wars and civil unrest
 the threat of terrorist activity.
Political considerations are particularly important for business entities operating
in countries with an unstable political regime, or a dictatorship.

3.6 Technological environment


The technological environment consists of the science and technology available
to an organisation (and its competitors), and changes and developments in
science and technology.
Some aspects of technology and technological change affect virtually all
organisations. Developments in IT and computer technology, including the
Internet, are the most obvious example. Business entities that do not respond to
changes in IT and computerisation risk losing their share of the market to
competitors.
However, technological change might also affect particular industries. Scientific
developments in food and drugs, for example, are having a continual impact on
companies in these industries.
For strategic planning, companies need to be aware of current technological
changes and the possible nature of changes in the future. Technology could have
an important influence, for example, on investment decisions in research and
development, and investment in new technology.

3.7 Ecological influences


For business entities in some industries, environmental factors have an important
influence on strategic planning and decision-making. They are particularly
important for industries that are:
 subject to strict environmental legislation, or the risk of stricter legislation in
the future (for example, legislation to cut levels of atmospheric pollution)
 faced with the risk that their sources of raw materials will be used up (for
example, parts of the fishing industry and timber production industry)
 at the leading edge of technological research, such as producers of
genetically modified foods.
In some countries, companies have seen a commercial advantage in presenting
themselves as ‘environment-friendly’, by improving their reputation with the
general public. Several companies have adopted a policy of becoming ‘carbon
neutral’ so that they remove as much carbon dioxide from the atmosphere as
they add to carbon dioxide with emissions from their operating activities. (It was
reported in the UK in 2007 that the demand from UK companies to acquire

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

energy from renewable energy sources was far in excess of the capacity of the
energy companies to supply energy from those sources.)
Major oil companies are investing in the development of energy from renewable
energy sources, such as the sea and wind.

3.8 Limitations of PESTEL analysis


PESTEL analysis is a useful framework for identifying environmental influences
on an entity. However, there are limitations to the technique.
 It is easier to use PESTEL analysis to identify environmental influences in
the past and present. It is not so easy to identify the environmental
influences that will have the biggest influence in the future.
 It is a method of identifying environmental influences, by providing a
framework for analysis. It does not provide an assessment of environmental
influences. It is used for qualitative analysis, but not for quantification. A
manager using PESTEL analysis might need to use his (subjective)
judgement to decide which environmental factors are more important than
others.

© Emile Woolf International 865 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

4 FIVE FORCES MODEL


Section overview

 Competitive strength and the five forces


 Existing competitors and competitive rivalry
 Threat from new entrants
 Bargaining power of suppliers
 Bargaining power of customers
 Threat from substitute products

4.1 Competitive strength and the five forces


Michael Porter (in Competitive Strategy) developed a model for analysing the
competitive nature of markets and the competitive position of companies. It is
also a model for assessing the problems that a company faces in establishing a
strong competitive position in a market.
The model should be used to analyse a ‘strategic business unit’, rather than a
company as a whole. A strategic business unit (or SBU) is a part of a company’s
operations for which there is a separate and distinct market.
The model is called the Five Forces model, because Porter suggests that there
are five factors or ‘forces’ that affect the competitive position of a company in a
market. These five forces are:
 existing competitors and the rivalry between existing competitors
 the threat from new entrants to the market
 the bargaining power of suppliers
 the bargaining power of customers
 the threat from substitute products.

Illustration: Five forces

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

A management information system should be able to provide measures relating


to each of these five forces, to assist management in making decisions about
competitive strategy.

4.2 Existing competitors and competitive rivalry


The strength of competition varies between different markets. Some markets
have several rival companies competing for customers. Other markets are
dominated by a single company, although there may be some small and weak
competitors.
When competition is strong, companies are likely to pursue active competitive
strategies to retain existing customers and win new customers from their rivals.
They might compete by offering lower prices, a wider range of products or
products with a superior design or quality. For example, in the UK the retail
market for food products is dominated by four large supermarket chains (Tesco,
Sainsbury’s, Asda and Morrisons), which compete with each other mainly on the
basis of price, product range and location (convenience).
In a competitive market, an initiative by one company – such as a decision to
reduce prices of some goods – is often copied quickly by its rivals. Gains in
market share might therefore be short-lived.
Companies in a competitive market try to retain or increase their share of the
market, and important information for management is therefore information
about:
 growth in the total market, and
 the market share of each competitor in the market.
If a company is losing market share, or if a competitor is gaining market share,
this might indicate a weakness with the company’s existing strategies.

Switching costs
Switching costs might affect the strength of competition in a market. Switching
costs are the costs that a customer would incur by switching from one supplier to
another. In some industries and markets, switching costs might be high. For
example, it might be necessary to train employees in a different technology of the
new supplier.
Switching costs might be high, for example, if a customer is considering a switch
to a new supplier of software. All the existing data files would have to be
converted to a format suitable for the new software and employees would have to
be trained to use the new system.

4.3 Threat from new entrants


In some markets, it is difficult for new competitors to enter the market. (The
‘barriers to entry’ are high.) This may be because entry to the market would
require a large capital investment, and any company entering the market would
therefore be taking a big risk.
The strength of the threat from new entrants depends on the strength of the
barriers to entry. Barriers to entry may not prevent competitors entering the
market eventually, but they can delay the entry of new competitors.

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Performance management

The nature of barriers to entry


A variety of factors might create strong barriers to entry.
 Economies of scale. Economies of scale refer to the ability of an entity to
reduce the average cost per unit of sales by producing and selling a larger
quantity of the product. They occur for a variety of reasons:
 By making and selling more units, fixed costs are spread over a larger
quantity and fixed costs per unit fall.
 An entity might be able to use larger machines that can produce
larger quantities more efficiently than smaller machines.
 An entity might be able to buy materials at a lower cost, by
purchasing in larger quantities.
 Capital investment. Entering a new market might require a large capital
investment. This might deter a new entrant, because the investment could
be high-risk.
 Customer loyalty. Entities already operating in the market might have
strong customer loyalty and a strong brand name. This would make it
difficult for a new entrant to win market share.
 A barrier to entry might exist in the form of legal or political protection.
For example, the products made by a company already in the market might
be protected by patent. Government protection might be provided in the
form of an import ban or by law. An example in 2006 was the failure of
European online gambling firms to enter the US market, because of US
legislation against online gambling. This legislation protected companies
that operated casinos in the US.

Weak barriers to entry


In some markets, barriers to entry might be low, and it might be fairly easy for
new competitors to enter the market. This is often the case with markets for
services, where the service relies on the skill or expertise of the service provider.
For example, it is often fairly easy for a professional person, such as an architect
or a solicitor to set up in business.
Occasionally, technological changes might reduce barriers to entry and make it
easier for new companies to enter. For example, the Internet has made it
possible for some companies to enter a market by offering goods or services for
sale on the Internet. Selling through a web site avoids the need for large
investments in retail stores or office property.
Barriers to entry would be lowered if the government offered a subsidy or grant to
companies that invested in a particular industry.
A management information system should be able to provide information about
any new entrants to the market, the type of product or service they are providing,
the prices they are charging and the success they seem to be having in attracting
customers.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

4.4 Bargaining power of suppliers


The competitive position of a company in its market might be affected by the
ability of one or more key suppliers to influence the market. Suppliers can have a
very strong influence when:
 there are very few suppliers to the market, and
 there are a large number of companies in the market, buying from the same
suppliers.
An example is the influence of producers of oil and natural gas over the energy
markets.
Powerful suppliers might be able to increase prices or control the supply of their
product to the market. Companies in the market are exposed to the risk that the
cost or the supply of a key resource could be changed by their supplier’s
decision.
Companies in a market should try to:
 avoid reliance on a single supplier, if possible, and try to use several
different suppliers, or
 develop close strategic relationships with key suppliers.
When suppliers have a strong influence over a market, a company’s
management information system should provide information about:
 the number and identity of suppliers in the market
 their prices
 the proportion of total purchases of key products that are obtained from
each supplier.

4.5 Bargaining power of customers


The competitive position of a company might also be affected by reliance on one
or a small number of customers. An entire market might be dominated by a small
number of potential customers. For example, the market for sophisticated
weapons systems is influenced by the power of the rich governments that can
afford to buy them. Similarly, the market for large passenger aircraft is strongly
influenced by the bargaining power of the fairly small number of airline
companies that might buy them.
The bargaining power of customers is particularly strong in markets where there
is a large number of suppliers but only a few customers. The UK retail market for
food was referred to earlier. In this market, there are only four major supermarket
chains, which buy a large proportion of all food products sold in the UK, but there
are large numbers of small suppliers. The powerful buyers are often able to
dictate terms to the suppliers, and can threaten to switch to different suppliers if
they do not get what they want.
When customers have a strong influence over a market, a company’s
management information system should provide information about:
 the number and identity of the major customers in the market
 what these customers are asking for, in terms of product or service quality
and price
 the proportion of the company’s total sales that are made to each major
customer.

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Performance management

4.6 Threat from substitute products


The competitive strength of a company might also be affected by the existence of
substitute products. The company needs to be aware that its competitive strategy
could result in a switch of customer demand to or from a substitute product.
For example, an increase in the worldwide price of tea could lead to a switch in
demand from tea to coffee. Similarly, higher prices for travel by railway could lead
to a switch by customers to alternative forms of transport, such as air or road.
When there are close substitutes for a company’s products or services,
management should be provided with market information about these substitutes.
For example, a company that supplies tea should monitor the market for coffee
and other drink products.

5 BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP (BCG) MODEL

Section overview

 The BCG matrix: market growth (potential) and market share (profitability)
 Categories of product in the BCG matrix
 Structure of the BCG matrix
 Using the BCG matrix for planning and performance measurement
 Weaknesses in BCG model analysis

5.1 The BCG matrix: market growth (potential) and market share (profitability)
In competitive markets, management need information to evaluate their products
(or services) in terms of their:
 market potential, and
 ability to generate profits and cash flows for the business.
The Boston Consulting Group matrix (or BCG matrix) is a model that can be used
to assess which products should be developed for future growth, and whether a
business entity has an appropriate mix of products for achieving future growth. It
incorporates the concept of the product life cycle. It is useful for companies that
provide a number of different products (or services) for different markets.
The BCG matrix can be drawn as a 2 × 2 matrix, which ‘maps’ each product that
a company sells, in terms of:
 the expected growth in the market as a whole, and
 the share of the total market that is currently held by the company’s
product.

5.2 Categories of product in the BCG matrix


Products are categorised into four types:
 stars
 cash cows
 dogs
 question marks.

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Stars
Stars are products where the market is growing at a fast rate, and the product
enjoys a large share of the total market. They are normally new products. Stars
might not yet be profitable, but new investment in the product should provide high
financial returns in the future. Entities need ‘stars’ in order to succeed in the
future, and so should invest in them.
Because the market is strong and growing, there are no problems with over-
capacity in production and over-supply to the market. This means that the
company has some control over prices that it can charge. (It may choose
between a pricing strategy of ‘market penetration’ or ‘market skimming’. These
pricing strategies are explained in another chapter.)

A ‘star’ product has more potential for profits, and it is worthwhile to invest more
money in the product, to increase sales.
Eventually when the growth in sales slows down, a star will become a cash cow.
In other words, a product that is a star early in its life cycle will become a cash
cow during the mature stage of the product’s life.

Cash cows
Cash cows are products where the market is growing slowly, or is not growing at
all, and the product enjoys a large share of the total market. These products are
very profitable and provide large cash inflows for the entity. Every company
needs cash cows to survive in the long-term. The cash from cash cows helps to
finance investment in stars. Eventually, cash cows must be replaced when the
product reaches the end of its economic life.
The strategy for a cash cow should be maintaining and protecting the position of
the product in its market, and to keep costs under control (or reduce costs). The
strategy should not be to seek more sales growth, because the product has no
further growth potential (or very little further growth potential).

Dogs
Dogs are products where the market is growing slowly, or is not growing at all,
and the product has only a small share of the total market. These products are
often (but not always) losing money. The correct strategic decision is usually to
withdraw the product from the market.

Question marks
Question marks (also called ‘problem children’) are products where the market is
growing at a fast rate, but the company’s product has only a small share of the
total market. These products are currently losing money. New investment in
‘dogs’ (for example, more investment in research and development or marketing)
might turn a ‘question mark’ into a ‘star’, but there is also a risk that it will become
a ‘dog’ when the growth in the market slows down. Investing in these products
will be a strategic gamble.

5.3 Structure of the BCG matrix


A BCG matrix is shown below. The individual products (or business units) can be
plotted in the matrix as a circle. The size of the circle shows the relative money
value of sales for the product. A large circle represents a product with large
annual sales.
The position of the products in each quadrant also shows the relative rate of
growth in the total market, and the relative share that the company’s product has
in the total market.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Illustration: BCG matrix

5.4 Using the BCG matrix for planning and performance measurement
Companies can use the BCG matrix to analyse the range of products that it sells,
and to plan its future investment in products. The aim should be to ensure that
there is a sufficient investment in ‘stars’, and that cash cows will generate enough
cash flow to finance most or all of this investment.
To carry out an analysis, information is needed for each product about:
 Total market size
 Rate of growth in the total market
 The company’s share of the total market
 Changes in the company’s share of the total market.

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Performance management

Example: BCG matrix


A company produces five different products, and sells each product in a different
market.
The management accountant has obtained the following information about
market size and market share for each product. It consists of actual data for each
of the last three years and forecasts for the next two years.
Next
Year - 2 Last year Current year
Year -1 year Year + 1 Year + 2
Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast
Product 1
Total market size
(₦ million) 50 58 65 75 84
Product 1 sales 2 2 2.5 3 3.5

Product 2
Total market size
(₦ million) 150 152 149 153 154
Product 2 sales 78 77 80 82 82

Product 3
Total market size
(₦ million) 40 50 60 70 80
Product 3 sales 3 5 8 10 12

Product 4
Total market size
(₦ million) 60 61 61 61 60
Product 4 sales 2 2 2 2 2

Product 5
Total market size
(₦ million) 100 112 125 140 150
Product 5 sales 4 5 5.5 6 6.5
In the current year, the market share of the market leader, or the nearest
competitor to the company, has been estimated as follows:
Market share of market leader or the company’s
nearest competitor
Market for: %
Product 1 37
Product 2 26
Product 3 12
Product 4 29
Product 5 20
Required
(a) Using the Boston Consulting Group model, how should each of these
products be classified?
(b) How might this analysis help the management of the company to make
strategic decisions about its future products and markets (‘product-market
strategy’)?

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Answer
A star is a product in a market that is growing quickly, where the company’s
product has a large market share or where the market share is increasing.
Product 3 appears to be a star. The total market is expected to double in size
between Year – 2 and Year + 2. The expected market share in two years’ time is
15%, compared with 7.5% in Year – 2. Its market share in the current year is over
13%, which makes it the current market leader.
A cash cow is a product in a market that has little or no growth. The market
share, however, is normally quite high, and the product is therefore able to
contribute substantially to operational cash flows. Product 2 appears to be a cash
cow. In the current year its market share was over 53%, and it is the market
leader.
A dog is a product in a market with no growth, and where the product has a low
share of the market. Dogs are likely to be loss-making and its cash flows are
probably negative. Product 4 appears to be a dog. The total market size is not
changing, and the market share for product 4 is only about 3%. This is much less
than the 29% market share of the market leader.
A question mark is a product with a fairly low market share in a market that is
growing fairly quickly. Product 1 appears to be a question mark. The total market
is growing quite quickly, but the market share of Product 1 is about 4% and this is
not expected to change. Product 5 also appears to be a question mark, for the
same reason.
The company should decide on its strategy for the products it will sell.
It should benefit from the cash flows generated by its only cash cow, Product 2.
It should invest in its star, Product 3, with the objective that this will eventually
become a cash cow.
It should give serious consideration to abandoning its dog, Product 4, and
withdrawing from the market.
It has to make a decision about its two question marks, Product 1 and Product 5.
The main question is whether either of these products can become a star and
cash cow. Additional investment and a change of strategy for these products
might be necessary, in order to increase market share.
For all the products (with the exception of Product 4, if this is abandoned) the
company should also consider ways of making the products more profitable.
Techniques such as value chain analysis might help to identify cost savings.

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Performance management

5.5 Weaknesses in BCG model analysis


There are several criticisms of the BCG model.
 The BCG model assumes that the competitive strength of a product in its
market depends on its market share, and the attractiveness of a market for
new investment depends only on the rate of sales growth in the market.
Unless a product can achieve a large share of the market, it is not
sufficiently competitive. Unless a market is growing quickly enough, it is not
worthwhile to invest more money in it. It can be argued that these
assumptions are incorrect.
 A product can have a strong competitive position in its market, even
with a low market share. Competitive strength can be provided by
factors such as product quality, brand name or brand reputation, or
low costs.
 A company might benefit from investing in an industry or market
where sales growth is low.
 It might be difficult to define the market.
 There might be problems with defining the geographical area of the
market. A market might be defined in terms of a single country, a
region of a country or as an international or global market.
 It might also be difficult to identify which products are competing with
each other. For example, the total market for cars may be divided into
different categories of car, but there may be problems in deciding
which models of car belong to each category.
 It might be that the BCG matrix is better for analysing the performance of
strategic business units (SBUs) and market segments. It is not so useful for
analysing entire markets, which might consist of many different market
segments.
 It might be difficult to define what is meant by ‘high rate’ and ‘low rate’ of
growth in the market. Similarly, it might be difficult to define what is meant
by ‘high’ market share and ‘low’ market share.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

6 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Creating value and competitive advantage


 The value chain
 A value chain for a company handling physical resources

6.1 Creating value and competitive advantage


A business is often organised into a series of departments or divisions each of
which might undertake a different function. In practice value is added by a series
of activities and processes which occur in a coordinated way. These activities
and processes must be linked effectively to add value.
Value chain analysis is a model that gives insight into such business integration.
Value relates to the benefit that a customer obtains from a product or service.
Value is provided by the attributes of the product or service. Customers are
willing to pay money to obtain goods or services because of the benefits they
receive. The price they are willing to pay puts a value on those benefits.
 A customer will often be willing to pay more for something that provides
more value.
 Given a choice between two competing products or services, a customer
will select the one that provides more value (in terms of value for money,
quality, reliability, functions, convenience, and so on).
Business entities create added value when they make goods and provide
services. For example, if a business entity buys a quantity of components for
₦1,000 and converts them into a wrist watch that it sells for ₦10,000, it has
created value of ₦9,000.
In a competitive market, the most successful companies are those that are best
at creating value. Michael Porter has argued that companies in a competitive
market must seek competitive advantage over their rivals. They do this by
creating more value and by creating value more effectively, more efficiently or at
less cost.
Porter suggested that an entity can adopt either of two competitive strategies:
 a cost leadership strategy, where its aim is to create the same value as its
competitors in the products it makes or the services it provides, but at a
lower cost;
 a differentiation strategy, where its aim is to create more value than its
competitors, for a competing product or service, so that customers are
willing to pay more to buy it.

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Performance management

6.2 The value chain


Porter (Competitive Strategy) developed the concept of the value chain. A value
chain refers to inter-connected activities that create value. He argued that
activities within an organisation can be analysed into different categories.
 Value can be created by any of these activities.
 Management should analyse these value-creating activities to identify
where the organisation was most effective at creating value, and where it
was least effective.
 Similarly, management can identify which activities give them a competitive
advantage over rivals.
By analysing value-creating activities, decisions can be made about:
 how the creation of value can be improved
 how to improve a competitive advantage over rivals, and
 whether some activities should be stopped because they cost more than
the value they create.

6.3 A value chain for a company handling physical resources


Porter’s value chain is most commonly associated with the analysis of value
creation in a company that handles physical resources, such as a manufacturing
company or a retailing company.
Value-creating activities are grouped into two broad categories:
 primary activities; and
 support activities.
These are divided into five primary activities and four support activities.

Illustration: Porter’s value chain

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Most value is usually created in the primary value chain.


 Inbound logistics. These are the activities concerned with receiving and
handling purchased materials and components, and storing them until
needed.
 Operations. These are the activities concerned with converting the
purchased materials into an item that customers will buy. In a
manufacturing company, operations might include machining, assembly,
packing, testing and equipment maintenance.
 Outbound logistics. These are activities concerned with the storage of
finished goods before sale, and the distribution and delivery of goods (or
services) to the customers.
 Marketing and sales.
 Service. These are all the activities that occur after the point of sale, such
as installation, repairs and maintenance, and after-sales service.
The nature of the activities in the value chain varies from one industry to another,
and there are also differences between the value chain of manufacturers,
retailers and other service industries. However, the concept of the primary value
chain is valid for all types of business entity.
It is important to recognise that value is added by all the activities on the primary
value chain, including logistics. Customers might be willing to pay more for a
product or a service if it is delivered to them in a more convenient way. For
example, customers might be willing to pay more for household shopping items if
the items are delivered to their home, so that they do not have to go out to a
supermarket or a store to get them.

Secondary value chain activities: support activities


In addition to the primary value chain activities, there are also secondary
activities or support activities. Porter identified these as:
 Procurement. These are activities concerned with buying the resources for
the entity – materials, plant, equipment and other assets.
 Technology development. These are activities related to any
development in the technological systems of the entity, such as product
design (research and development) and IT systems.
 Human resources management. These are the activities concerned with
recruiting, training, developing and rewarding people in the organisation.
 Corporate infrastructure. This relates to the organisation structure and its
management systems, including planning and finance management.
 Support activities are often seen as necessary ‘overheads’ to support the
primary value chain, but value can also be created by support activities. For
example:
 procurement can add value by identifying a cheaper source of
materials or equipment
 technology development can add value to operations with the
introduction of a new IT system
 human resources management can add value by improving the skills
of employees through training.

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Performance management

Primary activities Examples


Inbound logistics Delivery systems for materials and components,
warehouses for accepting deliveries
Operations For a manufacturing company, manufacturing
operations and methods: total quality management
methods, just-in-time production methods and so
on.
Outbound logistics Warehousing for finished goods, methods of
delivering goods to customers
Marketing and sales Advertising and sales promotion methods, taking
and processing sales orders, pricing
Service After-sales service, handling customer queries and
complaints

Support activities Examples


Firm infrastructure Centralised/decentralised management structure,
size of head office, head office services, size of
management hierarchy, decision-making
processes
Human relations Recruitment policies, training policies, incentive
management (bonus) pay arrangements, employee skill levels
Technology development Use of IT and IT systems, age of IT systems, use
of e-commerce
Procurement Choice of suppliers, arrangements with suppliers,
just-in-time purchasing, negotiation of prices,
credit terms and discounts with suppliers.

For each individual activity listed within each of these categories of activity, it
should be possible to analyse what the company does well (creating value) and
what it does less effectively.
It is also possible to use value chain analysis to identify the information
requirements for each activity, to ensure that it can create value.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

7 SWOT ANALYSIS

Section overview

 The nature of SWOT analysis


 Strengths and weaknesses
 Threats and opportunities
 Preparing a SWOT analysis
 Strategic management accounting and SWOT analysis

7.1 The nature of SWOT analysis


SWOT analysis is a technique used in strategic planning for identifying key
factors that might affect business strategy. These factors are both internal to the
company and external, in its environment. SWOT analysis can be used in the
strategic planning process to analyse the company’s capabilities and core
competencies (or lack of them) and also to carry out an environmental analysis.
SWOT analysis is an analysis of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and
threats.
 S Strengths. Strengths are internal strengths that come from the
resources of the entity.
 W Weaknesses. Weaknesses are internal weaknesses in the resources
of the entity.
 O Opportunities. Opportunities are factors in the external environment
that might be exploited, to the entity’s strategic advantage.
 T Threats. Threats are factors in the external environment that create
an adverse risk for the entity’s future prospects.
Strengths and weaknesses are concerned with the internal capabilities and core
competencies of an entity. Threats and opportunities are concerned with factors
and developments in the environment.
In order to prepare a SWOT analysis, it is necessary to:
 analyse the internal resources of the entity, and try to identify strong points
and weak points
 analyse the external environment, and try to identify opportunities and
threats.

7.2 Strengths and weaknesses


Strengths and weaknesses relate to factors within the entity, such as the strength
and weaknesses of its processes and systems, its resources, its management
and its track record of success or failure in the past.
Senior management in a company might have their own opinion of the strengths
and weaknesses of the company, but a management information system should
be able to provide measured and reliable information about strengths or
weaknesses.
The table below contains examples of activities, processes and resources where
there might be strengths or weaknesses that could have strategic significance.

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Performance management

Products and brands Strength of the brand name


Quality of products (or services)
The portfolio of products, assessed in
terms of (1) stages in their life cycle, or
(2) a Boston Consulting Group portfolio
analysis
Profitability and return on capital
Contribution to cash flow
Research and development Number of innovations
Success rate for new innovations
Speed of innovation: speed in
responding to new products of
competitors
Costs
Marketing Abilities of the sales force
Success in the past in selling products
Efficiency of ‘channels of distribution’ –
making the product available to
customers
Network of intermediaries – retail stores,
agents or distributors
Market size
Market share
Numbers of regular customers
Customer service operations
Distribution/delivery Location of distribution centres
Cost of distribution
Fleet of delivery vehicles
Finance Availability of long-term capital
Availability of short-term funding (cash)
Profitability
Operational cash flows
Return on investment
Credit control, collection of receivables,
bad debts
Assets (buildings, equipment) Type and value of assets
Quality of assets
Production capacity
Location of assets

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Employees and managers Skills and experience


Training
Loyalty
Motivation
Industrial relations
Organisation and management Centralised/decentralised management
Management style
Information systems
Suppliers and inventory Relationship with key suppliers
Storage capacity for inventory
Speed of inventory turnover

7.3 Threats and opportunities


An information system should provide information to management about threats
and opportunities in the environment. The sources of this information are outside
the entity itself. There might be a wide range of information sources, such as
official publications, newspaper reports, government statistics, physical
observation of competitors and customers, and discussions with suppliers.
The nature of threat and opportunities in the environment can be classified into
several broad groups. One method of classification is known as PESTEL:
Political threats and Government regulations, for example,
opportunities towards giving permission for new
business developments and construction
projects.
Government policy, for example towards
government spending programmes.
Consequences of a change of
government.
Economic threats and Economic change: rate of economic
opportunities growth or recession
Exchange rates
Interest rates
Anti-monopoly regulations
Rate of inflation
Taxation
Social threats and opportunities Social change: for example changes in
the age distribution of the population
Cultural change: for example, changes in
leisure activities
Movements in the population
Technological threats and Any technological or scientific
opportunities development

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Performance management

Environmental threats and Cost and availability of forms of energy


opportunities
Pollution
Preservation of the environment:
sustainable business
Legal threats and opportunities New laws
Decisions by a court of law

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

7.4 Preparing a SWOT analysis


A SWOT analysis might be presented as four lists, in a cruciform chart, as
follows: (Illustrative items have been inserted, for a small company producing
pharmaceuticals).

Example: SWOT analysis

Strengths Weaknesses
Extensive research knowledge Slow progress with research
Highly-skilled scientists in the projects
work force Poor record of converting
High investment in advanced research projects into new
equipment product development
Patents on six products Recent increase in labour
turnover
High profit margins
Opportunities Threats
Strong growth in total market Recent merger of two major
demand competitors
New scientific discoveries have Risk of stricter regulation of new
not yet been fully exploited products

In order to prepare a SWOT analysis, it is necessary to:


 analyse the internal resources of the entity, and try to identify strong points
and weak points
 analyse the external environment, and try to identify opportunities and
threats.

7.5 Strategic management accounting and SWOT analysis


Management accounting systems should be able to support SWOT analysis by
management, by providing relevant information. Much of this information can be
quantified.
In the example above of the pharmaceuticals company, it should be possible to
provide quantified data about items such as:
 time to complete research projects
 percentage of research projects that move on to a development phase
 amount invested in capital equipment
 labour turnover rates (compared to average labour turnover in the industry)
 profit margins
 growth in total market demand and annual sales.

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Performance management

8 ANSOFF’S GROWTH VECTOR ANALYSIS


Section overview

 Four product market strategies for growth


 Market penetration strategy
 Product development strategy (innovation strategy)
 Market development strategy
 Diversification strategy
 Ansoff’s growth vector and gap analysis
 Management information

8.1 Four product market strategies for growth


Ansoff’s growth vector analysis (Ansoff’s grid) is another model for strategic
development and growth.
The Ansoff growth vector might be presented as follows:

Illustration: Ansoff’s grid

The model identifies four strategies for developing products and markets in order
to grow the business.
The four strategies are as follows:
 Market penetration
 Product development (innovation)
 Market development
 Diversification

8.2 Market penetration strategy


This is a strategy of trying to gain higher sales in the entity’s current markets with
its existing products. Market penetration is achievable:
 when the total market is growing, or
 by increasing market share.
For example, a company providing mobile telephone services might pursue a
market penetration strategy, by trying to sell to more customers. This is possible

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

if the total demand for mobile telephone services is increasing, or by taking


market share from competitors.
A market penetration strategy is a low-risk strategy, and is unlikely to result in a
high rate of sales growth. The product is not altered and there is no attempt to
find new markets for the product.

8.3 Product development strategy (innovation strategy)


This is a strategy for growth that involves developing new products for existing
markets and customers. For example, a software company might develop a new
product or enhanced product that it tries to sell to its existing customers.
Similarly, a car manufacturer might develop a new model of car, which it then
tries to sell to its existing customers.

8.4 Market development strategy


This is a strategy of trying to enter new markets for the entity’s existing products.
In other words, it is a strategy of selling current products to new customers by
finding a new market, or a new market segment. For example:
 a supermarkets company might try to increase its sales by entering the
market for Internet shopping and home delivery
 a company might grow by trying to enter markets in other countries.

8.5 Diversification strategy


This is a strategy of developing new products for new markets. A diversification
strategy is a high-risk strategy, because the company needs to develop a new
product that will meet customer needs successfully, but it does not yet have
much knowledge or understanding of customers in the market and what their
needs might be.
There are two types of diversification:
 Related diversification, where the business entity develops new products
and markets that are in a related industry. For example, a manufacturer of
ice cream might diversify into producing soft drinks.
 Unrelated diversification, where the business entity develops new
products and markets that are in an industry where it has no previous
experience. For example, a manufacturer of ice cream might diversify into
making and selling shoes.
Unrelated diversification is usually a much higher-risk strategy than related
diversification. However, even a strategy of related diversification can be a high
risk.

8.6 Ansoff’s growth vector and gap analysis


Ansoff’s growth vector can be used together with gap analysis. Gap analysis is
the analysis of the difference between a strategic target and the expected
performance that will be achieved without any new strategies.
For example, a company might measure the gap between the profits it would like
to make in five years’ time and the profits it would expect to make if it did not
undertake any new growth strategy.

© Emile Woolf International 887 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Having estimated the size of the profit gap, the company can then consider
growth strategies to increase profitability. The contribution of each growth
strategy to profits can be estimated. Together, a combination of growth strategies
might enable a company to close the profit gap and pursue strategies that will
enable it to meet its targets.

Illustration: Strategies to fill the profit gap

8.7 Management information


Management should be provided with information that helps them to monitor the
success of their growth strategy. The items of information that might be provided
include:
 Potential market demand
 Market size
 Market share
 Information about competitors and their products
 Pricing information
 Information about costs
 Information about required investment and financing
 Estimated returns from a chosen strategy
 The risks in the chosen strategy.

© Emile Woolf International 888 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

9 MARKETING

Section overview

 The marketing approach


 Customer needs
 The 4Ps of the marketing mix
 C Analysis

9.1 The marketing approach


As stated earlier, markets can be defined by their customers and potential
customers. Companies and other business entities compete with each other in a
market to sell goods and services to the customers. The most profitable entities
are likely to be those that sell their goods or services most successfully.
Business success is achieved by providing goods or services to customers in a
way that meets customer needs successfully.
Customers will buy from the business entities that meet their needs most
successfully.
Much business strategy is based (partly) on the marketing approach or the
marketing concept, which is that the aim of a business entity is to deliver
products or services to customers in a way that meets customer needs better
than competitors. To do this, the business entity must have a competitive
advantage over its competitors, and a strategic aim is to achieve a competitive
advantage, and then keep it.

9.2 Customer needs


Customers buy products or services for a reason. When they can choose
between two or more competing products, there is a reason why they choose one
product instead of another.
A major factor in the decision to buy a product is usually price. Many customers
choose the product that is the cheapest on offer, particularly when they cannot
see any significant difference between the competing products.
If the buying decision is not based entirely on price, the customer must have
other needs that the product or service provides. These could be:
 a better-quality product;
 better design features;
 availability: not having to wait to obtain the product;
 convenience of purchase;
 the influence of advertising or sales promotions.
There are many different types of customer, each with their own particular needs.
A product that meets the needs of one customer successfully might not meet the
needs of another customer nearly as well.

© Emile Woolf International 889 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Customers may be grouped into three broad types:


 consumers: these buy products and services for their personal benefit or
use;
 industrial and commercial customers: customers might include other
business entities;
 government organisations and agencies.
In some markets, most customers are consumers. In industrial markets, all
customers are industrial and commercial customers, and possibly some
government customers. In some markets, such as the markets for military
weapons, the only customers are governments.
As a general rule, the needs of different types of customer vary. Industrial and
commercial customers are more likely than consumers to be influenced by price.
Consumers will often pay more for a branded product (due to the influence of
advertising) or for convenience.

9.3 The 4Ps of the marketing mix


The marketing approach is to identify customer needs and try to meet customer
needs more successfully than competitors. To do this, business entities need to
offer or provide a ‘mix’ of the four Ps that will appeal to customers. The 4Ps are:
 Product
 Price
 Place
 Promotion.

Product refers to the design features of the product, and the product quality. In
addition to the product itself, features such as short lead time for delivery and
reliable delivery could be important. Product features also include after-sales
service and warranties. For services, the quality of service might depend partly
on the technical skills and inter-personal skills of the service provider.
Price is the selling price for the product: some customers might be persuaded to
purchase by a low price or by the offer of an attractive discount.
Place refers to the way in which the customer obtains the product or service, or
the ‘channel of distribution’. Products might be bought in a shop or supermarket,
from a specialist supplier, by means of direct delivery to the customer’s premises
or through the internet.
Promotion refers to the way in which product is advertised and promoted. It
includes direct selling by a sales force (including telesales).

Marketing can be analysed at a tactical level, and decisions about the marketing
mix might be included within the annual marketing budget. However, marketing
issues can also be analysed at a strategic level.
It is important in strategic analysis to understand what customers will want to buy,
and why some products or services will be more successful than others.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

9.4 C Analysis
Once the goals and targets of the marketing effort are known the next step is to
develop the marketing strategy.
The 5 Cs provides a useful framework for constructing a marketing strategy.
Customer: The needs of customers that are to be met must be determined.
Information should be gathered on market segments, benefits the customer
wants, whether value of the benefits outweigh the costs, frequency of purchases,
quantity of purchases, retail channels, and needs based on trends over time.
Company: – Whether the company can meet those customer needs must be
determined. For example, does the company have the right product line and/or
technical expertise? SWOT analysis can be used to answer these questions.
Competition: – Determine who competes with the company in meeting the
customers’ needs:
 Is it an active competitor or a potential threat?
 What is their offering?
 What are their strengths and weaknesses?
Collaborators: Determine if there is any outside source that can help the
company such as distributors, suppliers, etc.
Context: Determine if there are any limitations due to factors in the environment
(for example, regulations, taxation etc.).

© Emile Woolf International 891 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

10 BENCHMARKING
Section overview

 The purpose of benchmarking


 The potential benefits of benchmarking
 Methods of benchmarking
 Internal benchmarking: league tables
 Competitive benchmarking
 Process benchmarking
 Customer benchmarking
 Strategic benchmarking
 Functional benchmarking
 Product benchmarking (reverse engineering)
 Requirements for successful benchmarking
 Problems with benchmarking

10.1 The purpose of benchmarking


Benchmarking is a process of setting standards or targets for products, services
or work processes with reference to organisations that are recognised as models
of ‘best practice’. A benchmark is an organisation that provides the ‘best practice’
for comparison. An entity uses benchmarking to evaluate its own products,
services or work processes by comparing them with the ‘best practice’ of the
benchmark organisation.
The purpose of benchmarking is to identify measures that need to be taken to
improve or change, so that the organisation becomes as good as, or better than,
the benchmark.

Definition of benchmarking
‘Benchmarking is the continuous process of measuring products, services and
practices against the toughest competitors or the companies recognised as
industry leaders (“best in class”)’ (The Xerox Company).

The benchmarking process


Benchmarking should be a continuous process, and it usually consists of the
following stages:
 Identify aspects of performance that should be compared with a
‘benchmark partner’.
 Select a suitable benchmark (a ‘benchmark partner’).
 Compare the product, service or process with the benchmark.
 Identify gaps in performance between the benchmark and the entity’s own
product, service or process.
 Identify changes that can be made to improve performance.
 Implement the improvements.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

 Monitor the success of the changes in improving performance, and


measure the benefits.

10.2 The potential benefits of benchmarking


Benchmarking can offer several benefits.
 It can be used to identify aspects of performance that are weak, where
improvements are necessary.
 It can be used to set targets for improvement that are realistic and
practicable.
 It can be used to look at practices in companies in different industries, and
to learn from them.
 It encourages continuous improvement: benchmarking encourages
managers and employees to make improvements, and to believe that
changes are necessary.

10.3 Methods of benchmarking


There are several methods of benchmarking:
 internal benchmarking
 competitive benchmarking
 process benchmarking
 customer benchmarking.
Benchmarking can also be grouped into the following categories:
 strategic benchmarking
 functional benchmarking
 ‘best practices’ benchmarking (process benchmarking)
 product benchmarking.

10.4 Internal benchmarking: league tables


Internal benchmarking uses a benchmark inside the organisation itself. Other
parts of the same organisation are compared with the benchmark.
For example, a company might have several regional or area offices. The best-
performing regional office might be taken as a benchmark, and the other regional
offices are compared with it. The benchmarking exercise should identify the
reasons why each region has not performed as well as the benchmark. When the
reasons for the worse performance are recognised, plans can be made to deal
with the problems and achieve improvements.

League tables
One method of making internal benchmarking comparisons is to establish a
league table. Points may be awarded for various aspects of performance, and for
each profit centre or division, a total points score is calculated, depending on
how well or badly it has performed for each of the aspects.
A league table may then be published, with the ‘winners’ scoring the most points
and the ‘losers’ at the bottom of the league table.

© Emile Woolf International 893 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

League tables may also be used within the not-for-profit sector. In the UK for
example, state-owned schools are ranked within league tables, according to their
relative success or failure in major national examinations.
The use of league tables is intended to encourage improvements in performance
through competition – no division wants to be at the bottom of the table and many
will want to be at the top.
In principle, each division is measured according to the same key or critical
measures of performance, and the system should therefore be ‘fair’. However,
many local’ factors will affect the performance of a particular division. In
comparing the performance of schools, for example, much depends on the
quality of the students, and it is unfair to compare the performance of a state
school in a prosperous neighbourhood with the performance of a school in a
‘ghetto’ community.
A further problem is that divisional managers may be made responsible for
aspects of performance that are outside their control, especially where the level
of performance involves the co-operation between two or more divisions. It is
unfair to assess the performance of a division on factors that are outside the
control of its management.
Finally, league tables (like other measures of performance) encourage ‘cheating’,
such as trying to hide unfavourable data. Divisional managers may also take
action to improve short-term performance even if this has adverse implications for
longer-term results. The league tables may therefore become the main focus for
management, instead of the actual performance levels that the league tables are
trying to encourage.

10.5 Competitive benchmarking


Competitive benchmarking uses a successful competitor as the benchmark. A
company compares its own products and systems with those of the competitor,
and the purpose is to discover the reasons why the competitor is more
successful.
When the reasons are identified, plans can be made to improve competitiveness,
either by copying what the competitor does, or devising new products or systems
that are even better than those of the competitor.
Comparing yourself with the main competitors makes good sense in a
competitive business environment. A practical difficulty with competitive
benchmarking, however, may be a lack of detailed information about the
competitor.
 It should be possible to fully analyse a competitor’s products – by buying
them and looking at them in close detail.
 However, it may be more difficult to study a competitor’s systems and
methods of operation in detail. For example, a competitor may have a
superior system for handling customers’ calls, or a more efficient
warehousing system, or a better order processing and despatch system. A
rival company will not be allowed to examine these systems in detail.

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Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

Example: Benchmarking
Benchmarking began with the Xerox Corporation in the US in 1982. Xerox, a
manufacturer of photocopier machines, was in financial difficulties and losing
market share to Japanese competitors, who were selling high-quality
photocopiers at a much lower price.
Xerox set up a management team that:
1. identified key performance indicators for operations such as order fulfilment,
distribution, production costs, retail selling prices and product features, and
2. compared the performance of Xerox in each of these areas against those of
its most successful competitors.
Xerox used the findings of its benchmarking exercise to identify areas for
improvement. Improvements were made, and as a result customer satisfaction
improved, costs were cut and Xerox improved its competitive position in the
market.
Other companies followed the example of Xerox, and benchmarking became an
established practice for performance measurement.

Example: Competitive benchmarking


In 1991, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and J D Power and Associates
published a survey of car manufacturing plants in Japan, the USA and Europe.
Japanese car production was used as a benchmark, and the survey found that
productivity was much higher in Japan (where the average time to produce a car
was 16.2 man hours) than in Europe (where the average time to produce one car
was 36.2 man hours).
The survey analysed possible reasons for the superior performance of Japanese
producers, and made comparisons of performance in the areas of training time
for new employees, absenteeism and the number of defects per vehicle
produced.
The survey provided useful information for US and European car producers, but
they had a huge gap to close before they could begin to compete effectively with
their Japanese competitors.

Problems with competitive benchmarking


There are several problems with benchmarking the performance of a business
against its competitors.
To benchmark effectively it is necessary to obtain meaningful and reliable
comparative information about the performance of the competitor. Much of this
information, particularly non-financial information, will be unavailable unless the
competitor is willing to provide it. If the competitor is a private company and is not
required to publish detailed financial statements, comparative financial
information may also be difficult to obtain.
There is no reason why a competitor should agree to provide information, unless
they too are interested in benchmarking and so would be willing to consider
information sharing. The risk of handing over confidential information to a
competitor, or providing information that could give a competitor some marketing
advantage, is likely to make any company unwilling to agree to such a scheme.

© Emile Woolf International 895 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

There are some organisations that specialise in taking financial information from
firms in the same industry, and providing ‘inter-firm comparisons’ for the
participants, without giving away sensitive information about any individual
company. However in practice most inter-firm comparison is carried out between
quoted companies by stock market analysts.
The cost of benchmarking might be quite high, and too large to justify the benefits
to be obtained from a benchmarking system. To deal with this problem, it would
be necessary to ensure that the system is kept fairly simple, and as much of the
preparation of benchmarking comparisons as possible should be computerised.
There may be problems with getting managers to understand the purpose and
benefits of inter-firm comparisons. When benchmarking comparisons are
available, managers and other employees need to be told what they should do
with it. The purpose and use of benchmarking information would therefore have
to be explained clearly to staff, and systems put in place for the monitoring and
use of the information obtained.
There may be a risk that a benchmarking exercise with competitors, if
practicable, will be used to criticise staff for performing ‘worse’ than competitors.
Management must ensure that the system, if put in place, does not create a
‘culture of blame’ that is likely to make employees defensive and resentful.

Competitive benchmarking and competitor analysis


Competitive benchmarking is not the same as competitor analysis. Competitor
analysis involves a comparison by a company of its own performance with the
performance of its main rivals. A company might draw up a ‘league table’
consisting of itself and its competitors, with the best performer at the top of the
table and the worst performer at the bottom. For example, in the UK, some of the
major supermarket chains draw up a league table of prices, with the chain
offering the cheapest prices at the top of the table and the chain with the highest-
price food stores at the bottom.
However, this is not benchmarking. Benchmarking is used to identify differences,
and then to develop new ways of doing things, in order to make improvements in
performance. The aim should be to make improvements that make the company
better than its competitors, rather than improvements that help the company to
close the gap with its competitors.

10.6 Process benchmarking


Process benchmarking is the most common method of benchmarking. It involves
a comparison of the performance of the entity in one particular activity or process
with the performance of another entity in a different industry. This type of
benchmarking seeks to identify best practice anywhere, by looking at
organisations with a reputation for excellence.
The purpose of process benchmarking is to use a benchmarking approach to
analyse operational systems, such as purchasing, call handling (by call centres),
order processing, delivery systems, information systems, and so on.
An organisation compares its own practices in an aspect of its operations with
those of a benchmark organisation that is in an unrelated industry (and so is not
a competitor). For example, a company may compare its warehousing and
distribution systems with a benchmark organisation, its customer call centre
operations or its IT system maintenance arrangements.
A process benchmarking programme is agreed between two organisations which
then share information about their systems and compare their performance. Each
organisation is able to use the benchmarking process to review its systems and
procedures, and look for ways of improving their performance.
© Emile Woolf International 897 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Benchmarking can be used as an approach to improving quality – in products,
services and systems. Comparisons with the ‘best’ can provide ideas:
 for copying the benchmark organisation, or
 for doing something in a different way, not necessarily in exactly the same
way as the benchmark organisation

Example: Process benchmarking


The Xerox Company wanted to improve its performance in dealing with customer
orders. It identified Bean, a catalogue retailer specialising in outdoor clothing, as
a benchmark for excellence in this area. The two organisations, Xerox and Bean,
collaborated with each other in comparing their systems, exchanging information.
Xerox management studied the order fulfilment process at Bean and used its
findings to improve its own systems.
Process benchmarking can be very effective in helping a company to gain a
competitive advantage over its rivals. ‘Benchmarking … is not a method for
copying the best practices of competitors, but a way of seeking superior process
performance outside the industry. Benchmarking makes it possible to gain
competitive superiority rather than competitive parity.’

© Emile Woolf International 898 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

10.7 Customer benchmarking


Customer benchmarking is a completely different approach. This uses the
customer as a benchmark, by trying to establish what the customer wants and
expects. A company can compare what a customer wants with what the company
actually provides.
Gaps can be identified between customer expectations and ‘reality’, and the
company can then look for ways to close the gap.

10.8 Strategic benchmarking


Strategic benchmarking involves a comparison of the strategies of different
companies. A company can compare its own strategies with those of its most
successful competitor, or with the strategies of successful companies in other
industries.
Strategic benchmarking usually involves a comparison with the most successful
competitor. A company will use benchmarking to find out why the competitor is
more successful. A starting point for the comparison is usually a survey of
customers and shared suppliers, to find out what the competitor does better.
Aspects of strategy that might be considered include:
 strategic objectives
 core competencies
 process capability
 products
 strategic alliances
 the use of technology.

10.9 Functional benchmarking


Functional benchmarking is a form of competitor benchmarking. It involves a
comparison of performance of a core business function in the company with the
performance of the same function in a successful competitor. For example,
functional benchmarking might involve a comparison of:
 the sales and marketing function
 the research and development function.
The aim should be to find out why the competitor appears to perform this function
more successfully, in order to identify changes and improvements that should be
made.
Process benchmarking compares processes in more detail.

© Emile Woolf International 898 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 28: Strategic models and performance management

10.10 Product benchmarking (reverse engineering)


Product benchmarking, also called reverse engineering, is a form of competitor
benchmarking. It involves a comparison of an entity’s products with the products
manufactured by its main competitors.
The comparison will usually look at:
 the competitor’s costs
 product concepts
 strengths and weaknesses in product design and quality.
This product analysis will usually involve obtaining some products of the
competitor and analysing them in the workshop or laboratory.

10.11 Requirements for successful benchmarking


There are several requirements for benchmarking to be effective as a way of
improving competitiveness.
 It is important to select key aspects of performance for benchmarking.
These are the aspects of performance that have to be successful (and
improved) in order to gain a competitive advantage over rivals.
 It must be a continuous process, not a ‘once only’ exercise. Competitors do
not ‘stand still’, and successful competitors will continually innovate and
improve. It is essential to keep repeating benchmarking exercises in order
to avoid falling behind again as the business environment changes.
 Benchmarking should be a method for becoming better than competitors,
not just for closing the gap on competitors and ‘catching up’. The aim
should be to achieve superior performance.
 When benchmark partners are used for process benchmarking, the
collaboration should be open and honest. A company should be prepared
to give more information to its benchmark partner than it is hoping to obtain
from the benchmark partner.

10.12 Problems with benchmarking


There are several problems that can make it difficult to use benchmarking
successfully.
 It might be difficult to identify a critical process where benchmarking could
provide valuable information to help an entity improve its performance.
Benchmarking might select processes that are not critical to performance.
The value of any benefits achieved will therefore be small and insignificant.
 It might be difficult to obtain reliable information for comparison with a
benchmark. Even when a ‘benchmark partner’ is identified for process
benchmarking, it could be difficult to get the ‘partner’ to agree to a
benchmarking exercise and then to obtain the required information.

© Emile Woolf International 899 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

11 CHAPTER REVIEW
Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter check that you now know how to:
 Explain, perform and interpret C analysis

 Explain and apply Porter’s five forces model to identify industry attractiveness
 Explain and apply the Boston Consulting Group model to identify categories of
product (business) in a company’s portfolio
 Explain and interpret value chain analysis
 Use Ansoff’s grid to identify possible strategic directions
 Explain and apply benchmarking to compare performance against information
provided (for example, about a competitor)
 Construct and interpret a SWOT analysis

© Emile Woolf International 900 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


29
Skills level

CHAPTER
Performance management

Information systems and


performance management

Contents
1 Performance management and information
2 Sources of information
3 Big data
4 Recording and processing methods
5 Information systems for performance management
6 The effect of IT on performance management
7 Critical success factors
8 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 901 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens student’s capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with
a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Students will be expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
F Performance and management systems
1 Evaluate and advise management on suitable information technology and strategic
performance management system covering:
a Sources of information;
b Information technology tools for performance management at various levels
(strategic, tactical and operational); and
c Use of internet technologies for performance management and key
performance indicators.

Exam context
This is the first of the performance management chapters that builds on the information
system content of the knowledge level management information paper. We start with a
reintroduction of the concepts of information and information systems. We then move on to
discussing the levels of information system in the context of performance management.
This chapter addresses the impact of IT in areas such as providers of services, management
accounting and competitive advantage before closing with a discussion on critical success
factors and key performance indicators, again in the context of information technology and
information systems.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
 Describe the types and levels of information used in performance management
information systems
 Describe the sources of information including big data
 Explain methods of recording and processing information
 Explain, with examples, the common types of performance management systems and
how they may be used for managing performance
 State the qualities of good information and explain concepts of reliability, accessibility,
accuracy and security of information
 Summarise the impact IT has had on performance management with respect to
the providers of services and management accounting
 Describe the impact IT systems have on competitive advantage
 Define critical success factor (CSFs) and key performance indicator (KPIs)
 Explain the link between CSFs and IS/IT strategy
 Describe how IS/IT is used to monitor CSFs in the achievement of targets

© Emile Woolf International 902 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

1 PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND INFORMATION

Section overview

 Introduction
 Using information for performance management

 Information and management decisions


 Levels of management: strategic, tactical and operational
 Levels of performance management requirements
 Qualities of good information
 Ensuring reliability and accuracy of information
 Accessibility of information
 Security of information

1.1 Introduction
Performance management incorporates activities that aim to ensure goals are
consistently met in an effective and efficient manner. In order to achieve this ,
management require reliable information systems to support them in:
 Making appropriate decisions;
 Reviewing the results of those decisions as a basis for future decisions and
performance management.
In this chapter we re-visit the fundamentals of information systems that you
initially encountered in the Management Information paper as the basis for
considering information systems in the context of performance management.

1.2 Using information for performance management


Information is processed data. Data can be defined as facts that have not been
assembled into a meaningful structure. Data, when processed into a structured
form that has meaning, is regarded as information.
Businesses use information in several ways.
 Information is used to perform routine transactions, such as order
processing and invoicing.
 Information is used to make decisions.
 Information is also developed into knowledge that can be used to improve
the business.
Managers cannot make decisions without information. However, information
can vary in quality, and as a general rule managers will make better decisions
when they have better quality information.

1.3 Information and management decisions


Decisions are taken continually in business. Routine decisions may be taken by
any employee as a part of normal procedures. However, a specific role of
management is to make decisions. For this, managers need information.
Managers use information:
 To make plans and reach planning decisions

© Emile Woolf International 903 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

 To measure performance, and take control action on the basis of


comparing actual or expected performance with a target
 To make ‘one-off’ or non-routine decisions
 To communicate decisions to other people
 To co-ordinate activities with other people.

1.4 Levels of management: strategic, tactical and operational


Management may be classified into three levels:
 Strategic management
 Tactical management
 Operational management.
These three classifications are based on the types of decision that are taken by
management at each level. For decisions at each level of management, a
different type of information is required.
Strategic management

Definition: Strategic management


Strategic management is concerned with setting objectives for the organisation,
and developing plans (strategies) to achieve those objectives.

The main objective of a business may be to maximise the wealth of the


shareholders, or to achieve continuous growth in sustainable profits, or to be the
world leader in a particular industry or market.
Having established the main objectives of the organisation, strategic
management is also concerned with developing strategies to achieve the
objectives. Strategic planning (and the control of strategy) is concerned with the
general direction that the organisation should take, in terms of the markets it
operates in, the products or services it provides, and the resources it uses
(money, equipment, people, and so on).
Strategic management should have a fairly long ‘planning horizon’. The
performance of an organisation in the short term is important, but strategic
managers must also focus on the longer term, and the direction in which the
organisation is going over the next few years.
Strategic management is the function of the senior managers in an organisation.
Tactical management

Definition: Tactical management


Tactical management has a shorter-term planning horizon than strategic
management. It is concerned with:
developing plans and making other decisions within the framework of strategic
decisions that have been taken by senior managers
monitoring actual performance to assess whether the planning targets will be
achieved
taking control action where necessary to improve performance.

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

If strategic planning has a planning horizon of up to, say, five to ten years (or
longer), tactical management would have a planning horizon of up to about one
year or so.
Tactical management is usually associated with budgets and budgetary control,
and similar annual plans.
Tactical management is the function of the middle-ranking managers in an
organisation. In organisations with a ‘flat’ management structure, however,
tactical management decisions may be taken by either senior managers or other
managers.
Operational management

Definition: Operational management


Operational management is concerned with the management of day-to-day
operations. The planning horizon is short, and in many cases immediate decisions
must often be taken about what should be done.

Operational management is often associated with supervision and front-line


management. It includes scheduling of operations and monitoring output, such as
daily efficiency levels.
There isn’t a clear dividing line between tactical management and operational
management, but essentially the differences are a matter of detail. Tactical
management may be concerned with the performance of an entire department
during a one-week period, whereas operational management may be concerned
with the activities of individuals or small work groups on a daily basis.

1.5 Levels of performance management requirements


The requirements of performance management systems vary with the level of
management. This concept is set out simply in the diagram below.

Levels of performance management requirements

© Emile Woolf International 905 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Strategic information
Strategic performance management needs strategic information. The
characteristics of strategic information may be summarised as follows:
 It is often information about the organisation as a whole, or a large part of it.
 It is often in summary form, without too much detail.
 It is generally relevant to the longer term.
 It is often forward-looking.
 The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
organisation).
 It is often prepared on an ‘ad hoc’ basis, rather than in the form of regular
and routine reports.
 It may contain information of a qualitative nature as well as quantified
information.
 There is often a high degree of uncertainty in the information. This is
particularly true when the information is forward-looking (for example, a
forecast) over a number of years in the future.

Illustration: Strategic information for performance management


The board of directors are concerned that the business is not sufficiently
diversified which is suppressing the P/E ratio. This is despite having a healthy
balance sheet and cash available to invest.
The executive information system (EIS) is used to benchmark the business’
against three main competitors with metrics such as:
 P/E ratio
 Market share and growth
 Leverage (debt to equity ratio)
 Employee numbers
The system is also used to help identify two potential take-over targets and
forecast what the combined business would look like, again using the above
metrics.
The board makes a decision to proceed with a take-over and continues to use the
EIS to monitor the impact on KPIs including the share price and P/E ratio.
Access to the EIS is restricted to a small number of users given the sensitivity
around such confidential information. The directors use a ‘dashboard’ which
provides highly summarised company-wide metrics and live market-data about
competitors.

Tactical information
Tactical information is used to decide how the resources of the organisation
should be used, and to monitor how well they are being used. It is useful to relate
tactical information to the sort of information that is contained in an annual
budget. A budget is planning at a tactical management level, where the plan is
expressed in financial terms.

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

The general features of tactical information are as follows:


 It is often information about individual departments and operations.
 It is often in summary form, but at a greater level of detail than strategic
information.
 It is generally relevant to the short-term and medium term.
 It may be forward-looking (for example, medium-term plans) but it is often
concerned with performance measurement. Control information at a tactical
level is often based on historical performance.
 The data that is analysed to provide the information comes from both
internal and external sources (from sources inside and outside the
organisation), but most of the information comes from internal sources.
 It is often prepared on a routine and regular basis (for example, monthly or
weekly performance reports).
 It consists mainly of quantified information.
 There may be some degree of uncertainty in the information. However, as
tactical plans are short-term or medium-term, the level of uncertainty is
much less than for strategic information.

Illustration: Tactical information for performance management


A management information system is used to prepare monthly management
accounts for divisional heads. The management accounting team prepares
monthly accounts during a 4-day window immediately after each calendar month-
end. This allows sufficient time for processing accruals, pre-payments and any
other manual journals.
The management accounting system resides on the company’s central
mainframe. The system is accessed by authorised finance staff only via their
desktop computers which are connected to the local area network.
The management accounting system reports underlying data directly from the
financial accounting system.
Divisional heads use the monthly management accounts to review actual
performance in their division versus budget and revise their annual forecast as
each month of the accounting year progresses.
The key metrics they focus on include:
 Divisional return on investment
 Divisional return on capital employed
 Divisional gross and net profit margins
 Divisional headcount
 Divisional payroll expenses

Operational information
Operational information is needed to enable supervisors and front line managers
to organise and monitor operations, and to make on-the-spot decisions whenever
operational problems arise.
Operational information may also be needed by employees, to process
transactions in the course of their regular work.

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Performance management

The general features of operational information are as follows:


 It is normally information about specific transactions, or specific jobs, tasks,
daily workloads, individuals or work groups. (It is ‘task-specific’.)
 It may be summarised at a work group or section level, but is in a more
detailed form than tactical information.
 It is generally relevant to the very short-term.
 It may be forward-looking (for example, daily plans) but it is often
concerned with transactions, procedures and performance measurement at
a daily level.
 The data that is analysed to provide the information comes almost
exclusively from internal sources (from sources inside the organisation).
 It is often prepared frequently, as required for daily operational needs.
 It consists mainly of quantified information. Most of this information is
‘factual’ and is not concerned with uncertainty.

Illustration: Operational information for performance management


Zoom limited manufactures low cost furniture. Margins are tight and hence high
volume is required to achieve target profit.
The operations manager reviews the production plan at the start of each day that
has been automatically generated from the organisation’s integrated inventory
and ordering system. The report highlights any potential inventory shortages
which are then addressed by raising inventory requisition orders.
Zoom maintains a real-time perpetual inventory system which resides on the
central mainframe. Data is kept up-to-date as inventory inwards and stores
requisitions are recorded immediately by the inventory clerk.

1.6 Qualities of good information


The quality of the performance management information system depends on the
quality of the information that it provides. Good information has several
characteristics.
Relevance (and volume)
Information has no value unless it has a purpose and is useful. Information must
therefore be relevant for its intended purpose.
Some information systems process large amounts of data to provide large
volumes of information, but not all of it is useful. There may be more information
than a user can actually make sense of. Sometimes, the information generated
by an information system might not be entirely relevant, and might not tell the
user everything that he or she needs to know.
Information systems may be designed to help the user to find relevant
information easily and quickly, for example by searching an expert system (ES)
or an executive information system (EIS).

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

Reliability
Information must be reliable. Reliable information must be:
 Accurate enough for its intended purpose and
 Complete enough for its intended purpose.
Sometimes, this means that information must be 100% accurate and 100%
complete. However there are many occasions, particularly with strategic
information used by senior management, that information is based on estimates
and forecasts, or information is incomplete due to a lack of data.
There are also occasions when the users of information systems have to apply
their judgement and reach a decision on the basis of information available. Expert
systems are an excellent example of this. An expert system for medicine, for
example, might suggest several alternative courses of treatment for a patient, and
an expert system for law might indicate several different and opposing legal
arguments.
Timely
Information must be available in time for its recipient to make use of it.
Information will be used for a purpose. Presumably, there is an ‘ideal time’ for
using the information.
Managers might want items of information quickly, so that they can make an
immediate decision. Many information systems, such as expert systems and
executive information systems, offer immediate responses to input queries.
Speed of access to data (and the speed of a system in responding to queries) is
often regarded as a desirable feature of an information system.
User confidence
Users must have confidence in their systems and the information that they
provide. Information must therefore be realistic.
At the moment, information systems for business have not been designed that
are capable of removing the need for management judgement in making
decisions. However, information does not need to be 100% accurate for users to
have confidence in it. The user of information needs to know how reliable the
information may be, and (as suggested above) that the information will not be
completely wrong.
The value of information must be more than its cost
Information should not cost more to obtain than the value it provides.
 Some information systems may provide information at a level of detail (or
accuracy) that is not required, when it would be cheaper to provide less
detailed (or less accurate) information to meet the user’s requirements.
 Some information systems may provide additional information that is not
used at all.
 An information system may provide information that is used, but the
benefits from using the information are less than the cost of obtaining it.

1.7 Ensuring reliability and accuracy of information


When a performance management system is designed, one of the issues facing
the system designer is how to ensure that the quality of the information will be
good enough to meet the requirements of the users. In particular, information

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Performance management

must be reliable and users must have confidence in the information that the
system provides.
The reliability of an information system depends on three main factors.
 The completeness of the information. Information should be obtained from
the appropriate sources, and it needs to be sufficiently complete. A user
cannot rely on information when significant items of data have not been
taken into consideration.
 The Timeliness of the information. For some information systems,
information needs to be up-to-date. For example, an on-line theatre
booking system or airline travel booking system must ensure that the data
about seat availability is always completely up-to-date for users of the
system.
 Accuracy. The information needs to be accurate enough for its purpose.
The accuracy of information in a computer system can be improved, if
required, by trying to reduce the amount of errors in the input data.
 Data validation checks can be written into the system software. These
carry out checks on input data and reject (refuse to accept) items for
processing where there is a logical error in the input.
 Input documents can be designed to contain as much pre-printed material
as possible, to reduce the number of errors in preparing the documents.
Similarly, when data is input by keyboard and mouse, data screens can be
designed to include as much pre-set data as possible, to reduce the risk of
keying errors by the computer operator.

1.8 Accessibility of information


Business information in performance management systems should also be
readily-accessible. The user of information should be able to find it when he or
she needs to use it.
With developments in information technology and information systems, it is now
common to think of ‘accessible’ information as information that can be obtained
immediately, on demand. In particular, databases can make large amounts of
information immediately available, especially when they are accessible through a
computer network.
Even ‘old’ transaction data can be made accessible through storage on an
electronic medium.

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

1.9 Security of information


Although information should be accessible to authorized users, it should also be
kept secure, particularly from access by unauthorized users.
Methods of keeping data secure might include:
 Physical security. Access to computer centers may be restricted security
measures such as identity cards and entry cards.
 Software security to prevent (or detect) unauthorized access, using
passwords, encrypted data, firewalls, and so on.
 Anti-virus software, to prevent the corruption or destruction of data and
software by hackers.
 The use of back-up files, to ensure that data is duplicated or can be re-
created. Back-up files ensure that the data will not be lost if the main copy
of a file is physically lost or destroyed, or becomes unreadable.

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2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION

Section overview

 Information from internal sources


 Information from external sources
 Organising a system for providing external information
 Limitations of external information
 Costs of information

Performance measurement systems, both for planning and for monitoring actual
performance, rely on the provision of relevant, reliable and timely information.
Information comes from both inside and outside the organisation.
Traditionally, management accounting systems have been an information system
providing financial information to managers from sources within the organisation. In
large organisations, management accounting information might be extracted from a
cost accounting system, which records and analyses costs.
With the development of IT systems, management information systems have become
more sophisticated, using large databases to hold data, from external sources as well
as internal sources. Both financial and non-financial data are held and analysed. The
analysis of data has also become more sophisticated, particularly through the use of
spreadsheets and other models for planning and cost analysis (for example, activity
based costing).

2.1 Information from internal sources


A control system such as a management accounting system must obtain data
from within the organisation (from internal sources) for the purposes of planning
and control. The system should be designed so that it captures and measures all
the data required for providing management with the information they need.
Potential internal sources include:
 the financial accounting records
 human resource records maintained in support of the payroll system
 production information
 sales information
 staff (through minutes of meetings etc.)
The essential qualities of good information are as follows:
 Information should be relevant to the needs of management. Information
must help management to make decisions. Information that is not relevant
to a decision is of no value. An important factor in the design of information
systems should be the purpose of the information – what decisions should
be made, and what information will be needed to make those decisions?
 Information should be reliable. This means that the data should be
sufficiently accurate for its purpose. It should also be complete.

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

 Information should be available in a timely manner. In other words, it should


be available for when it is needed by management.
 The cost of providing the information should not exceed the benefits that it
provides. The key factor that limits the potential size of many information
systems is that the cost of obtaining additional information is not justified by
the additional benefits that the information will provide.
In designing a performance measurement system, and deciding what information
is required from internal sources, these desirable qualities of good information
should influence the design of the system.
Traditionally, management accounting systems have obtained internal data from
the cost accounting system and costing records. In many organisations, IT
systems now integrate costing data with other operational data. This means that
data is available to the management accounting system from non-accounting
sources.

Example:
An information system might be required to provide information about the
profitability of different types of customer.

The starting point for the design of this information system is the purpose of the
information. Why is information about customer profitability needed? The answer
might be that the company wants to know which of its customers contribute the
most profits, and whether some customers are unprofitable. If some customers
are unprofitable, the company will presumably consider ways of improving
profitability (for example, by increasing prices charged to those customers) or will
decide to stop selling to those customers.
The next consideration is: What data are needed to measure customer
profitability? The answer might be that customers should first be divided into
different categories, and each category of customer should have certain unique
characteristics. Having established categories of customer, information is needed
about costs that are directly attributable to each category of customers. This
might be information relating to gross profits from sales, minus the directly
attributable selling and distribution costs (and any directly attributable
administration costs and financing costs).
Having established what information is required, the next step is to decide how
the information should be ‘captured’ and measured. In this example, a system is
needed for measuring each category of customer, sales revenues, costs of sales
and other directly attributable costs.
The information should be available for when management intend to review
customer profitability. This might be every three months, six months or even
annually.

2.2 Information from external sources


Managers need information about customers, competitors and other elements in
their business environment. The management information system must be able
to provide this in the form that managers need, and at the time that they need it.

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Performance management

External information is needed for strategic planning and control. However, it is


also often needed for tactical and operational management decisions.
Examples of the external information needed by companies are set out in the
table below.

Information area Examples of information needed


Customers What are the needs and expectations of customers in the
market?
Are these needs and expectations changing?
What is the potential for our products or services to meet
these needs, or to meet them better?
Competitors Who are they?
What are they doing?
Can we copy some of their ideas?
How large are they, and what is their market share?
How profitable are they?
What is their pricing policy?
Legal What are the regulations and laws that must be complied
environment with?
Suppliers What suppliers are there for key products or services?
What is the quality of their products or services?
What is the potential of new suppliers?
What is the financial viability of each supplier?
Political/ Are there any relevant political developments or
environmental developments relating to environmental regulation or
issues environmental conditions?
Economic/ What is happening to interest rates?
financial What is happening to exchange rates?
environment What is happening in other financial markets?
What is the predicted state of the economy?
Sources of external information
Sources of external information, some accessible through the Internet, include:
 market research
 supplier price lists and brochures
 trade journals
 newspapers and other media
 government reports and statistics
 reports published by other organisations, such as trade bodies.

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

2.3 Organising a system for providing external information


If managers are to be provided with external information by a management
information system (MIS), the system must be designed so that it is capable of
providing it:
 There has to be a system of data capture. How should information be
obtained from the environment and filed within the MIS? How should the
data be held within the MIS?
 How should the information be provided to managers? Should it be e-
mailed to them? Or should managers be expected to search for the
information in the MIS when they need it?
 Should the external information be processed into a usable form for
managers when it is captured, or should it be supplied to managers as ‘raw
unprocessed data’?
 The external information should be divided into strategic information and
operational information. Which managers should be provided with the
strategic information, and which ones need the operational information?

2.4 Limitations of external information


It is important to recognise the limitations of external information.
 It might not be accurate, and it might be difficult to assess how accurate it
is.
 It might be incomplete.
 It might provide either too much or not enough detail.
 It might be difficult to obtain information in the form that is ideally required.
 It might not always be available when required.
 It might be difficult to find.
 It might be out of date.
 It might be misinterpreted.

2.5 Costs of information


Information must be captured, processed and, if it is to be useful, used
effectively.
Data capture and processing costs include the cost of the hardware and software
used, time spent inputting, analysing and interpreting data (though this might be
automated in some instances, for example data input using EPOS systems).
Modern computing equipment makes it very easy to amass huge amounts of
data which can be processed into information, but this can bring its own
problems:
 The information might not be used in which case the cost of producing it is
a waste.
 Important detail might be missed in large volumes of information.

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Performance management

Another important cost is associated with poor decisions based on incomplete


information or on a misinterpretation of that information. That could prove very
costly indeed.

3 BIG DATA

Section overview

 Meaning
 Using big data

3.1 Meaning
Businesses collect data. The growth of technology has allowed data to be
collected in ever increasing amounts.
The term “big data” refers to the huge volume of data available to a business on
a day-to-day basis. Big data can be analysed for insights that lead to better
strategic decisions.
Doug Laney (an American IT analyst) described big data as having the following
characteristics (the 3 Vs):
 Volume. There is a large volume of data available (more than might be
handled by a single computer). For example, Google hold huge amounts of
data on the search history of customers and the content of web pages
viewed.
 Velocity. This refers to the speed at which data becomes available to an
organisation. Data streams in at an unprecedented speed and must be
dealt with in a timely manner. Data can be collected from a variety of
sources including a business’s own transactions (e.g. retailer customer
loyalty programmes allow retailers to monitor spending patterns of
customers), social media, websites etc).
 Variety. Data comes in all types of formats – from structured, numeric data
in traditional databases to unstructured text documents, email etc.).
The volume of data available globally is almost unimaginable. Some large
companies (e.g. Apple) measure stored information in petabytes.
The following table provides an indication of what this means:

Size Number of bytes Approximate number of pages of plan text


Megabyte 1,048,576 87
Gigabyte 230 bytes 895,000
Terabyte 240 bytes 916,000,000
Petabyte 250 bytes 938,000,000,000

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Performance management

3.2 Using big data


Only a small percentage of the huge amounts of data available is actually
analysed. The importance of big data is not how much data there is but how it
may be used. Analysis might lead to:
 cost reductions;
 new product development;
 smart decision making.
Big data – and the way organizations manage and derive insight from it – is
changing the way the world uses business information.

Example:
UPS is a very large logistics company.
It stores a large amount of data – much of which comes from sensors in its
vehicles.
UPS launched an initiative called ORION (On-Road Integration Optimization and
Navigation) which used on online map data to reconfigure a driver's pickups and
drop-offs in real time.
The project cut 85.000.000 miles off routes leading to savings of 8.4 million
gallons of fuel.
(UPS has estimated that saving one daily mile per driver saves the company $30
million).

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

4 RECORDING AND PROCESSING METHODS

Section overview

 Recording data
 Processing methods
 Information systems and access to data
 Difficulties associated with recording and processing qualitative data

4.1 Recording data


There are many different ways of ‘capturing’ data, and recording it in an
information system. Methods of recording data will depend on circumstances,
and also on the nature of the data required. For example:
 Records of labour time spent on particular tasks or jobs might be recorded
on time sheets or job sheets.
 Records of materials used might be recorded in materials requisition notes.
 Data about customer satisfaction might be captured as records of customer
complaints. Alternatively, data might be obtained from market research
surveys.
The system of recording data should be made as convenient as possible for the
individuals responsible for input of the data to the information system. Where
possible, the information system should be designed to minimise the risk of
errors.
Data should also be recorded in a form that will allow it to be processed. As a
simple example, suppose that records of labour costs should provide for an
analysis of these costs into production costs, administration costs and sales and
distribution costs. The data about labour costs will have to be recorded in a way
that will enable the costs to be divided into their different categories.

4.2 Processing methods


Performance measurement systems should be designed so that data can be
processed in a way that meets the requirements of management. There are
various ways of processing data, and IT systems enable managers to obtain
large amounts of information for different purposes.
 Data might be needed for planning or forecasting. Spreadsheet models and
other forecasting models are now commonplace.
 Accountancy software packages, including management accounting
packages or modules, can be used to process accounting data.
 E-mail allows managers to communicate information quickly between each
other.
 Widespread availability of Wi-Fi connection enables easy connection to the
internet when travelling.
 Network technology now allows workers in any location to connect to a
firm’s system via the internet using virtual private network (VPN) links.

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Performance management

Unified corporate databases combine data from different systems (e.g.


purchasing and inventory issues). This can improve control over budgeting,
forecasting and planning; reporting etc.
Data warehouses
A data warehouse is a database used for reporting and analysis. The data stored
in the warehouse is uploaded from the operational systems. The data may pass
through an operational data store for additional operations before it is used in the
data warehouse for reporting.
The term “data warehouse” implies a storage function but they do much more
than this. The typical data warehouse includes a staging layer that stores raw
data, an integration layer where the data is integrated and analysed and moved
into a series of hierarchal groups, and an access layer from which users retrieve
data.
RFID tagging
Radio-frequency identification (RFID) is the use of a wireless, non-contact system
that uses radio-frequency electromagnetic fields to transfer data from a tag
attached to an object, for the purposes of automatic identification and tracking.
The tag contains electronically stored information which can be read from up to
several metres away.
Decreased cost and increased reliability has led to the widespread use of this
technology in many applications including:
 Tracking of goods during shipment – UPS customers are able to track
dispatches on line
 Inventory control – RFID systems provide accurate knowledge of current
inventory. Walmart were able to reduce inventory levels by 30% on some
lines.
 Production control – RFID tags attached to cars in process of manufacture
can track degree of completion.
 Supply chain management - In the fashion industry an RFID label is
attached to the garment at production so that it can be traced throughout
the supply chain and removed at the point of sale (POS).
 Tracking of livestock.
 Access into secured areas.
 Travel documents – the technology is used in E-passports.

4.3 Information systems and access to data


Management accounting systems are information systems, and the development
of information technology (IT) continues to have a significant impact on
management accounting and on:
 collecting data
 storing data and information: (Note: data is unprocessed, whereas
information is data that has been processed into something that has
meaning or purpose)
 the ability to process data into valuable information

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Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

 access to information
 communication of information.
Instant access to management accounting data
Another significant feature of modern IT systems is instant access to information.
Information might be held on a central database, and accessible to all authorised
personnel through a network connection.
Instant access means that managers do not have to wait for information to come
to them, for example in routine reports. They can search for and obtain the
information they want at any time. Furthermore, this can be done from any
location that has an internet connection.
Remote input
In traditional management accounting systems, data was input to the computer
system by specialist staff. There was often a high rate of input errors, and data
validation checks were included in the software to reduce the error rate. In many
systems, the process of collecting data and input to a computer system was fairly
slow.
Modern IT systems often provide for automatic input of data by non-finance
operating staff, often with minimal risk of errors. One example is the automatic
input of sales data and inventory data at check-out points in stores and
supermarkets, using bar codes and automatic bar code readers. Information is
available about sales and reductions in inventory at the exact moment that the
items are being sold.
Instant access to external sources of data
IT systems also provide for access to external sources of data and information.
External data can be obtained from the Internet, either:
 free of charge, for example, from the websites of government departments
and public news agencies, or
 through subscription (payments to an external information provider).
A wide range of complex data analysis can be performed with computer software.
Many managers can use models for planning and forecasting, including the
application of sensitivity analysis to plans and forecasts.

4.4 Difficulties associated with recording and processing qualitative data


Companies should identify their critical success factors and then put in place a
series of key performance indicators (KPIs), the achievement of which will result
in the company meeting its corporate objectives. The performance measures
identified as KPIs might be both quantitative (including financial performance
measures) and qualitative.
The use of qualitative performance measures brings certain problems that are
not found when using quantitative performance measures.
Qualitative data is subjective and open to judgement. For example, a requirement
to achieve a high level of customer satisfaction is an admirable goal but a
company needs to decide on how customer satisfaction might be measured in
order to identify the success or otherwise of measures taken to improve it.

© Emile Woolf International 921 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

One approach is to try to express the qualitative measure in a quantitative way


(sometimes described as a “quantitative surrogate”).
For example a hotel company might invite guests to complete a short survey after
their stay asking them to attach a score to a number of different aspects of their
say.

Example:
A hotel might ask guests to complete the following questionnaire so as to obtain
a measure of the perceived quality of their restaurant.
Please circle a number in each row to indicate how satisfied you were with the
following aspects of the hotel restaurant.

Neither
satisfied
Somewhat or Somewhat
Dissatisfied dissatisfied satisfied satisfied Dissatisfied
Range of
food 1 2 3 4 5
available
Quality of
1 2 3 4 5
food
Price of the
1 2 3 4 5
food
Speed of
1 2 3 4 5
service
Cleanliness 1 2 3 4 5
Overall
1 2 3 4 5
satisfaction
Hotels often send emails to customers after their visit asking them to complete a
short survey on the hotel’s website. Information in this way can be scored and
collated automatically.
Possible problems with the use of quantitative surrogates
There are problems with the use of quantitative surrogates. These include the
following:
 People may not respond
 The people who do respond will often be biased towards those with a
specific point that they wish to make. For example, a guest who has had a
particularly bad experience is much more likely to respond that a guest who
found everything to be OK.
 Many responders will not circle the extreme scores as a matter of practice.
These problems relate to a business to customer environment. In a business to
business environment the supplier is more likely to receive a response from their
customers, though the response might be biased downwards if customer is
attempting to use the score as a bargaining chip for future price reductions.

© Emile Woolf International 922 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

Other problems
If qualitative performance can be recorded and processed the results must be
communicated to the managers who are responsible for that aspect of
performance. It is not always easy to identify the responsible manager. Care
must be taken to identify the person responsible correctly. This is particularly
important where a manager’s reward is based on a qualitative performance
measure.
For example, a cleaning manager might lose a bonus if a hotel receives a low
score for cleanliness of the rooms on one day out of the month. However, this
might have been due to a power cut which prevented effective cleaning. This is a
simple example to illustrate that effective performance measurement of
individuals must be:
 based on fair targets;
 based on areas of performance that can be controlled by that individual;
and
 fairly administered.
This is particularly important when remuneration is linked to performance as a
failure to achieve a target due to a perceived injustice and the consequential
adverse impact on remuneration can be very demotivating.

5 INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT

Section overview

 Types of information system


 Transaction processing systems (TPS)

 Management information systems (MIS)


 Office automation systems (OAS)
 Decision support systems (DSS)
 Executive information systems (EIS)
 Expert systems (ES)
 Knowledge work systems (KWS)

5.1 Types of information system


This section revises the various information systems you encountered in the
Management Information paper. In addition you will see examples of appropriate
information technology and information systems support that would typically be
associated with each type of system, and common information sources.
The systems are:
 Transaction processing systems
 Management information systems
 Office automation systems
 Decision support systems
 Executive information systems
 Expert systems
 Knowledge work systems.
© Emile Woolf International 929 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
5.2 Transaction processing systems (TPS)
Transaction processing systems (TPS) are systems for processing routine
transactions, often in large volumes. They are used extensively in business and
government and are an example of an operational information system.
Examples of TPS include:
 Production and purchasing
 Production planning and control
 Inventory control
 Purchasing system
 Accounting system
 General ledger
 Receivables / payables systems
 Payroll
 Sales
 Sales order system
 Delivery scheduling system
 Human resources
 Employee records
 Training records
The advantages of transaction processing systems, compared with manual
systems for processing transactions, are:
 The ability to handle much larger volumes of transactions
 Cost-effectiveness
 Much faster processing
 Fewer errors in processing
 Efficiency in storing/filing data records.

Illustration: TPS – Inventory


Inventory in a small business
 The inventory system in a small business may be run on a stand-alone
computer residing in the stores warehouse. This would be manually
updated by the stores clerk entering information from goods received and
goods despatched notes (GRNs and GDNs) having first checked that an
order had actually been made for the goods.
 Duplicate GRNs and GDNs are handed to the accountant for entry into the
general ledger which resides on a separate computer.
 The two systems are then reconciled monthly by the accountant.
Inventory in a large business
 Compare the above to an integrated system used in a much larger
organisation. This would likely involve a perpetual inventory system located
on a centralised computer system connected to various client computers
across a local area network within the organisation.
 When the inventory records are updated in the stores warehouse the
inventory module automatically updates trade receivables, purchases and
inventory accounts in the general ledger.
© Emile Woolf International 930 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
5.3 Management information systems (MIS)
Management information systems (MIS) provide information to management, of a
routine or non-routine nature, by analysing data and converting it into organised
information.
MIS provide management information in regular or routine reports, which
management can use for planning and controlling activities.
In many cases, management information is produced from systems that also
process transactions. For example, sales reports can be produced from a sales
order processing system, and financial reports can be produced from a general
ledger system.

Some management information systems take data from other sources, and
provide reports for management. Examples are:
 Budgeting systems, which are used to prepare budgets
 Budgetary control systems, that compare actual results with a budget
and report the differences as variances
 Cost accounting and management accounting systems
 Sales analysis reporting systems.
Management information systems provide structured information, and can help
managers to make fairly routine or standard decisions. They are not well-suited
for assisting managers with more complex decisions.
MIS may also rely mainly on data obtained internally, from within the
organisation, rather than on external data obtained from outside sources.

Illustration: MIS
MIS in a small organisation
 The management information system may be little more than a collection
of spreadsheets that are manually updated by the accountant whenever
they have time.
 Information would be extracted from the general ledger using standard
queries from a standard ‘off the shelf’ accounting package and then
manually entered into the spreadsheets.
 Given the high manual element there is a greater risk of errors in the
subsequent MIS shared with management.
MIS in a large organisation
 In a large organisation the MIS may have been programmed by a dedicated
IT team, or at least involve a much more complex accounting package.
 A dedicated accountant (or team of accountants) would have written some
queries that extract standard reports on a monthly basis for timely
reporting to management.
 The system would integrate both financial accounting and management
accounting to help ensure accuracy and consistency.
 The system is more likely to reside on a central mainframe, or server, and
be linked to the management accountant’s ‘client’ machine over a local
area network.

© Emile Woolf International 931 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


5.4 Office automation systems (OAS)
Office automation systems, as the name suggests, are systems that automate
office processes. They include:
 Word processing systems
 Database systems for desk-top PCs
 Electronic filing systems
 Systems with e-mail facilities and a link to the internet
 groupware systems.

Illustration: word processing


Word processing systems are typically simple, localised operational programmes
that reside on an individual employee’s PC or laptop computer.
The underlying data files might be saved:
 locally on the same physical device
 locally in a peripheral storage unit – e.g. USB flash stick
 online in the ‘cloud’ (needs an internet connection)
 on a central computer accessed via LAN link.
Data might be entered into a word processing system in a number of ways:
 manually
 automatically through an optical character reader
 from another file

5.5 Decision support systems (DSS)


Decision support systems (DSS) are systems that provide support for managers
in making decisions for unstructured or semi-structured problems. (In
comparison, MIS can help managers with reaching decisions for structured
problems.)
A DSS consists of data analysis models, and may have access to a database to
extract data for analysis. It should provide the user with information about a
number of different alternatives or different possible outcomes.
Models in a DSS will therefore provide statistical analysis or the facility for
scenario planning. For example:

© Emile Woolf International 932 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 A DSS may include a forecasting model that allows the user to prepare
forecasts from available data, and to consider possible variations in the
forecast using sensitivity analysis or statistical analysis
 A DSS may provide a planning model that allows the user to prepare draft
plans and then carry out sensitivity analysis on the data. (A spreadsheet
model is a form of DSS.)

Illustration: DSS
It can be argued that a DSS would be classified as a tactical or strategic system
depending on whether it is used to support middle-management in making a
short-medium term tactical decision (e.g. switching from holding inventory to a
just-in-time system) or senior management making a long-term strategic decision
(e.g. whether to close a particular branch).
Decision support systems are common in operational research. A good example
might be simulating the baggage handling system at an airport. The system is
used to simulate different phasing of baggage handling procedures to establish
the best operational setup.
DSS are normally features of larger organisations. They would blend a
combination of information from the general ledger plus extra externally sourced
information relevant to the specific decision being addressed.

5.6 Executive information systems (EIS)


Executive information systems (EIS) are information systems for senior
executives. They have access to data from sources both inside and outside the
organisation. The system has the ability to analyse the data in a variety of ways,
so that senior executives can obtain selected information on demand, analysed
at a suitable level of detail. EIS are also called executive support systems (ESS).
A key feature of an EIS is that it provides information to executives in
summarised form, for example information about performance in relation to
critical success factors and key performance indicators, but which also allows the
user to ‘drill down’ to extract more detailed information.
Although information can be presented to executives in the form of tables, or
even narrative, EIS incorporate the facility to present information in a more user-
friendly form, for example in the form of graphs, bar charts or pie charts.

Illustration: EIS
An EIS may allow an executive to obtain summary balance sheet and income
statement information, based on the most current data held in the general
ledger. This will allow them to:
 compare actual financial performance with targets (note: if the executive
needs more financial information he or she may be able to ‘drill down’ to
find it e.g. more detail about inventory or more detail about trade
receivables)
 review overall risk exposure on a daily basis
Similarly, an EIS may provide an executive with current data about sales volume,
which can be compared with targets. If actual sales are below target, the
executive can drill down into the sales figures to find out more details – for
example, which products are selling less than target, or which sales regions are
performing badly.
External data for an EIS may be sourced from financial information providers (for
example, information about share prices, exchange rates, interest rates and so
on). This is normally done through an automated live data feed from a dedicated
market data provider such as Reuters.
© Emile Woolf International 933 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
5.7 Expert systems (ES)
Expert systems are a type of artificial intelligence system. The purpose of an
expert system is to provide expert information to the system user.
An expert system covers a specific area of expertise. It allows a user to
interrogate the system to obtain information, advice or possible solutions to a
problem. Examples of expert systems are legal advice systems, investment
advice systems, medical diagnosis systems and tax advice systems.
An expert system has several components:
 A knowledge base, that holds all the facts and rules relating to the area of
expertise
 A knowledge acquisition program, through which the knowledge base is
kept up-to-date
 An ‘inference engine’, which is the software that responds to inputs from
the user, and draws on the knowledge base and applies reasoning to
provide a response
An explanation program that provides an explanation of the reasoning that has been
used by the system to reach its conclusion and produce its advice.
Expert systems can be used by experts to reinforce their opinion or give them
suggestions. For example:
 Professional lawyers can use a legal expert system to obtain information
about relevant legislation or court decisions.
 Similarly, doctors can use a medical expert system to obtain a diagnosis, or
several possible diagnoses, of a patient’s medial symptoms.
 An investment analyst can use a financial investment expert system to find
suitable investments to recommend to a client.

Illustration: Expert systems


An expert system used to help diagnose patients in a public hospital is likely to be
developed by a dedicated IT development team. The programme and database
will be maintained in a central server which is then accessed through client
terminals by individual doctors. More data is entered into the database as new
cases evolve.

5.8 Knowledge work systems (KWS)


Knowledge work systems are systems that are used to create new knowledge or
integrate new knowledge into an organisation. They include CAD systems and
virtual reality systems.

Illustration: KWS
A team of designers and architects operate a virtual company as they live in
different cities across the world. The company has a knowledge work system
which is located on a database in a central computer in Lagos.
Whenever the individual architects discover new materials or working practices
they enter details into the KWS so that the new knowledge is accessible across
the world to fellow employees in the same organisation.
The system issues ‘alerts’ based on new entries in the system. Employees set
their alert preferences to ensure they only receive relevant knowledge updates.

© Emile Woolf International 934 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

6 THE EFFECT OF IT ON PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT

Section overview

 IT systems for providers of services


 IT systems and performance management
 IT systems and competitive advantage
 e-business and its implications for performance management

6.1 IT systems for providers of services


The service industry is made up of organisations that deliver services to
consumers. The individuals who make up this industry are hired to perform tasks.
Most performance management techniques were developed for manufacturing
organisations but might often be useful for service companies.
Both types of organisation turn inputs into outputs:
 A manufacturing company uses labour and other inputs to transform raw
materials and components into finished products which it sells.
 A service company does not produce/sell products but provides a service.
Both types of company need to determine the costs of output for planning (e.g.
activity levels) decision making (e.g. pricing) and control.
There are a number of performance management techniques which have been
developed to link the cost of inputs to the costs of production. These can be used
in the service industries also.
For example an accountancy firm provides a variety of services. The costs of the
firm can be assigned to cost drivers (e.g. an hour of each staff types’ time) and
the cost of each consultancy contract found by multiplying time spent by hourly
costs. This is based on ABC principles which identify cost drivers and job costing
which assigns costs to individual jobs.
IT systems and service providers
IT systems can improve the quality of service in a number of different ways.
The service provider has instant access to the customer’s files or to other key
information. Instant access means that a customer’s requests can be dealt with
immediately. This makes it possible, for example, to sell and renew insurance
policies by telephone.
For companies that provide services (rather than manufacturing goods), IT
systems can make substantial improvements in the quality of service provision. A
key feature of many services is the contact between a representative of the
company (the service provider) and the customer. This may be face-to-face
contact, or contact by telephone or even e-mail or text message.
The Internet often makes it possible for customers to compare the products or
services of different suppliers, and to make an informed choice about which
supplier to buy from. It may therefore be important for companies to provide
extensive information to customers on their web site, to help them make their
purchase decisions.

© Emile Woolf International 935 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

Some services can be provided through IT systems. In some cases, the customer
is given the opportunity to take control over his own service provision. For
example, customers can book seats on air flights and at theatres using the
Internet and the service provider’s web site or download media items (music and
film) through the Internet. Immediate service provision, made possible by IT
systems, is likely to increase customer satisfaction with the service.

6.2 IT systems and performance management


Performance management systems are information systems, and the
development of information technology (IT) continues to have a significant impact
on performance management and on:
 Collecting data
 Storing data and information: (Note: data is unprocessed, whereas
information is data that has been processed into something that has
meaning or purpose)
The ability to process data into valuable information
 Access to information
 Communication of information.
Instant access to performance management data
Another significant feature of modern IT systems is instant access to information.
Information might be held on a central database, and accessible to all authorised
personnel through a network connection.
Instant access means that managers do not have to wait for information to come
to them, for example in routine reports. They can search for and obtain the
information they want at any time. Furthermore this can be done from any
location that has an internet connection.
Remote input
In traditional performance management systems, data was input to the computer
system by specialist staff. There was often a high rate of input errors, and data
validation checks were included in the software to reduce the error rate. In many
systems, the process of collecting data and input to a computer system was fairly
slow.
Modern IT systems often provide for automatic input of data by non-finance
operating staff, often with minimal risk of errors. One example is the automatic
input of sales data and inventory data at check-out points in stores and
supermarkets, using bar codes and automatic bar code readers. Information is
available about sales and reductions in inventory at the exact moment that the
items are being sold.
Instant access to external sources of data
IT systems also provide for access to external sources of data and information.
External data can be obtained from the Internet, either:
 Free of charge, for example, from the web sites of government departments
and public news agencies, or
 Through subscription (payments to an external information provider).
A wide range of complex data analysis can be performed with computer software.
Many managers can use models for planning and forecasting, including the
application of sensitivity analysis to plans and forecasts.

© Emile Woolf International 936 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

6.3 IT systems and competitive advantage


In a highly competitive market, service providers are continually looking for ways
to manage their costs and increase productivity.
IT systems may be able to give one business a strategic advantage
(competitive advantage) over its rivals. The efficiency of IT systems can
improve the quality of administration, production and service to customers – and
so provide better value for customers, for example by reducing costs or providing
a faster service.
Even if an IT system does not provide a competitive advantage, however, a
business may need to have efficient systems to avoid being at a competitive
disadvantage. A business needs to invest in IT to keep up with what rivals are
doing.
Significantly, IT systems can create a competitive advantage by providing
management with better information. In this respect, a well-designed
performance management system will provide a competitive advantage.
Management should keep their IT systems under continual review, and:
 Be aware of new developments in IT systems and new opportunities for
exploiting IT
 Review existing systems to ensure that they are of a high quality and are
operating effectively and efficiently
 Monitor the use of IT systems by competitors, and be prepared to respond
to any initiatives in IT that competitors introduce.

6.4 e-business and its implications for performance management


The objective of e-business is to increase the competitiveness and efficiency of
an entity by using electronic information exchanges to improve processes. E-
business does not simply involve automating existing processes. Processes
should be radically redesigned by e-business methods so that they become more
efficient and create added value. E-business opportunities can alter the strategic
position of an entity and provide different strategic choices.
 E-business can change the nature of the market place in which goods and
services are bought and sold. For example, it encourages the globalisation
of markets and the buying and selling of items in the internet.
 E-business also changes the nature of the relationships with suppliers and
customers.
E-business significantly extends the volume and scope of information accessible
to organisations for performance management purposes.

© Emile Woolf International 937 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

7 CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

Section overview

 Definition of critical success factors (CSFs)


 CSF methodology

 Measuring achievement: key performance indicators (KPIs)


 CSFs and IS/IT strategy
 Sources of CSFs for information systems
 Using IS/IT to monitor CSFs and the achievement of targets

7.1 Definition of critical success factors (CSFs)

Definition: Critical success factors


Critical success factors (CSFs) are ‘factors so critical to success that if the
objectives associated with those factors are not achieved, the organisation will
fail, possibly catastrophically’.
They have also been defined as ‘the limited number of areas in which results, if
they are satisfactory, will ensure successful competitive performance for the
organisation’.

7.2 CSF methodology


CSFs have been associated with business strategy and strategic planning for
many years. It is a ‘top-down’ approach that begins with the main long-term
strategic objective of the organisation.
From this overall strategic objective, five or six ‘higher level’ goals or objectives
are decided. These are objectives that will have to be met in order to achieve the
overall objective for the organisation.
Having identified five or six higher level objectives, the analysis is taken down to
the next level of detail. For each higher level objective, a small number of critical
supporting objectives are identified. These are objectives that will have to be met
in order to meet the higher-level objective.
This approach to identifying success factors can be taken down to the lowest
level of management and planning. However, all the factors that are identified as
‘critical’ will have to be met. Failure to achieve any of them will threaten the ability
of the organisation to achieve its long-term strategic objective.

Example: CSF
A government might decide that the main objective of its education policy should
be to provide every pupil in state-run schools with the best-possible IT facilities to
support their studies.
Having established this as the main objective of policy, the following two high-
level CSFs might be identified:
 CSF1: To provide high-quality software to schools.
 CSF2: To increase the availability of IT facilities in schools

© Emile Woolf International 938 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

7.3 Measuring achievement: key performance indicators (KPIs)


In strategic planning, CSFs are associated with key performance indicators
(KPIs).
 For each CSF, there must be a way of measuring whether the required
objective or target has been met.
 This measure of performance (a key performance indicator) can be used to
set planning targets, and to monitor actual performance by comparing
actual results with the target.
CSFs and KPIs may be decided by planning teams of managers, who discuss
different possible CSFs and KPIs, and reach agreement on which success
factors are critical (and if appropriate, ranking them in order of priority).

Example: KPI
The main objective of a commercial company may be to maximise the wealth of
its shareholders. A CSF of a commercial company might therefore be ‘to achieve
a minimum volume of annual sales to earn a sufficient return on investment’.
A suitable key performance indicator might be the annual sales volume, or
possibly a target share of the market. Having identified what the KPI should be,
strategic targets should be set for the CSF and actual achievements should be
compared with the target.

The impact of internet technologies on KPIs


The volume and scope of information now readily accessible to organisations is
simply immense. The potential to benefit from performance management with
access to such vast information sources is also significantly improved. There are
two components to this:
 Increased access to market data;
 The ability to measure the impact that e-business has on an organisation.
Some examples of KPIs relating to e-business could include:

Example KPI
Supply chain Reduction in average lead time following implementation
of EDIs (electronic data interchange)
Product Proportion of customers selecting electronic invoicing
rather than paper invoicing
Price Impact of price change on sales volume
Place Profitability by supply channel
Promotion Profitability by promotion method
Physical evidence Proportion of customers who book and pay in advance via
the website rather than call the reservations manager
People Customer satisfaction survey results collated by email
Process Average number of ‘website hits’ per sale
CRM Net profitability by client (using activity-based costing)

© Emile Woolf International 939 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

7.4 CSFs and IS/IT strategy


The idea of identifying CSFs as a basis for developing IS/IT strategy was
popularised initially in the late 1970’s.
There are two separate issues to consider:
 Critical success factors for IS/IT strategy, and the IS/IT systems needed to
achieve CSF targets, and
 The extent to which IS/IT systems can support the use of CSFs by an
organisation.
Existing IS/IT systems may have to be modified, or new systems may have to be
developed, to enable an organisation to achieve the critical factors necessary for
success. The process of identifying CSFs and KPIs for information systems is
similar to the process described above for business strategy in general.
Some examples of high-level IS/IT-related CSFs are shown below.

Entity type CSF KPI


Bank Money transmission KPIs can be set in term of
systems must always be in numbers of back-up
operation. Immediate back- computers and the existence
up systems must always be of an emergency back-up
available in case of network.
breakdown or damage.
Retail company We must have a web site Target date for the
with an e-commerce facility. introduction of an operational
e-commerce facility.
Manufacturing Customer orders must be Target ‘lead time’ for handling
company dealt with quickly: lead customer orders, to be
times must be no longer achieved by the introduction
than those of our main of an upgraded sales order IT
competitor. system.

At a lower level in the hierarchy of objective setting, some success factors for
IS/IT might also be as follows:

Entity type CSF KPI


Company with Customer calls must be - an average time for a
automated dealt with quickly; customer to be in the call-
telephone call otherwise we will lose handling system
handling system business. - a maximum target
for customers percentage of customers who
terminate the call without
having been given service.
Company with The system must be in KPI might be a target for a
database for operation whenever maximum percentage
staff dealing customers call, so that ‘downtime’, when the system is
with telephone their queries can be dealt not functioning due to
queries from with. computer failure.
customers

© Emile Woolf International 940 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

An examination question may require you to identify critical success factors for
an organisation, and to suggest how modifications to existing IS/IT systems, or
new IS/IT projects, may help the organisation to achieve these CSFs.

7.5 Sources of CSFs for information systems


There are four general sources from which CSFs originate. They are:
 The industry in which the entity operates. There may be something about
the industry that creates a factor critical to success. Banks, for example,
must have IS/IT systems in order to provide their services.
 The company itself and its situation within the industry. For example, an
insurance company may specialise in selling insurance policies on-line. The
efficiency of its IS/IT system will be more critical to its success than for rival
insurance companies that rely much less on on-line sales.
 The environment. Examples of environmental factors may be changing
consumer tastes and trends, the state of the economy, and political factors.
The effectiveness of an IS/IT system may be critical, for example, to enable
an organisation to meet legislative requirements or regulations.
 Temporary factors that may give cause for concern, such as high levels
of errors, cancelled orders, customer complaints, inaccurate inventory
records and so on.
An organisation needs to be aware that new critical factors may emerge, and if
they do, it is important to recognise them quickly before the problem gets too big.
Sources of warnings about a new crisis may be:
 Customers (changes in the level of satisfaction or dissatisfaction)
 Complaints handled by customer services department
 Major competitors (and new initiatives that they may take to gain
competitive advantage)
 Accounting reports (and changes in profitability and cash flows).

7.6 Using IS/IT to monitor CSFs and the achievement of targets


It has already been shown that targets should be set for each CSF, and actual
performance should be monitored by comparison with the target. IS/IT systems
can support the use of CSFs by an organisation because they can be used to
monitor performance, and measure performance indicators.
Senior management could make use of an executive information system (EIS) to
monitor performance and CSFs at a high level. An EIS can be designed that
allows senior executives to monitor actual performance in relation to selected
CSFs, so that the executive is always in a position to obtain up-to-the-minute
information.
However, IS/IT systems can be used to monitor and measure key performance at
all management levels within an organisation – at a strategic level, at a tactical
level and at an operational level.

© Emile Woolf International 941 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 29: Information systems and performance management

Strategic Tactical Operational


Examples of Expand the Be competitive on Speedy delivery
CSFs business to prices. to customers.
become a global Create loyal Keep customers
company. customers. satisfied.
Increase market Acquire and Keep costs under
share. retain skilled staff. control.
Increase Maintain quality
profitability. standards.
Examples of Target rate for Selling prices not Deliver to
KPIs annual growth in to be higher than customers within
business in for any rival 48 hours of order.
foreign markets. product. Target maximum
Target share of Targets for repeat level for items
the market. orders or returned. Target
Target annual frequency of maximum rate of
growth in profits. repeat orders. complaints.
Targets for Efficiency targets.
recruitment and Targets for
training. maximum error
rates.
IS/IT system Executive Systems for Order processing
support information collecting and system.
systems. analysing market Customer service
Systems to data. system.
collect and Sales order Accounting
analyse market system system.
size and information.
company sales. Production
HR system control system.
Financial information.
information
systems.

© Emile Woolf International 943 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

8 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter, check that you can:


 Describe the types and levels of information used in performance management
information systems
 Describe the sources of information including big data
 Explain methods of recording and processing information
 Explain, with examples, the common types of performance management systems
and how they may be used for managing performance
 State the qualities of good information and explain concepts of reliability,
accessibility, accuracy and security of information
 Summarise the impact IT has had on performance management with respect to
providers of services and management accounting
 Describe the impact IT systems have on competitive advantage
 Define critical success factor (CSFs) and key performance indicator (KPIs)
 Explain the link between CSFs and IS/IT strategy
 Describe how IS/IT is used to monitor CSFs in the achievement of targets

© Emile Woolf International 944 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


30
Skills level

CHAPTER
Performance management

Implementing performance
management systems

Contents
1 Implementing performance management systems
2 Impact of IT on employer/employee relations
3 Problem areas: organisational impact analysis
4 Success and failure of information systems
5 User resistance to new information systems and
change
6 Lewin’s ‘Three Stage’ change process
7 Managing change
8 Examples of managing change
9 Project monitoring and control
10 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 945 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Aim
Performance management develops and deepens student’s capability to provide
information and decision support to management in operational and strategic contexts with
a focus on linking costing, management accounting and quantitative methods to critical
success factors and operational strategic objectives whether financial, operational or with a
social purpose. Students will be expected to be capable of analysing financial and non-
financial data and information to support management decisions.
Detailed syllabus
F Performance and management systems
2 Evaluate and advise management on suitable approaches that may be used to
manage people, issues and change when implementing performance
management systems.
3 Discuss the accounting information requirements and analyse the different
types of information systems used for strategic planning, management control
and operational control and decision-making.
4 Discuss roles of accountants in:
a Project management;
b Project planning; and
c Project control methods and standards.

Exam context
Organisations face a number of challenges when implementing new information systems.
This chapter provides the context for various implementation considerations and explains
how change can be managed effectively.
By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
 Describe the impact of IT on employer/employee relations
 Discuss the general problems associated with implementing new systems
 Understand what drives the success or failure of information systems
 Explain the nature of common user resistance to new information systems and change
 Describe Lewin’s ‘Three Stage’ change process
 Discuss tactics for managing successful change
 State key project monitoring and control tasks
 Briefly explain the role of the project manager in managing the team
 Briefly explain the role of the accountant in projects

© Emile Woolf International 940 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

1 IMPLEMENTING PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS

Section overview

 Accessibility
 Supporting the tasks of the manager

1.1 Accessibility
A key factor in the design of a performance management system is the way in
which information is to be made available and accessible to the intended users.
Individuals with performance management responsibilities must have information
to do their work. IT systems make it possible, in principle, to provide individuals
with enormous amounts of data and information. There could be a risk that an
information system makes so much information available to users that there is
‘information overload’. Individuals may receive so much information that they do
not necessarily know what are the most important and relevant items, and so
they do not make the best use of the information they are given.
Performance management systems should be designed in a way that makes
information accessible in a convenient and helpful way. Users should have ready
access to the information they use the most often. They may in addition need
access to other information occasionally.
Important factors to consider in the design of a performance management system
are:
 What information is needed by individuals using the system?
 Why is the information needed or useful? What will the user do with it?
 How often is it needed?
 Where will the information be obtained from? In other words, how should
the source data be captured?
 How should the information user be able to access the information?
For essential and important items of information, it should be the responsibility of
the system designers to make sure that individuals are provided with the
information.
 Information or data that is essential to carrying out a task must be provided
to the user in a convenient way. For example, individuals who use an IT
system for operational variance control must be able to access the data
they need to drill down into individual variances. Gaining access to this
information should be made as easy and convenient as possible for the
user.
 Similarly, information that individuals will use often should also be made
easily accessible.
When the information requirements of individuals are less predictable, or less
frequent, a system might make the information accessible to users, but then
leave the responsibility with the user for finding it when it is needed.
For example, intranets have made it possible to provide enormous amounts of
data to employees within an organisation. However, there is so much information
available that it might become the responsibility of the recipient to make sure that

© Emile Woolf International 941 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

he gets the information that he wants, rather than the responsibility of the
provider of information to make sure that it reaches individuals who might need it.

1.2 Supporting the tasks of the manager


Introduction
According to ‘traditional’ theory of organisation and management, the tasks of
management are to:
 Set targets and make plans for achieving those targets
 Communicate
 Organise activities
 Co-ordinate activities
 Provide leadership or direction
 Motivate others
 Monitor performance
 Take control measures to improve performance.
Performance management
The new IS/IT performance management systems will be used by managers to
manage the performance of the organisation, and individuals and work units
within it.
The requirements for the new performance management system include:
 Clear objectives, expressed perhaps as critical success factors
 Targets for each objective, expressed perhaps as key performance
indicators
 Using these key performance measures to measure actual performance
 Providing managers with a comparison of actual performance with the
target, or a comparison of target performance with current forecasts.
IS/IT systems can be designed to provide managers with the key performance
measures that they should monitor. For example, executive information systems
can be designed so as to provide senior managers with:
 Readily-available information about current performance or historical
performance in selected key areas, and
 A facility to ‘drill down’ to analyse aspects of performance in more detail, if
required.
Quality of planning and control
The information provided by the performance management system can improve
the quality of planning and control. For example, decision support systems can
be used for forecasting and preparing plans. Sensitivity analysis and scenario
testing are made much easier with computer models, and these improve planning
by testing the assumptions that have been used in preparing the plans and
testing the robustness of the plans.
However, there is some risk that performance management systems can be used
to plan in excessive detail, or to apply excessive control. Management may use
performance management systems to demand regular and detailed reports from

© Emile Woolf International 942 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

employees, to the point where employees spend too much time on reporting and
too little time on value-adding activities.

2 IMPACT OF IT ON EMPLOYER/EMPLOYEE RELATIONS

Section overview

 IT systems and organisation structure


 The effect of home working on an organisation

 E-mail and work practices


 De-skilling of operatives
 Socio-technical system design

2.1 IT systems and organisation structure


IT-based performance management systems can affect the relationship between
employees and management, and between employees and the organisation they
work for.
IT-based performance management systems make information more easily
accessible. As a result of improved communication and more convenient
methods of communication, it is often possible for managers to organise and
control the activities of a larger number of subordinates. In other words’ the ‘span
of control’ within an organisation may become much wider.
Communication systems, particularly e-mail, allow any individual to contact
anyone else. It is possible for a junior employee to send an e-mail direct to the
CEO, without the message having to pass through a number of intermediate
managers.
In some organisations, there has been some reduction in management
hierarchies. Organisations can operate efficiently with a ‘flatter’ structure (fewer
levels of management).
 Although a function of management is to provide information and
communication, a large part of this activity can be ‘automated’.
 Since employees are able to access information themselves, for example
from an intranet database, it is often possible to delegate more
responsibility to operating staff, thereby reducing the need for junior
management or supervisory staff.

2.2 The effect of home working on an organisation


IT has made it much easier for individuals to work from home. For an
organisation, the benefits of home-working include:
 A reduction in the need for office accommodation, and so a saving in costs
 Providing more attractive working conditions for individuals who would
prefer to work from home instead of commuting into work: for example,
home-working may attract individuals wishing to work from home because
of family commitments
 Limited disruption to work in the event of a major transport strike.

© Emile Woolf International 943 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

There are also disadvantages with home working:


 Management. It may be more difficult to exercise management control over
individuals who work in a distant location (from home) rather than in direct
contact in an office. For example, it can be difficult to co-ordinate the
activities of several different home-workers.
 Employees are likely to feel more distant and isolated, and might need
strong self-motivation to work effectively.
 When employees work from home, it is very difficult to make them feel a
member of a work team.
Implications of groupware for team-building
The same ‘social problem’ may arise when groupware is used to help individuals
to work together as an electronic team. Groupware allows individuals to function
as a ‘team’ without having to be in close physical proximity to each other. For
example, groupware may allow team members to ‘meet’ and ‘discuss’ problems
electronically, when they are geographically far apart. This affects working
relationships, because teams linked electronically are unlikely to ‘bond’ as
effectively as a team whose members all work in the same office.

2.3 E-mail and work practices


E-mail has had a profound effect on the way that individuals work with each
other.
E-mail, the Internet and mobile telephone technology have all created a culture in
which individuals expect immediate access to information and immediate
responses to queries. Communication has become much faster, and in many
cases, this means that tasks are accomplished more quickly, and organisations
operate more efficiently.
Disadvantages of e-mail
Although e-mail improves communication, and so can improve the efficiency and
effectiveness of a business, there are some potential disadvantages that need to
be controlled, such as:
 E-mail users may receive large amounts of junk mail (‘spam’ mail),
although this can be reduced by anti-spam software.
 E-mails may expose a user’s computer system to viruses.
 There can be a security problem, when information is sent to someone by
e-mail without checking whether the person is authorised to receive it.
 Employees may get involved in ‘chatting’ to other individuals by e-mail, for
example by exchanging gossip or jokes. Friendly exchanges of this sort can
become time-consuming.
 Many users tend to respond immediately to e-mail messages, when their
time would be better spent concentrating on more urgent issues in hand.
Individuals sending e-mails often expect an immediate response, and are
(unjustifiably) annoyed if they do not get a quick reply.
 There is a tendency for users to send e-mail messages without properly
checking what they are sending. Messages may contain many typing errors
and other mistakes, and the sender may forget to attach documents or may
attach the wrong documents.

© Emile Woolf International 944 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Some of the disadvantages of e-mail are ‘technical’ problems, but many are
linked to employee behaviour – for example, importing viruses, excessive use of
e-mail for chatting, inefficient use of time and prioritising of work.
Using e-mail within an organisation therefore has implications for control over e-
mail use, and the ways in which this control should be applied. This affects
management/employee relationships.

2.4 De-skilling of operatives


As a result of IT, some labour skills have been lost, or replaced by other skills.
The automation of many operations removes or reduces the need for individuals
to acquire specialist skills.
De-skilling has occurred in many aspects of work. For example, many
engineering skills have been automated. Computers can be used to check for
faults in an item of equipment (for example, a car) instead of relying on the skills
of individual engineers.
Computer systems are also used to automate procedures, such as handling
telephone calls from customers. Telephone operatives may be required to follow
the procedures set out on a computer screen when dealing with a customer
query or complaint, instead of using their initiative.
Consequences of de-skilling may be:
 For the employer, a saving in employment costs (because employees do
not have to be as highly-skilled) and lower training costs
 For the employee, a loss of interest in the work and pride in performance.

2.5 Socio-technical system design


Socio-technical system design is an approach to the design of IT systems that
recognises social factors in the operation of the system as well as technical
factors. The most efficient IT systems are those that satisfy the needs of the
system users for social interaction in the work that they do, as well as performing
their ‘technical functions’.
Technical aspects
The technical aspects of system design are concerned with identifying the
operational requirements for the system, and designing a system to meet those
requirements.
Social aspects
The social aspects of system design are concerned with identifying the social
needs that a system satisfies for employees that use it. Social needs (or personal
needs) include:
 The desire to be a part of a team with other employees, and to
communicate with them regularly
 The desire to communicate with other people outside the organisation
 The need to feel that the work requires some skill
 The need for variety in the work
 The need for some authority and responsibility.

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Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

A risk with computers is that they isolate individuals, even when working
together. Employees may spend too much of their time looking at screens, and
not enough time in conversation with others.
However, opportunities for socio-technical system design may well improve over
time. Wireless broadband creates the opportunity for individuals to move around
with their computer, whilst remaining connected to the Internet. This may provide
opportunities for individuals to work together more using their portable or laptop
computers. Visual communication methods may be used to create a better sense
of familiarity with distant work colleagues.
When ‘social features’ cannot be built into an IT system, social interaction for
employees, and/or a sense of belonging to a team may be provided in other
ways. For example, if employees are required to work at computer screens for
much of the time, a ‘break-out area’ may be provided, where they are
encouraged to take time out and relax for a while.
An appropriate socio-technical design for an IT system will vary according to the
nature of the system. The key point, however, is that IS/IT system design should
not ignore the ‘human aspect’ of how the system will operate and the effect that it
will have on its users. A failure to consider the human aspect will probably result
in user resistance to the new system and low enthusiasm for the work – and the
end result will be an inefficient or ineffective system.

3 PROBLEM AREAS: ORGANISATIONAL IMPACT ANALYSIS

Section overview

 Problem areas when implementing an IS


 Organisational impact analysis

3.1 Problem areas when implementing an IS


When an information system is designed, developed and implemented, several
problem areas must be managed carefully.
 The new system should contribute to the economic, financial or operational
performance of the organisation. However, when a new system is
developed, a ‘balance’ or compromise must often be made between:
 a system that meets the user’s requirements exactly, and the ‘quality’
of the system design
 keeping costs within acceptable limits, and
 implementing the system within an acceptable time scale.
It is generally impossible to develop and implement a system of the highest
quality within a short time scale and for a low cost.
 The new system is likely to have an impact on organisational and social
matters, and in doing so, may arouse strong resistance and hostility form
the intended users of the system.
Research has shown that organisational and social issues are significant factors
causing new information systems to fail. Even when management have shown an
awareness of these problems, their actions are often ‘too little, too late’.
A new IS system is ‘likely to have a significant impact upon an organisation’s
culture, structure and working practices’.
© Emile Woolf International 946 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Since organisational issues can be a major problem area, it would make sense to
consider them carefully at an early stage in an IS project, and try to deal with the
problems that are identified.

3.2 Organisational impact analysis


‘Organisational impact analysis’ is, as its name suggests, the analysis of the likely
impact of a new system on an organisation, including cultural, structural and
political issues and the effect on working practices. It should be carried out at an
early stage of a system development, and should not be left until it is too late to
take suitable measures to deal with problems.
Organisational impact analysis should be carried out together with an analysis of
the contribution that the new system will make to the organisation, in terms of
economic benefit or the achievement of strategic goals.
The following issues should all be considered at an early stage in the project
development, up to the implementation of the new system, as well as in a post-
implementation review.
Contribution of the system to the economic and strategic goals of the organisation
 There should be a regular analysis of the projected benefits from a new
system, to assess whether the system is still expected to meet the
organisation’s needs within an acceptable time scale and for an acceptable
cost.
 The proposed system should conform to the current IS/IT strategy of the
organisation. (If it does not, the project should be abandoned, or IS/It
strategy should be reviewed and changed.)
 Resources should be allocated to an IS project, so that priority is given to
the most important parts of the project. This can be achieved using the
spiral model approach to system development, which is explained later.
 Management should be aware of the need to think about business
process re-engineering (BPR) in conjunction with developing a major new
system.
 A new system should be designed to support planned future changes in the
organisation, and so may need to be flexible in order to allow for these
future changes when they occur. Management should not focus on current
requirements and ignore planned changes in the future.
Human-related issues
Human-related issues should be considered.
 Training. Management should assess whether a suitable and sufficient
training programme has been planned for all users of the system.
 It may be necessary to consider health and safety aspects of using the new
system, or ergonomic factors. For example, there may be risks from a new
system to the eye sight of users (from working at computer screens), or
other aspects of their health. There may be a need for specially-designed
chairs for computer users, or a need for regular health check-ups.
 The motivation and needs of system users should be considered. There
should be an assessment of how the motivation and needs of the system
users will be satisfied (if at all) by the implementation of the new system.
 There should be an assessment of the working styles and the IT skills of
the individuals who will be the system users, to decide the implications
these may have for system design or training needs.
 Job re-design- There should also be an assessment at an early stage in
the system design of whether the new system will change the job
specifications of individuals and the relative importance of their work.
© Emile Woolf International 947 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
All these human-related issues could lead to strong resistance to the new
system.
System implementation
Another aspect of organisational impact analysis should be the period of
transition from the old system to the new system, when the new system is
eventually implemented. Again, this analysis should begin at an early stage in the
project development.
 Management should carry out an assessment of how the planned timing of
the new system implementation will interact with any other planned
changes in the organisation that will be expected at about the same time.
 There should also be an assessment of the likely disruption to the
organisation that implementing the new system will cause, and how long
this disruption might last.

Organisation structure, culture and power


There should be an assessment of how the new system will have an impact on:
 The structure of the organisation (for example, will the management
hierarchy become ‘flatter’, will there be more centralisation or
decentralisation of authority, or will there be job losses or transfers of staff
to other work?)
 The culture of the organisation (defined as ‘the set of important
assumptions, often un-stated, which members of an organisation share in
common’)
 The balance of power within the organisation. Information (and knowledge)
gives power to the individuals who control it. An information system may
alter the balance of power. If this can be foreseen, management can
anticipate the political implications of introducing the new system.
Organisational impact analysis is needed because it helps management to
identify the potential problems that anew system might create, and do something
to resolve the problems before it is too late for effective measures.

4 SUCCESS AND FAILURE OF INFORMATION SYSTEMS

Section overview

 Measuring the success of a new information system


 Reasons why IT projects fail
 Risks in a new system development
 Managing the risks of project failure: external integration, internal integration,
formal planning and formal control

4.1 Measuring the success of a new information system


The aim of management should be to ensure as much as possible that each new
information system is a success. The factors that determine success for a new IS
are as follows:
 Achieving the objectives of the system. Did the system achieve its
objectives? The system objectives should have been identified clearly when
the decision to develop the project was made. Actual achievements should
be compared with these objectives.

© Emile Woolf International 948 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 Financial benefits. A new system may achieve financial benefits, for
example from savings in operational costs or from profits resulting from
higher sales. The actual financial benefits should be compared with the
benefits that were expected when the decision to develop the project was
made.
 User satisfaction. The success of a new system may be measured in
terms of user satisfaction. Is the system helping users with their work? Do
users have good things to say about the system?
 Level of usage. The success of a system can also be measured by the
amount that it is used. High levels of usage suggest that the system is
successful – and user satisfaction is high.
 System availability. Some new systems have problems with large
amounts of down-time, when the system is not operating due to a hardware
or software fault. If a requirement of the system is that it should be
operational for as much time as possible, the success (or failure) of a
system might be measured by the amount of down-time that it experiences.
 Difficulty using the system. The success of a system may be assessed
according to whether it is user-friendly. A system cannot be a complete
success if users have difficulty operating it. The number of calls to the help
desk, and the nature of those calls, may therefore be a useful way of
monitoring the success – or failure – of a system.
Success of IT development projects
The success factors listed above are the factors that determine the relative
success or failure of a new system after it has been implemented. Another factor
in the success of a system is the project development –the work carried out to
design and develop the system prior to implementation.

Key factors for success of a system development project include:


Aims:
 The project should be clearly defined.
Organisation:
 The project should have sufficient resources.
 Control mechanisms should be in place and used.
 The project must have the support of top management.
 Communication channels should be adequate.
 There should be capability for feedback, and comparing actual progress
with the budget or target.
 IT contractors should be responsive to their clients.
People:
 The project manager should be competent
 The project team should be competent.

4.2 Reasons why IT projects fail


The nature of project failure
Failure is the opposite of success. The factors that determine whether a system
is a success also determine whether it is a failure. Success and failure are both
relative measures – there are differing degrees of success or failure. Some
systems are more successful than others. Some are much bigger failures than
others.
A new system may be described as a failure when any of the following outcomes
© Emile Woolf International 949 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
occurs:
 The development project is abandoned before the development work is
completed, or before the system is implemented.
 The project costs much more to develop than expected (and/or costs much
more to operate than expected).
 The new system is implemented, but meets strong user resistance, and the
system is not used as much as expected.
 The system is implemented but fails to meet all the user’s requirements.
 The system functions inefficiently.
 The development project is completed much later than planned.

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Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

Example: new system failure


A brief example of a system failure is a computerised command and control
service introduced by the London Ambulance Service some years ago. The new
system failed badly, and ambulances sometimes took very long times to reach
the scene of an accident. The system cost a large amount of public money, and
was claimed to have cost a number of patients their lives.
PEST factors contributing to system failure
The failure of an IT project may also be explained in terms of PEST factors
(political, economic, sociological and technological factors).
A study by Bray (1993) identified PEST factors as reasons for the failure of the
system.
Political factors- The government had published targets for achieving goals in
the health service, in the form of a ‘Patients’ Charter’. In order to meet the
targets in the Charter, deadlines for completion of the LAS project were far too
short.
Economic factors- Sixteen companies tendered for the contract to develop the
new IT system. The contract was given to the software company that submitted
the lowest bid, even though it has a limited track record in developing IT
systems.
Sociological factors- Ambulance staff were not given enough training in how
the new system operated.
Technological factors- The system did not work as well as it should have done.
The system operated slowly, and some telephone calls were lost.

Risks of failure: during development and during implementation


Projects can fail during the design and development work. The causes of failure
during system development are mainly related to the issues of meeting user
requirements (quality), cost and time scale.
Projects can also fail when they are implemented. Although poor design may be
a factor, failure may also be caused by strong user hostility or indifference to the
system, and resistance to change. Resistance to change is considered in more
detail later.

4.3 Risks in a new system development


Three key factors affect the risk for a system development project.
 Size of the project. As a general rule, the risk of failure is greater for
development projects that are:
 large, in terms of the amount of people and other resources required
to complete it
 complex
 expected to take a long time to complete
 costly (there is a large budget for the project).
With a large project, there are more things that can go wrong. There are
more activities to plan, monitor and control. The individuals involved in the
project may not co-operate properly and so fail to work as an effective
team. When a large project fails, the cost is usually high.

© Emile Woolf International 951 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

In contrast, small projects usually involve only a small number of people


and a small budget. Even if they go wrong, the consequences are not as
great.
 Structure of the project- The risk of failure is relatively low if the project
has a clear structure. A clear structure depends on having clear user
requirements, so that the project can be planned and scheduled with
reasonable confidence that the objectives of the system are properly
understood. The progress of the project can then be monitored, using
project management software and techniques such as critical path analysis
and budgetary control.
In contrast, there is a high risk of project failure if the requirements of the
user are not properly understood when the project begins, and the user
changes the requirements as the project is being developed.
Boehm’s spiral model of project development (described later) was
conceived as a way of reducing the risk in badly structured projects, where
user requirements are not properly understood when the development work
begins.
 Experience with the technology- The project development risk is much
lower when the project involves technology that the project team knows
well. Experience with using a technology brings a better understanding of
its capabilities.
In contrast, when a new system involves new technology that the IT team is
dealing with for the first time, the technology will be new and unfamiliar.
The risk of failure is higher because technical problems may arise for which
the IT team cannot find an answer.

4.4 Managing the risks of project failure: external integration, internal


integration, formal planning and formal control
A combination of external integration, internal integration, formal planning and
formal control can be used to manage the risks in a development project. The
choice of risk control methods should depend on the perceived size of the risk in
the project.
 External integration: external integration refers to measures that are used
to improve the relationship and communication between the project
development team and the system user (the ‘customer’ for the system).
 Internal integration: internal integration refers to measures taken by the
project managers to make sure that the project team have the skills
required and work as a cohesive unit.
 Formal planning and formal control: these are well-established ‘tools’ or
methods for the planning and control of system development projects.

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Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

The following table presents some examples of each of these.

Formal planning and


External integration Internal integration
formal control tools
Regular Appointing a project Critical path charts and
communications with manager with relevant critical path progress
the user. skills and experience of control.
the technology.
User representation in Appointing team Gantt charts for planning
the project team. members with suitable and control.
skills and experience. Budgetary control
Outsourcing work where systems.
the team does not have Use of project
the skills required. management software.
Formal procedures for Building a cohesive
the user to review and project team.
approve the system Regular team meetings.
specifications. Participation of team
members in decisions
affecting the design and
development.
User involvement in
testing.
External integration Internal integration
methods can reduce methods are most
risk when user appropriate when there
requirements are not is a risk because the IT
properly understood team may lack sufficient
experience with the
technology.

© Emile Woolf International 953 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

5 USER RESISTANCE TO NEW INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND CHANGE

Section overview

 Reasons for user resistance


 People-oriented theory

 System-oriented theory
 Interaction theory

5.1 Reasons for user resistance


Users are often resistant to new information systems. They are reluctant to use a
new system and criticise it strongly. When users are opposed to a new system,
they are likely to want it to fail.
It was stated earlier that organisational and social issues are a major factor in the
failure of IS/IT systems, and some of the reasons for user resistance were
considered within the context of organisational impact analysis.
There are three general theories about the nature of user resistance. These are:
 People-oriented theory
 System-oriented theory
 Interaction theory.

5.2 People-oriented theory


This theory concentrates on resistance to a new system because it is seen by
individuals or groups of individuals as a threat to something that matters to them,
such as their way of working or their social relationships at work.
For example, resistance to a new system may arise from the fact that the system
will call for more shift working and ‘unsociable’ hours of work. A system that
allows users to work from home may be resisted by individuals who enjoy going
to work because of the people they work with and the camaraderie. Managers
may resist a new system for teleconferencing because they prefer the ‘old way’ of
travelling to meet people face-to-face.

5.3 System-oriented theory


This theory concentrates on resistance to a new system because of
dissatisfaction with the system design. The user interface with the system may be
difficult to understand and use or the users may have difficulty making the system
work.
The user interface may be badly designed, so that the screens are not user
friendly, and users may not get suitable on-screen prompts to tell them what to
do next.
The system may also be badly-designed and does not fully meet user
requirements. Clearly, if this happens users will criticise the system and will not
want to use it.

© Emile Woolf International 954 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

5.4 Interaction theory


This theory concentrates on the interaction between the system and its users,
and the implications for the role of users in their organisation. It is based on the
view that even if the system is well-designed, it could meet resistance from users
who are concerned for the effect of the new system on their status or importance
at work.
 A new system may be seen as a threat to a person’s job – for example, a
new robotics system may threaten the jobs of production workers, and new
transaction processing systems may threaten the jobs of office workers.
 A new system may be seen as a threat to the status or importance of
someone in their job. Skills that individuals used before the system was
introduced may be replaced by automated processing – for example, an
expert system may take away some of the ‘status’ of the experts who use it.
 A new system may result in changes to bonus pay arrangements, and
users of the system may be worried that their bonus payments will fall as a
result of introducing the new system.
Interaction theory is based on the view that even if the system is well-designed, it
could meet resistance from users who are concerned for the effect of the new
system on their status or importance at work.

© Emile Woolf International 955 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

6 LEWIN’S ‘THREE STAGE’ CHANGE PROCESS

Section overview

 Accepting change
 Three stages in the change process

 Unfreeze
 Change (or movement)
 Re-freeze

6.1 Accepting change


Kurt Lewin, a social psychologist, suggested a three-stage process for
introducing major change into an organisation. His ideas were based on the view
that:
 It is often difficult to persuade people that change is desirable and will have
a positive effect
 People need to be persuaded of the need for change before the change is
made, and
 After a change has been made, there is a danger that individuals will
eventually return to the ‘old way of doing things’, so that the effects and
benefits of the change will soon be lost.
He argued that when a change is planned, it is essential to understand:
 Why the change is necessary – What are the problems with the current way
of doing things?
 What opportunities there are for improvement – Why might change be
desirable? What benefits will change bring?
These are the keys issues that will persuade the individuals affected to accept
the need for change.

6.2 Three stages in the change process


Planned change should then go through a three-stage process. Lewin called
these:
 Unfreeze
 Change (or Movement), and
 Re-freeze.

6.3 Unfreeze
This is the first stage in the change process. It is the process of getting the
individuals affected to recognise that change is desirable. Unless they recognise
that change is desirable and will improve the situation, they will remain ‘frozen’ in
the belief that the current state of affairs should not be altered.

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Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

There are two aspects to ‘unfreezing’ attitudes.


 Individuals need to be dissatisfied with the current state of affairs.
 They should then be persuaded that the plans for change are attractive,
and will provide desirable improvements.
Unfreezing therefore calls for the ‘human management’ skills of communication
and persuasion. Lewin would argue that it sometimes helps to target the
individuals who are most opposed to change, and try to win them over to the
need for change. If management can persuade the strongest opponents, it
should be a much easier task to persuade everyone else.

6.4 Change (or movement)


The second stage in the process is to make the change. This involves moving
from the old way of doing things to the new way. Lewin argued that the changes
should not be implemented until the ‘unfreeze’ stage is successfully finished.
Changes should be introduced successfully when management have the full
support of the individuals affected.
 Managers responsible for making the change should be given sufficient
resources, including money, to do the job properly.
 Implementing the change is more likely to be successful when the
individuals affected are allowed to participate closely in the process.
Individuals should be encouraged to provide ideas and offer suggestions
for dealing with unexpected problems.
Throughout this stage of the change process, it is important to recognise the
need for continuing support for the change. Opposition to the change might
emerge from individuals or groups affected. The response to opposition should
not be to force through the change regardless. Management should try to
understand the resistance, discuss the problems with the individuals or groups
affected, and find a way of reaching a solution.
For example, resistance to a change may come from employees who are worried
about the effect it will have on their working conditions or pay arrangements. A
solution may be found by offering improved working conditions, or improved pay
and bonus arrangements.

6.5 Re-freeze
Lewin’s third and final stage in the planned change process is ‘re-freeze’. Even if
a change is implemented successfully, there is a serious risk that the effects of
the change will be lost because the natural tendency of individuals is to go back
to old habits and old ways of thinking.
Re-freezing is the process of making sure that the new way of doing things
becomes well-established. The attitudes of individuals must be frozen again, but
this time frozen into the view that the new system is good and desirable.
Lewin argued that a good way of getting individuals to accept change is to reward
them. Rewards might be given through higher pay, bonus incentives or through
greater job satisfaction.

© Emile Woolf International 957 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

Example: British Airways


A well-known example of the ‘unfreeze, change, re-freeze’ model is the
privatisation of British Airways many years ago.
British Airways used to be a state-owned public corporation. It was changed into a
commercial company with a service-oriented and market-driven culture. The
planned changes were extensive, and included a high level of job losses and
reducing the number of levels in the management hierarchy.
The change was introduced successfully, by a process similar to Lewin-s three-
stage model.
Unfreeze- The organisation recruited a new CEO externally. He had a strong
marketing background. A number of task forces were established to look
into different aspects of the changes required. There were extensive
discussions with staff and their representatives. A high priority was given to
training and re-training of staff, especially in the area of customer services.
Change- The changes were implemented, but were reinforced by training
programmes about the changes for senior and middle management, and
participation by other employees through question-and-answer sessions.
Re-freeze- Individuals supporting the changes were rewarded with
promotion. New performance-related pay schemes were introduced. Job
satisfaction was also enhanced by introducing new company uniforms and
creating a new corporate image with a new logo.

© Emile Woolf International 958 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

7 MANAGING CHANGE

Section overview

 Strategy for change management


 Requirements for successful change

 Formal planning for change


 Boehm’s spiral model
 Using the spiral model approach
 The advantages of the spiral model approach

7.1 Strategy for change management


Introducing a new IS/IT system is often a big change for an organisation, and it
can be difficult to manage major changes successfully.
 Making a planned change is about getting from where we are to where we
want to be.
 As Lewin suggested, the change process goes through several stages:
planning and creating a motivation to change, making the change and then
keeping it in place after it has been implemented.
 There are several other requirements for successful change, which are
described below.
When implementing a new information system is a major change, it should be
planned well in advance, with a formal plan for how the change should be
introduced.

7.2 Requirements for successful change


There are several requirements for introducing change successfully. Many of
these relate to the skills of management.
 Why is the change needed? There has to be a clear understanding of why
the new system is needed, and the benefits that it will provide. All the
people involved: need to know
 need to know the purpose of the new system
 have a good idea of what the desired end-result will be.
 What changes are needed? There must also be an understanding of what
will need to change and what will not change. The organisational and social
aspects of change should be recognised, as well as the operational
changes.
 There should be a formal plan for making these changes.
 Planning the change process ought to involve the people affected. User
participation in the change planning and the implementation of changes will
improve the chances of success. Where possible, the users of the new
system should be encouraged to ‘take ownership’ of the system and
commit themselves to the changes. Acceptance of a new system, as Lewin
suggested, can be reinforced by reward systems.

© Emile Woolf International 959 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

 Good management. Successful change calls for skilled management and


leadership.
 Senior management must demonstrate commitment. This is shown by an
attitude such as: ‘We’ll keep trying until we get it right’.
 There must also be effective communication, between management,
system developers and the system users.
 There should be co-ordination of the efforts and activities of everyone
involved in the project development and implementation. Formal planning is
an aid to co-ordination. The new system should also be properly integrated
with existing systems.

7.3 Formal planning for change


A major new IS/IT system cannot be introduced successfully without careful
planning. However, plans should be flexible, and adapted as circumstances
dictate.
 The costs of system development (and implementation and operation) can
be controlled through processes such as budgeting and budgetary control.
 There should be a timetable for the project development, including a
timetable for training, testing and implementation. The progress of a project
towards completion and implementation can be monitored by formal
planning techniques such as critical path analysis (CPA).
 There should be a plan for the implementation process itself, so as to keep
the disruption under control. One aspect of planning the implementation
process is to decide:
 whether the new system will be introduced in full to replace the ‘old
system’ immediately, or
 whether the system should be introduced in a ‘piecemeal’ way, one
part at a time, or
 whether there should be parallel running of the old and new systems
side-by-side until the new system is well-established
 whether the new system should be ‘pilot tested’ in one area or region
first before it is introduced to the rest of the organisation.
 A major risk is the risk that the new system will fail to meet user
requirements and expectations. One way of managing change in a way that
reduces this risk is the so-called ‘spiral model’ approach.

7.4 Boehm’s spiral model


Boehm’s spiral model (1988) was developed as a way of designing and
implementing a new IS/IT system. A feature of the spiral model is that the new
system is introduced as a series of prototypes. Each successive prototype should
make the system conform more closely to user requirements, and (through user
participation in the testing of prototypes and suggesting improvements) reduce
user resistance.
Features of the spiral model
The spiral model was conceived as a method of systems development that
minimises the risk of developing a new IS/IT system that does not meet user
requirements, and so becomes an expensive failure.

© Emile Woolf International 960 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

It minimises the risk because the approach:


 keeps the user involved throughout the development process
 allows the user to evaluate the system at several stages in the
development, and to alter the system requirements at each stage.
Its key characteristic is flexibility. It can be adapted as the user recognises
different priorities and different requirements.
It is therefore a suitable approach for the development of new IS/IT systems that
will introduce substantial changes into the user’s way of operating.
A working system is developed in stages. At each stage, a new version of the
system is implemented. The user becomes more familiar with the system with
each successive working version of the system, and an understanding builds up
at each stage about:
 what the current version of the system allows the user to do
 what the current version of system does not do
 what the user would like the system to do that the current version does not
 what further changes are desirable that should be included in the next
working version of the system.
A further advantage of the spiral model is that successive working versions of the
system are tested, and design faults and weaknesses should become apparent
at an early stage.

7.5 Using the spiral model approach


The spiral model approach uses incremental development for a new IS/IT
system.
The user is asked to specify requirements for the new system, and to prioritise
these requirements.
A version of the new system is designed to incorporate the main user
requirements. The first version of the system is designed, programmed, tested
and implemented.
The user gains experience from the first version of the working model to discover
whether the system works reasonably well. Any weaknesses in the system can
be identified. The user can also find out, from working with the current version of
the system, whether there are additional features that should be included in the
system to make it better.
A second version of the system is produced, to include the most important
changes that have been identified. This second version is then implemented, and
the user is able to use the experience from this new version to identify more
changes and improvements.
A third version of the system is then produced. This process repeats itself, with
as many versions of the new system produced as necessary, until the user’s
requirements are fully satisfied.
By developing a new system in this way:
 the project is delivered in a large number of small phases
 the new system is evaluated and gradually incorporated into the user’s
operating environment.

© Emile Woolf International 961 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

The activities repeated at each stage in the spiral


There are four activities at each repeated stage of the spiral model:
 planning – deciding the requirements for the next version of the model.
Planning for the next version is based on priorities: which new function is
most required by the user, or which existing function of the system needs
changing and improving the most
 risk analysis – identifying what might go wrong with the new version, and
working out how to minimise the risk
 engineering – designing, implementing and testing the new version
 customer evaluation – giving the user the opportunity to evaluate the new
version and identify further changes and improvements.
The incremental approach can be shown in a diagram as a spiral, working out
from version 1 at the centre, with an additional loop in the spiral for each
successive version of the system.
A simplified version of a spiral model diagram is shown below.

General concept of the spiral model

© Emile Woolf International 962 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management systems

7.6 The advantages of the spiral model approach


The spiral model approach to systems design has several advantages.
 It is highly flexible. It allows the user to make changes to requirements as
the systems development progresses. It is therefore well-suited to system
development when the new system will introduce substantial changes.
 Because a working version of the system is produced before the final
version is reached, the new system can be introduced quickly.
 The user is closely involved in the development, evaluates each working
version and identifies new requirements at each stage.
 The risk that the system will be a failure is significantly reduced because:
 the user gains experience and familiarity with a working version of the
system at an early stage
 for each successive version of the system, there is a formal risk
analysis process: the possible risks are identified, and efforts are
made to minimise the risks that something will go wrong.

8 EXAMPLES OF MANAGING CHANGE

Section overview

 Company takeovers and mergers: the consequences for IS/IT systems


 Legacy information systems
 Legacy systems: the strategic problem

8.1 Company takeovers and mergers: the consequences for IS/IT systems
When two companies in the same business merge, or when one company takes
over another, a strategic decision has to be taken about IS/IT systems.
In the short term, it may be necessary to continue with two different systems, but
in the longer term this is not an acceptable strategy. Operating with different IS/IT
systems will be inefficient, and it will be difficult to align IS strategy with business
strategy for two different sets of IS systems.
A decision will therefore have to be made between:
 Transferring the systems of one of the companies to the systems of the
other company, or
 Designing new IS/IT systems for the enlarged company.
Technological issues
The biggest problems with integrating the IS/IT systems of two different
companies are usually technical.
 Almost certainly, the two companies will have different IS/IT systems that
are not compatible. The systems of one company will not be able to ‘talk’
top the systems of the other.
 The computer networks of the two companies may be structured differently.
For example, one company may have a centralised network with a central
minicomputer and database; whereas the other company may have a
distributed network of servers.
 Both companies may have databases, but the data on each may be
© Emile Woolf International 963 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
structured in a very different way. For example, one company may have a
hierarchical database and the other may have a relational database.
 One company may have a large IT department with full-time IT staff,
whereas the other company may work with only a small IT team and
outsource most of its IT work.
Sociological issues
Although technical issues are usually the biggest hurdle to the integration of IS/IT
systems after a merger or takeover, sociological or ‘human’ issues may also be
significant.
 After a merger or takeover, there may be an excess of IS/IT staff, and staff
will be worried about their jobs.
 This concern about jobs may lead to a bad working relationship between IT
managers from the different companies – there cannot be two ‘bosses’, so
which one will lose his job?
 It is often difficult to get employees to accept major changes. A merger or
large takeover usually leads to major changes for an organisation. There
will often be a re-organisation of work and responsibilities. In some cases,
employees may have to be re-trained in new skills.

8.2 Legacy information systems


Definition of legacy systems
Legacy information systems (or legacy IT systems) are IT systems that are an
inheritance from the past. They have been defined in several ways, often in a
negative way. Here are several definitions.
A legacy system is:
 ‘A computer system or application program which continues to be used
because of the prohibitive cost of replacing or re-designing it and despite its
poor competitiveness and compatibility with modern equivalents.’ (Howe)
 ‘any information system that significantly resists modification and evolution
to meet new and constantly-changing business requirements.’ (Brodie and
Stonebraker)
 ‘Large software systems that we don’t know how to cope with but are vital
to an organisation.’ (Bennett).
Features of legacy systems
Significant features of legacy systems are that:
 They are long-established systems that might have been introduced into an
organisation as long ago as the 1970s or 1980s.
 The technology used by the system has been overtaken by newer
technology, or by new business objectives and strategies. If the legacy
system uses a database, this is likely to be a hierarchical database, rather
than a relational database.
 They have been modified since their introduction, but there is now a limit to
the amount of further modification that could be made.
 Because they have been in use for so long, they are very reliable.
 They are strategically very important. Many of them support ‘mission-
critical’ operations. Replacing them could therefore be very risky, because
the change-over could go wrong.
 Replacing them would also be very expensive.
 Because they are old systems, they do not provide much, or any,
competitive advantage.
© Emile Woolf International 964 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
Many legacy systems developed in the 1970s and 1980s were written in old
computer languages such as COBOL\and FORTRAN. They were originally
designed for use with hardware such as magnetic tape drives and magnetic disc
drives, and for computers with fairly limited internal storage capacity. The
systems have been ‘modernised’ since their introduction, but there are limits to
how much more change and adaptation is possible.
There are other features of legacy systems.
 Because they are reliable systems, legacy systems could be more reliable
than any new system that is introduced to replace them.
 They might contain large amounts of vitally important business data
 Because they have been used for such a long time, employees are very
familiar with them and know how they operate in excellent detail. Legacy
systems therefore operate efficiently.
 The systems have been amended and altered so much since they were
first developed that there is no proper documentation of the system design
and about how the system functions. Since there is little or no system
documentation, IT staff have to interpret the coding of the old programs in
order to understand what they do and how they function.

8.3 Legacy systems: the strategic problem


The cost of legacy systems
Legacy systems are very expensive to operate. A large part of the problem is that
whenever the system has to be updated, the cost of the update is very high.
IT staff do not have any reliable documentation to help them, and the only way
they can understand how the system operates is often to read the old program
coding. This is time-consuming (and so expensive) and prone to error.
Brodie and Stonebraker (1995) claimed that the maintenance of a legacy system
could use up as much as 80% of an entire IT budget. If so, this leaves very little
money in the budget for spending on new IT developments.
On the other hand, replacing a legacy system with a new IT system could be
extremely expensive. In addition, there would be a risk of loss or corruption to the
vital business data on the system.
Whether – and when – to replace legacy systems
The key strategic problem with legacy systems is therefore:
 Whether to replace it – at high risk and high cost, or
 Whether to continue to use it – with high operating costs and no
competitive advantage from the system.
An additional problem is that whenever a new IT system is introduced, it will be
modified and amended over time to meet new demands and requirements of
users, but will not be replaced. In time, these new IT systems will become legacy
systems themselves.
The problem of deciding when and whether to replace a legacy system does not
go away until the system is eventually replaced.
Eventually, the high cost of legacy system maintenance and the need to remain
competitive will eventually lead to the replacement of a legacy system. When a
legacy system is replaced:
 A key decision is to decide when to replace it
 The cost of replacing it will be high
 The replacement system will probably have to integrate efficiently with
other IS/IT systems

© Emile Woolf International 965 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 There will also be a requirement to improve the functionality of existing
systems, which means that it will probably be impossible to write a complex
system to replace a legacy system on a 1-for-1 basis.
Legacy systems and acquisitions
When a company grows by mergers and acquisitions, it will often acquire other
companies with their own legacy systems. A group of companies may
therefore,

consist of several companies in the same industry, each with their own legacy
systems that are incompatible with each other, and incapable of ‘talking’ to each
other.
There is a very high cost and risk involved in introducing a new IT system for
several companies in a group, each with its own different legacy system and
slightly different user needs.

9 PROJECT MONITORING AND CONTROL

Section overview

 Introduction
 Quality, time and cost
 Monitoring completion times: slippage
 Amending a CPA chart
 Project management software
 Managing the team
 Role of the accountant

9.1 Introduction
The project manager has the primary responsibility for monitoring and control of
projects during their development stage. However, the project manager is
accountable to the project steering committee, or the project sponsor or the
system user (the customer).
The project steering committee might appoint a Project Assurance team, to
carry out an independent monitoring role. This team would discuss progress at
regular intervals with the project manager. It should also satisfy itself that each
milestone for the project has been successfully reached.

9.2 Quality, time and cost


The main aspects of a project that should be monitored and controlled are
quality, completion times and cost.
 The quality of the work carried out for the project development can be
monitored by comparing actual achievements against the requirements that
are set out in the project quality plan.
 The completion time for the project can be monitored by comparing the
planned completion times for the critical path activities with the actual
completion times.
 Costs can be monitored by comparing actual expenditure with budgeted
expenditure, on a regular basis (for example, in monthly budgetary control
reports).

© Emile Woolf International 966 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


9.3 Monitoring completion times: slippage
A CPA chart can be used by the project manager to:
 Check whether the time-critical activities are being completed on schedule
 Recognise by how much non-critical activities can be delayed without
risking the completion time for the project as a whole
 Recognise when the completion time for an activity has over-run the schedule
(and there is ‘slippage’ in the timetable for completion) and analyse what the
consequences of the slippage will be for the completion time for the entire
project
 Allocate extra resources to time-critical activities if there is a risk of delay,
or if the expected slippage is unacceptable.

9.4 Amending a CPA chart


A CPA chart is a management tool to assist project managers with the control
over the project completion time. If the chart gets out of date, because critical
dates are missed, or because new estimates are prepared for the expected time
to complete individual activities, the CPA chart can be updated and re-drawn.
It is important to remember that the CPA chart should have practical value. If it
ceases to provide realistic information, it is no longer of any value to a project
manager.

9.5 Project management software


Project managers may use off-the-shelf project management software to help
them to plan, monitor and control a project. The software enables project
managers to use project management techniques with the assistance of a PC or
laptop computer.

Example: Project management software


An example of project management software is Microsoft Project.

Features of project management software


Typically, project management software helps project managers to:
 Create a list of tasks for the project and their expected duration
 Construct a CPA chart or a Gantt chart
 Assign resources to each task
 Prepare a budget for the project
 Track the progress of tasks (and update the CPA chart from time to time)
 Record and monitor actual costs
 Manage the documents for the project
 Prepare progress reports
Software helps the project managers to amend plans more quickly, and prepare
revised CPA charts and Gantt charts, and revised budgets.
It also helps managers to prepare better and more comprehensive project
documentation.

© Emile Woolf International 967 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


The main functions/benefits of project management software
The main functions of project management software can be summarised as
follows:
 To produce and edit CPA charts or Gantt charts easily. The project
manager simply has to enter the activities, their interdependencies and
their expected duration. The software will then construct the CPA chart or
Gantt chart automatically. Charts can also be amended when project
activities are changed. They can also be updated to the current position at
any time during the project, for example when there has been slippage, so
that the project manager can establish the current expected completion
time for the project.

 To provide an accounting function for the project, by helping the project


manager to prepare a budget, record actual expenditure and monitor actual
costs against the budget.
 To plan and monitor the use of resources on the project, particularly the
number of staff working on the project. The project manager can enter the
staff requirements for each activity, and the software will produce a detailed
estimate of staff numbers required each day or week of the project. Where
the resources required exceeds the resources available, the project
manager can then use the software to look for ways of reducing staff
requirements at peak times without affecting the overall project completion
time, by
 delaying the start of non-critical activities, or
 reducing the number of staff assigned to non-critical activities and
allowing these activities to take a longer time to complete.

9.6 Managing the team


As well as the technical team management responsibilities described above the
team manager is also responsible for managing the team members.
Responsibilities may include some or all of the below:
 Selecting personnel and building the team;
 Delegating roles and responsibilities;
 Motivating team members;
 Communicating information amongst the team;
 Rewarding the team;
 Disciplining team members.

9.7 Role of the accountant


The numeracy and business skills of accountants are highly valued in project
management. Project managers need to:
 Understand the economics of different options and decisions:
 Be able to forecast costs and profit;
 Generate accurate network analyses and Gantt charts;
 Use spreadsheets effectively;
 Consider the impact of external factors as well as internal factors relevant
to the project.
Accountants bring a wealth of business experience to projects and can be highly
effective as either project managers or as advisors to project managers.

© Emile Woolf International 968 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Chapter 30: Implementing performance management
systems

10 CHAPTER REVIEW

Chapter review

Before moving on to the next chapter, check that you can:


 Describe the impact of IT on employer/employee relations
 Discuss the general problems associated with implementing new systems
 Understand what drives the success or failure of information systems
 Explain the nature of common user resistance to new information systems and
change
 Describe Lewin’s ‘Three Stage’ change process
 Discuss tactics for managing successful change
 State key project monitoring and control tasks
 Briefly explain the role of the project manager in managing the team
 Briefly explain the role of the accountant in projects

© Emile Woolf International 969 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Skills level CHAPTER

CHAPTER
31
Performance management

CHAPTER

CHAPTER
Application of
information technology
in performance
management

Contents

31.0 Introduction
31.1 Implementing performance management systems
31.2 Impact of IT on employer/employee relations
31.3 Problem areas: Organisational impact analysis
31.4 System implementation
31.5 Feasibility study
31.6 Cost-benefit analysis: Costs and benefits
31.7 Project Initiation
31.8 Project Planning: Phases and tasks
31.9 Project monitoring and control
31.6 Chapter review

© Emile Woolf International 970 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.0 Application of information technology in performance
management

Introduction
The rapid changes occasioned by technology disruptions have made it necessary to
incorporate new elements of technology into various subjects of the professional
examinations syllabus, including performance management. This need is supported by the
World Economic Forum (WEF) report on the future of jobs 2020, which indicates that
Information Technology (IT) skills will be essential requirements for accountants from the
year 2021.

The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN), being a member of the


International Federation of Accountants (IFAC), has subscribed to the Federation’s
policy of producing future ready accountants. To this end, skills that will ensure that
newly qualified professional accountants are equipped with skills that will make them
able to take responsibility in the new global economy.

The IT element in this subject is to provide students with the necessary tools that will
be applied in decision making process required in performance management.
Therefore, it includes application of technology to decision making and principles of
project planning and management.

31.1 Implementing performance management systems


31.1.1 Accessibility
A key factor in the design of a performance management system is the way in which
information is to be made available and accessible to the intended users.
Individuals with performance management responsibilities must have information to do
their work. IT systems make it possible, in principle, to provide individuals with
enormous amounts of data and information. There could be a risk that an information
system makes so much information available to users that there is ‘information
overload’. Individuals may receive so much information that they do not necessarily
know what are the most important and relevant items, and so they do not make the
best use of the information they are given.
Performance management systems should be designed in a way that makes information
accessible in a convenient and helpful way. Users should have ready access to the
information they use the most often. They may in addition need access to other information
occasionally.
Important factors to consider in the design of a performance management system are:
 What information is needed by individuals using the system?
 Why is the information needed or useful? What will the user do with it?
 How often is it needed?
 Where will the information be obtained from? In other words, how should the source
data be captured?
 How should the information user be able to access the information?

© Emile Woolf International 971 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


For essential and important items of information, it should be the responsibility of the
system designers to make sure that individuals are provided with the information.
 Information or data that is essential to carrying out a task must be provided to the
user in a convenient way. For example, individuals who use an IT system for
operational variance control must be able to access the data they need to drill down
into individual variances. Gaining access to this information should be made as easy
and convenient as possible for the user.
 Similarly, information that individuals will use often should also be made easily
accessible.
When the information requirements of individuals are less predictable, or less
frequent, a system might make the information accessible to users, but the leave the
responsibility with the user for finding it when it is needed.
For example, intranets have made it possible to provide enormous amounts of data to
employees within an organisation. However, there is so much information available
that it might become the responsibility of the recipient to make sure that he gets the
information that he wants, rather than the responsibility of the provider of information
to make sure that it reaches individuals who might need it.

31.1.2 Supporting the tasks of the manager


According to ‘traditional’ theory of organisation and management, the tasks of
management are to:
 Set targets and make plans for achieving those targets;
 Communicate;
 Organise activities;
 Co-ordinate activities;
 Provide leadership or direction;
 Motivate others;
 Monitor performance; and
 Take control measures to improve performance.
Performance management
The new IS/IT performance management systems will be used by managers to
manage the performance of the organisation, and individuals and work units
within it.
The requirements for the new performance management system include:
 Clear objectives, expressed perhaps as critical success factors;
 Targets for each objective, expressed perhaps as key performance
indicators;
 Using these key performance measures to measure actual performance;
and
 Providing managers with a comparison of actual performance with the
target, or a comparison of target performance with current forecasts.
IS/IT systems can be designed to provide managers with the key
performance measures that they should monitor. For example, executive
information systems can be designed so as to provide senior managers
with:

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 Readily-available information about current performance or historical
performance in selected key areas; and
 A facility to ‘drill down’ to analyse aspects of performance in more detail, if
required.
Quality of planning and control
The information provided by the performance management system can improve
the quality of planning and control. For example, decision support systems can
be used for forecasting and preparing plans. Sensitivity analysis and scenario
testing are made much easier with computer models, and these improve planning
by testing the assumptions that have been used in preparing the plans and
testing the robustness of the plans.
However, there is some risk that performance management systems can be used
to plan in excessive detail, or to apply excessive control. Management may use
performance management systems to demand regular and detailed reports from
employees, to the point where employees spend too much time on reporting and
too little time on value-adding activities.

31.2 Impact of IT on employer/employee relations


31.2.1 IT systems and organisation structure
IT-based performance management systems can affect the relationship between
employees and management, and between employees and the organisation they
work for.
IT-based performance management systems make information more easily
accessible. As a result of improved communications and more convenient
methods of communication, it is often possible for managers to organise and
control the activities of a larger number of subordinates. In other words’ the ‘span
of control’ within an organisation may become much wider.
Communication systems, particularly e-mail, allow any individual to contact
anyone else. It is possible for a junior employee to send an e-mail direct to the
CEO, without the message having to pass through a number of intermediate
managers.
In some organisations, there has been some reduction in management
hierarchies. Organisations can operate efficiently with a ‘flatter’ structure (fewer
levels of management).
 Although a function of management is to provide information and
communication, a large part of this activity can be ‘automated’.
 Since employees are able to access information themselves, for example
from an intranet database, it is often possible to delegate more
responsibility to operating staff, thereby reducing the need for junior
management or supervisory staff.

31.2.2 The effect of home working on an organisation


IT has made it much easier for individuals to work from home. For an
organisation, the benefits of home-working include:
 A reduction in the need for office accommodation, and so a saving in costs;

© Emile Woolf International 973 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 Providing more attractive working conditions for individuals who would
prefer to work from home instead of commuting into work: for example,
home-working may attract individuals wishing to work from home because
of family commitments; and
 Limited disruption to work in the event of a major transport strike.
There are also disadvantages with home working:
 Management - It may be more difficult to exercise management control
over individuals who work in a distant location (from home) rather than in
direct contact in an office. For example, it can be difficult to co-ordinate the
activities of several different home-workers;
 Employees are likely to feel more distant and isolated, and might need
strong self-motivation to work effectively; and
 When employees work from home, it is very difficult to make them feel a
member of a work team.

31.2.3 Implications of groupware for team-building


The same ‘social problem’ may arise when groupware is used to help individuals
to work together as an electronic team. Groupware allows individuals to function
as a ‘team’ without having to be in close physical proximity to each other. For
example, groupware may allow team members to ‘meet’ and ‘discuss’ problems
electronically, when they are geographically far apart. This affects working
relationships, because teams linked electronically are unlikely to ‘bond’ as
effectively as a team whose members all work in the same office.

31.2.4 E-mail and work practices


E-mail has had a profound effect on the way that individuals work with each
other.
E-mail, the Internet and mobile telephone technology have all created a culture in
which individuals expect immediate access to information and immediate
responses to queries. Communication has become much faster, and in many
cases, this means that tasks are accomplished more quickly, and organisations
operate more efficiently.
Disadvantages of e-mail
Although e-mail improves communications, and so can improve the efficiency
and effectiveness of a business, there are some potential disadvantages that
need to be controlled.
 E-mail users may receive large amounts of junk mail (‘spam’ mail),
although this can be reduced by anti-spam software.
 E-mails may expose a user’s computer system to viruses.
 There can be a security problem, when information is sent to someone by
e-mail without checking whether the person is authorised to receive it.
 Employees may get involved in ‘chatting’ to other individuals by e-mail, for
example by exchanging gossip or jokes. Friendly exchanges of this sort can
become time-consuming.
 Many users tend to respond immediately to e-mail messages, when their
time would be better spent concentrating on more urgent issues in hand.

© Emile Woolf International 974 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Individuals sending e-mails often expect an immediate response, and are
(unjustifiably) annoyed if they do not get a quick reply.
 There is a tendency for users to send e-mail messages without properly
checking what they are sending. Messages may contain many typing errors
and other mistakes, and the sender may forget to attach documents or may
attach the wrong documents.
Some of the disadvantages of e-mail are ‘technical’ problems, but many are
linked to employee behaviour – for example, importing viruses, excessive use of
e-mail for chatting, inefficient use of time and prioritising of work.
Using e-mail within an organisation therefore has implications for control over e-
mail use, and the ways in which this control should be applied. This affects
management/employee relationships.

31.2.5 De-skilling of operatives


As a result of IT, some labour skills have been lost, or replaced by other skills.
The automation of many operations removes or reduces the need for individuals
to acquire specialist skills.
De-skilling has occurred in many aspects of work. For example, many
engineering skills have been automated. Computers can be used to check for
faults in an item of equipment (for example, a car) instead of relying on the skills
of individual engineers.
Computer systems are also used to automate procedures, such as handling
telephone calls from customers. Telephone operatives may be required to follow
the procedures set out on a computer screen when dealing with a customer
query or complaint, instead of using their initiative.
Consequences of de-skilling may be:
 For the employer, a saving in employment costs (because employees do
not have to be as highly-skilled) and lower training costs; and
 For the employee, a loss of interest in the work and pride in performance.

31.3 Problem areas: organisational impact analysis


31.3.1 Problem areas when implementing an IS
When an information system is designed, developed and implemented, several
problem areas must be managed carefully.
 The new system should contribute to the economic, financial or operational
performance of the organisation. However, when a new system is
developed, a ‘balance’ or compromise must often be made between:
 A system that meets the user’s requirements exactly, and the ‘quality’
of the system design;
 Keeping costs within acceptable limits; and
 Implementing the system within an acceptable time scale.
It is generally impossible to develop and implement a system of the highest
quality within a short time scale and for a low cost.
 The new system is likely to have an impact on organisational and social
matters, and in doing so, may arouse strong resistance and hostility form
the intended users of the system.

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Research has shown that organisational and social issues are significant factors
causing new information systems to fail. Even when management have shown an
awareness of these problems, their actions are often ‘too little, too late’.
A new IS system is ‘likely to have a significant impact upon an organisation’s
culture, structure and working practices’.
Since organisational issues can be a major problem area, it would make sense to
consider them carefully at an early stage in an IS project, and try to deal with the
problems that are identified.

31.3.2 Organisational impact analysis


‘Organisational impact analysis’ is, as its name suggests, the analysis of the likely
impact of a new system on an organisation, including cultural, structural and
political issues and the effect on working practices. It should be carried out at an
early stage of a system development, and should not be left until it is too late to
take suitable measures to deal with problems.
Organisational impact analysis should be carried out together with an analysis of
the contribution that the new system will make to the organisation, in terms of
economic benefit or the achievement of strategic goals.
The following issues should all be considered at an early stage in the project
development, up to the implementation of the new system, as well as in a post-
implementation review.

31.3.3 Contribution of the system to the economic and strategic goals of


the organisation
 There should be a regular analysis of the projected benefits from a new
system, to assess whether the system is still expected to meet the
organisation’s needs within an acceptable time scale and for an acceptable
cost.
 The proposed system should conform to the current IS/IT strategy of the
organisation. (If it does not, the project should be abandoned, or IS/It
strategy should be reviewed and changed.)
 Resources should be allocated to an IS project, so that priority is given to
the most important parts of the project. This can be achieved using the
spiral model approach to system development, which is explained later.
 Management should be aware of the need to think about business
process re-engineering (BPR) in conjunction with developing a major new
system.
 A new system should be designed to support planned future changes in the
organisation, and so may need to be flexible in order to allow for these
future changes when they occur. Management should not focus on current
requirements and ignore planned changes in the future.

31.3.4 Human-related issues


Human-related issues should be considered.
 Training. Management should assess whether a suitable and sufficient
training programme has been planned for all users of the system.
 It may be necessary to consider health and safety aspects of using the new
system, or ergonomic factors. For example, there may be risks from a new

© Emile Woolf International 976 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


system to the eye sight of users (from working at computer screens), or
other aspects of their health. There may be a need for specially-designed
chairs for computer users, or a need for regular health check-ups.
 The motivation and needs of system users should be considered. There
should be an assessment of how the motivation and needs of the system
users will be satisfied (if at all) by the implementation of the new system.
 There should be an assessment of the working styles and the IT skills of
the individuals who will be the system users, to decide the implications
these may have for system design or training needs.
 Job re-design. There should also be an assessment at an early stage in the
system design of whether the new system will change the job specifications
of individuals and the relative importance of their work.
All these human-related issues could lead to strong resistance to the new
system.

31.4 System implementation


Another aspect of organisational impact analysis should be the period of
transition from the old system to the new system, when the new system is
eventually implemented. Again, this analysis should begin at an early stage in the
project development.
 Management should carry out an assessment of how the planned timing of
the new system implementation will interact with any other planned
changes in the organisation that will be expected at about the same time.
 There should also be an assessment of the likely disruption to the
organisation that implementing the new system will cause, and how long
this disruption might last.

31.4.1 Organisation structure, culture and power


There should be an assessment of how the new system will have an impact on:
 The structure of the organisation (for example, will the management
hierarchy become ‘flatter’, will there be more centralisation or
decentralisation of authority, or will there be job losses or transfers of staff
to other work?)
 The culture of the organisation (defined as ‘the set of important
assumptions, often un-stated, which members of an organisation share in
common’)
 The balance of power within the organisation. Information (and knowledge)
gives power to the individuals who control it. An information system may
alter the balance of power. If this can be foreseen, management can
anticipate the political implications of introducing the new system.
Organisational impact analysis is needed because it helps management to
identify the potential problems that anew system might create, and do something
to resolve the problems before it is too late for effective measures.

© Emile Woolf International 977 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.5 Feasibility study

31.5.1 Purpose of a feasibility study

Definition: Feasibility study


A feasibility study is the first stage in a project to develop a new IS/IT system. The
purpose of a feasibility study is to assess:
Whether a new information system is required; and
What are the different options that exist for a new system.
The study should also consider the different options and recommend one of
these.

A feasibility study is carried out by a feasibility study group, which prepares a


feasibility report and submits this, either to the senior IT manager or to a project
steering committee.
In the basis of the feasibility study, a decision is then taken whether to initiate the
project and develop and implement the IS/IT system.

31.5.2 The steering committee and the feasibility study group

Definition: Steering committee


The project steering committee should be responsible for supervising and
controlling the development of a new IS/IT system. The committee should consist
of senior managers with IT expertise, financial project management expertise and
business knowledge.

Definition: Project sponsor


The project sponsor is the person with overall responsibility for the new system
and may be the head of the steering committee. The sponsor should be the
‘project champion’. For example, where the new system will be used entirely or
mainly by one department, the project sponsor may be the department,
represented on the committee by the head of the department.

The steering committee establishes the terms of reference for the feasibility study. These
should include:
 A statement of the purpose and objectives of the new system;
 The scope of the feasibility study;
 The budget limits for the project, if these can be decided before the study;
and
 The time scale for the study and the report.
31.5.3 Role of business analysts
Before a feasibility study is started, some work may be carried out by business
analysts. The role of a business analyst is to identify new business opportunities
to exploit, or business problems that need to be resolved. They might suggest a

© Emile Woolf International 978 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


business solution to the opportunity or problem, which may or may not involve
the development of a new IS/IT system.
On the basis of the recommendations of a business analyst, an entity may decide
to establish a project steering committee and carry out a feasibility study. The
business analyst who recommended the new system will probably become a
member of the feasibility study group.

31.5.4 The feasibility study group

Definition: Feasibility study group


The feasibility study group is the team that carries out the feasibility study. Its
members should be appointed by the project steering committee. The group
should be fairly small, so that it can work efficiently as a team. It should include:
IT experts;
representatives of the department or departments that will use the
computer system;
one or more individuals with financial expertise (for example, an
accountant); and
A business analyst (possibly) .

31.5.5 Stages in a feasibility study


After the formation of the steering committee, the stages in a feasibility study are
as follows:
 Formation of the study group and setting the terms of reference for the
study;
 Planning the study. The time scales for reporting must be agreed, with a
target date for the submission of the feasibility report to the project steering
committee;
 A feasibility study budget should be agreed by the steering committee;
 Information gathering - The first activity in the feasibility study should be
to gather information about the current system that is used by the
organisation that the new system will replace. Problems with the existing
system should be identified and analysed. This task involves collecting,
recording and analysing information about the existing system;
 Identify alternative systems - Having identified the weaknesses (and
strengths) in the current system, the study group should consider
alternatives for a new system that will meet the requirements of the system
user better than the current system, at an acceptable cost. Each alternative
should be considered in some detail, and an outline system design may be
prepared for each. (Since preparing an outline design and testing it for
feasibility may take some time, the feasibility study group may consider
only a limited number of alternative systems – perhaps just two or three;
 Each alternative for a new system should be evaluated, using tests of:
 Technical feasibility;
 Operational feasibility;
 Social feasibility; and

© Emile Woolf International 979 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 Economic feasibility;
 The economic feasibility test for a new system involves a cost-benefit
analysis;
 The project group decides which alternative system it will recommend to
the steering committee; and
 The feasibility report is prepared and submitted, with a recommendation
about which new IS/IT system, if any, to develop.

31.5.6 Technical, operational, social and economic feasibility


Each alternative new system considered by the feasibility study group should be
tested for technical, operational, social and economic feasibility.
(a) Technical feasibility
The purpose of a technical feasibility test is to decide whether the proposed new
system is technically feasible – in other words, whether it could work technically
and achieve its intended purpose within the intended cost budget.
Technical issues to consider may include whether the new system
 Will provide response times that are fast enough for operating requirements
 Can be connected technically to other existing systems (‘integrated’ with
other systems)
 Will be able to handle the expected volumes of transactions and
processing.
In other words: Can the system perform technically in the way the user will want
and expect?
(b) Operational feasibility
The purpose of an operational feasibility test is to decide whether the new system
can be operated by the user’s staff and in accordance with the user’s practical
needs. The main concern with this test is to ensure that the system will be able to
handle all the operational requirements that the user will expect?
Matters to consider include:
 Whether the user’s existing staff have the necessary skills to operate the
system, or whether they could acquire the necessary skills through training;
 Whether changes might be needed in the user’s organisation structure, for
example with the creation of new jobs or the elimination of some type of
existing job; and
 Whether it would be necessary to make other operational changes, such as
a change in shift working or working hours, so that the system can operate
for more hours each day.

Will these operational changes be feasible?


Other operational issues could affect the feasibility of a project. These include:
 Data conversion. This is the conversion or transfer of data from the files of
the ‘old’ system to the files of the new system. There may be practical
difficulties or risks to the data that could make the new system difficult to
install successfully.Data protection legislation. The system may need to
include personal data about individuals on its files, in which case it may
come within the scope of data protection legislation. A check should be

© Emile Woolf International 980 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


made that the proposed new system will comply with the requirements of
the legislation.
(c) Social feasibility
A social feasibility test is a test of the likely response of the system’s users and
customers to the system. For example, if a bank is considering introducing a new
system for its account holders (customers) the study group would need to
consider what the strength of the resistance might be from customers who may
have to use the system.
If a new system would affect the way that employees do their work, or if it would
threaten their job security, there could be hostility and resistance to the system
that may be difficult to overcome.
If resistance to the new system from users or customers might be strong, the
study group may decide that the system is not socially feasible.
(d) Economic feasibility
The purpose of an economic feasibility test is to establish whether the system is
economically justified, and whether it can deliver the expected benefits and
whether it can be operated within acceptable cost limits.
An economic feasibility test therefore involves a cost-benefit analysis exercise,
to establish whether the expected benefits from the system would justify the
costs of developing and operating it. It is important to identify both the tangible
and intangible benefits and costs. The qualitative (intangible) benefits from a new
system could be more significant than its quantitative (tangible) benefits.
The feasibility study group is unlikely to recommend a project unless it passes
certain economic or financial tests of acceptability.

31.6 Cost-benefit analysis: costs and benefits

Definition: Cost-benefit analysis


A cost-benefit analysis involves a comparison of the expected costs of a new
system with the benefits the system is expected to provide. The economic
feasibility test involves a comparison of tangible costs and tangible benefits.
There may also be significant intangible costs or benefits.

Some of the main tangible costs and benefits of a new system are set out in the
following table.

Category of cost Main items of cost


Costs of system  Cost of in-house staff used for system
development development work. A large number of staff, mainly
IT staff and user department staff, will be involved
during the development phase for the new project.
 Costs of external IT support. These costs may
include the costs of out-sourced IT development
work
 Costs of software purchased from external
software suppliers.
 Costs of new computer hardware for the new
system

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Costs of system  Staff training costs. User department staff will
installation need to be trained in the use of the new system.
 Cost of developing and printing user instruction
guides or manuals
 System changeover costs. Costs will be incurred
in converting the data files for the current system
and transferring the data to files for the new system.
 There may also be additional running costs if the
new system is operated in parallel with the old
system for a period of time, until the new system is
considered ’safe’.
 Redundancy costs. There may be some
redundancy costs, if jobs are lost because of the
new system.

System operating  Costs of leasing or renting new equipment or


costs communication links
 Costs of system maintenance and updating
 Outsourcing costs, for any parts of the new system
operations that are outsourced
 Costs of operating a help desk for the system.
 Costs of materials consumed (e.g. paper for
printing) and replacement parts for equipment
 Any other additional costs of operating staff

31.6.1 Tangible and intangible benefits


The tangible benefits from a new system should be estimated, if possible, in
money terms. In some cases, however, it may be difficult to convert a tangible
operational benefit (such as faster response times, or more reliable data) into a
money value.
Tangible benefits of a new system may include:
 Higher profits, where the system enables the entity to increase its sales
revenue (for example, through the provision of a new e-commerce system);
 Lower operating costs, for example from improvements in efficiency and
staff time saved;
 Improved service to customers. For example, an on-line ordering system
might result in the faster delivery of purchased items to customers;
 Improvements in accuracy and reliability of data. For example, a new
system might provide more up-to-date information for users. Similarly, a
new decision support system for managers may improve the quality of
information to managers, and help them to make better decisions; and
 Improvements in communications between users of the system.

31.6.2 Cost-benefit analysis: techniques of financial evaluation


The financial evaluation of a proposed new IS/IT system involves a comparison
of expected costs and expected benefits. The following list is a reminder of the
key relevant techniques you learnt about in other ICAN modules:

© Emile Woolf International 982 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 Payback period;
 Return on investment (ROI);
 Discounted cash flow;
 Net present value (NPV); and
 Internal rate of return (IRR).

31.6.3 The feasibility study report


The final stage of a feasibility study is for the study group to produce a feasibility
report for submission to the project steering committee. The report should be a
recommendation, which may be:
 To develop the system, using one of the system designs studied by the
group; and
 To retain the existing system, and not to develop a new system.
The contents of a typical feasibility report are as follows:
 An executive summary, giving a brief summary of the report and its main
recommendation(s);
 The terms of reference for the feasibility study;
 The objectives of the new system;
 Information about the feasibility study and how it is carried out;
 An analysis of the current system, its weaknesses and why a new system is
required. Also the costs of running the current system;
 The alternative solutions for a new system that the study group considered;
 A recommendation of the preferred alternative solution for the system,
supported by tests of feasibility; and
 A plan for the development and implementation of the new system.
If the steering committee accepts the recommendation of the feasibility report,
the necessary authorisation for capital expenditure should be obtained. The
project to develop the new system should then be initiated.

© Emile Woolf International 983 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.7 Project initiation
31.7.1 Characteristics of a project
Work to develop and install a new IS/IT project is usually organised as a project.
A project has number of characteristics:
 The project should have a specific objective. This should be defined in
terms of scope (what the system is expected to do), time schedule and
cost. In the case of IT development work, a project is to design, develop
and install a specific IS/IT system;
 A project team is assembled to carry out the work. Membership of this team
may change during the course of the project, as some individuals complete
their work and other individuals are brought in to do their part of the work.
The management and composition of a project team are considered in
more detail later; and
 A project should have a schedule and a time scale for completion. It has a
starting time, which is when the project is formally initiated. It also comes to
an end, when the IS/IT system has been designed, developed and
installed. When the project ends, the project team is disbanded.
An IS/IT project should also have the following characteristics:
 An IS/IT project should have a sponsor. The sponsor is the organisation or
department financing the project;
 An IS/IT project has a customer, who will be the user of the system. The
customer may also be the sponsor, but is not necessarily the sponsor; and
 A project requires a budget for the design and development work. This
should be used to plan future expenditure and also to apply control over
actual spending (using a budgetary control reporting system). The cost
budget might be divided into a budget for each stage of the development
project.
31.7.2 The project management process
The key elements of project management after project initiation are planning and
control. However, there are five stages of project management.
The 5 stages of project management

Stage Description
1. Initiation The goals and objectives of the project should be
established when the project begins. These can be set out
in a project initiation document (PID). The PID is used
to develop and clarify the terms of reference for the
project.
The project might be initiated by the Board of Directors,
the project sponsor or the steering committee.
2. Planning The project must be planned. There must be plans for
each stage of the project. The plans should specifying the
resources required to complete each stage of the project,
a schedule (sequence of events and time scale for
completion), a detailed budget and performance
specifications for the system.

© Emile Woolf International 984 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


3. Executing The plans must be put into action. Project management
are responsible for directing the project activities.
4. Controlling The project managers should monitor the progress of the
project, to check whether it is on time for completion,
within its cost budget and meeting the user’s
specifications. Where necessary, management should
take corrective action when actual performance falls below
or behind the plan. Some re-planning and re-scheduling
might be required.
5. Completing The project management must ensure at the end of the
project that it has been completed fully and meets
requirements. On completion, the responsibility of the
project managers ends, and responsibility for running the
system is handed over fully to the management for the
computer user.

© Emile Woolf International 985 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.7.3 Phases of project development
The stages or phases of project development for a bespoke system are as
follows.

31.7.4 Project initiation document and terms of reference

Definition: Project initiation document (PID)


A project initiation document (PID) is a document that formally establishes the IT
project, and provides the authority for the project work to begin.

There are no widely-accepted ‘rules’ about what the PID should contain, although
it ought to include the terms of reference for the project.
Terms of reference

Definition: Terms of reference


The terms of reference are a formal statement of what the project is expected to
achieve.

Terms of reference will usually contain the following items:


 A statement of the business objectives of the entity, and how the new
IS/IT system is intended to contribute to those objectives. In other words,
how does the new project fit into the overall plans and objectives of the
entity?
 A statement of the specific objectives of the project - The terms of
reference should state what the new IS/IT system should achieve, and what
it is expected to do;

© Emile Woolf International 986 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 A statement of the scope of the project - The project should have a stated
scope. Who is expected to use the project when it is implemented, and who
will not use it? For example, will it be specific to a particular department or
region, or will it be used by the entire entity? Which operations will be
affected by the new project?
 A statement of any constraints or restrictions for the project. For
example, it might be decided that the project should use in-house IT staff
only, and that none of the work should be outsourced; and
 A target date for completion.

31.7.5 Other parts of a project initiation document


The PID may also make the following specifications:
 The sponsor and the user (customer) for the project should be identified.
The PID should state who has the ultimate authority to approve the project
on completion, and who has the authority to resolve any arguments or
disagreements that may arise during the course of the project;
 The PID should also specify the resources that will be made available to
the project, in terms of staff, technical resources and budgeted expenditure
limit;
 The project manager should be identified, and the size and composition of
the project team may also be specified;
 There may also be a policy statement on purchasing and procurement,
specifying the type of equipment that must be used for the project. (This
may be necessary, for example, if the entity has a policy of using
compatible IT equipment for all its IT systems.); and
 The PID may also include an outline project plan, although this may not be
produced until later (by the project manager, after his or her appointment).

31.7.6 The project manager

Definition: Project manager


A project manager is appointed to lead the project team. He or she is responsible
for achieving the objectives for the project, as specified in the terms of reference.

Tasks of the project manager


The tasks of the project manager are to:
 Agree the scope of the project (as specified in the terms of reference for the
project);
 Produce a project plan, setting out the different stages of the project and
times for completion of each stage, and also the resources required during
each stage;
 Initiate the work on the project, agreeing individual responsibilities with
each member of the project team;
 Liaise with the sponsor and the customer for the project, and discuss the
progress of the work and any problems that have arisen;
 Motivate the project team;
 Monitor the progress of the work;

© Emile Woolf International 987 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 Ensure that the project meets certain quality standards;
 Report on progress to the project steering committee, project sponsor and
customer for the project;
 Deal with any slippage in the work that threatens a delay to completion;
 Ensure that the new system is properly tested and meets its specifications;
and
 Deliver the completed IS/IT system at the completion of the project.
The skills of the project manager
According to Adair an effective project manager must satisfy three overlapping
needs:

These are (1) the needs to get the task done, (2) the need to create an effective
project team and (3) the need to encourage every individual in the team to give
commitment to the project. A successful manager gives sufficient attention to all
three needs to ensure that the project is completed successfully.
Yeates and Cadle have suggested that a project manager requires the following
core skills:
 Leadership skills;
 Understanding of technology (IT knowledge);
 Skills in evaluating and decision making;
 People management;
 Communication skills;
 A knowledge of systems design and maintenance requirements;
 Planning skills;
 Control skills;
 Financial awareness;
 Procurement skills;
 Negotiation skills;
 Skills in negotiating contracts; and
 An awareness of legal issues.

© Emile Woolf International 988 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.7.7 The project team

Definition: Project team


The project team must include individuals with the necessary skills and expertise,
collectively, to achieve the project objectives and deliver the completed IS/IT
system.
A team is assembled for each project, although the composition of the team may
change during the course of the project, as the work progresses and new skills
are required for the next stages of the work.
For a project to design and develop a new IS/IT system in-house, the project team
will include, for at least some of the time:
Systems analysts;
Programmers;
Data analysts; and
User department representative(s).

Systems analysts
Some systems analysts may become involved in a project from the feasibility
study stage, as part of the feasibility study group. They have IT expertise, but
their specific skills are:
 Analysing existing systems, to establish the user’s requirements: they
interview staff of the project customer and analyse and document the
current system; and
 Developing and designing new systems.
They must provide design specifications for the system that can be approved by
the project sponsor, customer or project steering committee. They must also
produce a specification for every part of the new system, sufficient to enable
programmers to write the software on the basis of the specification provided.
After programming has been completed and the software has been tested, one or
more systems analysts should be responsible for systems testing. This involves
testing that all the different parts of the software fit together, and that the IS/IT
system functions properly as a whole.
Programmers
Programmers write the software for the new system, following the detailed
specifications provided by the systems analysts.
Data analysts
Data analysts are specialists in the construction of data files, particularly
databases. Their task is to specify, design and build the database (or databases)
for the IS/IT system. Most of their work is carried out after the systems analysts
have designed the system, although they may assist the systems analysts during
the design stage by producing entity-relationship models (described in a later
chapter).
User department representative
The user or customer for the new system may appoint a representative to the
project team. The role of this representative should be to:

© Emile Woolf International 989 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


 Ensure that the systems analysts have understood the user’s requirements
properly, by checking the details of the system design;
 Learn the new system in detail so that the user department has someone
with an in-depth knowledge of the system when it eventually ‘goes live’;
 Organise training in the new system for user department staff, and write the
user instruction guide; and
 Organise the testing of the system by the user before the finished IS/IT
system is accepted as complete and ready for implementation.
Project team management structure
Project teams usually have a flat management structure. Typically, a project team
may have a manager and no other person with seniority over anyone else.
Everyone in the team, apart from the manager, is brought into the team to
perform a task or function, regardless of his or her experience. There is a distinct
absence of ‘bosses’ and ‘juniors’.
This flat management structure is very different from the traditional structure of a
large department, such as an IT department, which may have two, three or four
grades of management for each IT specialism – for example, chief programmers,
senior programmers, programmers and junior programmers.
A flat management structure is ideal for project work, for several reasons.
 A project team is assembled to undertake a specific project and it is
disbanded when the project is complete.
 Individuals are brought into a project team to perform a specific task or
function, and when they have finished the work for which they were
needed, they can leave the project and move to another project.
 The size and composition of a project team therefore varies throughout the
project, and this makes it difficult to establish a management hierarchy.
 Individuals are brought into a project team for their skills and the work they
can do, not for their management seniority.
 A flat management structure is well-suited to a flexible team structure, and
allows an entity to move its staff from one project to another, without having
to worry about who is more senior and who should be ‘in charge’ – other
than the project manager.
This flexible structuring of project teams also makes it possible for individuals to
move more easily between different projects, and carry out different tasks for
different projects. For example, an individual who is the project manager on one
project may be moved when the project is completed to another project, as
programmer, systems analyst or data analyst.
This flexibility and ability to move individuals from one project to another to do
specific tasks, regardless of their ‘seniority’ or expertise, can only work effectively
if salaries are also flexible. Where a flat management structure is used for project
work, it is usual to have wide salary bands for each type of employee – for
example, a wide salary band for systems analysts. Individuals with a high level of
skill and experience can therefore be paid much more than an inexperienced
person for similar work.

© Emile Woolf International 990 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.7.8 Project quality plan
It is essential that quality is maintained throughout an IS/IT development project,
so that a high-quality system will be achieved at the end of the project.
A project quality plan might be prepared, providing specifications for various
aspects of the project, in order to ensure that the required project quality
standards are achieved.
The project quality plan may contain the following items:
 Project overview - This gives a broad description of the project and its
objectives, and identifies the project user/customer. This section of the
project quality plan should be consistent with the project initiation document
(terms of reference);
 Project organisation - This section of the quality plan specifies the
management and organisation structure for the project, and the
management responsibilities. It includes, for example, the names of:
 The members of the project steering committee;
 The project sponsor;
 The person to contact in each user or customer department;
 The project manager; and
 The project team members.
It should also specify the formal reporting procedures, the methods to be
used for monitoring and controlling the project, and the decision-making
responsibilities.
For example, the quality plan may specify that the progress on the project
should be monitored by a project assurance team (with named members)
which should meet regularly to consider progress reports from the project
manager;
 Project requirements - This section of the project quality plan specifies the
requirements for the project, in terms of what must be delivered. The
project work may be divided into phases, with each phase ending when a
recognisable ‘milestone’ is achieved. Target dates will be set for reaching
each milestone. (The new project may be introduced in stages.)
The project specifications should include performance specifications for the
new system, security specifications, the required standards and any legal
specifications.
The completed project will be tested against these specifications, to make
sure that they have been met successfully;
 Project development - This section of the quality plan specifies the
methods to be used to develop the new system, and the testing
requirements. The different phases of the development work should be
identified, with target completion dates for each phase (e.g. detailed system
analysis, detailed system design, programming, program testing, system
testing, user testing and implementation;
 Quality assurance - This section of the plan specifies how the work on the
project should be reviewed as it progresses, to ensure that it is being
performed to the required standards and specifications. The methods that
will be used to carry out quality assurance checks should be specified.
Quality assurance can be carried out by means of self-checking, by peer

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review by colleagues on the project team or by means of external reviews
by a review team;
 Configuration management. This section of the plan deals with systems
and procedures for the control of software throughout the project. There are
two main elements to configuration control over software:
 Change control - This is concerned with requests for changes to the
detailed specifications for the IS/IT system as the project progresses.
When changes are requested, there should be a formal system for
documenting the requests – including the reason why the change is
needed and why it is desirable. There should be a system for
approving requests for changes, and for ensuring that they are made
correctly (with suitable changes to all system specifications and
programming documentation, and suitable testing to make sure that
the change has been made correctly);
 Version control. During system development, programs may be
altered many times, to correct errors and to implement approved
changes. As a consequence, there may be many different versions of
the same program, and only one of them is the ‘current’ version at
any time. A system for labelling each version of every program must
therefore be applied, so that there is no confusion about the different
versions and the correct version is always used;
 Testing methods - The testing methods to be used must be specified.
These should include program testing, systems testing and user
acceptance testing, to be carried out before the system development is
complete;
 Documentation standards - A section of the quality plan should specify
the documentation that should be produced for the new system. For
example, the requirements specification for a project might be drawn up
using a standard format in order to ensure that nothing is omitted from the
statement of requirements and that the requirements should be
comprehensible;
 Procurement - A section in the quality plan should specify quality
standards for the procurement of hardware and any off-the-shelf software.
For example, the quality plan should state that a specified Invitation to
Tender procedure must be followed for the procurement of major
hardware items such as computer equipment and communications link
rentals;
 The work performance of sub-contractors must also be subject to
specified performance quality standards;
 Risk management - The project quality plan should also specify
requirements for risk management for the project. For example, the plan
might specify that there should be a review of risks at each stage of the
project (by the project team or project assurance team), and that significant
risks should be recorded, together with details of the measures taken to
eliminate or mitigate the risks.

© Emile Woolf International 992 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.8 Project planning: phases and tasks
31.8.1 Splitting a project into phases
A task of the project manager is to plan the work for the project, obtain the resources
(staff, equipment and so on) to carry out the work and schedule the work so that the
project is completed on schedule, or at the earliest possible time.
In order to plan and schedule the work for the project, it is necessary to identify all the
tasks that have to be completed.
A first step in the identification of tasks is to identify the main stages of the project.
Each stage should have an identifiable beginning and an identifiable end (a
‘milestone’). In a typical IS/IT development project the main stages of the project may
include the following:

Stage Starting point Completion point (milestone)


Project planning Project initiation Project quality plan
document/ terms of
reference
System analysis Project quality plan Detailed system specification
and design
Programming Detailed system Completion of system testing
specification
Database design Detailed system Database design specifications
specification and construction of database
Implementation Completed system tests Handover of system to the
and database user/customer
construction

31.8.2 Breakdown of work into lower-level tasks


When the project has been divided into stages, each with its own identifiable
beginning and end (milestone for achievement), the next step is to break down each
stage into more detailed tasks, or ‘lower level tasks.
For example, the systems analysis and design phase might include, as lower-level
tasks:
 Systems analysis and the production of an outline system specification;
 Design of system input;
 Design of system output;
 Design requirements for individual programs (processing requirements); and
 File design.
A large number of lower-level tasks may be identified, although the number of tasks
should be restricted. This is because the project manager will need to plan each task,
and monitor its progress. Identifying too many tasks could make the job of the project
manager too complex.
For each task, the project manager needs to:
 Estimate how much time will be needed to complete the task (measured,
perhaps, in man-days or man-months); and
 Allocate each task to specific individuals or small groups.

© Emile Woolf International 973 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Work breakdown structure: Prince 2

Definition: Work breakdown structure (WBS)


A work breakdown structure (WBS) is a tool or technique for breaking the total
work on a project into smaller and smaller parts, such as:
the main stages of a project stages
the lower-level tasks within each stage, and
work packages, which are items of work within each lower-level task.
Work for each small part of the project can then be allocated to an individual or
team. This helps managers to plan the work for the project and allocate each
item of work to individual members of the project team.

Example: Prince 2
In the UK, a WBS system in common use for project planning is Prince 2. Prince
stands for ‘Projects in Controlled Environments’. It was first developed in 1989 by
the UK government.
Prince 2 provides ‘product breakdown structure’ (PBS) for a project development.
The project, which is seen as consisting of a number of ‘products’, is broken down
from the top-down into smaller and smaller work packages. This enables the
project activities to be identified within the context of work packages. Work
packages are allocated to individuals and teams. The project manager can then
monitor the completion of each work package to control the project deliverables
(including cost, time and quality).

31.8.3 Dependencies between lower-level tasks


A problem with the scheduling of tasks and allocation of tasks to individual project
team members is to prepare realistic estimates of how long each task might take to
complete. There will be some uncertainty in the estimates.
Another problem is that many tasks in a project are inter-dependent. This means that
some tasks cannot be started until other tasks have been completed. For example,
program software cannot be written until the system has been specified. Programs
cannot be tested until they have been written. A system cannot be implemented by
the user until the files in the old system have been converted into files for the new
system.
Some tasks can be carried out at the same time, in parallel with each other. For
example, programming and database design may happen side-by-side. New
equipment for the IT system can be procured whilst the system is being programmed
and tested.
In order to schedule a project efficiently, so that it is completed in the shortest time
possible (or by a target completion date), the project manager needs to identify the
inter-dependencies between certain tasks.
Having specified the tasks to be completed, the resources required for each task, the
estimated time to complete each task and the inter-dependencies between them, the
project manager can prepare a schedule for the project. It is common to use planning
tools or techniques to prepare this schedule. The most common planning tools are:
 Network analysis (also called critical path analysis); and
 Gantt charts.

© Emile Woolf International 974 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.9 Project monitoring and control
The project manager has the primary responsibility for monitoring and control of projects
during their development stage. However, the project manager is accountable to the
project steering committee, or the project sponsor or the system user (the customer).
The project steering committee might appoint a Project Assurance team, to carry out
an independent monitoring role. This team would discuss progress at regular intervals
with the project manager. It should also satisfy itself that each milestone for the project
has been successfully reached.

31.9.1 Quality, time and cost


The main aspects of a project that should be monitored and controlled are quality,
completion times and cost.
 The quality of the work carried out for the project development can be
monitored by comparing actual achievements against the requirements that are
set out in the project quality plan.
 The completion time for the project can be monitored by comparing the planned
completion times for the critical path activities with the actual completion times.
 Costs can be monitored by comparing actual expenditure with budgeted
expenditure, on a regular basis (for example, in monthly budgetary control reports).

31.9.2 Monitoring completion times: slippage


A CPA chart can be used by the project manager to:
 Check whether the time-critical activities are being completed on schedule;
 Recognise by how much non-critical activities can be delayed without risking
the completion time for the project as a whole;
 Recognise when the completion time for an activity has over-run the schedule (and
there is ‘slippage’ in the timetable for completion) and analyse what the
consequences of the slippage will be for the completion time for the entire project;
and
 Allocate extra resources to time-critical activities if there is a risk of delay, or if
the expected slippage is unacceptable.

31.9.3 Amending a CPA chart


A CPA chart is a management tool to assist project managers with the control over
the project completion time. If the chart gets out of date, because critical dates are
missed, or because new estimates are prepared for the expected time to complete
individual activities, the CPA chart can be updated and re-drawn.
It is important to remember that the CPA chart should have practical value. If it ceases to
provide realistic information, it is no longer of any value to a project manager.

31.9.4. Project management software


Project managers may use off-the-shelf project management software to help them to
plan, monitor and control a project. The software enables project managers to use
project management techniques with the assistance of a PC or laptop computer.

Example: Project management software


An example of project management software is Microsoft Project.

Features of project management software


Typically, project management software helps project managers to:
 Create a list of tasks for the project and their expected duration;
© Emile Woolf International 975 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria
 Construct a CPA chart or a Gantt chart;
 Assign resources to each task;
 Prepare a budget for the project;
 Track the progress of tasks (and update the CPA chart from time to time);
 Record and monitor actual costs;
 Manage the documents for the project; and
 Prepare progress reports.
Software helps the project managers to amend plans more quickly, and prepare
revised CPA charts and Gantt charts, and revised budgets.
It also helps managers to prepare better and more comprehensive project
documentation.
The main functions/benefits of project management software
The main functions of project management software can be summarised as follows:
 To produce and edit CPA charts or Gantt charts easily. The project manager
simply has to enter the activities, their interdependencies and their expected
duration. The software will then construct the CPA chart or Gantt chart
automatically. Charts can also be amended when project activities are changed.
They can also be updated to the current position at any time during the project,
for example when there has been slippage, so that the project manager can
establish the current expected completion time for the project;
 To provide an accounting function for the project, by helping the project
manager to prepare a budget, record actual expenditure and monitor actual
costs against the budget; and
 To plan and monitor the use of resources on the project, particularly the number
of staff working on the project. The project manager can enter the staff
requirements for each activity, and the software will produce a detailed estimate
of staff numbers required each day or week of the project. Where the resources
required exceeds the resources available, the project manager can then use the
software to look for ways of reducing staff requirements at peak times without
affecting the overall project completion time, by:
 delaying the start of non-critical activities; or
 reducing the number of staff assigned to non-critical activities, and
allowing these activities to take a longer time to complete.

31.9.5 Managing the team


As well as the technical team management responsibilities described above the team
manager is also responsible for managing the team members. Responsibilities may
include some or all of the below:
 Selecting personnel and building the team;
 Delegating roles and responsibilities;
 Motivating team members;
 Communicating information amongst the team;
 Rewarding the team; and
 Disciplining team members.

© Emile Woolf International 976 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


31.9.6 Role of the accountant
The numeracy and business skills of accountants are highly valued in project
management. Project managers need to:
 Understand the economics of different options and decisions:
 Be able to forecast costs and profit;
 Generate accurate network analyses and Gantt charts;
 Use spreadsheets effectively; and
 Consider the impact of external factors as well as internal factors relevant to the
project.
Accountants bring a wealth of business experience to projects and can be highly
effective as either project managers or as advisors to project managers.

31.10 Chapter review


At the end of this chapter, readers should be able to:
(a) Implement performance management systems;
(b) Explain impact of IT on employer/employee relations;
(c) Identify problem areas: organisational impact analysis;
(d) Discuss system implementation
(e) Explain feasibility study;
(f) Discuss cost-benefit analysis: costs and benefits;
(g) Explain project initiation;
(h) Discuss project planning: phases and tasks; and
(i) Explain project monitoring and control.

© Emile Woolf International 977 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


I
Skills level
Performance management

Index

Anthony, R N 4, 853
a levels of planning
Appraisal costs
4, 853
141
ARR 765
ABC method
advantages 62 advantages 767
disadvantages 62 disadvantages 767
method of inventory control 703 Aspirational budgets 179
Absorption Attainable standards 219
costing 41 Average
advantages and disadvantages 52 collection period 670
rates 41 payables period 671
Accessibility of information 910 Avoidable costs 460
Accounting rate of return (ARR) 428
method 765
Acid test ratio
Activity
334
b
based
budgeting 169 Backflush accounting 103
costing 53 trigger point 107
ratio 274 two trigger points 104
Additive model 201 Bad debt/s 717
Adverse variances 226 costs 713
Advocacy threats 65 Balanced scorecard approach 350, 354
Aged debtors list 716 Bank
Aggressive funding policies 667 loans - short-term 755
Annuity 785 overdraft/s 755
Ansoff’s growth vector balance 334
analysis 886 facility 667
gap analysis 887 Bargaining power of
customers 869

© Emile Woolf International 975 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

suppliers 869
Basic
and non-basic variables 553
c
standards 219
Baumol model 747 C Analysis 891
BCG matrix 871 Capacity utilisation ratio 273
Capital
Benchmarking 348, 892
process 892 budgeting 761
Benefits of LCC 90, 92 expenditure 761
Beyond investment 868
projects 761
budgeting 186
model 188 Carbon footprint 353
Cash
performance management 189
Round Table (BBRT) 186 budgets 737
Big data 917 cows 872
Boehm’s spiral model 962 discount 723
flow/s
Bonds 754
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) forecasts 738
model 871 from operations 674
Bottlenecks 99 statement approach 739
Bottom-up budgeting 163 management 753
Break-even larger organisations 756
analysis 478 management/management of
chart 484 cash 735
point 478 models 747
Budget 157 operating cycle 668
committee 158 shortfalls 755
manual 158 Certificates of Deposits 754
period 157 Changes in
process 160 strategic plans 5, 854
slack (budget bias) 179 working capital 784
slack 166 Characteristics of services 359
Budgetary Code of ethics 63
control 158 Collection of receivables 670
systems 163 Committed borrowing facility 674
Budget-constrained style 184 Competitive
Budgeting 157 benchmarking 349, 894
Buffer stock 694 rivalry 867
Building blocks 361 strength: five forces 866
Burritt et al (2001) 108 Complementary products 618
Business Conservative funding policies 667
information 17 Constraints 98, 524
operating cycle 668 Continuous budget 164
process re-engineering (BPR) 949 Contribution
per unit 475
sales ratio 475, 477
Control 3
reporting 214

© Emile Woolf International 976 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Index

Controllable profit 426 factors 719


Corner point theorem 529 finance 720
Cost ratios 337
centre 423 Decentralisation 425
drivers 55 of authority 425
gap 80 Decision
leadership 857 package 167
market strategy 618 support systems (DSS) 927
of quality 139 trees 635
plus pricing 612 Decision-making
pools 56 marginal costing 510
sales ratios 333 Demand
variances 226 and supply 593
Cost-based pricing methods 611 curves 602
Costs of Depreciation: ROI 439
conformance 139, 141 Deprival value 464
non-conformance 139, 143 De-skilling 946
Cost-volume-profit analysis 475 Differential
Credit 713, 715 cost 460
checks 715 pricing 611, 619
insurance 719 Differentiation 858
limit 716 Dimensions of performance 361
period 716 Direct
risk/s labour
insurance 727 efficiency variance 236
protection 727 rate
terms 713 and efficiency variances 234
Critical success factors 933 variance 235
Cumulative average time per unit 126 materials usage variance 230
Current Discount
ratio 334 factors 777
standards 219 tables 780
Customer Discounted
benchmarking 898 cash flow (DCF) analysis 781
perspective 354 payback period 818
satisfaction 346 Diversification strategy 858, 887
CVP analysis 475 Divisional autonomy 397
Divisional performance evaluation 425
Dogs 872
d Double taxation agreement
Dual price/s
413
547
limit 552
Data warehouses 920 pricing 411
DCF 764
and inflation 801
Debt/s 383
efficient collection 717
factoring 755

© Emile Woolf International 977 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

e f
Early settlement discount 723 Factors 719
Earnings per share growth 381 Familiarity threats 65
EBITDA 381, 739 Favourable variances 226
Economic Feedback 171
order quantity (EOQ) 689 Feed-forward control 171
Value Added (EVA) 441 Feigenbaum, Armand 139
Economies of scale 868 Financial
Economy 375 performance 326
Effectiveness 375 indicators 328
Efficiency 375 perspective 354
ratio 272 risk 336
Elastic demand 599 Fitzgerald and Moon 360
EMA techniques 110 building block model 359
Environmental Five Forces model 866
accounting 108 Fixed
activity based accounting 110 budget 173
analysis model/s 860, 861 overheads variances - causes 256
analysis models production overhead
EPS 381 capacity variance 255
Equity 755 cost variances 250
Equivalent annual cost/s 831 efficiency variance 254
method 832 expenditure variance 252
Ethics volume variance 252
and Conduct 63 Flexible budgets 174
in performance management 63 Foreign
Ex currency risks 726
ante exchange risk 726
and ex post standards or trade 726
budgets 302 Formal strategic planning 854
standard 302 Forward exchange contract 727
post standard 302 Four Ps (The) 889, 890
Executive information systems (EIS) 928 FPIs for measuring
Existing competitors 867 financial risk 336
Expectational budgets 179 liquidity 333
Expected values 631 profitability 329
Expenditure variance 245 Free cash flow 745
Expert systems (ES) 928 Full cost plus pricing 611
External Functional
failure costs 143 benchmarking 898
intermediate market 402, 406 budgets 159

© Emile Woolf International 978 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Index

Internal
g benchmarking
failure costs
348, 893
143
perspective 354
Gap analysis 857 rate of return (IRR) 792
Gearing ratio (leverage) 337 approach 764
Government bonds 754 792
Interpolation formula 793
Gross profit margin 331 method
Groupware 945
Interrelationships between variances 261
Growth vector 888
Intimidation threats 66
Inventory

h in throughput accounting
reorder level
96
694
turnover period 669
Heterogeneity 359 Inventory-out 694
High/low analysis 27 Investing short term 753
Holding cash 735 Investment
Home working 944 appraisal 761, 763
Human resources 345 centre 422
projects 761, 762
Invoice discounting 722

i IRR method
advantages 798
disadvantages 798
Ideal IT systems
standards 219 and
transfer price 398 competitive advantage 932
Idle time variance 237 performance management 931
Importance of CVP analysis 499 for providers of services 930
Imputed interest 434
Incremental
budgeting
cost
166
458, 608
j
revenue 608
Inelastic demand 599 JIT
Inflation and long-term projects 801 production 103, 701
Information purchasing 103, 701
external sources 24, 913 Joint product further processing
decisions 586
internal sources 22, 912
Just-in-Time (JIT) 103, 701
Innovation
and learning perspective 354
strategy
Instant access
887
921 k
Intangibility 359
Integrity 63 Kaizen costing 112
Interest cover ratio 339 Kaplan
Interest-earning deposits 754
and Norton 354

© Emile Woolf International 979 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

relevance lost 74 Marginal


Key performance indicators 934 cost plus pricing 614
Knowledge work systems (KWS) 929 costing 44
advantages and disadvantages 52
for decision-making 510
l revenue
Market
603

development strategy 858, 887


Labour penetration prices 618
efficiency variance 236 penetration strategy 858, 886
rate variance 235 share variance 311
variances - causes 243 size variance 311
League tables 894 Market skimming prices 617
Learning curve 125 Marketing mix 890
formula 128 Mark-up pricing 614
graph 131 Master budget 158
Legacy information systems 967 Matching funding policies 667
Letter of credit 726 Material/s
Levels of mix variance 290
management 11 price variance 229
performance management 905 purchase quantities 687
Lewin’s ‘three stage’ change process 958 variances - causes 233
Life cycle costing 88 yield variance 291
Linear Maximax decision rule 652
programming 523 Maximin decision rule 653
of business problems 527 Maximum inventory level 696
regression analysis 37 Measures of business growth 380
Liquid assets 674 Measuring
Liquidity 333, 382, 674, 735, 753 performance 326
problems 664 slopes 531
ratios 334, 675 Methods of benchmarking 893
Lower limit 749 Miller-Orr model 749
Minimax regret decision rule 653
Minimum inventory level 696
m Mix
and yield variances 289
variance 291, 317
Macro-environment 860 Money
Make-or-buy decisions 575 cost of capital 803
Management market investments 754
accounting 9 Monopoly pricing 594
systems 73
Monte Carlo simulation 641
trends 77
Moving averages 194
change 961
Multi production CVP analysis 488
information systems (MIS) 925
Multiple objectives 374
levels 17
quality-related costs 145, 151
Margin of safety 480

© Emile Woolf International 980 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Index

Over-absorbed fixed production


n overhead
Overhead
251

costs 55, 169


Negotiated transfer prices 411 expenditure variances 252
Net Overtrading 680
present value (NPV)
approach 764
method
profit margin
781
331
p
New
entrants 867 Participation in budget setting 180
product development 80 Payables 729
Nominal rate of return 806 Payback 768
Non-accounting style 184 method
Non-financial performance 327 advantages 770
indicators (NFPIS) 343 decision rule 768
Non-quantifiable objectives 373 disadvantages 770
Non-recourse factoring 719 Pay-off
Not-for-profit organisations 373 matrix 632
Notional interest 434 table 632, 650
NPV method Percentage annual growth in sales 329
advantages 797 Performance
disadvantages 797 indicators 328
management systems 327
measurement 9
o reporting
Periodic
227

budget 164
Objective function 529 review system 703
Office automation systems (OAS) 926 Perishability 359
One-off decision making 4 PEST analysis also see SLEP
Operating analysis 862
cash flow 673 PESTEL
statement - standard marginal analysis 862
costing 270 limitations 865
statement 263 model 861
Operational Place 890
benchmarking 349 Planning 3
information 19, 907 gap 857
management 12, 905 variance/s 302, 303
planning 4, 853 Porter/’s
variances 302, 303 Diamond model 861
Opportunity costs 462 successful competitive strategy 857
Order quantity with price Present value of a perpetuity 788
discounts 687, 692
Prevention costs 142
Organisation structure 421 Price 890
Outsourcing 575
discrimination 619

© Emile Woolf International 981 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

elasticity of demand 598 measures of efficiency 378, 379


Pricing decisions 593 Question marks 872
Primary performance objective 380 Quick ratio 334
Principal budget factor 159
Probabilities and expected values 175
Probability table
Process benchmarking
699
897
r
Processing methods 919
Product 890 Ratio analysis 328
benchmarking Real
(reverse engineering) 899 cost of capital 806
development strategy 858, 887 rate of return 802
differentiation 617 Receivables 715
life cycle 91, 596 Reconciling budgeted and actual
lines 618 profit 263
Production Recording
overhead expenditure variance 252 and processing methods 919
volume ratio 274 data 919
Profit Regression
centre 422 analysis 37
margin 331 formulae 38
table 650 Relative merits of NPV and IRR: 797
Profit/volume chart (P/V chart) 486 multiple IRRs 800
Profitability 753 mutually exclusive projects 799
index 784 Relevant
Profit-conscious style 184 costs 463, 509
Project labour 465
management software 971 materials 463
monitoring and control 970 overheads 467
Promotion 890 costing 457
Proportional model 203 applications 575
Reorder level 694, 695
Replacing
q assets
considering time value 831
ignoring time value 827
Qualitative components 835
data Reputational costs 144
difficulties of recording and Residual income (RI) 434
processing 921 Return
indicators 343 on
Qualities of good information 908 capital employed (ROCE) 381
Quality 139, 346 investment (ROI) pricing 615
failures 142 Investment (ROI) 428
time and cost 970 point 749
Quality-related costs 139 Revenue
Quantitative centre 422
indicators 343 expenditure 761

© Emile Woolf International 982 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Index

Revolving credit facility 674 SLEPT analysis also see PEST


Rewards 364 analysis 862
RFID tagging 920 Slippage 970
Risk 629, 808 Social and environmental
adjusted discount rates 817 performance 351
and uncertainty in capital Solvency 382
investment appraisal 808 Sources of information 22, 912
averse decision maker 630 Spread 749
neutral decision maker 630 Spreadsheet/s 161, 177
preference 630 model 646
Risk-seeking decision maker 630 Stakeholder-based measures of
ROI: investment decisions 431 performance 351
Rolling budget 164 Standard/s
costing 213
costs 212

s of performance
reviewing
363, 366
220
Stars 871
Safety 753 Stock-out 694
inventory 695 Strategic
Sales benchmarking 898
mix and quantity variances 297 information 18, 906
price variance 257 management 11, 904
revenue - net working capital performance 380
ratio 679 planning 4, 853
variances 257 and control 4, 853
causes 259 process 6
volume variance 258 Stress testing 810
Savings accounts 754 Substitute products 870
Scarce resources 513 Success and failure of information
Seasonal variations 201 systems 951
Security of information 911 Sunk costs 461
Self-interest threats 64 Supply lead time 694
Self-review threats 65 Surplus cash 664, 753
Sensitivity analysis 646, 810 Sustainability 351
Setting standards 219 SWOT analysis 881
Settlement discounts 723, 729 strengths and weaknesses 881
Shortfalls of cash 755 threats and opportunities 883, 885
Short-term bank loans 755
Short-termism 350
Shutdown decisions
Simplex
584
553
t
final tableau 565
Simulation 640 Tactical
Simultaneity 359 information 19, 906
Single limiting factor 513 management 12, 904
Slack 552 planning 4, 853
Target

© Emile Woolf International 983 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Performance management

costing 79
profit and CVP analysis
Tax rules on transfer prices
481
413
u
Three Es (3Es) 375
Three Ps (3Ps) 351 Uncertainty 629, 808
Throughput 95 in budgeting 173
accounting 94 Under- and over-absorption 42
ratio 100 Under-absorbed fixed production
overhead 251
productivity 100
Upper limit 749
Time value of money 777
Usage variance 230
Top-down budgeting 163
User resistance 956
Total
fixed
overhead cost variance
production overhead cost
250
v
variance 251
Quality Management (TQM) 151
Value
Traceable profit 426
chain (The) 878
Trade
analysis 877
payables 729
for
receivables 715
money 373, 375
administration 719
audits 376
references 715
imperfect information 638
Traditional budgeting: weaknesses 186
perfect information 637
Transaction processing systems
(TPS) 924 Variable
Transfer/s overhead efficiency variance 245
at cost 388, 391 production overhead efficiency
variance 246
opportunity cost of 399
production overhead expenditure
price variance 245
full cost plus 410 Variances
incremental cost plus 410 interrelationships 261
market price 409 and controllability 214
variable cost plus 410
Volume
pricing 387 discounting 619
at variance 252
cost plus 394
market price 396

Treasury
practice 409
w
bills 754
bonds 754 Weaknesses of CVP analysis 500
department 756 What if analysis 177, 646
functions 756 With recourse factoring 720
Triple bottom line reporting 352 Withholding tax 413
Two bin system 702 Without recourse factoring 719
Two-part transfer prices 410

© Emile Woolf International 984 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria


Index

Working capital 663


and DCF
cycle
784
666
y
fluctuating 667
foreign trade 726 Yield variance 291
investment 665
permanent 667
policy 666 z
Zero based budgeting (ZBB) 166

© Emile Woolf International 985 The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria

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