HUM 4651 Project Planning and Management
Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
How to Find Me
           • Contact info:
             •   Email: naser.chowdhury@gmail.com
             •   http://www.naserchowdhury.com
             •   Mobile: +8801722246999
             •   Available normally:
                                     > 8.30 pm (sms)
Course Overview
 • Text Book available at
       Sumon Library
       169 New Market Dhaka 1205
       Phone : 8614561
  1. Project Management - Rajeev M. Gupta
  2. PMBOK (pdf)
  3. Principles of Construction Safety (pdf)
  4. Project Management - R.B. Khanna
 • Format:
   Combination of lectures and in-class exercises
Grading
 • Assignments & Quizzes
   – Random assignment to individual/Group
   – Demonstrate engagement with the course materials
   – Watch video and Assessment
 • Mid-term
   – Short Notes; short Questions, Problem Solving
 • Final exam
   – Descriptive, Critical Thinking,
 • Class Attendance
  - Participations
Expectations
What I Expect from You
•   Attendance. I expect you to attend every class
•   Participation. Strongly encouraged
•   Group work. Presentation and active participation
•   Assignments.
What to Expect from Me
• Exams will be based on text and lecture notes; so even if we
  don’t review it in the lecture, if it is in the text, it is fair game
• Use practical examples to highlight relevance of theories
• Available after class or by appt.
What are the objective of
showing those pictures?
          ?
                            1
                            2
                            3
Today’s reality...
Construction is complex and challenging
Delays, changes, disputes, accidents cost more
than ever …
Owners don’t have the expertise or the staff to
stay on top
   Success demands collaboration... and
              leadership!
Construction Management
Construction Management is a professional service that
applies effective management techniques to the planning,
design and construction of a project from inception to
completion for the purpose of controlling time, cost and
quality
Construction Management Values
 Construction Management is a
discipline and management
system specifically created to
promote      the      successful
execution of capital projects for
owners
  These projects can be highly
complex. Few owners maintain
the staff resources necessary to
pay close, continuing attention
to every detail; yet these details
can “make or break” a project
Management
The planning, organizing, leading, and
controlling of human and other resources to
achieve organizational goals effectively and
efficiently
Basic resources
 •   Workforce
                          •   Material
 •   Subcontractors
                          •   Information
 •   Equipment
                          •   Time
 •   Construction plant
                          •   Money
Construction is an unique industry
because:
•   Not performed in controlled conditions, therefore
    highly impacted by weather and other
    environmental conditions
•   Seasonality
•   Each project is unique
•   Remotes sites with various access problems
•   Process is not as predictable
•   Difficulty in applying automation
•   High potential for encountering unforeseen
    conditions
•   Costs can vary according to conditions
Construction is an unique industry
because:
•   Difficult to manage and supply utilities and other
    resources.
•   Technical innovations are adopted slower.
•   Success is dependent upon the quality of its people.
•   Very custom-oriented
•   Product can be of mind-boggling size, cost, and
    complexity
    Problem Facing in Construction
    Industry:
•    Highly traditional and fragmented; slow to
     embrace new technology
•    Restrictive/outdated building codes
•    Labor agreements and craft jurisdictional
     issues
•    Liability and legal considerations
•    Lack of profit motive or other incentive
Problem Facing in Construction
Industry:
•   Government regulations
•   Environmental constraints
•   NIMBY syndrome
•   Global competition
Project Management
Optimize the three attributes of: quality, cost, and
time
 Principle objective of a construction manager is to complete
 each project on time and within budget, while maintaining
 acceptable levels of safety and risk
                                      CM
                                    Safety
                          Time                  Cost
                                    Quality
4 Functions of Management
Planning
Process of identifying and selecting
appropriate organizational goals and courses of
action
Steps in Planning…
•   Deciding which goals the organization will pursue
•   Deciding what courses of action to adopt to attain
    those goals
•   Deciding how to allocate organizational resources
 Why do Planning?
• To asses the company’s        • To give firm direction.
  position [strengths and       • To make sure the goals of
  weaknesses], and the            all parties are aligned.
  [opportunities and threats]   • To ensure that different
  it faces.                       functional areas have
• To set goals, establish         coordinated efforts.
  priorities, and develop       • To outline potential
  strategies.                     alternative actions the firm
• To plan the deployment of       can take.
  resources needed to attain    • To project costs.
  the goals selected.
                                • To assess performance.
Video Time!
Organizing
Task managers perform to create a structure of
working relationships that allow organizational
members to interact and cooperate to achieve
organizational goals
• Involves grouping people into departments according to the
  kinds of job-specific tasks they perform
• Managers lay out lines of authority and responsibility
• Decide how to coordinate organizational resources
Leading
Articulating a clear organizational vision for its
members to accomplish, and energize and enable
employees so that everyone understands the part they
play in achieving organizational goals
Leadership involves using power, personality, and
influence, persuasion, and communication skills
Outcome of leadership is highly motivated and committed
workforce
Controlling
Task of managers is to evaluate how well an
organization has achieved its goals and to take
any corrective actions needed to maintain or
improve performance
   The outcome of the control process is the ability to
   measure performance accurately and regulate
   organizational efficiency and effectiveness
Levels of Management
4 Managerial Functions
First line managers - Responsible for daily supervision of the
non-managerial employees who perform many of the specific
activities necessary to produce goods and services
Middle managers - Supervise first-line managers.
Responsible for finding the best way to organize human and
other resources to achieve organizational goals
Top managers - Responsible for the performance of all
departments and have cross-departmental responsibility and
ultimately responsible for the success or failure of an
organization
CEO - is company’s most senior and important manager,
concerns about creation of a smoothly functioning
top-management team
4 Managerial Functions
Construction Contracts
Elements of a legal contract:
•   offer
•   acceptance
•   consideration
•   legal in every respect
•   requires a meeting of the minds
•   offer + acceptance = binding obligation
Video Time!
Why written contracts?
 1.     Basic lack of trust
 2.     Clearly establishes the risks and obligations of each party
 3.     Provides means by which performance can be assessed
        and measured
 4.     Provides means by which breaches can be identified
 5.     Provides means by which default can be established
 6.     Establishes the owner’s means of control
 7.     Establishes the contractor’s scope of work
        What does a written contract do for us?
      • A written contract provides the document by which risks,
        obligations, and relationships of both parties are clearly
        established, thus ensuring the performance of these
        elements in a disciplined manner.
Types of Construction Contracts
 1. Lump Sum or Fixed Price Contract
 2. Unit Price Contract
 3. Cost Plus Percentage Fee
 4. Cost Plus Fixed Fee
1. Lump Sum or Fixed Price Contract
• The Owner knows the actual cost of the project before
  it begins
• Contractor required to achieve the project at the
  Bid/Negotiated Contract Value
• Minimize the risk for the Owner if the project is well
  estimated, contractual documents accurate, and project
  clearly defined
• High risk for the Contractor in case of many unforeseen.
  Usually a high incentive to finish early at low cost
2. Unit Price Contract
• Agreement on the price charged per unit by the Contractor to
  the Owner
• Contractor overhead must be integrated in the Unit’s Prices
• The lowest bidder is normally selected
• Necessity of an Owner presence on site to measure the actual
  quantities
• Highly dependant on the accuracy of the estimation of the
  quantities given by the Owner/Designer
   – Difficult to accurately quantify the work necessary
   – Contractor can make a more profit because payment is based
     on actual quantities but he can also lose money in the same
     way
   – The total cost for the Owner can be greater than planned
Unit Price: Example
 • Activities:
    – Footings          80 $/sq ft
    – Columns       1,550 $/unit
 • Scheduled quantities:
    – Footings      100 sq ft
    – Columns       9 units
 • Contract initial value:
    – 80 * 100 + 1,550 * 9 = 14,750 $
3. Cost Plus Percentage Fee
• The Owner is paying the actual cost plus a fixed
  percentage fee
• High risk for the Owner
• Maximum flexibility for the Owner
• Used only if the pricing could not be calculated in any
  other way and if it is urgent
• No financial insurance of ultimate cost
• Little incentive to reduce cost
• The contractor agrees to do his best effort to achieve the
  goal
• Whatever the quality of the work, the reward is the same
  but the owner gets the quality he pays for
Cost Versus Price for Cost Plus %
4. Cost Plus Fixed Fee
• Cost may vary but the fee remains firm
• The fee is independent of the duration of the project
• Used only if the pricing could not be determined in an
  alternative manner
• No financial insurance of ultimate cost
• Little incentive to reduce costs but high incentive to finish
  early
• The contractor agrees to make best efforts to complete the
  work
• Promotes collaboration at the early stages of the project
 Features of Construction Contracts
  Lump Sum Contract: features include -
❖ all the risks are taken care off by the contractor
❖ Higher markup can be asked in order to take care of unforeseen contingencies
❖ if the actual cost of the project is underestimated, the underestimated cost will
 reduce contractor’s profit by that amount
❖ But overestimate may reduce the chance of being a low bidder
  Unit Price Contract:             features include -
❖ Risk of inaccurate estimation of uncertain quantities for some key tasks has
 been removed in this contract
❖ Some contractors may submit an unbalanced bid when it discovers large
 discrepancies between its estimates and the owner’s estimates of quantities.
❖ Owner may disqualify the contractor if it appears to be heavily unbalanced.
 Types of Construction Contract
  Unit Price Contract: features include -
❖ To the extent of an underestimate or overestimate, neither error will effect
 the contractor’s profit beyond the markup in the unit prices.
  Cost Plus Percentage Fee: features include -
❖ Only in compelling reasons, such as urgency or emergency time
❖ Contractor will receive the actual direct job cost plus a fixed percentage
❖ Owner may disqualify the contractor if the bid appears to be heavily
 unbalanced.
 Contractual Risk Allocation
                                    RISK SHARING METER
                                         Modified from Kerzner, 2000
100 %                  Lump-Sum (Fixed Price)                                             0%
                              Fixed-Price w/ Economic Price Adjustments
   CONTRACTOR’S RISK
                                      Fixed-Price Incentive
                                                                                       OWNER’S RISK
                                                       Cost-Plus Incentive
                                   Cost-Plus Fixed Fee
                                                            Cost-Sharing
 0%
                       RISK Allocation                          Cost-Plus Percentage   100 %
Contract Documents
 •   Advertisement for bids
 •   Information for bidders
 •   Bid form
 •   General notices
 •   Notice of award        •   Contract form or agreement
 •   Notice to proceed      •   General conditions or provisions
 •   Bid bond               •   Supplemental and/or special
                                conditions
 •   Performance bond
                            •   Plans
                            •   Specifications
Documents forming Contract
The following documents forming the contract shall be
interpreted in the following order of priority:
• The Signed Contract Agreement
• The notification of Award (NOA)
• Completed Tender and acceptance of tender
• Particular Conditions of Contract (PCC)
• General Conditions of Contract (GCC)
• Tender Specifications
• General Specifications
• Drawing
• Bill of Quantities (BOQ)
• Any other documents listed in PCC
Examples of GCC and PCC
GCC 25.1 Instructions: The contractor shall carry out all the
instructions of the PM that comply with the applicable law
GCC 28.1 Working hours: The contractor shall not perform any work
on the site on the weekly holidays or during the night or outside the
normal hours or on any religious holiday, without the prior written
approval from the PM
GCC 41.1 Completion of works: The contractor shall carry out the
works in accordance with the programme of works submitted by the
contractor and as updated with the approval of the PM
GCC 43.3 Programme of works: If the contractor dose not submit
an updated programme at an intervals stated in the PCC, the PM may
withhold an amount as stated in the PCC
PCC: The Contractor shall submit a programme for the works within
7 (seven) days of singing the contract.
Construction Contract
  Bidders are required to complete these
    investigations prior to bidding:
     • examine all portions of the contract documents
     • examine the physical conditions of the site
     • determine legal requirements affecting the work
Specification
 Standard, supplemental, and special provisions
 • 02 types of specifications:
    • Method specification dictates equipment and
      procedures
    • Performance specification specifies only the desired
      end result or product
Submittals required in Contracts
    •   Copies of subcontracts
    •   Shop drawings and support calculations
    •   Catalog cuts
    •   Material or equipment samples
    •   Schedule(s)
    •   Certified payrolls
    •   Certificates of insurance
    •   Environmental test reports
    •   Material test reports & certifications
CEE 4801 Project Planning and Management
                     Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
Video Time!
Project and its Characteristics
 A project is a temporary endeavor involving a connected sequence
 of activities and a range of resources, which is designed to achieve
 a specific and unique outcome and which operates within time,
 cost and quality constraints and which is often used to introduce
 change.
  Characteristic of a project
 • A unique, one-time operational activity or effort
 • Requires the completion of a large number of interrelated
  activities
 • Established to achieve specific objective
 • Resources, such as time and/or money, are limited
 • Typically has its own management structure
 • Need leadership
Important Aspects of a Project:
 • Starting Date
 • Specific Goals and Conditions
 • Defined responsibilities
 • A Budget
 • A Planning
 • A fixed end date
 • Parties involvement
Are these Projects?
 •   Building a wall
 •   Implementing a new system
 •   Mowing the lawn
 •   Planning a wedding
 •   Planning a fund raising
 •   Planning a student graduation
Project and Operation Mngt
Project Mngt                    Operation Mngt
 Non-repetitive                 Repetitive
 Multi-skilled or very highly   Limited skills, a huge learning
 specialized workforce          effect
 Scope, performance, time       Profit generated, cost reduced
 and cost                       quality of product/services
 Subcontracting is essential    Generally avoided
 Very high risk as generally    Generally avoided, use of
 no chance of recursion         improvement always here
 Fixed, ceases with             Continuous in nature
 assignment                     Maintenance of existing things
 Creation of new thing
Goal Vs Dream
Goal Vs Objective
Objectives of Project Management
                                            Dependent on all the 3
   Fixed tenure Start to End                     attributes
                                                C = f (P, T, S)
                           Time
                                                 Expectations
                   Cost            Scope
 Within Budget
                          Performan
                              ce
                                  Service achieved upto
                                       expectation
Managing Project
A project’s result is influenced by managing people. It is the
people who delivers the project not process or system.
A sponsor can assign values to any 3 variables, but the
Project Manager must determine the remaining one.
 Triangle showing the relationships between P, T, S and C
Socio-Technical Approach to Project
Management
Managing a project is a multi-dimensional process.
First dimension is the
technical side of mngt
process. It includes
planning, scheduling and
controlling project.
Second dimension is the
socio-cultural side of
project mngt. It includes
project culture set by
PM that stimulates
teamwork, motivation,
political support of top
mngt
The Steps in Managing a Project
Managing a Project
Project Managers are under enormous pressure to complete
the project on Time.
When deadlines are missed, project schedule get tightened,
work is rushed and as a result quality of work suffers.
A project’s result is influenced by managing people. It is the
people who delivers the project not process or system.
Project Stakeholders
Project stakeholders are individuals and organizations that
are actively involved in a project or whose interest may be
+ve/-ve ly affected as a result of project execution or project
completion.
Key Stakeholders are:
Project Manager
Customer
Performing Organization
Project Team members
Sponsor
Examples of Project …
Can this be a project?
Project and its Characteristics …cont.
 • Most realistic projects are large and complex
 • Tens of thousands of steps and millions of dollars may be
   involved
 • Managing large-scale, complicated projects effectively is
   a difficult problem and the stakes are high
 • The first step in planning and scheduling a project is to
   develop the work breakdown structure (WBS)
 • Time, cost, resource requirements, predecessors, and
   people required are identified for each activity
 • Then a schedule for the project can be developed
Project Life cycle and its Phases
A project has 4 phases
1. Concept Phase
2. Planning Phase
3. Implementation Phase
4. Termination Phase
 CDEF
Overall 85% effort and 40% time of the overall project is consumed
during the implementation phase, whereas planning phase consume 9%
efforts and 30% of time.
Project Life Cycle and its phases…cont.
Influence of Change Vs Cost of Change
  Risky aspects of a project. As the project progress, the cost to make
   change increases drastically and value addition becomes difficult
Classification of Projects
 On the basis of duration, quantum of investment, ownership
 nature and risk involvement.
           Project Classification based on Risks
Classification of Projects…cont.
Greenfield Project: Totally a new venture by a fresh
entrepreneur/promoter
Brownfield Project: An existing project goes for addition of
product/capacity. This is 3 types:
a. Expansion Project: An increase in the capacity of existing
plant/project without any other change. Example; A biscuit
industry increasing its capacity from 20 MT/month to 35
MT/month
b. Vertical Integration: When a firm owns its upstream
supplier and downstream customers
 i. Forward integration - from construction firm to real estate company
 ii. Backward integration – from steel pipe industry plans to manufacture
its raw materials i.e. steel
Classification of Projects…cont.
Diversification Project: By combining two firms one with
better financial resource but poor technical capabilities and
another firm with strong technical capabilities but poor
financial resources (obtain financial synergy). The objective
is to reduce risk in operations.
i. Concentric diversification: The goal is to achieve a complete
range of products. Example; Honda from car to motorcycle
manufacturing.
ii. Conglomerate diversification: When a firm diversifies into
areas that are unrelated to its current line of business. This is
due to limited opportunity in the current line of business.
Example; Merger and Acquisitions due to short time to enter
in a new business. Tata entering into consultancy business.
Classification of Projects…cont.
Divestment Project: Retrenchment of some or all of the
activities in a given business of the firm or sells out some of
the businesses as such. It involves redefining of business.
Causes are:
Obsolescence of product/service
Increase level of competition
Better opportunity of investment
Increased concentration on fewer project lines
Reasons for Project Failure
In general but not limited to the following list:
1. Poorly defined scope/objectives
2. Underestimated time and cost
3. Large project planning
4. Improper technology selection
5. Defective planning process
Work Breakdown Structure
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
Project must be divided into manageable tasks and then in logical
order. The definition of tasks and their sequences is referred as the
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
WBS is essential in Planning and executing the Project.
• A method of breaking down a project into individual elements
• It defines tasks that can be completed independently of other
  tasks, facilitating resource allocation, assignment of
  responsibilities and measurement and control of the project
• It is the foundation of project planning
• It is developed before identification of dependencies and
  estimation of activity durations
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
Banquet WBS
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
Automobile WBS
                                 Level 1
                                 Level 2
                                 Level 3
                                 Level 4
                                 Level 5
  Work Packages
Video Time!
WBS is more than…
Once the WBS has been drawn, a bottom-up cost estimate can
be produced starting at the lowest branch of the family tree. In
this method, each work package is costed and arranged in such
a way that the total cost of the packages on any branch must
add up to the cost of the package of the parent package on the
branch above
WBS Work Package – Level of Detail
•   WHO will be the responsible individual or organization?
•   How much TIME will the activity take?
•   What COST is associated with accomplishing the activity?
•   Can PROGRESS be tracked easily?
    All the questions need clear answers for proper project
                           planning.
Project Management
• It is nothing more (or less) than knowing what
  the status of a project is:
 ☺ when it should be done
 ☺ how much (and if) it has slipped from the
  original schedule
 ☺ what the bottlenecks are
 ☺ what you might drop to save some time
Project Management Models History
• One of the earliest techniques was the Gantt chart
    (used by US Navy).
•    This type of chart shows the start and finish times
    of one or more activities, as shown below:
Gantt Chart
  A Gantt chart is defined as a graphical representation of
  activity against time; it helps project professionals to
  monitor progress. Henry Gantt, an American mechanical
  engineer designed this chart first.
 Project Planning, Scheduling & Controlling
 Project Planning:
 1. Setting goals.
 2. Defining the project.
 3. Tying needs into timed project activities.
 4. Organizing the team.
             Project Scheduling:
             1. Tying resources to specific activities.
             2. Relating activities to each other.
             3. Updating and revising on regular basis.
Before Project
                          Project Controlling:
During Project            1. Monitoring resources, costs, quality and
                          budgets.
                          2. Revising and changing plans.
                          3. Shifting resources to meet demands.
Project Planning…
• Resource Availability and/or Limits
  • Due date, late penalties, early completion
    incentives
  • Budget
• Activity Information
  • Identify all required activities
  • Estimate the resources required (time) to complete
    each activity
  • Immediate predecessor(s) to each activity needed
    to create interrelationships
Project Scheduling and Control
Techniques
Gantt Chart
Critical Path Method (CPM)
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
PERT and CPM
• The program evaluation and review technique (PERT)
    and the critical path method (CPM) are 2 popular
    quantitative analysis techniques to help plan, schedule,
    monitor, and control projects
     • They were developed because there was a critical
        need for a better way to manage.
•   Originally the approaches differed in how they estimated
    activity times
•   PERT used three time estimates to develop a
    probabilistic estimate of completion time
•   CPM was a more deterministic technique
•   They have become so similar they are commonly
    considered one technique, PERT/CPM
Six Steps of PERT/CPM
1. Define the project and all of its significant activities or
   tasks
2. Develop the relationships among the activities and decide
   which activities must precede others
3. Draw the network connecting all of the activities
4. Assign time and/or cost estimates to each activity
5. Compute the longest time path through the network; this is
   called the critical path
6. Use the network to help plan, schedule, monitor, and
   control the project
The critical path is important since any delay in these activities
can delay the completion of the project
Q?
     Given the large number of tasks in a project, it is easy
     to see why the following questions are important
1.   When will the entire project be completed?
2.   What are the critical activities or tasks in the project,
     that is, the ones that will delay the entire project if
     they are late?
3.   Which are the non-critical activities, that is, the ones
     that can run late without delaying the entire project’s
     completion?
4.   If there are three time estimates, what is the
     probability that the project will be completed by a
     specific date?
 Q?
5.   At any particular date, is the project on schedule,
     behind schedule, or ahead of schedule?
6.   On any given date, is the money spent equal to, less
     than, or greater than the budgeted amount?
7.   Are there enough resources available to finish the
     project on time?
8.   If the project is to be finished in a shorter amount of
     time, what is the best way to accomplish this at the
     least cost?
Drawing the PERT/CPM Network
• There are two common techniques for drawing PERT
  networks
• Activity-on-node (AON) where the nodes represent
  activities
• Activity-on-arc (AOA) where the arcs are used to represent
  the activities
• The AON approach is easier and more commonly found in
  software packages
• One node represents the start of the project, one node for
  the end of the project, and nodes for each of the activities
• The arcs are used to show the predecessors for each
  activity
Drawing the PERT/CPM Network…(some Basics)
• Use of nodes and arrows
• Arrows An arrow leads from tail to head directionally
   • Indicate ACTIVITY, a time consuming effort that is required to
     perform a part of the work.
   • Nodes A node is represented by a circle
   • Indicate EVENT, a point in time where one or more activities start
     and/or finish.
• Activity
   • A task or a certain amount of work required in the project
   • Requires time to complete
   • Represented by an arrow
• Dummy Activity
   • Indicates only precedence relationships
   • Does not require any time of effort
Drawing the PERT/CPM Network…(some Basics)
 • Event
    • Signals the beginning or ending of an activity
    • Designates a point in time
    • Represented by a circle (node)
 • Network
    • Shows the sequential relationships among activities using
      nodes and arrows
⬥ Activity-on-node (AON)
     nodes represent activities, and arrows show
     precedence relationships
⬥   Activity-on-arrow (AOA)
     arrows represent activities and nodes are events for
     points in time
Situations in Network Diagram
            B
A
                        A must finish before either B or C
                    C   can start
A
                C
                        Both A and B must finish before C
B                       can start
A
                C       Both A and b must finish before
B                       either of C or D can start
                D
A
          B
                        A must finish before B can start
         Dummy          both A and C must finish before D can
C                       start
                D
Situations in Network Diagram
Activity-on-Node (AON):
• Uses nodes to represent the activity
• Uses arrows to represent precedence relationships
Interpreting Network into Bar Chart
From project networks, we determine
• The project duration
• The critical path
• Tasks on the critical path
• Tasks not on the critical path
• Slack or float associated with non-critical
  tasks
• Earliest start, earliest finish, latest start
  and latest finish times
ANC
Example of PERT/CPM
• ANC, Inc. has long been trying to avoid the expense of
  installing air pollution control equipment
• The local environmental protection group has recently given the
  foundry 16 weeks to install a complex air filter system on its
  main smokestack
• ANC was warned that it will be forced to close unless the
  device is installed in the allotted period
• They want to make sure that installation of the filtering system
  progresses smoothly and on time
ANC
Example of PERT/CPM
  • Activities and immediate predecessors for ANC Inc.
                                                  IMMEDIATE
    ACTIVITY    DESCRIPTION
                                                  PREDECESSORS
        A       Build internal components                —
        B       Modify roof and floor                    —
       C        Construct collection stack               A
       D        Pour concrete and install frame          B
        E       Build high-temperature burner            C
        F       Install control system                   C
       G        Install air pollution device          D, E
       H        Inspect and test                      F, G
ANC
Example of PERT/CPM
• Network for ANC Inc.
              A                   C                    F
        Build Internal   Construct Collection   Install Control
        Components              Stack              System
                                      E                       H
                                                                      Finis
Start                                                       Inspect
                                Build Burner                            h
                                                           and Test
              B                   D                    G
         Modify Roof     Pour Concrete and      Install Pollution
          and Floor        Install Frame            Device
Time Activity
• The time estimates in PERT are
                        Optimistic time (a) = time an
                        activity will take if everything
                        goes as well as possible. There
                        should be only a small probability
                        (say, 1/100) of this occurring.
                        Pessimistic time (b) = time an
                        activity would take assuming very
                        unfavorable conditions. There
                        should also be only a small
                        probability that the activity will
                        really take this long.
                        Most likely time (m) = most
                        realistic time estimate to complete
                        the activity
  Time Activity
      • PERT often assumes time estimates follow a beta probability
        distribution
         • The beta probability distribution is often used when there is no
            solid historical data upon which to activity time base estimates
         • Found to be appropriate in many cases for determining an
            expected value and variance for activity completion times
              Probability of 1 in 100
              of a Occurring
Probability
                                                      Probability of 1 in 100
                                                      of b Occurring
                                                                          Activity Time
                        Most            Most                    Most
                        Optimistic      Likely                  Pessimistic
                        Time            Time                    Time
                           (a)           (m)                        (b)
Time Activity
• To find the expected activity time (t), the beta distribution
  weights the estimates as follows
• To compute the dispersion or variance of activity
  completion time, we use the formula
Time Activity
• Time estimates (weeks) for ANC Inc.
                                                EXPECTED
                          MOST                      TIME,
           OPTIMISTIC   PROBABLE PESSIMISTIC   t = [(a + 4m +   VARIANCE
ACTIVITY       a           m          b              b)/6]      [(b – a)/6]2
   A           1           2          3              2             4/36
   B           2           3          4              3             4/36
   C           1           2          3              2             4/36
   D           2           4          6              4             16/36
   E           1           4          7              4             36/36
   F           1           2          9              3             64/36
   G           3           4          11             5             64/36
   H           1           2          3              2             4/36
                                                    25
How to find Critical Path?
 • We accept the expected completion time for each task as the
   actual time for now
 • The total of 25 weeks in Table does not take into account the
   obvious fact that some of the tasks could be taking place at the
   same time
 • To find out how long the project will take we perform the
   critical path analysis for the network
 • The critical path is the longest path through the network
How to find Critical Path?
 • ANC’s network with expected activity times
              A              C                  F
          2              2               3
                                     E                  H
  Start                          4                  2       Finish
              B              D                  G
          3              4               5
How to find Critical Path?
 •   To find the critical path, need to determine the following
     quantities for each activity in the network
1.   Earliest start time (ES): the earliest time an activity can begin
     without violation of immediate predecessor requirements
2.   Earliest finish time (EF): the earliest time at which an activity can
     end
3.   Latest start time (LS): the latest time an activity can begin without
     delaying the entire project
4.   Latest finish time (LF): the latest time an activity can end without
     delaying the entire project
How to find Critical Path?
 • In the nodes, the activity time and the early and late start
   and finish times are represented in the following manner
                                ACTIVITY
                                t
                                ES EF
                                LS LF
 • Earliest times are computed as
                                  Earliest finish time =
                                  Earliest start time
                                  + Expected activity time
                                  EF = ES + t
       Earliest start = Largest of the earliest finish times of
           immediate predecessors
       ES =      Largest EF of immediate predecessors
How to find Critical Path?
  • At the start of the project we set the time to zero
  • Thus ES = 0 for both A and B
                                  A t =2
                                  ES = 0 EF = 0 + 2 =
                              2
      Start
                                   B t =3
                                   ES = 0 EF = 0 + 3 =
                              3
How to find Critical Path?
  • ANC’s ES and EF times
             A              C                F
         2            2                 3
             0              2                4
         2            4                 7
                                    E                 H
 Start                          4                2         Finish
                                    4                 13
                                8                15
             B              D                G
         3            4                 5
             0              3                8
         3            7                 13
• Latest times are computed as
                                 Latest start time = Latest finish
                                 time
                                 – Expected activity time
                                 LS = LF – t
  Latest finish time = Smallest of latest start times
      for following activities
  LF =      Smallest LS of following activities
■ For activity H
   LS = LF – t = 15 – 2 = 13 weeks
How to find Critical Path?
  • ANC’s LS and LF times
             A              C                F
         2            2                 3
             0              2                4
         2            4                 7
             0              2                10
         2            4             E   13             H
 Start                          4                 2         Finish
                                    4                  13
                                8                 15
                                    4                  13
             B              D   8            G    15
         3            4                 5
             0              3                8
         3            7                 13
             1              4                8
         4            8                 13
How to find Critical Path?
 • Once ES, LS, EF, and LF have been determined, it is a simple
   matter to find the amount of slack time/float that each activity has
                 Slack = LS – ES, or Slack = LF – EF
 • From Table, we see activities A, C, E, G, and H have no slack time
 • These are called critical activities and they are said to be on the
   critical path
 • The total project completion time is 15 weeks
 • Industrial managers call this a boundary timetable
Slack!
             EARLIES    EARLIES     LATEST   LATEST              ON
             T START,   T FINISH,   START,   FINISH,   SLACK,    CRITICAL
  ACTIVITY   ES         EF          LS       LF        LS – ES   PATH?
     A          0           2          0        2         0        Yes
     B          0           3          1        4         1        No
     C          2           4          2        4         0        Yes
     D          3           7          4        8         1        No
     E          4           8          4        8         0        Yes
     F          4           7         10        13        6        No
     G          8          13          8        13        0        Yes
     H          13         15         13        15        0        Yes
CPM
  CPM of ANC Inc.
            A           C                F
        2           2               3
            0           2                4
        2           4               7
            0           2                10
        2           4           E   13             H
Start                       4                 2         Finish
                                4                  13
                            8                 15
                                4                  13
            B           D   8            G    15
        3           4               5
            0           3                8
        3           7               13
            1           4                8
 Probability of Project Completion
• The critical path analysis helped determine the expected project
  completion time of 15 weeks
• But variation in activities on the critical path can affect overall
  project completion, and this is a major concern
• If the project is not complete in 16 weeks, the foundry will have to
  close
• PERT uses the variance of critical path activities to help determine
  the variance of the overall project
                                   variances of activities on
     Project variance =        ∑   the critical path
 Probability of Project
 Completion
      ACTIVITY          VARIANCE
         A                 4/36
         B                 4/36
         C                 4/36
         D                16/36
         E                36/36
         F                64/36
         G                64/36
         H                 4/36
■ Hence, the project variance is
  Project variance = 4/36 + 4/36 + 36/36 + 64/36 + 4/36 = 112/36 = 3.111
Probability of Project Completion
• We assume activity times are independent and total project
  completion time is normally distributed
• The project’s expected completion date is 15 weeks.
   • Assume that the total project completion time follows a normal
     probability distribution
   • Chart tells us that there is a 50% chance of completing the entire
     project in less than 15 weeks and a 50% chance it will exceed 15
     weeks
      Standard
      Deviation = 1.76
      Weeks
Probability of Project Completion
• The standard normal equation can be applied as follows
• From Probability Distribution Table we find the
  probability of 0.71566 associated with this Z value
• That means there is a 71.6% probability this project can be
  completed in 16 weeks or less
Probability of Project Completion
• Probability of ANC Inc meeting the 16-week deadline
     Expected Time is                    0.57 Standard
     15 Weeks                            Deviations
    Probability
    (T ≤ 16 Weeks)
    is 71.6%
                            15   16
                                                         Time
                         Weeks   Weeks
Summary of CMP and PERT
CPM                                  PERT
It defines Critical Path Method      It denotes Programme Evaluation
                                     and Review Technique
It was first developed by DuPont     It was first developed by NASA
for its Chemical Plant Project       for its ballistic missiles project
It uses deterministic time approach It uses probabilistic time approach
It is based on assumption that exact It uses three time estimates.
time of any activity is known        Optimistic, most likely and
                                     pessimistic
The main focus is the minimize the The main focus is on trade off
time required for completion of    between cost and time with a
project                            major emphasis is on cost cutting.
Summary of CMP and PERT
  Some limitations
❖Not feasible for large and complex project
❖Cannot able to allocate resources
❖If any activity duration is determined wrong, then critical
  path of the project will be wrong
❖If there are many other similar duration paths available in
  the project, at that time it very difficult to identify the
  critical path of the project
Some Definition
Network: Network is a diagrammatic representation of
various activities showing their interdependencies and
dependencies, without drawing on scale. Network is the
most commonly used tool for planning and controlling any
project.
Critical Activities: The activities which are crucial for
completion of a project on schedule time.
Project Duration: A project is said to be completed only
when all the activities involved are completed.
Exercise
 Find the critical path of those activities. Also find the
 total float and free float of those
Video Time!
Video Time!
Forward and Backward Pass
 Forward Pass
                            Backward Pass
Slack! Free Float and Total Float
Free Float: The amount of time that a schedule activity can
be delayed without delaying the early start date of any
immediately following schedule activities
                 Free Float = ESs – EFp - Lag
Total Float: The total amount of time that a schedule
activity may be delayed from its early start without delaying
the project finish date, or violating a schedule constraint.
It is the amount of time a task can be delayed without delaying the
project end date. Total Float = LS – ES or LF - EF
Slack or Float provide flexibility in the project schedule. When
leveraged properly, project managers can shift activities and
resources to meet the project objectives and priorities. It is the
amount of time an activity can be delayed without impacting other
activities or the project end date and changes over the course of the
project implementation
Free Float and Total Float…cont.
Free Float Example
Free Float and Total Float
        A                B                 E
2                   1                 4
    0           2            2                 3
            0       3                 7
2                            9             10
                    10   C            14   D
                    6                 6
                             2                 8
                    8                 14
                             2                 8
                    8    F            14
                    2
                         2
                    4
                    12           14                     G
        H
 2                                                 3
            0                                           14
 2                                                 17
 12     14                                              14
                                                   17
Summary of Float
Slack and Float are the same thing. We differentiate between
Total Float and Free Float to understand the amount of delay
we can tolerate without impacting the project schedule and
successor activities, respectively.
The concept and use of float helps us keep our project on
schedule and use resources more efficiently as the project
progresses. The lack of float or its disappearance gives us
clear indication our project is out of control and corrective
measures must be taken. Additionally, by using what-if
scenarios, we can understand impacts to the project.
Understanding float and its use is one industry trick of
successful project managers.
CPM Exercise
Find the completion time and critical path.
Step 1: Forward Pass
Step 2: Backward Pass
Step 3: Float
Step 4: Critical Path
Exercise!
Exercise!
Exercise!
Keeping the Project on Track - Control
Two things to know: (1)Where you suppose to be and
             (2) where you are
Principle: Unless you know both cost and schedule, you
have absolutely no idea where your project actually is.
                                 C = Cost
                                 P = Performance
             C = f (P, T, S)
                                 T = Time
                                 S = Scope
PERT – a cost accounting system
• Although PERT is an excellent method of monitoring and
  controlling project length, it does not consider the very
  important factor of project cost
• PERT/Cost is a modification of PERT that allows a
  manager to plan, schedule, monitor, and control cost as well
  as time
• PERT/Cost is an accounting information system that helps
  management gauge progress against scheduled time and
  cost estimates
• It is a project oriented system that is based on analyzing a
  segmented project
• Each segment is a collection of work package
• When discrepancies are found between the actual progress
  and the expected progress, corrective action can be taken.
    PERT – a cost accounting system
    Assumptions:
       Once started a work package is performed continuously until it
       is finished
       The cost associated with a work package are spread evenly
       throughout its duration
•      Value of Work to Date = p x [Work Package Budget]
•      Expected Remaining Completion Time =
       (1-p) x Original Expected Completion Time
PERT – a cost accounting system
• Cost Overrun/Underrun Analysis
   • For each work package (completed or in progress) we
    calculate
 Cost Overrun =
 [Actual Expenditures to Date] - [Value of Work to Date]
Corrective Actions:
If a project is found to be
            Behind the schedule and or
            Experiencing cost overruns
PERT – a cost accounting system
Management seeks out the causes for these problems -
   • Correct the project completion time or cost estimates.
   • Reassess work package completion times and cost estimates.
   • Identify departments or contractors that cause delays.
Possible Corrective actions, to be taken whenever needed -
   • Focus on uncompleted activities.
   • Determine whether crashing activities is desirable.
   • In the case of cost underrun, channel more resources to
     problem activities.
   • Reduce resource allocation to noncritical activities
PERT – a cost accounting
system
 Project Completion time = 15 weeks
 At the end of 10 weeks a progress assessment is made
                                           IMMEDIATE   Expenditure
 ACTIVITY   DESCRIPTION                    PREDECES      (Actual)    Status
                                             SORS
     A      Build internal components         —           2600       Finish
     B      Modify roof and floor             —           5000       Finish
     C      Construct collection stack        A           3000       Finish
            Pour concrete and install
     D                                        B           5000       Finish
            frame
            Build high-temperature
     E                                        C           700        Finish
            burner
     F      Install control system            C           5600       40%
     G      Install air pollution device     D, E         700        Finish
     H      Inspect and test                 F, G         2000       25%
                             Work packages to focus on
       PERT – a cost                                • Value of Work to Date = p x [Work Package Budget]
                                                    • Cost Overrun = [Actual value to date] –[Estimated value]
       accounting
       system
Es           Project Cost Control – Cost Analysis
  tim
     ate
        dw
           ork
                 val
                    ue                                    Co
                         to                                        st
                              da                                      O
                                te=                                    ve
                                   (13                                   rru
                                      ,00                                   n=
                                         0)(                                     56
                                            0.4                                     0
                                                  0)=                                0-
                                                      $5,                                 52
                                                          20                                00
                                                               0                                 =4
                                                                                                      00
CEE 4801 Project Planning and Management
                     Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
The Fundamentals…
We often use the word “Quality” in our every day life
 and quite often it relates to something being
 exceptionally good i.e.
   – A “Quality” meal
   – A “Quality” Car
   – Barcelona FC are a “Quality” side
Quality quite often relates to something you are
 prepared to pay extra for or has exclusivity.
We quite often use the phrase “poor Quality” or
 “good Quality” but what does “Quality” actually
 mean?
The Fundamentals…
The Fundamentals…
                   Q = P/E
                Where Q = Quality
                 P = Performance
                 E = Expectation
 Variations in performance
 Quality is defined as “A degree to which a set of inherent
   characteristics fulfills the requirements”
The Fundamentals…
 Quality
   Quality is the ability of your product to be able to
   satisfy your users
 Quality Assurance
   Quality Assurance is the process that
   demonstrates your product is able to satisfy your
   users
 Aim of Quality Assurance
    When good Quality Assurance is implemented
    there should be improvement in usability and
    performance and lessening rates of defects
Quality Assurance Plan
Work breakdown structure (WBS) reference number for the task
concerned
A statement of requirement
A statement of the specification that is specific and measurable
A description of the assurance activity
Schedule information
Designation of the responsible entity
                                          Project Quality Assurance Plan
Quality Control vs. Quality Assurance
 • Quality Assurance- “Do it right the first time". Preventive
   Quality checks.
 • Quality Control: Fix it when ever it goes or is going wrong
 But note! In recent years, QA is defined to include QC
   The acts of (i) establishing that product is being delivered
   according to all specifications, (2) providing evidence
   needed to establish confidence that all quality-related
   activities are being performed effectively
   - Includes that part of project monitoring that covers project
   quality.
   - Covers all activities from design, development,
   production, installation, servicing and documentation
   - Includes regulation of the quality of raw materials,
   assemblies, products and components; services
Quality and Inspection
                    Quality:
                    The totality of features and
                    characteristics (attributes) of a product
                    or service that bear on its ability to
                    satisfy a given need
 Inspection:
 The process of measuring,
 examining, testing, gauging or
 otherwise comparing one more
 characteristics of a product/service
 with specified requirements
Quality Control and Assurance
Quality Control:
The actions which provide a mean
to control and measure the
characteristics of an item, process or
facility to established requirements
Quality Assurance:
All those plans and systemic actions
necessary to provide adequate
confidence that an item or facility
will perform satisfactory in service
Quality Control and Assurance
Quality Assurance       Quality Control
An overall              A series of
management plan to      analytical
guarantee the           measurements used
integrity of data       to assess the
(The “system”)          quality of the
                        analytical data
                        (The “tools”)
 Quality Control and Assurance
 Quality Assurance                   Quality Control
• Periodical Training to workers • Setting up specific standard
• Safety Program                  for Construction
• Sound procurement system to • Checking deviation from
 get best quality                   Standard
•Reward scheme for innovate      •Take action to correct
 work                             /minimize variation
                                 • Improvement of standard
The Fundamentals…
 Quality Assurance
 This is the prevention of defects
  before they happen
 Quality Control
 This is the detection of defects after
  the event
The Fundamentals…
Quality Control (QC) is part of quality
management focused on fulfilling quality
requirements ISO 9000:2000 (3.4.10)
QC is examining “control” materials of known
substances along with samples to monitor the
accuracy and precision of the complete
examination (analytic) process.
Aspects of Quality: Product Features
•   Design configuration, size, weight
•   Function and performance
•   Distinguishing features of the model
•   Aesthetic appeal                       First Class Brick:
•   Ease of use                                  Size
•   Availability of options                     Weight
•   Reliability and dependability              Strength:
•   Durability and long service life       Water absorption:
•   Serviceability                              Color:
•   Reputation of product and producer
Aspects of Quality:
Freedom from Deficiencies
•   Absence of defects
•   Conformance to specifications
•   Components within tolerance
•   No missing parts
•   No early failures
Aspects of Quality in Design and
Manufacturing
• Product features        • Freedom from Deficiencies
   • Characteristics         • Product does what it is
     that result from           supposed to do
     design                  • Product is absent of
   • Functional and             defects and
     aesthetic features         out-of-tolerance
     that appeal to the         conditions
     customer
   • “Grade”
Quality Responsibilities
• Product features are the aspect of quality for which the
  design department is responsible
   • Product features determine to a large degree the price that a
     company can charge for its products
• Freedom from deficiencies is the quality aspect for
  which the manufacturing departments are responsible
   • The ability to minimize these deficiencies has an important
     influence on the cost of the product
• These are generalities
   • The responsibility for high quality extends well beyond the
     design and manufacturing departments
Traditional Quality Control
Typical management principles and practices:
• Customers are external to the organization
   • The sales and marketing department are
     responsible for customers
• Company is organized by functional departments
• Inspection department is responsible for quality
• Inspection follows production
• Knowledge of Statistical Quality Control techniques
  resides only in the minds of the QC experts in the
  organization
Modern View of Quality Control
High quality is achieved by a combination of:
• Good management – three objectives of “total
  quality management”
• Achieving customer satisfaction
   • Continuous improvement
   • Encouraging involvement of entire work force
• Good technology – traditional statistical tools
  combined with modern measurement and
  inspection technologies
Total Quality Management (TQM)
Typical management principles and practices:
• Quality is focused on customer satisfaction
   • Internal customers and external customers
• Quality goals are driven by top management
• Quality control is pervasive in the organization
• Quality must be built into the product, not inspected in
  afterward
   • Production workers must inspect their own work
• Continuous improvement
   • A never ending chase to design and produce better
     products
Total Quality Management (TQM)
TQM has a strong emphasis on improving quality
within a process, rather than inspecting quality into a
process. This not only reduces the time needed to fix
errors, but makes it less necessary to employ a team
of quality assurance personnel.
Six Sigma 6σ
•   A quality-focused program that utilizes
  worker teams to accomplish projects aimed at
  improving an organization’s operational
  performance
• Started at Motorola Corp in 1980s
    • Started by Mikel Harry at Motorola in 1970s
• Encouraged by CEO Robert Galvin
    • Motorola wins Malcolm Baldrige Award, 1988
• Subsequently adopted by other companies,
  including GE
    • GE claims savings in $billions
Six Sigma 6σ
• Strives for perfection
• 3.4 defects per million opportunities for each
  product or service transection
• The central idea behind Six Sigma is that if you
  can measure how many “defects” you have in a
  process, you can systematically figure out how to
  eliminate them and get as close to “zero defects”
  as possible
• Nearly flawless in executing the key process
Goals of Six Sigma 6σ
• Better customer satisfaction
• High quality products and services
• Reduced defects
• Improved process capability through reduction
  in process variations
• Continuous improvement
• Cost reduction through more effective and
  efficient processes
Six Sigma (6σ) Method
There are multiple methodologies in Six Sigma. Some are designed for
continuous incremental improvements while others are for dramatic
breakthrough change. The most common Six Sigma method is known as
DMAIC.
ISO 9000
• ISO = International Organization for
  Standardization
• U.S. representative to ISO 9000 is ANSI/ASQC
• ISO 9000 is a standard for the systems and
  procedures used by a facility that affect the quality
  of the products and services provided by the
  facility
   • It is not a standard for the products and services
• ISO 9000 is generic, not industry specific
   • It can be applied to any facility producing any
     product or providing any service
ISO 9000
ISO 9000 is defined as a set of international standards on
quality management and quality assurance developed to help
companies effectively document the quality system elements
needed to maintain an efficient quality system.
ISO 9000 is a set of standards for quality management,
developed as an internationally-acceptable baseline for
performance by businesses and other organizations. It was
created by the International Organization for Standardization
(ISO) with input from standards professionals from many
nations
ISO 9000 is now being used as a basis for quality
management—in the service sector, education, and
government—to help organizations satisfy their customers,
meet regulatory requirements, and achieve continual
improvement.
ISO 9000
• Implement the standards simply for the sake of
  improving a firm’s quality systems
• ISO 9000 Registration – formal certification
  that the facility satisfies the standard
  • Benefits:
    • Reduce frequency of quality audits by customer
       firms
    • Qualify for business partnerships with companies
       that require ISO 9000 registration (especially in
       Europe)
Quality Improvement Methodology
It is an improvement methodology
Developed by Walter Shewhard in 1939
Known as Shewhard Cycle. In Japan it is known as
Deming Cycle because Dr. Deming introduced it first in
1950.
It is quite straight forward, but not intuitive.
Plan: Select the process for
improvement. Analyze it
and plan a change that will
have beneficial effect.
Quality Improvement Methodology …cont
Do: Apply the change to small
scale….a test. It is critical step
and the hallmark for the
approach. Look for desired
effect to further quality
improvement.
Check: Observe the effect of change. More than casual
observation. Study the results – why the occurred, how
they affect the process/ system.
                          Act: If results are as expected,
                          change the system. Otherwise, go to
                          the plan step to revisit the process to
                          analyze it again a prepare a new plan
Quality Improvement Methodology …cont
Pareto’s Law
Vilfredo Pareto, Italian Economist
Wealth seems to be distributed in populations according to an
80/20 rule: 80 percent of the wealth is controlled by 20 percent
of the population
 The rule is also valid for defects in administration and
 production process; 80% of the defects are caused by
 20% of the possible source of error.
 Pareto chart forces to consider the data and go after the
 things that have the most effect on the process.
Pareto’s Law
Where to focus/concentrate for action…for effective action, not
trail and error
Quality – Summary
1. Quality involves product, defect, process, customer and
   system
2. Quality is the ability of a set of inherent characteristics
   of a product, system or process to fulfill requirements of
   customers and other interested parties.
3. Quality is the forth among equals in relation to the
   project triple constraint of time, cost and scope
4. Quality is not an expensive process, an expensive
   product or time consuming
5. Quality benefits include customer satisfaction, reduced
   costs, increased profits and increased competitiveness.
CEE 4801 Project Planning and Management
Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
Common situation on a construction site
• Construction work is dynamic, diverse, and constantly
  changing in nature
• Constantly changing job site environments and conditions
• Multiple contractors and subcontractors
• High turnover; unskilled laborers
• Constantly changing relationships with other work groups
• Diversity of work activities occurring simultaneously
• Construction workers are at risk of exposure to various hazards
  and risks that can result in injury, illness, permanent disability,
  or even death.
… as a Construction Manager
• Complete project on time and within budget
  • What effect does accident/injury have on company?
     •   Worker’s Compensation
     •   Property damage
     •   Loss of time due to accident investigation
     •   Employee morale
• Employee safety
  • Moral obligation (humanitarian concerns)
  • Economic terms ( financial concerns)
Then & Now
• 1970                          • 2000
  •   56 million workers           • 105 million workers
        • 3.5 million worksites         • 6.9 million worksites
  •   14,000 + deaths              • 5,915 deaths
  •   2.5 million workers          • Workplace deaths have
      disabled by accidents &        been more than cut in
      injuries                       half
  •   10 times as many             • Occupational injury and
      person-days lost from          illness rates have
      job related disabilities       declined by 40%
      as from strikes
  •   300,000 new
      occupational disease
      cases
OSHA
• Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)
   • Created by OSH Act of 1970
       • Also known as Williams-Steiger OSH Act of 1970
       • Signed into law December 29, 1970 by Richard Nixon
   • Imposed nationwide safety standards
       • General industry
       • Construction
           • Strict employee S & H standards
           • Covered employees
           • Enforce same standards for inspections,
             investigations, record-keeping requirements, and
             enforcement procedures
Establishment of OSHA
 Occupational Safety and Health
 Administration (1970) – OSH Act set forth by
 fed government to impose safety standards on
 industry
  – under the U.S. Department of Labor
  – set standards for general and specific industries
  – companies comply by: keeping records, keeping
    employees informed on safety matters, complying
    with standards for injury avoidance, etc...
  The Most Frequent Causes of Deaths in
              Construction
• OSHA has found that 90% of all construction fatalities
  result from 4 types of construction accidents:
   • Falls from elevation                     33%
   • Struck by equipment/falling object        22%
   • Caught in/between                        18%
   • Electrical shock                         17%
Statistics show that new employees on the job for one
  month or less account for 25% of all construction
                       accidents
The Most Common injuries in Construction
 The Most Common Type of Construction injury:
  •   Overexertion
  •   Struck by an object
  •   Falls from elevation
 The Most Affected Area of the Body by injury:
                             •   Back                 21%
                             •   Lower extremities   12%
                             •   Torso and fingers   10%
Construction Safety
Safety is the absence of danger
Safety is the control of recognized
hazards to attain an acceptable level of
risk
A hazard is anything in the workplace that
has the potential to harm people. Hazards can
include objects in the workplace, such as
machinery or dangerous chemicals.
Construction Safety
      Risk is the probability of loss
      A probability or threat of damage, injury,
      liability, loss or any other negative occurrence
      that is created by external or internal
      vulnerabilities
                  What is vulnerability then?
Types of Hazards
  • Chemical
  • Physical
  • Biological
  • Ergonomic
Chemical Hazards
   Chemicals can exist in the form of
      • dusts, fumes, fibers (solids)
      • liquids, mists
     • gases, vapors
                   • asbestos           •   welding fumes
  Examples of      • lead               •   spray paints
   chemical        • silica             •   cutting oil mists
hazards found in                        •   xylene vapor
  construction     • cadmium
                                        •   solvents
     work:         • carbon monoxide
Physical Hazards
 Physical hazards are different types of energy which may be
 hazardous to workers.
 • Noise
 • Vibration
 • Temperature extremes
 • Radiation
Biological Hazards
 Exposure may occur during demolition, renovation, sewer
 work, work on air handling systems, or other construction work
 from contact with contaminated or disease-carrying
  •   soil
  •   water
  •   insects (mosquitoes, ticks)
  •   bird, bat droppings
  •   animals
  •   structures
Ergonomic Hazards
Ergonomic hazards can cause painful and disabling injuries till
example Musculoskeletal Disorders (MSDs) . This following
situation may causes these injuries:
• heavy, frequent, or awkward lifting
• repetitive tasks
• awkward grips, postures
• using excessive force, overexertion
• using wrong tools for the job
  or using tools improperly
• using improperly maintained tools
• hand-intensive work
Types of accident measurements
• Death
• Fatal injury (broken leg, hips, amputation)
• Non-fatal injury (finger cut)
• Occupational accidents (MSD, hearing loss)
• Absence from work ( >1 day, > 3 days etc)
• Near misses
• Rate per 100 000 – number of injuries or causes of ill health
  per 100 000 employees.
• Working days lost – days off work due to workplace injuries
  & work-related ill health
Other health hazards
• Living conditions and welfare facilities
   –   Temporary accomodation
   –   Food
   –   Drinking water
   –   Sanitary conveniences
   –   Facility for clothing
• Work related mental stresses
   – Alcoholism and drug addiction
Video Time!
Personal Protective Eqiupment (PPE)
  •   Legal requirements
  •   Eye protection
  •   Respiratory protection
  •   Ear protection
  •   Face protection
  •   Head protection
  •   Hand protection
  •   Foot protection
  •   Body protection
  •   Fall protection
Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) on
Site
Most construction sites require at least:
• Hard hat
• Safety Boots
• Hi-viz jacket
• Safety Glasses
              Wear them always for safety
General Contractor as Prime
•   Meet “general duty clause”
•   Keep workers informed
•   Know mandatory OSHA standards
•   Comply with all regulations, rules, standards
•   Inspect workplace
     • Minimize or eliminate potential hazards
     • Warn employees of potential hazards
General Contractor as Prime …cont.
•   Provide training per OSHA standards
•   Provide employees with proper equipment
•   Provide medical examinations as needed
•   Report fatalities (within 8 hours)
•   Report hospitalizations ( more than 3 employees,
    within 8 hours)
•   Keep OSHA-required records
•   Post required records
•   Post OSHA poster
•   Provide employee access to OSHA records
•   Employee medical and exposure records
Employee Responsibility
•   Ethical use of rights under OSHA
•   Comply with OSHA standards
•   Follow employer mandated safety program
•   Use correct PPE
• Report hazardous/dangerous conditions
• Report job-related injury or illness
• Cooperate with OSHA inspection
Safety obligations
Common Mistakes in Construction Site
Common Mistakes in Construction Site
Accident Vs Injury
Accident?
Mishap or Near Miss
Injury?
Accident that Hurts Someone
                       • Many Accidents Occur
                       • Most Cause No Injuries
                       • Most are not Reported
Accidents!
• Which Accidents will Cause
  Injuries?
We Don’t Know!
 Because We Don’t Know Which Accidents will Cause
   Injuries…
 The Goal is to Prevent   All Accidents
Accidents!
             Accidents are Opportunity to:
             Recognize Hazard And Take 3 Steps
                 Step 1: Reporting Accidents
                 Step 2: Investigating Accidents
                 Step 3: Eliminating Accidents
Step 1: Reporting Accidents
  • Realize that it Happened:
    Practice Incident Recall
    Report Accidents Immediately
    Any Free Warnings Today?
Step 2: Investigating Accidents
 • Determine the Cause:
   2% - “Acts of God”
   10% - Unsafe Conditions
   88% - Unsafe Acts of People
                    Examples of unsafe act:
                    Inattentiveness
                    Carelessness
                    Creating Unsafe Conditions
Step 3: Eliminating Accidents
  • Eliminate the Causes:
      Removing Unsafe Conditions
      Changing Unsafe Behavior
Accident Investigation
• Fact-Finding (OSHA recommendations)
• Interview witnesses as soon after accident as possible
• Inspect accident site before changes occur
• Take photos/sketches of scene
• Record all pertinent data on maps
• Get copies of all reports
• Obtain documents containing normal operating procedures/
  maintenance charts, reported abnormalities
• Keep complete accurate notes in bound notebook
• Record pre-accident conditions, accident sequence,
  post-accident conditions
• Document location of victims, witnesses, machinery, energy
  sources, and hazardous materials
Example of an Accident Analysis
 Accident:           Falling off a stepladder
 The unsafe act:         Climbing a defective ladder
 The unsafe condition:        A defective ladder
 The correction:         Replace the ladder
 Questions:
     –   Why was the defective ladder not found during normal inspection?
     –   Why did the supervisor allow its use?
     –   Didn’t the injured employee know it should not be used?
     –   Was the employee properly trained?
     –   Was the employee reminded not to use the ladder?
     –   Did the supervisor examine the job first?
 Answers:
     –   An improved inspection procedure
     –   Improved training
     –   A better definition of responsibilities
     –   Pre-job planning by supervisors
7 Principles to prevent accident!
Strategies for control and management of Health and Safety
at work in Construction industry:
 1. Avoid a risk altogether by eliminating hazards
2. Tackle risks at source
3.    Adapt work to the individual when designing work areas and
     selecting method of works
4. Use technology to improve conditions
5. Give priority to protection for the whole workplace rather than to
   individuals
6. Ensure everyone understands what they have to do to be safe and
   healthy at work
7. Make sure that Health and Safety Management is accepted by
   everyone
       …if followed accident prevention is more likely to achieve
Basic Safety Philosophy for Success
• All accidents are preventable.
• No job is worth getting hurt for
• Every job will be done safely
• Incidents can be managed
• Safety is everyone’s responsibility
• Continuous improvement
• Safety as a “way of life” for 24 hours/day
• All individuals have the responsibility and accountability
  to identify eliminate or manage risks associated with their
  workplace
• Legal obligations will be the minimum requirements for
  our health & safety standards
• Individual will be trained and equipped to have the skills
  and facilities to ensure an accident free workplace
How to improve health and safety on
construction sites?
 • Reactive measures
    – Accident recording & reporting
    – Accident investigations
 • Proactive measures
    – H & s safety policy
    – H & s safety programme/plan
    – H & s safety induction/training
    – Tool-box talk
    – Others
Construction Safety in BD!
Construction Safety in BD!
Construction Safety in BD!
Construction Safety in BD!
Construction Safety in BD!
CEE 4801 Project Planning and Management
                 Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
Procurement
• Procurement means acquiring goods and/or services
  from an outside source. Procurement is the term
  generally used by government, while business uses
  the term purchasing and outsourcing is commonly
  used by the information technology industry.
• It is estimated that in the year 2003 the worldwide
  information technology outsourcing market has
  grown to over US$110 billion.
The act of obtaining or buying, goods and services The process
includes preparation and processing of a demand as well as the end
receipt and approval of payment.
Procurement Management
• Project procurement management includes the following
  processes for acquiring goods and services from outside the
  project organization:
   • Procurement planning: determining what to procure and
     when.
   • Solicitation planning: documenting product requirements
     and identifying potential sources.
   • Solicitation: obtaining quotations, bids, offers, or
     proposals as appropriate.
   • Source selection: choosing from among potential vendors.
   • Contract administration: managing the relationship with
     the vendor.
   • Contract close-out: completion and settlement of the
     contract.
Procurement process
Important milestones & Decision making stage
Procurement
Planning
• Procurement planning involves identifying which
  project needs can be best met by using products or
  services outside the organization. It includes deciding:
    • Whether to procure.
    • How to procure.
    • What to procure.
    • How much to procure.
    • When to procure.
• It is essential to be thorough and creative when planning
  procurement. Even though a company may be viewed as a
  competitor, it will often be advantageous to collaborate on
  some projects.
Inputs are: Project Scope Statement, Product Description,
Market Conditions, Constraints and Assumptions
Solicitation
Planning
• Solicitation planning involves preparing of the
  documents needed for requesting bids (solicitation),
  and determining the evaluation criteria for the award
  of a contract. Common documents used in this process
  are:
   • Request for Proposals: used to solicit proposals
     from prospective sellers where there are several
     ways to meet the sellers’ needs.
   • Requests for Quotes: used to solicit quotes for
     well-defined procurements.
   • Invitations for bid or negotiation and initial
     contractor responses are also part of solicitation
     planning.
Solicitation
• Solicitation (or tendering) involves obtaining proposals,
  tenders or bids from prospective sellers. Prospective sellers do
  most the work in this process, usually at no cost to the buyer
  or the project. The buying organization is responsible for
  advertising the “request to tender” (the solicitation)/”Invitation
  for Tender”.
• Organizations can advertise to procure goods and services in
  several ways:
    • Approaching the preferred vendor.
    • Approaching several potential vendors.
    • Advertising to anyone interested.
• A bidders’ conference or similar meeting between the buyer
  and the prospective sellers can help clarify the buyer’s
  expectations.
Source Selection
• Once buyers receive proposals, they must select a
  vendor or decide to cancel the procurement
Source selection involves:
   • Evaluating bidders’ proposals
   • Choosing the best one
   • Negotiating the contract
   • Awarding the contract
• It is highly recommended that buyers use formal
  evaluation procedures for selecting vendors.
• Buyers often create a “short list”
Source Selection
Sample: Short list of 3 Proposals
• After developing a short list of possible sellers, organizations will
  often undertake more detailed evaluation
• The project team members and other stakeholders then evaluate
  each proposal by assigning points to each criteria
Contract
Administration
Contract administration ensures that the seller’s
performance meets contractual requirements.
Contracts are legal relationships, and are subject to
the contract law in the country where the project is
conducted, and in the case of international projects,
the country of supply.
         Due to their complexity, many project managers
         ignore contractual issues. This can result in serious
         problems. Ideally, the project manager and the
         project team should be actively involved with
         contract law experts in the preparation and
         administration of contracts.
Contract Close-out
  Contract close-out is the final project procurement
  management process. It includes:
   • Product verification to determine if all work was
     completed correctly and satisfactorily.
   • Administrative activities to update records to reflect
     final results.
   • Archiving information for future use.
• Procurement audits are often undertaken during contract
  close-out to identify lessons learned in the procurement
  process.
It is very important to prepare contracts with great care and
expert assistance. It is equally important to initiate and
follow effective contract administration procedures.
Tendering/Bidding Method
 Open Tendering Method (OTM)
 Limited Tendering Method (LTM)
 Request For Quotation Method (RfQM)
Open Tendering Method (OTM)
 A bidding process that is open to all qualified bidders
 and where the sealed bids are opened in public for
 scrutiny and are chosen on the basis of price and
 quality
• Public bidding, resulting in low prices
• Published in newspapers
• Quotations must be sent in the specific forms that are
 sold, before the time &date mentioned in the tender
 form
• In technical items, ‘two packets or two bins’ system is
 followed. Offers are given in two separate packets.
• Technical bid
 Open Tendering Method (OTM) ….Cont.
• First technical bid is opened & short listed
• Then financial bid of selected companies are opened & lowest
 is selected
• Delayed tenders & late tenders are not accepted. But if, in case
 of delayed tenders, if the rate quoted is very less, then it can be
 accepted.
• Quotations are opened in presence of indenting department,
 accounts & authorized persons of party
• Validity of tenders – generally 90 days
 Open Tendering Method (OTM)
• Invitation for Tender (IFT) shall be advertised in at least one
 Bangla language newspaper and in one English language
 newspaper.
• Time allowed for tender preparation (National)
    14 days – up to 200 lac
    21 days – up to 500 lac
    28 days – above 500 lac
•Time allowed for tender preparation (International) : 42 day
• Tender security and performance security is a MUST
      Most Competitive and Transparent Method
 Limited Tendering Method (LTM)
 Specialized nature works for a limited number of suppliers
 or contractors
 When goods/services are only available from approved
 enlisted/potential tenderers
 Time and administrative cost is disproportionate to
 goods/services
 Tender security is not mandatory but performance security
 is a must
The entity contacts suppliers individually. However, this method is to
be used only when justified by any of the reasons provided include:
absence of tenders in response to an open or selective tender; absence
of competition for technical reasons connected with the protection of
patents or copyrights; reasons of extreme urgency or very
advantageous conditions which would only arise in the short term.
Request for Quotation Method
For the purchase of readily available goods/services and low value
service works
Value of goods….2 lac each time but maximum 10m lac in a year
Value of services….5 lac each time but maximum 20 lac in a year
                           Sample
 Points to remember while purchasing
 /Procurement
• Proper specification
• Invite quotations from reputed firms
• Comparison of offers based on basic price, freight & insurance, taxes and
 levies
• Quantity & payment discounts
• Payment terms
• Delivery period, guarantee
• Vendor reputation
 (reliability, technical capabilities, Convenience, Availability, after-sales
 service, sales assistance)
• Short listing for better negotiation terms
CE 4801 Project Planning and Management
                     Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
Material Management
        Invent      Transport
          ory         ation
                          Cost
                         of the
           Custo         Servic
            mer             e
          Service
Material Management
   It is concerned with planning, organizing and controlling
the flow of materials from their initial purchase through
internal operations to the service point through distribution.
                                     OR
   Material management is a scientific technique, concerned
with Planning, Organizing & Control of flow of materials,
from their initial purchase to destination.
Each step is vital. The aim of Material Management is:
To get
     1. The Right quality
     2. Right quantity of supplies
     3. At the Right time
     4. At the Right place
     5. For the Right cost
 Material Management
 PURPOSE OF MATERIAL MANAGEMENT
• To gain economy in purchasing
• To satisfy the demand during period of replenishment
• To carry reserve stock to avoid stock out
• To stabilize fluctuations in consumption
• To provide reasonable level
                                        Objective of MM
  of client services                   • Right price
                                       • High turnover
                                       • Low procurement
                                         storage cost
                                       • Continuity of supply
                                       • Consistency in quality
                                       • Good supplier relations
                                       • Development of personnel
                                       • Good information system
Objective of material management
Primary
•Right price
•High turnover
•Low procurement           Secondary
•& storage cost           •Forecasting
•Continuity of supply     •Inter-departmental harmony
•Consistency in quality   •Product improvement
•Good supplier relations •Standardization
•Development of personnel •Make or buy decision
•Good information system •New materials & products
                          •Favorable reciprocal
                           relationships
Material Management
Four basic needs of Material management
1. To have adequate materials on hand when needed
2. To pay the lowest possible prices, consistent with quality and value
   requirement for purchases materials
3. To minimize the inventory investment
4. To operate efficiently
Elements of material management
1. Demand estimation
2. Identify the needed items
3. Calculate from the trends in Consumption during last 2 years.
4. Review with resource constraints
Spectrum of Control
The underlying spectrum is to provide effectiveness to a function that
must start from planning stage and will end when the finished product is
finally distributed:
1. Planning sets the Goal and indicates the available sources of finance.
2. Scheduling specifies the requirements, the quantum and the delivery
schedules.
3. Purchasing and Procurement select and retain vendors; and contracts
with them.
4. Inspection and Quality control conduct test checks for conformance to
specifications.
5. Stores and Inventory control determine inventory status, undertake
maintenance and upkeep.
6. Material Handling controls physical movement at any stage the
material is.
7. Distribution Logistics controls flow and distribution, and finally,
traffic, shipment and despatch conclude with final delivery.
Inventory
• Typically Inventory implies a list of items held in stock.
 Stock implies the Quantity of a particular item on hand.
• Inventory is a stock of Materials used to facilitate
 Production or to satisfy Customer demands. It include
 Raw-materials, Work-in-progress and Finished goods.
• Inventory acts as a buffer between the demand and supply
 rates of different nature.
• Inventories are vital
   to the successful functioning
   of Manufacturing &
   Retailing organisations.
Type of Inventory
• Raw Material and Production Inventories: These are raw
 materials and other supplies, parts and components which
 enter into the product during the production process and
 generally form part of the product.
• In-process Inventories: These are semi-finished materials,
 and partly finished products formed at various stages of
 production. Also named as Decoupling Inventories to
 decouple or disengage different parts of the production
 system.
• MRO Inventories: Maintenance, repairs and operating
 supplies which are consumed during the production process
 and generally do not form part of the product itself are
 referred to as MRO Inventories. e.g. oils and lubricants,
 machinery and plant spares, tools and fixtures etc.
Type of Inventory
• Lot-size Inventories: It is a common practice to buy some raw
 materials in Large quantities than are necessary for immediate
 need in order to avail quantity discounts and lowering down
 costs of buying, receiving, inspection, transport and handling.
 It is also termed as Cycle inventories.
• Fluctuation Inventories: In order to cushion against
 unpredictable fluctuation in demand these are maintained. The
 general practice of serving the customer well is the reason for
 holding such Inventories. But they are not absolutely essential
 in the sense that such stocks are always uneconomical.
Type of Inventory
• Anticipation Inventories: In case of seasonal variations in the
 availability of some raw materials, it is convenient and also
 economical to build up stocks where consumption patterns
 may be reasonably uniform and predictable. Such inventories
 are carried to meet predictable changes in demand.
          6 types of inventory
Inventory Control System
Inventory control system is either Manual or Computerized or a
combination of two. It performs following functions:
1. Transaction Accounting: Every Inventory system requires a
method of record keeping, which must support the accounting
needs of the organization and the inventory management
function.
It requires the Perpetual (never ending or changing) records be
kept by recording every disbursement and receipt. In some other
cases, periodic counts e.g. annual of the inventory may be
required.
Whatever the exact method used, every Inventory control system
requires a suitable transaction accounting to follow with.
Inventory Control System
2. Inventory Decision Rules: A decision system is to be developed
regarding when and how much to order
3. Exception Reporting: A reporting system so as to alert
Management to changing assumptions e.g. Stockouts, Excessive
Inventory, Forecasting not meeting demand schedules
4. Forecasting: Judgment plays a Vital role in forecasting,
however, to modify Quantitative forecasts for unusual events
5. Top Management Reporting: The reports should include (a)
costs of operating the Inventory, (b) Investment levels at a time
compared with other periods, (c) the Service levels provided to
customers etc.
Selective Inventory Control (SIC)
• ABC Inventory Classification: The rationale of ABC
 classification is the impracticality of giving an equally high
 degree of attention to the record of every inventory item, due
 to limited information- processing capacity
But, in a modern computerized well-implemented planning
system, every item, irrespective of its cost and volume, can
receive the same degree of care and attention
ABC analysis leads to classification of Inventory items on the
basis of their USAGE in monetary terms
A – High consumption value items .
B – Moderate consumption value items.
C – Low consumption value items.
Selective Inventory Control (SIC)
                     A            B              C
% age of items     10-20        20-30          60-70
% age of value     70-85       10-25            5-15
Where should we focus? Concentrate?
• FSN Analysis: FSN Study may be made to weed out
 (discard/remove) unwanted materials and parts. It is based on the
 Consumption pattern of items
F - stands for Fast
S - stands for Slow moving
N - stands for non-moving materials and parts
This speed classification helps in the arrangement of stocks in the
stores and in determining the distribution and handling patterns
Selective Inventory Control (SIC)
• VED Analysis: VED Analysis is also the same in principle.
 The only difference is that it finds out which materials and
 parts are valuable, which are essential, and which are desirable.
 Inventory items are classified on the basis of their criticality to
 the production process or other services.
 V – Vital items without which the production process would
 come to a standstill
 E – Essential items whose stock-out might cause temporary
 losses in production.
 D – Desirable items which are required but do not immediately
 cause a loss of production.
 This is also essentially meant for a sizeable reduction in
 inventory
Selective Inventory Control (SIC)
• HML Analysis: Similar to the ABC analysis except that the items
 are classified on the basis of Unit Cost rather than their Usage
 value.
  H stands for High cost per unit.
  M stands for Medium cost per unit.
  L stands for low cost per unit.
• SDE Analysis: SDE Analysis works on the criteria of availability
 of items.
  S stands for Scarce items
  D stands for Difficult to obtain
  E stands for Easily available
• S-OS Analysis: This analysis is based on the nature of Supplies.
 S stands for Seasonal items
 OS stands for Off-seasonal items
Selective Inventory Control (SIC)
• GOLF Analysis: This analysis is based on the Source of Supplies
 G stands for Government Sources
 O stands for Ordinary Sources
 L stands for Local Sources
 F stands for Foreign Sources
 This is meant for deciding Procurement of materials from different
 sources.
• XYZ Analysis: XYZ analysis is based on the criteria of Closing
 Inventory value of different items.
 X – Items whose Inventory value is high.
 Y – Items whose Inventory value is neither too high nor too low.
 Z – Items with Low investments in them.
 Summary: The various types of analysis are not mutually exclusive.
 They can be, and often are, used jointly to ensure better control over
 MATERIALS
Summary of SIC
    TITLE              BASIS                           MAIN USES
ABC Analysis        Usage value             To control on the Significant few &
                                                 the Insignificant many
FSN Analysis    Consumption pattern              To control Obsolescence
                 of the Component
VED Analysis       Criticality of the       To determine the Stocking Levels of
                    Component                          Spare parts
HML Analysis       Unit Price of the               To control purchases
                       Material
SDE Analysis      Problems faced in         Lead-time analysis and Purchasing
                    Procurement                        Strategies
SOS Analysis    Nature of Supplies         Procurement/ Holding Strategies for
                                           Seasonal items like Agricultural
                                           products
GOLF Analysis   Source of material         Procurement Strategies
XYZ Analysis    Value of     items      in To review the Inventories and their
                Storage                    Uses at Scheduled intervals
CE4801 Project Planning and Management
Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
Engineering Economy
Engineering Economy:
 It deals with the concepts and techniques of analysis
 useful in evaluating the worth of systems, products, and
 services in relation to their costs
Basic Concepts
 • Cash flow
 • Interest Rate and Time value of money
 • Equivalence technique
Cash Flow
• Engineering projects generally have economic consequences
  that occur over an extended period of time
   • For example, if an expensive piece of machinery is
     installed in a plant were brought on credit, the simple
     process of paying for it may take several years
   • The resulting favorable consequences may last as long as
     the equipment performs its useful function
• Each project is described as cash receipts or disbursements
  (expenses) at different points in time
Categories of Cash Flows
  • First cost: expense to build or to buy and install
  • Operations and maintenance (O&M): annual expense,
    such as electricity, labor, and minor repairs
  • Salvage value: receipt at project termination for sale or
    transfer of the equipment (can be a salvage cost)
  • Revenues: annual receipts due to sale of products or
    services
  • Overhaul: major capital expenditure that occurs during
    the asset’s life
Cash Flows Diagrams…
Time Value of Money
• Money has value
  – Money can be leased or rented
  – The payment is called interest
  – If you put $100 in a bank at 9% interest for one
    time period you will receive back your original
    $100 plus $9
        Original amount to be returned = $100
        Interest to be returned = $100 x .09 = $9
(1 + r) ^n where 'r' is the required rate of return (interest
rate) and 'n' is the number of years.
Time Value of Money
Time Value of Money…cont.
Time Value of Money…cont.
Time Value of Money…cont.
Summary of TVM
Time value of money is the concept that the value of a dollar
to be received in future is less than the value of a dollar on
hand today. One reason is that money received today can be
invested thus generating more money. Another reason is that
when a person opts to receive a sum of money in future rather
than today, he is effectively lending the money and there are
risks involved in lending such as default risk and inflation.
Default risk arises when the borrower does not pay the money
back to the lender. Inflation is the rise in general level of
prices.
Receiving money in the future rather than now may involve
some risk and uncertainty regarding its recovery. For these
reasons, future cash flows are worth less than the present cash
flows.
Replacement Analysis
• Should the existing equipment be retained or replaced?
• The “Defender” is the existing equipment.
• The “Challenger” is the best available replacement
  equipment.
• If the defender proves more economical, it will be
  retained. If the challenger proves more economical, it
  will be installed.
           Copyright Oxford University Press 2009
Reasons for Replacement
Use to determine whether an existing asset should
be replaced with a new asset
• Deterioration
   – Higher O&M costs; less reliability than
     anticipated
• Requirement change
   – Consumer wants more/less/different
• Technology
   – New technology provides new challengers
• Financing
   – Better interest rates
Replacement Studies
The objective is to address the question of whether a currently
owned asset should be kept in service or immediately
replaced
What to do with an existing asset?
•   Keep it
•   Abandon it (do not replace)
•   Replace it, but keep it for backup purposes
•   Augment the capacity of the asset
•   Dispose of it, and replace it with another
Replacement Studies
Three reasons to consider a change.
 • Physical impairment (deterioration)
 • Altered requirements
 • New and improved technology is now available.
The second and third reasons are sometimes referred
to as different categories of obsolescence.
MARR
Market Acceptable Rate of Return (MARR).
In business and engineering, the MARR, or hurdle rate is
the minimum rate of return on a project a manager or
company is willing to accept before starting a project,
given its risk and the opportunity cost of forgoing other
projects. The MARR generally increases with increased
risk.
Opportunity Cost : The loss of potential gain from other
alternatives when one alternative is chosen. It is the benefit
that you could have received by taking an alternative
action.
Opportunity Cost
The opportunity cost of going to college is the money you
would have earned if you worked instead. On the one hand,
you lose four years of salary while getting your degree; on
the other hand, you hope to earn more during your career,
thanks to your education, to offset the lost wages.
Replacement Studies
• When examining whether to continue using
  (economically) an existing process or product
  (equipment), the calculation is called a replacement
  study
• Any of the basic methods will work for comparison,
  but the annual cost method is most common
• Existing equipment is sometimes called the
  defender and the new is the challenger
• Salvage in replacement studies is an estimate of
  future value (F)
    Replacement Studies
    • Economic life- when the cost to keep an asset (O & M)
      exceeds the value (revenue) it can produce.
    • Cost to keep is sum of amortized initial cost (decrease
      with time) PLUS the operating cost (increase with time)
    • Summation of amortization and operation produces a
      U-shaped curve
                            operation
                                      $
                           amortization
            time                          time        Economic life
Replacement Studies…example 1
Acme owns a CNC machine that it is considering replacing.
Its current market value is $25,000, but it can be
productively used for four more years at which time its
market value will be zero. Operating and maintenance
expenses are $50,000 per year
Acme can purchase a new CNC machine, with the same
functionality as the current machine, for $90,000. In four
years the market value of the new machine is estimated to
be $45,000. Annual operating and maintenance costs will
be $35,000 per year.
Should the old CNC machine be replaced using a before-tax
MARR of 15% and a study period of four years?
Replacement Studies…example 1
Defender
Challenger
 PW of the challenger is greater than PW of the defender
 (but it is close).
Replacement Studies…example 2
An asset purchased 2 years ago for $40,000 is harder to maintain
than expected. It can be sold now for $12,000 or kept for a
maximum of 2 more years, in which case its operating cost will be
$20,000 each year, with a salvage value of $9,000 two years from
now. A suitable challenger will have a first cost of $60,000 with an
annual operating cost of $4,100 per year and a salvage value of
$15,000 after 5 years. Determine the values of
P, A, n, and S for the defender and challenger for an AW
analysis. Interest rate is 10%. What is the decision?
Defender: P = $-12,000; A = $-20,000; n = 2; S = $9,000
Challenger: P = $-60,000; A = $-4,100; n = 5; S = $15,000
Replacement Studies…example 3
An asset purchased 2 years ago for $40,000 is harder to maintain
than expected. It can be sold now for $12,000 or kept for a
maximum of 2 more years, in which case its operating cost will be
$20,000 each year, with a salvage value of $10,000 after 1 year
or $9000 after two years. A suitable challenger will have an
annual worth of $-24,000 per year. At an interest rate of 10% per
year, should the defender be replaced now, one year from now,
or two years from now?
Solution:    Defender AW
AWD1 = -12,000(A/P,10%,1) – 20,000 + 10,000(A/F,10%,1) = $-23,200
AWD2 = -12,000(A/P,10%,2) – 20,000 + 9,000(A/F,10%,2) = $-22,629
                  ESL is n = 2 years; AWD = $-22,629
Challenger AW = $-24,000         Replace defender in 2 years
Abandonment…Example
A machine lathe has a current market value of
$60,000 and can be kept in service for 4 more years.
With an MARR of 12%/year, when should it be
abandoned? The following data are projected for
future years.
                Year 1    Year 2    Year 3    Year 4
Net receipts    $50,000   $40,000   $15,000   $10,000
Market value    $35,000   $20,000   $15,000    $5,000
Abandonment…solution
Keep for one year
 Keep for two years
Keep for three years (BEST!)
 Keep for four years
Video Time!
Project Progress Measurement
     Abu Naser Chowdhury PhD
Project Management
Earned Value Management
EVM was first adopted by the US Department of
Defense in 1967 and today is at the heart of the
project control systems.
It is not a Financial tool, but it is a tool for Project
Management.
It integrates time, cost and scope metrics on a
project.
In particular it explains about cost variance,
schedule variance and time variance.
Earned Value Management
Earned Value Analysis (EVA) is one of the
most common techniques of performance measurement.
It is a means to provide measures of cost and schedule
performance throughout a project life-cycle.
The key purpose of EVM is to inform a project team’s
decision making and to highlight cost and schedule issues
early, allowing time for recovery action to be taken.
The principles behind the method represent best practices
in planning and control in project-based management.
Earned Value Management/Analysis
  EVA helps to assess whether the project is on track in terms of
  budget and time.
  EVA gives a realistic picture of the project status.
  EVA helps to predict any budget gaps and schedule issues.
  EVA helps to answers the following questions:
❖Is the project behind schedule though actual costs are lower than the planned
 cost?
❖What will be the project end up costing? Is that within budget?
❖Are the resources and available time uses efficiently?
Earned Value Management
The benefits of EVM:
❖ It is a single management control system to
  provide reliable and consistent date on project
  performance
❖ It integrates work, schedule and cost using a work
  breakdown structure
❖ The CPI is the predictor for the final cost of the
  project
❖ The cumulative CPI provides an early warning
  signal
❖ The SPI provides an early warning signal
 Measurement of Project Progress
 Mr. John: “This project is going well because it is in its 14th month and
 has spent $4.5 million.”
  • Some traditional measures of project “progress” are based
    on only the actual resources consumed
     – Time spent
     – Money spent (Actual Cost)
Progress can be measured at any time of the project
             Scheduled    Monitored
               (Plan)     (Progress)
 Time            dS           dM       Time Delay
 Costs           cS           cM       Cost Overrun
 Work Done       wS          wM        Accomplishment
                                       Shortfalls
Measurement of Project Progress
Progress can be measured at any time of the project
              Scheduled   Monitored
                (Plan)    (Progress)
 Time             dS          dM       Time Delay
 Costs            cS          cM       Cost Overrun
 Work Done        wS         wM        Accomplishment
                                       Shortfalls
         Scheduled        Monitored
           (Plan)         (Progress)
Time         18 months     20 months     Time Delay
Costs    $1.1 million     $1.24 million Cost Overrun
Measurement of Project Progress
Are simple program and progress charts enough to monitor
performance?
    Program                           Progress
    (schedule)                        (actual)
                 Progress                        Program
                  (actual)                       (schedule)
  Seems poor                           Seems great
 Seemingly good progress; It could be …
 Due to lots of unscheduled work has been done
 Due to lots of low-weight work has been done
                                            EVA helps address
 … thus misleading                             this issue!
 Measurement of Project Progress
  EVA integrates cost, schedule, and work performed by
  assigning monetary values to each
• BCWS
  Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled or programmed ($): the value
    of work scheduled to be accomplished in a given period of time
    (=planned Value)
• ACWP
  Actual Cost of Work Performed ($): the costs actually incurred in
    accomplishing the work performed within the control time
• BCWP
  Budgeted Cost of Work Performed ($): the monetary value of the
    work actually performed within the control time (= Earned
    Value)
Measurement of Project Progress
A clearer picture
 Used for plotting the                          Used for plotting
 Program S-curve                                the EVA S-curve
                           Work       Work
                         Schedule   Performed
                           (WS)       (WP)
    Budgeted Cost (BC)    BCWS       BCWP
     Actual Cost (AC)     ACWS       ACWP
                                                 Used for plotting the
                                                 Progress S-curve
Example of BCWS, BCWP and ACWP
Suppose, a drainage work is estimated to be done
from 1 January to 10 January with a cost of $1000.
However, on 5 January halfway through the time
allowed, the work is 30% complete and has spent
$250.
BCWP is $1000 (Budget Cost) times 30% (Work Perform) i.e.
$300
BCWS is $1000 (Budget Cost) time 50% (Work Schedule) i.e.
$500
ACWP is $250
Project Progress Performance on basis of
       EVA – Some useful metrics
 • Cost Variance (CV)
 • Cost Performance Index (CPI)
 • Schedule Variance (SV)
 • Schedule Performance Index (SPI)
Measurement of Project Progress
Cost Variance (CV)
Definition: A progress performance metric that …
compares the budgeted value of work done vs. the actual value
  of work done.
Computation: CVt = BCWPt – ACWPt
          = Earned Value – Actual Value
Interpretation: If CVt is +ve, underrun or gain of value
        If CVt is –ve, overrrun, or loss of value
        If CVt is 0 or close, we are on budget
Measurement of Project Progress
 Cost Index (CI)
 Definition: Same as that for Cost Variance,
             but involves a ratio instead of a difference.
 Computation: CI = BCWPt/ACWPt
         = Earned value/Actual Value
 Interpretation: If CI > 1, underrun or gain of value
          If CI <1, overrrun, or loss of value
          If CI = 1, we are right on budget
Measurement of Project Progress
 Schedule Variance (SV)
Definition: A progress performance metric that compares the
 budgeted value of work done vs. the earned value of work
 done.
Computation: SVt = BCWPt – BCWSt
          = Earned Value – Budgeted Value
Interpretation: If SVt is +ve, project is ahead or has gained time
      If SVt is –ve, project is behind or has lost time
      If SVt is 0 or close, project is on schedule
Measurement of Project Progress
Schedule Index (SI)
Definition: Same as that for Schedule Variance,
   but involves a ratio instead of a difference.
Computation: SIt = BCWPt / BCWSt
        = Earned Value/Budgeted Value
Interpretation: If SIt > 1, project is ahead or has gained time
        If SIt < 1, project is behind or has lost time
        If SIt = 1, project is on schedule
        Earned Value Analysis
        Actual Cost (ACWP), Earned Value (BCWP), Planned Value
        (BCWS) can be drawn in the graph and then measure the
        performance metrics directly
 $ma                               Example:
 x
                               TIME VARIANCE
                                                 BCWS
ACWPt
                BUDGET VARIANCE
BCWSt                                        COST VARIANCE
               SCHEDULE VARIANCE
BCWPt
                      ACWP
                              BCWP
                                   t-p   t                   t   Time
Using Graphs to Track Progress and
Forecast Trends...Example
  Bar Graph for a small project
                                  S-Curve
 S-Curve
60
     Cumulative Cost
                           ($ in thousands)
                                                               $10,000 Negative Variance
40
                                                                           Cumulative
20                                                                        Budgeted Cost
                                                                           Cumulative
                                                                           Actual Cost
                       5                      10   15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
                                                   Elapsed Time (in weeks)
Example: Earned Value Analysis
Example: Integrating CI and SI
Reasons Often Cited for Cost and Schedule
               Deviations
  Figure:
Case 1: Behind Schedule & over spent
Case 2: Ahead Schedule & Spent Correctly
Case 3: Behind Schedule & Spent Correctly
Case 4: Ahead Schedule & Under Spent
Earned Value Analysis (EVA) and
Earned Value Management (EVM)
Earned Value Analysis (EVA) and
Earned Value Management (EVM)
Earned Value Analysis (EVA) and
Earned Value Management (EVM)
Earned Value Analysis (EVA) and
Earned Value Management (EVM)
RG Matrix
The strategies in the various scenarios are defined by Matrix
(RG Matrix)
Schedule Variance               Positive         Negative
Cost Variance
Positive                   Continue the       Use crashing
                           performance
Negative                   Use reverse
Crashing or floating       Recheck the
                           plan
Practice Problem: EVA
A Project was planned to have total cost $200 lacs. Today, it is July
18th and work estimated till today was worth $100 lacs. The total
time estimated for the project was 250 days. The work which has
been completed today was budgeted for 90 lacs although 96 lacs
have been spent on the works.
Determine the cost and schedule variance and new estimated the
cost and time of complete project.
Acronym        Term                             Interpretation
 PV       Planned Value   What is the estimated value of the work planned to be done?
                          (BCWS = Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled)
 EV       Earned Value    What is the estimated value of the work actually
                          accomplished? (BCWP = Budgeted Cost of Work Performed)
 AC       Actual Cost     What is the actual cost incurred for the work accomplished?
                          (ACWP = Actual Cost of Work Performed)
 BAC      Budget at       How much did we BUDGET for the TOTAL project effort?
          Completion
 EAC      Estimate at     What do we currently expect to TOTAL project to cost?
          Completion
 ETC      Estimate to     From this point on, how much MORE do we expect it to cost
          Completion      to finish the project?
 VAC      Variance at     How much over or under budget do we expect to be at the
          Completion      end of the project?
         Name                   Formula                          Interpretation
Cost Variance (CV)               EV – AC               NEGATIVE = over budget
                                                       POSITIVE = under budget
Schedule Variance (CV)           EV – PV               NEGATIVE = behind schedule
                                                       POSITIVE = ahead of schedule
Cost Performance Index               EV                We are getting $____ worth of work out of
(CPI)                                                  every $ 1 spent. Funds are not being used
                                     AC                efficiently
Schedule Performance                 EV                We are progressing at ___ percent of the
Index (SPI)                                            rate originally planned
                                     PV
Estimate at Completion   There are many ways to        As of now, how much do we expect the total
(EAC)                    Calculate EAC, depending on   project to cost? $____. See formulas at the
                         the assumptions made.         left
                         1.) BAC                       - Used if no variances from BAC have
                                                         occurred or you will continue at the same
                             CPI                         rate of spending.
     Name                Formula                      Interpretation
                   2.) AC + ETC          - Actual plus new estimate for remaining work.
                                           Used when original estimate was fundamentally
                                           flawed
                   3.) AC + (BAC – EV)   - Actual to date plus remaining budget. Used when
                                           current variances are thought to be a typical of
                                           the future. AC plus the remaining value of work
                                           to perform
                   4.) AC + (BAC – EV)   - Actual to date plus remaining budget modified by
                                           performance. Used when current variances are
                                CPI        thought to be typical of the future
Estimate to         EAC – AC             How much more will the project cost?
Completion (ETC)
Variance at         BAC – EAC            How much over or under budget will we be at the
Completion (VAC)                         end of the project
Original Plan
                Today
          PV                  BAC
Current
          AC            ETC         EAC
Earned Value - Graphics
                                                                                 e        Budget At
                                                                         e d Valu
                    Schedule Variance
                                                                   Plann                  Completion
                                                    e
                                                 alu
                                                                         Cost Variance
 Cumulative Value
                                             dV
                                           rne
                                      Ea
                                             o st
                                       l   C
                                      a
                                   tu
                              Ac
                                                       Data Date                         Time
Classical EVA Graphics
              4 month
    75 m
                          100 m
    60 m
    50 m
                         12 month
EAC – Which one should use?