Econ. of Azerb. (Book)
Econ. of Azerb. (Book)
Bakı – 2016
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN
25 Years of Independence
DESIGN
Sahib Kazımov
ISBN: 978-9952-468-57-1
Political Structure:
The Head of State President
Administrative-territorial units:
Autonomous Republic 1
Districts 66
Cities 78
City based Districts 14
Settlements 261
Villages 1727
Village-settlements 4249
Geographical Information:
Area: 86600 km2 (12% forests, 1.7% water basin, suitable lands,
31.1% pastures and hay fields, 31.4 other lands). Azerbaijan
lies between latitudes 38° and 42° N, and longitudes 44°
and 51° E.
The distance from Baku to North Pole is 5550 km, and the
distance from Baku to equator is 4440 km.
Neighbours: The total length of Azerbaijan's land borders is 2,650 km, of
which 1007 kilometers are with Armenia, 765 kilometers
with Iran, 471 kilometers with Georgia, 392 kilometers with
Russia and 15 kilometers with Turkey.
The biggest lakes: Sarisu: 67.0 km2
Aggol: 56.2 km2
Agzibirchala: 37.0 km2
Mehman: 35.0 km2
Boyukshor: 9.2 km2
Hacigabul: 8.4 km2
The biggest lake in the world: Caspian Sea (Area: 400000 km2; Depth: 1025 m)
The highest mountain: Bazarduzu - 4466 m
The biggest islands: Pirallahi- 14.4 km2
Chilov- 11.5 km2
Khere-Zire- 3.5 km2
Boyuk Zire- 1.4 km2
The longets rivers: Kur- 1515 km
Araz - 1072 km
Alazan (Ganix)- 413 km
Iorri (Gabirri)- 389 km
Samur- 216 km
Tartar- 200 km
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................... 1
CHAPTER ONE
THE TRANSITION PERIOD IN AZERBAIJAN ECONOMY .................................... 3
1.1. AZERBAIJAN BEFORE THE INDEPENDENCE ........................................................ 4
1.1.1. SOVIET UNION AND THE COLLAPSE OF THE USSR .............................................. 4
1.1.2. AZERBAIJAN IN SOVIET UNION ............................................................................ 5
1.2. FIRST PERIOD AFTER THE INDEPENDENCE......................................................... 7
1.2.1. THE FIRST PERIOD REFORMS .............................................................................. 8
1.3. SECOND PERIOD AFTER THE INDEPENDENCE (1995-2003) ................................ 9
1.3.1. THE SECOND PERIOD REFORMS ....................................................................... 14
1.4. THE THIRD PERIOD AFTER THE INDEPENDENCE (FROM 2003) ......................... 16
1.5. GENERAL ASSESSMENT OF THE TRANSITION PERIOD ..................................... 17
CHAPTER TWO
MACRO-ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF AZERBAIJAN ECONOMY ......................... 21
2.1. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT .......................................................................... 22
2.2. INFLATION ....................................................................................................... 27
2.3. EMPLOYMENT ................................................................................................. 30
2.4. PRIVATIZATION ................................................................................................ 33
2.4.1. THE COMPARISON BETWEEN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR ........................... 37
2.5. STATE BUDGET ................................................................................................ 38
2.6. MONETARY POLICY ......................................................................................... 40
2.7. FOREIGN TRADE .............................................................................................. 42
2.7.1. THE MAIN COUNTRIES IN FOREIGN TRADE ........................................................ 45
2.7.2. FOREIGN TRADE RELATIONS WITH CIS COUNTRIES .......................................... 46
2.8. FOREIGN DEBTS .............................................................................................. 47
2.9. ENVIRONMENT AND ECOLOGY ......................................................................... 51
2.10. POPULATION ................................................................................................... 53
CHAPTER THREE
SECTORIAL ANALYSIS .................................................................................. 55
3.1. INDUSTRY ....................................................................................................... 55
3.1.1. MINING INDUSTRY ............................................................................................. 58
3.1.2. ELECTRICITY ..................................................................................................... 58
3.2. AGRICULTURE AND CATTLE-BREEDING ........................................................... 60
3.2.1. STOCK-BREEDING ............................................................................................. 72
3.2.2. FISHING ............................................................................................................. 77
3.2.3. BEEKEEPING ...................................................................................................... 80
3.3. SERVICE SECTOR ............................................................................................ 81
3.3.1. EDUCATION ....................................................................................................... 81
3.3.2. HEALTH ............................................................................................................. 84
3.3.3. TOURISM ........................................................................................................... 85
3.3.4. FINANCE ............................................................................................................ 90
3.3.4.1. Bank .......................................................................................................................... 90
3.3.4.2. Insurance ................................................................................................................. 100
3.3.4.3. Securities Exchange ................................................................................................. 104
3.3.5. TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS ............................................................. 106
3.3.5.1. Sea transport ........................................................................................................... 107
3.3.5.2. Road transport ......................................................................................................... 110
3.3.5.3. Railway Transport .................................................................................................... 113
3.3.5.4. Airport Road Transport ............................................................................................. 115
3.3.5.5. The pipeline transport ............................................................................................... 116
3.3.5.6. Communication ........................................................................................................ 117
3.3.5.7. New Silk Road Project .............................................................................................. 120
3.3.5.8. North-South transport corridor .................................................................................. 123
3.3.6. CONSTRUCTION .............................................................................................. 123
CHAPTER FOUR
REGIONAL ANALYSIS .................................................................................. 127
4.1. ECONOMIC REGIONS ..................................................................................... 128
4.1.1. ABSHERON ECONOMIC REGION....................................................................... 128
4.1.2. GANJA-GAZAKH ECONOMIC REGION ............................................................... 130
4.1.3. SHEKI-ZAGATALA ECONOMICAL REGION ......................................................... 132
4.1.4. MOUNTAINOUS SHIRVAN ECONOMICAL REGION ............................................. 134
4.1.5. ARAN ECONOMICAL REGION ........................................................................... 136
4.1.6. NAKHCHIVAN ECONOMICAL REGION ............................................................... 137
4.1.7. LANKARAN ECONOMIC REGION ....................................................................... 139
4.1.8. GUBA-KHACHMAZ ECONOMIC REGION ............................................................ 141
4.1.9. UPPER KARABAKH ECONOMIC REGION ........................................................... 143
4.1.10. KALBAJAR-LACHIN ECONOMIC REGION ........................................................ 143
4.2. IMPORTANCE OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS .............................. 144
4.3. REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM (2004-2008) ....................................... 147
4.3.1. GENERAL OBJECTIVES OF THE PROGRAM ....................................................... 148
4.3.2. REGIONAL TARGETS OF PROGRAM ................................................................. 150
4.3.3. DEVELOPMENT AFTER THE PROGRAM ............................................................ 151
4.3.5. EXPECTATIONS FROM APPLICATION ............................................................... 154
4.4. THE PROGRAM OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF
AZERBAIJAN REPUBLIC REGIONS IN 2009-2013 ............................................ 156
4.4.1. THE GOAL OF OF THE STATE PROGRAM, OBJECTIVES AND PRIORITIES OF
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT .............................................................................. 157
4.4.2. SOURCES OF FUNDING MEASURES ENVISAGED IN THE STATE PROGRAM ...... 170
4.5. SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM OF REGIONS OF AZERBAIJAN
REPUBLIC FOR 2014-2018............................................................................. 171
4.5.1. SOURCES OF FUNDING MEASURES ENVISAGED IN THE STATE PROGRAM ...... 184
CHAPTER FIVE
CASPIAN ENERGY RESOURCES AND ECONOMIC IMPORTANCE ................. 185
5.1. POTENTIAL OF OIL AND NATURAL GAS ............................................................ 185
5.2.1. THE CONTRACT OF THE CENTURY: “AZERI-CHIRAG-GUNESLI” FIELDS
AGREEMENT ................................................................................................... 191
5.2.2. “SHAHDENIZ” FIELD CONTRACT ...................................................................... 195
5.2.3. OTHER CONTRACTS ........................................................................................ 197
5.2.3.1. The contracts on offshore fields ................................................................................ 197
5.2.3.2. Contracts on Onshore Fields ..................................................................................... 201
5.3. OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION............................................................ 204
5.4. FOREIGN INVESTMENTS IN OIL AND NATURAL GAS SECTOR.......................... 207
5.5. OIL EXPORT LEVEL AND INCOMES ................................................................. 208
5.6. THE PIPELINES .............................................................................................. 212
5.6.1. BAKU-NOVOROSSIYSK OIL PIPELINE ............................................................... 212
5.6.2. BAKU-SUPSA OIL PIPELINE.............................................................................. 213
5.6.3. BAKU-TBILISI-CEYHAN OIL PIPELINE ............................................................... 213
5.6.4. BAKU-TBILISI-ERZURUM NATURAL GAS PIPELINE ........................................... 215
5.6.5. TANAP PROJECT AND ITS PERSPECTIVE ......................................................... 216
CHAPTER SIX
“DUTCH DISEASE” IN ECONOMY AND THE MEASURES AGAINST IT .......... 223
6.1. DUTCH DISEASE ............................................................................................ 223
6.2. DUTCH SYNDROME IN AZERBAIJAN AND ITS COMPLICATIONS ...................... 225
6.3. THE MEASURES TAKEN AGAINST DUTCH DISEASE ........................................ 227
6.3.1. THE STATE OIL FUND....................................................................................... 227
6.3.1.2. The Independence or Privatization of the State Oil Company ....................................... 232
6.3.2. THE ACTIVITIES ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF FREE ECONOMIC ZONES ........... 233
CHAPTER SEVEN
THE ECONOMIC POLICY OF AZERBAIJAN ................................................... 235
7.1. MONETARY POLICY ....................................................................................... 235
7.2. FINANCIAL POLICY ......................................................................................... 243
7.3. EXCHANGE RATE POLICY ............................................................................... 251
CHAPTER EIGHT
THE PROCESS OF AZERBAIJAN’S INTEGRATION
TO THE WORLD ECONOMY ......................................................................... 263
8.1. THE LEVEL OF INTEGRATION .......................................................................... 264
8.2. THE TIES WITH INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ORGANISATIONS ....................... 264
8.2.1. RELATIONS WITH THE IMF ............................................................................... 266
8.2.2. RELATIONS WITH THE WORLD BANK .............................................................. 268
8.2.2.1. Cooperation with the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) ...................... 271
8.2.2.2. Cooperation with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) ...................................... 272
8.2.3. RELATIONS WITH THE EUROPEAN BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION
AND DEVELOPMENT (EBRD)............................................................................ 272
8.2.4. RELATIONS WITH THE JAPAN BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL
COOPERATION (JBIC) ...................................................................................... 273
8.2.5. TIES WITH THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK ................................................... 274
8.2.6. TIES WITH THE ISLAMIC DEVELOPMENT BANK (IDB) ........................................... 274
8.2.7. RELATIONS WITH THE GERMAN DEVELOPMENT BANK.................................... 275
8.2.8. RELATIONS WITH THE BLACK SEA TRADE AND
DEVELOPMENT BANK (BSTDB) ........................................................................ 276
8.3. STRUCTURE OF FOREIGN DEBT ON RESOURCES ........................................... 276
8.4. TIES WITH THE EUROPEAN UNION ................................................................. 276
8.4.1. TRACECA......................................................................................................... 277
8.4.2. TACIS .............................................................................................................. 279
8.4.3. INOGATE.......................................................................................................... 280
8.5. REGIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS................................................................. 280
8.5.1. THE COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES .......................................... 280
8.5.2. ORGANIZATION OF THE BLACK SEA ECONOMIC COOPERATION....................... 291
8.5.3. ECONOMIC COOPERATION ORGANIZATION ...................................................... 292
8.5.4. GU(U)AM ......................................................................................................... 292
8.6. NEW GOALS OF INTEGRATION ....................................................................... 293
8.6.1. MEMBERSHIP IN WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION ............................................ 294
8.6.2. “TURKISH ECONOMIC UNION” OR IDEA OF
“EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION” ....................................................................... 297
CHAPTER NINE
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS IN AZERBAIJAN AND INVESTMENT POTENTIAL .. 299
9.1. FOREIGN INVESTMENTS ................................................................................ 299
9.2. INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT ......................................................................... 305
9.2.1. NEGATIVE CASES IN INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT........................................... 306
9.2.2. LEGAL REGULATIONS ...................................................................................... 307
9.2.3. LEGAL ENTERPRISES REGISTRATION PERIOD ................................................. 308
9.2.4. PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION AND RESPECT FOR CONTRACTS ................. 309
9.2.5. PROTECTION OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS ......................................... 310
9.2.6. STATE FINANCIAL AID TO PRIVATE SECTOR .................................................... 310
9.2.7. TRANSPARENCY OF REGULATORY SYSTEM, GENERAL STANDARDS
MANAGEMENT AND COMBATING CORRUPTION .............................................. 310
9.2.8. NATIONAL REGULATIONS ................................................................................ 311
9.2.9. NATIONALIZATION ........................................................................................... 311
9.2.10. THE TRANSFER AND REPLACEMENT OF THE INCOME ................................... 311
9.2.11. RESOLUTION OF CONFLICTS.......................................................................... 312
9.2.12. BILATERAL INVESTMENT TREATIES ............................................................... 312
9.2.13. CAPITAL PARTICIPATIONS AND SUPPORT ..................................................... 312
9.2.14. TAXES AND TAX RATES ................................................................................. 312
9.3. INVESTMENT POTENTIAL ................................................................................ 315
9.4. INVESTMENT AND TRADE SPHERES ................................................................ 316
9.4.1. AGRICULTURE AND FOOD ............................................................................... 316
9.4.2. CHEMICAL INDUSTRY ...................................................................................... 317
9.4.3. LIGHT PROCESSING INDUSTRY ....................................................................... 317
9.4.4. CONSTRUCTION AND TOURISM ....................................................................... 318
9.4.5. TRANSPORT .................................................................................................... 318
CHAPTER TEN
SWOT ANALYSIS OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMY .............................................. 319
10.1. THE STRENGHTS ........................................................................................... 320
10.1.1. THE STRENGTHS FROM MACROECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES .......................... 320
10.1.2. THE STRENGTHS FROM SECTORIAL AND REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ............ 321
10.1.3. NON-ECONOMIC STRENGTHS ........................................................................ 323
10.2. THE WEAKNESSES ........................................................................................ 323
10.2.1. THE WEAKNESSES IN MACROECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES ............................. 323
10.2.2. WEAKNESSES IN SECTORIAL AND REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ....................... 325
10.2.3. NON-ECONOMIC WEAKNESSES ..................................................................... 326
10.3. THREATS ...................................................................................................... 327
10.3.1. ECONOMIC THREATS ..................................................................................... 327
10.3.2. NON-ECONOMIC THREATS ............................................................................ 327
10.4. OPPORTUNITIES ............................................................................................ 328
10.4.1. ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES .......................................................................... 328
10.4.2. NON-ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES .................................................................. 329
10.5. PROPOSALS .................................................................................................. 330
CHAPTER TWELVE
THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL
CRISIS ON AZERBAIJAN’S ECONOMY ......................................................... 351
12.1. THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS AND ITS REASONS ....................................... 351
12.2. THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL CRISIS ON THE ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN .......... 352
12.2.1. THE IMPACT ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT.................................................. 352
12.2.2. THE IMPACT ON OIL AND NON-OIL SECTOR .................................................. 353
12.2.3. THE IMPACT ON AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ..................................................... 353
12.2.4. THE IMPACT ON TRADE SECTOR ................................................................... 354
12.2.5. THE IMPACT OF AZERBAIJAN ON FOREIGN STATE DEBT ............................... 355
12.2.6. THE IMPACT ON CONSTRUCTION SECTOR .................................................... 356
12.2.7. THE IMPACT OF DIRECT INVESTMENT ........................................................... 356
12.2.8. THE IMPACT ON STATE BUDGET ................................................................... 358
12.2.9. THE IMPACTS ON MACROECONOMICS .......................................................... 359
12.2.10. THE IMPACTS ON MICROECONOMIC SYSTEM.............................................. 360
1
CHAPTER ONE
THE TRANSITION PERIOD IN
AZERBAIJAN ECONOMY
The most important trade relationships were realized via the Mediterranean and
Black Seas in ancient times and medieval. The caravan routes, especially Great
Silk Way were extended from China and India to Mediterranean and Black Seas
and passed through Azerbaijan. Well-known caravan route which made connection
between Eastern Europe and South Caucasus, Iran, and Central Asia via Darband
passage also crossed Azerbaijan. Thus, abovementioned international caravan
routes attracted the other countries from ancient times. Azerbaijan played “Golden
Bridge” role in the region.
However this geopolitical position caused deep problems throughout the history.
Thus, Azerbaijan was separated between Russia and Iran in 1813 and 1828
according to the Gulustan and Turkmenchay contracts, relevantly. Therefore
Azerbaijan territories started to be named Southern and Northern Azerbaijan.
After the Bolshevik revolution, Azerbaijan Democratic Republic was established
in 28 May 1918. However Azerbaijan was invaded by the Russian troops in 27
April 1920. Azerbaijan became the part of USSR in 1922 and named “Azerbaijan
Soviet Socialist Republic” from 1936. Eventually northern Azerbaijan, which was
the colony of USSR, declared independence in 1991, after the collapse of the
Soviet Union.
In 1980s, “glasnost policy” which was implemented by Michael Gorbachev
caused the collapse of the USSR and Azerbaijan regained independence in 1991.
“Milli Majlis”, the Parliament of the Republic of Azerbaijan declared 18th October
as a National Independence Day. Azerbaijan got rid of soviet imperialism,
totalitarian soviet regime, and utopic communist ideology via the independence.
Azerbaijan becomes the independent state now. There is no any foreign army in
the territories of Azerbaijan. Furthermore independent government organizations
resolve the problems of the citizens in the country. Naturally, the political
independence plays much more important role in the forming of national economy.
3
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Daniel Yergin– Thane Gustafson, Rusiya 2011 və Dünyadakı Yeri, (Transl: Özden Arıkan), Sabah Yayınları, Istanbul,
1
1994, p.1.
4
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Ken Jowitt, “Yeni Dünya Düzensizliği”, (Transl: Levənt Köker), Demokrasinin Küresel Yükselişi, (Der: Larry Diamond – Marc
2
5
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
country are not considered because of the central planning3. Several products
and crude materials were sold to the union countries for cheap price and again
imported as a finished product for an expensive price. Azerbaijan did not have a
property rights on its own resources, so, the incomes came from the oil products,
cotton, tobacco and winemaking industries were collected in the central
government.
Azerbaijan economy reached high level within the economy of the USSR.
However that was not evaluated relevantly. The economy of Azerbaijan was not
stable during the last 20 years of the soviet period. For instance the average
economic growth rate was 5.2% in 1960-1970, while increased 7.4% in 1970-
1980. From 1980 until 1990, this figure decreased sharply.
If the abovementioned analyses are considered, it can be clear that the collapse
of the USSR was not political but economic. The administration of the union,
which was consisted of the several countries, caused problems in terms of the
realization of the socio-economic development. The current position of the
Soviet Union was behind of the developed and some developing countries. The
most important problems of the planned economy remaining from the Soviet
Union are listed below4;
1. The economic structure was not suitable.
2. The production power was not same in terms of the regional and sectorial
division.
3. The quality of the products was low. Furthermore the amount of the products
two times less than the other union states. Only 50% of the consumption was
met by the domestic production at the beginning of the 1990s in Azerbaijan.
4. As a result of the irrelevant economic structure the export was more than the
import about 30-40% at the end of the 1980s. In fact, this should be explained
as a positive indicator. However that was undesirable because of the
landscape and the geographical structure of the country. Thus 55-60% of the
export belonged to crude materials and intermediate products. Generally 45-
50% of the export and import were realized with Russia and this trend caused
the lagging of the economy in the next years5.
Ismail Özsoy, Dağıstan’ın Sosyo-Iqtisadi Tarihi, Kaynak Yayınları, Izmir, 1997, p.246;
3
Marc F Plattner, “Demokrasi Anı”, (Transl: Ergun Özbudun), Demokrasinin Küresel Yükselişi, (Edt: Larry Diamond – Marc F.
4
6
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Rasim Həsənov, “Azərbaycanın Iqtisadi Inkişaf Paradiqması və Iqtisadi Təhlükəsizlik Konsepsiya-sının Seçimi”, Məşvərət
6
7
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The lack of the relevant economic reforms, the budget expenditures for Karabakh
war, the loss of the 20% of the country’s territories, the refugee more than 1
million people and lack of the foreign investment and poor implementation of
privatization caused deep crises in Azerbaijan economy. The strategy in line with
the transition to the market economy was not identified and the economic
decisions were not irrelevant during that period8.
The war with Armenia, the transportation embargo of Russia on Azerbaijan and
the inactivity of two oil pipeline and military challenges negatively influenced
crisis9.
The worst situation in Azerbaijan economy was observed in 1992. The GDP
decreased twice in 1992-1994 and became the 48% of the indicator of 1991.
From 1990 to 1994 the GDP decreased 13-20% annually and became $1629.3
million dollars in 1994. The GDP decreased 53% and industry, agriculture, the
consumption and the extraction of the tax decreased 62%, 44%, 75% and 45%
respectively in comparison with 1990. Wrong economic policies caused
problems in finance and foreign trade sectors.
The inflation increased to four-digit numbers in 1992-1994. The shortcomings in
the monetary policies caused economic crisis. The loans were given in
accordance with the wishes of the bank managers.
The economic crisis resulted with the decrease in production, price increase and
the deficits in the state budget. The shortcomings in the tax collection also
resulted with budget discharging. The inefficient use of the loans aggravated the
economic crisis. One of the other negative of the economic crisis was the
devaluation of the national currency.
Heydər Əliyev, “Azərbaycan Respublikasının dövlət müstəqilliyinin onuncu ildönümü haqqında”, Azərbaycan Respublikası
8
8
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The slowdown was happened in the economy because of the ongoing war in
1993-1994. The “Law on the Privatization of the small-sized organizations came
to force in January, 1993. Manat became the only acceptable currency in
Azerbaijan in 1994. The transition to the market economy accelerated as a result
of the signing of the cease-fire with Armenia. In June, “Execution-Bankruptcy
Law” was enacted and the consolidation processes of the banks were started10.
Banking, privatization, the liberalization of the foreign trade and some structural
changes were realized during 1995-2000.
10
Ayhan Karaca, “Azerbaycanda Ekonomik Dönüşüm Süreci ve Reformların 10 Yılı”,
http://www.foreigntrade.gov.tr/ead/DTDERGI/ocakozel2002/ayhan.htm. (13.03.2015)
9
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Imran Cəfərzadə, “Əsaslı Inkişaf Illəri”, Iqtisadiyyat Qəzeti, 18 October-1 November 2001, p.3
11
canda Iqtisadi Islahatların Həyata Keçirilməsi Xüsusiyətləri və Probləmlər, Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi Islahatlar Mərkəzi,
Baku, 2001, ss.60-63; Cəfərzadə, p.3
10
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Azerbaijan was the fastest growing economy among the former USSR countries
because of the oil investments. The increase in GDP was 10% and 7.2% in 1998
and 1999 respectively. The reasons of the growth were the incomes from oil,
construction and agriculture sectors.
In comparison with the figures of 1990, the GDP was 2 times less in 2000.
Furthermore the production in industry and agriculture was 3.3 and 2.4 times
less than the figures of 1990 respectively. The total amount of the investments
decreased until 1996. However it was increased until 2000 and became 55%
more than the figures of 1989.
On the other hand newly applied monetary and exchange rate policies deterred
the price increase, and new currency manat became stable against foreign
currencies. In fact the inflation increased by 1763% in 1994. However the
inflation dropped to 1.8% in 200013.
Direct foreign investments played key role in the economic recovery of Azerbaijan.
The most important part of the direct foreign investments was spent to the oil
production sector. From 1995 until 1998, 59.1% increase was observed in the
amount of the foreign investments. The share of the stable investment in the GDP
was 40.6% in 1998, and this figure two times more than the statistics of 1995.
However only 0.5% of the foreign investments were spent for the Agriculture
sector, which was the second employment source in the country. Foreign
investors avoided investing for the manufacturing industry. As a result, the
production in the sector decreased sharply.
From 2000, Azerbaijan made economic relations with 122 countries, and total
amount of the trade relationships was more than $2.9 billion dollars14. This
amount was 2.2 times more than the figures of 1993.
The occupation of Azerbaijan territories by Armenian armed forces was another
important factor in Azerbaijan economy. Thus, Azerbaijan lost 20% of its territo-
ries; as a result the country lost 1/5 part of production potential, and 300.000
workplaces. Furthermore 12% of the inhabitants immigrated. Approximately
290.000 family or 1.000.000 people left their ancestral homelands. The total area
of the occupied lands was 22700 km2. The borderlines of Nakhchivan were also
affected by the invasion of Armenian armed forces, at the same time with the
Mountainous Karabakh. 17100 km2 territories of Azerbaijan lands (approximately
Akif Musayev, “Azərbaycan Respublikasının Iqtisadi Inkişaf Strategiyası və Vergi Siyasəti”, Iqtisadiyyat və Audit Jurnalı,
13
pp. 66-67.
11
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
15
Azerbaijan Economic Damages and Heavy Tolls Caused by Armenian Aggression’,
www.economy.gov.az/HTML/aggression.html (09.04.2015).
12
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The huge amount of cargo from Europe to Asia, and vice-versa was passed from
the Azerbaijan territory before the invasion. Approximately 300 wagons were
passing from Azerbaijan territory in a month. Naturally Azerbaijan deprived from
the transit revenues after the occupation.
Generally, 150000 civilian residential houses, 7000 industrial and agriculture
institutions and 4400 education, culture, health and public institution were
destroyed in Mountainous Karabakh region. It is possible to mention that,
Azerbaijan lost more than $100 billion dollars in Karabakh war.
Armenian terrorists continued their terror actions in other parts of Azerbaijan, in
metro, sea transport, and highways. As a result more than 2000 people were
killed, and 10000 people injured. Terror actions only in two metro stations
amounted millions of dollars.
Drug plants are bred in the occupied lands and transported to Iran, Russia and
other countries. Armenian armed forces controls 128 km territory from Horadiz
(Fizuli) to Nakhchivan and so the traffic of drug plants in the region increased in
the region. The gold mines in Kalbajar and Zangilan territories are used by
Armenian invaders. The raw materials of abovementioned mines are transported
to Zod gold mine in Vardenis district of Armenia. The prepared products are sold
to Russia and other countries. The revenues come from the abovementioned
mines are the 51% of Armenian budget. The occupied lands are polluted also.
The nuclear wastes are transported to the Mountainous Karabakh region.
Furthermore the flora and fauna of the region are destroyed in the region.
According to the calculations 8-10% of the forest resources are ruined in the
occupied region16. The economic loss is estimated about $30 billion dollars. 500
m3polluted waters are fluid the Armenia and Georgia to the Caspian basin.
The war with Armenia injured Azerbaijan’s international relations also in the
economic transition period. The most important problems which the refuges
confronted with are education, health, and employment. The refuges live in the
70 various cities and districts of Azerbaijan now. “The State Commission for
Refugees and IDPs” as well as the international and domestic organizations are
responsible for the problems of the refugees and IDPs. The most significant
problem is education. Thus the parents cannot provide their children with the
school uniform and healthy food. As a result the children could not access to the
education facilities. The schools which are established in refugee camps are lack
of technical capabilities. Furthermore these schools are part of the any other
schools. The death rate, especially child mortality increased in the refugee
Təbriz Vəfalı, “Qarabağın Iqtisadıyyatımızda Izi”, Hərbi And Qəzeti, 1-15 April 2003, p.3
16
13
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
camps recent years. The diseases such as tuberculosis, jaundice, and malaria
also increased in the tent camps and refugee dormitories. Additionally the people
suffer from the rheumatism and skin diseases.
Poor nutrition of the people, who live in the tent camps, also caused the
diseases. The number of the disabled people increased among the refugees last
25 years. These cases are observed with the newborn children. According to the
researches, the children who were born at home confronted with some
problems. The people could not access the health facilities because of the
unemployment problem17. Heydar Aliyev Fund and the State Oil Fund of the
Republic of Azerbaijan allocated $10 billion dollars in order to abolish the tent
camps and increase the social welfare of the refugees.
17
Azerbaijan Economic Damages and Heavy Tolls Caused By Armenian Aggression’,
www.economy.gov.az/HTML/aggression.html (09.04.2015)
18
Ayhan Karaca, “Azərbaycanda Iqtisadi Keçid Dövü və Islahatları 10 Ili”,
http://www.foreigntrade.gov.tr/ead/DTDERGI/ocakozel2002/ayhan.htm. (12.03.2015)
14
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Three important issues were intended to be realized in this phase of the transition
period.
1. The use of the natural resources of the country
2. The establishment of the relevant economic structure according to the liberal-
democratic market principles
3. Integration with the world economy in global and regional level
The progresses attained in this period can be listed as follows;
1. The stability was attained in the economy
2. The significant improvements was attained in accordance with the activation
of the natural resources of the country
3. The new socio-economic situation was established via the privatization of the
lands
4. The liberal economy, the improvement of the foreign relations, and the foreign
investments caused economic development
President Heydar Aliyev signed the “State Program on Poverty Reduction and
Economic Development” in March, 2001 in order to improve the welfare of the
people, via attaining economic development, and the establishment of the new
workplaces. The Board of Directors of the International Monetary Fund approved
the “State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development” on 2nd
July, 2001.
There are some obligatory reasons in order to reduce poverty in Azerbaijan.
According to the information of World Bank, the income of 40-50% of people
was less than $1 dollar per day, those years. Furthermore, according to another
survey, $86 dollars were demanded per month for minimum living conditions.
The average monthly salary was $64.4 dollars. These figures show that most of
the people were under the poverty level (Approximately 40-45%). As a result of
the successful economic programs, the number of the people under poverty
level dropped to 4-5% in 2015.
President Heydar Aliyev met with the local and foreign entrepreneurs in April and
May, 2002. He supported local and foreign investors, via the decree on tax,
customs, and licensing, which he signed in August and September, 2002. The
new era was started via these regulations. The newly established investment
environment started to catch the attention of the foreign investors.
The number of the taxes reduced and the programs were made in order to
improve the small and medium-sized enterprises as a result of the meetings
between the president and the entrepreneurs.
15
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
16
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
to revive the non-oil sector, as well as agriculture sector via assessing the
economic potentials of the regions. To do this, the government planned to
increase employment and social welfare.
Some significant achievements were attained in accordance with the development
of the non-oil sector in recent years. Thus, the development of non-oil sector is
observed in the regions of the country.
17
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
economic stability was attained in last 25 years. The value of the Manat is
stable. Furthermore the inflation and budget become very low, the GDP stablized.
The Organizations such as World Bank, International Monetary Fund, United
Nations Development Program and Asian Development Bank supported the
government’s policy on the security of the macro-economic area. These Organi-
zations also emphasize that the monopoly and illegality continue in the country.
According to the Human Development Index, published by United Nations, the
human development index stabilizedfrom 1996. Human Development Index has
been published by United Nations since 1990. This index shows the welfare of
the people better than the GDP. Human Development Index (HDI) includes 3
important characteristics of human being.
- Long and healthy life (calculated according to the average life expectancy)
- Education level (calculated according to the ratio of the people according to
their education level; primary, secondary and high school, university)
- Living standards (Purchasing Power Parity/PPP, calculated according to the
income)
However this index is not the detailed indicator of human development. For
instance, income and gender inequality and ensuring political freedoms are not
included in human development index. The rating is divided into 3 categories
until 2009. According to the previous system;
Places of Countries Human Development Index
1-63 High Human Development
64-146 Medium Human Development
146- Low Human Development
“Very High Human Development” category has been added to the index since
2009.
Places of Countries Human Development Index
1-49 Very High Human Development
50-105 High Human Development
106-143 Medium Human Development
144- Low Human Development
18
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
“Converting Black Gold into Human Gold Initiative” was planned to be started
incorporation with the United Nations Development Program in 2005. The
Program on “Converting Black Gold into Human Gold” was approved by
President Ilham Aliyev on 27th September, 2004. The abovementioned project
was signed between the Ministry of Economic Development of Azerbaijan
Republic and United Nations Development Program. The project included the
provision of the sustainable development via investing into the education system.
The political stability should be provided in order to attain macro-economic
stability in any country. The political stability was attained after Heydar Aliyev
came to power and continued during the presidency of Ilham Aliyev. Public
policies and economic reforms, as well as the operation of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan
pipeline resulted with the growth in economy.
As a result of the macro-economic stability in last two decades, successful oil
strategies, reviving of the economic potential, radical economic reforms and
reconstruction processes, the transition period was ended. The President Ilham
Aliyev emphasized that, the transition period is ended and Azerbaijan entered
new development era.
19
CHAPTER TWO
MACRO-ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF
AZERBAIJAN ECONOMY
Azerbaijan economy attained more achievements in comparison with the other
former soviet republics during the transition period. The existence of rich natural
resources caught the attention of foreign investors. Foreign investments were
one of the most important factors which stipulate economic growth. The
economic development continued in the stable environment in terms of the
macro-economy. According to the information of International Monetary Fund,
the growth rate of the world economy was equal to 3.4% in 2015.
The growth rate in developing countries was equal to 4.6% in 2014. This figure
is 0.4% less than the result of 2013. The reasons for the reduction of the growth
rate are listed as follows;
- The low commodity prices in world markets
- The reduction of the growth rate in China economy
- The political situation in CIS (Commonwealth Independent States), and MENA
(Middle East and North Africa) regions.
The growth rate in developed countries is equal to 1.8% in 2014. The acceleration
of the growth rate in these countries is related to the growth of demands and
investments in the United States and reviving of the economy in Eurozone. Thus
there was 0.4% reduction in growth rate in 2013 and then 0.8% increase in
2014. According to the information of International Monetary Fund, the growth
rate in the world market should be reduced 3.3% in 2015. On the other hand
3.8% increase should be observed in 2016. According to the predictions of World
Bank the growth rate will be 2.0% and 2.4% respectively. According to the
calculations of International Monetary Fund the growth rate was supposed to be
4.2% and 4.7% respectively in 2015-2016 in Developing Countries. These figures
will be 2.1% and 2.4% respectively in Developed Countries. The socio-economic
development strategy of the government triggered the dynamic progress, the
diversification of the economy, entrepreneurship and the regional development.
21
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Source: http://www.economy.gov.az/images/pdf/konsepsiya_2016.doc
22
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The Gross Domestic Product of Azerbaijan was 11.8% in 1995. From 1996, the
GDP rate started to increase. Azerbaijan was affected by the Russian crisis in
1998. However, later the economy increased 10%. The reasons of the growth
were the increase oil prices and foreign investments connected in terms of the
oil contracts. The stability was observed in the economy of Azerbaijan in 1999.
However the amount of the investments in oil and gas sectors increased
significantly20.
20
E. S. Imanov - E. M. Babaşov-R. H. Dayıyev, “Iqtisadi Islahatlar Şəraitində Əhalinin Sosyal Müdafiəsinin Təşkili Məsələləri”,
Azərbaycanda Iqtisadi Islahatların Həyata Keçirilməsi Xüsusiy-yətləri və Problemlər, Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi
Islahatlar Mərkəzi, Baku, 2001, p.102
23
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
In 2000, Azerbaijan was the first place, in terms of the economic growth in United
Nations states. In 2001-2002, 10% economic growth was attained. This growth
mostly based onconstruction and manufacturing industries. The value-added
growth was 61% and 17.7% respectively in these sectors. The volume of the
domestic production increased from 60.1% to 63.1% in 2003. The volume of the
service sector decreased from 31.9% to 30%.
The growth in production was observed in all sectors in 2008. As a result 5.8%
growth rate of GDP in 1997 increased to 24% in 1998-2008. The GDP of Azerbaijan
reached 75 billion dollars in 2014 as a result of the oil revenues. Gross Domestic
Product per capita dropped sharply because of the economic crises in the first
half of 1990s. The living conditions decreased 7 times in 1990-1993. The GDP
continues to grow since 1995. Eventually the GDP reached 7986 dollars in 2014.
The income growth caused the strengthening of the purchasing power and the
development of the real sector.
The President approved the “State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic
Development on 20th February 2003. The “State Program on Poverty Reduction”
focused on the strengthening of the macro-economic stability, the increasing of
incomes, the increasing of the investments on health and education systems, the
provision of the social security and improvement of the life standards. The
government plans to resolve the unemployment problem via;
- Social policy and the development of human resources
- Regional policy
- Structural development
- Improvement of existence potential
Azerbaijan government realized new program that includes period from 2006 to
2015, after the “State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development”
which includes the period from 2003 to 2005. When the first program was
approved in 2003, the poverty rate was 44.7%. However this figure dropped to
11.5% in 2010. The program of 2006-2015 is called “Long-term Strategy for
Sustainable Human Development” and plans to reduce the poverty to 5-6%.
The minimum wages and living costs have been increased in last 10 years. The
average limit in accordance with the minimum wages is listed as follows:
24
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The government planned to increase the economic welfare of people, and reduce
the poverty via increasing the minimum salary. From 2001 to 2015, the minimum
salaries increased 200%. The activities based on private property and private
initiatives take an important place in the incomes of the people.
Figure 1. Sectorial Distribution of GDP (%)
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
The wages are in the second place among the incomes. According to the
statistics, the average monthly salary was $14 dollars in 1995 and $50 dollars in
2000. In 2003 the minimum salary was 78 dollars and this figure was 21.4%
more than the indicators of 2002. Azerbaijan is ahead of Armenia and Georgia in
terms of the average monthly salary. However the country stays behind of
Russia and Kazakhstan in this area. If we consider the minimum living costs,
25
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Azerbaijan ($136) took the second place after Russia ($217) among the CIS
countries in 2011. The government plans to increase average monthly salaries
3.9% about in 2015. Furthermore it’s expected that, the average monthly salary
will be 562.7 manat in 2016.
The salaries of people who work in industry, energy, construction and finance
sector are more than the others’.
The implementation of tight monetary and budget policies with the recommen-
dation of the International Monetary Fund has negative effects on people.
Furthermore the cut of subsides which were provided in gas, fuel and bread
caused some problems in the transition period. Abovementioned subsidies were
available for only refuges and IDPs. On the other hand income level in Baku was
twice more than the regions.
There were significant changes in the sectorial distribution of the GDP and the
volume of private sector in economy as a result of the implementation of the
reforms. The volume of the private sector in GDP was 34% in 1995. This figure
increases gradually and reached 79% in 2015. Industry and agriculture sectors
have more shares in GDP. The volume of oil production in GDP increased as a
result of the investments21. Furthermore there were significant achievements in
transportation and construction sector.
Figure 2. Sectorial Distribution of GDP in 2015 (%)
Others
29%
Industry
39%
Trade
8%
Communication Agriculture
2% 5%
Construction Transportation
13% 4%
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
Faruk Arslan, “Azərbaycan Ekonomisində Geçiş Dönemi”, Hazar Bilim Sanat ve Kültür Dergisi, S.1, Bahar-2000, p.17.
21
26
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
2.2. INFLATION
The people in Azerbaijan were acquainted with the inflation concept of the first
years of last decade of the 20th century. The closing of the companies caused
the reduction of the total supply. The inflation rate increased as a result of it. The
total supply was demanded by the goods, which people had previously.
Therefore, the inflation rate in 1990-1991 was less than the indicators of the next
years’. The price increase was accelerated as a result of the abolishment of price
regulation, and government spending in line with the war. The lack of indicators
in line with the money supply until 1994, constant application to the emission of
money in order to meet the budget deficits caused the hyper-inflation via
devaluation of Manat23. Furthermore the closing of the northern railway line, in
line with the Russia-Chechen war caused the reduction of import and that was
another factor in accordance with the increase of inflation rate. On the other
hand, the methods of international organizations in foreign trade also triggered
the increase of inflation. Despite of the intervention of National Bank, Azerbaijan
Manat was devalued against the United States Dollar and consumer preferences
were diverted to the import. The last two also played important role in line with
the increase of inflation.
Briefly, as a result of the economic problems remained from the former USSR as
well as the war in the first years of independence, the inflation increased to four
digits. In 1994, the inflation has reached the peak with 1763.5%. Despite the
attaining of cease-fire in May, 1994, and reduction of inflation as a result of the
reforms, the inflation rate was identified as 511.8. Due to tight monetary policy,
Azerbaijan economy started to get rid of the high inflation rate from 1996.
Consequently, stability program was implemented by the government after the
cease-fire agreement ended high inflation rate. As a result the inflation was
single-digit in 1997.
E. Ö. Hüseynov, “Reformatika və Onun Hiper dövrə Uyğunlaşdırmanın Zəruriliyi”, Azərbaycanda Iqtisadi Islahatların
22
Həyata Keçirilməsi Xüsusiyyətləri və Problemlər, Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi Islahatlar Mərkəzi, Baku, 2001, p.92.
Nəsimi Kamalov, “1990-2000 ci Illər Arasında Azərbaycan’da Inflyasiya”, Journal of Qafqaz University, Number 6, Fall-
23
2000, pp.67-70.
27
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The prices reductions were observed in 1998-1999. The prices reduced approxi-
mately 8.5% in 1999. As a result of the softening of tight monetary policy in
1999, the price increase was started to be observed again from 2000. The
inflation reached 12.4% as a result of the price increase in 2005.
1/3 of the inflation of 2008 was the result of the increase of the volume of
national currency. Inflation is explained by the increase of oil and euro in the
region. The supply factors, 30% increase in incomes of people and investment
played significant role in the inflation, which happened in 2008. Furthermore the
increase in government expenditures also affected the inflation. In 2008, prices
of the production of industrial materials increased by 10.9%.
Figure 3. Annual inflation rates over period 1991-2014 years
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
The traditional factors such as increase of the demanding, utility reforms and the
increase of the prices of the import products (sugar, wheat and etc.) in world
market caused inflation in 2007. The inflation rate was 16.7% in comparison
with the previous year. The prices of the food, non-food products, and services
increased 16.2%, 10.5%, and 25.3% respectively. The inflation rate was 15.4%
less than the predictions (20-22%) of international organizations. In 2009, the
average annual inflation rate decreased to 1.5%. It was 10 times less than previous
year’s result. The maintenance of the average annual inflation in low level caused
the increasing of all social indicators. The abundance of food and price dynamics
affected the inflation rate in 2010. The annual inflation was 7.9% and average
28
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
annual inflation was 5.7% that year. The average annual inflation forms from the
increasing of the food prices 3.9%, non-food prices 0.6% and service prices
1.2% respectively. The monthlyseasonal deflation observed in May-July, was
substituted by price increase from August. The main factor in line with the price
increase of the non-food sector was the forest fires happened in Russia. Thus
the prices of the imported construction materials increased that time in line with
the fires.
The inflation was completely affected by the external factors in 2011. The
inflation was 7.9% that year. As happened in previous year, the increase of the
food prices affected inflation in 2011. Generally, the country’s average annual
inflation was less than all CIS and oil exporter developing countries for last three
years. The average annual inflation was 1.1% in 2012 and that was the lowest
figure for last three years. The inflation was observed 7.9% in the food prices.
The stability in prices was secured and the average annual inflation was 2.4% in
2013. The prices of the services were more than the previous years in the inflation
rate in 2013. As a result of the implemented policy, the price stability was
secured again in 2014 and inflation was observed at low level. The price for
products in Azerbaijan was less in comparison with the trade partners and this
influenced competitiveness positively. In 2014, the average annual inflation rate
dropped to 1.4%. The inflation was observed 0.4% in food products, 0.8% in
non-food products and 0.2% in the service prices.
The increase of oil prices in world market, the increase of the production costs in
the trade partner countries, and the strong euro were most significant factors in
line with price increase. Furthermore problems which happened in the Russian
borders, as well as the abolishment of the discounts on value-added taxes in line
with the wheat import were another significant inflation factors.
Inflation environment in the economy of the country is inevitable, in terms of the
price increase. The increasein prices of the energy products will accelerate it.
The hidden increase of the prices, lack of real numbers in statistics will
negatively affect the budget in the future. The price increase will negatively affect
the socio-economic situation of the people. The price increase will also increase
the poverty in the country.
The inflation had a structural character in Azerbaijan during the transition period.
It is very difficult to balance supply and demand during the dynamic development
period. In Azerbaijan, the inflation rate about 10-15% is considered normal, if it is
regulated.
29
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
2.3. EMPLOYMENT
The great amount of able-bodied people was unemployed during the transition
and stagnation period in Azerbaijan. As a result of the Armenian invasion, there
were more than 1.000.000 refuges in Azerbaijan and that was one of the most
significant factors which increased the unemployment rate. The international
turnover of the employment potential created some problems in Azerbaijan. The
turnover level of the employment is very fast in Azerbaijan. This influences the
demographic situation in Azerbaijan. On the other hand, the experienced people
are not used in relevant jobs, so they leave the country. The unemployment
people go to the neighbor countries such as Russia, Iran and Turkey. The young
and middle-aged men leave the country mostly. It is possible to see such kind of
brain drain in recent years. The government started to realize social reforms in
order to provide their returning to the country from 2005.
The 60% of the people who left Armenia and occupied lands were considered
active people in terms of economy, however great amount of them were jobless.
The government enacted some important laws in order to reduce the unemploy-
ment rate. The opening of the new workplaces, the establishment of the relevant
market system and social security initiatives are the main activities of the
government in this direction. The development of the private sector triggered the
reduction of the unemployment.
The total employment level is increased very slowly. The provision of people with
the job was 53.4% in 1998, 56.9 in 2001 and 80% in 2015 respectively.
The distribution of the employment within the sectors is continiouslychanging.
The employment rate in industry and construction sector is decreasing, while the
employment rate in service sector is increasing24. The ratio of the people who
work in agriculture sector was stable until 1998, and started to increase after
that date. The employment rate has been increased in transportation, commu-
nication agriculture, tourism and construction sectors. The distribution of the
employment is listed below in the table 6.
Azər Mehdiyev, “Azərbaycan’ın Dünya Iqtisadiyyatına Inteqrasiyasının Reallıqları”, Ekspert Iqtisad Jurnalı, No.7-8, 2001,
24
p.26
30
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The average monthly income is high for the jobs in line with the oil and gas
industry. The lowest average monthly income is observed in the health sector.
The numbers of people who work for the public sector have been decreased
since 199025. Thus, the share of the public sector in employment was 70%,
however this figure decreased to 25.6% in 2014.
31
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Figure 4. The share of the public and private sector in employment (%)
Public Private
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
Azər Mehdiyev, “Azərbaycan’ın Dünya Iqtisadiyyatına Inteqrasiyasının Reallıqları”, Ekspert Iqtisad Jurnalı, No.7-8, 2001,
p.26
32
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
Unemployment problem is one of the most important problems for the government
also. The development of the economy in regions and offers to in open 600.000
new workplaces can be example for this.
2.4. PRIVATIZATION
Azerbaijan decided to practice market economy after the attaining of the
independence. First of all, Azerbaijan government enacted the Privatization Law
in 1993, however it is started to be realized after 1995.
One of the most important steps towards the realization of the market economy
was the enacting the “Law on the Privatization of State Property” on 7th January,
1993 by Azerbaijani Parliament. The principles of Azerbaijani economy should be
33
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
based on the state property, private property and municipal property according
to abovementioned law26.
The basis of the market economy was formed via the enacting the “Law on the
Privatization of State Property” in 1993, and the first phase of the privatization
was started after it. However the program was not ratified by the Parliament of
the Republic of Azerbaijan. “The State Program on Privatization” was ratified by
the Parliament in 1995, after the long-term discussions. The privatization was
the agenda of the government with the recommendations of the International
Monetary Fund and the World Bank. Systematic privatization and the liberalization
of the economy accelerated the transition from planned economy to free market
economy. The 2.3% of the state property in the production level was privatized in
the first phase. The privatization of the trade organizations such as restaurants,
cafés, hairdressing salons, shops and tailor’s shops should be realized in the
first phase of the privatization program. The organizations in line with the oil,
gas, telecommunication and cultural centers as well as mines are not privatized.
Yet such kind of organizations can be privatized with the decision of the President
or the Prime Minister of Azerbaijan Republic.
The privatization was realized by the State Property Committee, which was
established in 1992. From 1993 to 1996, only apartments and taxis were
privatized. 7.183.803 of 8 million privatization vouchers was given to the people
by the state, according to the decree of President on 8th February, 1997. Those
privatization vouchers were distributed to the people without any payment. The
citizens can take part in the privatizations with these vouchers, and the foreigners
can participate with the privatization vouchers which are called “option”.
The first privatization program which included 1995-1998, was completed only
in 2000. The great amount of the small and medium-sized enterprises was
privatized during the first phase of the privatization. Almost 15.000 small
enterprises were privatized until the end of 1997.
The second privatization program was started only 10.08.2000, because of the
delays with the first phase of the privatization27. Thus the second privatization
program was started to be realized with two years delay. The privatization of the
medium and large-sized enterprises was planned in the second phase of the
26
Process of Privatization’, www.msp.gov.az/html/eng/xod.html, (18.04.2015)
N. Ö. Hacıyev, “Sahibkarlıq Sektorunun Inkişafının Sürətləndirilməsi ilə Bağlı Problemlər”, Azərbaycanda Iqtisadi Islahatla-
27
rın Həyata Keçirilməsi Xüsusiyyətləri və Problemlər, Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi Islahatlar Mərkəzi, Baku, 2001, p.117
34
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
privatization program. Mr. Heydar Aliyev, the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan
accelerated the privatization on the onset of 2001. 100 large companies in the
processing, energy and chemical industries were privatized this year. Almost
450 large companies are included in the second privatization phase.
The organizations and enterprises which should be privatized in the second
phase of the privatization program are categorized in 3 groups; small, medium
and large enterprises. 15% of the small enterprises were given to the employees
and 85% was sold in the voucher auctions. Medium and large-sized companies
were changed to the joint stock company firstly and then privatized. These
enterprises; 50% of their shares are privatized via voucher auctions, 15% of their
shares are privatized via giving to the employees in exchange with vouchers,
10% is privatized via auctions in exchange with cash money. The other 25% of
the shares was privatized via giving to the government based investment fund.
The privatization of the communication, transportation, chemical industry, and
energy sectors were realized in the second phase of the program28. From the first
date of privatization until 2005, 40700 small-sized companies were privatized.
Furthermore 1537 state companies and 356 medium and large-sized companies
are changed to joint stock companies. As a result more than 150.000 thousand
people became private property owner. The total economy of the country after
the second privatization program is consisted of;
- State property: 56.9% (4.913.639 hectares)
- Municipal property: 23.5% (2.032.744 hectares)
- Private property: 19.6% ( 1.695.123 hectares)
The small and medium-sized enterprises, which were privatized during the first
phase of the program, are currently developing in the economy29. Almost 47.000
small and medium-sized companies were existed in Azerbaijan at the beginning
of 2005. Supporting of small and medium-sized companies was one of the
priorities of the government. National Fund for Entrepreneurship Support was
established in order to assist to small and middle-sized companies with financial
resources.
The privatization was realized much more rapidly in Nakhchivan Autonomous
Republic, Baku, Ganja, Minghachevir, Sumgayit, Absheron, Barda, Goygol,
Khachmaz, Sheki, Goychay, Masalli, Qusar, Ucar, Qax and Balakan.
Nazim Imanov, “Ilk On Ilin Yekunları: Iqtisadiyyat”, Məşvərət Bülleteni, No:7(43), October-2001, pp.29-30.
28
Ercan Sancak, Azəbaycan Iqtisadiyyatı, Qafqaz Unviersiteti Nəşriyyatı, Baku, 1999, p.32
29
35
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
From the first date of the privatization until 2005, approximately 361.900 buildings
were privatized and this number was the 59.5% of the planned buildings. One of
the main goals of the “State Program on Socio-economic Development of
Regions of Azerbaijan Republic” (11th February, 2004) was the acceleration of
the privatization of the state enterprises and organizations.
Though the second phase of the privatization program considered the
privatization of the medium and large-sized enterprises, the completion of the
privatization of the small enterprises was much more significant.
As a result of the reforms, almost all small enterprises were privatized. Significant
steps were taken in the economy. The total value of the all privatized small
enterprises was the 6.5% of the GDP. However the same success was not
attainedduring the privatization of big companies. From the beginning of the
reformation period, approximately 1065 medium and large-sized companies were
privatized via the auctions after transformation into the joint stock companies.
The privatization process of the large-sized companies was slowly in comparison
with the small and medium-sized enterprises. The investments of the foreign
investors, who joined the privatization processes later, are increased day after
day.
Despite of the successes, the privatization and formal reforms are realized very
slowly. Unfortunately, the reforms (privatization), which were started since 1995
was not successful. Some reforms caused the economic contraction in some
sectors of the economy. Furthermore, the unemployment which was emerged
after the privatization was another problem.
On the other hand the privatization process, which is realized via the vouchers,
was anotherdisappointment. The citizens could not participate actively, because
of almost hardly of the joint stock companies. The joint stock companies were
established at the beginning. However lack of government control caused
problems with these enterprises. As a result, the people started to sell privatization
vouchers. The number of the joint stock companies was 100.000. However, there
are only 50.000 joint stock companies in Azerbaijan, now. The privatization on
markets negatively affected the amount of resources in the state budget.
36
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Public Sector Private Sector
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
37
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The role of the private sector in the GDP has been increased in recent years as
well. If all information is considered, the private sector plays important role. State
companies are inactive in economy of modern Azerbaijan (especially industrial
companies). Furthermore some companies in private sector should not be con-
sidered as a private company. For instance, most of the anonymous companies
(joint-stock companies) are considered as a state company. On the other hand
the private sector is formal in energy production.
38
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
39
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
C. Şərifov, “Azərbaycanda Valyuta Bazarının Müasir Vəziyyəti və Onun Inkişaf Perspektivləri”, Azərbaycan 21. Əsrin Asta-
30
nasında, Azərbaycan Elmlər Akademiyası Nəşriyyatı, Baku, 1998, pp.551-552; Sancak, pp.51-54.
40
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
in circulation increased 31%, and that influenced currencies which are entered to
the country. The increase was happened in line with the production of oil and
gas resources, and the revenues increased as a result of it.
The value of the national currency of Azerbaijan- Manat, is identified in Baku
Interbank Currency Exchange on daily basis.
There is a huge differences between real and nominal currency prices. Currency
Exchanges and banks can buy and sell currencies (+,-) by 5 manat differences.
The currency reserves were $876.86 million dollars according to the statistics of
2004. $62.6 million dollars were spent from the reserves of the National Bank in
order to pay the loans to the International Monetary Fund. The increase in the
currency reserves based on the purchasing form the domestic exhange markets.
Azerbaijan has enough currency reserves. However more than half of the
reserves was spent in order to preserve the value of Manat as a result of the
devaluation accompanied by the decrease in oil prices. It should be noted that,
the reserves of the National Bank were $14 billion dollars before the devaluation.
In 2015, there were $7 billion dollars in the reserves of the National Bank. This
amount is equal to the 3 months’ product and service import. Therefore the
National Bank gave a permission for the next devaluation on 21st of December.
As a result of the 50% devaluation, the equivalent of 1 Dollar became 1.55 Manat.
Generally, if the reserves of the Oil Fund and other reserves will be added to the
reserves of National Bank, the currency reserves of the country will be
approximately $40.000.000.000 USD.
Figure 7. Exchange rate (end of year)
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
41
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Furthermore, the denomination process has been realized since 1st of January,
2006. The nominal value of the Manat was diminished 5000 times and New
Azerbaijan Manat was created. The New Azerbaijan Manat was released to
circulation and this process continued until 1st of January, 2007. New Azerbaijan
Manat was similar to Euro in in terms of the physical characteristics and value.
Therefore this process blew the dollar hegemony in the country. Because the
most important part of the cash transactions were realized by dollar and this
limited the circulation market of the Manat. However this situation was changed
in line with the severe dropping in the oil prices in 2015. In February, the
equivalent of $1 dollar increased from 0.79 AZN to 1.05 AZN. In December new
devaluation was realized and the equivalent of $1 dollar increased from 1.05 AZN
to 1.55 AZN. The second one planned the fluctuating exchange rate. According
to that, the rate of the Manat will be formed according to the real aspects of
exchange market.
Azerbaijan has enough cash reserves, and this is very significant. However
national resources does not include state property only, but also the property of
the citizens. The existence of the world is not measured by its cash reserves
only. It is measured by the social welfare of the people, who live in it. From this
point of view, Azerbaijan has significant problems. The income level of the
population is very low, there is a severe social stratification and there is no
middle class in the country. The revenues collected in the Oil Fund, as well as
foreign loans should be used relevantly in order to solve this problem.
42
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
There was a deficit in the foreign trade balance of Azerbaijan during the first years
of the independence (1994-1999). However the increase in the oil exportation
caused the abolishment of the deficit.
As a result of the economic policy, which was started to be implemented after
the attaining of the independence, the total volume of the foreign trade increased.
The total volume of the foreign trade increased 16.4% in 1997, 50% in 2000, and
500% in 2004 respectively in comparison with 1993. The foreign trade increased
37% in 2005 in comparison with 2004 (30% import; 40% export).
The export revenues decreased as a result of the severe valuation of Manat. The
increase of the import, high investments in hydrocarbon sector caused the
increase of the foreign trade deficit to $470.3 million dollars. The deficit in
foreign trade was $106.2 million dollars in 1999. The export numbers have been
increased since 2000, except 2003. The main reason of this was the implemen-
tation of the new phase of the international oil contracts.
The export have been played important role in the GDP since 2000, when oil
exportations were started to increase. Oil plays important role in the export. The
share of the oil and oil products in export was 64.8% in 1998, 84% in 2001, and
95% in 2008 respectively. The most important part of it comes from the export
of crude oil. The price of the oil exported from Azerbaijan increased in accordance
with the increase in world market. On the other hand the volume of exported oil
also increased. However, as a result of all abovementioned, Azerbaijan became
dependent on the oil prices. Food and metal are the other important export
products.
The predominance of oil and oil products in the exported products will cause an
increase as a result of the oil production. This can be a problem such as
dependence on one sector. The oil revenues should be diverted to non-oil sector
in order to solve this problem.
The structure of the export is different from the structure of the import. The
increase has been also observed in the import since 1996. The share of the
private sector in the foreign trade of Azerbaijan; 72.93% import, 49.15% export.
Furthermore, it should be noted that, the decrease will be observed in the import
because of the growth of the domestic production.
The lack of the domestic production as well as the devaluation of Manat against
the United States dollar in 1997-2000, the import became much more attractive.
43
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
44
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
24.9
Italy
42.1 Indonesia
Thailand
Germany
11.5 Israel
France
Others
6
5.2 5.6
4.7
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
In terms of the foreign trade, Azerbaijan prefers to do trade with the western
countries much. Because of the low quality, Iran’s export products are not one of
the favorites for Azerbaijan. Nevertheless Iran plays important role in the foreign
trade of Azerbaijan. Iran was in the first place with 38% share in the foreign trade
of Azerbaijan in terms of the export market. In 2002, the weight of Iran in
Azerbaijan’s import and export were 3.5% and 1.4% respectively. The total trade
turnover between these countries was $900 million dollars in 2015. The share of
Iran in the import of Azerbaijan was 4.25% in 2015.
45
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Russia
Turkey
Great Britain
Germany
Ukraine
China
Others
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
There are also some changes in the country’s foreign trade priority. It is possible
to note that, Azerbaijan makes trade relationships with highly developed and
developing countries.
46
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
47
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV,
E K.MAMMADOV
wever a limited maneuver that may cause thhere turn of thee debt
forreign debt, how
ow
wned.
Thhe ratio of exterrnal debt to GDP from was 4% % in 1993. 18.66% increase in 2004
will continue to grow, which shouldbe alarm m. On the otheer hand the laack of
funnding from forreign sources caused increaases in externaal debt. Despitte the
inccrease in debt, increasing inveestments in oil production andd exports not allowed
thee emergence off any problemss with the repayyment of loans borrowed.
Figuure 10. The structture of donors of signed loan agreeements
as of 1 January 2016, mlnn. USD dollar
Soource: http://www..stat.gov.az
Thhere is inequalitty in the distribbution of debtss. For example, most of the credits
c
haave been allocaated in the energy sector (33 3%) in 2008. TTransportation sector
s
allocated 9 %, soocial sector 8%, and agriculturre and land recllamation 6%.
488
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Figure 11. Azerbaijan's foreign debt and its dynamics to GDP ratio
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az
As a result of the development, the budget and foreign currency reserves are
growing from year to year. Azerbaijan's currency reserves reached $40 billion.
Meanwhile the amount of the State Oil Fund is $30 billion. All of these implemented
projects will allow to balance domestic sources. Only one fact should be
emphasized that, Azerbaijan government has allocated $200 million loan to
Georgian government for the construction of the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway. This
fact shows that Azerbaijan is a leader in the region. The foreign debt of Azerbaijan
was $3.372 billion Dollar in 2010.
The foreign debt situation of the currency composition of the loans of October,
2015 are as follows: SDR (Special Drawing Rights of the International Monetary
Fund) - 9.4%, currency in US dollars - 66.0%, EUR- 20.3%, Japanese Yen - 2.6%,
Islamic dinar - 0.6%, UAE dirham - 0.5%, Saudi rial - 0.4%, Kuwaiti dinar - 0.2%.
It should be noted that, no any country can be developed without integration to
the world market and foreign debts. Therefore all countries in the world have
foreign debts. The rapid integration to the world economic system created
mutual responsibilities and debts between the countries and the international
organizations. Even the super powers of the world economic system received
long-term loans from international organizations in order to realize big projects.
The increase of the foreign debts can be dangerous for the development, when it
will pass 30% of the GDP. For the comparison it should be noted that the foreign
debts of the developed countries are 40-60% of their GDPs. In Azerbaijan this
number is only 7.3%. Therefore it is not a danger for our country.
49
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
For instance, the foreign debt of Russia is $47.1 billion Dollars, and this is 8% of
the GDP. The foreign debt of other Southern Caucasus republic, Georgia is $1.666
billion Dollars and this should be considered as a huge amount.
The weight of foreign debts in GDP in developed countries is listed as follows:
France-66%, Germany-68%, USA-53%, Great Britain-43% and Norway-36%. It is
possible to mention that the foreign debt of Azerbaijan is less than debts of
before mentioned countries. The great amount of petrol revenues entered to
Azerbaijan. Furthermore the government receives loans from the international
organizations and foreign countries. The incomprehensible situation is that, the
oil revenues and loans are invested to the investment projects. This field is
considered as a suitable area for corruption. The foreign debt of the country is
already $3 billion Dollars.
If the recently signed contract between Azerbaijan and International Monetary
Fund is considered, the foreign debt of Azerbaijan per capita is $300 Dollars.
However that number was only $283.9 Dollars in 2008. The loans are spent to
the investment projects (85%) and the acceleration of the economic reforms
(15%). The loans of International Monetary Fund and World Bank are considered
for the acceleration of the economic reforms. The loans from International
Monetary Fund, World Bank, European Reconstruction and Development Bank and
Japan International Cooperation Agency are allocated for investment projects.
Most of the loans are diverted to the energy sector. There are some doubts in
accordance with the transparently usage of the loans.
Azerbaijan and Turkey come to an agreement on the disputable debt issues.
However, there are some problems between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan in debt
issues. Only Georgia has debts to Azerbaijan (16 million Dollars). 3% of the budget
is allocated in order to repay the foreign debts. This ratio is less than the indicators
of other CIS countries. At the end of 2008, the foreign debts were 6.4% of the
GDP. If the reserves of the Oil Fund considered the financial resources of the
country are secured. According to the international standards, foreign debts
become dangerous, if only foreign debts are 40% of GDP. If foreign debts passed
200-250% of the export, that would be dangerous for the country also.
Furthermore, the most important part of the foreign debts includes 10 years.
Additionally, foreign countries assist financial aids to Azerbaijan. Japan, Germany,
Switzerland, Turkey, Italy and Finland are the main countries that support the
refuges. The cooperation between Azerbaijan and Japan is high level. Japan
helped to the refugee of Azerbaijan after the Karabakh war. Japan allocated
50
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
51
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
of normal drinking water. Despite serious water problemin the country, 29% of
wateris lost during distribution.
Despite the decrease in industrial production, air pollution continues to be high.
One of the main reasons of air pollution is transportation vehicles.The harmful
substancesin to the atmosphere, approximately 41% of the total volume of waste
a rising from the road transports. The large part of cars produced in Russia has
higher rates of pollution and do not care about the pollution norms and
standards. According to the information of 2015, the toxic substances violated
the ecological balance of the country. The weight of the toxic wastes among the
industrial cities is listed below; Sumgayit 4 million tons, Baku 340.000 tons, and
other places 37.000 tons. Toxic waste is considered to be very dangerous for
the organism in the production processes.
Usefulness of the soil due topoor irrigationhas been reduced. Economic problems
that emerged in the Caspian Sea are also important. In recent years, there have
beenmore and morecases ofhigh pollution in sea water. Polluted rivers flow into
the Caspian Sea. Seapollution accounts for70-75% from the Volga River.
Additionally lack of central sewer system of the houses caused the pollution
also. Besides oil extraction and waste from other industrial facilities elements
causing pollution in the Caspian Sea.
Another environmental problemis the rise of the level of Caspian Sea. As a result
important fishing zone is jeopardized. From 1977 to 1995 as a result of the rise
of sea level, 50.000 hectares of landwere left under the water. If the sea level
continues to increase the flooded area is projected to reach 100 000 hectares in
2016. The lifting of level of the Caspian Sea, the largest loss of 70-75% of the
industrial potential of Azerbaijan, which isclose to the shore. In the country
problems associated with soil contamination have been increasing since 1970s31.
Serious contamination occurs in the territory of Absheron peninsula. Cleaned
land can be used for agricultural, setting up parks and other useful purposes.
Rəşad Süleymanov, ‘Xəzərin Səviyyəsinin Qalxmasından Ən Çox Ziyan Görən Azərbaycandır’, 525-ci Qəzet, No:56
31
52
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
2.10. POPULATION
At the beginning of 2016, the total population of Azerbaijan was 9.593.000 people.
5.098.000 people or 53.1% of the total population live in cities. 4.495.000 or
46.9% of the total population live in the village. 4.776.000 people (49.8%) of
total population are male, and 4.817.000 people (50.2%) are female. The ratio of
male/female is 1000 men against 1009 women. Azerbaijan is in the 92nd place
among 240 countries in terms of the total amount of population in the world.
22.4% of the total population is 0-14 years old, 71.6% is 15-64 years old and
6% is 65 years and more. The young people between 14-29 years are 28% of
the total population and most of them live in the cities. Each year approximately
172.000 children are born. In average 471 children are born everyday in Azerbaijan
according to the last 5 years’ statistics. According to the information of the
Ministry of Internal Affairs and the State Migration Service 1900 people come to
Azerbaijan for permanent residence. Furthermore 800 people left country in order
to live in foreign countries permanently.
Approximately 40% of the population live in the capital city, Baku. Generally 51.5%
of population live in the cities. The other 48.5% live in the villages. The average
life expectancy is 72.4 years. However the average life expectancy is 75.2 years
for women and 69.6 years for men respectively32.
During the Karabakh War, Azerbaijan lost its 20% territories including Mountainous
Karabakh in the first years of 1990s. Approximately 1 million citizen, 12% of the
population left their motherlands. In 2009 the tent camps, where the refugees
and IDPs live were abolished and they were provided by houses. This process
will apply to the refugees, who settled in the schools currently.
32
Investors’ Handbook, International Conference Investing in Azerbaijan- Gateway to the Newly Insdependent States, Baku,
May 7-9 2003, p.16
53
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
CHAPTER THREE
SECTORIAL ANALYSIS
Azerbaijan economy will be analyzed under the subchapters of industry, agriculture
and services sectors in this chapter.
3.1. INDUSTRY
The industrial sector was the predominant sector in the Azerbaijan economy
before the independence. 42.1% of the national income belonged to the industrial
sector in 1988. Thus there were 1005 industrial organization in Azerbaijan in
1988. There were 529 heavy industry organizations, 206 light industry organiza-
tions and 263 agriculture organizations in Azerbaijan before the independence.
The first years of the independence can be characterized as an adaptation to the
free market economy. More than 3800 organization was closed in 1995. Several
companies continued their operations that time. On the other hand the production
of the industrial products decreased in 1990-95. Even the increase of the industrial
organizations (from 1005 to 2984) could not stop the decrease in the volume of
the production33. The main reasons of the decrease in the production of the
industrial products were the weakening of the state regulation, lack of the relevant
stabilization programs and the low-quality market control. However, it should be
noted that, the same situation was observed in all former Soviet states also. 20%
of the industrial potential of Azerbaijan economy was oil refining equipment
production, machine building and construction sectors. The production of the oil
refining equipment is the oldest and the most important sector for the country.
This sector met the 70% demand of the USSR. However the old equipment and
instruments were triggers of theend of such kind of organizations.
All industrial institutions connected with the other countries of the former USSR.
Therefore the stagnation was observed in the industry after the independence.
On the other hand, lack of the supply injured the sector. The sectors depend on
55
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
the oil and oil products were the strategic sectors according to the government
and these sectors were added to the privatization plan. On the other hand, the
government initiated a program in order to attract foreign investors. However
some limitations were implemented for the international investments. The industry
started to develop after 1995. The ratio of the industry in GDP increased to 29.6%
from 20.8 in 1995. The share of the industry in GDP was 37.6% in 2001, and 45%
in 2015. Consequently from 1996, new industrial organizations were opened as
a result of the establishment of macroeconomic stability. 27% of the population
works in the industry. Despite of the economic reviving, the unemployment problem
has not been resolved yet. Most of the industrial institutions (90%), which were
established in the country, are the small and medium-sized organizations. The
productivity of the previously existed organizations is low. Therefore oil and oil
products of Azerbaijan are exported as a crude material and semifinished goods.
Figure 11. The Share of the Industry in GDP(%)
60
50
48
37.8 45.6
37.6 42.4 43.2
40 39.2
38.1
29.6 28.8 36 34.9 34.6
30 26.2 28.2
27.3 22.9
20 20.8
10
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az/
The oil production technologies, the processing industry, machine building and
construction sectors provide 1/5 of the industry in Azerbaijan. The processing of
energy, electronics, metal working, machine building, shipbuilding and weaving
are also important industries in Azerbaijan. There are several organizations in the
processing sector. However the dependence from the foreign countries in the
industry (especially former USSR countries) stagnated most of the organizations
in the country. The lagging was observed in manufacturing industry until 1999.
56
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The same situation can be observed in the production of the steel, paper and
other industrial products. The increase has been observed in the manufacturing
since 2000. The wine production is in the first place in the food industry.
The weaving, carpet-weaving, leather products and the furniture production are
the main industry fields within the light industry. There are many small, medium
and large-sized organizations in the weaving sector. Furthermore there are several
cotton manufacturing organizations in this industry.
There was a huge breakthrough in the weaving sector especially. This sector
provided 10-15% of the Azerbaijan industry in the soviet period. There were 50-
60 thousand workers in this sector. In 2007, the weaving was only 3-5% of the
country’s industry. There was a huge decrease in the numbers of employees in
this sector.
Generally intermediate goods and semifinished goods are produced in the heavy
industry. The main part of the heavy industry is provided by oil industry. Sumgayit
is the predominant city in terms of the heavy industry. There are 88 industrial
institutions in Sumgayit. The Azerbaijan government made 25 years’ plan, which
considered the reconstruction of the industrial organizations in the region. The
government needs $30 billion dollars of investment in order to realize this plan.
It is obviously known that, the main reason of the decrease in the industrial
production connected to the collapse of the USSR and disconnection of the
former union states. This shows itself especially in the heavy industry. However
this cannot be said about light industry. In 2000, the industrial production
increased in comparison with the previous year. The organizations in line with
the energy, petrochemical and private sectors played much more important role
in this growth. The increase rate from 2001 to 2004 was less than the figures of
2000. The growth was 8.6% in industrial production in 2007, excluded oil sector.
Despite of the growth in industrial production, the total production for 2008 was
less than the figures of 1990. Energy production industry, electronics and metal
manufacture, machine building and shipbuilding as well as the weaving are the
predominant industry fields. After the independence, the growth is observed in
metal manufacturing and chemical industries. The huge breakthrough was
attained in line with the production of oil equipment and metallurgy. The Customs
Tax and Value-Added Tax came into force since 1st January 1997; protection
measures were enlarged. The role of the private sector in the industry sector has
been increased every year (for instance: 26.4% in 1998, 37.3% in 1999, 43.7%
in 2000, 53.7% in 2002, and 71% in 2015).
57
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
3.1.2. ELECTRICITY
There are 8 thermal power stations and 6 hydroelectric power stations in
Azerbaijan, which utilized for 85% of their capabilities. These electricity power
centers were built during the soviet period, and they have not been used relevantly
after the independence. 82% of the electricity is produced in thermal power
stations, and the other 18% is produced in hydroelectric power stations. The
liberalization of the prices also affected the price of the electricity. The electricity
which is produced in Azerbaijanwas not enough to meet the domestic demands.
The problem displayed itself in the winter months especially. The reason of the
problem was the old technology, which was used in the electricity production.
Azərbaycanın qızıl yataqlarının işlənməsinə başlanacaq”, Üç Nöqtə Qəzeti, No:41(521), 4 Mart 2003; ‘US Company to
34
58
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
On the other hands the production loss increases gradually because of the
inconvenient distribution of the electricity. Azerbaijan imports energy from Russia,
Turkey and Iran. Azerbaijan joined European Union program in order to establish
united energy system with Azerbaijan, Turkey and Georgia.
On the other hand Azerbaijan implements privatization program in order to abolish
the loss in energy sector. In 1996 the president Heydar Aliyev signed decree on
the privatization of the “Azərenerji” for 5 years. Azerbaijan was consisted of 5
regions in 2000, in terms of the energy issues; Baku, Nakhchivan, North (Sumgayit),
South (Shirvan) and West (Ganja). The establishment of the joint-stock companies
was planned in for those regions.
There is a fuel problem in line with the electricity production in Azerbaijan. The
electricity networks of Baku, Sumgayit, Shirvan and Minghachevir were given to
private sector in order to meet the oil and gas demands of the country35. The
distribution of the electricity was given to Turkish company “Barmek Holding”
with the decree of the president in the 1st January, 2002. The electric networks of
Baku and North were managed by “Barmek holding” while other regions were
managed by the “Bayva” company. Then the BayvaCompany rejected the
management of these regions. As a result the authority was given to “Azərenerji”
back.
The electricity systems of Baku have been managed by “Bakı Elektrik Şəbəkə”
and the electricity systems of Sumgayit has been managed by “Sumgayit Elektrik
Şəbəkə” since 2007. The reconstruction of the electricity system of Azerbaijan
was discussed in several projects.Recently PresidentIlham Aliyev signed decree
on the “Establishment of Azerisig Open Joints Stock Company” and this company
took the rights of “Baki Elektrik Shebeke” and partly electricity producer
Azerenerji for Absheron peninsula. The foreign investors are interested in
electricity, but no more than the oil sector. In 2002 the construction of the
Yenikənd Hydroelectric Power Station was completed. The completion of the
reconstruction of the Minghachevir Hydroelectric Power Station increased energy
potential of Azerbaijan. In 2000, the construction of the “North” electricity station
was started near Baku (The value of it was $201 million dollars). The Japanese
companies such as Mitsui and Mitsubishi, the Turkish companies TML Borova
and the Swedish company ABB were the subcontractors in this project in order
to increase the operational capability of the station.
35
Brief Overwiev of Business Practices, New Investment Opportunities and Legal Environment, Azerbaijan Investment
Promotion and Advisory Foundation, Baku, 2005, p.56.
59
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
“ Enerji Sektorunun Vəziyyətini Yaxşılaşdırmaq Üçün 1 Milyard Dollar Lazımdır”, 525-ci Qəzet, No:53 ,
36
60
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
61
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Moscow, keeping Azerbaijan always dependent from the empire, formed pro-
industrial environment under its own power. Every year, Azerbaijan was getting
about 1,200,000 tons of milk and dairy products and 35.000-40.000 tons of
meat and meat products from the Union Fund. So the production of animal feed
was not allowed by the Soviet authority that was responsible for the development
of animal husbandry. As a result, in comparison with the other Soviet states in
Azerbaijan meat and dairy products consumed less. For example, the average
per capita consumption of meat was 65 kg in the Soviet Union, while the figure
was only about 37 kg in Azerbaijan37.
Along with the collapse of Soviet Union, collective farms and state farms began
to fall apart. With the acquisition of macroeconomic and political stability, the
state accelerated reforms in the agricultural sector. In 1995, along with the
implementation of the Agrarian Reform Law and the legal regulations on land
reform (Land Law, Property Law, the Law on the Establishment of farms,
Entrepreneurship Law, etc.), the number of collective and state farms decreased,
the number of privately owned farms began to grow. After Azerbaijan gained
independence, it has been the only country in the Commonwealth Independent
States where agricultural land was given to the private property in conjunction
with the launch of the privatization. In Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and other
countries the areas were temporarily assigned for use by renting or leasing.
Transition from state property to private property and collective property was
carried out in large amounts. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, more than
1 million people have been owned plating areas and the number of farms has
reached to 40,000.
After the collapse of the USSR, Azerbaijan lost the majority of CIS markets and
fell into a shortage of production that led to decrease of agricultural production
by 48% between the years 1990-1995. However, later this decrease stopped.
The new public policy revived agriculture sector in accordance with its internal
structure in Azerbaijan. The increase of production of agricultural products was
observed during Soviet regime and the subsequent transition period. After the
land reform carried out in 1996, the production increased in agriculture sector.
As a result of the Privatizations, 99.8% of the country's agricultural products are
produced by the private sector.
37
Azərbaycan-Türkiyə Toxum Istehsalı və Tədqiqatı Işlətməsi Layihə ilə Əlaqədar Görüntülər”,
http;//www.tika.gov.tr/tur/projeler/tarim/main.htm
62
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
35
32.9
30
28.4 27.5
25 27.2
21.6
20 18.4
14.7
15 18.7 13.1 13
16.1 11 10.9
10 14.2
11 12 5.5 5.1 5.3
5
5.8 5.1 5.4
0
Source: http://www.stat.gov.az/
63
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
64
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Overall, in 2014, the trade of agricultural products accounted for 2.5% of exports
and 7% of imports.
According to the geographical structure of trade in agricultural products, Russian
Federation, the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries, Iraq, Iran,
Indonesia, Turkey, European Union countries occupy an important place. In
exports Russian Federation with $ 249.73 million (46.32%), Iraq with $ 94.62
million (17.5%), in import Russian Federation (28.7%) with $ 185 million in the
Kazakhstan $135.8 million (21.1%) are the largest partner countries of Azerbaijan.
During the 2015-2016 periods, the most significant impact on trade in agricultural
products was economic problems in Russia that began with the fall in value of
the ruble. As a major partner in this area, it will have negative effects on exports
in 2015-2016. A bill regulating trade of agricultural products in the country is also
missing. In general, trade is regulated by Customs Code of the Azerbaijan Republic
and by the Law on Customs Tariff. In addition, the laws which consider the
regulation of sales, production and quality control of “tobacco and tobacco
products”, "viticulture and winemaking", "organic agriculture", "livestock breeding",
"cotton", "tea" and "grain" were also enacted.
The agricultural sector in the Republic of Azerbaijan is strongly supported by the
government. Apart from the tax incentives, support covers financial and technical
assistance. The law of providing tax incentives to producers of agricultural
products has been applied since 2001. As a result of the implementation of this
law, legal entities which engaged in the production of agricultural products
(including industrial), according to the Tax Code of Azerbaijan Republic are
exempted from corporate profit taxes, value added taxes, taxes an property and
individual entities are exempted from value added taxes and property taxes.
According to Article 102.1.11 of the Tax Code, individual entities are exempted
from income tax revenues from the production of agricultural products. In 22
November, 2013 implementation of tax incentives in agriculture were extended
for 5 years and has been lauched since January 1, 2014. As a result of tax
incentives in agriculture costs reduced up to 10%. In general, those engaged in
agriculture are exempted from 7 out of 9 types of taxes. According to Tax
administration the amount of taxes granted to the public by concession establishes
25-30% percent of collected taxes. In order to pay an average of 50% of the cost
of fuel and motor oils used in agricultural production regardless of type of harvest
per hectare of not genetically modified crops and the cultivation of perennial
crops producers are provided financial assistance to the amount of 40 AZN.
"Agroleasing" Open Joint-Stock Company and other legal entities and individuals
65
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
in order to ensure the sale of the mineral fertilizers with 70% discount gives for
each hectare of not genetically modified plants a subsidy of up to 80 AZN. In
addition 40 manats are paidper hectar of sown wheat. It is sufficient to recall the
discount of 40% for the purchase of irrigation systems and equipment, and order
to increase the aid from the state budget for purchasing of fuel and engine oil
used by agricultural producers of 25%. In addition, 30-40% of the costs of the
products which are grown in research institutes are paid by the state. Farmers
will purchase fuel with 50% discount, fertilizers with 50-75% discount from
2015. The state also supports seed provision in agricultural production. In
cereals and legumes, for the first seeds reproduction 40% of the sale price, for
the second seeds reproduction 30% of the sale price is paid by state. In addition,
by the resolution 58 of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Azerbaijan
dated March 31, 2005, agricultural machinery which belongs to "Agroleasing"
Open Joint Stock Company is sold through leasing to legal entities and
individuals. In general the amount of subsidy given to agricultural producers from
state budget in 2014 was 51.83 million for fuel and motor oil, for wheat and rice
sowing 17.05 million manats, 32.5 million manats for mineral fertilizers, for I and
II reproductions of seeds 5.05 million manats. The amount of subsidy for research
organizations for the original, superelite and elite seeds was 908.1 thousand
manats. The total amount of expenses was 107.3 million manats. From 2007 to
2014, thetotal amounts of expenses were 793.6 million manats.
For example, taking into account the high demand for fresh vegetables and fresh
fruit in the CIS, especially in Russia, it is crucial to take comprehensive and
consistent incentive measures for these two product groups, in terms of
increasing non-oil exports potential of Azerbaijan.
A comprehensive view to the exports potential of fresh vegetables and fresh
fruits, significantly may accelerate socio-economic development of the regions,
primarily regions engaged in fruit growing. Agricultural parks established by
initiatives of President will enable to succeed in these fields. As a new field,
sugar beet growing and sugar production, as well as sugar export potential
continues to grow. There are sufficient planting-soil and labor resources, financial
and technical resources. In the recent years, the export potential of vegetable oil
is seen demonstrably. In addition, while the grape-wine exports increased by 2.2
times during the period of 2008-2015, in terms of the raw material base and
exports the current export volume establishes a part of the strong potential of the
field. This means more efficient use of the existing potential in this direction
could be made.
66
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
67
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
at different times of the year based on what it has been for sowing seed
commissioner of agriculture tariff concessions are applied. In January 2011, the
decision №17 from March 1 to 3 years, a number of government goods were
exempted from import duties and import VAT. Now the government has extended
the period for 3 years. Recall that, breed of cattle, goats andpoultry which is not
heavy than 185 g, soy and bean seeds were released from the import duties and
import VAT. Moreover, sunflower, sugar beet, forage crops in a variety of seeds,
fertilizers, chemicals used in agriculture were released from import duties.
Despite all this support in the organization of marketing and export of agricultural
products has not been achieved serious success. The main reason for this is the
lack of medium and large-sized enterprises in agriculture and the main production
is realized by family farms where productivity is low. The country is still talking
on membership for the World Trade Organization (WTO). The main priority in
bilateral and multilateral negotiations is to protect agricultural producers, stable
or high tariffs on import and gain further concessions on agriculture to achieve
maximum support. Another important factor is associated with the World Trade
Organization. When Azerbaijan became a member of this organization, it will be
difficult for farmers to be exempt from taxes. In general, Azerbaijan is interested
in becoming a member of the World Trade Organization. Despite the fact that
Azerbaijan appealed for membership in 1997, the process of negotiating on the
WTO membership did not allow our country to be its member.
In all cases, the negotiations between the WTO and Azerbaijan are observed to
get its intensity in recent years. However, the bilateral and multilateral talks were
failed. They didn`t reach a fully agreement on before mentioned. One of the
problematic aspects of the WTO negotiations between Azerbaijan and the WTO is
its intention to enter as a developing country. It should be noted that conditions
of accession to the WTO are the same for both the developing and developed
countries.
Naturally, another key issue is related to the amount of subsidies in the agricultural
sector. Subsidies restrictions on the agricultural sector are 10%.
The limit of subsidies restrictions for the World Trade Organization is 5% and it is
very dangerous for the development of the agrarian sector in Azerbaijan.
After joining the World Trade Organization, farmers will be forced to be taxpayers.
Meanwhile, manufacturers of agricultural products are among the countries that
are exempt from tax in Azerbaijan. Currently, it is an important step for the
promotion of agricultural producers.
68
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Grapes: Once upon a time, one of the most dynamically developing areas of
agriculture has been viticulture. Viticulture and winemaking has had a special
place in the agricultural sector in the Soviet period. In 1990, there were existing
275 thousand hectares of vineyards in the country. About 2 million tons of
grapes were produced every year. During Gorbachev`s period, the fight against
alcoholism has led to the destruction of 150 hectares of vineyards in Azerbaijan.
During this period, vineyards began to be broken. Thus, vineyards have been
turned into wheat fields to increase production of grain.
Grapes and wine sales have not become profitable due to the necessary
decreased interest in viticulture. As a result, the country got a decrease to only
7,700 hectares of vineyards.
Due to the fact of the Armenian occupation of a part of agricultural land, vegetable
production has dropped by half, grape production and wine export decreased
significantly. Vast majority out of 117 grape processing factories stopped
production. A large part of the occupied areas by Armenians are fertile lands. For
example, 100,000 tons of grapes were produced in the Fizuli region. Zangilan
region had 3 big grape plants 3000 hectares of vineyard. Agdam region was
famous for its cotton and Qubadli was popular for its farming. Because of the
Armenian occupation people forced to move from these lands and as a result
nearly 145,000 horned animals left in the area.
Even nowadays viticulture and winemaking have the potential to become one of
the most invested agricultural sectors in Azerbaijan. In recent years, Jalilabad,
Tovuz, Shamkir, Agstafa, Gazakh, Shamakhi, Ganja and other regions have begun
to reduce the vineyards. The development of viticulture takes place in a state
program on development of regions.
Nuts: One of agricultural products that has the opportunity of investment is nuts.
Especially, together with the Zaqatala, it is produced in Baku, Guba and Khachmaz.
65% of shelled hazelnuts are exported to the EU.
Sugar cane: Production of sugar beet is another product that is on the agenda
again. Before the period of the Soviet regime, Azerbaijan was producing significant
quantities of sugar beet. However, when Ukraine started to produce it and meet
all needs of the USSR, there was no need in the sugar beet production in
Azerbaijan.
After independence, Nakhchivan, Beylagan, Sabirabad, Imishli and Salyan regions
began to produce it again. However, the country does not have beet processing
69
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
factories. While sugar beet is planted, due to the lack of sugar factory, sugar
beet is sent from Bilasuvar to the city of Ardabil. Iran is against the country that’s
why there are some innovations in sugar production. Having demand of 360.000
tons of sugar the country needs factories for the production of sugar beet and
sugar mills. Regarding this demand, a sugar factory was built under Azersun
Holding in Imishli. Within the framework of the State Program on socio-economic
development of regions establishment of sugar factories in Nakhchivan, Sheki,
Jalilabad and Bilasuvar regions is planned.
70
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
There are produced different kinds of jams and jellies in small packages in the
factories of Guba and Saatli. There is also the tomato production in another
factory of Lankaran. The products of these 3 new factories exported to countries
as Japan, Russia, Belgium and Switzerland.
Tea: The basis of tea production was established in 1930s, in Lankaran-Astara
region, which has favorable conditions for the growth of this plant. Tea production
by the end of the 1960s and early 1970s reached its highest level. The tea
production in 1970 was 34,000 tons; this amount has been reduced down to
1900 tons over the years. This situation is partly due to the lack of a running tea
processing factory.
There is a need in the privatization of the tea processing factories. Tea factories
located in Baku were purchased by Turkish companies and tea farmers started
tea producing again. Tea processed in these factories is mixed with Turkish and
Indian tea and then purchased.
Within the framework of the State Program on Socio-Economic Development of
regions in the southern regions including Lankaran and Astara some measures
and incentives are carried out for the development of tea production. Measures
are being taken to repair tea production areas fallen into disrepair after the
independence of country. According to the plan only in Lankaran region1,000
hectares of tea plantation will be repaired.
It is supposed that Lankaran region will profit 19 billion manats from the
development of tea production. Lankaran and Astara tea factories have been
invested enough for the start of production. "Azersun Holding" has a special role
in the development of tea growing in the southern regions.
Cotton: Azerbaijan has a big experience cotton production. The crude materials
and combine harvesters were brought to Azerbaijan from Uzbekistan and Russia.
However the lack of this import in recent years caused the decrease in cotton
production.
The cotton production potential of the country is 830 thousand tons per year.
70% of the produced cotton is exported as a crude material. Despite of the huge
amount of production, the numbers of the cotton factories are very few. The
most important problem in cotton production are the pests.
Potato: The production of the potato increased in 2014 in comparison with the
previous year. The potato is mainly exported to Russia.
71
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
3.2.1. STOCK-BREEDING
The animals (99.8% cattle, and 98% small animals) belonged to the state and
after 1996 distributed to the private sector. Other animals are used by government
as a pedigree. One of the most profitable businesses was the cattle-breeding
after the independence. The cattle-breeding met the domestic demand after the
independence. However some decreasing was observed in the cattle-breeding
until 1998.
72
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
On the other hand, the increase was observed in the meat and milk production in
comparison with the previous years. The huge amount of the production was
provided by the farmers. As a result of the privatization policy which realized in
1998, the cattle-breeding increased. Furthermore the quality of the milk products
improved. Azerbaijan companies produced more than 15 types of the products
(sour clotted milk, cheese, milk and etc.,).
The information about the stock-breeding is displayed in Table 22. The production
in stock-breeding and the number of the animals are increased. Azerbaijan does
not import beef, but imports poultry. 24% of the meat products as well as 35% of
73
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
the eggs are imported. One of the most important points in table is the increase
of the meat production from 1998. The meat production was 291.2 tons in 2014.
The milk production decreased until 1997. From 1997 until 2005 the milk
production increased every year. The production level passed the indicators of
the 1990. From 2006 until 2015 the huge breakthrough was observed in the milk
production and reached 1855.8 thousand tons in 2014. The egg production also
dropped until 1998. However the increased was happened in the egg production
from that date. As a result in 2004, the egg production passed the indicators of
the 1990 also. From 2005 until 2014, the egg production increased sharply and
reached its peak level.
74
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
products. However there are some problems such as old technology, low quality
seeds and misusing of the fertilizers.
The financial resources should be allocated to the farmers in order to get rid of
this situation. The government should help them in production, manufacturing
and sales. Certainly the experience of the developed countries should be imple-
mented in Azerbaijan in order to improve the agriculture and the stock-breeding.
75
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The main targets of the state program in agriculture sector in 2004-2008 are
listed below:
- The provision of the wholesale of the agricultural products in Baku and Ganja
and the attraction of the foreign investment to it.
- The attraction of the foreign investment to the production of the spare parts
and essential mechanisms.
- The attraction of the foreign investment to the reconstruction of the irrigation
systems and building of 11 institutions.
- The establishment of the organizations which produce agricultural and animal
products.
- The establishment of the organizations which produce plastic and glass for
the manufacturing industry.
- The attraction of the foreign investment to the establishment of the sugar
factory in order to meet the demands of the people.
- The modernization of the agricultural education centers, research institutions
and cattle-breeding organizations.
- The provision of the investment to the socio-economy of the regions and the
reconstruction of the social infrastructure.
- The establsihment of the vineyards and the institution which produces wine.
- The establishment of the veterinary system.
- The establishment of the small agriculture service system.
- The establishment of the organizations which produce potato strach.
- The attraction of the investment to the establishment of the feed mills.
The producers of the agricultural products were exempted from the all taxes in
order to improve the agriculture sector. Various projects were implemented in
order to provide the farmers with the modern technologies. The production and
manufacturing organizations were established in order to increase the level of the
production. In this frame the “Agrolizing” company was established within the
State Program of 2004-2008. The company belons to state. The company was
established in 25th October, 2004. The government allocated 200 million Manat
to the company in order to buy machinery and techniques in 2009. In 2010, 250
million Manat allocated for the same purpose.
76
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
3.2.2. FISHING
One of the sectors enhancing the value of the Caspian Sea in the world market is
fishing. The Caspian Sea is an enclosed inland body of water which is rich in oil
and gas fields as well as high quality fish reserves. The Caspian Sea is the
habitat of sturgeons- the most valuable fish type. The production of sturgeon and
its product caviar in the Caspian Sea have economic values38.
Among the CIS countries, the Caspian basin makes up 55-60% of fish hunting,
40-42% of edible fish products, 50% of canned fish products.
Figure 13. The Fish Production in Azerbaijan (thousand tons)
70
57.6
60
50.1
50
45.1 50.9
40
26.5 28.8
30 22.8 29.1
22 21
18.7 27.4
20 24.5 20.9
9.9 23.3 20.6
10 12.9 19.1
8.2
0
Until the beginning of 1980s, the Caspian Sea was very famous for its fish
population. In particular, once the caviar obtained from sturgeon accounted for
90% of Soviet’s caviar production to the west. Although previously 65 thousand
tons of sturgeon was extracted, this figure dropped to 25 thousand tons at the
beginning of 1980s. This number fell to 7 thousand tons in early 1994. In Volga
delta 120.000 fishermen based on this job, however, within a certain time it
dropped to 2000 fishermen. The sturgeon hunting in the Azerbaijani sector of the
Caspian Sea was 550 tons in 1992, in recent years, it has become 90 tons.
Lately, the number of important fish species have declined in the Caspian Sea
where especially small fish are hunted. This amount decreases by 10% every
year. According to the information of the Russian Interior Ministry, even though
77
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
700 million dollars worth of sturgeon was captured in the Caspian Sea in 2007,
official figures seem to be 60 million dollars. According to some international
sources, 1 billion dollars of illegal caviar is sold to western countries from the
Caspian countries.
In accordance with the researches conducted by the World Bank, 1 million tones
of oil is thrown into the Caspian Sea every year. Considering the fish poisoned
by dioxin, oil waste seems to be the main reason for the Caspian Sea’s pollution.
Starting from 1929-30, the hydro-technical facilities built over the rivers flowing
into the Caspian Sea, expansion of cities and industrial centers by the areas of
construction and industry constructed on the shores of the Sea, have had a
negative effect on the environmental and biological conditions. The irrigation over
Volga and Kur rivers and energy-purpose dams have brought about the reduction
of the water fields for valuable fish breeding. The fish hunting in the Caspian Sea
have declined significantly over the last 60 years due to hydro-technical
complexes, dams, hydroelectric power stations built on the tributaries of Volga in
the postwar years, many industrial complexes, oil and natural gas extracted in
open sea and permanent maritime transport.
Specifically, the days when 90% of black caviar production was obtained from
here, are left behind.
As a result of the decrease in fish species used for caviar production, in early
1952, up to 20 factories of Russia, Kazakhstan, Iran and Azerbaijan were
multiplying these fish species. However, due to the rise of sea level in Caspian
Sea, these factories were submerged which caused a decline in fish production.
This issue even led to the extinction of fish species used to produce caviar.
Between 1959-1985, the fish loss was more than 5 million tons because of the
pollution of Volga river and dams. 750 thousand tons of it was sturgeon which is
famous for its caviar.
In Azerbaijan, fishing is especially done in the Caspian Sea. There are approxi-
mately 120 species of fish in the Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea, 7 of
which are utilized in consumer and pharmaceutical industry. Another important
species of fish is salmon.
The management, production, sale and export right of sturgeon and caviar in
Azerbaijan belonged to a company named “Azerbalig”. After the opening of
“Caspian Fish Co.-Azerbaijan” company in 2000 and closure of a state institution
“Azerbalig” in 2001, fish hunting and import dropped significantly.
78
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The entire fishing sector has been in the hands of the few company starting from
the same date. Imported fish are formalized on behalf of “Caspian Fish Co.-
Azerbaijan” by consumers. Importers sell 20-30% of fish they brought, to this
company.
Despite the sufficient conditions in the country for the development of fishing,
the provision of the population with fish and fish productsare at a minimum level.
Taking the population growth into consideration , demand for fish and fish
products is 100 thousand tons. However, in real terms, the obtained fish and fish
products per year are 10-20% of this figure.
Statistical figures demonstrate that the level of valuable fish species caught by
years is decreasing.
From 1990 to 1997, fishery and marine products went down 6 times. Between
1997-2009, there was a rise in fish hunting and it reached 50 thousand tons in
2014.
In recent years, fish production and processing potential are tried to be raised
with the projects realized by the support of financial institutions like the World
Bank and foreign entrepreneurs. For example, only in 2008, 15.5 million
sturgeons were released to the Caspian Sea from Neftchala and Ali-Bayramli fish
factories that belong to the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources.
In total, 456.3 million different fish species bred in various fish factories were
released to the Caspian Sea, Kur river and inland water bodies in 2008. The
allocation of necessary amount of money for fish and caviar production will have
a significant influence on the economy.
79
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
3.2.3. BEEKEEPING
The most common beekeeping product is honey. However, the production of
pollen, royal jelly, wax is also possible. In the country, bee protection methods
and breeding technology are in low level.
There is a need to increase beekeeping 8 times compared to the current situation
in order to meetthe country’s demand for honey with local production. It can be
80
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
enabled by the country’s climate conditions, rich vegetation and bee species.
Moreover, in comparison with other sectors, repayment of the funds needed for
the development of beekeeping and job opportunities are more fitting39.
The improvement of beekeeping is given special attention in the State Program
on the Socio-Economic Development of Regions. Therefore, the number of the
families engaged in beekeeping is planned to be increased 5 times.
3.3.1. EDUCATION
Due to the fall in living standards and war condition, a setback in the education
level started in early 1990s. Thus the economic conditions of the transition
period had a negative impact on the development of the education level. This
downward trend in education went on until the second half of the independence’s
first decade. After this date, the education level began to rise.In Azerbaijan, there
are 1680 preschool education institutions and 4575 secondary schools. In
addition, there are 112 technical vocational schools and high schools, 61 colleges
and 41 universities.
In 1990 and 1991, a large amount of educational institutions were put into
operation. In 1994-2002, very few educational institutions were opened. The
number of the institutions constructed in 1990-2002 was 257.
There are 1 million 322 thousand pupils and 158 thousand 212 students studying
at primary & secondary schools and higher education institutions, respectively.
183 thousand teaching staff are engaged in the teaching and training of students.
160.6 thousand of them work in primary and secondary schools.
In order to establish the integration of Azerbaijan’s education system with that of
the world, more than 3000 Azerbaijani youth study in over 40 developed countries
of the world. In addition, 2000 Azerbaijanis study in up to 50 countries of the
world.
39
“Aqrar Bölmədə Lizinqin Genişləndirilməsi Sahəsində Əlavə Tədbirlər Haqqında Azərbaycan Respublikası Prezidentinin
Sərəncamı”, http://www.azerbaijanleasing.com/azerbaijanleasing/docs/Agro-leasing.doc,
81
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The role of the private sector in education is going up. In private educational
institutions, teaching is more about the fields needed in market economy. For
instance, 25% of the students at private institutions study economy and 18% of
them were studied in the faculty of law.
In spite of some reforms carried out in the education sector, there are still remain
problems. The education problem of Karabakh refugees has not been settled yet.
The children of Karabakh refugees are educated in 695 schools. Some of them
serve in tent camps and homes. 90 thousand students study at these schools.
Economic problems constantly affect education reducing its quality. The
insufficiency of technical provision in educational institutions is another problem
that needs to be addressed.
The annual rise of the number of students has led to the problem of school
scarcity. These problems are not only confined to remote regions, but they have
emerged in the capital as well. Many schools in the city are forced to take more
students than norms.
1700 million manats were earmarked from the budget of 2015 for education
which is 2.1 times less than a university’s budget in Japan. The funds allocated
for education, health, defense and others only meet 25-30% of the respective
sector’s minimum needs.
The share of funds allocated from public spending for education has been 3-4%
which shows that the portion allocated for education is not only little, but also
prone to decline. The insufficiency of what has been allotted from GDP for
education brings about serious problems in this area.
In 2003-2007, 149 new educational institutions were built. Furthermore, the
construction of 28 and repair of 200 educational institutions have been planned
within “The Poverty Reduction and Economic Development Program”. In addition,
it has been scheduled to build 13 new educational institutions within the State
Oil Fund’s assistance for Karabakh refugees. Thus, within the next 5 years, the
construction, repair of 190 new institutions and provision of education under
normal conditions in 1050 educational institutions have been plotted.
The national average is 1 computer per 1047 students. The computer provision
program of Azerbaijan’s all educational institutions were made in 2005-2007 in
which the average was 1 computer per 33 persons.
Despite the strong scientific potential of the country, it is not benefited properly.
It is observed that the allocated part from the national income for scientific
82
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
research is less than the world average. The share of national income for scientific
researches is 2.2% on average worldwide, while this figure is 0.2% in Azerbaijan
which seems to decrease further over time. This rate was 0.5% in 1990. The
number of those doing scientific researches (2791 per 100 thousand) is higher
than the world average (959 per 100 thousand). This situation signifies that
income level of scholars engaged in scientific researches is low and technical
provision is insufficient. As a result, the level of conducted researches becomes
low. However, educational and scientific researches should be one of the
strategic directions of a country.
Within the second reform program covered the period of from 2003 to the next
10 years, the World Bank will provide 63 million dollars of loan for the education
sector of the country. This program implemented in three phases. The first phase
covered 4 years and the World Bank lent 18 million dollars over this period. The
other 2 phases cover 3 years. In the second phase, the World Bank provide 25-
million-dollar loan.
In the program of development in education prepared by the government covering
2004-2007, the problems of Azerbaijan’s education system and their solutions
have been evaluated40.
In the program, some problems have been reflected such as the low level of
education in primary and secondary schools, weak material and technical
infrastructure, lack of teachers in villages, lack of classrooms and teaching
materials, incompatibility of teaching programs with the requirements of market
economy, weak development of education system and labor market, low-level
technical and vocational education of youth.
Specific measures for resolving the problems are taken into consideration in the
program. For the realization of the targets, within 4 years, up to 123 million
dollars of financial resources have been directed to the education sector. More
than half of these funds are thought to be spent for reinforcing material and
technical infrastructure of education.
Based on the decree signed by President Ilham Aliyev for the approval of “The
State Program of Azerbaijani youth abroad in years 2007-2015”, the education
of 5 thousand Azerbaijani youth for 8 years’ period in foreign countries were
planned and in accordance with the program thousands of students have already
studied and returned to the country. As end of 2015, 3185 students sent to 542
40
Misir Mərdanov ,”Heydər Əliyev və Azərbaycan Təhsili”, Azərbaycan Müəlimi Qəzeti, 7-13 Mart 2003, s.3
83
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
3.3.2. HEALTH
As a way to evaluate the success of the Soviet Union system, Azerbaijan has
inherited a health care system improved in conditions of those days. However,
as necessary amount is not allocated from the budget and income level of the
people has fallen, the health services are not at a satisfied level. Healthcare
enterprises operating in Azerbaijan don’t meet modern requirements and
unsuitable in terms of old, useless buildings and supplies.
The share of the health spending in national income have been 1% which shows
that this amount allocated for health costs is not enough.
In Azerbaijan, per 10 thousand people, the number of doctors is 34.6, amount of
health workers is 59.3, and number of hospital beds is approximately 49. If
calculated only for Baku, this figure seems to be over the average. In Baku, there
are 85 doctors, 110 health workers, 115 hospital beds per 10 thousand people.
This situation indicates that there are fewer health care services outside Baku.
Lack of healthcare services leads to an increase in the number of some diseases
every year. The most commonly seen diseases recorded are upper respiratory
tract, nervous system, ear-nose-throat disorders.
Some reasons like the transition of hospitals to formal or informal paid service,
lack of medicines, technical equipment and funds, high prices of services and
medicines have lessened the people’s use of health care services.
The newly opened private health centers play an essential role in raising the
quality of health services.
41
http://edu.gov.az/upload/file/HESABAT/2014/hesabat-xulase-2014.pdf
84
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Despite a lot of problems in the health sector, it seems that these problems are
declining with the economic growth and rise of income level.
In the State Program on Socio-Economic Development of Regions, new health
care facilities were already opened.
3.3.3. TOURISM
For the tourism sector, there is natural, historical and cultural resources, namely,
climate, natural beauty, historical and archeological potential available in the
country. 9 out of 11 climate zones exist in Azerbaijan, as well as the coasts of
the Caspian Sea, wooded area in Khachmaz-Lankaran-Astara regions and springs
for treatment purposes attract attention.All-union and international tourist routes
functioned in Azerbaijan were cancelled since 1st quarter of 1990. The war and
instable situation on borders led to occurrence of other problems in the system
of tourism. For example, 2 of 10 tourism centers in the system of the trade unions
left in the occupied territories and other places were accommodated with internally
displaced persons. In September 1991 the department on foreign tourism was
85
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
liquated and Foreign Tourism Council was established in its place under the
auspices of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Azerbaijan.Only at the end
of the 90-es the trends of tourism development were reflected in the legislative
acts of the country.
Already at the beginning of the XXI century in Baku, Ganja, Nakhchivan and other
regions of the country modern hotels that can accommodate foreign guests
operated. More than 500 tourism companies covering all regions of the republic
are engaged in accommodation of foreign tourists and servicing local population
with tourist services, and 540 hotels have been officially registered. The total
amount of beds in those hotels is more than 50000. Private treatment and resort
centers with modern level were given for use in the regions suitable for tourism
and recreation. The number of foreign tourists visited the republic passed the 2,5
million people.
Owing to the favorable climatic conditions, significant number of tourists was
attracted to the country during the Soviet Union. Hotels and beaches back at
those years indicated that42.
The areas forming the tourism sector in Azerbaijan can be focused on under the
following subheadings;
Holiday Tourism: The most appropriate regions to rest, especially, during summer
months are Zagatala, Sheki, Guba, Ganja, Gazakh and Lankaran.
Plateau and Mountain tourism: The suitable areas in Azerbaijan for plateau and
mountain tourism are Zagatala forests, Shaki Gelersen Gorersen tower, Basdasagil,
Guba,Ismayilli, Lahij, Gabala, Agdas forests, Ganja, Hajikend, Goygol.
Bath and Health Tourism: Azerbaijan is rich in drinkable and treatment-purpose
mineral water resources.There are nearly 2000 mineral water sources providing
200 million liters of water.
In addition, the muddy water with mixture of oil in “Naftalan” is good for nervous
system, skin, and gynecologicaland other diseases. Many of the specific
therapeutic sanatoriums are located in the Absheron peninsula.
Beach Tourism: Azerbaijan surrounded by the Caspian Sea, is favorable in terms
of beach tourism. Bilgah and its surrounding have beaches stretching kilometers.
Hunting Tourism: There are 97 species of mammals, 346 species of birds and
95 species of fish in Azerbaijan. In the country, different regions of which have
Z. N. Eminov, Azərbaycan Fiziki və Iqtisadi Coğrafiyası, Azərbaycan Coğrafiya Institutu Nəşriyyatı, Baku, 2000, pp. 153-156
42
86
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
3000
2484 2508
2500 2239 2297
1962
2000 1830
1560
1460 1490
1500 1350 1425
1066.29
1000 793.345
766.992
680.909
602.047
483.163
500
0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
In fact, the number of tourists entering the country is much higher than the figures
reflected in statistics. According to the explanations, due to the problem in the
registration system, the information doesn’t reflect the truth. Government tries to
resolve this issue with new measures and decisions43.
43
Əbülfəz Qarayev, “Azərbaycan Bu Gün Beynəlxalq Olimpiyada Oyunlarına Müvəffə-qiyyətli Imza Atan Dövlətlər Sırasındadır”,
Dialoq Azərbaycan Iş Dünyası Dergisi, TÜSIAB Cemiyeti, Mart-2003, p.16.
87
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
88
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Moreover, “The State Program on the Development of Tourism for the years of
2002-2005” was approved with the decree numbered 1029 which was signed
on August 27, 2002. With the decree signed by the President Haydar Aliyev, the
term of license for companies involved in tourism activities was extended from 2
to 5 years. State duty was reduced from 8 million manats to 2 million 750
thousand manats (manat before denomination) which increased the number of
companies in the tourism sector to 200.
There are more than 500 hotels in the country. Much work is being done to
improve the quality of service in hotels. In addition, some touristic hotels are
building and tourist information centers are being established in regions.
Entry visa fee for tourists has been decreased from 40 to 20 dollars. In airports
and border gates, the citizens of the Republic of Turkey can receive a monthly
entry and visa to settle by paying 10 dollars.
The development of the tourism sector is observed year by year. For example,
the income obtained from the activity of hotels and motels only in 2003 was 208
billion 214 million 400 thousand manats. In 2003, 74 companies were licensed
and the state budget attained 203 million 500 thousand manats from this.
In 2008, the growth of the sector was 37%. The number of tourists coming to
the country goes up 20-30% every year. In 2002-2015, 250 new tourism facilities
were put into use.
The tourism sector was within the main targets included in the development
program of regions covering 2004-2008, 2009-2013, 2014-2018, so projects
and business plans prepared in relation to the improvement of eco-tourism were
submitted to foreign investors interested in this field.
The Ministry of Culture and Tourism of the Republic of Azerbaijan is responsible
for an ambitious tourism development programme. it would be noteworthy to
mention about some of the successful projects held in recent years. The creation
of the Shahdag Mountain Resort in Kusar district is one project in this programme,
offering all year winter tourism activities in world-class quality and service.
Similar project of Tufandaq in Qabala district is also major tourist complex.
Azerbaijan will be a development perspective of tourism with such various
projects, cultural measures and will possess a wide tourism potential with the
regulation of the infrastructure. All the regions with its cultural and art centers will
have an irreplaceable position in the developing tourism sector.
Besides, in recent years there have been two major organization great supports
to the promotion of Azerbaijan.
89
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The Eurovision Song Contest of 2012 took place in May, 2012 in capital Baku,
Azerbaijan, following Ell & Nikki's victory at the 2011 contest marking the first
time that the country had won the contest.
The 2015 European Games, also known as "Baku 2015 European Games", were
the inaugural edition of the European Games, an international multi-sport event
for athletes representing the National Olympic Committees (NOCs) of Europe. It
took place in Baku, Azerbaijan, from 12 to 28 June 2015, and featured almost
6,000 athletes from 50 countries competing in 20 sports.
3.3.4. FINANCE
The following financial sector will review under the banking, insurance and
securities exchange sub-headings.
3.3.4.1. Bank
The activities of the ongoing transition to a new system, is continuing a
newstructure of the financial system, at the same time including a bank.In the
country operates National Central Bank, shares in state-owned banks, private
investment local banks and foreign-owned banks.
Central Bank, the legal person which is all part of the capital is the state-owned,
has a lot tougher controls on financial markets. The process can be divided into
three stages in the development of the banking system. In the first stage, was
between the 1990-92 years the National Banking system was formed. In 1992-
94 years in hyper-inflation conditions the banking system has evolved in an
environment of instability. In 1994 and after that, Central Bank tried to develop a
re-drafting of the banking system stable macroeconomic environment.
Legal principles of the banking system in Azerbaijan have been taken with Article
14 named "The banking system and the money supply of "Fundamentals of
Economic Independence" Constitutional Law dated 25 May 1991. With this article
in Azerbaijan determined the legal foundations of an independent banking system,
the national currency unit, the status and powers of the National Bank. National
Bank was established on February 11, 1992.
"Law on Banks and Bank Activities" entered into force with sequence "Law on
the National Bank" on August 7, 1992,in relation to the regulations on Bank and
National Bank. In December 1992, the charter of the National Bank of Azerbaijan
was adopted. In the country targeted banking system establishment consisting
of the National Bank and other banks: In money and banking sector identification
90
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
of policies, monitoring and control authority refers to the National Bank. Bank law
covers all banking activities in the modern meaning, however, those targets can
not be carried out by reason of the lack of a free market economy system with
literally intact and there is no banking system modern meaning.
In the early years of the transition to a free market economy in Azerbaijan there
was a strong control over banks due to the establishing of a banking system.
Commercial banks, which benefiting from the legal loopholes developed rapidly.
Established banks concentrated mainly in speculative activities.
Law on "The National Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan" was adopted June 10,
1996. In connection withthe related laws some changes and amendments have
been made in 1997, 1998, 2001, 2002, 2004 and finallyin 2015 years.
"The Law on Banks in the Republic of Azerbaijan" was approved by the head of
state on January 16, 2004, with the final version.
In Azerbaijan the financial market instruments and banking services has not been
developed. However, locally-owned banks trying to increase the diversity and
quality of service in order to compete with the subsidaries of foreign bank’s
subsidaries.
At the beginning of 2001 the number of bank and non-bank credit organizations
which were 158 dropped to 116 in 2002. As of the beginning of 2005, 114
licensed credit organizations operated. By collecting funds from the publicin
2009, 42, to performthe activities carried out by the bank with the foreign
exchange unit 43, safeguards and to guarantee 41, to operate with plastic cards
30 credit organizations has licensed.
In Azerbaijan trend of an increase in the number of bank continued until 1995.
Since 1996, the number of banks has started to decline.
Especially in the first years of independence, there was an increase in the number
of banks due to the keeping low of the capital structure of banks. Then after the
happened banker disaster was a gradual decrease in the number of banks while
entering the trend of gradual increase in the amount of investment in the
establishment of the National Bank. With the new regulations on October 1, 1997
the adequacy of the authorized capital for the newly opened banks increased to
$1,250,000, for the operating banks to $800,000. After the regulation began to
stop the activities of small banks.
On 01.01.2000 datein accordance withthe policy ofimproving of thebanking
system the minimumcapitals ofbanks increased to $ 2 million and for the 2016
91
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
established banks to$ 50 million. The number of banks, which is higher than
before decreased as a result of the merge of some of the commercial banks the
activities of some banks to putting an end because of the inability to raise capital
building to $ 2.5 million. In 2016, unable to raise the authorized capital of $50
million 8 bank's license has been cancelled44.
As a result of the decision to direction of increasing the capital structure of the
banking sector in the country, 50 banks have been disqualified since 2001. The
number of the banks decreased to 59 at the beginning of 2001, to 53 at the
beginning of 2002, and to 43 at the beginning of 2005 while operating 240 bank
credit organizations in the beginning of 1990. Two of the banks arestate-
owned banks, 38 private banks. 15 banks have foreign capital or foreign capital
participation.
At the endof 1995, 4 state-owned bank Agrobank, Industrial Bank, Deposits Bank
and the International Bank had 80% of bank assets, 85% of unpaid back credits,
75% of deposits, 65% of branches and 70% of employees in the banking sector.
There were 2 state-owned banks (International Bank of Azerbaijan and Kapital
Bank) as of the beginning of 2005.
Evenin Soviet times, in 1988, United Universal Bank was establishedas a joint-
stock company joining of Agroprombank, Promstroibank and Sberbank (Agrar
Industry, Industrial Investmentand Deposits Bank) of opened specialty banks in
Azerbaijan in 2000. In 2004, the bank's name was changed to Kapital Bank.
Kapital Bank was privatized at the end of 2000’s and became the biggest privately
owned bank in Azerbaijan. The International Bank of Azerbaijan is another state
bank which was founded in 1992 on the basis of Soviet’s Vnesheconombank’s
department.
Most of the state-controlled banking sector, in particularly was under the
influence of the International Bank of Azerbaijan. Assets of International Bank of
Azerbaijan was compatible with 54% of the total assets of the banking sector. 7
points increase is remarkable of this ratio over the previous year.
While the number of operating banks branches were 191 in the beginning of
2002, this number increased to 226 at the beginning of 2003, to 350 at the
beginning of 2005. The number of non-resident banks' branches is just 3.
Department of credit institutions, representation and so on activities are poor
aboard. This enterprises functions in the form of 1 department, 1 representation
and 1 closed bank in aboard.
44
www.cbar.az
92
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
93
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
directed credit to the private sector. These important developments such as the
introduction of the monetary and credit policy allowed more success.
While directing 70 % of the more short – term total loans to the private sector in
2002, it was directed 75.6% in 2008. While being 30% of all loans of the volume
of credits directed to the public sector in 2002, it was directed 24.4% in 2008. In
addition, trade-service and transport-communication sectors have been given
more loans.
Interest rates are determined by the market, tried to get the development of the
financial sector while deliveries the treasure operation passing through a market
activity.
Table 14. Credits (million manat)
Years Short-term Short-term (%) Long – term Long-term (%)
1995 1264.8 87.3 184.2 12.7
1997 1901.1 93.1 140.9 6.9
1998 2087.7 97.8 45.9 2.2
1999 2160.5 97.5 55.0 2.5
2002 1672.0 72.0 649.8 28.0
2004 1769.9 72.8 661.4 27.2
2006 1871.2 71.9 1129.6 28.1
2007 1649.5 35.2 3032.3 64.8
2008 2295.9 31.9 4895.4 68.1
2009 2359.9 28.1 6047.5 71.9
2010 2567.1 28.0 6596.3 72.0
2011 3051.2 30.7 6899.1 69.3
2012 3885.1 30.5 8835.4 69.5
2013 2297,4 20.8 8779,3 79.2
2014 2494,2 18.4 11011,5 81.6
2015 1777,3 16.2 9235,7 83.8
Source: The Central Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan, www.cbar.az
Short-term loan interest rate was 19.53% at the beginning of 2001,19.74% at the
beginning of 2002, and 18.17% at the beginning of 2003. Long-term loan
interestrate was 21.60% at the beginning of 2001, 20.70% at the beginning of
2002, and 18.86% at the beginning of 2003. The three-monthloan interestrate in
the interbank market was 20.3% at the beginning of 2001, 19.75% at the
beginning of 2002, and 19.67% at the beginning of 2003. In 2008, the average
nominal interest rate for loans increased. At the end of 2007, 15.91% of the loan
interest rate with manat was 15.55% by the end of 2015. However, considering
94
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
the last 12 months, the inflation rate was 10.4%. It can be expressed 9.76%
decrease in real interest rate. The situation has significantly changed in 2015-
2016 and still volatile.
Deposit and the Deposit Interest rates
It is seen a large portion of deposits placed as aforeign currency. In 2002, 5%
increment compared to 2001, in a large part of 85% of deposits, in 2004, 80%
was realized in foreign currencies. The rate of manat deposits was 15% in 2002,
20% in 2004. In addition, a large part of deposits collected in state banks. In
recent years, the volume of deposits increased, especially to state banks by the
people. This condition as the first time may be considered as an increasing
confidence to the banks.
In 2008, the volume of deposits was 5126.3 million manats increased by 77.9%
in banks. 1029.1 billion of deposits was in manats, 4097.2 million manat was in
foreign currency. 2015.6 million manat deposits in banks that have been provided
by private individuals, this amountis more than 60% over the previous year.
3110.7 million manat deposits in banks that have been provided by legal entities,
this amountis more than 73.5% over the previous year. 47.6% of deposits
belonging to private banks. Increasing 53.5% of private short-term deposits,
66.5% of long-term deposits can be considered of starting to increasing public
confidence in the banking system. On the other hand, while increasing 63.8% of
the volume of deposits by foreign currency, 86.6% increasing of the volume of
deposits in manats can be considered to beginning of a growth in confidence as
the local currency which was eliminated in 2015.
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
95
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
In 2009, deposit interest rates remained stable. While increasing the average
interest rate on deposits in manat from 6.5% to 6.73% compared to the previous
year at the end of 2015, the average interest rate for foreign currency deposits
fell from 80.08%.
96
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Micro-finance is seen as one of the ways most appropriate for the reduction of
poverty in the country. In Azerbaijan there area wide range of potential and great
opportunities for the provision of micro-loans.
One of the micro-loan organizations is Azerbaijan Micro-Finance Bank. Azerbaijan
Micro-Finance Bank (the new name Access Bank) founded by (EBRD, IFC, Black
Sea Trade and Development Bank, the LSF Financial Systems) (AMFB International
Finance Corporation, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,
Black Sea Trade and Development Bank, "Kredit tanstalt fur Wiesderaufbau
(KfW)" and "LFS Financial Systems") international anonymous group of
companies. AMFB is supported by the EU technical assistance program and
German government.
AMFB started to participate in the retail market with its micro and small loans in
September 2003. The total amount of more than $1 million 170 thousand Dollar
loan was given by AMFB. The bank was able to increase its loan portfolio during
2003. Bank gave more than 3,500 loans in the amount of $7.3 million Dollars in
2003.
Micro-Finance Bank gave about 10 thousand micro-loans cost of $23 million
since its inception until April 2005. The annual interest rate son loans between
$100-125000 varies between 18-36%.
On the other hand, the National Entrepreneurship Support Fund gave loans through
19 representative banks and 5 other credit institutions. The loan limit given by
fund was raised from $500,000 Dollars to million Dollars with final regulation. On
the other hand the term of the 7% loan interest rate increased from 5 to 8 years.
63 million Manat loan was given to the sources of the fund's via different banks.
As in 2014, in 2015, it was pointed out in the budget, 900 million of dollar
budget source lending to entrepreneurs.
97
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
45
http://www.cbar.az/assets/3753/illik_hesabat_az2014-_web.pdf
98
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
increasing from 47% to 96%. Aggregate loss of banks operating with loss
declined to a considerable extent and totaled only AZN 4.79 million (AZN 322.5
million in 2011). Non-satisfactory and doubtful loans made up 5.9% (AZN 1 174
million) of the credit portfolio of the banking sector as of 31.03.2015. According
to CBA requirements, respectively 30% and 60% reserves should be established
on such loans. Establishment of a 100% reserve as a sign of default on non-
satisfactory and doubtful loans was simulated in order to assess the impact of
possible shocks on the quality of bank loans. Assessment results suggest that
the banking sector, overall, is resistant to this shock: the capital adequacy ratio
of the sector may decrease down to 14.7% from 17.3%. As of 31 March 2015,
the foreign debt balance of the Azerbaijani banking sector was AZN 6.4 million,
22% of the total liabilities. The refinancing ratio (rollover ratio) of the banking
sector was 89% in March, 2015. The refinancing ratio of the banking sector
constituted 150% in the medium term (2009-2014), which reflects high potential
of banks to attract funds from foreign markets46.
46
http://www.cbar.az/assets/3753/illik_hesabat_az2014-_web.pdf
99
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
accelerating its activities in the field of infrastructure. Preparation the new laws,
norms and acts for the banks is started.
In order to create favorable conditions for the development of the banking
system, obtain a good work experience and techniques in the sector speeding up
the investments planned to sell 20% of the initial capital of the International Bank
of Azerbaijan to the European Development Bank.
The process of transition to non-cash payments in Azerbaijan's banking market
accelerates. Experience of the world of the transition of non-cash payments; with
drawal of the nation's financial resources to the banks improved economic
situation in the country in terms of quality and it also raise the social life
standards of the people.
Implementation of "Internet Banking" and "Mobile Banking" payment systems in
Azerbaijan started January 2005. These activities have been implemented
according to the recommendations of the World Bank (WB) and International
Monetary Fund (IMF).
Today the opportunities are expanded in order to serve customers in the banking
market of Azerbaijan and world-class services are provided in maximum extent
compatible with their requirements.
The development of the banking sectorin the country and so to restore public
confidence in the banks, establish a deposit insurance fund and the law on
deposit insurance should be considered. For problems that may arise due to the
revision of the deposit insurance fund the banks must follow the policy of
National Bank to show true financial accounts.
Some works has been done within the framework of reforms to insure the
deposits. Deposit Insurance Fund regulations on the establishment and activities
regulated by a separate law in 2011.
Infrastructure works, payment systems, accounting systems, such as banking
supervision and legal infrastructure works will continue in banking sector. In
terms of private sector development in the banking sector, in particular, will allow
easier access to credit opportunities.
3.3.4.2. Insurance
After the collapse of the Soviet Union one of the works in the first period was
reorganization of the Azerbaijan State Insurance Company which was available in
the previous system as State Insurance Agency of Azerbaijan.
100
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Əlövsət Qocayev, “Azərbaycan Iqtisadiyyatında Sığortanın Rolu”, Dialoq Azərbaycan Iş Dünyası Dergisi, Sayı:15, TÜSIAB
47
101
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
102
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Insurance Services
Insurance companies take guaranteed many risks by offering variety of insurance
services to domestic and foreign companies and businessmen. There are 35
different types of insurance in the insurance sector. 9 are compulsory from this
types of insurance, 26 are voluntary insurances. The most common types of
insurance are accident, fire, medical, personal accident, cargo, automotive,
financial risk, life, engineering, agriculture and live stock insurance.
Insurance companies are uniting much more in small-scale enterprises. However,
after passing the free market system the number of insurance services grows
with each passing year with the development of the insurance sector. Having
more type so voluntary insurance from compulsory insurance is an indication of
the development of the insurance market in Azerbaijan.
Land slides, floods and water disasters such as the flooding takes place in
Azerbaijan in recent years. While insured entities operating in Azerbaijan and
people property, they have the ability to prevent the loss of a large volume will be
revealed as a result of any natural disaster or the personal intervention.
Insurance Rights
Insurance premiums collected by insurance companies increases every year.
The amount of fees in 2004, an increase of 14.5% compared to 2003 was 287.3
million manat. 92.5% of the collected insurance premiums are the types of
voluntary insurance. The insurance premiums accounted for 91.9% of the local
insurance companies. 70.7 million manat paid for the insurance events
correspond to 21.6% of total insurance premiums.
103
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The insurance sector is still under development and the benefit to the economy
is very few compared to their financial institutions. The turn over of the country's
insurance market Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is less than 1%.
Basic Problems in the Insurance Industry
In the slow development of the insurance sector, among the causes of relatively
little benefit from insurance services of local people and businesses is paramount
importance the low level of income and the inability of the people for seen the
benefits of insurance.
One ofthe main reasons forthe lack of interest and confidence of people's in
insurance sector in Azerbaijan awareness and promotional activities ofthe
companies which are notsufficient.
The development ofthe insurance sector and trust to the sector which is the
basic elements of the dynamic development, is one of the factors that will
increase the flow of foreign investment into the country.
104
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
In exchange in the first years not with standing the fact that the prices of
securities issued by the government, in later years securities of companies
began to see the co-operative and anonymous.
The securities market is not formed yet all means to achieve a certain amount of
activity is too early to say that. Especially, limited financial actions, distrust of the
problems in the economy and financial markets, lack of information, significantly
hinders the development of the stock market. In the future, foreign companies
investing in the oil sector is projected to produce to the market price of its
securities that, important legal arrangements have been carried out on them. For
the development of securities market, a little bit of the volume, repo and reverse-
repo operations take an important step.
Corporate documents markets not been formed yet. As well as in local firms,
International bond markets of Azerbaijani government did not witness any activity
yet. With the acceleration of the privatization, the bond market is projected to
develop.
Another problem of the securities market in Azerbaijan is a limit of market for
foreign companies. One of the main reasons for this is much less values used in
the portable market. Foreign investors do not want to invest in the securities
market. Because the foreign investors can not be profitable in order to receive
interest income in the rate of 4-5% with the national currency in financial market
of developing countries. Expectations of foreign investors are higher than these
rates, especially for developing countries.
The new relations with investors are established, in order to increase the
Authorized Capital of the Securities Market. As a result, the authorized capital
stock reaches a volume of 5.4 million Manat.
Since the beginning of the activities of the organization until 2005, the structure
of the securities market in the country is trying to be formalized. This structure
covers Securities Market, loan institutions and broker age firms.
In recent years, increase in the volume of cargo turnover prices and the
development of new securities values is observed. In 2003, the main securities
were government bonds and shares of stock companies. Stock prices become
one of the most organized sectors of company bonds as a result of privatization.
At the beginning of 2004, the first bank bonds were in offered. One of the new
financial documents was short-term notes of National Bank. The above mentioned
securities have been introduced to financial markets on September 2004. Referred
105
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
to as "Not" these securities will take responsibility for any kind of request for
money. Notes circulation in the country is explained by the increase in the
demand for money. National Bank prefers these type of securities, referring to in
addition to the removal of the money supply in circulation will lead to inflation.
They would prefer to use notes, while consumers demand increases for money.
Such practices are common in many countries around the world. The purpose is
to pay for the need for new financial bank note was in circulationin the act, as
well as the process to prevent inflation. The new notes put into operation via
licensed 38 commercial banks in the country.
The first phase of development of the securities market is the creation of stocks
in Azerbaijan. In the process mainly investors should be focused trade portfolio
equity. For this the privatization of large enterprises seems to be one of the most
important steps. Thus investors do not pay serious attention to the small-sized
enterprises. Secondly it is necessary to achieve transparency in the market.
20
18 18.7
16
14 12.5 12
11.4
12 12.5
10.1 10 9.1 9.2
10 11.3 8.7
8.3 10.7 7.1
8 9.8 9.5 8.9 9.3 6.8
8 7
6 7.1
4
2
0
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
106
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
In 2008, 56.5% of the cargo carried as transported by road. 15.4% of cargos are
transported by pipelines, 17.8% by rail, and 11.2% by sea. 57.8% of cargo, 84.7%
of passengers was carried out by privately owned vehicles. 57.9% of cargo was
transported by road in 2015. 27.7% of the cargo transported pipeline, 9.8% by
railway and 4.5% by sea. The private sector share in the area of communication
services has grown annually. Finally, the share of private sector in 2009 was
71.3%. 74.2% of communication services were carried out by the private sector.
In the coming years, the share of the private sector will continue to rise in the
area of communication services.
The limited access to open seas and roads do not meet the demands of
international standards are the most important problems. Communication sector
is growing as a result of integration with the world. Sea, air, road, railway pipeline
transport and communication will be examined separately in the chapters below.
107
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
108
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
In 2015, the volume of cargo transported by sea was more than ten million tons.
A large proportion of cargos transported by sea were oil and oil products. This
volume was 72.7% in 2014. Among the different geographical areas in which it
operates marine transportation the Caspian Basin is considered to be one of the
most important means for transportation in region due to the new infrastructures.
In the mid-1990s until 2015, the development of the transport sector played an
important role in the transportation to the Black Sea of the Kazakh oil through the
Caspian Sea.
Table 15. Sea Transport
Years Freight Freight Passenger Passenger
(thousand tons) Growth Ratio (%) transportation transportation
(thousands person) Growth Ratio (%)
1995 5713 -13 60 -7.7
1998 8178 9.0 20 -53.5
1999 7382 -9.7 14 -30.5
2000 8779 18.9 12 -15.1
2001 10247 16.7 11 -8.3
2002 11381 11.1 14 27.3
2003 13272 16.6 13 -7.1
2004 13208 -0.48 19 46.3
2005 13726 3.9 21 10.5
2006 13890 1.1 23 9.5
2007 14586 5.0 25 8.6
2008 15654 7.3 27 8.0
2009 13190 -6.1 10.4 -19
2010 11714 -22.1 12 40
2011 12499 13.9 17.3 29
2012 12371 -7.7 17.1 -42
2013 11509 -6 13.7 -16
2014 9934 -6.7 14.7 25
Source: SSCAR Publications.
One of the representatives of maritime transport fleet, ship named "Heydar
Aliyev", which became operational in 2004, was developed "Krasnoye Sormova"
shipyard in Nizhny Novgorod. The ship's value is estimated at $ 13.5 million. The
ship is equipped with the most modern technology. The ship will estimated to
bring Kazakh oil to world markets via the Baku port.
Baku Port can play affordable "transit" role for Middle East, Europe and South
East Asian countries. As well Baku port needs $ 2 billion. Feasibility and design
109
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
1995
1999
2000
2001
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Years
Number of
cars 399 392 409 441 452 612 690 773 926 982 1037 1136 1232 1291
(thousand)
The number
of cars per
55 51 52 55 56 59 69 77 92 98 100 113 123 129
1,000
person
Transportati
on cars
260 278 307 332 343 480 549 616 759 815 871 958 1048 1100
(thousand
units)
The number
of cars per
36 36 39 41 42 45 52 58 75 81 87 95 104 110
1,000
passenger
Individual
small cars
per 100 16 19 19 19 19 26 29 32 38 40 42 46 50 52
families
110
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The location on the crossroads of the historic Silk Road creates strategic position
to carry out a number of road projects. As a part of the TRACECA project,
Azerbaijan-Georgia highway was rebuilt according to the international standards.
Only by 2009, Azerbaijan has spent as much as $ 200 million in road projects.
For the purpose of the construction and repair of roads EBRD and the World
Bank, Asian Development Bank and The Islamic Development Bank provide
financial assistance. Azerbaijan needs more than $ 800 million funds for the repair
of roads and reconstruction. A comprehensive action plan has been prepared the
construction and renovation of roads in terms of the program on "Social and
Economic Development of Regions". With the aim of repair and reconstruction of
roads throughout the country in order to fund these projects in connection with
the allocation of credits has been addressed to the some international financial
institutions by the government.
Table 17a. Length of contact roads (2000-2007)
2000-2007 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
General use railways, km 2116 2122 2122 2122 2122 2122 2099
Tram tracks
35.9 27 22 - - - -
(with a double-line account), km
Trolleybus routes
165.3 119.4 53.7 48.2 48.2 - -
(with a double-line acount), km
Metropolitan ways
28.5 28.5 29.9 29.9 29.9 29.9 29.9
(with a double-line account), km
Main pipelines, thousand km 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.1 4.6 5.3
Main oil pipelines 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.9
Main gas pipelines 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.7 3.4
Source: SSCAR Publications
Table 17b. Length of contact roads (2008-2014)
2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
General use of the railways, km 2099 2079 2079 2079 2068 2068 2068
Tram tracks
- - - - - - -
(with a double-line account), km
Trolleybus routes
- - - - - - -
(with a double-line acount), km
Metropolitan ways
31.5 31.5 31.5 29.9 34.6 34.6 34.6
(with a double-line account), km
Main pipelines, thousand km 5.8 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.1 5.7 5.4
Main oil pipelines 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5
Main gas pipelines 4.1 4.7 3.8 4.8 4.6 4.1 3.8
Source: SSCAR Publications
111
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The international transportation will be rebuilt until 2015. 1225 kilometers inter
urban road, on 1807 kilometers local roads were renovated and reconstructed in
the period of 2004-2015. In this context, the activities are successfully completed
for the following projects:
1. At the Baku-Alat (47km) section 508km highway, along the border of Baku-
Alat - Gazakh - Georgian reconstruction activities launched and completed
by the end of 2005;
2. The length of 132 km of Ganja-Gazakh-Georgian border road project costs
$60 million were completed in 2009;
3. Gazimammad-Kurdamir highway construction completed at the end of 2006
and costed $41 million, 85 km length of project financed by the European
Bank for reconstruction and development ;
4. Along the Kurdamir-Ujar-Yevlakh-Ganja road, the length of 188 km, and
costed 102 million dollars;
112
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
113
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
increased by 20% in 2004. In 2003, oil shipments were 2.8 million tons.
Azerbaijan's state oil transportation by rail is expected to be 8 million tons
annually. Freight transport by rail to the main location, with 74.5% of oil and oil
products are a part. 74.5% of railway transportation is accounted for oil and aoil
products. However, railway modernization is essential for country transportation.
Table 19a. Cargo turnover in transportation sector, 2000-2007 (million tons/km)
2000-2007 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Total 15948 20277 22291 23283 26534 43294 77943
including:
railway 5770 6980 7719 7536 9628 11059 10287
Sea 5192 6077 6555 6771 7521 8043 6013
Aviation 102 84 204 315 310 291 203
Pipeline 1371 1602 1572 1696 1539 15679 52305
oil pipeline 646 648 649 655 624 14690 50892
gas pipeline 725 954 923 1041 914 989 1413
Automobile 3513 5534 6241 6965 7536 8222 9135
114
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
115
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
116
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
3.3.5.6. Communication
One of the advanced sectors in Azerbaijan is the communications industry. A
large part of the country, almost equipped with digital telephone.Since December
1996, Azerbaijan communication system connected to the GSM operator.
Wireless communication is the most active sector in telecommunications industry
in Azerbaijan.
In 2004 the number of cellphone service increased by 47.9% compared to 2003.
The number of mobile phones used in in the country reached 9.7 million in 2015.
The number of mobile phones per 1000 person was 1046 in 2015.
The ratio of mobile phone usage varies from region to region. This ratio was
around 50% in big cities. However it did not exceed 10-15% in some small towns.
In many cases, mobile phone service is outdated and ineffective alternative to
cable telephone connections.
"Azercell", "Bakcell" and "Nar Mobile" are three mobile operators in Azerbaijan
market. In mobile communications market, 55% is share of "Azercell", 36% is the
share of "Bakcell". Other 9% is for "Nar Mobile" in mobile operator market. 93%
of Azerbaijani territory is under coverage of mobile communication. Azerbaijan's
occupied territories are just not within the scope of mobile communication.
Since the first months of 2006, number of subscribers and coverage of "Bakcell"
have been increased. As a logical result of this, "Bakcell" is operating throughout
the country in 2015.
Additionally, the funds have a significant state budget while"Azercell" sold shares
of the state. At the same time $15 million investment was put in the postal system
and at the end of 2006, all post offices are connected to a common information
network.
Nearly half of the country’s population settled in capital city, Baku. Therefore the
development of the telecommunication system is mainly observed in Baku. The
number of the internet subscribers increased 90% recently.
The Ministry of Communications and Technology have lots of problems in terms
of qualified personnel and technology. The Ministry has problems due to meet
the demands of population because of the high economic growth and rapidly
increased internet market.
117
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
118
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Azerbaijan's first satellite "Azerspace-1" satellite was released into orbit in French
Guiana, on February 7, 2013 (South America, the French administered island)
from the Kourou spaceport in Guiana Space Center, at local time, 18:36 (Baku
time on February 8, 2013 at 01:36). Produced by US "Orbital Sciences
Corporation" and French "Arianespace" company, “Azerspace-1” is distinguished
by its high reliability. "Ariane-5" rocket had been launched with "Azerspace-1"
satellite separated from the rocket body after about 35 minutes the rocket taking
off from cosmodrome. Azerspace-1" satellite is based on the accumulated
"STAR-2" satellite platform developed by "Orbital Sciences Corporation"
successfully. Currently there are 22 active satellites. Constantly negotiating with
television channels in many countries around the world in order to be involved in
watch over "Azerspace-1" satellite by "Azerkosmos" OJSC. According to the
information on July 1, 2014, 100 television and 20 radio channels were
broadcasted over the satellite. For the purpose of the development of national
space industry, several countries’ satellite launching is intended to prepare in the
coming years. Thus, in the country space observed by the community in the
creation and development of geo-information services to create the first low-orbit
satellite observations of Earth from space in order to conduct intensive
negotiations with companies in the world specializing in this field. In addition,
Azerbaijan's second telecommunications satellite "Azerspace-2" is going to work
on the project. According to forecasts, that will be released into orbit of both
satellites respectively in 2016 and 2017. Azerbaijan's "Azerspace-1" satellite in
orbit means the success of the satellite operator in the market. A truck equipped
with 36 active transponders and weighing approximately 3.2 tons, "Azerspace-1"
satellite will be located at 46 degrees East geostationary orbit and will cover in
Europe, Africa, Central Asia, the Caucasus and the Middle East. That will have at
least 15 years of service life in orbit. "Azerspace-1" satellite broadcasting and
telecommunications services, corporate and government clients as well as
meeting the requirements intended to ensure quality and reliable communications
platforms (http://www.mincom.gov.az/).
In recent years, information and communication technology (ICT) is developing.
The basis for the development of ICT and the state programs are prepared. ICT's
investment is needed in large quantities for further development. This is possible
to attract funding through the private sector simply. In the near future, the
privatization of the telecommunications offices and formation of favorable market
conditions are planned. E-government, e-mail systems development and the
implementation of regional television and radio broadcasts can be displayed
among the major projects.
119
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
120
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The richness of the East to the West during the past two thousand years,
caravans were passed along with five of the Turkish Republic, Tajikistan, Georgia
and Armenia, covering the history of the Black Sea, Silk Road to China in the
twenty-first century in communication, transport and energy corridor for the
transportation of the TRACECA (Transport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia /
Europe-Caucasus-Asia Transport Corridor) project.On September 7-8, 1998 at
the Gulistan Palace century's most extensive communication and transport
agreement signed at the summit, with a ring in a new chain of global economic
relations have been added. Linking the two continents and three offshore basin
restoration project on the basis of the Silk Road in Central Asia and the Caucasus
in 1993, five countries met with the participation of the Ministry of Transport and
Commerce put forward at a conference in Brussels
This project is intended to open transport corridors which were landlocked in the
republics of the Caucasus and Central Asia. That will be an important stage in
the integration of international markets with significant economic growth in the
region. In this context, as well as being a help, it will further strengthen the
political and economic independence has great importance in terms of being a
serious catalyst.
Silk Road is a trade route, linking Asia and Europe, as well as the fact that, since
2000, the regional cultures, religions, races, and the traces of a great historical
and cultural wealth gives transports. After gaining independence of Turkic
republics of Central Asia, the Silk Road, was built along the roadboth trade route,
as well as a wealth of historical and cultural revitalization of the day-profile, and
the protection and restoration of the buildings.
In ancient times, the wealth of the east-west transport caravans is operated as a
Eurasian corridor, which will bring peace the Caucasus and Central Asia, and the
development of dialogue among civilizations will be achieved.
Globalization of the world's in these days economic, political and technical
conditions of the TRACECA project will play an important role in achieving of
regional peace and stability.
In this sense, an important place on the historical Silk Road, which for the
centuries, but more importantly, in the light of events in the post-cold war, the
economic, social and political point of view as well as the geography of the
twenty-first century will organize the dynamic force of gravity as a candidate
standing in the center of Eurasia. Turkey stays out of such an important project,
it is impossible to think. TRACECA is an important ideal to support Turkey in this
issue important.
121
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
122
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
3.3.6. CONSTRUCTION
In 1990-2015 there is a close relationship between economic and social
development and the development of the construction sector. During these years
many new buildings and complexes have been built in the country.
Besides, some acting buildings have been expanded and restorated. The
construction sector's share in GDP was 8.1% in 1991 and 10.9% in 1999. The
ratiodid not change much in 2000-2001, and again increased in 2002. The
increase reached 13% in 2004. The construction sector’s share in GDP declined
to 8.1% again in 2010, and increased by 12.5% in 2015. According to the
123
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
124
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Every last day Baku is changing with the establishment of new buildings.
However, modern construction designs and construction materials, at the same
time as a result of geological and geodetic surveys the construction of the 15-
storey high building is not allowed. At the same time the newly built multi-storey
buildings and unplanned construction of Baku, contrary to the image of the
amphitheater alarm ringing. Also, some of these structures are a number of
problems in terms of parking and courtyard areas. Construction of pipelines,
construction of modern industrial facilities, reconstruction and restoration
projects, especially for tourism and entertainment sector, hotels, restaurants,
and a variety of other objects, significant investment opportunities in the
construction sector.
New construction projects, increases demand for high-quality construction
products. Quality and quantity meets the needs of the domestic production does
not amount. Construction materials and raw materials industry are plentiful and
cheap, and because of the inability to meet the needs and requirements of the
proposal in terms of the construction sector for foreign investors, strengthens its
position as an industry that attracted attention.
In addition to the oil sector, the construction sector is rapidly developing pararell
to the oil sector. In parallel with the increase in the income level taking into
account trends in the construction of new residential areas and shopping
centers. Construction sector to grows several times faster than the rate of
population growth. At the same time the price of goods is rising rapidly. The lack
of housing is one of the factors influencing the increase in divorces. At the same
time causes people to marry late. In this regard, housing construction in oil
revenues could be directed in the right way. Taking into account the housing
needs of the population since 2005 government "Mortgage Fund" formed and
since 2006, long-term mortgage loans started.
Azerbaijan Mortgage Fund (AMF) created under the Central Bank of Azerbaijan in
accordance with decree by the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan "On the
establishment of the system of mortgage loans in the Republic of Azerbaijan,"
No. 299 dated September 16, 2005. The main objective of the AMF is create
mechanisms to ensure the long-term mortgage lending to the population of the
Republic of Azerbaijan, helps to attract domestic and foreign financial resources
to mortgage lending.
Azerbaijan Mortgage Fund's primary functions include:
1. Commissioner refinances mortgage loans issued by credit institutions;
125
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
126
CHAPTER FOUR
REGIONAL ANALYSIS
Azerbaijan economically could be analyzed in 10 different regions. This division,
have been developed in the context of the state programs on socio-economic
development of regions of Azerbaijan, covering the period of 2004-2008, later
2009-2013 and 2014-2018 and first program out of this package have been
approved by the President Ilham Aliyev 11 February 2004. State programs were
implemented in order to ensure continue diversification of the economy, non-oil
sector and enhance regional development, further improve infrastructure and
social services. As a result of implementation of state programs, over the last 10
years since implementation, gross domestic product of Azerbaijan increased in
3.2 times, non-oil sector in 2.6 times, industry in 2.7 times, agriculture in 1.5
times, investments in 6.5 times, income of the population in 6.5 times and
average of monthly salary in 5.5 times.
Thus specific activities carried out in Azerbaijan, enable to establish 900 thousand
permanent jobs out of more than 1.2 million new jobs, 55.6 thousand enterprises,
decline unemployment to 5 percent and reduce the poverty rate to 5.3 percent.
These important works conducted in terms of the before-mentioned programs
created a solid foundation for the development of the regions in the next years.
The division and classification of economic regions have done on the basis of
structural, economic and geographical position, natural wealth and resources,
density of the active population, regional area and soil structure, and on region's
history respectively. According to the significance country's economic regions
are as follows:
Before characterization of the regions,
a- Because of the suitable climatic conditions of the country large and small
horned cattle, poultry production is possible almost in every region,
b- Further diversification of investments in agriculture is possible in almost every
region of Azerbaijan because of the suitable agriculture, wide variety of arable
areas and climate,
127
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
c- Big potential of the tourism sector lays in undiscovered regions of the country
in terms of natural beauty of regions,
d- Inevitable role of food industries development should be considered in terms
of the regions socio-economic development.
48
http://senaye.gov.az/az/normative_programs/region_development
128
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Baku by being kept aside from the regional economic development program may
be attractive for the following areas of investment: complementary industires for
oil and gas sectors, electricity, electronics, laboratories for the petroleum
products, iron and non-iron metals, automatization and auto-industry complexes,
building materials, manufacturing facilities, textile sector, maritime transport and
shipping, land, air, sea, subway and rail businesses for the ground and
underground, alcohol and alcoholic beverages, health, education, tourism
complexes, environmental protection facilities, land reclamation and irrigation
facilities.
a. Geography
Region consists of Absheron and Khizi administrative regions, including one of
the main cities of country - Sumgait. In particular, the Sumgait city has a very
favorable economic and geographical position.
b. Area
Absheron economic region is (excluding Baku) 3.34 thousand km2. It covers
3.9% of the country's territory.
c. Population and Density
Region with its 551,800 people population encounters 4.8% of the population of
the country. The density in the region is 148 people per square kilometer. The
active population is 163 thousand people.
Suitable geo-economic position of the region plays an important role in the
settlement. Most of the population lives in cities.
d. Climate
The climate in the economic region is dry-subtropical.
e. Natural Resources
Absheron is one of the rich economic regions in terms of natural resources. Saw
stone, cement raw material, quartz and construction sand are among the
region's natural resources.
There are rich bath treatment and hot water sources in Absheron Peninsula.
During the summer months bath treatment facilities allows the beach tourism
along the Caspian coast. Despite this it is the only region with non-drinking water
in its territory. Region meets drinking water needs from the other regions -
Samur and Kur rivers, through water pipelines.
129
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
f. Industrial Areas
Industrial areas of the region are oil, natural gas, electricity, organic and inorganic
chemical products, medications, metallurgy, energy, iron and steel, other metal
companies, oil and gas related industries, textiles, light and food industry.
Transportation and services sectors play a vital role for the region's industry.
This economic region has a powerful source of fuel energy. A large part oil,
natural gas and electricity produced in the country accounts for this region.
Chemical and petrochemical industries are leading industries of the region. Iron
and non-metals production, also, has an important place in the industry.
Polymeric materials, glass and others products such as, industrial products, are
produced in the region.
g. Agriculture
Dry subtropical fruit cultivation, vegetable, floriculture, viticulture, dairy, poultry-
breeding and big and small horn livestock are main agricultural areas of the
region.
Favorable climatic conditions of the region allow production of products such as
olive, saffron and peanuts.
h. Developing Areas
Construction, telecommunications and other service industries are the growing
areas of the region.
130
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
b. Area
1249 thousand km2 area in the region makes 14.4% of the country's territory.
c. Population and Density
1,240,800 people of the region are 13.6% countrys’ total population. Region’s
density is 101 inhabitants for each km2. Region’s population more and more
concentrates into the centre. 47% population lives in the cities, whereas 53% live
on the rural areas. The active population is 633 thousand people.
d. Climate
As the nature of the topography, region, divided into four areas. This division
varies in line with the climatic conditions of the region.
e. Natural Resources
Ganja-Gazakh economic region is one of the regions with rich natural resources.
Iron ore, aluminum, copper, saw stone, marble, zeolite, gypsum and cement raw
material main resources of the region. Kur River is passing through the region
and creates a huge potential for hydro-power sources.
There are lots of natural recreation areas in the region. The favorable natural
conditions, clean air and climate, forests and mountain scenery in the mineral
waters allows the creation at the international level resorts and sanatoriums.
Goygol and Hajikend recreation areas located at an altitude of 1566 meters
above sea level are part of the region. Region’s Naftalan sanatorium already has
an international reputation.
f. Industrial Areas
Ganja-Gazakh with its economic potential is the second most important region of
the country. It is considered as the second industrial region of the country, due
to its benefit at approximately on 12-13% to the industrial production of Azerbaijan.
The main industrial areas of Ganja-Gazakh economic region are electric tools,
telecom equipment, agricultural machinery, metallurgy, automobiles, cotton, yarn,
textiles, carpets, cement, ceramics, glass production; various supplies, heavy
industry and food industry.
The main companies in the construction industry are embroidery house-building
companies, metal - concrete, brick –ceramica and marble factories.
g. Agriculture
Sugar, potatoes, wheat, grapes, wine, candy, canned food, meat and dairy products,
large and small horn animal are important agricultural areas of the region.
131
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
13-14% of agricultural products of the country's accounts for this region, which
are mainly forms from potatoes, grapes and wheat. About 80% of the country's
potato production, 28% of the grapes comes from this region. Cotton is produced
only in Goranboy administrative region in Ganja-Gazakh area. Vegetable and fruit
growing are well developed in the region. 15% of animal products of the country
are obtained from this region.
h. Developing sectors
One of the developing of the region is tourism industry. 6.2% of the railway and
6.1% of roads of the country are accounted for this economic region. Highway,
rail, pipeline and air routes which are passing through economical region have
significant impact on development of the economic relations on domestic and
international levels. Ganja, Gazakh and Agstafa are main transport networks.
Europe-Caucasus-Asia corridor which correspondence to this region is required
construction of modern roads, which should corresponds to the international
standards. Within the framework of the State Program on socio-economic
development of regions various roads and bridges construction and rehabilitation
activities continue.
The historical "Silk Road" which passes through this territory of the region has
increased the demand for railway. At the same time, the second railway bridge
over the Kur River is included into the state program.
Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, passing through the region Ganja, Khanlar, Shamkir,
Tovuz, Agstafa, Gazakh regions, has caused significant changes in the socio-
economic development of region. Region has several state protected areas which
are: Korchay, Garayazi-Agstafa and Garayazi State Reserve.
Ganja airport which is inside of thus economical region has flights within the
country and to the Commonwealth of Independent States. At the same time
Naftalan and Agstafa airports operates in this region.
In summary, transport sector is one of the important sectors on socio-economic
development of Ganja-Gazakh economic region.
132
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Social infrastructure of the region, are the educational institutions, cultural and
health centers, museums and theaters.
a. Geography
Region covers Balaken, Gakh, Gabala, Oguz, Zagatala and Sheki administrative
regions.
b. Area
The total area of region is 8.96 million km2 which is 10.3% of the country area.
Since region is covered by mountains and mountainous areas, land resources
are limited in Sheki-Zagatala. This situation is caused by the region's natural
diversity.
c. Population and density
The region has a population of 599,900 people. This is 6.5% of the country's
population. Active population is 632 thousand people in the region. The region
accounted for 68 persons per 1 square kilometer. 27% of the people live in the
cities, 73% live in mountainous areas, a large part of the population living on the
rural areas.
d. Climate
Despite the fact that different climates exist in the region, it has more temperate
climate.
e. Natural Resources
Economical region is rich in terms of natural resources. Among the region's
natural resources, copper, sulfur, lead, zinc, sand and other building products,
drinking water, can show an example. 90% sulfur, 97% lead, 99% zinc are
produced from the mines of this region. Copper is extracted from this region
entirely. Gravel, sand and other construction materials are located in mountainous
and hilly areas.
In addition, the region has lots of forests. 27% of the region, an important part of
the territory of Balakan and Zagatala are covered with forests.
Due to natural beauty the region is one of the country's tourist resorts. Tourism
facilities in Gabala, Balakan, Gakh, Shaki and Zagatala regions of Sheki-Zagatala
economic region are not enough to accommodate tourist traffic of the region.
Highway which connects country with the Georgia passes through this region.
At the same time the region has important water resources.
133
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
f. Industrial areas
Region has a weak industry which is made of the light and food industry only
and considered as the most developed area in Sheki-Zagatala. These areas
account for 95% of industrial production in the region. Just a little over 3% of the
country's industrial production fell to a part of the region. 27% of region's territory
and 30% of the population lived in Sheki, where half of industrial production of
the region comes from.
Light industry is mostly comprised of silk production. Different numbers of textile
enterprises are operating in region’s center.
g. Agriculture
The region's main economy comes from its agriculture. In agriculture tobacco,
silkworm breeding, fruits, grain products, viticulture, meat and milk, cotton and
small cattle and livestock are main developed areas of the region. In this context,
the economic region is favorable the development of industry based on
agriculture, silk worm, crushing nuts, tobacco, wine, water supply facilities,
wood and wood materials.
75% of tobacco, 17% of wheat, 35% of mulberry, more than 2% of green tea
produced in the country accounts for this region. Production of livestock products
of the farm country of more than 10% is produced in Sheki-Zagatala economic
region.
h. Developing Sectors
In Sheki-Zagatala region special attentions is paid to silk and tourism sector as
potential areas.
Part of the economical structure of the region, Gakh administrative district is
located in the north-west of Azerbaijan. It has very favorable conditions in terms
of geography. It is one of regions for tourism of Azerbaijan. With the implemen-
tation of development program migration from the region to Baku has stopped
and existing plants and factories began to function again.
134
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
a. Geography
Mountainous Shirvan economic region covers Agsu, Ismayilli, Shamakhi, and
Gobustan administrative regions.
b. Area
The total area is 6.06 million km2, the region holds 7% of the country's territory.
c. Population and density
Consisting of 304,000 people, region inhabits 3.2% of the country's population.
Active population is 141 thousand people. Population density is less than in
other regions; for 1 sq kilometer accounts 50 people.
d. Climate
In terms of topography mountainous and lowland areas separating region into
two climates. Due to topographical charachteristics moist, warm and cold or hot
and dry climatic conditions dominated in the region.
e. Natural Resources
In terms of natural resources it is not a rich region. Region has stone, sand, lime,
gravel and other construction materials resources. Mountainous areas are rich in
healing mineral waters. Sulfur and hydrocarbon-rich springs are used for
drinking water and treatment.
f. Industrial Areas
Weakness of the industrial sector in the region is obvious after intial review of
economic data of the region. The main industries of regional of agricultural
production are food and light industry. Light industry areas are: fruit juice, textiles
and carpet-weaving. The main field of food industry is the production of wine
grapes of the region. Besides there are forestry and wood processing enterprises,
building materials, agricultural machinery repair factories.
Shirvan region is the center of the history of handicrafts and textiles. Lahij is
famous for the copper production and Shamakhi is famous for the production of
silk shawl.
g. Agriculture
The main areas of agriculture are: wheat, grape growing, winemaking, large and
small horn cattle breeding. Grain is very important in production of wheat. Other
grain products meet the regional consumption only.
135
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
h. Advanced Sectors
In the region among the emerging sectors silk and tourism sector are the leading
areas.
136
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
f. Industrial areas
The industry of Aran economic region is well developed. The main industrial
areas are the oil, natural gas, iodine, bromine, chemicals, knitting, leather
processing, building materials, light and food industry. Industrial areas are
concentrated in south-west in Shirvan, Salyan, Neftchala cities and Mingachevir,
Yevlakh cities in the north-west.
g. Agriculture
Fruits and vegetables, fishing, meat, milk, large and small horned cattle, cotton,
sugar beet, wheat, potato and grapes are the main agricultural areas of the region.
This region accounted for 90% of the country's cotton production.
137
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
b. Area
The territory of the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic is 5.5 thousand km2, covers
6.3% of the country's territory.
c. Population and density
439,800 people of the region are made 4.5% of the country's population that live
in the region. 198 thousand people are active in the region. For 1 square kilometer
are 80 people.
d. Climate
There are different climate types in Nakhchivan.
e. Natural Resources
The region is rich in natural resources. Regions natural resources are molybdenum,
polymetallic ore, rock salt, dolomite, marble, construction materials, reinforced
concrete, sand, gravel, mineral water. There are more than two hundred mineral
water reserves in the region.
All of molybdenum and dolomite reserves produced in the country, 60% of
mineral water reserves are achieved from Nakhchivan economic region. Only
0.5% of the region is covered by forests.
f. Industrial Areas
Energy, electronic products, cement, sugar, food, aluminum plates, furniture
production, silk, carpets and tissue-knitted are major industrial areas of the
region.
The region's industrial production accounted for approximately 2.6% of the
country. Nakhchivan city is accounted for half of industrial production and 35%
of labor force of the region.
Energy, aluminum factories, furniture, car repair enterprises are leading areas of
the industry. Reinforced concrete, wall cladding, sand and gravel production
enterprises are considered to deliver construction materials of the industry.
Light and food industries have particular importance for the region. Light industry
consist of silk processing, carpet weaving, knitting enterprises whereas, food
industry is represented as canning, tobacco processing, mineral water bottling,
meat processing and fish products producing enterprises.
138
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
g. Agriculture
Tobacco, grapes, fruits, vegetables, wheat, henna, sugar beet, meat, milk and
wool production, beekeeping and fishing are agriculture sectors of the region.
Agriculture products accounts for 3.6% of the country's production.
Favorable climatic conditions contributed to the specialization of different areas
in the agricultural sector. Nakhchivan is the country's second major economic
region in tobacco production.
The agricultural reforms started in Nakhchivan in 1992, and accelerated since
1996.
These reforms provide necessary assistance to farmers to increase agricultural
production. Irrigation problems are major problems which is tried to be eliminated
with reconstruction and repairs. As a result, there is an annual increase in the
production of agricultural products.
Livestock of the region started to increase from 1996.
139
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
population density. The number of active population in the region is 366 thousand
people. The economic region density is 147 people per square kilometer. In
Lenkoran lowland, the population density is 170 people per sq km.
d. Climate
Region differs from other economic regions of the country in terms of natural
conditions. In Lankaran economic region there are 7 climate zones of 11
different climate zones of the world. Basically, it has a humid subtropical climate.
e. Natural Resources
There are very few natural resources in the region. Plaster, river stone and
construction sand can be considered as the main natural resources of the region.
Region is rich in thermal water. The beautiful natural areas, hot and cold mineral
water, favorable climatic conditions and developed transport hub of the region
creates the necessary conditions for the development of health tourism.
Lankaran tourist center in Istisu operates as the treatment center.
26% of the territory is covered with forests.
f. Industrial Areas
Regional economy is based on agricultural complexes. Sector is made up from
the food industry and fishery products production. Forest products industry with
its importance could be a good sample of the light industry of the region.
90% of industrial production accounts for the food industry. In food industry,
fish, tea, fruits and vegetables cans, wine production, tobacco are major
produced goods.
g. Agriculture
Fruit and vegetables, tea, grapes, grain products and potatoes are the main
agricultural areas in the region. Humid subtropical climate, great lands, water
and labor resources stipulates the development of agriculture in the region. The
region's most important production is citrus fruits.
There are fishing in coastal areas. Also, poultry developed in the region.
99% of the tea, 27% vegetables, wheat 15%, potatoes 24%, 13% of the grapes
and 10% of the fruit production of the country are accounts for this region.
h. Developing Sectors
Tea-growing sectors are important for the region, since in tea production in the
USSR it was in the second place after Georgia.
140
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
141
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
e. Natural Resources
Oil, natural gas, combustible shale, sand, gravel and water take place among the
region's natural resources. Forests cover 10-11% of the region area. Region is
rich with the natural recreational resources. The most important health centers
are located in this region. Galaalti mineral water resources, located in Siyazan,
function as the country's major sanatorium center.
f. Industrial Areas
Regionsl industry depends on oil and natural gas. Oil and natural resources of
the region concentrated in Siyazan region (Keshchay, Siayazan – Nardaran,
Amirjan, Zoghlu – Zeyva, Tangi, Saadan, Vayimdagh – Toghchay and etc. ).
Light and food industries developed as a result of wide spread agriculture in the
regions economy. Fruits and vegetables canning, carpet weaving and fish
products have an important place in agriculture industry area.
g. Agriculture
Agriculture has an economic advantage in the region.
Agriculture is concentrated on fruit and vegetable production. Along with these,
grape, potatoes and wheat are produced in Guba-Khachmaz. To increase milk
and meat production big and small horn animals has been developed in the plain
areas of the region. Poultry developed in the Siyazan and Davachi regions.
h. Developing Sectors
Tourism is leading among the most developed sectors of the region.
Yalama-Khudat seashore, Galaalti for kidney disease treatment center, Gusar,
Guba, Khachmaz and Devechi in terms of hunting and fishing are places of
importance to the region's tourism.
In addition to tourism, region’s canning, alcoholic and non-alcoholic drinks,
flour, meat and dairy products, packing, construction materials and carpet
weaving can be considered more favorable areas in terms of investment.
In addition to oil industry of Siyazan region, as in other regions canning,
poultry, soft drinks, flour, meat and dairy products manufacture are also among
the leading areas of investments.
142
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
143
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
b. Area
The area of the region is 6,500 km2 and by this it makes 7.5% of the country's
territory.
c. Natural Resources
Gold, mercury, marble, cobalt, perlite, packing building blocks are among the
region's natural resources.
d. Industrial Areas
The main part of the industry is consists of food and a small proportion of the
light industry.
e. Agriculture
Region’s key areas of economy are agriculture and cattle-breeding. In particular,
it is important to mention that the region suitable for cattle breeding and
beekeeping.
144
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
145
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
supplies and technical information are other main problems. In such environment
the importance government support to the entrepreneurs in the agricultural
sector is inevitable.
Tourism regions abondended and ruined as a result of indifference and lack of
attention. City of Naftalan, which attracted tourists not only from the country but
also from other Soviet countries were left alone and lost all its attraction and
almost all facilities due to lack of maintenance and support from the side of
government. However it is possible to attract investors regions for revive
agriculture and tourism and to improve the socio-economic conditions. USA,
Germany, France, Japan and other developed countries had gained social rebirth
in their countries as result of a comprehensive approach to the economic
development and increasing attention to the development of their regions.
80% of the capital invested into the country flows to the capital. Industrial sector
in other regions of the country is negligibly weak, existing businesses do not
work at full capacity. The main part of the industrial potential of the country is
located in Baku and the surrounding area increased flow of people from the
regions. For this, population of other cities after independence moves to the
capital city. Those who could not find jobs that come from the regions to Baku
as a result of the increased population density in the capital has led to the
emergence of many problems. Both in Baku and in other regions of the country,
people left the country because of chronic unemployment.
Influx caused by the people of the regions who are trying to find work in different
cities of the Russian created very serious problems.
According to the State Statistics Committee 67 city are dependent on the income
from the capital. In country-wide, dependence on the central regions closes to
60%. While the ratio contanes 46.4% compared to the development of the
industry in the city of Sumgait, in Ganja 51.8%, in Mingachevir 66.8%, the
industry is very weak or at non-existent level dependence on the capital of
Gabala is 90.7%, Dashkesen 90.2%, Yardimli 93.5% and Khachmaz 80.6%. The
dependency ratio will be reduced only as a result of the complex steps for the
regional growth.
146
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
147
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The state program approved by the head of state can be considered as the care
of the state to regions and the most important step taken for the solution of
regional problems. For this reason, the state program is one of the most
important steps taken in order to revive and develop the non-oil sector, particularly
agricultural sector with the efficient use of the economic potential of the
Azerbaijan regions and natural resources, by increasing the level of employment,
people income and standard of living in the country.
To effectively use natural and human potential every country should have modern
infrastructure which could be used for this purpose. In this respect, the program
had great importance.
Determination of activities carried inside of the program increased the efficiency
of the program.
Main activities to accelerate regions economy and policies were defined in the
state program of the regional development. The program consists of three parts.
In the first half, the information is provided on general structure of economy of
the regions of Azerbaijan, in the second part, main targets for socio-economic
development for 2004-2008 are listed, and in the third part, activities and time
frame of these activities are elaborated in details.
Dedication of the problems to a certain organizations that will be responsible for
the solution of the regions problem is one of the characteristics that
differentiated this program from the previous ones.
In the frame of the State Program financing sources of activities to be implemented
defined as: state budget, National Entrepreneurship Support Fund, other funds,
commercial banks and non-bank credit organizations loans, financial resources
of international organizations and foreign states, foreign investment, other sources
not prohibited by law. Program also utilized the resources of the State Oil Fund.
For the implementation of the program, local financial sources determined in the
amount of 5-6 million manat.
148
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
149
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
150
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
is planned to increase the flow of tourists to the Khizi region. The construction of
tourist facilities is supposed in"Gulistan" area of Goranboy administrative region
in Ganja-Gazakh economic region.
Guba, Devechi, Khachmaz regions on Guba-Khachmaz economic regions are
popular as recreation centers. Nabran settlement has become an international
tourist center. In order to develop this process the modernization is planned in
Nabran in terms of tourism center, Olympic sports lyceum, sports and health
infrastructure.
Implementation of road and railway projects between Azerbaijan and Iran will
significantly contribute the development of the tourism sector in Lankaran
economic region. The region with the new complexes will be established and
modernized will create a wide range of opportunities in terms of tourism
infrastructure.
The development of tourism sector in Shirvan economic region, especially
infrastructure activities will be carried out in Ismayilli city and Shamakhi region.
In Nakhchivan economic region, the development of the tourism sector is
available in terms of historical sites and Batabat and Ganligol areas in Shahbuz
region.
151
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
One of the most important steps is the attracting of the foreign organizations to
the regions. Economic forums were held in eight cities of Azerbaijan. The forums
included several projects.
Increased purchasing power of people in the regions is a positive indicator.
Education and health care facilities in many regions have been renovated and
built. The implementation of activities supported by private enterprise.
Between October 1, 2003-January 1, 2005 more than 177 thousand new jobs
were created in Azerbaijan. 53.1% of the new jobs are permanent jobs. Just in
2004, 167 thousand jobs were created. 83.7 thousand of them were permanent.
87% of them are in private sector and 13% are in the public sector. Distribution
of new jobs in the sector are as follows; construction 13.6%, wholesale, retail
sales and auto services 10.8%, processing industry 14.2%, agriculture 8.1%,
real estate 3.9%, state management and compulsory social insurance is 3.2%.
In 2004, 84% of new jobs were created in the regions and 12 % in Baku. The
advantage of detection of non-oil sector refers to the private sector. This
information created investment opportunities in the region was an indication for
the private sector.
The distribution of newly created jobs in terms of economic regions is as follows;
Aran region 61000, Absheron Region 11360, Ganja-Gazakh Region 17350,
Guba-Khachmaz Region 11300, Shaki-Zagatala Region 10600, Lankaran Region
10000, Nakhchivan region 7300, Upper Karabakh region 3700, Shirvan region
900.
The newly created jobs, which were established in large companies is distributed
as follows in terms of the economic regions; 59.3% in Baku, 6.5% in Absheron,
6.3 in Ganja-Gazakh, 5.4 in Nakhchivan and 4.1% in Lankaran.
In this framework, “Oka” brand automobile manufacturing started in Ganja.
Furthermore “Azbentonit” factory opened in Absheron, while Nakhcivan
International airport was established in Nakhchivan. Additioanlly, the establish-
ment of beer and tomato plants in Lankaran, macaroni factory in Khachmaz,
mills in Shaki, Sadarak, and Ordubad, swimming pools in Baku, Sumgait, Ganja,
Tovuz, Gabala, Dashkesen, Khachmaz, Baku, Absheron, Gobustan, Guba and
power generation facilities in Imishli and Julfa regions were realized in 2004.
Only in 2004, nearly 4.000 jobs have been created in Guba-Khachmaz economic
region. In addition, nearly 2,000 are direct jobs, more than 100 jobs have been
rebuilt, and the rest is a temporary job. Including economic region Khachmaz,
152
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
agricultural sector is more developed. More than 100 people are employed here
with the start of the service the flour and feed mills, horned animal farms,
greenhouse and some commercial enterprises. In previous years reconstruction
of "Khachmaz-Carpet" OJSC and provison of different services in the public Air
conditioner factory in Khachmaz has played an important role in the exploitation
of labor.
In Gusar significant improvements were attained in line with the execution of the
program. The production of carpets is the most important industry in the city.
The new school buildings, recreational and commercial facilities have been built.
More than 100 jobs have been created as a result of the taken measures.
Besides, in Guba carpets venture and Food Products Factory which produces
marmalat and jam were renovated.
On the other hand, small and medium-sized enterprises for the development of
mountain regions surrounding Guba, Gadabay, Gabala, Lerik and Shakhbuz
"Development Program on Mountain and Highland Areas" $ 350 million Dollars
were allocated within a few years to entrepreneurs. As a result of the measures
mentioned more than two thousand new jobs have been created in the regions.
In addition to these 2 million 650 thousand dollars will be allocated regions in the
future.
In Lerik a non-governmental organization "IFAD" (About the International Fund for
Agricultural Revival) began operations in 2004 under the program on
"Development of Mountain and Highland Areas" and increased activities
development in agricultural sector, poverty reduction and infrastructure
improvement. 30 groups were created in region in terms of agricultural
production, sale and trafficking. In 2004 IFAD spent 300 million Manats for the
improvement of infrastructure in the area, the construction and renovation of
social facilities.
In Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, socio-economic point of view important
progress has been achieved in 2008. It is progress in social and economic
infrastructure and economic indicators. Decree on Nakhchivan Autonomous
Republic on 15th March 2000 on "Sadarak Region Socio-Economic Development"
has become effective. As a result of this program, the border region in Sederek
has been achieved to the development on education, health and cultural fields,
the strengthening of stability in the economy. In region center and villages,
renovation in different areas and reconstruction activities, the building of road
and bridges were realized.
153
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Sadarak, the only gateway between Turkey and Azerbaijan was able to offer 24-
hour service trying to build new construction and technical infrastructure. In
2004-2008 important actions were realized in Sadarak which covers the "Socio-
Economic Development of Regions of Azerbaijan Republic on the State Program"
in Nakhchivan. With the establishment of new enterprises in the region increased
the volume of employment.
In order to revive the activities of the National Endowment for Private Enterprise
increased fund resources in 2009. Provision of resources for entrepreneurs
selected banks and increased their numbers. In order to improve water and
sanitation services organizational steps have been taken.
In 2004 different legal arrangements carried out. In the country the provisions of
the law on the establishment of economic regions, the expansion of investment,
and other economic relations of monopoly regulation have been prepared to
promote regional development. The transformation activities to joint-stock
company of medium and large businesses has continued. Accelerated
privatization of the enterprises of small and rental. According to the investment
made by the state activities are carried out on reconstruction of production
facilities. The improvement of regional infrastructure and public services, in order
to divert the construction of social facilities in connection with the financial
resources necessary for the period 2005-2006. Activities started in accordance
with the withdrawal of optimal tax rates.
In short, covering five years time started since the adoption of the package on
"Socio-Economic Development of Regions of Azerbaijan State Program (2004-
2008)", there was a great revival in all regions of the country.
154
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
people. Besides, through the program the rapid growth of private enterprise will
be possible in the regions. The expansion of local production and the
manufacturing facilities, reconstruction of economic, social and cultural
infrastructure facilities and development was realized.
In accordance with the State Program, the establishment of workshops is
considered for people of the rural regions of the country, with Export Promotion
Fund and also public investment enthusiasm. However, 62.5% of such measures
will allow an increase in agricultural production.
On the other hand, 600 thousand new jobs will be possible to improve the
business and investment sector. There is a need for $ 10 thousand Dollars in
order to establish a place of business. If necessary for job modern technology
and infrastructure, then such a case, millions of dollars are needed. In this regard
Azerbaijan needs the creation of jobs on competition, which has the power to
make goods exported from work on paper. However, in Azerbaijan lags behind
the pace of GDP growth increasing speed of the production sectors, industry and
agricultural production. Foreign trade increase rate is low. It is also important to
establish balance in the Azerbaijan economic structure.
The elimination of bureaucratic obstacles, control over and improving relations
with law enforcement authorities in regions will emerge favorable business and
investment climate for private business in terms of legal, economic as well as
technical aspects.
Regional development can be realized via investment to the regions, the opening
of new work places and the start of production again available in the workplace
of private ownership. For this reason, to achieve regional development more
depends on continuation will be given the opportunity and incentives to increase
private enterprise.
Continuations of the policy of regional development via achieving a healthy
foundation to monitor the effects of these policies are essential. Therefore, after
the first regional development evaluation, basic economic indicator will be
carried out especially with per capita GDP of the country's various regional
developments. With a different evaluation criteria encourage and support system
will become richer. The regional geography, structural and regional issues listed
for the importance of regional support system and incentives should be
established.
Regional development policy may have its own structural problems in each
region. In development, the region should rank even given the importance of the
155
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
city level. Thus, the differences in growth and development in the regions outside
of Baku in Azerbaijan is taking into consideration the situation of the beginning of
the incentives. This will be implemented in phases. Cities in terms of GDP per
capita, the national average of determination, incentives can be increased in
stages.
156
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
157
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Achieving the goals set in the State Program, as well as for the implementation
of these tasks is important to maintain macroeconomic stability. Successful
implementation of the oil strategy of Azerbaijan's integration into the international
economic system, as a result of efficient use of oil and gas revenues, which led
to the maintenance of macroeconomic stability, and created favorable conditions
for the implementation of the measures in this sphere.
Given the macroeconomic stability of the economy as a whole in the coming
years, including in the regions, which is one of the preconditions for the
development of separate areas, the average annual inflation rate and the exchange
rate of the national currency, maintaining a reasonable level of tax rates to
determine the optimal level, the extension of the concessions applied to
agricultural producers, new promoting job creation, maintaining the optimal level
of customs rates, external debt management policy will be effective. Increasing
foreign currency earnings, reducing the risk of inflation, strengthen the
coordination of monetary and fiscal policy, government spending and other
measures to control expense growth, the macroeconomic situation, as well as
the prevention of adverse effects on the development of non-oil sector, the main
issues are considered to be the economic policy in the coming years.
In order to speed up the integration of the national economy to the world
economic system accelerated the process of adapting legislation, standards to
international requirements, including World Trade Organization (WTO) for the
expansion of cooperation with Azerbaijan authoritative international organizations,
economic communities in the future. Foreign economic policy will be directed for
the creation of favorable conditions export of manufactured products, at the
same time, protection from unfair competition of the internal market. One of the
main objectives of fiscal policy is to achieve sustainable development of non-oil
sector, the maintenance of a stable macro-economic situation of the country,
effective regulation of the economy and stimulate its dynamic growth. In this
regard in the future it is necessary to achieve expansion of production in the
country, the creation of competitive economy, infrastructure, a favorable
investment climate and increasing the share of the country's internal resources
attracted investment to the economy. At the same time, state support for
agriculture and increase direct subsidies to this sector, attracting investments for
the establishment processing enterprises, to ensure non-oil, non-raw material
sectors of the economy, the development of tourism are considered as priority
directions for 2009-2013.
158
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
159
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
160
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
161
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
• to stimulate exports in the private sector and increase the range of export
goods;
• strengthening the position of national producers in foreign markets, the
implementation of relevant measures on strengthening the protection of
interests;
• to improve the level of trade, catering and domestic sectors service and
implementation of measures to protect the domestic market under the
principles of the WTO;
• involvement of entrepreneurs and consumers on strengthening the fight
against unfair competition and implementation of measures on development
of competition;
• strengthening control over the quality and safety of consumer goods.
One of the main objectives in the industry will consist of restoration of existing
industrial enterprises in the regions and reconstruction, the creation of new
businesses. Here will be paid special attention on restoration of agricultural
products processing enterprises and increasing export potential. Industrial sector
is envisaged to implement following measures to achieve the goal:
• Identification of areas of non-oil sector for development of industry;
• Support for competitive industrial production and promote creation of export-
oriented production;
• rehabilitation and privatization of controlling stock of state-owned or state-
owned industrial enterprises;
• support the activities of the enterprises after privatization;
• the reconstruction of production;
• prepare skilled personal.
During the past period the successful completion of an institutional point of view,
land and agrarian reforms and the creation of new opportunities for agricultural
producers, based on free market relations in coming years and are capable of
self-development of the entire economic system - characterized by the process
of forming an independent national economy will take place. Various economic
forms of agricultural production, including the development of a form of
collective economic cooperation in the region and expansion of the labor force
led to the formation of the public will be more productive. In coming years,
which is the traditional areas of agriculture, grain, grape, fruit, cotton, tobacco,
tea, silk and other areas will continue to be a priority. Continuing reforms in the
162
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
163
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
164
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
165
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
To achieve the set of goals in this area will be taken on the following areas:
• creation of advanced information and communication infrastructure, the
formation of a unified national information space;
• creation of electronic government for the efficient, transparent and controllable
state administration and realization of local self-government;
• efficient use of world information resources in education, the acceleration of
the use of interactive educational opportunities;
• the provision of universal communication services(telecommunications, IT
and mail) in the regions;
• expanding access to internet in all areas.
In the country should be done a number of important measures for prevention of
factors that have a negative impact on the environment and to improve the
environmental situation, as well as, in the coastal strip of the Caspian Sea, in
Absheron peninsula and in other regions of the country waste water must be
cleaned, should be remediation of contaminated soils, the settlement, forests
and vegetation in wide range fields, to carry out improvement works and other
necessary measures should be implemented to restore the natural quality of
water basins, air, land. The rapid development of the national economy,
environmental protection and rational use of natural resources in solving problems
in the coming years will require the implementation of following measures:
• To improve the hydrological monitoring system on Kura, Araz and other
rivers;
• Expanding the greening of cities and towns, streets and avenues;
• to continue reforestation and afforestation measures in the regions;
• Identify recreational forests and service infrastructure for the development of
eco-tourism;
• The continuation of the measures to prevent pollution of water resources,
waste water, including cross-border pollution ;
• implementation of measures on the prevention of air pollution from industries
and vehicles;
• measures against soil erosion and salinization;
• strengthening of environmental awareness raising activities, the allocation of
a wider range to environmental education in educational institutions.
As in previous years, the main aim of social policy in the next five years in the
country will provide further improvement of the living conditions of population, as
166
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
well as, the citizens living in the regions. One of the priority directions in the field
of social protection of population will consist of the increase social benefits for
the low-income population groups, improve the social status, living conditions of
persons in need of social protection and reduction of poverty in the country. In
order to ensure social protection and decent living standards of citizens intended
continuation of the measures for improving pension provision and to increase its
effectiveness.
In social security one of the most important areas of public policy will consist of
ensuring targeting of social benefits, paying special attention to the disabled, war
veterans, young families, vulnerable sections of the population. Strengthening
social protection of the population will be implemented following measures:
• to continue appropriate measures for providing social assistance to low-
income families;
• improve mortgage loans in order to better meet needs housing of population,
especially young families;
• To improve the living conditions of the Karabakh war veterans and martyrs'
families;
• strengthening of social protection and safety of mothers and children;
• creation of child and family centers, including, special leisure facilities and
specialized services institutions for children;
• the improvement of population health (improving the quality of food products,
infectious and sexually transmitted disease prevention, etc.);
• the improvement of reproductive health and the development of family
planning services.
In coming years, the work will be done in the field of education will target its
structure and content updating. For all population groups in the country the
provision of education services, which can provide up to modern standards,
creating the conditions of material-technical and methodical and in this basis
achieving the highest socio-economic efficiency of the education system takes
essential place in the state's social policy. At the same time, in terms of the
formation of competitive economic system in region and sustainable development
will be a priority need payment to meeting modern requirements workers, creation of
necessary conditions to enroll in a higher education based on universal values of
young people, to ensure expansion and efficiency of the process discipline access
to education in the leading countries of the world. To achieve these objectives,
the following measures will be implemented in the coming years:
167
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
168
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
segments of the population. To achieve the goals of the main directions of the
state policy in the field of health are as follows:
• As part of the state's financial resources to expand and improve the quality of
health care services for free;
• Development and implementation of measures to provide medical assistance
to underprivileged layer of population;
• Malnutrition among mothers and children, and the improvement provision of
micro-nutrients;
• Improve the scope and quality of medical preventive measures;
• Preparation of medical staff in the planning and preparation of family doctors
in accordance with the requirements of the health sector;
• Creation and operation of the medical industry enterprises supported by the
state in order to improve the provision of medicines and equipment to health
care facilities;
• Construction of new health care facilities in the regions;
• Creation of the geographical information system in the field of health all over
the country.
In order to ensure a healthy lifestyle of the population in Azerbaijan Republic, the
work will continue to engage in physical education and sport of every citizen. In
order to ensure comprehensive development of the population,especially,
growing younger generation will consist of the implementation of the measures
improving the health of the population in physical education and sport, to nurture
high moral values, the country's defense preparedness. To this end, in the
coming years will focus on the following works:
• Continuing the development of the material-technical base of physical culture
and sport, strengthening and compliance with international standards in cities
and regions of the country;
• Building on scientific grounds the development of physical culture and sport;
• To ensure medical control and services those engaged in physical education
and sports.
The strategic objectives of the state policy in the field of culture occurs protecting
and development of cultural potential of the country, riches and traditions and
improvement of the education system. To this end, following measures will be
implemented:
169
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
170
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
50
http://senaye.gov.az/az/normative_programs/region_development
171
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
172
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
173
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The aim, objectives and priorities of regional development of the State Program,
the main objective of the " State Program on socio-economic development
regions of Azerbaijan Republic for 2014-2018" is the non-oil sector development,
economic diversification, continuation of the measures on the rapid development
of the regions, will consist of especially, on the development of rural infrastructure
and further improvement of social services. To achieve the set goals of state
Program it is planned to carry out important tasks as a continuation of the
measures such as infrastructure provision in the regions, as well as, further
improvement of the provision of public utilities, accelerate business development
in the production of export-oriented and competitive products, increasing
employment of the population, especially, rural population and to reduce poverty.
Achievement of the objectives as well as for the implementation of the above-
mentioned tasks it is important to preserve macroeconomic stability set in the
State Program. Taking into account the macro-economic stability the modernization
of the state's budget policy priority sectors of the economy and the creation of
conditions in order to ensure its effectiveness, long-term sustainability further
improvement of the investment climate will be a priority. As the main source of
economic growth, employment, budget and foreign exchange revenues will
continue to serve as a strategic factor achieving balanced and sustainable
economic growth in the non-oil sector and formation of high-income economy.
In this direction, such as the main terms of the whole economy, including the
development of the individual sectors in the regions for 2014-2018:
• Maintaining an acceptable level of the average annual inflation rate and the
exchange rate of the national currency;
• Determination of the extent of tax and customs tariffs;
• To continue measures to the stimulation of agricultural producers;
• Increasing grain production and strengthening of competitiveness;
• Stimulation of the activity of export-oriented manufacturers;
• The stimulation of creation of new jobs;
• Increasing of non-oil budget revenues special weight in Gross Domestic
Product;
• Will be continued development of the agricultural sector in order to ensure
food safety.
The investment climate in the state, affecting the development of employment
policies, employment creation, tax, customs, education and other relevant fields
of politics, further improvement of the new jobs will be to implement measures
174
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
175
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
176
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
177
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
178
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
179
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
• Support for the creation of new hotels of different categories, and other
placement means, tourist service facilities in regions.
Work to be done in the sphere of fuel and energy complex of of the country in
the coming years will consist of to provide more comprehensive satisfaction of
the economy and the population's energy needs, the development of the energy
industry, including to increase its effectiveness. The main directions of the state
policy in this area in 2014-2018 will include as follows:
• continuation of the country's energy system and the creation of new powers,
construction and reconstruction of new power plants and transmission
systems;
• expand the use of alternative and renewable energy sources;
• construction new thermal and hydroelectric power station in the region,
continuation of the modernization of the existing power units;
• To continue to improve the region's gas supply;
• The continuation of modern heating systems, rehabilitation of existing heating
systems, modernization and reconstruction in regions.
The development of human capital and effectively continuation of the work done
in the field of social protection system and expansion was identified as a key
priority, for this purpose the country's population, in particular, to improve the
housing conditions of socially vulnerable sections of the population and the
development of this sector are set out as one of the key issues. In order to
housing and community economic development, exploitation of housing stock
and increasing the level of maintenance are the main priorities of housing policy
for 2014-2018:
• Continuation of the housing and communal sector reform in regions,
supporting the development of the real estate market;
• The continuation of the measures in order to provide living space for low-
income citizens regions in need of housing, including young families;
• In regions the continuation of the measures for water supply and reconstruction
of sewer system and to improve;
• In regions continue measures on landscaping and planting of greenery;
• In the regions will take appropriate measures on waste management area.
Make effective use of the country's strategic geographical position the develop-
ment of transit and transport services, domestic and international transportation
management mechanism, improving the quality of public transport services will
180
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
be the main tasks For 2014-2018 years. In this connection, the following
measures will be implemented:
• In regions the development a sustainable transport system, improving the
competitive environment the transport sector, including transport services
market;
• The development of road transport infrastructure of interregional, city and
intraregional of the country;
• In regions the continuation of the measures on the overhaul on construction
and reconstruction of highways, in particular, construction of rural roads.
For 2014-2018 years one of the main goals are to achieve ecological balance.
The necessary measures will be continued in the coming years on biodiversity
protection, neutralize the negative environmental impact of the fuel and energy
complex, the elimination of pollution of the sea and its waters and protection,
restore green areas and the effective protection of the resources available. The
main objective of environmental policy will be to ensure sustainable development
for the sake of present and future generations, with protection of ecological
systems and the efficient use of natural resources. The main events will be
carried out in this area consist of the following:
• In regions implementation of appropriate measures by activity based on the
principle "green economy" of industrial enterprises;
• The discovery of new deposits of raw materials for the supply of raw material
base for economic development:
• In regions to continue reforestation and afforestation, increasing green areas;
• In regions the development of specially protected natural territories and to
ensure the sustainability of biodiversity;
• In regions management the resulting solid and industrial waste;
• Expanding the use of alternative and renewable energy sources. The main
priorities of the state policy in the field of social protection of population for
2014-2018:
• By the development of effective social protection system the continuation of
the work on area of reducing the risk of social on the elderly population, low-
income families and in particular, socially vulnerable groups in the regions;
• In regions strengthening of the material-technical base of state-owned
enterprises providing social services, expanding their types and the network;
• The continuation of the work to improve the housing conditions of Karabakh
veterans and families of martyrs;
181
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
182
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
183
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
184
CHAPTER FIVE
CASPIAN ENERGY RESOURCES AND
ECONOMIC IMPORTANCE
Oil is the most precious wealth of Azerbaijan. Since the start of production over
the last 150 years, oil playing an important role in economy currently, is considered
to be the country's main source of income and the main source of export goods.
Medium and long term prospects for the country's development directly dependent
on the oil sector strengthening. Proceeds from the sale of oil plays a key role in
addressing some of the social and economic problems.
In terms of the contracts signed by the discovery and development of Azerbaijan
energy resources, a historic opportunity both politically and in terms of economic
independence, has had an excellent opportunity. The signed oil contracts speed
up the entry of foreign capital into the country, in parallel, increased foreign aid
and loans from international financial organizations.
185
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Chirag-Guneshli oil reserves are 730 million tons. The information provided
above is based on 0.7% of the world's oil reserves, we can say that it has.
According to Mondros Armistice Agreement, the Turkish troops had to retreat
from Baku and the Allied troops had to enter the city.The Allies troop under the
command of General Thompson entered Baku on November 17th of 1918 and
founded an organization called “British Petroleum Management” and exported
114 million rubles worth of oil from Azerbaijan through Batumi.
After the war, the economic and strategical importance of oil became more vivid.
Countries started to feel the need for huge amount of oil in order to increase their
national power and realize economic development.
In the spring of 1919 after the Allied troops left Baku, Azerbaijani authorities tried
to rebuild the gravely damaged oil industry.
Owing to the balance of the political situation in Azerbaijan in 1919 and the return
of the oil industry to its former owners, certain increase happened in the oil
production. Over the next 2 years, the oil industry showed a further decrease due
to the nationalization of the oil industry. Thus the oil production in 1921 was 70
% of what was produced in 1919.
On the other side, the Genoa and Hague conferences took place in 1922. Although
the announced reasons of the conferences were political,in fact the real target
was only petrol and most importantly Baku’s oil. The aim of those conferences
were not about recognising the independence of Azerbaijan, but rather dividing
its oil resources among the countries hiding big oil terrorists behind.The only
thing spoken in the conferences was oil. As a result of the Genoa and Hague
conferences Azerbaijan’s fate was determined; Azerbaijanians lost their young
independence for the sake of oil and one Turkic country was cleaned out for
petrol.
The fundamental reason for the dramatic decline in oil drilling in Azerbaijan can
be explained by the political changes in Russia and Azerbaijan.
During the period of the Sovet Union, Azerbaijan was deprived of the benefit of
its own oil and met a significant portion of oil needs of the Union. In comparison
with the unbalanced growth of investments made in the oil industry to boost oil
production and export, capitals in other industrial sectors dwindled.
The years between 1920-45 during the reign of the Sovet Union are considered
as the second phase of oil. Over this period, while the oil and gas industry
improving significantly, the material and technical infrastructures advanced
186
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
187
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Baku oil fields were the focal point of England, France and the USA. The mentioned
states had plans of bombing Baku to prevent Germany’s access to Baku’s oil
fields and weaken the Sovet Union.However after Hitler’s invasion of Holland,
France and Belgium on June 22, 1940, Baku oil fields stopped being the main
target.Though Hitler struggled hard to take over Baku’s oil, he failed to achieve
his aim. The Sovet Union won the Second World War by defeating Germany
thanks to Azerbaijan’s oil.
Azerbaijan oil played a significant role in the development of the Sovet Union and
during the Second World War 20 million tons of oil was sent to the front.That is
why, Azerbaijan oil had a huge impact in winning the War. Over the Second
World War oil production in Azerbaijan was realized like this: 25.4 in 1941, 15.8
in 1942, 12.6 in 1943, 11.8 in 1944 and 10.4 million tons in 1945. The steadily
rising oil production since 1923 reached the record level in 1941.
During this period, the oil drilled in Baku and the surrounding area accounted for
75% of the oil produced in the Sovet Union. Given the fact that during the War
remarkable part of the USSR’s oil needs were met by Azerbaijan, the geo-strategic
importance of Azerbaijan becomes much clearer.
The period of the Second World War caused a grave harm to the development
process of Azerbaijan’s oil. Because oil wells were damaged in the transportation
of oil.
On November 7, 1949 the first oil production from the discovery well in Caspian
Sea “Oil Rocks” started.
Furthermore, Baku oil and industry had an important contribution in discovering
and producing oil fields in Tatarstan, Bashkiria and Kazakhstan. That is why new
oil fields discovered in the Sovet Union were named “Second Baku”, “Third Baku”,
“Fourth Baku”. The start of oil production , in particular, in Siberian fields as well
as along the Volga, Tatarstan, Bashkiria, Western Siberia, Kazakhstan led to a
significant reduction in Baku oil production after 1950s.
Azerbaijan’s part in Sovet oil production decreased from 39.1% in 1950 to
12.9% in 1960 and to 6% in 1970, 3% in 1975, 2.40% in 1980, 1.7% in 1990.
The reduction during that time can be explained by following factors.
First of all, the continued production in the offshore fields caused the reserves to
dwindle, even newly discovered fields could not prevent this process At the
same time, oil production in defined areas were expensive.
Secondly, as mentioned above, very large oil fields were discovered in western
Siberia, western Kazakhstan and other places.
188
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
In 1985, the share of offshore oil made up 66% of total production in Azerbaijan.
In 1970s and at the beginning of 1980s, "Kaspmorneftegaz” organisation’s
technical capabilities were insufficient for the exploration of oil and natural gas
deposits at more than 60 metres depth in Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea.
With the help of Gipromorneftegaz, “Gunesli” with large reserves was discovered
and it brought about further research in other fields.
Like the other republics of the Sovet Union, Azerbaijan was controlled and directed
with the central planning, thus depending on the central government it was unable
to utilize its own aboveground and belowground resources to meet its needs.
The amount of the money paid to Azerbaijan for the oil was 3-4 times lower than
the price of mineral water. At first, 35 rubles, then 65 rubles and in 1991, 120
rubles were paid, the cost of one ton oil was 131 rubles.In addition, during the last
years of the Sovet era, 85% of the investments made by the central government
was allocated to the oil in western Siberia,the Urals and the Volga.
Towards the end of 19th century, a great competition began among the regional
powers, world powers and oil companies. Russia was afraid of losing its
influence in the oil market and it boycotted a contract signed in 1895 among
American Standart Oil, the Rotshilds and the Nobels. The competition in the
region,the ethnic conflicts were inflamed increasingly by bureaucracy and
relatively less developed legal and commercial performances.
In 19th century, the improvement of the technology made it possible to use oil
reserves in higher level and thisincreasedcontrol in the region as well. The
competition was mainly centralised around the Caucasus and Caspian Sea. The
crude oil extracted from the region played an essential role in both world wars in
20th century.The protection of the oil fields of the Caucasus became the main
job of the allies51.
On the eve of the Second World War, the oil in Caucasus was the primary target
of Hitler’s scouts. After Germany-Russia Pact in 1939, the Sovet oil drilled in the
Caucasus comprised one third of Germany’s oil import. In 1942, Germany
organised regular attacks to seize power in natural resources of the region.
It is clearthat Azerbaijan was unable to use its own natural resources much and
met the large proportion of needs of the region.To increase oil production and
exports, the investments made in the oil industry went up, while the capitals put
in other industrial sectors declined steadily.
51
Aras, Osman Nuri. Azerbaycan'ın hazar ekonomisi ve stratejisi.Istanbul. Der, 2007.
189
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
After the collapse of the USSR, almost all the world’s attention turned to the
Turkic countries that gained independence. Although these countries possessed
rich oil and natural gas reserves, they did not have the financial and technical
capacity to use the oil and natural gas reserves alone.
Azerbaijan’s oil production and development in the Caspian Sea were gathered in
4 fields including Gunesli, Chiraq, Azeri and Kepez. However, due to the usage of
the simple technology, decreases occured not only in the production, but also in
the potential reserves that could be produced. If the oil production was 14.7
million tons in 1980, this number declined gradually and dropped to 12.5 million
tons in 1990, 9.2 million tons in 1995, 9.1 million in 1996. This reduction in oil
production stemmed from the decrease of productivity as a result of the use of
old technology and faults in the renovation of oil drilling equipment.In order to
utilise rich oil reserves of Azerbaijan, in September,1992 the State Oil Company
of Azerbaijan Republic was established by combining Azerineft and Azneftkimya.
Increase oil production and improvement of available resources might only be
possible by making use of modern technology and conducting new projects.
Azerbaijan’s economic strength and technology were insufficient for the use and
development of available resources.Those problems made Azerbaijan’s alliance
with big companies indispensable.
The oil is extracted both onshore and offshore in the country.The onshore oil is
exported in Absheron Peninsula. Azerbaijan’s oil agreements have mainly focused
on offshore reserves. By the agreements signed with big oil companies, Azerbaijan
has targeted to use its oil resources for the country’s economy. Towards this
goal,including onshore fields since September 20,1994, 23 international oil
agreements have been signed in Azerbaijan with the participation of 33 companies
from 19 different countries. Production Sharing Contracts covers a period of 25-
30 years.The total volume of the investments is more than 60 billion dollars.
In total, 400 companies including 72 local ones take part in the implementation
of oil projects.The activities of the companies range from construction to
environmental services.The alliance between local and foreign companies allows
the utilisation of modern technologies, materials and management techniques
which plays an important role in the transition from central management type to
market economy.
There are 75 thousand people working in the oil sector in Azerbaijan. People who
work in the oil sector get higher salaries than the ones working in other sectors.
In general, the economic benefits of partnership with foreign oil companies are
as follows:
190
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
- It has given Azerbaijan the opportunity to renovate the assests of oil production
by modern research, oil extraction, use and entry of the transport technologies
to the country as well as to set up businesses to help the development of the
oil and gas industry.
- As a result of the contracts signed, growing oil production has led to a
significant increase in the budget revenues.
- Azerbaijan has afforded global work force and access to the international raw
materials market, as well as get the possibility to take advantage of its
privilege in raw materials field as a source of income for the improvement of
the country’s economy.
- As the rising oil and natural gas production promotes the employment,
Azerbaijan will implement new infrastructure projects. The oil and natural gas
contracts have been signed in a way to guarantee the employmentfor local
labor force.It has helped reduce unemployment by opening new workplaces.
- With the signed contracts, in particular with “Contract of the Century”
Azerbaijan has proven to the world that it is possible for the investors to
operate and make partnership equally.
In addition to the above mentioned, concerns are frequently voiced about the oil
contracts which include some conditions against the national interests of
Azerbaijan. It is not only oil production mentioned in the contracts, but also
providing large volume orders for the goods and services of local manufacturers,
opening many new workplaces are reflected, thus necessary supplies and
services for the existing contracts are mainly brought from abroad, in terms of
orders, the volume of goods and services of local manufacturers remain far
behind in comparison with foreign orders.
Among the contracts about the production of energy resources, “The Contract of
the Century: Azeri-Chirag-Gunesli fields agreement”which is an important one in
terms of the country’s oil reserves and “Shah Deniz” which plays an essential
role in terms of natural gas reserves, will be discussed below. Other contracts
will also be mentioned comprehensively later on.
191
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The contract that covers ACG fields is the most significant historical event that
roots from Azerbijan’s independence and the efforts to change its position.The
negotiations made in very difficult situation began between Azerbaijan and
western companies during the Sovet Union.
The period of liberalisation that weakened the Sovet economy attracted western
companies because of the discovery of rich mineral resources in Azeri-Chirag-
Gunesli offshore area and well-developed oil industry of Azerbaijan.
Azerbaijani government decided to accept western capital to the country for the
implementation of the projects due to the faults in necessary equipment to
explore, develop and consume reserves. In January, 1991 the country’s projects
were opened to tender. BP, Statoil, Amoco, Unocal and other companies
participated in this tender.
In 1991, several foreign companies including Amoco,BP,McDermott, Pennzoil,
Ramco, Unocal, Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPIC) and Statoil started the work
with Azerbaijan that would last 3 years in the direction of improving research in
Chirag and Guneshli fields located in the Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea.
In 1992, the companies wishing to operate in Caspian Sea oil fields built a
consortium and signed contracts. On condition that SOCAR would buy 30% of
the project , Azerbaijan International Oil Consortium-AIOC led by Abulfaz Elchibey
signed an agreement for the development of oil sector.
According to the agreement, the discussions had to continue in London in June,
1993. However, owing to the change of power in Azerbaijan discussions did not
yield result. Abulfaz Elchibey was removed from power by Suret Huseynov
without concluding the discussions.At the same year, the new president of
Azerbaijan, Heydar Aliyev cancelled this contract. Meanwhile, the immediate
overthrow of Elchibey brought the companies around the table for discussions
with Heydar Aliyev. On February 4, the discussions resumed. In April,1994 SOCAR
officially declared it to consortium partners that Russian company Lukoil would
buy 10% share. The firms in the consortium took into account the effects that
could be made by Russia in the future. Because of the control in the Volga river,
Russia might pose obstacles to the pass of heavy cargo ships from the internal
waters of the Caspian Sea in the future. As a result of these discussions continued
in Baku, Istanbul and Houston, Russia was also incorporated into the consortium
and the contract was reviewed again, SOCAR’s 10% share was given to Russia.
On September 20, 1994 after the discussions that lasted about 3 years, the
Contract of the Century namely “The joint use and sharing of oil in Azeri, Chirag,
192
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Guneshli located in the Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea” was signed
between SOCAR and the consortium in Gulustan Palace giving the right to explore
and extract the oil in those regions to AIOC.
As a result,despite many impacts the contract was signed and a vital step was
taken in favor of Azerbaijan.
Under the terms of the contract, Azerbaijan protects the right of ownership in the
three oil fields.
The contract came into force on December 12, 1994 after being discussed by
Milli Majlis of Azerbaijan on December 2, 1994.
This project which is also known as mega-project has the total investment volume
of up to 11 billion dollars and it is estimated that total producible oil reserves may
be 5.4 billion barrels (730 million tons) and natural gas reserves may be 96
billion m3. Besides, the fields own 6 million tons of condensate reserves. The
approximate numbers above changes frequently. The contract covers a period of
30 years.
Guneshli field is 82 km, Chirag field is 94 km and Azeri field is located 113 km
away from the coast.
In December 1994, the consortium set up Azerbaijan International Operating
Company (AIOC). Building Azerbaijan’s oil industry infrustructure according to
westernd standarts and by taking these measures into consideration is the key
part of the program of AIOC, whose main task is to follow the work on a daily
basis.
The problems faced during the discussion of the contract covered the topics
explaining that companies could cancel the contract under certain conditions.
They are these: The start of the war in Nagorno-Karabakh,the rapid deterioration
of the economic and political relations between Russia and Azerbajan,the internal
instability in Azerbaijan, the failure of Azerbaijani government to have a stable
export line and any misunderstanding occured in the regime to define the status
of the Caspian Sea.
In the early years, Japan was not in the consortium, but it joined later. The
Japanese “Itochu” company, that had not taken part in the contract earlier, later
bought 2.45 % share from “McDermott International” selling all its shares and
joined “ACG” consortium. The Japanese company later purchased 1.5% out of 5
% share sold by AMOCO, so its share reached 3.9%.
EXXON bought 3% of AMOCO’s shares, while UNOCAL purchased 0.5%. Earlier
SOCAR’s share was decided to be 30% which delivered 10% of it to Russian
193
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Lukoil before the contract and in April of 1995, after the contract was signed it
gave 5% to EXXON company and 5% to TPIC on the same date. Although it
wanted to give a share of 5% to Iran, this plan failed to be realised due to the
pressure from the West.
“The Contract About the Agreement on Carrying Out the Operations Together”
was signed among the members of the consortium and Azerbaijan International
Operating Company was created as a result of this contract. This company, that
was established with the participation of 11 companies from other countries
beyond SOCAR, serves the use of the fields52.
The final version of the existing distribution in the Contract of the Century is as
follows:
BP (operator) 34.13%
Unocal 10.3%
SOCAR 10%
INPEX 10%
Statoil 8.56%
ExxonMobil 8%
TPAO 6.75%
Devon 5.62%
Itochu 3.72%
AmeradaHess 2.72%
“The Contract of the Century” is something like “Production Sharing Agreement”
and if we look at the distribution of the shares, it is obvious that the USA has the
largest share. The total share of American companies is 40%.The USA produces
approximately 340 million tons and imports 600 million tons of oil in a year. So
the USA needs new energy reserves to import.In this respect, the Caspian Sea is
among the regions in the USA’s economic interests. The total share of English
companies is 19%. The biggest share in the consortium after American and
English companies belong to Russian and Azerbaijani companies.
The role of “The Contract of The Century” for the Republic of Azerbaijan has to
be the fulfilment of the 90% of the investments, that are important for the use of
the fields, by the consortium. Azerbaijan keeps the management and the right to
control over oil and natural gas fields. Without any doubt, large amount of
investments should be made on the offshore oil reserves in a quick and beneficial
way, also new technologies should be bought, as well as the most experienced
52
Aras, Osman Nuri. "Azerbaycan Ekonomisi ve Yatırım Imkanları." Bakü: TÜSIAB Yayın 2005-001 (2005).
194
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
oil companies from foreign countries should be attracted to the fields and allied
with. Because, with the aim of the use of the fields, there is a need to make huge
amounts of investments in drilling and manufacturing platforms and building
provision systems of the pipelines in the land.
With “the Contract of the Century” on energy resources which is not only an
important factor in the national economy, but also an essential key in foreign
market, Azerbaijan took the first step in the direction of actively integrating into
the world economy.
All the envisaged activities were carried out in Azeri-Chirag-Gunesli fields which
was the first oil project, the areas were provided with the latest technology for oil
production, the foundation of the oil industry modernized very much. The
construction of “Chirag 1” offshore platform finished and the first oil well was
drilled, the underwater pipelines were laid from the platform to the coastal
terminal in Sangachal and compressor station in the oil rocks.A costal terminal
was built in Sangachal, the maintenance activities were implemented in Baku-
Novorossiski oil pipeline and this pipeline started operating on November 12,
1997.
After the production in Chirag-1, the oil-production related activities in the fields
whose names are shown in “The Contract of The Century” consist of 3 phases.
The first phase started in August of 2001 in Central Azeri field. The second phase
began with the activities in West and East Azeri fields in July of 2002. The
contract on the start of the third phase was signed on October 20, 2004.In the
contract the production in Guneshli field was meant to start. The first production
of the oil in the third phase was planned in 2011. The oil production was
400.000 barrels in a day in 2011 .After several years, within “The Contract of
The Century” the oil production will rise to 1 million barrels daily.
195
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
196
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
One contract with Azerbaijan and 2 with Georgia were signed. According to them,
per year 1.5 billion m3 of natural gas would be sold to Azerbaijan and 800 million
m3 to Georgia.
During Ilham Aliyev’s official visit to England in December of 2004, loan agreement
was signed with European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in
connection with the 10% share that needed to be sponsored by Azerbaijan.
According to the loan agreement, EBRD, that was to fund Azerbaijan’s share in
Shahdeniz project, gave one hundred and seventy million dollars of loan to
SOCAR.
So, the funding by foreign financial institutions to transport Shahdeniz gas to the
world has been an essential step forward in the realisation of the project53.
Within Shahdeniz project, 100 million dollars are spent each month. Shahdeniz is
one the world’s biggest 10 oil-gas projects. Natural gas started to be exported
from the field at the end of 2006.
53
Aras, Osman Nuri. "Azerbaycan Ekonomisi ve Yatırım Imkanları." Bakü: TÜSIAB Yayın 2005-001
197
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
198
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
199
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
200
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
201
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
202
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
203
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
54
Aras, Osman Nuri. Azerbaycan'ın hazar ekonomisi ve stratejisi. Der, 2007.
204
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The Caspian Sea portion of the total oil production was 82.3%, but this ratio
inclined to 89% in 1999 and between 2000-2004.Thus, the Caspian Sea portion
of the oil production is rising over years. Since 2005, this ratio is higher than
90%.
By comparing the oil production level in 2002 with 1990, we can observe that it
was 2.5 million tons more. This production scale is equal to the level of oil
extracted in 1979 in Azerbaijan. Consequently, the ongoing instability in oil
production since the late 1960s ended and rose again. Oil production was
resulted in 15.3% in 2003 and became 15.5 million tons with 1.3% increase in
2004.
In 2010, 50 million 838 thousand tons of oil was produced.There was a
decrease in the oil production level in 2014 in comparison with 2010. Because it
declined to 42 million tons.
Figure 17. Oil Production (million tons)
60
50
40
30
20
10
As can be seen from the chart above, the highest oil production was recorded in
2009 and 2010 with 50.4 and 50.8 million tons, respectively.
Natural gas production in Azerbaijan commenced in 1902. Since the start date of
the production the highest natural gas production in the country was carried out
in 1981 with 17 billion m3. In 1980s natural gas output reached 14 billion m3 on
an annual basis. However, as a result of a significant decline in the production
since 1990, it fell to the volume of the output in 1960s.
205
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
There are 2 big pipelines in Azerbaijan. They are Baku and Novo-Baku lines. The
daily volume of Baku line is 230 thousand barrels and Novo-Baku is 200
thousand barrels.There is a need for nearly 700 million dollars to restore and
repair both lines which have very low production and old technology.US Trade
and Development Agency has provided financial support of 500 thousand and
400 thousand dollars alternately for feasibility studies of modernizing Baku line
and Sumgait petrochemical plants.
96% of natural gas output is achieved from the Caspian Sea.
In 1995-2001, the volume of natural gas production decreased 16.3%.In 2002, it
showed 7.4% fall becoming 5.150 billion m3. With the ongoing decline of the
natural gas production in 2003-2004 it became 5 billion m3 in 2004 with 3.1%
decrease in comparison with the previous year.
The produced natural gas met only 40% of the domestic demand of the country.
It meant natural gas output failed to address the domestic demand. For that
reason, natural gas import became a necessity.Since 2006, natural gas
production in Azerbaijan reached the level of 20 billion m3 increasing year after
year which enabled Azerbaijan not only to pay the demand of its own domestic
market, but also to export natural gas to Turkey,Georgia and Russia.
Figure 18. Natural Gas Production (billion cubic meters)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
As can be seen from the chart above, in recent years natural gas production has
grown significantly.That is, if only 5 billion m3 of natural gas was produced in
2005, it reached 29.5 billion m3 in 2014. The primary reason of the rise in natural
gas output can be explained by the renewal of technical equipment as well as the
start of production in new gas wells.
206
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
As a result of the fall of natural gas production to 5-6 billion m3, though Azerbaijan
exported gas to Armenia and Georgia earlier, it began to import gas from
Turkmenistan and Iran from 1990.But natural gas import stopped in 1995. A
contract was signed in 2000 to import gas from Russia and in November of the
same year natural gas was started to be supplied for the trial.
Natural gas sales do not play an important role in trade volume between
Azerbaijan and Russia.Azerbaijan imported 5.5 billion m3 of gas from Russia in
2005. For the imported gas ,Azerbaijan paid 256 million 412 thousand dollars.
The amount paid for the same volume of gas meant to be purchased in 2005
was 330 million dollars. Since 2006, Azerbaijan has stopped its gas import from
abroad and turned into a gas exporter. Especially Turkey,Georgia and Russia
have become the main customer of Azerbaijan’s gas.
It is projected that the annual volume of natural gas production between 2010-
2020 in Azerbaijan will be 60 billion m3, 15-20 billion m3of it will meet the
domestic demand. For the export of the rest of the gas, a number of alternative
projects including Nabucco are available.
207
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
3.34 million dollars of investment was made in oil industry between 1994-
2000.Since 2001 there has been a significant increase in foreign investments in
oil sector. As a result, it is obseved that the capital put in oil sector reached 80
billion dollars at the end of 2015.
The total volume of the investment concluded by 23 contracts on the energy
resources production is approximately 80 billion dollars.
208
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
price increase, there was a growth in oil production too. This escalation had
positive effect on the oil income and state budget.
In 2000, on one hand, owing to the rise of oil price in the world market,the price
of each ton of the exported crude oil went up 90 dollars in comparison with
1999, on the other hand, the volume of exported crude oil became 850 thousand
tons more. In 2000, the crude oil of 1097.4 million dollars was exported which
was 6061.1 million dollars more than in 1999.Consequently, the escalation of oil
prices had a plus effect on the budget revenues. Because oil related income
constitutes more than half of the budget revenues.
In 2002, Azerbaijan’s export of oil and oil products was 1.927.4 million dollars.
The crude oil export was 8.793.6 tons (1.159.5 million dollars). In return, the
import of mineral fuel, oil and oil products became 292.6 million dollars (17.5%
of total import).
In 2002 the possibility of US invasion of Iraq increased and the price of a barrel
of oil went up to 32 dollars which caused the rise of Azerbaijan’s oil income. In
the budget of 2002, the price of a barrel of oil was calculated to be 19 dollars. If
we take into consideration the fact that a dollar increase in the price of barrel
brought 18-20 million dollars of revenue to Azerbaijan,as a result of the escalation
of oil prices Azerbaijan gained more than 100 million dollars. In the state budget
of 2003, the price of a barrel of oil was defined as 19.5 dollars.
In 2008, the sale price of oil in the world market hit the peak after 1994, however
as a result of the crisis that started in the USA and spread across the world, in
the first quarter of 2009, a barrel of oil was sold for 35-45 USA dollars in the
global markets and it made the Government of Azerbaijan give up large-scale
projects.
The reasons of the increase in those years: Many experts explains the reason for
the rapid increase of the prices with rising demand for oil.The volume of oil
declined in some countries like Mexico, the North Sea. At the same time, oil
export in many countries was stopped.Very few production could only meet
domestic demand. Britain, that was known as an oil exporter in previous years,
was importing oil. With the economic development of the USA and China, their
needs for oil escalated too. The world market had to fulfill the oil needs of large
countries like China and India. In addition, the decline in the oil and natural gas
resources of the USA multiplied the demand for oil. As a result of all these
reasons, oil price went up in the world market.
The events happened in the Middle East have also affected the rise of the world
oil prices.The war period and all the conflicts in Iraq, the weakness of the oil-
209
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
producing companies there and terrorist attacks that might happen at any moment
bring about oil scarcity which causes a rise of oil price in accordance with the
rules of market economy.
The creation of a monopoly in oil sector by OPEC is another thing that leads to
the increase in the prices.
The impact of the price increase on the budget:In parallel with the price increase
in the international market, the escalation of the price of Azerbaijan’s oil
influences the country’s export in a positive way.
Azerbaijan’s budget revenues are not only about customs and taxes. The rise in
the income of Azerbaijan’s oil, which is sold in the world markets, also affects
the growth of the budget revenues.Although in the budgets of 2003-2004, the
sale of oil in the world markets per barrel was calculated to be 20 dollars, the
cost of oil was much higher than this figure in the international markets. The cost
of a barrel of oil exported by Azerbaijan surpassed 38 dollars.
In such case, the allocated part of oil revenues to the budget seemed to be
less.Since the oil incomes are one of the main sources in the formation of the
state budget, the government might need to change the price of a barrel of oil by
taking budget calculations into account again. When the budget of 2008 was
prepared, the cost of oil in the world market was high enough and it was expected
to rise further. But again the oil price in the budget project of 2009 was defined
to be 60-70 dollars. In reference to the world experience, on the basis of the
estimates made by international companies, it will be more correct to consider
the real oil cost in the preparation of a budget. Azerbaijan makes 1 million 400
thousand dollars of additional profit thanks to a dollar’s increase in a barrel cost
of oil.Even though the additional income gained as a result of the price change
goes into the oil fund, its spending should still be monitored.
Although Azerbaijan made more than about 120 billion dollars of profit after the
process, 70-75 billion dollars of it were spent in the form of transfer to the oil
fund and budget. In the background of a serious oil price fall in the world markets,
Azerbaijan’s economy faced a loss of 20-25 billion dollars which was a quite
rigorous circumstance.In the past 2 years, the Central Bank’s reserves fell twice
to 7 billion dollars and even 30% devaluation of manat at the beginning of 2015
could not inhibit this process.Considering this condition, for the first time in the
last 5 years the government of Azerbaijan reduced the transfer from the Oil Fund
from 10 billion to 6 billion dollars.
Managing oil revenues: The use of the wealth achieved from oil is essential. In
this regard, the main problem in Azerbajan’s experience is the emergence of
210
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
211
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
years, the country’s revenues from oil and natural gas will vary between 15-35
billion dollars.
According to the researches conducted by the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan,
in case a barrel of oil price becomes 35 dollars, the country’s oil revenues will
be 104 billion dollars till 2024.
212
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Via Baku-Novorossiysk oil pipeline, 2.5 million tons of Azerbaijani oil are exported
per year. SOCAR pays 15.67 dollars to Russia per ton. It is higher than than the
amount paid for every ton of oil through Baku-Supsa pipeline.
213
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
214
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
215
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Unlike Iran and Iraq, oil and natural gas fields in Azerbaijan are limited.However,
these resources will serve the integration of Azerbaijan to Europe and implemen-
tation of the European Union’s neighborhood strategy. Certainly, the realization of
oil and natural gas projects will give an impetus to the economic development of
other countries in the region.
55
Süleymanov, Elçin, and Ruslan Huseynov. "The Importance of Azerbaijan's Energy Revenues in its
Exports Volume and the Effects on the National Economy." International Journal of Business and Social
Science 4.6 (2013).
56
TANAP Projesinin Ekonomik Ve Stratejik Sonucları (Economic and Strategic Expectations of Trans-
Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline Project) ON Aras, E Suleymanov, H Fakhri - International Conference on
Eurasian Economies, 2013
216
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
of 6 billion cubic metres of gas export to the Turkish market via TANAP to the text
was significant for SOCAR. Without 6 billion cubic metres of gas, it is not possible
to conduct TANAP, because the pipeline in the capacity of 56 inches and 31
billion cubic metres can be economically effective with only the start volume of
10 billion cubic metres.That’s why, IGA’s part of “transit” title approved by the
Turkish Parliament on October 25, 2011 and Gas Transit Agreement (GTA) signed
between SOCAR and BOTAS on the same date has the authority of “application”
for TANAP project in an informal sense.TANAP is being supported by the
governments of Azerbaijan and Turkey. TANAP is also seconded by England, the
USA, the EU and even Nabucco with Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP). BP backs up
both TANAP and BOTAS for different approaches. There are 4 stages in the period
of decision-making on TANAP and the start of its construction. These 4 stages
will be discussed separately below57.
The Agreement, which was signed in Izmir between Turkey and Azerbaijan on
October 25, 2011 , envisages both the transit transportation of natural gas to be
obtained from Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea-Shahdeniz field over Turkey
to the world markets and its purchase by Turkey.
About the transit transportation of natural gas to Europe,2 different alternatives
were taken into consideration in the contract signed after the meeting held with
the participation of Turkey’s Prime Minister Erdogan and Azerbaijan’s President
Aliyev in Izmir-Aliaga. The first one of the mentioned alternatives was about
Turkey’s transmission system of national natural gas, the second alternative was
the construction of an exceptional pipeline. The contract between the governments
laid the foundations of the way to TANAP.
Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline was first announced as a project by SOCAR
(State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic) in the Third Black Sea Energy and
Economic Forum organised in Istanbul, on November 17, 2011. In the statement
made by the president of SOCAR, he expressed that the operation on Trans-
Anatolian Pipeline Project extending from the eastern borders of Turkey to the
western borders had started in order to transport Azerbaijan’s natural gas
potential to the long-term promising markets of Turkey and Europe.
Nearly 2 months after the pre-agreement, the memorandum of agreement on the
“Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline” was signed between the Ministry of
57
TANAP Projesinin Ekonomik Ve Stratejik Sonucları (Economic and Strategic Expectations of Trans-
Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline Project) ON Aras, E Suleymanov, H Fakhri - International Conference on
Eurasian Economies, 2013
217
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Energy and Natural Resources of the Republic of Turkey and Azerbaijan’s Ministry
of Industry and Energy in Ankara, on December 26, 2011.
The consensus on the urgent start of the work towards the exceptional pipeline
named Trans-Anatolian and the establishment of a joint consortium of the
companies appointed by the 2 countries was reached.
In the consortium that will be organised for the construction of the pipeline,
SOCAR, BOTAS and TPIC were decided to take part as the first partners. It was
also considered that other international oil and natural gas companies might join
the consortium within the period of the agreement.
Thus, with the memorandum of agreement, the contract signed on October 26,
2011 was made more definite.
In order to construct the new exceptional pipeline under the name of Trans-
Anatolian for transporting Azerbaijan’s Shahdeniz-2 gas to Turkey and Europe,
the historical cooperation between Azerbaijan and Turkey started with the 3
agreements made in Istanbul on June 27, 2012. They consist of the inter-
governmental deal on the project,the agreement of the host country and pipeline.
The recent TANAP Intergovernmental Agreement was signed on June 27, 2012
in Istanbul and it envisages to convey the natural gas to be obtained from
Shahdeniz-2 field, which is one of the world’s most important gas fields in terms
of the reserve amount, to Europe via Turkey.
TANAP pipeline that passes through Georgia aims to sell and transport
Azerbaijan’s natural gas via Turkey. The entry point of the line is Turkgozu of
Turkish border, the exit points will be Eskishehir and Trakya areas.The borders of
Greece and Bulgaria will become the entry point to Europe from Turkey. This part
of the new line has not been decided fully, also the one side of it is thought to
reach Greece, while the other to Bulgaria.
The investment made on the Trans Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline Project is
presumed to be 7 billion dollars. The first stage of the project, annual capacity of
which is planned to reach 31 billion cubic metres, is meant to be completed in 6
years.
In the consortium created for TANAP, SOCAR from Azerbaijan, BOTAS and TPIC
from Turkey take part as the first partners.In the consortium BOTAS of Turkey
owns 20% share, while SOCAR of Azerbaijan has 80% share. In 2015, Azerbaijan
sold 12% of its share to BP making the environment more multinational and
adding the world’s energy giant to this project. Currently the shares of Azerbaijan,
TPIC and BP in the project are 68%, 20%, 12% respectively.
218
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
219
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
220
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
potential in the other natural gas fields beyond Shahdeniz, Azerbaijan’s gas
production is projected to reach 50 billion cubic metres in between 2020-2025.
These assumptions bring Azerbaijan to the position of a remarkable natural gas
supplier for the export of large amount of gas to the European markets through
Nabucco West.
The implementation of the project with financial and technical capabilities of
Azerbaijan and Turkey has made it a project to be realized between Turkey-
Azerbaijan. TANAP means Turkey and Azerbaijan will emerge together in the
European market for energy transportation.
Along with Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan and Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum, TANAP has reinforced
Turkey’s position as a necessary energy corridor in delivering the energy
resources of the Caspian Sea to the Western markets.
221
CHAPTER SIX
“DUTCH DISEASE” IN ECONOMY AND
THE MEASURES AGAINST IT
Putting Azerbaijan’s investments in oil sector mostly and the major role of the oil
revenues in GDP’s formation are dangerous. Directing all the attention to energy
resources simply means a risk for the economy. This creates a possibility that
the economy may be exposed to some financial fluctuations. Price changes in
the world market due to the one-sided development of the oil sector brings about
fluctuations in GDP,the budget and foreign trade.
223
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
domestic currency in conjunction with “oil boom”, central bank can turn a blind
eye to the extreme upsurge of real exchange rate (the value of the national
currency against foreign currencies) acting involuntarily in sterilization policies
in order to keep inflation under control. Secondly, the uncertainties in the amount
of oil revenues and its collection can lead to the risk in the sustainability of
balance of payment, the signing of external debts contracts having no special
importance and the rise of external debts burden. Thirdly, unintended revenue
flow can bring about “ratchet effect” on government spendings and improvement
of the country’s financial policy. The availability of oil revenues can weaken the
country’s spending policy. For instance, in parallel with additional oil revenues ,
the increase of government spending rate will affect state budget negatively as a
result of a fall in oil prices, also long-term budget deficits will cause the escalation
of external debts and interest payments60.
The classic Dutch Disease argument focuses on the disproportionate growth
between oil & non-oil sectors and other sectors not related to foreign trade.
According to Dutch Disease, the minus effect of heavy usage of natural resources
on economy’s other foreign-trade related areas shows itself in 2 ways. The first
one is the effect of costs increase: if the revenue attained from energy resources
is not kept abroad and spent on goods having no direct or indirect relation with
foreign trade, the price of these goods will go up in comparison with the ones
associated with foreign trade and the real impact will emerge as a rise of
exchange rate. This will damage traditional areas related to foreign trade. As a
result, the external balance of payment will be disrupted. In spite of the price rise
in the next round of energy resources export, the expectation for the revenue
increase of energy reserves will maximize domestic import and export and
decrease the export volume of non-oil sectors.
Looking at the example of Azerbaijan, more rapid development of GDP shares of
the sectors not related to foreign trade (retail trade, restaurants and hotels, etc)
can be observed in comparison with transitional and non-oil producing countries.
The second effect will be with the distribution of labour, which is one of the most
important factors, among sectors. Due to the rise of salaries in an emerging
sector, it will attract experienced staff to itself from other sectors of economy.
The reduction in the level of experienced staff in other sectors will result in the
decline of the production.
Transition Period and ‘Its Solutions’”, The Materials of Scientific Conference Dedicated To the 800th
Anniversary of Nasreddin Tusi, Baku, 2-3 April 2001, p.130-133.
60
Aras, O.N., 2005. Azerbaycan Ekonomisi ve Yatırım Imkanları. Bakü: TÜSIAB Yayın, (2005-001).
224
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The flow of skilled workforce and equipment into energy sector will have a
negative impact on the development potential of other sectors. The escalation of
the emerged break-up between oil and non-oil sectors impedes the functioning
of free market mechanism in the mentioned sectors61.
The dependence of economy only on energy sector can create some negative
results in socio-economic sphere.
Spending oil revenues to purchase imported goods, in particular importing
consumer goods instead of investment commodity will create cuts in the country’s
trade balance.
In order to prevent the economy from falling into Dutch Syndrome, the production
level in non-oil sector should be raised and necessary environment for the
opening of new workplaces should be established.
Because of the unstable oil prices, the government should raise the usage of
resources when the prices rise by pursuing a more cautious policy and should
determine it according to the demand when the prices fall. The creation of the
reserve fund will act as depreciation.
In a nutshell, “Dutch Syndrome” expresses the negative effects when energy
resources increase is pursued by an unfit policy. As a result of paying less
attention to other sectors besides oil sector, a disproportionate growth will appear.
The rise of real exchange rate will influence the ability of sectors with the potential of
foreign trade to compete. The imbalance between wage and price in connection
with the growth of the oil sector can grow compared to non-oil sector and the
balance between labor market and prices can be disrupted. For example, the rise
of real exchange rate in Azerbajan since 1994 has been higher than the other
countries of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
225
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Although the growth in the export of other sectors are observed, given the
country’s economic setback in the transition period and its new progress process,
it can be concluded falsely if it owns an advantage of competiteveness truly in
export products.
It can be expressed that Azerbaijan can not benefit enough from the investments
made on non-oil sectors62.
While deciding about the transparency, prudence and rational distribution of
resources, it should be taken into consideration to make maximum use of rapid
development of oil sector during the transition to free market mechanism. The
increase of foreign investment on Azerbaijan’s economy and realisation of all the
conditions to protect it should be priority in the economuc policy of the country.
It should always be in the center of the country’s attention as an important point.
Concisely, it is wrong to cite only the oil sector in Azerbaijan’s integration into
the world economy and attracting foreign investment to the country. Oil and oil
products make up 90% of the country’s annual export; if the products much of
which consist of production technology within the oil contracts are not taken into
account , agricultural products account for almost half of the imports. In fact,
Azerbaijan’s natural climate and soil condition allow the growth of the production
of agricultural outputs, meeting domestic demand as well as producing for
export. That’s why it is important to fulfil necessary conditions for attracting
foreign investment to non-oil sectors.
In the country’s economy Dutch Syndrome, its first indicators and measures to
be taken, have gained more and more importance especially since the end of
2005 when oil export began.
Along with the danger of Dutch Disease, almost all of the investments are
assembled in Absheron region and even in Baku, so the investment level in other
regions is almost none which is a serious threat for Azerbaijan’s economy.
However a lot of regions in the country have many favorable conditions for foreign
investment activity, creation of strong production and scientific-technical
potential, having qualified staff and their organisation, supply products related to
production and consumption that own a wide market, suitable geo-political
condition, benefits in transportation and geographical position and reconstruction
of the Silk Way.
Baku accounts for approximately 90% of the taxes collected. The rest of the
taxes that is nearly 10% is collected from cities other than Baku including
62
Nuri, Aras Osman, and Elçin Süleymanov. "Azerbaycan Ekonomisi." Şark-Garb Matbaası, Bakü (2010).
226
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
63
Nuri, Aras Osman, and Elçin Süleymanov. "Azerbaycan Ekonomisi." Şark-Garb Matbaası, Bakü (2010).
227
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
the World Bank, the annual rate of decline of per capita GDP from 1965 to 1998
was 1% in Iran and Venezuela, 3% in Kuwait and Iraq. However in Qatar, it was
6% between 1970-1995. In OPEC member countries, the level of per capita GDP
has not gone up in the last 30 years, but rather it has decreased by 1.3%. This
condition is not only observed in OPEC countries. In the past 20 years, the
investment volume, that main capital was directed to, reached 25% of GDP in 4
out of 65 countries rich in natural resources.
The annual per capita GDP growth rate of these countries is carried out with the
condition of not less than 4%. They are Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. Among
these countries, only Indonesia possesses relatively rich oil reserves.The places
like Hong Kong, Singapore,South Korea and Taiwan in which there are limited
natural resources have shown a higher growth. The inverse proportion observed
by the volume of natural resources is explained by different reasons. One of the
main causes of it is “Dutch Syndrome”.
Although some features of Dutch Disease are observed in Azerbaijan, it shows
some difference due to the experienced transition period as well as the country’s
transition to the free-market economy. The advance of one sector in Azerbaijan
attracts the financial source of others. According to the statistical figures , 90%
of Azerbaijan’s export is constituted by oil and oil products. The economic
problems emerged after the fall of the country’s oil revenues as a result of the
drop in oil prices from 140-150 dollars and 40-50 dollars since 2014, proved it
once again. The decline in oil revenues impacted negatively, particularly, financial-
bank sector, as well as construction, service and others.
Another mechanism of the inverse proporotion between the rich natural resources
and economic development is the minus effect of manufacturing sector criteria
on people’s education level and human capital. The large proportion of income
gained from the consumption of these resources is not associated with empolment
profit and production areas are not accepted as productive. The demand for highly
specialized workforce is less here. The education of the people qualified in this
field is not at a desired level, also their labor can not be used in non-oil sector.
However it does not mean that rich natural resources are obstacles in the way of
economic stability and progress.The existence of natural resources is simply a
risk, so governments have to determine their economic policies carefully. Some
countries are trying to solve this issue by organising stability funds. Such funds
are formed as the ones that enable the gain of additional income in certain
periods. Among these funds, the experience of the State Fund of Norway and
Venesuela’s Macro-Economic Stability Fund assumes importance for Azerbaijan.
228
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The experience of the Norway Oil Fund deserve attention for the function of long-
term stability as well as collection, while Venesuela’s Macro-Economic Stability
Fund’s example is important in terms of its feature of insurance against oil price
change. The control of councils on these funds are also essential.
Within the contracts signed with foreign companies, in Azerbaijan the oil
revenues from the produced oil are assembled in the State Oil Fund (SOFAZ).
The fund was established by the decree of the late President Heydar Aliyev on
December 29. 1999. The management guidelines of the fund were developed in
cooperation with IMF. The SOFAZ is a fund set up to collect the revenues
Azerbaijan will get from the fulfilment of the contracts signed between SOCAR
and foreign oil companies on oil and natural gas search, their extraction and
production sharing, as well as from the realisation of the agreements on searching
oil and natural gas reserves in Azerbaijan, particularly in the Azerbaijani sector of
the Caspian Sea. That’s why the collected money by the State Oil Fund is planned
to be used in Azerbaijna’s industry, agriculture and social investment areas.
Since its inception in January of 2001, the State Oil Fund provides information on
income and expenses every three months. The income of the Oil Fund was
1614.3 billion manats in 2004 and its expenses were 871.2 billion manats (before
the denomination). Thus, at the beginning of 2016, more than 120 billion manats
are collected in Azerbaijan’s State Oil Fund. Sınce its foundation, about 85 billion
manats have been spent from the Fund, 80 billion manats of which have been
transfers to the state budget.
Transfers to the state budge. In 2004, the transfer to the state budget accounted
for the major part (92%) of the State Oil Fund’s budget spendings. In 2014, the
amount of 9337.0 billion manats were transferred to the state budget from the
Oil Fund. The total amount of the transfers made to the state budget from the Oil
Fund have been over eighty billion manats during 2003-2016. In general, the
volume of this transfer have been more than half the budget until 2016. In the
budget of 2016, the level of this transfer has been 6 billion manats decreasing by
40% compared to previous years because of the fall of oil prices64.
Financing the measures to improve the social welfare of refugees and
internally displaced persons. The allocation of the funds from th Oil Fund with
the aim of improving the social welfare of the refugees and internally displaced
persons has started since 2001 and will continue in 2017. In the towns created
for the settlement of the refugee and IDP families, 1757.8 billion manats were
64
www.oilfund.az
229
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
230
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
at the expense of the Oil Fund, 2867 students were sent to foreign countries to
study at universities.
An important part of the resources of the State Oil Fund were spent on funding
SOCAR’s share in the construction of “Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan” (298 million manats)
and improving the social living conditions of internally displaced persons (647
million manats). Initial costs set aside from the Oil Fund were oriented to the
resolution of the social problems of internally displaced persons living in the
most difficult and challenging situation. IDPs’ problems are the most important
issue for Azerbaijan. The people who became away from the lands they were born
and raised are always in the public administrators’ focus of attention. New
settlements, hospitals, schools and other institutions for refugees and IDPs are
financed by the reserves of the Oil Fund65.
In the new model accepted for the effective use of oil revenues, it is thought that
a certain part of the State Oil Fund’s reserves should be kept as bank deposit,
while some part can be given to agriculture and manufacturing sector in the form
of low-interest loans. The division of the Oil Fund into reserve and consumer
funds are also meant here.
Of course, in ideal conditions, the oil fund reserves should be directed to
investements rather than current expenditures in order for the income attained
from the investment to be regulatory in case of oil prices fall. Foreign influences
also make it important to manage the rapid advance of the oil sector carefully.
Considering the effect on the state budget, some portion of oil fund can be
directed to unexpected costs that are likely to appear as a result of the rapid
increase of oil production.
It should be decided that chanelling the fund reserves to expand the investments
should be more frequent. Although it is said that the Oil Fund works better
through private sector,considering the whole territory of the country, in order to
gain more benefit, state investements should be preferred.
As a result of the adjustments, the income collected in the fund is kept as deposit
in highly rated credit institutions for investment. In Azerbaijan, the oil revenues
are kept in foreign financial institutions and are not spent on the goods not
related to foreign trade through direct and indirect financial channels.Thus, the
minus effect that may arise for other sectors associated with foreign trade is
tried is tried to be prevented from emerging.
65
www.oilfund.az
231
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Along the the importance of using the revenues in the State Oil Fund for the
development of agricultural sector, the allocation of subsidies from the fund will
not suffice for the country to shake off “Dutch Syndrome”. Surviving these
problems can only be possible by conducting projects inclined to the advance of
industrial areas having export potential. In the policy to be conducted, it is
essential to encourage the investments on necessary fields.
Since the end of 2005, the amount of the income attained from oil has risen
remarkably. The government has planned the rapid development of non-oil
sectors with these incomes. According to the calculations made by the State Oil
Fund along with local and foreign experts, after 2015 Azerbaijan’s revenue to be
obtained from oil will decrease substantially. These estimates of the experts
make Azerbaijan to take serious measures.In this sense, attaining the social-
economic progress of the regions is very important. Since 2005, the government
of Azerbaijan has started to prefer a strategy based on saving the economy’s
dependence on oil. In order to gain a long-term benefit from the allocation of oil
revenues, the economic development of the regions are given special attention in
the accepted strategy. As part of this strategy, 20-25% of the State Oil Fund
reserves will be spent on the progress of small and medium-sized enterprises.
The advance of production and manufacturing industries are among the ones
preferred by the government. On the other hand, it is planned to increase the
spendings on science and research to enhance human capital.
232
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
233
CHAPTER SEVEN
THE ECONOMIC POLICY OF
AZERBAIJAN
In every country, during the different periods of economic crisis and social
change, the government intervention into economic trend has been compulsory.
In transitional countries, government’s role in economy turns into necessary
regulation, planning and control instead of being efficient over production in
order for economic situation to be favorable. In parallel with the increase in the
number of private enterprises, the regulatory and supervisory role of government
rises too.
Preserving macro-economic stability, keeping on reforms, persisting succesful
economic policies, “State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic
Development”, “State Program on Socio-economic Development of Regions”
will provide enhance of competitive circumstance in Azerbaijan.
235
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1995 1997 1999 2000 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Starting from mid-1990s, obviously the difference between the rate of real GDP
growth, which is one of the main macroeconomic indicators, and rate of money
supply increase seem to be against the money amount.
Table 22. Money Supply (Million Manats)
Il M0 M1 M2 M3
2006 1311,4 1839,6 2135,5 3435,0
2007 2713,5 3621,71 4401,6 5897,3
2008 4145,9 5105,19 6081,24 8494,5
2009 4175,0 5231,46 6169,41 8469,4
2010 5455,9 6838,46 8297,57 10527,6
2011 7158,4 8796,28 10997,43 13903,5
2012 9256,8 11122,31 13806,58 16775,5
2013 10458,7 12736,9 16434,8 19289,4
2014 10152,5 12830,4 17435,8 21566,4
2015 5176,9 6980,3 9050,0 17444,5
Source: www.cbar.az 2016
236
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
In 1996-2000, in other words, during a total of 6 years, the growth of GDP in the
country was 36%, while M2 money supply was a little more than in 1996. In
2004, the money supply growth rate attracts attention since it was higher
compared to previous years.
The difference between GDP growth rate and money supply increase is eliminated
in 2 ways. Firstly, the use of another currency in economy, that is, to replace
money. The second one is payment problems that lead to big problems in
economy. Taking this situation into consideration, it can be said that national
money can reduce the impact of reforms conducted due to its weak role in
economy.
The tough monetary policy which was applied in mid-1990s and yielded
successful results to prevent inflation, unfortunately led to the decrease of
money amount in circulation in terms of the formation of demand necessary for
investment volume and offer front (production) in economy. While the conducted
rough monetary policy kept hiper-inflation under control in 1995-96, after 1997,
it gave a rise to some negative effects.The emergence of the deflation after the
implementation of the tight monetary policy affected real sector negatively.
Importers taking benefit from the stability of US dollar were able to fill the
country’s markets with imported goods without encountering any limit. Thereby,
the consumer goods market in Azerbaijan almost consist of imported commodity.
It goes without saying that the prices in consumer sector are connected to US
dollar. Consequently, the change in dollar’s rate does not make sense alone, but
as all the imported goods are estimated with dollars, the costs of them change in
connection with the variation in the rate of dollar.
On the other hand, preventing the loans directed to demand is in parallel with
tough monetary policy. However this policy should not deter lending medium-
term loans for the increase of production. Due to the lack of necessary resources,
if the Central Bank does not consent to give such credits and demanded collateral
is not given by the state, it impedes the foreign banks to give such loans.
Under the influence of the deflation in 1998-99, rediscount interest rate went up
and in March this rate rose to 28%. In March of 2000, it fell to 8%. The short-
term lending interest rates of commercial banks levelled off at 20% at the
beginning of 1999, in 2000 it became 22.2%. This brought about estimations
about the likelihood of manat’s losing value and movement in the rate of inflation.
The variation in the short and long-term loans between manat and dollar started
to decline with cheapening manat, but the big difference was not eliminated.
237
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Dollar was chosen as the major currency among bank deposits. Between the
years 2006-2008, the inclination to dollar fell to some extent, while the rate of
currency accounts continued at a high level.
At the end of a time period of over 23 years,it can be observed that as a national
currency, manat fails to fulfil the basic function of money wholly. Although the
prices exist as manat, the costs of goods are considered with dollar. This has
confined the function of manat as a technical feature.
Replacing the scarcity of money amount with foreign currency is certainly a very
big threat to economy. As substitute currency can not be kept under control
either by the Central Bank or other government organisations. The substitution of
money which can not be controlled reduce the impact of monetary policy. In
order to limit the movement of dollar in circulation, the Central Bank chose to
restrict the money amount in circulation as the sole method of control. It even
magnified the problem, as a result the Central Bank had to struggle aginst the
result instead of the reason.
In summary, this condition shows that the power of control over monetary policy
in Azerbaijan may disappear over certain time. As a way of solution, taking the
growth rate of GD into account, it was taken a step back in tight monetary policy.
Money substitution is the foothold of foreign currency amount, as a result
available illegal money in the country. That is why, currency substitution plays
special role in the development of shadow economy.
An estimated 80% M0, 20% M2composition of money amount indicates the
existence of more cash in circulation. This leads to major obstacles in terms of
bank sector and management. The dominance of cash over general money
supply paves the way for avoiding supervision, circuitously tax control66.
The main objectives of the implemented monetary policy in 2015 were obtaining
stability in prices and rate of exchange, protecting currency reserves, improving
bank system and eliminating the lack of money in the economy. The Central
Bank utilized the means in its own control to attain the pre-planned goals related
to monetary policy. In 2002, some efforts were made in order for open market
operations to be means of monetary policy, the purchase and sale of securities
went up significantly. The Central Bank obtained the stability in manat rate by
intervening in the market and regulating the volume of manat. Furthermore, thanks
to the President’s decision on the development of private sector, the percentage
66
“http://www.cbar.az/assets/3574/Bulleten-2015_noyabr_1_.pdf (01.02.2016).
238
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
of loans given to this sector was lowered from 10% to 7%. The loan interest rate
in Azerbaijan is the lowest among the CIS countries.
By applying the monetary policy, the Central Bank reached its objectives of having
the reasonable level of inflation, preserving the stability of national currency’s
level, keeping proper foreign currency reserves, reinforcing the bank system
further, providing the monetarisation in the economy. The changes occured in
currency rate have become stable. The economic growth rate has been 11%.
Thanks to the implemented economic reforms, the private sector has developed
and its share in GDP has surpassed 70%. The export level has risen and reached
5-6 billion dollars. Half of these investments originated from direct investments.
Over this period, in order to provide the flow of foreign investments to non-oil
sector, some work has been done and as a result, the flow to this sector has
grown 90.4 % and become 9 billion manats. In general, from 1995 to 2015, 130
billion manats of investments were made on the country’s economy, half of which
were invested in non-oil sector. The drop of oil prices in 2015 resulted in the
decline of exchange reserves which became 7 billion dollars. The Central Bank
took this into account and realized 2 devaluations, the first one in February, the
second at the end of December, as a result US dollar has risen twice against
manat.In 2016, it is intended to continue the monetary policy applied in 2015.
The Central Bank also put the monetary policy into practise in 2015, this policy
is thought to help the rapid growth in the economy, preserve macro-economic
stability and management. In particular,the implementation of the inflation rate of
3-4% in 2015 was in the top of the goals and it was achieved. Some necessary
measures were taken to minimize the negative effect of the money to enter the
country through oil and foreign investment on exchange rate67.
To attain the goals mentioned above, the Central Bank made succesful use of
means of monetary policy such as credit policy, interest rate policy, legal response
rate, free market operations and intervention in foreign exchange market.
In 2015, the monetary policy, which was directed to support the rapid economic
growth, the prices –one of the main indicators of macro-economic stability, form
the competitiveness of non-oil sector, provide financial need of the economy,
was applied and the defined objectives were achieved.
In 2014, the decline in oil prices, as a result the decrease of foreign currency
revenues led to the reduction of Azerbaijan’s volume of money in money market.
67
“http://www.cbar.az/assets/3574/Bulleten-2015_noyabr_1_.pdf (01.02.2016).
239
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Since one of the primary reasons of inflation is the increase in the volume of
money, the Central Bank will do its best in this direction. The growth of the
volume of money may cause the decline of interest rates in credit and bank
markets. It will enable the significant escalation of the loan amount necessary for
the acceleration of economic growth. The rise of banks’ loan opportunities is
expected in credit market.
The targeted macro-economic situation will cause the national currency to
strengthen. It is possible to say that this factor will contribute to reinforce the
country’s international competiteveness. How is this affordable? The Central
Bank is thinking of offering securities and other exchange tools to the market in
accordance with the objectives of the monetary policy. To advance the financial
markets, the Bank is planning to cooperate with the Ministry of Finance for long-
term securities proposals. Taking such a step may inhibit the existing proposal in
the financial market, as well as the growth of inflation rate.
For the Central Bank, 2016 is the year of comprehensive measures in accordance
with the reliable and efficient development strategy of banking system. These
measures include to increase the role of banks in the economy, enhance the
financial services for the progress of activity, small and medium enterprises,
regions in credit planning. The Bank takes drastic action on the banks that are
not in compliance with the norms in order to shape a strong competitive
environment. That is, since January of 2015, the commercial banks that will not
increase their authorized capital to 50 billion dollars and private banks that will
not apply international management mechanisms to create reliable banking
system, will be in the focus of the Bank’s attention. In order to improve the
reliability of people on the banks, the foundation of “Deposit Insurance Fund” was
one of the major goals taken into account in 2005.
The amendments in connection with mortgage lending were completed and the
“Law on Mortgage” was adopted on April 15,2005. With this law, it became
possible to lend mortgage loans. Within the law, credits started to be given by
making legal, administrative and practical arrangements.
To sum up, the Central Bank began to put into practise the monetary policy
supporting the realization of the comprehensive action program directed to speed
up social-economic development in the country.
In addition, a decree on “Changing the value size and nominal value of the currency
of Azerbaijan” was signed by the President. According to the decree, starting
from January 1, 2006, the country’s currency was changed to new manat in the
240
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
form of one new manat equal to 5000 old manat. The alteration of “1 new manat
= 5000 old manat” is different from the one made in Turkey by only removing
zeros in terms of the goal and content.
In the early years of the country’s independence, the value of the currency in
circulation had fallen rapidly againt other countries’ currencies within a short
period with the effect of military, political, social and economic crisis appeared at
that time and as a result, the country went through hiper-inflation. In spite of the
progress period in the country since 1996 originating from the social-economic
stability, low nominal exchange rate of manat due to high inflation obstructed the
processes in accounting system, statistics, institutions and banks.
Most importantly, the distrust of the country’s currency, running away from it
initiated the process of dollarization.The local currency became the exchange
tool mainly in small-scale trade. The positive movement in the economy created
favorable condition for the country’s currency to gain a close value to the
commonly accepted currencies.
Over the period from the independence to 2005, altering the national currency
with the courage taken from the favorable situation following the change emerged
in the value of the country’s currency had 3 main objectives:
1. Economic Objective: To alter the negative view of manat stemming from the
devaluation and change of exchange rates against manat
2. Technical Objective: To prevent the cause to work more labor force in
accounting and occured errors
3. Aesthetic Objective: To prepare more modern and resistant currency against
wear and tear
As the impact of money-related elements among inflation indicators is
approximately 30%, it is expected that changes in the movement of money will
cause low-level inflation and a big increase in the prices of goods and services
less than 5000 manats. Given this, it has been planned to carry out a monetary
policy that will prevent denomination from leading to inflation.
With the denomination it is targeted to bring closer the value of the local
currency to Euro and Dollar. This will lead to have a national currency owning a
purchasing power equal to that of dollar. It is the goal of fighting against
dollarization. However, it is not a correct to think that such a step is the indexation
of the country’s currency to dollar.
241
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
No matter how suprising it is, but the major problem with the monetary policy
decisions is that manat is too strong. So it is becoming attractive for import and
export in a way against domestic production.
According to the information by the State Statistics Committee, the average
annual inflation was 3.7% in 2015 which is 3.8 percentage points lower than the
changes of the average annual consumer price index of the last 10 years.
The decrease of foreign currency proposal and increase of the demand in the
background, the Central Bank’s exchange rate policy in 2015 was conducted
under the objectives of strengthening the country’s international competiteveness
and and macro-economic stability. Since the end of 2014, the plummeting
prices in the world oil market and devaluation waves in the main trade partners
resulted in the growing demand for foreign currency, especially US dollar in the
internal currency market. The total volume of foreign exchange market in 2015
increased by 1.8 times compared to the respective period of the previous year.
91% of transactions in the currency market were done in US dollar, while the
remaining 9% were in other currencies. In comparison with the same period of
2014, the volume of transactions in US dollar extended by 1.8 times and that of
Euro by 2.1 times. The net cash provided in US dollar to the people by banks
went up by 61.7% compared to the same period of last year. The growth of
demand for foreign currency cash occured mostly in the first quarter. Since, in 9
months, 63% of the net US dollar and 38% of Euro were sold in the first quarter.
During 2015 when the monetary policy decisions were being accepted, the
condition of realizing that policy and succeeding the inflation goals were taken
into account. Over that period, the monetary policy was conducted considering
the trends in economic cycle and dynamics of money supply as well as price
and financial stability targets. In order to fortify the financial support for the
economic growth in non-oil sector, stimulate investments by accelerating the
drop of interest rates, create monetary basis for funding small and medium-sized
businesses and optimizing the cost of mortgage lending of people, the Central
Bank’s discount rate was reduced from 3.5% to 3% starting from July 13, 2015.
Given the latest trends in money supply change, the reserve requirement set by
the Central Bank was cut down from 2% to 0.5% with the aim of seconding the
economic growth by creating the reduction of interest rates.
The money supply was formed under the impact of the ongoing processes in
currency market owing to the dynamics of manat and monetary supply in 2015.
The monetary base of 2015 with manat declined 38.9% and became 7050.4
million manats by the end of the period. The dollarization had a reducing and
242
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
other factors (the Central Bank’s market operations, etc) had an increasing
influence on the alteration of monetary base.Significant changes did not occur in
the level of money multiplier which expresses the ability of the banking system.
During this period, broad money supply (M2) fell 46.3% becoming 9369 million
manats at the end of the period. In a broad sense, the money supply with manat
decreased on account of the money supply in cash. Broad money supply (M3)
decreased by 18% and it was 17684 million manats from 01.10.2015. Compared
to the respective period of 2014, M3 monetary aggregate dropped by 16.3%.
The decline in M3 monetary aggregate in 2015 happened in connection with the
reduction of net foreign assets. The share of net foreign assets in broad money
supply reduction was 59.5%. The share of deposits and savings in M3 money
supply, in foreign currency had been 47% towards the end of the period.
243
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
services which makes the very government to spend certain funds. Along with
the fulfillment of public services, the economic obligations undertaken by
government emerge in the form of expenses. It is a reality that the goals such as
arrangement of fair income distribution, realisation of full employment, formation
of condition for economic development direct government to the purchase of
goods and services. At the same time, sometimes these objectives channel the
government to aid the private sector gratuitously. In a narrow sense, the costs of
central state organisations and local institutions are meant as public spendings.
In a broad sense, it refers to tax expenditures as well. Tax expenses are the
amount refused by government, who has to take it as tax, for various reasons.
Government renounces some portion or all of the tax amount to be taken with
names like tax exemptions, tax cuts. Thus, we can evaluate public spending as a
reduction in government’s net financial worth.
According to the Tax Code of the Republic of Azerbaijan, tax is the mandatory,
individual and non-refundable payment made in the form of alienation of funds
owned by taxpayers with the aim of supporting the state and municipal activities
financially68.
Stances of fiscal policy
There are 3 main stances of fiscal policy: neutral, expansionary and contractionary.
Neutral fiscal policy is usually applicable when there is prevailing balance in
economy. By this, government spending is fully funded by state revenues and it
has a neutral effect on economy.
Expansionary fiscal policy involves government spending exceeding revenues.
This policy is utilised to annihilate periodic crisis by decreasing taxes and
increasing budget expenses. This policy may have both positive and negative
effects on economy.As a result of implemeting this policy, we can evaluate the
annihilation of cyclical crisis as positive,however budget deficit and inflation as
negative. The growth in government spending during carrying out expansionary
fiscal policy leads to the increase in aggregate demand and the country’s gross
domestic product.
Contractionary fiscal policy occurs when only a part of state revenues is directed
to expenditures. The main objective of this policy is restricting economy’s periodic
growth by budget sequestration and increase of taxes. This policy might also
affect economy positively and negatively. As a result of the implementation of
68
www.finance.gov.az
244
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
this policy, we can evaluate the decline of the budget deficit and inflation as
positive, the rise of unemployment in a short term and creation of stagflation in a
long term as negative.
Types of fiscal policy
The role of fiscal policy in economy is associated with its charater and types,
namely, the type of adopted fiscal policy determines the mechanisms of its
implementation. There are 2 basic types of fiscal policy which are discretionary
and automatic:
Discretionary fiscal policy is also called active fiscal policy. While the active
fiscal policy is conducted, state intervene in economic processes by manipulating
taxes and budget expenses deliberately. In other words, by realising discretionary
fiscal policy, state tries to find effective ways out of the situation by maneuvering
between taxes and government spending for the increase & decrease of gross
domestic production volume, optimization of employment level, change of prices
and regulation of inflation. During the implementation of discretionary fiscal policy,
government regulates taxation and budget expenditures purposefully to improve
the economic situation of country. The level of this regulation is diverse in the
different phases of economic cycle. As state increases its expenses and reduces
the level of taxes during economic crisis, all of which lead to the expansion of
purchasing needs. When the rise in production is accompanied by inflation, state
prevents business activity by reducing its own expenditures and raising the level
of taxes. During economic setback, in order to stimulate aggregate demand,
through discretionary fiscal policy, government creates budget deficit purposefully
by escalating its volume of expenses or mitigating the level of taxes. In order for
government spendings to show stimulating effect, they shouldn’t be financed at
the expense of tax revenues69. The expansion of tax rates reduces the incentive
for business activity which brings about a decline in the volume of production.
Therefore, the escalation of government spending is usually followed by budget
deficit. Thus, government eases economic crisis and achieves the rise of domestic
production volume by increasing its expenditure during the setback of production
and decreasing its expenses during the period of economic growth accompanied
by inflation.
While carrying out automatic or passive fiscal policy, tha changes related to
taxes and budget expenses are regulated automatically. Automatic fiscal policy
envisages the automatic increase of the volume of net tax revenues to state
69
www.taxes.gov.az
245
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
budget during the period of economic growth and the automatic decrease of the
volume of net tax revenues to state budget during economic setback. These
alterations happen with the effect of «installed self-regulators». Installed self-
regulator is a mechanism which allows to reduce the fluctuations in the level of
production and employment without making any change in the economic policy
of state. Such automatic regulators are as follows:
- the progressive tax system preventing aggregate demand during economic
growth. As the income of people grow, they are taxed at a hihger rate which
impedes aggregate demand. When revenues decrease following economic
downturn, lowering tax rate causes the increase of revenue obtained. It results in
the stimulation of aggregate demand.
- as a result of the rising number of the unemployed during economic downturn,
the size of unemployment benefits and other welfare payments grow. During
economic boom, the level of unemployment falls which automatically leads to
the decline in the volume of those payments.
The main advantage of automatic fiscal policy is that, as a result of a little change
in economic conditionsç installed self-regulators are set to work immediately.
The disadvantage of this policy is that, it only smoothes out periodic fluctuations
and can not eliminate them completely. Hence, fiscal policy is the regulatory
system of national economy as a whole or its various strategic areas and regions
by making changes related to taxes, their types and rates, as well as budget
spendings by government actively or passively.
The fiscal policy of the Republic of Azerbaijan for 2016
Azerbaijan’s fiscal policy for 2016 is aimed at maintaining economic stability, the
modernization and diversification of its leading areas, continuation of the
measures on social security of the population observing social priority, as well
as providing people’s living standarts, social security of refugees and IDPs.
The primary targets for 2016 involve stimulating non-oil sector further, fulfilling
complete and timely tax obligations for increasing revenues more, as a whole
reinforcing tax and customs discipline.
Given the expected decline in the world market price of crude oil to 40-60
dollars, optimistic(if it becomes 60 dollars), base( if it becomes 50 dollars),
pessimistic (if it becomes 40 dollars) scenarios are prepared in accordance with
the main directions and priorities of the state and consolidated budget for 2016-
2019.
246
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Indicator 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Value-added tax 600 737,8 1179 1911 2013 2083 2223 2367 2710 3120
Excise tax 141 187,4 402,9 486,9 485,1 514,9 480,2 531,5 593,3 797,3
Income taxi 355 1361 2458 2862 1329 1430 2134 2252 2375 2303
Source: www.taxes.gov.az
Within the “Law on the Budget System” that was adopted in December,1992, the
budget system consists of the budgets of the Republic of Azerbaijan and
Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, as well as local budgets.
Budget revenues comprise income tax, VAT, customs duties, land tax and excises
(taxes on smoking, drinking, imported cars and mines). Social security costs,
defense expenses and allocated costs on state institutions have a special place
in budget expenditure.
With the declaration of ceasefire in connection with Karabagh War and political
stability, procedures on creating economic stability started to be applied. Within
this framework, a reform of tax was conducted.
Between 1991-1994, the war with Armenia had a negative impact on the state
budget.During this period, the ratio of government spendings to GDP rose to
55%, while the ratio of the state budget deficit to GDP increased to be 15%. On
one hand, oil and privatization incomes were continued to be used for financing
the state budget deficit, on the other hand, the measures to raise government
revenues and reduce spendings were tried to be carried out. In 1999, although
the ratio of the state budget deficit to GDP went up by 5.4%, with the actions
taken it was targeted to keep it at a lower level.
Within the framework of the policies backed by the IMF, it is aimed to reduce
government spendings and thus to control the budget deficit. According to the
tight monetary policy, the target is the continuation of low inflation and to be
affected the least by the crisis in neighboring countries. For this purpose, with
the application of rigid administrative control, it was tried to gain the trust on
manat again. Thus, it was targeted to reduce the real and nominal interest rates.
Despite the changes in government spendings after the IMF backed financial
policies, the fall of the state revenues led to the growing usage of outsourcing in
the elimination of the state budget deficit. Along with that, the income obtained
247
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
from privatization and other similar internal sources were utilized in funding
budget deficit. In 2000, VAT incomes made up the most important source of
income in state revenues.
As part of the conducted reforms, the actions were started to be taken to raise
tax revenues and strengthen the areas of tax. The recent rise of government
spending stems from the increase observed in salary, social transfers and
investements. The decline has been made in the units allocated for the different
areas among government spendings. The government is trying to improve the
situation in the state budget balance in this way.
The tax system in Azerbaijan is defined with the country’s constitution and other
legal regulations. The tax is determined and received in accordance with these
legal regulations. In particular, forming a large portion of the budget incomes
with taxes increases the essence of this issue. In this regard, the importance of
the tax-related organisations rises day by day. The most essential of these
organisations is the Ministry of Taxes which was established in 1990 as a part of
the Ministry of Finance, in 1991 it became independent tax inspectorate and
finally in 2000, with the decision of the head of the state it was turned into a
Ministry. Afterwards, other departments of this ministry were founded. In
addition, the departments were opned in various regions. Tax policy and its
collection is conducted by the Ministry of Taxes.
In general, there are three types of taxes in the country. They are state taxes, the
Autonomous Republic taxes and local taxes. Tax collection is done in 2 ways.
The first is taken directly from the source, while the other is carried out on the
basis of the declaration. There are 9 types of state taxes, 8 types of the
Autonomous Republic taxes (relates to Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic), 4
local (municipal) tax types. Some people are either completely exempt from taxes
or have obtained some concessions. At the same time, the tax system is
constantly being developed as a part of a plan to set up a system in accordance
with that of developed countries.
While renewing the Tax Laws, some efforts were made to strengthen tax officials.
In 2000, it was tried to raise the level of state revenues by making concessions
in the payments cut from entrepreneurs in VAT, the Legal Person Tax, Social
Protection Fund. Within the agreement signed with the IMF, government spendings
were tried to be controlled.
Though many new adjustments were made in order to strengthen the
organisational structure of the public sector, it is still not possible to say that the
public sector works efficiently.
248
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
70
www.taxes.gov.az
71
www.taxes.gov.az
249
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
250
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
251
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
the nominal value of manat against dollar began to ascend. The Central Bank did
not change its exchange rate policy from this year and until 1998, manat’s
nominal and real value gaining was observed. Along with attaining price stability,
foreign capital into oil industry also has big impact on this. The crisis in 1998
and decline in export level resulted in the transition to floating exchange rate
mode from the middle of 1999, then it was tried to gain competitive advantage in
export products by reducing the value of national currency against dollar. After
the transition to floating exchange rate in 1999, manat started to lose value
against dollar which influenced export.
The depriciation of manat against dollar continued in 1999 and 2000. Traditionally,
Azerbaijan is a country that is significantly dependent on foreign trade.
Competitiveness in foreign trade refers to price advantages. In particular, applied
exchange rate policies become important at this point. On the other hand, oil and
oil products that are main export areas show a remarkable growth with the launch
of new oil fields of the consortiums.
In spite of the spending of exchange reserves owing to the implementation of
Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan project and foreign debt payments, the Central Bank aimed
to maintain the same level of exchange reserves.
As a part of this policy, during 2003-2009, there was not a big change in the
value of manat.
After a rapid decline of oil prices and exchange revenues in the world market, in
2009, currency demand was higher than its supply in currency market of the
country. The Central Bank inhibited the fluctuations in exchange rate by its currency
policy. Manat strengthened by the applied policy reduced the effect of the price
increase in imported goods to some extent due to its being more functional.
Inflation in the countries like Turkey, Russia, Ukraine and Iran, with whom
Azerbaijan is in a close relationship in terms of trade among countries, was between
8-14%. The average rate of manat against the currencies of these countries
decreased by 2.8%. Therefore, the real effective rate of manat went up by 1.6%
and international competitiveness of the country’s products grew.
The implementation of the monetary policy
Inflation. In 2015, prices in the country remained stable, inflation was provided
in the low single-digit level. According to the latest report of the World Economic
Forum, Azerbaijan is one of the countries with the lowest inflation level. The
average annual inflation in 2015 accounted for 3.5% falling by 0.8% compared to
252
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
the same period of last year. This figure is substantially less than the average
inflation in trading partner countries. Over the year, the Central Bank kept the
factors affecting inflation under control. Targeted monetary regulation, the
expansion of the supply compared to domestic demand, cheapening prices of
food in the world markets had a downward effect on inflation. The opportunistic
surveys conducted by the Central Bank betwwen real sector enterprises and
households, indicates the decline in inflation expectations. During the period, the
growth in the income of the people exceeded the inflation pace.
Exchange Rate Policy. In 2014, the Central Bank carried out a purposeful
exchange rate policy on the basis of favorable foreign economic position and
conserved the stability of national currency-manat. The Bank provided the balance
in currency market reacting rapidly to the processes in here. Exchange rate policy
was implemented by taking into account aims to protect macro-economic and
financial stability, as well as competitiveness of non-oil sector.The realization
mechanism of the exchange rate policy was kept unchanged, US dollar/manat
bilateral exchange rate was the operation target of this policy. Despite the
substantial devaluation of national currencies in many foreign trading partner
countries, in 2014 the exchange rate of manat against dollar remained almost
unchanged. Lower level of the domestic inflation in comparison with that of the
partner countries had a downward impact on the real effective exchange rate.
The psychological factors associated with currency demand, motives and
sources to buy foreign currency in cash and non-cash markets, supply sources,
impairment of currencies of some partner countries were closely followed by the
Central Bank. Relevant regulatory measures were taken on this basis, as a result
the stability in currency market was preserved and fluctuations in manat exchange
rate did not happen. The stability of manat exchange rate in the condition of
available features of Azerbaijan’s economy once again confirms its macro-
economic importance. Fixed exchange rate is an essential factor in the manage-
ment of inflation and its expectations, the protection of the people’s and real
sector’s assets, financial stability of banking sector. At the same time, structural
policies and economic policy coordination aimed at fortifying macro-economic
durability play an important role in the stability of the exchange rate.
Given the situation in the currency market, on February 21, 2015 the Central
Bank’s Board of Directors reached a decision on defining the exchange rate of
US dollar against manat in the level of 1.05 manat. The main purpose of the
decision was to create incentives to diversify the national economy, to further
253
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
254
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
255
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
minimum requirement twice. Bank assets’ quality indicators are satisfactory. The
portfolio share of real sector and people’s overdue loans to banking system
accounts for 5.5% which is covered fully by the banks’ reserves. The share of
foreign dept liabilities in bank resources is only 22% and this is a safe level in
terms of stability. This year, the profit of banks has increased by 23% compared
to last year. The profitability of the system’s assets has been 2%, while that of
capital has become 13.8%.
I. Financial mediation and development of the banking and financial
infrastructures
Financial Mediation. In 2015, the banking sector’s role in economic developmet
was observed to rise further. In accordance with the strategic development
objectives of the country, the Central Bank has performed relevant actions on
expanding business lending. Necessary measures have been taken to reduce the
cost of banks’ funding sources, optimize the cost of business loans. The financial
depth of the banking sector possessing 90% of the country’s financial system
assets has kept growing. The sector’s assets went up by 21.2% reaching 78% of
non-oil GDP. For the time being, the financial depth of Azerbaijan’s banking
sector is in line with countries having moderately developed banking system.
Bank loans increased by 18%, long term loans went up by 19.2%. At present,
more than 81% of loan portfolio is made up by long-term loans. Over 11 months
of this year, business loans increased by 18%, including 36.3% in industry and
production, 14.1% in agriculture and manufacturing. The share of business loans
has been 73% in total loan portfolio. Credit investments in the regions has risen
by 39.4%. Given the current trend and potential risks in consumer loans, a series
of regulatory measure have been taken in the current year. As a result, the growth
rate of consumer loans fell by 1.9 times to 19% compared to last 6 years and
with the exception of mortgage loans it declined to 11%, the volume of car loans
decreased by 31%. In Azerbaijan, the share of consumer loans in the loan
portfolio is less than the average figure of the countries of the European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development. In developed countries the share of consumer
loans in the portfolio is 50% or higher. In the past period of 2014, mortgage loans
in the amount of 92 million manats were given. As a result, the loan portfolio of
the Mortgage Fund reached 628 million manats, the numer of people taking
mortgage loans exceeded 157000. The implementation of “electronic mortgage”
among authorised banks, insurance companies, appraisers and the Mortgage
Fund started. The total volume of mortgage loans increased by 25% going over 1
billion manats (3% of non-oil GDP).
256
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
Access to financial services. During the reporting year, expanding the access
opportunities of economic entities to financial services continued, the level of
using financial infrastructure rose. The number of bank service points per every
100 thousand reached 10. Considering the affiliates of “Azərpoçt” providing
financial services to the population, this figure is 20. In 2014, 47 new bank
branches were opened, 34 of which are in regions. More than half of bank
branches are in regions. To revive the sources of alternative lending, the Central
Bank has supported the non-bank credit organisations in the current year. The
number of non-bank credit organisation is 157, while their branches are 222.
From the beginning of the year, the assets of non-bank credit institutions and
volume of loans have increased by 13.3% and 12.3% respectively. The actions
have been taken for the development of electronic banking services playing an
important role in the expansion of the people’s access opportunities to financial
services. At present, 23 banks function on internet banking and 15 banks on
mobile banking. In order to improve the service, 2 departments by the Central
Credit Register (CCR) started operating in “Asan service” centers. The number of
the requests into the registry by credit institutions exceeded 2.8 million.
Sources of resources. In 2014, the confidence in banks increased further which
resulted in the enhancement of resource base of banking sector and reinforcement
of the stability of the sources. Over the past period of 2014, corporate deposits
reached 8.2 billion manats rising by 35.3%, while people’s deposits became 7.1
billion manats increasing by 10.8%. People’s manat deposits grew by 15%
during 11 months. Deposits in regions multiplied 12.4%. Currently, 473 of every
1000 people are depositors. The amount of deposit per capita is 745 manats,
the number of individuals’ bank accounts is 6.4 million. Population is the net
creditor with respect to banking sector. The volume of people’s deposits exceeds
their credits 2.3 billion manats. During the past period of the current year,
interest income of people on deposits became 450 million manats.
Interest Rates. The interest rates have continued to decline, additional measures
by the Central Bank have been taken to speed up this process. Since the
beginning of the year, the average interest rate on deposits has decreased by 0.4
percentage points to be 9.4%. In addition to the discount rate of the Central
Bank, since May the maximum interest rate on the deposits insured by the
Council of Trustees of the Deposit Insurance Fund has been reduced from 10%
to 9% which has had a downward effect on interest rates. Interest rates on loans
also tend to fall. This trend has strengthened over the last 5 years, currently the
average interest rates on credits is 14.3%, including 10.8% on consumer loans.
257
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The average interest rates on consumer loans varies depending on the type and
guarante degree of credits. Generally, the interest rates on consumer loanss are
close to that of many countries.
PAYMENT SYSTEMS. Maintaining the stability in payment systems, extending
the application scope of modern infrastructure established in this field and
promoting innovations were among the main activity areas of the Central Bank in
2014. The amount of payments made through the National Payment System in
2014 was 2 times of GDP. The enhancement of “Government Payment Portal”
founded within the framework of “E-government” continued. As a result, 19
institutions providing mass service were integrated into the portal. The payments
are performed on more than 285 types of services of these institutions. For the
time being, the work is about to be completed on receiving payment on the
services of government agencies in “ASAN service” centers through portals, as
well as the integration of “ASAN payment” system to the infrastructure. In 2014,
the progress of card infrastructure was kept on. The number of payment cards
issued in the country has reached 5.9 million, while the amount of ATMs to 2586
and POS terminals to 68676. The number of payment cards has increased by
5% , that of ATMs has gone up 6.8%, while the amount of POS terminals has
doubled.
II. The monetary policy, financial stability and banking sector in 2015.
The monetary and exchange rate policy of 2015 will be implemented taking into
account global economic risks, strategic development challenges of the national
economy. Keeping inflation at a low single-digit level will be the main target of
the monetary policy.The stability of manat exchange rate will be one of the top
priorities in the coming year. Depending on the economic situation , the flexibility
of the monetary policy will be increased to provide efficient support for the
economic growth. For ensuring financial stability in banking sector, prudential
supervision will be strengthened, counter-cyclical regulation will be maintained.
Expanding access to business loans, stimulating real sector lending, improving
banking and financial infrastructure will be main priorities. The actions on
reducing interest rates will be continued.
The Objectives of the Monetary Policy. In 2015, the main goal of the Central
Bank’s monetary policy is to ensure price stability under its authority. Given the
recent global and domestic economic trends, inflation is expected to remain at a
low level in the medium term. Inflation level is targeted to be 2-3% for the next
year. The flexible reaction of the monetary policy both to inflation and deflation
258
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
will be provided. The character and scale of this reaction will change depending
on the demand and supply factors affecting inflation. Next year, the Central Bank
will pay special attention to the analysis of various price indexes and overall
assessment of the risks of deviation of inflation forecast. The dynamics of the
base inflation will be watched constantly in order to differentiate the temporary
and long-term factors of inflation (deflation) pressures. The Central Bank will
consider the results of the economic cycle model in the formation of an
adequate reaction of the monetary policy.
EXCHANGE RATE POLICY. While conducting the exchange rate policy in 2015,
the Central Bank will focus on the targets to ensure macro-economic stability,
financial stability and protect competitiveness of non-oil economy. A stable
exchange rate of manat plays an essential role in attaining a low single-digit
inflation, preserving social welfare and investment activity. Taking this into
account, the stability of manat exchange rate in 2015 is an important priority.
Exchange rate regime will be kept unchanged, targetting US dollar/manat exchange
rate will be the operational framework of the exchange rate policy for the next
year. The following year, besides the bilateral exchange rate, manat’s nominal
and real effective exchange rates will be monitored.
Monetary Policy Tools. In order to achieve a reasonable growth of money supply,
in 2015, the Central Bank will utilize the tools of providing liquidity in money
market and sterilization. Macro-economic forecasts show that the tendency of
the stability of demand for money will continue in 2016.
Depending on the situation in money market, the regulation of liquidity, also the
use of injection operation will be focus of attention. Along with the objectives of
the monetary policy, market operations will serve the protection of stability in
banking sector, stimulation of financial mediation and implementation of timely
payments. In addition to the classic tools, the usage of unconventional monetary
policy will be provided in necessary cases, also the instruments of crediting
business through banks will be improved. Interest rates on liquidity instruments
will be determined according to “interest rate corridor concept”. In 2015, the
parameters of the interest rate corridor will be adjusted to economic environment
in a flexible way. While identifying interest rates on its operations, the Central
Bank will take into account the priority of reducing interest rates on loans. The
transmission characteristics of the monetary policy to the economy will considered
too while determining quantitative parameters of the monetary policy instruments.
The measures on impoving the tools of the monetary policy and strengthening
their impact on the economy will continue. In particular, reinforcing the activity of
259
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
interbank money market will remain in focus, the integration of the interest rates
here into the interest rate corridor will be considered.
Monetary Policy Framework. The Central Bank will continue to improve the
strategic framework of the monetary policy in 2015.
This improvement will be conducted in the directions of both realizing conditions
of transition to direct inflation targeting regime and expanding the regulatory
arsenal of the Central Bank. According to international practise, targeting inflation
directly is the most effective framwork of providing price stability. This policy
framework ,that envisages high-impact opportunities to aggregate demand,
economic growth and inflation through the interest rates of the Bank, stabilizes
inflation expectations and allows to neutralize the effects of macro-economic
shocks quickly. As an appropriate condition is formed for this (diversification of
sources of foreign currency,deepening of financial and capital markets, increase
of financial depth of banking sector, etc.). the opportunities to use interest rate
as an immediate target affecting aggregate demand will emerge.While improving
the monetary policy framework, changes happening in the design of monetary
policy recently will be considered as well. The recent global crisis indicated that,
central banks should not be satisfied only with supporting price stability for
sustainable economic development. Currently, the matter of expanding target
perimeter (along with price stability, economic growth and financial stability) and
arsenal of tools of central banks are topical in the world. Given the possibility that
risky increase in financial sector may cause macro-economic imbalance,
monetary policy will be closely coordinated with macro-prudential policy. The
macro-economic stability provided by monetary policy tools will be strengthened
with the application of counter-cyclical macro-prudential instruments which
prevent overheating in financial sector.
Financial stability policy. In 2015, the Central Bank will continue its activities
focused on improving the stability of banking sector against potenrial risks,
restricting risks in preventive regime. In 2015, the improvement of banking
supervision framework will be maintained by considering Basel III principles, as
well as the local environment of banking activities. Activities of building a policy
model which allows the implementation of a risk-based and countercyclical
prudential regulation, the prudential requirements scope of each type of risk. In
order to protect the quality of the sector’s assets, banks’ restrained lending activity
and rebalancing the structure of loan portfolio will be ensured. The regulation of
growth on consumer loans will be kept on to provide the compatibility of
dynamics of investments with economic development strategy. The implementation
260
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
261
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
262
CHAPTER EIGHT
THE PROCESS OF AZERBAIJAN’S
INTEGRATION TO THE WORLD
ECONOMY
One of the main goals of the government of Azerbaijan, which regained
independence at the end of twentieth century, in economic field was to ensure
the integration of the country’s economy into the world economy.
International economic integration is performed by foreign trade, international
circulation of investment and employment, membership at international economic
organisations, participation at regional unions.
Foreign economic relations are one of the factors defining the position and
reputation of every country among world countries.The establishment and
expansion of these relations on a solid foundation is of great are of great
importance for the countries gaining independence newly.
Foreign economic relations in Azerbaijan, which was surrounded by “iron
curtains” during the period of Sovet Union, existed as an independent area of the
economy. The country, that was unable to build relations with the outside world
without the permission of the center, tried to found a new system after the
independence.
The structure of Azerbaijan’s economy inherited from the former Union did not
only meet the national economic requirements of an independent country, but
also failed to allow the appropriate way of integrating into the world economy
and to ensure economic independence of the country.
In particular, after the late President Heydar Aliyev became the leader of the
country, within the framework of delicate equilibrium policies, Azerbaijan was
seemed to form its international relations and start to integrate into the world
economy.
263
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
264
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
265
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The first major decision taken by Haydar Aliyev after he came to power was the
acceptance of Manat as a national currency unit and the only means of payment.
The second step was choosing the strategy of benefiting from the energy
resources. After this, the relationship with the IMF and the World Bank began to
be built in order to step towards the integration into the world economy. In
September of 1992, Azerbaijan became a member of the IMF, the World Bank
and International Development Association. Although the membership to the
World Bank and IMF was accepted in 1992, loan agreement with these
organisations was signed in 1995.
In order to adapt developing countries to the world market structure and make
them a part of it, the IMF and World Bank recommends these countries stability
and structural compatibility programs to guarantee this process in using foreign
debt and charge mechanisms
Azerbaijan’s relations with international economic organisations will be dealt with
separately below.
266
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The loan of 112 million dollars which was approved in January, 1999, was
aimed at supporting the financial and economic program of 1999 and eliminating
the negative effects of the decline in world oil prices in 1998 on export. Thus, with
this loan the IMF kept supporting structural reforms towards the reconstruction of
the public sector72.
The government of Azerbaijan was given a 100-million-dollar loan in July, 2001
under the name of “Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility” in order for the
government to continue supporting economic reforms. The primary aim of this
loan was to regain macro-economic stability, encourage the growth of non-oil
sectors of the economy.
In mid-2002, Azerbaijan recieved 16.1 million SDRs in 2 slices. However because
of the misunderstanding between the parties, the program was frozen for a year.
In May, 2003 the IMF decided to allocate the third slice of 12.8 million SDRs.
Azerbaijan gets credit from the IMF within the framework of the “State Program
on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development”. The IMF has allocated 80.45
million SDRs to Azerbaijan within the program of Poverty Reduction and Growth
Facility (PRGF). As a part of the program that started in July, 2001, the loan was
given for 10 years, at an annual interest rate of 0.5%, to be paid back after 5.5
years.
The Loan Mechanism on Poverty Reduction and Ensuring Economic Development
is a low-interest credit mechanism that the IMF has designed for low-income
countries. The programs performed through PRGF, are based on the strategy of
poverty reduction which impacts the strategy document that belongs to the
country of origin, made and confirmed with the wide participation of its citizens
and prepared to reduce poverty. The aim is to ensure that each program conducted
through PRGF is in connection with the macro-economic structure and social
policy of that country and this mechanism serves to reduce poverty and
contributes to development. Currently, Azerbaijan receives only technicl aid from
the fund without the loan resources of the IMF. The International Monetary Fund
has an exceptional place among other international organisations Azerbaijan is a
member of. Azerbaijan is the member of the IMF since September 18, 1992.
Back at that time, the first quota eas 168.000 $, in January, 1999 this quota was
reviewed and increased to 220.000$. It should be noted that, after being the
member of the IMF, the Republic of Azerbaijan attracted a total of 577,3 million $
for the implementation of 6 different programs, that were directed to the
72
http://www.imf.org/external/country/AZE/
267
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
realisation of economic reforms, with the help of the organisation. Azerbaijan has
paid back 552 million $ of the received loans from the International Monetary
Fund, only 15.3 million $ of debt has been left to January 1, 201673.
73
http://www.imf.org/external/country/AZE/
74
http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/azerbaijan
268
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
budget activities and social sphere are performed thanks to the allocated credits,as
well as necessary steps are taken in the fields of health and water supply. From
now on, the World Bank will pay attention mainly to 3 directions. Firstly, to develop
non-oil sectors and open new workplaces in these sectors, make public
administration transparent and work more with the principle of responsibility, serve
the improvement of social services, education and health indicators. Making
amendments to the laws related to fighting against corruption and developing the
accounting system is also the focus area of the World Bank. The discounted and
unpaid loans of the World Bank will be given until the per capita volume of GDP is
at a desired level.
The first loan of the World Bank to Azerbaijan was directed to the oil sector.
Considering the weight and place of oil in Azerbaijan’s economy, the importance of
that credit for the economy becomes vivid. The loans allocated by the World Bank
positively contibutes to the economy just like foreign investments.
Another feature of bank loans is that they are long-term and with very little interest.
The World Bank gives Azerbaijan 35-year and interest-free loans, the government
pays a service charge of 0.75% to the Bank every year.
However, in order to get the expected effects of the loans, they should be spent for
intended reasons and necessary expenses should be avoided. If the economic
funds and increases earned after the use of the loans don’t meet the interest on
those loans, they will be a financial burden for future generations.
A project of “Development and Crediting of Agriculture” was signed with the World
Bank in May, 2000. The volume of that projects is 33,7 million dollars. Under the
project, 9.4 million manats of loans were given to the 329 common group of
deptors joining more than 6 thousand members by CIA (Credit Implementing
Agency) that was founded by “G&G Consulting” consortium (Turkey-Australia).
Additionally, within the project, 20 credit unions (6 in both Beylagan and Nakchivan,
5 in Sheki and 3 in Masalli region) were established by 566 people.
As a part of the project, the registration system of real estate in regions was
improved and the development strategy of agricultural sector was prepared.
The World Bank has planned to carry out 19 projects in Azerbaijan between 2003-
2016. The amount of the financial assistance for the projects is estimated at 1
billion dollars75. Those projects and their financial volume are as follows:
75
http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/azerbaijan
269
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
270
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
271
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
In February, 2003 MIGA guaranteed Fatoglu Food Industry and Trade Company
from Turkey with 529.920 dollars in order to expand and modernize mills. These
investments have been insured against political risks considering restriction of
property rights, confiscation of private property, war and conflicts.
272
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
273
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
274
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
of 42,5 million dollars. In addition, IDB will allocate 13.5 million dollars to build
Khachmaz power production center and joining it to the power line of Yashma-
Derbent.
At the end of 2004, IDB gave Azerbaijan a credit at the amount of 152 million
dollars. The allotted credits were directed to realize the projects related to energy
sector, reconstruct roads, improve water and sewage systems. Besides, IDB is
interested in the cooperation with Azerbaijan’s institutions including small and
medium-sized ones to credit export-import activities.
IDB set aside 58 million dollars of loan in 2005 in order to realize communication
and energy projects and help the development of private sector. At the same
time it is intended by the Bank to allot 1.5 million dollars of grant to improve
IDPs’ living conditions.
Azerbaijan’s being a newly independent muslim country encouraged IDB to
designate investments for the country. The primary target of the Bank is to assist
the social and economic advance of member and muslim countries, as well as
to achieve social economic progress.IDB has made different credit, grant and
technical assistances to the country in order to fund a number of economic
projects. For instance:projects such as the constructions of “Mil-Mugan collector
canal”, “Khanarkhi canal”, “Alat-Gazmammad” and the restoration of “Mingachevir
HPP”, etc. can be shown.
In 1992, IDB gave Azerbaijan a total of 1 billion 200 million dollars of debt.
275
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
to speed up regional crediting and help increase the function of the banks which
it cooperated with.
The loans of German Development Bank (KfW) allocated for financial sector is
used to support private sector and for the project of “deposits insurance fund”.
Thanks to the loan from Germany’s KfW Bank. Ganja and Shaki water supply and
sewage systems were reconstructed.
276
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
30 million euros were set aside for Azerbaijan. This fund was for the reconstruction
of hydroelectric power plants, canals and other infrastructures.
“Rehabilitation” program is about reconstructing the areas released form Armenian
occupation, while “Demining” program intends to clear these areas from mines.
Since 1992, the EU has provided Azerbaijan with an assistance at the amount of
400 million euros.
TRACECA project assuming great importance in the ties of Azerbaijan with the
EU will be reviewed below under the subheadings of INOGATE project and TACIS
program.
8.4.1. TRACECA
In April, 1996, the EU and Azerbaijan signed the Alliance and Cooperation
Agreement which came into force in 1999. Among the countries of the EU,
England prefers to strengthen its diplomatic ties with Azerbaijan due to the oil
companies operating in the country.
Azerbaijan is the largest country in the Caucasus in terms of the commercial
relationship the EU has. The most basic products of this relationship are oil,
natural gas and cotton. Since 1993, there has been a rise in the level of trade
between Azerbaijan and the EU.
Much work is being performed to reconstruct the Silk Road which will have a
positive effect on the economic development of the countries taking part in its
reconstruction along with its geo-political importance. The Silk Road will be a
bridge between East and West and impact the expansion of the market of
Azerbaijani goods, protection of the internal market and growth of income level.
In the reconstruction of this road, “TRACECA” project realized with the help of
the EU will play an exceptional role.
TRACECA aims to build a road with 2 movement directions that will cost less
and be completed quickly from Europe to the Black Sea and via the Caucasus to
the Central Asia. For the refunctioning of the Silk Road, the first step was taken in
1991 with TACIS program of the EU76.
The biggest communication and transportation contract of the century, which
was first dealt with in May of 1993, in Brussel with the participation of Ministers
of Economy and Transport from Azerbaijan, Armenia, Georgia, Kazakhstan,
76
http://www.traceca-org.org/tr/countries/azerbaijan/
277
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
77
http://www.traceca-org.org/tr/countries/azerbaijan/
278
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
8.4.2. TACIS
In the EU’s summit meeting in Rome (December,1990), TACIS technical assistance
program was decide to support post-soviet states on economic reforms. The
most significant feature of the program is that the EU became a mediator in
economic partnership with the CIS countries and took the responsibility of the
function to help ally and cooperation agreements78.
In 1992-93, the EU began to implement the TACIS program. The project
envisages the technical aid to realize legal, structural and economic reforms.
Through TACIS program, the EU encourages the establishment of free market
economy and democratic society in Azerbaijan by funding the projects that bring
new technologies from Europe to Azerbaijan. The European Commission,
Azerbaijani government and other organisations act together in order to investigate
the sectors in need of finance within TACIS program. TACIS, which plays a major
role in the reconstruction of bridges and roads, helps reconstruct the transport
and communication infrastructure. TACIS performs educational programs for the
development of small and medium-sized enterprises, as well as it helps to
identify alternative ways related to the transportation of energy resources from
the Caspian region and Central Asia to the European markets by expressing view
on the resolution of ecological pollution and general enviroenmental problems
resulting from the production in the energy field79.
78
http://www.azerweb.com/en/program.php?id=136
79
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=URISERV%3Ar17003
279
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
8.4.3. INOGATE
Interstate Oil and Gas Transport to Europe (INOGATE) is being carried out as a
primary regional program within the framework of the technical aid intended by
the EU for the former Sovet Union. The fundamental objectives of the project are
the reconstruction and development of the systems of regional gas, oil and oil
products transportation and finding alternative ways to transport energy
resources to the European markets.
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan’s energy resources have a pivotal role in
the project of INOGATE. In this context, both legislative and technical issues have
been helped with. In December, 1998, the meeting of the countries involved in
INOGATE program took place in Brussel where supportive decisions were made
about both Baku-Supsa and Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipelines80.
280
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
In the first phase (1992 and the beginning of 1993), “civilized divorce” of former
soviet republics was ensured, as well as some activities were done towards
creating the base of relationship among them which started to assume interstate
importance81.
Starting from 1993, the legal basis of the existing relations within the CIS began
to be established:
On January 22, 1993 the Charter of the CIS was adopted by the Heads of
States Council of the CIS and thus, its functional and organisational bases
were defined;
In September of 1993, atreaty on creating the Economic Union was signed
which accompanied by signing of other documents improving the treaty ( an
agreement on the establishment of free trade zone; an agreement on the
foundation and development of production, commercial, credit and finance,
insurance and mixed transnational unions; a contract about the realization of
negotiated anti-monopoly policy; a treaty on the cooperation in the field of
investment activity and so on);
On December 1994, the Interstate Economic Committee was established to
strengthen the coordination of economic cooperation among the CIS countries;
In October, 1994, an agreement was signed to create the Monetary Union.
The common directions of the economic policy agreed in the section of the CIS’s
Charter dedicated to the cooperation in economic, social and legal, areas are as
follows:
the formation of a common economic space on the basis of market relations
and free movement of goods, services, capital and workforce;
the preperation of social programs and events to reduce social tensions
stemmed from the implementation of the social policy coordination and
economic reforms;
the advance of transportation, communication and energy systems;
the coordination of credit and financial policy;
assisting the development of trade and economic relations among the
member states;
the promotion and mutual protection of investments;
helping the standardization and certification of industrial products and goods;
81
https://tr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ba%C4%9F%C4%B1ms%C4%B1z_Devletler_Toplulu%C4%9Fu
281
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
282
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
283
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
- the economic potential of the participating countries sharply differ from each
other.
Along with trade and customs barriers, the differentiation of economic legislation
in the CIS countries has an effect on the economic integration. In many cases,
the harmonization of the legislation in the fields of trade, taxation, and customs is
not carried out.
The existence of such conflicts resulted in the establishment of sub-regional
integration within the CIS. Although the CIS itself is a regional community, there
are different associations in its composition, too. They are the following:
The Customs Union: Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan;
The Economic Community of Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,
Uzbekistan
UGUAM: Uzbekistan, Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Moldova;
The Union State: Belarus and Russia;
The single economic space: Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Belarus.
The first real stage in the direction of forming a single economic space has been
the agreement on the creation of the Customs Union. It was signed among Belarus,
Kazakhstan and Russia in January, 1995 and it envisages the establishment of a
single customs territory. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan joined this agreement in March,
1996 and February, 1999, respectively.
Numerous documents were adopted during the existence of the Customs Union
including the agreement on deepening the integration in economic and
humanitarian spheres signed on March 29, 1996 and its logical development the
agreement on the Customs Union and Common Economic Space signed on
February 26, 1999. The main directions of the cooperation (the formation of free
trade zone, mutual relations of the Customs Union with third countries, forming
a single customs territory, common service and labor market, a common
agricultural market, a single scientific-technical and information space) were
determined with these documents.
During the formation of the Customs Union, although certain success was
achieved, a number of serious problems and difficulties which questioned the
realization of the goals set, appeared.
The real results have not been attained in economic activity without solving the
major principal issues of the formation of Customs Union. The slow process of
the integration among the participants of the Customs Union is explained by
284
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
285
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
286
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
287
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
288
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
shows that, bilateral cooperation agreements are more effective and their
implementations doesn’t cause a problem. Such a cooperation form shouldn’t be
regarded as a negative case that brings about disintegration. The main issues is
deepening the integration in various forms. The economic integration in the CIS
should take the demands of the new era into consideration
In general, th economic integration in the CIS can succeed by considering the
sovereignty of the independent states which means each participating country
respect political independence and sovereignty of each other. The priority for
each of the CIS members in building and regulating economic relations is
national and state interests. Putting these interests in shade can not allow to
deepen the economic integration. In this regard, the expansion of the integration
framework can be conducted on the basis of mutual agreement and compromise
stage by stage. In addition, it is absurd to talk about economic cooperation and
large-scale integrtion perspectives in a union where separatist tendencies are
observed and inviolability of territories is violated.
On the other hand, integration should be on a voluntary basis and an objective
condition should form for that. Another condition is about taking existing realities
of market economy into consideration. It shouldn’t be forgotten that economic
integration is only based on economic interests.
Economic integration also demands macro-economic indicators to be close to
each other.However observations indicate that the macro-economic indicators of
the CIS members including budget deficit, inflation, investment, economic
growth rate and regulation mechanisms differ from one another. Under such
conditions, identifying a single set of rules in economic field for the member
countries is impossible.
The efficient results of the economic integration will depend on market subjects
rather than that of the CIS. Because market subjects, namely entrepreneurs,
companies will build horizontal relationship with each other which will lead to
deepening integration. In this regard, not only macro, but also micro-level
condition should be generated. As there is no political framework for a specific
company and entrepreneur, they build their mutual relations with the partners
based on the principle of purpose and mutual benefit. We think that the CIS
countries can contribute to the horizontal development of the economic
integration by stimulating the establishment of transnational companies and
supporting their activities.
Sometimes the integration process in the CIS is regarded as the restoration of
former economic ties which is not a trues approach to this issue. Actually, the
289
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
integration process within the CIS should ensure the rationalization of economic
relations and pave the way for new contacts to create a condition for scientific-
technological, institutional and social progress. Such a system of economic ties
should result in the increased investment activity, improvement of inductrial
structure and quality of manufactured product and provision of its competitiveness.
Otherwise, it will not be possible to turn the CIS into a regional cooperation built
on a solid foundation.
Among the duties to ensure the joining of the CIS as an interrated group and its
long-term functioning, the following can also be shown:
- determining the place of the CIS Economic Union in world economic relations,
as well as in mutual relations with other integrated groups, collectively
eliminating discrimination, unfair competition, legal & economic restrictions
and other threats against it by third countries and other interstate unions;
- realizing a coordinated restruction of production structure that will enable to
minimize the loss during implementing production and extending economic
potential of member countries as a whole or separately;
- providing the progress of technical and technological basis in goods and
services’ production, increasing collective scientific-technical and educational
potential, conducting complex scientific-technical projects;
- developing and implementing large-scale ecological programs.
Summarizing the above mentioned statements, we can note that, a new integration
should not be build on ideological and political dogmas, but rather it should be
based on the principles of market economy and mutual benefit. Moreover, there
must be a balance between the interests of small and large states. The integration
within the CIS can be based neither on the experience during the USSR nor the
mechanical application of international & regional communities’ experience.
There should be a completely different mechanism for the economic integration
of the CIS countries.
Currently, the economic integration in the CIS is based more on bilateral relations
and regulation of economy is exposed to restriction by various types of market
mechanisms, different currency-finance, price, tax legislation and so on. The CIS
countries need a real integration mechanism enabling to turn statement
documents into real achievements.
290
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
82
http://www.bsec-organization.org/Pages/homepage.aspx
83
http://www.bsec-organization.org/Pages/homepage.aspx
291
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
8.5.4. GU(U)AM
Azerbaijan was against to the strengthening predominant course of Russia on
the member countries of Commonwealth of Independent States and therefore
Azerbaijan attempted an initiative of establishing an alternative regional institute
known as GU(U)AM (Georgia - Ukraine - Uzbekistan - Azerbaijan - Moldova). The
Organization, aimed to establish political, economic and strategic cooperation
among the member-countries and to exacerbate principles of independence and
territorial integrity within the frames of collaboration was founded in 1997. P
These are the objectives of the organization of GU(U)AM:
84
http://www.ecosecretariat.org/
292
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
1. After the collapse of Soviet Union socialist bloc states faced different
uncertainties. Due to the political gap the region began to attract the attention
of other powerful countries. Soon the post-Soviet space, especially in the
case of the Black Sea and Caspian Sea countries became to the point of
intersection of interests of those countries who were professing to be centres
of world power. This situation instigated countries to come together in order
to protect their independence.
2. The other issue that brought the Region to the agenda was the "Contract of
the Century" – the project on the production of energy resources in the Region
and also debates and concerns about the way of exportation of those
resources. The fact that pipelines were under the control of Russia was a
source of suspicion. In this case, the organization of regional union was
necessary for the establishment of economic and political relations between
countries in the region and therefore, the selection of reliable exportation
route.
In 1999 Uzbekistan also joined this new organization build to develop economic
cooperation capability among Azerbaijan, Georgia, Ukraine and Moldova. However,
in 2002 Uzbekistan declared about freezing it’s membership of GU(U)AM and
substantiated it with non-comprehensive functioning of the organization. Turkey
and Latvia are observer states.
Delivery of Azerbaijan oil by pipelines across Georgia and shipping of it by tankers
from to Black Sea port to Ukraine and Moldova is an important factor for this
alliance.
In course of time member states held discussions regarding structural changes
in GUAM. Such countries like Turkey, Bulgaria and Romania were candidates for
membership of organization. Unfortunately these processes were driven out
especially after political development and changes in Georgia and Ukraine. US
support, bodes a bright future of this organization.
293
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
294
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
85
https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/acc_e/a1_azerbaidjan_e.htm
295
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
86
https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/acc_e/a1_azerbaidjan_e.htm
296
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
297
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
In addition to this, they should pay attention to “partnerships” that will be able to
achieve improvement of economic relations by avoiding such expressions as
“Union” and “Common market” among Turkey and new Turkish republics. It also
requires attention to ensure that this relations will also cover other countries in
the region. In this point of view creation of organization with a large probability of
participants as “Eurasian Economic Union” makes sense in future perspectives.
298
CHAPTER NINE
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS IN
AZERBAIJAN AND INVESTMENT
POTENTIAL
In this chapter we will review in Azerbaijan, the investment environment, formed
in as a result of external investment processes implemented in Azerbaijan and
changes made in the country for attraction of those, also fields that may be
profitable for foreign proprietaries in perspectives of investment potential.
87
http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/azerbaijan/overview
299
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
2005 Azerbaijan Parliament approved this bill again after some modifications.
This bill encompassed attraction of external capital to the country, development
international economic relations and independence and guarantee for all foreign
investments.
Since 1994 the flow of external capital into the country started to grow. As a
result of administrative and legislative changes, made in 1994-97 to ensure the
flow of foreign capital into the country Azerbaijan could extend the amount of
foreign investments. At first they were companies with externa capital and mainly
interested in exploitation of rich oil and natural gas resources. Soon country
could attract companies specialized in other sectors.
State policy realized in Azerbaijan in 1996-997 and aimed to encourage real
economy could achieve economic stability but due to lack of governmental
support and rejection of the cancellation of taxes implemented for attraction of
external capital and lack of sensitivity by state authorities in 1997 country didn’t
receive any investments.
In 1998 flow of the foreign investments reached its maximum level and amounted
to 1472 US dollars. However, in a result of Tight Monetary Policy, applied by
government, the economic recession, delay in privatization and the expected
implementation of economic reforms country economy the pressure of deflation
besides, there has been a decline in the economy of Azerbaijan since 1998,
especially in sphere of foreign investment. This situation was also incited by
crisis with Russia in 1998 and bureaucracy, corruption and illegal monopolies in
certain spheres. It all led to significant reduction in the number of foreign firms
and descending of general amount of foreign investments. The abolition of tax
privileges to foreign capital impressed the negative trend in non-oil sectors even
more.In 1994-2016 approximately 180 billion US dollars were invested in
Azerbaijan. 77.2% of them were sourced directly, other 22.8% by credits. 73% of
direct capital was invested in oil industry. Azerbaijan holds leading position
among CIS for the volume of direct foreign investment per person. Big part of
GDP in Azerbaijan economy consists of foreign investments. In 1996-2000 the
ratio of volume of the external capital to GDP rose from 30% to 35-40%. In 1999
and 2000 flow of investments declined in comparison with 1998, but in the end
of 2000 this indicator stared to rise again. Some amendments in legislation,
partial reduction of customs and tax rates, and protection of foreign investment
and the steps taken by the government in this way contributed to an increase in
foreign investment. Attain stability in macroeconomic structure, changes made
to strengthening the private sector and further development of oil sector creates
new opportunities for the realization of the flow of large amounts of capital from
300
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
88
http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/azerbaijan/overview
301
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
to the manufacturing sector there were dropped only 1.9%. Also, allocation of
investments to other areas was as following: 1% share of the agricultural sector,
0.2% - the construction sector, 0.8% share of trade and services, 8.7% to
transport, share, 1.4% share of the telecommunications, house building - 5.5%,
and other areas of interest shared only 2.7%.
In 2004, in total 24.2 billion pounds (4.9 billion US dollars) has been invested in
Azerbaijan.This ratio is 36.1% more in comparison with 2003. The 73.7% of the
investment, in other words, 17.8 trillion manat (3.6 billion US dollars) accounted
from foreign investment, the 26.3% of investment which are 6.4 trillion manat
(1.3 miles-yard US dollars) sourced from local capital. The 86.4% of total
investments which consists of foreign and local firms and businesses-relevant
investments ascended to 28.4%, while investments in the state budget increased
by 10.5% over the previous year and reached 537 billion manat.
Table 26. Foreign investments (million USD)
Total foreign investments 2000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
including: 927 3371 4575.5 4893.2 5052.8 6674.3 6847.4
Financial credits
Oil industry 262.9 238.3 293 698.4 983.5 1576.6 2357.9
Oil bonus 546.1 2972.4 4088.1 3799.9 3422.3 4003.3 3350.7
Joint ventures and foreign-
- 58.6 21.6 1 17 68.2 3.5
invested enterprises
from: 118 45.4 104.2 230.5 368.4 439.1 494.1
Turkey
US 31.6 17.1 80.1 96.2 136.6 109.2 145.2
Iran 11.2 4.9 8.4 24.8 70 78 87.9
Germany 2.9 - - 1.2 17.5 4.6 -
Russia 1.7 - 2.1 21.5 17.4 22.9 48.2
Great Britain - 1.2 1.8 5.1 4.6 10.7 5.8
United Arab Emirates 6.8 9 4.2 39.5 39.1 80 89.9
Switzerland 2.8 4.4 4.4 5.7 18.3 12.3 38.5
France - - - 0.5 2.7 3.5 3.7
Cyprus 39.3 2.2 2.2 2.6 11.1 4.4 -
Chinese - - - 0.2 5.4 13.2 2.2
Italia - - - 0.2 1.3 1.2 8.1
Pakistan - - - 4.6 2.8 14 2
Japan - - - - 3.1 - -
Other countries 16.4 - - - - - 0.4
Other investments 5.3 6.6 1 28.4 38.5 85.1 62.2
Total foreign investments 56.3 68.6 163.4 261.6 587.1 641.2
302
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
303
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
entrusted 166 million US dollars to Azerbaijan economy and 110 million of them
was made in oil sector.
The most part of external capital, coming in Azerbaijan accounts for loans from
international financial organizations, direct investments, oil rates, and other credit
investments. A big amount of them are the loans and in future they’ll have to be
returned with additional rates. The same case in investments in oil sector – they
are also loans and in time the interest rates will be paid by the expense of oil.
The extending investments made outside of Azerbaijan during last three years,
may be interpreted as a result of mentioned above facts.
In one hand Azerbaijan returns capital given by international financial organizations,
in the other hand it pays membership fee to international organizations. Besides,
lately Azerbaijan started repayment to stakeholders of “Contract of Century”.
According to calculations made by The World Bank and the "Oxford Analytical"
company of UK, Azerbaijan ranks fifth place among Middle and East Europe and
26 ex-socialist countries of Middle Asia for amount of foreign investments and
exceed capital invested into such countries as Poland, Russia, Hungary and the
Czech Republic.
There is an increment in investments into energy sector and petrochemical
sphere. However, investments in other areas, especially the food and the silk
industry didn’t reach the desired level. Thought this may seems to some investors
as negative case, from perspective of market share and access to the market,
this can be seen as a positive development. Azerbaijan invites foreign investor
and guarantees them all kinds of comfort and all in all, external capital is
encouraged in the country.
In a result of substantial investment in oil sector Azerbaijan became the most
economically developed post-Soviet country. The growth of Azerbaijan economy
sources mainly from oil sector and related to this construction activities,
transport sector and little from agriculture sector.
We can observe stillness in other fields of economy. In order to eliminate this
stillness and increase investments into oil sector 3 social-economic programs
were created for 2004-2018.
Prepared by the Ministry of Economic Development and Industry “Azerbaijan
Investment Map” is aimed to help foreign investors by giving them information
regarding the region sphere and amount of the capital they can invest in country.
According to the estimations move that 60 billion US dollars have been invested
for the yield of Caspian energy resources until 2012. In accordance with the
304
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
305
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
306
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
307
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Amendments made in taxes law and procedure for taxes improved assuredness
of employers regarding the transparency of taxes system.
According to these changes, since 2004 the mechanism of implementation of
fines was simplified. By this means, fines, applied for repeating violations of the
law, will be eliminated. The aim of this change is help to overcome obstacles
that hinder development of small and middle entrepreneurs.
Foreign physical and legal individuals have no right to privatize the land but they
have right to rent it by signing a contract. Besides this, foreigners were given lots
of new privileges.
Since 2005, it was planned to implement new projects within the frames of State
Investment Program together with The social-economic development of regions
program. In addition to that, government adopted the new bill “On investment
rules”, which came instead of those, adopted in 1992 and 1995. This bill aimed
to improve the transparency of investment environment for extending the external
capital flow into country. In the beginning of 2005 about 24 billion US dollars
invested in Azerbaijan. Now government tries to direct businessmen to invest
capital in tourism food industry and etc. new law doesn’t imply any restrictions
for investors’ income.
One of the advantages of the law “On Investment Activities” consists of is
exemption from taxation those foreign businessmen who bring provision for
production and/or service and agricultural equipment. It’s essential for creation
of complex production and service field. It’s also expecting that foreign investors
and holders will get the advantages in creation of free trade zones and industrial
cities. All in all, the implementation of this law will enable flow of foreign capital
to the regions of Azerbaijan.
The codex of anti-monopoly will help to prepare the free competition environment.
308
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
309
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
310
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
9.2.9. NATIONALIZATION
Law on Protection of Foreign Investment nationalizes foreign investors’
properties and protects the from expropriation. Only in cases if it will condtradict
the country's national interests or the possibility of damage occurs to the local
people or in case of natural disasters and other necessary situations invesments
can be nationalized fastly and with compensation on true value of the investment.
Desicions on nationalization can only be given by the Parliament of Azerbaijan
Republic (Milli Majlis). The decree o exportation can be made by the Cabinet of
Ministers.
In recent years, there hasn’t been any nationalization of the country.
The compensation of losses, occured due to illegal actions of State power also
guaraneed by governent.
311
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Foreign investors may reinvest the income obtained in Azerbaijan into the
country, or keep them in the banks and also can buy surrencyaccording to the
course and the rules set by the National Bank of Azerbaijan.
312
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
During the first period, which surrounds 1991-1992 years, some essential
decrees on incomes and expenses were adopted. In December 1991, the laws
on "Value Added Tax" and "Excise", on June 1992, legal entities "to separate the
types of profits and income taxes" and "income tax for individuals," laws were
passed. Since the middle of 1992, began to take shape the independent of the
tax authority of the country.
During the second period, which lasted from 1993 till 1996, there were adoption
and formation legal base of some statues regarding new forms of taxes that
entered country’s system due to transition to market economy. In these terms
some of essential laws were adopted: in February 1993, "Land Tax", in March
1995, "Property Tax" and "Mining Tax", in December 1996, "the State Road Fund
tax", tax laws related to the use of guides, regulations have been developed.
Third period continued from the end of 1996 to 2000 and covered measures
took for improvement of the laws adopted in the previous stage due to qualitative
changes in society and the economy and in January 1999 president signed a
statue on "Improve the system of state control and the removal of artificial
barriers to the development of entrepreneurship" that was directly related to tax
authorities. As a result of this phase, we can mention "Tax Code" which was
accepted in July 2000.
Nowadays taxation system of Azerbaijan Republic provides functioning of
country’s production mechanism, financing immediate needs of the country,
prevents the growth of budget deficit and in general it responses to all demands
of the transition to market economy system. State tax system of Azerbaijan
Republic consists of a single centralized system, which includes Ministry of Taxes
and the State Tax Service. Ministry of Taxes of Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic
the Ministry Training Center, Department for work with large taxpayers and
enterprises with special tax regime, the Department of preliminary investigation
of tax crimes, the General Department of Taxation of Baku, Regional Tax Offices,
taxes offices departments in cities and regions of the republic are also the
integral parts of this system.
The Ministry of Taxes is included to Public administration bodies system and is
subject to the President and Government of Azerbaijan Republic. The establishment
of a centralized system, such as the tax on the entire territory of the country allows
the implementation of fiscal policy. The ministry and all of its subordinate tax
authorities are the juridical persons, they have independent estimate of
expenditures, the current account at the bank, treasury account in warning body,
consonant seals with the emblem of the state seal and stamps and TIN. Minister
313
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
personally responsible for the fulfillment of the requirements for tax bodies and
Ministry. Minister is appointed to the post of President of the Republic of
Azerbaijan. State tax authorities operate on the principle of vertical subordination.
Vertical command accelerates the exchange of information and guidance on the
distribution of legislation materials stipulates to the tax authorities. The tax
amounts are as follows: directly from the source (tax collection before obtaining
income or profit); by declaration (tax collection after obtaining income or profit);
notification of the (object value and the area of taxation, calculated based on the
amount of the tax authority or municipality on the basis of payment notice,
issued for the payment of the tax by the taxpayer).
The state taxes include:
1) the income tax;
2) the income tax (municipal-owned enterprises and other organizations);
3) value-added tax;
4) excise tax;
5) the property tax;
6) the land tax;
7) road tax;
8) mining tax;
9) simplified tax.
The property brought to Azerbaijan to invest into enterprises or enterprises
established with the participation of foreign capital investment can be imported
free from the customs duty and VAT exemption. Further investments with some
exceptions will be subject to a 5% customs duties. They are exempt from VAT.
There are two types of tax regime. Oil companies, operating mostly in oil and
natural gas sector in the frames of Production Sharing Agreements (PSA), are
bound to the oil consortium tax regime. The official tax regime is acceptable to
all the other legal entities.
The income tax for local and foreign entrepreneurs is 20% of the company's
profits. Revenue of social support organizations, grants, membership fees and
donations from non-trade organizations have taxes besides income tax.
The income tax is fluctuating between 14%-25%. The incomes of foreigners,
working in Azerbaijan for less that 182 days and salaries of council employees
are exceptional.
314
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The VAT rate is 18%. Consumption tax is unstable. Taxes for resources (machines,
buildings, etc.) is taken according to the type of property. However, of foreigners,
working in Azerbaijan for less that 182, property of diplomats and consular
officers are free from tax.
Tax for areas are determined according to its type and location. The mining tax is
between 3-26%.
Tax for Cars belonging to foreign citizens who have entered the territory of
Azerbaijan, is determined according to the type and size and length. In addition,
entrepreneurs and individuals, which operates under the name of the simplified
tax system, have to pay VAT 4% in Baku 2% rate for the sale of goods and services
are not related to sales activities. Property and income shall be exempt from
paying taxes.
315
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
316
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
317
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
9.4.5. TRANSPORT
- Restructuring of the locomotive depot,
- Construction of Freight Wagons repair factory by the Wagon depot,
- Construction 3rd North Area of the Baku Metro,
- Public Transport Services in auto and motor ways.
318
CHAPTER TEN
SWOT ANALYSIS OF COUNTRY’S
ECONOMY
SWOT analysis method is a structured planning method used to evaluate the
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats, which may also source from
external environment, of a country, sector, structure, method and process.
The goal of SWOT analysis is to develop plans and strategies, that will focused
on strong and profitable spheres and consider risks and weak sides of them and
at the same time evaluate internal and external influences on those in order to get
maximum advantage.
SWOT analysis is used on the stage of strategic development of a plan or to
define and resolution of a problem.
SWOT analysis is necessary for government, local and foreign investors and
those who want to have a general information about country’s economy.
This method has strategic importance for government that determines development
policy programs for achievement of economic improvement of Azerbaijan and
transition to market economy using economically potential resources of country
and improvement of strategies by making systematic analysis.
For domestic and foreign investors the non-empirical analysis of economy,
excepting macro and sectorial economy, is needed as a first step for making
investments in non-oil sectors.
In this chapter we will make the SWOT analysis of economy of Azerbaijan. As
method of analysis the strengths and weaknesses of the country's economy will
be analyzed separated from macro economy, sectorial-regional economy, risks
and opportunities will be analyzed as economy and non-economy.
The strengths and weaknesses, the risks and opportunities of SWOT analysis
will be given as a paragraphs. In these terms, this analysis will create a general
picture of macroeconomic, regional and sectorial analysis and level of integration
into a world economy.
319
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
320
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
321
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
322
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
323
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
countries. A very big part of these emigrants are young and middle-aged people.
The process which can b expressed as "Brain drain", has significantly increased
in recent years.
- Slow privatization of large enterprises:
In the frames of second privatization program, started in country in 2000, the
privatization of medium and large-sized enterprises such as, communications,
transportation, chemical and energy sector are planned. But we can observe
slowdown in privatization of large institutions.
- Corruption and the level of bribery:
According to numbers, revealed in “Corruption Perceptions Index”, prepared by
Transparency International and including results from 133 countries, Azerbaijan
ranked to 124. This survey shows, that in almost each sphere, especially trade
and investments sectors the level of corruption is high. In the other hands,
Transparency International endorses the measures to combat corruption in
country.
- Dependence of export and the state budget on oil revenues:
The share of oil and oil revenues in exports is about 90%. On the other hand,
50% of the budget revenues are derived from petroleum and petroleum-related
industries. Thereby dependence of the budget from oil revenues, dependence of
thus on the world markets indicators brought Azerbaijan face to face with danger
of "Dutch Disease".
- Customs problems:
Problems and difficulties emerging in customs impedes the healthy implementation
of a foreign trade.
- Low level of income, uneven distribution income:
Despite per capita income level is increasing each passing year, it is still remains
in the middle-level. This means that the purchasing capacity of people is quite
average.
At the same time there is an uneven in distribution of income. Especially, when
those who work in oil and oil related sectors can called prosperous, the swages
of employees in all remained sectors is quite low. This leads population to luxury
consumption. There is not the Middle class in the country yet.
- Monopoly and unfair environment for competition:
324
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
325
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
326
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
million US US dollars to state budget each year. The additional burden bringing
to state budget by transfer costs of Baku-Nakhchivan airline traffic, which was
arranged in order to sole the transportation problem, equals to approximately 10
million US dollars.
- Changing ideas:
The change of thoughts during the transition to market economy and democracy
hasn’t finished yet. The problems are still being estimated and solved from the
point of view identical to Soviet regime. This delays the establishment of market
economy in the country. Surely, the change of ideas is process requiring a time.
10.3. THREATS
10.3.1. ECONOMIC THREATS
- Fluctuations in oil prices:
Fluctuation in oil prices is the main threat in economic terms. Thought for the last
decade there was some increase in oil prices, there is a danger for economy,
related to decrease of oil expenses since 2014. Unexpected drop of costs for oil
may cause to essential problems for country income.
As the matter of fact, high prices can turn to economic weakness and lead to
neglecting with attention demanded for development of non-oil sectors.
327
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
10.4. OPPORTUNITIES
10.4.1. ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
- Level of integration into global economy:
It is easily seen that Azerbaijan is much faster adapting to globalization process
and it achieved bigger results in integration into global economy, by attraction of
external capital, relations with the global economic organizations and membership
in regional alliances in comparison with the countries in the same region.
Country's favorable geographical location, large energy facilities, oil and petroleum
equipment industry, chemical, electronic and wine sector, transport infrastructure
328
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
and positivity rich reserves of raw materials, lack of production, factors such as
cheap labor has been a major factors influencing foreign economic relations of
the country.
Azerbaijan has cooperative economic relations with more than 150 countries and
it’s a member of numerous international and regional organizations.
There is also confidence environment due to signed oil contracts, which are
being supported by the countries and invested by the oil companies.
- The level of transition to free market economy is higher than other regional
countries:
In comparison with other new republics in the region, that got independence
recently, the legislation and infrastructural realization of transition to free market
economy is very high in Azerbaijan.
- Azerbaijan is leading among the countries restored the indecency in
attraction of investments:
It’s observed that the biggest share of extremal capital invested in region came to
part of Azerbaijan. This will turn into positive indicator for the investment making
in other sectors after the start of oil exportation process.
- Having its place among the oil natural gas exporting countries:
In a result of all that work that have been done after the discovery and exploitation
of oil resources and natural gas exportation since the 2005 and 2006, Azerbaijan
have got its place among the oil and natural gas exporting countries. These are
the essential opportunities for attraction of foreign investments and integration
into global economy.
329
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
10.5. PROPOSALS
In the frames of SWOT analysis of Azerbaijan economy we looked through the
strengths and weaknesses of country’s economic capabilities in internal terms
and opportunities and risks that may occur from outside world.
The strategically primary measures that should be taken to provide continuing
flow of local and foreign investments is to accurately estimate the strengths and
weaknesses of country’s economic capabilities in internal terms and opportunities
and risks that may occur from global environment. It will be right to plan the
making of investments in spheres where strengths match the opportunities only
after this investors can make some right and profitable decisions regarding the
potential of sector, product and region. Afterwards, detailed attention should be
given to legislative and diplomatic support and individual relations.
The strengths and weaknesses, revealed in the analysis below, has necessary
importance regarding decisions that should be made, programs and projects,
that should be held and realized for integration in global world in terms of
strengths and weaknesses of internal economy and risks and opportunities for
external economy.
The country government have to determinate and implement decisions that will
help to use the opportunities of strong spheres of economy. In the other hand,
strategic decisions and policies should be adopted in order to transform risks
and threats of economy into opportunity for its development.
The more realistic, stable and confidence steps should be taken by the
government for creation of the investment climate in the country, to promote
political and social policies within the framework of the policies defined by the
determination which adversely affect the investment climate weaknesses and
relieving elements that threaten the economics of country.
330
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
331
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
Economic Economic
Level of transition to free market economy is
Fluctuations in oil prices
higher than other regional countries
Azerbaijan is leading among the countries
restored the indecency in attraction of Non-economic
investments
Level of integration into global economy The ongoing Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
Having its place among the oil natural gas
Situation in neighbor countries
exporting countries
Non-economic Caspian Sea's status problem
Location at trade and historical transition roads Absence of access to the sea and the ocean
Strategical position
POSITIVE NEGATIVE
332
CHAPTER ELEVEN
ECONOMIC RELATIONS BETWEEN
AZERBAIJAN AND TURKEY
On October 18, 1991, when Azerbaijan declared its independence, Turkey was
the first to recognize the country's independence, admitted that the only way for
Azerbaijan to really strengthen its independency is through getting true economic
independence and achieve economic development and therefore, Turkey launched
share of its economic experience and capabilities through state and private
ownership. Since 14.01.1992 Turkish consulate and since 25.05. Turkish embassy
began functioning in Azerbaijan. Thus, the practical cooperation between
Azerbaijan and Turkey driven to an alliance in many sectors such as transport,
communications, construction, oil, education89.
Below the economic and trade relations between Azerbaijan and Turkey, the
perspectives of their development and capital movements between the two
countries have been captured.
333
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
One of the essential tool of development of trade and economic relations, Joint
Economic Commission (JEC) has adopted the First Period Assembly Protocol on
20.02.1997. The Second Period Joint Economic Commission Assembly Protocol
was signed on 30.01.2002. This protocol has importance in the perspectives of
realization of measures, took in the direction of cooperation of such organizations
as KOSGEB, OSTIM and MKE.
334
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
335
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
90
Doç. Dr. Osman Nuri ARAS, Elçin SÜLEYMANOV `Azərbaycan Iqtisadiyyatı`Baku 2010, p 316
336
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
337
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
which was concluding the above mentioned one was signed on 6 May 2004.
Thus, two states got the reciprocal guarantee of social security for their citizens.
338
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
339
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
The first rows of the product groups imported from Turkey into Azerbaijan are
taken by the food products. These are the main products imported from Turkey:
butter, fresh and frozen chicken, sugar, chocolate and confectionery, fruit juices,
milk and milky products, eggs, pasta, potato, other food products, stationery,
salt, sulfur, plaster, cement, electricity, paint, paint additives, washing powder,
various chemical products, paper, cardboard and cardboard products, wallpaper,
iron and steel items, knitting machines, cars and trucks, automotive spare parts,
furniture, leather products, knitwear products, bath and kitchen equipment,
wheel, plastic goods, electronic and household equipment, telecommunications
equipment and etc.
Following there are the main products exported to Turkey from Azerbaijan: oil
and oil products, cotton and cotton products, polyethylene, sugar beet, raw
leather, wool, spirits, licorice, apple juice, silk, carpets and other textile products,
copper, aluminum, titanium, fire extinguishers and so on.
Since 1991, in line with the evolving political and economic relations with
Azerbaijan, as a result of high interest of Turkish businessmen and opening of
the branches of Turkish companies in the Azerbaijani market and import from
Turkey the trade between two countries shows a preference in favor of Turkey.
In the early years of independence, the advantages in the economic and trade
relations between Turkey and Azerbaijan started to decline due to the reason of
entry of other countries’ to the market and development of the domestic
enterprises.
One of the main reasons of the decline in export from Turkey to Azerbaijan is that
the Turkish construction companies completed the construction works and they
are not involved in new projects yet.
The absence of a direct highway connection between Azerbaijan and Turkey
causes the hardships of the relations, especially economic and trade relations
between the two countries and brings Turkey to non-profitable situation due to
other countries (Russia and Iran). Thus, this situation in the Turkish-Azerbaijani
relations brings up on a regular basis the impact of the third countries on
economic and political relations. The high taxes implemented by Georgia towards
the highway connection and the car tonnage restrictions by Iran, at the same
time the membership of Azerbaijan in the CIS and the customs agreements with
the CIS countries caused some difficulties in the economic and trade relations
between Azerbaijan and Turkey. The high taxes applicate to the Turkish tracks,
customs problems, the high level of the bureaucracy, the legislative base
340
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
341
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
the Turkish capital, Gunay Anadolu Insurance and Bashak-Inam Insurance are
the enterprises serving the financial system.
At the same time, Turkish companies play an essential role in the reconstruction
of the road from Baku up to the Georgian board.
However, in recent years, while the decline in the volume of trade between
Azerbaijan and Turkey has occured, the reduction in the volume of Turkish
investments and the reduction in the number of companies based on the Turkish
capital also becomes visible. For example, in 1997, Turkey's share of 14% in
investments in Azerbaijan's economy, although in 2007 the figure was 7.1%.
In short, the Turkish capital, complying with the expression of "one nation, two
states" as a friendly and brotherly investment rather than foreign investment
gives a positive impetus to the development of Azerbaijani economy and its
integration to the world economy.
342
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The distribution of the Turkish investments outside of the oil and natural gas
production in Azerbaijan is as following:
1. Industry Sector:
The ratio of the Turkish investments in the manufacturing and assembly
operations of different areas in the industry sector in Azerbaijan including paint,
aluminum, steel, cable, rechargeable battery, and etc. acoording to the number
of companies is 19%.The volume of investments is about 410 million dollars.
The number of workers in companies is in the amount of 10,000 people.
2. Trade Sector:
Turkish investments in this sector are specialized more in the sale of food,
textile, furniture and household goods. Trade sector due to the number of
companies has a share of 30%. The number of workers in companies with the
volume of investments of approximately $ 370 is close to 16,000.
3 .Service Sector:
The share of Turkish investments in service sector due to the number of
companies is 26%. The volume of investments into the health, education, hotels,
restaurants, banking and insurance services’ companies in the service sector is
about 310 million dollars. The number of workers employed in the service sector
is close to 10,000 people.
4. Transport and Communications Sector:
The volume of Turkish investments in the transport and communication sector
according to the number of the companies has a share of 10%. The volume of
investments of companies operating with the Turkish capital in the spheres of
telecommunications, automation, transportation, and publishing is about 470
million dollars. The number of workers employed is up to 6,000.
5. Construction Sector:
The volume of Turkish investments in the housing construction, construction and
decoration materials sector according to the number of the companies has a
share of 11%. The volume of investments is around $ 360 million, approximately
6,000 people work at the Turkish-owned enterprises.
6. Agriculture and Livestock Sector:
The volume of this sector according to the number of companies operating is
4%. Turkish capital in agriculture and livestock sectors is a about of 70 million
dollars. The number of workers in the sector is approximately 3,000 people.
343
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
344
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
345
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
visits businessmen from Turkey were acquainted with the very important
projects, the increase in the flow of capital in the future is certain. At the same
time, it’s very important to emphasize the important steps by the young Azerbaijani
leader Ilham Aliyev in this direction in particular. The business forum in Istanbul
held in April 2006, is a clear proof of this.
Europe-Caucasus-Asia transport corridor will play a significant role in the
development of economic relations between the two countries. It is planned that
in the coming years, the Azerbaijani railway will be connected with Turkish. The
construction of the Kars-Akhalkalaki railway will help to achieve this goal. Both
countries are interested in the realization of this project. The estimation of this
project started in 2005 and expected to be completed in the coming years.
Turkish businessmen have very important responsibilities particularly in the
agricultural sector, tourism, industry, financial sector, transport, communications,
construction and the development of various sectors in Azerbaijan. If to take into
account that Azerbaijan also plays a role of the bridge for other Central Asian
countries, Azerbaijan becomes more important from Turkish perspectives.
Developing political and economic cooperation between Azerbaijan and Turkey,
"Shahdaniz-2", TAP and TANAP projects carried out successful cooperation
between the two countries. At present, about 2,500 Turkish companies operate
in agriculture, services, industry, trade, construction, transport and others sectors.
36% of foreign companies in Azerbaijan are Turkish companies. In Turkey, nearly
1,100 Azerbaijan companies successfully operates.
In 2013, a new project - 'STAR' an oil refinery factory construction has been
started in Turkey. he project has been laid the foundation by the President of
Azerbaijan Republic Ilham Aliyev and The Prime Minister of The Republic of
Turkey Rajab Tayyip Ardogan in October 25, 2011. "STAR" oil refinery will be
directed to supply the demand of the interior market in Izmir and Istanbul
territories by constructing in Aliaga port zone near Izmir city , in the west of
Turkey which is considered powerful enough economically. The construction of
the factory near the huge petrochemical complex Petkim will cause high-
efficiency by creating vertical integration. The total capacity of the oil refinery will
be 10 million tons and The State Oil Company of the Azerbaijan Republic will
perform as the main supplier of raw materials of the factory. The factory will
produce approximately 1.6 million tons of naphtha will reduce its dependence on
raw materials from foreign countries in the petrochemical industry in Turkey, will
help to decrease the current account deficit of diesel and aviation fuel and play
the role of raw materials for petrochemical industry products. The total cost of
346
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
the project is 5.6 billion USD, in 2014 to finance the construction project of
"STAR" oil refinery complex has been taken into account to allocate in the
amount of 224 million manat by Fund. Until the date 30.09.2014 generally 596.1
million manat, including 223.5-million manat allowance for 9 months of the year
2014 has been directed to finance this project by Oil Fund.
In accordance with the project of "STAR" oil refinery complex has been allocated
596.1 million manat allowance in general by Oil Fund and financing of the project
has finished. According to The President of The Republic of Azerbaijan's Decree
No.1974 of February 21, 2007 The State Oil Fund of Azerbaijan Republic fulfill
the financing of the project "Baku-Tbilisi-Kars new railway". With this Decree,
"International Bank of Azerbaijan" Open Joint Stock Company has been assigned
the agent bank for the implementation of credit and banking services on behalf of
the Government of the Azerbaijan Republic. According to The President of The
Republic of Azerbaijan's Order No.2222 of June 13, 2007, The Ministry of
Transport of Azerbaijan Republic has been determined the competent authority in
the bilateral agreement by the Government of the Azerbaijan Republic. Since the
beginning of financing of projects, until the date 01.10.2015 generally 559.3
million USD, including 22.5 million USD allowance for the first nine months of
the year 2015 has been allocated to The Ministry of Transport with treasury by
the State Oil Fund. This allowance, in accordance with the bilateral agreement
signed between the governments of Azerbaijan and Georgia with The
International Bank of Azerbaijan, has been transferred to the account of the
Limited Liability Company "Marabda-Kartsakhi Railway" which has been created
for projecting, constructing, rehabilitation-reconstruction and exploitation of the
railway area and appropriate infrastructure institution up to the border of the
Republic of Turkey.
At the auction held on 30th of May, 2008 the 51% of "Petkim Petrokimya Holding"
company’s shares have been acquired by the SOCAR&Turcas Energy Inc.for the
price of 2 billlion and 40 million dollars. At present, there are some factories on
low-density polyethylene, high-density polyethylene, polypropylene, polyvinyl
chloride, acrylonitrile, ethylene glycol, purified acid, aromatic hydrocarbons,
ethylene-propylene, chlorine, vinyl chloride monomer, plastic works and phthalic
anhydride operating under the "Petkim". The petrochemical products produced
by the "Petkim" that supplies the Turkish industry with the raw materials ar widely
used in the in the construction, agriculture, electricity, electronics, textile
industries, as well as in the production of pharmaceutical, paint, cleaning
products, cosmetics and other areas. In 2010, "Petkim Petrochemical Holding"
Inc. set a record in production, export and production capacity percentages for
347
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
the 46-year history. "Petkim " took the 12th place in the" Top 500 largest
industrial entities" of " Istanbul Chamber of Industry ", the 20th place among the
"1000 Most exporting companies" of "Turkish Exporters Assembly" and 3rd place
in the ranking released by the "Aegean Region Chamber of Industry" among the
"100 largest industrial structures of the Aegean "and "The most exporting
companies".
Bilateral economic co-operation between Azerbaijan and Turkey, as well as their
great contribution to the investment are the main factors for the development of
our countries. The turnover for the trade between Azerbaijan and Turkey is more
than 5 billion dollar. The volume of the investments allocated to the economy of
Turkey will have reached 20 billion dollar by 2020, whereas 15 billion of this will
go to the State Oil Company. The significant projects, such as Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan
pipeline, Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum pipeline, Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway have the great
importance in the future co-operation between two countries.
After the projects mentioned above, Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline Project
(TANAP), which was signed on, 26 June 2012 by the President Ilham Aliyev and
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has increased the influence of our countries
in a global world and region. Thus, TANAP project will be implemented within 5
years. Azerbaijan will be not only a vital gas supplier for Turkey, but also
Azerbaijani gas will be transported to Europe via Turkey at the same time.
Today, Azerbaijan plays a critical role in a global energy market, as well as
ensuring energy security of region and Europe. The share of Azerbaijan just
increased to nearly 40 percent in some of the gas market of European countries.
Furthermore, an agreement reached as a result of the activities of political
leaders of both countries for the construction of Trans-Anatolian Gas Pipeline in
2012. The role of Azerbaijan will be widened in European gas market after the
implementation of TANAP in 2017. This project will be a strong instrument for
ensuring our long-term development, as well as economic and other interests in
a decade. Current gas reserves of Azerbaijan will let meet the republic and other
countries need for gas in 100 years. Moreover, choosing the TAP project-Trans-
Adriatic pipeline as an export route in 2013 has been a historic page.
On 17 March, 2015 a solemn ceremony was held in Selim, the Turkish province
of Kars, on the occasion of the groundbreaking of the Trans-Anatolian Natural
Gas Pipeline with the participation of the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan
Ilham Aliyev, President of the Republic of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan and
President of Georgia Giorgi Margvelashvili.
348
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
It was noted in this historic event that the project will link the expanded South
Caucasus Pipeline, which starts in Azerbaijan, with several pipelines in the
European Union. The project that intended to impalement within 5 years will be
carried out in several stages, with the first ending in 2018.
The planned capacity of the pipeline will be 16 billion cubic meters of natural gas
per year by 2020, and will be increased to around 23 billion cubic meters by
2023 and 31 billion cubic meters by 2026. Ten billion cubic meters of the initial
16 billion cubic meters volume will be transported to Europe, while 6 billion
cubic meters to Turkey. The intended gas for the Europe will go from Turkey-
Bulgaria and Turkey-Greece border. This historic event could be evaluated as the
new and dynamic development stage of the strategic cooperation of Azerbaijan-
Turkey.
Turkey pays attention to the following points in the Caucasus and Central Asia
policy, including Azerbaijan:
1. To give a priority to the strategy of the common cooperation and development
of the countries in the region,
2. To the establishment of the insurance union of the region,
3. To the establishment of the international arbitration system to operate in the
region,
4. To the acceptance of the properties of investors in the region as the
mortgages while giving the Eximbank credits,
5. To the completion of Kars-Tbilisi railway in the nearest future,
6. To the volume of trade between Azerbaijan and Turkey as well as to increase
of the information and technology flow,
7. To support the development of commercial law, tax law, execution-
bankruptcy law, competition law and the infrastructure of the capital market
legislation,
8. To accelerate the cooperation for the establishment of the economic system
that can be able to compete in the regional market,
9. To mediate the cooperation between this region and Europe at the stage of
acceptance of Turkey into the EU,
10. To work towards the softening of the fright traffic and customs checkpoints
conditions and establishment of the comfortable movement between Azerbaijan
and Central Asian states as between the European countries,
349
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
350
CHAPTER TWELVE
THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL
CRISIS ON AZERBAIJAN’S ECONOMY
12.1. THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS AND
ITS REASONS
Financial problems that started with chaos and swelling in mortgage credit
system continue to deepen in the USA. After taking Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae,
which were organized to improve the market in housing loans, to state control
the big investment bank Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, Merrill Lynch was sold
at a very low price to the Bank of America and AIG, the giant insurance
company, was forced to use a large amount of credit from Fed (Central bank of
the USA) in order to be able to operate. When the crisis was noticed and won
global size in UK, Europe and other developed countries the US congress
confirmed about 700 billion dollars as bailout bills.
In 2008 in the world economy development and growth of previous years began
to decline. None of the countries that play main role in world economics (USA,
Japan, China, UK, India, Germany, France, Italy and Russia) could escape the
impact of crisis. These countries form about 80 % of world GDP. Nearly the half
of world’s population belong to these countries. The world’s annual average
growth after decreasing by 2 times went down to 2.5 % from 5 % in 2007.
From the early months of 2008, banks put up for sale the houses under the
mortgage. Houses that cost over 1 trillion US dollars were offered to customers
in market in June already. As a result of decreasing prices in real estate market
was registered that the US house market lost 4 trillion US dollars. Contrary to
predictions, in most countries the economic development decreased even more.
According to experts, financial crisis followed up by the lack of benefits subsides
and more severe industrial crisis replaces it. In another word, crisis proceeded
from financial sector to industrial. This stage of crisis causes more problems.
351
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
Lately, in the most world countries bankruptcy of car, electrical, light industrial
enterprises and standstill in realty market have been the factors that led to
unemployment. In a fact, crisis affects able-bodied fields the most and it brings
to massive unemployment. It decreases consumption the world wide even more.
Nowadays, banks as in the capacity of weakest points of global crisis, could not
deal with yearly increasing deposits from different countries. In the recent past,
they directed money for a short time to the trade and service sector in a high
percent. Widely has been distributed borrowing money in relatively favorable
terms to repay old debts. Recently the flow of loans were directed to big cities
such as Shanghai, New –York, London, Frankfurt for sale of under mortgage
houses. Even conservative bank systems of England and Switzerland were caught in
financial pyramid trap – they forwarded to mortgage more than 10 billion dollars
without finding out the reliability of customers. In these conditions, investors
directed their funds to real estate –to houses, and to other types of realty.
Financial surplus was making realty prices go up. Formerly, when buying house
under the mortgage you were not paid more than 70% of house worth. Customer
was paying the rest 30%. Afterwards, you could get 80% for the first payment,
later 90%, and in a little while- 100%.It achieved 105-110%. It was a method to
attract customers, extra 5-6 % were planned to provide the house with furniture.
During the mortgage boom, wages and income were also high. But no one did
take into account that in the major states, especially in the US and the UK, the
cost of budgetary expenses coming over the revenues and import’s exceed over
the export on a continuous basis will lead to the stop of the development one
day. After the crisis in the US and Europe more than 1000 leading banking and
financial institutions has declared bankruptcy or partially self-insured with the
help of the states.
352
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
of GDP, in 2005- 26,4%, in 2006-34,5%, and in 2007 despite the fact that the
economic increase was coincided to 25%, in 2008 in Azerbaijan was noted
10,8% of increase. As International Currency Fund notices, there was no
increase rate of GDP in Azerbaijan in 2009 for the first time, it regressed in a
range of -11,5%. If analyzing economic growth after 2005, although the public
produces the previous extent of oil against the background of decreasing oil
prices there have been lessening in the production of goods and servicing. It
proves that profits of Azerbaijan directly depend on oil and oil profits on world’s
price conjuncture. In order to increase the growth of GDP the dependence of
economic development on oil profits needed to be lowered to the minimum. In
2009 in a contrast with previous years, the GDP decreased for the first time. It
mainly occurred because of reduction of oil prices and decline in the
construction sector91.
91
Süleymanov, Elçin, Elvin Alirzayev, and Ayaz Zeynalov. "2008 Küresel Mali Krizinin Azerbaycan Ekonomik
Kalkinmasina Etkisinin Analizi." Journal of Qafqaz University 1.1 (2013): 114-123.
353
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
92
Süleymanov, Elçin, Elvin Alirzayev, and Ayaz Zeynalov. "2008 Küresel Mali Krizinin Azerbaycan Ekonomik
Kalkinmasina Etkisinin Analizi." Journal of Qafqaz University 1.1 (2013): 114-123.
354
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
355
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
356
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
357
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
358
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
year from US $ 144.9 to US $ 38.1. The decline of the price of each barrel of oil
for 10 dollars means a loss of $ 2.2 billion for Azerbaijan.
But even if the price per barrel of crude oil decreases to $ 40, no problems with
the implementation of the state budget are expected. It should be noted that
three-quarters of the oil revenues in the budget consist of the State Oil Fund's
transfers. Even if the price limit used as a calculation base rate by the government
while forecasting the budget revenues for the year 2016 mentioned in the
speeches of representatives of the competent state bodies throughout the budget
estimate was taken as $ 50 per barrel of crude oil, the State Oil Fund’s transfers
for the first time in the past five years have been reduced for more than 40% and
was about 6 billion manats. In this case, the projected budget allocations from
the Fund for the current year will make a total of 90% of the Fund's income. As
noted above, in case of the worst price scenario (for example, 40 USD per each
barrel) the reduction in the Fund's projected revenues will be available.
As you can see, even in the context of such a sharp decline, the State’s Oil Fund
will be able to implement not only Fund’s obligations on the state budget, but
also the obligations of the Fund’s own expenses. In this case, 50-70% of the
Fund's total income can be transferred to the state budget.
359
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
360
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
361
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
- Increase state aid for farmers and other stakeholders (especially those who
decrease the sale or turnover), and implementation of regional and sectoral
tax incentives;
- Promotion of exports in non-oil sectors;
- Revision of the priorities of the investment program, strengthening financial
discipline and efficient use of state budget funds;
- Implementation of state guarantee for some problematic debts that was
carefully elected, for and the registration of non-formal economy;
- Sponsoring of the projects that provides secondary professional training for
unemployed population, number of which is continuously increasing the
benefits and vocations provided to them;
- Organization of campaigns to encourage savings in households and institutions
of all kinds, regardless of their property facilities;
- Promote economic way of development corporate debt securities sector in
the securities market; avoid the preference of Montero or fiscal measures
separately as a anti-inflation instruments and give a preference only to their
combined work.
Thus, we can conclude that such an analysis of the recent global economic
crisis is distinguished by its uniqueness and the serious impact on all the major
financial and trade channels of Azerbaijan. Thought the full official diagnosis of
the impact isn’t systematic, some of the steps taken convincing us that the
government and the business sector is aware of the possible risks
362
THE RESULTS AND PROPOSES
Azerbaijan, which has rich natural resources, natural beauty and strategic
geographical position and growth prospects in among South Caucasus counties,
during the early years of independence, due to the impact of the occupation of
Karabakh by Armenia's and political, economic and social problems, which
occurred because of this occupation has had not very bright position in the
international arena. However, regarding the promising economic resources it
was known as a country that has been the focus of the world's leading media in
the country.
By the coming to force of the National Leader Heydar Aliyev, country gained the
political stability. Azerbaijan could manage the economically hard situation and
developed as a country exporting oil in global scale.
With the policy, running by Heydar Aliyev, the stability in economic and political
environment were achieved and as a result of tighter monetary and credit policy
the 1760% rated inflation has been decreasing since 1995 and the stability in
common consumer costs was provided.
After the international oil companies signed "Contract of the Century" in 1994,
dedicated to the receipts of energy resources in the Caspian Sea, foreign
investment in the country especially in the energy sector continues to be
successful. Oil and natural gas reserves are the backbone and engine of the
economy. With the delivery of energy resources to Western markets Azerbaijan
will become to the richest country in the region with the most important position
in the future.
In the other hand, Azerbaijan is one of the most invested countries, especially by
Western companies, who prefer to make big scale investments in energy sector
and it somehow gives an international guarantee for the future investments in
other sectors also.
The 85-90% of the share of exported products comes from oil and oil industry
production. This rate increased after launch of oil export through the Baku-Tbilisi-
Ceyhan oil pipeline in 2005 and start of transportation of natural gas through
Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum pipeline in 2006. However, it means that economy is
363
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
indexed on oil and fluctuations in oil prices. Thus, the balance of payments deficits
is removed in line with the increase in oil prices and revenues from the oil.
The first period of privatization, which covered mostly small-scale enterprises
finished in 1997. The second period of privatization was launched in 2001 and in
was manly focused on privatization of several middle and large scale institutions,
which had strategic importance.
The economic crisis in Russia in 1998 and decline in oil prices have made
negative impact on country’s economy, but after the increase in oil prices in
2000, the economy become more stable.
Azerbaijan is trying to organize foreign trade policy in terms of the market
economy. There are no any restrictions, especially in the food sector, except
customs duties on certain strategic products.
The turmoil, happened in bank and financial sector in the early years of
independence, was removed and this sector has been moved under the strict
control of the National Bank. Thought legislative regulations haven’t been
accomplished yet, there are main laws that provides general balance of
economy. However in Azerbaijan, state has serious intervention in the financial
system. This doesn’t allow for the liberalization of the financial system. Along
with the rapid development of the financial sector, the sector is still very weak
and vulnerable.
As a result of permission to have a private property and launch of privatization in
agriculture, industry and service sectors, private sector's share in GDP was 13%
in 1990, and increased to 62% in 1999, then rose to 74% at the beginning of
2005. In 2014, the private sector share in the GDP was even 83.2%.
Surely, there are a lot of steps and actions that should be held in economic
development process. These problems, which Azerbaijan is facing with, aren’t
sourced from free market. They are transition period problems. It needs to be
outlined, that the legislative and administrational base for the implementation of
further measures has been established. The macroeconomic, regional and
sectorial goals have been determined and some actions were held towards them.
There has been a significant revival in the economy of Azerbaijan, in general,
after the launch of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, there. The project-based
programs are observed to be carried out.
It’s observed that, along the economic, also strategic profits have been taken
into consideration when Azerbaijan chose the way of production of Caspian
364
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
energy resources and their exportation to global market. This case has a
significant role for Azerbaijan which has had to continue its political independence
and develop the economic freedom against Russia, which tried to save its
impact on region as it was during the Soviet regime.
Despite this all, the existence of rich natural resources, the big personnel potential,
the level of economy in the period of beginning of the transition, location right on
the intersection of essential transport roads creates a positive opinion regarding
the future of Azerbaijan economy.
The resolution of main political problem – the occupation of Nagorno-Karabakh
by Armenia, will have a significant impact on the economic development and
stability.
For the solution of some problems and further development of economy Azerbaijan
government should evaluate and take into consideration some proposes and
made implement some amendments:
- The actions, required for re-establishment of economy should be taken as
soon as possible and it also has to provide the bigger and wider in scale flow
of investments in the country.
- Along with measures, that will provide the flow of investments in Azerbaijan
and guarantee their safety, one of the main targets for economy should be to
get rid of the “Dutch Disease”. The focusing of external trade only on natural
resources is resulting in the exhausting of those resources and contravention
of social justice, which in this term means the enrichment of small part of
population. This also can lead to loss of independence in internal and external
relations. Therefore, the income from oil and energy sector should be directed
to other sectors and human resources.
- The implementation of state subsidies is essential for the development of
some important sectors and exports. In particular, in order to avoid the threat
in the future in perspective of sectorial dependence, the non-oil sectors are
often more sensitive and should be supported. The key sectors requires the
support are the agriculture, livestock, food and industrial sectors. Be the first
to attract foreign investment in this sector, in addition to these sectors,
increasing productivity and quality. While simplifying the use of its lending to
the sector, the manufacturing sector to exports, the decline in unemployment
will lead to an increase in employment and the hidden.
The resolution of environmental problems in national level, regulations regarding
chemical pollution, re-organization of sewage cleaning system, biological diversity
365
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
works to protect the Caspian Sea, the prevention of soil pollution, improve the
management of the forest, with tree-planting projects, expansion of agriculture,
animal husbandry and food industries will achieve significant progress.
- The social disease, inherited from Soviet system – the bribe and corruption
haven’t been defeated yet and it can cause to the widening and deepening of
the problem. Also, it’s very important to increase the minimum standard of
living and the average monthly income of employees in the public sector.
- Nowadays, globalization dominates in the formulation of economy. New
economic term expresses the world where ides and innovations come over to
equipment and technics.
The new economy is the new type of economy, which “stands on the
knowledge”, as it was pointed out in “Third wave” by Alvin Toffler. During the
first wave the agricultural society, owned such factors of production at the
economic development and prosperity as the land and farming techniques, while
during the second wave of the industrial society these factors have been
transformed into the mining, energy resources elements. In the third wave or for
so-called the knowledge society, economic development and prosperity elements
weren’t associated with the land neither energy resources. For Knowledge
societies, development and prosperity will be determined by way of intellectual
production and the transformation of science to investment.
Thus, the struggle for the economic development has earned different perspectives
and now infrastructure for economy is not the physical goods, they are now
more information based. In a result of ongoing grown of position of information
in production, we can even say that industrial goods have lost their leading
position. If we will compare the prices for car, mobile phone, satellite and genetic
vaccine, we can easily see that nowadays knowledge has become to very
important and valuable. Most of the added value of the new economy are
produced by the brain.
In this context, in order to reduce the gap of information; the acquisition of more
knowledge, understanding and have spread.
in this case, for earing of real economic independence for Azerbaijan, economic
independence, development and integration the science and scientist are needed.
It’s impossible to guarantee everlasting economic independence based only on
oil and natural gas resources. Azerbaijan has essential personnel potential. And
now it has to for an educational structure that will develop this potential in
accordance with conditions of new economic world.
366
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
The decision to direct the revenue from energy resources, for getting access to
information, and more importantly, to the sources of revealing the information
and development of educational institutions to train people to be the right
decision. In this regard, the example of India will be most appropriate due to the
use of works and the need to support the work done.
Due to the global process of globalization of the World, investments also has
been got the global characteristics and therefore, it became to the main object of
fluctuations in economic conditions. This fluctuations have appeared, especially
starting from 1980s’, in the shape of financial crisis and transformed into
common economic crisis.
In order to minimalize the impacts of these kind of crises, the international
investments should be directed to productive spheres inside the country, and
this should give the benefits of direct investments.
The developing countries, which are in the transition period, generally run the
policy of increasing the production capacity of the economy. Known as a
Proposal Economy, this policy assumes the importance of tax concession. This
policy was theoretically formed in 1970s’ and it’s mainly focused on the necessity
of promotion of proposals of production factors and therefore defenses the
importance of tax reductions. For the developing or transitioning economics,
which has lack of proposals more that lack of demand, this theory should activate
the production factors by reduction of taxes, which will lead to increase of
production.
In this occasion, there is a keen demand for supporting policy that will rescue
Azerbaijan, which was shaken by the Financial crisis in Russia in 1998, from the
“Dutch Disease”, and therefore prevent the outbreak of the country's income and
foreign investment from the country and launch the new wave of huge
investments, especially, direct big amounted investments in country instead of
portfolio investments. These policies, based on the development of investment
environment, necessary for improvement of level of production and employment
not related to the oil and natural gas sectors. In its turn, good investment
environment required political and macroeconomic stability in the country, for
achievement of which, the elimination of non-trade risks, the existence of tax
rates, tax system and culture and legislative and administrative regulations for
protection of foreign capital is needed. Aldo the optimization systems should be
carried out in connection with the customs regulations. To increase the volume
of foreign trade, we need to liberalize and modernize the customs department. In
addition, in order to increase the export potential of the country, we have to
create the free regions.
367
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
368
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
369
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
consideration and these capabilities must be mobilized for effective and useful
integration into the global economy.
Even the biggest countries wouldn’t be able to develop their economies aside
from the global integration process. The global integration can be strengthened
by regional integration, which enables to build more tight relations with neighbors
and open to new markets, third countries and superiority in these relations. At
the same time, global integration can have negative impacts such as total
dependence of economy on export. So these details should also be taken into
consideration.
- Government should support local production. The dynamic improvement of
leading industrial fields, and main sectors, which exploit the local raw
materials and produce the goods with strong competitive standards must be
provided by implementation of high technologies The experience of the newly
industrialized countries of Asia shows that strict measures should be taken in
the direction of defense of internal market and protection of local production
in its time in order to development and strengthen of domestic production.
The same measures were taken by Developed Countries also. In Azerbaijan
there is a requirement to develop competitive capability of local production
and provide acceptable conditions for them.
- Oil-chemical industry is on the top of essential sectors, which can prevent
Azerbaijan from the “Dutch Disease”.
- The other important sector is Metallurgical industry, which has rich raw
material resources and production with high liquidity in global market.
- When prioritizing the production fields with high demand potential in global
market, it needs to give priority to those, which profitable in perspectives of
natural resources, which exist in country.
- While waiting for final decision regarding the status of Caspian Sea, that will
create regulations on exploitation of oil and natural gas resources and also
fish and caviar production, Azerbaijan should take the complex measures
about water pollution and fish poaching.
- The strict attention should be drawn to regional development programs. For
successful and balanced development of all regions enterprises must exploit
local natural resources.
- GDP growth should exceed 10% in a year. In this case the ongoing economic
development and efficient work of government and political mechanisms are
possible.
370
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
- Along with the increase of the level of income, the justice divide of income
and strengthening of middle class is needed.
- One of the sectors, which also requires the improvement is social defense
system. It should been established in line with modern standards and the
improvement of the welfare of the people must be achieved. In this perspectives,
the priority should be given to social aspects of economic development and
state budget. In Azerbaijan we are observing the continuing decrease of
middle class. For preventing this decrease to reach dangerous limit,
economic decisions should be made with the mandatory of social interests.
- Due to active oil and natural gas production, utilization of metallurgic, energetic,
chemical and water resources and occupation of 20% of territory by Armenia,
Azerbaijan have become to one of the most ecologically dangerous regions in
the world. Government should focus on the re-establishment of social-
economic system, where ecological safety will be provided.
- In order to protect the purchasing power of national currency (manat) the real
income pf the population and poverty must be increased.
- The economic policies, implemented by the government need to be adapted
in line with requirements of the time. For the normal functioning of real
economy we have to try to adapt the transparency of monetary policy and
harmonization with the economic conditions.
- For 2016 Azerbaijan has got more than 40 billion US dollars currency
reserves in Oil Fund and Central Bank. However, it doesn’t hinder the active
cooperation Azerbaijan with international financial organizations. The
increasing of financial abilities of Azerbaijan requires new projects, especially
for management of oil incomes. A part of this income Azerbaijan invests in
realization of different projects abroad. In case of any misunderstanding, The
World Bank's International Centre for Settlement of Investment or MIGA help
to regulate this process.
- According to the International Financial Organizations, Azerbaijan has achieved
very positive results in some areas. In 2005 the indicator of per capita annual
income was 1.270 US dollars, in 2015 it has raised to 7.850 USD (calculated
with the Atlas method). In a result of investment of oil income in Oil Fund (by
government), Azerbaijan was the first country which complied the Extractive
Industries Transparency Initiative in 2009. Besides, significant progress in
building of business has been achieved. Thus, in 2007, the period of
registration of business was 51 day, but in 2015, this indicator fell to 8 days
(Report on Business Building).
371
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
372
LIST OF REFERENCES
1. A. V. Veliyev, “AzŠrbaycanın Istehlak Bazarının Formalaşmasında MDB ÖlkŠlŠri ilŠ Iqtisadi
ÄlaqŠlŠrin Rolu”, AzŠrbaycanda Iqtisadi Islahatların HŠyata KeçirilmŠsi XüsusiyyŠtlŠri vŠ
ProblemlŠr, Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi Islahatlar MŠrkŠzi, Baku, 2001, p. 185-186.
2. A. A. Salmanov, “AzŠrbaycan NŠqliyyat Tranzit Potensialı-Iqtisadi ÄlaqŠlŠri Stimullaşdıran
Amil Kimi”, AzŠrbaycan Iqtisadi Islahatlarının HŠyata KeçirilmŠsi XüsusiyyŠtlŠri vŠ
ProblemlŠri, AzŠrbaycan Respublikası Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi Islahatlar MŠrkŠzi,
Bakı, 2001, p. 54.
3. A. Nadirov – Page Muradov – v.d., AzŠrbaycan Iqtisadiyyatı, Science Publishing, Baku,
2003.
4. Ahmet Ünal Çeviköz, “Türkiye Azerbaycan Ekonomik Ilişkileri - Işbirliğinde Yeni Ufuklar”,
Diyalog Azerbaycan Dünyası Dergisi, TÜSIAB Society, Bakü, Mart-2003, p. 6-7.
5. Agajan Ahmedov, “Regions Develop Dynamically”, (Interview), Media News, March 31 –
April 08, 2005, p. 4.
6. Akif Musayev, “AzŠrbaycan Respublikasının Iqtisadi Inkişaf Strategiyası vŠ Vergi
SiyasŠti”, Iqtisadiyyat vŠ Audit Magazine, No: 10, Oktyabr-2001, p. 12.
7. Alkan Soyak–Zenfira Nesirova, “Küreselleşme Sürecinde IMF Politikalarının Sonuçları:
Azerbaycan Deneyimi”, Articles of The International Conference On A Theme Caucasus
and Central Asia in The Globalization Process, Baku, 2003, p. 14-20.
8. Altan Turker, “Tükenmiş Bir Çevresel Miras Orta Asyada Sınır Ötesi Çevre Sorunları ve
Doğal Kaynakların Tahribi”, Avrasya Etüdleri, C.1, PAGE1, Ilkbahar 1995, p. 42.
9. Ariel Cohen, “Caspian Basin Confronts Boom and Bust Energy Cecle”,
http://www.sibnet.tm/article.php?sid=7334&mode=thread&order=0&thold=0
(04.04.2005).
10. Asaf Nadirov, “Iqtisadiyyatın Yeni Inkişaf MŠrhŠlŠsi”, Azerbaijan, 15 September 2001, p. 2.
11. Atila Artam, Türk Cumhuriyetlerinin Sosyo Ekonomik Analizleri ve Türkiye Ilişkileri, Sabri
Artam Vakfı Yayınları, Istanbul, 1993.
12. Avrasya Dosyası, TIKA bulletins, Different issues.
13. Ayhan Erdal, “Dünya Ticaret Örgütü ve Azerbaycanın Üyelik Süreci”, Materials from
International Conferences after Independency of Azerbaijan, Baku, 3-4 Mach 2003, p.
110-112.
14. Ayhan Karaca, “Azerbaycanda Ekonomik Dönüşüm Süreci ve Reformların 10 Yılı”,
http://www.foreigntrade.gov.tr/ead/DTDERGI/ocakozel2002/ayhan.htm. (13.03.2003)
15. Azad M. Cavadov, “Banking System and Real Business”, Conference Report, 1st
International Conference Banking Development in Azerbaijan 12-14 November 2004,
Baku, 2004, p. 368-369.
16. Azer Amiraslanov, “DövlŠt MüstŠqilliyi vŠ Milli Iqtisadiyyatın Formalaşması ProblemlŠri”,
Advisory Bulletin, No:7(43), October 2001, p. 50-57.
373
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
374
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
375
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
376
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
77. Ferhan Erkmenoğlu, “Ekonomik Işbirliği Teşkilatı (EIT) Devlet veya Hükumet Başkanları
Yedinci Doruk Toplantısı (Istanbul; Ekim 2002)”
78. http://www.mfa.gov.tr/turkce/grupe/ues-8/ECO.htm, (09.04.2003).
79. Fikret Aliyev, “Kontrakt Veka: 5 Let Spustya”, Consulting & Business, PAGE9, 1999, p.
40-41.
80. Fikret Sucayev, “AzŠrbaycanda Qaz Hasilatı vŠ Ona Olan TŠlŠbatın ÖdŠnilmŠsinin
Başlıca IstiqamŠtlŠri”, Materials from International Conferences after Independency of
Azerbaijan, Baku, 3-4 March 2003, p. 36-37.
81. Fuad Aliyev, The International Monetary Fund and Reforms in Azerbaijan, Budapest,
Hungary, February-2002.
82. Fuad Huseynov, “Azerbaycanın Jeopolitik Konumu, Enerji Kaynakları ve Dış Ekonomik
Ilişkiler Sistemi”
83. http://www.foreigntrade.gov.tr/ead/DTDERGI/OCAK2001/azerbaycan.htm, (9.2.2015).
84. Gahir Mikailov-Eyüp Zengin, Azerbaycanda Azgelişmişlik Sorunu, Hasan Selçuk (Ed.),
Yeni Yüzyılda Azerbaycanın Sosyo-Ekonomik Yapısı, Tasam Yayınları, Istanbul, 2004, p.
71-98.
85. http://www.geocitiep. com/ganigonullu/kafkasyaortaasya.html, 7.4.2015.
86. Qubad Ibadoghlu, “AzŠrbaycanın Inkişaf Strategiyasında Neftin Rolu: Ortodoks Bakuş
Açısıyla”, 2023 Dergisi, PAGE18, 15 Ekim-2002, p. 72-75.
87. Gulgaz Aliyeva, “AzŠrbaycan Respublikasının Avropa Ittifaqı IlŠ MünasibŠtlŠri”, Advisory
Bulletin, No:11(47), February-2002, p. 20.
88. Güner Gücük, “Azerbaycanın Ekonomik Gelişimi ve Girişimcilik”, Diyalog Azerbaycan Iş
Dünyası Dergisi, Sayı:16, Ağustos-2004, p. 44.
89. H. Mammadov - R. Axundov, “QŠdim IpŠk Yolunun NŠqliyyat Marşutları”, IpŠk Yolu II.
Respublika Elmi-Praktiki Konfransının Materialları, Baku, 2001, p. 11-14.
90. Hasan Selçuk, “Azerbaycan Bankacılığı”, Hasan Selçuk (Ed.), Yeni Yüzyılda Azerbayca-
nın Sosyo-Ekonomik Yapısı, Tasam Yayınları, Istanbul, 2004, p. 43-70.
91. Haydar Aliyev, Dünya Siyasetinde Azerbaycan Petrolü, (Der. Ilham Aliyev - Akif Murad-
verdiyev, Çev. Abdullah Çiftçi - Ergun Kocabıyık), Sabah Kitapları No.77, Istanbul, 1988,
p. 101-102.
92. HeydŠr Äliyev, “AzŠrbaycan Respublikasının DövlŠt MüstŠqilliyinin Onuncu Ildönümü
Haqqında”, AzŠrbaycan Respulikası Prezidentinin 20 March 2001 Tarixli FŠrmanı, Baku,
20 March 200.
93. Huseyn Mamedov, “Banking Legislation and Improvment Aspects”, Conference Report,
1st International Conference Banking Development in Azerbaijan 12-14 November 2004,
Baku, 2004, p. 292-295.
94. Ibrahim Kuluöztürk, “Türkiye-Azerbaycan Sosyal Güvenlik Sözlşemesi”, Diyalog Azer-
baycan Iş Dünyası Dergisi, Sayı:16, Ağustos-2004, p. 24-26.
95. Investors Handbook, International Conference Investing in Azerbaijan-Gateway to the
Newly Insdependent States, Baku, May 7-9 2003.
96. Investment Guide to Azerbaijan 1998, USACC, Washington, 1998, p. 70.
97. Ilhan Uludağ - Salih Mehmedov, Sovyetler Birliği Sonrası Bağımsız Türk Cumhuriyetleri ve
Türk Gruplarının Sosyo-Ekonomik Analizi Türkiye Ilişkileri, TOBB Yayınları, Istanbul, 1992.
377
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
98. Ilkin Sabiroghlu, “Neft Böhranları vŠ Holland Sindromu'', AzŠrbaycan Milli Demokratiya
Fondu AzŠrbaycan Bulletin, No: 19 (139),10 May 2001.
99. Imran Cafarzada, “Äsaslı Inkişaf IllŠri”, Iqtisadiyyat, 18 October-1 November 2001, p. 3.
100. Inqilab AhmŠdov, “Iqtisadi Islahatlarda Pul-Kredit SiyasŠtinin Rolu”, Advisory Bulletin,
No:7(43), October 2001, p. 43-48.
101. Irfan Kalaycı, “karadeniz Ekonomik Işbirliği: Dünya Ekonomisi Açısından Geleceği”,
Articles of The International Conference On A Theme Caucasus and Central Asia in The
Globalization Process, Baku, 2003, p. 52-57.
102. Irşad Aliyev, “Aqrar SahŠyŠ Investisiya Imkanları”, Diyalog Azerbaycan Iş Dünyası
Dergisi, Sayı: 16, Ağustos-2004, p. 12-13.
103. Ismail Özsoy, Dağıstanın Sosyo-Ekonomik Tarihi, Kaynak Yayınları, Izmir, 1997.
104. Ismet Ergün, “Kollektivist Bir Sistemde Piyasa Ekonomisine Geçiş Sorunları”, Türkiye
Modeli ve Türk Kökenli Cumhuriyetlerle Eski Sovyet Halkları, Yeni Forum Yayınları,
Ankara, 1992, p. 109-113.
105. I. T.Akbarov, “The Role and Economic Importance of Caspian Sea Region”, Materials of
The International Conference on a Theme Caucasus and Central Asia During
Globalization, Baku, 2003, p. 66-67
106. Javid Ahmadi, “Development Perspectives of Azerbaijan Agriculture”, Ekspert Iqtisad
Magazine, No.7-8, 2001, p. 8-9.
107. Karim Mammadov, "The main factors of production in the firms: Manager and
Management." (in Azerbaijani - Menecer ve Menecment - şirkŠtlŠrdŠ Šsas istehsal
faktorları), Research Paper for www.gundelik.cjb.net, First Virtual Azeri Academic
Newspaper, 2001.
108. Karim Mammadov “Conflict, not corruption, is the greatest inhibitor of economic growth
in the Caucasus”. Paper presented at the “First Annual Caucasus Debate Forum”, CEP
(Civic Education Project), 15-18 March,2001, Tbilisi, Georgia.
109. Karim Mammadov “Traditionalism or Modernism.” (in Russian – Традиционализм или же
Модернизм), Paper presented at the "IDEA (International Debate Education Associations
Parliamentary Trainings", April-May, 2001, in Baku, Azerbaijan.
110. Karim Mammadov and Yavuz Kahraman: Strategic Management and Application
(Azersun Holding) (in Turkish – Stratejik Yönetim ve Uygulama (Azersun holdıng), Baku,
2003, Adiloglu publications, 132 p.
111. Karim Mammadov “International Experience: Public sectors market orientation. US
Public sector case.” (in Azerbaijani – BeynŠlxalq tŠcrübŠ: DövlŠt sektorunun müasir
bazaar istiqamŠtlŠnmŠsi), Azerbaijani Quality Associations technique-economical journal
- Quality & Management, Issue 1, CBS publication, June 2007.
112. Karim Mammadov“Behavioral Effects - National Culture and Knowledge Management in
SME's”, 4th Global Islamic Marketing Conference, May, 2013, Istanbul, Turkey
113. Karim Mammadov “Behavior and Innovation on sample of local company reorganization”,
Economic Forum, April, 2014, Baku, Azerbaijan
114. Karin Dalva, “Global payment Cards in Azerbaijan”, Conference Report, 1st International
Conference Banking Development in Azerbaijan 12-14 November 2004, Baku, 2004, p.
212-225.
115. Ken Jowitt, “Yeni Dünya Düzensizliği”, (Çev: Levent Köker), Demokrasinin Küresel
Yükselişi, (Der: Larry Diamond – Marc F. Plattner), Yetkin Yayınları, Ankara, 1995, p.
303-313.
378
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
116. Kenan Çelik – Cemalettin Kalaycı, “Azeri Petrolünün Dünü ve Bugünü”, Journal of
Qafqaz University, V.2, No.2, 1999, p. 63.
117. M. F. Gadcizade, “Nekatorıye Vaprosı Organı Akrujayuşey Sredı na Ploşadyah
Ekspulutatsiyi Neftegazovıh Mestarajdeniy Mejdunarodhıh Kampaniy”, Azerbaycan 21.
Esrin Astanasında, Azerbaycan Ilmler Akademiyası Neşriyyatı, Baku, 1998, p. 235.
118. M. V. Aliyev, “QaradŠniz Regionunun Iqtisadi Inteqrasiya Prosesi vŠ Bu ProsesdŠ AzŠr-
baycan Amili”, Iqtisadiyyat vŠ HŠyat Magazine, No.3-4, March-April-2004, p. 99-102.
119. Marc F Plattner, “Demokrasi Anı”, (Çev: Ergun Özbudun), Demokrasinin Küresel Yükse-
lişi, (Der: Larry Diamond – Marc F. Plattner), Yetkin Yayınları, Ankara, 1995, p. 53-65.
120. Marchin Czurda, “Raising Finance for Azerbaijani Borrowers from the International
Markets”, Conference Report, 1st International Conference Banking Development in
Azerbaijan 12-14 November 2004, Baku, 2004, p. 298-313.
121. Mahammadhasan Valili, AzŠrbaycan, Azerbaijan State Press, Baku, 1993.
122. http://www.turkiye.net/mbinay/news/analiz1.htm, 7.4.2003.
123. Mehmet Dikkaya, “Türk Cumhuriyetleri Enerji Kaynakları: Yeni Büyük Oyunun Temel
Dinamikleri”, Akademik Araştırmalar Dergisi, Y.1, PAGE3, Kasım-Aralık 1999 Ocak 2000,
p. 33-64.
124. Mazaddin Ayyubov, “Bazar Iqtisadiyyatına Keçid vŠ SŠnaye Kompleksi” Advisory Bulletin,
No:7(43), October 2001, p. 66-67.
125. Michael Gerlic, “Role of Banks in the Development of Leasing in Azerbaijan”, Conference
Report, 1st International Conference Banking Development in Azerbaijan 12-14
November 2004, Baku, 2004, p. 338-347.
126. Mikhail Gorbachev, Perestroika: New Thinking for Our Country and the World, New
York, 1987.
127. Misir Mardanov, “HeydŠer Äliyev vŠ AzŠrbaycan TŠhsili”, AzŠrbaycan MüŠllimi
Newspaper, 7-13 March 2003, p. 2-3.
128. Murad Iskender, “Azerbaycanda Ekonomik Sistemin Dönüşümü”, Hasan Selçuk (Ed.),
Yeni Yüzyılda Azerbaycanın Sosyo-Ekonomik Yapısı, Tasam Yayınları, Istanbul, 2004,
p. 15-42.
129. Murad Iskender-Halkan Kitapçı, Değişim, Dönüşüm ve Dünya Ekonomisine Entegrasyon
Süre-cinde Azerbaycan Ekonomisi, Türk Dünyası Işletme Fakültesi Yayınları, No:001,
Baku, 2003.
130. Mustafa Özel, Değişim ve Kriz, Iz Yayıncılık, Istanbul, 1994. p. 120.
131. Mübariz Baghırov, Banklar vŠ Bank ÄmŠliyatları, Nurlan Press, Baku, 2003.
132. Müsteqil AzŠrbaycan, State Statistics Committee of Azerbaijan Republic, Baku, 2001.
133. N. Aliyev, E. Shahbazov, HeydŠr Äliyev vŠ AzŠrbaycan Neft SŠnayesinin Inkişafı,
AzŠrbaycan International Publishing, Baku, 1998.
134. N. E. Cavadov, “AzŠrbaycanın Aqrar Iqtisadiyyatı MüstŠqillik DövründŠ”, Materials from
International Conferences after Independency of Azerbaijan, Baku, 3-4 March 2003, p.
58-60.
135. N. E. Farruxov, “Äsrın MüqavilŠsi - XX Äsrin Šn ÄhŠmiyyŠtli HadisŠsi”, AzŠrbaycan 21.
Äsrin Astanasında, (Redaktor. Ziyad SŠmŠdzadŠ), AzŠrbaycan Elmler Akademiyası
Press, Baku, 1998, PAGE196.
136. N. Ibrahimov - I. Şükürov, Geydar Aliev Otkrıvaet Miru Azerbaydjan, Baku, 1994, p. 32.
379
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
380
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
158. Osman Nuri Aras, Rusyada Tıkanan Sosyo-Ekonomik Değişim Dalgası, Qafqaz
Üniversitesi Yayınları, Baku 2000.
159. Osman Nuri Aras, “Türkiye-Azerbaycan Ilişkileri”, Hasan Selçuk (Ed.), Yeni Yüzyılda Azer-
baycanın Sosyo-Ekonomik Yapısı, Tasam Yayınları, Istanbul, 2004, p. 173-203.
160. Osman Nuri Aras, Elçin Süleymanov "AzŠrbaycan iqtisadiyyatı` ŞŠrq QŠrb`nŠşriyyatı,
Baku 2010, p 316
161. Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (Interim Report), Baku, May-2001
162. P. Mammadov, “XŠzŠrin Ekoloji ProblemlŠrinin HŠllindŠ ÖlkŠlŠrarası ÄmŠkdaşlığın
ÄhŠmiyyŠti”, AzŠrbaycan XXI. Äsrin Astanasında, (Ed. Ziyad SŠmŠdzadŠ), C.II,
AzŠrbaycan ElmlŠr Akademiyası Press, Baku, 1998,, Baku, 1998, p. 208.
163. R. Abbasov, “AzŠrbaycan Turizm Üçün ÄhŠmiyyŠtli BölgŠdir”, HŠrbi And Newspaper,
1-15 April, 2003, p. 2.
164. R. T. HŠsŠnov, “AzŠrbaycan Iqtisadiyyatının Inkişaf Strategiyasının PerspektivlŠri”, AzŠr-
baycan Iqtisadi Islahatlarının HŠyata KeçirilmŠsi XüsusiyyŠtlŠri vŠ ProblemlŠri,
AzŠrbaycan Respublikası Iqtisadi Inkişaf Nazirliyi Iqtisadi Islahatlar MŠrkŠzi, Baku,
2001, p. 10-11.
165. R. X. SHaulov, “MütŠqillik ŞŠraitindŠ Regional Inkişafın Strategiyası”, AzŠrbaycan Iqtisadi
Isla-hatlarının HŠyata KeçirilmŠsi XüsusiyyŠtlŠri vŠ ProblemlŠri, Center of Economic
Reforms of The Ministry of Economic Development , Baku, 2001, p. 84-86.
166. Rasim Hasanov, “AzŠrbaycanın Iqtisadi Inkişaf Paradigması vŠ Iqtisadi TŠhlükŠsizlik
Konsepsiyasının Seçimi”, Advisory Bulletin, No:7(43), Baku, October-2001, p. 6-8.
167. Rasim Musabeyov, “Qloballaşma vŠ AzŠrbaycan”, Advisory Bulletin, No:11 (47),
February-2002, p. 31-45.
168. Raif Kutluk, “Azerbaycan Tarım Sektörüne Genel Bakuş”, Diyalog Azerbaycan Iş
Dünyası Dergisi, Sayı:16, Ağustos-2004, p. 28-34.
169. Rauf Husseynov, “CIPCO Clinging to Life Support”, Baku Sun Newspaper, 17 December
1998, p. 21.
170. RŠhimŠ NurŠliyeva, “AzŠrbaycan Iqtisadiyyatında Böyük IpŠk Yolunun Rolu vŠ ÄhŠ-
miyŠti”, Böyük IpŠk Yolu vŠ AzŠrbaycan Nefti, Mars-Print, Baku, 1999, p. 50.
171. Rashad Suleymanov, “XŠzŠrin SŠviyyŠsinin Qalxmasından Än Çox Ziyan GörŠn AzŠr-
baycandır”, 525 Newspaper, No:56 (1913), 26 March 2005.
172. Rashad Suleymanov, “AzŠrbaycan Mikro MaliyyŠ Assosiasiyası Daşınmaz Ämlakın TŠ-
mirinŠ dŠ Kredit Verir”, 525 Newspaper, No:43 (1900), 5 March 2005.
173. Rovshan Ibrahimov, “Böyük IpŠk Yolu Proqramı vŠ GözlŠnilŠn NŠticŠlŠri”, IpŠk Yolu II.
Respublika Elmi-Praktiki Konfransının Materialları, Baku, 2001, p. 22-24.
174. Rovşen Ibrahimov, “GUÖAM Örgütünün Kurulma Sebeplerinin Uluslararası Ilişkiler Karar
Verme Süreci Teorisi Açısından Değerlendirilmesi”, Azerbaycan Müsteqillikden Sonra
Beynelhalq Konfransın Materialları, Baku, 3-4 March 2003, p. 55-58.
175. Rovshan Guliyev, “Aqrar Bazarların TŠnzimlŠnmŠsi ÜzrŠ Dünya TŠcrübŠsi”, Advisory
Bulletin, No:12(48), March-2002, p. 39-56.
176. Sevil Yıldırım, Dünyada ve Türkiyede Petrol, T.C. Başbakanlık Dış Ticaret Müsteşarlığı
Ekonomik Araştırmalar ve Değerlendirme Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara, Ağustos- 2003.
177. S. Bölükbaşı, “Ankara's Bakü-Netred Transcaucassa Policy”, The Middle East Journal,
winter 1999, p. 87.
381
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
382
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
383
O.N.ARAS, E.SULEYMANOV, K.MAMMADOV
223. “AzŠrbaycan TŠhsil Nazirliyinin BŠyanatı”, AzŠrbaycan Zaman Newspaper, 15-17 March
2003, p. 2.
224. “AzŠrbaycanın Qızıl Yataqlarının Çıxarılmasına Başlanılacaq”, Üç NöqtŠ Newspaper,
No:41(521), 4 March 2003.
225. “Azerbaycan-Türkiye Tohum Üretim ve Araştırma Işletmesi Projesi ile Ilgili Görüntüler”,
http://www.tika.gov.tr/tur/projeler/tarim/main.htm. 12.03.2003.
226. “Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan Pipeline”, Energy Ecology Economy Popular – Science Magazine,
13/2003, p. 2-15.
227. “Banki i Biznes”, Zerkalo Newspaper, 28 February, 2001.
228. “Caspian Staging a Comeback”, Offshore Engineer, June-2000, p. 38.
229. Consultation With the Azerbaijan Republic, Public Information Notice (PIN), No.05/6,
January 21 2005, http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pn/2005/pn0506.htm (10.04.2005).
230. “Country Assistance Strategy For The Azerbaijan Republic”, The World Bank Report,
No:19892-AZ, 29 November 1999. p. 11.
231. “Dünya Bankı 2003-2005-ci IllŠrdŠ AzŠrbaycanda 9 LayihŠ HŠyata KeçirdŠcŠk”, 525
Newspaper, 17.04.2003.
232. “Dünya Bankı TŠhsilin Inkişafına 63 Milyon Dollar Kredit Ayıracaq”, 525 Newspaper,
18.03.2003.
233. “Doğu ile Batı Arasında Ipek Köprü”,Zaman Gazetesi, 9 Eylül 1998.
234. EBRD and Azerbaijan, http://www.ebrd.org/country/azer/index.htm. (10.04.2005).
235. Enerji Sektorunun VŠziyyŠtini Yaxşılaşdırmaq Üçün 1 Milyard Dollar Lazımdır, 525
Newspaper, No:53 (1910), 23 March 2005.
236. EU-Relations with Azerbaijan,
http://europa.eu.int/comm/external_relations/azerbaidjan/intro/ (04.05.2005).
237. Gov't Says New Program Will Halve Poverty Level, Azernews, No:10(400), March 8–
March 15, 2005, p. 3.
238. “Investment Possibilities of Azerbaijan”, Ekspert Iqtisad Magazine, No.7-8, 2001.
239. www.byegm.gov.tr/yayinlarimiz/anadolununsesı/147/AND11.html, (7.4.2009).
240. “Iqtisadiyyatımız DirçŠlir”, AzŠrbaycan Zaman Newspaper, 12-14 November 2002, p. 2.
241. www.foreigntrade.gov.tr/ead/ekonomi/sayi10/kei.htm 5 Haziran 1999. (09.06.2009).
242. “Kommersiya Banklarının Sayı Azalıb”, 525 Newspaper, 14.01.2003.
243. MikromaliyyŠlŠşdirmŠ Bankı On Mininci Kreditini Verdi, 525 Newspaper, No: 57 (1914),
29 March 2005.
244. “Milli Bank HiMayŠdarlıq SiyasŠti Yeridir”, Azadlıq Newspaper, No:2(2665), 5 January
2005.
245. “Minfin Podvodit Itogi Strahovogo Goda”, Zerkalo,No. 15(108), Baku, 2002, p. 16-18.
246. “Neft Fondunun VŠsaiti 727 Milyon Dollara Çatıb”, 525 Newspaper, 17.04.2003.
247. Oil and Gas Investment Projects: Azerbaijan and Georgia, Bisnis Home Page,
http://www.worldbank.org/ogmc/ifcoginvestmentsprojectsazerbaijan.htm. (12.04.205).
248. “Orta Asya Türk Cumhuriyetleri Telekominikasyon ve Internet Altyapısı Ile Ilgili Olarak
Hazırlanan Teknik Rapor”,
http://www.foreigntrade.gov.tr/turkcumhuriyetleri/teknik_rapor.htm. (19.04.2015).
384
ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 25 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE
385
By Sponsor ...
With more than a decade and a half of experience in commercial cleaning services, BG Cleaning
Systems is now bringing its expertise to Azerbaijan.
Due to our commitment to excellence and high quality standards, BGCS has grown significantly
in the past few years. We currently provide a diverse range of janitorial and maintenance services
that cater to all types of facilities, in both the private and public sectors.
Our ongoing business relationships with clients in every sector have allowed us to create an
extensive selection of services designed to accommodate the needs of every facility.
We offer a variety of solutions ranging from standard janitorial maintenance to specialised
services, which include but are not limited to: floor care/maintenance, carpet cleaning/
maintenance, window washing, pantry services, messenger services, and industrial cleaning.
Through years of commendable service, we’ve earned a reputation for being courteous, honest,
and fair. All of our employees are taught the importance of good character and are urged to
portray the utmost in integrity, professionalism, dignity, and reliability.
About BG Cleaning Systems Azerbaijan
BGCS just recently opened its first franchise in Baku Azerbaijan.
Through the able leadership and management of the Master Franchisee of BG Cleaning Systems
Azerbaijan, we’ve been able to bring our services to Baku and its surrounding regions. At BG
Cleaning Systems, we use only the best equipment and we require our professional staff to
uphold high operating standards while completing jobs in a timely and efficient manner.
We take pride in the fact that our team members are trained to provide fully satisfactory service
on a consistent basis, exercising effective cleaning protocol and maintaining complete
confidentiality while performing their duties.
Our goal is to continually improve our portfolio of services and be the best cleaning company in
the industry.