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PROBLEM SOLUTION FINAL PAPER
Department of Engineering, TED University
Department of Architecture, TED University
   ENG102_SEC06: Expository Writing
             Fulya İçöz Narlı
           December 24, 2023
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Problem Statement
       Sinkholes have been a reality of the central regions of the Anatolian Peninsula for
thousands of years due to the nature of the geography in the region. Karstic rock formations,
which are known for generating sinkholes and similar geographical structures due to their
solubility in water, constitute a very large part of the geography in the area. A sinkhole is a
topographic depression formed when underlying limestone bedrock is dissolved by groundwater
(Encyclopedia Britannica, 2023). They can be less than a meter in width and depth, or they can
be as large as Kızıl Obruk which measures more than 700 meters in length (Dogan & Yilmaz,
2011). Historically, sinkholes mostly kept to the elevated areas of the region in relation with the
comparatively higher groundwater levels of the past; lately however, with the waters receding,
they have begun to appear at lower elevations than ever seen before (Arık et al., 2022). These
depressions occur through either dissolution of the underground limestone formations in carbon
rich water, or a combination of dissolution with gravitational downward movement of the said
material (Gutiérrez et al., 2008).
There are both natural and human induced (anthropogenic) causes of sinkholes formation.
Geographical qualities of the subsurface terrain, volcanic activity of the region and the resultant
release of CO2 and groundwater flow are all considered important natural causes. Karstic rock
formations are comprised of water-soluble materials like limestone, dolomite and gypsum.
Solubility of these materials increases greatly the more acidic the groundwater becomes.
“Acidity primarily derives from CO2 present in the air and in the soil, which slowly dissolves
into the meteoric waters reducing their pH and increasing their corrosion capability” (Gutiérrez
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et al., 2014, para. 7). The faster the ground waters are able solve underground rock formations,
the more the ground hollows out, leading to formation of more sinkholes, faster. Hence, acidity
is an integral part of the processes that form sinkholes. Furthermore, if the water has nowhere to
drain and a supply of fresh water is not present, the present still water eventually gets saturated
with limestone and evaporates and becomes unable to dissolve any more of the rock formation.
Therefore, a consistent water supply and a route for drainage are also necessary. Gradually, as a
result of these processes, a subterranean cave forms. Once the cave becomes large enough to the
point that it is unable to support its own weight anymore, it collapses, creating a new sinkhole.
“Some extend dozens of metres below the surface. Others are shallow recesses” (Joyner, 2022).
Fault lines (which are also present in the area) may also contribute to the collapse. It should be
noted that all of these qualities are present in the region of Central Anatolia, especially in and
around Konya plains.
       The greatest of the anthropogenic factors that cause the sinkholes to form in the area is
the general decline of the water table in the area. As water recedes deeper into the earth, ground
water can drain down into lower elevations. This allows sinkholes to form at ever lower grounds
with greater frequency. Excessive agricultural water use, storage for dry seasons, leaks in the
water infrastructure, drainage excavations, vegetation clearance, deforestation, booming
urbanization and intrusive underground mining operations like solution mining negatively affect
the underground water levels in the area (Arık, 2023). An inventory from 1976 shows that out of
more than 6500 sinkholes in Missouri, which has a very similar sinkhole-prone geography,
almost 60% were provoked by artificial processes with the most impactful of these being the de-
stabilization of natural underground drainage channels, causing 52% of the cases with highway
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construction and utilization of explosives also being significant contributors (Williams &
Vineyard, 1976). Engineered structures such as reservoirs and canals are also known to
contribute through altering surface or underground waterways and introducing extra weight on
the ground.
       Sinkholes have a vast economic impact in the region of Central Anatolia, especially in
Konya Plain. Sinkholes detected in the area have increased greatly in the past 10 years and in
Konya Basin alone, there are now over 2500 sinkholes confirmed (Joyner, 2022). Some number
of sinkholes collapse instantly without any previous indications. This poses a threat to both
humans and farm animals living in the area, causing economic damage, lower agricultural yields,
injury and fatalities. Some sinkholes are even large enough to swallow entire buildings in this
manner. Farmlands where particularly large and deep sinkholes form are rendered inerrable
indefinitely. Dolines that sink slowly over time – even though they don’t pose a threat to human
life due to their progressive nature- still cause damage to buildings, roads, farmlands, factories
and utility infrastructure like gas, water and electric lines and sewers. Road repairs are especially
expensive as refilling depressions and repaving damaged roads may require substantial amounts
of intensive work for extended periods in remote locations. As ground waters continue to recede,
new sinkholes form ever closer to farmlands and population centers, causing crop loss, damaging
infrastructure and threatening human life; in order to address these issues, there are several
measures that can be implemented.
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Existing Solutions
       Sinkholes threaten the lives of humans and livestock alike, damages infrastructure and
causes crop loss. Due to the decrease in subterranean water levels being a major anthropogenic
cause contributing to their recently increased frequency of formation, efficient use of the local
groundwater is considered important. One of the ways to increase the efficiency of water usage is
replacement of old waterways, leaking pipelines and other decaying infrastructure with more
modern systems and equipment. The most comprehensive undertaking currently ongoing in the
area regarding that goal is the “Ereğli – Ivriz Left Bank Irrigation Rehabilitation Project” by DSI,
part of the larger “Irrigation Modernization Project” which encompasses the entire country
(2018). The project seeks to replace the old and deformed network of open waterways and
canals with a more comprehensive, pressurized storage and pipe system which will then be
supported with more advanced methods of crop watering such as drip irrigation. Land
consolidation is also among the goals of the project.
       Although long term benefits of the project (if properly implemented) are clear, immediate
effects are limited. It should be clear that a construction project of this magnitude encompassing
the entire plain of Konya has a significant financial burden. Construction itself may take a very
large amount of time which, if not organized very skillfully, may spike said costs even more.
There are also environmental concerns regarding the effects of these construction efforts. Air
quality is expected to drop while the construction efforts are ongoing as dust clouds form due to
the removal and re-laying of the topsoil for pipeline installations and exhaust emissions caused
by large scale operation of heavy machinery for extended periods. Noise and vibrations
generated by those operations may also destabilize the already drought-stricken area and may
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cause additional sinkholes to form. The waste and wastewater of the employed workers have to
be managed carefully to not pollute the environment and the groundwater any further. According
to the report, some loss of agricultural land and animal habitats are also expected, although
aimed to be kept at a minimum. The report also states that there will be no displacements though
resistance and non-compliance with the land acquisition and consolidation efforts may still occur
as seasonal workers and landowners depend economically on the land that may be lost to
construction and significant cooperation with the locals and adequate enforcement is needed.
Arık states in his 2020 interview that only 1/3rd of the water wells in the area are registered with
the DSI (TRT Haber). This statistic clearly demonstrates the current lack of cooperation of the
locals with the state. As discussed in this paragraph, there are numerous short-term effects of the
project and related construction efforts with limited gains for the time being.
       Susceptibility and risk assessment is also highly important for planning of future actions,
damage mitigation, transportation of assets and lives away from locations under risk and
avoiding further development of said locations. Sinkhole susceptibility mapping is one of the
most effectives tools scientists have developed with that aim, using advanced scanning
techniques. According to Orhan et al. methods like remote sensing (RS) and geographic
information system (GIS) reinvented the research of damage mitigation due to how effective they
are at collection and assessment of data (2020). AFAD has finalized their mapping efforts this
year with their last report on their “Detection of Sinkhole Fields” project (2023). Project efforts
involve classification and modeling of existent sinkhole formations, updating borders of known
fields with lithological structure capable of generating sinkholes, assessing how and how much
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natural and anthropogenic factors affect sinkhole generation, creating a sinkhole susceptibility
map and developing a response plan accordingly.
       Susceptibility mapping and other risk assessment methods are preventative measures.
Preventative measures work exceptionally well when implemented before a problem develops to
be severe enough to cause serious issues or when implemented in anticipation of a problem.
Neither of these are the case in this instance. The fact that the AFAD (Disaster and Emergency
Management Directorate) overseeing this program is indicative enough that this problem in this
region has been allowed to develop into what is now classified as a “disaster” before any
significant action has been taken. The situation is at a point where, as of September 2021, there
were 99 confirmed sinkholes within residential areas and cracks on the ground around 50
centimeters wide were observed (Anadolu Ajansı). The future effectiveness of this solution is
currently uncertain due to the reason that it is entirely dependent on the action plan to be devised
afterwards which is currently yet to be completed. However, with the situation expected to
deteriorate further in the future, a properly devised and well executed action plan may still yield
significant benefits over time.
Suggested Solution One: Reducing Groundwater Usage of the Area
       Agriculture is by far the largest user of the global freshwater supply. According to Margat
& van der Gun, 70% of the ground water extracted in the entire world is used for irrigation only
(2013). Encouraging farmers to diversify their crop selection can lessen the impacts of both
sinkholes and climate change on agriculture on top of improving the efficiency of water used.
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Groundwater usage of the region of Central Anatolia can be reduced by substituting water
intensive crops in the area with more water efficient crops, protecting the water table of the
region and therefore reducing the likelihood of sinkholes forming. Research shows that by
replacing the crops used for feeding livestock by agricultural byproducts and using farming
techniques like fallowing (the process of leaving a field unseeded for a season after plowing it),
water usage can be reduced up to 57% while retaining or on some cases even increasing the
economic output of the land (Richter et al., 2023). These gains can then be supported further with
the usage of more efficient irrigation equipment, rainwater harvesting, dynamic scheduling for
irrigation based on weather conditions and recycling and reuse of water. However, hardware is
costly and it is unrealistic to expect farmers to shoulder the financial burden of replacing their
equipment to irrigate entire fields on their own. Government incentives such as subsidies for
replacing traditional irrigation equipment with more efficient alternatives could encourage the
locals to make the switch.
Suggested Solution Two: Stricter Enforcement and Collaboration with Locals
       Another solution to reduce the frequency and likelihood of sinkholes forming around
population centers is working more closely with the locals. Awareness can be raised by educating
local communities like farmers and developers about dangers related to sinkholes and
responsible land use and proper planning can be promoted that way. Meetings, workshops and
seminars can be prepared for these purposes. Strengthening regulations and effective
enforcement is also required. The staggering amount of illegal water wells in the area shows how
out of control the situation currently is. By designing and enforcing laws and guidelines suitable
to the unique needs of the area, groundwater usage of the area can be better monitored, economic
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and agricultural losses lessened, development of sinkhole-prone zones may be restricted,
construction of expensive infrastructure such as roads and utility lines in risky areas may be
avoided altogether, impacts of heavy machinery operations like mining lessened and quality of
the structures built can be better ensured to withstand the circumstances.
Conclusion
       Sinkholes have always been a regular occurrence in the karstic regions around the world,
one of which is the region of Central Anatolia. There are both natural and anthropogenic causes
of sinkhole formation with natural causes being more prominent. However, with population
increasing, demand for water in the area has increased as well which resulted in the water table
dropping and this dramatically exacerbated the problem. The Turkish Government already
acknowledges the issue and is working on multiple projects to solve it. Still, these solutions are
either too costly financially or are not expected to make any substantial impact in the near future,
therefore further action is required. Given the existing solutions for this problem, we have
decided on two additional solutions that stood out to support the already ongoing efforts.
Reducing the amount of water used for irrigating the vast farmlands in the region should help the
water table recover, reducing the quantity of newly formed sinkholes back to historical levels.
Collaborating and educating the locals and enforcing stricter regulations should help keep the
water use in check, reduce economic and infrastructural damage, reduce the risk of fatal
accidents and encourage proper land use. This recent and substantial increase in the frequency of
sinkhole formation is an important issue, threatening population centers, the production of food,
economic stability, infrastructure, human and animal lives, and action should be taken so that a
sustainable future for the region can be created.
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