Macroeconomics Course
Bachelor Semester I
                        Presented by
Dr Boyé G. Roméo, Lecturer and researcher at University Félix
           Houphouët-Boigny of Cocody, Abidjan
                     +225 07 73 01 02
                 romeoboye@gmail.com
                                                                slide 0
      Structure of the course
❖ Chapter 1: Introduction to
  Macroeconomics
❖ Chapter 2: Indicators of
  Macroeconomics
❖ Chapter 3: Saving, Investment and
  Financial system
❖ Chapter 4: Some Great Economic
  Debates
                                      slide 1
    General objective
 • This course aims to
❑ help learners understand and
   interpret the realities of the
   macroeconomic environment in which
   they and their companies operate,
❑ introduce students to the rules of the
   economic game.
                                       slide 2
 Expected results, Organization and
             reference
❑ The learner understands and
  interprets the realities of the
  macroeconomic environment
❑ - Lecture course,Tutorials and
  Practical work
❑ Mankiw, N.Gregory, Principles of
  Macroeconomics - 7th edition,
  Cengage Learning, 2015
                                     slide 3
    Chapter 1: Introduction to
       Macroeconomics
This chapter introduces you to
 the issues macroeconomists study
 the tools macroeconomists use
 some important concepts in
 macroeconomic analysis
                                    slide 4
   Section 1: Important issues in
         macroeconomics
• Why does the cost of living keep rising?
• Why are millions of people unemployed, even
  when the economy is booming?
• Why are there recessions?
  Can the government do anything to combat
  recessions? Should it?
                                             slide 5
   Section 1: Important issues in
         macroeconomics
• What is the government budget deficit? How
  does it affect the economy?
• Why does the U.S. have such a huge trade
  deficit?
• Why are so many countries poor?
  What policies might help them grow out of
  poverty?
                                              slide 6
 Section 2: What Macroeconomists Study
• Real GDP – The total income of everyone
  in the economy (adjusted for price level).
• Inflation Rate – How fast prices are rising.
• Unemployment Rate – The fraction of
  labor force that is out of work.
                                            slide 7
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
   in billions of chained 2000 dollars
                                       n d …
                             r d   tre
                        pw a
                     n u
               g- r u
            lon
                                               slide 8
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
     in billions of chained 2000 dollars
               longest economic
              expansion on record
Recessions
                                           slide 9
“Living Standards” in the U.S.
                                 slide 10
Inflation in the U.S.
                        slide 11
Unemployment in the U.S.
                           slide 12
          Section 3: Why learn
1.
           macroeconomics?
     The macroeconomy affects society’s
     well-being.
        ▪ example: Unemployment and social problems
Each one-point increase in the u-rate is associated
with:
  ▪ 920 more suicides
  ▪ 650 more homicides
  ▪ 4000 more people admitted to state mental
       institutions
     ▪ 3300 more people sent to state prisons
     ▪ 37,000 more deaths
     ▪ increases in domestic violence and homelessness slide 13
        Section 3: Why learn
2.
         macroeconomics?
     The macroeconomy affects your well-being.
      ▪ Unemployment and earnings growth
                                             slide 14
        Section 3: Why learn
2.       macroeconomics?
     The macroeconomy affects your well-being.
      ▪ Interest rates and mortgage payments
For a $150,000 30-year mortgage:
               actual rate
                           monthly annual
       date    on 30-year
                           payment payment
               mortgage
     6/20/03      5.21%       $824      $9,888
     6/17/04      6.32%       $913     $10,959
                                                 slide 15
          Section 3: Why learn
3.          macroeconomics?
     The macroeconomy affects politics & current
     events.
     ▪ Inflation and unemployment in election years
 year          U rate   inflation rate elec. outcome
 1976 7.7%          5.8% Carter (D)
 1980 7.1%          13.5%    Reagan (R)
 1984 7.5%          4.3% Reagan (R)
 1988 5.5%          4.1% Bush I (R)
 1992 7.5%          3.0% Clinton (D)
 1996 5.4%          3.3% Clinton (D)
 2000 4.0%          3.4% Bush II (R)
                                                       slide 16
     Section 4: Economic models
…are simplied versions of a more complex reality
   • irrelevant details are stripped away
Used to
   • show the relationships between economic variables
   • explain the economy’s behavior
   • devise policies to improve economic performance
                                                         slide 17
           Controlled Experiment or Not?
1)   Astronomers formulating the “big bang” theory of the origin of the
     universe by making observations through the Hubble telescope.
2)   Economists analyzing the effects of an increase in the money
     supply by examining output, interest rates, and inflation following
     a large increase in the money supply.
3)   Physicians testing the effects of aspirin on the incidence of heart
     disease by following two groups of men who differ only in their
     intake of aspirin.
4)   Biologists modifying Darwin’s original theory of evolution after
     examining newly found fossils.
                                                                        slide 18
         Example of a model:
   The supply & demand for new cars
• explains the factors that determine the price of cars and
  the quantity sold.
• assumes the market is competitive: each buyer and
  seller is too small to affect the market price
• Variables:
   Q d = quantity of cars that buyers demand
   Q s = quantity that producers supply
   P = price of new cars
   Y = aggregate income
   Ps = price of steel (an input)
                                                       slide 19
Endogenous vs. exogenous variables:
   • The values of endogenous variables
     are determined in the model.
   • The values of exogenous variables
     are determined outside the model:
     the model takes their values & behavior
     as given.
   • In the model of supply & demand for
     cars,
                                               slide 20
    A Multitude of Models
No one model can address all the issues
we care about. For example,
 ▪ If we want to know how a fall in aggregate
   income affects new car prices, we can use
   the S/D model for new cars.
 ▪ But if we want to know why aggregate
   income falls, we need a different model.
                                                slide 21
     A Multitude of Models
• So we will learn different models for
  studying different issues (e.g.
  unemployment, inflation, long-run growth).
• For each new model, you should keep track
  of
  – its assumptions,
  – which of its variables are endogenous and
    which are exogenous,
  – the questions it can help us understand,
  – and those it cannot.
                                            slide 22
  Section 5: Prices: Flexible
           Versus
• Market clearing: an Sticky
                      assumption that prices
 are flexible and adjust to equate supply and
 demand.
• In the short run, many prices are sticky---
  they adjust only sluggishly in response to
  supply/demand imbalances.
     For example,
    – labor contracts that fix the nominal wage
      for a year or longer
    – magazine prices that publishers change
      only once every 3-4 years
                                                  slide 23
 Section 5: Prices: Flexible
       Versus Sticky
• The economy’s behavior depends partly
  on whether prices are sticky or flexible:
• If prices are sticky, then demand won’t
  always equal supply. This helps explain
  – unemployment (excess supply of labor)
  – the occasional inability of firms to sell what
    they produce
• Long run: prices flexible, markets clear,
  economy behaves very differently.
                                                     slide 24
           Chapter summary
1. Macroeconomics is the study of the economy
  as a whole, including
    • growth in incomes
    • changes in the overall level of prices
    • the unemployment rate
2. Macroeconomists attempt to explain the
  economy and to devise policies to improve
  its performance.
                                               slide 25
       Chapter summary
3. Economists use different models to
   examine different issues.
4. Models with flexible prices describe the
   economy in the long run; models with
   sticky prices describe economy in the
   short run.
5. Macroeconomic events and performance
   arise from many microeconomic
   transactions, so macroeconomics uses
   many of the tools of microeconomics.
                                          slide 26