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Value Investment

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67 views45 pages

Value Investment

Uploaded by

Divya
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VALUE INVESTMENT

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Learning Objectives
● Discuss the Essence of Investing

● Distinguish Investing from Saving

● Identify the Active Nature of Investing

● Anticipate Higher ROI

● Practice Strategic Resource Allocation

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Module 1:
Introduction to Investing

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Differentiation Between Saving and Investing
● Saving Explained: Understand saving as a secure but growth-limited method of
preserving money.
● Investing Analogy: Perceive investing as nurturing a seed with potential for
substantial growth, albeit with inherent risks.
● Risk-Reward Dynamics: Recognize the risks in investing, where not all ventures
flourish, but the potential rewards are significant.
● Potential ROI: Focus on the promising returns that well-managed investments can
offer compared to static savings.
● Growth Orientation of Investing: Embrace investing's potential to foster capital
growth, paving the way for financial prosperity.

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The Imperative of Investment
1. Wealth Accumulation
- Leveraging compound interest
- Early investment for significant growth

2. Financial Security
- Diversified investment portfolio
- Resilience against financial uncertainties

3. Achieving Financial Goals & Counteracting Inflation


- Vehicle to financial milestones
- Safeguarding capital's intrinsic value

4. Generating Passive Income


- Creating passive income streams
- Consistent returns, enhanced ROI

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Investment Philosophies
Diverse approaches to asset allocation and growth
1. Value Investing
- Identifying undervalued assets
- Market recognition of true asset value

2. Growth Investing
- Focusing on high-growth entities
- Potential for substantial ROI

3. Income Investing
- Emphasis on regular returns
- Steady income flow through bonds or dividend stocks

4. Socially Responsible Investing (SRI)


- Investments aligned with ethical values
- Fostering positive global change
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Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis
● Technical Analysis
Utilization of historical data and patterns

● Fundamental Analysis
In-depth analysis of a company's financial health
Examination of balance sheets, income statements, and cash flows

● Intrinsic Value Assessment


Determining the true value of a security

● Risk Assessment
Informed evaluation of potential risks

● Strategic Asset Allocation


Thoughtful distribution of investments to optimize returns
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Module 2:
Understanding Basic Financial
Concepts

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Financial Statements

Financial statements are the compasses of corporate financial health, offering insights into a company's
performance, stability, and potential growth.

Balance Sheet
A balance sheet is a snapshot of a company's assets, liabilities, and equity at a specific point in time.
● Assets: Resources owned by a company, including current assets like cash and inventory, and long-term
assets like property and equipment."
● Liabilities: Obligations the company owes, segmented into current liabilities due within a year and long-
term liabilities.
● Equity: The residual interest in the assets of the entity after deducting liabilities. Essentially, it
represents the ownership stake of shareholders.

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Understanding Basic Financial Concepts
Income Statement
An income statement is a report showcasing a company's revenues, expenses, and profits over a period.
● Revenues: The total earnings from goods sold or services provided.
● Expenses: Costs incurred in the process of generating revenues.
● Net Income: The final profit derived by subtracting total expenses from total revenues.
Cash Flow Statement
A cash flow statement is a record of cash inflows and outflows over a period, illustrating how a company
raises and spends money.
● Operating Activities: Cash flows from core business operations, including receipts from customers and
payments to suppliers.
● Investing Activities: Cash flows from acquisition or disposal of long-term assets, like equipment or
investments.
● Financing Activities: Cash flows from transactions with the company's owners and creditors, including
borrowings, repayments, and dividends.
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Understanding Basic Financial Concepts
Key Financial Ratios
Financial ratios distill complex financial data into simple metrics, aiding investors in evaluating a company's
fiscal health and performance.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio


Price-to-earnings is a valuation ratio, calculated by dividing the current market price of a stock by its
earnings per share.
The P/E ratio signals a company's perceived value and growth potential.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio


The price-to-book ratio is derived by dividing a company's stock price by its book value per share.
The P/B ratio denotes a company's market valuation, with below 1 indicating undervaluation and above 1
signaling a premium.

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Understanding Basic Financial Concepts
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio is a measure of a company's financial leverage, calculated by dividing its total
liabilities by shareholder equity.

Market Capitalization
Market capitalization, or "market cap," is the total value of a company's outstanding shares, calculated by
multiplying the share price by the number of shares.
Market capitalization offers a glimpse of a company's market valuation and size, guiding portfolio
construction and investment strategy.

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Understanding Basic Financial Concepts
Types of market capitalization are,
● Large Cap: Companies with a market cap typically above $10 billion, known for stability and steady
dividends.
● Mid Cap: Companies with a market cap between $2 billion and $10 billion, often considered a balance
between growth and stability.
● Small Cap: Companies with a market cap below $2 billion, characterized by high growth potential but
also higher volatility.

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Module 3:
Introduction to Value Investing

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Definition and Historical Background of Value Investing
1. Value Investing: A strategy emphasizing prudence and detailed analysis to ascertain the intrinsic worth of
assets.

2. Investment Doctrine: Focuses on acquiring stocks trading below their inherent values, based on rigorous
fundamental analysis to identify undervalued securities in the market.

3. Historical Roots: Originated in the 1920s at Columbia Business School, pioneered by Professors Benjamin
Graham and David Dodd.

4. Key Literature: The book 'Security Analysis' (1934) by Graham and Dodd, which laid the foundation of
Value Investing principles.

5. Warren Buffett's Influence: Buffett, a prominent student of Graham, further developed and popularized
Value Investing, bringing it to the forefront of investment strategies.
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Key Principles of Value Investing
1. Margin of Safety
- Acquiring securities at prices significantly below their intrinsic value to safeguard against market
downturns.

2. Intrinsic Value over Market Price


- Prioritizing a company's genuine worth, determined through fundamental analysis, over its current
market price.

3. Long-Term Horizon
- Adopting a long-term approach, trusting the market to eventually correct any undervaluation.

4. Focus on Financials
- Utilizing financial statements as a guide to gauge a company's financial health through detailed analysis
of balance sheets and cash flow statements.
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What is Value Investing in Layman Terms?
1. Art Gallery Analogy: Value Investing likened to identifying undervalued masterpieces in an art gallery,
recognizing the true worth of assets that are priced below their intrinsic value.

2. Strategic Approach: A method where investors use research and insight to pinpoint stocks priced lower
than their actual worth, often due to various market dynamics such as economic concerns or prevailing
investor sentiments.

3. Market Inefficiencies: The strategy is grounded in the belief that the market, though generally efficient in
the long run, can exhibit short-term inefficiencies, leading to undervaluation of stocks and presenting
investment opportunities.

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What is Value Investing in Layman Terms?
4. Anticipation of Price Correction: Value investors anticipate that the market will eventually acknowledge
the true value of undervalued stocks, resulting in a price correction.

5. Patience and Conviction: The approach requires not only identifying 'on-sale' opportunities but also
possessing the patience to hold onto them until their true value is recognized by the market, demonstrating
courage to act on insights and see potential where others see risk.

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How Does Value Investing Work?
1. Sailor Analogy: Value Investing likened to a skilled sailor navigating through turbulent seas, representing
stability and long-term insight in the volatile financial market.

2. Contrarian Investing Approach: Value investors often go against prevailing market sentiments, focusing
on the intrinsic value of stocks rather than being swayed by current trends or news.

3. Intrinsic Value: The true worth of a stock, determined through detailed analysis of a company's
fundamentals including earnings, assets, and business prospects, forming the basis for investment
decisions.

4. Market Discrepancies: Occurrences where the market price of a stock does not accurately reflect its
intrinsic value, often due to emotional reactions, herd mentality, or short-term disruptions.

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How Does Value Investing Work?
5. Market Efficiency and Short-term Inefficiencies: While markets generally reflect all available information
in the long run, short-term inefficiencies can occur, offering opportunities for value investors.

6. Capitalizing on Market Inefficiencies: Value investors seize opportunities presented by market


inefficiencies, believing that the market will eventually correct mispriced stocks, potentially leading to
substantial returns.

7. Challenges and Commitment: The strategy demands a firm commitment to research, patience to wait for
market corrections, and resilience to withstand short-term market fluctuations.

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How to Implement the Value Investing Strategy The Right Way?
1. Treasure Hunt Analogy: Value Investing is a strategic treasure hunt for undervalued stocks, requiring
steadfastness and a methodical approach.

2. Meticulous Research: Rooted in deep analysis of a company's financial health and business potential,
beyond its current market price.

3. Patience Amidst Market Noise: Necessitates patience to withstand market speculations and hold onto
stocks with recognized intrinsic value, despite short-term indicators.

4. Investor's Conviction: Demands strong conviction in one's analysis, especially when it contradicts the
prevailing market sentiments, based on thorough research and understanding of the company.

5. Comparison with Growth Investing: Understanding the allure and risks of Growth Investing, and the
importance for value investors to differentiate between genuine and speculative growth, avoiding stocks
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with unstable fundamentals.
How to Find & Evaluate 3 Different Types of Value?
Understanding Company Value: Evaluating a company from multiple angles to determine its true worth.
1. Book Value:
● Financial compass indicating net worth from financial statements.
● Represents residual value for shareholders in case of company liquidation.
● May not encompass potential or intangible assets like brand value.

1. Earnings Power Value (EPV):


● Dynamic perspective focusing on future profitability.
● Reflects sustainable earnings potential.
● Involves assessing operational efficiency and market demand.

1. Growth Value:
● Intersection of Value and Growth Investing.
● Quantifies potential for future expansion and market share capture.
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● Requires forward-looking analysis of industry trends and business scalability.
Golden Principles For Value Investing Success
● Comprehensive Research: Conducting in-depth analysis of a company's financials, business model, and
future prospects to make informed decisions that minimize risks and maximize potential returns.

● Understanding Market Efficiency: Recognizing short-term market inefficiencies where stock valuations
diverge from intrinsic values, offering opportunities for value investors.

● Embracing Patience: Adopting a long-term approach, holding onto stocks until the market corrects
undervaluations, shielding from short-term volatilities and enhancing potential for substantial returns.

● Prioritizing Intrinsic Value: Focusing on the true worth of a stock, independent of its market price,
considering both tangible and intangible factors such as brand value and growth potential.

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Golden Principles For Value Investing Success
● Recognizing Margin of Safety: Emphasizing the purchase of stocks at prices well below their perceived
intrinsic value to safeguard against uncertainties and potential analysis errors, ensuring capital
preservation.

● Staying Immune to Market Hysteria: Remaining grounded and not succumbing to market emotions
and trends, making decisions based on solid research and analysis.

● Continuous Learning and Adaptability: Keeping abreast of evolving financial trends and adapting
strategies to navigate the changing investment landscape, embodying the spirit of a perpetual student.

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Comparison to Other Investment Strategies
1. Value vs. Growth Investing:
- Growth Investing focuses on companies with potential for high future earnings.
- Growth stocks have high price-to-earnings ratios due to market optimism, while value stocks have
modest ratios indicating potential undervaluation.

2. Value vs. Momentum Investing:


- Momentum Investing involves buying rising stocks and selling declining ones based on current market
trends, not intrinsic value.
- Contrasts with Value Investing's fundamentals-based approach but acknowledges market efficiency
quirks.

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Comparison to Other Investment Strategies
3. Value vs. Index Investing:
- Index Investing mirrors the performance of a specific market index, aiming to reflect broader market
returns.
- Takes a passive approach compared to Value Investing's rigorous analysis.

4. Value vs. Dividend Investing:


- Dividend Investing focuses on companies that regularly distribute dividends to shareholders.
- Has some overlap with Value Investing, particularly when undervalued companies offer dividends, but
the primary objectives differ.

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Benefits and Risks
1. Value Investing:
- Seen as a Contrarian Investing approach.
- Focuses on analysis-driven decisions to reduce risks.
- Requires patience as undervalued stocks may further weaken.

2. Growth Investing:
- Offers the potential for higher returns.
- Accompanied by increased volatility.

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Module 4:
Key Philosophies of Value
Investing

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Value Investment Principles
- Symbolizes wisdom and foresight.
- Guided by enduring fundamental principles.
- Developed by renowned investors and scholars.

1. Margin of Safety:
- Concept introduced by Benjamin Graham.
- Advocates buying securities at prices well below their intrinsic value.
- Acts as a protective barrier against market volatility and valuation errors.
- Encourages cautious and thorough investment approaches.

2. Mr. Market Analogy:


- Represents the market's daily price fluctuations.
- Encourages investors to make decisions beneficial to them, not dictated by market mood swings.
- Promotes buying at low prices and selling at high prices.
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Value Investment Principles
4. Long-term Perspective:
- Focuses on long-term investment horizons.
- Ignores short-term market volatility.
- Believes in the eventual alignment of market prices with intrinsic values.
- Advocates patience to allow compounding to enhance wealth growth.

5. Intrinsic Value:
- Central concept in Value Investing.
- Represents the true worth of an asset, unaffected by market sentiments.
- Requires detailed analysis of company fundamentals.
- Guides investors to identify potential investment opportunities where others may not see them.

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Module 5:
Analyzing a Stock

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How to find undervalued Stocks?
1. Finding Undervalued Stocks:
- Similar to a treasure hunt
- Begins with a meticulous selection process

2. Initial Screening:
- Identifying stocks with specific qualities
- Looking for low P/E ratios, below-average P/B ratios, or high dividend payments
- Represents the initial phase of deeper analysis

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How to find undervalued Stocks?
3. Detailed Analysis:
- Understanding the reasons behind a stock's undervaluation.
- Differentiating between market sentiment and actual company issues.
- Skill in distinguishing promising investments from less favorable ones.

4. Investment Strategy:
- Recognizing overreactions to temporary market issues.
- Capitalizing on opportunities to buy stocks with genuine potential.

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Analyzing Company Financials
Company's Financial Story:
- Narrated through financial statements.
- Indicates current performance and future potential.

1. Balance Sheet:
- Displays assets, liabilities, and shareholder equity.
- Snapshot of financial health and stability at a specific time.

2. Income Statement:
- Details revenues, expenses, and net profit or loss over a period.
- Illustrates operational efficiency and financial fluctuations.

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Analyzing Company Financials
3. Cash Flow Statement:
- Records cash transactions and fund movements.
- Highlights liquidity, solvency, and financial resilience.

Investment Insights:
- Analysis reveals patterns and strengths.
- Aids in making informed investment choices.
- Helps understand the company's financial "language" and potential growth.

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Understanding Competitive Advantage or "Moat"
1. Concept of a "Moat":
- Central to Value Investing.
- Represents a company's competitive advantage.
- Ensures sustained profitability.

2. Forms of Moat:
- Powerful brand.
- Proprietary technology.
- Access to vital resources.
- Extensive distribution network.

3. Importance for Investors:


- Helps understand the company's current competitive strength.
- Indicates the company's future potential.
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- Assists in evaluating the nature of current undervaluation (transient or lasting).
Risks Associated with Value Investing
1. Potential Risks in Value Investing:
- Possibility of encountering a "value trap".
- Stocks may remain undervalued for a long time.

2. Value Trap:
- Stocks that seem undervalued but have underlying issues.
- Issues might include industry challenges or weaknesses in the business model.
- Essential for investors to recognize and avoid these traps to prevent losses.

3. Market Recognition Challenges:


- Undervalued stocks might be overlooked due to short-term market trends.
- Requires investors to maintain a long-term perspective.
- Necessitates the ability to discern a company's true worth beyond immediate market reactions.

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Module 6:
Real-Life Examples and Case
Studies

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Key Figures in Value Investing
- Warren Buffett: A prominent figure in value investing, follows principles of buying undervalued quality
stocks and holding them long-term.
- Charlie Munger: Vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, introduced the concept of identifying companies
with a strong "moat".
- Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: Known as "India's Warren Buffett", renowned for identifying undervalued stocks
in the Indian market.

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Case Studies in Value Investing
- Success Stories:
- Coca-Cola Investment: Buffett recognized the brand strength and competitive advantage of Coca-Cola,
resulting in remarkable returns over decades.
- Titan Company Investment: Jhunjhunwala identified the potential of Titan in the Indian jewelry sector,
yielding manifold returns.
- Missteps:
- Airline Industry Investment in the 1990s: Buffett's investment in US Air was not successful due to the
competitive and capital-intensive nature of the airline industry, leading to lower returns. Later adjusted
strategy for better investments in the 2010s.

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Extracting Lessons from the Case Studies
- Valuing Patience: Buffett's and Jhunjhunwala's journeys highlight the rewards of long-term investment
patience, accentuated by compounding effects.

- Understanding the Industry: Buffett's airline industry experience emphasizes the need for deep
understanding of industry dynamics, beyond just individual companies.

- Leveraging Moats: Munger highlights the importance of identifying companies with strong competitive
advantages or "moats" for sustained profitability.

- Continuous Learning: Successful value investors learn and adapt from their mistakes, using them to
refine future strategies.

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Module 7:
Practical Exercises

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An In-Depth Exploration of the Value Investing Process
1. Intrinsic Value Assessment: Begin by scrutinizing TechNova's financials to estimate its real value and
compare it with the current market price to guide investment decisions.

2. Margin of Safety Analysis: Analyze the margin of safety, the difference between the market price and
intrinsic value, to evaluate the financial buffer against valuation errors and guide prudent investment
decisions.

3. Competitive Advantage or "Moat": Investigate TechNova's business model to identify any competitive
advantage or "moat" that protects its profitability and assess its sustainability in the long run.

4. Long-term Viability: Examine TechNova's long-term prospects in the evolving technology sector, focusing
on potential growth in cloud computing and the alignment of the company's strategies with projected
opportunities.

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Reflection and Discussion
1. Scrutinize TechNova's financial statements to estimate its intrinsic value.
2. Compare the intrinsic value with the current market price to guide investment decisions.
3. Analyze the margin of safety to evaluate the financial buffer against potential valuation errors.
4. Investigate TechNova's business model to identify any existing competitive advantage or "moat".
5. Assess the sustainability and potential growth of TechNova's competitive advantage in the long-term.
6. Examine TechNova's strategies and their alignment with projected opportunities in the technology
sector.

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Summary
1. Understanding the fundamental difference between investing and saving as a means to grow wealth.

2. Exploring various investment philosophies, with a special emphasis on the principles of Value Investing.

3. Delving into the teachings of experts like Buffett and Munger, emphasizing the importance of margin of
safety and intrinsic value in Value Investing.

4. Learning practical financial concepts including how to analyze financial statements and understand
market capitalization.

5. Analyzing real-world investment narratives to glean insights and lessons from the experiences of
renowned investors.

6. Applying theoretical knowledge to practical analysis, enhancing analytical skills through hands-on stock
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evaluation.

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