Jet Accident Stats 1959-2003
Jet Accident Stats 1959-2003
Statistical
Summary of
Commercial Jet
Airplane Accidents
Worldwide Operations
1959 - 2003
1959 2003
Contents
Introduction 2
Definitions 3
Terms and Exclusions 5
Airplane Accidents, Year 2003 List 6
Departures, Flight Hours, and Jet Airplanes in Service 7
Accident Summary by Type of Operation 8
Accident Summary by Damage and Injury 9
Accident Rates and Fatalities by Year 10
Accident Rates by Years Following Introduction 11
U.S.A. and Canadian Operators Accident Rates 12
Accident Rates by Type of Operation 13
Accident Rates by Airplane Type 14
Fatalities by Accident Category 15
Accidents and Onboard Fatalities by Phase of Flight 16
Accidents by Primary Cause 17
Excluded Events 18
Hostile Actions 19
Non-Hostile Events 20
Published by:
Airplane Safety
Boeing Commercial Airplanes
P.O. Box 3707 M/S 67-TC
Seattle, Washington 98124-2207, U.S.A.
(425) 237-1692
E-mail: statsum@boeing.com
www.boeing.com/news/techissues
May 2004
1
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Introduction
The accident statistics presented in this document apply to worldwide commercial jet airplanes that are heavier than 60,000 pounds
maximum gross weight. These statistics are presented in two distinct sections called; Statistical Accidents, which outlines hull loss,
substantial damage, fatal injury and serious injury accidents; and Excluded Events, outlining hostile actions, and non-hostile events.
Not covered in this document are airplanes manufactured in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) (former Soviet Union),
which are excluded because of the lack of operational data. Statistics on commercial airplanes operated in military service are not
covered in this document; however, when a military-owned commercial jet transport type is used for civilian commercial service, those
data are contained within this document.
717 DC-8 A300 BAe 146 F-28 Concorde L-1011 BAC 1-11 Comet 4
707, 720 DC-9 A300-600 RJ-70/-85/-100 F-70 Trident
727 DC-10 A310 CRJ-700/-900 F-100 Caravelle
737 MD-11 A320/319/321 Mercure
747 MD-80/-90 A330 CV-880/-990
757 A340 VC-10
767
777
Airplane flight time and departures are primarily obtained from airplane and engine manufacturer compilations. Flight operations data
for non-Boeing-manufactured airplanes is augmented by the AirCraft Analytical System (ACAS) electronic database that is published by
AvSoft, Limited, of Rugby, England.
Accident data are obtained, when available, from government accident reports. Otherwise, information is solicited from operators,
manufacturers, various government and private information services, and press accounts. Definitions related to development of
statistics in this book are primarily based on corresponding International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) terms as explained in the
next section. Some variations to the ICAO definitions are applied to facilitate the purposes of this document.
2
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Definitions
Events in this publication are classified according to the following definitions. These definitions are consistent with those of
the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).
Airplane accident: An occurrence associated with the operation of an airplane that takes place between the time any person boards
the airplane with the intention of flight and such time as all such persons have disembarked in which:
• Airplane sustains substantial damage.
• Death or serious injury results from:
– Being in or upon the airplane.
– Direct contact with the airplane or anything attached thereto.
– Direct exposure to jet blast.
Hull loss: Airplane damage that is substantial and is beyond economic repair. Hull loss also includes events in which:
• Airplane is missing.
• Search for the wreckage has been terminated without it being located.
• Airplane is substantially damaged and inaccessible.
Substantial damage: Damage or structural failure that adversely affects the struc tural strength, performance, or flight characteristics
of the airplane and would normally require major repair or replacement of the affected component. Substantial damage is not
considered to be:
• Engine failure or damage limited to an engine if only one engine fails or is damaged.
• Bent aerodynamic fairings.
• Dents in the skin.
• Damage to landing gear.
• Damage to wheels.
• Damage to tires.
• Damage to flaps.
Fatal injury: An injury that results in death within 30 days as a result of an accident.
3
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Definitions (continued)
Generation: Airplane types are classified by generation groups in order of introduction to service as follows:
Regional identification: Events are identified by the operator’s national domicile and by event location.
Airplane collisions: Events involving two or more airplanes are counted as separate events, one for each airplane. For
example, destruction of two airplanes in a collision is considered two separate hull loss accidents.
Accident rates: In general, this expression is a measure of accidents per million departures. Departures (or flight cycles) are
used as the basis for computing rates, since there is a stronger statistical correlation between accidents and departures than
there is between accidents and flight hours, or between accidents and the number of airplanes in service, or between
accidents and passenger miles. Airplane departures data are continually updated and revised as new information and
estimating processes become available. These form the baseline for the measure of accident rates and, as a consequence,
rates may appear to vary between editions of this publication.
Excluded events:
• Fatal and nonfatal injuries from natural causes.
• Fatal and nonfatal self-inflicted injuries.
• Fatal and nonfatal injuries of stowaways hiding outside the areas normally available to the passengers and crew.
• Experimental test flight accidents. (Maintenance test flights, ferry, positioning, training and demonstration flights are
included).
• Nonfatal injuries resulting from atmospheric turbulence, maneuvering, loose objects, boarding, disembarking,
evacuation, and maintenance and servicing.
• Nonfatal injuries to persons not onboard the airplane.
5
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Airplane Accidents
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 2003
Date Airline Airplane Type Accident Location Hull Fatalities Phase Description
Loss
1/8/2003 Turkish Airlines (THY) RJ100 Diyarbakir, Turkey X 75 Final approach CFIT crashed into mountain
1/8/2003 TAN Airlines F-28 Chachapoyas, Peru X 46 Initial approach CFIT crashed into mountain
1/17/2003 TAME F-28 Quito, Ecuador 0 Takeoff RTO/tunway excursion
1/23/2003 Star Air 737-200 Jakarta, Indonesia 0 Landing Runway excursion
1/26/2003 VASP Airlines 737-200 Rio Branco, Brazil X 0 Initial approach Hit tree on approach to land
2/15/2003 Evergreen International Airlines 747-200 Catania, Italy 0 Landing Runway overrun on landing
3/6/2003 Air Algerie 737-200 Tamanrasset, Algeria X 103 Takeoff Crashed after takeoff
3/12/2003 Singapore Airlines 747-400 Auckland, New Zealand 0 Takeoff Tailstrike on takeoff
3/21/2003 Royal Air Maroc 737-400 Marrakech, Morocco 0 Landing Landing overrun
3/21/2003 Transasia Airways A321 Tainan, Taiwan 0 Landing Runway excursion
3/26/2003 Royal Air Maroc 737-400 Oujda, Morocco 0 Landing Runway excursion
3/31/2003 AirTran Airways 717-200 New York, USA 0 Parked Evacuation injuries
4/18/2003 Wetrafa Airlift DC-9-32 Brazzaville, Congo X 0 Landing Intentional off runway gear-up landing
6/17/2003 Onur Air MD-88 Groningen, Netherlands 0 Takeoff RTO overrun
7/6/2003 Cielos del Peru DC-10-30 Curitiba, Brazil 0 Landing Landing overrun
7/8/2003 Sudan Airways 737-200 Port Sudan, Sudan X 116 Initial climb Crashed after takeoff
7/11/2003 Air Memphis 707-300C Dacca, Bangladesh X 0 Takeoff RTO overrun
8/11/2003 Garuda Indonesia F-28 Jakarta, Indonesia 0 Landing LMLG collapse
8/15/2003 EasyJet 737-300 Geneva, Switzerland 0 Climb Hail damage in flight
9/12/2003 Northwest Airlines DC-9-15 Norfolk, USA 1 Tow Tug driver fatally injured
10/1/2003 Cargo Air Lines 747-200C Liege, Belgium 0 Landing Landing overrun
10/3/2003 Garuda Indonesia 737-500 Semarang, Indonesia 0 Landing Runway departure
11/1/2003 EgyptAir A321-230 Moscow, Russia 0 Taxi Skidded off runway
11/6/2003 TAME A320 Florianopolis, Brazil 0 Landing Runway offside excursion
11/29/2003 Hydro Air 747-258C La Guaira, Venezuela 0 Landing Runway offside excursion
12/7/2003 East African Safari Air F-28 Lokichokio, Kenya X 0 Landing Runway excursion
12/13/2003 Aero Continente 737-200 Lima, Peru 0 Landing Landed with all landing gear retracted
12/18/2003 FedEx MD-10-10 Memphis, USA X 0 Landing RMLG collapse, fuselage burned
12/18/2003 Lineas Aereas Suramericanas DC-9-15F Mitu, Colombia X 3 Descent Crashed into jungle
12/19/2003 Air Gabon 737- 300 Libreville, Gabon X 0 Landing Landing overrun during heavy rain
12/20/2003 GOL Transportes Aereos Ltda 737- 700 Navegantes, Brazil 0 Landing Landing overrun
12/25/2003 Union Des Transports Africains 727- 200 Cotonou, Benin X 139 Takeoff Hit building on takeoff
32 12 483
6
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Departures, Flight Hours, and Jet Airplanes in Service*
Worldwide Operations 1965 Through 2003
40
35 33.92
Departures
• 429.9 million cumulative departures
Flight Hours
Annual departures and
30
(354.2 million on Boeing airplanes)
flight hours (millions)
25
• 712.1 million cumulative flight hours
20
16.90
(595.9 million on Boeing airplanes)
15
10
• 7 manufacturers – 33 significant
types (13 Boeing) in service as of
5
12/31/2003
0
1965 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003
Year
18
17,991 (11,755 Boeing)
*Certified jet airplanes greater than
15 60,000 pounds maximum gross
weight, including those in temporary
Number of airplanes,
12
non-flying status and those in use
(thousands)
0 1965 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003
Year
7
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Accident Summary by Type of Operation
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet
8
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Accident Summary by Damage and Injury
All Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003
Excludes:
• Fatal injuries from natural causes, or suicide.
• Experimental test flights.
• Military airplanes.
• Sabotage, hijacking, terrorism, or military action.
• Non-fatal injuries involving:
• Atmospheric turbulence, maneuvering, or loose objects.
• Boarding, disembarking, or evacuation.
• Maintenance or servicing.
• Persons not onboard the airplane.
9
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Accident Rates and Fatalities by Year
All Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003
50 1400
1200
40 Hull loss and/or
fatal accidents Onboard Fatalities
1000
400
10
200
0 0
1959 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 95 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003
Year
10
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, may 2004
Accident Rates by Years Following Introduction
Hull Loss and/or Fatal accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003
60
First generation
Second generation
50
Early Widebody
Current Generation
40
Accident
rate
(accidents 30
per
million
departures)
20
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44
Years since introduction
11
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
U.S.A. and Canadian Operators Accident Rates
Hull Loss and/or Fatal accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003
50
40
35
Accident
rate 30
(accidents
per
25
million
departures)
20
15
10
0
1959 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003
Year
12
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Accident Rates by Type of Operation
Hull Loss and/or Fatal accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1993 through 2003
3.0
2.64
2.5
10-year 2.0
accident
rate
(accidents
per million 1.5
departures)
0.96
1.0
0.5
0.0
Scheduled passenger operations All other operations*
143.8 million departures 25.4 million departures
*Unscheduled passenger and charter, cargo, ferry, test, training, and demonstration.
13
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Accident Rates by Airplane Type
Hull Loss Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003
Hull Losses
Not flying** 83
707/720 124 9.15 14.56
DC-8 73 5.82
727 82 1.10
737-100/-200 72 1.33
DC-9 80 1.28
BAC 1-11 23 2.71
F-28 34 3.72
747-Early 24 1.99
DC-10 22 2.45
A300-Early 9 1.54
L-1011 4 0.75
Concorde 1 11.36*
MD-80/-90 12 0.38
767 4 0.37
757 5 0.37
BAe146, RJ-70/85/100 7 0.95
A310 6 1.68
A300-600 4 1.17
737-300/-400/-500 17 0.37
A320/319/321 9 0.51
F-100 5 0.72
747-400 3 0.83
MD-11 5 3.73
CRJ-700/-900 0 0.0*
A340 0 0.0*
A330 0 0.0*
777 0 0.0
737-600/-700/-800/-900 0 0.0
717 0 0.0*
F-70 0 0.0*
Total 708 1.65
Hull Losses
0 3 6 9 12 15
Hull loss accident Rate per million departures
103
2,131
121
1,701
Fatalities
258
244
420
339
231 225
192
121 1
85 37 29 12 3 2
Loss of CFIT* Mid-air In-flight Fuel Structure Takeoff Landing Runway Wind Misc. Fuel RTO** Turbulence Unknown
control in collision fire tank configuration incursion shear fatality exhaustion
flight explosion
Number
of fatal 32 24 2 2 2 1 2 16 3 1 8 3 1 2 6
accidents
* CFIT = Controlled Flight Into Terrain
105 total Note: Accidents involving multiple, non-onboard fatalities are included
** RTO = Refused Takeoff
Accidents involving single, non-onboard fatalities are excluded
Fatalities/accidents are placed in one category only.
15
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Accidents and Onboard Fatalities by Phase of Flight
Hull Loss and/or Fatal Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1994 - 2003
Percentage of accidents/fatalities
17% 51%
Taxi,
load, Initial Climb Initial Final
parked Takeoff climb (flaps up) Cruise Descent approach approach Landing
22% 18%
Exposure = percentage of flight time
based on flight duration of 1.5 hours
Initial Final
approach approach
fix fix
1% 1% 14% 57% 11% 12% 3% 1%
100
Distribution of accidents and fatalities 2000
1,619 93
80
Hull 1500
loss esiF
ta
itl
Fatalities
and/or 60 1,066
fatal 902 1000
788 865
accidents40
25 539 541
17 500
20 13 14 13
11 11 7 161
3
0 0
Taxi, load, Takeoff Initial Climb Cruise Descent Initial Final Landing
parked climb approach approach
Airplane 19 14%
Weather 16 12%
5%
Misc./Other 7
5 4%
Maintenance
17
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Excluded Events
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet
The following 3 pages, Hostile Actions and Non-Hostile Events, are excluded from the statistical analysis in the
preceding portions of the document and may not be a complete listing due to incomplete reporting.
22-Nov-03 DHL Airways A300 Baghdad, Iraq 0 0 The airplane sustained damage to the left
wing by a ground-launched missile.
1 Total events 0 0
18
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Hostile Actions
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet — 1983 Through 2003
18 1.8
Number of events
16 1.6
Rate
14 1.4
Number 12 1.2 Sabotage/
of terrorist
events 10 1.0
rate per
8 0.8 million
6 0.6 departures
4 0.4
2 0.2
0 0.0
1983 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 2002 2003
700 Year
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1983 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 2002 2003
Year
19
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004
Non-Hostile Events
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet
Turbulence
Emergency evacuation
Servicing injury
Pushback
0 20 40 60 80 100
Number of events
20
2003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004