Corporate Finance Cheat Sheet
Corporate Finance Cheat Sheet
                 Perpetuity                                      t                                                                                                                         Dividend Growth Model                           Ratios / Perpetuities                                             Plowback Ratio                                  Calculating Share Value                                     Taxes and NOPAT                               Accounting Statement
                                                                         C                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               V2.2 - Licence / Copyright
                                                    PV = ∑
                                                                      (1 + r )t
                                      Cashflow                                                                                                                                            AKA the Gordon Growth Model or                 Ratios can be equivalent to a                                       b = plowback ratio                        To value shares, divide dividends and                       If actual taxes are known then we                    Revenues
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Creative Commons
                       C                                         1                                                Potential problem:        RoI = Book Income                             constant growth model. Assumes                     perpetuity resulting in                                         Dividends = E(1-b)                        repurchases by number of shares                             can use                                        -     Costs
                 PV =                                                                                               multiple IRRs                                                         constant growth, ok for mature or                      Ratio = r – g                                     RoE > r : positive growth opportunities             outstanding                                                   EBIT – Tax Expense                           =     EBITDA (operating income)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0
                      r−g             Growth                  NPV
                                                                                                                                                  Book Assets
                                                                                                                                                                                                  stable industries                    => beware same assumptions as                                 RoE < r : value being destroyed                                                                               Instead of NOPAT                               -     Depreciation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by
    Discount rate                      rate                                                   r such that                                      Accounting                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               -sa/3.0/
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     DGM                                                                                                                                                                                                          =     EBIT (operating profit)
                                                                     1                         NPV = 0                                       Rate of Return
                                                   DFt =                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          -     Interest Expense
                  Annuity                                    (1 + rt )t                               IRR
                                                                                                                                                                                                    D0 ⋅ (1 + g )                                                                                                                                           Note: VA = Free Cash Flows of the company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  =     Pretax Income
                                                                                                                                                                                          V=
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  -     Taxes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                P (1 − b )   (1 − b )
                                                         discount                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Created © Matt McNeill 2007
                                                                                                                                                                                                     (RE − g )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Funds that would be available to equity holders if D = 0:                                             =     Net Income
         C       C (1 + g)t                               factor                                                                                                                                                                    V / EBITDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 =         =                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            mmcneill.semba2008@london.edu
 PV =        −                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  E RE − g RE − RoE ⋅ b
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Funds from company free cash flows                                                                    -     Dividends (& share buy-backs)
      (r − g) (r − g ) (1 + r)t                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   =     Addition to Retained Earnings                     Contributions: Mike Rizzo, Mark Carroll
                                                   Payback                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  = NOPAT
Equivalent to
                                                                                                                                      equivalent                                               Dividend                                                                                                                                                     + Depreciation
                                                                                   Project Valuation                                  annual cost                                                                                                                                                            RoE =       Net Income                         - Change in NWC ( = current assets – current liabilities)
perpetuity at time 1 – perpetuity at time t                                                                                                                                                  Growth Model
                                                                                                                                                         PV (COSTS )                                                                                         Market Value of Equity                                  Stockholders Equity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            + New investments                                                                                              NPV (All Equity)                                                       Notes on FCF
                                                                                                                                         EAC        =
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   EBIT (1 − T )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Ratios                Book Value of Equity
            Interest Rates                                                                                                                              AnnuityFactor
                                                                                                                                     also known as                                                                               Use a ratio for a given                                                                                                                                                                                                                 VE =                                            Essentially cash generated before
        (1 + r )(1 + π ) = (1 + i )
                                                                                                                                    break-even rental                                                                           industry or similar firms
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Operating FCF      [NOPAT = EBIT (1 − T )]                                                                                                  ( RE − g )                           payment is made to debt holders
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       and apply.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •Sunk costs – ignore, but market value if
          real    inflation      nominal                                 RoI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           (FCF)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           FCF = NOPAT + DEPREC − CAPX − ΔNWC                                                                            for all equity firm :                       sold is relevant.
                                                                                                                                              Firm Value
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       VA − VD = VE
                 r +π ≈ i                                      (rate of return)                                                               Comprises of value of all
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FCF                                                                                                                                                                                            [WACC = RA = RE ]                           •Opportunity costs – (incremental) should
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     be included (not allocated). Excess
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          V=
                                                                                                                                              its projects - The present
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   (WACC − g )
                                                               CashOut                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               capacity is not free.
                                          T         RoI =                   −1                                                                discounted value of all its
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Equity FCF      EFCF = NetIncome + Depreciation − CAPX − ΔNWC + NetDebt
                 ⎛ APR ⎞                                  InitialInvestment                                                                   cashflows.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             •Inflation – cashflows need to be matched
    r = EAR = ⎜1 +     ⎟                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  EFCF = FCF − Interest (1 − T ) + NetDebtIssues
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           (EFCF)                                                                                                                                                                    to rates of return (nominal usually)
       effective ⎝  T ⎠                                   C1 + L + Ct                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Adjusted Present Value (APV)
                                                    RoI =              −1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              VE + VD = VA                                                                                                                                                                  •Financing costs – taken into account in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     WACC (e.g. dividends and interest)
         annual rate                                           C0                                                                                                                                   Corporate                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Value project as if all equity financed – use
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Valuation                                                                                                                                               Note: VE = Free Cash Flows available to equity holders                                Operating FCF, discount at RA = RE all equity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     •Depreciation is not inflated in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  firm. Add PV(TS) generated by new project
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Free Cash                                            Funds available in company after:                                                                                                                        nominal/real calculations.
             Market Value                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Flows                                              -Building up NWC
                                                                              Mergers & Acquisitions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        -New investments
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  APV = NPV ( AllEquity) + PV (TS )
    Market Value (MV) could be a
  combination of PV and expectation                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -Paying off old debt / Issuing new debt                                               Note: APV assumes D constant over time,
                                                           Overall / Economic Gain
    (P) of takeover premium (C):                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Funds available in form of dividends or share                                         iterative WACC assumes D/V ratio constant, so                                   Modigliani-Miller
             MV = PV + P*C
                                                             Gain = PV ( AB ) − [PV ( A) + PV (B )]                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         repurchases
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  values may be slightly different.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     • MMI – Capital Structure Irrelevant
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     • Perfect Capital Markets:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Terminal Value                                                       Bankruptcy Costs (BC)                                             P(ExpectedCost )                        • Individuals can borrow at the same
         Stock Acquisitions                                Cost of CASH Acquisition / Premium (A buying B)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      PV( BC ) =                                               rate as corporations.
                                                             Cost = Cash − PV (B )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • FCF insufficient to meet RD.D (interest)                                        RBC                                • No bankruptcy costs / distress costs
  Note: that the cost to firm A cannot                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Based on the PV of a constant FCF (as in                              • Direct Costs – Legal, Accounting,                                                                                  • No agency problems
  be calculated from the stock price                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Company Value
                                                             Gain − Cost = PV ( AB ) − PV ( A) − Cash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  last period) with constant growth                                 Trustee, Management fees etc                                                                                         • Symmetric information
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   FCFT ⋅ (1 + g )
                  ratio.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            •Indirect Costs – Production inefficiencies             V                              PV(TS)                        •NO TAXES
                                                                                                                                                                        FCF1       FCF2             FCFT                                                                                                                   1                                                                        (e.g. supplier terms), lost investment
                                                                                                                                                          V = FCF0 +          +           + L+                                                                                                                                   ×
  The economic Gain is required to                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  opportunities, talent loss etc                                                PV(TS)-PV(BCFD)-PV(AC)             This allows us to make RA = WACC
                                                                                                                                                                                               (1 + WACC)T
 calculate true cost, since share price                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             •Typically 1-20%, μ=3-4%, Ç young firms
       may change with merger.
                                                            Cost = x ⋅ PV ( AB ) − PV (B )                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Financial Distress Costs (FD)                      VU                                                      Thus RA does not change due to capital
                                                            Gain − Cost = PV ( AB ) − PV ( A) − x ⋅ PV ( AB )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     structure – but this does not hold in the
    True cost can also be calculated                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                •Reduced financing capacity (D & E)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Note: Perpetuities bring back 1 period (T = last                                                                                                                                          real world of taxes etc.
 from computing gain to shareholders                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                •Higher cost of capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       period of FCF model)
            of company B.                                                x = fraction of combined firm stock going to
                                                                                       shareholders of B                                                                Tax Shields                                                             R A ≤ RTS ≤ RD                                                                                                                                      •Loss of customers / suppliers / talent                            Optimum Leverage          D/E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Optimum Leverage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Cost of capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 VU = VL − PV (TS )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  RA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    RTS V ⎟⎠
 •Value Creation                                           takeover premium?
                                                                                                                                                              = T ⋅ EBIT − T ⋅ Interest                                                                                                     Unlevered
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        PV( AC ) << PV(TS )
     •Operating synergies – horiz:
     market power and vert: market                           Cost = [Cash − MV (B )] + [MV (B ) − PV (B )]                                                    [Interest = RD ⋅ D]                                             ⎝                                                                                                                                                                                Agency Costs (AC)                                                                                                                                   wacc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      RAVU + T ⋅ RD D = RD D + RE E
     foreclosure.
     •Complimentary resource
                                                                                         Premium paid                    Difference between                       = T ⋅ EBIT − T ⋅ RD ⋅ D                                                                                                                                                                     When RTS        = RD         • Debt Overhang                                             • Risk Shifting                                                                                            D/V
                                                                                       over market value                  MV and value as
     synergies                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •New E raised goes to D shortfall if project                •2 +ve NPV projects with different risk                             Risk of bankruptcy due to debt
                                                                                                                         separate entity (PV)            Thus annual tax savings are:
     •Cheaper external financing                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Real additional                                                                                      successful. E insures D.                                    •D fear funds will be allocated to hi-risk                         payments makes debt more risk
     •Correct management failure
 •Wealth Transfers                                                   Dubious Motives                                                                                    TS = T ⋅ RD ⋅ D                                                                       When T=0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        cashflows from TS                              RE = R A +
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     D
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       (RA − RD )(1 − T )                      •Soln: Issue more D, use E to buy back D,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               convertibles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           (ltd liability of E means D loses)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •D thus require higher RD and no
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     E
     •Bondholders to shareholders                    •Agency – empire building, larger                                                                                        T ⋅ RD ⋅ D                                                                                                               D      E                                                                            • Overinvestment                                                projects now have +ve NPV                                                                Leverage
     •Employees to shareholders                      companies, prestige, perks, compen.                                                                         PV (TS ) =                                                                                                R A = RD                      + RE              When RTS      = RA                                                  •FCF which should go to D is risked by E on                 •Soln: Debt covenants etc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Gearing = Leverage = D/V
     (wage concessions)
     •Customers to shareholders
                                                     •Diversification – declining cash rich
                                                     industry. Funds should be returned to
                                                                                                                                                                                  RTS                                                                                                                  V      V                            RE = RA +
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            D
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ( R A − RD )                     risky project.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               •Downside goes to D, upside to E (ltd liability)
     (market power)                                  shareholders.
                                                                                                                                                          RTS approximates to RD when risk of                                                                                                                                                               E                                                                                                                                                               Asset Beta = unlevered
     •Taxes to shareholders (unused                                                                                                                        NOT using tax shields is minimal
                                                     •Increase EPS – number of shares                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Equity Beta = levered
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         RA = RF + β A (RM − RF )                                                                             (β A − β D )
     taxshield)
                                                                                                                                                                       R A ≤ RTS ≤ RD                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       D
                                                     traded may not be equal.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        βE = βA +
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Leverage
           Interest Rates                                                                    Covered Interest Parity                                                    Expected                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Divisional Leverage
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Estimating
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   D      E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            WACC = RD (1 − T )
 •S$£ : $/£ spot exchange rate ($x:£1)                                                                                                                                   future
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       D      E                                                                                                                                 β A = βD             + βE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         + RE
                                                              To UK                         +1 year                   Back to US                                        spot rate                     future
 •F$£ :$/£ forward exchange rate                                                                                                           No riskless arbitrage
                                                                                                                                                                                                     forward
                                                                1     1
                                                                         (1 + r£ ) → 1 (1 + r£ )F$£                                           (1 + r$ ) = F$£                                               (1 + r$ ) S
 •r£ : nominal interest rate £
                                                   $1 →            →
                                                                                                                                                                                                       rates
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       V      V                                     CAPM                                                                                                           V      V                                             Company
                                                                                                                                                                        F$£ = E(S$£
                                                                                                                                                                                 ′ ) ⇒ E(S$£
                                                                                                                                                                                          ′ )≈
 •r$ : nominal interest rate $
                                                                                                                                              (1 + r£ ) S$£                                                 (1 + r£ ) $£                                                                                                                                          RE = RF + β E (RM − RF )
 •i£ : UK inflation rate                                       S$£   S$£            S$£                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 D1 , E1                             D2 , E2
                                                                                                                        (1 + r$ )
 •i$ : the US inflation rate.                                                                                                                                                                                                                           RD = YTM on the                                                                                                                                                                     Can be assumed to
           [S$£ x S£$ = 1]                         $1                                   →                                                                                                                                                              debt of the company                                                                                                                                                                 be 0 if debt is risk-free                                                    β E1, β D1, β A1 β E 2 , β D2 , β A2
                                                                                                                                                                                                        P$
                                                                                                                                                            Purchasing
                                                                                                                                                                                    P S $£ ≈ P ⇒ S $£ ≈ £
                                                                                                                                                                                     £              $
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              D1       D
                 Bonds                                                                                                                                                                                  P                                                                                                                                                      Risk Free Rate                                                                                     Equity Beta                                           L=           L= 2
                                                                                                                                                                                    E (1 + i$ ) E (S$£
                                                                                                                                                                                                    ′ )
                                                                                                                                                            Power Parity                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Market Risk Premium
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Given by short term
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              V1 w %   V2 w2 %
          Price = P(C,T)                                      coupon                        face                                                                                                ≈                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Given by the covariance of                                                1
                                                                                                                                                                                    E (1 + i£ )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         treasury bills (up to 1 year
                                              P = ∑ PV (C ) + PV ( F )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      The difference between the                        the stock with a give index
              coupon           terminal                                                                                                                                                           S$£                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   DC
                %               period                                                                                                                      r2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         maturity) in the US, or gilts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 in the UK.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         return expected from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      investing in shares and the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          (usually via regression                                         DC , EC , β EC , β DC , L =
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 analysis)                                                                                              VC
                                                     T                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       risk free rate.
                                                                 C                            F
                                              P=∑                                                                                                                  r3                                                           Tax Rate                              Debt                                       Equity
                                                                              +                                               Forward
                                                                                                                                              ZCB
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          β AC = w1β A1 + w2 β A2
                                                           (1 + rt )t (1 + rT )T
    Zero-Coupon Bonds
Use ZCBs to get r-values for each                   t =1                                                                       Rates                                           (1 + r3 )3                                                                                Only consider
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The market value of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          equity of the company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Typically ~ 5%
                                                                                                                                                    (1+2 r3 ) = (1 + r3 )2 = DF2
                                                                                                                                                                         3                                                                                                                                                                           Variance: V                                                                                                      Risk of                                                    1 = same as market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Earnings             + ST Debt                                                                                                                                                                                                          =     risk of     +     risk of
         $1 ZCB for t years                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           share                                                  0 = unrelated to the market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          before tax                                                          Efficient Market                                                                                                                                                          share             share
                                                                                                                                                                (1 + r2 ) DF3                                                                                                                                                                                     σ P = w1 σ 1 + w2 σ 2 + 2w1w2σ 1, 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   (if ST debt is not                                                     Standard Deviation:        2             2   2       2      2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              -1 = inverse to the market
                       1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Hypothesis
        B(0, t ) =
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              [σ          = ρ1, 2σ 1σ 2 ]                                                                                                                         corr(mkt, stk ) ⋅σ stk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   related to workng                                                                                                                                                                                  Risk of           Market           Specific
                   (1 + rt )t                                                                                                                                                                T                                                                     captial)                                                                                       [w1 + w2 = 1]                                                  [ρ ≡ rho]                            portfoli    =     risk of     +     risk of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            βi =
                                                                                                                                                                                     D = ∑ t ⋅ wt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Abnormal Returns                                                                    1, 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          σ mkt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  [V (R ) = σ 2 ]
                                                                      Yield to                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           o              share             share
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          αi = Ri − [RF + βi (RM − RF )]
                                                                                                                                     Bonds &                                                                                                                   -   Cash                                                                                                                                                           Correlation
           Discount Factor                                            Maturity                                                                                                               t =1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      βp x Rm          Negligible
                                                                                                                                   Fixed Income                                                            cashflow                                                (if cash is not                                                                                                                                               between two
                                                                                                                                                                                             1 Ct           at time t                                                                                                                                                                                                               stocks                                                                                             Portfolio Terms
                                                            What value of r gives                                                                                                    wt =     ⋅                                                             used
                                                                                                                                                                                             P (1 + rt )t
    Interest Rate Term Structure
          Graph of YTM for                                   the market price P                                                                                                                                                                                for working capital                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Risk = covariance / correlation
           ZCBs over time                                  equal to the discounted
                                                                                                                                                         Duration                                                                                                  it could be used to
    r                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Abnormal Returns                      Portfolio Risk and Diversity                                                             Portfolio Performance
                                                                                                                                                                                     ΔV         Δr                                                                 pay off debt                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1 T
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ∑ rt
                                                           cash flows for the bond?                                                             The weighted average of the                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Correlation
                              yield
                                               Market
                                                price T                                                                                          time taken to get payments             = −D ⋅                                                                     holders)                                 Abnormal returns: αi          Risk               Idiosyncratic Risk                           RP                              RP                                       rho = -1 (max benefits from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            μ = mean return =
                                                           C              F                                                                                                                    1+ r                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               T t =1
                                               P=∑
                              curve                                                                                                                                                  V                                                                                                                                                                          Specific Risk                                                                                                             diversification)
                                                                  +                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       But if capital markets are                        (Diversifiable Risk)
                                                 t =1 (1 + YTM )    (1 + YTM )T
                                                                t
                                                                                                                                                                              ratio of change       ratio of change                 Tax                               Debt                                       efficient then                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1 T
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ∑ (rt − μ )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   -1 < rho < 1 (some benefits
                          t                                                                                                                                                        in value          in interest rate                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  from diversification)                VAR =                                 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Ri = RF + β i (RM − RF )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           The tax rate to be used            In principle the market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              may not be the                 value of the debt, but in                                                    Risk         Market Risk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     (Systematic Risk)                                                                                                                rho = 1 (no benefits from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     T t =1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ⇒ E ( ARi ) = 0
          ZCB Duration                         Interest Rate Sensitivity                                          Treasury Securities                            Forward Rates                                               corporate tax rate.               practice this hard to                                                                                                                                                                                                       diversification)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Strictly speaking it              find. Book value is a                                                                                     20        # Stocks
The duration of a ZCB is the same              Interest rates are more sensitive:                                        1yr <= T-Bills                            Nomenclature:                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            100% w1:w2                                                                                          StdDev = SQRT(VAR)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           0%                                                       Risk
      as its time to maturity                       - when maturity is longer
                                                  - when the coupon is lower
                                                                                                                        10yr <= T-Notes
                                                                                                                        10yr > T-Bonds                            r ≡ f (0,2,3)                               Downloaded by Ph??ng V? Tr?n Lan (050610220479@st.buh.edu.vn)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           should be the effective
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   tax rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 valid proxy unless
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           A portfolio of about 20 stocks can diversify
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             company is in distress.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      almost all specific risk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (Mix)                            (StdDev)
                                                                                                                                                                 2 3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              lOMoARcPSD|35863263
         Terminology                        Call Option                                     Put Option                                                                  Replicating Portfolio                    2 Period Binomial Model                                    C2U = max{0, S2U − K}                                                 Warrants                                                   Convertible Bonds                                   n     = number of existing shares
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       V2.2 - Licence / Copyright
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 m     = number of bonds
Long = Buy the right to…               S>K = In the money                              S<K = In the money                                                         Use arbitrage principle.                       For European Call Option                                        = S2U ⋅ Δ′ + (1 + RF ) B′                      Equiv. To Call option except:                              Equivalent to a package of a:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    t
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 r     = conversion ratio: number of shares per bond                                             Creative Commons
Short = Sell the right to…             S=K = at the money                              S=K = at the money                                                         Δ = proportion of stock                                                = S1U ⋅ Δ′ + B′                                                                        • Issued by company so company gets                                       straight bond + warrant                                FB    = face value of each bond
                                       S<K = out of the money                          S>K = out of the money                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0
Call = … buy at given price
Put = … sell at given price
                                                                                                                                   Options                        (aka hedge ratio / option delta)
                                                                                                                                                                  B = value of risk free Bonds                                       C1U = S1U ⋅ Δ + (1 + RF ) B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              t
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 = S2M ⋅ Δ′ + (1 + RF ) B′
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     t
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                purchasing price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • On exercise company issues new shares
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •Mitigate agency problems of debt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •Mitigate signalling problems
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 FB/r
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 KB
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       = conversion price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       = conversion value: market price of bond
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       -sa/3.0/
                                                                                                                                                                  Call: Δ > 0, B < 0 (long S, short B)           C0 = S0 ⋅ Δ + B                                           C1M = max{0, S2M − K}                                and gets exercise price                                    •Can obtain debt at lower current cost (coupon                                divided by r (strike price of each share).
Strike = Exercise = K
                                                                                                                                                                  Put: Δ < 0, B > 0 (short S, long B)                                                                            = S2M ⋅ Δ′′ + (1 + RF ) B′′
                                                  Long Call                          Short Call                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 • Delayed equity issue (mitigates signalling               discount related to value of warrant)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     C1D = S1D ⋅ Δ + (1 + RF ) B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        t
Premium = Cost = P, C                                                       $                                                                                                                                                                                  t                                                                                                                                                                                                 Usually calculations worked out with complete
Stock Price = S                          $                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      problem)                                                                                                                         company values:
                                                                        C                                                                                                                                                                = S1D ⋅ Δ′′ + B′′                                                                      • Exec stock options are warrants
                                                                                                             C = Max{0, S - K}
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Created © Matt McNeill 2007
                                                      K                                                                                                                value of
                                                                                                                                                                                       V = S ⋅Δ + B                                                                              = S2 D ⋅ Δ′′ + (1 + RF ) B′′                                                                                           convertible = warrant + straight                         FD                  = Face value of debt (#bonds * FB)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     t
                                                                                         K          St                                                                                                           Note: that Δ,B in each period will                                                                             • Equity rights issues are “special                                                                                                                                                                                    mmcneill.semba2008@london.edu
                                                                                                                                                                        option                                                                                                                                                                                                                            bond                   bond                            KD                  = Exercise (strike) price of debt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            C2D = max{0, S2D − K}
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         CB = W + B(C , T )
                                   C                          St                                                                                                                                                 Change depending on outcome of                                                                                 warrants”.                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Contributions: Mike Rizzo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 E0                  = Value of initial equity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 previous period (Dynamic Replication)                                                                                                                                                                                                           E0*                 = Adjusted value of initial equity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Need to solve                                                        ET *                = Adjusted value of equity at maturity
                                                                                                                                               Option                        Binomial Model                                                                                                                                   Treat same as Options for pricing but need to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            C1U = max{0, S1U − K } = S1U ⋅ Δ + (1 + RF )B
                                                  Long Put                           Short Put                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               recursively
                                         $                                  $                                                                  Pricing                                                                                                                                                                        adjust for share increases and purchase price
                                              X                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            [where F’ = CB                        See bond pricing                                                                        [
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               CB = max λ ⋅ ET − FD ,0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 *
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ]
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Convertible (CB)
                                                                                                              P = Max{0, K - S}
       Option types                P
                                                                                                                                                                                                                P%                                                                                                            n = number of existing shares                                     ???]                              on other side
                                                      K                                             St                                                                                                                                                                                                                        m = number of warrants                                                                                                                                                                         ⎡ * F ⎤
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Value of
European                                                                                    K                                                                                                                             P not known, thus cannot                  Using replicating portfolio,                                                                                                                                                                                                                   = λ ⋅ max ⎢ ET − D ,0⎥
Can exercise only on                     0
                                                              St
                                                                        P                                                                                                                C0 = S 0 ⋅ Δ + B                use weighted average for C0               solve simultaneously for Δ, B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              r = number of shares per warrant                                                                                                                      FD                                       ⎣      λ ⎦
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (conversion ratio)
given maturity date                                                         -X
                                                                                                                                                                                        European Call         1-P%                                                                                                            K = exercise price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            C1D = max{0, S1D − K } = S1D ⋅ Δ + (1 + RF )B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       (                                )
                                                                                                                                                                                           option                                                                                                                             λ = dilution factor (% fraction of E that goes to
American                                                           Payoff
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              W = λ ⋅ C BS E0 , K D , T , R f , σ
                                                                   Profit                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         new stockholders)                                                                          *
Can exercise any time up                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  FD       FD/λ      Value of firm (ET*)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             V0 = E0 + m ⋅ (price of warrants)
to (and on) the given
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    default    holds       converts
maturity date.                                                                                                                                            Black-Scholes                                                                                        Normal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Value of all
                                             Combining options requires                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        bonds      to shares
                                                                                                                                                                                        European Call option
                                                                                                                                               Derived from                                                                                                  cumulative
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               equity firm   VT = ET + mrK
                                                                                                                                                                                       C = S ⋅ N(d1 ) − PV(K ) ⋅ N(d 2 )                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       λ ⋅ ET ∗ > F
      maturity = expiration                  going long / short on options
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             WT = λ ⋅ max[ET − nK ,0]
                                                                                                                                               binomial with                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Conversion exercised if:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ( )
                                              with different strike prices.                                                                                                                                                                                    density
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 E0 = PV ET
                                                                                                                                              infinitely small                                                                                               distribution                                                                                                                           *              *
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Value of all
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             W0 = λ ⋅ C BS (E0 , nK , T , R f , σ )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             F
 Arbitrage Principle                              Long Call = +45˚ (L Æ R)
                                                                                                                                               periods (and                             Incorporating                                                                                                                           warrants                                                                                                                                                                       ⇒ KD =
                                                                                                                                               assumptions)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ⎛ coupons before ⎞                                                                                         λ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ⎟⎟ − PV (dividends)
                                                  Short Call = -45˚ (L Æ R)                                                                                                             dividends into BS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 E0 = E0 − PV⎜⎜
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   *
If two combinations of                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            mr
                                                                                                                                                                                         C = (S − PV(D )) ⋅ N(d1 ) − PV(K ) ⋅ N(d 2 )
                                                  Long Put = +45˚ (L Å R)                                                                                                                                                                                                             μ         d2 d1                                        λ=
assets have same                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ⎝ maturity ⎠
                                                  Short Put = -45˚ (L Å R)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      n + mr
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 E0 = (n ⋅ S0 ) + (m ⋅ FB )
cashflows in every period
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ln⎛⎜ S     ⎟⎞
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ⎝ PV(K )⎠ + σ T
and every outcome, then                           e.g. Straddle                       e.g. Butterfly
                                              $                                  $
they must have the same                C(X)                                                                                                                                             European Put option                                                         d1 =                                                                                                                                          existing             monies raised
                                        +                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       σ T        2                                                                                                                       equity              by convertible
                                                                                                                                                                                       P = − S ⋅ N(− d1 ) + PV(K ) ⋅ N(− d 2 )
price.
                                       P(X)
                                                          X                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                issue
This can be used to                                                                                                    = Long C(X)                                                                                                                                  d 2 = d1 − σ T
calculate replicating                                              St
                                                                                        X       Y        Z      St     + 2 x Short C(Y)
                                                                                                                                                                                         Incorporating
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    PV(K ) =
portfolio for use in pricing                                                                                           + Long C(Z)                                                                                                                                                   K
options
                                                                                                                                                                                         dividends into BS
                                                                                                                                                                                         P = −(S − PV(D )) ⋅ N(− d1 ) + PV(K ) ⋅ N(− d 2 )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (1 + R ) f
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              T
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Forward & Future Contracts                       Assuming both strategies of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      buying now and storing (at
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Futures                                                       Swaps
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Forward Contract is commitment to deliver                                                                                     • Extremely liquid due to use of exchange                            A swap is an agreement by which 2 parties exchange
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      zero cost) and buying a                          F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                predetermined asset at a future time for a                                                   S0 =                             • Firms can quickly rebalance risk                                   cash-flows of 2 securities (without changing their
                              Put-Call Parity                                                                         American Options                                                                        Black-Scholes Shorthand                       Black-Scholes Assumptions                                           predetermined price.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      forward contract on the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      asset are both 100%                           (1 + r )T                 management portfolios at low cost                                    ownership)
                                                              PV(K ) =
                                                                                  B(0, K )                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • BUT: we do not know counterparty and
                                                                                                                                                                                                               C = C BS (S , K , T , R f , σ )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            •Stock variance σ2 is constant                                      Futures Contract is a standardised forward            riskless then:                                                                                                                               Interest Rate Swap is an exchange of interest
                                                                        (1 + RF )T
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             F = S0 ⋅ (1 + r )
                                                                                                             •Can be exercised before maturity date                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           default risk.
      P(K ) + S = C(K ) + PV(K )                                                                             •Call options –                                         Effect on CBS if the given                                                             •Rf is constant                                                     contract traded on an organised exchange.             (risk of underlying asset                                     T                                                                              payments on debt (most commonly the coupon swap:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • THUS: exchanges require collateral and
                                                              P(K ) = − C(K )                                   - No dividends = European Call                       variable increases in value:                                                           •No dividends                                                       S0    = current spot price (t=0)                      already incorporated in S0)                                                                                                                  fixed rate with floating rate)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              typically daily settlements (potentially
                                                                                                                - Price: calc euro call options maturing                                             +      S = Stock price at time 0                       •Frictionless trading (no transaction                               F     = cost of T-period forward contract                                                                                     requiring some cash now)                                             Currency Swap is an exchange of payments in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      And now accounting for the costs of
                                                                                                                  at all dividend paying & expiry dates                                              -      K = Strike price / exercise price               costs)                                                              Cost of carry:                                                                                                                                                                                     different currencies.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      storage and income from the asset:
                                                                                                                  and choose largest                                                                 +      T = Time to maturity (years)                    Note: σ is not an observed quantity                                 F – S0 > 0 Market is in Contango
  $          + $          =    $              = $                 +$                                         •Put options –                                                                          +      Rf = Risk free rate                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Interest Rate Swap Example
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         F = [S0 − PV(income) + PV(storage costs)]⋅ (1 + r )T
         K                         K                      K                 K                                                                                                                                                                               in market, and BS is often used to                                  F – S0 < 0 Market is in Backwardation
             S      K S                 S                     S                   S                             - no dividends: may still exercise early                                             +      σ = volatility                                  find implied volatility.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               •Assume that the floating coupon is 8% in first
                                                                                                                - value larger than euro put                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       semester and increases 1% every period
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   •The net payments from X to firm Y are
                 Equity Issues                                                           Advantages of IPO                                                             Rights Issue                                                                                         Hedging                                                                            Real Options                                                                                                              Payout Policy                                                       S1       S2        S3         S4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Floating rate          8%       9%        10%       11%
•IPO = Initial Public Offering, a                                 • Obtain cash – bank finance, venture capital not                            • Rights = short warrants (~3 weeks) issued at zero price                               • Hedging is obtaining insurance against some exogenous risk by                                        These are options as applied to business                            Real Options                              This is how a firm distributes cash to the                               X’s payment             $5       $5        $5         $5
company’s first offering of shares to the                         enough                                                                       • UK ~60% equity issues, US <5%                                                         taking an offsetting risk.                                                                             decisions:                                                                                                    shareholders in one of two ways:                                         Y’s payment             $4      $4.5       $5        $5.5
general public.                                                   • Cheaper financing – higher liquidity and lower                             • Rights issued are proportional to shares owned                                        • Risk Management is defining an optimal set of hedges                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Y pays to X            $1.0     $0.5      $0.0      -$0.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Dividends – firm distributes cash (or stocks) to
      •Primary Shares – new shares                                info asymmetry (disclosure reqs.)                                            • Shares trade “cum rights”, but later can be split and                                 We usually want to hedge:                                                                              Follow-on investment (Call option / BS)                                                                       shareholders in proportion to number of
      issued by company where money                               • Other financing cheaper – (as above)                                       traded separately.                                                                                                                                                                             Timing options (American calls / Binomial)                                                                                                                                           By entering the rate swap, Y borrows at floating rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       •Interest rate risk (inflation / real rate changes)                                                                                                                                                                  shares held.                                                           (to which it has access) but eliminates interest rate
      raised is invested in the firm                              • Insiders can cash out                                                      • Exercise price drivers:                                                               •Currency risk                                                                                         Abandonment Options (Put option / binomial)                                                                         •DPS – dividends per share
      •Secondary Shares – insiders selling                        • Easy future access to equity markets                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           risk.
                                                                                                                                                     • low as possible to ensure that always in money                                  •Fluctuation of commodity prices (inputs / complementary                                                                                                                                                                   •Dividend Yield: DPS / share price
      stake in company where money
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           C = C BS (S , K , T , R f , σ )
                                                                                      Disadvantages of IPO                                           and all rights are exercised (income)                                             products)                                                                                                 Follow-On Investment                                                                                             •Payout Ratio: DPS / EPS
      raised goes to the previous owners                                                                                                             • not so low as to signal the market that the                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Share repurchases – firm buys shares from
•SEO = Secondary/Seasoned Equity                                  • Costly – admin fees (4%) & underwriters fees                                                                                                                       Value of hedging usually depends on the need for a stable                                              •Although a project may not
                                                                  • Loss of control                                                                  managers think the share price will drop a lot in the                             cashflow to take on other projects.                                                                                                                                                                                  shareholders (US = treasury shares / UK                                                  Signalling Methods
Offering, an equity issue by a firm that is                                                                                                          next 3 weeks                                                                                                                                                                             look as if it will payoff at t=0, the                                                                         eliminated, unless reserved to balance stock
already public.                                                   • Legal reqs. – disclosure rules etc                                                                                                                                 •If the hedge will provide the capital for the stable project it is a                                  volatility and upside risk profile           S = NPV of FCFs (at t=0)                                                                                                                • Dividends: most effective since they set future
                                                                  • Value of firm subject to external perception                                     • shareholders not bothered, since right value will                               good thing to do. Risk is bad.                                                                                                                      K = PV(expected investment) t=0                                  options etc.)
•Pecking Order:     (1) Internal Funds,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       may still make the option very                                                                                                                                                       commitment.
                                                                  • Easier target for hostile takeovers                                              always balance dilution of current share price.                                   •If the hedge eliminates the chance of raising the capital for a                                                                                    T = Time of inventment (years)                                         •Open market repurchases
                    (2) Debt, (3) Equity                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      valuable.                                                                                                                                                                            • Shares repurchases with auction: very effective, if the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       project it is a bad thing to do. Risk is good.                                                                                                      Rf = Risk free rate                                                    •Fixed Price Tender Offer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              •The risk downside is not                                                                                                                                                            shares are bought at a premium and management
                                                                                                                                              E0     = value of pre-rights company (all equity)                                                                                                                                                                                            σ = volatility (comparable stocks)                                     •Dutch Auction Tender Offer
                 Underwriters                                 n = number of existing shares                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   relevant since option would not                                                                                                                                                      precommits not to tender (i.e. not selling own stock at
                                                                                                                                              ET     = value of pos-rights company (all equity)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Share repurchases should only be used to                               a premium).
                                                              i = issue ratio (rights issued per share)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       be exercised in that case.
•Investment banks which advise the firm                                                                                                       S0     = value of each pre-rights stock                                                                                                                                                                                                        Discount at RF                                                 distribute extraordinary surplus cash-flow, but                        • Open-market share repurchases: weakest signal.
                                                              m = number of rights (m = i.n)                                                                                                                                             Assume firm value V, depends on asset price S:                                                                                                                               Discount at RP
and provide independent monitoring of                                                                                                         ST     = value of each post-rights stock                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      since mid 1980s US firms now redistribute                              – Shares are bought at their current market price.
                                                              r = number of shares per right (r = 1)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         PV0(FCF)                 FCFT+1 FCFT+2 …
quality of firm to the market.                                                                                                                FUW    = underwriter’s fees                                                                                   S1U             Return on asset S for 1 period                                                         upside of                                                                                50%. Europe is 20%.                                                    – 50% of announcements do not follow through, and
                                                                  (conversion ratio)                                                                                                                                                              P%
•Also handles:                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    investment
       •Roadshows – for signalling
                                                              K = exercise price                                                              V0     = value of exercising a right immediately                                                                           P%⋅ (S1U − S0 ) + (1− P%) ⋅ (S1D − S0 )                                                                             PV0(inv)          InvT                                                                                                                10% repurchase less than 5% of the value announced.
                                                                                                                                                     W0 = ⋅ λ ⋅ C BS (E0 − FUW , nK , T , R f , σ )
to public at higher price.                                                                                                                               1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ⎡ (S + D1U ) ⎤            ⎡ (S + D ) ⎤                                                                                                dividends over long run.
•Various sales models:                                                                          V0 = ST − K                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   If C0 > S0-K then the option to         RP = P%⎢ 1U        −1⎥ + (1 − P%)⎢ 1D 1D −1⎥
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            repurchased at premium there is no wealth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   • A less profitable firm will eventually have to cut
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         F = S0 ⋅ (1 + r )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      T                                                                                                                                                     transfer between shareholders unless some
       •Firm commitment – all shares (see
                                                                                                                                                         m                                                                                       Full Hedge                                                r = risk free rate                 defer the project and miss                     ⎣    S0       ⎦           ⎣    S0    ⎦                         fail to participate in bid.                                            dividends, miss investments, issue equity or debt to
       Underwriter’s put)                                                                                                           V0 < W0                                                                                                                                                                                                   possible cash-flows is more                                                                                                                                                          finance dividends (inefficient!)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             V (S1U ) −V (S1U − F ) = V (F )
       •Best Efforts – sale and return                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        valuable. i.e. Wait and see.             To find P%, set RP = RF (for example)                                           Payout Policy Relevance
       •All-or-none
                                                               S 0 = ST + V0 ⋅ i                                               Options increase                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Implications – select conservative ratios, and avoid
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         V (F )                                                        C = P% ⋅ max{0, S1U - K}
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  P%                                                                                                                                                                                                        When dividends and capital gains are taxed                             raising dividends if risk of having to reverse it.
•Price premium covers UW responsibility:                                                                                       value of the rights
                                                                                                                                                      Payoff