5'-\S
Telecommunications in Ethiopia:
    Past, Present, and Future
    Abii Tsige and Girma Feyissa
I
                                                    54-5
TELECOMMUNICATIONS IN ETHIOPIA
      Past, Present, and Future
                       By
                   Abii Tsige
                      and
                 Girma Feyissa
(Response to Comments Sent by Editorial Committe)
                                              July, 1992
                                              Addis Ababa
1.        THE HISTORY OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS DEVELOPMENT IN ETHIOPIA
          Available                 historical                   sources              indicate                that        the          introduction
of       telecommunications                             services              in Ethiopia                      as        early          as        1894 was
realized            as     a result                of    the         struggle              for      assertion                    of     sovereignty
and consolidation                             of     central            government                  on the                part  of Ethiopia
and       an effort                of    "peaceful                     penetration''                 on the                part  of foreign
powers         colonizing                neighboring                      lands.
          Assertion                of    Sovereignity
 Article            XVII of             the         Italian            version             of      the        famous             Wuchale             Treaty
signed             on      May          2,          1889            between                  Ethiopia                    and           the          Italian
government                stated              that       Ethiopia                   could          make          diplomatic                       contacts
with       other          countries                only         through             the      Italian                government                    offices.
The emperor,                   realizing                  the          distortion                  of         the        provision                 in        the
Treaty             repudiated                 the       agreement               as        of Feb.              1893       and          soon        applied
for       membership                to        the       Universal               Postal             Union             CUPUI as                a sovreign
state.
           The request                  which           was made              in February                      1893       to       UPU office                 in
Berne,          was rejected                   on         the         grounds             that           the         country             did       not        as
yet      have       modern          postal              services              and          also          because              of       Art        XVII        of
the      Wuchale           Treaty.                  The Emperor                 then         gave         orders              to       be        issued       on
March         9,       1894    proclaiming                      the         introduction                  of        post,          telegraph                 and
telephone  services  in the                                         country.              He soon                     helped  establish                            a
company and gave concession                                          to his           advisor   the                   Swiss engineer                         Ilg
and        a French            entrepreneur                         Mr.      Chefneux              for         the       construction                     of a
railway            line       joining               Addis           Ababa       and         the        Port         of      Djibouti.                     Art.
VI       of      this         concession                  stated             that           the        company                could              establish
along            the      railway               line,           a      telegraph                  line          to       be           used        free        of
charge           by the        Ethiopian                  government                  for          messages                 of        state         affairs
while         other        users          would           pay         for     the         services.
           Emperor             Menelik                  had         earlier           tried              to      prove                his        Country's
sovereignity                  by having                  stamps             printed             with       his        own effigy                    on them
 in      1893.         Although               he was not                    given         international                        recognition,                    he
went          on using             them         for           domestic              postal              services.                      The emperor,
 incidentally,                 was exposed                      to     the      use         of     the         telephone                    as    early        as
                                                                                  2
1889         in his            palace           compound               and nearby                   residences                  of     dignitaries.
This      happened                because              Ras Makonnen,                         the     Duke of            Harrarghe                  and the
father            of     the           late       Emperor                   Haile        Sellassie                I,        had        brought               the
telephone                equipment,                   which           he received                   as    a gift            from           the      Italian
government,                    on his           return            from           his     diplomatic                  mission.
          Dealing                directly              with           the        French             government                  and        introducing
telecommunications                                system               into             Ethiopia                may             have             del i vered
Menel ik's               clear          message              of       independence                   to     the        Italian              government
and       cleared                 the           way          to
                                                              international                                 recognition,                          but         the
technology                 was found                   by the    emperor    even                            more            precious                in       his
effort            of         nation            building                and consolidating                             the         powers             of        the
central                government.                    Many            boarder                towns         and         centres              of       little
kingdoms                  in     the      hinterland                        were        linked           primarily                    to    enable            the
emperor             control             his       subjects                  and        guide        them.
'Peaceful                 Penetration"
          The            other            aspect                 of         the         introduction                       of    communications
services                  into            the            country                   resulted                 from                the              political
developments                      which           took           place            in the            horn        of     Africa              at     the     turn
of     the        19th           century.                    The British                      colony            stretched                  south           from
Egypt         to       the       Sudan            and        Kenya           and        the         British            Somal iland                  in        the
east         thus         almost          encircling                   Ethiopia.                    The     Italians                  had        colonized
Eritrea             in         the      north          and        had        part        of        Somaliland.                   The French                   had
the      French                Somaliland                   (what           is     now Djibouti)                       in the          east.             These
powers            were         interested                   in        ''peaceful               penetration''                    to     Ethiopia               not
only         to     aggrandize                    their            respective                  shares           of         the        continent               but
also      to        keep         each          other         in check.
             The         Italians              saw          Menelik's                  friendship               with        the            French          as a
threat              and          alleged              the         emperor               to         have         broken           the             Treaty          of
Wuchale                and       advanced              south.                War was eminent.                              The famous                   battle
of Adwa was fought                                and        the        Italians               were         defeated                  on March                1st
1896.             This         victory                aroused               such        slogans            as     Viva"                Menelik!               Via
del      'Africa!"                   in many countries                             of     ELtrope          and Ethiopia's                          position
as       a sovereign                          state          was getting                       stronger                 than          ever          before.
After         the     war   the Italians                                 approached   Menelik      and signed    the
Peace           Treaty    of Oct.    26,                              1896 in    which was    stipulated,     as war
                                                                             3
compensation,                   that         the        Italian              government                 shall             link             Asmara          with
Addis         Ababa             by a           telephone                   line           - a          distance                     of           about       861
kilometers            altogether.
           Menelik          promised                 to      provide             labor,          food         and         wooden                 poles.
The        insulators,                 batteries,                   apparatus,                   wires            and          other             equipment
were      provided                by the             Italians.                   Work began                 on April                  30,         1901 and
was completed                   three          years             later.
           A convention                  which              was well              trimmed              to     the         colonial                  desires
was drafted                  in        Rome            and Menelik                      was       to         cosign                  it          with        the
colonial          representative                            in    Asmara.               Menel ik could                         not         accept          this
and        finally          to         the           dismay           of         the       Italians                 it          was              redrafted
according            to         the         mutual               interests                of      both            countries                       and        was
signed        by the            rightful                    authorities.                   The 1 ine                linked                  Addis          with
Asmara          and        Massawa             and          was       found         to     handle                 even          more             important
traffic         of        international                      nature.
           The Ital          Ian       Government's                       intention              was to             use         the         project           as
a     pretext              in         their            effort              of          ''peaceful                  penetration''                           into
Ethiopia.                   Menel ik outsmarted                                  them.            He          not         only              forced           the
redrafting                  of                the            convention                    but               succeeded                             in        the
Ethiopianization                       scheme                despite             the      resistance                  of             the         Italians,
who were          forced               to      give              in believing                  that           the         Ethiopians                       will
never         learn             the          technology                    beyond          the          level                  of          its          simple
operation.                   A telegraph                         school,          the          first          of         its          kind          in       the
whole       continent                 was          opened           in Addis              Ababa,             in     1903              with          only          11
trainees.             By 1904                  the          trainees             were      using             the          Amharic                  language
morse         code         in         Latin            alphabet              incomprehensible                                  to     the           Italian
supervisors.
           Expansion              work         took          place         in     all      directions                          in         a relatively
short       period           of       time.                 The service                 was managed                      by a              director               in
the     Emperor's               palace              first         by an expatriate,                           A.J.Medial                         and      later
by the        Ethiopian                Lij          Beyene           Yimer        who took                  over         power             in      1907.
2.         Most       Important                Laws Affecting                          Telecommunications                                  Sector.
            The most important                                laws        which          have          direct    implications       to
the       telecommunications                                sector          are          those          governing       investment,
                                                                             4
institutional                   powers,               labor       relations,                     tax,import                  dues        and            other
financial            transactions.
           Investment                laws        have         changed                dramatically                  over          the     past              two
decades.             Before            1975 the               market                 was the           most        important                  force          in
investment               decisions.       Between      1975 and 1991 investment     decisions
were made                within     a centrally-planned        economic  framework.       Since
late       1991,         a wider            scope           has       been           given       to        market           forces
following                the         announcement                     of         a      new        economic                    policy          by          the
Transitional               Government                    of     Ethiopia.
           The Proclamation                           (No.        131 of             1952)        establishing                    the         Imperial
Board        of          Telecommunications                                of         Ethiopia                 (currently                     ETA)           is
another              government                        act            which                has             determined                        the           way
telecommunications                          should              be run                during           the      past             four         decades.
This        issue              has     been            discussed                 at        some            length           in         the         section
dealing           with         ''Telecom              Operators''.
           The       labor            law         issued           in        1975 has                   been       the         basis               for     all
collective               agreements                   signed            between              labor           and         the      employer                   in
every            small          and        large             enterprise                 in        the         country.                       This         1 aw,
issued       at          the      time          the          labor         movement                was at             its         peak             in      the
country,           has          a number               of      articles               favoring               labor.              In one             of     the
articles           of     Labor            Proclamation                      No 64 of                 1975,        for           instance,                 the
following            is        stated:
           "For          canceling               a contract                  of       employment                on the               grounds              that
           the       worker                does         not        show          in        carrying                 out        his           work,          the
           technical              knowledge,                   conscientiousness,                             reliability                     or         speed
           which         could         reasonably                     be expected                     of       him ..• the              burden                  of
           proof         shal 1 1 ie             on the            undertaking".
           Referring                  to        this           article                and         others,                many                employers
complain           that         the        labor         proclamation                      is     strongly                labor-biased.
           Finance              - related                     laws,        mainly                dealing            with             import              dues,
taxes,           management                of     net        earnings                and     other           government                 levies             are
discussed               in the         section                 where            "Financial                 Arrangements"                           between
the      state           and          ETA are                out 1 ined.                   In summary,                      1 ike       al 1             other
                                                                       •=
                                                                       ·-'
public       enterprises                     (i.e      state          owned             enterprises)                         the      following
charges       apply            to    ETA today:-
          Income         ta:-,                                                   50 percent                    of     taxable                income
          Capital          charge                                                5 percent                 of       capital           plus
                                                                                 general                reserve
          Residual             surplus                                         90 percent                  of        income          after
                                                                               income             tax
          Import         levy                                                     24 percent    of the                             value          of
                                                                                  imported   goods
3.        F.TA's        Pol icy         Making         eeocess
          Various                policies               of           telecommunications                                    services                    are
processed           in one             or    two or       both         ways            i.e         by the            government                and/or
by       ETA authorities                      depending                on the                 kind             and        nature             of        the
policies           to    be         adopted.             In its            tasks             of         preparing              the        national
economic          development                 plan       and        upkeeping                 the        standard              of     living            of
the      people         through              improving              social             and             economic             services,                  the
government                 sets              targets                and           apportions                              resources                    for
telecommunications                           services           and            investment                  funds              for      expansion
and       maintenance                   work.            As         the          service                  is         believed             to       help
accelerate              the         development                of         activities                      in    all          economic                  and
social       sectors             the        Ministry            of     Planning                    and     Economic                 Development
ensures        that           the      telecommunications                         sector                  interrel•tes                    with         the
overall       objectives                    and policies                  of     the         socio-economic                         development
set        by the        government.                   The government,                             through            the      the        Ministry
of Transport                  & Communications                      and ETA, also                        adheres             to      global            and
regional           telecommunications                           policies                and             principles.                       To       this
effect       various                studies            are          made          by          either                 the       Ministry                 of
Planning           and        Economic          Development                    which              is    the         arm of          the      Council
of Ministers,                  or      by the        Ministry               of         Transport                    and     Communications
through            ETA and              forwarded              to         the          Prime            Minister's                   Office            for
consideration                  or      approval.
                                                                                    6
          ETA          operates                   on         a profit                   making            basis                 but         is         obliged          to
connect            remote               areas               or      strategic                  border            towns                 to        the        national
network          by government                              policy              disregarding                     the            financial                    returns
from these                  rural     stations.                                The            role        of         telecommunications                                 in
relief  and                 rehabilitation                              efforts               in      drought-stricken                                  and        war-
affected           areas               is         crucial               and       is          provided               wherever                     technically
possible               as         a          government                      pol icy.                 Respective                           ministries                   or
commissions                  play                active           roles             in         the        process                    of          implementing
these       po·1 icies.
          The          other            direction                       of      processing                     policies                    starts              in the
organization.                               It        may end                up within                    the        authority                         or      may be
proposed               to        the             ministry               after            being            refined                    andexamined      by
higher    echelon      for                                  approval.                         There             is     a         General     Planning
Committee     comprising                                       members                  of         heads             of              departments                     and
divisions.                   The Committee                             studies            and        recommends                       policy            issues          to
the     General                  Manager                    who approves                       or,        depending                        on the              issue,
takes       it      over               to        the         Board           of     Directors,                       the         higher                 executive
body      chaired                by the               Minister               of     Transport                   & Communications
           Such         matters                   as         raising               the          capital               or          restructuring                      the
organizational                         set-up               or     approving                   the        draft            development                       package
programme,                  or    change                of       rates,            appointment                    of        the        General               Manager
... etc      are             decided                   by        the      government.                           Other             less             significant
issues           are         handled                   by the           Board            of         Directors                   in        the      Ministry             of
Transport              and             Communications.                                 The General                     Manager                   is     delegated
for        series            of             activities                  and            expense            authorizations                                which        are
reviewed            from          time             to       time.
4.         Electronic                       Equipment                  Manufacturing
           The         manufactLtring                              sector                in         Ethiopia                    is          sti 11            in     its
infancy.                    As indicated                          in         section               3 of         our         main            document,                  the
country's              economy                   is     dominated                  by agricLtlture,                             contributing                       about
44 percent                   of GDP, whereas                                 manufacturing                           contributes                       only        about
10 percent.
           Electronic                            equipment                        manufacturing                            is             virtually                 non-
existent.                        The only                        telecommunications                                  network                elements                made
locally               include,                     copper          wires          (only            drawing              and         insulating)                    for
the       subscriber                      loop,           t2lephone              poles            and      brackets.
                In     the           fen         Year      Perspective                       Plan         drawn         up          by the              previous
government,                      setting                 Ltp       manL1facturing                    facilities                         for         electrical
and        electronic                     goods          were        to       be among              the        216      industrial                      projects
to be            undertaken                      during            the        period           1984-93.                 rhe            most           important
el ectrica·1                    and         electronic                     products                envisaged                  by the                  Plan       were
radio                and     television                        receivers~                    electric                 motors             and            electric
bu 1 bs.              None       of         these          projects              has         materialized                     so        far.
                A new        investment                    law           has     been          issued            based            on           the      economic
:CJ □   l icy        announced                     ~v     r:.he         ~ransitional                  Government                        .,t     the          end    of
1991.                 This           law provides                        a general                 guideline                  for         the         country's
development.                          rhe          most           significant                  departure                of        the          Transitional
Government's                          economic                     pol icy              from              that          of              the           preceding
Government                      lS          l !l        1ts        declared                  intention                  to        move               towards             a
market               - oriented                    economy.                   According               to       the      stated                  pol icy,           the
state            sector               will          run        and       develop               heavy           engineering,                          fert    i 1 izer
and             chemical                  producing                     industries,                   while             at          the              same        time
encouraging                     the         private                sector          to        invest            and      run             any          industrial
enterprise                      deemed              acceptable                    for        the          social         and              economic               well
being            of    the           people.
                             Major               T,,lecommunications                           Equipment                Suppl           i<;>.r1>
                Telecommunications                                investment                 in      Ethiopia                is     mainly              financed
through               multilateral                        and      bilateral                 lending             agencies.                      As the           past
six              telecommunications                                       development                      programmes                          show,          major
portions                   of        the         external               funds           came         from        the          World             Bank,         which
contributed                     to         all          the       six         programmes.                      The African                      Development
Bank as               well           as          the      Governments                   of     Italy           and           Sweden             contributed
to         the        financing                    of     only          the     last          (sixth)               development                      programme.
These            lenders              have             strongly               influenced                the          procurement                       practices
of       ETA.              Where             the        World           Bank      and        the        ADB          require                  international
competitive                          bidding              as       the         basis           for            the      choice                  of      eqLtipment
suppliers.                   the           bilateral                 sources            allow           only         limited                  tender.
                                                                                  8
           Despite                the         fact               that           international                       competitive                 bidding
attracts               a large            number                  of       suppliers,                    only       very          few suppliers
have       dominant                  roles         in the                Ethiopian                telecommunications                           network.
In      the          switching            field,             Ericsson                      of     Sweden,           Fujitsu              and      NEC of
Japan         and      Alcatel                of       France                 have         strong            positions;                 and      in         the
transmission                      area        (including                        microwave                and        satellite             systems),
NEC of          Japan,            Italcom              of        Italy          and Alcatel                   have supplied   a major
portion               of    the           transmission                            network.                    Semens   of   Germany is
another              important            supplier                    of      telex          and        transmission                  equipment.
           In general,                   although                 choice              of     suppliers              is        dependent           on the
mode          of           financing,                   technical                     factors              (equipment       performance
reliability,                     compatibility,                          etc.),            price         and    after-sales       support
remain               the          most            important                     criteria                 for           the        selection                  of
supp 1 i ers.
           5.           Tari ff          Structure
           The Ethiopian                      Telecommunications                                   Authority              (ETA) follows                     the
policies                   and    principles                     of      CCITT in                its     tariff           structure              for        the
various              types        of     services                  it      provides.                    The basic              objective               is    to
cover         cost          and raise              fund            to      ensure            sustainable                  development.                      The
rates            of         charges               for            the       types             of         services               i.e.       interurban
telephone                   calls,            urban                calls,                  international                       calls,            initial
(installation)                          charges,                 subscription                      charges             etc       are     structured
on      per          unit        cost        of    service                 production                   basis       but        flexible           enough
to set           certain             rates         below               cost           which            can     be accommodated                    in        the
general              return          from         operation.                          There            is a cross-subsidy                        concept
in the general                          structure                  as      we shall                    see a little     later                    on.     A
brief  glance  at                       some            of the             services                and the               guiding          principles
behind           the          setting             of     rates             might            help        to     have       a general              idea        of
ETA's         tariff             structure.
A.         Inter-urban                   Telephone                      Calls
           Interurban                    telephone                      calls              are     transmitted                   by open               wire,
radio           or     microwave              and            recently                 via         domestic            satellite               services.
Despite              the      mode and               quality               of     services,                  most        of    these          calls         are
charged                on the           basis               of     airline                  distance.                    They         appear           to     be
                                                                                   ,:::;:,
equitable                but         it           is     not           hard         to             see         that          2fficient                   and      more
qualitative                calls                 are       charged                equally                 with              those         hardly           audible
rural         distant                calls.                   Prior         to      the            application                      of    this          principle
interurban                 call        s1      were           charged             based             on the               concept            of     only         "Rate
lanes"        -      calling                      !'or        arithmetical                              work          for         every           ca·11         being
transmitted                 through                      various                  rate              zones.                       The        customer                 is
subjected            to        more            charges                 simply                because                of      the      distance                of     the
routes            instead                   of          the        distance                    of         the            place            called.                 This
deficiency                 is             being               rectified                      by          applying                   airline              distance
principle.
8.         S.T.D_Cal              ls
           lvhereas            the          operator-hand]                        ed          interurban                    calls         c,re      cha,rged         on
a 3-minute                minimum                  basis,              the        calls                 handled             by        Subscriber                Trunk
Dialing           (S.T.DJ                 svstem              are       charged                    only         for         the      duration                of     the
traffic.             The pulse                         intervals              are,             however,                     adjusted              slightly           to
make up for                the            loss          from        calls           lasting                    less         than         3-minutes.                 For
distant           calls          by S.T.D                     the      intervals                        are     made           even       shorter.
c:.        Urban          Ca]lj;
           The       charge                 for          urban          calls                  where            automatic                     exchanges             are
available             is       USS             0.06           per      call         and                 free        in      places            where          manual
exchanges            are          installed.                          There              is        no pulse                 interval              arrangement
for      urban       calls.
           Apart          from            subscriber                    services,                        there           are        public              telephone
services           made           available                     using            coins.                  The charge                   per        call      is       US$
0 .10                a         charge                   meant           to          cover                     the        costs            of        equipment,
maintenance,                    coin             collection                  etc ..
D.         Access
           ETA        tries               to           recover               the             investment                     costs           on      equipment,
training,             installation                            and      upkeep                 of        facilities                  etc ..        by applying
access            charges                 which               is       the         payment                     made          to have    access                        to
communication                     facil            Lties.                    This             includes                    initial    subscription
charge            which                is         about               US$55.56                      -         per        line            and        a      monthly
                                                                         10
subscription   fee which is about US$ 2,41.                                                               These          charges           do not
in any way match the investment   cost but are                                                            payments              for      partial
coverage.               There             are           additional            rates           for         extension               1 ines          and
extra       apparatus                    and different                   rates             for       PBX          equipment,                  which
varies       according                   to     their         respective              capacities                 and       types         (manual
or automatic)                 .
E.        Telegram
          Telegrams,                     with      minimum              of    10         words,           are        charged             on       the
basis        of        flat              rates           of      US$0.05              per           word,           irrespective                       of
distance,           for ordinary    telegrams                                  and double                   as      much for               urgent
ones.             This rate     does not     at                               all cover                   the      cost  but                 it is
expected      to                  be    covered      by  charges      on                              other     services                        like
international                     telephone     calls   for    instance.                                 Telegram     traffic                       is
generally              on          the        decrease            but        the         low         tariff          is         expected            to
encourage          local             traffic,
F.        Telex
          Telex        traffic                both       domestic             and        international                     is     handled              by
automatic                exchange                       equipment.                          Subscribers                     pay          initial
subscription                      charges            and monthly                   rentals.                 As for              the      traffic
charges           there            are           two       different               rates            for         local       as          well           as
international                     telex         calls.           Generally                 the       charge          for        telex          calls
per     unit       of  time                    is    about         three-fourth                   that  of                 the        telephone
charge.            However,                    international               rates              are subject                    to       bi 1 ateral
negotiations.                       In few cases                 the     tel ex rates                     equal           or even          e>tceed
the      telephone                call         rates.
G.        Fax
          The         rates              for      fax         service         are           very          much similar                     to      the
telephone             call           rates           except            for         the      initial          subscription                           and
monthly         fee      for         the          installation                and use               of the               equipment             which
is      much higher                 than         the      telephone            subscription                      rate.
        Despite                recommendations      of                             CCITT,                 ETA       does          not           make
distinctions                  between   its customers                              and the            value         of     services              when
                                                                                 11
setting         the         tariff             structure.                          But         this         has         to     change                in        the
near      future.             A telephone                      call          for        a business                 man and             an ordinary
customer         making             a         social            call             of     say        greetings,                  should                not          be
evaluated              on the                 same        scale.                   On        the       other            hand           urban              calls
should         be charged                on time                    interval             basis         to        encourage                      efficient
use       of    equipment.                         The        interurban                 call         rates             which          vary             from       a
minimum         of     US$ 0.12                to        a maximum                 of    US$ 2.75                per     3-minute                    period,
depending            on distance,                        should              be revised                with         a view                 of        putting
ETA in         a better             financial                   position                to     face         the        growing             demand              for
the    service          without                affecting                   the        volume          of     traffic.
6.        Pi rec ti on              and            Magnitude                     of      Change                  io Telecommunications
          Policies
          One          can          discern                   at          1 east         two          aspects                of        changes                    in
telecommun1cat1on                        policies                   - techno·logica·1                         and       operational.                           The
technical              aspect            is        in     the           direction              of     adopting               more          private                or
individual               and            more         intelligent                        communication                        network.                       Such
trends              include              satellite                       broadcast,                     paging               system,                    mobi 1 e
communications                   network                 and        the      I ike.            The pressure                    comes              from         big
hotels          like          the        Hilton                 or         international                          organizations.                             The
magnitude              of     the        demand               for         such        services              at     present                is      not       very
significant                 but          there                are        growing               indications                     of          increasing
demands.
          Another             issue                pertains                  to         the          future             of        the                service
operations.                       There              is            an       increasing                  pressure                  to            partially
deregulate               and        I iberal             ize        the          services.                  This        can          be done                in       a
number          of       ways,                 Certain                    customers                  terminal            equipment                         whose
technical             standard                is     approved                    by ETA, could                     be sold,                     rented            or
maintained               by private                        individuals                    or         companies.                      The          internal
installation                of      a big            building                    complex             can      be sub-contracted                                   to
the       private            sector.                      Local             area             networks               may be                handled                 by
individuals                  or private                   companies                      including                collection                    of      bills.
To this          end     a series                   of    studies                 are        being         made and            the             1 ikel      ihood
is that         they         will        soon            be        implemented.                      These         changes                 and          trends
are       made         or            planned                   to         respond               to          demands                 for           services
originating              from           all        directions.                        As such              there        are       no particular
                                                                                12
pressure           groups          that            caused           any         chanqe            as     far          as
telecommun1cations                           is      concerned.
7.     Financial                  arrangements
       According                   to            proclamation                        No.       163            of       1979         dealing              with
regulation               and      co-ordination                          of     Public              Financial                   0perati.ons,              the
following                provisions                   are           currently                     applicable                      regarding               the
financial               arrangements                      between             ETA and             the         State.
       Art.        5              State            Capital
                        1)        The            government                   shall          have             state         capital            in every
                                  publ       1c      enterprise                      or     financial                 agency.
       Ar-       t . ,,;          Gener-al                Reserve              Fund
                                  Each             public                enterprise                     shall              annually              put        10
                                  percent                  of      its          surplus                into         the         general          reserve
                                  fund            until           such        reserve               fund           equals           60 percent              of
                                  the        state             capital           .
        Ar- t .         10        Annual             Capital              Charge
        Any public                    enterprise                   or     financial                 agency                shall         annually          pay
        to        the          government                   ...          capital             charge                 the      amount            of      which
        shall                be five              percent            of        the        state         capital              plus        the     general
        reserve                fund         as     shown           on the             balance             sheet            at     the     end       of    the
        previous                 fiscal             year.
        Art.            15        Payment                 of      Residual                 Surplus
        Each            public          enterprise                   or        financial                agency             shall           pay      to     the
        Government                    its           residual                  surplus              (90 percent                    of       net      income
        after                income         tax)            within             seven          months               following               the      end     of
           its      fiscal            year.
        Art.            16         Financial                    objectives
                        1)        Every             pub! ic          enterprise                   or      financial                     agency         sha I 1
                                                          13
                   plan     and       conduct           its         financial                operation            in    such
                    manner       as     its      income              is     sufficient               to cover:
                    a)       al l        eHpenses                     and            other           items     properly
                             chargeable                 to           current              operations               including
                             depreciation;
                    b)       annual           capital           charge;
                    c)       interest            on loans;
                    d)       ta>: l i ab i l it i es ;
                    e)       appropriation                     to     the        general           reserve          fund;
                    a)       amortisation                  of        any        fixed         debt       due      and     other
                             debts;           and
                    g)       residual            surplus.
          Art.      26       State       Annual            Financial                  Plans
The Minister              (of     Finance)           and             the        Secretary            General            (of    the
National            Revolutionary                   Development                       Campaign              and        Central
Planning          Supreme         Council           established                      by Proclamation                   No.     156
( 1978)         sha 1 1    submit        to         the        Council               of      Ministers            currently
with      the     government            draft        budget:
1)        a draft         annual        investment                   programme                of     the     government,
          public          agencies,              public                   enterprises                  and         financial
          agencies         and         the      estimates                  of    resources                 necessary           for
          financing          thereof;
2)        a      draft       state            annual                financial                plan          which          shal 1
          comprise         the        following:
          a)        the    investment               programme                   of     the    Government,                public
                    enterprises,                    public                   agencies                and           financial
                    agencies;
                                                                                    14
                          b)           any            revenue              of           the        Government                           available               for
                                         investment;
                          c)           transfers                     from           residual                     surp ·1uses                 of           pLiblic
                                         enterprises                   and         financial               agencies;
                          d)           borrowing                 from         domestic                sources;
                          e)             foreign           sources                 of    financing.
            ETA which                    is      a public              enterprise                  as        defined                by Proclamation
No.         163 of             1979,            is     required             to      transfer               funds             to     the       governments
general             budget               in      the      following                 ways.
             1•           Capital                     Charge:-             As ETA is wholly                             owned             by the            state,
it     is     required                   to      pay to              the      government                   an annual                    capital            charge
amounting                      to    5         percent           of          its        total             capital                plus         the      general
reserve             fund.
             2.           Income              Tax:-         The countr-y's.                   pr-evai ling    tax law requires
ETA          to     pay         to       the          government    income                     tax amounting       50 percent    of
its          taxable                income,                i.e.income                    remaining      after    all   operating
expenses,                      annual                 capital       charge                      and         interest                    on         1 cans        are
deducted                 from        revenues.
             3.           Residual                    Surplus:-             This              amounts            to         90       percent           of        the
net          income                  after               income              tax          of             every              public            enterprise.
Proclamation                        No.         163 of          1979            requires              every           public              enterprise                 to
transfer                  the            amount                designated                     as         residual                  surplus                to     the
government                     annually.                       This,         in effect,                     amounts                to        transferring
nearly             all         the       earnings               of     public             enterprises                       to     the       government.
             The          Proclamation                         was issued                 at       the      time            when the               Government
in          power         then                was embarking                        on a            centrally                 -       planned              economy
whereby              investment                       expenditures                      of      all         public                enterprises                   were
allocated                      by the                Central           Planning                 Supreme             Council.                       This        meant
that           a         public                 enterprise                   such         as          ETA        financed                    its          capital
projects                 from             its           own funds                   (drawing              on          its         depreciation                       and
general             reserve                   funds),           government                    treasury              and           external            loans.
                                                                                 1 i:::·
                                                                                   ··~'
          Although               Proclamation                      No 163 of                      1979            is        still           effective,             it
is    clear           now that                it         has     out        1 ived          its         purpose.                       Today,         there        is
no longer             a centrally                        - planned               economy                in        the         country.                In fact,
a new economic                     pol icy               with      strong            emphasis                     on the               market         to     guide
economic              activities                    has         been         announced                   and                new laws              are        being
issued           and        drafted.                      Among the                new laws                       that           have         already         been
issued,               the          investment                          law         is             the             most                 significant                 to
telecommunications                            development.                           This             aspect                has         been         discussed
in greater                detail          elsewhere.
8.        Telecom               Operatgrs
          F'roc l amat ion                    No          131          of        1952,                issued                  by        the       Ethiopian
Government                 to    establish                  the        Imperial                   Board             of        Telecommunications
of Ethiopia                 in     1952,            gave         the        following                   mandate                  to     the      Board.
          Act.         3
          The         Board         shall                have      the           exclusive                    right              to         engage          in the
          construction,                       operation                  and       maintenance                          of       telecommunication
          other             than        military                   telecommunications;                                        provided                that     the
          Board            may      in        its           discretion                      enter             into               arrangement                  with
          other             persons,                     public             or       private                  for             the           operation              of
          specified                telecommunication                               facilities.
          The Proclamation                               <Article            3 of           which             is        quoted              herein         above)
which           is    still              in        force,              gives         ETA              the         right                to     be  the sole
operator             of     non-military,                        public            telecommunications                                         in Ethiopia.
ETA       has        indeed         exercised                      the       right               to         be the               sole          provider            of
public         telecommunications                                services                  for          over            four           decades           without
major         challenges                to         its         authority.
          The          only             concession,                          with                regard                     to          point-to-point
communication,                     that            ETA has               made so far                         is        in         licensing              private
operators                  to      use         private                      radio                telephone                       systems              for       the
exclusive              use         of     the             1 icensee.                    These               private                   radio          telephone
systems          are            stand-alone                     systems                 which           have            no            interaction             with
the     public-switched                            network             operated                  by ETA.                    The radio
                                                                        16
monitoring            station                 run     by         ETA         ensures               that         uni icensed                radio
communications               are        not         undertaken.
          From       time      to         time        ETA has                been          approached              by          users       to     be
permitted            to      access              ETA's                network              with         their            own         terminal
equipment          such      as          telephone               apparatus,                 PBX etc.                   ETA's         response
to such         requests           is         generally                discouraging                 to          users.            On a          few
occasions,           ETA's          customers                   were      permitted                to        import            and     install
PBX's      of their          choice,                but     ownership               of      the     PBX's          was transferred
to    ETA with        a partial                reimbursement                     of        the     value         of      the      PBX's.
          According            to       current                 views          of     officials                  responsible                    for
telecommunications,                        except               for      some         relaxation                  in     the      provision
of customer           premises                equipment,                no major                change            in     the      provision
of      basic      telecommunications                                 services             is      envisaged              in         the     near
future.
'?.       ETA's Basic              Network            Ar-chitectur-e
          The basic          telecommunications                              network              consists             of:-
          11       Subscriber                 premises                equipment
          2)       Subscriber                 Lines
          31       Switching              Centres
          41       Transmission                     Network
1)        Subscriber-          Premises                   Equipment
          The main           components                    of    the      subscriber                    premises               facilities,
include           PBXs,        telephone                   apparatus,                 teleprinters,                      fax-machines.
These       instruments             are         a         mixture         of     the        analogue              and          the     digital
type.
2)        Subscriber-          Lines
          This      includes              the        subscriber                     line           pairs                 secondary               and
primary          cables-to              the     switching                offices.
                                                                                         J• --,
                                                                                             '
    :3)       Switching                     offices
              The switching                           facilities                   currently                        1n operation                range            from
    the       manually-operated                                   rural                  switches                      and           electromechanical
    exchanges                  to     the       digital                stored-program-controlled                                            systems.               The
    degree                of    digitalization                           of     the        network                  is    discussed              in     the      main
    document.
    4)        Transmission                          Eguipm._,nJ_
              The              transmission                       network                  consists                      of      open          wire           lines,
    symmetrical                     pair        cable,             radio-relay                         links           and      satellite               systems.
    □ pen-wire                 lines,           with         or        without                carrier                systems            are     widely           used
    carrying                   traffic              among          the        majority                   of      rural          towns.           \/HF systems
    ranging              from            l to         24 Channels                     as well                  as    UHF Systems                with        60 and
    120       channels                      serve         several                  routes.                          The       main,           long-di       stance
    transmission                      network                 linking              all             the         regional              cities           and      other
    principal                  towns           consists                  of     300-960                  channels                analogue             microwave
    systems.                   These         routes            are            targeted                   for        replacement                with      digital
    radio              relay         systems            during            the         STDP,
•
              Satellite                     systems               are         used            for         domestic                   and      international
    services.                        Domestic             satellite                      systems                 are      a      recent          addition              to
    the       network,                   currently                 linking               two           cities.                The main           application
    of    satellite                   systems             in           Ethiopia                   is     in      linking             the       country           with
    the       rest             of        the          world.                  In         June              1991,          Ethiopia              had         direct
    satellite                  1 inks          with       17 countries.
    10          Programme                   Implementation
              According                        to       the              Sixth             Telecommunications                                    Development
    Programme                  the       following                 were         to       be realized                      by      1988.
                1.             Raise            the       country's                      telephone                     exchange               capacity           from
                               123 1 900            1 ines         at     the         beginning                     of        1984     to     195,000           1 ines
                               in June              1988.
                ~-
                ''"\
                               Raise            telephone                 subscription                              from        89,544           in         1984       to
                               140,000              □ ELs         in     June         1988.
                                                                              18
          3.           Expand                    automatic                  switching                    service                  l:o      bring          the
                       percentage                      of          subscribers                      connected                     to           aL1tomatic
                       exchanges                  to        95.
          4.           Extend              the        telephone              service               to     an additional                        150 rural
                       towns
          5.           Raise             telex         subscription                     to        890     in      1988
          Furthermore,                           it     was          planned            that             all          additional                exchange
capacity             was to              be based             on digital                 switching                 systems.
          Examination                      of     the        status          of the               network              by the            end       of    1988
reveals          a significant                         gap         between          planned               and actual                    figures.             In
June      1988              the         total           exchange             capacity                   was       only          125,665              1 ines.
This      was up only                      by 1765                l Ines     as against                   71,100             lines         of      planned
expansion.
          As          a consequence                          of      the      slow            progress                 in putting                    up the
planned          digital                 switches,                 the      percentage                   of subscribers                        connected
to       automatic                 exchanges                 stood           at     only           83          percent,              12 percentage
points          below             the      planned                target.
          By 1988             there               were            only      492 telephone                       offices,                 an addition
of      only         82 over             that         of     1984,          which            is    78 below               the        planned
f igL<re.              Telex             subscription                      was also               below         the      planned               target       by
74 subscribers.
          As          the     above               comparison                 clearly                    shows,         the         expansion              and
modernization                      programme                 of      ETA          did    not            progress             as      planned.                  In
fact           the     SXTDP, which                         was          schedL<led               for     completion                      in    1988,        is
still          under         implementation                          at     the     time           of      writing              this       paper         - a
programme                   envisaged                 for         five       years            has        been          stretched                to      cover
nine      years'
11.       Changes                 in     TelecommunicatiQns                             In        The     tlext        Ten .Lears.
          The               country's                       development                       pol icy,                    customer                   needs,
technological                      development                     - among              other            factors             - will            determine
                                                                                  19
the      pace      and        direction                of        change            in     the        telecommunications                                     sector
in Ethiopia.
          Demand          for         basic           telecommunications                               services                    has grown at    a
rate        much faster                       than         ETA          could            cope          with.                      1-11e sing] e most
important               task          of     any           service               provider               (be       it             ETA or             any         other
telecom            operator                 that       might            be setup                during            the            next         ten           years)
wi l 1      be bridging                      the          gap         between               the          huge           demand                    for           basic
telecommunications                           services                 and         the     supply.                 No less                    important                  is
the      rapidly          growing                demand               for         new telecommunications                                            services,
such      as     data         commun1cation,                          fax         and mobile                 services.
          Barring                 a        i:echnol            ogical                   break          through~                         the             services
mentioned              above          will         remain               the        area         of     focus            for             t.he coLtntry                   's
telecommunications                           needs.
           In          this            connection,                          the           Ethiopian                     telecommunications
network,               given           a         healthy                economic                  growth,                    is         expected                        to
experience              a maJor                  overhaul.                    Side        by side             with               the        expansion                of
the       network,              the         most           significant                     portion                of         the             network              will
have      been         converted                 to    digital                systems             by the               end             of     the         decade.
During          this      period              the         introduction                     of     ISDN is               expected                    to      appear
on the          agenda          of     development                      discussions.
           Liberalization                        and       privatization                        will         no doubt                   emerge              as     key
policy           issues               in     the           field              of         telecommunications.                                            Although
1 imited               1 iberal            ization               is         in           sight,              privatization                                of       the
telecommunications                            network                 will         call         for      a        persistent                        push          from
the        protagonists                     of      the        privatization                      policv.                    In        any         event,          the
monopoly           role         of     ETA is              unlikely                to      remain            as        it         is    in         the      coming
ten      yearnsM
           Another              important                   area            of     change               is     in            the        manufacturing
industry.                The development                           of       local          capacity                in the               manufacturing
of       telecommunications                                    equipment                   has          been                on          the              list           of
development                   programmes                    of     the        country             for         some           years                now.          Given
the        current            optimism                    of     the          private             sector,                    telecommunication
equipment                manufacturing                             plants                will           be        among                     the          numerous
factories              that       will           be established                          during          the           coming                ten         years.
                                                                                 20
12.       Effect             of       Global           Tr-ends
          For          the        last              17 years,               Ethiopia                heavily              depended                      on the
former          USSR for                 military              and         technical               assistance.                         The country
was hard               hit        by at              least         two          major        droughts                and          famine               (1974,
1985),          and was war-ravaged                                 for     over          thirty         years.             Over        60 percent
of Its          people            are         living          below         the        poverty-]              ine.
          Ethiopia's                    leaning              too     much             towards           the        socialist                 camp,         her
settlement                   and          v1llagization                         programmes,                    collectivization                                 in
agriculture              ... etc.                   were      strongly                  criticized                 by       some        observers,
Her       povertv                was          alleged               to     have          been           largely             the         result                  of
social         ism.              !n general                  the          west        was rather                   reluctant                 to        rescue
the       country                from         the      political                 turmoil                The over             extended                   civil
war        frustrated                   the          government                  forces            and        crippled                 the         economy
until           defeat            by opposing                  forces             CEPRDFl was eminent.                                  The former
president                Meng1stu                   Haile          Mariam         fled       the        country             in     May 1991                 and
soon        after            a        Transitional                   Government,                     a temporary                       alliance                 of
various           parties               and         organizations,                      was established                         with         the        EPRDF
playing          the         dominant                role,
          Even           though               the      country              was socialist-oriented                                     previously,
telecommunications                             development                   programmes                 have         always            been            funded
by       western             loans.                 The       new economic                   pol icy               of     the      Transitional
Government               is       basically                   a mixed                 economy           pol icy.                   The             private
sector            is         encouraged                       and          assisted                by          the          government                          to
participate                  in         all         economic              sectors           hitherto                 monopolized                       by the
state          except            in     a few          sectors.                  This      places             immediate                pressure                 on
the        supply                side          of          telecommunication                            services,                  already                  too
scarce.
           Popu I at ion
           The         first            census               ever          conducted               in         the          country                in      1984
showed            that           the          population                  has         reached           42.2             million             including
Eritrea.               With              an estimated                      2.9        percent           annual              growth            rate              it
would          have      reached                49.9         million               by the          end        of        1990.            90 percent
of       the      population                    is     rural-engaged                      in agriculture.                          Out        of        which
3       percent          lives            in         the       lowlands               mainly         by         cattle            raising.                  The
                                                                             21
urban       population                 which          is    concentrated                       in        few towns             (31.4          percent
living         in Addis           Ababa)            grows           at       an annual                average             of     4.2        percent.
Forty-six           percent             of      the        population                   of Ethiopia                  is     under           15 years
of age.             The total                 fertility                     rate        is     about         7.5          while         the      death
rate      is       estimated                  to      be         around                15.2        per       thousand                  population
11984).            Life       expectancy                   at       birth             was about              51.9         years         based           on
the      Central          Statistics                  Office            report           of        1984.
13.       A       telecommunication                              network                map           of         Ethiopia               has          been
attached           with       the       letter             sent         separately.
14 .      INTRODUCTIQN
          Tb!1 Country
          Ethiopia            1s located                   in     the        eastern             part        of     Africa             stretching
from      3° N-l~N               and        from         33°E          to    480E,            bounded            by the          Sudan          in     the
west        and north-west,                        the      Red Sea                in the           north-east,                  Djibouti              and
Somalia           in the          east         and          Kenya            in the                south.           With            an area             of
1,223,600               sq.km           its           features                   are     characterized                         by       a      rugged
terrain           and        major          deep           and      precipitous                     valleys               containing                 such
big      rivers         as       the        Blue           Nile          (Abay),              Tekeze,              Mereb,           Baro,            Omo,
Awash,         Genalle           and        Wabbi          Shabel           le     which         drain           their         waters          to     the
neighboring               areas         except             river            Awash.
          The Economy
          The country's                     basic          economy               is     agriculture                 which           contributes
over      44 percent                   of     GDP.              The main               produces              are         grains,              coffee,
sugar,         fruit,         vegetables                   and         1 ivestock.                  The manufacturing                          sector
consisting              of    mainly            food,            textiles,               beverages,                  leather            and      shoes
and       non-metallic                      products                     including                  handicrafts                     mining            and
construction,                 contribute                        only         about            16         percent            of      GDP.               The
service            sector              comprising                 mainly                trade,              public          administration
transport            and      communications                           contributed                       about       40 percent                of      GDP
at     current          factor          cost          as    at         end       of     1991.
                                                                            ,...,,...,
                                                                            ..::...::.
          Resource          5,
          The           country's                 physical                      resource                 base        potential                  for
agricultural                production                  and          its        large           livestock           population                  (the
largest            in    Africa            and        contributing                       about        40 percent            to    the      value
of       agricultural                    output)               are          the           most          promising            potentials,
Little          exploited             hydroelectric                        power          potential,                newly        discovered
natural          gas     resource                in     the         Ogaden           region,            minerals,           particularly
primary          gold,         soda        ash,        tantalum,                  marble,             potash        and      base        metals
are      also      available               important                 resources.
15.       Source         for       table          1
          1)        In our            copy        of          the     diskette,                  we have         indicated               as     the
                    source            of        table          1:     ETA's              statistical                Bulletins             (1987-
                       1991)       and      ONCCP plan                     documents               (1985-1991).
          2)        The right                   column              Telecom.                  contribution                (¾ of         GDP) is
                    derived                from          the          ratio              of      operating            revenues                from
                    telecommunications                                services                   to      GDP        expressed              as          a
                    percentage.
16.       References
1.        Alemayehu               Kibret,             Price          Policy              and       Revenue~Effectiveness                           of
          Tariff            Rates          in          the     Ethiopian                      Telecommunication                   Authority
          Ethiopia:               A.A.       1985
2.        Asfaw,            Fikru,           Management                    of     Telecommunications                        in Ethiopia.
          African                Telecommunication                                Development                   conference                <ATDC)
          Zimbabwe:               Harare,             1990
3.                          Pol ic>'             consider·atU;rn                           on          Licensing            of          Pri\/ate
          Customer                       Premises                           Equipment                   for         Accessing                 ETA's
          Networks.               March          1990         (Rev.         2)
                                                                            23
--L    Imp,n-i     .al          Government                     of      Ethtopia,                   Negarit              Gazeta,          11
                                                                                                                                              The
       Establ         i -~hment           of       ·(he lmper·i.3..l               Board           of      Telecommunication                   of
       E t.b....l...2,Q
                    i a.   11
                                 F'r·oc l am.:f..
                                               t i on t·,lo,                 1 ~:1 of         1 '7'52.
5.     Eshete,             Alerne,              The ronstruction                         of     Italo-Ethiopia                  Telephone
       and     Telegr·aph                 line        IE:98-1904,                 Ett-,iopia:              A.A
,:6•   ITU, African                    Telecommunication                                Statistics.               ATDC,         Z i rnbab1,.,._ie:
       Harare,            1990.
       ETA, Telecommunrcattons                                      Development                 Programmes
8.     Ethjopian                Science           and Technology                         Commission~                  Working        Papers
       pr·esented               tn        the     Fi r·st            N.at i cor,al         Cooflc'r~n_ce             <;•D   !:k i ence        and
       Tech no l ogy             Pol      1c    y of       Eth i op i a.              n e 20
                                                                                   1.Ju                 - 25,        1 98:3 A. A.
·.,·   Lee,           1i 11 i .~m, From
                   1..-
                     ..                                    Bush             Te>1 egraphy              to      Microwave            syste>rr,:
       Te u~ommu           n i cat        i on     i n J;;tbi        op i a 1 E:97-1 973.                   Eth i op i a:      A. A 1 ·;>73
10.    Lemma, Taye,                    Price          of       Telecommunication                           Service          in Ethiopia~
       Ethiopia;                A.A,           1987
11.    Minisa.tr·,'        o-i       Post,        Telegraph                  .and Telephone;                     Telephone_        ,c.ervJce
       in __the_Er·itr·ea                        Pro,•ince                  1~:53-1963:               Asmara          I I    Pi l graphics
       1969.
12.    ~-Jis1_1~1onger,              C,         Ro! Ii n            Etal,          Accounting                    Pr inc i pl es,         12th
       Edition.            USA. South-Western                                Publishing                 Co.      1970
13.    Office             of the               National              Committee                  for        Central          Planning           of
       Ethiopia,                     National                   t,,lor k sh c,p               on           Population                Pol i C/
       Q~~~lopment.                    June       12       -    13     1990        A.A
14     ------Ten                 Year            Perspective                     Plan         (1984/85-1993/94                    Ethiopia
       A.A
                                                                            :24
15.       Pankhurest,                Rfchard,              Transport                    and Communication                         in      Ethiopia
          1835-19~:5:            The        ,Journ-~l           of      Tr·anspor·t                     Hi=-tory         1975,        l.)ol.         2.
16.       Provjsional                  Government                 of             Ethiopia,                   Negarit           Gazeta           11
                                                                                                                                                     Labor
          Proclam~tion.                     Proclamation                         No.        64 of            1975
17.       Provisionai             Mi 1 i tar·>'            Government                       of     Ethiopia,              f,~egari t Gaze ta,
                                                                                                                                                11
          11
               Regylation              :,.nd cci-ordination                             o-f       F'ublic          Finance        Op1;1e_~J_L_9n~
          proclamation                 No 163 of                1979.
18    I   :::e,·ed       Mohammed,                 l··.Jotes. on                 Fin~ncial                    ,~o~lysis           for          Project
           ( u D pub I I s.h e d:, .        i'   th i op i     «: A. A.                1 9J1,;,.
19.       Transitional                 (3overnment                of         Ethiopia,                   Economic            Policy             o-f       the
          Transitional                 Go,,ernment                of         Ethiopia.                   Ethiopia:             A.A.        1990
20;       UNTACDA,            Pr·ogramme                 r,f    the          ·a.ecc,nd             United           Nations.            TransporJ
          aru:! Com1m.rni cations                       Qecade              in    Africa,               .. l't~)-200Q~
21.       klB,        Ethiopia•·s.                Economy              in         the ... 1'!'80'·=                 .a.nd Fr·.a.rn;;,J,,ork               for
          AcceJs'c«teo                Growth,            No     8062-ET                ..     MB.rch,           1'?90
22.       ----        t.,1,:;r·Jd _Dev eJ opme n t Rep or· ts,                              1?83/.an          d 1 989.
17.       Governmen_t            Change            And         Tel ecomm.                   Poli        CY
          May 1991              witnessed                two      major             events                   in Ethiopian               politics.
Having          achieved              military             victory                  over           the        Ethiopian                Government
which           had      been         in         power          since                  1974,              the      Eriterean              People's
Liberation               Front             IEPLF)          formed                 the             Provisional                  Government                   of
Eriterea              based      in         what           used         to          be            the        Autonomous                Region              of
Eriterea           under        the        preceding                 government                     of       Ethiopia.                 .JLtst        ,:about
the       same        time,      the             Ethiopian              People's                        Revolutionary                  Democratic
1=-ront          IEPRDF)        formed              a      provisional                           government               in     the           rest         of
                                                                              24
15.        Pankhurest,                  Richard,            Transport                     and     Communication                 in      EthiopiJ
           1835-193;i1             The          )our·nal          gf      Transport                   History         1'?'75,      ,)ol.      2.
16.      Provisional                      Government                of         Ethic,pia,                t,Jegarit          Gazeta          "L~l:1or·
           Proc_l amat ion.                     Proclamation                   No.         64 of          1975
17.      Pro•v•isa.ional              Militar·>'                Government                 of     Ethiopia,            r,Jegarit           Gazeta,
           "Regulation                     and     co-ordination                          of    Public          Finar,ce        Operation."
         proclamation                     No     163       of     1979.
18.        Se>'ed         Mohammed,                 Notes           on         Financial                   Analysis             for        Project
           (unpublished),                       Ethiopia:              A.A.          1986,
19.      Transitional                     Government                of        Ethiopia,                 Economic         Policy             of     the
         Transi          tiona]           Government                oLEthiopia.                         Ethiopia:           A.A.        1990
20.        UNTACDA,              Programme                 of      the        second              United         Nation:-             Transport
         and~oTILmunications                           Decade             in       Africa,              1991-2000.
21.      WB,            Ethiopia's                 Economy               in        the          1980's           and     Framework                 £gr_
         /i~J;el        erated          Growth,            No 8062-ET                ..        Mar·ch,         1990
22.        ----         World      Development                    Reports,                 1983/and             19J35',
17.        Government              Change And Teleconm.                                    Pol icy
           May       1991         witnessed                two      major            events               in    Ethiopian             politics.
Having            achieved              military            victory                over           the      Ethiopian               Government
which             had      been            in    power            since              1974,              the     Eriterean               People's
Liberation                 Front           (EPLF)               formed             the          F'rovisional             Government                  of
Eriterea                based        in         what            used      to         be         the      Autonomous                Region            of
Eriterea            under         the           preceding              government                  of      Ethiopia.               Just       about
the     same            time,        the         Ethiopian                Peop·1 e's                  Revel     Lttionary          Democratic
                                                                              ~~
                                                                              ..:.:,._1
Ethiopia               (i.e          excluding                   the        Autonomous                       Region            of      Eriterea).
Later,         in July              1991,         the       Transitional                        Government               of Ethiopia                   was
established                   by a coal it ion                       of       EPRDF and more                            than        twenty          other
political              organizations.
          According                  to      the            resolution                          passed             by       the        July          1991
conference                which             established                       the              Transitional                    Government                   of
Ethiopia,              a referendum                    to        decide             the         future          of      Eriterea              will          be
held       in two-years                    time.
          The             most               significant                                  change                with                regard                  to
telecommunications                          administration                          since              the      establishment                  of       the
Provisional               Government                   of Eriterea                        is    the      fact        that       ETA no longer
manages           and operates                    the       telecommunications                                network               in Eriterea.
The         Provisional                      Government                           there                has           taken             over             its
administration.                             After              eleven                     months          of         total           absence                of
telecommunications                           services                     between                     Ethiopia              and           Eriterea,
services           have        resumed                since          May 1992.
          At       the        time          the            Provisional                         Government                of Eriterea                   was
formed            in      May             1991,            about            15            percent             of        Ethiopia's                  total
telephone              exchange              capacity                 was         in Eriterea,                       whereas           Eriterea's
population               was 6 percent                      of       the      total             population               of       Ethiopia.
          Since           Asmara            was the                  second               largest         city           in Ethiopia,                  the
Addis          Ababa          - Asmara                Microwave                   Link          carried            the      highest           traffic
density.               In addition,                    Asmara             was the               source          and      destination                 of       a
significant               portion             of        the         international                      telephone               traffic.
          Although             it     is     too            early           to      assess             the      political                 statL1s           of
Eriterea               in relation                    to      the          rest           of Ethiopia,                   the        most      extreme
case      would          be an independent                            Eriterea                  with      Ethiopia              using         the      sea
ports       of Massawa                and Assb                 as          outlets               to    the      sea.           This       scenario,
in       itself           assuming                a        low level                      of      economic              and         social          ties,
offers                 ample                opportunities                                  for               the             expansion                      of
telecommunications                          services                 between               the         two governments.                        A more
                                                                                 ,·;'
                                                                                 ~::.o
likely             scenario                  would        be very                       close         economic                  ;and socia·1                ties
between                 the       two         geographic               entities,                           no matter                 what      political
status            Eriterea               assumes.
             Regarding                 the       implications                           of     the      changes                 of    government               in
Ethiopia                to        telecommunications,                                   it       suffices                 to    mention             the       new
economic                 policy               announced                by               the          Transitional                    Government                of
Ethiopia                 in       December              1991.              This               policy             states          that        the      market
'"' i l l        have         a        greater            role             to            decide               the         country's             economic
activities.                       While         this          statement                       has     created              great        expectations
among the                business               community,                 the           Economic                 Policy         has        highlighted
that         some            economic            activities                      will            remain             under            state         control.
The          Economic              Pol icy           issued           in    December                       1991 states                the      following
in relation                   to        telecommunications                               and         po•ts:
             "     ~3ince              posts           and        telecommunications                                       provide             essentia·1
             social           and        economic             services,                       they      win          remain           under         state
             ownership.                      However,           forms           of             private             capital            participation
             in these              activities                 wi 1 ·1 be studied                            and      1 egisl         ated"
             The         implications                    of     this        policy                   statement                 in the        way ETA is
to          be re-organized                        and          the         role                of          the           private            sector            as
telecommunications                               service               provider                       is      yet          to        be elaborated.
According                to       the        Government               policy                  statement              quoted           herein          above,
decision                 on whether                the         private                   sector            should               be authorized                  to
engage            in telecommunications                                    as           operator,                   is     to    be         based      on          a
study            which            is      yet      to         be conducted.                                 It       wi 11 , therefore,                        be
sometime                (a year               perhaps,            with           an optimistic                             estimate)            before             a
new telecommunications                                   policy            evolves.
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