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Commented Jafar Tofik Propsal

The document discusses the role of agricultural input credit on maize productivity in East Hararghe, Ethiopia. It provides background on Ethiopia's agricultural sector and challenges smallholder farmers face with traditional farming methods. The study aims to examine how access to credit for seeds and fertilizer impacts maize yields. It will survey farmers in East Hararghe on their credit use and maize outputs to determine the relationship between the two.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
36 views20 pages

Commented Jafar Tofik Propsal

The document discusses the role of agricultural input credit on maize productivity in East Hararghe, Ethiopia. It provides background on Ethiopia's agricultural sector and challenges smallholder farmers face with traditional farming methods. The study aims to examine how access to credit for seeds and fertilizer impacts maize yields. It will survey farmers in East Hararghe on their credit use and maize outputs to determine the relationship between the two.

Uploaded by

desalegn abye
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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THE ROLE OF AGRICULTURAL INPUT CREDIT ON PRODUCTIVITY

OF MAIZE (IN CASE OF EAST HARARGHE METTA WORDA)

SAMAR UNIVERSITY
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS

BY: JAFAR TOFIK HASSAN


ADVISOR: - SAID. A. (MSC)
A SENIOR ESSAY SUBMITTED TO DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS OF SAMARA
UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR
DEGREE OF BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS

ID:SU/1301820

January, 2024
Samara Ethiopia

I
Table of Contents
Contents Page
Acronyms.............................................................................................................................................................IV
CHAPTER ONE.......................................................................................................................................................1
1. INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................................................1
1.1 Background of the study.............................................................................................................................1
1.2 Statement of the problem..........................................................................................................................2
1.3 Objective of the study................................................................................................................................3
1.3.1 General objective................................................................................................................................3
1.4 Significance of the study.............................................................................................................................4
1.5 scope of the study......................................................................................................................................4
1.6 Limitation of the study...............................................................................................................................4
1.7 organization of the study............................................................................................................................4
2 .LITERATURE REVIEW.........................................................................................................................................5
2.1 Theoretical Literature.................................................................................................................................5
2.1.1 Definition and concepts of rural credit................................................................................................5
2.1.2 Source and type of credit in Ethiopia..................................................................................................5
2.1.3 The problem of rural credit.................................................................................................................6
2.1.4. Fertilizer and agricultural output........................................................................................................7
2.1.5 Ethiopia Fertilizer Sub sector...............................................................................................................7
2.1.6 The Role of Improved seeds................................................................................................................7
2.1.7 Source of Improved seed.....................................................................................................................8
2.2 Empirical Literature....................................................................................................................................8
2.2.1 Credit policy in Ethiopia.......................................................................................................................8
2.2.2Fertlizer policy Initiate..........................................................................................................................9
2.2.3 Economic performance of credit in (1994-1995)................................................................................9
CHAPTER THREE..................................................................................................................................................11
3 METHODOLOGY...............................................................................................................................................11
3.1 The study’s Area.......................................................................................................................................11
3.1.1Types and sources of data..................................................................................................................11
3.2 Sampling Techniques’ and sample size.....................................................................................................11
3.3 Method of data analysis...........................................................................................................................13
3.4 Model specification and Estimation Technique........................................................................................13
3.4 Definition of variables.............................................................................................................................. 13

I
I
4.1 Timeschedule……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……….16
4.2 Budget breakdown.....................................................................................................................................16
REFERENCES...................................................................................................................................................18

I
I
I
Acronyms
AIDB Agricultural industrial Development Bank
AISCO Agricultural input Supply Corporation
BORAD Bureau of Rural Agricultural Development
CBE Commercial bank of Ethiopia
DAS Development Agencies
DBE Development bank of Ethiopia
ESC Ethiopian Seed Corporation
ESE Ethiopian seed enterprise
FAO Food and Agricultural organization
GDP Gross Domestic Product
MOA Ministry of agriculture
NBE National Bank of Ethiopia
NGO Non –Governmental Organization
SNNPR South Nation Nationality and people of Region
UNDP united Nations Development Program
WB World Bank

I
V
CHAPTER ONE

1. INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background of the study


Agriculture is the backbone of Ethiopian economy. It is the most important sector of poverty
reduction in the country. It accounts for about 43.3% of national GDP, 90% of export and 85%
of employment (annual report of NBE, 2012). Despite the importance of agriculture in Ethiopian
economy, the development of Ethiopian agriculture was given less attention especially, to
smallholder’s agriculture until 1990s. During the Derg regime (1974-1991) more emphasis and
support was given to commercial state farm and cooperative farms. They consumed about 95%
of agricultural inputs (improved seeds, fertilizer, pesticides and farm implement).However they
contributed only 5% to the total production. Smallholder agriculture accounted for about 95% of
total area under crops and for more than 90% of total agricultural output (EEA/Annual report,
2004). “In spite of its importance in the national economy, agriculture is largely based on
subsistence farm household, whose modes of life and work have remained unchanged for
centuries.”(MOFED, 2010)
During Dengue regime the financial sectors was highly regulated under the government with
interest rate ceiling and Quantrill restrict on operation of financial institution public cooperatives
enterprise were the main benefits of the low interest rate which remained below in. 1980 .In
spite of the guarantee this still exist significant amount of unpaid or long overdue loan of 37.4
million birr as of 1990 ( annual report on Ethiopian Economy of 1998)the study area, which is
Metta woreda in East hararghe zone, is also mainly depending on agriculture sector .The
dominant farming practice of Meta woreda characterized by traditional farming. Most suitable
product in Meta woreda is maize and other since the household farmers of Meta woreda were
produce out of farmer consumption and they based on traditional agricultural methods are tools
for these agricultural inputs was important to farmers.

The government of Ethiopia in 1993 introduced polices to support agricultural input sector with
objective to organizer and as well as liberal the seed,fertilizer and pesticides sectors . sectors
distribution and market or both privative and public entities furthermore these polices facilitate
import and distribution of commodities in conductive and competitive environment
market .Therefore the national seed fertilizer and pesticide agencies were established since July.
2002 , these three entities were grouped under the natural agricultural inputs authority in the
charge of ensuring the overall coordination of the sector.
The financial components of the program were and still are supported by the commercial bank of
(CBE) as well as other leading Institution in providing credits to imputers distributors and uses
of agricultural inputs.
As of its launch in 1995 till 2000 the extension package program experienced increased annual
interest from the farmers in rained agricultural production areas and proved Ethiopia capacity to
reach national food sufficiency, this led in 2000 and 2001 to cereal production generating buffer
stocks .However the production increment was not accompanied by necessary any mechanism to
insure market price between November 2000 and may 2002 .comes quality. Further asset of the
rural population occurred as farer was complied with returned the credit and loans contracted or
the purchase of these inputs packages (Cushier and Lamias. 2001).

1.2 Statement of the problem


The Ethiopian economy is dominated by agriculture that accounts for over 50% of Gross
Domestic product (GDP) 90% of export earning and 88% of the labor force .It also supplies
food to the urban areas and raw materials to the manufacturing sectors .A variety of crops are
growth seasonality in different of Ethiopia .consisting of maize, coffee cotton ,oilseed .The main
cash and industrial crops include maize ,coffee, cotton oil and vegetable It is estimated that crop
production and livestock husbandry accounts for over 86% of the agricultural GDP.(GA 2013)
The constraints of maize production in Ethiopia include both biotic (weeds,plants,pothgens.wild
animals) and biotic factors (drought,flood,nutrients,soil type) AMARE ETAL .2013) weed
infestation is supreme importance among biotic factors that are responsible for low maize grains
yield. Worldwide maize productions in hampered up to 40% by competition from group of this
crop generally weeds reduce crop yields by competing for light nutrient water and carbon
dioxide as well as interfering with harvesting and increasing the cost involved the crop
production.
Producers takers lower risk low output option given the risks and certainty of credit market and
technology ,information gap literacy diversion of other related problems are present in the
Ethiopia This is a case of rural poor farmers to be trapped in vicious circle of low Income low
saving, low capital formation .low agriculture productivity This in term leads to fail to purchase
better seed, fertilizer ,farm animal and tools to adopt new technology and this lead to low
Investment in Ethiopia.
There fore inadequate role of input credit on productivity of maize and this study an attempt
done to investigating the role of input credit in productivity and previous study are done in in
different area of Ethiopia on the role of agriculture input credits on productivity of maize
however .this research different from the other .researches studying different where there is no
any research was done soil fills this gap will be conducted with aim of answering the following
research questions.
 What are the problem that hinder farmers to use agricultural inputs credit maize
production
 What the trend looks like in provision and collection of agricultural inputs credit
 What is the role of agriculture inputs credit in the productivity of maize

1.3 Objective of the study


1.3.1 General objective
The main objective of the study was Role of agricultural input credit on productivity of maize in
shebedino woreda.
1.3.2 Specific objective
 To identify trends ofprovision credit in shebedeino woreda
 To identify role of agricultural input credit in the productivity of maize
 To identify major factors that hinder form input credit utilization

1.4 Significance of the study


This study may contribute to different stock holders in different ways such as for Metta woreda
and minestrone or decision makers in agriculture sectors farmers in woreda and for individual
why want to make related study at different area. And for development agencies to create
awareness and provides essential information about agricultural input credit and its problems .It
has also importance for governmental and non governmental organization which are interest to
solve problems .It also serve as stepping stone of providing information for further study .The
study will have following importance.
 It may helpful to formulate polices to maximize agriculture productivity.
 It may give the way for future investigation and it is also may help alleviating the
existing the problem.

1.5 scope of the study


The study was conducted only in oe woreda namely Metta woreda. in East hararghe zone at
57km distance from Harar. It also focused on agricultural input credit epically on fertilizer and
improved seed productivity maize moreover the study also tired tosses provision and recovery
trend of agricultural input credit in Metta woreda.

1.6 Limitation of the study


The researcher faced the following limitation unwillingness of respondent to give true
information, limitations of materials/sources, etc

1.7 organization of the study


This proposal contains four chapter The first chapter introduces back ground statement,
objective significance scope limitation and organization of the study chapter Two reviews both
theoretical and empirical literature chapter three presents methodology of the study chapter four
analyzes the data

CHAPTER TWO

2 .LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Theoretical Literature
2.1.1 Definition and concepts of rural credit
The term credit is defined in different ways by different authors Belshow.H(2003) in the book of
provision of credit especially reference to agricultural defined the credit as <<….a condition
which enables adperson to extend his control as distinct from his ownership of resources>>.
Credit is viewed to be essentially our concept .In process of borrowing money as farmers to
obtain the economic power to carry out particularly course of action (E.L Baum and other
2001;p23).According to William claim(2007), agricultural credit is<<wider view of the context
of prevailing food gain the reduction of poverty among the rural poor the view initiatives aimed
at increasing the flow of investment for the agriculture production in the developing
countries.agricultural credit might be considered timely but the urgent concern.
The provision of credit involves two parts amender and borrower .It also invite scaprice for each
transfer or control over money which is the interest ratio charged by lender to borrower (Elias
2002). In the process of credit there are individual the one who lead the money the one who
relieve the money .There is also certain amount of money charged by the lenders to the
borrowers haste pay credit sum of money in favor of the person to who control over is
transferred>>(Elias frank,.2002).

2.1.2 Source and type of credit in Ethiopia


The sources of rural credit can categorize by two forms; there are formal and Informal credit the
formal sources financial initiation is to set up legal and engage in provision of credit and
mobilization of saving. These institutions are regulated and controlled by national bank of
Ethiopia (NBE). The informal credit is most important credit source in rural areas which the
categorized as a commercial (those who lead the money on short term basis to obtain profit) and
non commercial that genera includes fields relative and neighbors informal sources also like
cooperatives and non governmental organization (NGO) informal sources of credit pirates
outside of the banking system and control of NBE Bekele., 2005)
According to World Bank of encyclopedia. There are three major types of credit these are;
consumer credit, commercial credit and Investment credit.
 Consumer credit;. Enables consumer to spend more money than they have on that
time
 Commercial credit;. Is used by company their business. They expect to pay loan
from increase profit.
 Investment credit;. Investment credit is a loan paid back over period as long as 30
years or more these kinds loan are called long term credit.
In the credit market there are formal as well as informal financial institutions. The formal
financial institution such as development bank of Ethiopia(DBE) commercial Bank of
Ethiopia(CBA) and Ethiopia insurance corporation(ELC) and private financial institution have
been coming on the urban financial market .The informal financial agencies consist of local
money lenders merchants who charged increased managing from0.20 percent per year with no
collateral requirement(ZaneLimit Bank., 2007)
The rural credit is aciculate of agricultural development in order to produce more farmers just
expand more mostly in such items as improved seed, fertilizers and implantation such as
expenditure must be financed either out of saving or by borrowing for each period between the
data when supplies and equipment must be purchased and the time when harvest can be sold.
(John Kenneth 2008).There is important government and development agencies to create
mechanisms by which credit is available for low income group of rural farmer in order to
eradicate poverty and hunger .(Mulugeta ,2007)

2.1.3 The problem of rural credit


A, In adequate in fracture; poor in fracture the rural areas is one of major problem of agricultural
sector. Good numbers of rural household farmers is located for away from all whether road
making transportation and destruction of input and collection as wells marketing of output
difficult (Samson G/ Michael., 2008)
B, whether condition;. Most of the farming and livestock rearing practice on the high land
dependent on the amount of the rainfall This is due to the nature of the rained agriculture that is
practiced in high land .(Tegaggn G/egizbiher, 2005)
C, Backward technology ;rural agricultural and non agricultural production system are traditional
with stagnant technology and characterized by low productive despite favorable nature condition
Thus major credit need in rural areas is not for acquiring new technology but
consumption
D, Accessibility of bank; .the commercial bank of Ethiopia (CBE) has been the major finance of
input credit for small holders since, 2004

2.1.4.Fertilizer and agricultural output


Fertilizer is substance containing chemical elements that improve growth and productivity .It
enhances the natural fertility of soil to replace the chemical elements taken from the soil by
previous crop. The use of nature and composts are probable almost as old as agriculture currently
modern chemical fertilizer such as dap and urea are used .The uses of modern inputs area among
the key factor that determine yield the national food production among these inputs fertilizer has
got priority for farming commodity, National fertilizers consumption has deliberately increased
from time to time since the change in 2001(Befekadiu etal,.2007)
2.1.5 Ethiopia Fertilizer Sub sector
Fertilizer was first introduced to Ethiopia and the freedom from hunger program of the FAO in
late 1960 over three decades following the introduction of fertilizers to the country national use
of fertilizer grow from 3500 tons to 140 tons in 205 and 550 tons end loans in 2010.It is expected
that total amount of fertilizers available for application in Ethiopia in 2013. Cropping year will
exceed one million tons (MOA,2012).

2.1.6 The Role of Improved seeds


Improved seeds are on the ethical ingredients in the government extension program and interims
of for high yield and productivity. The development of some of the highbredseriates of plans
have brought about an important revaluation in agriculture hybrid verities of maize, wheat and
tiff have gone a long way in solving the problem of world (Sodiumearl, 2006).In most LDC the
use machinery in agriculture is limited in this case chemical and biological innovation such as
improved seeds and fertilizer will have to be related upon to a great extent for improving crop in
production (Son.,2009)
The total quantity of improved seed supplies national has been increasing since 1996-1997 But
the adoption of improved seed is very low (3%) according Ethiopia rural small holder survey
conducted in 2005 and only 4.5% of cropped area was under variation 2007-2008 .,CSA)

2.1.7 Source of Improved seed


The production and distribution of Improved seed use is under state control in previous
government .The Ethiopia seed corporation(ESC) was the sole distributer of seed produce by
itself or brought from state farmer eliminated its sales through agricultural input supply
corporation(AISCO).Although the seed prices kept low demand for improved seed by the present
sectors remained low parity because of the low quality of the seed and the chapter substitute the
form of own seed sold from previous harvest. The corporation was restructured and remained as
the Ethiopia seed enterprise(ESE) after liberation price was deregulated nd they were allowed to
participate in production of Improved seed(Befekadu teal, 2009)

2.2Empirical Literature
2.2.1Credit policy in Ethiopia

2.2.2.1 General policy situation


Poor performance of the agricultural sector and less developed countries are resulted in
capability at farmers to the produce surplus marketable output for acquiring same investable
capital for adoption of modern input and technology .In the line with the reality government and
private financial institution and donors are involving in the provision of credit to present
households.
Most of nation in sub –Saharan African have been shown a decline in per capital income that has
led to increasing poverty. The incidence of poverty for Africa was about 47% in 1995 although
incidence of poverty was expected to decline to 43% in 2000 the number of people below
poverty line was expected to increase from 18% mill onto 265 million over this period (World
development report 200).The decomposing analysis of agricultural sector is high light that
account 60% of output in the value terms comes 7% from forest (FAO, 2002)
The problem of rural poverty is develop agriculture closely linked with both macro and macro
dimension at macro level the agricultural income the basic indicter of poverty is based on and
labor productivity in farm and livestock activates employment opportunity available to rural
house hoed etc… where at macro agricultural output is determined by various policy parameters
such as price policy of agricultural commodities availabilities of human labor and their quantity
land level technology and have all agricultural policy of government to tackle the challenge in
poverty in Ethiopia in policy needs to be imitated both micro and macro linkage are extremely a
crucial. The order to formulate and implement macro policy effectively there are urgent need in
Ethiopia society in general agricultural economy in particularly(Anteneh Temsegn, 2001)
Berhanu G. etial(2000) conducted study on small holders, Institutional service and commercial
transformation in Ethiopia based on oils estimation method. There shows that the use of
improved seed, fertilizers and household involved in the extension program literate household
and access to credit are positively related with crop productivity distant plot from homestead are
negatively related with crop production.

2.2.2Fertlizer policy Initiate


Shortage of fertilizers as result of purchasing power unpredictable whether reduces farmers to be
reluctant to apply fertilizers owning to this factor word banks studies have disclosed that only
22% the farmer was believed to have used fertilizers at the end of the 1980 .This rate is expected
to increase around 25% indecent year during the past regime fertilizers price in Ethiopia had
been understand of Ethiopia(TGE) following the new economic policy of TGE anew marketing
strategy was designed with technical assistance of FAO in 2009.
2.2.3 Economic performance of credit in (1994-1995)
In 1994/1995 considerable progress was made to deepen the reforms intimating in 1992/1993
1994/95 and continuing through the1993-1995/1996 Real GDP 1994/95 is estimated to have
growth by 5.6% signifying rapid acceleration from 1.3% registered in 1993/94.The good
performance was largely due to the recovery on the agricultural sector. This estimated to have
grown by 4.6% in 1994/95 as opposed to the 5.6% decline experienced in provision year because
of poor rain insects, infestation and lower fertilizer usage (resulting from high price associated
with 1992 devolution (CSA ,2008)
While food shortage was major problem in 1993/94 due to the effect of the as ever drought
experienced in the country in 1994/95 saw a suitable improvement in food production an
estimated 70.4/8000 quintals due to largely to good rain increasing average and more important
on increased fertilizers usage(Economic report PFPs ,2007).
CHAPTER THREE

3 METHODOLOGY

3.1 The study’s Area


The study was conducted in Metta woreda which found (located) in the oromia region East
hararghe and people region in east harrghe zone at some 450 kilometer from Addis Abeba.It is
bounded by different woredas; bedenno woreda the south, Deder woreda the west, Dire dewa to
the north, kersa to the east, metta woreda was established in the 1916 Gc and it contains 32
kebeles. The land in the woreda is 15% mountainous 75%.plains and10% piateaus.The woreda
also experiences 80% sub humid type of climate(woina dega in Amaharic) and 20%
highland(dega) type of agro-ecological climate. The mean annual rainfall in woreda is 1200-
1800ml and the mean annual temperature varies between 10c-22c almost all features in the
woreda practiced mixed farming and the main product are maize, sorghum, chat and so on.

3.1.1Types and sources of data


In this study both primary and secondary data type and primary and deaconry data sources is
used to get adequate information about the role of agricultural input credit in production of maize
in the study area. The maize growing farmers would be used as primary sources and .secondary
source agricultural office of the woreda would be used as secondary sources.

3.2 Sampling Techniques’ and sample size


The population of the study area consist of small holder farmers .Who are living 32 rural kebeles
of Metta woreda.The entire population cannot be considered due to the presence of large
number of population. Time and Resource (budget) libation. So sampling allows the whole
population for this purpose among 32 kebele in the woreda 3 kebelas hawi bilisuma,Koromi and
kullubbi. Were selected by applying them probability sampling researcher will use sample
random sampling technique because simple random sampling reduces bias by giving equal
chance to target population to include into the sample. From non probability sampling researcher
used purposive sampling because by considering the financial and time constraints and almost all
kebele in Metta woreda have the same features to gate relevant information researcher
purposively selected three kebeles by using purposive sampling Therefore study employed
household survey method however due to finance and time constraints total
household/population was not practiced so by considering those constraints researcher selected
three kebele by using purposive sampling method from 32 kebeles in Metta woreda.
 To determine sample size researcher use the formula
n= N/1+N(e)2
Where= n- sample size
e- expected error that there res
N-total number of household
The researcher gate 1086 hose hold in maize production from 3 kebele in woreda ; (Hawi
Bilisuma,koromi and Kullubi) Hawi Bilisuma accounts 348 household,Koromi accounts 376 and
Kulubbi accounts 362 household since e=10% the sample size
n= N/1+N(e)2
1086/1+1086(0.1)2
1086/11.86
n= 91
 which Hawi Bilisuma kebele shares
 (348x91)/1086= 29
 Which Koromi shares
 (376x91)/1086= 32
 Which Kullubi shares
 (362x91)/1086= 30
Household therefore the sample size of the study 91 household from 3 kebeles

3.3 Method of data analysis


The study used both descriptive and econometric analysis percentage and frequency would be
used to analyze the socio economic characteristics of maize farmers and other role of agricultural
input credit in productivity of maize .Regression analysis of OLS type using data soft ware was
used to identify factor influencing maize production in the study area.
3.4 Model specification and Estimation Technique
The method or data used to measure the functional relationship between a quantities dependent
variable and one or more independent variable were regression analysis .A linear regression
equation of the dependent variable is y and x independent variable x1,x2,x3……………xi given
by
Yi=Bo+Bixi+ui
=Bo+B1IS+B2E+B3FS+B4FE+B5P+B6ac+B7FS1+B8F+B9S+B10MS+ui
Where
-Y=maize productivity which is dependent variable, Bo= intercept and the Independent
variables are; IS (Improved seed), E (Education),-FS (family size),-FE (farm experience) ,-P
(pesticide),-ac (access to credit),-FS1 (farm size),-F (fertilizer),-S (sex) ,-MS (marital status)
-Ui = is the value of Y when all independent variables assume zero value (variables that
affect maize production which is ignored by the researcher at the study in the case climate and
whether condition.

3.4 Definition of variables


The study identified the dependent variable which can be affected by independent variable and
independent variable. The dependent variable will land allotted to maize production while
independent variables are improved seeds education family size farm experience, pesticide,
access to credit, farm size fertilizer sex marital status
Improved seed; It will be expected to affect maize production positively since it is assume that
the more farmers used improved seed more improve their maize production .It will be measured
in kilogram.
Education; It will be expected to affect maize production positively since it is assume that the
more the farmers are literate the more they adopt technology in maize production .It will be
measured in years.
Family size;. This is also expected to affect maize production positively .Because the more
family size the household has the more will be labor for the farmer which couid increase maize
production provides that it holds true up to return to scale .It will be measured in years.
Farming experience It will be expected to correlate positively with maize production Because
the longer the households are maize production the more will be production they are assume to
have awareness on production system It will be measured in years.
Pesticide ;.it will be expected to correlate positively with maize production his is because the
more pesticide in due production of maize the lesser pest or the higher pest and weed control
which contributes to higher maize production This is also works up to the concept of return to
scale it will be measured in litters.
Access to credit;. It will be expected to affect maize yield positively because the more access to
credit it is assumed as the easier to afford inputs on time which contributes to higher maize
production It will be treated as dummy variable.
Farm size:- It will be expected to affect maize production positively since the more land holing
size is the more will be the maize production It will be measured in hectare.
Fertilizer: As more Kg of fertilizer applied the more will be soil fertility which directly
contributes to maize production .The workshop to the concept of return to scale It will be
measured in kilogram.
Sex:_ it will be expected affect maize production positively because the more participation in
both sex is more will be the maize production It will be treated as dummy variable.
Marital status:_ It will be expected to affect maize production both positively and negatively
because positively both wife and husband participant more maize production .it will be treated as
continuous variable.

 Model Estimation
 The ordinary least square model
Theatrically there are various econometrics method (estimator) with which we may obtain
numerical value of estimates of parameters such as ordinary least square (OLS) maximum
livelihood and method of moments and so on among the methods we will choice ordinary least
square (OLS) to estimate our model .it is the most commonly used estimator in econometrics
analysis. Because oils has some optimal properties than other potential estimators When OLS is
used to estimate idea with Qualitative variable the resulting model is linear. That means the
dependent variable have linear relationship .Because of this case we can apply ordinary least
square (OLS)
The assumption under OLS is the coefficients of the linear regression model are estimated under
the assumption that the random term assumes normal distribution with zero mean and constant
variance. The values of random term are also assumed to be independent. P- Value and tests
whether each independent t variable is statically significant

CHAPTER FOUR

4. TIME AND BUDGET BREAKDOWN SCHEDULE

4.1 Time schedule

Table1. A rough calculation of time which will be required for the study is
outlines in the following
N0 Activity dec jan febr mar apr May jun
1 Problem identification
2 Topic selection
3 Literature review
4 Proposal writing
5 Proposal submission
6 Data collection and
process
7 Data analysis and
interpretation
8 First draft report writing
9 Final report writing
10 Paper presentation

4.2 Budget breakdown

The budget that will be utilized during the process of conducting this research
for different purpose is explicitly categorized in great detail like the
following.

Table 2.Stationery expenses

No Item Unit Quantity Unit price Total


1 Print paper Pack 1 450 450
2 Photo copy paper Pack 1 450 450

3 Pen No 5 25 125
4 Note book No 1 120 120
5 CD Disc No - - -
6 Flash Disc No 1 300 300
7 Pencil No 3 5 15
8 Questioner No 100 1.00 100
duplication
9 Binding - 1 50 50
Proposal
10 Eraser 1 piece 2 2
Total 1612

REFERENCES
Abdisa Gemeda ,Grima Aboma and Hugo verkujil 2001; Farmers maize seed system in western
Oromia Ethiopia
Ahunian Gief (2011) .Devlopement indicater of Adricultural share eigihhtineth edition Baher dar
Ethiopia.
Andi corpensiedt and Abdi Manmo (200) Analysis of the extent and cause of the technical efface
of farmers growing cereals in Ethiopia; Evidennce from three regions ,Addis Abeba Ethiopia
Befkeadu (1999/2000) Annual Report ion Ethiopian Economy Vol 1Addis Abeba.

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